DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.7 - - 72.7 - - 72.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 42 - - 211 - - 338 - - 176 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 325 - - 1282 - - 1719 - - 1125 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1100 - - 1541 - - 900 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 869 - - 1826 - - 2264 - - 1670 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 510 - - 502 - - 840 - - 1184 - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 268 - - 342 - - 240 - - 12 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 262 - - 264 - - 259 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -574 - - -1513 - - -2799 - - -3471 - - -2139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1443 - - 3339 - - 5063 - - 5141 - - 2700 sfcLCL ODpotential -11388 - - -9450 - - -8544 - - -8733 - - -10057 ODpotential blCL 12257 - - 11276 - - 10808 - - 10403 - - 10618 blCL maxRH 87 - - 72 - - 59 - - 53 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.7 - - 72.7 - - 72.2 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 52.1 - - 52.6 - - 51.8 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 63.3 - - 70.8 - - 71.1 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.2 - - 50.8 - - 51.6 - - 50.9 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 42 - - 211 - - 338 - - 176 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 325 - - 1282 - - 1719 - - 1125 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98265 6 293 9 291 3 158 8 218 13 281 98265 90766 4 163 11 242 7 253 8 285 8 275 90766 84996 2 152 9 203 10 230 10 288 2 246 84996 80226 1 073 4 194 7 229 8 281 6 018 80226 76142 4 051 4 200 5 284 3 293 5 005 76142 72553 7 010 2 160 7 279 5 357 6 030 72553 69314 9 336 0 035 10 269 10 294 9 314 69314 66334 13 296 6 293 9 263 10 275 10 294 66334 63558 22 281 17 286 16 295 16 285 22 298 63558 60860 23 276 23 278 24 267 24 274 29 289 60860 58041 21 271 23 275 25 263 25 267 31 273 58041 55117 28 272 32 283 30 283 29 275 33 269 55117 52335 36 265 40 273 39 285 40 282 41 275 52335 49847 39 269 44 270 45 275 49 278 49 275 49847 47626 46 273 47 270 48 271 54 275 54 277 47626 45622 50 277 47 276 53 272 59 277 58 280 45622 43799 50 279 49 279 56 279 63 281 62 284 43799 42128 50 284 54 285 63 285 67 282 67 286 42128 40579 53 291 59 286 68 284 70 283 70 287 40579 39133 52 291 60 285 68 282 71 283 70 288 39133 37769 49 289 58 284 66 282 71 285 67 289 37769 36450 48 287 56 284 64 283 71 286 59 292 36450 35107 48 285 54 285 63 284 71 288 48 294 35107 33711 48 283 51 286 63 285 70 289 40 298 33711 32260 48 283 49 284 62 288 67 291 37 302 32260 30740 48 284 48 282 59 289 62 293 36 304 30740 29137 49 284 48 281 55 287 53 296 35 307 29137 27452 48 284 49 284 53 286 46 300 35 308 27452 25682 46 286 46 288 52 289 41 304 33 308 25682 23830 43 290 40 289 48 291 37 306 31 306 23830 21898 37 297 39 296 47 293 33 309 29 309 21898 19882 32 299 36 301 43 295 29 314 28 314 19882 17780 29 299 32 300 36 291 27 312 24 316 17780 15640 25 297 28 300 29 295 24 315 22 321 15640 13583 24 300 23 307 22 309 20 326 21 332 13583 11711 20 311 19 320 19 324 19 336 20 339 11711 10045 16 317 17 332 17 331 18 341 20 343 10045 8565 14 318 17 335 16 336 17 346 20 346 8565 7248 15 324 16 340 15 347 14 353 20 348 7248 6081 15 335 14 350 14 006 12 359 19 347 6081 5048 15 343 14 360 14 018 13 348 19 342 5048 4141 15 345 14 002 13 006 16 335 19 337 4141 3343 15 344 13 360 11 343 15 327 18 334 3343 2632 15 340 11 348 9*317 13 314 15 331 2632 2007 11 330 6*311 10*273 12*288 12 320 2007 1487 5 283 6*266 10 265 12*266 10 285 1487 1091 5*243 6 262 10 262 12 259 11 252 1091 820 3*219 6 261 10 260 11 256 11 237 820 655 3 216 5 261 10 260 11 255 9*231 655 561 3 217 5 261 8 259 9 255 6*227 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography