DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 58.4 - - 59.4 - - 56.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 116 - - 65 - - 20 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1422 - - 2822 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3412 - - 4030 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4483 - - 5883 - - 3718 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 763 - - 1556 - - 2298 - - 1751 - - 790 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 231 - - 245 - - 105 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 212 - - 124 - - 081 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 10 - - -8 - - -19 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 550 - - 971 - - 371 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 3933 - - 4912 - - 3347 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -2383 - - -1673 - - -522 - - -1786 - - -2942 ODpotential blCL 5460 - - 6156 - - 6405 - - 5504 - - 6019 blCL maxRH 100 - - 90 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 460 - - 190 - - 370 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 58.4 - - 59.4 - - 56.0 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 57.4 - - 58.9 - - 55.9 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.3 - - 50.9 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 116 - - 65 - - 20 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1422 - - 2822 - - 657 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 60 - - 94 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97646 8 325 13 297 16 307 13 317 20 280 97646 90338 12 317 12 324 13 313 11 329 13 291 90338 84711 12 301 12 329 4 295 11 313 12 334 84711 80067 12 252 9 323 8 279 8 284 12 337 80067 76080 8 239 9 284 13 274 13 297 12 334 76080 72561 8 290 9 260 11 254 15 303 12 333 72561 69364 6 287 11 190 17 214 15 243 11 280 69364 66408 2 300 8 207 12 218 20 231 10 220 66408 63648 16 230 17 239 18 226 21 233 10 244 63648 60945 28 212 26 231 22 218 21 228 21 241 60945 58114 28 206 28 220 24 225 26 223 28 229 58114 55168 33 210 32 219 35 218 32 224 32 230 55168 52346 34 195 44 215 44 215 34 226 39 230 52346 49810 41 217 49 204 46 215 42 224 46 223 49810 47545 53 213 47 203 48 215 48 218 47 218 47545 45486 56 205 45 206 51 216 53 215 49 218 45486 43587 58 209 45 210 58 216 61 217 57 220 43587 41824 66 212 51 213 67 213 73 217 66 218 41824 40181 77 211 61 213 72 211 82 213 76 215 40181 38647 86 210 70 211 78 208 91 208 87 211 38647 37216 93 207 80 206 85 205 93 206 94 207 37216 35852 101 203 91 200 89 203 92 204 95 204 35852 34490 106 202 95 197 90 199 90 202 91 201 34490 33104 101 201 90 194 89 196 88 200 90 197 33104 31702 91 198 80 190 84 192 87 198 90 195 31702 30262 83 193 72 185 78 186 85 194 85 192 30262 28771 77 189 70 184 70 176 79 186 72 186 28771 27227 71 190 69 183 64 167 71 173 56 175 27227 25624 67 192 61 180 63 171 62 164 48 166 25624 23959 63 192 47 174 57 177 54 165 51 170 23959 22236 61 189 26 177 49 178 57 172 51 172 22236 20447 59 183 23 193 40 183 59 180 48 171 20447 18589 55 177 29 189 40 194 53 189 43 168 18589 16701 50 170 39 175 37 201 49 193 38 170 16701 14888 43 163 41 150 32 201 43 196 36 177 14888 13240 38 157 34 137 31 201 34 195 33 182 13240 11775 35 155 28 137 30 201 30 189 27 185 11775 10469 30 154 25 142 27 190 24 183 22 179 10469 9299 25 155 21 145 28 165 23 178 18 172 9299 8252 20 156 16 146 29 145 25 174 15 166 8252 7316 17 154 12 154 28 138 25 167 12 161 7316 6484 16 151 10 172 24*132 23 155 11 153 6484 5742 14 152 10 190 21*129 20 143 12 143 5742 5073 11 160 12*199 18 126 17 127 15 130 5073 4478 9 178 12*208 14 123 16 111 18 120 4478 3980 9 208 12 211 11 122 14*091 19 107 3980 3595 9 232 12 213 10 121 13*083 18 086 3595 3331 8 242 11 214 10 121 12 081 16 074 3331 3170 7 247 10 215 9 122 11 080 14*071 3170 3077 3*256 8 215 8 122 8 079 8*069 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography