DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 60.8 - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 157 - - 203 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1112 - - 2092 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 3256 - - 4100 - - 2935 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 4105 - - 5085 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 284 - - 926 - - 1190 - - 3187 - - 693 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 230 - - 309 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 40 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 057 - - 068 - - 052 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3286 - - -5539 - - -6304 - - -8148 - - -5548 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6238 - - 9644 - - 11390 - - 11100 - - 8500 sfcLCL ODpotential -13093 - - -12712 - - -12124 - - -14032 - - -13534 ODpotential blCL 16045 - - 16817 - - 17209 - - 16984 - - 16486 blCL maxRH 40 - - 69 - - 71 - - 61 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 60.8 - - 68.1 - - 67.2 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 29.2 - - 28.6 - - 29.1 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 59.4 - - 66.4 - - 67.2 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 29.1 - - 28.4 - - 28.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 157 - - 203 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1112 - - 2092 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97544 9 357 6 255 16 276 18 311 9 301 97544 90263 7 355 8 264 9 291 10 314 10 292 90263 84641 6 316 6 275 17 268 17 309 15 309 84641 79974 21 331 8 001 9 262 18 277 25 280 79974 75993 27 303 15 323 7 049 9 245 17 264 75993 72483 20 284 25 287 18 306 12 295 10 287 72483 69272 18 287 24 278 26 279 20 278 16 280 69272 66297 22 286 18 277 23 271 20 268 20 275 66297 63535 27 284 21 271 24 275 24 270 27 278 63535 60864 30 283 27 265 28 268 32 267 31 277 60864 58089 34 274 32 263 32 263 36 264 36 268 58089 55218 38 273 37 274 36 269 40 268 38 261 55218 52485 44 275 48 276 48 273 48 274 40 271 52485 50022 49 270 55 271 51 272 52 271 48 271 50022 47805 50 268 52 277 53 276 54 273 54 269 47805 45789 47 268 52 283 55 275 56 272 57 269 45789 43935 46 270 48 279 49 277 51 272 57 268 43935 42214 48 271 46 276 46 278 46 277 51 269 42214 40609 48 271 46 278 45 276 43 276 46 271 40609 39111 45 274 46 282 46 277 43 271 42 271 39111 37714 45 279 46 282 45 281 42 273 40 271 37714 36388 40 278 48 279 43 281 40 276 39 275 36388 35067 39 280 46 278 41 280 39 276 41 275 35067 33711 41 281 42 279 39 278 37 278 40 274 33711 32315 39 277 40 281 38 280 35 282 36 272 32315 30863 35 272 38 278 34 282 33 282 33 272 30863 29343 32 271 37 274 30 277 29 276 33 274 29343 27756 31 268 35 271 31 273 30 269 33 274 27756 26101 30 266 34 269 32 275 30 270 32 273 26101 24384 29 269 33 272 31 275 29 270 29 271 24384 22610 27 273 31 274 29 273 26 269 26 265 22610 20772 24 272 27 273 26 269 24 266 25 259 20772 18865 21 267 23 268 23 265 21 262 22 255 18865 16927 19 264 21 258 21 261 20 260 20 254 16927 15064 18 265 19 256 19 261 17 262 18 256 15064 13370 17 264 17 253 16 257 15 263 17 260 13370 11862 15 262 16 244 14 247 14 258 16 259 11862 10516 13 259 14 242 15 239 17 245 17 250 10516 9311 12 260 13 244 15 234 19 233 18 239 9311 8234 10 259 10 244 14 231 18 227 17 229 8234 7272 8 255 8 239 12 228 13 221 14 217 7272 6419 6 247 7 231 10 227 8 201 13 199 6419 5661 5 252 6 225 5*217 6 166 12 178 5661 4979 5 283 5 229 1*106 4 141 13 162 4979 4374 7 300 3*235 2 076 3 095 11 152 4374 3867 8 307 0*221 3 068 4 069 8 143 3867 3477 8 310 1 055 3 062 4 060 5 129 3477 3208 6 301 2 058 4 060 4 055 3 128 3208 3045 4*291 2 056 4 059 4*054 1*138 3045 2951 2*271 2 056 4 059 3*052 1*269 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography