DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 62.5 - - 71.1 - - 70.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 352 - - 385 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2635 - - 6475 - - 5427 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8404 - - 11448 - - 9518 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 9320 - - 13160 - - 12112 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1637 - - 1121 - - 1976 - - 2668 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 415 - - 578 - - 305 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 18 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 15 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 070 - - 184 - - 279 - - 279 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -18 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5090 - - -5346 - - -3875 - - -5782 - - -8124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11888 - - 14666 - - 17036 - - 17895 - - 14924 sfcLCL ODpotential -12553 - - -10709 - - -8372 - - -10442 - - -15037 ODpotential blCL 19351 - - 20029 - - 21532 - - 22554 - - 21836 blCL maxRH 69 - - 79 - - 78 - - 78 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 62.5 - - 71.1 - - 70.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.8 - - 22.1 - - 19.7 - - 15.2 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 60.5 - - 68.8 - - 69.7 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 21.7 - - 19.0 - - 14.7 - - 16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 352 - - 385 - - 66 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2635 - - 6475 - - 5427 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 25 265 34 274 35 275 31 288 29 293 96555 89392 18 294 20 264 26 267 27 307 21 321 89392 83898 12 298 17 261 20 274 24 303 28 324 83898 79357 7 298 10 279 10 278 19 266 25 310 79357 75434 21 308 14 316 9 322 14 282 17 330 75434 71944 23 302 20 323 18 320 25 307 26 336 71944 68804 15 339 15 334 15 312 21 302 27 322 68804 65942 22 337 14 347 12 356 8 291 20 311 65942 63282 26 315 29 316 22 348 20 334 25 325 63282 60701 31 308 39 312 34 324 34 329 32 328 60701 58006 37 303 41 308 45 314 42 322 45 329 58006 55216 46 307 48 307 52 306 54 317 53 316 55216 52548 53 298 54 300 53 304 54 311 42 312 52548 50114 49 294 52 303 52 310 46 321 46 342 50114 47906 49 314 59 317 61 324 65 338 69 345 47906 45902 60 319 63 319 73 324 81 331 80 336 45902 44085 63 314 62 317 74 320 74 325 72 328 44085 42434 62 317 56 312 56 313 56 331 55 331 42434 40914 63 321 51 314 49 304 53 335 56 352 40914 39493 60 321 51 313 53 301 56 325 59 358 39493 38153 59 318 53 311 50 302 56 316 54 352 38153 36867 62 317 52 308 51 305 54 311 48 342 36867 35575 61 318 44 301 51 307 52 306 51 335 35575 34252 55 318 38 292 50 310 49 305 54 333 34252 32903 44 312 40 289 48 311 49 310 53 334 32903 31519 42 304 45 293 46 313 50 316 52 334 31519 30091 40 301 45 296 44 314 50 317 51 330 30091 28623 39 301 45 298 42 314 47 316 49 327 28623 27116 42 301 43 301 43 312 45 313 48 327 27116 25575 44 299 41 302 41 307 44 312 48 327 25575 24007 43 293 40 299 40 298 43 310 45 323 24007 22408 38 291 39 298 40 294 40 305 41 316 22408 20772 34 286 36 295 37 292 39 301 39 306 20772 19128 31 280 32 288 34 292 37 301 37 301 19128 17557 33 277 29 287 30 291 33 302 32 298 17557 16131 31 273 26 290 26 291 28 300 30 293 16131 14857 24 270 27 285 23 294 24 295 30 286 14857 13710 18 267 28 279 20*292 20 289 29 282 13710 12671 15 267 25 277 17*288 18*284 28 281 12671 11729 12 263 22 279 17 286 18*282 27 283 11729 10874 10 256 17 279 17 285 18 281 25 286 10874 10103 11 247 12 273 15 279 18 280 23 290 10103 9406 13 222 4*230 15 276 18 279 21 295 9406 8767 12 188 4*193 14 274 17 278 19 301 8767 8191 12 152 4 186 14 273 17 277 17 308 8191 7702 10 130 4 184 14 271 17 277 15 312 7702 7320 8 111 4 181 13 270 17 277 13 315 7320 7055 6 091 4 179 13 270 16 276 11 317 7055 6893 5 074 4 180 12 270 15 276 7 325 6893 6799 4*070 4 179 11 269 12 276 5*335 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography