DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 71.9 - - 68.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 293 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1929 - - 3851 - - 2231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1565 - - 3094 - - 1621 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2473 - - 4396 - - 2776 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1173 - - 1635 - - 2379 - - 1327 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 428 - - 286 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 21 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 327 - - 284 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5998 - - -4731 - - -4802 - - -3564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8472 - - 9127 - - 7578 - - 4125 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14217 - - -11773 - - -11883 - - -11053 ODpotential blCL - - - 16690 - - 16169 - - 14659 - - 11614 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 49 - - 46 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.8 - - 71.9 - - 68.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.8 - - 33.8 - - 37.6 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.3 - - 70.0 - - 67.7 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 32.6 - - 36.5 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 293 - - 149 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1929 - - 3851 - - 2231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97331 51 268 64 271 59 277 61 282 97331 89999 57 274 56 267 56 279 47 276 89999 84330 53 274 47 269 46 275 39 272 84330 79593 40 271 33 271 34 273 35 272 79593 75522 26 270 28 277 23 272 22 273 75522 71949 21 282 22 281 18 278 15 274 71949 68728 16 279 19 264 21 289 16 300 68728 65777 17 289 17 267 22 294 19 312 65777 63048 21 305 19 289 20 293 20 313 63048 60397 21 306 23 298 21 296 21 316 60397 57620 23 308 26 308 26 308 25 320 57620 54740 30 313 27 318 26 311 27 318 54740 51991 32 317 27 315 26 316 29 324 51991 49506 30 317 28 307 29 312 31 319 49506 47265 29 320 27 308 27 308 31 312 47265 45226 32 324 27 318 25 308 30 296 45226 43370 33 322 30 320 26 316 27 289 43370 41675 35 321 32 321 32 322 24 308 41675 40126 33 323 33 323 39 321 37 332 40126 38700 32 325 35 323 37 313 43 317 38700 37366 31 329 31 320 32 312 43 307 37366 36073 30 333 25 323 34 315 40 308 36073 34752 30 335 25 333 36 316 38 310 34752 33372 30 336 29 337 36 317 36 312 33372 31938 29 338 30 336 33 316 31 308 31938 30434 27 339 29 336 28 315 28 306 30434 28848 27 338 29 341 25 314 25 305 28848 27182 26 340 26 342 22 318 21 301 27182 25433 27 341 24 343 21 325 19 303 25433 23602 27 338 24 346 21 331 17 311 23602 21690 25 332 24 346 18 338 15 316 21690 19691 23 324 22 338 16 335 13 312 19691 17603 21 319 19 330 16 326 14 316 17603 15472 17 318 16 323 17 327 14 328 15472 13420 14 332 12 320 15 329 12 341 13420 11556 13 348 10 330 12 334 11 349 11556 9903 11 350 10 340 10 345 10 354 9903 8439 10 347 8 348 4 005 5 352 8439 7144 9 013 4 020 3 160 3 197 7144 5998 9 021 4 048 4 153 4 164 5998 4987 6 014 3*015 2 120 3 105 4987 4097 4 357 3*352 3 344 3 042 4097 3313 3 358 3 342 5*319 5 348 3313 2613 2*340 4 330 7*302 9 342 2613 1997 2*318 4 323 9 287 11 340 1997 1482 2 312 4 317 9 283 11 331 1482 1089 2 308 4 316 9 280 9 313 1089 818 2 310 4 315 9 278 7 285 818 654 1 312 4 314 9 278 5*263 654 561 1 312 3 314 7 278 4*247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography