DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 52.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 48 - - 81 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1469 - - 904 - - 1905 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3790 - - 3225 - - 4226 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1622 - - 1528 - - 1857 - - 2028 - - 2661 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 181 - - 176 - - 90 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 25 - - 22 - - 20 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 215 - - 225 - - 231 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -23 - - -9 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1147 - - 887 - - 1469 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 2643 - - 2338 - - 2757 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential -1271 - - -740 - - 328 - - 404 - - -1024 ODpotential blCL 3608 - - 4530 - - 2897 - - 3822 - - 3361 blCL maxRH 93 - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 60 - - 70 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 52.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 49.0 - - 48.7 - - 46.7 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 52.3 - - 50.0 - - 50.9 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 48.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 48 - - 81 - - 1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1469 - - 904 - - 1905 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 54 - - 100 - - 100 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96087 12 329 13 295 14 302 11 315 21 265 96087 88998 4 045 2 265 13 332 5 337 13 288 88998 83591 5 092 3 295 14 338 3 046 8 337 83591 79085 5 315 7 325 10 326 10 294 14 304 79085 75176 7 279 8 285 8 312 8 308 7 304 75176 71676 2 065 4 288 17 279 9 307 13 306 71676 68479 15 276 15 248 24 261 21 267 21 271 68479 65553 11 262 10 238 12 251 14 254 22 255 65553 62819 6 223 14 242 9 256 12 251 27 246 62819 60136 28 244 31 240 26 240 29 240 34 243 60136 57311 48 241 44 240 41 239 40 233 36 239 57311 54359 55 240 52 241 55 245 47 247 35 249 54359 51532 57 239 58 242 62 242 60 251 50 258 51532 48995 60 239 64 240 65 239 68 248 65 252 48995 46736 65 236 70 236 68 237 70 243 67 244 46736 44695 64 230 71 233 67 235 64 242 62 248 44695 42831 62 230 70 231 62 234 63 249 69 258 42831 41123 69 236 71 233 60 232 70 255 84 253 41123 39556 87 240 79 236 61 233 79 255 86 250 39556 38114 110 238 97 237 70 238 83 249 79 252 38114 36779 128 236 119 234 82 239 80 246 77 264 36779 35504 135 235 134 231 92 238 78 252 88 272 35504 34214 123 235 134 227 96 235 80 259 88 270 34214 32878 104 236 117 224 95 232 80 258 82 266 32878 31497 88 236 96 221 88 232 81 254 79 265 31497 30057 78 233 88 220 82 235 79 252 76 264 30057 28549 72 227 86 218 80 235 72 254 73 258 28549 26973 70 223 85 217 79 233 66 256 71 255 26973 25330 70 224 83 219 80 233 64 253 69 256 25330 23622 71 226 82 222 77 235 66 249 64 253 23622 21855 71 226 80 224 72 235 66 248 61 248 21855 20021 69 225 75 224 67 232 62 248 59 247 20021 18111 66 223 69 222 65 228 54 247 54 248 18111 16159 62 217 65 219 62 226 44 243 47 247 16159 14276 59 210 63 217 58 225 34 242 40 245 14276 12566 60 207 63 215 53 225 30 238 33 244 12566 11054 61 209 63 214 49 226 34 233 28 243 11054 9718 60 215 61 217 46 226 38 232 25 245 9718 8533 56 222 56 221 43 228 36 236 22 247 8533 7479 49 228 49 226 41 231 31 241 20 246 7479 6542 43 231 43 231 39 234 27 242 18 244 6542 5712 38 232 38 232 36 235 25 238 17 240 5712 4976 34 231 34 229 34 234 24 235 17 235 4976 4313 32 229 32*223 32 230 24*233 17 229 4313 3724 29 226 30*218 30 227 23*232 17 223 3724 3231 27 223 28 215 28*226 22 231 17 219 3231 2851 23 221 26 214 26*225 21 230 15 215 2851 2588 19 219 24 214 24 225 18 230 12 209 2588 2429 15 219 21 214 21 225 16 230 10 206 2429 2337 6*219 13 215 13 226 9 230 4*202 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography