DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/22 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 67.3 - - 71.6 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 130 - - 47 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 197 - - 2147 - - 3444 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1249 - - 1163 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 477 - - 2427 - - 3724 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 443 - - 1280 - - 1723 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 274 - - 232 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 270 - - 248 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -5 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2791 - - -4992 - - -4990 - - -4978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3268 - - 7419 - - 8715 - - 5257 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9945 - - -12727 - - -11940 - - -12763 ODpotential blCL - - - 10422 - - 15154 - - 15664 - - 13042 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 36 - - 37 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 67.3 - - 71.6 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.3 - - 36.1 - - 34.6 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 66.5 - - 71.4 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 34.9 - - 33.4 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 130 - - 47 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 197 - - 2147 - - 3444 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96986 36 277 32 259 39 255 42 260 96986 89758 22 282 25 264 30 264 35 266 89758 84205 17 252 23 250 25 263 26 265 84205 79575 11 251 19 239 23 243 21 261 79575 75552 11 259 13 248 17 237 18 257 75552 71982 19 261 12 268 11 263 12 257 71982 68753 18 251 15 257 13 282 12 269 68753 65797 8 252 16 239 17 283 14 304 65797 63066 16 299 22 268 24 278 22 303 63066 60426 21 269 26 277 27 281 30 281 60426 57685 22 289 33 287 32 290 31 275 57685 54854 42 292 40 283 46 293 49 294 54854 52166 56 289 54 288 59 285 62 290 52166 49759 66 290 64 293 66 286 69 289 49759 47599 71 290 69 294 75 290 74 288 47599 45629 73 292 77 292 80 291 82 290 45629 43817 75 294 82 291 85 293 92 291 43817 42138 79 296 84 291 91 292 98 291 42138 40573 84 296 85 289 94 291 100 290 40573 39112 87 295 87 287 98 291 103 289 39112 37740 88 293 91 287 103 292 103 288 37740 36411 88 294 93 289 101 291 96 289 36411 35056 89 294 91 290 96 290 91 291 35056 33640 87 294 88 289 93 291 92 294 33640 32167 83 292 84 287 90 290 94 297 32167 30622 80 288 79 285 84 287 90 297 30622 28994 75 286 76 283 77 283 81 293 28994 27288 70 284 74 281 74 282 73 287 27288 25502 67 283 71 279 71 281 69 286 25502 23635 67 283 69 280 67 281 65 287 23635 21691 67 285 64 285 60 284 58 286 21691 19667 63 289 59 289 55 286 53 285 19667 17559 56 299 54 293 52 288 51 287 17559 15405 47 304 51 300 47 291 49 290 15405 13323 37 306 42 307 43 297 46 288 13323 11430 35 311 38 310 40 305 39 286 11430 9754 35 315 38 316 38 305 33 291 9754 8271 34 322 34 318 32 303 30 298 8271 6956 35 330 27 319 26 301 26 295 6956 5794 34 333 23 318 21 295 20 287 5794 4770 28 329 20 313 15 274 15 275 4770 3869 19 324 16 302 11*259 13 263 3869 3075 12 324 12*285 10*255 12 256 3075 2365 8 320 7*274 8 251 12 252 2365 1738 7 304 6 270 7 248 12 250 1738 1216 7 271 6 270 6 245 11 248 1216 815 7 295 5 269 6 244 10 244 815 540 6*301 5 269 5 242 9 238 540 373 4*299 5 268 5 242 7*224 373 278 4 299 4 268 4 241 5*215 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography