DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.8 - - 28.9 - - 41.8 - - 38.4 - - 26.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 193 - - 236 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 719 - - 2130 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 7908 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 7404 - - 8815 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 169 - - 387 - - 2206 - - 3257 - - 235 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 220 - - 338 - - 7 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 214 - - 261 - - 256 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7283 - - -6845 - - -7739 - - -8533 - - -5468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14079 - - 14250 - - 16554 - - 15332 - - 12265 sfcLCL ODpotential -17401 - - -13901 - - -15832 - - -17757 - - -17523 ODpotential blCL 24197 - - 21305 - - 24647 - - 24555 - - 24320 blCL maxRH 93 - - 84 - - 54 - - 53 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.8 - - 28.9 - - 41.8 - - 38.4 - - 26.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -21.0 - - -8.6 - - -6.9 - - -4.4 - - -2.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.9 - - 27.8 - - 40.3 - - 39.6 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -21.3 - - -9.1 - - -7.3 - - -4.6 - - -2.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 193 - - 236 - - -16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 719 - - 2130 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95623 87 266 83 276 80 270 76 276 97 279 95623 88524 63 276 70 279 65 286 70 289 72 296 88524 83052 53 279 64 281 63 290 72 295 61 304 83052 78518 49 289 55 284 66 290 73 296 55 305 78518 74588 45 292 47 284 61 292 65 297 54 304 74588 71112 41 295 47 290 53 290 56 295 55 303 71112 67987 43 302 47 292 45 290 48 294 52 300 67987 65131 50 300 43 291 42 289 40 295 50 301 65131 62489 51 290 38 294 40 289 39 301 52 305 62489 59931 49 291 39 300 42 294 46 308 57 302 59931 57259 49 293 48 304 46 303 61 306 60 299 57259 54480 49 293 56 304 54 314 69 304 61 301 54480 51808 49 297 63 306 66 319 69 310 61 304 51808 49375 49 303 64 307 77 319 70 316 64 304 49375 47168 50 309 62 308 79 318 76 316 64 305 47168 45163 54 307 61 310 77 317 78 315 61 310 45163 43348 52 308 63 315 76 320 74 320 60 314 43348 41689 51 316 68 323 79 326 74 330 58 322 41689 40153 57 326 76 329 83 334 78 339 61 331 40153 38725 64 331 79 331 89 341 88 342 68 335 38725 37395 65 335 76 333 95 345 91 339 73 333 37395 36128 65 336 73 334 94 345 88 332 77 331 36128 34856 68 338 74 340 85 345 84 330 74 328 34856 33556 69 337 79 344 76 345 79 336 69 324 33556 32233 69 335 83 348 73 344 75 340 66 322 32233 30874 69 334 83 349 72 340 71 338 65 321 30874 29471 65 332 81 342 71 339 68 334 63 317 29471 28027 52 322 77 334 70 339 65 331 61 315 28027 26545 45 306 73 333 72 338 64 329 59 316 26545 25029 46 303 63 336 74 336 64 327 56 319 25029 23484 46 302 53 332 73 334 64 327 53 322 23484 21909 44 298 48 323 67 332 63 328 50 326 21909 20297 41 295 45 313 60 330 59 330 49 330 20297 18678 36 295 41 306 47 329 53 333 48 335 18678 17134 31 297 37 306 34 324 45 333 44 340 17134 15737 28 302 33 311 28 321 37 330 36 342 15737 14497 24 308 28 316 23 326 28 330 29 341 14497 13388 21 313 24 318 19 333 21 336 22 339 13388 12390 18 319 19 320 15 337 16 343 17 337 12390 11487 17 324 16 323 13 333 15 342 13 333 11487 10670 16 327 14 326 12 325 15 334 10 328 10670 9934 15 329 11 328 12 311 15 321 8 321 9934 9269 14 327 10 328 11*296 16 307 8 315 9269 8661 13 323 8 322 11*278 17 294 9 312 8661 8112 9 320 7 306 11 262 17 284 12 311 8112 7647 3 326 4*284 11 258 17 276 16 310 7647 7286 2 104 2*221 11 256 16 269 17 305 7286 7037 4 111 2 214 10 254 14 263 12 290 7037 6884 4 093 2 211 10 254 12*260 8*268 6884 6797 4*087 2 208 9 253 8*256 4*252 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography