DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 63.9 - - 66.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 82 - - 22 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 373 - - 1291 - - 1764 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6783 - - 6783 - - 6783 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 7058 - - 7976 - - 8449 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1638 - - 2429 - - 2792 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 211 - - 155 - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 277 - - 240 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 259 - - 1176 - - 1649 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 6800 - - 6800 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 130 - - 110 - - -673 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6928 - - 7866 - - 9122 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 910 - - 1680 - - 1780 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 63.9 - - 66.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 60.1 - - 58.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 63.3 - - 66.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 58.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 82 - - 22 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 373 - - 1291 - - 1764 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 89 - - 44 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98724 17 118 16 133 9 156 98724 91352 13 137 11 143 6 077 91352 85650 9 141 8 135 10 097 85650 80885 8 159 8 114 7 125 80885 76765 11 140 9 146 5 137 76765 73121 4 127 7 163 7 147 73121 69821 2 233 9 192 4 202 69821 66800 8 247 7 175 5 243 66800 64029 14 239 9 268 7 257 64029 61360 10 229 15 251 9 270 61360 58597 11 239 18 226 16 250 58597 55773 22 251 20 258 26 278 55773 53114 31 238 35 245 35 253 53114 50726 29 237 36 237 34 243 50726 48568 32 255 42 256 43 261 48568 46605 42 259 49 255 55 263 46605 44804 47 259 52 252 57 259 44804 43130 50 254 54 250 60 252 43130 41562 55 249 57 248 67 247 41562 40087 59 247 55 247 65 239 40087 38701 61 242 52 245 65 229 38701 37370 59 238 49 243 64 228 37370 36035 56 236 47 242 61 231 36035 34668 53 236 46 241 56 235 34668 33279 50 234 44 241 49 239 33279 31857 44 230 43 242 42 243 31857 30392 38 229 42 243 37 248 30392 28891 37 243 40 247 39 256 28891 27355 36 255 38 252 36 263 27355 25792 34 259 38 255 33 265 25792 24205 31 262 38 256 28 264 24205 22587 28 260 34 256 24 260 22587 20931 27 256 31 259 24 260 20931 19266 26 257 27 260 24 262 19266 17673 26 258 25 262 24 265 17673 16226 25 256 21 265 23 269 16226 14936 21 263 18 265 22 272 14936 13776 19 268 19 258 21 275 13776 12726 16 266 19 256 19 277 12726 11774 14 261 19 260 16 283 11774 10912 12 257 18 265 13 291 10912 10135 11 242 17 267 10 292 10135 9433 12 230 16 268 8 285 9433 8789 11 229 14 269 7*275 8789 8208 9 230 13*270 6*257 8208 7714 8 231 10*274 5 239 7714 7328 6*229 9 277 5 236 7328 7060 6*229 8 279 5 234 7060 6895 5 229 8 279 4 233 6895 6800 5 229 7 280 4 231 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography