DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.4 - - 55.6 - - 60.4 - - 58.8 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 153 - - 268 - - 54 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1425 - - 2721 - - 2746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3591 - - 4733 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4486 - - 5782 - - 5807 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 517 - - 916 - - 672 - - 966 - - 560 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 251 - - 372 - - 220 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 79 - - 48 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 241 - - 101 - - 084 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 11 - - 16 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1288 - - -836 - - -284 - - -1036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 5775 - - 6618 - - 6092 - - 4113 sfcLCL ODpotential -8863 - - -8657 - - -6642 - - -6112 - - -8957 ODpotential blCL 11940 - - 13143 - - 12424 - - 11919 - - 12034 blCL maxRH 83 - - 67 - - 88 - - 84 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.4 - - 55.6 - - 60.4 - - 58.8 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 41.0 - - 42.0 - - 42.7 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.6 - - 54.3 - - 58.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 40.2 - - 41.6 - - 42.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 153 - - 268 - - 54 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1425 - - 2721 - - 2746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 0 - - 50 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96945 30 262 37 285 27 270 38 264 51 273 96945 89706 10 280 22 259 22 271 19 286 24 270 89706 84181 14 298 19 253 19 267 14 276 19 275 84181 79578 16 290 16 262 21 260 15 269 16 264 79578 75583 13 271 10 257 18 250 20 269 20 267 75583 72028 9 299 6 232 15 238 18 263 20 268 72028 68793 18 283 10 252 17 246 21 260 20 269 68793 65815 24 265 17 255 25 250 26 263 21 270 65815 63044 23 264 19 251 26 248 28 254 23 267 63044 60340 26 270 19 261 25 247 27 253 25 261 60340 57511 29 274 23 259 24 247 29 262 26 255 57511 54584 35 268 27 260 28 253 30 261 27 261 54584 51803 38 259 31 260 29 255 33 260 32 262 51803 49318 36 257 35 259 35 262 36 258 31 258 49318 47109 36 265 37 260 39 251 37 250 33 257 47109 45127 40 271 37 264 31 251 32 254 37 249 45127 43351 36 272 41 269 40 273 47 263 44 254 43351 41738 36 279 49 269 58 264 53 253 52 246 41738 40234 43 280 47 269 52 258 48 246 46 238 40234 38819 40 281 47 269 43 257 43 242 40 232 38819 37485 43 289 42 267 40 265 36 243 36 231 37485 36197 45 292 36 269 38 265 30 246 30 233 36197 34890 43 297 35 273 35 267 26 259 29 235 34890 33537 38 300 33 275 32 267 26 264 27 238 33537 32140 36 307 29 275 30 267 28 259 28 242 32140 30689 35 315 29 279 29 267 27 257 26 245 30689 29173 30 302 32 284 28 264 24 251 24 238 29173 27596 33 286 31 286 31 260 25 239 24 225 27596 25958 35 280 28 287 31 260 24 238 24 224 25958 24262 28 275 26 281 28 265 23 245 23 234 24262 22508 23 270 25 271 28 270 27 252 19 246 22508 20693 26 269 24 270 27 274 27 260 16 259 20693 18808 25 271 22 271 23 271 24 265 17 266 18808 16891 23 274 20 273 20 266 20 267 18 266 16891 15044 22 275 20 274 19 266 17 266 17 259 15044 13363 21 280 19 276 17 268 12 271 12 250 13363 11865 19 288 18 279 16 272 8 293 7 242 11865 10528 16 293 16 282 14 275 7 321 3 226 10528 9334 13 296 12 280 11 272 7 317 3 193 9334 8267 9 299 8 270 8 266 5 293 4 175 8267 7319 5 307 4 246 6 252 3 262 4 144 7319 6481 2 325 4 206 2*231 1*258 3 115 6481 5738 0 117 4 190 1*118 0*224 2 100 5738 5070 2 169 3*189 1 099 2 093 1 088 5070 4476 4 177 1*203 1 098 3 081 1 084 4476 3978 4 185 0 230 2 100 3 081 2 062 3978 3595 3 196 1 249 2 103 3 082 5 054 3595 3330 2 209 1 263 2 101 3 082 6 050 3330 3169 1*213 1 253 2 103 3 081 6*051 3169 3077 1*032 1 259 2 107 3 083 5*050 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography