DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 65.3 - - 63.6 - - 61.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 231 - - 196 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4731 - - 2336 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6555 - - 9406 - - 7548 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 10960 - - 8565 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1031 - - 2499 - - 6092 - - 8176 - - 2500 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 442 - - 331 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 223 - - 211 - - 250 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -17 - - -18 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2245 - - 562 - - -336 - - -4898 - - -5082 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8816 - - 10399 - - 8901 - - 11470 - - 11654 sfcLCL ODpotential -6316 - - -1368 - - -2105 - - -6761 - - -8895 ODpotential blCL 12887 - - 12328 - - 10670 - - 13332 - - 15466 blCL maxRH 80 - - 82 - - 81 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 780 - - 1280 - - 340 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 65.3 - - 63.6 - - 61.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.0 - - 42.3 - - 46.9 - - 34.3 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 63.4 - - 61.8 - - 61.7 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 41.5 - - 46.3 - - 33.5 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 231 - - 196 - - 1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 4731 - - 2336 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 30 - - 25 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98118 15 256 16 244 16 249 15 254 16 263 98118 90761 11 264 11 247 12 243 13 253 13 251 90761 85084 4 222 8 226 7 259 6 255 6 251 85084 80371 4 053 2 087 2 209 4 325 4 312 80371 76321 9 045 6 055 0 090 6 022 7 358 76321 72739 10 056 4 105 5 023 8 044 12 027 72739 69489 9 053 8 104 6 022 8 040 10 039 69489 66507 4 073 9 080 3 089 9 039 9 061 66507 63752 1 075 2 076 4 130 5 037 9 065 63752 61086 2 060 4 157 4 145 1 055 6 052 61086 58299 5 305 5 171 6 227 5 316 4 075 58299 55383 9 267 9 235 12 223 12 247 9 291 55383 52583 17 237 12 228 12 232 16 222 17 263 52583 50063 25 235 20 241 14 265 14 248 19 279 50063 47803 28 234 31 250 27 259 20 255 20 264 47803 45747 28 239 31 245 26 254 24 270 22 264 45747 43862 24 241 30 248 31 263 33 269 26 269 43862 42123 27 259 34 248 35 253 36 255 29 266 42123 40508 35 258 36 248 34 244 34 246 29 259 40508 39003 40 251 35 252 34 243 32 249 28 253 39003 37603 40 247 37 256 38 244 37 255 30 249 37603 36278 36 246 43 254 42 249 44 247 36 245 36278 34966 34 250 44 250 47 248 46 242 42 239 34966 33641 33 254 44 251 46 244 48 241 49 236 33641 32309 32 256 43 254 41 241 48 238 50 231 32309 30950 32 255 42 255 39 237 47 231 49 224 30950 29551 37 249 41 250 39 235 47 226 53 220 29551 28111 43 246 42 242 36 230 48 228 54 225 28111 26633 43 245 42 239 37 228 48 232 55 230 26633 25120 37 242 41 240 41 233 47 233 53 236 25120 23577 33 237 38 238 43 239 45 234 49 242 23577 22005 31 233 37 237 43 241 44 236 45 240 22005 20400 28 231 36 241 42 240 43 237 42 240 20400 18785 26 234 36 242 42 240 41 236 40 242 18785 17234 27 240 36 239 44 240 36 234 35 236 17234 15819 28 241 37 236 43 241 30 232 29 225 15819 14551 26 236 32 230 38 242 22 231 26 224 14551 13408 22 226 27 219 34 241 16 233 21 222 13408 12374 20 219 23 216 30 234 15 238 17 219 12374 11438 20 227 20*222 26 227 14 248 13 221 11438 10591 23 240 19*224 22 222 14 251 12 227 10591 9828 25 245 19 224 20 220 14 254 12 236 9828 9139 24 243 18 224 17*217 14 256 13 241 9139 8509 23 235 17 223 14*213 13 256 14 246 8509 7942 24 220 17 223 13 212 13 256 16 250 7942 7460 23 204 16 223 13 211 12 255 16 253 7460 7084 20 193 15 222 12 210 11 252 15 252 7084 6823 16 187 14 222 11 210 9 250 11 249 6823 6663 13*186 13 222 10 209 8 249 8*244 6663 6571 7*187 10 222 8 209 5*250 3*230 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography