DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 341 - - 94 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9365 - - 12419 - - 10685 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13821 - - 16210 - - 13766 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16050 - - 19104 - - 17370 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1964 - - 1256 - - 2706 - - 3898 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 669 - - 690 - - 429 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 20 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 272 - - 276 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -12 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1094 - - 3309 - - 291 - - -7982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14957 - - 15796 - - 17080 - - 14781 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -24 - - 1957 - - -1668 - - -11707 ODpotential blCL - - - 16074 - - 17147 - - 19038 - - 18506 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 97 - - 65 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.2 - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 22.0 - - 15.8 - - 15.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 66.2 - - 66.9 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.5 - - 21.4 - - 15.4 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 341 - - 94 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9365 - - 12419 - - 10685 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 88 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 43 274 42 284 34 268 41 263 96559 89289 26 282 38 271 43 276 42 286 89289 83790 22 292 31 276 38 283 37 292 83790 79250 27 296 28 298 29 289 33 299 79250 75317 30 301 24 309 22 300 29 303 75317 71820 23 304 17 302 19 304 23 290 71820 68651 13 320 11 308 22 297 18 299 68651 65738 22 311 22 304 25 297 28 297 65738 63031 30 285 28 282 37 283 34 287 63031 60393 26 278 28 283 36 276 34 272 60393 57613 30 277 32 279 32 281 36 284 57613 54709 37 271 37 282 40 284 46 281 54709 51947 44 268 47 277 48 279 48 282 51947 49481 47 264 51 268 48 274 50 286 49481 47284 45 260 45 268 47 270 50 285 47284 45306 42 263 40 275 42 278 39 280 45306 43509 39 268 41 279 42 294 35 306 43509 41868 37 272 43 281 44 300 54 321 41868 40350 39 275 45 281 44 292 48 312 40350 38929 37 277 40 277 38 283 44 294 38929 37603 31 276 34 280 31 285 42 286 37603 36341 28 275 33 284 28 284 37 282 36341 35074 27 276 33 285 25 278 34 284 35074 33775 27 277 32 285 25 271 33 282 33775 32451 27 277 28 289 26 269 35 269 32451 31090 28 275 25 288 27 270 38 270 31090 29688 29 269 24 276 29 272 37 273 29688 28246 31 259 24 269 31 271 33 274 28246 26770 33 253 26 263 31 268 31 271 26770 25261 34 255 29 260 28 266 31 270 25261 23726 34 259 31 262 26 270 30 272 23726 22162 34 264 30 269 27 277 26 273 22162 20568 32 267 30*274 27 280 25 274 20568 18967 31 267 25*273 26 278 28 265 18967 17433 29*270 22 271 22*274 30 261 17433 16034 27*272 21 271 21*273 30 261 16034 14780 24 273 21 271 21 273 28 262 14780 13648 23 274 21 271 21 274 26 263 13648 12622 22 274 21 272 21 274 23 265 12622 11690 21 274 20 272 20 275 21 268 11690 10844 20 274 20 273 20 276 19 271 10844 10080 20 273 20 273 20 277 17 275 10080 9389 19 272 19 274 19 277 16 278 9389 8756 18 270 19 274 19 278 14 281 8756 8184 18 269 19 274 19 278 13 285 8184 7697 17 268 18 275 18 278 10 289 7697 7318 16 267 18 275 18 279 8 293 7318 7054 15 266 17 274 17 279 6 298 7054 6892 15 266 16 275 16 279 3 307 6892 6799 13 266 14 275 13 279 2*332 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography