DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.5 - - 69.2 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 345 - - 125 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 2290 - - 1029 - - 221 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3023 - - 3747 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3756 - - 4612 - - 3352 - - 2543 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 743 - - 1558 - - 856 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 380 - - 208 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 286 - - 304 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3308 - - -4724 - - -5075 - - -2654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7064 - - 9336 - - 8428 - - 5197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6955 - - -7637 - - -8346 - - -8652 ODpotential blCL - - - 10711 - - 12249 - - 11698 - - 11195 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 72 - - 77 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 73.5 - - 69.2 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 40.4 - - 40.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 71.3 - - 68.2 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 40.2 - - 40.1 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 345 - - 125 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 2290 - - 1029 - - 221 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97944 14 209 10 244 14 250 15 261 97944 90623 4 199 4 174 9 187 5 248 90623 84948 2 064 4 144 6 122 4 086 84948 80241 6 121 2 045 9 079 11 066 80241 76221 8 119 4 005 9 054 12 054 76221 72690 10 084 1 104 8 346 9 070 72690 69484 10 033 5 103 5 308 2 053 69484 66530 13 320 6 343 2 342 5 294 66530 63804 10 299 6 315 4 005 2 036 63804 61163 11 319 5 347 15 333 5 359 61163 58417 18 301 17 290 26 285 25 294 58417 55600 16 302 17 279 21 260 26 272 55600 52914 25 310 21 309 11 291 17 268 52914 50477 33 301 33 309 25 323 16 302 50477 48268 35 294 37 299 36 309 27 299 48268 46246 32 291 35 292 42 293 36 291 46246 44378 28 289 33 287 44 285 41 283 44378 42640 28 289 32 285 42 286 43 280 42640 41009 28 293 31 285 39 284 43 279 41009 39472 29 301 32 287 35 277 42 279 39472 38021 34 309 33 290 34 277 41 279 38021 36622 39 312 35 296 33 280 40 276 36622 35202 38 308 37 298 34 285 40 275 35202 33734 33 293 36 290 35 285 39 277 33734 32229 32 275 32 277 31 278 37 274 32229 30683 34 260 30 263 27 263 31 257 30683 29091 32 252 31 252 26 251 31 241 29091 27447 28 247 33 244 28 246 31 239 27447 25748 31 240 35 238 31 244 31 239 25748 23995 37 238 40 236 33 241 31 233 23995 22193 38 240 38 235 36 237 33 234 22193 20330 35 245 34 233 33 241 31 237 20330 18397 31 249 31 234 29 245 25 242 18397 16434 28 250 28 242 26 245 21 246 16434 14548 25 248 26 249 23 241 20 243 14548 12836 21 241 24 246 23 235 20 237 12836 11313 18 237 24 238 24 231 21 233 11313 9952 19 248 23 239 23 236 20 238 9952 8735 21 261 22 246 20 242 15 239 8735 7647 19 266 18 249 14 234 11 208 7647 6677 13 265 13 246 10 210 12 174 6677 5817 9 260 8 242 8 194 13 170 5817 5053 5 266 6*251 6 196 12 178 5053 4366 2 277 5*271 5 208 11 191 4366 3757 3*291 6 284 5*277 10 202 3757 3247 3*292 7 288 8*303 10 254 3247 2858 4 293 7 290 9 305 13 285 2858 2592 4 293 7 291 9 304 12*289 2592 2430 3 292 7 291 8 304 10*291 2430 2338 3 291 6 291 7 304 5 293 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography