DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1006z - - 1904z - - 1908z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.6 - - 79.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - 99 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 10717 - - 8306 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 10212 - - 7308 - - 2138 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 12817 - - 10406 - - 2155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1827 - - 4650 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 649 - - 385 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 22 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 132 - - 108 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -16 - - -37 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -107 - - -2876 - - -8368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 12925 - - 13282 - - 10524 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1398 - - -3830 - - -11154 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14215 - - 14236 - - 13309 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 51 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.6 - - 79.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.7 - - 27.9 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.7 - - 78.4 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.3 - - 27.5 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 370 - - 99 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 10717 - - 8306 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96898 18 277 17 288 13 304 96898 89587 10 306 7 302 7 279 89587 83979 5 317 7 334 4 317 83979 79328 8 354 7 005 6 014 79328 75332 9 349 9 351 11 002 75332 71825 7 335 9 336 12 342 71825 68671 8 330 8 334 11 328 68671 65777 11 316 11 319 15 320 65777 63106 14 316 14 316 17 310 63106 60527 21 305 20 304 19 305 60527 57840 27 299 27 295 26 303 57840 55055 41 302 39 299 42 291 55055 52390 53 297 49 290 46 278 52390 49989 60 306 57 303 54 287 49989 47830 74 300 64 302 60 292 47830 45854 79 299 70 301 70 291 45854 44029 82 300 80 296 77 291 44029 42329 90 301 90 294 85 290 42329 40736 100 300 100 294 94 287 40736 39236 109 299 107 295 100 286 39236 37818 113 300 111 295 104 286 37818 36449 115 300 116 295 106 287 36449 35062 112 301 118 296 109 288 35062 33631 105 301 117 300 113 287 33631 32158 90 298 94 300 103 296 32158 30631 72 304 78 295 76 297 30631 29050 45 313 59 304 64 291 29050 27422 34 311 41 311 45 307 27422 25741 26 311 32 309 33 309 25741 24001 17 313 31 309 29 300 24001 22198 12 319 26 309 25 303 22198 20325 8 312 18 308 20 308 20325 18383 3 312 12 317 13 312 18383 16413 1 076 2 269 3 256 16413 14524 3*132 10 162 12 187 14524 12804 5*138 11 155 11 181 12804 11265 6 138 10*154 10 166 11265 9888 7 138 9*149 10 149 9888 8655 7 136 7 140 9 133 8655 7552 7 133 5 127 8 122 7552 6569 7 132 4 110 6 101 6569 5697 7 129 3 085 5 058 5697 4923 7 128 3 060 7 027 4923 4226 7 126 3 043 11 016 4226 3608 6 123 3 033 14 011 3608 3090 6 123 3 026 16 009 3090 2692 6 120 3 021 17 008 2692 2417 6 121 3 022 14 009 2417 2250 6 120 3 020 10*010 2250 2155 5 120 3 020 5*006 2155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography