DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 67.0 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 304 - - - - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1777 - - 1801 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1336 - - 1571 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2321 - - 2345 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 757 - - 1199 - - - - - 1493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 335 - - - - - 29 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 271 - - - - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 358 - - -525 - - - - - -268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1963 - - 2870 - - - - - 829 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 360 - - -2352 - - - - - -460 ODpotential blCL - - - 1961 - - 4697 - - - - - 1021 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 84 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 160 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 67.0 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.2 - - - - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 65.0 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 304 - - - - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1777 - - 1801 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 35 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97103 39 285 38 273 38 273 97103 89717 29 266 30 277 36 285 89717 84079 22 274 21 267 28 298 84079 79478 18 302 18 264 24 290 79478 75551 21 300 14 285 18 280 75551 72071 21 296 20 289 14 291 72071 68881 14 297 20 278 14 296 68881 65913 12 301 19 272 18 298 65913 63141 17 295 19 265 19 286 63141 60439 21 290 18 268 15 278 60439 57604 21 272 20 266 19 265 57604 54657 19 257 21 257 21 250 54657 51841 16 258 21 255 19 252 51841 49306 20 256 25 256 19 254 49306 47036 26 251 28 251 20 258 47036 44978 28 250 28 241 27 251 44978 43098 32 253 28 241 30 240 43098 41375 37 246 33 244 30 238 41375 39790 39 237 38 244 36 235 39790 38328 39 235 41 240 41 226 38328 36967 41 228 44 234 45 222 36967 35661 41 225 44 229 49 220 35661 34340 42 228 44 227 51 217 34340 32971 42 229 44 228 51 214 32971 31553 41 232 44 228 50 214 31553 30065 40 234 42 228 46 216 30065 28499 38 233 39 227 43 221 28499 26854 38 234 39 229 40 224 26854 25129 39 234 39 231 37 226 25129 23326 39 234 40 230 35 225 23326 21446 36 234 40 229 35 223 21446 19485 34 234 37 229 34 220 19485 17439 31 235 31 229 32 215 17439 15351 26 230 26 222 27 209 15351 13337 22 216 24 211 23 206 13337 11506 22 211 24 205 21 203 11506 9879 22 213 23 204 21 195 9879 8432 20 213 21 203 21 191 8432 7144 18 211 19 202 19 194 7144 5999 16 213 16 206 16 203 5999 4985 13 223 13 217 14 216 4985 4093 11 235 11 239 12 236 4093 3306 9 238 10 257 10 254 3306 2604 8*249 9*267 11 264 2604 1988 7*256 9*269 11 266 1988 1477 7 259 9 270 10 266 1477 1086 7 259 9 271 10 265 1086 817 7 261 9 272 9 264 817 654 6 262 8 272 7*264 654 561 5 262 7 271 5*265 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography