DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 73.7 - - 72.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 490 - - 299 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 1549 - - 1170 - - 297 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1427 - - 1492 - - 1106 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2115 - - 2094 - - 1715 - - 842 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 600 - - 653 - - 723 - - 849 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 369 - - 285 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 260 - - 254 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3045 - - -4008 - - -4455 - - -3179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5161 - - 6103 - - 6170 - - 4021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10944 - - -12012 - - -12536 - - -12749 ODpotential blCL - - - 13059 - - 14106 - - 14251 - - 13591 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - 48 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 73.7 - - 72.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 49.2 - - 47.8 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 70.9 - - 70.8 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 48.7 - - 47.4 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 490 - - 299 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 1549 - - 1170 - - 297 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98999 33 104 31 113 32 097 29 090 98999 91505 28 121 28 102 29 107 29 095 91505 85741 28 114 23 107 26 101 28 097 85741 80971 24 107 25 109 25 102 23 097 80971 76867 21 110 19 109 22 108 18 102 76867 73246 17 108 16 122 17 102 16 101 73246 69975 11 123 17 129 9 110 10 078 69975 66979 8 105 13 130 12 141 7 148 66979 64207 5 131 11 151 7 146 8 143 64207 61518 14 211 7 213 1 149 4 110 61518 58721 19 176 21 212 18 237 14 261 58721 55830 10 214 20 195 24 224 25 242 55830 53072 29 255 27 245 27 244 29 247 53072 50580 47 252 46 253 38 252 36 249 50580 48339 53 251 53 255 44 253 41 250 48339 46301 53 252 54 256 48 254 43 250 46301 44438 47 254 49 254 48 253 43 253 44438 42729 40 260 40 252 46 251 43 256 42729 41150 37 261 35 257 40 253 39 257 41150 39677 34 261 36 257 34 257 33 258 39677 38293 32 263 37 253 33 259 28 263 38293 36958 32 265 35 255 34 256 27 268 36958 35597 32 269 33 262 34 254 28 268 35597 34180 32 273 33 266 33 255 26 269 34180 32707 32 275 32 268 32 262 26 273 32707 31162 31 275 29 270 30 265 26 270 31162 29534 31 273 27 275 27 271 23 266 29534 27821 30 275 26 280 26 278 19 268 27821 26021 29 278 25 277 26 279 20 268 26021 24135 29 278 25 272 26 273 22 270 24135 22168 30 280 26 275 26 273 22 271 22168 20117 30 278 24 276 23 268 21 267 20117 17977 30 275 25 269 23 261 22 259 17977 15794 28 276 25 270 22 262 21 260 15794 13692 24 275 21 274 17 265 15 265 13692 11783 18 270 16 275 12 266 9 261 11783 10094 12 254 12 268 9 259 8 243 10094 8597 11 241 11 252 9 251 8 236 8597 7269 11 244 12 248 11 254 8 244 7269 6093 10 261 11 255 12 266 10 265 6093 5055 10 284 9 272 11 292 11 283 5055 4147 10 301 9 293 12 314 11 297 4147 3349 9 314 9 296 12 313 12 316 3349 2638 7*307 9*286 13 296 13 324 2638 2012 7*269 11*266 14*272 11 314 2012 1492 7 265 13 261 14*258 11 287 1492 1094 8 264 13 259 14 254 10*261 1094 821 7 264 12 259 14 252 9*252 821 656 7 264 12 258 13 251 8 248 656 561 6 264 10 258 10 250 6 246 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography