DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 83.6 - - 85.7 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 154 - - 100 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 3199 - - 3932 - - 2669 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 2100 - - 2402 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1935 - - 3479 - - 4212 - - 2949 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2104 - - 2151 - - 2294 - - 2366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 334 - - 315 - - 113 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 340 - - 011 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 568 - - 425 - - 730 - - 402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1367 - - 3054 - - 3482 - - 2547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 91 - - -675 - - -138 - - -453 ODpotential blCL - - - 1844 - - 4154 - - 4350 - - 3402 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 88 - - 85 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1100 - - 1110 - - 1430 - - 2070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.4 - - 83.6 - - 85.7 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 71.0 - - 71.2 - - 73.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 82.7 - - 85.1 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 69.9 - - 70.2 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 154 - - 100 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 3199 - - 3932 - - 2669 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 51 - - 40 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99094 58 092 47 101 33 098 35 091 99094 91573 37 084 37 087 36 096 36 082 91573 85826 28 083 32 081 33 088 33 080 85826 81083 23 085 26 081 30 083 30 078 81083 76994 23 095 22 085 27 079 25 073 76994 73388 24 088 20 096 22 072 20 076 73388 70143 19 086 22 081 21 083 19 071 70143 67173 25 084 24 076 23 080 18 078 67173 64430 27 055 24 073 22 081 17 058 64430 61782 21 034 20 054 22 061 18 062 61782 59030 17 037 13 050 13 031 20 025 59030 56185 19 017 18 035 13 037 15 020 56185 53465 25 334 33 351 33 006 29 019 53465 51014 31 329 43 341 45 356 41 006 51014 48815 36 327 44 335 46 349 43 356 48815 46810 35 315 39 328 38 343 38 347 46810 44969 30 306 32 313 29 333 32 336 44969 43266 26 297 28 286 23 309 28 323 43266 41674 24 283 24 272 23 284 26 307 41674 40181 21 267 20 293 22 278 29 304 40181 38774 19 276 26 308 22 290 33 297 38774 37415 24 293 28 300 28 298 40 288 37415 36027 28 295 31 286 36 294 42 275 36027 34577 25 282 29 279 38 284 37 271 34577 33064 23 286 29 280 35 271 36 275 33064 31478 24 292 30 278 34 269 35 285 31478 29809 20 285 27 268 31 271 26 306 29809 28059 17 276 23 252 23 281 22 322 28059 26225 12 295 18 264 19 294 13 349 26225 24312 11 290 20 310 18 322 10 345 24312 22322 18 299 18 348 13 347 8 339 22322 20249 15 350 17 021 16 024 5 009 20249 18084 13 002 14 035 13 023 5 013 18084 15872 13 342 9 002 11 006 8 359 15872 13739 15 315 9 344 10 346 11 351 13739 11798 15 318 10 336 9 336 8 305 11798 10077 15 312 11 314 8 322 8 292 10077 8554 15 310 13 308 8 325 8 355 8554 7204 16 308 13 305 7 348 14 012 7204 6004 18 306 12 318 8 359 14 016 6004 4943 17 306 11 330 8*004 11 023 4943 4010 14 307 10*334 8*007 11 030 4010 3187 12 311 10*336 8 009 11*032 3187 2450 10*315 10 338 8 011 10*032 2450 1799 8*311 10 340 8 012 10 032 1799 1256 7 309 10 341 7 013 10 032 1256 839 7 308 9 341 7 014 9 032 839 553 6 307 9 342 7 014 9 032 553 379 6 307 8 342 7 015 8 033 379 280 5 307 8 342 6 014 6 033 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography