DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 62.2 - - 69.2 - - 67.1 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 136 - - 250 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 746 - - 1611 - - 840 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3905 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3808 - - 4672 - - 3902 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 332 - - 785 - - 1812 - - 1906 - - 323 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 196 - - 306 - - 140 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 004 - - 002 - - 006 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -1 - - 4 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -871 - - -2752 - - -4133 - - -4989 - - -4273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3948 - - 6561 - - 8805 - - 8891 - - 7351 sfcLCL ODpotential -9527 - - -7878 - - -8825 - - -9987 - - -12317 ODpotential blCL 12604 - - 11686 - - 13497 - - 13889 - - 15394 blCL maxRH 60 - - 55 - - 54 - - 43 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 62.2 - - 69.2 - - 67.1 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 44.4 - - 41.5 - - 39.1 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 61.1 - - 67.5 - - 66.7 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 43.5 - - 40.8 - - 38.7 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 136 - - 250 - - 45 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 746 - - 1611 - - 840 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96912 30 310 35 293 32 275 43 291 39 298 96912 89781 28 291 29 306 29 298 30 289 30 306 89781 84268 23 284 22 314 26 307 21 297 22 304 84268 79649 19 301 15 307 21 302 18 306 19 302 79649 75652 16 302 14 302 18 295 18 313 19 302 75652 72125 15 293 14 309 14 291 15 301 16 311 72125 68946 19 295 15 307 11 295 16 295 18 306 68946 66029 25 288 20 303 13 301 16 284 17 299 66029 63319 24 280 20 291 12 296 15 295 18 297 63319 60682 18 275 17 291 16 287 20 296 25 294 60682 57933 16 284 19 281 20 276 22 301 23 295 57933 55088 20 292 20 285 24 292 24 301 24 293 55088 52364 22 293 25 294 26 302 27 313 22 301 52364 49900 27 284 27 291 37 312 38 309 29 321 49900 47696 25 282 32 294 35 306 45 300 36 317 47696 45707 28 295 29 279 30 303 31 304 37 311 45707 43894 24 325 18 298 25 314 24 326 30 313 43894 42233 32 344 24 354 22 345 27 358 25 356 42233 40705 34 347 37 014 38 007 34 014 32 015 40705 39280 30 353 45 015 43 009 36 019 35 019 39280 37938 40 017 47 021 42 015 36 019 31 019 37938 36639 45 024 51 025 41 020 35 018 25 017 36639 35322 51 033 54 024 41 020 34 017 22 012 35322 33960 56 035 52 022 40 018 32 012 21 004 33960 32554 54 037 49 021 39 014 31 004 23 359 32554 31093 50 030 43 020 37 011 31 358 24 347 31093 29567 47 021 39 013 36 008 30 354 26 335 29567 27975 47 016 38 010 34 005 29 354 27 332 27975 26316 44 013 36 011 32 003 28 354 27 335 26316 24596 36 006 34 006 30 358 28 350 30 336 24596 22816 31 002 33 360 29 359 27 348 31 343 22816 20973 28 003 30 359 29 004 24 352 29 350 20973 19059 30 004 26 006 26 007 20 002 24 353 19059 17112 31 011 23 018 19 010 17 004 18 349 17112 15239 28 017 20 021 14 014 14 359 15 340 15239 13536 23 021 17 012 12 008 14 352 15 339 13536 12017 21 027 14 005 14 352 15 348 15 345 12017 10661 20 031 12 006 15 345 17 348 15 351 10661 9451 18 032 12 007 16 346 18 348 14 353 9451 8370 17 029 14 008 18 348 20 345 15 351 8370 7407 18 025 17 008 20 350 21 344 16 348 7407 6553 18 021 19 008 19 353 19 345 16 348 6553 5795 17 017 19 007 16 356 16 347 15 349 5795 5112 15 014 18 005 12*357 13 349 14 353 5112 4505 12 012 15 005 9*358 9 351 13 357 4505 3996 9 016 10*005 7 003 7*360 11 359 3996 3605 8 022 6*005 7 004 7*005 8 006 3605 3335 8 021 5 004 6 004 6 005 6 022 3335 3171 6 017 5 003 6 005 6 007 4 041 3171 3077 4*019 4 002 5 005 5 006 3*057 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography