DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.7 - - 79.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 84 - - 42 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3114 - - 3619 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1631 - - 1136 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3394 - - 3899 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1732 - - 1934 - - 5575 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 268 - - 230 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 340 - - 337 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 382 - - 662 - - -2619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3012 - - 3237 - - 2899 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -82 - - 216 - - -3190 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3476 - - 3683 - - 3470 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 40 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.7 - - 79.0 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.2 - - 65.5 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.1 - - 78.7 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.6 - - 64.9 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 84 - - 42 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3114 - - 3619 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99181 41 090 39 100 31 089 99181 91692 35 093 36 082 39 082 91692 85944 34 093 31 086 37 079 85944 81196 33 092 31 096 31 084 81196 77105 30 093 24 091 24 084 77105 73474 25 091 20 100 21 094 73474 70179 22 090 21 101 18 096 70179 67158 19 094 17 096 18 099 67158 64362 19 086 13 105 14 089 64362 61672 18 058 13 101 9 063 61672 58891 8 023 11 061 10 034 58891 56022 2 346 4 354 11 347 56022 53284 9 334 6 015 8 336 53284 50805 15 307 10 331 12 324 50805 48576 13 284 12 319 17 340 48576 46559 11 266 15 331 21 355 46559 44716 13 284 18 336 30 014 44716 43011 16 298 20 351 36 015 43011 41419 20 306 27 357 36 017 41419 39924 17 320 30 348 37 017 39924 38513 19 334 28 334 39 013 38513 37146 15 328 26 320 41 008 37146 35755 15 330 24 317 39 002 35755 34308 17 333 25 318 38 359 34308 32808 16 339 23 317 39 004 32808 31238 14 340 23 320 39 012 31238 29586 13 335 22 325 38 015 29586 27851 14 338 22 331 39 014 27851 26033 17 346 25 353 39 015 26033 24131 19 351 30 005 35 016 24131 22152 21 349 29 006 32 014 22152 20084 24 359 27 007 28 019 20084 17923 22 002 26 012 27 016 17923 15719 21 355 27 011 24 015 15719 13599 20 350 23 008 21 013 13599 11674 21 348 22 007 20 008 11674 9963 20 349 22 009 20 007 9963 8447 15 348 19 002 20 008 8447 7105 12 349 15 347 21 003 7105 5921 12 354 12 340 18 002 5921 4876 11 345 12 340 16 001 4876 3957 11*344 11*340 13 002 3957 3146 11*342 9*338 11 004 3146 2420 10 341 9 337 9 006 2420 1778 10 340 8 338 7 010 1778 1242 9 340 8 338 7 014 1242 832 9 339 7 338 6 016 832 549 8 339 7 337 5 018 549 377 8 338 7 337 5*019 377 279 7 338 6 338 4*019 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography