DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.4 - - 37.2 - - 48.5 - - 43.0 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 196 - - 224 - - -25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1066 - - 2258 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7086 - - 7985 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7751 - - 8943 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 341 - - 1304 - - 2159 - - 260 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 252 - - 339 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 227 - - 259 - - 242 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2884 - - -4629 - - -5684 - - -6641 - - -3976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9681 - - 12380 - - 14628 - - 13440 - - 10775 sfcLCL ODpotential -15837 - - -13605 - - -11990 - - -13776 - - -13891 ODpotential blCL 22634 - - 21356 - - 20933 - - 20574 - - 20689 blCL maxRH 46 - - 35 - - 56 - - 62 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.4 - - 37.2 - - 48.5 - - 43.0 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.1 - - 7.6 - - 8.4 - - 8.4 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.8 - - 36.0 - - 47.1 - - 44.4 - - 36.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.1 - - 7.4 - - 8.2 - - 8.3 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 196 - - 224 - - -25 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1066 - - 2258 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 35 047 15 020 25 023 18 035 9 025 96441 89387 25 080 13 055 18 040 11 047 7 044 89387 83851 20 050 18 060 17 053 16 052 14 042 83851 79234 19 051 15 069 11 083 14 022 17 020 79234 75264 20 038 13 056 12 064 7 011 16 002 75264 71737 18 027 9 073 9 346 7 014 13 353 71737 68514 11 357 7 342 12 325 12 355 12 002 68514 65534 8 298 18 319 22 333 17 349 21 358 65534 62787 18 316 25 322 31 332 29 348 22 344 62787 60141 25 312 23 322 29 320 31 329 24 342 60141 57373 27 323 28 330 23 323 32 324 31 329 57373 54503 35 313 35 335 37 327 38 326 44 327 54503 51772 36 318 49 322 50 319 53 321 56 322 51772 49320 41 331 55 319 56 315 58 313 60 311 49320 47125 50 329 59 317 57 314 57 312 62 308 47125 45137 55 320 57 316 58 313 55 314 63 308 45137 43319 53 319 53 320 57 311 55 316 62 306 43319 41647 51 325 50 328 55 311 58 314 62 308 41647 40099 54 325 52 329 53 312 60 308 63 309 40099 38655 57 319 55 324 55 312 60 304 63 306 38655 37311 56 319 55 317 58 311 59 301 61 304 37311 36038 58 323 55 315 63 312 60 300 62 302 36038 34772 61 322 54 314 66 314 61 300 62 299 34772 33482 61 319 55 313 63 314 61 302 62 300 33482 32169 60 320 56 312 59 309 60 303 63 303 32169 30820 59 322 57 312 59 306 57 305 64 304 30820 29428 59 324 55 313 58 306 55 308 64 304 29428 27996 59 326 54 314 55 307 53 309 61 305 27996 26529 59 327 53 316 53 308 52 309 59 305 26529 25031 59 328 53 317 53 309 54 311 59 305 25031 23505 60 328 54 319 53 311 56 312 58 306 23505 21946 57 329 54 321 52 313 56 314 56 307 21946 20350 51 329 50 323 51 314 53 315 52 308 20350 18743 42 327 44 324 48 314 49 315 47 307 18743 17208 35 325 37 323 42 313 43 314 41 306 17208 15816 30 324 32 320 37 314 38 312 36 305 15816 14572 26 324 28 317 33 315 32 311 30 305 14572 13455 23 325 24 316 29 318 27 313 24 304 13455 12445 20 326 20 316 25 321 21 318 21 306 12445 11532 18 328 17 319 22 322 17 325 17 308 11532 10706 15 331 15 319 18 317 14 324 15 309 10706 9962 11 334 14 315 16 303 15 312 13 306 9962 9290 8 334 14 309 14*292 16 297 13 301 9290 8677 6 328 13 303 12*277 17 286 14 297 8677 8124 4 331 9*298 11 261 17 272 15 295 8124 7656 2 033 2*238 11 257 17 261 16 296 7656 7292 6 107 2 228 11 254 16 254 14 291 7292 7040 9 117 3 222 11 252 14 249 9 269 7040 6886 8*114 2 220 10 251 12*245 5*242 6886 6798 5*116 2 221 9 250 8*242 3*226 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography