DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 42.5 - - 41.5 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 3 - - -32 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 834 - - 545 - - 247 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 19 - - 11 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 140 - - 140 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -604 - - -139 - - -242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2949 - - 3555 - - 3090 - - 3193 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8924 - - -8317 - - -6362 - - -8573 ODpotential blCL - - - 11874 - - 11268 - - 9313 - - 11524 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 42.5 - - 41.5 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 42.6 - - 42.9 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 36.4 - - 37.6 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 3 - - -32 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 63 - - 87 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96332 21 073 12 042 19 037 19 062 96332 89311 15 041 13 055 17 043 19 074 89311 83797 13 026 15 007 12 035 7 065 83797 79181 6 006 12 306 18 020 16 030 79181 75193 20 000 10 282 19 320 24 347 75193 71671 25 326 16 333 12 302 15 312 71671 68452 24 297 24 321 23 332 28 322 68452 65491 24 327 40 313 37 318 43 317 65491 62779 35 312 36 300 38 306 34 303 62779 60131 39 307 36 305 33 296 30 288 60131 57313 47 303 48 303 34 289 41 293 57313 54369 55 299 58 299 50 298 60 299 54369 51579 56 297 69 301 70 300 70 299 51579 49092 61 307 77 305 81 302 81 299 49092 46884 81 310 95 305 95 300 99 295 46884 44909 105 303 112 298 108 292 108 288 44909 43126 106 295 114 289 109 284 105 281 43126 41498 91 299 103 285 102 284 98 281 41498 39987 98 313 91 289 98 291 95 285 39987 38567 102 309 86 298 96 295 95 289 38567 37224 98 302 89 305 94 297 95 291 37224 35925 97 301 92 301 93 298 97 289 35925 34607 97 300 92 299 91 296 100 285 34607 33243 99 298 85 300 92 293 103 283 33243 31837 97 297 88 299 95 290 102 283 31837 30377 95 298 90 296 99 289 100 284 30377 28854 92 298 89 295 101 288 97 284 28854 27271 91 299 89 295 98 288 92 284 27271 25629 92 300 88 295 93 288 89 283 25629 23928 92 301 85 296 89 286 88 284 23928 22173 88 300 83 295 85 285 88 284 22173 20362 82 298 80 294 80 285 85 284 20362 18492 76 296 76 292 75 287 77 285 18492 16597 73 293 73 291 70 290 68 288 16597 14777 74 291 71 291 66 294 61 291 14777 13120 73 290 70 292 63 296 58 292 13120 11642 67 286 70 290 61 294 57 290 11642 10324 58 282 69 286 59 288 56 286 10324 9147 48 277 65 281 55 281 55 282 9147 8097 41 270 58 276 51 275 54 276 8097 7162 36 260 51 271 45 269 51 270 7162 6332 32 249 43 267 40 264 48 264 6332 5593 26 236 37 261 37 260 47 257 5593 4928 21 215 30 254 32 255 44 249 4928 4337 19 185 22 239 25 244 39 242 4337 3842 19 164 15 215 18 225 30 234 3842 3461 19 153 13 190 15 198 21 220 3461 3199 18 146 12 169 13 174 14 203 3199 3040 16*142 11*154 11*156 10*186 3040 2950 11*138 9*140 9*140 6*164 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography