DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1335z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.2 - - 52.2 - - 59.4 - - 56.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 77 - - 121 - - -14 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1361 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2955 - - 2955 - - 3236 - - 2956 - - 2956 Hcrit BL Top 2972 - - 2973 - - 4354 - - 2973 - - 2973 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 1309 - - 1345 - - 1169 - - 163 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 44 - - 226 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 115 - - 115 - - 124 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1461 - - -4537 - - -4616 - - -4852 - - -4085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4433 - - 7511 - - 8970 - - 7825 - - 7059 sfcLCL ODpotential -14958 - - -14546 - - -12217 - - -12045 - - -13937 ODpotential blCL 17930 - - 17519 - - 16571 - - 15018 - - 16910 blCL maxRH 72 - - 72 - - 78 - - 75 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.2 - - 52.2 - - 59.4 - - 56.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 30.2 - - 30.9 - - 33.0 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 51.7 - - 58.7 - - 57.9 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 30.1 - - 30.8 - - 32.8 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 77 - - 121 - - -14 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1361 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96127 33 291 26 289 27 297 29 293 27 304 96127 89199 20 292 21 294 24 317 20 332 15 335 89199 83802 18 324 12 315 16 339 18 336 17 006 83802 79281 21 337 12 345 19 353 14 339 17 002 79281 75358 17 340 12 341 15 340 17 334 18 358 75358 71867 16 342 12 003 17 345 15 336 17 335 71867 68700 21 329 21 332 18 320 20 323 13 360 68700 65778 20 324 14 346 19 320 27 318 27 321 65778 63084 24 329 27 323 28 313 23 321 28 321 63084 60482 32 318 29 311 28 325 32 339 30 335 60482 57765 35 321 37 318 43 314 47 313 40 310 57765 54953 44 322 39 310 44 307 46 301 42 301 54953 52274 46 326 40 323 46 315 48 307 51 304 52274 49865 57 333 55 327 57 318 59 311 62 307 49865 47707 74 332 67 324 66 319 68 314 73 313 47707 45745 83 330 79 323 75 320 79 315 87 314 45745 43945 84 328 83 321 81 316 88 313 97 310 43945 42290 84 330 79 320 81 313 90 309 99 308 42290 40751 85 332 74 321 80 314 89 308 95 308 40751 39306 82 333 70 321 81 315 89 310 92 309 39306 37942 73 331 68 319 79 314 87 310 88 309 37942 36623 66 327 67 315 76 314 83 309 84 310 36623 35287 64 324 66 313 72 313 81 309 81 309 35287 33904 60 322 64 312 68 309 79 308 79 308 33904 32478 56 319 61 312 66 304 76 307 78 308 32478 30997 54 316 58 311 64 301 73 305 77 308 30997 29448 52 314 56 310 63 300 71 305 77 309 29448 27834 50 313 55 307 64 300 69 306 76 310 27834 26158 47 311 55 305 65 300 68 308 72 309 26158 24422 47 310 54 304 66 301 69 309 66 309 24422 22631 45 309 52 306 65 303 68 311 59 310 22631 20780 40 309 48 309 59 304 65 313 48 310 20780 18863 35 314 43 312 52 305 57 314 36 309 18863 16915 29 315 36 314 44 306 48 312 28 308 16915 15043 24 306 27 312 36 304 40 310 26 308 15043 13344 22 296 23 303 28 298 33 307 26 306 13344 11834 19 292 22 298 23 299 28 307 24 306 11834 10489 15 289 21 298 20 302 25 309 22 310 10489 9288 13 288 19 295 18 303 22 311 20 317 9288 8216 11 287 17 285 17 294 19 306 18 324 8216 7261 11 282 16 274 17 277 17 293 17 325 7261 6414 11 274 13 267 17 260 16 276 16 318 6414 5662 9 267 10 262 15 251 14 262 14 311 5662 4985 6 263 8 250 9 237 10 245 12 305 4985 4384 4 245 6 221 4*184 7 211 10 298 4384 3881 3 209 5 182 4*128 6 169 9 288 3881 3493 4 182 4 148 5 117 7 145 8 272 3493 3226 5 177 4 123 5 111 7 132 7 256 3226 3065 5*189 4*117 5 109 6*126 5*248 3065 2972 5*194 4*115 5 107 5*124 4*248 2972 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography