DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.9 - - 75.3 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 443 - - 245 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2347 - - 3656 - - 2409 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3771 - - 4868 - - 3732 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4669 - - 5979 - - 4732 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1044 - - 1215 - - 1533 - - 910 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 375 - - 484 - - 346 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 345 - - 336 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5854 - - -4639 - - -4326 - - -3906 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10523 - - 10619 - - 9059 - - 6245 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12868 - - -10375 - - -9913 - - -11216 ODpotential blCL - - - 17537 - - 16354 - - 14645 - - 13554 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 34 - - 41 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.9 - - 75.3 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 39.5 - - 43.8 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 75.3 - - 73.6 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 38.6 - - 43.3 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 443 - - 245 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2347 - - 3656 - - 2409 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98143 4 154 2 358 5 217 5 251 98143 90672 7 177 5 221 1 253 3 360 90672 84945 6 148 11 218 4 321 4 041 84945 80211 6 082 10 212 3 302 3 031 80211 76136 5 063 5 139 1 212 4 340 76136 72551 4 347 5 042 1 017 6 349 72551 69327 5 278 6 343 5 355 5 027 69327 66367 6 269 7 269 11 317 8 352 66367 63620 9 270 9 242 14 294 13 312 63620 60949 8 280 13 246 17 270 18 290 60949 58155 8 274 11 252 17 260 21 270 58155 55273 9 288 7 272 12 267 15 257 55273 52544 8 300 5 305 7 272 9 254 52544 50103 5 329 8 299 12 296 13 286 50103 47918 6 320 9 277 14 272 18 273 47918 45921 4 338 7 307 13 294 19 278 45921 44085 13 349 17 333 21 309 23 305 44085 42408 18 344 18 333 20 315 24 316 42408 40866 17 331 14 323 17 319 20 318 40866 39429 9 322 9 316 15 312 17 311 39429 38074 10 052 9 332 14 303 15 307 38074 36764 17 042 11 339 15 308 15 313 36764 35432 17 033 14 335 18 321 16 319 35432 34050 15 030 16 332 21 328 18 317 34050 32624 13 019 18 330 22 322 20 315 32624 31138 13 011 17 327 23 315 23 317 31138 29580 13 000 15 320 23 309 23 319 29580 27951 12 359 15 322 20 313 23 323 27951 26251 6 017 13 323 18 325 21 329 26251 24484 3 344 12 318 15 332 20 338 24484 22651 9 335 11 320 15 333 17 343 22651 20747 13 342 11 318 13 327 15 340 20747 18770 12 349 11 319 12 319 13 335 18770 16758 8 355 8 322 10 311 12 329 16758 14820 5 349 7 326 8 314 12 331 14820 13054 6 002 8 337 8 335 12 337 13054 11482 8 017 8 352 8 353 12 346 11482 10083 9 023 6 013 8 355 11 358 10083 8835 7 019 5 021 8 347 11 360 8835 7723 8 008 6 013 10 345 13 350 7723 6736 11 359 6*010 10 355 13 347 6736 5863 11 358 6*005 9 002 12 353 5863 5090 9*002 7 356 9*356 11 357 5090 4395 8*000 8 347 10*348 11 354 4395 3779 7 356 9 342 10 338 13 342 3779 3265 7 353 10 340 11 334 14 326 3265 2870 7 350 10 338 11 333 13 317 2870 2598 6 348 10 337 10 332 12 315 2598 2433 6 347 9 337 10 331 10 313 2433 2338 5 346 8 336 8 330 6*311 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography