DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1005z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.5 - - 75.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 190 - - 294 - - 171 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 643 - - 3101 - - 3829 - - 3396 - - 20 BL Depth Hcrit 83 - - 1901 - - 2612 - - 2053 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top 723 - - 3181 - - 3909 - - 3476 - - 100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1716 - - 975 - - 1382 - - 2717 - - 3780 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 348 - - 427 - - 343 - - 15 W* B/S 3 - - 14 - - 17 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 025 - - 024 - - 054 - - 083 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -157 - - -406 - - -956 - - -1302 - - -3595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 880 - - 3587 - - 4865 - - 4778 - - 3695 sfcLCL ODpotential -1251 - - -3607 - - -3043 - - -2415 - - -5884 ODpotential blCL 1974 - - 6788 - - 6952 - - 5891 - - 5984 blCL maxRH 90 - - 78 - - 85 - - 81 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 220 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 67.5 - - 75.6 - - 80.5 - - 81.7 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.8 - - 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 61.1 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 74.4 - - 78.9 - - 80.6 - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.4 - - 59.1 - - 58.6 - - 60.4 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 190 - - 294 - - 171 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 643 - - 3101 - - 3829 - - 3396 - - 20 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 14 - - 40 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98829 33 079 29 097 36 090 30 088 30 077 98829 91249 26 086 27 088 28 083 23 090 22 078 91249 85436 22 082 23 081 23 088 21 081 19 079 85436 80670 20 078 26 076 24 089 23 080 22 080 80670 76595 20 078 25 081 19 094 19 078 21 071 76595 73005 18 083 21 083 16 100 13 074 17 067 73005 69756 14 083 17 080 19 082 12 090 17 065 69756 66770 14 100 16 079 18 068 14 090 15 060 66770 64005 16 086 11 085 10 066 11 076 11 065 64005 61332 9 080 9 090 5 085 5 062 8 042 61332 58538 4 104 2 081 1 038 4 350 5 005 58538 55639 5 351 1 061 3 277 6 276 9 304 55639 52879 20 288 15 307 14 308 11 305 10 319 52879 50393 35 286 25 293 26 299 22 302 19 315 50393 48172 43 290 37 294 34 293 31 308 32 322 48172 46162 54 292 42 287 39 288 43 294 41 312 46162 44319 54 293 43 289 40 289 33 297 36 328 44319 42618 53 295 49 293 42 299 43 319 49 333 42618 41040 54 299 56 295 49 302 55 316 49 325 41040 39567 57 302 59 296 52 300 51 309 41 312 39567 38182 61 304 60 299 52 300 49 312 35 315 38182 36838 59 306 58 301 51 297 48 317 33 328 36838 35469 52 304 54 302 49 293 45 316 32 329 35469 34046 48 303 50 304 45 292 32 317 25 335 34046 32568 45 309 44 305 41 293 27 324 23 350 32568 31021 40 311 40 302 37 295 26 327 24 357 31021 29392 39 309 41 301 33 303 25 323 23 354 29392 27678 39 306 41 306 32 313 27 315 20 351 27678 25875 34 308 36 311 29 313 26 322 16 345 25875 23984 29 316 30 310 27 309 24 329 17 333 23984 22008 29 318 27 311 26 303 24 323 21 329 22008 19941 26 316 27 317 23 306 25 316 23 329 19941 17780 23 312 25 310 21 306 25 316 22 331 17780 15573 22 308 23 304 21 310 22 320 21 335 15573 13444 22 313 22 314 18 320 18 335 17 343 13444 11509 22 330 20 337 14 332 15 350 15 350 11509 9794 13 343 14 355 8 334 10 338 12 338 9794 8279 9 332 12 348 10 350 8 338 8 352 8279 6941 13 353 12 356 12 354 9 331 9 010 6941 5754 16 006 10 012 7 006 8 316 7 344 5754 4704 14 008 9 010 4*353 6 312 5 311 4704 3779 10 012 6*011 4*358 4*323 4 296 3779 2963 11 018 5*016 4 009 3*007 1 276 2963 2235 12 015 5 020 4 019 5 051 5 109 2235 1593 12 008 5 025 5 028 6 057 8 102 1593 1059 11*007 4 028 5 031 7 057 9 095 1059 650 9*004 4 032 5 036 7 057 9 090 650 368 7 002 4 034 5 038 7 057 9 087 368 198 6 001 4 033 5 037 7 057 7*084 198 100 5 001 4 033 5 039 6 057 5*083 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography