DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 72.2 - - 67.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 333 - - 242 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1013 - - 748 - - 278 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1034 - - 730 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1370 - - 1559 - - 1293 - - 823 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 619 - - 391 - - 415 - - 465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 286 - - 231 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 270 - - 264 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2675 - - -3179 - - -2677 - - -390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4045 - - 4738 - - 3971 - - 1213 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10062 - - -10098 - - -10718 - - -10869 ODpotential blCL - - - 11432 - - 11657 - - 12011 - - 11692 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 57 - - 65 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 72.2 - - 67.4 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 70.2 - - 65.8 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 51.4 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 150 - - 333 - - 242 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1013 - - 748 - - 278 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98603 4 111 6 038 5 049 9 030 98603 91108 10 127 10 093 6 076 8 079 91108 85351 17 124 13 101 6 089 12 084 85351 80595 19 103 14 101 14 097 13 077 80595 76521 18 093 13 094 18 094 14 079 76521 72938 15 089 9 103 15 087 16 085 72938 69699 13 094 8 107 12 087 15 080 69699 66718 11 098 5 134 8 068 11 076 66718 63946 5 125 6 198 2 306 8 057 63946 61252 5 155 9 207 8 238 5 307 61252 58431 4 222 10 243 10 246 10 262 58431 55489 15 247 14 247 17 243 16 241 55489 52669 21 253 19 246 22 246 20 244 52669 50128 27 258 23 252 23 256 20 252 50128 47861 33 262 26 263 25 266 20 267 47861 45816 38 262 31 264 32 270 23 273 45816 43961 40 265 36 266 38 266 27 271 43961 42273 44 273 37 273 38 271 29 268 42273 40727 47 281 43 285 44 276 33 276 40727 39290 49 284 46 288 47 275 38 277 39290 37935 46 286 41 289 40 278 35 280 37935 36617 39 287 36 287 32 284 30 282 36617 35271 31 284 32 293 29 288 28 288 35271 33868 24 281 25 292 26 294 25 290 33868 32410 22 279 22 290 22 296 21 289 32410 30883 18 276 19 292 18 300 16 290 30883 29276 9 275 14 287 15 298 12 295 29276 27588 4 298 7 278 11 292 11 296 27588 25817 4 327 5 273 6 281 7 294 25817 23965 2 348 3 247 4 254 5 281 23965 22036 2 296 2 223 3 231 3 225 22036 20022 4 254 2 210 3 190 3 138 20022 17918 3 256 3 163 4 140 3 114 17918 15768 2 237 4 177 5 146 4 163 15768 13691 5 229 6 204 4 160 3 191 13691 11798 6 270 6 232 1 196 2 281 11798 10113 6 293 6 249 1 186 2 281 10113 8616 5 296 5 234 3 169 3 191 8616 7288 4 288 4 223 4 171 6 180 7288 6112 3 287 5 218 3 196 4 175 6112 5071 2 320 5 223 2 264 1 197 5071 4155 2 004 4 239 4 307 3 331 4155 3349 3 023 5 262 7 314 8 326 3349 2631 3 011 7 274 10 296 11 326 2631 2000 2 326 10*274 13 281 10 312 2000 1480 3*278 11*271 12*269 9 274 1480 1087 4*274 11 270 12*264 9*252 1087 817 4 274 11 269 12 264 9*249 817 654 4 274 10 270 11 263 8 249 654 561 3 275 9 270 9 263 6 249 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography