DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 53.1 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 218 - - 238 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1718 - - 5201 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7597 - - 10232 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8403 - - 11886 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 220 - - 1114 - - 1489 - - 4968 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 310 - - 459 - - 20 - - 8 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 243 - - 317 - - 288 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 5 - - 14 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -988 - - -1767 - - -1968 - - -6310 - - -2500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7786 - - 10170 - - 13855 - - 13110 - - 9299 sfcLCL ODpotential -8740 - - -9653 - - -7918 - - -12696 - - -11320 ODpotential blCL 15538 - - 18056 - - 19804 - - 19495 - - 18119 blCL maxRH 57 - - 51 - - 41 - - 34 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 53.1 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 32.3 - - 26.2 - - 25.6 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 51.8 - - 61.9 - - 60.3 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 31.3 - - 25.7 - - 25.3 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 218 - - 238 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1718 - - 5201 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97345 40 258 34 266 42 241 53 256 48 265 97345 90168 30 255 38 257 29 249 32 250 31 268 90168 84643 22 258 29 243 25 258 21 266 18 275 84643 80014 14 284 13 240 24 250 15 284 7 292 80014 75970 4 280 5 231 12 252 9 280 5 264 75970 72375 4 359 8 238 6 233 7 283 5 246 72375 69126 4 327 8 244 8 218 7 267 2 320 69126 66147 12 299 5 309 7 270 13 275 11 292 66147 63408 16 291 10 307 8 297 14 283 17 287 63408 60779 23 291 20 294 11 306 12 288 18 287 60779 58062 24 292 28 294 23 301 23 304 21 301 58062 55265 24 305 32 292 32 290 34 294 30 301 55265 52604 31 302 36 302 32 292 37 289 38 302 52604 50209 43 298 40 304 33 295 40 297 45 301 50209 48054 49 295 44 301 40 296 44 300 47 296 48054 46087 49 296 47 304 47 305 48 302 46 294 46087 44274 50 303 53 308 55 307 49 301 43 295 44274 42588 55 305 61 303 58 304 49 309 43 308 42588 41018 63 298 63 296 58 305 54 315 43 317 41018 39552 65 290 60 299 57 307 50 314 42 318 39552 38182 56 300 64 305 54 303 44 312 41 315 38182 36876 61 315 64 300 52 298 43 311 38 310 36876 35572 62 318 56 299 52 297 43 312 37 305 35572 34242 52 324 45 309 51 297 44 313 38 306 34242 32890 53 349 42 332 49 298 45 313 40 309 32890 31506 66 356 51 350 47 301 49 313 42 313 31506 30079 69 350 57 354 46 305 51 310 42 314 30079 28613 67 347 56 348 45 309 49 303 42 312 28613 27109 68 349 55 338 46 312 47 298 45 307 27109 25570 68 345 55 334 47 316 46 295 47 303 25570 24002 69 340 53 337 48 318 43 296 45 301 24002 22401 68 336 52 339 47 321 39 302 41 300 22401 20761 64 332 54 337 47 326 36 313 35 299 20761 19109 58 329 56 334 47 330 34 323 31 302 19109 17527 51 327 54 333 47 333 33 331 28 310 17527 16089 46 325 50 332 44 334 33 337 27 322 16089 14804 41 326 46 331 40 335 31 343 25 334 14804 13651 37 328 41 330 32 338 26 349 21 343 13651 12613 34 331 37 331 23*339 19 356 16 354 12613 11673 31 334 31 335 16*331 13 358 12 004 11673 10823 30 339 25 338 15 325 10 351 8 003 10823 10058 28 345 18 337 14 320 11 339 5 353 10058 9367 25 351 12 327 13 315 12 325 5 350 9367 8735 21 355 7*300 12 313 13 313 9 350 8735 8166 14 355 6*254 12 311 15 305 13 340 8166 7683 8 339 6 244 11 310 15 300 17 326 7683 7308 9 300 6 241 11 309 15 296 18 315 7308 7048 9 289 6 238 11 309 13 293 13 309 7048 6890 5*284 6 236 10 308 11*290 9*304 6890 6799 2*288 6 235 9 308 8*288 3*290 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography