DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.2 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 134 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 333 - - 840 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3394 - - 3901 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 497 - - 679 - - 2232 - - 622 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 203 - - 21 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 253 - - 218 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 276 - - 16 - - -1256 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3118 - - 3885 - - 4333 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5570 - - -4308 - - -5110 - - -5184 ODpotential blCL - - - 8964 - - 8209 - - 8187 - - 8261 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 86 - - 85 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 54.6 - - 55.2 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 48.1 - - 46.8 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 53.5 - - 55.1 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 47.4 - - 46.5 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 134 - - 7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 333 - - 840 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 42 - - 39 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96059 13 333 15 280 23 294 16 298 96059 89021 7 312 13 325 10 335 7 342 89021 83569 16 292 15 326 11 347 12 314 83569 79024 12 298 14 300 10 315 15 319 79024 75093 9 315 13 283 15 280 19 307 75093 71610 18 284 15 292 18 275 21 277 71610 68464 20 264 18 273 17 264 21 271 68464 65563 21 253 23 252 21 248 20 252 65563 62859 29 252 26 244 27 246 22 239 62859 60231 38 242 30 242 34 244 26 237 60231 57482 45 242 39 242 43 251 35 246 57482 54629 63 240 60 243 63 243 65 239 54629 51905 67 233 69 232 64 233 71 228 51905 49436 62 246 66 238 62 240 72 231 49436 47215 90 248 87 244 81 243 82 237 47215 45202 105 234 109 236 103 239 94 237 45202 43360 101 230 106 231 107 234 101 231 43360 41675 97 240 101 236 105 234 106 231 41675 40134 108 244 116 240 115 237 121 232 40134 38701 118 237 127 239 127 236 132 231 38701 37348 119 234 130 237 122 233 123 228 37348 36040 103 234 117 234 109 232 116 227 36040 34715 93 236 105 232 99 229 105 228 34715 33351 89 237 94 233 94 229 87 228 33351 31950 84 238 90 233 89 231 82 227 31950 30500 83 237 87 233 84 234 75 228 30500 28992 85 237 84 235 76 235 67 228 28992 27430 85 238 80 235 70 234 65 228 27430 25810 82 239 76 236 69 233 64 227 25810 24130 75 239 71 237 65 234 59 228 24130 22391 66 240 63 237 58 236 53 230 22391 20589 59 240 56 240 50 238 50 230 20589 18715 48 237 50 242 45 241 44 230 18715 16810 38 234 40 238 38 239 39 230 16810 14977 34 231 34 229 33 234 35 226 14977 13309 31 228 30 223 30 226 31 220 13309 11825 28 228 27 220 28 219 29 216 11825 10501 25 230 25 220 25 215 26 213 10501 9318 23 231 22 222 23 212 25 209 9318 8260 20 230 20 224 21 213 23 205 8260 7318 17 229 17 223 18 216 21 204 7318 6482 14 228 12 218 15 215 19 204 6482 5738 11 233 8 222 9 203 16 201 5738 5069 11 244 6 236 3 154 13 187 5069 4475 11 255 4 248 2 117 10 162 4475 3978 12 258 4*255 1 154 8 146 3978 3594 11*259 5*255 1 206 6 144 3594 3330 9*261 5 253 2 213 5 144 3330 3169 7 261 5 253 2 216 3*137 3169 3077 6 263 4 252 2*218 2*121 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography