DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 59.4 - - 63.9 - - 61.7 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 125 - - 246 - - 36 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2949 - - 3562 - - 1873 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 2006 - - 2791 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 3493 - - 4106 - - 2417 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 959 - - 787 - - 640 - - 1705 - - 1381 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 292 - - 389 - - 167 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 296 - - 286 - - 268 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -285 - - 263 - - -492 - - -1558 - - -875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 845 - - 3231 - - 4598 - - 3975 - - 1435 sfcLCL ODpotential -12206 - - -296 - - -8483 - - -9333 - - -9976 ODpotential blCL 12766 - - 3789 - - 12589 - - 11750 - - 10536 blCL maxRH 83 - - 92 - - 81 - - 88 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 59.4 - - 63.9 - - 61.7 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 47.3 - - 45.8 - - 46.3 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 58.5 - - 62.4 - - 61.4 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.5 - - 46.8 - - 45.3 - - 46.0 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 125 - - 246 - - 36 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2949 - - 3562 - - 1873 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 67 - - 24 - - 50 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97153 19 275 29 264 24 279 20 278 28 278 97153 89890 15 288 16 284 22 278 15 276 24 281 89890 84288 14 279 9 284 21 286 13 297 17 284 84288 79641 10 276 7 266 19 292 14 287 15 306 79641 75633 12 307 7 281 9 272 16 258 16 292 75633 72075 20 294 10 286 8 247 16 259 17 256 72075 68853 19 274 12 268 11 260 18 267 14 251 68853 65889 17 271 15 261 15 277 18 269 11 278 65889 63122 20 280 19 273 18 284 22 272 15 289 63122 60417 23 275 23 272 26 270 28 273 20 283 60417 57600 23 271 22 265 30 261 27 281 23 280 57600 54696 24 278 25 282 31 262 35 282 27 287 54696 51934 33 289 34 286 35 266 41 274 30 289 51934 49450 43 287 39 286 40 272 47 275 34 285 49450 47237 46 287 44 288 44 278 48 277 40 279 47237 45254 48 291 51 290 51 286 54 280 46 268 45254 43468 48 292 57 287 58 284 55 276 50 262 43468 41840 46 294 58 285 58 281 55 274 50 262 41840 40327 44 299 57 286 57 278 52 272 49 263 40327 38902 42 299 55 283 54 282 48 276 47 265 38902 37552 41 295 51 282 52 288 46 281 44 267 37552 36242 41 294 49 286 54 286 43 285 42 269 36242 34904 41 293 46 285 53 281 40 295 41 271 34904 33510 41 286 42 280 45 278 43 299 41 274 33510 32062 40 284 40 283 45 290 42 293 40 278 32062 30545 39 284 39 285 46 292 42 282 40 282 30545 28945 37 279 39 284 44 281 45 278 39 282 28945 27263 34 275 38 283 44 279 47 277 38 282 27263 25500 34 272 38 280 43 281 47 274 39 282 25500 23655 34 272 38 275 40 278 47 270 40 281 23655 21731 35 279 39 271 38 276 44 274 38 282 21731 19727 35 285 36 272 36 277 40 271 34 285 19727 17640 34 290 32 279 34 275 33 276 34 283 17640 15506 32 290 30 281 33 276 31 287 31 291 15506 13445 29 287 29 283 32 285 29 294 26 301 13445 11570 25 290 26 286 28 289 26 297 21 304 11570 9907 20 288 22 288 23 293 22 302 17 307 9907 8434 17 287 17 292 18 295 18 310 12 313 8434 7129 15 276 15 289 14 292 12 311 8 310 7129 5977 10 281 9 288 8 311 6 314 6 302 5977 4963 5 281 8 286 7*315 5 330 4 310 4963 4076 8 295 11*294 8*299 6 325 4 339 4076 3297 12 298 12*296 9 295 7 306 5 335 3297 2602 14 313 11 296 10 287 9*285 8 335 2602 1989 14 323 11 296 10 283 11*272 11 336 1989 1478 12 328 10 295 10 280 11 269 11 329 1478 1086 8 325 9 295 10 278 11 267 10 317 1086 817 4 305 9 295 10 278 10 266 7 294 817 654 2 266 8 295 9 277 9 264 5 268 654 560 2*221 6 295 7 276 7 262 3*244 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography