DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 71.1 - - 73.7 - - 70.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 403 - - 558 - - 361 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1408 - - 1527 - - 1155 - - 496 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1515 - - 1668 - - 1308 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1265 - - 2120 - - 2239 - - 1867 - - 1208 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 465 - - 603 - - 472 - - 469 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* 146 - - 335 - - 384 - - 302 - - 111 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 278 - - 282 - - 285 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -445 - - -2764 - - -3275 - - -3031 - - -1721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1710 - - 4884 - - 5514 - - 4898 - - 2930 sfcLCL ODpotential -12541 - - -12841 - - -12918 - - -13508 - - -13702 ODpotential blCL 13806 - - 14961 - - 15157 - - 15375 - - 14910 blCL maxRH 92 - - 66 - - 63 - - 62 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 71.1 - - 73.7 - - 70.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 52.2 - - 51.6 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.3 - - 69.2 - - 71.0 - - 68.2 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 52.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 403 - - 558 - - 361 - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 553 - - 1408 - - 1527 - - 1155 - - 496 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 38 108 35 104 40 106 36 109 36 116 98946 91546 35 108 32 105 30 115 31 106 30 110 91546 85823 34 107 32 111 27 124 26 110 27 105 85823 81046 29 100 30 111 25 120 23 121 24 104 81046 76923 22 101 27 114 22 121 22 119 21 105 76923 73285 18 109 23 119 19 123 18 115 19 111 73285 69999 16 114 18 118 18 130 14 110 17 117 69999 66987 11 113 13 115 16 131 12 120 14 118 66987 64208 9 124 7 123 13 122 13 131 13 134 64208 61526 8 137 7 138 5 150 10 135 11 133 61526 58734 7 166 7 165 4 182 4 143 9 157 58734 55854 6 228 10 199 9 211 7 216 8 198 55854 53130 13 239 15 224 17 223 13 225 9 236 53130 50693 18 239 21 234 21 231 22 228 19 242 50693 48519 24 238 28 237 29 231 29 233 29 234 48519 46552 28 239 31 236 35 235 35 239 32 232 46552 44742 28 241 34 237 37 236 36 237 34 231 44742 43059 25 245 33 239 34 235 37 235 34 230 43059 41482 22 248 30 240 30 236 37 234 32 230 41482 39997 20 250 27 238 27 234 34 232 27 230 39997 38592 18 252 25 234 26 231 32 230 25 228 38592 37232 16 251 24 229 25 227 31 229 24 224 37232 35849 10 236 20 221 24 227 28 226 22 218 35849 34414 6 212 18 188 19 213 24 223 20 217 34414 32926 5 230 16 172 14 182 20 215 20 217 32926 31371 7 242 13 173 12 182 13 185 13 220 31371 29737 7 256 10 183 10 192 9 178 10 183 29737 28021 8 266 8 226 9 212 8 191 10 168 28021 26218 9 267 9 264 8 232 8 237 7 197 26218 24333 10 284 8 279 9 238 12 256 11 237 24333 22368 7 294 7 277 10 239 12 248 14 240 22368 20320 3 278 5 254 6 245 6 226 9 225 20320 18186 4 267 2 236 3 216 2 200 6 182 18186 16010 4 258 2 028 2 105 2 126 6 172 16010 13913 4 237 2 283 1 096 3 127 8 164 13913 12005 2 237 2 259 1 134 3 156 6 158 12005 10309 1 214 1 158 3 125 4 157 4 149 10309 8805 2 210 3 124 6 134 5 162 4 165 8805 7470 5 195 4 144 6 144 6 168 5 170 7470 6288 6 186 6 167 5 168 5 182 6 179 6288 5244 7 185 7 179 7 187 6 201 5 199 5244 4326 8 186 9 188 10 190 7 224 6 242 4326 3519 10 193 10 192 9 199 8 240 9 250 3519 2801 13 208 9 205 9*224 10 252 11 248 2801 2172 14 221 8*225 11*269 12*271 13 252 2172 1653 12*233 7*274 14 283 13*285 12 266 1653 1258 10*250 8 279 14 285 13 286 11*275 1258 987 7 261 8 279 14 285 13 285 10*277 987 822 6 263 7 279 13 284 12 285 9 277 822 728 5 264 6 279 11 283 10 284 7 276 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography