DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.9 - - 66.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 82 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 748 - - 411 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3071 - - 2733 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 383 - - 1185 - - 1110 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 171 - - 82 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 171 - - 129 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9098 - - -5373 - - -3564 - - -4380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11437 - - 8445 - - 6297 - - 6718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17427 - - -11126 - - -8446 - - -12252 ODpotential blCL - - - 19765 - - 14197 - - 11179 - - 14590 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 34 - - 46 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 68.9 - - 66.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 40.4 - - 47.5 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 68.1 - - 66.8 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 39.2 - - 46.6 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 82 - - 15 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 748 - - 411 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96176 19 301 14 335 16 002 13 332 96176 89099 8 039 10 015 7 084 9 010 89099 83634 12 039 8 355 15 042 10 055 83634 79113 13 035 4 012 14 017 12 035 79113 75223 15 033 7 037 8 010 12 003 75223 71783 14 039 12 017 10 047 10 050 71783 68667 16 040 14 026 11 045 9 080 68667 65797 10 032 12 023 11 033 4 089 65797 63130 9 059 10 044 16 049 7 126 63130 60546 16 023 11 024 19 041 13 090 60546 57860 18 003 9 014 16 022 14 063 57860 55068 22 042 14 049 9 024 11 053 55068 52378 34 047 29 054 18 067 17 086 52378 49932 40 043 34 047 26 066 24 093 49932 47719 42 039 32 046 30 067 26 079 47719 45694 37 040 30 057 29 074 27 074 45694 43845 25 054 29 057 30 082 32 077 43845 42160 30 106 27 086 34 097 33 092 42160 40617 43 110 33 106 35 116 38 118 40617 39188 50 105 36 116 44 116 49 130 39188 37848 52 104 38 119 45 118 53 129 37848 36552 53 105 40 118 43 123 51 129 36552 35234 49 108 40 116 41 127 45 128 35234 33867 42 114 38 116 40 132 42 132 33867 32455 37 115 35 121 40 136 40 137 32455 30981 34 111 32 123 38 135 38 139 30981 29435 33 115 30 119 36 130 38 142 29435 27817 30 122 27 116 33 124 37 142 27817 26128 27 128 25 117 29 116 32 135 26128 24371 24 129 23 120 26 114 29 126 24371 22548 19 119 22 125 25 119 29 125 22548 20653 15 102 21 123 23 126 30 128 20653 18680 16 091 19 123 21 131 29 129 18680 16674 21 079 16 105 16 128 25 132 16674 14747 21 076 16 080 14 103 19 133 14747 12997 13 079 14 076 14 093 16 131 12997 11440 6 071 9 096 12 109 15 137 11440 10055 2 019 6 121 6 119 10 148 10055 8819 3 255 4 168 1 225 7 169 8819 7717 7 229 6 192 5 246 7 177 7717 6735 11 217 10 192 8 215 10 177 6735 5865 13 212 15 188 13 193 13 176 5865 5091 14 208 18 184 17 182 15 175 5091 4397 13 203 18 181 18 177 18 177 4397 3780 12 197 17 179 15 172 19 182 3780 3266 10 188 12*177 9 160 20 183 3266 2870 9 180 8*172 6*139 18 179 2870 2598 7 174 7 171 6*132 12 175 2598 2433 4 170 7 170 5 128 8 169 2433 2338 1*170 6 169 4 126 2*062 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography