DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.7 - - 90.7 - - 88.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - 79 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4179 - - 4775 - - 379 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2477 - - 2865 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4459 - - 5055 - - 659 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2805 - - 1982 - - 4587 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 307 - - 316 - - 55 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 249 - - 244 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 779 - - 1203 - - -2517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3680 - - 3852 - - 3176 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -257 - - -212 - - -4631 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4716 - - 5267 - - 5290 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3000 - - 3390 - - 3530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.7 - - 90.7 - - 88.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 74.4 - - 74.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.2 - - 90.1 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.1 - - 73.5 - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - 79 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4179 - - 4775 - - 379 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 84 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 39 087 35 083 31 087 99027 91476 37 089 33 089 25 072 91476 85687 32 091 26 096 27 087 85687 80916 26 081 24 082 30 090 80916 76849 17 073 21 074 25 073 76849 73269 14 075 14 080 22 039 73269 70001 17 064 12 073 17 015 70001 66978 12 070 13 045 12 059 66978 64185 15 107 6 056 14 089 64185 61493 10 110 10 118 13 121 61493 58718 6 153 5 116 5 121 58718 55890 5 209 3 080 7 339 55890 53209 13 220 8 275 14 314 53209 50787 22 208 22 245 15 263 50787 48623 25 189 29 215 28 233 48623 46661 23 175 31 190 33 214 46661 44851 18 186 27 182 35 194 44851 43164 20 204 26 192 33 187 43164 41586 24 208 29 198 33 191 41586 40101 27 204 32 200 37 195 40101 38695 28 199 33 201 37 197 38695 37329 28 196 33 201 33 202 37329 35936 27 196 30 202 28 209 35936 34488 26 198 25 207 20 216 34488 32984 24 199 19 219 15 229 32984 31407 22 206 18 224 12 228 31407 29746 20 217 18 222 12 212 29746 28006 19 219 16 222 12 204 28006 26188 18 225 15 221 8 201 26188 24288 12 241 10 238 6 207 24288 22308 8 254 9 263 11 233 22308 20245 7 241 12 254 14 249 20245 18097 8 241 13 249 12 264 18097 15905 9 266 7 261 8 321 15905 13787 10 260 8 293 19 334 13787 11855 8 241 6 267 18 336 11855 10136 8 235 6 260 10 344 10136 8611 6 238 8 258 3 286 8611 7255 5 243 6 244 5 244 7255 6050 5 242 6*234 4 255 6050 4983 6*241 6*232 2 232 4983 4043 6*244 5 238 3 185 4043 3213 6 246 5 243 4 179 3213 2470 6 249 5 247 4 176 2470 1813 6 250 5 248 4 173 1813 1265 6 251 5 252 4 171 1265 845 6 253 5 252 4*171 845 556 6 253 4 252 4*169 556 380 5 253 4 252 3 169 380 280 5 254 4 253 3 169 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography