DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.0 - - 74.1 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 306 - - 91 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3558 - - 4788 - - 4229 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5221 - - 6284 - - 5160 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6551 - - 7781 - - 7222 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2151 - - 2328 - - 2712 - - 3666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 468 - - 300 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 347 - - 009 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -840 - - -907 - - -1941 - - -4183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7391 - - 8689 - - 9163 - - 7137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2322 - - -2394 - - -3641 - - -7679 ODpotential blCL - - - 8873 - - 10175 - - 10863 - - 10632 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 74 - - 82 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 74.0 - - 74.1 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 46.1 - - 44.2 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 71.8 - - 73.1 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 45.8 - - 44.0 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 306 - - 91 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3558 - - 4788 - - 4229 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 0 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98566 4 271 6 302 15 315 14 313 98566 91210 5 315 9 304 9 301 16 309 91210 85537 9 330 7 300 12 311 18 316 85537 80846 9 310 14 320 16 328 16 330 80846 76795 13 302 18 309 13 320 13 316 76795 73188 13 289 16 281 15 292 19 299 73188 69918 8 275 16 276 19 284 16 293 69918 66907 12 286 12 281 13 290 17 298 66907 64109 17 285 16 286 20 288 21 290 64109 61400 19 285 21 277 24 282 21 287 61400 58576 20 280 19 274 23 279 23 286 58576 55645 21 271 21 275 28 274 25 282 55645 52846 24 270 26 266 31 273 27 278 52846 50328 26 270 27 265 31 273 28 277 50328 48074 24 275 26 273 29 274 29 276 48074 46027 21 282 26 283 27 280 28 277 46027 44153 21 296 26 289 27 286 25 282 44153 42427 24 308 23 302 27 289 24 292 42427 40832 29 315 28 314 26 295 27 298 40832 39354 35 322 32 318 28 303 31 302 39354 37979 40 334 33 333 28 314 32 312 37979 36667 49 347 40 345 31 326 31 321 36667 35344 55 354 45 346 34 332 32 322 35344 33974 56 358 46 347 34 332 35 321 33974 32561 52 001 44 349 34 332 35 321 32561 31093 45 001 41 351 32 334 32 322 31093 29559 38 360 40 353 30 334 30 326 29559 27957 37 003 36 353 29 335 28 328 27957 26289 36 009 32 353 29 338 28 331 26289 24558 32 020 30 356 26 343 25 337 24558 22768 28 022 27 001 24 354 22 341 22768 20912 18 024 23 003 21 359 20 355 20912 18983 13 011 19 357 20 359 19 004 18983 17022 17 008 17 354 22 001 20 016 17022 15137 18 026 15 001 17 001 19 029 15137 13430 17 043 8 025 11 005 12 036 13430 11913 15 049 6 036 7 001 7 032 11913 10562 12 041 6 021 5 005 6 016 10562 9354 11 023 6 013 5 006 7 012 9354 8273 10 358 6*346 5 360 7 012 8273 7309 10*339 6*341 5*001 6 009 7309 6453 11*328 7 341 5*002 5 001 6453 5692 12 318 7 343 5 005 4 351 5692 5006 12 314 7 346 5 006 4 350 5006 4395 13 313 7 348 5 009 3 360 4395 3882 12 313 7 352 5 011 3 011 3882 3486 12 313 7 354 5 013 3 019 3486 3213 11 313 7 356 5 014 3 025 3213 3047 11 314 6 357 5 014 2*012 3047 2952 9 315 6 358 5 015 1*346 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography