DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0958z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.1 - - 28.3 - - 32.1 - - 30.7 - - 29.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 100 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 742 - - 2231 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 982 - - 983 - - 1824 - - 983 - - 983 Hcrit BL Top 1000 - - 1746 - - 3235 - - 2287 - - 1000 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 497 - - 1530 - - 783 - - 1719 - - 2922 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 102 - - 250 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 279 - - 271 - - 259 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -651 - - -1093 - - 433 - - 557 - - -277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1651 - - 2839 - - 2802 - - 1730 - - 1277 sfcLCL ODpotential -12232 - - -12372 - - -9883 - - 28 - - -787 ODpotential blCL 13232 - - 14118 - - 13118 - - 2259 - - 1787 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.1 - - 28.3 - - 32.1 - - 30.7 - - 29.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 19.7 - - 23.6 - - 27.1 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.5 - - 28.4 - - 31.6 - - 31.0 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.3 - - 18.8 - - 22.1 - - 26.3 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 20 - - 100 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 742 - - 2231 - - 1283 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 81 - - 67 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97410 43 224 44 230 51 222 54 236 50 244 97410 90028 51 233 47 226 51 227 56 231 51 243 90028 84285 56 238 49 237 48 230 51 233 50 240 84285 79504 55 244 47 249 43 246 41 245 43 241 79504 75391 41 251 39 260 36 248 37 246 35 242 75391 71767 28 255 28 265 29 259 32 249 28 257 71767 68495 28 267 28 271 30 271 32 270 30 277 68495 65499 29 275 28 272 29 267 34 267 33 274 65499 62718 35 281 30 271 29 264 33 267 33 271 62718 60009 41 272 36 270 37 269 39 271 38 277 60009 57178 42 265 41 264 43 263 45 265 46 274 57178 54240 43 267 41 262 43 258 45 260 45 265 54240 51425 48 271 45 269 44 263 45 266 43 268 51425 48890 55 270 54 271 51 270 53 275 51 276 48890 46635 61 265 61 266 60 269 62 272 56 275 46635 44606 65 259 67 259 63 265 64 264 56 269 44606 42751 66 255 68 253 63 262 62 258 55 266 42751 41037 66 254 66 251 63 259 59 255 57 266 41037 39450 69 254 66 254 67 258 58 258 55 262 39450 37976 75 256 71 257 71 256 61 261 47 260 37976 36599 81 256 74 256 72 254 65 262 38 266 36599 35274 82 256 71 255 68 252 66 259 37 284 35274 33935 80 255 67 256 61 252 62 256 40 294 33935 32556 76 253 64 258 54 255 52 255 42 294 32556 31135 68 252 59 258 48 259 38 266 40 288 31135 29658 58 252 50 258 40 262 28 293 34 284 29658 28115 47 255 34 264 30 262 25 303 31 285 28115 26503 41 261 28 273 22 273 24 295 31 290 26503 24816 37 264 29 272 23 279 24 286 33 297 24816 23052 35 263 31 266 27 277 26 285 35 299 23052 21211 34 261 33 263 27 272 27 285 35 297 21211 19289 35 259 30 263 27 269 28 280 33 295 19289 17280 40 258 27 266 28 270 29 277 30 297 17280 15226 39 255 27 273 28 274 29 277 26 300 15226 13244 35 250 28 270 26 279 28 275 25 297 13244 11445 30 261 25 267 23 282 27 275 24 289 11445 9852 29 270 22 271 20 281 25 276 23 285 9852 8444 23 271 19 273 19 278 21 277 21 279 8444 7199 20 267 17 269 18 270 18 274 18 274 7199 6100 21 256 18 263 17 264 16 266 18 263 6100 5133 28 249 19 262 18 263 17 260 20 258 5133 4293 24 239 19 264 15 268 14 266 16 249 4293 3564 16 247 16 272 12*276 12 268 14 249 3564 2915 15 262 12 273 11*276 11 267 14 257 2915 2341 14 258 10 268 10 271 11*262 15 259 2341 1862 10 243 9*271 10 270 10*260 14 257 1862 1494 8 241 7*277 9 269 9 259 13 254 1494 1241 6 236 5 280 9 269 8 258 11 249 1241 1087 4*232 5 280 8 269 7 258 9*246 1087 999 1*249 4 281 7 269 5 258 4*242 999 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography