DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 80.3 - - 87.2 - - 84.9 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 220 - - 332 - - 120 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1490 - - 4574 - - 2927 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3031 - - 5477 - - 3761 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3813 - - 6897 - - 5250 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 1368 - - 2636 - - 3262 - - 733 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 283 - - 472 - - 290 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 28 - - 168 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 112 - - 313 - - 047 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 17 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5191 - - -7450 - - -6225 - - -6508 - - -6275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7530 - - 11263 - - 13122 - - 11759 - - 8614 sfcLCL ODpotential -14753 - - -13597 - - -11637 - - -11255 - - -13030 ODpotential blCL 17091 - - 17410 - - 18534 - - 16505 - - 15369 blCL maxRH 37 - - 49 - - 47 - - 44 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 80.3 - - 87.2 - - 84.9 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 39.2 - - 37.5 - - 41.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 78.8 - - 85.1 - - 83.8 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 38.9 - - 37.0 - - 41.2 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 220 - - 332 - - 120 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1490 - - 4574 - - 2927 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98376 9 222 8 252 10 197 9 244 8 252 98376 90986 4 082 4 226 4 167 4 159 1 146 90986 85296 10 090 1 098 5 116 5 131 3 013 85296 80577 14 112 6 119 2 057 8 088 7 084 80577 76525 10 093 11 093 4 133 3 042 8 068 76525 72958 9 083 10 104 5 128 2 286 3 056 72958 69726 2 044 8 117 1 153 3 207 4 174 69726 66740 10 255 2 244 5 226 4 200 5 165 66740 63961 8 226 12 248 10 253 7 279 1 300 63961 61258 8 211 16 228 18 242 18 256 10 260 61258 58437 12 253 13 240 17 241 19 253 17 258 58437 55512 22 260 21 264 21 257 23 252 23 256 55512 52723 24 258 24 267 25 262 26 255 25 261 52723 50222 24 260 25 258 28 252 28 256 24 263 50222 47994 23 263 21 253 28 249 29 258 24 272 47994 45986 22 270 20 264 23 253 25 263 25 284 45986 44167 13 270 16 268 15 266 19 266 21 283 44167 42514 9 274 14 281 12 296 10 288 13 281 42514 40991 8 317 9 310 12 297 11 301 9 307 40991 39561 15 344 14 347 10 306 10 292 11 298 39561 38206 22 348 18 345 10 323 8 284 11 278 38206 36894 25 348 19 337 11 335 6 292 8 247 36894 35561 23 346 18 337 11 337 4 328 6 209 35561 34180 21 347 17 335 9 331 3 344 5 200 34180 32756 19 358 14 332 8 312 5 296 5 223 32756 31272 18 006 9 350 4 310 5 276 6 213 31272 29718 17 007 7 357 0 264 4 263 5 225 29718 28092 15 000 4 353 2 243 5 280 4 245 28092 26395 14 347 7 341 3 281 6 294 5 261 26395 24627 14 339 9 345 3 319 6 297 5 268 24627 22793 12 346 8 345 3 321 5 309 5 269 22793 20886 13 349 9 341 5 314 4 340 2 275 20886 18903 17 347 12 353 5 353 4 041 3 087 18903 16883 15 355 10 003 4 032 3 085 3 144 16883 14939 6 005 4 351 2 055 2 093 5 172 14939 13173 1 145 3 219 2 204 1 064 6 155 13173 11599 5 194 8 206 9 211 3 205 5 162 11599 10193 6 199 9 204 12 209 8 204 6 205 10193 8937 6 198 8 204 10 204 9 198 10 211 8937 7814 5 186 5 203 5*203 6 195 11 205 7814 6815 4 171 3 182 2*225 3 193 10 197 6815 5929 2 157 2 146 2 245 1*143 7 186 5929 5143 2 151 2 120 1 264 3*047 5 163 5143 4436 1 163 2*121 1 310 5 046 5 118 4436 3809 0 188 2*120 1 006 7 047 4 086 3809 3284 1 174 2 115 1 022 7 047 7 051 3284 2882 1 119 2 111 2 032 7 047 9 041 2882 2604 2 101 2 107 2 035 7 047 8 040 2604 2436 2 085 2 109 2 034 7 046 7 043 2436 2339 2*088 2 107 2 034 6 046 4*046 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography