DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 52.8 - - 58.3 - - 57.9 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 51 - - 82 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 565 - - 1265 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1109 - - 1809 - - 1184 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 375 - - 879 - - 786 - - 1541 - - 515 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 127 - - 199 - - 58 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 100 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 273 - - 092 - - 295 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -635 - - -108 - - -827 - - -791 - - -93 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1195 - - 1217 - - 2637 - - 1975 - - 653 sfcLCL ODpotential -6238 - - -4171 - - -4660 - - -4220 - - -5917 ODpotential blCL 6798 - - 5280 - - 6469 - - 5404 - - 6477 blCL maxRH 76 - - 91 - - 75 - - 76 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 52.8 - - 58.3 - - 57.9 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 49.6 - - 48.8 - - 51.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 52.3 - - 57.6 - - 58.2 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.4 - - 49.0 - - 47.5 - - 50.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 51 - - 82 - - 0 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 565 - - 1265 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 64 - - 1 - - 4 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96393 13 012 9 064 13 052 8 130 2 272 96393 89266 10 070 12 084 9 049 15 073 11 084 89266 83736 12 077 14 085 10 091 13 062 14 079 83736 79136 9 076 10 070 9 058 6 048 13 067 79136 75166 5 059 9 020 9 021 3 360 13 038 75166 71655 4 016 11 353 10 002 9 343 11 014 71655 68473 5 349 12 337 9 332 12 323 11 353 68473 65536 9 320 14 316 11 322 13 322 12 325 65536 62793 13 308 16 304 13 313 14 319 15 312 62793 60118 18 309 17 310 14 305 16 310 18 308 60118 57316 24 308 20 302 17 298 17 303 20 305 57316 54405 26 299 25 297 25 305 22 314 20 308 54405 51631 30 291 31 287 33 300 27 307 25 308 51631 49140 30 286 30 276 33 293 28 305 28 304 49140 46910 29 286 25 281 28 292 29 307 29 307 46910 44894 29 288 25 298 28 295 32 315 33 313 44894 43059 28 292 29 302 30 297 34 314 28 312 43059 41373 27 299 31 300 33 297 35 318 28 340 41373 39810 28 310 29 302 34 295 36 326 38 349 39810 38358 29 319 28 305 35 297 37 329 41 352 38358 37003 30 327 29 307 35 301 27 330 46 005 37003 35699 32 333 31 309 33 304 28 005 67 017 35699 34375 32 338 32 310 30 309 62 012 77 020 34375 33001 32 342 34 312 29 314 79 013 82 022 33001 31576 33 348 34 314 28 329 77 014 82 025 31576 30086 33 353 33 315 34 348 68 006 74 023 30086 28516 29 360 28 319 40 355 59 357 68 019 28516 26867 22 357 25 325 35 358 39 360 62 013 26867 25141 17 353 21 329 26 004 29 353 54 005 25141 23340 17 352 20 328 21 007 26 349 47 357 23340 21464 15 348 19 338 21 343 22 340 40 350 21464 19502 14 354 17 357 24 341 25 333 39 348 19502 17455 15 005 18 012 22 346 23 342 35 351 17455 15366 15 010 18 015 20 353 19 002 28 356 15366 13348 13 013 15 019 19 000 20 017 23 008 13348 11506 11 025 12 031 17 004 18 021 21 020 11506 9865 10 026 11 030 14 006 15 018 20 027 9865 8407 10 014 10 014 12 007 14 014 18 030 8407 7113 9 008 9 004 11 007 13 012 15 025 7113 5968 8 019 7 007 10 008 11 011 11 008 5968 4957 8 031 5 020 8 017 10 009 10 351 4957 4069 8 032 5 020 6 034 8 009 8 341 4069 3287 7 025 5 003 5 054 5 016 6 333 3287 2591 7 014 5 340 4 072 4 021 4 322 2591 1977 6 002 6 314 3*087 3 006 5 318 1977 1469 4 347 6*286 1*102 4*314 7 306 1469 1079 2 323 5*277 0 100 4*298 10 296 1079 813 0 317 4 272 0 072 4 295 9 285 813 652 1 142 3 272 0 015 4 293 6 270 652 560 1*151 3 270 0 023 3 292 4*256 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography