DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - - - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.5 - - 46.8 - - - - - 46.4 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 50 - - - - - 16 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 261 - - 1439 - - - - - 1172 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - - - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2582 - - 3760 - - - - - 3493 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2824 - - 2837 - - - - - 2475 - - 3814 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 179 - - - - - 117 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - - - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 217 - - - - - 299 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - - - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 245 - - 727 - - - - - 1015 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3033 - - - - - 2478 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -402 - - -531 - - - - - 282 - - -677 ODpotential blCL 2984 - - 4291 - - - - - 3211 - - 3014 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - - - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 100 - - - - - 100 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 43.5 - - 46.8 - - - - - 46.4 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 41.5 - - - - - 43.5 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 46.2 - - - - - 46.3 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 40.3 - - - - - 42.8 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 50 - - - - - 16 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 261 - - 1439 - - - - - 1172 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 100 - - - - - 99 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97495 29 278 34 286 34 276 35 285 97495 90241 13 276 17 260 18 288 24 288 90241 84628 3 297 8 219 9 290 13 292 84628 79966 4 136 9 178 8 272 3 339 79966 75948 2 119 9 119 6 205 3 186 75948 72401 5 253 5 098 5 156 6 213 72401 69199 6 236 4 169 6 178 6 213 69199 66245 8 239 4 184 6 206 6 203 66245 63484 15 227 5 273 12 214 8 229 63484 60798 21 225 17 236 15 225 14 239 60798 57980 15 222 18 229 15 236 16 227 57980 55042 15 252 16 238 16 271 12 277 55042 52229 20 268 15 270 23 275 24 290 52229 49685 28 267 20 272 25 264 29 278 49685 47398 38 253 27 264 21 267 24 278 47398 45317 33 237 30 258 21 286 24 291 45317 43402 24 233 29 255 29 296 26 296 43402 41624 25 250 28 258 34 296 30 301 41624 39968 29 252 27 258 34 291 30 294 39968 38419 33 250 33 252 32 283 26 303 38419 36966 36 242 33 244 28 275 29 300 36966 35572 35 233 25 238 22 280 26 299 35572 34169 32 235 21 246 22 288 21 313 34169 32728 36 235 21 250 21 298 25 314 32728 31253 38 224 21 239 19 307 28 300 31253 29737 34 205 22 221 18 314 15 330 29737 28179 31 190 17 217 11 329 26 355 28179 26588 36 187 22 181 12 023 35 022 26588 24957 41 187 22 169 24 051 52 038 24957 23280 43 185 21 170 46 060 52 037 23280 21545 37 176 21 170 41 062 49 033 21545 19742 37 172 16 181 23 063 43 041 19742 17870 31 186 6 236 17 063 27 044 17870 15969 14 211 5 289 9 051 15 011 15969 14141 10 182 5 247 3 011 15 358 14141 12477 15 171 7 205 4 326 15 350 12477 10995 14 184 9 198 3 312 12 347 10995 9675 11 189 9 201 4 293 9 344 9675 8498 6 185 8 208 4 282 6 335 8498 7449 2 207 7 217 4 277 5 318 7449 6517 2 308 5 227 5 283 3 296 6517 5692 2 311 4 235 6 290 2 236 5692 4960 0 206 4 234 6 296 3 214 4960 4301 4 164 4*226 6 300 3 211 4301 3716 6 165 5*218 6*300 1 204 3716 3226 6 166 5 216 6*300 1 079 3226 2848 5 160 5 217 5 300 2 062 2848 2587 3*152 4 217 5 298 2 057 2587 2428 3*148 4 217 5 299 2 060 2428 2337 2 148 4 217 4 301 2*061 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography