DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 78.1 - - 80.3 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 231 - - 107 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 313 - - 4167 - - 4699 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 2945 - - 2870 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 593 - - 4447 - - 4979 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 486 - - 1253 - - 1149 - - 235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 399 - - 322 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 156 - - 165 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2919 - - -2369 - - -2736 - - -5166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3512 - - 6817 - - 7716 - - 5446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9106 - - -6386 - - -6864 - - -11274 ODpotential blCL - - - 9699 - - 10833 - - 11843 - - 11553 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 68 - - 69 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 78.1 - - 80.3 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 49.4 - - 47.7 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 76.6 - - 79.5 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 49.0 - - 47.4 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 231 - - 107 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 313 - - 4167 - - 4699 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97095 44 248 49 257 54 260 50 269 97095 89834 30 250 33 249 34 256 36 270 89834 84242 14 264 23 238 25 253 26 265 84242 79607 14 287 10 257 9 240 14 240 79607 75636 17 267 12 294 5 278 11 255 75636 72143 16 263 18 255 15 279 17 290 72143 68987 14 248 13 253 18 266 23 272 68987 66088 13 247 9 260 18 252 22 254 66088 63394 24 245 16 261 19 264 22 249 63394 60780 21 238 24 253 28 259 24 257 60780 58049 33 248 30 251 34 260 31 267 58049 55225 39 246 41 256 48 258 45 263 55225 52554 46 247 50 256 52 258 53 263 52554 50161 56 253 55 262 54 265 58 269 50161 48008 62 257 63 263 60 266 63 271 48008 46041 64 260 67 260 62 263 66 270 46041 44232 64 261 67 258 63 262 66 267 44232 42556 64 262 67 258 63 262 65 266 42556 40994 65 261 66 258 62 258 63 266 40994 39529 65 260 66 259 59 256 62 266 39529 38145 65 260 63 259 57 257 58 267 38145 36801 58 260 60 257 55 264 55 264 36801 35428 52 254 56 257 54 265 53 263 35428 33996 50 248 52 256 52 263 53 263 33996 32509 50 250 48 252 49 261 52 265 32509 30953 48 247 47 249 46 260 48 268 30953 29315 45 239 47 247 44 258 44 268 29315 27594 40 235 43 246 42 257 41 264 27594 25791 35 237 36 237 38 255 37 261 25791 23912 27 241 30 237 32 250 31 257 23912 21958 24 236 26 245 25 248 24 253 21958 19926 20 245 23 249 20 258 20 256 19926 17802 23 248 21 248 21 265 23 267 17802 15625 21 245 19 254 22 266 20 269 15625 13521 16 244 16 249 16 261 19 270 13521 11608 12 242 14 250 14 254 17 267 11608 9907 9 244 9 228 10 250 12 259 9907 8396 4 192 7 179 7 214 8 239 8396 7057 6 138 8 157 9 182 10 214 7057 5877 6 129 8 149 8*165 9 184 5877 4840 2 151 7*149 7*162 9 162 4840 3927 4 186 7*152 7 162 9 159 3927 3120 5 186 6 154 7 164 9 160 3120 2399 8 168 6 155 7 164 9 161 2399 1762 12 175 6 156 7 165 8 161 1762 1231 14 179 6 158 6 167 8 161 1231 824 12*176 5 159 6 167 8 161 824 545 8*171 5 160 6 168 7 161 545 375 7 170 5 160 6 167 6*161 375 278 6 169 5 161 5 167 5*159 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography