DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 59.0 - - 63.8 - - 62.5 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 113 - - 267 - - 57 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 977 - - 2493 - - 2414 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 4566 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4038 - - 5554 - - 5475 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 531 - - 1013 - - 1561 - - 1905 - - 1521 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 204 - - 362 - - 215 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 53 - - 32 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 242 - - 252 - - 198 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 15 - - 20 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2829 - - -2970 - - -1979 - - -1374 - - -1967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5906 - - 7008 - - 7533 - - 6850 - - 5044 sfcLCL ODpotential -13523 - - -11065 - - -8389 - - -8166 - - -10834 ODpotential blCL 16600 - - 15103 - - 13943 - - 13641 - - 13911 blCL maxRH 51 - - 49 - - 56 - - 70 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 59.0 - - 63.8 - - 62.5 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.0 - - 39.2 - - 41.4 - - 43.2 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 58.1 - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.9 - - 42.9 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 113 - - 267 - - 57 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 977 - - 2493 - - 2414 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97419 9 300 15 303 10 301 8 270 18 282 97419 90110 10 015 7 348 5 301 4 286 8 314 90110 84502 16 008 11 032 8 291 10 339 9 048 84502 79879 8 027 12 343 7 336 11 001 9 041 79879 75920 7 349 12 348 7 306 8 359 7 030 75920 72419 9 285 13 300 5 287 6 296 6 308 72419 69226 5 263 9 280 7 257 8 265 10 254 69226 66275 7 259 9 255 4 251 9 279 7 267 66275 63523 7 250 12 254 11 275 14 264 9 270 63523 60843 2 201 14 234 12 259 14 257 13 275 60843 58041 8 290 9 226 12 267 18 260 19 269 58041 55141 18 297 8 266 14 263 19 255 22 259 55141 52380 23 295 13 286 12 261 17 246 19 255 52380 49888 28 296 22 296 15 281 15 254 19 261 49888 47640 34 301 28 305 24 287 18 273 21 263 47640 45592 38 308 33 312 25 290 25 281 21 274 45592 43731 41 317 36 316 25 301 27 288 25 294 43731 42045 41 326 35 324 26 314 25 303 25 303 42045 40498 38 334 31 337 24 333 23 334 18 316 40498 39056 38 356 29 356 25 348 26 351 16 344 39056 37701 44 013 32 008 30 355 30 352 21 349 37701 36397 52 014 39 010 35 358 31 352 25 347 36397 35080 58 006 45 011 38 360 32 354 27 344 35080 33721 57 004 46 010 38 358 32 358 29 342 33721 32324 54 006 43 009 35 354 31 359 28 345 32324 30874 52 010 40 011 31 352 29 358 25 349 30874 29358 50 012 39 009 30 360 28 356 24 352 29358 27778 50 015 42 006 29 009 28 358 23 355 27778 26133 51 017 43 005 31 014 29 004 23 359 26133 24426 51 019 42 009 32 016 30 009 22 003 24426 22661 48 022 40 016 32 016 30 012 23 004 22661 20830 45 023 37 020 31 015 30 013 23 004 20830 18930 44 022 34 021 30 016 29 013 23 008 18930 16996 43 022 34 023 28 018 28 014 23 011 16996 15131 42 023 33 027 28 019 25 016 22 011 15131 13430 39 027 31 031 27 019 24 018 20 012 13430 11913 30 030 24 035 23 022 21 020 17 017 11913 10562 19 029 14 039 16 027 16 021 13 025 10562 9359 12 020 8 037 9 028 10 021 8 039 9359 8288 7 358 5 033 4 011 4 339 5 055 8288 7338 5 330 2 016 3 294 3 251 1 044 7338 6498 4 334 1 287 3 276 2 223 4 226 6498 5752 4 356 1 252 2*276 2*214 5 220 5752 5081 4 359 1 294 1*270 2*200 4 219 5081 4485 3 357 2*314 2 258 2 193 3 180 4485 3984 3 008 1*294 2 252 2 196 4 134 3984 3598 4 018 1 242 3 248 2 198 5 115 3598 3332 4 024 1 224 3 247 2 201 6 107 3332 3170 4*023 1 215 3 247 2 204 5 101 3170 3077 3*034 1 217 3 244 2 204 4*093 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography