DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 90.8 - - 90.3 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 346 - - 122 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6430 - - 10858 - - 9318 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11451 - - 14948 - - 12984 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13115 - - 17543 - - 16003 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3542 - - 2122 - - 4003 - - 7344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 595 - - 665 - - 449 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 278 - - 289 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -371 - - 2383 - - 611 - - -6522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13487 - - 15161 - - 15393 - - 13324 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2680 - - 879 - - -1310 - - -9564 ODpotential blCL - - - 15795 - - 16664 - - 17313 - - 16365 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 99 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 530 - - 730 - - 660 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 90.8 - - 90.3 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.0 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 88.6 - - 89.5 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 46.8 - - 45.5 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 421 - - 346 - - 122 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6430 - - 10858 - - 9318 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 98 - - 98 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99212 40 104 31 114 28 095 32 095 99212 91736 34 100 33 097 24 099 34 087 91736 85971 34 100 32 101 26 095 29 092 85971 81176 29 096 30 101 27 096 26 102 81176 77063 21 094 26 093 29 097 29 095 77063 73452 20 096 21 096 28 090 30 088 73452 70202 22 097 18 108 19 092 23 089 70202 67225 21 103 18 112 12 118 17 087 67225 64470 17 099 17 099 12 137 11 097 64470 61824 12 091 16 090 13 110 10 123 61824 59106 8 113 14 115 10 102 8 108 59106 56314 16 147 18 162 14 158 7 189 56314 53673 20 134 22 157 25 157 23 175 53673 51313 16 132 18 147 24 152 28 165 51313 49189 17 164 18 171 22 171 30 176 49189 47239 27 175 25 180 28 177 31 176 47239 45431 28 170 25 177 27 172 29 173 45431 43741 25 164 25 164 26 169 27 173 43741 42152 22 151 28 159 25 170 27 174 42152 40654 22 140 26 158 23 177 27 171 40654 39249 21 150 19 158 23 182 29 169 39249 37905 16 154 14 161 19 172 31 172 37905 36560 16 160 14 179 16 165 27 174 36560 35186 16 176 20 192 17 184 22 171 35186 33787 17 189 22 195 22 201 22 191 33787 32350 17 192 17 201 16 205 19 199 32350 30870 12 208 13 196 12 196 15 196 30870 29352 14 238 9 216 12 194 15 191 29352 27799 15 250 9 253 12 204 15 202 27799 26214 16 240 14 253 12 222 15 218 26214 24600 12 225 16 250 13 252 15 228 24600 22955 10 203 11 239 8 252 9 235 22955 21275 5 206 7 231 4 218 7 203 21275 19591 2 298 3 315 3 025 3 145 19591 17978 7 319 7*327 4 011 2 072 17978 16506 11 310 8*314 6*324 5 003 16506 15186 13 304 8 309 7*314 7 339 15186 13996 12*305 8 305 9 300 10 327 13996 12917 10*303 10 280 11 293 12 320 12917 11937 8 299 10 275 12 289 14 315 11937 11049 8 294 11 271 13 287 15 312 11049 10246 7 290 11 269 14 286 16 309 10246 9520 7 285 11 267 14 285 16 307 9520 8855 7 281 12 264 14 284 17 305 8855 8255 7 279 12 263 14 284 17 303 8255 7744 7 278 12 262 14 283 17 301 7744 7346 6 276 11 262 14 283 16 300 7346 7068 6 276 11 261 13 283 13 297 7068 6899 6 276 11 261 13 283 10*296 6899 6801 6 276 10 260 11 283 6*295 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography