DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 33.1 - - 34.1 - - 32.8 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - -2 - - -5 - - -23 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4580 - - 4580 - - 4580 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2420 - - 2685 - - 2944 - - 2245 - - 2168 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 196 - - 179 - - 157 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 8 - - -2 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -430 - - -543 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5028 - - 5142 - - 4597 - - 4597 - - 4597 sfcLCL ODpotential -3511 - - -3088 - - -1904 - - -1962 - - -1725 ODpotential blCL 8109 - - 7686 - - 6502 - - 6560 - - 6323 blCL maxRH 94 - - 84 - - 95 - - 96 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 33.1 - - 34.1 - - 32.8 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 26.6 - - 29.9 - - 30.1 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.1 - - 34.2 - - 35.3 - - 35.0 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 26.1 - - 29.6 - - 29.8 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - -2 - - -5 - - -23 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 37 - - 80 - - 82 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96674 29 062 27 033 23 027 22 356 30 353 96674 89525 29 025 27 034 23 035 26 013 25 008 89525 83879 30 354 23 358 23 000 31 356 33 353 83879 79168 27 323 27 342 27 341 27 351 36 347 79168 75116 25 341 34 340 37 337 35 351 38 348 75116 71527 43 338 39 342 43 340 41 350 36 351 71527 68239 52 340 42 330 47 331 46 338 39 348 68239 65187 52 321 42 320 47 327 46 333 43 346 65187 62355 43 310 43 321 45 330 49 326 51 338 62355 59615 38 326 42 321 42 319 46 325 50 324 59615 56778 55 314 41 331 33 319 45 326 45 313 56778 53846 62 302 47 328 44 312 50 313 49 313 53846 51045 67 307 64 318 56 308 53 310 48 309 51045 48520 69 308 72 308 64 307 55 311 44 305 48520 46255 67 306 70 306 66 307 61 308 64 302 46255 44218 64 309 71 310 75 309 71 306 81 300 44218 42392 68 313 89 310 85 308 90 305 107 300 42392 40747 86 311 116 306 95 308 112 300 131 302 40747 39242 104 304 123 302 124 304 126 299 152 304 39242 37834 114 299 109 300 152 303 141 303 151 305 37834 36506 116 299 98 302 159 301 154 302 139 305 36506 35228 111 301 101 299 148 299 155 299 136 300 35228 33942 107 298 104 296 131 298 150 297 131 295 33942 32619 103 292 100 296 116 298 146 296 133 293 32619 31265 94 289 93 298 111 301 142 294 132 293 31265 29868 90 291 94 296 110 304 137 293 129 292 29868 28420 89 294 95 295 107 306 134 294 127 291 28420 26926 90 294 95 294 100 305 130 296 126 289 26926 25387 89 294 94 293 92 300 120 298 121 289 25387 23809 88 293 92 293 90 295 109 298 112 288 23809 22194 83 291 87 290 89 293 95 297 101 288 22194 20536 74 288 76 287 86 292 80 295 91 287 20536 18830 61 287 62 284 81 290 69 293 83 284 18830 17106 49 288 50 284 73 289 66 291 79 282 17106 15455 43 293 44 286 65 286 68 288 77 280 15455 13958 43 297 42 286 60 283 69 285 76 278 13958 12626 45 298 42 285 56 279 67 281 75 276 12626 11437 47 297 43 283 52 273 64 276 73 273 11437 10370 47 294 44 280 47 267 59 270 69 269 10370 9413 45 290 44 277 43 260 52 262 64 264 9413 8555 41 286 43 273 37 253 46 254 57 258 8555 7790 37 280 40 268 32 248 38 246 49 253 7790 7104 31 273 34 263 26 242 31 237 41 247 7104 6482 25 265 28 255 21 232 24 222 31 238 6482 5926 18 252 21 243 16 216 19 199 22 221 5926 5456 12 227 16 225 15 196 19 177 18 193 5456 5092 11 195 13 205 14 184 19 166 17 171 5092 4840 10 175 11 194 12 178 17 162 16 162 4840 4685 9*169 10*190 10*175 14*160 13*159 4685 4597 4*163 5*186 5*170 5*154 6*150 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography