DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 37 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 289 - - 335 - - 374 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 1339 - - 1378 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 348 - - 496 - - 972 - - 469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 99 - - 35 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 153 - - 140 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1867 - - -2358 - - -1859 - - -1125 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3160 - - 3698 - - 3237 - - 2131 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7088 - - -6452 - - -5608 - - -5608 ODpotential blCL - - - 8381 - - 7791 - - 6986 - - 6614 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 98 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 20 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 47.7 - - 50.6 - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 59.7 - - 61.4 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 37 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 289 - - 335 - - 374 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 92 - - 100 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95892 65 263 72 257 71 261 70 266 95892 89029 45 272 53 265 45 268 51 276 89029 83703 35 283 34 271 38 269 34 284 83703 79261 29 283 22 295 27 273 26 285 79261 75392 27 286 21 305 21 287 22 293 75392 71937 30 297 23 300 24 303 21 300 71937 68780 35 300 24 297 26 300 18 307 68780 65851 37 294 24 303 23 290 21 311 65851 63120 33 290 27 300 26 294 26 310 63120 60475 29 291 31 294 33 294 30 305 60475 57713 27 293 35 290 34 292 33 294 57713 54840 30 289 35 282 31 292 31 289 54840 52102 32 280 30 275 32 292 32 301 52102 49653 31 277 26 276 34 289 42 303 49653 47468 31 279 29 287 35 289 48 293 47468 45487 30 285 33 290 35 291 41 288 45487 43683 31 286 35 290 36 294 37 309 43683 42032 31 275 35 285 34 288 45 321 42032 40501 25 270 37 280 32 273 54 320 40501 39064 22 269 38 278 35 267 46 311 39064 37709 25 266 38 278 38 263 33 283 37709 36399 33 270 38 272 38 267 30 256 36399 35067 38 271 37 268 33 273 27 250 35067 33678 39 269 34 267 31 271 26 252 33678 32235 38 267 34 261 32 258 28 251 32235 30722 38 266 35 258 33 249 29 253 30722 29126 37 266 33 259 34 250 27 257 29126 27453 34 265 32 259 32 255 22 253 27453 25704 30 258 31 258 28 260 18 260 25704 23876 25 250 28 258 24 265 15 256 23876 21970 22 246 25 257 23 259 18 240 21970 19981 19 246 17 245 19 256 19 228 19981 17909 13 227 13 225 15 240 18 231 17909 15796 14 184 14 216 17 217 16 221 15796 13764 17 182 9 206 13 192 13 193 13764 11925 17 187 17 186 16 186 17 166 11925 10303 16 202 20 183 15 188 16 152 10303 8866 10 187 16 184 16 199 12 148 8866 7584 11 170 15 187 14 207 8 154 7584 6443 12 171 14 185 12 215 11 168 6443 5432 11 173 9 161 10 223 16 187 5432 4543 8 193 8 130 9 193 18 212 4543 3760 6 214 7 117 12 173 21 219 3760 3061 6 177 8 132 14 176 23 224 3061 2444 7 167 10 146 9 175 25 223 2444 1929 12 177 8 168 6 163 22 216 1929 1534 12*160 5*177 4*147 14 199 1534 1264 8*139 2*155 4*141 9 181 1264 1100 6 135 2 154 3 140 6 165 1100 1006 5 134 1 151 3 138 4*154 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography