DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.9 - - 58.7 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 27 - - 13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 165 - - 709 - - 628 - - 180 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 445 - - 989 - - 908 - - 460 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1122 - - 1896 - - 1715 - - 1814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 112 - - 86 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 026 - - 027 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 168 - - 390 - - 359 - - -223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 277 - - 599 - - 549 - - 683 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 120 - - 237 - - 146 - - -600 ODpotential blCL - - - 325 - - 752 - - 762 - - 1060 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 60.9 - - 58.7 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.9 - - 59.2 - - 57.2 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 60.8 - - 58.6 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 58.8 - - 56.9 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 27 - - 13 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 165 - - 709 - - 628 - - 180 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 25 276 24 284 29 282 22 296 96175 89145 13 321 13 268 21 285 19 317 89145 83699 7 314 9 315 15 296 17 288 83699 79173 12 292 11 300 13 330 14 267 79173 75282 10 310 9 288 12 300 8 300 75282 71830 12 310 11 290 13 310 12 312 71830 68708 10 292 10 281 14 289 14 302 68708 65838 15 298 10 295 18 252 18 293 65838 63174 17 280 16 305 19 283 20 264 63174 60607 30 280 28 279 27 284 23 276 60607 57908 33 268 41 269 41 275 38 286 57908 55063 45 265 51 258 56 258 59 262 55063 52338 47 255 56 257 62 257 69 262 52338 49908 50 260 61 263 72 266 79 274 49908 47731 60 265 69 266 79 272 85 277 47731 45735 71 263 76 267 87 275 86 277 45735 43891 77 265 85 267 94 273 89 277 43891 42178 85 264 93 265 98 271 93 276 42178 40586 91 264 99 266 97 272 96 275 40586 39105 86 266 93 266 93 273 93 274 39105 37726 81 267 81 265 85 270 87 273 37726 36398 78 265 77 266 77 271 82 273 36398 35046 75 270 77 269 76 276 80 277 35046 33637 78 282 77 272 75 280 77 280 33637 32176 79 282 77 273 77 279 75 283 32176 30647 76 280 75 271 78 275 73 281 30647 29039 73 278 73 271 75 272 71 277 29039 27346 71 276 76 274 73 273 69 275 27346 25567 71 274 77 277 73 275 69 277 25567 23701 69 273 74 279 72 278 68 278 23701 21750 65 275 68 282 73 287 66 285 21750 19710 60 276 53 280 61 287 57 285 19710 17580 52 274 47 276 48 276 50 280 17580 15403 46 272 46 269 44 268 45 276 15403 13303 44 272 42 266 44 271 41 281 13303 11396 42 278 35 272 40 276 36 289 11396 9707 36 281 32 273 36 275 33 295 9707 8210 28 271 31 269 31 277 29 294 8210 6891 26 258 28 266 18 285 19 300 6891 5734 25 261 20 271 3 297 13 318 5734 4715 21 269 8 286 2 359 12 334 4715 3818 13 273 6 308 6 028 12 341 3818 3029 9 260 5 360 11 028 13 349 3029 2328 2 267 7 032 14 029 12 360 2328 1710 6 021 7 030 15 029 12 015 1710 1198 8 013 7*028 15*028 12 019 1198 805 8 011 7*027 15*028 11 018 805 535 7*010 6 026 14 027 9*016 535 371 6*009 6 025 12 026 8*016 371 277 6 009 5 025 10 026 4 014 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography