DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 124 - - -5 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1972 - - 2530 - - 1274 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6177 - - 6714 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7472 - - 8030 - - 6774 - - 4599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2274 - - 1932 - - 2051 - - 2531 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 285 - - 34 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 279 - - 256 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 40 - - 33 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -395 - - -507 - - -1159 - - -1361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7867 - - 8538 - - 7934 - - 5960 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3368 - - -3001 - - -4492 - - -5059 ODpotential blCL - - - 10840 - - 11031 - - 11266 - - 9658 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 90 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 24.0 - - 24.8 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 45.2 - - 45.0 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.4 - - 23.5 - - 24.3 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 124 - - -5 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1972 - - 2530 - - 1274 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 60 - - 76 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96828 20 288 26 296 29 306 22 308 96828 89777 15 286 18 296 19 308 16 314 89777 84251 6 282 10 302 16 312 14 325 84251 79620 5 285 11 275 17 306 14 337 79620 75602 2 298 12 241 21 298 16 315 75602 72028 6 290 13 258 17 291 15 310 72028 68779 12 274 11 256 13 303 16 322 68779 65775 13 268 12 287 15 313 19 322 65775 62979 12 268 13 295 17 314 24 301 62979 60266 15 273 13 303 18 317 16 297 60266 57424 21 283 30 298 33 313 25 311 57424 54471 20 299 34 298 40 304 38 284 54471 51674 30 320 36 315 44 314 43 306 51674 49178 51 320 52 317 58 314 50 314 49178 46943 63 311 63 305 65 304 56 308 46943 44913 59 310 65 303 65 303 63 301 44913 43053 60 315 70 307 71 304 67 296 43053 41342 72 312 81 310 79 303 75 296 41342 39761 83 315 92 312 90 304 90 297 39761 38292 99 318 100 312 103 303 103 295 38292 36921 109 318 107 312 114 301 112 293 36921 35611 110 318 113 311 121 300 116 292 35611 34297 107 317 112 311 123 300 115 293 34297 32953 102 316 107 311 119 299 111 293 32953 31583 95 316 101 311 110 299 104 292 31583 30177 89 317 95 312 100 299 97 292 30177 28724 83 317 87 312 92 300 90 292 28724 27230 75 315 80 312 83 300 81 291 27230 25693 66 316 75 312 73 300 71 289 25693 24115 61 322 70 311 66 300 63 287 24115 22494 60 329 62 306 63 301 57 286 22494 20824 61 332 52 303 59 300 52 287 20824 19101 57 330 49 305 54 299 48 289 19101 17355 51 325 48 307 47 299 42 294 17355 15678 46 320 45 307 39 301 37 298 15678 14152 42 317 40 307 33 303 33 300 14152 12791 37 316 34 306 30 303 31 298 12791 11572 33 316 30 302 29 299 32 294 11572 10479 30 315 28 297 29 293 33 288 10479 9499 27 313 27 291 30 286 34 282 9499 8622 25 310 25*286 29 280 34 277 8622 7840 22*307 21*283 27 275 32 273 7840 7142 19*303 19 280 24*272 27 267 7142 6510 15 300 17 278 19*267 21 257 6510 5945 12 297 14 277 15 261 15 236 5945 5468 10 296 12 277 11 253 13 208 5468 5099 8 295 11 276 8 244 13 185 5099 4843 7 295 10 276 6 234 13 176 4843 4687 6 294 8 275 4 229 11*174 4687 4598 5 293 6 275 2 215 5*168 4598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography