DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 56.5 - - 60.8 - - 60.2 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 92 - - 165 - - 26 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 867 - - 2198 - - 1091 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3416 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3188 - - 4519 - - 3412 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 173 - - 1288 - - 1137 - - 2234 - - 350 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 180 - - 293 - - 127 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 33 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 153 - - 128 - - 099 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1490 - - -2668 - - -2228 - - -2983 - - -1668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3827 - - 5856 - - 6748 - - 6395 - - 4006 sfcLCL ODpotential -14568 - - -13101 - - -11122 - - -11834 - - -12170 ODpotential blCL 16905 - - 16289 - - 15641 - - 15246 - - 14508 blCL maxRH 77 - - 79 - - 85 - - 73 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 56.5 - - 60.8 - - 60.2 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.9 - - 39.2 - - 39.6 - - 40.6 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 55.7 - - 59.6 - - 59.9 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 38.3 - - 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 92 - - 165 - - 26 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 867 - - 2198 - - 1091 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 17 - - 39 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96723 34 301 52 280 43 295 34 284 36 278 96723 89753 28 294 36 277 39 281 29 298 29 296 89753 84347 22 281 30 285 30 278 30 288 26 294 84347 79826 24 288 18 290 22 270 26 271 20 289 79826 75887 17 254 14 299 12 266 18 259 17 282 75887 72374 15 229 17 273 13 283 9 279 12 266 72374 69184 17 248 23 255 20 276 15 293 7 275 69184 66248 24 253 23 247 22 263 13 274 16 288 66248 63515 19 240 27 225 25 247 24 261 24 287 63515 60854 19 261 22 225 27 242 31 251 28 266 60854 58080 23 268 21 240 28 241 31 247 27 242 58080 55225 30 273 31 262 30 265 43 269 38 249 55225 52531 42 271 48 267 54 276 59 271 52 250 52531 50133 58 282 52 263 70 272 76 276 63 261 50133 48001 67 277 57 273 77 279 92 276 83 273 48001 46070 60 277 68 288 99 283 105 276 113 274 46070 44291 74 299 91 293 101 281 106 275 115 271 44291 42631 93 302 103 291 98 279 103 274 110 270 42631 41076 101 300 104 289 97 279 102 273 106 267 41076 39614 102 298 100 287 94 279 99 274 106 267 39614 38232 90 293 91 281 87 277 97 274 104 267 38232 36893 82 287 81 275 79 275 94 271 102 267 36893 35535 81 288 77 274 72 276 89 272 99 268 35535 34129 72 294 71 276 64 278 78 274 91 269 34129 32683 59 298 65 282 59 278 67 273 78 270 32683 31182 53 306 58 285 57 280 62 270 72 268 31182 29609 51 306 52 287 48 282 59 268 66 263 29609 27964 48 300 47 287 46 279 58 268 61 260 27964 26245 45 297 43 289 46 274 55 272 60 261 26245 24456 41 297 37 291 47 273 50 273 57 263 24456 22606 36 300 34 295 48 272 42 269 51 260 22606 20691 30 304 31 297 34 269 34 263 42 253 20691 18706 23 307 24 299 19 275 28 258 34 245 18706 16688 15 295 16 289 14 275 24 255 28 239 16688 14745 12 297 13 270 12 268 21 252 22 235 14745 12975 13 316 13 281 12 270 18 251 18 231 12975 11400 10 323 10 292 9 266 14 252 14 228 11400 9999 7 321 6 276 7 247 10 246 10 220 9999 8752 3 358 6 203 8 215 8 219 9 208 8752 7643 5 085 8 176 9 200 9 192 9 203 7643 6663 8 084 7 160 9 196 9 185 9 201 6663 5800 8 076 6 137 9 196 6 177 9 200 5800 5038 5 073 6 124 3*197 3 170 11 204 5038 4356 2 104 4 125 2*181 3 146 13 208 4356 3753 3 185 3 136 1 158 4*113 13 208 3753 3248 3 194 3*149 2 119 5*102 11 196 3248 2860 3 201 3*151 2 111 5 099 10 175 2860 2592 3 220 3 154 2 105 5 099 9 157 2592 2430 2 238 2 154 2 104 5 098 7*144 2430 2338 1*238 2 154 2 104 4 099 3*125 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography