DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 56.3 - - 60.1 - - 56.2 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 5 - - 89 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 831 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2436 - - 3153 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 200 - - 650 - - 913 - - 902 - - 273 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 47 - - 178 - - 13 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 042 - - 030 - - 061 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6535 - - -4761 - - -3728 - - -2073 - - -278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8873 - - 7197 - - 6881 - - 4411 - - 2616 sfcLCL ODpotential -15177 - - -11821 - - -9249 - - -8071 - - -9390 ODpotential blCL 17515 - - 14257 - - 12402 - - 10409 - - 11728 blCL maxRH 79 - - 47 - - 46 - - 62 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 56.3 - - 60.1 - - 56.2 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 33.4 - - 38.4 - - 45.0 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 56.4 - - 59.3 - - 56.6 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 32.3 - - 37.5 - - 44.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 5 - - 89 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 115 - - 831 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 26 070 35 067 18 102 21 099 25 075 96241 89181 23 078 19 075 15 088 20 081 24 078 89181 83710 18 079 15 069 8 054 13 066 14 080 83710 79145 10 040 9 036 9 053 4 028 10 033 79145 75197 9 358 9 347 11 019 9 052 5 318 75197 71707 9 347 10 328 15 332 14 005 5 355 71707 68544 12 357 8 311 15 313 14 328 13 346 68544 65620 15 335 11 321 15 308 16 313 16 313 65620 62901 25 312 18 304 24 307 22 317 15 315 62901 60266 30 294 26 293 31 293 29 308 25 327 60266 57506 30 297 27 287 31 289 32 292 35 305 57506 54639 44 306 29 299 35 294 40 289 40 290 54639 51905 52 296 37 295 42 289 46 290 41 290 51905 49443 51 287 39 290 43 288 54 287 44 288 49443 47242 48 282 37 297 40 289 49 280 44 285 47242 45253 42 285 44 308 39 293 37 275 40 280 45253 43442 42 302 47 309 37 291 39 273 38 278 43442 41787 50 303 43 304 38 285 39 270 42 272 41787 40266 30 299 35 289 35 279 34 268 40 261 40266 38853 10 332 24 286 31 276 31 261 34 250 38853 37521 26 013 18 330 22 278 26 254 30 241 37521 36231 39 010 28 353 17 310 24 250 24 240 36231 34919 42 002 35 354 21 328 19 257 18 252 34919 33558 35 343 35 348 24 326 16 277 17 251 33558 32150 33 006 36 338 26 320 15 299 17 234 32150 30683 38 029 34 334 27 321 15 309 17 232 30683 29147 32 020 29 339 27 323 20 305 16 252 29147 27546 28 354 25 346 24 321 24 297 12 269 27546 25877 26 337 22 356 19 324 24 305 10 273 25877 24139 25 317 19 356 19 342 21 313 17 268 24139 22332 29 301 25 329 18 359 14 322 17 282 22332 20455 30 290 27 327 18 342 13 327 18 317 20455 18509 35 280 26 308 24 324 17 331 22 332 18509 16529 35 277 28 293 24 320 19 331 23 329 16529 14623 33 277 26 293 22 316 21 331 22 327 14623 12887 32 280 24 294 21 312 21 331 21 331 12887 11340 29 282 21 292 20 312 20 329 19 336 11340 9959 24 283 19 293 18 314 19 326 17 338 9959 8727 20 283 15 295 14 314 17 325 16 339 8727 7629 16 281 13 294 11 314 13 326 13 340 7629 6656 15 282 11 290 10 321 10 328 9 344 6656 5796 13 283 10 290 9 328 8 335 6 353 5796 5035 11 288 8 293 9 332 8 345 5 007 5035 4352 10 300 6 307 8 336 8 356 6 016 4352 3747 10 320 6 329 6 343 8 360 8 009 3747 3242 11 340 7 347 5*000 6 004 9 008 3242 2855 11 354 6 355 4*026 4 033 8 030 2855 2589 9 008 5*009 4 030 4 055 7 061 2589 2429 6*021 3*033 4 033 4*061 5*083 2429 2338 3*040 2 050 4 034 3*061 3*100 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography