DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 74.3 - - 74.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 499 - - 177 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8587 - - 9969 - - 9288 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13275 - - 14414 - - 13250 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15272 - - 16654 - - 15973 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1850 - - 1919 - - 2561 - - 5212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 692 - - 729 - - 506 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 251 - - 252 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -986 - - -1071 - - -2410 - - -8855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16259 - - 17726 - - 18384 - - 15655 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4199 - - -4207 - - -5952 - - -12982 ODpotential blCL - - - 19471 - - 20861 - - 21925 - - 19782 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 40 - - 39 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 74.3 - - 74.2 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 19.4 - - 16.6 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 71.4 - - 73.0 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 18.7 - - 16.0 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 499 - - 177 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8587 - - 9969 - - 9288 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98476 5 130 4 153 1 285 1 162 98476 90972 11 157 6 134 4 005 6 074 90972 85213 17 120 6 128 3 115 8 065 85213 80466 13 113 11 115 8 100 13 073 80466 76407 16 094 13 106 13 082 17 075 76407 72844 13 103 12 120 12 092 15 083 72844 69622 12 122 14 114 10 098 14 089 69622 66655 17 142 11 124 8 109 13 110 66655 63912 17 118 15 152 7 165 8 156 63912 61274 2 146 12 104 14 140 17 179 61274 58506 19 219 17 246 14 252 5 197 58506 55607 22 226 23 222 21 222 25 242 55607 52835 23 235 22 235 27 233 29 242 52835 50336 28 255 31 251 36 248 33 252 50336 48090 34 256 35 260 40 255 37 257 48090 46050 41 259 42 263 46 259 44 261 46050 44185 49 260 48 262 49 260 51 262 44185 42479 53 260 51 259 49 261 56 264 42479 40906 55 261 52 259 48 263 59 265 40906 39443 58 264 53 262 47 264 59 264 39443 38078 59 265 55 263 48 265 55 260 38078 36779 59 262 56 262 49 263 52 255 36779 35482 58 260 56 261 50 261 49 253 35482 34160 58 257 55 261 49 258 47 252 34160 32816 58 255 55 260 48 255 46 254 32816 31439 56 256 53 259 48 253 43 255 31439 30020 52 258 48 258 47 252 41 255 30020 28562 48 258 44 255 45 250 39 255 28562 27067 45 258 40 255 41 247 36 256 27067 25539 42 260 37 257 36 245 33 255 25539 23982 37 260 32 259 31 243 33 251 23982 22393 33 252 28 253 27 243 33 242 22393 20769 30 248 28 245 25 244 31 231 20769 19141 26 248 25 243 23 238 26 225 19141 17582 21 254 17*245 21 234 23 223 17582 16162 15*260 10*247 13*233 20 222 16162 14888 8*250 10 248 10*239 17 221 14888 13740 6 240 10 250 9 241 13 222 13740 12699 5 238 9 250 9 246 8 228 12699 11754 5 238 9 251 9 248 5 247 11754 10897 5 238 9 252 9 253 3 293 10897 10123 5 240 9 253 9 256 4 326 10123 9424 4 242 9 253 8 258 5 337 9424 8782 4 243 9 254 8 259 6 341 8782 8203 4 244 9 255 8 261 7 344 8203 7710 4 246 9 255 8 262 7 345 7710 7326 4 248 9 255 8 263 7 348 7326 7058 4 249 9 255 8 263 7 351 7058 6894 4 248 9 255 8 263 6*359 6894 6800 4 248 8 255 7 263 5*003 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography