DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1007z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 68.2 - - 76.4 - - 79.2 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -62 - - 13 - - 16 - - -56 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3 - - 963 - - 2363 - - 4 - - 4 BL Depth Hcrit 990 - - 990 - - 991 - - 991 - - 991 Hcrit BL Top 1007 - - 1967 - - 3367 - - 1008 - - 1008 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 770 - - 897 - - 5234 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 128 - - 194 - - 18 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 238 - - 244 - - 259 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1187 - - -1180 - - -1076 - - -4147 - - -2373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2194 - - 3147 - - 4443 - - 5155 - - 3381 sfcLCL ODpotential -9708 - - -8643 - - -6943 - - -8171 - - -6134 ODpotential blCL 10715 - - 10610 - - 10310 - - 9179 - - 7142 blCL maxRH 70 - - 67 - - 65 - - 60 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 0 - - 600 - - 1080 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 68.2 - - 76.4 - - 79.2 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.5 - - 57.7 - - 60.1 - - 59.9 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 68.5 - - 76.6 - - 81.3 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.1 - - 56.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.6 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -62 - - 13 - - 16 - - -56 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3 - - 963 - - 2363 - - 4 - - 4 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98219 17 273 16 276 17 271 14 292 12 269 98219 90889 16 300 11 300 10 276 16 285 20 311 90889 85215 15 302 12 309 9 234 19 266 21 321 85215 80505 14 350 9 302 3 265 11 242 18 293 80505 76432 11 000 4 350 5 024 2 206 6 322 76432 72803 6 333 3 042 4 045 2 002 4 339 72803 69503 6 277 0 126 2 125 1 228 5 265 69503 66464 7 244 7 283 9 277 8 299 5 319 66464 63653 12 277 12 306 11 292 12 289 11 319 63653 60946 13 305 16 306 17 306 18 318 13 334 60946 58132 21 319 17 299 19 301 21 313 18 319 58132 55231 25 311 20 308 19 300 21 303 21 311 55231 52480 31 309 24 315 20 309 18 302 21 307 52480 50008 35 301 28 308 23 301 22 300 26 311 50008 47790 34 308 29 305 28 292 30 300 32 308 47790 45774 43 320 35 306 33 296 37 298 36 301 45774 43924 50 317 41 308 38 298 40 293 38 295 43924 42210 51 313 45 308 40 296 42 290 40 292 42210 40613 48 311 48 308 43 297 45 287 42 290 40613 39122 48 314 51 311 45 299 50 280 47 284 39122 37728 49 321 51 312 46 296 51 273 54 278 37728 36395 51 325 50 310 45 291 48 272 56 271 36395 35053 48 329 47 307 44 286 47 275 52 266 35053 33666 42 333 43 302 42 282 45 276 49 264 33666 32229 38 339 37 297 39 278 40 274 48 265 32229 30727 33 342 31 295 38 273 37 271 46 268 30727 29146 29 328 27 294 35 272 37 270 42 271 29146 27489 25 314 25 298 30 274 34 270 39 272 27489 25752 25 310 25 303 24 277 32 268 37 273 25752 23939 29 306 27 299 22 276 33 260 34 278 23939 22059 34 293 31 291 28 279 31 260 32 285 22059 20107 35 282 38 286 31 284 30 266 32 289 20107 18073 35 276 39 282 35 282 30 276 33 287 18073 15990 35 274 44 282 39 282 35 286 31 286 15990 13974 34 274 43 279 44 277 42 285 30 281 13974 12134 33 269 40 275 44 273 47 276 34 274 12134 10493 35 262 36 275 41 270 49 265 33 271 10493 9033 33 250 29 269 38 264 50 262 29 270 9033 7734 27 248 28 254 39 258 46 262 31 260 7734 6581 23 256 28 247 41 254 37 254 32 252 6581 5556 24 271 26 251 38 253 31 251 29 257 5556 4650 33 277 26 264 34 255 30 252 26 263 4650 3849 44 269 33 266 27*249 28 254 22 272 3849 3131 46 259 34 257 23*245 27 255 19 284 3131 2495 43 244 31*251 22 244 25 256 18 298 2495 1964 37 231 24*241 21 244 24 257 18 305 1964 1556 30 224 21 238 19 244 21 258 18 308 1556 1275 21 219 19 237 17 243 18 258 15 307 1275 1105 18*218 16 236 15 243 15*259 12*306 1105 1008 10*216 12 235 11 243 9*259 5*301 1008 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography