DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.2 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 497 - - 288 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3855 - - 7935 - - 7492 - - 510 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4993 - - 8330 - - 7705 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6177 - - 10257 - - 9815 - - 2832 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2285 - - 1560 - - 2583 - - 1030 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 650 - - 532 - - 81 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 40 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 157 - - 011 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 33 - - 36 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2923 - - -1109 - - -346 - - -3326 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9101 - - 11367 - - 10161 - - 6158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6696 - - -4162 - - -1355 - - -5993 ODpotential blCL - - - 12873 - - 14419 - - 11170 - - 8825 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 50 - - 74 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.2 - - 77.3 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 35.9 - - 40.5 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 75.4 - - 75.4 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 35.3 - - 40.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 497 - - 288 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3855 - - 7935 - - 7492 - - 510 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98892 25 118 25 110 23 121 26 096 98892 91455 21 099 23 103 23 103 25 100 91455 85723 18 097 22 100 21 092 25 105 85723 80962 21 113 19 101 16 097 25 093 80962 76850 19 110 17 098 15 097 18 079 76850 73221 16 105 11 099 19 097 9 105 73221 69944 12 096 14 102 10 093 12 105 69944 66918 6 122 4 094 6 101 7 113 66918 64108 4 177 2 093 1 329 3 048 64108 61384 4 207 3 279 3 234 5 228 61384 58545 7 279 13 277 14 299 10 294 58545 55600 12 259 19 255 20 281 20 284 55600 52791 22 299 23 291 25 293 24 299 52791 50262 37 292 31 286 33 291 31 303 50262 47988 44 291 39 287 36 289 42 297 47988 45917 53 289 44 286 41 294 47 292 45917 44023 59 286 45 285 52 291 47 288 44023 42279 62 285 49 291 53 284 43 305 42279 40661 66 284 57 291 44 273 53 318 40661 39158 72 283 62 283 21 310 55 317 39158 37760 77 283 60 277 37 337 51 314 37760 36432 82 283 52 278 55 328 46 313 36432 35098 87 281 52 276 53 325 37 325 35098 33723 87 278 53 271 45 335 36 344 33723 32304 85 278 53 272 44 351 39 350 32304 30825 86 278 56 273 49 003 40 347 30825 29272 85 277 56 270 54 007 40 341 29272 27649 78 278 52 265 55 008 42 338 27649 25955 69 278 46 263 51 007 43 340 25955 24193 60 274 39 263 46 006 43 348 24193 22366 52 274 32 263 37 007 43 350 22366 20471 43 276 27 264 25 009 43 357 20471 18508 33 276 23 268 15 010 39 005 18508 16519 27 272 18 272 8 022 28 009 16519 14615 22 262 14 259 6 014 18 027 14615 12889 18 248 12 217 2 020 14 048 12889 11357 14 233 10*192 3 114 10 043 11357 9993 12 229 5*152 4*110 8 034 9993 8774 9 219 5 147 4*085 10 029 8774 7684 8 202 4 145 5 047 13 023 7684 6713 8*195 3 147 7 027 15 020 6713 5850 8*192 3 157 8 016 15 016 5850 5083 8 192 2 164 10 007 15 009 5083 4393 8 196 2 175 11 003 16 358 4393 3779 7 201 2 190 11 356 19 345 3779 3266 7 206 2 201 11 355 19 336 3266 2871 7 208 2 210 11 354 16*332 2871 2599 6 211 2 213 11 353 14*330 2599 2434 6 213 2 214 11 353 13 330 2434 2339 5 213 1 216 9 352 8 329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography