DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.2 - - 51.7 - - 54.8 - - 53.7 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 24 - - 77 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 358 - - 1156 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2679 - - 3477 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 421 - - 943 - - 1153 - - 1962 - - 629 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 93 - - 195 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 354 - - 049 - - 034 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1273 - - -2041 - - -1163 - - -1892 - - -462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3610 - - 4720 - - 4640 - - 4230 - - 2801 sfcLCL ODpotential -6509 - - -5696 - - -4661 - - -5129 - - -6169 ODpotential blCL 8846 - - 8375 - - 8138 - - 7467 - - 8507 blCL maxRH 87 - - 79 - - 66 - - 64 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.2 - - 51.7 - - 54.8 - - 53.7 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 39.3 - - 42.7 - - 43.4 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.3 - - 51.3 - - 54.2 - - 53.8 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 38.0 - - 41.4 - - 42.1 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 24 - - 77 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 358 - - 1156 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 14 350 8 082 14 035 7 142 6 240 96366 89240 7 059 9 076 6 041 11 073 9 085 89240 83725 10 075 11 071 6 109 11 056 14 084 83725 79136 8 076 9 058 9 063 5 039 12 064 79136 75166 4 052 10 021 9 019 3 349 13 039 75166 71643 3 022 13 354 10 349 7 344 14 010 71643 68455 5 349 13 331 10 326 11 320 13 349 68455 65521 10 323 13 307 12 318 12 313 12 320 65521 62785 14 311 16 300 15 311 14 317 13 305 62785 60115 19 301 15 302 17 310 17 311 14 301 60115 57316 24 302 18 305 21 299 18 301 19 306 57316 54408 26 298 23 294 25 298 21 310 22 308 54408 51637 28 292 27 287 33 295 29 308 27 308 51637 49146 30 284 30 279 35 289 30 305 29 302 49146 46916 29 283 29 278 31 286 31 307 30 302 46916 44898 28 287 27 293 28 291 33 309 33 310 44898 43059 29 291 29 299 29 294 35 311 32 313 43059 41370 28 297 30 297 32 295 35 310 25 322 41370 39803 26 311 28 299 35 296 35 317 33 346 39803 38344 26 323 28 306 36 296 36 316 40 349 38344 36985 29 334 29 311 35 298 30 318 41 347 36985 35686 33 340 32 314 31 301 23 351 43 002 35686 34374 34 346 35 313 29 308 47 013 58 015 34374 33024 37 353 34 314 30 313 68 012 71 022 33024 31637 39 357 33 318 31 314 68 010 81 023 31637 30195 34 360 31 323 31 313 63 004 79 020 30195 28685 25 359 28 330 31 311 49 002 73 017 28685 27109 19 352 24 335 28 312 35 352 61 010 27109 25471 18 347 20 332 25 320 33 351 50 359 25471 23772 17 347 19 330 23 330 24 349 43 350 23772 22011 15 348 18 333 23 343 20 335 40 344 22011 20178 13 348 15 342 22 346 23 336 38 346 20178 18270 13 353 16 356 19 349 24 343 34 353 18270 16329 12 352 18 006 17 359 20 353 26 360 16329 14456 11 352 17 010 17 007 18 003 23 013 14456 12746 10 002 14 019 16 009 16 007 23 021 12746 11220 11 018 13 033 15 009 15 009 23 025 11220 9860 11 020 12 033 14 011 14 010 21 027 9860 8647 10 015 11 022 14 011 14 009 19 028 8647 7566 9 011 10 015 13 012 14 008 16 024 7566 6607 9 012 9 015 13 012 14 008 14 016 6607 5759 9 018 8 022 12 014 14 007 13 006 5759 5008 9 020 8 029 10 021 13 007 12 356 5008 4334 9 016 7 025 9 026 11 006 11 347 4334 3737 9 010 7 015 6*037 8 009 10 338 3737 3238 9 006 7 007 5*046 5 024 8 325 3238 2854 9 000 6*001 5 048 5 031 6 315 2854 2590 8 357 4*355 5 050 5 033 5 310 2590 2430 6 356 3 353 4 051 4*034 4*309 2430 2338 2*359 3 352 4 051 3*034 3*309 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography