DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.2 - - 70.5 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 554 - - 336 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1879 - - 1614 - - 368 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3642 - - 4292 - - 3986 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4151 - - 4941 - - 4675 - - 3429 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 508 - - 716 - - 685 - - 663 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 418 - - 337 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 227 - - 228 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -48 - - -962 - - -796 - - 51 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4200 - - 5903 - - 5471 - - 3378 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5271 - - -5273 - - -5267 - - -5953 ODpotential blCL - - - 9422 - - 10214 - - 9942 - - 9382 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 79 - - 79 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 330 - - 260 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 72.2 - - 70.5 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 56.6 - - 56.7 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 69.2 - - 68.3 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 56.4 - - 56.6 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 554 - - 336 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1879 - - 1614 - - 368 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 16 - - 18 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99111 34 099 32 112 24 113 22 100 99111 91652 23 096 28 105 21 106 24 089 91652 85884 17 109 18 094 22 107 19 093 85884 81097 19 118 12 113 21 102 15 099 81097 76981 20 115 17 130 13 097 17 093 76981 73342 17 099 15 119 10 114 14 100 73342 70050 6 094 10 096 10 079 8 092 70050 67035 3 166 3 087 6 049 7 086 67035 64243 5 124 4 137 6 184 3 244 64243 61546 4 180 5 176 6 202 9 228 61546 58732 8 234 9 202 11 220 13 222 58732 55806 13 221 16 221 20 241 16 244 55806 53013 16 218 21 230 25 232 21 238 53013 50497 21 221 23 230 23 225 21 227 50497 48238 23 223 25 226 22 226 23 221 48238 46185 22 222 25 221 24 223 24 213 46185 44303 24 220 24 222 24 222 24 212 44303 42569 25 222 24 224 23 223 22 221 42569 40967 25 230 24 222 23 223 21 226 40967 39481 24 237 23 225 21 220 19 224 39481 38097 23 247 24 230 18 220 16 219 38097 36772 23 254 25 237 20 222 14 216 36772 35435 24 258 25 245 22 223 16 217 35435 34056 23 257 24 251 22 229 17 219 34056 32637 17 259 21 251 20 234 17 220 32637 31163 11 267 15 252 16 232 15 219 31163 29628 9 269 12 254 15 236 14 222 29628 28030 11 269 13 258 16 243 12 231 28030 26371 13 267 14 262 15 250 10 241 26371 24650 13 270 14 262 14 247 12 245 24650 22871 13 281 11 265 14 237 14 241 22871 21029 10 266 10 261 13 235 13 229 21029 19118 8 233 10 229 12 231 11 214 19118 17175 9 222 12 226 12 228 11 204 17175 15301 11 227 15 230 15 221 12 203 15301 13593 13 227 14 224 14 213 12 201 13593 12068 15 223 14 215 13 205 12 195 12068 10708 17 215 15 207 13 200 15 191 10708 9491 18 206 16 201 14 197 19 186 9491 8404 19 196 16 198 14 195 20 181 8404 7434 18 188 15 195 14 196 20 180 7434 6572 17 183 14 197 13 201 18 183 6572 5806 16 186 13 206 12 210 16 192 5806 5117 17 198 12*219 12*220 14 206 5117 4507 17*208 12*224 13*225 13 216 4507 3998 14*214 13 227 13 227 13 221 3998 3606 13 216 13 228 13 228 12*224 3606 3336 12 218 12 229 13 229 10*225 3336 3172 12 219 12 230 12 229 9 226 3172 3078 9 220 10 230 10 230 6 228 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography