DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 61.3 - - 65.7 - - 62.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -54 - - 124 - - 233 - - 44 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 523 - - 1026 - - 615 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3467 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3584 - - 4087 - - 3676 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 572 - - 938 - - 883 - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 169 - - 257 - - 125 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 019 - - 016 - - 018 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -14 - - -15 - - -22 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -992 - - -1708 - - -1908 - - -1328 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4069 - - 5292 - - 5995 - - 5005 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -9776 - - -7038 - - -5830 - - -5939 - - -6564 ODpotential blCL 12853 - - 10622 - - 9917 - - 9615 - - 9641 blCL maxRH 61 - - 66 - - 66 - - 70 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 61.3 - - 65.7 - - 62.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 48.9 - - 50.1 - - 51.3 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 60.4 - - 64.0 - - 62.2 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 48.2 - - 49.7 - - 51.2 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -54 - - 124 - - 233 - - 44 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 523 - - 1026 - - 615 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96729 8 267 11 315 10 347 6 334 9 328 96729 89545 11 344 6 344 10 337 16 321 12 007 89545 83991 12 346 11 331 16 332 15 339 15 360 83991 79380 12 335 11 353 14 334 15 342 14 357 79380 75411 13 355 14 339 14 318 20 330 16 347 75411 71911 20 336 19 340 16 321 19 334 16 348 71911 68751 19 306 20 323 16 317 20 336 17 346 68751 65852 18 292 20 308 20 322 23 331 21 334 65852 63173 21 309 19 309 19 313 23 319 23 321 63173 60587 24 310 21 310 18 303 23 313 20 305 60587 57891 27 294 25 297 23 291 25 306 21 306 57891 55093 34 291 31 284 32 277 34 291 32 304 55093 52427 40 292 38 286 39 282 42 282 38 291 52427 50025 46 292 43 288 46 285 43 283 41 294 50025 47871 49 290 46 287 53 284 50 285 46 294 47871 45914 50 290 49 283 52 281 51 284 49 291 45914 44115 52 294 47 291 48 287 50 292 51 294 44115 42454 50 294 47 300 47 300 45 298 46 303 42454 40917 46 291 42 300 45 301 39 306 41 308 40917 39477 41 294 38 301 38 303 41 311 36 313 39477 38119 36 304 35 302 34 295 40 308 35 316 38119 36807 32 312 32 306 31 290 37 305 36 316 36807 35476 28 315 29 311 28 289 35 303 38 318 35476 34100 26 315 27 314 26 289 33 299 38 316 34100 32681 27 311 26 314 25 289 29 292 36 313 32681 31205 26 305 26 313 23 290 27 287 34 311 31205 29663 26 304 26 312 21 294 27 286 31 306 29663 28057 26 304 25 309 21 297 26 284 29 297 28057 26388 26 303 25 307 22 299 25 288 29 294 26388 24659 26 302 25 301 22 301 24 296 28 291 24659 22874 27 303 25 295 21 304 21 299 26 292 22874 21026 27 307 23 298 21 306 19 303 23 298 21026 19106 25 312 22 305 24 313 21 313 22 311 19106 17152 24 314 23 312 27 320 25 323 25 321 17152 15268 25 319 23 315 26 324 27 324 28 327 15268 13551 25 324 22 316 24 324 26 323 30 332 13551 12021 23 327 20 316 21 321 24 324 27 335 12021 10659 20 330 17 319 19 321 20 327 23 339 10659 9445 16 335 15 328 17 328 17 335 19 343 9445 8365 13 343 13 339 15 336 14 346 15 349 8365 7402 12 355 11 351 12 344 13 357 13 357 7402 6549 13 007 11 359 11 355 12 007 12 005 6549 5791 15 014 11 005 12 004 15 012 12 011 5791 5108 17 017 12 009 14 009 18 011 15 013 5108 4501 20 016 14 013 14*012 19 012 18 012 4501 3993 22 015 15 016 13*015 18*014 21 012 3993 3602 22 015 14*018 12 017 15*017 20 013 3602 3334 20 016 12*019 11 017 14 018 17 015 3334 3171 16*017 10 018 10 017 13 018 14 018 3171 3077 8*021 7 019 8 017 8 019 7*022 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography