DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 60.3 - - 65.5 - - 66.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 220 - - 205 - - 6 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2109 - - 3376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4142 - - 5038 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 5102 - - 6369 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 599 - - 1377 - - 1715 - - 5280 - - 226 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 318 - - 364 - - 19 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 280 - - 320 - - 330 - - 333 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -8 - - -5 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4778 - - -3150 - - -3177 - - -7210 - - -4858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7730 - - 8253 - - 9547 - - 10162 - - 7810 sfcLCL ODpotential -13265 - - -8461 - - -7145 - - -11357 - - -11009 ODpotential blCL 16216 - - 13563 - - 13514 - - 14309 - - 13961 blCL maxRH 70 - - 76 - - 91 - - 81 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 60.3 - - 65.5 - - 66.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 34.7 - - 34.1 - - 32.1 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 58.7 - - 63.9 - - 66.0 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.1 - - 34.6 - - 33.9 - - 32.0 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 220 - - 205 - - 6 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2109 - - 3376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 65 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97402 16 050 4 089 4 000 14 013 11 041 97402 90240 12 054 6 084 6 056 12 071 9 078 90240 84692 4 098 6 091 3 029 10 050 9 078 84692 80075 4 145 3 111 5 219 3 252 3 315 80075 76080 3 247 4 120 10 214 9 243 7 268 76080 72542 8 242 5 314 5 194 12 229 11 238 72542 69345 10 238 8 245 11 247 15 265 9 277 69345 66411 13 235 12 214 16 238 18 275 16 290 66411 63686 18 274 10 253 14 273 18 276 16 287 63686 61032 23 282 20 279 16 282 17 282 13 292 61032 58246 21 276 19 276 23 290 27 290 23 298 58246 55343 14 277 20 288 26 277 28 285 25 297 55343 52566 23 309 27 302 26 295 30 293 33 312 52566 50060 30 314 29 310 31 291 35 288 43 308 50060 47810 38 321 32 328 25 291 33 283 42 296 47810 45759 44 328 43 336 33 314 29 302 33 296 45759 43873 47 329 52 334 48 322 45 314 30 311 43873 42136 45 326 50 328 49 318 46 316 32 319 42136 40535 41 327 49 319 41 311 42 315 39 332 40535 39053 38 329 43 319 40 318 45 318 41 340 39053 37670 38 334 39 332 46 326 45 323 36 352 37670 36349 37 342 43 340 47 329 44 330 36 001 36349 35023 37 349 44 343 44 333 46 332 37 360 35023 33665 37 348 44 345 42 336 48 330 35 001 33665 32270 35 346 44 346 41 336 49 328 35 360 32270 30822 33 349 42 347 38 335 44 329 32 359 30822 29308 33 354 38 351 34 334 38 334 29 005 29308 27728 34 354 36 350 32 334 37 338 28 015 27728 26082 36 353 36 352 30 338 37 338 28 024 26082 24373 35 353 34 357 27 347 33 338 29 030 24373 22604 31 359 32 357 28 354 28 345 29 033 22604 20768 30 007 30 354 31 357 24 351 29 037 20768 18860 32 012 29 357 30 357 24 002 29 040 18860 16919 29 015 26 001 26 358 23 007 28 041 16919 15050 25 015 24 010 24 360 24 009 25 041 15050 13350 23 012 23 017 20 005 24 011 23 037 13350 11838 21 010 22 018 18 009 22 010 22 030 11838 10490 19 009 20 016 19 012 20 008 22 024 10490 9287 19 006 19 011 19 011 18 007 21 018 9287 8213 19 359 18 006 19 006 19 002 20 013 8213 7257 19 352 18 360 18 354 19 350 21 007 7257 6410 19 348 18 353 17*340 19 343 22 001 6410 5656 19 343 18*345 16*334 19 340 22 358 5656 4977 20 340 17*332 16 331 18 338 22 356 4977 4374 21 335 17 320 16 330 18 337 23 352 4374 3867 22 322 17 317 16 329 17 336 22 347 3867 3477 20 306 16 316 15 329 16 335 19 339 3477 3208 18 290 16 317 15 329 15 334 16 326 3208 3044 15*285 15 317 14 329 13*334 12*313 3044 2951 9*280 12 317 12 329 10*333 7*296 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography