DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 493 - - 267 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 3704 - - 2186 - - 376 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3701 - - 4931 - - 3592 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4518 - - 6026 - - 4508 - - 2697 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 721 - - 1158 - - 1904 - - 506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 386 - - 501 - - 343 - - 74 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 18 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 248 - - 290 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 15 - - 9 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1498 - - -1931 - - -3130 - - -1302 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6017 - - 7957 - - 7639 - - 3999 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8075 - - -7622 - - -8648 - - -8815 ODpotential blCL - - - 12593 - - 13648 - - 13156 - - 11512 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 60 - - 57 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.2 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 44.1 - - 43.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.5 - - 68.3 - - 67.5 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 44.0 - - 43.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 493 - - 267 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 3704 - - 2186 - - 376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98978 10 110 11 107 9 106 8 051 98978 91578 13 087 15 094 14 106 14 081 91578 85851 10 090 13 091 13 097 17 102 85851 81080 10 111 13 083 17 099 17 094 81080 76977 10 143 6 107 10 093 13 095 76977 73346 12 137 9 166 8 126 7 101 73346 70061 8 152 7 219 5 079 8 102 70061 67035 6 186 7 182 3 251 3 196 67035 64222 18 233 17 244 9 245 6 232 64222 61492 16 210 20 220 14 218 12 227 61492 58638 16 236 22 236 23 243 23 246 58638 55682 31 234 40 236 42 248 37 255 55682 52869 42 245 51 239 55 247 49 255 52869 50343 53 254 61 247 64 248 60 254 50343 48086 62 256 71 251 72 248 69 255 48086 46045 73 258 78 255 80 251 76 256 46045 44180 85 259 87 256 88 254 82 255 44180 42459 90 258 92 255 92 254 86 254 42459 40857 87 258 90 253 93 254 90 252 40857 39362 84 259 84 253 93 254 92 250 39362 37968 78 257 79 252 91 252 84 251 37968 36635 67 256 72 250 86 250 70 254 36635 35288 64 256 67 249 80 248 69 257 35288 33897 62 255 65 248 74 247 67 254 33897 32467 60 255 63 246 69 248 56 252 32467 30980 56 255 62 246 64 250 50 259 30980 29420 51 254 60 246 60 250 49 264 29420 27788 48 253 57 247 56 249 48 262 27788 26086 46 251 52 248 52 252 47 254 26086 24317 43 252 47 250 48 255 49 254 24317 22485 40 251 41 252 44 254 48 256 22485 20582 36 250 39 252 41 254 43 256 20582 18605 30 249 36 248 37 254 37 254 18605 16594 26 245 33 242 34 250 35 251 16594 14661 26 241 31 239 31 246 33 247 14661 12907 24 239 28 237 27 246 29 246 12907 11352 20 235 24 233 22 245 23 246 11352 9970 17 230 20 223 19 239 18 247 9970 8740 15 224 18 211 15 219 15 243 8740 7646 14 217 14 193 13 184 13 218 7646 6672 14 205 9*179 12 164 12 179 6672 5810 14 192 6*186 10 162 11 171 5810 5045 11*189 5 204 6*180 9 191 5045 4358 6*210 5 248 4*252 8 219 4358 3750 5 233 6 262 8 290 9 271 3750 3245 5 239 6 269 9 293 16 303 3245 2858 5 244 7 272 9 294 17*307 2858 2592 5 247 7 274 9 294 15*308 2592 2431 5 248 7 274 9 294 14 308 2431 2338 5 249 6 274 8 295 8 307 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography