DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1004z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.0 - - 85.5 - - 90.3 - - 90.3 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 342 - - 436 - - 229 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4835 - - 8851 - - 9331 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 6447 - - 9769 - - 9789 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 7897 - - 11914 - - 12394 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1283 - - 3109 - - 1431 - - 1191 - - 4926 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 492 - - 652 - - 538 - - 11 W* B/S 2 - - 30 - - 52 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 276 - - 324 - - 318 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 16 - - 35 - - 54 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7524 - - -4614 - - -1964 - - -2039 - - -8077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10603 - - 12511 - - 13878 - - 14433 - - 11156 sfcLCL ODpotential -12107 - - -8665 - - -5049 - - -5469 - - -12673 ODpotential blCL 15186 - - 16562 - - 16963 - - 17863 - - 15752 blCL maxRH 41 - - 46 - - 53 - - 56 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 77.0 - - 85.5 - - 90.3 - - 90.3 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 41.1 - - 39.6 - - 37.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.9 - - 83.2 - - 87.7 - - 88.7 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 40.2 - - 38.5 - - 36.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 342 - - 436 - - 229 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4835 - - 8851 - - 9331 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98754 30 099 32 118 27 109 23 110 24 104 98754 91250 23 091 27 097 24 113 18 109 25 104 91250 85479 23 104 20 097 20 102 21 115 23 093 85479 80706 26 100 20 117 15 106 14 103 16 104 80706 76611 22 094 20 106 15 112 13 100 19 109 76611 73000 14 086 16 102 16 102 21 100 18 106 73000 69737 11 100 14 113 12 112 15 085 19 103 69737 66743 12 115 11 121 9 125 7 092 15 089 66743 63986 10 137 10 140 6 140 6 107 6 121 63986 61340 6 141 7 164 9 169 6 183 8 154 61340 58590 6 201 10 235 8 243 6 255 3 166 58590 55752 9 264 13 253 14 260 14 271 10 279 55752 53066 18 283 19 274 22 278 20 281 17 277 53066 50654 26 288 26 278 27 286 25 286 24 276 50654 48480 32 289 31 283 34 290 32 285 30 279 48480 46490 36 289 38 285 40 288 37 283 36 276 46490 44649 41 294 39 287 43 291 40 285 36 277 44649 42931 39 293 37 287 43 288 42 286 34 284 42931 41320 36 288 34 288 38 286 40 286 34 288 41320 39807 28 279 30 287 33 283 33 284 32 291 39807 38388 19 280 24 279 27 283 28 284 28 289 38388 37029 14 287 16 272 21 270 22 286 22 288 37029 35665 11 284 11 263 16 255 19 275 19 285 35665 34263 9 277 10 249 14 242 15 261 17 274 34263 32830 6 272 8 243 13 232 13 253 14 256 32830 31352 6 282 6 252 12 226 11 242 14 237 31352 29816 8 301 5 311 10 227 10 225 13 217 29816 28219 10 306 6 320 7 236 8 214 14 204 28219 26556 12 303 8 307 4 229 7 205 14 194 26556 24830 11 295 9 295 6 251 7 220 13 198 24830 23042 11 281 9 289 9 273 7 243 11 200 23042 21191 6 284 4 304 6 280 5 249 5 182 21191 19277 2 344 4 010 1 290 4 209 2 283 19277 17329 4 029 5 016 3 046 3 136 3 277 17329 15448 3 084 2 031 3 052 5 096 3 149 15448 13729 4 113 4 141 2 075 6*044 6 112 13729 12195 4 090 4 114 3*039 7*015 7 096 12195 10827 4 066 5 071 4*034 7 010 6 093 10827 9603 3 067 4 050 4 032 7 351 4 064 9603 8506 1 095 2*347 3 021 6 332 5 031 8506 7526 2 228 2*305 2 355 6 317 6 014 7526 6654 3 227 2 287 3 312 7 303 7 004 6654 5877 3 235 2 285 3 293 7 291 8 356 5877 5176 2 256 3 278 4 284 7 282 8 354 5176 4552 2 321 3 273 4 277 7 277 10 346 4552 4029 5 343 4 269 5 273 8 274 11 342 4029 3625 6 345 4 267 5 270 8 272 11 338 3625 3346 6 343 4 264 5 269 8 270 10 335 3346 3176 5*337 4 264 5 268 7 270 8*332 3176 3079 3*336 4 262 5 268 6 269 5*331 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography