DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.5 - - 95.0 - - 89.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 175 - - 75 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1223 - - 5346 - - 5530 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 3743 - - 3328 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1503 - - 5626 - - 5810 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2776 - - 2804 - - 4594 - - 7965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 409 - - 322 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 19 - - 28 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 207 - - 311 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -5 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2331 - - -303 - - -700 - - -4361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3835 - - 5929 - - 6510 - - 4641 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4143 - - -1679 - - -2087 - - -6285 ODpotential blCL - - - 5646 - - 7305 - - 7897 - - 6565 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 74 - - 64 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 1260 - - 1040 - - 1010 - - 1420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.2 - - 93.5 - - 95.0 - - 89.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.5 - - 68.6 - - 67.6 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.5 - - 92.3 - - 94.6 - - 92.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 67.5 - - 66.4 - - 69.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 175 - - 75 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1223 - - 5346 - - 5530 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98802 31 094 18 092 14 068 23 078 98802 91439 25 095 18 090 21 086 20 074 91439 85769 22 086 18 088 21 082 20 065 85769 81050 24 081 19 096 15 081 19 066 81050 76970 26 084 22 094 15 117 14 065 76970 73359 22 079 23 087 21 120 9 089 73359 70094 16 083 18 081 18 090 11 100 70094 67104 15 095 16 094 16 062 15 075 67104 64333 14 110 14 103 11 102 10 073 64333 61651 10 115 6 101 6 123 6 122 61651 58898 4 090 4 127 2 018 3 343 58898 56100 7 135 10 145 3 162 5 013 56100 53459 12 146 11 154 8 184 0 081 53459 51088 14 121 10 143 9 176 6 214 51088 48957 15 112 11 124 7 131 5 195 48957 47012 13 112 11 122 7 115 5 153 47012 45218 5 123 8 113 5 093 4 115 45218 43548 4 135 8 106 5 092 2 022 43548 41980 7 049 11 104 8 118 5 299 41980 40499 10 038 13 101 12 118 2 194 40499 39097 8 017 15 100 15 118 6 137 39097 37737 5 344 7 077 13 111 8 103 37737 36345 3 272 2 068 6 082 5 051 36345 34891 6 272 4 317 3 010 7 349 34891 33377 11 290 10 312 7 339 9 343 33377 31787 16 291 14 309 12 331 11 330 31787 30111 16 292 15 303 13 323 14 317 30111 28348 13 297 13 295 16 315 17 313 28348 26497 8 280 10 278 14 303 15 318 26497 24561 5 272 9 276 11 280 14 303 24561 22546 6 276 8 268 7 285 10 305 22546 20444 2 298 5 232 7 298 7 343 20444 18248 3 333 2 018 4 347 8 350 18248 16009 5 085 4 045 6 027 7 009 16009 13855 11 066 9 070 8 054 9 027 13855 11905 12 055 13 062 10 066 10 035 11905 10182 10 057 9 035 6 078 6 046 10182 8655 5 089 5 004 3 103 3 095 8655 7293 7 138 2 196 2 138 3 128 7293 6082 10 135 4*186 1*159 4 145 6082 5008 7 141 5*190 0*219 3 158 5008 4061 5 180 5 193 1 292 3 166 4061 3225 6 214 4 202 2 308 2 175 3225 2478 9 222 4 208 2 311 1 197 2478 1818 11*215 4 215 3 314 1 338 1818 1268 10*212 4 221 3 316 2 350 1268 846 9 212 4 226 3 316 3 350 846 557 9 212 3 228 3 315 3 349 557 381 8 212 3 230 3 317 3*352 381 280 7 213 3 230 3 318 2*354 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography