DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 89.0 - - 89.7 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 371 - - 193 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2067 - - 3998 - - 5336 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4288 - - 5818 - - 6559 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5129 - - 7061 - - 8398 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1417 - - 2280 - - 1982 - - 2559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 471 - - 419 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 17 - - 16 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 227 - - 221 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 25 - - 44 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7053 - - -6073 - - -4950 - - -6787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12183 - - 13134 - - 13348 - - 9866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11299 - - -9467 - - -8471 - - -11773 ODpotential blCL - - - 16428 - - 16528 - - 16869 - - 14852 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 87 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 89.0 - - 89.7 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 42.0 - - 41.7 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 86.5 - - 88.1 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 41.5 - - 41.2 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 371 - - 193 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2067 - - 3998 - - 5336 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 47 - - 56 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 27 109 26 112 19 132 22 082 99176 91724 30 113 26 107 19 125 23 099 91724 85938 30 113 25 104 23 108 22 106 85938 81126 27 111 20 107 23 097 22 106 81126 77001 22 115 16 124 20 091 21 105 77001 73378 20 107 18 129 17 106 17 110 73378 70108 21 099 16 129 14 110 16 108 70108 67116 7 103 12 126 11 100 12 102 67116 64355 10 185 12 144 7 131 6 114 64355 61678 16 158 17 173 14 181 8 195 61678 58886 16 170 23 183 22 194 16 211 58886 56008 22 199 31 191 27 199 24 218 56008 53276 30 207 29 198 32 205 29 217 53276 50824 34 212 36 209 40 212 40 217 50824 48632 37 215 41 208 46 207 49 208 48632 46638 44 218 43 214 47 210 49 209 46638 44807 47 205 49 210 51 214 50 216 44807 43116 48 194 49 201 53 208 51 215 43116 41542 42 200 45 199 49 201 48 205 41542 40066 37 209 41 201 42 198 43 201 40066 38679 33 209 39 202 41 202 44 204 38679 37343 33 199 39 202 45 202 47 202 37343 35991 31 196 38 202 47 203 48 201 35991 34592 31 200 37 200 47 205 47 203 34592 33148 33 205 37 199 43 206 42 205 33148 31651 31 206 38 202 38 206 35 206 31651 30089 32 208 38 206 35 207 31 207 30089 28463 34 209 36 209 32 207 30 206 28463 26772 34 200 32 210 31 206 30 207 26772 25020 29 190 30 207 33 204 29 207 25020 23214 24 195 32 200 32 206 25 205 23214 21344 22 203 32 199 29 207 21 204 21344 19404 22 203 28 200 26 208 19 201 19404 17429 22 199 24 201 24 214 18 202 17429 15526 22 199 22 199 23 217 19 209 15526 13790 21 204 22 203 22 211 19 211 13790 12242 20 210 23 210 22 209 20 212 12242 10859 18 210 21 213 20 211 21 214 10859 9619 15 206 16 212 14 206 20 215 9619 8511 13 203 12 211 6*194 17 205 8511 7524 11 201 7*213 6*197 12 190 7524 6650 10 196 5*216 5 204 9 193 6650 5873 9 189 5 218 5 215 7 207 5873 5172 7*186 5 223 5 224 4 202 5172 4549 7*189 5 228 5 232 1 106 4549 4027 7 195 5 232 5 235 4 049 4027 3624 7 200 6 233 5 238 5 039 3624 3346 6 204 6 235 4 239 4 038 3346 3176 6 205 5 236 4 240 4*037 3176 3079 5 206 5 235 4 240 2*039 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography