DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 14.1 - - 13.8 - - 11.9 - - 9.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 55 - - 24 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1196 - - 1306 - - 1318 - - 846 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 707 - - 707 - - 707 - - 707 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1936 - - 2046 - - 2058 - - 1586 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 576 - - 398 - - 610 - - 944 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 169 - - 128 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 331 - - 333 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 440 - - 555 - - 527 - - -77 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1496 - - 1491 - - 1531 - - 1663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 134 - - -16880 - - -16858 - - -17558 ODpotential blCL - - - 1802 - - 18926 - - 18916 - - 19144 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 14.1 - - 13.8 - - 11.9 - - 9.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.6 - - 10.3 - - 8.3 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 14.1 - - 13.5 - - 12.0 - - 10.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.2 - - 9.6 - - 8.0 - - 5.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 55 - - 24 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1196 - - 1306 - - 1318 - - 846 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 96 - - 74 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95247 81 262 82 262 82 262 84 250 95247 88316 63 262 64 267 61 264 59 266 88316 82901 53 274 53 275 50 275 59 284 82901 78385 45 271 49 273 48 275 51 280 78385 74456 44 285 42 273 41 279 50 291 74456 70974 45 293 42 287 45 291 50 294 70974 67813 40 290 43 281 46 287 44 292 67813 64884 38 284 39 273 43 284 39 290 64884 62144 44 292 40 283 40 284 38 296 62144 59473 52 293 43 287 42 285 46 295 59473 56678 58 287 49 287 49 289 51 286 56678 53767 62 285 58 286 58 287 54 281 53767 50986 67 287 68 281 62 280 57 282 50986 48488 74 282 73 278 65 281 66 283 48488 46246 80 272 78 277 77 278 76 278 46246 44205 80 273 85 277 77 275 76 276 44205 42342 88 281 92 280 87 281 84 286 42342 40636 109 288 110 283 101 279 106 288 40636 39067 122 285 128 280 115 275 121 278 39067 37611 126 283 134 275 122 273 121 271 37611 36246 127 280 134 272 128 272 118 271 36246 34928 128 280 131 270 132 269 120 270 34928 33592 128 281 126 269 130 267 124 268 33592 32205 128 283 126 270 125 267 126 268 32205 30771 126 285 125 272 126 268 122 269 30771 29275 122 285 120 273 126 269 117 269 29275 27705 117 283 114 272 123 269 111 268 27705 26064 112 280 108 271 117 268 105 267 26064 24347 104 278 100 270 107 268 102 268 24347 22552 95 276 94 270 100 263 102 268 22552 20678 90 275 91 270 98 262 101 268 20678 18722 90 274 91 271 95 265 98 269 18722 16686 90 269 88 271 90 266 88 269 16686 14621 84 262 77 269 80 268 84 265 14621 12645 69 265 69 263 64 264 73 272 12645 10866 56 281 62 262 54 268 54 282 10866 9306 55 278 51 261 47 273 39 294 9306 7935 42 278 44 267 43 279 35 305 7935 6724 38 263 37 281 35 290 31 310 6724 5655 29 263 32 287 26 293 27 312 5655 4719 20 279 24 290 20 303 22 322 4719 3904 19 304 17 303 19 326 21 336 3904 3191 21 323 13 319 19 333 20 343 3191 2560 18 333 10*330 18*334 19 340 2560 2007 16*334 9*332 17*334 18*336 2007 1548 16*333 9 331 16 334 17*335 1548 1196 15 332 9 331 15 334 15 334 1196 954 13 332 9 331 13 333 13 333 954 808 12 332 8 330 12 333 12 332 808 723 9 332 7 329 9 332 8 331 723 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography