DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0957z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m -0.3 - - 6.3 - - 15.5 - - 18.9 - - 16.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - -5 - - 61 - - 18 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1024 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 704 - - 705 - - 705 - - 705 - - 705 Hcrit BL Top 722 - - 722 - - 1764 - - 2466 - - 723 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 532 - - 967 - - 906 - - 1591 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 10 - - 162 - - 133 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 15 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 103 - - 111 - - 128 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1032 - - -1661 - - -534 - - 372 - - -854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1754 - - 2383 - - 2298 - - 2094 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -20386 - - -19173 - - -16756 - - -15338 - - -17382 ODpotential blCL 21108 - - 19895 - - 18520 - - 17804 - - 18105 blCL maxRH 77 - - 77 - - 74 - - 86 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m -0.3 - - 6.3 - - 15.5 - - 18.9 - - 16.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.6 - - -0.9 - - 8.6 - - 12.9 - - 12.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 0.2 - - 6.6 - - 15.2 - - 19.0 - - 16.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.4 - - -1.6 - - 7.1 - - 11.9 - - 12.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - -5 - - 61 - - 18 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1024 - - 1726 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 45 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95169 57 255 52 259 38 253 47 233 63 250 95169 88007 39 271 35 257 38 251 42 252 36 268 88007 82644 27 261 28 254 35 251 39 257 29 278 82644 78205 29 265 21 255 28 256 33 253 26 274 78205 74360 28 279 20 273 25 251 30 247 29 265 74360 70970 35 287 25 279 24 257 31 253 27 264 70970 67907 36 281 29 276 24 272 27 258 27 266 67907 65069 36 290 33 283 26 286 30 272 32 266 65069 62396 42 295 40 288 39 283 42 265 39 256 62396 59751 52 286 48 286 50 275 40 263 40 258 59751 56943 56 283 56 283 50 280 50 273 52 261 56943 54010 58 288 54 284 61 279 67 269 59 261 54010 51207 65 287 57 287 72 268 72 268 66 266 51207 48700 68 288 68 280 69 270 72 275 74 275 48700 46486 76 289 71 282 72 285 80 279 88 279 46486 44496 83 291 85 296 91 291 92 288 103 283 44496 42694 90 299 103 299 113 290 111 293 132 276 42694 41059 106 305 120 295 132 290 137 287 145 273 41059 39545 129 300 133 291 144 288 157 282 147 274 39545 38119 135 295 134 290 140 287 154 281 143 276 38119 36769 133 294 128 291 130 288 143 280 136 278 36769 35461 128 295 125 293 124 290 131 282 124 281 35461 34129 123 297 118 295 118 291 115 284 110 283 34129 32747 118 297 113 296 111 290 105 284 95 281 32747 31320 113 296 110 298 103 291 96 283 87 275 31320 29828 106 297 109 299 95 297 88 282 83 273 29828 28258 92 299 103 298 92 296 80 287 79 272 28258 26607 82 300 94 297 91 290 75 292 74 273 26607 24873 81 297 86 299 87 289 74 290 70 276 24873 23060 80 296 78 299 80 293 71 289 64 279 23060 21171 76 295 73 296 71 296 63 289 59 277 21171 19200 72 300 69 298 65 292 56 285 58 277 19200 17140 58 311 62 301 59 294 51 283 55 277 17140 15037 46 308 56 301 49 298 43 280 45 278 15037 13017 38 297 45 301 41 299 40 280 32 265 13017 11187 31 296 32 301 34 291 36 285 23 259 11187 9567 23 299 22 302 25 285 29 283 20 256 9567 8133 15 302 14 299 17 276 19 267 20 239 8133 6871 8 315 5 299 11 246 13 234 20 206 6871 5765 5 346 2 078 10 195 16 194 23 185 5765 4798 2 066 7 110 12 156 21 171 27 178 4798 3959 8 126 11 123 16 145 23 158 31 168 3959 3231 9 126 13 135 18 138 23 150 32 157 3231 2590 10 122 13 138 18 134 22*141 31 151 2590 2027 16 115 19 122 18*123 19*131 29 139 2027 1560 20 107 22 110 17*115 18 129 25 128 1560 1202 17 102 21 108 15 111 17 128 22 124 1202 956 11 092 17 105 14 109 16 126 19 122 956 807 9*089 15*105 13 108 14 126 17*121 807 722 3*075 8*103 11 107 11 125 12*120 722 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography