DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 48.9 - - 51.5 - - 48.4 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 5 - - 77 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 1139 - - 915 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3177 - - 4199 - - 3975 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 448 - - 891 - - 1742 - - 1646 - - 816 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 46 - - 196 - - 71 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 11 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 211 - - 237 - - 244 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -2 - - 9 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3596 - - -2604 - - -1717 - - 240 - - -252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6673 - - 5781 - - 5917 - - 3735 - - 3330 sfcLCL ODpotential -11751 - - -8605 - - -6669 - - -2089 - - -4823 ODpotential blCL 14828 - - 11782 - - 10868 - - 6064 - - 7900 blCL maxRH 76 - - 80 - - 82 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 48.9 - - 51.5 - - 48.4 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.8 - - 34.6 - - 36.5 - - 42.9 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.1 - - 48.9 - - 50.8 - - 48.4 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.6 - - 33.4 - - 35.3 - - 42.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 5 - - 77 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 1139 - - 915 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 22 - - 27 - - 25 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95432 81 273 63 286 66 278 60 287 76 269 95432 88555 47 274 40 285 50 279 48 296 49 289 88555 83241 31 292 31 277 40 284 38 295 38 297 83241 78780 28 311 21 286 33 296 28 297 34 299 78780 74891 30 305 18 283 27 299 26 295 31 303 74891 71421 26 297 14 275 26 291 28 295 29 308 71421 68261 22 313 15 285 24 281 32 286 31 302 68261 65345 28 303 14 289 20 285 33 281 31 300 65345 62624 29 297 19 302 21 292 31 280 32 303 62624 59975 30 309 26 302 23 297 27 284 34 296 59975 57207 36 299 30 296 29 301 30 295 33 293 57207 54310 39 291 32 290 37 290 37 291 37 294 54310 51528 40 293 34 296 36 290 37 296 41 293 51528 49031 45 299 43 301 42 299 45 298 43 293 49031 46801 50 296 45 292 48 293 48 294 45 289 46801 44786 47 300 51 293 55 291 54 293 47 290 44786 42953 62 303 67 286 64 284 58 288 57 289 42953 41279 72 302 68 284 65 280 64 283 62 282 41279 39740 68 302 64 288 61 281 60 281 60 280 39740 38311 68 310 64 292 56 284 60 285 58 281 38311 36978 67 310 63 293 55 288 63 284 59 283 36978 35703 64 306 57 293 56 288 61 281 60 283 35703 34417 63 303 53 291 55 285 58 282 57 281 34417 33089 63 300 53 289 51 284 57 285 52 281 33089 31721 53 304 50 291 47 285 56 287 48 282 31721 30298 47 309 43 290 47 287 53 285 47 282 30298 28809 44 314 40 294 47 291 49 285 48 282 28809 27256 41 317 41 297 44 293 41 291 46 280 27256 25644 42 315 41 298 44 291 37 291 41 272 25644 23971 41 315 37 301 47 296 38 286 37 264 23971 22237 38 316 29 305 39 299 40 282 33 276 22237 20439 36 321 26 316 25 294 34 277 28 292 20439 18575 36 328 25 324 16 299 19 270 16 302 18575 16685 29 335 19 331 14 306 12 278 9 257 16685 14866 20 344 14 340 9 307 8 284 14 240 14866 13208 15 348 10 347 5 312 3 288 14 234 13208 11733 11 344 7 342 3 322 0 189 11 225 11733 10419 8 348 4 339 1 266 3 172 10 223 10419 9247 6 350 1 004 4 203 4 186 10 228 9247 8202 5 318 2 147 7 233 4 258 8 236 8202 7270 7 274 3 189 12 257 9 277 6 249 7270 6444 11 250 6 222 15 261 12 275 5 266 6444 5709 14 239 9 234 16 258 13 270 4 284 5709 5047 15 230 11 239 15 250 12 261 4 297 5047 4460 16 223 11 235 14*242 11*250 3 297 4460 3967 16 215 10 225 12*237 11*245 3 271 3967 3588 15 207 9 218 11 237 10 244 4 236 3588 3327 12 202 7*213 11 237 10 243 4 218 3327 3168 10*200 5*212 10 237 8 243 4*206 3168 3077 3*206 2 211 8 237 6 243 2*191 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography