DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 62.9 - - 66.5 - - 63.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 215 - - 290 - - 168 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1562 - - 1619 - - 1095 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1301 - - 1432 - - 844 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2106 - - 2164 - - 1639 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 616 - - 889 - - 1309 - - 624 - - 1012 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 287 - - 320 - - 234 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 262 - - 276 - - 264 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -931 - - -915 - - -1741 - - -1282 - - -1011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1491 - - 3021 - - 3905 - - 2921 - - 1572 sfcLCL ODpotential -6063 - - -4581 - - -5723 - - -5010 - - -5270 ODpotential blCL 6623 - - 6687 - - 7887 - - 6649 - - 5831 blCL maxRH 83 - - 75 - - 67 - - 75 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 62.9 - - 66.5 - - 63.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.7 - - 51.7 - - 51.5 - - 52.6 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 61.5 - - 64.8 - - 62.2 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.3 - - 51.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 215 - - 290 - - 168 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1562 - - 1619 - - 1095 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97587 17 315 21 303 20 296 32 297 26 321 97587 90227 24 316 19 328 19 319 24 315 21 328 90227 84611 19 308 20 317 22 322 22 332 19 343 84611 79958 18 309 13 301 18 295 19 323 15 332 79958 75940 18 291 11 303 11 277 14 297 17 292 75940 72380 19 265 14 291 11 293 10 287 18 279 72380 69141 21 257 20 281 17 296 11 290 16 280 69141 66148 21 260 21 270 20 284 15 281 18 284 66148 63361 21 261 19 263 20 271 19 280 20 283 63361 60659 21 268 19 261 20 265 22 279 21 281 60659 57841 21 276 20 264 21 274 22 280 21 280 57841 54923 20 272 21 263 23 274 25 288 22 292 54923 52156 21 281 18 266 21 271 25 283 22 294 52156 49690 23 289 17 272 21 271 24 281 19 302 49690 47501 30 293 18 285 20 266 20 274 17 295 47501 45523 37 282 19 307 12 289 11 297 13 330 45523 43721 34 288 23 308 18 317 17 328 14 329 43721 42063 26 288 20 292 20 289 14 319 9 345 42063 40520 17 330 13 298 11 280 9 018 12 017 40520 39070 36 015 25 004 19 019 19 030 19 021 39070 37698 49 012 39 007 31 019 25 028 25 018 37698 36368 51 010 42 005 33 015 30 026 29 018 36368 35011 50 008 42 005 31 013 31 022 32 020 35011 33599 48 011 40 009 32 010 29 012 30 017 33599 32133 49 019 36 012 29 011 26 005 28 008 32133 30603 37 018 36 021 26 011 23 001 26 356 30603 28996 24 341 33 019 24 008 22 359 24 347 28996 27310 27 322 30 007 25 359 25 001 27 349 27310 25541 30 331 32 001 29 356 27 003 29 000 25541 23693 31 346 33 007 30 007 29 006 30 007 23693 21767 25 350 27 009 23 024 24 034 27 016 21767 19760 23 343 18 352 13 006 12 027 18 017 19760 17665 21 350 14 341 14 346 14 349 16 355 17665 15527 12 356 8 327 12 337 17 357 19 001 15527 13470 9 339 8 307 12 329 15 001 17 014 13470 11605 10 324 9 335 9 005 11 021 14 021 11605 9955 11 330 7 014 8 059 10 080 8 025 9955 8493 12 342 6 065 6 105 9 107 4 059 8493 7194 10 353 7 076 5 136 5 105 4 078 7194 6041 6 358 6 052 5 137 5 082 8 060 6041 5020 1 351 4 020 4 109 4 056 9 046 5020 4122 1 204 3 330 2 059 5 011 8 007 4122 3329 1 249 3 303 2 326 6 340 10 344 3329 2623 2 284 4*281 5*291 7 313 13 341 2623 2002 4 285 5*264 7*280 10*281 12 336 2002 1485 6 271 6 261 8 276 12*267 8 311 1485 1090 7 270 6 262 8 275 12 264 7 274 1090 819 6 269 6 261 8 275 11 263 6 251 819 655 2 258 6 261 8 274 11 263 6*240 655 561 1*243 5 261 7 275 8 263 4*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography