DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 85.1 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 242 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 3801 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2323 - - 4754 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3184 - - 6124 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2182 - - 3597 - - - - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 399 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 209 - - - - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11771 - - -9821 - - - - - -8256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14955 - - 15946 - - - - - 10596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19046 - - -15925 - - - - - -16579 ODpotential blCL - - - 22230 - - 22049 - - - - - 18918 blCL maxRH - - - 20 - - 21 - - - - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 85.1 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 22.9 - - - - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 83.3 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 22.3 - - - - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 242 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 3801 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97622 19 272 20 275 17 290 97622 90353 6 283 11 261 15 296 90353 84759 7 298 4 262 10 296 84759 80117 5 268 3 303 2 209 80117 76117 9 147 4 246 4 130 76117 72580 11 115 12 201 3 325 72580 69387 5 148 6 196 6 239 69387 66450 12 160 10 225 4 238 66450 63734 5 010 18 173 9 257 63734 61144 18 305 8 346 13 230 61144 58461 16 266 20 303 7 255 58461 55667 9 199 10 284 17 303 55667 53009 7 030 7 339 23 314 53009 50615 22 348 18 336 23 324 50615 48457 29 353 21 353 25 334 48457 46480 35 004 25 005 26 345 46480 44649 42 005 31 012 28 357 44649 42945 46 008 37 014 29 010 42945 41351 49 011 41 017 29 021 41351 39853 49 018 43 020 30 043 39853 38447 45 029 43 029 35 048 38447 37098 43 042 42 033 38 047 37098 35730 42 055 39 050 37 057 35730 34312 52 081 50 080 42 078 34312 32854 58 088 56 086 47 085 32854 31344 57 087 53 085 49 086 31344 29768 54 082 51 082 48 083 29768 28125 51 077 51 081 48 081 28125 26412 47 073 50 081 48 089 26412 24633 44 072 49 085 34 094 24633 22793 43 073 46 091 20 104 22793 20884 42 077 39 098 15 120 20884 18897 39 081 27 099 16 118 18897 16872 33 088 22 098 19 111 16872 14924 24 118 26 108 21 116 14924 13152 29 138 30 121 24 125 13152 11576 30 143 30 133 26 132 11576 10171 15 155 23 139 26 140 10171 8916 6 219 4 131 25 151 8916 7797 7 223 1 143 22 162 7797 6800 9 212 2*180 18 171 6800 5918 10 206 3*194 14 177 5918 5134 11 202 4 199 11 177 5134 4430 11 200 4 208 8 168 4430 3804 12 199 4 212 6 145 3804 3281 11*196 5 215 7 114 3281 2879 10*196 5 217 9 092 2879 2603 9 196 5 217 9 082 2603 2435 8 196 4 219 7*078 2435 2339 7 195 4 218 4*075 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography