DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 118 - - 145 - - 20 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1793 - - 2114 - - 916 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2980 - - 3315 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 4114 - - 4435 - - 3237 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1274 - - 1494 - - 1730 - - 2262 - - 2718 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 250 - - 281 - - 113 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 19 - - 23 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 188 - - 192 - - 193 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -13 - - -24 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 811 - - 1031 - - 881 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3303 - - 3404 - - 2356 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -1865 - - -383 - - 342 - - 192 - - -712 ODpotential blCL 4202 - - 4497 - - 4093 - - 3045 - - 3049 blCL maxRH 92 - - 88 - - 99 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 48.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.8 - - 42.3 - - 43.9 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 47.9 - - 49.8 - - 47.4 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.1 - - 41.4 - - 43.3 - - 44.8 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 118 - - 145 - - 20 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1793 - - 2114 - - 916 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 53 - - 96 - - 100 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96734 37 100 21 083 28 101 34 104 21 119 96734 89587 27 103 21 104 18 104 31 101 17 110 89587 84028 16 116 16 122 11 092 19 117 8 093 84028 79362 12 133 11 120 10 101 11 152 8 145 79362 75335 9 138 8 141 4 093 5 162 8 165 75335 71787 7 164 7 135 1 311 4 227 7 116 71787 68567 6 158 15 205 7 229 16 222 5 277 68567 65590 7 300 11 188 3 250 10 231 11 260 65590 62813 21 254 22 211 15 265 2 264 15 234 62813 60095 33 235 34 219 32 217 16 244 15 230 60095 57238 38 229 38 230 47 236 39 252 31 243 57238 54256 46 234 44 236 60 238 56 240 42 245 54256 51403 52 234 53 239 64 237 69 237 64 252 51403 48857 66 244 69 241 71 237 76 239 83 243 48857 46608 83 243 80 242 78 239 83 242 90 242 46608 44584 93 237 89 241 86 239 90 238 96 240 44584 42738 92 234 94 239 91 238 86 236 94 237 42738 41047 86 237 91 237 93 238 85 237 93 239 41047 39487 89 244 90 238 99 239 95 240 100 241 39487 38038 105 245 98 240 107 238 111 240 112 240 38038 36687 118 237 107 238 110 235 122 238 119 236 36687 35393 120 234 108 236 110 236 125 238 121 235 35393 34087 114 234 106 237 110 238 122 239 119 235 34087 32737 103 235 106 240 111 241 117 241 115 236 32737 31347 95 236 101 240 110 242 113 241 112 236 31347 29901 92 236 90 237 103 240 107 240 108 236 29901 28389 90 233 85 233 95 237 102 239 102 236 28389 26812 85 231 84 230 88 235 97 237 97 235 26812 25169 76 231 80 227 84 232 91 234 93 233 25169 23460 70 230 73 227 81 230 87 230 90 230 23460 21689 67 230 67 229 75 228 83 227 86 228 21689 19855 65 230 63 231 67 227 74 226 75 230 19855 17961 62 230 62 231 61 227 60 227 59 231 17961 16043 53 227 57 232 54 227 48 230 41 229 16043 14201 38 224 43 232 43 225 39 228 25 223 14201 12528 28 224 27 230 33 219 35 220 20 214 12528 11038 22 222 19 231 28 218 34 211 20 197 11038 9712 16 224 17 240 22 211 34 208 21 187 9712 8528 12 224 14 245 17 195 31 206 22 185 8528 7473 9 209 8 236 17 180 27 206 23 185 7473 6535 8 187 7 177 20 182 27 205 24 187 6535 5704 8 181 11 162 23 187 29 201 26 190 5704 4968 9 190 15 173 25*190 30 197 27 192 4968 4307 14 201 20*184 25*192 30 195 28 193 4307 3720 18 204 21*187 25 192 29*194 27 194 3720 3228 20 202 20 188 24 193 27*194 25 195 3228 2849 19 200 20 188 22 193 23 193 22 196 2849 2588 16 199 18 189 21 193 20 193 18 197 2588 2429 12*200 17 189 19 193 17 193 15*197 2429 2337 5*201 11 189 12 192 11 192 9*197 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography