DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.1 - - 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 69.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 91 - - 425 - - 426 - - 127 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 652 - - 8392 - - 12548 - - 10952 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 13041 - - 16456 - - 14273 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7337 - - 15077 - - 19233 - - 17637 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1097 - - 3769 - - 2404 - - 3105 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* 166 - - 651 - - 746 - - 478 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 24 - - 41 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 111 - - 165 - - 252 - - 275 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -9 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7197 - - -1383 - - 2225 - - 814 - - -7696 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14534 - - 16460 - - 17008 - - 16824 - - 14496 sfcLCL ODpotential -11320 - - -2872 - - 860 - - -896 - - -11446 ODpotential blCL 18657 - - 17949 - - 18373 - - 18533 - - 18245 blCL maxRH 78 - - 80 - - 77 - - 77 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.1 - - 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 69.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.6 - - 17.0 - - 18.4 - - 18.6 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 63.4 - - 67.4 - - 68.1 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 16.3 - - 17.6 - - 18.0 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 91 - - 425 - - 426 - - 127 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 652 - - 8392 - - 12548 - - 10952 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 20 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97333 44 274 42 268 42 274 48 279 44 279 97333 90035 41 267 46 274 46 272 46 285 35 283 90035 84389 31 271 42 274 44 273 47 283 34 291 84389 79690 27 297 28 269 31 265 38 271 39 288 79690 75649 32 289 21 287 19 261 25 259 32 278 75649 72097 26 273 25 295 16 282 14 270 17 269 72097 68899 18 253 23 270 20 285 17 298 11 293 68899 65961 15 243 23 254 23 268 25 291 14 302 65961 63240 18 262 19 259 21 262 23 272 15 268 63240 60611 26 283 19 271 19 254 20 254 19 245 60611 57874 35 275 23 259 24 247 26 251 26 257 57874 55035 34 268 29 249 32 253 35 253 34 255 55035 52313 39 267 37 257 41 256 35 257 34 267 52313 49839 49 262 45 260 44 260 40 258 39 268 49839 47605 57 255 51 256 49 259 41 261 40 268 47605 45571 58 253 53 248 47 256 39 269 36 280 45571 43723 59 257 46 251 39 260 35 277 38 291 43723 42037 48 261 28 266 21 267 24 278 29 293 42037 40485 34 272 24 289 18 339 12 355 13 019 40485 39049 28 265 18 300 25 350 24 014 36 031 39049 37708 16 230 16 312 26 343 27 012 36 026 37708 36425 14 212 16 294 18 331 23 006 33 028 36425 35140 16 209 14 279 16 322 13 344 21 023 35140 33832 15 197 12 265 13 307 11 321 10 336 33832 32505 12 204 11 251 11 295 9 299 9 296 32505 31143 8 214 10 246 7 302 12 304 9 308 31143 29739 5 174 6 246 4 299 14 310 11 334 29739 28299 6 140 3 236 5 287 14 319 13 338 28299 26822 3 135 3 219 6 283 15 327 12 344 26822 25314 2 232 4 190 5 268 11 328 11 345 25314 23779 6 198 4 172 2 232 4 337 8 341 23779 22216 7 200 2 036 2 067 2 052 3 265 22216 20619 7 200 5 338 8*022 7 058 6 133 20619 19010 2 225 6 326 7*019 5*040 8 120 19010 17469 1 329 5 341 3 359 4*308 3 106 17469 16065 3 321 3*003 2 275 5 298 2 321 16065 14807 4 254 2*332 2 254 5 295 5 296 14807 13671 8 203 1 232 3 244 7 280 8 290 13671 12642 10 178 4 179 4 241 7 277 9 288 12642 11707 10 159 6 163 5 238 8 273 11 288 11707 10858 9 147 6 162 5 238 9 270 12 290 10858 10091 8 146 7 160 6 238 9 267 13 292 10091 9398 7 145 7 160 6 237 9 266 14 293 9398 8762 9 142 7 161 6 238 9 264 14 295 8762 8188 12 134 7 161 7 238 9 263 15 294 8188 7700 14*124 7 161 7 239 9 263 14 293 7700 7320 13*114 7 162 7 239 9 262 13 288 7320 7055 10 110 7 163 7 239 9 262 11 280 7055 6893 9 110 6 162 7 239 9 261 8 274 6893 6799 8 110 6 163 6 240 8 261 5*272 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography