DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 56.8 - - 64.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 106 - - 13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 177 - - 1550 - - 2562 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 557 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 457 - - 1830 - - 2842 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 527 - - 791 - - 1594 - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 226 - - 142 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 21 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 202 - - 219 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2161 - - -1888 - - -1333 - - -1911 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2618 - - 3718 - - 4175 - - 2189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17172 - - -13096 - - -10532 - - -12123 ODpotential blCL - - - 17629 - - 14926 - - 13374 - - 12401 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 68 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 56.8 - - 64.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 41.6 - - 46.8 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 56.4 - - 64.2 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 40.7 - - 46.3 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 106 - - 13 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 177 - - 1550 - - 2562 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96457 36 256 35 239 27 259 29 252 96457 89297 23 235 24 223 26 238 28 263 89297 83807 20 244 20 219 26 228 26 251 83807 79253 22 259 19 234 23 239 25 250 79253 75310 21 261 18 247 21 230 21 241 75310 71782 22 263 19 245 21 258 21 248 71782 68575 21 252 26 236 27 255 26 246 68575 65635 18 246 30 232 28 256 26 262 65635 62933 29 253 39 255 44 258 41 266 62933 60346 35 237 39 253 43 242 45 254 60346 57658 25 249 28 266 27 256 36 265 57658 54866 42 289 37 270 56 285 54 271 54866 52198 59 275 56 264 62 267 65 263 52198 49784 62 266 57 260 59 263 62 261 49784 47609 62 265 57 259 63 263 69 261 47609 45630 64 258 58 252 67 253 71 257 45630 43814 63 250 60 259 70 255 69 260 43814 42135 64 251 67 264 71 258 66 265 42135 40580 64 257 68 265 70 264 63 269 40580 39133 64 261 65 261 70 269 59 269 39133 37773 63 262 63 262 62 263 56 266 37773 36454 59 265 59 261 57 261 55 265 36454 35105 52 271 53 264 53 266 54 263 35105 33699 47 281 49 267 45 269 48 265 33699 32237 46 282 49 269 45 279 51 276 32237 30702 44 278 51 269 58 290 54 282 30702 29081 47 272 51 269 47 283 50 274 29081 27376 51 263 51 268 37 262 47 258 27376 25589 50 259 52 267 40 247 49 254 25589 23718 47 259 51 263 43 246 47 263 23718 21764 43 261 48 258 40 258 42 264 21764 19726 43 261 46 258 40 274 37 262 19726 17598 39 260 43 262 41 280 36 265 17598 15425 32 266 36 266 41 277 36 268 15425 13328 33 274 35 270 39 266 38 263 13328 11422 39 259 43 265 47 256 45 263 11422 9732 40 246 44 253 49 248 47 261 9732 8236 41 245 44 244 49 240 44 260 8236 6915 43 235 48 232 50 242 36 265 6915 5755 47 223 51 232 46 245 30 262 5755 4736 50 223 53 235 34 241 27 244 4736 3842 51 224 48 229 24 231 22 237 3842 3052 50 221 41 223 20*226 19 240 3052 2347 48 214 33*216 18*222 16 247 2347 1724 47 203 26*207 16 220 13 254 1724 1206 39 193 23 203 15 218 10 263 1206 810 30 186 21 201 14 217 8 273 810 537 23*183 20 200 13 216 6 279 537 372 20*183 18 200 12 216 3*283 372 277 14 182 14 199 9 215 2*284 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography