DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 57.5 - - 51.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 93 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 3021 - - 331 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 6255 - - 4356 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5390 - - 7849 - - 5159 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1539 - - 1532 - - 2055 - - 550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 282 - - 33 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 073 - - 084 - - 064 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -8 - - -25 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4207 - - -4814 - - -6918 - - -6790 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9597 - - 12664 - - 12077 - - 11164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12534 - - -12219 - - -14839 - - -16352 ODpotential blCL - - - 17924 - - 20068 - - 19998 - - 20725 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 33 - - 39 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.0 - - 57.5 - - 51.6 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 17.5 - - 14.6 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 57.7 - - 53.7 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 16.3 - - 13.5 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 93 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 3021 - - 331 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96071 38 293 28 274 43 272 45 300 96071 89127 30 301 22 317 12 345 9 312 89127 83698 20 318 14 327 14 348 17 360 83698 79158 11 327 7 000 10 343 17 355 79158 75250 8 323 14 353 17 028 7 065 75250 71775 4 246 16 316 22 004 16 036 71775 68617 5 119 11 257 20 311 21 006 68617 65713 17 345 8 358 13 295 22 343 65713 63023 20 317 18 328 15 307 26 319 63023 60422 11 319 22 316 21 299 21 291 60422 57680 9 319 22 293 22 302 17 282 57680 54798 15 304 23 281 33 291 29 297 54798 52043 22 303 26 277 36 282 33 298 52043 49568 26 307 26 289 31 286 29 299 49568 47350 30 308 25 304 26 289 25 292 47350 45337 27 302 23 309 18 292 17 288 45337 43497 16 304 22 326 16 327 15 331 43497 41809 12 357 26 356 26 342 22 353 41809 40261 28 024 32 005 31 355 31 354 40261 38835 40 026 33 012 36 003 37 353 38835 37509 38 027 32 020 31 004 32 001 37509 36233 35 039 32 022 26 009 23 008 36233 34943 37 045 28 025 26 008 21 003 34943 33613 36 051 26 032 27 007 24 002 33613 32251 32 063 25 035 25 006 23 013 32251 30840 25 060 21 036 25 008 21 020 30840 29370 18 065 17 034 25 012 21 024 29370 27844 16 069 14 039 17 020 19 020 27844 26266 15 056 13 048 7 057 13 025 26266 24637 16 053 12 056 7 087 7 069 24637 22959 16 057 12 082 5 071 5 050 22959 21227 13 064 12 102 6 052 7 040 21227 19434 11 076 11 111 5 060 8 047 19434 17612 10 088 10 112 6 090 7 062 17612 15858 9 096 9 103 8 097 7 084 15858 14261 9 113 9 106 9 094 8 090 14261 12837 10 125 9 111 9 097 9 090 12837 11565 11 125 9 112 9 103 11 093 11565 10428 12 132 10 119 9 107 10 094 10428 9411 13 140 10 125 7 111 7 094 9411 8503 14 143 10*119 6 104 5 102 8503 7697 12 134 8*103 5 097 5 117 7697 6976 11 123 8 091 5 098 8 121 6976 6324 12 106 9 082 7 083 14 106 6324 5742 13*087 9 078 14 072 21 092 5742 5255 13*075 9 079 18*066 26 077 5255 4879 10 072 8 079 17*064 24 065 4879 4620 9 071 8 080 15 064 19 056 4620 4463 7 070 7 081 13 063 12*048 4463 4372 5 072 6 082 7 063 5*019 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography