DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.7 - - 61.1 - - 59.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 17 - - 51 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 164 - - 1203 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 543 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 708 - - 1747 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 547 - - 838 - - 1991 - - 296 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 63 - - 170 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 066 - - 350 - - 348 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2221 - - -2692 - - -2569 - - -2394 - - -993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2781 - - 3400 - - 4316 - - 2955 - - 1553 sfcLCL ODpotential -16592 - - -14006 - - -11905 - - -10974 - - -12831 ODpotential blCL 17152 - - 14714 - - 13652 - - 11535 - - 13391 blCL maxRH 48 - - 57 - - 58 - - 64 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.7 - - 61.1 - - 59.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 41.3 - - 44.6 - - 48.7 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 53.6 - - 60.6 - - 60.5 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 40.1 - - 43.3 - - 47.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 17 - - 51 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 164 - - 1203 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96404 27 104 19 107 13 114 17 099 12 142 96404 89293 20 083 18 108 12 095 12 076 15 092 89293 83785 14 102 16 087 14 091 12 066 13 076 83785 79219 16 090 12 068 11 067 15 051 16 056 79219 75310 13 060 10 076 9 048 9 041 11 038 75310 71867 11 050 7 072 9 025 9 021 13 010 71867 68747 7 023 5 090 6 008 10 348 13 348 68747 65878 11 356 14 022 13 023 8 331 14 318 65878 63222 13 353 18 347 18 357 17 343 18 346 63222 60667 7 354 20 343 19 341 23 338 24 337 60667 58011 15 351 19 346 13 336 21 339 24 327 58011 55244 19 359 23 009 21 348 22 324 27 311 55244 52581 27 008 24 002 21 328 23 314 30 315 52581 50162 29 008 23 347 24 329 34 332 32 321 50162 47975 30 009 31 352 35 341 39 336 31 330 47975 45975 40 006 42 352 42 342 41 336 38 336 45975 44133 48 001 46 348 46 343 45 334 46 339 44133 42432 48 003 45 349 47 347 49 339 54 344 42432 40856 57 014 52 358 48 356 55 349 60 347 40856 39390 75 016 67 004 60 000 62 354 57 344 39390 38017 83 015 72 010 69 005 63 002 51 347 38017 36687 83 016 81 017 78 011 64 004 47 353 36687 35328 82 017 91 019 83 012 63 005 48 356 35328 33913 80 017 85 015 75 009 66 006 57 355 33913 32446 80 016 75 012 69 006 70 004 62 353 32446 30911 79 015 71 011 68 004 67 002 63 352 30911 29296 78 015 70 009 69 004 61 003 59 351 29296 27599 74 015 71 008 67 002 59 004 53 350 27599 25817 68 015 68 009 62 001 58 358 50 344 25817 23949 63 013 60 011 57 001 56 352 50 340 23949 22000 58 007 50 011 52 357 49 351 48 341 22000 19968 54 001 48 008 45 354 40 354 43 344 19968 17848 51 001 46 007 36 000 37 355 37 347 17848 15687 47 007 39 009 29 009 35 359 36 354 15687 13607 41 010 30 009 27 008 29 003 35 360 13607 11716 37 008 27 006 26 003 27 000 30 005 11716 10036 33 008 24 007 23 359 26 001 24 008 10036 8542 28 011 21 009 19 359 22 003 19 006 8542 7216 23 016 17 005 15 359 18 003 16 004 7216 6043 19 019 14 359 13 357 15 002 13 008 6043 5009 17 017 12 356 12 358 13 004 12 015 5009 4103 16 013 12 356 12 359 12 006 12 017 4103 3308 13 007 13 352 12 358 11 007 12 011 3308 2603 9 005 11 348 9 356 8 011 10 004 2603 1984 5 023 8 352 5*355 5 017 6 006 1984 1472 6 069 5 040 2*354 3 014 5 055 1472 1081 7 088 7 075 1 350 3 012 9 084 1081 814 8 089 6*075 1 347 2 005 9 093 814 652 5*077 4*071 1 347 2*360 6 087 652 560 3*057 3 062 1 351 1*348 2*079 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography