DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 82.1 - - 80.3 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 483 - - 304 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2438 - - 4599 - - 2348 - - 409 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3884 - - 5636 - - 3756 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4761 - - 6922 - - 4671 - - 2731 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1197 - - 1192 - - 2867 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 537 - - 368 - - 86 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 40 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 295 - - 323 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 23 - - 11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4390 - - -3907 - - -5281 - - -4458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9151 - - 10830 - - 9952 - - 7190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13645 - - -12396 - - -13112 - - -14482 ODpotential blCL - - - 18406 - - 19318 - - 17783 - - 17213 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 40 - - 41 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 82.1 - - 80.3 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 42.5 - - 44.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 79.2 - - 78.1 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 379 - - 483 - - 304 - - 21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2438 - - 4599 - - 2348 - - 409 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98760 34 118 22 130 20 108 25 092 98760 91258 27 109 22 114 22 100 21 096 91258 85512 20 103 22 105 25 103 19 092 85512 80768 23 104 20 090 22 104 17 096 80768 76690 20 111 10 099 14 083 20 089 76690 73080 14 099 9 156 6 061 14 071 73080 69797 10 092 11 131 3 107 8 058 69797 66793 6 080 10 118 6 155 1 052 66793 64030 2 254 6 146 5 134 3 170 64030 61367 1 253 4 213 3 232 4 235 61367 58599 12 263 11 264 9 280 8 294 58599 55742 24 250 22 256 23 261 22 275 55742 53033 28 262 28 255 31 260 30 270 53033 50599 35 269 37 265 38 261 38 268 50599 48419 43 266 46 266 47 263 45 266 48419 46443 47 264 50 264 50 263 48 263 46443 44631 50 263 51 263 49 266 47 262 44631 42953 49 264 50 262 50 268 47 263 42953 41384 49 263 50 261 50 268 46 266 41384 39910 47 262 48 260 50 268 44 268 39910 38519 44 263 43 258 47 267 43 268 38519 37174 42 264 40 257 44 266 43 266 37174 35811 42 262 38 259 42 264 44 265 35811 34399 38 262 34 261 39 262 42 267 34399 32944 34 265 31 262 36 261 37 264 32944 31431 33 269 31 262 33 262 34 261 31431 29850 34 271 31 264 31 262 31 261 29850 28201 35 274 32 266 31 264 28 262 28201 26482 35 279 31 271 31 262 27 264 26482 24693 31 281 28 270 31 263 27 265 24693 22837 25 278 24 268 27 263 25 264 22837 20908 21 275 21 265 23 263 22 264 20908 18900 20 272 21 263 22 265 19 272 18900 16855 17 269 19 264 16 270 14 276 16855 14887 11 257 13 254 9 268 8 273 14887 13100 6 231 7 237 4 254 3 259 13100 11516 4 186 5 226 2 270 1 354 11516 10110 2 154 4 223 3 293 5 346 10110 8860 1 316 3 254 2 275 7 322 8860 7747 3 306 1*249 2 148 4 271 7747 6759 2 286 1*220 4 135 4 179 6759 5883 1 240 1 247 3 132 4 186 5883 5106 1*224 1 278 1*011 3 229 5106 4407 1*243 2 295 3*326 3 265 4407 3787 2 267 4 300 8 323 6 313 3787 3270 2 272 4 302 9 323 11 326 3270 2872 3 276 5 303 9 323 11*326 2872 2600 3 277 5 304 9 322 11*325 2600 2434 3 279 4 303 9 322 10 325 2434 2339 3 278 4 303 8 322 7 323 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography