DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Panoche 2312ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1331z - - 1603z - - 1859z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.3 - - 74.2 - - 80.2 - - 80.1 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 302 - - 413 - - 169 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2953 - - 4742 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2312 - - 4189 - - 5678 - - 5097 - - 2312 Hcrit BL Top 2329 - - 5266 - - 7055 - - 6829 - - 2329 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 227 - - 1310 - - 1090 - - 1070 - - 1170 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 394 - - 512 - - 374 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 030 - - 026 - - 022 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4372 - - -4814 - - -4744 - - -5019 - - -6099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6701 - - 10081 - - 11800 - - 11849 - - 8428 sfcLCL ODpotential -14646 - - -12613 - - -11694 - - -11745 - - -15094 ODpotential blCL 16975 - - 17879 - - 18749 - - 18574 - - 17423 blCL maxRH 45 - - 40 - - 38 - - 35 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.3 - - 74.2 - - 80.2 - - 80.1 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.5 - - 38.2 - - 36.5 - - 36.3 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.0 - - 72.8 - - 78.2 - - 79.0 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 38.1 - - 36.4 - - 36.2 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 302 - - 413 - - 169 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2953 - - 4742 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98128 7 106 12 085 14 119 6 114 13 041 98128 90859 12 100 16 101 12 117 9 104 11 057 90859 85222 16 098 17 115 14 108 12 108 10 066 85222 80501 15 103 11 107 14 106 16 112 8 090 80501 76417 13 104 10 091 11 106 18 110 8 113 76417 72814 11 106 7 082 10 097 15 100 9 127 72814 69567 8 093 6 097 4 091 7 061 10 128 69567 66587 5 076 3 139 3 114 4 301 5 098 66587 63833 7 018 1 100 1 050 6 258 3 072 63833 61168 7 319 4 279 10 292 9 312 7 025 61168 58393 11 326 6 307 13 278 18 310 15 332 58393 55530 16 321 11 307 15 285 21 295 22 314 55530 52810 23 316 18 314 17 303 21 296 26 310 52810 50361 29 309 25 309 24 303 24 301 29 305 50361 48159 32 305 29 303 28 302 27 301 31 297 48159 46156 35 302 32 298 32 298 30 300 30 290 46156 44320 37 305 34 293 36 294 33 296 31 288 44320 42625 38 310 33 294 36 289 34 292 31 289 42625 41048 33 318 26 298 31 287 32 283 29 284 41048 39575 30 326 18 336 13 296 24 278 27 276 39575 38196 28 313 18 330 6 310 14 253 21 269 38196 36873 20 310 15 305 7 262 8 242 17 258 36873 35537 10 344 8 292 6 236 9 258 12 242 35537 34155 13 009 5 342 2 290 7 249 9 252 34155 32730 17 000 10 359 6 012 3 227 7 245 32730 31245 20 357 14 357 10 010 1 031 6 218 31245 29689 22 359 17 001 12 009 4 014 4 222 29689 28063 23 002 18 004 13 006 6 349 3 235 28063 26363 22 001 17 358 12 352 7 335 5 249 26363 24593 21 001 16 352 12 344 7 336 5 255 24593 22753 21 002 17 350 12 347 7 342 5 266 22753 20842 23 000 19 357 13 002 7 356 5 301 20842 18852 25 360 20 005 15 015 7 012 2 330 18852 16823 23 359 19 007 14 018 7 016 1 188 16823 14864 19 006 16 006 12 010 7 005 2 305 14864 13082 17 011 14 007 12 007 8 011 4 358 13082 11498 17 012 13 013 10 015 8 031 5 062 11498 10089 16 017 12 023 7 034 7 064 8 109 10089 8835 14 026 11 033 5 052 4 089 9 130 8835 7721 12 027 10 041 5*033 2*000 5 127 7721 6734 11 022 10 037 6*021 4*347 5 047 6734 5863 11 018 9*029 7 021 4 357 8 021 5863 5091 11 014 8*028 7 024 6 019 10 017 5091 4397 11 008 8 028 8 026 7 025 11 019 4397 3780 12 005 7 030 8 028 7 028 11 016 3780 3263 11 003 7 031 8 030 7 030 10 004 3263 2865 11 001 6 032 8 031 7 032 10 353 2865 2591 10 357 6 032 8 032 7 033 9 348 2591 2424 8*357 6 033 7 032 7 033 7*345 2424 2329 5*359 5 032 7 033 7 033 5*344 2329 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography