DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.5 - - 67.9 - - 75.2 - - 79.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 53 - - 176 - - 81 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 859 - - 1614 - - 2892 - - 3576 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit 64 - - 63 - - 1714 - - 1746 - - 64 Hcrit BL Top 924 - - 1679 - - 2957 - - 3641 - - 80 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 876 - - 780 - - 1701 - - 1755 - - 1780 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 189 - - 335 - - 281 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 16 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 051 - - 102 - - 176 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -710 - - -565 - - -58 - - -188 - - -2488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1634 - - 2245 - - 3015 - - 3829 - - 2568 sfcLCL ODpotential -5921 - - -5771 - - -1190 - - -1287 - - -5869 ODpotential blCL 6845 - - 7450 - - 4147 - - 4928 - - 5949 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 93 - - 88 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 180 - - 100 - - 30 - - 100 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 66.5 - - 67.9 - - 75.2 - - 79.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 62.2 - - 62.5 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.4 - - 67.4 - - 74.2 - - 78.6 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.7 - - 57.2 - - 61.0 - - 61.7 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 53 - - 176 - - 81 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 859 - - 1614 - - 2892 - - 3576 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 100 - - 72 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98120 27 108 22 114 15 116 15 072 17 085 98120 90686 26 084 25 094 21 099 17 089 21 079 90686 84967 27 075 25 085 26 088 21 092 24 072 84967 80249 27 076 21 082 26 082 21 088 24 060 80249 76203 23 080 20 081 21 078 22 077 20 072 76203 72616 19 071 17 079 16 086 18 066 18 069 72616 69352 7 066 12 067 13 084 12 070 13 062 69352 66350 8 097 8 066 4 096 7 069 9 082 66350 63555 2 048 6 027 2 356 7 008 9 076 63555 60848 3 158 3 028 3 270 10 293 11 334 60848 58057 8 301 10 325 8 316 6 279 8 332 58057 55175 15 306 16 312 14 294 9 281 8 318 55175 52427 20 294 19 302 18 292 17 293 18 307 52427 49975 18 295 23 299 20 294 21 290 24 293 49975 47809 34 307 32 301 26 305 23 292 24 288 47809 45867 45 295 39 297 33 303 26 295 22 289 45867 44099 46 287 40 290 32 289 29 289 23 292 44099 42464 46 284 36 281 28 277 31 287 24 295 42464 40936 45 286 27 279 27 268 30 287 25 293 40936 39494 44 292 21 294 24 260 29 287 25 292 39494 38127 45 296 21 302 19 253 30 286 26 290 38127 36795 46 298 22 301 17 252 33 280 24 289 36795 35431 47 296 21 295 18 255 32 271 21 294 35431 34005 46 296 19 293 18 258 30 266 21 296 34005 32520 44 298 18 294 17 252 30 262 25 283 32520 30962 43 298 17 293 18 250 29 260 30 272 30962 29321 45 295 22 288 21 255 27 258 30 264 29321 27596 42 292 29 292 22 270 24 257 28 261 27596 25785 40 294 33 301 23 282 23 263 25 258 25785 23891 38 298 32 304 23 293 21 265 24 248 23891 21915 36 299 33 303 21 297 19 267 22 242 21915 19850 34 296 36 304 26 305 21 288 18 255 19850 17694 37 289 37 301 34 308 25 300 17 278 17694 15498 36 287 34 293 32 294 27 292 19 290 15498 13384 34 287 29 287 36 280 30 286 22 290 13384 11462 32 277 30 284 34 282 30 284 25 293 11462 9756 32 267 31 285 31 288 31 284 28 297 9756 8242 31 265 32 296 30 297 33 286 31 295 8242 6902 29 273 32 298 29 305 31 289 31 293 6902 5713 28 282 22 285 26 305 24 289 26 291 5713 4661 25 284 17 281 18 291 16 282 20 285 4661 3736 18 282 10 270 12*278 9*263 13 268 3736 2922 9 293 3 275 4*253 5*234 9 235 2922 2197 4 344 4*054 3 120 3 195 8 198 2197 1559 8 033 5*053 5 100 3 172 11 161 1559 1029 14*035 6 051 6 097 3 155 14 142 1029 624 13*035 6 050 6 094 3 144 15 133 624 346 11 036 6 050 6 091 3 138 13 128 346 177 10 036 5 050 6 090 3 138 11 125 177 80 7 036 5 050 5 091 3 133 7*122 80 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography