DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 26 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2084 - - 2744 - - 736 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3502 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5144 - - 5804 - - 3796 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2009 - - 2723 - - 2935 - - 2360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 190 - - 115 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 20 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 228 - - 232 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1789 - - 2206 - - 720 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3355 - - 3598 - - 3076 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 331 - - 467 - - 242 - - -649 ODpotential blCL - - - 4813 - - 5337 - - 3554 - - 3725 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 97 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 170 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 39.2 - - 39.9 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 44.1 - - 40.9 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 38.0 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 26 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2084 - - 2744 - - 736 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 88 - - 101 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96087 20 322 33 319 17 347 15 318 96087 89076 16 308 22 323 15 344 15 313 89076 83662 15 318 19 333 11 357 15 316 83662 79133 10 315 18 281 15 278 23 342 79133 75156 6 319 8 002 14 256 24 281 75156 71652 30 248 12 301 8 317 17 263 71652 68466 28 240 33 246 16 273 2 346 68466 65486 9 252 29 240 29 254 14 254 65486 62702 13 242 20 240 26 245 25 244 62702 60011 20 235 19 243 16 236 27 245 60011 57195 33 256 25 252 19 251 22 252 57195 54254 51 255 40 257 32 260 32 278 54254 51444 55 244 54 253 52 257 40 265 51444 48917 58 245 61 242 59 241 39 257 48917 46653 68 247 57 237 50 240 48 254 46653 44602 74 247 59 243 56 247 52 251 44602 42726 81 242 66 243 59 247 57 255 42726 40996 93 240 71 243 71 254 67 251 40996 39389 105 236 82 244 90 248 73 245 39389 37893 108 233 95 240 95 240 76 243 37893 36500 110 233 99 236 94 238 80 243 36500 35173 114 234 104 236 96 238 84 242 35173 33841 121 234 115 237 101 235 87 240 33841 32471 126 234 126 236 101 232 88 240 32471 31067 127 233 131 235 95 230 89 245 31067 29620 122 232 125 234 89 233 94 247 29620 28121 117 234 116 234 92 237 97 246 28121 26571 114 235 112 234 96 239 81 251 26571 24980 110 236 109 235 87 241 56 258 24980 23352 101 234 100 235 60 240 35 271 23352 21684 84 233 90 230 34 232 27 288 21684 19956 61 233 76 221 29 233 25 294 19956 18159 46 232 67 215 35 235 23 298 18159 16330 41 228 62 227 38 238 21 308 16330 14568 44 231 58 242 35 243 21 309 14568 12962 49 237 50 249 31 251 20 301 12962 11530 49 242 42 250 29 258 20 293 11530 10251 46 245 38 249 29 259 20 287 10251 9107 42 247 34 247 28 257 21 282 9107 8085 39 250 30 245 27 255 22 279 8085 7175 37 251 26 241 25 252 24 277 7175 6368 34 250 23*236 23 248 24 275 6368 5651 31*247 22*232 22 243 24 273 5651 5005 29*244 21 229 22 239 23 271 5005 4431 27 243 21 227 22 236 21 268 4431 3950 25 241 20 227 21*234 18 264 3950 3579 23 241 19 226 20*233 15 260 3579 3322 21 241 18 226 18 232 12 257 3322 3166 19 241 16 226 16 232 10 256 3166 3076 13 241 11 226 11 232 6*256 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography