DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 77.2 - - 78.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 357 - - 105 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5208 - - 7344 - - 8840 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10296 - - 12107 - - 12459 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11893 - - 14029 - - 15525 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2204 - - 3806 - - 2276 - - 5548 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 479 - - 586 - - 416 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 18 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 222 - - 237 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -14 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 623 - - 1140 - - 1525 - - -5271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11271 - - 12890 - - 14000 - - 12072 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -988 - - -344 - - -287 - - -8759 ODpotential blCL - - - 12881 - - 14373 - - 15812 - - 15559 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 89 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 200 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 77.2 - - 78.1 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.3 - - 43.9 - - 40.1 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 74.9 - - 77.2 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 43.9 - - 40.0 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 357 - - 105 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5208 - - 7344 - - 8840 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 55 - - 46 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98996 11 118 10 133 7 081 11 112 98996 91547 9 109 13 126 3 055 13 052 91547 85791 16 127 14 107 5 087 12 062 85791 81018 17 102 16 097 14 122 10 089 81018 76917 12 082 19 091 12 108 13 103 76917 73302 11 088 9 103 11 107 11 095 73302 70031 14 094 10 068 10 097 13 077 70031 67021 6 097 7 140 5 132 4 139 67021 64251 4 139 10 124 15 102 11 136 64251 61593 16 194 17 219 10 244 10 251 61593 58843 14 206 21 215 20 223 21 219 58843 56012 27 230 30 238 27 248 20 257 56012 53309 31 232 34 233 39 242 35 253 53309 50893 30 233 32 231 40 240 46 245 50893 48742 33 240 36 236 45 243 48 245 48742 46783 41 241 45 240 51 246 50 248 46783 44970 48 238 51 240 53 245 52 247 44970 43279 51 236 54 239 53 241 54 246 43279 41693 53 234 56 236 54 238 55 244 41693 40203 54 233 56 234 54 237 54 243 40203 38807 55 234 54 234 52 236 52 241 38807 37475 55 236 53 236 52 235 48 238 37475 36144 55 240 56 237 54 235 47 235 36144 34784 53 243 56 240 55 236 48 235 34784 33400 47 245 50 242 50 237 47 235 33400 31980 41 244 42 242 41 237 43 235 31980 30519 36 241 37 239 35 238 36 234 30519 29020 29 236 34 236 30 239 31 237 29020 27485 21 231 29 235 26 239 24 237 27485 25918 16 225 22 230 23 241 19 235 25918 24322 13 213 19 223 23 239 17 236 24322 22694 12 206 19 226 23 236 18 244 22694 21025 15 216 20 232 22 242 18 255 21025 19352 23 230 23 240 20 243 16 247 19352 17761 27 235 15 242 16 243 18 238 17761 16317 25 234 15 247 15*244 18 235 16317 15023 22 231 15*248 12*245 16 232 15023 13856 20 232 12*246 10 244 13 229 13856 12798 15*240 8 235 6 242 10 223 12798 11837 8*260 6 228 4 232 8 216 11837 10965 6 282 6 220 3 230 5 208 10965 10178 4 296 5 215 3 226 4 201 10178 9466 3 299 5 211 2 220 2 194 9466 8814 3 299 5 207 2 216 1 189 8814 8225 2 299 5 205 2 213 1 163 8225 7725 2 294 5 203 1 210 0 096 7725 7334 2 294 5 201 1 207 1 060 7334 7062 2 290 5 201 1 207 1 050 7062 6896 1 291 4 201 1 202 2*050 6896 6800 1 289 4 200 1 205 3*047 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography