DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.9 - - 16.8 - - 22.7 - - 20.4 - - 17.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 13 - - 35 - - 11 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 - - 6551 Hcrit BL Top 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 389 - - 398 - - 871 - - 960 - - 834 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 69 - - 98 - - 67 - - 37 W* B/S 0 - - 32 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 030 - - 288 - - 295 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -113 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6681 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 - - 6568 sfcLCL ODpotential -8342 - - -7280 - - -371 - - -369 - - -4289 ODpotential blCL 14910 - - 13848 - - 6939 - - 6937 - - 10857 blCL maxRH 89 - - 95 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.9 - - 16.8 - - 22.7 - - 20.4 - - 17.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.1 - - 14.1 - - 20.9 - - 18.8 - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.0 - - 16.6 - - 21.8 - - 19.8 - - 17.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.9 - - 13.9 - - 20.8 - - 19.7 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 13 - - 35 - - 11 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 80 - - 98 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 14 024 22 017 16 039 12 022 16 000 96444 89343 16 013 17 012 24 011 22 025 9 049 89343 83762 17 016 22 023 20 021 21 005 18 023 83762 79106 23 027 20 016 20 018 17 350 23 007 79106 75093 19 018 17 015 18 009 13 357 20 356 75093 71529 18 017 14 336 16 350 11 009 18 351 71529 68280 19 342 12 347 12 342 10 010 17 353 68280 65270 17 314 13 000 3 114 4 350 13 348 65270 62458 15 327 16 290 15 322 7 339 13 351 62458 59720 19 335 13 285 23 303 18 321 23 342 59720 56868 23 312 13 330 32 307 27 323 27 328 56868 53924 32 292 23 327 28 298 29 318 26 322 53924 51116 33 290 28 314 29 304 32 312 29 316 51116 48589 31 297 35 299 36 302 38 312 32 312 48589 46328 30 300 37 293 38 300 38 309 34 312 46328 44281 31 303 37 294 43 302 37 307 35 310 44281 42414 38 301 39 294 48 297 39 308 36 303 42414 40705 44 298 38 295 45 289 45 305 36 299 40705 39134 51 297 39 301 41 289 47 297 38 298 39134 37687 56 290 44 300 44 294 42 293 39 291 37687 36353 51 285 45 291 46 294 37 292 35 284 36353 35090 49 291 40 286 46 288 36 288 35 281 35090 33830 50 296 37 285 44 285 36 284 33 283 33830 32550 49 297 36 284 41 285 36 283 30 288 32550 31259 49 297 38 284 40 287 36 281 31 290 31259 29944 48 298 40 286 39 289 35 283 32 293 29944 28592 48 300 41 292 38 290 35 286 32 296 28592 27202 48 302 43 299 41 292 36 289 33 299 27202 25774 47 302 45 302 44 296 36 294 33 300 25774 24313 47 301 47 302 45 300 35 300 32 298 24313 22825 46 300 50 305 46 303 36 304 32 296 22825 21306 46 301 51 310 46 307 37 305 33 296 21306 19749 45 301 50 312 44 309 38 306 34 298 19749 18180 43 300 47 312 40 307 38 306 35 299 18180 16677 39 299 43 310 37 305 36 305 33 299 16677 15313 34 297 40 309 34 307 32 302 30 297 15313 14096 30 297 36 308 30 309 27 300 26 295 14096 13005 27 301 32 308 27 311 22 302 21 302 13005 12022 25 308 28 308 23 312 18 308 18 317 12022 11133 23 317 25 311 19 310 15 313 17 329 11133 10331 20 324 20 315 17 307 12 313 14 335 10331 9609 14 317 16 314 13 301 9 301 8 332 9609 8959 9 293 11 301 8 287 5 265 3 298 8959 8368 7 252 7 263 5 252 5 221 3 209 8368 7837 7 233 6 224 6 220 8 211 4 226 7837 7389 6 226 7 196 6 219 7 216 3 226 7389 7042 5 231 5 183 4 238 4 259 1 216 7042 6800 3 234 2 176 2 268 4 280 1 344 6800 6653 2*235 0*162 2*278 3*289 2*348 6653 6568 2*256 0*030 2*288 3*295 1*348 6568 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography