DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 57.9 - - 62.1 - - 49.5 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 201 - - 544 - - 557 - - 103 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2726 - - 6124 - - 9625 - - 1651 - - 2217 BL Depth Hcrit 8289 - - 11302 - - 14184 - - 7243 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 9411 - - 12809 - - 16310 - - 8336 - - 8902 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1835 - - 1964 - - 2978 - - 3158 - - 1830 Hgt.Variab. W* 349 - - 638 - - 748 - - 244 - - 107 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 15 - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 261 - - 250 - - 214 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - -7 - - -8 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3457 - - -2567 - - -66 - - 868 - - 2104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12868 - - 15377 - - 16377 - - 7468 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -7433 - - -5662 - - -1473 - - -1536 - - -501 ODpotential blCL 16844 - - 18471 - - 17783 - - 9872 - - 9403 blCL maxRH 91 - - 96 - - 75 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 530 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 57.9 - - 62.1 - - 49.5 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 13.7 - - 13.2 - - 40.0 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 55.0 - - 59.3 - - 48.8 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.7 - - 13.0 - - 12.6 - - 38.8 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 201 - - 544 - - 557 - - 103 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2726 - - 6124 - - 9625 - - 1651 - - 2217 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 85 - - 0 - - 73 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97921 17 269 16 281 8 272 12 288 12 316 97921 90453 12 243 17 249 16 267 12 292 15 269 90453 84707 8 298 8 237 11 285 7 276 13 236 84707 79932 11 285 8 258 15 255 17 299 7 274 79932 75836 10 301 14 276 16 234 23 292 16 323 75836 72253 14 315 7 284 6 237 17 268 15 303 72253 69032 17 288 10 320 12 291 17 255 20 269 69032 66066 30 287 11 304 15 303 18 272 17 269 66066 63284 38 287 33 293 31 293 35 292 29 283 63284 60574 42 276 44 277 42 273 47 279 41 273 60574 57749 44 266 46 268 47 264 58 264 51 268 57749 54808 46 264 51 264 50 265 58 261 55 267 54808 51989 52 265 60 258 53 264 57 259 55 262 51989 49454 62 262 59 258 60 259 59 258 56 259 49454 47192 70 255 63 254 65 247 64 255 59 254 47192 45146 74 250 68 251 62 244 66 251 60 252 45146 43271 82 250 78 246 67 249 67 248 62 249 43271 41540 94 250 89 244 78 247 70 248 65 247 41540 39934 101 249 97 244 87 247 76 248 69 246 39934 38439 103 249 101 245 101 246 84 247 72 246 38439 37049 103 249 108 247 112 247 92 248 74 247 37049 35733 103 248 114 247 121 248 101 249 74 248 35733 34425 103 247 116 245 125 247 107 248 70 249 34425 33098 104 246 115 243 123 246 106 248 64 250 33098 31758 106 244 111 242 114 246 97 248 55 253 31758 30395 107 244 104 244 100 248 83 248 42 256 30395 29006 104 245 91 247 86 250 65 245 25 256 29006 27598 91 249 73 252 71 251 41 237 11 243 27598 26168 70 254 53 253 55 249 27 236 6 220 26168 24712 48 258 38 246 39 252 27 233 10 225 24712 23230 38 257 34 240 34 251 29 227 13 230 23230 21714 36 248 35 240 35 252 27 224 15 235 21714 20160 33 239 33 241 32 257 19 242 17 239 20160 18595 24 252 27 241 26 259 18 258 19 248 18595 17096 21 279 18 251 24*255 19 286 19 259 17096 15733 20 277 12 263 19*248 22 294 19 271 15733 14513 17 250 11 257 19 248 23 295 20 280 14513 13415 14 230 13*253 19 248 23 293 20 283 13415 12422 10 240 14*259 18 249 23 287 20 283 12422 11521 12 260 14 259 18 249 23 276 20 281 11521 10703 14 275 14 260 19 250 22 263 20 276 10703 9965 15*289 15 261 18 250 21 252 19 270 9965 9299 13*296 15 261 18 250 20 244 18*264 9299 8689 12 296 15 261 18 251 17*233 17*258 8689 8137 11 292 15 261 18 251 16*225 15 254 8137 7668 10 288 15 261 18 251 14 214 14 252 7668 7301 10 285 15 261 17 252 14 211 14 251 7301 7046 9 283 15 261 17 252 13 210 12 250 7046 6889 9 282 14 261 16 252 12 209 11 250 6889 6799 8 282 13 261 14 252 11 208 8 250 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography