DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.9 - - 81.2 - - 86.1 - - 86.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 262 - - 367 - - 130 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2472 - - 5541 - - 6368 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4546 - - 7027 - - 7090 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5534 - - 8604 - - 9430 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 2362 - - 1695 - - 1600 - - 1844 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 359 - - 525 - - 391 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 14 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 145 - - 172 - - 190 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 4 - - 17 - - 38 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7186 - - -7098 - - -4809 - - -4162 - - -5704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10265 - - 12633 - - 13414 - - 13593 - - 8783 sfcLCL ODpotential -16656 - - -13422 - - -9864 - - -9086 - - -12417 ODpotential blCL 19734 - - 18956 - - 18468 - - 18516 - - 15496 blCL maxRH 24 - - 24 - - 38 - - 47 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.9 - - 81.2 - - 86.1 - - 86.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 36.6 - - 37.8 - - 37.5 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.2 - - 79.4 - - 83.7 - - 85.5 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 36.0 - - 37.1 - - 37.0 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 262 - - 367 - - 130 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2472 - - 5541 - - 6368 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98253 14 115 10 116 15 137 10 175 2 106 98253 90898 14 103 14 106 14 147 7 130 5 120 90898 85209 12 085 16 104 11 130 6 108 9 118 85209 80493 10 106 12 102 12 100 10 099 13 104 80493 76442 11 122 9 102 12 098 13 087 18 083 76442 72878 15 105 12 107 13 118 12 090 15 086 72878 69661 11 101 11 107 15 114 12 108 11 095 69661 66707 11 091 11 111 14 100 15 108 8 103 66707 63973 9 084 10 115 8 104 12 089 11 092 63973 61336 8 086 7 118 3 137 7 069 9 072 61336 58606 5 060 6 098 3 210 3 345 3 360 58606 55802 5 016 5 085 5 211 6 254 7 287 55802 53138 8 317 5 036 4 195 9 215 10 263 53138 50739 16 287 9 339 3 294 9 202 11 237 50739 48579 18 274 11 306 9 289 6 233 10 236 48579 46606 14 269 11 283 11 264 9 254 9 239 46606 44786 9 277 10 280 10 259 9 249 12 233 44786 43090 7 281 8 284 6 266 8 237 12 218 43090 41499 5 261 6 258 6 252 8 235 12 215 41499 40001 4 240 6 213 9 220 13 219 13 220 40001 38595 3 242 4 156 11 191 14 221 14 230 38595 37245 8 193 6 178 11 194 18 222 15 229 37245 35884 10 151 11 166 13 193 19 211 19 220 35884 34480 10 141 13 149 16 174 17 205 20 210 34480 33038 11 142 13 143 19 162 17 193 18 204 33038 31543 11 133 13 146 18 159 18 181 17 199 31543 29983 12 111 13 143 17 154 16 177 18 189 29983 28360 13 105 14 135 17 149 15 174 17 180 28360 26672 15 098 14 134 15 151 14 168 16 178 26672 24923 12 109 11 151 13 159 12 161 15 181 24923 23117 7 134 8 166 9 162 10 153 10 175 23117 21251 4 144 6 149 8 142 11 135 10 152 21251 19315 2 185 4 132 8 131 11 141 12 142 19315 17345 3 126 7 161 9 158 8 152 10 138 17345 15446 7 134 9 174 10 175 8 178 8 129 15446 13717 7 141 9 177 10 180 10 182 7 145 13717 12177 5 142 9 170 12 172 11 191 9 183 12177 10805 6 138 10 163 12 172 11 199 10 205 10805 9579 9 159 9 163 10*183 6*196 11 208 9579 8482 11 171 9 170 7*184 5*194 7 176 8482 7502 12 170 10 172 7 181 5 192 5 117 7502 6633 10 160 10 167 7 177 5 189 4 076 6633 5860 9 150 10*159 7 173 5 191 4 022 5860 5163 8 143 9*153 7 168 5 190 5 330 5163 4543 8 137 8 145 7 165 4 189 6 301 4543 4023 8 132 7 144 7 164 4 189 8 284 4023 3621 6 127 7 142 7 162 4 189 8 271 3621 3344 4 110 7 142 6 161 4 189 7 265 3344 3175 4 089 6 143 6 161 4 190 5*264 3175 3079 4*055 6 142 6 161 4 191 4*266 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography