DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 41.8 - - 46.0 - - - - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 86 - - 112 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 242 - - 1808 - - 3467 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7165 - - 8550 - - - - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6927 - - 8493 - - 10152 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1970 - - 2575 - - 2322 - - - - - 1077 Hgt.Variab. W* 58 - - 233 - - 314 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 13 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 290 - - 193 - - - - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -3 - - 5 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 129 - - 1695 - - 1935 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 8217 - - - - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 69 - - 399 - - 313 - - - - - -2218 ODpotential blCL 6858 - - 8094 - - 9839 - - - - - 9016 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 91 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 41.8 - - 46.0 - - - - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 36.3 - - 33.6 - - - - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.2 - - 41.3 - - 45.2 - - - - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 35.6 - - 32.9 - - - - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 86 - - 112 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 242 - - 1808 - - 3467 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 93 - - 64 - - - - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96293 20 022 6 313 15 341 4 087 96293 89333 19 022 5 033 9 003 13 011 89333 83912 9 023 7 070 4 060 10 351 83912 79365 11 025 5 095 9 133 7 017 79365 75428 9 033 9 087 13 152 12 352 75428 71942 6 108 9 080 14 149 11 320 71942 68771 5 221 4 061 7 101 13 283 68771 65836 14 209 10 227 3 304 17 199 65836 63120 17 206 19 217 14 239 19 210 63120 60487 20 196 26 203 24 213 18 232 60487 57719 24 219 28 206 30 212 24 239 57719 54819 34 207 30 213 33 216 34 236 54819 52036 30 206 35 217 32 224 37 225 52036 49524 35 213 43 218 41 231 36 223 49524 47276 45 213 53 217 51 227 33 236 47276 45244 51 211 57 214 56 220 47 249 45244 43389 53 212 55 214 53 219 49 239 43389 41680 55 216 52 224 51 223 33 231 41680 40093 52 227 58 225 41 232 49 259 40093 38625 69 234 54 227 43 254 73 259 38625 37267 71 228 50 247 63 249 76 253 37267 35979 59 224 60 249 69 244 79 255 35979 34693 48 237 63 242 72 249 86 254 34693 33383 44 246 60 237 74 252 88 252 33383 32051 41 257 52 236 73 252 85 252 32051 30686 45 263 48 234 67 252 77 254 30686 29290 45 264 38 236 61 254 61 256 29290 27868 45 258 31 239 60 257 50 256 27868 26414 37 261 29 238 52 257 41 254 26414 24927 25 262 25 241 39 252 29 248 24927 23411 23 249 22 238 32 247 22 240 23411 21863 22 256 22 235 22 243 17 233 21863 20275 23 260 20 240 17 235 19 221 20275 18677 16 281 12 251 12 228 19 223 18677 17156 10 288 7 237 12 217 14 227 17156 15778 6 274 4 198 12 204 13 226 15778 14544 2 271 5 183 9 190 11 249 14544 13433 1 015 6 188 6 166 12 287 13433 12429 4 032 4 150 2 171 1 355 12429 11520 4 033 4 066 0 141 7 098 11520 10698 3 313 4 042 0*132 8 084 10698 9959 6 285 2 011 0*169 5 073 9959 9291 7 281 3 312 2 192 3 071 9291 8680 8 281 3*300 3 195 1 087 8680 8129 8 280 3*294 3 193 0 283 8129 7661 8 275 3 292 3 193 2 291 7661 7297 7 267 3 290 4 194 2 296 7297 7043 6*261 3 287 3 194 3 304 7043 6887 5*257 3 285 3 193 2*323 6887 6798 4 256 3 285 3 193 2*357 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography