DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 69.7 - - 67.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 447 - - 238 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1416 - - 2569 - - 1956 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3852 - - 4777 - - 4143 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4477 - - 5631 - - 5018 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 839 - - 2416 - - 1329 - - 929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 436 - - 323 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 209 - - 225 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1684 - - -1964 - - -2208 - - -1155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6162 - - 7595 - - 7226 - - 4233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5319 - - -4379 - - -5164 - - -6220 ODpotential blCL - - - 9796 - - 10010 - - 10182 - - 9297 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 68 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 69.7 - - 67.4 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 46.3 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 67.1 - - 65.7 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 447 - - 238 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1416 - - 2569 - - 1956 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97499 13 250 19 240 25 248 28 262 97499 90053 17 256 17 257 20 266 14 254 90053 84387 13 275 14 255 17 274 14 262 84387 79730 12 304 11 276 13 277 13 271 79730 75725 9 295 16 302 12 311 9 309 75725 72171 4 302 19 300 18 310 14 308 72171 68951 7 313 14 294 17 300 15 306 68951 65983 12 315 9 297 19 296 19 297 65983 63222 17 301 15 286 23 282 23 282 63222 60544 19 292 18 281 20 278 22 280 60544 57739 22 290 22 287 20 284 22 278 57739 54814 30 281 32 282 27 278 25 276 54814 52017 39 275 40 275 36 275 32 277 52017 49500 44 272 45 272 45 269 41 277 49500 47251 45 271 44 269 50 260 52 266 47251 45226 46 269 45 271 53 260 56 259 45226 43383 46 265 51 267 58 260 60 256 43383 41690 46 267 56 262 66 258 65 253 41690 40126 49 268 57 264 66 261 69 255 40126 38672 48 264 54 264 66 266 70 259 38672 37317 43 257 46 255 63 268 70 261 37317 36024 47 254 38 246 53 264 66 260 36024 34722 45 249 39 249 42 252 53 258 34722 33381 43 248 41 249 39 244 38 253 33381 32002 42 245 38 244 38 241 34 246 32002 30569 40 239 36 238 36 240 34 237 30569 29070 37 235 35 234 34 238 34 232 29070 27506 33 231 33 234 34 237 32 231 27506 25880 27 227 30 232 31 234 30 226 25880 24193 24 223 27 225 25 226 28 219 24193 22450 23 227 24 216 23 215 27 211 22450 20647 22 230 23 215 23 205 28 205 20647 18779 21 228 23 211 24 199 31 196 18779 16882 20 214 24 201 26 192 32 188 16882 15055 19 193 23 190 27 188 32 179 15055 13390 21 180 23 181 28 184 36 170 13390 11904 23 183 24 180 32 180 36 166 11904 10575 25 183 28 184 34 178 35 165 10575 9385 26 180 30 186 33 180 33 168 9385 8318 25 176 29 189 32 184 32 175 8318 7366 24 173 27 190 30 190 32 184 7366 6520 22 171 23 191 28 195 31 192 6520 5767 19 169 18*195 22 200 31 199 5767 5090 16 170 14*202 15*212 27 207 5090 4489 11*181 13 207 12*222 20 219 4489 3986 9*197 13 209 12 225 16 236 3986 3600 9 200 12 211 12 226 13 247 3600 3333 8 203 12 212 11 227 11 252 3333 3171 8 205 11 213 11 227 9*253 3171 3077 7 206 9 213 9 228 6*255 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography