DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 60.8 - - 65.8 - - 66.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 149 - - 168 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 23 - - 2268 - - 3885 - - 3910 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit 71 - - 1164 - - 2384 - - 72 - - 72 Hcrit BL Top 88 - - 2333 - - 3950 - - 3975 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1508 - - 884 - - 1003 - - 1527 - - 217 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 287 - - 356 - - 133 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 20 - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 011 - - 025 - - 021 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1371 - - -1073 - - -1300 - - -1246 - - -2959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1460 - - 3406 - - 5250 - - 5221 - - 3047 sfcLCL ODpotential -6797 - - -7037 - - -8301 - - -9479 - - -5260 ODpotential blCL 6885 - - 9370 - - 12251 - - 13454 - - 5348 blCL maxRH 77 - - 73 - - 78 - - 85 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 60.8 - - 65.8 - - 66.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 46.6 - - 43.4 - - 44.2 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 60.1 - - 64.7 - - 66.5 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.8 - - 45.6 - - 42.1 - - 43.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 149 - - 168 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 23 - - 2268 - - 3885 - - 3910 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98024 19 063 13 088 13 058 5 019 7 033 98024 90676 12 057 14 048 10 085 8 065 11 033 90676 84998 10 053 13 066 15 088 8 048 15 029 84998 80295 8 045 13 068 15 069 10 044 17 040 80295 76252 7 050 9 084 13 073 6 083 11 044 76252 72680 10 071 9 077 6 078 7 072 9 087 72680 69435 3 350 7 080 6 148 6 338 7 039 69435 66452 12 268 4 099 10 169 7 263 9 301 66452 63705 16 228 6 278 5 191 8 219 8 264 63705 61062 18 228 12 259 10 257 14 255 10 275 61062 58317 13 245 12 248 10 244 17 236 15 254 58317 55481 37 266 37 264 29 259 26 249 27 252 55481 52790 54 244 52 248 41 247 37 242 34 235 52790 50371 53 228 50 244 45 251 40 248 36 238 50371 48200 55 247 60 251 60 253 58 256 51 254 48200 46228 78 255 76 249 78 247 77 250 70 248 46228 44425 101 251 91 243 95 240 96 242 91 240 44425 42754 114 240 105 232 111 231 110 231 102 233 42754 41186 117 233 113 227 109 225 102 229 93 227 41186 39707 118 228 110 225 104 222 98 226 85 224 39707 38304 118 226 113 221 101 215 95 221 84 221 38304 36937 119 222 115 218 103 212 94 216 81 217 36937 35535 119 221 116 217 105 211 94 212 83 213 35535 34067 115 223 114 222 103 213 94 211 86 211 34067 32535 100 233 102 234 94 227 91 217 84 213 32535 30929 82 240 79 243 83 239 74 240 75 227 30929 29244 69 243 61 249 63 244 54 249 61 243 29244 27483 65 239 54 245 47 247 35 254 37 255 27483 25641 70 231 56 238 39 238 24 251 18 260 25641 23722 68 229 52 236 39 239 13 277 7 306 23722 21729 39 241 38 241 19 277 13 336 13 357 21729 19660 25 275 21 268 20 355 20 002 19 023 19660 17507 16 323 14 309 26 015 25 010 21 036 17507 15309 18 005 14 341 25 016 29 021 19 033 15309 13187 21 004 16 348 18 012 25 028 23 037 13187 11258 23 357 19 351 17 007 17 025 24 040 11258 9553 21 351 21 360 17 012 16 031 19 037 9553 8054 18 350 20 002 18 016 17 044 16 039 8054 6734 17 359 18 002 17 012 18 049 16 048 6734 5574 17 000 18 001 16 017 15 041 13 052 5574 4554 15 360 18 001 14*029 15*027 14 057 4554 3657 13 013 18 009 14*026 15*023 15 048 3657 2866 18 027 23*016 14 026 14 022 16 041 2866 2160 29 025 22*012 14 025 14 021 17 038 2160 1537 32 018 22 012 14 024 13 020 18 035 1537 1017 28 013 21 011 14 024 13 020 18 033 1017 620 24 010 20 011 13 023 12 020 17 030 620 347 18 005 19 010 12 024 11 020 15 025 347 182 15*004 17 010 11 023 10 019 12 022 182 88 9*002 13 010 9 023 8 019 5*012 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography