DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 51.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.1 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - -12 - - 11 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 114 - - 751 - - 232 - - 356 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 6799 - - 7436 - - 6917 - - 7041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1000 - - 1809 - - 2513 - - 3040 - - 2215 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 97 - - 31 - - 38 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 12 - - 21 - - 13 - - 20 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 187 - - 242 - - 211 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 5 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 637 - - 119 - - 243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -807 - - -443 - - -62 - - -564 - - -188 ODpotential blCL 7606 - - 7242 - - 7498 - - 7481 - - 7229 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 20 - - 240 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 51.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.1 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.1 - - 50.5 - - 50.2 - - 48.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 51.8 - - 51.9 - - 50.8 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.3 - - 50.4 - - 49.8 - - 48.5 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - -12 - - 11 - - -12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 114 - - 751 - - 232 - - 356 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 93 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96701 48 286 45 278 56 276 57 289 44 283 96701 89637 36 289 35 284 32 283 38 285 36 296 89637 84174 29 297 32 294 24 300 18 284 31 296 84174 79661 24 295 29 295 27 296 16 302 24 316 79661 75777 18 297 21 299 16 302 17 295 22 317 75777 72325 17 299 11 300 11 287 13 274 19 312 72325 69176 18 284 15 308 10 285 5 296 18 299 69176 66254 22 261 21 256 20 285 15 323 18 284 66254 63514 16 249 20 241 27 267 22 282 23 285 63514 60854 15 283 17 265 22 262 19 279 27 279 60854 58101 30 263 22 280 21 268 28 290 20 273 58101 55240 38 256 33 282 28 275 32 272 16 285 55240 52514 50 257 49 265 44 268 41 274 35 292 52514 50101 72 244 64 246 53 261 63 281 45 289 50101 47957 82 242 90 237 65 251 72 278 54 285 47957 45994 100 245 104 233 71 239 70 273 61 274 45994 44173 103 246 107 232 69 237 66 271 61 264 44173 42472 102 247 104 232 80 241 65 269 65 255 42472 40876 98 244 102 231 93 235 64 263 67 250 40876 39373 95 240 101 231 95 232 61 256 68 248 39373 37960 85 237 100 233 85 232 57 247 69 248 37960 36607 74 236 98 235 84 233 62 233 71 249 36607 35252 74 236 96 238 89 230 81 220 72 249 35252 33868 75 237 93 240 89 227 99 213 73 249 33868 32466 71 238 87 239 86 224 102 211 67 248 32466 31043 66 239 82 236 82 219 100 214 56 243 31043 29596 62 242 84 236 76 216 92 219 55 236 29596 28124 58 240 86 237 72 214 83 223 54 231 28124 26630 57 236 80 236 70 214 84 223 53 223 26630 25116 55 234 70 232 68 215 85 221 50 227 25116 23583 53 234 68 231 66 217 75 217 43 236 23583 22022 51 235 67 231 65 219 67 218 40 238 22022 20425 50 235 65 233 64 221 57 227 38 237 20425 18818 50 235 61 233 64 223 56 232 38 236 18818 17280 49 235 62 235 63 225 63 233 41 235 17280 15883 47 231 60 236 63 226 67 235 44 236 15883 14635 43 226 56 236 59 227 64 236 46 239 14635 13513 36 219 51 235 54 230 59 234 47 241 13513 12499 28 215 46 232 51 233 56 231 48 243 12499 11581 23 218 43 228 49 237 53 227 49 243 11581 10751 23 221 42 223 45 242 51 226 50 243 10751 10003 25 219 39 215 41 245 47 226 49 240 10003 9328 28 213 35 206 38 246 39 227 47 234 9328 8709 28 209 33 202 34 245 33 227 45 228 8709 8150 24 205 33 205 31 244 30 225 43 228 8150 7675 18 203 29 199 28*244 27 221 39 225 7675 7305 12 203 25 194 25*243 23 218 34 223 7305 7047 6 204 21 191 22 242 18*214 28*221 7047 6890 3*212 18*189 19 242 16*212 25*220 6890 6799 1*240 12*187 14 241 11 210 17 219 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography