DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 37.9 - - 41.3 - - 33.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 35 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1103 - - 1968 - - 2959 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 709 - - 709 - - 708 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1843 - - 2708 - - 3699 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1406 - - 980 - - 1787 - - 879 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 172 - - 169 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 327 - - 337 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 647 - - 1051 - - 753 - - -491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1196 - - 1657 - - 2946 - - 1217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 418 - - 500 - - -305 - - -2057 ODpotential blCL - - - 1425 - - 2208 - - 4004 - - 2783 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.6 - - 37.9 - - 41.3 - - 33.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.2 - - 33.4 - - 31.1 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 37.9 - - 41.3 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 32.5 - - 29.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 35 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1103 - - 1968 - - 2959 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 55 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96079 36 250 46 250 51 256 49 259 96079 88896 19 262 22 242 28 256 29 258 88896 83413 15 259 10 262 5 235 15 260 83413 78860 7 255 8 274 4 278 6 336 78860 74923 6 345 3 313 10 265 11 316 74923 71434 11 321 8 328 11 267 13 272 71434 68255 11 314 13 310 12 313 9 293 68255 65305 19 315 15 302 18 295 18 316 65305 62557 19 312 17 320 19 298 22 311 62557 59888 25 318 26 314 22 318 26 313 59888 57085 31 320 30 307 31 325 30 306 57085 54154 39 316 34 314 40 318 37 314 54154 51344 42 318 41 318 44 314 49 319 51344 48812 47 323 47 319 48 315 57 317 48812 46541 49 328 50 321 53 316 58 317 46541 44478 53 331 52 323 54 315 58 317 44478 42585 56 330 54 325 54 323 57 319 42585 40835 59 330 57 325 60 324 59 324 40835 39207 60 332 59 324 64 322 65 328 39207 37686 62 332 62 326 66 324 68 329 37686 36257 66 332 66 329 66 327 69 330 36257 34880 70 332 70 330 69 329 73 331 34880 33491 71 333 74 329 71 329 76 330 33491 32063 69 333 78 327 72 329 78 329 32063 30597 65 334 77 327 73 330 77 330 30597 29079 62 333 72 328 72 331 77 333 29079 27499 55 333 63 328 72 332 79 335 27499 25858 51 334 53 329 69 331 77 336 25858 24155 45 334 46 331 63 331 74 337 24155 22395 43 339 40 332 56 331 68 337 22395 20582 40 343 37 333 49 328 58 339 20582 18706 35 345 37 336 42 326 51 345 18706 16754 30 347 35 338 37 329 44 348 16754 14765 26 347 29 341 33 330 37 353 14765 12848 25 346 24 345 27 331 27 001 12848 11105 23 351 21 349 22 336 21 004 11105 9555 13 008 5 346 15 335 18 357 9555 8176 12 019 6 013 13 315 14 350 8176 6953 12 009 11 005 15 300 14 344 6953 5871 14 009 16 356 13 333 13 316 5871 4916 17 001 16 003 17 347 14 333 4916 4076 20 356 17 360 19*339 18 344 4076 3336 21 356 17*345 19*338 20 343 3336 2675 21 352 17*330 18 337 20 345 2675 2090 19*345 16 328 18 337 20 346 2090 1602 18*343 15 327 17 337 19 347 1602 1228 15 340 14 326 16 337 17 346 1228 970 13 338 13 325 15 336 13 341 970 814 12 337 11 325 14 336 11*338 814 725 10 337 9 325 11 336 5*324 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography