DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.0 - - 86.4 - - 91.0 - - - - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 289 - - 393 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4487 - - 8271 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 6113 - - 9250 - - - - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 7550 - - 11334 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 814 - - 3164 - - 2682 - - - - - 6588 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 455 - - 617 - - - - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 32 - - 106 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 008 - - 313 - - - - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 18 - - 45 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4848 - - -3227 - - -322 - - - - - -6609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7927 - - 10778 - - 11657 - - - - - 9689 sfcLCL ODpotential -9132 - - -5692 - - -1363 - - - - - -10020 ODpotential blCL 12210 - - 13242 - - 12697 - - - - - 13099 blCL maxRH 81 - - 76 - - 81 - - - - - 57 maxRH CAPE 190 - - 40 - - 140 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 76.0 - - 86.4 - - 91.0 - - - - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.2 - - 49.7 - - 50.2 - - - - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.5 - - 84.3 - - 88.5 - - - - - 84.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.2 - - 48.8 - - 49.2 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 289 - - 393 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4487 - - 8271 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 2 - - 24 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99294 48 113 38 107 46 105 40 105 99294 91807 50 105 40 123 38 113 40 103 91807 86036 43 099 38 123 29 116 35 105 86036 81238 30 100 28 106 28 122 31 104 81238 77117 23 110 23 097 28 117 28 101 77117 73487 18 103 20 105 28 111 23 105 73487 70210 15 105 19 112 24 120 22 118 70210 67206 14 135 24 113 19 123 18 125 67206 64434 17 127 14 123 14 135 13 130 64434 61768 16 143 15 155 10 166 15 130 61768 58986 26 171 24 181 19 182 9 151 58986 56103 30 172 32 184 28 189 18 207 56103 53369 26 183 35 184 37 201 29 205 53369 50918 30 192 39 188 45 197 41 204 50918 48718 41 197 43 195 48 205 47 216 48718 46724 51 204 55 204 60 209 66 219 46724 44908 60 201 66 202 71 199 74 208 44908 43225 65 194 62 195 58 196 66 205 43225 41642 65 192 54 189 42 205 53 213 41642 40151 59 195 45 204 44 219 48 218 40151 38750 53 202 45 207 46 216 47 219 38750 37399 51 202 45 205 46 206 46 220 37399 36032 52 200 46 201 50 201 47 219 36032 34620 54 199 48 199 55 198 47 216 34620 33167 52 199 47 200 56 198 46 216 33167 31661 44 200 43 204 52 202 46 217 31661 30095 39 208 39 206 45 206 45 221 30095 28467 38 214 37 209 40 212 40 228 28467 26775 36 216 35 217 36 214 34 231 26775 25021 29 213 32 218 33 216 30 231 25021 23206 26 209 31 211 26 217 24 235 23206 21328 21 207 24 210 22 218 19 212 21328 19388 19 202 22 208 17 210 14 201 19388 17421 15 197 21 205 17 208 8 211 17421 15526 11 201 18 203 16 219 6 238 15526 13801 8 209 15 202 13 222 6 237 13801 12260 6 215 10 203 8*218 6 205 12260 10883 5 220 4 212 1*224 5 168 10883 9650 3 243 2 286 0 275 4 155 9650 8545 2 301 4*342 1 343 1 115 8545 7558 3 353 4*002 1 349 3 027 7558 6680 3 010 4 017 1 341 4 019 6680 5898 3 018 3 022 1 324 6 013 5898 5193 4 023 3 019 2 316 7 008 5193 4564 4 021 2 008 2 309 9 000 4564 4037 4 014 2 347 2 303 9 353 4037 3630 5 006 2 331 2 304 9 345 3630 3349 5 359 1 320 2 300 8 339 3349 3177 4 354 1 312 2 300 6 335 3177 3079 3*354 1 308 2 296 4*330 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography