DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 54.3 - - 53.3 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 102 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 811 - - 1806 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1234 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1523 - - 2518 - - 2584 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2026 - - 2066 - - 2028 - - 2075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 133 - - 236 - - 146 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 198 - - 196 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 338 - - 447 - - 577 - - -510 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1185 - - 2071 - - 2007 - - 1238 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 246 - - 39 - - 75 - - -1968 ODpotential blCL - - - 1277 - - 2479 - - 2509 - - 2696 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 95 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 54.3 - - 53.3 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 47.8 - - 47.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 53.5 - - 53.1 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 47.0 - - 46.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 102 - - 20 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 811 - - 1806 - - 1871 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 86 - - 80 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96576 26 087 35 098 39 099 33 112 96576 89471 23 102 24 109 24 108 18 096 89471 83961 17 104 14 112 14 102 16 093 83961 79361 10 112 9 110 12 126 10 100 79361 75377 11 143 1 032 8 110 3 096 75377 71829 10 169 6 235 3 237 3 332 71829 68592 10 195 6 210 9 228 2 214 68592 65593 17 222 17 241 15 248 8 296 65593 62803 21 230 24 229 26 233 20 237 62803 60103 23 256 24 244 25 236 19 207 60103 57273 36 258 33 249 32 248 26 248 57273 54337 44 255 45 245 49 239 49 236 54337 51551 56 259 56 251 56 242 57 234 51551 49040 73 257 66 254 64 249 63 248 49040 46786 78 259 75 257 75 253 78 248 46786 44745 91 261 92 258 89 253 90 245 44745 42884 100 256 103 253 99 249 97 244 42884 41180 95 252 102 251 102 246 102 245 41180 39613 99 255 108 250 110 244 111 242 39613 38165 99 252 105 246 108 238 114 234 38165 36817 91 250 94 246 101 237 105 232 36817 35520 86 255 97 251 100 242 104 233 35520 34195 83 257 94 250 101 242 102 233 34195 32815 81 254 90 250 98 242 99 234 32815 31384 82 250 89 247 95 241 96 235 31384 29887 81 247 90 245 94 241 96 235 29887 28311 77 245 88 242 90 241 92 234 28311 26659 76 243 82 240 82 239 86 231 26659 24933 75 240 74 237 74 237 79 230 24933 23137 69 237 68 236 69 236 74 230 23137 21271 61 235 62 236 64 236 71 230 21271 19326 55 233 56 234 59 235 65 228 19326 17292 46 230 50 231 51 229 58 225 17292 15213 35 222 45 226 42 222 50 220 15213 13213 29 205 39 215 38 214 45 208 13213 11401 28 200 34 205 37 206 41 198 11401 9800 26 204 31 200 35 201 36 197 9800 8386 26 203 29 200 32 201 30 200 8386 7133 25 203 28 203 30 199 26 204 7133 6024 24 202 27 200 28 195 23 210 6024 5042 22 202 23 193 26 190 23 217 5042 4179 19 204 19 190 24 189 25 218 4179 3416 14 211 17 190 22 190 27 213 3416 2735 11 223 15*192 20*192 28 207 2735 2133 10 230 12*195 18*195 26 204 2133 1631 9*231 10 198 17 196 22 202 1631 1246 7*227 9 199 16 196 18 200 1246 981 6 226 9 199 14 197 13 201 981 820 5 226 8 200 12 197 9 203 820 728 4 225 6 201 8 197 3*206 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography