DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 64.5 - - 63.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 74 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 147 - - 1047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 690 - - 1592 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 633 - - 728 - - 1229 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 183 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 10 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 070 - - 059 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3345 - - -2271 - - -3078 - - -2084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4035 - - 3863 - - 3639 - - 2644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11367 - - -8345 - - -8791 - - -11093 ODpotential blCL - - - 12057 - - 9937 - - 9352 - - 11653 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 59 - - 53 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 64.5 - - 63.6 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 49.9 - - 50.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 63.9 - - 64.2 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 - - 42.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 74 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 147 - - 1047 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95686 45 304 39 303 57 301 46 285 95686 88731 25 305 34 305 40 302 28 296 88731 83348 19 322 27 309 29 308 24 296 83348 78838 14 322 23 314 23 316 23 313 78838 74961 10 321 16 314 19 302 22 314 74961 71550 11 315 14 305 21 293 20 307 71550 68457 13 309 18 302 18 302 15 300 68457 65599 19 301 23 297 20 297 14 297 65599 62940 20 295 25 286 24 289 17 287 62940 60361 21 304 26 284 27 294 18 297 60361 57661 26 304 26 283 31 305 27 311 57661 54851 26 306 30 296 40 303 40 298 54851 52163 35 309 35 302 33 302 34 284 52163 49728 37 311 33 314 29 333 20 319 49728 47536 41 314 43 325 53 326 44 327 47536 45563 49 313 58 317 60 314 47 308 45563 43771 49 309 60 304 53 300 42 298 43771 42113 38 311 39 309 24 323 18 339 42113 40569 55 008 41 017 28 356 34 002 40569 39131 83 011 62 004 48 001 53 350 39131 37782 88 002 70 355 61 351 56 347 37782 36473 91 356 69 355 65 354 51 347 36473 35132 85 358 62 358 54 354 48 347 35132 33731 75 002 56 352 42 353 44 352 33731 32275 69 004 55 345 34 353 32 357 32275 30753 62 008 51 352 38 345 24 001 30753 29149 58 011 52 356 43 340 22 353 29149 27458 53 020 38 353 29 353 34 320 27458 25687 35 012 19 003 13 333 34 302 25687 23843 28 344 18 340 20 306 34 290 23843 21920 24 336 21 335 24 316 35 296 21920 19906 20 325 21 327 21 321 24 290 19906 17805 17 326 20 318 18 307 17 267 17805 15663 12 329 16 312 15 288 14 255 15663 13597 9 324 12 307 13 279 15 277 13597 11718 9 325 10 308 11 287 12 304 11718 10048 9 337 9 321 10 304 10 326 10048 8563 7 347 8 340 8 322 9 343 8563 7244 6 356 6 003 5 345 7 358 7244 6075 5 011 4 028 4 023 6 018 6075 5043 7 028 6 055 4 060 5 038 5043 4137 9 032 9 062 7 072 4 051 4137 3340 9 030 10 066 8 073 4 052 3340 2629 8 028 11 070 10 073 5 058 2629 2004 8 033 11*073 10 073 6 071 2004 1485 8 043 11*072 11 072 9 078 1485 1088 7 044 10 071 10 069 9 077 1088 817 5*034 10 070 8 065 8 067 817 654 3*014 9 069 7 063 7 048 654 560 2 008 7 067 4*059 3*020 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography