DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 60.1 - - 63.5 - - 61.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 162 - - 168 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1833 - - 2384 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2251 - - 2638 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3218 - - 3769 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1227 - - 548 - - 676 - - 2365 - - 364 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 282 - - 307 - - 30 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 23 - - 14 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 358 - - 003 - - 009 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -10 - - -8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -970 - - 223 - - 36 - - -1521 - - -665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2547 - - 2995 - - 3734 - - 3099 - - 2243 sfcLCL ODpotential -10910 - - -8685 - - -7796 - - -9378 - - -10753 ODpotential blCL 12487 - - 11903 - - 11565 - - 10956 - - 12331 blCL maxRH 79 - - 90 - - 85 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 60.1 - - 63.5 - - 61.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 52.5 - - 52.6 - - 53.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 59.0 - - 62.2 - - 62.8 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.2 - - 51.3 - - 51.7 - - 53.2 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 162 - - 168 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1833 - - 2384 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 59 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 9 304 5 329 4 063 2 038 2 205 96497 89340 7 108 2 155 9 115 3 059 7 068 89340 83831 9 083 3 171 6 128 3 262 6 053 83831 79249 6 101 4 146 1 087 7 266 3 076 79249 75294 8 091 6 140 4 232 10 284 3 069 75294 71801 3 047 3 181 4 263 9 297 4 065 71801 68649 5 117 8 227 7 250 8 279 2 324 68649 65772 7 063 10 229 10 257 11 240 9 264 65772 63118 7 006 7 242 12 269 11 240 13 263 63118 60572 15 249 13 259 15 268 13 248 15 264 60572 57926 26 281 20 277 21 278 19 263 19 270 57926 55170 40 279 33 276 34 273 29 265 28 271 55170 52532 42 269 38 274 37 270 35 262 35 265 52532 50143 43 265 39 271 38 271 37 263 36 258 50143 47980 42 266 38 268 39 270 38 268 35 262 47980 45997 40 268 37 271 39 269 38 273 39 269 45997 44166 40 267 41 271 42 277 41 278 42 273 44166 42463 41 272 43 267 44 280 42 282 43 274 42463 40876 42 280 42 270 41 280 44 285 47 279 40876 39400 49 293 46 279 44 281 47 287 48 285 39400 38028 53 299 48 287 50 280 51 285 49 287 38028 36716 51 304 49 293 55 281 52 283 49 283 36716 35383 49 311 50 299 56 283 49 285 47 284 35383 33998 48 312 52 304 54 285 46 285 41 291 33998 32562 48 314 55 307 53 287 45 285 34 299 32562 31064 52 320 55 308 54 291 46 287 37 300 31064 29491 52 324 55 310 52 299 46 292 40 295 29491 27842 47 324 53 314 50 306 44 297 39 293 27842 26115 42 313 48 315 48 309 40 301 34 296 26115 24310 38 309 44 316 46 308 36 307 32 296 24310 22427 34 318 37 325 43 305 34 307 30 294 22427 20466 34 325 31 335 33 314 31 306 26 293 20466 18425 35 326 29 338 24 336 22 318 21 296 18425 16343 31 328 28 337 25 356 19 348 14 321 16343 14331 24 335 21 329 23 357 21 010 10 000 14331 12497 21 333 16 327 19 340 18 007 9 039 12497 10868 20 327 15 331 17 332 17 346 8 020 10868 9421 22 327 15 342 15 345 16 349 10 349 9421 8134 25 335 18 356 17 004 15 007 10 352 8134 6995 28 344 23 003 18 016 14 021 8 010 6995 5991 32 350 27 007 17 016 13 020 7 028 5991 5108 34 351 29 008 18 007 14 360 8 009 5108 4330 36 350 30 003 16*001 15 349 12 351 4330 3633 40 352 28*359 15*001 15 355 15 354 3633 3017 42 355 25*358 15 002 13 003 15 009 3017 2503 40 355 24 358 14 003 12 006 13 028 2503 2108 35 356 23 358 14 004 11 006 13 048 2108 1837 29 356 22 358 13 004 10 007 12 055 1837 1672 25 357 19 358 12 004 8*008 8*055 1672 1578 18*357 15 358 10 004 5*009 5*050 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography