DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.7 - - 69.0 - - 72.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 181 - - 348 - - 185 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1772 - - 3629 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 260 - - 1090 - - 2702 - - 3103 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top 278 - - 2052 - - 3909 - - 4796 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 359 - - 1154 - - 683 - - 761 - - 3769 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 276 - - 436 - - 383 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 16 - - 15 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 062 - - 052 - - 042 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1528 - - -2231 - - -2838 - - -3108 - - -5602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1806 - - 4283 - - 6747 - - 7904 - - 5881 sfcLCL ODpotential -15189 - - -13074 - - -12227 - - -12022 - - -15160 ODpotential blCL 15467 - - 15126 - - 16136 - - 16818 - - 15439 blCL maxRH 69 - - 68 - - 53 - - 47 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 60.7 - - 69.0 - - 72.6 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 43.4 - - 40.8 - - 39.2 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 59.6 - - 67.2 - - 71.6 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 43.0 - - 40.1 - - 38.4 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 181 - - 348 - - 185 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1772 - - 3629 - - 4516 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98035 18 079 16 074 13 098 8 112 5 001 98035 90643 16 058 22 078 16 083 15 096 8 121 90643 84955 14 062 18 084 16 087 17 076 15 080 84955 80232 17 107 18 094 16 084 13 076 17 073 80232 76173 14 095 14 083 17 109 9 084 12 067 76173 72608 3 127 10 077 13 111 11 112 6 085 72608 69393 2 132 5 115 4 120 7 105 8 100 69393 66434 2 330 4 169 2 267 1 340 4 087 66434 63693 4 325 4 159 6 247 6 291 2 347 63693 61051 5 350 3 102 7 227 8 300 6 310 61051 58319 9 331 5 003 5 206 6 254 12 274 58319 55512 15 299 14 315 6 297 7 235 15 256 55512 52834 21 280 20 292 15 300 9 270 14 260 52834 50401 26 272 24 280 23 290 19 284 18 273 50401 48199 30 265 25 273 24 280 24 275 22 281 48199 46185 29 259 21 269 22 274 22 270 26 284 46185 44330 24 255 19 268 19 272 18 275 25 279 44330 42613 17 275 18 266 16 263 15 284 19 272 42613 41016 20 288 17 276 17 249 13 278 14 276 41016 39526 22 292 19 290 16 247 15 261 13 281 39526 38127 24 292 18 303 12 263 15 251 12 272 38127 36774 23 296 17 305 9 302 9 262 9 260 36774 35395 20 308 16 304 12 312 8 319 6 341 35395 33964 17 322 12 327 13 304 11 321 13 350 33964 32484 15 331 11 010 7 327 7 338 12 349 32484 30937 13 350 14 037 8 038 8 034 11 355 30937 29309 10 356 16 045 10 057 12 048 11 003 29309 27596 5 345 15 040 9 056 11 057 11 010 27596 25796 6 350 13 025 8 032 9 044 11 012 25796 23911 6 358 11 020 9 013 9 020 11 003 23911 21949 8 351 10 004 10 002 10 016 11 004 21949 19902 6 005 5 358 8 348 11 013 11 017 19902 17762 10 047 9 039 10 023 10 016 11 023 17762 15571 10 059 10 059 10 049 8 021 10 017 15571 13451 9 045 10 063 13 058 8 031 10 028 13451 11519 11 020 13 024 16 033 15 035 15 043 11519 9800 18 018 22 027 22 032 21 041 20 051 9800 8283 19 025 24 044 22 049 20 053 19 069 8283 6957 18 039 24 064 23 069 22 080 21 084 6957 5791 19 056 23 077 26 075 22*076 22 077 5791 4765 21 069 23 083 24*077 17*050 22 060 4765 3865 23 076 25 085 16*060 17 045 22 047 3865 3071 24 079 25 080 15 054 17 042 23 043 3071 2363 27 083 23*075 15 051 17 041 23 042 2363 1736 27 083 18*067 15 050 17 039 23 040 1736 1215 25 074 16 063 14 049 17 038 22 038 1215 814 21 061 16 061 14 048 16 038 20 036 814 539 15 048 15 061 13 047 16 037 16 033 539 373 13*045 13 060 12 047 14 037 13*032 373 278 5*038 11 060 11 047 12 037 7*030 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography