DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 67.4 - - 74.9 - - 71.1 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 171 - - 183 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1278 - - 4123 - - 2536 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5309 - - 7398 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 6106 - - 8951 - - 7364 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 869 - - 1455 - - 2006 - - 4076 - - 1826 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 252 - - 381 - - 31 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 260 - - 279 - - 283 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6190 - - -6937 - - -5836 - - -6871 - - -7747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10564 - - 13044 - - 14788 - - 14236 - - 12122 sfcLCL ODpotential -16279 - - -14285 - - -11540 - - -13438 - - -15834 ODpotential blCL 20653 - - 20391 - - 20491 - - 20802 - - 20209 blCL maxRH 26 - - 35 - - 38 - - 37 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 67.4 - - 74.9 - - 71.1 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 25.7 - - 25.2 - - 24.1 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 67.2 - - 74.6 - - 74.5 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 25.1 - - 24.5 - - 23.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 171 - - 183 - - -5 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1278 - - 4123 - - 2536 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 17 293 17 272 13 268 10 263 20 294 96677 89434 9 284 12 277 15 290 11 310 17 295 89434 83881 13 297 10 313 13 285 12 318 12 305 83881 79277 17 274 10 296 14 292 15 320 21 319 79277 75327 12 303 11 295 13 294 16 318 19 324 75327 71839 19 320 15 320 12 314 15 308 16 316 71839 68663 17 310 16 300 14 308 15 287 21 312 68663 65742 18 291 22 279 22 296 21 297 25 314 65742 63062 20 305 27 279 29 289 25 299 26 310 63062 60493 28 306 29 291 29 285 26 293 27 302 60493 57829 37 300 37 297 34 298 31 301 31 302 57829 55062 40 294 43 292 41 295 41 298 36 300 55062 52409 45 297 43 294 44 290 46 291 42 297 52409 50011 50 294 51 300 50 293 52 290 48 297 50011 47857 51 293 60 296 58 292 55 291 53 301 47857 45894 54 298 61 287 59 287 56 291 58 300 45894 44089 58 298 56 287 55 287 56 287 57 294 44089 42418 57 295 51 291 50 292 52 284 53 290 42418 40866 51 295 45 293 47 293 46 288 47 291 40866 39415 45 302 40 298 41 291 40 294 41 297 39415 38057 41 302 37 305 33 297 33 301 39 306 38057 36753 35 289 37 294 28 306 30 305 37 313 36753 35440 31 287 30 270 28 310 29 302 34 320 35440 34090 29 291 29 288 29 311 28 301 34 319 34090 32704 28 291 29 307 28 309 28 302 31 316 32704 31269 30 293 28 310 27 303 29 305 27 317 31269 29776 30 288 29 308 29 300 30 307 23 307 29776 28228 27 282 29 302 33 301 31 305 18 297 28228 26624 26 282 28 291 34 298 31 304 15 293 26624 24970 26 287 28 286 33 293 30 306 13 301 24970 23265 27 288 29 288 33 294 29 310 14 317 23265 21506 27 287 28 292 32 299 30 314 16 323 21506 19686 27 293 26 298 28 303 29 315 18 319 19686 17841 25 302 23 301 23 302 26 315 20 317 17841 16069 23 307 20 304 19 301 23 313 20 321 16069 14457 19 306 18 307 17 304 20 314 19 327 14457 13020 15 301 17 309 17 311 17 318 16 330 13020 11736 12 302 15 309 16 318 14 324 13 335 11736 10586 9 308 13 306 14 324 10 330 8 335 10586 9554 8 318 11 303 10*323 9 327 7 322 9554 8629 7 331 9 308 8*307 8 318 7 317 8629 7804 6 343 8 329 7 293 8*307 6 318 7804 7065 5 349 7 356 7 284 8*299 5 323 7065 6395 3 353 4*013 6 274 8 292 3 335 6395 5796 1 039 2*326 6 268 8 286 2 003 5796 5292 2 077 3 267 6 264 8 280 2 053 5292 4902 3 048 3 255 5 259 7 274 3 075 4902 4632 6 026 3 247 5 256 6 267 5 076 4632 4468 6*013 4 244 5 255 5 258 5*073 4468 4374 5*010 3 242 4 253 4 247 4*074 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography