DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.5 - - 64.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 295 - - 403 - - 226 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3480 - - 5432 - - 3210 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 4598 - - 6234 - - 4294 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 5802 - - 7755 - - 5532 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 589 - - 1392 - - 1254 - - 2979 - - 898 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 417 - - 536 - - 372 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 20 - - 57 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 339 - - 036 - - 353 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 16 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2567 - - -2322 - - -2049 - - -2363 - - -2305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4906 - - 8124 - - 9805 - - 7896 - - 4643 sfcLCL ODpotential -9001 - - -9263 - - -8249 - - -5442 - - -6858 ODpotential blCL 11339 - - 15065 - - 16004 - - 10974 - - 9196 blCL maxRH 53 - - 48 - - 46 - - 59 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.5 - - 64.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.4 - - 36.6 - - 35.1 - - 42.1 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 62.1 - - 67.8 - - 66.9 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.7 - - 35.5 - - 33.9 - - 41.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 295 - - 403 - - 226 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3480 - - 5432 - - 3210 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97597 17 315 21 301 21 296 32 296 25 319 97597 90226 24 317 19 332 17 314 26 313 23 330 90226 84616 19 312 20 317 22 325 19 335 18 343 84616 79970 17 311 12 300 19 302 18 328 12 333 79970 75946 17 289 9 302 12 284 14 305 16 300 75946 72378 17 263 14 290 10 283 10 283 18 286 72378 69137 20 255 20 281 13 291 10 286 16 278 69137 66147 22 258 22 275 17 285 14 290 16 283 66147 63368 22 261 20 263 20 274 18 280 19 281 63368 60671 21 264 20 256 22 269 21 278 22 275 60671 57855 20 271 21 263 22 268 22 283 21 280 57855 54937 21 276 22 264 22 271 23 284 22 290 54937 52165 21 279 20 261 23 268 26 285 23 291 52165 49694 26 285 19 271 23 267 28 278 22 298 49694 47502 33 284 22 280 23 270 24 276 19 303 47502 45524 39 282 24 286 19 262 18 270 13 297 45524 43718 42 272 25 294 15 298 13 315 13 331 43718 42061 33 283 22 287 17 296 16 309 9 333 42061 40522 23 284 12 273 13 273 10 285 8 012 40522 39073 25 357 15 003 14 012 13 030 15 026 39073 37705 42 010 34 010 26 021 22 030 20 027 37705 36384 49 008 42 008 31 020 27 029 25 025 36384 35043 51 008 44 006 31 014 28 026 26 023 35043 33656 49 010 41 007 31 011 28 018 25 020 33656 32225 47 015 37 011 28 012 28 007 25 012 32225 30740 29 357 38 019 27 015 23 000 25 360 30740 29190 27 316 32 013 27 014 21 002 24 351 29190 27574 32 315 29 357 26 004 22 001 26 351 27574 25889 32 332 31 354 28 356 26 355 28 001 25889 24137 28 342 31 001 32 010 30 007 31 004 24137 22323 23 331 24 356 24 024 25 033 29 019 22323 20443 23 331 17 333 14 008 13 029 19 020 20443 18490 18 336 15 329 14 340 13 347 16 357 18490 16501 11 326 12 313 14 328 17 350 19 357 16501 14587 10 327 12 304 15 324 17 356 18 011 14587 12849 10 334 10 317 12 341 14 003 16 014 12849 11308 11 340 7 344 7 020 10 040 11 022 11308 9938 12 348 5 021 5 080 8 093 5 050 9938 8717 12 355 5 085 4*114 7 093 2 081 8717 7630 11 355 7 099 3*100 7 083 3 066 7630 6663 9 340 5*068 2 093 7 071 6 045 6663 5808 5 310 3*006 2 077 7*049 9 035 5808 5050 3 272 4 348 2 047 7*021 12 028 5050 4367 2 341 4 341 2 013 9 005 12 021 4367 3760 3 011 4 336 3 358 10 350 13 009 3760 3253 2 002 4 332 3 353 11 346 14 351 3253 2863 2 303 4 329 3 347 11 345 13 339 2863 2594 4 283 4 328 3 345 11 344 11 335 2594 2432 4*277 4 328 3 346 10 344 9 334 2432 2338 2*275 4 326 3 344 9 343 5*333 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography