DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 76.4 - - 88.2 - - 88.9 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 164 - - 345 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 498 - - 2012 - - 9621 - - 11199 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 7754 - - 13947 - - 14324 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7183 - - 8697 - - 16306 - - 17884 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 813 - - 3032 - - 3361 - - 3483 - - 3494 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 310 - - 641 - - 459 - - 25 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 125 - - 255 - - 305 - - 317 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 16 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -9 - - 21 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -276 - - -713 - - 411 - - 892 - - -5897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7459 - - 9410 - - 15896 - - 16993 - - 12698 sfcLCL ODpotential -5368 - - -4436 - - -2004 - - -1003 - - -9169 ODpotential blCL 12551 - - 13133 - - 18310 - - 18887 - - 15969 blCL maxRH 66 - - 77 - - 84 - - 82 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 900 - - 2050 - - 250 - - 90 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 76.4 - - 88.2 - - 88.9 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.6 - - 58.0 - - 41.7 - - 37.7 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 75.6 - - 86.2 - - 88.1 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.7 - - 56.8 - - 40.7 - - 36.6 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 164 - - 345 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 498 - - 2012 - - 9621 - - 11199 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 36 - - 27 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99061 34 103 37 092 30 105 36 098 35 086 99061 91595 34 089 30 092 32 101 26 095 30 091 91595 85821 23 090 25 098 28 089 23 095 28 095 85821 81029 20 095 20 096 22 091 22 087 26 092 81029 76916 19 097 16 101 19 092 21 085 23 088 76916 73294 19 096 17 105 16 092 18 086 21 082 73294 70022 18 090 19 098 15 103 14 094 19 078 70022 67022 12 084 21 088 16 109 13 102 16 082 67022 64252 14 095 16 088 16 100 13 103 14 094 64252 61586 12 089 15 116 12 102 11 087 11 094 61586 58833 8 109 11 123 9 127 6 112 3 113 58833 56018 4 126 3 155 6 151 5 157 4 246 56018 53367 5 264 7 236 10 233 11 234 7 269 53367 51000 10 232 11 247 17 249 18 254 13 250 51000 48890 19 239 18 264 21 268 22 268 21 257 48890 46968 24 244 26 256 26 266 24 265 25 263 46968 45185 18 247 22 250 29 259 28 258 28 268 45185 43516 15 250 15 250 29 255 31 255 29 275 43516 41946 15 256 13 269 25 249 31 255 31 279 41946 40464 17 261 15 273 20 246 28 257 32 278 40464 39070 18 262 17 271 16 266 20 258 31 274 39070 37734 20 263 20 264 18 283 16 268 29 271 37734 36393 21 261 24 261 20 286 15 273 25 274 36393 35023 21 261 26 262 22 280 20 283 24 281 35023 33629 22 264 27 266 24 285 22 298 23 288 33629 32204 14 281 20 271 20 288 22 310 16 309 32204 30738 6 311 6 262 8 281 17 293 12 314 30738 29234 6 001 5 330 8 328 8 290 9 294 29234 27693 9 010 8 359 9 327 10 311 9 299 27693 26119 13 013 9 355 7 327 9 314 10 321 26119 24516 15 007 8 349 6 327 7 318 11 341 24516 22878 13 003 7 341 6 339 7 330 9 360 22878 21208 11 007 5 340 8 349 13 012 7 019 21208 19530 11 011 6 356 8 357 16 017 11 004 19530 17921 13 010 8 008 11 005 17*013 13 003 17921 16457 15 005 10 014 13*003 17*003 13 358 16457 15144 16 359 13 007 14*359 15 354 14 358 15144 13958 15 352 14 359 12 349 14 339 16 358 13958 12884 13 345 14 350 11 320 14 325 16 358 12884 11909 12 337 13 345 11 301 14 313 17 358 11909 11024 12 331 12 341 11 294 14 306 17 359 11024 10226 11 324 11 336 12 290 15 300 17 359 10226 9504 9 316 10 324 12 286 15 297 17 359 9504 8842 5 305 10*312 12 283 15 293 17 358 8842 8245 2 310 7*274 12 280 15 292 16 358 8245 7738 1 046 7 256 11 279 15 290 14 357 7738 7342 3*103 7 252 11 277 15 289 12 352 7342 7066 4*121 7 248 11 277 14 289 9 345 7066 6897 3 125 6 247 11 276 14 288 7 340 6897 6800 3 127 6 248 10 275 12 288 4*333 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography