DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.7 - - 29.9 - - 36.7 - - 31.7 - - 26.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 1 - - 32 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2932 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 316 - - 376 - - 985 - - 642 - - 306 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 13 - - 34 - - 3 - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 138 - - 070 - - 338 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2303 - - -2110 - - -1759 - - -955 - - -449 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5253 - - 5060 - - 4709 - - 3905 - - 3399 sfcLCL ODpotential -15651 - - -13684 - - -9921 - - -11228 - - -10845 ODpotential blCL 18601 - - 16634 - - 12871 - - 14178 - - 13795 blCL maxRH 59 - - 65 - - 73 - - 76 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.7 - - 29.9 - - 36.7 - - 31.7 - - 26.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.9 - - 18.8 - - 26.9 - - 25.4 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.1 - - 30.8 - - 36.8 - - 33.9 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.9 - - 17.8 - - 25.8 - - 24.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 1 - - 32 - - -6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95082 98 319 89 324 97 322 108 325 94 319 95082 88208 90 323 86 326 93 325 95 324 86 324 88208 82745 75 330 89 318 88 322 86 323 85 324 82745 78187 71 332 74 314 79 318 78 324 84 324 78187 74282 70 326 57 313 70 313 76 321 81 326 74282 70841 70 315 55 315 60 305 69 315 76 322 70841 67731 66 309 55 313 58 303 58 310 66 315 67731 64885 60 311 54 318 55 307 55 310 56 308 64885 62249 56 317 50 317 53 312 53 312 51 304 62249 59696 55 316 51 319 50 313 51 309 46 299 59696 57015 60 316 58 318 52 311 48 307 45 304 57015 54206 67 317 63 314 54 311 48 302 54 297 54206 51507 68 319 66 312 53 307 54 302 57 287 51507 49060 66 317 66 307 57 299 59 287 52 280 49060 46863 60 315 60 304 59 294 51 284 43 281 46863 44881 58 316 56 303 54 293 41 290 39 277 44881 43088 60 318 52 305 49 296 37 297 40 265 43088 41462 57 321 62 307 49 300 58 273 36 259 41462 39964 64 321 66 306 47 298 60 268 46 256 39964 38558 66 317 62 306 46 295 53 274 37 252 38558 37228 63 320 56 305 45 295 54 272 34 246 37228 35939 62 323 53 305 42 296 53 273 33 244 35939 34628 58 325 52 302 38 294 52 275 39 249 34628 33269 53 329 47 300 35 284 48 277 52 249 33269 31866 48 333 38 306 38 271 43 277 55 251 31866 30404 46 334 33 306 39 268 36 275 57 252 30404 28878 41 336 32 303 38 273 33 272 56 251 28878 27293 36 325 32 306 36 279 30 270 51 251 27293 25652 36 315 30 303 34 283 24 272 45 251 25652 23955 36 308 27 297 36 284 24 270 37 248 23955 22200 34 307 26 292 34 283 34 262 28 241 22200 20380 32 305 24 290 27 282 31 262 24 228 20380 18489 30 306 21 289 21 283 19 272 24 216 18489 16570 25 310 17 286 18 275 15 247 26 214 16570 14728 19 307 12 282 15 258 20 232 27 227 14728 13059 17 292 10 284 12 243 22 231 25 240 13059 11579 16 284 9 284 10 233 20 231 22 244 11579 10261 14 282 8 276 9 227 17 227 21 242 10261 9084 12 281 7 264 9 221 14 217 21 234 9084 8034 9 273 6 244 10 213 13 206 21 222 8034 7099 7 257 6 216 10 203 12 195 21 208 7099 6273 5 231 7 186 9 191 13 180 22 193 6273 5540 5 194 9 164 10 178 14 162 23 176 5540 4883 6 170 10 152 11 165 16 150 25 164 4883 4300 6 167 11 152 11 156 14 143 25 159 4300 3815 5 161 13 157 8 147 10 133 18 157 3815 3445 3 155 13 158 4 124 4 103 10 148 3445 3191 2 176 9 155 3 083 3 029 6 142 3191 3037 1*234 5*148 3*075 3*003 1*074 3037 2949 1*242 2*138 3*070 3*338 3*348 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography