DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.7 - - 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 27.3 - - 25.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 3 - - -3 - - -8 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth Hcrit 6539 - - 6539 - - 6540 - - 6539 - - 6539 Hcrit BL Top 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 - - 6556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 108 - - 481 - - 693 - - 283 - - 35 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 46 - - 27 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 244 - - 263 - - 182 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -7 - - -4 - - -12 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1539 - - -1560 - - -754 - - -441 - - -1445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8096 - - 8116 - - 7311 - - 6997 - - 8002 sfcLCL ODpotential -11702 - - -8941 - - -7593 - - -8740 - - -10758 ODpotential blCL 18258 - - 15497 - - 14149 - - 15296 - - 17314 blCL maxRH 50 - - 50 - - 64 - - 57 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.7 - - 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 27.3 - - 25.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.1 - - 20.8 - - 25.3 - - 20.1 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.5 - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 32.9 - - 29.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.2 - - 19.6 - - 24.4 - - 21.4 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 3 - - -3 - - -8 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 - - 327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95422 62 301 66 294 65 300 65 300 67 298 95422 88619 50 316 51 310 50 309 53 308 54 313 88619 83269 46 326 46 322 41 313 43 316 47 320 83269 78777 41 330 41 328 34 317 39 317 42 320 78777 74876 36 331 37 331 30 323 35 316 36 314 74876 71412 31 331 32 333 28 327 30 316 30 312 71412 68266 30 333 28 334 24 325 26 315 27 317 68266 65353 29 334 24 332 22 323 24 314 25 317 65353 62631 29 333 22 330 20 323 21 317 24 312 62631 59975 29 331 20 328 18 319 19 317 22 308 59975 57189 26 327 19 332 17 313 17 313 20 306 57189 54283 24 319 20 333 16 311 18 306 20 309 54283 51502 22 311 22 322 18 309 22 303 22 312 51502 49004 19 307 22 309 20 309 25 306 25 313 49004 46780 18 307 22 300 22 309 25 311 27 313 46780 44780 19 307 21 296 24 304 26 314 29 311 44780 42967 20 306 20 298 22 298 27 311 29 307 42967 41312 18 306 19 301 20 299 26 306 26 300 41312 39789 17 311 16 299 18 300 23 305 22 294 39789 38376 17 311 12 300 16 292 22 305 20 293 38376 37056 16 307 11 297 15 286 21 302 21 295 37056 35796 14 303 12 288 14 287 19 298 21 296 35796 34537 13 299 13 283 14 291 15 296 21 299 34537 33251 12 297 14 281 14 296 13 298 18 303 33251 31946 11 300 14 280 14 300 12 302 17 311 31946 30607 11 303 14 283 14 303 13 304 18 318 30607 29228 10 309 13 286 15 304 14 308 19 326 29228 27812 9 316 12 288 15 304 15 312 21 331 27812 26359 8 319 12 289 15 301 15 313 22 334 26359 24871 9 320 12 292 15 297 16 312 21 335 24871 23352 10 322 11 294 15 294 17 309 19 334 23352 21798 10 323 10 293 13 290 15 303 17 329 21798 20203 10 326 9 292 12 287 14 295 13 320 20203 18592 9 333 8 292 10 283 12 288 11 309 18592 17047 9 344 6 299 9 280 11 283 10 300 17047 15641 8 350 5 310 8 277 10 282 10 295 15641 14381 8 351 5 322 7 278 10 286 9 291 14381 13250 7 352 4 326 7 279 10 287 11 287 13250 12228 7 353 4 324 7 274 10 285 12 283 12228 11304 6 352 3 313 6 265 9 278 12 275 11304 10471 5 347 2 284 6 249 9 265 11 264 10471 9722 3 334 2 248 6 232 8 250 10 251 9722 9048 2 306 3 236 6 222 7 238 9 240 9048 8434 2 276 3 232 6 218 7 229 8 234 8434 7882 2 266 3 233 6 221 6 217 8 229 7882 7414 2 275 2 243 6 229 4 200 8 219 7414 7051 2 282 3 255 5 236 4 176 8 208 7051 6798 2 244 4 248 4 242 3 164 9 192 6798 6644 3*227 4*244 3*249 4*170 9*189 6644 6556 5*223 3*244 2*263 4*182 8*190 6556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography