DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 57.0 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 160 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1485 - - 2295 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2860 - - 3502 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3806 - - 4617 - - - - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2108 - - 1969 - - - - - 2712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 301 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 205 - - - - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1109 - - 1423 - - - - - -540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2697 - - 3194 - - - - - 2877 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 416 - - 563 - - - - - -1396 ODpotential blCL - - - 3390 - - 4054 - - - - - 3733 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 94 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 730 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 57.0 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 50.8 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 55.9 - - - - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 49.9 - - - - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 160 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1485 - - 2295 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 74 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97306 47 278 53 273 60 288 97306 89859 41 278 38 275 42 284 89859 84210 32 271 27 280 23 289 84210 79581 20 269 28 282 18 287 79581 75600 20 277 21 279 20 283 75600 72070 22 275 16 277 23 275 72070 68849 16 266 17 277 19 268 68849 65862 10 260 18 271 16 270 65862 63074 13 263 17 267 18 263 63074 60364 18 255 21 261 18 263 60364 57529 21 252 22 258 22 265 57529 54581 22 244 19 256 23 267 54581 51767 21 241 18 264 26 267 51767 49238 19 246 18 269 25 262 49238 46966 17 249 18 263 19 258 46966 44894 22 247 21 253 16 266 44894 42988 29 236 26 249 19 279 42988 41226 33 229 29 246 25 274 41226 39594 34 227 33 242 29 267 39594 38079 36 227 37 238 34 261 38079 36672 41 225 40 233 38 255 36672 35332 47 225 43 227 39 255 35332 33992 54 226 43 226 39 256 33992 32623 63 226 49 228 38 252 32623 31233 68 224 53 230 39 239 31233 29808 68 222 58 231 43 230 29808 28329 64 222 53 231 44 229 28329 26786 58 222 48 235 42 232 26786 25176 53 222 47 236 39 235 25176 23499 47 219 46 235 36 237 23499 21757 43 218 45 230 33 237 21757 19947 41 220 43 224 31 236 19947 18062 38 222 40 220 29 236 18062 16140 33 220 37 221 28 238 16140 14286 26 215 31 220 24 238 14286 12598 24 215 26 214 20 234 12598 11098 23 211 23 211 17 231 11098 9761 21 209 22 211 18 230 9761 8569 20 210 22 209 20 230 8569 7506 18 211 21 206 22 229 7506 6560 17 213 20 206 23 228 6560 5724 16 214 19 207 24 226 5724 4983 15 213 18*206 23 223 4983 4318 15*212 18*205 23 220 4318 3727 14*212 17 205 23 218 3727 3233 13 211 17 205 22 217 3233 2852 13 211 16 205 21 217 2852 2589 12 211 15 204 18 217 2589 2429 11 212 13 204 16 217 2429 2337 8 212 10 204 9*219 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography