DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.9 - - 51.8 - - 51.2 - - 50.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 36 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 966 - - 933 - - 409 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6799 - - 7651 - - 7618 - - 7094 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1215 - - 1547 - - 2175 - - 1649 - - 1584 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 109 - - 145 - - 35 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 149 - - 132 - - 108 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 852 - - 820 - - 296 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -1707 - - 62 - - 332 - - -460 - - -872 ODpotential blCL 8506 - - 7589 - - 7286 - - 7554 - - 7671 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 580 - - 870 - - 590 - - 580 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 47.9 - - 51.8 - - 51.2 - - 50.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 49.6 - - 49.4 - - 48.6 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 - - 51.8 - - 50.9 - - 50.4 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 48.8 - - 48.3 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 12 - - 36 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 114 - - 966 - - 933 - - 409 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 99 - - 101 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97406 6 197 18 218 18 229 19 262 17 270 97406 90082 9 240 5 237 7 203 6 230 10 240 90082 84489 1 179 1 003 2 041 2 119 5 187 84489 79859 6 161 4 130 3 353 3 117 8 110 79859 75888 1 145 9 140 4 271 8 140 7 128 75888 72385 5 047 10 124 6 263 4 204 3 026 72385 69207 3 205 5 123 6 171 9 214 8 318 69207 66276 3 244 2 059 6 093 3 247 5 275 66276 63559 6 193 5 229 5 250 6 307 6 307 63559 60926 4 138 7 207 10 186 7 204 15 244 60926 58186 16 258 15 238 12 239 15 222 16 211 58186 55338 31 224 29 220 26 235 19 233 14 240 55338 52601 28 221 30 216 30 228 28 230 26 228 52601 50126 36 232 39 222 37 225 36 226 33 218 50126 47895 49 223 46 222 50 230 44 231 37 229 47895 45859 56 217 57 222 60 230 53 230 43 232 45859 43992 61 216 65 215 68 225 58 224 50 226 43992 42270 66 213 69 210 71 216 60 219 54 214 42270 40670 68 209 73 207 71 208 61 213 55 205 40670 39173 70 205 73 202 71 205 62 210 54 205 39173 37775 72 201 65 201 72 204 64 210 57 207 37775 36450 74 198 67 208 73 203 67 209 63 207 36450 35138 77 197 78 209 73 200 69 207 68 205 35138 33808 81 196 80 205 69 195 69 204 69 203 33808 32462 82 196 77 201 67 196 67 200 69 202 32462 31085 78 195 72 196 68 199 63 199 68 199 31085 29669 70 195 62 189 67 199 62 199 65 197 29669 28219 63 195 55 183 63 196 57 197 62 196 28219 26735 53 192 49 181 59 191 48 191 62 195 26735 25223 37 187 48 179 54 187 49 190 61 196 25223 23685 40 187 48 180 52 183 46 189 56 196 23685 22115 41 187 48 180 53 181 43 189 52 196 22115 20509 40 185 53 182 46 183 45 192 44 195 20509 18895 38 182 53 189 42 185 44 190 40 192 18895 17350 37 183 47 195 45 186 43 188 39 191 17350 15946 36 185 40 198 41 189 41 189 37 191 15946 14691 33 186 36 197 39 197 37 190 36 191 14691 13565 30 187 34 190 32 197 31 191 35 191 13565 12547 29 188 35 184 26 192 26 189 32 191 12547 11625 28 190 34 182 23 185 22 186 28 191 11625 10788 30 189 32 182 21 174 19 181 26 184 10788 10031 32 182 30 181 20 161 17 174 28 170 10031 9347 31 172 26 172 19 153 14 164 29 160 9347 8722 26 163 23 165 19 150 13 155 25 154 8722 8158 21 159 22 165 19 148 12 150 21 149 8158 7680 15 138 20*160 17*140 11 138 16 132 7680 7308 13 112 17*153 15*134 10*121 13 112 7308 7048 12 092 14 149 14 132 9*110 11 099 7048 6890 10*087 13 147 13 131 8 107 9*093 6890 6799 7*081 10 145 10 129 6 106 6*088 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography