DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 94.2 - - 94.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 430 - - 226 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1925 - - 4575 - - 4678 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4209 - - 6326 - - 6146 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4987 - - 7638 - - 7741 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1596 - - 1371 - - 1589 - - 974 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 355 - - 520 - - 424 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 25 - - 30 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 212 - - 276 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 18 - - 24 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9173 - - -8395 - - -8327 - - -7718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14160 - - 16034 - - 16069 - - 10797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17064 - - -15509 - - -14814 - - -15598 ODpotential blCL - - - 22051 - - 23147 - - 22555 - - 18677 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 49 - - 40 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.0 - - 94.2 - - 94.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 34.3 - - 34.0 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 91.5 - - 92.3 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 33.2 - - 33.1 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 430 - - 226 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1925 - - 4575 - - 4678 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 37 118 32 105 34 109 34 097 99261 91774 41 105 39 105 36 112 29 104 91774 86024 39 089 32 107 32 102 32 102 86024 81259 30 101 27 109 25 095 30 085 81259 77164 28 119 22 112 22 089 23 094 77164 73539 22 122 21 114 19 106 18 096 73539 70243 21 106 18 112 13 103 17 093 70243 67221 14 098 17 114 10 107 15 083 67221 64447 9 086 10 122 10 084 13 079 64447 61777 6 082 8 126 6 095 9 089 61777 59018 7 118 7 175 4 186 5 119 59018 56195 4 171 13 199 11 220 8 257 56195 53531 13 281 10 210 12 217 14 240 53531 51149 22 275 15 289 9 275 10 255 51149 49008 27 260 24 288 16 290 11 287 49008 47048 29 261 25 281 21 281 21 289 47048 45235 27 256 26 273 25 272 26 281 45235 43542 26 256 26 270 25 264 26 272 43542 41955 27 265 26 265 24 264 24 260 41955 40457 29 271 25 267 23 269 24 263 40457 39043 29 270 26 270 24 274 23 272 39043 37677 27 266 24 266 24 275 22 277 37677 36294 25 263 23 265 22 273 21 272 36294 34866 22 260 20 263 21 267 20 266 34866 33399 18 265 14 262 21 262 20 265 33399 31882 13 270 9 257 18 263 19 262 31882 30302 13 270 11 253 16 260 18 261 30302 28657 15 269 13 266 17 265 17 263 28657 26946 13 283 12 283 14 271 14 273 26946 25174 10 305 9 289 8 277 9 277 25174 23346 9 313 6 289 5 275 5 268 23346 21455 6 289 5 259 4 263 3 262 21455 19496 6 263 7 259 3 277 2 266 19496 17505 8 258 8 266 3 292 2 287 17505 15588 8 265 8 273 3 301 2 315 15588 13841 8 275 8 279 3 316 2 330 13841 12284 7 282 7 286 4 331 2 332 12284 10894 5 287 6 289 4 325 3 338 10894 9651 3 282 5 284 3 018 3 291 9651 8540 2 259 2*248 5*046 1 201 8540 7549 2 210 2*175 4*039 4 086 7549 6671 2 153 2 181 3 019 7 067 6671 5889 4 158 3 196 2 323 7 049 5889 5184 5*165 4 210 4 264 6 026 5184 4556 4*179 5 217 5 257 5 359 4556 4030 4 196 6 221 5 254 4 316 4030 3625 5 203 6 224 6 252 5 270 3625 3346 5 209 6 226 6 251 5 258 3346 3176 5 210 6 226 6 251 5*258 3176 3079 5 212 6 227 5 250 4*257 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography