DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 284 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2676 - - 2227 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7342 - - 8370 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8076 - - 9361 - - 8912 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 786 - - 1314 - - 2096 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 388 - - 142 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 88 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 287 - - 278 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4757 - - -6066 - - -7000 - - -5456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12833 - - 15428 - - 15913 - - 12255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12144 - - -13070 - - -13882 - - -15416 ODpotential blCL - - - 20220 - - 22431 - - 22794 - - 22214 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 82 - - 85 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 11.2 - - 9.2 - - 12.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 53.3 - - 54.8 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.8 - - 10.5 - - 8.6 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 284 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2676 - - 2227 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - 42 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96508 12 085 15 084 9 067 13 057 96508 89393 19 095 13 105 9 071 12 045 89393 83861 9 075 12 106 4 081 11 027 83861 79249 8 064 6 059 2 359 12 358 79249 75265 6 038 7 346 9 344 13 003 75265 71734 8 031 6 031 11 311 21 334 71734 68548 25 323 19 349 19 334 25 332 68548 65624 30 310 26 327 30 329 30 330 65624 62923 32 296 35 306 36 300 37 295 62923 60321 33 298 37 308 33 306 33 308 60321 57600 45 304 49 312 52 318 44 317 57600 54777 57 296 59 301 56 304 55 311 54777 52084 57 297 58 302 59 303 56 307 52084 49662 56 308 60 311 68 308 60 306 49662 47497 68 317 73 313 75 309 76 316 47497 45557 79 314 77 310 77 309 71 317 45557 43808 81 309 72 309 75 307 69 324 43808 42200 69 313 72 312 65 304 76 326 42200 40696 64 323 67 315 60 304 71 328 40696 39277 66 329 64 318 60 309 62 328 39277 37939 64 329 59 319 60 310 58 323 37939 36658 59 326 56 318 59 303 57 312 36658 35372 56 323 55 318 59 302 56 311 35372 34057 57 324 55 317 56 303 55 318 34057 32717 59 325 56 316 53 303 52 319 32717 31340 57 327 55 315 49 307 47 314 31340 29918 53 330 52 315 45 314 47 309 29918 28457 49 331 44 317 41 319 45 308 28457 26957 41 329 39 324 36 322 42 305 26957 25423 33 320 37 326 30 325 37 299 25423 23860 30 309 32 318 28 322 34 297 23860 22265 28 306 30 305 27 310 33 298 22265 20632 25 303 28 301 28 300 33 301 20632 18991 23 294 25 297 27 295 31 301 18991 17422 23 290 24 294 26 293 28 299 17422 15997 23 292 23 294 25 295 26 298 15997 14725 23 297 23 296 23 298 25 298 14725 13582 21 302 22 300 22 302 23 299 13582 12551 18 305 19 305 19 307 20 299 12551 11618 14 306 15 308 16 310 18 296 11618 10776 10 306 11 308 12 305 15 294 10776 10018 8 305 8*297 10 292 14 291 10018 9335 6 299 7*289 10*283 12 287 9335 8711 4 293 7 285 10*280 11 285 8711 8150 2*291 6 285 10 278 10 282 8150 7674 1*290 6 286 10 277 10 283 7674 7303 1 314 6 287 9 277 10 291 7303 7046 1 324 6 290 9 276 9 294 7046 6888 1 333 5 289 8 276 6 288 6888 6798 1 340 5 291 7 276 4*289 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography