DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 51.7 - - 54.4 - - 53.1 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 116 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 891 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2338 - - 3212 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 174 - - 743 - - 656 - - 1331 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 27 - - 196 - - 19 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 275 - - 027 - - 040 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4502 - - -4834 - - -2802 - - -3007 - - -142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6840 - - 7172 - - 6014 - - 5345 - - 2479 sfcLCL ODpotential -16353 - - -13899 - - -10687 - - -10173 - - -12361 ODpotential blCL 18690 - - 16237 - - 13899 - - 12511 - - 14698 blCL maxRH 57 - - 77 - - 74 - - 54 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 51.7 - - 54.4 - - 53.1 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.9 - - 29.0 - - 36.5 - - 38.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 51.6 - - 53.4 - - 53.4 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 27.4 - - 35.6 - - 37.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 116 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 891 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96711 58 097 54 095 35 090 42 091 37 086 96711 89589 49 097 50 097 45 099 42 092 45 090 89589 84069 35 088 43 092 45 097 42 095 48 093 84069 79437 26 085 33 083 41 093 37 098 41 096 79437 75406 22 090 26 083 28 091 29 091 35 084 75406 71835 24 074 20 083 20 100 22 087 24 074 71835 68592 18 045 15 050 12 083 15 069 21 075 68592 65598 9 010 13 021 8 046 12 054 20 053 65598 62824 5 022 10 004 11 348 16 015 21 043 62824 60149 9 353 9 355 14 329 20 345 20 019 60149 57366 18 338 9 326 13 307 17 334 19 359 57366 54494 27 323 15 341 14 316 18 319 19 344 54494 51767 31 313 19 334 15 327 15 311 15 335 51767 49331 32 307 24 354 24 357 15 354 30 008 49331 47181 27 317 33 353 28 003 26 014 27 008 47181 45245 35 342 33 346 32 009 35 029 32 038 45245 43463 39 326 30 338 34 008 50 033 51 042 43463 41817 31 307 26 335 36 007 57 028 72 043 41817 40287 15 316 25 345 37 005 66 026 82 043 40287 38849 39 024 29 360 37 007 67 017 86 040 38849 37497 38 013 31 001 38 007 49 011 84 039 37497 36196 35 004 26 354 40 009 44 041 81 038 36196 34879 38 007 23 347 37 004 52 051 80 039 34879 33517 41 004 27 347 34 353 55 048 76 039 33517 32110 37 360 31 340 34 343 55 042 69 037 32110 30650 29 350 35 343 35 343 56 039 60 033 30650 29124 27 340 37 343 36 349 55 033 50 025 29124 27530 28 337 37 338 36 354 53 021 44 021 27530 25865 29 335 35 335 36 357 56 023 41 017 25865 24129 31 333 32 337 36 356 54 028 35 016 24129 22327 33 333 30 337 35 350 50 024 28 012 22327 20449 32 333 31 339 36 348 44 016 26 005 20449 18491 31 329 30 336 34 348 35 004 30 001 18491 16491 32 326 29 325 31 343 31 351 32 002 16491 14564 30 324 30 322 30 334 30 342 30 001 14564 12814 27 321 31 324 29 328 28 336 27 357 12814 11264 24 323 28 326 28 327 27 334 23 351 11264 9890 21 327 24 328 25 329 25 335 19 346 9890 8669 19 330 21 331 22 334 23 338 16 344 8669 7581 18 333 19 336 19 341 20 343 14 347 7581 6615 17 336 17 339 16 347 17 347 13 352 6615 5762 15 338 15 340 16 349 15 350 13 355 5762 5006 14 341 13 339 15 348 15 353 12 355 5006 4329 13 341 11 340 13 344 14 353 12 354 4329 3730 12 340 10 337 10 344 11 352 11 352 3730 3232 11 340 10 332 5*002 6 007 10 355 3232 2849 7 353 7 326 5*021 5 032 7 020 2849 2586 5 029 3 313 4 027 5 036 6 057 2586 2428 4*066 1*278 4 030 4*039 5*087 2428 2337 4*079 1*275 4 031 3*040 2*103 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography