DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.7 - - 79.6 - - 84.5 - - 79.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 316 - - 439 - - 300 - - 39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 131 - - 977 - - 1327 - - 848 - - 315 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1157 - - 1480 - - 1053 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 844 - - 1690 - - 2041 - - 1562 - - 1028 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 336 - - 397 - - 672 - - 402 - - 314 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 275 - - 340 - - 258 - - 94 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 270 - - 261 - - 284 - - 286 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2028 - - -4158 - - -4933 - - -4084 - - -3018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2872 - - 5848 - - 6974 - - 5647 - - 4046 sfcLCL ODpotential -8866 - - -8438 - - -8515 - - -8637 - - -10446 ODpotential blCL 9710 - - 10128 - - 10556 - - 10199 - - 11474 blCL maxRH 68 - - 87 - - 57 - - 62 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 160 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.7 - - 79.6 - - 84.5 - - 79.6 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.6 - - 56.7 - - 56.6 - - 57.6 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 77.6 - - 82.0 - - 77.7 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 56.3 - - 56.2 - - 57.3 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 316 - - 439 - - 300 - - 39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 131 - - 977 - - 1327 - - 848 - - 315 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 48 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98701 34 100 36 109 27 121 23 111 24 096 98701 91217 31 106 28 102 21 109 26 096 30 100 91217 85471 28 107 27 106 22 115 20 097 31 101 85471 80698 23 102 24 101 22 110 19 113 22 100 80698 76591 19 105 19 098 20 105 20 103 22 110 76591 72973 21 117 17 114 13 117 17 087 20 099 72973 69696 16 119 16 110 15 120 13 094 12 101 69696 66692 13 107 15 112 12 112 9 121 9 105 66692 63926 9 099 10 127 7 112 5 108 11 102 63926 61255 6 103 5 161 1 100 3 138 6 070 61255 58472 5 023 7 183 9 255 7 268 4 291 58472 55591 6 310 6 242 13 239 14 271 15 287 55591 52855 11 299 14 298 14 277 17 274 22 277 52855 50405 20 297 23 288 21 283 21 278 24 276 50405 48199 24 305 24 283 26 284 27 282 27 276 48199 46183 26 313 25 286 30 282 32 284 29 275 46183 44327 28 319 27 293 31 286 34 284 31 279 44327 42617 28 326 29 297 32 292 32 289 30 286 42617 41032 30 334 27 309 32 299 28 294 28 293 41032 39553 31 343 26 329 30 309 26 304 24 303 39553 38166 33 356 30 344 30 321 26 311 24 317 38166 36828 38 005 32 352 31 326 27 315 24 321 36828 35470 41 007 32 356 31 328 27 316 23 315 35470 34060 41 005 32 355 29 330 26 318 21 315 34060 32599 39 006 32 355 27 333 24 320 17 322 32599 31071 38 012 31 001 26 341 22 325 16 328 31071 29463 37 015 30 004 26 352 21 335 14 328 29463 27774 34 016 29 005 25 359 21 342 13 330 27774 26003 30 021 28 005 23 005 21 348 12 332 26003 24154 27 025 25 009 23 009 19 357 11 346 24154 22228 23 021 22 013 20 016 19 002 10 007 22228 20217 18 033 19 007 19 022 19 007 14 018 20217 18119 16 040 14 020 19 022 17 014 13 009 18119 15985 14 044 15 036 17 035 13 034 7 017 15985 13931 17 028 17 036 16 044 12 036 8 017 13931 12054 15 023 16 034 13 056 11 035 6 026 12054 10379 12 071 11 022 12 065 9 058 4 034 10379 8885 10 101 3 131 6 042 6 073 3 009 8885 7554 6 132 9 171 1 111 3 088 2 312 7554 6369 5 185 10 190 7 164 2 130 2 255 6369 5319 7 201 10 205 9 178 2 173 3 258 5319 4392 8 195 11 208 9 209 3 224 6 274 4392 3575 9 188 10 202 10 233 5 246 9 275 3575 2845 9 186 10 198 9 248 8 258 12 267 2845 2202 10 191 8*212 8*272 11 274 13 260 2202 1670 10 201 7*249 9*284 12*285 13 266 1670 1267 8 218 7 263 10 284 12*286 11*279 1267 992 6*246 7 265 10 285 11 286 10*282 992 825 4*267 6 265 9 284 11 285 9 282 825 730 3 272 6 265 8 284 9 284 7 282 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography