DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 56.9 - - 62.2 - - 59.0 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -2 - - 31 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 833 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 561 - - 1377 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 539 - - 760 - - 1407 - - 1445 - - 849 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 6 - - 126 - - 2 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 73 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 327 - - 298 - - 340 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -79 - - -116 - - 125 - - 0 - - -71 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 639 - - 677 - - 1252 - - 561 - - 632 sfcLCL ODpotential -4323 - - -3651 - - -394 - - -859 - - -2124 ODpotential blCL 4883 - - 4212 - - 1771 - - 1420 - - 2685 blCL maxRH 94 - - 97 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 56.9 - - 62.2 - - 59.0 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.2 - - 55.8 - - 58.6 - - 58.3 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 57.2 - - 61.9 - - 59.4 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 55.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.3 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -2 - - 31 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 833 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 90 - - 95 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96507 7 264 14 314 13 320 7 318 22 280 96507 89387 5 098 7 015 9 360 3 016 9 321 89387 83871 9 037 9 341 14 319 14 002 11 028 83871 79294 7 003 4 325 13 312 16 344 22 014 79294 75347 16 340 10 326 16 300 18 314 26 336 75347 71871 13 325 10 007 6 332 11 317 16 319 71871 68735 22 316 20 319 18 324 17 328 13 331 68735 65846 26 322 27 304 25 294 19 307 20 308 65846 63168 37 306 31 301 26 294 30 289 30 287 63168 60577 41 295 38 299 35 296 35 293 34 278 60577 57864 41 289 45 290 49 297 52 297 44 288 57864 55034 43 291 52 286 63 288 62 285 58 282 55034 52317 59 299 60 286 59 283 57 282 60 279 52317 49859 74 291 63 291 63 293 63 293 69 284 49859 47648 75 287 75 294 76 295 75 293 71 285 47648 45635 82 291 85 290 83 291 85 292 76 292 45635 43794 92 289 89 284 88 285 92 288 88 287 43794 42103 84 276 84 277 84 280 87 280 85 277 42103 40544 67 269 77 274 79 275 75 275 74 273 40544 39092 61 280 70 276 70 275 70 277 62 270 39092 37728 58 291 66 278 64 278 68 276 49 269 37728 36406 58 292 63 280 62 279 64 274 46 270 36406 35057 61 282 62 282 61 284 60 275 50 273 35057 33653 63 278 62 284 61 287 56 276 53 274 33653 32197 66 280 63 286 59 282 55 273 51 276 32197 30670 71 285 64 288 60 279 55 272 51 275 30670 29059 73 287 66 289 61 281 56 272 55 265 29059 27365 70 286 68 290 60 284 60 271 57 261 27365 25588 67 281 66 288 61 285 62 273 58 267 25588 23733 69 280 59 279 63 281 60 276 60 272 23733 21802 70 280 57 278 63 279 58 278 58 272 21802 19790 68 279 53 281 54 278 57 280 55 271 19790 17694 65 282 45 285 45 277 54 279 51 272 17694 15557 56 286 36 288 39 278 48 279 51 278 15557 13498 44 281 29 273 34 271 39 279 48 283 13498 11627 36 262 27 274 30 262 35 277 39 280 11627 9967 23 247 27 283 22 267 31 270 29 269 9967 8497 8 297 22 292 19 269 23 264 27 257 8497 7196 18 327 15 295 16 275 18 249 20 249 7196 6043 18 341 10 296 9 269 15 234 18 252 6043 5023 13 349 5 297 6 253 15 225 19 254 5023 4126 9 338 2 274 5 217 14 222 19 249 4126 3335 7 300 3 233 6 203 11 216 20 245 3335 2629 7 266 5 232 5 196 8 204 20 240 2629 2007 6 246 5 229 3 187 6 192 18 231 2007 1489 4 223 4 224 1*183 4 188 16 220 1489 1093 3 178 3 227 0*214 1 150 12 211 1093 820 4 143 2 288 0 311 2 017 8 195 820 655 3 120 3*326 0 310 2*353 5*175 655 561 2*082 2*327 0 322 2*340 3*158 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography