DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.2 - - 55.6 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 399 - - 158 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1550 - - 2959 - - 2031 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3917 - - 5040 - - 4026 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4610 - - 6020 - - 5092 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 799 - - 1039 - - 1038 - - 1443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 438 - - 283 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 231 - - 243 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 14 - - 14 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3688 - - -2029 - - -557 - - -124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8298 - - 8050 - - 5650 - - 3202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10391 - - -7195 - - -5521 - - -3816 ODpotential blCL - - - 15001 - - 13215 - - 10613 - - 6893 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 54 - - 75 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 62.2 - - 55.6 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 37.3 - - 41.2 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 59.9 - - 54.5 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 36.9 - - 41.1 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 399 - - 158 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1550 - - 2959 - - 2031 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97954 18 240 23 268 29 280 27 287 97954 90666 8 267 15 258 24 284 11 272 90666 85035 9 294 10 269 11 285 8 255 85035 80354 3 232 11 281 6 261 6 289 80354 76319 8 143 6 249 6 217 4 300 76319 72764 4 075 4 166 6 154 4 203 72764 69561 6 265 8 216 2 108 6 156 69561 66618 3 199 12 214 10 248 4 212 66618 63891 3 055 5 195 15 214 15 228 63891 61257 16 296 2 286 13 183 18 212 61257 58502 21 261 10 244 13 198 17 207 58502 55632 21 249 23 244 21 240 17 230 55632 52890 23 252 28 243 27 244 17 238 52890 50417 27 257 30 238 30 243 22 246 50417 48186 30 255 30 235 35 238 30 248 48186 46146 32 251 30 238 37 233 36 245 46146 44262 37 247 33 241 38 231 40 241 44262 42507 39 244 37 241 38 235 42 241 42507 40859 38 244 37 244 40 240 43 240 40859 39310 38 245 37 247 38 243 41 241 39310 37855 37 243 38 246 37 249 40 242 37855 36459 35 242 39 245 38 248 39 241 36459 35051 36 247 41 247 39 246 40 242 35051 33599 41 251 47 243 43 242 41 250 33599 32110 43 248 53 238 50 242 43 249 32110 30574 47 243 52 242 49 242 39 241 30574 28985 45 247 45 253 37 246 32 245 28985 27350 36 250 38 254 34 255 30 253 27350 25675 32 243 30 242 35 248 28 257 25675 23967 23 241 25 242 34 243 26 263 23967 22220 16 256 22 257 29 245 24 268 22220 20418 17 255 21 267 22 254 22 272 20418 18549 21 237 22 254 19 252 20 271 18549 16649 27 236 28 240 21 238 18 258 16649 14827 28 240 31 238 22 230 17 244 14827 13176 24 243 30 238 23 226 17 234 13176 11707 19 242 27 238 23 223 18 228 11707 10397 17 239 23 236 21 221 17 225 10397 9227 17 236 20 234 18 222 13 208 9227 8184 16 234 17 235 13 226 10 146 8184 7255 15 229 14 234 8 245 12 097 7255 6431 13 222 13*232 9 262 8 086 6431 5698 12 218 13*231 10*261 0 330 5698 5039 9*222 13 231 13*249 8 263 5039 4454 8*234 13 231 15 244 13 257 4454 3964 8 238 14 231 15 241 16 249 3964 3587 9 239 13 231 15 241 16 244 3587 3327 9 240 13 231 14 241 14 241 3327 3168 8 240 12 231 13 240 12*241 3168 3077 7 239 10 231 10 240 7*241 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography