DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.1 - - 82.2 - - 87.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 88 - - 128 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 528 - - 2685 - - 3983 - - 3345 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 65 - - 1269 - - 2394 - - 65 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 593 - - 2750 - - 4048 - - 3410 - - 81 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2683 - - 1017 - - 2277 - - 3258 - - 3790 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 273 - - 346 - - 154 - - 14 W* B/S 4 - - 21 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 10 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 198 - - 208 - - 204 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - 3 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -174 - - -275 - - 988 - - 771 - - -739 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 767 - - 3025 - - 3060 - - 2639 - - 820 sfcLCL ODpotential -1572 - - -3697 - - 397 - - -493 - - -2380 ODpotential blCL 2165 - - 6447 - - 3651 - - 3903 - - 2461 blCL maxRH 91 - - 81 - - 93 - - 88 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 1730 - - 590 - - 2240 - - 2460 - - 2440 CAPE Temp@2m 78.1 - - 82.2 - - 87.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.5 - - 69.0 - - 73.7 - - 74.4 - - 75.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.8 - - 81.7 - - 86.3 - - 86.2 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.0 - - 67.8 - - 72.4 - - 73.4 - - 75.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 88 - - 128 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 528 - - 2685 - - 3983 - - 3345 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 25 - - 73 - - 52 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 14 - - 16 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99098 40 076 41 088 36 083 41 074 33 089 99098 91616 34 083 33 083 34 079 37 071 35 080 91616 85858 29 080 28 076 30 079 34 076 32 069 85858 81105 24 083 24 084 23 084 28 080 25 066 81105 77031 23 086 21 093 17 088 21 082 20 071 77031 73438 20 096 20 097 14 093 16 086 17 080 73438 70187 16 101 17 093 13 111 11 099 13 087 70187 67207 10 103 11 102 13 119 11 124 10 113 67207 64453 8 121 11 123 10 140 12 143 10 150 64453 61792 6 151 9 136 13 160 13 164 13 168 61792 59026 10 184 10 185 14 174 16 195 10 194 59026 56162 21 207 20 216 15 203 21 196 19 200 56162 53429 31 209 39 211 35 219 29 209 26 213 53429 50988 35 220 31 212 43 205 54 204 47 208 50988 48813 44 236 42 238 38 236 38 207 57 190 48813 46816 59 238 66 242 73 239 50 239 44 207 46816 44963 63 238 81 237 80 231 71 240 63 238 44963 43249 61 236 81 237 79 228 72 236 79 237 43249 41652 57 234 69 234 79 227 83 225 85 224 41652 40152 55 233 54 229 71 227 91 218 86 217 40152 38733 54 231 52 226 54 218 89 217 80 216 38733 37354 51 223 49 215 49 206 77 222 81 219 37354 35947 46 213 50 209 54 203 65 221 67 220 35947 34485 47 206 51 205 56 208 56 206 55 200 34485 32968 46 207 49 204 56 216 54 205 55 202 32968 31373 44 207 45 203 51 216 50 206 53 202 31373 29691 44 207 43 201 47 214 49 206 49 203 29691 27922 42 206 43 202 46 213 45 200 44 204 27922 26067 38 206 40 205 46 215 41 203 41 202 26067 24129 35 209 37 207 45 217 38 216 38 197 24129 22112 34 216 34 210 42 214 31 216 36 189 22112 20014 36 220 34 215 37 209 27 209 33 181 20014 17831 36 218 35 218 30 211 25 202 28 175 17831 15613 36 214 35 217 25 218 24 204 25 173 15613 13486 34 216 34 218 27 216 27 202 27 175 13486 11561 35 218 33 220 27 212 29 197 38 175 11561 9854 34 220 31 225 26 209 23 200 42 179 9854 8337 30 223 29 230 24 211 22 215 39 187 8337 6990 27 229 27 231 21 218 24 226 38 197 6990 5794 27 232 25 230 21 217 22 226 36 202 5794 4736 19 224 24 227 20*214 19 220 33 212 4736 3805 6 214 16 210 16*211 17*212 33 224 3805 2984 6 266 9*195 11 206 15*208 29 228 2984 2248 4 269 4*193 10 207 14 205 24 228 2248 1597 6 289 3 194 9 207 14 204 21 225 1597 1054 7 275 2 201 9 207 14 203 18 221 1054 639 7*254 2 203 8 208 13 202 15 215 639 353 6*244 2 202 7 209 12 201 11 212 353 180 5 240 1 205 7 209 11 200 9 210 180 81 4 239 1 207 6 208 8 200 5*209 81 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography