DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Hernandez 3140ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 63.0 - - 69.3 - - 64.8 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 428 - - 535 - - 328 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 403 - - 2856 - - 4115 - - 1848 - - 336 BL Depth Hcrit 3140 - - 5059 - - 6107 - - 4231 - - 3140 Hcrit BL Top 3543 - - 5997 - - 7256 - - 4989 - - 3476 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 856 - - 1100 - - 1485 - - 1269 - - 470 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 442 - - 538 - - 350 - - 85 W* B/S 3 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 331 - - 324 - - 309 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 7 - - 13 - - -13 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1738 - - -1491 - - -2202 - - -3305 - - -2250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5282 - - 7488 - - 9459 - - 8294 - - 5726 sfcLCL ODpotential -8329 - - -6370 - - -5204 - - -6888 - - -7374 ODpotential blCL 11872 - - 12367 - - 12460 - - 11877 - - 10850 blCL maxRH 68 - - 85 - - 70 - - 86 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 63.0 - - 69.3 - - 64.8 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 41.0 - - 38.5 - - 39.4 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 61.1 - - 66.7 - - 62.9 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 40.9 - - 38.5 - - 39.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 428 - - 535 - - 328 - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 403 - - 2856 - - 4115 - - 1848 - - 336 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 44 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 10 274 13 283 14 305 14 304 14 280 98479 91573 11 278 10 275 15 285 17 302 12 281 91573 86129 9 275 7 253 16 265 18 299 10 280 86129 81560 9 269 7 266 12 254 16 293 8 282 81560 77606 8 264 7 281 7 244 10 286 6 289 77606 74103 4 247 8 282 3 219 6 275 4 301 74103 70922 1 217 9 286 1 294 3 287 3 332 70922 67985 4 282 9 283 4 317 3 333 4 344 67985 65248 7 283 9 265 7 284 6 329 5 323 65248 62588 8 302 7 273 11 274 9 309 6 316 62588 59807 13 296 10 285 14 277 12 297 7 317 59807 56912 20 282 17 276 18 277 17 286 11 312 56912 54140 25 282 22 272 20 272 20 277 17 302 54140 51645 28 284 25 273 22 273 21 275 20 297 51645 49416 30 284 27 276 24 278 20 282 21 297 49416 47400 33 281 30 276 27 281 21 291 20 300 47400 45558 36 278 31 273 28 283 22 295 19 304 45558 43859 36 275 30 272 29 283 24 294 20 306 43859 42283 36 276 30 274 30 284 27 293 21 307 42283 40811 38 278 31 277 32 285 28 290 22 305 40811 39433 39 278 34 278 33 284 28 287 21 298 39433 38110 38 278 36 277 34 284 28 283 19 284 38110 36776 37 283 38 277 35 284 28 282 18 267 36776 35405 37 290 37 279 35 286 28 282 19 255 35405 33993 37 294 35 280 34 287 28 282 19 255 33993 32520 37 295 33 281 31 287 27 280 18 261 32520 30967 35 292 31 280 28 286 26 278 16 271 30967 29332 33 288 30 278 26 284 25 276 15 276 29332 27615 31 285 29 276 25 283 24 277 13 274 27615 25817 29 283 28 273 25 282 22 278 13 265 25817 23942 26 283 27 271 24 281 19 277 13 257 23942 21985 23 285 24 271 23 277 17 276 12 253 21985 19941 19 289 20 271 21 271 17 276 11 250 19941 17858 15 288 16 268 17 266 17 279 9 247 17858 15852 12 281 12 266 14 267 14 283 10 254 15852 14028 10 272 10 269 11 275 12 288 12 263 14028 12407 8 264 8 279 9 292 11 296 12 273 12407 10967 8 264 7 293 8 304 9 303 10 283 10967 9687 8 271 7 303 6 317 6 302 9 296 9687 8551 8 277 6 310 4 344 2 283 7 306 8551 7546 8 278 4 319 4*010 2 261 7 314 7546 6662 7 277 3*354 5*002 3 287 8 322 6662 5883 6 278 4*001 7 344 6 294 10 328 5883 5187 5 287 6 344 9 326 11*308 13 331 5187 4574 5 305 7 332 10 321 15*311 17 327 4574 4064 7 318 7 326 11 316 16 310 20 322 4064 3676 9*319 8 321 11 313 17 309 20*321 3676 3410 8*319 8 318 11 311 16 308 18*319 3410 3248 8 319 7 318 11 311 15 307 16 319 3248 3156 6 318 7 317 10 310 13 307 12 318 3156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography