DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 87.2 - - 91.6 - - 85.3 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 115 - - 240 - - 67 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 750 - - 1057 - - 574 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 546 - - 970 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1296 - - 1604 - - 1121 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 105 - - 1133 - - 2095 - - 407 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 182 - - 258 - - 138 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 23 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 148 - - 009 - - 278 - - 271 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3559 - - -8798 - - -8139 - - -6319 - - -1532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4120 - - 10094 - - 9743 - - 7440 - - 2094 sfcLCL ODpotential -13262 - - -16463 - - -11598 - - -11028 - - -8792 ODpotential blCL 13823 - - 17759 - - 13202 - - 12149 - - 9354 blCL maxRH 38 - - 38 - - 40 - - 40 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 87.2 - - 91.6 - - 85.3 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.6 - - 45.3 - - 51.1 - - 55.0 - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 86.5 - - 89.8 - - 84.7 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 44.6 - - 50.5 - - 54.6 - - 62.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 115 - - 240 - - 67 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 750 - - 1057 - - 574 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97914 7 266 9 335 8 255 6 334 12 337 97914 90599 3 174 6 359 3 003 5 076 5 349 90599 84942 7 072 2 340 2 351 8 033 7 017 84942 80265 10 065 5 108 4 068 6 035 10 045 80265 76260 10 068 15 110 11 087 10 069 11 042 76260 72747 11 065 12 082 19 089 16 080 17 060 72747 69595 12 041 13 088 13 080 12 080 15 061 69595 66705 6 091 8 084 9 084 7 079 14 066 66705 64012 9 064 7 114 3 160 6 008 11 042 64012 61406 8 354 9 047 5 166 6 290 13 339 61406 58716 18 303 19 323 15 318 14 310 21 329 58716 55946 30 294 30 301 29 306 28 302 28 316 55946 53303 39 292 38 299 36 301 39 305 36 307 53303 50914 47 293 46 298 46 298 48 304 42 306 50914 48755 53 293 53 295 53 296 54 300 48 304 48755 46773 57 292 55 294 54 294 57 299 53 303 46773 44938 60 294 56 295 56 294 59 298 55 301 44938 43227 64 294 59 294 57 294 60 297 56 300 43227 41625 70 292 65 291 58 294 59 296 57 297 41625 40118 69 290 66 289 61 294 60 294 56 295 40118 38697 67 290 63 291 62 293 61 293 57 293 38697 37325 66 292 60 292 59 293 60 292 56 292 37325 35933 63 294 57 291 54 292 55 291 52 290 35933 34487 57 297 50 290 48 289 49 288 48 286 34487 32989 48 299 43 287 42 286 44 287 43 286 32989 31421 40 289 38 284 39 283 41 287 39 287 31421 29772 35 286 35 282 35 282 36 286 35 286 29772 28042 33 285 32 283 29 285 30 287 28 286 28042 26229 28 284 27 286 24 287 24 291 21 286 26229 24336 20 290 19 288 19 284 20 286 18 284 24336 22364 12 295 14 282 13 279 15 282 14 281 22364 20307 6 293 9 270 8 274 8 292 7 280 20307 18163 3 065 2 178 2 209 1 014 2 134 18163 15982 5 130 6 143 7 158 6 145 10 141 15982 13891 11 164 13 156 14 166 12 154 15 144 13891 11991 18 174 16 168 13 170 12 159 13 145 11991 10301 15 190 12 186 7 173 8 153 7 140 10301 8796 8 183 7 198 3 164 4 130 4 116 8796 7455 4 122 4 169 2 130 3 107 4 099 7455 6260 3 063 4 127 2 069 4 055 6 069 6260 5201 4 039 3 085 5 040 7 041 8 044 5201 4268 6 042 4 051 6 033 7 029 9 030 4268 3445 8 038 6 044 5 019 7 002 10 017 3445 2709 9 029 7 042 4 358 9 343 13 007 2709 2061 9 022 6 045 4*324 10 330 16 359 2061 1522 8 018 4*047 6*285 9*304 15 353 1522 1111 5 022 2*024 7 278 8*275 9 334 1111 829 2 076 2 009 7 277 8 270 5 263 829 659 3 125 1 357 7 275 8 269 6*221 659 562 3*148 1 354 6 275 6 267 4*215 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography