DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 57.3 - - 61.2 - - 58.9 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 21 - - 47 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 329 - - 1410 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 873 - - 1954 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 1048 - - 1235 - - 2315 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 87 - - 179 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 242 - - 266 - - 272 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1738 - - -1896 - - -982 - - -941 - - -199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2298 - - 2770 - - 2936 - - 1503 - - 759 sfcLCL ODpotential -9254 - - -7275 - - -5194 - - -3996 - - -5230 ODpotential blCL 9814 - - 8148 - - 7148 - - 4557 - - 5790 blCL maxRH 57 - - 64 - - 71 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 57.3 - - 61.2 - - 58.9 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 - - 54.3 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.1 - - 57.2 - - 60.8 - - 59.5 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 45.8 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 21 - - 47 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 329 - - 1410 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 9 106 12 122 6 267 7 036 13 089 96536 89420 8 096 9 070 8 133 7 339 8 057 89420 83916 9 100 3 066 8 123 0 304 4 352 83916 79325 7 123 5 150 0 218 3 078 2 185 79325 75363 6 098 7 145 5 239 2 318 2 076 75363 71868 3 081 4 165 6 220 5 266 2 257 71868 68699 6 219 7 182 7 244 8 252 6 264 68699 65764 9 207 9 190 8 257 9 225 10 271 65764 63019 3 222 6 181 8 237 11 234 11 246 63019 60353 5 249 4 259 9 197 14 248 11 245 60353 57581 4 266 8 302 4 158 11 231 11 247 57581 54723 13 287 16 304 14 331 6 356 0 020 54723 52007 4 334 8 331 10 355 10 329 4 308 52007 49557 17 038 13 031 15 013 13 346 9 343 49557 47361 22 034 18 035 14 010 21 354 24 355 47361 45376 29 045 22 044 15 024 26 356 27 351 45376 43558 46 043 41 047 24 046 21 020 20 001 43558 41872 57 028 49 023 44 031 28 046 21 016 41872 40297 55 017 46 012 45 016 38 025 27 015 40297 38825 51 023 40 018 40 014 39 012 32 017 38825 37446 48 036 42 022 39 019 37 012 32 016 37446 36121 50 034 43 021 38 019 33 015 28 016 36121 34774 51 029 43 022 37 017 33 016 28 022 34774 33375 51 028 43 024 38 018 31 017 29 027 33375 31929 49 029 42 026 37 022 29 018 27 020 31929 30418 49 030 41 028 35 027 28 017 26 020 30418 28826 51 030 42 028 36 028 29 022 27 029 28826 27152 54 030 44 026 37 029 29 031 27 026 27152 25395 57 030 45 026 35 031 30 031 29 018 25395 23558 56 033 42 031 35 032 32 026 33 020 23558 21646 54 038 41 040 36 033 35 025 34 022 21646 19650 51 041 41 041 37 034 36 026 37 022 19650 17567 43 046 35 044 33 035 34 028 37 023 17567 15441 26 045 22 058 22 038 23 027 33 021 15441 13396 16 039 15 071 14 056 12 028 23 013 13396 11540 11 028 13 069 13 078 10 065 12 349 11540 9893 5 046 8 068 11 087 7 084 6 307 9893 8429 5 066 3 086 3 090 4 342 5 301 8429 7133 7 039 3 075 2 267 5 313 4 344 7133 5985 11 010 7 004 4 315 4 313 5 012 5985 4974 15 349 13 342 9 333 3 331 7 012 4974 4084 17 340 16 333 12 337 3 360 7 007 4084 3301 18 337 16 330 12 342 3 018 7 360 3301 2603 16 341 13 329 9 343 2 015 6 354 2603 1988 13 351 10 332 4*314 2 331 5 355 1988 1476 9 008 6 336 4*271 3 287 3 017 1476 1085 5 050 2*326 4 267 4 275 4 061 1085 816 5 101 1*248 4 264 4 272 3 070 816 653 5*127 1 239 4 263 4*273 2 077 653 560 3*139 1 242 3 264 3*272 1*108 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography