DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 35 - - -12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 1346 - - 340 - - 735 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 - - 989 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1653 - - 2350 - - 1344 - - 1739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1299 - - 1222 - - 2791 - - 1389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 158 - - 43 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 083 - - 078 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 325 - - -577 - - -699 - - -235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1328 - - 2927 - - 2044 - - 1975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 136 - - -6066 - - -1335 - - -6058 ODpotential blCL - - - 1517 - - 8416 - - 2679 - - 7797 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 200 - - 360 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 49.3 - - 54.3 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 58.3 - - 60.2 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 48.4 - - 53.9 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 35 - - -12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 1346 - - 340 - - 735 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98480 7 115 5 164 3 176 2 038 98480 91115 11 106 4 112 3 180 5 065 91115 85418 9 087 7 103 7 221 4 025 85418 80682 7 057 2 111 3 266 2 289 80682 76606 5 065 4 246 3 285 1 198 76606 73012 3 105 3 223 5 242 4 337 73012 69771 4 040 3 030 2 224 6 321 69771 66803 7 338 7 001 1 252 10 323 66803 64060 7 277 8 337 2 306 12 304 64060 61396 7 328 9 329 5 319 10 280 61396 58603 15 318 12 315 10 313 9 307 58603 55718 14 290 12 301 15 296 15 315 55718 52973 11 294 12 294 15 303 18 304 52973 50487 16 313 18 294 23 315 22 312 50487 48244 19 307 20 290 24 306 27 320 48244 46200 22 314 18 290 27 296 33 317 46200 44319 26 308 21 293 32 297 33 316 44319 42571 29 297 26 304 29 302 32 319 42571 40938 32 292 30 308 29 307 33 325 40938 39411 30 297 28 310 29 309 35 327 39411 37980 24 303 24 313 28 312 38 326 37980 36606 20 300 24 310 26 317 34 326 36606 35217 15 297 23 309 23 325 29 327 35217 33783 11 304 19 318 23 334 29 333 33783 32310 8 304 14 317 19 336 23 341 32310 30790 6 298 7 315 12 340 16 357 30790 29208 3 316 5 293 7 005 13 018 29208 27552 3 036 5 285 7 020 14 021 27552 25814 7 067 2 301 7 025 15 021 25814 23994 7 069 3 086 6 019 17 007 23994 22095 7 066 4 097 6 011 16 359 22095 20112 7 077 5 079 5 025 13 001 20112 18041 6 090 5 076 6 005 13 006 18041 15922 7 074 11 069 10 055 13 002 15922 13872 10 061 14 059 12 066 10 056 13872 12004 10 053 12 077 14 098 6 112 12004 10350 14 066 16 086 15 124 11 117 10350 8884 17 079 18 117 13 133 16 133 8884 7582 19 088 18 119 12 115 15 134 7582 6427 17 093 16 109 16 106 10 112 6427 5407 19 091 21 100 19 108 13 109 5407 4514 28 083 27 090 24 089 18 102 4514 3730 28 083 28 083 26 077 26 096 3730 3036 26 082 26 082 25 075 32 087 3036 2426 23 078 24*083 23 076 30 082 2426 1919 20*073 19*084 20 077 25*079 1919 1529 16*067 17 083 17*078 22*077 1529 1261 14 066 15 083 14*078 18 077 1261 1099 12 064 13 083 12 078 16 076 1099 1006 9 064 10 083 8 078 11 075 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography