DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 71.8 - - 72.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 217 - - 80 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 279 - - 4086 - - 4656 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 710 - - 3313 - - 3038 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1019 - - 4826 - - 5396 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 225 - - 1420 - - 1179 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 388 - - 291 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 139 - - 149 - - 135 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2920 - - -3204 - - -3391 - - -5644 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3940 - - 8031 - - 8788 - - 6373 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10086 - - -11233 - - -11158 - - -15294 ODpotential blCL - - - 11105 - - 16059 - - 16554 - - 16022 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 68 - - 64 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 71.8 - - 72.8 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 39.4 - - 37.1 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 70.5 - - 72.2 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 39.0 - - 36.7 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 217 - - 80 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 279 - - 4086 - - 4656 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97431 11 241 10 249 14 273 12 309 97431 90177 1 043 1 274 2 091 5 296 90177 84603 9 095 4 341 7 067 6 120 84603 79966 14 074 5 136 2 251 10 060 79966 75972 12 056 12 115 6 219 9 040 75972 72458 8 050 13 088 4 166 5 047 72458 69290 10 009 12 073 4 154 4 018 69290 66386 8 347 8 048 4 115 4 019 66386 63687 8 311 8 348 3 005 5 329 63687 61060 11 307 15 327 10 340 10 306 61060 58319 18 300 19 321 14 331 12 301 58319 55480 18 299 22 320 20 337 11 328 55480 52768 21 316 28 312 27 319 22 325 52768 50334 29 315 29 303 31 308 33 319 50334 48166 26 308 28 304 30 306 34 309 48166 46196 19 313 28 309 24 307 26 310 46196 44377 24 328 21 318 20 323 29 336 44377 42690 37 344 34 331 37 328 41 327 42690 41127 49 328 47 318 52 317 48 318 41127 39666 49 330 43 315 47 317 44 326 39666 38289 51 344 42 331 43 335 44 339 38289 36951 55 349 47 342 46 343 47 345 36951 35584 53 350 49 340 44 337 47 343 35584 34157 53 347 45 336 45 326 45 334 34157 32671 50 343 43 332 45 320 46 330 32671 31115 50 335 46 330 44 320 50 328 31115 29477 49 334 45 328 42 322 47 328 29477 27757 46 329 41 326 40 323 43 326 27757 25956 44 332 37 329 35 329 37 335 25956 24076 28 349 28 340 30 336 28 340 24076 22116 20 333 19 324 25 333 23 330 22116 20070 20 338 19 327 23 327 24 334 20070 17940 17 337 14 331 16 336 18 335 17940 15776 13 338 16 342 16 345 16 336 15776 13693 9 331 8 001 10 001 15 344 13693 11807 9 318 3 009 1 020 8 318 11807 10145 8 327 2 333 2 307 6 279 10145 8670 7 307 4 337 4 346 4 275 8670 7361 5 309 4 000 3 024 1 002 7361 6205 2 082 4 055 3*137 1 182 6205 5188 4 093 4*106 4*141 2 139 5188 4295 5 119 6*143 5 140 5 124 4295 3507 5 154 7 149 5 137 8 124 3507 2802 8 159 8 151 5 135 11 124 2802 2179 8 155 8 150 5 133 14 125 2179 1660 9 146 8 150 6 131 16 125 1660 1261 10*142 8 150 5 131 17 125 1261 987 7*140 7 150 5 131 16 123 987 822 7 139 7 150 5 130 13*121 822 727 6 139 7 149 5 130 6*116 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography