DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 58.9 - - 60.3 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 427 - - 102 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4641 - - 7016 - - 7902 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9920 - - 11931 - - 11745 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11326 - - 13701 - - 14587 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1323 - - 1485 - - 2023 - - 371 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 486 - - 616 - - 400 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 19 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 247 - - 252 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1829 - - 1267 - - 796 - - -4202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9498 - - 12434 - - 13792 - - 11001 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -395 - - -226 - - -1062 - - -7510 ODpotential blCL - - - 11721 - - 13927 - - 15649 - - 14309 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 77 - - 72 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 58.9 - - 60.3 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 27.7 - - 23.2 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 56.6 - - 59.7 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.8 - - 27.1 - - 22.9 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 427 - - 102 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4641 - - 7016 - - 7902 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96689 39 266 27 251 30 268 24 264 96689 89424 22 260 28 258 24 270 29 276 89424 83893 18 246 26 275 21 279 21 291 83893 79336 11 238 13 278 15 283 18 315 79336 75399 9 273 8 254 11 278 13 307 75399 71903 9 248 14 262 9 294 6 325 71903 68728 11 290 12 263 11 296 11 343 68728 65784 22 267 16 257 18 258 20 299 65784 63037 16 254 17 250 20 231 22 266 63037 60387 13 276 13 231 13 226 15 243 60387 57623 24 283 10 269 10 307 21 262 57623 54755 36 278 27 286 24 276 25 271 54755 52011 48 270 40 283 33 266 25 284 52011 49509 50 268 46 277 38 276 34 284 49509 47245 48 271 53 275 49 280 46 280 47245 45189 51 272 61 271 62 278 60 275 45189 43323 50 268 63 267 70 273 66 271 43323 41625 47 261 62 267 75 269 68 270 41625 40075 46 260 63 267 76 264 69 269 40075 38644 48 264 66 267 78 260 70 266 38644 37312 53 267 69 267 77 258 74 260 37312 36040 58 266 68 267 72 257 79 258 36040 34765 61 265 66 266 70 259 75 258 34765 33461 61 264 63 265 68 262 68 259 33461 32133 62 265 62 264 67 264 65 261 32133 30774 62 266 62 263 66 261 62 262 30774 29377 63 267 63 261 66 260 60 263 29377 27945 65 266 65 261 65 260 60 264 27945 26479 67 267 67 262 64 262 59 264 26479 24982 69 267 69 264 63 264 58 264 24982 23462 68 267 69 266 62 265 54 263 23462 21915 62 266 64 266 58 265 49 261 21915 20339 55 266 57 264 51 263 44 259 20339 18758 49 266 50 262 44 259 40 258 18758 17248 45 266 45 260 38 253 37 255 17248 15876 43 264 40 257 32 247 35 251 15876 14648 40 261 32*253 28*247 33 253 14648 13539 35 258 25*247 27*249 32 256 13539 12534 28 261 21 245 27 249 31 257 12534 11620 23*267 20 246 25 251 31 257 11620 10789 20*269 20 246 25 252 30 257 10789 10037 19 269 19 247 24 253 29 257 10037 9356 16 267 18 247 23 254 28 256 9356 8732 15 266 18 248 22 254 27 255 8732 8167 15 265 17 249 22 255 26 254 8167 7687 14 264 17 249 21 255 24 252 7687 7312 14 264 16 250 20 255 20 249 7312 7050 13 264 15 250 19 255 15 246 7050 6890 13 264 15 250 18 255 10*241 6890 6799 11 263 13 251 14 255 6*236 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography