DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.5 - - 61.2 - - 66.5 - - 63.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 177 - - 278 - - 67 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1287 - - 2899 - - 1812 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2795 - - 4129 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3609 - - 5221 - - 4134 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 901 - - 1318 - - 2046 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 250 - - 381 - - 203 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 22 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 309 - - 302 - - 327 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 3 - - 11 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -252 - - -3795 - - -3311 - - -2082 - - -463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2589 - - 7404 - - 8532 - - 6216 - - 2801 sfcLCL ODpotential -10150 - - -11456 - - -10254 - - -8367 - - -9909 ODpotential blCL 12487 - - 15065 - - 15475 - - 12501 - - 12247 blCL maxRH 70 - - 59 - - 47 - - 64 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.5 - - 61.2 - - 66.5 - - 63.5 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 37.2 - - 37.4 - - 44.5 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 60.0 - - 64.7 - - 62.8 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 36.9 - - 37.1 - - 44.4 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 177 - - 278 - - 67 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1287 - - 2899 - - 1812 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97128 15 269 24 272 18 292 18 281 20 285 97128 89886 4 238 7 274 11 283 13 302 4 357 89886 84317 3 086 5 249 10 272 10 317 8 044 84317 79690 4 040 3 157 9 275 10 297 7 328 79690 75714 7 318 3 042 6 279 5 274 3 335 75714 72197 5 308 5 313 7 294 6 292 3 323 72197 68994 8 321 6 307 8 270 9 265 6 299 68994 66030 14 308 5 265 11 257 13 260 11 296 66030 63273 14 290 9 255 13 256 15 254 14 282 63273 60593 16 283 10 262 12 249 15 247 19 282 60593 57788 19 277 15 286 14 277 16 266 19 281 57788 54870 20 272 19 278 19 282 18 280 19 284 54870 52090 20 263 18 282 20 279 24 288 24 292 52090 49616 23 289 22 294 21 284 30 295 29 294 49616 47429 34 292 34 303 34 305 34 305 36 294 47429 45468 35 298 41 303 44 301 45 304 35 300 45468 43694 37 316 38 313 42 315 47 310 39 302 43694 42062 46 325 47 325 43 318 52 313 40 304 42062 40543 47 325 46 324 43 318 51 313 40 310 40543 39115 44 328 40 327 42 314 49 314 40 313 39115 37765 43 329 38 333 43 308 47 315 41 314 37765 36457 43 327 38 333 45 307 46 315 41 314 36457 35129 46 323 37 329 47 311 45 315 40 314 35129 33751 48 318 36 323 48 313 43 315 37 315 33751 32332 46 315 38 317 48 311 41 317 34 318 32332 30855 44 313 42 315 47 311 38 319 29 321 30855 29312 40 311 42 317 44 313 35 318 23 323 29312 27700 36 312 38 313 39 313 35 317 21 321 27700 26019 31 311 39 310 37 307 35 315 23 318 26019 24272 25 311 36 304 39 301 35 312 26 315 24272 22460 21 311 31 298 41 299 35 310 27 310 22460 20575 22 310 30 295 40 298 35 310 29 309 20575 18611 21 313 29 299 36 300 32 309 29 312 18611 16609 21 302 26 299 31 301 29 308 26 312 16609 14678 23 292 25 291 27 294 26 306 24 311 14678 12918 22 287 24 284 26 288 26 303 22 310 12918 11350 19 284 23 282 24 282 26 300 21 307 11350 9955 16 284 19 280 21 280 24 296 19 307 9955 8716 13 283 14 282 16 280 18 285 15 301 8716 7619 10 280 10 285 12 277 11 270 12 275 7619 6649 7 266 8 281 8 267 6 215 9 246 6649 5793 4 238 6 261 3*252 4 163 7 220 5793 5035 4 210 6 225 2*266 3 153 4 200 5035 4354 2 181 5 205 2 289 2*344 1 164 4354 3750 2 113 3*206 3 302 5*330 1 014 3750 3245 3 046 2*301 4 308 6 327 8 334 3245 2858 6 007 2 309 4 310 6 326 13 327 2858 2592 8 345 2 310 4 312 6 325 12 324 2592 2430 8 341 2 312 4 312 6 324 9*324 2430 2338 4*343 2 312 4 313 5 325 3*321 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography