DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0958z - - 1330z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.3 - - 38.0 - - 44.4 - - 45.8 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 80 - - 163 - - 57 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 901 - - 2649 - - 3013 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 256 - - 257 - - 1687 - - 1024 - - 257 Hcrit BL Top 274 - - 1181 - - 2929 - - 3293 - - 275 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 799 - - 786 - - 533 - - 807 - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 170 - - 310 - - 231 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 004 - - 354 - - 348 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -533 - - -451 - - 461 - - 907 - - -682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 807 - - 1632 - - 2469 - - 2386 - - 957 sfcLCL ODpotential -2521 - - -13486 - - -11688 - - 518 - - -1587 ODpotential blCL 2795 - - 14667 - - 14617 - - 2775 - - 1862 blCL maxRH 95 - - 84 - - 87 - - 97 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.3 - - 38.0 - - 44.4 - - 45.8 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.2 - - 32.3 - - 34.9 - - 36.7 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 37.6 - - 43.6 - - 45.4 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 31.4 - - 33.5 - - 35.4 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 80 - - 163 - - 57 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 901 - - 2649 - - 3013 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 34 - - 47 - - 88 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96329 71 247 72 246 75 243 76 250 78 249 96329 89000 62 251 57 254 59 251 64 249 64 258 89000 83435 55 252 50 259 50 256 51 253 51 259 83435 78841 48 260 45 265 45 259 45 254 45 260 78841 74877 45 270 42 270 46 266 46 260 45 270 74877 71375 45 272 40 271 46 266 48 266 46 275 71375 68214 46 270 41 269 43 265 48 270 45 277 68214 65311 47 266 41 265 43 268 48 272 45 273 65311 62613 49 261 43 264 45 268 48 269 45 267 62613 59984 51 260 47 267 47 265 49 268 46 265 59984 57227 55 260 53 268 50 268 51 270 51 268 57227 54362 58 259 58 265 55 270 57 270 57 269 54362 51631 58 259 59 259 60 270 60 267 58 267 51631 49178 58 262 59 260 62 269 60 268 58 265 49178 46981 63 265 61 264 63 269 60 270 58 266 46981 44985 68 265 65 266 64 270 60 271 58 269 44985 43156 69 266 66 267 65 272 61 273 59 273 43156 41473 61 266 64 269 65 270 63 273 61 277 41473 39919 52 268 58 271 61 273 61 273 60 277 39919 38475 49 276 54 278 62 280 59 278 59 281 38475 37121 51 279 57 282 66 280 63 282 62 284 37121 35814 55 276 58 282 65 277 63 282 64 285 35814 34482 53 271 56 281 62 277 59 280 63 285 34482 33096 48 269 52 279 58 279 54 280 60 286 33096 31658 45 272 49 280 54 282 49 282 56 287 31658 30152 42 277 47 283 49 284 44 286 51 288 30152 28565 40 281 44 288 46 287 41 288 47 289 28565 26896 39 284 42 293 44 290 39 288 42 291 26896 25141 38 285 39 293 40 291 38 289 39 293 25141 23300 37 285 34 293 36 290 36 289 37 294 23300 21376 35 287 30 294 32 287 34 282 36 293 21376 19364 33 289 29 294 29 285 33 275 34 287 19364 17266 34 290 27 295 27 290 29 279 32 279 17266 15120 34 291 25 300 24 304 22 295 25 278 15120 13044 33 290 24 304 20 314 17 302 17 281 13044 11153 32 293 26 310 19 316 16 303 17 292 11153 9478 33 296 27 315 20 322 18 309 18 311 9478 8002 31 298 24 311 19 328 17 323 16 321 8002 6701 26 306 22 301 15 319 14 331 11 331 6701 5554 19 313 15 307 14 297 10 319 7 338 5554 4553 17 324 11 318 9 301 9 309 10 322 4553 3684 17 331 10 329 7*339 8*330 12 320 3684 2926 9 333 10 338 9*355 9*346 12 325 2926 2251 9 346 12 358 9 356 9 348 7 350 2251 1657 12 349 18*007 9 355 9 349 8 016 1657 1161 16 352 17*006 9 354 9 349 9 022 1161 782 16 344 15 004 9 353 9 349 10 026 782 521 11 328 14 003 8 352 9 349 10 026 521 364 9*326 12 002 8 352 8 349 8*024 364 274 5*323 10 001 7 352 7 349 4*021 274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography