DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.0 - - 91.9 - - 98.1 - - 96.8 - - 86.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 126 - - 478 - - 555 - - 261 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2170 - - 8157 - - 11871 - - 11623 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5782 - - 11015 - - 14148 - - 13477 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top 6998 - - 12985 - - 16699 - - 16451 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2523 - - 2183 - - 1802 - - 1586 - - 9096 Hgt.Variab. W* 270 - - 655 - - 781 - - 604 - - 0 W* B/S 18 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 238 - - 250 - - 254 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 19 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 15 - - 26 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9208 - - -3595 - - -1981 - - -1920 - - -11972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16207 - - 16581 - - 18681 - - 18372 - - 16349 sfcLCL ODpotential -14090 - - -6621 - - -4063 - - -4585 - - -16312 ODpotential blCL 21088 - - 19606 - - 20762 - - 21036 - - 20688 blCL maxRH 47 - - 42 - - 49 - - 44 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 82.0 - - 91.9 - - 98.1 - - 96.8 - - 86.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 33.7 - - 29.8 - - 30.1 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.5 - - 90.9 - - 96.1 - - 96.1 - - 89.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 33.7 - - 29.7 - - 30.1 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 126 - - 478 - - 555 - - 261 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2170 - - 8157 - - 11871 - - 11623 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98809 38 100 46 103 42 109 40 104 33 099 98809 91385 35 097 37 098 37 096 36 105 32 100 91385 85643 35 094 31 093 33 097 30 103 32 098 85643 80876 33 092 29 102 29 100 29 096 31 100 80876 76783 29 092 29 105 24 105 27 091 29 101 76783 73179 27 098 26 099 24 108 24 098 28 100 73179 69920 22 102 23 099 22 110 20 105 26 101 69920 66941 20 110 19 100 22 118 17 111 24 100 66941 64201 14 106 15 119 22 113 16 117 16 095 64201 61556 15 124 11 121 11 098 13 132 12 111 61556 58803 7 123 9 131 8 121 12 126 9 119 58803 55964 8 200 2 175 7 172 5 160 8 132 55964 53279 14 197 11 226 6 206 6 228 5 223 53279 50893 8 199 13 211 11 217 16 210 8 232 50893 48767 8 269 10 239 12 256 7 231 6 243 48767 46831 21 255 21 253 19 264 15 294 10 277 46831 45041 24 247 24 247 21 255 21 284 14 277 45041 43363 21 247 21 247 21 253 23 276 19 267 43363 41786 21 257 19 255 21 259 25 273 22 265 41786 40302 24 264 19 263 25 268 25 275 22 269 40302 38905 26 268 22 270 28 271 28 271 21 267 38905 37561 28 268 26 271 29 270 29 267 19 251 37561 36203 30 264 30 268 29 268 29 270 20 243 36203 34804 31 259 33 264 32 269 29 271 21 241 34804 33369 31 254 33 260 33 265 27 262 22 244 33369 31884 30 248 31 255 34 257 29 253 23 248 31884 30339 28 242 30 248 34 251 34 250 24 252 30339 28735 24 240 28 240 32 246 34 250 28 252 28735 27077 18 234 21 234 25 242 25 256 27 259 27077 25376 12 229 13 227 14 236 14 265 14 280 25376 23639 10 251 3 235 8 231 9 260 3 302 23639 21858 11 245 4 245 6 233 5 251 4 286 21858 20022 8 234 7 240 8 241 6 253 2 271 20022 18157 10 238 11 247 11*245 7*241 2 229 18157 16361 16 253 17 252 11*242 7*225 6 218 16361 14728 20 256 21 256 11 240 7 219 7 205 14728 13269 22 255 22*257 11 239 7 221 7 194 13269 11960 22 251 21*256 11 243 8 240 6 203 11960 10782 22 247 17 251 12 247 9 252 6 240 10782 9723 21 244 13 246 13 251 11 259 9 267 9723 8771 19 240 10 239 13 254 12 263 12 275 8771 7921 16 238 8 229 13 256 12 265 15 277 7921 7160 12*233 7 223 14 258 13 267 16 278 7160 6469 7*220 7 216 14 259 13 269 18 278 6469 5851 3 160 6 210 14 261 13 270 18 278 5851 5328 4 103 6 205 14 261 13 271 18 278 5328 4925 4 100 5 201 14 261 13 271 16 280 4925 4644 4 098 5 199 13 262 13 271 13 281 4644 4474 4 098 5 198 13 262 12 271 10*285 4474 4375 3 099 5 197 12 261 11 271 6*288 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography