DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.8 - - 40.6 - - 48.8 - - 40.2 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 183 - - 187 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1347 - - 2307 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7261 - - 7953 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6796 - - 8032 - - 8992 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 775 - - 1080 - - 1766 - - 82 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 266 - - 321 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 147 - - 241 - - 252 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1837 - - -5156 - - -6817 - - -7538 - - -5391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8634 - - 13188 - - 15810 - - 14337 - - 12189 sfcLCL ODpotential -12082 - - -11245 - - -11307 - - -14394 - - -15107 ODpotential blCL 18878 - - 19277 - - 20299 - - 21192 - - 21904 blCL maxRH 43 - - 52 - - 55 - - 66 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.8 - - 40.6 - - 48.8 - - 40.2 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.7 - - 7.3 - - 3.5 - - 2.1 - - 0.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.1 - - 40.7 - - 47.8 - - 44.7 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.7 - - 7.1 - - 3.4 - - 1.8 - - 0.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 183 - - 187 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 111 - - 1347 - - 2307 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95997 57 276 58 276 59 279 61 266 61 277 95997 88928 37 290 33 286 35 283 37 280 32 295 88928 83513 34 302 27 308 24 298 25 305 24 311 83513 78988 30 304 26 314 23 302 22 318 21 320 78988 75065 25 301 24 313 23 301 22 316 19 319 75065 71585 20 301 22 309 22 299 22 307 18 320 71585 68420 19 303 20 305 20 299 21 296 19 316 68420 65493 19 302 20 299 19 300 21 291 21 307 65493 62768 22 301 22 296 21 296 23 289 24 301 62768 60123 27 299 23 296 22 292 25 290 28 297 60123 57357 32 291 27 295 25 290 28 292 31 292 57357 54478 35 283 32 289 30 291 32 290 33 288 54478 51720 34 277 34 282 33 289 34 288 33 290 51720 49234 31 275 33 276 34 285 32 289 32 293 49234 47009 28 277 30 272 32 277 31 286 33 297 47009 44996 28 278 27 269 30 269 32 279 33 295 44996 43158 28 276 25 269 27 266 31 270 30 285 43158 41469 24 272 21 274 23 263 26 267 27 273 41469 39915 20 270 19 276 19 264 18 267 14 283 39915 38485 16 287 20 265 16 256 16 245 8 311 38485 37170 19 299 14 268 15 258 6 229 2 261 37170 35924 22 295 12 291 16 257 6 275 5 286 35924 34674 21 292 14 297 14 255 10 273 9 294 34674 33394 20 294 16 294 15 259 13 269 11 301 33394 32089 20 296 18 292 16 266 15 268 11 302 32089 30751 21 294 21 291 19 270 15 267 11 294 30751 29372 23 289 24 291 20 273 15 270 10 289 29372 27956 25 285 26 293 20 281 14 274 11 291 27956 26500 24 282 26 295 21 289 14 281 12 293 26500 25010 23 278 25 293 23 291 16 289 14 293 25010 23490 22 277 23 290 23 291 19 294 16 291 23490 21937 22 281 22 288 19 292 19 295 17 291 21937 20347 20 287 20 289 15 293 16 294 17 291 20347 18748 17 292 17 286 13 288 13 294 13 290 18748 17220 15 294 14 281 11 280 11 292 10 286 17220 15831 13 294 13 278 10 276 10 290 8 276 15831 14588 11 294 11 279 8 280 8 291 6 262 14588 13470 10 299 9 283 7 288 5 296 5 250 13470 12459 9 305 7 291 6 300 3 301 4 231 12459 11543 8 310 6 301 5 308 2 297 3 217 11543 10714 7 312 5 305 5 296 2 288 3 212 10714 9969 6 313 4 301 5 271 3 282 2 210 9969 9296 4 315 2 278 5*263 4 282 1 207 9296 8682 2 340 1 177 6*247 4 284 1 283 8682 8129 2 087 3*149 7 242 4 276 2 297 8129 7660 4 102 3*148 7 241 5 264 3 293 7660 7295 6 099 3 146 7 240 5 257 4 296 7295 7041 9 089 3 148 7 240 5 254 4 305 7041 6886 8*075 3 148 7 239 4*252 3 345 6886 6797 6*071 3 148 6 239 3*252 4*001 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography