DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.1 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 343 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 1121 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 939 - - 1114 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1592 - - 1665 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 451 - - 475 - - - - - 1054 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 298 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 273 - - - - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -142 - - -639 - - - - - -427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1734 - - 2304 - - - - - 987 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9176 - - -8855 - - - - - -11022 ODpotential blCL - - - 10768 - - 10520 - - - - - 11582 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 89 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.1 - - - - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 58.8 - - - - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 65.1 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 57.9 - - - - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 343 - - - - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 1121 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 54 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98052 10 222 8 243 1 170 98052 90626 10 229 4 223 5 228 90626 84913 10 179 10 239 6 313 84913 80195 7 139 11 227 9 343 80195 76142 1 090 4 175 4 326 76142 72567 1 334 3 094 3 342 72567 69341 1 263 2 275 5 051 69341 66383 1 133 5 284 8 027 66383 63639 2 268 7 242 11 350 63639 60969 9 273 7 245 14 311 60969 58178 10 272 10 247 10 259 58178 55282 21 246 17 253 13 241 55282 52512 25 229 26 241 22 239 52512 50016 23 223 30 231 26 237 50016 47785 25 227 29 224 29 233 47785 45777 31 225 30 224 31 236 45777 43958 40 214 35 220 32 235 43958 42291 46 203 41 208 33 229 42291 40746 49 202 44 204 37 222 40746 39303 48 204 45 202 41 213 39303 37944 50 204 43 206 41 212 37944 36627 52 201 45 205 38 214 36627 35279 51 203 46 202 39 206 35279 33876 49 206 43 203 39 198 33876 32420 48 207 43 205 35 197 32420 30896 46 206 43 206 33 200 30896 29290 43 204 42 208 34 200 29290 27599 40 201 40 206 35 199 27599 25824 36 195 37 201 34 202 25824 23964 31 188 35 191 29 204 23964 22027 28 187 31 182 27 188 22027 20014 29 194 28 187 29 184 20014 17916 37 198 37 193 38 181 17916 15770 44 197 46 191 39 177 15770 13694 42 197 35 192 30 178 13694 11800 36 199 26 196 21 187 11800 10112 31 209 23 208 14 219 10112 8607 26 218 19 209 13 226 8607 7268 22 210 19 198 14 224 7268 6080 22 191 21 188 15 224 6080 5033 23 176 22 186 12 243 5033 4117 23 174 18 184 11 283 4117 3316 17 181 12 187 12 312 3316 2608 9 202 7 227 12 316 2608 1988 6*264 11*275 11 291 1988 1475 7*269 12*275 13 259 1475 1084 7 268 12 273 13 249 1084 816 7 268 11 272 12 245 816 653 6 268 11 272 11 243 653 560 5 269 9 272 7*242 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography