DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 85.7 - - 84.6 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 470 - - 282 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1880 - - 4410 - - 3315 - - 345 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3466 - - 5479 - - 4451 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4203 - - 6734 - - 5638 - - 2668 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1144 - - 1527 - - 2483 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 525 - - 402 - - 83 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 200 - - 217 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - 33 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4370 - - -3873 - - -4572 - - -3584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8573 - - 10608 - - 10210 - - 6253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10887 - - -9154 - - -10295 - - -11703 ODpotential blCL - - - 15090 - - 15888 - - 15933 - - 14371 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 43 - - 40 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 85.7 - - 84.6 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 47.2 - - 47.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 82.9 - - 82.6 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 46.6 - - 47.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 470 - - 282 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1880 - - 4410 - - 3315 - - 345 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99081 37 112 25 112 23 106 29 087 99081 91569 32 105 27 104 25 106 30 104 91569 85783 27 114 26 102 23 106 26 108 85783 80995 22 117 24 107 20 102 24 098 80995 76883 21 122 18 109 19 096 21 087 76883 73252 16 114 16 129 13 086 17 070 73252 69952 14 098 14 123 9 115 13 066 69952 66931 10 073 9 103 8 123 3 066 66931 64163 1 183 3 345 8 087 9 130 64163 61493 4 209 7 270 5 309 6 021 61493 58719 5 237 10 256 11 262 12 295 58719 55852 16 275 18 264 19 263 18 274 55852 53119 28 270 30 263 28 269 25 270 53119 50662 34 262 40 259 40 264 39 269 50662 48461 42 258 46 254 47 254 49 264 48461 46466 46 260 47 255 50 250 52 256 46466 44642 48 258 47 256 51 252 51 253 44642 42961 48 255 49 256 51 254 51 257 42961 41394 47 255 48 257 50 252 53 254 41394 39921 44 256 46 256 50 251 51 252 39921 38531 43 257 44 255 50 251 52 251 38531 37189 42 259 43 255 49 254 51 253 37189 35827 41 259 42 256 45 256 47 256 35827 34416 39 261 40 260 41 261 42 258 34416 32960 36 261 35 264 39 265 38 260 32960 31444 30 262 31 267 33 264 34 263 31444 29860 26 267 27 267 28 268 30 262 29860 28209 24 271 23 269 25 266 26 265 28209 26490 23 267 20 270 21 265 22 265 26490 24705 22 261 20 266 19 263 20 262 24705 22858 19 257 19 259 19 257 19 260 22858 20946 16 253 16 253 17 251 18 255 20946 18957 17 237 15 250 15 250 15 258 18957 16927 17 234 16 248 14 252 13 257 16927 14966 13 238 15 248 13 253 12 252 14966 13176 11 233 12 241 11 249 10 242 13176 11583 11 223 11 224 11 237 11 236 11583 10167 11 209 14 207 13 212 12 235 10167 8908 13 194 15 190 14 180 13 222 8908 7786 14 185 13 175 12 158 14 189 7786 6789 14 177 10*173 11 161 12 161 6789 5906 12 170 9*180 10*174 10 152 5906 5123 9 173 8 189 9*185 8 174 5123 4420 7*184 8 198 8 200 8 198 4420 3797 6*208 8 205 6 219 6 217 3797 3276 6 217 8 210 6 233 5 280 3276 2877 6 222 8 213 6 239 8*310 2877 2602 6 226 8 215 6 242 8*312 2602 2435 5 227 7 216 6 244 8 312 2435 2339 5 227 6 217 5 245 6 312 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography