DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 51.7 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 9 - - 67 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 487 - - 1845 - - 941 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2808 - - 4167 - - 3263 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2097 - - 2728 - - 3163 - - 3255 - - 1353 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 71 - - 214 - - 84 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 241 - - 201 - - 109 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 7 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 471 - - 1018 - - 569 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2338 - - 2338 - - 3149 - - 2695 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -371 - - 63 - - 40 - - -359 - - -1509 ODpotential blCL 2709 - - 2745 - - 4127 - - 3622 - - 3847 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 40 - - 100 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 51.7 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 50.2 - - 49.2 - - 50.2 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 51.6 - - 54.4 - - 54.1 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 50.0 - - 48.2 - - 49.6 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 9 - - 67 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 487 - - 1845 - - 941 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 61 - - 85 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96368 15 307 16 306 20 295 22 320 16 296 96368 89388 3 348 4 078 10 349 5 325 17 027 89388 83962 9 054 7 052 4 024 7 044 10 037 83962 79423 9 054 9 018 6 084 5 354 7 022 79423 75493 10 076 4 334 5 055 2 014 5 039 75493 72016 7 039 4 115 5 319 4 079 7 042 72016 68863 6 329 9 066 4 211 4 033 1 359 68863 65968 4 080 10 061 4 163 5 331 3 105 65968 63279 7 286 4 296 7 208 6 269 5 256 63279 60676 11 192 11 219 14 203 18 204 12 210 60676 57950 16 230 8 228 10 217 19 191 11 207 57950 55078 34 227 29 227 23 227 25 207 26 199 55078 52309 40 225 38 215 31 218 28 210 31 194 52309 49808 45 223 39 215 31 213 28 213 27 202 49808 47557 45 219 42 216 32 218 35 208 31 207 47557 45506 42 219 45 210 40 219 38 201 37 198 45506 43626 44 224 45 210 43 215 37 206 38 199 43626 41889 57 227 46 211 46 217 41 212 43 207 41889 40274 77 219 52 214 54 215 51 212 57 209 40274 38765 93 217 63 217 63 214 64 213 71 206 38765 37359 105 216 77 217 75 215 81 213 84 204 37359 36019 108 211 90 217 89 215 99 212 104 203 36019 34674 110 210 103 216 102 214 112 208 121 200 34674 33285 112 210 116 214 111 215 117 208 125 199 33285 31853 112 208 120 213 112 216 113 210 121 201 31853 30367 110 208 119 212 105 215 105 212 107 202 30367 28821 108 208 114 213 96 211 92 212 94 202 28821 27217 104 208 105 209 92 208 83 206 85 201 27217 25554 101 210 98 206 89 209 78 204 75 202 25554 23831 91 210 87 210 82 212 74 207 68 200 23831 22048 75 206 76 213 69 208 67 208 64 197 22048 20196 68 200 74 212 58 198 61 206 60 196 20196 18270 64 195 69 209 53 202 55 205 49 197 18270 16314 63 189 63 203 51 204 46 198 32 191 16314 14435 60 182 56 196 49 199 39 189 39 167 14435 12724 55 180 56 188 46 193 49 182 44 158 12724 11196 57 185 54 183 42 190 52 186 40 154 11196 9837 52 195 46 181 32 193 40 188 36 161 9837 8628 42 205 33 191 22 200 30 183 30 172 8628 7554 32 213 23 208 15 201 22 182 23 180 7554 6599 26 218 17 222 11 193 14 179 16 180 6599 5756 21 221 12 226 10 186 9 165 10 171 5756 5007 17 224 9 216 10 186 8 158 7 145 5007 4335 10 237 9 210 9*187 7 146 5 121 4335 3739 7 272 8 209 8*193 6*129 4 111 3739 3240 8 288 7 214 7 200 6*113 3 100 3240 2856 7 288 5*227 7 202 6 109 3 082 2856 2591 6 282 4*239 7 204 6 107 4 071 2591 2430 5*275 3 240 6 205 5 107 4*066 2430 2338 3*274 3 244 5 205 4 106 3*065 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography