DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 59.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.8 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 144 - - 463 - - 480 - - 138 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1627 - - 12408 - - 14304 - - 11029 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 7364 - - 16387 - - 17986 - - 14401 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 8312 - - 19093 - - 20989 - - 17714 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2073 - - 2364 - - 2802 - - 5239 - - 2524 Hgt.Variab. W* 263 - - 763 - - 811 - - 491 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 16 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 168 - - 185 - - 229 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -9 - - 15 - - 27 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5931 - - 3397 - - 4098 - - 1452 - - -7372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14244 - - 15697 - - 16892 - - 16263 - - 14172 sfcLCL ODpotential -8120 - - 1946 - - 2871 - - 385 - - -10143 ODpotential blCL 16432 - - 17147 - - 18118 - - 17329 - - 16942 blCL maxRH 95 - - 79 - - 100 - - 87 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 100 - - 180 - - 160 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 59.3 - - 62.6 - - 60.8 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.2 - - 13.6 - - 11.4 - - 12.8 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 56.6 - - 59.8 - - 59.8 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.0 - - 13.1 - - 10.8 - - 12.4 - - 13.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 144 - - 463 - - 480 - - 138 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1627 - - 12408 - - 14304 - - 11029 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 17 - - 98 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97719 12 277 14 214 14 267 20 294 14 304 97719 90307 6 202 1 210 11 216 8 282 9 314 90307 84631 11 103 3 240 4 200 4 346 5 323 84631 79938 7 064 3 060 6 124 1 011 6 013 79938 75897 7 081 3 354 8 051 5 048 8 044 75897 72317 6 049 5 158 4 016 5 072 7 037 72317 69066 6 235 4 221 11 284 4 360 7 058 69066 66074 3 297 12 163 17 215 16 234 8 297 66074 63302 17 242 7 252 10 181 13 219 9 231 63302 60609 24 222 21 246 13 253 12 228 11 206 60609 57781 26 206 26 230 23 251 20 248 14 241 57781 54829 17 213 25 204 29 226 24 235 24 249 54829 52004 18 244 18 207 27 215 24 228 30 244 52004 49464 25 243 18 233 23 220 20 231 25 243 49464 47190 29 241 23 240 24 228 22 244 21 258 47190 45130 33 243 26 234 25 231 26 249 22 259 45130 43242 36 242 28 233 26 232 26 251 22 247 43242 41501 36 237 31 230 27 231 24 253 20 230 41501 39892 35 230 34 222 27 226 24 250 14 226 39892 38403 36 226 35 217 26 223 25 239 13 258 38403 37021 40 224 36 214 27 219 24 232 17 268 37021 35710 43 222 35 211 27 215 23 227 15 273 35710 34412 43 221 35 213 27 213 18 225 11 258 34412 33107 43 221 37 216 25 211 13 226 4 229 33107 31800 43 222 37 216 23 212 12 214 5 209 31800 30477 43 222 34 217 21 213 10 197 8 205 30477 29124 39 215 32 217 20 213 10 200 10 198 29124 27739 29 208 28 212 20 212 12 202 12 191 27739 26319 22 205 23 206 18 205 14 190 15 191 26319 24867 18 207 19 200 16 197 14 186 15 190 24867 23385 15 209 17 193 15 181 11 184 14 191 23385 21869 15 212 16 171 13*162 8 175 13 191 21869 20313 19 203 16*161 12*162 6 174 11 192 20313 18745 20 192 16*160 12 164 5*179 7 197 18745 17240 17 186 15 159 11 166 5*192 3 236 17240 15869 11 177 12 156 11 168 5 207 4 296 15869 14638 7 154 10 154 9 179 6 220 6 304 14638 13528 6 123 8 157 8 187 7 228 7 300 13528 12522 7 111 8 159 7 194 8 232 8 293 12522 11606 11 123 7 163 7 201 8 234 8 285 11606 10776 18 131 6 183 7 206 9 234 8 277 10776 10025 23 133 6 190 7 212 9 235 7 266 10025 9345 25 129 6 194 7 216 9 235 6 250 9345 8723 23*123 6 199 7 220 10 235 6 226 8723 8160 18*114 6 203 7 223 10 235 7 197 8160 7682 15 105 6 206 7 225 10 236 8 176 7682 7309 13 103 6 208 7 226 10 235 11 163 7309 7049 12 102 6 209 7 227 9 235 11 157 7049 6890 11 102 6 210 7 227 9 235 9*155 6890 6799 9 101 6 211 6 228 8 235 6*151 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography