DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.4 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 452 - - 283 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1774 - - 4114 - - 1913 - - 310 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3379 - - 5233 - - 3416 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 6437 - - 4235 - - 2632 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 862 - - 2212 - - 2767 - - 476 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 507 - - 336 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 16 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 208 - - 263 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 17 - - 16 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2384 - - -3264 - - -3301 - - -1544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6480 - - 9702 - - 7536 - - 4176 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6704 - - -6152 - - -6110 - - -6967 ODpotential blCL - - - 10800 - - 12589 - - 10345 - - 9599 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 43 - - 53 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.4 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.4 - - 44.2 - - 50.3 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 76.2 - - 73.4 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 43.5 - - 50.0 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 452 - - 283 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1774 - - 4114 - - 1913 - - 310 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98231 6 088 8 127 14 134 12 129 98231 90839 7 123 8 140 11 140 8 123 90839 85162 8 176 4 165 4 122 6 092 85162 80424 12 209 5 214 3 087 5 121 80424 76315 9 193 9 226 4 278 2 086 76315 72670 3 162 10 211 8 244 4 298 72670 69365 2 269 9 219 10 252 9 305 69365 66340 6 274 8 240 12 259 11 291 66340 63550 8 282 8 261 12 262 11 284 63550 60852 10 286 12 261 13 262 13 279 60852 58041 12 279 13 257 13 273 15 279 58041 55133 14 273 15 264 16 279 18 279 55133 52367 17 274 17 266 19 276 21 274 52367 49889 18 278 17 268 18 271 20 267 49889 47681 18 280 15 261 16 260 19 261 47681 45694 12 263 13 238 14 240 19 250 45694 43893 6 258 15 211 15 222 17 228 43893 42242 6 269 13 192 15 214 14 220 42242 40707 7 263 10 212 15 220 14 233 40707 39265 9 251 12 231 16 226 16 230 39265 37902 11 246 16 239 16 237 15 237 37902 36583 11 240 18 245 17 253 15 251 36583 35244 11 240 17 248 19 256 17 255 35244 33855 10 231 15 247 19 254 18 255 33855 32423 8 223 13 239 14 250 14 251 32423 30936 7 246 9 239 13 234 11 236 30936 29382 12 273 12 259 11 232 9 213 29382 27760 15 269 14 256 11 238 7 218 27760 26069 12 275 11 259 8 242 3 232 26069 24310 8 264 8 221 7 219 3 218 24310 22488 6 254 6 214 4 215 3 214 22488 20599 3 254 6 246 3 197 7 209 20599 18641 4 233 9 247 5 215 9 200 18641 16654 8 212 10 231 7 218 8 194 16654 14744 9 203 11 208 9 218 9 204 14744 13004 8 195 11 197 11 206 8 204 13004 11452 6 194 10 199 13 198 9 211 11452 10066 6 207 10 204 14 191 10 216 10066 8828 7 215 11 198 13 176 10 212 8828 7721 7 213 10 182 11 159 7 198 7721 6736 8 201 8*176 10 156 6 142 6736 5862 9 182 7*184 9 175 7 112 5862 5087 9 178 6 193 8 193 4 131 5087 4392 8*188 6 203 8*207 4 195 4392 3776 7*198 6 213 6*241 5 217 3776 3262 8 204 6 219 7 262 5 294 3262 2868 8 206 6 224 7 267 9*314 2868 2597 7 208 6 226 7 270 9*315 2597 2433 7 209 6 228 7 271 8 315 2433 2339 6 210 5 228 6 271 6 315 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography