DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 70.5 - - 74.5 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 43 - - 41 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 901 - - 1701 - - 2356 - - 103 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1641 - - 2441 - - 3096 - - 843 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1483 - - 1864 - - 1579 - - 2983 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 133 - - 186 - - 212 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 242 - - 218 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 710 - - 1136 - - 753 - - -227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 931 - - 1305 - - 2343 - - 1070 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 195 - - 405 - - -368 - - -1178 ODpotential blCL - - - 1446 - - 2036 - - 3464 - - 2021 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 97 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 1410 - - 1580 - - 1450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 70.5 - - 74.5 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 66.8 - - 66.2 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 70.4 - - 74.3 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 66.1 - - 64.9 - - 66.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 43 - - 41 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 901 - - 1701 - - 2356 - - 103 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 91 - - 86 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96800 19 248 20 283 12 267 22 256 96800 89579 12 252 19 250 24 266 20 284 89579 84094 10 239 16 233 20 243 19 281 84094 79556 11 208 10 235 17 222 19 272 79556 75624 11 224 13 228 18 235 20 242 75624 72131 8 252 16 215 12 254 14 253 72131 68960 18 235 22 249 22 271 16 268 68960 66020 23 231 31 242 36 248 32 274 66020 63279 28 232 35 230 41 242 43 258 63279 60635 29 228 24 237 36 220 41 234 60635 57873 33 257 23 247 31 241 38 231 57873 54983 51 274 42 268 46 254 51 255 54983 52216 56 256 67 251 61 241 63 244 52216 49730 74 248 65 238 57 244 63 242 49730 47520 79 240 63 242 68 255 68 245 47520 45525 75 245 82 250 86 248 73 245 45525 43691 83 251 92 250 95 247 80 243 43691 42013 97 249 102 250 103 247 100 248 42013 40485 99 246 102 244 104 242 105 247 40485 39068 94 245 83 241 100 236 89 240 39068 37729 84 244 74 240 94 234 84 237 37729 36424 79 242 74 240 88 233 80 235 36424 35088 74 237 73 236 82 231 76 232 35088 33694 69 235 72 232 77 230 73 230 33694 32244 66 235 69 228 70 229 70 229 32244 30723 60 241 64 230 65 231 68 228 30723 29118 51 243 63 238 67 235 64 227 29118 27431 53 242 62 244 63 240 58 229 27431 25662 60 242 51 242 59 241 56 231 25662 23812 55 241 46 240 57 238 56 230 23812 21888 45 241 43 243 47 231 55 229 21888 19887 45 242 41 245 40 226 50 229 19887 17802 41 240 39 240 36 229 50 231 17802 15679 36 239 47 234 33 237 46 234 15679 13638 34 239 60 225 34 237 42 234 13638 11785 35 239 57 224 34 240 34 236 11785 10144 32 240 43 233 34 241 32 241 10144 8691 30 245 32 240 38 238 31 243 8691 7399 31 239 29 241 39 237 31 245 7399 6250 31 228 27 246 38 238 32 249 6250 5230 30 223 25 253 34 238 31 243 5230 4331 29 222 24 251 29 235 31 230 4331 3537 28 221 23 246 22*229 32 218 3537 2826 27 220 23*244 17*225 31 212 2826 2197 25 219 22*243 13 219 28 212 2197 1673 22*217 20 242 12 216 25 209 1673 1270 18*215 18 242 11 216 20 206 1270 993 16 214 17 242 11 215 16*204 993 824 14 214 15 242 10 215 14*204 824 728 11 213 12 242 9 215 9 202 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography