DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 84.2 - - 86.8 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 117 - - 55 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 3071 - - 4105 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 1906 - - 2220 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1780 - - 3351 - - 4385 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2106 - - 1870 - - 1873 - - 6132 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 309 - - 282 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 262 - - 268 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 506 - - 900 - - 1283 - - -1930 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1275 - - 2451 - - 3102 - - 2210 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 146 - - -828 - - 448 - - -2841 ODpotential blCL - - - 1634 - - 4179 - - 3937 - - 3121 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 96 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1470 - - 1950 - - 2240 - - 3010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 84.2 - - 86.8 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.1 - - 74.1 - - 73.9 - - 75.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 83.5 - - 86.6 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 72.8 - - 72.5 - - 74.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 117 - - 55 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 3071 - - 4105 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 85 - - 68 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 16 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99196 47 099 46 097 37 097 39 094 99196 91705 49 089 40 092 37 088 37 097 91705 85933 43 085 35 091 34 092 31 078 85933 81162 31 086 33 089 30 103 25 066 81162 77082 25 084 28 080 27 097 21 090 77082 73485 23 086 20 076 22 081 21 100 73485 70220 21 084 15 077 18 071 16 088 70220 67211 17 075 12 084 13 066 12 067 67211 64420 15 068 11 087 8 063 8 064 64420 61735 14 055 11 083 8 068 8 056 61735 58964 14 055 11 070 13 080 10 056 58964 56106 17 051 14 067 13 078 10 066 56106 53396 11 051 18 060 12 066 9 086 53396 50973 16 118 14 088 10 052 11 068 50973 48798 26 103 22 110 12 108 7 092 48798 46820 26 094 29 099 26 112 17 142 46820 45008 20 101 18 115 29 110 25 133 45008 43327 21 134 17 154 16 110 27 117 43327 41755 13 160 20 159 13 147 18 113 41755 40278 13 181 17 152 15 159 14 118 40278 38881 16 187 10 147 12 146 13 112 38881 37522 17 191 9 148 8 126 12 104 37522 36131 18 180 10 147 7 139 11 112 36131 34677 18 167 11 148 8 144 13 124 34677 33165 15 159 12 148 12 144 13 140 33165 31579 15 152 15 151 13 147 12 156 31579 29908 14 149 16 155 11 153 11 166 29908 28151 14 155 16 155 11 158 11 169 28151 26309 13 160 16 151 12 163 11 176 26309 24385 10 152 12 155 9 164 9 188 24385 22383 11 146 11 156 6 170 6 190 22383 20298 11 158 8 175 5 184 2 190 20298 18122 9 201 9 211 5 224 2 238 18122 15902 12 237 9 266 9 256 8 284 15902 13763 16 258 13 278 10 267 10 285 13763 11820 16 268 15 283 13 278 13 287 11820 10100 15 272 14 285 17 282 15 295 10100 8574 15 280 13 287 15 277 16 294 8574 7220 15 284 14 287 14 277 17 287 7220 6020 14 284 14 285 14 278 16 279 6020 4960 13 283 13 282 12*275 14 273 4960 4025 11 283 11*277 12*274 13 270 4025 3199 8 287 9*266 9 269 11 261 3199 2459 6 301 8 263 9 267 10 258 2459 1805 4*310 7 261 8 267 9 255 1805 1260 3*314 7 261 8 266 9 252 1260 842 3 313 7 261 7 266 8 250 842 554 3 314 6 260 7 266 7 249 554 380 3 315 6 261 7 265 6*248 380 280 3 316 5 261 6 266 4*247 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography