DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Hollister 543ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 51.9 - - 58.0 - - 52.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 15 - - 48 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 160 - - 1013 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 543 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 704 - - 1557 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 177 - - 610 - - 999 - - 1050 - - 326 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 61 - - 158 - - 14 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 078 - - 069 - - 063 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1870 - - -2416 - - -1812 - - -1426 - - -1208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2430 - - 3121 - - 3369 - - 1986 - - 1768 sfcLCL ODpotential -16854 - - -13590 - - -10390 - - -10359 - - -13899 ODpotential blCL 17414 - - 14294 - - 11947 - - 10919 - - 14459 blCL maxRH 53 - - 60 - - 62 - - 71 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 51.9 - - 58.0 - - 52.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.1 - - 40.7 - - 45.6 - - 46.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 51.8 - - 57.6 - - 53.5 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 39.6 - - 44.3 - - 45.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 15 - - 48 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 160 - - 1013 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96217 22 103 16 075 18 090 19 077 21 129 96217 89212 30 087 21 089 18 085 17 092 17 115 89212 83809 25 078 26 084 21 086 13 106 11 076 83809 79312 22 071 23 077 22 075 18 096 16 096 79312 75412 22 079 19 064 20 071 18 065 18 068 75412 71968 29 068 19 067 20 081 14 068 14 060 71968 68849 24 047 18 064 20 074 20 070 19 069 68849 65969 20 055 23 054 22 054 22 057 21 057 65969 63296 28 060 23 063 17 060 20 043 20 049 63296 60715 32 054 30 066 23 070 22 045 21 042 60715 58028 41 047 39 057 30 059 25 045 22 043 58028 55238 46 043 48 047 41 050 34 039 29 038 55238 52569 49 038 48 040 43 048 38 039 33 049 52569 50148 46 037 52 046 50 047 48 039 42 036 50148 47966 53 040 66 039 59 036 51 025 38 022 47966 45969 66 029 66 028 60 026 48 020 32 020 45969 44114 59 027 57 027 54 027 45 027 39 022 44114 42385 61 037 55 037 58 034 49 030 50 023 42385 40772 77 039 66 037 69 027 59 024 62 020 40772 39271 92 032 79 027 70 022 68 014 67 016 39271 37870 94 028 84 024 73 018 71 009 73 020 37870 36524 89 029 85 023 72 017 69 014 83 020 36524 35161 80 027 78 020 69 016 71 021 85 020 35161 33749 68 023 67 017 64 014 79 024 86 022 33749 32291 63 023 59 013 57 012 82 025 83 023 32291 30767 61 024 56 012 55 013 78 025 76 023 30767 29161 58 025 53 011 57 013 71 026 67 022 29161 27473 53 023 48 009 55 013 63 025 61 020 27473 25699 51 022 46 010 53 015 59 023 58 018 25699 23839 54 025 46 012 50 017 56 022 58 016 23839 21899 58 029 47 014 46 021 51 022 55 014 21899 19875 56 030 46 018 44 024 46 022 48 015 19875 17764 52 029 42 020 43 025 45 025 45 018 17764 15606 46 028 39 018 42 027 44 029 46 020 15606 13522 37 028 35 022 37 029 43 031 46 024 13522 11625 28 027 27 027 30 029 37 034 42 028 11625 9942 23 024 22 025 22 025 29 034 36 030 9942 8453 20 024 18 023 17 023 22 029 31 027 8453 7137 16 027 12 023 12 025 17 029 27 022 7137 5977 10 023 6 017 8 022 12 029 22 020 5977 4958 8 016 3 349 6 020 9 031 16 021 4958 4066 8 020 1 339 4 032 6 040 12 019 4066 3282 9 020 1 357 3 057 4 053 9 015 3282 2585 9 016 2 017 4 074 4 065 7 012 2585 1973 8 024 2 048 6*077 6 076 6 029 1973 1466 7 061 5 095 8*072 11 075 10 059 1466 1078 8 087 7 090 8 069 12 073 11 070 1078 812 9 091 7*087 8 067 10 070 11 076 812 651 7*087 5*081 7 066 9 068 8*073 651 560 3*082 3 076 6 065 5*063 2*061 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography