DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 35.2 - - 34.2 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 177 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1502 - - 2174 - - 2023 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6780 - - 7843 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8187 - - 8859 - - 8708 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2408 - - 2898 - - 3560 - - 2649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 311 - - 29 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 258 - - 238 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1390 - - 1751 - - 370 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6797 - - 7108 - - 8338 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 356 - - 488 - - -1856 - - -2917 ODpotential blCL - - - 7831 - - 8371 - - 10564 - - 9714 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - 80 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 330 - - 10 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.4 - - 35.2 - - 34.2 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 27.6 - - 21.4 - - 22.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 33.9 - - 35.1 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 27.5 - - 21.0 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 177 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1502 - - 2174 - - 2023 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 69 - - 20 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 38 250 41 273 40 284 35 293 96481 89211 19 269 31 264 31 276 20 288 89211 83663 9 278 21 260 23 252 21 294 83663 79077 12 267 11 225 14 260 19 290 79077 75129 14 229 14 247 20 278 19 274 75129 71638 10 244 11 259 13 260 17 257 71638 68454 23 263 8 254 8 262 13 269 68454 65491 37 237 25 256 24 255 31 254 65491 62718 42 237 39 236 38 237 37 234 62718 60007 48 238 39 227 33 230 34 223 60007 57145 50 234 36 239 27 251 25 243 57145 54153 46 242 43 250 40 255 42 262 54153 51300 46 251 49 248 50 250 51 256 51300 48744 44 256 43 250 43 252 40 246 48744 46454 46 263 45 260 34 267 35 241 46454 44362 60 262 57 260 42 265 36 246 44362 42440 69 253 65 254 49 259 45 261 42440 40676 68 246 60 250 52 259 54 260 40676 39044 61 246 58 250 56 254 50 257 39044 37528 61 252 57 251 52 251 46 253 37528 36124 70 251 57 252 45 255 43 249 36124 34804 74 244 60 253 43 254 43 250 34804 33505 64 239 62 254 45 260 44 253 33505 32197 50 240 61 257 55 261 43 254 32197 30886 49 253 62 258 65 252 42 250 30886 29568 53 258 64 256 65 242 42 233 29568 28239 51 259 60 256 57 229 42 219 28239 26895 45 261 55 258 47 239 42 219 26895 25521 41 262 48 261 43 246 37 221 25521 24115 39 263 40 260 40 245 31 213 24115 22681 37 264 34 258 34 242 24 214 22681 21216 33 267 30 256 26 243 18 236 21216 19716 31 271 27 256 21 253 12 236 19716 18207 30 276 25 255 20 266 7 237 18207 16761 28 280 21 252 17 271 4 257 16761 15446 24 281 22 250 16 271 3 312 15446 14270 18 283 20 252 17 271 4 004 14270 13212 17 284 19 254 18 273 3 022 13212 12254 18 283 17 256 17 272 1 355 12254 11383 18 287 16 258 12 267 1 001 11383 10593 17 294 15 259 7 265 1 025 10593 9878 17 293 15 259 5 262 1 066 9878 9231 17 290 15*260 4*253 1 154 9231 8637 17*286 15*259 4*246 3 170 8637 8100 16*282 15 258 4 242 4 177 8100 7643 15 278 15 258 4 238 5 180 7643 7286 15 275 15 258 4 235 5 180 7286 7037 14 273 15 257 4 235 5 173 7037 6885 12 272 14 258 4 232 4*157 6885 6797 10 271 12 257 3 228 3*151 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography