DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 56.9 - - 54.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 95 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 215 - - 1124 - - 365 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2536 - - 3446 - - 2687 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 517 - - 1281 - - 1251 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 200 - - 44 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 213 - - 114 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1866 - - -1611 - - -1204 - - -396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4403 - - 5058 - - 3892 - - 2733 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12897 - - -10852 - - -10471 - - -12263 ODpotential blCL - - - 15433 - - 14298 - - 13158 - - 14600 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - 71 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 56.9 - - 54.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 43.0 - - 45.4 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 56.2 - - 54.4 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 41.9 - - 44.8 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 95 - - 2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 215 - - 1124 - - 365 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96838 38 085 56 089 54 086 42 090 96838 89695 53 089 54 098 49 093 49 089 89695 84169 58 094 51 099 46 096 52 089 84169 79539 60 096 49 099 43 096 48 086 79539 75516 50 097 46 092 40 098 44 090 75516 71931 40 097 29 093 33 089 37 084 71931 68673 28 086 20 090 17 077 23 068 68673 65680 20 062 14 075 9 073 12 052 65680 62905 7 048 13 024 15 043 14 052 62905 60229 4 081 9 001 13 021 13 024 60229 57459 12 039 9 034 5 029 8 338 57459 54603 19 021 15 023 13 034 4 018 54603 51899 18 015 19 015 17 025 10 017 51899 49498 17 024 18 004 18 007 17 358 49498 47384 20 026 14 005 20 339 24 344 47384 45495 32 052 13 044 18 337 21 329 45495 43766 40 047 21 047 22 003 21 345 43766 42154 48 039 31 031 27 004 26 351 42154 40640 47 038 29 030 29 004 25 351 40640 39210 43 041 29 030 30 005 24 349 39210 37855 41 045 33 027 28 006 26 346 37855 36542 40 045 34 026 26 007 27 346 36542 35207 40 040 34 025 25 009 24 347 35207 33825 42 034 34 024 23 012 21 357 33825 32398 43 032 33 025 24 011 22 013 32398 30911 40 032 32 027 29 010 25 019 30911 29352 34 033 27 030 29 012 24 014 29352 27722 30 032 20 029 25 012 23 014 27722 26028 30 028 18 029 19 002 21 013 26028 24271 29 024 22 028 16 003 19 002 24271 22451 24 015 24 025 18 018 16 356 22451 20559 22 011 23 018 24 024 16 005 20559 18588 20 011 21 014 25 026 19 022 18588 16574 17 016 18 013 20 026 17 031 16574 14632 15 022 15 012 16 021 13 022 14632 12865 16 030 13 027 12 021 10 014 12865 11297 15 038 10 049 7 045 6 022 11297 9906 11 053 8 069 6 092 3 066 9906 8675 7 087 5 130 7 140 3 159 8675 7586 7 135 6 183 8 166 5 180 7586 6623 10 169 10 212 11 191 7 190 6623 5772 13 184 13 212 15 197 8 193 5772 5018 14 188 14 213 14 195 7 190 5018 4342 13 186 13 218 10 191 5 176 4342 3742 13 183 10*220 6 185 5 159 3742 3240 12 182 6*216 3 156 5 147 3240 2855 11 183 5 212 4*120 5 135 2855 2590 8*183 5 212 3*116 6 124 2590 2429 5*181 4 211 3 114 5 112 2429 2337 4 178 4 210 3 111 3*098 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography