DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 79.4 - - 81.1 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 126 - - 131 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10209 - - 10754 - - 8543 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14538 - - 14118 - - 12444 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16894 - - 17439 - - 15228 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2905 - - 2303 - - 5100 - - 4779 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 700 - - 475 - - 446 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 256 - - 252 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -16 - - -36 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 520 - - 1565 - - -1088 - - -8100 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16375 - - 15875 - - 16317 - - 14901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1220 - - 187 - - -3151 - - -11351 ODpotential blCL - - - 18114 - - 17252 - - 18379 - - 18151 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 95 - - 86 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 80 - - 140 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 79.4 - - 81.1 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 33.0 - - 32.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 78.6 - - 80.1 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 32.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 126 - - 131 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10209 - - 10754 - - 8543 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 80 - - 45 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98729 20 120 17 111 24 105 22 090 98729 91261 15 114 18 092 21 108 27 090 91261 85536 14 100 13 098 16 075 20 094 85536 80786 15 110 18 089 11 073 14 074 80786 76697 13 092 16 101 10 082 17 057 76697 73089 13 100 12 092 10 090 12 071 73089 69823 13 093 13 109 9 056 15 076 69823 66828 6 043 12 117 5 094 11 040 66828 64068 12 334 5 020 9 060 7 071 64068 61406 13 292 14 304 14 009 12 035 61406 58649 9 259 16 254 21 283 18 300 58649 55811 18 306 17 274 21 268 28 281 55811 53110 32 281 28 281 30 268 36 270 53110 50677 38 269 36 277 37 270 40 264 50677 48494 45 266 47 270 46 271 45 263 48494 46508 53 261 55 265 57 267 53 262 46508 44682 59 259 61 261 62 260 58 261 44682 42988 64 259 66 261 65 259 62 260 42988 41407 68 260 70 260 68 258 66 258 41407 39924 71 260 70 260 68 259 64 258 39924 38533 72 259 66 260 67 260 62 259 38533 37204 68 258 57 260 64 260 59 259 37204 35876 58 260 46 261 54 259 49 258 35876 34524 48 263 36 260 40 259 36 258 34524 33154 43 264 30 257 34 259 29 257 33154 31753 40 263 27 249 28 251 27 253 31753 30311 39 253 27 240 20 232 25 256 30311 28835 37 251 30 237 20 227 21 263 28835 27325 34 257 29 240 17 232 17 269 27325 25785 34 263 25 257 14 252 15 259 25785 24218 33 263 20 281 13 277 11 246 24218 22620 27 268 13 306 13 297 7 249 22620 20982 20 266 8 326 10 335 10 346 20982 19335 15 288 7 324 12 346 12 356 19335 17756 12*314 6*304 13 332 11 325 17756 16316 7*317 7*279 13*321 12 301 16316 15024 4 298 8 264 13*308 14 292 15024 13858 4 273 11 257 12 297 14 286 13858 12801 7 258 13 255 11 284 14 278 12801 11840 8 258 15 254 11 267 13 269 11840 10969 9 258 16 254 11 250 13 259 10969 10182 9 259 17 254 12 237 13 248 10182 9469 9 260 18 254 13 229 13 239 9469 8817 9 260 18 255 14 225 13 231 8817 8227 9 261 18 255 14 223 13 223 8227 7726 9 262 18 255 14 222 12 216 7726 7335 9 263 18 255 14 221 11 208 7335 7063 9 262 18 255 14 220 10 202 7063 6896 9 263 17 255 13 220 8 197 6896 6800 8 263 14 255 12 220 5*194 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography