DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 82.1 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 222 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4122 - - 8086 - - - - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9539 - - 12462 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10807 - - 14771 - - - - - 6941 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4218 - - 4483 - - - - - 1045 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 523 - - - - - 34 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 19 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 249 - - - - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 28 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -563 - - 1471 - - - - - 141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11370 - - 13300 - - - - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2796 - - -221 - - - - - -3350 ODpotential blCL - - - 13603 - - 14992 - - - - - 10291 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 530 - - - - - 1060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 82.1 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 47.0 - - - - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 80.5 - - - - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 46.3 - - - - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 222 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4122 - - 8086 - - - - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 101 - - - - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99457 44 099 39 102 34 084 99457 91891 39 106 38 098 37 096 91891 86102 32 099 35 105 33 090 86102 81320 25 084 30 099 30 089 81320 77202 21 090 23 072 27 093 77202 73574 21 109 11 077 21 086 73574 70312 25 105 14 129 16 075 70312 67331 25 099 24 125 10 061 67331 64568 16 087 22 108 7 100 64568 61890 8 057 18 072 14 126 61890 59128 11 095 13 068 18 102 59128 56316 20 093 16 099 17 071 56316 53653 21 076 18 094 15 063 53653 51245 20 062 14 063 19 078 51245 49075 18 057 12 055 24 075 49075 47092 19 071 16 079 25 065 47092 45259 23 084 22 087 25 067 45259 43549 23 075 26 085 27 073 43549 41944 23 056 26 072 29 068 41944 40437 25 048 27 064 28 057 40437 39026 27 042 26 059 24 053 39026 37679 29 035 31 050 21 043 37679 36332 27 038 35 045 20 040 36332 34960 25 043 35 044 17 025 34960 33565 21 044 30 047 12 355 33565 32133 19 045 26 049 7 342 32133 30655 18 052 22 043 4 348 30655 29136 13 054 18 036 3 006 29136 27580 11 029 13 025 4 037 27580 25992 12 009 9 035 7 055 25992 24378 9 019 8 054 11 064 24378 22734 5 011 5 055 13 069 22734 21055 5 358 5 062 15 069 21055 19371 4 346 3 079 16 062 19371 17763 2 036 0 174 16 059 17763 16304 3 077 3 243 17 061 16304 15001 1 064 4*248 16 060 15001 13828 1 305 4*251 13 059 13828 12767 2 322 4 251 9 059 12767 11805 1 073 5 250 6 052 11805 10933 3*148 5 248 3 016 10933 10148 5*153 5 249 4 314 10148 9439 6 156 5 249 7 294 9439 8791 6 155 5 248 9 285 8791 8207 6 154 5 249 11 276 8207 7712 6 152 5 249 10 269 7712 7327 6 152 5 249 7 275 7327 7059 6 151 5 249 5*282 7059 6894 6 150 5 250 4*283 6894 6800 5 151 5 250 3 285 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography