DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 79.1 - - 82.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 209 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 358 - - 2358 - - 4654 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1568 - - 2718 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 638 - - 2638 - - 4934 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 448 - - 2207 - - 1207 - - 3249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 319 - - 306 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 192 - - 161 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3483 - - -5401 - - -4165 - - -6497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4121 - - 8040 - - 9099 - - 6776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10092 - - -9757 - - -8218 - - -13608 ODpotential blCL - - - 10730 - - 12395 - - 13152 - - 13887 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 84 - - 79 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 79.1 - - 82.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 45.2 - - 43.8 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 77.9 - - 81.8 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 44.8 - - 43.5 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 209 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 358 - - 2358 - - 4654 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 35 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97210 55 251 64 250 75 258 73 269 97210 89892 38 245 48 246 53 259 44 267 89892 84296 26 232 38 251 36 260 35 265 84296 79674 17 252 24 250 24 248 28 258 79674 75705 16 282 16 244 20 236 26 250 75705 72203 20 285 12 261 19 246 25 254 72203 69030 21 273 12 265 18 245 22 256 69030 66119 18 263 16 267 20 242 21 267 66119 63436 21 270 19 262 21 253 22 261 63436 60844 32 267 24 272 22 265 20 248 60844 58143 37 247 35 258 32 256 28 251 58143 55330 38 257 41 258 34 264 23 261 55330 52654 63 260 62 259 62 263 51 261 52654 50269 83 248 78 241 80 253 60 253 50269 48129 78 239 74 241 73 240 72 236 48129 46164 60 273 59 262 62 246 78 231 46164 44332 89 285 73 279 65 270 67 261 44332 42643 112 277 92 278 86 275 89 278 42643 41097 111 271 98 274 92 272 88 275 41097 39656 102 270 96 270 84 267 72 268 39656 38288 92 268 89 266 79 258 68 265 38288 36954 86 266 83 264 79 260 67 262 36954 35585 85 266 79 262 76 264 62 261 35585 34154 81 267 71 265 71 264 56 259 34154 32662 68 276 58 267 64 259 54 257 32662 31096 55 277 45 267 61 265 51 261 31096 29443 47 273 42 270 52 268 43 274 29443 27706 40 278 43 271 43 264 37 273 27706 25886 32 272 40 273 39 270 30 264 25886 23991 26 273 34 273 32 278 24 268 23991 22019 21 274 27 273 25 285 18 273 22019 19965 17 265 21 269 19 286 16 277 19965 17821 15 259 15 269 14 287 11 299 17821 15637 15 253 15 276 10 300 7 326 15637 13533 11 229 15 262 12 289 6 311 13533 11621 9 185 12 240 12 262 8 280 11621 9922 9 162 8 195 8 225 7 243 9922 8411 8 164 5 158 6 187 6 207 8411 7073 6 178 2 125 4 164 4 177 7073 5890 2 204 3 083 4*139 3 128 5890 4849 3 266 3 081 4*157 5 109 4849 3934 5 245 2 125 4 158 5 113 3934 3126 5 212 3*195 4 159 5 116 3126 2403 11 200 4*190 4 162 5 120 2403 1765 17 190 4 192 4 163 5 122 1765 1233 18 183 4 191 3 165 5 124 1233 826 16*180 4 193 3 165 5 126 826 545 9*176 4 192 3 166 5 127 545 375 9 175 4 193 3 166 4*127 375 278 7 175 4 194 3 165 4*128 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography