DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 72 - - 194 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 757 - - 1972 - - 721 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1539 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1301 - - 2517 - - 1265 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 166 - - 1036 - - 852 - - 1057 - - 641 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 159 - - 296 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 256 - - 271 - - 291 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -971 - - -2113 - - -1521 - - -1494 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1531 - - 3414 - - 4038 - - 2759 - - 561 sfcLCL ODpotential -11713 - - -9660 - - -7807 - - -9602 - - -9284 ODpotential blCL 12273 - - 10961 - - 10324 - - 10867 - - 9845 blCL maxRH 69 - - 64 - - 73 - - 72 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - 61.9 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 50.8 - - 52.1 - - 51.8 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 63.0 - - 66.3 - - 61.8 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.7 - - 49.9 - - 51.5 - - 51.4 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 72 - - 194 - - 25 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 757 - - 1972 - - 721 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96800 27 286 22 305 23 293 25 288 27 306 96800 89679 21 297 16 313 16 284 16 292 18 302 89679 84166 14 301 11 297 17 283 13 304 9 305 84166 79559 12 263 6 235 17 275 12 299 10 300 79559 75583 9 264 10 248 15 262 13 285 11 306 75583 72074 15 269 14 264 17 262 16 264 16 283 72074 68889 14 296 15 271 17 268 14 270 15 266 68889 65962 20 290 17 268 21 264 18 270 18 260 65962 63259 26 275 23 255 28 257 25 265 24 259 63259 60647 33 268 32 259 35 258 36 261 32 258 60647 57910 39 267 42 258 42 256 42 253 38 249 57910 55053 47 267 48 259 47 251 49 247 47 244 55053 52315 53 262 52 256 53 250 55 245 54 242 52315 49857 58 255 56 253 57 249 57 246 58 245 49857 47670 61 253 60 251 61 249 59 247 60 250 47670 45698 62 256 61 250 62 250 60 249 61 254 45698 43894 59 257 59 250 59 250 59 251 66 254 43894 42229 51 257 53 250 53 249 56 252 64 249 42229 40687 42 259 45 252 47 253 51 256 54 245 40687 39248 38 261 39 256 43 258 48 261 46 248 39248 37891 37 262 34 251 40 261 47 259 47 253 37891 36575 35 258 31 247 40 260 47 257 49 257 36575 35231 32 257 31 239 39 257 47 259 48 259 35231 33829 31 258 32 233 37 253 46 258 47 261 33829 32371 32 257 32 240 36 252 44 256 46 262 32371 30841 32 258 32 244 36 252 43 256 45 261 30841 29227 32 263 33 246 35 250 43 254 44 257 29227 27529 33 262 34 251 35 248 43 253 43 255 27529 25746 35 256 34 251 36 248 42 249 43 254 25746 23879 31 254 31 247 36 246 40 245 43 247 23879 21932 30 251 34 243 39 242 41 242 42 241 21932 19908 33 247 36 243 38 239 43 240 44 239 19908 17801 33 244 34 244 40 238 42 240 43 237 17801 15650 30 245 32 244 38 238 37 238 38 233 15650 13573 27 244 29 242 31 237 30 232 34 227 13573 11681 23 234 26 235 27 226 27 222 32 220 11681 10002 20 224 22 228 25 216 26 215 30 212 10002 8516 18 221 20 222 22 212 26 210 30 205 8516 7200 17 224 18 220 20 209 25 203 30 200 7200 6036 14 223 16 214 18 204 23 194 29 197 6036 5010 11 210 14 199 17 195 21 183 25 198 5010 4112 9 200 14 187 15 186 18 177 20 199 4112 3321 7 201 12 187 11 186 12 187 15 198 3321 2617 4 207 9 200 6*236 9 243 12 200 2617 1997 2 214 7 222 8*266 11 278 8 209 1997 1481 1 218 5*232 8 270 11*285 4 225 1481 1087 1 190 4*245 8 273 11*289 3 299 1087 818 1 118 3 259 8 274 10 291 4 334 818 654 2 092 3 262 8 275 9 292 3*001 654 561 2*084 2 265 7 275 6 293 1*029 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography