DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.7 - - 86.4 - - 92.7 - - 91.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 162 - - 281 - - 61 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 839 - - 6937 - - 6990 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 2323 - - 7250 - - 6060 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 3163 - - 9261 - - 9313 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 1289 - - 3161 - - 3861 - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 211 - - 513 - - 312 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 095 - - 155 - - 205 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 18 - - 71 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7548 - - -9667 - - -4439 - - -3664 - - -6448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9888 - - 12831 - - 13700 - - 12978 - - 8788 sfcLCL ODpotential -15883 - - -14874 - - -8495 - - -6555 - - -11927 ODpotential blCL 18222 - - 18037 - - 17756 - - 15868 - - 14266 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 64 - - 62 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.7 - - 86.4 - - 92.7 - - 91.5 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 38.4 - - 40.3 - - 42.4 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.2 - - 85.1 - - 90.7 - - 90.8 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 42.1 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 162 - - 281 - - 61 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 839 - - 6937 - - 6990 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97774 12 259 10 280 12 273 12 274 7 353 97774 90541 3 227 4 120 2 302 2 218 8 019 90541 84974 8 069 9 103 5 101 6 055 7 036 84974 80354 11 059 13 075 10 083 13 062 8 060 80354 76377 14 050 17 055 13 059 16 056 13 069 76377 72869 16 051 15 057 17 053 18 054 19 072 72869 69700 9 037 16 062 13 069 15 056 16 065 69700 66789 6 077 12 069 11 088 12 075 10 058 66789 64085 8 070 8 090 6 118 3 062 7 034 64085 61463 4 039 2 018 3 181 6 283 7 326 61463 58740 8 220 7 266 7 262 10 250 13 252 58740 55927 19 255 16 284 14 299 14 283 16 278 55927 53249 38 262 43 268 40 272 33 275 29 279 53249 50834 48 250 47 259 47 271 42 281 41 290 50834 48654 53 258 56 263 58 274 56 277 57 281 48654 46670 64 260 67 265 63 271 61 274 60 281 46670 44845 67 257 69 266 65 271 63 274 67 286 44845 43145 62 255 67 264 67 271 66 276 69 283 43145 41548 56 253 63 261 65 269 69 281 68 284 41548 40041 53 251 60 256 61 263 71 284 70 288 40041 38616 51 246 59 250 57 259 68 281 70 290 38616 37241 50 238 57 244 55 256 62 273 64 285 37241 35854 49 234 53 235 53 250 57 267 58 276 35854 34426 43 226 47 220 50 237 52 264 54 272 34426 32959 35 213 41 202 46 217 47 254 50 272 32959 31433 32 203 42 190 47 197 45 232 44 264 31433 29842 31 201 42 188 48 194 47 209 41 244 29842 28193 30 198 39 188 44 197 48 202 44 223 28193 26484 27 191 35 188 38 197 41 206 44 212 26484 24710 25 177 31 188 33 194 35 204 38 212 24710 22867 25 169 30 186 30 188 34 197 33 208 22867 20952 24 169 31 183 29 185 32 192 30 201 20952 18964 24 171 30 174 27 182 26 184 24 191 18964 16943 23 169 28 166 25 175 22 174 22 174 16943 14998 24 164 25 159 24 161 23 164 23 168 14998 13228 26 157 21 153 22 150 19 147 24 154 13228 11651 25 153 19 151 17 150 7 136 17 140 11651 10243 19 151 18 150 13*157 4*142 8 120 10243 8983 13 137 17 150 11*163 4*159 6 120 8983 7856 12 123 18 151 11 165 4 180 6 115 7856 6851 12 119 18 150 11 165 4 193 6 103 6851 5960 12 122 18 148 11 162 4 200 6 087 5960 5168 11 124 17 145 10 157 4 208 6 065 5168 4455 9 120 16 139 10 150 4 218 6 036 4455 3822 8 112 13 129 9 142 4 227 7 009 3822 3292 7 099 10*112 9 139 4 232 11 344 3292 2885 7 085 7*097 9 136 4 234 14 330 2885 2606 7 076 7 095 9 135 4 235 14 329 2606 2436 4*074 6 095 8 134 4 235 11 335 2436 2339 3*085 5 093 7 135 3 235 5*336 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography