DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - 44.4 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 21 - - 70 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3689 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 4658 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 6682 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3383 - - 5474 - - 3636 - - 7316 - - 2830 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 33 - - 274 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 281 - - 304 - - 298 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -20 - - -12 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -583 - - -2302 - - 786 - - -2820 - - -1298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3534 - - 5253 - - 5897 - - 5772 - - 4250 sfcLCL ODpotential -2409 - - -3382 - - -390 - - -3485 - - -4056 ODpotential blCL 5360 - - 6333 - - 7072 - - 6436 - - 7007 blCL maxRH 98 - - 88 - - 90 - - 85 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 50 - - 80 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - 44.4 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 31.2 - - 30.1 - - 29.7 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 43.2 - - 44.5 - - 44.2 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 30.0 - - 28.9 - - 28.6 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 21 - - 70 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3689 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 51 - - 61 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97032 27 080 27 092 29 088 33 083 24 077 97032 89945 32 089 24 103 21 103 31 098 27 079 89945 84378 26 089 25 112 17 104 25 098 25 098 84378 79690 18 086 20 104 12 108 15 095 21 086 79690 75613 8 095 12 096 9 124 10 095 11 074 75613 72008 3 117 1 090 5 047 4 121 3 052 72008 68746 2 330 3 328 5 349 4 152 2 249 68746 65741 2 245 7 248 6 248 3 172 6 270 65741 62945 16 278 3 240 8 248 9 221 15 264 62945 60244 18 264 6 257 6 262 3 227 15 264 60244 57429 33 260 29 263 20 293 14 300 10 285 57429 54478 27 244 34 246 38 263 37 274 34 282 54478 51642 19 277 32 257 40 265 46 265 43 268 51642 49083 43 274 45 265 46 262 48 260 43 267 49083 46782 52 263 46 256 48 260 47 262 46 270 46782 44695 54 266 45 256 51 265 50 261 54 263 44695 42787 58 272 46 263 53 266 47 264 46 261 42787 41025 61 271 51 275 54 274 52 276 44 275 41025 39394 63 273 67 282 66 277 73 275 63 280 39394 37899 72 276 88 278 91 269 94 262 85 271 37899 36538 86 274 107 269 104 258 95 251 91 262 36538 35251 95 268 110 261 94 251 88 249 92 255 35251 33950 93 263 93 264 72 259 84 249 74 257 33950 32613 84 262 80 277 79 287 72 260 68 275 32613 31250 77 265 86 288 107 295 78 287 76 280 31250 29836 76 269 95 289 121 294 92 293 77 278 29836 28354 78 271 94 284 126 294 93 290 77 284 28354 26805 81 272 89 278 118 293 87 285 70 284 26805 25190 78 273 86 276 100 286 83 281 62 280 25190 23514 69 273 78 277 90 278 80 278 60 280 23514 21784 58 272 65 282 79 279 74 282 59 285 21784 20003 51 270 52 286 64 294 64 292 48 295 20003 18171 47 273 44 289 55 304 49 310 35 311 18171 16316 41 280 38 290 45 304 45 323 28 332 16316 14530 32 282 32 291 34 304 35 322 22 327 14530 12906 24 285 25 290 25 302 22 312 16 315 12906 11462 22 302 18 295 16 296 13 296 13 309 11462 10175 24 314 19 313 12 309 9 285 12 307 10175 9025 28 317 23 323 12 315 9 291 11 308 9025 7997 29 317 26 325 13 314 9 294 10 313 7997 7080 29 317 28 322 13*310 9 295 8 318 7080 6267 29 316 30 316 14*307 9 296 6 326 6267 5544 28 313 30 310 14 304 10 297 4 334 5544 4894 26 308 29 301 14 303 10 297 2 346 4894 4315 25 302 28 292 13 303 10 298 1 353 4315 3829 23 297 26 285 13 303 10 298 0 248 3829 3455 20 290 24 283 13 303 9 298 1 199 3455 3197 17 286 22 282 12 303 9 299 2 188 3197 3040 13*285 20*282 11 304 8*298 3*179 3040 2950 7*281 13*281 9 304 6*298 3*180 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography