DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 86.0 - - 82.4 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 338 - - 125 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1519 - - 5292 - - 2451 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3784 - - 6795 - - 4215 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4582 - - 8354 - - 5514 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4741 - - 4375 - - 6482 - - 491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 503 - - 281 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 225 - - 244 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -11 - - 9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8239 - - -4887 - - -4998 - - -1544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12822 - - 13241 - - 10513 - - 4622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13161 - - -9191 - - -6783 - - -5872 ODpotential blCL - - - 17743 - - 17545 - - 12297 - - 8950 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 55 - - 61 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 86.0 - - 82.4 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 38.3 - - 46.8 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 83.8 - - 81.3 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 37.6 - - 46.5 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 338 - - 125 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1519 - - 5292 - - 2451 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 7 201 1 359 9 165 3 140 98243 90891 5 141 11 140 3 150 6 101 90891 85249 4 089 10 141 4 108 6 082 85249 80562 5 056 4 097 10 099 9 103 80562 76527 3 116 3 111 6 102 11 105 76527 72964 6 184 2 284 3 101 7 082 72964 69738 9 140 2 210 5 112 3 182 69738 66762 5 151 8 175 4 154 9 179 66762 63987 8 211 8 212 6 257 5 252 63987 61293 11 231 13 228 14 239 8 254 61293 58472 19 248 17 247 15 248 10 254 58472 55534 21 237 26 243 28 253 24 265 55534 52742 19 226 28 237 32 244 30 252 52742 50243 18 240 25 238 25 243 31 251 50243 48025 17 264 20 248 27 256 30 249 48025 46039 20 283 18 264 24 264 27 248 46039 44239 19 300 18 298 22 284 25 265 44239 42588 19 316 21 315 28 298 33 286 42588 41052 19 329 23 324 31 303 33 289 41052 39603 17 330 21 327 27 306 27 286 39603 38232 13 321 19 327 22 307 23 278 38232 36908 9 308 15 331 22 303 21 272 36908 35567 7 301 12 319 22 300 20 276 35567 34183 7 272 12 309 20 297 17 279 34183 32758 8 250 9 277 16 300 17 274 32758 31278 8 223 11 234 11 284 14 270 31278 29733 8 178 10 205 13 238 13 249 29733 28126 8 220 10 223 15 232 18 243 28126 26460 8 236 11 231 16 237 20 246 26460 24732 6 231 10 222 15 238 18 251 24732 22944 6 244 8 223 13 240 17 249 22944 21092 5 266 5 220 9 245 14 248 21092 19172 1 243 5 178 5 225 11 247 19172 17222 3 168 8 177 7 185 9 222 17222 15349 11 162 12 174 10 173 9 192 15349 13646 15 166 15 169 11 174 12 198 13646 12127 14 167 15 176 12 203 17 206 12127 10770 14 183 14 202 13 224 19 214 10770 9553 14 204 13 227 12 239 17 222 9553 8462 13 217 11*238 10 251 14 228 8462 7487 11 217 8*233 9 257 10 230 7487 6621 10 200 7 224 8 257 7 230 6621 5849 10 177 7 222 7*253 6 234 5849 5153 7*159 7 222 8*250 6 244 5153 4535 4*159 8 223 8 245 7 253 4535 4016 3 185 8 224 9 243 9 255 4016 3617 3 196 8 225 9 243 9 247 3617 3342 4 202 8 226 9 242 9 242 3342 3174 4 207 8 227 8 242 7 244 3174 3078 3 206 7 227 7 242 3*254 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography