DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 74.4 - - 82.2 - - 81.2 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 205 - - 339 - - 173 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1430 - - 3585 - - 3087 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3738 - - 5483 - - 4855 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4492 - - 6647 - - 6149 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 266 - - 1003 - - 1343 - - 1881 - - 851 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 282 - - 448 - - 343 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 319 - - 337 - - 342 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 3 - - 10 - - 7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6164 - - -5340 - - -6568 - - -6888 - - -6083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9242 - - 9833 - - 13216 - - 13038 - - 9162 sfcLCL ODpotential -14601 - - -12155 - - -13772 - - -15221 - - -15110 ODpotential blCL 17679 - - 16647 - - 20419 - - 21370 - - 18188 blCL maxRH 68 - - 83 - - 52 - - 37 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 74.4 - - 82.2 - - 81.2 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 42.3 - - 34.9 - - 34.8 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.9 - - 72.8 - - 80.0 - - 79.8 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 41.0 - - 33.7 - - 33.6 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 205 - - 339 - - 173 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1430 - - 3585 - - 3087 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98467 15 117 18 118 10 108 20 081 11 104 98467 91019 20 094 19 101 12 108 12 077 15 089 91019 85281 17 077 22 099 13 105 12 094 20 080 85281 80543 16 098 19 103 17 093 17 108 19 082 80543 76493 18 090 17 103 19 091 18 104 21 083 76493 72928 15 084 14 080 20 095 16 086 19 080 72928 69716 13 103 10 089 15 083 16 078 13 068 69716 66778 14 094 10 090 10 076 15 069 13 064 66778 64057 10 044 7 058 8 065 10 064 11 063 64057 61414 7 013 6 026 7 024 8 045 7 051 61414 58647 9 354 8 029 10 353 14 007 9 011 58647 55779 19 337 13 021 12 005 18 355 17 007 55779 53066 27 345 23 011 21 009 26 353 30 005 53066 50645 38 340 31 349 30 358 31 359 29 003 50645 48479 38 350 39 359 40 005 40 356 37 354 48479 46512 52 004 51 355 45 351 43 344 42 344 46512 44701 55 001 46 351 41 346 44 343 46 342 44701 43016 57 000 45 353 42 340 45 337 52 339 43016 41443 55 356 45 349 41 338 45 337 54 338 41443 39968 51 355 43 347 39 336 46 337 54 338 39968 38581 49 352 43 343 39 335 47 339 53 338 38581 37245 48 350 41 338 40 334 49 340 52 339 37245 35895 47 349 40 336 41 333 48 340 52 340 35895 34500 46 350 40 337 43 333 45 338 50 342 34500 33063 44 353 37 338 41 334 41 336 43 342 33063 31571 43 355 38 338 35 335 36 339 38 339 31571 30012 43 356 43 342 29 337 30 340 36 338 30012 28387 41 357 44 345 30 340 29 340 32 336 28387 26697 33 353 38 345 33 342 32 341 31 336 26697 24943 30 337 30 335 34 343 32 341 33 343 24943 23127 29 331 32 328 34 340 30 341 30 349 23127 21245 26 328 30 329 29 336 28 347 26 351 21245 19289 22 330 24 331 24 328 24 352 21 358 19289 17304 15 332 14 334 18 326 20 348 16 004 17304 15399 9 335 10 334 12 320 15 335 12 357 15399 13669 1 180 4 317 8 315 12 324 11 344 13669 12129 7 165 4 210 6 288 10 322 12 338 12129 10756 3 152 6 193 5 258 8 321 11 338 10756 9532 2 017 3 197 4 263 6 320 10 337 9532 8438 6 005 3 319 4 323 4 326 8 335 8438 7465 8 000 6 336 6*350 4 351 8 332 7465 6601 8 359 6 338 6*353 6*005 8 333 6601 5832 6 005 5 335 7 349 7*001 9 339 5832 5140 4 015 4 344 7 343 9 350 11 349 5140 4525 4 021 5*340 8 335 10 343 15 353 4525 4009 4 014 5*328 8 330 10 338 17 349 4009 3613 5 012 5 321 8 326 10 335 16 344 3613 3340 7 009 5 316 8 324 10 334 14 340 3340 3174 7*008 4 312 7 321 9 333 12*339 3174 3078 4*015 4 310 6 321 8 332 6*338 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography