DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.1 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 144 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3850 - - 5182 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5277 - - 6192 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6843 - - 8175 - - - - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3472 - - 3385 - - - - - 7357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 375 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 19 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 329 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 35 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 25 - - -311 - - - - - -4566 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6818 - - 8486 - - - - - 7517 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -505 - - -1012 - - - - - -5541 ODpotential blCL - - - 7348 - - 9187 - - - - - 8492 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.1 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 26.1 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 52.0 - - - - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 25.8 - - - - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 144 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3850 - - 5182 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - - - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98173 0 092 6 318 11 040 98173 90717 4 129 8 284 9 358 90717 84970 6 074 7 307 11 001 84970 80192 2 150 5 245 11 325 80192 76100 4 336 6 302 5 315 76100 72490 10 272 7 286 3 321 72490 69196 8 248 9 283 6 344 69196 66138 7 252 5 300 10 322 66138 63279 17 270 12 322 10 328 63279 60496 22 262 26 278 12 311 60496 57590 25 268 28 268 24 292 57590 54565 26 275 20 277 20 285 54565 51680 31 286 27 285 26 293 51680 49101 39 282 38 286 35 296 49101 46810 40 274 43 285 40 287 46810 44744 39 272 49 282 36 278 44744 42852 42 278 50 273 30 282 42852 41104 49 278 44 268 32 293 41104 39480 53 272 40 275 37 294 39480 37969 52 267 47 288 42 294 37969 36567 50 267 60 292 50 294 36567 35244 50 268 64 289 56 290 35244 33932 50 268 61 286 56 284 33932 32597 49 265 59 288 55 284 32597 31231 48 261 60 289 54 286 31231 29816 47 260 60 288 55 287 29816 28337 46 260 60 286 58 286 28337 26797 46 263 59 284 61 285 26797 25197 46 266 56 283 63 284 25197 23541 46 269 54 283 62 283 23541 21830 46 273 53 284 61 282 21830 20056 46 278 52 283 59 283 20056 18217 46 281 52 278 55 287 18217 16350 45 278 53 275 46 288 16350 14560 45 274 50 270 39 282 14560 12936 41 270 38 268 33 279 12936 11494 32 271 26 273 25 283 11494 10209 23 277 24 280 22 292 10209 9060 22 282 22*293 22 301 9060 8032 20 287 20*305 22 311 8032 7114 16*294 20 314 23 320 7114 6298 14*301 20 323 23 326 6298 5571 11 311 20 331 24 332 5571 4915 9 321 20 336 24 334 4915 4332 9 325 20 338 24 335 4332 3841 8 329 20 340 24 336 3841 3463 8 331 19 341 23 337 3463 3201 7 333 19 342 21 338 3201 3042 7 334 17 343 19*338 3042 2950 6 336 14 344 13*339 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography