DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 76.4 - - - - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 227 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8324 - - 5887 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12705 - - 10744 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15009 - - 12572 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3044 - - 6985 - - - - - 1387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 544 - - 472 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 233 - - - - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - 20 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1839 - - 799 - - - - - -5899 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13170 - - 11774 - - - - - 12700 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -177 - - -1063 - - - - - -9461 ODpotential blCL - - - 15186 - - 13635 - - - - - 16261 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 1260 - - - - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 76.4 - - - - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 47.9 - - - - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 74.8 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 47.3 - - - - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 227 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8324 - - 5887 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 97 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98819 27 093 21 107 23 096 98819 91305 24 106 20 096 20 072 91305 85554 19 100 19 104 18 071 85554 80805 14 099 15 115 17 070 80805 76707 19 104 15 109 16 064 76707 73083 13 095 15 096 12 065 73083 69825 6 117 10 091 10 060 69825 66849 9 106 6 025 14 045 66849 64099 8 046 6 030 13 009 64099 61439 9 026 9 033 11 015 61439 58662 12 320 11 317 16 330 58662 55810 18 301 23 272 26 284 55810 53116 28 285 31 276 30 266 53116 50684 44 277 41 276 34 270 50684 48490 60 273 54 271 45 272 48490 46486 70 266 69 267 57 268 46486 44641 75 261 75 264 66 264 44641 42936 76 258 77 261 73 263 42936 41350 75 257 74 261 75 262 41350 39867 74 256 69 261 70 262 39867 38481 72 255 63 264 61 262 38481 37160 69 256 56 265 55 264 37160 35839 62 258 51 265 53 269 35839 34491 52 260 48 267 51 273 34491 33123 44 264 42 272 46 277 33123 31728 37 267 33 278 39 283 31728 30295 28 273 25 281 35 287 30295 28823 23 284 22 275 33 287 28823 27315 21 289 21 274 31 286 27315 25775 20 287 22 285 29 285 25775 24206 21 283 22 293 26 282 24206 22608 21 280 21 289 23 276 22608 20976 23 280 26 291 23 278 20976 19331 21 282 29 291 21 290 19331 17753 15 300 27 291 21 295 17753 16313 12*305 26 290 21 294 16313 15020 11*289 22 288 21 292 15020 13853 11 274 18 285 21 292 13853 12795 10 261 16*281 21 292 12795 11834 9 256 11*272 21 292 11834 10962 9 253 8 257 20 292 10962 10176 8 250 6 233 19 291 10176 9464 8 248 6 224 17 288 9464 8812 7 245 5 216 15 283 8812 8223 6 245 5 212 11 274 8223 7723 6 243 5 208 8 260 7723 7333 6 242 5 206 5 238 7333 7062 6 243 5 203 3 202 7062 6896 5 241 5 202 3*161 6896 6800 5 242 5 202 2*138 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography