DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 61.5 - - 70.0 - - 70.4 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 167 - - 264 - - 86 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1459 - - 2938 - - 2580 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 3602 - - 4830 - - 3995 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 4452 - - 5931 - - 5573 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 477 - - 1083 - - 3294 - - 4469 - - 2189 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 263 - - 383 - - 255 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 23 - - 30 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 121 - - 019 - - 004 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2314 - - -2939 - - -4144 - - -4656 - - -5167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5266 - - 7392 - - 10076 - - 10229 - - 8120 sfcLCL ODpotential -8494 - - -6873 - - -6375 - - -6821 - - -9081 ODpotential blCL 11446 - - 11325 - - 12306 - - 12394 - - 12033 blCL maxRH 67 - - 70 - - 69 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 61.5 - - 70.0 - - 70.4 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 60.2 - - 68.0 - - 69.4 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 38.3 - - 34.9 - - 34.6 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 167 - - 264 - - 86 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1459 - - 2938 - - 2580 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 16 293 16 296 24 274 24 294 23 296 96276 89138 14 305 12 286 25 290 30 297 26 334 89138 83685 14 335 15 302 21 299 31 298 28 327 83685 79160 27 321 24 312 22 304 24 302 28 310 79160 75254 25 303 23 309 28 303 29 309 31 306 75254 71786 25 308 23 307 33 297 33 306 32 306 71786 68621 33 308 28 308 33 293 33 304 34 304 68621 65682 39 300 34 304 35 292 36 297 37 298 65682 62929 42 292 38 299 38 292 39 292 39 295 62929 60236 43 288 41 296 40 292 40 295 40 294 60236 57409 42 285 44 289 43 292 42 296 39 294 57409 54466 40 285 45 283 45 288 43 292 40 296 54466 51660 39 289 43 281 45 286 42 291 40 293 51660 49147 39 290 39 283 43 285 42 292 39 294 49147 46904 38 288 37 286 41 283 44 288 41 298 46904 44878 37 284 37 285 39 282 43 284 44 295 44878 43034 35 283 36 284 37 285 39 283 42 288 43034 41354 35 282 34 284 37 288 35 286 38 288 41354 39819 36 277 35 284 37 289 35 291 34 294 39819 38404 36 273 37 282 37 289 35 294 31 302 38404 37083 36 271 40 276 36 288 33 294 29 308 37083 35813 36 275 40 276 37 286 31 295 28 313 35813 34527 35 280 39 278 37 285 29 295 28 318 34527 33198 35 283 37 280 37 285 27 296 27 320 33198 31827 34 285 33 283 35 285 28 296 25 322 31827 30400 33 284 30 287 30 284 29 295 22 328 30400 28909 33 280 28 290 26 286 28 293 19 319 28909 27356 33 281 28 292 25 289 24 292 18 303 27356 25742 31 285 28 291 25 292 23 294 19 297 25742 24069 25 282 25 290 23 290 24 293 21 294 24069 22341 20 281 21 283 20 289 24 288 24 290 22341 20554 18 291 18 283 20 288 21 282 24 285 20554 18698 16 297 18 290 19 286 19 284 22 282 18698 16807 12 294 15 289 16 285 18 285 19 285 16807 14982 11 293 12 278 13 281 18 281 19 287 14982 13316 11 289 11 273 12 278 17 277 18 286 13316 11828 9 277 9 276 11 277 15 274 17 286 11828 10496 6 281 7 282 9 279 13 275 15 288 10496 9301 3 284 6 292 8 275 12 278 13 289 9301 8231 2 273 5 303 7 268 10 284 10 291 8231 7274 3 253 4 303 5 264 9 293 7 291 7274 6424 3 218 3 286 2*273 7 316 5 296 6424 5668 5 180 3 237 1*297 7*349 2 301 5668 4987 6 164 3*200 1 352 8*359 2 118 4987 4381 5 155 2*176 2 018 8 003 3 115 4381 3874 2 136 2 126 3 027 8 004 4 106 3874 3482 1 100 2 112 3 030 8 005 3 097 3482 3211 0 039 2 102 4 033 8 006 3 095 3211 3046 0*280 3 099 4 033 8 006 2*120 3046 2951 1*265 2 097 4 034 7 006 1*149 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography