DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 81.1 - - 78.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 355 - - 127 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1745 - - 4019 - - 1364 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3262 - - 5071 - - 2630 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4068 - - 6342 - - 3687 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1672 - - 2479 - - 5135 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 462 - - 229 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 211 - - 271 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 20 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6003 - - -5590 - - -6754 - - -3924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10071 - - 11933 - - 10441 - - 6264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11925 - - -10969 - - -11864 - - -11049 ODpotential blCL - - - 15993 - - 17311 - - 15551 - - 13388 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 65 - - 85 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 81.1 - - 78.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 36.7 - - 40.9 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 78.8 - - 77.4 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 36.5 - - 40.7 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 355 - - 127 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1745 - - 4019 - - 1364 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98438 9 079 9 161 5 135 6 150 98438 91061 10 094 10 127 11 164 4 133 91061 85403 9 142 11 102 10 120 6 154 85403 80688 11 159 5 162 5 028 7 087 80688 76602 5 126 6 137 2 001 5 036 76602 73012 1 335 5 138 2 168 5 031 73012 69780 5 163 2 205 2 159 1 050 69780 66801 3 217 7 231 3 235 2 000 66801 64028 6 260 12 231 9 245 10 267 64028 61344 13 267 13 250 12 251 16 250 61344 58548 20 252 21 256 18 255 19 256 58548 55650 21 262 25 259 24 257 24 265 55650 52897 23 267 27 263 29 258 29 266 52897 50427 25 261 28 258 33 258 34 262 50427 48211 29 259 30 250 37 255 39 258 48211 46192 33 258 33 246 40 251 45 256 46192 44333 36 254 35 246 41 247 49 254 44333 42608 37 245 39 245 41 247 50 251 42608 40998 36 242 42 239 45 247 49 247 40998 39489 39 245 45 236 50 243 52 246 39489 38076 41 244 48 235 54 242 57 245 38076 36725 43 243 47 235 58 241 59 243 36725 35373 44 238 44 234 59 237 59 239 35373 33987 45 238 45 232 61 235 58 233 33987 32557 45 241 45 236 56 238 54 233 32557 31067 41 245 45 240 46 243 50 238 31067 29508 37 244 38 238 42 245 47 238 29508 27881 36 241 34 238 39 244 48 237 27881 26184 34 240 32 241 36 243 45 238 26184 24420 31 240 30 244 33 242 40 243 24420 22592 29 239 30 245 31 240 33 241 22592 20694 28 239 29 242 29 238 28 234 20694 18721 27 239 29 237 29 239 25 234 18721 16713 24 237 27 234 26 241 21 234 16713 14781 21 234 24 235 21 239 16 228 14781 13024 18 233 20 234 17 233 14 218 13024 11461 17 233 18 228 16 219 14 206 11461 10070 17 231 17 218 17 203 15 199 10070 8831 17 228 17 210 15 192 16 201 8831 7726 17 224 15 205 14 186 17 203 7726 6744 16 220 13*201 13 184 17 203 6744 5873 15 213 10*199 12 184 16 199 5873 5100 14 206 9 200 10 186 14 194 5100 4404 13*198 8 206 8 191 13 190 4404 3787 11*196 7 215 5*210 12 190 3787 3269 9 200 6 222 4*261 8 192 3269 2872 8 201 6 226 4 270 3 247 2872 2599 7 202 6 228 4 273 5 314 2599 2433 7 202 6 229 4 276 5*317 2433 2339 6 202 5 230 4 276 3*312 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography