DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 51.7 - - 50.6 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 77 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1648 - - 2731 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1614 - - 543 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2191 - - 3274 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2499 - - 1568 - - 3578 - - 1672 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 256 - - 18 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 348 - - 344 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -747 - - -793 - - -2306 - - -1380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2938 - - 4068 - - 2866 - - 1941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2720 - - -8296 - - -4000 - - -9867 ODpotential blCL - - - 4911 - - 11570 - - 4560 - - 10427 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 64 - - 61 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 51.7 - - 50.6 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 36.2 - - 40.3 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 51.1 - - 51.1 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 34.9 - - 39.1 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 77 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1648 - - 2731 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96207 36 248 38 260 37 272 37 270 96207 89137 24 287 26 261 28 276 23 266 89137 83694 28 296 23 269 26 270 18 264 83694 79104 23 282 24 270 24 277 18 276 79104 75105 18 280 21 279 16 288 14 289 75105 71547 19 282 21 283 18 291 20 301 71547 68315 21 290 19 288 22 288 26 296 68315 65353 22 288 19 297 18 286 25 293 65353 62610 19 291 23 299 16 302 21 293 62610 59931 26 305 29 301 24 306 15 296 59931 57107 37 305 35 302 31 313 25 328 57107 54162 39 303 40 303 40 316 37 327 54162 51353 36 306 45 303 47 314 44 323 51353 48845 37 307 48 302 51 309 44 320 48845 46619 42 309 46 307 46 312 40 320 46619 44606 43 310 43 315 44 323 42 329 44606 42770 43 320 43 325 50 334 53 335 42770 41093 53 330 52 330 61 333 60 336 41093 39560 64 329 58 332 65 332 65 346 39560 38149 70 328 67 339 64 341 75 351 38149 36833 71 329 72 343 69 353 79 352 36833 35559 66 332 74 347 78 358 79 355 35559 34257 63 345 77 351 83 357 78 359 34257 32898 72 356 80 354 80 353 76 359 32898 31484 77 355 81 355 75 351 75 359 31484 30000 76 350 76 352 71 351 74 005 30000 28434 76 347 68 346 68 352 72 009 28434 26787 76 345 63 342 66 349 67 007 26787 25057 76 342 61 342 63 346 61 001 25057 23247 77 339 60 344 58 346 58 353 23247 21362 77 339 59 346 55 349 53 344 21362 19399 75 340 56 348 53 353 48 345 19399 17351 69 342 53 350 50 358 44 355 17351 15255 62 344 51 351 47 003 41 006 15255 13229 60 346 50 354 45 007 38 014 13229 11382 57 351 48 000 44 012 36 018 11382 9740 51 360 43 009 42 017 35 022 9740 8288 43 008 37 017 37 021 33 027 8288 7006 35 011 31 021 30 024 29 031 7006 5876 30 011 26 019 25 026 23 033 5876 4881 28 008 23 013 24 023 19 033 4881 4010 26 006 21*005 23 014 20 030 4010 3243 24 004 18*354 21 006 23 025 3243 2559 21*359 16 349 20 000 25 022 2559 1957 17*354 15 347 18 355 25 020 1957 1457 14 349 15 346 16 352 19 019 1457 1074 11 346 14 345 14 349 12 018 1074 811 10 345 13 344 12 347 8 017 811 651 9 344 11 343 10*346 5*017 651 560 7 344 9 342 6*344 0*186 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography