DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 61.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 60 - - 27 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1167 - - 798 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4228 - - 3859 - - 4518 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 461 - - 1356 - - 2265 - - 2059 - - 2227 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 181 - - 123 - - 129 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 269 - - 330 - - 022 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -689 - - 847 - - 663 - - 1205 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3767 - - 3381 - - 3196 - - 3313 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -7697 - - -448 - - -349 - - 96 - - -1213 ODpotential blCL 10774 - - 4676 - - 4208 - - 4422 - - 4290 blCL maxRH 89 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 40 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 59.5 - - 60.1 - - 61.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 55.1 - - 56.4 - - 57.0 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 58.9 - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 54.0 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 60 - - 27 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1167 - - 798 - - 1456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 73 - - 100 - - 100 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96469 17 098 16 090 9 132 15 079 10 105 96469 89338 11 082 15 109 9 103 13 098 12 062 89338 83822 5 056 6 106 6 036 7 091 12 021 83822 79242 10 019 9 072 7 026 5 023 13 013 79242 75287 14 339 14 001 15 002 12 005 22 004 75287 71816 16 318 12 333 17 317 20 323 23 339 71816 68718 20 320 22 351 13 333 16 318 16 344 68718 65873 33 329 32 331 23 327 26 328 19 330 65873 63227 45 306 37 313 36 316 38 311 30 314 63227 60650 42 290 42 299 45 310 44 306 35 306 60650 57939 42 289 46 297 50 299 47 300 44 303 57939 55109 47 285 50 290 50 290 54 292 61 296 55109 52412 51 276 50 281 51 279 59 284 63 281 52412 49998 52 275 53 281 56 276 63 277 62 278 49998 47838 64 281 66 277 66 271 68 272 70 278 47838 45883 79 275 70 271 66 268 77 272 81 276 45883 44096 80 272 62 269 65 268 82 269 82 273 44096 42442 76 271 60 275 71 268 79 266 82 271 42442 40901 80 271 68 272 75 265 76 270 77 272 40901 39457 85 269 71 269 74 266 74 274 74 272 39457 38093 81 271 70 268 73 266 71 273 74 272 38093 36773 77 274 72 270 73 268 69 273 73 273 36773 35435 77 275 71 272 72 272 69 271 68 270 35435 34051 74 274 69 273 70 274 68 268 67 269 34051 32625 73 272 68 273 68 272 67 266 69 270 32625 31143 73 269 68 271 66 271 64 265 70 271 31143 29596 72 270 67 267 67 270 63 265 69 272 29596 27985 72 271 65 264 68 267 64 264 69 272 27985 26309 70 272 65 264 67 265 67 265 69 272 26309 24574 67 271 66 265 67 265 67 266 66 270 24574 22786 64 267 66 266 66 269 63 269 61 269 22786 20939 63 265 63 268 63 272 59 271 57 271 20939 19026 62 267 61 270 62 272 57 273 50 272 19026 17080 58 272 56 272 59 272 54 275 47 279 17080 15205 50 277 49 277 54 274 50 277 46 283 15205 13497 38 280 41 282 48 279 44 281 42 286 13497 11977 26 284 33 283 40 283 36 285 33 291 11977 10624 19 287 27 281 31 285 31 288 26 299 10624 9416 16 290 22 281 23 287 27 292 22 307 9416 8338 13 292 18 281 16 294 21 296 19 312 8338 7379 11 293 13 285 11 311 14 306 15 315 7379 6529 10 296 10 296 7 318 8 324 9 309 6529 5776 9 302 9 307 5 320 5 348 5 305 5776 5099 9 308 7 311 3 318 4*001 3 306 5099 4498 9 314 4*307 2 319 4*014 2 306 4498 3994 8 319 2*287 2*320 4 021 1 323 3994 3604 7 322 2 271 2*327 3 024 1 341 3604 3335 6 322 2 263 2 331 3 026 1 350 3335 3171 4*326 2 259 2 332 3 026 1 356 3171 3077 3*342 2 256 1 330 3 027 1*356 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography