DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 57.6 - - 64.5 - - 63.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - -1 - - 26 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 375 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2696 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 215 - - 835 - - 756 - - 111 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 7 - - 102 - - 8 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 352 - - 019 - - 086 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7434 - - -10700 - - -4448 - - -3047 - - -4402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9773 - - 13038 - - 7144 - - 5385 - - 6740 sfcLCL ODpotential -18410 - - -19902 - - -10767 - - -9195 - - -14821 ODpotential blCL 20748 - - 22240 - - 13463 - - 11533 - - 17159 blCL maxRH 15 - - 12 - - 40 - - 42 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 57.6 - - 64.5 - - 63.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 10.1 - - 41.8 - - 47.9 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 60.1 - - 64.3 - - 63.9 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 9.0 - - 40.6 - - 46.5 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - -1 - - 26 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 375 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96300 38 068 22 099 11 052 22 078 27 083 96300 89406 44 088 30 102 11 123 26 078 33 084 89406 84060 50 090 40 108 27 096 31 093 36 084 84060 79546 44 090 41 096 39 099 35 102 35 088 79546 75593 33 100 35 091 33 104 28 095 25 090 75593 72081 29 091 22 090 23 089 23 090 24 089 72081 68895 22 066 20 071 22 076 22 089 23 089 68895 65975 17 063 16 054 21 049 21 050 26 063 65975 63299 17 077 11 104 10 034 12 019 17 033 63299 60721 30 053 21 076 8 088 5 349 9 030 60721 58022 31 019 32 033 24 049 17 047 8 023 58022 55214 24 022 32 027 23 031 22 050 18 054 55214 52534 37 037 39 022 36 018 42 020 48 038 52534 50121 42 016 45 010 40 008 46 006 54 016 50121 47938 41 001 38 356 32 003 36 002 48 008 47938 45932 31 010 28 015 25 029 34 021 35 006 45932 44086 35 047 40 056 39 057 30 038 14 021 44086 42384 56 054 60 060 54 062 37 072 26 111 42384 40805 70 050 68 058 62 066 53 079 55 100 40805 39339 65 044 60 055 64 064 58 079 69 094 39339 37972 42 046 45 055 58 057 54 078 67 091 37972 36658 40 084 36 084 45 064 50 080 62 092 36658 35330 56 101 45 112 42 091 48 089 59 100 35330 33960 59 101 47 114 32 098 46 097 58 109 33960 32549 53 097 40 107 32 101 50 101 49 114 32549 31081 49 097 40 100 36 099 50 100 44 116 31081 29541 45 096 40 094 40 094 47 098 44 116 29541 27927 42 090 42 090 41 092 44 097 41 114 27927 26241 40 081 42 089 42 095 42 102 37 111 26241 24485 39 079 40 090 42 100 38 110 35 106 24485 22663 36 086 37 092 42 104 33 119 33 106 22663 20767 33 097 33 096 38 108 31 124 28 109 20767 18792 28 100 31 100 34 110 28 121 25 108 18792 16776 23 092 28 103 29 109 25 112 23 097 16776 14833 22 084 27 105 22 117 21 107 21 093 14833 13063 21 090 24 110 20 129 18 096 17 090 13063 11489 16 096 20 115 17 138 15 102 8 104 11489 10087 9 105 14 124 8 155 9 117 4 172 10087 8836 5 141 7 146 3 213 4 095 4 244 8836 7720 4 147 5 187 4 266 6 052 3 355 7720 6728 3 127 7 206 6 281 7 033 7 032 6728 5851 2 099 8 214 8 284 7 008 12 025 5851 5076 1 068 9 220 10 286 7 350 13 017 5076 4382 1 355 9 225 9 297 8 345 13 012 4382 3769 1 304 8 230 8 312 8 346 12 013 3769 3257 0 145 7 233 6 328 6 352 11 020 3257 2864 2 132 5 234 4*347 3 011 9 034 2864 2594 3 136 4 234 3*017 1 060 8 053 2594 2431 3*132 2*234 3 018 1 079 6*075 2431 2338 2*141 0*352 2 021 1*086 3*098 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography