DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 71.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.2 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 305 - - 350 - - 138 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2207 - - 6259 - - 5986 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4330 - - 7509 - - 6790 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5200 - - 9252 - - 8979 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1274 - - 2936 - - 4527 - - 4467 - - 6978 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 364 - - 540 - - 393 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 349 - - 006 - - 009 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6067 - - -4872 - - -3109 - - -4024 - - -7351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9019 - - 10073 - - 12362 - - 13004 - - 10304 sfcLCL ODpotential -9461 - - -7204 - - -5056 - - -6201 - - -10788 ODpotential blCL 12413 - - 12404 - - 14308 - - 15180 - - 13740 blCL maxRH 85 - - 54 - - 46 - - 46 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 71.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.2 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 37.4 - - 33.1 - - 29.9 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 69.3 - - 75.1 - - 75.8 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 36.6 - - 31.9 - - 28.8 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 305 - - 350 - - 138 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2207 - - 6259 - - 5986 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97683 7 217 21 216 26 262 9 273 9 240 97683 90188 4 231 13 227 12 254 14 258 8 255 90188 84447 2 235 6 250 8 231 11 268 9 272 84447 79720 3 355 5 314 8 248 12 261 11 282 79720 75655 8 012 9 316 8 268 10 278 11 300 75655 72064 10 359 11 311 8 272 14 322 13 322 72064 68817 12 330 10 306 11 291 16 323 13 322 68817 65830 13 325 8 312 14 307 15 312 15 319 65830 63049 15 327 11 321 15 315 15 299 16 309 63049 60340 14 321 13 315 13 305 16 291 17 301 60340 57502 15 328 11 308 12 293 17 290 18 297 57502 54553 15 317 12 312 14 296 18 294 19 301 54553 51741 13 307 14 296 17 294 18 299 18 298 51741 49215 12 304 14 285 19 290 18 306 16 286 49215 46960 12 311 13 295 16 280 19 308 15 285 46960 44929 13 314 12 313 11 274 16 294 15 300 44929 43085 9 300 11 301 8 279 12 286 13 317 43085 41396 10 276 6 336 4 312 8 290 10 332 41396 39842 15 263 16 276 11 016 7 355 8 005 39842 38411 14 288 14 234 13 260 12 339 9 037 38411 37082 16 294 20 304 17 262 11 325 11 064 37082 35808 21 285 27 303 19 296 11 316 15 073 35808 34520 23 273 27 294 21 301 13 311 14 068 34520 33191 23 260 26 293 20 300 14 310 11 057 33191 31823 22 255 23 300 19 306 16 321 9 048 31823 30405 16 275 19 299 17 312 14 329 8 050 30405 28923 14 295 18 305 15 314 13 327 8 059 28923 27379 13 284 12 304 11 305 10 321 6 060 27379 25771 6 272 11 299 10 295 9 309 5 037 25771 24102 5 247 9 267 9 294 8 317 5 008 24102 22376 5 246 8 265 8 322 2 329 4 345 22376 20589 5 293 6 323 3 351 2 240 4 330 20589 18731 4 312 5 021 2 203 1 285 5 331 18731 16839 8 248 3 002 2 258 4 346 6 343 16839 15013 15 239 4 324 4 310 7 351 8 355 15013 13346 12 235 4 318 5 319 8 354 9 005 13346 11857 7 239 4 319 6 330 8 001 8 019 11857 10526 3 257 4 327 6 346 9 007 9 027 10526 9333 4 325 4 347 7*001 10*009 12 023 9333 8264 7 351 4 014 7*004 10*009 15 016 8264 7307 9 002 5 024 7 005 11 008 16 013 7307 6455 9 010 5 016 7 005 11 008 16 010 6455 5696 8 012 6*357 7 006 11 008 15 008 5696 5010 7 002 7*345 8 007 11 009 14 007 5010 4399 7 335 8 346 8 006 11 009 13 004 4399 3885 9 318 8 348 8 007 11 009 12 002 3885 3488 10 314 8 350 8 007 10 010 10 357 3488 3214 9 309 8 352 8 007 10 009 8 350 3214 3048 7*307 8 353 7 008 10 010 6*337 3048 2951 5*306 7 354 7 009 8 010 5*326 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography