DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.7 - - 63.1 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 427 - - 203 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2152 - - 3675 - - 3555 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3642 - - 4872 - - 4506 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4474 - - 5997 - - 5877 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 944 - - 1012 - - 1092 - - 2616 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 480 - - 372 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 003 - - 005 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2984 - - -2810 - - -4058 - - -6260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7458 - - 8807 - - 9936 - - 8598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9340 - - -8649 - - -11083 - - -15130 ODpotential blCL - - - 13814 - - 14646 - - 16960 - - 17468 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 53 - - 46 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.7 - - 63.1 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 33.2 - - 27.6 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 61.4 - - 61.7 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 32.1 - - 26.5 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 427 - - 203 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2152 - - 3675 - - 3555 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97434 51 267 56 271 52 278 56 274 97434 90036 57 269 60 273 51 273 50 266 90036 84303 53 264 56 265 53 269 45 264 84303 79539 45 266 45 264 48 267 40 276 79539 75461 33 267 35 264 34 269 33 276 75461 71871 19 266 26 247 30 264 32 286 71871 68632 21 283 20 263 26 265 30 289 68632 65666 23 286 21 281 22 272 25 278 65666 62914 21 285 25 283 22 281 20 291 62914 60246 24 289 29 293 26 299 21 296 60246 57457 28 293 31 292 25 296 20 291 57457 54550 28 293 28 289 28 303 29 311 54550 51783 33 297 31 300 34 305 35 311 51783 49299 36 298 36 301 35 298 35 303 49299 47066 34 299 34 298 32 291 35 298 47066 45043 33 300 32 298 30 306 33 306 45043 43212 35 300 35 312 38 318 33 316 43212 41550 35 298 39 309 39 314 35 329 41550 40023 34 295 34 298 33 320 41 340 40023 38600 34 296 27 308 37 342 43 342 38600 37263 33 297 31 326 46 356 43 340 37263 35972 33 299 34 331 51 359 44 340 35972 34664 33 303 34 330 52 358 42 340 34664 33309 34 306 34 327 51 355 40 340 33309 31912 34 307 34 324 48 348 38 343 31912 30458 34 306 35 320 44 341 38 344 30458 28935 33 306 36 318 42 335 40 342 28935 27343 33 306 36 317 41 331 41 338 27343 25680 33 307 37 318 40 330 40 335 25680 23949 33 311 37 322 40 331 39 333 23949 22153 33 316 36 323 38 330 37 334 22153 20288 33 319 34 324 37 329 36 336 20288 18349 34 319 34 329 36 330 36 336 18349 16374 34 322 32 330 34 334 34 336 16374 14472 30 323 30 328 31 337 32 339 14472 12744 25 328 29 331 29 339 30 344 12744 11210 21 336 25 337 26 343 27 351 11210 9846 17 340 20 340 23 348 24 358 9846 8634 14 345 15 342 17 354 21 005 8634 7554 13 354 11 354 15 356 17 010 7554 6596 14 002 10*001 15*359 18 008 6596 5751 14 005 10*002 15*001 21 000 5751 5004 11*006 11 002 16 003 23 359 5004 4333 9*006 11 002 16 004 23 003 4333 3739 8 004 12 003 16 005 24 006 3739 3240 8 004 12 003 16 006 23 007 3240 2856 8 002 11 003 15 007 20 008 2856 2591 8 001 11 003 15 007 16 009 2591 2430 7 001 10 003 14 007 12*009 2430 2338 6 001 9 003 10 007 5*010 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography