DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.0 - - 63.3 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 345 - - 84 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2362 - - 2952 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4456 - - 4989 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5422 - - 6013 - - 4701 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1509 - - 1225 - - 1550 - - 954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 351 - - 416 - - 214 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 012 - - 031 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -11 - - -10 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5199 - - -7182 - - -8058 - - -7479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10622 - - 13195 - - 12760 - - 10557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15026 - - -17245 - - -17813 - - -19563 ODpotential blCL - - - 20448 - - 23258 - - 22514 - - 22640 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 40 - - 38 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 64.0 - - 63.3 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 17.0 - - 18.5 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 61.8 - - 62.5 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 16.1 - - 17.8 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 345 - - 84 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2362 - - 2952 - - 1640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97496 18 300 13 313 13 316 18 309 97496 90280 7 320 10 313 11 328 9 357 90280 84673 7 343 10 302 7 341 7 025 84673 80008 3 030 6 264 7 338 8 008 80008 76014 6 018 1 238 6 295 4 012 76014 72500 2 313 3 318 4 300 6 357 72500 69326 1 178 4 236 2 231 5 276 69326 66404 8 268 9 235 8 284 4 301 66404 63690 9 265 10 235 15 277 12 313 63690 61069 13 303 5 270 11 273 17 292 61069 58336 20 298 15 300 13 290 21 303 58336 55498 24 302 21 305 19 328 25 324 55498 52780 32 310 33 320 37 331 32 326 52780 50324 39 315 45 324 46 326 38 334 50324 48114 45 327 53 325 48 329 46 340 48114 46104 51 338 55 329 53 337 57 346 46104 44259 58 339 61 334 65 338 65 348 44259 42551 61 337 66 336 72 340 71 350 42551 40955 65 340 69 340 76 344 75 350 40955 39462 68 343 72 345 78 348 78 349 39462 38068 66 344 75 348 81 351 81 348 38068 36738 65 349 74 348 84 352 84 349 36738 35401 67 353 68 351 83 353 83 349 35401 34022 70 355 67 355 78 351 78 350 34022 32603 69 355 68 356 72 352 71 351 32603 31129 69 355 67 356 69 357 66 352 31129 29588 67 354 61 355 69 358 65 356 29588 27980 62 352 57 355 63 355 65 359 27980 26305 53 348 54 353 55 356 62 359 26305 24567 48 348 50 352 52 358 55 358 24567 22770 48 349 47 351 49 355 50 358 22770 20909 49 350 45 352 46 353 46 358 20909 18981 49 351 46 356 42 359 43 359 18981 17021 49 353 47 000 42 007 39 006 17021 15137 47 354 44 002 38 012 35 012 15137 13427 44 354 36 007 33 019 30 018 13427 11909 41 357 28 020 28 027 25 027 11909 10558 39 000 25 034 25 032 20 039 10558 9355 37 001 22 044 20 038 18 049 9355 8284 35 002 17 050 16 046 16 051 8284 7332 30 003 14 043 13 052 14 050 7332 6491 24 005 12*025 11 053 13 044 6491 5745 19*005 12*015 10 046 13 035 5745 5075 17*004 13 013 9*037 13 028 5075 4479 15 002 13 012 9*032 13 027 4479 3980 14 002 13 012 9 031 12 029 3980 3596 13 001 12 012 9 030 12 032 3596 3331 12 000 12 011 8 030 10 033 3331 3169 11 360 11 011 8 029 8 034 3169 3077 9 359 9 011 6 030 6*033 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography