DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -60 - - -55 - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 229 - - 1141 - - 1635 - - 951 - - 316 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 270 - - 276 - - 338 - - 072 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -20 - - -2 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1723 - - -1155 - - -426 - - -111 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4674 - - 4107 - - 3378 - - 3062 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential -8324 - - -3679 - - -2316 - - -2846 - - -3868 ODpotential blCL 11275 - - 6631 - - 5267 - - 5797 - - 6819 blCL maxRH 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 42.1 - - 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 50.3 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 41.3 - - 44.8 - - 45.7 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -60 - - -55 - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 103 - - 101 - - 85 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 27 048 10 079 13 027 30 004 26 346 96612 89578 14 048 17 050 16 059 18 015 24 010 89578 84006 17 037 14 038 8 007 16 001 29 001 84006 79349 16 010 14 015 10 340 18 345 22 355 79349 75353 21 006 18 002 18 341 24 008 18 016 75353 71832 24 347 23 352 23 341 31 351 24 006 71832 68643 17 359 11 352 17 353 23 334 22 348 68643 65687 20 008 15 004 14 020 6 078 6 309 65687 62903 33 334 30 328 28 326 31 333 32 359 62903 60205 37 324 31 329 38 304 46 302 48 324 60205 57445 37 311 34 325 23 313 33 302 38 312 57445 54609 36 314 41 318 27 342 32 328 38 329 54609 51907 37 321 49 319 45 327 45 323 46 318 51907 49480 47 319 63 320 53 319 54 321 46 318 49480 47304 66 318 76 320 64 323 61 321 55 319 47304 45340 81 311 85 309 80 318 78 323 65 316 45340 43569 86 300 88 296 95 308 87 305 81 315 43569 41952 85 293 88 291 94 300 90 297 90 309 41952 40443 79 294 87 292 94 297 90 296 92 304 40443 39021 58 301 84 292 93 296 87 298 90 304 39021 37676 62 300 85 292 92 295 85 301 85 303 37676 36376 69 305 88 295 92 297 84 302 81 302 36376 35061 75 310 87 297 89 299 83 302 64 304 35061 33701 80 310 82 299 86 299 82 301 62 312 33701 32299 79 308 77 300 84 298 81 301 73 319 32299 30837 75 307 75 301 83 298 80 301 78 322 30837 29309 74 304 75 302 82 299 79 303 74 318 29309 27714 76 302 76 303 82 300 78 305 69 310 27714 26052 79 302 77 304 81 301 76 307 69 305 26052 24327 81 303 76 306 78 303 74 307 71 306 24327 22543 80 303 73 307 73 306 73 308 72 309 22543 20694 76 303 68 307 66 309 71 309 71 310 20694 18776 71 302 64 307 66 311 67 311 66 312 18776 16826 65 298 62 306 65 309 59 313 60 316 16826 14953 58 295 61 303 63 305 54 313 54 316 14953 13254 53 295 60 300 59 300 53 313 48 314 13254 11746 50 299 57 299 52 297 53 310 45 312 11746 10404 48 305 49 301 45 294 49 305 44 312 10404 9207 46 310 38 305 37 293 43 298 44 311 9207 8141 45 312 30 310 30 295 40 295 41 307 8141 7194 44 311 25 314 26 299 39 294 38 300 7194 6355 45 307 23 317 25 302 38 292 35 295 6355 5610 46 300 23 316 26 299 32 291 33 291 5610 4940 47 291 24 309 25 293 26 290 28 289 4940 4346 46 282 28 297 22 288 18 295 20 291 4346 3848 42 275 30 285 17 290 12 305 13 298 3848 3465 34 270 29 279 12 303 7 326 9 303 3465 3202 25 269 23 277 8 318 5 344 6 307 3202 3041 17*270 19*277 6*325 4*359 2*317 3041 2950 7*270 11*276 4*338 3*072 3*119 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography