DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.1 - - 76.2 - - 81.7 - - 78.8 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 366 - - 484 - - 309 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 207 - - 2332 - - 4747 - - 1860 - - 376 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3795 - - 5754 - - 3401 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2529 - - 4654 - - 7070 - - 4183 - - 2698 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 446 - - 1860 - - 2105 - - 2931 - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 390 - - 543 - - 342 - - 90 W* B/S 3 - - 13 - - 23 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 288 - - 281 - - 302 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 13 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6122 - - -6421 - - -4118 - - -5665 - - -3700 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8652 - - 11076 - - 11188 - - 9849 - - 6398 sfcLCL ODpotential -14517 - - -12900 - - -9424 - - -10768 - - -10775 ODpotential blCL 17046 - - 17554 - - 16494 - - 14951 - - 13473 blCL maxRH 48 - - 43 - - 38 - - 37 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.1 - - 76.2 - - 81.7 - - 78.8 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 35.7 - - 40.5 - - 43.6 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 74.0 - - 78.9 - - 76.7 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 35.2 - - 39.9 - - 43.2 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 366 - - 484 - - 309 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 207 - - 2332 - - 4747 - - 1860 - - 376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98911 35 108 26 103 29 104 26 108 29 104 98911 91443 38 105 29 114 26 109 20 106 29 096 91443 85707 32 093 32 109 22 105 19 104 21 099 85707 80960 24 093 28 102 22 108 23 097 23 107 80960 76864 19 104 22 104 21 098 19 099 22 093 76864 73238 19 101 17 106 19 095 16 106 15 102 73238 69953 11 101 12 117 10 090 11 109 14 091 69953 66927 14 123 11 151 5 105 6 096 8 094 66927 64117 4 129 9 157 2 137 3 121 4 141 64117 61392 0 339 4 179 6 230 3 225 3 225 61392 58555 8 314 4 293 11 276 9 283 10 296 58555 55629 20 298 17 303 20 282 18 291 16 294 55629 52847 23 294 23 303 25 288 27 301 27 295 52847 50340 29 298 31 304 27 298 33 293 28 294 50340 48083 36 295 38 301 34 299 35 292 40 298 48083 46038 36 297 38 299 36 298 36 292 50 296 46038 44176 37 301 35 300 34 306 36 293 48 293 44176 42470 31 296 32 306 36 313 38 297 45 296 42470 40892 23 290 30 311 36 320 40 299 46 296 40892 39419 16 298 30 312 36 326 41 301 48 292 39419 38037 17 305 28 300 34 330 40 300 49 290 38037 36704 17 324 25 279 34 333 39 299 52 292 36704 35356 18 330 23 276 34 335 38 300 52 293 35356 33963 18 323 21 290 33 333 36 302 49 295 33963 32529 19 316 21 318 29 328 32 308 45 296 32529 31043 20 315 23 328 27 320 30 316 39 295 31043 29491 21 319 23 328 26 318 29 319 34 298 29491 27872 22 323 23 326 26 322 29 319 34 300 27872 26185 24 327 24 324 27 326 30 320 33 303 26185 24431 24 332 25 326 28 332 29 320 30 306 24431 22611 25 338 23 330 30 340 28 324 27 310 22611 20719 23 340 20 333 30 345 24 334 23 311 20719 18748 21 340 20 340 24 345 20 344 18 310 18748 16738 21 344 22 349 20 346 17 345 16 314 16738 14801 20 347 20 351 18 355 14 341 15 322 14801 13042 13 341 16 348 12 004 13 339 14 331 13042 11478 4 328 9 342 7 000 9 332 13 331 11478 10085 1 056 2 300 3 329 7 316 11 328 10085 8843 3 039 1 179 1 221 3 274 8 312 8843 7736 5 020 0 138 2*188 3 204 5 269 7736 6750 5 011 1 338 2*202 4 191 5 229 6750 5876 4 358 2 323 2 241 4 200 6 228 5876 5099 4 352 3*308 3 266 5 245 8 240 5099 4401 6 349 4*293 5 280 6*268 10 253 4401 3782 8 337 5 289 6 288 9*297 11 273 3782 3266 10 321 6 289 7 291 11 302 14 297 3266 2870 11 309 6 287 7 292 11 303 14*306 2870 2599 9*305 6 285 7 293 11 304 13*308 2599 2434 7*304 6 286 7 293 10 304 12 309 2434 2338 5 301 5 286 6 293 9 304 8 309 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography