DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 57.1 - - 59.0 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 49 - - 30 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 537 - - 624 - - 958 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 817 - - 904 - - 1238 - - 456 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 251 - - 697 - - 693 - - 875 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 129 - - 129 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 22 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 142 - - 003 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -749 - - -1181 - - -857 - - -372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1567 - - 2085 - - 2095 - - 828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10036 - - -7542 - - -6677 - - -7563 ODpotential blCL - - - 10853 - - 8446 - - 7915 - - 8019 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 70 - - 260 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 57.1 - - 59.0 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 49.2 - - 50.9 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 56.9 - - 58.8 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 48.6 - - 50.4 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 49 - - 30 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 537 - - 624 - - 958 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 13 222 20 250 24 243 23 266 96276 89076 10 216 15 228 20 232 26 252 89076 83562 11 260 15 222 10 233 18 240 83562 78996 15 264 14 238 9 262 12 269 78996 75060 19 240 16 259 13 254 14 278 75060 71593 13 284 13 269 14 290 13 321 71593 68459 18 296 20 300 22 291 20 319 68459 65575 22 302 23 293 26 291 27 316 65575 62897 31 294 26 294 32 288 34 306 62897 60310 37 298 30 288 34 292 36 296 60310 57613 44 300 37 288 39 287 40 290 57613 54807 55 302 47 290 39 289 40 285 54807 52114 61 296 54 294 54 298 44 295 52114 49675 58 297 61 298 64 294 57 295 49675 47485 60 301 63 295 65 289 64 294 47485 45498 61 300 59 292 61 288 64 294 45498 43678 58 299 55 293 56 289 60 294 43678 42003 52 305 53 290 52 290 55 293 42003 40454 52 301 47 274 51 292 51 289 40454 39015 52 293 45 265 52 288 48 290 39015 37663 53 286 50 263 62 280 43 291 37663 36350 53 287 52 263 70 267 39 294 36350 35006 53 290 52 266 67 265 39 296 35006 33601 51 293 51 272 60 269 38 304 33601 32142 47 297 50 273 58 271 37 307 32142 30614 44 299 49 274 60 271 37 303 30614 29008 41 298 45 282 60 274 41 296 29008 27320 40 292 45 294 60 278 45 291 27320 25550 43 288 49 298 58 281 50 294 25550 23695 46 287 50 295 54 283 53 298 23695 21758 44 291 48 294 52 288 52 298 21758 19731 40 293 40 295 50 289 48 301 19731 17613 31 291 33 298 43 289 43 288 17613 15452 29 275 29 284 29 292 38 275 15452 13367 31 272 27 275 29 291 28 275 13367 11469 28 278 29 261 31 279 30 277 11469 9780 26 285 31 260 32 266 32 273 9780 8282 25 267 29 264 30 260 29 258 8282 6955 27 245 29 270 27 261 23 245 6955 5779 33 238 27 266 19 263 18 242 5779 4743 41 231 24 246 17 251 20 219 4743 3836 39 234 25 234 19 231 22 213 3836 3038 31 243 22 232 17 221 19 208 3038 2328 22 254 18 230 13 217 13 193 2328 1705 9 277 8 217 3*204 5 169 1705 1191 7*006 3*169 3*012 9 040 1191 801 7*008 1*148 3 005 10 033 801 533 7 007 1 143 3 001 10*032 533 370 7 006 1 136 3 359 8*032 370 277 6 005 1 131 3 360 6 031 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography