DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.9 - - 7.2 - - 6.7 - - 4.8 - - 1.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 113 - - 109 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1574 - - 2281 - - 2358 - - 1840 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1213 - - 2129 - - 2160 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top 2774 - - 3481 - - 3558 - - 3040 - - 1392 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1000 - - 667 - - 758 - - 718 - - 1422 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 260 - - 260 - - 93 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 25 - - 24 - - 22 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 300 - - 294 - - 296 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 23 - - 19 - - 17 - - 19 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 639 - - 1008 - - 1393 - - 704 - - -1138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2135 - - 2473 - - 2165 - - 2336 - - 2530 sfcLCL ODpotential 67 - - 579 - - 1032 - - 205 - - -12695 ODpotential blCL 2707 - - 2902 - - 2526 - - 2835 - - 14087 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 98 - - 95 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.9 - - 7.2 - - 6.7 - - 4.8 - - 1.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.9 - - 0.7 - - 1.7 - - -0.9 - - -5.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 11.4 - - 6.9 - - 6.4 - - 5.0 - - 1.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.5 - - -0.1 - - 0.8 - - -1.3 - - -5.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 113 - - 109 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1574 - - 2281 - - 2358 - - 1840 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 90 - - 91 - - 78 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95946 15 254 31 262 17 263 29 255 31 261 95946 88847 34 253 30 250 26 248 19 255 24 257 88847 83267 35 240 23 245 28 242 41 246 41 247 83267 78638 29 232 37 242 37 239 40 243 32 241 78638 74660 34 229 41 238 39 251 26 249 19 198 74660 71071 43 238 38 244 39 244 27 250 33 248 71071 67798 49 240 42 241 35 225 45 241 46 247 67798 64794 44 232 39 235 34 224 52 239 38 240 64794 61973 36 223 38 236 42 240 47 237 33 253 61973 59203 39 232 42 238 51 239 38 231 45 257 59203 56311 50 232 49 240 49 236 32 240 49 252 56311 53312 53 226 56 241 42 246 36 252 38 249 53312 50437 49 221 59 238 42 254 43 257 30 257 50437 47831 48 224 56 234 46 253 41 254 40 271 47831 45493 50 229 47 231 46 251 34 258 55 271 45493 43384 47 231 36 225 44 255 39 272 64 272 43384 41472 40 229 30 227 44 262 54 272 69 273 41472 39729 31 226 33 245 47 263 61 266 68 271 39729 38126 26 228 40 252 48 260 58 265 61 274 38126 36636 28 236 43 253 45 256 55 267 63 284 36636 35243 35 243 44 253 42 258 55 271 72 283 35243 33909 43 244 42 253 43 268 56 275 67 277 33909 32561 50 241 39 253 49 274 58 280 59 282 32561 31172 51 237 34 255 53 276 62 284 67 294 31172 29760 49 233 32 258 53 276 63 287 82 292 29760 28322 49 225 35 261 51 276 62 291 83 297 28322 26832 49 215 40 258 48 273 62 295 89 307 26832 25279 46 212 42 252 44 275 61 297 101 307 25279 23656 43 214 42 246 42 279 59 298 111 304 23656 21964 40 220 40 242 42 283 59 299 110 302 21964 20205 37 228 38 241 43 286 59 301 104 305 20205 18373 34 241 36 243 43 287 60 303 95 315 18373 16471 34 257 35 250 44 289 60 304 78 313 16471 14546 36 266 36 264 46 291 58 303 66 303 14546 12702 39 271 41 276 48 295 56 301 62 299 12702 11028 42 278 45 283 49 297 54 301 58 299 11028 9542 43 285 45 285 49 299 53 302 55 301 9542 8226 44 292 44 287 48 298 52 303 52 301 8226 7060 46 297 44 290 45 298 49 304 50 302 7060 6030 46 301 45 295 44 298 45 304 46 302 6030 5123 43 305 44 298 42 298 41 304 42 303 5123 4333 40 307 40 300 37 296 37 301 37 303 4333 3640 39 302 34*299 28*293 33*297 35 301 3640 3026 36*299 30*300 27*293 28*295 32 299 3026 2486 33*297 29 300 27 294 25 295 28 298 2486 2037 30 297 27 301 25 294 23 296 22 300 2037 1693 26 296 25 301 23 294 20 297 17 301 1693 1455 21 295 22 301 21 295 17 297 12*302 1455 1311 18 295 18 301 17 295 14 297 9*302 1311 1229 10 294 11 301 11 295 9 297 5 303 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography