DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.1 - - 47.7 - - 52.3 - - 52.8 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 61 - - 118 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1394 - - 2861 - - 2939 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 710 - - 2129 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 2105 - - 3572 - - 3649 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3245 - - 1840 - - 1837 - - 2334 - - 1971 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 186 - - 292 - - 138 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 316 - - 339 - - 012 - - 013 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -489 - - -374 - - 305 - - 464 - - -745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1216 - - 2479 - - 3267 - - 3185 - - 1472 sfcLCL ODpotential -1779 - - -2026 - - -1969 - - -1186 - - -2673 ODpotential blCL 2506 - - 4131 - - 5541 - - 4835 - - 3400 blCL maxRH 88 - - 75 - - 83 - - 78 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.1 - - 47.7 - - 52.3 - - 52.8 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 39.7 - - 40.8 - - 41.7 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 47.3 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 38.4 - - 39.0 - - 40.2 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 61 - - 118 - - 6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1394 - - 2861 - - 2939 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 0 - - 32 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95577 27 308 31 304 19 324 25 257 32 310 95577 88330 16 335 12 307 15 296 14 309 19 331 88330 82923 19 348 6 016 11 251 17 329 19 355 82923 78503 22 341 12 041 6 243 17 325 17 355 78503 74696 20 332 15 011 4 341 5 308 16 358 74696 71319 17 334 15 347 15 339 13 332 18 358 71319 68247 20 339 15 338 15 321 16 343 15 011 68247 65384 23 335 15 344 16 325 24 352 21 002 65384 62688 27 325 21 341 26 320 29 334 27 355 62688 60050 32 316 31 330 29 327 30 334 36 347 60050 57284 36 310 37 324 34 326 32 333 39 331 57284 54402 41 315 38 324 36 321 36 334 37 330 54402 51637 50 318 43 331 38 327 45 330 42 334 51637 49141 54 318 58 333 50 339 50 331 50 337 49141 46903 61 319 72 330 69 341 59 342 64 338 46903 44880 72 317 83 326 80 341 75 344 77 334 44880 43046 79 315 86 322 88 341 94 340 84 331 43046 41380 81 315 85 324 104 335 104 329 85 333 41380 39844 84 319 88 327 114 329 102 332 81 342 39844 38409 89 324 92 330 109 328 98 344 95 354 38409 37059 94 328 92 337 98 340 115 003 109 357 37059 35752 98 331 102 350 117 001 131 007 117 357 35752 34418 102 334 119 355 147 005 133 007 120 358 34418 33029 106 336 123 354 144 002 124 005 119 359 33029 31591 107 336 121 350 130 357 114 003 115 360 31591 30089 108 335 125 347 127 353 108 359 106 001 30089 28511 110 334 133 346 127 349 103 354 96 001 28511 26855 111 332 137 348 120 343 101 349 88 357 26855 25118 108 330 125 347 116 341 99 345 82 353 25118 23299 103 329 106 339 117 348 96 344 78 351 23299 21401 95 329 101 336 101 342 94 352 76 350 21401 19419 81 333 84 338 98 335 89 354 74 351 19419 17348 60 336 58 339 82 340 81 345 73 355 17348 15235 44 339 41 340 52 341 77 346 71 000 15235 13213 36 341 35 342 37 338 52 352 58 004 13213 11398 30 344 31 344 31 343 31 001 36 008 11398 9803 24 340 25 346 27 348 26 005 25 011 9803 8391 16 336 21 346 22 351 25 003 23 017 8391 7138 15 349 17 343 18 355 23 005 23 022 7138 6028 22 351 14 348 16 357 21 007 23 022 6028 5047 28 339 13 359 14 003 20 008 24 018 5047 4183 29 330 15 001 13*013 19*008 23 013 4183 3420 27 326 18 357 12*015 14*011 20 009 3420 2738 26 326 20 351 12 014 13 012 17 005 2738 2134 25 327 20*347 11 012 12 013 15 003 2134 1631 22 327 17*341 11 010 12 014 13 358 1631 1245 19 325 15 339 10 009 11 014 11 355 1245 980 14 323 13 338 9 009 10 014 8 350 980 819 10*320 12 337 8 008 9 014 5 349 819 727 4*316 8 336 7 007 6 014 3*351 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography