DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 53.7 - - 60.0 - - 58.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 199 - - 312 - - 81 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1461 - - 2630 - - 2856 - - 309 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2989 - - 3978 - - 3452 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3782 - - 4952 - - 5177 - - 2630 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 389 - - 852 - - 1388 - - 1993 - - 1411 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 276 - - 388 - - 257 - - 48 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 215 - - 227 - - 276 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2217 - - -637 - - -974 - - 169 - - -462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4554 - - 4420 - - 5927 - - 5008 - - 3092 sfcLCL ODpotential -11841 - - -6034 - - -3770 - - -825 - - -3522 ODpotential blCL 14178 - - 9816 - - 8722 - - 6002 - - 6152 blCL maxRH 60 - - 74 - - 71 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 53.7 - - 60.0 - - 58.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 42.6 - - 42.2 - - 44.8 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 52.5 - - 58.2 - - 57.9 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 41.5 - - 41.2 - - 44.2 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 199 - - 312 - - 81 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1461 - - 2630 - - 2856 - - 309 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 97 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97152 43 275 49 273 50 282 44 284 32 284 97152 89758 40 276 36 266 44 274 44 284 43 274 89758 84075 39 276 27 272 35 264 36 275 41 273 84075 79367 31 269 24 271 30 259 33 265 31 278 79367 75289 21 262 24 259 30 259 29 267 24 286 75289 71667 18 275 20 251 27 255 28 275 27 288 71667 68396 21 282 18 265 24 257 31 272 30 276 68396 65418 25 281 22 275 24 265 31 262 30 267 65418 62676 30 281 30 280 28 278 29 259 26 261 62676 60012 38 280 38 275 40 279 31 275 28 267 60012 57215 43 285 46 272 52 275 50 279 47 270 57215 54297 50 287 50 272 57 270 63 268 60 268 54297 51501 59 290 57 280 62 273 67 270 70 269 51501 48991 73 288 75 282 77 278 79 273 76 268 48991 46761 84 283 86 278 90 275 88 271 85 269 46761 44759 83 283 88 276 92 273 94 271 90 271 44759 42950 80 288 84 278 87 276 94 274 94 277 42950 41306 83 291 83 281 90 279 93 277 101 277 41306 39789 87 288 81 281 94 279 94 276 107 275 39789 38373 89 287 82 279 94 277 94 274 104 274 38373 37042 83 287 82 279 93 275 96 272 100 272 37042 35758 77 285 79 278 92 276 97 271 96 269 35758 34454 74 286 76 278 89 275 94 271 92 267 34454 33103 70 288 73 280 84 274 89 271 91 267 33103 31708 67 289 70 281 78 274 83 269 91 268 31708 30255 60 289 64 280 73 275 78 268 91 267 30255 28734 57 289 60 277 71 274 75 267 90 267 28734 27145 53 286 57 275 67 271 74 267 86 267 27145 25491 52 287 56 273 64 269 72 267 82 266 25491 23771 51 289 53 274 62 270 68 268 79 267 23771 21988 47 289 49 275 58 271 62 268 73 268 21988 20141 41 286 45 273 53 269 55 267 64 267 20141 18224 37 282 41 270 48 266 51 266 56 263 18224 16274 35 280 37 269 43 265 45 265 49 260 16274 14399 30 280 34 272 36 267 37 266 40 260 14399 12694 25 281 27 271 27 270 29 263 33 259 12694 11175 20 279 22 267 21 266 23 257 29 255 11175 9821 17 277 18 260 19 257 20 250 25 249 9821 8614 14 274 15 255 17 250 18 239 21 241 8614 7539 12 273 13 249 15 243 15 227 17 231 7539 6584 10 270 11 241 12 233 12 227 16 224 6584 5740 8 262 10 227 10 226 10*240 16 228 5740 4993 7 245 10 215 9*224 10*253 17 240 4993 4323 7 214 10*210 9*225 11 273 18 255 4323 3729 8 200 10*212 9 226 11 278 18 268 3729 3233 8 196 9 214 9 227 11 280 17 275 3233 2852 8 197 9 216 9 228 11 282 14*279 2852 2589 7 199 9 217 9 229 11 283 12*279 2589 2429 5*196 8 218 8 229 10 283 10 279 2429 2337 2*196 7 219 7 229 8 283 7 278 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography