DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.0 - - 35.1 - - 43.5 - - 32.8 - - 26.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 78 - - 133 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 440 - - 652 - - 202 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7125 - - 7337 - - 6887 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 316 - - 266 - - 243 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 140 - - 190 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 103 - - 264 - - 266 - - 230 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1022 - - -1088 - - -2791 - - -754 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7820 - - 8214 - - 10128 - - 7641 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -12312 - - -9623 - - -10434 - - -10431 - - -10527 ODpotential blCL 19109 - - 16748 - - 17771 - - 17318 - - 17324 blCL maxRH 53 - - 61 - - 58 - - 76 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.0 - - 35.1 - - 43.5 - - 32.8 - - 26.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 23.4 - - 23.4 - - 23.5 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.7 - - 34.5 - - 42.7 - - 33.4 - - 30.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 22.5 - - 22.6 - - 23.4 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 78 - - 133 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 440 - - 652 - - 202 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96082 16 031 13 346 33 032 11 027 17 354 96082 89217 30 060 23 062 18 051 11 035 18 034 89217 83867 32 063 32 066 17 072 13 044 21 033 83867 79376 38 062 34 071 21 073 21 046 17 045 79376 75443 38 056 28 075 23 074 23 047 23 041 75443 71935 27 046 18 078 16 070 27 045 21 051 71935 68754 19 027 15 054 17 057 19 039 19 047 68754 65825 20 014 18 030 18 039 15 055 12 055 65825 63094 14 359 14 027 13 031 14 039 15 025 63094 60450 13 358 14 027 16 031 15 025 12 353 60450 57703 16 015 13 024 14 023 12 018 9 014 57703 54847 18 036 12 046 8 064 8 017 23 007 54847 52133 24 052 18 060 8 050 17 008 30 338 52133 49692 34 051 18 037 18 025 28 349 26 319 49692 47486 39 040 27 030 23 029 29 329 16 339 47486 45472 35 025 30 025 36 042 25 018 29 018 45472 43639 30 022 40 025 55 031 32 046 49 029 43639 41974 28 030 43 023 55 024 49 034 66 030 41974 40451 31 052 32 034 46 026 71 028 76 028 40451 39036 39 064 33 068 42 039 76 029 77 025 39036 37711 43 058 46 070 43 047 72 030 73 023 37711 36439 40 050 57 061 45 050 65 028 68 021 36439 35162 33 046 53 053 45 052 57 026 63 020 35162 33856 30 045 48 047 43 052 50 026 56 018 33856 32526 30 048 44 051 41 046 43 026 51 014 32526 31161 33 053 40 057 37 037 36 024 48 011 31161 29753 35 057 32 056 35 031 31 018 45 011 29753 28306 34 058 30 049 35 029 28 013 42 012 28306 26823 31 054 28 051 35 028 27 011 37 015 26823 25307 29 049 24 054 33 024 27 017 31 017 25307 23762 27 048 25 036 32 019 30 022 26 016 23762 22186 25 042 33 020 32 019 33 024 23 013 22186 20570 25 026 34 016 31 022 33 023 21 011 20570 18944 25 015 29 014 28 022 30 022 20 016 18944 17387 24 016 21 014 26 019 26 018 20 026 17387 15971 22 020 16 019 23 017 24 014 22 034 15971 14702 21 025 14 027 20 018 24 012 24 038 14702 13562 18 029 14 036 19 020 25 014 25 040 13562 12532 16 031 14 041 18 023 24 016 26 040 12532 11600 14 031 13 044 17 025 23 017 26 041 11600 10758 12 033 12 048 15 025 22 016 23 043 10758 10000 9 036 8 057 11 021 20 013 19 048 10000 9318 6 036 5 063 8 010 18 008 16 056 9318 8695 3 011 2 014 6 346 14 356 12 064 8695 8135 4 326 4 305 6 311 12 324 7 058 8135 7660 4 308 6 291 6*292 12 294 6 034 7660 7292 2 290 4*279 6*271 9 267 4 038 7292 7039 1 176 3*268 5 265 7*241 3 111 7039 6885 3*128 3 263 5 264 5*231 4 112 6885 6797 3*103 2 263 5 263 4 229 4*097 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography