DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.5 - - 57.6 - - 63.1 - - 62.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 321 - - 419 - - 245 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3660 - - 5634 - - 3483 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 4765 - - 6405 - - 4525 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2448 - - 5982 - - 7956 - - 5805 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 515 - - 1447 - - 1607 - - 2660 - - 1240 Hgt.Variab. W* 57 - - 436 - - 548 - - 391 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 38 - - 61 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 302 - - 355 - - 359 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 10 - - 18 - - 9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -885 - - -195 - - 356 - - -871 - - -2155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3333 - - 6178 - - 7600 - - 6676 - - 4493 sfcLCL ODpotential -3944 - - -2403 - - -163 - - -1781 - - -5428 ODpotential blCL 6392 - - 8385 - - 8119 - - 7586 - - 7766 blCL maxRH 77 - - 71 - - 78 - - 75 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.5 - - 57.6 - - 63.1 - - 62.4 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.2 - - 38.7 - - 37.9 - - 41.2 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 55.7 - - 60.7 - - 60.7 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.8 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 40.7 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 321 - - 419 - - 245 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3660 - - 5634 - - 3483 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97631 24 310 24 298 24 292 25 297 28 312 97631 90279 20 304 21 295 22 304 17 310 26 315 90279 84637 16 295 15 295 16 292 22 307 23 314 84637 79974 18 290 13 287 13 288 18 291 20 306 79974 75962 17 288 16 269 14 284 11 286 12 291 75962 72388 16 275 16 258 14 271 9 253 10 251 72388 69122 18 256 16 250 17 265 13 248 13 248 69122 66102 20 248 18 249 24 261 19 258 18 256 66102 63301 21 242 21 254 27 256 22 261 21 251 63301 60585 18 242 25 250 26 253 23 261 22 247 60585 57744 17 259 22 247 24 251 24 260 20 256 57744 54800 22 264 20 258 22 252 24 259 21 270 54800 52005 26 260 23 257 25 255 26 263 25 275 52005 49505 29 266 24 255 27 260 30 268 28 274 49505 47271 33 270 25 262 30 262 32 270 30 278 47271 45257 38 269 29 272 31 262 33 271 34 282 45257 43429 42 268 35 276 32 265 34 271 37 276 43429 41750 46 268 40 273 33 271 35 278 34 278 41750 40189 48 269 44 268 35 275 37 287 31 287 40189 38733 52 268 47 263 38 277 33 276 30 282 38733 37366 54 264 50 261 41 278 25 304 24 281 37366 36045 52 261 49 260 39 277 33 336 17 319 36045 34711 51 265 45 262 33 277 39 345 29 001 34711 33341 56 267 42 269 27 280 41 353 37 002 33341 31931 58 263 45 272 26 284 46 002 36 358 31931 30464 55 259 48 271 29 285 49 002 34 358 30464 28925 52 261 50 270 31 284 47 357 34 002 28925 27319 49 260 50 266 32 282 41 351 34 351 27319 25647 49 258 48 263 33 280 34 335 37 341 25647 23914 48 258 48 262 36 276 34 313 37 338 23914 22120 46 263 48 260 41 272 38 302 32 335 22120 20259 43 267 45 262 42 272 37 305 28 319 20259 18322 35 266 39 265 37 276 30 315 29 315 18322 16351 27 267 28 269 22 270 22 330 27 328 16351 14458 20 271 18 276 13 272 16 338 20 347 14458 12741 15 274 11 274 9 275 9 341 13 352 12741 11214 9 267 8 268 7 270 5 345 9 344 11214 9855 5 237 5 231 4 222 3 340 6 338 9855 8646 2 193 6 175 2*144 3 079 6 323 8646 7570 1 201 5 139 2*126 6 083 6 344 7570 6614 2 242 2*107 2 106 6*068 8 016 6614 5768 4 235 0*069 1 052 7*041 10 025 5768 5018 4 217 1 320 2 003 8 020 11 023 5018 4342 2 177 2 303 3 344 9 001 11 016 4342 3743 2 101 3 302 3 338 11 351 12 359 3743 3241 3 035 3 298 4 334 11 349 13 338 3241 2856 5 354 4 298 4 333 11 347 12 329 2856 2591 6*331 4 298 4 332 11 346 11 327 2591 2430 5*330 4 298 4 332 10 346 9*327 2430 2338 3 325 3 297 4 332 9 345 6*325 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography