DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Hernandez 3049ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.3 - - 75.3 - - 80.7 - - 80.5 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 419 - - 545 - - 351 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 2262 - - 3345 - - 2724 - - 626 BL Depth Hcrit 3048 - - 4507 - - 5410 - - 4807 - - 3048 Hcrit BL Top 3275 - - 5311 - - 6394 - - 5773 - - 3675 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 454 - - 860 - - 968 - - 1681 - - 715 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 405 - - 504 - - 406 - - 109 W* B/S 6 - - 15 - - 18 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 178 - - 237 - - 262 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 16 - - 19 - - 19 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3555 - - -4088 - - -4215 - - -4462 - - -4327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6830 - - 9400 - - 10609 - - 10236 - - 8003 sfcLCL ODpotential -13105 - - -11923 - - -10933 - - -11068 - - -12985 ODpotential blCL 16380 - - 17234 - - 17327 - - 16841 - - 16660 blCL maxRH 51 - - 45 - - 45 - - 50 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.3 - - 75.3 - - 80.7 - - 80.5 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 44.9 - - 44.8 - - 46.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 73.7 - - 78.4 - - 78.4 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.2 - - 44.8 - - 44.7 - - 46.1 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 419 - - 545 - - 351 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 2262 - - 3345 - - 2724 - - 626 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 35 105 38 102 42 108 37 110 39 111 98845 91466 36 106 35 107 31 110 36 107 34 112 91466 85749 36 105 33 108 30 122 28 108 29 109 85749 80974 32 103 29 109 29 122 24 116 23 102 80974 76863 27 101 27 111 25 118 23 115 23 106 76863 73236 24 106 25 110 22 123 22 111 22 106 73236 69957 20 108 22 117 19 125 18 111 19 107 69957 66956 15 107 19 114 18 125 14 111 18 114 66956 64187 11 114 13 110 15 119 13 122 15 121 64187 61516 9 136 9 127 8 124 10 112 13 125 61516 58742 6 179 8 133 8 164 8 156 6 160 58742 55881 9 210 8 203 8 197 9 188 6 186 55881 53170 13 217 14 221 14 217 14 209 10 206 53170 50747 18 220 20 223 21 223 18 227 16 212 50747 48586 23 225 27 227 26 233 21 238 18 222 48586 46623 25 228 31 228 31 236 26 232 23 228 46623 44815 23 229 31 230 33 233 30 226 29 225 44815 43131 21 230 30 233 33 231 32 222 29 221 43131 41552 20 232 29 233 31 231 31 223 27 220 41552 40063 19 232 28 231 30 232 31 225 25 220 40063 38660 17 231 26 225 29 231 29 228 23 220 38660 37307 15 239 24 219 30 228 27 228 22 220 37307 35941 13 253 21 213 23 221 23 225 21 220 35941 34533 10 263 18 212 18 215 18 216 22 221 34533 33086 3 216 12 187 17 212 19 209 20 216 33086 31586 1 171 12 145 13 191 12 199 19 205 31586 30022 1 212 9 139 14 181 12 185 17 195 30022 28395 0 037 4 155 10 177 13 176 16 188 28395 26704 5 286 5 239 6 183 9 163 16 184 26704 24950 12 278 9 237 10 195 12 172 15 183 24950 23138 12 272 13 234 13 204 15 186 14 181 23138 21259 12 261 14 241 16 222 14 210 13 189 21259 19311 11 251 14 246 17 236 12 222 12 200 19311 17332 10 228 12 240 14 240 9 223 10 204 17332 15426 10 213 11 230 9 230 8 203 8 191 15426 13691 9 207 10 223 7 209 8 182 9 172 13691 12144 7 197 7 210 6 189 9 172 10 160 12144 10763 5 182 4 179 7 168 10 167 11 158 10763 9530 3 182 3 129 8 147 10 163 11 159 9530 8430 3 210 3 107 8 131 7 115 9 157 8430 7452 4 209 2 119 7 107 9 064 8 135 7452 6584 5 187 3 138 7*090 8 038 7 091 6584 5813 7 166 5*129 3*088 6*354 6 064 5813 5121 9 154 5*131 3 233 6*297 3 030 5121 4506 10 143 5 155 6 238 8 265 4 278 4506 3993 11 142 6 189 7 240 9 259 8*253 3993 3598 8 155 6 195 8 240 9 256 10*247 3598 3326 5*169 6 199 8 241 9 255 10 246 3326 3160 3*175 6 201 8 240 9 254 9 245 3160 3065 3 177 6 202 7 241 8 254 8 245 3065 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography