DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 69.1 - - 77.1 - - 78.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 248 - - 288 - - 66 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2081 - - 3786 - - 3198 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4168 - - 5491 - - 4138 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5074 - - 6779 - - 6191 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 742 - - 1342 - - 2178 - - 2728 - - 2540 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 331 - - 425 - - 248 - - 3 W* B/S 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 140 - - 140 - - 128 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - -7 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3054 - - -3012 - - -4206 - - -5489 - - -6867 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6006 - - 8087 - - 10986 - - 11681 - - 9820 sfcLCL ODpotential -11346 - - -8409 - - -9325 - - -10644 - - -13846 ODpotential blCL 14298 - - 13483 - - 16104 - - 16835 - - 16799 blCL maxRH 54 - - 53 - - 40 - - 33 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 69.1 - - 77.1 - - 78.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 44.0 - - 39.2 - - 37.7 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 67.2 - - 75.1 - - 77.8 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.7 - - 43.7 - - 38.8 - - 37.2 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 248 - - 288 - - 66 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2081 - - 3786 - - 3198 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98306 10 083 7 064 11 102 5 052 2 218 98306 91013 10 101 9 093 8 088 5 068 6 094 91013 85369 8 090 9 093 5 169 8 015 11 088 85369 80643 6 069 8 082 9 130 6 352 11 066 80643 76568 10 071 8 097 13 073 6 150 10 016 76568 72992 10 076 8 097 13 076 13 099 2 070 72992 69766 11 088 7 123 8 098 9 056 11 088 69766 66796 7 076 7 115 6 107 7 111 7 070 66796 64051 5 082 6 117 3 061 8 102 7 125 64051 61394 3 278 4 130 2 082 3 039 8 080 61394 58616 4 227 1 011 3 025 3 033 6 046 58616 55738 3 357 6 003 9 335 11 335 12 346 55738 52994 19 351 15 359 12 341 14 347 12 356 52994 50515 24 341 22 350 20 355 26 339 25 348 50515 48287 30 336 29 340 29 339 34 327 35 329 48287 46272 36 341 35 350 32 344 33 332 38 328 46272 44439 45 353 44 001 37 359 33 350 39 335 44439 42750 57 355 53 002 45 003 42 357 41 345 42750 41175 69 350 61 357 52 359 47 351 41 349 41175 39698 72 345 66 351 58 355 49 349 41 352 39698 38307 62 342 65 346 61 351 49 350 41 354 38307 36971 51 349 60 344 61 347 53 350 42 353 36971 35621 50 357 52 346 57 343 56 347 46 349 35621 34227 45 354 48 349 51 340 55 345 49 342 34227 32789 35 002 44 354 46 342 51 342 50 337 32789 31297 34 011 34 357 41 348 46 342 50 335 31297 29742 34 012 26 359 31 348 41 353 42 338 29742 28131 31 010 24 357 21 346 31 358 26 343 28131 26461 29 010 19 353 20 345 25 342 24 336 26461 24729 29 011 15 360 19 344 23 333 23 338 24729 22937 28 016 17 012 16 347 18 331 18 343 22937 21077 26 022 19 019 12 356 14 328 14 340 21077 19143 23 020 16 030 9 005 12 327 12 338 19143 17173 19 020 11 038 6 001 9 333 10 340 17173 15277 16 029 8 042 5 016 5 347 5 348 15277 13551 13 047 6 066 3 072 1 008 2 345 13551 12013 10 073 6 107 5 123 3 152 0 207 12013 10643 9 108 8 130 6 142 6 162 3 180 10643 9419 10 136 10 140 8 148 7 169 6 169 9419 8326 10 142 11 146 9 154 7 165 7 157 8326 7351 9 143 13 155 10*151 7 152 8 148 7351 6486 8 142 15 156 10*147 8*138 9 139 6486 5717 6 140 15*155 10 144 9*134 9 133 5717 5024 4 154 12*150 10 141 9 131 8 131 5024 4408 1 193 10 143 10 139 9 129 7 131 4408 3890 3 344 10 139 10 137 9 127 6 128 3890 3491 3 349 9 135 10 135 8 126 5 120 3491 3216 1 351 9 132 10 134 8 125 3 115 3216 3048 0*033 8 132 9 133 8 123 2*117 3048 2952 0*198 7 130 8 132 7 124 1*123 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography