DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 79.6 - - 77.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 366 - - 120 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1472 - - 4954 - - 4377 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3792 - - 6561 - - 5564 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4534 - - 8016 - - 7439 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1953 - - 1865 - - 2347 - - 1005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 505 - - 336 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 219 - - 229 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5286 - - -4399 - - -4746 - - -5586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9820 - - 12415 - - 12186 - - 8665 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11524 - - -10701 - - -10632 - - -13373 ODpotential blCL - - - 16058 - - 18717 - - 18071 - - 16451 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 75 - - 87 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 79.6 - - 77.4 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 35.6 - - 34.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 77.3 - - 76.4 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 34.9 - - 33.9 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 366 - - 120 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1472 - - 4954 - - 4377 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 0 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98435 9 077 9 167 5 133 6 149 98435 91062 10 102 11 124 11 158 6 136 91062 85401 10 127 12 097 12 130 5 144 85401 80687 11 154 6 164 5 057 8 093 80687 76601 7 144 7 138 4 019 6 064 76601 73007 3 344 5 127 1 161 6 023 73007 69777 4 163 3 206 3 180 3 008 69777 66801 5 189 7 236 4 235 2 022 66801 64033 5 252 12 222 8 244 8 252 64033 61353 14 273 12 238 11 240 12 247 61353 58560 21 260 20 259 15 250 18 259 58560 55666 22 259 26 262 26 257 26 263 55666 52916 24 257 29 261 31 259 31 262 52916 50451 26 256 28 254 32 261 35 260 50451 48240 30 259 30 246 36 256 40 258 48240 46224 34 258 33 245 38 250 44 257 46224 44367 39 253 38 246 41 247 47 254 44367 42642 41 247 43 242 46 248 48 250 42642 41033 42 244 45 238 53 245 51 248 41033 39525 44 243 51 238 58 242 57 247 39525 38114 46 244 56 236 63 240 64 244 38114 36766 47 240 57 236 66 240 64 241 36766 35419 45 238 54 236 64 237 59 238 35419 34041 47 240 49 234 60 232 59 234 34041 32624 47 242 47 236 54 234 61 230 32624 31150 44 242 45 238 48 243 54 230 31150 29613 39 242 42 240 44 240 45 233 29613 28012 35 241 37 239 41 241 44 237 28012 26348 31 242 34 239 39 242 42 238 26348 24622 29 241 31 240 37 243 38 241 24622 22836 27 238 29 241 33 245 33 242 22836 20986 25 236 27 241 28 242 29 238 20986 19067 24 233 27 239 27 240 27 236 19067 17118 22 230 26 237 24 241 23 237 17118 15242 19 229 22 234 20 239 19 233 15242 13536 16 230 18 231 16 231 15 218 13536 12019 15 231 15 226 14 218 15 194 12019 10668 15 230 15 222 15 214 16 183 10668 9462 15 228 15 219 16 217 18 189 9462 8384 17 228 15*218 15 221 18 200 8384 7423 17 227 14*218 13*225 19 209 7423 6569 15 225 12 216 13*228 18 214 6569 5809 13 220 11 217 13 229 16 216 5809 5124 11*212 11 218 13 230 13 220 5124 4515 9*202 11 220 13 229 11 228 4515 4004 8 193 11 221 13 229 10 233 4004 3610 8 191 11 223 13 230 10 234 3610 3338 7 190 10 224 12 230 9 232 3338 3173 7 189 10 224 12 230 8*229 3173 3078 6 189 8 224 9 229 4*232 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography