DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.1 - - 54.5 - - 59.6 - - 55.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 93 - - 167 - - 22 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1589 - - 3138 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 4098 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3911 - - 5460 - - 3824 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 420 - - 1851 - - 2493 - - 2614 - - 1352 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 221 - - 332 - - 137 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 219 - - 233 - - 285 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 830 - - 437 - - 652 - - -113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3081 - - 5024 - - 3172 - - 2451 sfcLCL ODpotential -3281 - - 233 - - -160 - - -203 - - -2444 ODpotential blCL 5618 - - 3678 - - 5620 - - 4027 - - 4782 blCL maxRH 93 - - 98 - - 89 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 40 - - 70 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.1 - - 54.5 - - 59.6 - - 55.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 48.9 - - 45.6 - - 49.1 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 58.3 - - 54.8 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 48.4 - - 45.3 - - 48.7 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 93 - - 167 - - 22 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1589 - - 3138 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 93 - - 56 - - 98 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96950 45 284 49 282 47 282 51 275 43 283 96950 89799 37 280 36 288 30 283 30 268 40 283 89799 84305 27 273 29 271 30 276 22 263 31 276 84305 79749 19 267 23 263 32 269 26 273 19 264 79749 75778 20 265 20 265 30 258 27 282 16 273 75778 72223 24 254 21 254 25 243 25 275 20 282 72223 68993 22 258 22 245 22 228 22 251 26 271 68993 66019 21 270 23 257 20 242 21 237 25 246 66019 63239 24 265 25 264 22 264 20 256 21 241 63239 60527 27 255 22 262 22 266 21 273 18 271 60527 57709 30 259 21 260 21 264 25 275 21 287 57709 54793 37 263 26 266 25 258 30 270 25 284 54793 52010 44 260 38 259 31 259 33 264 31 269 52010 49506 51 252 45 251 37 263 34 262 34 264 49506 47265 56 247 51 250 44 262 38 263 38 263 47265 45237 59 249 62 250 55 258 47 266 40 266 45237 43380 65 252 74 251 70 255 60 264 43 269 43380 41668 75 252 90 250 92 249 81 256 52 265 41668 40085 84 251 114 247 130 244 121 248 76 255 40085 38616 93 251 129 243 153 235 151 243 114 247 38616 37238 102 251 137 242 155 237 161 238 137 242 37238 35907 105 249 141 241 163 238 162 237 145 237 35907 34558 112 242 136 241 154 241 161 237 145 233 34558 33160 115 236 121 242 126 242 152 238 145 231 33160 31715 108 240 102 241 103 239 117 240 139 232 31715 30211 104 252 95 237 91 233 99 236 117 236 30211 28642 87 259 95 237 91 230 100 227 94 233 28642 27020 70 262 87 246 89 235 99 230 87 225 27020 25346 53 259 63 253 75 243 78 238 87 226 25346 23621 39 247 42 244 57 248 62 245 76 233 23621 21850 35 234 38 232 43 236 47 241 57 236 21850 20023 37 229 40 224 42 225 40 222 41 224 20023 18125 37 232 39 229 40 231 39 218 39 217 18125 16194 31 236 32 233 32 232 34 222 34 222 16194 14335 25 230 24 227 25 216 29 217 27 219 14335 12644 24 220 21 217 26 203 25 214 25 220 12644 11139 23 215 20 212 25 202 22 211 23 223 11139 9797 20 211 19 209 21 205 20 210 19 227 9797 8601 18 201 19 204 18 210 16 213 17 232 8601 7534 17 190 20 199 16 217 13 218 15 235 7534 6586 16 187 20 199 14 223 11 227 15 237 6586 5746 14 191 19 202 12*229 9 238 13 241 5746 5000 13 201 17 206 10*232 8 255 11 246 5000 4330 12 212 14*211 9 233 7*277 9 258 4330 3735 11 225 10*214 8 233 7*281 8 280 3735 3237 9 239 8 219 8 233 7 284 9 303 3237 2854 7 253 7 220 8 233 7 286 10 313 2854 2590 6 260 7 220 7 233 7 286 9 316 2590 2430 5 251 6 221 7 233 7 286 7*316 2430 2338 2*230 5 221 6 233 5 286 4*315 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography