DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 63.2 - - 71.2 - - 68.6 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 151 - - 185 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 980 - - 2511 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 2935 - - 4365 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 3973 - - 5504 - - 2952 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 226 - - 852 - - 1264 - - 3043 - - 665 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 218 - - 319 - - 7 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 129 - - 080 - - 016 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 9 - - 16 - - 10 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3649 - - -4424 - - -4237 - - -6460 - - -3866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 8397 - - 9742 - - 9413 - - 6819 sfcLCL ODpotential -11494 - - -8590 - - -6838 - - -9746 - - -9115 ODpotential blCL 14445 - - 12563 - - 12342 - - 12698 - - 12067 blCL maxRH 73 - - 90 - - 92 - - 64 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 63.2 - - 71.2 - - 68.6 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 37.0 - - 38.8 - - 37.8 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 61.9 - - 69.6 - - 68.8 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 36.9 - - 38.7 - - 37.7 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 151 - - 185 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 980 - - 2511 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 61 - - 67 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97450 5 358 8 256 13 289 10 332 3 338 97450 90270 2 317 7 304 10 303 10 357 6 007 90270 84698 8 015 5 298 6 338 11 001 4 355 84698 80074 11 339 6 327 3 283 14 320 8 354 80074 76091 5 309 3 281 6 218 8 264 9 307 76091 72554 7 309 6 269 6 236 6 255 8 275 72554 69334 8 252 9 234 7 222 10 227 13 248 69334 66361 9 280 9 250 6 217 9 229 15 241 66361 63600 13 250 15 236 14 237 9 240 13 225 63600 60919 20 235 20 240 20 255 12 268 6 266 60919 58108 24 224 19 226 21 237 20 223 21 236 58108 55194 28 229 25 223 26 230 29 222 34 221 55194 52430 40 232 38 224 35 225 36 222 41 215 52430 49945 47 224 51 227 45 230 42 229 39 218 49945 47705 58 232 61 229 57 234 52 232 48 227 47705 45665 72 234 62 229 67 232 68 226 56 226 45665 43794 74 233 59 231 72 229 79 222 64 224 43794 42069 73 232 62 233 73 228 82 221 69 222 42069 40473 69 228 64 230 73 227 76 221 67 221 40473 38989 61 223 61 230 67 224 68 222 59 222 38989 37602 56 225 56 234 55 222 59 220 52 219 37602 36277 60 230 60 234 52 226 48 218 46 214 36277 34945 59 227 61 225 56 225 44 219 37 207 34945 33578 56 222 55 216 55 220 42 216 30 202 33578 32175 53 215 52 209 52 215 41 213 30 202 32175 30718 52 212 50 209 49 214 40 209 31 205 30718 29195 46 220 45 216 46 215 36 207 29 201 29195 27609 40 227 35 217 38 218 30 208 21 191 27609 25965 35 225 30 216 29 213 23 199 14 175 25965 24265 32 224 28 213 24 208 20 186 15 175 24265 22512 27 223 25 208 21 201 18 183 17 180 22512 20698 23 228 21 213 17 195 16 179 16 182 20698 18817 19 234 13 232 10 193 12 173 14 180 18817 16905 16 237 8 248 5 151 10 159 12 174 16905 15064 12 233 7 231 7 139 10 152 12 178 15064 13386 10 214 8 192 10 149 12 153 12 184 13386 11885 10 185 11 171 12 160 12 148 12 187 11885 10540 12 172 14 164 14 170 11 149 11 184 10540 9334 11 165 14 157 16 171 11 153 11 167 9334 8254 10 156 14 147 16 169 12 151 14 148 8254 7290 9 145 14 136 14 164 14 144 16 141 7290 6433 10 141 15 139 11 147 13 140 15 140 6433 5671 14 147 16 150 8*116 10 134 10 139 5671 4986 22 151 16 153 7*096 5 105 7 084 4986 4378 21 156 13*153 6 087 5 040 8 047 4378 3870 11 165 8*141 6 079 6 023 6 022 3870 3479 4 161 7 129 6 073 7 020 4 332 3479 3209 2 185 7 125 6 068 7 017 5 298 3209 3045 1*277 6 121 5 067 7*017 6*276 3045 2951 2*297 5 119 5 066 5*016 6*268 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography