DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/25 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1553z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 56.6 - - 56.2 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 449 - - 247 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2026 - - 2910 - - 2835 - - 480 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4214 - - 5036 - - 4794 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5087 - - 5970 - - 5896 - - 3540 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 775 - - 1129 - - 1317 - - 636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 334 - - 454 - - 369 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 324 - - 331 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -3 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1165 - - 233 - - 432 - - 249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3923 - - 5737 - - 5464 - - 3291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 697 - - -3302 - - -550 - - -4211 ODpotential blCL - - - 4390 - - 9272 - - 6446 - - 7751 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 83 - - 87 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 56.6 - - 56.2 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 54.1 - - 54.5 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 449 - - 247 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2026 - - 2910 - - 2835 - - 480 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 33 - - 46 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98174 20 254 22 275 18 275 21 286 98174 90700 11 259 13 263 15 290 16 286 90700 84961 2 184 9 238 15 281 14 318 84961 80223 7 093 3 205 4 296 9 347 80223 76154 9 117 7 136 4 128 10 015 76154 72561 11 123 11 144 8 129 4 044 72561 69295 5 176 12 170 2 214 3 084 69295 66278 10 221 11 208 11 258 5 258 66278 63472 15 217 16 227 17 247 15 252 63472 60748 15 228 19 230 17 242 20 240 60748 57896 21 244 21 251 18 256 21 253 57896 54929 26 256 25 266 24 270 28 261 54929 52101 25 261 27 275 30 277 29 274 52101 49577 26 280 27 293 33 294 31 297 49577 47336 31 297 39 302 37 297 43 306 47336 45321 34 295 37 301 39 307 49 309 45321 43490 27 306 42 317 48 315 54 315 43490 41806 42 328 49 317 54 312 58 320 41806 40237 47 334 47 320 53 316 65 316 40237 38780 52 343 56 328 57 320 65 306 38780 37425 58 346 63 327 60 326 62 303 37425 36129 59 346 62 328 63 327 64 304 36129 34819 60 346 59 330 62 326 66 307 34819 33465 60 345 59 332 61 324 88 317 33465 32071 60 344 59 334 59 325 90 318 32071 30619 59 343 57 334 57 326 94 320 30619 29100 60 342 51 328 55 326 84 318 29100 27514 58 342 52 324 53 321 71 313 27514 25861 50 341 54 328 51 317 65 309 25861 24145 45 333 49 331 50 316 62 306 24145 22374 37 332 41 331 48 321 56 307 22374 20545 30 337 34 326 44 324 47 306 20545 18651 26 335 30 325 39 324 39 307 18651 16728 21 325 27 327 34 320 34 305 16728 14886 19 322 23 326 28 318 30 306 14886 13220 17 326 19 322 23 319 26 313 13220 11742 15 327 16 323 20 324 22 321 11742 10426 12 329 14 327 17 328 19 326 10426 9251 10 333 11 337 15 331 18 331 9251 8201 10 331 9 360 11 337 18 334 8201 7267 9 321 7 022 7 360 17 336 7267 6439 8 311 6*011 8*000 15 338 6439 5703 7*290 7*350 9*352 14 341 5703 5041 8*282 8 336 12 337 16 344 5041 4453 9 283 9 324 12 331 19 337 4453 3963 9 283 9 318 13 327 20 329 3963 3586 9 282 9 314 12 325 19*326 3586 3326 9 281 9 311 12 322 17*324 3326 3167 8 281 9 310 11 321 15 324 3167 3076 7 280 8 309 9 321 9 322 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography