DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.1 - - 60.8 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 295 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1445 - - 1591 - - 1331 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1081 - - 1417 - - 1061 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1989 - - 2136 - - 1875 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 488 - - 480 - - 524 - - 1463 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 320 - - 255 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 266 - - 268 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 533 - - -183 - - -280 - - -543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1456 - - 2319 - - 2155 - - 1104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 358 - - -5871 - - -6254 - - -8467 ODpotential blCL - - - 1631 - - 8007 - - 8129 - - 9028 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 92 - - 90 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 63.1 - - 60.8 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 54.8 - - 53.2 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 61.4 - - 59.6 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 53.8 - - 52.4 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 157 - - 295 - - 181 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1445 - - 1591 - - 1331 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 68 - - 59 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97476 13 241 17 243 26 252 25 262 97476 90025 15 257 16 255 20 265 17 268 90025 84371 13 282 14 267 15 265 15 263 84371 79723 13 299 15 286 10 293 9 265 79723 75722 9 307 15 296 16 311 10 316 75722 72176 6 305 12 301 20 307 14 312 72176 68956 7 311 12 298 17 306 15 303 68956 65980 10 316 14 291 19 295 20 289 65980 63213 14 304 16 286 20 279 21 280 63213 60532 17 297 14 281 15 280 17 295 60532 57717 21 294 18 287 18 288 20 294 57717 54777 29 282 27 284 25 282 25 279 54777 51971 34 275 34 274 32 271 31 270 51971 49452 36 270 39 269 39 268 34 271 49452 47202 37 269 41 264 44 258 42 264 47202 45170 37 265 40 266 43 253 45 258 45170 43318 41 262 46 262 48 255 52 258 43318 41613 46 259 52 257 56 258 58 254 41613 40037 49 262 52 259 58 257 60 252 40037 38574 54 261 51 260 59 257 62 254 38574 37210 50 253 48 253 57 258 65 255 37210 35903 51 252 41 243 51 254 62 252 35903 34581 53 247 41 244 44 245 53 246 34581 33208 50 246 44 242 42 240 44 237 33208 31782 49 242 43 240 42 239 43 231 31782 30287 47 237 42 237 42 234 43 226 30287 28711 44 235 41 234 40 230 40 222 28711 27056 39 233 39 230 37 225 37 217 27056 25321 34 230 34 226 34 222 35 213 25321 23507 30 228 30 223 31 217 32 209 23507 21615 28 229 29 219 28 212 31 203 21615 19643 26 225 30 215 29 206 31 197 19643 17583 25 214 29 207 30 199 32 189 17583 15478 27 200 30 197 30 193 31 182 15478 13442 30 194 31 191 30 187 30 177 13442 11585 30 192 30 189 30 185 29 176 11585 9931 28 186 29 187 31 186 30 179 9931 8463 26 177 29 185 32 187 31 182 8463 7159 25 175 27 184 30 185 31 184 7159 6001 24 178 24 181 24 179 27 184 6001 4979 22 183 20 176 19 171 21 182 4979 4082 19 192 16 175 14 170 12 179 4082 3293 15 209 11 189 7 188 4 217 3293 2593 11*236 7*235 6 266 7 293 2593 1980 9*261 9*262 10*272 12 276 1980 1472 8 263 10 265 11*269 13 264 1472 1083 8 263 10 266 11 268 12 259 1083 816 8 264 9 267 11 268 11 257 816 653 7 263 9 268 10 267 9*254 653 561 6 264 8 268 8 267 6*253 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography