DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Panoche 2313ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.6 - - 87.6 - - 96.8 - - 96.1 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 307 - - 434 - - 270 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1663 - - 3827 - - 1981 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2313 - - 3245 - - 4981 - - 3438 - - 2313 Hcrit BL Top 2329 - - 3976 - - 6142 - - 4295 - - 2330 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 901 - - 1109 - - 2475 - - 374 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 328 - - 485 - - 333 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 52 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 252 - - 346 - - 334 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 23 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6041 - - -8636 - - -8899 - - -10870 - - -9680 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8370 - - 12613 - - 15041 - - 15166 - - 12011 sfcLCL ODpotential -15456 - - -15165 - - -13891 - - -15896 - - -17547 ODpotential blCL 17785 - - 19141 - - 20033 - - 20191 - - 19877 blCL maxRH 31 - - 88 - - 74 - - 80 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.6 - - 87.6 - - 96.8 - - 96.1 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 41.0 - - 39.0 - - 37.8 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.9 - - 86.4 - - 95.2 - - 94.3 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 40.8 - - 38.9 - - 37.7 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 307 - - 434 - - 270 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1663 - - 3827 - - 1981 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 53 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99125 32 103 37 108 32 110 32 109 30 099 99125 91670 27 100 27 105 29 104 28 100 28 099 91670 85888 23 103 23 107 24 102 25 095 27 100 85888 81085 26 107 22 106 22 110 19 093 25 098 81085 76955 26 105 20 105 22 116 18 099 23 094 76955 73316 22 101 17 103 17 107 20 103 22 094 73316 70029 19 101 15 114 14 102 19 099 17 094 70029 67021 16 094 19 123 11 108 17 095 15 104 67021 64242 13 096 19 108 13 124 16 114 15 097 64242 61565 10 103 12 105 16 121 12 116 14 091 61565 58795 8 134 11 138 7 123 6 135 9 093 58795 55955 5 166 11 148 8 182 7 193 4 221 55955 53286 6 248 4 176 10 176 15 192 14 210 53286 50912 18 243 12 255 9 233 13 197 18 202 50912 48788 28 223 26 236 24 241 20 248 18 229 48788 46856 35 212 39 220 37 229 35 241 23 243 46856 45072 39 207 43 211 40 221 37 227 28 240 45072 43408 39 208 41 208 38 217 36 216 25 236 43408 41846 35 214 36 211 33 216 36 213 18 228 41846 40372 31 220 31 219 28 220 31 213 12 224 40372 38976 27 222 30 220 25 232 23 220 7 243 38976 37625 22 222 28 218 24 236 17 241 5 241 37625 36252 18 215 23 209 19 237 16 258 8 224 36252 34829 15 205 20 187 15 219 13 250 7 243 34829 33362 15 193 19 181 13 212 10 224 4 235 33362 31837 15 194 17 173 10 194 10 175 10 162 31837 30243 13 199 13 160 9 174 16 149 12 138 30243 28579 4 237 9 129 7 144 15 139 16 128 28579 26844 4 026 13 107 12 122 16 124 22 132 26844 25039 13 065 17 096 18 116 18 124 21 130 25039 23170 10 053 11 074 15 108 14 113 15 123 23170 21234 4 034 7 050 11 086 11 092 11 107 21234 19221 3 170 3 109 6 088 10 095 11 093 19221 17168 10 199 7 192 2 194 7 111 9 113 17168 15186 13 198 10 201 6 241 2 134 7 140 15186 13377 11 190 11 196 8 223 2 258 1 155 13377 11763 7 203 8 190 8 208 3 249 3 333 11763 10322 7 256 3 229 4 205 1 277 3 053 10322 9035 9 277 3 305 1 193 2 046 4 060 9035 7889 6 290 3 315 1 079 2 096 2 007 7889 6872 3 318 1 310 2*109 3 123 2 174 6872 5972 2 045 1 199 3*111 4 114 5 165 5972 5173 3 081 2 180 2 099 2 076 4 172 5173 4456 2 105 2*189 1 356 4*000 2 193 4456 3819 1 145 3*227 3 329 8*343 2 313 3819 3286 2 241 5 251 4 326 11 334 7 331 3286 2877 5 257 5 255 4 327 11 333 10 333 2877 2597 6 256 6 257 4 326 11 332 10 333 2597 2427 5 249 5 257 4 325 11 332 8*333 2427 2330 3*236 5 259 4 325 10 332 6*333 2330 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography