DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 69.4 - - 75.3 - - 74.2 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 357 - - 374 - - 61 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 245 - - 4049 - - 8606 - - 8265 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 9499 - - 13152 - - 11454 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6930 - - 10734 - - 15291 - - 14950 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 432 - - 3694 - - 1466 - - 1831 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 482 - - 629 - - 340 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 16 - - 18 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 084 - - 157 - - 222 - - 226 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 13 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3465 - - -2953 - - -836 - - -1662 - - -6741 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10396 - - 13688 - - 16128 - - 16613 - - 13541 sfcLCL ODpotential -8528 - - -6716 - - -3873 - - -5216 - - -11605 ODpotential blCL 15458 - - 17450 - - 19164 - - 20166 - - 18405 blCL maxRH 51 - - 46 - - 57 - - 61 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 69.4 - - 75.3 - - 74.2 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.8 - - 24.8 - - 28.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 67.3 - - 73.0 - - 73.6 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 32.4 - - 27.4 - - 24.4 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 357 - - 374 - - 61 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 245 - - 4049 - - 8606 - - 8265 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98249 10 110 14 109 15 130 3 183 4 121 98249 90879 6 106 8 081 15 117 5 187 8 094 90879 85194 9 100 5 073 13 112 8 165 9 053 85194 80498 12 106 7 134 12 105 6 124 11 033 80498 76462 14 112 13 125 10 108 9 081 9 072 76462 72896 14 097 14 116 9 121 9 092 13 099 72896 69657 8 072 14 101 10 114 9 074 16 090 69657 66672 9 076 11 076 12 108 7 105 11 057 66672 63913 9 059 8 106 8 075 8 101 8 061 63913 61252 9 098 6 118 4 021 8 021 10 039 61252 58491 8 016 5 101 3 184 9 304 8 326 58491 55643 13 310 11 311 6 296 11 297 11 290 55643 52934 17 280 21 297 14 302 18 287 18 284 52934 50486 24 279 28 282 29 289 24 280 20 295 50486 48278 31 276 33 267 36 276 38 306 42 298 48278 46273 35 270 35 273 40 279 46 285 48 283 46273 44434 36 274 43 284 42 276 40 273 42 279 44434 42731 44 285 44 280 41 278 44 287 45 285 42731 41148 54 280 43 273 47 289 57 285 55 280 41148 39678 52 272 45 281 56 282 61 277 54 278 39678 38311 43 280 51 284 56 281 60 275 49 285 38311 37010 51 287 55 281 53 279 54 276 57 285 37010 35707 53 284 52 281 50 277 51 276 54 285 35707 34378 47 274 43 282 47 276 48 277 47 279 34378 33026 43 271 34 283 42 279 44 277 45 281 33026 31637 38 277 33 287 37 282 40 277 43 284 31637 30206 34 283 32 287 34 285 36 276 37 285 30206 28737 30 284 29 290 33 289 33 281 31 283 28737 27233 27 285 23 293 26 293 25 287 24 279 27233 25697 23 285 20 289 19 292 18 278 19 266 25697 24133 21 279 18 281 17 288 18 271 20 262 24133 22536 21 276 16 272 19 279 20 277 17 271 22536 20900 20 274 15 262 18 273 19 279 15 271 20900 19251 17 270 12 249 15 259 16 271 17 265 19251 17671 11 270 10 250 13 246 15 252 19 250 17671 16235 6 254 12 256 10*235 10*235 20 242 16235 14950 6 256 11 248 8*222 7*222 19 242 14950 13791 6 260 9 236 7 221 7 221 16 244 13791 12740 7 237 6 229 7 220 6 222 13 246 12740 11787 12 223 5 238 7 220 6 222 9 247 11787 10922 14 223 6*233 6 220 5 226 6 245 10922 10143 8 220 6*196 6 221 5 227 3 243 10143 9437 4 212 6 171 6 222 5 229 2 241 9437 8792 2 172 6 153 5 222 4 230 1 238 8792 8209 4 116 6 150 5 223 4 233 0 293 8209 7714 8 109 6 146 5 224 4 236 1 020 7714 7327 10 100 6 145 5 225 4 236 2 039 7327 7059 9*088 6 144 5 225 4 237 3 042 7059 6894 7*084 5 144 4 225 3 237 4*044 6894 6800 5 084 5 143 4 225 3 237 4*042 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography