DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 75.7 - - - - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 383 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2721 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2900 - - 4100 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3527 - - 5044 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 1285 - - - - - 395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 416 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 283 - - - - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2471 - - -2920 - - - - - -1923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5999 - - 7964 - - - - - 4261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6862 - - -5577 - - - - - -8859 ODpotential blCL - - - 10389 - - 10621 - - - - - 11197 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 72 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 370 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 75.7 - - - - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 48.8 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 73.4 - - - - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 48.6 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 383 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2721 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98340 10 061 4 088 2 339 98340 90995 12 059 13 088 6 050 90995 85341 13 054 17 085 14 040 85341 80659 12 096 12 076 10 056 80659 76626 14 116 8 077 9 058 76626 73050 12 106 5 094 10 072 73050 69799 8 100 5 157 7 047 69799 66805 1 226 2 178 4 022 66805 64028 6 208 6 245 5 285 64028 61336 4 199 8 219 12 248 61336 58526 9 253 11 238 16 247 58526 55608 15 246 17 249 16 257 55608 52825 17 251 18 256 16 279 52825 50329 17 255 19 269 21 288 50329 48092 15 266 22 283 26 284 48092 46055 18 279 25 288 27 283 46055 44183 17 282 23 297 28 286 44183 42447 15 311 25 311 29 288 42447 40828 20 322 28 313 29 294 40828 39311 23 323 29 323 31 301 39311 37888 21 325 33 328 34 308 37888 36523 23 338 33 329 40 317 36523 35150 26 348 35 336 42 320 35150 33739 28 354 40 345 42 327 33739 32294 27 359 41 349 42 333 32294 30806 20 360 31 352 37 330 30806 29262 10 005 22 356 26 336 29262 27659 6 027 17 002 23 349 27659 25989 7 033 14 008 26 354 25989 24252 7 037 12 022 22 359 24252 22451 7 065 10 046 19 018 22451 20583 8 098 8 063 17 032 20583 18642 8 119 6 073 15 036 18642 16664 9 115 6 098 11 035 16664 14755 10 111 7 102 8 046 14755 13012 10 119 7 098 11 051 13012 11455 12 117 8 096 13 045 11455 10063 10 121 7 098 11 041 10063 8819 7 128 4 104 9 038 8819 7709 3 120 0 088 7 022 7709 6724 1 175 1 321 6 022 6724 5853 2 224 2 269 4 064 5853 5082 3 207 3*275 4 086 5082 4389 4 216 3*279 4 082 4389 3774 4*245 4 283 3 079 3774 3260 5*263 5 283 4 356 3260 2866 5 267 5 284 9 332 2866 2596 5 270 5 285 10 326 2596 2432 5 269 5 284 9*325 2432 2338 4 270 5 284 4*321 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography