DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1010z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.6 - - 84.4 - - 89.9 - - 91.3 - - 88.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 81 - - 104 - - 37 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1343 - - 5320 - - 5470 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 260 - - 260 - - 3532 - - 3038 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top 277 - - 1623 - - 5600 - - 5750 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 699 - - 3359 - - 1937 - - 2415 - - 6996 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 209 - - 369 - - 296 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 219 - - 221 - - 216 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -122 - - -484 - - 2410 - - 1978 - - -2537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 399 - - 2107 - - 3190 - - 3772 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential -2458 - - -2265 - - 644 - - 138 - - -3755 ODpotential blCL 2735 - - 3888 - - 4956 - - 5612 - - 4033 blCL maxRH 94 - - 90 - - 82 - - 84 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 1940 - - 2220 - - 2930 - - 2940 - - 3320 CAPE Temp@2m 77.6 - - 84.4 - - 89.9 - - 91.3 - - 88.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 76.1 - - 75.7 - - 76.3 - - 75.3 - - 76.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.8 - - 83.8 - - 89.1 - - 91.2 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 76.0 - - 74.6 - - 74.6 - - 73.5 - - 75.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 81 - - 104 - - 37 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1343 - - 5320 - - 5470 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 60 - - 29 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 20 - - 18 - - 16 - - 16 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98800 46 087 43 097 46 113 30 090 43 105 98800 91371 35 082 37 090 41 096 32 098 35 090 91371 85631 27 090 37 083 37 083 35 103 31 087 85631 80878 27 100 32 093 26 073 33 090 27 093 80878 76821 28 092 26 105 22 075 28 077 24 089 76821 73243 27 082 25 103 22 089 22 080 26 074 73243 69988 23 081 26 095 23 095 18 108 21 068 69988 66998 20 085 25 089 22 098 18 116 15 081 66998 64258 19 089 19 090 20 102 18 103 13 108 64258 61633 20 097 15 095 19 110 18 094 14 125 61633 58900 19 089 15 093 18 112 18 097 16 122 58900 56065 16 085 15 093 17 109 17 105 19 109 56065 53375 16 112 16 106 14 097 15 102 21 088 53375 50973 21 126 19 121 14 119 9 118 17 073 50973 48829 26 117 24 122 22 134 16 149 9 101 48829 46881 27 109 26 110 23 121 19 131 10 135 46881 45085 22 102 21 097 19 105 18 117 12 127 45085 43411 16 095 18 083 15 090 16 111 13 115 43411 41841 12 096 15 076 11 075 13 107 12 105 41841 40358 9 105 12 077 8 061 10 099 10 097 40358 38951 5 102 10 084 8 053 9 091 9 093 38951 37582 6 109 10 087 8 047 8 084 8 088 37582 36181 9 105 9 092 7 048 7 076 7 081 36181 34718 9 091 8 094 6 054 7 071 6 087 34718 33198 8 080 7 092 6 070 7 082 6 100 33198 31607 8 048 4 079 8 086 8 096 7 088 31607 29933 7 022 4 047 9 088 7 090 9 059 29933 28177 6 072 3 093 7 089 5 058 11 040 28177 26337 9 112 11 120 9 116 5 065 10 032 26337 24414 12 120 14 115 11 115 7 082 9 054 24414 22411 7 145 6 124 9 097 9 075 9 074 22411 20322 4 098 2 063 9 068 9 071 8 094 20322 18145 5 047 4 086 6 071 9 082 6 098 18145 15926 4 108 3 096 4 032 8 078 3 119 15926 13788 8 126 5 178 4 313 6 046 4 032 13788 11848 7 147 10 175 6 237 3 304 8 345 11848 10128 4 182 8 176 6 207 5 248 7 324 10128 8603 5 224 6 199 7 210 9 255 7 302 8603 7250 6 232 6 212 9 224 10 246 6 279 7250 6049 8 276 8 255 10*226 10*238 5 263 6049 4983 11 277 11 251 12*226 10*230 5 248 4983 4043 11 265 11 248 11 224 11 221 6 224 4043 3213 12 246 11 243 11 222 11 217 9 210 3213 2470 15 237 11 236 11 220 11 214 10 206 2470 1812 17 236 11*231 10 218 11 212 10 202 1812 1264 18 235 9*223 10 217 11 211 10 200 1264 843 16 228 8 219 9 216 10 209 9 197 843 553 10 200 8 217 8 216 10 209 9 196 553 378 9*198 7 216 8 215 9 208 7*194 378 277 4*190 6 216 7 215 7 208 5*192 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography