DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1602z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 38.0 - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 130 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 1613 - - 2303 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 256 - - 256 - - 842 - - 257 - - 257 Hcrit BL Top 274 - - 582 - - 1893 - - 2583 - - 274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 236 - - 437 - - 1081 - - 1361 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 103 - - 246 - - 185 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 271 - - 345 - - 349 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -645 - - -1427 - - -1138 - - -779 - - -1210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 919 - - 2009 - - 3031 - - 3362 - - 1484 sfcLCL ODpotential -15494 - - -13820 - - -12399 - - -10480 - - -3636 ODpotential blCL 15768 - - 14402 - - 14292 - - 13063 - - 3910 blCL maxRH 75 - - 93 - - 64 - - 64 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 38.0 - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 30.6 - - 33.8 - - 35.1 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.8 - - 37.7 - - 45.3 - - 48.3 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 29.6 - - 32.2 - - 32.7 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 51 - - 130 - - 32 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 302 - - 1613 - - 2303 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 73 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97405 11 185 4 139 16 156 26 209 15 252 97405 90087 11 200 12 179 17 174 24 202 19 244 90087 84438 17 224 16 218 15 226 14 222 15 225 84438 79717 26 229 22 249 17 245 18 229 15 243 79717 75622 26 239 23 251 22 261 23 236 19 248 75622 71992 24 248 19 257 25 264 25 255 22 259 71992 68723 21 259 16 256 23 239 26 253 23 265 68723 65748 25 276 17 273 19 242 22 258 20 271 65748 63005 30 274 22 266 24 263 30 275 22 264 63005 60346 32 264 28 262 33 264 35 261 27 281 60346 57584 36 269 36 265 37 259 38 267 38 283 57584 54737 48 274 42 270 41 260 45 264 44 273 54737 52019 60 271 51 272 48 265 46 258 46 267 52019 49570 68 267 62 268 58 273 51 265 51 267 49570 47375 72 263 71 262 68 272 59 268 52 265 47375 45377 72 258 76 257 76 263 65 265 52 262 45377 43536 73 257 76 254 78 255 68 261 54 265 43536 41828 77 256 77 252 75 252 72 260 61 268 41828 40237 82 254 78 248 78 253 78 258 65 267 40237 38747 82 249 77 244 80 248 82 254 68 262 38747 37346 83 246 73 243 74 244 83 245 76 255 37346 35994 83 246 71 244 70 245 82 240 83 245 35994 34622 79 247 72 247 71 247 80 239 83 238 34622 33196 76 248 74 252 74 242 81 237 84 236 33196 31721 74 247 72 255 77 243 86 237 88 229 31721 30176 71 249 70 256 75 245 86 239 92 228 30176 28544 67 256 65 253 72 244 82 243 89 234 28544 26829 59 261 58 254 69 247 77 245 87 240 26829 25036 53 271 55 257 66 253 74 246 84 244 25036 23170 51 273 53 257 63 250 69 251 75 251 23170 21236 48 265 53 253 62 251 60 258 57 260 21236 19234 49 263 50 254 56 256 48 264 31 266 19234 17156 43 262 44 258 44 262 35 266 22 263 17156 15038 33 267 37 266 37 267 31 262 24 273 15038 12994 28 277 32 272 30 270 28 265 21 298 12994 11133 32 262 27 274 23 270 23 280 19 314 11133 9480 32 251 20 279 15 264 17 295 17 324 9480 8015 26 251 21 275 11 270 13 296 14 326 8015 6718 23 256 24 263 14 294 12 300 12 324 6718 5579 19 253 21 253 17 297 13 316 14 338 5579 4583 13 250 12 258 14 291 13 336 18 348 4583 3714 9 285 6 311 7 297 11 344 19 352 3714 2950 12 307 10 336 6 337 10*346 18 356 2950 2269 15 294 14 331 6*342 10*348 15 003 2269 1669 18 278 14 322 6*344 9 349 13 010 1669 1169 17 263 13 306 6 345 9 350 12 012 1169 787 15 249 10*294 6 345 9 350 11 012 787 524 12 234 6*273 5 345 8 349 10 011 524 365 11*232 5 270 5 345 8 350 8*009 365 273 4*223 5 270 5 345 7 350 5*008 273 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography