DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 43.8 - - 40.4 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 - - 2933 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2950 - - 2951 - - 2951 - - 2950 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 854 - - 1660 - - 1346 - - 594 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 42 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 121 - - 142 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2134 - - -2445 - - -1128 - - -14 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5084 - - 5397 - - 4079 - - 2964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12120 - - -10061 - - -9610 - - -11039 ODpotential blCL - - - 15070 - - 13012 - - 12561 - - 13989 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 62 - - 66 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.7 - - 43.8 - - 40.4 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.4 - - 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 43.1 - - 41.9 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 29.9 - - 32.2 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96190 38 348 45 019 55 039 47 051 96190 89296 28 360 33 008 43 023 41 032 89296 83903 22 017 26 005 30 016 41 021 83903 79357 22 028 17 358 29 034 28 024 79357 75419 23 037 15 009 24 012 24 026 75419 71924 19 022 16 022 15 359 29 011 71924 68734 18 011 17 015 13 028 18 358 68734 65761 19 331 21 355 19 019 16 020 65761 62987 16 330 22 347 21 340 24 332 62987 60312 21 340 22 331 24 345 22 325 60312 57515 30 327 24 325 29 338 23 336 57515 54605 30 324 27 320 34 337 33 338 54605 51844 37 324 38 323 41 329 36 339 51844 49371 39 316 39 317 43 330 42 339 49371 47157 38 313 36 317 50 328 45 329 47157 45157 37 314 38 318 47 318 40 329 45157 43337 39 313 34 319 35 304 37 339 43337 41672 38 314 32 344 23 324 37 339 41672 40148 37 321 45 353 35 345 32 342 40148 38744 38 328 44 351 38 004 30 359 38744 37430 34 342 36 353 40 010 35 002 37430 36158 35 337 29 360 35 018 32 007 36158 34863 39 319 28 007 29 020 22 015 34863 33524 40 313 25 009 23 018 11 043 33524 32143 39 312 22 005 18 009 3 105 32143 30708 38 309 22 356 14 357 8 305 30708 29207 34 305 21 349 9 321 20 314 29207 27636 30 303 18 348 11 314 19 304 27636 25995 27 302 16 337 14 309 17 293 25995 24286 25 302 18 314 19 304 21 301 24286 22514 24 304 19 299 21 305 25 315 22514 20674 23 306 17 292 21 307 24 320 20674 18760 21 305 16 296 21 310 23 317 18760 16810 18 301 16 305 21 313 21 314 16810 14932 15 301 16 308 21 318 17 317 14932 13223 13 302 15 307 19 324 14 320 13223 11701 11 295 13 301 15 328 11 320 11701 10346 10 282 11 295 11 328 7 311 10346 9138 9 262 9 287 7 324 4 281 9138 8066 8 244 8 271 3 316 4 210 8066 7117 7 232 6 252 1 226 6 192 7117 6281 5 215 4 226 6 170 8 185 6281 5544 8 193 4 195 11 160 9 173 5544 4885 14 175 6 173 14 158 10 159 4885 4304 20 165 6 161 15 155 8 145 4304 3820 20 164 4 147 14 155 4 095 3820 3448 17 164 4 136 12 153 6 026 3448 3193 13 161 4 128 10 150 7 001 3193 3038 11*159 4*124 7*146 5*344 3038 2949 7*156 3*121 3*142 4*335 2949 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography