DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 71.1 - - 78.4 - - 77.0 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -33 - - 45 - - 184 - - 62 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 648 - - 2746 - - 2730 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3900 - - 3184 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2971 - - 5069 - - 5053 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 62 - - 987 - - 1364 - - 1495 - - 961 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 144 - - 338 - - 240 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 019 - - 027 - - 019 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6441 - - -7144 - - -7505 - - -5527 - - -2754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8779 - - 10115 - - 12575 - - 10580 - - 5093 sfcLCL ODpotential -18574 - - -17135 - - -15638 - - -12755 - - -10534 ODpotential blCL 20912 - - 20106 - - 20707 - - 17808 - - 12873 blCL maxRH 63 - - 62 - - 61 - - 74 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 71.1 - - 78.4 - - 77.0 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 35.4 - - 31.6 - - 39.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 70.8 - - 76.9 - - 76.4 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 34.1 - - 30.4 - - 37.8 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -33 - - 45 - - 184 - - 62 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 648 - - 2746 - - 2730 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96687 31 289 28 292 41 281 37 305 29 288 96687 89484 20 319 12 284 31 278 28 304 20 304 89484 83968 11 333 4 292 18 267 23 292 19 322 83968 79419 8 329 5 346 7 264 15 264 16 318 79419 75518 10 310 6 007 5 318 8 264 7 309 75518 72073 7 277 6 356 6 347 5 284 5 314 72073 68951 8 310 7 313 7 330 6 301 8 332 68951 66088 13 331 6 311 10 297 10 295 14 335 66088 63451 15 315 4 307 11 268 13 277 15 309 63451 60907 20 305 13 322 11 297 12 275 16 276 60907 58237 26 301 21 308 16 310 15 314 11 285 58237 55455 33 301 25 297 21 293 22 309 19 306 55455 52796 34 295 25 304 22 280 26 291 25 288 52796 50385 37 312 36 319 25 297 24 293 26 283 50385 48198 46 314 47 321 36 322 29 322 23 313 48198 46210 46 313 53 313 49 322 39 322 31 329 46210 44401 37 308 50 304 49 310 39 309 31 317 44401 42742 22 322 31 315 25 306 27 299 26 290 42742 41195 43 000 25 003 25 340 16 306 16 276 41195 39740 47 357 33 355 30 342 17 315 9 261 39740 38373 36 351 35 355 27 335 24 319 10 279 38373 37052 27 342 27 343 26 329 29 318 18 306 37052 35709 23 334 21 328 30 325 30 315 26 313 35709 34316 21 327 19 313 27 313 32 310 30 302 34316 32875 18 309 19 304 25 303 32 303 27 280 32875 31373 19 295 21 304 24 298 27 289 26 262 31373 29801 23 290 22 308 27 301 22 286 25 264 29801 28154 24 295 25 313 24 299 22 291 26 293 28154 26435 23 294 26 312 19 294 25 293 23 287 26435 24647 25 290 26 315 22 298 22 290 21 288 24647 22794 26 292 29 314 24 301 22 292 21 294 22794 20870 28 298 26 310 22 301 21 292 20 296 20870 18869 29 299 21 307 18 293 20 285 20 287 18869 16833 28 296 20 303 16 285 21 283 22 280 16833 14876 26 297 20 299 16 288 21 291 23 281 14876 13100 24 302 21 295 19 294 21 300 22 287 13100 11521 22 306 21 295 21 299 21 309 20 296 11521 10117 19 308 20 296 21 305 20 318 16 306 10117 8865 18 312 18 299 21 315 19 330 13 324 8865 7750 18 320 15 307 18 325 16 343 10 345 7750 6760 17 330 12 328 15 337 11 357 9 006 6760 5884 16 342 11 357 10 359 8 017 8 023 5884 5107 16 354 12 016 9*022 8*019 8 029 5107 4409 18 004 14 024 9*025 9*019 8 024 4409 3790 19 007 16 022 9 027 9 019 9 008 3790 3273 21 007 16*019 9 028 9 019 11 354 3273 2875 21 005 14*018 9 028 9 019 11 345 2875 2601 18 001 12 018 9 028 9 018 11 341 2601 2434 13*358 11 018 8 028 8 018 8*341 2434 2339 6*359 8 020 7 029 7 018 5*339 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography