DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.5 - - 36.7 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 62 - - 128 - - 5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1171 - - 2963 - - 3452 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit 80 - - 80 - - 1592 - - 81 - - 80 Hcrit BL Top 96 - - 1251 - - 3043 - - 3532 - - 97 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1270 - - 2221 - - 858 - - 1066 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 175 - - 299 - - 135 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 287 - - 283 - - 282 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1084 - - -1178 - - -40 - - 516 - - -2202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1180 - - 2429 - - 3083 - - 3016 - - 2299 sfcLCL ODpotential -2547 - - -6243 - - -9635 - - -8567 - - -12615 ODpotential blCL 2643 - - 7494 - - 12678 - - 12099 - - 12712 blCL maxRH 73 - - 74 - - 82 - - 82 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.5 - - 36.7 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 26.6 - - 27.7 - - 29.7 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.8 - - 36.6 - - 39.9 - - 42.5 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.2 - - 25.4 - - 26.5 - - 28.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 62 - - 128 - - 5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1171 - - 2963 - - 3452 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 24 251 30 260 15 279 21 247 24 248 96305 89153 21 251 21 268 18 249 20 248 19 259 89153 83606 16 236 18 211 20 235 20 256 20 246 83606 78988 16 250 20 223 24 241 19 249 17 240 78988 74970 22 242 23 232 22 228 26 231 28 246 74970 71404 25 238 17 263 20 241 30 230 32 243 71404 68190 19 255 30 256 25 247 23 244 24 251 68190 65221 31 244 30 239 23 249 26 255 26 255 65221 62442 29 242 30 246 32 256 38 256 39 263 62442 59752 24 262 46 259 49 257 50 259 46 264 59752 56944 63 259 58 260 59 257 58 263 56 265 56944 54031 69 246 63 258 60 257 68 263 69 259 54031 51266 60 250 63 257 65 257 74 261 78 264 51266 48791 55 259 66 258 70 258 78 266 84 271 48791 46573 59 264 68 259 70 259 81 269 89 270 46573 44556 64 268 68 265 71 265 87 265 87 265 44556 42713 72 271 72 272 78 269 90 260 83 263 42713 41021 77 273 84 275 87 270 89 259 81 264 41021 39463 82 275 97 273 95 271 85 263 81 268 39463 38019 90 276 102 271 101 272 83 270 84 274 38019 36668 95 277 103 275 104 274 89 275 92 278 36668 35362 101 279 108 280 105 277 95 275 99 278 35362 34029 102 280 109 282 106 280 97 275 100 277 34029 32640 98 282 106 283 105 281 97 278 96 276 32640 31198 96 286 103 283 103 280 98 282 89 274 31198 29691 96 287 102 283 101 279 97 287 84 272 29691 28104 94 285 98 282 100 282 94 287 82 276 28104 26434 87 285 86 282 93 285 90 285 78 281 26434 24683 80 287 76 283 84 285 83 285 74 283 24683 22852 78 289 75 286 77 282 73 286 70 280 22852 20942 77 291 73 288 71 280 65 289 65 281 20942 18946 74 289 71 290 64 281 60 290 58 285 18946 16858 69 285 66 291 56 287 54 284 50 283 16858 14729 62 283 59 288 53 291 49 279 42 278 14729 12681 49 280 52 284 50 288 45 282 39 277 12681 10820 40 272 42 280 43 283 41 284 37 278 10820 9170 37 271 34 280 34 282 35 285 30 283 9170 7718 33 281 29 282 27 281 27 282 22 287 7718 6444 27 292 26 284 23 278 21 280 17 273 6444 5329 24 309 23 290 21 277 16 280 14 256 5329 4351 26 320 20 302 19 287 12*276 10 239 4351 3495 23 321 17 313 14*294 9*278 7 225 3495 2743 20 314 15 310 10*284 8 280 6 237 2743 2070 20 308 16 301 10 284 8 282 6 253 2070 1477 21 300 16*294 9 283 8 284 6 266 1477 983 22 286 14*289 9 283 7 285 7 273 983 604 19 281 12 286 8 282 7 286 7 276 604 344 14 275 11 286 7 282 6 286 6 272 344 187 11 274 10 285 7 282 6 287 5*264 187 97 6*272 8 285 6 281 5 287 3*260 97 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography