DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 87.2 - - 86.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 374 - - 190 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 4918 - - 3900 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3071 - - 5802 - - 4735 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3746 - - 7241 - - 6223 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1246 - - 2382 - - 3961 - - 1676 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 507 - - 376 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 164 - - 205 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 26 - - 23 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5513 - - -3632 - - -4726 - - -5641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9260 - - 10873 - - 10950 - - 7980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10176 - - -6910 - - -8370 - - -11989 ODpotential blCL - - - 13922 - - 14151 - - 14593 - - 14328 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 68 - - 63 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 87.2 - - 86.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 84.8 - - 85.0 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 45.5 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 374 - - 190 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1423 - - 4918 - - 3900 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97958 14 215 11 251 4 226 14 190 97958 90510 10 206 10 224 13 248 2 311 90510 84787 8 178 7 196 12 250 4 330 84787 80062 10 126 11 187 6 259 4 004 80062 76016 6 065 7 154 1 251 3 021 76016 72456 3 070 3 085 2 070 4 331 72456 69238 2 122 6 300 7 001 2 029 69238 66279 4 081 5 265 7 306 4 342 66279 63534 2 023 4 244 6 260 6 281 63534 60874 4 266 7 234 7 241 6 260 60874 58098 11 263 10 247 12 245 13 250 58098 55230 19 253 17 248 19 239 18 243 55230 52501 22 235 24 235 25 226 26 230 52501 50051 26 229 28 232 28 228 28 225 50051 47865 31 233 34 231 31 233 28 225 47865 45904 37 233 42 229 40 234 36 229 45904 44133 42 232 45 224 47 226 49 223 44133 42501 41 231 42 222 43 224 47 217 42501 40973 39 232 38 225 39 226 39 218 40973 39534 36 233 35 226 37 225 36 216 39534 38175 34 233 33 225 35 222 35 213 38175 36860 32 233 31 224 33 220 33 214 36860 35527 29 234 29 222 33 218 33 213 35527 34145 26 237 26 218 32 216 33 212 34145 32718 25 237 26 216 32 215 33 210 32718 31232 25 234 26 215 31 213 33 210 31232 29675 25 232 26 212 30 211 31 210 29675 28048 24 232 25 208 29 208 29 214 28048 26349 23 231 23 210 26 206 27 215 26349 24582 24 230 23 216 24 205 25 210 24582 22748 23 223 23 218 21 207 24 207 22748 20846 20 208 22 212 20 212 22 204 20846 18872 19 196 21 206 19 214 19 205 18872 16862 16 192 19 205 17 223 15 208 16862 14922 16 192 16 202 16 221 12 208 14922 13152 16 188 14 191 15 198 13 186 13152 11573 16 185 16 178 18 178 20 175 11573 10166 16 179 19 172 17 170 26 172 10166 8912 17 170 19 167 13 160 23 169 8912 7790 17 160 15*160 11 159 16 161 7790 6792 17 154 10*154 9*170 13 155 6792 5908 15 150 8 156 9*186 11 164 5908 5124 12 154 7 160 10 198 11 193 5124 4421 10 167 7 166 10 204 13 220 4421 3800 8*184 6 170 10 209 15 225 3800 3280 8*195 6 174 10 213 16 222 3280 2880 8 198 6 176 10 214 14 222 2880 2603 7 201 6 177 9 215 12 226 2603 2435 7 203 5 178 9 216 9 230 2435 2339 6 203 5 178 7 217 5*236 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography