DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 61.7 - - 67.4 - - 65.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 78 - - 129 - - 18 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 917 - - 2954 - - 986 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 2035 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1461 - - 3499 - - 1531 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 178 - - 1710 - - 1352 - - 2718 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 171 - - 296 - - 108 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 51 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 105 - - 120 - - 214 - - 287 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - -4 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1477 - - -3551 - - -3387 - - -3380 - - -2011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2037 - - 5012 - - 6886 - - 4911 - - 2572 sfcLCL ODpotential -15037 - - -14311 - - -12811 - - -12788 - - -12749 ODpotential blCL 15597 - - 15772 - - 16310 - - 14319 - - 13309 blCL maxRH 60 - - 49 - - 83 - - 53 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 61.7 - - 67.4 - - 65.1 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 42.0 - - 39.4 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 61.0 - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 41.2 - - 38.9 - - 45.4 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 78 - - 129 - - 18 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 917 - - 2954 - - 986 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96703 34 302 48 281 43 295 31 286 34 278 96703 89740 24 294 37 275 37 279 29 299 27 298 89740 84341 22 276 30 286 29 276 32 286 25 294 84341 79809 23 287 20 286 24 274 26 267 21 286 79809 75863 17 260 15 299 13 267 18 255 23 284 75863 72349 16 241 19 279 13 288 11 288 14 269 72349 69153 22 247 24 257 23 275 16 292 10 266 69153 66217 22 247 24 235 21 262 18 276 17 280 66217 63498 18 243 25 225 24 254 25 256 24 276 63498 60849 21 261 23 233 29 239 30 249 27 266 60849 58071 20 267 23 242 29 238 31 252 28 256 58071 55195 32 272 29 259 29 265 45 262 40 253 55195 52480 43 272 47 265 54 272 64 270 52 248 52480 50074 64 277 53 262 70 269 80 273 65 259 50074 47943 66 271 58 272 84 277 95 273 86 269 47943 46011 60 281 75 287 104 280 108 274 116 272 46011 44230 77 298 98 290 104 278 109 272 120 268 44230 42569 93 299 107 288 102 276 105 270 115 268 42569 41013 102 296 107 285 101 276 104 270 113 265 41013 39549 103 295 102 283 97 276 102 271 113 265 39549 38163 89 289 94 278 90 274 100 270 110 266 38163 36817 79 282 83 272 81 273 97 268 108 267 36817 35443 79 284 78 271 73 275 90 269 104 268 35443 34015 74 290 73 274 65 277 80 270 93 268 34015 32538 64 294 63 279 58 279 68 271 77 266 32538 30993 54 302 53 280 55 277 61 269 69 263 30993 29361 50 306 47 282 51 275 60 266 68 260 29361 27643 49 299 44 283 47 271 54 264 66 255 27643 25840 43 295 39 286 47 267 54 263 62 252 25840 23956 38 293 33 289 49 269 53 264 55 253 23956 22001 34 297 31 287 48 271 43 259 50 253 22001 19967 29 301 28 286 40 269 35 256 42 245 19967 17847 22 303 20 286 25 269 29 252 36 240 17847 15682 13 289 14 272 15 257 26 251 29 237 15682 13594 11 287 14 261 13 246 21 246 22 228 13594 11695 12 313 15 275 13 258 17 243 18 224 11695 10009 7 319 6 266 9 240 11 232 13 219 10009 8515 1 052 7 195 9 218 10 212 12 206 8515 7196 4 115 8 175 9 202 11 193 12 202 7196 6034 6 113 7 159 9 182 12 166 11 205 6034 5011 5 129 6 152 8 163 12 141 10 203 5011 4114 4 160 5 159 4*151 9 121 10 199 4114 3325 4 181 4 165 2*156 6 104 9 201 3325 2621 3 197 4 165 1 180 3 079 6 206 2621 2001 2 279 3 160 1 211 2*315 5 201 2001 1485 2 309 3*145 1 241 5*290 4 195 1485 1090 1 081 3*129 1 258 5 287 2 203 1090 819 2 111 2 120 1 261 6 285 1 303 819 654 3 105 2 114 1 266 5 285 2 328 654 560 3*105 2 111 1 262 4 284 2*317 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography