DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.4 - - - - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 462 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3689 - - 6858 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4829 - - 7428 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6011 - - 9181 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2212 - - 1350 - - - - - 6440 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 455 - - 605 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 18 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 047 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5187 - - -4599 - - - - - -8223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11199 - - 13781 - - - - - 10562 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12756 - - -11742 - - - - - -13773 ODpotential blCL - - - 18767 - - 20923 - - - - - 16111 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 31 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.4 - - - - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.2 - - 20.5 - - - - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 70.9 - - - - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.2 - - 19.4 - - - - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 366 - - 462 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3689 - - 6858 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98106 6 324 4 329 5 305 98106 90689 8 216 12 279 6 357 90689 84979 7 281 9 257 6 347 84979 80244 3 208 6 191 5 328 80244 76166 2 095 4 130 2 332 76166 72554 4 312 1 204 2 327 72554 69270 3 180 9 281 3 276 69270 66243 5 094 11 283 6 299 66243 63434 9 338 4 294 6 288 63434 60712 21 316 9 324 9 324 60712 57874 22 296 16 296 13 307 57874 54934 19 282 24 287 22 303 54934 52139 22 277 30 286 27 304 52139 49637 29 276 33 285 33 298 49637 47410 36 277 36 289 37 292 47410 45401 45 278 44 286 40 295 45401 43571 57 276 51 286 48 296 43571 41896 66 273 53 285 50 292 41896 40344 64 274 53 286 51 292 40344 38890 62 276 54 287 53 293 38890 37522 60 280 55 288 55 294 37522 36206 60 281 55 288 57 293 36206 34874 61 281 54 291 59 294 34874 33497 61 284 53 295 58 296 33497 32077 60 287 53 300 55 300 32077 30601 58 288 55 302 52 306 30601 29057 54 290 56 301 48 311 29057 27446 53 299 53 304 45 314 27446 25768 52 305 50 309 42 317 25768 24026 46 305 45 316 39 319 24026 22224 41 311 39 319 38 319 22224 20356 38 326 38 325 39 323 20356 18416 36 337 36 335 41 332 18416 16445 35 351 33 352 37 341 16445 14550 31 360 27 011 31 360 14550 12829 25 018 22 025 24 020 12829 11301 22 031 16 028 18 038 11301 9941 16 043 8*033 17 033 9941 8729 12 071 6*039 17 014 8729 7647 13 096 6 041 17 006 7647 6683 11*109 6 043 16 006 6683 5827 8*109 6 045 16 006 5827 5067 7 108 6 047 16 005 5067 4381 7 105 6 049 16 002 4381 3772 7 104 7 051 15 357 3772 3262 7 103 7 052 13 350 3262 2869 7 103 7 053 12 344 2869 2598 7 102 7 053 10 339 2598 2433 6 102 6 054 7 336 2433 2338 6 103 6 054 4*332 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography