DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.7 - - 28.5 - - 31.4 - - 30.1 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - -9 - - 6 - - -35 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 595 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 6095 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3640 - - 3681 - - 2485 - - 1731 - - 2051 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 15 - - 73 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 142 - - 215 - - 159 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -11 - - 13 - - -2 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -966 - - -978 - - 950 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5564 - - 5576 - - 5145 - - 4597 - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential -3715 - - -3440 - - -1057 - - -2550 - - -2840 ODpotential blCL 8313 - - 8038 - - 7152 - - 7148 - - 7438 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 90 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.7 - - 28.5 - - 31.4 - - 30.1 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 20.2 - - 24.9 - - 27.4 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.4 - - 30.8 - - 32.4 - - 33.1 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 19.2 - - 24.0 - - 27.2 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - -9 - - 6 - - -35 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 595 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 2 - - 62 - - 49 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96570 39 029 37 031 32 049 29 043 29 046 96570 89491 31 011 24 015 24 027 20 035 21 022 89491 83943 23 005 24 013 17 350 25 347 29 003 83943 79314 26 351 18 350 18 333 25 321 29 342 79314 75294 27 344 18 344 14 325 15 329 11 320 75294 71694 19 299 15 319 23 318 27 329 20 322 71694 68411 22 251 20 299 28 315 26 314 25 298 68411 65386 30 281 25 324 30 300 29 296 28 307 65386 62572 28 313 21 341 33 268 23 265 23 289 62572 59829 21 289 28 321 16 278 17 238 40 272 59829 56933 30 272 57 300 50 279 44 276 48 273 56933 53912 60 271 74 275 64 266 61 276 48 282 53912 51020 59 269 65 264 42 276 61 284 62 280 51020 48419 50 281 47 282 34 301 65 280 62 278 48419 46097 54 291 27 316 57 294 61 281 60 283 46097 43990 63 289 24 325 76 284 65 285 72 289 43990 42062 67 284 57 300 78 281 78 285 83 286 42062 40300 69 283 83 291 79 283 87 286 92 283 40300 38689 75 288 91 288 86 286 94 287 100 283 38689 37213 86 290 94 284 96 287 103 290 106 283 37213 35858 96 287 93 280 103 287 117 291 113 285 35858 34580 102 283 91 280 113 289 129 287 123 285 34580 33309 103 280 92 281 126 292 133 284 127 282 33309 32014 103 280 94 284 141 292 135 283 126 279 32014 30694 102 281 98 287 151 292 135 284 124 277 30694 29334 101 282 101 290 152 292 133 286 120 277 29334 27925 101 282 102 290 143 291 129 286 117 276 27925 26469 102 281 101 290 125 291 121 286 117 276 26469 24968 102 281 99 289 106 289 108 286 112 277 24968 23432 100 282 94 287 94 287 96 285 100 275 23432 21864 93 284 88 282 85 284 91 284 88 272 21864 20257 82 284 85 279 81 279 89 284 84 269 20257 18600 69 282 81 280 76 272 85 285 84 270 18600 16924 59 278 71 282 71 264 77 285 80 269 16924 15317 53 276 60 282 63 261 69 283 67 265 15317 13853 51 277 52 280 54 262 65 282 56 262 13853 12546 51 280 47 281 46 266 64 279 53 263 12546 11376 49 283 43 282 41 269 65 276 47 263 11376 10324 45 285 40 283 38 270 65 274 42 262 10324 9377 41 287 36 283 35 267 64 271 36 259 9377 8528 36 287 32 280 32 262 60 269 31 257 8528 7768 32 286 29 276 29 257 53 267 26 256 7768 7088 28 283 25 271 24 251 45 264 21 253 7088 6471 23 281 21 267 19*244 40 261 16 248 6471 5918 18 278 14 260 15*234 28 254 10 232 5918 5451 12 278 8 245 12 220 18 240 6 196 5451 5089 6 279 5 202 10 208 12 210 7 154 5089 4838 0 140 5 159 9 200 10 178 8 138 4838 4685 2*115 6*151 7 196 8*164 7*135 4685 4597 3*117 4*136 5 191 4*154 4*128 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography