DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 58.6 - - 63.5 - - 59.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - 189 - - 257 - - 30 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 769 - - 1716 - - 820 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3987 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3830 - - 4777 - - 3881 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 180 - - 846 - - 1279 - - 1055 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 218 - - 315 - - 123 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 020 - - 011 - - 020 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -17 - - -12 - - -22 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -383 - - -3259 - - -3987 - - -3507 - - -3601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3460 - - 7090 - - 8764 - - 7388 - - 6678 sfcLCL ODpotential -9285 - - -9816 - - -10168 - - -9877 - - -11967 ODpotential blCL 12362 - - 13646 - - 14945 - - 13758 - - 15044 blCL maxRH 83 - - 51 - - 42 - - 50 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 58.6 - - 63.5 - - 59.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.5 - - 38.4 - - 36.0 - - 38.3 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 57.2 - - 61.8 - - 59.4 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 38.0 - - 35.4 - - 37.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - 189 - - 257 - - 30 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 769 - - 1716 - - 820 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 47 285 54 282 48 302 40 286 40 290 96545 89533 28 296 28 281 32 288 30 296 40 308 89533 84077 23 289 20 300 16 271 27 286 29 308 84077 79515 22 284 22 292 13 279 22 276 22 301 79515 75580 22 298 19 291 15 275 18 280 19 290 75580 72101 24 305 19 311 14 285 13 287 16 291 72101 68935 23 306 18 301 18 292 17 304 17 318 68935 66007 22 301 17 302 17 301 18 306 19 315 66007 63287 19 296 14 312 14 302 15 300 20 299 63287 60650 17 311 15 311 14 300 15 297 18 293 60650 57893 24 308 19 298 18 284 17 284 18 300 57893 55025 28 289 22 288 22 283 21 302 17 306 55025 52287 34 280 31 280 29 293 27 308 18 327 52287 49828 37 270 40 270 37 295 35 313 22 337 49828 47624 43 275 44 274 37 294 39 302 27 344 47624 45618 52 281 43 274 40 287 31 295 36 333 45618 43776 47 278 40 279 38 286 33 316 38 319 43776 42072 40 283 42 284 35 295 42 312 29 306 42072 40480 40 289 43 288 41 301 36 306 25 306 40480 38989 43 289 42 288 46 297 29 309 25 334 38989 37597 45 286 41 287 42 289 32 326 43 012 37597 36278 44 282 39 289 33 288 39 341 73 020 36278 34955 47 278 37 291 34 298 39 347 86 022 34955 33592 57 277 37 296 34 298 35 346 82 023 33592 32190 61 273 43 299 29 314 33 352 70 026 32190 30740 57 272 49 296 33 340 36 356 50 021 30740 29235 52 277 47 289 38 343 37 353 40 003 29235 27672 41 276 41 282 37 340 37 347 35 345 27672 26048 35 277 37 288 32 342 37 343 36 339 26048 24360 30 288 38 302 28 347 36 344 40 338 24360 22611 27 297 38 311 28 355 34 344 41 337 22611 20797 28 303 36 318 29 357 32 345 39 336 20797 18911 33 312 35 327 32 357 32 348 35 337 18911 16991 34 328 33 340 31 358 31 357 30 337 16991 15140 33 343 32 351 29 358 30 004 25 340 15140 13453 32 356 30 000 27 001 30 006 23 352 13453 11947 30 012 27 008 24 013 30 009 23 006 11947 10604 28 027 23 015 21 022 28 015 23 019 10604 9403 25 034 17 019 18 019 26 022 23 027 9403 8329 20 035 11 017 17 012 24 028 23 031 8329 7373 15 034 9 012 16 009 22 029 22 031 7373 6524 13 031 8 012 14 010 21 025 21 029 6524 5770 12 031 9 017 14 013 22 017 22 026 5770 5092 12 031 11 020 14*013 23 012 23 024 5092 4489 14 030 13 021 13*012 22 012 24 024 4489 3985 15 028 14*021 13 012 18*016 23 025 3985 3598 16 027 13*021 12 011 16*019 21 026 3598 3331 15 026 12 020 11 011 15 020 18 027 3331 3169 12*025 11 020 10 011 13 020 14*029 3169 3077 7*027 8 020 8 010 8 020 7*033 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography