DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 60.8 - - 67.8 - - 65.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 123 - - 261 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1013 - - 3231 - - 2540 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 4358 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3335 - - 5554 - - 4862 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 293 - - 892 - - 1242 - - 2212 - - 1542 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 208 - - 388 - - 210 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 23 - - 32 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 350 - - 292 - - 002 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 12 - - 24 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2739 - - -4353 - - -4029 - - -3308 - - -3024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5077 - - 7689 - - 9584 - - 8171 - - 5362 sfcLCL ODpotential -14061 - - -12647 - - -10639 - - -10187 - - -12339 ODpotential blCL 16398 - - 15982 - - 16193 - - 15049 - - 14677 blCL maxRH 43 - - 41 - - 42 - - 59 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 60.8 - - 67.8 - - 65.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 35.5 - - 34.0 - - 38.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 59.9 - - 66.2 - - 65.2 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 34.6 - - 33.6 - - 38.1 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 123 - - 261 - - 52 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1013 - - 3231 - - 2540 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97411 9 301 14 301 10 300 7 265 17 281 97411 90106 10 016 7 007 7 302 4 296 6 320 90106 84497 14 019 13 022 5 291 9 337 9 041 84497 79876 10 026 11 347 8 329 10 006 10 037 79876 75919 11 335 13 350 5 315 8 357 7 023 75919 72417 6 266 12 300 7 286 8 303 4 300 72417 69223 2 263 6 287 6 230 6 261 8 244 69223 66269 9 266 10 275 4 262 9 268 8 266 66269 63518 5 242 15 252 13 274 13 256 9 266 63518 60837 2 224 11 224 11 255 14 266 13 274 60837 58033 11 294 9 231 11 262 19 263 20 267 58033 55132 18 299 7 267 12 253 17 245 21 259 55132 52369 22 289 16 294 12 265 16 244 18 257 52369 49875 28 296 25 295 19 286 17 264 20 262 49875 47624 36 303 28 304 27 289 22 278 22 265 47624 45577 39 310 31 310 25 290 26 279 22 277 45577 43722 40 319 31 317 23 298 25 288 25 292 43722 42041 38 329 30 328 20 314 21 302 22 298 42041 40496 34 340 28 342 19 339 19 338 17 308 40496 39052 37 359 29 354 25 349 24 353 15 333 39052 37695 45 009 33 004 30 352 29 352 19 344 37695 36388 52 007 39 004 35 353 31 349 23 346 36388 35064 55 004 43 006 37 355 32 349 26 344 35064 33696 52 007 41 008 36 356 31 353 28 340 33696 32285 49 012 37 007 31 352 30 357 27 340 32285 30817 47 014 35 008 27 350 27 357 24 343 30817 29280 46 013 36 008 26 356 27 357 22 346 29280 27672 46 012 39 007 26 003 27 001 21 351 27672 25994 47 010 40 008 28 008 28 006 20 357 25994 24249 48 014 40 007 30 013 27 009 20 002 24249 22439 46 021 37 010 30 016 27 011 20 001 22439 20557 42 025 34 020 29 017 27 013 21 000 20557 18599 39 024 31 024 27 016 26 012 20 006 18599 16602 37 024 29 022 25 017 26 012 21 014 16602 14675 36 026 28 025 23 019 23 014 19 014 14675 12918 35 029 27 033 22 020 21 016 18 011 12918 11352 29 030 22 042 20 023 19 019 16 017 11352 9960 21 025 15 043 15 026 15 023 12 025 9960 8723 15 016 11 036 9 024 9 025 7 027 8723 7626 9 011 8 032 4 357 3 289 4 008 7626 6655 5 015 4 026 3 282 3 259 2 308 6655 5798 4 024 2 006 3*287 3 270 3 209 5798 5039 4 021 2 326 3*291 3*283 2 176 5039 4359 5 004 3 310 3 292 2*305 2 099 4359 3755 8 001 3*319 3 293 1 352 4 089 3755 3251 10 358 2*344 3 292 1 011 6 078 3251 2862 10 352 2 348 3 293 1 018 6 070 2862 2594 9 344 1 352 3 292 1 023 6 066 2594 2431 7 344 1 355 3 291 1 027 5 054 2431 2338 2*347 1 358 2 293 1 024 3*040 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography