DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 81.2 - - 81.9 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 419 - - 173 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2537 - - 4845 - - 5142 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4653 - - 6527 - - 6350 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5599 - - 7908 - - 8204 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1376 - - 1267 - - 1187 - - 3486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 524 - - 399 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 188 - - 206 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 27 - - 26 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5751 - - -5070 - - -5957 - - -8556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11350 - - 12978 - - 14161 - - 11634 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12458 - - -11170 - - -11992 - - -16371 ODpotential blCL - - - 18057 - - 19078 - - 20196 - - 19449 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 30 - - 26 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 81.2 - - 81.9 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.1 - - 34.8 - - 30.4 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 78.6 - - 80.5 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 34.1 - - 29.7 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 419 - - 173 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2537 - - 4845 - - 5142 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98810 9 096 6 099 15 131 7 117 98810 91415 14 141 10 143 6 127 10 094 91415 85661 15 098 12 135 8 106 10 082 85661 80882 12 074 16 109 12 091 15 083 80882 76796 13 078 18 106 13 084 14 093 76796 73197 12 097 15 106 12 081 16 084 73197 69938 12 107 8 116 5 049 12 059 69938 66949 6 125 4 140 2 229 6 357 66949 64185 2 108 4 210 6 246 4 263 64185 61515 9 274 6 261 11 275 10 280 61515 58733 15 256 12 251 17 250 16 254 58733 55856 25 268 25 264 25 259 24 257 55856 53126 37 263 40 259 39 258 37 262 53126 50671 46 257 47 259 57 253 54 257 50671 48463 49 263 53 262 62 254 64 255 48463 46453 52 264 58 262 61 255 73 257 46453 44603 53 261 59 260 64 256 78 255 44603 42884 51 258 56 259 65 255 72 254 42884 41281 46 256 52 259 59 254 66 256 41281 39781 38 254 45 257 52 255 58 254 39781 38381 34 255 39 255 47 259 47 253 38381 37043 29 256 35 259 43 259 43 258 37043 35695 28 262 33 258 35 262 40 258 35695 34303 28 262 29 263 29 268 34 264 34303 32872 27 266 28 267 28 270 29 271 32872 31386 27 268 26 266 26 269 26 272 31386 29835 26 267 26 263 25 267 23 267 29835 28223 26 265 25 263 24 264 20 263 28223 26552 26 267 25 268 22 265 17 257 26552 24817 25 272 25 272 21 269 16 255 24817 23019 24 273 23 271 19 270 15 254 23019 21155 23 269 21 268 17 266 15 250 21155 19222 20 260 19 258 18 259 16 250 19222 17257 18 253 20 254 18 260 15 254 17257 15363 16 246 19 253 18 257 17 258 15363 13640 15 242 21 254 22 254 22 257 13640 12106 14 242 23 254 26 255 25 255 12106 10738 13 242 20 252 23 255 25 252 10738 9517 11 241 15 246 14 246 20 244 9517 8426 9 234 8*228 7*209 14 223 8426 7456 7 223 6*206 7*205 10 191 7456 6597 6 203 6 201 6 203 7 177 6597 5832 6*179 6 193 6 204 6 180 5832 5143 5*168 6 186 6 206 6 188 5143 4529 6 151 6 181 6 206 6 194 4529 4013 6 147 6 179 6 207 7 198 4013 3616 6 146 6 177 6 208 7 195 3616 3342 6 145 6 176 6 209 6 190 3342 3174 6 145 6 175 6 209 5 186 3174 3078 5 146 5 177 5 210 3*180 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography