DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.5 - - 52.1 - - 53.6 - - 53.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 43 - - 69 - - 21 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 551 - - 950 - - 948 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3612 - - 4011 - - 4009 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1495 - - 1853 - - 2112 - - 2046 - - 2127 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 121 - - 170 - - 116 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 225 - - 233 - - 250 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 535 - - 934 - - 932 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -297 - - 147 - - 342 - - 158 - - -737 ODpotential blCL 3374 - - 3465 - - 3669 - - 3851 - - 3814 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 100 - - 170 - - 170 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 49.5 - - 52.1 - - 53.6 - - 53.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 50.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 51.6 - - 52.9 - - 53.3 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 50.2 - - 50.3 - - 50.2 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 43 - - 69 - - 21 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 551 - - 950 - - 948 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 103 - - 101 - - 97 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96875 45 271 58 280 49 276 54 267 53 281 96875 89705 40 277 45 270 46 274 43 275 38 284 89705 84181 38 280 31 269 39 268 32 283 31 279 84181 79570 36 274 28 273 27 269 22 271 30 273 79570 75583 30 265 23 258 24 260 20 258 26 274 75583 72038 21 251 24 240 25 251 19 249 21 258 72038 68794 19 235 28 231 27 253 21 253 19 244 68794 65788 21 242 26 233 29 245 28 252 19 258 65788 62988 27 253 26 238 33 235 33 249 27 258 62988 60271 32 249 27 239 31 228 34 242 31 253 60271 57438 31 249 29 246 27 241 32 244 33 250 57438 54503 35 256 35 254 35 251 37 256 36 255 54503 51715 44 260 43 255 43 251 47 256 45 256 51715 49224 50 257 48 253 47 253 53 253 49 252 49224 47003 51 256 49 251 52 254 55 251 51 254 47003 44996 49 256 48 248 54 254 53 249 55 254 44996 43163 44 256 46 248 54 251 51 250 56 255 43163 41475 40 259 45 248 49 246 49 251 57 255 41475 39911 40 264 40 249 41 243 46 250 58 256 39911 38461 40 270 36 247 40 239 44 245 58 256 38461 37113 37 273 33 244 40 233 41 243 56 254 37113 35825 34 276 32 242 41 228 40 243 53 251 35825 34521 32 281 33 240 40 226 41 238 54 251 34521 33170 31 284 32 237 40 226 40 234 53 249 33170 31778 29 287 30 236 39 228 37 235 50 248 31778 30335 28 290 29 237 37 230 37 237 47 247 30335 28832 28 291 29 245 34 238 37 239 44 245 28832 27270 26 292 30 251 33 245 36 240 43 243 27270 25646 22 284 31 253 33 244 35 242 42 239 25646 23962 20 263 32 256 32 243 34 244 41 238 23962 22224 21 247 30 261 30 248 33 243 38 238 22224 20427 22 242 25 251 27 251 30 240 34 239 20427 18564 24 228 26 230 24 242 25 237 30 240 18564 16674 22 221 25 229 23 232 23 236 25 238 16674 14860 19 228 23 231 21 229 20 232 21 235 14860 13211 17 238 22 229 20 227 19 223 18 230 13211 11745 17 236 21 226 20 228 18 219 16 223 11745 10437 16 231 19 221 18 225 16 222 14 218 10437 9267 14 223 17 210 17 220 14 225 12 215 9267 8222 12 207 17 195 16 214 13 226 11 209 8222 7289 13 200 17 192 14 209 12 223 11 199 7289 6461 12 196 15 194 12 210 10 218 9 188 6461 5724 11 197 12 201 10 215 7 215 7 191 5724 5061 10 205 9 209 8 221 5 218 6 211 5061 4471 9 220 7 215 8*228 3*235 8 231 4471 3976 8 235 6*220 8*232 3*248 10 237 3976 3594 6 244 5*222 7 233 3 250 11 235 3594 3330 5 247 5 224 7 233 3 251 9 232 3330 3169 3*249 5 226 7 233 3 250 7*232 3169 3077 2*259 4 227 6 233 3 249 4*232 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography