DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 59.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -23 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 261 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 279 - - 279 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1645 - - 3919 - - 767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 5 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 195 - - 268 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6 - - -290 - - -805 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 285 - - 570 - - 1083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -534 - - -1192 - - -2833 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 813 - - 1471 - - 3111 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 250 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 59.1 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.1 - - 57.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.6 - - 60.0 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 56.9 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -23 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96346 22 243 16 261 23 254 96346 89231 16 218 17 229 14 235 89231 83769 13 217 20 221 14 244 83769 79211 16 229 22 217 18 236 79211 75264 21 269 21 221 19 249 75264 71756 25 251 17 244 23 249 71756 68561 21 239 21 255 26 246 68561 65612 24 260 32 245 25 251 65612 62862 39 238 32 244 34 257 62862 60192 37 225 41 250 41 240 60192 57411 48 243 50 246 50 245 57411 54534 55 243 64 248 69 238 54534 51784 66 246 76 240 74 231 51784 49278 74 237 73 230 64 243 49278 47014 71 228 63 234 80 260 47014 44961 62 229 76 255 104 259 44961 43088 73 248 97 254 111 252 43088 41362 93 248 105 243 107 240 41362 39758 84 240 103 232 100 232 39758 38250 68 240 86 227 81 229 38250 36822 60 253 69 233 58 244 36822 35444 62 250 67 246 72 267 35444 34053 60 236 71 247 77 266 34053 32618 60 226 74 237 72 260 32618 31141 58 228 77 228 70 256 31141 29607 54 237 75 227 71 253 29607 28001 49 240 76 232 73 250 28001 26321 47 237 76 236 74 247 26321 24570 51 236 76 234 75 247 24570 22753 53 238 78 231 71 249 22753 20875 56 240 79 233 69 248 20875 18926 62 238 71 234 69 238 18926 16899 59 237 60 231 70 229 16899 14832 52 230 60 231 74 232 14832 12836 50 224 62 229 70 246 12836 11024 51 224 55 228 43 257 11024 9417 49 226 46 231 37 256 9417 7994 45 233 39 239 40 278 7994 6733 47 240 31 263 42 292 6733 5614 50 241 30 277 45 299 5614 4625 51 236 31 289 45 302 4625 3755 50 227 32 291 43 304 3755 2987 46 220 32 289 40 304 2987 2300 42 215 31 285 36 304 2300 1693 36 207 29 281 32 303 1693 1186 30 200 27 276 28 301 1186 798 27 198 23 272 24 298 798 531 22 196 19 269 18 294 531 369 19*196 16*268 15*292 369 277 13*195 11*268 8*288 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography