DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 67.2 - - 76.1 - - 73.0 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 375 - - 473 - - 299 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 1919 - - 4429 - - 1866 - - 403 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3495 - - 5492 - - 3397 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2719 - - 4241 - - 6751 - - 4189 - - 2725 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 411 - - 667 - - 1059 - - 2943 - - 523 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 369 - - 526 - - 339 - - 95 W* B/S 5 - - 16 - - 137 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 243 - - 217 - - 325 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - 26 - - 17 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -691 - - -2183 - - -1846 - - -2905 - - -1673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3411 - - 6424 - - 8597 - - 7095 - - 4398 sfcLCL ODpotential -7938 - - -7000 - - -4959 - - -6342 - - -7718 ODpotential blCL 10657 - - 11241 - - 11710 - - 10531 - - 10443 blCL maxRH 83 - - 69 - - 61 - - 69 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 67.2 - - 76.1 - - 73.0 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.5 - - 47.2 - - 46.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 65.1 - - 73.4 - - 71.0 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 46.8 - - 45.8 - - 49.6 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 375 - - 473 - - 299 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 1919 - - 4429 - - 1866 - - 403 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98459 16 088 15 120 19 122 19 156 6 049 98459 90942 18 124 8 152 14 146 8 042 22 114 90942 85180 13 145 10 140 9 107 7 045 16 111 85180 80447 3 167 8 148 9 035 12 108 8 117 80447 76376 4 253 8 199 5 328 3 115 3 053 76376 72754 6 253 7 208 11 232 8 255 8 308 72754 69463 9 239 4 246 13 224 10 242 8 285 69463 66436 9 240 8 259 11 231 11 251 7 277 66436 63629 7 261 11 252 12 252 14 259 8 274 63629 60914 9 284 14 261 15 271 16 259 14 269 60914 58085 16 278 19 268 19 273 18 266 20 265 58085 55154 21 279 21 268 21 259 24 265 22 265 55154 52366 23 276 21 275 19 247 26 255 24 273 52366 49871 23 267 23 278 14 256 20 245 26 264 49871 47643 19 259 21 269 13 269 15 260 21 254 47643 45631 15 258 17 258 13 265 15 286 13 263 45631 43803 12 254 12 248 8 270 12 294 9 286 43803 42133 7 234 9 223 5 282 8 306 10 298 42133 40590 4 209 6 188 2 280 5 308 8 290 40590 39151 5 222 5 198 1 309 5 315 5 291 39151 37798 8 203 8 190 4 273 8 301 8 297 37798 36490 8 205 6 188 6 264 9 295 10 287 36490 35161 6 248 3 234 6 283 10 299 9 284 35161 33782 7 288 2 265 5 304 10 307 9 297 33782 32357 4 301 2 164 2 285 7 322 7 322 32357 30874 2 297 4 134 6 140 3 277 5 343 30874 29324 1 250 6 131 9 135 4 131 2 290 29324 27708 6 172 7 141 7 129 4 111 2 188 27708 26022 5 183 5 136 5 086 4 079 0 101 26022 24271 4 190 4 170 3 065 4 044 3 331 24271 22459 6 211 6 198 2 179 2 030 3 307 22459 20581 8 216 8 216 5 208 4 188 5 251 20581 18630 10 223 8 232 8 216 7 193 7 241 18630 16643 9 223 7 229 10 201 7 202 7 215 16643 14729 8 199 6 199 12 179 9 200 6 193 14729 12984 8 169 9 166 13 169 11 181 7 183 12984 11428 6 155 10 155 13 162 13 168 7 175 11428 10039 4 151 7 137 12 148 13 159 7 177 10039 8800 3 148 6 112 10 125 10 142 8 189 8800 7693 5 128 7 095 7*114 10 135 6 169 7693 6709 8 101 8 093 3*123 9 136 7 120 6709 5840 11 092 7 097 2 132 7 137 7 107 5840 5071 10 091 5 110 1 157 4 139 4 119 5071 4380 7 101 2*179 1 232 1*095 2 149 4380 3768 4 134 4*236 2 273 5*329 1 295 3768 3256 6 252 4 241 2 280 7 326 7 323 3256 2865 7*257 4 244 3 286 7 325 10*319 2865 2596 6*256 4 247 3 285 7 324 10*319 2596 2432 5 255 4 246 3 285 7 324 9 318 2432 2338 4 256 4 247 3 288 6 324 7 318 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography