DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 38.3 - - 42.7 - - 38.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 43 - - 60 - - -19 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 923 - - 1472 - - 1963 - - 982 - - 771 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 37 - - 41 - - 6 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 169 - - 169 - - 127 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -3 - - -3 - - -13 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1768 - - -3252 - - -3898 - - -2746 - - -2594 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6367 - - 7852 - - 8498 - - 7345 - - 7193 sfcLCL ODpotential -12455 - - -12405 - - -12599 - - -11956 - - -12331 ODpotential blCL 17053 - - 17004 - - 17198 - - 16554 - - 16929 blCL maxRH 53 - - 51 - - 47 - - 62 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 38.3 - - 42.7 - - 38.8 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.5 - - 20.4 - - 22.0 - - 23.2 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.2 - - 39.1 - - 43.8 - - 43.0 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 19.7 - - 21.3 - - 22.5 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 43 - - 60 - - -19 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 27 354 21 355 21 344 25 009 25 011 96221 89474 19 008 19 349 14 338 21 010 18 010 89474 84157 15 014 10 003 12 345 12 353 14 008 84157 79653 8 003 5 022 7 002 11 356 9 014 79653 75710 3 333 1 193 2 024 7 336 6 019 75710 72183 1 189 7 161 6 187 6 261 3 061 72183 68954 5 174 6 185 6 183 6 216 3 170 68954 65967 4 167 12 228 9 248 6 227 3 231 65967 63184 5 213 9 225 15 239 14 252 7 265 63184 60485 6 250 9 225 18 229 21 251 12 268 60485 57667 14 269 11 227 16 230 21 240 14 263 57667 54740 16 273 15 246 17 243 22 249 20 262 54740 51949 21 285 23 255 26 246 29 252 26 256 51949 49437 27 274 26 239 31 241 32 239 30 248 49437 47189 19 257 21 248 27 231 25 241 29 240 47189 45158 17 279 23 265 28 261 29 253 24 237 45158 43308 26 275 27 267 29 259 31 253 23 259 43308 41613 30 262 29 264 31 261 30 265 35 274 41613 40057 22 266 23 270 31 278 31 267 37 268 40057 38622 16 294 19 305 27 300 20 301 24 271 38622 37289 44 317 34 313 29 309 27 310 22 298 37289 36015 43 308 36 306 25 306 20 303 31 306 36015 34732 26 312 29 305 25 310 11 317 29 305 34732 33413 16 020 24 315 26 307 13 347 24 297 33413 32059 35 027 23 323 24 303 18 341 20 293 32059 30659 40 013 22 324 20 301 13 331 15 302 30659 29204 38 001 23 317 18 300 13 304 12 310 29204 27696 39 346 24 320 16 302 16 301 12 296 27696 26137 36 341 26 332 12 308 14 294 17 286 26137 24531 32 335 25 332 13 312 12 276 19 273 24531 22879 29 334 20 326 17 304 12 265 19 263 22879 21177 24 342 18 319 20 295 15 268 18 258 21177 19417 22 349 18 316 21 293 19 273 18 259 19417 17632 23 349 18 318 20 292 21 271 19 261 17632 15912 22 348 15 323 17 289 21 264 19 258 15912 14342 21 347 13 331 12 286 20 255 18 253 14342 12941 20 346 11 335 7 282 17 250 15 247 12941 11688 19 346 9 336 6 275 15 249 12 244 11688 10566 19 346 8 339 5 267 13 254 10 246 10566 9562 19 344 8 342 6 259 11 259 9 256 9562 8665 17 341 7 343 6 248 10 264 9 266 8665 7869 15 337 6 339 7 240 9 265 8 269 7869 7159 12 332 4 326 7 225 8 258 7 259 7159 6519 8 328 2 264 7 207 8 242 6 242 6519 5949 5 323 3 202 7 196 8 219 8 216 5949 5469 3 321 3 187 6 193 7 191 8 191 5469 5099 1 339 3 183 6 188 7 169 8 169 5099 4843 1 077 4 180 6 179 7 154 7 149 4843 4687 3*096 4*175 5*168 6*142 6*138 4687 4597 3*102 3*165 3*153 4*127 4*116 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography