DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.7 - - 53.8 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 30 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 551 - - 604 - - 231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 260 - - 261 - - 261 Hcrit BL Top - - - 831 - - 884 - - 511 - - 278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 468 - - 1002 - - 579 - - 938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 110 - - 29 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 091 - - 150 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 150 - - 197 - - 3 - - -145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 681 - - 687 - - 508 - - 423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 60 - - -1932 - - -4970 - - -6037 ODpotential blCL - - - 771 - - 2816 - - 5481 - - 6315 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 150 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.7 - - 53.8 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 52.7 - - 52.5 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 54.6 - - 54.1 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 52.2 - - 52.3 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 30 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 551 - - 604 - - 231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 78 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 37 263 39 274 37 273 45 269 96269 89179 18 269 18 269 19 256 26 288 89179 83711 7 255 14 259 11 278 11 307 83711 79158 5 137 7 221 8 297 5 261 79158 75236 5 068 7 151 7 238 7 267 75236 71776 8 310 4 116 11 239 10 294 71776 68639 10 296 3 287 10 251 8 261 68639 65744 12 286 12 251 14 278 9 251 65744 63061 15 253 22 235 18 258 16 261 63061 60479 16 246 20 240 21 256 18 267 60479 57782 27 255 30 253 36 257 23 256 57782 54954 37 257 45 256 45 255 50 257 54954 52233 51 263 55 255 66 249 65 252 52233 49773 56 257 65 254 69 248 65 252 49773 47562 64 255 64 253 65 251 64 254 47562 45550 70 250 64 250 66 254 63 254 45550 43701 72 250 65 251 67 255 62 255 43701 41992 70 251 69 253 68 253 67 251 41992 40406 70 247 73 251 73 250 70 243 40406 38932 68 241 73 244 80 243 72 242 38932 37561 66 239 68 236 73 235 80 242 37561 36248 59 240 61 233 64 238 77 237 36248 34914 52 242 62 243 62 239 73 234 34914 33522 50 240 61 245 61 240 72 230 33522 32073 50 242 57 243 60 240 72 228 32073 30550 52 241 55 242 60 242 69 225 30550 28941 52 235 53 245 61 243 65 223 28941 27247 53 233 51 245 63 242 61 225 27247 25470 55 238 50 241 64 239 58 230 25470 23610 52 242 41 237 63 232 60 239 23610 21674 47 243 37 234 60 233 63 245 21674 19655 41 243 40 232 54 230 64 248 19655 17546 40 249 45 230 48 221 59 253 17546 15393 38 248 50 227 47 223 50 250 15393 13314 39 229 51 224 48 226 45 240 13314 11425 29 211 47 221 46 227 49 228 11425 9755 21 198 42 216 37 228 47 219 9755 8274 17 224 36 218 26 232 45 216 8274 6957 15 237 27 216 17 243 40 213 6957 5788 14 223 19 217 12 255 35 210 5788 4753 15 196 15 225 11 248 32 207 4753 3844 18 182 10 201 10 225 29 202 3844 3042 14 181 8 184 11 204 25 186 3042 2332 7 184 6 185 12 182 23 164 2332 1711 6 160 4 180 15 171 24 149 1711 1196 6*111 3*105 17 160 23 142 1196 804 5*085 3*091 16 151 19 132 804 534 4 085 3 090 14*150 14 118 534 371 4 084 3 093 13*151 11*113 371 277 4 085 3 092 9 150 7*104 277 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography