DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 70.8 - - 78.6 - - 78.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 49 - - 110 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 1555 - - 1148 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1046 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1140 - - 2101 - - 1693 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 225 - - 584 - - 1530 - - 1908 - - 593 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 138 - - 241 - - 136 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 357 - - 323 - - 326 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4026 - - -5690 - - -4745 - - -4723 - - -3068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4586 - - 6830 - - 6846 - - 6417 - - 3629 sfcLCL ODpotential -16203 - - -14731 - - -11671 - - -11591 - - -11944 ODpotential blCL 16763 - - 15871 - - 13772 - - 13284 - - 12505 blCL maxRH 35 - - 42 - - 68 - - 65 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 70.8 - - 78.6 - - 78.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 43.4 - - 50.8 - - 52.2 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 70.2 - - 77.7 - - 78.2 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 42.2 - - 49.5 - - 50.9 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 49 - - 110 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 1555 - - 1148 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96677 30 289 26 290 42 281 36 308 28 285 96677 89483 19 319 11 286 30 275 27 302 22 307 89483 83975 13 339 6 303 17 269 21 285 20 321 83975 79426 9 329 4 326 9 272 14 275 13 319 79426 75511 11 297 5 008 5 291 12 270 8 292 75511 72062 8 275 5 329 5 330 8 263 6 296 72062 68947 10 329 8 308 10 309 7 297 8 328 68947 66093 13 318 5 284 11 281 11 286 14 333 66093 63459 15 305 5 294 10 267 14 252 15 302 63459 60907 23 299 17 313 12 290 12 282 15 279 60907 58231 28 301 24 308 17 301 17 317 15 289 58231 55449 32 296 26 294 21 287 25 303 22 298 55449 52789 32 295 29 308 24 286 27 281 27 283 52789 50376 39 314 39 317 27 302 25 290 25 280 50376 48189 45 308 48 316 40 321 32 319 23 304 48189 46200 47 309 54 307 50 317 42 319 32 323 46200 44387 43 304 50 297 49 304 43 304 34 311 44387 42724 24 315 26 308 26 295 27 293 28 287 42724 41177 46 357 26 337 26 328 18 291 19 274 41177 39726 47 350 36 349 27 334 17 300 11 263 39726 38355 36 344 36 345 25 329 25 310 13 274 38355 37025 25 335 26 334 28 321 32 307 21 301 37025 35664 21 328 22 311 30 312 33 306 28 301 35664 34243 18 318 26 308 28 304 36 303 31 283 34243 32769 18 315 28 304 31 299 35 293 31 264 32769 31223 18 310 26 301 34 294 27 273 31 262 31223 29591 21 303 26 303 31 288 26 276 30 275 29591 27871 24 304 29 306 24 278 29 291 28 287 27871 26064 26 300 27 302 26 283 27 288 25 284 26064 24178 28 293 26 304 28 288 28 291 24 285 24178 22212 29 292 29 305 28 297 29 294 24 289 22212 20160 31 298 29 302 27 303 26 293 24 290 20160 18018 31 299 26 300 25 296 24 280 24 278 18018 15836 30 296 25 297 22 288 23 276 26 275 15836 13737 27 294 25 292 21 285 23 282 26 280 13737 11834 24 298 24 289 21 289 23 293 22 290 11834 10146 21 302 22 289 21 295 22 304 17 302 10146 8649 18 308 20 293 20 305 21 318 13 323 8649 7322 18 317 15 310 17 319 18 336 11 349 7322 6147 15 330 11 338 12 337 13 356 8 004 6147 5108 13 343 10 003 8 001 8 022 5 011 5108 4193 13 354 12 021 8 035 5 033 3 354 4193 3387 15 000 14 024 8 036 5 024 4 328 3387 2667 19 001 15 022 7*017 7 354 5 339 2667 2032 21 000 13 021 7*342 9*340 9 355 2032 1505 16 001 9*020 7 323 9*330 16 351 1505 1102 8 000 3*011 7 319 8 327 15 345 1102 825 1 331 1 352 7 317 8 325 10 331 825 657 3 189 1 345 6 316 7 323 6 307 657 561 4*188 1 345 5 316 5 321 4*254 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography