DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 75.5 - - 73.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 494 - - 313 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1752 - - 3004 - - 2007 - - 569 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4116 - - 5135 - - 4258 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4814 - - 6066 - - 5069 - - 3631 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 753 - - 1438 - - 1785 - - 913 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 360 - - 473 - - 355 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 17 - - 8 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 222 - - 242 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2936 - - -3240 - - -2714 - - -2517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7750 - - 9307 - - 7783 - - 6148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9423 - - -9488 - - -7411 - - -8820 ODpotential blCL - - - 14237 - - 15554 - - 12480 - - 12451 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 46 - - 57 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 75.5 - - 73.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.1 - - 45.3 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 72.7 - - 71.8 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 44.6 - - 49.8 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 494 - - 313 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1752 - - 3004 - - 2007 - - 569 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99168 30 109 29 115 30 113 30 101 99168 91675 25 121 28 115 25 113 28 098 91675 85902 22 122 22 117 23 115 28 101 85902 81115 23 119 21 127 25 112 20 115 81115 77002 22 111 22 127 21 107 23 109 77002 73373 17 118 17 124 15 105 20 099 73373 70088 16 113 15 128 12 123 15 106 70088 67069 11 124 12 134 11 131 10 096 67069 64270 7 127 8 138 7 166 2 081 64270 61565 3 195 5 120 7 174 4 199 61565 58744 10 238 7 263 7 249 4 270 58744 55811 10 248 14 268 17 270 15 292 55811 53017 16 271 20 273 24 274 26 282 53017 50515 25 278 26 278 29 282 30 281 50515 48281 33 283 33 282 34 287 34 283 48281 46256 40 286 38 279 41 283 40 284 46256 44401 47 284 42 281 45 278 45 283 44401 42690 50 279 46 281 44 277 47 278 42690 41109 47 275 47 278 44 277 45 275 41109 39639 43 275 45 276 44 277 43 274 39639 38262 39 276 41 272 45 275 42 274 38262 36937 38 275 39 270 46 275 40 275 36937 35598 38 276 38 270 44 274 37 276 35598 34213 38 277 36 271 41 272 36 278 34213 32789 37 279 35 271 40 270 35 278 32789 31311 35 280 35 269 40 270 36 276 31311 29767 34 280 35 267 39 272 36 274 29767 28156 29 275 33 267 38 273 34 274 28156 26480 25 270 29 267 35 274 32 274 26480 24741 21 271 24 266 33 273 30 274 24741 22943 19 278 19 267 28 272 28 274 22943 21081 19 282 16 271 19 268 22 272 21081 19151 20 288 15 278 13 268 15 259 19151 17191 18 293 13 284 9 266 10 247 17191 15304 11 289 9 285 5 250 8 244 15304 13588 6 251 6 262 4 220 6 244 13588 12060 6 206 6 225 5 196 6 225 12060 10698 5 199 6 208 6 191 7 194 10698 9484 4 200 5 203 5 191 8 186 9484 8400 3 199 3 192 3 105 7 148 8400 7435 3 204 2 117 7 064 11 085 7435 6579 3 208 2*108 7 053 13 068 6579 5817 5 188 2*168 5 038 12 060 5817 5128 5*171 3 208 2*305 9 048 5128 4516 4*177 5 223 6*247 5 016 4516 4005 4 191 7 225 7 243 4*304 4005 3611 5 198 7 226 8 242 5*277 3611 3339 5 202 8 227 8 241 5 272 3339 3173 5 205 7 227 8 240 5 270 3173 3078 5 206 7 228 7 240 4 268 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography