DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.8 - - 86.6 - - 94.7 - - 94.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 297 - - 409 - - 215 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 3501 - - 3215 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 3011 - - 4722 - - 4272 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 3655 - - 5825 - - 5539 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 298 - - 863 - - 2029 - - 2267 - - 1270 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 302 - - 464 - - 364 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 194 - - 209 - - 219 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2944 - - -5341 - - -6263 - - -6240 - - -4064 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5283 - - 8996 - - 12088 - - 11780 - - 6405 sfcLCL ODpotential -10685 - - -9616 - - -9512 - - -9312 - - -9770 ODpotential blCL 13024 - - 13271 - - 15337 - - 14851 - - 12110 blCL maxRH 67 - - 78 - - 65 - - 62 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 190 - - 110 - - 160 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 70.8 - - 86.6 - - 94.7 - - 94.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.8 - - 55.4 - - 49.7 - - 50.4 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 84.6 - - 92.1 - - 92.2 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.8 - - 55.1 - - 49.3 - - 50.0 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 297 - - 409 - - 215 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 3501 - - 3215 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99214 27 106 26 104 28 110 18 115 26 083 99214 91779 26 116 26 103 27 106 24 111 20 099 91779 86039 24 104 25 108 27 109 24 112 21 107 86039 81253 17 099 22 110 22 109 24 106 18 114 81253 77121 19 117 15 105 18 109 22 089 20 107 77121 73476 18 108 13 131 11 097 20 091 18 095 73476 70178 11 081 18 126 9 132 11 082 15 093 70178 67147 8 076 14 101 14 133 4 122 5 076 67147 64362 5 059 7 091 8 120 5 133 2 080 64362 61685 1 056 4 127 5 148 2 174 2 093 61685 58902 5 245 4 152 2 246 4 280 3 292 58902 56038 7 249 5 200 7 261 8 269 7 278 56038 53331 8 227 7 232 12 243 12 256 9 247 53331 50906 11 214 13 221 19 216 20 233 18 232 50906 48733 15 239 17 224 21 208 24 220 23 221 48733 46756 21 238 20 228 19 208 23 213 24 220 46756 44935 28 231 27 220 23 216 26 213 27 218 44935 43241 35 221 33 214 31 218 31 215 32 213 43241 41655 43 213 39 208 37 214 38 214 38 210 41655 40163 45 209 39 206 39 210 44 209 43 207 40163 38757 42 207 37 205 38 207 45 205 44 204 38757 37398 39 206 33 204 35 206 42 201 43 204 37398 36023 36 205 30 203 32 203 39 204 40 202 36023 34601 33 205 27 203 30 200 34 205 38 200 34601 33134 32 204 25 203 27 199 29 203 36 200 33134 31611 27 204 22 202 23 198 26 203 32 201 31611 30022 21 200 17 194 19 194 24 204 27 206 30022 28367 11 202 13 183 16 189 20 199 22 207 28367 26648 4 172 10 172 13 188 16 204 16 208 26648 24862 2 124 10 159 15 177 14 209 13 212 24862 23013 4 260 8 159 13 163 12 185 12 202 23013 21096 8 223 7 177 9 165 9 158 11 179 21096 19106 11 193 12 199 8 196 6 147 12 158 19106 17079 11 188 16 202 10 212 5 185 9 146 17079 15121 9 211 13 215 11 219 6 208 6 155 15121 13333 4 227 9 222 10 224 7 220 4 172 13333 11734 1 052 6 210 9 218 8 219 4 204 11734 10307 2 050 5 203 9 214 9 210 6 224 10307 9030 1 349 6 209 9 216 9 201 7 230 9030 7889 2 285 7 211 9 212 7 188 8 226 7889 6873 2 255 8 206 8 204 6 186 7 206 6873 5973 2 218 8 194 8*202 6*195 7 176 5973 5175 3 193 8 181 8*203 7*205 7 177 5175 4459 3 185 8 177 8 206 7 211 10 210 4459 3825 4 198 8*183 9 208 7 217 14 219 3825 3296 7 221 7*190 9 210 7 225 15 218 3296 2889 12 215 7 194 9 211 7 228 13 220 2889 2608 13 209 7 197 9 212 7 230 11 227 2608 2437 11 208 7 197 8 212 7 230 9*232 2437 2340 5*210 6 198 7 213 6 232 5*239 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography