DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 59.8 - - 55.8 - - 45.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 37 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2951 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 228 - - 1255 - - 782 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 131 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 076 - - 074 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6640 - - -4187 - - -2460 - - -2850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8978 - - 7138 - - 4798 - - 5188 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15122 - - -10839 - - -8893 - - -12641 ODpotential blCL - - - 17460 - - 13790 - - 11231 - - 14978 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 41 - - 55 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 59.8 - - 55.8 - - 45.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 37.2 - - 43.3 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 59.5 - - 56.4 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 36.1 - - 42.2 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 37 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96265 23 344 12 003 10 343 17 351 96265 89303 15 026 23 037 22 047 19 064 89303 83834 9 040 15 014 21 051 20 067 83834 79276 7 044 8 004 19 049 20 050 79276 75362 8 045 8 019 16 043 16 049 75362 71897 9 037 8 008 16 030 18 047 71897 68749 9 023 8 356 16 006 19 024 68749 65853 10 001 10 349 16 343 18 350 65853 63167 11 350 12 335 15 315 17 326 63167 60553 18 355 13 344 16 329 17 332 60553 57818 30 341 26 347 25 342 24 346 57818 54971 39 330 34 339 30 341 32 347 54971 52235 37 325 36 326 35 331 42 342 52235 49752 33 318 34 322 38 331 43 341 49752 47523 29 321 32 323 36 335 42 348 47523 45514 26 315 31 322 35 338 44 354 45514 43685 27 321 33 319 34 340 42 353 43685 42001 36 312 31 314 34 330 37 351 42001 40442 36 302 35 304 33 312 34 344 40442 38996 35 293 38 289 37 297 33 319 38996 37650 35 297 37 282 40 279 38 306 37650 36355 37 298 41 283 39 280 35 295 36355 35040 37 296 43 284 41 285 31 297 35040 33677 39 296 44 285 44 286 26 307 33677 32268 43 298 44 289 46 288 22 315 32268 30802 40 300 48 296 46 296 18 317 30802 29267 25 299 34 302 28 303 15 317 29267 27661 17 292 19 291 19 304 15 319 27661 25985 16 286 17 285 19 309 17 325 25985 24240 18 301 20 301 22 317 18 334 24240 22430 21 314 21 319 22 323 17 341 22430 20551 17 327 17 343 18 339 15 351 20551 18598 11 326 11 358 12 356 15 359 18598 16609 8 339 9 005 11 005 15 007 16609 14690 8 007 10 044 12 033 14 024 14690 12937 9 025 12 056 12 050 15 037 12937 11374 9 032 9 051 10 050 14 042 11374 9981 8 041 7 046 9 044 11 042 9981 8741 6 058 6 050 8 042 8 038 8741 7639 5 079 4 056 8 041 5 040 7639 6662 4 124 4 100 6 040 3 052 6662 5800 7 164 9 147 5 128 3 060 5800 5036 10 168 12 158 9 153 4 054 5036 4353 10 167 11 159 8 155 5 039 4353 3748 8 168 8 153 4 146 6 030 3748 3244 6 169 3*111 4 074 8 039 3244 2856 5 164 3*076 6 069 10 050 2856 2590 5 148 3 076 6 072 9 059 2590 2429 4*125 3 076 5 074 7 067 2429 2337 2*097 3 075 3*074 3*083 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography