DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 - - 56.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 41 - - 25 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 419 - - 180 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2691 - - 2741 - - 2501 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 1045 - - 1145 - - 1202 - - 1378 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 105 - - 93 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 135 - - 195 - - 185 - - 200 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 353 - - 403 - - 163 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -4141 - - -1474 - - -696 - - -1573 - - -1170 ODpotential blCL 6479 - - 4165 - - 3437 - - 4074 - - 3508 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 100 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 56.8 - - 57.1 - - 56.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 54.5 - - 55.1 - - 54.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 56.3 - - 56.9 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.8 - - 53.9 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 41 - - 25 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 419 - - 180 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 80 - - 98 - - 93 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96512 8 268 15 309 13 317 6 313 24 277 96512 89379 4 100 5 334 7 344 5 322 10 333 89379 83867 7 037 7 336 16 334 15 005 12 008 83867 79298 2 350 5 273 11 303 13 328 16 013 79298 75344 18 346 8 344 15 301 20 327 24 342 75344 71858 17 310 9 338 15 314 15 324 20 326 71858 68728 17 323 18 327 16 326 12 331 16 328 68728 65853 26 322 23 311 21 304 17 311 17 314 65853 63176 37 312 31 298 27 294 30 289 27 292 63176 60587 42 297 41 299 36 296 37 288 35 283 60587 57881 42 289 48 291 48 297 51 298 43 288 57881 55059 42 293 52 286 62 292 61 288 55 284 55059 52349 54 299 59 288 60 284 59 282 59 279 52349 49894 73 294 61 291 61 292 61 293 67 285 49894 47683 75 288 71 294 72 294 73 295 70 285 47683 45670 80 292 81 291 81 290 82 293 75 292 45670 43828 89 290 86 286 85 286 88 289 86 288 43828 42136 78 278 83 280 82 282 83 281 85 280 42136 40573 65 273 76 274 76 276 74 277 75 276 40573 39120 61 278 66 275 67 275 72 277 62 271 39120 37760 58 284 63 279 60 277 67 275 50 272 37760 36450 59 288 61 281 56 280 61 274 46 273 36450 35120 57 282 61 283 55 283 56 276 48 275 35120 33743 56 281 63 285 55 285 54 278 52 277 33743 32320 60 284 65 286 55 284 53 275 52 278 32320 30838 65 287 66 288 55 285 51 271 52 272 30838 29285 67 289 67 291 57 286 53 271 53 262 29285 27662 65 285 66 292 58 287 58 271 53 262 27662 25969 66 279 59 286 59 283 61 275 54 269 25969 24211 69 279 59 278 64 278 59 278 55 273 24211 22391 69 281 59 279 64 279 57 279 55 272 22391 20501 66 279 56 282 59 281 57 281 52 273 20501 18540 63 281 49 282 54 280 57 281 49 274 18540 16547 59 284 39 285 46 278 55 279 47 276 16547 14630 51 283 32 289 38 275 47 277 46 279 14630 12887 41 281 30 288 30 271 37 279 42 282 12887 11335 32 277 28 287 24 270 29 279 32 280 11335 9954 26 275 26 292 19 277 25 277 25 273 9954 8724 19 284 24 299 16 283 23 274 22 262 8724 7630 16 299 22 300 13 285 20 273 20 257 7630 6659 16 309 17 295 10 286 15 270 18 254 6659 5800 15 311 11 291 8 283 13 265 16 252 5800 5041 13 309 8 287 7 271 13 258 15 249 5041 4360 10 309 7 277 7 254 12 250 15 242 4360 3756 8 312 6 264 7 233 12 238 15 232 3756 3251 7 318 4 240 8 204 12 216 16 219 3251 2862 5 328 5*204 7*190 11 204 16 210 2862 2594 3 343 4*197 6*186 9*201 14 206 2594 2431 1*024 4 195 5 185 8*200 11*206 2431 2338 1*135 3 194 4 184 5 200 5*207 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography