DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 64.3 - - 63.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 41 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 730 - - 1503 - - 2218 - - 97 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 990 - - 991 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1734 - - 2507 - - 3222 - - 1101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1220 - - 554 - - 675 - - 2259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 173 - - 171 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 358 - - 006 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 90 - - 529 - - 588 - - -913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1644 - - 1978 - - 2634 - - 2014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1207 - - -7078 - - -7164 - - -1926 ODpotential blCL - - - 2941 - - 9585 - - 10386 - - 3027 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 64.3 - - 63.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.7 - - 59.0 - - 55.5 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 64.1 - - 63.7 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 58.1 - - 54.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 41 - - 24 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 730 - - 1503 - - 2218 - - 97 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 94 - - 89 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 40 252 33 265 31 252 32 264 97226 90136 14 274 17 238 22 261 20 293 90136 84644 8 283 12 242 16 275 16 298 84644 80072 7 288 9 263 12 279 8 307 80072 76124 3 197 6 239 7 236 4 326 76124 72619 1 117 5 243 5 261 3 317 72619 69446 6 231 12 261 13 287 13 288 69446 66534 8 264 13 264 17 268 16 262 66534 63827 16 255 16 285 20 244 16 282 63827 61213 29 256 29 270 31 263 34 270 61213 58513 37 248 37 255 38 262 40 266 58513 55736 46 245 41 258 49 265 51 260 55736 53102 57 251 61 257 57 257 53 261 53102 50733 58 248 59 249 61 261 58 265 50733 48600 48 246 54 253 65 266 62 267 48600 46645 52 260 60 264 71 268 74 268 46645 44837 66 269 69 268 75 266 81 267 44837 43147 74 271 76 269 79 264 83 267 43147 41558 79 273 82 268 82 264 81 265 41558 40058 82 272 84 265 81 266 79 263 40058 38643 83 270 84 265 80 268 75 259 38643 37275 87 271 84 267 80 270 74 254 37275 35879 89 271 85 267 81 271 71 259 35879 34425 87 265 84 265 79 266 72 266 34425 32917 83 263 80 263 82 265 75 269 32917 31343 76 264 74 261 82 265 77 269 31343 29686 71 262 75 261 81 266 76 265 29686 27948 73 264 79 264 83 279 75 272 27948 26130 80 280 81 279 78 287 60 286 26130 24241 66 282 67 282 58 285 49 283 24241 22289 48 275 44 277 43 272 41 276 22289 20269 42 277 34 267 36 271 37 276 20269 18164 52 250 34 260 30 274 26 276 18164 16016 52 248 39 255 35 269 24 280 16016 13949 44 248 41 262 38 265 26 280 13949 12077 45 251 42 265 35 275 22 291 12077 10415 44 255 41 273 32 284 20 290 10415 8938 34 261 34 278 26 283 18 281 8938 7625 31 278 22 280 16 277 17 271 7625 6462 27 289 19 282 13 282 15 276 6462 5438 20 284 17 281 12 287 13 283 5438 4540 14 277 14 281 10 295 12 300 4540 3752 9 279 11 294 9*348 5 014 3752 3054 4 305 8*338 12*006 12 059 3054 2440 3 347 10*358 12 006 14 053 2440 1929 7*022 10 358 12 006 14 048 1929 1535 7*020 10 358 11 006 13 045 1535 1265 7 020 9 358 11 006 11*042 1265 1100 7 020 9 358 10 006 9*040 1100 1007 5 018 7 358 8 006 6 038 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography