DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1338z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 50.9 - - 56.1 - - 56.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 151 - - 488 - - 491 - - 179 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3131 - - 6844 - - 9738 - - 8935 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 8488 - - 11849 - - 14219 - - 12984 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 9816 - - 13529 - - 16423 - - 15620 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3220 - - 2014 - - 2020 - - 2386 - - 5860 Hgt.Variab. W* 339 - - 640 - - 721 - - 502 - - 6 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 303 - - 298 - - 297 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -13 - - -17 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1763 - - 2459 - - 2930 - - 1908 - - -5478 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8054 - - 11070 - - 13494 - - 13712 - - 12276 sfcLCL ODpotential -927 - - 553 - - 1551 - - 151 - - -8863 ODpotential blCL 10743 - - 12976 - - 14872 - - 15469 - - 15661 blCL maxRH 69 - - 68 - - 74 - - 69 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 170 - - 80 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 50.9 - - 56.1 - - 56.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.0 - - 25.9 - - 20.2 - - 19.4 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 48.6 - - 53.7 - - 55.1 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 24.9 - - 19.1 - - 18.5 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 151 - - 488 - - 491 - - 179 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3131 - - 6844 - - 9738 - - 8935 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97907 26 088 30 104 23 101 15 115 16 079 97907 90449 22 096 22 101 18 105 16 100 20 094 90449 84765 25 105 16 105 25 114 18 107 24 109 84765 80066 23 105 22 111 22 123 20 106 23 106 80066 76009 18 098 22 123 23 119 18 114 19 099 76009 72417 16 117 21 115 16 100 23 118 15 112 72417 69171 14 135 11 143 10 156 10 088 23 107 69171 66171 10 136 23 139 15 156 10 203 2 110 66171 63380 11 199 8 163 12 112 10 180 11 185 63380 60679 17 168 12 223 7 208 7 167 14 223 60679 57855 14 227 20 220 19 222 14 227 14 233 57855 54913 14 220 17 241 16 239 15 251 29 258 54913 52103 25 260 27 249 24 255 32 256 31 259 52103 49573 28 256 26 257 34 263 42 255 40 277 49573 47315 32 271 30 267 43 267 43 271 55 271 47315 45289 36 266 37 277 46 282 59 286 59 277 45289 43452 34 272 43 291 59 298 74 285 69 288 43452 41774 36 285 56 302 78 294 86 291 78 295 41774 40224 45 296 72 305 86 297 97 296 93 296 40224 38775 53 298 80 304 95 302 104 300 108 290 38775 37422 56 298 84 305 105 305 108 301 109 287 37422 36134 56 299 88 306 112 305 108 301 102 290 36134 34846 55 299 92 307 116 306 107 302 96 294 34846 33531 54 302 91 310 117 308 106 303 90 294 33531 32192 53 303 92 313 117 310 102 305 85 301 32192 30821 50 305 92 316 114 312 97 306 74 301 30821 29410 46 305 87 317 103 310 91 309 66 296 29410 27963 40 303 73 316 91 310 82 308 57 293 27963 26478 32 301 63 315 81 312 75 301 56 284 26478 24960 26 301 55 314 73 310 71 297 57 283 24960 23418 24 302 46 311 64 307 63 300 52 290 23418 21855 26 301 37 305 49 303 53 303 44 298 21855 20269 26 306 32 306 38 298 46 300 37 294 20269 18684 26 314 29 311 34 297 38 302 34 288 18684 17174 26 324 26 314 29*303 31 306 31 288 17174 15803 26 330 24 315 26*305 27*307 25 293 15803 14578 25 329 22*320 22 304 22*304 19 302 14578 13475 23 328 21*323 20 302 20 302 17 311 13475 12475 22 327 21 321 20 299 20 300 15 316 12475 11567 21 325 20 317 19 297 19 298 14 317 11567 10743 20 322 20 306 19 295 19 297 14 317 10743 9999 19*316 20 296 19 294 19 296 14 313 9999 9326 18*306 20 292 18 293 18 295 14 308 9326 8709 18 295 19 290 18 292 18 294 14 304 8709 8151 16 285 19 288 18 291 18 293 14 300 8151 7676 15 280 19 287 17 291 17 293 14 297 7676 7305 15 278 18 286 17 290 17 292 13 294 7305 7047 14 277 17 286 17 290 16 292 11 290 7047 6889 13 276 17 286 16 290 15 292 8*286 6889 6798 11 276 14 285 14 290 13 292 4*280 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography