DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.8 - - 85.5 - - 89.7 - - 88.7 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 308 - - 408 - - 226 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3484 - - 6512 - - 5459 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 5367 - - 7850 - - 6752 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 6547 - - 9574 - - 8521 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 565 - - 2498 - - 1368 - - 2497 - - 2079 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 427 - - 577 - - 449 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 167 - - 35 - - 40 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 191 - - 233 - - 323 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 19 - - 31 - - 25 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9602 - - -7606 - - -5168 - - -5803 - - -8190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12681 - - 14154 - - 14743 - - 14325 - - 11270 sfcLCL ODpotential -18023 - - -14253 - - -11017 - - -11743 - - -15023 ODpotential blCL 21102 - - 20800 - - 20591 - - 20264 - - 18102 blCL maxRH 19 - - 25 - - 36 - - 43 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 75.8 - - 85.5 - - 89.7 - - 88.7 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 34.0 - - 35.3 - - 36.3 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.8 - - 83.3 - - 87.1 - - 87.0 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 32.8 - - 34.0 - - 35.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 308 - - 408 - - 226 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3484 - - 6512 - - 5459 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99393 52 102 42 105 42 121 34 109 32 114 99393 91865 45 101 37 110 36 112 32 114 34 100 91865 86050 38 102 35 113 36 111 31 118 29 100 86050 81229 32 100 33 106 34 107 33 119 27 110 81229 77105 27 105 25 110 26 103 30 107 25 113 77105 73483 28 101 23 123 23 120 24 098 26 109 73483 70201 19 096 22 115 23 132 21 109 22 105 70201 67187 11 122 22 107 22 117 21 111 22 115 67187 64413 17 139 22 117 20 127 20 128 15 116 64413 61735 17 149 20 142 22 142 19 138 15 151 61735 58943 20 173 17 176 16 175 14 169 17 161 58943 56062 19 185 24 181 24 196 22 204 19 199 56062 53337 21 187 21 193 28 200 31 202 30 200 53337 50889 24 216 29 205 34 212 32 211 35 201 50889 48689 32 218 34 221 41 224 46 227 40 216 48689 46690 35 230 37 229 44 222 54 225 55 224 46690 44848 41 230 40 221 44 218 50 228 59 225 44848 43132 41 221 42 213 44 217 50 228 55 229 43132 41530 41 217 43 209 44 212 51 220 54 227 41530 40033 41 218 45 208 45 207 49 213 52 217 40033 38629 41 222 46 211 49 209 46 210 49 211 38629 37279 40 226 42 215 44 215 48 213 49 212 37279 35916 35 230 35 222 35 215 43 214 48 215 35916 34511 32 227 29 229 30 211 37 205 44 210 34511 33064 33 223 27 217 30 201 40 198 42 208 33064 31560 34 226 29 213 34 203 39 205 41 212 31560 29992 34 224 30 221 33 214 34 210 39 211 29992 28366 33 222 31 223 31 220 27 207 41 207 28366 26681 28 226 29 219 28 213 25 201 41 203 26681 24934 18 218 27 210 29 208 27 200 35 203 24934 23128 15 208 25 203 29 201 30 202 28 202 23128 21258 18 203 23 201 24 204 24 199 22 192 21258 19319 20 205 22 212 23 222 21 213 15 192 19319 17346 19 201 23 218 21 226 18 220 12 184 17346 15444 12 195 17 216 16 223 15 219 10 191 15444 13713 8 233 10 227 10 223 11 217 10 210 13713 12174 12 251 8 261 5 238 8 214 13 218 12174 10805 13 247 9 266 4 238 5 182 16 208 10805 9582 11 244 9 250 3*205 4*132 16 198 9582 8488 9 246 9 234 2*191 3*117 15 195 8488 7510 7 249 7 238 2 195 2 095 12 198 7510 6641 5 257 3*236 2 210 1 063 8 205 6641 5866 3 261 1*167 3 226 2 338 5 213 5866 5168 3 305 1 154 3 239 3 320 1 217 5168 4546 4 348 0 158 4 246 5 310 3 023 4546 4025 8 008 0 214 5 249 6 306 5 016 4025 3623 12 006 0 236 5 250 6 303 6 003 3623 3345 12 004 1 250 5 249 6 301 6 356 3345 3176 11*004 1 252 5 250 6 300 5*350 3176 3079 6*006 1 244 5 250 5 299 3*347 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography