DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 82.0 - - 74.0 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 336 - - 82 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1410 - - 4260 - - 704 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2925 - - 5239 - - 2323 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3732 - - 6583 - - 3027 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1676 - - 1697 - - 1104 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 463 - - 159 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 49 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 311 - - 336 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 18 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6947 - - -4639 - - -5080 - - -3072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10680 - - 11223 - - 8107 - - 5411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13348 - - -8807 - - -9787 - - -10090 ODpotential blCL - - - 17080 - - 15390 - - 12814 - - 12429 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 94 - - 88 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 82.0 - - 74.0 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 40.7 - - 46.7 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 79.8 - - 73.2 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 40.4 - - 46.5 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 336 - - 82 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1410 - - 4260 - - 704 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 76 - - 50 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98352 17 082 11 090 6 100 9 066 98352 91038 18 081 20 099 10 070 17 053 91038 85399 14 084 19 086 16 077 17 052 85399 80718 11 070 14 073 22 077 17 073 80718 76673 9 071 9 063 14 070 20 071 76673 73087 4 091 7 041 10 062 14 052 73087 69834 4 147 1 058 7 047 10 054 69834 66846 5 129 2 138 2 070 6 034 66846 64076 3 175 1 298 2 269 5 017 64076 61394 2 273 2 285 4 210 8 260 61394 58603 8 257 12 274 8 279 11 248 58603 55709 18 246 22 250 19 272 17 277 55709 52944 17 254 25 243 26 263 25 266 52944 50455 20 262 23 238 28 251 24 250 50455 48220 23 257 21 251 28 247 21 242 48220 46183 30 259 29 247 26 241 21 244 46183 44310 39 247 38 237 33 239 33 244 44310 42579 52 239 46 239 47 238 46 235 42579 40970 54 236 57 231 56 232 54 224 40970 39466 55 233 58 227 63 227 59 219 39466 38054 56 229 59 223 66 223 60 215 38054 36696 50 227 57 218 65 220 60 212 36696 35327 41 223 55 215 58 215 59 210 35327 33919 31 211 50 211 47 209 53 207 33919 32477 29 205 44 208 39 204 46 201 32477 30985 31 210 41 203 39 203 41 191 30985 29428 30 211 41 198 39 203 42 185 29428 27805 29 209 40 199 40 201 43 182 27805 26114 33 205 36 199 41 198 43 181 26114 24359 32 200 35 191 41 191 42 189 24359 22541 29 197 41 185 39 179 36 199 22541 20657 23 196 36 177 33 168 24 205 20657 18701 15 195 27 167 25 157 16 196 18701 16712 12 192 21 166 14 156 28 171 16712 14796 13 189 16 177 5 170 27 152 14796 13048 16 187 16 189 6 200 18 148 13048 11486 18 183 16 192 9 203 12 145 11486 10092 17 183 15 191 13 198 9 135 10092 8848 15 184 13 190 15 190 9 143 8848 7737 12 187 9 191 14 179 9 145 7737 6749 8 195 3*184 11 166 9 133 6749 5874 5 211 2*184 7 157 7 121 5874 5099 4 231 1 211 5 159 5 117 5099 4402 4 242 1 305 2 169 3 091 4402 3783 4*250 2 317 2 312 2 038 3783 3266 4*261 3 320 6*336 7 329 3266 2869 4 266 3 324 8*336 12 323 2869 2598 4 269 4 321 8 336 11 325 2598 2433 4 269 4 322 7 336 9*328 2433 2339 3 270 3 323 6 336 5*329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography