DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 56.0 - - 51.6 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 36 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 4451 - - 120 - - 125 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 2217 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1668 - - 4994 - - 664 - - 669 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5507 - - 2308 - - 4565 - - 3202 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 252 - - 31 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 24 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 230 - - 209 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 16 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -603 - - 2224 - - -792 - - -235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2271 - - 2770 - - 1456 - - 904 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1629 - - 540 - - -1568 - - -615 ODpotential blCL - - - 3297 - - 4454 - - 2232 - - 1284 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 89 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 330 - - 210 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 56.0 - - 51.6 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 45.8 - - 47.2 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 55.8 - - 52.0 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 44.6 - - 46.4 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 36 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 4451 - - 120 - - 125 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 58 - - 99 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96098 19 327 29 328 22 349 10 322 96098 89104 15 327 21 327 15 002 16 328 89104 83674 14 301 22 339 7 029 17 329 83674 79125 9 327 15 275 12 313 23 334 79125 75153 14 334 5 033 19 244 24 278 75153 71650 28 258 10 321 3 228 12 250 71650 68445 27 230 29 260 9 274 8 241 68445 65450 17 213 32 241 21 261 19 243 65450 62666 10 239 18 224 23 243 24 252 62666 59970 21 264 11 185 20 239 28 240 59970 57143 33 253 20 239 22 255 25 273 57143 54204 44 251 36 252 37 263 33 268 54204 51394 48 248 51 246 44 248 33 258 51394 48855 49 247 50 250 42 243 37 266 48855 46582 54 251 56 254 45 255 45 257 46582 44526 68 249 61 250 55 254 44 242 44526 42639 77 241 64 243 53 245 43 265 42639 40901 80 233 63 238 45 244 59 262 40901 39298 75 233 65 242 56 257 65 249 39298 37804 79 240 75 246 76 253 59 244 37804 36396 95 243 88 239 82 244 53 251 36396 35039 114 240 98 239 80 234 57 255 35039 33669 123 236 106 235 72 230 61 254 33669 32258 127 234 110 231 66 235 63 251 32258 30809 125 232 108 229 67 240 59 250 30809 29306 120 232 104 231 66 246 53 254 29306 27743 119 234 101 234 60 245 43 253 27743 26127 113 234 87 235 40 248 27 271 26127 24453 99 233 59 236 20 267 28 281 24453 22710 79 230 44 240 18 286 29 282 22710 20891 59 231 33 249 17 299 28 285 20891 18988 52 237 32 243 22 304 27 288 18988 16992 54 241 35 231 23 293 27 281 16992 14957 55 238 34 234 21 292 22 268 14957 12998 51 236 27 245 19 276 19 268 12998 11212 40 239 24 245 21 270 20 277 11212 9624 32 244 24 244 23 265 23 284 9624 8214 30 250 26 239 26 256 27 288 8214 6962 31 251 28 234 28 251 28 293 6962 5851 31 248 28*230 29 248 25 298 5851 4869 30 245 27*229 28 245 20 300 4869 4005 29 242 27 229 25 241 16 288 4005 3243 27 238 26 230 23 238 15 273 3243 2562 24 233 25 230 21 234 14 267 2562 1962 21*226 23 231 19 231 12 261 1962 1461 18*221 22 231 16 225 11 257 1461 1077 15 218 21 231 13 219 10 253 1077 812 14 216 19 232 10*213 8*248 812 652 12 215 16 232 9*210 6*246 652 560 8 215 11 232 6 208 4 243 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography