DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.4 - - 52.1 - - 51.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 86 - - 122 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1614 - - 2964 - - 1639 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 4591 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4674 - - 6025 - - 4699 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 662 - - 1880 - - 902 - - 1475 - - 1609 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 222 - - 302 - - 109 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 36 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 292 - - 280 - - 154 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 205 - - 1369 - - 346 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3076 - - 4470 - - 4656 - - 4354 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -2621 - - -9354 - - 316 - - -651 - - -9341 ODpotential blCL 5697 - - 14028 - - 5709 - - 5350 - - 12418 blCL maxRH 82 - - 77 - - 91 - - 93 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 49.4 - - 52.1 - - 51.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 40.5 - - 42.4 - - 42.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 48.7 - - 51.2 - - 51.0 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 39.3 - - 41.1 - - 42.1 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 86 - - 122 - - 8 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1614 - - 2964 - - 1639 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 6 - - 65 - - 73 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96413 36 291 34 284 24 265 41 273 40 286 96413 89296 16 288 28 274 38 282 22 276 30 290 89296 83818 14 292 15 256 26 291 11 282 22 291 83818 79252 19 314 11 280 7 325 11 266 16 296 79252 75319 18 323 16 304 10 310 13 287 10 308 75319 71836 10 319 12 293 14 301 17 289 11 320 71836 68681 13 310 5 276 9 275 15 287 15 288 68681 65799 14 325 6 333 12 267 17 287 15 276 65799 63140 26 324 18 335 16 291 16 294 12 279 63140 60559 31 303 25 325 18 307 18 293 15 270 60559 57858 24 311 28 321 18 293 23 280 22 272 57858 55058 47 325 36 315 26 276 29 288 26 278 55058 52387 49 301 41 304 32 287 37 284 30 279 52387 49974 43 315 41 317 33 302 36 280 39 280 49974 47797 63 321 53 322 42 307 38 286 42 283 47797 45813 73 308 59 310 50 303 42 289 44 282 45813 43990 66 298 51 306 51 298 43 286 42 276 43990 42307 50 305 51 306 51 295 43 281 42 273 42307 40743 62 324 54 303 53 295 43 282 41 277 40743 39277 67 316 56 301 54 294 44 286 42 279 39277 37899 66 309 57 299 54 292 44 290 42 279 37899 36571 65 304 58 296 55 291 43 291 44 281 36571 35227 66 303 62 292 55 291 43 288 46 281 35227 33841 67 303 66 290 53 294 43 286 45 280 33841 32414 66 304 63 291 50 301 42 284 44 282 32414 30933 65 304 59 295 48 310 41 285 43 284 30933 29387 63 305 55 301 46 313 40 288 40 283 29387 27777 58 307 49 306 41 314 38 290 37 281 27777 26104 52 307 43 308 35 313 37 290 36 281 26104 24373 49 305 39 309 32 308 35 288 35 285 24373 22591 47 306 37 305 30 301 34 292 35 295 22591 20751 44 311 36 303 30 297 35 304 35 306 20751 18841 44 306 35 302 29 303 36 314 34 308 18841 16897 44 303 31 302 26 313 32 318 28 307 16897 15026 41 306 26 300 23 316 26 319 22 303 15026 13326 37 309 24 298 19 307 20 316 18 296 13326 11816 33 311 22 299 15 295 16 304 14 289 11816 10472 27 310 19 301 12 283 13 285 11 283 10472 9275 20 310 13 299 9 267 12 256 8 266 9275 8212 13 316 7 297 6 247 10 228 8 228 8212 7270 9 321 2 273 2 249 7 212 8 206 7270 6440 7 328 1 215 1*333 2 185 7 200 6440 5705 7 335 1 251 1*332 2 142 5 206 5705 5045 7 341 2*302 1 307 2*141 4 217 5045 4459 8 348 3*304 1 283 2*149 4 223 4459 3967 9 354 3 297 2 274 2 151 4 208 3967 3589 9 359 3 291 2 267 2 156 4 184 3589 3327 8 004 3 286 2 267 2 156 3 164 3327 3168 6 006 3 284 2 265 2 160 3*150 3168 3077 4*013 3 282 2 264 1 163 2*131 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography