DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 87.1 - - 90.4 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 217 - - 112 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1246 - - 3414 - - 5060 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 263 - - 2384 - - 3245 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1526 - - 3694 - - 5340 - - 280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1287 - - 1874 - - 2700 - - 6019 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 374 - - 347 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 20 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 239 - - 337 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1811 - - -725 - - -93 - - -3537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3337 - - 4419 - - 5433 - - 3817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3955 - - -2300 - - -867 - - -5400 ODpotential blCL - - - 5481 - - 5994 - - 6207 - - 5680 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 85 - - 87 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 1180 - - 2030 - - 2230 - - 2760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 87.1 - - 90.4 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.9 - - 68.6 - - 67.5 - - 70.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 85.8 - - 89.5 - - 88.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 67.8 - - 66.7 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 123 - - 217 - - 112 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1246 - - 3414 - - 5060 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 42 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98148 18 059 25 114 15 118 13 104 98148 90813 11 059 13 090 12 098 13 101 90813 85158 13 113 9 082 11 096 9 086 85158 80455 21 118 12 107 11 121 6 079 80455 76391 18 108 16 111 12 121 9 112 76391 72801 11 091 16 113 10 113 14 095 72801 69565 9 097 13 105 10 135 11 072 69565 66609 9 109 10 111 11 118 5 080 66609 63872 8 082 7 092 9 099 4 083 63872 61217 6 086 8 076 10 109 1 298 61217 58453 8 087 4 047 10 079 2 085 58453 55598 8 045 4 082 5 350 6 332 55598 52887 8 357 8 019 7 005 10 335 52887 50463 11 319 11 329 11 349 12 349 50463 48294 13 309 12 311 13 330 13 338 48294 46319 18 332 13 318 16 325 16 335 46319 44505 26 330 17 330 18 329 17 338 44505 42824 27 318 22 325 22 331 19 346 42824 41259 24 321 22 317 22 321 19 338 41259 39792 22 315 22 310 23 312 19 326 39792 38408 23 313 22 300 24 307 21 318 38408 37061 23 321 18 323 21 313 20 321 37061 35685 22 324 19 326 18 322 18 325 35685 34251 20 327 19 328 19 325 17 327 34251 32760 16 336 18 342 20 342 19 351 32760 31203 16 004 16 004 16 351 16 356 31203 29569 14 027 12 040 10 011 14 012 29569 27854 12 045 15 053 15 037 18 039 27854 26053 14 061 19 063 20 049 18 045 26053 24168 18 071 18 070 17 046 18 036 24168 22203 13 070 14 058 14 029 17 035 22203 20149 10 056 13 036 15 033 15 029 20149 18002 9 040 13 018 14 033 16 041 18002 15816 9 024 15 021 14 025 14 051 15816 13714 10 007 14 011 14 020 13 035 13714 11805 12 357 13 007 12 017 16 017 11805 10107 11 351 14 013 12 028 13 014 10107 8592 9 350 10 018 12 037 11 009 8592 7240 7 350 9 008 10 035 10 007 7240 6038 8 339 9 342 6*013 8 000 6038 4973 9 338 7 326 4*351 6 356 4973 4034 8 341 4*297 4 345 6 001 4034 3205 7 347 4*251 4 340 5 002 3205 2464 4 009 3 245 4 335 5 356 2464 1808 2*153 3 241 3 332 5 349 1808 1262 3*154 4 236 3 328 5 341 1262 843 3 154 3 231 3 328 5 335 843 555 3 155 3 231 3 326 4 331 555 380 3 155 3 230 3 325 4*327 380 280 3 154 3 229 3 326 3*321 280 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography