DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 57.5 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 97 - - 151 - - 50 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1523 - - 2304 - - 2178 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3458 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3844 - - 4625 - - 4500 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1749 - - 1147 - - 1579 - - 1512 - - 1072 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 221 - - 291 - - 198 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 346 - - 017 - - 021 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 986 - - 920 - - 728 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 2858 - - 3706 - - 3772 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -130 - - 399 - - 575 - - 233 - - -4046 ODpotential blCL 2468 - - 3445 - - 4050 - - 4267 - - 6384 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 94 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 57.5 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 49.6 - - 49.1 - - 49.0 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 53.2 - - 56.1 - - 56.9 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.8 - - 49.0 - - 48.5 - - 48.7 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 97 - - 151 - - 50 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1523 - - 2304 - - 2178 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 89 - - 78 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97472 2 299 10 294 8 330 9 339 16 309 97472 90197 11 011 9 336 18 343 15 002 6 013 90197 84615 11 017 8 046 13 325 18 356 12 031 84615 79996 14 024 8 021 6 309 12 324 13 016 79996 76026 15 344 9 351 4 322 9 314 7 330 76026 72520 10 298 7 328 6 299 10 293 6 297 72520 69336 8 248 8 289 8 267 11 291 4 341 69336 66382 11 256 8 268 9 268 9 271 9 294 66382 63631 11 233 4 261 7 212 8 214 12 285 63631 60970 12 265 10 308 8 292 5 228 9 253 60970 58168 17 272 15 294 15 290 15 299 13 274 58168 55242 24 293 20 304 26 286 27 281 25 277 55242 52452 32 308 29 296 19 273 21 256 20 296 52452 49933 41 303 30 309 23 330 28 312 33 314 49933 47669 39 303 38 321 44 325 47 322 47 319 47669 45618 40 318 51 316 56 319 57 320 53 320 45618 43754 44 320 55 320 56 318 58 320 52 323 43754 42054 51 321 54 320 46 323 49 330 49 334 42054 40487 51 317 43 320 39 339 52 353 49 347 40487 39025 40 313 46 354 53 004 63 357 52 356 39025 37654 47 357 63 004 73 000 67 357 56 000 37654 36333 65 003 77 360 80 357 68 357 59 000 36333 34997 71 001 85 358 82 358 68 360 60 000 34997 33616 70 358 88 359 85 000 70 004 60 003 33616 32192 68 356 90 002 87 359 71 006 62 005 32192 30712 74 355 91 001 87 357 71 004 63 005 30712 29164 66 353 89 002 85 357 70 358 63 004 29164 27551 61 003 86 005 85 359 68 352 60 003 27551 25870 70 008 83 006 84 003 68 352 59 000 25870 24121 73 008 78 002 82 009 66 356 61 002 24121 22306 70 004 72 357 76 008 63 002 61 008 22306 20421 66 360 64 355 70 002 61 005 56 012 20421 18460 58 001 57 357 65 359 61 007 53 013 18460 16466 46 002 51 359 61 001 61 009 53 014 16466 14546 37 358 45 356 52 001 56 012 52 017 14546 12803 31 352 40 352 42 002 47 014 43 018 12803 11257 27 352 34 349 34 005 37 017 27 025 11257 9888 26 354 28 352 28 009 27 024 17 044 9888 8670 26 355 21 358 24 014 21 034 16 057 8670 7585 23 354 17 002 19 016 19 037 16 057 7585 6621 18 350 13 357 14 017 18 033 16 053 6621 5769 13 347 9 348 11 019 15 024 16 049 5769 5015 8 355 7 342 10*018 14*019 17 044 5015 4340 8 355 6*348 10*017 14*019 18 036 4340 3741 9 340 6*347 10 018 13 020 20 027 3741 3241 10 332 6 347 10 017 13 021 20 021 3241 2856 10 330 6 346 10 017 13 021 19 018 2856 2591 8 328 6 345 9 017 12 022 14 017 2591 2430 7*329 5 345 8 017 11 022 10*017 2430 2338 4*329 5 345 7 017 8 023 5*019 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography