DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.5 - - 52.0 - - 56.9 - - 61.1 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 126 - - 146 - - 100 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1 - - 1241 - - 3552 - - 4276 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit 989 - - 989 - - 2999 - - 3275 - - 989 Hcrit BL Top 1005 - - 2245 - - 4556 - - 5280 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 187 - - 2231 - - 485 - - 523 - - 3579 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 219 - - 329 - - 310 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 33 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 016 - - 071 - - 118 - - 071 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -74 - - -394 - - 362 - - -458 - - -2138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1079 - - 2639 - - 4194 - - 5738 - - 3144 sfcLCL ODpotential -2574 - - -811 - - 242 - - -9865 - - -12605 ODpotential blCL 3579 - - 3056 - - 4314 - - 15145 - - 13611 blCL maxRH 91 - - 95 - - 93 - - 69 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.5 - - 52.0 - - 56.9 - - 61.1 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 44.5 - - 42.4 - - 39.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 51.2 - - 56.1 - - 60.5 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.7 - - 44.1 - - 41.7 - - 39.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 126 - - 146 - - 100 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1 - - 1241 - - 3552 - - 4276 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 79 - - 71 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98085 11 067 9 073 11 080 4 034 5 005 98085 90753 8 065 14 089 9 066 11 082 9 029 90753 85093 9 069 14 076 13 100 11 070 11 045 85093 80373 5 099 11 082 7 132 6 034 8 051 80373 76293 3 172 2 074 5 174 2 252 2 000 76293 72686 1 218 4 290 1 189 5 196 3 263 72686 69423 6 288 1 295 6 321 4 200 5 295 69423 66433 10 315 3 026 8 321 4 336 2 325 66433 63664 11 292 6 309 10 294 14 311 12 327 63664 60996 7 268 9 299 9 281 14 292 14 308 60996 58227 15 305 16 302 13 298 15 282 17 298 58227 55357 23 292 20 294 19 289 21 279 24 287 55357 52615 25 288 22 286 18 277 22 270 24 270 52615 50140 29 290 24 284 18 280 20 274 22 273 50140 47916 32 286 27 281 23 279 23 278 28 278 47916 45898 32 283 29 279 26 277 26 278 32 270 45898 44054 29 281 26 279 24 285 25 279 30 265 44054 42352 23 286 21 284 24 301 24 289 28 269 42352 40773 21 302 20 305 25 310 27 296 30 277 40773 39298 22 314 24 321 26 315 30 298 31 282 39298 37914 23 317 26 326 25 315 27 300 27 286 37914 36580 23 316 25 324 22 316 23 302 22 290 36580 35226 23 318 23 320 20 318 21 296 17 304 35226 33825 23 320 22 316 20 317 20 296 20 329 33825 32376 25 325 22 316 19 316 18 307 25 338 32376 30860 28 329 22 319 17 321 15 316 20 337 30860 29264 28 333 21 319 14 326 13 315 14 322 29264 27589 27 342 21 326 13 321 12 307 12 304 27589 25833 28 352 20 332 12 314 13 300 13 293 25833 24000 29 360 17 337 11 326 11 302 14 293 24000 22091 24 358 16 337 9 340 8 318 10 286 22091 20097 20 356 16 346 7 349 5 326 8 293 20097 18013 16 358 13 354 7 003 3 327 5 307 18013 15881 14 352 12 344 9 355 7 341 6 326 15881 13822 15 357 13 356 10 349 8 353 7 345 13822 11948 17 010 14 013 9 020 6 030 5 016 11948 10284 12 014 13 031 10 045 5 051 3 023 10284 8809 9 347 8 026 7 044 6 018 6 012 8809 7509 8 314 7 329 5 012 3 028 6 053 7509 6366 5 298 7 293 7 316 1 115 5 120 6366 5365 3 210 5 243 5*289 3*085 5 084 5365 4493 6 180 7 191 1*116 3*080 5 057 4493 3724 7 128 7 135 1 117 3 076 5 073 3724 3036 9 119 7 112 2 117 3 071 6 092 3036 2427 9 096 8*087 2 120 3 069 7 103 2427 1919 10 064 7*074 2 118 3 067 8 108 1919 1530 11 046 7 071 2 119 3 066 9 111 1530 1262 10 031 6 070 2 120 3 065 9 112 1262 1099 8 025 6 070 2 119 2 065 8*112 1099 1006 4*016 5 069 2 118 2 066 5*110 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography