DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 69.3 - - 68.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 490 - - 277 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3974 - - 4639 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3548 - - 5147 - - 5455 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4308 - - 6296 - - 6961 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 862 - - 1285 - - 974 - - 4624 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 375 - - 515 - - 448 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 345 - - 346 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3467 - - -2737 - - -1846 - - -7412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7776 - - 9034 - - 8807 - - 9751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11557 - - -9677 - - -10281 - - -19408 ODpotential blCL - - - 15865 - - 15973 - - 17242 - - 21746 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 50 - - 62 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 69.3 - - 68.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 37.6 - - 37.2 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 66.7 - - 66.3 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 36.9 - - 36.6 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 490 - - 277 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3974 - - 4639 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98139 8 292 9 347 10 306 15 303 98139 90702 6 310 8 299 11 323 9 005 90702 84959 4 314 10 292 13 330 6 356 84959 80195 5 348 8 280 11 318 6 022 80195 76096 7 027 5 293 6 293 7 304 76096 72494 7 005 5 321 1 352 4 294 72494 69235 9 313 12 297 8 306 5 328 69235 66216 15 309 15 286 15 288 13 309 66216 63406 16 291 14 283 16 287 13 308 63406 60685 16 302 16 289 18 297 15 310 60685 57861 26 304 21 309 21 313 18 314 57861 54948 30 307 31 314 28 320 27 324 54948 52184 36 312 36 309 35 312 37 311 52184 49710 39 311 38 317 38 322 35 311 49710 47534 38 322 44 331 49 341 51 347 47534 45613 51 345 68 347 79 342 63 347 45613 43860 86 343 83 342 71 345 61 349 43860 42224 93 330 85 343 72 355 61 349 42224 40687 74 330 83 342 74 356 60 349 40687 39237 62 352 74 342 73 353 61 348 39237 37866 74 003 72 353 70 351 62 344 37866 36540 72 360 75 356 67 348 61 338 36540 35195 64 353 70 348 64 341 59 332 35195 33802 61 347 69 339 63 333 57 331 33802 32364 61 339 70 334 63 330 54 333 32364 30866 64 334 70 333 63 332 53 332 30866 29298 65 336 67 334 62 331 52 328 29298 27661 66 341 64 333 62 329 53 325 27661 25955 63 342 63 331 62 325 54 324 25955 24180 59 337 62 329 61 323 56 323 24180 22340 54 337 63 331 60 324 58 322 22340 20431 48 333 64 336 62 328 56 321 20431 18451 41 323 55 337 57 331 50 322 18451 16446 32 319 42 330 47 332 45 327 16446 14523 27 319 35 324 41 331 42 330 14523 12777 24 322 32 322 38 328 39 331 12777 11230 21 330 29 323 36 325 35 332 11230 9858 18 338 27 328 34 324 30 336 9858 8645 18 345 25 334 24 331 27 349 8645 7571 19 349 20 342 17*349 30 358 7571 6619 21 350 15*350 18*352 32 358 6619 5777 22 351 14*349 18 352 32 356 5777 5028 20 353 14 348 18 349 30 353 5028 4353 16*350 14 346 18 346 28 349 4353 3753 14*340 14 344 18 343 26 345 3753 3250 13 337 14 342 17 342 23 342 3250 2862 13 336 14 341 17 341 20 339 2862 2594 12 335 13 340 16 340 16 337 2594 2432 11 334 12 340 15 340 13 336 2432 2338 9 333 10 340 12 340 6*333 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography