DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 34.5 - - 37.7 - - 35.6 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 81 - - 118 - - -24 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1836 - - 3280 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2954 - - 2954 - - 4729 - - 2954 - - 2954 Hcrit BL Top 2972 - - 4829 - - 6273 - - 2972 - - 2972 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2264 - - 2078 - - 1721 - - 4374 - - 1884 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 224 - - 309 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 23 - - 25 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 335 - - 342 - - 333 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -693 - - 563 - - 1309 - - -1794 - - -1744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3665 - - 4266 - - 4964 - - 4766 - - 4716 sfcLCL ODpotential -2197 - - -1153 - - -382 - - -2833 - - -3884 ODpotential blCL 5169 - - 5982 - - 6655 - - 5805 - - 6856 blCL maxRH 95 - - 76 - - 75 - - 66 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 34.5 - - 37.7 - - 35.6 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 26.4 - - 26.5 - - 25.4 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.7 - - 33.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.7 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 25.1 - - 24.8 - - 24.4 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 81 - - 118 - - -24 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1836 - - 3280 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95135 35 315 26 305 19 300 27 291 44 316 95135 88064 16 335 9 314 11 320 18 329 27 327 88064 82731 13 346 11 001 10 316 14 326 20 326 82731 78312 12 342 15 003 8 308 19 327 20 345 78312 74486 11 359 16 338 10 306 25 314 25 343 74486 71096 17 351 17 322 19 311 22 318 18 346 71096 67982 22 328 17 323 22 314 25 330 20 351 67982 65066 23 315 19 323 21 317 30 327 35 336 65066 62338 24 313 23 321 24 316 33 319 38 329 62338 59673 25 312 25 321 28 318 34 316 33 329 59673 56854 26 312 26 326 29 322 35 320 30 336 56854 53886 27 313 28 332 29 327 35 326 36 342 53886 51036 29 314 31 331 29 332 32 334 46 342 51036 48477 31 312 33 327 30 336 33 345 50 341 48477 46197 34 311 34 324 33 338 41 352 50 342 46197 44139 36 309 34 324 37 339 50 355 47 348 44139 42262 37 307 35 326 38 340 54 355 47 355 42262 40538 36 305 37 328 39 342 54 354 50 001 40538 38943 35 304 38 328 40 346 54 355 57 003 38943 37464 34 300 38 327 42 349 57 354 66 003 37464 36086 31 295 36 327 46 349 60 354 76 003 36086 34772 28 293 35 323 49 345 64 355 85 003 34772 33455 25 282 31 315 49 342 68 356 93 004 33455 32104 22 262 23 310 50 338 71 357 100 005 32104 30721 17 252 22 310 43 329 71 358 104 007 30721 29292 17 283 26 295 30 325 70 358 103 007 29292 27807 25 288 26 292 24 330 64 355 97 007 27807 26269 30 281 24 315 22 333 49 348 87 006 26269 24680 31 290 24 336 21 330 42 334 75 004 24680 23047 25 289 23 344 23 332 39 326 60 360 23047 21376 27 300 23 348 27 338 37 328 49 348 21376 19658 34 322 25 356 30 344 35 329 43 335 19658 17881 29 337 28 003 31 351 34 328 41 336 17881 16070 24 345 32 009 33 359 35 331 41 339 16070 14323 27 351 34 011 34 006 34 339 40 341 14323 12730 29 354 34 010 34 010 32 347 35 344 12730 11312 30 352 33 008 33 011 31 353 32 346 11312 10048 29 350 32 006 32 008 30 354 31 348 10048 8919 27 354 32 005 31 005 29 353 31 350 8919 7911 29 001 31 004 30 358 28 350 30 354 7911 7013 32 006 30 002 29*354 28 347 29 357 7013 6217 34 006 29 358 28*350 28 346 29 360 6217 5509 34 003 28 352 27 344 28 344 30 001 5509 4872 34 356 28*346 26 342 27 342 31 000 4872 4306 33 347 27*340 25 340 27 340 30 357 4306 3831 31 338 25 335 24 340 25 338 27 352 3831 3465 28 331 23 333 23 339 23 336 23 344 3465 3212 24 325 21 332 22 338 21 335 17 332 3212 3059 21*323 19 331 20 338 18*333 14*326 3059 2971 15*321 16 331 16 338 14*333 9*320 2971 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography