DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 40.4 - - 42.7 - - 40.7 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 6 - - 20 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 218 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4599 - - 4599 - - 5718 - - 4599 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1851 - - 2170 - - 1673 - - 2745 - - 2893 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 70 - - 8 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 019 - - 174 - - 151 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -5 - - -3 - - -9 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2 - - 1120 - - 1 - - -50 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4650 sfcLCL ODpotential -2053 - - -1441 - - -161 - - -2269 - - -2857 ODpotential blCL 6652 - - 6040 - - 5879 - - 6868 - - 7456 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 92 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 40.4 - - 42.7 - - 40.7 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 38.2 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.1 - - 41.2 - - 43.4 - - 44.5 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 37.7 - - 38.9 - - 37.9 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 6 - - 20 - - -6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 218 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 91 - - 68 - - 74 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96835 45 049 34 053 43 036 36 046 31 045 96835 89831 41 053 36 044 40 045 36 042 31 056 89831 84309 34 050 33 038 36 046 29 042 32 055 84309 79652 26 043 26 047 24 041 22 038 30 043 79652 75613 17 045 24 050 14 034 19 026 23 034 75613 72028 9 029 21 039 11 031 17 011 17 032 72028 68767 6 064 15 035 11 009 12 008 14 035 68767 65746 7 345 12 355 10 341 10 357 12 011 65746 62927 2 326 2 293 11 305 11 342 9 007 62927 60177 9 323 9 343 7 339 8 297 13 344 60177 57293 9 291 13 282 13 311 11 331 11 304 57293 54319 9 283 16 277 15 298 16 320 14 320 54319 51495 19 268 19 271 17 287 15 285 20 331 51495 48950 22 258 22 257 23 291 15 283 20 289 48950 46673 21 259 22 261 29 262 20 300 19 267 46673 44624 18 261 21 260 23 248 27 267 21 268 44624 42756 17 262 20 256 22 245 29 258 26 273 42756 41030 21 240 26 254 24 250 24 240 27 258 41030 39427 22 222 29 225 31 240 23 235 29 256 39427 37934 24 231 31 215 35 221 32 241 31 249 37934 36551 29 238 36 218 41 215 45 232 34 244 36551 35245 36 228 42 218 42 210 44 220 38 241 35245 33950 35 212 40 218 37 215 37 216 40 243 33950 32634 33 206 38 218 35 218 35 221 44 244 32634 31303 32 209 36 220 33 218 34 221 42 240 31303 29939 31 214 32 221 33 216 32 222 28 228 29939 28530 29 223 31 222 34 215 32 221 26 238 28530 27070 27 228 29 233 34 220 32 222 25 240 27070 25559 22 224 26 227 28 225 29 223 23 241 25559 24000 19 217 23 222 23 227 26 222 22 243 24000 22397 20 211 20 231 20 231 24 231 19 246 22397 20745 18 210 15 238 16 240 21 239 16 247 20745 19040 15 216 12 256 14 250 19 248 16 244 19040 17313 12 229 10 274 12 267 15 257 17 241 17313 15654 10 245 7 283 12 285 11 270 16 239 15654 14144 8 259 6 299 12 299 9 289 12 236 14144 12795 5 276 6 316 12 310 8 307 9 230 12795 11586 4 305 7 329 11 320 7 324 7 224 11586 10500 5 329 9 337 10 330 7 337 5 205 10500 9524 6 339 10 343 9 342 6 346 4 182 9524 8647 6 342 11 349 8 349 4 352 4 165 8647 7864 6 343 11 350 7 354 3 356 4 160 7864 7162 6 340 10 348 6 354 1 331 5 167 7162 6526 4 337 9 345 4 360 1 242 6 178 6526 5957 3 330 6 344 2*017 2 210 7 177 5957 5476 1 318 5 349 1*046 4 197 8 170 5476 5104 1 100 3 357 1 172 4 186 8 163 5104 4846 2 104 1 016 1 183 4 175 7 150 4846 4688 2*099 1*067 1 186 3*159 5*142 4688 4598 2*104 1*110 1 187 3*145 3*125 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography