DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 59.3 - - 66.0 - - 64.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - -7 - - 71 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 745 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 3067 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 451 - - 1262 - - 1658 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 20 - - 163 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 210 - - 179 - - 158 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7164 - - -6417 - - -4549 - - -4021 - - -1438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9503 - - 8755 - - 7616 - - 6360 - - 3776 sfcLCL ODpotential -17683 - - -14839 - - -10560 - - -9296 - - -8631 ODpotential blCL 20021 - - 17177 - - 13627 - - 11635 - - 10969 blCL maxRH 23 - - 21 - - 59 - - 44 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 59.3 - - 66.0 - - 64.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.5 - - 29.9 - - 41.2 - - 45.1 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.7 - - 60.0 - - 65.5 - - 65.0 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 29.1 - - 40.0 - - 44.2 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - -7 - - 71 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 745 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95803 50 285 51 296 54 289 50 292 46 285 95803 88775 25 292 23 317 33 279 35 294 32 303 88775 83350 18 324 13 328 19 282 24 306 29 314 83350 78845 23 342 11 341 6 300 8 295 18 299 78845 74970 19 318 16 338 7 358 5 210 16 257 74970 71543 19 263 18 314 14 340 5 305 11 257 71543 68440 12 241 18 284 17 318 18 311 6 000 68440 65582 12 350 16 259 18 286 26 299 11 344 65582 62932 26 324 11 266 15 267 31 276 18 294 62932 60374 35 302 10 297 13 270 29 258 23 261 60374 57694 37 291 17 299 19 278 33 265 27 256 57694 54894 36 285 27 289 27 273 38 267 33 260 54894 52207 31 290 31 286 27 269 37 266 33 261 52207 49769 39 292 31 288 30 277 37 278 41 274 49769 47566 38 285 35 282 37 280 42 270 43 267 47566 45555 37 285 38 278 38 275 41 266 40 260 45555 43707 36 284 37 278 37 271 38 265 38 256 43707 42009 32 279 36 272 37 262 39 262 40 254 42009 40458 40 291 36 268 36 253 37 245 41 249 40458 39031 41 291 39 270 33 261 34 235 39 242 39031 37694 40 278 35 264 31 251 30 235 34 243 37694 36399 37 273 28 261 29 250 26 237 32 244 36399 35082 35 273 26 258 31 256 27 235 32 237 35082 33716 29 272 24 250 29 257 25 233 31 232 33716 32303 29 275 23 249 25 246 20 236 28 230 32303 30830 30 275 22 244 24 226 20 230 24 223 30830 29286 30 273 21 233 27 215 24 220 25 215 29286 27671 27 268 22 221 28 210 31 204 34 199 27671 25988 20 254 22 212 29 202 35 196 40 196 25988 24240 15 232 20 201 26 194 35 200 41 199 24240 22433 14 212 19 200 24 196 30 202 37 194 22433 20558 15 212 17 202 22 206 27 204 33 192 20558 18605 16 215 16 196 21 204 27 206 30 199 18605 16615 15 218 13 201 21 204 28 211 27 208 16615 14698 13 222 13 215 20 211 25 213 23 212 14698 12952 13 224 15 219 19 213 21 211 20 210 12952 11396 12 222 15 218 17 206 18 207 17 205 11396 10010 10 217 13 213 16 198 17 207 15 202 10010 8773 7 204 10 204 16 197 16 211 14 203 8773 7672 5 174 9 189 15 197 15 215 13 210 7672 6693 6 152 10 179 14 197 13 217 12 222 6693 5829 6 145 12 174 14 197 12 217 12 236 5829 5063 6 140 12 175 14 203 11 218 11 247 5063 4376 6 130 13 177 13 207 10 217 10 258 4376 3767 6 115 13 180 12 206 9 212 8 263 3767 3257 6 105 14 184 8*197 8 191 7 259 3257 2865 7 101 13 189 5*182 7 172 5 266 2865 2596 7 102 10 193 5 180 6 164 4 295 2596 2432 6*106 7 198 4 177 6*161 3*332 2432 2338 3*107 2*210 4 176 4*158 2*010 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography