DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 53.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.2 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -5 - - 47 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 104 - - 404 - - 1304 - - 1184 - - 725 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 15 - - 39 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 207 - - 217 - - 228 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5425 - - -3347 - - -2052 - - -1214 - - -263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7764 - - 5685 - - 4391 - - 3552 - - 2600 sfcLCL ODpotential -13858 - - -10180 - - -7602 - - -6631 - - -6585 ODpotential blCL 16196 - - 12518 - - 9940 - - 8969 - - 8922 blCL maxRH 95 - - 91 - - 90 - - 96 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 53.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.2 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.3 - - 37.4 - - 44.8 - - 45.9 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 55.9 - - 56.7 - - 54.7 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 36.6 - - 44.9 - - 46.4 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -5 - - 47 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 66 - - 60 - - 82 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95715 14 058 9 032 16 334 10 046 2 298 95715 88788 16 042 14 053 10 030 12 058 14 060 88788 83417 16 058 12 051 14 049 15 046 24 050 83417 78942 18 068 10 064 12 053 13 029 23 039 78942 75090 21 045 13 070 10 067 10 019 18 038 75090 71680 21 027 17 056 12 069 10 030 17 043 71680 68589 20 016 16 037 15 047 11 023 17 041 68589 65750 18 014 17 019 15 022 15 017 20 035 65750 63114 17 008 16 008 15 004 16 007 19 013 63114 60550 17 351 17 359 16 349 15 355 15 350 60550 57858 20 334 19 342 16 338 16 326 15 327 57858 55041 21 331 19 321 21 323 22 313 18 315 55041 52330 25 325 22 311 24 309 28 303 23 309 52330 49867 32 314 28 302 28 301 32 294 26 300 49867 47634 37 308 32 299 29 302 26 292 23 287 47634 45584 32 291 35 286 32 292 28 290 21 298 45584 43683 23 297 25 279 31 274 32 270 24 295 43683 41908 30 301 22 280 26 264 27 260 24 280 41908 40248 38 280 28 276 25 264 29 255 25 261 40248 38707 42 259 29 263 36 249 33 238 28 241 38707 37286 37 254 32 243 39 231 31 225 28 230 37286 35944 36 252 36 229 41 230 30 225 32 223 35944 34605 46 247 40 232 39 229 29 228 36 210 34605 33237 66 240 44 234 36 226 35 229 32 195 33237 31841 59 240 43 230 35 214 42 222 29 174 31841 30392 45 243 39 227 38 210 40 201 31 169 30392 28872 37 238 37 227 37 215 34 202 32 179 28872 27281 34 237 33 225 29 215 28 206 34 189 27281 25618 28 235 29 220 27 208 24 209 36 192 25618 23888 23 221 29 211 29 206 21 212 38 190 23888 22097 26 208 32 203 32 199 25 190 37 192 22097 20241 27 209 29 196 35 199 36 187 37 194 20241 18314 25 213 27 191 35 194 39 187 44 186 18314 16359 20 207 21 192 33 193 34 182 36 183 16359 14481 16 195 17 193 29 197 30 173 28 174 14481 12769 14 197 18 197 26 191 22 164 27 157 12769 11240 11 204 17 199 22 173 22 157 25 140 11240 9876 10 206 15 198 17 155 21 152 21 140 9876 8659 11 201 13 195 14 148 19 151 18 150 8659 7577 10 199 12 189 15 158 17 159 16 160 7577 6615 9 204 12 183 14 167 15 172 14 168 6615 5763 7 212 12 178 13 177 14 190 12 180 5763 5009 7 224 13 178 13 190 14 208 9 199 5009 4334 6 229 13 178 13 204 12 224 7 216 4334 3736 6 223 13 180 14 211 9 236 6 219 3736 3238 7 210 13 183 13 212 8 233 7 209 3238 2854 8 196 14 188 11 213 8 227 8 206 2854 2590 8 191 12 192 10 214 7 225 5 209 2590 2429 6*188 9*195 9 215 6*226 3 217 2429 2337 4*182 3*207 7*217 4*228 1*222 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography