DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 59.4 - - 52.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 197 - - -28 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2093 - - 4111 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7864 - - 9307 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8778 - - 10796 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1842 - - 1277 - - 3138 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 397 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 291 - - 263 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -11 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5136 - - -3626 - - -6021 - - -3541 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13914 - - 14422 - - 12820 - - 10339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11956 - - -9298 - - -12667 - - -10994 ODpotential blCL - - - 20734 - - 20094 - - 19466 - - 17792 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 80 - - 57 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 59.4 - - 52.2 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 19.9 - - 20.1 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.1 - - 54.4 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.5 - - 19.6 - - 19.9 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 197 - - -28 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2093 - - 4111 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96589 3 285 12 247 11 307 12 286 96589 89421 6 303 5 252 13 297 12 331 89421 83889 10 313 7 314 10 293 14 342 83889 79293 8 301 12 336 5 327 11 303 79293 75334 7 306 13 327 6 346 9 279 75334 71839 10 301 9 318 10 344 9 297 71839 68672 9 329 10 272 14 302 9 336 68672 65748 17 302 9 303 15 280 21 306 65748 63046 19 297 10 338 15 289 31 305 63046 60445 28 312 19 358 19 331 35 316 60445 57752 50 302 47 313 44 309 39 296 57752 54975 45 286 43 293 43 294 39 291 54975 52314 37 281 39 294 42 295 47 292 52314 49899 43 294 48 291 51 292 55 288 49899 47714 53 296 55 286 58 290 57 286 47714 45711 60 296 59 288 63 291 59 286 45711 43853 70 298 68 294 69 293 64 292 43853 42129 80 295 78 291 76 291 80 298 42129 40544 82 292 81 288 81 287 89 294 40544 39090 80 290 78 285 81 283 81 289 39090 37740 80 289 74 282 78 282 77 297 37740 36454 80 285 72 278 76 284 81 305 36454 35171 80 282 73 273 76 285 82 308 35171 33863 78 278 73 271 75 284 79 307 33863 32532 76 280 71 271 73 283 77 304 32532 31165 74 283 69 272 72 284 76 301 31165 29755 73 284 66 275 71 286 74 298 29755 28305 71 284 64 276 70 288 71 294 28305 26818 69 283 64 277 68 289 69 291 26818 25298 66 282 63 278 66 288 67 290 25298 23749 64 280 62 280 63 287 65 290 23749 22169 61 278 62 281 61 285 62 291 22169 20552 58 278 61 282 59 285 57 291 20552 18924 55 277 59 282 57 287 52 294 18924 17369 51 276 56 282 53 290 47 298 17369 15958 48 274 52 283 48 293 41 302 15958 14699 43 275 47 285 44 297 34 304 14699 13569 38 280 41 288 38 301 28 304 13569 12547 33 286 35 293 31 307 24 305 12547 11622 30 292 26*298 25 313 21 309 11622 10784 28 296 19*295 21 316 19 315 10784 10029 25 298 18 294 19 310 17 321 10029 9347 20*297 18 292 18 302 16 326 9347 8723 15*292 18 290 18 294 15 328 8723 8159 10 280 17 290 18 287 15 327 8159 7681 8 270 17 289 18 281 15 321 7681 7307 7 267 17 288 17 275 16 311 7307 7048 7 265 16 287 14 270 14 302 7048 6889 7 265 15 287 11*266 10*296 6889 6798 6 265 13 287 7*263 6*296 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography