DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.1 - - 76.7 - - 84.6 - - 85.4 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 25 - - 74 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 1793 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 926 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 892 - - 2339 - - 562 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 257 - - 998 - - 1755 - - 3956 - - 338 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 99 - - 228 - - 27 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 18 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 091 - - 030 - - 037 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5747 - - -4588 - - -4896 - - -6289 - - -2773 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6308 - - 5480 - - 7235 - - 6851 - - 3335 sfcLCL ODpotential -18090 - - -13651 - - -13168 - - -12953 - - -12502 ODpotential blCL 18651 - - 14543 - - 15507 - - 13515 - - 13064 blCL maxRH 30 - - 43 - - 36 - - 35 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.1 - - 76.7 - - 84.6 - - 85.4 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 55.1 - - 55.1 - - 57.5 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 76.6 - - 83.9 - - 85.7 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 53.8 - - 53.8 - - 56.2 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 25 - - 74 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 1793 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96735 20 252 23 285 21 289 23 278 15 246 96735 89513 4 123 1 102 12 238 12 270 4 298 89513 83997 12 110 4 150 9 179 2 253 2 037 83997 79427 14 087 10 124 9 178 4 235 9 042 79427 75498 10 084 14 110 7 151 10 191 1 043 75498 72049 1 071 14 103 9 112 10 147 9 190 72049 68942 4 214 9 088 7 089 11 105 8 148 68942 66088 4 083 4 031 7 036 9 083 5 063 66088 63446 9 023 1 243 7 335 7 037 5 359 63446 60895 9 007 2 097 5 274 8 350 8 331 60895 58235 4 337 6 336 6 268 7 319 8 340 58235 55464 3 277 10 307 6 283 9 267 11 275 55464 52807 12 297 16 322 13 320 9 290 13 249 52807 50408 21 279 22 273 21 289 18 287 13 282 50408 48260 18 261 29 263 30 266 26 261 26 273 48260 46325 12 270 22 274 27 260 25 249 28 263 46325 44558 17 274 16 299 14 269 16 257 19 256 44558 42923 23 281 21 298 14 296 17 287 12 264 42923 41390 24 279 28 291 20 292 22 280 15 272 41390 39944 26 270 30 278 24 272 25 266 20 259 39944 38571 25 257 29 271 26 266 27 256 28 250 38571 37235 23 252 28 267 25 266 26 257 31 244 37235 35869 24 268 28 265 26 263 25 266 25 247 35869 34445 25 287 27 269 26 260 25 268 22 256 34445 32964 24 291 25 279 24 266 25 272 23 262 32964 31413 19 289 23 287 23 278 26 277 26 259 31413 29777 17 287 17 279 18 266 23 275 27 252 29777 28057 20 275 19 268 20 250 23 257 23 257 28057 26252 22 273 24 267 24 261 25 261 20 258 26252 24362 17 276 23 276 23 275 27 275 20 269 24362 22396 15 284 18 284 16 290 18 278 16 265 22396 20348 13 295 12 278 11 278 12 267 12 236 20348 18209 12 308 9 289 8 268 10 256 14 228 18209 16018 9 333 3 321 5 192 9 201 16 216 16018 13899 4 051 4 160 9 190 12 190 16 212 13899 11971 4 182 6 187 12 204 12 207 14 218 11971 10261 5 179 8 182 12 218 11 220 9 227 10261 8751 2 146 8 170 11 219 10 224 7 239 8751 7411 5 059 7 154 9 211 9 222 8 243 7411 6224 8 048 6 143 8 203 8 213 7 234 6224 5174 8 052 5 136 7 195 7 189 6 219 5174 4248 7 051 5 131 5 183 6 161 5 199 4248 3432 7 050 4 128 4 169 4 126 2 177 3432 2703 7 059 5 125 2*130 4 082 2 073 2703 2059 9 072 6 122 2*052 5 060 4 072 2059 1523 10 080 8 115 2 033 5 054 5 065 1523 1112 10 086 8*106 3 027 5 047 4 047 1112 830 8 087 5*095 3 022 4 043 2 011 830 659 5 080 4 089 2 019 4 039 2*309 659 562 2*065 3 086 2 020 3*037 2*274 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography