DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1006z - - 1904z - - 1908z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 67.9 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 455 - - 132 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9980 - - 9479 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 12485 - - 11247 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 14808 - - 14307 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1551 - - 3035 - - 9240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 691 - - 451 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 193 - - 198 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 24 - - 26 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2383 - - 1118 - - -6068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12426 - - 13189 - - 10443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1540 - - 124 - - -9038 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13268 - - 14183 - - 13413 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 67.9 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.4 - - 24.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.7 - - 68.0 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.2 - - 24.8 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 455 - - 132 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9980 - - 9479 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 33 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96788 18 289 20 289 15 303 96788 89543 7 306 9 302 8 341 89543 83982 7 344 8 007 6 034 83982 79351 9 356 11 023 8 039 79351 75357 8 006 8 009 9 016 75357 71828 7 349 9 344 14 346 71828 68650 6 343 10 323 16 326 68650 65742 12 334 12 327 14 318 65742 63050 19 322 17 314 19 308 63050 60454 22 308 19 303 18 302 60454 57748 29 301 28 301 25 306 57748 54925 36 297 35 299 39 294 54925 52217 53 302 50 299 45 286 52217 49774 60 297 57 299 57 291 49774 47589 67 301 72 293 65 290 47589 45602 74 298 72 295 72 292 45602 43767 79 302 82 303 84 292 43767 42062 92 303 97 300 91 292 42062 40464 101 300 104 297 97 290 40464 38961 100 298 105 296 101 288 38961 37545 94 297 102 297 104 287 37545 36185 88 293 100 298 104 288 36185 34818 80 291 91 294 95 292 34818 33424 65 300 80 291 78 288 33424 32018 44 304 58 304 66 289 32018 30589 28 290 41 302 52 305 30589 29118 22 275 31 296 36 306 29118 27603 19 268 29 292 30 299 27603 26040 16 267 26 298 27 290 26040 24427 13 265 21 296 24 287 24427 22766 9 264 17 283 20 288 22766 21056 5 276 14 270 17 279 21056 19292 6 284 11 258 13 275 19292 17509 8 276 9 289 7 301 17509 15797 6*259 9*289 6 308 15797 14240 5*255 8*279 5 287 14240 12849 5 246 7 259 6 258 12849 11603 5 217 7 215 8 237 11603 10482 7 189 8 202 10 227 10482 9472 8 185 9 193 11 220 9472 8565 9 183 10 189 12 215 8565 7753 10 182 11 185 13 211 7753 7027 10 182 12 183 14 207 7027 6368 10 181 12 182 14 204 6368 5778 11 181 12 181 14 200 5778 5281 11 180 12 180 13 197 5281 4896 11 181 12 180 10 194 4896 4629 10 181 12 180 7 189 4629 4467 10 181 11 179 5*182 4467 4374 9 181 10 180 2*161 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography