DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 62.2 - - 65.9 - - 63.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 369 - - 417 - - 94 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 444 - - 8180 - - 11133 - - 10267 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 12804 - - 15278 - - 13445 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7129 - - 14865 - - 17818 - - 16952 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1484 - - 4053 - - 3226 - - 3948 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 617 - - 712 - - 423 - - 9 W* B/S 7 - - 17 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 318 - - 301 - - 307 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -6 - - 44 - - 42 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2760 - - 1802 - - 3547 - - 2793 - - -5665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9889 - - 13064 - - 14272 - - 14160 - - 12464 sfcLCL ODpotential -5749 - - -247 - - 2001 - - 1028 - - -9035 ODpotential blCL 12878 - - 15112 - - 15817 - - 15924 - - 15834 blCL maxRH 85 - - 74 - - 97 - - 98 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 280 - - 360 - - 200 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 62.2 - - 65.9 - - 63.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 28.4 - - 26.5 - - 25.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 60.1 - - 63.6 - - 63.2 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.9 - - 27.9 - - 26.1 - - 24.8 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 369 - - 417 - - 94 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 444 - - 8180 - - 11133 - - 10267 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 0 - - 88 - - 94 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 41 268 45 273 39 262 36 263 43 257 96535 89267 26 284 33 255 38 268 44 279 35 278 89267 83721 20 293 22 267 33 272 42 283 41 297 83721 79187 24 311 15 313 21 280 28 292 30 300 79187 75284 27 314 23 317 15 282 25 304 19 298 75284 71813 24 305 31 313 23 305 32 301 36 311 71813 68674 24 293 32 309 27 301 35 293 43 303 68674 65782 26 294 28 293 25 290 34 284 37 294 65782 63063 31 299 27 278 28 285 33 285 35 293 63063 60395 40 298 34 286 36 284 34 290 39 290 60395 57593 46 292 44 287 44 286 40 293 41 286 57593 54682 50 287 45 290 44 287 44 293 43 292 54682 51910 51 289 46 296 42 291 45 297 46 294 51910 49417 53 290 50 296 45 296 48 300 49 293 49417 47178 51 288 48 292 47 298 52 302 51 297 47178 45154 46 288 42 289 49 298 54 303 54 305 45154 43325 41 286 37 293 50 298 53 308 59 312 43325 41667 35 279 35 299 47 301 55 316 62 316 41667 40143 30 278 33 302 44 302 55 323 60 324 40143 38722 27 289 30 305 39 303 54 334 61 332 38722 37392 27 297 28 309 30 306 52 338 62 337 37392 36121 28 302 27 306 24 313 48 339 59 341 36121 34851 26 307 25 296 25 320 44 336 54 342 34851 33555 25 300 25 283 27 322 39 333 48 339 33555 32239 24 285 26 280 28 321 34 332 43 335 32239 30891 24 276 25 285 27 319 30 337 37 331 30891 29504 25 276 23 292 25 318 30 346 32 329 29504 28078 18 278 20 300 22 319 30 349 31 328 28078 26614 12 276 19 304 19 322 26 348 31 328 26614 25117 16 313 20 306 14 339 21 342 29 331 25117 23592 14 316 16 307 14 001 16 331 26 335 23592 22038 9 323 13 310 15 003 13 337 26 335 22038 20454 4 331 13 320 15 344 16 341 23 336 20454 18866 3 215 12 338 16*328 17 336 16 340 18866 17347 3 135 12 343 16*319 17*329 15 336 17347 15963 4 052 12*338 16 316 17*322 17 328 15963 14721 6 024 11*335 16 310 17 317 18 323 14721 13600 9 357 9 331 15 306 16 313 20 320 13600 12583 10 347 8 328 15 300 16 310 20 317 12583 11658 11 344 7 324 14 296 15 306 21 315 11658 10819 12 345 7 317 14 294 14 303 20 312 10819 10060 13 345 6 310 14 292 13 300 20 308 10060 9374 13 344 6 304 14 290 12 298 20 304 9374 8744 13 344 5 300 13 289 10 296 20 300 8744 8175 12 343 5 296 13 288 9 295 20 294 8175 7692 10 341 5 292 13 287 9 294 19 290 7692 7315 7*333 5 291 12 286 8 294 18 286 7315 7052 4*315 4 290 12 286 8 293 15 285 7052 6891 3 302 4 289 12 285 8 293 11*286 6891 6799 3 302 4 288 11 285 7 292 6*284 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography