DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Hollister 549ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.4 - - 80.2 - - 83.7 - - 82.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 352 - - 503 - - 297 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 118 - - 1146 - - 1132 - - 964 - - 287 BL Depth Hcrit 548 - - 1132 - - 1195 - - 961 - - 549 Hcrit BL Top 666 - - 1695 - - 1681 - - 1513 - - 836 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 308 - - 588 - - 520 - - 591 - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 298 - - 335 - - 266 - - 57 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 233 - - 260 - - 255 - - 258 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3520 - - -5850 - - -5738 - - -5416 - - -2839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4186 - - 7545 - - 7419 - - 6929 - - 3675 sfcLCL ODpotential -14786 - - -13698 - - -12427 - - -12490 - - -12762 ODpotential blCL 15452 - - 15393 - - 14108 - - 14003 - - 13598 blCL maxRH 57 - - 40 - - 43 - - 44 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.4 - - 80.2 - - 83.7 - - 82.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 49.8 - - 53.6 - - 54.4 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 78.3 - - 81.0 - - 80.5 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 54.3 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 352 - - 503 - - 297 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 118 - - 1146 - - 1132 - - 964 - - 287 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99003 33 108 34 104 31 106 36 101 33 111 99003 91563 34 105 32 106 29 110 33 105 31 108 91563 85818 35 107 33 118 26 108 27 106 26 103 85818 81061 26 113 31 112 20 119 19 094 22 106 81061 76967 19 113 23 110 19 117 17 104 19 104 76967 73346 17 117 16 112 17 106 16 095 14 100 73346 70080 19 113 13 115 9 112 12 083 13 104 70080 67090 11 114 13 121 12 140 7 083 12 089 67090 64317 10 126 7 091 8 115 6 084 7 096 64317 61627 10 104 6 184 4 225 6 351 7 047 61627 58845 5 031 9 136 9 194 9 257 4 319 58845 56000 12 295 7 291 8 261 11 247 10 276 56000 53309 21 278 21 281 20 272 21 263 22 271 53309 50899 33 269 32 269 33 268 34 268 30 270 50899 48743 40 265 39 264 37 263 39 264 36 266 48743 46778 44 265 41 263 38 260 39 260 38 263 46778 44962 44 264 42 261 37 258 37 257 37 260 44962 43269 43 260 41 257 37 257 35 255 35 258 43269 41684 42 259 40 254 35 255 32 253 32 255 41684 40193 40 257 39 252 34 253 30 251 29 251 40193 38784 38 255 38 250 33 251 28 248 28 248 38784 37419 35 254 37 249 33 249 28 243 28 243 37419 36029 34 253 37 248 33 248 30 243 30 242 36029 34584 35 251 40 245 38 246 33 247 31 244 34584 33085 37 248 43 243 41 247 35 250 30 247 33085 31518 37 246 41 244 37 248 34 251 30 250 31518 29868 36 248 36 247 32 251 31 253 29 249 29868 28133 35 251 33 251 27 254 27 255 26 249 28133 26313 31 257 28 255 22 251 23 255 24 251 26313 24410 25 262 23 259 18 254 19 258 20 255 24410 22429 20 264 20 265 16 258 17 265 17 264 22429 20364 18 272 17 273 15 267 16 276 14 272 20364 18212 15 279 15 278 15 276 15 283 12 279 18212 16016 16 277 16 282 15 280 14 283 11 282 16016 13900 18 279 17 283 16 284 14 281 11 277 13900 11973 20 282 16 285 15 291 14 287 9 272 11973 10258 18 283 14 289 12 294 13 293 8 270 10258 8736 13 290 11 296 10 297 11 300 8 269 8736 7383 12 309 11 311 10 309 12 307 9 276 7383 6185 13 322 11 322 10 318 13 310 14 285 6185 5128 15 328 12 330 9 325 14 311 16 290 5128 4202 17 334 13 335 10 332 16 318 17 291 4202 3391 18 338 14 334 13 328 18 324 16 305 3391 2669 19 340 12 331 13 324 17 321 16 319 2669 2035 15 336 10*321 11*294 15 307 16 318 2035 1507 9 316 8*268 14*259 14*279 15 300 1507 1104 6 264 9 259 14 254 14*261 13*274 1104 828 7*241 9 258 14 253 13 257 12*262 828 661 5*233 8 257 13 253 12 256 11 258 661 565 4 233 7 257 11 253 11 254 8 255 565 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography