DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 61.1 - - 67.6 - - 67.0 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 47 - - 152 - - 47 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1784 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3137 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2767 - - 4106 - - 3962 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 655 - - 1400 - - 1133 - - 625 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 126 - - 276 - - 187 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 042 - - 039 - - 030 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3781 - - -4892 - - -5207 - - -5058 - - -3659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6120 - - 7659 - - 9314 - - 9021 - - 5997 sfcLCL ODpotential -14384 - - -12652 - - -12745 - - -12340 - - -12034 ODpotential blCL 16722 - - 15419 - - 16851 - - 16302 - - 14372 blCL maxRH 30 - - 35 - - 38 - - 41 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 61.1 - - 67.6 - - 67.0 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 36.3 - - 35.5 - - 36.2 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 60.6 - - 66.6 - - 66.8 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 35.1 - - 34.3 - - 35.0 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 47 - - 152 - - 47 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1784 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96573 14 298 23 298 14 292 25 300 22 302 96573 89376 7 019 10 264 17 264 19 307 8 318 89376 83875 12 297 4 295 18 263 18 288 12 312 83875 79302 19 275 13 319 18 284 19 290 17 318 79302 75359 15 284 13 291 21 290 19 301 20 326 75359 71888 19 314 11 261 22 276 20 293 22 317 71888 68758 24 313 13 291 20 281 19 288 24 308 68758 65877 24 306 22 316 23 305 21 292 25 301 65877 63189 28 301 29 315 27 311 21 296 27 300 63189 60578 32 295 32 306 26 306 24 300 31 296 60578 57852 34 296 30 295 25 302 29 304 32 300 57852 55016 38 295 29 292 29 301 34 308 33 310 55016 52297 38 295 33 295 33 298 39 304 37 314 52297 49842 37 300 36 297 35 297 40 301 39 309 49842 47647 39 303 41 304 37 302 40 305 39 310 47647 45668 40 300 44 299 41 307 40 306 38 308 45668 43873 40 297 41 295 42 307 41 306 37 304 43873 42231 42 290 40 291 41 299 43 306 36 305 42231 40710 45 281 42 289 39 296 42 300 34 311 40710 39284 46 277 45 288 37 297 41 293 35 314 39284 37936 46 275 47 283 36 298 39 291 38 307 37936 36634 45 275 47 281 36 297 37 295 36 298 36634 35313 45 279 46 281 36 298 36 300 33 296 35313 33946 46 283 45 283 36 300 35 302 32 297 33946 32534 47 284 44 285 37 300 35 300 33 297 32534 31063 49 284 45 286 38 298 36 299 36 301 31063 29522 49 287 47 287 36 298 37 301 35 308 29522 27911 47 292 43 290 35 301 37 307 34 316 27911 26226 44 296 38 297 34 301 36 314 33 323 26226 24470 40 303 35 302 34 302 34 317 31 325 24470 22643 37 307 34 302 34 303 34 318 28 323 22643 20741 38 308 34 301 32 301 31 316 27 323 20741 18760 37 310 32 304 30 302 30 303 25 312 18760 16745 32 316 26 309 26 307 26 304 25 306 16745 14805 27 324 20 315 21 311 20 310 21 314 14805 13040 23 331 16 322 15 314 14 313 15 325 13040 11467 21 337 13 331 12 320 10 320 10 336 11467 10067 17 344 10 343 9 328 7 337 8 350 10067 8818 13 348 8 351 7 337 7 001 8 005 8818 7705 9 349 6 349 6 342 8 010 8 016 7705 6718 6 352 6 348 6 343 11 009 9 025 6718 5844 7 352 6 353 6 353 12 009 9 028 5844 5071 8 359 7 013 7 018 12 015 10 027 5071 4378 9 024 9 029 8*031 10*023 12 021 4378 3766 9 036 9 029 9*037 10*028 14 015 3766 3256 12 048 11 031 9 038 10 030 15 014 3256 2865 13 049 10*036 8 039 9 031 13 020 2865 2595 11 052 8*041 8 040 9 031 10 027 2595 2432 9*056 7 042 7 041 8 032 7 033 2432 2338 4*073 6 043 6 040 6 031 4*042 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography