DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 69.3 - - 73.4 - - 72.1 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 129 - - 504 - - 494 - - 151 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 900 - - 8401 - - 11048 - - 9935 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 13128 - - 15301 - - 13630 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7585 - - 15086 - - 17733 - - 16620 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1914 - - 1538 - - 1843 - - 2409 - - 247 Hgt.Variab. W* 208 - - 690 - - 752 - - 490 - - 10 W* B/S 35 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 14 - - 18 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 301 - - 309 - - 309 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 12 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - -11 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6493 - - -1017 - - 853 - - -238 - - -7917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14078 - - 16104 - - 16880 - - 16859 - - 14717 sfcLCL ODpotential -10835 - - -4561 - - -1205 - - -2663 - - -12090 ODpotential blCL 18420 - - 19647 - - 18938 - - 19283 - - 18890 blCL maxRH 54 - - 70 - - 77 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 69.3 - - 73.4 - - 72.1 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 21.8 - - 22.3 - - 21.3 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 66.4 - - 70.8 - - 71.2 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.8 - - 21.1 - - 21.6 - - 20.8 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 129 - - 504 - - 494 - - 151 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 900 - - 8401 - - 11048 - - 9935 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97757 12 351 7 262 9 295 13 302 16 317 97757 90340 6 257 10 270 10 301 13 318 11 312 90340 84609 7 326 6 272 11 259 10 317 5 310 84609 79869 14 295 4 298 11 272 10 297 2 348 79869 75799 16 286 8 293 8 272 6 280 5 003 75799 72216 15 281 20 280 13 288 9 281 9 314 72216 68979 18 280 21 274 18 285 15 298 14 314 68979 66002 24 283 19 263 24 274 23 292 25 298 66002 63240 26 278 21 269 26 265 27 277 24 289 63240 60563 30 285 27 282 27 273 29 277 28 287 60563 57773 35 282 30 281 28 278 28 281 26 286 57773 54887 33 283 32 286 29 289 27 290 27 295 54887 52144 35 284 34 286 30 292 25 297 27 303 52144 49701 36 286 34 286 33 294 29 305 28 300 49701 47529 38 286 34 294 33 297 30 297 25 298 47529 45561 36 323 33 317 29 309 26 304 25 320 45561 43763 46 335 40 336 36 336 29 338 32 343 43763 42117 49 338 51 338 48 339 38 353 36 353 42117 40594 47 341 53 336 48 338 41 350 34 357 40594 39171 48 345 49 339 44 339 40 345 32 355 39171 37837 49 349 46 344 43 341 39 344 31 350 37837 36560 48 350 43 346 44 336 36 344 29 349 36560 35279 44 349 43 343 42 330 34 342 28 341 35279 33970 40 347 41 340 38 325 34 337 28 332 33970 32638 37 347 36 338 36 324 33 332 26 330 32638 31271 34 348 30 334 34 324 31 330 24 332 31271 29861 33 350 28 330 32 319 30 330 23 333 29861 28413 30 352 29 331 31 311 29 331 23 333 28413 26927 28 354 28 334 30 302 27 329 23 333 26927 25410 27 352 27 339 27 295 25 325 24 333 25410 23865 26 343 26 342 24 293 23 319 24 334 23865 22289 27 334 25 340 21 301 20 313 22 336 22289 20678 28 331 25 334 20 317 17 319 22 337 20678 19058 28 332 25 331 19*333 16 331 23 336 19058 17510 27 334 25 331 17*329 17*328 23 326 17510 16101 25 335 22*332 17 324 18*321 22 309 16101 14838 22 333 17*324 17 321 19 318 22 301 14838 13699 19 323 16 319 17 315 19 317 21 301 13699 12667 18 311 15 316 18 310 20 312 21 303 12667 11728 17 308 15 305 18 306 20 309 21 308 11728 10876 17 305 15 297 19 302 21 307 21 313 10876 10107 16 302 14 293 19 301 21 305 21 317 10107 9411 14 302 14 290 19 299 21 303 21 320 9411 8773 12 308 14 288 19 298 21 302 20 322 8773 8196 9 313 14 285 19 297 20 302 20 322 8196 7705 5*323 14 283 19 296 20 301 18 320 7705 7323 1*076 14 281 19 295 20 300 16 315 7323 7056 1 102 13 281 18 295 19 300 13 311 7056 6893 1 108 13 280 17 295 18 300 10*307 6893 6800 1 112 12 280 15 295 15 299 6*302 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography