DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.8 - - 27.8 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 305 - - 144 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2178 - - 2322 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1564 - - 1359 - - 258 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2458 - - 2602 - - 275 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 524 - - 550 - - 2185 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 350 - - 279 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 014 - - 016 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2731 - - -3489 - - -3870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5189 - - 6091 - - 4145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -22307 - - -22330 - - -23666 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 24765 - - 24932 - - 23941 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 53 - - 42 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.8 - - 27.8 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 3.6 - - 2.7 - - 5.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 23.5 - - 27.2 - - 22.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 2.5 - - 2.1 - - 4.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 305 - - 144 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2178 - - 2322 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95848 84 252 77 251 89 256 95848 88808 60 259 54 262 55 268 88808 83437 41 261 46 263 39 283 83437 78967 34 275 33 275 32 295 78967 75094 26 280 23 287 23 310 75094 71646 23 304 24 307 20 322 71646 68498 26 299 27 309 23 335 68498 65591 24 293 28 309 28 327 65591 62894 25 296 28 312 27 319 62894 60268 28 306 29 311 30 315 60268 57516 35 308 33 306 38 311 57516 54663 44 305 42 309 37 311 54663 51949 51 299 46 308 44 324 51949 49521 54 298 50 312 49 328 49521 47341 56 303 54 312 50 324 47341 45357 57 307 52 309 48 316 45357 43540 57 308 51 309 45 317 43540 41863 63 304 57 306 51 315 41863 40311 70 298 62 300 57 308 40311 38871 70 296 66 294 59 297 38871 37521 69 298 68 294 56 293 37521 36213 68 301 69 295 57 292 36213 34873 70 300 66 296 60 291 34873 33472 69 299 63 298 61 292 33472 32012 65 303 62 301 61 294 32012 30478 61 304 60 300 59 299 30478 28858 60 300 56 296 52 302 28858 27149 59 298 54 299 48 306 27149 25351 59 301 52 308 44 309 25351 23463 58 308 51 313 37 310 23463 21490 55 311 46 315 34 309 21490 19424 53 310 43 318 33 315 19424 17265 51 313 43 320 29 324 17265 15060 46 320 39 325 25 327 15060 12941 40 323 36 327 24 327 12941 11025 37 326 32 328 26 327 11025 9334 37 333 30 334 26 331 9334 7845 36 343 29 341 25 339 7845 6538 32 353 26 353 21 348 6538 5399 30 003 23 007 17 001 5399 4411 30 010 22 019 17 024 4411 3558 29 018 23 020 20 025 3558 2820 24*019 19*016 21 022 2820 2170 17*014 18*016 21 026 2170 1599 17 014 18 016 21 031 1599 1125 17 014 18 016 20 033 1125 762 16 013 17 016 18 034 762 512 15 013 17 016 15 034 512 361 14 013 15 016 12*034 361 274 12 013 13 015 7*033 274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography