DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.3 - - 55.7 - - 53.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 51 - - 61 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2432 - - 3377 - - 1790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 6250 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7260 - - 8205 - - 6618 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2226 - - 1013 - - 1208 - - 2324 - - 3229 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 222 - - 264 - - 42 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 298 - - 283 - - 260 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -1 - - -3 - - 4 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2272 - - 2283 - - 1505 - - -140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4373 - - 4989 - - 5922 - - 5114 - - 4514 sfcLCL ODpotential -1643 - - 716 - - 678 - - -1006 - - -3153 ODpotential blCL 6017 - - 6544 - - 7527 - - 7624 - - 7527 blCL maxRH 91 - - 98 - - 88 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.3 - - 55.7 - - 53.9 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 45.6 - - 44.8 - - 46.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 52.9 - - 56.2 - - 56.2 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 44.3 - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 51 - - 61 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2432 - - 3377 - - 1790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 94 - - 54 - - 45 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 23 332 19 320 25 313 19 325 25 326 96012 88955 14 015 15 003 13 332 16 330 17 356 88955 83509 21 029 13 007 11 003 12 009 10 000 83509 78992 13 352 8 003 13 330 14 020 5 343 78992 75104 7 008 8 334 9 343 8 354 6 331 75104 71655 6 354 7 333 10 293 10 290 12 318 71655 68516 6 354 5 038 3 047 8 235 12 267 68516 65625 13 291 16 271 10 308 1 150 11 283 65625 62934 6 312 17 268 27 281 21 292 20 286 62934 60319 13 290 13 271 24 265 25 275 24 274 60319 57592 19 279 15 287 19 281 27 277 28 271 57592 54774 41 292 32 284 30 283 34 277 26 267 54774 52095 46 282 42 279 39 276 35 278 29 265 52095 49675 45 276 46 271 45 273 39 274 37 260 49675 47489 44 271 44 272 45 278 36 272 38 266 47489 45498 41 277 47 283 51 287 38 278 44 277 45498 43672 49 285 56 290 57 287 49 280 51 277 43672 41991 61 282 61 287 63 283 59 274 57 278 41991 40439 62 276 59 281 65 282 64 269 61 274 40439 39002 53 278 54 277 60 287 63 270 59 268 39002 37663 54 287 49 284 56 294 58 274 54 267 37663 36373 62 289 48 293 51 299 52 275 50 271 36373 35070 64 286 49 294 47 296 49 278 50 276 35070 33727 63 286 48 291 46 291 48 280 48 278 33727 32348 60 288 47 289 46 289 46 280 46 277 32348 30920 58 289 49 289 45 288 43 281 43 275 30920 29434 57 289 53 288 46 287 41 282 40 272 29434 27897 57 290 54 288 47 286 39 282 36 269 27897 26313 57 291 54 290 45 286 37 284 32 270 26313 24680 56 293 51 291 41 288 34 287 31 278 24680 22999 55 294 48 292 38 292 30 290 29 286 22999 21266 53 294 46 294 37 293 28 293 25 293 21266 19471 52 293 45 295 36 294 28 298 23 303 19471 17649 48 293 43 296 36 296 28 304 22 315 17649 15893 43 293 40 297 36 299 27 308 22 322 15893 14294 38 293 36 298 34 302 24 311 21 327 14294 12866 33 292 32 298 29 303 21 312 20 329 12866 11591 30 292 28 296 23 301 18 312 18 328 11591 10451 28 291 24 294 19 295 14 306 17 323 10451 9430 27 292 21 291 14 289 11 290 14 315 9430 8521 25 293 18 291 9*290 9 272 11 303 8521 7714 22 296 14*294 6*296 8 268 6 286 7714 6994 20 296 10*300 5 296 7*270 3 263 6994 6343 18 295 8 300 4 292 5*276 1 237 6343 5760 16 294 7 299 3 273 3 280 1 083 5760 5269 12 291 5 296 2 265 1 260 1 072 5269 4889 8 289 5 294 2 255 1 162 3 065 4889 4625 4 285 4 292 2 247 1 137 5 062 4625 4465 1*285 4 293 2 246 2 130 5*062 4465 4373 0*087 3 292 2 243 2 123 4*058 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography