DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.1 - - - - - 43.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 270 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5746 - - 9114 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10631 - - 13390 - - - - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12431 - - 15799 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3028 - - 4315 - - - - - 4543 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 467 - - 578 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 31 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 244 - - - - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 19 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2659 - - 2822 - - - - - -1388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9772 - - 12978 - - - - - 8186 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 958 - - 1634 - - - - - -3798 ODpotential blCL - - - 11473 - - 14165 - - - - - 10596 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 170 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 56.1 - - - - - 43.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.0 - - 22.4 - - - - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 54.7 - - - - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 22.0 - - - - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 218 - - 270 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5746 - - 9114 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 103 - - - - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97217 32 270 34 280 26 283 97217 89905 24 269 20 268 19 285 89905 84282 12 269 14 283 20 301 84282 79639 2 285 14 276 18 313 79639 75666 11 287 15 281 14 320 75666 72145 13 277 12 288 10 294 72145 68933 15 300 9 308 8 302 68933 65975 19 299 15 290 9 336 65975 63246 19 283 13 258 11 251 63246 60605 21 278 13 246 24 225 60605 57810 32 276 26 246 24 233 57810 54851 49 270 49 251 35 246 54851 51992 54 260 51 250 47 247 51992 49414 57 252 48 249 53 248 49414 47113 58 252 53 252 58 252 47113 45037 64 255 60 254 65 257 45037 43142 70 255 66 255 72 260 43142 41397 76 254 72 255 77 261 41397 39779 83 253 80 254 81 261 39779 38278 91 252 89 253 85 261 38278 36888 99 251 99 253 89 261 36888 35577 104 250 106 252 92 259 35577 34280 110 250 111 252 89 258 34280 32971 113 249 113 251 80 257 32971 31656 110 248 110 250 71 258 31656 30321 103 247 104 250 62 260 30321 28953 95 245 96 249 57 262 28953 27551 88 243 88 249 54 262 27551 26118 80 243 80 249 52 262 26118 24655 71 241 71 249 49 262 24655 23167 62 240 63 249 44 263 23167 21650 55 237 52 246 38 265 21650 20096 48 235 40 238 35 268 20096 18534 40 233 37 235 35 260 18534 17042 39 231 37*235 37 249 17042 15690 39 229 37*235 39 246 15690 14480 38 229 36 237 39 248 14480 13389 36*229 34 240 36 252 13389 12402 34*231 33 243 32 256 12402 11506 33 233 32 245 29 260 11506 10692 31 235 31 247 26 265 10692 9958 30 237 30 248 24 272 9958 9293 29 239 29 249 22 280 9293 8683 28 241 29 250 20 289 8683 8132 27 242 28 250 19 299 8132 7664 26 243 27 250 17 308 7664 7299 25 244 27 251 15 313 7299 7044 23 244 25 251 13 315 7044 6888 21 244 23 251 11*316 6888 6798 17 244 19 251 7*317 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography