DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.4 - - 80.0 - - 87.8 - - 85.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 286 - - 349 - - 187 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 2385 - - 10554 - - 4927 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4438 - - 10956 - - 6164 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top 3499 - - 5378 - - 13547 - - 7920 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 888 - - 1802 - - 3584 - - 8800 - - 8860 Hgt.Variab. W* 132 - - 364 - - 640 - - 404 - - 11 W* B/S 19 - - 9 - - 21 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 133 - - 227 - - 336 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 24 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 7 - - 35 - - -12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8009 - - -8454 - - -2026 - - -6200 - - -8947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11508 - - 13832 - - 15574 - - 14121 - - 11901 sfcLCL ODpotential -13177 - - -10858 - - -3116 - - -7279 - - -11108 ODpotential blCL 16676 - - 16236 - - 16663 - - 15199 - - 14061 blCL maxRH 80 - - 91 - - 88 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 69.4 - - 80.0 - - 87.8 - - 85.6 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 29.3 - - 28.7 - - 33.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 - - 77.9 - - 85.4 - - 84.0 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.3 - - 28.7 - - 27.7 - - 32.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 286 - - 349 - - 187 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 506 - - 2385 - - 10554 - - 4927 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 63 - - 53 - - 67 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98699 30 103 21 120 22 093 25 109 23 095 98699 91226 25 117 17 112 19 093 21 089 23 104 91226 85524 21 119 18 106 13 110 16 068 21 093 85524 80805 18 091 20 118 12 125 13 067 18 064 80805 76745 17 084 21 103 12 105 12 090 15 068 76745 73145 15 089 16 082 15 092 14 095 11 094 73145 69883 11 087 10 075 11 080 11 077 10 085 69883 66885 8 074 10 057 9 088 4 078 8 056 66885 64101 2 035 6 035 4 043 3 058 4 061 64101 61404 4 266 2 353 4 294 8 344 7 028 61404 58575 6 265 7 283 10 292 14 315 11 357 58575 55637 5 278 10 262 10 296 17 302 16 301 55637 52842 17 311 14 300 16 320 19 312 18 306 52842 50321 26 307 24 307 22 315 26 311 30 312 50321 48075 27 301 29 307 32 306 36 310 39 315 48075 46061 30 308 35 304 36 305 45 310 45 323 46061 44223 32 304 41 297 45 315 51 318 50 321 44223 42520 39 311 46 307 64 322 59 321 44 311 42520 40929 45 311 63 313 78 322 60 311 41 304 40929 39436 47 311 76 313 81 315 59 303 41 297 39436 38038 45 310 78 309 84 312 57 302 43 294 38038 36699 39 304 74 306 87 311 59 301 43 293 36699 35352 29 278 71 305 83 309 59 302 43 293 35352 33966 26 262 62 304 78 309 60 305 44 293 33966 32541 24 262 49 300 73 309 58 306 44 295 32541 31061 26 270 36 292 62 304 56 307 45 297 31061 29515 28 272 35 275 53 294 56 307 46 298 29515 27907 28 272 39 269 50 289 55 308 47 298 27907 26237 25 268 35 270 43 286 51 304 47 298 26237 24505 24 260 27 263 35 274 52 295 47 296 24505 22715 24 250 29 263 37 257 51 287 49 293 22715 20868 23 253 33 264 41 255 43 268 44 286 20868 18966 25 263 29 254 39 254 42 253 39 264 18966 17042 28 274 27 245 35 242 36 244 37 244 17042 15192 26 276 24 248 27*224 26 240 29 244 15192 13502 21 278 22 245 20*222 24 246 23 251 13502 11990 14 284 16 233 17 222 21 253 17 264 11990 10638 8 272 14 216 12 221 18 261 14 285 10638 9425 5 215 14 207 7 217 16 268 15 301 9425 8338 8 182 13 203 4 209 13*276 18 312 8338 7367 10 177 13 196 1 214 10*289 20 317 7367 6503 10 175 12 185 0 328 8 306 22 321 6503 5733 9 168 9*167 2 356 7 333 23 323 5733 5037 7 155 8*147 2 001 7 348 24 326 5037 4418 6 144 8 138 3 001 8 354 24 327 4418 3898 5*153 8 133 4 000 8 357 23 328 3898 3496 2*170 7 128 4 001 8 359 20 328 3496 3218 1 157 7 124 4 000 8 000 17 327 3218 3049 1 134 7 122 4 002 7 001 13*326 3049 2952 1 130 6 120 4 001 7 003 8*325 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography