DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 67.2 - - 75.0 - - 74.9 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 139 - - 266 - - 110 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1133 - - 3608 - - 3422 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2578 - - 4665 - - 4102 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3456 - - 5930 - - 5744 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 152 - - 1058 - - 1340 - - 1602 - - 1167 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 229 - - 411 - - 304 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 34 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 197 - - 180 - - 026 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 13 - - 19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3350 - - -3158 - - -2475 - - -3166 - - -3400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5688 - - 6615 - - 8405 - - 8910 - - 5739 sfcLCL ODpotential -11762 - - -8821 - - -6483 - - -6963 - - -9252 ODpotential blCL 14100 - - 12277 - - 12413 - - 12707 - - 11591 blCL maxRH 38 - - 48 - - 51 - - 50 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 67.2 - - 75.0 - - 74.9 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 46.5 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 66.2 - - 73.2 - - 73.9 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.2 - - 42.9 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 139 - - 266 - - 110 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1133 - - 3608 - - 3422 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96608 43 285 34 302 43 288 43 282 48 286 96608 89358 28 305 24 282 34 280 36 285 36 297 89358 83867 18 304 21 271 27 282 27 300 25 303 83867 79329 20 295 17 292 23 290 19 302 19 319 79329 75411 21 289 17 310 19 277 17 299 18 315 75411 71943 18 280 14 298 16 266 18 295 21 319 71943 68793 16 268 11 279 14 276 18 294 20 329 68793 65875 20 274 12 282 17 280 20 291 17 305 65875 63163 23 268 15 287 18 273 20 271 20 287 63163 60534 25 267 20 284 19 272 20 260 23 268 60534 57782 33 261 30 270 29 271 25 265 24 265 57782 54911 40 249 36 251 37 257 34 265 30 262 54911 52158 42 244 41 240 44 251 38 255 34 255 52158 49674 45 244 43 238 45 250 40 254 33 261 49674 47452 44 247 42 241 44 247 39 252 37 266 47452 45446 44 253 37 250 39 243 35 258 37 263 45446 43627 41 254 35 261 31 250 35 258 31 268 43627 41971 30 257 32 267 25 261 32 257 32 257 41971 40450 29 282 28 279 21 285 23 255 23 238 40450 39032 28 287 26 284 21 290 19 263 14 243 39032 37691 21 303 19 290 16 290 19 261 14 248 37691 36391 21 302 16 303 14 295 15 245 16 260 36391 35070 20 289 13 322 12 286 14 228 17 263 35070 33699 19 285 12 326 8 294 17 233 16 253 33699 32282 19 294 13 300 7 292 21 249 17 250 32282 30808 22 292 15 279 14 262 23 249 20 257 30808 29265 25 279 15 278 18 257 24 248 22 261 29265 27655 27 275 17 275 17 250 25 249 23 257 27655 25979 26 277 16 266 17 238 25 249 22 251 25979 24242 24 274 17 263 17 239 21 244 19 249 24242 22442 20 273 18 265 16 248 16 244 17 241 22442 20574 14 272 14 265 13 243 13 239 15 233 20574 18631 8 271 10 265 8 229 10 214 10 224 18631 16655 3 283 5 253 6 212 7 199 6 207 16655 14750 2 333 5 244 6 224 4 222 3 222 14750 13010 2 329 4 262 4 251 4 262 3 267 13010 11455 2 311 3 276 3 286 3 286 4 279 11455 10066 1 261 3 248 3 273 4 290 4 281 10066 8825 2 222 5 209 5 226 6 273 5 283 8825 7718 3 225 7 190 9 193 6 211 6 256 7718 6733 5 227 8 188 9*176 4 161 6 227 6733 5862 7 221 9 188 5*165 3*137 4 196 5862 5090 7 214 9 185 3 165 2*081 3 150 5090 4396 6 197 7 175 2 176 3 042 4 062 4396 3782 3 161 5*169 2 190 4 024 8 037 3782 3268 2 126 3*185 1 205 4 018 11 031 3268 2872 2 135 3 196 1 218 4 015 11 022 2872 2600 1 175 3 202 1 226 4 013 9 016 2600 2434 1 200 2 204 1 229 4 013 7*014 2434 2339 1*169 2 206 1 232 4 012 4*012 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography