DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 38.3 - - 46.4 - - 40.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 120 - - 125 - - -14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1040 - - 2204 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7721 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7725 - - 8889 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 359 - - 569 - - 927 - - 539 - - 193 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 217 - - 281 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 263 - - 269 - - 249 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -244 - - -878 - - -1225 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 7970 - - 9768 - - 8024 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -5920 - - -8900 - - -7805 - - -7710 - - -8608 ODpotential blCL 12717 - - 16625 - - 16694 - - 14508 - - 15406 blCL maxRH 88 - - 67 - - 57 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 38.3 - - 46.4 - - 40.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.0 - - 27.5 - - 27.6 - - 29.3 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.0 - - 37.6 - - 45.5 - - 43.2 - - 36.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.7 - - 26.4 - - 26.6 - - 28.8 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 120 - - 125 - - -14 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1040 - - 2204 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96158 12 262 18 291 7 309 10 212 17 290 96158 89158 6 320 9 270 10 328 8 252 10 308 89158 83708 6 022 7 294 7 330 10 345 3 331 83708 79133 5 065 4 233 7 279 14 337 9 006 79133 75173 4 017 4 237 13 267 11 329 12 006 75173 71670 1 006 5 247 20 275 13 307 18 349 71670 68490 11 339 8 320 18 292 19 301 19 329 68490 65542 15 313 16 301 18 299 21 289 20 312 65542 62795 19 308 23 286 22 307 23 294 24 314 62795 60136 27 302 31 291 30 306 26 302 32 311 60136 57370 34 296 39 295 38 304 36 314 38 307 57370 54508 40 297 44 296 45 299 44 308 44 307 54508 51789 44 294 43 293 45 296 48 300 49 301 51789 49361 45 296 43 296 44 304 50 297 48 305 49361 47210 51 302 53 306 54 306 54 303 54 310 47210 45284 47 295 59 309 60 314 54 309 57 303 45284 43534 46 305 67 320 70 317 67 323 57 317 43534 41931 59 322 79 317 73 312 69 316 63 319 41931 40449 87 316 83 310 71 314 63 315 55 311 40449 39057 97 317 78 307 68 323 56 323 47 316 39057 37745 87 326 74 319 67 336 54 336 46 334 37745 36485 83 335 77 332 68 342 57 343 47 337 36485 35218 85 334 79 335 68 339 61 342 46 325 35218 33918 83 330 82 333 68 335 63 336 47 318 33918 32593 78 329 83 331 68 335 62 332 51 323 32593 31231 76 327 79 326 69 336 60 333 54 325 31231 29825 76 327 76 321 69 336 58 336 54 321 29825 28376 74 328 77 321 67 331 56 337 54 312 28376 26888 70 325 79 326 67 324 53 331 55 310 26888 25364 71 320 77 330 66 316 53 320 58 315 25364 23809 72 317 69 333 63 313 57 315 57 322 23809 22219 68 316 61 333 61 314 60 316 52 326 22219 20590 61 318 55 330 58 315 59 317 46 329 20590 18951 53 318 51 326 53 317 51 318 41 328 18951 17384 49 315 47 322 47 319 43 318 39 326 17384 15961 46 309 41 320 40 319 37 320 38 326 15961 14690 41 303 36 320 34 319 34 323 36 328 14690 13550 34 302 31 321 30 321 31 326 33 332 13550 12522 27 307 28 317 27 321 28 330 30 335 12522 11593 22 310 26 313 24 320 26 333 27 338 11593 10753 19 309 23 311 22 317 23 337 24 343 10753 9999 16 307 20 308 20 311 21 339 21 348 9999 9318 13 304 17 303 16*299 20 338 18 354 9318 8697 11 300 14 295 13*278 18 331 15 358 8697 8138 9 296 11*287 13 272 17 318 11 358 8138 7664 6 290 6*272 12 268 17 304 9 333 7664 7296 1 226 5 263 12 266 15 291 13 303 7296 7041 3 116 4 259 11 264 12 277 11 289 7041 6886 3 087 4 258 11 263 9*263 6*276 6886 6798 3*083 4 257 9 262 5*249 3*255 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography