DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.8 - - 68.7 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 433 - - 304 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1072 - - 1218 - - 1060 - - 558 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1000 - - 1229 - - 1035 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1617 - - 1763 - - 1605 - - 1102 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 374 - - 428 - - 361 - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 329 - - 278 - - 104 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 267 - - 264 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -441 - - -1998 - - -1800 - - -380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2058 - - 3761 - - 3405 - - 1482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12413 - - -12857 - - -13134 - - -13607 ODpotential blCL - - - 14030 - - 14620 - - 14739 - - 14709 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 75 - - 75 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.8 - - 68.7 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 56.3 - - 55.7 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 68.5 - - 66.9 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 55.7 - - 55.3 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 433 - - 304 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1072 - - 1218 - - 1060 - - 558 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98871 24 109 31 102 29 101 37 114 98871 91381 29 118 22 123 23 096 28 113 91381 85650 26 114 21 123 17 122 20 097 85650 80893 19 116 17 113 16 114 16 087 80893 76786 16 121 10 118 13 112 11 078 76786 73165 15 112 14 133 14 119 10 107 73165 69897 11 139 10 124 9 117 8 106 69897 66897 12 144 8 165 5 179 6 061 66897 64124 7 100 9 153 10 170 3 173 64124 61449 1 202 8 164 5 183 2 204 61449 58673 9 219 10 218 10 232 8 253 58673 55814 14 263 14 260 15 256 17 258 55814 53100 29 257 28 258 27 253 26 253 53100 50664 37 255 37 255 37 254 35 252 50664 48484 41 255 41 251 41 255 37 253 48484 46508 40 258 38 249 40 252 36 253 46508 44694 40 259 35 248 38 247 36 252 44694 43011 38 258 34 250 34 247 35 249 43011 41440 35 256 33 248 32 249 32 247 41440 39964 34 252 33 246 33 247 31 249 39964 38569 32 249 33 244 33 243 31 250 38569 37216 31 248 33 245 35 243 31 249 37216 35838 28 246 33 248 36 244 33 246 35838 34404 25 245 31 249 35 245 36 242 34404 32917 23 244 28 248 32 249 37 243 32917 31360 24 244 29 250 31 253 34 245 31360 29723 23 243 28 250 33 251 32 249 29723 28005 20 241 25 249 31 252 35 252 28005 26207 19 246 22 254 28 268 33 259 26207 24330 19 256 19 264 35 275 31 263 24330 22368 18 267 17 264 34 276 29 260 22368 20314 17 274 17 262 27 288 18 274 20314 18162 16 276 16 258 16 271 12 258 18162 15960 15 275 15 259 11 248 12 228 15960 13834 12 283 10 268 6 255 7 203 13834 11900 8 307 5 299 1 287 4 159 11900 10185 4 334 2 339 1 071 3 174 10185 8668 3 029 1 055 2 139 4 211 8668 7327 5 037 2 061 3 128 5 201 7327 6140 6 044 2 057 3 117 6 190 6140 5091 5 042 1 068 1 106 3 188 5091 4170 2 039 1 277 2 317 1 281 4170 3359 1 254 4 270 5 311 5 312 3359 2638 3 245 8 269 9 282 7 307 2638 2007 6*256 10*267 12*270 9 284 2007 1487 7*260 11*266 13*264 11*264 1487 1091 7 262 12 266 13 263 10*255 1091 820 7 264 11 267 13 263 10 254 820 655 6 264 11 267 12 264 9 253 655 561 6 265 9 267 9 264 7 253 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography