DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 47.5 - - 48.8 - - 46.6 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 470 - - 489 - - 122 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2390 - - 4969 - - 5018 - - 3696 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 7552 - - 10318 - - 10371 - - 8750 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 9075 - - 11654 - - 11703 - - 10381 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1633 - - 1244 - - 1113 - - 1578 - - 1910 Hgt.Variab. W* 249 - - 565 - - 575 - - 327 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 33 - - 36 - - 29 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 318 - - 315 - - 311 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 21 - - 16 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 21 - - -3 - - 10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5956 - - -5888 - - -5396 - - -6146 - - -8323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15032 - - 17543 - - 17100 - - 16527 - - 15122 sfcLCL ODpotential -14846 - - -13319 - - -12945 - - -14028 - - -18548 ODpotential blCL 23921 - - 24973 - - 24648 - - 24409 - - 25346 blCL maxRH 58 - - 75 - - 65 - - 73 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 47.5 - - 48.8 - - 46.6 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.1 - - -5.9 - - -2.5 - - -1.9 - - -2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 46.0 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.8 - - -6.6 - - -3.1 - - -2.4 - - -2.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 470 - - 489 - - 122 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2390 - - 4969 - - 5018 - - 3696 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 23 228 19 247 16 242 20 223 20 271 96569 89328 8 192 5 196 8 215 5 248 9 326 89328 83774 0 114 4 158 5 239 5 006 13 008 83774 79188 9 044 2 095 8 122 6 061 8 019 79188 75225 12 030 5 107 8 049 7 084 8 036 75225 71714 13 009 10 066 7 052 11 025 16 059 71714 68540 14 043 9 025 10 030 10 018 18 037 68540 65616 14 006 12 021 8 360 14 005 16 026 65616 62893 16 344 7 348 10 056 6 070 19 021 62893 60259 17 335 13 003 17 065 7 058 8 286 60259 57471 41 305 28 342 8 049 3 329 22 326 57471 54542 43 309 39 303 46 320 35 341 53 345 54542 51778 41 310 40 309 56 323 62 337 69 345 51778 49321 43 310 50 327 57 332 71 335 72 343 49321 47129 45 315 59 334 64 339 77 340 80 345 47129 45153 54 325 71 335 83 334 94 345 92 344 45153 43365 74 325 89 327 93 323 111 341 102 342 43365 41737 88 315 95 318 87 319 109 334 104 344 41737 40234 87 308 87 316 79 332 89 335 97 349 40234 38823 79 314 81 327 90 349 79 349 92 355 38823 37493 84 331 90 340 109 358 89 000 91 359 37493 36216 102 343 105 347 113 357 96 000 92 000 36216 34933 115 346 112 348 105 352 96 352 95 000 34933 33621 115 345 112 347 101 347 98 344 98 359 33621 32286 111 343 111 345 105 343 101 340 100 358 32286 30917 104 339 108 343 102 338 104 340 99 356 30917 29506 96 332 101 339 98 334 106 343 99 355 29506 28056 90 324 94 332 97 332 103 343 98 354 28056 26570 88 319 91 325 96 332 91 342 95 352 26570 25054 86 316 91 321 92 333 81 341 89 349 25054 23513 83 313 89 317 88 333 74 338 83 346 23513 21943 81 311 87 314 84 333 70 334 76 344 21943 20338 80 311 85 312 80 333 67 330 69 340 20338 18726 79 312 83 312 75 330 65 330 65 334 18726 17185 80 315 79 314 71 325 64 333 60 330 17185 15786 81 317 73 316 70 323 64 335 56 328 15786 14537 80 319 67 320 67 323 60 334 51 328 14537 13418 78 322 59 324 59 324 53 331 48 329 13418 12410 73 325 49*326 46*323 44 327 45 329 12410 11500 65 329 40*324 39*319 37 323 42 327 11500 10679 56 332 37 322 38 318 32*318 40 325 10679 9941 47 334 35 321 38 317 31*316 37 324 9941 9277 39*332 33 318 37 315 31 314 33 324 9277 8669 33*330 32 316 36 314 30 312 29 322 8669 8121 29 327 31 314 36 313 29 310 25 318 8121 7656 25 323 30 312 35 312 28 308 21 309 7656 7294 22 320 28 311 33 311 27 307 18 296 7294 7041 21 318 27 310 32 311 26 306 14 276 7041 6887 19 317 25 309 29 310 23 306 12*267 6887 6798 15 315 21 308 23 310 18 304 8*260 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography