DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 59.5 - - 63.2 - - 62.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 14 - - 51 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 404 - - 1513 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2726 - - 3835 - - 3778 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 373 - - 1077 - - 1672 - - 1777 - - 1589 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 90 - - 197 - - 112 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 244 - - 228 - - 194 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 2 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -774 - - -1787 - - -1013 - - -287 - - -40 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3113 - - 4513 - - 4848 - - 4065 - - 2378 sfcLCL ODpotential -8262 - - -7447 - - -7123 - - -4902 - - -2925 ODpotential blCL 10600 - - 10173 - - 10958 - - 8680 - - 5263 blCL maxRH 97 - - 79 - - 93 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 59.5 - - 63.2 - - 62.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 47.9 - - 50.0 - - 53.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 59.4 - - 62.7 - - 62.9 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 46.7 - - 48.7 - - 51.8 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 14 - - 51 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 404 - - 1513 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 16 - - 71 - - 70 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 25 095 13 061 19 077 23 080 23 097 96444 89330 19 086 13 091 10 062 15 063 19 069 89330 83830 16 061 16 123 3 123 7 347 14 035 83830 79241 14 041 12 080 8 067 6 050 9 356 79241 75295 12 007 7 032 4 338 7 352 10 328 75295 71832 10 321 11 324 12 329 13 358 9 015 71832 68688 11 297 11 294 19 300 17 309 14 339 68688 65791 20 307 20 314 26 311 27 300 33 301 65791 63124 28 307 27 297 30 296 26 292 30 295 63124 60548 33 294 25 279 27 282 27 302 26 317 60548 57843 33 290 32 285 31 287 36 299 36 315 57843 55013 40 284 49 283 45 283 42 283 43 295 55013 52314 50 281 51 274 52 276 46 280 46 281 52314 49895 60 274 53 270 59 272 62 280 58 281 49895 47726 68 268 62 270 68 271 71 275 70 275 47726 45765 72 267 71 269 73 265 74 267 78 269 45765 43982 75 265 75 268 72 263 69 266 78 264 43982 42338 73 266 71 267 73 260 70 270 79 264 42338 40805 68 267 69 270 72 257 81 266 86 263 40805 39362 66 271 67 271 70 257 84 266 86 263 39362 37997 72 284 65 272 66 259 86 269 83 265 37997 36675 70 289 65 275 61 260 84 269 80 268 36675 35332 65 287 67 277 58 260 76 267 75 269 35332 33939 60 279 64 270 57 261 70 264 70 269 33939 32500 57 272 61 266 58 264 69 263 67 269 32500 31001 58 267 56 265 59 265 70 264 68 268 31001 29431 61 267 55 264 60 266 70 265 71 267 29431 27790 62 264 58 262 61 267 68 264 69 265 27790 26081 63 261 61 264 62 268 64 264 64 265 26081 24306 62 264 64 264 62 269 60 266 63 268 24306 22468 61 269 64 264 61 267 62 266 65 268 22468 20563 58 269 62 267 62 268 67 269 67 270 20563 18589 53 270 63 267 64 269 70 269 68 272 18589 16584 47 267 61 264 62 266 67 266 55 273 16584 14656 43 265 53 261 55 262 59 263 43 278 14656 12907 39 263 45 256 48 257 51 262 39 283 12907 11352 36 262 41 253 44 254 46 261 35 285 11352 9967 33 261 38 254 41 254 42 261 31 285 9967 8734 30 261 34 256 37 257 36 262 28 283 8734 7637 25 262 29 258 31 260 29 263 23 283 7637 6665 21 264 24 259 25 261 20 262 17 280 6665 5806 17 266 19 259 19 259 13 255 11 272 5806 5046 14 269 16 256 13 255 7 227 9 258 5046 4364 12 273 13 252 10*244 7*194 9 242 4364 3759 11 278 12 247 8*231 7*193 10 234 3759 3253 10 284 10 244 8 228 7 194 10 237 3253 2864 9 291 9*241 8 228 7 195 9 240 2864 2595 8 296 7*243 8 227 7 194 7 244 2595 2432 5*304 6 244 7 228 6 194 5 253 2432 2338 1*323 5 244 6 229 5 195 2*268 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography