DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/04 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.0 - - 68.7 - - 63.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 100 - - 232 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 700 - - 2171 - - 1417 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3536 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3022 - - 4494 - - 3739 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 859 - - 1380 - - 968 - - 883 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 172 - - 327 - - 162 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 233 - - 194 - - 197 - - 200 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1760 - - -4219 - - -4299 - - -1932 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4098 - - 7241 - - 8794 - - 5671 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -12310 - - -12035 - - -10878 - - -8284 - - -7206 ODpotential blCL 14648 - - 15057 - - 15372 - - 12023 - - 9544 blCL maxRH 52 - - 43 - - 43 - - 64 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.0 - - 68.7 - - 63.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.3 - - 39.7 - - 38.5 - - 47.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 62.2 - - 67.1 - - 63.5 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 38.8 - - 38.1 - - 47.2 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 100 - - 232 - - 42 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 700 - - 2171 - - 1417 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96807 29 283 24 303 22 289 25 288 27 306 96807 89679 22 299 16 303 18 280 18 288 22 298 89679 84160 14 294 10 300 18 284 12 298 9 297 84160 79548 12 258 8 260 18 273 12 295 9 297 79548 75576 10 270 10 248 15 259 12 271 14 305 75576 72082 18 274 14 269 15 256 15 264 17 284 72082 68910 15 286 17 272 17 267 16 271 14 267 68910 65987 18 292 18 266 21 270 20 275 17 267 65987 63282 25 275 22 253 27 259 24 267 23 262 63282 60666 33 270 30 260 35 258 31 265 27 259 60666 57932 38 270 42 259 41 256 40 250 35 244 57932 55090 46 266 46 259 46 252 49 245 47 242 55090 52371 51 260 49 255 53 251 55 244 53 244 52371 49923 56 256 53 252 55 251 55 246 56 248 49923 47735 58 254 54 251 57 249 58 247 58 251 47735 45755 59 255 56 252 58 246 59 249 59 253 45755 43947 58 256 58 250 57 248 58 251 59 252 43947 42280 53 259 55 250 52 250 54 251 57 249 42280 40735 47 261 47 252 47 251 48 256 50 248 40735 39294 41 262 40 255 41 258 44 262 43 254 39294 37939 36 257 32 248 38 261 43 266 43 260 37939 36633 31 255 26 240 35 259 45 265 45 263 36633 35305 27 255 26 238 33 258 44 262 45 263 35305 33927 26 257 28 232 30 257 43 258 44 262 33927 32502 27 259 28 231 28 257 41 256 43 260 32502 31016 28 260 28 233 28 258 39 254 41 259 31016 29458 27 263 28 240 29 257 38 254 40 258 29458 27828 28 261 29 246 30 255 37 252 40 256 27828 26128 30 256 28 249 31 251 36 250 39 252 26128 24359 27 255 29 247 32 247 36 247 38 247 24359 22525 27 257 31 245 35 244 38 243 39 241 22525 20628 29 251 33 243 37 240 41 242 40 237 20628 18662 31 243 34 243 39 239 41 241 39 235 18662 16661 30 244 32 245 38 239 37 240 36 233 16661 14730 28 245 29 246 32 236 31 234 33 230 14730 12969 24 242 26 242 26 230 28 226 30 223 12969 11402 19 235 23 234 23 221 25 217 28 217 11402 10007 16 227 20 225 21 214 23 209 25 207 10007 8766 14 221 17 218 19 211 21 203 24 198 8766 7662 13 219 15 213 17 209 20 201 24 193 7662 6682 11 217 14 210 15 207 19 202 24 192 6682 5816 9 212 12 204 14 204 18 205 25 194 5816 5050 8 202 11 196 13*199 17 205 25 198 5050 4363 8 193 11 189 12*196 18 202 25 205 4363 3756 8 188 13 189 12 197 18*201 25 209 3756 3250 9 189 13*191 12 197 18*200 25 209 3250 2861 9 194 11*193 12 198 18 200 23 206 2861 2594 8 199 9 194 11 198 17 200 19 204 2594 2431 5*207 8 195 10 198 15 200 16 204 2431 2338 1*233 6 196 9 198 9 201 8*205 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography