DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 54.0 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 179 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1573 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4581 - - 6206 - - - - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6271 - - 7073 - - - - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1051 - - 1470 - - - - - 517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 273 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 185 - - - - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 14 - - - - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2020 - - -3041 - - - - - -3715 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8291 - - 10114 - - - - - 8314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8974 - - -9359 - - - - - -13340 ODpotential blCL - - - 15245 - - 16432 - - - - - 17939 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 65 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 54.0 - - - - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 26.2 - - - - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 53.7 - - - - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 25.9 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 179 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 771 - - 1573 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97710 4 304 10 310 4 317 97710 90509 2 072 7 339 7 005 90509 84898 2 031 5 329 7 005 84898 80208 3 042 1 250 7 319 80208 76156 4 328 5 300 5 278 76156 72570 7 284 13 290 8 304 72570 69322 6 295 14 282 12 282 69322 66341 9 331 10 290 17 287 66341 63582 18 308 23 290 23 298 63582 60908 24 301 27 287 28 302 60908 58122 25 306 28 297 38 297 58122 55251 34 316 36 311 33 296 55251 52515 47 314 41 317 34 311 52515 50054 51 318 46 328 49 318 50054 47861 67 328 66 327 64 316 47861 45888 76 325 72 325 67 313 45888 44097 64 326 71 327 62 310 44097 42449 57 327 70 328 57 302 42449 40908 57 330 63 323 52 297 40908 39460 58 332 58 318 52 296 39460 38096 60 333 56 316 54 298 38096 36786 62 332 54 317 54 298 36786 35465 64 331 51 320 52 297 35465 34107 63 332 48 323 50 297 34107 32717 61 332 46 326 48 298 32717 31281 58 334 44 328 47 299 31281 29790 55 335 43 330 47 300 29790 28243 52 336 42 332 44 301 28243 26640 50 338 42 334 39 305 26640 24984 47 338 42 332 35 308 24984 23279 44 335 40 329 32 312 23279 21521 42 331 36 325 30 313 21521 19707 39 327 34 321 29 314 19707 17870 36 324 32 318 29 314 17870 16107 32 324 28 316 29 314 16107 14505 27 325 24 313 28 311 14505 13079 23 328 20 309 25 305 13079 11807 19 329 16 305 21 297 11807 10670 16 326 13 298 17 291 10670 9653 12 317 12 288 14 284 9653 8743 9 299 11 274 13 274 8743 7933 7 278 10 261 12 262 7933 7210 6 236 8*240 13 250 7210 6557 7*201 7*211 13 239 6557 5976 7*179 7 186 13 225 5976 5486 7 175 7 179 11 203 5486 5109 7 174 7 178 11 180 5109 4848 6 173 6 178 11 160 4848 4689 6 175 6 179 9*151 4689 4598 4 175 4 182 4*126 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography