DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1009z - - 1332z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.6 - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 83.5 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 103 - - 131 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 15 - - 1644 - - 6495 - - 6960 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 64 - - 573 - - 4292 - - 3786 - - 64 Hcrit BL Top 80 - - 1709 - - 6560 - - 7025 - - 81 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1791 - - 1639 - - 1110 - - 856 - - 8337 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 239 - - 413 - - 312 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 329 - - 332 - - 347 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1491 - - -1217 - - 1566 - - 1951 - - -3090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1571 - - 2927 - - 4994 - - 5074 - - 3171 sfcLCL ODpotential -4095 - - -3316 - - 178 - - -3328 - - -4285 ODpotential blCL 4175 - - 5025 - - 6382 - - 10353 - - 4366 blCL maxRH 73 - - 87 - - 77 - - 77 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 40 - - 40 - - 40 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m 71.6 - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 83.5 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.7 - - 63.7 - - 61.2 - - 61.5 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.8 - - 75.8 - - 82.0 - - 83.2 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.0 - - 62.2 - - 59.0 - - 59.4 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 103 - - 131 - - 41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 15 - - 1644 - - 6495 - - 6960 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 47 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99099 36 081 35 086 32 075 39 081 30 085 99099 91598 31 079 30 080 28 081 34 080 30 083 91598 85823 28 072 27 081 27 081 26 080 28 072 85823 81038 24 069 23 077 22 080 22 081 23 071 81038 76926 19 074 18 079 18 082 18 083 19 077 76926 73299 17 087 18 086 15 088 14 082 17 073 73299 70007 13 091 16 075 15 105 9 098 11 051 70007 66969 10 091 10 072 13 095 10 129 4 095 66969 64157 5 093 7 087 6 089 5 095 4 097 64157 61440 2 152 2 026 3 131 1 241 3 024 61440 58603 7 286 7 258 4 255 7 242 6 261 58603 55679 17 260 16 252 15 244 13 238 16 253 55679 52904 28 250 28 242 28 247 24 252 22 260 52904 50420 36 224 37 248 40 245 36 256 38 259 50420 48212 36 256 46 244 48 238 47 244 45 250 48212 46217 63 253 51 242 52 237 53 240 51 244 46217 44388 69 241 56 243 58 238 59 239 56 238 44388 42693 68 242 60 242 63 235 63 236 57 236 42693 41110 71 241 63 237 67 232 65 236 56 239 41110 39628 73 231 65 232 70 229 67 236 56 243 39628 38230 74 229 65 231 71 229 65 236 57 246 38230 36877 68 234 62 235 66 231 59 238 59 248 36877 35495 65 241 59 238 61 235 56 242 59 250 35495 34055 65 245 55 242 57 239 56 245 58 250 34055 32560 60 245 53 246 54 243 54 248 55 250 32560 30992 53 250 52 249 52 246 53 252 52 253 30992 29339 45 254 50 251 51 247 53 255 51 257 29339 27600 41 250 45 251 48 250 51 256 48 261 27600 25777 39 250 41 253 43 252 48 257 44 261 25777 23873 35 251 37 253 38 256 42 258 40 262 23873 21894 32 246 36 244 34 254 36 261 34 267 21894 19836 35 251 37 248 36 254 32 271 27 285 19836 17689 37 265 33 268 32 274 25 282 20 293 17689 15495 31 275 24 282 26 293 20 291 14 293 15495 13378 24 274 21 279 21 305 17 302 13 290 13378 11455 23 270 23 277 17 313 14 313 9 303 11455 9751 25 273 21 287 12 324 7 327 7 301 9751 8252 26 285 19 308 9 357 7*002 6 012 8252 6927 23 293 17 313 11*000 11*002 8 015 6927 5746 15 305 16 304 11*358 11 000 9 005 5746 4698 10 338 14 308 11 336 11 352 10 359 4698 3774 14 002 15 329 11 333 11 347 11 354 3774 2958 19 017 16 342 11 330 10 343 12 350 2958 2228 22 021 15*343 11 328 10 340 12 348 2228 1584 22 014 15*341 11 327 10 338 12 346 1584 1046 19 002 10 327 10 325 10 336 11 344 1046 634 16 356 9 325 10 324 9 335 10 342 634 351 12 349 8 324 9 323 9 335 9 339 351 180 11 348 7 323 9 323 8 334 7*335 180 81 6*345 6 322 7 323 7 334 4*332 81 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography