DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 33.3 - - 32.1 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 20 - - -4 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6552 - - 6553 - - 6553 - - 6552 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6569 - - 6569 - - 6570 - - 6569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1699 - - 3098 - - 2293 - - 134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 84 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 206 - - 187 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -6 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -133 - - 1 - - -55 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6569 - - 6703 - - 6570 - - 6624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2240 - - -1636 - - -2284 - - -5708 ODpotential blCL - - - 8809 - - 8205 - - 8854 - - 12277 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 90 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.3 - - 33.3 - - 32.1 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.9 - - 27.1 - - 27.5 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 32.7 - - 33.0 - - 29.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 26.0 - - 26.8 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 20 - - -4 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 340 - - 340 - - 341 - - 340 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 45 - - 58 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96870 29 082 37 089 27 110 22 077 96870 89723 26 091 28 089 23 093 20 083 89723 84140 21 088 21 100 19 083 16 099 84140 79472 16 098 20 102 9 096 11 062 79472 75427 12 098 11 101 5 142 8 044 75427 71823 5 147 3 094 7 183 2 044 71823 68544 4 248 5 260 3 240 2 205 68544 65521 11 245 16 262 14 289 8 297 65521 62714 19 251 25 256 22 269 17 267 62714 59993 20 255 24 262 23 274 23 264 59993 57153 27 274 35 265 32 272 30 270 57153 54193 44 269 44 269 43 275 36 280 54193 51364 51 267 53 270 53 270 55 273 51364 48829 60 265 65 271 62 271 65 272 48829 46567 60 262 68 267 70 271 70 270 46567 44533 55 267 66 266 75 269 70 270 44533 42691 61 278 68 270 74 267 66 274 42691 41007 73 275 71 275 70 272 69 281 41007 39454 75 280 80 282 84 283 86 282 39454 38023 96 288 105 283 106 283 113 278 38023 36701 109 286 107 282 110 280 115 274 36701 35443 104 287 99 283 104 280 108 275 35443 34183 95 289 92 283 97 279 101 275 34183 32895 88 287 92 281 93 278 95 272 32895 31587 83 283 93 279 91 277 89 271 31587 30246 80 281 87 278 87 276 84 269 30246 28865 75 281 79 277 81 275 80 268 28865 27447 68 281 72 277 75 274 75 268 27447 25997 57 277 66 278 69 274 69 269 25997 24520 49 272 59 279 62 275 62 270 24520 23021 46 270 53 272 55 274 56 270 23021 21494 41 270 47 266 50 271 51 268 21494 19929 37 268 43 269 45 267 48 264 19929 18353 34 267 42 271 40 267 46 266 18353 16841 32 271 39 265 38 270 43 271 16841 15466 29 275 35 261 38 274 38 273 15466 14236 26 277 30 261 36 274 32 274 14236 13131 22 276 24 262 30 269 26 282 13131 12134 19 275 19 260 24 259 20 280 12134 11233 16 272 16 255 20 246 17 265 11233 10419 15 267 14 248 18 233 16 243 10419 9686 15 262 13 239 17 222 15 226 9686 9026 13 256 13 228 17 215 16 220 9026 8423 12 244 12 218 17 208 17 214 8423 7879 10 224 10 213 17 203 18 205 7879 7418 10 204 9 213 16 202 18 196 7418 7059 9 189 8 211 12 201 17 189 7059 6809 8 177 6 209 9 198 13 184 6809 6656 7*173 5*208 7*195 9*183 6656 6569 5*172 4*206 4*187 5*186 6569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography