DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 82.2 - - 80.8 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 405 - - 217 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5432 - - 8389 - - 7949 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6115 - - 8606 - - 7903 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7755 - - 10712 - - 10271 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1984 - - 1595 - - 1854 - - 881 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 488 - - 620 - - 496 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 127 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 024 - - 021 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 35 - - 46 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6058 - - -4041 - - -2620 - - -7276 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13813 - - 14754 - - 12892 - - 9615 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10792 - - -7404 - - -6150 - - -12420 ODpotential blCL - - - 18547 - - 18116 - - 16421 - - 14759 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 79 - - 71 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.4 - - 82.2 - - 80.8 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 24.7 - - 31.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 79.7 - - 79.2 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 23.6 - - 30.9 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 405 - - 217 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5432 - - 8389 - - 7949 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98151 4 007 10 048 6 102 5 032 98151 90715 9 153 1 224 6 250 9 008 90715 84995 9 148 5 186 10 259 9 009 84995 80236 5 140 6 149 2 308 1 050 80236 76147 1 048 3 112 6 068 4 163 76147 72541 2 163 4 271 6 355 5 075 72541 69263 3 040 8 206 7 276 8 337 69263 66241 5 321 4 233 7 269 9 292 66241 63437 8 295 10 316 9 319 6 312 63437 60721 10 299 14 314 14 328 9 331 60721 57900 10 322 12 315 14 320 14 333 57900 54986 13 351 12 323 14 321 18 328 54986 52215 16 341 15 325 18 332 22 340 52215 49733 21 340 21 343 22 335 25 340 49733 47525 23 351 23 356 22 354 21 339 47525 45528 26 002 25 358 29 001 23 011 45528 43698 26 358 28 357 32 004 39 008 43698 42010 27 351 27 355 28 008 25 004 42010 40447 28 344 25 351 23 003 20 018 40447 38995 27 333 20 343 15 000 27 022 38995 37635 25 323 19 327 13 002 26 024 37635 36326 26 319 19 323 13 356 20 025 36326 35002 25 314 19 324 11 354 18 033 35002 33633 23 318 18 321 11 003 15 041 33633 32220 22 325 16 323 12 006 13 039 32220 30749 20 327 15 332 14 005 14 043 30749 29208 19 326 14 341 15 008 17 051 29208 27600 16 327 14 346 17 017 20 052 27600 25925 14 330 15 346 17 021 21 054 25925 24185 14 336 13 346 15 025 20 061 24185 22384 14 340 10 352 10 026 16 065 22384 20516 12 333 7 346 7 033 10 065 20516 18575 9 320 5 319 5 030 7 067 18575 16599 6 302 5 310 5 031 6 083 16599 14694 2 318 4 290 4 021 8 088 14694 12959 2 039 1 212 3 074 7 082 12959 11415 2 060 1*114 5*098 3 084 11415 10039 2 135 1*063 5*092 3 116 10039 8812 3*138 1 055 5 077 4 101 8812 7715 3*128 1 028 6 052 5 068 7715 6736 2 130 1 020 6 034 7 050 6736 5869 2 130 1 014 7 020 8 037 5869 5097 2 132 1 014 8 007 10 027 5097 4403 2 134 1 019 8 000 11 018 4403 3785 2 135 1 016 9 352 11 004 3785 3269 2 136 1 020 9 350 13 345 3269 2873 2 136 1 017 9 348 13 333 2873 2600 2 137 1 022 9 348 11 330 2600 2434 2 135 1 016 8 348 9*328 2434 2339 2 136 1 016 7 347 5*327 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography