DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1336z - - 1607z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 61.8 - - 67.2 - - 68.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 196 - - 310 - - 97 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2403 - - 4140 - - 3005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2956 - - 4332 - - 5794 - - 4358 - - 2957 Hcrit BL Top 2974 - - 5396 - - 7133 - - 5998 - - 2974 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1450 - - 2881 - - 2530 - - 2963 - - 2278 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 326 - - 450 - - 275 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 280 - - 314 - - 344 - - 355 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -7 - - -15 - - 11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1335 - - -703 - - -870 - - -3060 - - -3002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4309 - - 6099 - - 8003 - - 9058 - - 5976 sfcLCL ODpotential -3997 - - -2253 - - -2388 - - -6528 - - -7718 ODpotential blCL 6971 - - 7649 - - 9521 - - 12526 - - 10692 blCL maxRH 89 - - 75 - - 63 - - 63 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 61.8 - - 67.2 - - 68.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 45.4 - - 42.5 - - 39.2 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 60.4 - - 65.4 - - 67.5 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.3 - - 44.5 - - 42.0 - - 38.8 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 196 - - 310 - - 97 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2403 - - 4140 - - 3005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98215 3 019 5 280 8 315 9 348 7 323 98215 90927 7 016 2 049 2 338 6 332 6 313 90927 85277 6 359 5 043 2 130 8 302 5 354 85277 80571 6 327 7 035 3 100 4 323 7 020 80571 76505 3 342 5 041 3 029 3 046 7 016 76505 72902 2 027 3 026 1 072 2 043 1 028 72902 69624 2 052 1 235 2 172 4 310 1 315 69624 66597 3 332 1 223 5 197 7 262 5 288 66597 63786 3 271 5 274 6 254 7 266 6 291 63786 61068 4 269 9 258 12 276 11 288 8 289 61068 58239 9 285 8 267 13 288 12 305 10 310 58239 55308 12 309 10 305 14 300 17 312 18 311 55308 52511 14 327 10 322 13 306 18 317 19 312 52511 49993 19 338 15 338 17 317 25 328 22 321 49993 47747 21 338 16 338 16 323 26 331 25 325 47747 45733 22 356 24 358 20 353 27 345 27 335 45733 43916 37 358 35 356 32 358 35 350 32 341 43916 42263 39 001 38 002 41 356 41 345 34 337 42263 40732 45 020 48 014 48 001 41 350 33 339 40732 39294 64 025 58 017 52 006 44 356 35 338 39294 37936 66 020 61 018 51 006 44 356 35 340 37936 36623 62 014 55 015 48 004 42 354 34 339 36623 35292 60 008 49 007 45 001 39 351 34 335 35292 33914 58 006 46 001 43 358 38 351 34 331 33914 32493 56 006 44 359 40 355 36 351 32 331 32493 31016 54 008 42 358 37 351 33 349 30 335 31016 29470 53 011 40 359 35 349 31 347 28 339 29470 27860 53 013 39 359 33 347 30 344 26 339 27860 26187 54 015 38 000 30 346 30 342 24 341 26187 24453 53 016 38 004 29 346 28 341 21 343 24453 22663 49 017 39 010 28 349 26 341 19 334 22663 20813 43 016 38 013 30 359 24 340 19 323 20813 18897 37 013 36 014 32 007 23 344 19 320 18897 16950 27 010 31 014 31 013 23 359 17 329 16950 15074 18 353 23 011 25 015 21 007 15 346 15074 13369 14 340 17 359 17 014 15 003 13 353 13369 11855 10 332 12 349 11 006 11 349 11 345 11855 10509 8 339 8 337 8 344 9 333 11 338 10509 9310 8 353 5 333 7 312 10 318 11 331 9310 8239 9 001 4 345 8 284 11 308 11 324 8239 7285 9 359 4 350 8*286 10 307 11 319 7285 6438 9 349 5 338 7*296 10*310 10 315 6438 5684 10 333 6*322 7 320 9*324 9 315 5684 5004 11 327 8*309 7 346 8 350 6 319 5004 4400 12 327 9 310 7 353 8 358 4 328 4400 3893 12 316 9 313 8 359 8 001 2 337 3893 3502 13 295 8 318 8 002 8 004 1 334 3502 3231 12 282 8 321 8 004 8 005 1 301 3231 3067 11*281 7 323 7 005 8 005 2*253 3067 2973 7*280 7 324 7 007 7 007 2*244 2973 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography