DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Hernandez 3059ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.1 - - - - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 72 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 433 - - 2060 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3059 - - 3496 - - - - - 3059 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3492 - - 5119 - - - - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2452 - - 2775 - - - - - 3520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 228 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 29 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 303 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - -13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 417 - - 1582 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3537 - - - - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 348 - - 427 - - - - - -589 ODpotential blCL - - - 3144 - - 4692 - - - - - 3665 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 98 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.1 - - - - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 31.3 - - - - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 35.6 - - - - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 30.3 - - - - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 72 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 433 - - 2060 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 90 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96578 31 117 26 106 21 099 96578 89429 26 097 18 110 19 094 89429 83878 16 078 18 114 13 113 83878 79256 7 120 9 114 7 095 79256 75259 4 131 6 137 5 123 75259 71699 5 086 4 089 5 023 71699 68461 5 064 3 289 5 026 68461 65470 8 349 7 248 7 312 65470 62685 14 303 4 240 12 282 62685 59989 21 299 10 283 9 286 59989 57163 29 295 24 288 21 312 57163 54222 36 284 30 281 35 295 54222 51410 40 301 35 286 39 293 51410 48866 57 299 48 291 49 295 48866 46578 69 287 54 292 52 292 46578 44501 67 285 56 292 52 298 44501 42596 68 292 59 294 56 307 42596 40835 70 296 65 299 64 310 40835 39202 73 297 74 301 74 306 39202 37685 78 296 82 299 80 300 37685 36269 86 292 89 295 75 296 36269 34913 96 285 93 291 71 301 34913 33556 105 281 96 285 72 310 33556 32178 106 278 94 278 77 315 32178 30789 94 273 85 278 81 315 30789 29369 81 274 82 283 83 315 29369 27899 75 285 83 289 84 316 27899 26374 82 294 88 293 86 318 26374 24793 89 294 92 296 88 319 24793 23156 93 292 95 297 89 319 23156 21467 96 291 94 297 90 320 21467 19721 101 293 86 297 85 320 19721 17915 98 296 76 299 75 321 17915 16085 84 299 70 303 70 320 16085 14326 62 299 60 299 68 319 14326 12729 39 290 50 292 60 324 12729 11320 38 281 44 287 54 333 11320 10074 39 284 42 287 49 337 10074 8964 41 290 40 290 46 337 8964 7973 41 291 39 295 45 334 7973 7088 41 291 36 300 44 331 7088 6302 40 289 34 303 43 328 6302 5601 38 287 34*303 41 326 5601 4970 36 285 33*303 37 324 4970 4408 33 282 31 303 33 322 4408 3935 31 280 30 303 28 319 3935 3570 28*278 28 302 23 315 3570 3317 25*277 26 302 18 312 3317 3164 22 277 23 302 15*311 3164 3076 14 276 14 301 9*309 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography