DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.3 - - 19.7 - - 23.0 - - 25.0 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 205 - - 291 - - 168 - - 56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4124 - - 4025 - - 4414 - - 4587 - - 3536 BL Depth Hcrit 60 - - 2573 - - 3038 - - 2907 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top 4204 - - 4105 - - 4494 - - 4667 - - 3616 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1042 - - 1176 - - 893 - - 731 - - 881 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 377 - - 440 - - 374 - - 241 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 24 - - 23 - - 25 - - 24 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 310 - - 315 - - 316 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 16 - - 22 - - 19 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -9 - - -4 - - -4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 905 - - -267 - - 304 - - 501 - - -700 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3299 - - 4372 - - 4191 - - 4166 - - 4316 sfcLCL ODpotential -8533 - - -12161 - - -16196 - - -16147 - - -16269 ODpotential blCL 12737 - - 16266 - - 20690 - - 20814 - - 19885 blCL maxRH 70 - - 61 - - 54 - - 55 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.3 - - 19.7 - - 23.0 - - 25.0 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.3 - - 0.8 - - 5.1 - - 7.2 - - 7.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.5 - - 19.0 - - 22.0 - - 24.4 - - 25.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.2 - - -0.5 - - 1.4 - - 4.0 - - 5.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 205 - - 291 - - 168 - - 56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 4124 - - 4025 - - 4414 - - 4587 - - 3536 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95562 52 240 46 247 59 229 76 240 76 254 95562 88324 51 251 44 242 47 240 54 245 56 262 88324 82907 42 249 43 239 37 243 42 250 37 262 82907 78406 37 246 38 234 36 237 41 246 31 254 78406 74526 32 245 33 232 38 235 44 254 40 261 74526 71133 30 253 33 237 41 240 45 250 36 256 71133 68065 44 251 33 241 35 240 34 241 22 254 68065 65197 46 244 30 253 19 247 24 254 25 279 65197 62497 40 247 28 261 23 270 43 272 43 277 62497 59867 37 252 38 260 48 273 51 266 48 269 59867 57096 45 254 51 264 61 264 52 264 47 268 57096 54169 54 253 66 253 58 253 52 265 54 270 54169 51341 58 249 63 241 50 257 59 269 63 267 51341 48790 54 241 49 251 54 269 71 269 67 276 48790 46499 47 248 49 266 65 274 80 269 84 277 46499 44419 51 265 53 269 76 272 87 272 96 274 44419 42519 59 270 56 272 81 271 88 274 101 274 42519 40774 64 270 64 275 84 275 92 277 101 278 40774 39175 66 271 74 277 93 279 97 280 105 286 39175 37702 68 273 83 278 101 279 102 282 117 293 37702 36324 71 275 90 280 102 280 104 286 130 296 36324 34990 74 275 95 283 106 285 116 293 138 297 34990 33633 79 278 103 286 118 290 133 295 141 297 33633 32230 88 278 113 288 129 291 140 292 142 294 32230 30782 93 276 121 287 132 290 135 291 137 290 30782 29269 90 275 126 288 128 287 126 290 130 291 29269 27677 87 276 127 289 123 285 113 285 123 292 27677 26013 87 277 122 290 122 285 107 284 106 289 26013 24270 87 278 116 290 123 286 107 286 94 289 24270 22445 88 277 109 289 119 287 109 289 93 292 22445 20534 87 275 103 288 110 287 109 291 96 295 20534 18532 82 273 95 288 99 288 101 291 93 297 18532 16446 74 273 88 290 91 290 90 291 82 297 16446 14332 64 274 81 292 82 291 79 295 69 298 14332 12312 58 275 75 293 73 294 70 299 63 301 12312 10485 55 279 68 295 66 299 63 303 58 306 10485 8874 51 284 59 298 62 305 56 309 52 311 8874 7457 44 292 48 304 56 312 50 317 46 317 7457 6215 36 302 40 311 45 318 42 320 40 321 6215 5129 28*307 34 315 37*320 35*318 34 317 5129 4180 25*310 33*316 35*319 31*317 31*313 4180 3354 25 311 28*313 29 316 28 316 27*314 3354 2628 25 312 25 310 25 314 25 315 25 317 2628 1979 25 313 24 310 24 313 24 315 23 319 1979 1407 25 314 23 309 23 313 23 315 22 321 1407 931 24 314 22 309 22 312 22 315 21 322 931 567 22 315 21 309 20 312 20 315 20 323 567 316 20 315 19 309 18 312 19 315 18 324 316 164 17 315 17 309 16 312 16 315 16 324 164 78 12 315 12 308 13 312 12 315 11 325 78 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography