DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 63.6 - - 61.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 338 - - 39 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2281 - - 5300 - - 4201 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8054 - - 10460 - - 7835 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8966 - - 11985 - - 10886 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1896 - - 1692 - - 2497 - - 435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 359 - - 518 - - 234 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 13 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 276 - - 272 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4457 - - -2638 - - -3413 - - -5152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13423 - - 14623 - - 14300 - - 11952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9876 - - -7188 - - -8029 - - -11723 ODpotential blCL - - - 18842 - - 19173 - - 18915 - - 18522 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 65 - - 64 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 63.6 - - 61.7 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.1 - - 23.0 - - 22.7 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 61.5 - - 61.5 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 22.6 - - 22.5 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 263 - - 338 - - 39 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2281 - - 5300 - - 4201 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96399 4 292 3 105 1 085 3 126 96399 89221 7 297 8 329 6 125 4 357 89221 83677 9 031 10 239 10 279 13 327 83677 79096 13 311 12 314 12 349 7 357 79096 75166 20 330 25 311 20 347 25 338 75166 71728 23 332 27 319 27 322 32 330 71728 68633 22 334 26 327 24 308 34 315 68633 65785 33 328 28 333 23 317 32 314 65785 63133 51 318 45 321 34 325 31 319 63133 60538 55 308 51 311 46 319 38 319 60538 57818 51 307 53 304 55 306 49 307 57818 55000 55 310 53 305 61 302 57 302 55000 52307 63 305 59 306 62 304 55 302 52307 49866 63 296 61 297 63 302 56 301 49866 47659 54 296 58 292 64 296 62 296 47659 45647 54 303 57 295 64 292 66 292 45647 43801 59 303 58 298 59 292 64 288 43801 42106 60 300 55 297 54 291 55 286 42106 40549 55 296 50 294 49 288 48 284 40549 39105 51 293 44 287 46 282 48 278 39105 37760 48 286 44 286 43 276 47 259 37760 36480 49 281 45 281 40 272 45 251 36480 35201 50 283 45 278 38 274 46 255 35201 33895 49 286 45 278 39 277 48 262 33895 32565 48 288 44 281 43 276 52 267 32565 31200 48 289 44 282 45 271 55 270 31200 29790 49 289 46 281 46 267 54 270 29790 28339 50 288 49 281 46 267 51 271 28339 26853 51 287 50 284 46 270 51 273 26853 25335 55 287 51 287 47 277 52 278 25335 23790 59 289 51 288 48 285 54 283 23790 22213 60 293 50 291 45 287 54 286 22213 20598 55 298 47 295 39 286 52 289 20598 18972 46 300 40 299 35 282 44 288 18972 17418 37 301 34 297 32 279 35 279 17418 16006 30 300 29 293 29 277 29 275 16006 14745 25 297 25 292 25 277 25 275 14745 13612 23 297 21 293 21 278 24 269 13612 12587 22 300 16*290 16 280 24 263 12587 11657 20 300 14*285 14*279 23 262 11657 10814 17 296 14 282 13*277 19 264 10814 10054 14 292 14 280 13 275 15 266 10054 9367 12*287 14 277 13 273 11 274 9367 8738 9*276 14 274 13 272 9 283 8738 8171 6 252 14 273 13 271 7 289 8171 7689 6 245 13 270 13 270 6 291 7689 7313 5 241 13 269 13 269 6 288 7313 7051 5 239 12 268 12 269 5 282 7051 6891 5 239 12 268 12 268 3*262 6891 6799 5 238 11 268 10 268 1*253 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography