DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 26 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2433 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 2977 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3158 - - 2692 - - 4262 - - 1485 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 188 - - 16 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 15 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 193 - - 169 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1130 - - 431 - - -1302 - - -805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1690 - - 2546 - - 1863 - - 1365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2143 - - -825 - - -2097 - - -3059 ODpotential blCL - - - 2703 - - 3802 - - 2658 - - 3619 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 91 - - 85 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 190 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.9 - - 48.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 57.9 - - 55.7 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 26 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2433 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 64 - - 41 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96406 35 301 33 294 24 322 25 310 96406 89220 9 317 11 333 17 309 23 312 89220 83708 9 299 18 312 13 334 10 344 83708 79152 6 255 11 262 13 290 11 306 79152 75220 12 308 6 157 7 210 14 231 75220 71733 20 260 12 284 5 229 10 236 71733 68535 20 235 14 223 14 242 14 253 68535 65562 21 247 21 236 19 249 17 257 65562 62792 22 248 28 236 21 241 21 247 62792 60099 22 264 26 266 19 267 18 254 60099 57277 29 257 29 265 25 257 20 261 57277 54328 28 257 25 256 23 260 23 259 54328 51501 34 257 28 271 27 269 20 261 51501 48957 30 250 36 269 30 271 23 272 48957 46689 30 257 39 262 32 265 26 269 46689 44641 37 273 41 259 32 258 27 262 44641 42769 43 267 40 258 32 264 26 256 42769 41042 43 262 45 258 39 265 25 258 41042 39440 55 255 49 251 45 258 28 266 39440 37946 58 248 55 247 51 258 37 261 37946 36553 58 251 61 250 61 249 43 255 36553 35220 69 257 70 256 65 245 52 247 35220 33882 86 259 84 256 74 249 60 243 33882 32508 92 255 94 251 86 251 69 246 32508 31093 87 252 94 247 90 248 79 247 31093 29617 83 250 85 243 86 245 82 243 29617 28064 77 248 75 244 79 238 74 237 28064 26433 72 248 66 247 71 234 64 231 26433 24726 66 253 59 247 60 241 54 233 24726 22946 48 262 52 246 50 248 43 236 22946 21097 39 250 45 246 36 246 32 228 21097 19170 39 249 39 246 30 239 27 216 19170 17155 33 254 31 241 28 234 25 214 17155 15096 23 253 30 230 29 232 22 221 15096 13110 17 253 27 221 28 225 21 222 13110 11305 14 248 21 209 25 212 22 212 11305 9703 17 240 18 197 20 197 22 203 9703 8283 18 222 16 193 18 193 22 201 8283 7021 18 214 14 199 18 198 22 205 7021 5902 18 213 16 205 20 200 22 208 5902 4911 19 213 19 203 21 200 23 208 4911 4038 21 210 20 199 22 197 23 206 4038 3269 21 205 19*196 22 193 22 203 3269 2581 19 198 18*194 21 188 20 197 2581 1974 16 189 17 193 19 185 16 189 1974 1468 15 180 16 193 17 182 17 177 1468 1081 13 175 14 193 14 180 16 170 1081 814 10 169 13 193 11 177 11 159 814 652 8 168 11 193 8*175 7 142 652 560 5*164 7 194 4*169 4*115 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography