DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.7 - - 49.7 - - 55.1 - - 58.4 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 89 - - 145 - - 15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2239 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 4098 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 5232 - - 3460 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 190 - - 2813 - - 1524 - - 4202 - - 334 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 48 - - 291 - - 86 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 118 - - 138 - - 126 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -724 - - -1456 - - -307 - - -3937 - - -2390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3675 - - 4408 - - 5540 - - 7398 - - 5341 sfcLCL ODpotential -7445 - - -3050 - - -4266 - - -8473 - - -9068 ODpotential blCL 10396 - - 6001 - - 9498 - - 11933 - - 12019 blCL maxRH 62 - - 74 - - 81 - - 72 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.7 - - 49.7 - - 55.1 - - 58.4 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 40.8 - - 41.1 - - 36.4 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.2 - - 48.7 - - 53.9 - - 58.1 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 39.7 - - 39.8 - - 35.3 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 89 - - 145 - - 15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2239 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96020 9 277 16 279 30 276 26 296 17 329 96020 88947 22 304 19 307 19 308 15 320 17 326 88947 83520 27 306 31 305 26 301 23 322 20 335 83520 79022 27 308 30 314 27 314 28 321 13 349 79022 75116 34 300 30 303 36 300 37 308 30 317 75116 71656 34 291 36 295 36 292 41 293 34 300 71656 68512 34 299 35 293 38 291 38 293 31 303 68512 65585 43 292 38 289 45 286 41 297 39 300 65585 62845 39 286 42 281 51 281 52 291 48 294 62845 60171 45 287 49 282 58 275 58 280 55 286 60171 57362 53 286 55 280 55 273 54 275 57 277 57362 54434 61 285 58 281 56 279 56 276 58 271 54434 51632 66 282 61 280 59 278 60 272 57 269 51632 49113 61 279 61 277 59 275 59 274 57 275 49113 46870 53 285 57 279 58 279 59 279 52 277 46870 44850 60 295 55 284 59 284 58 283 46 281 44850 43016 62 297 53 282 54 283 53 283 44 288 43016 41339 48 296 45 283 49 281 49 279 45 291 41339 39803 39 327 38 304 42 291 45 280 43 291 39803 38392 52 338 51 313 48 301 46 289 43 289 38392 37078 52 340 52 314 50 299 50 291 45 286 37078 35811 48 343 41 321 40 296 47 289 44 282 35811 34526 48 342 33 326 34 300 42 285 43 280 34526 33195 48 340 35 324 33 304 38 285 44 276 33195 31822 46 342 37 328 34 307 37 288 41 273 31822 30394 40 351 30 328 33 312 35 290 37 270 30394 28899 34 357 24 318 29 320 31 290 33 269 28899 27340 29 355 15 321 21 317 26 292 30 269 27340 25717 20 010 10 326 17 293 16 292 26 268 25717 24031 17 031 10 321 20 281 13 262 22 261 24031 22286 18 021 11 318 20 274 20 267 24 260 22286 20478 17 008 10 317 17 271 20 274 25 271 20478 18602 15 356 7 318 12 263 17 271 22 279 18602 16695 11 356 2 310 10 251 16 266 18 270 16695 14857 6 017 3 175 11 238 15 249 16 260 14857 13184 3 061 8 167 13 221 17 236 17 255 13184 11694 4 107 13 177 16 210 20 231 21 249 11694 10367 5 123 14 187 17 215 23 231 24 235 10367 9184 4 135 12 198 19 221 23 226 25 226 9184 8126 2 144 11 213 18 219 21 220 21 220 8126 7184 0 046 9 222 16 211 16 215 17 205 7184 6348 3 349 7 225 13 200 12 198 17 183 6348 5606 4 331 6 220 11*171 10 172 18 166 5606 4939 5 323 6 209 11*154 10 151 21 155 4939 4346 6 322 5 193 12 140 10 138 22 151 4346 3850 7 297 4 159 12 137 10 133 22 151 3850 3467 9 272 5 130 12 134 10*130 19 154 3467 3203 8 258 5 125 11 132 9*128 15 157 3203 3042 5*256 5*120 11 131 9 127 11*158 3042 2950 3*246 4*118 9 131 7 124 6*162 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography