DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 89.4 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 268 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 3654 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3311 - - 5441 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4110 - - 6717 - - - - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2530 - - 3837 - - - - - 749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 413 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 157 - - - - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9744 - - -8297 - - - - - -5272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13855 - - 15014 - - - - - 8351 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15825 - - -13683 - - - - - -12353 ODpotential blCL - - - 19935 - - 20400 - - - - - 15431 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 81 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 89.4 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.5 - - 34.0 - - - - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.1 - - 87.5 - - - - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 33.0 - - - - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 268 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 3654 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 24 - - - - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97759 14 309 8 243 12 321 97759 90515 3 337 4 332 8 355 90515 84937 4 310 4 345 5 010 84937 80312 4 243 7 292 7 047 80312 76339 3 141 2 260 9 044 76339 72841 8 075 7 133 8 048 72841 69677 5 102 6 125 7 053 69677 66763 6 169 3 186 8 013 66763 64060 5 153 4 191 8 307 64060 61452 4 236 6 237 12 262 61452 58743 8 280 8 246 15 242 58743 55942 19 277 17 270 18 258 55942 53280 27 266 25 262 23 262 53280 50887 34 256 29 262 26 270 50887 48736 33 256 33 271 24 279 48736 46768 32 257 34 272 33 288 46768 44940 34 261 34 272 41 287 44940 43230 35 267 35 269 45 285 43230 41620 39 265 32 267 44 285 41620 40101 43 264 33 271 40 284 40101 38671 44 263 36 267 38 282 38671 37304 40 258 35 241 35 271 37304 35943 35 248 25 230 28 246 35943 34549 26 235 22 232 26 240 34549 33112 22 240 21 240 22 233 33112 31617 23 258 21 248 25 237 31617 30056 24 272 23 252 23 243 30056 28430 20 285 21 256 18 256 28430 26736 17 297 13 257 17 261 26736 24983 6 248 5 232 16 248 24983 23175 11 217 10 258 15 246 23175 21305 11 225 11 233 10 235 21305 19364 10 213 7 207 5 180 19364 17389 8 174 7 179 6 158 17389 15486 11 160 10 173 9 144 15486 13754 11 168 10 170 12 135 13754 12212 10 174 9 166 13 133 12212 10837 10 173 7 169 11 135 10837 9607 10 167 7 171 8 140 9607 8507 10 163 7 164 6 138 8507 7524 11 161 7*156 5 123 7524 6651 11 164 7*157 4 111 6651 5874 12 170 7 157 3 092 5874 5173 13 168 7 157 2 009 5173 4549 12*159 7 157 4 329 4549 4026 11*152 7 158 5 316 4026 3623 9 147 7 157 4 298 3623 3345 8 146 7 157 3 287 3345 3176 7 146 7 157 2 307 3176 3078 6 146 6 158 1*349 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography