DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 69.6 - - 67.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 276 - - 103 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 982 - - 1070 - - 775 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 777 - - 1016 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1527 - - 1615 - - 1320 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 336 - - 462 - - 499 - - 833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 270 - - 175 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 259 - - 253 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1382 - - -1900 - - -1763 - - -374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2909 - - 3515 - - 3083 - - 935 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9124 - - -8653 - - -8964 - - -8932 ODpotential blCL - - - 10651 - - 10268 - - 10284 - - 9493 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 73 - - 74 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 69.6 - - 67.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 56.1 - - 55.5 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 67.8 - - 66.2 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 55.9 - - 55.3 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 276 - - 103 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 982 - - 1070 - - 775 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98366 16 086 12 083 5 095 8 068 98366 91048 17 085 20 097 11 074 17 052 91048 85407 13 083 21 092 16 078 17 048 85407 80728 11 067 15 080 21 074 16 075 80728 76681 8 068 8 057 14 072 17 069 76681 73088 3 108 5 017 10 064 14 057 73088 69834 3 147 1 331 5 053 9 049 69834 66846 5 138 2 121 2 101 3 058 66846 64079 3 164 2 331 0 265 5 005 64079 61397 2 181 3 269 4 257 7 278 61397 58597 8 253 11 264 9 279 10 261 58597 55693 16 243 21 253 22 273 17 273 55693 52928 16 256 25 242 25 256 22 268 52928 50436 19 261 22 228 24 247 23 251 50436 48196 21 266 21 252 25 245 19 243 48196 46157 31 262 29 250 23 242 18 243 46157 44281 37 243 34 234 27 239 27 242 44281 42547 42 231 40 231 39 234 41 234 42547 40932 44 228 50 230 47 227 52 222 40932 39420 47 229 54 223 54 222 56 214 39420 37997 49 230 55 218 58 217 57 210 37997 36627 45 226 54 212 57 213 55 208 36627 35240 38 218 51 206 53 203 51 205 35240 33809 39 215 47 197 50 184 45 200 33809 32336 37 212 42 192 44 173 40 191 32336 30802 35 207 37 188 39 174 39 181 30802 29190 33 206 37 190 37 175 40 180 29190 27500 30 211 38 195 35 180 39 181 27500 25729 27 205 37 196 35 189 38 181 25729 23881 30 192 37 187 38 200 32 192 23881 21957 28 190 39 171 35 209 22 204 21957 19953 21 190 33 159 22 203 11 188 19953 17862 14 185 22 156 23 177 17 173 17862 15728 11 186 17 176 25 145 27 163 15728 13662 15 181 17 200 17 144 27 143 13662 11777 17 185 18 207 10 164 18 139 11777 10100 16 186 19 203 11 183 9 151 10100 8610 12 187 16 200 15 179 7 177 8610 7286 9 197 11 197 14 184 7 167 7286 6111 7 215 7 199 11 192 7 171 6111 5071 5 241 3 218 7 210 4 194 5071 4156 5 255 2 272 5 249 3 243 4156 3350 6 250 3 280 6 291 3 304 3350 2633 6 244 5 277 8 300 4 309 2633 2004 5*259 7*267 8 281 6 269 2004 1485 4*265 10*260 10*256 12 249 1485 1090 4 268 10 259 10*253 13 245 1090 819 4 270 10 259 10 253 11 243 819 655 4 269 9 259 9 252 9*243 655 561 3 272 8 259 7 253 6*245 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography