DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 347 - - 134 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1510 - - 1615 - - 1000 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1463 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2054 - - 2159 - - 1545 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 768 - - 815 - - 472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 334 - - 208 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 270 - - 264 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -875 - - -2932 - - -2967 - - -685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2929 - - 5091 - - 4512 - - 1246 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5849 - - -6514 - - -7957 - - -8410 ODpotential blCL - - - 7903 - - 8673 - - 9502 - - 8971 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 61 - - 59 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.4 - - 69.6 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 50.1 - - 51.8 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.3 - - 68.4 - - 68.7 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 49.8 - - 51.6 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 347 - - 134 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1510 - - 1615 - - 1000 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 7 098 7 197 9 194 8 240 98220 90851 4 098 1 171 5 162 2 243 90851 85180 2 061 1 085 4 022 3 160 85180 80481 3 123 5 354 7 027 6 034 80481 76440 15 110 1 350 6 015 7 049 76440 72881 8 046 7 108 4 067 5 060 72881 69668 8 152 0 273 5 030 5 060 69668 66712 4 158 2 274 3 289 3 280 66712 63970 10 229 13 264 14 271 7 278 63970 61309 10 243 13 246 17 268 11 297 61309 58530 12 273 13 261 21 270 20 278 58530 55657 23 284 18 273 21 276 23 291 55657 52911 30 275 23 281 30 280 25 297 52911 50420 30 274 29 288 29 292 34 306 50420 48169 30 289 36 296 36 303 39 303 48169 46114 42 297 43 295 45 300 43 304 46114 44216 47 292 45 295 44 298 44 310 44216 42459 44 286 44 299 39 309 48 321 42459 40834 41 291 43 299 38 320 49 326 40834 39326 41 305 42 310 43 331 47 344 39326 37913 36 313 39 328 50 346 57 006 37913 36552 27 337 47 337 58 356 67 013 36552 35177 49 354 50 345 56 355 76 016 35177 33759 57 351 58 008 52 010 84 016 33759 32297 57 358 70 020 66 024 86 017 32297 30770 66 008 75 017 73 021 79 020 30770 29164 76 011 78 007 72 016 75 023 29164 27477 80 011 80 006 70 012 68 019 27477 25706 79 010 78 009 70 008 62 018 25706 23852 75 009 69 010 66 004 60 016 23852 21917 73 008 65 010 62 007 58 013 21917 19898 68 007 61 007 59 014 55 016 19898 17790 54 005 58 005 50 018 48 019 17790 15640 37 003 43 005 37 017 39 018 15640 13573 27 357 27 010 25 023 30 024 13573 11698 19 354 22 016 18 039 22 039 11698 10036 15 358 19 016 16 047 16 053 10036 8557 14 358 15 014 15 041 14 059 8557 7242 13 358 15 014 14 027 14 050 7242 6075 11 007 15 015 14 018 15 028 6075 5044 12 024 15 014 14 006 15 016 5044 4139 12 032 14 006 16 350 16 006 4139 3342 9 022 12 347 16 338 18 357 3342 2632 6*342 10*330 14 327 19 349 2632 2007 7*279 9*281 12*299 16 343 2007 1488 7 274 10 270 12*270 10 324 1488 1091 7 274 10 267 12 264 8 268 1091 819 7 274 9 266 12 262 9 231 819 655 6 274 9 266 11 260 8*218 655 561 5 274 8 265 9 259 5*213 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography