DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 52.4 - - 59.7 - - 55.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 48 - - 18 - - 41 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 976 - - 123 - - 2562 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3969 - - 3116 - - 5555 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2729 - - 3704 - - 8033 - - 2904 - - 5304 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 158 - - 69 - - 215 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 13 - - 13 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 233 - - 247 - - 286 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 4 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -25 - - -34 - - -28 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -811 - - -429 - - -3431 - - 829 - - -712 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3763 - - 4399 - - 6547 - - 4726 - - 3663 sfcLCL ODpotential -2367 - - -1792 - - -4578 - - -622 - - -1617 ODpotential blCL 5318 - - 5761 - - 7694 - - 6177 - - 4568 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 98 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 230 - - 230 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 52.4 - - 59.7 - - 55.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 43.2 - - 41.0 - - 44.2 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 51.9 - - 59.6 - - 54.6 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 42.0 - - 39.8 - - 43.0 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 48 - - 18 - - 41 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 976 - - 123 - - 2562 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 95 - - 92 - - 81 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96735 25 260 34 263 51 256 35 253 37 270 96735 89351 35 260 35 263 35 265 38 269 33 266 89351 83710 37 254 33 255 29 266 29 251 28 255 83710 79054 27 245 34 251 36 260 29 261 20 264 79054 75042 18 232 26 233 29 255 25 265 16 267 75042 71482 19 259 17 234 22 251 20 256 17 262 71482 68249 18 259 15 259 18 266 18 265 19 259 68249 65270 17 262 13 258 15 257 16 273 17 262 65270 62495 21 283 13 285 16 269 21 268 17 280 62495 59797 24 286 21 286 18 273 24 267 20 259 59797 56966 24 279 18 270 21 262 16 256 15 266 56966 54005 17 289 18 281 18 268 18 302 28 285 54005 51177 32 298 28 281 28 284 39 287 39 270 51177 48649 42 286 35 286 40 280 47 273 39 267 48649 46393 41 280 43 281 50 275 49 264 35 268 46393 44340 43 272 47 274 55 269 51 266 41 272 44340 42462 50 274 53 267 60 262 60 271 51 275 42462 40746 63 277 63 264 68 257 68 266 62 275 40746 39170 74 276 73 262 75 252 73 262 71 269 39170 37716 75 275 78 260 79 249 79 261 76 263 37716 36366 74 273 78 259 79 249 83 259 80 260 36366 35077 74 271 76 260 79 251 85 257 83 259 35077 33781 74 270 74 261 79 254 85 258 87 260 33781 32448 71 271 72 263 78 256 86 258 92 261 32448 31080 68 272 70 264 77 259 87 259 96 260 31080 29665 66 273 68 264 76 260 86 260 96 258 29665 28187 64 272 66 263 75 261 84 262 93 256 28187 26650 60 271 63 262 74 262 82 264 90 256 26650 25054 56 269 60 262 73 263 81 266 89 256 25054 23400 52 264 58 263 72 263 80 267 89 258 23400 21691 51 260 55 262 69 262 77 268 87 259 21691 19927 50 260 53 260 65 261 69 262 79 257 19927 18107 48 262 50 259 60 262 64 255 67 249 18107 16262 44 266 48 259 56 265 60 250 56 241 16262 14480 39 269 47 261 52 267 57 248 52 240 14480 12852 35 273 46 263 50 267 54 247 48 244 12852 11405 32 277 44 266 47 264 51 248 41 255 11405 10120 29 279 41 267 43 261 48 251 41 275 10120 8981 29 280 37 264 41 258 45 256 38 294 8981 7965 29 278 32 258 38 255 42 262 32 308 7965 7059 30 274 28 252 35 252 39 268 29 313 7059 6255 30 267 26 247 33 251 36 273 28 314 6255 5538 27 257 24 243 31 250 33*278 28 315 5538 4891 24 248 23 241 28 250 31*281 27 315 4891 4315 22 244 20*239 26 249 29 284 26 314 4315 3831 17 244 17*236 23 248 27 286 24 314 3831 3456 12 243 15 234 20 247 25 288 22 313 3456 3198 7 238 12 232 18*247 23 289 19 312 3198 3040 5*232 11 231 16*247 20 290 17*312 3040 2950 2*214 7 228 11 247 14 291 11*312 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography