DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.0 - - 54.9 - - 62.1 - - 62.2 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 262 - - 334 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1689 - - 3669 - - 3420 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7624 - - 9181 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8374 - - 10354 - - 10105 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 1186 - - 2194 - - 3601 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 325 - - 456 - - 161 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 23 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 13 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 101 - - 227 - - 259 - - 279 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -12 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2782 - - -5887 - - -5687 - - -6814 - - -6477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9580 - - 14261 - - 16042 - - 16920 - - 13276 sfcLCL ODpotential -13287 - - -12613 - - -10690 - - -11238 - - -13893 ODpotential blCL 20085 - - 20987 - - 21044 - - 21343 - - 20692 blCL maxRH 68 - - 77 - - 80 - - 90 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.0 - - 54.9 - - 62.1 - - 62.2 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.5 - - 16.5 - - 15.4 - - 11.7 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.1 - - 53.4 - - 60.1 - - 62.2 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 16.0 - - 14.9 - - 11.3 - - 13.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 262 - - 334 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1689 - - 3669 - - 3420 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 20 - - 61 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96475 11 140 3 048 1 270 4 099 3 313 96475 89297 13 083 8 130 6 218 3 048 8 024 89297 83731 6 023 3 126 5 217 5 262 11 351 83731 79088 6 294 4 225 4 233 7 247 12 314 79088 75098 17 310 18 309 9 355 15 314 20 322 75098 71617 17 315 19 307 17 319 23 318 29 326 71617 68504 40 325 37 332 35 341 31 337 39 329 68504 65653 50 323 49 317 41 316 42 313 41 314 65653 63005 58 324 53 318 48 317 46 314 41 312 63005 60425 61 319 56 319 56 313 58 318 56 311 60425 57718 72 311 68 309 62 304 70 305 63 301 57718 54899 74 299 64 299 69 300 71 294 67 295 54899 52201 67 302 63 299 76 294 68 298 63 295 52201 49758 70 308 69 298 74 291 73 302 61 300 49758 47550 80 307 74 299 70 295 75 298 74 304 47550 45545 86 305 79 301 74 298 75 294 79 301 45545 43727 89 303 86 298 79 296 77 292 75 296 43727 42067 93 301 88 298 81 294 78 289 68 289 42067 40528 90 299 86 297 86 292 74 289 64 284 40528 39089 87 297 83 294 86 290 74 287 64 292 39089 37747 84 296 79 293 85 290 76 286 68 298 37747 36474 78 298 75 293 80 290 76 288 66 298 36474 35199 72 301 70 293 72 291 75 287 59 296 35199 33894 67 304 64 297 64 289 70 284 53 297 33894 32565 63 304 60 301 55 288 65 284 54 302 32565 31199 60 304 56 302 48 288 62 288 54 306 31199 29790 56 304 54 301 43 288 60 291 54 309 29790 28340 52 302 54 300 46 289 56 291 52 311 28340 26852 51 301 51 297 49 289 48 289 48 303 26852 25332 50 302 46 294 49 287 45 293 48 292 25332 23788 48 304 42 294 47 288 49 298 48 291 23788 22212 46 304 39 296 42 292 53 296 47 292 22212 20598 42 304 33 295 34 293 51 294 44 292 20598 18974 37 303 27 292 29 289 46 294 39 290 18974 17420 32 306 23 293 26 287 39 290 34 288 17420 16004 28 311 22 297 23 291 31 286 30 288 16004 14737 26 315 22 301 21 301 23 294 28 287 14737 13599 25 318 23 305 18 314 16 313 23 285 13599 12571 24 319 22 312 16 321 12 327 16 281 12571 11642 22 320 21 323 15 316 11 325 10 273 11642 10801 19 321 20 330 13*303 11*316 6 272 10801 10042 15 326 16 331 12*283 11*300 5 294 10042 9357 11 338 11 327 12 274 12 288 6 314 9357 8730 8 350 5*315 13 258 13 280 8 314 8730 8164 5 358 2*236 14 253 13 276 10 310 8164 7684 1 354 3 227 14 251 13 273 11 304 7684 7309 3 137 3 224 14 249 13 272 13 297 7309 7049 5 122 3 223 13 248 13 271 11 288 7049 6890 5*109 3 223 13 248 12 269 7*278 6890 6799 4*101 2 224 11 248 10 268 4*276 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography