DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.6 - - 63.1 - - 67.6 - - 66.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 13 - - 38 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 654 - - 296 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2611 - - 2976 - - 2618 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 419 - - 746 - - 751 - - 337 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 85 - - 143 - - 66 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 051 - - 047 - - 052 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -9 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2267 - - -2049 - - -2165 - - -1945 - - -843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4605 - - 4660 - - 5141 - - 4563 - - 3182 sfcLCL ODpotential -11873 - - -7776 - - -7832 - - -7414 - - -7345 ODpotential blCL 14211 - - 10387 - - 10808 - - 10032 - - 9684 blCL maxRH 70 - - 85 - - 81 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.6 - - 63.1 - - 67.6 - - 66.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.0 - - 51.0 - - 53.2 - - 54.5 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 63.1 - - 67.3 - - 66.8 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.8 - - 49.7 - - 51.9 - - 53.2 - - 52.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 13 - - 38 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 654 - - 296 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 40 - - 23 - - 7 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 6 074 12 088 7 070 11 052 5 047 96668 89517 5 114 14 069 8 106 3 060 12 027 89517 83960 5 028 9 028 9 015 13 015 14 023 83960 79350 9 023 6 053 11 347 14 359 17 021 79350 75417 20 356 19 355 22 354 12 338 20 348 75417 71980 21 354 17 342 20 332 15 339 15 330 71980 68877 24 334 22 338 25 326 25 344 19 337 68877 66019 27 302 27 339 25 326 31 324 28 328 66019 63371 27 297 36 320 35 314 35 312 26 301 63371 60788 36 300 40 298 42 299 41 298 37 307 60788 58076 44 292 45 292 45 291 49 291 56 296 58076 55256 55 288 50 287 54 281 62 284 57 284 55256 52544 63 284 53 285 57 273 64 278 58 279 52544 50089 64 276 57 283 58 277 63 275 64 277 50089 47886 67 277 65 279 65 279 63 274 67 274 47886 45890 74 274 70 272 71 276 65 274 64 269 45890 44065 76 269 71 268 71 270 70 273 65 268 44065 42385 73 266 67 268 68 265 72 266 69 263 42385 40833 67 266 64 268 64 263 68 260 68 257 40833 39387 65 267 62 268 60 261 63 260 63 255 39387 38030 64 267 60 270 57 259 61 261 60 257 38030 36720 60 269 57 269 55 258 60 262 58 255 36720 35386 56 269 54 266 53 260 57 262 56 254 35386 34003 54 268 53 267 51 262 53 260 52 256 34003 32575 52 269 51 269 51 264 49 262 51 257 32575 31086 51 268 50 269 52 265 48 265 51 259 31086 29529 50 267 48 267 50 262 51 266 52 263 29529 27905 48 270 47 263 48 259 49 264 52 262 27905 26211 44 273 45 265 45 261 49 261 44 261 26211 24451 41 272 43 268 43 267 47 261 34 262 24451 22625 38 271 40 272 37 269 39 265 35 259 22625 20728 31 272 35 269 30 266 30 267 28 258 20728 18753 26 273 30 270 24 265 23 263 21 263 18753 16742 22 274 27 271 23 269 17 266 16 274 16742 14808 18 283 23 274 22 270 15 284 12 287 14808 13049 17 297 18 283 18 275 15 297 12 293 13049 11484 15 314 15 287 14 282 13 302 10 295 11484 10089 13 335 10 313 11 296 12 308 11 312 10089 8844 9 352 8 347 8 318 11 317 14 333 8844 7732 8 004 9 012 6 343 10 331 16 347 7732 6744 9 010 12 022 6 008 9 345 15 358 6744 5869 11 013 14 030 9 034 8 359 14 360 5869 5094 15 018 17 034 14 043 8 017 12 358 5094 4398 19 026 21 035 19 042 11 033 9 001 4398 3781 22 032 22 037 22 041 14 039 8 009 3781 3266 21 036 21 039 21*040 15 042 9 030 3266 2870 18 038 18*042 15*045 13*044 10 045 2870 2598 15 042 13*049 13 048 10*051 9 054 2598 2433 11 046 11 051 12 048 9 052 8*060 2433 2339 4*066 7 054 8 049 6 053 3*071 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography