DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.2 - - 41.5 - - 50.1 - - 47.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 21 - - 48 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2933 - - 2933 - - 2934 - - 2934 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2952 - - 2951 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 231 - - 538 - - 1471 - - 1236 - - 500 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 30 - - 39 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 124 - - 131 - - 050 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1240 - - -1758 - - -2139 - - -1479 - - -283 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4191 - - 4710 - - 5090 - - 4431 - - 3234 sfcLCL ODpotential -11337 - - -10420 - - -8215 - - -8110 - - -9242 ODpotential blCL 14288 - - 13371 - - 11166 - - 11062 - - 12193 blCL maxRH 81 - - 82 - - 69 - - 68 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.2 - - 41.5 - - 50.1 - - 47.8 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 31.6 - - 38.3 - - 39.0 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 42.7 - - 49.4 - - 49.3 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.1 - - 30.7 - - 37.1 - - 37.7 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 21 - - 48 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94642 71 296 102 291 87 306 73 301 77 297 94642 88049 53 312 65 296 62 311 58 309 57 296 88049 82886 42 322 39 305 42 303 50 305 42 296 82886 78538 43 313 35 329 25 301 42 306 28 320 78538 74712 45 302 37 318 32 310 46 311 35 331 74712 71276 35 311 27 297 41 291 47 298 40 313 71276 68160 31 336 14 322 30 283 34 293 35 301 68160 65295 35 340 27 353 23 323 24 311 30 300 65295 62621 45 312 40 325 38 326 26 314 30 299 62621 60016 53 304 58 315 50 317 39 314 33 298 60016 57296 58 305 64 300 63 301 50 298 39 295 57296 54468 55 297 56 301 61 292 50 286 46 290 54468 51759 42 296 53 312 57 308 44 292 43 283 51759 49307 49 309 66 313 65 308 49 302 42 291 49307 47103 66 309 66 305 68 301 64 299 56 291 47103 45106 65 302 60 294 67 293 67 288 62 285 45106 43292 52 299 53 292 66 289 64 288 56 284 43292 41648 47 309 57 298 67 287 66 285 54 286 41648 40147 59 303 70 291 60 293 62 280 56 281 40147 38749 71 299 72 291 52 294 55 285 54 281 38749 37428 73 292 64 292 50 298 54 289 52 284 37428 36148 71 287 60 296 47 303 56 291 54 286 36148 34845 69 289 61 299 47 305 56 292 53 289 34845 33493 67 294 62 301 51 302 57 290 48 293 33493 32097 64 297 60 304 58 294 59 287 49 282 32097 30644 58 298 60 308 66 289 62 285 56 274 30644 29125 50 306 69 306 68 288 66 283 63 270 29125 27544 50 314 75 298 66 289 65 282 64 270 27544 25901 60 309 75 295 63 293 59 281 60 270 25901 24201 70 301 68 296 59 295 54 281 54 271 24201 22442 69 297 56 295 57 293 50 281 50 272 22442 20616 63 297 43 289 52 289 46 282 45 277 20616 18718 52 297 37 293 43 284 40 283 38 282 18718 16788 41 295 32 297 34 283 35 280 27 281 16788 14930 27 294 26 296 23 278 30 273 23 277 14930 13240 20 307 22 293 19 275 25 265 20 273 13240 11735 18 303 20 289 18 272 22 261 18 269 11735 10393 17 295 18 284 16 266 20 258 15 265 10393 9195 15 287 14 273 14 252 18 252 13 253 9195 8127 13 280 11 253 13 231 15 244 12 238 8127 7176 11 275 10 231 12 215 13 231 12 222 7176 6334 9 268 8 205 11 200 11 211 12 202 6334 5588 7 265 8 175 11 184 10 187 13 180 5588 4919 5 268 8 160 11 172 11 165 15 162 4919 4328 3 281 8 155 10 163 11 148 16 154 4328 3836 1 306 8 156 8 154 10 138 12 149 3836 3458 1 004 8 154 7 143 8 130 6 137 3458 3198 2 020 5 144 6 135 5 111 1 087 3198 3040 2*038 3*129 6*132 3*088 1*338 3040 2950 1*036 2*124 5*131 3*050 2*313 2950 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography