DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 74.5 - - 73.6 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 415 - - 169 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2888 - - 4358 - - 3263 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4914 - - 6136 - - 4945 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5950 - - 7420 - - 6325 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1161 - - 1014 - - 1674 - - 1594 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 401 - - 503 - - 340 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 349 - - 012 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 17 - - -7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2688 - - -3538 - - -5576 - - -4917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8638 - - 10958 - - 11901 - - 7996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10148 - - -10451 - - -13084 - - -13792 ODpotential blCL - - - 16098 - - 17871 - - 19409 - - 16870 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 41 - - 29 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 74.5 - - 73.6 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 37.1 - - 32.3 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 72.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 36.7 - - 31.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 319 - - 415 - - 169 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2888 - - 4358 - - 3263 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98758 15 098 11 109 11 095 16 060 98758 91410 24 088 13 110 14 078 15 071 91410 85741 17 086 17 085 17 094 17 081 85741 81010 15 116 13 064 22 066 19 077 81010 76931 16 106 10 102 14 067 18 064 76931 73319 16 101 12 098 8 061 12 066 73319 70045 11 092 12 119 7 099 9 076 70045 67042 7 111 4 136 3 047 7 057 67042 64267 4 111 7 170 4 237 1 044 64267 61589 4 281 7 218 8 259 7 297 61589 58810 7 260 13 235 16 258 17 280 58810 55953 10 296 15 246 21 258 22 272 55953 53243 18 280 20 280 23 279 20 281 53243 50806 30 292 28 294 32 293 31 301 50806 48616 40 298 36 296 41 293 41 295 48616 46618 46 299 40 297 45 293 45 292 46618 44772 48 298 43 297 48 294 48 295 44772 43052 47 297 46 297 49 297 51 298 43052 41440 47 295 48 296 48 298 54 299 41440 39923 47 291 48 296 46 299 54 299 39923 38494 46 289 48 296 46 298 51 297 38494 37121 43 294 45 296 45 299 49 295 37121 35743 43 296 43 301 41 301 46 297 35743 34334 37 299 39 307 39 306 38 299 34334 32895 38 304 39 313 35 311 33 303 32895 31408 43 302 39 315 35 319 30 309 31408 29855 43 298 34 322 33 324 29 317 29855 28237 33 298 30 330 29 332 27 326 28237 26553 25 306 26 331 25 348 24 334 26553 24804 19 308 23 328 24 357 17 342 24804 22995 15 315 21 322 22 351 12 354 22995 21121 13 317 20 317 20 343 14 351 21121 19180 13 314 18 318 17 342 15 346 19180 17210 15 313 16 323 14 351 14 350 17210 15317 14 312 14 330 13 360 15 007 15317 13593 13 311 12 339 11 008 15 023 13593 12057 11 313 10 348 11 016 12 033 12057 10687 10 326 8 001 11 018 10 033 10687 9465 10 342 8 017 9 022 9 028 9465 8377 9 350 7*017 6 016 7 031 8377 7411 6 356 5*357 5 004 6 034 7411 6556 2*002 4 353 5*001 7 030 6556 5797 2*004 5 350 6*006 10 021 5797 5115 2 357 5 348 8 011 12 016 5115 4509 2 357 5 347 8 013 15 014 4509 4000 2 351 5 346 8 014 15 016 4000 3608 2 349 5 345 8 014 14 017 3608 3337 2 345 5 345 8 015 12 018 3337 3172 2 343 5 344 8 015 9*019 3172 3078 2 339 4 342 7 015 5*022 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography