DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Hernandez 3048ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 70.4 - - 75.5 - - 75.9 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 320 - - 430 - - 191 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2753 - - 4645 - - 4565 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3048 - - 4799 - - 6360 - - 5949 - - 3048 Hcrit BL Top 3064 - - 5801 - - 7694 - - 7614 - - 3065 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 598 - - 997 - - 860 - - 1117 - - 816 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 395 - - 519 - - 394 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 28 - - 56 - - 41 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 210 - - 246 - - 298 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 17 - - 34 - - 27 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3791 - - -4247 - - -4003 - - -3780 - - -4259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6855 - - 10049 - - 11698 - - 11394 - - 7325 sfcLCL ODpotential -14498 - - -12362 - - -10975 - - -10712 - - -12822 ODpotential blCL 17562 - - 18163 - - 18669 - - 18326 - - 15887 blCL maxRH 38 - - 40 - - 42 - - 41 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 70.4 - - 75.5 - - 75.9 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 37.1 - - 34.8 - - 36.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 69.5 - - 73.9 - - 74.8 - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 37.1 - - 34.8 - - 36.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 320 - - 430 - - 191 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2753 - - 4645 - - 4565 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98243 13 073 13 118 7 110 6 094 7 078 98243 90886 10 080 14 101 11 106 10 101 11 090 90886 85216 12 091 17 093 14 106 11 108 13 094 85216 80522 12 087 17 101 16 102 14 113 12 094 80522 76489 14 080 14 101 13 097 14 101 14 091 76489 72931 11 097 12 117 11 103 11 092 12 090 72931 69710 12 082 11 103 11 121 8 098 11 072 69710 66753 9 086 6 096 10 138 7 144 6 068 66753 64012 2 359 6 130 10 142 7 172 3 053 64012 61365 12 215 8 251 1 107 6 177 10 238 61365 58625 16 203 17 221 15 244 6 240 9 235 58625 55776 20 239 23 228 26 237 21 250 16 254 55776 53046 37 246 36 241 41 242 39 250 33 251 53046 50597 48 241 50 239 53 241 54 245 49 244 50597 48411 54 247 55 242 58 244 60 246 58 244 48411 46431 66 247 62 246 67 249 69 251 66 248 46431 44612 69 249 70 249 78 252 82 253 77 251 44612 42926 81 251 81 251 88 251 89 251 84 250 42926 41347 89 249 88 249 92 249 93 249 88 249 41347 39859 90 249 90 249 91 249 95 249 90 249 39859 38455 90 250 87 249 90 251 96 250 91 248 38455 37099 90 250 85 250 91 253 96 252 92 248 37099 35729 86 250 84 250 90 253 95 253 91 248 35729 34315 84 250 83 251 86 253 95 255 91 248 34315 32862 84 250 82 253 79 252 85 255 89 250 32862 31359 77 249 76 253 75 254 74 254 82 252 31359 29794 70 243 66 249 66 251 67 252 73 251 29794 28167 63 242 60 245 60 246 60 250 64 248 28167 26480 51 246 54 246 55 245 53 250 56 245 26480 24736 42 247 47 247 47 248 46 251 46 244 24736 22935 37 242 42 246 40 249 40 253 38 246 22935 21069 35 239 39 244 37 248 36 254 34 247 21069 19134 33 239 35 243 35 247 33 254 31 248 19134 17169 29 237 31 243 30 249 29 254 27 249 17169 15280 24 238 26 244 25 251 25 253 23 250 15280 13561 20 236 21 244 20 250 19 253 18 248 13561 12030 18 230 18 242 17 247 15 253 14 245 12030 10665 17 224 16 237 14 240 12 241 11 243 10665 9448 15 222 14 231 11 225 9 210 12 231 9448 8364 12 220 11 220 7*200 5*163 13 208 8364 7399 9 214 8 197 2*152 4*147 12 183 7399 6546 6 199 6*178 1 152 1 135 10 177 6546 5787 6 188 4*170 1 225 0 297 8 169 5787 5103 6 185 2 178 2 260 2 309 4 131 5103 4495 5 186 2 209 3 264 4 307 5 052 4495 3985 6 186 3 229 3 266 5 305 8 013 3985 3593 4 203 3 233 3 267 5 302 10 357 3593 3323 3 234 3 237 3 267 5 301 10 352 3323 3159 2 270 3 237 3 265 5 300 9*348 3159 3065 2*308 3 236 3 266 4 301 6*348 3065 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography