DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.1 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 361 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2648 - - 5932 - - - - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8367 - - 10989 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9333 - - 12617 - - - - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2292 - - 2747 - - - - - 184 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 550 - - - - - 24 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 266 - - - - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -12 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10507 - - -8266 - - - - - -11258 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19841 - - 20884 - - - - - 18058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15206 - - -12319 - - - - - -17453 ODpotential blCL - - - 24539 - - 24936 - - - - - 24252 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 74 - - - - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 77.1 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.5 - - 8.1 - - - - - 6.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 74.9 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 7.1 - - - - - 6.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 361 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2648 - - 5932 - - - - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96632 19 248 26 271 27 264 96632 89448 10 231 16 276 12 272 89448 83960 5 286 15 275 12 287 83960 79410 2 308 9 254 15 308 79410 75480 9 331 1 301 14 310 75480 71992 15 285 9 317 8 298 71992 68830 5 296 7 312 7 317 68830 65949 16 347 8 337 6 339 65949 63310 14 359 12 000 10 022 63310 60770 11 031 14 345 17 001 60770 58121 12 006 12 334 17 349 58121 55361 16 339 12 339 15 342 55361 52707 20 323 13 326 16 338 52707 50293 21 327 18 314 13 334 50293 48101 24 320 22 309 23 317 48101 46095 24 306 21 314 27 298 46095 44250 24 301 32 301 31 287 44250 42550 29 293 35 292 34 286 42550 40979 37 288 41 288 40 295 40979 39520 39 283 42 285 48 300 39520 38168 40 286 43 285 48 299 38168 36881 41 288 42 285 44 295 36881 35591 40 288 39 286 42 295 35591 34268 40 288 38 290 41 295 34268 32919 42 290 40 293 39 291 32919 31536 43 291 42 293 37 285 31536 30111 43 290 43 288 36 282 30111 28647 41 289 42 285 39 282 28647 27149 38 289 40 282 42 281 27149 25620 34 287 38 281 44 278 25620 24066 32 283 35 279 42 275 24066 22478 30 281 32 277 40 271 22478 20850 28 281 32 277 38 269 20850 19209 27 282 32 280 37 270 19209 17635 25 284 29 281 37 273 17635 16201 23 285 25 279 34 276 16201 14918 20 282 23 276 31 276 14918 13762 18 275 22 275 29 271 13762 12716 17 269 19*274 28 267 12716 11766 16 267 17*272 28 268 11766 10905 14 270 15 270 26 271 10905 10128 12 273 14 268 23 275 10128 9425 9*268 13 266 21 280 9425 8782 7*259 13 264 18 287 8782 8202 5 244 13 262 15 298 8202 7709 5 240 12 261 13 305 7709 7325 5 239 12 261 11 310 7325 7057 5 235 12 260 8 310 7057 6893 5 236 11 260 5 310 6893 6799 4 235 10 260 4*316 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography