DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 62.7 - - 63.6 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 156 - - 67 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1765 - - 2928 - - 3833 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 1929 - - 2110 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2045 - - 3208 - - 4113 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 1420 - - 1424 - - 5770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 330 - - 284 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 008 - - 000 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1045 - - -1169 - - -1066 - - -2843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3090 - - 4377 - - 5179 - - 3122 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3541 - - -5843 - - -5859 - - -4275 ODpotential blCL - - - 5586 - - 9051 - - 9972 - - 4553 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 83 - - 84 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 62.7 - - 63.6 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 44.6 - - 42.0 - - 47.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 61.9 - - 63.3 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 43.3 - - 40.7 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 156 - - 67 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1765 - - 2928 - - 3833 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 33 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97704 32 250 30 251 31 266 28 266 97704 90246 22 261 26 240 31 249 26 269 90246 84529 15 246 21 232 22 251 24 239 84529 79818 12 215 13 221 17 249 17 238 79818 75768 5 204 9 235 22 218 15 291 75768 72177 3 258 7 243 19 216 17 288 72177 68920 2 324 6 275 10 231 18 241 68920 65944 4 006 8 274 8 241 23 227 65944 63182 22 291 15 272 12 256 23 231 63182 60485 38 276 27 272 25 276 28 278 60485 57670 50 254 46 265 48 272 43 273 57670 54766 47 259 52 255 53 262 49 267 54766 52001 56 272 57 260 55 262 55 261 52001 49510 73 264 64 262 69 265 55 260 49510 47269 77 265 73 261 75 261 62 267 47269 45232 89 271 78 265 81 261 74 269 45232 43366 103 266 99 261 90 260 89 265 43366 41657 118 261 114 253 102 256 108 256 41657 40089 125 257 119 250 115 254 114 250 40089 38634 129 254 119 248 121 252 116 245 38634 37272 136 250 119 248 117 247 111 238 37272 35959 139 248 117 247 114 238 111 231 35959 34617 136 248 114 247 112 237 109 231 34617 33212 132 249 112 247 110 238 104 231 33212 31748 124 251 110 247 104 241 100 234 31748 30210 117 250 107 247 102 244 99 239 30210 28587 105 253 105 248 105 249 98 246 28587 26882 103 262 101 252 101 256 91 253 26882 25095 99 265 97 257 85 261 74 260 25095 23231 86 273 95 265 80 267 70 267 23231 21296 58 273 57 272 67 273 57 275 21296 19294 43 275 36 275 42 274 39 270 19294 17215 38 287 31 272 32 272 31 263 17215 15092 35 289 30 263 28 266 29 273 15092 13047 29 293 28 258 27 267 27 279 13047 11191 24 297 23 266 23 272 24 291 11191 9549 18 297 21 281 19 288 18 302 9549 8099 11 291 21 291 16 305 13 326 8099 6820 5 312 16 303 16 314 12 019 6820 5689 10 008 12 323 15 336 13 032 5689 4687 16 013 16 341 14*003 15 028 4687 3805 25 008 15*001 14*002 16 022 3805 3026 25 013 15*007 14 001 17 017 3026 2329 21*025 15 008 14 000 17 014 2329 1713 17*034 15 008 13 000 17 012 1713 1200 16 036 15 008 13 360 16 010 1200 807 15 036 14 008 13 359 14 007 807 536 14 036 14 009 12 359 12 004 536 371 13 036 13 008 11 359 10*001 371 277 10 035 11 008 10 359 5*358 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography