DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 71.6 - - 71.8 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 304 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2585 - - 4451 - - 3858 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4559 - - 6021 - - 4536 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5578 - - 7444 - - 6851 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1765 - - 2097 - - 2499 - - 2479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 364 - - 456 - - 258 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 326 - - 332 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3144 - - -2706 - - -4085 - - -6149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8723 - - 10150 - - 10936 - - 9101 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6130 - - -5720 - - -7569 - - -12939 ODpotential blCL - - - 11708 - - 13164 - - 14420 - - 15891 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 53 - - 43 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 71.6 - - 71.8 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.9 - - 37.1 - - 33.9 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 69.4 - - 71.0 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 36.9 - - 33.7 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 304 - - 63 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2585 - - 4451 - - 3858 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98169 10 293 12 312 6 308 11 297 98169 90807 8 244 8 274 10 318 7 311 90807 85148 2 211 6 240 7 319 7 355 85148 80476 5 089 4 198 4 290 7 360 80476 76444 4 022 1 144 2 036 6 322 76444 72875 1 243 3 238 4 336 3 299 72875 69630 4 245 6 265 14 291 6 314 69630 66639 9 250 12 259 17 266 14 279 66639 63867 12 268 16 264 14 268 16 240 63867 61170 17 273 20 276 17 287 13 269 61170 58350 20 267 25 268 26 278 21 275 58350 55428 23 266 27 257 30 259 28 270 55428 52635 26 274 25 257 28 251 29 271 52635 50116 30 278 27 269 29 265 26 274 50116 47850 37 269 35 270 31 267 24 274 47850 45786 43 258 40 266 24 267 24 279 45786 43900 37 251 34 262 22 280 20 294 43900 42176 28 251 28 261 23 283 14 003 42176 40583 24 259 24 272 17 299 37 030 40583 39102 20 271 15 306 22 002 55 008 39102 37726 15 283 13 357 31 013 55 008 37726 36411 14 312 22 012 43 025 46 029 36411 35086 16 333 33 022 66 037 55 053 35086 33718 18 347 45 024 80 035 67 053 33718 32308 22 356 44 021 82 038 64 051 32308 30847 27 006 39 020 68 034 58 050 30847 29321 27 007 37 018 57 022 49 042 29321 27729 18 330 29 017 51 014 43 042 27729 26073 13 212 26 030 42 014 38 028 26073 24352 18 201 12 016 34 014 41 015 24352 22575 12 234 9 285 30 011 37 014 22575 20736 11 287 8 297 28 014 28 021 20736 18828 10 281 10 304 20 019 23 022 18828 16887 6 273 11 296 10 349 19 009 16887 15023 8 291 14 295 10 311 19 355 15023 13334 8 304 11 297 11 311 18 351 13334 11834 7 321 7 310 11 320 17 351 11834 10497 6 326 7 324 12 326 17 352 10497 9302 6 327 10 325 13 328 19 352 9302 8232 8 324 12*323 13 326 19 351 8232 7277 12 322 13*323 13*327 19 350 7277 6429 15 321 13 324 13*328 17 349 6429 5673 15*321 13 324 13 329 16 348 5673 4992 15*322 13 326 12 331 14 347 4992 4385 15 323 13 327 12 333 13 344 4385 3876 15 324 13 329 12 334 11 341 3876 3483 14 325 13 330 12 335 9 336 3483 3211 13 327 12 331 11 335 8 322 3211 3046 13 328 12 332 10 336 7*305 3046 2951 11 329 10 332 9 337 5*291 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography