DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 51.2 - - 48.6 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 90 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 219 - - 1098 - - 412 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3279 - - 4158 - - 3472 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 495 - - 768 - - 848 - - 417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 196 - - 55 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 22 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 078 - - 290 - - 041 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 5 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2284 - - -1121 - - -407 - - -1542 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5563 - - 5280 - - 3879 - - 4620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11685 - - -5208 - - -4547 - - -11001 ODpotential blCL - - - 14964 - - 9366 - - 8019 - - 14078 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 85 - - 94 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 51.2 - - 48.6 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 38.9 - - 42.4 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 50.5 - - 48.6 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 37.7 - - 41.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 90 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 219 - - 1098 - - 412 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 41 - - 74 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96577 41 065 28 065 27 081 26 078 96577 89468 29 071 20 063 15 096 19 079 89468 83949 29 056 24 075 24 083 22 071 83949 79368 22 056 15 067 20 077 21 066 79368 75424 16 057 11 095 14 042 21 066 75424 71917 14 067 11 057 15 036 18 056 71917 68715 15 051 10 034 18 058 19 069 68715 65752 19 049 21 041 25 056 25 068 65752 63001 29 030 29 020 31 049 32 055 63001 60355 25 024 28 008 30 036 34 037 60355 57610 27 026 25 027 28 036 30 036 57610 54768 37 021 37 036 39 035 41 037 54768 52071 47 021 48 025 51 031 51 035 52071 49659 61 024 60 026 58 031 54 036 49659 47490 73 020 67 024 60 025 55 031 47490 45505 69 014 63 019 56 018 58 023 45505 43674 60 014 60 017 54 012 59 017 43674 41977 60 019 61 013 53 006 61 010 41977 40397 67 018 66 011 55 006 65 009 40397 38927 79 017 75 012 66 014 64 012 38927 37559 105 023 90 015 86 023 70 024 37559 36255 122 025 97 017 112 025 83 030 36255 34944 110 020 95 019 118 025 86 031 34944 33586 101 011 88 016 117 027 87 029 33586 32186 96 009 83 008 103 028 87 024 32186 30727 81 003 78 004 82 024 87 020 30727 29198 66 358 69 002 69 012 84 018 29198 27602 56 003 58 353 70 005 82 021 27602 25944 50 004 53 347 66 006 71 021 25944 24230 47 359 43 346 52 000 55 016 24230 22461 46 357 36 350 44 344 43 012 22461 20630 46 001 35 357 38 330 31 009 20630 18735 49 004 38 001 30 341 25 357 18735 16810 48 003 41 000 30 358 20 355 16810 14957 43 010 38 010 35 011 25 005 14957 13272 37 022 34 024 35 024 30 018 13272 11777 30 033 27 032 29 037 24 031 11777 10448 23 037 17 034 20 044 15 040 10448 9266 19 036 11 033 13 043 9 044 9266 8213 16 043 9 036 9 039 6 039 8213 7277 14 057 8 046 8 039 6 038 7277 6449 11 065 6 059 8 039 5 037 6449 5712 8 068 4 061 7 032 5 028 5712 5050 4 069 2 026 6 007 6 018 5050 4460 2 070 2*321 5 344 7 009 4460 3968 2 092 2*302 3 338 8 004 3968 3588 3 078 2 290 2*015 7 357 3588 3327 3*078 2 287 2*038 6 356 3327 3168 3*077 2 285 1 043 4*000 3168 3077 2 079 1 280 1 042 2*014 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography