DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0737z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 68.6 - - 73.1 - - 67.8 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 113 - - 133 - - 80 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1200 - - 2299 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1849 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1913 - - 3013 - - 1770 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 194 - - 1193 - - 1780 - - 1161 - - 644 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 219 - - 291 - - 189 - - 12 W* B/S 2 - - 37 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 065 - - 248 - - 294 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1894 - - -2927 - - -3050 - - -1977 - - -1009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2623 - - 4840 - - 6063 - - 3747 - - 1738 sfcLCL ODpotential -9938 - - -8383 - - -8071 - - -7171 - - -8005 ODpotential blCL 10667 - - 10296 - - 11084 - - 8941 - - 8734 blCL maxRH 60 - - 56 - - 82 - - 76 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 68.6 - - 73.1 - - 67.8 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 49.1 - - 53.8 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.3 - - 67.6 - - 72.1 - - 67.1 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 48.7 - - 47.8 - - 52.6 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 113 - - 133 - - 80 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1200 - - 2299 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 27 - - 4 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97675 16 263 6 295 13 258 8 251 14 268 97675 90315 7 230 3 262 4 271 3 298 2 329 90315 84647 4 074 4 193 2 352 2 306 6 052 84647 79940 6 081 3 218 1 008 5 318 11 038 79940 75893 9 037 4 111 5 201 8 302 12 008 75893 72338 10 343 6 015 2 296 3 291 6 345 72338 69135 12 316 8 320 10 313 8 319 9 340 69135 66189 9 299 11 301 16 292 15 296 14 330 66189 63447 14 309 15 302 19 300 17 301 19 307 63447 60775 24 303 26 295 27 298 21 303 20 295 60775 57967 34 277 28 284 29 282 27 294 26 285 57967 55024 33 277 31 284 32 278 30 280 29 272 55024 52191 39 275 41 272 44 273 38 272 35 270 52191 49640 44 269 45 257 46 257 44 264 37 271 49640 47361 48 261 45 256 42 256 41 263 37 266 47361 45307 42 264 42 259 39 264 34 269 32 267 45307 43442 41 268 39 253 39 262 35 265 30 266 43442 41738 41 267 34 248 37 251 38 251 34 252 41738 40173 42 264 31 250 30 244 34 243 32 245 40173 38722 43 259 33 256 30 253 30 249 30 241 38722 37364 38 261 28 256 31 251 31 253 28 245 37364 36058 29 252 23 244 26 239 28 251 25 251 36058 34733 22 246 21 237 24 239 27 249 24 251 34733 33358 17 252 16 237 21 245 29 258 24 255 33358 31932 13 257 15 234 23 253 29 263 26 264 31932 30437 14 270 14 251 23 262 28 261 27 268 30437 28860 14 276 15 265 20 266 27 262 23 270 28860 27205 17 278 14 271 20 263 17 274 16 271 27205 25469 21 280 17 275 22 259 18 275 14 269 25469 23654 22 284 21 276 21 266 23 271 21 266 23654 21762 20 287 21 279 18 276 27 270 22 277 21762 19787 19 292 18 285 16 280 22 275 19 282 19787 17731 17 295 16 294 13 301 14 288 13 279 17731 15635 15 302 14 293 14 301 13 297 13 287 15635 13611 16 301 14 297 15 302 15 309 14 303 13611 11763 17 298 14 300 14 316 17 318 16 318 11763 10116 17 299 12 303 12 321 17 320 15 323 10116 8653 15 301 9 297 8 303 10 309 9 310 8653 7355 13 294 9 287 7 274 7 267 8 280 7355 6204 11 280 9 279 6 263 6 243 5 249 6204 5186 8 266 7 265 6 230 6 219 4 220 5186 4290 5 240 6 234 7 215 7 202 4 175 4290 3499 3 177 7 213 6*223 6 208 4 175 3499 2792 5 124 6 203 6*236 4 236 4 189 2792 2168 6 110 3*184 6 247 5*279 3 235 2168 1650 4 098 1*076 6 249 8*295 6 288 1650 1255 2 063 1 067 6 251 8 296 9 297 1255 986 1 008 1 061 6 252 8 294 9 297 986 822 2*324 1 056 6 252 8 293 8 296 822 729 1*315 1 057 5 251 6 291 5*295 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography