DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 93.0 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 187 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1307 - - 7067 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 5323 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1853 - - 7613 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2012 - - 3124 - - - - - 290 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 449 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 231 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 13 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9160 - - -5937 - - - - - -5345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11013 - - 13551 - - - - - 5907 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15045 - - -10099 - - - - - -12374 ODpotential blCL - - - 16898 - - 17712 - - - - - 12936 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 31 - - - - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 93.0 - - - - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 35.0 - - - - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.3 - - 91.6 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 34.1 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 187 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1307 - - 7067 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97725 19 266 17 278 20 272 97725 90435 15 281 17 270 15 280 90435 84836 13 286 15 269 8 275 84836 80173 7 263 11 257 11 300 80173 76154 2 229 7 240 11 293 76154 72614 4 244 5 277 6 278 72614 69408 6 199 7 246 2 290 69408 66465 6 287 7 297 13 324 66465 63760 7 259 9 255 16 281 63760 61143 11 330 5 273 15 282 61143 58411 21 283 23 277 25 287 58411 55592 25 256 28 262 29 280 55592 52905 28 265 29 266 34 272 52905 50476 36 272 36 268 40 270 50476 48286 39 276 39 269 46 270 48286 46287 37 285 38 277 47 271 46287 44446 37 296 39 288 49 276 44446 42739 34 304 38 296 48 281 42739 41147 27 312 32 302 42 287 41147 39658 19 322 24 308 35 293 39658 38261 15 352 18 320 27 295 38261 36910 16 011 16 358 22 296 36910 35533 16 029 15 011 17 305 35533 34101 20 035 18 026 11 320 34101 32616 25 027 23 029 9 341 32616 31062 24 037 24 032 13 014 31062 29428 26 065 22 045 16 006 29428 27710 27 069 21 064 15 020 27710 25910 25 069 18 086 16 035 25910 24036 15 078 12 084 15 030 24036 22093 8 102 4 087 6 027 22093 20075 8 128 3 134 1 122 20075 17973 6 141 2 131 1 292 17973 15823 3 161 2 037 4 039 15823 13749 4 122 4 060 9 064 13749 11865 8 112 7 108 8 085 11865 10191 7 128 8 135 5 118 10191 8702 5 175 7*174 5 202 8702 7376 6 189 7*188 6 202 7376 6196 9 202 6 194 5 210 6196 5150 11 195 6 202 5 242 5150 4228 15 185 5 218 6 262 4228 3414 18 178 5 241 5 288 3414 2688 17 175 6 256 5 309 2688 2046 13*173 6 264 6 304 2046 1513 8*166 7 268 7 287 1513 1106 5 160 7 269 6 260 1106 827 5 157 7 271 6 225 827 658 4 155 7 271 5*192 658 562 3 155 6 272 4*183 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography