DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.0 - - 57.5 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 55 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 327 - - 1211 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 871 - - 1756 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1360 - - 1778 - - 2230 - - 1174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 170 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 238 - - 240 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -628 - - 224 - - -252 - - -23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1499 - - 1532 - - 812 - - 583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1993 - - -118 - - -662 - - -1458 ODpotential blCL - - - 2864 - - 1874 - - 1222 - - 2018 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.0 - - 57.5 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 54.3 - - 55.9 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 58.6 - - 57.8 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 53.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 55 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 327 - - 1211 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 99 - - 97 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 12 118 7 265 5 010 6 057 96351 89274 3 071 8 316 8 041 9 062 89274 83775 7 292 7 328 7 002 8 329 83775 79219 3 032 5 301 5 284 6 304 79219 75287 17 338 10 325 10 319 15 337 75287 71813 20 334 18 316 16 317 21 315 71813 68684 26 334 27 325 24 336 21 340 68684 65800 32 323 32 315 36 326 31 336 65800 63121 33 313 32 311 35 312 35 310 63121 60538 34 314 32 312 37 309 38 300 60538 57843 37 307 43 307 41 295 42 292 57843 55020 44 286 40 289 42 287 41 288 55020 52295 53 270 37 286 38 291 47 304 52295 49831 44 272 64 310 68 304 80 305 49831 47629 80 301 95 303 96 298 97 296 47629 45637 87 293 89 291 94 289 93 289 45637 43814 78 282 76 283 83 282 81 284 43814 42138 67 280 66 277 70 280 68 284 42138 40586 62 285 62 279 62 289 62 290 40586 39139 61 287 65 292 66 297 65 297 39139 37778 63 289 69 290 64 290 64 294 37778 36457 68 293 70 283 66 283 66 285 36457 35104 69 294 72 282 69 280 71 285 35104 33690 66 286 73 288 72 282 76 288 33690 32220 62 276 68 288 66 284 76 291 32220 30682 62 277 63 284 61 281 68 284 30682 29067 62 281 61 281 63 280 62 271 29067 27376 63 283 60 285 63 281 63 272 27376 25602 63 284 57 291 59 280 61 280 25602 23747 62 285 57 289 45 278 55 285 23747 21816 59 283 58 280 46 285 50 286 21816 19802 59 279 54 276 52 279 54 280 19802 17699 56 278 51 278 52 276 52 279 17699 15555 49 277 48 283 46 283 45 281 15555 13494 42 276 43 282 40 290 38 282 13494 11621 39 275 36 281 35 289 32 286 11621 9956 37 274 30 287 31 288 30 288 9956 8475 34 273 27 299 27 297 30 297 8475 7161 26 277 27 313 24 310 29 304 7161 6000 18 287 24 320 24 315 27 303 6000 4977 11 312 18 319 23 314 25 298 4977 4083 11 309 14 310 17 307 19 287 4083 3301 13 298 11 300 14 288 15 272 3301 2604 13 287 8 286 13 276 13 261 2604 1989 12 287 6*271 11 266 11 258 1989 1478 9 282 5*242 9 251 10 251 1478 1086 6*277 5 238 8 242 9 234 1086 817 2*286 5 236 7 240 7 221 817 654 1 299 4 237 6 240 6 204 654 560 1 305 4 235 4*240 4*190 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography