DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.8 - - 65.2 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 302 - - 173 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1526 - - 1589 - - 1110 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1254 - - 1423 - - 888 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2071 - - 2134 - - 1655 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 497 - - 582 - - 729 - - 934 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 323 - - 239 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 256 - - 252 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 372 - - -736 - - -1358 - - -1263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1699 - - 2870 - - 3013 - - 1824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 160 - - -5723 - - -6332 - - -8015 ODpotential blCL - - - 1911 - - 7857 - - 7987 - - 8576 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 80 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.8 - - 65.2 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 54.2 - - 54.0 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 62.9 - - 64.1 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 53.0 - - 53.0 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 302 - - 173 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1526 - - 1589 - - 1110 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 21 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98276 9 130 13 076 19 110 18 127 98276 90833 18 123 15 116 12 121 15 093 90833 85148 20 118 15 134 10 105 19 078 85148 80440 15 118 15 129 10 099 17 079 80440 76386 8 127 13 088 11 103 14 092 76386 72814 8 151 8 099 13 103 13 086 72814 69570 14 148 10 180 4 163 5 063 69570 66574 10 134 15 175 12 195 12 233 66574 63797 6 231 9 199 4 179 13 200 63797 61089 22 258 21 253 13 272 9 232 61089 58239 26 249 27 250 23 259 14 262 58239 55277 26 252 29 249 31 251 27 262 55277 52462 31 264 32 254 35 254 37 261 52462 49946 40 273 39 268 38 263 41 265 49946 47700 47 278 45 275 44 274 47 272 47700 45673 54 282 53 281 55 279 54 276 45673 43830 61 282 61 282 62 280 60 278 43830 42142 68 283 67 283 66 281 63 282 42142 40581 73 285 70 284 67 284 68 285 40581 39125 78 285 71 287 64 286 69 286 39125 37756 76 284 71 286 62 288 62 286 37756 36433 74 286 67 284 62 290 58 288 36433 35087 74 285 64 285 61 290 58 288 35087 33683 72 286 65 286 59 290 58 287 33683 32224 58 286 64 288 58 292 58 288 32224 30694 45 284 51 289 54 292 56 292 30694 29084 40 289 40 288 42 292 48 294 29084 27397 37 294 33 290 34 291 38 295 27397 25631 34 297 27 295 29 291 31 296 25631 23786 33 296 25 297 27 293 28 294 23786 21860 33 296 26 300 28 298 27 298 21860 19849 29 296 25 305 26 308 26 311 19849 17748 26 297 22 309 22 319 21 322 17748 15604 23 303 18 312 16 323 16 329 15604 13536 20 311 15 318 13 325 13 334 13536 11659 16 319 13 327 11 332 11 338 11659 9995 11 320 11 326 10 335 9 340 9995 8519 9 314 9 323 11 338 10 343 8519 7209 7 316 7 328 9 349 10 349 7209 6048 6 329 5 341 8 010 8 352 6048 5021 5 341 4 358 8 010 7 351 5021 4119 5 342 5 358 10 349 9 335 4119 3327 5 333 5 332 11 334 12 330 3327 2621 6*306 5*300 10 317 13 326 2621 1999 8*272 9*260 11*276 11 307 1999 1483 8 267 10 256 12*256 11 274 1483 1089 8 266 10 256 12 253 11 250 1089 819 8 265 10 256 11 251 10 240 819 655 7 265 9 256 11 251 9*236 655 561 6 264 8 256 9 250 6*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography