DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 77.7 - - 79.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 247 - - 118 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 310 - - 3783 - - 4727 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2686 - - 2962 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 590 - - 4063 - - 5007 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 365 - - 1124 - - 975 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 395 - - 333 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 097 - - 064 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3830 - - -4708 - - -4226 - - -6579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4420 - - 8772 - - 9234 - - 6858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12990 - - -12514 - - -11788 - - -16677 ODpotential blCL - - - 13580 - - 16577 - - 16795 - - 16956 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 48 - - 57 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 77.7 - - 79.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 40.5 - - 40.4 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 76.1 - - 78.8 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 40.0 - - 40.1 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 247 - - 118 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 310 - - 3783 - - 4727 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97558 25 244 26 251 23 254 19 281 97558 90211 11 227 18 248 19 261 14 300 90211 84598 3 260 6 246 10 256 7 266 84598 79947 6 358 6 134 4 186 8 228 79947 75950 6 358 7 100 6 128 6 200 75950 72433 6 357 5 077 4 055 1 105 72433 69257 5 022 4 074 4 355 6 030 69257 66346 9 036 4 072 4 305 6 033 66346 63654 10 017 5 082 4 238 3 004 63654 61056 10 342 9 040 3 140 0 258 61056 58356 10 292 8 324 3 008 2 344 58356 55562 11 290 11 312 8 327 9 308 55562 52895 16 298 16 323 14 331 11 318 52895 50486 21 299 23 315 21 325 17 318 50486 48311 21 302 18 308 21 317 21 310 48311 46324 19 310 15 312 17 297 23 300 46324 44502 15 319 15 310 15 293 18 304 44502 42823 13 341 11 331 17 287 24 312 42823 41267 19 001 22 341 25 325 29 330 41267 39812 28 357 34 335 37 336 30 338 39812 38436 38 350 39 338 39 338 31 345 38436 37095 36 346 38 349 37 342 32 334 37095 35722 36 009 36 004 35 344 31 330 35722 34288 43 019 36 015 37 359 30 333 34288 32796 42 019 38 014 36 009 27 335 32796 31229 39 012 34 002 28 004 25 338 31229 29573 36 360 30 340 29 342 26 335 29573 27830 32 348 32 341 31 342 26 341 27830 26000 35 354 31 350 27 348 23 350 26000 24084 32 002 26 001 22 002 18 357 24084 22087 14 009 12 337 19 351 16 338 22087 20002 18 348 16 342 18 341 16 324 20002 17829 19 358 18 006 15 009 12 344 17829 15618 11 359 11 018 10 035 6 360 15618 13493 11 011 8 024 7 036 6 357 13493 11569 13 012 9 030 7 035 9 028 11569 9866 12 020 8 029 8 035 10 040 9866 8363 8 032 7 038 7 042 10 050 8363 7032 6 037 7 054 6 060 9 061 7032 5855 6 043 7 067 5*072 8 070 5855 4818 6 066 6*087 6*068 8 065 4818 3907 6 096 6*097 6 066 9 063 3907 3104 7 115 6 098 6 065 10 067 3104 2387 9 119 6 098 6 064 11 074 2387 1753 12 121 6 097 6 063 13 078 1753 1225 13 121 6 096 6 061 14 082 1225 821 11*117 6 096 6 061 14 083 821 543 5*105 5 095 6 061 13 083 543 374 5 104 5 094 6 060 11*082 374 278 4 102 5 095 5 060 6*078 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography