DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 80.3 - - 77.7 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 359 - - 151 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 2911 - - 1591 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 4224 - - 2941 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3589 - - 5234 - - 3914 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 663 - - 1385 - - 1802 - - 357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 416 - - 255 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 23 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 313 - - 329 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 11 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4605 - - -4912 - - -5326 - - -3130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8195 - - 10146 - - 9240 - - 5469 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8938 - - -7950 - - -8931 - - -10050 ODpotential blCL - - - 12527 - - 13184 - - 12845 - - 12389 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 44 - - 40 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 80.3 - - 77.7 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 43.9 - - 45.4 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 78.1 - - 76.5 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 43.7 - - 45.3 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 359 - - 151 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 2911 - - 1591 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98233 3 341 9 191 9 239 5 238 98233 90865 4 125 3 236 4 189 1 012 90865 85221 4 118 3 033 7 064 8 094 85221 80543 6 084 5 111 8 032 10 072 80543 76512 8 073 5 094 6 068 6 034 76512 72943 9 088 6 086 7 103 4 063 72943 69708 3 091 4 076 6 096 10 105 69708 66716 6 147 2 170 1 343 8 078 66716 63925 6 132 6 180 5 210 3 235 63925 61222 6 184 9 195 9 242 7 253 61222 58400 8 234 11 225 13 237 14 253 58400 55478 11 240 12 252 16 263 17 266 55478 52693 19 274 22 259 25 257 21 259 52693 50187 23 258 22 246 25 262 29 273 50187 47954 21 259 27 264 33 262 30 271 47954 45947 28 271 26 269 25 264 21 270 45947 44125 27 279 19 301 16 287 20 298 44125 42459 22 298 27 313 22 307 23 308 42459 40916 26 317 27 310 22 311 18 313 40916 39471 28 331 22 312 21 331 25 349 39471 38115 33 351 24 338 35 353 29 348 38115 36805 42 358 35 347 43 349 26 352 36805 35475 47 356 43 345 43 343 25 360 35475 34093 49 353 43 345 38 343 23 356 34093 32664 49 354 41 348 33 351 27 343 32664 31172 47 354 43 350 34 355 34 343 31172 29611 44 353 42 349 36 355 36 345 29611 27981 43 352 39 347 36 352 31 342 27981 26281 40 353 36 347 32 349 29 339 26281 24511 35 357 32 353 26 347 27 343 24511 22677 30 356 25 355 21 351 22 342 22677 20775 25 357 20 350 17 349 16 341 20775 18798 21 359 17 352 17 345 14 345 18798 16788 17 003 12 004 14 347 12 354 16788 14854 14 006 10 018 8 001 7 016 14854 13097 12 007 9 020 6 029 4 054 13097 11530 10 016 7 021 5 043 3 086 11530 10132 8 013 6 005 4 029 2 088 10132 8881 9 010 7 351 5 002 2 015 8881 7763 9 017 7 351 6 353 4 351 7763 6768 9 022 6 352 5 350 6 345 6768 5888 6 025 3*338 3 008 6 337 5888 5108 3 031 2*321 2 025 4 334 5108 4408 1 320 3 314 2*005 3 014 4408 3788 3*271 3 313 5*337 3 049 3788 3270 4*273 4 312 7 330 4 005 3270 2872 5 273 4 312 7 328 8 338 2872 2598 5 274 4 311 7 327 9 337 2598 2433 5 275 4 311 7 327 7*339 2433 2339 4 274 3 312 6 327 3*341 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography