DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 57.6 - - 51.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 110 - - -30 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 666 - - 1851 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 5508 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5494 - - 6679 - - 5016 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1090 - - 3357 - - 1182 - - 689 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 250 - - 27 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 20 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 077 - - 062 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 8 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -25 - - -31 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5170 - - -8471 - - -10024 - - -9433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10664 - - 15151 - - 15041 - - 13806 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13860 - - -16947 - - -20662 - - -20720 ODpotential blCL - - - 19354 - - 23626 - - 25678 - - 25093 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 60 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 57.6 - - 51.4 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 6.7 - - 1.6 - - 0.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 58.0 - - 54.2 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 5.6 - - 0.5 - - -1.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 110 - - -30 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 666 - - 1851 - - 188 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96341 29 056 15 043 28 022 22 018 96341 89216 14 041 14 029 22 018 29 016 89216 83705 5 023 14 006 12 001 25 004 83705 79129 5 354 15 002 8 352 17 347 79129 75175 16 346 19 349 11 002 15 338 75175 71652 21 323 22 337 15 350 17 336 71652 68454 23 313 20 313 19 341 18 333 68454 65530 23 284 23 304 21 328 16 324 65530 62834 23 277 27 290 25 312 19 320 62834 60230 27 279 27 281 25 299 24 310 60230 57514 26 274 31 265 29 280 27 297 57514 54687 23 270 30 261 31 269 27 284 54687 51982 24 266 27 275 29 276 27 273 51982 49541 26 271 31 271 33 269 23 281 49541 47359 32 280 32 264 36 262 30 287 47359 45410 46 269 35 271 45 263 47 277 45410 43660 59 269 44 275 51 266 58 269 43660 42056 73 269 59 272 61 275 66 275 42056 40554 94 252 72 262 76 276 81 273 40554 39132 95 249 75 266 83 273 83 269 39132 37784 86 251 81 270 85 267 84 270 37784 36482 88 259 85 264 83 265 82 273 36482 35166 91 267 80 262 81 269 77 277 35166 33810 87 270 75 265 71 268 70 276 33810 32419 80 271 72 267 65 265 60 271 32419 30980 73 272 65 266 62 270 56 273 30980 29489 51 280 58 267 54 269 49 267 29489 27948 26 275 54 271 48 268 44 268 27948 26354 25 261 43 276 44 274 35 285 26354 24707 33 259 31 269 35 288 25 278 24707 23010 33 265 24 265 20 289 19 263 23010 21262 25 271 17 266 8 293 12 266 21262 19458 11 250 13 263 2 337 3 071 19458 17631 4 173 7 256 5 074 11 093 17631 15877 6 148 1 074 5 085 13 098 15877 14279 14 119 4 149 9 115 12 100 14279 12854 16 119 10 115 14 103 14 100 12854 11581 14 129 14 110 15 102 17 100 11581 10444 13 137 11 121 11 113 15 107 10444 9428 13 139 11 136 9 133 11 127 9428 8520 14 137 11 134 9 137 12 138 8520 7710 15 125 13 118 11 129 15 130 7710 6985 18 107 16*101 16 110 20 114 6985 6330 21 093 19*087 21 093 26 098 6330 5747 23*082 21 077 26 078 31 084 5747 5258 22*077 21 076 26*070 32 074 5258 4881 19 074 20 075 23*066 27 067 4881 4621 16 073 19 074 19 062 20 060 4621 4463 13 072 17 074 14 059 12*051 4463 4372 8 071 12 074 7 054 5*018 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography