DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 55.0 - - 63.9 - - 60.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 25 - - 121 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 534 - - 2407 - - 1166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 5959 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5362 - - 7235 - - 5994 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 212 - - 1412 - - 1206 - - 1832 - - 1463 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 110 - - 281 - - 21 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 18 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 292 - - 079 - - 064 - - 058 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -30 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4296 - - -4747 - - -6184 - - -6844 - - -6989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8669 - - 10109 - - 13420 - - 12839 - - 11363 sfcLCL ODpotential -14460 - - -11927 - - -11947 - - -13523 - - -15242 ODpotential blCL 18833 - - 17289 - - 19182 - - 19517 - - 19616 blCL maxRH 33 - - 31 - - 24 - - 47 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 55.0 - - 63.9 - - 60.8 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 26.6 - - 20.6 - - 20.3 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 55.9 - - 64.0 - - 64.0 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 25.4 - - 19.4 - - 19.2 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 25 - - 121 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 534 - - 2407 - - 1166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96121 18 045 17 355 21 019 13 014 19 010 96121 89216 33 080 16 085 15 069 13 063 22 052 89216 83869 42 075 35 095 26 083 33 069 24 073 83869 79377 34 074 39 088 35 088 37 077 27 074 79377 75444 26 074 32 079 32 086 27 088 23 084 75444 71920 21 056 24 075 23 073 22 073 25 073 71920 68742 22 047 21 061 20 071 19 055 18 048 68742 65850 21 021 18 039 17 058 16 068 8 043 65850 63155 11 328 10 027 5 000 16 039 9 026 63155 60529 12 009 8 018 10 037 18 015 15 022 60529 57801 22 353 17 354 16 008 12 018 11 018 57801 54964 19 347 14 353 10 334 7 021 6 007 54964 52241 26 358 21 032 14 031 14 025 14 027 52241 49791 37 017 36 039 31 040 22 032 28 025 49791 47597 42 024 41 039 30 030 20 025 29 016 47597 45607 41 024 43 038 19 038 8 014 15 020 45607 43798 36 019 39 032 28 058 14 077 3 179 43798 42121 33 022 28 033 48 058 44 073 23 087 42121 40555 32 041 18 054 55 053 64 063 55 068 40555 39107 29 058 23 081 26 046 70 058 76 060 39107 37763 27 067 34 081 16 053 66 056 77 058 37763 36478 23 078 38 074 27 077 55 060 67 059 36478 35185 23 084 37 065 49 083 51 072 55 063 35185 33857 27 072 37 060 57 079 53 073 50 062 33857 32494 34 060 38 059 55 074 53 067 47 063 32494 31083 39 058 38 060 52 076 51 064 45 067 31083 29611 40 062 36 062 47 072 46 064 45 065 29611 28082 40 065 34 066 41 058 41 066 46 061 28082 26496 39 067 32 069 39 050 37 063 45 058 26496 24857 38 067 30 068 34 048 35 059 44 058 24857 23166 39 069 28 066 31 047 32 060 40 062 23166 21420 35 071 25 063 27 050 28 065 31 065 21420 19614 27 060 23 060 24 055 22 067 21 062 19614 17780 25 041 21 059 21 063 17 061 17 048 17780 16014 21 046 21 062 19 075 14 058 16 043 16014 14406 16 058 21 066 17 087 14 064 15 050 14406 12970 14 071 22 070 18 092 13 069 16 059 12970 11685 15 081 23 072 20 092 14 071 18 064 11685 10534 17 083 25 073 21 087 16 068 21 064 10534 9501 20 079 27 071 23 079 18 064 24 063 9501 8578 25 073 29 070 24 071 19 059 27 061 8578 7756 30 068 29 067 24*066 20 055 28 059 7756 7023 32 065 27 066 22*064 20 052 28 056 7023 6361 30 062 22 065 21 063 19*051 27 053 6361 5771 22 059 16*066 20 063 16*052 23 048 5771 5276 12 049 10*069 19 063 13 055 16 041 5276 4892 5 020 6 075 17 064 9 060 9 029 4892 4627 5 306 3 094 15 065 5 070 4 347 4627 4466 7*292 2 110 14 066 2 090 4*291 4466 4373 7*292 2 132 11 067 2 197 5*280 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography