DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.5 - - 70.7 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 566 - - 515 - - 177 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10820 - - 12485 - - 12870 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15180 - - 16517 - - 16089 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17505 - - 19170 - - 19555 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1955 - - 996 - - 1659 - - 12996 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 781 - - 795 - - 564 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 20 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 242 - - 224 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 20 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1497 - - 2251 - - 2100 - - -9516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16009 - - 16919 - - 17456 - - 16317 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -416 - - 1105 - - 979 - - -11593 ODpotential blCL - - - 17921 - - 18065 - - 18576 - - 18393 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 86 - - 88 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 40 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.5 - - 70.7 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.3 - - 19.0 - - 16.9 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 67.8 - - 69.6 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 18.4 - - 16.4 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 566 - - 515 - - 177 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10820 - - 12485 - - 12870 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 43 - - 53 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98027 9 263 9 339 9 342 9 333 98027 90644 7 094 10 268 10 307 10 009 90644 84938 3 127 7 244 13 291 6 343 84938 80202 7 273 3 311 7 217 3 281 80202 76131 8 271 8 293 2 232 3 297 76131 72535 5 076 1 269 4 089 1 153 72535 69280 2 248 10 247 10 324 6 354 69280 66273 10 200 19 226 14 266 9 315 66273 63471 13 080 7 188 21 213 14 249 63471 60759 24 268 20 267 19 261 16 265 60759 57918 40 232 35 244 33 255 28 262 57918 54954 37 226 38 240 37 244 38 244 54954 52129 47 246 44 245 41 244 39 240 52129 49593 57 249 53 245 47 248 40 246 49593 47320 62 246 60 249 55 247 44 253 47320 45258 63 248 64 249 56 248 54 254 45258 43379 67 244 66 249 65 251 60 248 43379 41658 66 236 69 248 69 246 61 248 41658 40079 59 240 71 247 65 249 69 250 40079 38625 62 246 69 248 69 254 72 248 38625 37278 64 246 74 253 66 251 63 249 37278 36002 65 249 79 251 62 250 59 249 36002 34736 70 252 77 247 63 250 58 242 34736 33448 73 254 72 250 62 248 62 239 33448 32136 71 256 71 258 62 251 65 243 32136 30792 68 257 70 263 59 253 63 245 30792 29408 67 256 66 265 54 251 59 242 29408 27988 62 257 62 262 53 247 57 239 27988 26533 54 262 59 259 53 244 58 240 26533 25047 49 261 53 253 49 242 55 242 25047 23537 48 257 49 248 46 239 49 238 23537 21999 46 263 44 251 41 238 42 231 21999 20431 39 269 35*253 31*233 32 227 20431 18855 29*268 24*248 23*225 26 231 18855 17346 22*266 20 244 23 225 26 233 17346 15968 20 262 19 242 22 225 27 233 15968 14732 18 256 19 242 21 224 28 232 14732 13615 18 254 18 241 21 224 29 231 13615 12601 18 253 18 241 20 224 30 230 12601 11678 18 252 18 240 20 224 31 229 11678 10839 18 251 17 240 19 224 31 227 10839 10080 18 251 17 240 19 223 32 225 10080 9391 18 250 17 240 18 223 32 224 9391 8759 18 250 17 240 18 223 32 222 8759 8188 18 249 16 240 17 223 30 219 8188 7700 17 249 16 240 17 223 28 216 7700 7320 17 249 16 240 16 223 24 212 7320 7055 16 249 15 239 16 223 19 208 7055 6893 16 249 15 240 15 223 16*207 6893 6800 14 249 13 240 13 223 10*205 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography