DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 68.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 107 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 662 - - 2090 - - 2035 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3216 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2984 - - 4413 - - 4357 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 149 - - 1172 - - 1758 - - 2084 - - 1015 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 136 - - 266 - - 184 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 277 - - 262 - - 296 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2201 - - -3323 - - -3419 - - -3084 - - -1464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4540 - - 6307 - - 7833 - - 7441 - - 3802 sfcLCL ODpotential -10736 - - -9183 - - -8416 - - -8379 - - -8354 ODpotential blCL 13074 - - 12167 - - 12829 - - 12736 - - 10692 blCL maxRH 45 - - 47 - - 41 - - 61 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 68.0 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 44.3 - - 42.8 - - 43.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 63.3 - - 68.0 - - 67.8 - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 43.0 - - 41.5 - - 42.5 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 107 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 662 - - 2090 - - 2035 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96225 16 326 16 310 10 259 14 274 16 279 96225 89113 10 318 9 319 12 303 10 275 10 284 89113 83620 7 326 7 331 10 284 14 278 14 328 83620 79072 5 020 2 345 10 265 16 302 13 332 79072 75155 9 013 4 313 13 286 16 313 10 318 75155 71686 6 311 11 299 16 305 10 308 10 311 71686 68541 9 266 12 292 14 284 10 275 13 292 68541 65643 11 249 14 280 12 285 7 267 14 265 65643 62941 10 230 18 247 15 296 9 279 9 246 62941 60317 7 216 10 222 16 260 8 299 5 263 60317 57574 6 073 3 350 5 248 5 340 1 253 57574 54714 11 051 14 069 8 056 6 032 10 043 54714 51992 21 059 24 055 16 074 10 038 18 025 51992 49555 32 055 28 055 22 077 11 077 16 032 49555 47362 26 054 32 052 28 053 22 056 23 038 47362 45371 29 063 30 054 28 044 25 036 24 018 45371 43567 38 061 33 056 26 057 21 052 14 029 43567 41913 47 049 44 042 37 039 32 036 22 032 41913 40377 50 042 43 035 39 028 35 024 36 013 40377 38948 50 042 41 035 38 029 32 023 35 007 38948 37607 49 044 42 039 36 031 30 029 30 019 37607 36313 49 048 42 042 34 036 29 034 27 026 36313 34998 50 051 43 044 33 043 28 038 22 033 34998 33635 52 052 43 047 32 049 28 042 20 040 33635 32227 54 050 43 052 33 053 30 041 21 049 32227 30760 55 048 45 055 35 054 33 038 25 049 30760 29224 56 046 47 055 37 052 33 042 29 047 29224 27620 55 048 48 053 39 050 32 044 27 034 27620 25948 55 055 48 051 39 050 28 043 25 025 25948 24207 54 064 47 061 36 060 26 054 22 031 24207 22398 48 068 45 073 34 069 24 052 24 033 22398 20520 43 063 38 076 30 067 26 039 25 038 20520 18572 39 057 31 068 27 063 26 045 23 045 18572 16590 34 057 28 058 26 057 23 056 20 050 16590 14678 28 061 25 053 25 052 20 058 18 052 14678 12935 23 069 21 055 22 046 18 051 18 041 12935 11381 19 082 16 064 16 041 15 045 19 037 11381 9997 14 098 9 066 11 037 10 037 17 037 9997 8761 8 112 2 065 7 019 7 356 12 028 8761 7661 6 125 1 196 4 350 5 315 10 358 7661 6686 7 138 5 215 2 209 3 254 10 325 6686 5825 7 158 9 214 5 210 4 246 8 312 5825 5062 8 186 11 227 7*240 4 261 5 322 5062 4377 8 204 10 244 6*259 4*278 3 357 4377 3768 5 215 8 263 6 262 4*292 4 016 3768 3259 2 237 6*280 6 263 4 297 5 006 3259 2867 1 277 4*280 6 263 4 297 6 354 2867 2597 1 280 3 276 5 263 4 296 6 347 2597 2432 1*219 2 275 5 263 4 296 5 345 2432 2338 1*165 2 272 4 262 4 295 3*342 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography