DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.0 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 359 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2829 - - 5491 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4068 - - 6236 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5150 - - 7813 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1674 - - 1356 - - - - - 2083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 375 - - 519 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 185 - - - - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 11 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5580 - - -3591 - - - - - -5360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10731 - - 11405 - - - - - 7699 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12758 - - -9163 - - - - - -12232 ODpotential blCL - - - 17908 - - 16976 - - - - - 14570 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 76 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.0 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.8 - - 29.9 - - - - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 69.9 - - - - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 28.7 - - - - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 359 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2829 - - 5491 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97192 54 276 56 276 55 288 97192 89931 43 280 48 278 44 276 89931 84331 33 281 39 273 38 272 84331 79640 29 274 33 269 31 281 79640 75595 22 260 26 262 23 290 75595 72029 16 269 19 257 21 278 72029 68802 20 277 18 270 21 275 68802 65844 21 276 18 280 20 271 65844 63119 19 289 17 290 18 273 63119 60485 20 302 21 294 21 279 60485 57734 22 300 26 285 28 275 57734 54873 24 291 29 282 30 276 54873 52129 27 300 34 286 47 279 52129 49638 32 303 40 284 53 272 49638 47386 37 305 42 286 55 271 47386 45336 39 305 48 288 53 273 45336 43467 39 303 45 286 46 272 43467 41759 37 300 38 281 38 264 41759 40196 32 293 31 280 32 263 40196 38757 27 291 32 282 34 249 38757 37420 26 295 31 284 29 238 37420 36131 26 291 27 280 25 239 36131 34818 28 280 26 276 28 237 34818 33456 29 278 23 271 28 234 33456 32048 28 275 25 263 29 234 32048 30580 24 265 26 262 30 236 30580 29041 24 265 22 261 29 237 29041 27434 24 266 19 249 30 233 27434 25761 21 267 18 239 29 226 25761 24026 18 266 15 232 24 215 24026 22230 16 266 14 228 22 210 22230 20365 14 263 13 220 21 205 20365 18429 10 255 11 207 18 201 18429 16458 6 220 12 202 14 206 16458 14557 6 201 12 203 11 206 14557 12825 6 208 10 203 13 194 12825 11286 6 215 10 201 16 188 11286 9921 5 207 12 192 19 185 9921 8705 6 191 11*181 13 163 8705 7621 7 180 8*177 9 127 7621 6656 8 176 8 178 6 131 6656 5801 8*171 8 180 6 198 5801 5044 7*165 7 184 10 226 5044 4363 7 162 7 187 12 232 4363 3759 6 158 7 190 11 237 3759 3253 6 157 7 193 9 243 3253 2864 6 154 7 194 8 252 2864 2595 5 153 7 195 7 260 2595 2432 5 152 6 196 6 266 2432 2338 5 152 6 196 3*271 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography