DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 60.5 - - 57.6 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 390 - - 254 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2071 - - 3735 - - 2085 - - 290 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3516 - - 4888 - - 3504 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4392 - - 6056 - - 4406 - - 2611 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 966 - - 1077 - - 1592 - - 550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 468 - - 333 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 41 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 337 - - 322 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 9 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -188 - - -607 - - -668 - - -403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4580 - - 6664 - - 5075 - - 3014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4506 - - -4969 - - -2509 - - -7068 ODpotential blCL - - - 8898 - - 11025 - - 6915 - - 9679 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 68 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 60.5 - - 57.6 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 39.5 - - 43.5 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 58.3 - - 55.8 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 38.5 - - 43.1 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 390 - - 254 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2071 - - 3735 - - 2085 - - 290 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 20 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97351 51 269 61 273 64 285 54 295 97351 89974 53 279 59 282 56 287 54 286 89974 84270 51 277 49 278 44 279 51 270 84270 79530 40 271 39 268 40 270 44 267 79530 75447 37 266 34 269 33 271 31 273 75447 71840 33 270 31 271 31 280 26 279 71840 68572 28 266 30 271 32 284 26 287 68572 65571 21 261 30 265 32 282 27 299 65571 62801 14 274 22 264 30 275 29 298 62801 60128 20 308 20 277 26 271 27 297 60128 57341 26 305 21 292 24 285 26 297 57341 54444 29 304 25 307 23 295 23 297 54444 51672 32 306 27 308 23 309 26 305 51672 49177 31 307 28 310 28 313 29 308 49177 46949 32 306 33 308 33 319 30 315 46949 44938 33 305 36 307 37 323 32 327 44938 43121 29 312 35 311 38 322 37 332 43121 41463 29 327 34 319 26 325 35 329 41463 39931 37 335 30 319 30 353 36 347 39931 38508 41 335 30 336 43 349 38 357 38508 37176 38 334 34 341 48 344 36 357 37176 35890 36 332 36 338 40 340 34 357 35890 34588 36 331 35 334 32 351 33 001 34588 33240 35 332 35 330 33 360 34 003 33240 31850 35 334 33 332 33 004 34 360 31850 30403 36 335 32 342 34 003 35 354 30403 28885 36 339 35 349 32 353 32 354 28885 27297 35 344 37 348 28 346 31 359 27297 25640 35 347 33 346 26 347 28 357 25640 23917 33 343 30 351 26 347 26 349 23917 22131 30 341 29 348 25 347 23 348 22131 20276 26 344 28 338 24 347 21 357 20276 18345 23 350 25 332 24 344 17 358 18345 16378 19 352 20 332 21 335 15 336 16378 14484 16 348 17 334 17 328 17 317 14484 12759 14 345 15 335 13 333 16 317 12759 11221 10 337 12 334 9 340 13 318 11221 9852 6 323 8 326 6 328 10 308 9852 8634 3 318 3 307 4 282 8 290 8634 7553 2 349 1 158 3 164 7 250 7553 6595 1 059 2*104 5 123 4 210 6595 5749 1 232 2*081 4 111 2 130 5749 4999 1*278 1 048 2*017 4 057 4999 4326 3*306 2 345 7*330 6 043 4326 3730 5 309 3 330 12 322 7 023 3730 3231 5 310 3 323 13 321 11 342 3231 2850 5 308 4 319 13 321 12*330 2850 2588 5 307 4 318 13 320 11*328 2588 2429 5 308 4 318 12 320 10 327 2429 2337 5 307 4 316 10 320 6 325 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography