DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.2 - - 83.5 - - 89.4 - - 84.9 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 345 - - 453 - - 291 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 164 - - 1418 - - 2935 - - 1312 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3111 - - 4314 - - 2993 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2486 - - 3741 - - 5258 - - 3635 - - 2630 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 346 - - 1233 - - 3146 - - 799 - - 403 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 325 - - 453 - - 299 - - 59 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 16 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 326 - - 301 - - 308 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 8 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8601 - - -9513 - - -9011 - - -8721 - - -6054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11087 - - 13255 - - 14269 - - 12357 - - 8684 sfcLCL ODpotential -18445 - - -16905 - - -15541 - - -15454 - - -14821 ODpotential blCL 20931 - - 20646 - - 20799 - - 19089 - - 17451 blCL maxRH 22 - - 23 - - 28 - - 38 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.2 - - 83.5 - - 89.4 - - 84.9 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 33.7 - - 34.8 - - 39.0 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 81.3 - - 86.6 - - 82.7 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 33.0 - - 33.9 - - 38.4 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 345 - - 453 - - 291 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 164 - - 1418 - - 2935 - - 1312 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99412 51 101 43 105 42 121 35 112 31 112 99412 91878 47 101 36 108 36 111 30 111 33 101 91878 86061 37 102 36 115 36 108 30 117 28 102 86061 81244 32 097 34 105 33 110 33 119 25 111 81244 77124 26 104 24 110 27 106 30 109 25 112 77124 73497 26 103 22 128 22 119 23 101 25 111 73497 70212 20 098 23 117 19 125 20 108 22 108 70212 67200 10 119 23 113 22 122 21 111 20 114 67200 64419 17 138 18 116 20 128 20 123 17 120 64419 61735 16 150 21 144 23 144 21 141 16 142 61735 58937 20 174 17 180 14 170 14 163 14 150 58937 56045 20 189 25 182 24 200 21 203 21 199 56045 53311 21 186 21 200 29 200 32 204 31 199 53311 50860 23 215 29 208 35 211 34 212 36 204 50860 48661 32 217 35 220 42 222 48 226 43 218 48661 46663 36 232 39 226 46 221 57 224 58 224 46663 44820 42 232 42 218 47 218 53 227 60 224 44820 43105 43 223 44 211 47 217 52 226 55 228 43105 41506 42 218 44 210 46 213 53 220 54 226 41506 40011 41 220 46 209 46 208 52 214 53 216 40011 38607 42 225 48 211 50 208 47 211 50 211 38607 37254 41 228 45 216 47 213 49 212 49 211 37254 35885 36 231 39 225 39 215 44 213 47 214 35885 34470 34 227 33 232 33 212 39 205 44 211 34470 33009 36 223 29 224 31 203 40 202 43 209 33009 31488 35 223 32 218 35 203 42 207 41 212 31488 29896 32 223 31 221 36 215 37 210 38 209 29896 28239 28 223 29 216 33 221 31 211 38 205 28239 26517 24 226 28 215 31 218 28 210 41 202 26517 24730 20 222 23 208 29 211 28 206 38 201 24730 22880 18 212 22 199 30 207 31 203 31 204 22880 20960 15 207 21 204 27 213 29 209 24 198 20960 18963 16 197 21 213 23 221 24 222 19 200 18963 16929 18 192 19 212 17 224 15 220 13 188 16929 14971 11 211 14 221 11 225 8 217 8 178 14971 13190 10 242 10 250 7 237 5 229 5 200 13190 11605 10 254 9 268 6 246 4 236 7 224 11605 10195 9 258 8 265 7 236 6 223 10 222 10195 8936 7 265 7 248 7 212 9 199 13 210 8936 7813 5 274 8 230 7 194 10 184 14 199 7813 6812 4 288 7 224 7 182 10 179 13 195 6812 5925 4 306 4 221 6*178 8 181 11 197 5925 5136 4 337 2 228 3*197 6 198 9 205 5136 4428 8 353 2 324 3 277 5 230 6 221 4428 3800 12 352 7*329 6 307 9*302 5 286 3800 3276 15 345 8*327 7 308 12*308 13 315 3276 2876 16 334 8 326 8 308 12 309 14*316 2876 2601 14*331 8 325 8 309 12 308 13*316 2601 2435 12*331 8 325 8 308 11 309 11 315 2435 2339 6 330 7 325 7 308 10 309 7 314 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography