DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 57.1 - - 61.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - 32 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 334 - - 1150 - - 1790 - - 119 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1338 - - 2154 - - 2794 - - 1123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2445 - - 1547 - - 1092 - - 3191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 48 - - 85 - - 165 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 201 - - 191 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2384 - - -2295 - - -2116 - - -4560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3722 - - 4449 - - 4910 - - 5683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10422 - - -11617 - - -10428 - - -12007 ODpotential blCL - - - 11760 - - 13771 - - 13222 - - 13130 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.5 - - 57.1 - - 61.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.8 - - 41.2 - - 43.5 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 57.4 - - 61.3 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 40.5 - - 42.8 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - 32 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 334 - - 1150 - - 1790 - - 119 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98268 7 116 5 297 4 187 7 266 98268 90836 9 137 10 218 8 294 10 327 90836 85119 0 123 7 171 10 259 8 299 85119 80367 4 287 7 169 10 230 10 256 80367 76262 3 241 2 187 4 235 10 235 76262 72622 4 165 3 296 7 220 5 232 72622 69328 4 174 9 285 7 232 6 263 69328 66303 4 244 12 282 7 325 6 293 66303 63502 6 248 14 271 16 320 11 318 63502 60795 6 306 11 267 17 292 14 310 60795 57979 16 313 10 304 13 288 20 312 57979 55075 23 313 17 308 19 311 18 303 55075 52317 26 313 20 321 20 314 16 322 52317 49845 31 324 25 330 25 310 26 309 49845 47629 37 327 25 317 28 290 30 288 47629 45606 35 313 24 305 26 281 32 277 45606 43749 28 297 32 302 30 282 34 274 43749 42043 40 302 43 293 32 287 32 271 42043 40482 46 282 45 291 31 291 30 276 40482 39045 40 267 43 289 29 284 32 279 39045 37696 38 279 41 281 26 278 34 278 37696 36386 46 281 45 270 28 279 34 274 36386 35048 46 276 45 268 29 276 35 273 35048 33654 39 270 47 267 30 271 38 275 33654 32206 36 266 48 268 34 273 39 278 32206 30691 37 266 42 272 38 285 40 278 30691 29098 40 266 38 278 40 287 43 278 29098 27429 41 267 37 280 43 282 44 281 27429 25682 40 268 35 281 47 282 46 287 25682 23860 40 269 35 285 55 286 45 285 23860 21966 36 272 33 290 47 285 36 279 21966 19991 33 276 31 293 32 277 31 286 19991 17933 28 269 30 292 35 283 36 295 17933 15835 25 270 29 288 38 289 38 295 15835 13813 26 263 25 288 36 288 37 292 13813 11972 32 254 26 288 33 285 33 292 11972 10334 27 247 29 268 24 281 31 293 10334 8881 17 251 23 254 24 279 21 298 8881 7587 12 253 19 225 21 265 13 312 7587 6439 12 249 15 213 19 260 13 294 6439 5425 12 219 14 207 22 259 20 251 5425 4537 14 205 16 202 19 245 21 234 4537 3757 17 200 19 203 22 208 19 207 3757 3061 17 194 21 204 22*198 18 199 3061 2446 16 184 20*203 18*193 18 197 2446 1933 15 176 18*202 16 191 17 195 1933 1538 12*167 16 201 14 190 15 193 1538 1266 10*165 14 200 13 189 14*191 1266 1101 9 164 12 200 11 189 11*189 1101 1007 6 163 9 200 9 189 8 188 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography