DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 78.1 - - 86.6 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 83 - - 116 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 981 - - 1229 - - 4009 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 2502 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1261 - - 1509 - - 4289 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 452 - - 1243 - - 1197 - - 4912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 197 - - 324 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 189 - - 206 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2704 - - -3124 - - -1509 - - -5048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3965 - - 4633 - - 5799 - - 5328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10610 - - -8802 - - -5275 - - -8964 ODpotential blCL - - - 11871 - - 10311 - - 9564 - - 9244 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 94 - - 96 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 1350 - - 1190 - - 1260 - - 1010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 78.1 - - 86.6 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 58.9 - - 62.1 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 77.7 - - 85.9 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 58.0 - - 61.2 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 83 - - 116 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 981 - - 1229 - - 4009 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 77 - - 83 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98280 8 225 9 174 4 225 6 287 98280 90849 4 208 7 140 8 156 8 240 90849 85125 4 131 10 187 6 202 8 276 85125 80361 6 125 11 183 9 215 5 256 80361 76243 5 143 8 185 7 213 3 203 76243 72599 1 280 2 168 2 213 1 030 72599 69322 3 283 3 214 3 232 7 277 69322 66337 1 334 1 262 4 197 6 256 66337 63580 10 290 8 305 5 251 6 294 63580 60911 12 290 11 297 9 279 11 332 60911 58133 17 289 16 287 20 284 24 285 58133 55258 17 283 20 275 22 279 22 268 55258 52509 24 287 25 290 28 288 27 287 52509 50036 29 290 33 281 35 280 35 281 50036 47831 32 292 28 278 38 277 35 281 47831 45847 36 285 33 279 42 280 46 275 45847 44050 37 287 39 281 43 276 48 275 44050 42403 47 289 49 282 47 274 51 280 42403 40864 56 289 55 282 53 277 53 280 40864 39417 59 288 52 280 54 278 53 281 39417 38047 45 281 46 273 52 280 55 281 38047 36717 32 269 36 257 49 281 54 280 36717 35363 31 271 30 246 44 281 49 276 35363 33956 21 291 25 249 34 284 44 272 33956 32495 19 299 25 252 29 291 41 269 32495 30961 17 287 24 262 28 290 38 270 30961 29341 22 261 27 279 28 287 33 269 29341 27636 32 269 34 283 26 287 27 260 27636 25847 34 266 34 279 30 287 18 255 25847 23975 33 258 35 268 30 281 15 265 23975 22022 29 257 34 261 29 255 19 258 22022 19985 29 262 31 245 40 247 35 245 19985 17870 37 259 40 246 45 251 42 244 17870 15715 36 252 40 252 41 256 44 249 15715 13629 35 253 35 257 35 250 42 255 13629 11723 33 262 32 261 34 248 37 255 11723 10024 25 260 27 258 32 253 33 249 10024 8512 23 262 22 252 26 256 30 250 8512 7167 22 270 23 254 25 254 27 246 7167 5974 22 265 23 253 24 248 24 235 5974 4920 19 238 24 239 20*231 24 209 4920 3993 21 232 25 228 16*208 23 201 3993 3174 24 226 24 222 16 207 23 200 3174 2440 28 206 23 206 15 206 22 199 2440 1792 27*192 18*193 15 205 21 199 1792 1251 24*189 17*191 14 205 20 198 1251 837 18 186 14 189 13 205 17 197 837 551 17 185 12 189 13 204 14 195 551 378 15 185 11 188 12 204 11*194 378 279 12 185 9 188 10 204 7*192 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography