DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 77.7 - - 76.3 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 408 - - 213 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 4387 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4404 - - 6163 - - 5625 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5273 - - 7449 - - 7080 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1016 - - 1173 - - 1473 - - 2438 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 365 - - 506 - - 397 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 350 - - 359 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 13 - - 8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5255 - - -4158 - - -3798 - - -4251 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10529 - - 11607 - - 10878 - - 7329 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12491 - - -10030 - - -9159 - - -10549 ODpotential blCL - - - 17764 - - 17479 - - 16239 - - 13627 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 33 - - 39 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 77.7 - - 76.3 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.3 - - 37.4 - - 39.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 75.2 - - 74.7 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 36.1 - - 38.3 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 408 - - 213 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 4387 - - 4018 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 5 162 2 007 4 212 6 261 98134 90675 7 176 7 229 3 283 2 343 90675 84949 7 159 11 224 4 294 4 019 84949 80212 6 090 9 212 3 310 2 019 80212 76135 6 044 4 150 2 229 4 336 76135 72547 4 354 5 051 3 031 6 348 72547 69324 4 280 4 344 6 351 5 019 69324 66368 6 266 7 278 10 314 7 356 66368 63622 8 276 10 246 14 291 14 317 63622 60953 10 281 11 242 17 269 20 290 60953 58164 11 270 11 257 17 261 20 267 58164 55283 9 284 7 275 11 267 13 260 55283 52552 8 302 5 294 6 282 7 253 52552 50109 4 333 4 302 8 306 10 299 50109 47924 5 357 9 298 12 297 15 287 47924 45932 7 004 6 284 10 287 15 282 45932 44095 11 353 12 348 14 316 19 308 44095 42410 14 353 18 348 17 325 22 324 42410 40863 16 346 15 341 19 329 19 325 40863 39428 11 351 7 339 16 322 16 310 39428 38078 9 062 9 018 8 320 13 293 38078 36774 19 053 11 020 7 331 12 285 36774 35451 20 044 12 018 10 328 13 306 35451 34080 16 040 12 004 15 327 16 324 34080 32667 13 029 14 352 18 328 19 326 32667 31198 13 021 15 351 22 327 21 327 31198 29662 12 011 14 346 21 325 23 329 29662 28061 12 013 14 343 19 325 22 334 28061 26396 7 017 12 339 18 331 20 341 26396 24670 5 330 11 334 15 334 18 346 24670 22883 9 341 11 338 13 336 16 344 22883 21033 11 347 9 335 11 329 14 342 21033 19114 12 360 9 333 10 324 11 338 19114 17164 9 009 7 329 8 322 10 327 17164 15285 4 352 7 329 8 329 12 326 15285 13573 3 331 7 346 9 344 12 335 13573 12049 4 010 8 005 9 358 11 347 12049 10690 7 025 8 020 9 006 10 356 10690 9476 8 021 8 025 7 007 10 352 9476 8393 9 017 7*011 7 003 12 340 8393 7427 10 008 6*354 8*360 11 331 7427 6572 10 001 7 351 9*360 8 332 6572 5811 8*357 7 349 10 000 7 348 5811 5126 7*354 7 350 10 360 9 001 5126 4517 6 353 7 350 10 359 10 358 4517 4006 6 349 7 349 10 359 11 351 4006 3612 6 346 7 348 10 359 11 345 3612 3339 5 342 7 348 10 359 10 340 3339 3173 5 341 7 349 9 359 8 337 3173 3078 4 339 6 347 8 358 4*335 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography