DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.7 - - 83.8 - - 89.8 - - 91.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 305 - - 416 - - 217 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1987 - - 3686 - - 4073 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4242 - - 5621 - - 5675 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5050 - - 6749 - - 7136 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 702 - - 1411 - - 1344 - - 2075 - - 1999 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 353 - - 480 - - 401 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 331 - - 258 - - 289 - - 329 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9838 - - -7460 - - -7159 - - -7024 - - -8394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12916 - - 12510 - - 13908 - - 14160 - - 11474 sfcLCL ODpotential -18876 - - -15020 - - -13297 - - -12476 - - -15231 ODpotential blCL 21954 - - 20070 - - 20046 - - 19612 - - 18310 blCL maxRH 41 - - 38 - - 45 - - 38 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.7 - - 83.8 - - 89.8 - - 91.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 39.9 - - 39.4 - - 39.6 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.5 - - 81.8 - - 87.1 - - 89.5 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 38.8 - - 38.2 - - 38.5 - - 41.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 305 - - 416 - - 217 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1987 - - 3686 - - 4073 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99254 34 107 27 113 23 094 25 107 22 117 99254 91720 28 105 25 106 25 102 22 116 24 110 91720 85885 27 108 26 105 28 118 18 119 25 099 85885 81049 25 111 24 103 23 117 19 118 22 095 81049 76922 24 104 16 114 23 126 19 105 23 105 76922 73296 22 119 16 141 14 134 18 111 19 103 73296 70015 21 117 19 134 13 150 12 128 10 107 70015 67014 11 105 18 124 18 155 9 167 7 182 67014 64247 10 191 11 167 14 159 10 187 7 183 64247 61579 18 199 19 195 15 212 16 185 14 198 61579 58817 12 200 19 187 20 210 13 199 16 201 58817 55982 19 251 21 210 28 218 31 232 28 228 55982 53307 33 243 31 232 33 223 42 221 39 226 53307 50912 44 241 44 238 44 229 47 226 45 225 50912 48755 52 242 51 240 46 235 52 230 49 227 48755 46777 55 240 53 240 48 237 52 230 52 230 46777 44947 54 238 53 237 48 235 49 230 51 229 44947 43239 55 237 57 237 52 234 47 232 49 228 43239 41634 57 237 59 236 56 233 51 233 51 229 41634 40125 57 240 58 239 56 235 54 233 55 231 40125 38706 54 245 53 243 53 240 50 236 55 234 38706 37344 44 249 44 247 48 242 44 239 47 237 37344 35973 34 251 33 248 40 245 38 242 37 241 35973 34564 30 250 26 252 32 244 33 241 32 239 34564 33125 26 254 23 257 28 240 30 233 32 235 33125 31641 21 274 21 256 24 232 27 226 27 231 31641 30099 21 279 18 251 19 231 24 220 23 230 30099 28494 23 266 22 251 21 251 21 225 28 233 28494 26823 27 258 25 245 29 247 23 242 30 226 26823 25086 30 260 31 242 34 244 27 244 24 225 25086 23286 33 264 36 252 34 253 27 246 19 226 23286 21415 37 269 39 268 32 271 22 262 15 230 21415 19468 38 278 36 279 28 283 18 274 11 240 19468 17484 31 285 27 285 22 286 14 273 9 246 17484 15571 24 289 20 285 17 279 13 270 8 256 15571 13828 20 295 17 285 13 271 12 263 8 258 13828 12274 19 304 15 289 11 266 11 247 9 253 12274 10887 19 312 13 296 10 265 10 236 10 249 10887 9646 16 314 12 300 9 267 7 229 11 253 9646 8536 13 308 10 300 6 275 1 142 9 250 8536 7546 11 300 8 296 4*304 3*056 5 209 7546 6668 8 294 6 289 4*304 3*039 5 179 6668 5886 6 289 4 282 5 301 3 009 2 148 5886 5182 5 289 3*271 6 294 4 339 3 041 5182 4556 3 290 4*264 7 288 5 321 5 020 4556 4031 2 299 4 260 8 284 5 313 7 011 4031 3626 3 318 5 257 8 280 6 310 7 001 3626 3347 3 317 5 254 8 278 6 308 7 353 3347 3177 3*315 5 253 8 277 5 306 5*349 3177 3079 2*331 5 253 7 277 5 305 4*345 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography