DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 49.7 - - - - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 548 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6163 - - 7681 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11306 - - 12571 - - - - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12848 - - 14366 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1047 - - 1161 - - - - - 3900 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 623 - - 687 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 345 - - - - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -7 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2398 - - -1427 - - - - - -5831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15247 - - 15794 - - - - - 12629 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10686 - - -8297 - - - - - -11188 ODpotential blCL - - - 23534 - - 22663 - - - - - 17986 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 38 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 49.7 - - - - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.2 - - 3.8 - - - - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 46.9 - - - - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 3.3 - - - - - 8.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 548 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6163 - - 7681 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96908 37 265 36 245 37 278 96908 89652 23 252 26 261 35 286 89652 84098 14 253 24 270 17 290 84098 79501 9 235 15 278 7 331 79501 75530 8 285 8 271 10 289 75530 72033 5 284 9 270 2 003 72033 68848 3 292 15 252 11 347 68848 65892 10 300 17 261 22 286 65892 63168 13 269 10 279 23 285 63168 60536 24 285 13 313 22 290 60536 57786 33 279 19 278 25 286 57786 54914 36 282 23 282 24 285 54914 52139 43 283 36 285 32 300 52139 49627 48 278 46 277 40 298 49627 47372 51 275 53 276 45 296 47372 45323 53 272 56 275 49 294 45323 43446 54 268 57 276 52 289 43446 41721 55 269 60 277 53 286 41721 40131 58 271 65 275 57 286 40131 38660 61 270 69 271 65 286 38660 37297 64 267 72 268 73 284 37297 36004 67 265 75 268 77 283 36004 34717 68 266 76 271 79 282 34717 33407 65 266 77 274 79 282 33407 32075 59 267 77 274 79 283 32075 30712 56 270 77 273 79 283 30712 29309 55 271 77 271 76 285 29309 27869 55 272 76 269 70 289 27869 26397 57 273 74 270 64 295 26397 24899 58 272 70 273 59 302 24899 23377 59 271 70 277 54 311 23377 21828 59 270 67 278 47 320 21828 20248 58 269 63 278 37 334 20248 18663 57 269 54 287 32 343 18663 17145 53 273 43 309 30 348 17145 15763 45 282 32 328 28 355 15763 14527 37 296 20*340 24 004 14527 13416 28*308 17*343 20 012 13416 12415 21*309 17 344 16 017 12415 11509 21 308 17 345 12 021 11509 10690 20 306 17 345 11 023 10690 9953 20 303 18 346 11 024 9953 9287 20 300 18 346 11 024 9287 8678 20 298 18 346 11 025 8678 8128 19 296 18 346 11 024 8128 7661 19 295 18 346 10 024 7661 7297 19 293 17 346 9 023 7297 7043 18 292 17 346 8 020 7043 6887 17 292 16 346 7*016 6887 6798 15 291 14 346 4*013 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography