DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.5 - - 27.6 - - 38.4 - - 33.5 - - 23.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 228 - - 251 - - -20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1125 - - 3456 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6779 - - 7180 - - 8912 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 7810 - - 10141 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 174 - - 510 - - 1720 - - 3541 - - 279 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 270 - - 405 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 245 - - 272 - - 265 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2304 - - -6940 - - -8374 - - -10327 - - -7600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9100 - - 14751 - - 18516 - - 17124 - - 14397 sfcLCL ODpotential -12502 - - -15234 - - -15695 - - -17947 - - -17511 ODpotential blCL 19298 - - 23044 - - 25836 - - 24744 - - 24308 blCL maxRH 41 - - 46 - - 33 - - 38 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.5 - - 27.6 - - 38.4 - - 33.5 - - 23.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.2 - - -12.3 - - -19.2 - - -17.2 - - -14.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 12.2 - - 26.3 - - 37.0 - - 34.4 - - 27.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.3 - - -13.2 - - -20.0 - - -17.6 - - -15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 228 - - 251 - - -20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1125 - - 3456 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95070 108 259 103 263 96 266 103 265 111 267 95070 88189 79 264 75 266 69 270 73 279 79 272 88189 82889 64 277 61 273 53 277 64 285 60 285 82889 78446 54 282 54 274 49 279 56 281 53 295 78446 74603 42 283 50 274 50 275 51 277 50 294 74603 71183 38 279 47 277 48 272 49 278 49 294 71183 68060 37 276 42 272 45 271 46 278 51 293 68060 65175 40 277 36 271 43 276 40 280 50 290 65175 62493 42 278 35 274 42 279 37 283 46 288 62493 59876 46 280 38 274 44 280 39 284 47 291 59876 57113 53 280 42 276 50 279 45 284 52 290 57113 54221 54 283 46 279 54 276 52 283 56 286 54221 51450 53 289 49 280 54 275 53 281 57 282 51450 48954 56 285 49 281 53 278 52 282 54 280 48954 46718 55 281 51 283 56 283 52 288 52 286 46718 44696 59 285 56 286 58 288 54 290 50 292 44696 42854 61 291 58 290 58 289 56 290 50 295 42854 41166 67 294 62 290 57 292 57 287 53 292 41166 39615 70 296 66 288 57 296 51 287 56 284 39615 38187 72 297 67 287 56 297 52 296 56 278 38187 36867 72 297 60 289 53 298 56 298 52 278 36867 35617 73 300 57 293 50 299 54 299 47 283 35617 34373 73 302 58 294 48 302 50 304 47 285 34373 33103 73 302 59 293 48 305 48 307 45 286 33103 31808 73 302 60 291 49 307 47 308 43 287 31808 30476 74 302 60 293 49 309 46 308 40 289 30476 29102 74 303 61 296 51 310 44 308 37 295 29102 27689 73 306 61 299 52 312 43 309 35 302 27689 26242 70 311 61 301 52 314 42 312 33 304 26242 24763 63 318 60 304 52 316 42 314 32 306 24763 23254 49 320 55 308 51 314 43 314 33 308 23254 21714 35 312 49 309 50 313 44 315 35 311 21714 20136 30 310 43 307 48 314 44 318 36 315 20136 18550 30 316 39 306 44 313 42 319 37 320 18550 17035 31 324 34 308 39 313 38 319 36 324 17035 15660 31 329 30 313 35 315 33 319 33 326 15660 14433 30 332 27 321 31 319 28 321 29 327 14433 13333 29 333 25 327 28 324 22 327 24 326 13333 12341 27 335 23 330 23 327 17 335 20 325 12341 11443 24 338 20 330 19 320 16 336 17 324 11443 10631 20 341 18 328 17*303 16 328 15 321 10631 9901 14 341 15 323 16*292 17 314 13 314 9901 9242 8 328 12 314 16 285 17 301 13 308 9242 8640 4 289 10 296 16 272 18 289 14 302 8640 8099 3 277 7*276 16 267 18 283 14 299 8099 7639 3 069 5*248 15 264 18 278 16 297 7639 7282 8 089 5 246 15 262 17 274 16 293 7282 7034 9 093 4 244 14 260 15 270 12 279 7034 6884 7*086 4 244 14 259 13 268 8*258 6884 6797 4*083 4 244 12 257 10*265 5*246 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography