DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/30 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.7 - - 66.4 - - 70.9 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 71 - - 171 - - 68 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2 - - 436 - - 1112 - - 2737 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 990 - - 990 - - 1325 - - 1833 - - 991 Hcrit BL Top 1006 - - 1440 - - 2116 - - 3741 - - 1007 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 500 - - 656 - - 1060 - - 578 - - 2311 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 128 - - 236 - - 238 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 120 - - 115 - - 111 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 338 - - 0 - - 504 - - -1084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1006 - - 1102 - - 2116 - - 3237 - - 2091 sfcLCL ODpotential -8909 - - 254 - - -6106 - - -5199 - - -7902 ODpotential blCL 9915 - - 1186 - - 8222 - - 8940 - - 8909 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 59.7 - - 66.4 - - 70.9 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.6 - - 58.3 - - 60.6 - - 60.3 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.3 - - 59.2 - - 65.3 - - 70.6 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 58.1 - - 60.2 - - 59.7 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 71 - - 171 - - 68 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2 - - 436 - - 1112 - - 2737 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 94 - - 49 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97975 18 271 19 245 23 250 26 252 30 259 97975 90660 13 269 12 243 20 257 23 268 19 285 90660 85043 13 272 10 270 15 240 20 269 18 297 85043 80385 9 283 11 279 11 255 16 256 15 294 80385 76378 5 311 6 278 9 274 11 252 13 299 76378 72830 7 317 5 270 6 276 8 249 13 290 72830 69607 7 254 7 237 9 237 11 256 13 271 69607 66641 5 243 3 225 7 187 10 258 11 263 66641 63892 11 264 11 265 6 226 11 258 10 259 63892 61240 16 256 13 250 8 245 13 249 13 256 61240 58487 16 250 13 249 15 262 18 258 16 272 58487 55634 16 255 18 255 23 272 24 269 21 279 55634 52903 26 267 24 261 29 269 28 271 28 269 52903 50441 34 266 28 265 32 266 31 268 32 259 50441 48237 39 268 30 270 34 262 32 263 31 257 48237 46241 41 267 32 274 31 256 32 255 29 256 46241 44419 32 268 33 279 24 261 23 247 24 240 44419 42744 22 271 24 263 24 257 15 257 13 216 42744 41192 17 272 15 252 18 246 9 252 8 178 41192 39737 12 265 11 248 10 233 3 164 16 141 39737 38363 14 266 8 252 9 214 4 105 17 125 38363 37031 14 262 10 271 7 176 5 121 15 125 37031 35675 14 261 12 285 3 189 4 149 11 132 35675 34263 14 268 12 297 4 273 3 205 6 171 34263 32799 13 290 10 308 5 284 4 263 6 208 32799 31264 15 307 8 312 4 269 6 257 6 215 31264 29648 17 300 11 296 9 237 9 233 10 220 29648 27953 20 292 19 298 11 269 11 249 14 246 27953 26177 24 290 22 295 16 278 12 276 15 259 26177 24321 25 292 22 293 16 282 17 282 18 279 24321 22387 19 285 20 287 16 284 17 275 19 279 22387 20370 15 287 19 288 19 284 17 278 19 279 20370 18265 11 316 12 298 15 292 16 297 16 294 18265 16121 13 333 10 325 9 290 16 312 12 316 16121 14061 15 359 14 356 6 007 12 329 13 351 14061 12191 20 023 17 017 14 038 10 016 15 007 12191 10523 20 026 20 019 18 030 16 032 16 018 10523 9037 18 016 22 015 19 026 18 032 20 025 9037 7716 15 359 19 017 17 026 17 033 22 037 7716 6547 11 357 14 018 14 027 14 035 21 047 6547 5513 9 007 9 033 10 034 10 030 17 051 5513 4606 6 348 6 059 6 065 3 078 10 056 4606 3810 4 309 2 124 5 120 5*109 6 079 3810 3100 3 174 5 145 5 129 6*110 7 096 3100 2474 7 145 8 136 4*124 6 110 9 103 2474 1950 8 124 7 123 4*117 6 111 10 107 1950 1548 11 098 6*121 4 116 6 111 10 110 1548 1271 10 090 6*121 4 115 6 112 10 110 1271 1103 8 083 5 120 4 114 6 111 8 110 1103 1007 3*077 4 119 3 114 5 112 4*109 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography