DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 57.6 - - 60.0 - - 52.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 56 - - 102 - - -17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 5849 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 6421 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 2952 - - 8842 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 277 - - 5303 - - 4014 - - 7601 - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 40 - - 347 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 19 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 194 - - 251 - - 267 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -6 - - 43 - - -13 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2580 - - -5049 - - 160 - - -3146 - - -1406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5532 - - 8001 - - 8682 - - 6098 - - 4357 sfcLCL ODpotential -7485 - - -6639 - - -522 - - -4399 - - -4358 ODpotential blCL 10437 - - 9591 - - 9364 - - 7350 - - 7309 blCL maxRH 64 - - 91 - - 95 - - 91 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 260 - - 220 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 57.6 - - 60.0 - - 52.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 32.8 - - 32.1 - - 36.4 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 56.8 - - 59.1 - - 53.7 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 35.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 56 - - 102 - - -17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 5849 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 64 - - 81 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 8 302 6 220 14 276 10 278 14 333 96873 89753 4 118 5 219 4 248 6 335 5 327 89753 84243 11 128 6 185 2 203 6 343 1 046 84243 79644 8 103 8 140 4 127 2 011 4 038 79644 75660 3 011 6 121 4 139 3 074 8 019 75660 72118 1 237 5 101 8 154 6 211 9 291 72118 68903 6 232 5 265 4 161 7 207 12 226 68903 65940 6 239 9 220 6 239 7 247 9 224 65940 63164 18 245 14 228 14 236 16 224 12 231 63164 60452 15 214 13 224 8 235 10 205 11 236 60452 57606 11 210 12 202 18 238 15 250 19 256 57606 54642 18 238 19 221 26 223 25 245 26 250 54642 51807 28 249 19 234 23 234 23 230 22 244 51807 49246 30 241 29 243 17 240 14 243 24 252 49246 46952 25 231 30 243 32 257 24 263 26 266 46952 44888 24 235 33 250 35 253 31 274 30 276 44888 43013 31 240 38 245 33 263 35 274 37 283 43013 41295 35 231 38 239 38 263 38 278 49 289 41295 39708 33 239 38 243 39 258 48 285 53 293 39708 38232 45 250 43 248 44 264 57 283 58 300 38232 36847 59 244 47 246 49 264 56 283 64 302 36847 35516 64 235 50 244 52 262 55 290 70 302 35516 34175 63 233 54 245 54 262 58 294 76 304 34175 32802 63 237 60 245 57 260 59 294 83 306 32802 31399 66 237 64 242 59 255 57 291 88 309 31399 29948 67 236 64 239 59 251 53 288 90 310 29948 28439 64 232 65 237 57 247 50 286 85 310 28439 26871 61 225 66 235 55 243 46 279 84 311 26871 25242 62 220 64 230 53 241 42 267 86 310 25242 23555 63 218 63 226 50 240 38 260 82 311 23555 21824 61 219 62 225 46 240 34 258 66 309 21824 20049 57 219 57 224 42 241 33 257 45 299 20049 18222 52 218 48 221 35 238 33 247 34 284 18222 16375 47 216 40 218 29 231 29 244 28 283 16375 14601 41 214 35 213 28 222 27 253 25 284 14601 12988 35 214 30 210 28 222 25 265 24 286 12988 11545 29 216 23 211 27 224 25 276 22 293 11545 10255 23 218 18 211 25 230 25 282 19 302 10255 9099 17 217 16 216 23*236 24 284 17 309 9099 8065 13 219 15 229 21*242 22 284 17 311 8065 7140 10 227 14 240 20 246 21 281 17 309 7140 6318 9 236 13 246 20 249 20 280 18 304 6318 5586 9 239 11 248 19 251 20 278 18 299 5586 4926 9 234 10 247 19 254 19 277 19 294 4926 4338 9 220 8 243 18 256 18 276 18 288 4338 3844 10 204 7 232 17 257 16 274 16 283 3844 3464 11 195 5 215 16 258 14 273 12 275 3464 3201 9 193 4 203 15 259 12 271 9 263 3201 3042 7*192 3*196 13 260 10*270 7*251 3042 2950 5*193 3*194 10 261 6*267 5*234 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography