DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.3 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 90 - - 215 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1923 - - 2514 - - 2895 - - 2673 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit 1216 - - 2135 - - 2911 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top 3123 - - 3714 - - 4095 - - 3873 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1669 - - 1092 - - 746 - - 682 - - 2338 Hgt.Variab. W* 109 - - 251 - - 351 - - 208 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 317 - - 320 - - 327 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 818 - - 954 - - 66 - - 137 - - -989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2305 - - 2760 - - 4029 - - 3736 - - 2221 sfcLCL ODpotential 392 - - 723 - - -8760 - - -9466 - - -11460 ODpotential blCL 2731 - - 2991 - - 12855 - - 13339 - - 12692 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 83 - - 85 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 46.5 - - 50.3 - - 49.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 39.2 - - 37.3 - - 38.0 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 46.2 - - 49.3 - - 49.6 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 38.5 - - 36.2 - - 37.2 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 90 - - 215 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1923 - - 2514 - - 2895 - - 2673 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 34 - - 39 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97979 11 354 9 297 13 297 16 317 20 303 97979 90652 11 019 13 317 5 297 12 316 14 324 90652 84998 14 014 8 023 4 350 9 312 12 350 84998 80305 12 319 9 049 9 360 2 346 10 345 80305 76268 4 296 5 056 2 012 2 274 4 298 76268 72682 5 260 2 209 3 232 8 253 4 293 72682 69407 8 229 8 229 12 223 17 238 17 275 69407 66399 11 231 11 251 14 210 19 230 21 259 66399 63617 21 249 19 261 12 233 17 241 23 232 63617 60902 27 239 26 254 17 245 17 265 17 241 60902 58067 21 233 25 249 30 261 34 267 26 272 58067 55150 32 254 36 252 44 252 41 256 34 268 55150 52386 43 246 47 239 46 247 45 251 42 259 52386 49910 46 239 47 238 47 245 49 248 50 256 49910 47697 44 236 48 244 50 245 54 246 59 251 47697 45690 46 238 53 247 53 247 54 245 64 246 45690 43852 52 239 60 248 59 251 53 251 65 246 43852 42152 57 240 64 244 65 250 53 258 63 247 42152 40568 57 236 60 240 62 246 53 261 59 249 40568 39084 55 239 46 244 53 245 51 259 56 251 39084 37685 50 243 36 255 38 251 42 256 50 254 37685 36335 39 247 28 272 30 262 31 266 44 260 36335 34971 28 273 26 296 26 279 27 284 33 272 34971 33568 21 301 28 308 27 294 25 299 23 288 33568 32126 34 348 30 321 27 307 23 315 18 318 32126 30625 44 353 34 330 27 319 21 324 20 330 30625 29047 46 356 34 332 28 327 20 328 20 328 29047 27388 46 357 31 331 28 330 20 332 18 326 27388 25647 46 353 30 329 28 326 20 333 17 324 25647 23829 46 350 32 331 27 319 21 331 18 329 23829 21939 45 350 34 336 26 319 24 330 20 339 21939 19969 38 349 33 338 25 322 26 331 23 342 19969 17914 23 325 31 337 24 324 23 332 22 345 17914 15818 21 306 29 338 25 324 20 329 18 350 15818 13796 22 296 23 332 23 322 20 326 17 351 13796 11958 22 290 20 320 20 321 19 324 15 354 11958 10331 23 292 18 313 17 322 17 325 13 358 10331 8892 23 296 18 311 15 323 15 332 11 359 8892 7621 23 303 19 314 14 327 13 340 9 358 7621 6499 24 307 20 316 17 331 13 348 9 357 6499 5512 22 307 20 314 16 327 13 342 10 349 5512 4648 20 310 17 315 13*322 11 330 11 336 4648 3891 18 321 17*316 13*322 10*327 10 327 3891 3217 18*323 16*317 13 321 10*327 8 329 3217 2622 17*323 16 317 13 320 10 327 8 334 2622 2126 16 323 15 317 13 320 9 326 8 334 2126 1745 14 323 14 317 13 320 9 327 7 332 1745 1482 12 322 13 317 12 320 9 326 7 328 1482 1323 10 322 11 317 10 319 7 325 5 321 1323 1232 6 321 8 317 8 319 5 325 3*316 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography