DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 73.6 - - 71.7 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 378 - - 170 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1071 - - 1303 - - 897 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 996 - - 1260 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1616 - - 1849 - - 1442 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 527 - - 446 - - 537 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 264 - - 320 - - 216 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 264 - - 255 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1360 - - -2646 - - -2551 - - -1111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2976 - - 4495 - - 3993 - - 1672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10052 - - -9556 - - -10431 - - -10696 ODpotential blCL - - - 11668 - - 11405 - - 11873 - - 11257 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 68 - - 66 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 73.6 - - 71.7 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 56.0 - - 56.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 71.4 - - 70.2 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 55.7 - - 56.0 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 378 - - 170 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1071 - - 1303 - - 897 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98629 21 091 14 088 15 123 6 066 98629 91265 19 093 17 099 11 091 19 059 91265 85579 20 089 13 088 13 074 18 071 85579 80857 11 085 15 078 15 067 18 065 80857 76794 12 098 11 077 13 063 14 060 76794 73206 12 091 8 082 8 081 8 066 73206 69962 10 104 3 120 6 061 6 069 69962 66977 7 092 4 150 4 048 4 142 66977 64204 5 324 3 235 2 351 2 173 64204 61513 8 283 9 258 10 282 7 304 61513 58711 10 273 17 235 19 255 16 284 58711 55819 15 275 17 234 24 254 24 272 55819 53080 23 276 20 251 30 255 33 266 53080 50620 33 276 29 272 30 261 35 269 50620 48407 38 281 43 279 44 273 42 268 48407 46386 49 276 51 273 47 269 46 265 46386 44529 53 276 50 279 51 279 54 273 44529 42815 56 279 58 286 67 282 69 274 42815 41229 55 281 63 286 74 280 72 271 41229 39754 52 285 60 286 75 281 69 271 39754 38368 46 290 55 291 69 282 68 273 38368 37023 40 288 52 297 62 285 57 276 37023 35652 39 285 43 293 56 288 44 278 35652 34223 38 291 37 291 47 296 35 272 34223 32740 32 289 31 298 34 289 29 266 32740 31186 25 285 28 298 31 286 28 262 31186 29549 16 266 23 298 23 291 24 268 29549 27834 11 269 15 288 19 290 15 258 27834 26041 11 275 12 278 20 288 14 255 26041 24169 10 274 12 284 18 293 12 256 24169 22213 6 272 8 259 12 295 5 281 22213 20167 4 248 6 184 6 268 4 207 20167 18031 4 212 6 170 6 183 7 193 18031 15854 1 220 4 177 5 169 6 172 15854 13756 2 002 1 088 3 137 4 149 13756 11850 4 048 3 072 2 100 4 143 11850 10158 8 056 6 070 3 073 3 142 10158 8659 10 052 8 054 5 061 2 104 8659 7329 10 042 8 039 5 050 3 019 7329 6150 10 032 9 042 7 044 5 023 6150 5106 10 028 10 040 10 035 8 026 5106 4188 8 023 8 022 9 018 7 019 4188 3379 6 008 6 355 9 353 9 004 3379 2657 4 330 5 320 9 342 11 349 2657 2023 5*273 7*276 6 302 10 337 2023 1496 6*263 9*265 8*259 7 288 1496 1096 6 264 9 264 9*256 9 248 1096 822 6 267 9 264 9 255 9 234 822 656 5 268 8 265 8 254 8 230 656 561 5 270 7 264 7 254 5*228 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography