DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 88.9 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 284 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 4348 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3584 - - 5993 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4433 - - 7410 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4807 - - 4371 - - - - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 446 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 138 - - - - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -10 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8975 - - -6002 - - - - - -7576 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13408 - - 13413 - - - - - 10656 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14252 - - -10565 - - - - - -15187 ODpotential blCL - - - 18685 - - 17975 - - - - - 18266 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 44 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 88.9 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 40.5 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 86.9 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 39.7 - - - - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 284 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1370 - - 4348 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97810 13 289 4 281 21 269 97810 90536 3 334 4 252 8 309 90536 84933 6 076 2 011 7 012 84933 80306 9 070 10 034 11 066 80306 76334 7 087 11 019 11 080 76334 72828 8 081 7 034 13 066 72828 69648 7 049 3 054 13 056 69648 66723 6 049 4 106 9 039 66723 64016 6 076 5 112 5 334 64016 61410 4 154 5 211 5 271 61410 58691 6 202 10 208 12 234 58691 55872 7 230 13 200 23 218 55872 53196 20 260 16 241 24 208 53196 50786 37 260 36 255 28 232 50786 48615 46 250 49 249 38 243 48615 46634 42 240 51 240 46 249 46634 44806 39 244 51 241 53 248 44806 43106 43 251 53 242 54 244 43106 41516 48 253 54 244 50 242 41516 40022 53 254 55 245 45 239 40022 38616 53 254 51 246 44 238 38616 37263 49 256 44 251 42 237 37263 35899 40 260 36 253 39 236 35899 34493 31 259 29 250 35 235 34493 33049 26 258 27 248 31 233 33049 31555 26 255 24 248 28 228 31555 30001 25 253 23 248 27 226 30001 28387 22 240 20 235 25 225 28387 26710 19 225 19 210 24 220 26710 24968 16 217 18 210 23 220 24968 23160 15 208 19 216 18 218 23160 21285 13 187 18 192 18 197 21285 19339 9 178 11 181 18 175 19339 17364 10 156 11 164 14 164 17364 15467 15 134 15 138 17 157 15467 13742 17 128 18 127 23 142 13742 12207 17 126 18 123 27 140 12207 10837 15 130 16 121 26 144 10837 9610 14 138 15 124 20 146 9610 8511 13 146 13 131 11 144 8511 7530 12 154 12*137 6 142 7530 6658 13 159 10*140 5 148 6658 5881 13 159 10 140 4 154 5881 5179 14 155 9 139 5 154 5179 4554 13*150 9 137 5 148 4554 4029 10*139 9 136 5 112 4029 3625 9 132 9 134 7 068 3625 3346 8 129 9 134 8 055 3346 3176 7 128 8 134 7*053 3176 3079 6 128 7 133 5*051 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography