DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 181 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2098 - - 2836 - - - - - 282 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4036 - - 4681 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5159 - - 5896 - - - - - 3342 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1108 - - 2172 - - - - - 1626 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 336 - - - - - 41 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 225 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1364 - - 1251 - - - - - 265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3795 - - 4646 - - - - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 388 - - 240 - - - - - 57 ODpotential blCL - - - 4771 - - 5656 - - - - - 3285 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 92 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 220 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 46.6 - - - - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 55.3 - - - - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 45.7 - - - - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 181 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2098 - - 2836 - - - - - 282 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 66 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97454 11 351 5 004 6 055 97454 90206 8 019 8 072 15 343 90206 84616 8 012 9 049 13 344 84616 80006 5 262 11 337 7 036 80006 76035 1 268 12 282 11 033 76035 72509 5 273 8 262 11 326 72509 69317 10 289 4 236 11 278 69317 66376 14 261 11 261 8 242 66376 63625 19 231 19 245 8 201 63625 60931 18 221 20 236 7 217 60931 58108 18 229 23 237 19 255 58108 55188 18 222 26 225 29 259 55188 52398 20 242 24 221 29 266 52398 49865 26 253 21 234 30 275 49865 47583 31 250 24 249 35 276 47583 45510 33 246 27 250 34 275 45510 43611 35 242 26 256 34 282 43611 41854 31 233 22 274 38 289 41854 40219 23 246 24 276 40 289 40219 38692 22 240 24 283 38 288 38692 37264 14 239 28 287 35 294 37264 35899 14 282 28 290 36 304 35899 34532 17 286 29 317 36 315 34532 33136 17 297 33 330 41 319 33136 31716 9 313 42 340 49 318 31716 30260 23 015 49 342 52 318 30260 28754 39 008 46 341 50 321 28754 27195 40 002 43 345 48 333 27195 25579 35 004 38 345 42 338 25579 23907 23 022 29 343 37 335 23907 22182 8 016 25 341 34 332 22182 20399 2 265 21 338 27 329 20399 18551 3 235 18 332 21 329 18551 16672 2 251 11 324 19 329 16672 14861 3 250 8 312 21 330 14861 13210 4 222 8 290 22 334 13210 11739 6 207 7 272 21 333 11739 10428 6 205 5 234 17 326 10428 9255 7 214 5 219 15 319 9255 8208 9 225 6 228 13 313 8208 7275 10 228 7 232 12 307 7275 6448 11 226 8*231 11 300 6448 5713 12*222 8*229 10 292 5713 5051 12*219 8 226 9 284 5051 4463 12 216 9 225 8 275 4463 3971 12 216 9 224 8 267 3971 3590 12 215 9 224 7*264 3590 3328 11 215 9 224 7*261 3328 3168 10 215 8 224 5 260 3168 3077 8 215 7 224 4 258 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography