DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/27 Panoche 2312ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 65.1 - - 71.7 - - 70.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 120 - - 244 - - 63 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 806 - - 3066 - - 2200 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2311 - - 2312 - - 4205 - - 2312 - - 2312 Hcrit BL Top 2328 - - 3118 - - 5378 - - 4512 - - 2328 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 905 - - 1851 - - 2770 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 190 - - 375 - - 216 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 103 - - 104 - - 178 - - 104 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 7 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2715 - - -6068 - - -5487 - - -5122 - - -5263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5043 - - 9186 - - 10866 - - 9634 - - 7591 sfcLCL ODpotential -11192 - - -10963 - - -9156 - - -8337 - - -10538 ODpotential blCL 13520 - - 14081 - - 14534 - - 12849 - - 12866 blCL maxRH 48 - - 55 - - 70 - - 90 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 65.1 - - 71.7 - - 70.9 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 33.5 - - 32.4 - - 37.0 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 64.3 - - 70.9 - - 70.3 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 31.8 - - 36.3 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 120 - - 244 - - 63 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 806 - - 3066 - - 2200 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97002 10 289 10 339 2 272 5 264 15 310 97002 89783 9 293 7 358 4 285 5 279 11 283 89783 84215 6 316 4 346 5 292 2 259 8 281 84215 79570 6 009 1 070 8 258 3 005 5 274 79570 75562 8 007 5 136 11 248 7 311 1 302 75562 72019 9 354 3 105 8 236 10 289 4 348 72019 68807 9 329 5 328 4 248 10 278 7 303 68807 65853 11 315 10 311 7 294 13 272 11 298 65853 63105 14 299 13 299 10 303 14 269 15 295 63105 60434 19 298 17 293 16 293 17 273 19 297 60434 57644 23 293 21 289 24 283 21 281 25 293 57644 54750 27 288 28 285 33 279 28 282 29 286 54750 51987 31 283 33 278 39 270 35 269 33 280 51987 49503 33 288 32 279 38 269 36 267 38 278 49503 47282 40 292 36 286 41 274 44 267 46 273 47282 45275 50 280 49 281 50 279 49 270 50 269 45275 43450 55 277 63 274 64 269 59 265 57 264 43450 41774 61 278 59 265 52 259 54 260 58 260 41774 40226 66 280 57 269 50 267 45 263 56 255 40226 38788 69 281 61 276 59 267 45 257 52 247 38788 37446 66 279 69 275 67 258 42 263 33 238 37446 36157 57 275 72 273 62 258 46 258 24 239 36157 34850 44 274 70 274 56 262 51 249 24 241 34850 33494 38 280 64 274 57 262 52 245 22 244 33494 32091 36 281 59 269 54 261 42 254 21 247 32091 30629 35 279 40 266 45 285 29 276 22 248 30629 29095 30 283 30 273 28 291 17 269 21 243 29095 27493 24 289 26 278 17 293 12 239 15 239 27493 25830 19 291 20 283 14 301 9 236 5 263 25830 24107 18 291 16 291 12 323 6 230 5 254 24107 22323 15 282 13 299 10 344 3 202 8 247 22323 20470 8 278 9 287 4 338 4 192 9 245 20470 18543 5 285 4 272 1 200 6 208 9 239 18543 16577 5 295 3 284 3 189 7 220 10 234 16577 14677 4 312 1 235 5 201 7 223 10 229 14677 12942 2 017 3 131 6 196 5 219 9 215 12942 11395 4 061 5 132 7 195 5 213 7 199 11395 10013 4 070 5 137 8 194 5 209 6 182 10013 8779 4 068 6 142 8 191 6 204 6 162 8779 7678 4 060 6 140 9 189 6 199 6 151 7678 6699 4 058 7 134 9 188 6 203 6 153 6699 5833 4 066 8 130 9*185 6 206 5 176 5833 5065 3 076 8 126 8*183 4*196 4 193 5065 4375 3 094 7 123 6 182 3*159 4 190 4375 3763 4 098 7 118 5 179 5 106 5 146 3763 3251 7 092 7*112 4 173 5 099 8 115 3251 2858 9 089 7*106 4 172 6 098 9 098 2858 2587 9 090 7 104 3 172 6 096 9 089 2587 2423 8*094 6 103 3 171 6 095 8 086 2423 2328 5*103 6 102 3 169 5 095 5*085 2328 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography