DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 42.4 - - 48.2 - - 45.3 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 5 - - 25 - - -11 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 534 - - 1864 - - 647 - - 185 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 20 - - 32 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 148 - - 137 - - 135 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1293 - - -1694 - - -1949 - - -1013 - - -938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4245 - - 4644 - - 4901 - - 3965 - - 3889 sfcLCL ODpotential -6209 - - -5718 - - -4589 - - -4048 - - -5473 ODpotential blCL 9160 - - 8668 - - 7540 - - 6999 - - 8424 blCL maxRH 94 - - 94 - - 95 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 42.4 - - 48.2 - - 45.3 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 32.7 - - 37.2 - - 38.5 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 42.2 - - 47.9 - - 46.7 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 31.6 - - 36.1 - - 37.6 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 5 - - 25 - - -11 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 76 - - 80 - - 101 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96359 20 081 17 085 8 065 19 052 17 050 96359 89206 20 058 17 060 8 068 16 032 18 046 89206 83647 24 053 19 063 20 060 19 028 23 036 83647 79025 23 015 15 072 10 055 13 026 18 024 79025 75020 14 359 15 011 20 028 17 047 10 022 75020 71466 13 354 17 348 25 356 31 012 27 024 71466 68247 25 326 23 332 24 320 28 319 27 342 68247 65295 25 333 17 320 14 290 16 310 19 292 65295 62559 37 345 29 345 19 323 12 308 19 298 62559 59904 46 324 39 316 36 310 37 306 32 311 59904 57147 50 308 50 307 48 302 46 304 43 311 57147 54285 55 302 56 303 51 304 52 308 48 309 54285 51544 58 299 57 297 55 300 55 307 47 303 51544 49070 64 302 58 297 59 296 58 302 51 301 49070 46849 71 303 60 301 62 297 59 299 57 302 46849 44839 79 300 69 300 68 299 61 298 60 301 44839 43001 81 296 78 294 71 297 64 298 61 302 43001 41305 84 298 82 291 73 296 69 299 62 306 41305 39727 93 302 83 294 79 296 76 299 64 309 39727 38254 101 302 88 297 87 297 82 297 65 309 38254 36877 102 301 97 298 93 297 83 295 66 307 36877 35561 100 301 103 298 100 295 84 295 67 306 35561 34244 99 303 102 298 101 294 85 296 68 304 34244 32897 99 304 101 299 93 294 85 295 69 301 32897 31521 99 304 99 298 85 296 82 295 70 298 31521 30101 101 304 96 297 79 299 78 294 72 295 30101 28624 99 304 89 297 75 301 74 295 74 293 28624 27087 91 304 77 303 72 302 71 296 73 293 27087 25489 78 305 69 309 68 301 68 296 67 298 25489 23830 63 306 60 311 63 298 64 295 61 301 23830 22112 56 305 52 308 59 296 58 296 57 302 22112 20330 54 303 48 299 54 295 53 298 52 305 20330 18478 53 302 45 296 48 295 46 300 47 308 18478 16592 53 300 41 298 43 294 38 301 41 309 16592 14775 52 295 37 298 39 293 31 300 35 309 14775 13124 47 287 38 297 37 291 30 299 28 307 13124 11653 37 277 38 293 35 288 28 301 24 307 11653 10341 27 269 36 290 32 288 27 304 24 310 10341 9166 21 268 33 288 29 289 27 301 24 312 9166 8114 16 264 28 285 27 289 27 297 26 310 8114 7176 13 261 21 281 24 286 28 292 28 306 7176 6343 11 254 14 279 21 280 27 286 30 298 6343 5602 9 242 10 281 17 272 24 281 32 289 5602 4935 7 223 9 278 12 263 19 275 32 281 4935 4343 7 199 8 262 7 241 13 267 30 275 4343 3846 7 182 8 235 5 195 8 246 24 271 3846 3464 8 172 7 202 5 162 5 198 17 266 3464 3201 8 163 6 180 5 143 6 157 10 257 3201 3041 6*160 5*167 5*141 5*145 5*238 3041 2950 3*159 4*148 4*137 4*135 5*129 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography