DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 82.0 - - 80.0 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 449 - - 277 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2277 - - 4885 - - 2774 - - 376 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4479 - - 6587 - - 4791 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5339 - - 7947 - - 5836 - - 3438 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1429 - - 1183 - - 2767 - - 797 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 380 - - 540 - - 381 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 21 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 190 - - 235 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 27 - - 14 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4145 - - -3636 - - -5296 - - -4322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9485 - - 11583 - - 11132 - - 7761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10716 - - -9300 - - -11398 - - -11927 ODpotential blCL - - - 16055 - - 17247 - - 17234 - - 15365 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 41 - - 41 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.3 - - 82.0 - - 80.0 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 41.7 - - 41.9 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 79.3 - - 78.2 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 40.7 - - 41.1 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 449 - - 277 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2277 - - 4885 - - 2774 - - 376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99148 32 115 28 122 31 112 32 097 99148 91671 30 116 28 107 29 115 27 099 91671 85916 26 112 25 103 25 115 22 111 85916 81138 23 116 22 113 17 115 21 096 81138 77027 21 108 20 122 21 110 17 104 77027 73418 18 093 23 119 24 107 19 112 73418 70165 14 124 15 120 13 106 16 102 70165 67175 12 131 9 135 9 140 9 087 67175 64401 8 145 7 166 9 158 5 134 64401 61710 6 136 8 168 10 186 3 149 61710 58908 2 243 3 216 6 221 4 268 58908 56025 14 277 14 288 14 292 12 295 56025 53297 20 282 24 278 28 277 26 283 53297 50847 24 287 29 275 35 272 38 281 50847 48639 26 287 31 275 40 273 44 272 48639 46628 26 284 30 279 42 275 47 271 46628 44779 28 281 31 282 47 279 52 275 44779 43061 30 282 35 282 52 281 52 276 43061 41455 35 283 38 279 52 279 49 277 41455 39951 39 282 38 276 50 275 48 275 39951 38540 42 280 37 278 46 274 48 275 38540 37188 42 276 37 281 40 277 45 275 37188 35831 40 272 38 280 40 279 35 277 35831 34437 33 272 37 276 39 278 33 280 34437 33006 28 277 32 273 37 276 34 278 33006 31519 24 282 25 272 36 274 33 275 31519 29964 22 283 20 273 34 271 32 276 29964 28342 22 280 19 271 29 267 29 275 28342 26655 23 278 21 269 26 265 27 273 26655 24907 25 277 23 269 22 268 20 278 24907 23099 26 274 23 269 20 273 15 283 23099 21224 23 272 20 274 18 280 13 290 21224 19277 18 270 14 284 11 285 8 289 19277 17297 12 271 8 295 3 288 3 244 17297 15392 7 266 4 286 1 183 4 167 15392 13659 4 235 4 218 3 186 5 167 13659 12117 4 182 6 199 5 201 7 181 12117 10746 6 173 7 199 6 202 10 185 10746 9525 6 168 6 195 4 107 11 179 9525 8435 5 154 4*165 7 074 7 132 8435 7464 4 138 3*165 6 065 9 082 7464 6601 4 130 4 166 2 057 9 069 6601 5833 3*133 4 177 2*247 7 060 5833 5140 3*137 5 190 6*237 4 040 5140 4524 3 151 5 197 9 236 3 302 4524 4009 3 170 6 203 10 235 6 265 4009 3613 3 182 6 205 10 235 7*259 3613 3340 3 190 6 207 10 235 7*257 3340 3173 3 194 6 208 10 235 6 257 3173 3078 3 193 5 208 8 235 5 257 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography