DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 75.8 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 187 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 2954 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2935 - - 4690 - - - - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3702 - - 5947 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1617 - - 2659 - - - - - 763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 338 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 40 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 037 - - - - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 19 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8616 - - -7989 - - - - - -8197 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12319 - - 13937 - - - - - 11149 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16218 - - -14208 - - - - - -17264 ODpotential blCL - - - 19920 - - 20155 - - - - - 20216 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 86 - - - - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 75.8 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 25.0 - - - - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 74.1 - - - - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.5 - - 24.7 - - - - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 187 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 2954 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 45 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97560 8 258 13 274 14 286 97560 90327 4 325 8 276 8 334 90327 84693 6 325 7 282 7 334 84693 80004 8 285 8 258 8 296 80004 75970 14 281 15 272 18 302 75970 72415 15 275 14 278 33 303 72415 69228 15 294 24 287 29 290 69228 66301 20 290 19 275 19 276 66301 63551 21 285 18 285 25 307 63551 60872 33 274 35 288 40 294 60872 58107 39 260 46 274 42 284 58107 55254 41 255 46 264 39 279 55254 52522 44 261 45 263 41 274 52522 50053 50 262 47 264 43 271 50053 47834 54 259 51 264 45 273 47834 45817 54 252 53 261 50 274 45817 43976 51 246 52 253 52 266 43976 42295 44 239 49 247 53 257 42295 40754 37 235 45 241 53 252 40754 39315 35 237 44 241 52 250 39315 37958 34 243 43 246 50 253 37958 36648 34 245 43 248 48 250 36648 35322 34 247 42 251 47 248 35322 33952 34 254 41 256 46 252 33952 32540 35 262 38 252 44 254 32540 31072 34 261 36 242 42 254 31072 29538 32 251 35 239 40 254 29538 27940 31 239 35 243 38 253 27940 26277 31 242 35 253 37 253 26277 24551 31 243 35 258 36 254 24551 22764 32 241 34 256 34 257 22764 20912 32 242 33 253 33 256 20912 18987 31 246 32 251 31 253 18987 17029 30 250 31 251 29 251 17029 15146 28 247 30 249 26 254 15146 13435 27 240 29 246 22 261 13435 11914 26 236 28 246 19 264 11914 10558 22 237 25 245 18 259 10558 9346 18 242 21 241 17 250 9346 8263 16 250 17 236 17 244 8263 7297 16 257 12 233 13 235 7297 6440 17 259 7*232 9 215 6440 5678 15 254 3*232 7 185 5678 4993 12 244 0 336 7 165 4993 4384 8 221 2 039 6 149 4384 3874 5*199 3 040 4 125 3874 3481 4*180 3 041 3 079 3481 3210 4 166 4 041 1 051 3210 3046 3 159 4 043 1*275 3046 2951 3 152 4 042 2*257 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography