DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 61.3 - - 68.1 - - 66.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 59 - - 310 - - 81 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 2147 - - 1355 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1989 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1015 - - 2860 - - 2068 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1395 - - 1277 - - 1069 - - 1428 - - 1008 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 107 - - 354 - - 195 - - 31 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 248 - - 287 - - 279 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -12 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 81 - - 53 - - -84 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 934 - - 2808 - - 2152 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential -62 - - -68 - - -15 - - -732 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 791 - - 1083 - - 2875 - - 2800 - - 729 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 61.3 - - 68.1 - - 66.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 59.2 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 60.6 - - 66.2 - - 65.5 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.1 - - 59.4 - - 58.0 - - 59.0 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 59 - - 310 - - 81 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 2147 - - 1355 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 61 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98337 10 251 9 275 9 267 9 252 17 272 98337 90945 4 267 7 214 13 205 15 252 12 315 90945 85230 5 295 4 209 11 208 10 233 8 318 85230 80477 5 287 4 288 7 231 4 270 5 307 80477 76381 3 257 8 285 10 237 12 297 4 334 76381 72760 7 268 9 278 12 244 17 271 8 303 72760 69473 9 265 8 260 12 259 18 254 15 288 69473 66451 7 250 10 252 14 274 13 262 15 275 66451 63657 8 255 12 249 17 266 18 286 11 283 63657 60949 10 266 12 252 18 249 25 271 19 297 60949 58132 14 255 13 262 15 245 23 261 26 278 58132 55239 18 258 18 260 18 261 22 266 27 257 55239 52500 21 265 23 246 28 261 30 267 30 250 52500 50038 22 266 28 249 35 253 37 257 36 257 50038 47834 24 254 32 255 38 249 44 255 47 261 47834 45846 22 243 30 250 38 247 49 254 58 262 45846 44038 19 257 26 250 34 245 48 253 61 258 44038 42377 24 273 27 265 34 261 48 257 57 251 42377 40833 22 269 28 262 36 264 48 255 56 254 40833 39382 17 256 24 253 35 254 45 252 58 257 39382 38013 13 257 20 241 31 245 45 254 59 260 38013 36683 13 266 18 237 29 244 44 256 59 261 36683 35326 18 258 20 239 29 241 44 256 59 260 35326 33913 21 246 24 232 30 237 44 256 58 261 33913 32450 21 244 26 225 34 229 43 254 56 265 32450 30921 20 244 25 227 35 229 42 254 55 268 30921 29312 18 238 26 230 33 239 42 256 53 268 29312 27620 18 230 27 229 31 250 41 259 51 268 27620 25843 20 242 28 236 32 257 40 260 50 268 25843 23984 22 251 29 244 35 254 39 259 49 269 23984 22046 23 251 29 248 36 250 38 258 45 268 22046 20028 25 251 29 245 36 249 38 259 40 267 20028 17922 26 246 30 239 37 250 38 259 38 268 17922 15770 26 241 31 239 36 250 37 259 35 264 15770 13693 26 244 30 246 34 253 36 259 34 257 13693 11809 27 252 30 255 32 257 33 263 33 257 11809 10144 27 258 27 261 28 261 27 268 27 262 10144 8675 24 261 20 262 20 262 21 266 19 264 8675 7371 18 261 15 266 14 262 16 257 15 269 7371 6214 12 256 14 269 10 278 13 256 17 281 6214 5191 9 257 10 266 12 307 18 276 21 287 5191 4293 9 278 11 283 15 313 22 286 22 289 4293 3501 14 298 13 290 14*307 22 288 22 291 3501 2795 17 304 13 291 12*298 19 286 20 296 2795 2172 15 305 11 286 12 290 14*279 18 296 2172 1655 13 302 8 271 11 285 13*279 16 291 1655 1259 9 296 6*252 11 283 13 279 12 277 1259 988 6 288 6*249 11 282 12 279 11 274 988 823 5*284 5 248 10 281 11 279 9*272 823 729 4*282 4 248 8 281 8 278 7*270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography