DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 67.3 - - 72.3 - - 69.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 212 - - 231 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2777 - - 5671 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 7896 - - 10127 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 9006 - - 11900 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 305 - - 2264 - - 2126 - - 6890 - - 148 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 359 - - 468 - - 31 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 220 - - 232 - - 244 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -12 - - -10 - - -3 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6350 - - -6848 - - -5954 - - -10306 - - -8084 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12920 - - 15855 - - 17855 - - 16877 - - 14655 sfcLCL ODpotential -14799 - - -13067 - - -11143 - - -15115 - - -15101 ODpotential blCL 21369 - - 22073 - - 23043 - - 21686 - - 21671 blCL maxRH 54 - - 56 - - 47 - - 41 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 67.3 - - 72.3 - - 69.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.7 - - 20.6 - - 16.5 - - 18.3 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 65.3 - - 70.3 - - 69.7 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.9 - - 19.6 - - 15.5 - - 17.5 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 212 - - 231 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2777 - - 5671 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98159 15 247 8 277 7 236 10 274 18 283 98159 90851 5 223 6 248 11 243 12 282 4 317 90851 85196 7 184 11 225 11 232 8 270 3 317 85196 80466 4 211 12 214 11 228 10 253 6 310 80466 76364 5 297 5 209 6 251 11 237 6 279 76364 72716 5 329 7 311 4 285 7 259 3 219 72716 69404 1 346 7 315 4 222 6 262 5 200 69404 66373 3 241 4 228 6 212 5 222 6 192 66373 63573 8 222 10 215 10 237 7 228 6 196 63573 60861 9 219 13 226 18 231 17 244 12 240 60861 58058 12 246 17 232 22 232 20 242 15 245 58058 55194 16 259 17 234 23 230 21 235 16 244 55194 52489 20 256 18 249 18 235 23 221 20 232 52489 50069 20 251 20 247 18 242 22 219 25 217 50069 47905 20 253 20 236 23 232 25 229 27 220 47905 45939 20 257 20 235 22 221 25 221 28 227 45939 44132 18 248 21 224 23 217 20 223 28 223 44132 42455 10 270 15 205 26 199 21 239 25 216 42455 40892 13 307 4 221 26 183 26 206 23 203 40892 39430 17 291 10 258 16 176 30 185 32 181 39430 38062 15 265 14 230 14 194 24 178 39 169 38062 36756 13 236 15 219 17 199 24 181 39 163 36756 35445 11 225 16 212 20 201 28 181 37 168 35445 34107 10 223 16 210 22 204 29 183 29 175 34107 32749 10 232 15 212 22 209 26 190 25 182 32749 31361 11 239 14 217 22 209 21 193 27 179 31361 29931 12 229 15 221 21 208 19 191 29 176 29931 28461 14 235 16 227 19 206 20 191 27 178 28461 26956 15 242 15 229 21 207 22 199 22 192 26956 25419 15 251 15 226 22 209 24 204 25 211 25419 23855 15 251 16 220 23 207 26 206 27 223 23855 22256 16 245 17 221 24 212 26 214 26 229 22256 20618 17 244 19 230 23 229 24 226 24 230 20618 18968 18 245 22 237 24 240 23 237 23 230 18968 17389 20 243 23 244 23 246 24 243 21 235 17389 15953 21 246 23 251 23 248 25 245 21 240 15953 14669 22 252 22 255 23 247 25 241 20 240 14669 13513 21 253 21 257 22 244 23 234 18 236 13513 12467 19 250 19 256 19*239 19 222 18 225 12467 11519 17 245 18 250 16*234 16 216 18 214 11519 10660 15 240 17 242 15 231 14 216 17 208 10660 9886 14 237 15 233 14 231 13 218 16 207 9886 9185 12 235 13*226 14 232 11 224 14 205 9185 8544 10 229 12*223 13 232 10 229 11 205 8544 7966 10 218 12 221 13 233 10 233 8 209 7966 7475 10 211 11 219 12 234 9 236 6 214 7475 7093 12 199 11 219 11 234 9 239 5 212 7093 6826 11 191 10 218 11 234 8 241 4 188 6826 6664 10*189 9 217 10 235 7*243 4 168 6664 6570 6*192 7 218 8 235 5*244 4*175 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography