DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.6 - - 38.0 - - 35.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 35 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2950 - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2950 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 1254 - - 2285 - - 1867 - - 964 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 34 - - 41 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 141 - - 039 - - 056 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -299 - - -597 - - -144 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2949 - - 3249 - - 3549 - - 3094 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential -8956 - - -5639 - - -1288 - - -1323 - - -4649 ODpotential blCL 11906 - - 8589 - - 4239 - - 4273 - - 7599 blCL maxRH 89 - - 91 - - 92 - - 94 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.6 - - 38.0 - - 35.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 30.9 - - 33.0 - - 32.3 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.1 - - 34.1 - - 37.3 - - 35.9 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 30.2 - - 32.1 - - 32.0 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 35 - - 58 - - 0 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 64 - - 67 - - 77 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96478 16 051 16 072 16 072 9 058 14 032 96478 89369 19 067 12 062 15 047 12 022 14 052 89369 83820 16 061 12 029 16 032 13 024 18 048 83820 79175 14 056 10 045 9 031 9 360 15 024 79175 75162 13 036 12 029 9 358 10 003 13 022 75162 71603 15 351 20 003 12 008 14 006 15 025 71603 68360 13 006 15 350 12 350 13 005 14 360 68360 65364 20 350 15 005 11 340 13 343 13 329 65364 62568 26 333 19 334 14 349 13 348 13 347 62568 59843 23 323 21 324 22 329 23 341 23 353 59843 57007 19 316 18 317 25 320 27 321 29 336 57007 54074 28 318 25 321 25 320 29 308 34 323 54074 51272 37 314 30 315 29 315 28 309 32 312 51272 48745 35 307 33 311 33 313 28 319 30 304 48745 46484 32 304 33 307 34 313 32 328 27 303 46484 44440 33 304 33 303 33 308 37 329 26 317 44440 42582 34 304 35 303 33 307 41 328 31 329 42582 40879 34 305 36 300 38 307 42 325 34 331 40879 39306 35 308 32 292 36 302 40 322 36 331 39306 37844 38 304 28 286 32 294 38 325 40 334 37844 36485 40 294 33 289 28 289 37 325 43 336 36485 35192 39 288 36 286 29 286 36 322 43 333 35192 33896 39 284 32 278 35 273 33 328 40 330 33896 32562 38 281 31 273 35 264 39 334 39 331 32562 31188 34 278 31 272 30 272 42 323 37 335 31188 29764 33 277 30 270 34 287 37 304 33 341 29764 28282 30 277 28 269 35 292 33 289 28 339 28282 26747 28 283 27 270 34 299 29 290 26 336 26747 25156 27 287 27 276 33 298 32 292 26 325 25156 23511 25 293 26 281 32 295 31 291 24 313 23511 21811 23 299 25 284 29 297 30 290 22 317 21811 20049 25 302 24 289 27 301 28 287 23 325 20049 18216 26 307 25 296 27 305 24 286 25 323 18216 16349 28 313 27 302 29 306 22 294 24 310 16349 14552 29 316 29 307 30 307 22 302 24 304 14552 12912 29 313 31 308 30 305 24 307 25 304 12912 11450 28 310 30 308 30 303 24 311 24 303 11450 10148 26 311 26 311 27 304 23 313 19 307 10148 8988 22 317 21 318 23 308 20 314 16 317 8988 7956 18 324 17 323 20 312 16 315 13 328 7956 7038 15 326 14 321 18 309 13 318 9 334 7038 6226 12 316 13 304 16 299 12 312 7 335 6226 5505 10 302 11 294 14 292 10 296 7 324 5505 4860 7 299 9 294 11 288 8 288 6 313 4860 4288 5 291 8 283 6 289 4 287 4 311 4288 3811 3 252 6 264 3 308 1 002 3 315 3811 3444 4 198 3 227 2 335 2 047 2 336 3444 3191 5 168 2 172 1 012 2 055 2 347 3191 3037 4*151 2*155 2*032 2*058 2*345 3037 2949 3*148 3*141 1*039 2*056 1*338 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography