DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 73.8 - - 71.3 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 398 - - 210 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 4010 - - 2906 - - 320 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3215 - - 5114 - - 4043 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3937 - - 6333 - - 5228 - - 2642 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 815 - - 2753 - - 2163 - - 903 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 484 - - 352 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 187 - - 208 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -844 - - -1463 - - -2260 - - -1271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4781 - - 7796 - - 7488 - - 3914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4754 - - -3661 - - -5527 - - -6719 ODpotential blCL - - - 8691 - - 9994 - - 10755 - - 9361 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 67 - - 71 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 73.8 - - 71.3 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 47.5 - - 46.4 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 71.5 - - 69.8 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 46.6 - - 45.7 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 398 - - 210 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 4010 - - 2906 - - 320 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97487 13 244 18 242 25 250 27 261 97487 90042 16 258 17 256 21 264 15 262 90042 84378 13 280 13 261 16 270 14 263 84378 79722 13 302 12 283 11 282 12 271 79722 75722 9 302 16 298 15 314 9 311 75722 72173 5 308 16 299 20 308 14 311 72173 68951 6 316 12 296 18 302 15 301 68951 65980 11 317 11 296 18 293 20 295 65980 63214 16 304 15 285 21 279 23 281 63214 60536 19 294 17 282 19 276 20 284 60536 57729 22 292 20 287 18 287 20 286 57729 54795 29 282 30 283 25 281 25 277 54795 51993 37 275 37 275 35 273 31 273 51993 49477 41 271 42 271 44 267 38 274 49477 47230 41 270 43 267 48 258 47 266 47230 45202 41 267 43 268 48 258 51 260 45202 43354 44 263 48 265 53 259 57 260 43354 41654 45 262 54 260 63 259 62 253 41654 40083 48 265 53 262 62 260 66 253 40083 38625 49 263 51 263 61 263 68 256 38625 37265 44 254 45 254 59 263 69 257 37265 35968 46 254 39 244 50 258 64 255 35968 34663 49 249 39 245 42 245 51 250 34663 33315 46 249 41 244 40 240 39 240 33315 31924 44 244 40 240 40 240 39 233 31924 30475 44 239 38 235 38 237 39 228 30475 28955 40 235 37 233 36 233 37 226 28955 27369 35 233 35 232 35 231 33 222 27369 25715 32 230 31 229 31 230 30 218 25715 23996 28 225 28 225 26 224 27 214 23996 22215 26 227 26 221 24 215 26 210 22215 20367 25 231 25 218 25 208 27 205 20367 18446 23 225 25 213 27 200 30 196 18446 16489 23 208 27 200 29 190 31 188 16489 14601 23 190 28 187 31 182 31 179 14601 12878 24 186 29 180 31 176 35 171 12878 11343 26 188 30 178 33 175 37 166 11343 9972 28 183 30 179 34 178 36 166 9972 8746 28 175 28 179 33 182 35 171 8746 7651 27 169 24 177 31 186 35 178 7651 6677 26 166 19*174 26 188 34 186 6677 5815 22 165 15*176 19*191 33 192 5815 5050 18 168 14 181 14*197 29 197 5050 4365 15*177 13 185 13 202 22 205 4365 3758 11*194 13 189 12 208 16 216 3758 3252 10 203 12 192 12 212 12 236 3252 2863 9 206 12 194 11 214 10*262 2863 2594 9 208 11 196 10 216 9*268 2594 2432 8 210 11 196 10 217 8 271 2432 2338 7 210 9 197 8 217 6 274 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography