DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 53.9 - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 25 - - 68 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 305 - - 972 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 849 - - 1516 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 344 - - 509 - - 679 - - 1288 - - 394 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 84 - - 171 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 059 - - 061 - - 075 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1009 - - -1412 - - -1281 - - -1442 - - -1162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1569 - - 2261 - - 2797 - - 2003 - - 1722 sfcLCL ODpotential -14096 - - -11590 - - -9444 - - -8830 - - -13424 ODpotential blCL 14656 - - 12439 - - 10960 - - 9391 - - 13984 blCL maxRH 73 - - 72 - - 71 - - 78 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 53.9 - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 46.3 - - 50.0 - - 51.0 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 53.8 - - 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 45.3 - - 48.9 - - 50.0 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 25 - - 68 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 305 - - 972 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 16 116 23 066 13 092 14 100 11 073 96262 89141 17 067 20 083 5 096 12 042 13 065 89141 83623 9 050 15 071 11 048 9 051 14 030 83623 79035 9 050 12 057 12 034 12 035 13 001 79035 75088 9 027 8 008 15 018 14 013 18 033 75088 71585 12 012 14 320 21 337 22 350 24 019 71585 68423 24 333 22 318 25 319 30 329 34 355 68423 65558 28 328 26 317 27 319 29 331 32 331 65558 62919 22 315 27 309 31 294 33 316 33 310 62919 60380 25 317 29 314 29 287 36 292 36 286 60380 57738 39 306 40 315 36 312 36 309 29 292 57738 54963 45 293 48 296 45 307 44 304 38 301 54963 52288 42 294 50 297 51 291 51 287 48 286 52288 49876 45 306 53 305 54 295 52 292 50 288 49876 47706 49 314 57 306 54 303 59 303 58 298 47706 45731 50 313 53 305 55 303 64 302 64 302 45731 43922 53 313 54 308 56 307 64 303 63 302 43922 42258 62 318 60 314 62 310 66 310 63 306 42258 40712 68 319 67 314 67 311 68 314 63 310 40712 39263 69 319 71 314 68 312 68 316 64 313 39263 37897 73 323 74 318 70 316 70 319 66 315 37897 36575 78 327 76 323 72 318 70 320 67 317 36575 35228 78 328 74 324 72 320 66 321 68 318 35228 33825 74 329 70 324 71 322 64 323 66 317 33825 32366 71 329 69 325 66 324 62 323 66 319 32366 30837 69 328 68 326 62 326 60 322 62 319 30837 29228 67 327 70 329 63 328 61 326 58 318 29228 27539 63 328 64 331 59 329 59 330 57 323 27539 25766 53 329 45 328 45 326 49 330 57 330 25766 23909 46 331 40 332 41 326 41 324 48 335 23909 21973 43 332 38 327 42 322 41 326 43 335 21973 19949 42 327 38 324 40 320 43 330 41 336 19949 17833 35 322 35 331 33 326 38 327 39 336 17833 15672 29 317 30 331 29 333 31 328 33 336 15672 13589 30 319 27 333 28 335 27 338 27 341 13589 11696 26 330 25 342 24 339 23 347 21 341 11696 10016 20 345 21 351 20 350 20 355 15 347 10016 8528 18 353 19 004 18 002 17 006 12 003 8528 7208 17 355 18 018 16 013 14 017 11 016 7208 6039 17 358 17 028 14 019 12 021 10 017 6039 5007 16 002 18 034 13 021 12 012 12 012 5007 4101 14 004 17 033 15 020 14 001 14 006 4101 3306 13 003 13 025 16 015 15 356 15 006 3306 2600 11 000 10 011 13 011 13 357 15 009 2600 1981 9 009 8 012 8*019 8 003 11 016 1981 1470 12 050 9 047 6*058 6 046 11 048 1470 1080 15 069 9*062 6 062 8 072 14 077 1080 814 13 074 7*062 6 063 7 076 13 089 814 652 10*068 5 059 6 063 6*076 9 090 652 560 3*048 4 055 5 062 4*075 2*085 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography