DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.0 - - 38.7 - - - - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - -35 - - -13 - - - - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - - - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - - - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 853 - - 1898 - - 2846 - - - - - 1153 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 136 - - 187 - - - - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -30 - - -19 - - 6 - - - - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -957 - - -1358 - - -1168 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5555 - - 5956 - - 5767 - - - - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential -8900 - - -7510 - - -4492 - - - - - -4155 ODpotential blCL 13498 - - 12108 - - 9090 - - - - - 8753 blCL maxRH 90 - - 99 - - 87 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 35.0 - - 38.7 - - - - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 25.2 - - 29.6 - - - - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 38.2 - - 40.3 - - - - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 24.2 - - 28.7 - - - - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - -35 - - -13 - - - - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 95 - - 47 - - - - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96925 32 076 26 074 30 063 21 067 96925 89938 31 079 25 066 27 057 25 061 89938 84430 26 083 23 062 21 072 15 043 84430 79770 20 097 19 085 16 073 16 042 79770 75687 17 106 12 105 6 059 3 036 75687 72050 8 087 10 140 3 118 7 122 72050 68758 3 224 3 255 1 276 3 342 68758 65719 1 226 5 155 2 182 5 034 65719 62883 11 294 9 272 11 268 13 271 62883 60131 14 266 9 238 12 237 17 262 60131 57275 17 279 7 208 22 267 18 280 57275 54339 30 273 26 264 24 260 13 320 54339 51555 43 267 37 274 45 290 17 276 51555 49054 47 266 46 277 49 287 44 271 49054 46818 46 277 41 283 32 281 44 274 46818 44804 50 286 34 289 16 298 42 287 44804 42962 49 282 31 299 17 324 55 292 42962 41267 36 292 39 305 34 311 67 293 41267 39701 44 328 61 299 69 297 83 293 39701 38251 65 322 82 296 91 293 94 291 38251 36902 87 318 94 298 96 294 94 290 36902 35613 96 317 100 301 97 296 95 291 35613 34317 90 316 101 303 96 297 98 292 34317 32985 78 314 100 305 96 297 101 291 32985 31622 68 311 96 305 94 297 101 292 31622 30215 59 305 86 300 91 294 99 294 30215 28757 49 287 70 289 88 291 97 293 28757 27247 49 275 64 279 84 288 93 292 27247 25687 54 275 69 273 78 285 88 293 25687 24082 56 276 68 271 73 282 84 295 24082 22438 54 279 63 272 69 282 79 297 22438 20752 51 285 55 275 67 284 74 298 20752 19020 46 290 49 282 64 288 68 298 19020 17274 41 291 44 289 60 291 63 298 17274 15603 34 288 41 293 55 293 58 298 15603 14085 29 286 38 295 50 294 54 299 14085 12733 26 285 36 294 47 294 50 298 12733 11524 25 283 35 291 45 293 47 296 11524 10440 27 282 34 288 43 291 45 294 10440 9468 28 280 34 285 40 289 44 291 9468 8596 28 278 34 282 35 287 41 288 8596 7820 27 276 32 279 29 283 37 284 7820 7125 23 271 29 276 23 277 31 279 7125 6497 17 263 24 271 17 267 23 269 6497 5934 12 239 17 261 13 246 17 249 5934 5461 10 204 11 240 11 222 14 219 5461 5095 11 182 8 205 11 203 13 192 5095 4841 10 169 7 175 10 193 13 176 4841 4686 8*164 7*161 9*188 10*168 4686 4597 4*149 4*136 4*172 4*153 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography