DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.3 - - 74.8 - - 73.2 - - 74.2 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 239 - - 229 - - 163 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2164 - - 4495 - - 4101 - - 3918 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 1187 - - 4160 - - 3840 - - 3534 - - 1187 Hcrit BL Top 3364 - - 5695 - - 5301 - - 5118 - - 1203 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1457 - - 1041 - - 1462 - - 1505 - - 4680 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 423 - - 404 - - 355 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 26 - - 30 - - 25 - - 17 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 249 - - 270 - - 282 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 26 - - 23 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 19 - - 21 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 89 - - 1030 - - 1035 - - 356 - - -3148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3275 - - 4665 - - 4267 - - 4762 - - 4351 sfcLCL ODpotential -5647 - - 319 - - 851 - - -464 - - -5034 ODpotential blCL 9011 - - 5376 - - 4450 - - 5582 - - 6237 blCL maxRH 88 - - 94 - - 100 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.3 - - 74.8 - - 73.2 - - 74.2 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.7 - - 58.3 - - 58.5 - - 57.4 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.3 - - 74.0 - - 72.2 - - 73.5 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.0 - - 56.8 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 239 - - 229 - - 163 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2164 - - 4495 - - 4101 - - 3918 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 78 - - 99 - - 44 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99359 36 081 31 086 25 091 22 070 27 082 99359 91862 25 076 23 075 23 085 18 090 22 075 91862 86074 21 080 18 076 23 074 22 092 16 070 86074 81290 17 085 13 072 18 069 21 080 15 066 81290 77183 14 082 11 091 9 073 13 070 11 051 77183 73550 9 077 12 098 6 095 10 070 9 062 73550 70265 4 111 6 119 2 138 5 071 4 086 70265 67248 4 171 7 147 5 204 2 149 5 211 67248 64462 10 218 9 199 10 215 5 223 12 193 64462 61764 8 171 11 173 8 199 10 253 13 248 61764 58943 21 235 22 227 22 225 25 232 22 230 58943 56027 32 235 26 225 26 218 26 223 23 230 56027 53251 33 226 32 225 33 222 35 229 37 232 53251 50758 32 215 38 221 43 220 48 221 51 223 50758 48526 34 219 41 224 45 219 53 220 55 221 48526 46503 47 228 47 231 49 226 56 222 60 230 46503 44651 63 226 57 231 61 231 61 227 74 235 44651 42935 72 222 66 229 76 232 69 232 81 238 42935 41327 76 219 70 226 82 230 77 233 91 238 41327 39816 77 216 73 221 79 224 78 229 95 232 39816 38403 75 214 75 215 80 216 75 223 92 226 38403 37046 73 212 75 212 83 212 75 220 87 226 37046 35666 71 211 75 213 84 213 78 219 84 228 35666 34229 71 212 74 215 82 214 79 219 84 230 34229 32741 70 213 73 217 75 215 77 221 75 229 32741 31191 67 214 70 218 71 215 74 222 63 227 31191 29563 64 215 66 218 69 214 70 220 64 230 29563 27856 60 218 61 220 70 218 68 219 64 237 27856 26067 57 221 57 222 68 223 68 220 57 230 26067 24206 54 222 55 223 59 223 63 221 55 224 24206 22283 53 223 52 223 51 224 57 220 53 224 22283 20288 51 224 49 224 47 227 53 225 45 225 20288 18212 48 225 46 225 46 230 49 231 41 229 18212 16099 46 226 45 229 43 234 41 235 36 235 16099 14069 45 227 44 234 40 242 33 245 28 239 14069 12227 44 228 42 238 40 249 31 257 23 247 12227 10591 42 228 41 239 37 253 29 263 19 251 10591 9141 40 229 39 240 32 256 26 274 19 254 9141 7854 38 229 37 243 28 263 24 284 20 257 7854 6711 37 232 35*250 29 270 22 285 21 261 6711 5697 37 238 35*252 29*269 22*282 20 267 5697 4802 38 240 35 251 29*269 21*281 17 276 4802 4011 37*237 34 249 28 269 20 281 15 286 4011 3302 35*232 32 248 27 269 19 282 11 297 3302 2674 31 227 30 248 25 270 17 283 10 303 2674 2150 28 225 28 248 24 270 16 283 9 306 2150 1746 23 223 25 247 22 271 15 284 8 308 1746 1468 18 220 22 247 19 271 13 284 7 310 1468 1300 15 219 18 247 16 271 11 284 5 310 1300 1203 9 216 12 247 11 271 8 285 3*312 1203 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography