DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 70.5 - - - - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 540 - - 549 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11551 - - 11995 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15762 - - 16141 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18236 - - 18680 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2404 - - 2022 - - - - - 5395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 785 - - 800 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 263 - - - - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 833 - - 658 - - - - - -8904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17404 - - 18023 - - - - - 15704 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -512 - - -1227 - - - - - -12515 ODpotential blCL - - - 18748 - - 19907 - - - - - 19314 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 54 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 70.5 - - - - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.0 - - 14.1 - - - - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 67.6 - - - - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.4 - - 13.4 - - - - - 13.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 540 - - 549 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11551 - - 11995 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98117 12 116 6 113 14 119 98117 90676 9 134 9 112 2 262 90676 84980 5 128 5 146 3 028 84980 80258 6 173 8 169 5 064 80258 76169 3 147 4 206 5 065 76169 72551 3 250 2 225 3 122 72551 69278 4 191 10 236 3 312 69278 66263 5 144 10 235 7 266 66263 63455 12 259 14 259 13 261 63455 60719 18 247 19 257 18 265 60719 57860 17 241 20 251 20 256 57860 54907 17 250 17 252 17 248 54907 52105 23 275 21 268 17 268 52105 49595 27 270 24 270 16 272 49595 47356 27 269 23 277 23 300 47356 45349 27 273 25 287 27 331 45349 43538 29 270 27 291 31 331 43538 41880 32 265 25 293 22 338 41880 40339 36 262 32 303 28 359 40339 38898 42 264 27 292 32 354 38898 37550 44 262 27 277 32 345 37550 36264 41 259 27 276 29 340 36264 34980 39 258 26 280 27 334 34980 33674 38 260 27 284 24 316 33674 32349 37 261 29 283 22 274 32349 30990 34 262 28 282 28 273 30990 29590 32 264 26 286 30 290 29590 28155 30 268 25 290 29 302 28155 26688 29 269 23 291 24 305 26688 25192 29 265 20 289 20 303 25192 23669 30 259 21 287 18 300 23669 22116 27 257 23 280 17 292 22116 20528 21 266 22 272 19 291 20528 18931 21*274 17*263 21 285 18931 17403 21*257 14*261 22 275 17403 16010 17 250 14 262 22 272 16010 14761 15 249 14 262 21 274 14761 13634 12 248 14 263 21 277 13634 12612 12 248 14 263 20 282 12612 11683 11 248 14 264 20 286 11683 10840 11 248 15 264 19 291 10840 10078 11 249 15 264 19 296 10078 9388 11 249 15 264 18 300 9388 8756 10 249 15 265 18 303 8756 8185 10 249 15 265 17 304 8185 7698 10 250 14 264 16 306 7698 7319 10 250 14 264 15 308 7319 7054 10 250 14 265 12 310 7054 6892 9 250 13 265 9 313 6892 6799 9 250 12 265 5*316 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography