DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Freeport_IL 856ft pt37813@42.185,-89.594,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.8 - - 21.6 - - 30.6 - - 33.6 - - 34.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 6 - - 21 - - -33 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 58 - - 151 - - 686 - - 60 - - 60 BL Depth Hcrit 898 - - 898 - - 899 - - 899 - - 899 Hcrit BL Top 914 - - 1007 - - 1542 - - 916 - - 916 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 351 - - 625 - - 1007 - - 663 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 40 - - 101 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 24 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 166 - - 188 - - 193 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -410 - - -295 - - 161 - - -351 - - -226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1324 - - 1302 - - 1381 - - 1268 - - 1142 sfcLCL ODpotential -14583 - - -12535 - - -9422 - - -9273 - - -8296 ODpotential blCL 15497 - - 13542 - - 10964 - - 10189 - - 9212 blCL maxRH 94 - - 92 - - 97 - - 85 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.8 - - 21.6 - - 30.6 - - 33.6 - - 34.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.6 - - 19.3 - - 27.9 - - 31.2 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.6 - - 21.8 - - 30.7 - - 35.2 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 19.2 - - 27.5 - - 31.0 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 6 - - 21 - - -33 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 58 - - 151 - - 686 - - 60 - - 60 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 67 - - 89 - - 39 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96145 22 307 19 297 13 316 13 318 12 294 96145 88984 17 301 16 272 19 286 17 296 19 280 88984 83407 23 283 17 285 18 287 18 287 25 279 83407 78767 27 274 21 284 17 283 19 279 27 278 78767 74739 28 271 26 274 27 282 28 271 29 284 74739 71155 29 276 29 273 34 279 32 267 36 284 71155 67909 31 280 29 282 36 274 35 275 36 279 67909 64918 31 280 30 287 37 269 36 275 36 278 64918 62131 36 285 31 284 39 272 35 284 39 279 62131 59424 41 284 36 284 40 276 41 285 39 285 59424 56593 47 284 40 288 45 277 47 281 45 282 56593 53655 53 292 49 290 48 280 50 279 51 279 53655 50859 61 295 58 288 51 287 54 281 53 276 50859 48347 66 295 66 286 59 288 62 283 56 271 48347 46098 69 291 71 284 64 282 66 275 62 271 46098 44061 71 289 71 281 65 278 63 273 64 272 44061 42196 75 290 71 279 68 279 63 281 68 275 42196 40490 80 291 75 282 77 280 75 285 73 274 40490 38931 86 292 84 284 88 280 84 280 79 271 38931 37501 98 290 92 284 92 281 88 277 84 268 37501 36171 101 289 96 283 93 281 92 274 88 266 36171 34890 103 291 97 282 93 279 96 272 92 263 34890 33586 102 292 98 281 94 278 94 273 91 263 33586 32230 99 292 98 281 93 278 94 275 90 267 32230 30827 94 293 97 283 91 280 87 277 91 271 30827 29365 92 296 93 285 89 282 73 276 87 270 29365 27834 82 293 82 285 86 287 70 276 81 267 27834 26233 70 289 71 285 85 290 68 277 73 267 26233 24562 63 289 66 288 78 286 68 276 65 268 24562 22821 58 292 65 287 67 278 67 273 58 270 22821 21011 56 292 63 285 63 276 59 268 56 275 21011 19127 51 299 58 285 61 279 48 271 52 281 19127 17163 45 304 52 289 56 277 48 274 47 279 17163 15161 42 301 46 289 46 277 48 275 44 276 15161 13234 41 291 41 285 37 277 37 269 45 278 13234 11478 38 286 37 280 35 273 33 272 43 275 11478 9914 33 275 33 273 35 264 32 274 38 264 9914 8519 30 263 30 262 36 251 33 270 38 258 8519 7274 27 252 32 258 35 250 34 261 41 257 7274 6164 25 251 33 229 37 250 36 256 42 254 6164 5180 25 247 33 221 40 239 38 252 43 257 5180 4314 23 239 38 216 40 224 40 245 45 259 4314 3553 20 227 36 205 41 218 41 237 47 254 3553 2876 14 207 36 197 42 208 42 226 46 244 2876 2283 15 194 34 187 38 200 39 214 44 231 2283 1793 16 189 31 175 30*191 34 203 38 222 1793 1418 17 189 27 171 27*189 29 197 33 217 1418 1161 18 181 18*167 25 188 24 195 25 215 1161 1005 14 176 16*166 22 188 21*194 22*214 1005 916 5*158 13 166 18 188 15*193 15*214 916 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography