DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 81.2 - - 76.3 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 306 - - 167 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5563 - - 6588 - - 3110 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10772 - - 11444 - - 8504 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12248 - - 13273 - - 9795 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5432 - - 4834 - - 2810 - - 4296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 575 - - 542 - - 346 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 14 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 280 - - 296 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - -18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -482 - - 846 - - -430 - - -4238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12731 - - 12428 - - 10225 - - 11040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2352 - - -1296 - - -3648 - - -7882 ODpotential blCL - - - 14600 - - 14569 - - 13443 - - 14683 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 91 - - 65 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 1080 - - 1460 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 81.2 - - 76.3 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 49.7 - - 54.3 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 79.4 - - 75.4 - - 74.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 49.2 - - 53.9 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 306 - - 167 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5563 - - 6588 - - 3110 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99197 23 098 25 087 31 073 32 097 99197 91708 28 112 24 094 17 082 28 073 91708 85948 27 095 23 111 15 099 22 063 85948 81174 22 098 20 111 13 102 15 073 81174 77052 15 091 16 100 13 095 14 077 77052 73408 10 064 10 094 16 082 12 095 73408 70114 6 061 9 109 10 068 14 088 70114 67094 1 119 5 083 6 076 8 095 67094 64302 5 167 2 242 2 030 6 084 64302 61601 5 172 3 219 7 245 2 066 61601 58802 6 209 6 243 10 252 5 267 58802 55937 8 232 16 241 14 245 15 255 55937 53238 13 231 21 241 16 252 18 245 53238 50828 17 221 20 245 17 259 12 253 50828 48674 16 221 18 240 20 255 16 274 48674 46719 13 213 19 217 21 239 21 258 46719 44918 6 132 18 184 23 218 25 245 44918 43240 1 217 13 151 19 192 26 237 43240 41665 12 227 4 183 11 186 22 234 41665 40183 19 196 6 272 6 214 15 249 40183 38792 17 186 10 270 6 258 14 271 38792 37460 15 184 10 246 12 276 21 269 37460 36126 16 180 7 222 18 276 22 265 36126 34761 17 177 7 226 17 270 22 260 34761 33371 15 178 6 237 14 256 21 264 33371 31947 13 183 5 231 14 254 19 264 31947 30482 11 183 5 219 11 240 18 251 30482 28980 10 182 6 218 8 213 15 243 28980 27445 8 181 7 211 7 192 12 239 27445 25877 8 180 9 201 9 199 11 230 25877 24284 7 191 9 198 13 212 8 216 24284 22666 6 200 9 190 15 208 8 203 22666 21013 6 214 9 185 13 191 12 190 21013 19354 6 175 9 203 11 168 18 164 19354 17769 5 206 9 207 12 156 20 160 17769 16326 6 220 8 209 12 157 17 168 16326 15031 6 215 8 225 10 168 14 180 15031 13864 6 215 9*242 8 195 11 195 13864 12805 3*232 10*254 7 238 8 219 12805 11844 3*252 10 259 10 267 8 264 11844 10972 3 256 13 277 15 287 12 295 10972 10185 4 254 14 280 19*293 15 305 10185 9473 4 254 15 284 22*296 16 309 9473 8819 4 252 16 286 24 296 17 311 8819 8230 5 251 16 287 24 296 18 312 8230 7728 5 249 16 288 24 296 17 312 7728 7336 5 249 16 289 24 296 16 311 7336 7063 5 248 15 289 23 296 13 307 7063 6896 5 248 15 289 21 296 10*304 6896 6801 5 248 13 289 17 295 6*299 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography