DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.2 - - 84.4 - - 90.6 - - 91.4 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 367 - - 413 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 987 - - 3481 - - 6175 - - 7911 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2957 - - 5346 - - 7507 - - 8511 - - 2958 Hcrit BL Top 3980 - - 6474 - - 9168 - - 10904 - - 2975 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 918 - - 1960 - - 2904 - - 2170 - - 6408 Hgt.Variab. W* 198 - - 449 - - 565 - - 487 - - 5 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 17 - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 328 - - 330 - - 330 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 6 - - 11 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -14 - - -21 - - -17 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5512 - - -5538 - - -4720 - - -3601 - - -9816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9492 - - 12013 - - 13888 - - 14505 - - 12792 sfcLCL ODpotential -11633 - - -9932 - - -8133 - - -7654 - - -15168 ODpotential blCL 15613 - - 16406 - - 17301 - - 18558 - - 18143 blCL maxRH 42 - - 40 - - 46 - - 42 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.2 - - 84.4 - - 90.6 - - 91.4 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 42.0 - - 39.6 - - 37.7 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.2 - - 82.1 - - 88.0 - - 89.7 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 41.5 - - 39.0 - - 37.0 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 367 - - 413 - - 204 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 987 - - 3481 - - 6175 - - 7911 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99413 29 105 32 112 20 112 26 086 23 110 99413 91933 24 110 22 103 19 106 18 100 19 111 91933 86141 20 110 19 110 17 104 17 118 18 108 86141 81318 16 104 16 115 13 124 13 111 16 108 81318 77159 11 100 17 111 12 139 7 093 13 099 77159 73487 8 118 14 101 12 120 5 129 10 094 73487 70176 8 117 7 124 8 101 8 104 6 094 70176 67143 8 111 6 158 0 114 4 056 6 101 67143 64340 4 125 5 157 2 270 6 320 6 045 64340 61632 5 128 7 169 5 209 6 286 8 357 61632 58815 5 278 10 253 12 261 10 289 10 277 58815 55902 5 269 8 224 10 248 12 269 11 265 55902 53128 27 281 24 281 22 277 24 288 18 282 53128 50646 37 267 32 273 26 271 29 278 28 282 50646 48434 40 270 38 275 33 273 34 278 36 283 48434 46433 47 270 47 275 42 276 41 280 42 284 46433 44600 53 269 54 272 50 275 47 279 47 283 44600 42907 58 266 57 269 54 274 51 277 50 282 42907 41331 60 263 58 266 56 271 52 276 51 281 41331 39855 60 261 58 264 56 270 51 274 49 279 39855 38469 59 260 56 262 54 268 46 272 41 277 38469 37136 58 260 55 259 51 268 41 271 32 276 37136 35791 56 259 52 259 50 268 37 272 26 277 35791 34401 52 258 49 259 47 268 33 274 21 282 34401 32969 48 257 46 259 45 268 29 276 16 287 32969 31481 46 256 43 259 42 266 25 279 11 295 31481 29928 43 255 40 259 38 264 21 283 9 310 29928 28309 39 254 37 259 34 263 20 283 9 320 28309 26625 36 254 33 259 29 264 20 279 10 310 26625 24880 34 253 31 258 26 264 21 273 11 288 24880 23080 33 253 29 258 24 265 19 272 13 277 23080 21216 31 251 27 258 22 266 17 277 12 278 21216 19279 28 251 25 258 20 264 15 282 8 287 19279 17306 24 252 21 256 18 259 14 283 7 303 17306 15401 22 250 17 257 16 256 16 281 10 296 15401 13666 20 249 15 263 13 261 19 284 16 285 13666 12124 16 256 12 265 12 272 21*287 18 285 12124 10751 8 281 8 274 13 287 20*294 16 298 10751 9521 9 353 9 316 15*293 18 300 13 318 9521 8420 15 358 14 329 15*302 16 311 12 342 8420 7437 19 356 17 335 15 316 14 325 13 356 7437 6562 22 358 18*336 15 326 13 340 15 004 6562 5783 25 358 19*334 15 332 13 352 17 007 5783 5080 27 354 19 329 15 335 13 358 18 009 5080 4454 27*344 18 327 14 339 13 002 18 009 4454 3929 25*329 18 326 14 342 13 004 18 008 3929 3523 23 320 17 326 14 344 12 005 15 007 3523 3243 21 317 16 327 13 345 12 007 11 003 3243 3072 19 316 15 327 13 346 12 007 8*355 3072 2974 15 315 13 328 11 347 10 008 5*340 2974 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography