DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.1 - - 64.2 - - 63.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 37 - - 75 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 325 - - 1907 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 869 - - 2452 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 336 - - 1129 - - 1618 - - 3139 - - 1370 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 223 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 100 - - 056 - - 299 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1005 - - -1610 - - -1495 - - -2568 - - -677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1565 - - 2479 - - 3947 - - 3129 - - 1238 sfcLCL ODpotential -8927 - - -6690 - - -5631 - - -5829 - - -6463 ODpotential blCL 9487 - - 7559 - - 8083 - - 6390 - - 7024 blCL maxRH 83 - - 72 - - 64 - - 63 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.1 - - 64.2 - - 63.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.1 - - 47.7 - - 49.2 - - 51.6 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 55.8 - - 63.6 - - 63.4 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.8 - - 46.8 - - 47.9 - - 50.5 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 37 - - 75 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 325 - - 1907 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95926 44 312 50 311 46 299 55 312 51 295 95926 88868 31 322 28 323 31 308 39 315 41 316 88868 83434 29 330 22 335 26 313 33 314 30 320 83434 78926 28 328 22 318 24 319 26 321 22 314 78926 75021 23 339 19 316 21 320 25 338 16 323 75021 71559 21 329 20 306 25 327 25 337 18 328 71559 68436 22 311 25 306 36 318 28 320 21 324 68436 65567 21 308 27 300 32 298 25 290 21 292 65567 62886 21 295 20 288 23 297 22 304 20 292 62886 60270 28 282 24 308 34 306 37 315 29 315 60270 57546 29 298 38 306 47 291 53 286 41 289 57546 54726 51 294 44 294 39 277 39 259 38 266 54726 52009 48 279 39 285 27 269 23 279 31 281 52009 49530 35 274 33 301 32 299 37 298 40 287 49530 47299 37 302 40 305 45 300 50 291 45 291 47299 45271 48 299 44 293 52 293 51 288 47 292 45271 43410 53 293 52 285 54 283 48 285 47 288 43410 41693 56 285 55 276 55 274 48 278 46 286 41693 40104 57 268 54 269 54 269 48 273 42 287 40104 38629 43 257 46 260 53 265 46 273 38 288 38629 37254 23 261 33 253 47 264 42 275 35 292 37254 35941 32 308 28 275 40 266 40 280 37 296 35941 34616 40 310 31 300 37 277 46 281 38 298 34616 33247 40 298 38 307 41 287 50 279 38 294 33247 31830 32 286 42 306 40 290 43 276 38 289 31830 30345 29 295 36 300 39 284 41 273 38 288 30345 28779 29 305 32 292 34 269 41 273 36 293 28779 27130 29 305 30 281 37 269 41 275 33 297 27130 25396 27 305 30 283 39 275 41 270 30 297 25396 23580 28 304 34 292 35 276 35 260 28 293 23580 21682 31 309 32 291 28 278 32 261 27 293 21682 19697 31 322 23 288 25 273 33 275 29 293 19697 17621 21 325 16 284 21 281 29 293 31 298 17621 15502 17 296 17 285 23 302 25 311 28 305 15502 13460 19 284 21 301 24 318 23 324 23 305 13460 11601 19 288 22 312 23 331 22 334 21 317 11601 9948 20 300 20 317 21 341 19 347 20 342 9948 8479 20 320 17 327 19 350 15 001 16 360 8479 7174 14 343 14 341 16 357 13 015 12 015 7174 6017 9 350 11 001 12 007 11 025 9 028 6017 4996 7 357 8 035 9 029 10 034 9 033 4996 4100 7 007 8 054 7 056 9 035 8 021 4100 3314 9 009 8 052 7 064 7 022 6 353 3314 2614 10 004 8 047 6*062 5 001 4 339 2614 1996 11 003 8 050 5*058 5 337 5 351 1996 1483 10 002 7 055 5 058 5 316 7 001 1483 1089 7 007 5*064 4 056 5 309 5 005 1089 818 4 030 2*093 4 054 5 305 2 357 818 654 2*103 1 102 3 053 5*302 1*246 654 561 2*161 1 112 3 053 4*299 2*218 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography