DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1608z - - 1904z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 64.0 - - 68.9 - - 67.1 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 75 - - 389 - - 397 - - 70 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 456 - - 5335 - - 7222 - - 5952 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 10543 - - 12061 - - 9946 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7141 - - 12020 - - 13907 - - 12637 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 538 - - 1895 - - 2495 - - 4496 - - 494 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 544 - - 605 - - 320 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 16 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 099 - - 233 - - 250 - - 269 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 11 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -9 - - -8 - - -12 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4242 - - -2661 - - -3177 - - -4401 - - -8177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11383 - - 14682 - - 17085 - - 17039 - - 14977 sfcLCL ODpotential -10759 - - -7205 - - -6497 - - -7419 - - -12774 ODpotential blCL 17900 - - 19225 - - 20404 - - 20056 - - 19573 blCL maxRH 39 - - 35 - - 31 - - 45 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 64.0 - - 68.9 - - 67.1 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 23.2 - - 17.2 - - 15.7 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 62.2 - - 66.8 - - 66.6 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 22.8 - - 16.7 - - 15.3 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 75 - - 389 - - 397 - - 70 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 456 - - 5335 - - 7222 - - 5952 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98080 13 066 14 086 4 127 11 061 10 054 98080 90814 11 085 9 063 12 100 4 119 3 057 90814 85167 14 104 9 053 13 125 6 058 6 074 85167 80453 15 103 7 114 8 119 8 074 9 095 80453 76388 9 103 13 127 9 132 7 118 9 083 76388 72804 7 111 9 118 4 129 10 149 5 109 72804 69567 5 142 6 133 6 140 8 158 8 126 69567 66596 3 238 5 198 8 242 3 230 4 204 66596 63848 3 122 9 162 4 143 6 229 13 188 63848 61184 18 277 10 315 9 088 3 148 3 211 61184 58407 26 239 25 245 23 267 23 273 23 262 58407 55544 28 221 34 227 37 238 35 247 33 249 55544 52812 28 244 36 236 41 238 37 241 38 247 52812 50337 45 254 48 253 50 251 46 252 47 253 50337 48115 63 250 65 252 67 253 65 256 63 261 48115 46104 72 247 78 247 86 249 84 253 78 258 46104 44259 76 245 85 243 96 244 95 249 90 253 44259 42547 80 246 86 241 97 242 100 246 97 248 42547 40942 84 245 86 241 95 242 101 244 100 245 40942 39432 86 244 87 241 93 241 101 242 98 244 39432 38014 88 243 87 240 93 241 99 243 94 248 38014 36662 87 242 86 238 91 239 98 244 95 249 36662 35321 84 241 82 239 89 238 93 241 91 243 35321 33964 78 241 77 240 84 238 84 240 82 238 33964 32590 73 240 75 240 81 238 81 243 80 242 32590 31194 68 239 72 237 79 238 83 241 79 241 31194 29770 66 238 68 235 76 235 81 236 77 239 29770 28315 64 238 66 234 73 234 78 234 71 239 28315 26833 60 238 64 235 70 235 73 236 62 242 26833 25325 54 238 60 235 66 235 65 243 52 245 25325 23791 51 240 56 236 61 236 58 249 46 245 23791 22224 49 242 52 238 55 238 50 252 43 245 22224 20620 46 243 49 240 48 241 44 250 39 239 20620 19005 43 244 44 243 40 246 37 241 37 230 19005 17459 38 247 38 247 33 249 31 232 33 229 17459 16051 34 250 32 249 28 249 29 232 28 231 16051 14790 29 254 25 251 24*247 28 232 25 238 14790 13653 24 260 18 256 22*247 26*235 23 246 13653 12622 19 264 12*258 21 248 22*241 21 254 12622 11687 14 260 8*252 17 250 18 250 18 264 11687 10839 12 244 8 247 15 251 16 262 16 280 10839 10074 11 219 9 235 15 251 14 273 17 295 10074 9382 12 201 10 231 14 252 13 280 19 305 9382 8749 9 194 10 229 14 251 13 284 21 313 8749 8178 6 181 10 228 14 252 13 286 23 322 8178 7693 6 146 10 227 13 252 13 287 22 329 7693 7315 7*113 9 226 13 252 12 288 20 333 7315 7052 6*100 9 226 13 252 12 289 15 335 7052 6891 6 099 9 226 12 252 11 289 11*335 6891 6799 5 098 8 225 11 252 10 290 5*333 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography