DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 60.2 - - 66.1 - - 62.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -7 - - 73 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 387 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3078 - - 3448 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 102 - - 310 - - 600 - - 544 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 18 - - 130 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 101 - - 159 - - 189 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -9 - - 1 - - -1 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5893 - - -5649 - - -3662 - - -2634 - - -8532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8971 - - 8728 - - 7110 - - 5712 - - 11610 sfcLCL ODpotential -16286 - - -14123 - - -9472 - - -8985 - - -18529 ODpotential blCL 19363 - - 17201 - - 12920 - - 12063 - - 21606 blCL maxRH 21 - - 24 - - 47 - - 52 - - 16 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 60.2 - - 66.1 - - 62.5 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 33.6 - - 45.9 - - 48.3 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 61.3 - - 65.4 - - 63.5 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 32.6 - - 44.9 - - 47.3 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -7 - - 73 - - -3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 387 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96567 21 096 17 061 15 066 34 055 24 083 96567 89488 23 095 27 078 19 093 16 078 20 087 89488 83911 14 080 17 080 16 087 5 067 13 039 83911 79301 17 061 15 078 16 046 10 036 17 025 79301 75367 17 055 16 091 15 048 6 011 16 018 75367 71883 13 070 13 101 15 048 8 048 13 029 71883 68708 9 077 10 061 13 028 12 038 10 049 68708 65794 9 043 12 017 11 002 15 016 8 048 65794 63111 12 025 12 004 8 338 15 340 8 349 63111 60527 14 353 12 335 10 328 17 333 12 341 60527 57840 19 344 13 340 11 334 15 332 13 339 57840 55044 22 332 17 349 12 340 8 320 9 328 55044 52360 18 316 16 345 11 345 2 353 3 314 52360 49935 7 301 9 335 10 324 6 023 2 046 49935 47764 8 044 1 344 9 279 4 295 4 016 47764 45806 19 037 10 077 3 155 5 205 1 252 45806 44023 22 045 18 071 14 085 10 146 10 167 44023 42378 14 026 17 063 16 084 19 118 17 153 42378 40850 15 211 10 199 4 166 17 127 21 128 40850 39420 23 197 17 191 14 181 18 167 15 132 39420 38074 20 189 17 180 16 177 23 174 16 160 38074 36775 18 176 18 179 17 182 20 174 19 161 36775 35458 16 177 19 183 17 194 18 175 19 160 35458 34096 11 186 18 185 17 193 19 184 16 176 34096 32693 8 179 15 176 20 187 23 194 19 195 32693 31234 6 157 14 171 19 181 25 201 20 199 31234 29705 2 203 13 181 17 188 22 198 18 203 29705 28110 3 320 11 190 14 198 19 195 19 220 28110 26451 3 337 10 210 13 208 15 196 17 225 26451 24727 3 305 10 235 13 223 12 201 15 222 24727 22943 5 322 9 248 11 235 9 217 12 230 22943 21093 13 322 11 267 10 260 5 264 8 254 21093 19168 15 328 12 291 11 292 8 338 5 308 19168 17207 15 336 11 315 11 308 6 355 3 340 17207 15319 15 340 11 332 9 329 6 354 3 336 15319 13603 16 346 11 343 10 349 6 002 4 348 13603 12077 15 354 10 360 9 004 6 013 3 041 12077 10714 13 004 10 014 9 016 6 021 3 065 10714 9495 11 018 9 028 7 027 5 020 3 062 9495 8405 10 027 8 045 4 039 4 012 3 038 8405 7432 10 030 6 058 2 043 4 008 4 037 7432 6570 9 027 5 060 2 038 4 357 5 042 6570 5805 9 020 4 064 0 101 4 300 5 046 5805 5117 7 017 3 090 2 207 7 268 3 053 5117 4508 5 029 3 118 4 202 8 256 3 056 4508 3998 4 052 3 125 5 186 8 243 2 085 3998 3605 3 069 3 113 3*163 5 225 3 115 3605 3335 2 084 4 106 3*160 2 225 4 113 3335 3171 3 092 4*103 3 158 1*216 3 104 3171 3077 3*079 3*101 2 158 1*189 3*081 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography