DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Hollister 547ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 59.9 - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 307 - - 141 - - 83 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 170 - - 2031 - - 1245 - - 1247 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 547 - - 1740 - - 866 - - 547 - - 547 Hcrit BL Top 717 - - 2578 - - 1792 - - 1794 - - 564 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 861 - - 1000 - - 1125 - - 1642 - - 2126 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 348 - - 232 - - 196 - - 14 W* B/S 12 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 270 - - 266 - - 254 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2218 - - -1072 - - -416 - - 698 - - -634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2935 - - 3650 - - 2208 - - 1096 - - 1198 sfcLCL ODpotential -9580 - - -4457 - - -2711 - - 436 - - -1661 ODpotential blCL 10297 - - 7035 - - 4503 - - 1358 - - 2225 blCL maxRH 66 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 59.9 - - 55.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 45.9 - - 47.7 - - 51.6 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 58.3 - - 54.4 - - 53.8 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 45.3 - - 46.5 - - 50.7 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 307 - - 141 - - 83 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 170 - - 2031 - - 1245 - - 1247 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 86 - - 101 - - 102 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97906 27 096 27 106 21 105 24 105 20 101 97906 90503 26 093 29 100 22 122 21 109 23 100 90503 84801 24 101 29 097 23 125 16 112 24 098 84801 80071 22 103 21 101 22 128 13 124 21 100 80071 75985 16 106 17 119 17 131 13 130 16 108 75985 72360 13 119 12 131 13 143 9 143 12 121 72360 69069 7 159 9 159 8 173 7 192 11 120 69069 66026 7 186 10 178 11 206 10 208 4 228 66026 63190 13 229 13 230 14 222 9 227 13 248 63190 60439 18 242 20 222 26 234 21 245 19 256 60439 57563 19 259 24 255 27 240 27 250 25 261 57563 54571 38 270 34 254 36 256 40 249 36 261 54571 51725 47 271 44 265 38 255 33 255 42 256 51725 49182 56 280 56 274 50 281 42 277 43 262 49182 46906 75 278 76 273 83 271 63 273 58 267 46906 44844 86 276 84 268 84 262 72 260 73 261 44844 42962 97 278 87 267 88 266 74 261 76 256 42962 41235 109 274 100 267 107 265 93 268 81 259 41235 39643 105 273 109 265 122 256 121 264 95 262 39643 38161 101 276 112 267 119 253 130 258 109 260 38161 36773 102 278 111 269 116 257 125 258 114 257 36773 35435 103 281 110 270 113 260 122 257 115 257 35435 34081 101 282 108 271 110 262 120 257 114 257 34081 32681 96 283 104 272 108 265 117 260 110 257 32681 31239 91 282 101 273 107 267 115 265 103 256 31239 29743 88 283 97 275 107 268 104 268 91 253 29743 28184 85 285 90 277 105 271 82 262 76 249 28184 26559 78 288 79 277 92 275 72 246 63 245 26559 24857 66 290 68 276 68 272 69 236 56 242 24857 23069 56 289 51 270 45 256 55 244 56 243 23069 21199 43 286 46 256 42 240 43 247 53 240 21199 19251 37 285 47 256 43 240 40 241 42 234 19251 17219 32 282 41 259 43 246 33 249 30 231 17219 15146 30 272 32 263 51 250 26 266 27 235 15146 13149 24 246 24 241 51 254 30 279 33 244 13149 11337 19 237 29 224 43 265 36 283 46 268 11337 9733 18 229 24 215 33 261 39 279 40 283 9733 8309 17 228 21 213 31 233 34 276 27 286 8309 7045 16 233 20 216 30 217 28 269 21 267 7045 5922 15 235 19 216 27 210 22 251 26 250 5922 4928 15 229 20 216 25 208 20 240 31 241 4928 4051 15 221 19 215 22 211 21 235 29 233 4051 3279 13 210 17 218 20 217 20 233 25 222 3279 2590 9 203 14*233 18 225 19 232 22 208 2590 1981 5 209 12*262 14*239 15*236 21 191 1981 1474 3 236 11 270 12*259 12*247 21 177 1474 1086 3 232 11 272 11 267 11 254 19 173 1086 819 2*207 10 273 11 269 10 257 16 172 819 657 1*204 10 274 10 270 9 258 12*171 657 564 1 208 8 275 8 271 7 260 8*170 564 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography