DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 51.2 - - 48.7 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 80 - - 117 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 3710 - - 5337 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 2005 - - 3414 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 570 - - 3990 - - 5617 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1101 - - 2106 - - 1003 - - 4487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 279 - - 348 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 24 - - 29 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 334 - - 339 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -296 - - 706 - - 604 - - -4215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 866 - - 3284 - - 5014 - - 4492 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1515 - - 103 - - 464 - - -10380 ODpotential blCL - - - 2085 - - 3887 - - 5153 - - 10657 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 100 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 51.2 - - 48.7 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.2 - - 37.8 - - 27.7 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 50.9 - - 48.4 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 36.7 - - 27.1 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 80 - - 117 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 3710 - - 5337 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 46 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95837 15 257 22 302 25 288 27 299 95837 88942 10 013 17 357 13 331 24 318 88942 83590 18 018 14 021 9 015 14 338 83590 79087 23 016 21 010 18 013 21 005 79087 75181 25 010 21 002 19 020 19 018 75181 71696 20 017 13 013 16 036 20 039 71696 68493 24 010 18 003 21 005 22 012 68493 65515 33 345 21 337 20 342 10 334 65515 62721 29 317 15 308 15 334 24 329 62721 60012 21 281 23 320 32 323 31 305 60012 57182 25 300 37 308 37 301 21 287 57182 54205 41 294 41 291 31 283 34 313 54205 51342 44 276 39 281 32 289 45 305 51342 48769 37 264 38 278 44 287 46 297 48769 46465 33 275 42 279 48 283 43 291 46465 44374 41 286 47 278 47 279 41 288 44374 42458 46 279 47 275 46 279 41 286 42458 40691 44 273 47 272 45 281 40 290 40691 39055 48 271 49 272 48 282 41 295 39055 37530 59 267 56 271 52 277 43 296 37530 36103 75 261 64 270 56 270 42 294 36103 34734 83 253 64 267 56 264 38 289 34734 33355 82 248 58 261 50 264 34 284 33355 31937 75 243 50 256 45 266 33 281 31937 30480 73 239 45 259 41 267 35 283 30480 28971 74 240 45 270 39 265 38 286 28971 27407 73 243 42 275 35 271 42 291 27407 25795 70 245 33 280 38 291 44 289 25795 24122 65 242 32 297 38 300 42 289 24122 22373 65 241 33 303 37 302 40 298 22373 20546 67 249 31 302 34 306 37 305 20546 18635 62 260 29 298 32 317 34 309 18635 16638 48 273 32 298 33 327 31 315 16638 14595 43 286 29 303 34 333 30 322 14595 12618 38 295 26 312 35 336 31 326 12618 10816 30 306 31 320 33 336 30 331 10816 9218 28 315 31 322 28 333 29 338 9218 7807 27 329 29 322 25 329 30 345 7807 6564 26 329 29 326 24*332 32 350 6564 5468 22 327 27 332 25*336 32 349 5468 4502 21 338 25*332 28 338 32 347 4502 3655 27 343 25*333 29 339 32 348 3655 2908 27 337 25 333 30 340 33 350 2908 2241 25 328 25 334 30 340 33 351 2241 1650 21 321 25 334 30 340 32 352 1650 1159 16 314 24 334 30 341 30 352 1159 782 11*301 23 334 29 341 27 352 782 523 8*288 22 334 28 341 23 352 523 366 7 284 20 334 25 341 19*351 366 276 6 283 16 334 20 341 13*351 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography