DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.3 - - 60.8 - - 66.0 - - 60.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 193 - - 323 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 543 - - 1955 - - 3541 - - 1384 - - 379 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 7734 - - 9072 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7228 - - 8640 - - 10226 - - 8069 - - 7064 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 860 - - 2453 - - 1814 - - 4696 - - 1003 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 313 - - 446 - - 102 - - 38 W* B/S 25 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 10 - - 13 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 262 - - 245 - - 081 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 6 - - -18 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 429 - - 780 - - 862 - - -750 - - 265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 7860 - - 9364 - - 8819 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -2338 - - -1830 - - -1225 - - -3010 - - -1947 ODpotential blCL 9566 - - 10470 - - 11451 - - 11079 - - 9011 blCL maxRH 91 - - 91 - - 91 - - 93 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 770 - - 1160 - - 240 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 53.3 - - 60.8 - - 66.0 - - 60.8 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 49.5 - - 48.0 - - 45.3 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 59.5 - - 63.9 - - 60.8 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 48.6 - - 47.8 - - 44.2 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 193 - - 323 - - 1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 543 - - 1955 - - 3541 - - 1384 - - 379 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 62 - - 65 - - 72 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98304 6 317 4 129 7 204 5 222 10 290 98304 90904 1 155 4 167 6 183 1 258 4 002 90904 85197 5 153 6 201 7 201 4 278 6 004 85197 80458 7 111 6 167 10 186 5 264 9 358 80458 76374 6 055 4 110 8 168 3 294 7 006 76374 72770 6 357 5 014 2 170 2 270 6 346 72770 69507 5 306 8 312 5 315 3 275 9 335 69507 66503 3 292 8 274 9 294 5 285 7 311 66503 63722 6 294 6 264 11 274 6 312 6 273 63722 61044 10 288 6 268 10 262 9 293 8 249 61044 58267 11 268 9 248 11 260 12 261 9 244 58267 55396 12 217 11 238 12 251 12 248 7 267 55396 52658 8 188 9 198 10 230 11 244 8 279 52658 50192 6 200 7 162 8 185 8 238 7 263 50192 47980 9 158 7 145 5 182 6 228 5 259 47980 45967 9 129 11 145 12 173 4 210 2 242 45967 44118 12 128 18 134 21 147 7 171 3 062 44118 42414 15 114 20 121 24 129 11 152 3 047 42414 40832 17 108 29 112 26 116 14 145 9 128 40832 39364 24 105 30 105 30 113 32 121 26 108 39364 38007 29 095 27 101 36 109 46 107 36 101 38007 36718 32 085 26 092 37 106 48 100 35 097 36718 35428 37 080 28 086 40 105 42 099 28 093 35428 34109 36 078 32 091 41 110 32 089 26 083 34109 32765 32 083 32 098 37 111 32 084 33 072 32765 31384 31 092 26 105 31 110 32 080 33 072 31384 29958 28 094 19 113 28 100 30 076 31 073 29958 28491 23 091 18 115 28 097 27 074 30 075 28491 26986 21 103 19 116 26 093 23 075 30 077 26986 25449 20 110 22 116 22 097 21 081 29 078 25449 23885 18 115 25 112 18 097 21 086 27 079 23885 22290 17 116 28 110 20 096 22 089 26 080 22290 20659 18 110 31 110 25 096 23 090 25 081 20659 19019 20 109 33 101 28 094 23 090 24 081 19019 17452 19 113 34 094 31 085 22 089 23 083 17452 16029 17 118 31 085 28 081 20 089 22 087 16029 14757 14 115 27 076 20 081 17 094 22 095 14757 13614 13 088 21 066 13 086 14 102 22 099 13614 12583 15 072 13 047 6 091 12 111 21 100 12583 11650 13 065 6 025 1 240 10 114 19 096 11650 10808 8 045 2 085 7*248 8 114 17 085 10808 10047 7 012 5 175 10*250 7 112 15 070 10047 9360 7 344 6 197 12 246 6 107 16 059 9360 8732 6 323 7*229 14 245 6 102 15 052 8732 8165 6 312 9*254 14 244 5*095 14 045 8165 7684 4 305 10 263 14 244 5*087 14 034 7684 7310 3*301 10 264 15 243 5 081 13*022 7310 7050 1*319 10 265 14 242 5 078 11*017 7050 6891 1 318 10 265 14 242 5 077 9 015 6891 6799 1 324 9 265 12 242 4 076 7 014 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography