DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 52.4 - - 58.6 - - 53.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 88 - - 125 - - -6 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 3416 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4582 - - 7349 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 6146 - - 8916 - - 4600 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 579 - - 1550 - - 2194 - - 5707 - - 674 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 161 - - 316 - - 5 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 181 - - 234 - - 195 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5653 - - -4423 - - -2225 - - -4835 - - -3181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10253 - - 10570 - - 11142 - - 9435 - - 7780 sfcLCL ODpotential -15064 - - -10108 - - -5946 - - -8667 - - -8657 ODpotential blCL 19663 - - 16254 - - 14862 - - 13267 - - 13256 blCL maxRH 50 - - 67 - - 69 - - 60 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 52.4 - - 58.6 - - 53.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.0 - - 22.3 - - 25.7 - - 28.4 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.7 - - 52.6 - - 58.6 - - 57.2 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.7 - - 21.9 - - 25.4 - - 28.1 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 88 - - 125 - - -6 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 646 - - 3416 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97279 15 278 17 274 16 259 14 285 14 288 97279 90182 9 321 12 255 14 263 13 291 7 321 90182 84647 5 313 8 240 11 271 12 284 2 341 84647 80016 3 263 8 239 9 271 8 239 4 296 80016 75997 3 285 6 236 9 266 6 234 7 276 75997 72416 6 294 5 233 10 239 8 279 12 245 72416 69169 8 261 6 247 12 235 11 262 9 247 69169 66170 13 245 11 248 16 239 14 254 13 261 66170 63380 17 246 13 245 16 244 19 258 22 254 63380 60676 22 252 17 257 19 245 20 249 26 255 60676 57836 27 253 25 247 25 241 27 240 26 249 57836 54868 29 244 29 239 31 239 33 238 31 244 54868 52024 28 239 32 237 34 232 37 237 35 238 52024 49463 27 239 34 236 37 233 40 237 37 239 49463 47172 27 237 37 233 38 234 39 233 37 240 47172 45106 28 239 34 233 36 235 32 225 39 237 45106 43230 31 230 36 238 34 239 23 231 37 233 43230 41511 28 220 39 228 36 236 21 242 31 239 41511 39928 33 226 37 221 38 231 25 247 29 250 39928 38462 40 214 37 219 39 222 31 245 26 255 38462 37101 33 209 36 217 36 218 32 241 23 265 37101 35805 33 223 36 221 35 223 32 243 20 284 35805 34510 36 228 37 222 36 227 34 245 21 303 34510 33187 32 227 39 220 39 224 38 242 22 315 33187 31834 33 223 40 217 40 223 41 238 20 323 31834 30440 35 219 39 215 38 227 41 238 20 332 30440 28989 33 223 37 217 35 231 42 241 18 334 28989 27487 33 223 36 220 34 233 41 241 16 309 27487 25935 35 223 36 225 35 235 38 242 23 277 25935 24340 35 231 35 231 34 237 36 243 30 267 24340 22707 30 235 30 234 30 235 34 242 34 262 22707 21027 27 237 27 236 29 233 33 243 38 259 21027 19290 27 240 28 239 29 235 34 247 40 257 19290 17530 28 244 28 244 29 240 34 251 39 257 17530 15838 27 249 27 248 30 244 34 254 36 257 15838 14299 26 253 27 250 30 247 32 255 32 258 14299 12926 26 256 26 251 30 250 30 256 28 259 12926 11696 25 258 25 252 29 252 27 256 25 258 11696 10593 24 260 23 253 26 255 24 254 23 256 10593 9600 22 261 22 254 22*255 21 250 21 252 9600 8710 20 262 20 254 18*252 18 244 19 248 8710 7913 17 260 17 252 14 246 15 238 18 243 7913 7200 14 257 14 246 12 239 13 232 16 236 7200 6554 10 247 11*232 10 227 11 227 14 227 6554 5976 8 221 8*200 9 221 10 220 12 212 5976 5488 8 189 8 179 8 216 10 210 11 196 5488 5111 9 172 8 176 8 214 9 201 11 183 5111 4849 8 159 7 176 7 213 8 195 10 168 4849 4690 6*151 6 174 7 212 6*191 8*155 4690 4598 4*129 4 174 5 212 3*180 4*125 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography