DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 67.7 - - 74.2 - - 70.2 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 92 - - 177 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 664 - - 2024 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3331 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2986 - - 4347 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 804 - - 1528 - - 3569 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 163 - - 293 - - 10 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 11 - - 15 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 199 - - 204 - - 277 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7021 - - -7124 - - -8252 - - -8112 - - -3292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9359 - - 10110 - - 12600 - - 10451 - - 5630 sfcLCL ODpotential -19329 - - -15315 - - -15800 - - -15195 - - -13335 ODpotential blCL 21667 - - 18301 - - 20147 - - 17534 - - 15673 blCL maxRH 41 - - 34 - - 57 - - 28 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 67.7 - - 74.2 - - 70.2 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 32.2 - - 27.4 - - 33.0 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 66.8 - - 73.0 - - 70.4 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 31.5 - - 26.5 - - 32.2 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 92 - - 177 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 664 - - 2024 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96433 54 292 43 284 48 276 52 277 54 286 96433 89356 33 291 24 274 33 286 29 279 26 294 89356 83907 22 281 22 289 22 271 26 290 24 294 83907 79373 10 270 20 288 18 269 15 285 26 291 79373 75458 10 280 19 288 18 278 9 262 26 288 75458 71971 12 286 17 287 18 279 13 273 26 282 71971 68798 10 288 14 270 21 270 19 283 22 279 68798 65889 9 294 11 270 21 252 24 275 22 280 65889 63214 13 289 14 284 17 251 27 267 24 271 63214 60633 16 268 16 278 18 265 25 263 27 256 60633 57937 22 282 22 278 24 275 26 264 29 256 57937 55139 29 286 26 280 27 275 29 258 34 250 55139 52464 28 292 30 280 33 272 36 264 38 255 52464 50049 26 298 29 278 38 268 45 265 46 265 50049 47884 30 301 36 285 43 271 50 268 54 268 47884 45923 35 294 40 282 47 273 51 272 52 270 45923 44134 35 288 41 280 45 274 50 276 51 279 44134 42489 35 290 42 283 44 280 46 278 51 281 42489 40955 35 296 41 289 44 288 40 276 47 277 40955 39507 32 309 33 290 41 286 37 273 45 276 39507 38139 30 317 27 293 33 274 36 274 44 275 38139 36817 28 314 27 294 30 270 38 279 43 273 36817 35477 25 307 28 292 29 276 38 284 40 276 35477 34091 25 302 28 296 27 283 37 288 34 282 34091 32663 24 307 27 304 21 295 32 290 30 288 32663 31176 20 324 22 310 18 299 21 291 28 287 31176 29618 12 347 14 326 10 294 17 292 22 281 29618 27991 11 008 9 341 4 284 12 280 19 272 27991 26291 15 021 8 003 1 308 8 239 14 252 26291 24518 19 026 12 027 5 046 5 235 14 246 24518 22678 18 027 14 036 7 057 3 287 14 266 22678 20772 16 026 12 032 5 034 5 308 14 292 20772 18794 14 028 10 026 5 006 6 310 15 305 18794 16780 11 031 7 015 6 341 8 323 14 313 16780 14836 7 026 6 347 8 334 9 330 12 328 14836 13063 7 013 7 334 9 331 9 339 10 342 13063 11482 7 024 6 331 7 324 7 347 7 352 11482 10074 6 038 4 327 6 317 5 346 4 351 10074 8820 4 037 5 319 5 316 4 331 1 290 8820 7705 2 049 3 289 4 298 2 282 1 198 7705 6717 3 145 4 218 5 239 5 229 1 208 6717 5845 6 172 10 208 13 215 6 226 3 211 5845 5073 9 182 17 204 18 209 6 225 5 196 5073 4381 10 184 22 203 18*207 5 230 5 173 4381 3769 10 185 22 202 17*205 5 248 4 145 3769 3258 10 184 19*199 16 204 5 263 7 080 3258 2866 10 184 14*199 15 204 5 269 8 056 2866 2595 9 183 11 199 14 204 4 271 7 038 2595 2432 6*179 10 199 13 205 4*273 6 025 2432 2338 2*166 7 199 10 205 3*277 3*013 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography