DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.9 - - 49.9 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -30 - - 1 - - -20 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 320 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 710 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 726 - - 1060 - - 727 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 555 - - 892 - - 1155 - - 96 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 58 - - 18 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 260 - - 252 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1216 - - -1556 - - -1798 - - -1224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1942 - - 2616 - - 2526 - - 1951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10145 - - -7529 - - -5938 - - -6410 ODpotential blCL - - - 10871 - - 8589 - - 6665 - - 7137 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 73 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 47.9 - - 49.9 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 39.0 - - 41.3 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 48.2 - - 50.8 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 37.8 - - 40.3 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -30 - - 1 - - -20 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 320 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95235 44 357 44 337 39 324 41 324 95235 88484 43 353 41 331 35 316 32 323 88484 83195 46 351 40 329 44 333 27 330 83195 78729 43 347 40 330 46 336 30 338 78729 74821 35 339 35 328 39 332 34 338 74821 71330 28 323 27 318 31 319 36 326 71330 68151 29 314 25 307 31 312 31 314 68151 65203 34 311 28 301 30 313 28 314 65203 62435 36 304 34 305 32 311 34 317 62435 59741 33 296 39 300 37 307 44 311 59741 56927 37 292 41 284 42 294 41 297 56927 53986 40 287 41 279 42 287 40 289 53986 51159 39 280 48 281 48 282 48 290 51159 48616 39 284 48 277 52 279 56 289 48616 46350 42 284 46 289 56 284 58 283 46350 44303 54 295 58 297 57 284 57 280 44303 42431 67 286 68 285 60 285 57 282 42431 40707 71 273 68 275 68 286 61 281 40707 39118 80 280 79 273 79 276 64 278 39118 37651 87 276 90 265 98 258 75 280 37651 36288 92 265 89 268 93 256 96 273 36288 34987 92 266 97 279 94 261 107 258 34987 33678 99 274 95 276 100 257 108 250 33678 32323 90 269 92 274 102 255 108 250 32323 30915 91 271 92 272 103 257 108 253 30915 29440 96 276 93 269 102 261 106 257 29440 27886 98 281 94 268 99 266 104 262 27886 26257 94 286 96 269 96 268 99 267 26257 24557 89 289 96 270 94 268 92 270 24557 22791 85 288 91 267 92 269 85 277 22791 20963 74 285 87 264 86 275 79 283 20963 19065 76 280 86 271 80 283 65 286 19065 17090 71 282 79 279 76 287 58 278 17090 15076 59 283 63 276 65 284 56 276 15076 13137 44 278 47 273 51 287 47 278 13137 11375 35 272 48 282 46 290 44 279 11375 9806 40 278 48 278 45 286 48 278 9806 8407 44 286 49 278 44 280 44 286 8407 7159 43 286 47 282 43 277 39 293 7159 6049 40 279 45 284 41 278 34 284 6049 5063 39 272 39 288 37 277 36 277 5063 4194 39 270 34 291 32 272 37 281 4194 3427 38 271 29 285 30 270 38 282 3427 2741 39 268 28 283 30 270 36 277 2741 2136 42 260 29 279 29 266 33 266 2136 1631 38 249 27 269 25 259 29 259 1631 1244 30 238 21*262 20 254 26 255 1244 978 22 233 19*260 17 252 21 249 978 817 19*231 16 259 14*252 18*247 817 726 12*229 12 259 10*252 8*241 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography