DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 40.6 - - 47.9 - - 43.0 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 20 - - 73 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1407 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 4400 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 1041 - - 2649 - - 2107 - - 740 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 29 - - 194 - - 4 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 280 - - 291 - - 081 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -8 - - 15 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1390 - - -3190 - - -3235 - - -2972 - - -272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4340 - - 6141 - - 7636 - - 5924 - - 3222 sfcLCL ODpotential -11799 - - -11659 - - -9556 - - -9968 - - -4401 ODpotential blCL 14749 - - 14609 - - 13956 - - 12919 - - 7351 blCL maxRH 81 - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 40.6 - - 47.9 - - 43.0 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 24.5 - - 25.0 - - 27.6 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.0 - - 40.1 - - 47.1 - - 43.9 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 24.0 - - 24.5 - - 27.2 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 20 - - 73 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1407 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 87 - - 90 - - 90 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 40 086 23 070 31 083 33 078 29 092 96659 89559 39 079 21 059 27 065 29 065 32 086 89559 84046 33 068 22 074 17 070 24 041 32 060 84046 79469 27 055 28 058 24 071 16 051 20 048 79469 75523 22 041 26 045 25 051 17 058 14 042 75523 72037 16 035 20 046 21 036 17 034 14 039 72037 68872 13 052 20 039 17 031 10 005 12 003 68872 65950 20 041 18 043 16 027 17 360 15 360 65950 63237 18 025 23 016 19 007 23 343 17 332 63237 60607 20 016 19 013 18 010 20 342 19 330 60607 57869 20 020 31 004 27 353 26 347 27 343 57869 55025 38 013 36 353 25 341 29 346 38 348 55025 52289 41 002 35 002 36 359 37 349 41 346 52289 49806 45 004 55 000 50 350 50 348 51 338 49806 47574 61 005 61 356 59 350 65 347 55 334 47574 45539 67 357 68 354 68 346 67 341 56 335 45539 43653 63 354 68 349 66 346 61 343 60 338 43653 41892 60 359 64 350 66 354 64 352 66 342 41892 40244 70 009 69 357 74 358 79 353 75 343 40244 38705 87 009 82 359 82 355 87 346 81 342 38705 37271 93 000 88 353 85 348 83 340 81 341 37271 35905 93 356 82 348 80 344 72 340 81 342 35905 34543 92 358 73 345 70 344 73 348 88 343 34543 33158 93 358 71 345 62 346 76 351 95 345 33158 31752 90 357 70 345 62 345 75 350 96 348 31752 30304 87 358 69 346 63 344 75 348 96 351 30304 28798 85 357 68 347 61 342 70 346 92 351 28798 27232 84 356 69 348 57 341 68 348 84 350 27232 25607 83 356 66 348 57 345 62 348 74 347 25607 23920 81 357 61 348 62 349 55 343 65 344 23920 22174 73 358 56 348 61 349 54 340 61 340 22174 20362 56 357 53 347 54 346 52 341 58 337 20362 18481 41 354 46 342 51 343 47 341 53 338 18481 16571 36 349 36 334 45 341 44 338 50 340 16571 14733 33 346 30 331 39 337 39 330 47 334 14733 13060 30 345 29 332 33 330 34 320 40 325 13060 11572 27 339 27 331 28 323 30 313 36 322 11572 10249 24 329 24 327 23 316 27 306 34 321 10249 9073 20 315 20 314 20 307 23 299 32 321 9073 8026 18 303 18 302 18 295 20 290 28 319 8026 7096 16 306 15 299 16 291 18 285 25 314 7096 6275 14 313 15 303 16 290 18 284 23 307 6275 5548 14 316 17 297 15 285 18 280 23 302 5548 4894 15 307 18 286 12*281 15 274 23 294 4894 4314 15 291 18 275 9*282 10 271 21 286 4314 3828 14 275 14 268 6 289 5 271 17 277 3828 3454 11 261 10 266 5 294 2 280 11 267 3454 3196 7 242 6 267 5 298 1 024 7 256 3196 3039 5*225 5*270 4 302 2*074 4*247 3039 2949 3*172 2*280 4 307 3*081 2*190 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography