DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.3 - - 57.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 335 - - 185 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2834 - - 2791 - - 2070 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2176 - - 2329 - - 1592 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3378 - - 3335 - - 2614 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 875 - - 1107 - - 1485 - - 2542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 399 - - 297 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 272 - - 281 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 567 - - 34 - - -217 - - -1161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2812 - - 3301 - - 2831 - - 1721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 238 - - -3749 - - -956 - - -2007 ODpotential blCL - - - 3140 - - 7084 - - 3570 - - 2567 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 87 - - 90 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 60.3 - - 57.8 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 47.9 - - 47.5 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 47.0 - - 46.9 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 335 - - 185 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2834 - - 2791 - - 2070 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 48 - - 62 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97301 51 268 62 272 65 284 59 294 97301 89947 56 278 61 281 59 288 57 286 89947 84259 54 276 51 278 47 278 50 268 84259 79513 43 272 39 270 39 268 41 262 79513 75418 36 270 33 269 32 272 32 272 75418 71811 30 268 31 272 32 283 31 281 71811 68550 25 262 32 269 32 285 27 291 68550 65564 19 266 28 264 31 282 25 301 65564 62804 15 293 22 266 28 276 26 299 62804 60131 22 309 19 282 25 280 27 297 60131 57339 24 303 20 300 26 290 23 299 57339 54438 28 308 23 311 23 300 23 306 54438 51664 34 309 27 310 24 313 28 307 51664 49169 31 307 30 311 29 315 31 310 49169 46943 30 307 35 308 32 321 32 312 46943 44938 31 308 36 304 37 325 31 328 44938 43125 31 316 32 317 37 324 37 332 43125 41471 31 327 32 322 28 323 35 333 41471 39946 35 337 29 330 30 343 35 350 39946 38527 43 338 33 341 39 351 35 360 38527 37191 41 331 36 342 46 351 34 001 37191 35895 36 331 36 344 46 346 31 359 35895 34571 35 333 35 344 36 346 33 000 34571 33192 37 334 35 343 33 358 35 357 33192 31762 37 333 35 339 34 005 35 355 31762 30268 36 333 33 343 35 005 34 351 30268 28692 35 337 33 349 33 001 32 348 28692 27034 35 344 34 352 28 351 31 350 27034 25291 35 347 34 351 24 345 27 357 25291 23466 33 343 30 348 25 345 25 354 23466 21564 29 338 29 346 26 346 22 351 21564 19579 26 340 27 334 25 353 18 353 19579 17507 21 346 25 328 22 349 16 342 17507 15388 17 350 19 327 18 334 16 327 15388 13344 14 345 16 330 14 323 17 319 13344 11485 12 340 14 336 10 331 15 319 11485 9833 7 330 9 335 4 328 11 315 9833 8371 4 314 5 325 2 262 7 286 8371 7079 3 303 2 304 2 240 6 256 7079 5937 2 304 1 154 2 246 4 240 5937 4930 2 329 1 050 4 353 2 189 4930 4046 4*307 3*304 8 341 1 066 4046 3271 5*290 5*291 9*320 4 336 3271 2582 6 284 7 277 12*293 8 328 2582 1975 7 280 10 271 14 282 9 322 1975 1469 7 277 11 270 14 280 9 311 1469 1081 7 276 11 269 14 278 8 298 1081 815 6 274 11 269 14 277 7 286 815 653 6 274 10 268 13 276 6 276 653 560 5 274 8 269 10 275 4*266 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography