DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 46.6 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 15 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1315 - - 2370 - - 2759 - - 1958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 27 - - 9 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 327 - - 352 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -160 - - -143 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3111 - - 3094 - - 2950 - - 2950 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2081 - - -879 - - -1103 - - -1222 ODpotential blCL - - - 5032 - - 3830 - - 4054 - - 4173 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 46.6 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 43.2 - - 43.6 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 42.7 - - 43.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 15 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - 71 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96766 29 068 26 040 24 058 22 068 96766 89727 23 078 18 064 22 066 18 050 89727 84202 19 096 18 089 20 074 19 081 84202 79563 14 065 18 104 12 074 22 100 79563 75564 11 082 13 101 10 089 16 107 75564 72040 12 091 5 117 8 096 9 110 72040 68842 7 090 6 122 7 119 3 088 68842 65880 7 109 5 145 6 181 3 003 65880 63113 3 078 4 080 10 166 2 197 63113 60414 8 239 3 002 4 136 12 140 60414 57592 14 229 10 229 9 264 9 127 57592 54677 11 213 18 193 16 234 9 211 54677 51912 13 218 16 189 17 206 17 207 51912 49427 19 210 19 203 17 198 22 198 49427 47199 20 186 20 186 23 170 26 171 47199 45174 13 181 17 161 27 145 31 152 45174 43311 13 196 17 160 25 138 30 134 43311 41585 18 204 19 162 22 146 25 127 41585 39975 24 205 17 173 20 152 22 115 39975 38469 25 192 20 176 20 155 20 100 38469 37058 27 183 21 168 20 150 20 084 37058 35705 29 171 24 157 21 132 24 076 35705 34345 38 139 26 144 20 126 24 071 34345 32949 37 124 27 121 26 110 31 066 32949 31519 33 117 29 111 25 105 30 075 31519 30042 35 111 30 113 20 101 30 082 30042 28513 42 113 26 121 13 082 26 069 28513 26938 42 119 19 108 6 043 24 056 26938 25318 27 129 12 093 10 318 14 035 25318 23652 14 113 6 057 12 317 17 350 23652 21939 7 042 6 338 12 349 17 342 21939 20166 4 333 9 341 5 017 5 016 20166 18322 6 287 4 057 1 194 3 037 18322 16448 4 176 10 188 5 161 1 079 16448 14646 9 178 14 210 6 174 4 190 14646 13009 17 191 15 216 8 186 7 193 13009 11548 17 192 11 205 10 189 8 191 11548 10246 10 192 7 175 10 190 7 182 10246 9082 5 186 8 150 9 183 6 158 9082 8042 3 188 9 133 8 172 6 141 8042 7116 2 187 9 129 6 166 5 132 7116 6294 2 204 6 135 3 198 2 081 6294 5565 2 231 1 166 4 271 4 358 5565 4909 4 253 4 309 7 297 7 344 4909 4326 4 266 8 311 7 312 8 342 4326 3837 5 282 8 314 7 332 8 342 3837 3460 5 299 8 319 7 343 8 343 3460 3200 4 316 7 322 6 348 6 335 3200 3041 3*325 6*325 6*350 5*324 3041 2950 3*327 5*327 4*352 3*298 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography