DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.8 - - 72.2 - - 66.5 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 77 - - 184 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1179 - - 2272 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 2584 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2564 - - 3657 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 580 - - 598 - - 1557 - - 1774 - - 328 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 190 - - 308 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 195 - - 224 - - 215 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 7 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1355 - - -1820 - - -2837 - - -3057 - - -2847 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2932 - - 4384 - - 6494 - - 4636 - - 4425 sfcLCL ODpotential -8731 - - -8233 - - -7512 - - -7750 - - -10223 ODpotential blCL 10308 - - 10797 - - 11169 - - 9328 - - 11801 blCL maxRH 88 - - 100 - - 72 - - 70 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.8 - - 72.2 - - 66.5 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 51.3 - - 49.5 - - 51.9 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 64.0 - - 70.8 - - 67.9 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.2 - - 50.4 - - 48.7 - - 51.4 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 77 - - 184 - - -17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1179 - - 2272 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96632 18 229 13 223 11 281 13 270 5 335 96632 89409 9 208 10 179 18 213 15 275 4 316 89409 83868 3 038 10 120 12 190 9 259 6 050 83868 79273 4 017 7 089 7 105 7 142 8 104 79273 75335 5 322 4 011 4 098 7 083 8 097 75335 71873 5 298 4 339 2 174 5 350 7 022 71873 68744 3 299 5 290 2 008 7 333 6 279 68744 65897 6 313 6 317 10 353 8 348 5 254 65897 63276 11 284 13 288 14 309 14 329 8 306 63276 60750 16 251 16 262 18 267 17 290 14 274 60750 58109 14 249 22 267 19 256 17 298 20 289 58109 55329 26 252 34 262 37 253 36 258 33 276 55329 52648 42 242 47 246 52 243 54 240 58 244 52648 50230 52 244 54 249 58 246 63 242 63 252 50230 48061 56 261 70 255 73 252 79 253 89 258 48061 46087 83 259 87 249 85 247 93 248 99 251 46087 44263 95 241 95 242 98 242 96 239 95 244 44263 42567 102 235 94 242 95 242 86 241 91 242 42567 40990 97 242 90 250 87 253 84 253 89 247 40990 39523 104 249 98 252 95 257 92 258 96 255 39523 38149 113 251 105 249 102 255 99 256 101 256 38149 36822 110 253 108 248 104 249 101 252 102 252 36822 35466 90 252 105 254 106 249 103 251 100 251 35466 34058 78 251 87 254 101 254 97 252 94 255 34058 32602 67 244 72 252 95 258 84 255 83 256 32602 31085 61 242 69 247 75 252 73 254 75 253 31085 29493 58 247 68 245 73 248 66 251 69 251 29493 27826 53 249 62 249 68 251 62 254 62 251 27826 26086 48 247 53 252 59 257 55 258 56 253 26086 24275 45 250 46 251 46 258 50 263 45 259 24275 22395 45 256 41 248 41 261 46 265 39 264 22395 20443 42 268 37 249 41 263 39 267 36 269 20443 18411 37 262 37 256 40 266 36 274 33 280 18411 16337 28 228 40 258 41 263 28 280 26 287 16337 14334 24 225 32 240 36 256 28 273 23 278 14334 12512 13 243 27 237 28 251 32 269 24 286 12512 10893 12 296 17 244 22 251 30 273 21 294 10893 9455 15 313 11 278 20 254 25 277 17 283 9455 8178 19 321 11 313 7 257 17 278 15 269 8178 7042 19 330 12 335 4 357 11 280 11 269 7042 6034 15 327 9 333 7 304 8 288 10 280 6034 5145 10 275 5 312 8 271 7 287 9 289 5145 4358 13 229 7 219 9*229 7 264 7 280 4358 3654 16 215 13 198 9*222 9 219 8 224 3654 3032 20 219 14*194 9 223 11 207 11 199 3032 2513 23 220 13*194 9 223 11 207 12 192 2513 2114 21 220 13 194 8 225 10 211 12 190 2114 1840 15 219 12 195 8 225 9 213 9 192 1840 1673 11 216 11 196 8 225 7 215 5 200 1673 1578 6*213 9 196 7 225 5*215 3*212 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography