DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.8 - - 46.7 - - 43.3 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 95 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 916 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 3909 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 796 - - 828 - - 1416 - - 514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 184 - - 1 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 055 - - 065 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1340 - - -1166 - - -1557 - - -234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4292 - - 5075 - - 4508 - - 3185 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9381 - - -7139 - - -8283 - - -7684 ODpotential blCL - - - 12332 - - 11048 - - 11234 - - 10635 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 73 - - 81 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.8 - - 46.7 - - 43.3 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 34.9 - - 34.0 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 45.4 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 34.4 - - 33.6 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 95 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 916 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 14 074 19 078 23 073 31 092 96617 89550 20 090 17 102 15 077 27 083 89550 84035 17 091 9 107 7 104 13 068 84035 79434 13 098 12 115 10 120 8 093 79434 75429 5 103 8 132 7 111 6 108 75429 71853 3 314 6 194 1 191 4 084 71853 68601 8 270 9 242 6 271 5 262 68601 65603 13 286 10 254 9 258 12 240 65603 62824 19 265 18 270 19 280 17 267 62824 60129 20 244 22 263 25 266 17 270 60129 57318 18 268 21 272 28 270 30 274 57318 54419 21 273 21 268 30 257 32 258 54419 51662 29 277 28 278 30 273 31 268 51662 49179 36 268 40 279 43 278 40 274 49179 46955 38 264 40 277 46 273 46 269 46955 44939 37 268 41 278 48 271 48 264 44939 43100 38 277 43 276 49 271 50 268 43100 41417 35 279 47 278 56 276 59 273 41417 39870 34 285 48 277 59 272 65 271 39870 38439 40 290 45 279 53 267 64 268 38439 37100 45 289 45 283 49 271 61 266 37100 35813 45 286 44 285 50 276 59 267 35813 34510 43 283 42 282 49 277 55 268 34510 33163 41 279 40 282 45 276 51 269 33163 31778 38 275 39 285 42 276 48 270 31778 30338 33 267 37 284 41 276 45 270 30338 28834 30 267 34 282 39 275 42 268 28834 27269 27 279 33 282 37 273 38 267 27269 25642 25 290 32 283 37 272 36 270 25642 23954 24 293 30 283 35 272 35 272 23954 22208 20 291 26 281 32 273 35 271 22208 20399 18 282 22 275 29 272 34 270 20399 18521 20 275 21 271 27 273 32 271 18521 16612 19 275 21 271 27 276 30 273 16612 14775 16 277 20 275 24 280 26 277 14775 13105 15 276 18 283 19 282 21 276 13105 11618 14 276 15 285 16 285 18 274 11618 10294 13 271 14 281 13 283 17 275 10294 9113 13 265 13 276 12 282 16 274 9113 8061 12 258 13 269 12 280 16 275 8061 7125 11 252 12 261 13 272 16 276 7125 6298 9 250 12 253 12 260 15 275 6298 5564 7 247 10 245 11 244 12 271 5564 4905 6 231 6 237 8 226 7 263 4905 4320 5 201 2*221 4 196 4 246 4320 3831 5 181 2*062 3 151 1 212 3831 3455 3 164 2 057 2 107 1 057 3455 3197 1 084 3 052 2 085 2 034 3197 3040 2*076 3 052 2*072 2*027 3040 2950 2*074 3 051 2*065 2*034 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography