DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 48.8 - - 45.9 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 61 - - -10 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 3092 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7778 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7436 - - 9777 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2329 - - 3129 - - 5222 - - 325 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 247 - - 11 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 191 - - 078 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 248 - - 1218 - - -1126 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7189 - - 8560 - - 7925 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2249 - - -520 - - -3686 - - -3521 ODpotential blCL - - - 9685 - - 10297 - - 10485 - - 10319 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 86 - - 88 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 150 - - 130 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 48.8 - - 45.9 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 34.9 - - 34.8 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 48.3 - - 48.2 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 34.5 - - 34.6 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 61 - - -10 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 3092 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 43 - - 53 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 20 271 14 308 19 312 23 334 96490 89474 7 306 4 348 8 324 15 342 89474 84034 5 019 2 132 7 309 13 338 84034 79454 5 061 7 045 7 006 7 316 79454 75486 6 131 3 026 11 032 4 097 75486 71974 7 099 5 022 3 357 6 070 71974 68788 4 344 6 330 2 078 2 241 68788 65863 13 300 11 294 5 329 8 323 65863 63148 16 277 16 258 14 283 16 299 63148 60513 21 291 10 271 15 284 17 274 60513 57747 26 272 19 277 16 270 18 263 57747 54851 26 268 20 279 22 269 20 261 54851 52074 34 247 30 258 29 259 25 256 52074 49576 34 235 38 246 32 250 28 248 49576 47343 39 233 43 237 40 249 34 247 47343 45317 43 231 49 236 54 238 43 246 45317 43457 50 232 56 231 59 230 53 234 43457 41739 60 236 63 230 65 230 58 233 41739 40138 72 236 70 230 69 228 63 231 40138 38644 78 234 74 232 69 227 65 226 38644 37252 79 232 77 232 68 228 64 227 37252 35933 78 228 81 230 69 230 69 229 35933 34627 75 226 81 227 71 232 75 227 34627 33311 69 224 77 225 73 232 80 226 33311 31993 62 223 69 225 72 231 79 225 31993 30655 59 222 61 225 69 232 72 225 30655 29278 57 221 56 224 64 231 67 226 29278 27863 54 221 53 223 57 228 66 223 27863 26412 50 221 49 226 50 225 60 219 26412 24929 48 222 46 229 44 226 53 214 24929 23418 45 223 43 229 40 227 50 213 23418 21875 40 225 37 226 40 226 49 217 21875 20296 33 227 31 221 42 224 46 219 20296 18710 27 225 25 213 38 221 38 219 18710 17195 25 217 23 207 31 216 32 214 17195 15818 24 208 22 202 27 211 28 204 15818 14586 21 196 23 202 25 210 26 198 14586 13476 18 184 22 204 22 206 22 197 13476 12471 16 179 20 205 18 202 20 194 12471 11559 15 175 18 205 15 195 18 181 11559 10734 15 174 15 204 11 188 18 164 10734 9990 16 174 12*201 9 180 18 151 9990 9317 17 175 9*197 7 166 17 144 9317 8700 17 171 7 193 6 148 17 140 8700 8143 14 159 5 190 5 125 18 128 8143 7670 11*138 5 189 6 107 20 110 7670 7301 9*124 5 187 6 095 20 097 7301 7045 9 122 4 188 6 087 17 094 7045 6888 8 121 4 188 6*081 12 092 6888 6798 7 119 4 188 5*078 7*091 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography