DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 55.6 - - 61.5 - - 57.1 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 140 - - 232 - - 55 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1204 - - 2232 - - 1792 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 1951 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1916 - - 2943 - - 2503 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 868 - - 790 - - 846 - - 1145 - - 2305 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 224 - - 325 - - 186 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 229 - - 260 - - 262 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -177 - - -827 - - 372 - - -283 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 727 - - 2093 - - 3770 - - 2131 - - 1011 sfcLCL ODpotential -9524 - - -8136 - - -7151 - - 329 - - -542 ODpotential blCL 10251 - - 10052 - - 10094 - - 2174 - - 1270 blCL maxRH 99 - - 92 - - 81 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 55.6 - - 61.5 - - 57.1 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 49.0 - - 47.7 - - 50.4 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 54.7 - - 60.2 - - 56.7 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 48.8 - - 47.5 - - 50.3 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 140 - - 232 - - 55 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1204 - - 2232 - - 1792 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 68 - - 24 - - 91 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96945 58 280 56 272 53 270 57 265 69 278 96945 89702 35 277 30 263 36 261 42 265 43 286 89702 84114 25 291 18 262 24 264 28 270 26 296 84114 79490 19 300 8 284 13 260 15 265 18 297 79490 75516 12 293 7 312 8 261 9 264 14 296 75516 72019 8 277 8 299 7 265 8 279 9 300 72019 68861 6 278 10 289 9 285 10 301 8 317 68861 65954 8 286 11 278 15 281 16 298 12 308 65954 63249 11 290 11 274 17 270 20 286 14 298 63249 60620 14 289 13 272 17 274 19 272 16 285 60620 57869 19 287 16 267 21 275 21 268 21 278 57869 55009 20 280 20 256 29 265 30 259 26 271 55009 52274 22 271 27 245 33 249 31 251 32 265 52274 49806 23 266 27 244 32 252 33 250 33 260 49806 47591 36 265 36 251 39 250 35 252 33 262 47591 45588 46 255 46 244 46 248 38 262 33 262 45588 43757 49 253 47 240 48 246 44 264 31 260 43757 42061 47 251 42 237 45 242 44 253 29 266 42061 40482 44 254 37 241 42 243 38 250 30 274 40482 39008 46 256 39 246 41 245 33 259 31 278 39008 37624 47 252 43 247 40 246 34 256 31 276 37624 36294 46 249 46 244 44 244 33 250 28 271 36294 34950 43 246 47 241 46 238 34 247 25 270 34950 33560 42 240 45 240 45 232 36 245 24 266 33560 32121 43 234 42 241 42 226 35 244 23 264 32121 30613 42 232 42 239 38 235 33 245 24 270 30613 29024 41 231 40 238 35 241 32 245 26 274 29024 27352 42 226 39 238 34 243 31 247 28 270 27352 25595 45 227 37 235 33 242 29 247 28 266 25595 23753 44 230 37 232 36 237 29 245 26 261 23753 21832 39 229 37 230 38 233 32 240 22 252 21832 19829 35 223 37 226 35 229 33 235 19 246 19829 17739 31 218 33 221 32 223 31 232 19 245 17739 15612 26 210 27 213 28 220 27 230 21 239 15612 13565 23 208 24 209 22 219 19 228 20 238 13565 11704 21 205 22 201 19 222 15 237 18 240 11704 10051 19 203 20 200 18 223 16 242 17 245 10051 8582 17 201 19 201 16 223 19 241 14 245 8582 7279 16 198 19 199 15 221 18 245 10 246 7279 6127 16 192 19 194 16 211 17 229 10 270 6127 5111 18 183 21 188 19 201 16 207 10 260 5111 4222 19 180 22 186 18 203 15 211 10 243 4222 3444 18 187 20 195 16*214 14 234 12 256 3444 2753 15 206 17 208 13*238 15*252 14 273 2753 2145 12 229 13*218 12 259 15*258 15 280 2145 1638 11 245 9*225 11 264 15 262 14 282 1638 1250 9 256 7 229 11 266 15 263 12 286 1250 982 6 262 6 230 10 267 14 264 10 287 982 820 4 261 6 231 9 267 13 265 9*286 820 728 2*257 5 232 8 268 10 265 6*286 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography