DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 55.3 - - 62.2 - - 54.8 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -33 - - -4 - - 10 - - -9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2934 - - 2935 - - 2934 - - 2934 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 222 - - 1344 - - 3527 - - 836 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 16 - - 26 - - 6 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 240 - - 290 - - 112 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -8 - - -9 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -859 - - -1704 - - -3627 - - -1057 - - -1382 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3810 - - 4655 - - 6580 - - 4009 - - 4335 sfcLCL ODpotential -8154 - - -5900 - - -7358 - - -5490 - - -8165 ODpotential blCL 11105 - - 8851 - - 10310 - - 8442 - - 11117 blCL maxRH 71 - - 60 - - 57 - - 64 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 55.3 - - 62.2 - - 54.8 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 45.3 - - 43.8 - - 47.6 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 55.6 - - 62.0 - - 57.8 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 42.6 - - 47.1 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -33 - - -4 - - 10 - - -9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 44 024 40 003 28 019 32 002 29 354 96377 89450 30 038 30 023 29 017 29 007 21 360 89450 83969 29 026 21 044 27 018 26 008 22 011 83969 79339 21 356 16 048 21 016 23 007 28 001 79339 75346 19 008 14 022 14 006 21 010 18 002 75346 71812 23 350 16 358 14 006 20 013 18 008 71812 68595 20 354 17 349 19 336 21 345 27 346 68595 65645 26 349 14 352 11 340 22 342 25 355 65645 62908 23 329 20 313 18 319 21 338 26 342 62908 60265 18 314 23 332 21 300 19 338 18 354 60265 57525 27 343 30 331 26 339 21 327 30 314 57525 54703 36 328 40 322 34 321 38 308 39 310 54703 52036 40 318 44 313 41 321 37 323 37 328 52036 49627 41 310 48 314 44 329 42 332 44 329 49627 47453 42 306 53 313 47 325 51 317 50 313 47453 45494 46 311 55 310 56 309 61 306 56 308 45494 43716 59 323 57 311 59 300 60 297 58 302 43716 42085 74 324 59 317 57 303 58 294 59 299 42085 40573 77 319 64 321 60 309 59 297 61 298 40573 39152 74 316 67 316 61 307 61 297 61 295 39152 37808 70 314 61 314 60 301 60 291 60 290 37808 36507 65 313 55 312 58 295 60 286 59 285 36507 35186 61 311 55 308 56 292 60 284 59 283 35186 33816 60 309 56 303 55 293 60 283 60 285 33816 32403 61 305 57 301 55 296 59 284 59 289 32403 30933 60 303 56 300 55 301 55 286 56 291 30933 29398 57 303 56 301 54 302 51 289 53 291 29398 27801 55 306 55 302 52 302 48 294 51 288 27801 26143 53 308 53 303 50 301 47 298 50 283 26143 24421 53 309 51 307 48 303 47 300 49 279 24421 22639 53 310 51 312 46 305 48 299 51 277 22639 20790 54 313 50 314 46 306 47 296 51 279 20790 18869 56 316 48 315 46 305 46 292 49 283 18869 16916 55 318 46 312 46 302 45 287 45 286 16916 15040 50 316 44 309 42 297 43 282 41 288 15040 13338 42 313 39 305 38 293 39 283 36 290 13338 11825 35 310 32 300 34 293 34 288 31 294 11825 10479 29 308 25 297 32 294 31 294 28 298 10479 9278 25 310 22 302 31 295 30 298 26 300 9278 8206 23 313 22 305 30 294 29 297 25 299 8206 7251 23 313 24 301 28 290 27 293 25 294 7251 6403 24 306 26 294 26 284 25 287 25 288 6403 5650 27 296 28 285 23 278 21 280 24 283 5650 4971 30 285 28 275 19 273 15 275 20 278 4971 4368 32 273 26 265 14 271 9 274 15 269 4368 3862 30 262 20 257 11 273 3 276 10 246 3862 3473 23 253 15 254 9 278 3 105 8 201 3473 3206 15 247 10 253 7 283 5 106 10 171 3206 3043 9*243 6*251 6*285 5*109 8*160 3043 2951 3*225 2*240 5*290 4*112 6*156 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography