DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.5 - - 86.0 - - 89.9 - - 84.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 174 - - 200 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 534 - - 3667 - - 5449 - - 1709 - - 276 BL Depth Hcrit 65 - - 2281 - - 3683 - - 66 - - 65 Hcrit BL Top 614 - - 3747 - - 5529 - - 1789 - - 356 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1836 - - 1617 - - 2107 - - 4698 - - 3869 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 359 - - 427 - - 113 - - 33 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 200 - - 192 - - 173 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 18 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3 - - 1032 - - 2004 - - -52 - - -532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 617 - - 2715 - - 3525 - - 1842 - - 889 sfcLCL ODpotential -640 - - 82 - - 833 - - -1304 - - -1697 ODpotential blCL 1254 - - 3665 - - 4696 - - 3093 - - 2053 blCL maxRH 95 - - 88 - - 98 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 1990 - - 2080 - - 2540 - - 2530 - - 1950 CAPE Temp@2m 78.5 - - 86.0 - - 89.9 - - 84.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 75.6 - - 74.0 - - 74.4 - - 75.9 - - 75.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.3 - - 85.0 - - 88.6 - - 84.4 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 75.3 - - 73.2 - - 73.5 - - 75.0 - - 75.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 174 - - 200 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 534 - - 3667 - - 5449 - - 1709 - - 276 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 81 - - 53 - - 92 - - 101 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 43 079 46 084 40 082 40 086 34 090 98946 91498 34 075 38 079 39 077 40 078 35 082 91498 85772 30 081 31 076 32 072 39 071 35 076 85772 81039 30 086 27 083 23 075 30 067 29 073 81039 76970 28 087 24 089 16 087 22 066 24 070 76970 73381 25 094 22 096 15 092 19 080 18 076 73381 70145 20 095 19 105 14 100 16 097 15 074 70145 67178 16 105 15 101 15 116 15 120 11 090 67178 64433 13 107 13 105 17 120 17 137 12 115 64433 61780 9 121 11 118 16 133 17 153 14 151 61780 59019 10 150 12 152 13 157 16 160 17 166 59019 56169 17 183 16 193 22 184 20 187 21 185 56169 53474 24 207 37 207 33 195 31 199 34 195 53474 51062 25 207 34 192 47 190 46 192 42 198 51062 48893 48 247 39 243 29 208 53 183 46 195 48893 46912 68 242 62 238 51 245 33 205 40 216 46912 45081 73 237 73 231 66 240 49 237 52 240 45081 43378 75 240 70 232 66 231 66 240 60 234 43378 41785 67 246 66 238 71 222 73 225 64 223 41785 40281 49 244 56 242 73 220 74 213 67 214 40281 38856 42 241 36 235 65 222 70 213 65 207 38856 37471 40 235 31 215 52 221 70 217 57 206 37471 36057 36 217 35 208 48 216 68 221 52 205 36057 34581 40 204 42 211 52 215 64 225 44 200 34581 33047 41 207 41 213 54 221 53 228 39 199 33047 31439 37 207 37 211 43 222 38 218 34 194 31439 29745 34 199 33 206 32 205 38 204 32 193 29745 27968 35 195 34 200 35 205 32 206 30 189 27968 26106 35 197 35 201 36 207 29 196 28 184 26106 24164 34 195 35 200 31 208 29 189 29 187 24164 22147 30 199 33 196 26 207 29 184 31 189 22147 20046 26 200 29 196 24 201 32 177 32 183 20046 17857 23 193 27 199 26 186 35 174 34 177 17857 15641 24 184 27 202 27 175 38 170 42 174 15641 13524 25 183 28 191 31 177 42 162 41 168 13524 11595 22 186 29 192 36 185 42 168 36 167 11595 9873 20 185 27 191 34 191 38 174 34 167 9873 8346 17 190 22 184 29 196 27 186 32 166 8346 6993 14 198 17 185 23 194 19 207 27 160 6993 5794 13 210 15 192 19*187 15 226 19 153 5794 4735 14 218 15 199 17*185 12 230 11 156 4735 3804 15 220 15*203 16 184 11 222 8 153 3804 2982 16 219 14*203 14 185 11 208 8 140 2982 2245 18 219 13 202 13 191 11*194 9 132 2245 1595 17 217 11 199 12 198 12*183 10 128 1595 1053 15 217 10 198 11 202 11 174 10 122 1053 639 12*215 10 197 11 204 11 171 9*117 639 354 8*206 9 196 10 205 10 168 8*114 354 181 7 204 8 195 9 206 9 166 7 112 181 82 5 202 7 195 8 206 6 164 4 109 82 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography