DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 58.9 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 299 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3365 - - 4000 - - - - - 534 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4498 - - 4999 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5686 - - 6321 - - - - - 2855 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2861 - - 3137 - - - - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 408 - - 439 - - - - - 61 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 45 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 306 - - - - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 563 - - 560 - - - - - -216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5123 - - 5761 - - - - - 3071 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 65 - - 9 - - - - - -3130 ODpotential blCL - - - 5621 - - 6312 - - - - - 5985 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 99 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 290 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 58.9 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 41.6 - - - - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 57.1 - - - - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 40.8 - - - - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 299 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3365 - - 4000 - - - - - 534 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 94 - - - - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98602 14 130 11 099 13 105 98602 91129 21 133 15 145 9 065 91129 85364 20 131 12 119 12 097 85364 80605 15 125 16 088 17 083 80605 76525 14 104 14 081 16 074 76525 72916 11 079 11 121 16 097 72916 69633 9 106 15 150 12 115 69633 66595 6 138 16 143 5 113 66595 63768 8 155 10 161 8 180 63768 61021 5 166 4 144 13 167 61021 58147 4 233 3 290 5 185 58147 55168 3 282 8 281 6 283 55168 52322 9 326 10 266 13 270 52322 49761 18 322 10 296 16 281 49761 47464 24 311 18 296 18 284 47464 45373 29 299 21 293 18 286 45373 43450 31 295 27 296 20 288 43450 41671 34 299 27 295 19 268 41671 40009 35 296 24 293 12 272 40009 38451 32 294 24 291 21 316 38451 36994 31 294 25 293 27 318 36994 35601 33 293 26 294 22 319 35601 34202 40 292 26 293 21 330 34202 32770 41 289 23 289 21 331 32770 31316 35 285 14 309 20 342 31316 29826 31 285 17 350 26 008 29826 28294 24 288 20 346 40 015 28294 26719 18 308 20 004 46 010 26719 25096 15 329 25 031 39 008 25096 23422 13 328 33 042 29 010 23422 21692 12 324 33 045 25 016 21692 19896 11 336 24 038 23 018 19896 18025 12 355 13 032 20 021 18025 16115 12 352 11 033 17 016 16115 14271 11 348 11 031 14 014 14271 12592 11 352 9 035 13 011 12592 11099 13 355 9 048 10 008 11099 9770 11 352 10 049 8 008 9770 8584 7 356 8 047 6 017 8584 7524 4 007 5 040 5 024 7524 6580 1 036 2*008 4 010 6580 5741 2*228 2*333 4 336 5741 4996 3*241 2 317 6 319 4996 4326 4 248 2 309 9 313 4326 3731 5 249 2 302 15 309 3731 3234 5 251 2 296 17*308 3234 2853 5 251 2 293 16*307 2853 2590 5 251 2 288 15 307 2590 2429 5 252 2 287 13 307 2429 2338 4 251 2 289 8 306 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography