DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 79.9 - - 80.4 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 441 - - 199 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2918 - - 4377 - - 4201 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4927 - - 6103 - - 5643 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5911 - - 7370 - - 7194 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1524 - - 1363 - - 1695 - - 4230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 429 - - 514 - - 389 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 335 - - 338 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 7 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5500 - - -7188 - - -7333 - - -9522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11411 - - 14559 - - 14528 - - 12475 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13732 - - -14876 - - -14033 - - -17429 ODpotential blCL - - - 19643 - - 22246 - - 21227 - - 20382 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 33 - - 28 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.2 - - 79.9 - - 80.4 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.5 - - 26.2 - - 26.9 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 77.2 - - 78.8 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 25.5 - - 26.4 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 388 - - 441 - - 199 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2918 - - 4377 - - 4201 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99631 35 112 29 109 25 091 31 090 99631 92128 30 100 23 106 28 104 23 096 92128 86340 22 091 25 108 23 114 22 096 86340 81517 19 107 20 111 17 107 14 083 81517 77365 13 106 19 105 14 116 11 086 77365 73702 12 125 8 106 17 077 13 104 73702 70378 15 105 9 143 8 038 15 080 70378 67315 15 063 14 092 6 072 11 064 67315 64480 2 316 3 047 7 009 12 048 64480 61751 7 305 9 257 12 285 10 338 61751 58920 17 290 16 281 17 298 16 290 58920 55989 30 285 32 284 33 302 29 309 55989 53207 41 288 43 286 47 293 46 297 53207 50725 53 286 54 286 57 286 57 290 50725 48515 61 287 61 291 64 291 65 293 48515 46507 71 291 72 295 73 294 72 296 46507 44658 81 291 80 293 79 293 78 295 44658 42943 87 291 83 290 83 291 82 294 42943 41342 87 290 84 290 85 290 83 293 41342 39841 85 290 82 291 84 288 81 292 39841 38431 82 290 79 293 80 287 76 292 38431 37075 78 288 76 292 74 287 72 292 37075 35710 74 287 73 291 71 288 69 290 35710 34304 68 287 70 291 69 290 65 291 34304 32862 62 289 65 292 64 294 59 295 32862 31368 58 290 58 291 56 295 53 297 31368 29810 55 291 53 289 50 296 49 297 29810 28187 53 292 49 288 47 295 45 297 28187 26501 50 292 46 286 46 294 43 298 26501 24753 47 293 42 286 43 292 42 299 24753 22945 43 292 38 289 38 292 38 298 22945 21072 39 292 34 290 34 293 33 296 21072 19129 31 296 29 294 30 298 27 296 19129 17153 22 298 21 296 23 302 22 295 17153 15254 18 303 17 296 17 298 18 293 15254 13528 18 306 15 295 14 295 15 296 13528 11992 16 312 12 301 13 295 13 304 11992 10623 12 325 9 310 10 296 11 312 10623 9401 9 345 6 308 9 311 11 328 9401 8312 7 359 6*320 10 327 12 348 8312 7341 7 357 8*330 11*333 14 355 7341 6481 9*341 9 331 12*335 15 354 6481 5714 11*333 10 333 12 336 14 351 5714 5022 12 330 11 335 12 337 14 346 5022 4407 13 330 11 336 12 338 13 341 4407 3890 13 331 11 338 12 339 12 335 3890 3491 13 331 11 339 12 339 10 329 3491 3216 12 332 11 340 12 340 9 321 3216 3048 11 332 10 340 11 340 7*311 3048 2952 10 333 9 341 9 341 5*302 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography