DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 80.8 - - 80.4 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 528 - - 528 - - 212 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7755 - - 8540 - - 7845 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12618 - - 13263 - - 12234 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14440 - - 15225 - - 14530 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1511 - - 1387 - - 2017 - - 5804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 682 - - 705 - - 507 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 294 - - 293 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -16 - - -22 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -75 - - -258 - - -913 - - -6297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14516 - - 15484 - - 15443 - - 13098 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4222 - - -4116 - - -4230 - - -10520 ODpotential blCL - - - 18662 - - 19341 - - 18760 - - 17320 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 53 - - 48 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 120 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 80.8 - - 80.4 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 36.0 - - 36.0 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 78.0 - - 79.0 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 35.5 - - 35.6 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 528 - - 528 - - 212 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7755 - - 8540 - - 7845 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99013 34 099 29 106 34 093 41 094 99013 91466 34 110 30 094 22 093 31 088 91466 85726 34 106 29 105 27 090 26 091 85726 81012 24 094 31 099 27 097 29 096 81012 76930 22 085 30 089 24 101 30 092 76930 73294 19 099 20 097 21 095 25 091 73294 70017 22 106 20 104 20 094 20 096 70017 67030 20 102 19 121 13 107 13 099 67030 64280 13 136 15 127 12 153 12 144 64280 61636 21 149 15 164 13 170 12 158 61636 58895 14 168 15 196 14 178 13 172 58895 56061 13 205 15 199 13 197 11 215 56061 53368 23 214 21 217 23 218 17 233 53368 50949 24 212 29 214 27 216 25 237 50949 48779 31 224 33 221 33 223 35 237 48779 46802 38 223 38 226 41 228 40 236 46802 44974 39 222 44 232 45 232 46 245 44974 43271 41 227 51 234 50 235 52 247 43271 41672 48 231 56 237 57 238 57 248 41672 40171 55 234 61 240 62 241 64 247 40171 38761 59 237 64 242 67 244 71 247 38761 37414 61 241 64 244 71 247 73 248 37414 36066 60 245 62 249 70 250 70 252 36066 34693 54 247 55 252 62 254 62 255 34693 33305 43 249 46 253 52 257 54 261 33305 31892 33 253 38 254 44 258 46 263 31892 30445 29 261 33 257 37 258 39 260 30445 28962 26 268 32 265 33 260 35 256 28962 27442 25 272 34 273 32 265 32 257 27442 25888 25 274 33 278 31 269 29 261 25888 24308 27 285 28 284 28 272 26 267 24308 22695 28 295 25 290 26 276 24 270 22695 21042 27 301 24 291 25 281 23 277 21042 19378 25 304 23 296 23 286 20 290 19378 17784 22 306 20 305 18 291 16 301 17784 16333 19 312 15*315 12 310 11 310 16333 15034 17*314 14*307 13*308 9 322 15034 13864 17*311 15 304 14*301 9 322 13864 12803 17 310 15 302 14 298 11 312 12803 11841 17 307 16 296 15 295 13 303 11841 10968 17 304 17 292 15 292 14 299 10968 10180 17 301 17 291 16 291 15 297 10180 9468 17 299 17 289 16 290 16 296 9468 8816 17 297 18 288 16 290 16 295 8816 8226 17 295 18 287 16 289 16 294 8226 7725 17 294 17 287 16 289 16 293 7725 7334 17 293 17 286 15 289 15 291 7334 7062 16 293 17 285 15 289 13 289 7062 6896 15 293 16 285 14 289 10*286 6896 6800 14 293 14 285 12 289 6*282 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography