DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 266 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1882 - - 3465 - - 2030 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7701 - - 8943 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8567 - - 10150 - - 8715 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 911 - - 1975 - - 1478 - - 912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 414 - - 48 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 251 - - 253 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4332 - - -4818 - - -5981 - - -5023 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12900 - - 14969 - - 14697 - - 11821 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12157 - - -12130 - - -14041 - - -15009 ODpotential blCL - - - 20724 - - 22280 - - 22756 - - 21807 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 43 - - 62 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.2 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.1 - - 9.4 - - 8.4 - - 11.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 49.3 - - 48.7 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.8 - - 9.0 - - 8.1 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 266 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1882 - - 3465 - - 2030 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96207 28 271 27 279 23 281 16 298 96207 89120 14 319 12 297 14 297 17 339 89120 83673 13 356 3 289 10 331 9 353 83673 79133 12 347 10 341 14 332 15 014 79133 75219 4 096 11 004 10 322 8 339 75219 71737 14 056 9 358 11 011 14 027 71737 68576 20 027 19 334 22 010 26 017 68576 65688 14 012 19 328 21 006 16 009 65688 63000 19 359 11 326 7 352 10 007 63000 60370 29 350 18 359 15 008 16 012 60370 57627 33 346 27 358 19 348 23 359 57627 54804 29 341 26 349 19 334 22 352 54804 52117 21 334 24 345 20 348 18 359 52117 49689 19 349 25 360 25 014 22 007 49689 47511 28 009 34 008 34 022 24 012 47511 45545 42 009 45 012 45 021 31 036 45545 43760 52 007 51 011 51 022 45 043 43760 42120 55 005 52 014 53 027 50 040 42120 40596 51 016 50 019 59 035 50 040 40596 39173 57 035 49 023 58 033 49 042 39173 37841 65 041 49 026 51 026 47 043 37841 36569 69 041 46 029 42 020 43 041 36569 35293 70 040 41 032 38 020 41 037 35293 33984 68 038 35 031 34 022 41 034 33984 32647 66 034 30 026 31 022 41 035 32647 31275 63 030 28 024 30 018 35 033 31275 29858 61 026 28 029 30 011 30 022 29858 28403 56 023 30 034 26 003 26 013 28403 26911 51 025 30 035 24 004 22 011 26911 25385 50 029 31 034 25 011 22 012 25385 23826 47 027 34 034 29 021 23 011 23826 22232 43 020 36 031 32 025 25 013 22232 20598 41 015 37 027 33 024 28 019 20598 18954 40 017 39 027 34 025 28 026 18954 17382 40 023 40 031 34 033 26 033 17382 15956 41 029 38 036 32 046 22 036 15956 14684 40 033 32 038 25 054 17 039 14684 13544 37 035 24 032 18 051 12 044 13544 12516 31 036 18 021 12 037 9 051 12516 11588 23 036 14 011 8 015 7 053 11588 10749 15 036 8*360 6 347 5 036 10749 9995 7 020 3*315 6 298 5 358 9995 9315 4 318 4 256 9*268 7 331 9315 8694 3*244 4 248 11*257 8 314 8694 8138 3*219 5 246 12 254 6 282 8138 7666 3 212 5 244 12 253 6 256 7666 7299 3 212 5 243 12 252 6 244 7299 7044 3 210 5 243 11 251 5 240 7044 6888 3 210 5 243 10 251 2*218 6888 6798 2 209 5 243 8 251 1*154 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography