DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 58.5 - - 58.3 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 61 - - 341 - - 382 - - 187 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 627 - - 2616 - - 3294 - - 3130 - - 548 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3990 - - 4538 - - 4144 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2948 - - 4937 - - 5616 - - 5452 - - 2870 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1045 - - 1068 - - 1514 - - 1409 - - 1374 Hgt.Variab. W* 140 - - 397 - - 444 - - 344 - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 305 - - 324 - - 339 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 81 - - 240 - - 539 - - 368 - - 263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2867 - - 4698 - - 5077 - - 5084 - - 2608 sfcLCL ODpotential -2266 - - -1449 - - 308 - - -45 - - -910 ODpotential blCL 5214 - - 6386 - - 5308 - - 5497 - - 3780 blCL maxRH 89 - - 86 - - 99 - - 97 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 55.0 - - 58.5 - - 58.3 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 42.4 - - 44.3 - - 44.0 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 52.9 - - 56.2 - - 56.9 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 41.7 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 61 - - 341 - - 382 - - 187 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 627 - - 2616 - - 3294 - - 3130 - - 548 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 45 - - 94 - - 89 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97976 16 257 17 252 21 260 28 261 22 286 97976 90466 14 283 14 231 17 260 24 280 16 275 90466 84706 20 289 11 271 14 248 21 282 13 284 84706 79958 16 280 16 278 12 256 14 288 12 286 79958 75884 14 279 20 267 13 275 12 307 11 281 75884 72291 15 279 16 272 15 274 17 305 15 292 72291 69046 18 278 16 287 14 277 21 293 19 294 69046 66061 21 283 19 289 17 277 22 281 22 294 66061 63282 23 285 20 287 22 273 25 277 23 290 63282 60572 22 284 20 284 23 276 23 281 21 300 60572 57734 21 283 18 282 22 281 22 280 24 295 57734 54791 20 291 16 291 18 278 18 273 23 281 54791 51985 21 293 18 300 13 288 14 298 14 292 51985 49467 20 290 18 304 14 322 17 336 14 334 49467 47224 15 295 15 317 13 341 16 344 18 356 47224 45205 11 321 10 322 19 006 27 013 28 017 45205 43364 14 353 17 012 22 007 32 021 33 024 43364 41668 16 356 16 023 24 032 31 039 40 040 41668 40106 19 031 25 053 47 050 44 051 51 050 40106 38656 31 055 43 052 53 051 55 054 58 053 38656 37300 45 056 55 054 57 058 62 059 60 056 37300 35999 65 054 66 063 63 062 70 065 61 058 35999 34683 73 054 73 064 67 065 75 067 63 059 34683 33323 74 054 74 062 69 066 77 067 64 057 33323 31918 74 056 69 059 68 064 75 067 64 055 31918 30455 73 056 63 057 63 061 72 067 61 055 30455 28923 69 056 61 057 54 058 68 069 58 055 28923 27322 61 055 56 058 47 058 62 068 55 061 27322 25654 54 055 51 056 42 047 50 060 50 066 25654 23923 50 056 47 049 38 035 43 051 44 064 23923 22132 42 052 41 049 35 027 41 045 38 055 22132 20273 32 046 36 047 35 023 41 039 37 048 20273 18339 26 043 36 040 36 021 40 034 38 046 18339 16373 23 045 37 036 37 021 39 031 38 045 16373 14482 20 041 33 033 36 028 36 037 34 048 14482 12763 14 032 26 033 31 034 30 046 28 054 12763 11232 12 023 21 031 25 037 23 050 22 062 11232 9867 11 010 18 027 21 041 19 056 18 065 9867 8647 10 354 13 022 15 041 16 062 16 064 8647 7558 9 345 9 005 6 034 10 064 12 059 7558 6592 9 325 8 335 3 021 5 051 6 048 6592 5743 9 308 9 313 3*360 4*041 4 021 5743 4994 9 298 10*306 3*342 4*009 4 005 4994 4324 9 301 11*305 6 326 6 343 5 357 4324 3731 10 312 11 305 8 323 7 338 9 338 3731 3235 11*316 11 305 9 323 7 335 11*329 3235 2853 10*316 11 304 9 322 7 333 11*327 2853 2590 8 314 10 304 9 321 7 332 11 326 2590 2429 7 313 10 304 9 321 7 332 9 325 2429 2338 6 313 8 304 8 321 6 331 6 325 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography