DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.2 - - 67.1 - - 69.8 - - 69.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 222 - - 307 - - 64 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 19 - - 2786 - - 3991 - - 4415 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit 82 - - 1699 - - 2730 - - 1981 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top 99 - - 2866 - - 4071 - - 4495 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2496 - - 1745 - - 1805 - - 2335 - - 4417 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 343 - - 431 - - 267 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 22 - - 24 - - 27 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 007 - - 032 - - 035 - - 040 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1259 - - -650 - - -446 - - 461 - - -2706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1358 - - 3516 - - 4517 - - 4035 - - 2805 sfcLCL ODpotential -2607 - - -1583 - - -804 - - 293 - - -3558 ODpotential blCL 2706 - - 4449 - - 4875 - - 4202 - - 3657 blCL maxRH 88 - - 78 - - 85 - - 86 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 59.2 - - 67.1 - - 69.8 - - 69.3 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.9 - - 52.3 - - 50.6 - - 52.3 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 66.2 - - 68.5 - - 69.1 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 52.1 - - 50.4 - - 52.1 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 222 - - 307 - - 64 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 19 - - 2786 - - 3991 - - 4415 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 11 - - 41 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97979 11 065 12 086 9 114 3 357 4 332 97979 90625 9 049 8 075 10 067 4 081 8 046 90625 84943 7 062 12 070 18 066 6 039 16 030 84943 80239 10 067 15 077 18 073 12 044 16 035 80239 76205 9 069 10 046 14 081 10 075 14 053 76205 72648 10 055 8 087 6 078 7 050 12 029 72648 69444 9 045 11 088 5 122 4 145 8 348 69444 66501 4 269 5 121 2 108 1 159 0 076 66501 63762 11 210 5 161 12 167 6 260 6 216 63762 61107 5 231 12 292 3 144 4 244 7 214 61107 58358 21 266 22 262 15 254 17 259 14 251 58358 55552 36 241 29 241 25 240 28 237 23 242 55552 52894 36 232 33 241 32 236 29 222 29 231 52894 50490 39 246 38 250 34 244 29 239 30 238 50490 48326 55 256 53 257 49 252 46 254 46 252 48326 46365 77 251 72 251 69 249 66 250 65 247 46365 44568 88 240 84 240 87 235 83 234 80 235 44568 42898 95 230 91 227 91 225 85 225 78 223 42898 41331 98 226 87 222 87 223 81 225 73 222 41331 39849 98 226 87 223 86 222 80 221 70 219 39849 38441 94 224 86 218 82 214 77 217 70 216 38441 37070 92 221 85 213 78 209 73 214 66 213 37070 35667 90 219 85 209 76 208 70 211 62 211 35667 34203 87 215 86 203 76 207 66 208 59 210 34203 32679 86 211 85 201 76 204 63 206 59 210 32679 31080 80 216 78 207 77 200 64 201 59 206 31080 29392 66 240 64 238 73 201 65 198 61 200 29392 27613 51 245 50 246 58 220 61 209 63 197 27613 25745 44 246 39 240 45 249 42 249 55 204 25745 23804 44 244 38 237 36 252 29 267 30 263 23804 21802 42 244 38 236 30 248 22 251 22 284 21802 19719 42 243 36 237 30 248 23 246 18 257 19719 17541 43 232 37 234 29 242 21 256 11 258 17541 15329 43 230 34 236 21 250 10 290 2 341 15329 13211 31 237 15 267 8 016 13 025 12 044 13211 11292 19 240 13 014 23 047 22 040 19 052 11292 9591 5 310 24 035 29 047 26 044 25 056 9591 8090 17 021 27 043 30 045 29 051 29 062 8090 6771 25 035 29 045 30 051 30 051 29 064 6771 5611 27 037 29 049 27 053 30 046 29 063 5611 4586 27 037 29 049 26*047 30*044 29 058 4586 3684 29 035 28 046 25*038 29*042 30 046 3684 2890 30 032 26*042 25 036 29 041 32 038 2890 2181 30 028 25*035 25 035 28 040 32 036 2181 1555 28 024 24 033 24 034 28 040 31 034 1555 1034 26 020 23 031 24 034 27 040 29 033 1034 635 22 016 22 031 23 033 25 039 26 032 635 360 18 011 21 030 22 033 23 039 22 031 360 194 15*009 18 029 19 033 20 039 18*030 194 99 9*007 14 029 15 032 14 038 12*029 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography