DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 66.9 - - 76.4 - - 78.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 146 - - 212 - - 33 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 769 - - 3664 - - 3168 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit 82 - - 83 - - 2353 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top 98 - - 849 - - 3744 - - 3248 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 241 - - 542 - - 1110 - - 1322 - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 199 - - 378 - - 206 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 244 - - 216 - - 215 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -5 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -490 - - -1599 - - -1275 - - -3096 - - -3093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 588 - - 2449 - - 5019 - - 6345 - - 3192 sfcLCL ODpotential -10102 - - -8172 - - -7608 - - -9297 - - -10227 ODpotential blCL 10200 - - 9021 - - 11352 - - 12545 - - 10326 blCL maxRH 91 - - 76 - - 59 - - 80 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 66.9 - - 76.4 - - 78.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.4 - - 56.7 - - 54.8 - - 50.9 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 66.0 - - 75.3 - - 78.1 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 55.9 - - 53.8 - - 50.0 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 146 - - 212 - - 33 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 769 - - 3664 - - 3168 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 3 - - 0 - - 19 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98292 11 290 12 324 6 261 10 220 18 283 98292 90893 13 249 5 296 9 305 10 297 10 302 90893 85190 10 266 2 306 5 295 10 289 8 329 85190 80449 9 310 1 300 3 264 8 272 9 301 80449 76355 10 318 4 000 2 188 6 290 6 304 76355 72747 9 345 4 320 4 219 8 282 8 322 72747 69486 5 307 3 325 3 212 7 256 7 320 69486 66478 6 285 6 279 6 206 12 261 11 281 66478 63683 19 261 13 289 4 249 9 251 9 261 63683 60977 21 240 19 271 16 270 14 279 11 278 60977 58170 16 270 14 264 17 254 18 259 15 273 58170 55282 20 268 17 279 14 246 19 246 18 271 55282 52545 24 270 22 280 17 268 18 255 18 261 52545 50086 32 264 24 275 23 273 17 263 12 263 50086 47880 32 256 23 271 24 263 20 271 16 279 47880 45875 28 260 22 268 24 255 25 267 21 276 45875 44030 30 270 28 269 27 256 25 269 25 275 44030 42323 35 273 36 267 33 263 29 274 23 280 42323 40736 40 273 39 266 36 263 31 272 23 282 40736 39253 39 272 38 266 35 263 32 268 24 280 39253 37863 35 272 35 268 34 262 33 263 25 275 37863 36525 33 273 32 273 33 262 33 262 25 274 36525 35170 36 278 29 278 32 266 32 264 24 280 35170 33767 41 281 26 282 31 268 30 264 22 284 33767 32311 38 281 25 281 30 267 27 261 19 290 32311 30783 33 277 26 282 29 269 25 262 19 284 30783 29171 31 273 28 284 28 273 22 265 17 271 29171 27476 30 269 28 279 25 275 18 267 15 274 27476 25696 27 270 27 275 21 276 17 269 15 264 25696 23830 25 277 26 280 19 278 14 275 13 258 23830 21880 25 286 26 290 18 289 14 292 11 271 21880 19842 24 292 25 298 17 298 16 301 12 289 19842 17711 22 302 26 311 17 311 17 303 14 295 17711 15528 19 307 27 324 18 318 17 309 17 303 15528 13418 18 317 24 332 15 310 15 312 18 305 13418 11493 21 324 19 335 13 293 13 295 19 305 11493 9781 18 319 18 335 12 293 14 282 16 305 9781 8259 10 285 12 321 14 283 14 291 13 307 8259 6911 5 255 10 279 16 285 13 296 9 305 6911 5719 7 267 9 260 15 276 12 285 8 279 5719 4671 7 292 6 264 12*239 11 243 16 244 4671 3753 7 307 4 263 12*223 14*219 24 228 3753 2944 6 304 5 261 12 217 14*216 23 219 2944 2221 6 281 6 257 12 216 13 215 20 214 2221 1583 10 262 9 257 12 214 13 215 17 213 1583 1052 15 252 8*251 12 214 13 215 15 213 1052 645 15 250 7*246 11 213 12 215 13 213 645 365 12 245 6 244 11 212 11 215 11 211 365 196 8 238 6 244 10 212 10 214 8 206 196 99 3*231 5 243 8 212 8 214 5*200 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography