DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 72.2 - - 72.1 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 370 - - 180 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11184 - - 13165 - - 12326 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15436 - - 16876 - - 15660 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17869 - - 19850 - - 19011 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2961 - - 1901 - - 2376 - - 4173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 766 - - 723 - - 557 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 280 - - 292 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 12 - - -17 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1494 - - 3186 - - 2226 - - -7118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16376 - - 16665 - - 16786 - - 13918 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 37 - - 1903 - - 497 - - -10548 ODpotential blCL - - - 17832 - - 17947 - - 18514 - - 17348 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 100 - - 74 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 100 - - 60 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.4 - - 72.2 - - 72.1 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.7 - - 22.2 - - 21.7 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 69.9 - - 70.9 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.2 - - 21.7 - - 21.3 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 370 - - 180 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11184 - - 13165 - - 12326 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 99 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98248 12 125 11 133 8 121 14 131 98248 90836 16 145 8 141 7 059 9 054 90836 85150 16 130 11 158 3 070 10 044 85150 80418 12 129 6 184 7 142 6 062 80418 76334 10 105 8 184 7 156 7 090 76334 72723 3 262 2 208 3 143 7 106 72723 69442 8 221 7 233 8 224 4 254 69442 66415 10 224 9 230 12 206 11 222 66415 63596 11 232 10 236 11 201 13 222 63596 60858 13 242 15 241 11 240 13 258 60858 58021 12 241 15 250 16 273 17 275 58021 55104 14 279 15 268 17 276 16 278 55104 52336 14 284 18 275 18 272 19 281 52336 49859 24 301 19 281 19 266 23 285 49859 47658 27 295 24 294 25 301 23 294 47658 45691 24 307 22 295 28 291 24 290 45691 43908 34 325 28 321 23 300 23 290 43908 42265 37 325 33 320 24 315 23 297 42265 40732 35 327 34 321 26 318 23 304 40732 39295 35 332 34 323 26 313 24 308 39295 37945 35 331 34 322 26 306 26 307 37945 36655 34 327 33 317 26 300 28 303 36655 35365 33 323 31 315 25 298 25 298 35365 34046 33 321 30 315 24 303 22 301 34046 32703 33 320 29 316 24 308 21 309 32703 31325 30 316 27 318 23 309 21 311 31325 29903 27 310 26 320 23 310 21 312 29903 28443 26 302 26 317 23 310 20 313 28443 26949 26 300 25 312 21 308 18 309 26949 25426 28 298 24 307 19 302 15 294 25426 23880 27 296 24 297 20 295 17 288 23880 22308 23 294 24 288 21 286 18 290 22308 20704 23 287 20*285 19 285 18 287 20704 19089 22*289 18*284 14*292 18 285 19089 17539 21*296 16 280 13*294 17 285 17539 16125 17 299 16 279 13 293 15 284 16125 14857 14 298 15 279 13 292 13 285 14857 13713 11 293 15 278 14 291 11 289 13713 12677 11 291 15 278 14 291 10 297 12677 11736 9 283 15 279 14 291 9 305 11736 10882 9 277 15 279 14 291 9 312 10882 10111 9 273 15 280 14 291 10 320 10111 9413 9 272 14 280 14 292 10 328 9413 8775 9 270 14 280 14 292 11 335 8775 8197 9 269 14 281 14 292 12 340 8197 7706 8 268 14 281 14 293 12 342 7706 7323 8 267 13 281 14 293 12 344 7323 7057 8 268 13 281 13 293 10 345 7057 6893 8 268 12 282 13 293 8*346 6893 6800 7 268 11 281 11 293 5*350 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography