DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.4 - - 57.1 - - 55.1 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 51 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 331 - - 1531 - - 172 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2653 - - 3853 - - 2494 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 248 - - 1043 - - 1192 - - 1839 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 86 - - 191 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 006 - - 348 - - 340 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 5 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -848 - - -1888 - - -1075 - - -1040 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3186 - - 4541 - - 4928 - - 3535 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -7508 - - -6731 - - -5619 - - -4748 - - -5885 ODpotential blCL 9845 - - 9384 - - 9472 - - 7242 - - 8223 blCL maxRH 66 - - 60 - - 63 - - 71 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.4 - - 57.1 - - 55.1 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.6 - - 41.7 - - 43.7 - - 47.7 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 53.1 - - 56.6 - - 55.7 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 40.5 - - 42.4 - - 46.5 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 51 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 331 - - 1531 - - 172 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 8 103 10 120 8 270 8 025 12 079 96514 89418 6 092 11 075 10 132 5 016 8 077 89418 83916 7 067 3 037 6 106 1 356 4 038 83916 79317 10 122 4 187 2 298 2 094 1 288 79317 75359 8 114 8 153 5 230 5 321 2 038 75359 71868 3 083 4 161 7 239 6 271 5 304 71868 68703 4 244 4 208 8 228 8 220 8 278 68703 65768 11 238 9 193 9 224 7 234 9 258 65768 63020 6 237 9 169 5 216 11 238 10 244 63020 60356 5 229 4 178 6 238 13 234 9 224 60356 57585 4 219 7 288 5 216 12 249 10 244 57585 54723 7 290 17 306 10 350 6 316 4 328 54723 52004 7 336 13 323 13 349 7 357 7 335 52004 49555 17 037 14 032 18 006 15 005 11 001 49555 47351 30 030 21 054 16 016 22 357 24 002 47351 45350 33 031 25 046 18 028 27 358 32 354 45350 43523 37 044 31 048 23 045 27 007 27 356 43523 41841 54 038 53 030 40 048 28 039 19 019 41841 40271 62 025 54 017 50 023 40 039 27 030 40271 38798 59 027 49 021 48 011 46 019 37 019 38798 37423 57 037 48 028 44 014 43 010 38 013 37423 36107 58 040 50 029 44 023 40 013 35 020 36107 34779 58 036 51 025 44 027 39 021 36 025 34779 33407 60 035 49 023 44 025 39 025 37 023 33407 31998 60 032 47 028 42 024 38 025 37 019 31998 30533 60 033 47 030 41 025 37 022 37 024 30533 28997 60 036 47 030 41 028 37 025 37 028 28997 27393 61 037 47 032 42 032 37 027 37 028 27393 25721 61 035 48 035 43 036 38 029 37 020 25721 23983 62 035 49 038 45 040 40 030 39 019 23983 22181 63 037 51 039 45 041 40 029 39 024 22181 20311 60 044 50 041 41 039 39 029 38 025 20311 18368 41 052 39 051 34 037 33 030 35 025 18368 16394 24 050 27 066 26 042 24 030 26 019 16394 14501 19 037 22 073 20 051 18 042 19 005 14501 12782 17 032 17 072 14 057 14 057 11 000 12782 11251 14 050 12 067 8 060 9 059 5 354 11251 9887 12 070 7 067 4 074 2 014 4 298 9887 8670 9 076 2 096 1 131 1 233 4 265 8670 7585 7 057 0 086 2 253 3 286 3 275 7585 6621 10 029 3 034 2 273 4 294 3 316 6621 5770 15 013 9 014 4 348 4 309 3 350 5770 5016 19 359 15 355 10 345 5 324 4 003 5016 4340 21 351 18 347 11*342 4 325 5 002 4340 3741 20 350 17 345 8*344 3 311 6 359 3741 3240 17 355 15 348 6 348 2 309 5 002 3240 2855 14 004 11*356 5 349 2 328 3 016 2855 2590 11 013 7*004 5 349 1*337 2 073 2590 2429 8 020 6 006 5 350 1*339 3*092 2429 2338 3*032 5 009 4 350 1 340 2*090 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography