DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Hollister 548ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 67.9 - - 71.9 - - 68.0 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 317 - - 463 - - 235 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1778 - - 1718 - - 1099 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 547 - - 1557 - - 1608 - - 983 - - 548 Hcrit BL Top 564 - - 2326 - - 2267 - - 1647 - - 564 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 630 - - 740 - - 1048 - - 651 - - 814 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 333 - - 374 - - 257 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 270 - - 264 - - 256 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - -4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -137 - - -2267 - - -3131 - - -2888 - - -2741 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 701 - - 4593 - - 5398 - - 4536 - - 3305 sfcLCL ODpotential -11466 - - -11128 - - -11194 - - -11461 - - -13263 ODpotential blCL 12030 - - 13454 - - 13461 - - 13108 - - 13827 blCL maxRH 97 - - 66 - - 61 - - 62 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 67.9 - - 71.9 - - 68.0 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 49.9 - - 50.3 - - 50.3 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 66.3 - - 69.7 - - 66.6 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 49.8 - - 50.3 - - 50.2 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 317 - - 463 - - 235 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1778 - - 1718 - - 1099 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98236 12 062 13 119 5 101 5 110 5 085 98236 90886 11 090 12 094 12 108 10 102 11 090 90886 85222 12 083 16 093 15 103 11 095 11 089 85222 80530 13 082 14 091 14 107 12 104 13 095 80530 76497 14 079 13 104 13 090 14 102 14 087 76497 72936 11 106 11 104 10 105 11 100 12 085 72936 69711 10 110 9 118 8 112 7 097 8 074 69711 66748 10 079 8 105 6 139 3 145 5 074 66748 64004 7 267 3 062 12 144 11 184 3 260 64004 61354 14 219 11 241 4 236 4 193 11 234 61354 58601 16 214 18 223 16 238 12 249 11 232 58601 55733 25 242 25 237 28 244 25 254 20 256 55733 52989 40 244 40 241 46 245 43 251 38 257 52989 50528 48 244 49 241 55 241 53 245 51 249 50528 48329 56 247 56 243 59 244 58 248 58 247 48329 46334 63 247 61 246 65 249 67 252 65 249 46334 44505 70 250 69 249 74 249 76 251 74 249 44505 42810 76 250 75 250 79 248 84 251 84 249 42810 41226 80 250 78 250 81 249 89 250 91 249 41226 39734 84 250 81 251 83 250 92 250 95 250 39734 38321 87 248 85 251 85 250 94 251 97 249 38321 36951 89 247 85 251 86 251 97 251 98 249 36951 35555 89 247 82 252 86 251 98 252 98 248 35555 34105 84 248 77 254 84 253 93 253 96 248 34105 32605 71 248 69 253 78 254 86 255 91 250 32605 31041 61 248 60 252 66 254 76 255 82 251 31041 29400 53 245 55 251 56 249 63 254 70 251 29400 27683 47 244 52 250 51 247 53 250 57 247 27683 25890 42 244 49 249 48 248 46 249 50 244 25890 24016 37 242 46 246 45 249 42 250 45 245 24016 22060 35 241 42 243 43 248 40 251 40 247 22060 20017 30 240 37 241 40 248 36 254 37 248 20017 17885 26 238 31 244 34 247 33 256 32 249 17885 15715 23 238 26 243 26 248 27 255 25 249 15715 13626 19 236 21 241 20 250 18 253 18 246 13626 11729 16 227 16 234 16 246 13 248 13 236 11729 10045 15 223 13 229 12 238 10 241 10 226 10045 8553 12 221 11 221 10 218 10 221 11 213 8553 7232 9 213 10 205 10 195 11 207 13 209 7232 6063 8 202 10 196 9 183 10 203 13 214 6063 5031 7 198 9 200 6 190 8 216 11 228 5031 4126 6 209 6 227 3 233 4 268 7 260 4126 3332 5 251 6 288 6 321 9 318 7 306 3332 2627 7 280 7*298 7*315 10 308 10 325 2627 2005 7 287 7*288 10*277 13*279 13 327 2005 1489 6 279 8 268 13 264 16*261 12 310 1489 1093 7 262 8 267 13 262 16 256 11 280 1093 823 6 246 8 265 13 261 15 254 10 254 823 658 4*230 7 265 12 261 14 253 8 242 658 564 3*226 6 266 10 261 11 252 6*237 564 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography