DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.3 - - 75.6 - - 80.6 - - 80.5 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 199 - - 482 - - 412 - - 129 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3138 - - 6549 - - 14749 - - 14630 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 8586 - - 11601 - - 18264 - - 17200 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 9823 - - 13234 - - 21434 - - 21315 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1558 - - 7478 - - 1510 - - 2750 - - 1993 Hgt.Variab. W* 364 - - 626 - - 781 - - 533 - - 10 W* B/S 7 - - 30 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 200 - - 280 - - 286 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - -33 - - 59 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1220 - - -685 - - 4095 - - 2741 - - -10102 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11043 - - 13919 - - 17340 - - 18575 - - 16903 sfcLCL ODpotential -5025 - - -2927 - - 2003 - - 1006 - - -13392 ODpotential blCL 14848 - - 16161 - - 19431 - - 20309 - - 20192 blCL maxRH 92 - - 71 - - 79 - - 78 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 370 - - 590 - - 250 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.3 - - 75.6 - - 80.6 - - 80.5 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 37.9 - - 27.6 - - 22.0 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 72.8 - - 78.1 - - 79.5 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 37.3 - - 26.9 - - 21.5 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 199 - - 482 - - 412 - - 129 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3138 - - 6549 - - 14749 - - 14630 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 0 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 17 117 14 113 16 103 8 121 17 125 98479 90992 15 105 18 108 15 118 11 103 14 117 90992 85243 15 090 17 126 14 122 15 097 15 101 85243 80510 21 102 16 111 16 118 15 086 24 094 80510 76447 22 085 18 094 19 115 13 092 23 084 76447 72868 14 074 18 095 17 100 14 110 16 081 72868 69650 11 079 10 080 14 079 13 085 14 093 69650 66707 6 098 11 085 6 076 14 049 15 082 66707 63976 4 145 7 049 5 089 9 034 10 050 63976 61320 4 029 3 011 3 310 2 343 5 013 61320 58533 9 308 4 209 4 262 3 198 5 269 58533 55631 10 265 6 251 6 272 4 270 9 249 55631 52856 11 259 12 255 12 263 11 279 10 263 52856 50349 13 248 12 246 13 257 13 272 9 267 50349 48099 11 225 10 241 10 270 13 275 12 284 48099 46067 13 254 11 264 9 288 12 286 13 290 46067 44225 20 259 15 272 10 292 12 288 14 305 44225 42542 30 223 19 261 12 278 9 273 12 313 42542 40988 35 204 20 239 13 249 7 271 8 312 40988 39539 25 199 21 222 13 235 10 270 9 312 39539 38186 25 195 19 213 9 245 13 275 10 306 38186 36894 24 191 15 214 7 275 13 285 10 314 36894 35601 22 196 10 246 11 313 10 308 13 328 35601 34279 18 209 11 272 14 317 13 338 15 325 34279 32931 15 200 9 290 13 311 17 342 12 316 32931 31548 6 153 7 321 11 315 16 327 7 303 31548 30124 6 047 7 002 9 327 14 305 12 288 30124 28665 10 005 6 013 10 334 9 299 14 282 28665 27171 8 332 3 014 10 325 6 301 12 267 27171 25645 11 293 0 032 11 291 5 308 13 271 25645 24094 18 273 1 242 9 278 5 309 15 283 24094 22515 14 258 10 284 11*283 6*290 17 284 22515 20896 8 245 16 269 11*285 8*275 18 291 20896 19262 5 281 16 268 10 286 9 272 17 298 19262 17693 5 317 16 274 10 285 10 274 15 303 17693 16261 7 315 12 280 10 285 10 277 13 306 16261 14976 8 306 9 296 9 283 11 280 13 308 14976 13817 4 296 6*296 9 282 12 284 13 307 13817 12766 2 160 3*255 9 280 12 287 13 306 12766 11811 6 201 4 207 8 277 12 290 14 303 11811 10945 15 199 4 202 8 274 12 293 14 301 10945 10162 14*187 4 198 8 273 12 294 14 299 10162 9454 11*160 4 196 8 273 13 296 14 297 9454 8805 11 139 4 194 7 272 13 297 14 294 8805 8219 10 134 4 193 7 272 12 298 14 292 8219 7721 10 133 4 192 7 271 12 299 14 290 7721 7332 10 132 4 192 7 271 12 299 13 288 7332 7061 10 131 4 192 7 271 12 299 11 285 7061 6896 9 131 4 192 7 271 11 300 8 283 6896 6800 8 131 4 192 6 270 10 299 5*280 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography