DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.9 - - 69.8 - - 77.9 - - 77.6 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 68 - - 203 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 628 - - 2538 - - 2702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3780 - - 3362 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2950 - - 4860 - - 5025 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 971 - - 1286 - - 2219 - - 528 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 155 - - 338 - - 254 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 162 - - 223 - - 273 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7323 - - -5938 - - -7022 - - -6228 - - -4490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9661 - - 8889 - - 11883 - - 11253 - - 6829 sfcLCL ODpotential -16041 - - -13028 - - -11487 - - -10519 - - -11347 ODpotential blCL 18379 - - 15978 - - 16347 - - 15544 - - 13686 blCL maxRH 34 - - 77 - - 83 - - 57 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.9 - - 69.8 - - 77.9 - - 77.6 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.1 - - 39.5 - - 34.1 - - 36.5 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 69.3 - - 76.5 - - 76.9 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.0 - - 38.1 - - 32.8 - - 35.3 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 68 - - 203 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 628 - - 2538 - - 2702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 6 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96579 33 267 34 279 43 286 38 288 40 291 96579 89365 24 281 24 296 29 285 29 293 25 292 89365 83878 21 302 20 296 21 286 22 297 21 304 83878 79334 17 315 13 278 20 272 23 301 19 320 79334 75407 12 287 13 285 18 267 23 302 16 324 75407 71922 11 280 11 268 17 276 13 291 11 312 71922 68760 15 291 9 247 16 263 12 281 12 295 68760 65862 19 278 11 266 15 249 18 266 18 273 65862 63194 22 275 16 281 14 260 16 252 19 265 63194 60617 30 261 26 276 26 277 26 269 22 267 60617 57922 32 254 31 261 32 268 29 264 26 261 57922 55112 34 250 32 247 35 251 34 253 31 253 55112 52413 37 250 36 244 39 241 39 249 38 247 52413 49963 44 251 42 246 44 242 44 246 44 242 49963 47747 47 246 45 242 49 240 50 240 47 241 47747 45718 46 244 46 238 51 233 52 235 53 237 45718 43848 45 245 47 236 48 230 51 233 50 233 43848 42120 41 242 43 235 45 228 49 233 40 233 42120 40524 39 232 39 227 42 224 45 232 38 240 40524 39043 41 227 46 219 42 218 45 226 44 240 39043 37666 46 226 51 212 44 214 48 217 47 231 37666 36351 45 223 50 210 51 208 50 214 46 222 36351 35030 39 222 48 210 53 207 52 214 44 219 35030 33669 37 221 44 207 52 209 51 215 41 222 33669 32266 34 221 41 208 50 209 44 218 38 225 32266 30805 31 219 42 211 47 212 43 221 36 227 30805 29273 33 212 40 214 41 212 43 225 35 231 29273 27674 35 209 39 216 39 212 39 228 33 234 27674 26004 34 213 38 210 37 209 31 219 29 238 26004 24268 31 216 33 206 34 203 31 206 24 224 24268 22472 28 216 29 205 31 196 28 204 22 208 22472 20611 21 212 25 205 25 193 21 199 14 190 20611 18678 16 203 22 209 20 190 15 184 11 163 18678 16705 12 203 17 218 15 181 13 173 9 144 16705 14794 11 206 14 221 12 173 13 180 10 151 14794 13046 11 207 10 208 13 172 14 182 12 159 13046 11485 9 193 9 181 13 177 16 179 15 171 11485 10090 7 173 10 170 13 181 16 183 16 182 10090 8844 7 164 11 170 13 185 16 189 17 194 8844 7733 5 162 10 169 12 188 14 190 16 206 7733 6744 3 135 8 166 11 185 11 188 15 213 6744 5870 4 103 7 164 8 181 6 196 13 214 5870 5094 5 090 5 154 4*190 4*228 10 210 5094 4399 4 070 4 146 3*209 4*256 8 209 4399 3782 2 012 3 150 3 219 5 270 5 218 3782 3266 2 346 3*159 3 225 5 274 5 302 3266 2870 2 063 3*165 3 228 6 276 10 324 2870 2598 4 085 3 161 3 231 6 278 11 330 2598 2433 5*085 3 160 3 230 5 278 9*332 2433 2339 3*087 2 161 3 230 5 278 4*332 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography