DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 50.9 - - 55.9 - - 54.5 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 163 - - 203 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1482 - - 2645 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3580 - - 4501 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4475 - - 5638 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 447 - - 1156 - - 1148 - - 3881 - - 1408 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 257 - - 335 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 142 - - 121 - - 117 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3185 - - -4129 - - -3090 - - -4741 - - -2605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6136 - - 8604 - - 8728 - - 7693 - - 5556 sfcLCL ODpotential -14354 - - -12178 - - -10062 - - -11782 - - -11798 ODpotential blCL 17305 - - 16653 - - 15700 - - 14734 - - 14749 blCL maxRH 64 - - 72 - - 61 - - 64 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 50.9 - - 55.9 - - 54.5 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 23.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.3 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 49.6 - - 54.3 - - 54.4 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 23.5 - - 27.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 163 - - 203 - - 3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1482 - - 2645 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97349 9 124 0 100 5 283 7 213 7 325 97349 90084 10 073 7 073 4 110 7 103 2 331 90084 84494 13 068 8 097 3 076 7 069 7 131 84494 79874 8 026 12 093 2 074 6 066 12 103 79874 75893 1 332 8 023 6 128 4 145 4 055 75893 72374 2 210 6 006 5 161 4 170 5 228 72374 69171 7 230 3 277 9 235 4 262 8 218 69171 66200 8 224 12 286 13 222 11 234 15 224 66200 63422 13 238 16 256 16 258 13 275 10 233 63422 60704 13 243 18 244 29 242 21 259 18 244 60704 57858 18 252 22 233 25 248 22 265 22 260 57858 54908 21 257 25 249 30 257 30 263 24 269 54908 52096 24 260 23 238 25 251 32 272 35 273 52096 49574 18 266 17 264 27 252 34 264 36 269 49574 47322 25 289 22 271 21 246 28 250 34 275 47322 45292 30 277 18 284 15 284 25 284 35 287 45292 43447 22 287 29 292 29 302 35 298 34 283 43447 41759 25 300 28 280 32 297 34 292 28 277 41759 40201 14 334 20 252 25 314 23 291 26 290 40201 38755 41 006 31 349 36 343 32 318 30 308 38755 37406 57 350 53 344 46 340 43 320 37 315 37406 36114 60 342 53 337 46 333 44 317 39 316 36114 34809 55 344 47 341 39 330 37 316 35 314 34809 33460 51 348 45 348 33 332 32 316 30 311 33460 32071 46 350 41 349 29 330 28 315 26 308 32071 30629 40 352 35 346 26 329 23 314 23 311 30629 29121 35 357 24 345 20 332 19 314 22 314 29121 27549 26 003 16 342 15 322 15 309 21 316 27549 25911 23 355 14 335 10 308 16 301 18 313 25911 24207 18 349 15 323 9 306 16 304 19 312 24207 22441 13 337 13 315 11 313 16 311 20 319 22441 20609 12 323 12 311 13 315 15 318 17 318 20609 18708 12 319 11 309 13 310 15 317 13 304 18708 16772 9 333 7 303 11 302 13 306 10 290 16772 14909 4 012 5 270 7 287 11 292 10 283 14909 13214 3 035 4 235 4 269 10 275 10 273 13214 11707 3 019 2 195 4 185 8 261 9 268 11707 10366 3 025 3 144 6 172 8 249 7 261 10366 9172 3 069 5 152 8 174 7 237 6 246 9172 8109 4 124 9 167 10 179 7 215 6 217 8109 7166 4 125 13 171 10 181 7 180 7 182 7166 6332 4 095 13 171 7*175 7 152 10 161 6332 5592 2 100 9 170 5*155 7 141 11 152 5592 4928 1 139 7*168 4 136 6 134 13 149 4928 4339 1 106 7*157 4 121 6 127 13 149 4339 3845 1 145 7 146 4 113 6 124 12 151 3845 3464 3 170 7 140 5 105 6 121 10 153 3464 3201 5 171 7 134 4 102 6 120 8 155 3201 3042 5*178 6 131 4 101 5*119 6*157 3042 2950 4*185 6 130 4 099 4*117 2*171 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography