DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.2 - - 72.3 - - 78.3 - - 77.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 292 - - 408 - - 212 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2199 - - 5029 - - 5163 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4387 - - 6670 - - 6491 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5261 - - 8091 - - 8225 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 559 - - 1400 - - 1541 - - 1923 - - 1125 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 361 - - 530 - - 431 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 330 - - 340 - - 351 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 9 - - 22 - - 19 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8799 - - -6261 - - -5197 - - -3663 - - -4278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11877 - - 11522 - - 13289 - - 11889 - - 7357 sfcLCL ODpotential -17325 - - -13234 - - -11246 - - -8502 - - -9654 ODpotential blCL 20403 - - 18495 - - 19337 - - 16727 - - 12732 blCL maxRH 30 - - 37 - - 43 - - 35 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.2 - - 72.3 - - 78.3 - - 77.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 32.6 - - 30.4 - - 35.4 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 70.4 - - 75.8 - - 75.5 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.0 - - 31.3 - - 29.2 - - 34.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 292 - - 408 - - 212 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2199 - - 5029 - - 5163 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98249 2 270 12 295 2 115 9 214 13 275 98249 90770 3 161 9 225 8 251 7 292 6 270 90770 85012 1 201 8 194 8 222 10 271 4 293 85012 80246 0 066 5 208 7 246 7 274 4 017 80246 76151 4 059 4 216 7 275 2 346 5 014 76151 72555 5 033 1 244 6 259 5 321 7 341 72555 69317 11 340 1 084 7 271 6 290 3 335 69317 66338 17 300 6 280 11 284 13 296 17 298 66338 63570 18 273 13 277 17 260 16 286 18 287 63570 60871 20 268 22 279 20 262 20 272 26 287 60871 58050 22 266 25 277 26 273 26 265 33 276 58050 55143 28 278 27 277 30 279 29 269 34 265 55143 52381 37 272 36 278 37 278 34 280 33 266 52381 49898 37 262 41 269 44 273 44 281 45 278 49898 47684 39 265 45 266 48 270 51 277 54 278 47684 45688 42 277 45 273 47 273 54 276 57 277 45688 43871 45 284 46 281 50 277 56 276 59 280 43871 42203 40 285 47 286 53 282 60 282 63 283 42203 40656 41 295 49 289 58 285 64 283 66 284 40656 39212 42 299 50 289 59 284 65 282 67 284 39212 37855 41 296 51 288 56 283 63 282 66 285 37855 36546 40 292 50 286 53 285 61 284 65 286 36546 35222 39 286 50 285 52 286 61 286 63 288 35222 33853 40 283 48 284 50 288 61 286 60 289 33853 32445 41 281 47 281 49 289 61 288 55 291 32445 30983 43 282 46 279 47 287 60 289 50 292 30983 29456 44 283 45 278 45 285 59 289 44 295 29456 27866 42 286 45 278 45 286 57 289 39 300 27866 26211 40 289 46 280 45 290 55 290 36 305 26211 24494 38 291 43 284 42 292 52 293 34 309 24494 22718 33 291 37 291 39 294 50 294 32 311 22718 20878 29 293 32 297 39 299 45 296 30 313 20878 18968 27 297 29 299 36 301 39 297 27 316 18968 17033 25 301 27 296 31 298 33 300 25 320 17033 15176 23 300 26 295 26 297 27 307 21 326 15176 13488 21 303 24 301 22 302 21 316 17 330 13488 11983 19 308 21 311 18 312 16 326 16 333 11983 10639 17 311 17 318 16 324 14 337 16 337 10639 9437 16 311 16 318 13 335 11 346 17 339 9437 8363 15 313 15 319 8*343 10*354 16 339 8363 7404 14 319 13 325 7*346 10*355 15 340 7404 6553 12 329 10 329 7 345 10 355 14 345 6553 5796 11 335 7*334 7 344 11 353 15 351 5796 5114 8 339 5*342 8 340 11 351 16 355 5114 4507 7 339 5 339 8 338 12 348 19 353 4507 3999 6 334 5 331 8 337 11 347 19 347 3999 3607 7 332 5 324 7 336 11 346 17 342 3607 3337 6 329 4 319 7 335 11 346 14 340 3337 3172 5*330 4 316 7 333 10 345 12*339 3172 3078 3*340 4 316 6 333 9 344 7*337 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography