DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 55.1 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - 95 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2506 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1573 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 3050 - - 1680 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 1521 - - 1519 - - 3307 - - 1306 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 26 - - 261 - - 91 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 152 - - 251 - - 280 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4026 - - -3942 - - -300 - - -779 - - -357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4587 - - 4503 - - 3351 - - 2459 - - 917 sfcLCL ODpotential -15854 - - -11625 - - -5780 - - -1768 - - -2276 ODpotential blCL 16414 - - 12185 - - 8830 - - 3448 - - 2836 blCL maxRH 34 - - 51 - - 78 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 55.1 - - 60.0 - - 59.3 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 37.9 - - 47.5 - - 50.7 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.3 - - 55.1 - - 59.2 - - 59.2 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.6 - - 36.7 - - 46.4 - - 49.8 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - 95 - - 4 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2506 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 29 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 48 331 40 328 42 314 45 325 52 310 96012 89022 44 345 33 342 31 330 41 328 36 327 89022 83550 37 339 28 343 26 336 36 330 30 332 83550 78963 34 332 28 342 26 334 36 331 30 334 78963 75006 34 328 27 336 26 330 32 322 30 331 75006 71519 32 325 25 326 27 323 30 320 27 328 71519 68373 31 322 23 318 28 317 27 324 26 320 68373 65493 27 319 25 319 29 316 26 319 24 302 65493 62832 31 316 28 314 28 307 29 299 25 291 62832 60248 34 312 32 304 32 300 29 286 28 276 60248 57533 36 305 34 297 36 287 34 277 31 265 57533 54697 40 296 45 289 43 282 39 269 30 268 54697 51976 41 288 42 284 47 271 46 261 37 265 51976 49505 39 289 50 285 46 268 47 260 38 265 49505 47270 47 295 58 279 60 266 55 261 51 265 47270 45238 51 291 55 274 59 264 57 253 56 250 45238 43382 48 282 44 269 54 263 54 253 56 251 43382 41682 30 272 37 258 52 255 60 251 61 255 41682 40121 15 286 37 254 49 238 62 240 66 252 40121 38683 13 298 36 247 42 222 59 226 68 242 38683 37337 18 287 31 238 44 219 53 216 65 232 37337 36029 17 262 29 221 47 212 54 210 62 227 36029 34689 19 240 30 210 48 212 56 212 63 230 34689 33290 26 241 33 211 52 217 57 218 64 233 33290 31836 40 248 40 222 55 220 53 231 65 236 31836 30312 48 252 45 232 57 225 52 238 66 237 30312 28706 49 252 45 232 54 228 53 229 63 235 28706 27022 45 252 44 227 55 225 59 226 58 234 27022 25262 42 245 51 226 59 226 61 233 54 235 25262 23430 41 236 50 226 58 232 55 236 51 238 23430 21532 34 228 45 225 48 233 49 236 43 243 21532 19557 31 220 41 227 38 232 44 238 38 254 19557 17496 30 220 38 235 34 239 39 240 34 252 17496 15389 28 227 34 244 30 247 35 241 29 241 15389 13353 26 234 24 242 27 247 30 237 31 233 13353 11500 23 233 19 234 24 240 25 234 26 236 11500 9855 21 226 17 226 23 229 20 235 18 241 9855 8397 22 211 18 203 23 217 16 244 14 254 8397 7103 24 199 22 190 25 206 18 234 13 271 7103 5957 24 192 24 185 27 200 19 209 11 233 5957 4949 21 187 22 183 22 197 16 202 12 212 4949 4066 19 185 18 189 15 199 12 210 13 234 4066 3289 17 186 15 202 10*214 10 226 15 247 3289 2596 16 188 13 216 8*234 9 250 16 251 2596 1984 15 189 11 219 7 247 10*269 17 249 1984 1475 13 188 10 210 7 253 10*276 15 251 1475 1084 10 183 8 195 7 258 10 280 11 263 1084 816 6 169 5 181 6 260 10 282 7 283 816 653 3*115 3 173 6 262 9 284 4 298 653 560 3*038 1*152 5 262 6 285 2*309 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography