DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 78.1 - - 74.1 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 108 - - 1 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 703 - - 1710 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1972 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2088 - - 3095 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1383 - - 1322 - - 2822 - - 1221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 245 - - 42 - - 68 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 25 - - 11 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 136 - - 142 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 509 - - 776 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 2319 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 104 - - -516 - - -685 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 1984 - - 3611 - - 2264 - - 1579 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2210 - - 3050 - - 2460 - - 2260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 78.1 - - 74.1 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.5 - - 72.4 - - 71.8 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 77.3 - - 74.0 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 71.8 - - 71.6 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 108 - - 1 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 703 - - 1710 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 73 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97965 9 281 4 324 8 320 11 348 97965 90572 2 103 7 343 11 352 12 029 90572 84894 10 066 4 059 8 354 13 032 84894 80181 13 056 11 106 1 106 8 354 80181 76136 7 042 13 083 2 041 4 081 76136 72569 3 253 6 020 6 041 9 081 72569 69334 9 187 9 217 4 335 7 048 69334 66356 10 186 16 177 14 241 9 285 66356 63635 7 187 2 185 3 194 10 224 63635 61051 6 284 6 332 4 131 9 217 61051 58364 25 254 28 273 15 282 9 143 58364 55539 35 232 38 255 30 250 23 246 55539 52838 39 235 47 241 48 239 54 241 52838 50444 44 243 53 239 56 238 63 236 50444 48300 49 246 59 240 61 238 65 237 48300 46339 56 245 61 239 64 237 68 239 46339 44531 64 244 63 240 68 238 73 236 44531 42856 70 243 65 242 71 238 75 233 42856 41290 72 242 65 242 68 236 70 232 41290 39816 68 239 57 240 52 231 59 232 39816 38423 62 233 47 238 37 223 46 226 38423 37077 57 227 41 235 37 225 37 213 37077 35713 48 225 36 234 35 225 34 198 35713 34297 45 226 32 234 33 224 33 197 34297 32830 45 228 32 233 31 221 34 203 32830 31298 42 227 29 230 31 220 36 214 31298 29690 36 227 30 231 35 224 41 222 29690 28009 35 230 34 230 42 230 47 227 28009 26259 34 233 35 230 46 234 47 229 26259 24441 35 232 36 232 45 237 45 234 24441 22560 37 235 39 236 42 240 45 244 22560 20611 37 237 43 233 41 242 42 251 20611 18587 34 239 44 231 40 245 35 257 18587 16522 30 240 41 229 38 246 29 262 16522 14527 24 242 36 226 36 243 24 256 14527 12702 22 242 29 223 33 237 21 237 12702 11069 22 230 22 219 27 230 21 212 11069 9609 22 221 14 214 21 218 24 185 9609 8305 19 223 9 213 20 173 28 166 8305 7144 20 200 6 201 27 153 30 163 7144 6114 25 191 13 174 28 161 29 168 6114 5206 24 185 23 165 29 162 31 165 5206 4406 22 174 29 156 29 156 34 154 4406 3690 21 173 30*147 29 152 35 146 3690 3058 19 173 28*140 26 149 33 142 3058 2530 18 171 27 136 23 147 30 140 2530 2124 16*170 25 135 20 145 26 138 2124 1845 15*169 24 134 18 144 22 137 1845 1676 13 169 21 134 15 143 19*137 1676 1579 10 169 16 134 11*142 14*136 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography