DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 63.5 - - 68.4 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 127 - - 54 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 111 - - 1042 - - 1757 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 391 - - 1322 - - 2037 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 195 - - 673 - - 1306 - - 1104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 206 - - 185 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 247 - - 237 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -970 - - -2363 - - -3987 - - -3090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1361 - - 3685 - - 6024 - - 3369 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11772 - - -9052 - - -10195 - - -9862 ODpotential blCL - - - 12163 - - 10374 - - 12232 - - 10141 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 64 - - 88 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.3 - - 63.5 - - 68.4 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 48.6 - - 43.4 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 62.7 - - 68.1 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 48.2 - - 43.1 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 127 - - 54 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 111 - - 1042 - - 1757 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96762 62 253 69 248 76 253 82 261 96762 89380 36 266 36 257 47 251 41 261 89380 83808 22 265 25 262 26 262 19 265 83808 79230 16 272 21 259 21 265 17 284 79230 75278 16 280 18 278 19 265 22 275 75278 71776 19 273 21 297 19 278 24 264 71776 68604 21 268 22 277 20 274 24 267 68604 65701 20 275 23 269 23 278 27 281 65701 63032 25 288 30 274 28 275 31 277 63032 60458 32 276 33 274 36 270 31 272 60458 57770 34 266 42 270 42 261 38 269 57770 54974 40 265 49 259 47 256 47 266 54974 52302 47 266 51 253 51 252 54 263 52302 49889 53 264 50 256 53 249 58 256 49889 47720 58 263 52 258 52 249 57 253 47720 45746 58 259 55 257 52 253 54 253 45746 43932 56 254 61 251 56 256 53 253 43932 42253 52 250 59 243 56 251 52 250 42253 40685 49 247 49 244 51 245 51 247 40685 39210 47 249 47 245 47 245 48 250 39210 37815 45 251 48 248 47 250 47 255 37815 36461 42 253 46 251 49 252 42 259 36461 35084 42 250 42 248 44 248 40 255 35084 33650 42 245 41 245 41 245 38 253 33650 32169 36 245 34 247 28 248 24 257 32169 30634 20 239 16 265 6 298 8 060 30634 29028 9 224 8 307 5 010 15 055 29028 27338 9 246 6 269 4 285 12 057 27338 25563 6 255 10 226 7 255 5 042 25563 23705 6 253 11 228 10 245 5 338 23705 21765 7 264 5 244 11 247 4 288 21765 19739 7 264 4 267 9 245 7 247 19739 17624 8 256 8 266 7 242 9 245 17624 15466 10 251 12 269 10 266 7 258 15466 13382 8 257 13 269 13 276 10 265 13382 11485 9 270 13 279 13 279 11 276 11485 9802 8 286 11 280 13 279 15 277 9802 8306 8 293 10 280 14 281 16 282 8306 6978 8 291 11 279 14 284 14 288 6978 5804 7 280 12 275 12 285 11 282 5804 4770 6 275 11 273 11 283 10 269 4770 3864 6 274 8 272 10 278 11 264 3864 3068 6 265 6 279 8 271 11 260 3068 2358 6 260 5 283 6*252 11 245 2358 1733 6 261 4*276 5*242 10 233 1733 1212 6 258 3*250 5 238 8 229 1212 813 4 248 3 248 5 237 7 232 813 539 2*200 3 245 4 234 6 233 539 373 2*192 3 244 4 233 5*229 373 278 2 191 2 247 4 234 4*225 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography