DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 83.3 - - 85.8 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 288 - - 76 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2048 - - 3793 - - 3780 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4175 - - 5512 - - 4798 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5041 - - 6786 - - 6773 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1609 - - 4890 - - 7171 - - 528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 431 - - 284 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 142 - - 134 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 7 - - 20 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7069 - - -7994 - - -9367 - - -11033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12110 - - 14781 - - 16141 - - 13986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12181 - - -11862 - - -13373 - - -15753 ODpotential blCL - - - 17222 - - 18648 - - 20146 - - 18706 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 67 - - 74 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 83.3 - - 85.8 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 28.2 - - 24.5 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 81.3 - - 85.0 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.8 - - 27.0 - - 23.3 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 265 - - 288 - - 76 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2048 - - 3793 - - 3780 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97755 16 176 5 227 2 076 13 140 97755 90364 17 146 10 176 5 299 9 128 90364 84687 12 123 13 140 3 210 3 134 84687 79983 8 124 9 135 2 248 2 066 79983 75936 7 143 5 177 3 290 4 031 75936 72362 5 134 4 213 4 280 3 336 72362 69124 2 127 4 210 9 295 3 356 69124 66141 1 272 4 246 7 291 4 306 66141 63368 5 316 7 284 10 283 6 309 63368 60679 9 282 8 263 9 275 13 285 60679 57885 14 285 15 267 17 274 13 270 57885 54998 19 269 20 265 22 278 20 288 54998 52240 25 288 26 276 28 273 34 270 52240 49766 35 293 33 284 39 269 46 258 49766 47567 42 289 42 283 48 268 52 261 47567 45598 49 286 48 281 52 272 53 268 45598 43818 52 285 54 280 57 276 55 276 43818 42188 51 283 54 278 56 274 57 277 42188 40667 47 280 50 276 51 270 53 273 40667 39233 47 281 49 273 48 268 49 270 39233 37878 50 282 49 272 47 268 48 268 37878 36571 52 281 50 274 46 269 50 268 36571 35249 50 280 50 274 47 271 52 268 35249 33884 46 279 49 273 48 271 54 268 33884 32480 41 278 45 271 47 270 53 267 32480 31022 38 278 43 270 45 270 52 266 31022 29499 35 279 41 271 42 271 49 266 29499 27913 32 280 38 272 39 274 46 267 27913 26264 27 282 33 273 36 275 43 267 26264 24556 23 282 28 274 32 273 41 265 24556 22789 23 279 25 275 29 269 40 260 22789 20957 24 279 22 272 28 261 37 251 20957 19055 21 284 20 269 29 256 35 249 19055 17123 18 276 18 263 32 251 32 251 17123 15263 15 267 18 251 30 236 29 245 15263 13565 12 262 19 240 28 231 26 238 13565 12045 10 256 19 228 26 231 25 237 12045 10683 9 243 20 222 21 228 22 236 10683 9460 8 228 18 219 17 218 19 233 9460 8365 9 214 15 210 13 200 14 220 8365 7386 10 201 12*189 11*176 12 194 7386 6516 12 189 12*168 11*156 12 166 6516 5742 13*175 12 151 11 141 13 148 5742 5044 13*161 13 140 11 135 14 139 5044 4422 14 154 13 137 11 131 14 134 4422 3900 14 148 14 135 11 128 14 129 3900 3497 14 145 13 133 11 126 12 124 3497 3218 13 143 13 132 11 125 10 119 3218 3049 12 142 12 131 10 124 8*118 3049 2952 11 141 11 130 9 123 5*121 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography