DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 69.6 - - 74.6 - - 73.4 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 74 - - 48 - - -34 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 23 - - 807 - - 2972 - - 24 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit 71 - - 72 - - 1101 - - 73 - - 72 Hcrit BL Top 88 - - 872 - - 3037 - - 89 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 64 - - 953 - - 1305 - - 3300 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 168 - - 246 - - 28 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 17 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 219 - - 196 - - 190 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -320 - - -1560 - - -1018 - - -4090 - - -1979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 408 - - 2433 - - 4055 - - 4179 - - 2068 sfcLCL ODpotential -5857 - - -4016 - - -7467 - - -9884 - - -8840 ODpotential blCL 5945 - - 4888 - - 10504 - - 9973 - - 8929 blCL maxRH 80 - - 72 - - 64 - - 45 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 69.6 - - 74.6 - - 73.4 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 59.4 - - 57.2 - - 55.6 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 69.2 - - 74.4 - - 74.8 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 58.1 - - 55.8 - - 54.3 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 74 - - 48 - - -34 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 23 - - 807 - - 2972 - - 24 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98222 15 266 12 274 12 257 18 246 20 278 98222 90839 12 280 11 278 12 269 14 271 12 289 90839 85165 7 316 4 275 8 268 13 298 11 322 85165 80453 9 009 8 063 6 110 8 289 11 315 80453 76371 6 356 11 044 7 096 4 293 9 322 76371 72754 7 325 9 358 1 046 9 269 13 320 72754 69483 7 299 9 311 3 289 10 257 11 287 69483 66466 9 283 10 262 8 245 11 275 8 274 66466 63658 11 252 15 266 12 248 12 278 7 287 63658 60942 18 253 18 273 13 271 14 276 15 295 60942 58128 19 247 19 269 19 269 19 264 19 272 58128 55226 21 271 17 267 19 249 18 255 19 260 55226 52470 32 277 25 284 20 273 21 268 20 268 52470 50001 38 267 33 277 30 275 26 270 23 267 50001 47786 37 266 33 270 33 271 30 268 25 269 47786 45768 38 270 35 272 32 269 33 266 27 273 45768 43914 41 273 37 271 31 270 32 266 27 277 43914 42204 43 273 36 268 31 270 30 271 28 280 42204 40619 42 268 34 267 31 269 27 276 28 281 40619 39149 40 256 33 270 32 265 26 280 26 288 39149 37780 34 249 34 274 31 264 25 282 22 304 37780 36461 29 267 35 272 28 269 23 279 25 319 36461 35115 28 275 32 272 26 274 21 277 25 321 35115 33712 28 280 27 274 24 272 20 280 18 317 33712 32254 27 283 22 272 22 264 22 286 14 301 32254 30723 27 283 23 274 20 264 25 286 12 287 30723 29105 27 281 26 277 24 270 26 275 18 289 29105 27404 28 278 29 276 26 271 25 267 24 284 27404 25621 29 277 29 279 24 272 24 267 29 274 25621 23759 29 279 28 287 23 282 27 272 30 271 23759 21818 28 284 28 294 28 287 31 280 28 279 21818 19789 25 289 28 296 30 286 30 286 26 280 19789 17664 24 298 28 299 26 293 25 289 24 264 17664 15489 24 303 26 303 26 297 24 294 24 261 15489 13387 23 308 20 303 24 294 23 294 26 270 13387 11470 25 306 21 307 17 280 24 287 28 278 11470 9763 25 283 23 294 18 274 24 280 29 282 9763 8247 18 268 21 272 22 278 24 277 28 284 8247 6900 9 270 10 255 19 273 24 281 25 282 6900 5707 6 268 7 232 20 250 24 279 23 277 5707 4654 8 266 8 231 20 231 21 264 20 264 4654 3733 9 276 9 224 19*208 21 235 23 240 3733 2924 13 287 11 236 19*197 23 212 27 223 2924 2203 16 287 13 249 19 196 22 204 28 214 2203 1567 15 275 13 229 18 196 21 200 27 209 1567 1037 15 258 11*224 18 195 20 197 25 205 1037 632 15 252 8*219 17 195 18 194 23 200 632 353 13 249 8 219 16 195 15 192 19 192 353 185 10*241 7 219 14 195 12 191 16*190 185 89 3*225 6 218 11 194 8*190 7*184 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography