DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.1 - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 44.9 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -70 - - -3 - - 19 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 339 - - 4834 - - 6392 - - 5531 - - 701 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 21 - - 31 - - 6 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 282 - - 295 - - 285 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -15 - - -10 - - -6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -620 - - -1582 - - -2266 - - -860 - - -1087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3572 - - 4533 - - 5217 - - 3811 - - 4038 sfcLCL ODpotential -3630 - - -2869 - - -2940 - - -2683 - - -4121 ODpotential blCL 6581 - - 5820 - - 5891 - - 5634 - - 7072 blCL maxRH 76 - - 87 - - 88 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 39.1 - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 44.9 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 36.6 - - 36.6 - - 38.7 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 46.2 - - 48.7 - - 47.6 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 35.4 - - 35.4 - - 37.5 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -70 - - -3 - - 19 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 46 - - 50 - - 47 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 42 081 34 075 29 076 28 077 19 080 96480 89302 31 077 24 068 18 059 20 053 21 059 89302 83713 20 057 18 070 10 072 15 030 25 040 83713 79043 21 037 17 046 11 020 18 007 16 038 79043 75002 26 013 15 007 9 019 23 351 19 009 75002 71437 26 001 13 353 15 335 19 334 20 335 71437 68217 22 342 11 325 13 319 12 345 4 062 68217 65246 14 343 9 280 14 277 27 340 28 331 65246 62492 18 318 27 307 40 297 45 302 33 319 62492 59857 43 272 33 283 42 289 59 288 51 283 59857 57117 39 265 30 297 29 298 51 297 51 297 57117 54257 46 308 52 317 50 315 54 306 44 320 54257 51511 65 314 67 313 64 311 59 311 59 316 51511 49028 73 311 73 308 72 309 66 314 70 307 49028 46807 82 310 80 308 80 310 75 313 76 306 46807 44806 90 312 88 309 85 311 83 309 75 309 44806 42980 95 313 93 310 86 310 86 308 75 315 42980 41295 98 314 97 311 86 310 89 313 82 317 41295 39728 103 315 107 313 96 315 97 317 95 315 39728 38270 113 317 120 313 123 316 105 315 113 315 38270 36912 119 317 126 312 125 315 111 313 123 314 36912 35609 114 316 127 315 117 314 113 312 122 317 35609 34296 107 316 132 319 117 311 110 315 121 319 34296 32941 107 318 132 319 113 310 113 322 118 318 32941 31545 108 318 129 320 103 316 119 325 111 319 31545 30094 108 317 122 321 111 322 126 324 107 323 30094 28583 106 316 112 320 125 323 125 320 106 324 28583 27013 102 316 102 317 127 323 122 317 103 322 27013 25386 96 317 93 314 111 322 117 316 100 320 25386 23701 89 315 83 314 98 317 106 316 88 320 23701 21966 82 313 77 315 85 314 91 318 72 323 21966 20174 78 312 72 315 72 311 79 317 65 326 20174 18313 73 314 64 315 65 310 70 316 62 325 18313 16423 65 317 56 315 56 312 59 316 57 324 16423 14612 56 318 47 316 43 310 44 313 49 322 14612 12973 49 320 40 314 34 306 34 312 39 320 12973 11521 46 321 35 314 29 304 29 309 30 317 11521 10230 45 323 34 319 25 308 27 309 23 313 10230 9076 44 323 33 323 23 311 25 313 20 313 9076 8044 41 324 31 327 21 311 24 315 18 315 8044 7122 37 325 27 328 20 308 23 312 18 316 7122 6302 35 323 24 327 18 300 22 308 17 319 6302 5573 35 317 23 323 16 296 20 307 16 320 5573 4915 34 308 23 314 15 294 18 305 15 320 4915 4330 33 298 23 303 15 294 16 303 13 317 4330 3839 31 289 21 292 14 294 14 301 11 312 3839 3461 29 282 19 286 13 294 12 299 9 302 3461 3200 24 278 17 284 12 294 9 296 7 290 3200 3041 19*277 15*284 11*295 6*293 5*269 3041 2950 10*276 10*282 8*295 4*285 3*231 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography