DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 53.1 - - 65.7 - - 61.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 273 - - 319 - - 32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1402 - - 6410 - - 4691 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7427 - - 11313 - - 7680 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8087 - - 13095 - - 11376 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 116 - - 778 - - 1813 - - 2710 - - 192 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 309 - - 541 - - 228 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 16 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 17 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 233 - - 310 - - 318 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3256 - - -5986 - - -3923 - - -4286 - - -6034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10053 - - 14074 - - 17019 - - 15663 - - 12833 sfcLCL ODpotential -14312 - - -12273 - - -7607 - - -8722 - - -13486 ODpotential blCL 21109 - - 20360 - - 20702 - - 20098 - - 20285 blCL maxRH 72 - - 71 - - 68 - - 70 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 53.1 - - 65.7 - - 61.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.5 - - 15.6 - - 14.4 - - 16.7 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.0 - - 51.6 - - 63.8 - - 61.6 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.5 - - 15.1 - - 13.7 - - 16.5 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 273 - - 319 - - 32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1402 - - 6410 - - 4691 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96500 13 085 4 183 6 129 7 129 4 022 96500 89293 10 099 4 154 9 105 5 115 7 044 89293 83728 7 075 10 138 8 215 4 193 9 021 83728 79109 9 034 6 107 12 176 7 249 6 003 79109 75126 10 274 6 295 5 267 9 297 9 321 75126 71622 11 282 5 286 12 254 10 336 14 327 71622 68466 24 306 26 309 26 315 29 316 43 327 68466 65595 43 326 44 323 47 323 48 312 49 317 65595 62964 56 325 58 320 60 319 58 320 53 319 62964 60416 66 317 70 314 67 313 66 317 64 319 60416 57729 69 311 69 308 67 308 66 309 68 313 57729 54910 70 311 68 310 61 310 62 303 68 300 54910 52210 72 313 71 313 65 313 60 312 69 302 52210 49779 80 314 78 311 73 312 70 321 76 311 49779 47597 90 309 84 308 79 315 87 315 86 314 47597 45607 95 306 92 306 90 314 96 307 89 313 45607 43784 100 308 99 305 100 306 99 304 92 311 43784 42112 103 309 102 305 103 303 99 304 97 307 42112 40568 102 308 101 308 105 308 97 305 98 304 40568 39129 95 307 98 310 104 311 97 308 96 307 39129 37785 88 306 93 310 97 310 97 307 91 308 37785 36505 85 307 87 310 91 309 97 305 86 305 36505 35222 83 310 83 309 85 311 96 306 87 303 35222 33907 81 313 81 310 77 311 93 309 86 304 33907 32569 78 315 79 312 73 307 83 308 80 306 32569 31197 71 314 73 313 70 306 75 306 72 309 31197 29783 64 310 66 313 68 306 69 305 66 308 29783 28331 58 308 60 309 63 304 61 306 62 309 28331 26843 53 310 55 305 59 302 57 309 59 311 26843 25325 51 313 52 304 54 302 56 310 54 311 25325 23778 49 315 48 305 48 304 53 307 48 309 23778 22199 47 315 45 306 44 305 47 305 43 308 22199 20582 45 314 43 305 42 302 39 304 39 307 20582 18956 43 313 42 303 40 299 34 305 35 307 18956 17400 42 314 41 303 39 301 32 306 33 309 17400 15986 40 316 39 305 37 306 30 310 32 313 15986 14722 38 318 37 311 33 314 27 319 31 319 14722 13586 36 320 35 318 25*318 23 325 29 324 13586 12559 34 321 32 323 18*316 20 325 27 326 12559 11630 31 324 28 327 17 315 19*323 24 326 11630 10790 28 330 24 331 17 313 19*322 22 324 10790 10033 25 338 19 335 17 311 19 320 19 321 10033 9350 22 348 14 334 17 309 19 319 18 317 9350 8725 18 357 9 325 16 307 19 318 17 315 8725 8161 11 003 3*273 16 305 19 317 16 313 8161 7682 3 356 3*237 16 304 18 317 16 307 7682 7308 3 062 4 234 15 303 18 317 15 299 7308 7049 7 092 4 232 15 303 17 316 12 288 7049 6890 7 091 3 230 14 302 16 316 9*282 6890 6799 4*087 3 231 13 302 12 315 5*278 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography