DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 60.3 - - 64.8 - - 62.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 135 - - 268 - - 54 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1038 - - 2870 - - 1896 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 4845 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4099 - - 5932 - - 4957 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 1057 - - 1215 - - 2065 - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 217 - - 379 - - 194 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 21 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 020 - - 186 - - 251 - - 286 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 4 - - 15 - - 12 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3784 - - -4258 - - -3001 - - -1809 - - -1563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6862 - - 8358 - - 8933 - - 6767 - - 4641 sfcLCL ODpotential -13634 - - -11898 - - -10492 - - -8020 - - -10293 ODpotential blCL 16711 - - 15997 - - 16424 - - 12977 - - 13370 blCL maxRH 55 - - 63 - - 45 - - 60 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 60.3 - - 64.8 - - 62.4 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 34.7 - - 36.5 - - 43.5 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 59.3 - - 63.1 - - 61.8 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 33.6 - - 35.9 - - 43.2 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 135 - - 268 - - 54 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1038 - - 2870 - - 1896 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97134 15 269 25 272 19 293 20 277 20 280 97134 89886 4 225 8 273 13 276 15 302 5 342 89886 84316 2 033 5 261 10 275 11 306 8 033 84316 79691 3 027 1 172 10 289 10 299 7 325 79691 75716 6 314 5 051 6 286 6 286 2 323 75716 72199 5 299 6 317 7 293 5 291 4 335 72199 68997 6 320 6 297 9 268 10 267 8 288 68997 66035 13 306 6 273 10 246 12 254 13 287 66035 63279 16 296 9 264 12 261 15 252 18 284 63279 60604 16 286 11 263 13 254 16 246 19 282 60604 57802 19 279 14 275 13 275 15 267 19 282 57802 54883 20 271 19 281 20 283 17 282 20 282 54883 52103 19 270 20 286 21 279 23 286 24 290 52103 49630 23 288 20 290 20 281 29 294 31 295 49630 47446 32 293 34 300 32 305 35 304 36 295 47446 45488 34 295 41 303 44 302 46 303 36 299 45488 43714 36 312 40 308 42 315 46 309 38 304 43714 42084 46 325 44 325 43 322 50 316 38 302 42084 40566 48 325 46 325 41 321 49 316 39 308 40566 39137 45 327 42 324 41 317 47 316 39 312 39137 37789 45 327 37 329 41 312 46 315 40 312 37789 36485 46 324 36 334 43 310 45 315 40 313 36485 35162 48 321 36 333 46 313 45 316 39 313 35162 33795 47 320 36 329 46 313 44 316 38 314 33795 32387 45 320 38 321 44 311 41 316 36 315 32387 30928 41 318 41 318 44 312 38 316 30 320 30928 29406 37 316 39 317 42 316 37 315 25 323 29406 27822 33 315 36 312 36 315 35 314 22 322 27822 26175 27 314 36 311 35 306 35 311 24 319 26175 24466 22 316 31 308 38 301 36 306 26 319 24466 22700 19 314 27 301 39 296 36 305 27 313 22700 20868 20 317 26 299 38 295 35 307 29 311 20868 18963 18 319 25 305 35 298 32 306 30 314 18963 17024 19 303 22 302 30 300 28 308 27 313 17024 15156 20 295 22 294 26 294 26 305 24 312 15156 13452 19 293 22 286 24 288 25 301 22 308 13452 11932 17 292 21 282 21 284 26 298 21 307 11932 10578 15 290 18 283 19 283 24 295 20 309 10578 9371 13 287 15 286 15 284 19 292 17 307 9371 8298 11 281 12 289 12 285 12 288 12 294 8298 7346 9 262 10 286 8 280 4 265 8 272 7346 6504 8 233 7 272 4*254 1 144 6 225 6504 5757 8 209 7 241 3*243 1 111 6 195 5757 5084 7 196 7 216 2 242 0*045 3 168 5084 4486 5 178 7*195 3 250 1*298 3 082 4486 3985 2 151 5*179 4 253 3 288 8 046 3985 3599 3 038 4 185 4 255 3 285 10 040 3599 3332 4 031 4 188 4 255 3 281 10 040 3332 3170 5*019 3 192 4 254 3 280 8 041 3170 3077 5*020 3 191 4 256 3 281 5*039 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography