DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1010z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.1 - - 77.1 - - 85.4 - - 88.3 - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 120 - - 324 - - 226 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2185 - - 4948 - - 6635 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 259 - - 1254 - - 3716 - - 4855 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 276 - - 2465 - - 5228 - - 6915 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 508 - - 944 - - 2408 - - 2634 - - 9268 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 272 - - 481 - - 472 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 20 - - 24 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 187 - - 197 - - 180 - - 191 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -727 - - -118 - - -187 - - 214 - - -4761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1003 - - 2583 - - 5416 - - 6701 - - 5040 sfcLCL ODpotential -5118 - - -2882 - - -2591 - - -654 - - -5454 ODpotential blCL 5394 - - 5347 - - 7819 - - 7569 - - 5732 blCL maxRH 83 - - 76 - - 79 - - 75 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 500 - - 630 - - 520 - - 430 - - 1210 CAPE Temp@2m 68.1 - - 77.1 - - 85.4 - - 88.3 - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.4 - - 66.4 - - 62.4 - - 59.7 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 76.5 - - 83.8 - - 87.1 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.1 - - 65.3 - - 61.5 - - 58.8 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 120 - - 324 - - 226 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2185 - - 4948 - - 6635 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 5 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97885 22 108 25 096 21 114 15 107 12 090 97885 90403 20 091 23 098 20 101 17 092 16 080 90403 84710 20 087 20 098 21 091 19 101 22 090 84710 80027 20 085 22 097 22 092 20 107 22 093 80027 76012 19 081 23 100 20 109 16 097 20 096 76012 72472 16 079 19 104 18 115 11 106 11 086 72472 69270 10 080 16 102 12 114 12 106 5 111 69270 66317 3 044 10 091 9 121 6 114 2 126 66317 63569 2 293 3 051 8 126 7 141 6 199 63569 60910 7 289 7 292 4 241 2 147 6 180 60910 58140 4 279 5 287 6 238 8 231 5 185 58140 55278 17 276 13 283 11 273 12 246 11 231 55278 52561 20 271 19 282 19 266 17 242 21 228 52561 50121 25 277 24 273 24 251 22 222 32 217 50121 47929 33 269 28 258 30 244 36 238 38 230 47929 45933 36 260 41 259 41 243 55 245 58 235 45933 44112 49 261 37 244 35 229 51 233 56 216 44112 42450 36 253 34 228 27 221 32 209 33 184 42450 40904 25 233 39 219 29 221 23 217 28 179 40904 39448 27 227 41 215 36 218 17 226 27 186 39448 38070 28 216 40 213 40 222 18 239 30 205 38070 36733 29 215 40 214 41 225 21 220 34 211 36733 35369 28 224 36 216 40 228 34 220 36 217 35369 33948 25 231 31 216 38 228 36 227 38 219 33948 32472 21 226 29 220 35 223 36 221 39 218 32472 30926 23 220 29 215 35 219 35 218 40 215 30926 29295 26 218 32 216 33 216 37 219 41 208 29295 27580 24 220 32 220 33 219 38 222 41 205 27580 25784 18 221 29 221 33 227 37 224 39 211 25784 23909 15 227 25 212 28 222 34 220 38 219 23909 21956 13 236 20 207 27 207 33 212 35 217 21956 19921 10 246 14 204 23 199 32 209 33 213 19921 17798 9 243 10 193 20 197 28 206 32 217 17798 15628 12 224 12 199 20 198 27 205 31 220 15628 13537 15 221 15 206 23 196 28 203 35 221 13537 11640 19 223 20 212 25 198 29 200 37 220 11640 9963 25 214 25 211 27 200 30 201 36 216 9963 8474 29 206 26 202 29 204 30 205 35 213 8474 7147 28 209 25 195 27 199 30*205 31 204 7147 5965 30 212 24 192 26*191 30*204 28 198 5965 4915 29 205 23 196 26*188 27 198 25 193 4915 3989 29 196 23 201 25 185 25 191 24 192 3989 3170 28 194 24*202 21 179 24 188 23 190 3170 2437 28 201 23*201 20 178 23 186 22 188 2437 1789 31 210 21 199 19 177 22 185 21 187 1789 1249 30 209 17 196 18 176 21 184 20 185 1249 834 27 204 16 194 17 176 20 183 18 184 834 549 19 192 14 194 16 175 19 182 16 182 549 376 17*191 13 194 15 175 18 182 13*181 376 277 7*187 11 193 13 175 15 181 10*181 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography