DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1009z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.7 - - 84.9 - - 93.2 - - 96.0 - - 92.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 168 - - 330 - - 211 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 430 - - 1437 - - 5269 - - 6954 - - 5817 BL Depth Hcrit 987 - - 1573 - - 4701 - - 5795 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top 1434 - - 2441 - - 6273 - - 7958 - - 6821 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 781 - - 2087 - - 1214 - - 1066 - - 2887 Hgt.Variab. W* 95 - - 257 - - 495 - - 471 - - 134 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 10 - - 20 - - 19 - - 18 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 228 - - 220 - - 245 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -326 - - -627 - - 544 - - 1083 - - 691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1760 - - 3068 - - 5730 - - 6876 - - 6131 sfcLCL ODpotential -4410 - - -4931 - - -3174 - - -2283 - - -540 ODpotential blCL 5844 - - 7372 - - 9447 - - 10241 - - 7361 blCL maxRH 89 - - 90 - - 81 - - 79 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 2440 - - 2980 - - 2830 - - 2500 - - 2290 CAPE Temp@2m 78.7 - - 84.9 - - 93.2 - - 96.0 - - 92.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.7 - - 74.2 - - 71.1 - - 69.0 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.7 - - 83.9 - - 91.6 - - 94.9 - - 93.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.6 - - 73.8 - - 70.6 - - 68.5 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 168 - - 330 - - 211 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 430 - - 1437 - - 5269 - - 6954 - - 5817 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 61 - - 23 - - 15 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99153 31 071 35 094 35 093 30 099 28 091 99153 91690 30 083 27 095 31 096 27 076 34 096 91690 85943 31 088 21 092 27 082 29 081 29 089 85943 81169 27 095 21 078 21 087 28 083 24 084 81169 77062 24 102 21 083 19 092 23 087 19 093 77062 73455 20 088 21 098 14 081 19 098 14 093 73455 70212 17 074 20 105 6 104 13 093 13 077 70212 67223 13 054 18 098 9 134 7 120 10 040 67223 64435 5 114 7 080 8 089 10 126 3 291 64435 61738 5 132 8 193 6 302 9 359 6 241 61738 58943 9 336 11 198 12 231 18 297 9 238 58943 56076 17 310 6 267 13 208 22 247 14 286 56076 53375 23 254 16 307 7 246 16 224 15 261 53375 50960 29 224 19 284 12 267 15 251 7 259 50960 48791 28 214 33 250 28 262 28 262 19 288 48791 46820 25 218 40 242 33 255 28 254 26 266 46820 45011 25 226 39 245 29 256 21 251 22 240 45011 43325 25 232 33 229 25 247 12 245 22 219 43325 41743 21 238 25 222 23 234 10 240 24 231 41743 40252 16 242 17 209 22 247 17 245 24 243 40252 38844 12 245 12 197 18 228 20 233 20 254 38844 37479 9 242 9 189 14 204 20 212 18 264 37479 36090 7 242 9 201 14 224 18 213 18 267 36090 34647 8 252 11 224 16 238 18 234 18 262 34647 33154 10 266 11 251 13 256 17 236 16 258 33154 31595 13 294 11 275 11 270 13 234 15 260 31595 29956 16 324 13 299 9 298 13 228 17 256 29956 28239 18 339 16 315 7 318 12 225 20 249 28239 26443 22 328 17 322 10 300 13 238 21 244 26443 24571 23 310 17 303 17 292 20 267 22 252 24571 22624 24 298 19 286 20 285 24 266 25 254 22624 20597 20 291 14 281 16 263 22 248 27 252 20597 18491 14 251 16 277 12 265 14 254 26 247 18491 16350 11 256 15 270 12 270 11 268 22 251 16350 14285 6 243 14 249 19 266 17 273 21 259 14285 12401 8 233 14 242 20 261 18 271 21 273 12401 10724 13 255 13 240 17 253 14 270 21 283 10724 9237 17 260 12 245 16 246 14*272 20 286 9237 7912 16 250 12 246 17 243 20*264 20*283 7912 6731 15 235 12 231 21*239 21 259 20*266 6731 5681 14 234 13 218 22*235 21 242 20 262 5681 4752 11 246 15 213 22 221 20 241 20 258 4752 3929 12 266 15 215 21 219 20 240 19 254 3929 3190 20 268 15 232 21 218 19 239 19 252 3190 2536 26 258 14*233 20 217 19 238 18 250 2536 1990 25 246 12*230 19 216 18 237 17 249 1990 1570 22*240 11 228 18 215 17 237 16 248 1570 1281 17*236 10 227 17 215 16 236 14 247 1281 1105 14 235 9 227 16 215 14 236 12 246 1105 1004 10 233 7 226 13 214 12 235 9 246 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography