DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.8 - - 51.4 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - -18 - - -5 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2337 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 151 - - 791 - - 427 - - 361 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 15 - - 19 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 7 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 202 - - 128 - - 173 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8124 - - -5756 - - -3942 - - -4324 - - -4492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10462 - - 8093 - - 6280 - - 6663 - - 6830 sfcLCL ODpotential -20020 - - -15884 - - -10302 - - -12261 - - -14325 ODpotential blCL 22358 - - 18221 - - 12640 - - 14599 - - 16663 blCL maxRH 76 - - 89 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 48.8 - - 51.4 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 25.1 - - 38.2 - - 34.3 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 54.3 - - 57.9 - - 57.3 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.3 - - 24.0 - - 37.0 - - 33.1 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - -18 - - -5 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 57 - - 89 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96466 47 053 33 041 37 035 38 041 37 048 96466 89364 42 053 35 047 29 033 34 045 32 059 89364 83869 39 059 39 057 29 044 27 050 33 051 83869 79301 32 068 38 063 27 056 25 053 33 039 79301 75341 26 069 27 070 24 062 23 051 24 034 75341 71821 18 047 14 079 18 053 14 042 14 037 71821 68634 17 024 10 064 11 044 10 021 10 032 68634 65716 19 009 12 032 9 062 5 360 7 040 65716 63019 14 345 12 359 8 042 3 346 6 049 63019 60403 10 324 9 333 8 353 3 033 3 087 60403 57664 4 324 6 324 5 310 1 040 3 159 57664 54809 2 120 3 315 2 233 4 252 6 192 54809 52077 5 158 3 207 10 214 16 235 9 220 52077 49627 6 207 7 182 16 198 23 218 21 214 49627 47473 17 208 17 198 25 210 29 218 25 210 47473 45558 22 199 44 205 49 225 37 230 38 231 45558 43813 30 215 65 215 92 228 68 232 71 238 43813 42194 37 218 90 221 110 226 87 234 110 230 42194 40677 44 225 101 222 107 223 102 234 108 230 40677 39243 53 223 107 222 103 223 90 231 90 231 39243 37885 53 225 106 221 101 223 86 225 76 228 37885 36569 53 226 102 220 96 224 88 224 71 225 36569 35231 50 226 94 220 87 224 90 226 69 223 35231 33843 45 222 73 219 66 220 89 228 70 223 33843 32406 43 218 51 216 45 209 69 227 72 223 32406 30908 40 216 37 209 32 188 55 222 72 227 30908 29340 30 212 29 198 29 174 34 208 55 229 29340 27705 21 213 25 187 28 169 30 187 42 226 27705 26005 27 202 20 179 28 170 32 184 33 217 26005 24241 33 211 15 158 28 172 33 183 27 207 24241 22417 13 194 17 145 29 174 30 181 27 200 22417 20524 9 122 22 145 29 179 29 185 26 184 20524 18554 20 145 23 159 27 185 29 197 22 187 18554 16549 25 150 24 169 26 184 23 203 17 199 16549 14621 26 139 23 171 27 177 19 204 13 200 14621 12871 29 124 22 166 28 164 22 196 13 183 12871 11318 30 120 22 153 23 145 27 163 18 175 11318 9936 28 124 23 152 20 129 29 140 18 168 9936 8707 25 131 26 162 20 134 24 145 18 155 8707 7616 21 137 29 164 21 155 21 161 16 157 7616 6647 17 139 27 161 21 170 22 169 11 161 6647 5792 15 141 23 161 20 177 23 173 7 163 5792 5035 15 145 19 166 21 179 25 173 6 176 5035 4354 16 147 16 175 24 176 25 171 6 198 4354 3751 17 150 15 187 25 171 25 168 6 210 3751 3247 16 153 14 198 21 166 24 166 7 208 3247 2859 13 158 13 206 15 160 20 166 8 197 2859 2592 9 165 11 212 8 150 13 168 8 184 2592 2430 4*174 8 215 7*147 9*171 6*174 2430 2338 0*320 3*202 3*128 3*173 3*160 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography