DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.7 - - 36.6 - - 38.7 - - 37.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - -12 - - -3 - - -25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4598 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1315 - - 2571 - - 3173 - - 2752 - - 2523 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 13 - - 14 - - 11 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 168 - - 172 - - 163 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -7 - - -3 - - -9 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -259 - - -120 - - 2 - - -51 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4597 - - 4857 - - 4719 - - 4598 - - 4649 sfcLCL ODpotential -3466 - - -2421 - - -2186 - - -2089 - - -2586 ODpotential blCL 8064 - - 7019 - - 6785 - - 6688 - - 7184 blCL maxRH 94 - - 99 - - 98 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.7 - - 36.6 - - 38.7 - - 37.3 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.8 - - 31.5 - - 34.0 - - 33.8 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 38.0 - - 39.9 - - 39.6 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 31.1 - - 33.5 - - 33.5 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - -12 - - -3 - - -25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 97 - - 93 - - 95 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96926 32 085 29 066 33 078 28 079 30 084 96926 89870 30 075 24 080 23 080 25 072 28 085 89870 84326 18 071 22 082 17 092 11 068 27 076 84326 79645 10 086 15 072 16 073 13 067 14 084 79645 75580 13 085 7 080 9 033 12 046 12 107 75580 71964 7 014 8 100 4 295 5 010 8 062 71964 68663 4 257 3 086 4 238 0 271 1 207 68663 65618 3 267 3 299 7 256 9 268 5 284 65618 62795 11 267 13 297 5 311 3 262 11 240 62795 60057 17 312 19 311 19 296 9 280 4 219 60057 57188 15 292 20 281 22 283 21 263 18 257 57188 54253 18 289 30 288 24 296 14 250 16 247 54253 51485 32 297 31 291 25 292 7 262 17 273 51485 48976 49 292 37 298 33 297 23 263 35 274 48976 46717 58 284 44 294 44 288 47 271 43 272 46717 44670 56 283 50 283 54 279 59 274 47 273 44670 42801 54 289 50 275 58 277 65 277 58 282 42801 41083 65 294 55 283 65 282 74 278 73 284 41083 39502 84 292 77 291 80 285 84 277 85 279 39502 38040 92 286 97 288 95 284 92 279 91 277 38040 36683 82 282 106 283 103 282 103 282 99 280 36683 35393 71 281 107 283 106 283 111 284 111 282 35393 34103 79 283 108 288 107 284 111 281 117 281 34103 32783 84 285 108 289 108 282 107 276 113 278 32783 31434 87 285 107 286 104 278 106 273 110 278 31434 30043 89 286 107 283 103 276 105 273 106 278 30043 28598 91 287 107 282 103 277 102 275 102 276 28598 27102 91 288 100 283 100 279 100 276 102 273 27102 25557 88 287 87 282 90 279 98 279 99 274 25557 23971 81 284 75 279 81 276 92 285 92 278 23971 22347 73 282 68 277 73 275 79 287 84 282 22347 20681 66 281 60 277 64 275 66 283 74 283 20681 18968 60 280 52 277 53 275 58 277 62 281 18968 17237 55 280 44 275 43 275 49 274 50 276 17237 15577 51 280 40 273 38 277 42 274 41 272 15577 14069 49 280 37 272 37 278 38 276 36 271 14069 12723 46 280 36 271 39 278 37 277 34 272 12723 11520 44 278 36 270 40 276 37 277 33 273 11520 10441 42 276 36 269 39 271 38 275 34 273 10441 9471 39 273 35 266 35 266 36 271 33 271 9471 8602 35 269 32 260 31 259 33 265 32 267 8602 7826 31 263 28 253 25 250 28 258 29 260 7826 7132 26 255 23 242 20 239 22 248 24 251 7132 6503 21 242 18 224 16 221 17 234 18 237 6503 5940 18 218 17 198 15 202 15 208 15 212 5940 5465 18 195 18 180 15 184 15 185 15 186 5465 5097 17 180 17 173 15 176 16 172 16 171 5097 4842 15 171 15 169 13 172 14 167 14 164 4842 4687 11*166 13*168 11*170 11*165 11*160 4687 4597 4*155 6*164 5*165 4*160 4*155 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography