DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.1 - - 40.0 - - 44.5 - - 39.8 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 25 - - 53 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1195 - - 3594 - - 4889 - - 2158 - - 439 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 32 - - 41 - - 5 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 171 - - 036 - - 114 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -814 - - -1507 - - -2868 - - -921 - - -373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3764 - - 4458 - - 5819 - - 3872 - - 3325 sfcLCL ODpotential -3886 - - -2832 - - -3808 - - -4008 - - -5278 ODpotential blCL 6836 - - 5783 - - 6759 - - 6959 - - 8229 blCL maxRH 70 - - 68 - - 76 - - 78 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 33.1 - - 40.0 - - 44.5 - - 39.8 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 31.0 - - 29.4 - - 33.3 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 39.7 - - 43.8 - - 42.0 - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 30.0 - - 28.2 - - 32.1 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 25 - - 53 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 12 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96067 18 331 22 303 25 325 25 329 25 327 96067 89061 12 343 18 304 20 316 14 337 21 312 89061 83570 9 345 5 338 15 317 21 320 23 321 83570 78985 10 345 11 339 9 301 18 301 26 317 78985 75023 14 316 13 338 12 311 19 279 26 291 75023 71524 20 305 20 308 19 321 19 321 17 292 71524 68329 22 304 21 300 35 307 39 307 31 317 68329 65369 32 297 38 275 49 281 51 283 44 302 65369 62632 35 288 43 280 45 280 51 283 56 294 62632 59974 49 300 48 296 51 291 49 294 55 285 59974 57180 66 295 58 298 56 291 59 297 56 286 57180 54259 72 284 66 294 63 294 68 292 64 287 54259 51466 69 282 73 291 74 291 75 287 71 287 51466 48952 73 289 82 291 83 291 81 286 76 289 48952 46699 87 292 92 290 91 288 83 288 84 290 46699 44661 96 289 97 287 95 285 90 292 93 292 44661 42801 98 288 96 286 96 284 101 291 106 290 42801 41097 98 287 96 286 96 286 108 287 111 285 41097 39532 102 286 99 286 100 287 112 284 105 283 39532 38090 109 285 103 285 106 287 114 288 111 293 38090 36752 120 285 106 283 109 287 123 292 133 298 36752 35470 132 285 107 283 113 289 132 293 134 294 35470 34169 136 285 110 285 121 290 132 288 132 291 34169 32819 132 287 114 285 127 289 126 283 132 291 32819 31427 127 287 116 284 126 288 121 283 128 289 31427 29981 121 287 114 283 123 288 112 285 118 284 29981 28473 115 288 111 283 117 289 109 284 115 280 28473 26906 108 289 109 283 111 286 109 283 112 279 26906 25280 102 289 104 286 105 284 107 284 106 281 25280 23599 94 289 93 290 94 286 105 287 96 284 23599 21873 85 290 79 291 80 287 90 291 88 290 21873 20094 77 292 68 289 68 284 64 292 75 291 20094 18253 72 295 61 287 60 277 53 280 54 284 18253 16385 64 295 55 284 55 273 50 271 46 272 16385 14592 55 292 49 279 48 273 47 269 45 263 14592 12963 48 285 44 277 42 274 43 268 41 259 12963 11515 46 282 39 278 37 273 39 264 37 254 11515 10223 44 283 33 280 32 271 35 257 35 250 10223 9067 38 287 28 281 27 267 30 248 32 251 9067 8031 29 291 22 282 21 259 25 243 28 254 8031 7106 21 296 17 282 15 250 18 236 23 253 7106 6285 16 301 13 278 10 245 12 219 17 245 6285 5556 12 306 11 271 6 246 8 187 14 220 5556 4899 11 309 8 263 2 248 8 157 15 188 4899 4317 9 311 6 256 1 292 9 142 21 168 4317 3830 8 316 5 248 1 014 9 135 22 162 3830 3455 6 321 4 231 1 028 9 132 21 161 3455 3196 5 320 3 213 1 032 7 129 17 159 3196 3039 4*318 1*180 1*035 5*124 12*155 3039 2950 2*310 1*171 1*036 3*114 4*140 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography