DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.0 - - 83.6 - - 89.6 - - 87.8 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 314 - - 421 - - 250 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2040 - - 3814 - - 2487 - - 359 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4287 - - 5723 - - 4547 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5102 - - 6877 - - 5550 - - 3421 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 510 - - 967 - - 1358 - - 2454 - - 1324 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 359 - - 487 - - 356 - - 30 W* B/S 3 - - 20 - - 22 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 232 - - 222 - - 247 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 10 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10056 - - -7594 - - -7132 - - -6694 - - -5007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13134 - - 12696 - - 14009 - - 12244 - - 8429 sfcLCL ODpotential -18295 - - -13634 - - -11916 - - -11097 - - -11104 ODpotential blCL 21373 - - 18736 - - 18793 - - 16647 - - 14525 blCL maxRH 71 - - 60 - - 64 - - 92 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.0 - - 83.6 - - 89.6 - - 87.8 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 39.0 - - 38.7 - - 44.8 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.9 - - 81.5 - - 86.9 - - 85.9 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 38.0 - - 37.5 - - 44.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 314 - - 421 - - 250 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2040 - - 3814 - - 2487 - - 359 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 67 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99323 33 096 27 107 26 105 28 106 25 093 99323 91827 35 101 27 112 29 111 24 102 23 103 91827 86053 29 107 31 116 28 110 25 105 26 097 86053 81240 24 106 29 115 25 121 25 105 24 094 81240 77084 17 101 22 112 22 114 23 112 22 102 77084 73426 14 117 14 126 16 106 19 112 20 111 73426 70133 16 124 14 140 18 125 16 118 15 112 70133 67121 13 145 16 164 13 139 10 143 12 133 67121 64345 18 169 18 166 13 172 12 175 10 154 64345 61672 19 184 15 187 22 181 17 188 11 185 61672 58899 21 185 22 195 28 187 25 198 15 204 58899 56052 22 210 26 195 32 196 34 192 27 202 56052 53359 34 226 32 207 37 207 37 201 36 199 53359 50935 48 225 43 217 47 207 45 208 42 205 50935 48757 56 219 51 216 51 205 51 205 49 208 48757 46774 57 219 54 215 51 206 52 206 51 207 46774 44945 57 223 55 215 51 210 54 206 54 202 44945 43241 60 219 58 216 55 211 55 205 54 199 43241 41648 63 215 59 210 59 213 55 210 54 205 41648 40153 65 214 61 209 64 216 61 214 59 211 40153 38747 65 215 66 211 68 213 71 211 65 209 38747 37393 63 218 66 212 69 207 72 206 65 206 37393 36024 59 216 59 218 61 211 63 205 61 204 36024 34611 47 209 46 213 53 219 47 211 49 202 34611 33161 34 222 33 204 44 213 41 212 38 197 33161 31658 26 219 27 199 36 204 39 200 40 198 31658 30089 25 207 27 190 33 190 36 195 39 200 30089 28459 30 204 34 188 38 190 38 191 39 198 28459 26769 37 197 41 186 45 184 40 181 41 187 26769 25019 33 189 40 180 48 177 47 174 45 184 25019 23213 31 176 39 178 48 175 48 173 49 175 23213 21345 35 172 34 183 42 180 40 179 38 175 21345 19406 27 174 24 187 31 189 32 184 28 182 19406 17432 18 181 15 192 21 191 25 184 23 180 17432 15530 12 196 14 199 17 195 20 187 17 184 15530 13795 10 215 14 206 17 204 17 191 15 188 13795 12245 7 223 13 209 15 208 16 193 15 189 12245 10860 5 216 11 204 13 205 13 195 16 192 10860 9619 4 189 10 196 11 197 10 192 16 193 9619 8510 3 175 8 186 9 186 5 137 14 194 8510 7522 3 198 6 184 4*166 4 089 11 178 7522 6645 4 220 5 208 3*176 3 068 7 135 6645 5867 6 226 5 236 3 194 1*322 4 084 5867 5167 6 227 2*239 3 217 5*260 3 008 5167 4544 5 221 2*233 5 226 8 249 5 306 4544 4023 4 220 3 231 5 231 9 246 7 273 4023 3622 3 262 3 232 6 233 9 245 7*259 3622 3345 3 277 4 232 6 234 9 245 7*255 3345 3176 3 277 4 232 6 235 9 244 6 254 3176 3079 1*282 3 231 6 235 8 244 5 253 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography