DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 57.8 - - 64.5 - - 63.1 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 24 - - 98 - - 21 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 282 - - 1673 - - 1150 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2793 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2603 - - 3995 - - 3472 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 663 - - 2860 - - 2875 - - 598 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 85 - - 235 - - 129 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 055 - - 028 - - 026 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1963 - - -2960 - - -3535 - - -3823 - - -1104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4300 - - 5564 - - 7530 - - 7295 - - 3442 sfcLCL ODpotential -8792 - - -6652 - - -8889 - - -7761 - - -6103 ODpotential blCL 11129 - - 9255 - - 12884 - - 11233 - - 8441 blCL maxRH 45 - - 73 - - 89 - - 53 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 57.8 - - 64.5 - - 63.1 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 42.0 - - 39.9 - - 39.6 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 57.7 - - 63.6 - - 63.1 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 40.7 - - 38.7 - - 38.6 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 24 - - 98 - - 21 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 282 - - 1673 - - 1150 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 11 123 1 311 6 079 14 115 12 169 96468 89366 16 112 12 104 13 102 19 096 18 118 89366 83894 15 112 10 108 11 108 16 089 17 093 83894 79332 16 116 8 116 5 131 6 083 11 061 79332 75392 11 116 11 132 6 170 5 103 8 035 75392 71909 5 130 8 135 3 195 4 105 6 075 71909 68753 2 142 7 149 2 234 1 069 3 053 68753 65849 4 294 3 225 5 283 2 224 6 260 65849 63158 8 267 13 252 14 264 8 254 14 249 63158 60551 10 253 18 249 17 272 9 280 10 251 60551 57820 13 262 16 273 17 265 11 267 11 269 57820 54978 17 274 11 269 16 268 16 267 16 280 54978 52259 21 276 12 292 14 264 18 280 15 301 52259 49805 20 268 20 308 9 317 22 298 26 304 49805 47598 17 303 26 305 19 315 21 308 23 307 47598 45580 27 311 23 310 18 309 25 330 30 327 45580 43720 26 326 23 333 36 330 50 327 52 322 43720 42008 37 348 43 334 50 327 65 311 66 311 42008 40427 47 340 50 335 51 331 36 307 42 311 40427 38970 49 345 42 347 43 339 25 359 39 020 38970 37624 53 359 41 358 39 014 47 015 50 019 37624 36340 64 350 44 352 46 021 52 018 44 011 36340 35040 70 343 48 345 37 018 42 016 37 005 35040 33691 66 348 50 340 32 355 34 010 34 360 33691 32293 61 355 52 342 34 343 31 003 32 352 32293 30831 57 359 52 349 35 338 32 356 31 340 30831 29295 51 002 40 359 34 342 34 350 28 336 29295 27686 43 012 36 019 28 359 31 348 20 003 27686 26003 38 031 32 033 19 016 27 357 18 018 26003 24249 28 024 27 029 17 000 26 002 17 354 24249 22429 19 357 23 000 24 338 21 345 26 322 22429 20535 14 339 23 340 24 348 17 337 34 316 20535 18563 11 321 20 325 18 354 14 339 28 326 18563 16559 15 315 16 316 15 322 15 334 15 330 16559 14631 18 320 12 319 14 311 14 331 8 329 14631 12881 17 322 9 321 12 310 13 322 9 318 12881 11329 15 324 7 316 10 310 12 311 12 308 11329 9953 12 332 6 312 9 310 12 307 15 307 9953 8728 8 353 5 318 9 314 12 311 15 313 8728 7637 6 023 5 330 9 325 12 320 15 327 7637 6667 6 042 6 336 9 338 11 331 14 345 6667 5809 6 045 7 346 10 353 10 341 12 001 5809 5047 7 044 6 000 9 008 8 353 11 014 5047 4363 9 049 7 016 8*018 6 359 11 018 4363 3757 9 054 6 022 8*024 6*005 12 015 3757 3250 12 064 7 034 8 027 5*018 11 007 3250 2861 14 068 6*045 7 029 5 025 11 357 2861 2594 12 067 5*052 7 030 5 029 9 352 2594 2431 9 068 3 056 6 030 5 030 6*353 2431 2338 4*092 2 058 5 030 4 030 3*352 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography