DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.3 - - 61.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 192 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4046 - - 3884 - - 4503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5597 - - 5421 - - 5529 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7039 - - 6877 - - 7496 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3440 - - 3576 - - 3312 - - 5256 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 383 - - 330 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 297 - - 308 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -19 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 720 - - 221 - - 658 - - -1821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6319 - - 6657 - - 6839 - - 4773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -420 - - -1253 - - -900 - - -3300 ODpotential blCL - - - 7459 - - 8130 - - 8396 - - 6252 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 94 - - 92 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 160 - - 170 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.3 - - 61.9 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 40.3 - - 42.0 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 58.0 - - 60.9 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 39.4 - - 41.1 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 192 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4046 - - 3884 - - 4503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 76 - - 70 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99418 31 105 22 104 29 094 32 099 99418 91854 28 097 21 105 18 097 29 095 91854 86038 20 099 17 096 17 104 22 088 86038 81225 16 101 10 083 21 094 16 086 81225 77075 16 122 7 145 18 081 20 099 77075 73403 9 127 16 134 7 077 19 089 73403 70072 8 114 14 092 10 127 10 082 70072 67010 11 082 5 106 13 097 11 116 67010 64165 4 249 10 136 4 126 12 085 64165 61395 7 201 6 171 5 101 7 077 61395 58497 3 208 6 164 4 183 3 143 58497 55474 5 247 4 224 5 235 3 215 55474 52567 8 260 7 249 12 239 9 270 52567 49948 9 262 7 265 8 235 7 282 49948 47605 9 271 8 279 4 295 6 296 47605 45484 12 278 11 294 8 327 7 301 45484 43547 14 273 11 302 10 329 7 297 43547 41764 10 274 12 312 11 326 8 322 41764 40115 11 296 12 318 11 342 12 349 40115 38588 10 287 8 326 13 005 12 010 38588 37174 5 325 3 005 17 032 21 052 37174 35844 5 006 10 054 28 046 55 072 35844 34521 6 036 28 051 34 045 65 071 34521 33160 15 055 34 047 36 054 53 064 33160 31764 24 058 41 071 39 052 47 056 31764 30318 36 073 53 075 39 043 42 047 30318 28810 52 078 51 069 41 036 42 039 28810 27242 55 077 51 069 41 034 43 033 27242 25613 53 079 49 064 37 036 42 029 25613 23927 44 080 45 053 34 041 36 026 23927 22185 30 060 41 044 31 047 29 021 22185 20381 22 048 32 039 30 046 26 017 20381 18509 19 051 22 031 26 037 23 020 18509 16609 7 071 14 010 18 025 20 021 16609 14788 2 098 9 354 16 358 18 010 14788 13137 1 304 4 319 14 342 17 350 13137 11668 5 298 6 330 11 334 18 338 11668 10357 8 295 10 317 11 321 20 335 10357 9183 9 297 12 306 13 306 20 333 9183 8134 9 298 15 300 15*302 19 331 8134 7197 10*300 16*299 15*302 16 327 7197 6366 10*301 16*298 15 304 13 320 6366 5625 10 302 17 297 15 306 12 314 5625 4956 10 303 17 296 15 308 11 303 4956 4360 10 305 17 296 14 310 10 295 4360 3860 10 306 16 296 14 312 9 292 3860 3474 10 307 16 297 13 313 9 291 3474 3207 9 309 15 297 13 314 8 290 3207 3044 9 309 14 298 12 315 6*289 3044 2951 8 310 11 299 10 315 4*287 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography