DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.0 - - 70.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 465 - - 259 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2825 - - 5358 - - 2499 - - 333 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4152 - - 6220 - - 3809 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5147 - - 7681 - - 4822 - - 2655 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1315 - - 1099 - - 2659 - - 732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 409 - - 555 - - 354 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 19 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 259 - - 307 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 16 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2087 - - -947 - - -1449 - - -1212 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7234 - - 8628 - - 6272 - - 3867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9035 - - -6524 - - -2711 - - -5588 ODpotential blCL - - - 14182 - - 14205 - - 7533 - - 8243 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 69 - - 71 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.0 - - 70.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 44.2 - - 51.3 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 71.3 - - 68.9 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 44.0 - - 51.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 353 - - 465 - - 259 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2825 - - 5358 - - 2499 - - 333 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98960 17 111 13 098 11 086 15 085 98960 91561 20 092 21 098 13 112 12 092 91561 85824 22 090 18 091 22 097 15 091 85824 81061 19 082 16 092 14 085 19 087 81061 76956 10 080 12 077 15 075 16 078 76956 73338 8 092 3 086 12 054 13 089 73338 70070 4 027 4 089 3 109 6 057 70070 67052 5 260 8 289 2 007 8 063 67052 64244 9 203 12 252 11 272 6 315 64244 61521 14 223 17 239 16 268 13 289 61521 58687 16 251 21 241 20 268 20 285 58687 55764 24 278 26 266 28 272 30 279 55764 52998 42 271 33 268 33 278 35 286 52998 50533 45 279 42 272 44 274 45 285 50533 48341 50 266 36 282 41 276 42 280 48341 46361 40 290 45 297 43 283 42 279 46361 44548 59 299 49 292 46 283 43 279 44548 42869 61 296 47 292 48 287 44 280 42869 41303 60 298 51 289 50 287 44 280 41303 39833 55 301 51 287 49 282 42 282 39833 38448 52 311 50 294 46 280 38 281 38448 37111 57 318 52 299 44 285 34 281 37111 35753 59 318 54 303 45 287 33 282 35753 34344 56 317 51 306 46 291 33 281 34344 32887 51 315 48 307 44 295 32 281 32887 31367 51 312 47 303 42 300 30 282 31367 29774 52 314 46 303 39 300 29 279 29774 28110 48 313 47 301 38 297 29 277 28110 26375 46 303 47 298 38 295 30 282 26375 24571 44 308 44 295 37 296 30 291 24571 22701 36 298 37 290 34 289 30 292 22701 20760 38 276 36 276 34 283 32 284 20760 18748 37 277 37 271 34 277 32 281 18748 16707 32 272 34 272 33 276 30 285 16707 14750 31 268 31 269 29 279 28 286 14750 12976 26 267 27 265 25 281 24 288 12976 11403 21 261 21 261 21 276 20 290 11403 10010 18 251 16 255 17 263 17 283 10010 8774 16 244 12*245 10 223 13 265 8774 7676 14 244 6*237 8 183 12 214 7676 6700 11 245 5 240 7 171 12 181 6700 5836 7*246 5 248 5 179 9 179 5836 5069 4*259 5 256 3*234 7 194 5069 4379 4 274 5 265 5*295 6 216 4379 3768 4 282 6 270 8 307 5 257 3768 3257 4 287 6 275 9 308 9 306 3257 2865 4 292 6 277 10 309 11*315 2865 2596 4 292 6 278 9 309 10*316 2596 2432 4 294 6 278 9 309 9 316 2432 2338 3 294 5 279 8 308 6 315 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography