DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.5 - - 34.8 - - 40.6 - - 41.8 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 78 - - 80 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 12 - - 382 - - 1622 - - 348 - - 13 BL Depth Hcrit 60 - - 61 - - 61 - - 62 - - 61 Hcrit BL Top 77 - - 447 - - 1687 - - 413 - - 78 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 65 - - 1491 - - 930 - - 2360 - - 84 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 126 - - 206 - - 36 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 170 - - 191 - - 201 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -916 - - -1605 - - -418 - - -1635 - - -665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 993 - - 2052 - - 2105 - - 2048 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential -18399 - - -14380 - - -9652 - - -9692 - - -10076 ODpotential blCL 18476 - - 14827 - - 11339 - - 10105 - - 10154 blCL maxRH 56 - - 82 - - 86 - - 74 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.5 - - 34.8 - - 40.6 - - 41.8 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.2 - - 26.7 - - 32.1 - - 33.6 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.3 - - 34.4 - - 40.1 - - 42.2 - - 37.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 25.8 - - 31.3 - - 32.7 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 78 - - 80 - - -8 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 12 - - 382 - - 1622 - - 348 - - 13 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 28 - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97680 33 190 30 199 28 195 23 198 16 169 97680 90300 24 194 22 188 22 194 21 199 14 188 90300 84569 20 198 21 189 22 206 21 224 14 246 84569 79809 21 238 19 218 21 218 23 228 19 244 79809 75676 28 232 22 232 23 234 25 231 25 233 75676 72002 34 234 26 239 27 249 27 238 30 240 72002 68692 33 247 25 232 32 242 31 245 31 244 68692 65677 31 259 24 244 32 236 34 242 29 249 65677 62889 40 268 30 269 30 252 32 244 28 255 62889 60181 48 258 40 273 34 261 33 260 34 256 60181 57352 47 249 45 267 39 258 46 264 40 256 57352 54421 47 255 52 257 49 259 57 260 53 260 54421 51646 51 260 57 246 61 255 68 252 65 256 51646 49176 55 258 62 247 75 250 75 249 72 255 49176 46981 65 255 71 249 82 245 81 249 85 252 46981 45001 79 257 76 251 81 247 85 250 89 248 45001 43189 88 258 81 256 85 255 89 250 90 250 43189 41514 91 257 94 259 94 257 94 251 93 253 41514 39956 98 258 107 256 104 254 99 252 99 254 39956 38505 112 258 111 251 108 249 108 250 107 250 38505 37146 121 257 112 248 103 246 109 247 108 245 37146 35830 119 256 107 248 103 245 103 245 105 244 35830 34485 108 256 101 250 101 244 99 248 99 247 34485 33082 95 254 96 248 97 243 96 251 96 250 33082 31624 87 252 92 243 93 240 94 250 93 249 31624 30094 81 252 89 240 89 237 90 247 88 246 30094 28479 74 252 84 241 87 235 84 246 83 245 28479 26778 69 244 79 237 84 236 80 246 79 245 26778 24988 68 243 75 235 78 239 76 246 75 245 24988 23112 66 241 77 237 75 240 70 245 69 246 23112 21159 66 239 74 240 75 237 65 240 62 244 21159 19127 67 241 69 243 72 237 63 237 58 240 19127 17012 64 246 64 246 63 241 64 241 54 242 17012 14862 56 248 57 246 54 241 58 240 50 243 14862 12802 48 248 48 244 47 240 49 239 44 242 12802 10933 39 244 41 238 44 238 44 240 40 242 10933 9280 30 236 33 227 42 234 42 235 40 242 9280 7818 27 226 31 222 38 225 39 232 42 238 7818 6528 27 216 29 224 37 220 37 230 43 234 6528 5389 24 216 26 224 34 219 35 229 41 234 5389 4386 20 219 24 223 29 221 32 223 36 233 4386 3509 19 213 26 214 28 216 27 219 32 231 3509 2738 16 209 26 206 26 211 21 207 27 224 2738 2056 12 207 22 201 20*204 18 204 22 224 2056 1460 8 189 17 196 14*197 13 202 16 215 1460 965 6 165 15 188 10 191 11 201 14 211 965 585 7 154 12*177 9 189 10*202 13 211 585 325 7 138 8*170 8 188 9*201 11 209 325 167 7*120 8 169 8 188 7 201 8*203 167 78 4*117 6 170 7 187 5 201 5*200 78 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography