DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.2 - - 76.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 49 - - 40 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 696 - - 1885 - - 3049 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 976 - - 2165 - - 3329 - - 279 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 895 - - 918 - - 867 - - 507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 201 - - 222 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 024 - - 032 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -948 - - -717 - - -716 - - -2354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1924 - - 2882 - - 4045 - - 2633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7682 - - -7355 - - -6438 - - -9251 ODpotential blCL - - - 8658 - - 9520 - - 9767 - - 9530 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - 95 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.2 - - 76.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.3 - - 60.6 - - 59.9 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 72.1 - - 76.4 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 59.4 - - 58.7 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 49 - - 40 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 696 - - 1885 - - 3049 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 79 - - 79 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98109 15 228 11 206 17 253 10 281 98109 90729 5 180 12 211 12 210 11 241 90729 85023 9 165 17 210 9 234 10 208 85023 80291 5 137 14 206 12 238 3 225 80291 76240 4 358 5 131 10 186 4 270 76240 72681 2 114 5 336 4 052 3 196 72681 69471 6 026 2 265 5 350 4 346 69471 66538 10 338 7 282 7 317 7 315 66538 63838 11 298 13 268 14 290 13 299 63838 61228 16 276 18 281 16 263 12 287 61228 58523 21 281 24 283 21 269 31 290 58523 55758 31 281 31 273 28 267 37 272 55758 53122 37 278 33 275 35 272 34 278 53122 50727 42 271 43 277 44 278 49 281 50727 48569 43 266 54 273 55 274 58 276 48569 46601 46 264 56 266 61 266 69 270 46601 44789 53 260 59 263 63 260 73 261 44789 43102 70 255 74 256 77 252 73 254 43102 41521 87 251 95 249 94 244 85 246 41521 40032 88 249 93 241 95 239 98 242 40032 38622 81 247 94 239 93 238 88 242 38622 37251 70 245 92 239 90 238 79 241 37251 35851 63 244 82 244 84 240 76 238 35851 34392 52 246 65 249 71 244 70 237 34392 32880 43 248 51 250 54 247 60 237 32880 31301 39 243 34 241 46 252 53 237 31301 29637 37 237 26 235 40 250 52 248 29637 27887 37 238 25 229 40 248 43 269 27887 26057 30 249 20 225 33 257 27 286 26057 24152 16 269 14 230 24 269 7 317 24152 22171 9 311 8 252 10 308 9 008 22171 20104 8 287 4 329 9 344 12 019 20104 17940 7 052 7 020 6 009 13 021 17940 15727 6 047 6 022 4 017 10 018 15727 13595 5 282 5 360 3 343 7 338 13595 11659 9 278 4 297 5 308 7 320 11659 9942 11 293 5 297 8 307 7 016 9942 8421 10 287 6 289 10 319 12 038 8421 7075 6 279 8 298 11 348 15 029 7075 5884 5 335 7 328 13 006 14 025 5884 4837 10 030 9 015 13 025 12 040 4837 3920 18 033 15 038 15*038 14 050 3920 3114 20 024 19 038 14*035 16 044 3114 2394 20 021 17*033 13 034 17 033 2394 1758 18 025 14*025 12 032 19 025 1758 1229 15*026 14 024 12 030 19 018 1229 823 12*023 13 024 11 029 19 013 823 544 11 021 12 024 10 029 16 008 544 375 10 020 11 024 10 027 13*004 375 278 8 020 9 023 8 027 6*359 278 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography