DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.3 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 410 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1028 - - 1046 - - - - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 936 - - 1096 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1573 - - 1592 - - - - - 831 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 346 - - 323 - - - - - 434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 307 - - - - - 79 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 271 - - - - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -403 - - -2391 - - - - - -547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1976 - - 3983 - - - - - 1378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9640 - - -9789 - - - - - -11705 ODpotential blCL - - - 11213 - - 11381 - - - - - 12536 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 69 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.3 - - - - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.5 - - 59.9 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 72.9 - - - - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 59.3 - - - - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 410 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1028 - - 1046 - - - - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 0 - - - - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98777 22 107 25 107 18 093 98777 91292 18 107 17 093 19 101 91292 85537 19 107 14 084 26 094 85537 80782 22 098 14 095 25 080 80782 76716 24 085 15 102 19 077 76716 73142 23 087 22 098 15 084 73142 69910 17 085 19 092 19 083 69910 66941 18 082 20 089 17 072 66941 64203 18 082 17 088 13 063 64203 61569 16 077 17 087 10 077 61569 58821 10 063 11 075 11 075 58821 55963 7 033 6 066 8 038 55963 53229 7 338 7 012 7 338 53229 50758 11 313 10 312 12 321 50758 48532 14 303 13 293 11 313 48532 46507 16 294 12 297 4 334 46507 44651 16 286 12 305 6 039 44651 42937 14 281 11 311 6 045 42937 41346 10 288 9 309 6 095 41346 39862 12 304 9 293 10 106 39862 38471 14 300 10 277 11 099 38471 37128 11 299 9 270 9 096 37128 35760 8 301 5 263 8 097 35760 34337 7 296 1 109 7 100 34337 32860 5 319 4 090 8 114 32860 31314 7 022 7 100 10 112 31314 29684 9 037 11 102 11 107 29684 27973 9 056 14 101 12 109 27973 26179 10 074 14 100 14 115 26179 24304 14 086 16 094 16 116 24304 22349 15 089 14 097 15 119 22349 20309 16 085 18 102 17 123 20309 18184 13 093 22 103 25 117 18184 16012 18 126 23 110 25 110 16012 13909 23 131 21 123 22 103 13909 11987 19 128 19 135 19 094 11987 10272 16 116 16 129 13 101 10272 8748 12 084 12 116 5 121 8748 7395 8 069 8 104 2 165 7395 6196 3 042 4 105 1 179 6196 5137 2 314 1 107 1 357 5137 4205 2 255 2 295 3 337 4205 3385 4 234 3 303 7 331 3385 2656 5 247 6 298 9 323 2656 2018 7*269 8*285 9 300 2018 1492 8*272 10*272 10 271 1492 1093 8 274 11 271 9*260 1093 821 8 275 11 271 8*257 821 655 7 275 10 270 8 256 655 561 6 276 8 270 6 257 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography