DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.7 - - 76.6 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 445 - - 212 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2895 - - 4993 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4190 - - 5916 - - 4159 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5217 - - 7316 - - 5399 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1326 - - 1210 - - 2672 - - 858 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 535 - - 356 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 21 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 212 - - 323 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 27 - - 26 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3544 - - -2789 - - -4620 - - -4815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8762 - - 10106 - - 10020 - - 7154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9713 - - -8226 - - -9886 - - -12507 ODpotential blCL - - - 14930 - - 15542 - - 15285 - - 14846 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 50 - - 45 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.7 - - 76.6 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 41.3 - - 40.7 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 75.1 - - 75.0 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 41.0 - - 40.5 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 445 - - 212 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2895 - - 4993 - - 3076 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98805 10 121 17 093 16 102 11 137 98805 91400 16 095 8 108 9 101 11 063 91400 85669 23 083 10 136 4 035 15 054 85669 80915 15 087 13 108 8 075 11 075 80915 76843 14 094 13 074 15 090 12 082 76843 73253 12 086 9 058 15 063 19 071 73253 69992 7 090 2 124 9 028 11 046 69992 66993 10 103 6 118 4 091 6 060 66993 64209 10 268 7 249 9 323 9 013 64209 61515 24 198 17 199 17 245 18 264 61515 58720 12 236 14 256 13 242 15 264 58720 55832 25 256 29 262 27 262 33 267 55832 53094 43 259 40 266 34 260 32 251 53094 50633 50 257 46 263 36 259 30 264 50633 48428 60 258 49 258 38 273 33 280 48428 46427 68 251 48 257 42 271 37 279 46427 44592 70 246 47 256 39 265 38 270 44592 42889 68 246 45 252 34 262 37 260 42889 41298 72 243 43 252 34 269 36 252 41298 39800 78 239 42 250 37 274 33 247 39800 38385 81 235 42 247 41 273 30 249 38385 37019 79 235 44 244 43 271 29 258 37019 35637 78 237 48 241 41 272 30 267 35637 34212 78 238 50 240 37 275 31 272 34212 32747 76 238 50 241 32 282 29 274 32747 31225 73 236 47 243 26 287 26 278 31225 29635 68 234 44 246 22 298 21 286 29635 27979 61 234 42 248 22 310 20 292 27979 26257 53 237 41 249 20 318 20 301 26257 24470 46 239 38 249 18 321 21 312 24470 22624 41 241 33 249 17 301 18 315 22624 20712 38 242 30 247 19 270 15 311 20712 18729 36 240 30 246 23 253 14 298 18729 16717 34 239 32 244 26 251 14 278 16717 14780 33 240 32 244 27 253 17 263 14780 13019 30 243 29 246 26 252 19 256 13019 11452 27 244 26 246 23 250 19 252 11452 10058 25 241 22 241 18 244 16 247 10058 8815 23 234 14 218 12 203 14 220 8815 7709 20 222 8*181 10 156 15 169 7709 6728 16 207 7*180 9 146 13 158 6728 5859 12*193 6 184 7*142 10 155 5859 5087 9*191 5 199 3*138 7 147 5087 4394 6 199 5 220 1 342 4 130 4394 3778 6 210 4 230 4 323 2 017 3778 3264 5 215 5 237 4 321 8 336 3264 2869 5 221 5 242 5 320 11 326 2869 2598 5 225 5 245 5 321 10 322 2598 2433 4 226 5 245 5 320 9*320 2433 2339 4 226 4 245 5 319 5*318 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography