DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.0 - - 18.6 - - 16.9 - - 14.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 43 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2240 - - 2500 - - 1535 - - 987 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 987 - - 987 - - 987 - - 987 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3244 - - 3504 - - 2539 - - 1991 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1107 - - 855 - - 2037 - - 2749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 197 - - 110 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 19 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 285 - - 294 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1231 - - 1451 - - 693 - - -70 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2013 - - 2053 - - 1846 - - 2061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 697 - - 732 - - 58 - - -483 ODpotential blCL - - - 2547 - - 2772 - - 2481 - - 2474 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.0 - - 18.6 - - 16.9 - - 14.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 13.6 - - 12.8 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 18.6 - - 17.0 - - 14.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.4 - - 12.6 - - 12.2 - - 8.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 43 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2240 - - 2500 - - 1535 - - 987 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 78 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94979 77 257 76 257 78 255 93 250 94979 88084 68 268 66 265 66 268 67 267 88084 82699 63 264 69 264 63 264 62 269 82699 78162 60 273 66 269 61 275 65 285 78162 74256 54 276 56 270 57 282 59 285 74256 70790 45 281 48 270 49 282 48 286 70790 67621 44 283 43 276 46 283 48 293 67621 64682 48 279 44 281 49 286 47 291 64682 61939 49 273 46 278 49 278 47 281 61939 59267 48 282 44 279 46 276 45 280 59267 56460 58 286 52 281 53 280 50 280 56460 53534 68 284 61 279 60 278 56 279 53534 50734 74 280 68 279 64 276 58 276 50734 48210 77 274 72 274 65 272 61 272 48210 45947 77 271 73 270 67 272 67 266 45947 43890 79 273 76 270 73 271 65 266 43890 41998 85 274 81 272 77 270 75 274 41998 40260 93 275 90 273 91 268 88 272 40260 38666 100 276 100 273 98 267 95 268 38666 37191 109 279 113 273 109 269 104 267 37191 35808 132 281 130 273 122 266 115 264 35808 34478 145 276 143 271 123 263 119 262 34478 33134 140 272 148 267 119 262 122 260 33134 31748 135 271 148 267 120 263 124 258 31748 30324 133 274 144 267 125 262 125 256 30324 28844 124 275 134 268 125 260 124 255 28844 27294 118 276 121 266 119 258 121 255 27294 25675 114 274 118 260 113 253 118 255 25675 23986 119 271 117 255 113 249 117 254 23986 22228 123 268 109 252 112 255 112 253 22228 20406 120 269 107 254 107 260 104 251 20406 18522 112 274 98 260 98 260 99 251 18522 16565 101 277 83 267 88 259 86 256 16565 14576 85 277 73 270 69 262 65 262 14576 12679 67 276 58 268 48 257 47 267 12679 10966 58 274 48 264 44 257 39 272 10966 9450 55 273 45 265 44 268 34 281 9450 8107 48 276 38 275 40 273 34 290 8107 6920 41 277 35 282 32 282 35 292 6920 5878 41 276 33 281 31 291 33 297 5878 4967 35 281 28 280 26 295 28 303 4967 4174 25 291 23*285 25 297 27 305 4174 3476 24*292 22*286 25 297 26 304 3476 2850 23*291 21 286 24*297 25 303 2850 2297 22 291 21 285 23*296 24*301 2297 1835 21 290 20 285 22 295 21*299 1835 1480 19 289 19 284 20 294 18 297 1480 1236 17 288 17 284 18 293 16 296 1236 1088 15 287 15 284 15 292 14 295 1088 1003 11 286 12 283 11 292 10 295 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography