DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.4 - - 72.2 - - 70.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 194 - - 234 - - 124 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 849 - - 1594 - - 1101 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 879 - - 1530 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1561 - - 2307 - - 1814 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 348 - - 540 - - 957 - - 800 - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 227 - - 300 - - 215 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 276 - - 288 - - 290 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1557 - - -2216 - - -3423 - - -3559 - - -1314 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2285 - - 3778 - - 5730 - - 5374 - - 2043 sfcLCL ODpotential -9688 - - -7080 - - -7479 - - -7488 - - -7348 ODpotential blCL 10416 - - 8641 - - 9786 - - 9302 - - 8077 blCL maxRH 69 - - 64 - - 73 - - 69 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.4 - - 72.2 - - 70.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 50.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 63.1 - - 70.8 - - 69.5 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 49.4 - - 48.6 - - 48.5 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 194 - - 234 - - 124 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 849 - - 1594 - - 1101 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97774 2 012 2 130 13 249 15 311 11 296 97774 90355 7 069 3 246 4 311 3 232 8 322 90355 84686 8 032 3 208 6 359 4 188 7 316 84686 79997 8 028 4 101 3 051 2 338 2 286 79997 75943 7 036 5 079 1 154 7 346 3 047 75943 72347 9 035 7 064 4 180 10 344 10 036 72347 69093 4 004 7 060 6 168 7 315 7 023 69093 66101 2 163 10 333 2 120 5 320 4 009 66101 63318 5 172 10 306 7 307 7 304 6 333 63318 60616 3 358 5 320 8 302 9 325 9 353 60616 57800 10 314 10 333 11 319 12 330 12 352 57800 54888 14 335 10 337 12 329 12 336 17 343 54888 52116 15 332 11 343 17 335 17 336 21 341 52116 49621 17 333 14 346 21 334 20 339 21 345 49621 47386 22 334 19 348 22 336 20 346 24 346 47386 45359 25 338 26 347 23 338 23 338 24 344 45359 43507 27 347 27 345 26 335 27 330 26 343 43507 41812 30 355 27 344 31 332 32 317 29 341 41812 40257 31 002 29 339 36 326 32 312 31 334 40257 38816 30 008 31 339 35 320 36 312 31 326 38816 37470 26 009 29 340 30 316 38 312 35 321 37470 36172 26 009 26 340 27 321 38 314 39 316 36172 34854 27 005 25 342 26 327 37 315 43 316 34854 33480 26 357 25 340 26 328 33 316 41 316 33480 32052 25 346 25 335 25 327 27 322 38 321 32052 30554 21 342 24 331 24 328 25 326 35 318 30554 28973 18 341 24 329 24 326 23 329 31 311 28973 27311 17 339 23 328 24 321 22 334 26 309 27311 25567 18 333 22 328 22 319 22 336 23 311 25567 23744 17 334 22 326 20 324 22 332 23 315 23744 21845 17 343 18 328 17 329 20 331 22 317 21845 19866 19 351 16 338 14 329 17 330 19 314 19866 17801 20 358 14 347 14 340 14 336 16 307 17801 15691 18 004 12 357 12 348 12 352 13 310 15691 13652 17 017 10 024 8 355 10 354 10 323 13652 11795 15 027 9 040 5 022 9 349 9 336 11795 10145 10 035 8 044 5 039 7 357 8 348 10145 8681 7 036 9 039 6 033 6 009 7 351 8681 7381 8 024 11 034 7 035 5 016 8 344 7381 6226 10 023 13 030 9 034 4 010 8 335 6226 5203 13 031 14 023 10 022 5 352 8 326 5203 4302 16 034 13 023 10 014 7 333 10 311 4302 3506 13 032 10 023 8 001 8 322 11 301 3506 2796 8 010 6 011 6*331 9 310 12 290 2796 2170 6 332 4 320 7*296 9*299 13 286 2170 1651 6 286 5*285 7 290 10*293 12 280 1651 1256 8 260 5*279 7 287 10 291 10 273 1256 986 7 255 5 276 7 284 9 289 9 270 986 823 5 248 5 275 7 284 9 289 7 268 823 729 2*252 5 275 6 282 7 287 5*267 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography