DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.9 - - 87.6 - - 92.3 - - 85.8 - - 81.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 307 - - 224 - - 22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1772 - - 2739 - - 4753 - - 922 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1993 - - 3120 - - 4525 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3157 - - 4124 - - 6138 - - 2307 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 704 - - 1263 - - 4126 - - 1993 - - 2422 Hgt.Variab. W* 245 - - 392 - - 426 - - 123 - - 27 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 170 - - 141 - - 117 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - -6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 370 - - -745 - - -505 - - -1555 - - -1375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2788 - - 4869 - - 6643 - - 3862 - - 2955 sfcLCL ODpotential -4133 - - -3151 - - -1581 - - -3868 - - -4523 ODpotential blCL 7290 - - 7275 - - 7719 - - 6175 - - 6103 blCL maxRH 88 - - 84 - - 87 - - 85 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 1670 - - 2100 - - 1870 - - 3120 - - 2540 CAPE Temp@2m 79.9 - - 87.6 - - 92.3 - - 85.8 - - 81.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.5 - - 71.2 - - 68.3 - - 73.6 - - 73.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.9 - - 85.4 - - 90.5 - - 85.3 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.8 - - 70.4 - - 67.5 - - 73.2 - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 307 - - 224 - - 22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1772 - - 2739 - - 4753 - - 922 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 37 - - 48 - - 40 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98808 30 099 31 112 16 112 25 117 19 075 98808 91342 26 102 33 117 25 112 17 073 28 077 91342 85585 27 102 28 106 31 116 21 086 29 073 85585 80821 28 082 23 083 29 109 26 106 29 092 80821 76740 24 067 20 077 25 092 27 112 25 099 76740 73141 17 088 12 104 17 075 22 096 21 092 73141 69877 15 097 16 100 17 087 20 087 23 091 69877 66892 15 088 18 088 19 096 21 091 24 092 66892 64178 14 073 12 094 17 092 18 090 20 088 64178 61597 8 079 11 139 10 108 11 091 12 081 61597 58912 16 107 17 136 12 128 12 103 12 087 58912 56121 23 102 25 113 14 132 13 098 12 090 56121 53469 23 088 26 094 17 131 14 104 21 087 53469 51099 17 078 23 080 19 105 21 091 24 086 51099 48968 14 095 19 075 20 086 21 075 25 073 48968 47012 15 093 12 071 18 081 18 070 25 067 47012 45201 10 054 11 060 18 081 19 083 24 079 45201 43512 13 009 14 063 19 076 24 089 24 088 43512 41927 19 343 11 028 10 061 20 086 22 091 41927 40430 27 336 20 345 11 359 14 091 18 088 40430 39011 25 335 22 339 14 354 10 064 9 087 39011 37635 22 334 18 339 14 352 13 036 9 061 37635 36237 21 328 17 334 14 343 11 037 6 056 36237 34787 19 315 18 322 15 329 8 037 3 035 34787 33286 16 300 18 310 16 328 7 032 6 045 33286 31721 12 304 14 308 12 325 7 025 10 040 31721 30087 9 355 7 356 7 359 10 353 16 009 30087 28384 8 036 7 027 6 005 11 332 18 355 28384 26606 12 030 7 037 7 004 13 331 19 349 26606 24752 14 029 5 059 7 018 12 344 18 348 24752 22828 13 048 5 102 2 040 7 331 12 332 22828 20834 9 064 5 112 2 152 5 312 10 311 20834 18766 6 086 3 095 0 220 6 343 4 348 18766 16662 6 085 3 103 1 241 3 355 7 024 16662 14636 9 069 3 104 1 291 5 008 10 022 14636 12791 11 064 3 136 2 229 2 001 12 007 12791 11150 14 066 3 103 1 155 1 219 11 004 11150 9687 11 075 6 063 4 070 4 190 7 358 9687 8381 6 080 6 046 4 083 7 182 3 277 8381 7216 3 046 2 020 6 145 10 172 5 208 7216 6181 4 193 8 216 8*150 11 160 7 168 6181 5265 11 204 11 204 8*147 12 148 13 151 5265 4454 16 209 10*189 9 145 14 137 22 147 4454 3729 16*207 10*177 9 141 17 126 27 147 3729 3087 14*202 9 172 9 139 18 119 28 146 3087 2550 13 200 9 170 9 138 17*117 25 142 2550 2137 13 199 9 167 9 137 15*117 21 137 2137 1852 12 199 9 165 9 136 14 117 17 135 1852 1679 11 199 8 165 8 136 12 117 14*134 1679 1580 9 199 7 164 7 136 9 118 9*134 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography