DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 51.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 78 - - 87 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1599 - - 2876 - - 2548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3533 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3920 - - 5198 - - 4869 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 821 - - 2166 - - 1852 - - 1687 - - 2555 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 213 - - 264 - - 122 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 262 - - 239 - - 140 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 3 - - 16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 268 - - 972 - - 28 - - -488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3652 - - 4226 - - 4841 - - 2825 sfcLCL ODpotential -2222 - - -1041 - - -26 - - -705 - - -10525 ODpotential blCL 4559 - - 4961 - - 5224 - - 5574 - - 12862 blCL maxRH 98 - - 85 - - 95 - - 98 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 51.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 43.9 - - 44.2 - - 41.8 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 51.1 - - 54.0 - - 54.8 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.1 - - 42.8 - - 43.2 - - 41.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 78 - - 87 - - 8 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1599 - - 2876 - - 2548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 39 - - 81 - - 92 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96387 34 290 35 287 24 267 37 273 40 287 96387 89282 16 289 22 269 35 280 23 275 29 290 89282 83816 13 295 13 262 23 291 12 281 20 293 83816 79251 17 314 15 284 9 334 8 264 15 293 79251 75310 14 321 13 296 12 306 13 287 11 311 75310 71828 12 326 11 287 13 299 17 288 12 314 71828 68677 16 315 7 269 10 272 15 279 15 282 68677 65794 15 329 7 339 13 264 16 288 14 270 65794 63130 26 323 19 339 15 284 16 299 11 283 63130 60545 31 305 27 326 16 301 20 295 17 273 60545 57845 24 311 29 320 17 295 24 280 22 271 57845 55045 47 323 35 311 27 280 28 286 25 278 55045 52370 46 297 40 301 32 292 36 280 31 281 52370 49955 42 321 39 311 36 301 36 277 40 278 49955 47781 62 320 54 317 44 302 39 286 42 280 47781 45797 72 309 58 308 52 299 44 289 45 280 45797 43974 65 299 51 303 52 296 45 285 44 274 43974 42289 50 308 53 304 53 294 45 280 43 271 42289 40721 63 324 55 304 55 293 45 281 44 274 40721 39253 69 316 55 301 55 291 46 285 44 277 39253 37871 67 309 55 298 54 290 47 288 45 278 37871 36538 66 304 56 296 55 290 47 287 48 279 36538 35186 66 302 57 294 54 291 47 286 49 280 35186 33787 67 303 60 291 51 295 47 284 48 279 33787 32345 67 303 60 292 49 302 47 285 48 280 32345 30846 66 303 58 298 48 307 45 287 47 281 30846 29276 63 304 54 305 46 307 44 289 43 281 29276 27638 59 306 48 308 42 307 41 289 39 280 27638 25934 53 306 43 311 36 308 38 287 38 281 25934 24167 49 305 40 311 32 306 36 285 37 286 24167 22343 47 306 37 308 30 302 36 292 37 297 22343 20453 45 312 36 306 30 298 37 304 37 302 20453 18485 44 307 33 307 28 302 37 312 35 301 18485 16478 43 304 29 306 26 312 31 313 28 297 16478 14549 39 306 25 300 23 318 25 310 22 293 14549 12798 37 310 24 295 20 310 20 307 19 287 12798 11243 32 313 22 298 16 297 14 295 14 282 11243 9861 26 309 15 294 11 280 13 271 11 269 9861 8633 18 308 9 274 9 246 12 243 9 249 8633 7544 11 317 4 245 6 222 11 221 10 221 7544 6583 8 320 3 202 4 222 4 208 10 208 6583 5739 6 322 2 216 4*224 1 211 7 204 5739 4995 5 328 3 262 3*230 1*204 6 219 4995 4327 5 335 4*270 4 235 1*166 5 225 4327 3734 4 340 4*267 4 239 1 141 4 217 3734 3237 3 341 4 263 4 241 1 141 3 205 3237 2854 2 343 4 260 4 244 1 134 3 186 2854 2590 1 349 4 259 4 244 1 133 3 166 2590 2429 0 327 4 258 3 244 1 134 2 138 2429 2337 0*141 3 258 3 243 1 139 2*118 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography