DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.9 - - 73.3 - - 79.9 - - 78.2 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 306 - - 412 - - 189 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1653 - - 3288 - - 2475 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3247 - - 4556 - - 3675 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3976 - - 5611 - - 4798 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 1226 - - 1419 - - 1495 - - 719 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 327 - - 454 - - 319 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 328 - - 343 - - 340 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 3 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2905 - - -5421 - - -5287 - - -3976 - - -1882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5244 - - 9398 - - 10899 - - 8774 - - 4221 sfcLCL ODpotential -13203 - - -13335 - - -12310 - - -10298 - - -10018 ODpotential blCL 15541 - - 17311 - - 17921 - - 15096 - - 12357 blCL maxRH 51 - - 37 - - 39 - - 44 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.9 - - 73.3 - - 79.9 - - 78.2 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 40.5 - - 40.2 - - 47.8 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.7 - - 71.3 - - 77.4 - - 76.6 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.2 - - 40.2 - - 40.0 - - 47.7 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 306 - - 412 - - 189 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1653 - - 3288 - - 2475 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98187 19 064 11 103 13 127 10 122 3 007 98187 90871 11 093 15 083 11 109 11 113 10 085 90871 85207 13 100 16 084 12 097 10 101 16 071 85207 80495 13 097 15 096 11 113 10 085 15 062 80495 76452 14 100 12 092 12 108 11 091 10 078 76452 72883 12 080 12 087 9 102 9 082 10 071 72883 69654 9 071 9 067 8 086 10 078 10 061 69654 66688 9 070 6 078 6 060 11 074 7 058 66688 63940 7 043 5 097 1 075 5 046 3 047 63940 61287 4 001 4 099 3 173 3 273 6 357 61287 58538 11 320 5 287 7 281 7 278 9 312 58538 55703 14 281 12 299 15 295 15 300 13 304 55703 53009 18 310 22 293 23 298 23 306 21 307 53009 50585 31 293 25 277 26 285 27 297 26 314 50585 48406 26 283 25 294 27 294 33 306 36 318 48406 46422 33 303 33 298 34 295 38 303 38 313 46422 44594 38 293 35 289 35 289 40 296 33 309 44594 42897 39 287 34 288 38 288 40 292 31 312 42897 41316 41 289 38 294 39 288 39 292 32 311 41316 39842 42 288 41 298 39 294 37 296 30 306 39842 38456 40 287 43 302 38 296 34 297 23 312 38456 37118 39 298 43 304 36 300 33 302 22 341 37118 35759 38 301 42 307 36 303 33 304 26 330 35759 34352 36 303 40 307 38 306 34 304 29 318 34352 32898 35 306 37 310 39 308 36 311 35 319 32898 31387 38 304 34 313 37 311 36 319 39 326 31387 29807 39 302 34 311 35 314 34 323 37 328 29807 28162 33 295 36 313 33 318 31 328 31 328 28162 26450 26 287 35 318 31 322 28 331 24 330 26450 24669 24 286 24 320 27 321 23 329 18 320 24669 22824 21 299 17 306 18 314 20 320 17 303 22824 20908 18 313 17 311 15 301 17 307 18 302 20908 18915 14 312 9 318 12 304 16 305 15 312 18915 16883 13 310 9 290 10 291 12 312 12 322 16883 14926 10 314 11 292 11 283 9 314 10 332 14926 13142 7 318 10 294 11 290 9 310 8 336 13142 11554 6 324 10 296 10 301 8 311 7 321 11554 10144 7 323 10 299 9 313 6 324 5 305 10144 8888 7 316 10 301 8 326 6 337 3 295 8888 7767 7 306 9 300 7 336 5 341 3 290 7767 6772 7 301 8 297 5 350 3 003 4 283 6772 5892 6 305 6 293 5*352 4 012 2 276 5892 5113 5 313 4 298 5*348 5*002 2 030 5113 4413 6 324 4*321 6 347 7*348 5 032 4413 3793 7 334 5*327 7 344 9 341 8 010 3793 3273 10 332 6 329 7 342 9 339 12 343 3273 2875 13 329 6 328 8 340 9 337 13 327 2875 2601 13 327 6 327 8 340 9 337 11 323 2601 2434 10*328 6 327 7 339 9 336 9*322 2434 2339 3*322 5 326 7 339 8 335 5*319 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography