DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 66.5 - - 62.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -7 - - 28 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 571 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2893 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 210 - - 1199 - - 1036 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 13 - - 118 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 120 - - 222 - - 078 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7665 - - -7140 - - -4187 - - -2695 - - -673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10004 - - 9478 - - 7080 - - 5034 - - 3011 sfcLCL ODpotential -18393 - - -16187 - - -11923 - - -8195 - - -9925 ODpotential blCL 20731 - - 18525 - - 14816 - - 10534 - - 12263 blCL maxRH 19 - - 20 - - 41 - - 52 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 66.5 - - 62.5 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.0 - - 25.1 - - 43.9 - - 48.7 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 59.4 - - 66.2 - - 63.0 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.8 - - 24.2 - - 42.6 - - 47.6 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -7 - - 28 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 571 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96739 46 093 31 100 31 077 47 084 47 097 96739 89661 43 088 35 107 26 091 39 092 46 092 89661 84182 31 083 33 097 24 114 29 086 35 094 84182 79584 25 072 25 085 20 102 24 090 30 076 79584 75612 23 056 18 070 18 105 20 086 26 069 75612 72078 15 053 18 058 24 075 17 093 22 073 72078 68836 10 054 18 054 24 047 19 046 23 057 68836 65860 16 042 16 031 17 026 17 043 16 043 65860 63134 16 024 15 006 17 031 17 043 14 043 63134 60521 13 011 23 002 25 023 20 022 20 031 60521 57808 14 337 26 358 24 009 20 357 23 006 57808 55000 21 329 25 343 23 356 23 349 26 351 55000 52325 28 326 28 332 30 332 32 340 35 346 52325 49913 30 317 33 332 35 322 37 333 38 339 49913 47741 32 328 36 341 34 326 38 329 39 336 47741 45761 37 342 37 345 34 335 39 326 41 330 45761 43932 33 346 33 342 33 335 38 325 40 324 43932 42229 26 346 28 334 29 331 36 324 36 319 42229 40643 22 330 24 331 25 332 32 324 31 317 40643 39166 12 288 21 334 22 337 26 326 24 314 39166 37788 8 001 17 337 19 342 21 323 19 316 37788 36471 14 016 15 345 16 352 16 320 17 315 36471 35144 15 021 14 357 12 342 16 310 13 311 35144 33774 19 031 14 013 8 337 15 297 11 313 33774 32363 18 033 15 027 7 002 8 310 8 336 32363 30897 14 034 14 033 8 018 6 351 6 043 30897 29362 11 049 10 042 7 017 6 059 15 100 29362 27759 11 065 7 065 7 029 14 095 23 104 27759 26088 12 067 6 065 10 053 20 094 23 108 26088 24347 12 057 8 061 12 067 22 091 20 102 24347 22538 11 070 9 074 12 070 23 092 22 091 22538 20654 15 092 10 093 12 070 21 092 21 085 20654 18690 19 096 12 099 13 071 20 096 19 074 18690 16688 17 095 12 102 12 075 17 092 17 071 16688 14755 14 087 10 110 10 077 13 083 15 076 14755 12996 12 086 7 107 8 083 9 082 10 075 12996 11433 12 098 4 094 6 061 7 066 5 088 11433 10042 12 129 7 172 2 160 6 056 5 065 10042 8803 12 161 10 196 6 200 2 086 6 036 8803 7698 9 183 10 218 7 230 2 268 5 012 7698 6715 3 203 7 234 8 255 5 290 5 358 6715 5846 4 038 3 207 6 260 5 289 4 343 5846 5075 10 027 3 095 3 246 5 279 4 327 5075 4383 11 017 5 072 1 233 5 269 5 316 4383 3769 9 005 6 072 1 234 5 262 5 321 3769 3257 8 002 6 077 2*220 3 253 6 334 3257 2864 7 006 7 081 3*222 1 092 4 357 2864 2594 5 011 7 088 3 223 2 079 3 065 2594 2431 3*017 5*104 3 221 2*077 4*099 2431 2338 1*055 3*120 2 221 2*078 3*104 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography