DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.1 - - 79.2 - - 82.6 - - 81.6 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 179 - - 500 - - 423 - - 121 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1859 - - 7745 - - 12272 - - 13049 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5767 - - 10731 - - 14359 - - 13958 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6708 - - 12594 - - 17121 - - 17898 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6271 - - 3208 - - 3864 - - 4035 - - 4938 Hgt.Variab. W* 291 - - 659 - - 727 - - 488 - - 13 W* B/S 16 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 13 - - 25 - - 28 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 218 - - 222 - - 220 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 14 - - 20 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -10 - - -3 - - -33 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9299 - - -4505 - - -1636 - - -556 - - -13615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16008 - - 17100 - - 18758 - - 18455 - - 18771 sfcLCL ODpotential -12574 - - -6255 - - -2438 - - -1728 - - -16617 ODpotential blCL 19282 - - 18849 - - 19559 - - 19626 - - 21772 blCL maxRH 83 - - 100 - - 88 - - 74 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 73.1 - - 79.2 - - 82.6 - - 81.6 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 21.2 - - 16.7 - - 17.4 - - 8.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.5 - - 76.0 - - 79.9 - - 80.6 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 21.0 - - 16.6 - - 17.4 - - 8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 179 - - 500 - - 423 - - 121 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1859 - - 7745 - - 12272 - - 13049 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 100 - - 51 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97891 11 224 13 241 25 242 20 272 21 292 97891 90387 6 245 7 281 2 131 12 232 18 288 90387 84635 3 291 3 201 1 110 4 313 11 340 84635 79878 7 063 5 103 5 184 3 352 8 001 79878 75802 2 079 3 059 9 091 9 127 4 210 75802 72237 1 147 7 224 8 048 7 103 7 116 72237 69023 6 241 6 194 1 272 0 109 9 114 69023 66080 15 172 16 196 17 217 8 228 11 238 66080 63369 11 119 6 337 8 356 5 352 9 206 63369 60728 21 323 9 005 23 311 15 331 9 078 60728 57975 59 229 50 239 48 243 41 252 32 244 57975 55138 55 207 47 228 43 229 38 250 44 244 55138 52418 32 181 32 243 27 238 47 253 39 241 52418 49943 45 255 42 242 45 247 61 250 43 248 49943 47709 64 256 49 245 57 242 67 249 55 255 47709 45682 69 252 56 246 62 243 67 249 66 256 45682 43832 69 252 61 248 65 247 65 249 73 254 43832 42136 69 252 66 251 68 251 64 250 75 254 42136 40575 67 249 68 253 69 251 66 249 78 255 40575 39129 63 246 68 253 68 250 68 247 81 253 39129 37775 61 245 68 252 67 249 66 245 81 250 37775 36480 60 244 68 249 67 247 65 244 79 248 36480 35181 60 241 68 246 68 246 65 244 77 246 35181 33850 59 239 66 244 67 244 65 242 74 242 33850 32492 57 237 64 243 66 242 64 240 72 239 32492 31091 56 236 63 241 65 241 63 238 69 237 31091 29642 55 235 63 238 65 240 63 238 66 235 29642 28148 55 235 63 237 65 239 64 237 63 232 28148 26608 56 234 61 236 64 238 65 236 59 228 26608 25026 57 234 57 235 61 236 64 235 55 221 25026 23405 58 233 53 229 56 234 59 237 51 210 23405 21737 56 235 50 226 52 233 50 239 48 203 21737 20013 51 237 47 224 48 232 45 239 42 203 20013 18265 45 237 44 219 43*230 40*235 32 207 18265 16582 40 236 40 216 35*227 35*228 26 216 16582 15044 34 237 37 220 30 225 33 223 26 223 15044 13666 29 237 31*223 27 224 31 220 25 236 13666 12426 23 235 21*223 26 223 29 219 26 248 12426 11310 21 230 18 221 26 223 29 218 28 259 11310 10302 19 224 14 218 24 221 28 218 31 267 10302 9394 18 219 13 217 23 220 27 218 32 272 9394 8580 16 212 12 217 23 219 26 219 34 275 8580 7849 13 205 11 216 22 218 25 219 34 277 7849 7183 9*203 11 216 22 217 25 219 34 279 7183 6586 5*219 10 216 21 216 24 219 33 280 6586 6081 3 252 10 215 20 215 23 220 31 281 6081 5689 3 258 9 214 20 215 23 220 27 282 5689 5416 3 260 9 214 19 215 22 220 21 281 5416 5250 3 263 8 215 18 215 20 220 17*280 5250 5155 3 261 8 214 16 214 16 220 9*276 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography