DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 51.8 - - 62.0 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 42 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 150 - - 96 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 277 - - 430 - - 376 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 131 - - 268 - - 3628 - - 1332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 81 - - 44 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 250 - - 336 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1066 - - -1164 - - -2003 - - -564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1343 - - 1594 - - 2379 - - 842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10862 - - -7946 - - -6317 - - -3318 ODpotential blCL - - - 11139 - - 8376 - - 6693 - - 3596 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 75 - - 60 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 51.8 - - 62.0 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.1 - - 45.9 - - 52.5 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 51.9 - - 63.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 44.8 - - 51.3 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 42 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 150 - - 96 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96309 24 212 18 247 24 244 24 277 96309 89138 5 202 6 235 15 247 10 260 89138 83646 10 349 9 237 2 151 9 266 83646 79055 9 342 4 161 6 273 8 296 79055 75096 11 330 4 103 12 298 7 271 75096 71598 14 319 5 331 11 291 12 299 71598 68445 20 319 21 322 14 293 20 296 68445 65570 15 311 30 308 22 318 26 302 65570 62922 20 325 28 295 33 304 37 292 62922 60344 31 328 27 318 38 290 39 294 60344 57638 41 319 32 321 42 296 45 307 57638 54824 48 304 41 308 50 298 51 301 54824 52121 49 307 46 307 50 296 53 295 52121 49669 59 309 50 306 49 294 53 299 49669 47453 59 309 56 307 52 296 54 300 47453 45429 57 314 60 308 55 301 55 301 45429 43560 61 318 65 306 58 306 59 308 43560 41829 68 317 67 306 68 308 68 307 41829 40242 77 314 73 310 82 308 81 305 40242 38788 85 311 84 315 90 306 88 306 38788 37432 87 309 91 314 89 309 86 309 37432 36115 87 310 92 312 89 315 84 310 36115 34768 85 312 89 311 89 317 84 309 34768 33365 83 313 87 313 87 316 84 310 33365 31909 84 314 85 315 85 315 84 311 31909 30384 83 314 84 317 83 317 83 312 30384 28778 79 317 84 319 83 319 81 312 28778 27088 79 325 83 319 81 319 78 311 27088 25314 81 329 81 320 79 316 76 311 25314 23456 80 328 78 321 76 315 74 311 23456 21515 81 333 75 322 72 317 70 312 21515 19489 65 333 69 326 66 321 64 314 19489 17373 52 325 59 322 59 320 57 318 17373 15218 52 324 54 320 55 319 54 325 15218 13147 48 320 49 324 47 323 51 328 13147 11267 42 320 46 325 40 327 43 329 11267 9599 39 323 42 322 39 325 36 330 9599 8121 39 328 41 321 40 322 34 332 8121 6814 42 331 42 321 38 321 34 338 6814 5664 39 329 42 319 35 326 29 336 5664 4656 34 322 41 318 32 337 25 324 4656 3774 34 316 37 318 29 340 25 332 3774 2996 30 311 35 314 26 336 24 347 2996 2302 21 301 29 305 25 338 22 001 2302 1691 17 279 23 283 24 338 22 024 1691 1185 17 277 21 268 23 339 24 036 1185 797 17 280 20 265 20 339 22 038 797 531 15 258 14*255 17*338 19 040 531 369 12*250 11*251 14*337 16*040 369 277 6*240 9 250 9 335 9*041 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography