DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.7 - - 58.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 59 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 610 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2932 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 255 - - 740 - - 893 - - 129 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 145 - - 20 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 058 - - 089 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7037 - - -4287 - - -2622 - - -2019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9376 - - 7219 - - 4960 - - 4357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15529 - - -11638 - - -9358 - - -11376 ODpotential blCL - - - 17867 - - 14570 - - 11696 - - 13714 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 69 - - 57 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 61.7 - - 58.6 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.9 - - 38.7 - - 45.2 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 61.1 - - 58.9 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 37.6 - - 44.2 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 59 - - 5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 610 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96440 25 049 21 062 33 078 20 086 96440 89389 30 075 26 074 23 082 16 069 89389 83923 38 071 29 075 22 075 23 059 83923 79352 33 071 24 076 19 061 25 051 79352 75394 26 081 22 063 20 059 24 054 75394 71889 21 077 19 050 27 053 28 056 71889 68722 22 068 16 037 30 044 26 056 68722 65824 22 054 16 044 27 037 23 048 65824 63144 20 030 19 039 24 034 21 032 63144 60554 22 019 22 029 22 026 18 022 60554 57844 24 009 22 021 20 011 18 014 57844 55016 24 360 20 005 20 343 20 355 55016 52299 22 352 19 341 24 321 27 343 52299 49840 23 346 20 329 25 318 32 327 49840 47627 22 329 25 325 25 329 31 322 47627 45605 21 325 24 313 28 323 33 320 45605 43743 22 323 25 311 31 320 35 318 43743 42027 23 316 25 318 32 317 38 316 42027 40442 23 316 26 329 30 318 32 313 40442 38974 27 318 27 326 30 311 29 314 38974 37612 28 312 25 310 24 312 26 301 37612 36312 24 317 24 305 20 307 19 296 36312 34998 24 335 22 320 21 285 17 295 34998 33638 23 335 20 325 17 296 17 288 33638 32233 23 326 20 320 17 296 16 282 32233 30767 25 319 21 306 21 279 18 283 30767 29233 25 317 22 303 21 285 19 284 29233 27633 24 322 22 313 20 310 16 299 27633 25964 21 328 21 319 20 321 15 313 25964 24228 20 334 18 328 18 318 15 317 24228 22427 18 322 18 327 17 321 14 322 22427 20556 17 306 17 313 17 315 13 313 20556 18610 15 308 17 307 16 311 14 306 18610 16625 15 311 18 309 17 314 15 308 16625 14708 15 318 17 313 18 317 18 312 14708 12957 15 322 16 315 17 319 19 318 12957 11396 14 323 15 317 16 324 17 327 11396 10006 13 323 14 321 14 331 12 339 10006 8767 11 327 11 326 12 334 8 353 8767 7664 9 336 8 334 9 337 6 001 7664 6685 8 345 7 346 8 343 5 003 6685 5821 9 350 7 354 7 351 4 008 5821 5055 10 349 8 358 8 355 4 004 5055 4369 10 346 9 359 7 356 4 359 4369 3761 10 340 8 357 6 354 4 003 3761 3253 9 338 5*003 3 016 4 034 3253 2862 6 342 3*052 3 078 4 075 2862 2594 3 351 3 058 4 087 5 111 2594 2431 0*253 3 060 3 089 5*121 2431 2338 1*175 3 062 3*089 3*122 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography