DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 64.1 - - 61.4 - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 1418 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 862 - - 1962 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 631 - - 785 - - 1954 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 181 - - 13 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 321 - - 282 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1757 - - -2187 - - -1882 - - -703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2619 - - 4149 - - 2444 - - 1263 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12609 - - -11681 - - -10970 - - -11570 ODpotential blCL - - - 13471 - - 13643 - - 11531 - - 12130 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 59 - - 63 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 64.1 - - 61.4 - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 48.2 - - 52.8 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 63.6 - - 62.3 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 47.0 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 1418 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96163 13 074 2 351 6 078 7 097 96163 89173 10 073 4 039 7 038 9 102 89173 83740 6 002 10 001 7 005 3 042 83740 79212 5 353 8 319 6 346 4 354 79212 75297 9 344 10 296 10 357 8 337 75297 71821 19 354 13 311 18 335 18 337 71821 68667 22 341 14 322 20 338 21 334 68667 65780 24 329 17 313 25 321 28 318 65780 63124 28 321 25 309 26 312 27 303 63124 60553 37 320 33 316 28 315 22 306 60553 57854 42 316 43 314 33 307 30 306 57854 55044 46 316 53 301 42 300 40 299 55044 52364 55 315 61 297 48 302 43 300 52364 49952 62 307 67 300 67 298 62 298 49952 47782 61 301 66 296 67 292 66 294 47782 45813 60 298 60 293 66 289 66 290 45813 44017 58 294 57 297 57 290 63 290 44017 42361 55 295 54 299 50 292 58 287 42361 40821 59 300 54 295 48 287 56 281 40821 39377 64 300 56 292 50 287 56 277 39377 38008 63 298 57 292 55 279 58 271 38008 36675 61 297 54 292 59 275 59 270 36675 35310 57 296 53 289 59 274 62 265 35310 33886 55 295 54 286 58 275 64 261 33886 32409 58 292 58 285 55 276 60 263 32409 30866 62 292 60 286 57 277 55 265 30866 29247 63 294 58 286 60 279 56 270 29247 27549 60 296 57 287 60 280 54 273 27549 25771 58 296 56 288 56 281 50 272 25771 23914 58 296 56 290 51 281 51 270 23914 21978 55 298 53 290 50 280 53 274 21978 19956 48 300 45 291 47 281 52 280 19956 17844 42 299 38 289 43 281 48 281 17844 15689 41 297 39 289 41 284 44 279 15689 13607 40 296 40 293 40 290 42 283 13607 11710 33 297 36 296 39 295 37 291 11710 10027 25 298 28 294 32 296 30 292 10027 8537 20 300 21 293 25 293 23 286 8537 7220 15 302 17 295 19 287 19 280 7220 6054 12 299 13 298 15 292 16 269 6054 5022 11 308 10 315 11 299 11 259 5022 4117 10 325 9 340 7 322 6 258 4117 3322 8 336 8 353 6 355 4 282 3322 2616 5 336 8 355 5 000 4 301 2616 1997 3 337 5*347 4 343 4 315 1997 1482 2 036 4*328 5 308 4 315 1482 1088 4*066 4 323 5 295 3 304 1088 817 3*053 3 318 5 288 3 269 817 654 2 042 3 317 5 285 3 235 654 560 2 035 3 318 3*282 2*216 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography