DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 72.8 - - 71.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 305 - - 96 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1320 - - 2609 - - 2729 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3665 - - 4696 - - 4229 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4382 - - 5671 - - 5791 - - 3263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 677 - - 2098 - - 3166 - - 762 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 384 - - 266 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 271 - - 269 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1909 - - -3107 - - -2065 - - -1310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6291 - - 8778 - - 7857 - - 4574 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5094 - - -5179 - - -3878 - - -5601 ODpotential blCL - - - 9476 - - 10850 - - 9669 - - 8864 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 91 - - 89 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 72.8 - - 71.8 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 44.6 - - 47.6 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 70.7 - - 70.9 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 44.2 - - 47.4 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 305 - - 96 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1320 - - 2609 - - 2729 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 66 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97964 16 213 12 240 16 250 17 269 97964 90638 2 213 3 202 8 206 7 235 90638 84945 1 047 3 157 7 125 2 117 84945 80221 5 128 0 068 8 088 12 058 80221 76201 7 119 2 024 9 056 14 044 76201 72686 10 097 2 072 6 356 6 089 72686 69494 9 050 3 048 7 319 3 138 69494 66540 13 334 6 359 4 319 3 267 66540 63807 14 305 9 301 4 296 5 281 63807 61158 11 317 8 292 13 322 5 341 61158 58410 16 305 14 284 26 291 28 298 58410 55598 17 297 15 272 23 269 30 275 55598 52923 23 304 20 302 12 292 18 260 52923 50493 31 301 31 308 21 325 14 296 50493 48287 33 292 36 300 31 311 24 299 48287 46264 31 290 35 293 38 296 35 291 46264 44398 26 289 32 288 41 287 41 282 44398 42661 25 286 29 284 39 288 42 280 42661 41032 25 289 27 281 36 286 42 278 41032 39497 25 299 27 282 32 276 40 278 39497 38050 28 310 27 287 30 274 38 277 38050 36656 33 314 30 296 29 277 36 274 36656 35247 32 309 33 298 30 283 35 272 35247 33793 28 292 32 289 30 285 35 274 33793 32305 29 269 29 273 28 280 31 270 32305 30778 32 259 29 260 24 265 27 253 30778 29201 32 247 31 251 24 250 28 240 29201 27579 34 238 34 236 28 246 28 245 27579 25910 34 240 37 234 31 234 29 241 25910 24201 36 240 38 235 37 226 34 227 24201 22446 33 239 32 230 38 233 34 227 22446 20631 31 240 30 229 31 239 29 231 20631 18750 30 243 30 233 28 242 24 235 18750 16843 28 245 28 234 27 244 22 237 16843 15012 26 249 25 240 24 246 21 238 15012 13350 20 245 23 241 20 238 19 238 13350 11872 14 237 20 238 20 228 17 233 11872 10553 12 245 20 241 19 231 15 234 10553 9371 12 258 19 249 15 242 12 235 9371 8311 12 267 16 257 8 245 9 201 8311 7364 11 272 12 260 3 238 9 173 7364 6521 10 275 6 265 2 250 8 166 6521 5770 8 277 4*272 2*261 7 178 5770 5093 4 270 5*275 3*266 8 204 5093 4491 2*272 5 273 4 270 10 219 4491 3988 2*266 6 272 5 270 13 222 3988 3600 3 261 6 270 5 269 13 220 3600 3333 3 259 6 268 5 268 11*220 3333 3171 3 256 6 267 5 268 9*221 3171 3078 3 255 5 267 5 267 6 223 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography