DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 78.7 - - 76.3 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 441 - - 235 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 3190 - - 1726 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2928 - - 4499 - - 3221 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3496 - - 5513 - - 4049 - - 2629 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 585 - - 1988 - - 2891 - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 459 - - 304 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - 12 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 201 - - 282 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 16 - - 23 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3398 - - -4097 - - -4333 - - -1231 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6894 - - 9611 - - 8383 - - 3861 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10936 - - -10540 - - -10388 - - -10677 ODpotential blCL - - - 14432 - - 16053 - - 14437 - - 13306 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 54 - - 54 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 78.7 - - 76.3 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 44.6 - - 47.6 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 76.1 - - 74.5 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 44.4 - - 47.5 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 441 - - 235 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1174 - - 3190 - - 1726 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99012 20 113 17 139 7 144 11 059 99012 91574 18 105 19 109 22 113 14 123 91574 85839 15 115 14 091 21 102 17 116 85839 81082 15 127 8 114 15 098 18 104 81082 76980 15 124 8 153 10 097 15 106 76980 73347 11 107 12 159 4 128 7 066 73347 70059 6 163 9 157 4 174 5 083 70059 67033 12 170 10 198 8 243 3 004 67033 64231 6 165 11 173 12 215 6 268 64231 61519 10 251 7 226 11 201 8 246 61519 58701 14 249 19 243 21 234 20 255 58701 55796 17 274 23 245 23 242 27 250 55796 53036 27 281 31 267 36 266 38 260 53036 50558 35 284 39 280 48 274 50 268 50558 48329 44 288 54 283 59 272 59 268 48329 46303 54 293 63 282 66 274 76 273 46303 44449 56 295 69 283 80 278 95 274 44449 42737 55 295 72 284 87 277 98 272 42737 41144 51 294 68 285 85 277 94 271 41144 39654 44 292 60 287 81 277 92 271 39654 38255 38 286 50 285 71 277 88 271 38255 36908 33 279 41 277 59 275 81 270 36908 35547 30 273 37 272 48 269 69 267 35547 34142 28 268 37 273 41 259 57 261 34142 32698 25 266 36 275 41 255 51 253 32698 31196 22 266 30 274 42 260 48 250 31196 29623 20 267 26 265 39 263 44 250 29623 27981 18 268 23 260 31 258 40 245 27981 26271 16 273 19 255 28 245 38 236 26271 24495 16 280 20 253 29 239 36 231 24495 22656 16 274 23 250 29 235 32 228 22656 20750 16 267 24 247 27 235 28 223 20750 18769 13 263 21 241 21 233 23 216 18769 16753 10 260 14 234 17 231 19 209 16753 14809 10 242 10 234 14 230 16 208 14809 13041 10 212 11 216 12 231 14 208 13041 11468 12 186 13 199 11 228 13 209 11468 10069 12 182 14 194 12 210 13 208 10069 8823 12 191 14 193 14 180 15 200 8823 7713 13 197 13 186 14 156 18 185 7713 6726 14 194 12 174 13 148 18 163 6726 5852 15 186 10*169 11 150 16 143 5852 5078 15 180 8*175 9 158 12 141 5078 4383 13 182 7 186 5*173 9 164 4383 3767 9*198 6 204 3*243 7 188 3767 3254 6*248 6 212 4 282 7 275 3254 2863 6 254 6 218 5 287 11*301 2863 2594 6 257 6 221 5 288 11*304 2594 2431 6 258 5 223 5 287 10 304 2431 2338 5 259 5 225 5 288 6 304 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography