DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 49.1 - - 50.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 49 - - 66 - - 28 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 1361 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4002 - - 4422 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2281 - - 2135 - - 2791 - - 1753 - - 3805 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 152 - - 191 - - 32 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 23 - - 26 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 218 - - 217 - - 247 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 21 - - 27 - - 15 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 925 - - 1345 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -74 - - 264 - - 465 - - 0 - - -626 ODpotential blCL 3151 - - 3738 - - 3957 - - 3077 - - 3703 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 40 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 49.1 - - 50.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.3 - - 46.8 - - 47.6 - - 47.3 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 48.8 - - 50.5 - - 47.3 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 46.4 - - 47.1 - - 47.3 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 49 - - 66 - - 28 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 942 - - 1361 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96445 41 291 34 303 35 288 46 278 47 294 96445 89275 26 301 26 297 24 299 23 284 32 291 89275 83766 25 301 24 288 17 306 15 283 15 305 83766 79184 26 278 20 286 21 292 19 291 17 304 79184 75243 20 273 25 279 28 284 21 301 15 310 75243 71750 21 289 24 271 29 278 25 292 19 331 71750 68565 22 286 20 269 26 265 28 278 26 292 68565 65651 25 284 19 275 23 263 24 275 21 285 65651 62950 30 278 17 270 22 288 12 265 27 301 62950 60327 29 276 24 278 22 290 23 290 39 303 60327 57599 34 279 36 297 47 286 46 288 36 296 57599 54756 42 288 50 288 56 285 56 295 46 313 54756 52014 43 290 45 294 63 300 77 302 76 308 52014 49525 53 316 66 304 78 297 89 294 85 298 49525 47282 72 302 84 291 89 287 86 289 82 299 47282 45247 79 286 86 276 88 281 82 290 88 309 45247 43393 63 281 81 271 81 283 77 302 94 314 43393 41686 43 285 71 269 81 301 92 317 109 320 41686 40103 48 300 53 277 102 314 118 317 131 318 40103 38629 66 308 77 308 132 312 137 310 138 309 38629 37254 79 313 120 313 141 304 137 304 133 306 37254 35939 94 315 138 308 124 297 119 297 128 305 35939 34612 111 311 128 303 107 300 99 303 120 302 34612 33245 112 306 113 302 116 307 103 313 106 303 33245 31840 100 303 119 301 119 301 109 311 93 313 31840 30390 91 308 122 301 118 299 106 302 97 315 30390 28878 97 310 118 302 119 299 104 299 94 306 28878 27300 95 309 111 303 118 297 101 300 94 306 27300 25655 73 308 93 302 115 297 98 301 94 306 25655 23951 52 304 71 293 105 301 96 299 92 307 23951 22189 42 302 63 283 85 304 93 295 87 304 22189 20369 32 293 57 277 61 294 88 293 85 299 20369 18481 19 265 44 269 53 275 86 301 80 298 18481 16566 21 223 37 253 49 258 68 301 67 305 16566 14732 25 212 37 238 48 256 49 280 48 298 14732 13073 29 207 37 229 48 262 48 254 41 270 13073 11607 30 203 35 220 47 264 47 245 42 254 11607 10310 29 200 33 211 41 258 43 247 39 253 10310 9157 28 200 32 208 35 245 42 255 34 260 9157 8130 27 202 33 211 34 233 42 258 30 273 8130 7216 26 206 33 215 35 227 41 254 29 285 7216 6406 25 212 33 216 35 224 39 246 28 293 6406 5685 24 218 32 217 35 221 37 243 27 298 5685 5033 23 222 31 218 34 219 36 243 27 300 5033 4452 21 224 30*218 33*218 34 243 25 301 4452 3964 19 224 28*218 31*217 32 244 23 301 3964 3587 17 224 25 218 29 217 29 245 19 300 3587 3326 14 224 23 218 26 217 26 246 15 299 3326 3168 13*224 20 219 23 217 22*246 13*299 3168 3077 8*224 13 219 14 218 14*247 8*298 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography