DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 68.0 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 240 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1545 - - 2528 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3715 - - 4475 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4538 - - 5521 - - - - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1006 - - 1564 - - - - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 347 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 150 - - - - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4938 - - -5449 - - - - - -6300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9476 - - 10971 - - - - - 9253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12697 - - -12033 - - - - - -17187 ODpotential blCL - - - 17235 - - 17554 - - - - - 20139 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 34 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.0 - - 68.0 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 30.7 - - - - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 66.1 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 30.5 - - - - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 240 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1545 - - 2528 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97561 7 351 7 081 4 273 97561 90326 9 129 2 094 15 066 90326 84749 13 115 8 192 12 065 84749 80120 8 116 6 187 3 332 80120 76136 2 132 6 207 6 295 76136 72618 0 032 3 206 12 284 72618 69437 7 301 10 334 8 258 69437 66512 7 291 9 279 7 312 66512 63796 8 313 8 225 14 296 63796 61164 15 333 9 338 9 339 61164 58419 28 315 26 315 20 322 58419 55582 23 310 18 308 30 330 55582 52885 19 341 20 334 33 327 52885 50459 31 348 33 344 28 355 50459 48277 44 350 48 001 45 001 48277 46293 56 353 62 359 53 000 46293 44478 59 001 64 001 52 003 44478 42805 56 006 54 008 45 013 42805 41249 45 008 44 010 39 025 41249 39794 45 025 36 002 34 026 39794 38425 47 035 30 020 30 017 38425 37104 48 036 35 029 27 010 37104 35766 51 033 38 028 24 012 35766 34381 52 027 40 022 23 020 34381 32952 50 024 45 014 26 016 32952 31465 48 020 46 009 26 015 31465 29910 48 017 45 008 20 021 29910 28288 47 016 43 010 17 024 28288 26599 45 017 40 012 18 019 26599 24844 40 020 37 011 20 015 24844 23024 33 024 30 015 22 011 23024 21134 28 029 23 024 19 012 21134 19171 26 032 18 035 10 360 19171 17173 23 035 16 053 3 346 17173 15250 18 040 14 068 1 116 15250 13502 14 040 10 076 2 109 13502 11949 11 043 9 078 4 085 11949 10567 7 074 8 089 7 094 10567 9338 4 140 6 106 10 115 9338 8247 7 159 5 129 11 131 8247 7277 10 157 8 154 13 138 7277 6420 9 152 11 159 17 141 6420 5661 7 153 12*157 19 144 5661 4979 6*157 13*155 20 147 4979 4374 7*152 13 152 20 152 4374 3867 7 145 13 150 18 155 3867 3477 7 140 12 148 15 156 3477 3208 7 135 12 146 12 156 3208 3044 7 133 11 145 8*156 3044 2951 6 132 10 144 5*164 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography