DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 58.3 - - 63.8 - - 63.1 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 46 - - 187 - - 34 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 724 - - 3610 - - 2056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2935 - - 5192 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3717 - - 6603 - - 5049 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 95 - - 2962 - - 2037 - - 3345 - - 296 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 143 - - 367 - - 175 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 286 - - 293 - - 296 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - 12 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -883 - - -2771 - - -1389 - - -3370 - - -3031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3834 - - 6488 - - 7992 - - 8420 - - 5983 sfcLCL ODpotential -9150 - - -7541 - - -4525 - - -7035 - - -7532 ODpotential blCL 12101 - - 11258 - - 11128 - - 12084 - - 10484 blCL maxRH 66 - - 57 - - 64 - - 85 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 58.3 - - 63.8 - - 63.1 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 40.2 - - 38.9 - - 36.4 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 57.7 - - 62.3 - - 62.5 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 39.0 - - 37.9 - - 35.7 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 46 - - 187 - - 34 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 724 - - 3610 - - 2056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96140 18 048 15 030 10 074 11 084 13 040 96140 89057 12 060 9 067 8 056 7 074 9 025 89057 83558 6 359 6 090 3 062 10 034 11 019 83558 78975 7 077 4 116 7 275 12 010 9 007 78975 74998 14 352 3 071 6 248 13 347 6 352 74998 71453 11 287 11 326 10 281 15 300 9 337 71453 68235 11 333 11 335 11 244 20 286 21 307 68235 65311 20 340 14 354 9 286 24 289 18 310 65311 62607 30 306 23 314 16 300 13 279 26 303 62607 59979 29 291 15 298 11 312 24 316 38 299 59979 57249 29 324 22 317 34 308 45 306 39 294 57249 54414 36 331 43 305 41 301 43 303 41 290 54414 51694 33 321 43 298 40 296 42 296 47 286 51694 49232 29 297 38 291 41 295 45 287 53 284 49232 47010 28 289 36 287 46 291 52 282 60 283 47010 44982 31 301 39 283 53 283 58 279 67 283 44982 43127 38 306 44 282 57 280 65 282 70 282 43127 41437 46 303 51 289 61 284 68 287 66 286 41437 39890 53 301 60 297 68 289 78 298 81 297 39890 38458 57 301 66 299 73 288 88 296 94 295 38458 37116 60 302 67 297 74 286 87 287 94 290 37116 35825 61 302 67 296 71 287 82 283 92 286 35825 34521 62 303 67 298 68 290 78 288 85 285 34521 33175 63 307 66 299 68 297 85 304 74 285 33175 31790 63 309 65 300 70 301 93 307 67 289 31790 30354 60 308 63 300 69 299 82 304 70 296 30354 28858 55 304 64 299 67 295 71 303 70 294 28858 27301 52 301 64 296 62 292 72 300 70 287 27301 25679 50 301 61 293 59 288 71 295 70 286 25679 23993 49 303 56 290 60 285 65 289 68 287 23993 22248 46 303 53 289 61 284 60 285 65 286 22248 20443 42 298 51 289 58 285 56 286 59 285 20443 18576 41 291 49 289 52 286 51 287 52 285 18576 16682 42 290 47 289 47 286 46 287 44 286 16682 14860 40 293 45 289 45 286 42 286 37 285 14860 13201 33 291 42 286 43 284 38 285 34 284 13201 11722 30 282 39 282 41 283 35 286 32 282 11722 10403 32 279 37 282 38 285 32 286 29 283 10403 9225 31 285 33 286 33 289 28 284 27 287 9225 8170 28 292 27 292 27 291 24 280 26 291 8170 7227 26 296 22 299 20*290 21 277 25 291 7227 6389 24 297 20 302 17*289 17 276 23 291 6389 5641 24 292 19 297 14 288 13*279 21 289 5641 4967 23 283 18 288 13 291 10*285 19 288 4967 4367 22 272 16 281 12 293 8 292 14 284 4367 3863 19 262 12*280 11 296 7 297 8 274 3863 3475 15 251 9*283 11 300 6 301 3 246 3475 3207 10 232 8 286 10 300 6 304 2 171 3207 3044 7*221 7 287 9 302 5 306 3*136 3044 2951 3*144 6 290 8 304 5 308 3*120 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography