DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 45.5 - - 42.0 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 220 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2812 - - 3396 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8383 - - 8818 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9497 - - 10081 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1090 - - 1594 - - 3920 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 386 - - 6 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 15 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 349 - - 321 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -23 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5146 - - -6602 - - -8421 - - -5293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14644 - - 16684 - - 15220 - - 12091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13612 - - -13249 - - -16066 - - -15998 ODpotential blCL - - - 23109 - - 23330 - - 22864 - - 22796 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 53 - - 28 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 45.5 - - 42.0 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.2 - - -3.7 - - -0.3 - - 3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 44.2 - - 44.1 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.6 - - -4.2 - - -0.6 - - 2.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 220 - - -11 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2812 - - 3396 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96787 44 069 55 073 50 078 41 081 96787 89673 45 084 48 088 36 079 39 070 89673 84125 37 092 33 086 24 078 32 066 84125 79529 27 087 26 078 23 068 27 075 79529 75543 21 099 19 073 23 067 27 073 75543 71982 20 112 9 059 17 056 25 055 71982 68745 15 092 7 048 9 054 19 047 68745 65765 14 105 6 035 6 019 11 015 65765 62985 9 117 6 336 8 350 10 298 62985 60265 11 344 7 261 15 258 11 289 60265 57440 29 308 16 312 13 301 20 299 57440 54541 17 307 4 027 15 296 18 297 54541 51771 18 199 3 172 9 258 30 335 51771 49285 19 034 15 037 32 355 45 331 49285 47083 75 355 69 357 59 347 53 334 47083 45104 83 349 79 350 68 343 61 333 45104 43308 87 359 77 352 72 339 65 327 43308 41668 96 008 77 360 72 339 62 324 41668 40154 101 012 81 004 69 343 63 332 40154 38743 102 013 86 004 70 349 69 338 38743 37424 101 011 88 004 72 352 74 340 37424 36162 99 009 88 005 75 354 75 340 36162 34895 96 007 88 005 75 355 73 341 34895 33598 92 005 87 004 74 356 72 342 33598 32276 88 002 82 002 73 357 71 342 32276 30921 85 360 76 359 73 356 70 342 30921 29522 83 358 71 356 76 357 70 343 29522 28082 80 358 67 355 79 001 69 345 28082 26604 79 359 63 356 79 004 68 348 26604 25093 77 001 60 358 72 006 66 351 25093 23553 73 004 57 002 61 006 63 351 23553 21982 69 008 54 005 51 005 57 352 21982 20376 64 012 51 008 44 005 48 352 20376 18765 59 016 48 009 41 008 39 350 18765 17225 54 017 44 010 39 011 34 349 17225 15827 51 016 41 010 37 012 33 349 15827 14578 49 013 38 010 35 013 32 351 14578 13456 48 008 35 010 32 014 32 356 13456 12444 47 005 31 009 27 015 31 002 12444 11529 45 003 27 007 22 015 28 008 11529 10703 41 003 20*001 17 013 22 014 10703 9960 34*003 17*353 13 006 14 019 9960 9290 29*004 16 351 10 352 8 021 9290 8677 26 004 16 349 9 341 4 017 8677 8125 23 004 16 348 9 337 4 343 8125 7657 20 004 15 348 9 334 7 331 7657 7292 18 004 14 348 9 331 12 326 7292 7039 17 004 14 347 8 329 14 321 7039 6885 15 004 13 347 7*326 12*321 6885 6798 13 003 11 346 5*321 5*322 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography