DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.5 - - 61.2 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 410 - - 272 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2650 - - 3313 - - 3705 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1653 - - 2513 - - 2665 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2930 - - 3593 - - 3985 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 496 - - 846 - - 3957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 446 - - 404 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 052 - - 064 - - 067 - - 068 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3103 - - -4846 - - -6187 - - -8280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6033 - - 8439 - - 10173 - - 8558 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18916 - - -17963 - - -17779 - - -20164 ODpotential blCL - - - 21846 - - 21556 - - 21764 - - 20442 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 48 - - 50 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 55.5 - - 61.2 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 20.1 - - 18.1 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 53.5 - - 59.8 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.7 - - 19.0 - - 17.0 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 410 - - 272 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2650 - - 3313 - - 3705 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96510 47 247 41 264 44 263 51 269 96510 89206 31 259 37 266 40 259 41 264 89206 83669 32 268 32 277 35 265 38 265 83669 79086 33 276 28 287 28 277 32 279 79086 75142 28 285 29 280 30 283 31 289 75142 71662 22 287 26 274 30 285 31 289 71662 68519 23 293 24 278 28 288 29 286 68519 65642 27 295 27 284 31 294 31 290 65642 62997 33 294 32 291 34 283 32 287 62997 60447 39 289 37 294 34 282 35 285 60447 57785 47 290 47 295 40 292 42 289 57785 55018 54 286 55 291 52 294 48 291 55018 52364 58 280 59 285 57 290 50 291 52364 49951 60 276 59 284 58 287 51 293 49951 47760 59 278 59 283 59 289 54 293 47760 45746 60 287 61 284 63 287 58 289 45746 43889 67 291 61 287 65 290 59 287 43889 42185 73 289 65 288 68 292 58 286 42185 40624 74 288 70 287 70 291 61 288 40624 39178 74 290 72 288 72 290 67 288 39178 37819 72 290 72 289 71 289 68 287 37819 36498 70 288 71 290 69 289 65 288 36498 35146 68 291 69 291 67 290 59 290 35146 33738 66 294 64 292 61 289 54 291 33738 32274 66 295 62 294 56 293 50 289 32274 30741 66 295 64 297 56 299 47 289 30741 29122 66 298 62 299 56 299 48 293 29122 27416 64 297 59 300 56 299 50 294 27416 25622 57 296 54 299 53 299 51 297 25622 23737 53 298 48 296 48 300 46 305 23737 21768 48 301 41 300 42 301 40 302 21768 19711 41 304 34 308 32 305 31 295 19711 17564 30 308 28 310 24 309 27 291 17564 15375 25 310 21 306 18 307 26 298 15375 13268 22 315 15 304 15 289 24 300 13268 11357 17 323 14 320 10 285 21 292 11357 9667 13 319 10 325 7 289 15 287 9667 8172 15 342 9 353 3 316 9 279 8172 6852 19 018 10 022 4 030 2 276 6852 5688 26 044 14 064 9 098 9 174 5688 4668 29 053 20 075 9*076 8 123 4668 3784 31*053 14*068 9*069 8 085 3784 3007 27*053 13*066 9 068 9 079 3007 2314 22 053 13 065 9 067 8 077 2314 1702 21 052 13 064 9 067 8 076 1702 1192 20 051 13 064 9 066 8 074 1192 801 19 051 12 063 9 065 8 073 801 533 18 051 12 063 8 065 7 072 533 370 16 050 11 063 8 066 6*071 370 277 13 050 10 062 7 066 4*068 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography