DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 78.9 - - 84.8 - - 83.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 226 - - 334 - - 113 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1582 - - 4356 - - 4647 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3856 - - 6058 - - 5713 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4644 - - 7418 - - 7710 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 395 - - 1599 - - 3550 - - 3073 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 295 - - 469 - - 335 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 173 - - 228 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 088 - - 179 - - 096 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 3 - - 25 - - 27 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6103 - - -6915 - - -5502 - - -4715 - - -6241 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9181 - - 11559 - - 12921 - - 12425 - - 9321 sfcLCL ODpotential -14216 - - -12978 - - -10077 - - -9430 - - -12388 ODpotential blCL 17294 - - 17622 - - 17495 - - 17140 - - 15467 blCL maxRH 38 - - 35 - - 41 - - 39 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 78.9 - - 84.8 - - 83.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 39.1 - - 38.6 - - 39.8 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.6 - - 77.3 - - 82.6 - - 82.6 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.3 - - 38.5 - - 38.0 - - 39.3 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 226 - - 334 - - 113 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1582 - - 4356 - - 4647 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98372 7 218 8 255 9 195 7 245 6 239 98372 90985 6 113 4 198 3 145 5 127 2 084 90985 85300 11 086 4 086 7 113 4 115 5 024 85300 80577 11 122 4 128 2 068 7 105 4 077 80577 76526 9 100 9 111 1 210 2 043 7 058 76526 72957 7 078 8 099 4 150 4 285 4 045 72957 69720 4 065 5 105 3 142 3 208 5 167 69720 66736 9 261 2 185 3 221 4 192 7 161 66736 63961 6 239 10 231 10 241 6 257 2 199 63961 61267 7 208 16 226 17 240 17 258 11 269 61267 58455 9 251 12 236 17 240 18 255 16 262 58455 55532 21 261 19 266 20 255 22 254 23 258 55532 52744 24 257 23 269 23 259 24 249 24 256 52744 50241 24 261 25 261 27 254 27 254 23 260 50241 48010 23 260 22 249 27 250 29 256 23 269 48010 45999 21 265 19 260 22 252 25 258 23 281 45999 44176 14 273 15 271 15 271 18 265 20 283 44176 42520 11 289 14 281 13 298 12 298 13 288 42520 40994 8 331 10 293 11 296 12 310 11 315 40994 39564 11 358 12 343 5 330 9 303 13 309 39564 38212 18 001 17 352 8 353 5 320 10 285 38212 36904 23 358 19 347 12 349 6 348 4 266 36904 35578 24 355 19 345 13 346 7 004 2 231 35578 34208 22 352 19 344 12 343 7 013 2 149 34208 32797 20 355 16 348 11 337 6 356 3 129 32797 31331 20 004 13 005 6 004 3 010 3 145 31331 29800 20 011 10 009 4 073 0 067 2 179 29800 28202 18 012 8 025 3 086 2 295 2 241 28202 26538 17 358 7 011 1 066 4 306 3 225 26538 24809 17 348 9 352 3 350 6 332 2 258 24809 23018 15 358 9 350 5 356 6 358 2 357 23018 21162 16 002 10 348 5 345 7 001 4 350 21162 19235 19 355 13 359 7 012 7 045 4 074 19235 17276 17 002 12 009 7 039 6 074 3 105 17276 15393 9 017 6 018 5 059 5 090 3 144 15393 13681 2 107 1 294 2 134 5 117 6 143 13681 12155 7 173 8 196 8 196 5 160 6 145 12155 10791 8 180 11 194 11 195 7 184 6 161 10791 9570 7 183 9 198 9 195 5 191 9 172 9570 8477 5 187 6 190 6 195 3*211 11 176 8477 7500 3 182 3 162 2*200 3*228 10 178 7500 6631 1 126 2 108 1*218 2 232 7 185 6631 5859 2 064 3 075 0 213 1 231 5 200 5859 5162 3 054 3*073 0 197 0 079 3 204 5162 4542 3 066 3*075 0 178 2 060 2 162 4542 4021 3 094 3 082 1 144 2 059 3 104 4021 3620 3 112 3 090 1 150 3 059 6 055 3620 3343 3 121 3 098 1 151 3 060 9 043 3343 3175 3 118 3 101 1 143 3 058 9*041 3175 3079 3*097 2 103 1 155 2 060 6*042 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography