DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 79.3 - - 77.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 467 - - 108 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7511 - - 9836 - - 11048 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12366 - - 14266 - - 14167 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14196 - - 16521 - - 17733 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1564 - - 1713 - - 1176 - - 8814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 647 - - 707 - - 451 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 259 - - 249 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 2 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 655 - - 1508 - - 2818 - - -6266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13541 - - 15013 - - 14916 - - 13066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2286 - - 426 - - 993 - - -9007 ODpotential blCL - - - 16482 - - 16095 - - 16740 - - 15807 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 83 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 60 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 79.3 - - 77.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 36.7 - - 35.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 76.5 - - 77.0 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 36.6 - - 35.7 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 467 - - 108 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7511 - - 9836 - - 11048 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 30 - - 87 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98882 17 114 16 107 13 119 10 048 98882 91476 19 105 14 085 18 083 17 111 91476 85765 19 111 13 072 12 083 15 085 85765 81021 18 100 10 100 13 089 13 082 81021 76935 20 088 14 127 9 056 15 078 76935 73322 11 066 15 118 7 109 12 071 73322 70059 7 088 10 109 11 106 9 067 70059 67058 5 118 5 084 11 140 3 172 67058 64277 12 218 16 232 12 225 11 214 64277 61592 13 200 18 212 20 221 18 250 61592 58815 8 183 24 211 25 234 30 248 58815 55985 42 254 41 242 41 246 32 240 55985 53314 59 242 58 243 55 244 48 247 53314 50916 61 238 64 238 65 238 65 244 50916 48754 63 245 67 238 70 235 72 238 48754 46770 67 247 70 240 73 239 73 240 46770 44934 68 246 70 239 77 240 78 242 44934 43227 67 248 68 241 76 240 81 242 43227 41627 67 251 66 243 76 243 80 244 41627 40127 66 249 66 242 75 242 79 245 40127 38725 65 244 66 239 74 239 78 245 38725 37388 64 239 67 237 72 237 76 243 37388 36052 63 237 65 236 70 237 75 241 36052 34688 60 237 63 237 67 237 71 241 34688 33306 57 238 62 240 65 239 67 242 33306 31891 55 241 59 242 63 241 63 241 31891 30436 51 243 57 243 60 242 61 242 30436 28943 49 242 54 242 57 241 60 243 28943 27412 48 239 51 240 54 239 57 243 27412 25848 46 237 47 239 51 239 55 244 25848 24254 42 235 43 239 48 241 52 246 24254 22628 34 233 38 239 43 245 46 250 22628 20967 27 236 33 238 37 246 37 256 20967 19310 23 239 26 236 27*247 26 245 19310 17732 23 238 17*244 20*248 21 229 17732 16293 26 241 13*256 18 249 18 221 16293 15002 26*245 13 257 16 249 17 221 15002 13838 21*244 13 258 16 248 16 228 13838 12782 17 242 13 259 13 248 15 238 12782 11823 14 239 13 259 13 249 15 247 11823 10954 11 235 14 260 12 249 15 254 10954 10169 10 235 14 260 11 249 15 259 10169 9458 10 235 14 260 11 250 15 263 9458 8808 10 235 14 260 10 250 15 268 8808 8221 9 235 14 260 10 251 14 272 8221 7722 9 236 14 260 10 252 13 275 7722 7333 9 237 13 260 10 251 11 278 7333 7061 9 236 13 260 9 252 8 280 7061 6895 8 236 13 260 9 252 5 279 6895 6800 8 237 12 260 8 252 3*277 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography