DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 64.9 - - 59.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 49 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 347 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2669 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 250 - - 594 - - 501 - - 104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 111 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 101 - - 151 - - 080 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2849 - - -3264 - - -1904 - - -4019 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5188 - - 5933 - - 4242 - - 6357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10155 - - -8356 - - -8051 - - -12388 ODpotential blCL - - - 12493 - - 11025 - - 10389 - - 14726 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 84 - - 83 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 64.9 - - 59.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 47.4 - - 49.4 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 64.4 - - 61.1 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 46.3 - - 48.5 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 49 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 347 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 35 - - 32 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96330 17 034 26 062 23 114 10 133 96330 89275 13 037 13 051 13 081 14 072 89275 83796 5 036 7 019 10 035 11 039 83796 79233 5 064 6 319 11 354 15 006 79233 75296 4 018 6 321 10 356 15 356 75296 71809 5 329 9 311 8 343 15 350 71809 68643 7 333 13 309 11 321 16 333 68643 65730 10 335 14 308 14 310 18 316 65730 63022 15 320 16 308 15 305 15 295 63022 60395 20 308 19 296 21 290 18 278 60395 57645 22 301 21 289 27 292 24 288 57645 54783 35 289 36 281 43 289 37 292 54783 52048 41 276 45 268 52 281 43 288 52048 49582 41 277 48 255 51 273 48 284 49582 47367 42 275 45 257 51 271 48 281 47367 45358 43 274 45 266 48 274 47 279 45358 43523 46 271 44 269 45 277 40 281 43523 41845 40 262 37 271 40 276 38 282 41845 40299 25 257 34 264 35 270 35 280 40299 38860 25 268 27 262 34 261 32 281 38860 37510 27 258 25 279 28 264 28 288 37510 36210 31 243 25 272 26 271 27 289 36210 34896 34 228 28 248 25 268 29 283 34896 33538 31 238 30 247 27 266 29 278 33538 32137 28 252 29 252 29 266 27 275 32137 30678 25 255 26 263 28 268 24 279 30678 29149 22 255 23 269 26 278 22 286 29149 27553 21 260 21 279 23 283 20 290 27553 25890 21 266 18 289 18 287 21 284 25890 24163 16 268 12 291 13 285 19 272 24163 22374 13 281 10 298 13 293 15 278 22374 20521 12 288 9 296 15 303 16 298 20521 18594 9 331 10 316 14 309 16 300 18594 16625 9 352 10 328 13 310 14 294 16625 14720 8 004 6 336 11 307 13 294 14720 12979 8 012 5 341 10 308 12 296 12979 11424 8 018 5 350 9 316 11 307 11424 10036 8 025 5 004 8 327 11 317 10036 8797 9 034 6 020 7 339 10 327 8797 7693 10 041 7 033 5 353 8 339 7693 6710 11 046 8 035 5 008 7 350 6710 5841 10 053 7 034 6 016 7 359 5841 5070 8 057 5 034 6 011 8 001 5070 4379 6 047 3 043 5 359 9 358 4379 3767 5 009 1 055 4 344 10 357 3767 3256 3 358 2 178 2 321 9 357 3256 2864 1 102 3*170 0 168 6 013 2864 2594 4 114 3*153 2 083 4 040 2594 2431 4*103 2 152 2 080 4*069 2431 2338 3*101 2 148 2*080 2*080 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography