DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 70.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 41 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1087 - - 1429 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1367 - - 1709 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 709 - - 1435 - - 2441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 149 - - 104 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 199 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 448 - - 399 - - -333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 919 - - 1310 - - 613 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 267 - - 108 - - -1391 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1100 - - 1601 - - 1671 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 300 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 70.7 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.3 - - 65.6 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 70.7 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.9 - - 65.4 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 41 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1087 - - 1429 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96057 68 250 81 250 82 264 96057 88971 44 249 51 257 50 274 88971 83507 35 259 31 267 34 274 83507 78979 27 270 21 290 22 272 78979 75068 23 282 13 291 15 281 75068 71601 20 285 14 281 14 281 71601 68475 16 285 14 266 14 281 68475 65620 24 288 25 289 26 283 65620 62979 35 275 37 278 35 277 62979 60421 41 271 44 271 41 268 60421 57758 49 274 50 274 42 270 57758 54989 59 271 61 274 52 272 54989 52331 64 266 68 267 64 268 52331 49930 64 267 69 263 70 265 49930 47770 67 270 68 264 69 261 47770 45804 68 270 66 268 68 260 45804 44002 65 267 61 271 64 264 44002 42347 57 262 55 274 56 272 42347 40817 46 266 48 271 48 277 40817 39382 36 270 36 266 42 267 39382 38020 31 276 31 266 39 264 38020 36690 32 280 28 270 36 254 36690 35327 31 279 27 271 38 248 35327 33904 30 274 28 263 42 250 33904 32424 32 266 33 257 43 252 32424 30880 37 266 40 263 44 254 30880 29257 43 271 42 268 43 255 29257 27553 45 274 42 271 40 256 27553 25764 46 275 42 270 38 256 25764 23895 45 277 38 269 36 259 23895 21947 43 278 35 266 31 258 21947 19913 39 280 34 262 31 251 19913 17786 33 281 31 260 32 246 17786 15610 29 266 28 256 26 248 15610 13512 30 257 29 262 23 257 13512 11605 36 262 26 276 16 262 11605 9913 34 255 25 278 16 276 9913 8409 30 254 26 264 17 271 8409 7074 27 253 22 257 21 263 7074 5891 25 250 21 256 21 252 5891 4845 22 243 24 254 22 248 4845 3924 20 234 22 238 26 231 3924 3115 19 232 21 220 27 213 3115 2395 19 229 19 208 27 211 2395 1759 17*220 19*205 26 208 1759 1230 14*211 18*201 25 206 1230 824 13 209 16 200 22 201 824 544 12 209 15 198 17 195 544 375 11 208 13 198 14*194 375 279 9 207 11 197 9*193 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography