DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 426 - - 207 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1739 - - 3575 - - 2247 - - 131 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4061 - - 5535 - - 4293 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4801 - - 6637 - - 5309 - - 3193 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 1237 - - 1461 - - 575 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 476 - - 320 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 214 - - 234 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5597 - - -3661 - - -2692 - - -775 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10399 - - 10299 - - 8001 - - 3968 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13510 - - -10407 - - -8859 - - -8462 ODpotential blCL - - - 18311 - - 17044 - - 14168 - - 11655 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 45 - - 54 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 76.0 - - 72.4 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 41.4 - - 47.9 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 73.3 - - 70.8 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 41.1 - - 47.7 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 314 - - 426 - - 207 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1739 - - 3575 - - 2247 - - 131 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98756 9 119 8 116 11 136 13 114 98756 91377 14 111 13 126 11 153 11 102 91377 85653 15 130 13 145 8 139 7 134 85653 80883 14 133 10 162 2 087 11 140 80883 76768 10 121 11 153 3 154 9 152 76768 73144 4 129 6 143 6 166 6 164 73144 69874 5 196 5 219 5 184 4 185 69874 66860 7 206 7 242 2 197 2 166 66860 64069 9 194 8 232 4 248 2 326 64069 61386 4 192 6 230 8 267 5 275 61386 58603 11 258 17 245 17 262 15 272 58603 55732 18 276 22 249 27 247 28 266 55732 53002 38 274 34 264 35 259 30 247 53002 50546 49 271 50 274 51 274 45 277 50546 48347 61 275 70 269 70 268 65 269 48347 46346 72 273 73 262 73 259 72 258 46346 44496 76 271 74 262 74 258 74 255 44496 42772 77 270 76 262 77 260 76 257 42772 41162 73 268 74 261 77 260 77 261 41162 39657 64 261 70 261 74 260 74 263 39657 38252 58 258 65 260 69 258 70 261 38252 36912 59 258 63 260 63 258 67 261 36912 35567 60 259 63 261 61 262 69 262 35567 34179 60 261 64 262 62 263 71 262 34179 32749 62 263 64 259 63 261 69 265 32749 31265 59 261 61 257 64 257 63 263 31265 29717 56 256 60 255 63 258 59 259 29717 28103 52 257 55 255 56 258 52 260 28103 26427 48 259 45 257 45 258 45 261 26427 24690 41 258 39 257 38 254 38 258 24690 22894 38 251 37 248 37 253 36 252 22894 21036 35 244 36 248 35 255 33 254 21036 19111 33 249 29 255 26 257 25 255 19111 17155 27 263 20 260 19 250 20 247 17155 15271 19 267 15 250 16 242 16 242 15271 13554 13 254 15 234 15 243 13 242 13554 12026 11 234 15 228 14 243 12 244 12026 10665 11 219 14 226 11 237 11 226 10665 9452 10 201 11 218 8 219 11 199 9452 8373 8 186 8 203 4 179 11 179 8373 7412 6 179 4*184 3 114 10 146 7412 6559 5 183 4*195 3 088 10 105 6559 5800 4 197 5 204 1*229 9 086 5800 5115 5*215 5 212 5*236 6 078 5115 4506 5*228 6 217 8 233 1 109 4506 3996 6 232 7 220 8 233 6 226 3996 3605 6 234 8 221 9 234 11 228 3605 3335 6 234 8 221 9 233 11*231 3335 3171 6 234 7 222 9 233 9*233 3171 3078 6 234 7 223 8 234 5 237 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography