DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 87.3 - - 87.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 315 - - 123 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2638 - - 6658 - - 7056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4647 - - 7767 - - 7487 - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5631 - - 9651 - - 10049 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2359 - - 4003 - - 5729 - - 2140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 529 - - 396 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 20 - - 34 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 284 - - 143 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -18 - - 11 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5318 - - -2793 - - -2150 - - -5628 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10949 - - 12445 - - 12199 - - 8582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8207 - - -4315 - - -3305 - - -8973 ODpotential blCL - - - 13838 - - 13966 - - 13354 - - 11926 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 91 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 60 - - 150 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 87.3 - - 87.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 43.4 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 85.0 - - 85.8 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 42.2 - - 43.2 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 315 - - 123 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2638 - - 6658 - - 7056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 63 - - 29 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99456 20 100 24 092 21 110 13 097 99456 91958 15 109 13 087 17 095 16 087 91958 86146 12 096 9 116 9 075 12 089 86146 81309 10 086 11 112 4 083 10 081 81309 77136 7 094 9 085 7 116 7 094 77136 73450 9 108 4 102 8 085 8 099 73450 70121 13 099 8 146 1 143 9 061 70121 67062 5 091 8 140 4 217 3 038 67062 64236 2 243 4 160 5 218 3 239 64236 61510 1 234 6 215 7 227 5 219 61510 58667 2 311 8 192 11 234 12 226 58667 55723 14 268 11 250 11 242 17 231 55723 52922 27 245 25 246 22 250 20 245 52922 50402 32 241 31 243 29 243 25 241 50402 48145 35 236 35 243 37 236 34 238 48145 46097 39 232 40 235 41 229 40 232 46097 44221 42 232 42 232 39 230 42 227 44221 42487 45 232 41 230 37 230 42 223 42487 40878 44 229 37 230 37 226 41 224 40878 39381 38 226 35 226 35 225 43 228 39381 37985 32 225 31 215 34 220 44 223 37985 36655 26 229 24 211 30 209 38 221 36655 35321 25 229 22 212 28 214 42 219 35321 33949 25 225 22 211 31 216 50 210 33949 32537 28 218 21 217 33 217 45 211 32537 31071 33 213 27 223 33 221 41 220 31071 29538 35 213 33 222 32 226 35 229 29538 27938 35 216 32 218 31 229 32 233 27938 26272 34 220 29 223 29 229 30 230 26272 24548 31 225 25 231 26 225 24 229 24548 22766 24 238 21 244 20 234 20 238 22766 20925 20 240 20 248 16 252 20 259 20925 19021 17 236 18 241 15 258 23 268 19021 17094 17 232 16 235 16 255 23 264 17094 15238 15 236 15 239 17 252 22 260 15238 13541 13 243 14 229 16 248 18 256 13541 12023 9 240 11 223 12 238 12 255 12023 10662 4 231 7*223 10*235 4 261 10662 9443 1 036 5*245 8*231 2 070 9443 8350 6 009 5 260 5 221 5 093 8350 7373 8 354 5 274 3 191 6 111 7373 6504 9 348 5 282 3 138 9 134 6504 5730 10*338 5 288 3 110 14 152 5730 5033 11*329 5 294 4 098 21 159 5033 4414 12 326 5 300 5 091 26 158 4414 3895 12 326 5 307 5 087 25 157 3895 3494 12 326 5 311 5 084 22 156 3494 3217 11 326 5 314 5 084 19 155 3217 3049 10 327 4 314 5 083 16*154 3049 2952 9 328 4 317 5 082 9*153 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography