DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 59.4 - - 65.0 - - 66.5 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 59 - - 80 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1152 - - 1970 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1697 - - 2515 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1457 - - 1022 - - 1391 - - 4092 - - 959 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 168 - - 224 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 284 - - 204 - - 244 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 43 - - -571 - - -2696 - - -1030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 1654 - - 3087 - - 3257 - - 1591 sfcLCL ODpotential -247 - - -6151 - - -6142 - - -3824 - - -5522 ODpotential blCL 807 - - 7848 - - 8657 - - 4385 - - 6083 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 97 - - 86 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 59.4 - - 65.0 - - 66.5 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.6 - - 54.1 - - 53.4 - - 54.1 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 59.0 - - 64.4 - - 66.9 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 53.6 - - 52.7 - - 53.5 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 59 - - 80 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1152 - - 1970 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 67 - - 88 - - 46 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 23 286 20 309 21 292 27 296 21 290 96419 89406 11 327 9 324 19 310 23 307 14 330 89406 83955 14 353 7 028 9 301 19 321 11 338 83955 79405 9 355 5 054 0 215 13 317 10 003 79405 75455 3 174 5 024 5 152 2 285 6 332 75455 71947 5 108 3 296 2 335 6 052 3 111 71947 68781 2 013 5 194 8 283 5 319 1 022 68781 65886 8 293 8 226 8 283 7 321 1 128 65886 63201 7 234 10 207 16 239 19 264 8 223 63201 60581 15 283 13 245 21 229 21 248 11 235 60581 57835 33 270 24 251 23 243 28 249 18 253 57835 54991 41 251 29 259 30 243 35 242 39 238 54991 52280 45 248 38 255 30 247 43 242 51 236 52280 49832 45 258 46 258 40 254 53 250 58 241 49832 47641 61 255 59 250 55 252 58 248 62 242 47641 45656 64 239 64 241 64 246 58 243 64 242 45656 43834 63 240 70 241 67 243 63 240 66 243 43834 42148 72 247 76 243 71 242 68 240 71 241 42148 40579 86 248 82 240 78 239 73 239 74 238 40579 39109 95 245 84 237 79 236 73 236 77 237 39109 37724 98 243 84 236 78 235 70 235 76 236 37724 36384 98 240 86 236 81 235 70 237 74 236 36384 35021 92 236 86 235 83 234 71 239 71 235 35021 33605 83 232 85 236 81 234 71 239 71 236 33605 32136 73 229 83 237 78 236 70 239 69 237 32136 30600 68 224 76 234 76 239 68 239 68 238 30600 28981 69 220 70 230 72 241 64 238 66 237 28981 27282 72 227 64 226 67 243 60 238 62 236 27282 25503 69 242 54 225 61 237 57 239 57 235 25503 23651 47 253 45 229 54 235 56 240 53 236 23651 21731 36 250 42 228 45 237 51 242 50 240 21731 19738 31 234 38 229 37 232 42 239 47 240 19738 17665 27 235 28 242 27 232 29 226 35 227 17665 15551 26 245 21 256 22 244 25 221 33 213 15551 13506 25 237 19 240 20 239 27 223 33 209 13506 11639 25 229 25 221 22 229 25 218 32 206 11639 9977 24 219 31 212 28 221 28 210 32 202 9977 8503 25 209 31 207 32 214 32 206 32 201 8503 7197 25 207 30 204 31 207 31 207 30 199 7197 6041 26 208 27 202 28 203 27 205 28 199 6041 5022 24 207 24 201 24 198 22 200 24 202 5022 4126 22 207 20 204 18 197 17 199 22 205 4126 3338 18 210 16 207 13 196 13 200 19 207 3338 2633 14 219 10 208 8*195 10 205 17 206 2633 2010 10 238 5*218 4*197 7 212 15 203 2010 1492 8 256 3*252 3 201 6 222 11 200 1492 1094 6 265 2 284 1 210 5 229 7 197 1094 821 5 268 2 296 1 216 4 234 2 176 821 655 3 273 2 298 1 229 3 239 1 066 655 561 2*267 2 300 0 240 2*244 3*035 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography