DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.0 - - 54.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 44 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1673 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 4196 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2068 - - 1803 - - 4538 - - 3004 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 239 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 329 - - 320 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -823 - - 1546 - - -1196 - - -507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1383 - - 2650 - - 1756 - - 1067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1864 - - 739 - - -1586 - - -1305 ODpotential blCL - - - 2424 - - 3457 - - 2146 - - 1865 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 96 - - 99 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 70 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.0 - - 54.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 46.5 - - 48.8 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 55.6 - - 54.7 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 45.2 - - 47.9 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 44 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 85 - - 96 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 32 289 35 288 39 306 28 286 96358 89185 26 283 35 299 26 300 26 300 89185 83652 20 283 29 297 22 299 26 296 83652 79065 15 284 23 282 29 306 22 301 79065 75091 14 280 22 278 29 288 19 298 75091 71547 19 284 21 286 22 269 23 275 71547 68314 24 277 22 279 20 274 23 263 68314 65325 26 264 24 269 23 286 23 273 65325 62555 25 272 27 267 25 290 25 272 62555 59867 27 282 28 268 27 282 26 269 59867 57048 27 275 30 268 29 272 30 276 57048 54108 29 272 34 276 35 272 35 283 54108 51289 35 276 39 276 41 275 41 284 51289 48743 37 278 47 277 46 279 46 286 48743 46471 47 277 53 276 52 289 52 290 46471 44428 55 277 61 278 61 290 55 293 44428 42568 54 273 65 271 62 286 59 291 42568 40852 44 272 57 271 61 280 57 292 40852 39262 43 287 52 282 57 282 66 299 39262 37788 56 303 67 295 57 286 66 297 37788 36411 71 305 71 296 62 294 61 303 36411 35091 72 304 71 297 75 300 69 305 35091 33765 70 307 77 299 86 304 71 304 33765 32400 67 306 81 297 82 304 71 305 32400 30994 60 301 83 292 72 305 69 306 30994 29530 53 299 82 289 63 302 64 305 29530 27999 47 297 77 291 53 300 58 311 27999 26400 44 294 65 292 45 304 59 317 26400 24722 45 300 45 281 43 319 63 318 24722 22963 46 305 46 283 48 329 61 316 22963 21122 43 307 46 307 49 329 55 317 21122 19195 36 301 47 317 43 326 48 321 19195 17178 30 294 36 321 38 325 45 323 17178 15115 26 297 31 338 37 330 46 320 15115 13124 22 307 33 352 34 338 42 320 13124 11312 20 311 29 354 31 346 37 326 11312 9704 19 317 23 352 31 350 33 333 9704 8277 15 313 18 355 29 351 29 335 8277 7010 14 310 15 349 24 351 26 333 7010 5885 14 310 15 338 20 352 22 330 5885 4892 12 317 15*332 18 346 17 329 4892 4022 11 324 15*331 17 337 16 332 4022 3256 11 331 14 330 16 334 18 333 3256 2572 11 336 13 329 15 332 21 333 2572 1969 11 337 12 329 14 330 21 330 1969 1465 10 334 11 329 12 327 18 326 1465 1079 7 323 10 329 11 325 15 318 1079 813 4 293 10 329 9 323 11 305 813 652 2*267 9 328 7 322 8 295 652 560 2*261 7 328 5*320 4*272 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography