DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Hernandez 3049ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1331z - - 1603z - - 1859z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.4 - - 72.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.6 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 322 - - 425 - - 176 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2792 - - 4367 - - 3763 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3048 - - 4830 - - 6135 - - 5308 - - 3048 Hcrit BL Top 3064 - - 5841 - - 7415 - - 6812 - - 3065 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 448 - - 1478 - - 1139 - - 1294 - - 1226 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 397 - - 506 - - 359 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 047 - - 037 - - 033 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -5 - - 11 - - 10 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4492 - - -5200 - - -4896 - - -5823 - - -7111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7556 - - 11041 - - 12312 - - 12636 - - 10176 sfcLCL ODpotential -14110 - - -12984 - - -11627 - - -12340 - - -15599 ODpotential blCL 17174 - - 18825 - - 19042 - - 19152 - - 18664 blCL maxRH 41 - - 35 - - 35 - - 32 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.4 - - 72.4 - - 77.5 - - 77.6 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 34.8 - - 34.1 - - 33.0 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 70.7 - - 75.5 - - 76.5 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 34.7 - - 34.0 - - 32.9 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 322 - - 425 - - 176 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2792 - - 4367 - - 3763 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98112 7 107 12 080 14 124 6 118 14 040 98112 90849 12 095 18 106 11 114 10 110 11 056 90849 85211 17 102 17 113 16 115 13 108 9 069 85211 80489 16 102 11 110 16 105 16 110 9 097 80489 76408 13 110 10 092 12 106 18 105 9 123 76408 72807 12 104 8 088 11 092 16 106 10 123 72807 69564 8 095 8 097 6 088 8 078 9 118 69564 66591 4 080 4 119 2 095 5 340 6 101 66591 63836 6 022 2 128 1 233 7 280 3 049 63836 61171 8 331 5 290 8 307 9 291 6 025 61171 58397 11 320 6 295 14 282 17 304 14 336 58397 55537 18 319 12 308 16 278 22 297 21 313 55537 52819 23 311 19 307 18 298 23 293 26 307 52819 50373 30 305 26 304 26 301 25 296 29 301 50373 48174 34 302 31 301 30 297 28 298 31 293 48174 46173 36 299 34 295 34 293 32 296 31 287 46173 44338 38 300 37 290 38 290 37 292 32 287 44338 42641 39 306 35 292 39 285 36 288 32 286 42641 41062 37 313 31 296 32 284 34 280 31 282 41062 39587 32 323 19 322 17 286 26 275 28 277 39587 38208 29 316 20 334 8 324 16 259 24 271 38208 36886 22 310 19 317 7 298 9 245 19 265 36886 35555 12 339 10 306 6 253 9 261 14 247 35555 34183 13 002 7 325 3 253 9 263 9 254 34183 32771 17 356 10 341 5 359 5 259 7 256 32771 31304 19 351 14 350 9 007 1 329 4 223 31304 29772 21 355 17 356 12 007 4 012 2 226 29772 28173 22 359 18 360 13 006 6 359 2 272 28173 26509 22 359 18 360 13 358 7 341 5 269 26509 24779 22 359 17 355 13 350 7 329 7 259 24779 22986 22 000 17 353 13 348 7 330 6 263 22986 21125 23 358 18 357 13 354 7 339 4 289 21125 19193 25 357 19 003 14 008 7 355 2 305 19193 17225 23 356 19 004 14 012 7 005 1 208 17225 15327 18 360 17 003 12 006 6 002 2 264 15327 13600 17 003 15 004 11 008 7 005 2 323 13600 12062 17 004 13 010 10 019 7 025 4 066 12062 10693 15 013 11 024 7 035 7 058 8 105 10693 9472 12 025 9 041 4 048 5 085 9 122 9472 8385 10 025 8 045 3 031 1 055 5 134 8385 7419 8 017 7 039 3*022 2*331 2 217 7419 6563 6 018 7*040 4*027 2*342 2 251 6563 5801 6 031 6*043 5 032 4 022 1 319 5801 5115 9 031 7 046 6 037 5 032 4 021 5115 4505 11 028 7 047 6 039 6 037 8 027 4505 3993 13 025 7 047 7 040 6 038 12 032 3993 3598 14 023 7 047 7 041 6 040 13 034 3598 3325 13 023 7 048 6 042 6 041 12 035 3325 3160 11 023 6 047 6 042 6 042 10*037 3160 3065 7*025 6 047 6 043 5 041 7*038 3065 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography