DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1010z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.6 - - 68.8 - - 79.5 - - 81.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 122 - - 111 - - 48 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 270 - - 976 - - 6069 - - 5297 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 985 - - 986 - - 4815 - - 3675 - - 986 Hcrit BL Top 1274 - - 1980 - - 7073 - - 6301 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 475 - - 512 - - 2149 - - 3309 - - 839 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 208 - - 386 - - 296 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 8 - - 20 - - 24 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 174 - - 220 - - 209 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 8 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 12 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 6 - - -534 - - 3154 - - 1299 - - -2542 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1268 - - 2514 - - 3919 - - 5002 - - 3546 sfcLCL ODpotential -5515 - - -3560 - - 1410 - - -504 - - -4742 ODpotential blCL 6789 - - 5540 - - 5663 - - 6805 - - 5746 blCL maxRH 99 - - 86 - - 79 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 410 - - 30 - - 1500 - - 1220 - - 1060 CAPE Temp@2m 58.6 - - 68.8 - - 79.5 - - 81.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.4 - - 61.0 - - 65.4 - - 62.9 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 68.2 - - 79.0 - - 81.6 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 59.9 - - 63.8 - - 61.6 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 122 - - 111 - - 48 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 270 - - 976 - - 6069 - - 5297 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 44 - - 14 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98149 18 099 26 096 22 098 19 101 21 070 98149 90741 23 086 25 100 24 097 23 094 17 080 90741 85058 27 081 24 095 24 100 23 094 19 091 85058 80351 27 079 22 092 23 109 19 092 22 093 80351 76291 22 086 21 100 17 106 17 100 20 089 76291 72683 15 086 19 097 11 108 13 108 15 082 72683 69395 8 100 14 097 9 110 9 134 10 083 69395 66371 6 063 9 101 6 104 7 134 5 121 66371 63579 4 319 2 150 1 289 4 070 6 143 63579 60886 6 287 2 212 9 228 7 293 1 321 60886 58089 12 277 10 296 6 236 10 267 8 296 58089 55191 16 268 16 271 12 262 16 257 21 283 55191 52431 13 272 23 265 15 264 21 257 29 267 52431 49955 27 276 28 259 25 268 19 267 23 264 49955 47755 31 261 32 258 33 267 28 281 22 272 47755 45793 29 263 37 262 44 268 41 265 25 266 45793 44012 38 272 36 270 42 262 45 244 25 274 44012 42362 45 272 33 277 42 262 43 240 34 247 42362 40815 44 258 35 271 48 259 45 242 37 233 40815 39360 42 251 37 260 46 257 45 241 37 230 39360 37985 40 253 38 253 41 255 41 242 35 228 37985 36655 35 256 36 251 37 251 36 238 33 226 36655 35300 26 268 29 251 35 248 33 235 32 225 35300 33891 22 286 28 248 34 247 32 237 32 229 33891 32431 28 288 29 249 32 248 35 237 34 226 32431 30903 33 273 32 256 32 248 37 235 37 225 30903 29296 34 263 36 255 33 248 35 237 37 225 29296 27613 32 263 38 251 32 248 33 241 36 225 27613 25854 30 266 38 251 30 250 34 246 35 226 25854 24021 30 269 36 250 29 253 34 248 35 228 24021 22117 31 272 34 252 29 254 33 248 35 232 22117 20135 31 274 32 250 28 250 31 247 32 236 20135 18074 31 263 32 244 28 248 29 244 29 238 18074 15971 30 253 32 246 31 252 29 246 29 243 15971 13942 29 249 31 243 33 249 30 248 33 239 13942 12100 30 241 32 235 34 242 32 243 31 240 12100 10471 23 237 33 232 39 230 35 238 30 242 10471 9024 21 243 30 231 37 226 35 236 29 238 9024 7731 21 254 27 234 30*227 33 230 30 233 7731 6579 22 259 26 243 26*227 32*227 32 226 6579 5555 23 260 25 248 25 226 29*218 34 219 5555 4650 24 256 26 247 23 224 27 213 34 217 4650 3849 22 244 26 241 21 220 26 210 33 216 3849 3130 18 225 23 236 18 216 24 208 32 215 3130 2493 15 186 19*229 17 214 23 206 30 213 2493 1961 17 147 11*201 16 213 22 204 27 208 1961 1552 16*134 8 168 15 212 20 203 23 202 1552 1271 15*130 7 163 14 211 18 202 17 194 1271 1101 13 129 7 161 12 210 16 202 13*191 1101 1003 9 128 6 159 10 210 13 201 7*188 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography