DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.2 - - 51.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 24 - - 80 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 393 - - 1102 - - 437 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3454 - - 4162 - - 3497 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 519 - - 1441 - - 1983 - - 1440 - - 1022 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 98 - - 196 - - 62 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 013 - - 014 - - 032 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - -10 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1184 - - -2067 - - -1063 - - -1266 - - -1550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4261 - - 5522 - - 5225 - - 4763 - - 4628 sfcLCL ODpotential -6071 - - -5198 - - -4069 - - -4909 - - -7507 ODpotential blCL 9148 - - 8652 - - 8231 - - 8406 - - 10584 blCL maxRH 92 - - 78 - - 62 - - 70 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.2 - - 51.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 37.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.4 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 50.4 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 36.1 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 24 - - 80 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 393 - - 1102 - - 437 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96352 16 344 6 089 14 028 6 142 9 247 96352 89232 4 044 7 061 5 018 7 074 7 090 89232 83722 7 078 9 060 3 113 8 052 12 074 83722 79137 7 074 9 044 7 073 5 019 10 062 79137 75165 4 058 9 023 7 025 5 343 11 041 75165 71634 5 011 12 354 8 349 6 342 13 016 71634 68436 5 339 13 322 12 325 10 314 14 350 68436 65503 10 327 12 300 12 316 12 312 13 323 65503 62776 16 317 15 298 16 316 13 315 12 299 62776 60118 21 302 18 298 17 314 17 313 14 295 60118 57326 25 292 18 300 22 304 21 304 19 302 57326 54422 27 289 21 292 26 296 23 304 23 306 54422 51650 27 289 26 288 30 293 28 305 26 306 51650 49156 30 286 30 281 34 286 31 304 29 303 49156 46925 30 286 31 276 32 280 31 305 32 299 46925 44907 28 283 28 282 28 285 33 307 33 305 44907 43065 27 288 28 294 30 292 35 307 34 311 43065 41374 27 296 30 298 33 295 38 306 29 318 41374 39809 26 312 30 300 35 296 37 305 30 339 39809 38349 27 323 30 305 36 296 34 305 36 344 38349 36985 30 333 31 311 35 296 29 308 36 335 36985 35682 33 340 33 315 32 299 25 337 35 333 35682 34374 35 348 34 316 30 305 38 010 41 003 34374 33032 38 352 33 317 31 309 63 014 55 016 33032 31659 35 354 33 322 32 308 67 011 66 018 31659 30236 30 357 31 330 33 307 51 011 68 015 30236 28752 25 357 28 341 32 308 38 359 63 011 28752 27209 21 353 24 342 29 311 34 349 50 002 27209 25608 21 351 20 333 26 315 28 353 42 351 25608 23950 19 353 18 333 24 323 21 343 39 343 23950 22234 16 354 18 334 25 336 20 336 39 342 22234 20453 15 349 15 338 23 342 25 339 38 348 20453 18603 15 350 15 347 18 343 27 343 33 352 18603 16721 13 351 15 355 16 360 24 348 24 358 16721 14904 10 349 14 001 16 017 20 356 22 009 14904 13248 8 349 13 006 14 024 16 002 23 016 13248 11770 10 357 12 019 14 028 15 006 22 020 11770 10452 10 001 13 024 14 029 14 008 20 024 10452 9274 10 004 12 018 14 025 14 009 19 024 9274 8222 10 006 11 012 14 020 14 009 17 021 8222 7285 10 006 10 011 13 016 14 009 16 016 7285 6456 9 007 9 013 13 014 14 011 14 008 6456 5719 9 004 8 017 11 015 13 012 13 000 5719 5055 8 000 7 017 10 015 11 015 12 351 5055 4465 8 357 7 015 8*015 9 019 10 339 4465 3972 9 354 6 014 7*015 7 025 8 327 3972 3591 8 353 5*016 7 014 5*031 7 320 3591 3328 8 353 4*015 7 014 5*032 5 316 3328 3168 6*352 2 013 6 013 5 032 4*311 3168 3077 4*356 2 012 5 014 3 031 2*317 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography