DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1007z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 77.0 - - 85.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 84 - - 186 - - 48 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1093 - - 2799 - - 3687 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 2332 - - 2025 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1833 - - 3539 - - 4427 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 529 - - 665 - - 1068 - - 1388 - - 455 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 189 - - 334 - - 246 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 22 - - 21 - - 25 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 238 - - 235 - - 235 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1947 - - -3690 - - -3835 - - -3375 - - -4075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2676 - - 5523 - - 7374 - - 7802 - - 4804 sfcLCL ODpotential -9305 - - -8331 - - -8178 - - -7676 - - -8879 ODpotential blCL 10033 - - 10164 - - 11717 - - 12103 - - 9608 blCL maxRH 64 - - 59 - - 59 - - 61 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 270 - - 410 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 77.0 - - 85.3 - - 86.8 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.9 - - 55.5 - - 55.5 - - 55.1 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 76.7 - - 84.3 - - 86.7 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 54.9 - - 54.6 - - 54.3 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 84 - - 186 - - 48 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1093 - - 2799 - - 3687 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98239 7 285 15 263 11 265 11 251 10 252 98239 90906 12 270 7 269 7 222 9 270 9 321 90906 85243 10 310 4 247 3 205 3 270 9 337 85243 80508 3 279 4 025 11 138 10 207 11 308 80508 76414 4 299 4 263 3 119 7 161 6 278 76414 72794 8 281 6 275 4 229 3 250 6 262 72794 69509 5 298 11 297 7 295 8 291 6 349 69509 66498 5 316 6 295 6 279 9 248 6 284 66498 63708 5 304 9 313 11 314 9 344 1 020 63708 61003 8 314 8 261 14 291 16 319 8 339 61003 58199 15 329 3 340 9 286 15 298 15 327 58199 55313 28 313 20 326 15 304 18 299 17 321 55313 52571 32 294 28 306 22 299 21 292 20 321 52571 50108 29 301 32 307 27 304 24 303 26 321 50108 47906 38 308 38 310 31 307 32 309 34 317 47906 45911 44 301 40 307 36 303 38 306 38 309 45911 44082 43 299 41 303 37 300 39 298 41 301 44082 42391 42 302 42 300 38 298 41 295 42 294 42391 40816 42 306 41 297 41 293 44 291 40 296 40816 39341 41 312 39 298 44 292 49 288 42 300 39341 37953 41 314 36 303 44 291 52 286 46 298 37953 36613 43 310 35 306 42 289 51 285 47 288 36613 35257 39 309 35 304 40 287 47 284 46 281 35257 33853 37 312 34 300 37 289 44 284 49 279 33853 32401 34 312 31 296 36 295 44 282 49 278 32401 30884 31 309 28 295 37 298 44 279 45 279 30884 29288 30 307 28 297 35 296 44 277 41 284 29288 27612 31 307 29 295 31 287 43 277 39 287 27612 25855 30 306 27 296 31 280 40 278 37 289 25855 24017 30 294 28 290 32 281 37 282 35 290 24017 22106 30 289 26 285 33 289 34 287 35 289 22106 20118 30 289 35 288 36 289 35 293 35 289 20118 18049 30 288 42 286 38 285 36 292 36 291 18049 15931 28 282 42 273 36 288 37 286 36 289 15931 13880 24 277 37 258 40 290 36 285 34 284 13880 12006 24 266 26 234 38 269 36 283 33 280 12006 10337 20 267 24 230 31 245 40 273 35 276 10337 8853 19 284 25 244 28 232 38 260 35 271 8853 7532 23 289 26 253 26 228 34 255 33 269 7532 6360 29 283 29 262 29 246 34 260 30 266 6360 5322 36 275 33 263 31 255 32*254 29 258 5322 4407 41 266 37 263 31 255 28*242 30 248 4407 3597 45 261 40 259 26*246 26 236 29 242 3597 2872 47 255 39 254 23*236 26 235 27 243 2872 2229 46 247 36*251 22 235 25 234 25 245 2229 1693 40 236 26*240 22 235 24 234 23 245 1693 1281 31 228 24 239 21 234 23 233 20 243 1281 998 22 222 21 238 20 233 22 233 15 240 998 826 19*221 19 237 18 233 19 232 12*238 826 728 10*219 15 237 15 233 15 232 5*233 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography