DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 98.0 - - 95.6 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 422 - - 240 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2451 - - 4898 - - 2511 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3825 - - 5826 - - 3799 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4775 - - 7222 - - 4835 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1653 - - 1846 - - 3550 - - 686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 524 - - 348 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 25 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 270 - - 311 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 20 - - 13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10836 - - -9988 - - -11239 - - -9720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15611 - - 17211 - - 16075 - - 12061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18011 - - -17281 - - -17821 - - -18584 ODpotential blCL - - - 22786 - - 24503 - - 22656 - - 20924 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 44 - - 40 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.1 - - 98.0 - - 95.6 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 30.0 - - 33.0 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.1 - - 95.4 - - 93.8 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 29.2 - - 32.4 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 422 - - 240 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2451 - - 4898 - - 2511 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 39 107 34 115 33 123 27 105 99291 91801 38 103 34 113 34 100 33 102 91801 86019 30 098 33 102 30 105 35 088 86019 81243 23 105 26 096 26 104 24 084 81243 77149 21 110 23 107 19 090 17 096 77149 73519 19 110 22 108 17 098 16 092 73519 70225 16 108 19 101 19 098 18 094 70225 67215 18 114 13 106 15 103 19 094 67215 64446 16 107 10 121 11 109 14 083 64446 61784 12 100 9 146 4 134 7 068 61784 59038 7 107 9 160 4 205 1 197 59038 56233 3 138 11 186 12 214 10 234 56233 53584 10 272 8 249 12 226 12 233 53584 51202 19 265 15 267 16 250 15 248 51202 49061 26 261 22 263 23 268 20 267 49061 47107 31 258 29 258 30 266 29 273 47107 45300 33 254 31 257 33 264 34 272 45300 43612 33 255 31 259 34 263 35 267 43612 42023 32 258 32 259 34 260 35 263 42023 40522 34 261 32 256 34 258 35 261 40522 39104 35 261 33 256 34 256 35 259 39104 37734 34 259 34 260 34 255 35 258 37734 36345 34 255 35 264 34 256 33 256 36345 34907 32 256 30 262 30 263 30 260 34907 33423 30 265 26 264 25 265 26 263 33423 31878 26 267 25 267 24 269 23 266 31878 30261 21 263 23 264 23 271 21 271 30261 28578 15 268 18 267 20 274 19 276 28578 26828 10 283 13 270 12 272 14 267 26828 25013 9 301 10 270 9 269 9 253 25013 23137 10 284 10 267 9 264 9 248 23137 21191 13 261 13 262 12 265 10 259 21191 19169 15 248 15 254 15 265 12 274 19169 17112 17 248 17 250 15 266 11 280 17112 15132 15 254 16 251 13 268 7 286 15132 13330 13 259 14 253 10 267 6 286 13330 11725 13 263 12 256 10 262 6 272 11725 10296 12 269 12 260 9 257 7 261 10296 9021 11 275 9 260 7 232 8 249 9021 7884 9 275 5*249 6 197 9 210 7884 6872 7 268 4*245 5 183 9 185 6872 5975 5 249 3 249 4 185 7 179 5975 5179 4*227 3 259 2*214 4 172 5179 4462 4*224 4 272 3*278 2 154 4462 3827 3 226 4 279 6 311 2 350 3827 3296 3 232 5 283 7 313 7 338 3296 2888 3 236 5 287 8 314 10 337 2888 2608 3 239 5 287 8 315 9 337 2608 2437 3 241 5 287 8 315 8*338 2437 2340 2 242 4 287 7 315 4*335 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography