DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 65.7 - - 62.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 85 - - 19 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 744 - - 392 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3066 - - 2714 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 289 - - 1100 - - 646 - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 171 - - 87 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 100 - - 098 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3943 - - -4549 - - -2398 - - -1571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6281 - - 7616 - - 5112 - - 3909 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11330 - - -10741 - - -8301 - - -10921 ODpotential blCL - - - 13668 - - 13807 - - 11015 - - 13259 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 56 - - 62 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 65.7 - - 62.6 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 41.0 - - 48.6 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 65.0 - - 62.6 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 39.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 85 - - 19 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 744 - - 392 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95609 53 296 47 303 53 295 44 290 95609 88673 28 301 24 309 40 305 28 295 88673 83346 18 304 17 314 29 306 26 314 83346 78895 19 315 15 321 17 307 21 313 78895 75017 18 307 18 317 13 330 16 320 75017 71573 12 283 19 303 17 323 23 322 71573 68471 10 292 19 294 18 309 23 311 68471 65625 14 293 24 286 19 295 25 297 65625 62979 19 284 28 277 23 285 33 289 62979 60409 16 290 28 279 29 282 37 275 60409 57714 27 309 32 292 29 295 26 291 57714 54907 45 302 49 288 44 297 41 296 54907 52223 48 285 51 278 51 285 43 292 52223 49790 42 278 46 277 45 282 46 285 49790 47599 37 281 42 277 43 288 46 279 47599 45611 34 291 39 281 40 284 43 278 45611 43804 33 291 36 282 39 271 43 275 43804 42161 35 281 33 270 38 255 44 267 42161 40650 32 275 34 266 38 255 44 255 40650 39233 28 275 37 265 40 253 38 250 39233 37892 27 274 33 257 35 247 36 256 37892 36593 24 268 32 256 33 259 36 261 36593 35272 20 268 34 270 34 271 35 263 35272 33902 21 275 31 278 30 270 30 259 33902 32488 27 290 24 273 25 258 26 259 32488 31014 31 300 18 283 14 266 21 275 31014 29470 29 302 19 313 19 304 24 292 29470 27856 30 316 31 314 31 308 27 292 27856 26171 36 318 36 307 35 306 28 287 26171 24418 30 317 33 306 34 304 29 286 24418 22598 26 324 28 304 29 304 27 289 22598 20705 19 298 26 289 26 301 22 293 20705 18735 18 284 23 282 25 296 21 294 18735 16725 17 281 20 279 25 294 20 293 16725 14788 16 278 19 275 22 285 17 287 14788 13024 14 280 18 271 20 274 15 272 13024 11453 10 285 14 272 19 269 16 267 11453 10055 6 291 10 270 16 271 14 273 10055 8810 4 293 6 267 11 274 9 286 8810 7702 2 322 3 274 6 271 4 290 7702 6717 3 355 1 354 2 254 1 111 6717 5845 3 002 2 045 2 133 4 106 5845 5074 4 001 3 037 4 106 6 108 5074 4381 5 001 3 043 4 097 6 113 4381 3768 5 003 3 069 4 099 5 120 3768 3256 4 017 3*096 5 104 5 127 3256 2864 3 063 3*099 6*102 6 125 2864 2594 4 101 3 100 6*099 7 111 2594 2431 3*127 3 102 6 098 6*094 2431 2338 2*138 3 101 5 098 4*079 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography