DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 91.4 - - 88.8 - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 460 - - 291 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1781 - - 3349 - - 1909 - - 330 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3368 - - 4636 - - 3420 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4105 - - 5672 - - 4233 - - 2652 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 867 - - 1174 - - 2126 - - 423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 347 - - 474 - - 338 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 28 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 012 - - 328 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 18 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8916 - - -7865 - - -7833 - - -6112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13021 - - 13537 - - 12066 - - 8765 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16338 - - -13215 - - -13239 - - -14150 ODpotential blCL - - - 20443 - - 18887 - - 17472 - - 16802 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 47 - - 50 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 91.4 - - 88.8 - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 40.3 - - 44.3 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 88.6 - - 86.8 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 460 - - 291 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1781 - - 3349 - - 1909 - - 330 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99231 41 115 34 110 34 101 39 088 99231 91757 35 103 32 106 33 099 34 094 91757 86031 27 100 32 100 33 107 29 103 86031 81275 29 107 26 106 30 097 26 104 81275 77160 25 107 25 107 25 101 24 102 77160 73515 25 109 22 106 23 103 24 104 73515 70229 24 107 18 116 16 120 17 102 70229 67231 16 115 13 124 12 112 14 107 67231 64472 14 131 15 138 8 129 13 098 64472 61814 15 147 14 151 11 151 11 133 61814 59058 18 163 20 173 14 176 10 181 59058 56221 16 184 21 182 24 199 24 209 56221 53536 24 214 28 205 31 208 31 210 53536 51127 39 217 38 212 42 215 37 214 51127 48963 49 213 48 218 52 215 47 219 48963 46992 52 212 54 214 64 210 60 216 46992 45173 59 211 63 211 69 209 66 214 45173 43479 64 211 70 211 68 210 67 212 43479 41886 66 212 66 213 66 212 64 211 41886 40383 59 213 61 214 61 214 58 210 40383 38965 47 209 53 209 58 213 54 211 38965 37596 44 208 50 203 51 209 55 211 37596 36209 44 209 46 203 49 209 52 209 36209 34773 42 210 41 210 45 214 47 219 34773 33293 38 215 37 216 38 215 41 220 33293 31757 34 214 34 215 36 214 38 213 31757 30155 31 213 30 213 34 212 35 210 30155 28488 30 210 30 211 32 213 34 206 28488 26751 29 211 31 213 30 215 33 210 26751 24946 27 217 30 219 27 220 30 215 24946 23076 22 215 25 217 25 220 26 213 23076 21139 19 206 21 207 24 214 24 204 21139 19128 18 204 21 202 24 208 23 196 19128 17081 19 209 21 200 23 204 21 196 17081 15108 20 205 20 199 21 204 17 198 15108 13307 21 203 19 201 19 206 14 194 13307 11701 22 202 17 202 16 200 13 192 11701 10268 21 197 14 195 15 190 15 196 10268 8988 17 191 13 188 17 190 17 201 8988 7849 12 186 11 186 14 184 17 202 7849 6837 7 185 6 174 8 164 15 197 6837 5943 4 198 3*131 6 150 8 184 5943 5150 2 219 3*109 3 134 4 159 5150 4439 1*049 2 047 2*351 2 105 4439 3808 3*020 3 007 7*331 3 012 3808 3282 4 008 4 002 8 329 10 336 3282 2879 4 005 4 359 9 328 12*330 2879 2603 4 004 5 356 9 326 12*330 2603 2435 4 003 5 356 8 326 10 329 2435 2339 4 002 4 356 7 326 7 329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography