DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 47.9 - - 46.8 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 111 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1859 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3767 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4060 - - 4919 - - 3077 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1102 - - 1346 - - 3343 - - 1783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 253 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 292 - - 291 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -199 - - 954 - - -766 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4259 - - 3965 - - 3843 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4579 - - -438 - - -1533 - - -1134 ODpotential blCL - - - 8639 - - 5357 - - 4610 - - 4210 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 91 - - 97 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 47.9 - - 46.8 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 41.3 - - 40.7 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 47.0 - - 46.8 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 40.0 - - 39.6 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 111 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1859 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 63 - - 86 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 7 251 2 194 3 257 4 014 96782 89649 5 166 4 278 10 109 9 095 89649 84110 12 127 4 223 10 100 8 095 84110 79489 12 117 7 143 6 097 7 077 79489 75516 8 124 5 073 4 115 4 107 75516 72006 7 085 3 265 5 057 7 121 72006 68811 3 086 7 188 6 302 3 296 68811 65866 5 084 6 241 8 259 7 238 65866 63134 6 333 10 274 6 249 11 245 63134 60494 11 262 10 249 12 286 12 267 60494 57762 9 354 7 275 17 259 19 267 57762 54930 21 357 6 348 12 243 21 265 54930 52232 35 346 27 338 19 320 27 299 52232 49808 43 327 40 314 31 311 31 298 49808 47617 28 331 32 290 28 305 31 295 47617 45607 24 022 20 283 20 322 35 290 45607 43748 26 034 14 312 28 328 39 289 43748 42017 34 025 21 353 36 320 36 290 42017 40395 58 360 50 347 39 319 43 296 40395 38891 73 349 56 343 47 327 46 309 38891 37507 72 351 56 348 60 331 53 321 37507 36187 69 358 55 352 68 330 75 314 36187 34853 68 000 55 354 68 332 80 311 34853 33475 69 009 61 353 68 334 67 317 33475 32061 72 017 66 351 66 335 53 321 32061 30595 77 018 67 353 59 339 46 325 30595 29067 80 019 66 000 50 344 37 327 29067 27479 79 020 66 003 43 355 27 337 27479 25829 78 015 63 008 42 002 23 346 25829 24118 76 017 63 019 41 002 25 338 24118 22347 75 023 62 016 40 005 31 336 22347 20512 65 023 63 007 41 006 33 337 20512 18612 46 016 53 010 43 007 33 339 18612 16688 30 007 38 008 35 005 35 342 16688 14845 21 012 26 005 27 001 34 347 14845 13174 15 022 17 004 20 352 29 349 13174 11692 9 018 11 008 16 341 21 345 11692 10375 7 349 8 015 12 330 17 336 10375 9201 6 316 4 009 9 314 14 332 9201 8155 7 300 2 315 7 283 10 328 8155 7226 6 297 2 254 5 263 6 321 7226 6406 6 298 2 258 3 277 4 292 6406 5679 5 294 2 311 2 316 2 267 5679 5026 5 298 3*310 3 320 1 219 5026 4446 4*301 4*301 2 313 2 180 4446 3959 4*299 4 296 2 302 3 178 3959 3584 4 293 4 290 3 299 3 170 3584 3325 4 289 4 286 3 292 3 161 3325 3167 4 285 4 285 2*291 3 153 3167 3076 3 285 4 283 2*291 2*148 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography