DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.4 - - 93.1 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 440 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11261 - - 12911 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15381 - - 16780 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17946 - - 19596 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1895 - - 1398 - - - - - 1183 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 714 - - 763 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 280 - - - - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2444 - - 2877 - - - - - -4613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15502 - - 16720 - - - - - 11414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 457 - - 1337 - - - - - -8966 ODpotential blCL - - - 17489 - - 18259 - - - - - 15767 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 74 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 450 - - 480 - - - - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.4 - - 93.1 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 42.7 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.7 - - 90.4 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 42.1 - - - - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 414 - - 440 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11261 - - 12911 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99234 36 111 31 105 44 092 99234 91748 38 110 38 103 29 091 91748 85982 35 101 36 100 21 088 85982 81171 31 094 32 099 26 096 81171 77035 27 095 25 089 30 098 77035 73416 26 100 14 085 29 096 73416 70161 24 097 14 115 24 092 70161 67187 20 084 22 116 16 083 67187 64453 14 103 18 096 13 087 64453 61824 13 129 9 101 13 072 61824 59093 16 152 11 149 3 069 59093 56299 12 172 20 170 16 185 56299 53679 12 237 17 194 18 205 53679 51321 20 234 24 233 18 220 51321 49178 29 218 27 214 21 210 49178 47209 33 203 33 195 22 201 47209 45386 27 195 29 188 22 203 45386 43689 22 186 22 184 23 207 43689 42097 21 180 21 184 23 200 42097 40597 14 186 13 181 22 189 40597 39185 7 202 7 190 18 184 39185 37834 7 240 5 245 13 171 37834 36481 12 270 5 239 9 133 36481 35102 17 271 5 196 11 096 35102 33700 14 254 12 203 8 120 33700 32266 13 206 18 217 11 188 32266 30792 20 220 22 223 15 204 30792 29281 30 226 22 228 16 220 29281 27730 28 228 15 232 15 232 27730 26148 22 223 11 231 10 236 26148 24538 18 203 10 221 10 240 24538 22899 19 189 12 212 14 228 22899 21223 13 207 10*226 20 207 21223 19540 8*283 5*296 21 193 19540 17929 9*309 5 301 20 189 17929 16460 8 292 6 291 16 195 16460 15143 7 282 7 287 11 211 15143 13955 6 292 8 282 8 244 13955 12880 5 296 9 279 9 277 12880 11904 4 295 9 277 11 297 11904 11020 3 283 10 276 12 307 11020 10222 3 263 10 275 15 317 10222 9500 3 252 11 274 17 328 9500 8839 3 248 11 273 20 339 8839 8242 3 241 11 273 23 352 8242 7735 3 239 11 273 24 001 7735 7340 3 237 11 273 22 004 7340 7066 3 236 10 273 16 004 7066 6898 3 235 10 273 13*004 6898 6801 3 235 9 273 7*003 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography