DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.6 - - 33.5 - - 30.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -21 - - -1 - - 10 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1043 - - 1845 - - 2043 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 709 - - 709 - - 708 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 726 - - 1783 - - 2585 - - 2783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3272 - - 1949 - - 1107 - - 1540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 60 - - 121 - - 124 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 25 - - 28 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 327 - - 323 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -125 - - 656 - - 1137 - - 1037 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 851 - - 1127 - - 1448 - - 1747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -808 - - 198 - - 566 - - 480 ODpotential blCL - - - 1534 - - 1585 - - 2019 - - 2303 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.6 - - 33.5 - - 30.4 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 31.1 - - 26.7 - - 25.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 33.6 - - 30.6 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 30.6 - - 26.0 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -21 - - -1 - - 10 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1043 - - 1845 - - 2043 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95085 64 278 63 266 59 260 63 269 95085 88171 48 267 68 270 48 272 50 253 88171 82784 43 282 49 256 43 280 43 283 82784 78272 40 292 37 278 47 286 51 299 78272 74400 43 305 45 296 52 285 52 287 74400 70963 52 309 41 296 42 284 44 285 70963 67812 51 298 35 292 41 287 40 300 67812 64883 41 284 38 298 51 294 51 304 64883 62146 35 284 49 304 56 294 56 297 62146 59480 46 300 57 304 57 292 60 286 59480 56677 60 300 61 297 62 291 59 282 56677 53744 65 292 60 287 65 290 60 290 53744 50932 64 283 59 282 62 288 63 291 50932 48403 62 281 61 283 59 289 64 293 48403 46135 64 285 63 282 66 293 68 295 46135 44075 67 285 61 281 72 291 72 296 44075 42186 70 283 60 282 72 290 76 296 42186 40443 72 281 60 283 72 290 78 293 40443 38823 73 280 62 283 72 289 76 291 38823 37308 76 280 66 283 71 289 74 294 37308 35887 80 278 68 284 71 292 75 299 35887 34525 82 274 70 285 71 295 79 303 34525 33153 83 269 72 285 72 295 83 304 33153 31743 83 266 72 284 71 296 85 307 31743 30294 78 265 68 285 69 300 87 309 30294 28792 72 266 65 289 68 303 86 309 28792 27228 70 265 60 289 63 302 77 309 27228 25605 68 264 54 294 58 301 75 312 25605 23920 60 268 53 304 52 295 74 310 23920 22178 54 277 52 314 41 291 63 304 22178 20386 51 289 48 322 39 308 49 300 20386 18533 48 294 44 323 46 316 41 292 18533 16604 45 293 40 318 48 315 41 295 16604 14630 44 287 39 305 45 316 40 303 14630 12723 48 279 41 314 43 318 40 314 12723 10986 49 277 41 330 40 322 40 318 10986 9441 44 276 40 334 39 328 40 323 9441 8070 40 275 37 334 39 331 38 325 8070 6856 37 284 36 340 37 330 35 328 6856 5782 38 296 34 339 31 329 33 333 5782 4836 38 299 30 343 29 329 29 330 4836 4011 38 299 31 346 32 329 27 324 4011 3286 38 298 32 342 33 326 26*323 3286 2637 37 295 32 334 33*325 25*322 2637 2064 34 293 31*332 32*324 24 321 2064 1586 30 289 30*329 30 324 23 321 1586 1219 26 287 27 328 28 323 21 320 1219 966 21 285 24 326 25 322 19 319 966 813 18*284 21 325 22 322 17 319 813 725 11*282 16 324 17 321 13 319 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography