DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 65.6 - - 72.0 - - 73.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 323 - - 368 - - 138 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 3819 - - 6564 - - 5480 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 5562 - - 7770 - - 6408 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 3045 - - 6812 - - 9557 - - 8473 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 808 - - 2546 - - 1924 - - 3137 - - 2761 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 444 - - 556 - - 381 - - 4 W* B/S 9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 146 - - 136 - - 118 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4627 - - -2702 - - -3316 - - -5953 - - -8000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7672 - - 9514 - - 12874 - - 14427 - - 10952 sfcLCL ODpotential -8686 - - -5579 - - -7361 - - -9617 - - -12934 ODpotential blCL 11731 - - 12391 - - 16918 - - 18090 - - 15886 blCL maxRH 46 - - 47 - - 54 - - 69 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 65.6 - - 72.0 - - 73.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 34.1 - - 25.4 - - 19.8 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 63.4 - - 69.6 - - 72.1 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.9 - - 33.4 - - 24.2 - - 18.7 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 323 - - 368 - - 138 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 52 - - 3819 - - 6564 - - 5480 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97283 3 248 6 184 14 233 5 281 6 341 97283 89889 2 057 0 186 2 264 2 173 5 004 89889 84250 6 005 2 323 4 350 2 101 3 331 84250 79579 7 005 5 304 7 330 3 354 2 346 79579 75562 9 006 7 343 5 315 8 332 6 020 75562 72005 10 345 9 338 5 327 7 307 6 341 72005 68766 14 330 11 312 8 317 9 299 8 325 68766 65778 15 312 13 303 13 306 14 322 9 348 65778 63006 10 300 14 304 17 306 19 326 10 343 63006 60314 13 311 16 301 16 295 22 315 12 333 60314 57497 14 312 15 308 17 296 24 299 21 314 57497 54561 17 317 17 314 19 294 21 289 20 297 54561 51754 21 314 19 308 20 288 24 284 24 295 51754 49237 23 307 18 302 20 288 24 280 25 295 49237 46996 24 316 21 311 22 297 22 293 24 291 46996 44977 27 322 23 318 22 306 24 296 24 291 44977 43148 29 330 24 324 22 309 24 294 22 287 43148 41491 30 341 28 335 26 320 24 309 21 301 41491 39977 29 351 37 339 34 326 27 317 24 307 39977 38573 32 360 42 340 34 331 23 317 18 299 38573 37254 34 002 37 340 33 337 21 319 12 290 37254 35981 33 003 31 342 31 345 20 321 12 302 35981 34691 31 009 29 350 25 349 16 324 16 311 34691 33353 31 015 23 000 19 353 15 329 16 311 33353 31973 31 015 19 016 15 356 13 326 15 310 31973 30539 25 012 16 016 11 016 8 321 15 308 30539 29041 18 012 14 006 10 034 2 357 12 302 29041 27480 16 020 12 010 9 037 2 054 7 266 27480 25858 17 035 9 031 5 044 1 034 4 213 25858 24175 19 050 9 061 3 068 1 177 4 180 24175 22437 21 061 11 077 3 101 4 163 6 174 22437 20636 21 069 13 088 4 125 5 159 6 171 20636 18765 18 071 14 093 5 135 6 162 5 179 18765 16856 15 069 14 093 8 134 8 165 6 193 16856 15013 12 082 13 107 9 143 11 170 9 194 15013 13332 9 096 12 127 11 162 11 189 10 198 13332 11834 7 100 11 136 12 178 13 217 13 216 11834 10497 4 117 10 153 10*179 11 213 13 213 10497 9301 4 138 9 165 9*166 7*178 10 178 9301 8232 5 142 10 168 8 162 7*160 10 148 8232 7278 5 147 9*164 8 153 7 133 12 136 7278 6430 7 154 9*161 8 134 8 121 12 131 6430 5674 9 161 8 157 8 127 8 116 12 126 5674 4992 9 161 8 149 9 124 8 112 11 119 4992 4385 8 159 8 144 9 120 8 109 11 109 4385 3876 8 161 8 139 9 117 8 106 10 096 3876 3482 7 161 8 134 8 114 8 103 9 084 3482 3211 3*160 7 131 8 113 8 102 7 074 3211 3046 1*149 7 130 8 112 7 102 5*067 3046 2951 1 134 7 129 7 111 7 101 4*062 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography