DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Hollister 548ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.1 - - 76.0 - - 84.3 - - 79.1 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 324 - - 470 - - 314 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 1017 - - 1047 - - 753 - - 152 BL Depth Hcrit 548 - - 1022 - - 1121 - - 826 - - 548 Hcrit BL Top 678 - - 1566 - - 1596 - - 1302 - - 701 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 314 - - 458 - - 354 - - 341 - - 359 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 279 - - 319 - - 250 - - 42 W* B/S 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 274 - - 274 - - 270 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -693 - - -4159 - - -6417 - - -5636 - - -3558 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1371 - - 5725 - - 8014 - - 6938 - - 4259 sfcLCL ODpotential -14914 - - -14388 - - -14944 - - -15557 - - -16106 ODpotential blCL 15592 - - 15954 - - 16540 - - 16859 - - 16807 blCL maxRH 88 - - 53 - - 39 - - 44 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.1 - - 76.0 - - 84.3 - - 79.1 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.1 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 - - 51.6 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 74.4 - - 81.9 - - 77.3 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.0 - - 53.3 - - 51.8 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 324 - - 470 - - 314 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 1017 - - 1047 - - 753 - - 152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99131 32 103 36 108 33 111 31 108 30 101 99131 91676 26 100 28 106 27 102 30 103 28 101 91676 85896 25 108 24 108 24 106 25 092 27 098 85896 81094 27 107 21 103 25 114 18 095 25 096 81094 76965 24 104 17 103 20 111 19 099 23 094 76965 73326 21 100 17 110 16 108 19 103 21 092 73326 70037 18 097 18 115 14 097 20 102 17 097 70037 67026 13 095 18 117 9 113 19 098 14 100 67026 64250 13 101 16 109 15 129 13 110 14 102 64250 61571 10 103 13 115 15 114 11 125 13 100 61571 58795 7 136 11 138 6 138 8 130 7 084 58795 55954 6 178 9 158 10 180 8 203 5 219 55954 53280 7 239 5 213 10 186 15 203 14 206 53280 50894 19 244 15 250 11 232 14 210 16 216 50894 48768 30 225 28 234 25 240 22 243 21 242 48768 46840 35 214 38 222 35 232 36 237 27 243 46840 45060 39 209 46 213 42 225 41 227 29 234 45060 43397 38 210 44 210 41 223 39 223 28 229 43397 41833 35 217 36 215 35 223 34 225 24 228 41833 40356 31 222 32 221 28 228 29 227 17 240 40356 38956 26 223 32 220 24 238 21 239 12 268 38956 37594 21 218 30 215 24 239 17 245 12 294 37594 36204 18 211 25 210 20 232 17 248 9 275 36204 34756 17 204 23 195 17 218 16 234 10 254 34756 33256 17 200 23 186 16 213 17 215 7 230 33256 31688 17 205 19 187 13 201 15 204 11 180 31688 30039 12 217 14 178 10 185 15 187 11 162 30039 28307 3 270 11 130 9 159 13 173 16 151 28307 26490 6 073 15 119 16 143 9 142 20 149 26490 24590 11 056 12 099 18 133 13 120 17 146 24590 22611 6 036 6 044 8 090 10 105 10 120 22611 20546 2 311 5 007 6 049 9 083 10 081 20546 18389 4 213 1 186 1 090 7 098 8 092 18389 16183 8 186 9 215 6 247 2 142 5 132 16183 14050 11 186 12 211 9 225 5 241 3 236 14050 12107 9 215 8 213 7 208 5 229 4 292 12107 10376 11 264 7 288 2 266 1 212 2 311 10376 8838 7 273 3 305 1 326 1 028 1 096 8838 7473 1 316 2 098 2 112 1 086 1 109 7473 6262 3 072 4 090 4 098 2 080 1 062 6262 5192 4 071 3 078 5 089 3 059 1 022 5192 4251 2 061 2 045 4 079 4 034 3 015 4251 3422 1 338 1 307 2 017 6 359 5 351 3422 2685 3 281 3 269 5 318 9 324 6 318 2685 2039 5 275 5*268 6*303 10 306 6 291 2039 1505 5 270 6*268 9*277 11*281 8 267 1505 1101 5 265 7 274 10 273 12*271 9 259 1101 826 3*255 7 275 11 273 12 270 9*258 826 660 2*232 7 275 10 273 11 269 8*258 660 565 1 223 6 276 9 273 9 270 6 258 565 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography