DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 50.7 - - 57.1 - - 58.4 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 46 - - 106 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 333 - - 1558 - - 1202 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 851 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 877 - - 2102 - - 1746 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 770 - - 881 - - 675 - - 1328 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 102 - - 227 - - 119 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 62 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 239 - - 298 - - 311 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -90 - - -77 - - 333 - - -74 - - -79 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 650 - - 954 - - 1769 - - 1820 - - 639 sfcLCL ODpotential -7780 - - -6839 - - -4975 - - -4356 - - -1782 ODpotential blCL 8340 - - 7716 - - 7077 - - 6102 - - 2342 blCL maxRH 96 - - 98 - - 96 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 50.7 - - 57.1 - - 58.4 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 48.5 - - 51.3 - - 52.3 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 50.2 - - 56.3 - - 58.3 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 48.1 - - 50.4 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 46 - - 106 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 333 - - 1558 - - 1202 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 92 - - 86 - - 56 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95457 20 285 32 300 33 289 27 281 45 275 95457 88612 3 348 13 321 15 304 17 295 24 293 88612 83293 11 043 6 338 9 313 15 316 11 306 83293 78856 14 035 5 021 6 313 12 340 5 006 78856 75008 14 035 6 039 3 002 8 341 8 007 75008 71587 14 046 5 018 4 016 6 336 9 327 71587 68483 10 050 5 352 6 356 6 350 7 312 68483 65610 6 034 4 325 10 332 9 334 10 322 65610 62929 6 358 3 291 11 320 11 307 14 305 62929 60327 11 337 6 327 11 308 11 308 14 300 60327 57608 12 329 12 324 13 308 18 311 16 304 57608 54767 12 321 18 306 17 307 22 305 17 296 54767 52028 15 320 21 306 21 305 25 302 22 310 52028 49542 18 313 22 310 21 300 29 311 30 317 49542 47296 20 315 21 312 21 307 33 311 34 317 47296 45245 23 331 23 317 24 315 33 313 33 321 45245 43364 27 342 24 324 31 329 35 327 40 336 43364 41639 32 354 25 337 33 342 43 334 46 341 41639 40048 34 355 29 349 35 351 41 339 49 346 40048 38567 35 003 44 008 41 004 41 352 54 354 38567 37181 52 012 63 010 56 010 51 003 61 356 37181 35853 71 013 75 009 70 010 64 001 68 353 35853 34517 74 014 80 008 78 008 66 357 71 351 34517 33135 71 018 81 009 76 010 67 359 70 352 33135 31702 70 018 74 009 72 012 68 001 70 355 31702 30202 66 014 64 011 73 013 68 003 70 356 30202 28620 60 013 59 011 76 014 66 003 71 356 28620 26958 52 016 56 008 72 016 64 003 71 356 26958 25216 44 019 51 007 65 018 62 003 70 356 25216 23395 35 015 45 009 58 014 59 004 65 358 23395 21500 34 008 38 012 51 009 55 007 59 001 21500 19525 34 008 33 012 42 006 54 010 55 003 19525 17461 26 007 30 009 36 001 48 007 51 004 17461 15350 19 004 26 004 31 356 38 357 46 003 15350 13314 15 359 19 353 23 347 30 349 39 359 13314 11465 14 352 13 340 17 333 22 343 29 352 11465 9829 13 350 12 331 14 318 16 340 19 349 9829 8381 11 348 11 325 12 315 11 341 13 355 8381 7094 9 340 10 317 9 312 8 350 9 009 7094 5953 7 329 6 301 7 287 6 358 7 024 5953 4944 4 314 4 260 5 274 5 016 5 031 4944 4059 3 255 4 230 3 260 6 033 4 031 4059 3280 3 254 4 225 1 312 7 040 4 029 3280 2587 2 280 4 257 3*335 6 036 5 018 2587 1977 4 296 5 279 3*308 4*004 5 009 1977 1469 5 279 4 276 3 300 3*322 5 358 1469 1081 4 257 1*258 4 296 3 311 5 336 1081 814 3 220 0*234 3 293 3 307 4 313 814 653 2*178 0 239 3 293 3 306 3 295 653 560 2*175 0 248 3 294 3 304 2*282 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography