DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.0 - - 47.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 19 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 412 - - 110 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3472 - - 3170 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1411 - - 752 - - 701 - - 809 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 93 - - 43 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 130 - - 124 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -15 - - -12 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -539 - - 171 - - 93 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3616 - - 3302 - - 3077 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5051 - - -4049 - - -3709 - - -3775 ODpotential blCL - - - 8128 - - 7521 - - 6879 - - 6851 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.0 - - 47.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 46.1 - - 47.0 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 49.9 - - 47.6 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 45.3 - - 46.9 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 19 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 412 - - 110 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 99 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96139 41 026 30 023 31 039 22 034 96139 89120 26 036 21 030 24 036 23 050 89120 83662 12 036 18 029 18 046 19 045 83662 79128 14 046 19 034 19 056 18 070 79128 75226 13 047 19 043 14 045 18 058 75226 71761 10 061 16 048 9 042 13 032 71761 68599 7 062 9 054 6 084 6 354 68599 65667 5 044 4 338 2 077 4 338 65667 62945 4 023 5 297 5 284 5 272 62945 60310 0 076 5 226 7 261 4 244 60310 57552 5 195 10 205 13 235 9 249 57552 54681 10 202 13 198 16 216 17 255 54681 51947 15 222 17 211 17 223 22 239 51947 49495 26 229 24 222 24 242 26 244 49495 47305 46 197 32 216 33 222 28 237 47305 45324 71 199 50 208 46 217 38 224 45324 43517 93 200 75 201 58 200 46 207 43517 41856 99 199 84 201 56 196 50 202 41856 40316 94 197 86 198 59 188 48 195 40316 38878 87 195 78 193 64 178 44 190 38878 37524 82 194 68 191 64 170 47 189 37524 36217 73 194 60 185 65 167 51 188 36217 34893 54 190 57 181 62 171 54 187 34893 33525 41 181 56 181 55 177 54 186 33525 32118 40 177 55 182 46 180 54 186 32118 30661 35 176 50 181 39 182 56 180 30661 29143 36 180 44 179 37 183 51 179 29143 27562 38 185 38 176 36 186 53 179 27562 25919 40 188 30 178 35 190 49 182 25919 24217 39 184 25 182 33 192 38 184 24217 22457 37 172 23 192 28 189 26 182 22457 20633 36 162 21 202 22 186 24 176 20633 18741 35 160 20 198 18 181 20 186 18741 16819 33 165 21 189 18 180 22 198 16819 14972 32 176 25 200 18 181 23 201 14972 13291 33 181 27 197 20 189 23 199 13291 11795 33 178 28 189 22 190 24 193 11795 10466 32 172 32 184 24 188 24 196 10466 9283 33 166 36 184 27 184 24 209 9283 8227 33 162 40 183 29 182 29 211 8227 7287 31 157 42 179 32 181 36 201 7287 6454 29 152 42 173 35 177 43 189 6454 5714 28 152 42 165 34 171 42 181 5714 5050 26 161 40 155 31 164 38 172 5050 4460 24 171 37 147 29 152 34 163 4460 3967 24 174 33 141 29 143 30 155 3967 3588 23 173 27*135 25 135 27 151 3588 3326 18 169 22*131 20*129 20 144 3326 3168 15*165 19 130 17*126 16 139 3168 3076 8*158 13 127 11 122 9*133 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography