DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1005z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.2 - - 69.0 - - 72.8 - - 75.8 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 134 - - 158 - - 94 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 795 - - 2834 - - 3442 - - 5278 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit 1217 - - 2669 - - 3191 - - 4246 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top 1995 - - 4034 - - 4642 - - 6478 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1343 - - 1986 - - 2698 - - 2586 - - 5084 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 303 - - 341 - - 340 - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 309 - - 295 - - 308 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 102 - - 970 - - 709 - - 1199 - - -2621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1893 - - 3064 - - 3933 - - 5279 - - 3855 sfcLCL ODpotential -1101 - - 228 - - -53 - - -915 - - -4652 ODpotential blCL 3096 - - 3806 - - 4695 - - 7393 - - 5886 blCL maxRH 99 - - 95 - - 89 - - 66 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 120 - - 150 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.2 - - 69.0 - - 72.8 - - 75.8 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.0 - - 59.6 - - 59.6 - - 56.9 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.0 - - 68.3 - - 71.9 - - 75.4 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.7 - - 55.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 134 - - 158 - - 94 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 795 - - 2834 - - 3442 - - 5278 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 78 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99118 33 092 24 082 24 082 25 064 27 088 99118 91559 28 085 24 096 18 088 20 062 20 078 91559 85761 19 077 25 090 18 093 18 088 19 071 85761 80961 14 070 23 074 23 090 19 098 14 078 80961 76844 13 075 19 068 21 081 19 103 10 084 76844 73221 14 084 14 082 18 079 12 092 8 076 73221 69947 12 091 17 088 11 067 10 094 9 071 69947 66927 11 084 12 080 7 113 8 079 7 046 66927 64120 8 086 3 103 8 126 6 079 3 356 64120 61407 4 167 3 191 9 153 0 156 2 117 61407 58568 8 194 9 198 11 183 7 199 6 165 58568 55605 11 210 12 187 14 210 11 202 11 190 55605 52773 10 229 13 177 17 210 14 224 11 214 52773 50231 14 246 11 165 15 203 15 221 16 226 50231 47965 16 219 9 205 9 212 11 210 10 221 47965 45915 19 193 11 234 12 257 8 235 4 292 45915 44049 11 188 9 233 11 266 17 293 16 315 44049 42356 6 254 9 273 15 294 19 306 26 317 42356 40805 11 301 16 305 14 316 20 336 23 313 40805 39359 14 329 14 322 13 357 19 348 22 328 39359 37995 17 333 18 350 24 004 24 356 38 326 37995 36673 19 334 27 353 30 012 32 347 43 315 36673 35326 18 332 34 357 38 003 37 337 42 317 35326 33925 16 325 43 001 41 357 39 336 36 334 33925 32476 26 335 47 001 41 357 36 339 33 348 32476 30962 43 352 46 359 40 358 35 343 33 351 30962 29372 46 355 41 001 37 001 32 344 25 343 29372 27704 41 352 36 354 29 359 28 347 16 314 27704 25955 38 349 33 354 29 348 22 354 19 297 25955 24124 37 348 28 354 31 344 21 341 24 299 24124 22215 35 345 26 348 29 345 26 331 24 311 22215 20224 32 346 24 348 26 345 28 331 19 325 20224 18154 27 350 24 346 24 342 26 337 16 341 18154 16051 22 351 27 345 24 338 24 344 15 342 16051 14033 19 342 26 346 23 339 22 344 16 339 14033 12202 13 340 21 337 22 338 18 347 17 339 12202 10578 8 341 18 324 19 327 13 339 15 346 10578 9137 6 346 15 318 14 315 9 322 14 336 9137 7859 5 355 13 319 10 312 9 314 14 319 7859 6723 5 335 10 321 8 308 9*311 14 311 6723 5716 6 299 8 320 7 299 10*310 14 310 5716 4826 7 291 7*313 7*296 10 309 13 313 4826 4038 7 285 7*310 7*295 10 308 12 317 4038 3331 8 279 6 309 7 295 11 308 11 322 3331 2704 10 268 6 308 7 295 11 308 10 323 2704 2180 10*258 5 309 7 295 11 308 10 323 2180 1777 7*253 5 309 6 296 10 308 9 323 1777 1499 5 252 4 310 6 296 10 308 8 322 1499 1331 4 250 4 310 6 296 9 308 6*319 1331 1234 3 249 3 310 5 297 7 307 3*315 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography