DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Hernandez 3048ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 57.2 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 180 - - 282 - - 35 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 636 - - 1221 - - 1103 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3047 - - 3048 - - 3643 - - 3048 - - 3047 Hcrit BL Top 3063 - - 3684 - - 4270 - - 4151 - - 3064 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 91 - - 418 - - 628 - - 1055 - - 648 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 200 - - 288 - - 139 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 203 - - 233 - - 258 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -373 - - -2672 - - -2984 - - -1594 - - -86 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3437 - - 6356 - - 7254 - - 5745 - - 3150 sfcLCL ODpotential -10403 - - -9901 - - -9060 - - -7070 - - -7071 ODpotential blCL 13466 - - 13585 - - 13330 - - 11221 - - 10135 blCL maxRH 88 - - 90 - - 81 - - 86 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 57.2 - - 60.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 40.2 - - 39.7 - - 43.4 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 55.9 - - 58.9 - - 57.5 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 40.2 - - 39.6 - - 43.4 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 180 - - 282 - - 35 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 636 - - 1221 - - 1103 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 58 - - 24 - - 46 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97124 58 278 54 273 50 264 58 264 71 276 97124 89826 34 275 31 264 40 259 44 261 46 282 89826 84201 26 276 18 266 27 269 27 268 29 287 84201 79535 17 289 11 294 14 267 16 271 17 295 79535 75535 11 294 11 295 9 277 12 279 11 294 75535 72033 8 303 7 286 9 281 10 296 7 323 72033 68879 9 302 6 298 10 288 10 287 11 342 68879 65980 10 302 8 283 11 296 10 283 12 324 65980 63286 8 296 8 274 15 289 15 277 13 302 63286 60667 11 292 12 271 16 277 15 270 13 276 60667 57925 15 294 12 272 15 276 16 276 20 285 57925 55078 17 287 17 262 28 261 28 264 24 274 55078 52361 20 275 23 249 29 248 29 258 26 264 52361 49906 23 276 22 252 32 260 36 260 30 258 49906 47696 39 272 37 255 42 250 41 254 31 262 47696 45692 50 261 46 246 48 248 42 253 36 267 45692 43861 52 257 50 247 54 249 46 256 40 264 43861 42169 55 257 51 249 56 248 52 252 42 260 42169 40592 56 258 50 251 58 244 55 247 42 256 40592 39117 56 258 50 251 60 244 56 244 44 252 39117 37734 57 256 53 248 63 246 56 243 46 247 37734 36410 57 252 53 245 63 247 56 243 45 243 36410 35082 55 248 51 241 59 247 56 239 37 242 35082 33720 49 243 46 236 54 245 55 235 33 246 33720 32323 43 240 41 233 50 244 47 238 33 250 32323 30872 42 238 40 236 46 242 42 241 34 249 30872 29355 43 234 43 238 43 238 38 242 33 246 29355 27772 44 226 46 234 41 238 35 243 32 243 27772 26123 45 226 48 228 40 241 33 243 31 239 26123 24413 44 229 48 224 40 239 32 241 30 238 24413 22645 40 226 44 225 42 231 35 237 29 238 22645 20814 37 221 38 227 40 226 37 232 30 235 20814 18912 35 218 32 229 34 227 34 230 32 232 18912 16977 31 220 30 227 30 225 30 228 30 234 16977 15114 26 222 27 225 29 224 27 226 25 237 15114 13422 22 222 24 221 25 226 23 224 21 234 13422 11916 20 219 21 215 22 222 19 221 19 231 11916 10572 19 218 21 210 21 217 17 220 17 231 10572 9371 19 217 21 208 20 214 15 220 13 231 9371 8298 18 216 20 204 20 214 14 219 10 226 8298 7342 17 214 20 200 20 216 13 221 10 213 7342 6495 16 212 19 197 20 217 9 218 10 193 6495 5742 15 208 19 192 17 218 5 230 9 165 5742 5067 14 202 18 184 15 221 4 256 7 144 5067 4468 12 198 16 182 12*225 5*264 4 121 4468 3968 11 201 13*190 11*231 7*261 3 067 3968 3583 10 214 10*200 10 233 7 258 3 015 3583 3317 9 221 9 203 10 233 7 258 3 349 3317 3157 8 221 9 204 9 234 7 257 2*340 3157 3064 3*239 7 205 8 235 6 256 2*338 3064 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography