DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 94.0 - - - - - 88.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 391 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2077 - - 4145 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4269 - - 5882 - - - - - 2936 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5070 - - 7138 - - - - - 2954 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1342 - - 2399 - - - - - 5604 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 372 - - 486 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 8 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 333 - - - - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -12 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7001 - - -5119 - - - - - -11694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12072 - - 12258 - - - - - 14649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10790 - - -7721 - - - - - -15922 ODpotential blCL - - - 15860 - - 14859 - - - - - 18876 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 65 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 520 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 94.0 - - - - - 88.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 50.3 - - - - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 91.3 - - - - - 91.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 49.8 - - - - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 391 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2077 - - 4145 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99854 36 117 26 105 28 102 99854 92271 29 101 23 091 23 099 92271 86443 27 101 20 102 24 086 86443 81630 24 105 18 102 21 081 81630 77479 25 099 17 095 18 094 77479 73805 24 082 17 094 19 109 73805 70495 11 092 11 086 15 095 70495 67457 18 125 15 125 16 077 67457 64643 16 116 18 121 8 099 64643 61919 6 150 5 166 2 190 61919 59110 14 205 11 217 9 111 59110 56223 19 213 21 225 18 236 56223 53467 36 217 38 221 43 239 53467 51011 42 214 49 219 57 233 51011 48825 47 228 59 226 67 231 48825 46839 67 229 72 227 74 231 46839 45008 76 227 76 226 75 233 45008 43304 79 226 79 225 76 233 43304 41705 80 227 81 226 80 234 41705 40196 81 228 83 229 80 236 40196 38774 82 231 82 232 78 238 38774 37405 82 232 80 232 77 238 37405 36022 77 232 77 232 77 238 36022 34596 69 230 71 233 75 240 34596 33133 64 227 65 235 66 245 33133 31622 59 226 62 235 56 248 31622 30050 56 226 58 235 50 247 30050 28417 52 226 53 233 48 245 28417 26725 48 226 47 231 47 244 26725 24982 41 231 40 231 45 244 24982 23185 35 241 34 231 42 240 23185 21320 30 245 30 232 39 234 21320 19380 29 239 28 236 37 228 19380 17404 28 227 28 238 34 220 17404 15498 25 222 27 238 29 221 15498 13758 21 229 26 232 23 229 13758 12205 18 222 23 225 16 244 12205 10816 15 210 17 229 12 266 10816 9572 10 202 13 238 11 287 9572 8458 5 182 10 252 10 309 8458 7463 2 152 6*294 10 323 7463 6579 5 003 7*303 10 338 6579 5791 9*353 7 320 9 355 5791 5081 11*338 8 331 9 013 5081 4449 12 332 8 336 9 025 4449 3917 12 332 8 342 9 030 3917 3508 12 333 9 344 7 030 3508 3225 12 335 8 347 6 028 3225 3052 11 336 8 348 4*022 3052 2953 10 337 8 349 2*018 2953 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography