DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 61.6 - - 61.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 112 - - 9 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1136 - - 2457 - - 1712 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1693 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1680 - - 3001 - - 2257 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1062 - - 1619 - - 2143 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 280 - - 139 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 349 - - 340 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2145 - - -1581 - - -1869 - - -1233 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3825 - - 4583 - - 4127 - - 1795 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6693 - - -5626 - - -6028 - - -5647 ODpotential blCL - - - 8373 - - 8627 - - 8285 - - 6208 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 56 - - 55 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 61.6 - - 61.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 43.7 - - 45.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 60.9 - - 61.3 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 42.4 - - 44.1 - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 112 - - 9 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1136 - - 2457 - - 1712 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96312 32 292 33 279 28 296 23 297 96312 89215 20 297 16 287 18 295 14 323 89215 83768 10 312 13 284 17 300 16 335 83768 79226 14 348 7 279 15 306 17 321 79226 75304 13 331 4 339 5 240 16 301 75304 71840 9 320 13 315 3 038 12 307 71840 68692 13 301 16 293 15 310 11 327 68692 65767 18 275 17 268 21 286 17 317 65767 63022 14 272 18 277 24 282 20 307 63022 60341 18 288 22 289 25 289 23 304 60341 57536 28 280 27 285 26 287 26 295 57536 54614 34 287 29 278 26 287 28 293 54614 51809 42 293 36 288 33 295 34 303 51809 49281 46 295 46 292 40 302 39 302 49281 47017 42 296 46 292 39 304 32 307 47017 44966 41 303 37 294 36 313 31 334 44966 43092 39 310 33 314 37 326 37 344 43092 41375 42 323 41 329 41 334 41 344 41375 39798 55 324 48 326 43 333 42 340 39798 38339 59 320 49 319 44 336 42 351 38339 36969 52 321 45 313 45 347 41 004 36969 35647 49 340 41 314 47 360 45 013 35647 34305 55 350 40 330 50 008 46 022 34305 32918 59 350 47 342 51 011 45 027 32918 31489 61 350 52 342 47 011 38 020 31489 29999 62 350 54 339 41 010 32 012 29999 28431 61 350 55 339 35 358 30 006 28431 26784 61 350 55 338 32 345 33 355 26784 25059 64 352 55 339 36 339 34 346 25059 23260 67 356 54 342 39 341 34 349 23260 21388 65 359 52 347 41 344 35 355 21388 19435 60 358 52 352 41 346 37 356 19435 17396 55 357 54 358 41 351 37 355 17396 15313 51 358 51 004 40 360 38 355 15313 13299 46 359 44 008 38 007 37 357 13299 11464 40 000 37 008 35 012 34 004 11464 9834 36 004 32 008 32 016 30 014 9834 8388 33 008 27 011 28 019 26 022 8388 7103 31 011 24 021 24 022 23 026 7103 5964 30 014 22 027 20 022 24 024 5964 4958 29 018 20 024 20 016 26 018 4958 4074 28 018 19 015 20 005 29 010 4074 3296 26 014 18*003 20 355 29 006 3296 2601 24 009 16*354 20*349 26 002 2601 1989 19*002 16 351 18*344 21 358 1989 1478 13*351 15 348 17 341 15 351 1478 1086 11 347 14 348 15 339 9 336 1086 817 10 345 13 347 13 337 5 294 817 654 9 344 12 346 12 336 5*252 654 561 7 342 9 345 8 334 5*224 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography