DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 71.1 - - 76.8 - - 68.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 171 - - 287 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 691 - - 1240 - - 683 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1147 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1236 - - 1786 - - 1228 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 235 - - 563 - - 711 - - 507 - - 570 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 200 - - 287 - - 160 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 277 - - 263 - - 250 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1076 - - -3363 - - -4209 - - -2873 - - -641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1637 - - 4599 - - 5995 - - 4101 - - 1202 sfcLCL ODpotential -9059 - - -8366 - - -7878 - - -8304 - - -8214 ODpotential blCL 9620 - - 9602 - - 9664 - - 9532 - - 8775 blCL maxRH 66 - - 59 - - 52 - - 63 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 71.1 - - 76.8 - - 68.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.1 - - 53.2 - - 52.7 - - 52.9 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 69.9 - - 74.9 - - 67.8 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 52.6 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 171 - - 287 - - 90 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 691 - - 1240 - - 683 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97790 10 315 16 275 23 279 28 293 26 297 97790 90501 16 291 19 277 19 280 21 284 19 280 90501 84875 18 287 16 275 19 274 17 283 17 284 84875 80193 11 286 9 283 13 269 12 283 11 303 80193 76156 4 288 4 274 11 245 14 283 10 310 76156 72590 8 004 7 273 9 234 14 272 13 283 72590 69367 17 323 7 293 5 256 10 238 14 265 69367 66412 18 294 6 309 6 267 9 237 15 259 66412 63692 13 260 9 295 9 255 12 248 16 247 63692 61074 12 253 15 279 14 268 14 261 16 240 61074 58347 17 263 22 262 22 267 19 265 18 242 58347 55519 23 268 25 258 27 263 25 268 22 251 55519 52822 33 271 28 265 30 263 29 266 28 250 52822 50389 35 273 32 269 32 265 31 265 31 253 50389 48195 37 275 34 269 35 262 35 264 35 257 48195 46189 40 272 37 268 38 262 38 262 37 260 46189 44335 45 269 42 267 41 264 39 262 38 259 44335 42610 51 267 46 266 43 263 40 260 40 258 42610 40998 50 267 48 264 46 263 43 259 44 257 40998 39488 45 268 45 263 45 263 46 260 46 259 39488 38068 39 268 40 264 42 262 45 260 44 258 38068 36703 33 273 35 266 36 258 42 258 41 256 36703 35326 29 280 28 269 28 257 36 257 37 254 35326 33903 27 286 24 276 22 259 29 255 30 254 33903 32432 22 287 21 282 19 259 24 254 28 252 32432 30896 18 292 18 286 17 260 21 255 25 245 30896 29280 17 306 15 295 14 267 18 253 22 242 29280 27582 15 315 13 302 12 270 15 255 19 242 27582 25801 13 319 11 307 11 276 13 263 15 253 25801 23939 11 326 11 310 11 290 12 279 12 269 23939 21999 12 346 10 317 9 301 8 289 8 270 21999 19975 12 007 7 335 6 304 5 283 6 256 19975 17861 11 006 5 002 3 308 3 274 5 276 17861 15705 5 349 1 278 3 239 3 240 5 272 15705 13633 2 306 4 248 6 236 6 232 6 245 13633 11755 4 160 7 225 9 238 8 232 8 233 11755 10087 3 199 9 227 11 240 11 231 11 226 10087 8605 4 281 11 245 11 238 12 232 12 222 8605 7285 5 308 9 238 10 231 12 239 12 223 7285 6113 5 313 7 219 11 227 10 243 11 225 6113 5074 4 305 8 215 10 230 9 246 10 227 5074 4160 4 263 8 223 8 241 8 259 7 233 4160 3355 6 251 8 231 7 259 7 290 6 261 3355 2638 7 255 7 233 7 265 8 303 5 305 2638 2009 6 259 5 232 8*266 9 285 5 315 2009 1488 4 252 3*251 10*264 11*258 6 272 1488 1091 3 227 3*271 10 263 11*251 10 248 1091 819 2 210 3 277 10 262 10 250 10 234 819 655 2*173 3 281 9 262 10 250 8*226 655 561 2*190 2 283 8 262 8 250 4*221 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography