DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1007z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 77.3 - - 84.9 - - 86.8 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -55 - - 74 - - 183 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 8 - - 1549 - - 3199 - - 4404 - - 9 BL Depth Hcrit 591 - - 592 - - 2479 - - 2409 - - 592 Hcrit BL Top 608 - - 2149 - - 3799 - - 5004 - - 609 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 523 - - 699 - - 851 - - 1364 - - 4445 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 206 - - 348 - - 261 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 24 - - 19 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 249 - - 244 - - 250 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1915 - - -3575 - - -4088 - - -3207 - - -5198 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2523 - - 5724 - - 7888 - - 8212 - - 5807 sfcLCL ODpotential -10393 - - -9268 - - -8024 - - -6750 - - -9888 ODpotential blCL 11001 - - 11417 - - 11823 - - 11754 - - 10497 blCL maxRH 63 - - 66 - - 62 - - 56 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 200 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 77.3 - - 84.9 - - 86.8 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.9 - - 54.4 - - 52.5 - - 52.8 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.1 - - 77.0 - - 83.9 - - 86.5 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.7 - - 53.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.9 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -55 - - 74 - - 183 - - 49 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 8 - - 1549 - - 3199 - - 4404 - - 9 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98192 13 269 19 268 16 262 10 283 11 254 98192 90882 13 296 9 291 9 233 13 273 15 317 90882 85245 13 319 7 333 1 176 10 260 18 321 85245 80535 7 315 3 330 3 088 5 211 10 305 80535 76440 5 313 3 237 6 081 11 180 8 251 76440 72805 3 278 7 259 4 317 2 227 4 321 72805 69524 3 254 7 283 10 285 5 293 7 300 69524 66499 4 297 8 284 10 297 9 321 3 305 66499 63684 8 326 9 299 11 280 16 307 9 334 63684 60978 11 314 12 321 11 278 14 305 13 339 60978 58183 17 319 14 327 10 292 15 306 14 329 58183 55290 23 311 17 319 13 304 18 307 16 323 55290 52537 28 302 24 312 20 313 20 308 22 325 52537 50075 28 297 30 307 23 316 21 312 27 321 50075 47874 26 300 28 303 25 307 26 305 29 314 47874 45869 29 303 26 301 26 299 31 302 34 314 45869 44023 35 303 30 300 33 298 35 302 41 310 44023 42316 40 305 37 299 38 293 42 301 46 304 42316 40729 44 309 42 301 41 289 49 295 45 301 40729 39246 46 312 43 302 43 285 50 288 49 302 39246 37851 46 314 42 304 44 283 50 280 53 294 37851 36504 47 313 41 304 42 283 50 274 50 285 36504 35137 47 312 40 300 42 286 48 271 46 283 35137 33729 43 313 38 295 42 290 47 270 38 286 33729 32279 39 311 34 292 42 290 44 273 35 288 32279 30766 34 311 32 291 38 284 41 276 35 291 30766 29175 29 313 31 290 33 275 39 276 37 290 29175 27503 27 309 30 287 32 273 36 282 37 290 27503 25748 28 305 27 285 31 275 37 286 37 293 25748 23909 29 294 26 286 30 278 39 288 37 296 23909 21993 29 281 28 278 32 276 40 289 38 297 21993 20002 30 281 30 272 32 279 37 289 34 301 20002 17930 34 280 33 276 34 283 36 288 29 299 17930 15809 34 278 40 270 38 282 36 283 29 290 15809 13756 33 277 42 264 41 277 35 277 27 285 13756 11881 31 272 40 258 41 266 35 268 25 283 11881 10211 29 266 38 259 40 252 37 261 22 282 10211 8726 29 269 36 259 40 252 36 258 17 284 8726 7407 28 274 31 253 39 253 34 256 16 275 7407 6238 29 278 25 243 36 250 28 252 17 266 6238 5201 32 283 22 255 29 246 21*249 16 268 5201 4286 41 281 27 270 22*247 21*249 15 273 4286 3476 47 271 35 266 20*244 20 250 14 276 3476 2751 49 260 34*260 20 245 19 250 14 279 2751 2109 44 248 30*254 20 244 18 250 13 280 2109 1573 36 235 25 249 19 245 18 251 12 281 1573 1161 29 230 24 248 18 244 17 251 11 281 1161 878 21 225 22 247 17 244 16 251 9 279 878 706 18*223 19 246 16 244 14 252 7*278 706 609 8*219 14 246 12 244 11 251 4*270 609 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography