DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.0 - - 58.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - -15 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3078 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 468 - - 825 - - 487 - - 451 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 29 - - 17 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 139 - - 112 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -5 - - -6 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7868 - - -5233 - - -4507 - - -6518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10945 - - 8311 - - 7586 - - 9596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16605 - - -12664 - - -12626 - - -15691 ODpotential blCL - - - 19682 - - 15742 - - 15704 - - 18768 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 64 - - 70 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.0 - - 58.8 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 36.8 - - 36.8 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 62.8 - - 61.4 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 35.6 - - 35.4 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -20 - - -15 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97006 45 096 36 097 52 092 46 106 97006 89844 46 106 41 105 50 093 46 103 89844 84288 39 105 34 102 40 089 44 096 84288 79654 36 093 32 097 34 092 38 089 79654 75630 31 089 30 086 26 093 28 086 75630 72061 23 097 20 088 21 080 26 072 72061 68839 21 086 15 084 16 071 25 062 68839 65899 21 065 18 070 17 065 23 056 65899 63202 23 033 22 054 17 058 21 046 63202 60601 25 010 26 042 19 038 19 029 60601 57889 23 003 25 020 21 008 23 005 57889 55077 22 357 24 002 23 350 25 349 55077 52391 28 354 27 353 25 341 29 344 52391 49970 34 350 30 340 29 335 33 344 49970 47797 37 345 34 334 33 335 33 342 47797 45819 38 339 36 332 34 336 32 342 45819 43995 36 331 33 326 31 330 29 335 43995 42297 31 327 27 319 26 321 26 316 42297 40712 25 305 22 303 21 307 23 298 40712 39235 21 304 19 289 17 286 20 275 39235 37865 15 302 17 270 19 258 23 249 37865 36564 11 288 9 245 17 243 23 235 36564 35253 8 292 6 234 17 226 20 217 35253 33898 0 090 8 234 14 222 22 224 33898 32500 11 133 11 213 15 232 22 231 32500 31045 16 143 14 177 15 220 21 227 31045 29525 14 154 16 164 16 198 20 217 29525 27943 19 174 20 176 17 194 18 208 27943 26295 20 175 19 191 18 203 17 210 26295 24585 18 160 17 192 21 208 19 216 24585 22815 18 154 16 186 22 204 21 219 22815 20979 16 155 15 178 20 199 19 216 20979 19069 13 168 14 189 16 192 16 209 19069 17121 9 176 10 189 12 184 12 203 17121 15241 9 171 9 183 10 184 8 201 15241 13529 9 173 10 190 9 192 4 201 13529 12004 10 183 11 197 9 195 2 209 12004 10645 9 184 10 203 8 192 3 212 10645 9433 6 187 8 204 7 189 4 197 9433 8353 5 199 7 204 7 184 5 188 8353 7392 7 203 8 200 7 181 4 184 7392 6540 9 199 10 194 9 179 6 179 6540 5784 13 195 14 187 11 179 9 176 5784 5104 17 190 18 182 14 178 11 172 5104 4499 19 184 18 177 16 177 13 169 4499 3993 20 180 18 172 17 172 14 165 3993 3603 18 174 15 159 14 159 14 157 3603 3334 13 168 11 148 11 143 11 146 3334 3171 9 160 8*144 7*129 8 138 3171 3077 3*112 6*139 4*112 4*105 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography