DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 57.1 - - 63.3 - - 58.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 9 - - 39 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 592 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1137 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 646 - - 453 - - 611 - - 299 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 27 - - 128 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 074 - - 071 - - 064 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1846 - - -2057 - - -1474 - - -1266 - - -1123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2406 - - 2617 - - 2611 - - 1827 - - 1683 sfcLCL ODpotential -13699 - - -11090 - - -9528 - - -9664 - - -12241 ODpotential blCL 14259 - - 11650 - - 10665 - - 10225 - - 12801 blCL maxRH 57 - - 65 - - 67 - - 71 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 57.1 - - 63.3 - - 58.9 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 48.0 - - 54.0 - - 53.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 57.0 - - 62.9 - - 59.9 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 46.9 - - 52.7 - - 52.1 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 9 - - 39 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 592 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 14 062 13 042 3 098 4 261 7 279 96310 89260 11 083 8 044 6 068 5 101 9 079 89260 83796 11 082 2 303 8 018 1 032 11 058 83796 79234 9 058 5 206 6 347 4 332 8 033 79234 75284 7 012 6 284 10 335 9 019 4 002 75284 71788 5 006 11 293 14 313 11 353 9 013 71788 68620 7 341 12 300 18 305 15 326 14 360 68620 65708 13 335 14 311 19 304 18 313 14 348 65708 63004 17 323 17 318 18 307 20 310 16 332 63004 60385 19 314 19 322 17 317 23 305 19 319 60385 57659 25 314 24 317 19 313 24 293 22 300 57659 54829 31 306 28 317 22 314 23 295 24 294 54829 52122 32 299 33 312 28 301 28 296 31 291 52122 49680 31 297 34 305 32 299 32 291 31 293 49680 47491 27 290 25 294 31 293 32 286 33 291 47491 45510 18 283 17 290 21 282 29 285 31 287 45510 43702 12 330 11 267 14 257 25 267 25 277 43702 42042 6 317 5 210 16 204 20 236 27 260 42042 40509 9 200 9 149 18 181 17 233 23 239 40509 39082 19 177 11 154 14 200 21 250 20 241 39082 37741 25 173 16 185 20 223 33 249 25 258 37741 36442 29 169 24 185 24 221 35 243 32 256 36442 35116 26 160 28 174 24 220 32 240 33 252 35116 33729 23 144 28 165 24 222 27 246 29 248 33729 32285 22 146 25 169 22 219 29 248 27 241 32285 30769 25 162 26 180 24 213 26 245 26 240 30769 29169 27 179 28 188 27 207 24 234 23 235 29169 27487 26 187 28 196 29 206 25 226 23 228 27487 25722 23 196 26 202 29 204 23 230 22 231 25722 23875 21 209 22 204 28 201 19 234 19 234 23875 21955 20 225 19 207 24 204 15 236 11 227 21955 19958 10 231 15 209 16 220 9 258 2 104 19958 17872 7 302 7 269 9 298 8 322 6 006 17872 15734 18 323 17 325 14 331 11 340 10 359 15734 13664 21 330 20 336 15 340 11 344 12 353 13664 11775 21 339 19 343 15 350 11 348 13 356 11775 10091 19 344 17 350 14 360 10 358 13 007 10091 8592 15 352 13 359 11 007 10 011 14 017 8592 7261 11 002 10 009 8 012 9 015 14 017 7261 6084 9 016 7 022 6 016 9 014 14 017 6084 5047 9 027 6 035 6 024 9 018 14 023 5047 4137 11 031 6 040 7 034 9 028 14 028 4137 3336 11 034 6 038 7 038 9 034 12 030 3336 2622 9 031 5 042 6 041 8 035 10 026 2622 1995 9 047 8 078 8 063 9 052 11 046 1995 1477 16 073 15 086 12*076 13 073 17 071 1477 1083 19 082 15 084 12*074 15 077 20 081 1083 815 16 082 13 080 11 071 13 075 16 080 815 653 10 076 11 077 10 070 10*072 12 077 653 560 4*068 6*074 7 068 4*064 3*067 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography