DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 69.2 - - 76.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 230 - - 145 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 223 - - 1510 - - 4398 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1008 - - 2884 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 503 - - 1790 - - 4678 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 246 - - 936 - - 2819 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 286 - - 352 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 215 - - 201 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2098 - - -3704 - - -3715 - - -6171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2601 - - 5494 - - 8393 - - 6451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7640 - - -6964 - - -5765 - - -9876 ODpotential blCL - - - 8143 - - 8754 - - 10443 - - 10155 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 53 - - 55 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 69.2 - - 76.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 46.4 - - 40.5 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 67.8 - - 75.4 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 45.5 - - 39.6 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 230 - - 145 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 223 - - 1510 - - 4398 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96453 11 159 17 212 17 205 8 212 96453 89262 6 160 14 180 15 201 14 230 89262 83715 4 197 12 173 18 217 15 237 83715 79088 8 237 7 213 10 252 12 252 79088 75087 11 241 10 220 13 214 13 226 75087 71540 9 223 9 222 12 252 13 269 71540 68329 12 240 13 247 18 247 16 236 68329 65384 18 283 16 294 12 286 19 294 65384 62678 20 282 31 277 27 284 30 288 62678 60064 17 291 31 277 31 276 32 289 60064 57320 25 305 27 296 28 289 39 294 57320 54462 35 303 34 297 39 293 44 289 54462 51731 40 301 42 295 44 295 50 296 51731 49271 46 303 47 293 48 298 58 294 49271 47061 49 299 47 297 57 303 56 296 47061 45056 49 295 58 301 60 301 60 305 45056 43229 50 300 61 291 60 296 66 307 43229 41559 57 303 57 284 58 291 68 306 41559 40023 53 301 47 292 52 294 66 301 40023 38592 44 300 49 315 46 309 59 295 38592 37244 42 313 63 328 48 321 46 296 37244 35938 47 327 70 329 53 325 41 305 35938 34608 50 333 68 326 55 322 41 308 34608 33223 48 324 63 323 54 316 42 303 33223 31785 44 314 57 321 55 310 44 296 31785 30278 42 315 52 317 60 306 50 291 30278 28690 46 319 47 313 61 305 54 290 28690 27020 46 323 43 310 58 305 56 293 27020 25264 40 325 45 313 56 304 56 299 25264 23423 39 318 46 315 57 305 54 306 23423 21504 39 310 38 315 51 311 50 309 21504 19505 34 306 34 318 38 319 38 304 19505 17428 28 305 28 319 31 315 30 308 17428 15313 18 321 20 317 20 307 29 300 15313 13277 17 357 13 312 14 308 19 283 13277 11424 19 003 13 330 12 304 13 278 11424 9771 13 338 10 302 11 287 12 278 9771 8299 9 299 10 268 14 268 12 280 8299 6988 4 286 9 245 14 243 14 252 6988 5825 2 167 10 198 16 217 17 231 5825 4798 3 202 12 198 15*212 17 223 4798 3894 6 253 11 214 13*207 16 215 3894 3095 13 264 12 232 13 204 16 207 3095 2380 16 253 12*230 12 201 16 200 2380 1749 16 245 10*222 12 199 16 192 1749 1223 14 244 7 214 11 198 15 186 1223 819 11 243 7 213 11 196 14 179 819 542 7*235 7 213 10 196 13 173 542 374 4*231 6 213 10 195 10*167 374 278 4 229 6 213 9 195 6*160 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography