DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1605z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.0 - - 77.5 - - 84.6 - - 88.2 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 79 - - 155 - - 126 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 679 - - 5191 - - 6932 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 259 - - 260 - - 3564 - - 4707 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 277 - - 959 - - 5471 - - 7212 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 367 - - 901 - - 1652 - - 677 - - 6057 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 160 - - 391 - - 398 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 188 - - 194 - - 180 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1335 - - -1388 - - 1506 - - 1498 - - -4364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1612 - - 2347 - - 3966 - - 5714 - - 4641 sfcLCL ODpotential -6796 - - -3120 - - 406 - - 249 - - -6176 ODpotential blCL 7073 - - 4079 - - 5065 - - 6963 - - 6453 blCL maxRH 72 - - 86 - - 99 - - 80 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 580 - - 330 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.0 - - 77.5 - - 84.6 - - 88.2 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.0 - - 68.2 - - 68.2 - - 64.1 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.7 - - 77.0 - - 83.7 - - 87.3 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.6 - - 67.4 - - 67.1 - - 63.3 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 79 - - 155 - - 126 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 679 - - 5191 - - 6932 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 45 - - 95 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97904 21 048 17 072 16 077 11 077 14 044 97904 90658 27 063 19 066 15 069 12 080 14 057 90658 85046 22 064 21 070 17 078 11 092 14 054 85046 80370 15 072 16 075 17 076 13 084 12 071 80370 76334 12 070 14 085 13 066 14 085 9 101 76334 72770 11 079 14 093 9 082 10 086 9 112 72770 69557 11 093 15 094 9 119 5 102 6 112 69557 66618 8 104 12 088 12 117 5 141 6 121 66618 63907 8 114 9 093 12 098 8 112 7 110 63907 61306 7 089 6 115 9 104 9 125 3 097 61306 58620 4 082 5 130 4 148 7 149 3 247 58620 55859 7 003 1 081 6 198 11 211 11 238 55859 53257 14 320 17 303 18 282 23 281 23 271 53257 50941 21 301 26 298 27 281 29 283 22 281 50941 48854 24 302 30 305 23 291 23 283 32 297 48854 46926 21 303 27 319 17 304 23 298 33 297 46926 45126 22 321 32 323 22 318 23 297 32 297 45126 43438 28 329 39 319 32 318 25 297 26 289 43438 41848 43 319 42 313 32 316 30 301 24 284 41848 40349 45 311 42 307 30 308 31 306 24 287 40349 38933 41 311 39 303 31 300 26 308 28 298 38933 37557 35 310 33 303 28 302 23 300 37 304 37557 36149 30 307 24 296 24 297 25 292 27 306 36149 34678 28 304 10 294 19 263 18 279 19 301 34678 33149 10 328 9 254 13 243 17 253 13 259 33149 31549 0 281 11 228 14 233 18 235 15 242 31549 29867 6 215 11 219 15 217 19 225 17 240 29867 28104 10 199 11 228 18 210 19 229 16 243 28104 26259 15 204 15 214 20 213 17 240 15 250 26259 24335 17 220 18 228 18 226 17 249 14 253 24335 22332 18 234 19 240 18 232 19 247 15 257 22332 20241 15 234 17 232 17 234 19 239 16 248 20241 18057 10 235 14 225 13 238 15 220 15 242 18057 15829 8 227 12 211 12 216 15 209 15 230 15829 13686 9 207 10 195 12 197 15 202 15 221 13686 11744 13 179 11 176 11 182 14 196 14 214 11744 10025 12 176 11 173 10 173 11 186 12 211 10025 8502 10 189 10 155 11 159 12*183 13 204 8502 7159 12 184 13 147 14 158 12*185 13 196 7159 5972 15 180 15 162 15*179 12 184 12 195 5972 4919 20 191 19 185 17*197 12 183 12 192 4919 3991 22 190 22 194 17 197 11 180 12 184 3991 3170 21 190 22 195 16 196 11 178 12 176 3170 2436 21 191 20 201 14 193 10 177 12 170 2436 1788 20 191 18 202 13 192 10 175 12 165 1788 1247 22 183 17*201 12 191 10 174 12 161 1247 833 24 174 12*191 12 190 9 174 11 157 833 548 17 162 10 188 11 190 9 173 10 153 548 375 15*160 9 187 10 190 8 173 8*147 375 276 6*154 7 186 9 190 7 173 4*140 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography