DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 88.4 - - 86.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 282 - - 64 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4364 - - 7768 - - 5418 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5769 - - 8665 - - 5783 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7426 - - 10831 - - 8480 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4220 - - 1741 - - 3338 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 539 - - 295 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 47 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 095 - - 033 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 28 - - 20 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5043 - - -2361 - - -4748 - - -6996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12469 - - 13192 - - 13229 - - 10075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10607 - - -7283 - - -10334 - - -14560 ODpotential blCL - - - 18033 - - 18114 - - 18814 - - 17639 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 46 - - 42 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 88.4 - - 86.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 40.9 - - 38.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 86.4 - - 85.8 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 40.1 - - 38.3 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 282 - - 64 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4364 - - 7768 - - 5418 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97910 6 238 20 251 18 276 11 270 97910 90582 3 256 12 230 10 243 7 303 90582 84946 3 159 3 203 7 185 3 303 84946 80277 6 114 3 123 6 128 4 069 80277 76280 7 094 7 127 5 076 12 083 76280 72763 13 090 10 107 8 063 16 085 72763 69587 13 093 8 113 8 072 13 084 69587 66682 10 103 4 130 4 030 10 079 66682 63996 5 113 6 154 3 270 5 047 63996 61400 3 149 5 165 7 235 7 294 61400 58714 10 294 6 248 12 254 17 272 58714 55950 23 288 18 282 17 274 25 275 55950 53319 37 281 39 288 39 285 39 286 53319 50943 47 280 47 283 53 285 49 288 50943 48796 53 285 59 285 59 287 56 288 48796 46826 61 289 63 288 62 289 58 290 46826 45002 66 290 65 290 64 291 59 294 45002 43299 65 290 66 292 66 293 63 294 43299 41701 62 292 64 291 66 291 66 291 41701 40199 61 294 61 291 66 293 67 293 40199 38785 62 299 58 292 63 296 68 296 38785 37424 57 301 54 292 57 296 65 298 37424 36048 51 296 50 292 52 294 59 296 36048 34628 47 293 49 292 50 294 54 294 34628 33171 46 294 46 293 49 297 48 298 33171 31662 44 297 42 294 46 299 43 300 31662 30090 43 299 39 295 40 299 37 298 30090 28456 36 297 33 295 35 298 32 293 28456 26755 30 296 29 294 32 292 30 291 26755 24992 22 293 23 291 27 292 27 295 24992 23168 16 293 18 285 21 290 23 295 23168 21281 11 295 13 285 14 295 15 297 21281 19328 4 309 6 280 8 300 8 311 19328 17348 1 045 1 253 1 276 5 326 17348 15447 5 146 4 126 7 122 4 132 15447 13722 11 147 7 136 12 122 14 129 13722 12187 12 143 8*140 11 130 18 137 12187 10817 10 125 5*135 4 153 12 135 10817 9593 8 104 4 132 3 202 4 146 9593 8497 5 091 2 123 2*220 4 204 8497 7518 3*089 2 091 1*233 4 204 7518 6647 2*050 2 072 1 025 3 175 6647 5872 2 006 2 062 2 031 3 105 5872 5172 2 358 2 059 4 034 5 056 5172 4549 2 351 2 054 5 034 9 038 4549 4027 2 345 3 054 5 035 12 032 4027 3623 2 342 3 052 5 034 14 031 3623 3345 2 333 2 052 5 035 12 034 3345 3176 1 335 2 053 5 035 10*036 3176 3079 1 331 2 054 4 035 6*038 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography