DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 29.1 - - 24.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 165 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1861 - - 3717 - - 998 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 8945 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8546 - - 10402 - - 7683 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5388 - - 3420 - - 2891 - - 3592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 366 - - 67 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 38 - - 31 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 241 - - 283 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 24 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 17 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 384 - - 2605 - - 886 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8162 - - 7797 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1773 - - 894 - - -234 - - -1183 ODpotential blCL - - - 10319 - - 9508 - - 7917 - - 7980 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 95 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 210 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 29.1 - - 24.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 25.6 - - 26.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 35.7 - - 29.3 - - 25.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 24.9 - - 25.6 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 165 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1861 - - 3717 - - 998 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 78 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96711 24 097 26 092 28 078 28 070 96711 89548 22 118 21 091 19 078 24 072 89548 83985 17 095 15 119 11 087 12 064 83985 79341 5 128 13 104 6 141 6 045 79341 75322 8 154 5 134 5 141 2 314 75322 71766 2 183 1 319 5 086 1 175 71766 68544 4 134 1 345 8 022 2 062 68544 65577 6 229 7 354 4 287 4 343 65577 62811 20 217 12 243 11 217 9 243 62811 60130 17 224 13 234 5 257 4 186 60130 57328 19 272 19 290 18 264 16 280 57328 54376 35 260 34 282 32 262 24 266 54376 51507 49 253 44 269 41 262 30 265 51507 48904 52 265 49 271 36 267 34 271 48904 46579 66 272 68 267 58 273 46 275 46579 44488 85 259 81 259 81 269 70 273 44488 42584 92 251 83 251 91 262 79 269 42584 40826 89 252 82 254 91 258 77 268 40826 39188 91 258 93 265 90 259 80 274 39188 37665 99 261 113 268 95 264 92 276 37665 36259 106 262 126 266 106 268 105 274 36259 34939 112 262 132 263 118 268 116 273 34939 33637 119 261 133 261 126 268 124 271 33637 32321 124 259 132 261 125 268 129 271 32321 30994 122 257 128 262 116 267 126 271 30994 29646 117 255 122 263 104 267 116 271 29646 28273 112 254 115 263 95 267 104 270 28273 26878 110 256 107 262 90 266 92 270 26878 25462 111 259 100 261 89 265 85 270 25462 24022 108 261 95 261 86 265 82 269 24022 22562 96 261 90 261 81 264 80 267 22562 21080 78 260 82 260 75 261 76 266 21080 19571 65 259 73 260 69 256 71 266 19571 18061 60 258 63 259 55 245 65 266 18061 16624 59 255 59 257 48 239 59 267 16624 15322 57 250 58 256 46 239 52 268 15322 14161 52 244 56 252 42 241 46 270 14161 13119 48 242 54 250 39 247 43 271 13119 12174 46 241 53 248 42 257 42 273 12174 11316 43 241 50 246 47 265 42 274 11316 10538 40 241 48*244 49 272 42 273 10538 9834 38 241 45*243 48 276 41 272 9834 9196 36 241 42 241 46 279 40 271 9196 8610 35*241 40 241 44 280 37 270 8610 8081 33*241 39 240 41*282 32 271 8081 7630 30 241 37 240 37*282 26 272 7630 7279 27 240 35 239 34 283 22 271 7279 7034 24 240 32 239 30 283 16 266 7034 6883 21 240 29 239 27 283 13*263 6883 6797 16 240 21 238 18 283 8*258 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography