DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 57.7 - - - - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 49 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3825 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1998 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 4369 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4477 - - 2666 - - - - - 3272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 253 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 20 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 206 - - - - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1183 - - 1026 - - - - - -381 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1743 - - 3343 - - - - - 941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1659 - - 29 - - - - - -1297 ODpotential blCL - - - 2219 - - 4340 - - - - - 1857 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 170 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 57.7 - - - - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 45.1 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 57.5 - - - - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 43.9 - - - - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 49 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3825 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 91 - - - - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96606 25 082 24 075 26 099 96606 89516 25 093 21 108 23 082 89516 83997 29 096 28 120 24 091 83997 79380 28 108 20 102 23 090 79380 75383 22 113 12 087 21 100 75383 71842 13 121 11 077 14 109 71842 68649 4 139 9 100 7 148 68649 65724 3 273 4 165 4 071 65724 62986 4 241 7 144 9 200 62986 60309 10 185 11 172 10 147 60309 57485 21 187 18 188 2 108 57485 54510 20 222 17 205 12 232 54510 51652 32 222 26 220 28 231 51652 49080 29 215 32 226 27 215 49080 46784 24 224 34 232 18 224 46784 44712 32 232 42 224 20 247 44712 42818 38 234 42 222 26 249 42818 41067 41 235 36 230 26 240 41067 39441 48 228 40 237 24 233 39441 37925 51 229 45 234 20 233 37925 36504 56 229 46 232 20 240 36504 35139 62 224 50 231 22 245 35139 33762 63 219 53 226 23 240 33762 32349 61 221 51 223 22 233 32349 30905 64 225 49 223 20 227 30905 29416 67 225 50 222 20 235 29416 27871 61 223 53 221 17 240 27871 26265 55 227 54 221 15 234 26265 24588 52 228 50 222 13 231 24588 22837 48 229 42 222 9 237 22837 21011 44 224 37 221 5 240 21011 19102 42 218 32 223 6 230 19102 17104 39 219 27 226 10 242 17104 15060 31 218 26 228 12 243 15060 13086 24 218 27 229 11 241 13086 11288 21 225 25 226 12 236 11288 9688 21 223 22 219 12 231 9688 8266 23 223 22 216 14 222 8266 7004 24 221 24 214 18 222 7004 5885 25 218 25 209 21 225 5885 4897 27 215 25*206 21 226 4897 4027 27 212 24*205 20 224 4027 3261 26 210 23 204 20 221 3261 2576 24 206 21 205 19 219 2576 1971 21 201 20 206 18 219 1971 1467 19 196 19 207 15 220 1467 1080 16 194 18 207 13 220 1080 814 14 192 16 208 10 220 814 653 11 192 14 208 7 220 653 560 7*190 10 208 3*220 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography