DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 56.8 - - 60.9 - - 61.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 326 - - 310 - - 161 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4809 - - 6808 - - 4120 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 6332 - - 7883 - - 5485 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 7802 - - 9801 - - 7113 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1299 - - 3701 - - 3721 - - 5944 - - 3461 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 481 - - 532 - - 363 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 14 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 298 - - 319 - - 034 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 7 - - 20 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4068 - - -900 - - -33 - - -2886 - - -4970 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7019 - - 8702 - - 9834 - - 9999 - - 7921 sfcLCL ODpotential -6646 - - -2065 - - -986 - - -4193 - - -7885 ODpotential blCL 9597 - - 9867 - - 10787 - - 11306 - - 10836 blCL maxRH 98 - - 75 - - 88 - - 70 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 56.8 - - 60.9 - - 61.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 28.9 - - 27.9 - - 27.4 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.3 - - 54.7 - - 58.7 - - 59.6 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 27.9 - - 26.8 - - 26.3 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 326 - - 310 - - 161 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4809 - - 6808 - - 4120 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97369 19 290 12 269 14 314 11 316 16 296 97369 90029 11 301 15 254 16 289 17 309 17 321 90029 84423 5 307 11 252 19 258 16 297 20 316 84423 79777 7 269 13 280 15 250 12 284 15 292 79777 75749 8 261 14 279 12 253 15 272 13 280 75749 72166 12 278 14 265 14 249 21 265 14 287 72166 68910 19 266 20 258 18 254 25 260 18 282 68910 65906 20 259 23 260 19 262 24 256 20 270 65906 63102 19 263 20 268 21 264 18 262 16 265 63102 60372 19 256 22 272 20 262 19 271 18 275 60372 57518 16 256 20 267 19 268 21 269 21 283 57518 54555 14 275 18 272 18 276 21 272 19 282 54555 51724 16 291 16 286 20 289 22 283 20 298 51724 49184 13 290 14 292 19 288 22 292 26 303 49184 46924 11 293 12 292 19 291 24 291 24 299 46924 44883 11 308 13 296 17 293 20 298 19 309 44883 43018 17 316 13 317 17 324 21 324 24 333 43018 41305 18 328 17 336 21 336 27 333 26 334 41305 39725 17 333 22 351 26 349 25 340 25 344 39725 38263 14 325 24 354 27 357 26 346 29 355 38263 36906 9 317 22 352 29 006 30 353 32 355 36906 35619 9 355 20 352 34 017 35 002 33 352 35619 34323 7 323 19 351 41 020 40 004 32 355 34323 32983 10 285 16 338 42 021 40 002 31 006 32983 31601 10 284 16 331 36 021 35 358 27 001 31601 30165 9 292 16 323 28 018 30 356 25 343 30165 28667 8 315 13 287 22 012 24 353 23 332 28667 27108 9 334 9 271 19 357 21 356 19 325 27108 25487 11 331 4 302 13 305 13 000 13 325 25487 23804 12 330 4 346 11 266 14 309 10 328 23804 22066 13 331 5 330 11 251 17 283 16 318 22066 20277 16 329 7 320 11 257 16 280 16 300 20277 18434 18 334 8 326 11 272 15 286 15 307 18434 16567 18 332 9 314 13 286 14 289 18 304 16567 14769 18 324 10 315 11 284 18 281 21 282 14769 13131 18 320 11 319 11 264 20 261 22 276 13131 11667 16 309 12 312 11 264 19 260 19 278 11667 10357 12 295 12 302 10*271 16 261 15 279 10357 9183 8 284 12 293 9*279 12 266 12 273 9183 8131 6 271 10*282 8 288 7 282 9 263 8131 7192 6 260 8*280 7 307 4*325 5 237 7192 6358 5 267 7 283 7 318 5*009 4 180 6358 5617 5 284 7 288 7 328 8 030 6 144 5617 4949 6 293 6 298 7 336 9 035 8 128 4949 4355 7 292 6 307 7 342 9 037 9 120 4355 3856 7 283 5 315 7 347 10 038 9 115 3856 3471 5 268 5 323 7 350 10 038 8 111 3471 3205 3 248 5 328 7 352 10 039 7 112 3205 3043 2*237 5 328 7 354 9 039 6*117 3043 2950 1*226 5 332 7 354 8 039 4*122 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography