DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 47.3 - - 51.7 - - 42.9 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 5 - - 36 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 522 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4582 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 4599 - - 6022 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1026 - - 1544 - - 1494 - - 1763 - - 1059 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 22 - - 115 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 164 - - 168 - - 082 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -7 - - 6 - - -4 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2877 - - -3476 - - -2815 - - -2121 - - -1857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7476 - - 8076 - - 8837 - - 6720 - - 6456 sfcLCL ODpotential -9921 - - -9228 - - -7520 - - -8085 - - -8737 ODpotential blCL 14520 - - 13827 - - 13542 - - 12684 - - 13336 blCL maxRH 76 - - 80 - - 72 - - 78 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 47.3 - - 51.7 - - 42.9 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 27.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.3 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 48.2 - - 52.2 - - 48.1 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 26.8 - - 28.0 - - 28.6 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 5 - - 36 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 522 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 18 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96185 19 106 23 102 29 110 20 108 22 111 96185 89200 22 100 23 114 20 100 20 107 19 107 89200 83746 13 111 19 107 11 096 16 114 15 099 83746 79158 16 139 11 113 8 079 11 087 13 101 79158 75173 12 105 11 117 7 170 3 356 11 087 75173 71628 10 047 7 098 6 137 2 224 6 094 71628 68396 5 315 5 157 9 222 7 250 3 030 68396 65396 11 274 8 181 13 198 9 225 9 276 65396 62600 14 246 3 169 6 186 11 209 16 233 62600 59891 15 231 11 218 10 234 7 191 14 204 59891 57057 13 229 12 219 12 240 11 232 11 251 57057 54105 18 235 20 219 27 221 25 222 22 234 54105 51294 27 244 23 221 29 217 26 219 26 223 51294 48775 38 227 26 221 28 220 22 226 20 224 48775 46517 38 222 31 219 31 213 25 226 21 247 46517 44467 45 224 38 218 39 202 44 201 41 210 44467 42606 55 222 46 212 40 194 42 189 48 191 42606 40910 59 219 54 211 46 205 46 198 43 193 40910 39346 71 218 66 216 63 202 55 199 45 197 39346 37898 84 214 77 214 67 199 65 197 45 193 37898 36560 84 212 77 211 67 201 67 198 42 195 36560 35289 75 212 70 209 62 202 61 195 45 201 35289 34018 65 213 60 208 51 201 48 189 42 190 34018 32713 61 208 55 208 45 198 40 182 41 186 32713 31376 53 200 50 204 43 194 42 179 39 190 31376 29993 52 204 46 199 41 190 43 172 37 194 29993 28556 46 208 44 195 40 186 42 172 37 194 28556 27068 41 210 40 193 38 184 41 176 40 192 27068 25533 39 210 35 193 36 186 38 183 41 194 25533 23957 34 207 28 196 31 188 33 185 37 196 23957 22346 27 203 23 196 25 186 26 181 32 197 22346 20696 21 198 23 194 22 189 20 184 26 195 20696 19000 18 198 20 196 20 192 14 185 18 184 19000 17284 16 200 16 197 16 186 10 178 14 161 17284 15633 14 200 13 197 12 177 8 191 13 156 15633 14129 14 198 12 196 9 180 9 210 12 168 14129 12784 14 196 13 195 7 189 11 217 12 183 12784 11578 14 194 13 193 8 190 12 217 13 196 11578 10493 14 191 14 190 8 185 13 215 12 204 10493 9517 14 185 14 186 10 180 13 213 12 208 9517 8641 14 179 15 183 11 176 13 207 11 207 8641 7858 15 174 15 181 12 174 12 198 11 203 7858 7157 15 169 15 179 12 171 12 187 11 194 7157 6521 15 166 14 177 11*168 11 177 11 186 6521 5952 15 166 13 179 10*167 11 174 10 181 5952 5473 13 169 11 181 8 168 10 174 10 180 5473 5102 10 169 7 180 6 168 9 171 9 178 5102 4845 6 160 3 163 5 168 7 158 6 166 4845 4688 3*130 2*134 4 168 3*129 4*134 4688 4598 3*055 1*073 3 171 2*047 3*083 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography