DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.6 - - 56.9 - - 61.9 - - 57.5 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 250 - - 337 - - 45 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2579 - - 5335 - - 4078 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 8261 - - 10488 - - 8042 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 9264 - - 12020 - - 10763 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 2050 - - 2005 - - 2714 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 369 - - 519 - - 243 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 25 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 285 - - 294 - - 307 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -3 - - -15 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1402 - - -1723 - - -444 - - -148 - - -2529 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8201 - - 10988 - - 12465 - - 10912 - - 9329 sfcLCL ODpotential -9370 - - -4891 - - -2874 - - -2280 - - -6538 ODpotential blCL 16168 - - 14155 - - 14894 - - 13043 - - 13337 blCL maxRH 81 - - 77 - - 75 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.6 - - 56.9 - - 61.9 - - 57.5 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.8 - - 32.3 - - 30.7 - - 33.3 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 55.4 - - 60.1 - - 57.3 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.5 - - 32.0 - - 30.4 - - 33.1 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 250 - - 337 - - 45 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2579 - - 5335 - - 4078 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96470 19 067 14 074 13 120 10 074 11 068 96470 89323 9 047 5 079 8 068 8 059 12 048 89323 83788 7 033 2 055 3 281 7 025 7 024 83788 79168 7 336 2 062 2 032 3 033 5 309 79168 75166 12 331 10 299 6 318 3 319 7 327 75166 71627 21 328 6 345 11 307 13 301 18 320 71627 68429 27 312 14 344 6 353 14 297 31 304 68429 65522 21 301 25 317 15 345 17 310 30 307 65522 62873 17 320 27 339 28 356 27 329 32 311 62873 60339 19 327 41 336 38 333 45 315 36 308 60339 57679 37 306 59 318 45 301 43 298 42 306 57679 54885 42 300 55 299 54 298 46 302 49 304 54885 52200 58 301 51 290 61 301 58 304 52 306 52200 49768 66 301 61 297 68 299 70 305 61 310 49768 47575 75 301 75 296 77 297 82 304 80 310 47575 45588 86 299 86 295 88 295 96 298 96 304 45588 43781 92 298 93 295 94 295 99 293 103 297 43781 42126 93 299 96 296 90 297 97 293 104 294 42126 40594 92 301 96 297 90 302 99 297 101 296 40594 39159 87 301 90 298 91 305 102 300 100 298 39159 37810 81 302 87 301 89 303 99 302 99 300 37810 36516 78 304 88 303 89 301 95 304 97 301 36516 35218 78 306 89 303 88 301 93 306 96 301 35218 33890 81 307 88 301 87 299 94 306 96 301 33890 32537 83 307 85 299 87 296 97 304 97 301 32537 31150 83 304 82 297 88 294 96 299 96 299 31150 29722 80 300 81 295 88 293 93 296 93 298 29722 28255 76 297 80 295 85 294 91 296 91 298 28255 26753 75 296 80 295 83 295 90 299 89 298 26753 25222 76 295 79 296 82 296 87 301 86 301 25222 23670 77 296 78 297 79 298 79 302 79 306 23670 22094 75 297 75 298 74 301 70 304 70 311 22094 20485 69 299 67 301 66 304 61 307 61 314 20485 18871 60 301 57 303 57 306 53 310 54 314 18871 17329 54 302 48 303 48 306 48 311 47 314 17329 15931 50 301 44 297 42 301 43 311 42 314 15931 14684 46 300 43 288 40 295 38 309 35 311 14684 13563 41 300 43 288 39 292 33 307 30 305 13563 12548 37 301 41 293 35*293 29 307 28 302 12548 11627 35 304 37 298 29*294 25 308 26 303 11627 10792 36 307 32 305 26 294 22*308 25 305 10792 10037 37 309 27 311 25 294 20*308 24 307 10037 9355 38 308 22*309 25 293 20 308 23 308 9355 8729 35 308 18*302 24 293 19 308 22 307 8729 8165 28 308 15 291 24 293 19 307 20 305 8165 7685 20 306 13 280 23 293 18 307 17 300 7685 7310 14 295 13 277 23 293 18 307 14 296 7310 7050 11 273 12 276 22 293 17 307 11 291 7050 6890 9*254 12 275 20 293 15 306 7*287 6890 6799 5*242 10 274 17 292 12 306 4*287 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography