DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 94.4 - - 90.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 393 - - 187 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2238 - - 3997 - - 1875 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3644 - - 5091 - - 3244 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4562 - - 6321 - - 4198 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2344 - - 3570 - - 2366 - - 576 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 477 - - 290 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 316 - - 314 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7803 - - -6743 - - -8313 - - -7337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12366 - - 13064 - - 12512 - - 9676 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11231 - - -9316 - - -11751 - - -13477 ODpotential blCL - - - 15793 - - 15637 - - 15949 - - 15816 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 87 - - 82 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 94.4 - - 90.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 45.0 - - 43.8 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.9 - - 91.9 - - 89.0 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 44.6 - - 43.5 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 393 - - 187 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2238 - - 3997 - - 1875 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 47 - - 28 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98834 6 130 11 121 7 101 4 130 98834 91392 8 151 6 069 9 099 9 092 91392 85652 10 157 2 311 3 066 10 081 85652 80869 7 130 3 197 2 332 8 044 80869 76751 5 087 3 136 3 019 6 018 76751 73134 6 053 4 094 6 030 7 032 73134 69878 6 054 7 079 5 033 6 038 69878 66895 7 086 4 121 2 005 6 011 66895 64143 6 099 1 133 3 339 10 353 64143 61499 4 097 3 221 6 276 10 324 61499 58776 3 265 7 261 11 272 13 291 58776 55980 7 271 12 254 17 260 19 260 55980 53326 15 259 19 236 23 252 26 261 53326 50948 18 258 19 241 23 256 26 262 50948 48809 18 250 23 254 26 269 26 269 48809 46845 22 246 29 252 31 266 33 270 46845 45026 27 252 35 252 38 257 42 265 45026 43337 28 251 35 253 38 255 45 256 43337 41760 28 254 32 255 36 261 42 259 41760 40274 27 257 29 258 35 266 41 267 40274 38868 26 261 28 264 35 266 41 270 38868 37510 27 267 29 270 35 265 42 267 37510 36130 26 270 29 272 36 265 42 264 36130 34701 24 270 27 270 35 263 41 264 34701 33224 25 269 27 268 34 260 38 264 33224 31689 27 265 27 270 33 261 37 264 31689 30082 29 258 29 265 32 266 35 268 30082 28408 29 257 32 263 30 275 30 278 28408 26674 26 260 28 267 24 281 24 285 26674 24878 22 259 22 276 20 286 19 280 24878 23015 22 250 19 271 18 294 19 284 23015 21080 19 235 19 250 16 274 16 276 21080 19074 17 220 18 234 18 253 16 261 19074 17039 15 219 17 229 18 247 17 254 17039 15080 14 229 15 237 17 250 17 255 15080 13293 13 239 13 249 15 255 14 258 13293 11699 11 248 12 258 13 260 11 260 11699 10276 9 260 10 266 11 263 8 262 10276 9006 8 274 7 272 10 261 7 261 9006 7871 6 290 5 284 8 261 7 263 7871 6860 6 311 5*301 8 269 7 275 6860 5964 7 322 6*311 8 287 6 294 5964 5168 7*327 8 315 9 304 7 313 5168 4453 8*330 9 316 13*314 10 322 4453 3819 8 331 10 317 14*314 14 324 3819 3289 8 330 11 317 14 314 18 321 3289 2883 8 330 11 317 15 314 19 316 2883 2605 8 330 11 316 14 313 15 313 2605 2436 8 329 10 316 13 313 12 312 2436 2339 7 330 9 317 10 313 6*310 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography