DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.7 - - 76.8 - - 80.0 - - 76.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 92 - - 40 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4 - - 1680 - - 2426 - - 4 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit 52 - - 538 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 Hcrit BL Top 69 - - 1745 - - 2491 - - 69 - - 199 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1945 - - 2426 - - 3071 - - 3564 - - 2013 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 235 - - 218 - - 9 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 19 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 230 - - 231 - - 252 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -466 - - 491 - - 741 - - -744 - - -608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 535 - - 1254 - - 1750 - - 813 - - 807 sfcLCL ODpotential -878 - - -847 - - -552 - - -1597 - - -1996 ODpotential blCL 947 - - 2592 - - 3043 - - 1666 - - 2195 blCL maxRH 98 - - 95 - - 87 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 1150 - - 1860 - - 1930 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m 70.7 - - 76.8 - - 80.0 - - 76.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.3 - - 71.2 - - 72.2 - - 72.6 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 76.2 - - 79.6 - - 76.4 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.2 - - 70.0 - - 70.8 - - 72.1 - - 70.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 92 - - 40 - - -7 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4 - - 1680 - - 2426 - - 4 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 79 - - 49 - - 40 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97988 15 326 2 182 15 231 12 281 10 276 97988 90492 10 259 10 261 9 252 7 266 8 257 90492 84737 8 233 14 257 7 272 10 263 10 270 84737 79966 2 216 9 224 8 263 12 270 11 279 79966 75864 4 032 5 242 7 224 10 267 8 287 75864 72262 8 000 3 255 4 236 8 286 4 323 72262 69034 7 339 3 330 4 304 9 302 10 335 69034 66100 7 331 14 323 3 318 8 293 11 316 66100 63401 12 320 18 321 7 295 12 291 12 300 63401 60799 15 305 16 308 12 282 15 272 16 266 60799 58094 21 289 13 279 17 281 15 268 16 251 58094 55278 22 272 19 266 25 272 22 280 22 276 55278 52574 26 261 28 261 31 253 34 267 37 280 52574 50133 29 257 32 257 35 244 42 248 45 267 50133 47938 34 255 33 255 37 247 42 241 46 251 47938 45947 37 256 35 254 34 253 40 248 46 243 45947 44134 38 257 35 251 32 255 45 253 49 242 44134 42470 39 260 34 249 36 248 50 246 52 243 42470 40924 38 262 33 248 42 239 51 246 52 244 40924 39471 36 265 31 249 41 234 55 250 54 249 39471 38094 37 263 28 251 39 233 60 251 55 252 38094 36753 39 253 26 255 38 238 62 250 55 253 36753 35380 43 244 26 259 38 243 60 252 51 255 35380 33947 46 240 27 261 34 240 53 256 46 256 33947 32457 51 238 29 260 30 238 45 257 43 257 32457 30894 54 236 31 255 29 239 38 256 42 255 30894 29246 50 236 33 250 32 240 35 260 41 249 29246 27511 39 235 35 249 35 241 34 261 39 245 27511 25692 33 226 35 247 34 242 34 256 38 245 25692 23792 32 232 34 244 32 245 31 251 35 244 23792 21814 31 238 33 242 30 247 26 252 33 250 21814 19753 32 238 31 246 28 252 26 264 35 263 19753 17607 35 241 29 253 27 261 31 273 33 278 17607 15424 36 245 30 258 29 268 31 274 29 288 15424 13327 34 245 30 257 28 267 28 275 26 286 13327 11422 31 243 28 252 27 263 23 279 23 282 11422 9732 30 242 25 250 26 257 24 288 22 275 9732 8231 31 240 22 255 23 253 24 288 22 268 8231 6895 30 240 21 261 20 256 19 282 22 274 6895 5709 27 245 20 261 19 264 16 269 22 283 5709 4661 27 251 20 258 18 265 16 259 21 285 4661 3738 29 247 20 255 16 258 17 253 19 285 3738 2925 33 238 20 253 16*248 18 251 16 289 2925 2199 34 232 22*243 16*239 17 248 13 296 2199 1559 33 223 21*233 15 231 16 244 9 306 1559 1026 29 213 20 230 14 230 14 245 7 320 1026 617 25 210 19 229 14 229 12 245 4 326 617 337 20 208 17 229 13 228 9 247 2*327 337 166 18*208 16 229 12 227 8 248 1*309 166 69 11*207 12 229 10 227 4*252 1 290 69 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography