DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 77.0 - - 75.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 210 - - 52 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 2872 - - 3738 - - 208 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 2409 - - 1846 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1366 - - 3612 - - 4478 - - 948 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 685 - - 1974 - - 1635 - - 2313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 343 - - 237 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 249 - - 291 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3644 - - -2334 - - -806 - - -1619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5010 - - 5946 - - 5284 - - 2567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8140 - - -4095 - - -2095 - - -3869 ODpotential blCL - - - 9506 - - 7707 - - 6573 - - 4817 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 89 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 550 - - 520 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 77.0 - - 75.9 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 53.6 - - 55.4 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 75.7 - - 75.6 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 53.4 - - 55.3 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 210 - - 52 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 2872 - - 3738 - - 208 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 54 - - 87 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 56 250 68 248 65 259 65 267 96719 89591 32 245 45 251 44 258 46 264 89591 84098 26 250 32 247 33 254 35 265 84098 79523 21 256 23 246 30 250 29 265 79523 75576 18 258 16 253 27 242 28 258 75576 72075 15 264 14 268 20 237 25 249 72075 68884 16 290 19 273 20 255 20 265 68884 65947 28 274 24 260 24 264 20 266 65947 63226 30 261 26 259 30 264 27 272 63226 60590 36 254 38 256 40 253 36 263 60590 57838 40 254 37 256 42 249 38 256 57838 54974 48 262 47 268 44 268 44 268 54974 52249 61 260 70 264 77 268 74 265 52249 49803 66 259 80 253 91 257 87 256 49803 47599 66 260 73 255 72 259 77 262 47599 45601 66 268 76 265 74 270 81 270 45601 43788 68 272 78 267 84 275 86 272 43788 42130 65 271 73 269 89 274 88 271 42130 40592 59 269 69 269 84 270 85 271 40592 39150 56 270 64 265 76 268 78 273 39150 37790 53 268 60 262 73 270 72 274 37790 36472 49 268 60 260 71 270 69 276 36472 35130 47 266 56 257 66 270 66 279 35130 33731 44 265 53 258 60 271 62 280 33731 32280 41 263 53 260 54 272 56 279 32280 30760 38 262 51 264 51 272 49 279 30760 29160 35 262 48 266 49 272 46 282 29160 27480 33 259 42 268 46 273 44 285 27480 25720 30 258 38 271 43 273 41 285 25720 23884 28 260 36 273 39 272 37 286 23884 21972 27 264 33 276 36 272 35 286 21972 19975 29 262 34 280 34 278 34 288 19975 17890 31 262 33 275 32 278 32 290 17890 15764 32 261 34 269 32 276 27 289 15764 13716 31 263 34 264 33 277 26 286 13716 11855 32 246 34 263 30 277 21 291 11855 10202 32 237 35 260 29 273 16 296 10202 8732 27 238 33 260 28 274 14 292 8732 7421 23 245 28 258 26 268 18 285 7421 6257 18 260 23 246 22 255 19 267 6257 5228 17 268 21 244 17*261 18 254 5228 4322 17 262 19*250 14*285 14 258 4322 3524 16 252 16*250 14 288 11 285 3524 2813 17 253 15 249 14 291 13 334 2813 2187 20 250 15 249 14 292 17 349 2187 1666 19*243 15 249 14 294 18 351 1666 1266 17*238 14 249 14 294 17 352 1266 990 14 235 13 249 14 294 15*351 990 823 13 234 13 249 13 295 13*351 823 727 11 234 11 249 11 295 9 350 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography