DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/30 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 86.1 - - 91.0 - - 87.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 346 - - 464 - - 296 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3769 - - 9385 - - 3309 - - 294 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 4871 - - 9480 - - 4465 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2449 - - 6092 - - 11709 - - 5633 - - 2617 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 356 - - 4434 - - 1523 - - 6534 - - 572 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 449 - - 671 - - 408 - - 40 W* B/S 3 - - 18 - - 35 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 194 - - 177 - - 335 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 13 - - 45 - - 39 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4548 - - -6456 - - -2385 - - -5860 - - -6574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6998 - - 12548 - - 14094 - - 11494 - - 9192 sfcLCL ODpotential -9615 - - -10820 - - -6609 - - -10112 - - -12747 ODpotential blCL 12064 - - 16912 - - 18318 - - 15745 - - 15364 blCL maxRH 45 - - 34 - - 45 - - 65 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 86.1 - - 91.0 - - 87.5 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 38.9 - - 36.6 - - 44.8 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.7 - - 83.8 - - 88.2 - - 85.4 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 38.3 - - 36.0 - - 44.5 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 346 - - 464 - - 296 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3769 - - 9385 - - 3309 - - 294 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98898 36 091 38 101 42 113 29 104 39 095 98898 91416 32 093 31 105 27 113 30 110 29 085 91416 85673 32 094 28 099 21 115 27 108 24 102 85673 80914 28 091 25 093 27 102 25 101 28 108 80914 76817 24 097 24 095 25 101 25 098 27 096 76817 73212 23 103 19 104 19 102 21 093 23 093 73212 69968 18 103 17 111 18 103 18 098 18 102 69968 67003 15 109 15 111 18 109 16 102 18 102 67003 64273 17 107 13 126 16 114 14 109 14 106 64273 61640 14 099 16 147 11 155 7 135 13 116 61640 58897 8 105 20 144 18 172 16 188 6 196 58897 56061 7 204 13 138 17 160 16 175 19 186 56061 53367 13 208 10 195 17 177 17 180 19 184 53367 50929 14 218 18 214 19 196 20 197 18 198 50929 48721 18 227 23 216 26 201 26 202 23 202 48721 46695 22 225 24 210 29 198 31 201 29 203 46695 44823 25 225 24 205 30 193 36 196 35 200 44823 43082 28 225 24 206 30 192 38 192 36 198 43082 41456 30 223 26 211 30 198 36 195 36 199 41456 39931 29 224 27 211 29 202 34 196 38 199 39931 38494 28 224 27 209 29 206 34 196 40 198 38494 37106 29 218 29 209 30 210 35 200 40 199 37106 35701 31 216 31 210 32 210 35 203 41 197 35701 34258 33 217 32 208 31 207 35 198 42 197 34258 32781 33 211 33 203 32 203 34 193 42 199 32781 31253 34 202 34 201 31 202 31 189 40 195 31253 29662 35 199 33 198 29 202 29 187 36 189 29662 28014 34 198 31 198 28 196 26 185 31 188 28014 26309 32 197 29 201 25 192 22 182 25 185 26309 24544 27 192 26 200 23 189 20 180 22 179 24544 22717 23 180 23 192 23 183 20 179 19 176 22717 20823 23 172 24 182 24 180 22 178 19 172 20823 18853 23 175 26 179 25 182 23 182 19 171 18853 16844 20 176 24 177 25 181 23 186 19 168 16844 14904 18 165 19 173 22 175 24 179 20 160 14904 13138 16 150 14 165 17*167 20 161 21 166 13138 11568 7 131 12 155 9*153 13 144 20 170 11568 10171 1 149 6 133 5 144 10 143 11 149 10171 8923 2 225 2 112 5 146 6 142 5 121 8923 7806 2 223 2 146 4 156 4 137 3 089 7806 6809 2 180 4*169 3 182 1 100 3 057 6809 5925 3 172 5*182 3 202 2*004 4 037 5925 5140 4 170 5 187 3 213 4*345 6 025 5140 4433 4 169 5 192 3 221 6 340 9 013 4433 3806 5 172 5 197 4 229 9 335 11 357 3806 3282 4 186 4 199 4 231 9 333 13 339 3282 2880 6 207 4 203 4 235 10 332 13*332 2880 2604 6*215 4 203 4 236 10 332 12*330 2604 2436 5*217 4 205 3 236 9 331 10 330 2436 2339 3 219 4 205 3 236 8 331 7 330 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography