DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.7 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 302 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1855 - - 2883 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3965 - - 4824 - - - - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4848 - - 5876 - - - - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1238 - - 1207 - - - - - 2284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 394 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 010 - - - - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6504 - - -7277 - - - - - -7745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11352 - - 13154 - - - - - 10696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14865 - - -14716 - - - - - -15062 ODpotential blCL - - - 19713 - - 20592 - - - - - 18013 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 82 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.7 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.6 - - 12.3 - - - - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 57.5 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 11.2 - - - - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 302 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1855 - - 2883 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 27 - - - - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96409 24 263 22 283 22 288 96409 89258 14 246 24 290 26 277 89258 83765 16 246 19 280 26 280 83765 79234 17 266 18 271 18 269 79234 75308 23 297 31 290 20 307 75308 71820 24 288 37 286 29 303 71820 68665 17 275 29 278 30 293 68665 65760 20 294 28 287 35 297 65760 63051 30 279 40 284 45 292 63051 60414 39 275 49 275 50 287 60414 57652 47 275 57 281 55 291 57652 54770 67 282 66 278 67 290 54770 52005 69 279 66 280 72 290 52005 49510 76 282 70 288 73 292 49510 47275 81 284 80 291 80 291 47275 45263 83 283 86 285 80 287 45263 43446 79 280 77 280 76 288 43446 41795 74 285 73 292 90 295 41795 40274 78 297 81 300 108 298 40274 38852 84 298 86 302 114 295 38852 37505 84 295 82 300 108 296 37505 36200 86 291 75 292 108 297 36200 34875 84 287 73 283 103 298 34875 33504 79 286 74 276 82 296 33504 32095 77 286 74 278 74 288 32095 30630 73 286 70 286 72 282 30630 29097 70 281 63 286 67 277 29097 27502 66 281 54 275 57 274 27502 25846 61 280 49 274 47 273 25846 24130 57 275 46 275 43 274 24130 22358 49 266 45 273 42 274 22358 20529 41 262 41 268 42 272 20529 18642 36 261 34 264 38 266 18642 16733 28 262 27 261 30 263 16733 14897 21 273 19 263 22 263 14897 13221 15 287 14 269 22 263 13221 11726 10 308 9 269 21 261 11726 10392 7 329 5 249 17 257 10392 9199 3 359 4 207 12 248 9199 8133 2 063 4 177 8 229 8133 7185 3 076 3 157 5 199 7185 6346 3 057 1*013 3 155 6346 5604 3 017 3*006 3 078 5604 4938 5*340 4 005 5 029 4938 4347 6*334 4 009 6 015 4347 3851 6 335 5 011 7 012 3851 3468 6 339 5 012 7 010 3468 3204 6 341 5 014 7 005 3204 3043 6 343 5 015 5*352 3043 2950 5 345 5 015 3*342 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography