DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 80.0 - - 77.2 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 312 - - 82 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 4524 - - 2884 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3949 - - 6164 - - 4205 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4743 - - 7586 - - 5946 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1700 - - 1971 - - 2403 - - 1436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 308 - - 465 - - 257 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 83 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 277 - - 283 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 21 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5760 - - -4186 - - -4551 - - -3635 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10503 - - 11772 - - 10497 - - 6713 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11900 - - -9538 - - -8145 - - -9175 ODpotential blCL - - - 16643 - - 17124 - - 14091 - - 12253 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 95 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 80.0 - - 77.2 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 38.9 - - 41.8 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 78.0 - - 76.4 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 38.4 - - 41.6 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 312 - - 82 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 4524 - - 2884 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 44 - - 81 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98340 18 081 13 099 7 096 11 064 98340 91030 18 082 20 102 10 071 16 054 91030 85387 13 087 19 083 17 081 16 053 85387 80709 10 075 14 069 21 080 17 073 80709 76668 10 073 10 067 14 071 19 069 76668 73082 5 090 8 055 10 061 14 051 73082 69832 5 142 3 058 9 052 12 055 69832 66843 6 129 3 124 2 037 7 051 66843 64072 3 162 1 171 3 241 3 348 64072 61395 3 254 2 313 3 153 6 258 61395 58611 7 257 10 267 7 290 10 263 58611 55724 16 250 22 250 18 271 15 273 55724 52961 17 252 24 244 23 264 25 262 52961 50475 20 257 23 244 27 254 24 254 50475 48241 25 258 24 246 31 249 25 247 48241 46203 34 252 33 241 32 244 28 243 46203 44333 46 246 38 243 39 244 37 243 44333 42606 54 241 53 240 52 238 46 235 42606 40998 54 237 57 232 57 230 55 227 40998 39496 55 236 59 230 61 227 59 221 39496 38087 56 234 60 226 64 225 60 219 38087 36735 54 231 58 222 66 223 61 215 36735 35373 47 228 56 219 65 220 61 213 35373 33973 39 220 53 216 62 216 59 211 33973 32541 39 214 49 212 57 210 52 207 32541 31062 37 218 46 203 50 209 44 200 31062 29526 34 219 42 199 44 212 41 193 29526 27929 35 218 37 203 42 209 40 189 27929 26272 37 207 35 207 40 206 40 183 26272 24555 34 199 37 201 40 198 40 186 24555 22783 27 195 40 191 39 183 40 195 22783 20948 22 196 36 186 32 167 33 207 20948 19045 16 200 27 180 23 157 19 210 19045 17112 13 197 22 177 16 164 25 192 17112 15254 13 193 18 176 13 181 26 160 15254 13563 15 186 17 177 13 188 21 151 13563 12051 17 181 16 178 14 185 13 163 12051 10697 17 176 15 179 16 180 12 172 10697 9485 15 171 14 179 15 172 13 168 9485 8401 12 166 8*173 9 153 13 165 8401 7434 9 166 1*121 5 121 12 145 7434 6575 5 175 0 087 3*099 10 114 6575 5812 3 201 0 332 1*336 8 076 5812 5125 2*247 1 289 2 291 7 046 5125 4515 3*274 2 278 3 282 6 019 4515 4004 3 278 2 277 4 282 5 353 4004 3610 4 276 3 273 4 279 4 323 3610 3338 4 275 3 272 4 280 4 303 3338 3173 4 271 3 270 4 279 4*292 3173 3078 3 270 3 269 4 278 3*288 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography