DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1605z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.7 - - 74.3 - - 83.8 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - -2 - - 219 - - -1 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 985 - - 4220 - - 2299 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 710 - - 3446 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 1725 - - 4960 - - 3039 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 556 - - 1518 - - 1837 - - 2112 - - 2397 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 75 - - 401 - - 119 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 19 - - 27 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 206 - - 206 - - 211 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 17 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -438 - - -95 - - 776 - - 385 - - -2153 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1165 - - 1820 - - 4184 - - 2654 - - 2880 sfcLCL ODpotential -3618 - - -1870 - - 358 - - -1027 - - -4365 ODpotential blCL 4345 - - 3595 - - 4602 - - 4066 - - 5092 blCL maxRH 88 - - 100 - - 94 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 320 - - 960 - - 940 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 70.7 - - 74.3 - - 83.8 - - 79.2 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.8 - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 69.7 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.3 - - 74.6 - - 82.7 - - 79.4 - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.7 - - 68.2 - - 67.3 - - 69.2 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - -2 - - 219 - - -1 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 985 - - 4220 - - 2299 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 101 - - 76 - - 98 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97996 15 029 10 038 5 138 10 314 6 004 97996 90750 12 017 6 016 6 022 5 166 7 287 90750 85132 4 017 2 004 6 016 4 126 7 276 85132 80445 3 019 1 072 2 333 4 350 5 334 80445 76406 4 055 4 077 2 225 6 321 6 014 76406 72845 6 058 7 063 7 133 4 259 7 349 72845 69625 6 036 5 047 9 092 5 162 3 270 69625 66673 1 097 3 088 5 072 6 123 6 184 66673 63944 5 118 3 132 1 238 2 088 7 152 63944 61310 4 033 5 156 6 225 4 277 4 222 61310 58582 7 330 3 140 7 204 10 227 14 232 58582 55784 17 283 11 279 11 266 16 256 16 236 55784 53129 16 252 21 261 25 263 29 256 30 263 53129 50755 16 304 22 263 36 256 49 252 48 257 50755 48639 25 296 27 279 32 248 42 241 50 243 48639 46698 28 285 30 286 29 250 34 239 43 248 46698 44890 31 288 37 298 29 263 39 268 52 278 44890 43200 52 298 49 294 44 286 61 283 62 277 43200 41617 68 291 56 287 64 287 62 278 63 273 41617 40129 75 287 60 284 64 281 61 270 63 274 40129 38729 71 287 58 282 40 274 58 266 55 274 38729 37370 62 288 52 284 44 269 49 266 41 260 37370 35982 45 292 43 288 44 267 36 262 37 252 35982 34532 29 292 36 284 34 264 38 258 36 247 34532 33029 19 290 28 278 24 264 36 253 40 247 33029 31457 18 267 23 265 26 252 28 239 40 240 31457 29803 17 247 21 255 27 252 22 233 36 232 29803 28069 10 246 20 250 27 249 23 242 32 229 28069 26252 14 256 23 254 29 245 23 250 27 231 26252 24357 22 248 28 253 27 240 21 251 21 241 24357 22390 22 246 28 249 22 242 19 258 19 247 22390 20344 23 251 26 256 21 241 19 256 17 244 20344 18212 24 251 25 249 23 239 20 251 20 235 18212 16041 22 240 24 240 21 230 22 242 23 237 16041 13949 21 211 24 233 20 226 21 230 25 239 13949 12048 27 201 27 215 20 218 21 218 25 232 12048 10359 27 203 30 203 23 207 27 220 25 227 10359 8862 28 209 27 201 26 203 29 218 27 221 8862 7534 29 214 25 203 27 210 29 217 28 216 7534 6358 29 216 27 208 30 212 30 221 26 217 6358 5316 29 218 30 210 33*209 31 224 25 218 5316 4398 30 219 30 211 33*208 32 220 28 216 4398 3587 31 217 30 213 32 208 31*216 31 212 3587 2862 32 216 30 215 29 206 29*213 30 204 2862 2221 32 215 29*214 27 205 26 212 26 198 2221 1687 28 211 24*208 25 205 24 211 23 195 1687 1277 22 197 21 206 24 205 22 210 20 194 1277 995 16 183 18 205 22 204 20 210 15 192 995 824 14*182 16 205 20 204 17 210 12*192 824 726 7*178 11 204 16 204 13 210 6*191 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography