DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 77.9 - - 82.4 - - 76.6 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 235 - - 376 - - 192 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1026 - - 1201 - - 801 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 936 - - 1185 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1572 - - 1746 - - 1346 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 313 - - 410 - - 591 - - 468 - - 524 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 253 - - 311 - - 217 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 14 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 287 - - 279 - - 269 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -337 - - -3383 - - -3950 - - -1775 - - -805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 898 - - 4956 - - 5696 - - 3121 - - 1367 sfcLCL ODpotential -10222 - - -9729 - - -9109 - - -7140 - - -9124 ODpotential blCL 10783 - - 11301 - - 10855 - - 8486 - - 9686 blCL maxRH 88 - - 57 - - 56 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 77.9 - - 82.4 - - 76.6 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.7 - - 58.3 - - 59.6 - - 64.7 - - 63.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 76.4 - - 80.1 - - 75.2 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.8 - - 57.9 - - 59.2 - - 64.6 - - 63.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 235 - - 376 - - 192 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1026 - - 1201 - - 801 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98267 14 116 7 118 13 152 13 166 2 122 98267 90910 13 106 14 116 12 151 4 126 7 118 90910 85222 11 077 17 105 10 134 5 093 6 108 85222 80509 8 099 10 095 9 111 11 097 11 096 80509 76458 14 128 8 099 13 104 12 093 16 087 76458 72891 14 111 11 108 13 122 11 099 13 094 72891 69675 13 098 11 116 15 122 12 111 13 106 69675 66720 12 091 11 122 13 109 13 106 13 109 66720 63981 9 084 11 126 8 119 9 099 10 087 63981 61341 6 047 6 120 3 126 7 094 7 043 61341 58606 4 015 5 115 3 213 1 085 5 345 58606 55792 2 340 5 097 7 210 8 246 6 259 55792 53124 8 311 3 030 5 207 11 228 10 245 53124 50724 16 287 8 316 4 250 10 218 14 241 50724 48562 17 276 13 301 9 274 9 238 14 240 48562 46590 14 274 14 284 13 271 11 256 12 254 46590 44770 10 270 11 279 11 269 11 243 13 246 44770 43074 7 285 8 282 8 261 10 224 15 232 43074 41482 7 277 7 278 6 251 10 215 14 213 41482 39982 5 255 6 237 10 228 13 211 15 213 39982 38567 5 251 4 195 10 194 16 203 15 218 38567 37202 9 212 5 156 11 175 16 207 16 216 37202 35816 10 179 10 165 14 178 17 202 19 211 35816 34377 10 154 10 155 17 165 17 193 20 201 34377 32885 11 140 10 155 18 160 19 182 19 194 32885 31326 11 115 12 157 17 160 21 169 20 187 31326 29688 12 100 15 144 17 154 19 162 20 181 29688 27968 12 098 16 137 18 150 18 157 20 178 27968 26165 12 098 14 138 17 151 16 153 18 174 26165 24282 11 103 10 146 12 158 13 148 14 166 24282 22325 7 119 7 159 9 154 11 139 12 148 22325 20285 5 137 3 174 7 139 11 140 12 143 20285 18152 3 117 4 172 7 149 10 153 10 149 18152 15973 4 149 7 180 8 178 8 169 6 141 15973 13870 8 157 10 180 9 187 9 180 4 164 13870 11956 6 167 11 172 11 179 11 190 8 192 11956 10256 7 180 13 170 12 169 15 184 12 196 10256 8748 10 190 15 171 13 165 16 172 14 192 8748 7407 11 192 15 171 14 163 16 159 15 174 7407 6217 10 193 15 173 14 156 13 152 12 159 6217 5163 9 185 13 174 14 150 8 130 8 129 5163 4234 9 169 10 174 10 140 7 089 7 092 4234 3415 9 163 9 167 6 119 6 060 5 053 3415 2684 8 167 8 159 3 090 5 036 5 349 2684 2042 6 179 5*155 4*299 5 306 7 315 2042 1509 3 192 2*276 10*280 11*271 10 289 1509 1103 1 273 4 287 11 279 12*269 10 270 1103 825 2 018 4 290 11 278 11 268 8 252 825 657 1*022 4 289 11 278 11 268 6*244 657 562 1*006 3 288 9 278 9 268 4*238 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography