DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0958z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.7 - - 29.2 - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 19 - - 110 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 2781 - - 2981 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 706 - - 706 - - 2018 - - 707 - - 706 Hcrit BL Top 723 - - 1042 - - 3521 - - 3721 - - 724 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 370 - - 937 - - 700 - - 761 - - 2929 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 74 - - 277 - - 191 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 329 - - 309 - - 290 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -973 - - -1255 - - 1026 - - 1281 - - -868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1696 - - 2297 - - 2495 - - 2441 - - 1592 sfcLCL ODpotential -12575 - - -12902 - - 499 - - 738 - - -1089 ODpotential blCL 13298 - - 13944 - - 3022 - - 2983 - - 1813 blCL maxRH 100 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.7 - - 29.2 - - 36.4 - - 37.1 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.3 - - 22.1 - - 28.3 - - 29.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.1 - - 29.3 - - 35.8 - - 36.9 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.7 - - 21.2 - - 27.0 - - 28.2 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 19 - - 110 - - 32 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 2781 - - 2981 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 64 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97360 41 229 39 238 42 218 46 237 45 254 97360 90001 46 231 40 230 46 223 50 231 48 244 90001 84297 46 241 42 242 44 237 45 232 45 243 84297 79542 45 246 43 250 40 252 37 241 40 233 79542 75435 34 243 35 244 32 256 28 257 25 242 75435 71816 32 268 27 263 28 255 33 261 28 269 71816 68566 34 266 28 273 27 266 32 264 28 275 68566 65587 22 245 22 257 22 256 30 259 30 274 65587 62820 22 289 21 275 22 272 29 260 30 280 62820 60130 42 287 33 281 34 280 37 273 38 278 60130 57315 46 273 38 272 40 276 43 271 39 276 57315 54387 42 271 36 267 40 267 43 266 41 278 54387 51595 47 275 41 271 41 267 41 276 44 281 51595 49093 56 272 50 273 50 275 50 281 45 277 49093 46858 63 264 62 270 60 272 54 276 44 279 46858 44830 67 257 74 261 63 264 54 271 43 282 44830 42971 67 254 70 255 59 261 53 267 43 283 42971 41254 65 258 64 256 58 260 51 263 44 283 41254 39662 73 265 68 260 62 259 51 263 43 280 39662 38182 86 265 78 259 68 258 54 266 34 277 38182 36798 92 258 86 255 73 256 56 265 26 287 36798 35464 92 254 90 253 74 255 57 262 24 306 35464 34112 91 255 90 253 72 253 54 259 26 314 34112 32714 89 257 87 255 69 251 48 258 29 318 32714 31276 88 259 85 257 64 251 40 262 30 323 31276 29780 83 260 83 258 56 253 28 274 29 330 29780 28216 75 262 79 259 45 258 21 314 28 338 28216 26582 61 263 64 263 31 270 24 341 30 343 26582 24873 48 267 47 263 26 278 24 343 34 342 24873 23084 44 266 37 266 26 278 22 329 35 340 23084 21215 41 264 34 271 25 277 21 311 32 337 21215 19261 36 269 31 276 25 279 22 301 26 336 19261 17217 34 276 29 280 25 278 22 292 23 333 17217 15128 31 279 28 281 24 278 23 289 20 327 15128 13115 27 278 25 281 22 281 23 288 21 306 13115 11288 24 271 22 282 20 287 23 287 23 295 11288 9670 25 267 20 290 19 289 23 287 22 296 9670 8237 21 274 19 297 18 290 22 286 19 301 8237 6971 16 280 17 300 17 291 18 281 18 303 6971 5856 14 286 15 302 16 290 18 280 15 293 5856 4879 12 282 13 300 13 284 14 280 14 287 4879 4032 13 264 10 293 10*302 11*284 14 287 4032 3297 12 250 11 297 11*308 11*286 12 290 3297 2645 8 268 11 301 11 309 11 289 13 296 2645 2069 7 312 9 310 10 310 11 290 13 301 2069 1588 12 318 10 331 10 310 11 291 13 303 1588 1219 14 307 10*331 10 310 10 292 13 305 1219 965 10 291 9*331 9 310 10 292 11 305 965 811 9*289 8 329 9 310 9 292 10*305 811 723 3*284 6 328 8 309 8 292 6*305 723 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography