DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.2 - - 62.5 - - 63.4 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 97 - - 36 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 33 - - 1838 - - 1878 - - 1163 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit 1216 - - 1744 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top 1233 - - 3038 - - 3078 - - 2363 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 681 - - 1294 - - 1524 - - 2442 - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 237 - - 176 - - 86 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 18 - - 15 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 222 - - 211 - - 216 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1152 - - -997 - - 396 - - -609 - - -135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2385 - - 4036 - - 2682 - - 2972 - - 1368 sfcLCL ODpotential -5007 - - -3170 - - -651 - - -2113 - - -3212 ODpotential blCL 6240 - - 6208 - - 3729 - - 4476 - - 4445 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 30 - - 30 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.2 - - 62.5 - - 63.4 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 48.7 - - 54.7 - - 54.4 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 61.9 - - 62.6 - - 63.9 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.2 - - 47.9 - - 54.2 - - 53.9 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 97 - - 36 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 33 - - 1838 - - 1878 - - 1163 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 96 - - 101 - - 94 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98092 12 255 9 293 5 319 8 285 15 252 98092 90727 0 082 3 258 10 257 16 294 15 301 90727 85091 4 316 5 129 9 214 11 272 14 322 85091 80413 6 293 10 089 10 141 7 233 6 327 80413 76346 3 311 9 077 9 131 5 249 5 331 76346 72727 6 252 4 037 5 134 6 296 7 309 72727 69444 4 273 2 242 3 147 3 251 8 279 69444 66414 5 266 5 277 5 277 2 297 6 230 66414 63583 10 214 5 238 6 244 3 262 7 277 63583 60822 6 284 2 305 12 254 20 247 17 273 60822 57939 20 260 11 260 10 231 22 248 21 261 57939 54961 21 254 19 269 18 280 29 263 27 266 54961 52141 28 248 29 259 34 264 32 264 30 262 52141 49619 28 248 36 254 37 257 37 271 35 272 49619 47359 32 256 40 255 44 262 42 269 41 272 47359 45305 36 257 43 257 49 261 48 269 49 273 45305 43429 37 262 43 259 50 261 56 269 55 270 43429 41703 44 269 49 267 52 260 60 268 58 270 41703 40103 52 267 55 269 54 264 63 268 61 268 40103 38613 56 265 56 270 58 267 64 269 62 266 38613 37225 57 266 57 269 62 269 66 272 63 264 37225 35903 57 270 58 266 64 270 71 273 65 264 35903 34574 59 275 59 266 67 271 74 271 66 266 34574 33201 61 276 61 269 67 271 74 269 67 265 33201 31781 62 275 64 272 67 271 71 269 65 264 31781 30298 61 273 67 270 67 270 67 269 62 263 30298 28741 60 271 67 268 66 266 65 267 58 262 28741 27111 59 270 66 266 66 262 65 266 57 263 27111 25405 54 269 66 266 66 261 65 265 56 265 25405 23624 51 267 64 266 63 261 64 266 55 267 23624 21770 53 268 60 265 60 260 62 267 55 269 21770 19837 55 271 57 266 60 261 60 266 54 270 19837 17824 52 273 59 273 61 266 58 264 53 270 17824 15774 48 276 53 278 56 267 54 265 51 268 15774 13802 47 280 42 274 48 267 51 266 47 266 13802 12012 45 280 39 264 47 267 47 265 42 265 12012 10421 42 274 35 257 47 266 46 263 37 263 10421 9005 37 265 31 254 44 262 47 261 35 262 9005 7744 32 256 30 253 40 256 47 257 37 260 7744 6625 27 253 30 254 36 250 42 253 38 258 6625 5633 23 251 31 254 34 246 36 249 36 255 5633 4758 22 248 31 251 33 241 32 244 33 254 4758 3982 23 241 30 245 30 235 30 239 29 252 3982 3287 25 232 27*238 24*226 27 231 26 250 3287 2671 26 221 21*226 19*216 23*224 24 243 2671 2157 26 213 19 222 17 212 19*219 21 233 2157 1762 21 208 18 221 15 210 17 217 16 224 1762 1491 13 200 16 220 13 208 15 215 10 211 1491 1327 9*195 14 219 11 206 12 213 7 195 1327 1233 4*187 9 218 7 204 7 211 4*176 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography