DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 64.1 - - 70.3 - - 69.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 200 - - 286 - - 37 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 2668 - - 2576 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2699 - - 3969 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3406 - - 4990 - - 4898 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 231 - - 787 - - 2603 - - 3417 - - 1081 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 246 - - 375 - - 189 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 156 - - 159 - - 188 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -217 - - -4419 - - -3589 - - -3233 - - -2696 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2554 - - 7825 - - 8579 - - 8132 - - 5034 sfcLCL ODpotential -7180 - - -7477 - - -5396 - - -5212 - - -7625 ODpotential blCL 9517 - - 10883 - - 10386 - - 10110 - - 9963 blCL maxRH 79 - - 89 - - 86 - - 77 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 64.1 - - 70.3 - - 69.5 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.5 - - 38.1 - - 40.7 - - 41.9 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 62.7 - - 68.5 - - 69.1 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 37.9 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 200 - - 286 - - 37 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 2668 - - 2576 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 57 - - 42 - - 7 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97730 11 318 19 291 23 308 22 320 13 312 97730 90420 12 338 12 289 14 287 17 314 17 311 90420 84764 10 316 8 278 7 286 16 292 13 292 84764 80087 6 315 6 266 7 260 16 283 6 320 80087 76077 7 309 2 251 7 263 10 270 10 286 76077 72537 7 286 2 008 1 218 5 200 11 265 72537 69324 4 289 6 276 8 252 5 224 12 251 69324 66358 3 241 5 214 11 239 10 236 12 236 66358 63593 10 220 12 195 14 218 18 212 14 211 63593 60907 15 216 20 208 18 209 20 216 20 206 60907 58091 18 213 25 216 27 211 25 220 21 219 58091 55152 26 221 32 216 37 213 39 211 35 207 55152 52337 40 225 42 217 47 212 46 206 41 195 52337 49801 57 225 60 215 60 215 55 216 44 213 49801 47530 71 220 74 213 65 215 69 211 65 214 47530 45462 80 220 80 212 76 216 65 209 67 209 45462 43558 86 220 82 213 82 210 76 218 73 212 43558 41798 91 220 86 212 81 207 86 215 83 207 41798 40165 92 219 87 213 81 208 86 206 86 198 40165 38643 87 217 88 213 83 209 78 203 64 200 38643 37223 78 219 81 212 80 207 69 211 78 216 37223 35875 76 223 73 212 78 207 77 215 88 214 35875 34529 83 220 75 214 79 208 81 210 84 207 34529 33157 83 215 79 211 77 205 76 203 73 202 33157 31763 79 212 76 207 72 204 64 199 66 202 31763 30322 72 209 68 205 64 203 54 195 59 203 30322 28817 60 206 59 200 56 200 52 194 53 199 28817 27243 52 204 48 193 48 193 50 194 52 195 27243 25598 48 201 42 191 42 187 48 193 51 194 25598 23888 44 198 41 191 41 187 46 193 49 191 23888 22118 42 198 39 192 40 192 43 189 46 188 22118 20278 39 200 38 193 38 195 39 184 43 183 20278 18364 35 200 35 192 35 193 37 180 41 175 18364 16416 32 194 34 187 34 185 37 177 39 167 16416 14540 33 190 34 182 35 176 36 169 39 160 14540 12831 37 190 35 179 34 171 35 167 39 156 12831 11305 37 192 33 179 31 168 32 167 38 158 11305 9942 34 194 30 178 28 167 29 168 36 162 9942 8722 30 194 27 177 25 167 23 170 33 165 8722 7631 27 194 25 177 22 171 17 173 27 166 7631 6662 25 192 23 177 18 175 11 180 16 170 6662 5805 23 187 22 178 13 177 9 186 10 185 5805 5047 21 182 21 180 11*177 9*193 9 196 5047 4366 20 180 18 179 9*175 8*195 7 195 4366 3760 17 183 14*176 8 165 7 191 4 170 3760 3253 13 194 7*165 7 154 6 187 3 094 3253 2864 8 213 6 155 7 150 6 185 5 055 2864 2595 6 234 5 153 6 148 6 185 5 045 2595 2432 3 270 5 152 6 146 5 184 4 041 2432 2338 2*344 4 152 5 146 4 183 3*040 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography