DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/27 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0650z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 47.2 - - 49.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 34 - - 22 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 475 - - 868 - - 668 - - 550 BL Depth Hcrit 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 - - 81 Hcrit BL Top 194 - - 555 - - 948 - - 748 - - 630 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 993 - - 1008 - - 481 - - 471 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 103 - - 110 - - 95 - - 34 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 190 - - 085 - - 078 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 51 - - 144 - - 372 - - 19 - - 225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 143 - - 411 - - 576 - - 729 - - 405 sfcLCL ODpotential 50 - - 239 - - 349 - - -10177 - - 86 ODpotential blCL 144 - - 316 - - 599 - - 10925 - - 544 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 230 - - 100 - - 390 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 47.2 - - 49.2 - - 51.5 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 46.0 - - 47.3 - - 48.7 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.8 - - 46.9 - - 49.3 - - 51.6 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 45.7 - - 46.9 - - 48.4 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 34 - - 22 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 475 - - 868 - - 668 - - 550 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97106 4 279 11 292 2 254 21 254 13 289 97106 89804 1 281 4 039 3 191 12 244 17 312 89804 84260 8 021 7 076 4 222 4 298 14 319 84260 79669 10 331 7 069 3 193 8 313 9 324 79669 75710 7 307 2 060 5 229 8 257 8 288 75710 72201 9 279 1 015 8 220 8 202 6 206 72201 69009 18 234 11 230 10 237 9 190 9 195 69009 66074 19 223 19 228 16 224 20 223 20 223 66074 63369 13 211 19 219 19 197 29 203 35 208 63369 60752 29 257 21 233 17 220 21 206 31 199 60752 58022 51 234 36 233 38 243 38 242 39 231 58022 55185 52 230 61 231 56 226 52 228 49 212 55185 52436 57 234 64 226 52 215 53 222 46 219 52436 49929 59 235 54 227 56 231 68 240 56 231 49929 47674 67 238 54 230 79 244 85 241 63 231 47674 45633 77 241 71 237 98 246 98 236 87 237 45633 43786 84 246 90 243 113 244 107 231 114 236 43786 42106 97 250 111 245 118 241 116 230 126 230 42106 40563 107 247 127 243 115 234 121 228 122 219 40563 39118 105 242 128 239 111 231 115 225 118 215 39118 37742 103 237 123 237 113 233 106 220 123 217 37742 36401 102 235 118 238 109 234 106 218 128 221 36401 35037 101 234 114 239 103 234 109 220 119 221 35037 33619 96 236 103 241 97 234 111 223 114 220 33619 32146 88 237 75 240 91 235 110 225 112 222 32146 30603 82 240 56 233 82 236 105 227 107 224 30603 28980 78 243 46 221 73 238 88 231 93 225 28980 27279 73 245 40 206 65 240 70 234 76 224 27279 25496 61 242 36 199 59 240 61 235 66 221 25496 23630 48 235 34 189 58 238 52 228 61 224 23630 21683 43 230 36 188 62 233 49 224 54 228 21683 19646 45 231 38 191 63 227 44 215 52 228 19646 17508 43 230 40 195 55 207 40 203 51 222 17508 15322 40 222 44 206 51 199 40 207 45 217 15322 13215 32 214 38 208 55 217 33 222 42 222 13215 11297 27 230 27 209 44 223 35 233 34 231 11297 9596 21 229 20 216 25 220 35 237 35 233 9596 8088 17 231 17 191 24 193 32 228 29 223 8088 6751 16 204 16 180 23 197 33 212 28 200 6751 5570 12 201 14 176 16 196 27 204 25 187 5570 4532 8 213 14 190 13 199 19 190 19 172 4532 3623 10 217 14 200 15 209 14 165 17 162 3623 2827 12 211 11 191 14 213 12 158 17 154 2827 2121 7 174 9 164 8 175 13 134 15 144 2121 1506 9 133 9 157 8 117 15 103 9 135 1506 1000 9 121 6 174 8*092 16*083 3*079 1000 615 6 109 5*185 8*086 15*079 3*031 615 350 5*100 4*189 7 085 14 078 3 016 350 190 4*098 4 191 6 083 12 077 3 004 190 98 3 097 3 191 5 083 8 077 2 356 98 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography