DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 82.9 - - 82.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 433 - - 184 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2601 - - 4143 - - 2746 - - 319 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4712 - - 5989 - - 4617 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5663 - - 7205 - - 5809 - - 3380 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1758 - - 1575 - - 2912 - - 554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 505 - - 332 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 205 - - 238 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4520 - - -4893 - - -6330 - - -4517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10183 - - 12099 - - 12140 - - 7897 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11571 - - -11506 - - -12870 - - -12450 ODpotential blCL - - - 17234 - - 18711 - - 18679 - - 15830 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 87 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 82.9 - - 82.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 40.5 - - 39.5 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 80.3 - - 80.5 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 39.5 - - 38.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 324 - - 433 - - 184 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2601 - - 4143 - - 2746 - - 319 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 50 - - 72 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99093 36 108 26 112 32 095 41 101 99093 91618 28 121 27 096 26 118 26 084 91618 85887 26 109 25 107 26 116 20 110 85887 81128 20 089 26 111 20 103 27 100 81128 77020 18 110 24 106 21 102 25 091 77020 73399 26 113 17 115 19 100 24 088 73399 70135 16 106 16 113 16 091 20 088 70135 67146 13 106 11 109 11 094 13 098 67146 64390 10 118 9 123 10 131 8 120 64390 61735 6 140 5 195 3 118 6 121 61735 58972 5 242 8 239 3 284 4 109 58972 56114 14 226 18 233 15 247 11 259 56114 53403 14 265 16 231 25 231 26 240 53403 50974 27 261 21 252 25 234 27 235 50974 48783 38 257 38 265 31 253 34 249 48783 46778 45 249 50 251 46 251 52 251 46778 44927 46 252 50 249 51 251 59 248 44927 43204 52 262 53 254 58 254 61 250 43204 41594 60 263 61 254 65 252 64 252 41594 40087 61 264 64 254 59 250 62 251 40087 38676 58 269 56 261 51 247 56 247 38676 37325 51 270 48 264 45 245 57 238 37325 35963 39 267 36 260 37 245 57 237 35963 34555 32 254 31 245 37 244 51 246 34555 33106 27 239 28 235 39 245 46 252 33106 31602 20 243 31 228 34 235 33 247 31602 30032 14 256 27 218 34 223 30 238 30032 28396 11 263 13 219 31 216 29 219 28396 26693 8 262 10 226 9 183 25 206 26693 24932 9 265 8 236 8 197 17 170 24932 23118 9 254 6 247 7 181 13 131 23118 21242 8 248 4 255 5 161 13 147 21242 19295 6 239 3 221 6 154 13 147 19295 17317 5 212 4 181 8 167 11 143 17317 15414 7 199 7 177 10 171 10 140 15414 13683 10 192 9 183 10 175 10 147 13683 12142 11 185 11 187 9 182 9 160 12142 10768 10 173 11 179 8 180 9 173 10768 9542 8 159 10 167 6 134 9 172 9542 8448 7 166 8 156 6 090 8 129 8448 7473 6 183 5*159 5 076 9 086 7473 6606 5 176 5*168 2 068 8 067 6606 5835 4*167 5 183 1*246 5 052 5835 5140 5*171 6 200 5*242 2 336 5140 4523 5 181 6 210 8 239 6 266 4523 4008 5 190 7 216 9 238 10 252 4008 3612 5 196 7 219 9 238 11*246 3612 3339 5 200 7 221 9 238 11*245 3339 3173 5 202 7 221 9 237 10 246 3173 3078 5 204 7 222 8 237 7 246 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography