DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Panoche 2311ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.4 - - 60.4 - - 51.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 371 - - 252 - - 161 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 181 - - 2928 - - 4854 - - 1537 - - 464 BL Depth Hcrit 2311 - - 4240 - - 5571 - - 2963 - - 2311 Hcrit BL Top 2492 - - 5240 - - 7166 - - 3848 - - 2775 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 700 - - 1713 - - 1067 - - 1414 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 423 - - 442 - - 265 - - 85 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 214 - - 221 - - 222 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 14 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3150 - - -2082 - - 129 - - 1200 - - 447 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5642 - - 7323 - - 7037 - - 2648 - - 2328 sfcLCL ODpotential -9399 - - -5818 - - -2964 - - 242 - - 86 ODpotential blCL 11891 - - 11058 - - 10130 - - 3606 - - 2689 blCL maxRH 99 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.4 - - 60.4 - - 51.5 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 37.3 - - 37.5 - - 47.8 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 - - 50.5 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 36.9 - - 36.9 - - 46.6 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 371 - - 252 - - 161 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 181 - - 2928 - - 4854 - - 1537 - - 464 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 65 - - 101 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97899 26 096 27 105 22 107 24 106 18 102 97899 90486 27 094 29 099 22 120 20 110 24 100 90486 84787 24 098 28 099 22 126 17 113 25 100 84787 80062 23 105 23 099 21 132 13 124 18 098 80062 75978 16 107 16 119 17 129 13 131 15 103 75978 72358 12 122 14 132 13 148 8 144 9 129 72358 69072 8 147 8 155 10 163 9 169 13 125 69072 66032 10 184 11 190 11 215 11 217 4 215 66032 63201 11 228 13 213 17 223 12 208 13 241 63201 60453 18 248 18 234 22 232 18 237 20 259 60453 57580 22 256 26 249 27 245 29 248 31 257 57580 54603 35 273 35 259 39 257 42 253 37 255 54603 51766 49 274 45 265 42 257 36 252 42 258 51766 49230 55 276 62 275 51 281 50 279 48 267 49230 46970 72 279 79 272 83 272 74 271 63 266 46970 44922 88 278 84 271 86 264 77 255 75 256 44922 43053 99 279 93 269 89 268 65 257 74 253 43053 41337 109 276 103 266 107 266 91 271 82 261 41337 39752 107 275 105 268 118 257 125 266 103 264 39752 38274 102 278 107 271 109 258 135 258 115 260 38274 36889 102 282 106 273 106 260 132 257 118 257 36889 35561 103 284 103 274 105 262 126 258 118 257 35561 34222 100 285 100 274 105 264 121 259 119 258 34222 32845 95 285 96 275 104 267 117 261 117 259 32845 31432 91 285 95 276 102 268 115 264 115 259 31432 29969 89 285 92 278 99 269 117 270 109 257 29969 28447 86 287 86 278 96 271 106 274 96 255 28447 26868 79 292 79 278 92 275 81 258 83 253 26868 25232 67 292 73 278 79 277 66 243 75 251 25232 23536 60 292 59 277 55 272 55 245 69 253 23536 21782 49 292 48 270 40 257 45 254 61 254 21782 19960 39 289 46 264 42 249 44 250 53 246 19960 18063 34 284 41 269 41 249 44 239 39 242 18063 16131 31 276 33 274 39 254 43 238 28 246 16131 14272 23 259 26 256 44 260 40 250 22 255 14272 12580 19 246 26 236 48 259 40 260 25 265 12580 11075 16 239 23 224 44 255 40 267 29 272 11075 9737 13 230 19 219 35 242 40 270 31 278 9737 8544 12 224 16 217 27 224 39 271 32 283 8544 7483 11 224 15 217 21*211 34 270 30 291 7483 6540 11 228 14 219 18*212 27 266 28 296 6540 5706 11 231 15*219 17 215 22 259 25 291 5706 4966 11 230 15*218 17 219 20 250 21 273 4966 4300 12 226 15 215 17 222 20*241 19 245 4300 3711 13 220 15 213 16 224 19*230 19 221 3711 3218 13 214 14 213 16 226 18 221 19 207 3218 2839 12 210 14 214 15 227 17 219 17*201 2839 2577 10*206 13 214 15 227 16 219 15*200 2577 2419 7*204 12 214 14 228 15 219 13 199 2419 2328 5 204 11 215 12 228 12 220 10 198 2328 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography