DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1003z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.2 - - 78.3 - - 83.2 - - 81.5 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 353 - - 371 - - 61 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 291 - - 7659 - - 10133 - - 8723 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 12358 - - 14391 - - 11797 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6976 - - 14344 - - 16818 - - 15408 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 441 - - 2861 - - 1557 - - 3035 - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 593 - - 663 - - 347 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 270 - - 263 - - 269 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 11 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -16 - - -11 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6275 - - -418 - - 197 - - -938 - - -6850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13252 - - 14763 - - 16622 - - 16347 - - 13650 sfcLCL ODpotential -13455 - - -2420 - - -3206 - - -3842 - - -11939 ODpotential blCL 20431 - - 16764 - - 20024 - - 19250 - - 18739 blCL maxRH 60 - - 62 - - 51 - - 57 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.2 - - 78.3 - - 83.2 - - 81.5 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 36.9 - - 33.4 - - 33.2 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 76.9 - - 81.1 - - 81.1 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 36.8 - - 33.0 - - 32.9 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 353 - - 371 - - 61 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 291 - - 7659 - - 10133 - - 8723 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98247 7 025 5 084 9 133 5 193 6 041 98247 90875 7 074 10 097 7 122 5 110 9 061 90875 85200 11 084 13 100 10 116 7 089 8 074 85200 80506 14 092 11 093 9 112 9 069 10 078 80506 76480 13 095 12 093 11 118 7 074 12 077 76480 72931 13 105 9 094 9 107 7 115 12 074 72931 69720 9 096 7 122 8 094 7 129 9 066 69720 66779 8 130 9 155 5 147 4 144 3 022 66779 64068 3 166 12 153 11 194 10 211 3 274 64068 61453 4 206 8 176 12 196 15 208 11 262 61453 58739 11 249 9 208 16 210 18 219 19 248 58739 55941 22 233 19 242 21 234 23 219 27 235 55941 53297 31 238 31 243 31 251 27 246 30 234 53297 50932 31 240 34 242 38 250 37 255 30 243 50932 48804 34 249 38 244 39 248 41 255 38 255 48804 46859 42 253 41 244 42 253 45 257 45 257 46859 45060 46 252 43 243 45 254 46 257 46 253 45060 43378 45 250 45 246 46 252 46 254 46 253 43378 41795 45 253 45 251 46 251 46 254 46 256 41795 40303 46 257 47 257 47 254 46 256 45 258 40303 38901 45 258 47 260 47 257 45 257 45 254 38901 37562 42 259 43 258 47 260 43 257 45 250 37562 36221 40 260 40 257 46 268 41 262 43 250 36221 34851 39 262 39 259 46 274 41 269 42 257 34851 33456 38 264 37 262 44 275 41 273 43 269 33456 32028 34 260 35 263 39 273 39 271 44 275 32028 30559 32 253 34 258 35 266 35 267 40 272 30559 29054 30 251 34 254 34 256 30 261 35 264 29054 27514 27 254 32 257 33 257 29 257 31 257 27514 25944 25 262 29 264 29 261 27 255 27 251 25944 24348 22 262 23 265 21 255 22 251 21 250 24348 22721 19 253 17 252 17 240 15 236 16 261 22721 21055 11 258 12 234 13 227 10 243 14 273 21055 19383 10 295 8 256 7 233 11 254 9 273 19383 17788 22 271 12 289 11*265 13 256 10 252 17788 16340 23 256 16 277 11*267 12*258 14 243 16340 15043 21 256 16*269 11 268 12*259 15 245 15043 13873 13 259 14*269 11 267 12 260 14 255 13873 12812 7 271 13 277 11 266 10 267 12 265 12812 11848 4 297 11 284 11 264 9 271 11 270 11848 10975 3 305 8 288 11 263 9 272 10 271 10975 10186 3 273 5 280 11 262 9 275 8 272 10186 9472 2 258 4 267 11 260 9 275 7 275 9472 8819 0 305 4 248 11 260 9 275 6 279 8819 8229 2 084 4 242 11 259 8 276 6 287 8229 7727 4 101 5 237 11 258 8 275 5 292 7727 7335 5 100 5 233 11 258 8 276 5 296 7335 7063 5*090 5 231 10 258 8 276 4 299 7063 6896 4*088 5 232 10 258 8 276 2*326 6896 6800 3 090 4 230 9 257 7 275 2*359 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography