DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/18 Panoche 2312ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1002z - - 1859z - - 1906z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 67.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 68 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4636 - - 3974 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5340 - - 4149 - - 2312 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6948 - - 6286 - - 2328 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3405 - - 3010 - - 526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 416 - - 278 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 197 - - 204 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -13 - - -11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2566 - - -3246 - - -4518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9514 - - 9532 - - 6847 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7040 - - -6936 - - -9115 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13988 - - 13222 - - 11443 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 78 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 67.3 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 33.5 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.4 - - 66.8 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.7 - - 31.6 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 68 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4636 - - 3974 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 13 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96942 9 336 1 118 5 012 96942 89693 5 054 10 081 12 052 89693 84098 8 065 9 100 7 032 84098 79440 7 067 7 093 4 039 79440 75432 7 059 4 074 1 061 75432 71902 2 040 3 009 2 089 71902 68708 3 277 5 293 3 298 68708 65765 5 222 7 243 4 230 65765 63035 11 266 12 259 8 256 63035 60393 12 236 14 247 13 235 60393 57647 25 266 24 263 21 248 57647 54794 25 255 22 241 25 249 54794 52051 46 263 42 260 45 255 52051 49583 55 255 54 255 58 246 49583 47377 48 263 53 254 56 242 47377 45369 63 272 59 260 61 249 45369 43516 73 268 67 261 65 249 43516 41794 78 267 71 264 69 257 41794 40187 80 268 79 266 82 261 40187 38688 82 271 86 267 83 260 38688 37290 74 273 75 269 64 260 37290 35957 54 272 52 268 37 262 35957 34623 38 271 33 261 22 269 34623 33256 38 273 23 260 23 277 33256 31850 44 267 31 266 27 273 31850 30389 52 271 40 266 32 278 30389 28864 45 278 42 277 36 274 28864 27273 30 285 33 286 40 268 27273 25615 29 286 27 281 34 275 25615 23890 25 276 26 279 23 282 23890 22100 20 261 22 271 16 268 22100 20243 16 256 20 254 16 253 20243 18317 16 239 17 240 17 242 18317 16360 20 215 17 220 16 225 16360 14479 21 199 18 199 16 200 14479 12771 20 191 17 190 19 190 12771 11250 20 192 20 189 26 186 11250 9896 22 195 24 187 29 183 9896 8686 23 198 23 189 27 182 8686 7606 22*203 19 195 22 180 7606 6643 21*204 17*200 18 180 6643 5790 18 201 14*202 15 186 5790 5033 16 194 14 203 14 194 5033 4352 15 193 13 204 13 201 4352 3748 14 193 13 205 12 205 3748 3242 14 194 13 206 13 207 3242 2853 13 195 12 206 13 209 2853 2585 12 196 12 207 12 211 2585 2421 12 197 11 207 10*213 2421 2328 10 197 9 207 6*211 2328 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography