DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 87.2 - - 87.3 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 444 - - 237 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2809 - - 5523 - - 5391 - - 414 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4137 - - 6340 - - 5960 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5133 - - 7846 - - 7714 - - 2736 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1790 - - 1255 - - 2060 - - 979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 555 - - 447 - - 70 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 15 - - 19 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 194 - - 203 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - 40 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5865 - - -4740 - - -4691 - - -5154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10998 - - 12586 - - 12406 - - 7890 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13578 - - -11157 - - -11063 - - -11937 ODpotential blCL - - - 18711 - - 19003 - - 18777 - - 14673 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 85 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 87.2 - - 87.3 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 40.0 - - 40.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 84.5 - - 85.5 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 444 - - 237 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2809 - - 5523 - - 5391 - - 414 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 41 - - 54 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99119 37 110 28 110 32 095 40 100 99119 91641 28 118 25 096 26 120 25 086 91641 85905 25 107 25 111 25 113 20 111 85905 81142 20 091 27 108 18 107 25 099 81142 77032 17 111 22 105 21 103 23 091 77032 73412 25 117 18 110 19 102 22 088 73412 70147 16 104 16 107 16 095 19 087 70147 67158 11 106 9 110 11 094 13 101 67158 64398 9 115 8 128 9 131 9 123 64398 61737 5 153 6 217 2 145 5 112 61737 58970 6 230 9 240 4 275 3 129 58970 56108 15 226 18 234 16 251 12 264 56108 53389 16 263 17 233 26 230 29 236 53389 50954 28 260 23 249 25 226 29 228 50954 48757 40 255 39 264 30 260 32 254 48757 46746 46 248 52 250 51 255 57 252 46746 44896 47 250 52 248 55 250 63 246 44896 43174 50 261 52 253 60 249 63 247 43174 41568 58 263 58 254 63 248 65 250 41568 40064 61 265 60 254 59 249 59 249 40064 38652 58 268 55 260 48 253 52 247 38652 37298 51 268 46 264 35 258 45 246 37298 35929 36 262 32 259 29 247 43 243 35929 34513 29 248 30 238 31 235 43 242 34513 33052 24 240 33 228 33 231 41 242 33052 31530 19 249 30 225 36 224 34 242 31530 29937 15 262 18 229 33 216 30 239 29937 28273 10 270 11 234 15 202 28 221 28273 26539 9 270 10 232 9 203 23 199 26539 24747 9 266 9 241 9 210 13 146 24747 22893 8 261 7 250 6 204 9 153 22893 20960 6 243 4 243 4 175 12 156 20960 18953 4 202 4 189 6 163 14 155 18953 16917 6 182 5 176 8 170 12 153 16917 14961 8 184 7 177 8 174 9 152 14961 13181 10 180 9 182 8 179 5 150 13181 11594 11 174 11 183 10 182 5 192 11594 10179 12 166 12 176 12 163 10 202 10179 8916 10 163 11*171 9 141 12 188 8916 7793 7 175 7*174 8*145 10 154 7793 6794 8 187 7 179 7*157 8 134 6794 5911 8*182 6 185 6 177 5 176 5911 5128 6*172 7 195 5 192 6 215 5128 4425 5 170 7 200 5 208 6 223 4425 3802 3 176 7 204 4 227 5 255 3802 3280 3 180 7 208 4 236 7 297 3280 2879 2 182 7 210 4 242 8*305 2879 2603 2 183 7 211 4 243 8*307 2603 2435 2 187 7 212 4 246 7 306 2435 2339 2 186 6 211 4 247 5 307 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography