DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.6 - - 45.3 - - 51.9 - - 46.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 136 - - 166 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1562 - - 3557 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7310 - - 8820 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8247 - - 10242 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 396 - - 1493 - - 1851 - - 3747 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 258 - - 359 - - 12 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 097 - - 115 - - 093 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -9 - - -7 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 587 - - -72 - - -2413 - - -1035 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7660 - - 10315 - - 9212 - - 7833 sfcLCL ODpotential -4047 - - -2817 - - -3704 - - -6412 - - -6701 ODpotential blCL 10845 - - 11064 - - 13946 - - 13211 - - 13499 blCL maxRH 81 - - 81 - - 61 - - 89 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.6 - - 45.3 - - 51.9 - - 46.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 35.5 - - 30.5 - - 30.3 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 44.4 - - 50.7 - - 48.7 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.4 - - 34.5 - - 30.0 - - 30.1 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 136 - - 166 - - -13 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1562 - - 3557 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 23 - - 0 - - 57 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96457 9 041 6 221 14 302 14 336 8 300 96457 89343 12 046 9 062 7 141 6 327 11 042 89343 83840 9 042 3 016 6 074 2 325 6 023 83840 79275 4 074 3 143 3 029 6 319 6 352 79275 75340 9 355 3 093 1 225 4 259 8 321 75340 71857 10 283 4 334 6 249 1 222 6 283 71857 68701 8 216 6 260 10 280 2 359 4 199 68701 65790 8 217 12 226 12 272 10 303 4 230 65790 63078 11 268 12 221 12 245 15 272 11 287 63078 60440 22 264 18 234 15 231 25 236 23 257 60440 57688 27 243 23 250 17 248 22 231 25 242 57688 54835 29 241 32 246 27 250 27 243 27 244 54835 52097 33 241 35 236 34 238 34 235 43 237 52097 49631 35 241 32 241 40 235 43 230 42 227 49631 47430 37 249 43 242 44 235 38 230 35 226 47430 45435 47 247 48 237 45 232 37 230 42 219 45435 43613 51 236 43 234 37 223 36 220 38 202 43613 41930 45 239 35 238 32 225 36 222 34 206 41930 40359 43 253 34 246 39 233 43 230 43 223 40359 38888 50 258 45 251 55 238 60 234 68 226 38888 37518 59 259 67 247 71 235 74 227 80 219 37518 36223 68 254 79 241 80 229 78 223 83 217 36223 34935 70 249 78 238 80 226 80 222 84 217 34935 33625 65 246 72 234 76 225 79 220 80 215 33625 32298 61 244 67 231 71 221 74 218 75 212 32298 30940 57 243 62 229 64 219 68 217 69 209 30940 29542 53 243 58 227 59 218 63 216 66 208 29542 28106 52 241 55 226 55 217 60 215 63 208 28106 26633 52 239 50 228 48 215 57 215 59 209 26633 25131 50 241 46 230 42 213 52 214 53 210 25131 23603 46 247 43 232 37 214 41 210 42 206 23603 22046 35 250 38 238 32 216 33 201 36 199 22046 20446 25 248 30 241 26 219 27 196 38 189 20446 18836 18 241 21 236 19 220 21 190 35 183 18836 17295 18 243 17 229 15 210 19 177 27 176 17295 15896 20 250 16 223 15 198 19 173 23 168 15896 14643 16 253 15 217 16 197 18 175 23 165 14643 13517 12 254 11 217 16 189 18 176 23 165 13517 12500 9 247 8 212 14 175 18 172 21 164 12500 11581 6 226 7 193 12 161 16 160 19 161 11581 10749 5 206 7 174 10*143 15 140 18 150 10749 10000 2 159 6 141 10*122 15 121 17 132 10000 9323 4 102 8 108 10 118 14 113 18 118 9323 8704 5 095 11*100 10 116 14 110 19 110 8704 8146 6 098 10*098 10 115 13 108 19 100 8146 7672 6 101 10 097 10 113 12 106 19 093 7672 7302 6 101 9 097 9 112 11 104 18 086 7302 7045 6 089 9 097 9 111 10 101 15 079 7045 6888 5*076 8 097 8 111 8*097 10*070 6888 6798 4*064 7 097 8 111 5*093 6*066 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography