DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 56.7 - - 60.3 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 60 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 151 - - 1006 - - 924 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 989 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1155 - - 2010 - - 1928 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 341 - - 475 - - 930 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 165 - - 51 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 239 - - 238 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2563 - - -2303 - - -2058 - - -362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3718 - - 4313 - - 3986 - - 1368 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12211 - - -8289 - - -6878 - - -7293 ODpotential blCL - - - 13366 - - 10299 - - 8806 - - 8299 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 92 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.8 - - 56.7 - - 60.3 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 41.5 - - 46.4 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 56.4 - - 60.9 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 40.6 - - 45.9 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 60 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 151 - - 1006 - - 924 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 68 - - 29 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95566 65 258 61 264 59 257 67 259 95566 88717 37 267 44 257 44 268 37 269 88717 83417 23 272 30 257 38 265 37 286 83417 78982 21 302 15 295 23 269 31 279 78982 75120 24 312 21 320 20 303 22 283 75120 71669 22 306 25 304 29 307 23 313 71669 68507 22 303 23 303 30 296 28 314 68507 65571 22 308 22 296 30 284 30 296 65571 62838 26 306 24 289 29 285 29 295 62838 60179 25 298 26 296 35 304 36 301 60179 57395 33 301 39 301 43 300 41 302 57395 54502 51 304 42 300 51 307 50 300 54502 51750 64 304 58 308 52 300 56 310 51750 49295 62 306 59 302 61 312 66 316 49295 47115 68 313 58 312 78 310 74 315 47115 45146 84 313 76 316 80 309 74 316 45146 43338 84 307 77 314 73 312 77 318 43338 41664 78 307 69 319 64 320 80 319 41664 40113 74 319 69 327 62 330 83 318 40113 38670 73 317 66 326 65 328 74 315 38670 37319 64 311 56 324 60 321 67 319 37319 36019 59 350 50 331 50 317 67 318 36019 34701 67 358 50 339 48 326 53 316 34701 33331 65 352 48 338 52 332 50 314 33331 31911 61 352 44 332 54 330 46 309 31911 30425 52 338 44 326 52 325 46 312 30425 28858 51 322 46 317 48 321 53 316 28858 27210 52 316 49 320 46 320 51 315 27210 25481 54 314 49 330 44 321 45 315 25481 23676 55 313 45 331 41 326 37 309 23676 21799 54 314 45 317 37 318 36 299 21799 19844 50 315 44 313 39 311 38 298 19844 17805 44 313 38 309 37 310 35 301 17805 15726 37 307 31 302 34 307 32 301 15726 13725 32 302 32 295 34 303 32 301 13725 11909 28 298 33 294 36 301 31 301 11909 10295 26 295 32 295 35 300 29 298 10295 8859 27 286 29 299 29 300 24 295 8859 7581 27 276 26 299 24 299 21 290 7581 6445 25 264 25 289 23 290 25 284 6445 5439 18 248 27 274 28 282 31 285 5439 4550 11 239 26 262 29 276 32 280 4550 3764 11 245 24 255 28 269 29 272 3764 3062 18 245 20 253 24 261 26 259 3062 2444 26 242 17*251 15*247 21 241 2444 1929 25 230 10*241 12*240 18 234 1929 1535 21 217 9 239 11 238 16 227 1535 1264 12*206 9 238 10 238 13 222 1264 1099 11*205 8 237 8 237 8 216 1099 1006 8 203 7 237 6 236 4*206 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography