DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.5 - - 90.4 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 357 - - 89 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4470 - - 13780 - - 11470 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9890 - - 17364 - - 14334 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11155 - - 20465 - - 18155 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8113 - - 2891 - - 5290 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 529 - - 727 - - 435 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 297 - - 18 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 313 - - 294 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 20 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - 4 - - -10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3036 - - 2804 - - -152 - - -9609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14192 - - 17662 - - 18307 - - 16410 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5756 - - 1343 - - -2186 - - -12933 ODpotential blCL - - - 16911 - - 19122 - - 20341 - - 19734 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 96 - - 98 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 180 - - 100 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.5 - - 90.4 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.2 - - 36.1 - - 33.3 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 88.3 - - 89.8 - - 83.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 35.5 - - 32.7 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 357 - - 89 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4470 - - 13780 - - 11470 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 85 - - 91 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99322 41 096 38 090 41 089 43 096 99322 91866 32 102 36 092 36 088 36 090 91866 86104 34 099 33 099 27 089 36 082 86104 81306 34 086 33 107 21 101 26 077 81306 77175 27 082 29 100 24 101 24 084 77175 73545 22 088 25 085 24 104 25 080 73545 70280 16 094 16 087 20 096 23 089 70280 67278 13 101 17 101 15 090 19 080 67278 64499 15 109 15 099 15 096 14 075 64499 61841 18 093 14 104 14 090 14 076 61841 59102 18 056 11 087 13 095 12 086 59102 56284 15 023 11 032 12 026 8 056 56284 53618 15 358 8 347 13 346 16 344 53618 51227 23 348 14 330 20 341 26 334 51227 49080 27 342 24 337 30 343 30 347 49080 47115 31 334 32 330 33 345 32 351 47115 45294 30 330 33 329 34 345 30 352 45294 43598 28 333 31 330 33 343 32 354 43598 42011 29 343 28 336 30 338 35 354 42011 40518 34 345 27 344 27 339 37 352 40518 39116 36 339 29 337 27 339 36 346 39116 37777 33 336 31 332 31 332 36 340 37777 36440 31 348 31 335 34 330 34 344 36440 35078 33 358 31 344 34 336 32 356 35078 33694 34 001 31 353 31 348 32 009 33694 32274 37 359 33 357 30 001 34 015 32274 30808 40 001 37 002 35 013 35 017 30808 29298 42 007 43 010 42 023 34 019 29298 27748 40 007 46 015 43 025 32 024 27748 26165 35 002 44 015 39 023 32 029 26165 24553 27 357 34 013 29 021 30 030 24553 22917 19 357 24 010 19 013 18 029 22917 21254 16 356 21*009 18 011 12 025 21254 19580 14 355 18*007 16*006 14 018 19580 17969 12 357 13 359 13*354 15 011 17969 16498 13 001 10 348 11 335 16 003 16498 15179 14 003 7 328 11 314 17 354 15179 13989 14 002 7 304 11 298 17 345 13989 12910 13 360 7 289 13 289 17 337 12910 11930 10*357 8 281 14 284 17 328 11930 11042 5*353 8 277 14 280 18 320 11042 10240 0 334 9 275 15 279 18 312 10240 9514 1 189 9 274 15 277 19 306 9514 8850 1 179 9 273 15 276 19 299 8850 8251 1 181 9 273 15 275 20 293 8251 7741 1 176 9 273 15 275 20 287 7741 7343 1 178 9 273 14 275 19 281 7343 7067 1 180 9 273 14 274 16 275 7067 6898 1 181 9 274 13 274 12*269 6898 6801 1 184 8 274 11 274 7*265 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography