DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1009z - - 1332z - - 1558z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.6 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 87.9 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 157 - - 231 - - 145 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 2143 - - 5455 - - 7036 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit 65 - - 1138 - - 3767 - - 4692 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 973 - - 2223 - - 5535 - - 7116 - - 82 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 606 - - 2306 - - 1357 - - 1551 - - 7677 Hgt.Variab. W* 131 - - 291 - - 449 - - 419 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 359 - - 339 - - 314 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - 11 - - 28 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -194 - - -508 - - 553 - - 807 - - -4899 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1168 - - 2731 - - 4982 - - 6309 - - 4981 sfcLCL ODpotential -3611 - - -2357 - - -708 - - -751 - - -5576 ODpotential blCL 4584 - - 4580 - - 6243 - - 7867 - - 5658 blCL maxRH 90 - - 96 - - 85 - - 78 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 330 - - 100 - - 30 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 74.6 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 87.9 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.4 - - 68.6 - - 64.7 - - 60.5 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.5 - - 79.6 - - 85.0 - - 87.1 - - 83.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.8 - - 67.7 - - 63.5 - - 59.4 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 157 - - 231 - - 145 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 893 - - 2143 - - 5455 - - 7036 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 82 - - 41 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 40 075 36 085 36 082 38 085 28 093 99032 91514 32 072 31 081 31 077 34 087 29 078 91514 85728 29 076 29 081 27 075 30 082 29 075 85728 80946 25 082 25 079 21 074 24 070 28 072 80946 76842 21 089 21 075 19 086 18 069 25 071 76842 73224 18 079 18 080 17 083 13 091 17 065 73224 69944 15 086 16 082 12 088 10 102 11 069 69944 66928 11 081 12 065 13 111 7 121 6 064 66928 64135 7 082 7 071 7 096 8 120 3 129 64135 61436 2 056 6 067 6 136 7 132 7 148 61436 58629 7 241 5 257 4 261 2 319 4 249 58629 55740 14 264 13 252 12 252 12 275 15 273 55740 53011 19 250 21 247 22 240 26 261 26 271 53011 50572 21 248 27 264 29 252 36 257 39 266 50572 48395 36 270 41 258 40 252 40 250 43 257 48395 46417 50 254 47 240 47 244 45 243 47 245 46417 44602 44 245 44 241 49 236 51 235 57 235 44602 42921 45 255 45 246 50 236 56 230 64 229 42921 41352 44 246 47 245 53 238 59 232 63 233 41352 39875 44 236 51 238 58 233 65 232 63 239 39875 38476 45 241 54 232 63 231 68 233 62 242 38476 37115 46 247 54 232 63 233 67 236 61 243 37115 35726 44 247 51 236 55 236 61 241 54 249 35726 34279 41 247 42 242 44 237 53 247 49 254 34279 32775 39 252 33 252 39 242 49 253 46 257 32775 31197 36 256 31 258 37 245 45 255 42 258 31197 29531 30 256 28 253 34 248 39 257 41 260 29531 27782 22 251 28 245 32 249 36 263 39 266 27782 25950 21 250 28 249 32 251 34 265 37 268 25950 24035 23 248 28 256 29 254 35 266 35 267 24035 22036 26 251 29 260 29 263 33 268 34 269 22036 19952 28 256 29 266 29 272 29 276 26 278 19952 17782 26 263 27 272 25 281 26 298 15 294 17782 15571 24 267 24 276 21 283 14 294 9 272 15571 13439 22 272 20 278 21 273 15 274 16 258 13439 11502 18 274 20 275 23 276 19 276 17 267 11502 9789 17 272 19 267 24 273 18 275 14 273 9789 8281 14 267 18 266 22 264 13*270 5 260 8281 6946 11 296 15 279 20 279 7*294 6 020 6946 5760 11 321 14 302 15*297 6 317 7 009 5760 4708 14 340 15 331 9*328 6 320 9 004 4708 3782 14 342 14 347 9 333 7 318 9 358 3782 2964 13 357 14 354 8 338 8 316 10 354 2964 2233 15 008 12*007 8 341 8 315 10 352 2233 1587 18 005 12*006 7 343 8 314 10 350 1587 1049 18*359 10 354 7 346 8 314 9 348 1049 636 14*348 9 353 7 347 8 313 8 346 636 352 12 346 8 352 6 348 8 313 8 342 352 180 11 345 7 351 6 349 7 313 6*340 180 82 7 344 6 350 5 348 6 313 4*338 82 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography