DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 79.0 - - 88.8 - - 88.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 324 - - 353 - - 104 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 968 - - 2830 - - 12415 - - 11513 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 8536 - - 16243 - - 14565 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7653 - - 9515 - - 19100 - - 18198 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1199 - - 1998 - - 3660 - - 4344 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* 190 - - 417 - - 703 - - 463 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 20 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 4 - - 10 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 156 - - 289 - - 283 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -9 - - -23 - - -20 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2291 - - -3668 - - 2215 - - -188 - - -9343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9945 - - 13183 - - 16886 - - 18387 - - 16144 sfcLCL ODpotential -8014 - - -6986 - - -261 - - -2688 - - -13323 ODpotential blCL 15667 - - 16501 - - 19361 - - 20886 - - 20123 blCL maxRH 79 - - 72 - - 58 - - 46 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 470 - - 450 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 79.0 - - 88.8 - - 88.7 - - 76.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 44.7 - - 37.9 - - 31.1 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.6 - - 78.1 - - 86.7 - - 87.9 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 44.3 - - 36.8 - - 29.7 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 324 - - 353 - - 104 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 968 - - 2830 - - 12415 - - 11513 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99038 41 098 43 099 36 112 34 107 27 109 99038 91566 35 091 33 101 33 095 28 096 31 097 91566 85792 29 091 30 099 25 101 28 089 33 093 85792 81034 25 092 29 100 22 115 23 093 26 092 81034 76950 21 091 22 102 21 106 18 098 21 091 76950 73336 18 083 16 113 16 106 12 103 14 086 73336 70068 14 096 11 112 11 122 7 103 11 088 70068 67070 11 105 7 122 7 117 4 123 7 058 67070 64292 8 079 13 135 7 096 4 116 2 070 64292 61606 11 032 9 092 5 074 3 080 3 026 61606 58814 3 344 3 026 5 336 3 076 4 350 58814 55948 8 359 11 349 11 324 10 343 12 350 55948 53249 16 003 15 350 18 324 16 322 17 314 53249 50841 23 002 25 347 23 329 19 326 25 318 50841 48692 30 356 32 339 28 329 33 324 37 321 48692 46745 33 351 33 338 35 328 41 319 40 317 46745 44954 34 348 33 338 39 328 41 317 37 309 44954 43288 33 349 29 338 36 330 35 319 33 314 43288 41727 31 354 27 339 29 327 28 319 30 318 41727 40259 29 359 25 340 25 322 25 318 30 317 40259 38880 28 003 24 342 22 320 23 316 29 312 38880 37563 29 001 23 344 19 320 20 317 26 309 37563 36241 30 356 23 348 17 324 20 319 24 306 36241 34890 32 352 24 349 18 336 20 326 23 306 34890 33513 35 347 27 348 22 341 22 333 23 306 33513 32100 35 343 30 348 25 340 24 333 23 309 32100 30643 30 338 29 347 27 337 24 332 23 315 30643 29146 24 336 23 344 24 335 22 332 22 319 29146 27611 22 335 18 331 16 332 20 327 20 323 27611 26042 22 331 16 325 12 318 14 308 17 317 26042 24448 17 327 15 318 11 312 12 298 11 297 24448 22831 9 010 10 309 10 302 7 293 9 289 22831 21179 12 028 4 357 5 289 7 294 14 281 21179 19511 12 003 6 352 5*337 7*293 15 280 19511 17907 8 296 10 291 6*334 8*291 16 280 17907 16445 13 276 16 288 8 320 9 289 15 282 16445 15132 16 281 19 297 10 306 12 285 14 283 15132 13949 18 287 19 305 11 300 13 284 13 285 13949 12877 17 298 19 312 11 294 14 283 11 288 12877 11903 14 302 16 318 11 287 15 283 10 290 11903 11020 9 285 13 316 11 281 16 282 9 293 11020 10223 1 007 8*310 11 276 16 282 8 297 10223 9501 6 085 3*305 11 273 16 281 8 301 9501 8841 10 108 3 156 11 269 16 280 8 305 8841 8244 12 108 5 155 11 267 16 280 9 309 8244 7737 13*095 5 153 10 265 16 280 9 310 7737 7342 12*091 5 153 10 264 16 280 8 311 7342 7066 11 088 5 153 10 263 16 279 6 309 7066 6897 10 088 5 153 10 263 15 279 4 305 6897 6800 9 088 5 154 9 263 13 279 3*309 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography