DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 80.5 - - 79.3 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 486 - - 308 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2280 - - 4498 - - 3665 - - 567 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3774 - - 5558 - - 4750 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4602 - - 6821 - - 5989 - - 2890 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 821 - - 1216 - - 2259 - - 1140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 396 - - 534 - - 428 - - 99 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 25 - - 20 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 205 - - 239 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 15 - - 32 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3227 - - -3494 - - -2505 - - -2803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7830 - - 10315 - - 8495 - - 5693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8969 - - -9591 - - -6752 - - -8902 ODpotential blCL - - - 13571 - - 16412 - - 12741 - - 11792 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 48 - - 64 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 80.5 - - 79.3 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 43.2 - - 50.0 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 77.6 - - 77.2 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 42.7 - - 49.7 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 486 - - 308 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2280 - - 4498 - - 3665 - - 567 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99186 30 109 28 114 29 114 29 100 99186 91688 25 123 28 117 24 112 27 101 91688 85914 23 120 21 117 24 118 26 098 85914 81130 23 120 21 132 24 111 21 115 81130 77015 22 108 22 129 20 107 24 113 77015 73381 16 115 17 123 16 107 19 101 73381 70093 17 117 14 125 12 121 14 100 70093 67074 11 121 12 132 12 137 10 094 67074 64276 8 131 8 134 6 147 4 081 64276 61564 2 195 5 114 7 167 5 189 61564 58737 10 233 7 267 6 254 2 282 58737 55803 8 242 13 262 15 271 14 297 55803 53007 15 274 18 271 23 277 25 284 53007 50501 23 283 24 280 27 286 28 280 50501 48264 32 284 30 287 32 289 31 283 48264 46237 39 285 36 284 37 286 34 288 46237 44379 46 285 41 282 42 281 38 290 44379 42667 50 279 45 284 43 277 44 283 42667 41084 48 275 47 279 43 277 45 276 41084 39612 45 276 45 274 43 276 43 273 39612 38234 41 276 42 271 43 276 39 274 38234 36907 40 274 40 270 42 276 35 277 36907 35563 40 275 39 272 39 275 32 280 35563 34170 39 277 38 274 37 273 31 280 34170 32732 37 280 37 274 38 272 33 277 32732 31235 35 282 36 270 39 272 35 276 31235 29667 33 281 35 268 38 272 35 276 29667 28029 28 276 33 269 35 273 33 275 28029 26319 25 272 29 269 33 274 30 276 26319 24542 21 274 23 267 31 274 27 276 24542 22701 18 279 18 268 24 270 24 277 22701 20790 19 286 14 272 15 267 18 269 20790 18806 18 297 10 282 11 270 12 255 18806 16786 15 297 9 283 7 262 9 248 16786 14841 8 286 6 276 4 226 7 239 14841 13072 4 213 4 236 3 184 5 203 13072 11499 5 179 6 210 4 202 3 188 11499 10101 5 173 6 207 7 201 3 257 10101 8855 4 175 6 202 7 157 6 237 8855 7743 3 185 4*176 7 127 6 178 7743 6752 3 223 3*172 6*134 10 130 6752 5877 5 204 3 181 4*168 9 122 5877 5101 6*180 3 193 4 200 4 148 5101 4405 5*183 4 206 4 231 3 190 4405 3788 4 190 4 215 4 255 3 248 3788 3271 4 197 5 218 5 261 6*301 3271 2874 4 202 5 222 5 264 7*307 2874 2600 4 205 5 225 5 266 7 307 2600 2434 4 205 5 224 5 266 7 307 2434 2339 4 205 4 224 5 267 6 308 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography