DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 53.7 - - - - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 88 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2544 - - 1789 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1678 - - 897 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3088 - - 2333 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3269 - - 2451 - - - - - 4805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 227 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 19 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 249 - - - - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 838 - - 1049 - - - - - -446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2250 - - 1284 - - - - - 1006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 102 - - 456 - - - - - -1244 ODpotential blCL - - - 2986 - - 1877 - - - - - 1804 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 320 - - - - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 53.7 - - - - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 50.1 - - - - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 53.2 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 49.1 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 88 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2544 - - 1789 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 94 - - - - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97505 32 281 42 280 36 292 97505 90098 33 278 41 286 35 286 90098 84419 31 271 31 281 27 288 84419 79741 23 278 22 267 23 288 79741 75712 16 285 18 273 19 277 75712 72146 15 277 15 286 15 278 72146 68913 21 257 20 277 20 272 68913 65940 26 237 31 253 18 257 65940 63170 26 223 32 237 17 246 63170 60478 21 222 23 225 21 256 60478 57667 19 243 23 232 23 259 57667 54733 28 258 25 244 25 261 54733 51911 41 256 36 252 37 273 51911 49360 47 240 41 245 48 274 49360 47074 41 240 40 257 57 266 47074 45006 44 253 47 259 56 264 45006 43122 52 251 48 258 55 273 43122 41387 58 242 53 257 62 279 41387 39779 60 235 57 253 72 278 39779 38288 58 232 56 251 76 279 38288 36900 59 231 59 254 82 279 36900 35568 64 230 62 255 85 278 35568 34218 68 230 60 254 87 277 34218 32815 75 225 60 257 90 278 32815 31363 71 215 62 259 93 279 31363 29844 62 209 61 258 95 281 29844 28247 60 214 57 255 96 282 28247 26570 66 212 52 250 96 283 26570 24813 66 210 41 244 94 283 24813 22974 54 214 29 224 97 285 22974 21057 44 218 23 201 93 288 21057 19075 38 222 22 201 78 287 19075 17039 37 223 26 210 52 280 17039 14990 33 217 30 217 36 273 14990 13022 30 217 33 225 32 276 13022 11234 27 219 32 231 25 274 11234 9647 26 222 31 233 22 266 9647 8239 24 224 30 232 23 263 8239 6989 22 227 29 229 23 267 6989 5879 20 228 29 229 23 267 5879 4896 19 225 29 230 23 263 4896 4030 18 224 27 232 22 262 4030 3265 17*224 25 237 22 261 3265 2580 15*226 23*244 22 260 2580 1974 13 229 22*246 20 258 1974 1469 11 233 20 249 18 256 1469 1081 11 235 19 250 15 256 1081 815 10 235 17 251 11 254 815 653 9 236 15 251 8 252 653 560 7 237 11 251 4*250 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography