DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0736z - - 0739z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.7 - - 73.7 - - 77.9 - - 73.2 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 76 - - 145 - - 42 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 216 - - 1454 - - 2747 - - 1046 - - 223 BL Depth Hcrit 262 - - 262 - - 1739 - - 262 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top 496 - - 1734 - - 3027 - - 1326 - - 503 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1127 - - 1645 - - 2244 - - 1539 - - 2142 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 203 - - 310 - - 152 - - 34 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 193 - - 190 - - 200 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 5 - - -4 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 187 - - 732 - - 686 - - 606 - - -134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 309 - - 1002 - - 2341 - - 720 - - 637 sfcLCL ODpotential -167 - - 556 - - 169 - - 300 - - -697 ODpotential blCL 663 - - 1178 - - 2858 - - 1026 - - 1200 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 90 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 1460 - - 1990 - - 1640 - - 1900 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m 68.7 - - 73.7 - - 77.9 - - 73.2 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.8 - - 69.8 - - 68.2 - - 70.5 - - 71.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.0 - - 73.2 - - 77.0 - - 73.0 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.8 - - 69.3 - - 67.3 - - 70.0 - - 70.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 76 - - 145 - - 42 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 216 - - 1454 - - 2747 - - 1046 - - 223 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 95 - - 58 - - 97 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97749 2 105 9 196 13 220 3 225 6 207 97749 90369 5 130 5 145 10 198 15 186 1 245 90369 84696 8 145 2 110 10 146 15 165 7 183 84696 79985 6 128 4 107 13 133 7 157 7 203 79985 75950 4 100 11 108 10 105 2 157 1 195 75950 72407 5 027 15 116 5 058 6 157 3 251 72407 69192 7 291 2 051 8 284 7 258 6 279 69192 66231 10 243 9 288 7 228 9 267 13 300 66231 63505 14 273 21 290 21 279 23 284 22 282 63505 60878 33 276 41 273 34 278 34 278 25 268 60878 58143 40 263 47 261 38 272 38 270 35 269 58143 55307 38 272 42 267 42 267 44 271 44 271 55307 52587 41 285 43 277 48 272 52 276 45 270 52587 50117 57 279 52 272 56 275 55 278 47 271 50117 47889 65 273 63 268 62 271 60 274 57 271 47889 45862 71 275 69 267 68 266 64 272 61 270 45862 44012 76 276 73 267 69 265 67 270 61 268 44012 42323 80 276 71 268 59 265 62 263 59 265 42323 40772 78 275 62 271 49 265 50 260 52 260 40772 39331 72 275 55 278 43 268 47 257 43 259 39331 37972 67 275 51 280 42 270 44 249 44 255 37972 36648 62 275 51 279 42 265 41 254 43 249 36648 35293 58 276 50 278 44 267 42 259 43 249 35293 33876 56 279 50 275 44 270 42 259 46 258 33876 32404 54 282 49 275 44 265 43 258 49 267 32404 30862 50 283 46 275 46 262 44 259 47 272 30862 29236 45 277 42 272 48 261 45 258 44 275 29236 27524 38 271 40 264 46 258 44 255 43 276 27524 25727 34 267 41 255 45 256 42 255 41 277 25727 23850 33 268 38 256 42 255 39 260 39 277 23850 21897 30 262 33 258 34 252 38 267 36 274 21897 19864 31 260 32 263 31 249 33 262 34 275 19864 17749 30 263 37 266 35 250 32 253 32 277 17749 15593 26 261 37 260 35 253 33 248 31 273 15593 13515 27 263 27 249 28 240 27 253 26 276 13515 11623 23 266 24 241 21 223 20 248 25 285 11623 9936 14 228 19 229 29 220 19 245 26 284 9936 8436 19 164 19 205 34 216 20 242 24 282 8436 7103 19 162 21 192 32 218 20 240 18 268 7103 5919 17 175 22 194 26 217 20 234 18 261 5919 4872 17 182 23 197 24 214 19 228 18 263 4872 3950 19 185 22 199 23 211 19 218 17 261 3950 3136 19 188 21 198 21*203 19 209 16 253 3136 2410 20 187 21 196 19*196 18 205 16 235 2410 1769 22 183 21*195 18 191 18*204 16 218 1769 1237 21 174 19*193 18 189 17*202 15 209 1237 828 18 168 19 193 17 189 15 200 13 203 828 547 15*165 18 193 16 188 14 199 12*200 547 376 13*163 17 193 15 187 13 198 10*198 376 279 9 163 12 193 13 187 10 197 7 197 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography