DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0657z - - 1000z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 87.4 - - 90.0 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 189 - - 89 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 5698 - - 8076 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 4512 - - 5773 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1726 - - 6438 - - 8816 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2120 - - 2156 - - 2025 - - 6107 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 428 - - 381 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 344 - - 310 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1805 - - 855 - - 2345 - - -3155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3531 - - 5583 - - 6471 - - 3883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3721 - - -543 - - 1426 - - -4878 ODpotential blCL - - - 5447 - - 6981 - - 7390 - - 5606 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 72 - - 87 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 420 - - 460 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 87.4 - - 90.0 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 64.0 - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 86.2 - - 89.4 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 64.3 - - 63.0 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 189 - - 89 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 5698 - - 8076 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98147 3 201 1 022 7 202 9 230 98147 90833 6 081 2 123 5 201 1 290 90833 85210 8 083 4 094 5 123 5 013 85210 80545 6 075 8 089 9 092 6 044 80545 76531 8 103 10 091 8 078 9 074 76531 72979 9 093 8 097 6 076 8 067 72979 69766 5 071 6 109 2 072 4 074 69766 66824 5 094 6 117 3 199 2 274 66824 64115 1 073 2 148 4 210 7 283 64115 61508 3 247 5 211 10 239 13 271 61508 58801 7 262 7 247 12 245 15 264 58801 55993 13 268 15 262 18 256 20 264 55993 53315 18 264 19 259 24 261 24 266 53315 50905 20 260 20 254 28 258 29 266 50905 48745 19 267 18 260 27 254 31 261 48745 46774 19 287 19 279 25 263 31 263 46774 44954 20 291 21 279 27 269 34 267 44954 43259 17 289 23 280 28 270 35 266 43259 41671 14 300 18 282 24 269 27 263 41671 40173 14 316 16 294 19 278 20 265 40173 38753 15 324 17 308 19 299 18 282 38753 37373 16 325 18 317 22 309 20 296 37373 35969 16 316 18 319 23 315 20 298 35969 34510 12 318 17 320 22 318 19 300 34510 33000 11 330 17 326 21 325 19 306 33000 31423 13 343 18 341 22 335 23 314 31423 29768 17 357 18 349 24 344 27 321 29768 28036 14 357 19 346 26 350 23 325 28036 26222 9 346 18 345 20 343 17 323 26222 24328 11 334 15 330 18 332 20 322 24328 22361 10 350 13 324 18 328 20 324 22361 20322 10 003 12 333 12 332 16 328 20322 18205 15 000 14 351 12 348 12 328 18205 16042 16 005 18 357 16 334 13 324 16042 13952 10 002 15 357 14 346 10 341 13952 12059 3 021 10 002 12 336 6 311 12059 10389 9 347 11 355 10 323 4 274 10389 8909 14 347 13 339 10*322 6 265 8909 7590 11 011 12*337 8*317 7 273 7590 6413 10 036 9*342 7 315 7 288 6413 5367 10 020 9 343 7 312 9 297 5367 4443 10 352 9 344 6 310 11 300 4443 3625 9 341 8 344 6 308 13 302 3625 2891 8 319 8 345 6 306 14 305 2891 2243 7*311 8 345 6 305 14 308 2243 1702 6*302 7 345 5 304 13 311 1702 1286 5 294 7 345 5 305 12 314 1286 1000 4 292 6 345 5 304 10 317 1000 826 4 292 6 345 5 305 8*319 826 727 3 293 5 344 4 303 4*324 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography