DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.2 - - 46.8 - - 61.5 - - 62.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 51 - - 62 - - -3 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 917 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 3910 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 550 - - 1203 - - 3645 - - 8285 - - 1250 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 39 - - 165 - - 0 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 273 - - 110 - - 181 - - 177 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -7 - - -1 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -990 - - -4584 - - -5674 - - -916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2950 - - 3941 - - 8494 - - 8627 - - 3868 sfcLCL ODpotential -5418 - - -4917 - - -7421 - - -7546 - - -5011 ODpotential blCL 8369 - - 7868 - - 11331 - - 10498 - - 7962 blCL maxRH 97 - - 89 - - 80 - - 99 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.2 - - 46.8 - - 61.5 - - 62.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 40.0 - - 34.7 - - 35.1 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 46.2 - - 60.9 - - 64.5 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 39.5 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 51 - - 62 - - -3 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 917 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 54 - - 19 - - 97 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96940 20 035 14 048 17 083 13 084 16 018 96940 89897 18 070 20 085 19 090 25 086 18 081 89897 84381 19 087 20 101 19 081 17 083 17 085 84381 79755 14 077 18 102 8 096 11 076 13 072 79755 75735 8 092 14 089 6 135 0 304 14 059 75735 72145 3 095 6 076 5 067 3 211 10 351 72145 68888 1 291 6 295 9 342 5 010 8 284 68888 65908 11 279 12 263 18 273 17 308 7 323 65908 63153 16 275 11 313 18 279 19 294 11 308 63153 60497 20 278 21 295 15 285 18 286 13 296 60497 57717 24 271 21 278 19 282 18 272 14 278 57717 54800 23 270 24 277 24 274 23 273 24 273 54800 51994 28 276 31 283 38 271 37 276 37 269 51994 49462 38 268 39 269 49 266 47 272 49 267 49462 47185 35 262 39 258 45 262 49 268 54 260 47185 45113 35 273 39 276 43 275 54 279 49 261 45113 43229 46 274 61 284 67 281 74 282 60 271 43229 41530 60 277 73 268 82 276 90 272 79 268 41530 39982 71 308 65 270 78 280 85 267 95 266 39982 38547 129 310 85 301 95 292 86 275 108 266 38547 37203 135 306 101 300 104 291 93 278 113 266 37203 35907 118 305 92 295 87 285 90 275 108 269 35907 34596 115 299 87 291 71 273 85 270 100 269 34596 33245 112 297 75 283 65 263 82 263 96 265 33245 31857 99 296 70 274 68 257 75 256 94 260 31857 30413 81 288 74 271 75 255 75 251 95 258 30413 28899 75 279 77 273 80 255 80 252 93 256 28899 27320 76 275 78 276 79 257 84 256 93 259 27320 25681 72 275 75 278 75 261 85 262 84 263 25681 23985 66 274 70 278 71 265 82 267 74 266 23985 22235 61 271 65 276 66 267 73 269 65 269 22235 20426 56 271 58 276 60 269 63 267 60 268 20426 18554 53 270 53 275 56 268 56 264 59 263 18554 16652 51 268 50 271 52 264 53 264 56 256 16652 14820 47 262 50 264 50 260 50 262 54 251 14820 13151 43 252 53 256 48 259 45 258 54 248 13151 11665 40 243 51 248 48 258 41 253 54 245 11665 10339 37 237 45 239 46 256 39 249 51 243 10339 9156 32 233 38 234 41 250 38 249 48 246 9156 8099 26 230 31 233 35 243 36 248 44 253 8099 7160 18 225 25 231 30 239 35 248 41 263 7160 6327 11 225 19 226 26 237 32 249 40 273 6327 5588 5 226 14 219 21 232 30 249 40 280 5588 4924 2 246 9 203 16 225 25 249 41 284 4924 4335 2 007 4 164 11*212 20 250 41 283 4335 3842 4 014 3 117 8*197 14 250 38 280 3842 3462 4 007 3 105 6 183 9 250 32 277 3462 3201 4 356 2 115 5 174 5 248 25 277 3201 3041 3*318 2*112 5 167 3*244 20*278 3041 2950 2*273 2*110 4 160 0*177 11*278 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography