DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 44.4 - - 45.2 - - 44.3 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 46 - - 52 - - 1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 362 - - 1235 - - 1688 - - 1100 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2320 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2683 - - 3556 - - 4009 - - 3421 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2401 - - 2085 - - 2108 - - 2136 - - 2122 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 165 - - 192 - - 76 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 271 - - 301 - - 278 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 346 - - 1203 - - 1412 - - 596 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 2353 - - 2597 - - 2825 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -169 - - 446 - - 456 - - -589 - - -725 ODpotential blCL 2852 - - 3110 - - 3553 - - 4010 - - 3062 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 130 - - 40 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 44.4 - - 45.2 - - 44.3 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.5 - - 42.1 - - 41.9 - - 40.0 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 44.0 - - 44.8 - - 44.3 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.2 - - 41.1 - - 40.7 - - 38.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 46 - - 52 - - 1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 362 - - 1235 - - 1688 - - 1100 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 93 - - 99 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 9 074 10 056 11 048 15 072 9 091 96539 89446 17 089 16 086 11 074 8 072 14 066 89446 83944 19 080 21 083 11 097 11 067 15 070 83944 79360 14 062 19 085 13 087 13 063 13 076 79360 75403 10 058 12 080 10 059 12 066 14 064 75403 71895 12 026 9 088 6 036 8 040 14 039 71895 68707 9 348 5 312 9 017 6 044 11 359 68707 65761 5 006 3 350 7 356 6 016 14 338 65761 63011 9 303 10 336 9 341 5 328 12 318 63011 60330 9 279 12 314 9 301 6 001 6 297 60330 57515 15 280 13 326 16 310 16 356 9 339 57515 54573 19 276 20 294 20 276 20 313 18 339 54573 51751 14 303 12 276 15 281 20 300 19 339 51751 49203 27 293 16 305 15 295 16 293 21 344 49203 46919 35 272 33 295 18 303 14 287 25 339 46919 44847 37 263 41 280 22 301 13 293 25 330 44847 42949 37 259 38 268 28 292 14 308 20 323 42949 41194 36 256 35 258 32 276 19 310 13 323 41194 39563 36 249 36 245 34 264 25 296 13 331 39563 38042 36 240 36 242 36 255 27 273 15 328 38042 36618 35 241 39 238 39 244 26 251 15 322 36618 35253 43 249 46 231 41 233 24 241 13 304 35253 33882 51 245 57 225 44 229 28 235 13 281 33882 32476 47 237 61 218 50 228 36 225 15 261 32476 31041 48 237 59 216 59 226 44 217 19 240 31041 29562 50 238 63 225 68 224 46 217 25 222 29562 28031 53 240 71 231 73 222 50 219 27 215 28031 26452 57 241 71 227 71 219 51 217 27 208 26452 24819 60 239 65 217 63 213 50 210 28 198 24819 23135 59 235 64 212 59 202 55 198 30 191 23135 21398 56 231 60 208 59 194 57 193 34 189 21398 19601 57 227 58 204 58 197 50 195 30 190 19601 17741 55 223 61 203 56 198 36 202 18 185 17741 15858 46 218 60 207 57 198 20 216 15 172 15858 14048 42 214 57 215 53 205 15 214 8 181 14048 12403 40 212 46 225 38 216 10 212 4 275 12403 10939 37 211 29 228 24 227 4 240 7 294 10939 9634 33 210 17 229 14 239 3 309 5 277 9634 8468 29 212 10 264 10 257 6 310 3 310 8468 7427 25 217 15 295 12 290 11 295 7 339 7427 6500 20 227 18 300 15 310 16 297 13 331 6500 5677 16 244 19 297 18 314 18 301 17 325 5677 4947 14 267 18 291 19 312 18 301 19 321 4947 4291 15 293 16 284 18*308 16 295 20 317 4291 3708 15 306 15*278 17*305 13*288 20 313 3708 3220 15 309 14*274 16 302 11*281 19 311 3220 2844 13*309 13 271 15 300 10 278 17 308 2844 2585 11*308 12 270 14 300 9 277 13 303 2585 2427 9 307 11 270 12 299 8 276 9 299 2427 2337 6 307 8 269 8 298 6 274 4*289 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography