DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 56.2 - - 55.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 376 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2943 - - 4980 - - 4420 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8616 - - 10247 - - 8516 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9628 - - 11665 - - 11105 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1228 - - 1875 - - 2404 - - 1593 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 420 - - 525 - - 262 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 240 - - 238 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3442 - - -3694 - - -5678 - - -7254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13071 - - 15360 - - 16784 - - 14054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9072 - - -8827 - - -10982 - - -14129 ODpotential blCL - - - 18700 - - 20492 - - 22087 - - 20928 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 29 - - 77 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 56.2 - - 55.9 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.9 - - 12.4 - - 5.9 - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 54.1 - - 55.5 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.6 - - 11.9 - - 5.5 - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 376 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2943 - - 4980 - - 4420 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96326 23 268 25 266 19 295 22 272 96326 89114 17 274 19 244 27 275 30 300 89114 83629 13 247 12 263 22 261 22 288 83629 79124 8 259 14 301 13 297 11 318 79124 75265 10 272 19 270 20 309 19 339 75265 71880 10 285 18 247 18 283 20 320 71880 68813 19 293 19 279 16 280 18 289 68813 65961 27 284 25 280 23 275 23 271 65961 63284 32 277 36 276 33 273 31 268 63284 60670 42 271 46 270 42 271 39 265 60670 57924 51 267 52 270 51 271 48 264 57924 55053 59 267 62 267 60 269 59 265 55053 52293 65 266 67 263 65 267 66 263 52293 49785 69 265 69 261 67 264 67 263 49785 47516 71 266 70 263 68 264 67 267 47516 45443 72 270 68 267 66 265 67 267 45443 43538 67 272 63 268 58 264 65 263 43538 41784 60 273 57 268 53 266 57 260 41784 40167 55 276 54 270 51 266 48 264 40167 38679 54 280 52 273 47 269 47 271 38679 37312 54 282 47 269 45 270 50 272 37312 36028 54 282 42 269 45 268 47 270 36028 34755 43 288 38 269 40 265 41 273 34755 33460 37 293 32 267 37 262 38 280 33460 32144 35 290 29 267 35 259 38 282 32144 30796 33 283 30 267 29 254 39 281 30796 29406 26 286 30 266 27 252 38 281 29406 27979 24 300 28 267 27 252 35 272 27979 26519 28 302 24 271 26 251 34 258 26519 25031 29 298 22 277 25 250 34 249 25031 23516 26 302 22 281 24 248 33 246 23516 21968 20 325 19 276 22 247 31 245 21968 20379 15 342 10 266 20 246 27 246 20379 18778 11 314 10 252 20 245 22 246 18778 17248 13 286 12 257 20 241 20 245 17248 15858 13 274 13 254 18 238 23 242 15858 14618 12 265 14 246 17 238 25 234 14618 13506 10 264 13 241 15 244 24 233 13506 12499 8 264 11*237 14 246 22 236 12499 11586 5 248 8*238 9*241 19 240 11586 10756 4 218 8 239 8*239 16 244 10756 10008 4*203 7 239 7 239 12 247 10008 9332 4*194 7 240 8 238 8 252 9332 8712 4 188 7 241 7 239 5 257 8712 8153 4 184 7 241 7 238 3 259 8153 7677 4 182 7 242 7 238 2 261 7677 7306 3 180 7 243 7 238 1 268 7306 7047 3 180 7 243 7 238 1 259 7047 6889 3 177 7 243 7 237 0*040 6889 6799 3 178 7 244 6 237 1*059 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography