DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 87.1 - - 85.6 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 457 - - 279 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2219 - - 4837 - - 2563 - - 332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3704 - - 5806 - - 3887 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4542 - - 7161 - - 4886 - - 2655 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1154 - - 1296 - - 3331 - - 538 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 536 - - 368 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 19 - - 19 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 191 - - 264 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 28 - - 37 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4443 - - -3309 - - -5081 - - -4539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8985 - - 10470 - - 9967 - - 7194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12007 - - -9033 - - -10583 - - -12082 ODpotential blCL - - - 16549 - - 16194 - - 15469 - - 14737 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 48 - - 46 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 87.1 - - 85.6 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 49.2 - - 50.0 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 84.4 - - 83.7 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 48.7 - - 49.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 457 - - 279 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2219 - - 4837 - - 2563 - - 332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99088 29 104 28 110 33 104 34 108 99088 91587 23 124 22 108 26 106 28 103 91587 85819 26 117 20 123 21 118 23 101 85819 81034 24 103 20 118 21 107 20 105 81034 76911 20 112 17 104 15 114 19 099 76911 73262 18 116 17 130 7 124 11 091 73262 69963 16 106 12 126 9 105 10 084 69963 66951 16 100 11 141 8 120 9 070 66951 64186 16 110 10 138 7 152 2 061 64186 61527 4 089 7 146 7 185 5 199 61527 58764 6 258 6 252 4 236 5 226 58764 55902 15 257 16 245 17 253 17 267 55902 53183 26 255 27 251 28 256 29 266 53183 50751 37 263 35 257 34 260 36 262 50751 48582 46 259 42 256 40 259 41 259 48582 46619 49 256 46 253 44 257 43 257 46619 44816 51 255 47 254 46 258 44 258 44816 43141 50 257 47 255 48 258 46 259 43141 41571 45 260 39 255 45 258 43 259 41571 40092 38 260 30 258 38 257 38 261 40092 38694 33 261 26 261 33 258 34 263 38694 37340 30 259 25 256 27 256 30 265 37340 35965 29 253 25 245 25 253 26 260 35965 34543 25 248 24 242 25 249 26 251 34543 33081 23 246 22 241 22 244 26 243 33081 31563 20 243 22 236 22 238 23 235 31563 29976 19 244 21 233 21 237 20 236 29976 28323 18 243 16 220 16 220 15 236 28323 26602 17 244 13 214 14 187 14 214 26602 24815 14 250 8 220 10 168 17 179 24815 22966 11 239 7 204 12 150 19 154 22966 21043 14 201 13 178 16 151 18 154 21043 19040 22 191 23 170 20 169 16 160 19040 16998 23 197 23 187 18 180 14 168 16998 15030 22 209 17 195 13 183 13 183 15030 13234 22 217 15 199 12 180 13 193 13234 11635 18 211 16 195 15 183 14 197 11635 10211 15 197 17 188 19 181 15 199 10211 8943 12 186 15 178 17 165 17 196 8943 7816 11 183 10*160 12 148 17 181 7816 6813 12 182 7*161 11 154 12 151 6813 5927 11 178 6 168 8 165 8 132 5927 5140 9*171 6 181 7*176 5 134 5140 4434 7*173 5 198 4*200 4 147 4434 3807 5 183 5 206 3 251 2 171 3807 3283 5 191 5 215 4 272 3 329 3283 2880 5 195 5 221 4 279 7*325 2880 2604 5 199 5 223 4 283 7*324 2604 2435 4 200 5 225 5 283 7 323 2435 2339 4 202 4 224 4 284 5 322 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography