DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.6 - - 55.2 - - 50.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 26 - - 95 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 854 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2430 - - 3176 - - 2337 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 520 - - 1192 - - 971 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 62 - - 181 - - 19 - - 3 W* B/S 3 - - 44 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 111 - - 245 - - 102 - - 106 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4718 - - -2853 - - -2555 - - -1448 - - -1576 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7055 - - 5283 - - 5732 - - 3785 - - 3913 sfcLCL ODpotential -18362 - - -13546 - - -10923 - - -9371 - - -13762 ODpotential blCL 20699 - - 15976 - - 14099 - - 11708 - - 16099 blCL maxRH 47 - - 72 - - 85 - - 72 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 49.6 - - 55.2 - - 50.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 35.1 - - 38.6 - - 42.6 - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 49.2 - - 54.4 - - 50.9 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 34.1 - - 37.7 - - 42.1 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 26 - - 95 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 854 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96206 21 107 12 098 16 081 18 087 21 126 96206 89205 23 101 20 079 16 103 15 098 13 117 89205 83792 21 082 22 084 15 093 12 090 11 080 83792 79293 21 069 19 079 21 069 12 118 12 094 79293 75396 17 066 17 061 20 067 17 076 16 075 75396 71949 21 079 15 067 16 087 18 060 16 053 71949 68834 27 055 18 067 19 068 19 080 16 075 68834 65954 23 053 23 063 22 052 19 065 21 061 65954 63275 26 058 25 064 19 060 20 043 22 041 63275 60696 27 050 30 066 23 072 24 047 23 042 60696 58012 36 048 38 052 31 059 27 046 20 045 58012 55221 48 043 47 045 40 053 34 040 29 043 55221 52549 52 037 50 038 41 043 34 037 33 041 52549 50126 49 036 49 041 44 047 47 041 41 042 50126 47941 55 042 59 043 59 039 56 028 44 024 47941 45945 66 033 67 032 63 030 53 021 36 025 45945 44091 62 026 60 029 56 025 48 029 41 028 44091 42362 59 034 55 037 53 030 53 034 53 028 42362 40749 70 038 67 039 65 031 61 026 63 023 40749 39248 85 033 80 029 73 023 65 019 69 018 39248 37849 91 028 85 024 75 020 69 013 71 022 37849 36512 86 027 85 024 73 018 66 014 79 023 36512 35165 77 026 81 022 68 017 65 020 82 022 35165 33779 68 024 69 016 62 013 68 023 82 023 33779 32357 66 025 60 014 56 013 70 025 80 024 32357 30881 64 029 58 014 56 013 70 025 73 022 30881 29337 61 029 54 012 56 012 66 022 64 020 29337 27723 58 027 50 012 53 012 60 021 57 017 27723 26036 56 026 48 014 50 013 56 021 55 017 26036 24279 57 028 47 015 47 016 53 022 56 017 24279 22455 59 030 48 018 45 020 50 022 54 016 22455 20561 59 031 45 022 43 022 48 023 48 017 20561 18591 57 032 41 022 42 023 47 027 44 017 18591 16583 52 030 39 021 39 024 45 029 44 019 16583 14646 42 030 36 023 35 027 43 031 45 023 14646 12882 33 028 28 025 29 028 38 032 44 027 12882 11313 27 024 22 023 22 026 29 031 39 029 11313 9920 22 020 19 022 17 025 22 028 33 027 9920 8681 17 021 15 024 13 026 17 027 28 022 8681 7583 10 026 10 028 9 025 12 027 25 018 7583 6611 4 028 3 042 5 018 8 026 20 017 6611 5757 1 010 2 158 1 006 5 026 15 016 5757 5002 2 205 5 180 1 229 3 031 12 010 5002 4328 3 198 7 191 3 201 1 031 10 001 4328 3731 2 215 7 196 3 184 1 167 8 351 3731 3233 1 290 6 205 2*143 3 136 5 353 3233 2850 2 294 5 210 3*106 4 116 2 028 2850 2588 1 265 3*213 3 103 5 109 3 080 2588 2428 0*190 0*234 3 100 4 106 3 091 2428 2337 0*111 0 256 3 100 4*106 3*092 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography