DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 71.3 - - 69.7 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 288 - - 326 - - 48 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5285 - - 7536 - - 6608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 6640 - - 8478 - - 6115 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 8278 - - 10529 - - 9601 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3461 - - 2048 - - 1456 - - 3450 - - 5573 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 473 - - 556 - - 282 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 293 - - 296 - - 339 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 24 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3972 - - -208 - - -131 - - -503 - - -5935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6924 - - 8486 - - 10661 - - 10104 - - 8888 sfcLCL ODpotential -6835 - - -895 - - -1231 - - -1209 - - -8581 ODpotential blCL 9787 - - 9173 - - 11760 - - 10810 - - 11533 blCL maxRH 78 - - 80 - - 78 - - 97 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 71.3 - - 69.7 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.1 - - 40.2 - - 34.6 - - 35.6 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 65.2 - - 69.1 - - 69.1 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.1 - - 40.1 - - 34.4 - - 35.5 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 288 - - 326 - - 48 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5285 - - 7536 - - 6608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 20 - - 10 - - 88 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98150 14 274 13 263 14 271 19 277 17 288 98150 90783 10 272 7 286 7 304 8 268 8 298 90783 85096 4 022 2 170 3 252 2 242 8 332 85096 80368 6 036 3 120 4 199 7 002 5 351 80368 76311 6 042 2 123 2 097 8 360 4 038 76311 72739 4 044 4 051 2 102 9 013 4 069 72739 69505 4 071 10 056 6 085 7 053 5 061 69505 66534 8 060 4 047 8 048 8 061 5 038 66534 63785 8 066 7 088 3 056 6 042 9 049 63785 61124 5 059 5 018 5 018 6 016 10 022 61124 58338 4 360 5 014 5 036 7 011 8 349 58338 55433 13 258 7 264 5 297 5 303 12 326 55433 52655 13 252 12 289 18 314 18 319 22 324 52655 50161 22 277 23 291 28 304 28 317 27 322 50161 47922 26 286 23 291 35 306 34 323 34 327 47922 45877 27 299 28 306 40 309 45 320 39 328 45877 43989 35 308 38 308 44 309 53 317 44 330 43989 42235 43 307 45 308 48 311 56 314 49 327 42235 40598 52 302 52 305 55 310 56 311 53 323 40598 39068 58 297 54 300 60 305 54 309 54 322 39068 37633 61 291 55 296 62 300 54 310 57 322 37633 36257 62 284 55 294 63 297 56 312 60 320 36257 34873 64 277 59 294 66 294 61 311 59 318 34873 33452 65 275 64 291 68 291 61 308 52 324 33452 32003 67 276 66 285 71 291 59 306 54 336 32003 30524 69 278 64 281 75 291 61 304 57 335 30524 29008 69 281 64 281 76 291 65 302 44 336 29008 27445 66 283 65 281 72 292 66 300 35 353 27445 25824 61 281 66 281 69 293 60 299 36 005 25824 24140 57 276 63 280 65 292 52 298 32 006 24140 22394 53 271 56 278 58 290 45 297 28 353 22394 20584 49 265 50 272 48 285 38 297 26 343 20584 18706 47 262 46 267 42 279 36 296 23 325 18706 16796 43 259 41 266 38 279 32 294 22 315 16796 14956 40 257 35 268 33 280 28 283 17 325 14956 13281 36 258 31 268 27 277 22 279 17 323 13281 11793 30 260 28 267 21*275 18 288 19 312 11793 10466 26 265 25 266 15*282 16*297 18 311 10466 9278 22 271 19*268 15 286 15*312 17 319 9278 8214 18 281 14*276 15 289 15 323 17 327 8214 7262 15 296 12 286 14 293 15 333 16 336 7262 6417 15 314 12 289 14 298 15 340 16 343 6417 5664 16 324 12 293 13 301 16 344 16 349 5664 4985 17 324 12 295 13 304 16 347 16 354 4985 4380 16 319 11 299 13 308 16 349 16 358 4380 3872 16 311 11 302 12 310 16 350 16 359 3872 3481 15 299 10 304 12 312 16 350 14 357 3481 3210 13 291 10 305 11 313 15 350 11 349 3210 3046 11*288 10 306 11 314 14 351 8*340 3046 2951 7*286 9 307 10 315 11 351 5*323 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography