DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 0958z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 29.8 - - 34.2 - - 39.2 - - 35.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 75 - - 201 - - 88 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1093 - - 1339 - - 1744 - - 1790 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 256 - - 256 - - 1129 - - 257 - - 257 Hcrit BL Top 1373 - - 1619 - - 2024 - - 2070 - - 274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1227 - - 718 - - 592 - - 1039 - - 1052 Hgt.Variab. W* 111 - - 189 - - 288 - - 224 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 112 - - 131 - - 135 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 83 - - 242 - - -3 - - -15 - - -704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1290 - - 1377 - - 2027 - - 2085 - - 978 sfcLCL ODpotential -211 - - -16362 - - -16281 - - -14966 - - -15615 ODpotential blCL 1584 - - 17981 - - 18305 - - 17036 - - 15889 blCL maxRH 92 - - 85 - - 77 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 29.8 - - 34.2 - - 39.2 - - 35.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.0 - - 25.3 - - 26.7 - - 31.4 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.1 - - 29.5 - - 33.1 - - 38.7 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 24.3 - - 24.8 - - 29.7 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 75 - - 201 - - 88 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1093 - - 1339 - - 1744 - - 1790 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 42 - - 8 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95622 55 252 55 257 52 249 57 243 59 253 95622 88323 41 260 41 256 46 255 49 243 47 265 88323 82831 34 269 27 251 38 252 40 247 41 266 82831 78345 31 266 21 250 29 242 31 250 30 255 78345 74508 26 266 20 256 22 245 26 252 24 251 74508 71129 26 276 21 257 19 247 24 252 23 255 71129 68074 26 279 19 262 21 242 25 246 21 264 68074 65248 28 281 20 281 19 236 28 241 24 269 65248 62599 32 281 25 288 19 247 31 234 35 256 62599 60008 38 279 35 278 29 255 36 243 41 249 60008 57285 46 276 44 277 36 271 49 257 50 255 57285 54447 53 283 55 277 55 268 62 267 60 261 54447 51741 61 282 63 277 73 272 74 273 74 265 51741 49329 70 282 78 276 84 273 81 275 86 266 49329 47193 82 284 84 277 89 275 86 277 92 269 47193 45278 93 289 89 287 91 280 92 280 96 273 45278 43534 114 299 103 298 99 289 101 282 99 274 43534 41915 129 301 119 300 110 293 109 282 101 273 41915 40392 128 301 123 299 114 291 111 282 103 275 40392 38950 122 298 120 297 112 288 111 281 104 277 38950 37579 116 296 115 293 108 286 110 281 103 276 37579 36244 111 294 111 289 105 285 109 281 103 274 36244 34878 107 293 107 287 103 285 105 280 101 272 34878 33454 101 292 102 286 104 284 101 279 100 270 33454 31972 97 294 97 286 104 283 99 278 102 269 31972 30419 94 296 92 288 101 282 95 278 102 270 30419 28783 89 296 88 288 94 281 89 278 97 272 28783 27068 85 296 83 288 83 280 80 277 85 272 27068 25276 79 297 77 288 70 281 71 274 72 268 25276 23409 73 299 70 291 61 282 62 272 62 264 23409 21467 64 303 64 295 54 282 54 272 57 261 21467 19441 56 298 56 298 49 282 48 268 53 259 19441 17318 54 292 48 292 45 282 44 264 47 256 17318 15143 49 288 46 282 43 281 40 264 42 255 15143 13043 42 292 35 275 36 271 34 263 38 257 13043 11141 32 298 23 273 28 259 33 256 36 255 11141 9463 27 286 19 271 23 256 30 246 38 248 9463 7988 29 277 22 269 22 248 24 235 33 227 7988 6691 27 272 22 267 21 244 24 232 27 208 6691 5546 23 272 16 261 18 228 24 214 29 199 5546 4542 15 270 8 241 14 201 23 195 31 190 4542 3667 4 254 6 176 15 172 22 171 30 177 3667 2907 8 109 14 141 19 149 23 150 29 156 2907 2236 12 088 16*118 18*139 22*148 28 145 2236 1646 11*087 16*111 17*134 17*138 26 140 1646 1154 9*088 16 111 16 131 16 136 24 137 1154 777 8 090 14 113 15 130 15 135 21 134 777 519 7 090 12 113 14 129 13 134 16 130 519 362 7 090 11 113 13 129 12 134 13*129 362 273 6 089 9 113 11 128 10 134 6*124 273 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography