DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 497 - - 110 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6187 - - 6715 - - 8285 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11221 - - 11746 - - 12097 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12872 - - 13400 - - 14970 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3589 - - 2432 - - 3859 - - 5961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 637 - - 416 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 256 - - 262 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 15 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -20 - - 20 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 600 - - 1120 - - 1877 - - -5344 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12273 - - 12281 - - 13094 - - 12144 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1247 - - -9 - - 309 - - -8690 ODpotential blCL - - - 14119 - - 13409 - - 14661 - - 15489 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - 91 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 200 - - 150 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 61.6 - - 61.5 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 31.1 - - 27.6 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 59.0 - - 60.7 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 30.8 - - 27.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 497 - - 110 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6187 - - 6715 - - 8285 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 65 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 48 269 45 267 53 280 52 283 97226 89856 35 268 45 275 41 286 37 281 89856 84185 22 265 34 274 34 282 33 284 84185 79528 23 276 21 257 30 280 25 275 79528 75569 26 281 13 262 18 260 18 286 75569 72061 19 281 14 262 13 263 16 256 72061 68853 14 276 16 250 15 270 12 265 68853 65878 12 245 15 240 15 209 17 249 65878 63120 11 251 14 251 14 221 21 243 63120 60451 24 250 26 257 18 263 24 241 60451 57653 40 243 34 239 34 246 29 237 57653 54742 43 244 37 234 41 234 34 238 54742 51963 46 245 43 246 42 235 39 238 51963 49467 48 237 50 251 45 242 43 237 49467 47235 52 231 56 246 52 245 44 235 47235 45211 55 226 60 235 57 242 45 234 45211 43361 56 226 64 229 58 233 44 235 43361 41669 62 231 67 230 60 229 44 238 41669 40116 75 232 73 231 64 231 45 241 40116 38678 87 228 79 230 69 230 47 233 38678 37341 94 225 87 225 79 223 50 226 37341 36071 94 223 98 221 90 216 54 223 36071 34801 86 223 102 221 90 215 59 221 34801 33503 79 224 90 224 88 216 60 223 33503 32180 73 225 67 229 89 224 61 227 32180 30824 70 225 57 233 67 229 52 234 30824 29430 66 226 51 235 54 237 39 247 29430 28001 60 227 47 241 53 243 34 258 28001 26539 53 226 47 243 51 247 31 260 26539 25046 48 226 46 239 47 247 30 259 25046 23527 48 227 45 235 43 245 30 259 23527 21979 48 229 43 231 40 238 32 259 21979 20400 45 230 40 227 36 237 32 255 20400 18815 40 228 35 222 34 242 31 242 18815 17301 35 223 28 216 31 246 31 234 17301 15921 33 218 23 215 29*251 30 239 15921 14683 32 216 21 217 26*257 30 246 14683 13566 30*218 20*222 23 261 29 250 13566 12554 27*223 19*224 21 263 28 252 12554 11634 22 227 18 235 19 264 26 252 11634 10799 19 230 17 247 17 264 25 253 10799 10045 16 231 18 253 16 264 24 253 10045 9362 14 229 19 260 14 263 23 254 9362 8736 13 228 20 266 12 261 22 255 8736 8170 12 228 20 269 11 259 20 256 8170 7688 12 228 20 271 10 258 18 258 7688 7312 11 228 20 272 9 257 14 259 7312 7051 11 228 20 272 9 256 11 258 7051 6891 11 228 19 273 8 256 7*255 6891 6799 10 229 17 273 7 255 4*248 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography