DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 42.7 - - 36.3 - - 27.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 190 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1202 - - 2304 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7115 - - 7958 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7887 - - 8989 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 864 - - 984 - - 1985 - - 344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 323 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 225 - - 249 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6006 - - -5954 - - -6730 - - -4330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13894 - - 14944 - - 13529 - - 11128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13264 - - -12427 - - -14542 - - -14846 ODpotential blCL - - - 21151 - - 21416 - - 21340 - - 21643 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 25 - - 25 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 42.7 - - 36.3 - - 27.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.1 - - 1.5 - - 1.8 - - 4.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 41.3 - - 39.2 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.7 - - 1.2 - - 1.6 - - 3.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 190 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1202 - - 2304 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96193 22 032 19 033 35 017 26 351 96193 89082 16 007 15 007 17 351 27 349 89082 83590 14 310 18 340 19 341 28 352 83590 79011 15 345 20 328 21 341 30 344 79011 75053 13 318 19 316 23 328 31 333 75053 71557 14 329 18 310 22 316 29 323 71557 68387 22 337 22 321 21 319 27 316 68387 65463 27 318 24 314 25 318 28 317 65463 62751 28 297 26 299 29 310 30 315 62751 60127 27 287 28 289 30 301 31 307 60127 57386 30 286 31 293 31 296 32 297 57386 54537 34 288 35 294 35 297 34 293 54537 51817 38 287 38 289 41 296 36 296 51817 49374 41 284 39 286 43 293 37 299 49374 47196 44 281 41 287 42 288 41 297 47196 45235 48 281 43 287 42 288 44 292 45235 43453 52 279 47 291 47 294 46 290 43453 41812 55 277 50 289 54 295 49 290 41812 40285 61 278 51 286 56 291 53 292 40285 38854 67 278 51 285 55 288 55 293 38854 37514 70 278 53 286 57 287 56 293 37514 36236 70 279 55 287 52 288 51 293 36236 34955 67 280 48 293 40 296 34 302 34955 33646 61 283 46 299 36 317 28 316 33646 32318 55 287 43 299 39 321 23 321 32318 30960 44 289 39 299 32 317 20 021 30960 29564 26 297 32 304 22 335 30 044 29564 28132 20 329 27 320 23 000 35 055 28132 26664 22 335 26 334 26 008 42 063 26664 25162 24 320 26 347 25 004 46 067 25162 23629 25 304 28 358 24 002 45 067 23629 22061 21 304 27 360 26 009 41 062 22061 20451 18 313 23 347 27 013 33 053 20451 18826 13 322 22 332 25 013 28 037 18826 17270 11 329 20 330 22 007 28 031 17270 15854 11 334 17 333 20 358 25 028 15854 14591 10 332 15 341 20 358 18 025 14591 13459 9 326 13 351 20 008 13 024 13459 12439 8 324 11 001 18 017 10 028 12439 11518 6 331 7 012 15 017 8 043 11518 10687 4 342 3 031 11 011 5 065 10687 9942 3 353 1 175 7 001 2 093 9942 9272 1 010 3*211 4 343 1 191 9272 8662 1 137 4*221 2 324 2 242 8662 8113 2*151 4 224 2 291 2 249 8113 7649 2*149 5 226 3 267 3 260 7649 7288 2 150 5 226 4 259 5 274 7288 7038 2 152 5 226 4 254 5 282 7038 6885 2 149 5 227 4*251 4 292 6885 6797 2 150 4 228 4*249 2*319 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography