DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 63.1 - - 69.7 - - 70.5 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 345 - - 436 - - 176 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2211 - - 3712 - - 4350 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4430 - - 5644 - - 5761 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5272 - - 6773 - - 7412 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 591 - - 899 - - 1038 - - 979 - - 2911 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 377 - - 484 - - 378 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 22 - - 28 - - 58 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 214 - - 241 - - 275 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 19 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1353 - - -2625 - - -3145 - - -3223 - - -3172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4430 - - 7898 - - 9919 - - 10636 - - 6249 sfcLCL ODpotential -11869 - - -11099 - - -10488 - - -10578 - - -11293 ODpotential blCL 14946 - - 16371 - - 17261 - - 17990 - - 14370 blCL maxRH 68 - - 56 - - 45 - - 45 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 63.1 - - 69.7 - - 70.5 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 39.3 - - 36.9 - - 34.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 61.0 - - 67.2 - - 69.2 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.5 - - 39.0 - - 36.6 - - 34.3 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 345 - - 436 - - 176 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2211 - - 3712 - - 4350 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98951 23 125 19 089 18 108 9 108 18 070 98951 91534 20 113 19 097 19 117 14 126 13 085 91534 85807 20 103 16 118 13 104 15 106 15 093 85807 81070 11 096 13 108 16 113 13 091 17 094 81070 77003 14 132 8 128 15 103 16 090 13 100 77003 73401 14 139 12 146 8 123 13 104 14 116 73401 70122 10 124 13 150 8 163 5 054 11 099 70122 67094 4 129 11 142 15 177 8 209 3 209 67094 64300 6 220 10 126 11 180 6 211 5 216 64300 61602 15 249 8 205 10 193 7 230 2 225 61602 58788 16 249 17 236 15 228 14 248 11 264 58788 55882 20 239 20 244 22 246 21 253 20 274 55882 53119 25 256 21 242 27 250 28 251 28 269 53119 50640 39 266 28 266 30 260 30 264 30 274 50640 48420 50 265 36 265 34 263 34 267 33 274 48420 46404 54 262 36 264 34 258 34 264 30 269 46404 44545 55 260 40 261 35 260 32 276 25 277 44545 42818 49 255 47 263 41 273 36 289 29 295 42818 41209 37 253 45 257 46 276 39 284 34 294 41209 39707 37 273 37 249 43 263 36 275 36 284 39707 38298 42 272 33 263 36 250 33 273 35 274 38298 36943 43 261 35 266 35 252 33 268 36 268 36943 35575 39 252 37 258 38 256 35 262 37 265 35575 34167 40 253 39 254 42 257 38 260 38 264 34167 32723 41 256 40 253 44 255 41 260 40 263 32723 31229 40 257 41 251 45 254 44 260 42 263 31229 29675 38 255 41 249 45 253 46 259 43 263 29675 28061 36 255 41 248 45 250 47 257 43 262 28061 26386 35 255 40 249 43 248 47 254 43 258 26386 24652 36 258 38 254 41 249 45 252 43 255 24652 22863 37 266 35 255 38 248 41 251 41 253 22863 21008 35 269 32 248 38 245 40 251 39 256 21008 19082 33 262 37 247 38 251 38 257 36 261 19082 17122 36 257 37 255 34 259 34 260 30 258 17122 15235 36 259 32 261 29 257 29 254 29 251 15235 13517 31 261 26 255 27 247 29 248 28 251 13517 11989 26 255 25 247 27 247 26 252 24 257 11989 10628 23 250 23 248 22 254 19 257 18 263 10628 9415 19 248 18 251 14 259 11 243 14 246 9415 8336 16 241 14 250 8 245 3*165 13 208 8336 7378 14 227 12 241 2*208 2*081 10 162 7378 6532 15 211 11 228 1*216 1 069 5 122 6532 5780 16 201 6*213 2 226 0 004 3 086 5780 5103 14 196 3*204 3 238 2 273 3 057 5103 4501 10 193 3 209 3 244 2 270 3 039 4501 3995 6 188 3 212 4 245 3 268 3 020 3995 3605 3 199 3 218 5 246 3 263 3 358 3605 3336 2 222 3 222 5 246 4 265 2 336 3336 3171 1 242 3 223 5 246 4 264 1 318 3171 3077 1*357 3 222 5 247 3 261 1*316 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography