DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1010z - - 1333z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.7 - - 73.6 - - 79.2 - - 81.5 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 131 - - 211 - - 127 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 107 - - 1550 - - 4029 - - 4628 - - 3262 BL Depth Hcrit 709 - - 1288 - - 3310 - - 3513 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 847 - - 2290 - - 4769 - - 5368 - - 4002 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 669 - - 1825 - - 1646 - - 1375 - - 2361 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 247 - - 397 - - 358 - - 124 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 063 - - 032 - - 025 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - -7 - - -13 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1411 - - -2936 - - -1821 - - -2101 - - -2285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2258 - - 5226 - - 6591 - - 7470 - - 6287 sfcLCL ODpotential -7787 - - -10381 - - -8965 - - -9959 - - -10371 ODpotential blCL 8634 - - 12671 - - 13734 - - 15327 - - 14373 blCL maxRH 95 - - 89 - - 73 - - 58 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.7 - - 73.6 - - 79.2 - - 81.5 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.4 - - 53.4 - - 53.0 - - 51.3 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.8 - - 72.8 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.0 - - 52.2 - - 51.1 - - 49.3 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 131 - - 211 - - 127 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 107 - - 1550 - - 4029 - - 4628 - - 3262 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99216 32 080 35 086 34 092 27 083 28 080 99216 91709 28 080 28 088 32 088 29 086 25 076 91709 85926 23 087 23 086 25 083 31 081 23 079 85926 81132 20 077 18 084 22 084 27 077 21 082 81132 77003 18 072 17 087 17 084 19 072 24 077 77003 73357 16 072 15 075 18 088 12 089 20 061 73357 70066 13 073 13 076 15 069 12 086 11 066 70066 67042 10 064 11 065 11 064 13 053 9 070 67042 64237 12 042 9 054 7 051 13 022 10 034 64237 61536 13 016 13 008 8 021 10 002 11 006 61536 58733 15 343 16 333 14 338 12 331 13 331 58733 55843 22 319 24 320 23 314 22 318 23 316 55843 53112 37 313 33 315 31 305 31 306 29 310 53112 50675 46 301 43 312 39 310 33 316 35 315 50675 48490 47 300 50 308 43 313 47 313 49 314 48490 46502 52 304 57 309 55 308 58 304 54 303 46502 44681 58 305 63 307 58 301 56 298 47 305 44681 42998 62 306 66 306 57 303 51 299 46 309 42998 41430 60 306 64 311 57 305 48 309 45 302 41430 39958 58 309 64 316 58 305 47 313 46 292 39958 38565 57 309 57 316 57 313 49 309 44 288 38565 37209 50 305 48 308 55 318 47 310 40 292 37209 35821 42 302 43 300 52 322 43 313 36 283 35821 34376 39 302 37 297 41 314 39 320 28 282 34376 32873 40 300 33 298 38 299 36 314 25 277 32873 31297 41 299 33 296 33 296 35 290 28 278 31297 29642 40 300 31 293 29 295 31 293 25 291 29642 27918 36 304 28 292 29 295 26 300 18 293 27918 26118 31 303 25 296 25 301 23 302 14 298 26118 24239 28 305 24 298 24 303 22 303 14 298 24239 22282 26 310 24 301 23 305 22 307 14 301 22282 20241 24 313 25 306 22 312 20 316 14 306 20241 18109 22 310 25 310 22 317 19 321 13 312 18109 15935 24 306 24 314 18 322 14 318 11 316 15935 13845 22 306 20 320 13 330 9 309 9 309 13845 11949 21 301 21 317 12 325 9 308 10 307 11949 10267 22 305 22 317 15 324 10 319 8 309 10267 8777 20 311 20 321 17 323 11 326 6 327 8777 7460 20 323 18 329 16 328 9 331 7 334 7460 6297 22 332 17 343 14 336 9*346 7 353 6297 5269 18 344 13 345 13*349 10*353 7 006 5269 4363 11 350 11 002 11*011 9 015 7*031 4363 3562 8 359 14 028 10 031 9 027 8*042 3562 2845 6 016 15*050 9 035 9 032 8 045 2845 2210 14 056 14*056 9 036 8 034 8 047 2210 1680 17 064 10 064 9 038 8 035 8 049 1680 1274 14 070 9 066 8 038 8 037 8 049 1274 994 9*074 8 066 8 039 8 037 8 049 994 823 7*074 7 066 7 039 7 037 7 050 823 726 5 073 6 067 6 039 6 037 5 049 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography