DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 68.5 - - 75.8 - - 76.9 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 137 - - 159 - - 28 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2 - - 1334 - - 3085 - - 3037 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 1186 - - 1565 - - 2928 - - 1187 - - 1186 Hcrit BL Top 1202 - - 2534 - - 4285 - - 4237 - - 1203 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 156 - - 973 - - 1543 - - 2027 - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 234 - - 328 - - 192 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 261 - - 325 - - 262 - - 251 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -352 - - -925 - - -766 - - -1327 - - -1729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1554 - - 3459 - - 5051 - - 5565 - - 2932 sfcLCL ODpotential -8623 - - -5307 - - -4752 - - -5684 - - -8252 ODpotential blCL 9825 - - 7841 - - 9037 - - 9921 - - 9455 blCL maxRH 80 - - 79 - - 72 - - 66 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 68.5 - - 75.8 - - 76.9 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.4 - - 57.6 - - 57.9 - - 56.8 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 67.9 - - 75.1 - - 76.9 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.1 - - 57.0 - - 57.0 - - 55.8 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 137 - - 159 - - 28 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2 - - 1334 - - 3085 - - 3037 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97832 12 308 13 305 6 313 6 259 15 282 97832 90598 11 297 11 265 11 270 13 264 11 282 90598 84976 10 297 14 230 15 273 14 274 13 290 84976 80300 9 298 9 239 14 265 13 282 10 294 80300 76289 9 297 6 284 11 254 12 292 7 283 76289 72747 9 303 8 288 8 275 10 302 6 328 72747 69540 6 322 9 301 9 310 11 298 11 316 69540 66587 10 334 11 322 10 325 13 298 15 306 66587 63850 15 315 14 327 9 333 15 300 17 308 63850 61197 19 305 17 321 11 331 13 303 16 309 61197 58423 18 315 18 314 18 312 17 311 19 306 58423 55549 24 325 20 316 23 306 22 314 19 309 55549 52820 29 310 28 319 27 312 28 309 23 313 52820 50372 31 295 35 315 31 315 27 314 25 311 50372 48180 29 291 39 306 38 318 33 319 29 316 48180 46197 30 302 39 298 38 309 36 314 32 323 46197 44390 35 322 36 298 31 310 35 315 33 324 44390 42728 46 323 34 303 32 327 28 337 25 329 42728 41183 41 317 34 313 34 334 25 001 17 331 41183 39733 37 324 33 311 32 332 22 016 5 311 39733 38361 38 331 32 312 29 333 20 020 4 332 38361 37027 40 332 35 316 29 327 17 017 7 330 37027 35665 43 331 37 312 32 320 11 001 10 323 35665 34248 43 325 37 307 31 313 16 328 13 347 34248 32780 39 315 30 300 27 307 20 319 16 347 32780 31246 37 316 28 297 22 304 19 325 17 345 31246 29631 34 316 28 297 19 300 15 309 15 355 29631 27938 31 314 28 297 20 304 14 282 6 315 27938 26168 30 317 24 314 20 306 15 292 12 240 26168 24323 30 324 23 330 18 309 13 305 10 239 24323 22403 27 331 19 341 14 314 11 292 8 233 22403 20402 21 322 16 331 12 298 11 275 7 227 20402 18315 20 304 15 317 14 292 11 289 4 222 18315 16189 20 297 16 302 16 286 11 297 8 241 16189 14146 29 298 23 301 17 299 14 305 14 265 14146 12291 34 297 29 298 20 304 17 295 16 266 12291 10641 30 295 27 293 20 296 18 288 17 261 10641 9176 24 292 23 288 18 287 16 282 16 256 9176 7876 21 296 19 294 14 277 12 268 15 245 7876 6725 17 305 16 309 10 272 10 244 14 226 6725 5707 13 318 14 319 7 266 9 210 11 202 5707 4810 11 336 11 328 6*244 8*209 8 202 4810 4015 11 345 9 332 5*246 7*213 6 212 4015 3304 8 346 7 326 4 252 4 240 4 228 3304 2675 5 339 5*323 4 262 4 255 4 248 2675 2149 7 335 4*324 3 270 3 267 4 266 2149 1745 7 313 3 324 3 277 3 277 3 278 1745 1468 5 290 3 326 3 284 3 282 3 286 1468 1299 3 276 2 329 3 286 3 285 2*286 1299 1203 0*261 2 327 2 286 2 288 1*271 1203 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography