DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/17 Minooka_IL 600ft pt36314@41.266,-88.244,595ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0722z - - 1010z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.8 - - 32.8 - - 40.6 - - 42.8 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 38 - - 54 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 258 - - 736 - - 547 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 579 - - 580 - - 580 - - 580 - - 580 Hcrit BL Top 597 - - 858 - - 1336 - - 1147 - - 598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 529 - - 348 - - 567 - - 622 - - 1468 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 88 - - 142 - - 96 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 171 - - 168 - - 134 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -462 - - -336 - - -566 - - -82 - - -23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1060 - - 1194 - - 1902 - - 1229 - - 621 sfcLCL ODpotential -14040 - - -10600 - - -8010 - - -3324 - - -752 ODpotential blCL 14637 - - 11458 - - 9346 - - 4471 - - 1350 blCL maxRH 91 - - 91 - - 95 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 29.8 - - 32.8 - - 40.6 - - 42.8 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.6 - - 30.0 - - 34.6 - - 39.6 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.1 - - 32.5 - - 40.3 - - 42.6 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 29.4 - - 33.7 - - 39.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 38 - - 54 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 258 - - 736 - - 547 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 64 - - 79 - - 87 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96797 67 241 66 245 66 246 68 240 69 241 96797 89549 58 244 58 240 57 239 62 245 61 252 89549 83920 51 253 47 238 52 241 55 246 50 257 83920 79243 44 255 35 243 43 246 39 250 39 253 79243 75221 33 250 27 258 29 246 35 261 29 256 75221 71678 24 256 26 268 20 248 30 258 25 262 71678 68470 21 269 23 276 17 262 25 257 23 266 68470 65507 24 274 23 277 20 278 23 263 23 276 65507 62742 26 266 23 271 24 272 22 266 24 283 62742 60047 24 262 24 269 24 269 20 265 24 284 60047 57218 29 261 27 261 26 270 21 269 22 283 57218 54270 31 251 29 256 32 263 24 269 22 280 54270 51452 27 254 31 247 32 254 27 269 24 273 51452 48919 35 266 27 241 30 253 30 266 24 269 48919 46652 42 259 29 253 32 253 32 261 24 270 46652 44596 46 251 39 260 39 250 37 256 25 272 44596 42717 52 241 47 252 42 244 38 246 28 265 42717 40989 47 234 48 244 41 238 34 242 34 252 40989 39388 42 243 54 244 41 230 35 241 37 240 39388 37894 54 250 64 243 47 230 45 225 39 233 37894 36497 63 253 67 242 62 235 56 215 39 228 36497 35166 71 256 74 240 76 227 63 213 43 213 35166 33834 66 254 79 237 71 217 73 210 55 203 33834 32469 50 251 76 236 64 207 76 204 71 195 32469 31058 44 249 69 237 65 209 74 202 68 195 31058 29579 46 248 64 237 67 214 68 203 64 192 29579 28020 51 248 60 238 68 217 64 205 61 194 28020 26382 54 248 58 240 67 219 63 213 59 201 26382 24665 55 246 56 242 65 219 63 219 58 207 24665 22871 54 241 54 239 63 218 61 220 54 205 22871 21002 51 235 51 232 59 216 52 220 43 203 21002 19057 47 229 46 227 54 215 44 225 32 213 19057 17034 42 224 45 229 50 218 41 230 25 232 17034 14975 40 224 43 232 45 225 41 235 22 240 14975 12995 36 228 37 226 41 234 40 240 29 237 12995 11197 29 228 31 224 41 240 37 240 27 242 11197 9601 23 231 25 237 41 237 36 243 26 246 9601 8186 18 246 24 248 38 232 40 245 28 244 8186 6931 12 266 21 249 31 226 42 243 28 230 6931 5822 8 286 16 242 23 218 36 236 24 217 5822 4844 7 276 14 230 18 222 31 231 19 211 4844 3986 6 237 14 218 18 233 25 229 18 210 3986 3232 5 205 14 206 18 231 19 223 17 211 3232 2562 6 198 13 195 17 217 14 204 16 211 2562 1970 11 182 15 191 16 199 11 177 15 206 1970 1479 18 163 15 186 15*180 10*167 14 195 1479 1102 19 143 14*182 13*170 9*135 13 185 1102 844 14 132 9*172 11 168 8 134 11 174 844 686 12*130 8 172 10 167 7 133 9*167 686 597 7*128 6 170 8 166 6 132 4*160 597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography