DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 85.2 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 311 - - 159 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3107 - - 3934 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2270 - - 2590 - - 262 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3387 - - 4214 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1128 - - 1332 - - 4773 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 348 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 021 - - 029 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5008 - - -5658 - - -7660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8395 - - 9872 - - 7940 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11513 - - -10131 - - -12926 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14900 - - 14345 - - 13206 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 96 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 85.2 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.0 - - 42.9 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.0 - - 84.2 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.4 - - 42.4 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 311 - - 159 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3107 - - 3934 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 66 - - 83 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98320 2 010 3 353 5 009 98320 90957 13 083 8 104 8 060 90957 85266 8 070 10 078 10 061 85266 80534 3 161 9 038 9 030 80534 76461 4 145 7 016 5 023 76461 72859 4 089 3 019 3 057 72859 69602 4 079 2 342 3 006 69602 66625 3 051 1 323 3 342 66625 63882 6 033 3 044 6 343 63882 61234 6 034 5 002 5 345 61234 58474 6 359 9 330 14 345 58474 55619 14 343 14 335 17 338 55619 52894 17 327 18 324 17 320 52894 50427 17 319 12 319 19 319 50427 48206 18 342 27 322 31 311 48206 46200 36 318 35 304 34 308 46200 44371 39 305 35 311 33 312 44371 42681 30 301 35 310 32 314 42681 41107 17 298 30 307 31 312 41107 39633 15 312 25 312 29 313 39633 38248 24 326 26 320 26 314 38248 36909 32 307 32 314 24 311 36909 35544 33 303 31 296 23 306 35544 34121 29 301 26 283 26 296 34121 32641 23 299 23 296 25 291 32641 31086 21 295 24 299 25 297 31086 29447 20 303 22 294 22 305 29447 27722 14 310 17 290 20 300 27722 25909 14 312 14 315 21 303 25909 24014 15 305 13 307 21 322 24014 22042 16 302 14 296 18 324 22042 19987 14 307 13 291 16 337 19987 17843 13 300 9 305 12 343 17843 15657 12 301 8 319 9 327 15657 13551 10 302 9 303 9 303 13551 11639 8 313 11 296 9 291 11639 9942 10 332 11 301 9 283 9942 8434 10 352 11 311 7 300 8434 7093 9 006 10 322 7 342 7093 5907 11 019 9 005 7 028 5907 4863 11 014 8*025 8 047 4863 3946 9*016 8*028 10 049 3946 3136 7*021 8 029 11 050 3136 2412 6 021 8 029 12 050 2412 1772 6 022 8 029 13 051 1772 1238 6 022 8 029 13 051 1238 829 6 022 8 029 13 051 829 547 6 022 7 028 12 050 547 376 5 022 7 028 10*048 376 279 5 022 6 028 6*048 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography