DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.9 - - 80.9 - - 84.5 - - - - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 112 - - 64 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1543 - - 2415 - - 2875 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 2577 - - 2675 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2928 - - 3800 - - 4260 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1143 - - 965 - - 2622 - - - - - 1929 Hgt.Variab. W* 179 - - 291 - - 273 - - - - - 40 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 182 - - 148 - - - - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -5 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 993 - - 785 - - 707 - - - - - -365 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1935 - - 3015 - - 3554 - - - - - 1946 sfcLCL ODpotential 313 - - -3341 - - -757 - - - - - -3155 ODpotential blCL 2615 - - 7141 - - 5017 - - - - - 4735 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 91 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE 2320 - - 2400 - - 3390 - - - - - 3390 CAPE Temp@2m 76.9 - - 80.9 - - 84.5 - - - - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.1 - - 72.5 - - 73.7 - - - - - 74.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.3 - - 79.7 - - 83.8 - - - - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.4 - - 71.1 - - 72.3 - - - - - 74.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 112 - - 64 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1543 - - 2415 - - 2875 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 52 - - 63 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98859 43 094 44 098 44 107 22 057 98859 91321 34 081 36 086 39 096 32 093 91321 85531 38 080 36 079 35 075 42 097 85531 80774 32 091 31 082 31 064 46 081 80774 76719 27 095 26 088 30 069 39 064 76719 73159 27 094 22 100 25 083 28 064 73159 69944 28 087 23 104 21 098 23 067 69944 66994 26 080 25 109 20 112 17 071 66994 64262 21 086 27 107 23 115 15 086 64262 61618 24 077 30 094 27 104 21 099 61618 58873 22 070 27 076 24 092 24 096 58873 56046 20 081 22 072 19 083 21 088 56046 53360 23 078 21 073 21 083 21 090 53360 50938 21 065 25 073 24 080 24 088 50938 48759 18 063 26 074 24 081 22 083 48759 46773 14 058 23 070 23 079 18 079 46773 44951 14 048 17 059 16 071 13 077 44951 43269 17 040 7 069 6 015 5 048 43269 41702 14 022 5 084 5 244 5 348 41702 40232 10 356 2 129 7 247 5 303 40232 38842 13 345 4 178 7 224 5 274 38842 37492 14 343 6 149 7 201 12 247 37492 36117 15 343 5 130 3 218 13 251 36117 34685 14 346 1 359 2 271 8 235 34685 33204 14 343 3 300 4 259 8 180 33204 31658 12 322 5 253 6 278 6 153 31658 30036 10 264 9 267 7 263 2 165 30036 28338 16 224 9 247 5 227 5 191 28338 26563 23 210 8 234 5 240 8 196 26563 24717 25 203 8 227 7 242 7 202 24717 22808 24 200 11 214 12 222 8 206 22808 20826 22 198 15 210 14 212 10 222 20826 18763 18 191 15 196 15 201 12 220 18763 16663 14 184 12 194 12 199 10 211 16663 14635 11 186 13 191 13 206 8 220 14635 12785 10 194 17 188 18 204 14 252 12785 11137 12 203 21 187 22 200 20 244 11137 9672 14 202 23 189 26 199 23 225 9672 8370 15 195 23 192 28 197 23 216 8370 7209 15 191 23 193 24 189 20 203 7209 6176 15 193 23 194 20 181 18 180 6176 5262 18 201 21 195 17 175 17 160 5262 4453 19 202 16*193 13*167 19 150 4453 3727 15 195 11*187 11*155 23 147 3727 3084 13*191 10 183 10 150 27 144 3084 2548 12*190 9 181 9 147 27 143 2548 2136 12 189 9 180 9 145 25 141 2136 1851 11 188 8 180 9 143 18 138 1851 1679 10 188 8 179 8 143 15*136 1679 1580 8 188 7 179 7 142 9*135 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography