DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.7 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 442 - - 271 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 1037 - - 756 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 776 - - 1101 - - 779 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1343 - - 1582 - - 1301 - - 849 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 432 - - 320 - - 390 - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 313 - - 239 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 272 - - 264 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -742 - - -1970 - - -1680 - - -813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2085 - - 3552 - - 2981 - - 1662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11084 - - -11227 - - -11578 - - -12798 ODpotential blCL - - - 12427 - - 12809 - - 12879 - - 13647 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 78 - - 82 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 74.0 - - 71.7 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.5 - - 60.4 - - 60.5 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 71.5 - - 69.8 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 60.1 - - 60.2 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 442 - - 271 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 798 - - 1037 - - 756 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 11 - - 27 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99314 41 109 36 113 28 116 26 092 99314 91810 35 112 28 108 30 106 29 111 91810 86022 34 110 28 107 29 103 39 109 86022 81255 32 107 32 110 33 108 31 105 81255 77173 30 105 32 106 30 103 27 116 77173 73554 25 100 28 111 23 093 24 110 73554 70269 17 098 21 117 17 114 15 076 70269 67264 10 112 19 125 15 128 7 093 67264 64487 11 147 14 137 14 137 8 129 64487 61799 14 148 9 175 5 138 7 109 61799 59018 14 140 11 200 6 244 4 017 59018 56179 11 164 10 194 10 227 5 277 56179 53507 10 206 8 190 14 200 12 209 53507 51116 9 229 9 186 15 180 18 195 51116 48967 8 243 11 197 14 192 17 193 48967 47008 11 228 17 207 16 217 19 203 47008 45199 17 230 22 224 22 227 20 213 45199 43509 25 237 29 236 28 234 22 224 43509 41923 29 236 36 239 30 240 27 238 41923 40426 29 233 35 238 34 243 35 240 40426 39008 27 233 27 236 25 239 33 239 39008 37632 24 236 24 238 21 233 24 228 37632 36231 20 233 22 237 19 235 20 222 36231 34773 19 227 20 231 19 229 20 227 34773 33262 17 231 17 224 21 224 18 226 33262 31679 16 236 16 217 23 218 17 217 31679 30013 13 232 16 212 20 220 15 215 30013 28263 11 223 15 208 18 210 16 208 28263 26432 11 213 15 200 15 198 16 190 26432 24527 13 198 15 203 12 197 14 167 24527 22555 17 195 21 209 15 205 12 170 22555 20502 19 198 22 206 22 195 19 189 20502 18361 23 206 20 207 23 190 24 183 18361 16170 25 213 21 216 17 199 20 171 16170 14049 21 227 19 230 14 224 10 182 14049 12111 17 237 15 245 11 253 5 247 12111 10384 13 231 12 243 7 263 3 292 10384 8846 10 227 9 231 5 246 1 251 8846 7476 8 226 8 222 5 233 2 226 7476 6259 7 224 8 213 5 227 4 244 6259 5181 8 209 8 207 5 216 4 249 5181 4234 10 185 9 192 4 199 4 242 4234 3402 11 180 8 184 2 214 3 266 3402 2665 9 203 6 204 4 288 6 313 2665 2022 8 258 9*268 10 281 10 301 2022 1494 7*266 11*272 11*269 11 283 1494 1094 7*268 11 272 11*264 10*261 1094 821 7 270 11 272 11 264 8*252 821 656 6 270 10 272 10 264 8 251 656 561 6 271 9 272 8 263 6 250 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography