DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0650z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 39.0 - - 44.1 - - 43.2 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 2 - - 67 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 280 - - 617 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top 1232 - - 1480 - - 1817 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 724 - - 728 - - 422 - - 492 - - 601 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 39 - - 145 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 162 - - 165 - - 163 - - 114 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 207 - - 334 - - -25 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1232 - - 1273 - - 1483 - - 1257 - - 1232 sfcLCL ODpotential -11570 - - -10087 - - -7794 - - -7007 - - -6750 ODpotential blCL 12802 - - 11567 - - 9611 - - 8239 - - 7982 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 39.0 - - 44.1 - - 43.2 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 37.8 - - 42.0 - - 41.9 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 39.5 - - 43.9 - - 44.5 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 37.6 - - 41.1 - - 42.2 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 2 - - 67 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 32 - - 280 - - 617 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 96 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97011 7 224 13 267 13 221 24 243 12 253 97011 89751 2 225 11 202 13 209 13 220 14 229 89751 84229 8 289 7 159 11 197 12 226 10 247 84229 79635 5 278 3 196 9 211 16 239 11 266 79635 75660 4 243 3 213 7 209 13 225 10 254 75660 72137 15 241 5 264 9 253 10 258 5 268 72137 68932 17 230 8 240 14 217 18 241 13 215 68932 65968 9 218 11 259 11 170 12 216 12 193 65968 63207 17 236 17 248 12 240 15 212 9 194 63207 60525 33 214 26 227 18 212 14 196 24 240 60525 57738 28 215 29 221 32 228 38 222 38 213 57738 54841 26 225 33 225 44 215 40 214 38 211 54841 52037 33 229 40 216 45 211 50 221 44 218 52037 49494 43 232 39 217 45 216 56 218 55 217 49494 47214 57 230 51 227 50 224 57 222 64 220 47214 45148 69 219 66 227 65 228 69 226 71 225 45148 43259 77 210 75 217 77 223 74 225 72 228 43259 41518 80 202 77 213 86 220 84 227 85 229 41518 39920 76 201 81 214 94 213 107 224 113 222 39920 38458 75 206 88 214 89 212 112 220 119 213 38458 37104 79 210 92 220 91 223 106 221 114 214 37104 35802 81 209 100 224 102 229 112 225 118 219 35802 34482 79 204 100 221 105 226 117 225 115 218 34482 33113 78 199 97 216 101 220 112 224 107 214 33113 31702 79 200 96 216 97 218 101 221 101 210 31702 30230 80 205 97 217 95 219 98 217 100 205 30230 28678 86 214 100 219 97 222 99 216 103 201 28678 27045 84 215 97 219 97 221 96 216 102 203 27045 25331 76 205 85 208 93 217 91 215 97 206 25331 23545 75 198 85 205 86 208 90 211 90 211 23545 21690 74 199 82 203 84 202 92 208 84 216 21690 19759 71 206 77 201 80 199 91 206 75 213 19759 17744 66 209 66 201 69 195 87 205 71 204 17744 15689 58 205 55 203 63 197 73 207 73 205 15689 13713 51 195 49 204 57 203 57 211 69 210 13713 11919 49 191 49 198 55 213 49 214 58 216 11919 10325 42 195 47 199 49 217 48 209 44 217 10325 8912 33 200 37 202 43 216 42 199 36 213 8912 7655 27 210 26 205 36 216 32 189 32 212 7655 6538 26 220 19 204 26 211 22 187 28 208 6538 5550 27 225 15 206 20 201 15 191 23 202 5550 4679 28 221 15 216 17 196 12 199 20 196 4679 3912 29 211 18 218 15 196 12 209 17 193 3912 3227 30 198 22 211 15 198 13 214 17 197 3227 2624 29 186 22 201 16 198 13 211 18 198 2624 2124 26 172 18 186 14*193 11 196 17 191 2124 1743 21 169 14*171 9*168 9 167 14 181 1743 1481 15 167 11*167 8 162 7 133 9 177 1481 1323 12*166 9 164 7 160 6 124 6 174 1323 1232 6*162 5 162 5 157 3*114 2*165 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography