DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1605z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 79.6 - - 86.4 - - 86.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 116 - - 300 - - 148 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1355 - - 5612 - - 6037 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 986 - - 987 - - 4916 - - 4849 - - 986 Hcrit BL Top 1003 - - 2359 - - 6616 - - 7041 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 2211 - - 2389 - - 1601 - - 5631 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 224 - - 486 - - 396 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 18 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 235 - - 221 - - 214 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -173 - - -1503 - - 658 - - 238 - - -4282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1176 - - 3862 - - 5959 - - 6803 - - 5286 sfcLCL ODpotential -4718 - - -3142 - - -117 - - -1568 - - -5764 ODpotential blCL 5721 - - 5501 - - 6733 - - 8609 - - 6768 blCL maxRH 89 - - 81 - - 85 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 1070 - - 720 - - 720 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 79.6 - - 86.4 - - 86.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.1 - - 66.0 - - 63.7 - - 59.7 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.1 - - 78.9 - - 84.8 - - 85.3 - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.1 - - 65.5 - - 63.3 - - 59.2 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 116 - - 300 - - 148 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1355 - - 5612 - - 6037 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 23 - - 40 - - 70 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97980 15 008 5 014 3 171 5 283 7 286 97980 90737 13 344 5 344 4 294 7 275 8 284 90737 85112 7 284 8 289 6 328 8 239 10 286 85112 80433 4 245 10 279 7 304 6 282 9 297 80433 76402 4 050 4 259 5 266 8 326 6 316 76402 72840 7 027 1 034 2 233 6 330 5 335 72840 69619 7 017 7 055 2 121 2 325 1 304 69619 66664 3 008 8 054 3 096 2 271 0 159 66664 63935 1 022 6 068 3 074 4 211 3 218 63935 61307 4 288 2 015 5 310 2 264 5 234 61307 58577 10 295 5 317 7 283 6 272 10 257 58577 55766 9 308 15 291 16 281 14 287 14 273 55766 53108 22 306 22 282 22 273 25 277 26 279 53108 50718 27 314 18 308 17 267 36 269 43 278 50718 48576 36 318 32 311 26 275 41 261 50 262 48576 46629 47 306 39 300 31 287 38 260 46 261 46629 44819 52 306 45 306 41 303 37 285 49 279 44819 43124 58 309 59 309 60 303 57 296 65 288 43124 41544 65 310 71 305 73 300 64 295 68 284 41544 40066 70 308 75 301 77 297 62 293 66 284 40066 38672 69 310 71 301 67 296 54 294 51 277 38672 37321 63 311 65 303 61 296 47 296 41 269 37321 35940 49 313 52 309 53 298 44 298 38 267 35940 34503 40 320 38 308 33 292 31 292 37 271 34503 33011 32 317 33 293 27 279 25 280 34 272 33011 31450 32 303 31 291 28 269 28 271 33 271 31450 29806 31 292 30 290 28 264 30 267 33 273 29806 28084 27 303 26 282 28 266 29 266 32 269 28084 26284 24 292 21 279 25 265 27 269 28 273 26284 24408 25 281 23 279 23 268 25 270 23 271 24408 22458 21 279 23 283 18 271 22 268 20 255 22458 20429 13 271 18 293 14 272 18 267 18 244 20429 18321 9 263 15 291 16 272 19 270 21 246 18321 16171 13 266 16 277 17 265 18 265 23 246 16171 14100 13 267 13 261 18 243 15 243 18 247 14100 12219 12 263 13 243 22 235 21 243 17 239 12219 10551 12 260 15 236 26 235 28 238 22 236 10551 9075 14 261 16 235 25 228 26 229 27 234 9075 7767 14 256 17 233 21 219 24*216 28 233 7767 6606 12 254 18 235 20*221 23*215 27 230 6606 5575 13 255 20 237 20*222 23 214 27 220 5575 4664 15 252 22 238 20 222 22 213 27 213 4664 3859 17 254 22 240 19 221 22 213 26 210 3859 3136 19 256 21 243 19 221 21 213 25 207 3136 2497 20 260 19*244 18 220 21 213 24 202 2497 1963 20 261 15*241 17 219 20 214 22 198 1963 1554 19 252 10 234 16 218 19 214 19 193 1554 1272 16 232 9 232 15 218 18 214 15 188 1272 1101 14*228 8 231 14 218 16 214 12*186 1101 1003 4*214 7 230 12 218 13 213 7*183 1003 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography