DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 53.1 - - 58.8 - - 54.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 32 - - 108 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 142 - - 609 - - 118 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2463 - - 2931 - - 2440 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 191 - - 404 - - 568 - - 602 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 71 - - 169 - - 24 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 060 - - 036 - - 046 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1132 - - -1802 - - -2511 - - -1880 - - -756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3470 - - 4265 - - 5442 - - 4320 - - 3093 sfcLCL ODpotential -12651 - - -10423 - - -9975 - - -10005 - - -12419 ODpotential blCL 14988 - - 12886 - - 12906 - - 12445 - - 14756 blCL maxRH 65 - - 66 - - 58 - - 64 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 53.1 - - 58.8 - - 54.1 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 42.8 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 52.9 - - 58.0 - - 54.5 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 41.9 - - 42.6 - - 43.0 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 32 - - 108 - - -1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 142 - - 609 - - 118 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96254 15 114 20 063 10 105 12 106 9 067 96254 89134 15 072 17 090 4 080 9 040 10 072 89134 83608 10 039 16 068 8 052 9 037 15 025 83608 79014 7 045 9 039 14 030 10 037 14 344 79014 75068 9 019 9 003 15 006 14 013 17 031 75068 71575 12 347 15 324 19 324 22 339 26 021 71575 68419 23 336 24 317 26 315 31 327 33 357 68419 65550 28 324 28 313 28 317 31 332 32 330 65550 62912 23 319 26 306 32 293 36 314 36 310 62912 60377 24 313 28 312 30 289 35 292 36 287 60377 57740 37 306 39 315 36 315 34 310 30 295 57740 54971 44 296 46 295 45 305 43 304 40 300 54971 52305 43 294 49 296 50 290 50 285 48 285 52305 49901 43 305 51 306 53 295 51 291 48 289 49901 47736 47 315 55 308 54 301 57 303 55 298 47736 45760 49 316 52 307 55 303 61 304 61 302 45760 43946 52 315 52 311 55 307 63 304 62 302 43946 42275 60 320 57 317 61 312 65 311 62 306 42275 40726 66 321 65 316 66 313 68 315 62 311 40726 39277 68 321 69 316 67 314 68 317 62 315 39277 37913 70 325 73 320 70 318 70 321 64 318 37913 36599 76 329 76 324 72 320 71 322 66 319 36599 35268 76 330 74 326 72 322 67 323 67 320 35268 33890 73 331 70 326 72 324 64 325 67 321 33890 32466 70 331 70 326 67 325 63 326 66 322 32466 30983 68 330 68 327 63 327 61 326 62 322 30983 29432 66 329 70 330 64 330 63 329 59 321 29432 27813 63 329 64 332 59 331 58 332 58 325 27813 26124 55 329 46 330 46 327 48 329 58 333 26124 24368 47 331 38 334 41 328 39 326 49 336 24368 22546 43 334 38 330 41 325 40 327 43 336 22546 20651 43 330 38 326 40 322 43 329 42 337 20651 18677 37 328 36 329 34 326 37 327 40 338 18677 16667 30 322 31 332 29 335 31 330 35 336 16667 14732 30 318 28 334 27 338 28 337 29 338 14732 12971 30 322 26 338 25 339 25 343 23 340 12971 11404 26 331 22 344 22 343 21 348 17 343 11404 10010 21 337 19 352 18 353 18 355 13 355 10010 8768 18 338 17 002 15 003 15 006 12 011 8768 7661 17 341 16 014 13 011 14 014 12 021 7661 6679 17 347 17 026 13 015 13 017 12 022 6679 5810 16 353 18 030 14 018 13 011 13 014 5810 5040 15 356 17 027 16 017 14 001 16 005 5040 4351 14 000 15 020 18 014 16 359 19 002 4351 3744 14 359 13 010 16 011 17 003 20 003 3744 3239 14 003 12 359 13*011 17 008 19 007 3239 2853 12 021 9 008 7*032 12 021 16 019 2853 2588 11 041 5*040 6 037 7*039 11 043 2588 2428 8 052 3*057 6 039 6*045 7 073 2428 2337 5*069 3 062 5 040 5 047 4*085 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography