DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.3 - - 86.0 - - 91.0 - - 92.1 - - 88.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 117 - - 208 - - 119 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2053 - - 4561 - - 4984 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit 263 - - 1137 - - 3252 - - 3294 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top 280 - - 2333 - - 4841 - - 5264 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1069 - - 2624 - - 1650 - - 2387 - - 6603 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 263 - - 414 - - 363 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 050 - - 347 - - 341 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1113 - - -2455 - - -692 - - -371 - - -5138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1394 - - 4789 - - 5534 - - 5635 - - 5418 sfcLCL ODpotential -3536 - - -5040 - - -2853 - - -3043 - - -7191 ODpotential blCL 3816 - - 7373 - - 7694 - - 8307 - - 7471 blCL maxRH 83 - - 92 - - 82 - - 73 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 1280 - - 390 - - 680 - - 1050 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m 78.3 - - 86.0 - - 91.0 - - 92.1 - - 88.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.7 - - 66.0 - - 67.5 - - 68.2 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.6 - - 85.3 - - 89.7 - - 91.4 - - 90.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.5 - - 64.8 - - 66.3 - - 66.9 - - 64.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 117 - - 208 - - 119 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2053 - - 4561 - - 4984 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 67 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98570 24 090 27 092 23 101 19 092 28 078 98570 91091 26 082 28 100 26 108 21 108 17 086 91091 85332 21 081 25 091 24 102 21 100 16 096 85332 80555 19 087 21 087 24 091 24 086 21 100 80555 76456 23 091 20 101 23 087 22 092 22 089 76456 72855 24 092 23 105 22 088 19 094 23 078 72855 69605 22 100 24 099 19 101 17 099 17 078 69605 66626 19 090 18 091 16 107 14 102 15 080 66626 63877 15 088 12 086 15 119 10 106 14 072 63877 61237 16 095 12 076 12 134 5 121 8 062 61237 58510 16 063 12 072 9 126 6 157 2 259 58510 55712 12 027 10 072 10 087 5 166 5 228 55712 53067 15 040 8 049 7 061 2 270 6 290 53067 50703 17 014 10 359 11 353 9 345 9 313 50703 48587 17 001 8 344 13 332 9 332 12 306 48587 46662 13 354 5 039 12 321 9 313 13 289 46662 44887 3 319 8 079 6 324 8 281 12 277 44887 43228 5 039 7 091 6 311 10 295 11 286 43228 41666 13 030 7 053 9 334 16 322 10 317 41666 40189 15 016 15 021 15 354 17 318 15 318 40189 38789 16 024 19 013 13 012 14 317 18 313 38789 37427 15 028 17 014 12 016 11 326 15 314 37427 36036 14 008 16 018 15 010 12 332 8 304 36036 34584 11 002 17 019 15 006 12 337 8 300 34584 33075 7 017 14 007 11 013 9 333 8 281 33075 31491 8 010 7 344 9 026 3 338 8 274 31491 29822 10 358 4 310 7 347 6 335 12 299 29822 28066 13 358 7 320 10 316 11 333 12 313 28066 26225 14 346 9 335 11 322 10 343 10 322 26225 24302 17 338 13 351 11 342 8 357 6 296 24302 22304 15 336 15 357 9 342 7 339 6 288 22304 20224 14 332 15 357 10 323 11 324 11 316 20224 18058 16 336 16 351 11 317 14 321 15 329 18058 15851 15 341 17 344 12 321 16 327 16 335 15851 13727 12 340 17 338 16 332 16 334 18 337 13727 11796 15 342 16 332 20 330 19 337 19 340 11796 10083 13 331 16 331 23 328 23 341 21 340 10083 8564 14 300 16 311 22 328 23 340 21 336 8564 7214 18 304 18 309 20 322 19 335 20 336 7214 6016 15 315 14 328 17 327 13*334 19 341 6016 4955 9 331 12 344 10*338 11*339 17 349 4955 4020 8 343 8 002 7*347 11 341 15 360 4020 3195 8 013 8 040 7 348 11 342 13 013 3195 2456 14 032 9*051 7 347 11 342 12 023 2456 1803 17 038 9*051 7 347 11 342 11 025 1803 1259 18 033 9 050 7 346 11 341 11 027 1259 841 17 027 9 050 7 345 10 342 10 028 841 554 12 021 8 049 6 344 10 341 9 028 554 380 11*020 7 049 6 344 9 341 8*028 380 280 5*019 7 048 6 343 8 341 6*029 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography