DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0656z - - 0959z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 79.2 - - 78.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 130 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 3798 - - 2707 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1909 - - 3381 - - 1187 - - 1186 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3179 - - 4998 - - 3907 - - 1203 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3003 - - 3187 - - 3297 - - 871 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 338 - - 148 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 21 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 214 - - 217 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 8 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1176 - - -1562 - - -2053 - - -1515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4356 - - 6560 - - 5960 - - 2718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2965 - - -8068 - - -4990 - - -5463 ODpotential blCL - - - 6144 - - 13066 - - 8897 - - 6666 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 59 - - 76 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 79.2 - - 78.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.5 - - 54.6 - - 56.1 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 78.7 - - 78.3 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 53.2 - - 55.1 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 130 - - 6 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1979 - - 3798 - - 2707 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98121 9 302 7 261 9 266 5 295 98121 90798 3 335 5 262 5 269 6 300 90798 85145 5 016 2 320 5 287 10 330 85145 80463 9 011 5 352 7 314 13 328 80463 76452 10 006 5 357 6 320 10 309 76452 72909 12 342 7 343 8 345 6 295 72909 69693 12 318 7 327 10 342 6 313 69693 66729 11 310 8 326 11 337 7 317 66729 63984 11 316 11 319 11 315 7 287 63984 61325 14 313 13 289 13 297 9 287 61325 58559 16 294 18 264 24 276 22 281 58559 55723 22 289 25 262 28 267 29 269 55723 53044 31 285 27 271 29 270 30 265 53044 50633 34 281 29 280 33 272 34 267 50633 48459 37 278 35 278 38 271 37 267 48459 46475 38 274 41 273 43 271 40 269 46475 44646 41 269 45 269 48 271 46 274 44646 42945 42 265 47 264 53 268 51 274 42945 41357 42 264 47 262 59 264 60 270 41357 39870 41 263 48 260 75 264 70 263 39870 38467 39 261 52 259 80 256 67 256 38467 37106 40 262 56 261 81 258 67 246 37106 35717 42 259 61 264 75 267 70 244 35717 34267 45 260 62 266 66 272 72 250 34267 32763 45 261 53 264 60 274 68 265 32763 31200 39 256 48 263 49 269 50 270 31200 29567 33 246 43 260 42 265 35 268 29567 27866 30 236 37 257 36 257 31 260 27866 26094 24 230 28 252 32 253 29 253 26094 24249 19 237 22 255 28 250 28 248 24249 22334 16 243 19 263 24 251 25 245 22334 20336 15 241 19 270 19 254 23 238 20336 18250 16 240 19 270 18 251 23 238 18250 16123 16 240 18 262 20 243 24 250 16123 14082 15 220 19 247 23 248 24 260 14082 12236 16 202 20 229 25 258 21 264 12236 10603 15 196 19 212 23 261 19 261 10603 9155 13 197 17 204 21 258 19 260 9155 7867 10 197 16 205 19 257 20 259 7867 6722 9 225 18 213 19 256 22 255 6722 5706 12 243 21*219 19 253 24 251 5706 4810 15 247 24*217 19 245 27 246 4810 4016 18 246 24 215 19*231 29 242 4016 3305 18*243 23 214 19*220 29 238 3305 2675 17*240 22 213 18 218 29 232 2675 2149 15 238 20 212 17 216 26 224 2149 1746 13 237 18 211 15 215 21 220 1746 1468 11 235 16 211 13 214 15 213 1468 1299 9 235 13 210 11 213 11*205 1299 1203 6 235 9 210 7 211 5*191 1203 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography