DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.1 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 318 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1875 - - 2166 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1483 - - 1855 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2420 - - 2711 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 624 - - 930 - - - - - 1133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 363 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 270 - - - - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -147 - - -1322 - - - - - -1676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2567 - - 4033 - - - - - 2237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7727 - - -7576 - - - - - -11985 ODpotential blCL - - - 10147 - - 10287 - - - - - 12546 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 71 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 68.1 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 52.5 - - - - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 66.3 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 51.4 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 318 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1875 - - 2166 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98161 7 240 4 274 9 329 98161 90748 9 216 7 241 6 269 90748 85050 3 183 5 252 7 236 85050 80318 2 130 1 243 6 344 80318 76248 6 076 2 138 14 002 76248 72673 6 058 0 114 12 360 72673 69450 8 034 2 328 9 014 69450 66482 9 339 5 012 7 336 66482 63724 8 285 9 349 5 313 63724 61050 7 283 13 299 8 300 61050 58255 10 283 15 277 9 312 58255 55359 11 279 15 262 13 318 55359 52608 9 296 9 275 10 340 52608 50137 11 320 4 301 15 001 50137 47922 10 326 11 342 22 030 47922 45906 10 316 10 339 24 015 45906 44064 11 329 12 014 19 353 44064 42381 16 328 18 024 12 349 42381 40831 15 331 18 010 10 011 40831 39385 12 348 15 357 9 008 39385 38018 14 006 12 357 10 359 38018 36689 16 002 13 357 12 353 36689 35333 17 357 14 353 15 342 35333 33920 18 355 16 347 19 337 33920 32455 17 354 18 343 21 338 32455 30922 16 346 19 342 21 339 30922 29307 16 344 17 350 19 339 29307 27611 17 351 15 003 16 341 27611 25830 18 357 15 013 15 342 25830 23966 18 355 15 016 12 340 23966 22022 16 340 13 005 8 323 22022 19989 14 325 13 344 9 318 19989 17863 13 318 13 327 11 339 17863 15692 15 301 10 312 13 359 15692 13602 16 284 14 291 12 012 13602 11704 21 273 16 288 10 024 11704 10021 20 276 13 287 10 024 10021 8530 12 294 10 290 10 017 8530 7209 7 318 8 294 9 008 7209 6039 8 331 7 306 9 357 6039 5008 11 332 8 323 9 348 5008 4104 14 333 9 332 10 338 4104 3312 14 330 9*315 11 331 3312 2610 9*311 9*296 10 323 2610 1992 9*287 10 273 10 303 1992 1478 9 279 11 267 11 274 1478 1086 8 274 11 263 11 255 1086 817 8 272 11 262 10 245 817 654 8 270 10 261 9*239 654 561 7 270 8 260 6*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography