DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 65.8 - - 67.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 201 - - 304 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 554 - - 481 - - 584 - - 540 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1578 - - 924 - - 1283 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 37 - - 54 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 097 - - 214 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 220 - - 166 - - 264 - - 220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 334 - - 315 - - 320 - - 320 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 70 - - -44 - - 98 - - 37 ODpotential blCL - - - 484 - - 525 - - 486 - - 503 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 470 - - 160 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 65.8 - - 67.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 65.1 - - 66.9 - - 63.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 66.0 - - 67.8 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 65.1 - - 66.8 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 274 - - 201 - - 304 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96861 81 256 87 260 79 261 75 261 96861 89719 55 263 51 252 60 262 58 270 89719 84201 29 274 37 261 43 265 45 277 84201 79648 24 296 26 285 28 271 28 282 79648 75751 33 303 17 303 17 284 20 287 75751 72292 27 304 13 304 14 302 16 314 72292 69127 15 317 15 298 17 291 17 318 69127 66190 12 340 17 305 15 287 20 311 66190 63449 18 316 16 304 18 303 23 299 63449 60797 24 291 17 293 26 297 23 297 60797 58034 25 288 23 294 22 289 21 306 58034 55192 26 285 25 302 31 306 34 298 55192 52521 22 280 42 295 43 306 33 304 52521 50154 40 299 44 300 52 319 63 315 50154 48055 45 306 55 312 71 307 58 314 48055 46142 57 331 55 308 66 306 50 313 46142 44372 77 337 81 333 56 325 69 331 44372 42724 106 333 108 336 79 335 79 328 42724 41186 119 330 111 329 92 327 75 323 41186 39741 109 332 108 327 91 322 67 317 39741 38372 98 336 107 333 87 322 64 315 38372 37036 90 337 106 335 84 327 64 321 37036 35667 69 334 93 334 76 334 58 323 35667 34237 47 326 84 339 72 340 52 316 34237 32747 28 315 80 347 64 340 49 312 32747 31183 15 309 64 338 52 339 39 329 31183 29534 6 312 62 327 46 342 32 331 29534 27800 7 295 58 325 44 326 31 313 27800 25978 19 297 45 328 45 319 34 314 25978 24072 24 301 29 322 42 321 28 317 24072 22086 22 298 20 308 38 328 24 312 22086 20010 18 295 17 294 28 328 22 323 20010 17840 11 274 15 278 17 299 18 319 17840 15632 11 247 12 260 12 280 14 310 15632 13516 14 238 12 247 10 248 10 298 13516 11599 13 228 12 245 10 236 10 261 11599 9897 10 207 12 241 11 233 13 238 9897 8389 14 203 14 234 12 230 15 222 8389 7053 16 217 16 227 11 227 14 203 7053 5868 18 222 17 222 13 224 13 183 5868 4821 18 225 16 217 14 221 11 177 4821 3901 16 229 16 209 14 219 8 159 3901 3094 14 229 16 198 13 220 6 141 3094 2375 12 221 14 189 11 223 7 130 2375 1741 11 216 12 179 11 223 9 120 1741 1215 10 211 9 164 9 222 10 102 1215 814 9*207 6 142 6*219 9*078 814 540 7*203 5*110 4*216 8*073 540 373 6 202 4*101 4 214 7 069 373 278 5 202 3 094 3 211 5 067 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography