DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 100 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1915 - - 2957 - - 2667 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1097 - - 1949 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2459 - - 3501 - - 3211 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1022 - - 1697 - - 1747 - - 2185 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 283 - - 195 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 336 - - 329 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 465 - - 969 - - -132 - - -721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1994 - - 2533 - - 3343 - - 1281 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 78 - - -137 - - -3008 - - -2219 ODpotential blCL - - - 2381 - - 3638 - - 6219 - - 2779 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 84 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.5 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 59.2 - - 59.8 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 49.6 - - 46.2 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 100 - - 29 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1915 - - 2957 - - 2667 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 35 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 9 305 21 268 23 309 15 319 96342 89210 5 344 14 277 14 298 13 319 89210 83740 5 008 8 307 6 283 10 302 83740 79226 7 343 11 319 6 343 6 299 79226 75350 5 336 12 300 10 327 13 337 75350 71919 3 269 11 284 13 293 13 330 71919 68792 11 278 11 268 14 288 12 301 68792 65894 18 278 15 269 16 281 15 270 65894 63182 25 274 23 259 22 273 24 274 63182 60533 31 274 31 268 34 270 35 273 60533 57755 41 275 37 275 38 268 38 271 57755 54864 43 270 42 272 41 270 43 274 54864 52099 34 272 39 264 42 266 42 265 52099 49594 38 290 42 284 36 281 31 281 49594 47325 48 285 49 290 45 297 37 302 47325 45241 51 272 55 282 54 293 47 293 45241 43316 52 270 57 271 59 284 55 283 43316 41541 55 276 55 276 63 282 62 281 41541 39909 60 280 64 281 71 281 68 285 39909 38417 67 279 69 280 74 281 75 287 38417 37040 66 274 66 278 66 276 63 278 37040 35722 63 271 51 274 48 293 52 300 35722 34392 63 273 48 289 61 313 68 317 34392 33015 66 276 62 304 71 313 75 318 33015 31591 62 275 67 301 73 310 77 317 31591 30101 53 273 65 294 71 308 74 312 30101 28531 50 278 62 289 70 305 70 309 28531 26883 45 279 59 291 69 303 68 308 26883 25151 46 299 56 294 68 302 66 306 25151 23340 51 304 54 294 67 302 66 306 23340 21453 49 301 55 298 63 304 63 309 21453 19483 45 300 54 298 59 306 57 311 19483 17426 40 298 51 305 55 309 50 315 17426 15323 35 309 42 311 49 313 46 320 15323 13289 31 304 33 307 44 310 46 320 13289 11436 33 298 35 294 41 308 46 322 11436 9793 29 305 37 311 39 316 43 331 9793 8343 21 314 30 335 35 330 36 343 8343 7062 18 320 22 348 29 345 27 350 7062 5929 16 329 17 344 22 353 20 347 5929 4929 17 340 15 337 16 352 18 340 4929 4050 21 343 14*336 14 343 18 336 4050 3276 21 341 14*336 13*338 20 337 3276 2586 17*336 14 336 13*333 23 338 2586 1978 13*326 14 336 12 330 24 336 1978 1471 11 319 14 337 12 328 21 331 1471 1082 10 317 13 337 11 327 18 323 1082 815 9 314 12 337 10 326 13 312 815 653 8 314 11 337 9 325 10 303 653 560 7 312 8 336 7 325 4*287 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography