DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 46.8 - - 47.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 47 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 101 - - 620 - - 998 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 381 - - 900 - - 1278 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 252 - - 875 - - 995 - - 1677 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 126 - - 90 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 339 - - 005 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -333 - - -152 - - 170 - - -395 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 714 - - 1052 - - 1108 - - 672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9905 - - -2193 - - -183 - - -1466 ODpotential blCL - - - 10286 - - 3093 - - 1461 - - 1743 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 46.8 - - 47.2 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 43.3 - - 43.5 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 46.5 - - 47.2 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 42.7 - - 43.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 47 - - 9 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 101 - - 620 - - 998 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96275 14 196 16 224 21 249 21 285 96275 89039 11 249 13 220 19 256 20 268 89039 83475 14 275 11 262 19 249 24 262 83475 78869 22 281 19 276 21 262 22 256 78869 74896 26 270 20 259 21 269 21 256 74896 71397 28 269 21 259 25 268 29 264 71397 68229 32 251 30 254 31 255 36 252 68229 65310 27 261 31 256 39 270 36 261 65310 62611 42 255 48 262 47 267 37 261 62611 59991 43 254 48 258 44 268 50 278 59991 57283 62 254 60 260 64 266 72 262 57283 54474 59 251 66 262 75 258 65 255 54474 51760 74 265 75 264 69 258 76 267 51760 49312 86 267 82 262 84 266 85 263 49312 47109 94 262 87 261 97 263 87 259 47109 45089 99 257 94 260 98 257 88 260 45089 43223 98 253 98 255 95 252 93 260 43223 41488 92 249 98 251 95 250 97 261 41488 39867 89 249 95 248 95 251 98 259 39867 38351 90 255 89 249 98 253 98 257 38351 36930 93 257 94 253 103 252 95 255 36930 35560 97 256 105 252 107 251 94 255 35560 34172 101 255 110 250 106 250 95 252 34172 32739 102 250 111 246 101 248 93 249 32739 31264 99 245 107 241 96 247 86 247 31264 29734 92 243 93 242 95 244 81 246 29734 28136 74 252 82 244 93 242 77 246 28136 26468 70 257 79 247 87 243 77 247 26468 24731 65 256 68 248 78 244 71 243 24731 22925 62 258 60 251 69 245 57 234 22925 21044 65 257 59 253 55 244 52 232 21044 19075 67 259 54 257 45 247 46 243 19075 17022 54 268 42 262 38 251 35 260 17022 14928 34 266 35 257 36 248 28 266 14928 12908 33 271 34 247 34 253 27 280 12908 11072 31 272 31 259 30 265 25 278 11072 9440 28 278 29 274 26 271 22 270 9440 7993 26 269 25 282 24 279 21 274 7993 6709 23 271 21 292 20 298 17 288 6709 5577 18 274 15 295 12 310 9 312 5577 4584 12 273 5 253 8 317 11 356 4584 3716 11 287 2 275 9 345 18 359 3716 2951 14 296 6 352 14 011 20 008 2951 2270 16 296 13 004 17 014 21 010 2270 1670 14 281 13 357 16*013 21 012 1670 1171 12 280 9*343 12*006 19 014 1171 789 8 280 6*340 12 005 16 013 789 526 5*263 6 339 11 004 13 009 526 368 4*251 5 338 10 004 11*008 368 276 2 249 5 338 8 004 6*007 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography