DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.2 - - 63.0 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 124 - - -3 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 794 - - 2083 - - 590 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5732 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5622 - - 6911 - - 5418 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 1966 - - 3301 - - 1839 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 268 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 157 - - 118 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - -2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5048 - - -5808 - - -6226 - - -6160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10670 - - 12720 - - 11645 - - 10535 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12020 - - -11394 - - -12682 - - -14018 ODpotential blCL - - - 17642 - - 18305 - - 18100 - - 18392 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 79 - - 70 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.2 - - 63.0 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 27.9 - - 27.7 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.2 - - 67.6 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 27.0 - - 26.7 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 124 - - -3 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 794 - - 2083 - - 590 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96185 26 299 18 292 29 304 17 301 96185 89078 29 294 27 295 26 302 14 315 89078 83582 20 284 27 296 19 300 17 308 83582 79009 16 267 22 285 19 276 19 296 79009 75060 19 279 21 281 21 276 20 295 75060 71595 23 294 21 294 20 282 18 301 71595 68505 25 273 23 274 24 286 23 300 68505 65684 21 265 22 254 27 258 23 273 65684 63068 25 262 25 252 28 250 26 242 63068 60531 36 251 34 252 30 253 31 240 60531 57872 47 244 43 249 41 249 40 242 57872 55107 51 239 50 242 50 241 50 240 55107 52461 50 238 54 240 56 239 57 236 52461 50067 53 245 58 242 62 242 61 233 50067 47904 59 247 64 242 67 242 63 233 47904 45925 66 246 69 241 70 240 66 235 45925 44096 68 245 70 240 70 236 67 233 44096 42391 63 245 67 240 67 235 67 231 42391 40808 70 252 68 244 68 242 68 241 40808 39344 75 257 71 250 73 250 74 254 39344 37984 69 258 69 254 74 254 73 257 37984 36682 60 256 67 258 70 253 66 254 36682 35365 53 253 63 258 64 256 59 252 35365 34006 48 249 53 254 60 257 57 249 34006 32610 46 249 50 242 54 252 54 245 32610 31172 44 249 49 242 50 245 53 240 31172 29681 42 246 46 243 45 241 49 237 29681 28137 41 246 43 243 41 246 45 239 28137 26538 38 246 39 244 39 249 41 241 26538 24887 37 246 35 244 36 246 38 242 24887 23189 37 241 34 241 33 241 34 239 23189 21438 38 235 36 238 31 237 31 235 21438 19628 38 233 37 237 31 236 30 232 19628 17792 35 235 35 237 31 236 30 229 17792 16027 30 237 31 236 29 234 29 226 16027 14420 25 234 26 234 26 229 27 224 14420 12987 22 229 22 229 23 224 24 223 12987 11704 20 224 20 224 20 219 22 221 11704 10555 19 222 18 221 17 217 19 217 10555 9524 18 224 17 220 15 216 16 208 9524 8601 16 224 15 217 13 211 14 195 8601 7779 13 220 12 209 11 199 13 180 7779 7045 10 206 9*193 9 183 13 170 7045 6381 7 183 6*166 8 171 11 165 6381 5787 5*142 5 154 7*159 9 155 5787 5286 4*104 5 152 6*141 7 135 5286 4899 4 094 5 155 5 121 7 108 4899 4630 3 112 5 159 4 107 8 086 4630 4467 2 121 4 160 3 095 8*071 4467 4373 2 127 4 160 3 088 7*064 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography