DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 86.3 - - 90.8 - - 89.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 194 - - 285 - - 57 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1450 - - 3799 - - 3064 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2961 - - 4822 - - 3079 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 3773 - - 6123 - - 5387 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 2052 - - 5495 - - 5207 - - 383 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 270 - - 422 - - 231 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 037 - - 043 - - 037 - - 022 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7016 - - -9438 - - -8447 - - -8436 - - -5437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9355 - - 13212 - - 14570 - - 13824 - - 7776 sfcLCL ODpotential -17347 - - -16530 - - -14942 - - -14944 - - -12038 ODpotential blCL 19686 - - 20303 - - 21065 - - 20331 - - 14377 blCL maxRH 37 - - 40 - - 42 - - 40 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 86.3 - - 90.8 - - 89.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 36.5 - - 34.6 - - 36.4 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.3 - - 84.8 - - 88.8 - - 88.4 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 36.0 - - 34.1 - - 36.0 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 194 - - 285 - - 57 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1450 - - 3799 - - 3064 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97894 9 282 7 325 10 252 6 332 14 335 97894 90586 2 191 7 351 3 003 5 077 4 319 90586 84930 8 071 1 274 3 317 10 028 7 026 84930 80258 9 071 4 089 4 101 4 022 11 037 80258 76255 9 074 12 108 11 078 9 074 11 046 76255 72740 9 061 13 088 18 082 16 073 17 061 72740 69589 13 048 13 083 14 085 10 085 17 059 69589 66702 6 062 10 078 10 086 10 078 15 064 66702 64012 10 072 6 099 3 155 7 010 11 044 64012 61406 10 360 9 059 3 164 7 289 11 346 61406 58713 18 305 18 324 15 325 15 306 21 333 58713 55941 31 297 29 302 30 305 29 303 31 314 55941 53301 39 293 37 300 38 300 38 305 37 308 53301 50917 47 295 46 300 46 299 48 305 43 307 50917 48761 54 294 53 296 51 297 53 301 49 305 48761 46782 58 294 56 294 53 295 57 300 53 304 46782 44948 60 296 56 295 55 296 59 298 55 302 44948 43239 65 296 60 296 56 295 60 298 57 301 43239 41637 70 294 65 293 58 295 59 297 57 298 41637 40132 68 292 64 292 62 295 60 296 56 296 40132 38715 65 292 61 293 61 295 62 295 57 294 38715 37353 64 293 59 294 58 295 60 294 56 293 37353 35978 61 296 56 294 54 295 55 293 52 292 35978 34558 56 300 49 293 47 292 49 290 47 287 34558 33094 47 301 42 291 42 289 44 288 43 287 33094 31571 40 292 37 288 37 286 40 288 39 288 31571 29977 34 288 34 285 34 284 36 287 36 288 29977 28315 32 286 32 286 30 288 31 289 30 287 28315 26584 28 286 27 287 25 289 26 291 25 288 26584 24788 21 290 21 290 21 288 22 290 21 287 24788 22926 14 296 16 287 15 285 17 288 16 286 22926 20994 8 306 11 283 10 280 11 293 9 284 20994 18987 3 344 4 270 4 272 4 309 1 277 18987 16950 2 098 3 144 3 153 2 120 5 139 16950 14996 10 151 11 153 10 151 11 135 13 138 14996 13221 16 158 15 157 13 159 14 141 17 138 13221 11641 17 160 14 163 12 168 13 144 17 145 11641 10233 13 170 11 173 7 167 9 136 12 147 10233 8973 7 178 8 173 4 152 7 118 8 142 8973 7848 4 147 4 160 3 112 6 095 5 123 7848 6844 5 101 3 122 3*056 6 069 6 101 6844 5953 6 079 4 088 5*039 8*028 7 077 5953 5161 7 056 6 065 8 035 9*023 10 053 5161 4450 10 041 10 048 8 035 9 022 13 033 4450 3819 13 033 13*042 9 036 9 022 15 023 3819 3292 17 028 12*042 9 037 10 022 15 017 3292 2886 17 026 12 043 9 038 9 023 13 006 2886 2606 13 027 11 044 8 039 9 023 11 358 2606 2437 10*028 10 044 8 039 8 023 9 356 2437 2339 4*037 8 044 7 039 7 024 5*357 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography