DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.6 - - 70.0 - - 77.1 - - 73.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 221 - - 311 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1122 - - 1472 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 981 - - 1334 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1667 - - 2017 - - 1293 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 351 - - 539 - - 674 - - 552 - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 255 - - 313 - - 187 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 264 - - 271 - - 254 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -292 - - -2231 - - -2980 - - -3212 - - -904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 853 - - 3898 - - 4997 - - 4505 - - 1465 sfcLCL ODpotential -11876 - - -11237 - - -10553 - - -11564 - - -11830 ODpotential blCL 12437 - - 12904 - - 12570 - - 12857 - - 12391 blCL maxRH 89 - - 70 - - 61 - - 60 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.6 - - 70.0 - - 77.1 - - 73.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 55.1 - - 57.2 - - 55.5 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 68.6 - - 75.1 - - 72.1 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 54.6 - - 56.8 - - 55.2 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 221 - - 311 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1122 - - 1472 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98234 5 122 6 068 5 135 6 238 6 014 98234 90827 2 151 6 113 5 144 2 184 2 338 90827 85112 5 228 1 151 3 065 4 151 5 165 85112 80370 4 169 6 154 1 187 2 156 6 147 80370 76290 4 128 7 144 0 339 5 089 7 131 76290 72694 4 040 9 110 4 109 5 045 9 092 72694 69456 8 067 10 085 8 115 4 092 10 070 69456 66500 13 080 11 116 8 083 10 071 11 067 66500 63773 8 059 10 065 9 098 4 082 10 068 63773 61131 8 122 4 064 6 357 8 080 9 056 61131 58379 7 030 7 072 4 189 5 303 6 352 58379 55537 12 335 13 344 7 055 1 141 1 201 55537 52833 10 324 11 330 13 343 9 357 7 060 52833 50414 12 353 10 024 11 357 11 001 9 023 50414 48258 22 001 18 026 12 037 7 024 7 011 48258 46298 23 000 21 015 16 036 9 032 9 009 46298 44492 22 358 22 359 20 011 16 007 14 001 44492 42812 22 357 20 349 19 351 20 353 16 359 42812 41242 25 351 19 346 21 342 24 347 19 353 41242 39772 27 340 24 346 24 342 25 340 23 349 39772 38389 25 327 24 322 28 331 24 334 25 339 38389 37053 24 321 24 313 29 319 26 325 27 328 37053 35695 25 322 24 320 26 310 29 323 30 325 35695 34280 28 326 23 326 24 311 30 319 31 321 34280 32810 30 331 21 327 24 313 30 315 32 316 32810 31268 30 332 20 329 25 321 31 320 33 314 31268 29641 27 330 21 330 27 327 33 328 33 316 29641 27926 25 326 23 326 26 326 32 331 33 322 27926 26126 25 316 24 322 28 316 29 329 30 326 26126 24240 26 313 26 315 29 318 29 325 26 329 24240 22274 27 317 27 314 27 320 28 327 20 335 22274 20223 25 322 24 317 25 318 23 334 15 334 20223 18084 21 324 19 319 21 319 18 335 14 338 18084 15906 15 318 12 316 15 318 15 327 14 338 15906 13805 13 297 9 307 10 311 12 314 12 326 13805 11889 12 291 7 309 8 309 11 317 11 324 11889 10186 12 275 4 290 5 305 8 330 8 338 10186 8675 13 261 5 265 4 261 4 319 6 343 8675 7338 12 257 5 254 4 249 2 304 4 345 7338 6155 8 251 4 218 4 235 1 341 3 353 6155 5110 5 232 5 206 3 234 3 041 3 003 5110 4191 4 239 6 206 2 255 6 037 4 033 4191 3382 4 302 4 218 1 324 7 012 7 019 3382 2659 6 318 2 286 3 317 8 342 10 001 2659 2024 5 326 3*286 4*288 7 314 11 348 2024 1497 3 310 3*264 7*273 9*261 7 320 1497 1095 4 246 3 263 7 270 10*255 7 253 1095 821 6 230 3 265 7 270 10 254 8 226 821 656 5*209 3 267 7 270 9 254 7*218 656 561 3*206 3 267 6 269 7 253 4*215 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography