DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.2 - - 39.8 - - 42.0 - - 38.0 - - 35.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 60 - - 56 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 233 - - 2198 - - 2838 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7580 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6918 - - 8883 - - 9523 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2186 - - 3151 - - 2377 - - 3545 - - 2343 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 225 - - 240 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 277 - - 281 - - 251 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -5 - - -10 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 120 - - 2085 - - 2362 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 7161 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -525 - - 646 - - 343 - - -1643 - - -2324 ODpotential blCL 7443 - - 8237 - - 9180 - - 8441 - - 9122 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.2 - - 39.8 - - 42.0 - - 38.0 - - 35.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.2 - - 34.8 - - 34.2 - - 34.6 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 39.4 - - 41.5 - - 40.0 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 33.8 - - 33.0 - - 34.0 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 60 - - 56 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 233 - - 2198 - - 2838 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 24 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96434 4 123 11 313 8 334 11 351 6 298 96434 89381 11 103 9 095 9 089 5 029 11 032 89381 83893 16 070 11 094 12 087 7 083 8 062 83893 79304 9 040 7 081 10 098 5 075 9 058 79304 75335 4 043 4 138 5 118 4 095 6 051 75335 71818 5 340 1 338 3 175 4 075 2 264 71818 68639 4 359 2 286 5 209 1 269 5 124 68639 65722 9 291 1 286 5 232 4 289 6 020 65722 63007 10 240 7 200 9 223 13 237 11 235 63007 60360 19 259 18 247 19 231 16 236 13 215 60360 57578 25 236 25 244 18 239 21 237 19 227 57578 54677 31 234 29 245 23 254 27 238 27 239 54677 51913 34 237 32 243 32 246 35 238 34 241 51913 49437 33 246 37 241 40 240 34 240 37 247 49437 47216 37 255 41 246 41 247 36 248 42 248 47216 45207 43 256 46 254 45 255 43 253 46 249 45207 43380 51 257 48 261 55 256 49 257 47 254 43380 41703 58 253 56 265 61 258 55 260 54 259 41703 40146 59 252 65 261 63 262 62 261 64 258 40146 38695 59 260 67 266 68 266 69 260 67 255 38695 37342 63 270 74 273 77 266 75 258 66 256 37342 36055 71 275 85 270 83 264 76 257 65 257 36055 34771 80 274 92 267 83 263 75 257 64 258 34771 33466 83 272 93 267 80 264 73 257 62 258 33466 32145 83 271 90 269 77 265 71 256 57 256 32145 30792 85 271 86 271 73 267 65 255 52 253 30792 29395 88 272 82 275 68 268 56 255 49 252 29395 27959 86 273 78 277 62 269 50 256 49 250 27959 26487 80 273 77 278 58 270 47 255 48 248 26487 24985 76 272 74 280 56 270 46 254 45 248 24985 23457 73 272 69 283 53 272 42 254 41 248 23457 21900 68 273 60 285 49 277 36 258 33 249 21900 20308 64 275 54 287 46 281 31 265 26 240 20308 18706 59 275 50 287 45 282 28 275 21 237 18706 17173 53 274 44 285 43 285 28 284 19 250 17173 15778 46 280 36 288 40 286 27 291 19 263 15778 14533 39 281 30 293 35 288 24 296 19 272 14533 13415 31 276 26 297 30 290 22 299 17 276 13415 12407 27 273 22 296 21 295 18 299 14 282 12407 11499 27 269 21 292 15 295 15 300 11 292 11499 10682 27 266 21 290 14 293 12 296 10 291 10682 9946 27 263 20 288 14*290 11 284 10 285 9946 9282 25 259 18*285 13*287 11 274 9 282 9282 8675 21 255 17*282 12 283 11 269 7 282 8675 8126 17 252 15 278 12 280 10 267 6 287 8126 7660 13 244 14 275 12 279 10 265 6 297 7660 7296 11 230 14 274 11 278 9 262 6 305 7296 7042 10*221 13 274 11 278 8 260 5 303 7042 6887 7*213 12 273 10 278 7*256 3*291 6887 6798 5 209 10 273 9 277 4*251 1*288 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography