DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 62.4 - - 67.5 - - 66.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 208 - - 303 - - 192 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 1504 - - 1617 - - 1244 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1251 - - 1441 - - 1023 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 828 - - 2048 - - 2162 - - 1789 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 837 - - 434 - - 615 - - 706 - - 912 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 281 - - 324 - - 254 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 264 - - 259 - - 254 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -318 - - -1107 - - -1381 - - -815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 827 - - 2366 - - 3269 - - 3170 - - 1376 sfcLCL ODpotential -10627 - - -9713 - - -9538 - - -9528 - - -11027 ODpotential blCL 11455 - - 11761 - - 11700 - - 11317 - - 11588 blCL maxRH 97 - - 85 - - 76 - - 76 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 62.4 - - 67.5 - - 66.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.7 - - 54.1 - - 55.2 - - 54.9 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 61.0 - - 65.7 - - 65.5 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 52.9 - - 54.1 - - 54.1 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 208 - - 303 - - 192 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 1504 - - 1617 - - 1244 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 42 - - 4 - - 2 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97800 5 252 15 260 21 275 17 304 13 297 97800 90362 12 261 16 267 11 280 17 277 18 282 90362 84622 9 301 12 272 14 276 19 274 16 292 84622 79889 14 322 6 289 13 276 18 280 16 313 79889 75853 16 300 10 311 10 296 9 286 11 309 75853 72307 12 287 14 299 16 313 12 333 10 320 72307 69098 11 327 10 306 18 310 15 326 13 320 69098 66142 18 337 8 303 15 299 13 320 14 318 66142 63395 22 325 11 319 13 299 12 318 11 324 63395 60726 22 316 15 319 15 311 13 316 12 337 60726 57949 18 314 16 320 16 310 19 325 16 345 57949 55097 17 317 13 331 14 327 20 325 16 332 55097 52411 20 333 20 347 12 342 16 319 18 327 52411 50018 25 349 23 354 16 358 20 330 23 317 50018 47880 30 002 29 352 24 339 23 321 25 315 47880 45941 36 003 32 350 28 331 33 329 41 318 45941 44169 42 359 38 349 37 335 38 324 39 316 44169 42525 44 356 45 343 37 334 35 324 39 318 42525 40984 42 353 45 341 38 333 36 325 39 317 40984 39531 38 353 38 342 37 333 35 323 39 316 39531 38155 34 357 34 338 35 334 35 323 38 314 38155 36818 32 357 31 337 34 335 34 324 36 313 36818 35453 30 357 26 334 32 333 32 326 35 314 35453 34032 27 356 23 331 30 328 31 325 33 314 34032 32557 24 354 22 327 28 327 31 322 34 315 32557 31011 22 348 21 322 25 319 30 320 34 316 31011 29383 20 341 19 318 23 306 27 309 32 313 29383 27672 19 328 20 316 20 296 24 302 31 311 27672 25879 19 320 21 318 20 302 23 297 27 309 25879 24012 18 315 20 320 22 311 22 294 23 305 24012 22071 15 312 18 308 20 312 23 300 21 305 22071 20045 12 305 14 288 16 309 20 312 19 307 20045 17928 10 301 12 280 13 296 15 312 16 305 17928 15764 10 296 10 276 12 279 11 303 13 309 15764 13675 10 275 12 262 12 267 10 304 11 309 13675 11774 11 258 14 259 12 268 10 311 10 316 11774 10087 11 260 13 270 10 275 9 314 9 322 10087 8590 8 279 10 283 8 284 8 316 8 325 8590 7263 7 300 7 293 6 297 7 322 7 332 7263 6087 7 310 6 303 6 313 6 333 7 337 6087 5049 7 320 6 315 6 326 5 345 6 338 5049 4137 8 332 6 330 7 335 6 356 7 337 4137 3336 10 325 8 329 8 328 8 337 10 334 3336 2624 12 323 7*315 7*306 8 312 10 327 2624 2000 13 323 8*271 9*266 10*268 9 298 2000 1483 9 304 8 264 10 260 12*258 11 264 1483 1089 7*263 8 262 11 258 12 254 12 247 1089 819 6*248 8 261 10 256 12 253 11 240 819 654 6 246 7 261 10 255 11 253 9*236 654 561 5 245 6 260 8 255 9 252 6*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography