DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 59.1 - - 60.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 206 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4475 - - 2418 - - 2797 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9768 - - 8074 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11160 - - 9103 - - 9482 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3056 - - 4415 - - 7361 - - 999 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 471 - - 338 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 15 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 341 - - 203 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -11 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 897 - - -1013 - - -1394 - - -1429 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10264 - - 10116 - - 10876 - - 8228 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -889 - - -3114 - - -3553 - - -5164 ODpotential blCL - - - 12049 - - 12217 - - 13035 - - 11963 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 75 - - 80 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 140 - - 180 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 59.1 - - 60.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 38.3 - - 36.2 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 57.7 - - 60.9 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 38.0 - - 36.0 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 206 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4475 - - 2418 - - 2797 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 0 - - 19 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97626 19 287 24 306 15 307 16 304 97626 90346 22 297 22 291 19 307 19 336 90346 84738 19 291 18 282 21 301 23 329 84738 80099 15 293 12 288 17 293 19 310 80099 76120 16 299 7 311 10 290 12 297 76120 72609 13 289 8 287 6 299 6 300 72609 69433 5 284 9 266 7 278 8 286 69433 66517 4 249 7 248 6 264 9 255 66517 63817 7 246 7 235 5 256 7 227 63817 61200 9 248 12 229 12 267 7 274 61200 58477 13 251 17 224 22 245 18 256 58477 55671 20 266 17 239 21 233 23 237 55671 53002 28 263 21 255 22 243 25 238 53002 50591 32 259 29 250 29 246 28 243 50591 48415 36 258 34 249 35 249 33 243 48415 46422 38 257 38 251 40 248 38 241 46422 44574 40 255 40 252 41 247 39 242 44574 42850 42 254 40 251 40 248 38 246 42850 41234 42 254 41 251 39 251 36 249 41234 39715 41 254 42 250 38 253 33 250 39715 38291 40 253 41 248 36 251 32 248 38291 36931 39 250 40 247 34 246 32 245 36931 35575 39 248 38 246 32 242 32 241 35575 34198 37 248 35 244 28 241 30 238 34198 32810 35 247 32 243 25 242 25 236 32810 31399 32 244 29 241 25 244 21 235 31399 29952 30 243 30 240 28 243 22 236 29952 28466 29 243 30 239 29 244 22 236 28466 26943 27 241 28 240 28 245 23 236 26943 25389 20 230 25 242 27 240 25 233 25389 23813 17 185 21 234 25 233 28 230 23813 22220 11 158 16 208 26 230 32 229 22220 20603 17 218 13 188 21 241 26 218 20603 18983 20 227 15 197 22 239 31 214 18983 17433 16 229 19 209 25 222 31 215 17433 16022 20 217 23 216 24 217 23 216 16022 14761 20 212 23 216 20 215 13 217 14761 13628 15 220 23 214 16 214 6 199 13628 12602 10 219 22 213 12 211 5 134 12602 11671 7*212 20 210 9 208 6 136 11671 10827 5*208 15 202 6 207 7 157 10827 10065 5 204 10 195 4*205 10 172 10065 9376 4 185 5*191 3*202 12 179 9376 8744 4 179 1*239 1 200 14 179 8744 8175 4 176 3 340 0 179 14 176 8175 7691 4 174 5 343 0 035 14 174 7691 7314 4 173 6 343 1 015 11 174 7314 7052 4 173 6 342 1 017 7 166 7052 6891 3 174 6 342 1 010 4*143 6891 6799 3 174 5 342 1 015 2*112 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography