DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 71.4 - - 76.0 - - 73.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 270 - - 383 - - 147 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1590 - - 3116 - - 2361 - - 276 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3912 - - 5146 - - 4227 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4652 - - 6178 - - 5423 - - 3338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 246 - - 860 - - 1569 - - 2078 - - 440 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 312 - - 438 - - 291 - - 50 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 298 - - 292 - - 335 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 9 - - 18 - - 15 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4350 - - -4757 - - -3048 - - -4251 - - -1931 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7428 - - 9410 - - 9226 - - 9674 - - 5270 sfcLCL ODpotential -13488 - - -11328 - - -8105 - - -9849 - - -9621 ODpotential blCL 16566 - - 15980 - - 14283 - - 15272 - - 12959 blCL maxRH 36 - - 41 - - 50 - - 46 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 71.4 - - 76.0 - - 73.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 41.1 - - 46.2 - - 42.3 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 73.6 - - 72.7 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 40.9 - - 45.9 - - 42.0 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 270 - - 383 - - 147 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1590 - - 3116 - - 2361 - - 276 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98306 7 289 6 292 6 266 7 211 9 299 98306 90958 7 263 3 300 10 206 7 247 5 309 90958 85260 5 302 2 280 8 205 8 285 5 310 85260 80495 2 295 5 294 6 201 7 262 6 313 80495 76387 3 241 5 282 6 259 5 258 3 308 76387 72759 5 250 6 240 11 260 9 262 5 300 72759 69480 8 266 8 266 11 254 12 263 12 271 69480 66471 9 260 10 271 12 258 14 272 15 268 66471 63680 9 250 12 246 16 265 20 282 16 270 63680 60979 9 255 13 231 20 271 24 280 16 271 60979 58182 10 260 13 230 21 266 22 274 20 278 58182 55309 12 270 13 255 18 254 21 272 26 277 55309 52589 13 262 16 265 17 251 23 269 25 263 52589 50154 13 265 19 263 22 251 26 265 25 255 50154 47977 15 274 21 268 25 255 28 260 32 260 47977 46010 13 266 20 269 25 261 29 256 35 267 46010 44214 9 284 15 267 22 264 27 259 34 267 44214 42550 9 301 13 265 17 264 25 267 32 270 42550 40994 8 286 14 250 18 262 23 271 34 276 40994 39536 7 253 15 240 21 265 22 273 33 275 39536 38165 6 284 13 231 22 249 20 268 31 274 38165 36842 10 316 10 242 19 240 19 261 32 274 36842 35503 11 314 9 254 15 241 19 254 32 277 35503 34121 7 314 9 245 16 233 22 245 32 278 34121 32699 2 320 7 207 18 223 23 239 33 277 32699 31223 1 246 9 207 20 223 23 248 33 276 31223 29682 2 145 10 214 22 225 23 264 32 277 29682 28077 4 174 12 243 23 252 24 271 33 279 28077 26408 10 278 15 262 27 271 24 276 32 279 26408 24677 11 283 14 269 25 275 22 281 30 275 24677 22886 10 282 13 263 18 268 22 281 29 270 22886 21029 10 273 12 250 15 255 22 276 29 268 21029 19104 10 250 14 240 18 250 23 271 28 266 19104 17148 12 240 18 243 21 249 24 267 26 267 17148 15265 13 237 19 247 21 251 26 266 25 272 15265 13550 13 247 19 257 23 258 27 268 24 279 13550 12023 14 261 20 267 25 267 28 271 23 282 12023 10664 14 270 20 273 25 274 25 274 22 282 10664 9451 14 278 19 277 22 281 20 277 19 280 9451 8370 14 286 17 281 18 288 12 275 14 277 8370 7406 14 292 14 285 13 296 4 269 9 259 7406 6552 13 297 11 288 6*302 2 008 7 234 6552 5792 11 300 8 286 5*304 3*016 7 234 5792 5108 9 305 4*294 5 301 4*001 7 256 5108 4501 8 314 3*309 6 293 6 340 9 296 4501 3993 7 325 3 303 6 289 7 334 14 318 3993 3602 7 333 4 296 6 285 7 330 17*323 3602 3334 7 339 4 292 6 284 7 327 15*324 3334 3171 5*343 4 287 6 283 7 326 13 324 3171 3078 4*349 3 287 6 281 6 325 8 323 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography