DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.3 - - 39.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 87 - - -3 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1617 - - 3949 - - 2762 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4355 - - 6911 - - 4355 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6445 - - 8777 - - 7590 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1745 - - 1502 - - 1565 - - 1544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 308 - - 55 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 17 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 040 - - 041 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 12 - - 26 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -47 - - -28 - - -25 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2138 - - -905 - - -1395 - - -2865 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8584 - - 9683 - - 8985 - - 7238 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10401 - - -9512 - - -10721 - - -11086 ODpotential blCL - - - 16846 - - 18289 - - 18311 - - 15459 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 35 - - 29 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.3 - - 39.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 14.4 - - 15.7 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 41.7 - - 41.8 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 13.1 - - 14.5 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 87 - - -3 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1617 - - 3949 - - 2762 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 42 259 47 246 45 265 52 262 96488 89343 31 272 30 261 36 266 30 274 89343 83870 23 271 23 290 29 275 27 291 83870 79267 15 252 18 290 20 283 22 296 79267 75287 12 245 21 285 14 268 17 266 75287 71758 15 250 17 265 19 261 23 252 71758 68545 21 231 18 260 21 256 21 266 68545 65575 25 247 27 259 23 261 23 266 65575 62806 21 240 26 249 24 269 20 276 62806 60109 14 257 24 266 27 278 18 287 60109 57288 23 264 28 252 28 276 23 297 57288 54352 25 269 21 251 27 277 26 288 54352 51533 32 287 27 291 27 298 26 301 51533 49001 42 295 41 302 33 310 29 313 49001 46754 44 289 40 292 34 304 29 311 46754 44728 36 277 30 295 29 309 24 307 44728 42873 26 294 31 312 24 323 19 329 42873 41164 29 313 42 324 30 334 29 346 41164 39590 36 326 48 327 41 332 42 335 39590 38130 46 325 47 319 43 323 43 327 38130 36769 50 322 48 326 44 327 38 326 36769 35473 51 326 51 341 45 336 39 347 35473 34187 52 338 54 350 45 346 46 356 34187 32881 56 347 57 351 48 353 48 358 32881 31553 61 349 58 351 51 355 48 001 31553 30184 65 349 57 350 51 354 48 004 30184 28762 66 349 55 351 49 355 47 006 28762 27285 65 349 53 352 47 357 47 008 27285 25753 65 348 52 355 47 359 47 011 25753 24168 64 348 51 358 47 002 48 013 24168 22532 62 349 51 002 46 005 49 015 22532 20839 60 352 51 006 45 008 47 015 20839 19084 56 358 50 011 42 010 44 015 19084 17302 53 005 48 014 38 011 39 014 17302 15586 49 009 46 014 35 012 34 013 15586 14024 46 010 43 014 35 015 30 014 14024 12631 37 007 41 018 36 021 30 020 12631 11387 24 002 36 022 37 027 32 030 11387 10273 16 001 30 028 37 034 36 039 10273 9277 14 014 24*034 36 038 41 046 9277 8389 17 031 21*037 33 042 45 050 8389 7602 22 043 19 039 30*043 46 052 7602 6902 26*048 19 040 27*044 44 053 6902 6271 27*048 18 040 23 043 37 051 6271 5708 27 048 17 041 19 042 27 047 5708 5234 26 048 15 041 14 039 16 038 5234 4868 24 048 14 042 9 033 7 005 4868 4614 21 048 12 042 5 022 7 292 4614 4460 18 047 11 042 4 005 8*277 4460 4372 13 046 9 042 2 328 7*273 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography