DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.6 - - 32.6 - - 35.7 - - 31.0 - - 27.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 6 - - 17 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 346 - - 113 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7031 - - 6798 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 438 - - 1261 - - 584 - - 163 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 60 - - 56 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 276 - - 273 - - 270 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -757 - - -545 - - -610 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7554 - - 7576 - - 7408 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -10231 - - -7343 - - -5645 - - -5523 - - -7794 ODpotential blCL 17028 - - 14374 - - 12443 - - 12320 - - 14591 blCL maxRH 41 - - 64 - - 61 - - 69 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.6 - - 32.6 - - 35.7 - - 31.0 - - 27.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 23.6 - - 27.3 - - 26.7 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.2 - - 32.8 - - 36.5 - - 34.5 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.8 - - 22.5 - - 26.1 - - 26.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 6 - - 17 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 346 - - 113 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 9 300 12 289 17 247 16 304 14 300 96170 89017 6 012 6 267 9 255 18 286 20 349 89017 83469 3 351 5 204 5 247 12 270 18 309 83469 78858 11 301 5 224 6 278 3 333 11 313 78858 74875 11 319 9 248 15 273 16 302 15 302 74875 71349 17 290 15 283 16 296 15 321 23 323 71349 68180 24 272 25 278 17 283 23 304 31 317 68180 65289 16 282 22 257 23 295 27 300 34 315 65289 62630 35 321 40 301 49 299 44 304 45 302 62630 60067 57 299 56 295 54 292 50 295 48 301 60067 57384 54 291 54 297 54 296 51 288 53 297 57384 54583 51 298 59 303 60 295 52 287 60 288 54583 51892 59 306 65 302 60 295 56 290 64 285 51892 49454 71 307 66 300 63 296 63 294 66 287 49454 47258 76 304 69 298 69 295 71 295 67 289 47258 45261 77 302 71 296 74 293 78 294 68 293 45261 43432 75 302 71 296 75 293 80 291 72 296 43432 41746 74 305 67 297 72 295 77 291 75 299 41746 40183 74 312 65 303 71 301 75 298 75 304 40183 38731 76 319 68 310 74 307 77 305 75 308 38731 37386 79 322 72 314 75 311 77 308 72 310 37386 36110 81 325 75 315 75 314 75 310 70 312 36110 34840 82 328 72 314 74 315 74 311 71 313 34840 33544 83 328 68 313 72 316 72 311 73 314 33544 32226 82 327 67 314 70 315 70 310 73 312 32226 30872 81 325 67 317 69 315 68 310 71 310 30872 29476 78 324 69 321 68 315 65 311 68 310 29476 28041 77 326 70 324 68 316 64 313 66 312 28041 26570 77 330 70 328 67 317 63 314 66 314 26570 25067 75 334 69 332 65 319 63 316 68 317 25067 23535 69 334 64 332 63 321 63 319 68 320 23535 21970 63 331 57 327 60 322 62 321 63 323 21970 20365 59 328 53 322 55 320 58 321 57 324 20365 18750 54 328 50 320 50 316 52 321 51 324 18750 17206 49 329 47 322 46 314 46 320 46 324 17206 15805 45 331 42 325 43 314 41 318 41 325 15805 14557 42 333 36 328 38 316 38 317 36 326 14557 13437 40 335 32 332 34 320 34 318 32 327 13437 12427 38 338 29 334 30 326 30 323 28 328 12427 11515 36 341 26 338 25 333 25 329 25 328 11515 10690 35 345 23 340 20 339 21 335 22 327 10690 9950 33 350 20 341 16 340 16 338 19 326 9950 9281 31 354 15 339 12 334 13 335 16 325 9281 8670 26 355 11 330 10 319 11 324 14 324 8670 8120 18 351 8 307 12 303 12 312 12 319 8120 7654 11 336 9 292 14 294 14 301 11 309 7654 7290 8 303 9 287 13 287 13 292 11 303 7290 7038 9 276 6*281 10 281 9 285 10 297 7038 6885 9*269 4*277 7*277 6 277 6 289 6885 6797 6*265 3 275 5*273 3*270 2*267 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography