DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 60.0 - - 62.7 - - 61.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 25 - - 17 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 413 - - 741 - - 16 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 957 - - 1286 - - 561 - - 745 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 524 - - 1024 - - 1654 - - 1844 - - 1601 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 96 - - 103 - - 8 - - 24 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 023 - - 074 - - 042 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -598 - - -861 - - -303 - - -491 - - 122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1158 - - 1819 - - 1589 - - 1052 - - 623 sfcLCL ODpotential -7543 - - -3571 - - -2437 - - -2378 - - -210 ODpotential blCL 8103 - - 4528 - - 3723 - - 2939 - - 955 blCL maxRH 90 - - 92 - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 60.0 - - 62.7 - - 61.9 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.5 - - 53.8 - - 57.4 - - 58.8 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 59.7 - - 62.6 - - 62.5 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 52.9 - - 56.4 - - 57.8 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 25 - - 17 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 413 - - 741 - - 16 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 69 - - 95 - - 86 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 13 067 6 026 10 034 11 042 4 184 96480 89432 20 075 21 095 11 081 18 070 19 098 89432 83986 17 060 20 107 9 062 13 088 14 078 83986 79438 10 100 12 110 5 097 7 042 13 062 79438 75491 10 097 11 083 11 148 5 299 12 047 75491 71993 8 023 11 046 12 140 7 217 6 030 71993 68815 5 135 4 350 4 111 3 195 2 103 68815 65891 4 096 3 102 4 155 6 192 4 181 65891 63170 14 182 5 254 7 256 7 219 4 218 63170 60523 19 140 15 165 16 193 16 202 13 218 60523 57745 14 171 17 183 16 189 19 185 18 216 57745 54835 24 197 26 201 30 195 32 194 31 204 54835 52026 38 188 36 177 34 171 35 177 32 190 52026 49483 31 175 30 165 28 154 28 160 25 180 49483 47203 25 186 23 166 19 172 18 163 19 169 47203 45136 34 186 30 178 29 185 23 178 16 172 45136 43244 44 163 44 168 40 163 31 166 17 178 43244 41502 33 157 43 157 37 145 32 150 20 174 41502 39890 38 186 39 148 26 138 27 130 22 153 39890 38398 63 187 31 155 22 163 25 118 23 116 38398 37021 83 177 42 181 42 166 29 121 34 088 37021 35714 105 174 71 175 58 151 35 120 53 070 35714 34391 107 171 58 164 51 150 35 105 52 062 34391 33012 101 173 52 155 45 144 35 094 48 063 33012 31580 89 175 51 156 41 137 33 098 44 060 31580 30081 76 173 50 149 42 131 34 108 42 061 30081 28502 70 171 48 145 43 127 37 111 41 066 28502 26842 66 169 44 141 46 125 37 109 39 070 26842 25102 61 167 41 140 45 122 37 108 35 075 25102 23284 58 166 43 138 43 121 38 110 34 081 23284 21390 56 167 42 127 41 121 37 112 34 082 21390 19416 46 158 30 112 39 123 36 113 34 082 19416 17358 27 148 20 133 37 126 32 113 33 086 17358 15260 27 190 19 141 35 127 26 113 30 094 15260 13242 26 201 20 125 32 124 22 111 24 109 13242 11412 20 178 23 125 28 118 20 113 18 125 11412 9788 25 157 26 128 25 118 20 126 17 144 9788 8350 28 159 28 133 27 123 24 140 18 154 8350 7072 24 164 24 134 28 128 28 144 19 154 7072 5937 17 163 15 129 23 126 31 142 17 156 5937 4934 9 154 7 114 15 114 30 135 11 161 4934 4053 5 118 5 068 11 082 27 125 7 174 4053 3278 4 075 6 044 12 064 23 113 4 189 3278 2586 6 061 6 041 10 055 20 100 4 248 2586 1977 11 063 8 044 8 057 19 090 9 271 1977 1470 16 054 7 039 6*063 16 084 10 267 1470 1082 13 056 5*036 4*072 13 081 8 265 1082 815 9 069 3*025 3 074 9 077 6*263 815 653 6 080 2 024 3 076 6 072 5*262 653 560 2*153 2 021 2 078 2*042 3 261 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography