DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 64.1 - - 73.2 - - 71.4 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 350 - - 464 - - 277 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 183 - - 1552 - - 3829 - - 2574 - - 473 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3955 - - 5763 - - 4641 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3244 - - 4614 - - 6891 - - 5636 - - 3534 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 376 - - 618 - - 1218 - - 2795 - - 890 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 339 - - 503 - - 371 - - 71 W* B/S 4 - - 23 - - 77 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 269 - - 279 - - 256 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 6 - - 25 - - 21 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -818 - - -1632 - - -1663 - - -2250 - - -1947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4062 - - 6246 - - 8554 - - 7886 - - 5481 sfcLCL ODpotential -7885 - - -6853 - - -4397 - - -5247 - - -8233 ODpotential blCL 11129 - - 11467 - - 11288 - - 10883 - - 11767 blCL maxRH 77 - - 68 - - 65 - - 71 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 64.1 - - 73.2 - - 71.4 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 47.4 - - 46.2 - - 47.4 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 62.0 - - 70.4 - - 69.5 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 46.6 - - 45.4 - - 46.9 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 350 - - 464 - - 277 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 183 - - 1552 - - 3829 - - 2574 - - 473 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98440 17 090 14 125 21 126 18 156 5 039 98440 90936 17 119 10 154 11 138 6 048 25 121 90936 85188 12 144 11 132 8 096 8 066 16 103 85188 80455 4 172 5 149 9 038 13 105 6 105 80455 76381 5 260 8 211 2 300 3 078 3 065 76381 72754 8 253 9 208 11 224 7 263 6 309 72754 69460 9 235 6 225 12 226 10 244 8 291 69460 66436 9 234 8 266 11 240 11 240 7 271 66436 63635 8 251 11 266 12 253 14 250 8 277 63635 60920 10 273 15 269 15 269 15 257 13 271 60920 58094 16 274 20 268 18 273 18 271 18 266 58094 55163 21 280 21 267 19 260 23 268 22 264 55163 52372 24 278 22 271 18 250 26 256 25 270 52372 49877 24 269 23 275 14 260 21 244 29 263 49877 47652 20 261 22 270 14 271 15 258 23 252 47652 45642 16 259 18 260 14 265 15 284 14 266 45642 43814 13 256 13 249 10 275 12 290 11 285 43814 42139 9 231 9 226 6 271 9 310 10 296 42139 40594 4 206 5 187 1 220 6 325 8 299 40594 39155 6 198 6 177 2 026 5 346 5 315 39155 37804 8 182 7 169 1 314 7 329 6 327 37804 36500 5 178 5 153 1 277 7 312 8 314 36500 35179 1 236 2 126 3 325 7 317 8 306 35179 33810 3 310 1 082 3 337 8 325 9 312 33810 32397 2 284 2 141 1 218 9 330 8 336 32397 30930 2 291 4 138 5 138 4 295 7 336 30930 29401 3 224 5 140 7 121 2 117 1 329 29401 27813 6 173 7 135 7 118 4 093 4 118 27813 26161 6 179 6 147 5 102 5 060 3 088 26161 24450 5 197 6 179 3 116 4 040 2 006 24450 22684 7 207 7 201 3 184 0 024 4 308 22684 20859 9 215 9 215 5 216 4 207 5 253 20859 18967 10 226 8 233 7 216 6 208 5 251 18967 17043 9 234 7 233 8 198 7 204 4 260 17043 15187 7 216 6 212 11 180 10 192 4 256 15187 13493 7 166 8 171 12 166 12 174 6 209 13493 11980 9 149 10 156 12 161 14 167 9 180 11980 10630 7 140 9 144 11 149 12 159 11 170 10630 9424 5 123 7 122 10 129 9 129 12 175 9424 8347 5 106 9 099 9 106 8 078 11 163 8347 7388 6 092 9 089 5*071 8 058 9 113 7388 6537 9 082 8 083 4*058 6 038 10 067 6537 5782 9 077 6 076 2 043 3*334 9 050 5782 5101 8 080 4*065 1 346 5*278 5 018 5101 4497 4 104 1*346 2 261 7 258 5 308 4497 3991 2 196 3 275 3 255 8 254 7 270 3991 3603 5 237 3 266 4 254 9 252 8*260 3603 3335 5*244 4 259 4 252 9 251 8*257 3335 3171 5*245 4 259 4 250 9 251 7 256 3171 3078 4 246 4 257 4 250 8 251 6 255 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography