DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 81.9 - - 85.3 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 230 - - 128 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 307 - - 2970 - - 4183 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 2063 - - 2642 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - 587 - - 3250 - - 4463 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 297 - - 2040 - - 1029 - - 4432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 359 - - 331 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 274 - - 277 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2657 - - -3685 - - -4566 - - -6823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3244 - - 6935 - - 9029 - - 7103 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11695 - - -10246 - - -9541 - - -13401 ODpotential blCL - - - 12282 - - 13496 - - 14004 - - 13681 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 42 - - 39 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 81.9 - - 85.3 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 52.6 - - 46.9 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 80.5 - - 84.4 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 51.9 - - 46.3 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 230 - - 128 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 307 - - 2970 - - 4183 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97891 24 245 21 243 20 250 25 244 97891 90524 15 253 20 239 21 240 21 258 90524 84821 10 257 13 248 14 250 18 266 84821 80074 11 251 12 260 14 264 16 277 80074 76000 11 276 9 287 11 261 12 260 76000 72432 10 285 8 281 10 285 4 273 72432 69219 10 281 11 257 13 270 7 312 69219 66270 12 300 11 276 13 268 12 297 66270 63543 13 287 14 285 15 275 15 285 63543 60913 12 266 16 282 17 275 21 270 60913 58180 18 286 19 285 21 277 24 273 58180 55357 26 280 23 274 26 272 29 273 55357 52670 29 277 26 272 25 273 30 273 52670 50252 31 274 29 277 23 290 31 275 50252 48076 32 273 31 274 26 303 32 277 48076 46087 35 274 35 266 25 302 29 279 46087 44255 39 268 32 261 23 296 26 285 44255 42551 37 267 28 265 21 288 23 280 42551 40962 32 277 26 279 17 283 18 278 40962 39474 25 274 26 277 14 291 17 274 39474 38077 17 297 21 267 18 284 14 281 38077 36735 19 293 16 266 20 265 14 300 36735 35376 16 278 15 280 17 263 13 304 35376 33966 9 283 15 293 13 273 9 314 33966 32503 12 312 13 293 11 287 8 336 32503 30970 12 307 13 284 12 296 9 345 30970 29354 11 300 14 286 13 309 10 355 29354 27655 10 292 14 296 14 319 12 028 27655 25869 12 291 14 304 16 326 14 038 25869 24000 12 294 14 308 18 335 14 034 24000 22049 10 300 13 309 17 338 12 036 22049 20012 9 319 10 318 11 350 8 004 20012 17887 11 335 9 331 11 008 10 353 17887 15717 11 346 8 342 8 011 16 001 15717 13617 13 347 8 017 7 040 16 011 13617 11698 15 358 12 041 9 053 12 021 11698 9988 11 350 9 037 9 039 11 036 9988 8470 5 335 4 012 8 017 11 033 8470 7122 8 326 4 340 6 357 9 021 7122 5929 8 304 6 323 5 326 8 350 5929 4880 7 277 6 308 5*286 7 315 4880 3959 7 279 6*291 5*281 5 296 3959 3147 7 280 6*284 5 279 4 288 3147 2419 5 266 6 277 4 277 3 278 2419 1777 2 245 5 270 4 276 3 265 1777 1241 2 108 4 270 4 276 2 247 1241 831 4*106 4 271 4 275 2 236 831 549 2*110 4 270 4 274 2 225 549 377 2 112 4 269 4 275 2*212 377 279 2 114 4 269 3 275 2*203 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography