DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1009z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.2 - - 88.4 - - 93.3 - - 94.4 - - 91.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 163 - - 220 - - 109 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 291 - - 2173 - - 5995 - - 5718 - - 133 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 1836 - - 4836 - - 4247 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 1031 - - 2913 - - 6735 - - 6458 - - 873 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 744 - - 2683 - - 1073 - - 804 - - 6117 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 296 - - 461 - - 371 - - 47 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 11 - - 15 - - 17 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 246 - - 211 - - 207 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -7 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -352 - - -1142 - - 1811 - - 487 - - -4184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1383 - - 4055 - - 4924 - - 5971 - - 5057 sfcLCL ODpotential -4391 - - -2920 - - 606 - - -3756 - - -8026 ODpotential blCL 5422 - - 5833 - - 6129 - - 10214 - - 8899 blCL maxRH 88 - - 76 - - 79 - - 78 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 2080 - - 2280 - - 3270 - - 2130 - - 2290 CAPE Temp@2m 79.2 - - 88.4 - - 93.3 - - 94.4 - - 91.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.9 - - 72.7 - - 73.8 - - 70.4 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.3 - - 87.3 - - 92.0 - - 93.7 - - 91.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.7 - - 72.0 - - 72.9 - - 69.3 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 163 - - 220 - - 109 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 291 - - 2173 - - 5995 - - 5718 - - 133 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 6 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 17 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99087 37 081 32 100 28 096 32 103 30 102 99087 91654 29 087 28 095 28 096 30 088 29 102 91654 85922 30 098 25 083 28 094 28 083 27 084 85922 81145 28 098 23 088 29 089 24 080 23 088 81145 77035 24 083 22 090 25 095 18 079 21 087 77035 73406 20 069 20 087 17 101 16 092 17 071 73406 70123 15 086 14 103 14 071 14 107 11 064 70123 67131 16 104 13 131 13 029 13 095 10 129 67131 64390 12 083 17 126 4 247 15 057 15 121 64390 61737 4 031 12 101 13 163 7 295 6 087 61737 58968 3 263 9 032 15 130 11 210 10 270 58968 56127 10 244 10 292 3 039 12 145 6 240 56127 53418 16 230 21 247 18 270 7 283 2 338 53418 50974 16 209 26 235 30 248 26 256 17 266 50974 48805 13 213 23 233 30 238 30 250 29 252 48805 46856 12 250 19 244 23 234 26 246 29 247 46856 45062 25 264 24 266 19 245 19 246 26 245 45062 43386 29 260 29 270 18 261 16 254 19 242 43386 41808 24 249 29 262 20 265 17 264 18 252 41808 40319 24 253 27 256 22 261 19 266 21 261 40319 38908 24 261 25 262 24 256 21 261 25 265 38908 37538 23 269 22 266 26 255 23 255 27 267 37538 36141 20 271 16 257 27 257 25 254 28 268 36141 34685 16 262 9 243 24 257 27 255 29 269 34685 33177 13 263 5 220 19 252 25 253 27 274 33177 31602 10 278 2 213 14 228 22 244 24 278 31602 29948 10 280 1 242 12 209 22 218 23 268 29948 28216 9 280 3 228 9 199 21 205 25 248 28216 26407 6 324 4 212 7 179 16 205 23 244 26407 24520 3 332 6 193 7 176 14 208 21 257 24520 22558 7 199 9 191 8 193 12 221 21 259 22558 20512 9 219 7 186 9 191 13 222 18 248 20512 18383 5 224 6 200 9 196 11 236 12 261 18383 16217 9 197 12 229 9 227 8 271 7 288 16217 14125 11 217 15 244 9 257 6 290 5 292 14125 12216 11 224 17 241 14 248 9 276 6 291 12216 10516 14 232 18 240 20 239 15 262 8 293 10516 9007 16 234 16 234 19 241 16 258 11 290 9007 7665 11 224 13 213 17*237 16 242 13 272 7665 6475 9 272 8 202 16*217 16*229 14 257 6475 5419 18 287 7 232 16 213 18*211 17 234 5419 4485 21 278 9 255 16 212 18 209 18 227 4485 3659 21 276 13*258 16 211 18 208 18 224 3659 2918 20 271 13*256 16 210 18 207 18 220 2918 2262 24 265 13 251 15 210 17 206 17 218 2262 1714 23 249 11 242 15 209 17 206 16 216 1714 1294 19*238 10 239 14 208 16 205 15 215 1294 1004 13*230 10 238 13 208 15 205 14*215 1004 828 12 229 9 238 12 208 14 205 12*214 828 727 7 226 7 237 11 208 11 205 8 213 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography