DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 54.2 - - 49.2 - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 121 - - -17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 4358 - - 893 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 7360 - - 4356 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5916 - - 9186 - - 5721 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2564 - - 1114 - - 3086 - - 977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 343 - - 34 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 9 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 063 - - 080 - - 067 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 1 - - 13 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -25 - - 11 - - -24 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1931 - - -1917 - - -4464 - - -4473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7847 - - 11104 - - 10185 - - 8846 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9518 - - -10242 - - -13310 - - -14971 ODpotential blCL - - - 15434 - - 19428 - - 19031 - - 19344 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 55 - - 65 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 54.2 - - 49.2 - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 20.8 - - 20.1 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 54.3 - - 52.0 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 19.8 - - 19.2 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 121 - - -17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 4358 - - 893 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 36 075 37 077 31 076 28 069 96490 89387 39 085 39 081 34 077 27 081 89387 83909 44 082 43 087 38 075 29 074 83909 79324 47 084 44 087 35 084 33 069 79324 75337 39 083 36 089 31 089 29 071 75337 71785 23 077 21 084 25 081 21 074 71785 68556 12 044 10 072 10 044 16 037 68556 65582 3 314 3 356 8 319 9 351 65582 62824 7 329 6 323 9 289 11 325 62824 60155 13 297 16 307 14 303 10 312 60155 57374 19 283 23 297 15 300 15 312 57374 54507 27 275 30 286 24 293 24 293 54507 51799 24 269 31 265 28 272 23 291 51799 49381 24 302 25 308 23 305 25 312 49381 47236 33 315 25 304 26 312 25 311 47236 45315 29 316 20 330 20 334 18 321 45315 43565 16 327 31 002 24 005 22 334 43565 41940 26 012 34 018 27 018 23 333 41940 40413 39 022 41 036 28 027 26 348 40413 38972 51 032 55 042 34 031 34 360 38972 37615 62 036 63 039 43 025 39 000 37615 36309 66 035 65 038 50 020 42 357 36309 34992 68 033 62 038 53 020 44 355 34992 33637 69 031 59 035 52 020 41 356 33637 32249 70 030 60 031 49 022 35 003 32249 30815 69 031 58 028 44 024 31 006 30815 29325 64 032 52 025 42 022 27 004 29325 27781 58 037 47 024 37 018 25 003 27781 26184 50 042 44 026 31 015 25 006 26184 24540 31 023 39 028 30 010 24 006 24540 22853 26 334 33 031 31 006 22 000 22853 21116 23 322 27 023 28 006 21 356 21116 19321 19 322 26 007 24 008 21 355 19321 17500 17 334 25 358 22 007 20 356 17500 15749 16 347 19 357 20 004 17 354 15749 14158 14 358 14 001 16 004 16 356 14158 12743 12 011 12 011 13 011 14 005 12743 11486 11 018 12 022 11 023 12 022 11486 10364 9 018 11 033 10 024 10 034 10364 9362 7 010 8*057 7 021 8 028 9362 8468 3 023 7*079 5 032 3 014 8468 7670 4 066 8 082 6 053 2 077 7670 6958 9 069 10 080 10 061 6 080 6958 6312 15*066 10 080 15 065 12 075 6312 5735 19*064 10 080 18*067 18 071 5735 5251 18 063 10 080 18*068 24 067 5251 4878 17 063 9 081 16 067 20 063 4878 4620 15 063 8 082 12 067 14 058 4620 4462 13 062 8 082 9 066 7*050 4462 4372 9 063 7 082 5 067 2*002 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography