DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 86.5 - - - - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 116 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 3523 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3816 - - 3327 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5031 - - 4908 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2296 - - 3685 - - - - - 1333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 322 - - - - - 36 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 063 - - - - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -12 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -540 - - 92 - - - - - -1018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5572 - - 4816 - - - - - 2597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2006 - - -1302 - - - - - -3419 ODpotential blCL - - - 7037 - - 6210 - - - - - 4998 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 81 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1480 - - 2360 - - - - - 2420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.7 - - 86.5 - - - - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 70.3 - - - - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 85.3 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 69.2 - - - - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 116 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3646 - - 3523 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 24 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98380 14 212 12 215 12 276 98380 90876 3 167 8 179 6 237 90876 85122 9 112 8 155 9 090 85122 80406 21 097 12 133 13 092 80406 76362 21 084 15 117 13 078 76362 72798 13 066 14 093 14 081 72798 69584 4 039 9 062 13 061 69584 66648 3 103 7 042 11 046 66648 63937 8 089 5 057 6 050 63937 61317 12 067 4 088 6 043 61317 58610 9 028 8 002 11 337 58610 55854 9 311 14 310 16 319 55854 53248 17 298 16 309 16 311 53248 50884 22 291 22 307 23 306 50884 48742 25 305 27 300 25 303 48742 46779 32 307 29 302 27 302 46779 44962 37 305 32 302 32 298 44962 43271 40 303 37 298 36 295 43271 41689 42 307 41 301 37 298 41689 40201 42 317 41 312 37 306 40201 38797 39 327 38 320 36 314 38797 37441 34 329 32 323 34 321 37441 36062 28 322 29 320 31 323 36062 34631 24 313 30 316 30 325 34631 33147 22 309 28 314 32 327 33147 31596 23 312 24 311 29 325 31596 29970 21 317 21 309 20 316 29970 28270 18 325 17 311 17 309 28270 26496 16 327 14 314 16 312 26496 24649 14 327 13 320 12 316 24649 22734 11 335 10 338 6 321 22734 20745 4 327 6 326 4 326 20745 18673 5 301 7 325 6 335 18673 16571 4 347 4 338 8 035 16571 14555 0 076 3 340 13 047 14555 12724 9 108 3 100 14 032 12724 11096 11 092 9 111 10 016 11096 9645 10 084 10 113 4 078 9645 8351 8 076 11 113 8 118 8351 7196 6 069 10 113 10 120 7196 6167 3 119 9 108 12 125 6167 5257 4*149 8*099 14 128 5257 4449 4*154 7*088 15 126 4449 3725 4 160 6 068 15 119 3725 3082 4 163 6 061 15 108 3082 2546 4 166 6 056 16 094 2546 2134 4 171 5 053 17 083 2134 1850 4 171 5 051 15 077 1850 1678 4 172 5 051 12 073 1678 1579 4 172 4 050 7*071 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography