DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.2 - - 33.0 - - 41.7 - - 36.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 79 - - 95 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 638 - - 1180 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7323 - - 7865 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 300 - - 984 - - 1115 - - 222 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 160 - - 210 - - 5 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 160 - - 277 - - 208 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -371 - - -550 - - -258 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 7695 - - 8416 - - 7057 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -8714 - - -7593 - - -4970 - - -5462 - - -8928 ODpotential blCL 15511 - - 14916 - - 12835 - - 12260 - - 15726 blCL maxRH 66 - - 66 - - 63 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.2 - - 33.0 - - 41.7 - - 36.4 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.8 - - 23.5 - - 28.8 - - 29.5 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 32.5 - - 41.0 - - 40.4 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 22.4 - - 27.7 - - 28.9 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 79 - - 95 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 638 - - 1180 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96223 11 331 14 320 2 007 3 066 13 335 96223 89056 16 026 1 055 11 007 21 036 11 022 89056 83535 15 015 10 063 12 042 15 007 18 029 83535 78949 5 342 18 053 10 039 7 065 18 012 78949 74968 6 329 12 019 4 082 20 345 15 042 74968 71425 19 330 21 325 18 013 12 348 11 057 71425 68208 24 317 29 298 30 317 23 350 19 012 68208 65271 26 307 25 286 34 317 23 320 23 312 65271 62575 30 308 29 297 38 307 35 303 32 311 62575 59975 42 300 34 297 42 296 43 290 46 310 59975 57270 49 292 37 296 43 294 39 292 51 301 57270 54462 49 291 40 292 42 296 47 299 50 298 54462 51778 53 294 47 293 48 296 50 294 48 294 51778 49359 58 294 55 296 54 291 44 298 43 287 49359 47188 61 295 60 293 51 290 46 308 33 289 47188 45221 62 299 59 290 46 296 50 310 37 318 45221 43431 60 301 55 298 47 302 49 306 45 329 43431 41791 58 303 57 300 47 310 46 306 39 337 41791 40268 56 304 52 296 45 319 42 312 44 002 40268 38843 54 304 42 303 44 326 41 333 65 015 38843 37513 53 306 40 318 45 330 48 353 80 017 37513 36245 53 307 39 323 42 337 51 001 81 016 36245 34974 55 303 36 321 40 349 52 010 72 014 34974 33676 57 297 33 322 41 004 54 020 60 013 33676 32357 57 294 28 330 44 012 54 022 49 008 32357 31004 55 294 25 345 45 015 42 011 45 003 31004 29608 54 296 27 356 43 017 32 360 41 359 29608 28170 54 297 29 359 37 016 27 000 36 354 28170 26693 53 299 29 354 31 017 26 360 33 347 26693 25183 51 302 29 344 34 015 28 354 33 339 25183 23644 48 304 30 335 37 005 31 349 34 331 23644 22073 45 306 33 328 34 357 33 348 34 327 22073 20461 40 309 34 325 28 350 31 347 34 329 20461 18838 36 312 34 325 24 346 27 346 32 334 18838 17284 33 317 32 327 22 342 23 342 28 337 17284 15872 31 322 30 328 23 339 22 341 26 340 15872 14612 29 327 28 329 23 337 22 342 25 343 14612 13482 27 330 26 330 22 339 23 344 25 346 13482 12462 26 332 23 332 21 342 23 348 25 349 12462 11542 24 333 21 338 19 345 23 352 24 351 11542 10712 22 334 19 349 16 345 22 355 23 353 10712 9965 20 334 17 357 13 336 19 355 21 355 9965 9292 17 334 14 359 11 321 15 350 17 355 9292 8678 13 332 9 350 10 302 12 337 13 351 8678 8125 9 324 5 313 8*286 10 316 10 340 8125 7656 6 309 4*288 6*277 8 290 10 341 7656 7292 2 295 2*160 6 277 7 265 10 338 7292 7040 3 141 2 161 5 276 5 245 9 331 7040 6886 4*118 2 159 5 277 4*224 6*333 6886 6798 3*106 2 159 5 276 3*208 4*327 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography