DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 456 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9251 - - 11030 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13774 - - 15239 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15936 - - 17715 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1793 - - 1687 - - - - - 3697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 687 - - 730 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 266 - - - - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -41 - - -171 - - - - - -9458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15978 - - 17887 - - - - - 16259 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3093 - - -2751 - - - - - -14059 ODpotential blCL - - - 19029 - - 20466 - - - - - 20859 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 81 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 84.2 - - - - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 28.8 - - - - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 81.4 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 28.3 - - - - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 456 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9251 - - 11030 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - - - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99231 39 097 32 111 33 088 99231 91745 36 092 32 098 36 093 91745 85978 25 099 33 095 35 085 85978 81204 30 102 26 107 29 063 81204 77096 25 099 22 098 17 070 77096 73474 16 106 14 096 19 082 73474 70202 14 079 13 112 14 075 70202 67212 11 061 13 116 12 066 67212 64451 10 097 9 071 13 051 64451 61777 5 110 7 086 7 021 61777 59007 3 114 4 075 5 252 59007 56162 6 287 8 228 11 269 56162 53450 17 242 19 243 18 292 53450 51000 26 247 29 244 33 265 51000 48799 32 251 34 240 31 257 48799 46796 37 253 36 242 25 263 46796 44963 41 243 41 236 26 266 44963 43274 44 235 44 228 29 256 43274 41704 43 234 45 226 28 255 41704 40234 38 232 40 231 28 254 40234 38857 30 229 38 241 27 248 38857 37541 26 242 37 243 26 239 37541 36221 29 245 32 239 25 239 36221 34868 30 244 32 245 25 241 34868 33489 31 241 32 250 24 243 33489 32074 33 243 32 248 22 248 32074 30617 35 246 31 248 19 254 30617 29119 33 249 28 255 17 242 29119 27582 29 257 22 255 16 237 27582 26012 25 265 18 252 15 240 26012 24415 17 277 13 254 13 241 24415 22789 10 271 12 251 11 242 22789 21125 8 261 10 254 10 257 21125 19452 8 278 8 269 3 256 19452 17848 12 285 7*281 3 097 17848 16386 13*280 8*277 4 077 16386 15076 11*277 8 276 3 069 15076 13896 10 276 9 274 1 044 13896 12827 10 275 9 271 2 283 12827 11858 10 273 10 267 4 283 11858 10980 9 272 11 265 6 288 10980 10188 9 270 11 263 8 291 10188 9473 9 269 11 261 10 291 9473 8819 9 269 11 260 12 291 8819 8228 9 269 12 259 13 289 8228 7726 8 268 11 258 13 287 7726 7335 8 268 11 257 13 285 7335 7062 8 267 11 257 11 282 7062 6896 8 267 11 257 8 279 6896 6800 7 268 10 257 4*277 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography