DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0655z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 75.5 - - 77.9 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 240 - - 107 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 344 - - 3811 - - 5567 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 261 - - 2694 - - 3485 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 624 - - 4091 - - 5847 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 564 - - 1492 - - 1017 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 392 - - 339 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 144 - - 117 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3316 - - -4357 - - -4455 - - -6798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3940 - - 8449 - - 10303 - - 7077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12288 - - -14436 - - -14618 - - -18767 ODpotential blCL - - - 12912 - - 18527 - - 20465 - - 19046 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 79 - - 92 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 75.5 - - 77.9 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 39.8 - - 34.0 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 74.0 - - 77.2 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 39.3 - - 33.6 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 240 - - 107 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 344 - - 3811 - - 5567 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 67 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97470 29 254 33 262 28 266 30 268 97470 90148 13 240 18 266 13 268 17 262 90148 84509 2 217 9 240 6 250 9 273 84509 79852 5 129 9 184 7 224 7 297 79852 75858 6 084 8 137 6 174 5 238 75858 72337 5 069 3 091 3 055 6 131 72337 69166 7 113 6 203 7 277 3 347 69166 66281 11 110 9 208 7 271 5 332 66281 63621 4 099 9 216 8 247 7 293 63621 61045 1 105 6 208 12 216 14 223 61045 58360 8 295 2 261 9 205 10 227 58360 55575 14 268 15 260 12 249 17 250 55575 52927 17 267 18 258 16 244 23 242 52927 50547 17 267 17 265 16 250 18 237 50547 48395 25 275 28 271 23 271 36 255 48395 46427 37 267 38 261 45 255 49 247 46427 44613 44 261 42 274 44 249 42 250 44613 42936 36 258 47 274 45 270 44 276 42936 41380 22 266 45 270 56 276 62 272 41380 39922 20 292 34 269 47 273 54 269 39922 38541 22 293 30 264 30 257 42 272 38541 37194 25 305 28 259 34 261 37 274 37194 35813 23 312 23 261 34 261 31 271 35813 34368 18 319 20 265 34 271 25 266 34368 32869 14 301 23 276 30 277 19 270 32869 31302 17 289 26 278 27 283 12 280 31302 29649 19 290 23 273 23 283 11 262 29649 27911 19 283 21 265 21 268 14 248 27911 26085 14 280 17 265 19 263 14 244 26085 24169 11 278 11 276 11 264 11 241 24169 22167 6 254 7 279 6 266 7 234 22167 20072 2 200 5 267 5 273 5 246 20072 17883 4 118 2 139 1 248 3 252 17883 15652 5 081 6 089 4 082 2 065 15652 13508 13 074 8 099 5 092 5 059 13508 11568 14 079 9 092 6 089 7 061 11568 9854 12 064 12 082 9 088 8 086 9854 8343 13 054 14 082 11 094 11 101 8343 7011 11 059 14 084 11*104 11 105 7011 5839 9 074 12 096 6*114 7 102 5839 4807 7 089 8*116 6 116 6 106 4807 3899 6 108 6*139 6 117 7 110 3899 3098 5 150 6 142 5 118 8 111 3098 2382 9 177 5 144 5 119 8 112 2382 1750 11 176 5 145 5 118 9 113 1750 1223 12 172 5 146 5 119 9 113 1223 819 10*170 5 146 4 118 9 113 819 542 6*168 4 147 4 119 9 113 542 374 6 168 4 147 4 119 7*112 374 278 5 168 4 147 4 118 5*113 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography