DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Freeport_IL 856ft pt37813@42.185,-89.594,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.3 - - 71.1 - - 72.2 - - 78.8 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -29 - - 25 - - -3 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 59 - - 718 - - 563 - - 2494 - - 60 BL Depth Hcrit 899 - - 899 - - 899 - - 900 - - 899 Hcrit BL Top 915 - - 1574 - - 1419 - - 3350 - - 916 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 840 - - 1181 - - 1952 - - 2676 - - 1802 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 112 - - 53 - - 154 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 24 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 187 - - 208 - - 209 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -298 - - 550 - - 398 - - 1229 - - -28 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1213 - - 1024 - - 1021 - - 2121 - - 945 sfcLCL ODpotential -2805 - - 155 - - -122 - - 388 - - -713 ODpotential blCL 3720 - - 1419 - - 1541 - - 2962 - - 1629 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 470 - - 580 - - 870 - - 2140 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m 69.3 - - 71.1 - - 72.2 - - 78.8 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.8 - - 69.3 - - 70.3 - - 72.1 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.8 - - 71.1 - - 72.5 - - 78.9 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.7 - - 69.0 - - 70.1 - - 71.4 - - 70.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -29 - - 25 - - -3 - - 5 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 59 - - 718 - - 563 - - 2494 - - 60 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98002 13 350 5 017 3 264 12 280 12 291 98002 90761 10 322 8 322 5 243 9 264 12 279 90761 85138 10 294 11 306 4 260 6 273 11 275 85138 80452 6 284 10 283 7 298 3 339 5 299 80452 76430 2 359 5 258 8 289 4 341 7 357 76430 72877 2 060 1 152 2 249 2 246 7 320 72877 69645 3 104 3 122 3 133 3 214 6 229 69645 66674 0 045 6 121 5 158 4 219 10 202 66674 63932 2 278 4 155 7 202 5 238 8 210 63932 61297 6 273 5 185 12 201 12 221 14 243 61297 58566 8 272 12 257 10 227 12 212 19 225 58566 55733 18 256 21 252 18 250 21 237 21 221 55733 53026 14 242 25 241 34 252 37 254 34 259 53026 50604 23 280 24 249 50 240 59 245 59 249 50604 48452 34 267 34 260 47 233 65 227 62 238 48452 46492 37 263 43 270 39 240 54 222 63 258 46492 44681 52 278 58 275 51 261 74 264 82 262 44681 43001 70 276 71 270 79 268 89 264 81 256 43001 41436 77 270 77 265 87 263 84 259 81 252 41436 39965 76 268 74 262 84 254 76 255 76 250 39965 38576 72 270 70 260 78 249 67 250 67 249 38576 37227 63 272 68 261 65 246 63 245 63 245 37227 35849 48 272 63 262 50 239 57 237 62 242 35849 34413 33 262 51 261 44 234 49 231 60 240 34413 32923 31 253 44 254 40 231 47 232 55 238 32923 31363 29 241 42 246 36 228 44 231 45 228 31363 29723 26 225 41 240 36 230 47 241 45 221 29723 28005 27 221 36 233 38 233 42 257 43 222 28005 26206 26 220 35 233 40 238 41 249 39 222 26206 24329 28 221 34 237 38 241 40 238 37 229 24329 22378 33 225 34 241 35 240 35 230 37 239 22378 20347 31 229 34 246 34 240 38 237 35 244 20347 18232 32 233 32 248 32 244 36 230 35 246 18232 16084 30 225 32 242 31 249 34 230 36 263 16084 14022 29 210 31 236 30 245 33 231 25 281 14022 12150 31 206 27 231 28 230 31 231 19 265 12150 10483 32 201 24 231 29 216 29 229 21 235 10483 9002 31 202 26 229 31 212 30 223 30 226 9002 7686 30 206 31 218 34 214 32 221 35 222 7686 6516 32 209 34 217 38 217 32 224 34 219 6516 5479 33 209 32 217 39 216 31 225 32 219 5479 4564 32 209 32 215 38 213 29 221 31 218 4564 3757 31 212 34 212 38 212 28*215 31 216 3757 3035 32 216 34 210 37 212 28*212 33 214 3035 2399 34 212 32 199 36 211 27 211 34 209 2399 1869 33 206 28*192 33 210 26 209 31 204 1869 1462 28 199 24*188 29*208 24 208 26 203 1462 1183 20 194 21 186 25*208 21 208 22 203 1183 1013 17 193 18 186 22 208 18 207 19*203 1013 916 10*191 13 185 14 207 13 206 12*203 916 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography