DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 76.3 - - 82.7 - - 80.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 257 - - 352 - - 128 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1863 - - 3977 - - 2822 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3343 - - 5036 - - 3728 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4185 - - 6300 - - 5145 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 156 - - 938 - - 1136 - - 1692 - - 586 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 320 - - 459 - - 293 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 33 - - 63 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 134 - - 262 - - 015 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 7 - - 24 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1320 - - -4972 - - -4376 - - -4887 - - -5191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3659 - - 9157 - - 10677 - - 10032 - - 7530 sfcLCL ODpotential -10914 - - -12015 - - -10095 - - -10941 - - -13923 ODpotential blCL 13252 - - 16200 - - 16395 - - 16086 - - 16262 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 60 - - 46 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 76.3 - - 82.7 - - 80.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 44.6 - - 44.0 - - 44.5 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 74.5 - - 80.4 - - 79.0 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 44.4 - - 43.9 - - 44.3 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 257 - - 352 - - 128 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1863 - - 3977 - - 2822 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98238 4 109 6 065 6 121 4 236 6 025 98238 90828 5 151 7 112 6 129 2 152 3 053 90828 85111 4 211 3 100 2 084 4 140 5 145 85111 80371 4 168 7 163 2 308 5 142 7 143 80371 76292 3 148 6 147 2 139 2 062 6 118 76292 72696 4 067 6 114 3 082 5 066 9 099 72696 69454 9 053 12 115 7 102 6 046 11 063 69454 66494 13 089 11 082 10 075 5 108 9 064 66494 63767 11 062 9 120 7 088 10 065 11 064 63767 61130 5 066 7 026 9 066 5 103 6 065 61130 58378 6 083 4 135 5 326 3 345 7 015 58378 55533 13 338 8 019 3 127 5 241 4 304 55533 52833 14 322 16 330 10 358 7 004 5 080 52833 50414 9 338 11 348 12 354 11 000 11 035 50414 48255 18 009 15 039 10 030 8 003 11 015 48255 46296 22 359 18 030 15 038 9 030 11 009 46296 44492 22 353 23 008 22 015 17 014 15 009 44492 42814 24 356 22 354 20 356 20 359 15 011 42814 41243 26 352 22 350 20 345 23 350 17 001 41243 39771 25 342 25 347 23 345 25 342 22 352 39771 38391 22 330 24 324 27 337 25 335 26 341 38391 37066 20 331 22 316 26 322 26 324 28 330 37066 35725 22 334 23 320 25 319 29 322 30 327 35725 34337 25 335 24 328 24 320 30 318 33 323 34337 32904 27 337 22 328 22 319 31 318 35 319 32904 31408 28 339 20 327 23 324 31 323 34 316 31408 29839 27 337 20 325 24 328 32 330 34 321 29839 28196 26 331 21 325 24 327 30 332 34 326 28196 26481 25 323 22 319 26 320 28 328 31 327 26481 24695 26 318 25 315 28 320 29 324 29 328 24695 22843 27 319 27 317 27 320 28 327 22 334 22843 20920 27 322 25 323 24 319 23 332 17 332 20920 18922 23 324 19 326 20 319 18 331 15 331 18922 16890 15 315 11 314 14 312 15 325 13 338 16890 14936 13 295 9 287 11 301 12 314 11 337 14936 13155 12 289 10 283 10 300 10 310 10 336 13155 11566 11 282 9 278 8 295 9 313 8 338 11566 10151 10 268 8 261 7 262 7 303 6 332 10151 8891 11 257 8 247 8 231 7 265 4 310 8891 7771 11 248 8 237 9 216 7 231 4 270 7771 6775 10 237 8 222 5*212 3 206 4 258 6775 5895 8 219 9 207 3*221 1*102 3 276 5895 5114 9 205 9 197 3 232 4*031 2 321 5114 4413 7 196 6*183 1 253 6 022 3 013 4413 3792 4 195 3*157 1 289 7 014 6 024 3792 3273 0 189 2 138 1 313 7 012 9 020 3273 2875 4 353 2 127 1 325 7 011 10 008 2875 2601 7 341 1 119 1 331 7 010 9 359 2601 2434 7 339 1 114 1 333 7 010 7*358 2434 2339 3*338 1 114 1 335 6 010 4*358 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography