DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 93.0 - - 89.5 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 413 - - 261 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2464 - - 5065 - - 2094 - - 237 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3855 - - 5954 - - 3527 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4788 - - 7389 - - 4418 - - 2560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1152 - - 1418 - - 3338 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 528 - - 338 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 30 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 299 - - 320 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 22 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6119 - - -5351 - - -7095 - - -6427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10908 - - 12741 - - 11514 - - 8988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11133 - - -9127 - - -11213 - - -13243 ODpotential blCL - - - 15921 - - 16516 - - 15631 - - 15803 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 32 - - 37 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 93.0 - - 89.5 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 45.0 - - 47.1 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 90.4 - - 87.7 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 44.3 - - 46.5 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 413 - - 261 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2464 - - 5065 - - 2094 - - 237 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98612 24 119 20 097 21 101 20 108 98612 91190 16 096 14 072 17 095 18 103 91190 85469 15 090 10 076 11 083 17 084 85469 80717 20 092 9 114 13 073 16 084 80717 76640 21 097 13 139 16 074 18 075 76640 73046 18 102 12 116 14 082 17 076 73046 69786 13 118 8 120 11 064 17 070 69786 66799 19 105 9 138 4 103 12 031 66799 64051 12 068 10 131 4 127 1 015 64051 61399 6 048 2 123 3 057 2 087 61399 58642 3 013 1 236 3 278 5 315 58642 55798 8 343 4 348 3 266 6 273 55798 53092 14 317 9 320 6 295 9 294 53092 50652 17 292 15 295 14 290 15 294 50652 48461 20 281 18 290 18 289 17 286 48461 46464 23 281 22 288 22 289 19 285 46464 44628 22 283 24 287 23 293 20 292 44628 42933 20 283 25 286 23 290 21 297 42933 41360 17 284 24 292 20 296 20 303 41360 39888 17 288 24 304 22 313 19 309 39888 38503 17 288 25 312 23 322 19 317 38503 37165 18 287 24 319 24 326 20 320 37165 35808 18 290 24 330 22 327 19 313 35808 34402 18 299 24 331 20 322 19 306 34402 32954 18 306 22 326 20 315 21 304 32954 31452 18 308 20 321 20 318 21 309 31452 29882 16 316 18 324 19 320 20 314 29882 28241 13 319 18 326 18 322 19 316 28241 26529 12 318 14 326 16 320 18 318 26529 24749 11 305 10 314 12 315 15 320 24749 22905 5 277 7 299 10 306 12 325 22905 20992 3 346 5 306 10 294 10 323 20992 19005 7 006 6 346 9 313 9 325 19005 16981 10 010 8 003 8 332 7 335 16981 15030 9 022 6 004 7 340 6 336 15030 13250 9 034 4 014 5 336 6 323 13250 11660 10 043 4 053 3 345 7 314 11660 10242 10 040 4 051 2 033 5 312 10242 8975 8 034 3 032 2 068 3 308 8975 7846 4 028 1*325 2 117 2 255 7846 6841 2 353 2*301 2 134 1 293 6841 5950 3 322 2 298 1 307 4 011 5950 5159 2*298 3 295 4 314 7 018 5159 4447 1*271 3 299 7*318 9 013 4447 3815 2 265 4 301 11*320 11 001 3815 3287 2 264 4 300 12 320 14 341 3287 2882 2 263 4 301 12 320 14 331 2882 2604 2 264 4 302 12 320 12*329 2604 2436 2 262 4 302 12 320 11*329 2436 2339 2 264 4 301 10 320 7 328 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography