DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 69.3 - - 66.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 45 - - -13 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 113 - - 1021 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 657 - - 1566 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 399 - - 1198 - - 1585 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 160 - - 18 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 066 - - 054 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3780 - - -3512 - - -3009 - - -1658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4437 - - 5078 - - 3570 - - 2218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12424 - - -9770 - - -8666 - - -11652 ODpotential blCL - - - 13081 - - 11336 - - 9227 - - 12212 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 47 - - 53 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 69.3 - - 66.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.5 - - 53.6 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 69.0 - - 67.7 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 48.2 - - 52.3 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 45 - - -13 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 113 - - 1021 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95618 52 296 44 305 53 298 45 290 95618 88671 27 302 25 308 38 307 31 295 88671 83343 18 312 16 311 28 308 24 314 83343 78892 17 320 17 322 17 309 19 314 78892 75017 16 304 19 316 14 330 18 323 75017 71579 12 287 16 297 18 317 20 322 71579 68468 8 282 16 290 17 300 21 314 68468 65609 15 297 23 293 18 291 25 304 65609 62957 16 272 27 271 24 293 35 288 62957 60389 16 296 27 282 31 281 35 268 60389 57698 30 308 30 288 30 303 29 292 57698 54892 47 297 48 283 46 295 41 292 54892 52202 48 282 51 277 48 280 43 292 52202 49766 43 278 46 277 45 279 49 286 49766 47576 40 280 44 276 44 283 48 277 47576 45592 36 283 40 277 42 282 42 274 45592 43782 35 282 42 278 43 272 42 269 43782 42134 36 271 39 265 42 255 47 267 42134 40620 36 266 37 259 41 248 49 260 40620 39205 32 268 37 261 38 257 43 259 39205 37864 28 262 40 265 40 265 39 257 37864 36559 27 259 39 273 38 267 36 257 36559 35224 29 267 36 276 33 264 30 257 35224 33831 33 277 33 270 28 256 25 256 33831 32383 29 288 23 256 22 247 23 259 32383 30863 29 296 17 278 19 272 23 271 30863 29261 27 305 24 303 26 294 29 285 29261 27575 32 313 34 302 33 299 31 285 27575 25805 38 308 37 297 36 295 31 279 25805 23953 33 303 35 295 36 292 33 281 23953 22021 27 290 28 292 31 292 31 283 22021 20003 18 288 27 285 29 292 27 287 20003 17895 20 275 27 278 28 287 25 290 17895 15740 20 272 24 271 25 284 20 284 15740 13660 18 267 21 268 22 278 16 270 13660 11768 14 268 17 263 19 260 17 255 11768 10087 7 256 12 255 18 261 17 263 10087 8598 4 256 8 250 13 266 9 270 8598 7276 4 305 5 264 6 265 3 253 7276 6103 4 329 1 298 2 234 3 175 6103 5066 3 346 1 079 3 140 5 145 5066 4155 2 004 3 092 4 125 5 135 4155 3353 2 020 3 091 3 111 4 122 3353 2639 2 039 4 088 4 079 3 097 2639 2011 3 050 5*086 6 072 5 096 2011 1489 6 090 5*077 9 071 10 101 1489 1090 8 097 5 066 9 067 15 094 1090 818 7*096 4 063 8 064 14 083 818 654 4*091 4 060 7 060 10 075 654 560 2 080 3 058 4*054 4*067 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography