DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Hernandez 3047ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 59.4 - - 57.8 - - 47.5 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 387 - - 322 - - 179 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 274 - - 2843 - - 3464 - - 1147 - - 197 BL Depth Hcrit 3047 - - 4928 - - 5345 - - 3458 - - 3047 Hcrit BL Top 3321 - - 5891 - - 6511 - - 4194 - - 3244 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 810 - - 1485 - - 1330 - - 963 - - 1540 Hgt.Variab. W* 87 - - 427 - - 430 - - 248 - - 78 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 214 - - 225 - - 244 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 12 - - 15 - - 10 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2581 - - -1987 - - -810 - - 1131 - - 181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5903 - - 7878 - - 7322 - - 3064 - - 3064 sfcLCL ODpotential -8423 - - -6018 - - -4896 - - 701 - - 98 ODpotential blCL 11744 - - 11909 - - 11407 - - 3493 - - 3146 blCL maxRH 97 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 59.4 - - 57.8 - - 47.5 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 35.4 - - 36.3 - - 45.3 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 - - 46.4 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 35.0 - - 35.8 - - 44.3 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 387 - - 322 - - 179 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 274 - - 2843 - - 3464 - - 1147 - - 197 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 65 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97888 26 096 26 104 21 109 23 108 18 101 97888 90480 28 094 29 099 24 121 19 111 24 100 90480 84782 23 097 29 100 21 126 17 114 24 102 84782 80051 21 106 22 100 20 134 13 122 18 099 80051 75964 19 105 16 116 18 131 12 132 15 103 75964 72353 11 124 14 128 13 145 9 156 10 135 72353 69075 8 148 9 151 10 167 10 155 14 116 69075 66040 11 185 13 198 12 216 14 217 5 224 66040 63215 11 218 13 206 17 225 14 206 10 238 63215 60468 16 253 18 227 19 236 12 220 20 257 60468 57596 23 265 28 254 29 246 29 247 33 258 57596 54626 36 271 36 256 41 257 44 256 40 256 54626 51799 49 276 47 267 43 256 42 259 42 258 51799 49271 59 278 64 277 54 281 55 280 52 271 49271 47023 72 279 82 273 85 273 79 268 70 264 47023 44992 89 279 85 272 89 267 71 256 76 252 44992 43140 100 280 97 272 94 270 58 270 72 254 43140 41435 108 277 107 268 111 264 90 275 87 265 41435 39856 107 276 103 268 114 259 120 270 112 266 39856 38382 102 278 103 272 105 263 128 258 119 259 38382 36999 100 283 104 274 104 264 123 251 118 256 36999 35675 101 286 102 276 103 265 112 252 118 257 35675 34344 99 288 98 277 102 266 105 256 119 259 34344 32977 95 288 95 278 101 268 103 260 120 260 32977 31577 91 287 93 279 99 269 104 264 120 260 31577 30129 89 287 89 280 95 270 109 268 118 260 30129 28619 85 289 85 280 92 272 112 275 109 259 28619 27054 79 293 81 280 88 275 96 274 95 257 27054 25434 69 294 73 281 80 279 73 265 82 252 25434 23764 62 294 62 281 59 278 61 252 77 248 23764 22044 54 295 52 275 44 268 54 244 76 248 22044 20268 44 293 44 269 42 259 46 250 69 253 20268 18425 37 288 38 275 43 256 41 250 55 256 18425 16550 30 280 32 279 41 255 40 245 43 258 16550 14744 22 269 29 266 40 259 43 245 36 263 14744 13100 19 263 28 249 44 264 46 248 30 269 13100 11637 15 259 24 239 44 266 46 255 26 278 11637 10335 11 249 20 232 40 262 46 264 26 287 10335 9172 9 232 16 224 33 247 44 271 28 293 9172 8135 8 218 14 218 26 227 39 274 29 293 8135 7212 8 216 13 216 20*211 32 274 28 286 7212 6394 8 218 12*213 16*207 27 272 25 275 6394 5667 8 223 12*210 15 211 24 266 22 262 5667 5013 9 224 12 209 14 227 23 256 19 250 5013 4432 9 221 12 214 15 231 21*250 18 243 4432 3946 8 217 12 216 15 233 17*245 17 239 3946 3571 7*213 12 218 15 234 15 243 14 237 3571 3312 6*207 12 220 14 235 14 243 12*238 3312 3154 5 204 11 220 13 235 13 243 11*238 3154 3064 3 201 10 221 12 236 11 243 9 239 3064 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography