DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 71.8 - - 73.3 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 384 - - 231 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3170 - - 5370 - - 4592 - - 300 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4370 - - 6157 - - 5332 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5492 - - 7692 - - 6914 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1441 - - 1241 - - 2366 - - 766 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 407 - - 522 - - 419 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 25 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 249 - - 317 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - 31 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 449 - - 491 - - -1286 - - -2895 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5043 - - 7201 - - 8201 - - 5517 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 97 - - 302 - - -7514 - - -10886 ODpotential blCL - - - 5395 - - 7390 - - 14428 - - 13508 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 93 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 71.8 - - 73.3 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 48.2 - - 45.3 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 69.5 - - 71.6 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 48.0 - - 45.1 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 384 - - 231 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3170 - - 5370 - - 4592 - - 300 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 72 - - 47 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98951 16 134 7 104 13 125 9 115 98951 91509 15 121 13 135 11 100 17 093 91509 85758 16 116 17 139 12 114 14 087 85758 80981 18 102 19 116 17 119 11 109 80981 76874 16 098 17 117 14 106 13 127 76874 73252 15 109 12 120 11 089 18 112 73252 69973 10 096 14 129 7 165 5 130 69973 66958 3 128 3 130 8 138 11 148 66958 64160 10 199 13 211 10 236 4 220 64160 61448 15 207 16 228 14 235 8 251 61448 58614 16 215 18 230 19 232 18 252 58614 55683 19 244 20 237 27 237 30 241 55683 52910 28 254 28 249 33 245 38 243 52910 50427 36 258 37 252 37 250 43 249 50427 48204 43 259 42 253 40 254 46 251 48204 46188 47 255 46 254 44 257 47 250 46188 44347 49 254 50 253 49 255 50 249 44347 42649 51 253 51 250 52 250 53 248 42649 41072 52 251 52 251 54 249 54 247 41072 39595 55 250 54 252 55 250 56 246 39595 38204 57 250 56 252 57 252 56 247 38204 36860 58 248 58 251 59 252 57 248 36860 35498 58 247 59 249 60 251 58 249 35498 34087 59 247 61 247 59 250 59 249 34087 32631 60 247 62 246 59 250 59 250 32631 31118 60 248 61 247 58 251 57 252 31118 29538 60 250 59 249 55 252 53 254 29538 27891 59 252 58 250 52 252 50 254 27891 26175 57 252 56 250 50 252 47 254 26175 24393 52 253 52 250 50 250 45 252 24393 22548 45 254 47 250 47 248 43 251 22548 20634 39 254 42 249 43 248 40 251 20634 18650 37 257 39 250 39 249 36 251 18650 16635 37 257 36 252 36 251 32 252 16635 14696 35 253 35 251 34 252 31 251 14696 12933 31 248 32 248 30 251 28 247 12933 11370 26 245 26 247 21 242 22 237 11370 9985 20 244 16 247 11 205 20 208 9985 8756 14 242 7*245 7 152 19 176 8756 7663 10 243 4*243 6*147 12 160 7663 6691 6 245 4 245 3*145 7 150 6691 5830 4*246 4 247 0 305 3 136 5830 5065 4*249 4 250 3 318 1 068 5065 4377 4 250 4 251 6 318 4 341 4377 3767 4 251 4 252 8 318 10 333 3767 3257 4 250 4 255 8 318 14 328 3257 2865 4 251 4 254 8 317 13*326 2865 2596 4 251 3 255 8 317 12*326 2596 2432 4 251 3 255 8 317 10 326 2432 2338 3 251 3 255 7 317 6 324 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography