DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 85.6 - - 85.9 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 115 - - 236 - - 136 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 159 - - 1719 - - 4333 - - 3545 - - 120 BL Depth Hcrit 65 - - 719 - - 2914 - - 2055 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 239 - - 1799 - - 4413 - - 3625 - - 200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 340 - - 2536 - - 2116 - - 2847 - - 1531 Hgt.Variab. W* 67 - - 251 - - 417 - - 326 - - 28 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 19 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 326 - - 336 - - 092 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -836 - - -1262 - - -613 - - -1431 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1075 - - 3061 - - 5026 - - 5056 - - 2989 sfcLCL ODpotential -4831 - - -4274 - - -2390 - - -3389 - - -5952 ODpotential blCL 5070 - - 6073 - - 6803 - - 7014 - - 6152 blCL maxRH 83 - - 67 - - 68 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 960 - - 820 - - 930 - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m 70.8 - - 80.0 - - 85.6 - - 85.9 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.1 - - 66.7 - - 63.8 - - 64.1 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 79.4 - - 84.3 - - 85.1 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.5 - - 65.5 - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 115 - - 236 - - 136 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 159 - - 1719 - - 4333 - - 3545 - - 120 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98138 18 111 19 122 12 109 11 082 8 066 98138 90663 23 091 24 101 21 102 14 084 17 074 90663 84903 27 088 26 084 25 090 20 085 23 075 84903 80162 28 086 24 078 24 089 20 071 25 072 80162 76114 26 074 22 075 23 085 16 083 22 069 76114 72545 16 073 18 068 18 082 17 088 19 077 72545 69306 12 064 11 066 12 082 15 085 14 079 69306 66317 4 142 10 071 5 073 12 075 12 073 66317 63539 3 085 6 056 1 111 3 032 11 039 63539 60856 6 318 8 006 1 245 5 323 9 350 60856 58076 3 329 10 328 6 317 9 317 7 322 58076 55206 9 312 15 306 13 309 13 311 9 338 55206 52482 16 304 16 299 16 305 14 299 18 322 52482 50051 24 312 18 309 18 312 13 303 21 317 50051 47886 25 296 21 305 21 309 16 306 18 301 47886 45940 24 271 24 288 23 295 20 300 18 276 45940 44177 26 284 25 290 25 286 22 296 21 273 44177 42549 32 298 26 293 26 283 24 292 23 272 42549 41023 33 294 25 285 25 277 24 282 22 268 41023 39580 34 288 24 276 22 269 23 275 23 267 39580 38210 33 284 24 275 22 264 24 271 25 263 38210 36875 34 286 26 273 25 262 24 269 26 259 36875 35508 40 282 27 271 24 259 22 265 26 255 35508 34079 39 273 23 272 20 258 19 262 24 256 34079 32594 39 269 18 275 15 254 16 263 18 262 32594 31038 37 280 16 283 11 250 14 262 13 262 31038 29398 33 287 17 289 8 260 12 258 11 265 29398 27672 30 283 20 283 10 280 12 263 10 283 27672 25857 29 284 23 275 14 281 15 277 11 290 25857 23954 30 287 22 277 15 279 16 280 12 290 23954 21967 31 292 19 297 13 284 12 261 13 277 21967 19896 31 291 22 316 14 301 11 257 13 255 19896 17742 32 287 26 314 18 307 10 271 10 247 17742 15551 32 290 25 305 18 297 9 286 7 266 15551 13443 22 299 24 295 20 289 14 295 13 293 13443 11528 16 306 23 288 22 289 20 292 19 295 11528 9830 17 299 22 283 22 291 23 295 20 298 9830 8319 23 292 21 282 20 292 22 298 18 297 8319 6976 22 293 19 290 17 297 16 292 15 287 6976 5781 16 308 17 301 14 302 11 278 12 266 5781 4722 11 307 14 316 10*305 8 262 10 252 4722 3787 9 301 11 334 9*307 4*240 6 243 3787 2964 9 319 9 337 5 320 2*170 4 168 2964 2229 9 339 7*331 4 334 3 118 8 126 2229 1582 11 338 6*326 3 352 5 097 11 114 1582 1044 13 327 5 326 3 001 6 084 13 104 1044 633 13 320 5 326 3 007 6 079 12 093 633 351 8*309 4 328 3 012 6 078 11*085 351 179 7*310 4 328 3 013 6 077 9*081 179 82 4 310 3 330 3 013 5 076 6 078 82 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography