DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 62.1 - - 58.6 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 47 - - 3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 691 - - 1494 - - 969 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1235 - - 2038 - - 1514 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1638 - - 1462 - - 1665 - - 1871 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 177 - - 71 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 260 - - 287 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -496 - - 34 - - 119 - - -255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1731 - - 2004 - - 1395 - - 816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3762 - - -1268 - - -502 - - -775 ODpotential blCL - - - 4997 - - 3306 - - 2016 - - 1336 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 95 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 62.1 - - 58.6 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 55.3 - - 54.4 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 61.7 - - 58.7 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 54.3 - - 53.9 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 47 - - 3 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 691 - - 1494 - - 969 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 82 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96029 11 338 13 276 20 305 14 296 96029 89002 14 298 11 337 13 336 8 342 89002 83561 10 315 16 321 10 356 9 332 83561 79018 11 289 15 302 10 317 14 318 79018 75089 12 288 13 285 11 299 15 310 75089 71604 19 289 15 277 15 277 17 285 71604 68446 21 276 19 263 22 263 21 272 68446 65536 20 256 15 250 24 254 20 259 65536 62822 27 243 20 241 26 242 24 249 62822 60176 36 247 28 246 28 238 31 238 60176 57419 51 246 45 252 45 249 43 245 57419 54561 66 237 67 241 60 243 61 241 54561 51819 65 234 70 234 61 243 66 226 51819 49333 62 247 67 241 64 247 64 232 49333 47098 85 243 83 242 76 243 77 241 47098 45082 104 237 101 238 89 240 93 235 45082 43249 99 233 100 234 100 235 97 232 43249 41565 95 241 98 235 105 234 102 230 41565 40017 107 243 112 237 118 234 120 231 40017 38580 121 242 129 238 132 233 128 230 38580 37224 123 235 133 235 129 233 124 227 37224 35905 110 234 120 235 118 233 119 227 35905 34560 97 234 104 235 103 233 107 227 34560 33164 93 237 97 235 95 233 91 227 33164 31720 88 237 91 235 90 234 82 230 31720 30214 86 237 86 236 82 236 73 232 30214 28632 79 238 83 236 77 235 68 231 28632 26975 73 239 80 236 70 234 65 231 26975 25239 70 237 74 236 62 237 60 232 25239 23425 60 238 61 237 56 243 53 230 23425 21532 50 243 54 241 54 241 47 230 21532 19556 49 242 52 242 48 239 43 231 19556 17491 49 239 48 241 43 239 41 228 17491 15385 45 232 42 242 38 239 36 223 15385 13355 40 234 38 230 34 235 31 222 13355 11508 34 234 36 226 31 224 30 218 11508 9868 29 230 32 228 28 223 29 215 9868 8412 23 227 24 224 23 223 26 214 8412 7120 18 230 15 221 17 208 22 206 7120 5975 17 239 11 231 13 184 17 188 5975 4965 16 238 11 237 11 179 13 177 4965 4079 14 229 12 232 9 195 8 188 4079 3299 15 238 12 230 7 228 6 223 3299 2602 15 243 11*231 8 260 7 251 2602 1988 13 240 7*241 8*273 8 260 1988 1477 7*231 5 259 7*282 7 267 1477 1086 3*230 5 267 7 287 4 277 1086 817 2 237 4 271 6 288 2 297 817 654 2 244 4 273 5 290 1*298 654 561 1 247 4 274 4 291 0*270 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography