DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.5 - - 54.3 - - 53.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 56 - - 46 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2023 - - 2703 - - 145 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2567 - - 3247 - - 689 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 618 - - 2111 - - 852 - - 3319 - - 1272 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 208 - - 220 - - 32 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 057 - - 071 - - 084 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - -9 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -426 - - 826 - - 1013 - - -1018 - - -587 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 986 - - 1741 - - 2234 - - 1707 - - 1147 sfcLCL ODpotential -2912 - - 40 - - 405 - - -2056 - - -3281 ODpotential blCL 3472 - - 2527 - - 2842 - - 2745 - - 3841 blCL maxRH 83 - - 90 - - 94 - - 92 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.5 - - 54.3 - - 53.8 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 47.8 - - 46.5 - - 48.3 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.9 - - 54.3 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 46.6 - - 45.2 - - 47.1 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 56 - - 46 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2023 - - 2703 - - 145 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 59 - - 77 - - 66 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96770 10 128 7 133 2 111 5 159 3 218 96770 89639 8 126 8 070 6 122 9 129 4 079 89639 84125 9 088 7 095 8 084 8 108 9 078 84125 79546 11 084 9 124 5 104 7 048 9 085 79546 75598 10 088 9 093 5 116 5 077 6 076 75598 72104 8 068 7 089 5 352 9 064 7 054 72104 68928 7 028 7 075 5 304 13 019 7 030 68928 65988 8 004 7 042 2 272 10 340 9 346 65988 63247 11 342 9 015 5 031 6 345 12 327 63247 60584 14 350 15 352 10 002 8 357 14 339 60584 57813 20 345 20 009 17 004 19 355 25 357 57813 54944 24 354 30 010 28 010 28 359 32 003 54944 52198 31 001 39 010 38 014 35 011 42 003 52198 49713 41 008 45 010 46 015 44 014 46 007 49713 47467 48 014 49 012 51 015 51 016 54 008 47467 45416 51 019 52 015 57 015 57 017 58 007 45416 43528 56 020 55 016 60 013 62 017 61 012 43528 41784 59 021 57 020 61 014 67 017 67 017 41784 40160 60 023 60 023 64 017 73 018 78 022 40160 38640 61 025 64 025 66 020 78 018 95 020 38640 37208 62 021 66 027 69 023 81 018 102 017 37208 35823 51 022 67 026 73 022 82 018 97 014 35823 34418 47 026 59 029 73 021 82 018 87 013 34418 32975 44 037 58 032 70 023 79 017 80 014 32975 31502 45 043 56 035 66 028 74 017 69 017 31502 29985 38 047 51 050 61 034 65 026 62 017 29985 28405 29 061 53 059 56 047 59 030 54 027 28405 26757 29 070 49 061 55 048 53 037 50 032 26757 25036 31 084 43 073 45 062 51 037 46 029 25036 23239 34 098 44 089 47 085 42 052 39 033 23239 21364 33 100 45 099 45 080 40 070 38 040 21364 19404 29 091 44 103 45 077 39 068 38 043 19404 17357 27 082 43 110 47 092 37 061 35 046 17357 15268 22 075 37 106 41 099 32 069 29 054 15268 13251 17 074 36 099 30 092 29 089 25 063 13251 11412 17 086 33 105 26 082 29 095 24 066 11412 9777 18 093 22 112 26 084 21 084 19 061 9777 8329 18 090 14 095 21 086 15 101 11 034 8329 7047 17 084 12 080 15 076 10 091 8 013 7047 5915 12 084 8 062 12 058 14 040 6 026 5915 4916 10 100 8 037 10 044 16 021 5 027 4916 4040 9 106 10 028 8 045 12 016 7 001 4040 3269 9 099 10 032 7*055 8 024 8 352 3269 2581 8 092 9*042 7*065 5 053 5 350 2581 1974 6 094 8*054 7 069 4 082 2 003 1974 1468 7 124 7 057 7 072 5 085 2 072 1468 1080 8 126 7 058 7 074 4 086 2 088 1080 814 7 113 6 058 6 074 4*085 3 070 814 652 5*096 5 059 6 074 4*084 2 045 652 560 3*076 4 058 5 075 3 084 2*033 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography