DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.7 - - 31.1 - - 35.7 - - 31.8 - - 29.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 27 - - 1 - - -14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 404 - - 113 - - 112 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7089 - - 6798 - - 6797 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 720 - - 3347 - - 2228 - - 1039 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 261 - - 284 - - 284 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -932 - - -1534 - - -1674 - - -981 - - -763 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7729 - - 8623 - - 8473 - - 7778 - - 7561 sfcLCL ODpotential -11274 - - -8375 - - -5575 - - -5246 - - -5586 ODpotential blCL 18071 - - 15464 - - 12373 - - 12043 - - 12384 blCL maxRH 81 - - 88 - - 75 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.7 - - 31.1 - - 35.7 - - 31.8 - - 29.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.3 - - 17.4 - - 22.5 - - 21.7 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.8 - - 31.0 - - 37.5 - - 36.2 - - 34.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.5 - - 16.3 - - 21.4 - - 20.6 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 27 - - 1 - - -14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 404 - - 113 - - 112 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 51 - - 0 - - 58 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96388 8 318 10 303 6 008 7 216 14 283 96388 89224 10 324 10 328 6 010 3 199 5 010 89224 83647 10 327 5 005 0 146 8 318 9 036 83647 79016 9 314 2 359 5 339 8 323 10 005 79016 75044 13 323 4 004 7 305 10 319 15 341 75044 71530 19 326 11 340 10 291 17 300 21 317 71530 68329 24 293 18 332 14 316 17 284 22 300 68329 65369 26 281 23 310 22 312 14 287 26 291 65369 62621 27 282 26 297 28 301 21 287 30 283 62621 59956 30 288 32 286 30 298 29 286 32 275 59956 57165 33 285 34 283 35 285 35 283 36 278 57165 54265 35 281 39 281 42 279 38 285 40 284 54265 51505 37 274 46 272 47 279 39 291 39 283 51505 49024 36 276 45 269 48 279 43 291 39 282 49024 46796 39 282 43 274 50 279 47 288 44 281 46796 44766 42 280 46 277 51 279 47 283 47 279 44766 42900 44 274 49 275 50 276 47 279 47 277 42900 41175 45 275 50 268 48 266 45 267 43 275 41175 39578 45 277 47 259 46 252 45 260 40 276 39578 38101 44 274 46 259 43 253 44 253 34 280 38101 36734 41 275 48 260 46 253 41 244 31 276 36734 35440 41 278 49 258 49 248 35 237 26 264 35440 34155 43 279 51 257 47 245 30 239 17 267 34155 32849 42 279 51 256 45 242 27 243 12 287 32849 31533 39 278 48 253 45 241 24 243 10 299 31533 30199 37 274 44 252 45 242 17 245 5 319 30199 28835 34 271 40 253 40 243 9 246 4 043 28835 27442 32 272 34 253 33 242 7 240 9 046 27442 26018 30 276 28 252 25 236 7 230 11 049 26018 24566 30 278 25 252 18 225 6 213 10 049 24566 23086 29 277 24 254 17 225 5 218 10 051 23086 21574 27 274 22 257 17 231 5 246 8 052 21574 20026 21 276 19 258 14 236 4 258 5 046 20026 18468 17 279 16 264 10 244 3 269 2 317 18468 16978 16 278 14 274 8 261 3 300 5 281 16978 15623 15 289 13 284 8 280 6 325 8 289 15623 14413 17 294 14 288 10 292 9 329 10 298 14413 13325 19 293 16 289 13 297 11 322 14 299 13325 12341 20 297 18 292 16 298 13 310 16 299 12341 11450 21 302 19 294 18 297 15 302 17 299 11450 10642 20 305 20 296 18 293 16 296 17 299 10642 9914 19 306 19 298 17 289 16 291 17 302 9914 9257 16 305 18 297 16 287 16 289 16 304 9257 8655 13 303 15 295 16 285 16 289 14 307 8655 8111 10 301 12 292 15 283 15 290 12 311 8111 7650 6 292 7 286 14 283 14 290 10 313 7650 7290 2 240 2*256 12 283 12 289 8 313 7290 7039 4 133 2*255 11 285 11 288 7 310 7039 6886 5*103 1 263 9*285 8 287 5*308 6886 6798 4*091 1 266 7*284 5*284 2*312 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography