DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 93.9 - - 91.8 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 419 - - 215 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2889 - - 6338 - - 2659 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4141 - - 6964 - - 3862 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5213 - - 8662 - - 4983 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2059 - - 1930 - - 5274 - - 757 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 387 - - 568 - - 341 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 19 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 206 - - 343 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 34 - - 37 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8511 - - -4919 - - -7600 - - -7141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13724 - - 13582 - - 12584 - - 9480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12687 - - -8051 - - -11035 - - -13289 ODpotential blCL - - - 17900 - - 16713 - - 16018 - - 15628 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 69 - - 84 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 93.9 - - 91.8 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 42.1 - - 44.6 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 91.2 - - 90.1 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 41.7 - - 44.3 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 419 - - 215 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2889 - - 6338 - - 2659 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99153 32 116 14 111 24 124 6 082 99153 91723 24 115 20 125 19 100 21 088 91723 85992 18 115 19 120 19 084 24 098 85992 81218 17 098 20 104 18 096 18 110 81218 77087 19 092 18 097 15 098 13 103 77087 73437 16 104 16 098 10 104 13 088 73437 70139 14 108 13 115 10 112 9 088 70139 67122 10 131 12 125 10 136 8 142 67122 64338 10 136 10 154 7 145 8 139 64338 61636 2 163 15 178 7 221 10 159 61636 58824 13 212 22 191 18 220 12 219 58824 55921 17 205 24 196 30 214 25 222 55921 53147 24 216 31 213 36 215 33 216 53147 50640 36 221 40 220 42 220 40 222 50640 48387 40 222 46 220 50 219 46 225 48387 46351 44 223 53 214 55 216 50 224 46351 44502 47 221 53 209 56 214 53 222 44502 42811 47 223 51 213 56 209 56 219 42811 41252 48 230 49 221 54 207 58 212 41252 39799 49 230 47 221 53 210 55 209 39799 38429 48 228 47 215 51 215 48 213 38429 37103 46 226 45 216 47 217 44 210 37103 35757 43 225 43 220 42 216 44 206 35757 34362 41 224 41 225 37 213 40 206 34362 32923 36 226 40 228 33 209 36 208 32923 31425 31 228 32 225 30 205 33 210 31425 29857 27 223 26 216 28 204 30 213 29857 28222 23 216 25 208 27 208 26 214 28222 26518 25 214 27 211 24 210 22 208 26518 24749 27 215 28 212 23 208 20 200 24749 22915 28 217 27 213 23 207 21 198 22915 21011 27 216 26 215 24 211 23 198 21011 19028 27 214 26 213 28 215 24 200 19028 17004 26 212 26 210 29 217 24 204 17004 15049 23 211 25 210 28 216 24 207 15049 13264 20 207 23 210 25 212 23 210 13264 11672 16 202 20 206 21 201 22 210 11672 10252 14 198 18 199 16 183 20 203 10252 8985 12 194 13*194 13 171 18 189 8985 7854 11 193 8*194 10 168 15 182 7854 6848 11 195 7 198 8 165 12 184 6848 5957 10*198 6 202 5 163 9 179 5957 5164 8*200 6 208 2*157 6 159 5164 4452 6 200 5 212 1*016 4 124 4452 3820 5 203 5 216 4 344 4 068 3820 3291 5 204 4 219 5 343 5 010 3291 2885 4 206 4 221 5 342 8 344 2885 2606 4 206 4 221 5 342 9 338 2606 2437 4 206 4 222 5 340 8 336 2437 2339 3 206 3 223 5 339 5*334 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography