DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 52.8 - - 57.3 - - 54.2 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 38 - - 22 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 2570 - - 214 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5540 - - 7398 - - 5042 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 869 - - 1269 - - 1828 - - 3643 - - 1727 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 140 - - 194 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 283 - - 300 - - 294 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -685 - - -239 - - 1100 - - -508 - - -1022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5058 - - 5780 - - 6299 - - 5550 - - 5396 sfcLCL ODpotential -7160 - - -3918 - - -3123 - - -4688 - - -6596 ODpotential blCL 11533 - - 9458 - - 10521 - - 9730 - - 10970 blCL maxRH 60 - - 67 - - 67 - - 59 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 52.8 - - 57.3 - - 54.2 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 42.7 - - 44.8 - - 45.0 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 53.3 - - 58.2 - - 57.8 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 41.5 - - 43.4 - - 43.7 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 38 - - 22 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 2570 - - 214 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96433 11 277 22 280 22 299 11 258 22 284 96433 89287 9 354 8 304 4 317 10 254 15 286 89287 83768 5 357 1 193 5 254 11 299 8 302 83768 79188 7 297 3 263 8 257 12 295 6 299 79188 75248 10 256 11 255 14 272 17 296 7 321 75248 71758 10 274 12 236 17 260 19 281 16 296 71758 68583 17 271 13 239 19 251 20 262 16 267 68583 65650 25 262 17 254 18 254 19 253 20 274 65650 62932 24 256 23 263 25 268 27 266 30 278 62932 60306 25 265 27 261 31 273 29 256 35 269 60306 57563 28 273 30 269 29 266 29 261 30 258 57563 54704 32 274 31 267 33 269 32 277 32 273 54704 51972 33 271 33 270 40 276 45 282 43 274 51972 49515 33 278 37 275 49 278 58 275 56 271 49515 47309 37 283 44 277 52 274 62 270 62 269 47309 45300 37 285 44 277 51 274 62 269 60 270 45300 43461 39 290 44 283 55 277 60 267 58 274 43461 41773 38 294 47 287 59 277 58 269 55 279 41773 40213 41 299 49 286 57 279 54 273 52 283 40213 38763 45 301 48 285 51 280 48 276 51 285 38763 37414 44 301 47 285 46 282 43 280 49 289 37414 36127 41 300 44 284 44 284 39 287 49 293 36127 34835 38 301 41 285 41 286 39 295 50 294 34835 33507 38 302 39 290 40 286 41 300 51 292 33507 32144 36 302 38 292 39 289 42 300 49 291 32144 30735 33 303 36 293 39 297 41 297 47 290 30735 29270 32 302 35 294 39 302 39 294 45 291 29270 27750 33 303 34 298 37 304 36 294 45 298 27750 26175 32 308 33 304 35 305 33 299 40 309 26175 24553 30 316 31 311 34 306 31 307 36 314 24553 22885 29 322 30 317 35 307 31 314 31 320 22885 21166 29 326 29 319 35 309 31 318 30 340 21166 19389 29 329 26 320 32 313 31 323 31 350 19389 17583 28 330 23 321 28 319 30 329 30 356 17583 15845 27 332 23 322 26 326 28 335 28 001 15845 14262 24 337 22 329 24 333 26 341 25 003 14262 12850 21 345 21 337 21 338 24 348 22 004 12850 11588 19 352 18 344 19 343 21 353 19 007 11588 10457 16 354 16 346 17 347 19 356 17 011 10457 9442 15 353 14 346 16 352 16 357 15 014 9442 8533 14 352 13 348 14 354 14 355 14 015 8533 7724 13 351 12 353 12*348 12 352 13 013 7724 7001 12 350 11 358 10*331 11 348 14 010 7001 6346 12 351 10 359 8 312 10 345 14 008 6346 5761 11 349 8*347 7 298 9 340 13 008 5761 5269 10 345 6*310 6 287 7*332 11 008 5269 4889 9 335 6 279 6 280 5*317 9 007 4889 4625 8 323 5 276 5 276 3 293 7 359 4625 4465 6*319 5 273 5 275 2 266 5*353 4465 4373 4*321 4 271 4 271 1 236 4*348 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography