DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 84.1 - - 81.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 437 - - 228 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1817 - - 4230 - - 1858 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3374 - - 5309 - - 3307 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4140 - - 6553 - - 4181 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1468 - - 1878 - - 3626 - - 465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 504 - - 309 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 36 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 229 - - 322 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 22 - - 17 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7526 - - -6185 - - -6903 - - -5134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11667 - - 12738 - - 11084 - - 7473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14015 - - -11276 - - -11588 - - -12094 ODpotential blCL - - - 18155 - - 17829 - - 15769 - - 14433 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 27 - - 35 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 84.1 - - 81.9 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 36.2 - - 41.4 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.7 - - 81.5 - - 80.2 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 35.8 - - 41.2 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 317 - - 437 - - 228 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1817 - - 4230 - - 1858 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99065 23 115 16 121 14 102 14 117 99065 91604 26 119 18 124 14 110 22 095 91604 85840 19 110 17 135 15 115 16 090 85840 81061 16 103 20 113 18 130 11 105 81061 76944 14 132 8 098 16 098 15 130 76944 73302 15 126 11 158 7 129 2 053 73302 70017 9 122 6 127 7 100 3 088 70017 67002 7 132 8 173 3 249 4 128 67002 64202 5 100 4 171 5 299 5 022 64202 61500 2 267 7 225 11 262 14 298 61500 58700 13 276 10 252 12 252 15 263 58700 55792 20 266 18 257 17 254 19 267 55792 53010 25 268 24 261 24 269 29 264 53010 50510 32 270 30 268 29 270 27 265 50510 48269 36 267 33 266 30 263 26 265 48269 46228 38 263 32 263 25 267 23 274 46228 44353 38 261 30 261 27 270 26 278 44353 42625 36 260 27 256 29 264 25 276 42625 41023 36 255 27 250 26 255 20 270 41023 39525 38 251 25 249 21 254 15 277 39525 38118 36 248 20 248 17 248 8 286 38118 36772 30 247 16 245 8 246 10 019 36772 35420 22 247 11 240 1 040 16 035 35420 34029 15 246 7 229 5 058 20 043 34029 32599 10 244 5 218 5 062 21 042 32599 31114 6 239 5 204 2 081 18 043 31114 29561 7 235 6 203 2 178 15 042 29561 27941 9 234 8 209 4 192 9 028 27941 26253 11 236 10 217 6 205 4 004 26253 24497 15 240 12 221 8 208 2 302 24497 22673 19 243 14 222 10 205 3 230 22673 20777 19 246 16 223 12 206 7 215 20777 18804 16 245 15 225 11 209 10 213 18804 16795 14 238 13 226 8 214 9 202 16795 14862 13 232 12 228 6 221 7 177 14862 13101 11 222 10 221 5 217 5 152 13101 11532 9 212 10 207 7 209 4 182 11532 10132 8 206 10 198 11 200 6 220 10132 8882 8 210 9 195 12 181 10 218 8882 7767 8 210 7 183 10 162 13 195 7767 6775 9 205 6*171 9 150 12 179 6775 5897 10 200 5*173 6 147 9 174 5897 5117 9 196 4 182 3 149 6 170 5117 4416 5*189 3 204 1*182 4 173 4416 3794 2*202 3 257 4*323 2 201 3794 3273 2 279 3 269 5 323 4 306 3273 2874 2 293 4 273 6 322 9 326 2874 2600 2 299 4 276 6 321 9 330 2600 2434 2 300 4 277 6 321 8*330 2434 2339 2 300 3 279 5 321 5*328 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography