DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 33.3 - - 34.2 - - 31.9 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -3 - - 3 - - -24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 71 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4580 - - 4581 - - 4580 - - 4580 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 5608 - - 5571 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3589 - - 2615 - - 2484 - - 3648 - - 5069 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 26 - - 30 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 173 - - 177 - - 172 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -6 - - 2 - - 2 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -271 - - 91 - - 672 - - -1 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4869 - - 5517 - - 4899 - - 4599 - - 4696 sfcLCL ODpotential -2914 - - -2302 - - -1312 - - -2148 - - -2228 ODpotential blCL 7512 - - 7910 - - 6883 - - 6746 - - 6826 blCL maxRH 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 33.3 - - 34.2 - - 31.9 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 25.1 - - 28.6 - - 27.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.5 - - 34.6 - - 35.3 - - 34.4 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 24.4 - - 28.0 - - 27.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -3 - - 3 - - -24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 108 - - 71 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 101 - - 101 - - 90 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96678 26 059 22 068 22 064 16 042 14 038 96678 89434 22 047 18 054 17 036 21 038 23 053 89434 83815 14 049 17 033 17 026 24 011 31 033 83815 79125 23 036 19 028 13 012 15 356 33 029 79125 75035 23 353 16 017 7 330 22 338 29 020 75035 71372 25 318 15 336 17 310 26 340 22 008 71372 68043 27 270 22 302 27 316 27 319 22 344 68043 64995 32 298 28 298 34 322 33 313 18 275 64995 62170 48 314 41 314 44 317 47 301 43 279 62170 59423 60 312 56 305 53 306 54 303 50 300 59423 56550 67 303 61 305 55 304 62 311 57 311 56550 53555 71 301 65 309 59 309 60 315 60 315 53555 50693 74 305 68 311 68 309 64 314 65 310 50693 48131 73 309 72 311 71 308 70 309 70 302 48131 45856 72 310 77 310 73 311 73 308 73 299 45856 43810 74 311 82 310 79 313 76 308 76 302 43810 41946 79 312 86 311 85 311 82 308 83 307 41946 40235 81 313 88 311 89 308 89 307 89 308 40235 38653 83 312 90 310 88 307 90 305 90 307 38653 37180 84 312 92 309 85 307 87 304 88 307 37180 35809 83 313 91 309 82 306 84 304 87 310 35809 34505 79 312 86 309 78 306 81 304 87 312 34505 33204 69 310 78 308 75 305 78 302 88 313 33204 31878 57 308 69 305 71 302 74 301 86 313 31878 30531 47 308 59 296 63 298 67 299 81 313 30531 29153 45 308 46 279 53 294 58 296 74 312 29153 27736 44 308 38 267 45 289 48 290 69 310 27736 26280 45 307 37 270 41 278 42 286 61 304 26280 24789 41 316 33 270 39 267 39 284 51 296 24789 23265 39 331 28 272 35 265 37 278 46 291 23265 21710 39 339 23 277 31 272 34 271 42 287 21710 20120 35 344 21 284 32 276 33 268 39 285 20120 18484 32 341 21 288 33 276 32 274 37 285 18484 16830 33 334 24 290 33 273 32 288 35 287 16830 15242 34 330 27 293 32 270 35 299 34 291 15242 13795 34 325 27 296 30 270 37 303 33 298 13795 12501 34 321 26 299 30 269 37 304 34 304 12501 11342 33 318 23 300 29 267 37 303 34 308 11342 10299 31 318 21 300 28 263 36 301 35 309 10299 9359 28 320 19 297 27 256 36 296 36 309 9359 8515 25 321 17 292 26 249 35 291 35 307 8515 7759 23 320 15 285 23 241 33 286 33 306 7759 7082 20 319 13 276 20 232 31 281 29 305 7082 6466 17 318 10 262 18 220 26 276 23 303 6466 5915 13 319 8*234 16*203 20 268 18 299 5915 5449 9 324 7*200 15*186 14 253 12 291 5449 5088 6 333 8 174 14 177 9 226 8 277 5088 4838 3 348 8 161 12 173 8 192 4 248 4838 4685 2*048 7 158 10 170 6*176 3*200 4685 4597 2*123 4 158 5 167 3*168 3*165 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography