DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.6 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 46.1 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 8 - - -1 - - -13 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 406 - - 683 - - 975 - - 481 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 22 - - 12 - - 9 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 140 - - 205 - - 279 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - -55 - - 1 - - 1 - - -285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 3006 - - 2950 - - 2950 - - 3236 sfcLCL ODpotential -2914 - - -2974 - - -2429 - - -3713 - - -3858 ODpotential blCL 5865 - - 5925 - - 5380 - - 6664 - - 6809 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 37.6 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 46.1 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - 43.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.4 - - 42.5 - - 46.4 - - 47.7 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 39.5 - - 43.0 - - 43.7 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 8 - - -1 - - -13 - - -82 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 94 - - 98 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96680 42 096 40 084 46 077 47 080 42 082 96680 89511 35 086 31 085 28 065 31 062 30 066 89511 83961 27 066 23 071 25 052 25 038 18 055 83961 79337 24 041 13 063 19 023 20 007 17 006 79337 75344 15 011 15 033 15 012 16 003 19 014 75344 71805 9 011 19 360 27 000 21 349 25 360 71805 68595 13 351 20 337 25 343 20 343 22 342 68595 65637 20 331 14 306 18 316 20 319 21 312 65637 62901 30 333 21 321 23 331 24 333 21 321 62901 60256 34 317 37 319 33 315 32 318 23 305 60256 57497 37 315 39 307 38 303 37 304 29 297 57497 54610 40 322 40 316 40 311 46 309 43 315 54610 51843 51 337 60 323 56 316 56 314 60 314 51843 49362 72 329 66 321 61 315 65 313 73 311 49362 47141 77 325 65 321 59 313 70 313 80 310 47141 45123 77 325 64 320 58 313 75 318 82 313 45123 43276 77 328 63 320 59 318 81 327 85 320 43276 41577 77 332 64 323 73 328 97 331 96 323 41577 40002 77 337 73 333 102 331 111 329 110 321 40002 38537 84 342 101 335 118 332 112 326 118 317 38537 37173 102 345 133 339 129 338 110 328 116 317 37173 35865 114 344 157 341 134 339 108 331 113 319 35865 34543 146 345 154 338 134 336 102 334 113 320 34543 33175 167 345 150 336 135 334 105 334 116 321 33175 31768 154 344 143 338 132 335 116 330 119 321 31768 30310 130 344 131 339 120 334 116 328 119 322 30310 28791 108 345 118 337 105 331 107 326 116 323 28791 27212 96 342 109 336 96 327 98 325 110 323 27212 25575 89 341 105 336 89 326 90 326 103 322 25575 23881 80 340 96 337 82 325 84 324 98 321 23881 22132 75 338 73 337 76 320 79 320 90 319 22132 20324 68 342 61 328 64 316 74 317 82 316 20324 18454 56 339 53 324 47 321 71 315 77 313 18454 16559 53 331 49 333 36 333 70 315 73 311 16559 14740 51 330 44 336 36 322 66 317 65 309 14740 13089 46 330 38 335 38 311 56 321 58 308 13089 11623 41 327 32 331 40 307 44 322 55 311 11623 10319 36 326 29 326 39 308 42 318 52 315 10319 9152 33 327 27 323 37 308 43 315 51 317 9152 8107 28 327 22 317 35 306 45 307 49 318 8107 7173 24 326 18 304 32 300 48 297 48 315 7173 6344 20 317 15 290 29 291 49 287 47 310 6344 5606 18 305 14 279 28 282 48 279 47 301 5606 4940 16 298 13 278 25 274 45 273 47 291 4940 4347 13 295 12 275 20 268 39 268 45 283 4347 3851 9 295 8 265 14 262 31 264 41 277 3851 3467 5 301 5 243 8 255 21 264 35 271 3467 3203 2 294 3 199 5 249 12 264 27 268 3203 3042 1*153 2*159 3*240 7*267 21*267 3042 2950 3*128 2*140 1*205 2*279 11*265 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography