DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 65.3 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - -1 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 541 - - - - - 619 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1612 - - 1086 - - - - - 1163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1020 - - 6380 - - - - - 2440 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 66 - - - - - 57 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 216 - - - - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -295 - - -2685 - - - - - 232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1907 - - 3771 - - - - - 931 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2105 - - -3665 - - - - - -151 ODpotential blCL - - - 3717 - - 4751 - - - - - 1314 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 220 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 65.3 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 50.8 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 65.6 - - - - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 49.5 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - -1 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1068 - - 541 - - - - - 619 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 101 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96761 36 293 42 275 41 299 96761 89452 24 280 32 293 33 310 89452 83880 23 293 29 291 24 317 83880 79292 18 291 22 279 22 298 79292 75357 17 291 19 295 22 305 75357 71888 21 297 23 293 23 320 71888 68722 22 288 24 277 26 305 68722 65777 24 277 25 276 27 284 65777 63015 23 277 27 274 26 276 63015 60317 34 296 35 273 36 288 60317 57506 45 287 34 265 45 283 57506 54590 48 281 40 275 50 278 54590 51796 53 276 51 273 55 278 51796 49278 58 275 57 274 62 277 49278 47022 64 276 65 274 63 273 47022 44975 68 275 71 272 64 275 44975 43102 80 275 78 270 70 277 43102 41382 113 273 87 267 74 276 41382 39787 149 273 100 263 73 273 39787 38294 162 272 110 262 70 275 38294 36892 149 269 114 261 72 280 36892 35545 138 266 113 257 78 279 35545 34183 130 259 117 250 80 274 34183 32776 127 256 127 246 72 267 32776 31324 122 256 129 247 62 266 31324 29811 113 257 122 252 57 266 29811 28226 101 260 103 259 55 265 28226 26573 78 262 73 260 51 265 26573 24856 48 258 61 249 41 261 24856 23078 52 251 58 243 40 259 23078 21230 54 250 56 248 38 266 21230 19298 51 251 55 259 34 275 19298 17277 51 258 53 268 27 283 17277 15209 38 276 51 274 20 267 15209 13210 28 283 40 279 15 280 13210 11388 17 295 28 287 8 265 11388 9768 19 325 20 277 9 261 9768 8332 17 325 19 262 10 273 8332 7058 12 317 17 242 14 282 7058 5929 13 291 15 235 15 263 5929 4931 15 273 13 235 16 250 4931 4054 13 261 12 235 18 254 4054 3281 12 257 12 233 17 262 3281 2592 8 257 11 228 16 267 2592 1982 3*210 10 219 15 268 1982 1474 6*156 9 216 15*268 1474 1085 6 154 8*215 14*268 1085 817 6 154 7*215 12 268 817 654 5 153 6 216 10 268 654 560 5 153 4 218 7 268 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography