DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1002z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 64.4 - - 68.8 - - 68.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 306 - - 333 - - 59 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3947 - - 4937 - - 3739 - - 329 BL Depth Hcrit 6541 - - 8909 - - 9712 - - 7738 - - 6541 Hcrit BL Top 6557 - - 10176 - - 11166 - - 9968 - - 6558 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 897 - - 1970 - - 3248 - - 4352 - - 554 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 454 - - 503 - - 259 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 246 - - 258 - - 257 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 8 - - -8 - - -14 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8068 - - -6645 - - -7264 - - -8280 - - -8652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14626 - - 16822 - - 18431 - - 18249 - - 15210 sfcLCL ODpotential -15161 - - -12201 - - -12195 - - -12927 - - -15799 ODpotential blCL 21718 - - 22377 - - 23361 - - 22895 - - 22357 blCL maxRH 31 - - 27 - - 33 - - 31 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 64.4 - - 68.8 - - 68.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.1 - - 13.4 - - 10.2 - - 10.7 - - 11.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.8 - - 62.3 - - 66.3 - - 67.3 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.8 - - 12.5 - - 9.0 - - 9.8 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 306 - - 333 - - 59 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 328 - - 3947 - - 4937 - - 3739 - - 329 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98182 5 151 3 170 3 339 7 232 4 359 98182 90876 1 045 5 128 1 219 4 321 4 003 90876 85244 6 330 5 067 3 206 4 318 3 347 85244 80565 3 309 4 270 2 169 3 278 6 321 80565 76535 6 359 2 130 6 268 5 296 3 321 76535 72963 9 275 8 276 8 242 11 286 8 326 72963 69716 11 259 14 275 9 260 14 254 10 293 69716 66724 13 268 15 255 16 271 16 262 18 278 66724 63953 14 254 17 246 24 264 27 274 25 265 63953 61275 30 263 28 248 32 246 34 260 30 264 61275 58474 40 261 34 255 36 248 36 254 37 255 58474 55559 49 259 45 258 45 256 44 252 45 250 55559 52779 56 254 55 254 54 255 52 253 54 253 52779 50283 63 251 63 252 61 254 59 256 62 255 50283 48049 68 250 70 250 68 252 67 257 66 256 48049 46019 69 250 74 248 74 251 73 257 68 258 46019 44159 68 252 76 249 76 251 77 256 70 259 44159 42441 70 254 75 250 77 252 76 255 74 258 42441 40844 72 256 74 252 76 253 74 255 77 256 40844 39351 73 256 73 254 73 254 74 255 78 255 39351 37956 71 256 70 255 70 255 73 256 78 254 37956 36629 66 256 67 256 68 254 70 256 73 254 36629 35309 60 257 64 256 65 253 66 254 67 254 35309 33972 54 260 60 255 62 253 62 252 60 253 33972 32622 49 261 54 255 60 254 60 251 53 250 32622 31245 44 261 49 255 57 254 56 251 49 249 31245 29830 41 261 45 254 54 254 52 252 46 249 29830 28374 39 262 41 254 50 254 47 253 44 248 28374 26879 37 262 38 254 47 253 43 252 42 246 26879 25349 35 262 35 253 43 253 41 252 39 244 25349 23788 34 260 32 252 40 253 38 252 36 243 23788 22193 34 257 32 250 38 253 35 253 33 244 22193 20559 36 254 34 250 38 253 34 253 31 247 20559 18914 37 254 36 250 37 250 34 250 29 250 18914 17342 38 256 37 253 34 248 32 242 27 250 17342 15911 38 258 36 256 31 250 29 236 25 246 15911 14631 35 260 34 256 28 253 26 235 22 240 14631 13478 29 260 30 255 27 254 23 237 20 233 13478 12434 23 256 26 252 25 254 21 239 17 230 12434 11488 20 249 21 246 22*254 18 241 15 234 11488 10631 18 243 18*239 19*253 15*244 13 244 10631 9858 15 244 14*234 14 252 14*246 13 258 9858 9160 12 249 11 236 12 255 10 251 12 269 9160 8522 10 253 9 243 11 258 9 257 10 275 8522 7947 10 252 9 250 10 261 9 260 8 277 7947 7458 9 244 8 255 10 264 8 262 5 275 7458 7078 9 231 7 259 10 266 8 264 3 274 7078 6813 8 207 7 261 9 268 8 265 1 259 6813 6651 6 203 7 264 9 269 7 266 2*153 6651 6558 5*206 6 266 7 271 6 267 3*164 6558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography