DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.7 - - 78.0 - - 83.4 - - 85.8 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 140 - - 147 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1624 - - 4725 - - 5198 - - 183 BL Depth Hcrit 259 - - 898 - - 3173 - - 3429 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 276 - - 1904 - - 5005 - - 5478 - - 463 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 203 - - 1334 - - 2730 - - 4757 - - 9113 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 253 - - 370 - - 364 - - 48 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 339 - - 310 - - 328 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -276 - - -1107 - - 1042 - - 983 - - -3721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 552 - - 3011 - - 3963 - - 4495 - - 4184 sfcLCL ODpotential -3591 - - -2947 - - 477 - - 101 - - -4462 ODpotential blCL 3867 - - 4851 - - 4528 - - 5377 - - 4925 blCL maxRH 83 - - 91 - - 98 - - 89 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 670 - - 820 - - 1410 - - 1590 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m 68.7 - - 78.0 - - 83.4 - - 85.8 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.9 - - 65.6 - - 66.8 - - 66.8 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 77.4 - - 82.3 - - 84.9 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.8 - - 65.0 - - 65.9 - - 65.8 - - 65.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 140 - - 147 - - 123 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1624 - - 4725 - - 5198 - - 183 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 63 - - 91 - - 55 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98820 45 082 44 076 48 082 42 093 44 099 98820 91418 40 085 36 087 36 090 31 091 32 088 91418 85721 34 092 30 099 28 093 24 086 29 075 85721 80981 29 090 28 098 25 091 22 085 26 079 80981 76892 25 090 24 092 24 086 25 093 23 082 76892 73287 19 097 20 100 21 088 22 088 18 085 73287 70035 15 113 19 111 13 094 14 087 15 090 70035 67053 14 117 15 113 11 118 9 110 9 097 67053 64282 15 108 15 115 13 127 9 154 6 128 64282 61585 4 075 13 099 14 133 11 155 9 151 61585 58779 6 224 4 139 9 150 10 178 8 192 58779 55877 12 224 10 208 11 200 12 207 10 210 55877 53102 19 229 20 227 24 223 20 234 17 238 53102 50602 22 229 24 238 25 233 19 246 24 249 50602 48356 30 246 30 245 31 240 31 242 36 240 48356 46310 45 240 39 236 35 239 34 231 33 237 46310 44428 43 230 37 229 38 241 36 248 36 251 44428 42698 33 224 33 229 35 234 37 250 36 260 42698 41108 26 233 28 236 24 250 31 254 38 258 41108 39634 32 239 25 259 24 283 24 268 29 265 39634 38252 38 236 25 277 31 297 22 295 24 288 38252 36916 36 238 22 289 35 299 27 310 26 306 36916 35555 26 248 20 304 34 299 31 311 29 308 35555 34132 21 252 20 307 31 301 32 307 28 304 34132 32652 21 250 19 308 27 309 31 302 25 298 32652 31100 19 251 18 311 26 317 31 298 25 291 31100 29465 14 262 17 311 26 318 32 297 27 289 29465 27750 12 281 17 307 23 312 31 297 29 290 27750 25950 12 287 16 304 22 307 29 299 30 294 25950 24064 11 285 15 303 21 301 27 301 29 297 24064 22095 11 281 13 301 20 295 23 304 27 301 22095 20034 12 280 13 289 19 290 22 299 25 303 20034 17877 12 276 13 283 18 284 22 294 23 303 17877 15676 11 265 11 271 15 274 17 281 17 302 15676 13564 10 256 12 247 13 260 15 270 12 289 13564 11655 9 251 13 237 12 246 13 255 12 277 11655 9970 9 249 12 241 14 239 9 244 12 281 9970 8477 10 253 11 240 12 242 7 240 11 293 8477 7147 12 252 8 246 6 253 6 247 11 303 7147 5963 13 244 6 267 5*271 5*270 11 324 5963 4914 12 229 7 272 5*302 6*303 11 335 4914 3988 11 226 8 275 6 308 8 328 12 336 3988 3169 9 234 7 284 6 311 8 329 12 336 3169 2436 8 246 5*297 7 311 9 329 12 336 2436 1788 6 254 4*339 7 311 9 330 12 336 1788 1249 5 250 4 340 7 311 8 330 12 335 1249 834 3 247 4 338 7 309 8 330 11 335 834 549 3 046 4 339 7 309 8 329 10*334 549 376 5*049 4 338 6 310 8 329 9*334 376 276 2*042 3 336 5 309 7 329 6 333 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography