DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 81.7 - - 84.9 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 326 - - 207 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2473 - - 2993 - - 4241 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4634 - - 5004 - - 5764 - - 3063 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5536 - - 6056 - - 7304 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1422 - - 1881 - - 1866 - - 3504 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 410 - - 396 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 34 - - 30 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 238 - - 269 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 8 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3545 - - -3489 - - -4452 - - -6885 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9081 - - 9545 - - 11756 - - 9964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7948 - - -8446 - - -9257 - - -13378 ODpotential blCL - - - 13484 - - 14502 - - 16561 - - 16457 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 94 - - 86 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 81.7 - - 84.9 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.5 - - 44.0 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 79.7 - - 83.3 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 50.2 - - 43.6 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 326 - - 207 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2473 - - 2993 - - 4241 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 75 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99204 33 107 36 102 34 117 27 101 99204 91705 36 109 32 105 32 110 28 092 91705 85933 34 099 28 105 27 095 30 092 85933 81176 25 092 21 101 25 078 31 095 81176 77092 22 091 17 101 20 081 26 090 77092 73475 20 084 19 099 17 095 17 086 73475 70195 14 083 16 101 18 089 10 084 70195 67190 9 093 11 123 13 089 10 074 67190 64415 7 130 8 145 7 101 8 082 64415 61742 8 169 7 178 8 184 5 150 61742 58955 13 172 12 211 13 216 10 200 58955 56059 13 205 27 217 28 226 22 226 56059 53306 29 230 30 214 31 229 33 234 53306 50844 43 239 44 236 45 243 47 246 50844 48659 55 240 55 232 55 241 58 245 48659 46696 60 236 50 232 49 237 52 238 46696 44901 59 233 53 245 51 246 51 244 44901 43238 54 234 58 246 57 247 55 248 43238 41681 52 238 59 237 56 242 56 244 41681 40212 55 236 54 233 58 240 53 239 40212 38822 57 231 54 230 56 233 50 238 38822 37478 55 227 54 228 50 232 47 236 37478 36116 51 228 52 226 46 237 46 230 36116 34707 48 231 51 226 43 239 45 232 34707 33255 46 234 49 227 39 237 46 239 33255 31744 45 237 45 227 37 236 41 239 31744 30167 46 240 40 231 33 239 31 229 30167 28529 48 246 39 232 30 240 29 236 28529 26825 46 239 38 233 32 236 31 244 26825 25055 42 238 37 231 33 232 36 242 25055 23225 29 240 36 229 31 231 34 240 23225 21336 24 222 37 223 28 235 28 239 21336 19381 23 215 32 228 25 234 20 248 19381 17397 18 217 22 236 18 231 11 250 17397 15488 13 223 14 240 10 221 8 224 15488 13751 12 217 7 242 6 215 5 217 13751 12204 13 207 5 223 5 221 2 326 12204 10823 13 207 7 202 7 224 4 339 10823 9589 12 213 9 197 7 225 4 297 9589 8485 10 214 9 188 4 207 4 226 8485 7504 8 212 7 168 1*193 5 178 7504 6634 6 206 5*142 1*288 3 177 6634 5862 4*180 3*144 1 289 2 203 5862 5164 3*159 1 201 2 273 0 046 5164 4544 3 163 2 246 3 270 2 039 4544 4024 3 174 3 251 3 265 3 036 4024 3622 3 181 4 252 3 263 3 027 3622 3344 3 188 4 254 4 261 2 018 3344 3175 3 190 4 254 4 259 2*011 3175 3079 3 194 4 253 3 260 1*359 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography