DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.5 - - 25.4 - - 37.9 - - 48.3 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 41 - - 119 - - 40 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 152 - - 974 - - 1587 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 707 - - 708 - - 709 - - 710 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top 725 - - 892 - - 1714 - - 2327 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 204 - - 517 - - 457 - - 772 - - 1136 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 75 - - 200 - - 165 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 22 - - 28 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 176 - - 182 - - 193 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -421 - - -1 - - -505 - - -1034 - - -1069 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1146 - - 893 - - 2219 - - 3361 - - 1796 sfcLCL ODpotential -14221 - - 81 - - -8781 - - -6330 - - -7392 ODpotential blCL 14946 - - 811 - - 10495 - - 8657 - - 8119 blCL maxRH 85 - - 100 - - 84 - - 75 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.5 - - 25.4 - - 37.9 - - 48.3 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.4 - - 24.3 - - 30.9 - - 36.1 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.8 - - 25.3 - - 37.6 - - 48.4 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 25.1 - - 30.1 - - 35.8 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 41 - - 119 - - 40 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 152 - - 974 - - 1587 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 101 - - 37 - - 1 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96129 26 283 25 294 14 300 11 313 16 277 96129 89050 16 279 20 273 16 284 15 289 16 288 89050 83500 19 291 14 271 15 283 18 267 21 272 83500 78839 26 277 18 271 17 288 17 274 26 269 78839 74810 25 276 20 270 22 278 21 273 24 276 74810 71244 30 286 24 273 26 270 25 266 29 271 71244 68009 33 274 27 269 31 265 30 270 29 272 68009 65023 34 268 30 279 35 269 34 273 34 272 65023 62249 38 269 36 280 40 275 36 268 40 275 62249 59566 43 279 40 275 44 277 40 272 44 275 59566 56761 52 288 43 282 50 273 45 270 43 276 56761 53845 56 284 50 287 51 278 49 274 49 276 53845 51064 57 284 56 288 55 281 58 277 63 272 51064 48568 62 287 68 282 66 274 68 273 68 267 48568 46341 65 284 73 276 70 272 72 275 65 270 46341 44325 69 287 75 278 74 278 71 276 64 275 44325 42480 75 293 78 283 76 283 70 276 65 274 42480 40789 84 293 83 283 80 283 72 278 66 272 40789 39237 86 290 85 280 88 279 85 275 69 271 39237 37807 88 289 87 277 96 275 89 269 76 265 37807 36478 90 289 85 277 98 273 90 266 74 262 36478 35199 91 290 86 280 95 274 87 264 70 262 35199 33896 91 292 86 281 93 279 82 266 71 262 33896 32538 87 294 86 284 84 281 79 272 73 262 32538 31127 82 295 84 288 75 283 77 279 77 263 31127 29647 77 294 84 287 73 282 72 280 74 267 29647 28090 74 292 82 287 71 282 64 276 67 274 28090 26460 71 293 75 285 69 282 57 276 62 279 26460 24754 67 298 68 283 64 282 57 274 57 273 24754 22972 63 302 63 284 60 279 57 274 57 269 22972 21123 60 304 60 288 55 277 53 274 55 267 21123 19203 58 308 55 291 49 275 47 272 52 266 19203 17200 49 299 47 293 43 275 43 267 49 266 17200 15153 44 294 42 287 40 274 37 267 47 266 15153 13181 44 299 42 285 38 274 32 271 41 266 13181 11388 39 298 33 287 34 273 33 271 35 266 11388 9795 31 291 31 285 33 270 34 267 32 265 9795 8380 29 281 32 273 37 257 41 266 34 267 8380 7122 25 275 28 266 35 244 41 248 41 263 7122 6005 25 275 24 254 34 236 40 235 40 249 6005 5018 23 270 22 240 36 229 39 227 34 238 5018 4150 20 261 22 229 38 222 40 222 35 238 4150 3388 18 252 24 218 42 213 40 212 40 226 3388 2711 19 245 24 207 41 203 37*205 44 209 2711 2115 14 230 23 195 34*193 32*195 41 200 2115 1618 12 195 24 181 25*183 31 194 37 198 1618 1237 14 178 21 179 24 182 29 193 31 196 1237 975 15 176 17*177 22 181 27 192 24 194 975 816 12*173 15*176 20 181 24 192 20*193 816 726 5*166 12 175 16 180 18 191 12*192 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography