DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.8 - - 81.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 223 - - 77 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 2482 - - 2790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3062 - - 4514 - - 4168 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3745 - - 5545 - - 5853 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1271 - - 1270 - - 1018 - - 898 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 346 - - 257 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - 71 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 115 - - 033 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 10 - - 15 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4808 - - -4203 - - -4057 - - -3785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8553 - - 9748 - - 9910 - - 6864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12245 - - -9777 - - -9332 - - -11251 ODpotential blCL - - - 15990 - - 15322 - - 15185 - - 14330 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 39 - - 40 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.9 - - 80.8 - - 81.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 49.0 - - 48.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 79.1 - - 80.8 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 47.8 - - 47.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 223 - - 77 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 2482 - - 2790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96763 21 306 32 288 35 286 25 321 96763 89578 9 302 16 273 13 302 7 346 89578 84093 6 213 13 274 9 339 4 047 84093 79551 6 183 7 287 2 219 5 002 79551 75638 0 331 4 281 5 198 4 293 75638 72178 6 013 2 213 3 287 4 298 72178 69055 7 359 5 318 4 010 5 343 69055 66197 4 008 8 312 5 329 7 331 66197 63558 5 341 9 324 6 338 8 331 63558 61009 9 280 12 291 9 296 10 291 61009 58349 14 290 15 281 14 298 13 285 58349 55584 16 288 17 280 18 287 17 290 55584 52937 14 288 19 276 21 279 21 287 52937 50536 15 287 18 271 20 269 18 278 50536 48358 17 268 19 262 21 260 18 257 48358 46364 21 263 21 247 24 234 26 226 46364 44535 32 257 29 250 28 239 30 221 44535 42855 39 243 35 249 32 244 29 234 42855 41299 37 230 34 231 39 230 37 235 41299 39845 36 228 34 225 37 225 37 226 39845 38478 38 229 33 229 36 224 39 221 38478 37162 40 230 33 231 36 225 40 218 37162 35830 39 232 31 232 35 227 39 220 35830 34452 37 232 31 233 34 228 37 222 34452 33032 36 241 30 240 30 228 35 224 33032 31554 36 245 29 243 28 231 33 224 31554 30007 34 242 28 240 27 228 27 217 30007 28395 30 238 27 236 28 222 27 212 28395 26717 27 234 25 234 27 217 29 208 26717 24980 26 230 25 230 27 216 30 208 24980 23183 29 230 27 227 29 215 31 211 23183 21320 30 229 30 228 30 218 32 214 21320 19381 24 226 31 231 27 233 23 226 19381 17405 17 229 25 227 21 239 15 233 17405 15498 13 247 17 226 12 237 8 221 15498 13761 9 266 10 229 5 228 4 161 13761 12213 6 274 6 233 1 168 6 108 12213 10831 4 269 4 240 2 061 8 098 10831 9594 4 268 3 259 3 036 8 095 9594 8489 4 268 3 276 3 027 6 096 8489 7504 4 265 3 275 3 028 4 096 7504 6631 3 252 2 248 2 033 2 072 6631 5856 2 203 1*158 1*004 1 227 5856 5159 3 161 2*122 1*013 2 248 5159 4539 4 153 3 114 1 029 2 260 4539 4019 4*141 3 114 1 038 3 022 4019 3619 3*122 4 114 1 039 6 039 3619 3343 2 116 3 116 1 047 7 044 3343 3175 2 114 3 117 0 043 6*047 3175 3079 2 117 3 118 1 046 5*050 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography