DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 55.7 - - 58.7 - - 54.8 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - -6 - - 43 - - -4 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 357 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3418 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 72 - - 394 - - 457 - - 363 - - 83 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 24 - - 115 - - 12 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 036 - - 041 - - 045 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -6 - - -7 - - -4 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3683 - - -3887 - - -3243 - - -2465 - - -4370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6760 - - 6964 - - 6661 - - 5542 - - 7447 sfcLCL ODpotential -13757 - - -11353 - - -10031 - - -9700 - - -14634 ODpotential blCL 16834 - - 14430 - - 13449 - - 12777 - - 17711 blCL maxRH 26 - - 31 - - 47 - - 42 - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 55.7 - - 58.7 - - 54.8 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 36.5 - - 40.6 - - 41.6 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 56.1 - - 58.3 - - 56.0 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.0 - - 35.3 - - 39.4 - - 40.2 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - -6 - - 43 - - -4 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 357 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96335 6 333 8 348 1 275 8 240 5 240 96335 89289 8 064 5 077 3 080 3 200 6 038 89289 83825 7 113 3 170 5 045 3 120 6 023 83825 79247 9 116 4 180 8 287 8 039 4 004 79247 75275 6 060 3 155 14 263 14 321 15 355 75275 71764 6 325 2 310 13 258 18 289 16 332 71764 68586 12 304 10 307 11 289 17 278 11 310 68586 65655 16 296 17 305 17 304 18 300 14 315 65655 62928 19 297 18 299 21 297 21 301 18 316 62928 60288 20 308 19 300 24 296 22 303 25 317 60288 57542 24 308 23 308 27 301 25 298 26 302 57542 54695 31 301 28 301 28 313 29 308 26 303 54695 51980 36 299 30 302 32 312 34 311 27 317 51980 49542 37 302 30 298 31 305 35 309 32 324 49542 47372 35 306 24 297 29 293 33 300 32 313 47372 45427 33 307 20 306 23 289 29 285 28 291 45427 43656 26 308 19 331 14 307 14 285 18 273 43656 42026 19 345 23 343 24 359 14 009 15 023 42026 40523 11 046 11 327 20 002 9 356 19 030 40523 39119 22 087 12 185 9 229 15 215 4 009 39119 37794 30 080 14 141 18 198 25 203 10 204 37794 36514 33 071 23 091 20 191 17 186 21 202 36514 35215 31 079 23 075 20 153 18 172 19 192 35215 33867 21 083 16 069 16 123 16 162 15 170 33867 32476 8 096 10 077 11 099 14 162 12 155 32476 31026 2 350 6 084 7 106 13 169 13 160 31026 29508 9 005 3 066 4 151 8 198 12 174 29508 27922 14 009 4 032 3 190 4 231 11 182 27922 26268 14 357 9 006 1 006 3 282 7 193 26268 24552 14 327 11 340 5 347 8 312 9 208 24552 22775 19 321 11 323 7 328 9 306 12 208 22775 20931 19 330 9 329 6 317 8 285 12 244 20931 19019 22 334 11 344 7 317 9 297 11 292 19019 17080 29 334 17 345 16 331 17 330 17 322 17080 15214 33 335 24 343 25 342 25 343 24 341 15214 13514 34 339 28 344 28 346 25 348 27 354 13514 11996 30 343 27 346 26 351 23 351 25 002 11996 10641 25 347 23 351 22 355 21 355 21 006 10641 9429 20 351 19 357 18 359 17 357 17 008 9429 8349 16 354 16 002 15 001 15 359 14 009 8349 7387 15 358 14 007 14 005 14 001 12 008 7387 6534 15 002 14 009 13 008 13 004 12 009 6534 5776 16 004 15 011 14 012 13 009 13 012 5776 5095 16 010 16 012 15 017 14 015 14 018 5095 4491 18 016 16 014 17 020 14 019 15 022 4491 3984 18 021 16 017 15 023 14 022 16 025 3984 3596 17 025 14 022 10*034 12 026 15 029 3596 3330 14 032 11 030 7*039 9 034 13 036 3330 3169 11*037 8 033 6 041 6*037 11*043 3169 3077 7*036 5*036 5 043 2*045 6*045 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography