DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 53.3 - - 45.5 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - -15 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2048 - - 5268 - - 2597 - - 2705 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 17 - - 13 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 306 - - 339 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -26 - - -10 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1415 - - -1753 - - -187 - - -552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4366 - - 4706 - - 3138 - - 3502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4895 - - -3085 - - -1621 - - -1917 ODpotential blCL - - - 7846 - - 6037 - - 4572 - - 4867 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 53.3 - - 45.5 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 42.6 - - 41.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 53.8 - - 45.7 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 41.8 - - 41.2 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - -15 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96293 7 072 8 334 16 353 9 327 96293 89309 10 028 14 345 12 348 7 012 89309 83805 10 359 6 342 12 359 15 016 83805 79169 14 042 4 291 13 289 17 334 79169 75152 22 353 4 310 12 304 18 328 75152 71598 18 308 7 312 8 349 11 313 71598 68380 32 288 23 328 14 309 19 312 68380 65409 28 281 38 289 27 290 38 270 65409 62664 17 263 27 286 6 310 14 225 62664 59985 6 034 31 303 2 210 23 299 59985 57159 38 289 67 290 57 297 58 299 57159 54229 70 276 73 283 72 286 66 286 54229 51429 84 282 72 281 73 287 67 285 51429 48908 99 284 77 281 84 291 76 288 48908 46650 102 278 86 283 96 288 88 288 46650 44604 95 272 95 283 101 284 95 285 44604 42729 89 271 101 280 103 281 99 283 42729 40997 91 276 105 276 104 278 102 283 40997 39391 100 280 105 274 105 277 108 283 39391 37900 112 281 105 274 107 277 116 282 37900 36515 123 281 107 276 110 280 127 283 36515 35197 129 279 108 275 114 284 136 284 35197 33877 128 277 106 274 122 286 142 285 33877 32522 121 274 104 273 126 284 141 284 32522 31135 117 269 104 273 126 280 137 283 31135 29699 117 267 107 271 124 278 130 281 29699 28204 117 269 109 271 121 277 123 280 28204 26652 115 272 109 271 122 276 119 279 26652 25043 110 275 107 272 123 276 117 278 25043 23378 104 277 106 273 119 278 113 280 23378 21663 99 277 104 274 106 279 104 282 21663 19896 94 275 98 276 91 278 92 284 19896 18070 86 272 89 279 84 275 82 282 18070 16216 78 271 78 279 83 272 75 280 16216 14435 77 276 69 275 84 269 67 279 14435 12821 72 282 65 272 80 269 61 276 12821 11388 63 285 64 273 72 274 59 274 11388 10110 56 284 62 273 65 281 56 278 10110 8967 55 281 58 273 58 287 49 285 8967 7948 59 277 52 273 50 292 40 294 7948 7041 63 273 47 275 44 295 31 302 7041 6237 61 268 43 276 38 296 24 308 6237 5521 56 263 39 279 33 297 20 316 5521 4876 50 256 35 282 27 301 17 332 4876 4303 46 250 30 286 21 311 17 347 4303 3823 40 248 26 291 18 322 14 351 3823 3452 33 247 21 297 15 330 12 349 3452 3195 24 247 18 302 13 335 9 338 3195 3039 17*247 15*303 11*337 7*332 3039 2949 8*249 10*306 7*339 5*329 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography