DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 90.2 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 823 - - 2427 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 1860 - - - - - 546 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1369 - - 2973 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1372 - - 2467 - - - - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 316 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 265 - - - - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9742 - - -11207 - - - - - -8270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11112 - - 14181 - - - - - 8832 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18350 - - -18173 - - - - - -17035 ODpotential blCL - - - 19719 - - 21146 - - - - - 17597 blCL maxRH - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 90.2 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 29.8 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 88.7 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 28.9 - - - - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 190 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 823 - - 2427 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97630 18 276 20 280 18 291 97630 90353 5 274 12 260 14 299 90353 84753 9 311 2 218 11 294 84753 80111 4 226 5 317 3 178 80111 76110 6 147 5 271 3 113 76110 72576 4 106 10 192 2 313 72576 69386 14 169 7 198 3 212 69386 66448 11 120 14 201 7 305 66448 63739 13 323 10 143 13 259 63739 61145 21 288 15 325 12 223 61145 58446 13 233 21 290 8 265 58446 55651 10 172 10 249 21 296 55651 53000 13 341 5 301 24 301 53000 50619 28 336 12 326 20 310 50619 48468 31 345 19 342 22 317 48468 46494 36 354 26 349 23 326 46494 44665 40 358 33 354 24 337 44665 42962 43 001 38 360 24 357 42962 41368 41 013 40 005 25 013 41368 39869 40 022 39 015 25 027 39869 38456 37 035 38 022 28 037 38456 37095 35 050 37 038 32 041 37095 35713 37 062 37 054 34 052 35713 34275 39 070 40 070 36 074 34275 32784 41 073 44 081 43 090 32784 31230 43 076 45 085 43 090 31230 29598 44 077 44 084 42 082 29598 27888 44 077 45 083 42 080 27888 26093 44 076 46 083 43 085 26093 24214 43 077 45 084 42 095 24214 22256 43 081 43 085 30 101 22256 20219 42 084 40 090 18 112 20219 18095 40 086 34 095 15 113 18095 15927 37 089 24 103 17 114 15927 13836 28 101 27 129 17 121 13836 11933 21 129 29 137 20 134 11933 10242 18 138 12 152 24 143 10242 8738 16 133 5 246 24 153 8738 7403 13 130 7 237 18 163 7403 6217 12 137 9 229 11 165 6217 5166 15 144 9 226 7 160 5166 4240 15 155 7 224 3 120 4240 3424 11 172 6*232 5 050 3424 2696 8 182 5*247 6 043 2696 2053 6 173 6 261 5 049 2053 1518 5*149 6 268 4 058 1518 1109 4*133 7 271 3 062 1109 828 4 128 6 273 1 103 828 659 3 123 6 273 1*203 659 562 2 125 5 274 2*203 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography