DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 77.6 - - 69.3 - - 71.8 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 469 - - 56 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 955 - - 5466 - - 1445 - - 1920 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 10717 - - 6783 - - 7382 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7640 - - 12151 - - 8130 - - 8605 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1190 - - 2243 - - 3481 - - 3438 - - 2413 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 584 - - 207 - - 249 - - 20 W* B/S 5 - - 40 - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 219 - - 029 - - 151 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - -31 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -587 - - 100 - - 732 - - -334 - - -146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8227 - - 12051 - - 7398 - - 8940 - - 6946 sfcLCL ODpotential -5047 - - -1889 - - -2402 - - -3674 - - -3806 ODpotential blCL 12687 - - 14040 - - 10532 - - 12279 - - 10606 blCL maxRH 91 - - 87 - - 95 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 270 - - 1420 - - 830 - - 1760 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 77.6 - - 69.3 - - 71.8 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 47.9 - - 59.5 - - 55.5 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 74.9 - - 69.0 - - 71.1 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.0 - - 47.5 - - 58.2 - - 54.6 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 469 - - 56 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 955 - - 5466 - - 1445 - - 1920 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 50 - - 82 - - 74 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 13 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99446 49 099 38 096 49 109 27 104 33 092 99446 91859 43 094 37 101 30 100 31 108 34 089 91859 86060 33 098 37 102 27 106 28 097 33 099 86060 81287 26 101 30 109 30 104 21 084 31 100 81287 77171 24 087 27 116 31 110 20 093 27 088 77171 73541 23 091 24 099 28 108 23 112 23 087 73541 70274 23 105 21 093 19 082 26 111 20 102 70274 67280 20 103 19 105 16 075 17 090 20 103 67280 64508 15 091 16 114 19 100 7 064 12 090 64508 61842 13 104 8 128 15 115 5 047 7 073 61842 59088 16 099 6 136 10 137 8 098 6 065 59088 56256 13 080 15 106 9 139 10 121 12 092 56256 53578 8 081 18 097 9 129 6 136 13 084 53578 51173 9 111 16 106 11 126 6 131 9 062 51173 49004 12 103 15 099 18 116 9 122 9 072 49004 47020 11 088 9 076 17 098 10 106 10 070 47020 45185 11 074 9 063 13 080 12 091 10 068 45185 43474 12 065 12 059 15 064 14 077 11 067 43474 41870 14 061 16 053 18 047 16 062 14 049 41870 40365 16 044 18 044 18 032 20 044 19 031 40365 38956 17 029 17 040 17 027 22 032 23 024 38956 37609 18 027 16 041 16 028 23 030 24 027 37609 36260 19 041 16 041 16 031 22 034 22 034 36260 34882 19 045 18 036 18 032 18 027 21 033 34882 33484 22 039 20 033 18 029 13 013 20 030 33484 32054 25 037 19 036 14 023 11 011 18 036 32054 30582 22 032 16 043 4 037 12 022 16 036 30582 29071 15 021 10 041 5 050 11 029 14 040 29071 27525 7 011 5 033 9 044 9 026 13 046 27525 25949 3 358 7 009 9 048 9 035 13 038 25949 24346 2 355 11 006 9 054 13 043 12 032 24346 22710 4 029 12 015 9 061 16 047 10 032 22710 21036 9 049 12 041 10 066 20 051 13 037 21036 19360 13 059 12 058 10 072 24 054 14 043 19360 17762 15 053 13 065 7 091 25 059 13 083 17762 16311 16 041 14 074 5 116 24 064 14 101 16311 15014 16 025 13 080 3 139 22 070 13 115 15014 13845 16 008 12 078 1 164 20 077 12 127 13845 12786 14 000 8*076 1 302 18 086 11 124 12786 11826 9 350 2*088 3 350 15 096 10 107 11826 10956 5 320 1 194 5 360 12 103 10 087 10956 10170 3 300 2 212 7 008 9 108 11 074 10170 9460 2 017 3 219 9 014 7 114 11 066 9460 8809 3 093 3 224 11 019 6*123 11 063 8809 8221 7 136 4 226 12*023 6*137 10 059 8221 7722 9*131 4 228 12*026 6 150 8 059 7722 7333 8*126 4 229 12 029 6 154 7 063 7333 7062 7 124 4 229 11 029 6 157 6 066 7062 6896 7 123 4 230 11 030 6 157 5 066 6896 6800 6 123 4 232 9 031 5 158 4*062 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography