DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Hernandez 3049ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.3 - - 87.5 - - 92.7 - - 89.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 378 - - 523 - - 339 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3357 - - 6441 - - 3595 - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit 3049 - - 5313 - - 7867 - - 5459 - - 3049 Hcrit BL Top 3176 - - 6407 - - 9490 - - 6645 - - 3335 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 475 - - 2100 - - 1702 - - 2508 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 446 - - 617 - - 440 - - 54 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 340 - - 321 - - 324 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 11 - - 37 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10322 - - -8570 - - -5909 - - -7293 - - -5684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13499 - - 14977 - - 15400 - - 13939 - - 9020 sfcLCL ODpotential -18975 - - -15077 - - -10843 - - -12283 - - -12922 ODpotential blCL 22151 - - 21484 - - 20333 - - 18928 - - 16257 blCL maxRH 50 - - 42 - - 46 - - 37 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.3 - - 87.5 - - 92.7 - - 89.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 32.5 - - 35.3 - - 39.0 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.1 - - 85.6 - - 90.0 - - 87.5 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.6 - - 32.4 - - 35.3 - - 39.1 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 378 - - 523 - - 339 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 127 - - 3357 - - 6441 - - 3595 - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98979 33 105 34 105 33 106 37 101 32 108 98979 91532 36 101 34 108 28 101 34 106 32 109 91532 85788 35 104 32 114 28 112 26 101 28 101 85788 81027 29 110 32 110 22 119 24 102 23 103 81027 76933 21 111 23 105 21 116 16 100 19 111 76933 73320 18 119 17 109 16 109 16 096 17 108 73320 70059 18 114 12 115 13 115 13 090 14 097 70059 67073 14 106 11 121 7 123 7 080 10 089 67073 64308 7 132 10 105 8 128 5 128 7 082 64308 61628 11 130 3 162 2 139 3 031 6 078 61628 58850 7 078 11 165 11 207 9 275 6 355 58850 56009 13 321 3 331 7 216 12 231 11 273 56009 53333 23 285 21 292 17 283 14 254 16 258 53333 50928 29 272 31 275 29 277 28 274 23 272 50928 48772 34 267 35 267 35 269 36 270 31 273 48772 46807 34 264 35 265 33 264 36 265 34 268 46807 44993 33 259 34 259 31 261 31 261 32 265 44993 43303 32 257 32 252 30 252 29 255 29 262 43303 41718 32 258 32 250 29 247 27 246 26 257 41718 40228 31 257 31 247 29 244 28 243 26 244 40228 38828 30 256 31 245 29 242 30 242 30 238 38828 37482 30 255 32 246 32 243 35 240 38 238 37482 36123 34 252 39 246 41 240 42 238 44 237 36123 34718 41 249 45 243 44 239 45 239 45 237 34718 33270 42 249 44 248 41 243 43 243 41 237 33270 31765 41 251 40 250 38 247 38 248 36 239 31765 30193 37 249 35 250 33 245 32 245 32 241 30193 28553 34 248 32 246 30 242 30 243 30 244 28553 26848 31 250 30 247 27 248 25 250 29 246 26848 25080 28 254 26 251 24 254 22 258 24 251 25080 23252 22 259 20 254 20 257 20 264 19 257 23252 21362 18 264 16 254 17 260 17 273 15 266 21362 19403 17 277 16 263 15 274 14 288 13 282 19403 17415 18 288 18 278 12 290 12 300 12 292 17415 15504 20 292 20 287 12 303 11 307 10 297 15504 13765 22 293 24 291 15 305 12 310 8 306 13765 12214 23 293 26 292 17 303 12 311 7 317 12214 10829 21 293 24 294 16 303 11 312 7 317 10829 9590 17 294 19 296 11*304 8 309 7 308 9590 8485 13 292 13 297 6*317 4 315 7 292 8485 7500 9 294 8 305 6 326 4 333 7 278 7500 6626 8 307 7*326 7 327 6*334 8 289 6626 5849 9 324 7*340 8 324 9*331 9 310 5849 5149 11 339 8 344 9 320 14 328 11 325 5149 4526 14 349 8 342 9 319 17 324 15 332 4526 4005 16 356 8 340 9 318 17 322 19 330 4005 3605 18 358 8 337 9 316 17 321 19*328 3605 3329 17*358 7 335 9 315 17 320 18*327 3329 3162 15*358 7 335 9 315 16 318 15 326 3162 3066 9 358 6 332 8 314 13 318 11 325 3066 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography