DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.1 - - 59.3 - - 56.9 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -1 - - 24 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 987 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1531 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 312 - - 1299 - - 2046 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 16 - - 132 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 054 - - 114 - - 319 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3958 - - -3495 - - -3362 - - -2000 - - -1566 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4518 - - 4055 - - 4894 - - 2561 - - 2126 sfcLCL ODpotential -16614 - - -13763 - - -11120 - - -7353 - - -12370 ODpotential blCL 17174 - - 14323 - - 12651 - - 7914 - - 12930 blCL maxRH 32 - - 40 - - 47 - - 63 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.1 - - 59.3 - - 56.9 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.9 - - 35.1 - - 40.5 - - 48.1 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 50.5 - - 59.1 - - 57.6 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 34.1 - - 39.2 - - 46.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -1 - - 24 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 987 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96204 31 290 36 292 40 282 33 295 31 295 96204 89222 18 316 15 314 17 297 14 318 13 006 89222 83820 11 310 12 348 11 358 6 336 10 024 83820 79281 5 030 8 018 12 024 6 023 10 055 79281 75331 11 037 5 022 14 015 10 040 12 063 75331 71819 13 030 3 359 14 010 13 028 15 038 71819 68642 13 035 2 120 13 342 14 351 16 006 68642 65735 17 349 12 043 8 339 15 316 17 347 65735 63051 19 005 22 006 15 346 16 320 19 315 63051 60451 26 342 24 345 15 338 15 309 16 296 60451 57722 30 331 28 335 22 325 19 302 22 308 57722 54883 32 314 29 317 27 301 24 294 27 296 54883 52162 25 314 24 317 24 292 31 298 22 303 52162 49682 29 332 26 319 31 304 37 298 28 307 49682 47446 43 327 38 316 43 302 40 297 35 303 47446 45432 49 320 46 309 48 301 43 298 41 305 45432 43625 43 325 41 309 43 303 42 300 41 305 43625 41995 34 350 32 326 30 311 36 304 30 307 41995 40496 34 011 30 350 27 330 31 306 28 308 40496 39085 40 002 33 352 23 335 34 311 33 308 39085 37748 41 357 31 353 21 333 30 309 33 306 37748 36446 37 357 27 351 19 334 26 307 25 304 36446 35115 31 004 25 351 16 335 22 308 21 306 35115 33724 29 360 23 355 13 340 21 312 20 306 33724 32276 26 356 20 358 10 338 20 313 15 309 32276 30755 23 357 17 350 11 322 22 311 14 312 30755 29149 26 342 18 340 15 313 22 306 18 315 29149 27457 21 342 11 330 12 302 17 303 19 317 27457 25680 7 029 7 303 11 275 14 293 18 311 25680 23821 4 334 9 287 12 269 11 275 14 291 23821 21883 6 241 11 262 13 266 12 262 14 260 21883 19863 11 218 15 239 15 257 10 265 16 259 19863 17754 14 228 17 235 15 247 9 250 15 262 17754 15599 14 246 12 235 12 251 9 240 13 263 15599 13523 10 255 7 231 7 252 6 223 9 254 13523 11636 6 242 3 212 2 243 5 207 6 239 11636 9961 4 177 2 142 2 161 4 213 4 231 9961 8478 6 135 3 153 3 179 4 224 2 201 8478 7166 8 145 4 179 4 195 4 218 3 139 7166 6006 9 161 6 180 6 190 5 208 4 136 6006 4985 12 174 7 176 7 191 6 202 5 156 4985 4089 16 178 6 179 6 190 6 190 6 173 4089 3302 18 179 5 184 6 177 5 172 6 174 3302 2601 17 177 3 190 6 164 2 145 5 158 2601 1984 15 172 3 195 5*159 2 031 4 114 1984 1472 11 161 4 179 3*142 3 005 8 098 1472 1081 9 130 5 123 2 109 3 354 12 094 1081 813 10 100 7 089 2 096 3 337 12 090 813 652 9*083 6 069 1 090 2*328 8*082 652 560 5*070 2*054 1 083 2*319 3*072 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography