DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Panoche 2311ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 43.3 - - 46.4 - - 46.1 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 101 - - 138 - - 16 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 2529 - - 2895 - - 3374 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2311 - - 3399 - - 3849 - - 2311 - - 2311 Hcrit BL Top 2448 - - 4839 - - 5206 - - 5684 - - 2327 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3416 - - 1649 - - 1620 - - 1319 - - 2292 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 267 - - 310 - - 172 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 19 - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 336 - - 343 - - 356 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -7 - - -7 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 121 - - 1514 - - 1445 - - 2091 - - -142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2327 - - 3325 - - 3761 - - 3593 - - 2469 sfcLCL ODpotential -349 - - 650 - - 198 - - 975 - - -1523 ODpotential blCL 2797 - - 4189 - - 5008 - - 4709 - - 3850 blCL maxRH 99 - - 87 - - 89 - - 100 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 30 - - 30 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 43.3 - - 46.4 - - 46.1 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 37.1 - - 38.2 - - 38.8 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - 46.1 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 36.0 - - 36.7 - - 37.8 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 101 - - 138 - - 16 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 2529 - - 2895 - - 3374 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 49 - - 57 - - 100 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95591 34 300 32 304 20 312 26 248 31 306 95591 88333 20 322 14 301 16 278 20 307 19 321 88333 82910 20 340 6 353 12 274 13 345 19 348 82910 78485 17 335 9 014 10 264 19 323 18 354 78485 74685 18 324 12 004 4 284 16 304 19 355 74685 71307 21 322 13 349 7 347 9 301 18 349 71307 68231 20 328 16 342 17 330 13 330 18 356 68231 65379 22 326 21 329 22 316 16 340 17 006 65379 62696 25 320 22 325 23 313 23 342 23 359 62696 60061 29 306 26 324 28 317 33 332 30 347 60061 57288 33 292 33 316 36 318 39 324 39 332 57288 54399 37 304 42 315 41 318 40 327 45 324 54399 51639 55 313 49 316 42 323 48 327 46 325 51639 49155 63 310 55 322 48 329 52 322 49 331 49155 46924 67 311 68 325 60 333 56 331 58 337 46924 44897 77 312 82 323 73 333 66 338 72 335 44897 43049 88 307 90 316 82 335 83 344 85 330 43049 41368 91 303 89 312 95 334 104 332 93 328 41368 39827 89 302 88 313 107 327 110 327 91 332 39827 38397 85 305 87 315 111 324 107 331 101 347 38397 37056 85 311 85 321 108 327 97 342 109 353 37056 35761 87 316 86 332 96 336 120 003 109 356 35761 34447 89 319 93 339 103 353 137 007 109 358 34447 33086 92 321 98 341 114 356 131 004 109 359 33086 31682 94 321 102 341 119 353 122 001 107 359 31682 30222 96 320 106 339 125 350 118 356 104 359 30222 28698 99 319 112 339 124 345 116 352 100 357 28698 27107 102 319 116 341 120 339 111 349 96 354 27107 25448 104 318 114 340 117 338 103 341 92 353 25448 23719 105 317 107 334 116 343 102 336 89 353 23719 21924 106 316 105 330 105 339 108 345 86 352 21924 20056 102 318 97 330 103 333 106 351 84 350 20056 18109 90 325 79 333 87 334 96 345 83 349 18109 16123 68 330 58 336 62 334 88 342 83 352 16123 14220 49 331 45 339 46 335 65 344 73 355 14220 12510 39 329 38 341 37 338 42 347 51 359 12510 11007 32 328 34 340 33 341 32 352 34 005 11007 9677 26 333 30 338 30 343 31 355 29 013 9677 8493 23 333 26 334 27 346 29 355 29 016 8493 7437 27 325 23 333 25 350 27 355 29 017 7437 6500 29 322 22 338 23 353 23*355 27 016 6500 5672 29 323 22 340 22*352 19*355 26 012 5672 4940 29 324 22*339 21*349 18 355 26 005 4940 4282 27 325 22*338 20 345 17 356 25 001 4282 3699 25 326 21 337 19 343 16 357 24 359 3699 3211 23 326 20 335 18 342 15 358 22 357 3211 2834 19 326 18 334 17 341 15 358 19 354 2834 2575 16*327 17 334 16 341 14 358 15 353 2575 2417 13*327 15 334 14 341 12 358 12 352 2417 2327 10 327 12 333 12 341 10 358 6*351 2327 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography