DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 53.0 - - 55.7 - - 52.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 24 - - 78 - - -5 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 281 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3341 - - 3690 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 248 - - 573 - - 778 - - 777 - - 100 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 87 - - 159 - - 15 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 024 - - 031 - - 017 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4807 - - -2398 - - -1365 - - -1167 - - -2227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7884 - - 5739 - - 5055 - - 4244 - - 5304 sfcLCL ODpotential -14150 - - -9841 - - -7963 - - -7771 - - -11876 ODpotential blCL 17227 - - 13182 - - 11653 - - 10848 - - 14953 blCL maxRH 60 - - 55 - - 66 - - 67 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 53.0 - - 55.7 - - 52.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.1 - - 38.9 - - 44.4 - - 44.7 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 52.8 - - 55.0 - - 52.9 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.0 - - 37.7 - - 43.1 - - 43.4 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 24 - - 78 - - -5 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 281 - - 629 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96417 2 343 8 337 6 299 3 267 13 343 96417 89323 5 038 3 022 2 002 5 066 3 024 89323 83846 5 016 4 163 4 272 2 326 1 223 83846 79267 3 252 2 229 5 272 6 326 6 347 79267 75305 5 213 5 254 10 283 12 312 8 348 75305 71796 7 280 7 257 13 263 18 281 10 346 71796 68602 14 274 12 283 16 272 19 284 10 316 68602 65657 17 279 17 276 19 276 22 288 14 297 65657 62923 20 282 20 277 23 281 25 282 20 292 62923 60271 22 284 25 276 28 275 27 277 24 295 60271 57497 31 282 27 274 30 282 28 276 29 293 57497 54615 36 277 38 279 39 280 35 282 33 291 54615 51864 46 274 47 274 46 277 43 283 40 287 51864 49403 53 276 51 274 52 275 50 280 42 285 49403 47217 61 277 51 275 48 278 50 282 39 292 47217 45249 64 277 50 281 50 290 49 290 41 297 45249 43455 59 276 49 282 53 287 52 294 38 299 43455 41805 51 276 45 283 50 281 53 294 33 300 41805 40275 49 276 45 290 48 286 51 298 29 308 40275 38848 44 280 45 290 50 293 52 301 28 315 38848 37512 35 286 41 287 51 295 52 302 29 320 37512 36227 31 294 40 288 50 294 49 303 28 325 36227 34928 31 297 41 292 50 294 44 307 24 324 34928 33586 31 304 42 297 50 298 38 311 18 335 33586 32203 31 309 40 300 48 300 33 317 14 004 32203 30765 29 312 37 301 46 305 29 332 16 007 30765 29261 32 313 36 303 45 310 27 345 17 352 29261 27695 36 312 37 310 41 316 25 354 18 346 27695 26066 40 318 39 316 38 321 22 355 18 344 26066 24376 43 322 38 319 35 321 21 349 19 332 24376 22627 43 323 37 321 34 322 25 333 23 324 22627 20815 41 322 38 323 35 325 31 327 27 323 20815 18932 40 320 40 324 37 327 34 329 29 325 18932 17012 39 321 40 323 37 327 34 333 31 328 17012 15158 36 324 38 324 36 329 30 336 30 333 15158 13465 32 328 35 325 34 330 26 339 27 337 13465 11953 28 333 33 326 30 332 22 341 23 340 11953 10602 25 336 31 329 25 338 20 345 20 343 10602 9395 23 337 27 330 21 345 17 350 19 348 9395 8318 21 338 23 333 18 353 16 358 19 351 8318 7360 20 340 19 339 16 359 16 004 18 355 7360 6512 18 343 16 346 15 003 15 007 18 001 6512 5759 17 345 14 353 14 005 14 006 18 008 5759 5082 14 348 10 355 12 004 14 005 18 014 5082 4481 11 351 8 355 9 005 13 004 18 019 4481 3979 8 356 6 355 5*016 10 002 18 024 3979 3593 6 005 4*002 4*028 7 009 16 028 3593 3328 5 014 3*020 4 031 6 014 13 035 3328 3168 3*026 2 026 3 034 5*016 11*043 3168 3077 3*038 1 028 3 033 3*017 5*049 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography