DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -13.5 - - -9.6 - - -4.8 - - -4.9 - - -5.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 95 - - 171 - - 18 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1360 - - 1971 - - 1333 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1180 - - 1181 - - 2136 - - 1181 - - 1181 Hcrit BL Top 1198 - - 2560 - - 3171 - - 2533 - - 1199 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1259 - - 595 - - 671 - - 1255 - - 2371 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 206 - - 283 - - 119 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 24 - - 28 - - 30 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 306 - - 304 - - 303 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 21 - - 24 - - 26 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -982 - - 80 - - 639 - - -55 - - -1620 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2180 - - 2480 - - 2532 - - 2588 - - 2819 sfcLCL ODpotential -18966 - - -15760 - - 15 - - -9726 - - -13794 ODpotential blCL 20164 - - 18320 - - 3156 - - 12259 - - 14993 blCL maxRH 93 - - 89 - - 88 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -13.5 - - -9.6 - - -4.8 - - -4.9 - - -5.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -18.7 - - -16.1 - - -11.5 - - -11.9 - - -13.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot -12.3 - - -9.6 - - -5.1 - - -4.8 - - -4.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -17.8 - - -16.9 - - -12.2 - - -11.6 - - -13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 95 - - 171 - - 18 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1360 - - 1971 - - 1333 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 56 - - 52 - - 46 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95016 52 239 52 242 61 232 60 237 65 251 95016 87846 39 247 38 228 39 226 56 243 45 254 87846 82489 29 248 31 228 39 226 45 240 40 244 82489 78096 34 248 33 232 35 229 28 233 25 245 78096 74251 38 239 29 219 26 236 34 245 20 243 74251 70788 36 241 22 217 40 236 44 246 35 243 70788 67628 40 236 35 231 45 230 49 242 36 238 67628 64693 35 226 42 232 43 226 47 234 38 248 64693 61940 28 212 41 233 39 224 43 230 43 247 61940 59249 30 230 38 233 35 225 37 228 41 247 59249 56410 44 235 37 233 31 228 35 231 40 246 56410 53422 52 227 40 232 31 235 36 236 39 248 53422 50531 54 218 46 228 37 239 38 241 41 254 50531 47912 53 211 51 224 44 238 40 244 43 256 47912 45564 51 209 53 220 49 233 39 243 41 254 45564 43436 49 212 51 216 48 226 36 243 35 251 43436 41483 49 215 47 209 42 221 33 244 30 258 41483 39681 51 217 46 198 37 214 30 245 30 270 39681 38013 53 212 44 189 34 208 29 247 31 279 38013 36465 57 204 38 186 30 208 30 246 32 285 36465 35020 56 195 33 191 27 215 29 246 34 291 35020 33641 47 190 30 199 23 222 24 249 34 297 33641 32260 39 194 29 205 17 226 17 251 35 301 32260 30854 40 204 27 209 10 226 12 248 35 303 30854 29425 45 204 27 210 7 241 9 287 29 308 29425 27954 50 197 31 204 10 258 14 334 24 315 27954 26429 51 187 34 190 13 251 23 345 26 342 26429 24851 46 180 34 172 13 241 30 344 38 354 24851 23222 40 170 31 160 9 235 32 339 48 353 23222 21541 38 167 24 155 3 308 29 337 50 346 21541 19803 37 179 14 156 10 012 25 345 47 339 19803 18000 39 190 6 157 14 006 26 349 44 337 18000 16128 33 194 2 150 19 349 32 347 43 342 16128 14227 24 191 3 004 26 354 36 348 48 345 14227 12406 13 210 23 349 33 356 40 349 57 341 12406 10760 11 287 23 331 37 349 46 345 57 339 10760 9304 9 295 18 346 41 346 47 340 56 340 9304 8017 12 349 28 354 43 341 46 340 55 341 8017 6879 33 358 37 347 45 338 46 343 53 341 6879 5879 35 346 40 341 46 338 48 342 52 342 5879 5003 35 342 39 336 45 334 48 335 51 338 5003 4239 37 338 37 332 42 325 47 325 51 328 4239 3567 38 334 37 326 40*315 45 314 50 317 3567 2967 37 321 35*314 36*307 42*308 48 310 2967 2436 36 307 32*309 33 305 39*305 44 306 2436 1994 31 302 28 306 30 304 35 304 38 304 1994 1655 25 299 24 304 26 303 30 303 31 302 1655 1421 19 297 20 303 22 303 25 302 25 301 1421 1279 15*294 16 303 18 303 20 301 20*301 1279 1198 6*288 10 303 12 302 13 301 12*300 1198 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography