DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.9 - - 54.1 - - 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 0 - - 68 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 551 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2873 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 306 - - 554 - - 951 - - 330 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 15 - - 142 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 068 - - 022 - - 348 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -520 - - -1267 - - -1355 - - -1227 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2859 - - 3605 - - 4228 - - 3566 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -10224 - - -9530 - - -7993 - - -7173 - - -7636 ODpotential blCL 12562 - - 11868 - - 10866 - - 9511 - - 9974 blCL maxRH 74 - - 83 - - 77 - - 71 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.9 - - 54.1 - - 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 46.7 - - 50.7 - - 52.2 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 54.3 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 45.8 - - 49.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 0 - - 68 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 551 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 33 - - 8 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96492 14 075 9 026 16 016 16 029 9 040 96492 89564 15 104 13 076 10 079 10 041 15 028 89564 84151 19 107 25 109 14 117 10 108 12 038 84151 79566 18 110 23 110 19 121 13 125 1 069 79566 75588 12 105 13 105 16 100 13 107 7 159 75588 72077 2 058 7 096 4 091 8 038 8 076 72077 68905 3 014 3 058 3 233 9 295 8 340 68905 66008 5 311 9 276 11 297 13 300 12 308 66008 63350 15 285 16 272 18 296 16 306 17 289 63350 60803 24 282 23 284 22 286 25 286 29 271 60803 58153 28 284 28 289 29 281 34 286 35 278 58153 55388 36 289 38 292 39 279 46 286 44 287 55388 52725 42 288 45 285 51 276 56 280 52 288 52725 50309 38 287 48 281 56 276 58 278 56 288 50309 48128 39 311 47 292 50 288 52 283 56 280 48128 46129 50 317 53 305 50 302 53 304 49 290 46129 44282 63 313 70 308 69 310 79 309 75 310 44282 42584 75 306 83 302 86 302 88 297 88 303 42584 41015 73 302 81 298 79 295 77 293 77 291 41015 39545 58 311 68 302 69 311 64 305 59 289 39545 38166 58 324 62 307 71 319 67 316 58 297 38166 36842 66 327 62 301 70 307 71 305 63 298 36842 35501 65 320 63 302 68 302 70 301 66 296 35501 34108 59 313 64 302 68 297 69 300 67 294 34108 32666 60 306 65 301 66 296 67 299 66 294 32666 31159 65 301 64 299 64 302 65 298 66 295 31159 29580 67 297 61 294 63 305 66 300 66 297 29580 27934 59 289 59 291 58 305 62 304 65 302 27934 26223 52 285 55 287 54 305 54 307 62 303 26223 24446 49 287 46 286 52 302 46 303 57 301 24446 22607 47 290 46 288 48 293 45 300 52 297 22607 20703 44 294 45 290 42 290 47 301 50 291 20703 18724 41 300 41 295 41 297 46 298 48 291 18724 16711 36 304 35 305 37 300 41 300 43 297 16711 14775 29 307 28 310 29 301 34 301 33 298 14775 13014 21 311 20 309 23 298 27 297 27 297 13014 11446 15 315 15 305 19 294 22 294 23 296 11446 10050 11 324 11 309 16 294 19 295 20 298 10050 8805 8 338 8 318 13 299 16 302 18 305 8805 7695 8 356 6 338 10 309 14 314 16 316 7695 6710 10 006 7 000 9 323 13 327 15 326 6710 5839 13 007 10 004 11 339 13 338 14 336 5839 5068 15 005 13 004 13 351 12 345 14 341 5068 4376 17 003 15 001 15 358 12 348 15 346 4376 3765 17 000 15 359 15 000 12 343 17 347 3765 3254 17 358 15 359 14*003 11 337 17 346 3254 2863 14 001 13 005 8*015 8 335 16 344 2863 2594 9 016 9 021 7 024 5 343 12 344 2594 2431 5*039 5*035 6 026 4 345 7*345 2431 2338 2*069 2*068 5 027 3*348 1*357 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography