DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 46.0 - - 49.5 - - 45.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 112 - - 87 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 224 - - 1523 - - 2951 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7216 - - 8094 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6909 - - 8208 - - 9636 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 497 - - 2049 - - 1951 - - 4227 - - 182 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 246 - - 284 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 112 - - 134 - - 066 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -9 - - -5 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 112 - - 136 - - 1069 - - -623 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8073 - - 8567 - - 7423 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -3171 - - -4551 - - -2300 - - -3234 - - -4458 ODpotential blCL 10080 - - 12759 - - 11936 - - 10033 - - 11256 blCL maxRH 94 - - 65 - - 73 - - 73 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 46.0 - - 49.5 - - 45.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 34.3 - - 35.5 - - 37.1 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.3 - - 45.2 - - 48.8 - - 48.4 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.6 - - 33.0 - - 34.3 - - 35.8 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 112 - - 87 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 224 - - 1523 - - 2951 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96203 66 274 71 281 54 283 46 273 65 274 96203 89217 29 283 39 272 34 272 38 285 37 292 89217 83831 22 299 21 277 28 265 36 296 27 315 83831 79343 25 302 17 294 27 273 32 289 27 301 79343 75455 23 293 19 291 26 275 26 277 26 287 75455 71988 18 287 16 278 22 269 24 280 22 284 71988 68825 18 282 17 278 19 266 26 293 21 295 68825 65903 18 265 21 276 18 270 24 294 23 297 65903 63193 19 265 20 269 14 265 19 285 23 286 63193 60574 19 286 14 289 11 281 15 276 23 283 60574 57844 32 297 28 289 24 291 22 285 26 287 57844 55008 33 293 37 286 37 281 31 282 30 284 55008 52288 40 300 41 293 40 288 33 278 32 275 52288 49825 50 296 45 295 41 288 32 272 32 274 49825 47604 52 294 41 292 41 285 34 269 35 278 47604 45581 54 295 44 295 42 287 37 272 42 273 45581 43724 60 293 58 294 51 287 43 276 41 269 43724 42008 63 290 65 289 55 284 46 277 38 277 42008 40415 57 294 55 289 50 282 46 274 42 277 40415 38933 53 303 47 296 44 283 46 273 48 267 38933 37562 55 313 47 296 42 284 41 268 41 262 37562 36269 60 320 49 295 42 285 35 270 39 266 36269 34989 66 323 50 298 42 285 39 265 38 261 34989 33686 69 322 49 306 41 284 40 261 36 256 33686 32363 67 321 47 308 39 286 37 267 31 262 32363 31006 63 320 47 305 39 289 32 278 28 268 31006 29606 55 318 46 303 38 293 28 288 27 273 29606 28166 50 317 45 306 35 298 27 291 23 273 28166 26690 44 321 42 310 33 298 27 290 22 278 26690 25182 36 333 37 310 33 298 27 289 20 284 25182 23647 28 342 33 311 32 298 26 291 17 282 23647 22078 23 344 29 315 29 300 23 291 17 274 22078 20471 21 334 23 320 24 299 19 292 17 266 20471 18852 23 332 15 317 19 298 16 285 15 261 18852 17303 23 337 9 325 14 288 14 275 14 259 17303 15897 17 347 8 330 10 279 10 266 12 258 15897 14641 11 002 5 328 5 280 5 254 9 246 14641 13514 7 039 0 300 3 207 4 196 7 206 13514 12497 5 119 2 190 5 172 6 172 8 177 12497 11577 11 117 3 153 5 142 8 158 9 169 11577 10746 14 113 6 122 7 127 8 145 12 160 10746 9999 15 107 9 115 6*129 8 134 13 144 9999 9323 14 104 10 115 6*131 6 128 13 130 9323 8705 11 109 11*117 6 133 5 121 12 120 8705 8147 9 123 9*114 6 133 4 118 10 111 8147 7673 7 139 8 112 5 135 3 111 9 099 7673 7303 5 148 8 112 5 135 2 106 8 084 7303 7046 4*138 7 111 5 137 2 103 7 071 7046 6889 3*094 7 111 5 137 1*089 6 056 6889 6798 2 072 6 111 4 137 1*066 5*052 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography