DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.9 - - 38.5 - - 45.4 - - 37.1 - - 28.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 163 - - 180 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 820 - - 1547 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6781 - - 7400 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7505 - - 8232 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 380 - - 399 - - 1063 - - 267 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 217 - - 278 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 241 - - 246 - - 258 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3098 - - -4905 - - -5556 - - -4956 - - -2971 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9895 - - 12411 - - 13788 - - 11755 - - 9769 sfcLCL ODpotential -15980 - - -14010 - - -13173 - - -14200 - - -14025 ODpotential blCL 22777 - - 21515 - - 21405 - - 20998 - - 20823 blCL maxRH 39 - - 43 - - 49 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.9 - - 38.5 - - 45.4 - - 37.1 - - 28.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 3.8 - - 9.0 - - 9.7 - - 10.5 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.1 - - 37.5 - - 44.2 - - 40.0 - - 34.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.7 - - 8.8 - - 9.3 - - 10.3 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 163 - - 180 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 820 - - 1547 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95720 59 346 71 345 60 346 49 360 58 348 95720 88679 55 351 53 329 65 351 61 359 60 356 88679 83221 48 351 47 331 59 338 60 351 63 358 83221 78679 41 354 45 337 53 336 58 347 62 352 78679 74774 38 347 44 344 46 339 57 342 62 349 74774 71326 40 334 43 344 40 342 47 341 54 346 71326 68215 41 320 43 336 32 340 38 338 38 336 68215 65353 42 320 44 325 33 342 32 330 38 338 65353 62699 42 320 43 324 40 330 32 330 39 331 62699 60146 39 321 39 317 39 320 35 332 32 316 60146 57478 37 316 37 313 34 318 36 321 32 315 57478 54684 38 311 35 312 33 315 34 296 35 308 54684 52009 39 302 38 312 36 314 33 302 36 302 52009 49620 41 295 45 304 42 309 39 312 40 302 49620 47512 43 297 50 299 54 295 59 304 60 300 47512 45635 53 299 63 295 68 293 75 304 75 308 45635 43917 69 298 73 293 77 296 94 295 93 307 43917 42309 82 296 81 291 84 294 100 298 108 302 42309 40791 90 295 86 291 86 294 100 306 111 302 40791 39355 84 293 89 290 86 297 99 311 113 300 39355 38001 76 294 86 289 89 301 99 312 113 300 38001 36700 67 293 75 292 90 301 103 311 112 302 36700 35393 55 294 72 294 84 299 104 308 107 307 35393 34054 45 297 67 295 77 301 94 315 99 311 34054 32691 31 300 50 295 73 305 79 316 88 311 32691 31298 16 291 38 292 55 304 71 315 74 312 31298 29866 8 222 26 272 37 302 58 316 60 312 29866 28394 8 187 17 240 26 285 42 316 42 312 28394 26893 2 189 11 253 20 266 25 307 25 326 26893 25368 1 032 6 266 13 282 15 308 21 333 25368 23823 5 047 3 257 11 287 15 321 16 322 23823 22246 6 039 5 278 12 291 13 331 13 326 22246 20627 6 008 8 299 13 300 11 326 12 322 20627 18993 8 353 9 318 11 305 12 314 12 301 18993 17423 10 344 9 326 11 306 14 314 15 300 17423 15993 11 338 10 327 12 311 14 316 17 312 15993 14714 12 333 10 329 13 320 12 315 17 322 14714 13563 13 331 11 331 13 325 9 314 15 326 13563 12524 14 332 12 333 12 330 5 306 12 327 12524 11586 13 337 12 336 11 333 4 268 10 333 11586 10739 12 344 11 339 10 333 4 248 8 334 10739 9979 10 345 10 341 9 328 3 263 6 332 9979 9295 7 337 7 339 7 315 4 303 4 331 9295 8675 5 321 4 329 5*287 5 315 2 333 8675 8121 3 296 3 289 6*251 5 309 1 322 8121 7653 2 253 4*246 7 247 4 295 1 222 7653 7291 2 187 4*242 7 245 4 277 3 218 7291 7039 2 141 4 240 7 243 4 267 4 219 7039 6885 2*110 4 240 7 243 4*263 3*210 6885 6798 2*068 4 241 6 242 3*258 1*215 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography