DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.0 - - 67.0 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 336 - - 72 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2449 - - 3640 - - 2146 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3757 - - 4757 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4771 - - 5962 - - 4468 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1751 - - 1140 - - 1707 - - 1173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 438 - - 220 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 008 - - 019 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5599 - - -7132 - - -9176 - - -5472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10370 - - 13094 - - 13645 - - 7810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15256 - - -16611 - - -18756 - - -16726 ODpotential blCL - - - 20027 - - 22573 - - 23224 - - 19064 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 41 - - 44 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 67.0 - - 67.0 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 17.8 - - 15.6 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 65.0 - - 66.3 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 17.2 - - 15.1 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 336 - - 72 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2449 - - 3640 - - 2146 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97494 18 302 12 316 13 320 18 309 97494 90278 7 327 10 308 12 325 9 008 90278 84663 6 341 10 301 7 341 8 019 84663 80004 3 039 5 268 5 340 5 010 80004 76014 6 026 2 235 5 304 6 022 76014 72500 0 107 2 279 3 273 4 343 72500 69324 4 278 3 256 2 250 5 256 69324 66400 9 255 10 236 11 280 6 310 66400 63691 9 276 7 225 11 261 12 311 63691 61071 11 299 7 297 9 281 16 286 61071 58336 19 299 15 299 13 293 20 309 58336 55496 23 305 20 310 22 332 27 327 55496 52779 30 311 34 323 38 328 32 329 52779 50324 37 320 47 325 45 326 38 336 50324 48115 46 332 52 327 48 333 47 342 48115 46107 54 339 54 333 57 340 59 347 46107 44266 59 338 61 337 68 341 65 350 44266 42556 63 337 67 338 74 344 72 351 42556 40960 66 341 70 342 77 348 76 349 40960 39466 70 344 74 346 79 350 79 348 39466 38072 69 345 76 349 83 351 82 349 38072 36739 69 349 76 350 87 352 84 350 36739 35395 75 356 71 353 86 353 82 350 35395 34006 79 358 68 356 79 352 77 350 34006 32573 77 357 69 357 73 352 70 351 32573 31081 73 356 69 357 72 358 66 352 31081 29516 70 355 63 356 71 360 65 355 29516 27879 66 354 57 356 67 357 64 359 27879 26169 56 351 54 355 57 357 61 360 26169 24389 49 351 50 354 52 358 56 359 24389 22546 49 352 47 353 49 358 50 359 22546 20632 50 353 44 354 45 355 46 000 20632 18646 50 354 45 357 42 359 41 002 18646 16625 49 357 46 004 40 009 37 007 16625 14681 47 359 44 007 37 013 33 011 14681 12916 44 000 35 012 32 021 28 016 12916 11351 40 004 27 029 27 032 22 026 11351 9960 37 007 25 046 23 041 18 042 9960 8724 35 006 23 053 19 047 16 055 8724 7625 32 004 19 054 16 053 16 057 7625 6652 28 004 13*028 13 054 15 053 6652 5793 23 006 13*011 11 037 14 038 5793 5034 19*006 13 008 11*020 15 019 5034 4355 15*004 13 007 11*018 13 013 4355 3752 13 001 13 008 11 018 11 010 3752 3248 12 358 13 007 11 019 10 358 3248 2860 11 357 12 007 10 020 9 344 2860 2593 10 356 12 008 10 020 8 339 2593 2431 9 355 11 007 9 020 6*339 2431 2338 8 355 9 007 7 021 3*337 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography