DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Hollister 547ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 50.7 - - 54.0 - - 54.2 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 108 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3318 - - 3691 - - 2097 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 547 - - 1719 - - 2507 - - 548 - - 547 Hcrit BL Top 563 - - 3865 - - 4238 - - 2645 - - 563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5188 - - 1664 - - 1955 - - 3731 - - 1035 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 247 - - 310 - - 104 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 340 - - 347 - - 345 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 13 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -798 - - 1456 - - 922 - - -472 - - -843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1361 - - 2409 - - 3316 - - 3117 - - 1406 sfcLCL ODpotential -1863 - - 470 - - -273 - - -1747 - - -2976 ODpotential blCL 2426 - - 3395 - - 4511 - - 4392 - - 3539 blCL maxRH 88 - - 85 - - 76 - - 77 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 50 - - 30 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 50.7 - - 54.0 - - 54.2 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 42.4 - - 41.7 - - 42.8 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 50.2 - - 53.3 - - 54.3 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 41.2 - - 39.9 - - 41.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 61 - - 108 - - -4 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3318 - - 3691 - - 2097 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 40 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95599 30 302 32 301 22 317 27 252 31 307 95599 88334 21 325 14 316 12 269 15 308 20 326 88334 82921 17 348 5 338 14 280 23 334 17 350 82921 78497 21 336 10 067 10 236 14 307 18 004 78497 74686 20 321 17 359 3 330 10 308 19 350 74686 71313 13 330 15 339 13 331 13 324 19 350 71313 68247 19 338 10 345 12 319 11 318 14 011 68247 65386 29 328 18 337 17 322 16 350 20 015 65386 62691 30 320 28 334 28 320 29 341 28 356 62691 60056 30 305 33 324 34 320 35 332 35 348 60056 57294 30 299 35 316 36 319 36 326 40 332 57294 54416 35 311 37 315 35 319 37 329 40 324 54416 51661 51 315 42 319 37 325 45 328 41 327 51661 49173 58 313 52 327 45 329 50 325 47 333 49173 46938 65 313 68 328 60 335 55 336 61 337 46938 44912 77 314 82 325 74 338 70 340 76 334 44912 43071 87 310 89 320 84 341 88 343 87 329 43071 41400 90 307 90 317 101 336 107 329 90 331 41400 39866 89 308 90 318 114 327 108 327 85 336 39866 38435 88 314 92 320 114 323 105 335 96 351 38435 37087 91 320 91 328 107 331 105 346 108 356 37087 35781 94 324 94 340 104 349 119 002 112 357 35781 34447 96 326 104 347 127 001 130 007 113 358 34447 33057 98 327 110 348 131 359 127 007 111 358 33057 31614 100 327 113 345 125 354 118 003 108 359 31614 30106 101 325 117 343 125 351 111 357 103 000 30106 28521 104 325 123 343 126 347 104 350 97 360 28521 26858 107 325 127 345 122 341 100 345 91 356 26858 25111 108 324 119 342 116 340 98 340 86 353 25111 23282 107 322 111 334 112 345 97 337 82 351 23282 21371 105 321 108 332 102 336 97 345 79 349 21371 19373 96 325 95 334 101 333 94 350 78 348 19373 17283 78 331 70 336 82 337 88 343 77 351 17283 15151 54 336 49 339 57 336 81 346 75 357 15151 13113 39 336 40 341 43 334 55 350 61 002 13113 11287 32 334 34 342 34 339 35 352 37 007 11287 9683 27 333 30 342 29 343 29 355 26 010 9683 8262 23 331 25 337 24 347 26 355 24 013 8262 7000 25 327 20 332 20 353 22 355 23 018 7000 5882 28 325 19 336 18 354 18 003 22 022 5882 4894 29 326 22 341 18*353 15 010 22 023 4894 4025 28 329 23*343 17*351 14 009 23 017 4025 3259 27 330 22*343 17 348 14*360 22 010 3259 2575 25 330 19 342 16 347 13*352 21 003 2575 1970 22 329 16 340 15 345 13 347 20 357 1970 1467 18 327 13 338 14 345 13 344 19 351 1467 1081 14 322 11 336 13 344 12 342 17 348 1081 816 9 314 10 335 12 344 11 341 12 344 816 655 6 305 9 335 11 343 9 339 9 340 655 563 2*267 7 333 8 342 7 338 4*331 563 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography