DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 53.0 - - 54.7 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 147 - - 75 - - 40 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1845 - - 1096 - - 2011 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3883 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4906 - - 4157 - - 5072 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1420 - - 1057 - - 2370 - - 1499 - - 638 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 272 - - 183 - - 182 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 338 - - 018 - - 027 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 6 - - -10 - - -21 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1112 - - 592 - - 995 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3794 - - 3565 - - 4077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -883 - - 398 - - -197 - - 9 - - -4351 ODpotential blCL 3960 - - 4508 - - 4354 - - 5063 - - 7428 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 100 - - 93 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 53.0 - - 54.7 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 47.7 - - 48.0 - - 47.4 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 52.6 - - 52.3 - - 54.2 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 46.7 - - 47.4 - - 46.9 - - 46.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 147 - - 75 - - 40 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1845 - - 1096 - - 2011 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 87 - - 99 - - 73 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97483 3 309 9 295 8 335 9 337 16 309 97483 90196 11 009 9 334 17 342 15 000 8 358 90196 84612 12 016 6 024 13 322 18 359 13 037 84612 79996 14 027 9 030 5 316 14 326 12 014 79996 76026 15 349 9 001 5 321 8 308 8 334 76026 72522 10 303 8 333 7 311 11 307 6 300 72522 69342 6 265 6 299 3 277 8 293 4 338 69342 66387 9 250 6 279 7 273 8 281 7 307 66387 63631 11 238 6 276 5 251 6 214 13 285 63631 60972 10 239 7 304 4 303 2 269 9 284 60972 58181 17 279 15 298 13 274 12 306 14 277 58181 55258 24 290 20 306 27 291 26 282 26 275 55258 52467 32 307 31 296 25 280 22 264 20 297 52467 49950 41 306 29 303 21 324 29 313 30 315 49950 47683 42 299 33 320 41 328 45 319 44 316 47683 45624 39 313 47 318 54 321 55 319 52 317 45624 43750 44 319 53 320 57 319 59 319 54 319 43750 42041 49 322 57 320 51 321 51 325 54 330 42041 40470 52 319 50 316 41 323 47 345 54 342 40470 39008 45 313 45 341 49 358 59 356 56 352 39008 37639 38 343 65 000 68 003 67 356 58 357 37639 36323 55 000 74 359 77 359 70 356 60 358 36323 34995 65 360 80 359 81 000 70 359 61 359 34995 33624 64 356 83 359 84 002 72 004 62 002 33624 32214 64 354 86 360 89 001 74 006 64 006 32214 30753 66 352 88 359 90 358 74 003 66 007 30753 29229 54 351 86 001 90 357 73 358 65 005 29229 27644 52 000 82 003 89 357 72 352 63 004 27644 25997 65 007 79 003 89 001 72 352 62 003 25997 24287 73 008 76 000 86 006 71 356 65 004 24287 22517 70 005 70 357 79 004 68 001 66 008 22517 20682 64 002 64 354 72 359 65 002 62 010 20682 18780 55 002 58 356 68 356 65 004 57 009 18780 16849 44 002 51 357 62 357 64 005 56 012 16849 14994 36 357 44 354 53 357 56 007 53 014 14994 13309 30 355 39 350 43 357 45 010 39 016 13309 11817 28 355 35 347 34 359 34 015 24 025 11817 10491 28 355 29 349 28 006 26 022 17 045 10491 9308 26 354 24 355 23 011 21 030 16 060 9308 8252 23 352 19 000 18 014 18 038 16 066 8252 7309 18 350 15 000 12 014 17 043 15 066 7309 6474 13 348 11 352 10 009 16 040 14 066 6474 5731 9 344 7 338 10 008 15*034 14 063 5731 5063 8 342 5*339 10 009 15*029 15 056 5063 4470 9 345 5*341 9*013 15 027 17 044 4470 3973 10 347 5 340 9*016 14 026 19 031 3973 3591 11 345 5 337 9 018 13 026 20 023 3591 3328 10 345 4 335 8 019 12 025 17 020 3328 3169 8*345 4 334 7 020 11 025 14*019 3169 3077 5*348 4 332 6 019 8 025 7*020 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography