DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.5 - - 55.6 - - 62.0 - - 60.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 276 - - 337 - - 196 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 110 - - 1724 - - 2903 - - 2151 - - 407 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3275 - - 4204 - - 3460 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2431 - - 4046 - - 5224 - - 4472 - - 2728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 337 - - 910 - - 1358 - - 1569 - - 653 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 323 - - 410 - - 309 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 21 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 291 - - 314 - - 326 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 5 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -686 - - -1264 - - -2013 - - -1722 - - -257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3117 - - 5310 - - 7237 - - 6195 - - 2985 sfcLCL ODpotential -8826 - - -7588 - - -7229 - - -5707 - - -5241 ODpotential blCL 11257 - - 11634 - - 12453 - - 10179 - - 7969 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 81 - - 82 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.5 - - 55.6 - - 62.0 - - 60.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.2 - - 40.5 - - 38.4 - - 41.8 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 53.8 - - 59.9 - - 59.4 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.5 - - 41.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 276 - - 337 - - 196 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 110 - - 1724 - - 2903 - - 2151 - - 407 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 6 - - 25 - - 29 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97330 56 285 58 276 55 275 49 290 43 292 97330 89920 54 277 54 273 58 276 55 284 52 280 89920 84195 47 267 48 271 50 274 51 272 52 267 84195 79427 39 271 39 262 46 266 49 263 46 265 79427 75337 36 271 32 260 37 261 44 263 39 275 75337 71749 32 270 29 271 27 263 31 262 30 278 71749 68521 32 275 28 278 22 270 25 263 24 272 68521 65559 28 276 24 279 22 278 24 272 21 269 65559 62801 24 285 19 276 23 282 25 278 20 289 62801 60118 22 296 19 285 24 281 27 284 25 299 60118 57318 24 294 22 288 26 278 27 290 27 298 57318 54418 26 290 26 287 26 287 27 294 31 290 54418 51656 27 289 30 286 30 288 28 291 30 285 51656 49177 27 288 30 286 36 287 30 293 30 292 49177 46958 24 292 28 282 36 283 35 291 32 299 46958 44951 25 302 25 284 33 279 37 286 35 292 44951 43133 27 299 28 292 31 282 35 285 36 284 43133 41482 23 289 29 290 32 292 34 292 35 284 41482 39963 20 279 29 291 37 288 38 288 37 285 39963 38548 21 273 31 296 38 284 43 288 41 281 38548 37217 21 272 32 298 36 286 42 288 39 279 37217 35932 21 275 31 298 34 289 39 288 39 277 35932 34625 22 284 29 296 34 289 38 290 39 276 34625 33269 25 282 29 292 33 287 38 289 37 280 33269 31867 29 272 27 285 33 286 35 288 35 288 31867 30405 30 267 26 275 33 286 33 288 32 289 30405 28876 27 263 29 275 33 284 30 292 30 284 28876 27280 25 268 35 275 35 278 28 290 26 283 27280 25618 25 277 32 275 33 278 30 278 23 282 25618 23894 26 281 29 280 30 284 32 275 27 280 23894 22112 26 284 27 285 28 289 26 277 29 284 22112 20262 24 287 28 290 29 281 22 281 24 281 20262 18336 19 291 22 292 25 274 22 276 23 276 18336 16376 15 291 16 286 19 277 20 277 22 282 16376 14488 10 287 11 271 16 280 18 289 19 298 14488 12770 7 276 9 256 14 279 15 299 17 310 12770 11238 6 265 8 254 12 280 13 305 16 316 11238 9874 5 264 7 261 10 282 12 310 14 318 9874 8657 5 273 6 266 8 276 10 309 11 318 8657 7575 6 278 6 265 5 255 6 283 8 309 7575 6614 7 271 6 257 3 200 2 209 6 274 6614 5764 6 260 6 245 1*161 2 163 5 260 5764 5010 6 232 6 240 0*305 1*351 3 292 5010 4334 4 219 6*258 2 317 7*329 5 335 4334 3735 3 189 7*288 4 315 10 327 11 336 3735 3236 3 274 8 291 5 315 11 326 16 328 3236 2853 8 313 8 292 5 313 11 325 16*325 2853 2590 10*316 8 293 5 313 11 324 14*324 2590 2430 8*316 7 293 5 313 10 324 12 323 2430 2337 4 315 6 292 5 313 9 323 7 322 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography