DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Panoche 2320ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 41.7 - - 43.3 - - 41.5 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 55 - - 110 - - 50 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1018 - - 1484 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2320 - - 2672 - - 2320 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3339 - - 3805 - - 3373 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1848 - - 2037 - - 1934 - - 1978 - - 2884 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 163 - - 230 - - 157 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 26 - - 24 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 225 - - 240 - - 254 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -15 - - 10 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 916 - - 1446 - - 1036 - - -126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 2423 - - 2359 - - 2337 - - 2463 sfcLCL ODpotential -1653 - - 206 - - 593 - - 506 - - -1031 ODpotential blCL 3990 - - 3133 - - 3212 - - 2867 - - 3368 blCL maxRH 89 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 90 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 41.7 - - 43.3 - - 41.5 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.9 - - 39.6 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.1 - - 41.4 - - 42.6 - - 41.1 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 38.5 - - 40.0 - - 39.0 - - 33.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 55 - - 110 - - 50 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1018 - - 1484 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 98 - - 101 - - 100 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96789 32 111 25 109 27 107 29 105 23 122 96789 89592 26 113 26 115 20 117 16 103 21 113 89592 84009 17 117 20 109 13 148 5 125 15 093 84009 79364 10 116 13 109 9 153 6 163 12 039 79364 75357 5 065 7 153 9 184 5 108 4 359 75357 71808 4 210 3 189 9 208 1 223 4 061 71808 68571 9 202 4 203 8 248 11 228 7 290 68571 65584 11 250 5 271 8 291 12 240 9 257 65584 62800 28 252 15 281 7 350 2 151 8 219 62800 60066 32 239 24 256 4 306 11 237 22 254 60066 57195 29 236 38 249 35 252 33 257 32 265 57195 54202 36 265 42 259 44 261 41 266 42 265 54202 51332 51 265 47 269 49 270 48 271 49 271 51332 48745 66 270 59 271 59 275 63 276 59 272 48745 46421 79 269 70 268 75 271 74 272 57 272 46421 44307 78 265 73 267 78 263 74 273 68 281 44307 42384 74 262 75 265 69 264 77 271 77 278 42384 40622 71 269 69 268 69 273 77 274 73 283 40622 38992 74 275 74 277 80 277 83 279 79 282 38992 37471 82 278 86 279 92 276 94 280 82 278 37471 36045 93 276 100 275 99 275 104 276 85 275 36045 34679 103 271 113 271 112 274 110 271 86 272 34679 33309 107 263 122 266 129 267 114 266 89 271 33309 31912 90 263 119 259 125 259 112 263 95 270 31912 30495 78 279 97 262 104 260 105 263 103 270 30495 29050 83 284 89 273 100 269 106 264 108 267 29050 27562 87 283 92 279 103 269 111 266 110 262 27562 26026 87 282 94 279 104 268 112 267 112 260 26026 24437 82 282 94 277 103 267 110 265 109 260 24437 22797 76 281 93 275 101 267 102 264 94 263 22797 21110 70 280 92 277 95 268 84 263 77 267 21110 19367 68 278 76 282 84 270 65 258 68 265 19367 17553 64 274 61 282 64 265 58 254 64 257 17553 15700 60 273 55 280 53 257 58 253 66 252 15700 13908 55 276 52 276 51 257 56 256 65 254 13908 12274 50 280 49 266 50 257 55 258 58 257 12274 10820 44 279 48 258 48 258 53 260 47 258 10820 9526 39 274 49 254 45 261 46 261 35 259 9526 8374 35 267 49 252 42 262 38 262 29 266 8374 7346 32 262 49 250 39 261 31 263 30 277 7346 6433 30 257 48 248 36 259 28 263 35 284 6433 5625 29 252 46 245 34 256 27 261 37 286 5625 4907 30 247 43 243 32 251 25 259 37 284 4907 4261 30 243 40 239 30*246 24 257 33 280 4261 3688 28 237 36*234 28*242 22*255 29 275 3688 3207 26 228 32*228 26 240 21*254 24 271 3207 2836 23 220 28 225 25 239 19 253 20 266 2836 2581 19 216 26 224 23 238 18 254 16 263 2581 2426 15*216 23 223 20 238 16 254 13*262 2426 2337 7*218 14 223 13 238 10 255 8*259 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography