DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 63.0 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 147 - - 275 - - 53 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1314 - - 2856 - - 2155 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3491 - - 4844 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4375 - - 5917 - - 5216 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 466 - - 1912 - - 1588 - - 1658 - - 657 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 242 - - 382 - - 202 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 103 - - 191 - - 219 - - 232 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2697 - - -3818 - - -3506 - - -1918 - - -665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5774 - - 8194 - - 9423 - - 7134 - - 3742 sfcLCL ODpotential -12054 - - -10630 - - -10302 - - -7354 - - -7054 ODpotential blCL 15131 - - 15005 - - 16219 - - 12570 - - 10131 blCL maxRH 47 - - 62 - - 82 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 63.0 - - 66.7 - - 63.3 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 38.0 - - 36.1 - - 42.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 61.8 - - 64.8 - - 62.8 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.1 - - 37.1 - - 35.5 - - 42.5 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 147 - - 275 - - 53 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1314 - - 2856 - - 2155 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 48 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97313 17 228 13 241 12 287 12 242 19 264 97313 89997 5 145 4 201 3 170 3 294 8 332 89997 84418 7 085 8 108 5 209 7 340 11 035 84418 79814 9 015 8 065 5 156 6 001 8 048 79814 75850 3 349 1 245 2 177 5 356 5 050 75850 72331 6 355 8 210 5 275 5 300 4 027 72331 69126 12 284 6 215 10 262 9 274 4 280 69126 66173 8 239 6 227 13 232 16 247 15 260 66173 63428 9 261 6 265 10 227 16 228 19 241 63428 60759 15 266 9 280 8 248 16 219 22 227 60759 57961 20 272 9 260 9 260 15 220 22 220 57961 55044 23 256 15 250 17 254 15 241 14 225 55044 52246 23 238 22 244 21 250 20 255 15 257 52246 49724 21 232 22 244 20 238 27 250 26 258 49724 47474 18 237 21 234 22 233 29 243 30 260 47474 45449 16 242 19 230 22 242 23 256 30 271 45449 43612 15 259 17 239 25 264 25 279 27 287 43612 41941 21 276 20 262 29 269 31 286 34 303 41941 40404 22 276 25 269 30 267 34 282 41 304 40404 38968 17 279 25 271 31 268 33 277 42 299 38968 37617 16 294 24 277 34 262 30 281 37 296 37617 36317 17 304 22 278 33 257 31 288 32 302 36317 35002 18 312 17 275 31 258 31 285 31 298 35002 33644 20 312 19 283 30 258 31 272 32 286 33644 32250 20 301 23 279 29 256 33 266 32 277 32250 30805 14 296 24 270 28 256 34 266 32 272 30805 29296 12 290 25 265 28 259 33 261 34 272 29296 27725 12 292 23 266 28 259 31 258 35 270 27725 26088 13 302 20 267 27 257 30 258 32 265 26088 24389 12 306 18 275 26 258 28 260 29 261 24389 22631 10 302 19 286 24 261 27 259 27 259 22631 20809 7 294 16 292 18 268 20 258 25 255 20809 18915 6 322 11 299 11 271 15 259 21 249 18915 16984 8 336 7 313 8 268 13 260 18 252 16984 15122 8 335 6 315 8 271 12 264 16 261 15122 13426 7 337 5 299 9 274 10 271 13 271 13426 11915 5 335 5 284 9 273 7 272 9 271 11915 10570 4 319 4 255 9 263 6 257 6 245 10570 9371 5 293 5 224 9 244 6 234 7 215 9371 8302 8 270 9 220 12 232 9 228 10 213 8302 7351 12 254 12 226 14 229 12 230 13 217 7351 6508 14 244 14 231 14*227 12 231 14 221 6508 5759 13 238 13 229 12*222 12*231 15 225 5759 5085 12 228 11 218 11 217 11*232 14 229 5085 4486 10 216 9*200 10 217 11 232 12 232 4486 3985 9 200 8*191 10 218 11 232 11 236 3985 3598 9 186 7 192 10 219 10 232 10 236 3598 3332 8 173 7 192 10 220 10 233 8 235 3332 3170 6 164 6 191 9 220 9 233 7 234 3170 3077 2*103 5 191 8 220 7 233 3*237 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography