DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 63.2 - - 64.6 - - 59.5 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 283 - - 134 - - 77 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4473 - - 5622 - - 2392 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 6019 - - 6486 - - 3717 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 7466 - - 8615 - - 5385 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2611 - - 1834 - - 2533 - - 2931 - - 3199 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 450 - - 379 - - 238 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 302 - - 319 - - 339 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4325 - - -728 - - 268 - - 11 - - -1033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7276 - - 8195 - - 8348 - - 5374 - - 3985 sfcLCL ODpotential -8318 - - -2934 - - -451 - - -832 - - -2804 ODpotential blCL 11269 - - 10400 - - 9066 - - 6217 - - 5756 blCL maxRH 91 - - 83 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 63.2 - - 64.6 - - 59.5 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 37.5 - - 38.2 - - 46.1 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 61.2 - - 63.4 - - 58.6 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 36.5 - - 37.5 - - 45.7 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 283 - - 134 - - 77 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4473 - - 5622 - - 2392 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 33 - - 102 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97795 10 051 11 153 5 290 8 217 5 317 97795 90383 7 051 3 106 6 173 3 025 4 104 90383 84711 5 062 2 016 3 153 6 047 6 027 84711 80019 5 044 4 028 5 047 1 045 7 006 80019 75959 5 066 4 292 6 030 0 316 5 331 75959 72351 2 046 10 246 8 318 6 336 4 244 72351 69068 3 281 11 241 13 274 12 316 4 301 69068 66040 9 272 9 246 12 249 18 287 11 292 66040 63219 12 262 13 271 14 256 18 263 15 295 63219 60478 12 259 15 279 14 260 20 284 18 302 60478 57619 14 296 14 279 13 282 15 282 16 295 57619 54663 14 298 13 302 13 305 13 316 20 305 54663 51853 12 317 17 305 17 302 21 316 21 311 51853 49331 18 312 16 295 22 301 26 319 24 321 49331 47074 20 311 16 313 23 301 25 313 27 323 47074 45026 23 320 20 322 21 306 24 314 29 321 45026 43152 25 321 25 320 23 308 28 317 30 319 43152 41437 26 318 29 312 28 308 31 311 30 316 41437 39861 21 316 31 311 36 303 31 306 30 318 39861 38410 20 319 33 307 46 297 35 296 35 314 38410 37070 22 327 31 304 42 291 43 291 37 307 37070 35797 22 335 29 301 37 291 46 283 35 299 35797 34511 21 341 25 299 34 290 40 275 33 295 34511 33179 21 342 23 299 31 288 38 278 31 301 33179 31805 21 335 24 301 32 291 36 287 32 305 31805 30375 19 327 24 302 33 295 35 292 34 309 30375 28880 18 317 23 300 33 297 34 293 36 311 28880 27320 16 315 23 293 30 295 31 291 30 307 27320 25693 15 314 24 286 28 290 29 288 21 299 25693 24004 16 312 24 286 25 287 28 286 19 305 24004 22258 15 314 23 286 24 292 27 286 20 314 22258 20450 16 316 22 286 25 300 26 290 22 317 20450 18574 18 313 23 289 26 301 27 294 22 317 18574 16668 16 312 25 295 25 295 27 296 21 314 16668 14833 16 308 24 298 24 290 26 295 20 310 14833 13162 17 306 20 298 24 288 25 289 21 307 13162 11679 18 302 18 295 19 282 22 286 23 312 11679 10360 20 296 18 294 14 283 18 297 24 315 10360 9183 19 290 17 293 12*288 15 304 21 321 9183 8131 17 291 13*292 11*297 13 311 18 329 8131 7192 14 300 10*293 11 306 12 320 14 337 7192 6359 13 317 10 295 11 315 12 328 11 343 6359 5617 12 328 9 298 11 320 13*336 8 343 5617 4949 13 331 9 301 11 325 13*338 6 331 4949 4354 13 327 9 305 11 328 13 339 5 318 4354 3855 13 316 8 309 11 330 13 340 3 316 3855 3470 12 304 8 312 11 332 13 340 1 357 3470 3205 10 293 8 315 11 333 13 340 2 048 3205 3044 9*291 7 315 10 334 12 340 2*067 3044 2951 6*288 7 316 9 335 10 340 2*073 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography