DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.1 - - 80.4 - - 94.4 - - 81.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 132 - - 488 - - 7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 961 - - 2537 - - 8825 - - 1465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4358 - - 6175 - - 11572 - - 4359 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 5789 - - 7365 - - 13653 - - 6293 - - 4377 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1174 - - 1847 - - 3465 - - 2856 - - 2391 Hgt.Variab. W* 150 - - 310 - - 678 - - 135 - - 10 W* B/S 5 - - 32 - - 67 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 312 - - 094 - - 058 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 18 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -14 - - -24 - - -1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 252 - - -35 - - 1044 - - 710 - - -1676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5537 - - 7400 - - 12610 - - 5583 - - 6053 sfcLCL ODpotential -4348 - - -4082 - - -634 - - -3780 - - -6997 ODpotential blCL 10137 - - 11447 - - 14287 - - 10073 - - 11374 blCL maxRH 79 - - 78 - - 90 - - 84 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 1240 - - 1850 - - 1110 - - 4020 - - 2030 CAPE Temp@2m 74.1 - - 80.4 - - 94.4 - - 81.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.3 - - 62.6 - - 53.9 - - 70.6 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.7 - - 81.3 - - 93.1 - - 82.1 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.2 - - 62.4 - - 53.8 - - 68.7 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 132 - - 488 - - 7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 961 - - 2537 - - 8825 - - 1465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 10 - - 59 - - 35 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99004 37 098 31 098 37 094 33 095 32 090 99004 91554 32 096 31 086 30 093 32 098 29 093 91554 85794 28 095 31 093 24 092 27 093 29 102 85794 81005 22 092 28 097 20 094 25 089 29 096 81005 76878 20 097 21 095 20 104 23 085 28 096 76878 73245 21 099 14 094 21 104 19 085 25 093 73245 69976 19 093 13 105 17 098 15 091 19 081 69976 66980 14 087 15 107 15 098 11 098 14 073 66980 64208 13 092 16 109 14 103 10 106 12 086 64208 61543 14 095 15 114 13 115 9 109 12 108 61543 58797 13 091 13 116 11 119 10 118 8 101 58797 55986 9 095 10 131 10 161 11 147 9 171 55986 53356 10 143 11 151 11 191 7 162 12 182 53356 51018 18 151 15 160 17 194 14 211 9 202 51018 48913 20 145 18 162 19 184 20 202 16 199 48913 46982 21 149 19 169 16 189 24 201 19 192 46982 45196 19 154 21 183 21 192 27 203 20 198 45196 43528 18 155 24 189 25 190 28 202 21 204 43528 41959 16 153 26 191 27 189 28 199 23 207 41959 40478 15 152 26 190 28 188 28 194 23 205 40478 39079 16 153 24 188 27 185 28 190 23 202 39079 37731 18 153 22 184 25 181 26 184 22 201 37731 36369 20 151 21 180 22 176 20 174 20 197 36369 34966 21 149 19 177 20 170 16 169 18 188 34966 33529 22 145 17 177 19 169 15 169 16 180 33529 32043 21 136 14 170 18 173 14 171 13 177 32043 30499 20 127 12 158 15 173 12 177 9 174 30499 28898 17 111 14 148 12 145 9 174 8 152 28898 27244 17 101 15 133 13 118 11 129 10 139 27244 25540 17 100 16 112 14 104 15 109 12 126 25540 23792 16 090 14 096 14 096 13 108 14 116 23792 21992 17 078 14 077 16 102 12 116 15 108 21992 20135 17 078 16 083 17 105 13 118 16 106 20135 18255 17 082 16 094 16 103 12 103 17 101 18255 16448 14 090 14 107 15 101 14 071 16 092 16448 14799 10 098 12 103 13*089 17 055 15 084 14799 13322 8 106 10 104 12*069 14 045 14 075 13322 11997 6 106 8 111 10 064 7 029 12 064 11997 10805 3 126 6 116 9 060 3 330 9 053 10805 9734 3 209 2 135 5 055 4 288 5 027 9734 8774 5 219 2 269 0 037 5 276 5 305 8774 7919 7 208 4*286 3 226 5 277 8 276 7919 7155 7 191 4*298 5 225 4 283 8 269 7155 6464 7 172 3 309 6 222 4*294 7 272 6464 5846 6*156 2 328 6 220 3*309 6 287 5846 5325 6*137 1 332 7 217 1 002 7 308 5325 4922 6 122 0 330 7 217 2 091 7 323 4922 4644 6 122 0 237 7 216 3 094 7 336 4644 4473 6 121 0 203 7 215 2 096 5*347 4473 4376 5 122 0 193 7 215 2 096 4*353 4376 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography