DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.8 - - 31.5 - - 39.8 - - 37.3 - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 0 - - 39 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 494 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 2932 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2932 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 3487 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 297 - - 713 - - 802 - - 968 - - 600 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 12 - - 116 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 131 - - 140 - - 028 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -922 - - -1972 - - -2425 - - -2051 - - -337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3873 - - 4922 - - 5913 - - 5002 - - 3287 sfcLCL ODpotential -16750 - - -16078 - - -15624 - - -14719 - - -14195 ODpotential blCL 19700 - - 19028 - - 19111 - - 17670 - - 17145 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 51 - - 51 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.8 - - 31.5 - - 39.8 - - 37.3 - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 21.0 - - 24.8 - - 26.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.5 - - 31.5 - - 39.3 - - 39.8 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.8 - - 20.0 - - 23.6 - - 25.1 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 0 - - 39 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 494 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96201 60 029 68 018 69 006 58 355 55 358 96201 89210 50 023 55 017 57 006 52 356 52 005 89210 83796 49 016 46 017 48 006 51 004 49 010 83796 79250 56 006 47 016 43 007 50 010 45 014 79250 75291 53 000 46 012 37 006 43 012 39 015 75291 71778 45 359 44 016 34 005 37 014 32 013 71778 68592 40 354 39 007 35 357 35 008 29 019 68592 65653 35 360 30 357 34 342 31 353 32 015 65653 62921 35 001 25 351 29 347 22 345 26 001 62921 60282 32 342 23 323 28 343 17 336 23 334 60282 57539 36 333 25 327 28 341 20 335 24 322 57539 54691 32 329 29 317 28 324 27 320 28 315 54691 51973 30 318 29 310 26 309 31 313 28 309 51973 49542 28 306 29 300 28 298 29 307 28 294 49542 47376 31 307 29 291 30 295 27 290 32 279 47376 45416 34 302 25 293 28 292 28 269 30 269 45416 43628 31 284 24 308 23 285 30 254 33 266 43628 41991 21 278 25 302 12 284 20 257 35 272 41991 40476 15 309 22 292 9 318 11 262 35 267 40476 39055 17 317 12 296 12 302 9 281 22 257 39055 37714 18 321 8 028 9 292 9 305 18 260 37714 36421 20 327 16 065 5 219 9 317 15 249 36421 35112 23 331 17 053 11 159 6 310 11 207 35112 33759 24 334 21 029 8 118 2 246 13 184 33759 32360 23 333 14 019 10 063 5 149 13 186 32360 30904 23 333 12 353 14 069 10 126 10 184 30904 29378 23 334 16 344 7 059 14 126 11 169 29378 27785 25 337 16 332 4 312 13 133 12 162 27785 26124 27 337 19 326 8 311 2 130 8 166 26124 24399 25 337 19 330 11 329 7 350 4 206 24399 22614 22 338 16 324 11 331 6 348 5 251 22614 20761 18 336 13 309 11 304 6 315 4 279 20761 18834 15 336 13 316 12 301 9 315 6 333 18834 16872 15 333 13 332 12 320 10 337 6 349 16872 14981 13 326 11 330 9 337 7 340 4 290 14981 13257 9 321 10 321 7 337 5 313 8 252 13257 11722 7 302 9 309 6 328 5 271 10 251 11722 10356 7 277 7 279 4 290 8 241 10 251 10356 9142 7 258 7 256 5 245 12 230 10 238 9142 8064 6 230 7 229 6 216 14 221 11 225 8064 7110 7 195 8 190 7 186 14 211 12 207 7110 6272 8 174 9 168 10 165 14 195 13 184 6272 5534 11 167 12 160 15 155 16 178 18 165 5534 4876 15 163 17 158 19 153 17 164 22 156 4876 4297 21 158 24 158 19 151 15 156 20 152 4297 3815 22 156 22 157 15*146 11 147 10 143 3815 3445 17 156 16 155 13*143 8 136 3 108 3445 3192 9 149 12 150 12 140 4 107 1 016 3192 3037 4*119 8*142 10 137 3*076 2*329 3037 2949 2*023 4*131 7 133 4*028 3*308 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography