DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 48.6 - - 50.1 - - 46.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 60 - - 73 - - -43 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 13 - - 1544 - - 3458 - - 13 - - 13 BL Depth Hcrit 62 - - 62 - - 1576 - - 62 - - 61 Hcrit BL Top 78 - - 1609 - - 3523 - - 78 - - 78 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 935 - - 741 - - 1706 - - 5516 - - 3387 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 189 - - 269 - - 18 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 21 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 320 - - 297 - - 297 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -142 - - 573 - - 1650 - - -1937 - - -1175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 220 - - 1036 - - 1873 - - 2016 - - 1253 sfcLCL ODpotential -3299 - - 217 - - 918 - - -2333 - - -2053 ODpotential blCL 3377 - - 1392 - - 2605 - - 2411 - - 2131 blCL maxRH 93 - - 97 - - 97 - - 66 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 48.6 - - 50.1 - - 46.3 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 44.4 - - 42.3 - - 37.9 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 48.1 - - 49.7 - - 46.8 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 43.4 - - 40.6 - - 36.8 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 60 - - 73 - - -43 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 13 - - 1544 - - 3458 - - 13 - - 13 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 89 - - 87 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96386 84 233 80 233 86 229 93 228 93 238 96386 89027 78 229 73 229 79 224 84 231 75 236 89027 83413 68 232 67 230 70 225 71 231 65 238 83413 78756 60 229 62 230 62 227 63 237 62 241 78756 74757 53 235 59 234 57 231 62 241 60 239 74757 71223 58 248 58 238 57 235 64 241 60 240 71223 68020 63 250 58 240 59 239 65 242 60 238 68020 65060 68 248 58 240 61 241 66 243 59 242 65060 62302 68 241 59 243 63 242 67 243 62 250 62302 59632 64 238 62 246 64 244 68 244 67 249 59632 56847 68 246 67 249 68 247 72 245 69 245 56847 53943 79 249 76 249 77 248 77 245 70 245 53943 51156 87 245 85 247 85 245 81 245 71 248 51156 48649 89 240 90 242 88 240 83 244 77 252 48649 46419 88 238 89 237 85 237 83 243 83 248 46419 44408 86 241 85 236 82 237 82 243 78 242 44408 42562 88 244 84 238 82 240 81 243 75 242 42562 40847 95 244 90 241 86 242 84 244 79 245 40847 39250 104 243 101 241 91 243 91 243 88 247 39250 37757 109 243 110 239 99 242 99 241 96 247 37757 36358 113 244 116 238 106 238 105 238 101 247 36358 35014 115 244 118 238 110 234 106 234 101 247 35014 33659 116 245 119 239 106 232 105 233 98 245 33659 32261 112 246 118 239 103 233 103 236 91 247 32261 30819 98 244 112 238 103 235 101 238 89 251 30819 29316 85 243 102 237 104 234 98 240 87 255 29316 27743 82 244 96 238 104 233 97 241 83 257 27743 26095 81 241 93 238 102 234 96 240 77 259 26095 24370 81 239 90 238 97 236 92 240 73 263 24370 22567 79 240 85 239 92 237 85 242 70 267 22567 20687 76 239 82 238 87 236 80 244 67 271 20687 18725 72 239 80 236 83 237 76 246 63 271 18725 16675 66 238 75 237 77 238 71 249 60 269 16675 14579 59 239 63 238 68 241 64 252 57 270 14579 12564 52 240 53 234 58 242 54 255 50 275 12564 10739 48 236 49 227 48 240 45 257 42 280 10739 9122 48 230 46 224 42 235 38 260 37 283 9122 7692 46 226 43 227 37 240 34 263 35 287 7692 6428 41 234 39 235 31 260 30 274 30 292 6428 5316 34 237 30 250 30 281 28 285 25 297 5316 4339 26 237 26 266 31*286 28 289 25 300 4339 3483 29 263 26 281 27*291 27 293 27 300 3483 2729 30 276 25 289 23 296 27 295 28 300 2729 2055 27 285 21*306 21 297 27 296 28 300 2055 1461 24 301 15*319 20 298 26 297 27 300 1461 966 17 316 14 320 19 298 24 298 26 300 966 587 13 316 12 320 18 299 22 298 23 299 587 326 10 301 11 320 17 299 19 298 18 299 326 168 8 290 10 320 15 299 16 297 15*298 168 78 3*279 8 320 12 299 11*297 8*297 78 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography