DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 50.9 - - 46.9 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 50 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 433 - - 1476 - - 968 - - 523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 40 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 021 - - 019 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2539 - - -2702 - - -1166 - - -1089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5490 - - 5654 - - 4117 - - 4040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10568 - - -6704 - - -4976 - - -6168 ODpotential blCL - - - 13519 - - 9655 - - 7927 - - 9119 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 68 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.5 - - 50.9 - - 46.9 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 36.6 - - 39.3 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 50.2 - - 47.6 - - 44.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 35.4 - - 38.1 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 50 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94939 64 288 72 294 59 298 48 293 94939 88277 40 296 52 299 51 306 42 308 88277 83021 27 295 38 298 42 303 39 309 83021 78590 20 297 31 287 37 291 44 303 78590 74739 20 306 21 297 31 291 39 302 74739 71307 18 299 19 303 22 285 31 296 71307 68166 20 298 15 294 22 284 30 279 68166 65262 25 294 19 292 24 284 27 286 65262 62551 27 275 24 276 31 287 19 305 62551 59897 29 268 29 265 33 273 34 286 59897 57128 39 268 25 256 29 259 38 259 57128 54253 41 266 30 263 35 268 33 260 54253 51487 48 260 46 265 45 268 42 275 51487 48990 54 252 58 260 58 267 56 271 48990 46756 57 249 63 253 68 264 55 269 46756 44726 58 251 66 251 71 262 59 270 44726 42865 61 253 70 251 70 258 69 270 42865 41149 69 253 75 250 68 254 77 264 41149 39570 77 253 80 249 71 254 76 252 39570 38120 82 251 86 246 84 252 73 248 38120 36782 85 244 89 242 96 249 78 253 36782 35507 84 243 90 239 100 246 91 254 35507 34221 84 245 95 241 101 245 98 251 34221 32888 87 244 98 241 102 243 97 250 32888 31513 87 242 97 244 100 243 95 251 31513 30088 83 242 94 247 93 246 84 252 30088 28604 79 242 84 246 86 251 71 257 28604 27061 74 243 73 246 80 254 68 260 27061 25459 70 245 67 249 74 254 67 261 25459 23799 67 246 66 252 68 257 64 263 23799 22081 65 246 64 253 60 260 60 268 22081 20299 61 245 59 254 54 262 56 270 20299 18447 55 243 53 255 49 263 49 271 18447 16560 49 241 49 256 46 267 44 273 16560 14744 42 240 43 257 42 271 40 276 14744 13092 35 240 36 259 39 270 36 277 13092 11620 29 241 31 261 34 269 31 275 11620 10308 24 245 27 263 28 271 26 276 10308 9135 20 249 24 267 23 278 21 288 9135 8087 16 254 21 273 20 286 18 303 8087 7152 15 257 20 278 18 293 16 314 7152 6321 14 255 20 280 17 298 15 318 6321 5583 14 246 19 278 16 298 13 315 5583 4919 13 228 16 276 13 295 9 301 4919 4330 14 204 10 278 10 292 6 290 4330 3837 15 185 5 300 6 298 2 298 3837 3459 13 177 4 347 4 319 1 336 3459 3199 9 166 4 008 3 346 1 002 3199 3040 7*160 4*016 2*005 0*188 3040 2950 5*158 4*021 2*019 1*173 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography