DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 65.2 - - 70.2 - - 67.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 164 - - 272 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1411 - - 3225 - - 3132 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2859 - - 4368 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3733 - - 5547 - - 5454 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 224 - - 1948 - - 1705 - - 1738 - - 521 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 253 - - 393 - - 201 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 194 - - 206 - - 222 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2930 - - -4423 - - -4414 - - -2103 - - -672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5269 - - 8156 - - 9961 - - 7557 - - 3010 sfcLCL ODpotential -12815 - - -11198 - - -10815 - - -7737 - - -6743 ODpotential blCL 15153 - - 14931 - - 16362 - - 13191 - - 9081 blCL maxRH 42 - - 63 - - 84 - - 93 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 65.2 - - 70.2 - - 67.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 37.9 - - 34.7 - - 42.3 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 64.0 - - 68.3 - - 66.8 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.8 - - 37.5 - - 34.3 - - 42.2 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 164 - - 272 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1411 - - 3225 - - 3132 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 35 - - 73 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97310 13 222 12 236 12 292 9 240 16 266 97310 90005 5 142 2 177 2 133 2 346 8 332 90005 84421 8 082 8 099 3 181 8 342 11 032 84421 79809 8 010 8 077 4 138 6 001 6 050 79809 75846 4 002 1 273 1 221 5 347 6 044 75846 72332 8 009 5 213 4 253 4 285 5 033 72332 69126 10 280 5 217 6 254 8 260 6 270 69126 66171 8 239 6 213 12 230 14 242 15 260 66171 63426 11 278 5 245 11 231 15 229 19 248 63426 60754 14 271 8 268 10 240 16 222 22 229 60754 57953 19 271 9 261 8 254 16 224 21 219 57953 55032 23 257 17 256 15 256 16 241 14 228 55032 52234 23 240 22 246 21 254 21 254 18 261 52234 49712 21 232 21 242 23 242 27 251 26 259 49712 47458 18 234 21 234 23 235 29 244 30 264 47458 45430 16 239 20 232 22 243 24 258 30 269 45430 43594 15 260 19 243 25 265 27 277 26 288 43594 41924 22 274 23 259 30 269 31 284 33 305 41924 40386 24 273 27 267 32 266 34 284 43 302 40386 38950 20 276 27 266 33 265 34 279 44 294 38950 37599 18 286 26 271 35 262 32 280 37 291 37599 36295 17 298 24 272 37 256 31 283 32 298 36295 34972 18 311 20 268 35 257 31 281 33 302 34972 33603 19 309 20 275 32 260 31 273 31 294 33603 32191 20 295 25 273 30 255 34 267 32 281 32191 30727 16 285 28 266 29 253 38 267 33 270 30727 29197 14 279 27 262 29 256 37 265 33 269 29197 27599 14 279 24 263 29 256 33 259 35 269 27599 25931 14 290 22 263 28 254 30 259 33 267 25931 24195 13 295 20 269 27 255 28 260 30 263 24195 22394 11 298 20 281 25 258 26 257 27 261 22394 20523 9 297 16 286 18 265 21 254 25 255 20523 18574 8 315 11 296 12 265 16 253 23 250 18574 16584 8 328 8 309 9 267 13 253 20 253 16584 14663 7 324 7 306 9 269 11 259 18 262 14663 12913 5 320 7 290 9 270 10 264 14 266 12913 11357 4 308 6 272 10 271 9 264 10 265 11357 9974 5 290 5 250 10 260 7 247 7 255 9974 8743 5 270 7 215 12 236 9 227 8 224 8743 7647 6 252 10 203 14 225 12 223 10 213 7647 6673 7 238 10 200 13 223 11 224 13 212 6673 5813 7 227 9 198 12*217 10*222 15 213 5813 5051 7 217 8 195 11*212 10*220 14 212 5051 4367 8 206 9 192 10 207 9 219 12 209 4367 3760 9 197 8*189 10 205 9 222 11 204 3760 3253 10 191 7*191 10 204 8 224 9 203 3253 2863 10 191 6 194 10 204 8 225 5 217 2863 2594 8 192 6 194 9 203 8 225 3 261 2594 2431 5*192 5 195 9 204 7 226 3 293 2431 2338 2*191 5 196 8 203 6 228 2*298 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography