DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 52.0 - - 51.4 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 100 - - -13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 1528 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3391 - - 4521 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1223 - - 2293 - - 3554 - - 710 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 225 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 151 - - 147 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2057 - - -2633 - - -4028 - - -2351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5448 - - 7155 - - 6979 - - 5302 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5019 - - -5657 - - -7340 - - -7300 ODpotential blCL - - - 8410 - - 10178 - - 10291 - - 10251 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 82 - - 79 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 52.0 - - 51.4 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 31.0 - - 31.2 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.6 - - 30.0 - - 30.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 100 - - -13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 1528 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 27 - - 15 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96886 36 084 37 089 32 112 28 095 96886 89737 24 095 29 093 25 102 25 097 89737 84181 21 103 19 100 20 089 17 099 84181 79529 17 090 12 121 13 105 9 077 79529 75483 8 096 8 104 11 133 5 048 75483 71877 6 167 2 337 6 107 3 088 71877 68595 3 150 9 235 5 258 5 328 68595 65562 6 313 4 249 5 244 9 255 65562 62741 20 262 16 266 12 269 13 264 62741 60011 23 250 23 259 17 283 16 276 60011 57147 28 266 29 260 26 275 20 273 57147 54165 37 262 36 259 41 264 35 266 54165 51330 47 262 46 261 52 259 47 263 51330 48784 60 263 60 263 59 262 57 262 48784 46512 65 262 67 265 69 263 64 260 46512 44465 63 263 68 264 71 262 65 261 44465 42601 64 267 67 264 71 265 67 261 42601 40894 72 267 71 267 77 266 78 259 40894 39337 89 271 87 269 94 263 99 260 39337 37911 114 268 112 264 114 261 115 257 37911 36585 113 267 114 262 119 259 115 255 36585 35309 106 271 105 262 112 260 109 255 35309 34016 101 270 99 261 105 259 104 255 34016 32681 98 267 97 259 98 256 97 255 32681 31309 98 264 95 257 90 254 90 253 31309 29888 93 263 90 257 85 253 82 252 29888 28407 84 262 83 256 81 252 77 251 28407 26866 76 262 76 256 75 252 72 251 26866 25264 68 264 69 258 68 252 65 252 25264 23607 58 266 61 259 61 252 59 250 23607 21899 47 263 54 260 54 251 54 245 21899 20136 40 262 48 261 48 247 48 240 20136 18311 40 265 43 260 43 241 43 237 18311 16455 42 260 41 256 37 239 39 237 16455 14664 40 251 39 249 32 240 33 238 14664 13031 34 240 37 245 29 244 27 237 13031 11574 26 232 33 244 26 247 24 233 11574 10271 19 226 27 240 23 243 23 224 10271 9107 13 213 22 230 20 231 23 212 9107 8065 10 197 19 217 18 214 23 199 8065 7135 8 182 16 204 16 197 24 186 7135 6311 7 170 15 190 16 175 24 173 6311 5578 7 163 14 175 17 157 24 162 5578 4919 8 161 14*163 18 153 26 155 4919 4332 10 165 14*156 19 150 25 153 4332 3841 11 166 14 152 18 148 21 156 3841 3462 11*163 14 150 17 148 15 160 3462 3200 9*156 13 149 15 148 10 162 3200 3041 8 153 12 148 13*147 6*164 3041 2950 6 151 10 147 8*147 2*191 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography