DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 59.2 - - 61.2 - - 59.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 182 - - 155 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4002 - - 4590 - - 4234 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 4582 - - 7990 - - 8361 - - 4582 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 9502 - - 10090 - - 9734 - - 5695 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2862 - - 2055 - - 2948 - - 2712 - - 1962 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 380 - - 381 - - 81 - - 29 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 20 - - 23 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 218 - - 228 - - 218 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 20 - - 20 - - 26 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 40 - - 35 - - 42 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1754 - - 1700 - - 1916 - - 1169 - - -807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6353 - - 7803 - - 8174 - - 8566 - - 6502 sfcLCL ODpotential -5123 - - 309 - - 155 - - -528 - - -3988 ODpotential blCL 9722 - - 9193 - - 9935 - - 10262 - - 9683 blCL maxRH 81 - - 93 - - 85 - - 99 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 160 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 59.2 - - 61.2 - - 59.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 40.6 - - 40.9 - - 37.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 59.0 - - 61.2 - - 60.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 40.1 - - 40.2 - - 37.2 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 182 - - 155 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4002 - - 4590 - - 4234 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 70 - - 42 - - 98 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98101 8 218 9 244 7 250 10 252 8 281 98101 90789 6 219 6 173 4 220 8 219 2 295 90789 85120 5 119 9 145 5 158 2 185 5 169 85120 80403 7 081 7 161 4 210 2 236 4 076 80403 76309 5 099 8 165 6 217 2 183 6 153 76309 72677 4 127 5 175 6 222 1 203 7 133 72677 69372 1 154 8 171 12 192 8 274 1 299 69372 66311 10 229 11 212 11 224 11 258 7 266 66311 63467 7 169 11 188 8 191 11 240 9 243 63467 60703 11 249 13 242 14 248 17 251 12 250 60703 57814 20 217 26 226 27 222 26 240 17 255 57814 54831 25 228 17 232 28 228 23 229 24 232 54831 52005 45 239 39 240 43 235 38 239 33 220 52005 49474 54 236 53 234 55 236 52 230 39 216 49474 47206 60 236 63 231 67 233 67 224 51 230 47206 45146 67 239 68 234 80 236 78 226 71 231 45146 43273 75 244 76 240 93 235 86 232 85 227 43273 41560 86 248 88 241 103 230 97 234 93 227 41560 39977 98 248 101 238 107 228 106 229 104 226 39977 38503 107 246 110 237 109 231 110 227 114 221 38503 37130 111 244 114 236 111 234 113 229 117 219 37130 35821 110 241 112 235 112 233 115 230 118 219 35821 34507 108 240 110 234 110 232 115 229 119 220 34507 33159 107 241 108 236 109 232 114 230 118 222 33159 31782 108 240 108 237 109 234 113 231 116 224 31782 30363 105 239 110 236 108 234 110 231 114 224 30363 28894 101 238 108 236 106 235 106 231 111 225 28894 27377 96 238 104 237 102 235 101 232 108 226 27377 25815 92 240 98 239 96 236 96 233 101 228 25815 24214 87 241 90 241 89 239 89 236 90 230 24214 22578 80 241 82 243 81 240 81 238 80 231 22578 20900 72 241 74 243 71 239 70 239 72 230 20900 19169 64 241 66 243 61 237 59 238 66 227 19169 17419 57 242 59 243 50 238 50 235 62 222 17419 15739 51 243 51 243 41 240 44 233 58 220 15739 14211 45 245 46 244 36 242 43 233 47 220 14211 12850 41 246 41 244 34 242 42 232 33 219 12850 11633 38 247 38 243 32 241 40 230 24 223 11633 10540 36 246 34 240 30*238 36*227 21 235 10540 9558 34 245 30*236 28*234 33*223 22 247 9558 8675 33 243 27*231 27 232 29 221 22 255 8675 7886 31 240 24 227 26 229 26 219 22 258 7886 7180 27 234 22 222 24 227 25 218 21 257 7180 6539 23 223 20 217 23 226 23 217 19 253 6539 5966 20 205 19 211 22 224 21 216 16*247 5966 5483 19 187 17 208 20 223 19 215 12*239 5483 5108 18 175 16 206 18 222 17 214 8 228 5108 4848 15 167 15 204 17 221 14 213 5 215 4848 4689 12*164 13 203 14 221 12 213 3 201 4689 4598 5*156 8 204 9 221 6 212 2 173 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography