DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0740z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 82.2 - - 85.0 - - 82.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 482 - - 461 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 9052 - - 10533 - - 8805 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 11781 - - 12974 - - 10258 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5425 - - 13901 - - 15382 - - 13654 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1890 - - 2219 - - 1697 - - 2384 - - 829 Hgt.Variab. W* 157 - - 685 - - 710 - - 372 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 19 - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 278 - - 268 - - 245 - - 253 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - -16 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -14223 - - -6634 - - -6412 - - -8608 - - -14648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 19649 - - 20536 - - 21795 - - 22263 - - 19804 sfcLCL ODpotential -20736 - - -11855 - - -10855 - - -13361 - - -21474 ODpotential blCL 26161 - - 25756 - - 26237 - - 27015 - - 26629 blCL maxRH 19 - - 27 - - 23 - - 33 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 82.2 - - 85.0 - - 82.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.9 - - 8.4 - - 5.3 - - 1.1 - - 2.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.3 - - 79.0 - - 81.9 - - 81.5 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.5 - - 8.0 - - 4.9 - - 0.7 - - 2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 482 - - 461 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 9052 - - 10533 - - 8805 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97665 12 092 14 095 13 149 2 243 2 055 97665 90230 13 100 17 064 16 110 7 107 11 068 90230 84546 7 071 6 069 13 074 13 096 11 085 84546 79865 9 095 5 139 4 038 10 069 13 080 79865 75848 16 069 6 099 2 310 3 066 13 039 75848 72312 8 011 10 142 7 177 5 205 1 358 72312 69133 7 326 7 249 2 267 5 274 4 305 69133 66253 10 288 17 241 10 252 15 243 17 252 66253 63621 13 261 17 280 6 280 11 256 19 212 63621 61061 29 266 30 272 24 278 25 286 23 279 61061 58385 39 253 44 255 43 259 44 270 40 278 58385 55611 44 237 44 257 49 242 46 258 47 263 55611 52944 43 252 46 266 47 258 44 257 50 255 52944 50514 51 264 50 267 52 262 50 258 53 256 50514 48309 52 264 52 263 53 263 59 261 59 258 48309 46291 56 259 50 260 54 263 63 258 66 257 46291 44433 53 256 47 261 53 265 61 259 67 254 44433 42721 53 260 43 265 47 267 52 270 55 261 42721 41149 47 257 37 269 39 273 46 277 44 275 41149 39694 33 261 27 276 30 279 37 291 41 284 39694 38330 22 273 25 294 29 299 31 304 40 290 38330 37021 16 309 26 313 31 317 29 315 40 294 37021 35701 18 325 24 311 31 329 29 317 37 294 35701 34342 18 327 21 304 27 319 27 310 34 293 34342 32949 13 328 17 306 24 302 27 301 30 294 32949 31514 8 332 14 312 21 296 26 294 27 293 31514 30025 6 335 11 323 15 288 25 289 23 293 30025 28489 6 335 11 344 9 292 19 276 23 287 28489 26909 7 311 10 349 9 315 19 284 23 279 26909 25287 11 280 6 357 10 318 17 297 22 287 25287 23624 17 265 9 292 12 307 13 291 16 284 23624 21913 20 243 16 270 16 300 13 293 13 276 21913 20150 21 243 22 259 16 288 12 290 11 287 20150 18370 23 249 23 249 18 264 12 274 11 288 18370 16663 22 251 14 252 12*247 10 271 13 287 16663 15110 18 242 12*264 8*239 5 236 11 281 15110 13721 13 234 10*263 8 239 5*226 4 265 13721 12473 9 244 9 263 8 239 5*228 2 165 12473 11349 8 263 6 269 8 240 5 234 4 134 11349 10334 8 276 6 270 8 243 6 243 4 135 10334 9419 9 286 6 272 8 245 7 250 4 150 9419 8599 10 293 6 271 9 248 7 255 4 169 8599 7863 12 296 6 271 9 250 8 257 4 188 7863 7194 13 295 6 270 9 252 8 260 4 201 7194 6593 15 292 6 270 9 254 9 261 3 212 6593 6085 14 290 6 270 9 254 9 262 3 221 6085 5691 13*286 6 269 8 256 9 262 2 228 5691 5418 9*280 6 268 8 256 9 263 2 241 5418 5251 7 277 6 268 8 257 8 263 2*251 5251 5155 6 276 5 268 7 257 8 263 1*258 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography