DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 54.6 - - 64.6 - - 57.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 63 - - 96 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 762 - - 3234 - - 510 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 6395 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5590 - - 8062 - - 5338 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 596 - - 1045 - - 1412 - - 2538 - - 569 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 155 - - 287 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 305 - - 094 - - 100 - - 072 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - 9 - - -16 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8112 - - -8441 - - -9212 - - -10294 - - -10147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12486 - - 14031 - - 17275 - - 15633 - - 14522 sfcLCL ODpotential -21893 - - -18853 - - -18553 - - -21559 - - -21886 ODpotential blCL 26266 - - 24443 - - 26615 - - 26897 - - 26260 blCL maxRH 74 - - 72 - - 66 - - 72 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 54.6 - - 64.6 - - 57.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.7 - - 9.2 - - 4.1 - - 5.2 - - 2.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 55.1 - - 64.8 - - 61.4 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.7 - - 8.2 - - 3.1 - - 4.1 - - 1.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 63 - - 96 - - -6 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 762 - - 3234 - - 510 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96103 35 357 27 351 42 006 40 009 33 011 96103 89052 34 009 29 359 36 004 39 013 44 018 89052 83606 34 025 33 012 29 357 38 013 47 014 83606 79053 32 025 38 020 31 003 38 008 41 006 79053 75113 22 002 34 013 30 011 30 007 34 003 75113 71613 21 333 27 358 30 006 23 354 30 353 71613 68439 26 329 29 340 30 355 23 348 30 344 68439 65554 26 330 25 329 26 341 23 346 25 346 65554 62905 22 325 23 318 23 317 19 319 22 345 62905 60335 23 312 21 303 18 304 21 297 22 308 60335 57654 23 309 20 301 17 293 18 290 18 293 57654 54869 26 299 23 290 26 276 26 285 24 281 54869 52212 32 290 30 294 28 284 31 277 26 281 52212 49840 44 280 45 286 44 283 39 283 36 288 49840 47747 53 271 52 265 49 281 42 292 43 287 47747 45863 52 288 56 278 66 290 62 289 81 280 45863 44131 61 286 88 280 98 270 87 270 87 267 44131 42519 82 270 110 268 97 266 87 267 85 263 42519 40998 92 269 115 266 93 264 83 269 80 261 40998 39558 96 267 104 268 88 265 84 266 76 262 39558 38195 91 270 93 270 83 273 78 263 70 263 38195 36882 81 274 89 274 75 279 69 266 64 258 36882 35554 69 275 85 277 72 282 64 274 60 258 35554 34185 55 274 78 281 66 291 51 284 53 266 34185 32778 43 283 63 290 54 300 47 295 49 277 32778 31323 42 291 53 296 49 307 40 306 42 300 31323 29809 46 286 44 292 42 317 34 310 41 312 29809 28241 44 289 38 287 32 309 31 323 33 315 28241 26623 39 295 31 294 25 300 19 313 24 315 26623 24955 32 302 26 301 19 309 14 290 12 294 24955 23242 25 322 18 315 13 309 13 256 13 238 23242 21475 14 328 10 305 10 259 16 243 16 234 21475 19648 5 315 7 278 11 237 17 247 16 247 19648 17793 3 140 5 284 10 238 13 253 13 269 17793 16010 5 171 5 254 7 243 9 265 9 301 16010 14387 6 171 5 250 4 256 7 283 7 322 14387 12942 9 142 4 193 2 289 5 292 3 325 12942 11652 13 115 12 128 1 192 2 294 1 345 11652 10499 14 120 14 127 6 138 0 271 1 073 10499 9468 16 138 15 139 10 117 5 105 3 088 9468 8548 18 141 17 144 11*112 8 101 5 104 8548 7731 19 133 17 139 11*109 8 118 5 114 7731 7005 20 119 16 126 9 104 10 118 5 143 7005 6347 20 106 15 114 8 096 12 103 8 145 6347 5761 21 091 12*101 7 092 15*089 12 119 5761 5268 22 076 9*091 5 096 17*077 15 095 5268 4887 17 061 6 091 5 100 15 072 16 075 4887 4624 10 042 4 098 4 102 12 070 14 060 4624 4464 5*007 4 103 4 105 9 068 10*047 4464 4373 4*305 3 112 3 107 4 064 5*026 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography