DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 52.2 - - 56.4 - - 54.1 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 127 - - 17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 181 - - 1583 - - 1200 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2880 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2502 - - 3904 - - 3521 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 296 - - 1161 - - 1931 - - 2459 - - 285 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 67 - - 247 - - 122 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 169 - - 215 - - 155 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -3 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4748 - - -4104 - - -2700 - - -2338 - - -387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7085 - - 6606 - - 6604 - - 5859 - - 2725 sfcLCL ODpotential -12660 - - -9843 - - -7740 - - -6897 - - -5868 ODpotential blCL 14997 - - 12345 - - 11644 - - 10418 - - 8205 blCL maxRH 89 - - 68 - - 69 - - 68 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 52.2 - - 56.4 - - 54.1 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 31.9 - - 35.9 - - 36.9 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 52.1 - - 55.4 - - 54.0 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 30.8 - - 34.7 - - 36.0 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 127 - - 17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 181 - - 1583 - - 1200 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95607 62 283 59 292 67 287 53 289 68 296 95607 88734 38 308 34 292 41 305 34 311 47 314 88734 83340 36 306 26 302 30 303 34 313 38 321 83340 78815 34 306 25 313 28 308 33 318 33 316 78815 74899 34 307 25 314 28 311 31 314 28 305 74899 71421 31 303 26 314 25 313 28 311 28 310 71421 68265 27 304 27 314 30 315 34 311 33 314 68265 65369 29 305 31 310 32 311 38 305 34 310 65369 62681 31 303 34 304 33 306 35 305 37 310 62681 60066 33 307 34 300 29 308 38 307 42 310 60066 57331 34 311 34 301 35 317 38 302 45 312 57331 54492 39 312 35 303 39 316 40 307 45 320 54492 51781 45 309 37 309 39 317 43 316 51 332 51781 49334 47 305 41 311 41 317 50 322 58 333 49334 47129 45 300 40 307 42 316 51 323 60 329 47129 45119 42 298 38 306 41 321 46 325 55 326 45119 43283 39 301 39 313 44 329 46 330 47 329 43283 41606 39 305 41 320 50 332 51 329 46 336 41606 40079 40 304 38 327 48 332 49 326 52 340 40079 38671 40 303 36 349 43 344 43 332 64 336 38671 37346 41 301 45 002 45 359 43 343 63 337 37346 36060 42 296 51 004 51 002 46 348 58 340 36060 34752 39 293 48 003 53 356 48 352 55 348 34752 33394 36 292 43 003 56 354 48 355 53 354 33394 31989 33 291 31 355 56 356 49 001 44 003 31989 30527 31 290 23 338 49 358 44 359 34 002 30527 28999 29 287 20 333 38 004 37 353 27 346 28999 27405 25 288 23 336 27 002 27 346 34 323 27405 25741 24 285 24 341 22 343 24 326 32 322 25741 24007 21 282 24 343 20 332 26 321 29 319 24007 22207 19 281 23 339 17 335 24 320 27 314 22207 20336 18 276 17 312 14 341 20 317 23 311 20336 18386 15 267 14 283 9 298 14 304 16 312 18386 16399 12 259 14 262 13 260 11 278 11 303 16399 14491 12 248 13 247 10 234 10 259 11 282 14491 12761 13 236 11 241 9 216 8 228 9 250 12761 11225 15 223 13 222 12 202 11 187 11 206 11225 9859 14 209 16 205 15 197 15 180 15 183 9859 8644 14 191 18 196 16 192 18 183 17 175 8644 7564 13 174 18 189 16 190 19 186 18 176 7564 6606 12 157 18 183 15 191 18 187 18 181 6606 5758 11 145 17 180 12 197 15 185 18 185 5758 5008 11 140 16 178 11 205 12 180 17 187 5008 4335 10 140 15 174 10*212 10 174 15 184 4335 3738 9 153 15 171 9*214 8*165 13 176 3738 3240 8 170 15 171 9 215 8*159 10 167 3240 2855 8 184 13 171 8 216 7 155 8 159 2855 2590 7 191 9*170 8 217 7 154 7 149 2590 2430 5 194 7*169 7 217 6 153 6 134 2430 2337 2*189 4 168 6 216 5 152 4*124 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography