DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 58.8 - - 62.8 - - 58.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 83 - - 217 - - 12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 572 - - 1876 - - 968 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 1669 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1283 - - 2587 - - 1680 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 778 - - 1253 - - 1284 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 147 - - 299 - - 91 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 244 - - 271 - - 277 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2465 - - -4717 - - -2768 - - -1906 - - -341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3193 - - 6000 - - 5356 - - 3586 - - 1069 sfcLCL ODpotential -13767 - - -11285 - - -7947 - - -6980 - - -5756 ODpotential blCL 14494 - - 12568 - - 10534 - - 8660 - - 6484 blCL maxRH 37 - - 46 - - 59 - - 69 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 58.8 - - 62.8 - - 58.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 35.4 - - 42.0 - - 45.2 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 58.4 - - 61.3 - - 58.0 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.3 - - 35.4 - - 41.9 - - 45.1 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 83 - - 217 - - 12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 572 - - 1876 - - 968 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96284 36 298 32 304 32 293 37 293 36 304 96284 89223 16 327 14 342 6 321 17 301 15 341 89223 83753 11 340 11 006 5 033 7 326 9 005 83753 79185 7 349 9 359 4 008 6 017 6 351 79185 75229 5 352 5 337 4 303 7 022 5 331 75229 71715 5 333 3 319 7 273 5 356 6 300 71715 68519 7 319 4 281 9 267 7 310 8 276 68519 65573 9 317 8 277 11 269 12 288 11 280 65573 62833 13 312 12 284 16 274 19 275 15 278 62833 60177 18 303 17 289 19 267 22 280 21 274 60177 57414 23 297 20 291 20 282 31 272 27 276 57414 54556 25 295 26 293 27 277 31 275 32 280 54556 51834 27 298 29 291 25 285 37 278 39 281 51834 49383 28 303 28 297 33 292 38 283 41 276 49383 47178 29 310 35 297 39 288 40 282 44 272 47178 45178 32 315 38 296 38 285 42 278 47 268 45178 43361 32 321 32 303 32 287 42 273 48 265 43361 41701 35 330 33 311 33 291 41 272 45 263 41701 40169 39 331 37 309 38 293 40 276 42 264 40169 38740 41 332 41 310 42 295 41 280 43 266 38740 37392 41 335 43 312 43 296 42 280 44 265 37392 36083 42 336 43 314 40 296 39 279 46 263 36083 34746 42 338 39 317 33 293 36 277 46 262 34746 33352 32 334 32 326 29 291 35 273 43 260 33352 31904 16 317 27 338 27 291 34 271 40 258 31904 30388 5 260 20 329 24 291 29 269 37 257 30388 28791 6 185 14 293 21 295 24 268 33 252 28791 27117 6 187 12 230 13 300 20 266 30 246 27117 25365 5 203 11 193 12 241 14 253 26 240 25365 23534 4 249 7 179 16 197 17 241 23 232 23534 21626 6 252 8 188 16 192 18 217 22 225 21626 19642 9 198 15 188 18 196 18 206 23 213 19642 17577 16 171 20 187 19 195 20 199 30 196 17577 15475 23 176 27 189 22 191 25 191 33 188 15475 13452 29 178 33 181 28 185 31 188 37 186 13452 11615 29 174 35 176 34 179 36 186 39 186 11615 9986 28 171 35 172 38 176 39 185 38 185 9986 8542 26 172 33 171 38 176 40 184 37 184 8542 7260 24 174 31 173 35 177 38 184 34 186 7260 6124 21 177 28 176 30 177 32 181 30 187 6124 5121 18 179 26 181 24 176 26 175 25 184 5121 4238 15 181 23 186 19 180 20 173 19 180 4238 3460 13 185 20 190 14 195 15 179 13 181 3460 2765 11 192 17 194 10*223 10 191 10 184 2765 2152 10 203 14 199 10*261 6*222 7 191 2152 1643 8 218 10*206 10 272 5*270 5 213 1643 1251 7 231 5*225 10 274 6 277 4 260 1251 983 6 229 3 254 10 274 6 279 4 291 983 820 4 219 2 257 9 274 5 279 3*306 820 728 2*205 2 259 8 274 4 279 2*318 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography