DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.5 - - 46.2 - - 54.2 - - 48.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 220 - - 202 - - -15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1408 - - 2735 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7367 - - 8291 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8093 - - 9420 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 142 - - 589 - - 940 - - 2137 - - 136 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 287 - - 348 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 146 - - 251 - - 236 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -6 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2667 - - -5168 - - -5874 - - -7224 - - -5472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9464 - - 13261 - - 15294 - - 14023 - - 12271 sfcLCL ODpotential -15259 - - -13430 - - -12301 - - -14747 - - -15320 ODpotential blCL 22056 - - 21523 - - 21721 - - 21545 - - 22118 blCL maxRH 53 - - 60 - - 59 - - 71 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.5 - - 46.2 - - 54.2 - - 48.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.8 - - 12.5 - - 11.4 - - 11.4 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.0 - - 45.6 - - 53.5 - - 51.3 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.8 - - 12.4 - - 11.3 - - 11.2 - - 9.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 220 - - 202 - - -15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1408 - - 2735 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97196 60 251 64 256 63 252 63 261 69 267 97196 89866 45 262 44 255 51 240 53 258 52 266 89866 84203 38 267 35 259 42 249 39 255 38 268 84203 79503 26 260 25 260 37 268 30 271 26 266 79503 75462 15 255 15 258 24 267 26 275 16 278 75462 71918 15 279 12 282 13 255 16 268 13 293 71918 68742 19 289 19 296 13 308 10 293 13 292 68742 65835 13 285 18 283 18 302 18 308 11 295 65835 63134 11 299 15 273 18 287 21 301 17 311 63134 60520 18 308 15 289 18 282 20 299 22 305 60520 57801 25 315 20 301 18 283 20 295 24 302 57801 54986 31 317 25 308 22 297 25 298 26 300 54986 52302 33 313 29 308 27 305 26 303 32 301 52302 49895 32 308 31 304 31 311 35 311 36 307 49895 47742 31 308 31 303 42 314 42 318 40 311 47742 45780 30 310 33 306 50 317 54 318 48 305 45780 43974 30 309 35 308 53 317 58 310 53 299 43974 42301 29 309 32 304 50 314 54 303 56 294 42301 40743 30 312 28 297 44 312 47 300 48 291 40743 39291 30 315 27 294 40 312 41 300 36 286 39291 37940 29 318 28 298 40 315 39 299 29 283 37940 36653 28 318 30 304 39 318 38 298 31 287 36653 35369 28 315 32 306 38 320 34 297 34 292 35369 34056 29 312 32 308 38 316 31 297 34 294 34056 32717 30 313 30 314 37 309 32 301 31 291 32717 31341 31 318 29 319 35 307 35 303 30 288 31341 29922 32 323 28 323 33 310 35 304 29 289 29922 28466 32 326 29 326 32 313 33 306 27 295 28466 26976 33 328 30 328 31 316 31 311 26 301 26976 25454 33 329 31 330 32 320 31 319 26 307 25454 23902 33 329 32 331 34 325 33 324 28 311 23902 22315 34 329 33 333 36 330 35 326 30 314 22315 20686 34 330 33 334 36 332 34 327 32 316 20686 19043 33 331 32 335 34 333 31 328 32 319 19043 17468 31 334 29 337 31 334 28 329 30 321 17468 16034 28 336 25 339 26 336 25 330 27 325 16034 14751 24 336 21 341 21 337 21 332 24 328 14751 13601 22 336 18 343 16 340 16 333 20 328 13601 12564 20 336 16 344 12 342 11 332 16 322 12564 11628 18 335 14 342 10 337 9 325 12 313 11628 10783 16 335 11 337 8 325 8 316 11 304 10783 10022 13 335 9 328 6*311 8 305 10 299 10022 9338 9 340 5 319 6*305 9 293 10 296 9338 8713 5 002 2 173 5 255 9 279 10 293 8713 8150 3 094 4*149 5 245 9 263 9 288 8150 7674 7 127 5*147 5 242 10 253 9 280 7674 7303 9 119 5 146 5 240 9 247 7 263 7303 7046 12 105 5 146 5 239 9 243 5 249 7046 6888 10*096 5 146 5 238 7 239 3*231 6888 6798 6*092 4 146 5 239 5*236 1*220 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography