DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 78.5 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 244 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1156 - - 2106 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3407 - - 4179 - - - - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4149 - - 5099 - - - - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 921 - - 1376 - - - - - 1005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 330 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 055 - - 351 - - - - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5703 - - -6232 - - - - - -5350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9852 - - 11332 - - - - - 8303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12203 - - -11023 - - - - - -12769 ODpotential blCL - - - 16352 - - 16122 - - - - - 15722 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 71 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 78.5 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 39.3 - - - - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 76.6 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 39.0 - - - - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 244 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1156 - - 2106 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97678 16 283 15 291 16 312 97678 90499 9 349 7 354 17 338 90499 84923 10 347 9 006 12 324 84923 80297 7 318 13 343 13 338 80297 76312 10 322 11 319 21 349 76312 72774 15 325 10 346 21 324 72774 69576 21 297 16 318 18 327 69576 66633 20 286 21 296 22 319 66633 63888 17 282 24 278 28 300 63888 61223 18 286 24 274 32 294 61223 58442 30 294 34 285 36 294 58442 55568 46 286 48 278 44 294 55568 52839 55 281 57 279 52 287 52839 50387 65 281 67 280 57 283 50387 48189 74 282 74 281 60 286 48189 46192 75 282 73 282 62 290 46192 44361 71 282 71 283 64 290 44361 42673 63 278 67 279 62 287 42673 41109 56 275 61 277 61 286 41109 39646 52 277 58 280 57 287 39646 38269 50 282 56 285 52 289 38269 36943 48 287 53 286 48 289 36943 35599 47 281 49 284 46 288 35599 34213 50 274 48 279 45 287 34213 32787 53 276 49 278 40 288 32787 31307 52 279 47 282 33 287 31307 29764 50 280 41 286 28 286 29764 28156 50 274 36 288 28 284 28156 26483 46 272 36 285 29 281 26483 24748 42 275 39 280 30 283 24748 22952 41 273 37 275 30 290 22952 21089 41 269 36 272 29 295 21089 19155 37 268 35 271 26 292 19155 17186 33 269 32 274 24 286 17186 15291 29 272 27 275 22 285 15291 13565 24 271 23 274 21 286 13565 12028 21 266 20 273 21 285 12028 10656 19 264 19 272 21 285 10656 9431 16 264 17 267 19 289 9431 8336 13 263 16 261 16 293 8336 7359 10 258 14 258 13 296 7359 6492 8 251 11 264 11 296 6492 5719 6 242 7*282 9 293 5719 5024 5 239 6*329 6 294 5024 4406 2*233 6 347 2 314 4406 3888 1*051 7 352 2 056 3888 3490 1 059 7 357 2 079 3490 3215 2 056 7 359 1 099 3215 3047 2 053 7 360 1*189 3047 2952 2 053 6 000 2*205 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography