DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 67.2 - - 74.0 - - 73.7 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 177 - - 322 - - 138 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1211 - - 3925 - - 4413 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3522 - - 5723 - - 5696 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4273 - - 6987 - - 7475 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 443 - - 1296 - - 1414 - - 1115 - - 2163 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 253 - - 452 - - 356 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 20 - - 60 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 186 - - 170 - - 120 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 24 - - 28 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3977 - - -3251 - - -1894 - - -1469 - - -4767 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7055 - - 7524 - - 8882 - - 8945 - - 7846 sfcLCL ODpotential -11487 - - -8294 - - -5578 - - -4992 - - -9974 ODpotential blCL 14565 - - 12567 - - 12565 - - 12467 - - 13052 blCL maxRH 49 - - 46 - - 51 - - 59 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 67.2 - - 74.0 - - 73.7 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 45.0 - - 45.7 - - 45.1 - - 40.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 66.0 - - 71.9 - - 72.5 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 43.8 - - 44.5 - - 44.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 177 - - 322 - - 138 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1211 - - 3925 - - 4413 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 42 286 34 304 43 288 44 284 48 286 96631 89372 31 302 24 281 34 279 35 283 36 296 89372 83877 18 305 22 271 29 288 27 299 26 305 83877 79331 19 297 18 297 22 285 20 304 19 313 79331 75409 20 287 16 313 17 272 17 299 18 318 75409 71941 16 285 12 299 15 272 17 291 20 321 71941 68793 15 272 10 285 15 279 18 288 19 327 68793 65881 19 275 13 293 16 279 20 288 16 307 65881 63175 24 268 18 286 17 270 20 270 19 284 63175 60549 25 265 21 281 19 273 20 263 23 267 60549 57797 32 263 29 266 28 271 25 267 24 263 57797 54928 39 249 35 248 36 257 32 264 29 262 54928 52178 43 243 40 238 43 251 37 253 33 257 52178 49697 44 244 44 237 46 248 38 254 33 261 49697 47473 45 245 42 240 44 244 38 255 36 266 47473 45466 45 250 36 249 40 241 35 257 37 262 45466 43645 39 254 35 261 29 250 33 257 30 263 43645 41989 31 256 30 265 25 261 30 257 28 255 41989 40467 28 276 26 278 21 280 24 249 21 246 40467 39047 29 281 26 281 22 285 17 262 15 241 39047 37707 23 282 21 290 19 284 16 260 13 245 37707 36411 23 285 16 299 14 287 13 240 14 251 36411 35095 22 281 13 309 10 290 14 236 14 250 35095 33734 20 279 13 303 7 299 18 248 15 253 33734 32333 20 283 15 287 10 279 22 252 19 255 32333 30879 22 280 15 278 16 266 26 253 24 261 30879 29360 24 272 14 278 17 260 29 257 26 263 29360 27778 25 274 16 276 15 252 29 256 25 258 27778 26134 25 269 15 269 15 238 29 256 24 253 26134 24433 26 265 17 264 16 238 27 257 22 252 24433 22676 23 267 19 262 16 248 20 252 19 246 22676 20856 16 270 16 260 13 242 16 247 19 240 20856 18967 10 273 10 261 9 226 11 234 13 236 18967 17049 5 281 5 255 6 210 8 203 7 215 17049 15203 3 304 5 244 6 218 5 213 3 208 15203 13519 4 302 5 248 5 240 4 250 2 278 13519 12012 3 276 6 253 4 257 4 276 3 304 12012 10665 3 246 6 241 5 258 5 286 5 305 10665 9457 2 228 6 201 6 227 5 267 6 289 9457 8376 2 230 8 174 8 188 2*199 6 248 8376 7413 5 219 9 165 6*157 2*108 6 200 7413 6560 7 215 9 166 5*150 2 105 7 179 6560 5802 7 216 8 172 4 153 2 107 6 172 5802 5119 6 222 7 174 4 161 1 113 3 138 5119 4512 3 208 4*164 4 174 1 162 4 067 4512 4002 3 154 3*168 4 184 1 213 7 044 4002 3609 4 149 2 183 4 190 1 233 8 039 3609 3338 3 137 2 193 4 195 1 235 7 039 3338 3173 2*136 2 198 4 195 1 237 5*036 3173 3078 2*060 2 199 4 198 1 241 3*038 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography