DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 30.4 - - 33.7 - - 31.1 - - 22.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 33 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 560 - - 972 - - 297 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit 1184 - - 1184 - - 1184 - - 1184 - - 1183 Hcrit BL Top 1200 - - 1760 - - 2172 - - 1497 - - 1200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 805 - - 1250 - - 2341 - - 2177 - - 951 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 116 - - 130 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 023 - - 286 - - 293 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 311 - - 847 - - 297 - - -113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1200 - - 1449 - - 1325 - - 1200 - - 1313 sfcLCL ODpotential -1561 - - -254 - - 495 - - -54 - - -2487 ODpotential blCL 2761 - - 2014 - - 1677 - - 1551 - - 3687 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 30.4 - - 33.7 - - 31.1 - - 22.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 28.4 - - 32.1 - - 30.1 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 30.3 - - 33.5 - - 31.5 - - 24.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.9 - - 28.1 - - 31.8 - - 30.1 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 33 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 560 - - 972 - - 297 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 92 - - 99 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95669 95 229 99 232 89 224 104 228 104 227 95669 88312 89 230 89 227 88 223 93 225 93 237 88312 82720 88 231 85 227 89 230 91 231 87 239 82720 78138 84 226 81 227 86 229 85 231 81 233 78138 74188 73 229 72 226 76 224 76 230 69 230 74188 70661 73 237 69 228 72 223 74 231 63 230 70661 67425 78 244 71 237 70 230 74 234 64 236 67425 64431 81 243 74 243 72 238 75 238 70 237 64431 61642 78 242 76 246 74 241 74 239 70 240 61642 58933 79 242 77 245 76 242 75 243 73 243 58933 56111 79 241 78 243 79 240 79 245 75 243 56111 53189 76 239 77 238 80 237 80 240 74 241 53189 50397 73 240 75 234 78 233 76 235 72 240 50397 47879 75 240 74 234 76 232 73 235 71 240 47879 45620 76 239 75 235 75 233 73 236 70 238 45620 43570 75 240 76 236 76 235 74 237 68 238 43570 41690 78 241 79 237 78 235 76 237 66 241 41690 39955 84 241 83 237 80 236 78 237 68 243 39955 38349 92 241 85 237 83 235 80 236 71 242 38349 36855 98 239 87 236 87 234 81 233 72 239 36855 35458 99 237 93 235 91 232 82 231 70 238 35458 34118 99 237 99 234 91 229 82 229 69 239 34118 32770 97 237 100 232 88 227 82 228 67 239 32770 31388 93 236 97 232 84 227 81 228 65 239 31388 29974 91 235 96 230 82 227 81 227 63 239 29974 28513 90 233 97 228 81 226 81 225 60 240 28513 26996 87 231 95 227 80 226 80 223 56 242 26996 25422 80 229 89 226 77 226 77 222 53 246 25422 23792 72 226 80 225 73 225 69 222 49 248 23792 22108 70 225 71 224 63 223 58 221 46 248 22108 20370 66 226 63 221 53 220 49 221 43 247 20370 18563 58 226 56 219 48 217 44 222 41 249 18563 16678 52 225 50 220 45 217 40 224 38 252 16678 14756 51 223 45 219 38 218 35 222 33 251 14756 12906 50 223 41 215 32 216 28 217 29 247 12906 11230 43 229 35 217 28 212 24 213 26 248 11230 9743 33 236 27 225 23 214 21 216 22 250 9743 8422 25 238 21 227 18 222 17 233 20 256 8422 7248 17 239 15 222 14 221 16 251 20 261 7248 6204 10 233 9 217 11 206 13 259 21 263 6204 5280 6 192 6 213 9 196 12 261 21 265 5280 4464 7 122 4 195 8 186 10 260 22 270 4464 3742 7 097 3 141 7 182 9 261 22 275 3742 3097 7 103 3 089 5 183 8 266 20 280 3097 2526 6 115 3 076 2*210 7 277 17 286 2526 2051 6 118 3*068 2*278 7 290 16 294 2051 1688 6 103 2*052 2 288 7*292 15 298 1688 1438 5 074 1 012 2 288 6*292 12 295 1438 1286 3 058 1 008 2 289 5 293 9*291 1286 1200 1*047 1 003 2 291 3 293 4*285 1200 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography