DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 65.2 - - 69.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 293 - - 145 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 526 - - 2994 - - 3639 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2157 - - 2308 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 806 - - 3274 - - 3919 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 614 - - 801 - - 577 - - 3209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 385 - - 326 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 104 - - 109 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3271 - - -4084 - - -5292 - - -6851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4078 - - 7358 - - 9212 - - 7131 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16149 - - -14609 - - -14928 - - -19001 ODpotential blCL - - - 16955 - - 17883 - - 18847 - - 19280 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 52 - - 55 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 65.2 - - 69.2 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 34.5 - - 30.4 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 63.6 - - 68.2 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 34.0 - - 30.0 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 293 - - 145 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 526 - - 2994 - - 3639 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97704 11 252 28 248 23 269 20 256 97704 90442 20 266 16 261 22 264 30 267 90442 84857 19 276 13 254 21 251 24 268 84857 80214 18 273 10 270 19 255 13 278 80214 76201 16 258 9 278 15 264 12 300 76201 72648 9 285 8 278 10 279 13 292 72648 69430 9 302 11 282 9 295 10 294 69430 66477 8 307 9 277 8 286 10 296 66477 63764 10 332 7 279 9 276 13 287 63764 61168 15 317 7 298 8 279 14 281 61168 58472 17 302 15 298 13 299 16 297 58472 55676 20 283 23 300 24 305 24 305 55676 53001 26 288 37 300 34 304 27 298 53001 50576 36 284 42 298 41 302 34 304 50576 48384 36 282 46 294 47 299 45 307 48384 46380 36 277 48 291 51 296 52 305 46380 44533 34 275 47 290 51 294 58 302 44533 42819 32 274 42 289 49 291 62 300 42819 41218 33 274 36 286 45 288 62 300 41218 39721 33 270 27 282 36 286 58 300 39721 38315 27 273 23 274 32 285 52 297 38315 36962 25 274 23 267 31 278 44 294 36962 35593 26 269 23 271 27 273 38 294 35593 34171 19 274 22 271 29 279 34 299 34171 32692 16 277 18 260 29 283 34 300 32692 31136 17 279 14 255 27 280 32 298 31136 29490 17 278 12 265 21 279 31 294 29490 27756 14 285 10 277 15 273 29 292 27756 25935 12 297 8 264 16 277 24 289 25935 24032 5 289 13 259 20 286 20 287 24032 22049 4 244 11 255 18 288 19 294 22049 19976 4 250 10 241 14 272 16 291 19976 17810 3 271 10 236 13 260 15 283 17810 15599 4 279 9 236 11 247 11 277 15599 13468 5 295 6 230 8 231 8 253 13468 11533 1 221 5 202 7 206 7 231 11533 9820 3 144 5 187 7 183 7 214 9820 8304 4 157 4 181 6 169 7 201 8304 6963 2 160 3 160 5 159 6 175 6963 5779 4 087 4 133 5 152 6 166 5779 4742 7 092 8 120 6*128 7 150 4742 3840 9 122 7*109 5*115 7 131 3840 3051 12 119 6*107 5 111 7 120 3051 2347 10 118 6 105 5 110 7 115 2347 1725 10 117 6 104 5 109 7 110 1725 1207 11*115 5 103 4 108 7 106 1207 810 9*111 5 101 4 106 7 101 810 537 6 099 5 101 4 106 7 097 537 372 5 099 5 100 4 104 6*092 372 278 5 098 4 100 3 105 5*088 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography