DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 63.7 - - 69.0 - - 64.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -61 - - 49 - - 164 - - 8 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 1018 - - 424 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3303 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3399 - - 4080 - - 3485 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 721 - - 1527 - - 1038 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 112 - - 230 - - 66 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 031 - - 058 - - 044 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -10 - - -5 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2601 - - -4626 - - -5777 - - -3969 - - -4450 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5678 - - 8025 - - 9857 - - 7454 - - 7528 sfcLCL ODpotential -11676 - - -11059 - - -11149 - - -10134 - - -12792 ODpotential blCL 14753 - - 14458 - - 15229 - - 13619 - - 15869 blCL maxRH 37 - - 38 - - 32 - - 44 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 63.7 - - 69.0 - - 64.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 39.7 - - 36.9 - - 42.7 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 63.1 - - 67.6 - - 64.3 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 38.4 - - 35.9 - - 42.3 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -61 - - 49 - - 164 - - 8 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 338 - - 1018 - - 424 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96621 48 299 37 285 53 284 51 301 49 294 96621 89520 31 301 27 300 31 285 31 293 36 296 89520 84051 23 301 29 305 23 309 20 297 24 293 84051 79504 13 311 23 300 25 309 22 303 20 305 79504 75564 16 316 19 289 19 291 27 291 20 305 75564 72077 17 312 14 294 12 293 24 284 20 313 72077 68925 20 311 15 305 16 310 20 296 19 302 68925 66032 24 300 21 302 24 304 20 298 14 282 66032 63353 21 297 20 281 24 288 24 311 21 314 63353 60772 20 302 15 295 26 285 31 303 30 306 60772 58114 21 302 24 322 25 293 27 302 30 298 58114 55370 34 327 37 328 28 310 25 305 26 289 55370 52729 52 322 38 330 33 324 24 320 24 304 52729 50319 47 315 38 333 37 336 37 329 37 319 50319 48139 36 325 36 334 47 339 50 327 49 318 48139 46149 42 339 46 338 58 338 58 324 56 314 46149 44318 57 338 57 333 63 331 61 323 56 311 44318 42617 56 332 56 327 61 324 58 321 50 312 42617 41027 41 329 50 329 52 326 49 328 43 316 41027 39536 29 328 44 333 50 342 51 346 39 337 39536 38134 25 318 38 323 52 353 58 353 51 355 38134 36784 26 323 33 310 45 353 63 354 59 358 36784 35416 22 325 25 315 38 338 52 001 61 356 35416 34009 15 300 21 325 29 329 36 351 52 001 34009 32570 16 310 15 335 17 341 37 332 35 004 32570 31083 18 317 9 350 9 333 18 336 34 346 31083 29541 19 306 11 002 5 327 14 318 23 340 29541 27947 15 310 15 359 9 351 5 318 13 326 27947 26300 12 324 18 017 12 360 6 105 5 007 26300 24595 13 327 16 029 14 356 5 040 2 050 24595 22830 8 325 14 029 12 003 14 001 1 099 22830 20998 10 056 10 029 7 018 13 358 6 044 20998 19095 18 056 10 045 8 013 11 004 12 029 19095 17155 12 041 11 061 8 029 10 045 13 034 17155 15281 6 327 6 054 10 054 9 068 11 056 15281 13571 8 295 4 351 9 060 7 068 9 086 13571 12043 8 299 5 316 5 045 6 057 7 107 12043 10681 6 311 5 311 3 350 5 048 6 115 10681 9464 4 341 2 312 2 308 4 041 4 115 9464 8378 4 004 1 075 2 270 3 041 3 128 8378 7412 6 012 3 079 1 184 2 077 3 152 7412 6555 6 016 4 064 2 115 2 103 3 154 6555 5795 6 017 5 049 3 078 1 074 2 141 5795 5112 7 019 6 038 4 067 2 043 1 071 5112 4505 7 024 7 035 5*061 4 034 2 035 4505 3997 10 030 9 032 6*059 6 035 3 034 3997 3605 13 031 10*032 6 058 6*041 6 030 3605 3335 14 031 8*031 5 058 5*043 7 030 3335 3171 12 031 7 030 5 058 5 045 7*029 3171 3077 7*031 5 031 4 059 4 045 5*030 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography