DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 18 - - 65 - - 21 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 356 - - 1391 - - 1134 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3416 - - 4451 - - 4195 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1727 - - 1714 - - 2014 - - 2356 - - 2738 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 78 - - 190 - - 124 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 218 - - 219 - - 225 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 340 - - 1021 - - 1118 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3077 - - 3430 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -1504 - - 125 - - 289 - - 352 - - -643 ODpotential blCL 4581 - - 3291 - - 4162 - - 3843 - - 3720 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 40 - - 80 - - 200 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 49.7 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 48.8 - - 48.2 - - 49.5 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 49.5 - - 52.2 - - 52.1 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 48.6 - - 47.7 - - 49.1 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 18 - - 65 - - 21 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 356 - - 1391 - - 1134 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 90 - - 101 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96968 47 284 51 278 49 285 50 274 46 285 96968 89824 39 282 38 283 32 287 35 273 37 274 89824 84313 28 270 31 282 30 271 23 268 32 277 84313 79744 18 262 22 276 30 261 22 266 22 279 79744 75793 16 266 18 253 28 257 23 272 14 271 75793 72251 22 256 21 239 25 248 23 272 15 270 72251 69002 22 255 22 245 23 230 23 258 24 275 69002 66011 22 270 21 248 20 231 22 242 29 261 66011 63248 25 265 24 260 22 256 19 251 25 238 63248 60553 28 255 26 259 24 265 20 270 15 242 60553 57722 30 256 24 255 24 264 26 272 19 286 57722 54796 37 263 26 266 31 257 32 268 28 287 54796 52019 47 259 40 263 36 254 34 262 34 270 52019 49528 54 252 49 251 39 259 36 258 37 258 49528 47299 61 249 56 250 47 258 39 259 40 257 47299 45276 65 250 68 251 58 257 47 265 42 258 45276 43422 73 252 81 251 72 254 62 266 45 259 43422 41716 84 251 104 249 103 251 90 257 57 261 41716 40145 92 250 125 247 145 242 135 249 90 255 40145 38682 103 251 137 244 148 236 159 241 121 249 38682 37307 107 252 148 243 153 237 154 239 135 243 37307 35984 105 252 155 243 167 238 154 237 137 238 35984 34646 108 244 149 244 159 241 153 236 136 233 34646 33264 113 237 128 245 126 243 152 236 135 230 33264 31839 111 237 104 241 108 239 138 239 137 230 31839 30357 100 246 97 234 100 231 107 239 128 234 30357 28816 95 258 97 237 100 230 92 229 101 236 28816 27220 76 264 88 248 98 236 90 226 97 228 27220 25567 57 265 62 257 83 246 86 234 95 229 25567 23865 42 256 39 249 57 251 71 244 81 236 23865 22127 33 234 35 229 39 235 49 246 59 242 22127 20344 40 226 42 221 42 223 35 229 39 234 20344 18498 40 235 40 229 39 232 36 221 34 220 18498 16620 31 238 34 237 30 235 33 222 32 217 16620 14815 26 228 25 232 25 223 30 221 29 217 14815 13172 25 220 22 213 27 214 26 219 28 215 13172 11708 23 215 22 204 26 208 24 218 27 215 11708 10402 20 210 20 200 23 201 22 216 25 219 10402 9235 18 202 20 196 21 196 19 219 20 226 9235 8193 17 190 20 195 20 199 16 226 17 234 8193 7266 16 182 20 196 18 209 14 235 15 241 7266 6443 15 180 18 202 15 218 13 238 14 250 6443 5710 13 188 16 209 13 224 13 237 12 262 5710 5052 11 200 13 214 10 227 12 233 10 277 5052 4465 10 211 10 216 8*226 11*230 9 285 4465 3972 8 220 8 216 6*224 10*226 8 286 3972 3591 7 228 6*216 5 220 10 225 7 285 3591 3329 5 229 6*217 4 217 9 225 6 282 3329 3169 3*229 5 218 4 216 8 224 5 281 3169 3077 1*234 4 219 4 215 7 225 3*280 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography