DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0656z - - 0959z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 81.2 - - 77.9 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 61 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3845 - - 1508 - - 263 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1457 - - 66 - - 65 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3925 - - 1588 - - 343 - - 82 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1516 - - 3412 - - 1837 - - 3174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 201 - - 30 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 17 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 147 - - 196 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2235 - - 147 - - 48 - - -686 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1691 - - 1441 - - 295 - - 768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1274 - - -679 - - -615 - - -1764 ODpotential blCL - - - 2651 - - 2267 - - 958 - - 1846 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1370 - - 1520 - - 1890 - - 1780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 81.2 - - 77.9 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.1 - - 74.7 - - 76.1 - - 75.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 81.0 - - 78.2 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 73.9 - - 76.0 - - 75.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 61 - - 0 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3845 - - 1508 - - 263 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98263 4 024 7 166 3 227 5 271 98263 90881 3 115 5 158 4 232 5 307 90881 85175 7 140 1 164 2 338 1 044 85175 80443 8 123 2 106 5 031 5 067 80443 76399 9 093 5 101 4 060 7 050 76399 72865 12 061 8 079 5 082 9 053 72865 69687 13 046 11 064 8 071 10 056 69687 66769 10 034 11 059 8 061 10 036 66769 64062 8 024 10 051 7 052 9 009 64062 61447 9 027 10 030 6 025 8 357 61447 58734 12 025 12 007 10 005 10 348 58734 55945 11 013 11 355 11 358 11 347 55945 53296 11 353 9 353 11 348 13 340 53296 50909 13 332 9 355 13 316 15 323 50909 48760 12 320 10 341 12 310 14 311 48760 46799 11 308 8 306 15 316 14 307 46799 44989 8 270 11 254 19 292 19 280 44989 43306 14 218 15 236 24 247 21 253 43306 41728 15 221 19 228 21 220 20 244 41728 40241 14 223 17 218 17 206 21 238 40241 38831 12 218 18 208 18 208 23 232 38831 37459 9 227 19 203 19 207 23 226 37459 36054 11 244 18 198 19 206 23 220 36054 34587 11 232 16 196 19 205 23 217 34587 33061 16 211 13 201 16 204 24 218 33061 31460 18 196 10 211 18 204 23 216 31460 29772 16 193 7 225 21 208 22 215 29772 27998 13 198 6 215 21 216 21 219 27998 26141 12 214 8 200 21 218 22 220 26141 24206 16 226 12 195 19 218 23 216 24206 22197 16 217 16 204 18 221 23 218 22197 20106 16 210 21 229 21 228 25 225 20106 17927 24 223 25 225 27 231 28 231 17927 15706 27 211 26 214 29 226 28 227 15706 13567 28 196 25 205 32 214 29 213 13567 11625 23 187 23 201 31 215 30 210 11625 9900 21 188 24 193 29 216 27 209 9900 8368 20 190 25 189 28 210 23 208 8368 7008 21 187 26 189 29 201 22 207 7008 5803 23 181 25 187 31 193 23 206 5803 4739 26*176 25 179 32 187 26 202 4739 3806 28*167 25 173 30 185 27 199 3806 2982 27 165 26 170 29 185 29 192 2982 2246 25 160 25 167 27 185 28 186 2246 1596 22 157 24*160 24 186 25 179 1596 1054 21 155 22*152 21 188 23 174 1054 639 19 154 19 147 17 190 20 171 639 354 16 153 16 144 13*193 16 168 354 181 14 152 14 142 11*195 13*166 181 82 10 152 10 141 7 197 7*164 82 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography