DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 56.2 - - 55.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 149 - - 43 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2554 - - 2404 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3682 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3396 - - 4875 - - 4725 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1300 - - 1283 - - 1392 - - 2269 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 311 - - 209 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 354 - - 343 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2218 - - -1951 - - -1000 - - -879 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5614 - - 6826 - - 5725 - - 3217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8057 - - -7184 - - -5102 - - -5522 ODpotential blCL - - - 11453 - - 12059 - - 9827 - - 7860 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 46 - - 57 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 56.2 - - 55.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 34.6 - - 38.9 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 55.2 - - 55.3 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 33.4 - - 37.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 149 - - 43 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1075 - - 2554 - - 2404 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96330 29 289 33 282 28 293 24 296 96330 89211 25 302 17 278 21 291 16 317 89211 83769 13 298 14 278 16 300 13 336 83769 79230 11 002 7 278 11 312 16 331 79230 75297 13 335 3 326 10 292 19 311 75297 71830 10 303 10 319 4 192 11 299 71830 68678 13 302 18 304 11 328 8 313 68678 65747 17 269 23 275 25 292 20 315 65747 63014 12 243 20 255 25 277 20 297 63014 60349 16 290 17 268 22 276 17 286 60349 57544 32 288 29 290 28 287 23 293 57544 54620 36 281 35 283 32 285 31 298 54620 51823 39 280 37 280 33 286 36 298 51823 49297 43 287 42 283 38 292 39 297 49297 47028 46 293 47 288 39 300 35 293 47028 44967 46 302 42 289 39 305 30 321 44967 43084 44 312 34 305 35 318 37 339 43084 41357 46 324 40 326 41 334 45 344 41357 39770 57 325 49 329 46 332 50 340 39770 38303 60 318 54 321 46 327 46 343 38303 36937 54 315 53 312 43 337 41 355 36937 35629 48 328 47 307 44 353 39 007 35629 34311 48 342 42 319 46 000 42 019 34311 32957 51 347 45 337 44 359 44 022 32957 31567 55 348 52 341 39 358 40 017 31567 30124 56 347 57 338 37 357 31 010 30124 28614 54 348 56 336 35 347 24 005 28614 27038 54 350 54 337 36 337 26 352 27038 25400 57 352 54 340 40 333 28 343 25400 23699 61 354 54 344 42 336 28 347 23699 21937 62 355 53 347 41 341 30 354 21937 20109 59 355 53 350 42 344 33 356 20109 18206 57 355 53 355 42 350 34 354 18206 16265 54 356 52 359 44 000 36 355 16265 14391 50 356 47 004 42 007 37 357 14391 12683 45 357 42 009 38 011 36 002 12683 11162 40 360 36 010 34 015 33 007 11162 9809 37 004 31 013 30 019 29 011 9809 8602 35 007 28 019 26 020 27 010 8602 7528 33 010 26 025 22 020 25 007 7528 6575 32 012 25 026 21 011 25 006 6575 5734 31 013 23 016 21 359 28 006 5734 4991 29 013 20*000 20*354 30 005 4991 4323 28 009 20*356 20*348 28 001 4323 3732 27*005 19 354 19 343 24 358 3732 3235 23*001 19 353 18 342 21 355 3235 2853 20 359 18 353 17 341 17 350 2853 2589 18 358 17 352 16 340 13 346 2589 2429 17 358 16 352 15 340 10*347 2429 2338 11 357 11 352 10 339 4*352 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography