DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 78.1 - - 80.1 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 475 - - 251 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3594 - - 6467 - - 5230 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5444 - - 7795 - - 6538 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6587 - - 9460 - - 8223 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2539 - - 1953 - - 3237 - - 6140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 599 - - 452 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 318 - - 344 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -10 - - -15 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1426 - - -987 - - -3492 - - -7997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8014 - - 10447 - - 11716 - - 10951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3075 - - -3361 - - -6338 - - -12198 ODpotential blCL - - - 9662 - - 12821 - - 14561 - - 15151 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 63 - - 51 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 78.1 - - 80.1 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 42.3 - - 38.8 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 75.1 - - 78.1 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 41.9 - - 38.4 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 475 - - 251 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3594 - - 6467 - - 5230 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99494 37 116 30 116 29 104 29 095 99494 91928 28 104 26 114 26 109 21 096 91928 86102 17 100 25 107 24 109 21 112 86102 81283 20 127 21 101 18 122 18 104 81283 77131 24 127 18 123 14 117 15 105 77131 73465 20 121 16 119 16 112 13 118 73465 70169 13 116 13 128 9 106 15 101 70169 67150 12 145 10 126 10 146 8 097 67150 64345 10 155 7 173 5 151 7 109 64345 61626 7 164 8 181 7 193 6 204 61626 58795 13 218 13 240 9 253 3 233 58795 55843 17 234 19 237 17 256 17 260 55843 53015 22 229 23 238 24 242 27 247 53015 50477 22 236 25 239 27 245 28 248 50477 48211 26 262 25 258 26 254 27 256 48211 46162 33 268 31 266 28 264 26 266 46162 44294 41 267 37 272 34 271 29 274 44294 42585 47 264 42 273 38 274 33 275 42585 41009 48 267 46 274 42 278 35 276 41009 39542 47 271 48 288 45 281 34 278 39542 38169 58 282 60 293 44 282 33 280 38169 36850 67 281 64 284 41 285 30 278 36850 35519 68 271 48 278 41 288 28 278 35519 34143 56 262 39 297 38 286 27 281 34143 32723 42 271 44 304 27 289 26 284 32723 31248 42 278 48 302 23 305 25 277 31248 29705 38 283 46 300 27 305 21 269 29705 28096 37 286 41 295 29 291 17 279 28096 26420 32 278 39 295 29 290 18 293 26420 24678 27 280 38 292 24 298 21 289 24678 22875 27 288 31 289 18 313 21 284 22875 21007 27 284 30 285 19 302 20 286 21007 19072 26 281 27 279 23 283 20 287 19072 17109 26 280 23 279 23 283 18 290 17109 15224 23 278 22 276 20 282 18 288 15224 13511 19 274 21 269 20 271 21 277 13511 11986 15 270 19 259 19 265 19 276 11986 10625 11 269 15*255 15 272 16 285 10625 9408 9 271 10*270 12 289 14 298 9408 8319 7 276 9 280 11*295 12 314 8319 7347 7*290 9 294 11*312 11 333 7347 6484 7*302 9 321 10 328 11 349 6484 5717 7 309 9 331 11 342 10 000 5717 5025 8 317 10 337 11 348 10 008 5025 4408 8 322 10 342 11 352 10 011 4408 3891 8 327 10 346 11 354 9 012 3891 3492 8 332 10 348 11 357 8 011 3492 3216 8 334 10 349 11 358 7 010 3216 3048 8 336 10 350 11 359 6*008 3048 2952 7 337 9 351 10 359 4*007 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography