DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 86.2 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 459 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2444 - - 5381 - - - - - 312 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3858 - - 6236 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4767 - - 7705 - - - - - 2635 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1065 - - 1088 - - - - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 386 - - 554 - - - - - 37 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 30 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 158 - - - - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 30 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4797 - - -3408 - - - - - -4343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9564 - - 11113 - - - - - 6978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10924 - - -8531 - - - - - -11754 ODpotential blCL - - - 15691 - - 16236 - - - - - 14389 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 60 - - - - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.6 - - 86.2 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 45.5 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 83.4 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 45.2 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 459 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2444 - - 5381 - - - - - 312 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99235 41 103 30 102 34 100 99235 91796 35 112 30 096 36 095 91796 86038 35 114 28 102 32 096 86038 81252 28 100 30 113 23 107 81252 77141 22 100 26 115 19 099 77141 73519 15 100 18 109 14 086 73519 70239 13 089 11 120 16 072 70239 67222 11 103 9 130 13 058 67222 64434 11 107 5 157 4 055 64434 61736 11 141 11 179 4 169 61736 58926 9 144 12 175 12 223 58926 56015 21 231 15 220 15 214 56015 53235 31 223 30 229 22 236 53235 50735 30 232 37 237 42 243 50735 48510 36 234 42 236 65 240 48510 46515 33 231 44 254 68 240 46515 44701 32 248 46 248 63 243 44701 43037 38 258 42 245 59 246 43037 41494 37 253 45 250 56 248 41494 40040 31 244 41 245 52 248 40040 38663 28 238 37 245 48 246 38663 37326 27 235 35 243 46 241 37326 35965 27 231 34 238 44 234 35965 34552 27 231 32 235 44 228 34552 33092 24 235 29 235 44 225 33092 31573 22 234 26 233 43 225 31573 29984 22 230 24 229 40 223 29984 28327 25 232 26 230 37 221 28327 26600 26 231 27 228 34 221 26600 24805 24 229 26 223 32 226 24805 22944 22 229 24 221 27 231 22944 21011 19 230 21 216 20 225 21011 19003 19 224 19 210 17 202 19003 16961 20 216 17 207 15 194 16961 14995 19 207 16 200 12 192 14995 13204 18 198 17 192 12 194 13204 11609 16 194 20 189 15 195 11609 10190 14 184 20 188 18 192 10190 8927 13 169 18 183 22 186 8927 7803 13 160 10*172 18 174 7803 6805 13 157 6*167 11 161 6805 5921 11 155 5 165 7 154 5921 5137 6*137 4 160 5 138 5137 4431 4*099 3 156 4 115 4431 3805 3 080 2 148 3 054 3805 3282 2 064 2 143 6 354 3282 2880 2 055 2 138 8*337 2880 2604 2 049 2 133 9*333 2604 2436 2 044 1 134 8 331 2436 2339 2 044 1 134 5 329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography