DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 89.2 - - 88.8 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 421 - - 221 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2223 - - 3717 - - 2431 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3667 - - 4895 - - 3707 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4546 - - 6041 - - 4755 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1213 - - 1532 - - 2488 - - 545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 363 - - 476 - - 334 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 34 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 324 - - 334 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 13 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7788 - - -7594 - - -8711 - - -7751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12335 - - 13636 - - 13466 - - 10091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15006 - - -14147 - - -14833 - - -16253 ODpotential blCL - - - 19552 - - 20188 - - 19588 - - 18592 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 78 - - 84 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 89.2 - - 88.8 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 37.5 - - 38.0 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 86.6 - - 87.1 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 37.6 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 421 - - 221 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2223 - - 3717 - - 2431 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99240 29 107 27 104 29 110 21 117 99240 91730 25 108 30 096 30 107 25 111 91730 85946 22 089 26 108 25 094 29 098 85946 81158 22 092 19 116 19 083 29 080 81158 77057 21 103 16 117 16 099 23 069 77057 73453 19 100 16 116 13 106 15 075 73453 70185 20 091 12 102 13 098 12 102 70185 67173 17 093 14 110 13 071 15 092 67173 64398 13 091 10 116 8 075 12 078 64398 61733 4 161 11 142 4 166 8 082 61733 58965 11 195 10 164 13 187 6 199 58965 56103 13 216 13 202 11 196 16 201 56103 53376 23 230 21 215 22 214 21 212 53376 50923 37 229 35 231 33 233 32 228 50923 48737 46 240 46 236 48 237 46 237 48737 46773 46 241 45 239 50 237 53 237 46773 44979 43 243 44 240 52 241 52 238 44979 43315 48 244 47 243 52 242 49 239 43315 41753 52 244 44 241 48 243 49 239 41753 40279 51 244 42 238 48 246 51 240 40279 38883 49 244 47 240 49 246 50 242 38883 37532 51 244 46 242 48 245 47 243 37532 36159 50 244 42 241 47 243 49 242 36159 34737 46 243 39 239 41 242 48 239 34737 33269 43 242 38 237 35 238 45 238 33269 31743 42 241 36 237 31 236 39 238 31743 30146 38 237 34 237 32 235 35 240 30146 28480 36 236 30 236 32 237 31 241 28480 26744 34 235 27 233 29 238 29 240 26744 24940 32 233 25 229 24 234 26 236 24940 23071 26 232 22 231 21 229 24 229 23071 21132 21 236 22 233 20 229 22 229 21132 19117 18 240 19 228 19 226 20 230 19117 17063 14 236 14 228 14 219 17 228 17063 15084 13 239 11 257 8 226 11 221 15084 13281 10 246 11 275 5 282 5 248 13281 11677 7 242 9 277 6 315 5 326 11677 10248 6 233 7 278 6 319 6 346 10248 8974 6 244 6 281 6 309 6 346 8974 7839 6 259 5 279 5 297 6 331 7839 6831 5 267 2*279 2 290 5 304 6831 5940 4 264 1*284 1 318 5 280 5940 5150 2*251 1 316 2*338 4 274 5150 4440 1*277 2 323 4*340 3 287 4440 3811 2 306 3 326 7 335 5 315 3811 3285 3 317 4 328 8 334 9 328 3285 2881 3 319 4 329 8 333 12 330 2881 2604 3 320 4 328 8 333 11 331 2604 2435 3 319 4 327 8 333 9 332 2435 2339 3 320 4 329 7 332 5*331 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography