DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 56.8 - - 65.2 - - 60.7 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 51 - - 97 - - -4 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 316 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5144 - - 6002 - - 4375 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 205 - - 861 - - 1805 - - 2686 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 110 - - 205 - - 3 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 296 - - 276 - - 131 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -5 - - -6 - - 1 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5108 - - -5279 - - -7068 - - -8141 - - -6340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9481 - - 10424 - - 13070 - - 12517 - - 10715 sfcLCL ODpotential -17197 - - -15091 - - -14772 - - -16179 - - -16535 ODpotential blCL 21570 - - 20235 - - 20774 - - 20554 - - 20909 blCL maxRH 45 - - 42 - - 39 - - 38 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 56.8 - - 65.2 - - 60.7 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.2 - - 27.0 - - 23.5 - - 21.8 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 57.4 - - 65.5 - - 66.0 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 25.9 - - 22.5 - - 20.7 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 51 - - 97 - - -4 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 316 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 5 108 9 346 5 067 7 002 14 280 96462 89289 12 053 9 076 7 083 12 052 10 054 89289 83724 16 057 14 084 1 284 15 044 12 036 83724 79104 19 064 16 071 11 015 15 017 16 042 79104 75121 18 046 13 073 15 032 14 012 29 024 75121 71610 14 019 11 022 14 002 13 352 23 019 71610 68437 20 354 14 004 13 345 16 342 22 002 68437 65540 26 329 23 336 22 349 18 330 24 355 65540 62869 22 305 28 309 28 319 20 320 20 326 62869 60294 21 306 29 297 27 308 22 312 23 292 60294 57608 30 318 29 311 30 319 23 318 19 292 57608 54808 32 307 32 309 32 313 30 322 29 326 54808 52138 29 301 30 296 31 303 32 316 36 321 52138 49740 30 305 24 299 29 298 31 303 32 298 49740 47600 24 322 24 346 22 314 26 298 25 293 47600 45678 31 353 32 358 19 341 17 321 15 307 45678 43937 25 344 27 354 20 353 16 346 10 008 43937 42331 7 298 23 348 22 356 15 349 20 013 42331 40829 6 023 19 359 24 353 15 348 23 003 40829 39411 13 040 20 009 26 356 15 347 23 353 39411 38069 21 032 23 009 23 002 15 342 17 349 38069 36775 28 032 23 009 20 008 14 338 12 345 36775 35470 30 035 20 015 15 015 14 336 14 350 35470 34126 30 038 20 029 11 025 13 336 18 358 34126 32744 27 040 20 033 10 032 14 337 22 003 32744 31313 20 043 17 029 7 015 14 339 21 005 31313 29821 13 045 15 019 6 356 15 344 19 005 29821 28271 13 049 14 012 8 337 15 338 17 002 28271 26665 14 026 10 004 11 322 17 336 17 358 26665 25004 17 356 10 348 13 318 20 349 18 356 25004 23296 21 352 12 343 15 330 19 004 18 001 23296 21534 21 350 14 352 18 346 19 014 19 007 21534 19713 22 352 17 001 20 360 19 017 21 010 19713 17864 23 001 19 007 21 008 18 016 20 010 17864 16084 23 007 20 010 20 012 17 012 18 006 16084 14462 23 011 19 009 17 013 17 008 17 358 14462 13014 22 011 18 005 16 008 17 007 17 354 13014 11721 21 011 17 359 16 004 16 009 16 358 11721 10562 18 012 15 354 16 002 15 014 15 010 10562 9524 15 014 13 352 15 005 12 018 14 024 9524 8596 12 017 10 353 11 010 8 018 12 037 8596 7771 9 021 8 355 8 014 6 009 10 049 7771 7035 7 027 5 356 5 008 5 350 7 061 7035 6371 6 038 3 001 3*335 5 323 5 076 6371 5778 6 050 2 007 4*295 5 301 6 088 5778 5279 7 054 3*342 4 279 4 282 8 086 5279 4893 7 046 4*307 4 273 2 261 10 072 4893 4627 8 026 4 296 4 268 1 202 11 053 4627 4465 8*015 4 291 3 265 2*144 10*039 4465 4373 6*008 3 286 3 264 3*125 7*028 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography