DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 45.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 32 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1309 - - 902 - - 510 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4369 - - 3962 - - 3570 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2455 - - 2995 - - 3696 - - 3958 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 134 - - 70 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 28 - - 22 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 209 - - 216 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 24 - - 24 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1293 - - 886 - - 494 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 506 - - 252 - - 2 - - -249 ODpotential blCL - - - 3863 - - 3710 - - 3568 - - 3325 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 110 - - 170 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 45.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 44.0 - - 44.2 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 45.5 - - 45.8 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 43.6 - - 44.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 32 - - 6 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1309 - - 902 - - 510 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 97 - - 90 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 18 329 21 304 24 334 17 319 96191 89139 13 288 25 313 16 332 17 315 89139 83702 14 321 18 312 15 325 21 311 83702 79176 17 291 16 314 18 299 21 318 79176 75226 20 266 16 268 28 249 24 275 75226 71727 13 251 11 255 16 245 22 255 71727 68551 11 243 20 263 5 036 9 240 68551 65583 36 243 42 247 20 273 3 115 65583 62770 55 240 54 237 52 240 30 259 62770 60038 57 235 57 234 59 236 51 239 60038 57220 48 230 53 233 55 242 54 241 57220 54318 51 243 57 247 54 248 54 247 54318 51557 61 243 67 249 64 253 60 252 51557 49074 66 242 75 247 74 252 69 254 49074 46851 72 243 81 248 81 253 77 252 46851 44836 82 247 91 249 88 253 79 247 44836 42993 96 249 102 247 97 250 81 245 42993 41299 109 248 108 246 102 248 89 247 41299 39739 113 248 109 249 108 252 99 250 39739 38292 118 252 118 254 121 255 108 251 38292 36937 128 254 130 256 131 255 114 250 36937 35637 134 254 133 256 134 252 119 248 35637 34325 132 253 129 255 133 249 121 247 34325 32969 127 252 122 252 130 250 120 246 32969 31571 123 249 116 249 129 251 116 245 31571 30120 117 246 112 249 125 251 113 245 30120 28606 107 245 109 251 115 250 111 246 28606 27031 96 243 104 251 105 246 110 246 27031 25394 89 237 98 250 96 244 108 246 25394 23700 85 232 90 249 91 245 109 245 23700 21953 79 230 83 244 86 247 107 245 21953 20154 74 228 77 237 78 245 96 242 20154 18299 74 226 72 232 72 241 83 238 18299 16427 75 224 70 225 68 236 75 235 16427 14637 72 223 70 221 63 233 69 232 14637 13018 62 221 74 220 59 231 62 230 13018 11579 53 221 71 222 56 231 59 229 11579 10294 49 225 62 225 53 230 57 232 10294 9146 49 231 55 228 50 226 54 234 9146 8122 47 233 49 229 47 223 50 233 8122 7209 44 233 44 226 44 220 47 227 7209 6400 40 230 40 220 42 218 46 218 6400 5679 36 226 38 215 40 218 47 213 5679 5028 33 222 37 213 39 217 46 211 5028 4449 30*219 35*211 37 216 45 209 4449 3962 28*218 34*210 34 216 41 207 3962 3586 25 217 31 209 31*215 37 206 3586 3326 22 217 28 209 27*215 32 205 3326 3168 19 217 24 209 24 216 28 206 3168 3076 13 218 15 210 15 217 16*206 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography