DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 65.0 - - 69.2 - - 66.3 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 95 - - 199 - - 6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 670 - - 1301 - - 634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2861 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2993 - - 3623 - - 2956 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 831 - - 935 - - 1132 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 165 - - 262 - - 68 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 050 - - 060 - - 052 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1731 - - -4081 - - -4361 - - -4528 - - -2484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4070 - - 7075 - - 7984 - - 7485 - - 4823 sfcLCL ODpotential -10925 - - -10981 - - -10049 - - -11057 - - -11393 ODpotential blCL 13263 - - 13974 - - 13672 - - 14013 - - 13731 blCL maxRH 52 - - 45 - - 43 - - 42 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 65.0 - - 69.2 - - 66.3 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 42.6 - - 42.7 - - 42.0 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 64.2 - - 67.7 - - 66.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.6 - - 42.0 - - 42.3 - - 41.8 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 95 - - 199 - - 6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 670 - - 1301 - - 634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96600 47 299 37 287 53 284 51 303 50 294 96600 89516 31 303 27 301 30 283 29 292 36 295 89516 84048 23 302 28 303 25 308 20 297 24 293 84048 79496 12 313 24 292 26 308 25 303 22 307 79496 75558 15 316 18 287 19 287 27 287 20 306 75558 72069 18 315 12 293 14 299 23 288 20 312 72069 68913 23 306 17 307 15 312 21 296 18 298 68913 66013 22 297 19 296 20 299 17 295 13 285 66013 63330 17 295 19 288 27 302 27 309 24 314 63330 60757 21 307 19 305 28 284 31 302 32 302 60757 58107 22 296 18 317 19 274 26 299 28 292 58107 55363 40 322 33 323 33 312 23 298 23 283 55363 52715 51 320 40 328 38 327 27 318 26 305 52715 50302 43 313 43 332 46 334 40 325 41 316 50302 48123 36 320 42 335 56 335 53 322 52 313 48123 46134 42 335 52 336 62 332 61 320 57 310 46134 44303 60 334 61 329 61 325 61 320 57 307 44303 42603 59 328 58 323 55 319 56 319 51 308 42603 41014 43 325 50 331 45 326 48 328 43 314 41014 39524 29 325 46 336 45 345 52 344 41 341 39524 38123 25 320 40 330 53 354 61 350 54 354 38123 36768 26 322 32 315 46 358 65 350 63 353 36768 35394 24 326 25 317 35 350 50 356 61 351 35394 33979 19 331 20 331 31 332 34 348 50 357 33979 32528 15 328 17 337 27 330 36 328 34 001 32528 31025 16 344 15 345 17 339 20 332 30 340 31025 29461 21 349 13 356 12 351 10 310 26 339 29461 27841 19 353 13 350 8 342 7 301 13 324 27841 26159 17 014 15 002 9 329 3 180 2 334 26159 24415 16 029 15 359 15 327 4 022 1 142 24415 22603 16 031 12 003 16 335 15 347 3 072 22603 20719 14 029 10 010 11 344 15 341 9 029 20719 18758 16 044 11 016 8 009 7 342 11 013 18758 16759 15 060 12 046 9 027 8 041 9 015 16759 14825 5 043 13 064 12 061 9 068 6 048 14825 13060 5 337 9 068 12 080 8 071 6 104 13060 11484 5 330 4 043 7 086 7 066 6 115 11484 10080 2 353 1 317 2 057 6 060 6 109 10080 8829 2 024 1 237 1 354 4 052 4 114 8829 7715 4 010 1 098 1 196 2 047 2 138 7715 6726 6 006 3 072 2 146 1 075 2 162 6726 5853 8 014 5 056 2 111 1 053 1 153 5853 5080 8 015 7 041 3 069 3 021 1 046 5080 4386 9 028 9 035 6 056 5 028 4 026 4386 3773 7 032 10 036 7*054 7 033 5 017 3773 3261 12 046 12*043 7*057 8*041 8 033 3261 2867 13 051 10*047 7 059 8*049 10 044 2867 2596 12 055 9 050 7 061 7 052 10 052 2596 2432 9*060 8 052 7 062 7 053 8*061 2432 2338 4*081 6 052 6 062 5 054 4*078 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography