DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 54.7 - - 55.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 173 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 367 - - 1241 - - 2046 - - 1237 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 1743 - - 711 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 1078 - - 1952 - - 2757 - - 1948 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1235 - - 1222 - - 1676 - - 1102 - - 2338 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 169 - - 296 - - 213 - - 13 W* B/S 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 20 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 215 - - 196 - - 188 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -730 - - -543 - - 905 - - 517 - - -430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1808 - - 2495 - - 1852 - - 1431 - - 1157 sfcLCL ODpotential -5727 - - -3312 - - 33 - - 110 - - -1044 ODpotential blCL 6805 - - 5264 - - 2724 - - 1838 - - 1771 blCL maxRH 86 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 54.7 - - 55.7 - - 53.7 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 46.3 - - 50.0 - - 49.9 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 54.2 - - 54.4 - - 53.1 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.1 - - 45.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 173 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 367 - - 1241 - - 2046 - - 1237 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 101 - - 101 - - 91 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 27 096 28 107 21 108 24 107 21 101 97937 90524 29 094 30 099 22 122 23 098 22 099 90524 84828 25 095 27 098 22 125 16 107 24 100 84828 80101 19 104 23 104 22 127 13 123 22 101 80101 76016 19 115 17 111 18 130 13 138 19 103 76016 72380 13 126 12 140 14 143 11 151 10 126 72380 69074 9 154 11 159 10 170 9 141 10 135 69074 66023 9 192 10 197 12 203 10 213 3 135 66023 63175 13 215 11 219 14 230 13 226 11 243 63175 60411 16 239 19 233 19 240 23 239 18 249 60411 57525 20 255 25 237 26 243 23 238 21 265 57525 54524 33 268 28 248 29 252 32 255 34 260 54524 51664 44 270 38 264 34 253 34 251 38 246 51664 49097 51 276 51 271 51 272 35 268 36 256 49097 46801 69 274 70 269 73 266 49 276 48 267 46801 44725 78 270 77 263 78 256 69 268 62 264 44725 42832 88 275 80 263 77 255 74 260 67 256 42832 41093 104 273 95 265 83 260 78 260 69 253 41093 39485 105 271 108 263 106 264 90 262 74 254 39485 37990 104 272 113 263 123 260 103 259 85 254 37990 36593 104 273 113 266 124 260 107 256 94 253 36593 35253 105 276 112 267 122 261 107 254 97 251 35253 33900 104 278 111 267 120 262 106 253 95 250 33900 32509 100 279 109 268 120 264 99 255 90 248 32509 31084 95 280 105 269 119 266 81 250 81 244 31084 29612 88 280 99 270 106 268 72 243 64 237 29612 28079 79 281 90 271 75 264 71 240 54 229 28079 26470 70 283 76 270 54 249 69 238 56 224 26470 24779 60 283 63 266 48 230 62 238 58 218 24779 23006 50 280 53 258 48 225 50 238 58 215 23006 21156 39 270 53 247 50 239 44 232 56 215 21156 19227 38 272 49 253 48 247 34 230 57 225 19227 17221 32 264 42 254 46 246 16 245 58 242 17221 15184 31 248 40 246 42 252 17 286 47 252 15184 13227 29 236 33 233 33 256 27 290 38 259 13227 11447 27 229 30 209 31 261 34 296 28 254 11447 9859 25 233 29 203 32 257 32 296 23 246 9859 8442 21 233 27 205 31 246 27 287 25 259 8442 7182 19 231 26 210 29 235 24 272 34 262 7182 6061 18 231 26 218 28 225 23 252 39 254 6061 5068 17 225 24 224 26 209 23 235 39 239 5068 4195 16 214 22 225 24 197 24 222 39 219 4195 3427 14 202 18 219 22*190 26 213 39 201 3427 2742 11 206 16 214 19*189 27 205 37 189 2742 2138 8 220 13*214 16 193 26*195 34 184 2138 1634 6 228 10*215 13 198 24*189 29 184 1634 1247 5*208 8 214 12 200 22 187 24 184 1247 981 5*188 7 215 11 201 19 187 18 185 981 820 4 183 6 215 10 201 16 187 15 185 820 727 3 182 5 215 8 202 12 187 9*185 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography