DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 81.0 - - 77.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 367 - - 159 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1527 - - 4322 - - 1758 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3125 - - 5317 - - 3086 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3849 - - 6645 - - 4081 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1099 - - 2329 - - 3039 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 478 - - 268 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 26 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 341 - - 289 - - 326 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 16 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3975 - - -3392 - - -3969 - - -2685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7824 - - 10037 - - 8050 - - 5024 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9090 - - -6842 - - -6882 - - -9326 ODpotential blCL - - - 12939 - - 13487 - - 10963 - - 11664 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 48 - - 47 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.4 - - 81.0 - - 77.3 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 45.0 - - 50.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 78.7 - - 76.1 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 44.8 - - 50.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 367 - - 159 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1527 - - 4322 - - 1758 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98344 11 135 12 114 7 158 8 263 98344 91009 11 099 10 113 7 096 9 093 91009 85373 9 084 7 112 8 089 10 078 85373 80676 11 090 7 101 6 104 6 067 80676 76624 9 067 8 071 7 091 2 073 76624 73043 3 088 6 018 11 064 6 113 73043 69793 6 156 1 273 4 023 3 070 69793 66795 7 185 6 246 6 303 1 047 66795 64011 6 195 12 256 12 270 6 327 64011 61306 9 287 9 248 12 271 10 283 61306 58483 17 275 15 249 17 269 17 270 58483 55559 27 265 23 257 24 272 23 278 55559 52789 27 261 23 262 24 274 25 281 52789 50322 27 272 25 275 22 284 22 286 50322 48122 25 276 24 282 22 299 20 295 48122 46131 28 288 23 289 23 292 19 294 46131 44310 25 292 21 293 21 282 19 285 44310 42627 25 300 24 300 21 292 20 289 42627 41057 27 297 28 292 27 286 25 284 41057 39583 28 290 31 284 32 276 30 279 39583 38197 27 285 33 279 36 275 35 275 38197 36862 28 282 33 276 36 275 36 273 36862 35510 29 286 32 276 34 274 34 273 35510 34111 28 284 29 279 31 271 32 271 34111 32669 26 282 24 273 29 265 31 266 32669 31170 24 280 22 259 28 262 31 263 31170 29604 21 281 23 263 29 262 31 264 29604 27970 16 267 24 268 27 264 29 269 27970 26267 22 258 25 268 25 275 24 272 26267 24499 29 265 24 267 20 275 20 267 24499 22665 28 262 24 268 18 270 19 261 22665 20761 25 260 23 269 19 270 18 259 20761 18780 24 259 22 268 20 269 18 258 18780 16763 22 257 20 264 19 263 18 259 16763 14821 20 255 20 254 19 255 18 261 14821 13057 20 252 20 248 18 250 18 262 13057 11490 23 246 19 243 17 244 17 260 11490 10095 23 242 17 240 15 239 15 253 10095 8852 18 238 14 231 12 222 13 242 8852 7742 12 226 9 209 9 194 12 221 7742 6754 11 210 6*203 7 181 11 205 6754 5879 9 205 4*214 4 182 7 185 5879 5102 6 199 2 245 2 213 4 156 5102 4404 2*195 3 287 4*314 3 097 4404 3785 3*344 4 300 8*326 4 053 3785 3267 5 342 5 307 10 326 8 356 3267 2871 5 341 5 309 10 326 13 336 2871 2598 5 339 5 310 10 326 12 331 2598 2433 5 339 5 310 9 325 10 329 2433 2338 5 339 4 310 8 325 4*326 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography