DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 71.0 - - 68.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 300 - - 64 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 2821 - - 2141 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3374 - - 4849 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4117 - - 5883 - - 5202 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1156 - - 3291 - - 2991 - - 479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 392 - - 216 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 216 - - 218 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 11 - - 11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5630 - - -5353 - - -5140 - - -2086 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9748 - - 11237 - - 10342 - - 5163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11078 - - -11743 - - -10247 - - -7422 ODpotential blCL - - - 15195 - - 17626 - - 15449 - - 10499 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 64 - - 70 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 71.0 - - 68.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 32.3 - - 33.5 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 69.2 - - 67.6 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 31.6 - - 33.1 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 300 - - 64 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 2821 - - 2141 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97835 24 295 25 296 27 301 26 294 97835 90541 20 275 21 293 20 289 22 309 90541 84880 19 281 16 277 20 286 18 294 84880 80197 12 293 10 283 13 280 16 302 80197 76174 9 309 4 273 9 288 14 309 76174 72612 11 285 6 289 11 299 10 321 72612 69382 8 248 10 273 10 293 7 284 69382 66418 11 222 15 249 10 267 5 242 66418 63666 15 222 20 241 15 248 9 231 63666 60985 17 228 23 236 23 238 21 236 60985 58192 22 237 27 230 29 238 30 237 58192 55308 31 242 35 235 35 239 35 236 55308 52557 40 243 44 241 42 236 42 234 52557 50076 46 242 51 242 50 233 50 229 50076 47847 49 239 54 240 56 233 58 228 47847 45821 48 238 55 239 62 234 65 230 45821 43957 47 238 57 240 67 236 74 233 43957 42226 46 240 57 241 71 237 80 232 42226 40608 45 243 56 243 72 238 84 233 40608 39091 46 241 55 242 72 238 88 235 39091 37674 45 236 52 241 71 238 88 237 37674 36320 44 235 49 237 66 237 83 236 36320 34965 42 234 48 231 60 231 72 232 34965 33586 40 232 47 228 57 228 65 226 33586 32181 40 231 47 228 56 227 64 226 32181 30729 39 231 47 228 55 229 64 226 30729 29212 36 232 45 229 54 232 60 225 29212 27630 34 235 41 228 49 231 54 224 27630 25987 34 236 37 231 42 227 48 224 25987 24286 32 235 35 235 36 232 41 224 24286 22527 29 237 32 237 32 235 36 224 22527 20704 26 239 27 239 30 235 35 222 20704 18811 23 234 25 236 28 229 32 217 18811 16891 20 227 23 224 27 222 29 211 16891 15048 20 227 25 220 26 218 29 207 15048 13375 21 227 26 222 26 217 28 206 13375 11886 24 225 27 220 26 216 28 206 11886 10558 26 220 28 218 26 215 27 209 10558 9371 26 218 26 216 25 216 27 211 9371 8308 23 217 24 217 23 216 25 213 8308 7360 20 217 20 215 20 216 23 213 7360 6518 18 217 17*212 16 212 20 212 6518 5768 16 215 13*211 13*214 17 211 5768 5092 15 213 12 213 12*217 14 209 5092 4491 13*211 11 216 12 218 12 209 4491 3987 9*208 11 217 12 219 10 218 3987 3600 7 206 11 219 12 219 9 230 3600 3332 7 206 11 221 12 220 8 234 3332 3170 6 208 10 221 11 220 6 231 3170 3077 6 208 9 222 8 220 3*233 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography