DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 46.4 - - 55.2 - - 54.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 39 - - 108 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1437 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 3250 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 4430 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 190 - - 807 - - 1503 - - 2583 - - 769 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 36 - - 226 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 130 - - 353 - - 045 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -1 - - 9 - - 9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1969 - - -2344 - - -2633 - - -4086 - - -1091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4920 - - 5295 - - 7064 - - 7037 - - 4043 sfcLCL ODpotential -9884 - - -7572 - - -6292 - - -8049 - - -6510 ODpotential blCL 12835 - - 10523 - - 10722 - - 11000 - - 9461 blCL maxRH 69 - - 59 - - 78 - - 74 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 46.4 - - 55.2 - - 54.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 33.9 - - 34.9 - - 34.0 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 45.8 - - 54.1 - - 54.8 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 33.0 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 39 - - 108 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1437 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96447 7 043 12 040 16 007 11 005 6 044 96447 89494 10 060 12 062 9 056 12 056 10 058 89494 84056 8 074 9 080 6 081 12 065 11 065 84056 79475 7 064 7 066 9 076 6 042 10 048 79475 75480 5 059 3 006 12 064 4 080 2 329 75480 71945 4 043 2 260 6 019 4 040 2 320 71945 68748 4 360 6 263 8 316 4 331 4 349 68748 65803 9 303 6 272 14 290 12 298 10 332 65803 63069 16 293 13 274 14 281 15 284 13 294 63069 60417 17 280 13 294 11 291 15 278 13 274 60417 57649 17 278 20 292 18 287 23 286 21 288 57649 54777 16 264 21 276 27 271 25 278 24 286 54777 52019 15 287 21 274 28 274 20 291 29 286 52019 49515 20 285 23 278 29 285 27 297 37 284 49515 47261 21 284 27 285 30 287 32 294 42 281 47261 45208 25 300 29 289 32 281 37 285 41 274 45208 43320 35 298 29 282 31 274 33 281 37 272 43320 41594 28 291 31 268 24 280 35 285 37 263 41594 40016 38 310 41 310 21 309 32 282 45 309 40016 38573 32 327 38 318 58 327 88 317 78 323 38573 37248 33 016 26 324 75 326 96 317 69 316 37248 35977 45 356 39 333 72 323 84 315 58 309 35977 34689 48 347 54 329 63 323 70 312 59 303 34689 33356 49 337 57 326 48 324 62 310 53 299 33356 31977 53 331 56 328 41 322 54 308 46 296 31977 30539 51 339 52 331 38 319 45 305 41 290 30539 29034 42 356 43 332 34 320 33 300 34 279 29034 27465 35 006 36 327 26 316 25 290 31 271 27465 25827 28 004 26 325 23 312 24 288 36 274 25827 24124 21 002 25 321 24 305 26 298 49 288 24124 22363 14 339 22 326 21 291 34 308 51 305 22363 20540 14 295 15 329 19 284 28 296 39 302 20540 18648 17 279 10 311 22 282 28 277 33 286 18648 16722 17 274 11 280 19 280 22 263 30 265 16722 14873 17 278 12 263 15 264 20 257 34 267 14873 13197 17 284 13 263 16 255 22 253 34 266 13197 11710 17 287 14 269 18 257 24 254 32 266 11710 10386 16 291 13 272 18 258 27 255 29 266 10386 9201 16 297 10 277 17 254 27 250 26 269 9201 8140 15 302 8 281 16 252 23 242 25 270 8140 7192 13 304 7 273 16 252 19 236 23 267 7192 6352 11 300 7 259 14 253 13 228 18 262 6352 5606 9 292 7 254 10 257 8 211 12 249 5606 4935 8 287 7 256 6*274 4 165 7 222 4935 4340 7 288 8 247 4*323 3 098 5 178 4340 3844 7 279 7 230 5 352 5 068 3 134 3844 3463 5 262 4 198 6 359 5 056 1 063 3463 3201 3 216 3 152 6 001 5 050 2 281 3201 3042 3*171 3*136 6 003 5*047 3*262 3042 2950 3*166 3*130 5 002 4*045 3*257 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography