DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 349 - - 100 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1573 - - 3459 - - 2759 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3858 - - 5386 - - 4284 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4635 - - 6522 - - 5821 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3860 - - 2085 - - 1484 - - 1096 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 442 - - 271 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 002 - - 360 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -18 - - -13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6931 - - -6157 - - -6310 - - -5133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11566 - - 12679 - - 12132 - - 8212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14363 - - -13501 - - -13030 - - -14304 ODpotential blCL - - - 18998 - - 20023 - - 18851 - - 17382 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 25 - - 27 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 35.3 - - 36.2 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 78.3 - - 77.8 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 34.6 - - 35.7 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 349 - - 100 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1573 - - 3459 - - 2759 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98048 1 221 8 187 14 245 8 276 98048 90741 6 344 5 228 4 229 2 009 90741 85098 2 153 5 269 1 124 6 078 85098 80407 8 137 4 262 7 357 8 028 80407 76380 4 061 2 112 3 354 12 001 76380 72841 6 116 3 035 4 084 7 048 72841 69636 6 096 3 010 6 026 6 041 69636 66691 2 338 3 297 6 006 4 164 66691 63953 3 251 6 272 12 310 1 296 63953 61298 3 207 8 213 10 268 11 284 61298 58547 12 309 6 306 6 264 12 281 58547 55711 22 286 23 301 20 303 21 315 55711 53007 18 292 25 292 27 301 30 305 53007 50562 25 334 25 322 28 319 29 317 50562 48362 38 331 34 322 36 318 37 319 48362 46358 44 329 37 322 41 316 42 318 46358 44520 46 332 40 327 39 324 38 325 44520 42826 46 340 35 342 35 336 36 337 42826 41250 46 350 35 357 33 351 33 350 41250 39775 43 005 36 005 33 359 29 003 39775 38390 46 018 39 008 33 359 28 007 38390 37059 49 017 41 011 32 360 28 004 37059 35715 49 011 40 011 32 003 28 359 35715 34328 50 005 39 011 32 005 26 357 34328 32899 55 358 41 001 31 005 25 001 32899 31414 56 360 42 354 30 001 23 003 31414 29862 52 007 40 356 32 356 21 353 29862 28243 49 012 37 004 31 357 22 346 28243 26558 47 016 35 009 29 356 22 342 26558 24812 45 017 35 008 30 347 24 333 24812 23010 45 017 36 005 31 353 27 337 23010 21146 45 018 36 012 31 360 28 345 21146 19212 45 018 35 021 30 009 26 356 19212 17246 40 022 33 026 29 024 23 006 17246 15354 34 033 28 029 28 030 22 017 15354 13632 28 043 23 031 24 031 19 023 13632 12100 23 047 19 030 20 031 15 029 12100 10734 18 041 16 024 17 030 12 037 10734 9514 14 022 16 013 15 025 11 046 9514 8422 10 360 17 007 15 017 12 049 8422 7449 9 352 17 004 16 007 14 041 7449 6586 10 351 17*002 15 359 18 030 6586 5820 10 352 17*001 15*357 21 022 5820 5132 9*354 17 001 15*358 20 019 5132 4521 9*353 16 002 15 359 17 017 4521 4008 8 350 16 002 15 360 15 012 4008 3613 8 349 15 003 14 000 13 007 3613 3340 7 347 14 003 13 000 10 005 3340 3173 7 344 13 003 12 000 8 006 3173 3078 6 343 10 003 9 001 5*013 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography