DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 51.9 - - 60.8 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 8 - - 67 - - 19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1643 - - 874 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 2187 - - 1418 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 188 - - 583 - - 1633 - - 1317 - - 885 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 23 - - 205 - - 110 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 31 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 083 - - 286 - - 290 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1755 - - -2967 - - -2937 - - -707 - - -241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2315 - - 3528 - - 5124 - - 2125 - - 801 sfcLCL ODpotential -11317 - - -9818 - - -8090 - - -3124 - - -5323 ODpotential blCL 11877 - - 10378 - - 10277 - - 4542 - - 5883 blCL maxRH 57 - - 53 - - 86 - - 79 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 51.9 - - 60.8 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 38.9 - - 40.6 - - 49.1 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 52.1 - - 60.2 - - 56.1 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 37.7 - - 39.4 - - 48.3 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 8 - - 67 - - 19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1643 - - 874 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 43 - - 15 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95361 78 274 62 289 61 281 55 287 75 274 95361 88538 46 280 36 289 49 284 42 304 42 285 88538 83234 30 297 27 284 37 287 36 306 32 300 83234 78769 25 310 22 288 30 295 31 302 32 307 78769 74875 28 309 18 291 27 299 28 301 31 310 74875 71401 25 305 15 288 25 295 27 297 31 311 71401 68236 24 318 14 287 24 290 30 287 31 303 68236 65320 29 308 13 291 20 288 29 279 30 307 65320 62603 26 298 18 307 20 302 29 285 35 308 62603 59957 28 314 25 303 23 302 28 292 35 292 59957 57181 35 302 29 302 27 300 29 297 31 289 57181 54276 38 295 31 295 32 295 37 298 36 296 54276 51490 39 294 32 300 34 291 41 296 41 299 51490 48989 37 303 39 303 40 300 45 294 42 296 48989 46759 46 300 43 292 46 289 47 292 42 296 46759 44746 46 300 48 291 46 292 48 291 45 296 44746 42911 60 302 61 282 57 290 52 290 50 291 42911 41229 68 298 61 282 60 280 60 282 55 284 41229 39681 63 301 58 286 54 276 59 279 53 282 39681 38247 62 311 57 288 47 281 59 281 52 284 38247 36908 62 309 57 288 50 285 57 280 53 285 36908 35619 58 303 51 288 50 283 53 280 54 283 35619 34310 57 299 47 286 49 282 53 282 54 281 34310 32948 56 297 49 284 48 282 53 283 52 280 32948 31532 49 301 45 287 47 280 51 284 50 279 31532 30046 39 312 36 286 44 280 46 283 48 277 30046 28480 39 310 34 291 42 283 43 281 44 276 28480 26838 40 309 38 296 36 287 44 280 34 276 26838 25115 38 310 42 295 38 288 39 284 25 274 25115 23311 35 309 35 293 40 288 35 277 25 274 23311 21426 32 311 24 301 30 285 34 277 26 275 21426 19457 31 317 20 313 16 275 17 270 25 303 19457 17405 29 328 18 321 12 285 11 248 16 270 17405 15312 20 337 12 334 10 289 11 248 8 230 15312 13293 12 349 8 353 3 287 6 218 10 238 13293 11457 7 356 4 008 1 182 4 188 11 230 11457 9826 6 360 1 013 3 188 4 184 10 219 9826 8379 5 025 2 124 7 199 6 226 9 220 8379 7095 3 052 4 162 9 213 13 255 8 243 7095 5956 1 068 5 184 9 230 13 252 9 258 5956 4950 2 226 6 197 9 242 10 238 8 254 4950 4065 4 220 7 207 8 250 7 227 4 231 4065 3285 6 218 6 217 7 251 5 216 5 193 3285 2589 6 219 5 212 4*243 3 220 5 165 2589 1978 6 215 3 205 2*248 3 268 4 136 1978 1469 6 190 5 182 1 281 5*290 2 094 1469 1081 7 136 6 143 1 294 6*291 2 031 1081 814 8 097 6 111 1 312 6 290 3 024 814 652 7*079 4*093 1 317 5 289 3 027 652 560 3*066 3*083 1 320 4 291 2*028 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography