DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 85.5 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 435 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1809 - - 3734 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4152 - - 5669 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4871 - - 6796 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 813 - - 1437 - - - - - 2720 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 488 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 197 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3886 - - -5222 - - - - - -6422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8757 - - 12019 - - - - - 9502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9882 - - -10514 - - - - - -12739 ODpotential blCL - - - 14753 - - 17310 - - - - - 15818 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 55 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 85.5 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 43.5 - - - - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 82.7 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 42.5 - - - - - 46.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 365 - - 435 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1809 - - 3734 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99478 45 110 35 099 36 092 99478 91923 33 107 33 110 33 102 91923 86111 27 106 30 111 32 104 86111 81313 27 102 25 105 27 103 81313 77201 25 097 24 103 24 104 77201 73581 24 090 22 102 21 091 73581 70305 20 101 18 100 17 078 70305 67295 15 124 12 135 16 094 67295 64516 7 129 16 130 14 086 64516 61828 7 167 11 184 7 074 61828 59047 14 180 22 185 8 177 59047 56193 22 196 26 197 21 192 56193 53495 35 188 42 202 40 208 53495 51094 38 198 46 195 49 206 51094 48950 48 209 49 198 50 210 48950 46995 51 214 51 207 50 211 46995 45181 54 217 53 219 47 219 45181 43482 55 219 56 221 51 226 43482 41885 58 222 58 221 56 229 41885 40380 61 223 60 224 59 230 40380 38957 61 221 63 226 63 236 38957 37583 61 219 63 226 64 238 37583 36193 61 219 60 220 60 234 36193 34756 61 219 58 216 58 230 34756 33281 58 216 58 215 54 226 33281 31758 54 212 55 219 50 223 31758 30176 49 213 47 221 44 221 30176 28536 43 214 41 220 37 217 28536 26835 39 213 40 220 33 211 26835 25072 38 213 37 217 29 207 25072 23251 35 210 31 210 24 201 23251 21366 30 204 26 198 22 191 21366 19412 27 194 26 189 21 181 19412 17424 27 186 26 189 21 177 17424 15509 27 185 26 192 20 178 15509 13763 21 186 23 192 19 185 13763 12207 15 188 18 190 17 191 12207 10820 12 188 14 185 17 193 10820 9583 10 185 11 180 16 191 9583 8482 9 173 9 171 14 180 8482 7502 11 160 7*162 11 152 7502 6632 11 152 5*165 7 132 6632 5859 11 158 5 175 3 133 5859 5161 9*166 5 189 1 222 5161 4542 7*180 6 203 4 254 4542 4022 7 191 6 209 5 252 4022 3621 7 195 6 214 6 250 3621 3344 7 200 6 218 6 249 3344 3176 7 201 6 218 5*248 3176 3079 6 203 6 219 4*247 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography