DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.8 - - 37.4 - - 44.3 - - 40.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 156 - - 156 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1720 - - 2987 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7466 - - 8371 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8405 - - 9672 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 411 - - 871 - - 3324 - - 6103 - - 1209 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 275 - - 331 - - 6 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 140 - - 242 - - 219 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -479 - - -432 - - -1277 - - -3235 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7277 - - 8837 - - 10949 - - 10033 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -7125 - - -4063 - - -3482 - - -5916 - - -2462 ODpotential blCL 13922 - - 12468 - - 13154 - - 12714 - - 9260 blCL maxRH 93 - - 92 - - 90 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.8 - - 37.4 - - 44.3 - - 40.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 22.5 - - 20.0 - - 20.3 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.2 - - 36.4 - - 43.2 - - 42.6 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.9 - - 22.2 - - 19.6 - - 19.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 156 - - 156 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1720 - - 2987 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 69 - - 62 - - 61 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96754 31 066 32 065 38 078 37 070 26 087 96754 89554 38 079 37 079 43 075 37 077 35 074 89554 83948 35 083 37 080 44 076 39 079 41 068 83948 79261 30 070 27 069 34 068 34 077 42 066 79261 75219 20 048 15 073 23 042 31 067 34 064 75219 71649 16 028 13 082 10 010 18 022 30 050 71649 68402 15 355 14 028 3 037 14 348 21 022 68402 65417 17 321 15 339 7 296 17 332 17 358 65417 62662 18 316 14 330 11 282 18 306 17 326 62662 59985 26 301 19 309 19 299 20 302 17 318 59985 57172 39 292 31 289 21 302 18 291 24 295 57172 54250 52 288 37 280 25 290 19 289 26 289 54250 51471 60 283 46 279 40 278 37 283 25 291 51471 48963 69 280 54 277 50 275 43 283 34 288 48963 46711 80 279 63 276 61 275 53 278 51 285 46711 44677 87 275 73 273 68 274 61 272 64 275 44677 42822 85 267 78 268 72 272 64 271 67 267 42822 41114 81 263 81 267 77 274 71 274 65 267 41114 39529 76 266 84 268 88 274 82 275 71 273 39529 38056 75 269 87 270 96 271 93 272 81 272 38056 36688 73 269 88 268 98 266 101 268 88 266 36688 35398 69 269 83 262 87 266 105 265 96 262 35398 34123 66 272 77 262 82 274 102 264 108 262 34123 32832 64 276 73 268 84 280 101 264 114 263 32832 31522 62 280 69 272 83 281 97 266 113 262 31522 30182 60 284 67 276 78 279 92 268 107 261 30182 28804 57 287 68 279 75 277 88 272 101 260 28804 27394 52 289 67 282 74 276 84 273 94 263 27394 25956 47 286 63 281 74 275 79 270 83 263 25956 24494 46 276 60 278 73 277 77 266 76 259 24494 23011 49 274 59 273 70 278 75 266 75 256 23011 21503 48 278 58 271 66 275 73 268 72 261 21503 19964 44 281 54 269 64 271 68 268 65 268 19964 18418 40 278 48 263 59 266 62 266 60 270 18418 16939 38 274 45 259 55 262 56 263 55 265 16939 15595 36 270 41 259 51 260 51 261 49 254 15595 14393 35 267 37 260 46 259 46 257 47 250 14393 13310 32 264 32 260 40 257 42 255 44 248 13310 12330 27 258 28 258 34 256 37 254 36 245 12330 11442 22 252 24 254 29 255 33 254 27 241 11442 10636 18 245 20 249 25 253 30 254 21 239 10636 9910 14 232 17 240 19*250 27 253 19 249 9910 9252 12 232 13 227 14*247 23 252 20 268 9252 8651 13 231 8*212 10 242 19 250 24 285 8651 8108 11 211 4*158 9 241 15 247 26 296 8108 7648 9 171 4 140 8 240 11 243 24 303 7648 7289 8 120 4 137 8 240 8 239 19 307 7289 7039 8 095 4 135 7 240 6 234 13 311 7039 6885 7*080 4 133 7 241 5*227 9*313 6885 6798 5*074 4 132 7 240 3*219 5*313 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography