DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.7 - - 38.1 - - 39.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - -30 - - -39 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 108 - - 249 - - 1 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 988 - - 988 - - 989 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1112 - - 1253 - - 1005 - - 1005 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 806 - - 1446 - - 2668 - - 1687 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 51 - - 6 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 21 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 217 - - 246 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1873 - - -1759 - - -1063 - - -304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2985 - - 3012 - - 2068 - - 1309 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16073 - - -12307 - - -2431 - - -3353 ODpotential blCL - - - 17185 - - 13560 - - 3436 - - 4358 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 91 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.7 - - 38.1 - - 39.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.4 - - 28.4 - - 34.0 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 39.1 - - 40.8 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 27.3 - - 33.3 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - -30 - - -39 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 108 - - 249 - - 1 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 63 - - 33 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96200 30 244 26 249 45 242 32 265 96200 89131 16 233 24 226 26 251 25 250 89131 83655 16 234 26 227 24 238 24 238 83655 79086 27 241 27 237 21 233 24 234 79086 75122 26 239 29 239 22 253 23 241 75122 71583 17 232 33 231 29 252 23 247 71583 68349 10 252 30 221 32 240 25 257 68349 65382 18 262 22 239 30 225 31 258 65382 62633 26 262 28 249 29 237 31 253 62633 59965 33 255 36 236 40 242 34 267 59965 57192 40 258 36 248 45 248 47 265 57192 54307 49 267 47 261 53 263 65 260 54307 51539 70 263 59 261 70 258 74 245 51539 49025 73 258 60 261 65 260 74 248 49025 46761 71 260 76 266 77 262 84 259 46761 44707 88 265 96 261 92 257 97 258 44707 42825 94 260 97 257 97 254 99 255 42825 41091 94 261 95 255 96 254 91 257 41091 39486 105 264 99 255 103 258 101 262 39486 37999 122 263 121 256 121 258 117 261 37999 36615 124 260 137 252 130 254 124 258 36615 35284 121 259 131 248 121 249 121 257 35284 33939 115 257 123 250 117 250 121 257 33939 32552 99 257 110 253 116 252 123 257 32552 31126 81 258 105 262 111 252 127 257 31126 29642 78 253 98 257 104 253 125 258 29642 28087 80 255 99 250 97 252 116 253 28087 26459 85 255 95 251 88 248 110 249 26459 24756 83 254 87 254 85 247 104 248 24756 22981 78 256 84 253 85 248 101 249 22981 21137 75 260 88 251 87 251 94 247 21137 19217 78 264 87 246 87 249 87 246 19217 17217 68 265 70 249 77 238 89 253 17217 15181 54 257 67 248 64 236 84 261 15181 13223 57 258 68 248 59 253 70 263 13223 11445 59 254 67 249 54 257 56 264 11445 9872 57 241 67 246 48 253 48 268 9872 8480 59 242 58 239 43 253 45 268 8480 7242 52 246 49 230 35 260 42 263 7242 6149 50 238 46 242 34 270 37 273 6149 5192 51 225 46 252 34 264 36 300 5192 4352 47 223 53 249 35 261 39 308 4352 3611 54 226 54 239 38 259 35 307 3611 2949 60 219 49 228 37 255 29 298 2949 2366 52 211 41 223 33 250 28 288 2366 1880 41 203 34 219 28 248 26 284 1880 1506 32 198 30*218 25 248 23 280 1506 1250 26*196 25*217 20 247 18 276 1250 1094 22*195 21 217 17*247 15*275 1094 1005 15 194 15 216 11*246 9*273 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography