DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 87.7 - - 84.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 448 - - 285 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 3485 - - 1657 - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3217 - - 4738 - - 3235 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3883 - - 5809 - - 3981 - - 2608 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 784 - - 1733 - - 2207 - - 414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 478 - - 321 - - 70 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 286 - - 300 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - -13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5144 - - -5782 - - -5606 - - -4609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9028 - - 11591 - - 9587 - - 7217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11560 - - -10710 - - -10694 - - -12005 ODpotential blCL - - - 15443 - - 16519 - - 14675 - - 14613 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 37 - - 41 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 87.7 - - 84.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.4 - - 44.9 - - 50.5 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 85.0 - - 82.4 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 44.3 - - 50.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 350 - - 448 - - 285 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 3485 - - 1657 - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98610 25 116 32 107 31 114 29 111 98610 91140 29 119 24 121 21 112 27 091 91140 85409 24 113 20 118 21 108 21 092 85409 80666 19 108 14 108 20 107 17 102 80666 76598 16 099 11 126 11 091 18 098 76598 73011 17 104 14 133 8 110 11 094 73011 69782 16 089 16 124 10 138 8 112 69782 66826 10 090 13 119 12 134 10 117 66826 64088 10 137 8 100 7 112 7 091 64088 61451 10 133 1 129 1 171 4 043 61451 58720 4 100 4 226 5 227 7 256 58720 55899 5 253 6 248 7 242 11 250 55899 53210 15 267 14 251 14 254 17 266 53210 50788 17 272 15 251 19 254 23 266 50788 48606 24 267 19 264 26 271 27 270 48606 46610 27 270 26 271 33 278 32 276 46610 44768 27 275 27 275 35 279 37 280 44768 43055 27 279 30 279 33 278 40 279 43055 41450 26 275 29 279 30 273 42 276 41450 39943 17 270 24 278 28 268 41 274 39943 38524 7 237 16 273 22 271 36 269 38524 37161 7 167 8 264 11 265 25 263 37161 35789 11 144 4 168 6 202 13 248 35789 34379 9 126 7 146 9 155 11 198 34379 32934 7 116 6 157 10 164 15 166 32934 31431 5 126 4 205 6 181 14 171 31431 29857 4 155 4 237 3 212 10 184 29857 28214 6 162 5 235 3 232 6 211 28214 26500 10 145 4 205 2 214 4 210 26500 24719 12 126 8 159 4 174 5 163 24719 22875 11 116 11 143 7 155 6 151 22875 20961 8 117 12 132 13 139 10 145 20961 18974 13 138 15 129 18 125 18 118 18974 16952 21 140 18 130 19 117 22 108 16952 14999 19 138 16 135 17 115 18 107 14999 13215 12 111 14 116 14 111 11 100 13215 11621 14 093 15 108 13 110 9 085 11621 10198 11 074 12 096 11 100 8 070 10198 8930 7 031 7 059 6 073 5 039 8930 7804 7 339 8 351 2 010 4 360 7804 6804 10 313 12 313 7 300 8 315 6804 5919 11 298 11*302 11 289 12 296 5919 5134 9 286 9*290 12 284 14 286 5134 4429 6*261 9 286 12*284 13 275 4429 3803 5*240 9 286 11*292 12 272 3803 3279 6 240 9 284 12 299 11 288 3279 2878 6 239 9 284 12 302 10*306 2878 2603 6 239 9 284 11 303 9*312 2603 2435 6 241 8 284 11 304 9 312 2435 2339 5 240 7 284 9 304 6 312 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography