DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 57.3 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 145 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3948 - - 3754 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2369 - - 2744 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4492 - - 4298 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3185 - - 2879 - - - - - 4546 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 347 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 261 - - - - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1916 - - 751 - - - - - -1256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2576 - - 3547 - - - - - 1816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 702 - - -755 - - - - - -2223 ODpotential blCL - - - 3790 - - 5053 - - - - - 2783 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 87 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 190 - - - - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 57.3 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 43.7 - - - - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 56.5 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 42.4 - - - - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 145 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3948 - - 3754 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 48 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97332 47 279 46 268 57 274 97332 89952 41 282 48 276 47 273 89952 84258 37 272 49 271 39 284 84258 79543 39 258 42 265 35 284 79543 75494 32 254 33 252 35 266 75494 71916 24 249 28 240 34 256 71916 68665 24 242 27 236 27 263 68665 65664 27 234 29 237 24 267 65664 62866 28 239 31 242 25 254 62866 60142 25 244 28 243 27 262 60142 57301 23 262 25 259 29 263 57301 54346 31 266 33 276 26 279 54346 51517 38 263 43 273 37 286 51517 48976 42 266 42 268 42 287 48976 46704 46 276 46 279 45 288 46704 44643 54 277 52 280 47 286 44643 42756 58 276 56 279 48 284 42756 41012 60 276 58 279 50 281 41012 39391 65 276 60 277 55 272 39391 37886 69 273 64 276 54 266 37886 36485 73 269 70 276 51 271 36485 35144 76 265 73 275 61 275 35144 33799 77 264 74 278 66 273 33799 32419 79 263 79 282 68 273 32419 31002 80 264 81 281 69 272 31002 29524 86 265 73 278 68 269 29524 27970 90 264 63 283 67 268 27970 26338 87 263 61 290 63 269 26338 24632 78 266 60 291 56 272 24632 22850 68 268 58 293 49 276 22850 20997 58 271 59 297 38 282 20997 19069 52 270 54 294 30 275 19069 17056 49 269 49 287 26 271 17056 14998 44 270 38 278 25 294 14998 13016 33 272 26 277 20 298 13016 11223 28 262 21 276 10 263 11223 9639 28 262 19 257 11 262 9639 8233 27 268 21 249 14 267 8233 6983 24 270 23 255 16 268 6983 5873 21 267 22 260 17 269 5873 4891 19*260 21*261 17 268 4891 4025 18*255 21*261 16 268 4025 3260 18 251 21 261 15 270 3260 2576 17 248 20 261 15 274 2576 1971 17 247 20 261 13 281 1971 1467 16 246 20 261 11 289 1467 1080 16 246 19 261 8 294 1080 814 15 246 18 261 6 293 814 653 13 245 16 260 5 291 653 560 9 245 11 261 2*285 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography