DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1002z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 66.0 - - 74.0 - - 76.3 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 310 - - 367 - - 110 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1979 - - 3529 - - 3378 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2956 - - 4160 - - 5379 - - 4697 - - 2957 Hcrit BL Top 2973 - - 4972 - - 6522 - - 6371 - - 2974 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1075 - - 1185 - - 1536 - - 2512 - - 1914 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 350 - - 449 - - 296 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 18 - - 19 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 019 - - 015 - - 010 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4180 - - -5014 - - -5656 - - -7470 - - -8319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7153 - - 9986 - - 12178 - - 13842 - - 11293 sfcLCL ODpotential -12214 - - -11133 - - -10698 - - -12407 - - -15579 ODpotential blCL 15187 - - 16105 - - 17220 - - 18778 - - 18553 blCL maxRH 47 - - 44 - - 52 - - 79 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 66.0 - - 74.0 - - 76.3 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 32.8 - - 30.9 - - 25.7 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.9 - - 65.1 - - 72.3 - - 75.2 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 32.7 - - 30.8 - - 25.5 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 310 - - 367 - - 110 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1979 - - 3529 - - 3378 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98199 5 036 2 158 2 036 6 218 3 341 98199 90892 3 001 3 103 1 351 3 002 3 023 90892 85257 5 354 5 049 5 127 3 302 2 022 85257 80573 7 325 5 329 1 293 7 333 4 338 80573 76531 4 005 2 288 5 258 9 291 3 323 76531 72941 10 295 7 277 9 278 12 276 10 289 72941 69686 13 270 12 263 15 261 18 270 18 284 69686 66692 20 276 16 257 19 255 24 263 25 272 66692 63910 30 265 27 256 29 258 30 257 31 259 63910 61212 37 259 36 253 36 256 36 258 35 257 61212 58391 43 256 41 251 41 253 39 255 40 258 58391 55457 48 255 45 250 46 250 44 255 46 256 55457 52659 52 255 51 251 51 251 49 255 50 253 52659 50147 57 252 58 250 56 252 53 256 52 252 50147 47903 60 248 62 249 61 253 58 256 54 255 47903 45872 60 249 65 246 65 252 62 255 58 258 45872 44014 60 251 65 246 67 250 63 253 61 258 44014 42297 62 254 64 247 65 250 62 251 64 256 42297 40699 65 254 65 249 62 252 60 250 64 254 40699 39205 67 253 65 251 61 253 60 250 62 252 39205 37805 65 252 64 252 62 254 61 251 61 252 37805 36461 59 251 60 252 61 254 61 252 58 253 36461 35106 50 250 56 252 56 251 58 250 53 252 35106 33716 42 250 52 252 52 249 52 246 49 250 33716 32299 39 248 50 253 48 251 47 243 46 242 32299 30844 37 246 45 252 45 253 44 242 41 233 30844 29332 37 247 41 251 42 255 41 240 38 232 29332 27754 37 249 39 251 39 257 38 236 37 235 27754 26110 38 250 37 251 37 256 35 234 33 237 26110 24404 37 250 35 251 35 253 32 235 28 238 24404 22639 35 249 34 251 33 250 29 238 25 242 22639 20810 33 248 33 250 32 249 27 242 25 245 20810 18911 31 247 31 248 29 249 25 245 26 246 18911 16978 30 247 29 247 27 249 24 247 27 244 16978 15118 27 252 27 248 23 250 24 247 29 239 15118 13424 24 258 23 249 21 250 26 243 29 235 13424 11915 18 258 18 245 19 248 28 239 27 238 11915 10567 14 252 14 238 19 242 27 239 23 246 10567 9361 10 241 11 229 19 234 23 243 17 261 9361 8282 7 227 9 215 15 230 15 251 12 285 8282 7320 4 215 7 197 10*236 10 266 9 310 7320 6466 1 219 5 178 5*248 6*303 9 337 6466 5707 3 012 3 169 2 343 6*351 8 359 5707 5022 4 359 1*229 5 021 8 009 8 016 5022 4413 7 333 2*354 6 024 8 011 8 023 4413 3901 11 328 3 016 6 025 8 013 7 020 3901 3507 14 315 4 021 7 026 8 013 5 014 3507 3234 13 305 4 024 7 026 8 014 3 351 3234 3068 11*302 4 026 7 027 8 015 2*292 3068 2973 8*300 4 026 6 027 7 015 3*272 2973 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography