DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/31 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 164 - - 71 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 551 - - 5451 - - 4682 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 4462 - - 3216 - - 989 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1555 - - 6455 - - 5686 - - 1005 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4786 - - 1220 - - 1246 - - 780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 393 - - 282 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 20 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 283 - - 285 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -876 - - 1703 - - 357 - - -2868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2431 - - 4752 - - 5329 - - 3873 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2140 - - 905 - - -366 - - -5503 ODpotential blCL - - - 3695 - - 5550 - - 6052 - - 6508 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 89 - - 82 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.9 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 35.2 - - 31.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 34.8 - - 31.6 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 164 - - 71 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 551 - - 5451 - - 4682 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 56 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96581 33 280 30 281 28 265 33 268 96581 89456 24 270 20 263 23 257 27 270 89456 83979 25 243 25 244 27 259 26 257 83979 79416 22 237 21 238 26 257 19 266 79416 75444 19 236 20 228 22 246 20 265 75444 71892 8 215 17 210 23 242 23 261 71892 68643 11 241 10 188 22 228 25 245 68643 65639 13 242 7 159 15 203 23 234 65639 62852 15 246 4 255 12 228 20 229 62852 60144 25 214 22 224 22 242 16 233 60144 57295 27 194 31 224 25 233 24 233 57295 54317 19 218 29 225 28 230 27 224 54317 51462 17 240 31 240 31 239 27 229 51462 48896 28 252 33 241 35 238 31 236 48896 46608 34 254 31 244 34 243 32 253 46608 44536 37 253 36 250 38 251 43 260 44536 42640 31 258 42 252 46 248 50 252 42640 40897 31 268 38 253 41 251 51 245 40897 39283 33 264 34 260 44 261 49 240 39283 37783 33 272 35 273 52 261 44 245 37783 36388 34 285 44 281 55 264 42 250 36388 35062 38 292 55 279 55 267 40 254 35062 33739 36 294 59 283 56 272 41 263 33739 32387 41 303 58 285 59 270 44 266 32387 30996 49 303 50 282 56 268 45 262 30996 29540 48 299 44 284 50 270 43 260 29540 28009 43 303 38 285 45 272 41 262 28009 26401 42 314 32 286 39 276 40 263 26401 24715 43 318 31 288 37 279 38 262 24715 22952 42 316 31 287 38 279 35 261 22952 21116 38 319 31 289 36 277 33 261 21116 19202 29 334 29 293 33 279 34 260 19202 17207 27 338 25 288 32 276 34 260 17207 15177 22 322 24 276 30 270 32 263 15177 13227 17 314 23 266 30 267 28 265 13227 11461 18 321 26 262 30 270 27 269 11461 9898 23 321 26 273 30 276 27 278 9898 8518 27 313 25 282 29 278 28 284 8518 7298 25 305 20*284 27 281 28 285 7298 6215 23 303 20*283 20*283 29 288 6215 5254 22 304 20 284 19*284 28 291 5254 4408 22 303 20 284 19 284 24 291 4408 3658 23 302 20 283 19 285 21 288 3658 2988 23 300 20 283 19 285 19 288 2988 2394 23 298 20 283 19 285 18 290 2394 1898 21*294 20 282 18 285 17 291 1898 1517 18*289 19 282 18 285 16 291 1517 1255 14 285 18 282 17 285 14 289 1255 1096 13 284 17 282 15 285 11*286 1096 1005 10 283 14 281 12 284 5*279 1005 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography