DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 36.7 - - 39.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -60 - - -37 - - -43 - - -48 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4620 - - 4620 - - 4620 - - 4620 - - 4620 Hcrit BL Top 4638 - - 4638 - - 4638 - - 4637 - - 4637 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 329 - - 561 - - 168 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 14 - - 14 - - 7 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 125 - - 117 - - 123 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - -23 - - -20 - - -27 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2156 - - -2409 - - -2199 - - -1531 - - -2277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6794 - - 7047 - - 6837 - - 6168 - - 6914 sfcLCL ODpotential -10703 - - -9864 - - -8236 - - -9335 - - -11724 ODpotential blCL 15341 - - 14502 - - 12874 - - 13972 - - 16361 blCL maxRH 64 - - 58 - - 59 - - 58 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 36.7 - - 39.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 22.4 - - 26.3 - - 23.2 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.6 - - 39.5 - - 42.3 - - 38.4 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.5 - - 20.8 - - 24.8 - - 22.8 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -60 - - -37 - - -43 - - -48 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94972 75 325 77 335 65 322 73 330 76 329 94972 88314 68 329 69 332 62 327 64 329 64 332 88314 83027 60 334 59 333 59 333 57 330 58 335 83027 78554 54 335 50 333 54 332 53 324 50 336 78554 74660 50 333 45 329 44 327 41 321 46 332 74660 71206 47 333 38 329 33 329 36 323 37 329 71206 68055 43 337 33 338 31 322 34 313 33 329 68055 65126 41 338 37 331 33 312 29 318 35 313 65126 62398 39 329 37 322 31 320 31 314 33 306 62398 59736 34 328 32 323 34 318 31 313 27 303 59736 56928 29 325 28 312 31 308 27 315 27 295 56928 53996 24 322 19 308 25 305 25 303 31 290 53996 51217 25 314 18 310 24 291 27 295 31 292 51217 48747 27 308 21 304 26 284 34 290 24 294 48747 46543 28 311 27 306 28 285 33 286 26 307 46543 44549 30 308 27 305 25 294 32 296 35 301 44549 42740 30 295 25 307 29 313 34 302 39 292 42740 41092 25 283 31 304 32 309 29 303 37 286 41092 39573 29 293 33 295 28 306 25 306 36 284 39573 38159 29 294 30 291 25 312 27 306 35 283 38159 36838 24 301 26 293 24 316 30 303 35 283 36838 35573 22 311 25 300 24 315 30 301 34 284 35573 34298 22 318 23 301 23 308 26 299 33 285 34298 32988 23 320 21 299 21 295 23 290 32 283 32988 31644 25 317 20 297 22 284 22 277 31 278 31644 30257 27 310 22 296 22 281 23 269 30 273 30257 28818 30 303 24 296 22 283 24 272 28 271 28818 27331 34 293 25 296 23 284 25 280 25 272 27331 25796 39 284 27 294 23 284 24 288 22 272 25796 24215 44 278 30 290 23 283 23 293 20 270 24215 22591 45 275 33 288 25 282 21 296 19 266 22591 20917 44 274 35 288 25 282 18 297 19 262 20917 19188 42 275 33 290 25 283 16 295 21 259 19188 17434 38 277 29 294 23 284 16 286 22 258 17434 15749 34 280 26 296 22 284 17 276 23 257 15749 14215 28 285 24 295 20 283 17 271 22 255 14215 12849 23 291 22 292 19 281 16 268 21 253 12849 11628 19 296 20 288 16 280 14 267 18 250 11628 10535 16 299 16 283 14 281 12 268 14 247 10535 9554 15 301 13 279 12 283 10 269 11 244 9554 8675 14 300 11 273 11 285 9 272 9 245 8675 7890 13 298 9 266 12 284 9 272 8 247 7890 7188 12 294 8 261 12 282 8 269 8 247 7188 6552 10 288 8 256 12 278 7 260 7 241 6552 5984 8 276 7 245 8 268 6 238 6 220 5984 5506 5 247 7 223 4 215 6 204 6 189 5506 5136 5 191 7 186 8 144 8 174 8 164 5136 4880 8 158 10 152 10 131 10 153 11 144 4880 4725 8*145 9*137 9*123 10*140 10*133 4725 4636 7*129 6*125 6*117 6*123 7*118 4636 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography