DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 66.3 - - 70.6 - - 66.0 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 308 - - 460 - - 239 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 1584 - - 2054 - - 1441 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 1574 - - 2022 - - 1395 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 852 - - 2295 - - 2766 - - 2152 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 575 - - 745 - - 812 - - 599 - - 1142 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 318 - - 397 - - 283 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 263 - - 278 - - 279 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 125 - - -1774 - - -3140 - - -2863 - - -1284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 727 - - 4069 - - 5906 - - 5015 - - 2012 sfcLCL ODpotential -38 - - -9995 - - -10941 - - -11396 - - -11410 ODpotential blCL 890 - - 12290 - - 13707 - - 13548 - - 12138 blCL maxRH 99 - - 73 - - 57 - - 61 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 66.3 - - 70.6 - - 66.0 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.5 - - 51.1 - - 47.3 - - 46.8 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 64.6 - - 68.2 - - 64.6 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 50.9 - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 308 - - 460 - - 239 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 141 - - 1584 - - 2054 - - 1441 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98240 10 065 11 120 6 105 5 122 4 079 98240 90894 12 077 13 092 11 104 9 095 10 090 90894 85236 13 079 15 089 13 102 10 085 11 086 85236 80543 11 073 14 090 14 099 12 095 12 084 80543 76509 14 077 11 096 13 095 12 099 12 087 76509 72947 9 094 9 104 10 103 10 093 12 081 72947 69719 9 121 9 117 7 086 6 098 7 066 69719 66750 5 063 5 140 3 184 1 188 3 057 66750 63997 7 286 2 146 8 166 10 196 6 264 63997 61338 18 241 14 241 11 233 9 227 14 237 61338 58567 23 234 20 235 19 239 16 250 16 238 58567 55683 31 240 30 243 32 247 30 256 25 256 55683 52929 41 244 41 243 46 246 44 251 40 256 52929 50456 47 246 50 243 56 243 53 246 51 252 50456 48243 53 247 55 244 60 244 58 249 58 251 48243 46234 60 249 61 246 66 247 66 251 66 249 46234 44394 65 250 66 248 70 247 74 251 73 249 44394 42689 67 249 69 250 72 247 78 251 79 248 42689 41098 69 249 71 251 74 249 82 251 85 249 41098 39602 71 248 70 251 77 251 86 251 92 250 39602 38187 73 248 69 251 80 251 90 252 96 250 38187 36817 72 248 66 252 80 252 91 252 97 249 36817 35424 69 247 62 252 76 252 90 254 95 249 35424 33980 64 247 57 252 67 254 86 255 90 250 33980 32490 57 246 54 252 56 252 73 254 85 250 32490 30938 51 246 53 252 47 247 59 252 76 251 30938 29312 44 244 54 249 41 249 48 249 63 249 29312 27615 40 242 53 245 40 253 45 249 55 247 27615 25841 36 241 51 241 40 255 44 251 48 245 25841 23985 35 239 47 237 41 251 42 251 44 244 23985 22046 33 238 42 236 42 248 38 252 39 245 22046 20022 28 238 35 236 38 245 35 255 34 247 20022 17910 22 235 28 236 30 241 28 257 27 250 17910 15761 19 230 24 236 22 241 20 251 20 247 15761 13692 16 227 19 237 17 242 15 246 16 239 13692 11811 15 221 15 233 12 241 11 241 13 224 11811 10143 13 217 13 227 10 239 8 242 10 216 10143 8664 12 213 12 217 10 223 8 232 8 213 8664 7353 11 210 12 208 12 207 10 217 8 222 7353 6192 8 213 11 205 13 201 12 212 10 232 6192 5167 6 215 10 210 12 202 13 212 11 236 5167 4267 5 238 8 233 10 216 12 220 11 248 4267 3476 7 268 9 271 7 255 11 249 12 269 3476 2772 9 281 10*279 9*282 12 274 15 284 2772 2155 10 276 10*273 12*282 16*282 17 293 2155 1644 11 266 10 263 13 279 16*281 17 285 1644 1253 10 251 10 260 13 278 16 279 15 272 1253 984 9*243 9 259 12 277 15 278 12 264 984 821 8*243 9 258 12 276 14 278 10*260 821 728 5 241 7 257 10 275 11 277 6*259 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography