DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.2 - - 36.3 - - 37.1 - - 35.9 - - 31.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - 36 - - 27 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 21 - - 2080 - - 4368 - - 162 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit 69 - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 Hcrit BL Top 86 - - 2145 - - 4433 - - 227 - - 86 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1219 - - 2565 - - 1377 - - 5212 - - 1135 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 183 - - 220 - - 35 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 21 - - 21 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 274 - - 281 - - 273 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -784 - - 224 - - 1914 - - -1582 - - -755 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 870 - - 1921 - - 2519 - - 1809 - - 841 sfcLCL ODpotential -2462 - - -746 - - 728 - - -2087 - - -2058 ODpotential blCL 2548 - - 2891 - - 3705 - - 2314 - - 2144 blCL maxRH 73 - - 77 - - 100 - - 84 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.2 - - 36.3 - - 37.1 - - 35.9 - - 31.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 28.4 - - 26.6 - - 28.6 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.8 - - 36.3 - - 37.1 - - 36.7 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 27.3 - - 25.4 - - 27.5 - - 27.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - 36 - - 27 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 21 - - 2080 - - 4368 - - 162 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 99 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96181 25 257 28 266 19 265 25 256 28 253 96181 89062 23 255 21 264 17 263 22 237 17 258 89062 83506 15 223 25 235 22 252 23 233 29 250 83506 78883 21 242 24 214 28 246 29 251 25 240 78883 74878 21 235 20 232 28 225 27 240 22 246 74878 71309 27 251 22 246 25 242 27 244 39 250 71309 68085 32 251 31 258 27 237 30 236 36 232 68085 65085 39 253 32 249 10 229 28 203 25 221 65085 62257 32 238 23 213 29 285 35 285 42 279 62257 59536 23 229 49 268 59 267 59 273 59 278 59536 56722 48 249 73 249 62 249 62 259 62 270 56722 53803 66 243 65 240 54 251 61 251 66 262 53803 51009 55 245 52 252 58 259 60 253 70 259 51009 48499 48 263 59 262 64 263 68 262 71 258 48499 46260 55 267 64 266 70 267 75 267 69 263 46260 44228 60 264 65 268 72 272 74 272 70 270 44228 42355 61 265 67 271 78 276 76 277 80 271 42355 40626 60 268 71 275 86 276 82 278 89 270 40626 39041 61 274 77 277 90 275 90 276 94 273 39041 37581 67 280 86 277 93 277 99 275 99 277 37581 36225 78 282 92 277 101 280 106 276 104 281 36225 34923 87 278 95 278 108 280 112 279 108 281 34923 33599 88 277 94 280 110 279 115 281 108 281 33599 32220 94 279 95 282 105 280 117 283 105 284 32220 30791 97 275 99 282 99 283 116 285 109 288 30791 29298 88 279 102 282 99 286 106 288 112 288 29298 27727 98 288 105 282 97 284 102 290 107 286 27727 26081 109 286 105 283 92 283 100 287 96 283 26081 24357 105 282 103 286 88 283 100 291 85 281 24357 22554 94 279 102 290 85 286 87 293 75 281 22554 20671 84 278 98 293 83 289 73 291 66 280 20671 18703 76 280 90 294 76 293 66 289 58 284 18703 16646 66 282 75 289 69 299 60 287 51 282 16646 14547 54 281 62 285 65 299 54 288 44 281 14547 12522 47 280 51 286 60 297 49 292 37 279 12522 10677 43 279 42 286 49 294 44 296 33 276 10677 9048 38 279 38 290 43 297 38 296 30 275 9048 7617 32 286 35 295 39 300 34 296 27 287 7617 6358 28 299 31 301 31 300 30 295 24 295 6358 5252 30 311 29 307 25*292 25 291 21 294 5252 4284 35 315 29 306 24*288 22 288 18 288 4284 3440 39 310 29 302 23 286 22 287 16 284 3440 2697 38 306 27*292 22 281 20 282 16 286 2697 2034 34 301 25*283 21 279 19 280 16 287 2034 1448 30 295 23 276 21 278 18 278 16 289 1448 960 27 290 21 272 20 277 17 277 15 290 960 587 23 286 20 270 19 276 16 276 14 289 587 330 18 280 19 269 18 276 14*275 11 286 330 174 14*276 16 269 16 276 11*274 9 282 174 86 7*269 13 268 12 275 8 273 4*271 86 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography