DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 52.4 - - 56.7 - - 57.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 223 - - 181 - - 81 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1889 - - 3015 - - 4374 - - 4556 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit 1185 - - 3030 - - 3967 - - 3628 - - 1186 Hcrit BL Top 3089 - - 4215 - - 5574 - - 5756 - - 1202 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1000 - - 868 - - 1007 - - 1150 - - 4512 Hgt.Variab. W* 224 - - 365 - - 391 - - 311 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 15 - - 12 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 315 - - 314 - - 318 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 15 - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 742 - - 1077 - - 1872 - - 1845 - - -1396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2347 - - 3138 - - 3702 - - 3911 - - 2598 sfcLCL ODpotential 106 - - -173 - - 252 - - -20 - - -2692 ODpotential blCL 2983 - - 4388 - - 5322 - - 5776 - - 3894 blCL maxRH 92 - - 87 - - 85 - - 93 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 52.4 - - 56.7 - - 57.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 42.8 - - 44.6 - - 44.9 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 51.3 - - 55.8 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 41.2 - - 42.5 - - 42.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 223 - - 181 - - 81 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1889 - - 3015 - - 4374 - - 4556 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 50 - - 38 - - 73 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98170 34 092 26 101 21 093 17 061 32 070 98170 90795 29 083 27 087 22 098 21 073 24 073 90795 85139 25 080 25 079 22 091 22 080 20 077 85139 80433 21 081 19 081 21 083 22 084 18 077 80433 76364 18 082 15 079 18 081 19 085 16 065 76364 72747 13 080 11 078 15 078 14 083 13 069 72747 69455 7 079 9 094 10 085 10 081 11 055 69455 66415 3 089 4 089 6 076 3 054 8 033 66415 63585 1 016 2 112 5 088 7 184 4 211 63585 60836 5 319 3 275 8 324 6 310 7 288 60836 57972 4 300 3 187 11 233 13 267 14 278 57972 55022 18 296 16 294 14 274 18 279 20 284 55022 52217 21 282 22 282 22 283 24 277 25 282 52217 49696 25 283 32 289 31 291 29 282 30 282 49696 47450 38 287 43 288 43 292 38 296 42 299 47450 45441 49 285 57 287 61 290 63 296 66 288 45441 43644 62 287 69 281 81 273 78 267 71 266 43644 42008 79 294 68 285 70 270 67 266 58 269 42008 40478 105 303 85 308 61 295 60 293 56 295 40478 39034 127 306 107 312 88 317 73 312 66 302 39034 37661 122 302 109 303 99 309 82 312 77 294 37661 36331 108 300 107 298 89 297 83 304 83 293 36331 34978 98 295 103 298 85 294 86 299 78 291 34978 33574 92 291 102 297 85 295 83 294 72 288 33574 32117 90 293 99 296 86 296 79 289 69 285 32117 30593 88 292 93 294 84 293 75 284 69 285 30593 28989 85 288 88 292 82 286 76 281 69 285 28989 27305 83 282 85 289 84 281 77 279 72 284 27305 25541 84 280 82 286 84 281 77 275 75 282 25541 23701 82 283 79 284 77 280 75 275 76 282 23701 21791 77 287 76 283 73 278 68 282 75 286 21791 19811 72 288 72 284 70 282 66 287 66 287 19811 17761 69 288 66 288 67 287 66 284 63 287 17761 15682 64 292 58 295 55 290 63 281 66 291 15682 13681 54 295 48 298 41 287 56 281 62 292 13681 11868 42 295 38 295 36 282 45 279 48 286 11868 10266 33 294 32 292 36 284 37 277 38 279 10266 8851 27 299 28 293 32 287 30 283 28 278 8851 7600 26 308 26 301 26 293 22 293 19 272 7600 6494 27 311 26 311 18*305 15*306 15 270 6494 5519 28 311 25 318 14*315 12*315 13 281 5519 4660 28 312 22*319 13 316 11 318 10 294 4660 3899 26 313 19*318 13 315 11 319 7 307 3899 3218 25*311 17 316 12 314 10 319 5 326 3218 2615 23*309 16 315 12 314 10 318 5 337 2615 2111 21 307 15 315 11 313 9 318 5 342 2111 1724 18 307 13 314 10 313 9 318 5 343 1724 1457 15 307 12 314 9 313 8 318 4 342 1457 1295 12 307 10 314 8 313 7 318 3*339 1295 1202 8 306 7 314 6 313 5 317 2*335 1202 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography