DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 31.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 34 - - 60 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 706 - - 861 - - 965 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1446 - - 1601 - - 1705 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 578 - - 537 - - 566 - - 1405 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 127 - - 159 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 081 - - 076 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 428 - - 563 - - 467 - - -249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1018 - - 1038 - - 1238 - - 975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 261 - - 399 - - 336 - - -605 ODpotential blCL - - - 1185 - - 1202 - - 1369 - - 1331 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.2 - - 31.8 - - 35.8 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.9 - - 30.3 - - 33.4 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 31.7 - - 35.5 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 29.6 - - 32.6 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 34 - - 60 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 706 - - 861 - - 965 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96213 9 202 11 207 15 216 7 226 96213 89037 7 157 16 206 20 230 11 296 89037 83500 9 168 13 198 16 217 17 243 83500 78871 8 279 12 225 18 224 22 251 78871 74892 22 269 18 285 17 255 23 257 74892 71374 25 249 25 282 22 298 19 262 71374 68173 26 271 31 279 38 299 35 298 68173 65251 32 281 36 270 47 290 44 300 65251 62555 38 296 40 271 45 282 45 290 62555 59936 47 295 42 281 45 278 47 285 59936 57192 53 290 48 288 47 281 50 283 57192 54333 60 292 59 293 55 289 52 286 54333 51595 66 295 68 294 65 292 64 290 51595 49137 72 297 75 291 72 290 71 291 49137 46940 81 296 78 289 73 289 70 291 46940 44947 86 293 78 288 74 289 72 289 44947 43121 87 291 79 287 77 287 77 285 43121 41439 88 290 80 285 79 284 75 284 41439 39890 91 292 85 284 83 285 83 287 39890 38465 97 295 89 285 92 284 95 281 38465 37133 103 296 92 286 91 282 93 280 37133 35836 104 295 93 287 85 281 87 283 35836 34513 97 294 91 287 80 281 76 281 34513 33134 85 291 85 289 76 282 69 279 33134 31700 79 291 78 290 72 282 69 278 31700 30194 76 292 76 291 68 281 72 276 30194 28603 71 293 72 288 68 280 70 276 28603 26930 66 292 67 287 68 283 62 277 26930 25179 61 287 61 286 62 286 53 281 25179 23349 52 285 53 282 48 283 49 282 23349 21446 42 280 38 278 40 281 42 278 21446 19471 34 286 32 282 34 273 33 264 19471 17417 24 281 25 279 27 271 29 262 17417 15320 21 271 21 274 23 267 28 264 15320 13296 16 276 16 284 18 266 25 262 13296 11455 12 282 14 299 13 278 19 251 11455 9822 5 255 1 180 6 246 15 228 9822 8375 4 081 11 108 7 186 10 231 8375 7093 10 096 15 091 15 136 8 240 7093 5965 7 106 13 094 16 107 6 178 5965 4977 10 112 17 113 15 101 13 142 4977 4112 15 112 18 124 13 107 12 124 4112 3352 16 119 20 131 11 123 12 126 3352 2678 18 112 19 122 13 109 15 109 2678 2089 20 097 17*105 15*087 17 090 2089 1600 17*082 13*084 13*077 17 084 1600 1227 16*080 12 081 12 077 15 083 1227 970 14 079 11 079 11 076 13 082 970 814 13 079 10 079 11 076 11*081 814 725 10 078 8 078 9 076 7*080 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography