DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 40.5 - - - - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 398 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5533 - - 7562 - - - - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10652 - - 12339 - - - - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12218 - - 14247 - - - - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5625 - - 4076 - - - - - 1768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 529 - - 616 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 23 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 287 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 30 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1865 - - 2375 - - - - - -2121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10353 - - 11873 - - - - - 8919 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 465 - - 1415 - - - - - -5164 ODpotential blCL - - - 11753 - - 12832 - - - - - 11961 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 87 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 80 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.2 - - 40.5 - - - - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 12.1 - - - - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - - - - 32.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 11.8 - - - - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 345 - - 398 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5533 - - 7562 - - - - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 49 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96142 27 274 29 259 36 279 96142 89096 23 266 22 272 24 293 89096 83675 14 269 19 284 17 314 83675 79132 12 285 17 288 19 299 79132 75217 6 299 7 248 17 273 75217 71774 17 301 7 327 5 253 71774 68636 14 242 22 283 15 300 68636 65730 17 187 15 217 13 281 65730 63010 17 275 6 212 13 304 63010 60348 38 237 36 242 30 267 60348 57555 44 206 42 216 35 237 57555 54635 36 220 37 210 32 236 54635 51821 47 233 40 234 39 236 51821 49271 54 235 48 237 43 237 49271 46974 58 236 54 241 46 239 46974 44882 56 234 57 243 47 237 44882 42959 54 236 57 242 43 234 42959 41183 55 235 57 239 40 230 41183 39537 51 231 57 234 37 231 39537 38009 43 232 53 226 34 231 38009 36589 44 232 47 225 31 233 36589 35245 52 232 52 240 30 247 35245 33916 57 234 58 238 34 253 33916 32574 54 236 54 236 38 250 32574 31228 45 240 50 245 42 244 31228 29872 43 244 48 251 43 240 29872 28500 40 243 42 253 40 240 28500 27113 34 240 35 251 33 241 27113 25707 33 233 33 250 30 252 25707 24277 27 232 32 252 31 260 24277 22822 21 205 24 260 30 262 22822 21340 21 183 13 315 17 265 21340 19828 19 194 14 356 5 183 19828 18309 13 240 9 342 6 103 18309 16853 9 276 8 308 4 047 16853 15526 9 300 12 287 4 357 15526 14337 11 321 17*281 7 344 14337 13266 11 320 21*283 10 345 13266 12295 12*306 24 285 12 343 12295 11414 14*290 24 287 12 336 11414 10615 16 280 24 287 13 329 10615 9894 19 271 25 288 12 321 9894 9241 20 268 24 288 13 311 9241 8643 22 262 24 288 13 302 8643 8103 22 260 24 288 15 294 8103 7644 22 259 23 288 16 287 7644 7287 22 258 22 288 15 281 7287 7038 21 257 21 288 13 273 7038 6885 20 257 20 288 9*264 6885 6797 17 256 17 287 5*256 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography