DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 68.1 - - 73.1 - - 71.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 343 - - 310 - - 28 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 480 - - 3806 - - 9754 - - 7440 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 9292 - - 13976 - - 9575 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7165 - - 10491 - - 16439 - - 14125 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1052 - - 5220 - - 2012 - - 3792 - - 3569 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 464 - - 615 - - 255 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 30 - - 20 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 151 - - 246 - - 237 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -14 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2739 - - -2326 - - 1941 - - -767 - - -5736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9904 - - 12818 - - 14499 - - 14892 - - 12537 sfcLCL ODpotential -6507 - - -4013 - - 504 - - -2813 - - -9652 ODpotential blCL 13672 - - 14504 - - 15935 - - 16938 - - 16452 blCL maxRH 91 - - 87 - - 75 - - 65 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 10 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 68.1 - - 73.1 - - 71.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.2 - - 35.6 - - 33.0 - - 29.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 66.0 - - 71.1 - - 71.1 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 35.4 - - 32.8 - - 29.5 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 343 - - 310 - - 28 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 480 - - 3806 - - 9754 - - 7440 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 46 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98156 11 049 10 068 14 103 11 125 7 071 98156 90822 10 069 9 096 11 099 9 070 9 078 90822 85120 9 117 6 119 5 072 6 061 9 060 85120 80359 6 125 6 134 2 316 3 069 6 082 80359 76268 0 164 4 122 2 272 3 082 7 093 76268 72666 4 154 2 125 2 160 6 099 5 088 72666 69417 8 115 5 123 4 129 5 121 4 082 69417 66443 10 101 7 134 3 104 3 124 5 109 66443 63703 10 087 8 144 2 317 4 055 6 133 63703 61068 7 058 9 127 2 263 1 346 2 125 61068 58330 5 355 5 110 4 206 4 243 2 281 58330 55491 4 296 2 290 9 208 10 256 8 267 55491 52782 13 272 11 265 11 228 16 252 11 268 52782 50342 16 252 21 250 19 247 21 252 18 273 50342 48151 20 254 25 249 23 248 25 255 23 262 48151 46158 25 251 27 250 25 253 26 261 24 257 46158 44328 25 249 28 241 30 261 27 262 26 264 44328 42641 22 258 25 236 35 253 30 263 33 263 42641 41079 22 262 25 250 32 243 34 262 37 256 41079 39624 24 261 30 257 30 245 35 253 34 250 39624 38262 28 252 33 247 28 248 34 241 27 246 38262 36961 28 264 30 248 25 257 29 235 25 248 36961 35659 25 260 37 261 28 255 29 244 26 250 35659 34328 26 251 36 253 36 254 33 250 28 249 34328 32972 28 257 33 250 38 253 35 252 28 250 32972 31583 25 249 31 249 37 250 36 257 21 260 31583 30152 21 236 28 253 31 257 32 264 13 273 30152 28681 20 237 23 255 25 270 24 270 10 289 28681 27173 19 245 23 257 20 267 19 275 9 294 27173 25631 18 257 21 256 22 265 17 275 9 288 25631 24061 17 259 16 251 22 266 18 285 9 290 24061 22461 14 253 14 252 18 262 16 288 10 289 22461 20824 15 253 13 254 13 260 11 266 10 276 20824 19180 15 245 12 269 8 280 4 270 9 261 19180 17610 11 233 12 259 6*317 3 021 6 256 17610 16182 8 215 10 241 6*316 3 019 5 255 16182 14903 8 216 8 229 5 285 2*265 5 260 14903 13752 7 232 8 237 5 253 5*244 6 262 13752 12708 9 250 8 251 5 246 6 241 6 260 12708 11760 10 259 8 262 6 243 6 238 6 259 11760 10901 10 271 6*279 6 237 7 238 6 258 10901 10126 7 284 2*280 6 235 8 236 6 257 10126 9424 2 295 2 159 7 234 8 236 6 255 9424 8782 1 184 3 147 7 232 8 234 6 253 8782 8202 3 190 4 146 7 231 8 234 6 254 8202 7710 5 158 4 145 7 230 9 234 6 251 7710 7325 7*116 4 145 7 230 8 233 5 250 7325 7057 6*092 4 146 7 230 8 233 4 251 7057 6894 5 090 4 147 7 231 8 234 3*247 6894 6800 5 091 4 146 7 230 7 233 1*253 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography