DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 82.2 - - 85.8 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 113 - - 451 - - 300 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 941 - - 6513 - - 8926 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 6784 - - 11545 - - 13299 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7626 - - 13198 - - 15611 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1164 - - 3664 - - 4960 - - - - - 3703 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 611 - - 594 - - - - - 14 W* B/S 9 - - 91 - - 26 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 279 - - 265 - - - - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - 16 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2580 - - 87 - - 1366 - - - - - -4675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10207 - - 13112 - - 14245 - - - - - 11477 sfcLCL ODpotential -6976 - - -2160 - - -379 - - - - - -8279 ODpotential blCL 14602 - - 15358 - - 15990 - - - - - 15080 blCL maxRH 71 - - 70 - - 99 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 350 - - 540 - - - - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 82.2 - - 85.8 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 47.8 - - 46.5 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 79.6 - - 83.8 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 47.4 - - 46.0 - - - - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 113 - - 451 - - 300 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 941 - - 6513 - - 8926 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 94 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99247 35 098 38 095 34 099 27 090 99247 91728 35 099 28 092 30 096 24 079 91728 85943 38 094 28 096 28 100 24 067 85943 81148 35 089 29 101 30 096 26 085 81148 77040 29 083 23 101 26 095 26 092 77040 73431 18 079 15 096 21 103 22 084 73431 70177 12 084 12 101 15 099 19 099 70177 67205 12 094 14 105 9 075 20 106 67205 64466 16 112 18 113 9 125 17 087 64466 61823 20 111 20 109 14 132 11 057 61823 59092 16 090 17 092 15 106 5 106 59092 56293 17 078 17 095 15 096 12 118 56293 53646 19 096 16 100 14 094 14 093 53646 51272 18 092 13 097 12 094 11 077 51272 49129 14 079 15 103 16 109 9 069 49129 47159 14 097 18 108 21 105 10 082 47159 45326 19 109 21 108 22 097 18 106 45326 43612 23 101 23 101 23 092 26 109 43612 42003 23 086 26 093 24 093 26 109 42003 40492 22 068 29 090 27 090 27 100 40492 39078 23 064 30 081 28 090 27 087 39078 37730 24 065 30 078 27 095 24 084 37730 36386 24 072 24 090 23 103 25 101 36386 35015 22 083 21 100 21 117 27 114 35015 33623 27 090 21 105 24 123 29 121 33623 32194 29 086 22 106 25 124 29 123 32194 30720 28 079 21 107 24 120 28 123 30720 29207 25 076 20 109 20 116 23 120 29207 27657 20 083 19 112 16 117 18 111 27657 26077 17 077 16 118 14 121 12 108 26077 24471 18 055 13 109 9 115 11 089 24471 22837 14 049 12 080 11 080 16 073 22837 21173 10 050 13 047 18 066 23 075 21173 19502 6 061 13 032 18 067 20 091 19502 17899 6 079 13 035 16 068 15 098 17899 16438 7 071 13 044 10*069 9 085 16438 15128 8 054 13 050 5*068 6 043 15128 13946 10 049 11*055 1 053 8 015 13946 12875 10 050 6*056 3 264 10 002 12875 11902 9 052 2 043 4 262 10 351 11902 11019 8 053 1 293 5 263 10 340 11019 10222 7 052 2 267 6 263 10 331 10222 9501 7 054 3 260 7 263 11 324 9501 8841 6 053 3 256 7 263 11 318 8841 8245 5 051 3 255 8 264 12 311 8245 7737 5*066 3 253 8 263 12 305 7737 7342 4*077 3 251 8 264 12 298 7342 7066 4 080 3 253 8 264 10 290 7066 6898 4 082 3 252 8 263 8*284 6898 6801 4 081 3 251 7 264 5*279 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography