DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 61.5 - - 65.6 - - 62.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 215 - - 358 - - 203 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1366 - - 1424 - - 1177 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1149 - - 1339 - - 992 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1910 - - 1969 - - 1721 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 887 - - 450 - - 517 - - 551 - - 1063 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 271 - - 326 - - 253 - - 7 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 263 - - 264 - - 261 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -107 - - -356 - - -1280 - - -1200 - - -587 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 667 - - 2266 - - 3249 - - 2921 - - 1148 sfcLCL ODpotential -7142 - - -5617 - - -5941 - - -6998 - - -7894 ODpotential blCL 7702 - - 7527 - - 7910 - - 8719 - - 8455 blCL maxRH 98 - - 90 - - 79 - - 81 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 61.5 - - 65.6 - - 62.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.0 - - 53.6 - - 53.4 - - 52.0 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 60.1 - - 63.6 - - 61.4 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 53.0 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 215 - - 358 - - 203 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1366 - - 1424 - - 1177 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 60 - - 17 - - 25 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96813 28 305 29 292 40 282 46 299 54 305 96813 89579 27 315 24 307 28 290 32 300 35 306 89579 84092 23 310 18 309 22 315 24 315 23 319 84092 79565 18 305 12 328 18 310 26 329 20 333 79565 75642 15 313 11 347 12 315 22 332 22 334 75642 72163 12 319 13 332 14 330 15 335 19 329 72163 69005 13 323 10 321 10 308 12 319 17 306 69005 66079 12 303 5 304 8 279 10 289 14 279 66079 63335 15 290 12 262 17 265 20 278 16 271 63335 60653 27 263 23 273 26 259 27 263 25 281 60653 57839 34 258 34 271 28 267 32 262 32 270 57839 54905 40 258 43 271 39 275 37 268 34 272 54905 52102 43 260 46 264 44 270 39 279 34 288 52102 49593 39 259 41 259 46 271 50 281 47 289 49593 47364 33 271 38 263 50 269 53 277 51 281 47364 45353 39 278 39 263 48 267 49 274 48 275 45353 43519 41 278 35 268 40 265 43 280 41 281 43519 41837 39 282 34 280 36 278 45 294 45 297 41837 40294 38 284 37 287 40 289 57 299 55 308 40294 38865 39 277 35 292 43 295 63 300 66 313 38865 37518 35 274 34 295 44 298 59 300 66 312 37518 36211 32 274 34 300 44 299 54 299 61 309 36211 34878 31 282 33 303 42 300 53 299 53 305 34878 33491 26 289 29 306 40 302 50 305 47 304 33491 32051 21 293 25 308 38 303 39 303 42 309 32051 30541 20 298 23 307 35 304 35 299 33 311 30541 28951 19 299 22 305 31 302 32 300 28 308 28951 27280 18 300 20 306 26 298 29 299 29 302 27280 25528 20 299 18 312 21 293 26 297 29 299 25528 23692 19 298 15 312 18 293 24 295 26 299 23692 21776 11 298 13 297 16 294 21 291 21 297 21776 19773 10 266 10 291 11 288 20 286 19 293 19773 17684 9 250 7 276 8 271 17 282 17 293 17684 15558 5 232 7 250 9 258 11 279 13 289 15558 13508 4 207 6 237 10 259 11 286 11 272 13508 11640 6 224 7 229 9 262 11 299 9 272 11640 9979 12 216 7 228 7 250 9 294 8 284 9979 8504 13 207 7 214 6 222 7 266 8 290 8504 7193 8 194 7 199 6 199 7 234 8 284 7193 6031 4 158 5 192 6 192 8 226 8 277 6031 5005 4 120 4 199 4 206 8 240 10 276 5005 4104 4 097 3 223 3 247 7 268 11 293 4104 3313 2 039 3 278 4 293 8 300 11 315 3313 2609 5 325 6 294 6 287 10 294 12 320 2609 1991 7 315 7*276 9*272 13*271 12 303 1991 1477 7 287 8*265 10*265 14*263 12 276 1477 1086 7 264 8 264 11 264 14 262 12 256 1086 817 5 253 8 263 10 264 14 260 10 246 817 654 4 245 7 262 10 264 13 260 9*242 654 561 3*243 6 262 8 264 10 259 6*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography