DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.8 - - 28.6 - - 32.4 - - 34.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 30 - - 153 - - 17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 94 - - 1423 - - 3050 - - 3452 - - 2573 BL Depth Hcrit 983 - - 983 - - 2660 - - 983 - - 983 Hcrit BL Top 1098 - - 2427 - - 4054 - - 4456 - - 3577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2479 - - 868 - - 1246 - - 884 - - 763 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 145 - - 317 - - 168 - - 73 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 13 - - 21 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 013 - - 302 - - 251 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -171 - - 724 - - 560 - - 1158 - - 1364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1269 - - 1703 - - 3494 - - 3298 - - 2213 sfcLCL ODpotential -551 - - 244 - - -232 - - 477 - - 626 ODpotential blCL 1649 - - 2183 - - 4286 - - 3979 - - 2951 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 83 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.8 - - 28.6 - - 32.4 - - 34.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 25.0 - - 20.9 - - 23.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.2 - - 28.5 - - 32.3 - - 34.6 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 24.1 - - 20.1 - - 22.8 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 30 - - 153 - - 17 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 94 - - 1423 - - 3050 - - 3452 - - 2573 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 95 - - 31 - - 91 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95460 100 240 100 246 97 242 100 244 99 249 95460 88348 78 250 76 247 79 244 80 245 79 250 88348 82843 71 254 67 249 68 247 66 251 63 254 82843 78252 69 255 64 258 63 254 62 258 58 263 78252 74299 68 259 61 260 59 257 58 257 56 264 74299 70794 68 261 59 260 59 262 57 263 58 269 70794 67614 66 260 59 261 59 262 61 266 61 271 67614 64683 64 260 59 262 58 263 62 267 62 272 64683 61957 64 261 58 264 59 265 61 266 62 270 61957 59298 64 260 58 265 60 266 59 267 59 268 59298 56502 61 260 60 268 61 269 60 272 58 273 56502 53593 61 266 64 271 63 270 63 274 59 276 53593 50819 67 268 66 269 64 269 65 275 61 279 50819 48333 68 264 65 265 63 268 66 274 64 278 48333 46114 64 263 64 264 62 271 65 273 63 276 46114 44106 65 266 64 266 63 275 62 276 61 282 44106 42276 69 267 65 270 65 277 64 283 64 290 42276 40599 68 267 66 273 65 281 69 289 69 294 40599 39052 67 269 66 275 67 286 74 291 69 294 39052 37620 67 271 65 278 71 291 75 294 68 301 37620 36288 67 272 68 281 74 293 74 299 72 306 36288 35009 67 272 70 283 74 295 75 304 74 306 35009 33711 67 271 70 283 72 299 77 308 73 303 33711 32359 67 271 67 284 71 306 79 309 72 300 32359 30956 65 272 63 288 74 313 77 308 70 297 30956 29488 63 275 62 294 76 315 74 305 69 293 29488 27945 62 278 64 300 76 315 72 300 71 290 27945 26326 62 280 66 303 73 312 72 296 71 290 26326 24630 62 282 66 304 72 307 71 297 68 291 24630 22860 61 286 66 305 73 304 67 299 65 291 22860 21020 56 287 64 306 72 305 62 300 62 291 21020 19103 51 285 61 305 66 306 58 299 59 290 19103 17109 47 286 55 302 58 308 54 299 55 289 17109 15084 43 289 48 301 51 306 48 298 48 287 15084 13140 36 288 41 302 45 304 43 298 43 282 13140 11372 31 288 34 303 39 303 39 296 42 279 11372 9800 27 289 30 303 33 300 35 293 41 276 9800 8404 22 288 24 306 27 296 30 293 39 276 8404 7169 18 298 20 308 25 294 27 289 37 274 7169 6078 19 309 19 304 22 293 24 272 34 275 6078 5122 20 307 18 304 17 292 21*263 31 270 5122 4291 19 307 14 317 13*297 17*253 26*263 4291 3565 13 325 12 320 9*301 15 251 24*253 3565 2916 12 001 10*332 5 301 14 251 23 251 2916 2342 14 009 10*008 5 302 13 251 22 250 2342 1863 14 008 10 013 5 303 12 251 21 249 1863 1495 13 005 10 014 4 303 11 251 20 249 1495 1241 11*002 10 015 4 304 11 251 17 248 1241 1087 9*000 9 015 4 303 10 251 15 248 1087 999 6 359 7 015 4 302 8 251 11 247 999 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography