DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 35.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 282 - - 216 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7083 - - 6967 - - 6901 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 475 - - 841 - - 886 - - 542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 52 - - 3 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 016 - - 168 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 286 - - 170 - - 104 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4951 - - -2417 - - -2141 - - -2558 ODpotential blCL - - - 12034 - - 9384 - - 9042 - - 9356 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.1 - - 35.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 34.0 - - 35.2 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 35.7 - - 36.4 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 33.7 - - 34.9 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 398 - - 282 - - 216 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95435 47 338 48 356 32 351 42 324 95435 88608 35 357 38 356 33 000 28 340 88608 83282 32 009 30 002 32 002 29 007 83282 78842 27 011 27 358 29 001 29 012 78842 74994 21 017 16 349 23 355 19 360 74994 71551 22 003 16 357 16 330 12 356 71551 68401 21 328 22 334 17 334 15 337 68401 65496 19 313 24 323 20 334 18 329 65496 62800 19 306 21 306 25 318 22 320 62800 60175 20 296 20 286 28 296 25 302 60175 57434 21 289 21 289 33 284 29 285 57434 54598 35 277 43 273 36 266 34 278 54598 51889 45 262 44 255 38 255 39 274 51889 49443 38 253 36 248 41 258 40 270 49443 47250 31 258 33 255 43 259 41 267 47250 45264 32 258 38 256 43 258 41 266 45264 43447 39 254 43 249 45 255 44 270 43447 41764 55 245 47 243 48 254 42 270 41764 40195 65 234 47 238 49 253 39 269 40195 38731 56 227 44 233 46 252 38 268 38731 37367 42 225 44 223 43 250 37 266 37367 36069 36 221 44 219 41 247 37 265 36069 34778 36 220 41 227 40 243 35 263 34778 33469 36 220 37 234 41 242 35 265 33469 32146 35 219 35 238 41 246 37 268 32146 30795 34 216 34 242 40 252 39 269 30795 29404 33 219 34 248 39 257 39 270 29404 27974 34 226 34 254 38 262 39 271 27974 26508 36 230 34 257 38 264 38 270 26508 25011 38 233 36 257 36 265 37 267 25011 23485 40 240 38 259 35 265 39 267 23485 21927 37 254 38 263 35 266 41 269 21927 20332 32 264 36 267 36 269 43 273 20332 18728 31 263 36 271 38 271 40 279 18728 17196 33 262 37 276 40 275 38 290 17196 15805 30 265 36 282 37 281 35 294 15805 14565 25 270 35 285 31 291 30 289 14565 13451 25 274 29 285 30 298 27 284 13451 12443 28 276 24 284 29 297 28 284 12443 11530 31 278 24 287 27 294 29 287 11530 10705 30 276 24 294 24 294 30 289 10705 9961 22 268 22 296 22 296 30 288 9961 9290 12 260 16 293 19 298 28 286 9290 8677 5 251 9 279 17 299 22 286 8677 8125 3 148 5 257 12 300 15 295 8125 7657 7 114 2 233 7 289 9 306 7657 7294 8*104 1 081 3 251 3 285 7294 7041 6*100 2*021 1*197 2 184 7041 6886 6 099 2*018 1*176 3*148 6886 6798 5 098 2 015 1 163 2*137 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography