DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 65.9 - - 61.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 366 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1701 - - 4130 - - 2876 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3262 - - 5170 - - 3747 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4023 - - 6452 - - 5197 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 878 - - 1094 - - 2617 - - 1173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 472 - - 292 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 228 - - 277 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - 17 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2610 - - -2330 - - -1034 - - -836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6633 - - 8782 - - 6231 - - 3175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8495 - - -7255 - - -1989 - - -4844 ODpotential blCL - - - 12518 - - 13707 - - 7186 - - 7182 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 48 - - 82 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.6 - - 65.9 - - 61.8 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 35.1 - - 42.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 63.7 - - 60.7 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 34.9 - - 42.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 366 - - 125 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1701 - - 4130 - - 2876 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97946 17 237 22 272 27 278 26 289 97946 90660 6 248 13 248 21 290 8 274 90660 85027 8 304 7 264 9 292 6 239 85027 80349 2 183 10 294 6 261 3 293 80349 76320 8 138 5 247 6 224 5 328 76320 72766 2 022 8 161 6 161 4 245 72766 69560 5 267 7 229 1 132 5 155 69560 66612 2 170 13 219 11 250 6 235 66612 63882 4 054 7 192 17 211 16 223 63882 61249 11 308 3 090 13 190 19 207 61249 58493 22 258 10 266 13 214 17 206 58493 55620 22 245 22 246 18 248 14 226 55620 52873 22 261 25 239 22 249 15 245 52873 50396 28 268 24 234 26 242 19 252 50396 48164 30 260 24 240 30 238 26 255 48164 46123 29 249 28 245 34 237 33 249 46123 44237 31 244 32 242 36 239 37 245 44237 42481 33 247 33 245 38 239 39 243 42481 40834 37 251 36 249 39 240 40 244 40834 39286 38 249 36 246 38 244 41 245 39286 37830 37 247 36 248 38 243 41 240 37830 36427 37 252 37 252 36 248 40 237 36427 35005 41 257 42 249 37 252 39 244 35005 33540 46 253 49 245 42 251 42 254 33540 32035 47 245 51 242 47 246 44 250 32035 30478 47 245 44 247 44 241 38 242 30478 28864 42 250 41 255 33 250 29 253 28864 27203 32 250 38 254 34 259 26 267 27203 25504 26 245 30 245 34 253 22 279 25504 23765 20 244 26 245 32 245 21 289 23765 21977 16 256 24 255 28 247 21 283 21977 20123 16 267 22 272 23 256 22 270 20123 18196 15 260 21 269 19 258 21 264 18196 16239 18 254 25 249 19 242 19 256 16239 14361 22 248 27 243 21 236 17 248 14361 12658 22 243 27 240 20 232 16 243 12658 11144 18 237 25 236 19 228 13 241 11144 9798 15 233 20 232 16 215 9 238 9798 8599 14 230 15 228 11 188 8 205 8599 7530 12 226 11 220 8 181 9 148 7530 6580 11 221 8*218 7 188 9 126 6580 5739 11 214 8*220 5*210 6 157 5739 4992 10 217 8 224 6*250 8 217 4992 4322 8*234 8 227 8 274 11 242 4322 3728 8*250 8 228 9 279 15 266 3728 3232 8 252 9 230 10 281 18 281 3232 2851 8 253 9 232 10 281 18 285 2851 2589 8 254 8 232 10 282 14 285 2589 2429 7 254 8 232 9 282 12*285 2429 2338 6 254 7 233 8 282 7*283 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography