DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 65.4 - - 62.9 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 449 - - 293 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1481 - - 1661 - - 1451 - - 167 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1321 - - 1557 - - 1302 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2026 - - 2205 - - 1996 - - 711 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 361 - - 460 - - 354 - - 1370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 368 - - 305 - - 71 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 261 - - 261 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -532 - - -1034 - - -781 - - -202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2558 - - 3240 - - 2777 - - 913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9207 - - -9042 - - -9609 - - -420 ODpotential blCL - - - 11233 - - 11247 - - 11605 - - 1131 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 84 - - 87 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 65.4 - - 62.9 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.0 - - 53.1 - - 52.6 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 63.0 - - 61.0 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 52.6 - - 52.2 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 449 - - 293 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1481 - - 1661 - - 1451 - - 167 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 35 - - 47 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99121 32 101 30 119 25 122 24 102 99121 91604 28 117 23 120 21 123 17 077 91604 85828 28 117 25 120 18 110 21 097 85828 81030 26 107 25 107 24 109 22 108 81030 76895 16 112 22 110 27 104 25 110 76895 73247 17 127 12 109 17 105 21 101 73247 69952 15 118 9 118 13 110 15 103 69952 66925 14 142 10 133 10 120 11 121 66925 64114 11 138 7 145 3 161 7 118 64114 61386 1 151 10 184 7 220 2 207 61386 58546 7 223 6 219 5 260 3 247 58546 55606 11 265 9 234 12 260 12 271 55606 52804 19 277 15 252 19 264 19 273 52804 50285 27 282 23 266 25 268 27 273 50285 48025 38 280 33 277 33 277 35 279 48025 45973 45 278 40 276 39 275 37 279 45973 44106 49 279 42 280 41 281 42 287 44106 42402 51 283 45 282 47 283 42 284 42402 40829 51 284 44 281 46 281 39 292 40829 39360 47 285 42 282 44 285 42 298 39360 37978 43 285 43 283 45 287 45 298 37978 36643 38 284 44 281 45 285 44 297 36643 35282 34 286 45 277 46 283 43 296 35282 33865 33 289 45 277 46 282 42 296 33865 32394 32 287 42 278 46 284 42 293 32394 30853 30 282 39 276 43 283 42 292 30853 29230 29 278 37 277 38 279 40 290 29230 27530 27 276 33 279 37 282 36 289 27530 25751 23 279 27 280 32 285 30 294 25751 23895 21 285 24 280 24 284 25 292 23895 21961 20 295 21 288 19 289 20 287 21961 19943 17 303 17 293 16 294 17 281 19943 17835 15 302 12 291 13 291 14 280 17835 15682 13 302 10 296 12 291 13 287 15682 13604 11 301 8 297 9 300 10 301 13604 11715 10 298 6 293 7 303 7 300 11715 10038 9 299 5 286 7 301 7 296 10038 8549 9 305 7 285 6 302 6 303 8549 7226 9 310 7 280 4 300 4 307 7226 6053 7 314 8 270 3 298 2 311 6053 5017 6 307 8 259 2 289 1 303 5017 4106 4 271 9 238 4 249 1 255 4106 3307 7 229 12 235 8 244 4 255 3307 2601 9*235 12*245 11*252 10 257 2601 1985 10*250 12*256 13*258 13 259 1985 1475 10 255 13 260 13 260 12 260 1475 1085 10 258 13 262 13 261 11 260 1085 817 9 260 12 263 13 262 10*260 817 654 8 260 11 264 12 263 9*260 654 560 7 261 9 265 9 263 6 261 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography