DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.0 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 141 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 355 - - 1557 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3648 - - - - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3416 - - 4619 - - - - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1009 - - 1201 - - - - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 252 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 349 - - - - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -18 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1381 - - 300 - - - - - -140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4797 - - 4319 - - - - - 3217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6501 - - -2544 - - - - - -9521 ODpotential blCL - - - 9917 - - 7163 - - - - - 12598 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 86 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.0 - - - - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 54.6 - - - - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 61.9 - - - - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 54.1 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 141 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 355 - - 1557 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 43 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 17 049 10 044 5 346 96372 89373 9 039 8 031 5 060 89373 83924 9 012 9 326 8 050 83924 79361 7 031 5 004 10 349 79361 75418 9 029 7 329 11 016 75418 71916 9 042 4 011 13 335 71916 68754 11 327 11 325 7 323 68754 65846 23 311 27 290 11 005 65846 63151 31 315 30 283 31 313 63151 60579 41 300 35 292 41 304 60579 57917 44 287 41 295 46 298 57917 55142 45 275 46 299 47 302 55142 52469 64 289 61 300 62 311 52469 50038 76 287 81 291 75 303 50038 47851 76 281 89 284 82 291 47851 45874 74 285 83 282 82 287 45874 44071 82 291 81 289 76 293 44071 42419 92 294 83 298 67 302 42419 40891 94 297 82 302 63 305 40891 39456 91 295 80 303 59 307 39456 38102 89 295 78 303 53 309 38102 36796 84 298 72 302 49 308 36796 35472 80 304 67 301 48 309 35472 34102 78 310 57 310 49 312 34102 32689 70 314 53 311 50 315 32689 31220 70 320 49 311 51 318 31220 29686 66 320 46 317 51 321 29686 28086 56 314 46 321 49 320 28086 26419 57 303 47 317 46 313 26419 24686 60 300 51 310 44 305 24686 22890 59 303 55 308 46 301 22890 21029 56 307 55 309 49 304 21029 19100 52 309 54 311 50 312 19100 17142 48 311 52 314 50 320 17142 15258 44 316 51 316 51 326 15258 13542 39 319 48 318 50 329 13542 12014 33 319 43 320 46 328 12014 10651 28 318 38 321 41 327 10651 9435 25 318 34 322 38 326 9435 8349 22 319 30 325 36 327 8349 7384 20 322 28 331 35 329 7384 6529 18 328 27 337 32 330 6529 5773 18 335 27 342 26 331 5773 5094 18 340 25*345 19 332 5094 4491 19 345 21*348 15 339 4491 3987 19 348 18 350 13 351 3987 3599 18*350 17 350 13 004 3599 3332 14*349 16 350 11 013 3332 3170 13 348 15 349 8 018 3170 3077 8 348 10 348 5*018 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography