DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 51.9 - - 48.4 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 27 - - 15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1572 - - 447 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 2116 - - 991 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3243 - - 2312 - - 2874 - - 3508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 153 - - 82 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 274 - - 272 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 20 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -816 - - 744 - - 76 - - -277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1376 - - 1372 - - 915 - - 837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1524 - - 158 - - -254 - - -1056 ODpotential blCL - - - 2084 - - 1958 - - 1245 - - 1616 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 140 - - 130 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 51.9 - - 48.4 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 47.5 - - 46.0 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 46.6 - - 45.7 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 27 - - 15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1572 - - 447 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 102 - - 101 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96625 29 080 27 102 31 099 35 106 96625 89479 22 102 23 120 22 114 24 097 89479 83907 17 113 14 118 12 114 11 110 83907 79270 11 142 1 292 2 182 5 095 79270 75270 10 129 3 225 7 184 2 228 75270 71711 6 227 9 237 7 239 7 208 71711 68475 12 211 14 236 15 227 18 218 68475 65493 20 214 16 231 17 214 22 217 65493 62710 22 232 19 217 14 247 22 233 62710 59981 27 236 27 248 30 247 26 232 59981 57099 29 246 38 237 37 252 27 257 57099 54097 37 241 38 244 47 255 48 262 54097 51231 39 239 51 243 56 248 55 258 51231 48643 45 243 55 243 61 244 57 261 48643 46322 55 239 55 246 62 244 62 262 46322 44221 62 237 58 247 62 246 66 260 44221 42301 63 234 62 246 66 248 69 259 42301 40532 61 234 66 241 69 247 70 257 40532 38889 66 235 69 237 69 245 70 255 38889 37356 77 233 71 233 65 243 67 254 37356 35921 89 227 71 231 62 240 63 255 35921 34546 97 221 72 228 57 238 61 254 34546 33163 103 218 74 223 54 239 56 256 33163 31747 107 215 76 215 51 237 56 255 31747 30301 101 212 75 207 46 233 52 250 30301 28814 86 207 73 196 39 234 41 251 28814 27285 79 204 81 183 37 233 25 268 27285 25716 78 203 91 180 26 220 21 299 25716 24082 75 201 86 184 11 250 20 306 24082 22371 68 199 71 188 12 271 20 287 22371 20584 57 196 57 191 16 269 19 271 20584 18715 48 195 47 197 20 266 19 273 18715 16761 41 193 37 216 21 265 21 284 16761 14763 32 191 34 233 23 264 24 285 14763 12835 25 193 30 235 25 277 27 289 12835 11078 23 197 27 228 25 290 28 293 11078 9516 23 200 27 223 26 300 29 298 9516 8128 26 202 26 221 32 305 31 305 8128 6896 28 200 23 220 32 299 33 306 6896 5802 29 197 18 225 31 292 34 302 5802 4833 29 192 13 239 30 285 34 299 4833 3980 29 186 11 256 29 283 33 294 3980 3226 28 180 11 270 28 282 31 290 3226 2551 25 173 12*275 27 281 28 285 2551 1954 23 167 12*275 25 279 24 280 1954 1456 19 161 12 275 23 277 20 274 1456 1074 14 154 12 274 21*275 17 269 1074 811 11 149 11 273 18*273 14 263 811 651 10 146 10 272 15 272 11*260 651 560 7*141 8 271 10 271 7*256 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography