DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.4 - - 54.8 - - 53.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - -1 - - 34 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2337 - - 2951 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 191 - - 699 - - 1090 - - 1499 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 19 - - 127 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 114 - - 181 - - 105 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6084 - - -4975 - - -3580 - - -2476 - - -1357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8421 - - 7312 - - 6531 - - 4814 - - 3694 sfcLCL ODpotential -17207 - - -14405 - - -11855 - - -8783 - - -12050 ODpotential blCL 19544 - - 16742 - - 14806 - - 11121 - - 14387 blCL maxRH 21 - - 31 - - 78 - - 56 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.4 - - 54.8 - - 53.4 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.2 - - 26.4 - - 35.0 - - 41.0 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 49.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.9 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.1 - - 25.2 - - 33.8 - - 39.9 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - -1 - - 34 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96228 34 288 37 289 45 282 37 296 34 292 96228 89220 16 313 20 308 19 285 15 305 15 359 89220 83810 13 315 13 340 11 354 7 319 10 012 83810 79276 6 323 8 006 13 018 7 002 7 044 79276 75326 10 036 4 338 13 018 9 028 10 067 75326 71809 12 019 1 298 15 358 10 022 15 041 71809 68628 9 021 2 315 13 337 13 358 16 005 68628 65728 17 004 9 038 7 345 15 328 18 345 65728 63052 18 005 16 011 14 352 17 326 17 321 63052 60453 28 348 26 355 16 341 15 312 18 308 60453 57725 33 334 29 342 21 333 19 311 19 302 57725 54885 35 317 31 325 26 309 26 298 25 299 54885 52166 26 319 25 322 27 300 27 295 24 302 52166 49695 27 340 26 330 26 308 35 300 26 309 49695 47461 42 336 38 324 40 308 40 300 35 306 47461 45445 50 327 46 316 49 306 41 302 40 308 45445 43632 48 330 42 317 47 308 41 304 39 312 43632 41999 37 353 34 334 28 327 37 309 30 320 41999 40499 39 013 32 354 23 354 33 319 29 325 40499 39093 46 004 33 003 24 355 33 325 29 325 39093 37761 46 360 35 004 24 355 29 327 29 319 37761 36470 39 013 34 003 21 358 25 334 24 319 36470 35156 36 020 30 005 21 356 22 328 21 324 35156 33792 36 011 28 010 19 002 22 326 20 333 33792 32379 34 001 24 011 17 010 20 326 15 342 32379 30903 31 358 21 001 14 354 20 326 14 333 30903 29354 29 358 16 356 14 343 21 325 17 330 29354 27735 22 014 12 349 10 333 15 315 18 328 27735 26043 17 026 7 339 8 300 10 300 16 320 26043 24282 9 011 8 330 9 294 8 287 12 296 24282 22458 6 303 9 296 10 285 9 272 11 262 22458 20566 7 228 11 254 13 264 11 256 14 247 20566 18599 8 204 13 227 16 248 16 244 21 254 18599 16593 8 214 13 233 15 246 14 243 21 259 16593 14660 8 233 10 246 9 249 9 237 14 258 14660 12901 7 239 5 252 4 243 5 212 9 244 12901 11337 5 218 1 163 2 166 5 191 7 229 11337 9946 4 166 4 130 3 162 5 195 5 220 9946 8709 6 154 4 150 4 191 5 196 4 211 8709 7609 9 142 6 167 6 185 6 189 3 181 7609 6637 9 151 7 161 8 185 8 195 4 162 6637 5779 14 169 9 176 11 192 12 196 6 168 5779 5020 21 175 14 186 14 193 14 196 7 172 5020 4341 25 176 19 186 16 192 13 198 8 168 4341 3739 27 175 21 182 15 188 10 195 7 158 3739 3238 24 174 19 180 12*184 6 187 6 141 3238 2852 18 173 14 178 8*181 2 168 6 119 2852 2588 11 172 8 176 7 181 1 143 7 102 2588 2428 7 170 6 172 6 182 1*127 6 086 2428 2337 2*049 1*114 5 181 1*105 4*072 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography