DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 56.7 - - 55.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 50 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 991 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1535 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 773 - - 1116 - - 2488 - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 160 - - 15 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 073 - - 029 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4212 - - -3009 - - -2551 - - -1456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4772 - - 4544 - - 3111 - - 2016 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11587 - - -8511 - - -7155 - - -9879 ODpotential blCL - - - 12147 - - 10046 - - 7715 - - 10439 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 50 - - 57 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 56.7 - - 55.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 39.3 - - 44.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 38.1 - - 43.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 50 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 991 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 34 263 40 269 39 279 38 272 96269 89209 20 253 35 280 29 298 23 291 89209 83760 9 282 24 274 18 316 15 303 83760 79182 15 319 12 294 11 289 12 315 79182 75215 14 317 8 336 9 268 11 334 75215 71700 16 310 14 321 15 318 17 336 71700 68516 13 312 19 312 25 307 20 322 68516 65597 11 331 18 327 20 326 19 336 65597 62876 21 348 25 334 25 341 25 340 62876 60228 30 340 27 331 24 341 24 359 60228 57459 31 350 31 349 28 357 37 352 57459 54606 41 352 43 351 43 356 48 352 54606 51901 43 349 49 348 58 358 49 359 51901 49453 45 351 54 351 65 002 56 357 49453 47240 48 354 54 355 70 358 64 356 47240 45223 52 359 54 358 68 354 66 356 45223 43375 56 001 54 360 63 354 65 359 43375 41684 59 001 56 001 62 357 63 352 41684 40140 64 360 59 003 64 005 59 358 40140 38717 63 355 62 006 70 009 61 015 38717 37381 58 351 64 007 72 010 68 013 37381 36079 53 351 60 004 73 013 70 012 36079 34748 52 351 53 356 71 012 66 015 34748 33358 52 348 50 354 63 006 66 025 33358 31914 53 346 48 357 53 356 53 032 31914 30407 50 346 45 358 50 346 39 011 30407 28822 44 350 40 357 45 349 36 357 28822 27156 38 351 33 355 40 355 31 002 27156 25406 33 352 28 356 34 360 24 009 25406 23572 29 350 23 353 24 000 19 359 23572 21658 26 348 22 348 20 358 19 352 21658 19660 25 349 20 356 18 003 19 360 19660 17574 24 355 19 007 16 021 14 015 17574 15446 24 004 19 010 14 028 10 038 15446 13398 22 012 18 013 14 032 9 037 13398 11536 21 017 17 016 14 031 9 028 11536 9883 20 020 16 013 14 023 10 026 9883 8418 16 028 13 010 13 016 11 029 8418 7118 13 038 10 016 11 011 10 035 7118 5967 10 035 10 016 9 015 7 041 5967 4952 8 029 9 014 7 021 2 054 4952 4063 8 035 6 020 4 022 2 169 4063 3281 6 047 3 044 1 016 3 160 3281 2586 6 064 2 104 1 014 3 146 2586 1974 7 076 3*113 2 042 3 132 1974 1466 9 082 3*088 3 052 8 122 1466 1078 10 086 3 074 4 048 11 109 1078 812 8 085 3 066 3 041 11 096 812 651 5*078 2 063 3 036 8*086 651 560 3*072 2 061 2*029 3*075 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography