DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 74.5 - - 80.1 - - 83.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 226 - - 280 - - 31 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3919 - - 5776 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2935 - - 5489 - - 7013 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 6912 - - 8769 - - 2953 - - 2953 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 2659 - - 2883 - - 10433 - - 245 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 396 - - 484 - - 33 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 44 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 245 - - 190 - - 231 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 28 - - 48 - - -18 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6768 - - -5714 - - -5024 - - -14828 - - -13742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9720 - - 12626 - - 13794 - - 17782 - - 16696 sfcLCL ODpotential -16633 - - -12790 - - -11056 - - -20100 - - -20890 ODpotential blCL 19585 - - 19702 - - 19825 - - 23053 - - 23843 blCL maxRH 55 - - 57 - - 58 - - 41 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 74.5 - - 80.1 - - 83.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 29.1 - - 29.3 - - 14.3 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.4 - - 72.7 - - 77.9 - - 82.8 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 29.0 - - 29.0 - - 13.9 - - 8.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 226 - - 280 - - 31 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3919 - - 5776 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98254 15 253 13 268 7 271 8 290 12 254 98254 90894 7 257 9 240 5 239 13 271 3 290 90894 85172 2 230 6 218 7 191 9 268 2 190 85172 80417 2 200 10 148 15 193 10 254 4 276 80417 76324 4 197 6 180 10 190 12 229 12 270 76324 72695 7 229 7 217 3 255 6 228 10 260 72695 69393 9 238 10 223 13 266 6 262 11 268 69393 66360 10 184 13 192 15 248 9 246 11 263 66360 63548 13 228 16 217 17 245 3 243 9 254 63548 60828 18 226 20 230 26 223 20 263 15 248 60828 58021 15 228 18 228 25 214 30 241 17 242 58021 55125 24 242 22 239 25 229 31 235 19 239 55125 52359 28 247 32 237 33 242 32 234 30 238 52359 49877 31 253 36 234 42 234 36 234 43 235 49877 47668 32 241 40 232 45 228 43 232 52 234 47668 45673 30 227 42 230 48 228 50 229 58 230 45673 43855 28 228 43 232 49 229 54 224 61 226 43855 42179 30 239 43 235 49 230 54 223 64 225 42179 40622 37 245 44 235 49 225 54 224 66 221 40622 39170 43 245 44 230 48 222 54 224 66 216 39170 37805 45 243 44 225 47 220 53 219 65 211 37805 36489 44 244 44 224 48 221 53 215 65 208 36489 35156 44 246 46 226 49 224 54 216 64 211 35156 33777 46 245 48 226 51 224 57 222 65 213 33777 32359 47 243 49 225 52 222 58 223 66 213 32359 30887 47 242 50 228 52 220 58 220 65 213 30887 29351 47 241 49 231 52 221 58 218 63 215 29351 27755 45 240 47 231 51 225 57 219 61 220 27755 26099 44 237 45 228 49 227 55 222 61 223 26099 24387 42 235 43 225 48 225 53 226 60 223 24387 22618 42 236 43 226 48 224 51 226 57 224 22618 20788 40 238 43 230 48 225 52 226 54 225 20788 18889 38 240 40 232 49 226 52 227 49 228 18889 16960 35 238 39 233 51 229 49 231 42 231 16960 15109 34 236 41 236 49 234 40 233 30 230 15109 13429 34 237 41 239 43 238 28 224 22 226 13429 11932 32 238 37 240 35 236 20 209 20 235 11932 10592 25 235 29 234 24 229 18 210 21 241 10592 9389 15 228 19 222 18*223 18 212 21 241 9389 8310 8 237 12 216 16*220 17 216 22 242 8310 7344 6 278 8*221 12 211 15 219 23 239 7344 6485 8 302 6*228 9 200 15 222 24 236 6485 5719 11 303 4 234 8 185 14 225 25 233 5719 5027 13 298 3 243 7 174 13 227 25 228 5027 4410 15 288 1 269 6 164 12 228 25 224 4410 3893 15 274 1 351 6 156 11 230 23 220 3893 3493 14 263 1 029 6 150 11 230 19 214 3493 3216 12 252 2 033 6 147 10 231 14 207 3216 3048 9*250 2 038 6 145 9*231 11*203 3048 2952 5*246 2 038 6 142 8*231 8*203 2952 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography