DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.8 - - 69.1 - - 74.9 - - 73.5 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 13 - - 17 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 308 - - 1146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 853 - - 1691 - - 562 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 377 - - 828 - - 1416 - - 2115 - - 776 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 84 - - 148 - - 23 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 083 - - 068 - - 086 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3278 - - -3167 - - -2192 - - -2258 - - -1298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3839 - - 4020 - - 3883 - - 2820 - - 1860 sfcLCL ODpotential -12584 - - -8769 - - -6314 - - -5745 - - -7414 ODpotential blCL 13145 - - 9622 - - 8005 - - 6307 - - 7976 blCL maxRH 44 - - 54 - - 78 - - 61 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 320 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.8 - - 69.1 - - 74.9 - - 73.5 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.6 - - 53.8 - - 59.9 - - 63.0 - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.3 - - 69.1 - - 74.8 - - 74.3 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 52.5 - - 58.6 - - 61.7 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 13 - - 17 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 308 - - 1146 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96679 6 072 14 093 5 093 11 049 7 058 96679 89527 7 089 13 054 10 094 3 060 11 031 89527 83972 5 062 4 054 9 353 14 023 16 031 83972 79366 9 020 12 032 12 005 11 000 17 009 79366 75430 17 357 15 352 18 346 13 339 16 331 75430 71980 24 350 16 351 24 346 15 338 15 336 71980 68864 28 330 27 337 27 327 26 340 23 335 68864 66016 25 296 30 330 26 319 29 318 27 319 66016 63369 24 295 35 315 34 309 33 310 23 296 63369 60780 34 297 38 298 40 296 39 295 42 303 60780 58071 46 292 45 289 45 290 52 292 52 290 58071 55240 58 289 50 283 56 281 67 283 54 283 55240 52515 65 284 53 283 61 273 65 275 62 279 52515 50059 67 275 58 284 59 274 63 271 69 277 50059 47856 68 274 66 279 63 277 66 272 69 272 47856 45859 75 272 72 272 70 274 67 272 65 267 45859 44031 77 267 73 266 72 269 69 273 66 266 44031 42349 74 263 70 264 70 263 74 266 71 260 42349 40797 69 264 67 265 68 262 71 259 70 256 40797 39353 67 267 65 266 65 261 66 257 68 257 39353 37994 67 268 63 266 62 257 64 259 64 256 37994 36675 66 266 61 266 60 256 61 259 61 252 36675 35325 62 265 60 264 58 257 60 259 59 251 35325 33917 56 266 59 261 56 260 56 259 55 253 33917 32454 52 265 58 263 56 264 51 258 54 256 32454 30922 52 264 55 265 56 265 47 261 53 259 30922 29309 53 264 50 267 54 261 52 263 53 260 29309 27615 51 268 48 265 49 258 51 265 46 260 27615 25840 46 272 48 261 47 260 44 266 42 257 25840 23985 43 267 46 269 41 261 37 263 33 251 23985 22049 39 266 41 275 36 264 32 262 28 260 22049 20029 31 271 36 266 31 260 28 268 22 258 20029 17919 25 272 31 272 24 260 25 267 19 262 17919 15765 22 278 27 269 24 274 20 270 16 276 15765 13690 18 290 20 281 22 279 15 286 11 281 13690 11806 17 302 15 290 15 284 13 302 10 283 11806 10132 13 322 12 285 12 284 12 313 10 306 10132 8644 11 352 10 339 10 299 11 317 13 330 8644 7320 9 020 11 018 8 337 10 329 15 351 7320 6145 11 031 13 026 7 024 9 346 14 008 6145 5106 13 027 14 028 11 038 8 013 12 015 5106 4192 16 027 16 032 15 044 10 032 10 016 4192 3386 17 028 18 037 18 044 12 036 9 021 3386 2667 17 032 18 042 19 046 12 038 9 027 2667 2033 16 039 16 047 16*053 11 049 10 039 2033 1506 13 053 13 056 13*063 10 066 13 058 1506 1102 12 079 9*071 11 068 9 080 13 073 1102 825 10 101 6*082 10 069 8 082 11 082 825 657 7 123 5 084 9 070 7*084 7*086 657 562 3*164 4 085 7 071 4*086 2*100 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography