DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 55.4 - - 53.6 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 233 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1321 - - 2697 - - 2113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7274 - - 8319 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8006 - - 9382 - - 8798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 891 - - 1540 - - 1718 - - 239 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 364 - - 24 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 24 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 141 - - 172 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6190 - - -6193 - - -6707 - - -6817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14197 - - 15576 - - 15506 - - 13616 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14615 - - -12270 - - -14108 - - -16438 ODpotential blCL - - - 22621 - - 21652 - - 22906 - - 23236 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 35 - - 34 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 55.4 - - 53.6 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.8 - - 11.2 - - 9.9 - - 6.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 54.0 - - 54.3 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.4 - - 10.8 - - 9.1 - - 6.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 233 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1321 - - 2697 - - 2113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96187 28 257 26 286 18 277 17 248 96187 89103 5 047 18 264 18 324 5 347 89103 83663 18 037 12 315 6 290 9 338 83663 79120 10 024 14 319 8 012 5 013 79120 75196 6 057 7 313 7 337 15 014 75196 71742 11 060 6 028 4 246 19 355 71742 68624 8 046 9 358 5 041 7 322 68624 65754 12 060 5 333 8 022 1 214 65754 63093 11 059 7 029 5 356 6 088 63093 60516 11 046 14 048 3 040 7 106 60516 57819 5 081 16 078 9 100 10 133 57819 55006 13 130 18 116 17 117 14 143 55006 52298 25 086 21 130 17 133 15 136 52298 49846 33 066 20 123 16 157 11 132 49846 47648 28 055 17 107 19 147 13 161 47648 45648 14 042 16 087 18 125 21 175 45648 43815 3 228 15 071 18 106 26 145 43815 42146 10 190 7 079 11 101 28 133 42146 40623 13 171 3 142 9 135 28 135 40623 39205 11 135 7 098 11 120 26 130 39205 37871 12 112 13 073 14 117 27 129 37871 36592 13 113 18 079 14 123 27 137 36592 35309 15 112 21 079 14 118 27 137 35309 33997 17 099 20 078 14 110 27 137 33997 32659 18 086 16 075 13 110 24 140 32659 31287 17 082 12 067 11 110 20 144 31287 29871 19 076 5 036 8 107 17 135 29871 28416 20 073 7 007 8 082 17 119 28416 26922 22 074 9 009 13 084 18 112 26922 25396 23 077 10 044 17 096 18 125 25396 23841 22 074 14 064 18 108 19 133 23841 22251 23 071 15 081 18 121 19 135 22251 20617 26 072 18 103 16 145 18 142 20617 18971 22 072 21 116 13 153 13 145 18971 17397 16 075 22 123 9 148 7 153 17397 15972 13 076 16 122 9 146 6 171 15972 14702 12 078 10 111 10 139 7 166 14702 13563 9 081 8 107 10 131 7 165 13563 12536 7 084 9 117 10 131 6 176 12536 11606 6 093 10 122 8 136 4 189 11606 10768 6 102 9 126 6 140 4 199 10768 10013 6 113 7*126 4 137 4 185 10013 9332 5 118 4*131 2*138 4 164 9332 8710 5 111 3 137 2*154 3 136 8710 8149 5*112 3 142 2 164 2 115 8149 7674 5*121 3 143 2 173 1 113 7674 7304 5 125 2 146 2 179 1 289 7304 7046 5 128 2 149 2 186 2 287 7046 6889 4 129 2 149 2 190 2 303 6889 6798 4 129 2 152 1 185 2*337 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography