DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.3 - - 84.5 - - 89.1 - - 88.8 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 368 - - 480 - - 273 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 6122 - - 10168 - - 10341 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 7489 - - 10893 - - 10702 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top 3189 - - 9184 - - 13231 - - 13404 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2186 - - 2848 - - 2007 - - 1790 - - 7836 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 544 - - 704 - - 587 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 15 - - 18 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 346 - - 324 - - 318 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 11 - - 52 - - 80 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7253 - - -3707 - - 144 - - 215 - - -7402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10442 - - 12891 - - 13088 - - 13190 - - 10482 sfcLCL ODpotential -11385 - - -6077 - - -1216 - - -1081 - - -10485 ODpotential blCL 14574 - - 15261 - - 14447 - - 14485 - - 13564 blCL maxRH 27 - - 43 - - 63 - - 71 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.3 - - 84.5 - - 89.1 - - 88.8 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 38.3 - - 41.7 - - 41.1 - - 45.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.1 - - 82.2 - - 86.2 - - 86.9 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 37.5 - - 41.0 - - 40.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 368 - - 480 - - 273 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 6122 - - 10168 - - 10341 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98906 44 091 37 105 37 106 25 116 28 077 98906 91407 30 097 30 104 25 101 27 105 24 096 91407 85658 23 098 24 113 23 104 25 098 28 095 85658 80891 20 114 18 112 19 103 23 099 25 100 80891 76784 19 100 20 120 19 115 18 091 23 094 76784 73160 16 079 23 110 25 132 13 122 13 092 73160 69881 11 114 16 097 18 129 16 125 11 141 69881 66887 14 129 12 135 14 122 11 118 13 121 66887 64131 8 158 9 137 14 125 11 146 9 116 64131 61476 17 147 11 193 8 202 6 144 2 157 61476 58710 14 143 12 186 13 204 11 202 10 205 58710 55848 14 174 15 190 16 205 14 210 16 234 55848 53115 14 205 11 200 16 200 17 228 15 240 53115 50647 16 207 10 228 15 217 19 241 22 260 50647 48427 16 221 14 236 16 232 22 258 19 254 48427 46395 17 209 14 232 17 242 22 265 18 264 46395 44517 17 230 15 250 15 263 20 276 26 267 44517 42784 17 234 15 276 13 291 16 295 25 274 42784 41183 17 248 16 293 16 313 24 311 23 314 41183 39687 13 265 16 299 25 321 28 313 35 317 39687 38287 13 284 15 322 33 319 33 328 43 316 38287 36949 13 303 18 342 30 325 42 332 43 320 36949 35603 15 319 32 354 32 345 43 330 42 328 35603 34217 17 325 40 350 42 349 40 334 43 333 34217 32792 16 329 36 350 46 345 40 341 43 337 32792 31312 16 334 37 353 46 345 42 345 45 340 31312 29766 14 340 43 355 46 348 47 347 49 339 29766 28158 13 346 40 354 49 350 51 348 50 342 28158 26484 13 347 27 353 45 356 50 349 47 345 26484 24750 12 346 20 358 38 357 46 353 41 348 24750 22963 10 347 16 352 29 355 42 357 38 354 22963 21113 8 351 12 346 20 360 34 360 36 001 21113 19195 7 353 7 340 15 005 28 005 29 006 19195 17247 6 340 4 354 13 360 26 008 21 010 17247 15375 3 315 4 025 8 003 18 008 14 018 15375 13672 3 291 5 004 7*007 9*004 11 022 13672 12154 3 288 9 352 7*001 8*001 9 004 12154 10797 4 301 10 356 7 357 8 352 5 344 10797 9580 6 325 8*004 7 348 8 337 4 336 9580 8490 7 341 8*013 7 335 8 326 4 347 8490 7514 7 350 7 009 7 323 8 317 5 356 7514 6646 9 351 7 355 8 315 9 309 6 000 6646 5872 11 344 7 347 8 309 9 303 7 002 5872 5174 14 337 7 339 8 305 9 297 8 001 5174 4552 17 331 7 332 8 300 9 293 8 357 4552 4029 18 327 7 328 8 298 9 291 8 352 4029 3626 16 327 7 324 8 296 9 290 7 346 3626 3346 12*330 7 321 8 295 9 288 6 341 3346 3176 10*330 7 320 8 294 8 287 5*337 3176 3079 6 334 6 319 7 293 7 286 3*331 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography