DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 39.0 - - 43.3 - - 41.5 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 78 - - -19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2623 - - 4210 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2932 - - 3641 - - 5158 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 5616 - - 7203 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2988 - - 3330 - - 3955 - - 4860 - - 1384 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 231 - - 301 - - 19 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 15 - - 23 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 212 - - 203 - - 182 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 27 - - -32 - - -16 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1435 - - -917 - - 423 - - -2362 - - -1188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4386 - - 6533 - - 6781 - - 5313 - - 4138 sfcLCL ODpotential -3481 - - -3398 - - -1590 - - -4013 - - -3867 ODpotential blCL 6431 - - 9014 - - 8793 - - 6964 - - 6817 blCL maxRH 55 - - 79 - - 79 - - 78 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 39.0 - - 43.3 - - 41.5 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 20.4 - - 23.5 - - 28.1 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 38.4 - - 42.5 - - 42.0 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 19.2 - - 22.3 - - 27.0 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 78 - - -19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2623 - - 4210 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97019 20 100 16 088 19 107 21 115 22 096 97019 89833 16 112 17 129 14 108 20 126 21 082 89833 84204 16 117 18 122 13 123 14 111 17 092 84204 79491 12 105 13 139 9 132 0 274 12 085 79491 75433 3 135 14 112 9 150 4 091 8 084 75433 71842 6 089 5 148 8 158 3 150 7 054 71842 68567 8 223 8 197 7 163 8 205 2 311 68567 65524 15 217 14 212 11 214 9 223 9 204 65524 62681 26 236 16 216 17 234 18 223 17 216 62681 59902 36 239 14 234 15 236 19 226 12 222 59902 56965 41 242 18 250 21 240 23 238 17 252 56965 53902 37 242 26 241 28 245 22 240 20 233 53902 50974 34 241 32 241 28 249 20 243 19 233 50974 48332 31 242 31 249 30 246 24 239 26 238 48332 45963 27 239 33 245 28 250 21 230 24 236 45963 43820 21 234 31 240 23 256 15 241 17 231 43820 41857 19 241 25 236 29 255 21 265 15 266 41857 40042 28 250 22 232 35 246 28 265 31 270 40042 38361 38 251 24 235 35 240 34 260 40 258 38361 36805 46 250 33 245 32 245 36 257 39 256 36805 35369 54 244 42 253 38 257 40 259 41 260 35369 34014 55 235 48 249 50 254 51 248 45 251 34014 32672 52 236 47 238 51 243 50 233 44 238 32672 31320 54 241 43 236 42 231 39 227 38 230 31320 29960 57 239 45 241 31 239 39 245 34 241 29960 28572 55 233 43 243 45 259 51 248 40 253 28572 27144 52 228 44 252 72 256 59 245 62 250 27144 25679 50 228 61 255 86 249 62 243 90 243 25679 24174 48 233 79 254 78 245 57 236 90 238 24174 22620 47 240 75 255 64 244 48 224 78 236 22620 21018 44 250 55 252 56 242 42 213 66 233 21018 19359 41 255 42 243 48 236 39 211 54 225 19359 17635 38 257 37 239 43 229 40 218 50 221 17635 15876 36 258 32 234 41 223 43 226 46 222 15876 14177 35 258 30 232 39 219 45 230 41 229 14177 12627 33 256 29 229 37 220 45 230 36 236 12627 11242 29 257 29 228 36 222 45 228 32 239 11242 10003 24 257 29 228 35 220 44 225 29 240 10003 8892 20 260 30 229 33 215 44 222 27 239 8892 7897 19 264 29 229 31*209 43 219 28 233 7897 7007 18 267 27 228 28*206 42 215 29 227 7007 6215 19 266 24*224 27 204 39 211 30 221 6215 5508 20 262 21*220 25 204 36 205 29 215 5508 4869 21 255 19 216 24 203 33 200 26 209 4869 4299 21 248 16 212 22 203 30 196 24 202 4299 3820 20 245 14 209 20 203 26 192 18 195 3820 3450 16 245 13 206 19 202 23 189 14 189 3450 3194 12 245 12 204 17 202 20 187 10 184 3194 3039 9*243 10 203 15 201 17*185 7*181 3039 2949 5*235 8 198 12 201 11*182 3*169 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography