DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.1 - - 69.9 - - 66.9 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 207 - - 277 - - 164 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1072 - - 1265 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 939 - - 1168 - - 544 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 693 - - 1617 - - 1809 - - 1380 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 473 - - 519 - - 822 - - 455 - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 250 - - 291 - - 213 - - 9 W* B/S 13 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 286 - - 270 - - 266 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -902 - - -1816 - - -2868 - - -2472 - - -875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1595 - - 3434 - - 4677 - - 3852 - - 1436 sfcLCL ODpotential -8523 - - -6564 - - -6584 - - -6865 - - -6622 ODpotential blCL 9216 - - 8181 - - 8393 - - 8245 - - 7183 blCL maxRH 83 - - 69 - - 58 - - 64 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.1 - - 69.9 - - 66.9 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 51.2 - - 51.5 - - 52.2 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 62.7 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.5 - - 50.0 - - 50.3 - - 51.3 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 207 - - 277 - - 164 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1072 - - 1265 - - 836 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97791 5 344 4 197 12 261 13 306 14 299 97791 90366 5 047 2 243 4 289 7 246 10 320 90366 84686 7 058 3 294 5 337 2 225 5 326 84686 79986 6 038 2 065 2 174 4 315 5 286 79986 75935 5 043 5 078 2 159 6 353 2 211 75935 72345 5 058 6 081 2 197 8 346 7 070 72345 69087 4 018 3 075 4 196 8 322 9 034 69087 66093 1 279 5 005 4 181 5 301 6 017 66093 63312 0 183 10 323 2 327 5 319 5 348 63312 60611 1 337 6 287 6 293 8 307 9 337 60611 57796 11 325 7 321 13 328 12 330 16 352 57796 54886 12 318 11 323 18 326 13 325 19 345 54886 52113 11 331 13 335 18 323 14 335 22 339 52113 49617 15 335 16 330 18 322 19 337 21 335 49617 47383 22 331 19 338 17 332 22 340 19 337 47383 45360 29 333 22 347 21 347 23 336 23 332 45360 43516 30 341 25 347 27 341 24 326 25 330 43516 41828 30 356 30 352 34 336 29 321 30 328 41828 40278 32 004 33 353 36 329 36 321 32 327 40278 38844 31 002 33 354 31 325 38 318 37 317 38844 37504 28 001 32 354 27 326 36 315 38 311 37504 36209 28 006 29 353 26 327 32 315 39 311 36209 34888 28 008 27 349 25 329 29 323 38 315 34888 33509 28 001 26 345 24 330 27 327 36 323 33509 32074 26 355 25 343 25 328 26 331 34 326 32074 30566 22 353 24 343 27 324 25 331 32 323 30566 28977 21 351 25 339 26 323 23 329 27 320 28977 27307 22 350 23 333 23 324 23 324 26 327 27307 25554 23 347 23 329 22 324 22 319 26 329 25554 23719 22 345 23 328 21 329 21 325 24 328 23719 21810 21 346 19 333 19 328 20 330 21 325 21810 19817 23 352 17 345 15 331 18 332 18 322 19817 17736 23 003 16 352 13 339 15 342 16 322 17736 15609 22 017 14 006 11 348 14 347 12 331 15609 13553 20 024 13 023 9 016 13 348 11 341 13553 11682 13 035 11 035 9 035 9 356 9 353 11682 10021 9 035 9 032 9 028 7 011 6 354 10021 8549 10 027 9 030 9 026 5 023 6 345 8549 7241 12 026 11 031 10 038 6 034 7 358 7241 6080 13 028 12 034 11 041 8 034 7 359 6080 5051 13 032 10 035 9 039 7 027 8 348 5051 4144 10 031 6 031 6 022 6 004 10 342 4144 3345 7 019 3 017 5 345 7 342 12 339 3345 2631 6 002 2 344 5 305 7 327 13 337 2631 2003 5 348 3*296 7*281 7 295 10 327 2003 1483 2 322 5*285 8*271 9*270 8 290 1483 1088 1 225 5 286 8 270 10*267 9 253 1088 818 1*222 5 286 8 270 10 266 8 246 818 654 1*230 5 287 8 270 9 266 7*244 654 561 1 232 4 289 7 270 7 266 5*242 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography