DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.2 - - 47.2 - - 49.3 - - 48.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 110 - - 21 - - -22 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3030 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 7844 - - 6554 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9259 - - 6571 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1918 - - 2893 - - 6821 - - 6214 - - 3399 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 311 - - 99 - - 59 - - 36 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 233 - - 230 - - 225 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -12 - - -8 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -176 - - 1938 - - -1422 - - -924 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6747 - - 7321 - - 7993 - - 7496 - - 6570 sfcLCL ODpotential -2711 - - -320 - - -2873 - - -3021 - - -1921 ODpotential blCL 9281 - - 9579 - - 9444 - - 9592 - - 8491 blCL maxRH 87 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 110 - - 130 - - 150 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 41.2 - - 47.2 - - 49.3 - - 48.5 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 37.9 - - 37.0 - - 38.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 45.9 - - 48.8 - - 49.3 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 36.6 - - 35.7 - - 37.0 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 110 - - 21 - - -22 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 3030 - - 342 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 82 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97684 4 054 6 184 5 027 10 163 8 297 97684 90324 8 088 7 156 3 177 8 009 9 075 90324 84667 8 095 3 092 4 214 9 349 9 058 84667 79970 5 068 3 082 4 277 2 008 4 010 79970 75920 1 246 3 349 4 242 2 224 3 325 75920 72317 5 219 11 278 4 251 4 219 7 288 72317 69040 6 223 16 243 10 255 7 274 8 234 69040 66017 5 253 17 233 14 241 16 266 13 253 66017 63200 9 270 17 248 16 252 19 260 15 254 63200 60450 14 264 22 242 23 257 21 260 15 264 60450 57575 18 258 21 245 23 247 23 255 20 267 57575 54598 20 272 15 261 21 250 22 267 20 269 54598 51771 18 263 15 267 17 258 22 274 18 273 51771 49241 12 263 14 286 14 263 19 277 14 264 49241 46975 10 303 15 301 15 283 22 296 18 289 46975 44920 16 316 15 311 19 282 26 295 25 295 44920 43045 19 312 14 313 18 280 23 290 27 295 43045 41326 13 319 14 321 14 300 21 292 23 283 41326 39758 14 348 16 328 21 310 24 295 27 289 39758 38335 14 008 18 336 25 316 31 301 40 289 38335 37024 19 016 20 344 25 323 32 300 37 281 37024 35771 22 009 20 346 22 326 28 297 34 272 35771 34515 21 012 18 348 19 332 22 288 31 269 34515 33232 19 017 16 353 17 334 19 284 26 275 33232 31927 17 007 16 360 13 329 19 285 23 273 31927 30588 15 356 16 003 12 322 19 286 24 276 30588 29206 13 356 15 002 11 319 18 282 25 278 29206 27785 8 346 14 353 12 314 17 280 25 276 27785 26326 7 317 8 344 14 309 17 283 23 274 26326 24833 10 313 6 311 14 302 17 287 23 276 24833 23310 15 335 9 300 14 297 17 288 23 283 23310 21755 19 349 11 303 16 292 19 287 24 290 21755 20161 20 351 11 305 16 290 22 289 25 290 20161 18555 20 348 12 312 18 291 26 292 26 286 18555 17019 19 342 13 314 20 293 25 295 25 281 17019 15623 19 331 14 311 18 287 22 285 24 276 15623 14377 19 323 15 306 15 269 22 264 22 270 14377 13257 15 316 12 293 15 260 24 250 25 265 13257 12245 11 297 10 276 17 250 24 246 28 263 12245 11330 12 279 9 264 18 245 23 246 31 261 11330 10503 13 274 11 250 18 242 23 246 32 260 10503 9758 13 265 12*243 18 240 23 246 32 259 9758 9086 13 259 12*239 17 238 22 246 31 258 9086 8470 14 247 12 235 16 236 21 245 29 256 8470 7914 14 232 12 233 16 235 20 243 27 253 7914 7442 13 216 12 231 15 233 18 240 23 252 7442 7074 12 204 11 230 14 232 15 236 18 251 7074 6818 10 200 10 229 13 232 13 232 13 250 6818 6660 9*198 9 229 11*231 10*229 8*251 6660 6570 6*195 8 228 9*230 6*225 4*258 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography