DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.6 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 - - 47.0 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 59 - - 58 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1774 - - 2477 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 7418 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8459 - - 9162 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 185 - - 2346 - - 2322 - - 3879 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 213 - - 237 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 111 - - 102 - - 121 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -9 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -98 - - 394 - - -140 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 8557 - - 8769 - - 6940 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -4863 - - -3692 - - -2473 - - -3122 - - -3876 ODpotential blCL 11661 - - 12151 - - 11635 - - 9921 - - 10675 blCL maxRH 89 - - 87 - - 90 - - 77 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.6 - - 47.3 - - 50.3 - - 47.0 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 33.5 - - 35.5 - - 40.0 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 46.9 - - 49.8 - - 49.3 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 32.3 - - 34.3 - - 38.8 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 59 - - 58 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1774 - - 2477 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 47 - - 61 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96274 56 270 67 273 53 269 67 268 72 274 96274 89206 32 278 37 284 35 280 38 290 33 277 89206 83769 19 288 26 272 26 288 31 298 18 301 83769 79258 18 292 20 257 25 274 27 298 21 320 79258 75358 21 300 14 274 25 259 23 287 25 311 75358 71893 22 302 13 297 19 254 17 286 21 298 71893 68742 20 303 12 301 11 285 15 306 16 302 68742 65836 17 295 11 288 12 302 20 317 13 322 65836 63134 13 289 11 293 12 286 18 302 17 323 63134 60514 18 299 12 299 11 282 15 285 20 314 60514 57772 25 294 17 287 14 286 15 280 21 305 57772 54911 28 278 22 281 16 279 15 288 20 297 54911 52169 25 266 22 281 17 290 19 294 17 298 52169 49701 24 268 23 281 22 297 21 288 17 306 49701 47489 24 272 24 267 26 293 15 294 16 307 47489 45474 24 264 20 257 28 284 17 312 14 312 45474 43625 25 263 16 276 21 262 21 302 16 322 43625 41922 28 261 19 288 13 264 14 283 15 326 41922 40339 28 249 22 268 14 289 7 307 14 347 40339 38859 27 249 18 266 17 282 9 341 15 355 38859 37476 28 251 18 278 9 278 7 338 14 000 37476 36166 31 248 23 260 10 303 10 018 13 043 36166 34868 37 242 28 244 15 279 11 010 23 054 34868 33555 38 236 31 233 23 216 9 263 19 039 33555 32228 32 235 35 230 24 188 18 227 9 330 32228 30879 30 236 28 218 24 189 21 225 23 220 30879 29496 32 238 23 213 25 199 24 222 21 211 29496 28076 34 236 20 215 29 208 25 217 13 219 28076 26618 33 229 15 221 32 221 21 212 8 218 26618 25126 31 217 13 237 30 240 15 210 7 246 25126 23604 28 202 15 250 24 254 9 239 6 307 23604 22048 25 199 17 256 16 257 14 286 8 310 22048 20452 21 206 16 244 9 252 17 302 8 345 20452 18843 17 221 18 217 14 249 9 330 6 025 18843 17298 17 235 12 209 17 249 3 307 4 044 17298 15896 18 235 8 230 14 247 1 258 4 064 15896 14646 15 224 11 225 8 252 1 016 6 072 14646 13524 13 204 11 210 3 279 2 067 7 073 13524 12510 13 178 11 192 2 324 2 115 7 064 12510 11591 10 161 9 171 0 174 3 129 6 057 11591 10759 7 164 7 173 4 148 3 118 4 059 10759 10008 10 182 7 191 6 135 5 104 2 072 10008 9330 13 174 7 177 6*122 6 102 2 109 9330 8710 14 155 7*149 7*107 6 103 2 138 8710 8150 12 131 7*117 7 103 6 108 2 158 8150 7675 11 109 6 110 7 101 5 111 1 219 7675 7304 12 096 6 110 7 101 5 115 2 256 7304 7047 12 080 6 110 6 100 4 117 2 267 7047 6889 9*072 6 110 6 099 4*122 2*304 6889 6799 5*069 5 109 6 099 3*121 2*340 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography