DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 44.4 - - 41.8 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 49 - - -9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1137 - - 2883 - - 113 - - 292 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 7450 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7822 - - 9568 - - 6798 - - 6977 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1797 - - 2756 - - 4992 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 233 - - 23 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 271 - - 248 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1024 - - 2466 - - 0 - - 179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6798 - - 7102 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 335 - - 439 - - -1393 - - -298 ODpotential blCL - - - 7487 - - 9129 - - 8191 - - 7275 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 95 - - 92 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 220 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.3 - - 44.4 - - 41.8 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 36.7 - - 37.9 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 44.0 - - 42.7 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 35.5 - - 37.2 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 49 - - -9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1137 - - 2883 - - 113 - - 292 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 78 - - 68 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96429 6 318 13 296 10 295 13 296 96429 89342 10 059 9 159 4 355 10 032 89342 83865 7 066 13 120 6 042 8 072 83865 79310 4 122 5 103 2 323 8 045 79310 75375 1 223 1 267 8 220 8 326 75375 71890 5 234 6 294 9 232 11 289 71890 68729 6 230 7 259 12 243 17 265 68729 65827 9 275 14 281 10 238 18 255 65827 63118 17 267 19 268 16 265 20 253 63118 60457 32 255 31 259 28 264 26 256 60457 57668 35 248 32 245 30 262 27 258 57668 54768 35 251 29 244 30 257 24 257 54768 51989 35 249 29 252 31 256 24 271 51989 49478 34 248 31 256 31 264 27 275 49478 47221 36 247 31 253 32 268 27 278 47221 45169 34 238 26 258 32 257 27 292 45169 43284 32 232 31 262 25 263 27 292 43284 41545 29 230 32 246 26 276 23 312 41545 39933 27 234 21 244 28 266 26 307 39933 38431 28 228 16 256 20 270 23 308 38431 37040 28 213 16 259 17 295 18 325 37040 35733 28 204 13 250 15 315 18 344 35733 34454 25 186 7 250 21 352 22 008 34454 33167 29 143 6 049 24 014 17 058 33167 31867 35 115 18 083 26 041 20 034 31867 30537 34 117 28 087 27 043 25 024 30537 29166 32 118 27 076 26 027 25 024 29166 27754 27 115 22 074 22 022 25 024 27754 26306 24 116 18 070 20 019 23 025 26306 24825 22 121 16 076 21 017 21 027 24825 23315 25 129 15 078 21 014 19 021 23315 21774 31 150 9 109 19 010 19 011 21774 20195 27 172 4 305 17 007 21 008 20195 18606 19 186 13 349 15 003 21 013 18606 17088 13 190 12 004 12 348 19 002 17088 15711 8 207 6 339 11 318 19 339 15711 14485 3 224 4 282 12 299 19 331 14485 13386 3 158 5 248 13 290 18 336 13386 12391 4 204 7 242 12 287 17 341 12391 11490 6 225 7 246 10 293 16 340 11490 10674 8 216 6 252 9 295 16 335 10674 9938 9 197 6*260 9 288 16 328 9938 9272 10 181 6*264 9 278 16 320 9272 8664 10 168 6 270 10 270 16 310 8664 8117 10*159 6 271 10 265 17 298 8117 7653 9*156 6 271 11 261 16 286 7653 7292 9 155 5 273 11 257 14 272 7292 7040 9 155 5 273 10 254 11*261 7040 6886 8 155 5 273 8 250 9*257 6886 6798 7 154 5 274 5*248 7 253 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography