DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 73.8 - - 75.5 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 163 - - 57 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 3826 - - 4552 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2513 - - 2117 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 598 - - 4106 - - 4832 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 401 - - 1336 - - 1113 - - 4649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 345 - - 259 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 169 - - 180 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2446 - - -2218 - - -2064 - - -4275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3045 - - 6324 - - 6896 - - 4555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10261 - - -8925 - - -8520 - - -10779 ODpotential blCL - - - 10859 - - 13031 - - 13352 - - 11058 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 85 - - 89 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 73.8 - - 75.5 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 47.4 - - 46.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 72.7 - - 75.0 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 47.0 - - 46.2 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 163 - - 57 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 318 - - 3826 - - 4552 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 40 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97260 42 254 53 249 59 268 46 279 97260 89974 23 252 31 250 34 257 37 271 89974 84337 12 254 17 254 20 260 22 260 84337 79669 15 269 11 268 12 275 16 268 79669 75683 17 267 13 255 10 268 13 271 75683 72192 12 256 12 222 17 227 18 257 72192 69036 10 255 9 232 15 224 14 254 69036 66129 16 240 9 237 15 229 17 265 66129 63430 16 215 15 236 20 231 22 251 63430 60820 19 216 19 240 20 241 23 239 60820 58092 28 230 32 237 31 241 29 237 58092 55258 42 226 38 227 40 235 44 236 55258 52559 35 235 48 232 49 241 48 237 52559 50129 54 233 61 229 59 236 56 229 50129 47943 53 225 59 227 62 235 58 239 47943 45959 45 235 60 231 70 234 70 244 45959 44148 45 241 57 233 68 233 79 243 44148 42483 44 239 52 235 63 236 83 240 42483 40939 42 230 50 233 60 236 78 238 40939 39490 41 231 47 228 58 235 72 235 39490 38118 44 236 46 225 58 233 70 234 38118 36784 44 237 47 227 58 235 69 236 36784 35421 41 234 49 232 55 236 65 240 35421 34002 37 226 48 235 49 234 58 243 34002 32529 36 224 46 236 43 228 50 241 32529 30984 40 224 45 237 41 215 45 233 30984 29352 40 227 41 234 42 219 47 226 29352 27634 34 227 37 230 44 223 49 221 27634 25829 28 215 38 221 45 225 47 217 25829 23939 31 210 40 212 46 222 42 217 23939 21971 28 208 35 210 44 217 35 225 21971 19922 23 204 30 208 38 217 27 232 19922 17783 22 212 26 219 31 221 29 236 17783 15597 22 220 24 230 33 236 27 232 15597 13486 18 230 21 225 21 242 21 243 13486 11565 14 239 17 215 17 238 14 247 11565 9859 11 222 13 209 14 233 10 262 9859 8350 11 207 12 207 11 229 9 272 8350 7017 8 203 9 201 9 218 7 254 7017 5844 6 234 6 198 6*184 8 201 5844 4812 6 236 5*181 6*172 8 169 4812 3904 5 207 5*170 5 174 7 160 3904 3103 6 170 5 168 5 176 6 162 3103 2386 7 175 5 169 5 179 5 167 2386 1753 10 171 5 168 4 183 4 176 1753 1226 13 173 4 170 4 186 3 185 1226 821 12*171 4 171 4 189 3 194 821 543 8*168 4 171 4 189 3 202 543 375 7 168 4 172 4 189 2*211 375 278 6 167 4 172 4 190 2*211 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography