DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.3 - - 53.3 - - 60.1 - - 51.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - -10 - - 37 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 659 - - 3896 - - 1423 - - 337 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 17 - - 36 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 268 - - 306 - - 076 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -16 - - -7 - - 0 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3773 - - -4194 - - -5657 - - -2772 - - -2297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6724 - - 7146 - - 8609 - - 5724 - - 5249 sfcLCL ODpotential -14668 - - -11542 - - -11972 - - -10437 - - -11895 ODpotential blCL 17619 - - 14493 - - 14924 - - 13389 - - 14847 blCL maxRH 64 - - 45 - - 51 - - 60 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.3 - - 53.3 - - 60.1 - - 51.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 32.8 - - 32.9 - - 37.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 53.8 - - 59.5 - - 55.2 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 31.5 - - 32.0 - - 37.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - -10 - - 37 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96251 22 007 27 346 24 002 24 005 27 349 96251 89334 26 013 24 359 27 355 27 008 23 359 89334 83904 30 015 21 023 17 016 19 023 23 021 83904 79325 34 360 24 018 16 358 27 359 24 022 79325 75328 24 000 22 357 20 355 17 342 23 004 75328 71776 20 009 13 357 16 004 22 003 26 348 71776 68565 21 358 13 347 17 332 30 339 27 358 68565 65624 19 344 16 006 16 351 34 339 24 360 65624 62904 15 314 22 312 20 326 33 333 20 009 62904 60265 19 330 25 319 28 330 30 333 30 346 60265 57524 37 327 43 329 36 329 38 327 42 328 57524 54706 39 320 47 331 45 330 40 323 47 319 54706 52030 39 306 48 318 44 322 44 318 49 326 52030 49612 40 304 46 305 47 309 51 316 52 323 49612 47434 44 313 43 304 47 305 57 312 55 316 47434 45466 50 313 48 306 53 306 62 312 60 311 45466 43682 56 306 52 303 54 299 68 296 64 306 43682 42045 60 300 52 302 50 298 65 289 61 297 42045 40527 62 298 51 304 50 305 59 291 54 295 40527 39103 62 299 53 306 52 306 55 299 51 298 39103 37758 62 299 54 305 53 301 54 304 51 301 37758 36457 61 300 54 303 53 296 53 305 50 302 36457 35135 61 299 54 300 53 293 51 304 49 303 35135 33765 59 299 54 299 53 293 49 304 46 303 33765 32354 58 298 54 297 53 295 48 306 43 303 32354 30887 58 298 53 297 52 297 47 308 42 305 30887 29355 58 297 52 296 51 300 47 310 41 308 29355 27760 56 297 53 296 51 303 47 311 41 311 27760 26103 54 298 54 299 51 305 47 311 41 313 26103 24384 53 301 54 301 50 305 46 311 42 314 24384 22604 53 304 52 302 50 307 45 313 42 314 22604 20756 51 305 52 302 51 309 45 314 41 313 20756 18836 49 305 50 304 50 311 44 313 39 310 18836 16884 46 304 46 306 47 311 41 310 36 305 16884 15007 43 303 40 306 41 308 37 307 33 303 15007 13301 39 301 37 306 35 304 32 304 30 305 13301 11784 36 299 34 306 30 304 28 303 27 307 11784 10434 33 300 30 307 26 305 23 303 22 308 10434 9232 29 303 25 310 21 307 17 306 17 309 9232 8162 26 308 20 313 17 309 13 314 12 313 8162 7210 22 314 16 314 14 311 11 319 10 319 7210 6367 21 319 13 313 12 312 9 315 8 319 6367 5620 22 319 13 317 12 314 9 306 8 312 5620 4948 23 312 15 319 13 312 9 302 7 305 4948 4352 24 299 17 305 13 302 10 296 7 299 4352 3852 21 287 18 286 12 300 8 293 5 286 3852 3468 17 280 18 272 11 301 5 306 3 260 3468 3203 12 273 14 267 10 302 3 327 3 213 3203 3042 8*260 11*268 9*303 1*014 3*183 3042 2951 5*239 6*268 7*306 1*076 3*177 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography