DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.7 - - 54.7 - - 63.0 - - 59.2 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 6 - - 32 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 749 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1293 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 197 - - 414 - - 834 - - 1283 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 129 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 159 - - 075 - - 059 - - 021 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2110 - - -3155 - - -2604 - - -1971 - - -852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2670 - - 3715 - - 3897 - - 2532 - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential -15560 - - -13334 - - -11183 - - -10678 - - -12761 ODpotential blCL 16120 - - 13894 - - 12476 - - 11239 - - 13321 blCL maxRH 49 - - 51 - - 57 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.7 - - 54.7 - - 63.0 - - 59.2 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 41.1 - - 48.3 - - 50.4 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 54.8 - - 62.8 - - 60.7 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 39.9 - - 47.0 - - 49.1 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 6 - - 32 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 749 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96591 29 070 28 065 32 071 28 072 11 098 96591 89590 37 103 33 090 34 094 29 092 26 094 89590 84118 40 107 36 102 33 107 27 104 27 093 84118 79561 32 106 35 100 30 114 26 109 22 110 79561 75624 24 102 27 097 26 116 22 113 19 112 75624 72141 20 098 15 111 14 112 11 095 14 090 72141 68998 14 095 12 113 7 101 5 082 8 096 68998 66119 11 103 6 104 3 027 3 341 1 057 66119 63462 5 131 3 192 9 308 9 327 4 306 63462 60912 2 354 3 221 11 278 13 299 13 290 60912 58258 9 333 6 300 12 278 14 290 21 273 58258 55491 15 312 15 306 16 284 22 301 27 288 55491 52829 23 318 26 308 26 298 33 295 35 293 52829 50405 25 316 27 303 24 301 31 283 32 299 50405 48204 28 339 25 316 31 325 43 320 40 320 48204 46187 49 336 45 327 51 319 61 311 58 318 46187 44330 56 325 52 316 55 313 61 303 70 314 44330 42611 43 319 45 312 50 313 61 308 72 310 42611 41011 26 331 38 324 52 319 58 312 66 312 41011 39521 39 347 47 329 55 321 53 315 57 312 39521 38134 46 343 50 326 51 315 55 314 53 311 38134 36803 42 329 42 316 47 305 54 307 50 308 36803 35452 41 329 38 306 47 305 44 302 47 302 35452 34046 40 328 36 311 44 303 41 296 47 303 34046 32584 35 334 36 313 38 304 41 298 49 310 32584 31051 27 334 33 302 26 313 40 301 50 315 31051 29434 26 320 31 298 27 321 33 304 48 316 29434 27730 30 312 28 297 26 326 35 307 44 310 27730 25935 28 310 25 295 29 321 35 312 42 305 25935 24058 23 303 23 300 29 318 31 320 36 309 24058 22105 21 300 22 308 27 318 29 318 31 314 22105 20068 23 309 20 314 26 318 26 310 28 313 20068 17943 23 320 19 330 23 317 26 313 29 308 17943 15774 20 326 18 341 18 320 23 315 26 310 15774 13679 19 332 19 343 13 331 17 316 20 318 13679 11771 17 334 19 341 12 336 14 314 15 322 11771 10077 14 336 16 343 13 339 13 326 13 331 10077 8575 12 346 13 346 13 349 12 352 12 348 8575 7245 10 001 11 346 12 356 13 007 12 359 7245 6069 9 010 9 349 11 358 14 011 13 002 6069 5033 9 016 8 355 11 001 14 010 13 006 5033 4126 10 022 7 003 11 007 14 010 14 014 4126 3328 9 028 6 012 11 012 13 010 14 019 3328 2618 9 029 5 018 11 011 11 008 13 017 2618 1995 9 024 4 024 9 014 7 007 10 011 1995 1479 7 024 4 062 6*030 4 027 5 006 1479 1086 4 048 7 085 3*059 5 047 2 043 1086 816 3 092 7 086 3 059 4 049 1 104 816 654 3*133 4*080 3 060 3*039 1 181 654 560 2*159 2*075 2 059 2*021 2*195 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography