DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 68.7 - - 75.4 - - 70.3 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 0 - - 94 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1760 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 2696 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 2339 - - 4083 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 714 - - 2709 - - 2931 - - 549 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 20 - - 228 - - 5 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 205 - - 197 - - 205 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 9 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5646 - - -5882 - - -6373 - - -6334 - - -2525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7986 - - 8222 - - 10456 - - 8673 - - 4863 sfcLCL ODpotential -15254 - - -12794 - - -12472 - - -12094 - - -8761 ODpotential blCL 17593 - - 15133 - - 16555 - - 14433 - - 11099 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 90 - - 90 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 68.7 - - 75.4 - - 70.3 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 41.3 - - 37.9 - - 40.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.9 - - 68.9 - - 74.7 - - 71.0 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 40.0 - - 37.1 - - 40.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 0 - - 94 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1760 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 10 - - 60 - - 60 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 8 323 21 319 22 306 17 301 25 291 96622 89568 1 225 18 001 14 350 7 003 11 309 89568 84066 10 068 13 044 9 012 5 023 10 002 84066 79470 15 061 18 086 5 021 6 014 12 028 79470 75502 13 064 18 082 6 090 3 057 11 032 75502 72004 9 032 12 071 7 060 8 044 11 053 72004 68848 9 024 9 028 6 025 9 348 9 024 68848 65959 14 349 13 341 10 013 6 338 7 298 65959 63290 16 314 18 297 16 314 11 316 10 289 63290 60703 16 305 23 286 21 277 19 264 20 267 60703 57995 25 292 25 288 26 272 21 267 22 257 57995 55184 30 263 31 288 30 278 30 271 29 269 55184 52515 41 281 47 289 41 288 33 265 32 257 52515 50113 47 282 52 284 42 289 39 269 36 258 50113 47955 48 293 51 281 52 277 52 269 42 263 47955 45994 60 291 52 270 53 269 62 257 55 255 45994 44197 54 284 51 270 54 263 58 252 59 251 44197 42538 53 274 54 267 56 263 58 262 60 253 42538 40992 49 264 52 265 57 264 65 264 67 257 40992 39537 46 264 48 261 54 262 62 259 71 256 39537 38160 44 261 46 257 49 260 56 255 72 254 38160 36826 44 256 45 259 50 254 56 253 72 253 36826 35469 45 257 48 259 56 248 58 254 64 253 35469 34064 45 263 51 259 57 249 58 255 51 252 34064 32617 47 269 50 258 51 247 56 255 46 249 32617 31114 46 265 44 255 46 245 54 253 45 243 31114 29542 41 258 32 252 46 244 56 251 48 244 29542 27897 36 250 28 248 44 243 54 253 42 244 27897 26184 29 238 31 252 42 246 44 244 38 246 26184 24405 24 230 29 243 40 246 38 250 41 247 24405 22561 23 229 24 228 32 235 37 245 43 246 22561 20655 19 226 20 221 24 233 30 229 39 236 20655 18687 14 223 16 212 19 227 24 219 31 228 18687 16687 11 229 14 208 19 216 21 212 23 221 16687 14757 11 236 14 214 18 219 20 215 18 208 14757 13001 12 235 15 223 17 225 19 220 17 199 13001 11443 12 233 16 229 17 230 18 225 17 204 11443 10057 11 229 15 231 15 231 17 225 17 208 10057 8818 10 224 13 229 13 226 15 218 16 207 8818 7711 8 220 12 224 11 218 14 208 15 204 7711 6726 5 216 10 215 10 212 12 201 14 202 6726 5854 4 204 9 206 10 207 11 200 12 201 5854 5081 4 187 9 198 11 200 10 196 11 200 5081 4387 4 175 9 194 11*194 9 193 10 196 4387 3773 4 165 9 191 9*196 7 195 9 194 3773 3261 4 158 9 190 8 198 6 198 10 195 3261 2868 3 152 8 194 7 198 5 198 11 196 2868 2597 3 144 7 199 6 197 5 198 8 201 2597 2432 3*136 5*205 6 197 3*198 5 213 2432 2338 2*133 2*205 5 197 2*205 2*253 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography