DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.3 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - -7 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 323 - - 1078 - - 97 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 990 - - 991 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1552 - - 1327 - - 2082 - - 1101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1041 - - 1424 - - 2451 - - 3433 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 34 - - 76 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 174 - - 224 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 337 - - 320 - - 769 - - -161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1215 - - 1007 - - 1313 - - 1262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -834 - - -127 - - 66 - - -787 ODpotential blCL - - - 2386 - - 1454 - - 2016 - - 1888 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 80 - - 90 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.3 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 61.6 - - 60.5 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 63.2 - - 63.7 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 61.5 - - 60.1 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - -7 - - -7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 548 - - 323 - - 1078 - - 97 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95857 67 261 82 261 79 271 65 262 95857 88940 46 262 50 272 50 263 49 274 88940 83591 35 276 33 275 34 265 36 280 83591 79144 15 281 16 292 27 271 28 291 79144 75280 9 327 13 304 16 270 23 286 75280 71824 11 332 9 322 7 272 16 277 71824 68674 11 306 9 319 5 287 10 273 68674 65770 7 255 10 300 6 292 7 264 65770 63065 4 206 10 246 10 269 9 255 63065 60435 2 269 13 226 14 252 12 253 60435 57688 6 233 15 225 16 240 15 249 57688 54835 11 219 15 227 16 219 18 230 54835 52110 17 203 16 231 17 223 23 222 52110 49653 25 215 26 223 24 223 29 205 49653 47442 39 198 31 214 24 226 33 203 47442 45430 50 187 32 220 36 222 31 202 45430 43589 49 184 46 211 42 218 33 212 43589 41893 49 182 53 204 54 211 46 225 41893 40323 48 196 66 204 62 199 60 221 40323 38857 73 218 82 204 75 199 68 208 38857 37477 92 204 92 188 94 197 77 201 37477 36147 96 194 94 182 95 190 80 196 36147 34796 90 189 92 183 91 181 78 193 34796 33392 81 184 86 185 84 184 67 196 33392 31940 78 182 80 185 78 189 60 200 31940 30425 75 187 74 185 81 192 62 203 30425 28835 73 200 69 191 84 193 66 206 28835 27173 73 205 66 204 78 201 67 208 27173 25436 69 207 59 202 63 207 64 206 25436 23623 62 209 55 199 59 210 61 207 23623 21735 65 196 58 197 58 209 60 207 21735 19767 66 194 60 192 53 208 62 204 19767 17720 57 206 56 193 49 212 61 205 17720 15643 42 212 50 198 44 216 54 211 15643 13644 40 209 41 197 42 213 47 217 13644 11824 42 206 40 197 43 208 43 215 11824 10207 41 207 37 200 43 207 41 209 10207 8771 40 202 36 204 40 205 40 206 8771 7498 38 200 36 209 36 205 36 200 7498 6372 34 207 33 212 29 213 35 197 6372 5379 32 210 35 208 31 214 32 204 5379 4507 31 204 39 200 29 215 31 214 4507 3736 31 190 40 193 27 217 29 222 3736 3046 30 178 38 188 26 220 26 227 3046 2436 26 165 35 183 26*222 23 233 2436 1926 23*154 31 179 24*223 20 236 1926 1534 19*146 27*176 22 224 18 237 1534 1264 16 143 23*175 20 225 15*237 1264 1100 14 142 19 174 17 225 13*237 1100 1006 10 141 14 173 12 225 9 237 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography