DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 75.8 - - 75.4 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 342 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5126 - - 6751 - - 3058 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 7893 - - 4644 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8119 - - 9744 - - 6051 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1865 - - 1737 - - 5427 - - 3431 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 492 - - 551 - - 315 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 303 - - 305 - - 019 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 8 - - 17 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2334 - - -2351 - - -5739 - - -6720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10453 - - 12095 - - 11791 - - 9674 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7050 - - -6813 - - -10523 - - -12102 ODpotential blCL - - - 15169 - - 16557 - - 16574 - - 15055 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 62 - - 75 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 75.8 - - 75.4 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 32.6 - - 33.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 73.5 - - 74.0 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 31.5 - - 32.5 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 323 - - 342 - - 138 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5126 - - 6751 - - 3058 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97846 12 237 12 316 9 276 6 291 97846 90425 8 234 12 270 4 336 3 012 90425 84700 5 185 9 240 6 001 4 347 84700 79954 4 193 5 225 4 320 6 342 79954 75878 3 160 4 216 4 265 3 055 75878 72268 3 196 5 265 7 297 9 027 72268 68993 1 288 2 206 7 256 5 316 68993 65983 6 286 7 319 9 319 8 330 65983 63186 3 295 6 262 11 292 10 307 63186 60470 11 356 9 013 7 331 14 339 60470 57653 11 310 14 305 16 298 15 292 57653 54740 13 330 17 321 12 341 10 306 54740 51966 23 324 27 314 28 323 26 326 51966 49498 36 317 32 315 32 307 31 319 49498 47324 41 315 40 320 31 315 31 318 47324 45382 43 320 47 321 41 323 39 323 45382 43621 50 328 55 327 49 331 44 331 43621 42001 57 332 62 330 56 334 51 334 42001 40492 57 330 61 328 55 331 51 331 40492 39070 54 328 57 325 51 327 48 327 39070 37726 51 326 55 323 49 325 46 324 37726 36427 49 325 52 322 48 324 44 323 36427 35109 47 325 48 322 47 322 43 322 35109 33744 46 324 47 323 45 321 43 322 33744 32337 46 323 46 325 43 322 42 323 32337 30873 48 324 45 328 40 325 39 324 30873 29345 49 324 42 330 35 326 37 321 29345 27754 49 323 39 331 29 328 33 315 27754 26100 48 323 37 332 24 330 26 306 26100 24387 48 323 37 331 22 326 22 298 24387 22614 46 321 38 328 22 320 22 305 22614 20776 42 317 39 321 25 320 22 316 20776 18868 40 313 38 316 27 322 23 321 18868 16927 39 310 37 313 29 321 27 318 16927 15062 37 305 35 311 32 317 31 309 15062 13372 34 303 32 308 32 303 30 298 13372 11872 31 302 29 300 27 288 26 294 11872 10533 26 299 20*287 24 286 22 298 10533 9333 20 292 17*287 21 287 19 301 9333 8257 15*288 16 289 16 292 15 309 8257 7296 13*290 15 294 12 302 11 318 7296 6443 13 293 13 302 9*322 8 335 6443 5684 12 299 12 310 8*350 7 359 5684 5000 12 303 11 317 9 015 7 031 5000 4391 12 308 11 323 9 021 8 046 4391 3880 11 312 10 329 9 024 8 049 3880 3486 11 315 10 332 9 025 7 050 3486 3213 10 317 10 333 9 026 6 048 3213 3047 10 318 10 335 9 026 4*043 3047 2952 9 319 9 337 8 027 2*038 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography