DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 69.0 - - 67.0 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 476 - - 271 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 4479 - - 4387 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4391 - - 6284 - - 6004 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5192 - - 7540 - - 7448 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1308 - - 1185 - - 998 - - 3867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 382 - - 535 - - 441 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 347 - - 353 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4394 - - -3176 - - -2309 - - -6396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9587 - - 10717 - - 9757 - - 9473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13936 - - -11953 - - -11347 - - -17950 ODpotential blCL - - - 19128 - - 19493 - - 18795 - - 21027 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 54 - - 61 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 69.0 - - 67.0 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.6 - - 32.4 - - 34.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 66.3 - - 65.3 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 31.2 - - 33.7 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 476 - - 271 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 4479 - - 4387 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98128 10 293 10 354 10 300 15 305 98128 90698 3 290 10 292 12 325 9 360 90698 84961 6 314 10 287 13 327 5 001 84961 80192 6 350 10 288 12 316 5 358 80192 76093 8 014 5 304 7 303 7 322 76093 72492 7 005 5 310 3 335 5 315 72492 69237 8 311 9 299 8 318 5 328 69237 66220 15 309 14 289 16 285 11 304 66220 63404 17 294 15 291 19 289 17 305 63404 60687 16 292 16 294 19 294 16 304 60687 57866 23 299 17 301 19 306 15 315 57866 54949 29 303 29 313 28 323 28 328 54949 52188 38 310 38 309 37 313 39 312 52188 49725 41 312 41 317 37 320 33 309 49725 47549 38 322 46 331 45 338 48 345 47549 45622 51 343 62 347 78 343 65 346 45622 43870 82 342 83 343 70 344 62 348 43870 42235 86 329 85 341 67 351 61 350 42235 40699 69 326 78 338 72 358 60 350 40699 39250 55 348 65 338 72 355 60 350 39250 37881 66 005 62 354 70 353 60 347 37881 36559 66 003 70 359 66 349 59 341 36559 35221 59 356 64 352 62 340 58 334 35221 33838 57 349 62 341 61 330 56 332 33838 32414 59 343 63 335 61 328 54 333 32414 30935 62 340 63 334 62 330 53 333 30935 29392 64 342 64 335 61 331 51 330 29392 27784 62 344 63 334 60 329 51 326 27784 26113 57 343 60 334 61 326 52 323 26113 24381 50 337 58 331 60 322 54 321 24381 22590 47 331 58 330 59 322 56 322 22590 20736 47 328 61 334 60 326 57 320 20736 18814 42 323 57 337 58 330 53 320 18814 16866 35 321 45 333 50 331 47 323 16866 14999 31 321 38 326 42 329 43 326 14999 13306 28 324 34 321 38 327 41 327 13306 11803 24 332 32 321 35 325 38 326 11803 10468 18 337 28 324 34 324 34 324 10468 9281 15 341 23 328 26 326 29 328 9281 8227 14 345 17*334 15*337 27 340 8227 7293 16 348 14*343 15*347 27 347 7293 6466 17 348 14 345 15 350 27 348 6466 5731 17*346 14 347 16 353 27 347 5731 5068 15*344 14 347 16 354 26 346 5068 4478 14 343 14 348 16 355 25 345 4478 3981 14 342 14 349 16 356 23 344 3981 3597 13 341 13 348 15 356 20 343 3597 3331 12 340 13 348 15 356 17 341 3331 3170 11 339 12 347 14 356 14 340 3170 3077 9 337 10 347 11 356 7*337 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography