DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.6 - - 30.1 - - 35.7 - - 30.3 - - 27.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 35 - - -3 - - -36 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 406 - - 113 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6780 - - 6781 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7091 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 121 - - 516 - - 1003 - - 209 - - 80 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 107 - - 34 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 099 - - 251 - - 275 - - 262 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 294 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 6797 - - 6798 - - 6798 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential -9272 - - -6584 - - -3287 - - -3372 - - -4645 ODpotential blCL 16069 - - 13675 - - 10085 - - 10170 - - 11442 blCL maxRH 84 - - 93 - - 74 - - 77 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.6 - - 30.1 - - 35.7 - - 30.3 - - 27.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 25.6 - - 30.4 - - 27.8 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.3 - - 29.9 - - 36.2 - - 32.8 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 24.4 - - 29.5 - - 28.2 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 35 - - -3 - - -36 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 406 - - 113 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 73 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 6 041 5 310 4 234 5 301 9 302 96292 89080 4 319 1 031 3 175 5 309 10 308 89080 83509 4 330 3 353 3 260 7 307 5 003 83509 78869 6 349 3 347 4 214 6 294 8 314 78869 74890 9 317 7 283 8 277 12 285 10 297 74890 71395 17 298 6 268 10 292 13 303 9 296 71395 68226 14 305 16 286 17 287 18 299 13 334 68226 65299 20 309 23 271 23 261 18 273 14 317 65299 62588 33 302 27 289 25 275 23 281 29 285 62588 60009 46 283 36 291 38 297 51 282 54 286 60009 57360 44 282 44 289 30 294 51 287 59 286 57360 54598 38 288 40 290 37 296 46 294 57 286 54598 51919 54 302 55 299 61 294 58 293 58 292 51919 49476 69 303 65 297 68 292 67 292 63 297 49476 47270 71 295 65 293 69 292 74 294 71 300 47270 45263 66 285 63 291 72 292 81 296 80 300 45263 43426 60 278 63 289 76 292 85 296 82 296 43426 41732 55 281 63 288 78 289 84 292 80 292 41732 40156 56 297 69 293 79 288 80 290 77 293 40156 38677 64 313 75 301 79 292 76 291 78 301 38677 37294 75 321 82 308 80 296 77 298 84 310 37294 35980 83 324 88 312 80 300 86 308 87 314 35980 34674 87 323 91 314 82 309 92 315 85 317 34674 33348 87 320 92 313 89 319 94 318 84 321 33348 32007 87 319 92 312 95 323 94 320 91 325 32007 30640 86 319 92 310 94 321 95 323 98 325 30640 29237 86 321 92 308 87 315 93 325 95 322 29237 27798 86 321 91 306 78 310 87 325 83 321 27798 26326 81 320 87 305 70 311 77 322 71 320 26326 24825 72 317 79 305 64 313 68 317 63 319 24825 23300 65 313 74 304 63 312 63 314 59 319 23300 21747 62 311 70 304 65 308 62 315 54 318 21747 20161 61 310 67 303 65 304 61 318 50 318 20161 18569 60 309 65 303 63 303 59 320 47 318 18569 17051 57 308 61 302 59 304 56 323 46 319 17051 15676 54 310 55 302 56 307 53 325 44 319 15676 14451 50 312 48 300 53 310 49 327 42 320 14451 13352 45 312 43 298 51 313 45 328 41 321 13352 12361 42 311 41 300 49 316 41 329 38 323 12361 11464 39 311 39 305 46 320 38 329 36 325 11464 10654 37 310 37 309 44 322 37 329 34 328 10654 9924 36 304 35 310 40 323 35 327 32 332 9924 9264 32 299 32 306 37 321 34 324 31 333 9264 8660 24 299 28 300 33 316 32 320 29 331 8660 8115 15 300 23 295 29 309 29 312 26 328 8115 7652 8 288 15 283 25 299 26 302 23 320 7652 7291 4 244 10*266 21 288 23 290 19 310 7291 7039 4 159 6*252 18 280 18 274 16 296 7039 6886 5*113 5 251 15*277 15*266 13*284 6886 6797 4*099 5 250 12*275 8*262 7*278 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography