DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 45.4 - - 43.8 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 88 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 994 - - 2140 - - 2009 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3836 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4054 - - 5200 - - 5069 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2271 - - 1533 - - 1574 - - 913 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 159 - - 249 - - 89 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 332 - - 007 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -11 - - -7 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -66 - - 644 - - 1009 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4120 - - 4556 - - 4060 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2193 - - -1808 - - -675 - - -4799 ODpotential blCL - - - 6247 - - 7008 - - 5744 - - 7875 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 45.4 - - 43.8 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 36.3 - - 36.9 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 44.8 - - 43.9 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 35.1 - - 35.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 88 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 994 - - 2140 - - 2009 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 9 - - 54 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96288 20 020 8 003 17 015 13 005 96288 89223 10 039 8 038 8 011 15 027 89223 83767 5 048 6 040 6 014 9 006 83767 79248 4 248 4 333 4 048 3 292 79248 75313 12 240 19 298 6 330 8 285 75313 71783 14 247 23 276 15 287 20 281 71783 68553 14 256 21 261 16 276 20 260 68553 65562 19 267 18 269 16 287 12 267 65562 62776 25 266 23 275 21 286 14 289 62776 60079 23 255 25 263 24 269 19 299 60079 57279 20 256 22 256 22 259 22 292 57279 54379 24 277 22 269 18 265 24 296 54379 51597 28 275 22 271 19 283 30 294 51597 49085 27 265 24 269 26 292 28 282 49085 46845 29 267 28 268 27 289 20 278 46845 44825 34 268 27 265 21 285 12 296 44825 42973 33 269 23 277 16 288 17 329 42973 41264 31 273 26 284 16 303 25 336 41264 39683 33 272 29 283 19 326 19 331 39683 38215 35 266 28 283 23 347 18 020 38215 36847 28 261 22 289 27 005 29 053 36847 35538 19 274 21 296 34 015 57 046 35538 34226 21 284 23 306 37 017 69 040 34226 32881 23 286 25 305 37 021 69 044 32881 31505 16 293 22 305 36 021 69 050 31505 30080 11 333 20 319 35 019 66 052 30080 28594 17 351 19 335 34 018 66 057 28594 27049 19 360 19 349 34 021 63 059 27049 25446 21 009 22 359 36 024 53 052 25446 23788 24 015 25 006 37 026 44 039 23788 22079 26 014 28 010 35 028 40 036 22079 20310 26 013 27 013 32 029 33 039 20310 18473 26 020 26 013 28 026 26 041 18473 16601 23 020 25 020 24 024 22 040 16601 14794 21 012 23 026 23 029 21 038 14794 13145 18 004 20 027 21 038 21 036 13145 11674 14 348 16 027 18 043 20 037 11674 10362 11 327 14 027 14 042 17 036 10362 9191 7 316 10 017 11 039 13 030 9191 8147 6 317 6 359 9 042 11 025 8147 7219 10 332 7 340 8 033 11 023 7219 6399 16 336 12 339 9 017 12 022 6399 5671 21 340 14*337 10*012 13 019 5671 5017 23 345 14*335 10*008 13 019 5017 4437 22*349 13 333 10 007 13 023 4437 3952 19*352 13 332 10 007 14 026 3952 3579 16 353 13 331 9 007 13 030 3579 3322 14 353 12 330 9 006 12 032 3322 3166 13 352 11 329 7 006 10 033 3166 3076 9 352 8 328 5 006 5*034 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography