DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 65.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 401 - - 523 - - 196 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 11692 - - 14000 - - 8803 - - 2232 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 13816 - - 15887 - - 11025 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 5575 - - 16520 - - 18828 - - 13631 - - 7060 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5942 - - 2547 - - 6191 - - 4244 - - 4544 Hgt.Variab. W* 143 - - 698 - - 810 - - 500 - - 13 W* B/S 7 - - 22 - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 244 - - 250 - - 219 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -27 - - 74 - - 59 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6065 - - 3707 - - 4367 - - 1404 - - -3125 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11641 - - 12813 - - 14462 - - 12228 - - 10185 sfcLCL ODpotential -8364 - - 1872 - - 3779 - - 314 - - -6251 ODpotential blCL 13939 - - 14648 - - 15049 - - 13317 - - 13311 blCL maxRH 90 - - 81 - - 92 - - 85 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 360 - - 390 - - 290 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 65.0 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.7 - - 24.5 - - 20.8 - - 26.3 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.0 - - 64.5 - - 68.1 - - 64.7 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.4 - - 24.1 - - 20.5 - - 26.1 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 401 - - 523 - - 196 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 11692 - - 14000 - - 8803 - - 2232 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 26 - - 69 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97780 5 222 10 213 17 244 13 284 17 286 97780 90341 4 318 7 166 5 229 12 289 8 303 90341 84655 4 322 5 078 3 091 7 272 8 011 84655 79949 4 081 6 049 1 086 4 097 9 053 79949 75888 6 112 3 352 1 265 8 065 4 068 75888 72300 9 154 5 224 2 159 4 097 6 357 72300 69059 6 141 3 201 3 126 5 153 3 310 69059 66081 3 061 6 260 4 308 3 027 2 210 66081 63311 4 293 12 246 16 266 11 292 5 286 63311 60605 9 234 14 228 20 245 18 262 11 291 60605 57770 13 230 13 233 19 237 22 242 19 265 57770 54829 15 264 13 267 14 247 18 235 20 253 54829 52026 21 259 20 270 19 269 19 268 17 268 52026 49506 21 261 21 260 20 264 20 271 17 293 49506 47244 25 265 19 261 21 271 20 283 25 291 47244 45192 27 261 16 268 22 271 25 280 24 287 45192 43314 27 262 16 281 19 277 23 273 21 291 43314 41580 26 261 18 292 18 286 18 287 18 301 41580 39969 25 259 19 294 15 297 17 296 19 308 39969 38474 23 258 20 302 15 320 16 297 18 326 38474 37081 22 263 22 302 19 310 12 301 21 337 37081 35753 20 262 20 288 15 306 17 336 32 346 35753 34426 17 273 15 288 13 321 23 325 37 344 34426 33069 17 286 13 310 15 328 20 322 32 357 33069 31690 19 277 15 307 17 330 22 359 39 008 31690 30280 22 267 16 288 15 323 28 353 45 007 30280 28829 22 260 15 257 11 307 18 353 39 006 28829 27341 21 260 12 256 4 230 3 262 24 004 27341 25814 20 279 15 283 8 186 10 213 11 015 25814 24241 22 293 14 275 7 180 11 243 11 030 24241 22621 19 289 13 258 5 194 8 252 11 024 22621 20946 14 284 13 254 4 236 4 274 12 017 20946 19211 13 282 11 264 5*276 3 002 11 014 19211 17448 13 280 7*289 7*289 5 021 10 021 17448 15748 11 271 4*295 8 290 4 011 10 023 15748 14197 9 278 5 272 8 288 3*345 8 019 14197 12809 3 325 7 256 9 281 3*307 7 018 12809 11565 3 034 8 253 9 271 4 277 5 026 11565 10446 2 053 8 251 9 259 6 252 4 050 10446 9440 2 048 7 243 9 246 7 233 4 081 9440 8537 2 040 6 236 10 236 9 220 6 100 8537 7731 2 027 6 230 12 228 11 213 7*110 7731 7009 2 020 6 225 13 223 12 209 7*115 7009 6355 2 010 6 223 14 219 13 206 7 117 6355 5770 3*355 6 219 15 217 14 204 6 115 5770 5276 3*330 6 216 15 215 14 203 6 110 5276 4893 4 309 6 215 15 214 13 202 5 106 4893 4628 4 301 6 215 15 214 13 202 5 102 4628 4466 4 297 5 214 15 213 13 201 4 099 4466 4373 3 295 5 214 13 213 11 201 3 097 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography