DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 55.7 - - 59.2 - - 56.4 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 191 - - 269 - - 63 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2315 - - 2907 - - 1480 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 4310 - - 4870 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5376 - - 5968 - - 4541 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 171 - - 1213 - - 888 - - 1501 - - 516 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 315 - - 380 - - 187 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 34 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 094 - - 024 - - 027 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 15 - - 11 - - -12 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -66 - - -176 - - 162 - - -477 - - -61 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3143 - - 5553 - - 5807 - - 5019 - - 3138 sfcLCL ODpotential -12273 - - -9913 - - -8422 - - -9154 - - -9755 ODpotential blCL 15350 - - 15289 - - 14390 - - 13695 - - 12832 blCL maxRH 74 - - 85 - - 86 - - 76 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 55.7 - - 59.2 - - 56.4 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.1 - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 54.4 - - 57.4 - - 55.9 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.4 - - 41.7 - - 44.1 - - 44.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 191 - - 269 - - 63 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2315 - - 2907 - - 1480 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 40 - - 45 - - 4 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96728 48 279 50 288 42 281 49 274 57 284 96728 89674 24 280 32 287 30 283 26 282 37 302 89674 84201 19 256 25 278 30 282 21 301 27 303 84201 79628 20 261 17 258 23 271 27 290 28 289 79628 75691 24 280 14 270 13 281 24 275 27 285 75691 72204 26 284 23 287 17 297 18 285 22 290 72204 69025 21 284 27 281 23 290 19 293 22 292 69025 66084 16 289 21 273 24 282 20 297 21 302 66084 63349 15 304 12 287 17 281 21 294 20 303 63349 60700 21 309 14 313 15 291 22 295 22 297 60700 57955 25 301 23 308 21 301 26 302 24 294 57955 55121 27 296 27 300 30 291 28 293 31 295 55121 52412 35 299 33 298 35 291 35 292 39 289 52412 49961 44 293 40 299 39 299 39 288 38 288 49961 47746 47 291 47 293 44 291 41 290 38 291 47746 45722 50 299 47 290 48 282 45 287 44 289 45722 43866 57 297 53 291 49 284 46 283 52 285 43866 42158 63 292 54 291 46 286 48 280 53 279 42158 40582 65 291 51 290 42 291 47 277 50 277 40582 39118 66 297 49 294 41 295 36 280 41 272 39118 37751 66 299 48 298 39 296 33 288 30 269 37751 36442 65 297 48 299 37 297 32 290 27 269 36442 35122 63 295 48 298 38 297 32 292 26 270 35122 33760 62 296 47 298 38 299 33 300 26 276 33760 32356 59 300 44 301 37 302 33 304 25 286 32356 30899 55 303 42 300 36 303 32 306 26 287 30899 29379 51 302 41 294 37 300 31 303 27 289 29379 27794 49 302 42 292 39 300 33 302 29 294 27794 26146 50 302 42 297 39 306 34 305 31 303 26146 24435 48 305 40 299 36 308 33 313 31 314 24435 22665 46 314 37 301 33 305 31 320 29 321 22665 20830 46 315 34 309 28 307 28 323 23 320 20830 18920 45 320 32 318 23 313 25 315 21 314 18920 16976 41 329 30 322 23 320 22 313 21 317 16976 15103 37 332 27 325 23 324 21 323 20 325 15103 13398 34 331 24 325 21 327 20 334 18 338 13398 11879 31 330 22 328 18 329 16 340 16 351 11879 10528 28 331 19 339 13 343 12 341 11 353 10528 9327 21 332 14 353 7 017 7 352 7 349 9327 8260 13 346 9 017 5 067 6 013 4 001 8260 7314 10 016 5 056 4 069 6 012 3 015 7314 6477 8 042 5 111 2*027 7 007 4 020 6477 5734 6 063 5*133 2*017 8 009 7 027 5734 5066 5 075 4*120 2 017 9*016 11 027 5066 4472 5 057 3 093 2 021 9*024 16 028 4472 3975 7 027 2 089 2 027 10 027 19 029 3975 3592 10 017 2 081 2 030 10 028 19 030 3592 3329 10 015 2 082 2 029 9 028 16 031 3329 3169 9*015 1 078 2 030 9 028 14*032 3169 3077 6*021 1 082 2 030 7 028 7*034 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography