DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 66.6 - - 71.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 224 - - 361 - - 126 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1846 - - 2227 - - 1295 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1502 - - 1922 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2391 - - 2772 - - 1840 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 728 - - 878 - - 1519 - - 923 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 303 - - 376 - - 221 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 290 - - 285 - - 271 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -61 - - -702 - - -1862 - - -1136 - - -10 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 621 - - 3093 - - 4634 - - 2976 - - 571 sfcLCL ODpotential -11821 - - -7983 - - -8376 - - -6864 - - -2261 ODpotential blCL 12381 - - 10374 - - 11148 - - 8704 - - 2822 blCL maxRH 95 - - 87 - - 71 - - 81 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 66.6 - - 71.8 - - 68.5 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.2 - - 55.0 - - 53.6 - - 57.4 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 65.1 - - 69.7 - - 67.6 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 54.6 - - 53.3 - - 57.3 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 224 - - 361 - - 126 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1846 - - 2227 - - 1295 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 49 - - 0 - - 24 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98332 8 272 7 269 10 264 10 242 13 294 98332 90948 3 277 3 265 10 215 11 247 8 290 90948 85231 5 282 6 279 12 193 10 245 6 252 85231 80489 7 283 6 263 9 223 6 282 8 298 80489 76405 6 264 5 257 9 263 8 298 9 327 76405 72776 7 236 8 268 11 273 11 270 9 307 72776 69485 8 261 9 262 12 271 15 261 11 267 69485 66469 8 269 9 252 15 267 16 270 15 270 66469 63673 8 244 12 260 17 260 20 277 17 284 63673 60961 8 239 14 245 17 255 24 274 17 280 60961 58152 11 260 13 235 16 259 24 273 20 266 58152 55278 17 267 15 245 18 268 22 266 25 262 55278 52558 18 260 19 261 23 260 24 261 31 265 52558 50115 19 260 24 262 28 254 33 263 36 263 50115 47929 19 267 27 262 31 254 38 260 38 258 47929 45953 16 258 25 261 31 255 40 259 42 259 45953 44151 12 261 18 257 26 252 35 254 46 259 44151 42486 15 283 14 267 21 255 29 255 45 260 42486 40937 14 268 14 259 20 261 31 269 45 263 40937 39482 10 253 15 244 21 261 34 274 46 266 39482 38106 7 284 13 228 22 257 30 269 47 268 38106 36768 10 301 11 228 21 251 29 272 47 268 36768 35404 12 263 15 244 19 251 30 275 46 269 35404 33984 11 249 16 223 21 241 29 271 44 271 33984 32512 12 239 18 212 25 225 27 268 43 270 32512 30971 12 231 19 216 27 218 26 268 42 269 30971 29350 11 224 20 225 27 227 29 271 40 269 29350 27649 14 233 21 233 27 250 31 269 38 271 27649 25864 13 243 20 243 28 260 32 266 37 274 25864 23995 13 259 21 252 27 262 32 264 36 277 23995 22046 11 262 18 249 25 259 31 261 34 279 22046 20010 14 257 19 246 24 251 31 258 31 277 20010 17883 17 245 22 241 26 246 30 257 29 272 17883 15711 17 235 22 239 27 248 30 261 28 267 15711 13617 18 237 22 243 27 254 30 267 28 265 13617 11716 20 250 25 254 28 258 30 269 27 266 11716 10032 23 260 27 259 28 260 29 270 23 269 10032 8545 24 266 25 264 24 266 24 273 17 273 8545 7228 22 272 22 271 16 268 16 274 13 273 7228 6063 17 274 16 272 9 277 10 266 11 277 6063 5036 11 267 9 264 7 289 8 282 16 301 5036 4135 6 283 3 309 7 323 10 319 20 311 4135 3341 7 319 7 336 8*315 11 319 20 315 3341 2633 10 325 8*323 9*303 11 308 18 315 2633 2008 13 332 6*302 11 286 12*284 16 310 2008 1489 10 331 6 291 12 282 13*274 15 295 1489 1092 4 304 5 285 12 281 12 271 13 275 1092 820 3 226 5 283 11 279 12 269 10 258 820 655 3 195 5 282 11 278 11 268 9*252 655 561 3*196 4 281 9 278 9 267 6*249 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography