DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 74.3 - - 73.5 - - 77.0 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 191 - - 66 - - 132 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2093 - - 1575 - - 2564 - - 2104 BL Depth Hcrit 705 - - 1829 - - 705 - - 2022 - - 705 Hcrit BL Top 933 - - 2833 - - 2315 - - 3304 - - 2844 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1146 - - 735 - - 1037 - - 2194 - - 1769 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 304 - - 198 - - 294 - - 116 W* B/S 8 - - 107 - - 10 - - 15 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 211 - - 288 - - 033 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -307 - - -561 - - -141 - - 432 - - -77 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1240 - - 3394 - - 2456 - - 2872 - - 2921 sfcLCL ODpotential -4799 - - -3956 - - -4416 - - -273 - - -1570 ODpotential blCL 5732 - - 6789 - - 6731 - - 3577 - - 4414 blCL maxRH 91 - - 82 - - 101 - - 90 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 290 - - 610 - - 1200 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 74.3 - - 73.5 - - 77.0 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.3 - - 61.8 - - 65.0 - - 66.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.5 - - 74.3 - - 73.2 - - 76.5 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.3 - - 61.8 - - 64.6 - - 66.1 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 191 - - 66 - - 132 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2093 - - 1575 - - 2564 - - 2104 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 28 - - 102 - - 60 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 6 320 3 315 9 235 12 282 6 290 98082 90665 6 223 10 271 17 243 20 284 13 289 90665 84967 5 258 16 240 12 268 15 272 12 292 84967 80264 7 283 11 226 12 299 8 273 9 309 80264 76226 5 335 2 176 7 280 6 279 13 325 76226 72672 5 357 1 275 2 214 5 272 13 319 72672 69475 7 316 4 295 1 259 4 274 10 289 69475 66553 13 269 7 295 1 245 5 288 7 226 66553 63844 14 252 11 270 8 284 10 299 1 122 63844 61210 15 234 18 239 20 267 20 267 15 267 61210 58471 22 228 20 230 24 249 22 255 16 251 58471 55618 25 235 25 250 28 240 25 246 21 269 55618 52882 28 249 36 251 35 245 35 244 36 255 52882 50419 37 240 37 234 40 240 42 232 44 245 50419 48211 38 224 34 227 45 230 41 224 41 236 48211 46226 36 229 36 226 36 224 40 227 34 228 46226 44429 41 238 39 241 27 232 38 222 32 233 44429 42774 41 234 43 260 26 238 38 219 40 241 42774 41234 34 239 44 245 25 222 43 231 47 243 41234 39785 36 259 47 250 33 247 45 236 50 241 39785 38414 49 273 43 250 32 248 41 236 51 241 38414 37080 49 272 39 252 25 230 40 233 51 241 37080 35717 41 262 35 253 25 224 37 231 49 243 35717 34297 38 252 31 251 23 233 33 229 45 246 34297 32820 37 249 28 250 22 263 31 232 42 246 32820 31272 34 247 26 253 26 269 32 237 39 245 31272 29638 33 248 27 257 28 271 30 235 37 245 29638 27921 33 251 22 250 28 262 30 229 35 245 27921 26120 31 252 20 235 33 249 30 229 33 247 26120 24240 31 252 21 237 38 244 26 228 32 253 24240 22286 33 254 22 243 37 247 23 226 30 266 22286 20252 39 257 27 245 32 255 25 240 33 266 20252 18133 36 256 34 243 37 258 38 252 41 250 18133 15970 33 253 37 242 45 253 49 244 44 252 15970 13883 33 253 35 246 47 247 45 246 41 259 13883 11986 32 259 35 249 43 246 43 251 36 270 11986 10304 29 270 36 251 40 253 37 257 23 277 10304 8814 24 281 33 251 42 262 25 253 11 263 8814 7491 20 269 27 247 37 272 16 269 3 338 7491 6316 21 241 22 244 23 268 14 292 2 339 6316 5277 23 242 16 242 12 230 12 290 3 198 5277 4363 18 262 12 240 9 199 6 256 4 157 4363 3557 13 279 8*245 7 208 2*269 5*104 3557 2838 5 286 4*260 4*248 3*032 9*078 2838 2203 3 008 0 221 4*291 3 032 11 072 2203 1674 4 338 1 142 4 290 4 033 11 072 1674 1268 4 317 1 128 4 287 4 032 11 072 1268 988 2*338 1 125 4 286 4 034 11 071 988 819 2*358 1 127 3 285 4 033 10 071 819 722 2 006 1 123 3 284 4 033 8 071 722 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography