DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 32.0 - - 35.5 - - 35.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 70 - - 153 - - 37 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2557 - - 2089 - - 3315 - - 2482 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 706 - - 707 - - 2592 - - 707 - - 707 Hcrit BL Top 3297 - - 2829 - - 4055 - - 3222 - - 724 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 609 - - 1356 - - 526 - - 1054 - - 2074 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 217 - - 327 - - 191 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 14 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 316 - - 295 - - 263 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1341 - - 677 - - 1190 - - 289 - - -688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1956 - - 2152 - - 2865 - - 2934 - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential 526 - - 142 - - 305 - - -758 - - -1135 ODpotential blCL 2771 - - 2687 - - 3750 - - 3980 - - 1859 blCL maxRH 98 - - 89 - - 84 - - 80 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 32.0 - - 35.5 - - 35.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.3 - - 25.6 - - 25.8 - - 25.4 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.1 - - 31.8 - - 34.7 - - 35.2 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.5 - - 24.5 - - 24.1 - - 23.8 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 70 - - 153 - - 37 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2557 - - 2089 - - 3315 - - 2482 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 57 - - 38 - - 21 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95640 93 244 90 252 87 247 91 247 92 254 95640 88526 71 253 69 254 67 252 70 247 68 255 88526 83029 67 260 63 257 65 260 60 257 57 258 83029 78426 67 261 61 263 64 262 60 268 55 269 78426 74460 65 265 58 266 59 265 61 271 56 276 74460 70968 61 265 55 266 54 265 58 269 57 275 70968 67808 59 264 52 268 53 267 56 266 56 273 67808 64893 59 268 52 272 53 271 54 272 56 275 64893 62179 61 270 51 272 53 270 54 272 56 273 62179 59534 60 266 50 273 51 269 51 271 54 269 59534 56751 57 266 52 275 52 274 51 275 51 273 56751 53849 58 268 55 275 55 277 55 278 53 279 53849 51082 60 272 58 275 58 278 59 281 56 284 51082 48607 63 273 62 276 61 278 65 283 61 287 48607 46405 66 271 66 275 63 278 67 282 62 285 46405 44421 66 271 69 273 64 279 65 280 59 283 44421 42611 67 274 70 275 63 282 58 286 52 287 42611 40947 69 278 68 277 63 287 60 298 51 295 40947 39408 70 280 67 283 64 295 63 303 51 299 39408 37976 71 281 68 286 69 301 62 305 50 305 37976 36636 70 281 69 289 70 302 59 306 51 311 36636 35347 67 281 71 292 67 302 58 309 52 312 35347 34039 64 284 72 292 64 305 58 312 52 309 34039 32677 62 287 69 293 62 307 56 311 50 304 32677 31263 62 292 66 297 60 309 52 307 51 297 31263 29781 64 297 65 301 58 308 51 302 54 293 29781 28219 65 300 64 304 57 306 52 296 54 291 28219 26576 65 301 63 306 57 303 52 295 53 290 26576 24854 64 301 62 306 55 303 51 296 53 287 24854 23054 62 301 60 307 52 302 50 296 53 287 23054 21179 60 303 58 309 52 300 49 296 49 289 21179 19223 58 307 55 311 50 299 49 297 45 292 19223 17182 52 310 50 314 47 298 48 298 41 294 17182 15099 47 306 44 315 43 301 43 299 39 295 15099 13099 42 302 39 316 38 306 37 299 36 295 13099 11288 38 305 37 318 34 310 32 293 34 293 11288 9680 33 307 34 323 30 311 30 287 33 290 9680 8253 32 308 29 326 25 312 28 284 31 287 8253 6990 30 313 24 325 20 307 25 278 29 284 6990 5875 25 322 21 331 19 306 22 279 27 277 5875 4896 23 332 18 337 15*300 18 276 24 276 4896 4045 20*337 17 333 12*298 15 266 22 274 4045 3304 18*332 16*329 12 297 15*265 20 273 3304 2646 17 328 16*324 11 295 15*264 19 262 2646 2068 17 326 15 316 11 294 14 263 20 250 2068 1588 16 324 14 315 11 293 13 263 19 246 1588 1218 15 324 13 313 10 292 13 262 17 244 1218 965 13 323 13 313 10 292 12 262 14 242 965 811 12 322 11 312 9 292 11 261 12*240 811 723 9 322 9 311 8 292 9 261 7*238 723 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography