DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 73.3 - - 82.6 - - 84.4 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 140 - - 218 - - 60 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 1493 - - 3364 - - 4755 - - 1 BL Depth Hcrit 64 - - 600 - - 2143 - - 2278 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 80 - - 1573 - - 3444 - - 4835 - - 81 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 171 - - 570 - - 2113 - - 2272 - - 357 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 246 - - 371 - - 278 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 223 - - 212 - - 223 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -696 - - -1250 - - -2436 - - -1642 - - -3494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 776 - - 2823 - - 5881 - - 6477 - - 3575 sfcLCL ODpotential -12558 - - -8986 - - -8341 - - -7188 - - -9133 ODpotential blCL 12638 - - 10559 - - 11785 - - 12023 - - 9214 blCL maxRH 85 - - 70 - - 56 - - 71 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 73.3 - - 82.6 - - 84.4 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 61.4 - - 57.4 - - 56.6 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 72.5 - - 81.3 - - 84.0 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.0 - - 60.5 - - 56.3 - - 55.7 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 140 - - 218 - - 60 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 0 - - 1493 - - 3364 - - 4755 - - 1 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97829 18 035 14 067 15 053 19 083 11 046 97829 90592 21 053 12 062 13 071 13 061 20 062 90592 84999 20 062 13 051 13 067 13 046 22 062 84999 80349 19 056 15 063 11 060 14 035 19 057 80349 76343 16 057 13 080 9 061 9 030 15 050 76343 72798 16 058 12 093 6 054 5 020 10 042 72798 69579 9 042 11 076 6 071 4 005 10 006 69579 66623 5 055 9 054 4 058 3 325 13 351 66623 63893 6 040 7 037 4 008 5 303 15 342 63893 61267 8 009 7 012 6 004 6 321 12 323 61267 58541 12 340 9 345 9 346 10 346 12 335 58541 55725 12 326 14 345 14 337 15 332 18 327 55725 53048 11 333 18 345 16 342 17 330 20 330 53048 50633 17 331 22 341 19 344 19 332 22 327 50633 48454 20 329 24 329 21 336 21 333 23 330 48454 46465 19 317 24 311 22 325 21 332 26 333 46465 44637 16 290 22 289 22 307 14 328 27 326 44637 42948 15 285 17 267 20 288 13 308 16 307 42948 41379 18 294 15 267 18 274 18 291 9 311 41379 39906 23 290 19 271 19 264 21 271 8 302 39906 38514 27 275 28 260 19 262 17 267 9 288 38514 37162 26 258 31 253 21 262 15 275 10 269 37162 35781 25 263 31 252 23 263 14 288 10 262 35781 34344 29 266 34 254 24 264 14 291 9 254 34344 32852 26 257 33 256 21 267 13 291 9 251 32852 31287 26 254 24 269 17 281 12 297 8 251 31287 29633 24 253 19 286 15 298 11 308 8 261 29633 27894 18 275 19 300 16 314 13 307 11 279 27894 26065 15 290 18 305 18 317 15 304 14 293 26065 24148 15 293 17 305 16 308 16 298 16 298 24148 22148 13 284 15 299 14 288 17 291 16 300 22148 20058 13 297 9 292 11 264 15 276 14 290 20058 17876 13 297 6 286 8 239 10 258 11 273 17876 15648 13 292 7 285 6 238 7 241 8 256 15648 13502 9 285 7 278 7 241 6 255 4 242 13502 11554 6 267 7 272 8 246 7 275 3 246 11554 9828 8 252 6 290 7 260 6 290 2 249 9828 8302 8 261 7 323 7 321 9 333 6 014 8302 6950 9 312 11 318 12 335 12 328 12 360 6950 5756 13 339 13 310 12 330 12*326 13 352 5756 4700 12 350 9 295 10 317 8*281 9 338 4700 3770 7 344 7 272 8*282 7 243 6 294 3770 2952 7 307 7 259 8*231 7 228 6 240 2952 2221 10 279 8*248 8 216 7 215 9 209 2221 1577 15 255 9*228 8 211 7 208 12 194 1577 1042 15 232 9 224 8 208 7 202 14 188 1042 631 15 217 7 221 7 205 7 199 15 182 631 349 14 214 7 220 7 204 6 197 14 176 349 179 10 212 6 220 6 204 6 196 12 172 179 81 3*209 5 220 5 202 5 195 5*168 81 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography