DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 58.0 - - 63.6 - - 61.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - -7 - - 102 - - -2 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 484 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3545 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 427 - - 653 - - 839 - - 161 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 155 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 007 - - 009 - - 343 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -11 - - -13 - - -1 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -756 - - -2408 - - -3503 - - -2688 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3833 - - 5485 - - 7048 - - 5767 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -9919 - - -9562 - - -9570 - - -8763 - - -7391 ODpotential blCL 12996 - - 12639 - - 13115 - - 11841 - - 10468 blCL maxRH 69 - - 75 - - 76 - - 64 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 58.0 - - 63.6 - - 61.4 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 44.9 - - 43.7 - - 46.9 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.4 - - 58.4 - - 62.8 - - 61.8 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 43.7 - - 42.8 - - 46.3 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - -7 - - 102 - - -2 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 484 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96495 14 081 9 023 14 019 17 030 8 046 96495 89563 17 103 16 087 11 078 11 052 17 030 89563 84146 22 108 26 107 16 120 11 114 13 038 84146 79561 20 110 23 109 17 115 14 124 2 119 79561 75586 12 103 15 105 16 109 13 111 7 146 75586 72078 3 076 7 098 6 077 9 055 8 088 72078 68907 3 061 3 106 3 234 10 296 8 358 68907 66012 6 324 7 293 8 296 13 303 11 308 66012 63357 16 282 16 273 17 296 16 311 18 291 63357 60819 22 280 21 283 22 287 24 291 29 275 60819 58178 26 287 27 291 27 280 32 288 34 280 58178 55416 32 291 34 294 36 280 43 286 43 288 55416 52755 40 292 43 287 48 278 52 280 51 287 52755 50340 36 286 45 283 53 277 57 276 54 286 50340 48160 38 313 43 295 48 288 50 284 52 280 48160 46163 50 320 50 308 50 304 47 303 44 288 46163 44317 61 314 69 310 64 311 74 312 68 311 44317 42617 71 306 80 303 82 304 88 301 84 307 42617 41042 74 303 73 300 78 296 78 297 79 295 41042 39571 60 309 64 304 66 308 62 305 61 290 39571 38193 54 327 61 312 70 320 66 317 52 301 38193 36872 63 332 62 307 70 311 71 308 56 298 36872 35538 62 325 62 306 67 304 68 303 65 296 35538 34157 57 317 64 306 65 299 65 302 66 297 34157 32729 58 311 64 304 62 300 61 301 64 296 32729 31242 65 305 61 300 59 304 61 301 64 298 31242 29686 66 300 58 294 57 306 63 303 64 301 29686 28066 52 294 56 289 54 305 61 307 62 304 28066 26389 44 291 51 286 53 303 53 307 57 305 26389 24653 44 291 46 288 52 302 46 303 52 303 24653 22861 43 293 45 289 47 296 45 301 49 298 22861 21009 41 294 42 291 43 293 45 300 48 293 21009 19087 39 299 39 298 41 298 45 298 48 293 19087 17133 36 305 35 308 36 301 41 302 42 298 17133 15254 30 309 28 313 28 304 34 304 34 301 15254 13545 23 312 21 313 22 303 27 303 27 300 13545 12023 17 316 15 309 18 300 22 300 23 299 12023 10665 13 330 12 312 14 299 18 298 20 299 10665 9452 10 345 9 328 12 303 15 302 17 303 9452 8369 8 356 6 345 8 309 14 311 15 313 8369 7405 8 005 6 001 7 319 13 324 13 324 7405 6550 9 010 8 011 7 332 13 333 13 334 6550 5791 12 012 11 013 10 347 13 341 13 341 5791 5107 16 013 15 012 13 358 12 348 14 346 5107 4500 18 012 17 010 17 003 12 353 16 350 4500 3993 19 011 19 010 17 006 11 354 17 355 3993 3602 19 012 19 010 15*008 9 351 17 357 3602 3334 16 013 15 009 11*009 5 345 16 359 3334 3170 12*014 12 008 10 008 4*342 12*360 3170 3077 7*014 7*007 8 009 2*343 6*003 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography