DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 76.1 - - 81.6 - - 79.8 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 270 - - 355 - - 117 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1783 - - 3706 - - 3910 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4050 - - 5576 - - 5205 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4845 - - 6768 - - 6973 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 439 - - 1240 - - 1357 - - 1519 - - 672 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 324 - - 453 - - 320 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 22 - - 54 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 187 - - 222 - - 248 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 10 - - 22 - - 33 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5476 - - -5998 - - -5684 - - -3958 - - -4497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8554 - - 10843 - - 12453 - - 10932 - - 7575 sfcLCL ODpotential -15237 - - -13282 - - -11754 - - -9831 - - -11940 ODpotential blCL 18315 - - 18127 - - 18522 - - 16804 - - 15018 blCL maxRH 39 - - 63 - - 61 - - 64 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 76.1 - - 81.6 - - 79.8 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 39.5 - - 37.7 - - 42.6 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 74.3 - - 79.2 - - 78.8 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 39.2 - - 37.3 - - 42.3 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 270 - - 355 - - 117 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1783 - - 3706 - - 3910 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98235 4 096 7 069 6 102 1 289 9 041 98235 90824 8 140 8 100 8 123 3 136 6 062 90824 85109 2 201 7 108 3 081 6 126 6 139 85109 80370 5 157 6 162 1 331 5 135 7 133 80370 76293 3 150 6 153 1 125 3 100 6 110 76293 72698 3 068 6 110 3 089 3 074 8 091 72698 69452 9 067 12 108 5 070 5 058 10 070 69452 66489 11 074 13 085 10 115 6 065 11 061 66489 63759 12 090 10 102 7 059 9 086 9 062 63759 61126 6 031 7 069 7 108 5 053 8 059 61126 58378 5 101 3 006 6 013 3 047 7 042 58378 55529 8 004 5 068 2 311 5 280 6 331 55529 52831 15 323 14 337 6 023 4 008 1 168 52831 50413 14 326 15 332 10 002 11 005 11 045 50413 48253 15 009 14 028 12 017 11 002 12 021 48253 46293 19 009 16 036 14 045 6 021 12 010 46293 44490 19 352 20 024 21 027 17 021 15 014 44490 42813 23 357 21 006 19 002 20 005 16 015 42813 41244 28 354 23 358 20 347 23 354 17 005 41244 39774 27 343 26 353 24 348 25 346 21 353 39774 38397 23 337 24 333 26 344 25 335 24 342 38397 37078 22 342 22 323 25 326 27 323 27 332 37078 35745 24 342 23 324 24 326 29 319 29 329 35745 34369 27 342 24 329 23 327 29 320 32 325 34369 32948 28 343 23 331 21 324 29 321 33 322 32948 31471 28 343 21 330 20 325 29 327 31 318 31471 29924 25 340 20 327 21 329 29 332 32 324 29924 28311 22 334 20 322 22 328 28 332 32 328 28311 26630 20 329 20 316 23 323 28 325 30 327 26630 24884 20 325 22 316 24 320 29 326 30 329 24884 23077 23 325 24 321 25 322 26 330 24 332 23077 21205 25 326 22 328 22 324 21 332 20 327 21205 19264 23 327 18 331 17 325 18 328 17 323 19264 17294 16 318 10 312 13 307 14 322 14 330 17294 15400 13 302 10 285 13 296 12 311 12 335 15400 13675 11 296 10 281 13 296 11 309 11 340 13675 12136 10 285 8 275 10 291 10 312 8 342 12136 10762 10 269 7 258 8 264 8 289 5 333 10762 9537 11 256 8 245 9 238 8 248 3 302 9537 8442 11 248 9 239 8 231 6 225 3 285 8442 7467 9 239 8 234 5*225 5*221 2 265 7467 6602 8 224 8 221 4*213 5*225 3 240 6602 5834 9 209 8 205 3 215 3 231 3 215 5834 5143 9 203 7*196 4 218 1 239 3 173 5143 4527 8 196 5*191 4 223 1 330 2 127 4527 4011 6 185 5 187 4 226 1 003 6 037 4011 3614 4 188 4 185 4 230 1 009 12 031 3614 3340 3 187 4 186 4 232 1 010 12 033 3340 3173 1 168 4 185 4 232 1 013 10 036 3173 3078 1*066 4 187 4 232 1 010 6*040 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography