DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.2 - - 84.8 - - 90.0 - - 88.7 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 331 - - 441 - - 240 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1137 - - 2224 - - 1945 - - 132 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3642 - - 4509 - - 4135 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 4199 - - 5287 - - 5008 - - 3195 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 344 - - 730 - - 1680 - - 1385 - - 519 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 299 - - 412 - - 322 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 218 - - 228 - - 247 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2880 - - -5903 - - -6267 - - -5786 - - -2215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5959 - - 10103 - - 11555 - - 10795 - - 5410 sfcLCL ODpotential -9978 - - -10062 - - -9318 - - -9103 - - -8053 ODpotential blCL 13057 - - 14261 - - 14605 - - 14111 - - 11248 blCL maxRH 69 - - 64 - - 81 - - 75 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 120 - - 250 - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m 71.2 - - 84.8 - - 90.0 - - 88.7 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.8 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 82.7 - - 87.3 - - 86.9 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 50.9 - - 49.5 - - 51.6 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 331 - - 441 - - 240 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1137 - - 2224 - - 1945 - - 132 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99205 28 107 26 103 29 111 19 114 27 083 99205 91768 26 114 27 105 27 102 25 116 22 100 91768 86025 25 103 27 107 28 116 24 104 21 111 86025 81241 19 098 19 104 23 105 26 110 20 110 81241 77111 19 116 16 108 18 107 22 088 20 107 77111 73466 18 108 14 127 11 097 20 094 18 095 73466 70173 13 079 17 129 11 126 12 083 16 092 70173 67147 7 085 14 105 13 139 5 108 7 094 67147 64361 5 066 9 096 8 126 5 149 2 075 64361 61681 1 353 6 087 5 122 3 155 1 020 61681 58903 5 259 2 152 1 299 3 301 2 294 58903 56043 7 251 4 189 4 267 6 289 3 278 56043 53336 9 217 9 210 11 243 13 259 7 257 53336 50911 9 225 13 206 19 214 21 223 20 232 50911 48741 16 239 16 220 21 207 24 213 24 220 48741 46766 21 235 19 227 21 206 23 213 26 216 46766 44947 28 229 26 223 24 212 26 214 28 212 44947 43255 35 220 34 216 30 215 31 214 32 210 43255 41672 43 213 39 208 37 211 40 211 39 209 41672 40183 44 207 38 204 39 205 43 205 44 204 40183 38778 41 206 35 203 38 203 43 203 46 201 38778 37423 37 206 32 202 34 204 41 200 44 200 37423 36052 34 204 29 199 31 204 37 199 40 201 36052 34640 32 200 27 197 30 202 34 201 36 199 34640 33187 29 199 25 198 28 201 31 201 34 199 33187 31680 25 201 21 200 24 201 28 202 30 197 31680 30111 20 198 17 195 18 198 24 206 24 199 30111 28482 11 195 12 184 15 192 21 204 20 206 28482 26791 6 161 12 179 17 178 17 207 18 208 26791 25043 5 121 13 169 16 174 14 207 18 205 25043 23238 0 133 9 162 13 166 13 188 15 194 23238 21370 5 221 8 171 11 162 10 169 11 176 21370 19434 9 197 10 187 9 172 8 150 11 160 19434 17464 10 180 13 200 8 199 5 146 9 143 17464 15565 8 191 13 201 9 206 5 174 7 130 15565 13831 5 229 10 219 9 212 6 187 5 147 13831 12281 2 262 8 227 9 221 6 203 5 184 12281 10894 1 309 7 222 8 220 8 214 6 211 10894 9652 1 302 7 219 8 222 8 216 8 213 9652 8540 1 230 8 219 9 229 7 216 7 206 8540 7548 2 205 9 217 8 231 5 224 6 187 7548 6667 4 190 9 210 8 227 4 237 5 159 6667 5884 6 179 9 199 8*224 5 248 3 161 5884 5178 7 176 9 193 9*224 6*251 3 212 5178 4551 7 182 8*201 10 227 8*249 6 230 4551 4026 8 208 8*214 10 228 8 248 9 232 4026 3623 9 219 8 217 11 228 9 247 11 233 3623 3345 9 219 8 219 10 229 9 247 10*235 3345 3176 7*222 8 220 10 229 8 246 9*236 3176 3079 3*232 7 222 9 230 7 247 6 240 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography