DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 83.9 - - 82.8 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 435 - - 260 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1182 - - 2969 - - 2750 - - 358 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3675 - - 5077 - - 4755 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4244 - - 6032 - - 5813 - - 3420 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 797 - - 1588 - - 2201 - - 718 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 453 - - 373 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 291 - - 269 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 10 - - 16 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4647 - - -5346 - - -3785 - - -2703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8891 - - 11378 - - 9598 - - 6123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10738 - - -10739 - - -8361 - - -9614 ODpotential blCL - - - 14982 - - 16771 - - 14174 - - 13034 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 38 - - 44 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 83.9 - - 82.8 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 44.7 - - 51.2 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 81.2 - - 80.9 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 43.6 - - 50.6 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 435 - - 260 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1182 - - 2969 - - 2750 - - 358 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98586 25 116 32 108 31 114 29 109 98586 91120 30 118 25 123 22 111 28 090 91120 85391 24 111 22 113 22 107 20 098 85391 80651 18 106 14 105 20 108 17 098 80651 76587 16 105 10 124 13 091 17 100 76587 73005 18 103 14 135 7 103 11 099 73005 69777 17 090 16 128 9 141 8 101 69777 66819 10 088 15 119 14 139 9 119 66819 64083 11 140 8 095 8 112 9 102 64083 61448 11 122 2 174 1 139 4 049 61448 58720 4 102 3 219 5 217 6 244 58720 55902 5 249 6 248 7 238 10 253 55902 53215 14 268 13 247 14 253 17 265 53215 50795 16 274 16 252 19 256 23 265 50795 48616 25 267 20 266 26 272 28 269 48616 46622 29 270 28 273 33 279 32 280 46622 44783 28 276 28 277 36 282 39 285 44783 43070 29 282 30 281 37 283 44 282 43070 41467 28 279 31 282 33 279 46 279 41467 39960 22 275 27 281 30 272 45 278 39960 38542 13 272 22 281 26 273 40 274 38542 37180 7 218 14 277 16 280 30 271 37180 35813 9 157 4 237 8 252 16 264 35813 34411 8 142 5 157 7 167 9 227 34411 32977 5 126 4 150 9 161 12 176 32977 31492 3 134 3 202 7 172 12 170 31492 29940 2 156 4 242 3 197 8 183 29940 28324 3 167 6 236 3 244 5 222 28324 26644 4 163 5 232 4 271 4 239 26644 24902 4 133 3 191 2 233 2 175 24902 23101 6 104 5 143 3 165 4 122 23101 21236 4 089 7 129 10 139 7 156 21236 19302 9 132 13 119 18 119 18 116 19302 17338 21 135 17 120 22 107 24 100 17338 15447 21 131 17 126 22 105 21 095 15447 13720 16 119 16 123 17 110 14 093 13720 12177 14 101 15 113 14 120 10 092 12177 10797 11 084 13 100 12 115 4 092 10797 9564 8 050 10 076 10 082 2 098 9564 8463 8 001 9 019 10 036 3 017 8463 7482 10 330 11 354 10 002 7 353 7482 6614 11 319 10*345 10 346 9 343 6614 5842 9 320 9*331 9*319 9 331 5842 5147 5 325 8 306 9*297 10 315 5147 4529 3*295 9 288 10 274 11 296 4529 4013 4*271 9 282 11 265 11 268 4013 3615 5 262 9 277 11 262 11*250 3615 3341 5 259 9 274 11 260 10*246 3341 3174 5 257 9 273 10 259 9 245 3174 3078 5 256 8 272 9 259 7 245 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography