DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 78.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 428 - - 279 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2433 - - 5508 - - 1864 - - 168 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3788 - - 6317 - - 3377 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4755 - - 7831 - - 4186 - - 2490 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1490 - - 1361 - - 2784 - - 545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 549 - - 332 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 30 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 268 - - 322 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 21 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6301 - - -4612 - - -6017 - - -5364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11056 - - 12443 - - 10203 - - 7854 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12161 - - -9173 - - -10604 - - -12185 ODpotential blCL - - - 16916 - - 17004 - - 14790 - - 14675 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 46 - - 58 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 78.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 36.3 - - 41.8 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 80.4 - - 76.5 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 35.4 - - 41.1 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 428 - - 279 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2433 - - 5508 - - 1864 - - 168 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98592 6 114 8 041 5 075 9 031 98592 91103 11 115 10 101 6 068 8 083 91103 85347 17 120 11 109 4 084 10 080 85347 80585 19 100 12 092 11 098 12 079 80585 76505 17 089 12 097 17 093 13 084 76505 72924 15 088 9 096 15 085 15 086 72924 69689 12 092 8 104 12 088 15 079 69689 66713 12 103 5 148 9 060 11 076 66713 63946 5 133 6 201 4 322 8 055 63946 61253 5 162 8 203 9 246 6 325 61253 58434 5 219 9 237 10 242 9 267 58434 55495 14 242 13 246 16 236 16 242 55495 52681 19 252 18 248 20 243 20 241 52681 50147 26 256 24 250 25 256 21 252 50147 47882 33 260 27 260 27 266 21 265 47882 45838 39 264 32 261 35 267 25 274 45838 43982 41 264 36 264 41 263 33 267 43982 42295 44 272 40 273 42 270 33 268 42295 40749 48 281 45 283 49 276 40 276 40749 39311 49 284 48 288 48 275 43 276 39311 37957 47 285 43 290 40 277 37 280 37957 36647 42 286 37 285 34 283 32 280 36647 35317 36 283 33 290 31 288 29 284 35317 33939 30 280 28 292 27 291 27 289 33939 32515 24 279 23 291 24 293 24 291 32515 31034 21 277 21 292 20 296 19 289 31034 29485 16 274 17 288 17 295 15 292 29485 27867 8 278 11 280 14 291 13 296 27867 26181 4 300 5 283 10 286 10 297 26181 24427 2 345 2 274 4 279 6 294 24427 22610 2 340 1 219 2 249 4 281 22610 20723 3 273 1 194 3 174 2 167 20723 18759 4 233 2 168 4 136 3 124 18759 16759 3 204 4 167 5 142 3 140 16759 14830 3 205 5 182 5 146 3 169 14830 13071 4 238 5 205 3 151 2 185 13071 11503 5 273 5 218 1 202 0 219 11503 10106 5 293 4 220 2 202 1 032 10106 8859 5 294 3*215 4 144 2 011 8859 7747 5 289 2*216 7 136 2 108 7747 6758 4 285 2 232 6 136 4 128 6758 5882 3 280 2 246 3 140 1 088 5882 5105 2*302 3 263 1 300 3 006 5105 4406 2*352 4 274 6*318 5 359 4406 3787 2 003 5 281 11*322 8 348 3787 3269 2 007 5 283 13 322 12 334 3269 2872 2 007 5 284 13 322 13 327 2872 2599 2 008 5 285 13 322 11*325 2599 2433 2 008 5 285 12 322 10*324 2433 2339 2 008 5 286 10 322 6 322 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography