DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.6 - - 20.8 - - 26.5 - - 27.7 - - 22.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 60 - - 70 - - -28 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 874 - - 1892 - - 0 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit 1182 - - 1183 - - 1183 - - 1184 - - 1183 Hcrit BL Top 1200 - - 2074 - - 3092 - - 1200 - - 1200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 574 - - 724 - - 1026 - - 2152 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 154 - - 210 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 18 - - 20 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 150 - - 164 - - 185 - - 169 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -9 - - -6 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1059 - - -1034 - - 415 - - -1574 - - -818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2259 - - 3108 - - 2677 - - 2774 - - 2018 sfcLCL ODpotential -15988 - - -13297 - - -8540 - - -5948 - - -8905 ODpotential blCL 17188 - - 15371 - - 11632 - - 7148 - - 10105 blCL maxRH 94 - - 95 - - 94 - - 91 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.6 - - 20.8 - - 26.5 - - 27.7 - - 22.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.6 - - 11.8 - - 19.4 - - 20.1 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 12.5 - - 20.8 - - 26.3 - - 28.2 - - 24.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.4 - - 10.8 - - 18.3 - - 19.6 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 60 - - 70 - - -28 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 874 - - 1892 - - 0 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 81 - - 74 - - 64 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97537 61 215 60 222 65 222 57 221 58 223 97537 90162 48 214 54 218 56 222 53 226 52 232 90162 84404 51 231 45 217 50 223 52 229 51 234 84404 79578 59 233 48 228 51 228 51 232 50 229 79578 75397 59 234 53 236 53 235 50 239 43 230 75397 71711 52 236 52 239 49 241 50 243 40 249 71711 68405 44 241 43 241 44 247 45 241 41 251 68405 65375 38 248 34 244 38 246 38 240 40 247 65375 62551 37 258 31 249 35 244 38 246 42 246 62551 59800 42 259 35 254 40 249 45 249 42 245 59800 56919 50 251 44 254 49 250 49 250 41 250 56919 53928 54 248 53 250 55 250 54 252 51 256 53928 51084 57 249 57 247 59 249 61 252 62 253 51084 48541 59 251 60 246 65 247 65 248 65 247 48541 46269 62 253 66 248 69 244 65 246 64 246 46269 44212 69 250 72 247 71 242 66 247 66 248 44212 42335 73 244 73 245 72 244 70 247 72 248 42335 40610 72 243 74 245 78 246 75 246 77 246 40610 39014 75 248 78 246 83 245 78 244 80 246 39014 37529 83 254 85 247 86 243 80 242 81 247 37529 36143 92 256 91 247 88 241 82 242 81 247 36143 34819 101 256 95 247 91 241 84 243 80 246 34819 33490 107 255 96 246 91 240 83 242 76 246 33490 32127 109 253 97 244 88 239 78 241 70 245 32127 30733 109 252 101 241 86 239 71 241 64 245 30733 29286 106 250 103 241 87 238 62 243 59 246 29286 27769 101 247 102 241 88 238 54 247 56 248 27769 26178 98 245 93 242 86 238 52 250 53 249 26178 24514 92 248 82 238 78 238 52 250 51 250 24514 22775 81 245 77 238 72 237 55 247 49 249 22775 20963 72 242 70 246 68 238 58 243 49 248 20963 19074 62 251 60 245 65 240 60 241 52 246 19074 17106 58 251 53 241 61 241 57 241 53 244 17106 15103 55 245 48 239 56 241 54 242 51 241 15103 13177 51 242 44 239 51 242 53 241 48 240 13177 11430 48 243 42 243 47 241 54 240 48 239 11430 9884 42 242 43 241 45 241 54 239 47 236 9884 8519 35 240 40 230 42 244 51 239 44 233 8519 7313 31 238 33 220 42 245 46 239 39 231 7313 6247 29 234 29 219 43 237 41 237 35 231 6247 5307 29 226 30 219 42 225 38 230 35 232 5307 4482 28 214 32 213 39 215 36 221 36 228 4482 3754 27 199 32 203 33*204 34 209 36 220 3754 3104 26 184 30 191 28*195 30 196 35 211 3104 2532 26 168 27*179 24 188 26 187 32 203 2532 2055 26 159 24*169 20 182 22 180 25 196 2055 1690 23 158 20 164 18 179 18 176 20 186 1690 1439 17 156 17 162 16 177 14 173 15 176 1439 1286 13*155 14 161 13 175 11*171 10*170 1286 1200 6*150 9 160 9 174 6*169 5*162 1200 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography