DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 72.1 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 397 - - - - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 822 - - 1052 - - - - - 388 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 748 - - 1094 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1367 - - 1597 - - - - - 933 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 451 - - 393 - - - - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 305 - - - - - 102 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 269 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -274 - - -1546 - - - - - -475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1641 - - 3143 - - - - - 1408 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10916 - - -10595 - - - - - -12343 ODpotential blCL - - - 12283 - - 12192 - - - - - 13276 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 79 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 72.1 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.1 - - 60.2 - - - - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 69.7 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 59.6 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 397 - - - - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 822 - - 1052 - - - - - 388 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 16 - - - - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98635 26 087 24 111 22 100 98635 91140 16 107 21 104 20 089 91140 85397 17 115 20 093 18 085 85397 80663 24 106 15 092 22 084 80663 76616 23 095 15 110 21 087 76616 73049 19 090 17 104 22 089 73049 69824 18 088 18 102 19 087 69824 66868 15 091 17 094 17 075 66868 64140 14 102 13 089 12 065 64140 61511 15 097 8 093 8 058 61511 58776 10 084 4 115 4 052 58776 55940 6 052 2 168 4 338 55940 53232 3 337 4 278 8 302 53232 50786 7 296 7 281 11 280 50786 48579 10 301 6 267 12 264 48579 46565 9 280 1 134 10 252 46565 44715 7 187 6 114 8 210 44715 43008 14 123 15 111 16 140 43008 41427 23 112 22 114 23 123 41427 39952 30 110 26 114 25 120 39952 38561 30 110 28 110 25 121 38561 37214 25 108 26 107 25 122 37214 35840 19 106 22 103 23 125 35840 34411 16 107 16 101 20 127 34411 32926 17 104 13 106 17 130 32926 31370 16 100 13 111 15 133 31370 29729 17 102 16 111 15 136 29729 28005 20 109 18 106 15 134 28005 26197 24 113 18 111 17 127 26197 24311 23 113 20 119 17 128 24311 22349 22 113 21 125 14 134 22349 20305 20 106 21 122 13 133 20305 18173 15 108 18 117 18 128 18173 15994 18 127 19 121 22 121 15994 13888 20 129 18 124 20 111 13888 11964 15 113 16 116 18 090 11964 10250 13 099 15 111 16 087 10250 8724 7 074 8 097 9 114 8724 7369 6 358 4 041 3 208 7369 6171 7 333 5 307 6 279 6171 5114 8 324 10 282 10 290 5114 4186 7 314 10 281 12 278 4186 3370 7 295 9 267 13 279 3370 2644 8 271 9 263 11 291 2644 2010 9 265 11*271 12 283 2010 1487 8*261 11*270 12 272 1487 1091 8*262 11 269 11*262 1091 820 7 263 11 269 10*260 820 655 7 263 10 269 9 260 655 561 6 264 8 269 7 260 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography