DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 57.3 - - 61.9 - - 60.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 23 - - 60 - - 63 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 871 - - 1787 - - 1538 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1093 - - 1092 - - 1093 - - 1093 - - 1092 Hcrit BL Top 1110 - - 2071 - - 2987 - - 2738 - - 1110 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1393 - - 1313 - - 1913 - - 2348 - - 3567 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 114 - - 202 - - 194 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 300 - - 313 - - 319 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -147 - - 624 - - 318 - - 359 - - -1083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1257 - - 1447 - - 2669 - - 2379 - - 2193 sfcLCL ODpotential -1774 - - 271 - - -521 - - -591 - - -1915 ODpotential blCL 2884 - - 1800 - - 3508 - - 3329 - - 3025 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 20 - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 57.3 - - 61.9 - - 60.1 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.5 - - 54.6 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 57.3 - - 61.4 - - 59.8 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.5 - - 54.4 - - 53.1 - - 52.8 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 23 - - 60 - - 63 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 871 - - 1787 - - 1538 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98051 5 063 10 185 5 171 9 263 10 003 98051 90732 4 046 8 178 4 218 2 305 1 264 90732 85086 3 047 4 178 5 226 6 351 2 194 85086 80392 2 078 1 145 6 236 6 320 5 307 80392 76351 3 095 0 040 7 258 6 288 10 307 76351 72780 10 313 5 299 11 260 8 282 11 299 72780 69546 9 300 6 300 9 280 14 299 15 307 69546 66577 11 298 16 267 16 246 18 268 17 290 66577 63839 18 286 15 267 14 260 21 265 26 279 63839 61206 27 289 22 279 25 277 28 268 32 268 61206 58446 30 281 33 278 33 276 32 267 34 266 58446 55552 38 273 40 270 38 269 39 269 42 265 55552 52782 47 264 44 258 47 262 51 269 54 263 52782 50299 54 260 46 254 54 255 62 261 64 261 50299 48076 61 263 54 260 55 251 65 250 67 257 48076 46054 69 260 67 263 58 254 64 248 69 257 46054 44204 68 252 76 260 69 253 70 253 83 260 44204 42505 61 245 75 256 81 249 85 252 100 257 42505 40931 56 249 69 254 87 246 99 245 109 248 40931 39459 54 256 66 254 85 246 102 242 112 241 39459 38072 49 260 65 255 81 247 98 242 111 240 38072 36728 44 263 65 254 79 249 94 243 105 244 36728 35363 41 264 67 252 78 250 94 242 100 249 35363 33951 38 262 69 249 77 249 96 242 103 254 33951 32495 38 260 70 249 76 247 97 243 110 256 32495 30972 39 256 67 249 76 245 95 244 112 255 30972 29368 42 251 63 249 74 244 91 247 104 255 29368 27686 46 246 59 248 71 245 87 251 89 256 27686 25926 50 244 57 246 68 247 80 254 74 258 25926 24089 52 244 56 246 65 249 69 256 63 260 24089 22179 53 245 55 248 61 252 59 257 56 262 22179 20187 52 248 52 252 54 254 54 259 51 264 20187 18106 51 252 48 255 48 255 50 262 46 267 18106 15983 49 253 45 258 42 258 43 263 42 270 15983 13938 46 250 42 261 37 264 36 265 37 272 13938 12079 44 247 40 266 34 270 31 269 32 274 12079 10428 40 247 39 268 32 276 28 280 28 279 10428 8965 37 250 38 269 33 282 28 291 26 290 8965 7668 34 254 34 269 30 287 28 300 25 301 7668 6523 33 259 28 273 26 294 27 303 22 306 6523 5516 33 268 24 282 23 304 24 303 19 310 5516 4632 35 272 23 292 21 313 22 308 19 313 4632 3854 37 268 23 299 18 319 21 317 21 311 3854 3158 36 259 21 304 17*319 18*322 21 308 3158 2543 34 247 19*304 14*316 17*322 20 305 2543 2031 29 234 17*302 13 314 14 319 19 302 2031 1638 25 231 15 300 12 312 13 318 17 299 1638 1367 19 229 13 299 11 311 11 318 13 296 1367 1203 16*228 11 299 9 311 10 317 11*295 1203 1109 8*227 7 298 7 310 7 316 5*292 1109 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography