DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.2 - - 71.1 - - 69.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 135 - - 20 - - 4 - - 33 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1477 - - 181 - - 180 - - 1274 - - 180 BL Depth Hcrit 1877 - - 1549 - - 1549 - - 1549 - - 1549 Hcrit BL Top 2862 - - 1566 - - 1565 - - 2659 - - 1565 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1912 - - 1609 - - 1029 - - 1727 - - 1856 Hgt.Variab. W* 243 - - 65 - - 43 - - 152 - - 21 W* B/S 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 095 - - 063 - - 091 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 387 - - 0 - - 0 - - 339 - - -21 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2476 - - 1566 - - 1565 - - 2320 - - 1586 sfcLCL ODpotential -18 - - -263 - - -477 - - -790 - - -934 ODpotential blCL 2880 - - 1829 - - 2042 - - 3449 - - 2499 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 99 - - 93 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 1720 - - 1470 - - 1200 - - 2200 - - 1570 CAPE Temp@2m 75.2 - - 71.1 - - 69.6 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.9 - - 70.3 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.8 - - 70.6 - - 69.2 - - 75.1 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.8 - - 69.5 - - 67.8 - - 69.8 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 135 - - 20 - - 4 - - 33 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1477 - - 181 - - 180 - - 1274 - - 180 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 99 - - 95 - - 71 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98205 6 068 17 076 8 109 6 024 8 049 98205 90990 11 098 12 068 9 068 7 092 12 052 90990 85369 14 063 8 117 10 058 10 076 15 049 85369 80688 12 047 12 101 9 080 15 071 15 051 80688 76664 7 111 14 069 13 092 13 086 13 058 76664 73126 11 142 8 042 16 072 12 091 8 070 73126 69946 10 158 2 071 11 054 13 072 5 056 69946 67049 6 151 5 173 4 228 11 047 7 091 67049 64371 7 129 11 164 10 191 4 360 2 160 64371 61789 7 167 11 194 6 203 5 167 5 189 61789 59094 13 178 9 178 11 265 14 238 11 212 59094 56295 17 248 11 234 22 267 20 259 13 238 56295 53632 23 247 27 245 32 263 26 273 12 256 53632 51226 27 264 35 259 44 261 37 277 24 277 51226 49072 34 269 40 264 50 255 46 274 36 274 49072 47126 34 269 40 260 50 250 51 270 39 268 47126 45344 33 271 37 249 51 242 51 265 39 260 45344 43692 33 272 33 237 36 197 50 254 40 250 43692 42148 33 275 32 236 38 170 47 240 47 240 42148 40693 31 274 32 240 36 172 39 214 51 234 40693 39314 30 270 32 243 33 177 38 199 49 234 39314 37971 30 265 29 243 30 182 38 206 42 232 37971 36600 28 262 26 241 28 191 36 216 36 224 36600 35174 23 261 22 238 27 205 34 219 32 209 35174 33695 17 264 18 234 26 221 31 223 33 212 33695 32144 13 268 16 234 25 239 33 230 38 237 32144 30513 13 272 15 239 26 255 33 248 34 247 30513 28806 13 279 15 249 25 264 25 287 26 272 28806 27023 12 285 16 258 23 266 29 311 21 301 27023 25159 12 291 18 267 19 263 32 312 18 315 25159 23211 13 277 19 271 15 255 28 324 19 315 23211 21178 21 256 18 262 13 253 20 313 11 289 21178 19065 22 244 14 231 12 252 9 254 10 273 19065 16914 18 215 14 214 11 250 4 189 9 269 16914 14832 15 205 13 207 9 260 3 128 8 292 14832 12930 11 201 15 194 6 276 8 060 8 332 12930 11232 13 193 19 192 3 245 14 046 8 001 11232 9721 18 187 18 196 5 188 15 043 6 032 9721 8380 24 184 16 196 7 177 6 046 6 073 8380 7192 27 185 14 188 8 168 5 160 12 150 7192 6143 30 181 14 178 7 152 10 149 17 162 6143 5223 29 178 16 168 6 114 13 144 17 158 5223 4411 25 175 17 160 10 084 13 132 12 147 4411 3687 21 172 16 149 14 072 13 116 9 098 3687 3050 18*170 14 132 20 068 12*102 13 062 3050 2519 14*168 12 107 21 066 11*093 13 054 2519 2112 12 168 12 099 20 065 10 091 12 048 2112 1832 11 169 10 096 16 064 9 090 10 038 1832 1662 10 169 9*096 14 064 9 090 9 035 1662 1565 9 168 8*095 10*063 7 089 5*034 1565 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography