DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 72.7 - - 71.6 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 391 - - 144 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1522 - - 3545 - - 3870 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3873 - - 5483 - - 5300 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4584 - - 6606 - - 6932 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2069 - - 1648 - - 2132 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 461 - - 341 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 225 - - 250 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4663 - - -3723 - - -2351 - - -3169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9248 - - 10329 - - 9284 - - 6247 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9967 - - -8386 - - -5904 - - -8655 ODpotential blCL - - - 14551 - - 14992 - - 12836 - - 11733 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 72 - - 56 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 72.7 - - 71.6 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 37.9 - - 41.4 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 70.3 - - 70.5 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 37.4 - - 41.1 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 277 - - 391 - - 144 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1522 - - 3545 - - 3870 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98433 4 086 14 142 9 230 6 256 98433 91020 9 138 7 167 11 160 1 146 91020 85328 3 136 4 120 8 147 4 145 85328 80609 3 213 4 037 8 096 6 144 80609 76548 6 141 2 120 9 057 8 059 76548 72981 3 092 1 244 8 024 6 028 72981 69759 5 120 6 212 1 105 6 059 69759 66796 4 183 5 242 3 226 7 281 66796 64057 10 236 11 257 6 253 6 246 64057 61395 15 234 16 241 15 256 14 256 61395 58614 16 257 20 247 23 250 24 258 58614 55744 28 257 29 250 29 246 31 255 55744 53011 35 259 34 256 32 258 33 258 53011 50543 46 261 44 261 38 266 36 256 50543 48313 53 258 52 258 46 267 42 259 48313 46275 58 255 56 255 54 261 49 260 46275 44394 62 251 62 254 59 256 54 259 44394 42644 67 248 67 252 64 255 57 259 42644 41006 70 247 73 250 71 254 61 260 41006 39468 73 246 78 247 75 251 66 256 39468 38021 76 245 80 246 72 249 67 249 38021 36627 78 244 79 245 68 250 62 249 36627 35221 79 241 81 242 71 252 68 254 35221 33781 84 238 85 238 76 249 78 252 33781 32318 86 236 88 238 81 244 84 247 32318 30819 80 235 84 238 81 242 82 244 30819 29270 72 234 74 237 73 239 77 242 29270 27672 63 234 66 236 65 241 71 242 27672 26021 56 232 61 236 61 242 63 241 26021 24316 52 232 58 237 58 241 57 241 24316 22557 48 232 52 237 53 240 53 244 22557 20737 44 233 45 236 47 240 48 242 20737 18852 39 235 38 237 40 240 42 234 18852 16937 35 234 32 237 33 238 36 228 16937 15095 29 233 26 235 26 234 27 222 15095 13418 24 231 23 229 20 225 22 222 13418 11923 20 228 20 223 19 219 17 229 11923 10589 18 224 19 220 17 216 12 232 10589 9397 17 221 17 218 13 212 9 230 9397 8330 17 216 16 217 7 205 7 228 8330 7379 17 211 14*215 5*219 7 219 7379 6533 17 205 11*218 5*231 5 208 6533 5781 16 198 11 221 5 242 3 211 5781 5103 15*194 11 224 6 249 2 259 5103 4499 12*192 11 226 7 253 4 302 4499 3992 9 200 11 228 7 255 9 319 3992 3602 9 202 11 229 7 256 13 327 3602 3333 8 204 11 230 7 255 12 329 3333 3171 8 204 10 230 7 256 10*330 3171 3078 7 205 9 230 6 256 6*331 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography