DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 52.9 - - 49.7 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 168 - - 56 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1023 - - 2749 - - 2249 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3836 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3344 - - 5070 - - 4571 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 936 - - 1200 - - 1124 - - 1603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 322 - - 211 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 215 - - 200 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -10 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -490 - - 1227 - - 1223 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3834 - - 3843 - - 3348 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5346 - - 188 - - 526 - - -1523 ODpotential blCL - - - 8690 - - 4882 - - 4045 - - 3860 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 93 - - 96 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 52.9 - - 49.7 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 44.2 - - 43.2 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 51.8 - - 49.3 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 43.3 - - 42.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 168 - - 56 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1023 - - 2749 - - 2249 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 71 - - 85 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96541 22 090 32 094 34 101 27 109 96541 89423 20 105 20 104 23 103 18 099 89423 83930 17 105 11 120 12 103 15 090 83930 79338 10 115 9 126 12 119 10 090 79338 75347 9 159 3 112 8 113 4 098 75347 71803 11 166 6 243 1 139 1 233 71803 68581 10 187 11 201 7 237 2 349 68581 65592 11 246 13 225 13 235 4 282 65592 62815 21 240 23 239 23 234 16 254 62815 60140 25 242 25 244 28 232 20 237 60140 57351 36 247 32 246 30 241 28 234 57351 54454 45 256 40 248 40 243 38 237 54454 51685 57 263 50 252 51 244 52 245 51685 49191 68 261 64 255 63 249 66 246 49191 46954 77 258 76 253 77 251 79 246 46954 44925 81 259 82 256 84 252 90 248 44925 43069 89 259 93 258 93 253 98 247 43069 41362 92 257 99 253 101 249 102 244 41362 39790 92 258 101 254 102 246 105 242 39790 38345 89 260 98 253 100 244 101 236 38345 37006 84 259 86 250 92 242 95 236 37006 35716 81 256 83 255 88 246 91 239 35716 34404 78 254 84 258 90 248 92 240 34404 33044 77 255 80 254 89 249 92 240 33044 31640 76 256 76 249 89 248 90 239 31640 30181 76 254 75 246 90 245 90 238 30181 28654 76 247 75 245 87 243 90 237 28654 27062 76 244 73 245 80 240 84 234 27062 25408 76 242 72 243 75 238 75 231 25408 23694 71 241 71 240 70 236 67 231 23694 21920 64 240 67 239 64 236 62 234 21920 20077 57 236 59 237 58 237 58 234 20077 18158 50 231 51 232 50 236 54 232 18158 16202 41 227 47 227 42 232 48 228 16202 14320 30 220 39 214 35 226 40 221 14320 12611 25 205 32 196 31 215 33 213 12611 11095 23 195 30 185 30 205 30 208 11095 9749 21 191 27 180 31 199 31 206 9749 8552 19 193 25 186 31 199 33 205 8552 7488 19 199 22 197 31 202 35 201 7488 6542 20 203 19 209 30 203 37 197 6542 5707 20 204 18*217 26 201 37 197 5707 4967 20 206 18*218 23*199 37 200 4967 4304 19 209 18 217 21*199 34 204 4304 3716 18*209 17 215 21 200 29 208 3716 3225 16*207 17 213 19 201 24 209 3225 2847 15 206 16 213 18 201 20 207 2847 2587 14 206 15 213 17 202 16 207 2587 2428 12 207 14 212 15 202 13*207 2428 2337 8 207 10 212 10 202 6*206 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography