DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.7 - - 82.7 - - 85.7 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 323 - - 434 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2383 - - 3388 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4547 - - 5400 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5445 - - 6450 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 851 - - 1294 - - 1262 - - - - - 1327 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 381 - - 473 - - - - - 12 W* B/S 8 - - 15 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 188 - - 234 - - - - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7654 - - -5734 - - -5896 - - - - - -8584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10733 - - 11180 - - 12346 - - - - - 11664 sfcLCL ODpotential -15568 - - -11181 - - -11681 - - - - - -17161 ODpotential blCL 18646 - - 16626 - - 18131 - - - - - 20240 blCL maxRH 79 - - 84 - - 88 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.7 - - 82.7 - - 85.7 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 44.4 - - 42.3 - - - - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.6 - - 80.4 - - 83.1 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 43.6 - - 41.2 - - - - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 323 - - 434 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2383 - - 3388 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 36 - - 52 - - - - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99381 38 100 44 104 38 124 30 098 99381 91824 43 104 37 108 34 101 27 098 91824 86002 36 097 29 105 29 091 30 107 86002 81197 31 091 24 112 22 092 32 099 81197 77076 24 092 26 117 19 111 26 095 77076 73443 22 095 25 104 20 117 22 100 73443 70170 22 098 19 095 20 107 19 097 70170 67179 14 105 14 097 18 103 19 096 67179 64424 10 118 13 111 10 118 15 090 64424 61770 9 108 12 137 10 129 15 082 61770 59007 13 136 15 161 14 147 5 096 59007 56163 13 146 22 172 21 168 16 184 56163 53490 15 204 28 184 29 189 26 184 53490 51103 29 210 32 198 37 191 30 190 51103 48958 37 207 34 201 35 195 33 194 48958 47002 39 208 34 199 33 200 33 194 47002 45192 40 209 33 199 32 204 32 199 45192 43502 41 206 33 208 34 207 33 203 43502 41915 41 204 34 210 35 204 34 206 41915 40419 42 210 35 208 36 197 35 206 40419 39005 45 212 37 208 40 193 35 194 39005 37638 45 211 38 207 42 192 38 187 37638 36255 42 221 38 207 42 196 39 189 36255 34823 41 230 37 208 38 202 39 205 34823 33348 39 230 37 213 40 214 36 209 33348 31818 40 222 40 213 40 209 32 203 31818 30222 37 217 40 215 34 213 31 198 30222 28565 28 217 37 216 31 215 27 193 28565 26845 25 207 31 208 28 212 24 189 26845 25066 24 198 28 198 27 196 20 184 25066 23232 22 191 28 192 28 193 20 181 23232 21336 21 174 25 185 26 186 22 181 21336 19375 23 165 24 177 24 177 24 180 19375 17387 24 164 24 172 22 173 25 177 17387 15474 23 163 23 174 21 172 24 172 15474 13734 18 158 19 176 18 171 23 168 13734 12185 10 160 15 175 15 169 21 169 12185 10806 7 206 11 175 12 170 18 177 10806 9574 8 235 8 177 9 173 15 184 9574 8473 8 239 5 185 6 170 12 185 8473 7493 8 227 4 195 4 172 8 171 7493 6623 8 207 4 183 4*207 6 150 6623 5849 9 194 4*179 5*223 4 154 5849 5152 9 186 4*176 6 232 4 218 5152 4534 8 179 4 183 8 234 7 241 4534 4015 7 175 5 188 8 236 9 238 4015 3617 5 186 5 192 9 237 9 236 3617 3342 3 207 5 195 9 237 9 236 3342 3175 1 238 5 196 9 237 8*235 3175 3079 1*263 4 197 8 237 5*237 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography