DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.6 - - 67.8 - - 73.3 - - 73.1 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 181 - - 385 - - 309 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3242 - - 6742 - - 13735 - - 13917 - - 125 BL Depth Hcrit 8631 - - 11672 - - 17244 - - 15677 - - 6793 Hcrit BL Top 9927 - - 13427 - - 20420 - - 20602 - - 6810 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1299 - - 2741 - - 3771 - - 3108 - - 183 Hgt.Variab. W* 359 - - 590 - - 698 - - 407 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 186 - - 212 - - 221 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - 16 - - 34 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -520 - - 167 - - 3440 - - 2274 - - -9085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10447 - - 13261 - - 16980 - - 18328 - - 15895 sfcLCL ODpotential -4944 - - -2735 - - 1154 - - -360 - - -12512 ODpotential blCL 14871 - - 16162 - - 19266 - - 20962 - - 19322 blCL maxRH 72 - - 92 - - 70 - - 73 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 510 - - 220 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.6 - - 67.8 - - 73.3 - - 73.1 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 33.1 - - 21.9 - - 15.9 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 65.9 - - 71.4 - - 72.8 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.8 - - 32.0 - - 19.6 - - 13.2 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 181 - - 385 - - 309 - - 55 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3242 - - 6742 - - 13735 - - 13917 - - 125 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98894 9 282 12 287 4 340 18 267 12 287 98894 92634 16 268 15 271 13 268 17 270 15 294 92634 87573 12 258 15 259 14 263 14 291 11 296 87573 83249 8 263 12 255 15 262 14 304 8 296 83249 79455 6 274 7 244 16 252 13 295 8 294 79455 76070 6 272 2 233 15 246 10 281 9 285 76070 72991 7 263 3 273 13 248 6 280 7 277 72991 70149 7 258 5 273 10 251 4 283 5 281 70149 67503 6 240 8 258 8 261 4 287 2 279 67503 64927 6 214 11 233 10 259 6 280 4 121 64927 62222 7 220 12 215 13 246 12 254 8 276 62222 59411 12 236 15 217 17 228 16 230 16 249 59411 56726 17 236 16 221 21 221 19 224 16 227 56726 54293 20 235 18 231 23 224 24 237 20 242 54293 52109 22 239 22 238 25 231 30 242 32 247 52109 50142 24 242 25 241 25 235 31 242 37 242 50142 48356 26 242 26 245 24 241 30 244 35 239 48356 46713 28 243 27 250 25 248 30 247 34 240 46713 45187 28 245 28 256 29 255 30 252 34 244 45187 43761 29 248 31 259 33 260 35 258 36 248 43761 42424 29 250 33 262 36 268 40 264 40 251 42424 41137 30 249 36 263 40 273 46 267 45 253 41137 39837 30 246 40 262 45 276 50 270 50 255 39837 38497 30 237 43 256 50 276 54 271 53 257 38497 37115 28 222 44 248 54 275 56 271 55 258 37115 35675 28 208 41 239 57 273 55 270 54 259 35675 34162 26 201 37 227 58 270 53 269 52 259 34162 32573 24 201 33 217 56 266 50 268 49 259 32573 30906 21 205 28 211 49 261 47 267 46 258 30906 29163 18 211 23 209 40 252 43 265 42 255 29163 27348 15 219 18 211 32 241 38 262 36 248 27348 25455 15 225 16 216 26 236 32 247 33 230 25455 23480 16 226 17 222 22 234 25 232 27 203 23480 21460 18 223 18 219 18*225 22*228 21 200 21460 19503 20 225 17 209 18*216 21*226 19 210 19503 17710 18 216 17 199 18 214 20 225 17 221 17710 16107 18 190 20 200 17 213 19 224 17 230 16107 14677 19 155 20*206 17 212 19 223 17 237 14677 13402 19 134 19*204 17 211 18 221 17 242 13402 12266 15 146 16 195 17 211 17 220 17 247 12266 11258 18 165 14 186 16 211 17 219 17 251 11258 10369 20*159 14 184 16 210 16 217 16 254 10369 9583 19*150 13 182 16 209 16 216 15 257 9583 8880 16 138 13 180 15 209 16 215 14 259 8880 8258 15 136 12 178 15 209 15 215 12 259 8258 7740 15 136 12 177 15 209 15 214 9 253 7740 7342 14 135 11 176 14 208 15 214 6 236 7342 7069 14 135 11 176 14 208 14 213 4 199 7069 6904 13 135 11 176 13 208 13 213 3*159 6904 6810 11 135 10 176 12 208 11 212 3*120 6810 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography