DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/15 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1705z - - 1707z - - 1714z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 55.2 - - 56.7 - - 54.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 164 - - 291 - - 110 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 975 - - 2854 - - 3920 - - 4309 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2233 - - 3754 - - 4793 - - 4556 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 3170 - - 5049 - - 6115 - - 6504 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1262 - - 1307 - - 2182 - - 3711 - - 5221 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 319 - - 429 - - 320 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 14 - - 18 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 301 - - 323 - - 326 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -1 - - -22 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4486 - - -3787 - - -2148 - - -1097 - - -2966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7657 - - 8837 - - 8264 - - 7601 - - 5217 sfcLCL ODpotential -8961 - - -6573 - - -3626 - - -2015 - - -4569 ODpotential blCL 12131 - - 11622 - - 9741 - - 8519 - - 6819 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 90 - - 93 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 55.2 - - 56.7 - - 54.8 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.4 - - 24.1 - - 28.0 - - 29.1 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 54.1 - - 55.1 - - 54.0 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 23.8 - - 27.7 - - 28.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 164 - - 291 - - 110 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 975 - - 2854 - - 3920 - - 4309 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 97 - - 59 - - 70 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97152 15 293 11 280 18 278 16 255 18 288 97152 89962 12 290 11 274 10 246 18 282 14 294 89962 84386 10 263 13 264 7 289 12 286 10 301 84386 79718 8 295 12 240 15 284 5 284 11 270 79718 75675 15 301 13 280 13 267 6 249 11 243 75675 72076 17 305 13 288 18 292 14 293 8 249 72076 68773 14 310 10 265 18 283 19 298 9 267 68773 65697 13 304 8 256 13 245 16 284 10 271 65697 62820 14 275 6 285 8 259 13 238 10 263 62820 60030 15 259 15 289 17 301 8 247 10 234 60030 57111 14 253 19 257 22 282 15 288 14 233 57111 54082 10 268 16 244 20 240 24 273 19 259 54082 51212 21 294 20 273 20 264 25 260 22 242 51212 48633 29 282 29 266 31 280 21 250 23 268 48633 46314 32 266 34 257 35 254 30 257 31 269 46314 44207 33 259 33 251 36 241 37 247 37 262 44207 42286 32 261 30 251 33 240 32 249 40 251 42286 40531 35 262 34 260 33 256 33 256 41 242 40531 38919 46 259 50 255 49 261 42 254 43 243 38919 37425 54 258 60 247 64 250 56 248 49 243 37425 36034 61 259 66 246 67 238 65 240 55 238 36034 34709 68 254 74 248 70 238 67 233 58 233 34709 33389 72 249 83 245 83 238 66 235 57 232 33389 32045 72 250 85 240 88 230 71 240 58 236 32045 30675 69 254 79 241 86 231 80 237 68 240 30675 29260 66 259 75 245 82 232 84 232 78 239 29260 27784 64 262 72 250 76 236 82 233 80 237 27784 26244 62 262 67 254 70 243 76 237 75 239 26244 24645 58 262 63 252 64 243 66 239 65 241 24645 22990 53 260 59 249 62 242 58 240 54 241 22990 21281 48 258 51 249 58 239 51 240 46 243 21281 19510 43 257 43 246 52 235 47 239 39 246 19510 17670 37 254 36 244 44 236 45 241 35 247 17670 15801 33 250 28 242 33 243 38 246 34 243 15801 14001 29 246 23 238 25 249 29 253 30 246 14001 12358 25 241 22 246 19 249 26 265 24 259 12358 10892 19 252 20 252 19 261 24 273 18 275 10892 9585 16 265 17 262 15 273 17 282 12 289 9585 8417 16 277 13 274 10 285 14 297 10 304 8417 7374 17 286 11 300 11 306 14*312 11 319 7374 6443 18 289 14 309 15*318 15*321 13 330 6443 5618 16 278 15*309 17*322 15 324 15 340 5618 4883 16 255 14*301 18 322 16 325 17 344 4883 4222 19 227 14 301 18 323 16 326 19 346 4222 3635 22*203 14 301 19 323 16 327 21 346 3635 3142 21*193 14 301 18 323 16 327 21 345 3142 2762 20 191 14 300 18 323 16 328 20 345 2762 2501 18 190 13 300 17 323 15 328 17 343 2501 2341 16 189 12 300 16 323 14 328 14*341 2341 2250 13 188 11 300 14 323 12 328 8*338 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography