DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 89.4 - - 86.9 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 344 - - 184 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 3720 - - 1897 - - 312 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3228 - - 4829 - - 3252 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4004 - - 6044 - - 4221 - - 2635 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1084 - - 1604 - - 2554 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 445 - - 289 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 63 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 221 - - 345 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 25 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7471 - - -6043 - - -6495 - - -5388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11476 - - 12088 - - 10717 - - 8023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12302 - - -9799 - - -10498 - - -11723 ODpotential blCL - - - 16306 - - 15843 - - 14719 - - 14358 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 91 - - 92 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 89.4 - - 86.9 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 44.6 - - 48.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 87.2 - - 85.4 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 44.3 - - 47.9 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 344 - - 184 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1680 - - 3720 - - 1897 - - 312 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 64 - - 69 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99193 27 112 25 113 19 136 21 080 99193 91739 29 115 27 104 18 131 24 103 91739 85951 29 111 24 101 21 107 22 108 85951 81138 25 115 20 109 23 097 22 105 81138 77015 21 110 15 129 20 092 19 107 77015 73390 21 107 17 125 16 106 18 113 73390 70118 22 103 16 126 15 105 16 107 70118 67121 8 113 14 127 11 099 13 104 67121 64359 11 183 12 142 8 127 8 115 64359 61680 16 162 17 177 14 179 5 178 61680 58878 17 173 23 181 23 192 17 219 58878 55997 23 202 31 189 28 198 25 216 55997 53266 31 209 30 200 32 206 28 215 53266 50814 36 208 39 210 41 212 40 217 50814 48616 40 214 44 207 50 206 51 209 48616 46616 49 217 47 212 51 211 50 210 46616 44780 52 205 52 211 54 215 50 215 44780 43089 52 195 54 202 58 210 53 215 43089 41516 45 200 51 199 54 203 52 209 41516 40041 40 208 46 201 47 200 47 204 40041 38651 37 207 44 204 45 203 45 206 38651 37310 36 199 43 204 45 205 46 208 37310 35950 36 197 41 204 43 207 44 208 35950 34541 35 197 39 201 40 208 41 208 34541 33085 33 203 40 204 38 209 38 209 33085 31571 33 212 39 207 37 209 35 208 31571 29988 36 211 36 210 34 209 34 207 29988 28335 38 207 32 210 32 207 31 206 28335 26612 38 198 29 207 31 206 30 207 26612 24823 31 189 30 204 34 207 29 208 24823 22971 25 196 30 202 32 209 26 205 22971 21050 25 205 29 201 28 208 23 202 21050 19054 25 204 28 200 25 208 21 202 19054 17020 24 199 26 199 24 212 20 207 17020 15059 24 199 25 199 24 214 20 213 15059 13270 24 203 26 204 24 215 21 214 13270 11674 22 208 25 209 24 214 22 214 11674 10249 20 209 22 213 22 214 22 214 10249 8975 17 205 18 213 19 210 19 213 8975 7839 15 199 15 207 15 199 17 207 7839 6830 13 195 9*194 10 186 15 199 6830 5938 12 193 5*186 6 175 12 200 5938 5147 12 193 3 185 3 155 6 189 5147 4438 10*191 2 193 1*051 2 141 4438 3809 6*197 1 285 5*349 2 045 3809 3283 4 223 2 306 6 346 7 349 3283 2880 3 230 2 317 7 345 9*338 2880 2604 3 235 2 321 7 344 9*335 2604 2436 3 239 2 320 7 344 8 335 2436 2339 3 241 2 324 6 343 5 333 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography