DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 74.5 - - 81.3 - - 78.0 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 268 - - 402 - - 238 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1075 - - 2204 - - 1570 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2807 - - 3729 - - 3121 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3397 - - 4527 - - 3893 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 315 - - 723 - - 1402 - - 962 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 274 - - 397 - - 298 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 318 - - 323 - - 326 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -4 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4004 - - -6311 - - -7500 - - -6775 - - -5627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6342 - - 9708 - - 12027 - - 10669 - - 7966 sfcLCL ODpotential -13691 - - -13787 - - -15164 - - -15967 - - -15953 ODpotential blCL 16029 - - 17184 - - 19691 - - 19860 - - 18292 blCL maxRH 62 - - 77 - - 49 - - 38 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 74.5 - - 81.3 - - 78.0 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.4 - - 40.5 - - 36.9 - - 39.7 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 72.7 - - 78.8 - - 76.3 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 39.3 - - 35.8 - - 38.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 268 - - 402 - - 238 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1075 - - 2204 - - 1570 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98477 17 117 19 120 12 103 21 085 11 107 98477 91025 18 097 19 103 11 103 12 065 15 088 91025 85291 17 077 20 097 14 109 16 098 19 082 85291 80557 16 092 20 109 16 094 18 111 19 084 80557 76504 18 090 17 102 20 099 16 101 21 079 76504 72938 16 084 13 078 21 093 15 087 19 078 72938 69725 15 104 10 087 14 080 17 077 13 065 69725 66787 13 084 9 091 10 088 14 069 12 067 66787 64067 9 053 7 056 9 061 10 060 10 069 64067 61421 6 034 4 032 8 357 8 030 8 034 61421 58653 11 356 7 029 8 349 12 005 9 015 58653 55787 19 336 12 024 10 013 18 354 17 004 55787 53075 29 344 25 003 22 001 27 355 27 007 53075 50649 38 338 31 348 29 001 31 358 30 359 50649 48478 38 346 40 360 43 002 37 352 37 348 48478 46511 53 000 50 352 44 346 41 344 41 339 46511 44699 53 358 45 348 42 340 43 342 47 338 44699 43014 56 357 45 349 43 336 45 337 54 337 43014 41442 53 353 44 344 42 333 48 335 55 336 41442 39968 49 352 43 341 41 332 49 334 55 337 39968 38579 47 349 43 337 41 331 50 335 55 338 38579 37239 46 346 42 334 41 330 51 337 53 338 37239 35882 47 344 41 332 43 329 50 338 52 338 35882 34476 46 344 40 333 44 329 46 336 51 339 34476 33025 44 346 38 335 42 330 41 334 45 341 33025 31513 43 349 36 336 35 332 37 337 38 339 31513 29931 43 352 38 337 29 333 32 338 35 337 29931 28277 42 352 41 340 31 337 31 336 33 336 28277 26551 35 349 39 341 34 339 33 338 32 335 26551 24756 31 331 32 333 35 338 33 340 34 339 24756 22894 32 324 32 326 33 336 30 341 32 345 22894 20958 26 324 30 324 28 337 28 344 26 346 20958 18945 22 326 25 323 24 324 23 350 21 355 18945 16897 14 325 15 326 17 320 18 342 17 004 16897 14930 7 331 9 323 11 312 14 330 12 356 14930 13145 1 304 5 309 8 304 11 318 11 336 13145 11558 2 193 4 246 6 300 10 314 12 330 11558 10145 0 232 4 244 6 300 8 316 11 334 10145 8887 3 021 4 295 6 310 7 323 10 341 8887 7766 5 008 5 324 6 321 8 331 10 345 7766 6770 6 352 5 326 6 330 9 336 10 345 6770 5889 6 348 4 318 7 336 10 344 11 346 5889 5107 6 351 4 315 8*334 12 347 13 351 5107 4406 7 355 5 320 9*329 13*342 16 349 4406 3785 9 352 8*322 10 325 13*331 19 341 3785 3267 11 347 8*320 10 322 14 326 21 328 3267 2871 13 337 9 318 10 321 14 325 19 320 2871 2599 12 332 8 317 10 320 13 324 15 316 2599 2433 10 332 8 316 10 320 12 324 13*315 2433 2339 4*327 7 316 8 319 10 323 7*313 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography