DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 55.5 - - - - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -10 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 376 - - 2315 - - - - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 18 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 227 - - - - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -14 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -1347 - - - - - -414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2950 - - 4300 - - - - - 3367 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4085 - - -3503 - - - - - -4799 ODpotential blCL - - - 7036 - - 6455 - - - - - 7751 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 86 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 55.5 - - - - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 46.5 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 56.1 - - - - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - - - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -10 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 44 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96091 18 352 16 334 20 353 96091 89025 14 321 17 323 15 325 89025 83503 27 306 20 299 20 322 83503 78914 30 314 24 282 30 295 78914 74992 28 319 27 306 27 285 74992 71537 34 293 33 303 21 285 71537 68386 36 280 33 283 23 296 68386 65462 37 285 37 269 31 282 65462 62734 52 288 50 270 40 260 62734 60067 62 280 67 271 54 250 60067 57257 73 277 76 271 72 253 57257 54333 80 273 82 270 82 256 54333 51552 85 270 88 269 84 256 51552 49055 85 264 92 265 85 255 49055 46819 82 264 94 262 87 255 46819 44795 85 267 91 260 91 258 44795 42948 90 267 90 259 93 258 42948 41249 96 265 94 259 94 257 41249 39683 102 262 103 258 97 257 39683 38239 104 259 108 255 105 258 38239 36901 101 258 105 251 114 258 36901 35620 98 260 100 250 117 256 35620 34327 95 262 97 252 113 255 34327 32988 91 261 95 254 108 254 32988 31610 89 259 94 255 100 253 31610 30180 88 259 92 255 94 251 30180 28688 86 260 86 253 90 251 28688 27134 81 260 78 250 89 250 27134 25517 75 259 73 252 83 248 25517 23840 69 256 73 255 78 246 23840 22109 67 258 72 257 73 245 22109 20319 69 263 72 258 68 249 20319 18464 72 265 71 259 67 256 18464 16579 70 263 69 260 63 260 16579 14764 67 261 67 261 59 263 14764 13112 64 261 65 263 54 263 13112 11640 64 262 64 264 50 263 11640 10327 65 262 64 263 50 263 10327 9155 64 261 64 260 53 263 9155 8109 60 259 62 256 55 261 8109 7176 54 256 59 252 55 257 7176 6347 50 252 55 248 54 253 6347 5610 47 249 51 245 52 249 5610 4945 41 246 46 244 50 246 4945 4352 32 242 39 243 46 244 4352 3853 21 235 29 242 37 244 3853 3469 13 222 20 241 25 243 3469 3204 8 202 13 237 14 242 3204 3042 5*180 9*235 8*235 3042 2951 4*146 4*227 1*163 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography