DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 56.9 - - 64.1 - - 56.3 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - 40 - - 104 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 600 - - 3503 - - 669 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4357 - - 6643 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5428 - - 8331 - - 5497 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 1368 - - 2408 - - 1692 - - 812 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 127 - - 303 - - 16 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 043 - - 068 - - 058 - - 023 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 2 - - 14 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -6 - - -14 - - -24 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4612 - - -4636 - - -4504 - - -5557 - - -5562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8986 - - 10064 - - 12836 - - 11054 - - 9936 sfcLCL ODpotential -13990 - - -10160 - - -9083 - - -13026 - - -14838 ODpotential blCL 18363 - - 15588 - - 17414 - - 18523 - - 19212 blCL maxRH 55 - - 32 - - 26 - - 25 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 56.9 - - 64.1 - - 56.3 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.7 - - 28.5 - - 23.2 - - 23.7 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 57.6 - - 64.3 - - 60.5 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.7 - - 27.4 - - 22.0 - - 22.7 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - 40 - - 104 - - -6 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 600 - - 3503 - - 669 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96312 2 352 11 313 6 336 5 019 10 288 96312 89145 13 348 10 027 2 027 4 004 12 358 89145 83592 8 349 3 023 6 045 13 020 17 035 83592 78963 11 338 10 023 9 039 16 019 21 040 78963 74968 12 321 21 337 15 358 19 350 22 017 74968 71458 17 306 28 310 24 341 16 348 13 001 71458 68304 23 306 28 302 29 328 19 343 16 349 68304 65431 33 309 29 305 33 311 29 316 25 326 65431 62780 33 302 30 302 30 297 29 299 30 317 62780 60209 34 289 27 301 30 302 28 292 33 313 60209 57522 37 288 29 296 36 297 31 292 34 300 57522 54724 44 296 32 291 37 291 33 292 35 291 54724 52042 48 299 38 297 37 296 39 299 37 296 52042 49618 52 296 48 297 47 297 46 302 38 303 49618 47446 54 292 56 293 56 293 47 303 42 311 47446 45490 58 292 59 292 55 290 47 313 41 307 45490 43702 63 293 59 294 49 298 54 316 30 308 43702 42043 66 293 58 297 50 298 54 305 33 355 42043 40499 65 296 56 297 43 301 43 294 49 358 40499 39058 64 301 50 296 40 321 38 306 40 358 39058 37712 66 303 46 310 42 328 39 316 30 028 37712 36425 67 303 47 318 41 326 35 328 37 053 36425 35127 68 301 45 314 33 337 35 349 46 059 35127 33791 68 299 45 313 34 000 39 002 47 055 33791 32423 67 296 46 313 39 006 41 006 46 046 32423 31007 64 294 45 316 40 004 42 009 41 043 31007 29531 59 294 42 315 38 004 41 011 37 042 29531 27998 56 295 39 310 36 006 37 014 33 032 27998 26412 54 294 39 305 36 005 36 020 32 022 26412 24774 50 293 39 299 34 004 35 024 32 014 24774 23090 46 294 39 297 32 007 34 024 28 007 23090 21349 43 297 36 301 29 010 34 022 26 002 21349 19544 40 301 31 307 26 001 33 025 26 002 19544 17710 36 306 28 317 23 346 29 030 25 009 17710 15944 31 309 26 328 20 344 25 027 22 017 15944 14341 24 312 24 335 18 352 20 022 18 024 14341 12915 20 320 20 340 16 001 17 026 15 023 12915 11643 18 334 18 345 14 011 14 031 14 019 11643 10502 16 348 15 349 11 020 11 030 14 016 10502 9479 13 358 12 356 8 034 9 031 14 018 9479 8562 11 008 9 008 8*053 7 039 14 023 8562 7743 9 018 7 032 9*065 8 051 16 032 7743 7013 6 027 8 053 11 068 11 058 18 042 7013 6352 5 045 10 063 11 069 14 061 22 051 6352 5763 6 063 11*064 11 069 17*062 26 057 5763 5268 8 063 9*057 11 068 18*060 28 058 5268 4887 10 051 5 043 10 068 15 059 24 055 4887 4624 10 032 3 031 10 069 12 057 17 049 4624 4465 9*016 2 019 9 069 8 055 10*039 4465 4373 6*003 2 008 7 070 4 050 4*003 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography