DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.9 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 117 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 859 - - 1590 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7231 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7544 - - 8275 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 593 - - 772 - - 1430 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 245 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 25 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 102 - - 078 - - 244 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1010 - - -2167 - - -1490 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8554 - - 10442 - - 8290 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9195 - - -8275 - - -7365 - - -7272 ODpotential blCL - - - 16739 - - 16550 - - 14164 - - 14070 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 61 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 49.9 - - 42.9 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 28.1 - - 30.6 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 49.1 - - 46.5 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 27.4 - - 30.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 117 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 859 - - 1590 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96075 12 020 23 067 15 096 3 121 96075 89012 7 040 10 030 10 047 7 068 89012 83555 4 105 3 330 12 000 15 048 83555 79020 3 096 5 289 13 344 14 019 79020 75091 7 336 4 332 10 336 12 339 75091 71596 8 341 3 332 6 336 14 324 71596 68416 16 345 14 328 16 331 22 334 68416 65493 20 320 22 315 23 308 29 330 65493 62784 23 319 23 317 25 298 33 320 62784 60168 29 305 26 319 26 304 33 307 60168 57449 35 299 36 312 38 307 36 302 57449 54631 41 296 45 299 44 302 42 298 54631 51936 47 296 51 298 52 294 53 295 51936 49499 52 299 56 293 58 294 64 293 49499 47311 51 300 56 292 62 293 70 286 47311 45333 48 298 55 288 66 287 64 285 45333 43527 46 293 52 284 61 280 62 284 43527 41865 47 284 45 279 50 273 58 279 41865 40328 45 282 43 284 47 277 47 274 40328 38903 45 286 49 279 48 276 44 272 38903 37577 49 284 46 274 49 272 43 261 37577 36310 52 279 46 274 46 272 42 264 36310 35038 51 276 45 277 44 274 39 268 35038 33735 53 274 44 278 40 277 35 268 33735 32408 56 270 44 277 36 277 31 267 32408 31047 55 264 48 272 34 277 29 266 31047 29647 52 262 51 263 39 273 31 268 29647 28212 50 264 48 260 44 267 34 271 28212 26742 47 273 44 263 44 264 37 271 26742 25239 40 279 41 265 43 266 37 272 25239 23704 36 277 41 266 40 273 37 276 23704 22134 37 273 40 270 37 281 33 280 22134 20524 37 274 36 278 31 286 27 278 20524 18903 35 279 30 285 24 286 24 270 18903 17353 30 285 25 288 21 283 22 270 17353 15944 24 291 22 287 19 281 21 273 15944 14684 18 297 18 282 17 279 19 273 14684 13549 13 298 14 278 15 278 17 271 13549 12524 10 291 12 273 13 281 14 271 12524 11596 7 281 10 270 12 286 11 276 11596 10756 3 274 8 267 10 293 8 286 10756 10001 1 250 6 266 8 302 5 301 10001 9320 1 157 3 270 6 311 3 321 9320 8699 3 132 1*069 5 313 2 031 8699 8141 4 124 2*072 3 311 3 082 8141 7667 4*108 2 076 2 288 4 095 7667 7299 4*103 2 079 3 264 4 097 7299 7043 3 103 2 082 3 252 4 095 7043 6888 3 102 2 083 3*246 4*078 6888 6798 3 103 2 082 3*244 4*068 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography