DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 71.6 - - 75.3 - - 78.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 118 - - 423 - - 188 - - 140 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1786 - - 4985 - - 8553 - - 8110 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 7412 - - 10298 - - 12714 - - 12157 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 8471 - - 11670 - - 15238 - - 14795 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1348 - - 3181 - - 3680 - - 5192 - - 8801 Hgt.Variab. W* 260 - - 548 - - 502 - - 447 - - 7 W* B/S 9 - - 14 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 258 - - 271 - - 290 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -11 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1589 - - 1632 - - 2954 - - 387 - - -5898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6883 - - 10038 - - 12285 - - 14408 - - 12699 sfcLCL ODpotential -1014 - - -309 - - 382 - - -1306 - - -9202 ODpotential blCL 9485 - - 11979 - - 14856 - - 16101 - - 16002 blCL maxRH 92 - - 77 - - 100 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 490 - - 770 - - 440 - - 230 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 71.6 - - 75.3 - - 78.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.3 - - 50.7 - - 44.8 - - 38.4 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 69.2 - - 73.9 - - 77.2 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.6 - - 50.3 - - 44.3 - - 37.9 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 118 - - 423 - - 188 - - 140 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1786 - - 4985 - - 8553 - - 8110 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 9 - - 101 - - 45 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98550 27 086 33 083 36 102 27 101 30 102 98550 91111 30 100 26 108 22 110 21 077 31 092 91111 85377 31 102 23 113 19 115 14 089 24 070 85377 80607 29 092 21 101 21 112 18 109 17 087 80607 76508 21 085 20 098 21 100 20 103 22 102 76508 72905 14 089 16 105 16 110 18 099 24 094 72905 69656 12 103 16 103 15 113 15 113 17 089 69656 66674 16 120 12 120 13 125 12 123 11 110 66674 63913 18 145 11 153 7 117 8 111 8 125 63913 61253 12 162 11 165 8 221 2 324 6 170 61253 58509 8 205 10 190 13 205 9 234 10 228 58509 55685 15 232 17 221 14 230 18 227 15 217 55685 53002 23 227 28 225 31 235 35 243 31 254 53002 50610 30 234 33 217 39 228 43 238 42 241 50610 48476 39 247 35 236 40 237 41 238 43 235 48476 46527 49 252 48 251 49 240 45 238 46 235 46527 44726 56 251 57 251 53 239 50 236 50 234 44726 43050 58 245 60 246 54 237 52 234 53 231 43050 41477 60 239 62 239 56 236 52 233 53 228 41477 39997 61 236 63 236 59 235 52 232 53 225 39997 38605 58 235 58 235 62 236 55 232 54 225 38605 37277 55 234 53 233 59 235 59 233 55 228 37277 35948 52 233 49 230 55 234 58 233 56 231 35948 34592 51 231 46 226 51 232 55 230 57 232 34592 33211 49 231 45 223 49 230 53 229 57 233 33211 31796 47 232 44 221 45 229 50 231 54 236 31796 30341 43 232 43 224 41 230 46 236 47 240 30341 28849 38 232 40 231 38 235 41 243 40 246 28849 27324 31 235 38 237 37 245 38 254 33 249 27324 25767 29 234 35 242 38 249 35 262 29 261 25767 24188 31 232 30 247 34 252 28 269 31 269 24188 22583 31 242 24 251 25 263 29 267 29 268 22583 20946 23 238 23 253 24 267 31 265 24 263 20946 19300 16 234 24 251 20 266 27 270 23 260 19300 17723 18 257 20 253 18 268 25 271 23 262 17723 16284 22 264 20 267 18*269 21 274 22 265 16284 14994 20 256 22 277 17*269 18*275 18 270 14994 13831 18 250 22 275 17 270 15*278 14 276 13831 12777 17 252 19 270 15 270 13 281 11 283 12777 11821 16 260 15*266 15 270 10 285 10 289 11821 10953 14 270 12*264 13 271 9 288 9 293 10953 10168 11 276 9 260 12 271 8 292 8 295 10168 9459 7 272 7 257 12 271 7 296 8 299 9459 8809 1*233 6 256 11 271 7 299 7 306 8809 8222 4*093 6 256 11 271 6 302 6 313 8222 7723 5 090 5 256 10 272 6 305 5 325 7723 7333 5 090 5 257 10 272 6 308 4 339 7333 7062 5 090 5 257 9 272 6 308 4 359 7062 6896 5 091 5 258 9 273 5 309 3*020 6896 6800 5 090 4 257 8 273 5 309 3*032 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography