DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Panoche 2312ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 69.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.6 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 312 - - 440 - - 230 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1950 - - 3740 - - 1447 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2311 - - 3456 - - 4914 - - 3004 - - 2312 Hcrit BL Top 2328 - - 4263 - - 6053 - - 3760 - - 2328 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 1275 - - 1245 - - 1395 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 347 - - 483 - - 284 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 26 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 288 - - 319 - - 310 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 6 - - 21 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1879 - - -4371 - - -3485 - - -4631 - - -2627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4207 - - 8634 - - 9539 - - 8392 - - 4955 sfcLCL ODpotential -12930 - - -12224 - - -10286 - - -11688 - - -12463 ODpotential blCL 15258 - - 16487 - - 16339 - - 15448 - - 14791 blCL maxRH 59 - - 43 - - 45 - - 44 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 69.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.6 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 43.1 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 68.8 - - 73.4 - - 70.1 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 43.0 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 312 - - 440 - - 230 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1950 - - 3740 - - 1447 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98240 12 066 13 118 6 106 6 102 6 082 98240 90887 10 085 13 097 11 108 10 105 10 089 90887 85220 12 088 17 093 14 105 11 098 12 092 85220 80528 12 084 15 098 15 106 12 111 11 094 80528 76493 14 077 13 103 12 092 14 102 14 091 76493 72934 12 102 12 112 10 105 11 093 11 086 72934 69712 11 088 9 106 10 117 7 100 10 073 69712 66752 10 078 6 098 8 143 5 145 5 063 66752 64010 3 321 5 084 13 148 9 179 1 003 64010 61361 13 214 9 250 1 238 5 171 10 237 61361 58614 16 211 18 221 15 240 8 251 11 237 58614 55760 23 240 24 232 26 239 22 252 18 253 55760 53027 39 245 39 242 43 245 41 250 34 254 53027 50572 47 242 50 240 54 241 53 245 49 247 50572 48379 55 247 56 243 59 245 59 247 58 246 48379 46390 64 247 62 245 66 248 67 251 65 248 46390 44566 69 249 69 249 76 250 80 252 76 250 44566 42876 77 250 77 250 84 250 90 251 86 250 42876 41294 83 249 82 250 87 249 95 250 91 250 41294 39805 85 249 84 249 87 250 97 250 94 250 39805 38397 86 249 84 250 88 250 97 250 95 249 38397 37037 87 248 85 250 88 251 98 252 96 249 37037 35658 87 248 85 250 87 252 100 253 95 248 35658 34235 88 249 83 252 84 251 96 254 95 248 34235 32768 84 250 79 254 80 253 87 254 92 250 32768 31247 71 247 69 252 73 254 77 254 83 251 31247 29661 64 243 60 249 63 250 67 254 73 251 29661 28009 58 244 55 248 56 245 58 251 62 248 28009 26293 49 245 49 248 50 245 51 249 53 244 26293 24514 42 243 43 249 44 248 44 250 45 244 24514 22669 38 240 40 246 40 248 40 252 40 246 22669 20753 34 239 38 243 38 247 38 254 37 247 20753 18761 31 239 34 243 35 248 34 254 33 249 18761 16737 26 239 29 243 29 249 29 254 28 249 16737 14791 22 238 24 244 23 250 22 254 22 247 14791 13021 18 233 19 243 18 249 16 253 16 243 13021 11446 16 226 16 237 15 245 12 250 12 233 11446 10044 15 221 14 232 13 240 11 244 10 227 10044 8797 13 219 12 223 12 221 12 226 11 221 8797 7688 10 214 10 205 12 192 13 194 13 204 7688 6703 8 204 10 189 9*167 12 170 13 191 6703 5833 7 190 9 183 4*144 8 162 8 182 5833 5063 6 178 7 188 2 138 5 173 4 171 5063 4370 6 175 5*201 3 325 3 245 0 303 4370 3757 5 190 4*257 6 320 9*304 6 334 3757 3245 4 220 5 289 7 319 13*310 13 326 3245 2853 5 275 6 292 7 318 13 310 16 317 2853 2584 8 299 6 294 7 318 13 310 15 314 2584 2422 7*305 6 294 7 318 13 310 12 312 2422 2328 4*300 5 294 7 318 11 310 8*311 2328 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography