DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 74.9 - - 76.1 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 205 - - 34 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2253 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2935 - - 4235 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3918 - - 5246 - - 4633 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1038 - - 2206 - - 2600 - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 322 - - 165 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 26 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 077 - - 106 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5369 - - -6794 - - -8389 - - -8491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9287 - - 12041 - - 13022 - - 11443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12779 - - -12361 - - -14167 - - -16290 ODpotential blCL - - - 16697 - - 17607 - - 18800 - - 19242 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 45 - - 55 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 74.9 - - 76.1 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 32.5 - - 29.5 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 73.3 - - 75.5 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 31.3 - - 28.3 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 205 - - 34 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 925 - - 2253 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96445 11 255 19 275 15 337 9 190 96445 89447 1 332 9 252 11 311 3 020 89447 84024 3 041 11 272 15 286 14 000 84024 79487 7 321 9 311 9 267 15 323 79487 75564 8 292 11 310 5 261 13 291 75564 72087 14 282 18 311 13 320 13 308 72087 68935 12 270 19 295 17 317 13 320 68935 66046 17 302 18 306 25 292 19 313 66046 63376 26 290 24 296 23 271 24 288 63376 60804 27 291 24 301 18 278 24 291 60804 58115 29 280 30 294 28 289 28 293 58115 55305 32 277 36 278 40 286 36 284 55305 52609 42 280 42 276 47 282 41 279 52609 50175 48 279 48 278 52 283 46 282 50175 47986 53 280 54 277 58 281 53 284 47986 45994 59 280 60 276 63 276 59 281 45994 44167 64 277 62 276 62 274 60 275 44167 42486 63 276 59 274 56 273 58 270 42486 40933 56 278 49 273 47 271 53 266 40933 39483 51 284 44 280 40 270 44 259 39483 38119 49 287 43 280 37 273 36 254 38119 36800 48 287 43 279 37 272 38 260 36800 35464 47 283 43 276 38 273 42 268 35464 34083 50 273 47 271 42 279 44 273 34083 32663 65 270 59 279 42 282 43 272 32663 31187 70 269 59 284 43 278 49 273 31187 29646 70 270 59 280 50 274 61 277 29646 28041 68 272 64 274 59 274 69 277 28041 26372 63 276 66 274 63 275 67 275 26372 24645 57 279 62 276 60 276 61 275 24645 22860 51 278 57 277 56 279 56 276 22860 21009 48 275 53 275 54 279 51 276 21009 19084 47 273 50 273 51 277 48 275 19084 17124 44 272 45 272 47 275 44 275 17124 15238 38 272 40 272 43 276 40 276 15238 13523 33 270 36 273 38 275 37 275 13523 11995 29 268 33 273 34 274 33 271 11995 10630 24 271 30 273 29 269 28 268 10630 9409 20 273 26 270 23 256 22 270 9409 8318 16 273 20 261 18 247 16 272 8318 7344 13 270 16 248 15 246 13 268 7344 6478 10 267 12 248 10 241 10 257 6478 5708 9 268 6*246 5 218 8 235 5708 5015 7 270 2*232 4*142 7 199 5015 4400 5*263 2 082 5*114 8 170 4400 3884 0*154 3 076 6 108 12 154 3884 3487 3 080 3 073 6 104 12 149 3487 3213 3 078 4 071 6 103 10 153 3213 3047 3 076 4 071 6 101 8*162 3047 2951 3 077 4 071 5 101 6*172 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography