DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 53.0 - - 60.7 - - 64.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 110 - - 228 - - 108 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 694 - - 2962 - - 3513 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 709 - - 710 - - 2518 - - 2533 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 726 - - 1434 - - 3702 - - 4253 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 1478 - - 870 - - 749 - - 1334 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 174 - - 359 - - 299 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 095 - - 071 - - 070 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -163 - - -1966 - - -2203 - - -3468 - - -4155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 889 - - 3400 - - 5905 - - 7721 - - 4883 sfcLCL ODpotential -14489 - - -13154 - - -12589 - - -13231 - - -14515 ODpotential blCL 15215 - - 14588 - - 16291 - - 17484 - - 15243 blCL maxRH 88 - - 68 - - 58 - - 45 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 53.0 - - 60.7 - - 64.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 41.2 - - 37.8 - - 33.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.0 - - 52.4 - - 59.4 - - 63.7 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 40.4 - - 36.6 - - 32.3 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 110 - - 228 - - 108 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 694 - - 2962 - - 3513 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 9 066 11 094 8 078 5 099 3 303 98075 90730 13 062 16 070 14 093 11 086 14 069 90730 85065 8 032 15 072 16 100 10 073 17 063 85065 80340 11 128 7 076 12 098 7 077 8 047 80340 76258 3 099 4 121 5 111 3 083 2 173 76258 72646 9 258 3 097 1 109 3 155 3 270 72646 69385 5 224 1 048 7 326 4 093 3 253 69385 66401 3 322 0 010 7 307 6 347 3 354 66401 63651 9 346 3 348 5 236 10 309 7 348 63651 61010 6 300 7 320 4 277 8 296 7 321 61010 58265 13 327 6 316 8 282 9 289 10 301 58265 55417 19 311 12 324 10 294 12 271 15 284 55417 52694 22 308 16 304 12 296 14 283 18 294 52694 50230 25 295 20 295 20 294 23 289 23 290 50230 48018 27 293 25 299 20 298 25 280 25 279 48018 46012 29 296 24 307 18 305 22 272 25 275 46012 44172 25 300 25 317 19 307 20 275 25 268 44172 42474 26 323 27 326 21 314 18 287 22 260 42474 40893 32 334 28 328 23 317 18 297 18 260 40893 39411 32 336 26 329 22 312 19 293 17 282 39411 38015 28 335 21 325 19 306 20 286 20 293 38015 36666 24 334 21 317 20 306 18 287 21 291 36666 35300 22 336 23 313 21 308 15 309 18 302 35300 33888 22 338 21 314 21 303 18 326 16 316 33888 32431 22 340 19 318 19 303 18 328 14 329 32431 30907 23 343 20 326 16 311 16 327 13 333 30907 29300 24 344 18 326 14 321 15 332 13 323 29300 27606 25 349 13 328 10 324 11 328 13 319 27606 25827 20 358 10 336 9 308 10 308 9 303 25827 23968 16 005 9 347 6 309 10 298 10 291 23968 22035 16 017 6 349 4 317 5 303 8 298 22035 20019 15 009 6 000 3 346 3 331 4 302 20019 17913 15 353 9 002 4 010 5 333 5 341 17913 15761 13 350 12 006 7 006 9 339 9 352 15761 13683 13 349 11 355 10 358 9 355 11 013 13683 11790 17 005 13 012 13 030 10 037 10 043 11790 10106 19 038 15 048 13 076 8 070 8 069 10106 8611 13 057 14 069 11 085 7 083 6 067 8611 7297 7 073 7 085 7 073 8 079 7 066 7297 6147 5 089 7 090 6 078 9 086 8 100 6147 5137 5 070 8 086 7 100 8*086 9 104 5137 4253 4 025 7 065 5*086 7*077 10 102 4253 3474 2 045 4 082 5*078 7 073 11 098 3474 2778 6 122 7 122 5 074 7 071 12 093 2778 2163 10 113 9 116 5 073 7 069 12 088 2163 1649 12 091 9*110 5 069 7 067 12 084 1649 1255 14 079 7*097 5 067 7 066 12 080 1255 985 14 064 6 096 4 065 6 065 11 077 985 820 11*057 6 094 4 066 6 064 9*072 820 727 4*051 5 094 4 065 6 064 5*068 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography