DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.8 - - 86.4 - - 91.9 - - 89.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 191 - - 291 - - 73 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1710 - - 7099 - - 3609 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 3135 - - 7395 - - 3842 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4033 - - 9422 - - 5932 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 118 - - 2348 - - 4464 - - 6975 - - 336 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 283 - - 523 - - 264 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 50 - - 63 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 067 - - 132 - - 085 - - 017 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - 21 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5994 - - -8130 - - -3710 - - -6309 - - -5201 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8334 - - 12163 - - 13132 - - 12242 - - 7541 sfcLCL ODpotential -11687 - - -10563 - - -5182 - - -9296 - - -10223 ODpotential blCL 14026 - - 14596 - - 14604 - - 15228 - - 12562 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 75 - - 64 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.8 - - 86.4 - - 91.9 - - 89.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 43.6 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.6 - - 85.0 - - 89.8 - - 88.7 - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 41.0 - - 41.6 - - 43.3 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 191 - - 291 - - 73 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1710 - - 7099 - - 3609 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97873 13 270 12 271 12 261 14 247 11 254 97873 90570 5 162 6 234 6 268 6 227 1 132 90570 84942 9 116 3 175 1 181 2 281 9 034 84942 80280 10 095 5 124 4 155 6 019 7 030 80280 76296 11 075 10 106 7 117 7 056 7 076 76296 72784 15 075 12 098 7 113 7 052 11 076 72784 69612 15 072 14 094 9 104 7 061 10 054 69612 66710 14 051 15 076 8 077 4 043 9 061 66710 64028 9 054 9 071 10 098 2 149 6 028 64028 61439 6 088 1 094 6 030 4 076 4 319 61439 58751 8 321 4 338 6 282 8 260 9 266 58751 55963 24 294 17 318 13 303 13 290 17 298 55963 53311 44 286 43 292 44 293 49 288 44 291 53311 50932 55 278 60 282 58 285 55 284 54 288 50932 48777 59 281 63 283 62 286 60 286 63 286 48777 46800 62 285 61 286 63 288 65 288 71 286 46800 44970 65 287 66 289 65 288 68 290 72 287 44970 43265 65 288 68 288 68 287 73 292 71 289 43265 41664 66 290 68 287 70 286 75 291 74 291 41664 40156 67 291 69 288 69 286 73 289 76 291 40156 38731 67 292 69 290 67 286 70 289 71 291 38731 37359 66 293 68 291 66 288 68 288 66 289 37359 35976 65 293 63 292 63 290 65 288 63 287 35976 34551 64 295 59 294 56 290 61 290 60 288 34551 33083 61 294 53 295 50 291 52 290 54 292 33083 31558 55 300 50 296 46 292 46 290 49 293 31558 29965 45 301 44 297 42 289 41 290 45 296 29965 28305 39 293 40 288 38 286 39 288 39 295 28305 26574 37 292 38 290 36 288 35 289 35 294 26574 24772 34 298 32 297 32 297 28 296 28 295 24772 22905 25 292 23 296 22 300 22 302 22 299 22905 20973 18 263 15 276 15 285 15 298 16 303 20973 18971 15 227 15 242 13 262 9 302 9 310 18971 16938 10 228 10 221 9 243 7 326 5 019 16938 14987 6 212 5 180 6 182 2 334 8 069 14987 13217 7 174 5 153 7 132 6 122 8 098 13217 11642 8 169 6 139 7 116 8 111 8 109 11642 10236 6 161 6 131 6*110 8 104 8 101 10236 8978 6 140 5 110 5*111 6 100 7 089 8978 7853 7 138 6 116 3 117 4 083 6 082 7853 6849 7 141 8 125 1 111 4 063 5 074 6849 5958 8 141 8 132 1 100 4*041 5 064 5958 5166 8 131 8 140 1 059 7*021 6 048 5166 4454 10 116 6*149 1 036 7 018 8 027 4454 3822 11 105 2*154 2 036 8 017 11 017 3822 3293 11 094 1 131 2 036 8 016 13 009 3293 2886 11 079 1 124 2 037 8 016 13 000 2886 2606 10 071 1 112 2 036 8 016 12 354 2606 2437 7*065 1 107 2 035 7 016 9 354 2437 2339 3*067 1 104 2 034 6 016 4*354 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography