DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 226 - - 112 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 1654 - - 3762 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1096 - - 2230 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 598 - - 1934 - - 4042 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 393 - - 1967 - - 1400 - - 261 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 291 - - 303 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 012 - - 008 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3017 - - -4352 - - -5078 - - -5856 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3615 - - 6286 - - 9120 - - 6135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11338 - - -10643 - - -10652 - - -12842 ODpotential blCL - - - 11936 - - 12577 - - 14694 - - 13121 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 92 - - 85 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 46.4 - - 39.2 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 71.3 - - 77.1 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 45.9 - - 38.7 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 226 - - 112 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 1654 - - 3762 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 69 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97425 20 249 15 250 18 266 10 282 97425 90130 9 282 4 224 14 249 11 263 90130 84556 10 312 7 247 7 274 7 255 84556 79940 7 299 10 274 7 290 5 332 79940 75966 5 307 7 280 8 282 8 335 75966 72470 4 057 3 310 6 284 8 311 72470 69319 10 033 4 050 2 227 5 285 69319 66434 10 012 5 032 2 090 2 276 66434 63767 7 317 5 331 4 015 2 348 63767 61188 5 259 6 320 5 335 5 341 61188 58504 7 328 9 334 7 338 7 333 58504 55723 15 312 14 321 11 324 11 323 55723 53064 17 310 16 313 15 316 16 319 53064 50654 22 314 21 316 18 321 19 319 50654 48475 25 310 24 311 23 318 23 319 48475 46482 24 309 23 307 26 315 24 321 46482 44645 21 311 21 314 27 320 26 328 44645 42935 20 316 22 326 27 329 28 333 42935 41335 22 317 24 333 27 342 29 334 41335 39827 21 318 25 337 28 348 29 334 39827 38400 20 326 26 340 29 350 29 333 38400 37016 21 336 27 341 29 352 29 335 37016 35603 23 336 27 339 30 351 31 338 35603 34132 21 330 27 338 30 349 34 342 34132 32605 21 333 28 334 30 347 35 344 32605 31008 23 329 28 330 30 343 33 342 31008 29338 20 322 27 325 31 342 29 342 29338 27597 19 301 21 317 30 334 25 343 27597 25780 16 297 18 297 23 332 20 342 25780 23896 20 307 18 282 17 317 18 336 23896 21939 20 311 15 310 16 300 16 324 21939 19891 19 314 15 323 14 308 15 319 19891 17749 18 304 15 323 16 315 12 319 17749 15567 15 311 9 317 12 326 7 340 15567 13469 10 332 6 327 8 339 6 314 13469 11562 9 355 3 307 6 356 7 317 11562 9865 11 030 1 167 5 005 8 344 9865 8359 8 036 5 067 5 042 6 359 8359 7025 9 037 6 059 5 024 7 001 7025 5846 9 036 4 055 5 003 8 358 5846 4808 9 021 5 030 6*012 8 033 4808 3898 9 003 6 015 6*012 11 050 3898 3097 8 004 6 015 6 011 11 045 3097 2381 7 014 6*018 6 009 9 027 2381 1749 6 024 5*016 6 007 7 006 1749 1223 7 045 5 013 6 005 7 350 1223 819 7*052 5 010 5 004 7 340 819 542 5*049 4 009 5 003 7 331 542 374 5 049 4 007 5 003 6*323 374 278 4 047 4 009 5 001 5*322 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography