DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 66.7 - - 70.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 275 - - 404 - - 199 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 538 - - 1375 - - 1124 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4332 - - 3960 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4075 - - 4912 - - 4661 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 462 - - 1152 - - 4231 - - 1747 - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 221 - - 341 - - 252 - - 2 W* B/S 4 - - 29 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 308 - - 249 - - 256 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 17 - - 37 - - 35 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3164 - - -2867 - - -2626 - - -2380 - - -1720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5787 - - 6943 - - 7538 - - 7041 - - 4343 sfcLCL ODpotential -7917 - - -5721 - - -4426 - - -4880 - - -6044 ODpotential blCL 10540 - - 9796 - - 9338 - - 9541 - - 8667 blCL maxRH 54 - - 53 - - 53 - - 60 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 66.7 - - 70.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 47.0 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 65.5 - - 69.2 - - 68.1 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 44.6 - - 45.9 - - 46.3 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 275 - - 404 - - 199 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 538 - - 1375 - - 1124 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97798 9 269 15 209 12 264 19 265 16 296 97798 90345 1 179 3 216 8 231 6 269 8 302 90345 84652 9 079 5 049 8 175 7 356 8 359 84652 79956 11 069 9 067 8 131 4 046 5 059 79956 75913 11 079 10 075 5 104 6 109 7 070 75913 72330 8 076 11 089 3 092 8 088 8 066 72330 69078 5 038 7 056 4 063 7 052 6 064 69078 66073 1 326 1 233 5 300 9 008 10 027 66073 63278 1 073 3 168 8 260 8 315 10 341 63278 60569 7 341 1 058 7 247 10 263 7 302 60569 57748 10 305 10 300 10 312 11 283 10 313 57748 54841 11 297 16 281 14 322 12 307 13 303 54841 52078 16 317 15 302 19 325 18 314 18 316 52078 49591 22 331 26 314 25 302 24 296 26 308 49591 47364 33 323 26 311 21 302 25 302 26 300 47364 45348 32 319 21 319 19 310 26 316 24 306 45348 43512 23 325 25 334 24 325 29 325 24 316 43512 41834 32 346 38 337 34 334 32 328 26 321 41834 40288 44 343 49 337 39 344 32 336 32 330 40288 38854 52 343 51 337 41 347 34 343 36 331 38854 37514 54 357 44 353 40 348 36 342 36 333 37514 36223 60 012 47 012 41 350 36 337 35 334 36223 34914 63 017 52 014 42 351 34 334 34 334 34914 33558 65 019 53 012 42 352 32 332 31 332 33558 32161 66 020 51 011 41 351 30 332 31 327 32161 30710 65 018 47 013 39 352 30 336 33 323 30710 29190 60 012 44 013 37 352 31 337 31 322 29190 27604 54 011 45 009 36 351 32 334 31 319 27604 25952 44 013 48 008 36 352 34 332 29 319 25952 24236 35 010 48 010 37 357 33 333 27 320 24236 22457 28 360 47 016 37 002 31 336 25 320 22457 20608 19 348 43 021 32 012 27 343 23 316 20608 18684 18 338 33 021 27 021 23 358 19 320 18684 16720 18 335 21 006 21 022 20 009 15 336 16720 14829 17 349 15 357 16 020 15 015 12 350 14829 13112 13 013 12 011 14 019 11 021 8 356 13112 11587 10 032 8 018 12 027 11 024 6 358 11587 10229 9 038 8 013 13 025 10 018 6 346 10229 9015 10 043 8 014 13 021 9 360 7 327 9015 7929 12 045 9 021 11 013 8 331 9 307 7929 6962 14 046 11 029 10 357 11 308 12 298 6962 6104 16 047 12 031 8 337 12 298 14 294 6104 5342 17 047 11 030 7*317 12 293 15 293 5342 4657 17 046 10*026 5*286 10*288 13 295 4657 4049 17 043 5*018 5 262 9*278 10 301 4049 3540 14 040 2 336 7 245 8 259 8 309 3540 3149 11 037 2 268 7 240 8 252 4 323 3149 2880 7 031 3 245 8 237 8 247 2 319 2880 2716 4*023 3 238 7 235 8 245 1*318 2716 2622 1*319 3 233 7 234 7 243 1*330 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography