DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Hollister 548ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 57.7 - - 61.5 - - 57.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 150 - - 262 - - 55 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1534 - - 2109 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 547 - - 1090 - - 1739 - - 548 - - 547 Hcrit BL Top 564 - - 2082 - - 2657 - - 2193 - - 564 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 829 - - 730 - - 590 - - 1079 - - 775 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 247 - - 331 - - 180 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 265 - - 275 - - 276 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -16 - - -421 - - -917 - - -560 - - -643 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 581 - - 2503 - - 3574 - - 2753 - - 1207 sfcLCL ODpotential -10252 - - -8535 - - -7940 - - -8226 - - -9078 ODpotential blCL 10816 - - 10617 - - 10597 - - 10419 - - 9642 blCL maxRH 97 - - 89 - - 86 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 57.7 - - 61.5 - - 57.9 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.1 - - 48.8 - - 48.0 - - 47.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 56.9 - - 59.9 - - 57.5 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.8 - - 48.8 - - 47.9 - - 47.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 150 - - 262 - - 55 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1534 - - 2109 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 57 - - 45 - - 47 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97034 58 280 55 274 52 267 57 264 71 276 97034 89775 35 273 30 261 37 261 45 264 44 285 89775 84170 25 284 18 267 23 263 27 268 27 292 84170 79521 18 298 9 288 13 270 15 266 17 295 79521 75533 12 288 7 296 9 273 9 275 13 295 75533 72030 7 285 7 306 7 269 9 293 9 312 72030 68872 7 297 9 290 9 279 12 293 8 333 68872 65969 8 299 9 274 12 285 14 289 10 316 65969 63271 10 298 9 266 16 283 17 279 12 296 63271 60646 12 285 11 264 16 283 15 269 14 281 60646 57901 16 290 13 269 19 274 19 268 22 283 57901 55052 18 279 19 257 29 260 29 261 26 271 55052 52326 22 271 25 246 29 243 27 255 28 264 52326 49861 25 273 23 247 29 256 33 258 30 259 49861 47648 39 268 37 253 40 250 37 252 31 260 47648 45643 49 254 47 243 47 249 39 256 32 267 45643 43810 51 252 49 241 50 249 46 259 35 268 43810 42118 50 253 44 243 52 245 49 253 37 264 42118 40542 47 255 40 246 52 242 47 249 36 262 40542 39065 48 259 41 249 51 243 43 249 34 264 39065 37676 50 255 46 246 51 245 44 246 32 265 37676 36338 49 250 49 243 52 244 44 243 31 263 36338 34988 48 248 48 236 51 241 40 241 30 256 34988 33593 47 246 44 229 48 239 39 239 27 250 33593 32149 45 242 40 231 45 239 39 238 23 253 32149 30637 42 240 37 235 42 235 36 237 23 260 30637 29040 40 237 35 237 40 235 34 238 24 266 29040 27360 43 229 35 237 38 241 31 241 24 268 27360 25593 47 222 36 233 37 242 27 245 23 265 25593 23743 45 223 37 229 36 238 28 244 23 257 23743 21814 40 226 39 227 32 230 30 239 25 246 21814 19801 36 226 38 228 33 228 31 232 27 238 19801 17697 32 222 34 227 36 225 33 229 29 234 17697 15552 27 216 28 222 32 224 33 229 28 232 15552 13488 23 215 25 218 24 226 25 231 21 229 13488 11613 21 212 22 210 21 226 17 232 15 236 11613 9945 20 212 20 204 21 224 15 228 12 233 9945 8466 18 214 20 203 19 226 13 228 11 239 8466 7156 17 216 19 202 17 230 10 231 9 248 7156 5996 17 212 19 196 16 225 11 222 6 229 5996 4974 16 197 19 184 16 203 10 203 5 215 4974 4079 15 180 18 179 14 192 9 217 3 249 4079 3295 14 181 15 187 11*208 10 262 5 319 3295 2598 11 203 10*207 10*257 13*281 8 318 2598 1986 8 232 7*230 13 275 14*281 11 306 1986 1477 6 255 4 265 13 277 13 277 12 298 1477 1087 4 271 4 276 13 278 13 275 12 294 1087 819 1 267 4 281 12 278 12 274 10 286 819 656 2*128 4 283 11 279 11 274 7*271 656 564 3*137 4 286 9 279 8 273 4*260 564 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography