DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0954z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2151z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 54.3 - - 58.1 - - 57.4 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 184 - - 251 - - 120 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 484 - - 1289 - - 879 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4167 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 4021 - - 4826 - - 4416 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1238 - - 829 - - 918 - - 1019 - - 1564 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 189 - - 289 - - 197 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 185 - - 184 - - 196 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 21 - - 30 - - 29 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3098 - - 32 - - 22 - - 223 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5720 - - 3989 - - 4804 - - 4193 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -13453 - - -7323 - - -5820 - - -3990 - - -5331 ODpotential blCL 16075 - - 11344 - - 10646 - - 8406 - - 7954 blCL maxRH 68 - - 78 - - 82 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 54.3 - - 58.1 - - 57.4 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 46.0 - - 46.2 - - 48.1 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 53.8 - - 57.3 - - 57.2 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 44.8 - - 44.9 - - 47.5 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 184 - - 251 - - 120 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 484 - - 1289 - - 879 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 27 - - 43 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97272 42 278 46 279 53 284 49 293 40 289 97272 89953 47 279 40 275 46 275 45 285 44 280 89953 84278 45 278 37 272 38 265 42 278 39 268 84278 79518 32 267 30 262 36 251 38 265 34 276 79518 75401 23 252 24 247 34 245 36 261 26 283 75401 71758 21 266 18 251 22 251 26 257 28 276 71758 68488 24 281 18 271 22 271 23 262 29 256 68488 65531 26 286 27 273 28 271 28 273 27 259 65531 62820 29 277 29 275 33 271 35 276 34 278 62820 60201 36 285 38 283 37 270 44 275 43 279 60201 57459 45 283 47 278 46 277 54 273 52 275 57459 54598 53 286 54 281 55 278 59 273 63 273 54598 51859 63 293 66 285 67 281 71 273 74 271 51859 49392 78 293 78 285 78 281 80 274 79 272 49392 47183 85 293 85 285 90 284 89 278 87 277 47183 45190 86 295 87 286 98 283 93 278 94 279 45190 43381 83 295 83 286 89 283 86 281 95 281 43381 41734 79 297 73 286 76 283 81 280 86 282 41734 40216 80 297 70 288 71 283 77 278 82 283 40216 38797 80 297 70 290 72 283 77 278 78 279 38797 37458 80 298 71 292 73 285 79 279 78 275 37458 36162 78 299 72 294 71 287 77 281 78 274 36162 34849 74 299 68 295 68 287 73 280 76 276 34849 33490 68 300 61 294 65 288 67 279 74 276 33490 32088 60 303 55 291 60 288 62 279 70 274 32088 30629 54 307 49 289 55 286 58 281 67 273 30629 29102 50 305 46 288 52 284 55 282 64 274 29102 27508 47 302 46 290 51 283 52 282 60 275 27508 25849 45 302 46 291 51 284 51 281 57 275 25849 24128 44 303 44 291 51 285 51 280 56 275 24128 22348 42 305 42 291 49 284 50 276 53 273 22348 20499 39 305 40 293 44 285 45 274 48 270 20499 18572 35 303 35 292 38 281 40 273 44 268 18572 16611 30 300 30 292 33 278 36 275 39 269 16611 14725 23 300 24 293 27 280 29 280 33 271 14725 13011 16 303 18 293 21 283 22 283 27 271 13011 11488 13 304 14 290 17 285 17 283 21 270 11488 10132 12 307 10 285 15 282 15 280 18 268 10132 8923 11 313 8 283 13 276 13 275 16 270 8923 7845 11 321 5 278 10 269 11 262 14 272 7845 6886 11 328 3 268 5 241 9 236 13 268 6886 6039 11 335 1 247 5 190 7 219 10 256 6039 5289 10 340 1 139 6*175 6 205 7 239 5289 4617 9 343 2*124 7*175 6*190 5 221 4617 4021 7 344 2*144 7 179 6*192 3 211 4021 3523 5 345 3 174 8 184 7 194 2 210 3523 3139 3 348 4 191 8 187 7 197 1 185 3139 2875 3 003 4 195 8 189 7 199 1 155 2875 2714 2*008 5 198 7 191 7 200 1*139 2714 2622 2*028 4 199 6 193 6 200 1*118 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography