DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 84.1 - - 83.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 490 - - 181 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7334 - - 9840 - - 10646 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12261 - - 14300 - - 14345 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14019 - - 16525 - - 17331 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1595 - - 1423 - - 1681 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 662 - - 722 - - 535 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 21 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 252 - - 262 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -10 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4776 - - -3702 - - -4143 - - -13319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18796 - - 20228 - - 21475 - - 20120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9745 - - -8380 - - -9255 - - -20213 ODpotential blCL - - - 23764 - - 24905 - - 26586 - - 27013 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 40 - - 23 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 84.1 - - 83.8 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 17.8 - - 11.9 - - 6.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 81.3 - - 82.8 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.4 - - 17.2 - - 11.3 - - 6.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 490 - - 181 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7334 - - 9840 - - 10646 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98768 37 099 30 090 27 092 29 099 98768 91225 26 088 22 098 27 092 23 078 91225 85457 26 100 24 102 19 080 24 083 85457 80692 21 102 24 094 18 090 20 080 80692 76608 16 117 13 086 19 097 14 090 76608 73012 18 099 10 106 13 064 15 090 73012 69761 11 006 10 109 9 096 13 076 69761 66785 4 126 3 088 8 128 11 085 66785 64029 12 131 3 239 6 217 3 030 64029 61379 5 059 5 150 7 236 13 238 61379 58654 12 342 17 221 10 295 7 275 58654 55834 35 277 25 265 25 286 13 306 55834 53146 35 257 40 265 43 272 37 283 53146 50739 33 260 44 260 47 265 47 269 50739 48575 40 269 46 264 49 268 52 267 48575 46597 53 272 56 269 56 272 58 269 46597 44772 63 272 64 270 61 275 62 271 44772 43075 68 273 69 273 67 277 66 274 43075 41489 72 273 72 275 73 277 72 278 41489 40001 73 274 72 275 77 278 78 279 40001 38607 70 275 71 274 79 279 81 279 38607 37277 67 276 70 274 76 279 81 279 37277 35949 65 277 68 275 69 277 74 278 35949 34597 63 277 64 273 64 276 67 277 34597 33224 60 275 60 272 63 277 63 277 33224 31816 55 271 55 270 60 276 61 279 31816 30366 52 270 51 268 57 274 59 279 30366 28878 48 272 49 267 54 272 57 277 28878 27354 46 273 47 268 52 272 54 274 27354 25799 44 272 45 268 50 274 50 272 25799 24214 43 269 41 268 47 274 46 271 24214 22598 41 262 37 269 43 272 41 271 22598 20947 33 253 37 269 37 265 36 271 20947 19289 32 238 38 261 30 257 31 271 19289 17705 40 227 32*253 23*254 27 268 17705 16266 41 224 22*251 22*256 24 264 16266 14978 35*227 21 251 22 257 22 265 14978 13818 22*235 21 252 22 259 21 269 13818 12767 17 241 20 252 22 260 21 274 12767 11813 16 242 19 252 22 263 21 279 11813 10947 16 242 18 252 22 264 22 282 10947 10164 16 242 17 252 22 265 22 285 10164 9456 16 243 16 252 22 266 22 287 9456 8807 16 243 16 252 22 266 23 289 8807 8220 15 243 15 253 21 267 22 290 8220 7721 15 243 15 252 21 267 22 290 7721 7332 15 243 14 252 20 267 20 290 7332 7061 14 242 14 252 20 267 16 290 7061 6895 14 242 13 253 18 268 12*290 6895 6800 13 242 12 252 15 268 6*291 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography