DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 39.5 - - 39.6 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 49 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 1664 - - 896 - - 289 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 988 - - 989 - - 988 - - 989 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1865 - - 2668 - - 1900 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1626 - - 1572 - - 2477 - - 2661 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 180 - - 57 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 305 - - 319 - - 296 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 327 - - 658 - - 202 - - -28 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1538 - - 2010 - - 1698 - - 1321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 86 - - 356 - - -243 - - -507 ODpotential blCL - - - 1779 - - 2312 - - 2143 - - 1800 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 39.5 - - 39.6 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 34.6 - - 36.1 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 39.3 - - 39.9 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 33.9 - - 35.7 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 49 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 861 - - 1664 - - 896 - - 289 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 31 245 38 245 46 249 41 242 96272 89088 19 240 32 238 34 241 25 272 89088 83587 9 208 15 239 15 237 19 251 83587 79000 4 252 5 211 11 224 15 233 79000 75021 8 291 3 255 6 219 7 239 75021 71502 7 242 10 255 6 314 3 310 71502 68304 4 184 11 238 14 288 7 312 68304 65350 6 334 10 242 20 271 14 297 65350 62598 15 309 11 253 21 256 18 287 62598 59914 22 305 11 280 19 256 24 283 59914 57100 25 298 17 302 22 264 27 280 57100 54171 28 299 25 303 24 280 26 287 54171 51367 29 300 31 302 27 292 28 289 51367 48838 31 309 35 301 29 296 29 292 48838 46569 29 312 35 300 32 302 31 293 46569 44513 30 311 35 300 36 308 30 302 44513 42640 29 313 36 301 39 307 35 313 42640 40929 29 321 37 302 37 306 38 310 40929 39354 34 331 36 306 34 308 33 309 39354 37891 37 333 34 312 32 314 29 321 37891 36523 37 338 32 315 32 324 28 336 36523 35211 36 347 31 318 34 329 30 350 35211 33888 38 355 29 327 34 328 32 005 33888 32524 40 358 29 335 31 328 38 011 32524 31117 37 003 28 335 29 331 41 011 31117 29649 36 012 28 331 29 333 41 005 29649 28108 36 017 29 329 30 330 40 358 28108 26492 37 018 29 330 31 327 38 349 26492 24802 36 016 27 331 30 329 37 341 24802 23039 33 014 26 329 30 331 36 333 23039 21202 29 017 26 323 31 333 34 331 21202 19286 26 014 27 319 32 334 32 333 19286 17286 27 005 26 320 32 336 31 334 17286 15246 26 002 26 327 32 336 32 335 15246 13284 24 354 26 337 30 332 32 334 13284 11503 24 347 26 344 27 331 31 331 11503 9922 22 347 24 345 27 335 32 329 9922 8519 21 350 21 345 25 334 30 329 8519 7274 26 339 18 343 21 326 28 322 7274 6181 35 327 28 326 25 322 24 316 6181 5222 33 332 30 329 24 326 25 326 5222 4377 30 346 26 338 23 328 23 333 4377 3632 21 350 21 339 20 329 21 336 3632 2966 17 338 17*333 17 326 19 334 2966 2378 15 325 14*325 15*317 17 329 2378 1887 14*317 12 320 13*302 15 321 1887 1511 11*306 12 318 12 297 13*309 1511 1252 10 305 11 317 11 294 10*302 1252 1095 9 304 10 316 10 292 9 299 1095 1005 8 303 8 316 7 290 6 298 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography