DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.4 - - 51.1 - - 57.2 - - 50.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 231 - - 291 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 996 - - 2071 - - 361 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3439 - - 4279 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4056 - - 5131 - - 3421 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 397 - - 585 - - 1439 - - 1517 - - 1344 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 253 - - 349 - - 86 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 14 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 256 - - 266 - - 252 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -372 - - -60 - - 344 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 4428 - - 5192 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -8439 - - -7559 - - -1334 - - 142 - - -884 ODpotential blCL 11516 - - 11615 - - 6465 - - 3279 - - 3961 blCL maxRH 93 - - 82 - - 88 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.4 - - 51.1 - - 57.2 - - 50.1 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.3 - - 42.4 - - 45.1 - - 49.1 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 49.7 - - 55.4 - - 49.9 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 42.1 - - 44.8 - - 48.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 231 - - 291 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 996 - - 2071 - - 361 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 71 - - 28 - - 53 - - 101 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96689 31 282 31 269 41 274 39 278 39 291 96689 89641 34 274 33 296 25 302 22 285 28 278 89641 84225 25 267 29 288 24 300 19 292 18 283 84225 79715 10 278 15 280 17 285 17 282 16 304 79715 75776 11 307 12 286 17 277 18 277 19 290 75776 72264 19 305 13 271 13 266 17 261 16 281 72264 69063 19 309 12 268 8 272 14 280 14 286 69063 66108 18 278 17 266 21 271 21 282 21 289 66108 63369 20 253 24 268 26 266 24 275 23 282 63369 60717 23 270 24 266 20 267 22 270 22 281 60717 57951 29 280 19 268 24 271 21 281 25 283 57951 55096 38 281 30 289 29 284 35 287 35 289 55096 52393 60 274 54 283 56 282 46 286 40 289 52393 49957 76 267 72 274 68 276 51 290 44 294 49957 47749 86 268 81 271 69 277 63 288 58 286 47749 45738 104 268 92 268 78 277 83 272 68 278 45738 43902 120 267 103 266 91 272 90 270 68 281 43902 42210 128 266 109 265 97 271 101 282 67 295 42210 40628 132 264 109 266 107 275 103 284 79 305 40628 39139 137 263 109 268 114 272 98 285 97 298 39139 37739 137 263 109 268 110 269 96 287 108 289 37739 36399 131 264 107 266 102 269 100 288 112 285 36399 35052 119 263 100 262 98 275 104 285 105 285 35052 33672 107 261 93 261 100 278 104 280 94 292 33672 32260 104 263 91 263 100 277 99 281 91 301 32260 30799 100 263 93 262 100 272 92 288 97 306 30799 29273 90 260 91 258 99 264 86 291 100 305 29273 27680 81 259 88 257 97 257 78 285 99 303 27680 26020 74 257 85 258 93 258 75 283 97 304 26020 24297 66 253 79 256 88 262 74 290 90 305 24297 22514 59 250 75 255 74 264 74 294 89 304 22514 20667 56 249 73 254 66 265 66 293 86 305 20667 18757 55 247 64 251 60 267 60 294 71 305 18757 16823 49 245 53 246 56 268 56 295 56 303 16823 14963 41 243 44 240 49 267 50 291 49 302 14963 13272 36 236 38 233 37 262 42 287 44 302 13272 11772 32 227 34 226 31 261 32 281 35 304 11772 10444 29 223 30 220 29 258 18 268 24 305 10444 9263 24 221 26 217 25 254 10 269 15 300 9263 8213 20 218 22 220 20 254 12 277 8 289 8213 7281 18 214 20 230 17 263 15 278 3 287 7281 6455 17 210 21 241 14 273 15 277 1 270 6455 5720 17 207 21 249 13*276 14 273 2 282 5720 5057 16 212 21 253 11*271 12 266 4 289 5057 4467 15 219 20*254 11 267 10 258 5 285 4467 3973 14 228 17*255 11 265 9 255 7 276 3973 3591 12 233 15 255 11 264 8*253 7 269 3591 3328 9 235 14 256 10 262 7*251 7 268 3328 3169 7*236 13 256 10 262 6 252 5*271 3169 3077 4*240 10 256 8 261 4 252 3*275 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography