DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.3 - - 67.2 - - 68.2 - - 69.5 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 304 - - 125 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1605 - - 6681 - - 7347 - - 9963 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6546 - - 11074 - - 11077 - - 12682 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 7834 - - 12910 - - 13576 - - 16192 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1242 - - 3477 - - 5241 - - 3007 - - 4980 Hgt.Variab. W* 227 - - 549 - - 425 - - 409 - - 28 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 17 - - 23 - - 28 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 258 - - 254 - - 260 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - -11 - - -20 - - -19 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -970 - - 76 - - 1076 - - 2011 - - -3091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8805 - - 12835 - - 12500 - - 14182 - - 9661 sfcLCL ODpotential -4304 - - -2328 - - -1019 - - -246 - - -6045 ODpotential blCL 12138 - - 15238 - - 14595 - - 16438 - - 12615 blCL maxRH 75 - - 78 - - 95 - - 87 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 30 - - 180 - - 90 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 59.3 - - 67.2 - - 68.2 - - 69.5 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 33.5 - - 36.0 - - 30.0 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 65.0 - - 67.1 - - 68.7 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 32.2 - - 34.8 - - 28.7 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 304 - - 125 - - 77 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1605 - - 6681 - - 7347 - - 9963 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 14 - - 80 - - 49 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99118 33 106 30 095 34 117 22 128 25 095 99118 91580 27 104 27 094 26 107 22 104 23 100 91580 85796 27 096 24 109 19 105 19 097 22 093 85796 80982 22 111 19 129 15 100 17 090 16 090 80982 76843 21 110 16 137 10 110 14 090 12 112 76843 73212 17 104 14 131 8 152 11 097 15 111 73212 69921 12 112 11 119 13 149 8 104 14 100 69921 66875 5 119 6 132 8 135 3 040 12 092 66875 64050 1 331 5 143 7 184 3 244 5 029 64050 61336 2 246 2 190 5 229 6 224 5 230 61336 58518 11 252 12 272 8 189 11 222 19 259 58518 55590 24 238 26 245 24 251 22 262 27 259 55590 52793 26 239 32 252 32 248 28 267 28 256 52793 50269 34 253 39 250 38 251 38 264 36 263 50269 48010 40 252 42 251 44 251 44 260 45 264 48010 45958 40 252 51 258 50 255 49 257 47 265 45958 44074 42 256 55 256 53 255 54 257 49 267 44074 42334 42 261 47 253 50 261 59 264 53 270 42334 40725 40 269 45 266 55 268 66 268 55 277 40725 39238 35 273 46 268 56 269 58 269 63 287 39238 37865 29 265 42 261 54 270 61 284 73 293 37865 36566 26 267 38 255 54 273 67 286 78 293 36566 35270 28 274 37 263 53 271 66 283 77 289 35270 33949 28 272 39 272 53 270 64 282 77 286 33949 32602 28 262 40 276 49 273 63 283 77 285 32602 31218 28 263 39 276 45 280 61 282 74 286 31218 29790 26 273 34 275 45 282 60 278 70 282 29790 28322 24 276 28 269 44 276 59 276 68 277 28322 26817 24 276 27 264 44 271 57 275 66 274 26817 25279 23 279 28 269 42 268 53 270 63 270 25279 23714 24 270 29 275 40 269 50 266 61 265 23714 22116 27 253 28 272 38 274 46 267 60 265 22116 20483 25 246 27 266 38 277 40 273 48 264 20483 18845 29 255 28 265 33 272 31 274 35 260 18845 17282 27 268 29 267 29 269 29*269 31 254 17282 15859 27 275 27 272 28 268 29*267 28 253 15859 14585 27 277 25 278 26*263 29 265 20 259 14585 13438 25 276 22*280 26*262 29 264 12 287 13438 12400 22 274 20*276 25 258 29 262 12 333 12400 11461 21 276 18 271 25 256 29 260 16 001 11461 10611 19 275 18 265 24 254 29 258 20 014 10611 9846 19 271 17 256 24 253 28 257 23 017 9846 9154 20 260 17 252 23 252 28 257 23 016 9154 8522 21 243 17 250 23 252 27 256 23 014 8522 7951 21*228 17 249 22 251 27 256 21 011 7951 7466 21*224 16 248 22 251 26 255 17 007 7466 7088 20 223 15 248 21 251 25 255 13 002 7088 6824 19 222 14 248 19 251 23 255 10 354 6824 6663 17 222 13 247 17 251 21 255 8*346 6663 6570 11 221 10 247 12 251 14 254 5*337 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography