DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.7 - - 58.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 74 - - 0 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 586 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3647 - - 3181 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 543 - - 874 - - 714 - - 81 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 156 - - 38 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 039 - - 060 - - 064 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -7 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3850 - - -2968 - - -2746 - - -5151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6927 - - 6615 - - 5927 - - 8229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9982 - - -9422 - - -8713 - - -14099 ODpotential blCL - - - 13059 - - 13069 - - 11894 - - 17176 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 56 - - 68 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.7 - - 58.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 41.8 - - 43.1 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 59.1 - - 58.1 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 40.6 - - 41.8 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 74 - - 0 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 586 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95743 48 301 40 303 57 298 42 286 95743 88747 23 306 32 301 42 301 32 293 88747 83358 14 328 22 310 25 304 25 294 83358 78852 14 339 22 326 20 311 19 317 78852 74972 11 324 18 318 19 303 21 314 74972 71560 8 300 13 293 19 304 20 309 71560 68468 15 314 15 303 18 315 16 302 68468 65615 22 307 23 301 22 302 16 300 65615 62959 21 296 27 287 26 288 18 297 62959 60377 19 300 28 284 28 288 20 297 60377 57674 24 304 29 288 30 292 24 309 57674 54860 29 305 28 296 33 305 35 308 54860 52170 34 308 35 302 33 311 33 298 52170 49732 39 309 32 305 29 316 23 315 49732 47536 41 314 40 322 42 339 44 333 47536 45560 47 310 54 321 61 325 53 317 45560 43769 48 300 57 311 62 313 42 310 43769 42118 37 306 45 308 41 326 21 351 42118 40580 56 004 45 011 28 349 37 020 40580 39141 77 012 63 018 38 013 52 007 39141 37792 87 009 74 009 50 013 62 358 37792 36495 88 007 77 007 62 003 61 358 36495 35180 83 007 71 002 63 359 57 002 35180 33817 78 009 68 001 51 354 49 005 33817 32414 76 015 60 004 48 352 38 006 32414 30958 73 021 51 006 42 004 31 009 30958 29437 65 023 44 359 41 014 32 014 29437 27847 47 016 44 003 40 008 35 002 27847 26191 34 356 35 013 27 006 33 339 26191 24479 30 346 24 005 15 357 26 321 24479 22717 26 343 22 346 18 340 25 315 22717 20890 22 340 23 338 22 337 25 316 20890 18990 20 344 21 335 22 335 20 318 18990 17054 18 352 18 338 18 333 14 319 17054 15189 14 353 14 340 14 330 11 315 15189 13489 11 348 11 337 11 327 11 318 13489 11975 9 347 9 338 10 329 11 324 11975 10626 8 355 9 345 10 338 11 334 10626 9420 7 002 7 358 9 351 9 349 9420 8343 8 004 6 013 8 002 7 005 8343 7384 9 011 7 028 7 012 5 020 7384 6534 12 017 10 038 6 023 5 029 6534 5778 15 021 14 041 8 035 5 036 5778 5099 16 024 16 043 10 044 7 045 5099 4494 15 029 15 043 12 047 8 048 4494 3989 14 035 13*046 12 049 10 053 3989 3600 12 038 9*057 10 055 11 058 3600 3332 10 038 8 059 8*062 11 065 3332 3170 7 040 7 061 7*065 9*069 3170 3077 3*039 5 063 4 064 6*065 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography