DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 54.7 - - 53.4 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 113 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 2555 - - 1686 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 6029 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6264 - - 7383 - - 6514 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1625 - - 1773 - - 2447 - - 2935 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 281 - - 39 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 33 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 162 - - 144 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - 4 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 210 - - -459 - - -2293 - - -2085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6055 - - 7842 - - 8808 - - 6458 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4275 - - -5352 - - -7903 - - -8568 ODpotential blCL - - - 10539 - - 12735 - - 14417 - - 12941 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 84 - - 84 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 54.7 - - 53.4 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 35.6 - - 30.2 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 54.9 - - 55.3 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 34.6 - - 29.1 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 113 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1436 - - 2555 - - 1686 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 37 - - 37 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96411 27 265 21 260 24 268 32 265 96411 89198 15 273 24 285 19 272 18 275 89198 83698 10 238 18 281 16 295 18 317 83698 79162 6 251 12 271 14 326 14 313 79162 75261 9 311 10 281 11 315 17 315 75261 71813 11 302 13 307 8 300 14 296 71813 68675 11 259 16 291 7 310 5 267 68675 65760 20 265 19 265 20 266 18 255 65760 63045 28 270 27 258 30 267 29 258 63045 60413 40 256 39 253 42 261 43 256 60413 57654 49 249 46 250 51 255 52 252 57654 54761 56 248 53 250 60 250 55 251 54761 51971 63 250 61 251 65 251 63 244 51971 49467 69 250 72 251 67 248 64 241 49467 47236 70 248 72 249 63 247 63 246 47236 45225 68 249 71 246 66 250 72 248 45225 43399 82 250 83 246 83 245 82 244 43399 41733 99 245 103 245 89 243 87 240 41733 40192 108 243 112 242 105 241 91 237 40192 38750 107 245 108 241 111 239 93 236 38750 37400 97 246 104 244 104 239 97 246 37400 36113 86 247 102 245 100 240 93 249 36113 34819 83 250 92 245 97 242 86 248 34819 33486 84 258 78 247 88 243 82 248 33486 32116 79 256 79 248 81 242 74 247 32116 30696 76 252 80 246 75 243 67 244 30696 29216 76 248 78 243 71 245 66 243 29216 27679 72 245 75 244 68 244 68 241 27679 26089 68 244 74 247 66 245 64 243 26089 24450 63 246 72 246 65 243 61 240 24450 22771 57 250 68 245 62 240 54 236 22771 21051 50 251 58 244 53 239 45 235 21051 19280 41 248 47 244 41 240 35 233 19280 17486 34 243 35 246 30 239 28 226 17486 15760 28 242 25 247 23 235 22 222 15760 14187 24 242 19 244 18 233 18 222 14187 12782 21 241 15 241 15 227 15 223 12782 11526 18 240 13 236 11 211 13 219 11526 10402 14 237 10 233 9 191 10 203 10402 9395 10 230 7 229 6 175 10 179 9395 8496 8 223 4 221 5 167 10 166 8496 7695 6 215 2*190 4 165 9 164 7695 6980 4 201 1*154 3*166 8 172 6980 6331 2*159 1 153 2*152 6 177 6331 5751 2*106 2 157 2 141 4 176 5751 5263 1 110 2 164 3 141 2 140 5263 4885 1 155 2 167 3 143 2 079 4885 4624 1 178 2 173 3 144 4 054 4624 4464 1 186 2 174 3 145 5*045 4464 4372 1 190 2 176 2 149 5*041 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography