DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.0 - - 53.0 - - 57.6 - - 53.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 135 - - 174 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1917 - - 2917 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 3794 - - 4631 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4910 - - 5910 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 221 - - 1509 - - 1794 - - 3928 - - 788 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 263 - - 329 - - 4 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 303 - - 305 - - 006 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -5 - - 5 - - 3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1947 - - -2872 - - -2814 - - -4877 - - -3002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4898 - - 7783 - - 8724 - - 7828 - - 5953 sfcLCL ODpotential -9119 - - -8891 - - -7823 - - -11122 - - -10739 ODpotential blCL 12070 - - 13801 - - 13733 - - 14073 - - 13690 blCL maxRH 85 - - 59 - - 52 - - 50 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.0 - - 53.0 - - 57.6 - - 53.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 29.3 - - 29.7 - - 30.0 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.7 - - 51.7 - - 56.1 - - 54.8 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 29.0 - - 29.5 - - 29.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 135 - - 174 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1917 - - 2917 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96155 25 309 30 296 32 303 28 307 38 293 96155 89305 13 330 19 300 19 306 17 318 21 314 89305 83952 9 304 9 298 13 311 14 326 17 329 83952 79446 5 294 8 327 7 309 10 310 14 330 79446 75516 7 317 9 327 5 278 8 306 8 323 75516 72009 10 285 5 308 8 257 12 307 9 325 72009 68824 14 287 10 302 11 294 10 302 10 313 68824 65882 16 300 16 313 16 313 10 322 11 317 65882 63126 16 289 13 309 22 301 16 308 13 297 63126 60440 15 287 14 308 19 289 19 311 14 307 60440 57633 20 311 19 306 15 301 23 306 25 314 57633 54734 21 311 20 300 21 305 26 304 32 308 54734 51974 22 319 22 307 24 314 28 314 32 310 51974 49483 28 319 26 321 30 324 30 320 31 304 49483 47248 31 319 31 335 35 326 34 321 28 308 47248 45222 28 324 38 334 38 325 39 318 26 318 45222 43365 33 333 38 332 40 327 36 320 28 315 43365 41661 23 329 33 343 38 336 36 321 34 309 41661 40101 26 357 36 353 40 345 34 322 38 314 40101 38654 32 018 40 355 44 346 37 330 40 312 38654 37300 38 010 40 354 48 347 42 338 36 313 37300 36001 22 028 38 355 47 347 46 339 36 320 36001 34688 30 098 30 355 44 347 48 338 38 322 34688 33330 33 090 22 350 37 349 50 337 38 325 33330 31929 34 077 12 345 31 347 46 337 36 334 31929 30472 31 057 14 353 28 342 32 336 34 342 30472 28949 31 042 16 356 24 335 22 329 28 342 28949 27368 29 041 17 016 21 331 20 320 24 332 27368 25731 26 047 21 020 18 334 17 322 21 319 25731 24038 22 048 21 017 19 343 16 321 17 309 24038 22286 18 061 17 022 18 351 15 321 16 304 22286 20469 13 075 17 034 13 360 13 315 14 301 20469 18583 14 080 19 046 12 026 12 317 11 296 18583 16668 20 065 17 064 11 043 11 326 8 298 16668 14825 19 064 12 064 9 065 11 338 6 313 14825 13148 16 065 10 030 8 053 9 346 4 317 13148 11657 14 056 11 021 5 052 7 339 4 309 11657 10332 11 053 10 024 3 015 7 329 5 300 10332 9151 7 028 7 035 3 322 7 315 7 295 9151 8099 8 343 3 049 5 291 7 291 8 295 8099 7163 11 340 1 037 8 290 9 280 9 288 7163 6333 11 341 3 306 9*295 10 277 9 277 6333 5595 12 329 6 302 10*297 8 281 9 264 5595 4931 13 323 8*301 10 300 6 296 7 252 4931 4340 15 318 10*300 10 303 5 317 5 232 4340 3846 17 302 10 300 10 306 5 336 4 193 3846 3464 17 286 9 303 10 309 5 349 5 169 3464 3201 15 273 9 305 9 311 5 358 4 166 3201 3042 10*272 8 307 9 313 4*002 4*173 3042 2950 6*267 7 308 8 314 3*006 3*176 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography