DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 71.1 - - 73.0 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 114 - - 46 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 913 - - 2589 - - 3595 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 1886 - - 711 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1653 - - 3329 - - 4335 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 758 - - 615 - - 1143 - - 2082 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 271 - - 224 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 23 - - 20 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 262 - - 301 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -526 - - -777 - - -2477 - - -4032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2179 - - 4106 - - 6812 - - 4760 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6025 - - -5244 - - -6815 - - -8892 ODpotential blCL - - - 7678 - - 8573 - - 11150 - - 9620 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 92 - - 78 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 71.1 - - 73.0 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 55.3 - - 45.4 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 55.2 - - 45.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 114 - - 46 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 913 - - 2589 - - 3595 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 68 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95622 56 259 60 267 60 256 68 259 95622 88707 40 273 43 270 38 262 47 272 88707 83350 33 281 31 274 29 282 31 278 83350 78897 24 276 28 272 33 279 27 292 78897 75048 20 289 19 285 28 273 27 295 75048 71615 19 317 18 305 27 292 26 298 71615 68484 27 310 21 305 28 301 30 295 68484 65587 28 303 23 301 29 294 28 294 65587 62893 38 316 31 302 31 310 38 308 62893 60289 43 306 40 295 45 296 45 288 60289 57541 39 301 45 295 43 291 45 283 57541 54666 44 296 52 305 54 301 56 296 54666 51937 64 299 65 295 67 295 66 295 51937 49495 82 295 67 284 73 287 68 286 49495 47308 82 287 60 290 71 283 65 280 47308 45323 62 286 76 296 69 290 69 289 45323 43506 66 297 75 293 75 293 77 297 43506 41835 102 300 65 303 81 290 93 298 41835 40289 94 295 85 311 71 292 107 296 40289 38840 86 296 98 306 68 300 109 294 38840 37470 90 297 97 301 68 300 106 292 37470 36144 92 291 90 296 73 296 103 292 36144 34791 103 286 84 295 76 292 99 293 34791 33382 107 286 84 297 79 290 95 293 33382 31920 103 284 85 299 79 290 92 295 31920 30391 96 281 87 300 80 291 87 294 30391 28786 92 278 86 301 82 293 81 285 28786 27105 88 276 83 302 81 294 83 279 27105 25346 88 275 78 303 77 293 81 282 25346 23512 85 276 72 292 72 290 78 283 23512 21604 77 281 70 279 70 281 73 282 21604 19618 68 283 71 279 72 278 71 283 19618 17551 58 274 70 280 70 279 74 283 17551 15451 51 276 60 281 64 274 70 280 15451 13436 39 285 50 278 54 269 60 277 13436 11609 36 288 44 276 50 270 50 277 11609 9988 36 283 40 270 44 274 43 281 9988 8552 37 277 41 265 37 285 40 295 8552 7278 38 273 41 272 33 299 37 306 7278 6148 39 268 37 282 27 300 35 315 6148 5147 39 264 34 281 22*304 33 321 5147 4265 38 269 32 274 21*302 32 322 4265 3485 38 271 28*268 21 301 32 318 3485 2788 37 264 25*262 21 301 32 315 2788 2170 34 250 25 262 20 300 32 314 2170 1655 30*240 24 262 20 300 30 313 1655 1259 26*237 23 261 19 300 26 310 1259 986 24 236 22 261 18 300 20 306 986 821 21 235 20 261 17 300 16*304 821 727 17 234 16 261 13 300 9*301 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography