DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 47.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.2 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 86 - - 177 - - 50 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2243 - - 3894 - - 2494 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3853 - - 5445 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5303 - - 6955 - - 5555 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2281 - - 2668 - - 1851 - - 1303 - - 858 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 247 - - 370 - - 209 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 324 - - 337 - - 349 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -12 - - 5 - - -8 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1131 - - 1286 - - 483 - - -264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 4172 - - 5669 - - 5072 - - 3341 sfcLCL ODpotential -777 - - -9 - - 370 - - -1299 - - -12515 ODpotential blCL 3854 - - 5312 - - 6585 - - 6854 - - 15592 blCL maxRH 99 - - 88 - - 84 - - 85 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 90 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 47.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.2 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.9 - - 39.6 - - 37.7 - - 39.7 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.4 - - 46.6 - - 50.7 - - 50.7 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 38.4 - - 36.8 - - 39.3 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 86 - - 177 - - 50 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2243 - - 3894 - - 2494 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 51 - - 36 - - 41 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96836 47 285 48 290 48 289 42 273 52 286 96836 89807 29 289 32 286 37 291 25 280 39 284 89807 84366 13 284 27 277 31 285 22 281 20 289 84366 79814 15 281 12 256 23 268 15 273 10 281 79814 75863 19 272 11 252 19 249 14 259 4 235 75863 72346 17 259 14 244 20 241 19 267 9 264 72346 69145 17 239 15 235 16 234 20 260 22 265 69145 66195 13 270 12 242 17 227 17 257 22 260 66195 63468 18 270 13 267 18 244 17 254 16 254 63468 60829 16 283 13 280 16 246 15 257 10 260 60829 58085 23 292 22 288 23 274 28 270 31 274 58085 55270 29 283 20 273 27 258 35 256 37 257 55270 52603 24 324 27 329 15 278 23 258 28 244 52603 50187 56 319 47 312 29 312 25 299 21 268 50187 47995 57 305 55 293 41 293 35 294 29 283 47995 45979 48 310 50 288 46 281 43 290 38 288 45979 44117 48 315 43 288 47 277 50 282 46 290 44117 42391 52 314 41 294 47 276 56 281 55 293 42391 40795 54 306 46 294 46 276 61 284 61 295 40795 39312 53 298 51 289 47 278 60 289 60 296 39312 37923 55 294 55 286 50 278 55 299 56 300 37923 36586 59 293 58 286 50 282 53 310 56 305 36586 35236 61 299 57 289 50 294 58 320 58 306 35236 33844 58 310 57 297 53 314 67 325 59 311 33844 32411 55 313 58 311 60 329 74 326 60 319 32411 30928 55 315 66 322 65 333 75 330 60 324 30928 29381 62 323 73 325 67 330 71 334 58 325 29381 27769 72 328 76 329 71 327 66 329 57 323 27769 26095 80 329 80 331 72 329 67 323 58 321 26095 24365 86 326 83 330 74 331 67 324 57 324 24365 22585 90 326 82 329 76 331 64 331 53 328 22585 20748 80 326 81 330 76 329 64 337 47 335 20748 18843 62 320 79 333 78 332 63 336 47 338 18843 16901 48 304 66 334 77 337 64 338 49 339 16901 15023 36 285 46 334 64 340 64 344 47 348 15023 13308 27 258 24 333 43 343 57 350 44 355 13308 11785 21 254 10 318 25 351 42 355 40 357 11785 10438 19 262 5 261 16 010 29 004 33 002 10438 9247 19 274 8 258 12 013 21 019 25 009 9247 8194 20 283 11 277 11 000 16 033 18 017 8194 7260 20 288 13 294 10*351 14 029 13 023 7260 6434 20 291 15 313 10*345 13 010 11 025 6434 5701 18 294 15*322 11 341 13*354 12 020 5701 5042 16 300 13*325 11 337 13*351 14 014 5042 4456 13 314 12 325 11 336 13 350 14 009 4456 3966 12 330 11 325 11 334 12 349 14 006 3966 3587 12 338 11 324 10 333 12 348 13 006 3587 3326 10 342 10 323 10 333 11 348 11 008 3326 3168 8*344 9 322 9 332 10 347 9*011 3168 3077 5*347 7 320 8 331 7 348 5*014 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography