DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.4 - - 75.0 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 410 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2230 - - 3836 - - 3604 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3668 - - 4976 - - 4431 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4552 - - 6159 - - 5927 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1324 - - 1182 - - 1165 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 476 - - 346 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 000 - - 007 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3007 - - -3588 - - -3824 - - -1820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7559 - - 9748 - - 9751 - - 4158 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10337 - - -10282 - - -10603 - - -10041 ODpotential blCL - - - 14889 - - 16441 - - 16530 - - 12379 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 43 - - 43 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.4 - - 75.0 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 40.8 - - 40.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 72.9 - - 73.6 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 40.6 - - 40.3 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 410 - - 166 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2230 - - 3836 - - 3604 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98773 15 098 11 102 10 094 14 065 98773 91425 25 088 13 101 14 081 16 073 91425 85755 16 087 15 086 16 088 19 083 85755 81020 14 119 11 065 20 068 19 075 81020 76940 14 110 7 100 10 062 16 060 76940 73331 15 098 11 098 7 075 13 062 73331 70057 9 098 9 106 4 117 7 078 70057 67048 5 128 4 146 1 026 5 052 67048 64266 2 090 6 173 5 252 2 308 64266 61586 4 243 9 226 11 262 10 290 61586 58807 7 267 12 236 16 255 17 275 58807 55945 11 289 13 238 21 260 22 271 55945 53228 18 277 18 273 23 278 21 282 53228 50787 31 291 27 291 32 293 33 299 50787 48595 39 298 37 297 41 292 42 294 48595 46596 45 300 42 298 44 292 45 292 46596 44750 48 298 45 298 47 294 48 294 44750 43030 47 296 48 298 48 296 51 297 43030 41418 46 293 49 297 47 297 54 298 41418 39901 46 290 49 296 45 298 54 298 39901 38471 44 291 48 296 45 297 50 295 38471 37095 43 295 45 297 43 298 48 293 37095 35713 41 298 41 303 40 300 43 296 35713 34297 38 307 37 309 37 305 35 298 34297 32846 41 309 37 316 34 311 32 302 32846 31341 41 306 35 320 34 321 30 307 31341 29766 35 310 31 329 33 328 29 315 29766 28120 27 310 29 340 30 336 27 324 28120 26402 21 317 27 341 26 352 23 332 26402 24615 17 312 22 337 23 002 16 340 24615 22761 19 319 20 334 21 354 11 349 22761 20836 18 311 18 335 19 345 13 347 20836 18838 20 308 16 338 16 349 14 344 18838 16807 19 314 15 341 14 002 13 354 16807 14853 14 322 13 349 14 016 15 008 14853 13075 10 323 12 356 13 021 15 024 13075 11493 9 328 10 359 12 025 11 035 11493 10084 9 352 8 005 11 028 8 034 10084 8830 9 006 8 014 9 032 6 028 8830 7715 8 004 7 019 10 033 7 032 7715 6727 6 357 7*011 10*025 10 030 6727 5855 5 360 7*006 10*017 13 022 5855 5085 6*004 7 003 10 014 13 019 5085 4392 7*000 8 001 10 009 12 014 4392 3779 7 359 8 359 11 005 12 001 3779 3264 7 357 8 358 10 003 13 342 3264 2869 7 356 8 358 10 001 13 328 2869 2598 7 355 8 358 10 001 11 323 2598 2433 7 354 8 356 9 000 9 323 2433 2338 6 354 7 357 8 000 5*321 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography