DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.6 - - 72.8 - - 79.8 - - 81.5 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 178 - - 346 - - 193 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 143 - - 2790 - - 6345 - - 7068 - - 2235 BL Depth Hcrit 985 - - 2559 - - 5559 - - 5799 - - 986 Hcrit BL Top 1147 - - 3794 - - 7349 - - 8072 - - 3239 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 535 - - 1913 - - 1747 - - 2855 - - 3643 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 326 - - 531 - - 453 - - 101 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 305 - - 238 - - 254 - - 251 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 136 - - 919 - - 1631 - - 1180 - - -860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1011 - - 2875 - - 5718 - - 6892 - - 4099 sfcLCL ODpotential -2297 - - 809 - - 1299 - - 712 - - -2106 ODpotential blCL 3444 - - 2985 - - 6050 - - 7360 - - 5345 blCL maxRH 96 - - 94 - - 82 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 720 - - 950 - - 540 - - 320 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m 64.6 - - 72.8 - - 79.8 - - 81.5 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.1 - - 63.4 - - 58.0 - - 54.7 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.6 - - 71.9 - - 77.9 - - 80.4 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.0 - - 62.9 - - 57.5 - - 54.3 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 178 - - 346 - - 193 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 143 - - 2790 - - 6345 - - 7068 - - 2235 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 77 - - 28 - - 82 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99218 36 080 33 093 35 082 33 073 31 080 99218 91776 28 074 35 088 33 088 30 082 30 092 91776 86028 27 079 29 085 27 093 25 086 22 090 86028 81251 24 086 22 089 18 092 17 074 17 081 81251 77137 19 093 18 095 12 096 12 072 15 083 77137 73509 14 093 13 083 14 103 11 093 11 085 73509 70225 5 099 8 103 8 099 13 114 11 116 70225 67204 7 172 6 138 4 146 10 134 7 142 67204 64401 10 173 10 179 10 206 8 211 7 211 64401 61682 8 204 15 186 19 198 17 221 15 243 61682 58837 15 222 16 214 22 210 21 220 20 234 58837 55873 21 232 21 224 25 214 25 217 27 221 55873 53037 26 221 26 226 26 223 29 223 29 216 53037 50482 28 224 31 221 34 220 39 226 34 226 50482 48195 33 225 34 222 41 214 48 219 44 226 48195 46120 40 233 44 226 44 218 51 213 54 219 46120 44215 52 227 54 223 53 224 54 213 59 214 44215 42447 55 218 61 218 62 221 59 215 58 214 42447 40805 52 219 61 215 68 216 63 217 57 215 40805 39278 53 223 58 217 67 213 64 215 58 213 39278 37858 51 221 58 221 63 213 65 211 55 210 37858 36503 47 226 58 218 60 215 62 210 50 209 36503 35139 44 229 57 215 59 215 59 209 47 212 35139 33730 44 230 52 216 57 214 56 211 48 218 33730 32276 49 227 48 220 54 212 54 212 52 220 32276 30759 51 226 44 226 49 214 53 212 53 220 30759 29164 46 228 41 230 43 216 48 213 50 222 29164 27492 36 230 36 233 39 220 43 215 45 225 27492 25742 28 238 31 239 35 223 38 217 39 228 25742 23917 28 243 27 243 31 227 33 222 34 233 23917 22020 28 244 25 242 28 231 29 229 29 237 22020 20046 28 244 27 243 26 239 26 237 25 236 20046 17986 26 245 25 245 24 242 24 242 23 233 17986 15890 23 242 22 246 22 239 23 245 21 234 15890 13876 21 236 22 250 21 238 23 250 17 239 13876 12045 20 240 22 244 21 242 21 248 17 243 12045 10417 20 249 21 237 22 253 17 243 15 242 10417 8969 19 249 18 234 22 252 15*242 10 221 8969 7679 17 236 18 241 17*241 12*240 8 201 7679 6531 16 221 18 242 13*239 11 242 7 202 6531 5513 15 218 17 238 10 244 11 245 6 222 5513 4615 14 230 15 235 9 251 11 250 7 258 4615 3820 14 252 13*234 9 256 11 254 9*286 3820 3108 12 267 10*233 9 260 11 256 14*306 3108 2478 9 278 8 237 9 263 11 258 15 308 2478 1952 6 277 7 239 9 265 11 259 15 308 1952 1547 5 302 7 240 9 266 10 260 15 308 1547 1269 6*309 6 241 8 266 10 260 14 308 1269 1100 6*308 6 242 8 267 9 260 12 308 1100 1003 2 300 5 242 7 268 8 260 9 307 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography