DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0657z - - 1011z - - 1334z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.8 - - 85.4 - - 79.4 - - 86.0 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 115 - - 85 - - 29 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1657 - - 1113 - - 2511 - - 1206 BL Depth Hcrit 260 - - 822 - - 260 - - 261 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top 277 - - 1937 - - 1393 - - 2791 - - 1486 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 470 - - 2748 - - 1206 - - 2518 - - 3653 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 242 - - 192 - - 183 - - 56 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 7 - - 19 - - 15 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 112 - - 006 - - 151 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -112 - - -1076 - - 302 - - 124 - - -348 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 389 - - 3014 - - 1091 - - 2667 - - 1834 sfcLCL ODpotential -3588 - - -2902 - - -635 - - -935 - - -1759 ODpotential blCL 3865 - - 4839 - - 2028 - - 3726 - - 3245 blCL maxRH 94 - - 94 - - 95 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 1510 - - 1570 - - 1510 - - 2490 - - 2790 CAPE Temp@2m 75.8 - - 85.4 - - 79.4 - - 86.0 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 74.4 - - 72.8 - - 75.0 - - 74.7 - - 76.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 84.8 - - 79.0 - - 86.0 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.3 - - 72.3 - - 74.4 - - 74.3 - - 75.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 115 - - 85 - - 29 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1657 - - 1113 - - 2511 - - 1206 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 74 - - 78 - - 102 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98878 39 082 35 091 38 089 33 089 35 071 98878 91431 34 073 32 088 34 087 33 081 32 070 91431 85720 28 076 29 079 29 085 31 081 27 081 85720 80974 22 085 26 079 26 086 24 083 24 089 80974 76864 19 091 24 077 24 087 19 086 21 084 76864 73214 15 089 18 069 23 082 19 084 16 084 73214 69912 12 099 13 072 20 073 19 077 15 081 69912 66903 14 079 12 077 15 068 16 078 16 065 66903 64144 16 065 11 074 12 062 12 073 16 068 64144 61490 17 035 11 065 9 053 10 050 19 036 61490 58758 10 021 12 039 8 037 10 026 16 011 58758 55961 12 032 10 003 8 341 11 007 9 358 55961 53298 17 008 16 343 10 316 14 335 12 325 53298 50905 24 342 25 321 20 315 23 304 18 313 50905 48773 33 327 28 314 28 311 31 297 23 303 48773 46837 41 321 35 318 36 306 35 316 32 309 46837 45050 46 320 44 321 41 305 42 319 35 301 45050 43379 46 319 47 325 44 298 41 313 34 289 43379 41805 40 319 46 325 44 296 40 298 36 283 41805 40317 36 319 41 315 42 296 41 293 36 286 40317 38903 35 319 44 310 39 297 40 296 33 289 38903 37528 37 320 47 313 37 300 40 297 32 289 37528 36122 38 321 39 320 35 303 40 294 32 286 36122 34657 38 321 34 328 31 306 37 291 30 283 34657 33135 38 325 27 335 27 309 30 287 27 286 33135 31540 30 326 25 328 21 309 24 290 25 287 31540 29861 22 322 25 319 17 292 19 295 27 283 29861 28098 18 324 23 318 18 288 18 302 28 277 28098 26252 17 320 19 317 17 290 20 300 24 276 26252 24325 15 323 16 310 15 278 23 294 19 286 24325 22321 16 327 21 313 15 296 26 300 20 290 22321 20232 19 315 25 317 16 307 23 303 20 286 20232 18055 15 305 22 315 16 310 25 305 19 283 18055 15840 14 304 18 312 19 315 24 301 20 281 15840 13715 15 306 15 313 17 315 20 307 16 289 13715 11787 17 309 10 316 13 305 16 306 14 306 11787 10073 12 304 7 319 15 295 13 301 15 299 10073 8549 5 314 7 301 17 296 13 309 15 288 8549 7196 2 028 4 288 13 291 11 303 3 268 7196 5997 3 113 2 109 4 266 5 281 5 124 5997 4939 5 142 4 082 4 142 5 209 7 113 4939 4008 7 144 4 098 6 145 7 196 8 113 4008 3185 8 135 3 136 4 174 7*195 7 117 3185 2449 8 124 4*138 2 238 4*176 5 121 2449 1798 7 108 4*126 2*305 2 152 3*127 1798 1255 7 098 4 112 4*359 2 141 1*110 1255 837 6 107 4 108 5 007 1 138 1 061 837 551 4 114 4 106 5 007 1 129 1 031 551 376 4*103 3 105 5 007 1 133 1 020 376 277 2*096 3 103 4 007 1 129 1 026 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography