DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 52.2 - - 48.4 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 0 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 762 - - 4143 - - 678 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 18 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 162 - - 160 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -545 - - -653 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3496 - - 3605 - - 2951 - - 2951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3036 - - -2166 - - -2656 - - -3128 ODpotential blCL - - - 5987 - - 5118 - - 5608 - - 6080 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 85 - - 84 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 220 - - 180 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 52.2 - - 48.4 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 46.5 - - 46.3 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.7 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 45.4 - - 46.1 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 0 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 40 - - 37 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96002 24 336 24 347 27 347 16 357 96002 88919 23 328 17 338 18 324 19 308 88919 83416 22 326 19 327 23 335 14 300 83416 78844 19 319 23 305 31 306 18 322 78844 74888 28 297 20 299 23 292 24 301 74888 71401 30 293 19 279 14 288 21 284 71401 68245 27 274 30 278 28 281 25 275 68245 65326 40 254 37 260 34 255 31 253 65326 62593 37 245 40 249 31 258 29 248 62593 59906 43 257 47 262 44 267 43 264 59906 57085 61 262 64 261 64 264 59 264 57085 54161 76 258 76 255 75 257 71 257 54161 51378 84 252 81 253 80 251 79 249 51378 48875 87 250 87 255 84 252 81 248 48875 46635 93 251 97 252 92 254 86 252 46635 44610 99 250 102 249 100 252 94 253 44610 42764 100 251 100 246 101 248 99 252 42764 41068 102 253 96 248 99 248 103 251 41068 39503 108 255 102 255 103 252 110 249 39503 38058 112 254 113 257 113 255 110 248 38058 36721 114 253 116 256 115 255 105 250 36721 35445 114 252 112 255 110 255 103 253 35445 34154 112 251 108 256 104 256 104 253 34154 32820 111 250 105 257 100 255 104 252 32820 31447 109 250 98 251 96 251 100 251 31447 30022 110 252 95 245 94 248 96 252 30022 28538 105 254 94 245 93 247 91 251 28538 26994 96 253 94 245 92 246 86 248 26994 25388 91 252 94 248 90 247 84 243 25388 23719 89 251 91 251 88 249 85 246 23719 21994 85 251 84 253 83 252 83 255 21994 20215 78 251 75 252 73 252 69 253 20215 18376 70 252 65 251 63 250 56 241 18376 16503 64 253 58 252 56 248 49 230 16503 14698 60 255 53 255 55 249 44 228 14698 13055 56 257 51 256 53 252 42 241 13055 11595 48 257 46 255 47 254 38 252 11595 10293 38 254 39 252 41 252 29 253 10293 9129 29 248 34 247 36 248 23 255 9129 8088 23 243 30 243 31 244 20 259 8088 7159 19 239 27 241 26 242 18 261 7159 6334 16 240 22 238 22 240 18 258 6334 5599 14 243 18 234 18 238 19 252 5599 4935 12 246 15 226 14 231 20 243 4935 4344 10 247 11 212 10 215 19 232 4344 3848 7 240 9 196 9 187 16 218 3848 3466 4 208 7 183 10 166 13 202 3466 3202 5 174 6 171 8 157 9 193 3202 3042 4*166 6*167 7*155 6*189 3042 2951 3*159 5*162 4*160 3*201 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography