DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 34.2 - - 39.1 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 208 - - 94 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1528 - - 1974 - - 2043 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 259 - - 1295 - - 855 - - 259 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1808 - - 2254 - - 2323 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 601 - - 356 - - 664 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 301 - - 235 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 330 - - 281 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -856 - - -1629 - - -3133 - - -2870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2665 - - 3884 - - 5456 - - 3148 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14434 - - -15455 - - -16716 - - -17328 ODpotential blCL - - - 16242 - - 17709 - - 19039 - - 17605 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 64 - - 49 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.9 - - 34.2 - - 39.1 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.7 - - 18.6 - - 16.6 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 33.1 - - 38.6 - - 35.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 17.5 - - 15.5 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 208 - - 94 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1528 - - 1974 - - 2043 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95201 71 255 68 251 76 258 83 253 95201 88108 60 254 64 261 71 261 81 260 88108 82683 52 263 60 264 68 271 68 266 82683 78173 50 267 54 262 66 267 62 274 78173 74256 46 266 49 260 60 263 64 275 74256 70779 44 272 49 263 60 268 66 273 70779 67630 45 277 52 268 64 273 65 279 67630 64749 47 277 54 271 68 274 68 281 64749 62089 55 280 58 278 71 275 73 276 62089 59517 60 279 67 286 71 276 76 273 59517 56825 62 278 70 282 65 279 68 275 56825 54026 60 274 64 279 70 291 61 287 54026 51349 62 285 64 279 67 285 65 291 51349 48924 66 286 63 273 57 291 65 295 48924 46739 66 286 46 285 61 306 68 298 46739 44758 61 282 69 309 72 308 72 302 44758 42957 50 282 76 310 74 307 76 306 42957 41310 73 312 71 312 74 313 79 309 41310 39790 84 312 69 315 76 316 81 309 39790 38372 71 320 66 318 72 317 82 310 38372 37035 52 324 61 323 68 321 82 311 37035 35736 38 352 58 330 70 326 82 314 35736 34408 47 014 59 337 72 329 79 315 34408 33024 63 011 62 338 70 330 74 316 33024 31584 71 011 63 336 68 328 71 315 31584 30072 68 013 61 334 64 323 70 312 30072 28477 67 008 59 333 62 321 70 311 28477 26799 70 001 58 334 62 322 69 311 26799 25035 62 356 58 334 63 324 66 313 25035 23185 51 357 56 332 62 322 63 316 23185 21253 43 003 54 331 56 321 60 318 21253 19235 40 356 45 333 50 319 57 314 19235 17126 37 343 42 323 45 317 52 310 17126 14974 33 333 40 319 43 316 49 309 14974 12906 32 325 37 319 40 319 44 311 12906 11034 31 325 35 320 35 317 39 313 11034 9382 31 327 34 323 32 315 34 316 9382 7927 29 329 30 324 31 316 33 320 7927 6645 27 331 26 321 29 317 31 321 6645 5516 27 334 25 321 28 315 30 320 5516 4524 27 339 24 326 25 315 28 314 4524 3658 26 348 20 336 19 313 25 301 3658 2903 23 357 14*345 14*301 19 277 2903 2234 19*358 8*337 9*284 16 262 2234 1645 11*347 6 331 8 282 14 251 1645 1154 11 347 6 330 8 281 12 240 1154 779 11 346 6 328 8 280 11 229 779 521 10 346 6 327 7 279 9 217 521 365 9 345 5 327 7 279 8*206 365 276 8 345 5 326 6 278 5*197 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography