DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 41.5 - - 41.4 - - 41.7 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 78 - - 42 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 981 - - 790 - - 852 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4041 - - 3850 - - 3912 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1782 - - 1297 - - 1932 - - 2376 - - 1847 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 180 - - 137 - - 95 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 276 - - 308 - - 316 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - -7 - - -2 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 965 - - 774 - - 668 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3244 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 474 - - 328 - - -676 - - -745 ODpotential blCL 3077 - - 3567 - - 3522 - - 4588 - - 3821 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 41.5 - - 41.4 - - 41.7 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 39.9 - - 40.1 - - 38.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 40.9 - - 40.9 - - 41.5 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 39.0 - - 39.5 - - 37.2 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 78 - - 42 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 981 - - 790 - - 852 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96532 9 078 8 055 10 048 15 077 8 088 96532 89435 15 086 15 087 10 078 9 056 14 073 89435 83934 16 084 20 085 11 098 11 065 16 072 83934 79349 16 055 19 083 12 085 13 071 13 072 79349 75393 9 052 11 077 8 054 12 068 12 064 75393 71891 11 040 8 093 7 042 8 035 13 037 71891 68707 8 354 3 331 9 006 5 035 13 002 68707 65758 5 351 4 327 5 335 5 012 14 332 65758 63006 8 301 13 334 6 334 8 337 10 308 63006 60328 8 289 13 321 11 302 9 340 4 293 60328 57516 12 279 12 320 16 312 13 347 10 336 57516 54576 20 283 19 288 24 277 20 302 19 333 54576 51756 13 292 15 279 15 259 20 290 21 328 51756 49209 20 293 13 305 13 294 15 278 21 324 49209 46923 35 274 30 296 20 298 14 281 21 318 46923 44850 41 269 40 282 26 291 17 290 20 313 44850 42954 43 265 42 273 29 280 20 291 15 313 42954 41204 42 256 43 258 29 270 25 286 14 320 41204 39577 40 245 41 247 30 266 28 273 17 317 39577 38056 36 237 42 237 37 261 27 258 18 307 38056 36631 34 243 41 231 44 250 26 253 17 295 36631 35270 38 249 47 236 51 238 30 253 17 281 35270 33907 43 246 57 234 56 230 38 244 20 263 33907 32514 42 241 56 224 61 227 52 227 23 242 32514 31096 42 241 54 216 66 228 61 215 30 227 31096 29640 45 243 53 216 75 230 61 213 35 217 29640 28135 50 243 59 232 81 229 62 219 38 213 28135 26584 53 242 63 235 79 225 65 221 39 208 26584 24987 55 242 60 228 73 219 64 215 36 201 24987 23341 54 240 62 222 64 210 63 205 38 195 23341 21646 53 233 62 220 60 203 63 200 45 192 21646 19893 56 229 58 226 61 201 59 196 43 191 19893 18082 56 232 55 223 61 199 51 194 34 186 18082 16252 49 230 53 213 63 196 37 200 28 177 16252 14498 44 221 51 209 68 200 22 215 24 179 14498 12905 42 217 44 206 56 208 12 206 17 188 12905 11485 39 217 37 207 35 215 11 187 8 213 11485 10220 33 217 30 213 25 229 7 180 6 274 10220 9089 31 215 24 227 21 245 3 140 6 285 9089 8077 28 216 18 250 18 255 4 354 4 292 8077 7173 23 222 16 276 13 264 10 340 6 348 7173 6369 20 230 17 291 11 288 14 335 11 355 6369 5653 19 237 18 293 12 311 16 333 15 350 5653 5008 18 242 17 288 14 315 16 331 17 342 5008 4433 17 245 15*282 14 314 14 327 18 334 4433 3951 16 246 13*279 14*311 12*321 17 331 3951 3579 15 246 11 276 13*309 10*318 14 328 3579 3322 14 246 11 275 12 308 9 316 11 327 3322 3166 12*246 10 275 11 307 9 315 8 328 3166 3076 8*245 8 274 7 306 6 313 4*330 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography