DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 85.5 - - 85.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 457 - - 274 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2633 - - 5670 - - 5204 - - 378 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4013 - - 6468 - - 5885 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4956 - - 7993 - - 7527 - - 2700 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1505 - - 1180 - - 1854 - - 1469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 402 - - 565 - - 463 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 37 - - 37 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 188 - - 229 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 29 - - 50 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4807 - - -3668 - - -3444 - - -5059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9764 - - 11662 - - 10972 - - 7759 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11160 - - -8910 - - -8976 - - -12334 ODpotential blCL - - - 16116 - - 16903 - - 16503 - - 15034 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 42 - - 51 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 85.5 - - 85.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 42.2 - - 44.9 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 82.7 - - 83.0 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 41.7 - - 44.5 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 457 - - 274 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2633 - - 5670 - - 5204 - - 378 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 31 114 26 123 29 112 32 099 99176 91691 28 112 28 107 30 116 27 098 91691 85933 27 111 24 101 25 116 23 106 85933 81154 25 118 23 114 18 116 20 098 81154 77043 22 109 22 125 21 107 16 112 77043 73431 17 098 24 118 22 107 18 109 73431 70174 14 125 13 118 14 116 17 102 70174 67183 10 130 8 126 10 140 8 101 67183 64405 8 144 7 172 7 151 6 132 64405 61707 6 134 9 171 7 190 2 142 61707 58904 3 251 3 215 5 254 4 270 58904 56023 13 274 13 282 16 282 12 291 56023 53291 18 283 21 276 26 268 25 277 53291 50835 21 285 25 273 31 268 34 276 50835 48623 19 286 25 273 34 275 41 275 48623 46607 19 288 22 275 36 278 43 274 46607 44752 22 288 22 283 41 279 47 274 44752 43032 26 287 25 286 43 279 47 273 43032 41428 30 284 29 284 42 279 44 275 41428 39926 34 284 31 281 42 279 42 278 39926 38518 37 283 32 280 39 277 42 280 38518 37164 39 279 33 282 36 278 39 278 37164 35800 37 275 34 282 34 279 35 277 35800 34394 32 275 33 278 34 279 33 277 34394 32949 25 278 28 276 34 278 32 276 32949 31444 21 288 23 275 32 274 31 277 31444 29867 20 293 18 276 26 270 30 279 29867 28220 17 289 17 273 22 269 25 276 28220 26503 15 280 17 268 20 270 18 277 26503 24719 16 280 18 272 20 272 14 281 24719 22866 19 278 18 276 20 276 13 287 22866 20939 19 273 16 279 16 282 11 294 20939 18935 14 270 12 287 9 287 5 294 18935 16896 10 273 6 301 3 292 3 177 16896 14933 6 275 3 298 1 155 7 153 14933 13149 2 204 3 197 2 175 5 148 13149 11563 5 157 7 188 4 213 2 225 11563 10152 5 160 9 192 6 180 6 219 10152 8895 4 158 7*185 6 144 8 182 8895 7776 3 156 4*176 6*147 9 140 7776 6782 4 157 3 177 5*161 7 129 6782 5903 4 161 3 181 4 178 5 154 5903 5123 4*160 3 190 3 202 4 184 5123 4423 3*162 2 194 2 235 4 199 4423 3800 3 172 2 199 3 270 3 243 3800 3279 2 180 2 201 3 275 4 296 3279 2879 2 188 2 205 4 280 6*304 2879 2603 2 189 2 205 4 282 6*305 2603 2436 2 191 2 204 4 284 6 305 2436 2339 2 194 2 208 3 284 5 306 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography