DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 73.5 - - 82.1 - - 82.5 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 232 - - 276 - - 53 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1939 - - 4869 - - 4435 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 4043 - - 6302 - - 4733 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 4932 - - 7862 - - 7428 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 691 - - 1334 - - 5423 - - 6159 - - 1178 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 316 - - 455 - - 256 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 136 - - 137 - - 123 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3896 - - -4082 - - -3882 - - -4809 - - -5990 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6849 - - 9015 - - 11745 - - 12237 - - 8943 sfcLCL ODpotential -9503 - - -6662 - - -5264 - - -6382 - - -10356 ODpotential blCL 12455 - - 11594 - - 13126 - - 13810 - - 13309 blCL maxRH 67 - - 62 - - 58 - - 71 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 73.5 - - 82.1 - - 82.5 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 44.3 - - 40.6 - - 38.9 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.5 - - 71.7 - - 80.0 - - 81.7 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 44.1 - - 40.4 - - 38.7 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 232 - - 276 - - 53 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1939 - - 4869 - - 4435 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98334 15 209 9 231 10 232 8 221 15 246 98334 90939 6 168 2 288 1 091 2 255 1 268 90939 85247 6 114 3 298 6 333 8 341 10 028 85247 80551 7 022 3 046 7 338 11 352 16 049 80551 76517 11 356 4 055 2 009 8 337 10 020 76517 72958 5 044 2 087 1 290 4 286 8 349 72958 69712 3 117 3 200 7 282 9 283 5 311 69712 66695 9 324 3 149 10 202 15 245 15 270 66695 63891 26 269 12 265 11 183 18 210 19 246 63891 61163 32 234 26 247 18 252 10 221 14 233 61163 58297 28 226 30 229 29 240 25 254 24 253 58297 55323 31 237 30 235 31 238 32 242 30 241 55323 52501 40 240 36 237 35 243 31 243 31 235 52501 49976 36 232 33 230 38 240 36 247 33 240 49976 47728 28 248 36 250 43 249 45 251 37 254 47728 45723 40 259 40 249 44 248 49 245 45 252 45723 43925 40 258 30 242 37 250 43 239 38 252 43925 42291 40 312 36 298 35 287 40 278 40 280 42291 40782 33 309 40 299 37 290 43 280 44 283 40782 39362 29 326 30 300 34 292 44 283 44 282 39362 38017 43 341 32 305 32 292 45 288 40 282 38017 36716 56 339 35 308 33 292 43 291 28 276 36716 35397 50 341 37 304 35 295 38 287 20 267 35397 34032 41 339 39 301 33 297 29 273 23 260 34032 32622 38 336 39 303 31 297 25 258 27 254 32622 31154 34 319 43 311 30 302 26 252 28 255 31154 29620 34 311 35 310 27 298 30 259 30 256 29620 28019 35 316 26 310 26 275 31 266 31 256 28019 26354 27 312 25 307 30 273 29 269 32 257 26354 24628 26 294 28 290 30 275 29 267 33 262 24628 22842 22 286 29 282 30 278 30 270 31 268 22842 20991 17 282 21 270 27 281 31 277 29 273 20991 19069 16 273 17 257 22 274 30 277 26 274 19069 17118 18 268 17 256 20 259 29 261 25 265 17118 15243 17 274 17 255 24 241 30 237 26 239 15243 13537 15 282 17 254 25 231 25 222 26 220 13537 12014 10 276 14 246 22 226 19 218 21 215 12014 10651 8 256 12 224 18 220 13 201 16 202 10651 9431 9 222 12 212 13 211 10 175 15 174 9431 8339 10 195 13 210 9*183 9*153 15 157 8339 7365 8 189 12 206 8*153 9*145 17 151 7365 6499 6 178 10 196 9 144 8 136 17 149 6499 5727 6 154 8 180 9 139 7 128 16 148 5727 5031 6 147 7*161 8 136 6 119 13 144 5031 4412 6 158 6*149 8 133 6 111 8 129 4412 3893 4 169 6 140 8 130 5 106 5 092 3893 3493 1 223 6 134 8 128 5 103 4 047 3493 3216 2 272 6 129 7 127 5 101 3 025 3216 3048 3*265 5 126 7 126 5 099 2*342 3048 2952 2*259 5 125 6 124 4 096 2*304 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography