DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1008z - - 1332z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.2 - - 82.6 - - 86.7 - - 88.1 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 138 - - 140 - - 45 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1259 - - 3106 - - 4300 - - 4651 - - 4 BL Depth Hcrit 1188 - - 2921 - - 3824 - - 3338 - - 1188 Hcrit BL Top 2459 - - 4306 - - 5500 - - 5851 - - 1204 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1585 - - 1427 - - 1315 - - 1365 - - 2943 Hgt.Variab. W* 152 - - 324 - - 368 - - 277 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 9 - - 11 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 276 - - 260 - - 251 - - 239 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 7 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -6 - - 2 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 296 - - 311 - - 381 - - 602 - - -929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2163 - - 3995 - - 5119 - - 5249 - - 2133 sfcLCL ODpotential -3070 - - -5460 - - -4309 - - -4220 - - -2814 ODpotential blCL 5529 - - 9766 - - 9809 - - 10071 - - 4018 blCL maxRH 88 - - 74 - - 73 - - 84 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 1180 - - 770 - - 850 - - 1280 - - 3080 CAPE Temp@2m 77.2 - - 82.6 - - 86.7 - - 88.1 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.1 - - 68.7 - - 67.9 - - 68.7 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.1 - - 81.8 - - 85.9 - - 87.8 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.6 - - 67.5 - - 66.3 - - 67.3 - - 74.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 138 - - 140 - - 45 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1259 - - 3106 - - 4300 - - 4651 - - 4 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99407 36 080 29 094 25 089 37 077 29 095 99407 91886 33 077 28 090 22 093 30 081 26 084 91886 86099 27 070 25 087 21 090 21 084 21 076 86099 81300 19 064 20 085 19 080 17 088 18 078 81300 77167 15 068 19 079 18 077 14 091 13 072 77167 73519 14 067 14 069 15 062 11 086 9 077 73519 70216 11 071 12 096 9 062 8 055 10 066 70216 67175 11 074 9 070 5 047 7 007 10 042 67175 64365 7 023 7 034 3 168 6 311 4 023 64365 61665 2 078 3 309 4 213 6 260 5 251 61665 58859 10 301 8 286 7 265 6 259 7 304 58859 55960 24 276 22 279 17 272 19 257 24 295 55960 53230 23 252 29 266 28 265 30 243 37 268 53230 50815 21 253 29 256 29 270 31 248 42 250 50815 48666 33 274 29 276 42 282 47 282 39 254 48666 46708 49 275 39 289 49 273 57 275 47 273 46708 44911 53 273 38 267 51 262 60 269 56 269 44911 43241 54 272 43 259 53 254 60 259 55 266 43241 41668 52 273 50 254 53 255 57 253 54 272 41668 40179 47 277 46 255 50 254 51 261 52 278 40179 38768 40 281 42 259 49 249 50 268 51 276 38768 37396 39 285 39 259 45 254 54 271 51 271 37396 35997 43 289 37 255 38 268 49 264 50 269 35997 34544 44 291 36 249 35 270 47 261 49 269 34544 33039 40 285 30 243 30 268 44 263 45 273 33039 31470 35 275 27 251 29 261 40 265 38 277 31470 29826 33 264 28 261 33 258 35 260 33 273 29826 28109 35 261 30 266 33 255 32 261 28 266 28109 26320 38 262 34 270 33 260 29 262 24 257 26320 24456 38 259 36 270 36 265 25 262 24 255 24456 22524 37 255 38 269 39 266 30 263 24 263 22524 20520 37 252 38 268 35 269 32 269 23 266 20520 18439 36 256 35 270 31 272 33 270 24 264 18439 16324 37 270 31 271 29 270 32 265 26 262 16324 14288 33 280 28 272 28 265 30 267 25 265 14288 12434 27 287 26 268 26 260 27 275 24 268 12434 10784 25 291 25 266 26 257 25 282 23 267 10784 9313 25 287 25 276 23 264 25 280 24 266 9313 8005 26 284 26 289 19 273 23 270 23 262 8005 6843 27 285 25 295 16 276 21*259 22 258 6843 5811 24 286 20 294 15*271 20*253 23 258 5811 4897 20 287 14*281 14*266 17 242 23 259 4897 4086 18 291 11*264 13 249 15 237 23 259 4086 3358 19 290 10 259 12 248 14 236 22 257 3358 2714 19*285 9 259 12 247 13 235 20 254 2714 2175 16*278 9 260 11 248 12 235 17 249 2175 1762 14 275 8 260 10 248 11 234 14 246 1762 1477 11 274 7 261 9 248 10 234 10 241 1477 1304 9 274 6 261 8 248 8 233 7 236 1304 1204 6 274 5 262 6 248 6 234 3*221 1204 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography