DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 68.2 - - 76.2 - - 68.5 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 271 - - 376 - - 168 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1242 - - 2712 - - 1245 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2918 - - 4088 - - 2737 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3564 - - 5035 - - 3568 - - 2579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 230 - - 655 - - 1432 - - 633 - - 617 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 285 - - 413 - - 243 - - 45 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 321 - - 306 - - 311 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 12 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2614 - - -3793 - - -4355 - - -3008 - - 215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4953 - - 7358 - - 9390 - - 6576 - - 2364 sfcLCL ODpotential -13526 - - -10909 - - -10173 - - -9151 - - -6473 ODpotential blCL 15864 - - 14473 - - 15208 - - 12719 - - 9052 blCL maxRH 50 - - 51 - - 42 - - 58 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 68.2 - - 76.2 - - 68.5 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 44.3 - - 43.3 - - 47.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 66.3 - - 73.9 - - 67.2 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.1 - - 47.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 271 - - 376 - - 168 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1242 - - 2712 - - 1245 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98311 8 291 7 282 8 263 9 234 12 302 98311 90951 6 265 3 301 10 218 9 234 3 275 90951 85255 5 295 5 293 11 200 10 270 7 293 85255 80502 5 285 6 273 7 216 8 279 10 303 80502 76398 5 252 5 257 9 265 8 279 4 329 76398 72765 5 245 7 254 11 264 10 261 4 314 72765 69478 7 266 9 268 11 262 13 265 12 275 69478 66467 7 267 9 270 13 261 16 277 15 273 66467 63674 8 247 11 254 16 260 20 280 16 276 63674 60965 8 245 13 229 17 261 23 276 15 270 60965 58165 9 261 14 225 19 267 23 273 18 269 58165 55299 15 269 14 255 19 260 22 271 25 272 55299 52582 15 260 18 263 19 252 24 266 29 267 52582 50141 16 263 22 263 24 252 29 266 31 259 50141 47956 17 270 24 266 28 254 33 261 36 259 47956 45985 15 257 22 267 27 257 33 254 38 261 45985 44188 10 265 17 262 23 258 28 253 38 262 44188 42527 11 283 13 265 18 261 23 264 38 266 42527 40977 9 278 14 246 18 264 25 278 39 269 40977 39522 7 261 15 234 20 265 27 277 38 267 39522 38150 6 296 14 226 24 256 26 274 37 266 38150 36822 10 312 10 233 21 247 22 266 37 269 36822 35473 10 296 11 248 17 244 21 259 37 270 35473 34077 7 276 12 232 18 234 22 256 36 270 34077 32637 5 243 11 210 21 222 24 251 36 269 32637 31141 5 222 12 208 23 216 23 254 38 270 31141 29575 6 208 13 214 24 225 22 266 37 273 29575 27942 7 221 16 239 24 249 23 275 36 275 27942 26240 11 262 17 250 27 265 25 276 35 275 26240 24469 11 269 16 258 25 266 27 273 34 273 24469 22633 10 276 14 253 20 259 27 270 33 271 22633 20725 10 267 14 248 18 253 26 267 32 272 20725 18740 12 245 17 243 20 253 26 263 31 271 18740 16720 13 236 20 242 23 249 26 263 30 269 16720 14774 15 235 20 243 23 249 27 264 28 269 14774 13004 15 241 20 250 25 256 27 268 25 271 13004 11431 16 253 22 259 27 263 28 270 22 272 11431 10035 18 264 23 264 26 268 26 272 19 271 10035 8792 19 272 22 269 22 273 21 273 14 268 8792 7687 19 279 20 274 17 278 15 270 11 262 7687 6703 18 283 17 274 11 276 10 257 9 256 6703 5834 15 285 13 270 5 271 8 246 8 260 5834 5063 12 287 8 262 5*282 6 251 8 279 5063 4372 8 295 4 265 5*297 8 291 13 307 4372 3761 5 315 4*313 6 304 12*310 20 315 3761 3252 6 335 5*321 7 307 13*311 24 313 3252 2862 8 334 6 321 7 308 13 311 22 311 2862 2594 9 333 6 320 7 308 13 311 18*310 2594 2432 7*337 5 320 7 308 12 311 15*309 2432 2338 3*336 5 320 6 309 9 311 9 308 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography