DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1331z - - 1603z - - 1859z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 77.6 - - 84.7 - - 83.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 269 - - 374 - - 168 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1912 - - 4862 - - 3748 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1772 - - 4121 - - 2913 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2624 - - 5574 - - 4460 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 212 - - 1372 - - 1136 - - 2369 - - 725 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 324 - - 494 - - 348 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 023 - - 007 - - 341 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 28 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2872 - - -6135 - - -5780 - - -5674 - - -5241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3600 - - 8759 - - 11355 - - 10134 - - 5970 sfcLCL ODpotential -14315 - - -14424 - - -13218 - - -12850 - - -14869 ODpotential blCL 15043 - - 17048 - - 18792 - - 17310 - - 15598 blCL maxRH 52 - - 35 - - 41 - - 39 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 77.6 - - 84.7 - - 83.5 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.9 - - 42.0 - - 37.4 - - 41.6 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.0 - - 76.1 - - 82.6 - - 82.2 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 41.8 - - 37.0 - - 41.4 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 269 - - 374 - - 168 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1912 - - 4862 - - 3748 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98189 8 116 11 096 14 110 6 079 9 053 98189 90897 9 104 11 103 13 108 7 091 8 060 90897 85237 13 100 13 105 15 108 12 116 9 061 85237 80512 13 100 14 104 11 107 17 106 9 071 80512 76435 11 108 12 086 9 102 16 104 7 103 76435 72835 10 093 7 106 7 098 11 086 7 110 72835 69586 9 085 6 108 6 110 3 069 6 102 69586 66602 4 060 2 086 3 107 1 206 4 123 66602 63835 3 347 2 321 2 250 5 316 4 077 63835 61154 5 340 4 320 7 277 12 310 9 007 61154 58373 8 334 7 294 12 289 17 305 15 328 58373 55511 15 341 7 319 12 293 18 301 22 313 55511 52788 25 329 17 331 17 316 21 307 27 311 52788 50332 29 318 21 316 22 318 24 308 30 307 50332 48120 30 320 24 313 26 314 26 309 33 301 48120 46108 32 323 26 314 29 309 28 309 33 296 46108 44267 32 320 26 313 30 305 29 306 30 293 44267 42570 26 317 23 306 28 303 28 302 28 292 42570 40995 20 341 12 327 22 293 24 299 26 289 40995 39527 22 334 12 336 7 282 19 274 22 288 39527 38152 19 318 10 296 9 269 10 236 18 268 38152 36829 6 340 6 257 10 265 10 248 18 248 36829 35483 9 050 2 009 4 263 10 237 15 243 35483 34079 14 037 6 012 3 314 9 223 14 242 34079 32623 16 013 9 354 6 341 6 226 11 242 32623 31098 18 000 12 002 8 358 4 235 11 243 31098 29490 21 005 13 014 7 002 5 263 12 240 29490 27800 21 009 12 005 8 357 6 273 12 242 27800 26026 19 008 12 340 9 343 6 288 12 254 26026 24168 18 005 15 336 11 343 6 312 11 267 24168 22230 20 001 17 344 13 344 10 325 9 282 22230 20206 24 002 19 352 13 351 10 327 7 294 20206 18095 26 005 18 002 13 007 7 345 6 280 18095 15936 23 007 16 007 12 013 6 001 4 273 15936 13848 19 011 14 007 12 007 9 359 9 348 13848 11949 17 021 13 013 12 009 10 021 7 015 11949 10263 19 024 15 026 12 024 12 044 8 075 10263 8769 23 014 17 027 14 035 11 054 8 099 8769 7447 21 010 16 021 15 034 13 039 11 062 7447 6280 15 013 13 015 13*026 13 029 14 040 6280 5252 12 019 10 014 11*018 11*024 10 035 5252 4346 12 011 9 019 10 012 10*018 7 018 4346 3545 12 354 11 027 9 008 9 002 8 342 3545 2829 12 002 12*028 9 006 10 344 11 330 2829 2197 17 021 11*026 9 004 11 331 14 327 2197 1670 17 027 10 023 8 002 11 326 16 328 1670 1268 10 026 9 023 8 001 11 323 15 327 1268 992 4 030 8 021 7 000 10 322 12 322 992 824 1*120 7 020 7 360 9 322 8*316 824 729 1*115 6 020 6 359 8 320 4*308 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography