DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 44.5 - - - - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 69 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1951 - - 1661 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5011 - - 4721 - - - - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3328 - - 2724 - - - - - 1811 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 207 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 217 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 18 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1800 - - 1635 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3211 - - 3086 - - - - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 616 - - 392 - - - - - -447 ODpotential blCL - - - 4395 - - 4329 - - - - - 3523 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 150 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 44.5 - - - - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 41.6 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 44.0 - - - - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 40.7 - - - - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 69 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1951 - - 1661 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96675 28 087 22 077 18 073 96675 89493 26 103 23 107 22 089 89493 83922 26 099 23 105 30 103 83922 79320 22 096 19 114 27 101 79320 75363 18 097 13 092 22 098 75363 71853 12 106 10 053 11 112 71853 68666 5 156 2 150 12 068 68666 65726 8 116 12 171 11 199 65726 62997 3 295 15 115 12 171 62997 60323 20 215 11 211 6 188 60323 57480 31 189 19 202 15 227 57480 54503 27 185 24 213 28 225 54503 51664 31 218 27 216 32 221 51664 49114 32 227 34 220 29 225 49114 46832 38 238 44 228 29 237 46832 44761 49 230 56 229 31 240 44761 42866 53 230 62 227 32 235 42866 41122 56 237 58 227 35 236 41122 39505 63 238 53 232 40 238 39505 37996 76 233 62 232 45 237 37996 36582 84 227 76 227 49 234 36582 35228 86 223 80 222 48 233 35228 33871 87 221 72 220 45 232 33871 32487 86 223 65 221 45 229 32487 31086 82 226 61 224 45 222 31086 29657 74 228 60 225 41 220 29657 28190 64 225 56 223 40 227 28190 26679 54 221 50 221 41 231 26679 25112 46 218 45 221 38 229 25112 23489 42 219 40 222 34 226 23489 21811 40 221 37 220 34 230 21811 20071 39 219 37 216 27 234 20071 18265 39 217 41 219 24 229 18265 16427 43 218 39 229 23 229 16427 14652 44 223 35 237 20 232 14652 13032 39 224 31 244 19 239 13032 11587 34 222 29 242 19 240 11587 10298 31 221 28 236 16 238 10298 9148 29 220 30 231 14 233 9148 8120 28 221 32 228 13 231 8120 7204 28 222 32 227 13 230 7204 6391 27 222 29 225 15 230 6391 5667 26 220 28 223 16 232 5667 5017 25*219 26*221 16 234 5017 4439 24*218 24*219 16 236 4439 3955 22 217 22 217 15 236 3955 3582 21 216 20 216 14 236 3582 3323 19 216 18 215 12 236 3323 3166 17 216 16 215 10 237 3166 3076 11 215 11 214 6*239 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography