DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1336z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.7 - - 34.8 - - 32.9 - - 30.0 - - 25.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - -9 - - -2 - - -44 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 112 - - 986 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 6797 - - 7671 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 1251 - - 1981 - - 5255 - - 3800 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 27 - - 48 - - 26 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 32 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 197 - - 283 - - 280 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -722 - - 874 - - -100 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6796 - - 7520 - - 6797 - - 6897 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -8050 - - -3674 - - 302 - - -1931 - - -1830 ODpotential blCL 14846 - - 10471 - - 7369 - - 8728 - - 8627 blCL maxRH 63 - - 93 - - 101 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.7 - - 34.8 - - 32.9 - - 30.0 - - 25.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 25.6 - - 31.2 - - 23.5 - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.7 - - 35.6 - - 33.0 - - 30.7 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 23.6 - - 30.9 - - 22.8 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - -9 - - -2 - - -44 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 112 - - 986 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 73 - - 102 - - 96 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95504 30 286 26 286 33 254 38 272 40 298 95504 88172 28 282 26 278 23 258 26 287 20 278 88172 82685 17 286 16 266 22 260 26 279 18 285 82685 78238 19 295 9 314 18 275 24 270 19 301 78238 74443 22 289 16 298 14 275 17 286 15 315 74443 71066 13 325 14 302 10 262 17 303 14 331 71066 67974 23 298 16 287 16 292 26 298 18 316 67974 65111 26 267 20 258 18 259 31 275 24 298 65111 62435 26 244 29 249 21 236 29 258 21 278 62435 59813 29 255 31 259 20 254 18 269 14 252 59813 57025 36 258 37 270 16 292 17 311 19 284 57025 54082 52 255 47 265 19 314 26 318 40 282 54082 51259 63 259 58 258 45 266 45 260 55 262 51259 48718 76 262 74 256 73 246 73 235 55 255 48718 46438 91 256 90 254 77 246 63 241 58 258 46438 44372 102 252 103 251 84 256 73 259 66 250 44372 42486 111 255 112 248 102 254 87 254 71 242 42486 40746 125 258 114 246 110 244 89 244 72 242 40746 39129 136 258 113 248 102 237 84 240 76 247 39129 37626 140 256 117 252 99 247 84 245 85 248 37626 36231 138 254 124 254 117 258 95 251 90 245 36231 34914 134 250 132 252 138 258 109 254 88 243 34914 33610 136 247 137 248 145 253 117 255 85 247 33610 32294 136 246 137 245 146 247 120 253 88 251 32294 30974 126 246 128 243 143 246 120 251 91 251 30974 29636 108 247 117 244 135 248 118 250 89 249 29636 28270 94 250 110 248 123 250 115 249 86 247 28270 26876 89 253 107 251 114 248 116 248 82 246 26876 25459 87 253 103 251 111 245 117 247 72 247 25459 24023 83 251 99 249 110 244 116 245 55 254 24023 22572 80 249 97 247 107 244 110 246 38 263 22572 21101 77 247 96 246 102 245 95 248 29 264 21101 19605 72 246 94 245 96 245 77 247 23 264 19605 18106 65 247 89 246 90 243 65 247 20 273 18106 16673 56 248 83 246 77 241 57 248 21 281 16673 15368 50 250 76 246 60 242 51 250 24 280 15368 14200 48 254 66 247 55 243 46 256 26 274 14200 13149 47 258 55 250 52 245 40 263 29 267 13149 12198 47 259 45 255 47 248 38 270 32 264 12198 11335 46 259 40 257 44 252 37 273 33 266 11335 10554 43 257 36 256 41 259 37 276 32 271 10554 9848 37 255 33 254 41 268 36 280 31 275 9848 9207 28 249 29 250 43 276 36 283 30 278 9207 8619 21 239 25 246 44 281 35 285 29 280 8619 8087 18 227 22 240 43*283 33 286 28 281 8087 7635 15 210 17 231 40*283 30 286 25 280 7635 7281 11 167 12 221 36 283 25 284 22 280 7281 7035 10 117 9 212 31 282 20 282 15 278 7035 6884 8 089 6*203 27 282 17*281 12*276 6884 6797 5*080 4*197 19 282 11*280 6*271 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography