DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 508 - - 277 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2343 - - 4159 - - 4641 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4570 - - 6044 - - 6200 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5405 - - 7221 - - 7704 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1082 - - 1375 - - 1613 - - 1766 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 529 - - 449 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 200 - - 227 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 12 - - 19 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2234 - - -2488 - - -2817 - - -4258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7639 - - 9709 - - 10521 - - 7336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7687 - - -7180 - - -7724 - - -10831 ODpotential blCL - - - 13092 - - 14401 - - 15428 - - 13909 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 49 - - 59 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 78.6 - - 79.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 46.7 - - 44.2 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 75.6 - - 77.7 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 508 - - 277 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2343 - - 4159 - - 4641 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99155 35 109 29 112 28 093 41 102 99155 91772 37 110 29 125 24 105 31 095 91772 86073 26 119 30 122 27 113 25 099 86073 81315 24 114 26 109 29 123 19 110 81315 77202 17 114 20 100 27 110 20 114 77202 73558 18 121 13 111 18 103 19 098 73558 70260 16 104 11 130 10 107 12 095 70260 67233 16 105 15 139 8 137 10 109 67233 64436 9 129 18 141 9 144 11 124 64436 61732 16 159 12 175 8 175 9 131 61732 58907 15 176 20 188 14 190 11 171 58907 55970 24 224 21 203 19 218 13 206 55970 53161 36 217 29 214 26 224 20 223 53161 50637 31 217 33 227 34 229 32 237 50637 48390 33 220 40 227 42 226 41 236 48390 46369 32 227 40 226 44 228 43 238 46369 44535 33 234 38 233 42 232 44 236 44535 42854 31 240 36 240 44 240 44 239 42854 41297 30 248 32 245 47 243 46 243 41297 39839 29 249 31 253 45 245 47 244 39839 38462 28 248 30 259 40 247 44 243 38462 37132 27 247 27 262 36 250 41 242 37132 35785 26 246 25 260 35 254 37 244 35785 34392 24 244 23 254 32 254 34 245 34392 32955 22 241 22 248 27 249 33 244 32955 31464 21 238 21 243 25 247 32 242 31464 29907 20 235 20 241 24 245 29 240 29907 28286 19 233 19 242 22 242 25 242 28286 26601 18 228 19 243 19 241 21 236 26601 24854 17 219 18 237 16 236 18 221 24854 23049 17 214 17 229 16 227 18 216 23049 21180 19 213 17 225 17 223 17 222 21180 19242 19 212 16 219 15 219 12 220 19242 17272 19 212 18 208 15 207 11 201 17272 15375 17 213 19 205 15 199 12 194 15375 13648 16 209 19 203 15 198 13 187 13648 12111 14 199 17 197 15 196 15 181 12111 10741 12 187 16 192 13 192 16 180 10741 9519 11 175 14 187 9 173 18 185 9519 8429 11 165 10 175 5*134 18 187 8429 7458 12 161 5*164 3*131 12 168 7458 6595 11 159 5*166 2 158 9 122 6595 5828 9*155 4 177 2 209 7 093 5828 5137 6*159 5 194 5 235 4 062 5137 4524 6 175 5 205 6 237 3 326 4524 4010 6 185 6 213 7 238 4 285 4010 3614 6 193 6 217 7 240 5 270 3614 3340 6 198 6 220 7 240 6 265 3340 3174 6 199 6 220 7 240 5 263 3174 3078 5 201 6 221 6 239 4*261 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography