DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 51.3 - - 55.9 - - 54.6 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 31 - - 100 - - 6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 296 - - 1050 - - 780 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 3356 - - 4110 - - 3841 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 801 - - 1393 - - 1212 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 94 - - 204 - - 89 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 031 - - 041 - - 023 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -16 - - -6 - - -7 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -251 - - -1311 - - -1382 - - -1409 - - -947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3327 - - 4667 - - 5492 - - 5250 - - 4024 sfcLCL ODpotential -8307 - - -6994 - - -5958 - - -6579 - - -8079 ODpotential blCL 11383 - - 10350 - - 10068 - - 10420 - - 11156 blCL maxRH 72 - - 65 - - 61 - - 61 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 51.3 - - 55.9 - - 54.6 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 - - 42.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 51.0 - - 55.0 - - 54.5 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 40.7 - - 41.5 - - 41.3 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 31 - - 100 - - 6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 296 - - 1050 - - 780 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95961 41 311 47 309 44 300 55 306 54 297 95961 88902 28 322 28 328 31 305 36 315 35 307 88902 83445 26 335 21 335 25 307 32 319 28 321 83445 78923 29 327 20 319 21 310 34 325 24 325 78923 75029 23 330 18 310 21 332 23 324 17 312 75029 71570 23 338 24 312 26 330 15 331 12 321 71570 68430 22 317 23 302 34 324 28 335 22 335 68430 65561 18 308 24 309 38 305 30 306 25 305 65561 62908 20 303 28 298 33 283 31 266 19 276 62908 60309 29 296 26 281 21 286 24 313 18 317 60309 57575 30 284 28 306 46 305 51 295 42 294 57575 54756 32 297 44 304 51 292 42 280 45 274 54756 52057 49 290 47 289 37 291 30 283 36 276 52057 49593 44 286 37 288 33 292 36 290 43 281 49593 47363 37 288 37 290 37 279 45 280 43 280 47363 45329 42 288 41 284 41 280 47 275 44 285 45329 43459 47 283 45 281 48 280 48 279 45 286 43459 41735 52 279 50 276 55 280 53 284 48 285 41735 40143 57 274 53 271 58 279 57 283 48 283 40143 38671 45 263 47 267 54 274 50 274 43 283 38671 37305 32 259 39 260 50 259 49 256 36 283 37305 36004 18 272 30 261 44 253 48 253 35 282 36004 34703 24 309 23 284 33 260 35 268 38 285 34703 33372 38 309 25 302 25 280 36 290 42 287 33372 32003 37 293 30 308 37 301 39 296 40 286 32003 30579 23 296 31 310 36 296 39 294 37 284 30579 29088 19 320 32 305 27 282 36 283 32 278 29088 27533 23 307 31 295 28 279 34 277 33 279 27533 25917 25 316 26 289 27 283 31 276 36 278 25917 24238 28 323 24 289 28 287 27 273 36 272 24238 22498 31 324 23 290 26 285 23 266 33 268 22498 20691 32 333 19 290 22 280 22 258 32 268 20691 18812 22 341 14 296 17 275 21 264 31 275 18812 16899 12 319 13 301 15 283 19 287 32 286 16899 15054 12 296 15 303 16 306 19 313 28 295 15054 13373 13 292 15 303 19 325 21 331 20 307 13373 11873 15 294 16 305 20 337 22 343 17 337 11873 10537 16 302 16 312 20 345 20 357 19 356 10537 9344 17 315 16 323 18 351 19 008 17 002 9344 8278 15 330 14 336 16 357 18 014 15 004 8278 7328 12 345 11 351 14 005 16 018 14 003 7328 6487 9 360 8 009 11 012 14 020 13 001 6487 5739 8 008 7 033 9 021 12 019 12 003 5739 5068 8 009 8 049 8 031 11 017 13 009 5068 4472 9 008 10 048 7*039 9 018 14 016 4472 3974 11 007 12 039 6*040 8*021 14 022 3974 3591 13 007 12*033 6 040 8*023 13 025 3591 3328 13 008 11*031 6 041 7 024 11 026 3328 3168 11 009 9 031 5 041 7 023 9*026 3168 3077 7*012 7 031 4 041 5 025 5*020 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography