DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 45.8 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 40 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 3430 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3168 - - 2321 - - 2320 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4757 - - 5751 - - 4411 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2359 - - 2311 - - 2967 - - 2660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 231 - - 91 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 23 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 228 - - 233 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 17 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -18 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1637 - - 2380 - - 1423 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3121 - - 3371 - - 2988 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 316 - - 805 - - 207 - - -879 ODpotential blCL - - - 4441 - - 4946 - - 4204 - - 3216 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 98 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 170 - - 150 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 45.8 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 41.3 - - 40.8 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 47.6 - - 46.0 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 40.0 - - 39.9 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 40 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2436 - - 3430 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 92 - - 94 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96089 20 324 31 323 19 348 13 319 96089 89086 17 310 22 328 16 350 16 321 89086 83662 11 313 19 346 8 002 16 320 83662 79130 12 306 18 286 12 297 21 333 79130 75154 10 341 6 336 20 243 25 284 75154 71644 28 255 15 318 7 300 17 262 71644 68455 30 241 30 251 12 320 2 233 68455 65472 14 226 34 240 25 262 13 250 65472 62684 1 279 23 234 28 244 22 248 62684 59993 5 286 6 181 20 234 26 249 59993 57173 32 260 7 250 19 243 20 254 57173 54226 51 251 37 252 33 267 34 278 54226 51418 53 247 56 249 52 257 39 263 51418 48890 56 245 59 240 52 243 36 258 48890 46618 61 245 56 245 46 241 44 258 46618 44565 69 246 61 250 54 252 50 246 44565 42683 80 243 65 244 60 247 43 246 42683 40941 88 238 65 238 62 246 57 259 40941 39329 93 235 66 240 71 247 72 255 39329 37839 95 234 78 244 84 246 75 246 37839 36450 101 235 94 242 89 242 72 241 36450 35114 112 236 103 238 93 237 71 242 35114 33766 123 235 111 235 94 231 74 244 33766 32380 128 234 118 233 88 229 78 247 32380 30963 127 232 119 231 81 234 83 248 30963 29502 122 231 114 231 82 238 86 247 29502 27985 118 233 110 232 84 240 72 248 27985 26422 116 235 109 234 76 241 51 255 26422 24817 109 235 98 235 52 244 33 267 24817 23164 93 233 81 233 27 240 25 289 23164 21456 73 233 69 231 15 254 26 300 21456 19677 56 234 63 230 16 275 26 304 19677 17820 48 233 58 230 20 271 25 300 17820 15928 46 231 52 232 22 267 22 298 15928 14107 48 232 47 234 23 272 22 293 14107 12450 46 236 41 235 24 273 23 284 12450 10973 43 241 36 237 23 266 23 281 10973 9656 39 245 34 238 23 260 23 277 9656 8480 37 249 33 239 23 253 23 272 8480 7432 35 250 31 238 23 249 23 269 7432 6500 33 248 29*236 23 246 24 268 6500 5676 30 245 27*234 22 243 23 267 5676 4944 28*241 26 231 22*238 23 266 4944 4289 26*236 25 229 21*236 21 264 4289 3707 24 232 23 226 21 234 18 259 3707 3219 22 229 21 224 20 233 15 252 3219 2844 21 228 20 224 19 232 13 242 2844 2585 19 228 19 224 16 232 11 235 2585 2427 17 228 17 223 14 231 9*235 2427 2337 11 228 11 223 9 231 5*234 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography