DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.0 - - 37.6 - - 48.0 - - 39.8 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 164 - - 141 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 717 - - 1144 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 6978 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7402 - - 7829 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 356 - - 491 - - 729 - - 149 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 209 - - 232 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 269 - - 241 - - 184 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -3057 - - -5090 - - -3839 - - -2324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 10459 - - 12920 - - 10637 - - 9123 sfcLCL ODpotential -12489 - - -12485 - - -11947 - - -12548 - - -12234 ODpotential blCL 19286 - - 19887 - - 19776 - - 19346 - - 19032 blCL maxRH 68 - - 48 - - 53 - - 44 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.0 - - 37.6 - - 48.0 - - 39.8 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.8 - - 16.2 - - 15.7 - - 17.7 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 36.6 - - 47.1 - - 43.5 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 15.9 - - 15.3 - - 17.4 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 164 - - 141 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 717 - - 1144 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96159 27 334 23 330 20 328 16 331 19 339 96159 89199 19 318 17 329 22 341 13 353 17 324 89199 83815 12 334 12 340 15 319 20 332 24 336 83815 79333 16 357 10 352 8 316 22 311 25 332 79333 75413 12 344 8 331 9 324 20 292 18 318 75413 71891 9 318 11 296 11 297 20 284 25 304 71891 68705 13 302 15 273 18 300 23 310 29 300 68705 65819 13 290 19 283 24 278 27 312 32 307 65819 63183 15 310 17 289 22 287 25 314 35 304 63183 60646 30 312 26 314 31 301 26 292 28 283 60646 57973 31 300 41 316 25 289 27 302 19 267 57973 55161 38 309 28 303 46 321 43 319 36 304 55161 52465 38 312 41 313 67 312 59 310 54 307 52465 50029 35 321 54 312 63 301 66 299 68 306 50029 47825 48 325 52 316 49 305 62 300 74 302 47825 45802 53 321 60 329 58 327 66 307 69 304 45802 43935 49 315 75 331 79 330 73 320 75 328 43935 42210 42 318 73 326 89 327 87 330 97 330 42210 40613 44 335 54 320 71 326 83 327 85 328 40613 39137 55 347 37 311 45 329 57 320 64 326 39137 37768 69 353 55 351 58 349 47 325 56 329 37768 36467 87 356 91 354 79 350 55 339 70 345 36467 35171 115 358 102 351 85 345 66 345 76 348 35171 33857 91 002 101 351 84 343 71 345 66 344 33857 32522 57 349 90 352 82 348 66 343 54 334 32522 31148 35 327 70 352 72 349 58 336 54 322 31148 29729 29 319 54 347 64 343 59 329 57 320 29729 28276 24 321 46 340 61 333 58 329 52 325 28276 26789 26 327 40 332 58 326 56 332 43 323 26789 25274 24 331 37 328 59 328 56 333 41 321 25274 23733 21 333 36 333 54 334 49 329 46 329 23733 22160 22 327 39 341 39 335 36 324 50 336 22160 20548 24 326 40 346 29 335 29 327 44 334 20548 18924 26 328 36 351 28 340 26 330 37 327 18924 17373 27 332 29 356 29 345 25 333 34 321 17373 15964 27 336 25 358 28 353 21 339 26 327 15964 14703 26 338 25 357 25 001 19 351 19 340 14703 13568 24 339 24 356 22 009 18 009 14 347 13568 12541 22 339 22 356 19 015 17 026 9 354 12541 11611 20 338 19 354 16 018 15 042 6 007 11611 10770 18 335 16 351 13 018 12 059 4 017 10770 10012 16 329 13 342 11 011 10 073 4 034 10012 9327 14 322 11 330 10 353 8 080 5 046 9327 8703 12 318 10 317 9 323 4 065 5 050 8703 8141 9 316 9 304 7*287 2 012 2 025 8141 7665 6 311 6*286 6*246 1 191 3 357 7665 7297 3 280 5*271 6 241 4 189 4 013 7297 7042 2 232 5 269 6 240 5 189 3 018 7042 6887 1*184 4 269 6 239 4*187 3*033 6887 6798 1*066 4 268 5 239 4*184 3*038 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography