DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/01 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.6 - - 90.6 - - 96.2 - - 95.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 135 - - 457 - - 514 - - 111 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1743 - - 5898 - - 13562 - - 13313 - - 184 BL Depth Hcrit 5519 - - 9171 - - 15510 - - 14030 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 10726 - - 18390 - - 18141 - - 5012 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1587 - - 5610 - - 3002 - - 3770 - - 12384 Hgt.Variab. W* 257 - - 580 - - 796 - - 475 - - 14 W* B/S 9 - - 11 - - 56 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 147 - - 182 - - 151 - - 141 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 1 - - 17 - - 8 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 21 - - 20 - - -23 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5582 - - -2762 - - 2970 - - 1723 - - -10068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12154 - - 13489 - - 15420 - - 16419 - - 15081 sfcLCL ODpotential -9438 - - -4434 - - 1514 - - 842 - - -12014 ODpotential blCL 16009 - - 15160 - - 16876 - - 17299 - - 17026 blCL maxRH 44 - - 92 - - 85 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 540 - - 680 - - 300 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m 81.6 - - 90.6 - - 96.2 - - 95.4 - - 89.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 46.2 - - 43.0 - - 37.9 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.4 - - 88.7 - - 94.1 - - 95.4 - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 46.1 - - 43.0 - - 37.9 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 135 - - 457 - - 514 - - 111 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1743 - - 5898 - - 13562 - - 13313 - - 184 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 67 - - 38 - - 99 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98789 41 106 38 109 23 110 24 090 35 078 98789 91359 33 097 36 100 31 113 24 105 24 086 91359 85635 27 091 31 099 35 107 26 109 20 087 85635 80865 24 085 20 099 28 114 29 109 22 104 80865 76740 21 079 16 095 19 104 26 112 23 098 76740 73124 14 082 9 079 19 080 25 108 23 105 73124 69887 20 112 9 118 17 069 22 090 25 104 69887 66920 25 107 18 123 12 104 18 076 27 092 66920 64179 21 094 17 099 20 121 12 088 17 087 64179 61547 23 084 13 106 12 094 11 098 10 114 61547 58827 15 079 11 130 7 105 7 098 8 094 58827 56027 14 101 10 131 7 159 5 136 5 114 56027 53361 4 030 11 108 7 147 11 166 7 176 53361 50956 7 334 9 088 7 126 13 166 10 181 50956 48788 5 316 2 080 9 125 14 163 13 178 48788 46802 5 224 6 208 8 156 13 167 15 176 46802 44962 8 184 14 194 16 198 15 187 17 190 44962 43245 10 177 18 188 21 198 19 196 21 191 43245 41633 11 196 18 199 23 200 20 201 22 189 41633 40118 11 216 17 209 23 204 21 205 23 195 40118 38695 9 239 15 214 21 205 22 211 24 206 38695 37333 10 264 15 219 19 210 23 221 25 213 37333 35968 13 265 17 230 20 217 23 227 23 215 35968 34574 12 271 17 232 18 221 19 229 20 221 34574 33151 12 287 13 234 14 230 15 227 17 229 33151 31689 11 286 9 239 12 232 12 223 13 225 31689 30173 10 267 7 244 10 225 11 216 9 213 30173 28609 12 262 7 235 9 217 11 207 7 211 28609 26992 10 270 7 221 7 193 10 199 7 198 26992 25325 3 271 3 193 9 162 7 196 1 131 25325 23611 7 172 10 155 9 166 3 145 2 045 23611 21844 7 127 10 164 6 168 10 073 7 136 21844 20015 9 109 5 153 5*085 9 076 10 144 20015 18161 10 114 5 097 11*072 7*079 9 158 18161 16378 4 116 5 034 9 071 5*084 9 172 16378 14752 3 021 6 001 4 073 4 087 8 181 14752 13295 7 019 7 006 3 083 4 091 6 187 13295 11986 9 021 4 352 2 095 3 105 4 196 11986 10807 7 026 2*212 2 180 3 130 2 221 10807 9745 2 258 8*186 5 201 4 151 2 321 9745 8790 9 219 10 183 6 203 4 162 3 350 8790 7936 12 213 10 183 7 205 5 168 5 357 7936 7171 11*198 10 181 7 204 5 172 8 360 7171 6477 10*176 10 181 8 205 6 176 10 001 6477 5856 7 152 10 181 8 205 6 178 13 002 5856 5332 4 129 10 181 8 206 6 181 16*002 5332 4926 4 126 10 181 8 206 6 180 17*002 4926 4645 4 127 9 182 8 206 6 182 16 002 4645 4474 3 127 9 182 8 205 6 182 13 002 4474 4375 3 128 8 182 7 206 6 183 8 001 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography