DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.1 - - 76.1 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 238 - - 79 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1137 - - 2965 - - 2581 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 4151 - - 3294 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3460 - - 5288 - - 4904 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 919 - - 2725 - - 3076 - - 2253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 374 - - 252 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 033 - - 027 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5753 - - -6445 - - -5890 - - -5027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9213 - - 11733 - - 10795 - - 7366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10260 - - -11917 - - -9882 - - -10361 ODpotential blCL - - - 13720 - - 17205 - - 14786 - - 12700 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 71 - - 80 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 77.1 - - 76.1 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 33.7 - - 36.8 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 75.4 - - 75.3 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 32.5 - - 35.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 238 - - 79 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1137 - - 2965 - - 2581 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 30 292 40 284 35 273 53 278 96624 89321 28 287 30 285 30 278 37 283 89321 83793 23 284 24 281 27 300 22 297 83793 79259 14 291 22 281 25 292 23 305 79259 75357 11 284 20 273 25 292 20 302 75357 71902 14 283 19 269 24 288 17 297 71902 68741 15 292 20 267 21 281 19 296 68741 65805 15 282 18 278 24 278 26 280 65805 63070 23 281 25 282 29 273 28 279 63070 60413 32 273 33 275 30 276 37 286 60413 57641 34 267 41 270 42 272 41 276 57641 54764 38 267 43 264 45 265 42 277 54764 52004 39 272 41 270 43 274 50 279 52004 49508 43 279 48 276 50 279 57 279 49508 47279 45 281 50 275 57 279 56 279 47279 45282 44 280 47 275 57 278 55 284 45282 43482 34 274 43 274 52 278 54 290 43482 41837 27 275 32 276 45 277 55 291 41837 40311 31 281 31 274 37 276 53 285 40311 38882 31 277 32 270 34 276 46 280 38882 37540 30 275 34 268 41 275 40 275 37540 36248 27 268 33 261 45 273 42 270 36248 34939 23 267 31 264 44 276 44 278 34939 33583 20 271 27 271 41 278 43 287 33583 32183 18 272 22 270 32 279 33 284 32183 30724 17 272 22 266 28 277 33 275 30724 29194 17 276 23 263 28 272 33 273 29194 27596 15 277 21 262 25 274 30 271 27596 25928 13 257 21 264 24 276 26 271 25928 24193 17 247 22 268 22 273 22 266 24193 22397 18 251 23 270 20 270 20 257 22397 20534 14 261 21 271 19 269 19 253 20534 18597 10 266 18 273 18 271 17 255 18597 16621 7 256 12 266 14 274 13 256 16621 14714 6 240 9 253 11 267 11 259 14714 12976 6 237 8 246 10 259 11 262 12976 11427 5 248 7 251 10 259 11 266 11427 10046 4 282 5 268 6 262 9 266 10046 8812 6 327 3 319 2 275 4 248 8812 7711 9 005 7 051 5 070 2 201 7711 6730 15 028 15 046 10 049 2 080 6730 5862 21 031 18*036 13 033 8 033 5862 5091 24 030 18*033 13*029 13 021 5091 4400 24 028 17 032 13*027 15 017 4400 3786 21*026 17 032 13 027 14 017 3786 3271 15*024 16 033 13 027 12 019 3271 2874 13 024 15 033 12 027 10 021 2874 2601 12 025 14 033 12 027 8 021 2601 2434 10 025 13 033 11 027 5*020 2434 2339 8 025 10 033 8 027 3*018 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography