DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 80.8 - - 80.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 444 - - 144 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9599 - - 12731 - - 13294 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13997 - - 16635 - - 16240 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16284 - - 19416 - - 19979 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5974 - - 4437 - - 3510 - - 803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 668 - - 761 - - 533 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 240 - - 249 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -24 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3201 - - 1007 - - 1293 - - -9080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19486 - - 18410 - - 18687 - - 15881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4045 - - -338 - - -254 - - -12432 ODpotential blCL - - - 20329 - - 19754 - - 20233 - - 19232 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 83 - - 72 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 120 - - 50 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 80.8 - - 80.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.2 - - 22.9 - - 21.0 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 78.2 - - 79.0 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 22.2 - - 20.5 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 398 - - 444 - - 144 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9599 - - 12731 - - 13294 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 33 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98430 11 113 13 103 15 052 14 068 98430 90950 15 088 11 089 11 054 10 059 90950 85221 15 098 8 086 13 073 13 077 85221 80492 14 105 15 084 14 085 20 084 80492 76432 15 071 20 088 13 098 21 089 76432 72863 13 055 16 073 16 083 17 089 72863 69647 9 097 11 069 12 082 15 085 69647 66694 14 115 7 089 2 162 8 028 66694 63967 9 089 3 128 5 137 2 233 63967 61333 6 252 5 244 7 038 6 122 61333 58565 10 227 11 229 10 287 4 039 58565 55660 10 222 14 227 16 267 14 284 55660 52869 13 235 16 242 20 256 20 259 52869 50352 18 247 21 245 20 247 21 244 50352 48105 25 242 25 241 21 247 22 239 48105 46084 28 242 31 241 26 248 25 234 46084 44263 32 244 34 239 29 241 29 230 44263 42607 36 241 36 242 33 236 34 222 42607 41071 42 238 36 246 34 233 32 218 41071 39626 49 232 34 253 33 231 29 220 39626 38266 51 222 28 251 32 230 29 224 38266 36962 49 216 32 245 30 229 28 227 36962 35654 43 216 43 225 31 229 27 227 35654 34318 38 219 40 217 39 223 27 232 34318 32967 37 223 39 221 37 224 39 235 32967 31590 37 225 37 228 31 233 42 236 31590 30174 34 224 31 235 26 239 29 244 30174 28717 30 226 25 233 20 241 22 243 28717 27222 26 228 22 226 18 230 29 231 27222 25693 20 227 22 206 21 214 30 221 25693 24138 18 224 19 203 25 216 26 217 24138 22550 22 234 17 214 23 219 22 220 22550 20923 26 244 18*221 20*219 20 223 20923 19284 25 240 17*225 16*220 19 220 19284 17709 24*229 14 232 13 228 18 216 17709 16272 20*234 14 234 12 235 17 217 16272 14983 14 234 14 237 11 239 15 220 14983 13821 10 226 13 239 11 244 13 226 13821 12766 8 217 13 241 11 252 10 236 12766 11810 6 214 13 243 11 257 8 254 11810 10942 6 210 13 246 11 262 7 280 10942 10159 5 205 12 248 11 265 8 301 10159 9451 5 200 12 248 12 267 9 311 9451 8803 4 197 12 249 12 269 10 317 8803 8217 4 192 11 250 12 271 11 322 8217 7719 4 190 11 251 12 271 12 325 7719 7331 3 189 11 251 11 272 11 326 7331 7060 3 188 10 252 11 272 10 329 7060 6895 3 188 10 252 11 273 8*333 6895 6800 3 187 9 253 10 273 5*337 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography