DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 83.9 - - 83.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 303 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1524 - - 3581 - - 3681 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3746 - - 5427 - - 4744 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4586 - - 6643 - - 6743 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 999 - - 1060 - - 1293 - - 1240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 426 - - 276 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 34 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 303 - - 320 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 15 - - 25 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7510 - - -6785 - - -7106 - - -6396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12097 - - 13428 - - 13850 - - 9476 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15233 - - -13192 - - -13621 - - -15476 ODpotential blCL - - - 19819 - - 19835 - - 20364 - - 18555 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 25 - - 26 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 83.9 - - 83.6 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 35.7 - - 33.6 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 81.8 - - 82.7 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 35.0 - - 33.0 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 303 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1524 - - 3581 - - 3681 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98052 12 331 5 359 5 287 6 323 98052 90742 3 204 2 103 6 221 6 008 90742 85113 2 128 2 091 1 280 4 022 85113 80447 5 009 5 046 9 036 6 057 80447 76422 4 083 3 029 11 034 12 049 76422 72877 7 124 2 299 9 024 13 033 72877 69683 8 129 1 324 4 002 11 019 69683 66747 8 138 4 178 5 242 10 321 66747 64029 4 137 8 165 11 206 13 267 64029 61399 7 297 3 258 7 222 12 263 61399 58660 13 287 12 276 11 278 12 275 58660 55840 17 297 17 289 19 294 17 295 55840 53170 22 307 22 302 27 298 26 292 53170 50770 26 313 27 304 31 297 33 296 50770 48604 28 307 28 301 34 299 40 297 48604 46622 29 303 30 300 37 300 44 296 46622 44789 27 303 32 299 38 300 45 296 44789 43081 24 305 30 299 38 299 44 298 43081 41484 23 309 28 300 37 293 41 297 41484 39988 21 311 24 304 28 289 38 294 39988 38584 19 305 19 303 22 297 29 292 38584 37234 17 296 18 298 19 300 20 298 37234 35873 9 314 15 285 17 298 17 304 35873 34474 6 340 7 287 13 288 14 296 34474 33037 6 358 5 305 10 289 10 297 33037 31546 6 359 6 307 8 291 7 300 31546 29987 7 336 8 307 8 316 5 307 29987 28365 11 344 11 355 11 010 6 360 28365 26681 14 006 13 023 12 031 8 033 26681 24937 15 026 12 040 12 038 10 053 24937 23133 17 033 13 042 12 033 12 051 23133 21262 18 022 14 029 14 025 14 045 21262 19320 21 008 17 018 15 021 15 045 19320 17344 22 004 18 010 14 019 14 041 17344 15443 18 002 17 007 14 017 13 032 15443 13711 13 358 14 006 13 018 13 028 13711 12166 9 360 11 007 12 023 13 028 12166 10787 7 017 7 015 10 027 11 030 10787 9555 6 034 5 033 8 027 10 030 9555 8456 5 039 4 044 6 024 10 030 8456 7477 4 041 4*034 5*001 8 019 7477 6611 4 042 2*359 5*345 5 006 6611 5841 4 038 2 346 5 331 3 005 5841 5148 3*030 2 320 4 318 4 020 5148 4532 1*308 2 294 4 315 4 027 4532 4015 2 249 3 283 4 311 4 034 4015 3617 2 240 3 275 4 309 3 046 3617 3341 2 235 3 272 4 308 2 077 3341 3174 2 233 3 271 4 306 2*096 3174 3079 2 232 3 270 4 306 1*102 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography