DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.3 - - 85.4 - - 92.8 - - 90.9 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 308 - - 434 - - 248 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2196 - - 4544 - - 2548 - - 291 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3647 - - 5556 - - 3839 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4520 - - 6867 - - 4872 - - 2614 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 381 - - 919 - - 1185 - - 3177 - - 503 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 361 - - 516 - - 354 - - 50 W* B/S 3 - - 39 - - 26 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 256 - - 205 - - 306 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - 23 - - 32 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8561 - - -8952 - - -7845 - - -8284 - - -6891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10900 - - 13472 - - 14713 - - 13157 - - 9505 sfcLCL ODpotential -17764 - - -15215 - - -12771 - - -12837 - - -13925 ODpotential blCL 20103 - - 19735 - - 19638 - - 17709 - - 16539 blCL maxRH 29 - - 85 - - 63 - - 79 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.3 - - 85.4 - - 92.8 - - 90.9 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 34.8 - - 36.2 - - 41.3 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.1 - - 83.4 - - 90.1 - - 88.9 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 34.3 - - 35.5 - - 40.8 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 308 - - 434 - - 248 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2196 - - 4544 - - 2548 - - 291 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 39 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99354 32 099 28 112 26 106 28 104 25 093 99354 91840 34 099 25 110 28 108 23 103 22 100 91840 86051 29 108 28 114 27 113 25 103 25 097 86051 81247 24 106 31 117 24 123 23 103 25 097 81247 77097 18 106 22 109 21 114 23 119 21 100 77097 73433 15 118 12 125 17 109 21 114 19 111 73433 70138 13 120 14 147 17 127 13 115 15 119 70138 67126 12 152 16 168 10 151 12 145 12 137 67126 64345 18 175 17 168 14 177 12 175 8 152 64345 61664 19 182 16 191 21 179 15 194 12 201 61664 58891 22 179 23 193 27 191 26 198 19 210 58891 56048 21 211 26 196 33 200 35 196 28 199 56048 53352 33 232 32 210 40 206 39 205 35 202 53352 50923 51 229 45 219 49 207 48 210 42 211 50923 48740 59 222 55 219 53 208 53 208 50 209 48740 46752 62 221 58 218 54 211 53 210 53 207 46752 44918 61 222 59 217 55 213 55 211 54 207 44918 43210 63 219 63 217 59 212 59 207 58 202 43210 41613 65 216 66 213 64 213 60 209 58 204 41613 40115 68 216 66 210 69 214 67 214 63 213 40115 38708 67 218 68 213 71 213 76 211 71 212 38708 37351 62 218 68 216 69 213 76 206 70 208 37351 35975 55 215 60 216 64 216 63 208 64 206 35975 34553 46 215 43 205 55 216 49 215 49 203 34553 33090 38 227 29 208 44 208 45 209 44 200 33090 31570 31 222 30 200 39 203 39 200 46 200 31570 29981 30 210 31 197 35 188 39 195 44 202 29981 28326 35 208 37 194 40 191 41 192 43 197 28326 26607 39 201 42 188 47 186 43 183 46 187 26607 24824 34 194 40 183 50 180 48 177 51 181 24824 22978 34 183 40 183 48 179 49 178 48 178 22978 21062 35 178 34 187 39 188 40 185 36 182 21062 19068 27 179 22 191 26 195 31 188 28 182 19068 17036 19 188 17 190 20 192 22 190 22 180 17036 15074 14 203 16 197 18 200 19 194 17 182 15074 13283 11 218 15 205 17 208 18 198 15 188 13283 11684 8 221 12 207 15 209 16 200 16 193 11684 10257 5 207 10 204 13 202 15 198 16 199 10257 8982 5 187 8 197 12 194 13 179 16 201 8982 7844 4 192 7 194 9*183 10 152 16 198 7844 6834 4 211 6 202 5*178 9 149 12 182 6834 5940 5 220 6 213 4 183 7 152 8 162 5940 5150 5 226 5*213 4 193 4*161 5 166 5150 4441 6 230 2*217 4 210 1*202 4 186 4441 3811 6 231 2 244 4 222 3 304 2 261 3811 3285 6 251 2 262 4 228 5 308 7 316 3285 2881 7 277 2 272 4 233 5 310 9*320 2881 2604 8 289 2 279 4 235 5 311 9*320 2604 2436 5*290 2 279 3 236 5 311 8 319 2436 2340 2*284 2 282 3 237 5 310 6 319 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography