DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 154 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1511 - - 3484 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7253 - - 8727 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8196 - - 10169 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1337 - - 1621 - - 4454 - - 4819 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 347 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 217 - - 232 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1672 - - -1390 - - -3706 - - -2641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9868 - - 11560 - - 10505 - - 9440 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7100 - - -5417 - - -7144 - - -5891 ODpotential blCL - - - 15296 - - 15586 - - 13942 - - 12689 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 78 - - 82 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.9 - - 19.5 - - 19.3 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 45.5 - - 43.3 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.4 - - 19.1 - - 19.0 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 154 - - -10 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1511 - - 3484 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - 30 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96222 46 249 50 262 39 275 31 282 96222 89057 26 258 24 268 26 277 23 297 89057 83574 19 260 17 270 11 274 20 285 83574 79029 21 265 22 287 6 338 5 285 79029 75081 17 261 20 280 21 282 18 281 75081 71597 15 278 11 240 21 257 21 254 71597 68447 22 287 5 259 15 234 20 254 68447 65518 34 269 22 260 19 242 29 257 65518 62774 44 255 37 259 33 252 41 253 62774 60096 51 256 51 256 44 248 48 246 60096 57281 57 246 57 251 48 248 49 247 57281 54342 55 242 57 247 52 250 51 247 54342 51529 53 244 58 246 56 250 49 247 51529 49003 56 248 63 247 59 249 47 250 49003 46748 62 246 67 244 61 249 48 252 46748 44709 67 236 69 237 64 244 54 251 44709 42845 63 230 64 234 63 237 62 247 42845 41132 63 240 68 245 71 241 63 234 41132 39553 74 247 86 245 83 237 60 236 39553 38086 96 249 98 242 81 236 67 235 38086 36726 119 245 110 238 86 240 74 227 36726 35446 120 245 115 234 92 239 79 226 35446 34180 116 246 113 235 92 238 73 228 34180 32896 105 247 106 238 91 232 72 227 32896 31597 91 245 93 239 82 233 65 223 31597 30265 86 240 82 236 74 233 63 221 30265 28892 85 239 77 233 70 236 60 228 28892 27485 78 242 70 231 75 244 57 244 27485 26048 66 248 65 233 67 245 49 248 26048 24582 55 250 56 238 57 238 44 241 24582 23089 48 245 48 244 51 227 45 233 23089 21565 44 243 42 251 46 243 42 236 21565 20009 39 242 36 248 41 269 41 254 20009 18448 34 243 34 241 28 256 30 263 18448 16961 32 246 33 237 29 232 21 257 16961 15611 29 248 31 240 31 233 22 227 15611 14405 26 246 29 244 28 246 21 236 14405 13322 22 243 27 247 24 259 17 257 13322 12343 17 239 24 251 20 268 14 278 12343 11456 12 232 18 251 17 271 12 284 11456 10653 9 219 12*243 13 271 11 281 10653 9928 7 205 7*225 11 267 11 275 9928 9270 6 190 6 217 9 259 10 269 9270 8667 4*160 6 216 8 250 10 262 8667 8122 5*119 6 215 8 245 9 258 8122 7657 5 106 6 215 8 243 8 256 7657 7295 5 106 6 216 8 241 6 252 7295 7042 5 105 5 216 7 240 5 249 7042 6887 4 105 5 216 6*236 4*241 6887 6798 4 104 5 217 4*232 2*232 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography