DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.0 - - 53.7 - - 48.8 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 18 - - 61 - - -11 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 991 - - 3954 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 4696 - - 2933 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3984 - - 6947 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 655 - - 4649 - - 3621 - - 5192 - - 565 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 126 - - 267 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 262 - - 270 - - 258 - - 115 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -26 - - 25 - - 4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1098 - - -1554 - - 133 - - -1625 - - -333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4049 - - 5538 - - 6815 - - 4576 - - 3284 sfcLCL ODpotential -4597 - - -3461 - - -1112 - - -3302 - - -3587 ODpotential blCL 7548 - - 7445 - - 8059 - - 6253 - - 6538 blCL maxRH 75 - - 75 - - 74 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 50.0 - - 53.7 - - 48.8 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.0 - - 39.0 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 49.7 - - 53.0 - - 50.1 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 34.7 - - 32.9 - - 38.0 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 18 - - 61 - - -11 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 991 - - 3954 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96193 3 208 9 333 3 314 4 224 17 294 96193 89161 6 076 3 031 7 239 8 348 3 337 89161 83696 9 005 2 335 7 247 10 304 9 350 83696 79151 12 330 5 323 4 268 13 277 13 323 79151 75240 8 320 6 310 5 357 6 305 9 283 75240 71775 10 351 7 282 12 293 9 319 6 258 71775 68613 10 325 5 298 12 276 6 289 8 284 68613 65688 16 304 7 331 5 289 9 259 13 269 65688 62976 18 296 14 302 8 330 10 221 13 279 62976 60337 16 306 18 288 19 306 11 288 15 280 60337 57580 19 318 17 309 21 314 17 287 23 292 57580 54720 27 313 29 320 39 320 29 319 24 301 54720 51990 35 305 38 311 52 317 42 310 33 294 51990 49539 35 307 45 314 53 312 40 304 33 288 49539 47333 40 317 50 317 45 314 42 311 34 293 47333 45320 49 321 50 320 46 322 56 307 46 295 45320 43472 57 320 54 326 58 318 65 298 54 289 43472 41761 59 316 66 324 66 304 62 295 52 287 41761 40167 58 314 73 314 61 299 54 299 54 292 40167 38677 55 316 73 314 63 312 64 306 67 295 38677 37286 56 321 77 320 83 318 86 301 81 290 37286 35961 61 324 88 324 96 314 93 295 87 285 35961 34629 66 324 94 323 98 314 91 295 88 284 34629 33257 68 322 92 323 96 314 87 298 87 286 33257 31846 67 321 89 322 93 313 81 301 85 288 31846 30382 63 322 87 323 87 313 78 301 79 290 30382 28856 54 321 80 325 82 313 72 302 71 291 28856 27268 34 310 74 326 69 319 59 304 57 290 27268 25620 17 261 69 326 57 318 49 303 48 287 25620 23913 19 219 64 327 54 314 46 300 44 284 23913 22152 21 209 59 329 51 315 44 299 40 283 22152 20333 19 214 39 326 45 322 36 301 34 283 20333 18451 16 221 26 316 33 331 25 297 29 285 18451 16540 13 258 24 288 28 320 20 294 23 284 16540 14703 21 290 21 266 29 301 21 298 19 279 14703 13037 21 291 19 258 24 275 22 290 17 273 13037 11561 16 297 18 259 19 247 20 265 15 259 11561 10254 14 307 14 270 15 242 19 239 14 241 10254 9090 13 318 11 299 11 245 17 227 16 229 9090 8052 15 323 13 321 8 246 14 221 19 217 8052 7127 18 322 15 323 7*248 11 217 20 208 7127 6306 21 317 16 317 7*250 9 209 19 200 6306 5575 24 307 17 304 6 253 7 195 18 188 5575 4916 27 296 17 290 5 256 5 173 18 175 4916 4330 27 285 17*278 5 259 6 146 19 160 4330 3839 26 276 16*271 4 264 6 131 20 151 3839 3461 23 269 15 270 4 268 7 123 18 151 3461 3200 19 265 14 270 4 270 7 118 16 152 3200 3041 14*264 13 270 3 271 6*116 11*154 3041 2950 7*262 9 271 3 272 4*115 6*160 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography