DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.9 - - 40.0 - - 43.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 304 - - 235 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2062 - - 4307 - - 4295 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 943 - - 3178 - - 3048 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2342 - - 4587 - - 4575 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 739 - - 865 - - 1048 - - 3979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 444 - - 405 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 25 - - 23 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 328 - - 326 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1252 - - -1017 - - -2598 - - -5139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3594 - - 5605 - - 7173 - - 5416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6945 - - -10208 - - -11575 - - -13536 ODpotential blCL - - - 9287 - - 14795 - - 16150 - - 13813 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 67 - - 54 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.9 - - 40.0 - - 43.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 16.6 - - 12.6 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 38.9 - - 42.1 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.5 - - 15.5 - - 11.6 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 304 - - 235 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2062 - - 4307 - - 4295 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96573 20 101 18 104 15 094 18 074 96573 89434 25 092 23 113 8 127 6 064 89434 83934 16 086 16 106 10 144 3 148 83934 79323 5 084 8 098 2 232 3 027 79323 75322 2 017 5 057 3 243 4 248 75322 71772 4 353 5 292 8 337 6 337 71772 68562 9 319 9 285 9 287 10 279 68562 65613 14 315 10 339 4 337 7 327 65613 62859 28 304 26 313 20 318 26 317 62859 60198 32 300 29 296 31 293 35 298 60198 57420 36 286 31 284 35 282 36 289 57420 54520 41 287 38 294 39 289 47 286 54520 51745 55 282 55 292 57 291 49 291 51745 49240 60 281 65 286 61 297 54 304 49240 46979 63 285 65 290 66 304 69 306 46979 44925 73 290 68 300 79 301 93 298 44925 43060 84 297 84 300 97 293 105 289 43060 41356 96 303 108 289 109 287 108 287 41356 39781 119 294 123 286 115 288 111 291 39781 38312 143 289 130 290 120 293 116 293 38312 36930 154 288 135 293 126 296 119 296 36930 35592 155 290 139 295 131 299 123 299 35592 34228 153 292 142 297 133 301 127 301 34228 32807 153 295 143 300 135 302 130 303 32807 31331 156 299 143 303 134 302 127 300 31331 29786 154 302 138 303 128 301 125 299 29786 28159 143 301 129 299 121 299 119 304 28159 26457 128 298 124 297 117 298 112 305 26457 24684 119 301 118 299 112 305 112 303 24684 22840 116 304 112 304 107 310 112 305 22840 20925 108 305 112 309 104 314 101 312 20925 18932 101 306 107 311 101 317 95 315 18932 16856 97 307 99 316 92 320 88 318 16856 14748 89 311 89 321 81 326 76 323 14748 12728 76 316 73 326 73 331 67 325 12728 10898 65 320 63 330 62 331 60 327 10898 9280 56 322 57 333 53 333 54 330 9280 7854 50 322 51 336 47 337 51 336 7854 6595 46 324 45 337 41 340 47 340 6595 5485 44 325 38*334 34*335 42 339 5485 4511 43 328 26*328 24*326 33 330 4511 3658 41 331 26 328 24 325 29 327 3658 2909 37*331 26 328 24 326 28 328 2909 2239 29*328 26 328 24 326 27 330 2239 1649 26 326 26 329 23 326 26 331 1649 1157 24 325 25 329 23 326 24 332 1157 781 23 325 24 329 22 326 22 332 781 522 21 325 23 329 21 327 18 331 522 365 19 325 21 329 20 327 15*331 365 276 15 324 17 329 16 327 9*330 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography