DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.6 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 462 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1978 - - 3428 - - - - - 124 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3504 - - 4698 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4301 - - 5751 - - - - - 2446 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2160 - - 3783 - - - - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 478 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 288 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5485 - - -5211 - - - - - -5832 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9786 - - 10963 - - - - - 8278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8893 - - -8336 - - - - - -13547 ODpotential blCL - - - 13194 - - 14087 - - - - - 15993 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 44 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 85.6 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 45.5 - - - - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 82.8 - - - - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 45.2 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 462 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1978 - - 3428 - - - - - 124 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99126 29 101 21 119 17 095 99126 91652 29 124 18 116 21 071 91652 85898 22 118 16 123 17 093 85898 81123 13 104 16 120 18 126 81123 77003 11 130 12 117 15 122 77003 73365 12 118 7 130 11 115 73365 70070 8 108 8 115 7 092 70070 67047 12 118 5 107 6 068 67047 64259 6 346 9 154 4 016 64259 61571 9 233 2 272 4 315 61571 58777 7 244 12 222 13 260 58777 55878 24 262 20 246 24 273 55878 53114 35 263 32 249 37 259 53114 50633 49 266 42 259 45 262 50633 48406 58 263 50 261 52 263 48406 46375 60 260 54 258 57 263 46375 44506 62 261 55 256 62 262 44506 42781 67 259 59 255 65 259 42781 41177 65 256 58 250 63 256 41177 39679 64 256 58 245 60 255 39679 38276 65 255 58 242 56 253 38276 36929 63 252 55 241 51 251 36929 35572 59 250 51 241 49 250 35572 34174 57 249 47 241 46 249 34174 32736 55 249 45 243 45 249 32736 31241 52 247 43 243 45 251 31241 29676 49 248 42 243 43 253 29676 28044 44 247 42 244 40 254 28044 26342 41 246 40 250 38 255 26342 24570 39 249 36 258 36 255 24570 22730 36 254 33 257 34 256 22730 20818 35 255 31 252 32 258 20818 18833 30 257 29 249 28 260 18833 16818 22 261 27 249 23 260 16818 14879 17 259 23 248 19 260 14879 13115 15 253 19 245 16 257 13115 11545 14 255 16 247 16 252 11545 10146 15 263 14 254 15 245 10146 8897 15 267 12 253 13 233 8897 7780 13 266 8 239 12 211 7780 6784 11 256 6 222 12 205 6784 5901 8 235 5*220 10 212 5901 5118 6 212 4*234 8 229 5118 4413 5*211 4 258 7 255 4413 3790 4*228 7 293 8 296 3790 3270 4 263 7 298 15 313 3270 2872 5 272 8 300 17 314 2872 2599 5 276 8 300 14*313 2599 2433 5 277 8 300 12*313 2433 2338 4 277 7 300 6 312 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography