DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 30.7 - - 35.1 - - 34.9 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 40 - - 133 - - 27 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 952 - - 950 - - 3593 - - 3031 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 579 - - 579 - - 2569 - - 580 - - 579 Hcrit BL Top 1552 - - 1550 - - 4193 - - 3631 - - 597 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2508 - - 1784 - - 793 - - 694 - - 2698 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 139 - - 320 - - 185 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 326 - - 265 - - 249 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -327 - - -344 - - 1288 - - 685 - - -988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1879 - - 1894 - - 2905 - - 2946 - - 1585 sfcLCL ODpotential -1152 - - -1483 - - 789 - - -8991 - - -1680 ODpotential blCL 2704 - - 3033 - - 3404 - - 12622 - - 2277 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 30.7 - - 35.1 - - 34.9 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 25.0 - - 24.8 - - 24.3 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 30.4 - - 34.2 - - 34.8 - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 24.2 - - 23.2 - - 23.1 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 40 - - 133 - - 27 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 952 - - 950 - - 3593 - - 3031 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 62 - - 15 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95453 94 241 97 249 93 245 95 243 95 252 95453 88355 78 257 72 256 76 253 72 251 71 256 88355 82853 73 262 65 263 66 259 65 264 62 266 82853 78272 68 259 61 264 59 260 63 267 59 272 78272 74329 65 263 58 268 57 270 59 271 57 274 74329 70843 65 268 57 267 57 272 58 274 57 277 70843 67683 64 270 54 268 55 271 56 269 58 274 67683 64766 62 267 53 272 53 272 55 270 59 272 64766 62041 58 266 53 275 53 274 55 272 58 273 62041 59387 57 265 54 276 53 275 53 272 55 273 59387 56601 56 272 54 277 56 278 54 279 52 276 56601 53700 61 274 57 278 58 278 58 282 55 283 53700 50936 61 271 60 276 59 277 61 282 59 286 50936 48463 62 272 60 275 60 278 64 284 61 288 48463 46259 63 276 62 277 59 281 64 282 62 286 46259 44268 67 277 64 278 59 285 59 289 59 290 44268 42452 67 278 65 281 61 291 65 300 59 294 42452 40787 67 281 66 284 66 296 71 303 60 297 40787 39251 69 283 66 286 70 299 68 302 60 300 39251 37823 68 284 68 291 72 301 66 307 61 303 37823 36490 67 287 73 294 70 303 67 312 61 304 36490 35206 67 290 74 294 68 307 68 314 62 302 35206 33898 68 291 68 297 68 312 68 314 62 300 33898 32533 67 293 66 304 69 315 66 312 61 297 32533 31114 67 297 68 311 67 317 62 309 61 294 31114 29628 69 301 70 314 64 316 58 304 63 292 29628 28064 71 303 70 315 61 312 57 298 64 292 28064 26421 72 304 68 315 59 308 59 295 63 292 26421 24699 71 305 67 312 59 306 59 296 60 293 24699 22900 70 306 67 311 59 306 57 298 57 293 22900 21027 67 309 64 311 56 307 53 300 55 291 21027 19073 62 312 61 311 53 304 50 302 52 290 19073 17033 54 311 56 314 49 302 47 303 49 290 17033 14954 47 308 48 317 44 304 42 299 45 291 14954 12957 43 308 42 316 41 306 38 294 40 292 12957 11146 38 311 39 315 37 305 37 287 37 292 11146 9538 31 313 35 317 33 303 35 283 36 291 9538 8113 26 312 29 320 28 302 33 281 34 289 8113 6853 24 318 23 319 24 296 30 276 32 289 6853 5739 20 328 18 323 19 288 28 273 30 283 5739 4765 14 347 11 344 14*267 23 264 28 272 4765 3919 14 359 10 353 13*266 20*253 29 262 3919 3181 14 354 10 344 12 265 19*251 27 257 3181 2526 15 343 11 338 11 265 19 250 26 254 2526 1947 16*337 13*337 11 265 18 249 25 252 1947 1463 14*332 12*335 11 265 17 249 23 250 1463 1093 13 329 10 325 10 265 16 248 20 247 1093 838 12 328 9 324 9 264 15 248 15 243 838 684 10 327 8 322 9 264 13 248 13*241 684 596 7 326 7 321 7 264 10 248 7*239 596 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography