DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.5 - - 44.2 - - 47.5 - - 45.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 111 - - 160 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3334 - - 4818 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 4708 - - 5987 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 6327 - - 7811 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 786 - - 2970 - - 3152 - - 6527 - - 1839 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 301 - - 379 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 312 - - 311 - - 006 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -4 - - 3 - - 7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1167 - - -279 - - 157 - - -3998 - - -1866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4117 - - 6607 - - 7655 - - 6949 - - 4817 sfcLCL ODpotential -3570 - - -1699 - - -659 - - -4745 - - -5166 ODpotential blCL 6520 - - 8026 - - 8470 - - 7696 - - 8117 blCL maxRH 64 - - 73 - - 89 - - 83 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.5 - - 44.2 - - 47.5 - - 45.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 25.8 - - 24.5 - - 26.0 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 43.1 - - 46.3 - - 45.5 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 24.6 - - 23.9 - - 25.7 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 111 - - 160 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3334 - - 4818 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 58 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 23 315 18 313 17 281 26 280 28 325 96614 89515 18 284 16 322 16 298 16 311 16 307 89515 84041 11 320 6 282 10 301 10 331 6 331 84041 79464 15 295 8 296 10 340 7 310 11 343 79464 75499 9 245 21 254 18 311 18 350 18 344 75499 72005 4 010 16 228 22 273 20 294 14 331 72005 68833 20 321 20 338 8 282 13 300 15 333 68833 65896 40 280 33 308 23 311 24 312 28 311 65896 63162 38 271 31 293 27 301 28 301 25 317 63162 60511 34 297 31 289 30 299 35 303 37 308 60511 57738 45 298 40 289 41 289 43 294 37 299 57738 54833 43 292 52 288 45 290 47 297 38 313 54833 52042 46 290 61 288 55 302 64 305 62 303 52042 49532 60 291 64 290 70 299 74 297 70 306 49532 47303 70 294 64 298 76 299 81 307 81 311 47303 45299 78 298 77 306 82 308 98 309 91 314 45299 43463 87 299 97 305 101 313 106 308 109 314 43463 41766 95 297 105 300 120 307 112 306 123 310 41766 40192 96 295 98 298 126 299 117 305 131 307 40192 38719 92 296 92 303 108 301 119 308 135 306 38719 37330 92 300 96 309 110 312 122 311 129 307 37330 35989 96 304 104 313 127 317 129 315 122 316 35989 34643 100 307 112 315 139 317 140 316 130 324 34643 33259 102 308 114 315 135 317 139 317 138 323 33259 31832 102 310 110 315 123 316 130 318 145 325 31832 30346 102 311 108 315 115 313 120 316 137 329 30346 28806 102 310 110 313 112 313 115 314 115 322 28806 27217 100 308 113 311 107 313 114 313 115 315 27217 25568 92 307 111 310 102 311 100 315 116 318 25568 23857 80 306 101 312 94 309 81 313 106 325 23857 22093 71 305 87 313 88 312 72 309 90 329 22093 20273 65 302 72 310 79 315 68 317 68 323 20273 18390 60 302 60 308 67 313 62 318 55 315 18390 16478 49 302 48 306 54 309 53 315 48 316 16478 14642 36 297 37 299 38 306 42 312 40 313 14642 12980 27 295 25 287 26 297 31 307 32 306 12980 11509 20 307 16 289 19 285 24 296 24 299 11509 10204 18 325 12 301 13 278 18 283 18 291 10204 9043 19 337 9 317 11 282 13 281 11 295 9043 8008 20 344 9 328 8*289 11 287 8 303 8008 7088 20 346 8*330 8*294 9 299 6 298 7088 6272 19 343 7*323 7 299 8 317 4 283 6272 5547 17 338 7 314 7 306 7 339 2 257 5547 4894 16 331 7 309 7 312 7 351 1 183 4894 4314 15 324 7 309 7 317 7 356 4 142 4314 3829 15 314 7 310 6 323 7 001 6 136 3829 3455 14 304 6 311 6 325 7 002 7 140 3455 3197 12 290 6 311 6 327 7 004 6 153 3197 3040 10*285 6 312 6 328 7*005 5*172 3040 2950 6*275 5 313 5 330 6*006 4*181 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography