DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 91.1 - - 101.0 - - 106.4 - - 105.1 - - 96.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 143 - - 445 - - 467 - - 111 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1597 - - 7118 - - 13908 - - 14366 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2687 - - 7390 - - 12977 - - 12098 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 3697 - - 9218 - - 16008 - - 16466 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2307 - - 6004 - - 2216 - - 2585 - - 12872 Hgt.Variab. W* 250 - - 601 - - 764 - - 484 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 20 - - 70 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 161 - - 167 - - 300 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -9 - - 95 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6517 - - -3625 - - 539 - - 1012 - - -11180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10215 - - 12844 - - 15469 - - 15455 - - 13327 sfcLCL ODpotential -9301 - - -4746 - - -151 - - 477 - - -12865 ODpotential blCL 12998 - - 13964 - - 16159 - - 15989 - - 15011 blCL maxRH 49 - - 64 - - 72 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 540 - - 340 - - 310 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 91.1 - - 101.0 - - 106.4 - - 105.1 - - 96.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.7 - - 51.6 - - 44.9 - - 44.0 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 89.7 - - 98.1 - - 103.3 - - 104.0 - - 98.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.7 - - 51.6 - - 44.8 - - 43.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 143 - - 445 - - 467 - - 111 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1597 - - 7118 - - 13908 - - 14366 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 94 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98433 33 095 37 097 36 099 28 112 28 080 98433 90957 29 105 26 106 25 117 20 087 32 088 90957 85216 26 107 18 115 16 110 18 083 23 085 85216 80470 25 105 21 120 21 107 18 111 18 097 80470 76396 24 093 24 108 19 096 23 100 21 109 76396 72794 22 083 23 093 21 094 26 093 25 107 72794 69539 20 104 22 090 18 093 22 091 25 093 69539 66569 20 117 16 115 15 111 17 080 20 084 66569 63842 20 125 16 125 13 118 8 107 13 071 63842 61210 19 142 11 150 8 159 3 175 3 033 61210 58489 15 133 15 172 16 177 9 203 4 241 58489 55707 8 198 12 192 12 197 7 210 7 197 55707 53078 13 220 19 205 20 225 17 244 7 233 53078 50714 18 248 18 236 21 222 23 228 20 237 50714 48585 32 249 30 252 26 236 27 236 28 234 48585 46638 43 243 41 251 34 244 34 244 30 241 46638 44837 43 239 44 247 39 243 39 245 37 251 44837 43161 42 234 43 244 41 241 43 246 42 251 43161 41589 42 229 42 240 42 240 46 248 43 251 41589 40106 41 224 42 233 41 238 47 246 42 249 40106 38704 41 216 43 228 40 233 46 243 41 245 38704 37348 41 214 42 227 40 230 44 238 43 240 37348 35975 40 217 40 225 40 229 43 233 44 236 35975 34554 39 219 38 220 39 228 43 231 43 232 34554 33086 38 218 37 215 38 225 42 230 42 230 33086 31560 36 218 36 210 38 222 40 227 40 227 31560 29965 33 221 34 209 37 220 34 222 35 223 29965 28305 30 230 30 213 31 221 27 216 28 221 28305 26581 29 232 27 223 28 227 28 220 27 225 26581 24791 25 230 24 228 23 234 24 224 21 220 24791 22937 19 219 19 231 17 236 16 220 14 203 22937 21016 15 219 15 223 10 224 10 196 9 222 21016 19024 14 221 12 217 10 193 9 162 2 305 19024 16996 11 221 8 210 8*185 7*140 5 106 16996 15040 8 223 3 198 5*170 3*139 8 117 15040 13253 5 227 1 174 4 171 1 170 6 118 13253 11653 3 220 1 123 3 171 1 277 2 133 11653 10221 2 146 2*167 3 172 3 297 1 220 10221 8937 4 131 5*168 2 171 5 301 3 255 8937 7789 6 140 5 168 2 173 6 303 5 256 7789 6764 6 146 6 166 1 168 7 304 7 254 6764 5854 7 150 6 164 1 161 8 304 9 251 5854 5045 8 156 6 160 0 138 8 305 11 249 5045 4317 11*162 5 159 0 075 9 304 14 246 4317 3670 12*160 5 154 1 040 9 304 17 244 3670 3128 12 156 5 152 1 032 9 305 19 243 3128 2710 11 155 5 150 1 029 9 305 18 243 2710 2422 11 154 5 149 1 023 9 304 16 243 2422 2247 10 153 5 148 1 027 9 305 13*243 2247 2146 9 153 4 147 1 024 8 305 8*244 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography