DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 57.3 - - 59.7 - - 58.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 139 - - 218 - - 151 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 594 - - 2551 - - 2757 - - 2146 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1814 - - 2163 - - 1569 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 1138 - - 3095 - - 3301 - - 2690 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1936 - - 995 - - 1059 - - 938 - - 1824 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 293 - - 348 - - 284 - - 10 W* B/S 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 268 - - 279 - - 279 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -313 - - 630 - - 478 - - -64 - - -1179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1451 - - 2465 - - 2824 - - 2754 - - 1739 sfcLCL ODpotential -643 - - 478 - - -13 - - -4222 - - -4472 ODpotential blCL 1781 - - 2617 - - 3314 - - 6912 - - 5032 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 95 - - 86 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 57.3 - - 59.7 - - 58.8 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 - - 48.7 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 56.2 - - 58.3 - - 57.8 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 47.5 - - 48.1 - - 47.7 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 139 - - 218 - - 151 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 594 - - 2551 - - 2757 - - 2146 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 91 - - 81 - - 45 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98114 24 252 28 264 24 279 22 279 18 272 98114 90636 11 305 14 249 13 255 14 274 13 275 90636 84894 7 334 2 116 6 281 11 283 5 337 84894 80171 10 058 7 108 3 346 1 343 8 063 80171 76138 12 095 12 100 6 117 6 099 5 079 76138 72583 7 133 7 080 9 129 6 130 4 151 72583 69363 9 147 4 192 13 170 7 214 5 197 69363 66384 9 186 7 233 14 195 12 227 9 218 66384 63602 19 214 17 228 19 221 22 229 18 229 63602 60888 23 224 23 222 22 221 26 220 24 225 60888 58043 27 234 25 229 25 229 26 224 23 234 58043 55071 36 240 34 233 32 233 30 227 27 235 55071 52202 41 241 41 233 36 233 30 240 28 246 52202 49606 41 239 41 236 37 239 32 252 28 253 49606 47291 38 234 40 235 35 240 32 247 25 254 47291 45209 34 229 36 231 31 239 29 241 23 249 45209 43309 30 227 31 231 27 239 20 246 16 249 43309 41558 26 224 25 228 21 231 16 259 10 291 41558 39943 26 224 20 228 12 219 12 281 9 340 39943 38450 29 220 15 221 4 174 8 293 17 006 38450 37064 27 203 12 182 5 101 7 011 24 009 37064 35734 21 193 12 132 12 072 16 044 25 020 35734 34389 19 186 14 117 17 062 24 044 28 028 34389 33000 17 171 17 118 18 062 30 043 34 029 33000 31572 16 151 19 121 18 067 33 043 39 026 31572 30082 16 147 19 121 18 067 32 041 37 027 30082 28514 18 153 18 118 16 066 28 042 31 035 28514 26867 18 164 14 119 14 059 22 046 27 038 26867 25140 13 165 8 122 13 053 17 045 23 045 25140 23330 10 159 6 129 8 063 12 037 21 047 23330 21440 10 167 6 171 0 253 9 021 17 036 21440 19468 8 170 7 193 6 245 4 335 11 014 19468 17414 8 168 6 203 9 245 3 254 6 310 17414 15320 7 185 6 230 8 241 7 225 6 277 15320 13296 6 236 6 247 7 236 8 222 5 279 13296 11451 10 267 7 257 6 237 8 219 5 260 11451 9811 9 269 9 257 7 245 8 219 5 247 9811 8358 8 256 10 246 8 232 7 224 4 240 8358 7072 9 241 9 237 9 228 6 228 2 183 7072 5934 9 230 9 229 9 214 6 203 3 162 5934 4930 10 203 10 204 9 200 6 190 1 071 4930 4048 11 201 9 204 7*223 5 224 4 352 4048 3272 10 227 7*223 6*251 7*270 6 315 3272 2581 9 242 6*248 9 276 11*279 11 291 2581 1973 8 252 6 265 10 281 12 279 15 285 1973 1468 5*261 6 271 10 283 13 279 14 279 1468 1080 3*272 6 275 10 284 12 279 12 274 1080 814 1 271 6 278 10 285 12 279 10 270 814 652 1 271 6 279 9 285 11 279 8 268 652 560 1 266 5 279 8 286 9 279 4*263 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography