DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.7 - - 46.8 - - 40.3 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -31 - - 25 - - 109 - - -17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 4413 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2934 - - 5439 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 7406 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 197 - - 5659 - - 2605 - - 4820 - - 2655 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 33 - - 324 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 19 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 304 - - 325 - - 331 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -10 - - 14 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -969 - - -2190 - - 593 - - -3199 - - -1533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3920 - - 5141 - - 6814 - - 6150 - - 4483 sfcLCL ODpotential -5333 - - -3144 - - -202 - - -5003 - - -4540 ODpotential blCL 8284 - - 6095 - - 7608 - - 7954 - - 7490 blCL maxRH 80 - - 72 - - 85 - - 79 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.7 - - 46.8 - - 40.3 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 35.7 - - 27.5 - - 24.1 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 47.4 - - 45.9 - - 41.8 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.9 - - 34.6 - - 27.1 - - 23.8 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -31 - - 25 - - 109 - - -17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 4413 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 0 - - 38 - - 16 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96556 34 086 29 074 43 068 33 082 35 083 96556 89469 26 090 22 083 19 078 26 076 22 086 89469 83942 13 097 11 096 7 101 7 071 18 084 83942 79311 4 111 7 089 5 116 3 078 13 059 79311 75287 6 099 6 085 4 226 5 033 6 030 75287 71711 4 358 4 100 5 191 6 264 9 039 71711 68454 3 314 8 247 7 281 3 174 8 277 68454 65461 7 278 9 226 13 270 8 341 10 299 65461 62673 8 264 7 258 17 269 18 283 12 296 62673 59940 22 268 12 269 15 250 28 284 20 302 59940 57086 26 251 19 274 24 288 37 288 31 304 57086 54143 28 266 33 280 37 285 36 283 38 291 54143 51345 44 270 43 276 43 281 35 285 37 293 51345 48834 45 266 45 270 46 277 38 294 42 300 48834 46598 47 271 42 270 49 282 49 298 46 300 46598 44588 53 274 44 280 54 288 57 297 46 304 44588 42760 59 275 54 283 57 294 58 302 52 314 42760 41092 66 278 57 293 61 303 67 308 71 318 41092 39563 68 276 71 302 75 310 81 309 85 314 39563 38147 62 276 79 300 81 306 83 308 77 316 38147 36823 60 285 77 295 80 308 83 315 79 329 36823 35553 66 291 75 295 87 315 90 317 94 336 35553 34269 71 291 76 299 94 318 96 308 93 333 34269 32939 73 292 78 302 90 317 91 306 84 327 32939 31565 73 293 80 304 87 314 83 307 77 323 31565 30133 71 292 81 305 88 311 77 312 74 321 30133 28631 69 293 81 307 85 310 74 313 73 319 28631 27061 68 293 81 308 79 310 72 313 72 315 27061 25427 64 290 80 307 74 309 71 312 65 311 25427 23733 62 286 76 305 70 307 68 312 57 310 23733 21982 61 286 65 300 65 306 63 311 55 308 21982 20169 58 289 55 292 62 304 57 308 56 307 20169 18294 53 291 50 288 60 300 54 304 59 307 18294 16396 48 287 49 287 57 296 52 304 60 308 16396 14575 45 284 48 285 53 294 48 306 53 309 14575 12923 41 284 46 289 47 294 40 307 41 311 12923 11460 36 284 40 293 40 296 32 309 30 312 11460 10163 33 286 33 297 29 298 25 310 22 313 10163 9010 32 291 30 297 22 303 21 308 17 313 9010 7982 32 296 28 294 21*307 19 308 15 313 7982 7068 31 301 28 294 20*313 18 313 13 317 7068 6257 30 303 28 296 20 321 17 318 12 322 6257 5537 30 303 28 300 20 324 16 324 11 330 5537 4888 30 299 28 302 20 327 15 330 9 338 4888 4310 30 292 26 302 19 328 14 333 8 347 4310 3826 28 285 24 301 19 329 14 335 6 354 3826 3454 23 279 21 301 19 330 13 335 4 353 3454 3196 16 272 19 302 18 331 11 335 3 319 3196 3039 11*266 17*303 17 332 9*333 2*284 3039 2949 6*253 11*304 13 332 5*331 2*259 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography