DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.2 - - 38.6 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 103 - - 147 - - -8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 533 - - 1034 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2954 - - 2954 - - 2955 - - 2955 - - 2955 Hcrit BL Top 2972 - - 3526 - - 4027 - - 2973 - - 2972 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 543 - - 767 - - 1090 - - 165 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 156 - - 219 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 143 - - 127 - - 131 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1496 - - -3659 - - -4363 - - -4858 - - -3776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4468 - - 7186 - - 8390 - - 7831 - - 6748 sfcLCL ODpotential -15184 - - -14030 - - -12927 - - -14332 - - -14695 ODpotential blCL 18156 - - 17556 - - 16954 - - 17305 - - 17667 blCL maxRH 57 - - 70 - - 71 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.2 - - 38.6 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 18.2 - - 20.1 - - 18.4 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.6 - - 37.8 - - 44.9 - - 44.3 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.9 - - 18.0 - - 20.0 - - 18.2 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 103 - - 147 - - -8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 533 - - 1034 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95717 51 309 58 306 57 308 57 310 62 304 95717 88879 40 326 44 320 38 317 46 321 44 318 88879 83492 35 337 36 330 28 322 37 322 37 327 83492 78966 29 344 28 335 23 321 31 322 32 327 78966 75035 24 341 23 340 20 320 23 327 26 322 75035 71540 21 335 19 343 17 317 17 321 19 314 71540 68359 17 331 15 339 13 310 15 306 15 312 68359 65416 15 330 12 327 11 302 15 296 15 307 65416 62669 15 330 12 320 9 294 16 285 17 299 62669 59998 16 328 12 320 9 287 17 274 19 296 59998 57205 17 319 14 315 10 298 16 275 22 292 57205 54307 18 312 17 307 15 304 16 287 25 292 54307 51549 20 309 18 303 20 304 18 302 26 296 51549 49079 21 308 20 302 24 303 21 312 26 302 49079 46877 23 304 20 302 26 299 25 315 27 305 46877 44888 23 297 20 298 24 296 29 314 26 306 44888 43074 20 293 19 287 22 291 30 311 25 306 43074 41409 14 295 15 273 19 285 28 307 25 304 41409 39874 13 294 14 266 17 278 26 308 25 304 39874 38448 12 280 14 260 16 275 24 303 26 306 38448 37113 11 276 14 259 16 277 21 298 28 311 37113 35828 13 281 15 264 19 278 19 291 30 314 35828 34529 15 285 15 265 20 272 21 282 26 310 34529 33188 15 286 14 265 19 268 22 276 22 294 33188 31813 14 284 13 267 19 266 22 273 22 286 31813 30388 13 275 14 263 19 261 20 270 22 273 30388 28900 13 270 16 256 20 257 20 267 21 253 28900 27346 13 271 17 253 19 250 21 259 20 241 27346 25727 12 277 16 256 18 249 20 254 21 232 25727 24046 11 286 14 256 17 249 18 250 23 224 24046 22308 10 288 11 255 17 247 17 245 24 219 22308 20505 8 280 9 251 15 240 18 233 25 218 20505 18633 7 280 8 243 14 229 19 221 26 214 18633 16727 7 284 8 236 13 220 20 213 26 209 16727 14888 6 280 8 232 13 216 20 208 25 206 14888 13210 5 258 9 225 13 215 18 206 23 209 13210 11712 6 229 10 218 13 219 16 209 20 212 11712 10377 7 207 11 207 12 224 13 212 17 215 10377 9184 8 187 11 192 10 226 11 212 14 216 9184 8122 10 171 11 179 9 219 9 202 11 212 8122 7176 11 162 12 172 8 200 8 182 9 201 7176 6339 13 161 12 171 8 176 10 165 9 185 6339 5598 16 161 14 169 9 160 12 158 11 172 5598 4932 18 159 15 165 9 152 13 154 15 163 4932 4344 20 157 16 162 9*147 12 153 19 158 4344 3854 20 156 15*158 8*137 11 148 19 155 3854 3477 19 157 11*152 8 127 10 147 17 155 3477 3218 15 159 9 142 8 124 9 141 13 155 3218 3061 10*157 8 138 7 122 7*137 8*158 3061 2971 5*161 7 136 7 121 4*131 6*165 2971 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography