DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 83.7 - - 81.5 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 413 - - 183 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 4386 - - 3298 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4387 - - 6161 - - 5012 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5252 - - 7449 - - 6361 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1967 - - 1592 - - 2644 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 363 - - 505 - - 351 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 253 - - 308 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6071 - - -5995 - - -5238 - - -5921 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11323 - - 13444 - - 11600 - - 9000 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14150 - - -13723 - - -12727 - - -15777 ODpotential blCL - - - 19402 - - 21172 - - 19088 - - 18855 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 44 - - 36 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 83.7 - - 81.5 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 35.4 - - 41.3 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.9 - - 81.2 - - 80.0 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 34.7 - - 40.9 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 413 - - 183 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 4386 - - 3298 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98739 7 208 3 192 3 168 1 082 98739 91348 12 177 9 176 8 180 6 214 91348 85627 9 151 8 162 6 216 3 107 85627 80831 3 078 6 118 8 174 3 028 80831 76704 1 163 2 050 6 105 5 139 76704 73084 3 201 2 222 7 042 8 103 73084 69823 3 271 4 281 10 359 11 071 69823 66833 3 152 6 256 9 322 8 025 66833 64080 3 275 7 255 10 289 13 324 64080 61448 6 287 9 250 11 263 17 293 61448 58727 13 294 12 264 13 240 17 258 58727 55912 21 278 23 270 22 258 23 262 55912 53240 29 267 33 267 37 274 34 273 53240 50849 35 277 38 273 46 273 42 275 50849 48700 46 283 43 270 51 264 48 268 48700 46733 47 279 49 268 55 262 52 263 46733 44919 46 272 52 267 58 263 58 264 44919 43235 44 267 51 262 60 264 64 265 43235 41657 42 264 49 256 58 264 64 263 41657 40169 41 264 48 254 55 264 61 262 40169 38766 42 267 48 259 53 263 56 260 38766 37412 42 269 47 263 53 261 54 258 37412 36042 42 268 47 261 52 259 53 255 36042 34625 43 266 50 257 51 256 51 253 34625 33168 45 264 50 251 50 253 48 252 33168 31658 43 258 46 246 48 252 45 255 31658 30085 38 261 40 249 44 250 43 258 30085 28450 37 264 40 258 41 254 42 255 28450 26748 38 261 41 258 41 256 43 251 26748 24982 36 255 39 252 41 255 43 251 24982 23156 32 246 37 245 40 251 42 250 23156 21266 28 234 36 239 39 246 40 248 21266 19308 28 225 33 237 37 245 36 247 19308 17320 26 229 29 240 31 246 29 251 17320 15412 23 241 24 246 23 251 22 263 15412 13679 20 249 20 255 17 266 19 277 13679 12135 16 248 16 260 14 275 17 286 12135 10758 13 237 12 255 9 267 13 283 10758 9531 12 225 9 244 1 240 10 270 9531 8439 13 215 5 232 4 067 6 235 8439 7467 14 211 4*234 4 052 5 182 7467 6604 13 213 4*242 3*031 3 179 6604 5836 10*216 5 249 3*339 1 249 5836 5143 6*217 6 253 4 318 2 288 5143 4527 4 230 7 254 6 308 4 305 4527 4011 5 237 7 255 7 305 7 319 4011 3613 5 240 8 256 8 302 11 327 3613 3339 5 242 8 254 8 301 11 331 3339 3173 5 242 8 255 7 301 9 331 3173 3078 5 242 7 254 6 299 5*334 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography