DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.4 - - 78.2 - - 82.8 - - 77.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 115 - - 246 - - 168 - - -15 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1241 - - 3069 - - 5029 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3280 - - 4575 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2626 - - 4454 - - 6414 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1230 - - 2184 - - 2630 - - 6783 - - 1197 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 375 - - 393 - - 21 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 176 - - 181 - - 165 - - 159 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 4 - - -5 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 244 - - 386 - - 356 - - -3940 - - -2485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2383 - - 4068 - - 6058 - - 5519 - - 4064 sfcLCL ODpotential -336 - - -879 - - -1279 - - -5766 - - -5196 ODpotential blCL 2962 - - 5333 - - 7693 - - 7345 - - 6775 blCL maxRH 96 - - 87 - - 72 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 950 - - 1150 - - 830 - - 170 - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m 72.4 - - 78.2 - - 82.8 - - 77.6 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.0 - - 65.5 - - 61.6 - - 58.9 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.3 - - 76.5 - - 81.5 - - 79.5 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.9 - - 65.0 - - 60.9 - - 58.5 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 115 - - 246 - - 168 - - -15 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1241 - - 3069 - - 5029 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97459 19 296 20 251 22 254 30 265 35 264 97459 90097 21 252 20 263 23 259 24 277 21 268 90097 84441 20 253 18 275 20 247 19 268 21 273 84441 79759 21 257 16 277 15 249 16 235 22 263 79759 75723 21 255 15 272 14 265 16 234 19 245 75723 72148 17 263 15 279 14 281 16 244 19 252 72148 68934 10 285 14 286 11 295 12 250 19 260 68934 66018 15 307 14 299 10 321 7 285 11 262 66018 63349 17 279 17 284 20 309 13 289 10 298 63349 60779 13 269 20 260 25 289 19 296 15 297 60779 58103 21 272 20 256 27 273 25 278 23 270 58103 55333 31 273 25 263 31 255 30 259 38 259 55333 52695 41 283 34 271 39 259 41 261 50 257 52695 50320 54 276 49 272 55 268 55 263 55 259 50320 48185 61 269 62 269 65 265 61 266 64 268 48185 46238 68 269 70 265 71 266 72 268 78 273 46238 44443 78 270 78 268 83 268 83 267 91 271 44443 42773 84 267 83 266 88 266 87 266 97 270 42773 41208 83 267 81 262 82 264 88 268 95 269 41208 39735 74 266 71 258 73 261 80 268 88 269 39735 38346 64 264 64 256 69 254 67 261 77 273 38346 37009 62 264 62 256 65 248 59 255 68 275 37009 35656 57 264 58 255 62 248 58 257 62 270 35656 34254 46 262 55 256 59 251 58 258 59 267 34254 32803 40 259 52 259 58 259 58 260 57 266 32803 31288 37 267 48 265 51 265 55 264 55 267 31288 29695 33 276 45 269 46 266 50 269 53 270 29695 28026 29 280 40 271 44 269 45 273 45 274 28026 26282 23 281 33 275 39 271 40 279 34 283 26282 24463 20 277 24 275 30 269 34 284 31 288 24463 22571 19 275 20 276 24 267 28 283 28 288 22571 20602 17 279 21 276 20 278 23 273 25 300 20602 18554 12 289 16 269 23 291 20 284 22 302 18554 16472 11 313 10 285 12 306 16 290 17 293 16472 14463 15 327 13 327 17 334 11 324 12 305 14463 12632 17 335 15 349 18 352 16 001 11 322 12632 10997 11 345 12 357 12 001 17 017 12 014 10997 9544 10 040 4 098 3 134 7 121 4 097 9544 8258 11 051 9 153 12 162 14 153 9 170 8258 7117 5 187 14 169 13*163 14 155 11 169 7117 6101 15 185 14 180 13*164 14 157 13 165 6101 5203 17 182 13*181 13 165 15 158 16 164 5203 4407 18 187 13*181 13 165 14 159 19 163 4407 3693 18 185 12 181 13 165 14 160 23 160 3693 3060 18*183 12 181 13 165 14 161 27 158 3060 2531 14*179 12 181 12 166 14 162 27 158 2531 2125 11 176 11 181 12 166 13 162 23 156 2125 1846 10 175 11 181 11 166 11 162 16 151 1846 1676 10 175 10 181 11 166 8 161 12*148 1676 1579 8 175 9 181 9 166 5*159 6*145 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography