DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1001z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.6 - - 39.0 - - 50.0 - - 54.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 65 - - 4 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 244 - - 1019 - - 1408 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 259 - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 277 - - 524 - - 1299 - - 1688 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 261 - - 623 - - 922 - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 68 - - 172 - - 113 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 19 - - 20 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 177 - - 181 - - 181 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -106 - - -643 - - -896 - - -1059 - - -1633 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 383 - - 1168 - - 2195 - - 2747 - - 1912 sfcLCL ODpotential -13546 - - -12566 - - -9437 - - -8402 - - -10043 ODpotential blCL 13823 - - 13090 - - 10736 - - 10090 - - 10321 blCL maxRH 93 - - 84 - - 74 - - 64 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.6 - - 39.0 - - 50.0 - - 54.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 35.2 - - 41.5 - - 43.3 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 39.2 - - 49.8 - - 54.5 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.8 - - 34.7 - - 40.3 - - 42.1 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 17 - - 65 - - 4 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 244 - - 1019 - - 1408 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96239 31 265 27 281 14 290 11 243 15 272 96239 89084 6 256 11 270 10 255 11 247 16 278 89084 83549 12 289 9 255 13 250 13 265 17 281 83549 78948 18 281 11 266 16 261 15 267 15 285 78948 74962 17 283 8 257 17 268 16 266 21 275 74962 71434 23 292 11 282 19 271 18 262 20 264 71434 68233 26 281 20 267 26 278 22 271 23 269 68233 65285 28 287 31 268 33 275 30 273 33 265 65285 62565 39 281 39 271 39 275 36 276 36 264 62565 59935 46 272 44 275 44 270 42 278 43 275 59935 57188 48 273 48 279 48 272 48 276 54 276 57188 54333 54 276 57 279 57 273 58 267 63 268 54333 51602 58 277 65 273 62 271 66 264 65 265 51602 49142 62 277 66 271 64 270 73 266 67 267 49142 46927 65 276 66 273 66 270 73 266 68 266 46927 44905 64 278 70 272 70 268 68 267 66 265 44905 43047 67 281 71 270 69 264 64 267 61 262 43047 41341 71 278 67 267 65 263 59 264 55 258 41341 39775 69 276 59 272 61 258 54 262 52 254 39775 38326 64 279 58 274 55 255 53 260 51 259 38326 36970 63 284 59 272 55 256 52 261 56 262 36970 35661 65 287 59 271 55 256 50 261 60 259 35661 34328 66 287 59 270 53 255 50 260 60 255 34328 32940 69 288 60 270 52 254 51 259 59 252 32940 31498 67 291 59 271 52 255 53 257 57 252 31498 29992 64 290 54 274 50 257 51 254 54 250 29992 28410 56 283 51 274 47 257 47 249 50 246 28410 26753 50 284 53 275 44 255 46 248 47 241 26753 25014 47 287 52 278 42 256 44 248 46 241 25014 23191 48 288 47 280 41 262 41 245 46 248 23191 21285 53 286 45 283 40 267 37 245 41 251 21285 19303 50 281 41 282 40 266 34 250 31 248 19303 17242 43 283 35 276 39 264 33 259 25 247 17242 15136 39 292 31 274 35 263 33 265 23 254 15136 13101 36 290 30 270 30 265 36 264 30 261 13101 11243 37 277 31 260 31 264 38 257 39 257 11243 9588 34 268 28 256 31 244 35 246 41 248 9588 8119 28 271 26 254 28 234 37 238 40 244 8119 6820 28 270 27 250 29 236 37 233 40 238 6820 5671 26 261 28 246 33 232 36 229 40 232 5671 4661 18 256 25 237 34 227 37 224 38 223 4661 3778 15 246 22 227 32 220 36 217 35 209 3778 3002 16 240 23 215 32 211 33 206 35 196 3002 2309 17 224 24 204 31 200 30 193 35 189 2309 1698 16 201 25 197 28*192 27*188 35 184 1698 1188 15 186 26 191 21*183 23*182 33 179 1188 798 16 184 24*186 20 182 22 181 30 174 798 531 16 176 15*178 19 181 20 180 21 167 531 369 13*172 14 177 17 181 17 179 18*165 369 277 4*158 10 176 14 181 13 179 10*162 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography