DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.2 - - 37.5 - - 46.0 - - 49.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 101 - - 90 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 569 - - 1217 - - 1044 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 61 - - 62 - - 62 - - 63 - - 63 Hcrit BL Top 79 - - 649 - - 1297 - - 1124 - - 80 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 525 - - 654 - - 1169 - - 981 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 157 - - 196 - - 65 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 25 - - 12 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 314 - - 001 - - 220 - - 341 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -815 - - -1363 - - -979 - - -859 - - -1057 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 894 - - 2012 - - 2276 - - 1983 - - 1137 sfcLCL ODpotential -17272 - - -15907 - - -11719 - - -5306 - - -5832 ODpotential blCL 17351 - - 16556 - - 13016 - - 6430 - - 5912 blCL maxRH 84 - - 76 - - 78 - - 85 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 29.2 - - 37.5 - - 46.0 - - 49.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 29.6 - - 36.8 - - 41.2 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.7 - - 37.5 - - 45.6 - - 49.5 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 29.1 - - 36.0 - - 40.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 101 - - 90 - - 2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 569 - - 1217 - - 1044 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 5 - - 12 - - 41 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97692 25 167 23 172 14 156 15 153 17 124 97692 90302 19 162 16 156 16 159 13 172 6 108 90302 84592 10 168 16 165 13 180 10 197 2 199 84592 79836 8 207 11 174 14 202 14 235 6 252 79836 75715 20 244 12 230 14 227 19 223 16 249 75715 72066 24 243 17 248 20 242 21 225 21 237 72066 68777 29 250 18 251 24 247 24 250 23 244 68777 65777 31 249 21 252 24 247 27 251 25 244 65777 63008 31 252 25 257 27 253 27 248 24 240 63008 60322 39 268 33 264 30 256 29 259 26 259 60322 57521 46 263 43 265 41 256 44 257 36 260 57521 54619 49 252 53 260 48 253 48 254 43 260 54619 51861 50 255 58 260 60 260 65 259 60 260 51861 49409 54 264 70 258 77 256 77 254 77 258 49409 47241 69 266 76 255 83 253 81 252 87 257 47241 45284 86 262 80 257 86 254 84 252 93 257 45284 43489 90 259 88 260 88 254 87 253 95 255 43489 41830 90 262 95 260 93 253 92 253 100 252 41830 40291 94 264 104 257 110 253 103 253 112 251 40291 38856 98 259 104 254 123 252 121 255 124 251 38856 37502 98 257 94 252 115 249 129 254 122 247 37502 36178 95 258 84 253 112 247 125 251 117 243 36178 34819 90 260 78 253 116 250 123 254 116 244 34819 33396 84 258 74 252 107 254 96 250 116 250 33396 31915 80 254 74 250 84 246 81 244 97 251 31915 30367 73 252 75 246 80 237 81 241 77 245 30367 28736 64 247 66 239 75 238 79 240 71 242 28736 27022 59 243 65 242 73 240 73 242 67 244 27022 25221 54 242 70 240 75 239 65 246 62 244 25221 23337 53 243 67 236 73 236 57 246 55 245 23337 21375 56 237 59 239 67 231 50 244 49 247 21375 19325 54 236 52 245 56 234 53 245 46 241 19325 17194 54 238 51 244 51 244 57 237 45 234 17194 15040 48 243 47 241 49 248 47 244 42 234 15040 12974 39 251 37 240 43 240 39 254 37 242 12974 11092 33 252 29 235 37 223 35 234 35 247 11092 9423 25 250 26 232 34 222 35 225 39 247 9423 7950 19 234 27 225 34 229 36 229 38 245 7950 6649 16 208 26 210 33 231 31 229 29 223 6649 5496 16 205 25 203 30 226 27 223 26 212 5496 4476 16 202 26 200 28 217 24 198 23 203 4476 3579 17 204 23 202 27 205 21 183 21 185 3579 2792 14 202 17 207 22 206 17 175 19 169 2792 2094 10 170 12 202 13 204 9 162 14 154 2094 1484 6 130 6 183 7*205 3*154 5 131 1484 980 1 060 2*159 3*215 1*001 2 017 980 594 6 332 1*008 3 219 1 342 7 350 594 330 6 323 1 003 3 222 2 338 8 347 330 171 6*317 1 357 3 223 2 338 7*347 171 79 4*314 1 355 2 224 2 337 4*348 79 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography