DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 80.6 - - - - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 256 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1504 - - 5377 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3714 - - 6736 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4566 - - 8439 - - - - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4459 - - 2974 - - - - - 3589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 461 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 26 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 3 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 080 - - - - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8058 - - -5316 - - - - - -8427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12624 - - 13756 - - - - - 11506 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13294 - - -9868 - - - - - -15018 ODpotential blCL - - - 17860 - - 18307 - - - - - 18096 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 30 - - - - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 80.6 - - - - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 30.7 - - - - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 78.7 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 29.9 - - - - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 256 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1504 - - 5377 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97730 24 273 21 281 25 274 97730 90442 17 287 17 264 16 274 90442 84830 11 278 15 263 10 290 84830 80163 4 231 9 254 9 298 80163 76146 4 196 5 258 8 289 76146 72609 5 211 3 244 5 293 72609 69416 4 253 5 295 6 321 69416 66484 5 235 7 265 7 321 66484 63773 9 273 11 267 16 310 63773 61168 9 241 15 229 18 278 61168 58451 14 295 11 275 20 281 58451 55628 28 276 29 280 27 278 55628 52945 30 262 35 266 36 275 52945 50529 32 266 38 262 43 270 50529 48349 35 272 37 266 45 267 48349 46355 35 284 33 274 44 268 46355 44513 35 297 31 287 44 275 44513 42801 33 310 33 299 46 283 42801 41201 28 319 29 308 44 288 41201 39702 21 332 25 316 37 295 39702 38298 21 353 20 328 28 301 38298 36950 20 003 18 350 25 305 36950 35589 20 031 19 002 19 315 35589 34185 28 032 22 020 15 330 34185 32742 29 041 27 028 14 001 32742 31244 26 051 27 035 17 017 31244 29683 23 058 22 045 21 029 29683 28059 24 060 12 092 19 034 28059 26378 18 066 13 142 8 034 26378 24643 6 123 13 163 0 232 24643 22858 10 163 8 178 1 256 22858 21013 9 112 4 159 1 113 21013 19100 9 087 7 073 4 031 19100 17154 10 100 10 065 9 035 17154 15281 10 109 9 073 10 047 15281 13577 7 115 6 076 13 057 13577 12062 6 106 5 068 13 064 12062 10711 7 084 5 055 11 048 10711 9503 8 070 6*042 8 013 9503 8422 9 062 6*038 5 344 8422 7456 10 058 5 038 4 301 7456 6598 9 069 4 045 4 266 6598 5833 8 093 3 082 5 248 5833 5143 10*120 3 112 5 240 5143 4529 11*133 4 120 5 237 4529 4014 12 136 4 125 5 235 4014 3616 11 135 4 129 5 228 3616 3341 10 135 4 130 4 217 3341 3174 9 134 4 130 3 211 3174 3078 8 134 4 130 1*211 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography