DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 18 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1133 - - 392 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1678 - - 936 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 803 - - 2681 - - 3346 - - 4725 - - 2205 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 153 - - 84 - - 18 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 13 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 237 - - 230 - - 235 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - -3 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -398 - - 376 - - -365 - - -1083 - - -797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 958 - - 1302 - - 1301 - - 1644 - - 1357 sfcLCL ODpotential -2824 - - -94 - - -1142 - - -1956 - - -2738 ODpotential blCL 3384 - - 1772 - - 2078 - - 2517 - - 3298 blCL maxRH 81 - - 95 - - 100 - - 77 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 140 - - 160 - - 150 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.0 - - 53.6 - - 52.0 - - 51.2 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 57.0 - - 55.7 - - 57.2 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 52.9 - - 51.3 - - 50.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 41 - - 18 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1133 - - 392 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 79 - - 101 - - 8 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96085 12 326 13 302 15 307 12 317 24 266 96085 89006 5 044 4 294 14 338 7 352 9 288 89006 83586 4 112 4 309 13 340 4 301 10 324 83586 79078 3 294 6 349 9 348 5 306 10 312 79078 75159 6 286 8 274 15 309 9 314 8 307 75159 71663 5 310 8 263 19 273 16 287 14 282 71663 68481 12 258 14 250 19 257 18 262 21 260 68481 65545 8 275 16 229 21 247 16 245 24 256 65545 62796 15 241 26 237 25 239 23 244 27 254 62796 60104 33 233 32 234 36 236 34 230 36 248 60104 57278 42 237 36 240 39 235 41 235 37 236 57278 54323 48 236 47 244 45 244 46 247 31 248 54323 51493 51 239 56 243 56 243 55 251 49 258 51493 48959 56 243 60 241 60 241 67 247 61 252 48959 46695 62 239 66 239 64 238 65 243 62 246 46695 44650 65 232 72 234 63 237 59 247 61 249 44650 42785 64 230 71 231 62 234 64 254 64 258 42785 41073 67 237 70 232 56 231 68 255 78 256 41073 39498 82 241 75 236 60 240 74 254 84 251 39498 38052 106 240 88 236 74 244 78 248 79 253 38052 36711 124 235 103 233 87 243 77 245 78 264 36711 35425 128 233 116 230 92 240 78 250 93 270 35425 34118 117 232 117 227 94 236 81 258 95 269 34118 32755 105 233 109 223 91 234 80 259 87 267 32755 31340 93 232 98 221 86 236 80 257 80 265 31340 29856 83 229 93 220 85 235 81 254 76 262 29856 28291 78 225 92 219 84 233 75 254 74 258 28291 26647 76 222 91 219 84 233 69 256 73 254 26647 24923 78 221 89 220 84 233 67 253 70 254 24923 23121 80 222 88 221 82 233 68 249 66 251 23121 21245 78 223 85 223 77 232 68 250 62 247 21245 19289 75 223 78 225 72 234 63 249 58 247 19289 17243 72 219 72 222 67 235 55 251 52 248 17243 15146 69 212 68 217 61 231 42 245 43 248 15146 13128 67 208 66 214 55 219 32 235 34 241 13128 11310 64 211 59 215 51 217 32 225 30 234 11310 9709 57 218 49 219 51 224 38 226 28 238 9709 8293 49 224 40 224 47 233 33 234 26 244 8293 7036 40 227 35 226 40 240 25 244 21 243 7036 5918 33 230 33 228 32 244 21 248 18 239 5918 4928 30 231 31 229 27 245 22 249 17 238 4928 4055 28 230 28 228 27 241 23 246 17 238 4055 3284 26 229 24 227 27 237 24 240 18 238 3284 2593 23 226 21 228 24 234 24 233 19 232 2593 1983 18 223 20*230 19 232 22 231 19 223 1983 1474 14 221 17*233 15 230 20 232 18 216 1474 1084 12 218 15 236 11*229 18 233 14 209 1084 816 9 215 12 239 8*229 14 234 10 196 816 653 5 214 11 240 7 230 12*234 7 186 653 560 1*208 8 241 5 231 7*235 4*165 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography