DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.6 - - 50.7 - - 60.4 - - 55.0 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 69 - - 106 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 936 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3231 - - 3929 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 477 - - 778 - - 1127 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 105 - - 191 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 130 - - 116 - - 046 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1735 - - -4680 - - -6003 - - -5482 - - -3345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4686 - - 7912 - - 9932 - - 8434 - - 6297 sfcLCL ODpotential -15643 - - -15179 - - -13689 - - -14115 - - -13654 ODpotential blCL 18594 - - 18410 - - 17618 - - 17067 - - 16606 blCL maxRH 70 - - 77 - - 77 - - 75 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.6 - - 50.7 - - 60.4 - - 55.0 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 27.2 - - 27.8 - - 29.1 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 49.9 - - 59.3 - - 58.1 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 27.0 - - 27.5 - - 28.8 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 69 - - 106 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 936 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 27 016 27 354 23 353 33 008 30 360 96490 89576 38 013 27 006 32 017 40 012 31 003 89576 84177 30 003 27 015 27 028 32 004 29 014 84177 79631 23 018 23 019 27 024 31 011 27 009 79631 75668 21 025 15 026 16 026 27 002 21 001 75668 72145 14 011 18 039 15 034 19 350 18 003 72145 68926 23 356 21 015 17 001 16 341 18 351 68926 65956 27 343 16 344 15 338 20 335 25 348 65956 63223 26 334 20 332 24 322 23 331 22 342 63223 60585 33 328 27 340 23 318 26 336 26 323 60585 57830 37 314 35 326 27 316 30 314 28 317 57830 54960 44 307 42 315 34 314 30 310 28 313 54960 52227 49 298 46 292 45 305 40 317 31 309 52227 49793 47 296 44 285 53 294 47 303 39 307 49793 47630 54 291 51 290 52 282 48 292 46 298 47630 45679 59 278 62 286 60 283 59 293 50 289 45679 43904 58 273 65 275 70 283 73 290 59 291 43904 42271 56 272 65 273 69 280 75 282 69 291 42271 40748 54 271 62 273 67 279 75 279 75 285 40748 39314 54 271 58 274 66 278 74 278 75 281 39314 37958 52 270 54 273 67 277 69 278 71 280 37958 36648 49 270 52 272 64 275 66 280 66 279 36648 35318 47 270 53 270 60 270 64 277 64 279 35318 33943 45 271 52 267 59 267 61 274 64 278 33943 32526 43 272 52 268 58 267 56 275 62 278 32526 31054 42 273 52 270 58 268 55 278 61 279 31054 29515 40 274 50 271 57 270 54 280 60 280 29515 27912 38 276 47 271 53 272 53 278 59 283 27912 26244 36 275 44 269 50 270 53 277 57 285 26244 24511 35 271 42 266 48 268 51 276 54 286 24511 22719 35 269 41 267 46 269 48 277 50 286 22719 20864 33 270 37 268 42 272 44 277 46 286 20864 18940 28 270 33 268 37 273 41 275 41 286 18940 16981 24 271 27 268 33 273 36 274 38 285 16981 15095 19 274 23 269 31 272 32 275 34 282 15095 13380 17 269 22 270 28 272 30 276 31 281 13380 11855 16 260 21 269 26 271 28 278 28 282 11855 10498 16 254 20 264 24 269 26 281 26 283 10498 9287 15 251 19 261 21 267 24 282 24 284 9287 8206 14 247 17 258 19 266 21 279 24 283 8206 7243 12 241 15 254 18 262 19 271 22 281 7243 6389 10 232 13 250 17 254 15 260 18 276 6389 5632 9 215 10 243 12 241 10 242 11 267 5632 4953 10 194 8 222 7 213 6 211 6 249 4953 4352 12 177 9 192 5*170 5 174 2 211 4352 3851 14 167 9 175 4*136 4 144 2 013 3851 3467 11 163 6*164 4 116 3 123 6 359 3467 3203 4 163 4*139 4 111 2 099 7 347 3203 3043 0*186 4 128 4 106 2*073 5*327 3043 2951 1*326 3 121 4 105 2*046 5*318 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography