DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 47.3 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 634 - - 611 - - 202 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5176 - - 6085 - - 4893 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10580 - - 11308 - - 9914 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11861 - - 12770 - - 11578 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1132 - - 998 - - 1556 - - 2221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 633 - - 660 - - 425 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 24 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 293 - - 303 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -12 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -42 - - -5295 - - -4576 - - -7356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11904 - - 18066 - - 16154 - - 14155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3109 - - -11890 - - -9978 - - -14207 ODpotential blCL - - - 14970 - - 24660 - - 21556 - - 21005 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 21 - - 24 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 47.3 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.2 - - -8.7 - - 0.1 - - 0.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 44.5 - - 46.3 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.0 - - -9.3 - - -0.2 - - 0.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 634 - - 611 - - 202 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5176 - - 6085 - - 4893 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97304 30 259 40 253 49 281 54 294 97304 90002 57 286 48 286 40 277 43 280 90002 84395 62 272 52 287 38 273 34 274 84395 79701 48 232 47 247 41 259 39 278 79701 75634 35 221 42 211 40 251 40 275 75634 72055 33 268 30 241 26 244 29 257 72055 68813 43 271 38 266 25 256 25 237 68813 65815 46 254 45 256 33 260 33 260 65815 63036 41 246 42 252 36 253 42 257 63036 60343 35 244 37 249 37 246 41 250 60343 57522 36 244 38 251 41 255 41 268 57522 54599 43 243 50 255 52 261 48 269 54599 51826 48 248 54 253 53 256 50 263 51826 49332 55 258 53 257 51 255 49 260 49332 47086 62 261 53 260 51 258 49 261 47086 45034 66 258 59 260 55 263 51 268 45034 43154 69 253 64 257 60 264 58 272 43154 41433 69 249 69 256 66 265 66 270 41433 39854 68 253 74 257 70 264 67 264 39854 38397 74 257 75 259 69 262 62 261 38397 37044 79 255 74 260 66 262 58 268 37044 35760 78 253 73 260 63 264 60 274 35760 34484 74 257 72 263 60 270 59 276 34484 33187 73 263 73 264 62 274 56 279 33187 31870 72 265 72 264 64 273 55 282 31870 30522 70 264 68 264 62 271 55 282 30522 29135 68 264 63 265 58 273 55 279 29135 27715 66 265 59 270 55 278 54 279 27715 26264 64 266 57 276 53 281 53 281 26264 24784 62 269 57 279 52 283 52 283 24784 23279 61 272 57 280 51 285 50 284 23279 21744 61 272 57 281 48 287 47 285 21744 20172 61 270 56 281 46 288 44 286 20172 18589 61 266 51 280 42 290 41 287 18589 17074 62 262 46 281 38 293 38 291 17074 15698 61 262 41 283 34 299 34 298 15698 14470 57 265 36 288 30 309 31 306 14470 13369 48 268 26*293 21 321 27 312 13369 12377 36*272 24*294 18*321 21 317 12377 11479 27*279 24 294 18*315 15 321 11479 10666 24 284 24 294 18 312 12 325 10666 9933 24 286 24 293 19 307 13 326 9933 9271 24 286 24 293 20 303 14 326 9271 8665 24 286 24 292 20 301 16 324 8665 8119 23 286 24 292 20 299 18 320 8119 7655 23 286 24 291 20 298 19 314 7655 7293 23 286 23 291 20 297 19 306 7293 7041 22 286 22 291 19 296 16 300 7041 6887 21 286 21 290 18 296 13*296 6887 6798 18 286 18 290 15 295 8*292 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography