DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.4 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - -6 - - -28 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 708 - - 709 - - 709 - - 709 Hcrit BL Top - - - 725 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 192 - - 666 - - 392 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 198 - - 175 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -864 - - -879 - - -371 - - -438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1589 - - 1605 - - 1097 - - 1164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19065 - - -15621 - - -15508 - - -15641 ODpotential blCL - - - 19790 - - 16347 - - 16234 - - 16367 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 80 - - 81 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.4 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 29.7 - - 31.0 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 34.7 - - 35.6 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.2 - - 29.4 - - 30.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - -6 - - -28 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 23 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95551 42 303 55 293 50 301 47 312 95551 88804 44 293 47 303 43 300 46 287 88804 83498 40 310 33 297 40 308 39 282 83498 78982 37 314 23 292 36 302 29 289 78982 75047 36 313 24 301 32 285 29 307 75047 71575 39 315 29 299 28 282 32 310 71575 68430 33 312 30 293 27 286 30 294 68430 65539 31 314 31 297 32 287 31 272 65539 62864 31 304 33 305 33 279 34 264 62864 60257 31 291 34 287 29 280 38 265 60257 57518 27 296 36 274 35 281 38 274 57518 54646 35 316 37 296 39 272 36 285 54646 51876 47 310 46 298 43 283 47 282 51876 49377 51 296 49 291 51 276 54 278 49377 47137 48 292 47 290 48 275 57 276 47137 45103 44 300 46 291 48 280 53 274 45103 43238 45 304 44 287 49 283 50 275 43238 41523 39 292 43 282 51 281 52 271 41523 39950 39 268 43 281 45 277 51 266 39950 38498 31 262 36 277 37 277 46 262 38498 37141 27 267 31 272 35 268 50 263 37141 35835 25 264 35 261 41 258 53 263 35835 34510 26 264 32 256 44 251 56 261 34510 33136 28 263 36 252 46 248 58 262 33136 31714 32 263 39 250 46 249 56 264 31714 30227 35 267 39 252 44 259 52 267 30227 28662 32 270 40 264 49 264 56 269 28662 27020 30 269 42 266 50 262 55 264 27020 25297 33 261 42 263 48 264 51 261 25297 23492 37 255 41 260 45 266 48 266 23492 21608 41 260 39 270 44 267 49 268 21608 19638 41 277 36 279 43 264 49 268 19638 17577 36 275 35 273 43 265 50 262 17577 15472 35 273 34 264 42 267 48 261 15472 13439 37 276 32 265 40 269 46 264 13439 11587 34 279 28 268 34 267 40 268 11587 9940 30 283 26 266 27 260 34 268 9940 8480 25 286 23 265 24 255 32 263 8480 7186 19 283 20 265 20 246 30 254 7186 6040 15 267 19 251 18 231 28 253 6040 5033 20 238 20 244 22 236 30 261 5033 4156 24 237 27 247 29 243 38 262 4156 3389 26 243 30 238 34 239 42 250 3389 2708 25 236 27 230 34 226 39 238 2708 2109 23 229 26 225 32 219 35 226 2109 1611 24 231 24 217 28 202 35 209 1611 1231 25 228 21 213 25 192 32 205 1231 971 19 218 13 202 17 181 24 200 971 814 17*217 12*200 15*178 21*199 814 725 8*213 8*198 9*175 9*194 725 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography