DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 55.0 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 5 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 416 - - 1725 - - 1185 - - 632 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 21 - - 12 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 026 - - 079 - - 071 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1121 - - -635 - - -478 - - -111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1681 - - 1196 - - 1039 - - 671 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7509 - - -1987 - - -4088 - - -4486 ODpotential blCL - - - 8069 - - 2548 - - 4649 - - 5046 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 95 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 55.0 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 54.7 - - 52.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 58.0 - - 55.6 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 5 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 81 - - 94 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96162 42 027 30 028 30 043 21 047 96162 89136 27 036 22 033 22 046 21 055 89136 83676 13 043 17 037 16 056 16 046 83676 79139 13 048 16 040 18 066 14 075 79139 75225 12 060 17 045 17 053 16 077 75225 71754 11 090 13 043 10 037 14 054 71754 68593 9 073 8 063 5 077 8 027 68593 65664 6 036 5 064 3 133 5 346 65664 62940 3 358 1 325 2 208 7 286 62940 60300 2 158 6 247 5 284 5 268 60300 57535 5 171 9 213 12 253 6 268 57535 54654 6 213 11 199 16 215 15 262 54654 51913 11 223 15 200 16 204 25 239 51913 49460 22 229 15 221 13 223 22 234 49460 47263 45 203 33 217 29 230 25 239 47263 45274 68 198 45 214 42 221 31 230 45274 43463 92 197 73 201 53 202 42 211 43463 41798 91 196 81 199 57 190 51 201 41798 40256 86 193 80 196 61 184 53 193 40256 38817 82 193 68 193 68 179 51 184 38817 37461 74 192 55 191 70 174 54 181 37461 36144 59 191 60 184 70 171 55 182 36144 34800 42 189 61 181 61 172 55 182 34800 33401 38 182 55 183 47 171 53 182 33401 31951 40 179 47 181 44 171 53 182 31951 30435 40 183 44 181 44 174 56 180 30435 28837 42 185 43 181 44 181 55 179 28837 27159 42 182 40 183 43 187 48 179 27159 25399 40 175 38 187 39 190 39 177 25399 23558 39 166 34 192 32 189 29 168 23558 21639 40 158 28 190 26 186 25 170 21639 19638 40 155 25 176 22 183 27 181 19638 17553 39 157 26 174 23 184 29 191 17553 15427 37 161 26 189 24 183 24 193 15427 13379 35 165 31 199 23 189 20 191 13379 11520 33 168 34 192 25 201 16 200 11520 9874 30 163 35 179 29 198 16 199 9874 8416 28 156 37 170 34 188 19 204 8416 7121 27 154 39 165 40 184 26 207 7121 5975 27 154 41 163 41 184 33 201 5975 4963 26 156 40 158 40 180 38 189 4963 4075 24 160 38 153 37 174 38 178 4075 3294 23 164 32 149 33 166 34 169 3294 2597 22 167 24 145 27 158 35 164 2597 1983 21 167 16 136 21 145 30 159 1983 1473 17 164 12 119 19 128 22 151 1473 1083 10 151 9 099 14 107 14 135 1083 815 6 100 8 086 11 095 9 106 815 653 5 064 7*083 9*086 7 085 653 560 4*026 5*079 4*071 4*039 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography