DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 54.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.7 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 17 - - 80 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1450 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 3772 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 309 - - 656 - - 1358 - - 3645 - - 640 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 29 - - 209 - - 23 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 27 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 255 - - 223 - - 281 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3100 - - -2925 - - -1889 - - -2570 - - -1221 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5438 - - 5263 - - 5662 - - 4908 - - 3559 sfcLCL ODpotential -9310 - - -7081 - - -5367 - - -4578 - - -5980 ODpotential blCL 11648 - - 9419 - - 9139 - - 6916 - - 8318 blCL maxRH 95 - - 82 - - 89 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 54.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.7 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.4 - - 39.3 - - 42.5 - - 45.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 53.8 - - 58.3 - - 58.8 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 38.3 - - 41.4 - - 44.4 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 17 - - 80 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1450 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 30 - - 57 - - 64 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95551 6 060 16 279 23 307 22 321 8 258 95551 88711 19 056 10 055 9 357 14 006 7 118 88711 83389 16 037 14 049 15 028 17 021 9 060 83389 78938 12 031 14 045 11 034 17 023 17 018 78938 75093 14 036 19 045 9 057 13 019 17 008 75093 71687 16 034 20 040 13 060 8 008 15 014 71687 68586 17 023 14 029 17 034 9 019 13 019 68586 65723 17 005 13 011 19 013 15 013 10 011 65723 63065 18 353 15 006 19 002 16 001 10 013 63065 60482 17 346 18 350 19 346 19 345 12 352 60482 57775 15 337 19 336 21 334 19 332 14 333 57775 54946 13 331 17 331 16 308 17 312 16 322 54946 52218 14 326 14 327 12 292 19 307 15 317 52218 49735 18 327 14 319 12 293 20 301 13 317 49735 47486 22 325 15 315 12 299 20 295 14 325 47486 45425 20 314 14 315 10 305 15 296 13 325 45425 43521 14 302 11 331 9 339 11 312 10 337 43521 41754 9 312 9 345 10 004 7 335 9 000 41754 40102 6 336 4 076 8 010 7 013 12 019 40102 38559 4 323 9 067 4 075 11 027 16 035 38559 37123 5 219 4 081 8 062 10 033 22 033 37123 35762 6 152 7 115 9 069 10 059 22 025 35762 34406 8 135 7 128 9 080 14 083 20 029 34406 33024 9 128 10 138 9 088 19 076 18 037 33024 31616 11 168 12 154 7 125 24 062 27 045 31616 30168 24 167 17 159 12 161 17 073 28 059 30168 28663 35 166 24 141 24 158 22 109 28 067 28663 27095 32 158 28 140 39 149 32 103 30 062 27095 25459 26 160 30 150 41 150 32 107 34 059 25459 23757 22 169 28 155 31 166 22 108 37 060 23757 21990 19 159 23 158 18 157 13 082 34 058 21990 20153 26 156 17 157 11 134 15 068 27 052 20153 18240 25 151 19 156 10 129 15 087 23 064 18240 16293 20 150 17 154 14 117 16 101 17 071 16293 14423 16 155 14 152 15 113 18 092 16 075 14423 12725 10 153 15 153 13 116 17 080 14 095 12725 11213 7 178 15 154 10 126 13 071 16 118 11213 9863 8 178 14 155 7 136 10 068 17 126 9863 8658 4 140 11 153 6 140 7 082 14 134 8658 7581 4 100 9 149 5 155 5 113 13 144 7581 6622 3 087 7 143 4 178 4 150 11 155 6622 5772 2 074 5 143 4 201 3 202 8 159 5772 5018 2 059 3 161 4 223 3 260 3 163 5018 4341 2 031 2 187 3*246 3 283 2 334 4341 3741 3 006 2 215 2*248 3 282 6 352 3741 3240 5 350 1 283 2 236 3 281 9 358 3240 2855 6 347 1 344 1 206 1 281 10 003 2855 2590 5 343 1 342 1 198 1 279 8 012 2590 2430 3*336 1*265 1 195 1*276 6*022 2430 2338 1*312 0*255 1 189 1*281 3*033 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography