DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 63.0 - - - - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 222 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2273 - - 2235 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1713 - - 1806 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2779 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1580 - - 1754 - - - - - 1534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 331 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 264 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 617 - - 455 - - - - - -489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2200 - - 2324 - - - - - 1049 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 56 - - -193 - - - - - -1910 ODpotential blCL - - - 2761 - - 2972 - - - - - 2470 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 89 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 63.0 - - - - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.4 - - 54.7 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 61.5 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 53.4 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 222 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2273 - - 2235 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 55 - - - - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98354 7 115 8 045 7 101 98354 90897 7 124 6 015 10 087 90897 85188 11 114 4 162 19 062 85188 80457 11 115 15 132 17 038 80457 76388 9 123 16 122 13 054 76388 72803 11 152 11 155 9 088 72803 69549 12 153 11 171 9 116 69549 66541 9 165 12 175 11 177 66541 63731 14 216 13 217 9 196 63731 61002 14 207 22 218 17 237 61002 58158 16 254 17 224 19 230 58158 55208 20 252 19 266 24 254 55208 52403 30 269 34 267 31 266 52403 49887 33 264 32 266 37 271 49887 47638 31 273 32 275 42 274 47638 45603 31 281 36 282 40 282 45603 43752 34 294 40 294 53 293 43752 42056 47 298 55 293 63 294 42056 40486 56 296 60 292 65 298 40486 39027 53 299 60 299 65 304 39027 37660 52 313 65 306 67 306 37660 36337 61 318 69 308 68 305 36337 34987 64 314 70 307 67 303 34987 33580 63 312 70 308 67 304 33580 32120 61 312 66 309 65 305 32120 30593 57 313 58 308 62 308 30593 28986 50 317 52 308 56 310 28986 27302 47 318 47 310 50 306 27302 25537 47 319 46 314 48 304 25537 23690 47 322 44 320 42 306 23690 21765 40 333 36 328 36 310 21765 19756 34 339 30 332 29 316 19756 17660 33 344 28 327 24 317 17660 15523 31 346 28 333 23 319 15523 13468 30 346 26 338 23 324 13468 11601 28 347 25 341 21 333 11601 9941 23 344 22 344 20 345 9941 8466 18 334 18 342 18 351 8466 7157 16 322 14 332 16 350 7157 5999 11 309 11 314 13 347 5999 4979 8 306 8 302 8 349 4979 4086 8 309 7 290 5 358 4086 3301 8*306 8*279 7 342 3301 2603 7*291 11*268 8 323 2603 1988 7 277 12 264 9 291 1988 1476 8 272 13 263 11 272 1476 1086 7 270 13 263 11 264 1086 817 7 268 12 263 10 260 817 654 7 268 11 263 8 258 654 560 6 268 9 263 6*256 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography