DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 56.5 - - 54.0 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 105 - - 66 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 3474 - - 4331 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 260 - - 2053 - - 2185 - - 260 Hcrit BL Top - - - 481 - - 3754 - - 4611 - - 277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 595 - - 1135 - - 2792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 59 - - 299 - - 270 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 28 - - 27 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 309 - - 320 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -823 - - -2217 - - -2064 - - -3839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1304 - - 5972 - - 6676 - - 4117 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9930 - - -11947 - - -12256 - - -14350 ODpotential blCL - - - 10411 - - 15701 - - 16867 - - 14627 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 51 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 56.5 - - 54.0 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 31.3 - - 25.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 56.1 - - 53.8 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 30.1 - - 25.0 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 105 - - 66 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 3474 - - 4331 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95694 51 263 59 261 69 260 88 264 95694 88680 44 271 48 268 61 270 65 267 88680 83251 36 278 40 266 45 273 46 277 83251 78722 35 293 36 277 37 268 38 283 78722 74801 37 295 32 293 29 281 35 287 74801 71337 38 303 35 303 30 299 33 278 71337 68184 37 310 32 298 28 297 30 289 68184 65273 30 301 29 291 31 299 35 299 65273 62578 27 287 29 294 35 300 31 298 62578 59947 31 293 33 297 35 296 36 316 59947 57198 38 304 41 289 46 295 47 298 57198 54344 37 287 48 289 50 280 44 286 54344 51589 39 284 49 290 50 271 53 289 51589 49088 50 280 50 287 57 282 65 285 49088 46853 69 277 62 279 76 291 81 279 46853 44838 74 271 80 279 95 283 86 274 44838 42996 81 283 97 283 101 274 73 276 42996 41289 101 291 112 285 88 275 67 301 41289 39702 116 283 118 284 85 293 96 306 39702 38230 122 277 122 282 104 297 105 298 38230 36856 124 275 127 282 115 292 102 287 36856 35533 125 275 133 280 115 284 99 281 35533 34193 125 276 136 274 107 279 94 281 34193 32803 123 277 131 268 93 281 87 281 32803 31368 119 279 126 267 88 283 80 280 31368 29874 112 281 114 271 83 285 75 284 29874 28300 101 284 99 274 84 291 77 291 28300 26642 97 282 90 283 86 290 85 295 26642 24893 102 276 90 288 92 289 91 295 24893 23059 96 275 90 282 93 290 88 293 23059 21143 82 280 89 282 88 289 78 294 21143 19143 80 289 92 291 86 292 72 297 19143 17058 80 287 92 290 87 293 70 297 17058 14934 71 283 88 284 88 301 66 301 14934 12886 57 275 86 284 89 308 66 307 12886 11025 56 278 77 291 74 314 66 317 11025 9387 52 280 49 292 55 321 55 325 9387 7950 46 274 43 277 47 325 39 326 7950 6680 35 284 46 281 42 327 31 329 6680 5557 21 320 47 299 35*324 27 337 5557 4569 31 320 45*309 28*319 27 337 4569 3704 35 330 32*310 28 320 26 334 3704 2945 32 323 30 309 28 320 25 337 2945 2267 30 306 29 309 27 321 25 341 2267 1670 28 287 28 309 27 321 25 343 1670 1171 27 263 27 309 27 321 24 344 1171 789 25 257 26 308 26 321 21 344 789 527 21*251 24 308 24 321 17 342 527 367 19*250 22 308 22 321 13*340 367 276 14 248 17 308 17 322 6*336 276 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography