DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 79.2 - - 74.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 168 - - 47 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 667 - - 2667 - - 606 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1980 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1212 - - 3212 - - 1151 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1313 - - 1519 - - 1441 - - 294 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 314 - - 125 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 084 - - 065 - - 285 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4242 - - -4498 - - -4741 - - -591 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5454 - - 7711 - - 5892 - - 1153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13830 - - -12057 - - -12796 - - -10609 ODpotential blCL - - - 15042 - - 15269 - - 13947 - - 11170 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 39 - - 42 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 79.2 - - 74.5 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 47.6 - - 51.0 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 78.0 - - 74.3 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 46.9 - - 50.4 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 168 - - 47 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 667 - - 2667 - - 606 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97556 34 277 36 267 40 279 37 282 97556 90334 27 271 30 268 34 278 30 297 90334 84695 23 272 26 277 30 282 24 292 84695 79979 15 283 19 293 20 286 17 279 79979 75925 9 270 14 276 13 303 10 289 75925 72354 8 263 12 263 13 312 9 322 72354 69125 9 277 11 276 12 299 11 321 69125 66164 9 297 9 286 12 288 11 299 66164 63434 10 304 9 276 12 289 10 291 63434 60802 13 291 14 258 17 277 14 281 60802 58067 17 285 16 260 18 265 15 268 58067 55242 19 264 17 260 17 250 17 250 55242 52559 22 247 20 252 15 254 13 245 52559 50159 19 230 22 226 20 228 19 226 50159 48024 10 244 16 211 21 219 17 223 48024 46083 12 224 14 214 16 213 20 223 46083 44290 12 197 13 199 14 206 19 193 44290 42626 9 151 15 169 14 188 18 168 42626 41075 13 124 17 150 18 175 18 154 41075 39619 14 106 20 143 20 162 19 161 39619 38243 18 090 22 125 21 153 24 169 38243 36909 21 076 24 115 23 146 28 167 36909 35551 19 074 26 114 27 141 29 162 35551 34135 11 066 23 115 29 140 28 153 34135 32667 6 061 15 111 25 139 27 149 32667 31130 6 098 12 127 21 146 27 143 31130 29510 8 131 12 145 20 153 23 138 29510 27806 8 125 13 145 18 147 22 142 27806 26017 7 102 12 125 19 138 22 141 26017 24144 7 089 12 110 20 130 21 134 24144 22190 12 088 14 109 19 130 21 131 22190 20152 12 087 12 104 15 137 16 146 20152 18027 4 086 9 099 10 147 12 166 18027 15857 5 070 6 129 8 181 11 185 15857 13762 4 124 7 191 9 216 8 207 13762 11854 5 183 9 209 10 218 7 209 11854 10157 4 185 8 210 9 197 7 188 10157 8651 3 149 5 188 8 172 8 169 8651 7316 2 138 5 150 8 156 11 160 7316 6135 3 138 5 138 7 148 11 155 6135 5093 4 135 4 139 6 136 9 148 5093 4179 5 131 2 118 5 103 6 117 4179 3375 4 124 2*080 5 074 7 084 3375 2657 4 108 3*070 5 066 7 069 2657 2023 5 099 4 067 4 050 6 049 2023 1497 6*095 4 065 4*303 5 012 1497 1095 5*090 4 063 5*289 5 314 1095 821 4 083 4 063 5 285 6 263 821 655 3 080 3 062 5 284 5*243 655 561 3 080 3 062 4 282 4*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography