DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Hollister 548ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 61.0 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 83 - - 237 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 570 - - 1961 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 547 - - 548 - - 1596 - - 548 - - 548 Hcrit BL Top 564 - - 1117 - - 2509 - - 1603 - - 564 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 954 - - 1229 - - 1053 - - 483 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 146 - - 312 - - 115 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 166 - - 279 - - 278 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -2 - - 5 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2471 - - -5612 - - -2201 - - -1722 - - -118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3035 - - 6729 - - 4710 - - 3325 - - 682 sfcLCL ODpotential -13457 - - -11910 - - -6593 - - -6238 - - -5511 ODpotential blCL 14021 - - 13027 - - 9102 - - 7841 - - 6075 blCL maxRH 42 - - 42 - - 65 - - 71 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 61.0 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 34.0 - - 44.9 - - 46.6 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 60.9 - - 62.0 - - 58.9 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 33.9 - - 44.9 - - 46.6 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 83 - - 237 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 570 - - 1961 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 38 294 34 303 35 292 36 285 36 303 96317 89230 14 318 14 328 8 307 19 293 13 344 89230 83754 10 331 9 359 3 033 8 316 9 001 83754 79185 7 342 6 012 3 036 6 015 7 344 79185 75228 5 341 3 003 4 291 7 018 6 312 75228 71714 5 332 2 323 7 269 5 348 5 295 71714 68522 6 324 5 288 9 269 8 299 8 275 68522 65583 9 317 9 283 13 276 11 284 9 279 65583 62850 14 310 13 285 16 278 19 278 15 277 62850 60205 19 304 19 287 20 274 23 282 20 275 60205 57452 24 298 22 291 21 284 32 274 26 279 57452 54601 26 297 26 294 29 281 31 277 33 283 54601 51887 27 299 29 293 27 287 39 282 40 283 51887 49441 28 305 28 299 34 294 41 288 43 279 49441 47240 30 311 35 301 42 291 44 287 45 276 47240 45243 34 317 40 300 41 289 45 283 48 272 45243 43425 35 320 37 305 35 292 44 279 49 270 43425 41763 39 328 37 314 34 296 42 280 46 270 41763 40228 42 332 39 315 38 299 42 284 42 271 40228 38797 44 336 44 315 44 300 46 288 42 272 38797 37446 46 338 47 317 46 301 48 286 43 271 37446 36134 47 339 48 319 43 302 44 286 44 269 36134 34795 44 339 46 322 37 301 39 284 44 269 34795 33398 32 334 41 329 33 301 37 281 42 267 33398 31946 22 322 36 339 30 301 35 280 40 266 31946 30423 6 304 27 334 29 301 31 281 37 266 30423 28818 3 144 17 308 27 304 27 282 33 264 28818 27135 3 139 8 243 20 317 24 283 30 258 27135 25371 0 156 7 182 10 276 16 278 26 253 25371 23527 2 288 5 167 11 199 16 265 22 247 23527 21606 2 261 3 178 10 188 12 252 20 238 21606 19607 8 168 10 182 13 203 13 226 18 218 19607 17526 14 161 18 180 18 197 16 199 23 196 17526 15405 23 170 25 179 23 189 20 194 28 185 15405 13364 28 169 31 174 28 182 27 189 32 185 13364 11512 29 167 34 172 33 175 34 185 36 187 11512 9871 29 165 34 168 37 171 37 180 37 184 9871 8416 28 166 32 166 36 170 36 177 35 183 8416 7126 26 167 29 168 33 173 33 180 31 187 7126 5983 24 168 27 173 29 177 28 180 27 193 5983 4973 20 171 24 177 21 175 22 175 23 194 4973 4085 16 174 21 180 13 174 16 171 19 190 4085 3303 12 181 19 184 8 198 10 175 14 186 3303 2605 10 193 15 186 9*253 5 207 9 188 2605 1990 9 207 12 187 13*276 6*267 5 213 1990 1478 9 214 8*185 14 279 7*277 5 252 1478 1087 9 209 5*180 14 279 7 278 4 281 1087 819 8 193 1 150 14 279 7 279 3 302 819 657 5*178 1 133 13 280 6 279 1*331 657 564 4*166 0 117 10 280 5 278 0*167 564 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography