DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 75.7 - - 80.6 - - 80.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 96 - - 462 - - 500 - - 175 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 728 - - 7595 - - 10734 - - 11884 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 7790 - - 10394 - - 10586 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2828 - - 9695 - - 12834 - - 13984 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1499 - - 2156 - - 1688 - - 1711 - - 3494 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 621 - - 716 - - 522 - - 3 W* B/S 13 - - 25 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 279 - - 282 - - 298 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - 2 - - 27 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6169 - - -2887 - - -1975 - - 60 - - -10967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8997 - - 12583 - - 14809 - - 13925 - - 13112 sfcLCL ODpotential -9083 - - -5165 - - -3917 - - -186 - - -13782 ODpotential blCL 11911 - - 14860 - - 16751 - - 14170 - - 15926 blCL maxRH 40 - - 59 - - 40 - - 75 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 75.7 - - 80.6 - - 80.4 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 27.3 - - 21.8 - - 25.9 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.0 - - 73.0 - - 77.6 - - 78.9 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 27.2 - - 21.7 - - 25.9 - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 96 - - 462 - - 500 - - 175 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 728 - - 7595 - - 10734 - - 11884 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97818 8 270 14 211 20 256 19 270 17 280 97818 90365 3 278 4 187 14 242 11 290 13 314 90365 84664 3 329 1 063 5 215 4 254 9 337 84664 79941 2 139 5 017 7 152 8 193 6 008 79941 75877 6 123 1 348 7 121 8 137 4 058 75877 72291 5 093 5 157 4 107 8 091 6 068 72291 69053 4 025 6 126 3 144 9 086 4 105 69053 66085 4 216 4 241 3 273 5 032 4 125 66085 63330 5 174 9 219 6 245 4 253 5 218 63330 60648 15 225 21 230 22 248 17 245 17 243 60648 57838 17 230 23 230 24 236 21 248 20 238 57838 54920 26 250 23 248 25 243 24 252 21 260 54920 52134 30 251 24 265 23 251 29 261 24 267 52134 49624 32 251 29 263 29 262 33 253 27 289 49624 47372 37 253 34 259 35 263 35 276 43 284 47372 45326 40 254 41 260 39 276 50 272 49 277 45326 43455 45 260 46 265 47 274 49 266 49 279 43455 41727 53 261 50 263 51 269 49 269 47 281 41727 40117 53 258 51 259 49 263 46 273 41 288 40117 38616 56 260 50 260 42 263 50 276 49 296 38616 37218 61 259 54 261 44 266 55 272 55 294 37218 35883 64 253 56 260 49 267 52 271 56 291 35883 34546 60 249 55 260 48 273 41 284 53 291 34546 33174 58 249 53 262 52 281 44 300 50 300 33174 31768 54 248 50 260 52 272 51 296 56 311 31768 30316 44 253 42 259 39 285 50 287 59 311 30316 28802 37 259 30 260 41 305 44 286 57 309 28802 27223 33 258 30 270 45 308 42 290 50 299 27223 25575 26 260 34 278 45 306 42 289 48 279 25575 23857 19 282 32 282 37 293 44 287 51 274 23857 22076 19 301 27 283 38 283 45 289 47 277 22076 20223 18 293 23 277 33 290 39 297 41 286 20223 18301 14 292 20 279 25 276 26 282 29 285 18301 16349 10 273 18 284 21 270 23 268 20 267 16349 14468 5 246 14 274 14*259 14*279 16 263 14468 12754 2 295 10 273 9*267 13*292 13 281 12754 11223 6 304 8 272 9 273 13 294 13 286 11223 9853 7 280 5*273 9 276 13 296 14 290 9853 8625 5 286 5*273 9 278 13 298 16 295 8625 7528 5 004 5 275 9 282 13 299 17 299 7528 6549 7 029 5 276 9 284 13 300 18 303 6549 5681 5 040 5 276 9 286 13 300 18 305 5681 4909 2 019 5 279 9 288 13 301 19 308 4909 4214 2 026 4 280 9 289 13 301 19 310 4214 3597 1 011 4 282 9 290 12 301 19 312 3597 3080 3*328 4 285 9 291 12 301 19 313 3080 2681 3*312 4 286 9 291 12 301 17 315 2681 2407 2 300 4 287 9 292 11 301 15 315 2407 2240 2 296 4 287 8 292 11 302 11*314 2240 2144 2 294 3 288 8 293 10 301 6*312 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography