DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 55.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 113 - - 30 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 297 - - 1701 - - 797 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2897 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2618 - - 4023 - - 3119 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 312 - - 803 - - 943 - - 1534 - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 87 - - 244 - - 124 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 17 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 292 - - 333 - - 053 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 7 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1502 - - -1865 - - -1103 - - -828 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3839 - - 4484 - - 5126 - - 3947 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -8668 - - -6944 - - -4937 - - -4746 - - -5603 ODpotential blCL 11005 - - 9562 - - 8960 - - 7865 - - 7940 blCL maxRH 69 - - 62 - - 69 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 55.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 41.0 - - 43.4 - - 46.0 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 52.3 - - 57.0 - - 55.0 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 40.0 - - 42.3 - - 45.3 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 27 - - 113 - - 30 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 297 - - 1701 - - 797 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95489 20 285 31 299 34 285 29 279 47 275 95489 88624 3 330 14 317 15 296 18 294 25 292 88624 83294 10 029 7 321 10 308 14 312 12 310 83294 78856 13 029 6 351 7 322 11 334 6 354 78856 75015 12 035 5 022 4 348 8 336 4 358 75015 71594 13 037 4 022 4 008 6 332 8 329 71594 68482 9 037 4 000 6 353 4 344 9 314 68482 65608 5 026 4 338 9 338 7 338 9 314 65608 62927 6 358 4 310 11 319 11 322 12 311 62927 60326 11 336 5 328 11 306 14 308 14 297 60326 57609 12 324 12 321 13 303 17 304 16 306 57609 54773 13 320 18 305 17 300 22 306 19 297 54773 52038 15 313 21 301 19 301 25 300 20 302 52038 49551 17 312 22 308 20 300 26 305 28 316 49551 47303 19 317 22 313 22 305 30 311 34 316 47303 45247 20 321 22 314 24 309 33 313 34 316 45247 43361 24 338 23 319 27 321 33 323 38 334 43361 41630 30 345 24 342 29 334 40 333 45 339 41630 40034 35 354 27 350 29 342 41 340 47 342 40034 38551 36 002 40 008 37 000 41 352 50 352 38551 37168 46 017 59 011 54 009 46 005 56 359 37168 35848 67 015 70 009 71 013 62 005 68 357 35848 34526 69 015 77 009 80 011 69 360 73 354 34526 33169 68 019 78 009 78 011 70 359 71 353 33169 31771 68 018 69 010 71 012 72 002 70 356 31771 30316 64 016 61 013 66 013 72 004 69 358 30316 28793 56 018 58 011 67 014 69 005 72 356 28793 27204 47 021 54 008 68 014 64 004 74 356 27204 25546 35 024 47 008 66 014 62 003 74 357 25546 23825 28 019 40 012 59 011 58 005 67 359 23825 22043 30 010 32 015 51 008 55 007 60 001 22043 20195 34 007 30 012 41 005 55 009 56 002 20195 18274 29 007 30 010 35 001 48 007 52 004 18274 16316 21 002 27 005 30 355 38 359 46 002 16316 14429 15 003 20 353 25 347 30 350 41 356 14429 12713 12 012 15 340 19 335 23 341 32 349 12713 11191 12 011 13 338 15 324 18 331 22 344 11191 9838 13 002 12 339 13 323 15 326 16 341 9838 8632 13 353 11 337 12 322 11 328 11 340 8632 7556 11 345 10 333 11 314 9 330 7 343 7556 6600 8 339 9 325 10 301 8 326 5 343 6600 5753 6 332 7 312 9 291 6 327 3 349 5753 5003 4 330 5 298 6 287 4 348 3 012 5003 4330 3 330 5 291 3*308 3 008 2 019 4330 3734 3 327 4 292 3*320 4 026 3 025 3734 3236 4 328 4 303 3 330 5*042 3 039 3236 2853 5 328 4*311 3 339 6*052 3 070 2853 2589 5 325 3*304 2 339 6 053 3 083 2589 2429 3 316 2 286 2 340 5 053 3 072 2429 2337 1*304 2 283 2 340 5 054 2*059 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography