DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 48.3 - - 56.9 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -8 - - -2 - - -13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 177 - - 4089 - - 457 - - 332 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 15 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 217 - - 220 - - 115 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -11 - - -9 - - 3 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1362 - - -1177 - - -2309 - - -865 - - -358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4313 - - 4128 - - 5262 - - 3817 - - 3311 sfcLCL ODpotential -7188 - - -5284 - - -4218 - - -4482 - - -4125 ODpotential blCL 10139 - - 8235 - - 7170 - - 7434 - - 7077 blCL maxRH 83 - - 75 - - 76 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 48.3 - - 56.9 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 40.7 - - 44.2 - - 44.6 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 49.7 - - 57.1 - - 54.0 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 39.6 - - 43.0 - - 44.0 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -8 - - -2 - - -13 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 3 - - 61 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96363 32 023 15 005 19 029 26 016 22 041 96363 89415 28 006 21 015 11 001 22 020 16 006 89415 83983 18 319 18 357 15 347 16 333 20 346 83983 79414 18 296 18 323 18 336 17 333 13 343 79414 75425 29 309 14 316 19 314 24 326 19 315 75425 71900 26 301 19 306 23 301 19 307 19 324 71900 68696 16 305 23 324 15 319 18 314 17 324 68696 65721 27 309 32 301 36 293 33 297 32 301 65721 62976 34 300 29 295 27 292 38 293 33 288 62976 60341 36 296 36 308 26 310 41 297 35 290 60341 57591 54 294 54 293 52 294 47 286 52 287 57591 54729 71 292 67 289 59 285 55 287 58 286 54729 51988 77 287 75 291 66 290 70 293 72 286 51988 49504 75 289 81 294 84 289 83 284 78 284 49504 47258 82 298 95 295 90 290 82 281 89 286 47258 45209 105 299 111 294 104 295 97 291 100 290 45209 43329 119 294 112 293 117 295 112 291 107 292 43329 41596 107 297 99 296 115 294 109 292 109 294 41596 39995 112 308 93 301 111 298 107 298 118 297 39995 38515 127 307 111 303 116 300 117 301 129 298 38515 37147 122 301 119 299 126 298 118 299 125 293 37147 35854 124 298 118 295 124 296 106 293 106 285 35854 34558 128 296 115 293 112 294 106 291 95 283 34558 33218 129 297 114 294 108 291 105 290 91 278 33218 31834 119 298 117 296 102 291 102 289 90 273 31834 30393 100 292 101 297 96 289 98 286 91 275 30393 28887 101 287 80 300 88 287 97 286 88 279 28887 27318 106 287 70 301 81 286 97 289 80 282 27318 25685 99 287 66 294 72 290 91 292 73 291 25685 23995 75 286 67 290 63 292 82 293 69 304 23995 22249 56 282 64 295 61 291 76 290 65 304 22249 20443 50 279 52 295 59 292 79 286 57 300 20443 18572 44 278 43 280 49 291 73 286 49 294 18572 16671 41 282 43 280 37 282 43 281 48 285 16671 14838 36 283 36 279 32 271 27 273 50 277 14838 13172 33 283 30 279 28 270 28 268 44 269 13172 11690 31 285 26 282 24 271 32 271 35 263 11690 10369 31 284 23 285 21 271 34 274 30 259 10369 9189 30 283 21 288 21 270 34 273 27 254 9189 8135 29 281 21 289 21 266 34 268 26 252 8135 7195 27 279 21 286 21 258 32 263 25 252 7195 6360 24 278 22 280 20 250 31 258 24 253 6360 5618 20 277 22 274 18 243 29 254 24 251 5618 4949 17 276 21 268 16 240 25 252 23 248 4949 4353 15 274 20 264 13 236 17 249 21 241 4353 3854 13 266 18 258 10 233 10 240 16 234 3854 3469 12 255 15 251 8 229 5 199 11 217 3469 3204 9 236 10 241 6 227 5 142 8 194 3204 3043 7*218 7*233 5*225 5*126 7*182 3043 2951 4*167 3*217 3*220 4*115 5*174 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography