DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.7 - - 42.6 - - 50.1 - - 46.5 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 59 - - 94 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 358 - - 1121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3351 - - 4114 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 321 - - 805 - - 1092 - - 2103 - - 693 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 116 - - 196 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 105 - - 148 - - 092 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 6 - - -4 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -570 - - -858 - - -1287 - - -1713 - - -16 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3521 - - 4209 - - 5401 - - 4664 - - 2967 sfcLCL ODpotential -11035 - - -9182 - - -6612 - - -7614 - - -7981 ODpotential blCL 13986 - - 12533 - - 10726 - - 10565 - - 10932 blCL maxRH 72 - - 76 - - 70 - - 69 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.7 - - 42.6 - - 50.1 - - 46.5 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 34.8 - - 37.0 - - 36.6 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.4 - - 41.9 - - 49.1 - - 49.1 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.8 - - 34.1 - - 36.4 - - 36.3 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 59 - - 94 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 358 - - 1121 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96615 25 094 22 081 13 078 17 074 22 092 96615 89537 28 081 26 099 17 107 16 071 23 094 89537 84042 26 091 24 106 19 092 16 083 25 082 84042 79453 22 103 21 102 20 094 11 093 21 078 79453 75466 15 102 12 101 12 088 10 119 8 093 75466 71914 5 074 2 125 1 273 3 097 6 112 71914 68685 3 262 2 338 4 227 2 246 2 343 68685 65720 8 266 6 306 6 284 6 256 9 282 65720 62970 11 270 11 275 12 279 11 278 13 259 62970 60291 16 302 12 275 16 266 17 284 16 267 60291 57498 23 291 15 287 13 268 16 275 18 265 57498 54624 23 275 19 287 14 292 11 260 17 251 54624 51897 16 274 16 289 15 308 9 278 13 251 51897 49442 9 291 15 296 17 300 18 300 18 309 49442 47244 12 352 10 282 17 281 21 286 26 301 47244 45251 16 344 11 315 11 281 16 272 21 289 45251 43426 19 328 20 327 16 315 14 289 19 294 43426 41750 21 323 25 321 23 318 19 312 20 303 41750 40214 22 332 23 312 25 310 25 319 25 322 40214 38790 21 342 17 319 18 306 18 314 21 317 38790 37453 21 343 13 337 11 318 10 327 9 293 37453 36163 16 342 12 355 5 343 9 342 4 227 36163 34853 11 352 6 002 1 078 9 342 5 199 34853 33494 5 060 6 360 1 119 7 328 2 279 33494 32091 11 107 2 060 5 186 10 269 6 299 32091 30634 11 101 5 158 12 211 12 254 9 289 30634 29113 5 104 8 179 14 223 12 252 11 270 29113 27529 2 197 7 222 14 232 13 254 13 265 27529 25878 2 091 8 252 14 233 12 255 12 261 25878 24165 6 062 7 252 12 239 11 249 12 260 24165 22394 8 036 4 233 10 251 9 255 10 267 22394 20561 7 009 5 251 9 267 7 263 7 268 20561 18661 6 333 7 271 10 275 8 262 7 290 18661 16730 7 315 5 284 9 273 7 268 8 313 16730 14870 7 320 1 281 5 258 5 274 9 312 14870 13178 7 318 3 209 5 251 7 263 9 303 13178 11673 6 303 8 224 10 256 10 247 8 287 11673 10336 6 268 12 230 13 253 11 241 9 271 10336 9147 7 248 13 232 13 243 11 237 9 257 9147 8087 7 240 11 225 11 233 11 233 10 242 8087 7146 7 225 9 212 10 222 10 226 9 222 7146 6313 7 204 8 199 9 208 7 213 10 194 6313 5575 6 179 8 188 9 193 6 186 12 172 5575 4913 7 162 8 179 9 175 6 159 15 163 4913 4326 8 157 7 170 10*160 8 149 17 158 4326 3836 9 160 6 159 10*152 7 141 14 155 3836 3458 9 165 3*141 10 148 6 135 9 150 3458 3198 8 168 3*112 10 147 5 127 5 147 3198 3040 6*171 2 105 9 145 4*114 2*141 3040 2950 4*174 2 097 8 145 2*092 1*318 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography