DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 54.0 - - 59.3 - - 57.6 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 47 - - 66 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 578 - - 1344 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1122 - - 1888 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 252 - - 865 - - 786 - - 1891 - - 827 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 127 - - 192 - - 14 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 070 - - 060 - - 072 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -357 - - -587 - - -387 - - -1029 - - -777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 917 - - 1709 - - 2275 - - 1590 - - 1337 sfcLCL ODpotential -11926 - - -9211 - - -6941 - - -6780 - - -10627 ODpotential blCL 12486 - - 10333 - - 8829 - - 7341 - - 11187 blCL maxRH 83 - - 82 - - 81 - - 83 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 54.0 - - 59.3 - - 57.6 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 48.8 - - 51.5 - - 52.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.4 - - 53.5 - - 58.8 - - 58.2 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 47.8 - - 50.2 - - 51.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 47 - - 66 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 578 - - 1344 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 30 - - 23 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 2 040 9 002 5 336 2 338 11 351 96429 89339 9 049 6 129 3 063 7 072 9 077 89339 83847 6 049 4 111 2 118 1 101 3 059 83847 79263 3 219 2 343 2 267 4 335 4 002 79263 75307 3 186 5 251 8 272 9 307 7 017 75307 71791 7 288 8 236 12 263 16 292 9 353 71791 68587 14 277 10 261 16 277 18 289 11 317 68587 65635 18 280 14 287 18 281 21 289 14 302 65635 62893 18 269 18 292 21 278 22 282 18 296 62893 60236 21 285 23 274 25 278 26 283 23 292 60236 57466 32 283 28 270 29 281 29 280 28 292 57466 54590 41 279 39 277 38 282 33 285 34 296 54590 51846 46 274 45 277 46 279 40 284 39 292 51846 49383 52 277 46 277 49 278 45 284 37 288 49383 47187 59 276 49 283 50 285 46 293 39 296 47187 45217 61 274 53 284 54 290 48 293 39 297 45217 43431 56 274 50 281 53 286 46 296 31 299 43431 41789 51 280 45 285 49 286 44 301 31 309 41789 40265 49 284 46 292 48 289 42 304 29 315 40265 38839 46 284 49 293 49 290 39 308 26 324 38839 37497 45 290 51 292 49 293 36 311 27 328 37497 36202 48 298 51 291 50 297 33 313 22 334 36202 34882 45 296 52 292 48 300 25 322 16 358 34882 33505 38 290 49 293 48 303 21 353 22 007 33505 32072 34 296 46 295 49 306 24 000 19 012 32072 30565 35 303 46 299 47 308 24 348 11 011 30565 28977 39 309 47 308 42 313 22 345 12 352 28977 27310 43 314 46 315 37 318 23 352 16 358 27310 25561 48 317 41 316 36 320 22 350 15 001 25561 23730 48 317 38 316 36 318 18 339 12 334 23730 21823 44 317 38 320 35 320 25 324 25 315 21823 19835 44 316 39 322 37 321 32 321 31 318 19835 17755 42 317 40 321 38 323 35 325 32 321 17755 15624 38 318 40 319 35 325 34 328 33 326 15624 13561 33 319 37 319 30 329 28 330 34 330 13561 11678 28 322 32 325 26 332 23 331 29 335 11678 10003 22 327 26 333 22 337 21 337 24 338 10003 8516 19 330 19 343 19 348 19 345 21 346 8516 7198 18 333 15 356 17 358 16 356 19 355 7198 6032 17 339 14 006 15 007 14 006 16 004 6032 5004 14 348 12 012 14 013 13 012 13 015 5004 4102 10 358 11 012 13 013 13 016 12 028 4102 3309 8 005 10 007 12 013 13 015 12 031 3309 2603 7 356 9 008 9 021 11 012 11 025 2603 1985 6 338 7 019 7*048 7 020 9 026 1985 1473 4 312 5*047 7*059 7 053 11 063 1473 1083 2 254 4*069 7 060 8 067 12 086 1083 815 2 146 3 072 7 060 7 069 10 094 815 653 2*135 2 070 6 060 6*072 7 097 653 560 2*141 2 070 5 060 3*072 2*108 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography