DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 73.9 - - 76.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 237 - - 108 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 303 - - 3968 - - 4579 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2804 - - 2782 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 583 - - 4248 - - 4859 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 397 - - 1194 - - 1075 - - 4785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 395 - - 319 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 175 - - 149 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2684 - - -2375 - - -2994 - - -4956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3267 - - 6624 - - 7853 - - 5235 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12163 - - -10502 - - -11520 - - -15832 ODpotential blCL - - - 12746 - - 14750 - - 16379 - - 16111 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 82 - - 79 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 73.9 - - 76.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 46.1 - - 43.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 72.4 - - 75.3 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 45.7 - - 42.7 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 237 - - 108 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 303 - - 3968 - - 4579 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97256 36 257 35 253 37 265 36 267 97256 89964 18 252 20 261 21 261 23 251 89964 84357 8 257 13 258 18 256 11 263 84357 79700 5 210 11 255 14 244 12 289 79700 75693 1 181 9 191 14 217 12 265 75693 72178 3 329 12 180 13 201 8 222 72178 69021 7 255 10 231 9 231 4 215 69021 66136 10 240 10 241 8 242 7 237 66136 63474 8 243 10 230 8 239 14 225 63474 60904 13 240 13 219 12 238 17 219 60904 58205 19 251 21 234 18 234 17 251 58205 55404 27 240 29 233 35 244 44 238 55404 52755 29 233 36 232 38 236 37 234 52755 50358 33 237 30 230 38 243 39 252 50358 48177 36 255 38 245 40 242 40 247 48177 46179 50 249 42 246 41 249 41 247 46179 44340 49 241 43 255 43 256 51 255 44340 42651 42 237 42 256 40 258 46 257 42651 41103 38 230 35 245 33 262 40 250 41103 39658 38 233 36 234 27 264 37 257 39658 38287 39 234 29 229 26 270 27 270 38287 36953 32 219 30 225 21 273 23 288 36953 35589 22 209 26 212 17 270 26 293 35589 34163 26 229 21 207 19 262 25 290 34163 32679 27 233 20 213 23 250 19 281 32679 31120 29 243 23 227 24 243 21 274 31120 29474 32 248 25 228 28 240 26 259 29474 27747 37 240 25 227 29 238 29 250 27747 25942 40 229 23 240 24 242 29 247 25942 24055 26 219 25 250 18 247 25 245 24055 22082 20 215 26 237 20 263 18 258 22082 20015 17 220 24 226 21 258 17 262 20015 17845 12 220 19 246 18 261 12 252 17845 15622 7 204 10 247 12 262 6 242 15622 13482 6 153 6 217 9 231 9 198 13482 11546 5 107 6 167 8 205 10 213 11546 9837 6 113 9 159 9 182 10 215 9837 8331 7 121 10 164 11 177 11 210 8331 7002 9 122 12 163 11 174 10 205 7002 5829 11 127 13 157 8*155 6 159 5829 4799 12 133 10*161 5*144 7 120 4799 3894 9 140 8*169 5 145 7 117 3894 3094 7 143 7 171 5 148 7 114 3094 2379 7 155 7 174 4 150 6 111 2379 1748 8 165 6 176 4 151 6 107 1748 1222 10 161 6 179 4 153 6 104 1222 819 9*154 5 180 4 156 5 102 819 542 7*150 5 180 4 157 5 099 542 374 6 151 5 181 4 157 4*093 374 278 5 150 4 181 3 156 4*089 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography