DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.8 - - 67.7 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 292 - - 183 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2173 - - 2473 - - 1390 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1720 - - 2059 - - 1110 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2717 - - 3018 - - 1934 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 855 - - 982 - - 924 - - 1029 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 370 - - 260 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 287 - - 264 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -143 - - -856 - - -1284 - - -1087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2860 - - 3874 - - 3218 - - 1648 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7248 - - -6675 - - -7433 - - -8827 ODpotential blCL - - - 9965 - - 9693 - - 9367 - - 9388 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 79 - - 79 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.2 - - 69.8 - - 67.7 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 54.9 - - 55.6 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.0 - - 66.5 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 53.7 - - 54.8 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 292 - - 183 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2173 - - 2473 - - 1390 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 15 - - 17 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98093 17 250 16 249 20 265 23 288 98093 90578 14 256 22 267 15 283 13 276 90578 84798 9 264 19 263 14 277 15 285 84798 80019 9 262 13 266 16 278 19 293 80019 75931 11 277 14 291 17 292 16 301 75931 72353 13 284 18 288 17 295 16 308 72353 69130 14 293 16 287 16 292 17 305 69130 66155 13 302 18 293 18 296 18 303 66155 63377 13 298 17 289 23 301 19 311 63377 60679 15 287 17 292 22 300 21 323 60679 57870 12 306 16 292 17 293 21 309 57870 54969 17 357 13 327 15 300 20 302 54969 52221 22 357 17 354 13 334 14 319 52221 49770 22 355 22 357 18 357 19 353 49770 47603 24 011 23 009 21 010 18 358 47603 45664 25 017 26 017 25 014 16 011 45664 43900 26 025 25 032 22 020 20 011 43900 42265 31 041 29 046 21 036 23 009 42265 40735 39 048 34 045 24 041 23 012 40735 39293 43 048 35 044 27 042 23 016 39293 37927 41 049 33 040 28 042 23 019 37927 36600 37 052 30 036 26 037 20 023 36600 35245 31 046 26 033 24 031 18 024 35245 33833 27 038 25 028 23 030 19 021 33833 32369 24 035 23 018 21 029 19 023 32369 30836 22 033 18 016 19 019 18 026 30836 29223 22 032 17 021 17 004 15 021 29223 27533 23 036 17 026 16 002 14 012 27533 25764 23 043 17 036 16 009 15 012 25764 23915 21 046 17 040 15 019 16 017 23915 21986 20 043 15 037 16 030 16 025 21986 19972 22 043 15 047 16 045 16 044 19972 17867 24 048 18 062 17 058 15 059 17867 15718 20 051 18 066 14 067 13 068 15718 13644 16 048 13 058 11 063 9 065 13644 11759 12 042 12 048 11 046 8 042 11759 10083 9 036 11 039 13 038 11 028 10083 8592 8 033 10 032 12 035 13 027 8592 7265 8 017 8 026 9 029 12 028 7265 6084 8 014 7 024 7 021 9 021 6084 5044 6 022 5 032 8 021 7 008 5044 4134 4 021 4 016 9 009 8 009 4134 3337 2*357 4*329 8 338 9 342 3337 2628 2*326 5*307 8 316 11 330 2628 2005 2 321 6 290 11*274 10 312 2005 1487 3 319 7 285 12*266 10 286 1487 1091 3 317 7 284 12 264 9 259 1091 820 3 318 7 282 12 263 8 244 820 655 3 317 7 282 11 262 7*238 655 561 2 318 6 282 9 261 5*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography