DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1004z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.0 - - 87.7 - - 93.6 - - 89.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 333 - - 443 - - 268 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3734 - - 9002 - - 2235 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 4833 - - 9147 - - 3637 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 6057 - - 11326 - - 4559 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 449 - - 3757 - - 1519 - - 5924 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 443 - - 653 - - 348 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 25 - - 44 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 287 - - 330 - - 329 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - 41 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7111 - - -5734 - - -2130 - - -8245 - - -8158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9451 - - 11791 - - 13457 - - 12804 - - 10498 sfcLCL ODpotential -12592 - - -9746 - - -4949 - - -11875 - - -13765 ODpotential blCL 14931 - - 15803 - - 16275 - - 16434 - - 16104 blCL maxRH 43 - - 50 - - 50 - - 38 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.0 - - 87.7 - - 93.6 - - 89.8 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 44.0 - - 42.1 - - 41.5 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.8 - - 85.5 - - 90.9 - - 88.0 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 43.5 - - 41.5 - - 41.0 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 333 - - 443 - - 268 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3734 - - 9002 - - 2235 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98775 31 099 31 118 28 110 23 110 24 105 98775 91275 23 094 28 097 24 110 20 113 26 104 91275 85503 22 097 20 097 22 102 19 112 23 094 85503 80724 25 101 21 116 15 109 15 100 18 104 80724 76621 22 094 20 105 17 114 13 102 18 108 76621 73008 14 091 17 103 15 100 21 102 18 108 73008 69744 13 103 14 107 12 113 14 081 18 106 69744 66751 11 114 10 128 6 118 6 094 14 094 66751 63994 9 139 9 139 6 161 6 117 7 125 63994 61343 6 158 6 182 8 161 4 178 7 165 61343 58588 5 191 11 230 9 246 8 267 2 235 58588 55750 8 264 13 255 15 262 14 275 11 278 55750 53063 18 286 19 274 22 276 20 279 17 275 53063 50647 28 290 26 278 27 285 25 284 23 276 50647 48468 33 290 32 285 35 291 33 285 29 280 48468 46475 37 289 38 285 40 289 38 283 35 277 46475 44631 41 293 39 287 44 292 41 284 37 278 44631 42911 37 291 36 288 44 290 42 286 35 284 42911 41301 31 285 33 286 38 285 41 286 34 288 41301 39790 24 281 28 285 31 283 34 284 32 290 39790 38370 17 282 21 279 24 280 28 284 27 286 38370 37008 11 284 14 269 19 267 23 284 22 283 37008 35637 8 278 10 254 15 252 18 269 19 278 35637 34226 6 272 9 239 14 236 14 256 16 268 34226 32782 6 278 8 234 13 225 12 250 13 245 32782 31289 8 294 5 249 12 219 10 235 13 225 31289 29732 11 305 5 302 9 228 10 216 13 207 29732 28107 12 303 7 298 6 224 9 200 13 195 28107 26411 11 294 8 284 5 221 8 190 13 187 26411 24644 9 303 7 285 7 244 8 205 12 190 24644 22811 7 304 6 293 8 264 7 228 9 193 22811 20911 5 316 5 308 6 278 6 232 7 201 20911 18942 5 348 4 337 3 279 4 214 6 215 18942 16935 5 350 5 353 3 327 1 270 2 218 16935 14995 1 030 2 008 2 331 3 349 1 018 14995 13223 2 130 1 131 1 198 3 360 4 054 13223 11645 3 084 4 087 1*138 1 100 6 054 11645 10236 3 067 3 078 1*137 4 137 4 079 10236 8976 2 077 0 073 1 136 5 137 3 109 8976 7849 0 330 3 273 0 004 3 122 1 132 7849 6844 2 270 3*271 2 329 1 027 1 276 6844 5952 3 269 3*277 3 328 4 341 3 305 5952 5160 3 275 3 282 4 328 7*334 5 315 5160 4447 3 289 3 285 5 328 11*330 8 320 4447 3816 4 297 3 289 6 329 14 329 13 321 3816 3288 5 307 3 290 6 330 14 329 17 319 3288 2883 7 315 3 291 6 329 15 329 16 320 2883 2605 7 318 3 292 6 330 14 329 13 322 2605 2436 6 324 3 292 6 329 13 328 11 323 2436 2339 2*320 3 290 6 328 11 329 6*323 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography