DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 71.2 - - 70.4 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 466 - - 287 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 4191 - - 2767 - - 537 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3317 - - 5301 - - 4047 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4133 - - 6514 - - 5089 - - 2859 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1501 - - 1632 - - 2257 - - 596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 514 - - 381 - - 67 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 345 - - 351 - - 343 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1057 - - -1099 - - -2748 - - -2397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5190 - - 7613 - - 7838 - - 5256 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4912 - - -4295 - - -6963 - - -7812 ODpotential blCL - - - 9045 - - 10809 - - 12052 - - 10671 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 61 - - 50 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 71.2 - - 70.4 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 45.8 - - 44.1 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 68.6 - - 68.4 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 45.3 - - 43.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 466 - - 287 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1811 - - 4191 - - 2767 - - 537 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98271 9 142 11 077 18 115 16 130 98271 90833 19 124 14 119 10 115 13 096 90833 85147 18 121 14 136 9 103 19 075 85147 80436 16 117 16 128 11 085 18 074 80436 76376 7 109 15 095 10 102 15 091 76376 72804 9 143 9 085 13 104 12 086 72804 69562 12 153 9 184 4 145 5 081 69562 66572 12 140 17 176 11 205 10 225 66572 63801 7 223 8 206 5 191 13 212 63801 61102 21 258 19 257 11 271 8 226 61102 58257 28 253 28 254 22 258 13 258 58257 55298 27 252 30 248 30 249 26 261 55298 52487 31 265 33 256 35 254 35 261 52487 49973 39 272 39 267 39 264 41 266 49973 47730 48 276 45 274 45 274 45 272 47730 45705 53 282 53 280 55 279 54 276 45705 43864 62 283 61 282 63 279 61 278 43864 42177 68 282 68 284 67 281 65 281 42177 40618 74 285 74 284 70 284 67 284 40618 39162 78 285 73 286 66 286 70 286 39162 37794 76 283 71 286 63 288 66 286 37794 36478 72 285 67 283 60 288 60 286 36478 35147 70 284 63 285 59 287 56 286 35147 33770 71 285 63 285 59 287 55 286 33770 32347 63 288 64 287 58 290 56 286 32347 30862 49 287 56 288 56 292 55 291 30862 29308 41 286 44 287 45 293 50 293 29308 27688 37 291 36 287 35 293 41 294 27688 26004 35 294 30 291 28 292 32 295 26004 24256 34 294 28 293 25 295 27 294 24256 22443 32 295 26 296 25 298 27 296 22443 20558 28 294 25 301 25 305 25 307 20558 18597 27 293 23 301 22 313 21 319 18597 16599 26 295 21 302 18 317 17 328 16599 14676 25 303 18 309 15 319 14 332 14676 12927 20 314 15 321 13 326 12 334 12927 11375 15 323 12 329 11 334 10 339 11375 9994 12 321 11 327 10 338 9 346 9994 8764 11 319 9 327 8 339 9 347 8764 7666 9 322 5 343 6 349 9 342 7666 6691 5 335 3*012 6 003 8 344 6691 5828 4 013 3*015 6*006 7 001 5828 5062 5 019 4 009 7*360 9 013 5062 4374 5*004 4 358 9 352 11 008 4374 3764 5*352 5 347 10 342 13 354 3764 3255 6 348 6 342 11 339 14 332 3255 2864 6 344 6 340 11 337 14*325 2864 2595 5 342 6 339 11 336 13*323 2595 2432 5 340 6 338 10 335 11 322 2432 2338 5 341 5 338 9 335 7 321 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography