DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 79.0 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 323 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7389 - - 8219 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12240 - - 12767 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14074 - - 14904 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1752 - - 3466 - - - - - 1787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 630 - - 591 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 254 - - - - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1252 - - 1320 - - - - - -2616 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12823 - - 13584 - - - - - 9416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -106 - - -209 - - - - - -6535 ODpotential blCL - - - 14180 - - 15113 - - - - - 13335 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 98 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 160 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 79.0 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 42.7 - - - - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 76.9 - - - - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 42.3 - - - - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 323 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7389 - - 8219 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 91 - - - - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99363 33 115 33 099 32 094 99363 91848 37 106 33 106 31 099 91848 86061 30 107 30 104 30 096 86061 81274 18 111 22 114 22 094 81274 77156 16 118 15 109 19 102 77156 73520 20 115 10 144 16 088 73520 70237 11 109 15 147 10 067 70237 67226 8 101 22 126 4 107 67226 64435 6 081 10 092 7 181 64435 61740 6 253 1 110 8 172 61740 58957 11 233 9 248 4 261 58957 56101 9 259 14 251 11 252 56101 53392 15 248 18 254 9 213 53392 50954 22 224 24 234 15 257 50954 48767 27 208 33 213 33 247 48767 46789 28 201 35 200 40 226 46789 44980 32 217 32 201 41 201 44980 43309 34 224 30 216 38 199 43309 41748 33 227 35 224 40 220 41748 40278 32 224 38 223 41 220 40278 38893 34 216 35 218 40 210 38893 37562 34 211 33 217 40 208 37562 36226 35 209 33 217 41 215 36226 34859 32 205 33 213 42 224 34859 33464 30 203 33 209 38 224 33464 32033 34 206 32 206 34 221 32033 30557 34 208 31 208 35 212 30557 29045 28 213 31 211 37 211 29045 27499 26 217 30 214 34 214 27499 25926 26 222 27 218 32 219 25926 24328 22 224 24 214 32 221 24328 22698 18 222 22 206 30 225 22698 21027 17 208 21 210 22 220 21027 19348 21 220 15 230 22 217 19348 17744 20 235 8 243 17 218 17744 16290 13 238 8 247 10 207 16290 14991 8*249 8*248 6 200 14991 13822 7*256 9*250 3 218 13822 12763 7 260 9 251 3 248 12763 11802 8 264 10 253 4 265 11802 10931 8 265 10 253 6 285 10931 10145 8 265 11 255 9 305 10145 9436 9 264 11 255 14 319 9436 8787 9 263 11 255 24 323 8787 8205 9 261 12 255 32 320 8205 7711 9 259 12 255 31 319 7711 7326 9 259 11 255 28 317 7326 7059 9 258 11 255 23 315 7059 6894 9 258 11 255 21*314 6894 6800 8 258 10 255 13*312 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography