DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 11.7 - - 17.9 - - 21.2 - - 20.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 206 - - 65 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1886 - - 1993 - - 2169 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 707 - - 1761 - - 708 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2626 - - 2733 - - 2909 - - 725 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 468 - - 521 - - 727 - - 3472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 190 - - 300 - - 211 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 219 - - 207 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 484 - - -799 - - -1444 - - -2018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2143 - - 3532 - - 4353 - - 2743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 341 - - -10492 - - -10610 - - -2967 ODpotential blCL - - - 2285 - - 13225 - - 13519 - - 3692 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 86 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 11.7 - - 17.9 - - 21.2 - - 20.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.2 - - 5.0 - - 4.7 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 11.5 - - 16.8 - - 20.9 - - 21.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.6 - - 4.6 - - 4.2 - - 10.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 206 - - 65 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1886 - - 1993 - - 2169 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 46 - - 91 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 25 010 25 009 23 001 10 339 96170 89203 16 017 18 010 16 350 12 316 89203 83718 14 027 8 036 5 016 5 272 83718 79071 13 350 4 322 10 292 18 305 79071 75058 11 291 12 270 18 269 23 283 75058 71512 22 295 19 284 21 276 25 265 71512 68266 29 272 28 272 30 270 29 266 68266 65245 35 265 33 265 37 269 37 271 65245 62434 38 276 32 261 46 266 43 262 62434 59698 44 275 37 263 45 265 44 252 59698 56823 42 266 43 264 48 271 39 255 56823 53812 45 275 45 264 55 266 43 266 53812 50927 51 270 47 268 47 266 56 265 50927 48338 49 264 50 269 45 270 62 253 48338 46026 43 261 45 262 47 260 55 242 46026 43927 38 264 35 262 48 248 48 261 43927 42004 37 284 41 280 46 253 56 266 42004 40231 48 288 57 281 47 269 61 269 40231 38589 56 283 64 276 56 273 62 272 38589 37063 55 271 63 271 58 276 63 276 37063 35634 49 264 59 274 61 278 67 277 35634 34261 43 266 58 279 61 276 70 277 34261 32876 37 272 55 282 59 280 71 278 32876 31451 35 278 51 283 62 285 73 282 31451 29994 37 278 46 281 68 287 78 283 29994 28492 37 268 44 281 71 287 78 279 28492 26939 36 259 44 287 70 286 72 275 26939 25333 38 262 46 288 65 286 65 274 25333 23669 32 262 47 283 61 285 58 269 23669 21947 31 259 42 273 59 284 52 262 21947 20166 33 272 37 265 55 284 49 259 20166 18320 35 284 42 276 50 281 48 264 18320 16396 33 285 42 283 47 272 48 268 16396 14426 27 283 35 280 44 267 46 268 14426 12521 28 273 32 280 40 265 42 269 12521 10786 28 265 32 272 38 265 36 264 10786 9251 25 258 31 262 36 273 33 245 9251 7905 23 260 32 252 34 280 32 237 7905 6721 25 261 31 246 33 270 33 246 6721 5676 28 262 31 246 30 258 37 254 5676 4756 28 265 28 247 27 249 35 249 4756 3948 25 264 24 247 26 235 30 236 3948 3237 21*255 19*238 21*213 27 233 3237 2601 17*250 15*220 18*208 25 233 2601 2039 17 250 15 219 18 207 22 233 2039 1569 16 250 14 218 17 207 19 233 1569 1209 15 250 14 218 17 206 16 232 1209 961 14 249 13 218 16 206 13 231 961 810 12 248 13 217 15 206 11*231 810 724 10 248 11 218 12 205 6*229 724 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography