DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0656z - - 0959z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 80.4 - - 78.8 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 47 - - -14 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 3029 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 608 - - 1021 - - 65 - - 64 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 3094 - - 81 - - 81 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2376 - - 2798 - - 3821 - - 2062 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 240 - - 24 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 149 - - 146 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1436 - - 1518 - - -1098 - - -565 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1381 - - 1576 - - 1179 - - 646 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 795 - - 545 - - -1488 - - -1439 ODpotential blCL - - - 2022 - - 2549 - - 1569 - - 1520 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 87 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 890 - - 980 - - 950 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 80.4 - - 78.8 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.1 - - 73.4 - - 73.4 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 80.1 - - 78.9 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 72.3 - - 72.8 - - 73.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 47 - - -14 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2752 - - 3029 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 101 - - 50 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98244 5 258 4 210 9 237 12 270 98244 90885 3 178 6 203 7 283 7 267 90885 85191 6 092 6 183 6 287 4 346 85191 80473 7 078 5 094 2 301 7 020 80473 76442 10 054 8 048 5 072 7 034 76442 72901 10 050 7 038 9 058 7 050 72901 69703 8 055 6 048 9 044 8 042 69703 66766 8 043 7 045 6 040 6 021 66766 64050 10 010 8 015 6 356 7 359 64050 61425 10 352 7 349 9 318 12 340 61425 58710 13 335 9 337 9 311 16 325 58710 55922 16 328 13 328 9 316 14 316 55922 53268 13 322 16 317 14 311 14 306 53268 50871 12 313 15 308 17 292 17 291 50871 48710 18 292 12 307 15 280 16 280 48710 46737 14 283 10 304 11 277 15 277 46737 44919 11 280 12 276 13 293 19 271 44919 43236 18 276 18 252 27 272 27 251 43236 41664 21 258 22 240 30 248 27 235 41664 40182 24 251 23 235 28 242 25 222 40182 38776 23 248 24 241 29 234 27 217 38776 37406 19 239 26 247 31 231 28 212 37406 36003 16 222 26 252 32 227 28 207 36003 34537 16 218 17 244 29 223 28 206 34537 33011 17 222 16 236 27 222 28 213 33011 31412 18 228 21 240 28 223 28 225 31412 29728 21 234 26 240 29 225 26 235 29728 27959 25 236 27 237 30 225 24 236 27959 26103 29 236 25 234 29 223 24 231 26103 24164 30 236 24 229 26 216 26 229 24164 22149 25 235 24 219 23 204 26 229 22149 20053 15 215 26 210 24 201 25 225 20053 17871 19 189 28 208 22 200 27 217 17871 15649 26 185 30 211 33 222 29 215 15649 13514 28 192 29 206 39 218 33 221 13514 11574 25 196 25 194 32 211 33 214 11574 9855 20 180 25 194 28 202 30 206 9855 8329 18 176 26 191 30 199 27 198 8329 6973 19 168 23 178 30 197 26 196 6973 5773 22 166 21 172 31 196 26 200 5773 4713 20 163 22 172 31 188 29 202 4713 3783 20 159 21*163 30 175 32 196 3783 2961 23*152 21*156 30 166 33 189 2961 2228 23*152 20 152 29 161 31 180 2228 1582 22 151 18 149 27 157 29 171 1582 1045 18 148 17 147 25 153 26 165 1045 633 16 147 16 146 22 151 22 160 633 350 15 146 14 145 19 149 17 157 350 179 13 145 12 145 16 148 15*156 179 81 10 145 9 145 11*146 9*154 81 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography