DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/21 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 0958z - - 1331z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.3 - - 68.4 - - 71.8 - - 69.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 25 - - 57 - - 26 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 279 - - 939 - - 1775 - - 661 - - 356 BL Depth Hcrit 986 - - 986 - - 986 - - 986 - - 986 Hcrit BL Top 1283 - - 1943 - - 2779 - - 1665 - - 1360 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2372 - - 2411 - - 2045 - - 2121 - - 2457 Hgt.Variab. W* 51 - - 122 - - 197 - - 108 - - 41 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 155 - - 158 - - 138 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 8 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 201 - - 662 - - 890 - - 304 - - 357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1082 - - 1281 - - 1889 - - 1361 - - 1003 sfcLCL ODpotential -1177 - - 215 - - 408 - - -452 - - -283 ODpotential blCL 2460 - - 1728 - - 2371 - - 2117 - - 1643 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 350 - - 710 - - 470 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m 66.3 - - 68.4 - - 71.8 - - 69.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.3 - - 65.6 - - 66.3 - - 66.2 - - 67.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.5 - - 68.2 - - 71.5 - - 69.3 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.2 - - 65.3 - - 65.8 - - 66.0 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 25 - - 57 - - 26 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 279 - - 939 - - 1775 - - 661 - - 356 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 102 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99530 39 082 38 092 33 095 33 075 31 080 99530 91998 27 078 33 087 33 092 28 078 27 089 91998 86193 24 083 28 085 33 087 26 089 24 087 86193 81394 23 089 23 085 28 081 25 091 22 079 81394 77268 23 097 20 083 24 079 23 090 20 079 77268 73612 21 093 18 082 21 081 19 093 18 071 73612 70294 16 081 18 080 17 086 17 094 15 072 70294 67245 13 084 16 081 13 091 15 085 18 079 67245 64421 15 092 14 089 8 097 12 072 18 063 64421 61693 14 087 13 090 5 109 8 071 14 045 61693 58860 10 068 11 083 4 108 5 075 9 024 58860 55926 7 004 9 056 6 091 3 104 6 346 55926 53129 6 326 4 351 7 042 5 077 4 347 53129 50612 2 317 3 241 7 355 9 043 5 054 50612 48353 1 060 4 096 4 318 10 009 10 040 48353 46295 3 329 6 033 4 104 5 338 11 355 46295 44402 8 238 6 289 6 040 4 059 7 318 44402 42645 16 186 11 231 5 321 8 026 2 356 42645 41005 18 158 10 205 4 232 4 342 2 306 41005 39474 12 132 8 167 6 192 2 254 3 227 39474 38045 10 100 10 139 8 201 6 301 5 128 38045 36676 9 087 8 112 7 261 14 303 6 069 36676 35295 6 130 13 357 14 338 17 302 10 316 35295 33876 12 155 24 339 21 332 23 292 15 286 33876 32414 13 154 25 336 25 323 24 292 14 286 32414 30886 7 118 26 335 29 326 23 298 14 289 30886 29278 8 037 19 330 26 335 20 309 7 296 29278 27591 9 000 13 314 16 337 13 321 7 299 27591 25826 6 326 13 300 13 343 9 321 4 298 25826 23985 5 263 11 294 11 345 5 337 4 333 23985 22073 6 273 6 294 7 341 5 329 6 347 22073 20085 8 269 2 268 4 329 7 328 5 010 20085 18014 7 265 2 185 2 344 5 328 6 026 18014 15906 8 257 3 167 1 086 0 197 7 036 15906 13878 8 230 4 162 4 194 2 335 7 033 13878 12037 8 206 5 175 3 188 3 006 7 017 12037 10401 10 190 7 186 4 178 0 014 7 041 10401 8948 10 185 8 179 6 183 5 147 6 083 8948 7657 8 200 12 164 6 175 7 128 9 127 7657 6509 10 207 15 162 8 159 9 113 11 142 6509 5494 15 190 13 172 10 154 11 113 12 146 5494 4597 17 179 12 188 11 151 13 117 10 146 4597 3806 18 175 12 195 11 150 13 121 8 143 3806 3097 17 175 11 192 11*151 13 124 7 139 3097 2470 16 178 10*182 11*155 12 128 7 131 2470 1946 16 177 9*165 11 159 11*135 7 114 1946 1544 15*172 8 155 10 159 10*137 7*094 1544 1267 11*157 8 152 10 160 9 138 7*083 1267 1099 10 155 7 149 9 160 8 139 6 080 1099 1003 6 152 5 148 7 159 6 140 4 076 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography