DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 59.9 - - 69.2 - - 65.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - -6 - - 24 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 560 - - 1129 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 139 - - 243 - - 1117 - - 1390 - - 366 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 16 - - 113 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 069 - - 063 - - 036 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6877 - - -5423 - - -3603 - - -2512 - - -1076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7438 - - 5983 - - 4732 - - 3073 - - 1637 sfcLCL ODpotential -17845 - - -14254 - - -10416 - - -8523 - - -10850 ODpotential blCL 18406 - - 14814 - - 11545 - - 9084 - - 11411 blCL maxRH 21 - - 29 - - 74 - - 57 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 59.9 - - 69.2 - - 65.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.7 - - 36.6 - - 50.8 - - 54.2 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 61.1 - - 68.9 - - 66.4 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 35.6 - - 49.5 - - 53.0 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - -6 - - 24 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 584 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 45 088 21 065 32 039 36 053 29 070 96686 89605 41 095 35 079 29 064 27 061 28 072 89605 84086 37 085 34 080 27 078 26 068 28 074 84086 79463 35 072 26 077 22 073 27 058 28 064 79463 75484 26 062 23 062 20 064 20 057 26 063 75484 71965 20 071 21 055 16 058 16 052 27 053 71965 68778 21 068 19 061 14 036 20 029 29 043 68778 65859 23 044 16 061 12 028 21 023 28 030 65859 63167 22 023 20 046 15 041 18 026 22 020 63167 60568 19 004 22 025 19 030 19 019 21 017 60568 57859 19 356 23 011 23 010 23 009 25 010 57859 55049 21 351 25 356 24 355 25 349 26 356 55049 52369 21 341 23 347 23 343 24 341 24 347 52369 49949 20 334 21 343 19 327 22 322 21 332 49949 47764 22 328 21 329 19 312 22 309 20 318 47764 45767 19 328 19 318 18 291 20 297 20 299 45767 43924 18 312 17 313 17 285 19 293 19 292 43924 42209 17 293 18 304 17 294 17 291 17 296 42209 40611 13 286 17 297 17 298 16 288 19 294 40611 39129 18 296 15 300 14 312 12 277 17 288 39129 37754 22 298 17 306 17 315 12 312 15 303 37754 36438 23 303 20 299 19 299 19 329 17 330 36438 35103 23 308 20 302 17 296 22 316 21 330 35103 33713 23 313 20 308 17 303 21 309 23 326 33713 32268 23 309 19 305 17 290 19 305 21 320 32268 30752 23 297 19 299 17 283 19 300 17 309 30752 29153 24 290 20 291 16 285 19 296 16 307 29153 27473 23 291 22 290 17 287 19 287 18 303 27473 25709 21 289 20 289 16 287 18 287 17 301 25709 23864 18 280 17 280 16 288 16 291 16 300 23864 21941 19 262 12 284 13 285 14 289 14 307 21941 19934 17 245 13 264 12 286 12 302 15 312 19934 17837 17 253 18 259 15 288 15 307 16 317 17837 15692 14 264 18 272 18 290 18 307 16 312 15692 13621 12 269 15 300 17 306 18 317 16 320 13621 11731 10 257 10 323 12 321 14 329 13 340 11731 10052 7 249 4 320 6 312 10 335 10 360 10052 8565 3 243 2 309 3 294 5 335 7 008 8565 7249 2 072 1 015 1 342 3 016 6 019 7249 6082 5 072 1 357 3 014 5 037 8 027 6082 5049 5 076 2 316 4 011 6 031 7 023 5049 4141 3 076 2 300 4 007 5 022 6 010 4141 3342 2 061 2 297 4 007 5 018 7 355 3342 2630 3 042 1 320 3 009 4 021 7 352 2630 2004 3 039 1 090 2 042 4 045 6 001 2004 1485 3 053 3 098 4*076 6 062 5 032 1485 1089 5 083 6 099 4*070 6 061 5 057 1089 818 7 089 8 089 4 062 5 055 3 072 818 654 6*082 6 079 3 060 4 048 0*006 654 561 3*077 2*069 3 057 2*036 1*252 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography