DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.8 - - 93.7 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 155 - - 68 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 4804 - - 6009 - - 1611 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 569 - - 3310 - - 3731 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1641 - - 5084 - - 6289 - - 1891 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2462 - - 2961 - - 3211 - - 780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 389 - - 338 - - 118 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 248 - - 243 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -856 - - 464 - - 793 - - 569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2497 - - 4620 - - 5496 - - 1322 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2483 - - -1914 - - -727 - - -2196 ODpotential blCL - - - 4124 - - 6998 - - 7016 - - 4087 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 70 - - 74 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 2550 - - 2030 - - 1740 - - 2500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 91.8 - - 93.7 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.6 - - 72.3 - - 70.5 - - 76.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 91.1 - - 93.4 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 71.1 - - 69.1 - - 76.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 155 - - 68 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 4804 - - 6009 - - 1611 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 14 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99069 44 087 36 077 33 091 36 082 99069 91585 33 078 30 089 28 076 36 079 91585 85849 25 087 25 089 24 069 29 072 85849 81106 28 100 21 071 23 081 22 072 81106 77015 26 091 16 088 18 079 20 066 77015 73403 23 085 19 103 15 068 14 066 73403 70136 20 075 21 091 12 063 14 075 70136 67130 20 069 19 074 13 098 13 057 67130 64367 19 057 20 067 19 098 8 073 64367 61726 16 034 20 055 19 084 12 086 61726 58986 10 349 15 023 19 043 14 074 58986 56161 8 248 11 323 19 348 22 356 56161 53500 6 154 6 282 11 319 18 329 53500 51108 17 011 10 345 11 338 16 332 51108 48945 25 338 16 331 19 322 22 321 48945 46968 27 323 19 314 20 314 22 302 46968 45141 23 298 27 293 23 304 23 290 45141 43438 21 283 28 279 31 287 28 288 43438 41844 19 272 25 266 31 274 36 288 41844 40342 18 260 26 259 33 271 35 274 40342 38919 20 251 26 254 31 267 31 265 38919 37537 20 253 23 239 30 259 27 271 37537 36129 16 258 21 224 28 242 27 279 36129 34664 8 282 14 229 19 238 25 257 34664 33146 32 337 15 287 21 289 19 272 33146 31557 40 343 24 312 20 287 19 287 31557 29882 12 311 19 242 21 257 19 280 29882 28120 16 263 25 248 27 256 25 296 28120 26273 22 252 30 258 26 269 24 290 26273 24345 27 254 30 268 26 290 23 286 24345 22339 25 265 30 272 23 288 23 284 22339 20250 25 279 28 273 24 280 23 281 20250 18074 25 271 26 272 27 284 23 278 18074 15861 23 259 24 272 25 280 24 282 15861 13740 21 258 20 275 20 277 25 292 13740 11816 19 257 19 271 18 271 25 295 11816 10102 16 261 17 264 15 275 24 291 10102 8579 18 270 14 265 13 270 21 275 8579 7226 18 269 14 263 13*261 20 254 7226 6025 18 266 14*259 13*250 19 245 6025 4958 18 265 14*253 13 247 17 245 4958 4016 20 266 14 250 13 244 14 249 4016 3185 21 264 13 249 13 242 11 262 3185 2445 21 261 13 247 13 240 10*277 2445 1794 19*258 13 247 12 239 12*277 1794 1253 14*244 13 245 12 239 9 290 1253 838 13 242 12 245 12 239 9 297 838 552 13 241 12 244 11 238 8 299 552 379 12 240 11 244 11 238 7 301 379 279 10 240 9 244 9 238 6 301 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography