DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 0709z - - 1558z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.6 - - 24.7 - - 25.7 - - 19.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 168 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2541 - - 2701 - - 3264 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2492 - - 2662 - - 2384 - - 1183 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3741 - - 3901 - - 4464 - - 1200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 905 - - 991 - - 1065 - - 3169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 316 - - 249 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 290 - - 281 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -83 - - -337 - - -15 - - -1947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3824 - - 4239 - - 4480 - - 3148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13487 - - -12868 - - -10401 - - -5850 ODpotential blCL - - - 17228 - - 16769 - - 14865 - - 7050 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 55 - - 62 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.6 - - 24.7 - - 25.7 - - 19.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 10.5 - - 10.4 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 24.0 - - 25.4 - - 23.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.1 - - 8.0 - - 8.7 - - 9.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 168 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2541 - - 2701 - - 3264 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95382 65 231 76 233 89 228 88 234 95382 88444 49 238 55 238 67 233 65 237 88444 82995 49 238 52 235 59 236 62 248 82995 78443 46 237 52 235 57 239 61 248 78443 74508 44 245 48 240 54 236 57 238 74508 70991 44 250 44 249 44 241 48 237 70991 67760 47 252 45 259 47 257 45 246 67760 64758 48 251 54 260 55 257 47 256 64758 61961 52 250 57 253 56 254 52 262 61961 59247 55 246 58 255 58 255 58 262 59247 56413 55 247 61 254 60 255 64 258 56413 53468 54 251 60 251 62 256 65 257 53468 50650 59 261 60 255 62 255 66 258 50650 48105 66 262 62 258 64 257 68 259 48105 45814 69 259 65 259 68 261 72 259 45814 43728 72 258 69 259 75 263 75 259 43728 41818 76 256 74 258 80 263 78 259 41818 40066 78 256 79 258 84 262 82 258 40066 38459 80 258 83 259 87 261 84 258 38459 36984 84 260 86 260 90 260 88 258 36984 35623 88 259 90 260 94 259 91 256 35623 34332 91 258 93 259 98 257 94 253 34332 33037 93 258 95 258 101 255 96 250 33037 31701 95 258 96 258 103 254 97 248 31701 30324 98 257 97 258 104 254 97 248 30324 28887 99 257 98 257 103 254 97 249 28887 27379 97 256 97 256 101 255 95 249 27379 25798 94 257 95 256 99 256 92 250 25798 24145 92 257 92 256 96 257 89 252 24145 22420 91 258 89 258 94 257 87 254 22420 20627 91 259 88 260 91 258 85 256 20627 18760 90 261 87 262 89 261 83 257 18760 16814 87 263 84 264 85 265 80 261 16814 14833 79 267 75 268 77 270 74 267 14833 12935 69 272 64 274 67 274 64 272 12935 11221 58 276 54 279 57 277 53 275 11221 9711 50 278 46 280 49 280 44 278 9711 8380 43 280 41 280 42 283 38 281 8380 7204 38 284 37 280 37 285 33 282 7204 6165 34 289 33 283 31 283 31 281 6165 5247 29 293 29 286 27*280 29 277 5247 4440 24*296 25*288 25*280 28 274 4440 3727 22*299 22*289 20 279 27 274 3727 3088 17 305 18 290 17 280 25 276 3088 2523 15 307 16 290 16 281 24 279 2523 2050 14 307 15 290 15 282 22 281 2050 1687 13 308 13 290 13 282 19 282 1687 1438 11 308 12 290 12 282 14 283 1438 1286 9 308 10 290 10 282 9*282 1286 1200 7 308 7 290 7 282 4*277 1200 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography