DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.5 - - 65.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 405 - - 271 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 977 - - 1190 - - 965 - - 423 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 920 - - 1195 - - 938 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1521 - - 1735 - - 1510 - - 967 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 380 - - 473 - - 537 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 319 - - 260 - - 95 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 273 - - 269 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -150 - - -2023 - - -1111 - - -292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1671 - - 3758 - - 2622 - - 1259 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7643 - - -7364 - - -7539 - - -9483 ODpotential blCL - - - 9164 - - 9099 - - 9049 - - 10450 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 71 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 70.5 - - 65.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 55.9 - - 56.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 68.2 - - 63.9 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 55.2 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 405 - - 271 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 977 - - 1190 - - 965 - - 423 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - 49 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98168 5 144 7 131 2 182 5 059 98168 90733 12 118 4 170 1 255 5 038 90733 85018 7 162 2 215 3 108 4 175 85018 80276 13 196 9 242 3 183 6 237 80276 76181 12 183 12 213 6 234 4 250 76181 72552 1 134 5 161 8 209 3 214 72552 69270 3 288 1 316 4 173 2 179 69270 66259 3 297 4 299 4 048 2 105 66259 63471 5 301 4 270 8 321 6 320 63471 60771 6 325 6 299 9 321 8 316 60771 57964 8 336 8 289 14 308 14 323 57964 55070 14 336 11 317 15 293 17 309 55070 52323 17 313 17 313 17 305 16 312 52323 49862 19 338 18 319 18 310 18 320 49862 47678 30 334 22 333 19 333 19 329 47678 45724 26 331 22 326 22 325 24 328 45724 43944 23 349 22 341 20 321 24 321 43944 42296 31 360 27 350 21 326 24 317 42296 40757 34 357 30 348 22 329 25 321 40757 39308 34 354 32 344 23 332 25 327 39308 37936 31 354 32 343 22 335 22 326 37936 36603 27 353 32 345 20 340 19 322 36603 35243 25 355 31 346 19 347 15 321 35243 33825 25 002 29 349 17 347 12 320 33825 32353 24 000 25 349 14 341 11 316 32353 30810 23 354 23 354 12 342 9 324 30810 29186 25 358 21 359 12 337 8 328 29186 27481 23 006 20 346 19 322 10 326 27481 25697 19 360 19 337 19 322 12 332 25697 23838 16 354 16 348 13 332 11 334 23838 21903 14 349 10 342 9 322 8 330 21903 19885 14 340 9 329 9 319 7 341 19885 17786 11 338 5 307 6 306 4 347 17786 15650 7 319 7 284 7 288 2 334 15650 13591 5 325 5 273 6 299 2 311 13591 11715 1 325 5 214 5 245 5 234 11715 10046 5 261 5 210 7 217 8 217 10046 8564 7 252 5 228 8 218 8 213 8564 7247 9 253 7 244 8 232 7 220 7247 6078 10 255 9 254 8 245 8 229 6078 5043 9 248 10 259 10 250 9 231 5043 4130 8 237 9 255 10 247 11 233 4130 3327 7 221 7 247 10 246 12 241 3327 2613 6 233 7 254 12 253 13 255 2613 1990 7*269 9*271 13*265 14 264 1990 1476 8*268 10*273 12*269 11 272 1476 1085 8 266 11 273 12 269 8*271 1085 817 8 266 10 273 11 270 7*269 817 654 7 266 10 273 11 269 7 269 654 561 6 266 8 273 9 270 5 268 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography