DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 63.6 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 416 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8233 - - 7990 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12636 - - 12705 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14918 - - 14675 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2485 - - 3032 - - - - - 7448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 636 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 25 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 253 - - - - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2258 - - 1112 - - - - - -4473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12661 - - 13564 - - - - - 11273 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 284 - - 282 - - - - - -6597 ODpotential blCL - - - 14634 - - 14393 - - - - - 13396 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 50 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.4 - - 63.6 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 27.5 - - - - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 61.6 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 27.3 - - - - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 416 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8233 - - 7990 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 83 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96571 29 264 35 268 49 276 96571 89287 38 260 27 267 34 276 89287 83758 35 266 29 277 25 302 83758 79202 22 274 33 275 26 316 79202 75285 10 297 26 268 25 308 75285 71827 9 329 13 279 21 299 71827 68687 17 317 18 292 16 286 68687 65772 26 298 23 288 14 305 65772 63031 30 287 24 282 31 306 63031 60362 30 281 34 284 42 287 60362 57585 38 279 46 272 42 273 57585 54700 45 276 43 271 42 275 54700 51935 44 279 44 284 44 281 51935 49443 49 283 53 286 55 282 49443 47227 52 283 61 279 69 273 47227 45252 52 288 69 278 67 275 45252 43478 56 303 79 283 93 289 43478 41859 86 304 76 287 107 288 41859 40347 92 297 72 291 100 286 40347 38919 86 291 72 289 88 282 38919 37575 83 290 70 282 76 274 37575 36288 72 285 74 281 77 272 36288 34996 61 275 67 280 77 271 34996 33675 61 269 61 278 75 271 33675 32332 58 267 62 275 71 270 32332 30957 50 269 58 272 67 269 30957 29541 42 274 52 272 65 267 29541 28089 38 276 49 275 62 264 28089 26605 39 275 49 276 61 260 26605 25093 42 270 49 276 65 255 25093 23556 44 266 47 274 66 250 23556 21993 44 266 45 271 60 250 21993 20400 41 266 42 267 49 253 20400 18801 33 255 37 260 40 246 18801 17274 29 245 31 252 36 233 17274 15888 26*250 29 250 34 233 15888 14648 23*260 28*250 31 237 14648 13535 21 264 27*251 28 239 13535 12528 20 264 27 251 27 241 12528 11613 19 263 27 251 25 244 11613 10782 18 258 26 252 23 246 10782 10031 16 252 25 253 20 250 10031 9350 16 249 25 254 18 255 9350 8727 16 248 24 255 14 268 8727 8163 16 247 24 255 11 293 8163 7684 15 246 23 256 10 321 7684 7310 15 245 23 256 11 337 7310 7050 14 245 22 256 10 346 7050 6891 14 245 21 256 8*350 6891 6799 12 245 18 256 4*350 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography