DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Panoche 2485ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 60.7 - - 65.7 - - 60.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 127 - - 453 - - 574 - - 362 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 467 - - 1772 - - 2390 - - 1461 - - 437 BL Depth Hcrit 2485 - - 3590 - - 4112 - - 3313 - - 2484 Hcrit BL Top 2951 - - 4258 - - 4876 - - 3947 - - 2922 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 415 - - 893 - - 840 - - 510 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 381 - - 456 - - 332 - - 104 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 19 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 312 - - 309 - - 308 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -6 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -225 - - -1688 - - -2460 - - -2144 - - -599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3177 - - 5947 - - 7336 - - 6091 - - 3522 sfcLCL ODpotential -7684 - - -7056 - - -6287 - - -7216 - - -6732 ODpotential blCL 10635 - - 11314 - - 11163 - - 11163 - - 9654 blCL maxRH 91 - - 84 - - 69 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 60.7 - - 65.7 - - 60.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 43.3 - - 42.1 - - 42.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 58.5 - - 62.9 - - 58.6 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 43.1 - - 42.1 - - 42.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 127 - - 453 - - 574 - - 362 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 467 - - 1772 - - 2390 - - 1461 - - 437 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 35 - - 0 - - 27 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98396 11 274 14 281 15 307 16 305 14 278 98396 91363 11 278 11 274 17 284 18 300 13 284 91363 85849 9 275 7 255 17 262 19 296 10 281 85849 81237 9 271 7 268 12 250 15 289 8 281 81237 77255 7 260 8 282 6 239 9 282 5 288 77255 73732 3 219 8 282 3 208 5 274 3 296 73732 70534 1 221 8 287 1 281 3 289 2 346 70534 67582 5 283 8 285 4 310 4 334 4 351 67582 64833 6 288 8 266 7 282 6 334 5 330 64833 62162 8 305 7 274 11 277 9 310 6 326 62162 59369 14 293 10 284 13 279 13 295 8 323 59369 56460 20 283 16 278 17 277 17 285 12 311 56460 53678 25 283 21 274 19 273 18 279 16 304 53678 51178 26 285 24 276 21 277 19 281 18 304 51178 48943 29 286 28 278 24 281 19 289 20 305 48943 46922 33 281 30 276 26 285 20 297 20 307 46922 45074 34 276 30 274 27 286 22 300 20 310 45074 43370 33 276 29 274 27 286 25 298 21 311 43370 41789 34 279 28 277 27 287 27 296 22 312 41789 40314 37 279 30 279 29 287 27 293 23 309 40314 38932 38 278 33 279 31 287 25 288 20 301 38932 37605 35 280 35 278 33 287 24 285 16 286 37605 36268 35 287 37 279 34 287 25 284 15 265 36268 34892 38 292 37 280 35 288 27 284 14 254 34892 33473 39 293 34 281 34 288 27 282 14 257 33473 31990 37 290 32 281 31 288 26 278 13 272 31990 30428 34 285 30 280 28 286 25 273 12 284 30428 28784 32 283 29 279 25 284 24 274 11 283 28784 27057 30 281 28 276 24 283 23 278 11 274 27057 25251 28 281 27 273 24 284 20 282 10 265 25251 23367 25 282 25 270 22 282 17 284 9 257 23367 21399 22 285 22 269 20 275 16 281 8 252 21399 19345 18 287 18 267 18 269 16 278 6 248 19345 17252 13 285 14 266 15 264 15 277 6 250 17252 15236 10 278 11 269 12 271 13 278 8 260 15236 13403 9 272 9 277 9 286 10 286 10 265 13403 11773 8 271 8 291 8 303 9 300 10 270 11773 10326 8 277 8 303 8 311 9 308 9 282 10326 9039 8 283 8 308 8 314 9 308 8 298 9039 7897 8 285 7 310 7 315 8 305 7 316 7897 6888 7 286 6 313 6 321 8 303 7 332 6888 6001 6 291 5 327 6 326 9 307 9 341 6001 5219 6 300 5 338 8*321 11 311 12 338 5219 4522 6 316 7*327 11*314 15*312 15 333 4522 3910 9 322 10*316 13 310 19*309 19 322 3910 3403 12 319 11 313 14 309 20 308 21 314 3403 3018 13*316 11 311 14 308 19 307 19*310 3018 2753 11*314 11 309 14 307 19 307 17*308 2753 2593 10 314 11 309 13 307 18 306 16 307 2593 2501 9 313 10 308 12 307 15 306 12 307 2501 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography