DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.2 - - 56.6 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 142 - - 190 - - 29 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1173 - - 2323 - - 1745 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3310 - - 4315 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4234 - - 5384 - - 4806 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 308 - - 1126 - - 827 - - 1083 - - 776 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 228 - - 315 - - 155 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 17 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 112 - - 178 - - 134 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 2 - - 15 - - 13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -801 - - -3350 - - -1818 - - -1984 - - -2047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3879 - - 7585 - - 7202 - - 6791 - - 5124 sfcLCL ODpotential -13118 - - -13377 - - -10589 - - -11018 - - -12741 ODpotential blCL 16195 - - 17611 - - 15973 - - 15824 - - 15818 blCL maxRH 73 - - 81 - - 85 - - 82 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.2 - - 56.6 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 34.4 - - 38.7 - - 39.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 55.5 - - 57.9 - - 58.0 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 33.8 - - 38.3 - - 39.2 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 142 - - 190 - - 29 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1173 - - 2323 - - 1745 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 26 - - 39 - - 27 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96746 35 299 55 280 45 295 35 282 40 277 96746 89778 30 294 37 277 38 281 32 296 28 295 89778 84363 23 286 27 283 30 280 27 289 26 296 84363 79832 21 289 17 295 21 270 24 273 23 295 79832 75898 17 256 17 301 13 271 19 266 14 276 75898 72396 14 232 17 267 14 266 10 279 9 270 72396 69211 13 248 21 246 16 275 11 290 9 284 69211 66273 23 254 21 247 21 266 11 264 15 296 66273 63527 19 241 27 229 25 249 24 263 19 290 63527 60854 19 264 21 225 28 245 33 252 27 262 60854 58083 25 269 22 242 28 243 32 249 29 240 58083 55249 31 275 33 264 32 268 42 272 38 249 55249 52575 42 274 49 267 53 276 57 272 51 251 52575 50188 54 283 51 264 67 274 73 276 63 265 50188 48060 67 280 56 272 73 281 89 277 88 275 48060 46132 61 279 66 289 96 286 101 277 107 275 46132 44354 74 301 87 295 99 284 102 277 109 273 44354 42694 91 304 101 294 95 282 100 276 105 271 42694 41136 99 302 101 292 93 281 98 275 100 269 41136 39671 101 300 99 290 91 281 96 276 100 269 39671 38288 91 296 89 285 85 279 94 276 99 269 38288 36951 81 290 80 280 77 277 91 274 97 268 36951 35597 80 288 74 277 71 279 88 273 95 268 35597 34199 69 294 66 280 63 281 80 275 89 269 34199 32765 57 301 61 283 58 280 71 274 81 271 32765 31278 53 307 55 284 54 280 62 267 73 270 31278 29728 52 307 51 286 52 287 57 270 65 268 29728 28112 50 301 46 289 47 282 51 275 59 267 28112 26426 47 298 41 294 44 274 44 278 56 265 26426 24674 42 299 37 293 45 272 42 278 54 264 24674 22867 37 301 36 295 43 274 39 274 51 264 22867 20998 32 305 32 300 33 276 34 271 43 260 20998 19066 26 308 27 302 23 282 29 265 34 250 19066 17106 18 303 19 295 17 283 25 260 28 243 17106 15220 13 305 13 276 13 273 21 257 23 240 15220 13503 14 314 11 278 11 272 19 257 18 239 13503 11974 13 319 10 295 8 278 14 261 15 238 11974 10610 11 322 7 300 5 262 10 259 11 232 10610 9393 6 340 3 248 6 221 6 230 9 212 9393 8309 5 060 5 184 9 205 7 189 9 198 8309 7347 7 087 7 158 12 198 10 180 9 191 7347 6498 8 087 9 147 9 195 7 172 9 185 6498 5747 8 081 9 136 4*184 4 157 9 192 5747 5075 6 075 8 127 4*179 4*152 10 210 5075 4479 5 076 5*119 3 177 4*137 9 208 4479 3979 5 081 3*108 3 177 5 133 8 186 3979 3595 5 091 2 108 3 179 5 133 7 160 3595 3330 4 092 1 115 3 180 4 132 7 142 3330 3169 4*086 1 124 3 181 4 134 6*131 3169 3077 3*066 1 124 3 181 4 135 4*119 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography