DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 82.2 - - 83.6 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 328 - - 126 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4393 - - 6918 - - 7530 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9724 - - 11735 - - 11637 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11078 - - 13603 - - 14215 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2914 - - 2473 - - 3819 - - 6778 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 562 - - 422 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 260 - - 283 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 4 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1369 - - 1462 - - 1104 - - -3889 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9709 - - 12142 - - 13111 - - 10691 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -970 - - -270 - - -733 - - -7190 ODpotential blCL - - - 12048 - - 13873 - - 14948 - - 13991 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 100 - - 94 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 670 - - 410 - - 610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 82.2 - - 83.6 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 52.1 - - 49.3 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 80.1 - - 82.6 - - 78.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 51.6 - - 48.9 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 328 - - 126 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4393 - - 6918 - - 7530 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 102 - - 77 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99470 32 100 45 098 35 101 30 103 99470 91913 39 102 33 092 29 094 30 087 91913 86099 38 101 27 105 29 091 34 087 86099 81296 34 095 29 104 27 095 33 086 81296 77183 26 079 30 101 27 089 29 088 77183 73569 21 085 24 098 22 099 27 085 73569 70315 24 102 22 103 19 117 18 094 70315 67340 25 104 20 111 18 122 14 116 67340 64593 22 115 15 119 12 093 17 121 64593 61940 14 113 13 124 12 085 17 109 61940 59200 11 122 9 147 7 063 10 098 59200 56399 3 061 10 156 6 221 5 169 56399 53753 17 255 10 248 10 241 10 228 53753 51375 28 239 24 250 22 252 20 257 51375 49231 30 247 28 243 25 255 27 262 49231 47273 27 258 24 251 27 261 27 266 47273 45465 26 269 23 268 26 262 28 275 45465 43778 26 274 19 267 23 273 25 281 43778 42190 16 263 17 250 22 282 22 286 42190 40691 15 257 16 244 21 272 19 289 40691 39281 18 259 15 253 20 265 17 279 39281 37932 19 256 13 268 16 266 16 280 37932 36583 18 257 12 268 15 270 14 278 36583 35206 15 259 12 266 14 269 13 271 35206 33804 13 266 11 275 11 265 12 263 33804 32364 11 278 9 294 7 267 9 261 32364 30878 11 277 12 303 8 306 7 279 30878 29351 12 260 12 299 10 309 9 297 29351 27789 11 260 12 268 10 296 10 305 27789 26194 8 281 12 256 11 286 10 311 26194 24572 10 304 12 273 11 291 10 324 24572 22920 14 305 11 285 10 296 9 325 22920 21231 16 300 10 288 8 299 8 307 21231 19537 17 292 10 287 7 317 7 302 19537 17919 16 284 10 298 6 323 6 303 17919 16450 13 284 10 293 8 291 8 287 16450 15135 11 283 9 273 9*283 11 279 15135 13950 10 282 9*267 9*282 11 277 13950 12877 9 284 9*264 10 282 10 281 12877 11903 8*283 8 262 10 283 9 286 11903 11019 6*275 9 261 10 283 8 294 11019 10222 3 247 9 260 9 283 7 304 10222 9500 3 211 8 259 9 283 6 319 9500 8840 3 201 8 258 9 283 6 336 8840 8244 3 193 8 258 9 283 6 352 8244 7737 3 188 8 257 9 283 6 005 7737 7341 3 185 8 257 8 283 6 017 7341 7066 3 185 8 257 8 283 6 025 7066 6898 3 183 7 257 8 284 5*030 6898 6801 3 185 7 256 7 284 4*033 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography