DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Hernandez 3047ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.9 - - 57.0 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 113 - - 227 - - 22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 674 - - 2229 - - 1497 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3047 - - 3048 - - 4297 - - 3047 - - 3047 Hcrit BL Top 3064 - - 3721 - - 5277 - - 4545 - - 3064 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 1002 - - 1572 - - 1407 - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 175 - - 328 - - 132 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 197 - - 204 - - 225 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -2 - - 10 - - 9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2589 - - -4819 - - -5406 - - -3279 - - -1661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5653 - - 8540 - - 10684 - - 7824 - - 4725 sfcLCL ODpotential -11614 - - -10196 - - -10663 - - -8639 - - -8114 ODpotential blCL 14678 - - 13917 - - 15940 - - 13184 - - 11178 blCL maxRH 50 - - 45 - - 43 - - 60 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.9 - - 57.0 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 30.5 - - 25.0 - - 33.1 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 56.3 - - 59.6 - - 56.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 30.2 - - 24.9 - - 33.0 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 113 - - 227 - - 22 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 674 - - 2229 - - 1497 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96316 41 291 39 300 37 286 37 280 39 301 96316 89233 15 308 14 318 13 307 19 290 14 339 89233 83765 10 328 8 003 4 334 10 312 9 353 83765 79194 7 337 7 024 0 090 6 352 5 351 79194 75226 5 335 3 016 2 283 7 014 6 320 75226 71704 5 329 1 299 6 274 6 337 6 290 71704 68510 7 320 6 287 10 271 10 298 8 287 68510 65578 10 318 10 289 13 277 13 289 11 278 65578 62861 15 310 16 290 15 281 20 288 13 279 62861 60227 20 305 20 289 20 285 20 276 20 278 60227 57483 24 300 24 289 21 283 30 283 27 282 57483 54640 26 299 26 295 30 287 33 278 34 288 54640 51931 28 300 29 297 33 286 39 288 42 290 51931 49490 29 304 31 301 33 296 45 290 46 284 49490 47292 31 311 34 306 43 297 47 290 48 281 47292 45297 34 318 39 307 45 295 45 288 49 277 45297 43478 37 321 39 310 38 299 43 288 48 276 43478 41812 38 326 39 318 35 305 40 290 45 277 41812 40273 39 333 42 323 37 310 42 294 42 281 40273 38839 40 340 46 325 42 310 47 297 42 282 38839 37493 44 343 50 326 47 310 51 295 43 281 37493 36195 40 338 53 328 48 310 49 295 43 279 36195 34880 34 329 52 329 44 311 44 293 41 278 34880 33519 25 316 49 336 40 311 40 291 40 277 33519 32115 10 314 40 339 37 313 37 291 39 277 32115 30656 4 029 27 324 36 314 33 295 37 278 30656 29132 7 054 11 302 33 322 29 299 33 277 29132 27546 7 047 3 017 28 323 28 302 30 274 27546 25898 5 036 4 041 15 301 24 302 25 272 25898 24190 2 021 3 357 4 222 18 295 21 269 24190 22423 4 175 4 265 4 183 10 265 18 264 22423 20596 9 162 9 185 9 195 10 240 14 251 20596 18705 10 175 11 180 13 192 11 218 15 210 18705 16788 16 174 17 173 18 190 13 197 21 187 16788 14947 21 165 24 168 24 183 19 184 26 181 14947 13275 23 163 28 168 30 176 29 177 31 180 13275 11789 24 162 29 167 31 172 32 174 33 177 11789 10466 25 159 29 164 29 169 31 170 33 174 10466 9283 24 154 27 160 28 168 28 169 30 172 9283 8228 23 151 26 162 26 168 24 170 26 172 8228 7288 22 151 25 166 23 174 21 175 24 178 7288 6454 22 152 25 170 21 182 18 179 24 189 6454 5713 21 154 24 173 18*188 15 184 25 198 5713 5047 17 155 23 176 16*193 11*201 24 205 5047 4455 14 154 20 181 12 201 10*218 22 209 4455 3960 11 153 15*187 12 206 10 224 18 213 3960 3578 9 151 10*194 11 209 10 226 15 216 3578 3315 8 146 7 199 11 211 10 228 12 216 3315 3155 7*142 7 199 10 211 9 228 10*216 3155 3064 5*122 6 200 9 212 8 229 5*220 3064 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography