DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 51.8 - - 51.1 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 7 - - 12 - - -13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1826 - - 1063 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 543 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2369 - - 1607 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3446 - - 2927 - - 3978 - - 4790 - - 1994 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 119 - - 110 - - 18 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 303 - - 303 - - 258 - - 231 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 906 - - -2 - - -1026 - - -249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 1463 - - 1609 - - 1586 - - 809 sfcLCL ODpotential -307 - - 36 - - -738 - - -1674 - - -1677 ODpotential blCL 867 - - 2333 - - 2345 - - 2234 - - 2237 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 200 - - 200 - - 250 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 51.8 - - 51.1 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.0 - - 46.5 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 51.8 - - 51.1 - - 52.2 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.8 - - 46.1 - - 44.7 - - 45.3 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 7 - - 12 - - -13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1826 - - 1063 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 99 - - 102 - - 32 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 9 075 10 060 11 045 15 064 9 092 96539 89458 17 088 18 084 13 072 8 082 14 061 89458 83961 20 078 21 082 11 099 12 066 13 063 83961 79376 16 063 19 086 13 086 14 065 16 078 79376 75412 11 065 14 087 10 057 13 064 15 064 75412 71899 11 023 8 082 6 047 10 032 15 043 71899 68708 9 007 4 322 10 023 9 045 12 003 68708 65764 11 339 3 027 6 015 6 006 13 338 65764 63021 8 288 9 330 10 347 4 338 12 328 63021 60344 8 254 7 345 10 305 7 018 6 329 60344 57526 16 286 18 327 15 300 16 356 12 346 57526 54578 19 272 16 291 14 288 21 328 19 343 54578 51750 19 310 16 303 16 298 21 317 20 341 51750 49200 30 291 24 299 16 308 17 313 23 356 49200 46921 32 276 29 295 19 317 15 316 30 355 46921 44857 34 269 32 289 25 311 16 326 31 346 44857 42960 33 258 33 277 28 299 18 334 26 344 42960 41204 26 252 32 267 30 284 19 334 22 346 41204 39569 24 260 32 260 30 268 21 328 21 346 39569 38042 33 263 34 250 30 254 22 315 18 348 38042 36610 44 252 35 242 29 246 21 296 16 360 36610 35233 51 244 36 233 30 243 19 276 18 358 35233 33841 56 237 40 225 32 240 19 255 17 342 33841 32404 57 232 49 222 36 237 22 236 14 315 32404 30926 57 234 60 221 41 231 25 221 12 278 30926 29399 60 237 71 221 46 222 27 215 13 245 29399 27811 63 237 75 220 48 217 27 214 12 230 27811 26160 64 234 68 215 46 213 24 213 10 227 26160 24446 65 229 65 207 43 208 27 207 15 206 24446 22668 64 226 64 207 45 202 32 203 17 191 22668 20828 60 222 61 210 49 199 30 210 8 182 20828 18919 58 219 57 210 45 201 19 237 4 042 18919 16936 54 219 56 206 31 206 9 240 12 014 16936 14916 46 211 59 206 22 220 10 223 11 358 14916 12969 44 208 58 213 18 259 9 226 8 332 12969 11196 40 209 40 224 17 278 5 271 10 317 11196 9616 25 211 23 251 15 290 7 292 11 311 9616 8212 13 239 21 270 16 303 12 283 16 311 8212 6965 12 276 20 280 20 314 17 290 23 308 6965 5859 17 294 19 293 23 316 19 299 27 306 5859 4880 21 300 21 311 23 317 19 304 25 307 4880 4016 20 301 21 315 21 316 18 299 21 305 4016 3254 18 299 21 315 19 316 16 290 18 300 3254 2571 14 300 19*314 15 315 15 280 16 294 2571 1968 10 302 16*310 12*311 14 272 14 288 1968 1465 7 298 13 305 10*307 14 268 12 279 1465 1078 7 289 11 301 8 303 13 265 11 269 1078 813 6 279 10 298 7 301 11 263 9 259 813 652 5 273 8 296 6 300 8 260 7*242 652 560 3*268 6 295 5 298 5*258 4*231 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography