DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Panoche 2311ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.4 - - 58.1 - - 64.1 - - 60.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - 103 - - 207 - - 2 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 2602 - - 2109 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2311 - - 2311 - - 3789 - - 2312 - - 2311 Hcrit BL Top 2328 - - 2894 - - 4914 - - 4421 - - 2328 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 47 - - 727 - - 1820 - - 1850 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 161 - - 333 - - 66 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 200 - - 197 - - 207 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2467 - - -5015 - - -5826 - - -3853 - - -2627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4795 - - 7909 - - 10740 - - 8274 - - 4955 sfcLCL ODpotential -12026 - - -10469 - - -11084 - - -9405 - - -9312 ODpotential blCL 14354 - - 13363 - - 15998 - - 13826 - - 11640 blCL maxRH 46 - - 43 - - 48 - - 64 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.4 - - 58.1 - - 64.1 - - 60.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 31.9 - - 25.2 - - 32.5 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 57.3 - - 62.7 - - 60.5 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 31.7 - - 25.0 - - 32.4 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - 103 - - 207 - - 2 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 2602 - - 2109 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 40 292 37 301 36 290 36 282 38 302 96310 89231 15 312 14 323 11 307 19 292 13 342 89231 83762 10 330 9 360 3 360 9 314 9 355 83762 79190 7 340 6 022 2 049 6 000 6 348 79190 75225 6 339 3 020 3 289 8 015 7 319 75225 71706 5 332 2 324 6 273 6 341 6 290 71706 68514 7 321 6 289 10 272 10 298 8 285 68514 65578 10 318 10 289 13 277 11 285 10 276 65578 62855 15 310 15 288 14 279 19 284 13 279 62855 60215 19 305 20 288 20 281 21 276 20 277 60215 57467 24 299 23 290 20 282 31 279 27 280 57467 54622 26 298 26 295 30 285 32 276 33 287 54622 51911 28 299 29 296 30 285 39 285 41 288 51911 49466 29 305 30 300 33 296 43 289 44 283 49466 47267 30 312 34 305 42 295 45 289 47 279 47267 45270 33 318 39 305 43 293 45 287 48 275 45270 43452 36 321 38 308 36 297 42 285 49 273 43452 41788 38 327 38 317 33 303 40 286 45 274 41788 40252 41 334 40 321 36 306 42 290 42 277 40252 38821 43 340 45 321 43 307 47 293 41 279 38821 37473 45 343 48 323 47 306 50 292 42 277 37473 36172 44 341 51 325 46 307 46 291 43 275 36172 34850 34 332 49 328 41 308 42 290 42 274 34850 33479 25 322 46 336 37 308 39 287 40 273 33479 32062 10 315 38 340 34 309 35 287 39 273 32062 30585 3 049 25 327 33 310 31 290 36 274 30585 29038 6 090 11 294 30 320 27 294 33 272 29038 27424 4 078 1 191 24 321 26 297 29 268 27424 25743 2 040 2 118 12 294 21 297 25 264 25743 23996 1 358 1 354 7 205 15 283 21 260 23996 22185 2 227 3 241 8 181 10 248 17 252 22185 20309 8 169 11 188 12 194 10 234 15 237 20309 18363 11 169 14 183 16 190 12 211 18 203 18363 16387 18 172 20 176 21 188 17 191 25 187 16387 14489 23 167 26 170 26 182 23 184 29 181 14489 12766 25 166 29 168 32 176 32 180 33 181 12766 11235 26 163 30 167 33 173 34 176 35 179 11235 9872 25 159 29 163 31 171 33 173 34 175 9872 8657 24 156 28 161 29 171 30 174 31 172 8657 7574 23 155 26 162 26 174 26 177 29 176 7574 6611 21 155 25 166 23 181 22 181 28 186 6611 5760 19 155 24 170 21 186 19 185 28 196 5760 5007 15 157 22 175 18*190 15*193 27 202 5007 4331 12 158 20 180 16*192 13*201 25 205 4331 3732 10 160 18 185 14 195 13 206 22 205 3732 3231 9 165 15*192 13 198 12 208 19 204 3231 2846 9 177 12*197 12 200 12 209 18 206 2846 2581 10 185 10 200 11 201 11 211 16 204 2581 2419 9*190 9 201 11 202 10 211 13*203 2419 2328 7*189 7 202 9 203 8 211 7*203 2328 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography