DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 85.9 - - 85.2 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 94 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 597 - - 2171 - - 846 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 1406 - - 546 - - 546 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1143 - - 2717 - - 1392 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1328 - - 1749 - - 2598 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 257 - - 123 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 070 - - 310 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3343 - - -4033 - - -4971 - - -2444 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4487 - - 6750 - - 6363 - - 3006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10645 - - -10050 - - -10996 - - -10746 ODpotential blCL - - - 11788 - - 12767 - - 12388 - - 11308 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 43 - - 38 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 70 - - 270 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 85.9 - - 85.2 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.0 - - 58.5 - - 59.5 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 85.1 - - 85.4 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 57.2 - - 58.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 94 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 597 - - 2171 - - 846 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96751 22 309 29 284 32 286 21 325 96751 89562 4 253 17 276 14 303 7 001 89562 84066 5 199 10 284 4 002 1 080 84066 79540 2 234 6 258 1 254 3 026 79540 75637 1 107 3 216 3 241 5 304 75637 72176 2 341 2 312 0 202 5 295 72176 69053 3 333 7 288 5 265 7 301 69053 66199 5 328 8 295 6 286 7 311 66199 63556 11 296 11 293 10 299 10 313 63556 60997 14 284 13 280 13 289 12 281 60997 58328 16 283 18 283 17 290 15 271 58328 55561 16 269 22 270 22 279 21 277 55561 52913 17 276 23 266 27 275 26 279 52913 50511 21 271 24 259 28 259 26 260 50511 48336 21 270 20 262 23 253 24 251 48336 46339 27 257 25 266 27 249 29 242 46339 44503 35 249 32 249 31 238 32 233 44503 42818 46 246 42 242 39 242 35 236 42818 41260 50 238 47 239 45 233 40 239 41260 39803 48 234 44 231 43 224 43 230 39803 38428 47 236 43 232 39 226 45 225 38428 37097 46 238 42 234 39 227 46 224 37097 35741 46 238 42 236 40 228 44 225 35741 34329 47 243 42 239 40 229 42 227 34329 32861 46 249 40 244 38 231 39 227 32861 31321 41 247 35 242 36 230 36 223 31321 29697 37 242 32 239 36 228 35 220 29697 27990 35 239 31 240 34 228 34 217 27990 26202 34 234 31 239 33 229 33 218 26202 24332 31 232 31 238 33 230 32 221 24332 22381 27 234 29 234 33 234 30 226 22381 20340 24 235 26 230 31 237 28 232 20340 18206 22 233 24 228 23 235 21 234 18206 16026 15 246 19 235 16 236 12 227 16026 13924 8 248 11 239 7 225 6 195 13924 12007 6 236 7 233 4 219 4 148 12007 10300 8 259 7 256 2 295 4 110 10300 8782 7 278 5 276 2 355 5 088 8782 7432 4 260 3 233 2 043 5 081 7432 6236 4 223 4 208 1 088 3 074 6236 5182 4 212 4 196 1 109 2 035 5182 4254 4 198 3 174 1 087 3 036 4254 3437 3 168 3*129 3 044 5 036 3437 2707 3 122 4*094 4 022 6 019 2707 2061 5 099 4 074 5 346 8 011 2061 1523 7*091 4 068 6*327 9 358 1523 1112 6*089 4 062 6*314 8 339 1112 830 4 079 4 058 5 311 5 297 830 659 3 076 3 057 5 308 4*244 659 562 3 074 3 055 4 307 4*228 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography