DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 79.4 - - 85.2 - - 80.0 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 357 - - 503 - - 342 - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 1049 - - 1508 - - 1281 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1231 - - 1632 - - 1386 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 839 - - 1762 - - 2220 - - 1994 - - 1275 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 253 - - 416 - - 565 - - 534 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* 75 - - 291 - - 368 - - 307 - - 107 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 13 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 273 - - 276 - - 279 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2917 - - -5909 - - -5934 - - -4756 - - -1401 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3756 - - 7672 - - 8154 - - 6750 - - 2676 sfcLCL ODpotential -14228 - - -13405 - - -12620 - - -12584 - - -12229 ODpotential blCL 15067 - - 15167 - - 14840 - - 14578 - - 13504 blCL maxRH 63 - - 40 - - 41 - - 49 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 79.4 - - 85.2 - - 80.0 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.5 - - 49.0 - - 52.4 - - 53.4 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.5 - - 77.5 - - 82.6 - - 78.1 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.4 - - 48.8 - - 52.3 - - 53.3 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 357 - - 503 - - 342 - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 1049 - - 1508 - - 1281 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99038 34 110 32 103 32 110 36 099 34 112 99038 91610 32 110 32 109 27 107 31 104 30 108 91610 85877 32 107 29 119 24 111 25 107 25 103 85877 81112 24 108 26 119 19 114 20 107 20 103 81112 77001 17 113 23 104 20 122 14 093 17 097 77001 73374 16 119 16 122 15 101 14 098 14 102 73374 70103 14 109 13 128 8 117 13 082 13 111 70103 67103 12 115 12 113 10 146 6 087 12 105 67103 64324 9 137 6 099 8 113 5 068 8 079 64324 61635 8 104 8 165 5 188 3 351 8 034 61635 58848 2 318 2 093 7 209 6 250 5 345 58848 55989 9 261 9 280 10 254 14 266 11 274 55989 53283 20 277 20 272 19 263 22 259 22 273 53283 50861 36 276 34 271 31 269 31 261 32 269 50861 48696 48 270 45 268 41 268 39 261 40 265 48696 46725 52 267 49 266 46 264 43 261 39 262 46725 44909 53 264 51 263 47 261 43 260 35 261 44909 43221 53 260 52 260 45 260 41 259 30 262 43221 41639 51 257 50 257 44 260 37 259 28 262 41639 40148 48 255 48 255 43 258 34 259 27 258 40148 38740 45 255 45 252 42 254 35 258 27 252 38740 37377 42 255 43 249 41 250 37 256 29 251 37377 35990 41 255 41 247 39 248 37 253 32 250 35990 34549 39 254 40 245 38 247 36 252 33 250 34549 33055 38 253 40 246 38 248 34 253 32 251 33055 31492 38 253 39 249 36 250 31 254 29 252 31492 29848 37 253 37 251 33 252 27 255 26 253 29848 28123 35 254 35 253 28 256 23 257 23 252 28123 26315 32 255 31 258 24 261 21 261 20 257 26315 24425 29 259 27 264 21 264 19 266 18 261 24425 22458 26 264 24 268 19 267 17 270 17 262 22458 20407 23 266 23 269 17 273 15 274 15 261 20407 18270 20 262 21 268 15 278 12 281 11 257 18270 16089 17 262 19 264 14 270 12 283 10 270 16089 13985 15 266 16 264 16 264 13 285 11 291 13985 12071 12 271 13 264 15 263 12 287 9 302 12071 10370 12 282 11 270 13 265 10 287 6 293 10370 8861 13 295 12 284 12 272 10 285 4 271 8861 7520 15 306 12 299 12 282 11 283 6 264 7520 6329 15 318 11 316 10 294 12 282 8 269 6329 5277 16 330 12 327 9 306 12 284 12 274 5277 4353 16 334 13 328 10 310 15 287 16 278 4353 3542 15 334 13 325 10 306 18 291 19 282 3542 2819 13 335 12 321 11*298 21 298 21 290 2819 2186 12 334 11*314 12*289 21*298 21 292 2186 1662 11 326 9*296 14 277 19*287 20*284 1662 1263 8 295 9 270 14 274 17 279 17*267 1263 989 7*251 9 267 13 271 16 275 15 261 989 824 6*245 8 265 13 271 14 273 13 258 824 728 5 243 7 264 10 269 12 272 10 256 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography