DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.2 - - 88.5 - - 91.3 - - 91.5 - - 83.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 137 - - 478 - - 235 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1640 - - 8568 - - 13022 - - 11515 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5452 - - 11353 - - 14530 - - 12762 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 6468 - - 13396 - - 17850 - - 16343 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2175 - - 2647 - - 2870 - - 4898 - - 14347 Hgt.Variab. W* 253 - - 667 - - 607 - - 471 - - 0 W* B/S 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 216 - - 236 - - 233 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 17 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 15 - - 32 - - 28 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3030 - - 733 - - 4421 - - 2620 - - -7631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9498 - - 12664 - - 13430 - - 13724 - - 12008 sfcLCL ODpotential -5569 - - -1725 - - 2692 - - 1447 - - -9991 ODpotential blCL 12037 - - 15121 - - 15158 - - 14896 - - 14367 blCL maxRH 55 - - 60 - - 100 - - 90 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 640 - - 660 - - 980 - - 1030 - - 930 CAPE Temp@2m 78.2 - - 88.5 - - 91.3 - - 91.5 - - 83.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 47.7 - - 47.1 - - 46.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.1 - - 86.6 - - 90.6 - - 91.5 - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.6 - - 47.6 - - 46.9 - - 46.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 137 - - 478 - - 235 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1640 - - 8568 - - 13022 - - 11515 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 102 - - 61 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98467 26 087 32 088 34 114 23 102 28 092 98467 91002 29 114 21 106 19 104 17 090 30 087 91002 85276 31 107 24 124 17 104 19 103 23 084 85276 80520 28 088 24 126 16 106 19 101 20 093 80520 76420 25 094 26 099 21 113 20 091 22 098 76420 72809 21 095 23 087 26 113 20 091 23 096 72809 69560 17 107 15 080 20 101 20 104 18 089 69560 66592 16 114 9 111 10 111 10 105 15 081 66592 63856 14 104 12 128 6 138 8 147 6 036 63856 61219 11 142 12 143 9 162 5 153 2 308 61219 58474 9 171 16 199 9 229 6 286 2 303 58474 55652 15 193 21 190 21 210 24 237 20 249 55652 53003 22 222 20 230 24 217 29 224 22 234 53003 50620 36 241 36 247 30 242 28 234 21 242 50620 48464 51 242 50 244 43 246 36 250 30 248 48464 46491 58 237 59 239 54 242 46 253 39 250 46491 44670 61 235 61 234 61 238 53 248 46 247 44670 42977 62 233 63 232 63 235 58 243 53 246 42977 41392 62 230 63 230 64 233 60 241 58 243 41392 39901 62 226 63 228 64 234 60 241 60 239 39901 38500 61 223 63 224 62 233 58 239 59 236 38500 37159 61 222 63 223 61 231 57 236 56 233 37159 35813 59 223 61 224 60 229 58 233 56 230 35813 34433 55 225 58 227 58 228 57 232 57 233 34433 33022 49 228 52 229 55 229 55 232 54 237 33022 31566 43 230 44 234 49 232 49 232 48 238 31566 30054 37 231 37 236 40 237 42 233 44 236 30054 28489 33 228 34 235 31 239 38 231 42 236 28489 26874 30 227 33 234 28 239 37 231 40 238 26874 25214 29 234 32 237 31 237 36 233 37 239 25214 23513 31 244 33 241 35 240 32 237 33 238 23513 21762 33 248 32 243 34 243 25 238 26 234 21762 19951 31 248 28 244 28 243 18 235 18 228 19951 18113 26 246 24 243 20*240 14 230 12 216 18113 16341 23 244 20 243 18*238 14*230 12 214 16341 14720 21 242 20*248 17 238 13*229 11 219 14720 13268 19 241 19*247 14 235 13 230 11 225 13268 11963 14 239 14 236 13 235 13 232 12 232 11963 10788 9 220 11 223 13 235 13 232 12 239 10788 9729 8 188 9 209 11 234 13 234 13 243 9729 8778 10 177 8 201 11 234 13 235 13 246 8778 7927 10 178 7 197 10 234 13 235 13 248 7927 7165 9*177 7 193 10 235 13 235 14 250 7165 6472 9*168 7 191 9 235 13 235 14 253 6472 5853 6 151 6 189 9 236 12 235 13 254 5853 5330 4 116 6 189 9 237 12 234 13 256 5330 4925 3 112 6 188 8 238 12 234 11 258 4925 4645 3 114 6 190 8 238 11 234 9 260 4645 4474 3 114 5 189 8 239 11 234 7*263 4474 4375 3 114 5 189 7 239 9 233 4*266 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography