DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1008z - - 1332z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.3 - - 90.4 - - 98.4 - - 99.0 - - 92.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 157 - - 246 - - 125 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 2059 - - 7385 - - 7271 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit 65 - - 1087 - - 5304 - - 4790 - - 67 Hcrit BL Top 415 - - 2139 - - 7465 - - 7351 - - 83 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 455 - - 2521 - - 1318 - - 1076 - - 6862 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 289 - - 507 - - 409 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 244 - - 242 - - 228 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 16 - - 14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1211 - - -1649 - - 1047 - - 713 - - -4022 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1626 - - 3788 - - 6418 - - 6638 - - 4105 sfcLCL ODpotential -4720 - - -3747 - - -475 - - -2517 - - -5331 ODpotential blCL 5135 - - 5886 - - 7940 - - 9868 - - 5414 blCL maxRH 80 - - 68 - - 78 - - 79 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 1420 - - 2170 - - 1930 - - 2040 - - 3290 CAPE Temp@2m 81.3 - - 90.4 - - 98.4 - - 99.0 - - 92.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.0 - - 73.8 - - 70.4 - - 70.0 - - 74.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.2 - - 89.4 - - 97.0 - - 98.1 - - 93.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.5 - - 72.9 - - 69.4 - - 69.1 - - 74.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 157 - - 246 - - 125 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 335 - - 2059 - - 7385 - - 7271 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 0 - - 12 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 17 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 41 077 43 088 37 104 29 085 36 095 98946 91487 31 081 34 094 30 083 37 091 36 081 91487 85726 30 094 27 092 27 069 38 090 33 070 85726 80958 32 091 25 088 24 082 28 071 29 076 80958 76886 31 082 23 089 25 094 19 051 25 077 76886 73307 28 073 23 082 25 094 14 071 20 062 73307 70064 25 064 23 071 24 090 19 107 13 038 70064 67068 20 062 21 066 21 080 29 113 8 038 67068 64281 16 059 18 069 17 062 29 108 9 101 64281 61598 13 054 16 070 14 038 22 090 16 111 61598 58843 11 055 12 079 11 027 19 038 18 102 58843 56034 12 051 11 075 6 053 24 356 17 062 56034 53382 11 058 11 072 7 091 19 340 14 028 53382 51001 11 081 14 090 9 103 4 341 8 036 51001 48870 14 080 17 084 14 100 14 124 10 114 48870 46931 17 070 18 072 18 090 20 125 14 120 46931 45138 19 072 18 073 19 082 23 135 20 137 45138 43460 19 080 15 089 17 089 29 141 25 139 43460 41880 17 090 14 111 13 111 28 141 26 142 41880 40386 15 095 14 121 11 129 19 127 20 144 40386 38969 11 094 13 125 9 138 13 131 13 120 38969 37591 7 090 9 128 8 144 10 130 10 099 37591 36184 4 121 6 141 6 147 6 136 8 088 36184 34716 3 121 7 157 4 188 5 189 6 072 34716 33190 4 092 7 160 7 198 9 199 2 040 33190 31587 3 103 6 153 8 188 9 206 3 216 31587 29898 4 121 4 157 6 186 7 233 6 218 29898 28125 5 146 4 205 6 232 8 275 3 233 28125 26270 5 167 7 242 10 258 12 292 3 304 26270 24334 2 158 6 257 11 265 13 300 4 328 24334 22325 2 329 5 312 5 272 10 309 4 325 22325 20240 5 260 6 312 3 315 7 321 4 338 20240 18072 7 227 8 321 8 003 8 354 7 013 18072 15863 3 250 10 331 12 003 12 000 9 011 15863 13727 6 309 11 343 12 011 11 359 7 356 13727 11777 8 280 10 332 8 010 9 000 4 338 11777 10041 8 295 12 314 8 353 7 353 4 284 10041 8499 9 291 11 281 12*284 6*281 11 281 8499 7131 6 252 11 257 13*258 8*247 14 272 7131 5917 6 256 11 248 12 251 12 234 14 265 5917 4840 8 289 11 246 12 245 13 231 14 264 4840 3889 10 305 11 250 11 241 14 228 15 258 3889 3049 11 308 9 259 11 238 14 226 16 252 3049 2297 13 308 9*257 10 236 14 225 17 249 2297 1632 14 304 8*250 10 234 14 224 17 247 1632 1078 14 297 7 245 10 232 13 223 16 245 1078 653 12*288 6 242 9 231 13 222 15 243 653 361 7*267 5 238 9 231 12 222 13 242 361 184 6 264 5 239 8 230 11 222 10*240 184 83 5 264 4 238 7 230 9 222 7*239 83 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography