DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.4 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 396 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6427 - - 9421 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7644 - - 10189 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9490 - - 12484 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2304 - - 1339 - - - - - 1468 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 519 - - 647 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 37 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 287 - - - - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 52 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2360 - - -545 - - - - - -7208 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11851 - - 13030 - - - - - 10288 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7133 - - -5384 - - - - - -13565 ODpotential blCL - - - 16623 - - 17868 - - - - - 16644 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 55 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.4 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 45.5 - - - - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.7 - - 89.8 - - - - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 44.3 - - - - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 396 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6427 - - 9421 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99282 41 110 46 110 37 107 99282 91770 37 107 41 108 36 105 91770 85985 36 111 31 114 32 096 85985 81181 31 112 23 098 31 099 81181 77058 28 108 23 093 26 103 77058 73441 24 111 22 118 24 099 73441 70178 20 101 25 125 26 103 70178 67185 18 119 20 129 23 111 67185 64427 16 143 18 144 19 119 64427 61761 20 159 18 168 14 131 61761 58976 19 171 19 186 9 179 58976 56100 25 191 25 210 15 217 56100 53369 30 194 35 204 26 216 53369 50911 31 211 42 210 39 216 50911 48704 47 225 52 214 44 218 48704 46702 56 219 56 215 47 222 46702 44875 54 216 52 215 48 223 44875 43191 48 215 48 214 47 225 43191 41618 42 220 45 214 47 223 41618 40138 43 225 44 218 46 222 40138 38743 45 225 44 221 44 224 38743 37398 45 224 43 223 42 223 37398 36035 45 225 40 224 41 223 36035 34627 46 230 38 225 39 225 34627 33178 47 230 37 223 39 229 33178 31674 46 230 35 222 38 228 31674 30108 44 235 32 224 33 223 30108 28481 37 233 28 213 29 216 28481 26788 26 228 24 202 28 208 26788 25033 19 230 21 200 28 214 25033 23219 17 219 18 202 25 224 23219 21338 15 208 17 216 22 234 21338 19383 17 211 17 227 19 241 19383 17397 16 216 18 235 13 250 17397 15490 12 218 15 239 10 254 15490 13761 8 218 10*228 12 222 13761 12225 8 215 3*228 13 188 12225 10854 8 229 1 246 10 177 10854 9625 6*249 1 286 6 189 9625 8523 5*267 2 298 4 221 8523 7538 3 284 3 299 3 262 7538 6662 3 314 4 296 4 310 6662 5881 3 338 5 294 6 326 5881 5178 4 349 5 291 9 334 5178 4553 4 351 6 291 14 337 4553 4028 4 352 6 290 15 339 4028 3624 4 353 6 289 15 337 3624 3346 4 352 6 288 13 336 3346 3176 4 352 6 288 11*335 3176 3079 4 353 5 287 6*334 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography