DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 60.0 - - 64.7 - - 64.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 111 - - 193 - - 43 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 748 - - 2717 - - 3661 - - 3535 - - 457 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 8061 - - 8970 - - 7481 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7433 - - 9402 - - 10346 - - 10220 - - 7142 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2111 - - 2029 - - 2419 - - 2547 - - 1705 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 297 - - 382 - - 229 - - 38 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 15 - - 43 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 134 - - 152 - - 128 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - 5 - - 13 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 634 - - 2254 - - 1605 - - 1586 - - 343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7148 - - 8742 - - 8635 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -1098 - - 88 - - -115 - - -150 - - -823 ODpotential blCL 8531 - - 9314 - - 10461 - - 10370 - - 7965 blCL maxRH 96 - - 91 - - 87 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 340 - - 410 - - 310 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 60.0 - - 64.7 - - 64.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 51.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.3 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.7 - - 59.2 - - 63.4 - - 63.6 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.2 - - 50.7 - - 49.1 - - 49.0 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 111 - - 193 - - 43 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 748 - - 2717 - - 3661 - - 3535 - - 457 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 64 - - 50 - - 69 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98427 9 123 8 123 20 189 13 271 6 354 98427 91068 11 127 7 122 6 161 10 168 1 026 91068 85371 6 050 8 129 5 057 11 135 8 144 85371 80623 4 014 3 195 5 047 4 062 8 106 80623 76554 8 117 3 210 2 343 1 273 8 009 76554 72980 6 111 6 151 7 208 8 239 14 334 72980 69751 3 135 4 134 7 148 6 229 6 298 69751 66789 3 149 4 225 6 113 4 163 5 222 66789 64044 9 151 8 204 12 161 7 172 9 221 64044 61389 6 201 12 204 12 196 7 235 12 229 61389 58626 19 231 17 219 17 224 12 246 12 217 58626 55767 26 215 25 222 28 226 25 237 19 231 55767 53044 25 204 34 213 37 213 34 214 30 226 53044 50595 24 221 35 210 35 216 40 217 42 228 50595 48400 32 229 35 220 40 223 47 219 50 218 48400 46407 41 232 39 221 46 226 46 217 47 216 46407 44581 50 235 44 224 52 224 50 218 49 220 44581 42896 66 227 58 218 56 217 57 209 54 214 42896 41328 71 215 69 209 68 205 61 203 61 207 41328 39860 67 213 64 207 76 203 74 195 72 201 39860 38483 65 214 59 207 68 201 77 197 80 193 38483 37165 66 215 57 203 62 203 76 197 78 193 37165 35843 63 214 57 200 59 207 71 200 68 198 35843 34492 55 210 55 199 53 204 62 209 47 208 34492 33119 52 208 50 201 51 197 43 208 36 212 33119 31712 53 206 46 203 50 195 38 201 27 208 31712 30261 54 203 42 199 44 195 35 196 26 207 30261 28770 52 203 40 195 37 194 30 197 25 205 28770 27240 44 203 37 196 34 191 27 201 25 203 27240 25677 32 200 28 201 30 186 26 200 22 195 25677 24088 24 200 13 206 23 182 21 190 15 177 24088 22467 11 233 8 240 13 179 14 165 9 121 22467 20811 10 275 7 254 3 287 11 108 12 090 20811 19148 5 266 7 245 8 316 10 046 12 084 19148 17559 2 164 5 262 8 324 10 018 10 062 17559 16119 4 075 1 341 10 353 11 010 9 028 16119 14834 7 012 4 024 11 356 12 013 11 009 14834 13682 10 341 5 019 9 007 11 020 14 008 13682 12642 7 338 4 020 6 022 8 021 16 009 12642 11703 3 049 3 053 3 045 5 006 16 010 11703 10851 7 104 3 104 2*101 3*347 14 015 10851 10083 11 125 4*123 3*144 1*341 11 027 10083 9388 12 138 6*130 4 151 0 010 9 049 9388 8753 14 142 6 133 4 152 1 140 9 069 8753 8181 13 140 6 134 5 152 1 139 9 074 8181 7695 12*136 6 135 5 153 2 134 10 074 7695 7317 10*132 6 135 5 154 2 135 10*075 7317 7053 7 128 6 136 5 153 2 134 9*075 7053 6892 7 128 6 136 5 154 2 134 7 073 6892 6799 6 127 5 137 5 154 2 133 5 072 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography