DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 87.1 - - 84.3 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 199 - - -15 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2742 - - 3369 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3127 - - 3444 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4127 - - 4754 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 677 - - 1147 - - 3961 - - 345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 394 - - 369 - - 51 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 181 - - 168 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2912 - - -4778 - - -6352 - - -2714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7039 - - 9533 - - 7932 - - 4293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7883 - - -9150 - - -10417 - - -9214 ODpotential blCL - - - 12010 - - 13904 - - 11996 - - 10793 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - 61 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 0 - - 50 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 87.1 - - 84.3 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 50.9 - - 55.2 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 85.6 - - 84.8 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 49.6 - - 54.0 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 307 - - 199 - - -15 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2742 - - 3369 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98210 8 179 5 163 7 327 6 057 98210 90746 7 113 12 131 2 075 6 050 90746 85001 7 135 10 151 6 095 5 122 85001 80229 10 129 13 145 8 150 7 099 80229 76112 3 153 4 120 8 143 3 083 76112 72488 2 224 3 241 5 091 3 120 72488 69256 4 068 5 172 6 191 2 240 69256 66322 8 292 9 280 3 300 2 003 66322 63626 8 267 13 300 15 315 12 326 63626 61037 19 318 21 299 21 317 17 322 61037 58352 30 315 28 300 30 297 28 294 58352 55562 42 286 38 298 34 295 30 298 55562 52885 48 284 55 295 54 294 54 292 52885 50481 60 284 68 285 68 286 70 287 50481 48328 66 280 70 280 71 281 75 280 48328 46365 67 279 69 282 71 282 72 280 46365 44559 65 281 70 287 73 287 73 287 44559 42887 65 285 74 291 80 292 81 291 42887 41332 66 288 85 292 90 292 86 290 41332 39871 65 292 91 291 92 289 87 287 39871 38490 66 293 81 290 89 288 85 285 38490 37149 66 294 68 285 83 289 84 285 37149 35784 58 294 67 283 78 290 81 286 35784 34367 54 294 68 286 75 293 70 287 34367 32904 52 294 60 289 69 296 61 288 32904 31378 44 294 55 290 54 301 60 293 31378 29775 38 297 49 296 48 302 55 298 29775 28097 34 300 42 297 45 301 45 298 28097 26345 27 292 40 296 38 299 36 293 26345 24523 25 288 34 291 32 296 32 295 24523 22634 24 288 27 287 23 289 26 298 22634 20673 13 270 23 302 23 299 21 297 20673 18634 6 253 14 300 22 309 20 315 18634 16551 5 245 7 226 11 273 21 326 16551 14537 9 228 8 219 12 215 14 316 14537 12699 16 176 17 194 16 205 9 260 12699 11066 20 159 22 185 24 197 18 207 11066 9613 18 170 22 190 27 192 28 195 9613 8316 19 199 20 201 27 195 31 192 8316 7158 20 208 21 201 26 204 31 197 7158 6129 19 201 18 190 21 197 28 203 6129 5221 17 191 16*183 18 182 24 198 5221 4421 15*186 16*182 18 176 22 185 4421 3703 14*185 16 181 18 173 22 175 3703 3068 14 184 16 181 18 172 24 169 3068 2537 14 184 15 181 17 170 26 166 2537 2128 13 183 15 181 16 170 25 165 2128 1847 12 184 14 181 15 169 19 164 1847 1676 12 183 13 181 12 169 13*163 1676 1579 10 183 11 181 9*168 7*162 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography