DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 63.5 - - 62.6 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 491 - - 97 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9210 - - 10611 - - 10024 - - 5260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13830 - - 14938 - - 13292 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15895 - - 17296 - - 16709 - - 11945 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1215 - - 1257 - - 2444 - - 2210 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 731 - - 741 - - 424 - - 56 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 20 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 253 - - 253 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 133 - - 1066 - - 910 - - 489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15763 - - 16231 - - 15800 - - 11457 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2914 - - -901 - - -494 - - -1192 ODpotential blCL - - - 18809 - - 18197 - - 17203 - - 13137 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 83 - - 93 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 63.5 - - 62.6 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.1 - - 15.2 - - 16.5 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 60.9 - - 61.9 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.4 - - 14.5 - - 16.0 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 491 - - 97 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9210 - - 10611 - - 10024 - - 5260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 33 - - 73 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97356 30 273 29 281 23 291 30 278 97356 89975 22 270 29 269 30 279 27 293 89975 84331 19 278 19 288 21 289 19 300 84331 79664 15 277 15 316 15 303 11 292 79664 75647 13 253 15 278 18 300 16 305 75647 72105 1 243 10 264 15 288 14 309 72105 68889 10 282 11 261 15 272 18 299 68889 65926 13 266 19 272 19 273 19 271 65926 63168 14 260 19 269 14 283 13 268 63168 60474 18 268 22 285 20 280 23 277 60474 57657 30 276 34 267 31 275 35 276 57657 54736 42 268 40 265 44 269 45 271 54736 51942 47 270 46 269 51 264 50 263 51942 49428 53 274 54 269 56 265 54 261 49428 47184 62 276 61 273 61 268 57 265 47184 45156 70 277 72 276 69 271 68 272 45156 43309 75 278 87 274 81 271 84 268 43309 41617 84 276 93 271 91 269 90 263 41617 40057 90 271 95 270 94 266 89 262 40057 38606 93 270 95 268 94 266 92 265 38606 37254 93 270 94 267 93 266 93 265 37254 35968 87 270 87 268 89 265 86 263 35968 34689 79 268 81 268 81 264 78 261 34689 33388 74 265 79 265 73 263 68 260 33388 32067 67 262 75 263 71 261 58 257 32067 30716 61 263 69 264 71 260 49 252 30716 29327 59 267 57 261 71 259 48 248 29327 27901 58 269 54 257 69 258 49 249 27901 26440 57 270 55 259 67 261 50 255 26440 24948 56 271 50 263 63 266 50 258 24948 23429 54 272 46 267 56 268 48 255 23429 21880 51 273 43 269 47 265 44 248 21880 20297 47 271 41 266 37 256 37 242 20297 18709 39 269 38*260 28 245 30 236 18709 17193 32*267 25*252 25*244 24 234 17193 15817 24*266 21 251 24*245 20 238 15817 14587 20 264 20 251 23 245 18 244 14587 13481 20 264 20 251 22 248 18 249 13481 12481 19 264 19 252 21 251 19*250 12481 11574 19 263 19 253 20 253 20*248 11574 10751 19 262 18 254 19 255 21 245 10751 10008 19 262 18 254 18 257 21 243 10008 9334 19 261 18 254 18 258 22 240 9334 8716 18 261 18 255 17 259 23 238 8716 8157 18 260 17 255 17 260 23 236 8157 7681 18 260 17 255 17 260 22 235 7681 7309 17 259 16 255 16 261 22 233 7309 7049 17 259 16 255 15 261 21 232 7049 6890 16 259 15 255 14 261 19 232 6890 6799 14 259 14 255 12 261 14 231 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography