DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.5 - - 38.9 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 260 - - 193 - - -15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1078 - - 1640 - - 1949 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit 1559 - - 2256 - - 2376 - - 1560 - - 1559 Hcrit BL Top 2463 - - 3025 - - 3334 - - 1576 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 461 - - 375 - - 503 - - 2159 - - 1453 Hgt.Variab. W* 182 - - 310 - - 298 - - 30 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 17 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 037 - - 037 - - 047 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -7 - - -6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10 - - -413 - - -970 - - -1984 - - -1579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2473 - - 3438 - - 4304 - - 3560 - - 3155 sfcLCL ODpotential -14008 - - -13490 - - -13674 - - -14142 - - -15013 ODpotential blCL 16471 - - 16515 - - 17008 - - 15718 - - 16589 blCL maxRH 89 - - 79 - - 72 - - 57 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.5 - - 38.9 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 28.6 - - 28.7 - - 29.4 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 36.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.9 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.9 - - 27.4 - - 27.4 - - 28.2 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 260 - - 193 - - -15 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1078 - - 1640 - - 1949 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96268 53 222 56 233 71 237 74 259 57 255 96268 89098 57 246 39 258 45 254 49 257 50 262 89098 83577 58 263 38 272 39 266 37 267 40 262 83577 78972 43 267 36 277 37 273 33 261 35 266 78972 74984 34 287 35 293 34 280 32 268 29 270 74984 71460 33 296 37 295 32 288 29 277 25 280 71460 68289 37 297 37 296 33 297 33 297 25 301 68289 65390 41 293 37 295 37 302 41 303 33 313 65390 62718 42 290 37 281 45 294 51 298 41 311 62718 60143 41 293 43 283 53 286 56 295 50 300 60143 57471 53 296 56 287 60 283 55 296 56 293 57471 54688 74 306 67 300 55 296 53 298 58 295 54688 51992 91 302 79 301 69 305 59 303 65 298 51992 49535 93 296 86 298 82 299 71 298 75 292 49535 47328 93 297 89 296 88 295 82 294 84 288 47328 45341 98 297 92 297 90 295 86 293 89 291 45341 43537 100 294 92 296 92 295 87 297 91 294 43537 41882 94 293 90 296 94 292 96 298 89 296 41882 40349 89 297 90 299 90 291 98 292 91 294 40349 38918 79 304 85 299 87 295 85 285 88 288 38918 37568 79 314 82 299 85 300 83 293 83 292 37568 36259 80 314 82 300 85 302 81 300 80 297 36259 34924 80 310 82 302 85 303 77 301 79 298 34924 33538 79 310 77 303 76 306 73 301 68 302 33538 32104 76 313 71 302 74 307 69 302 61 303 32104 30608 73 317 68 302 72 301 66 304 54 307 30608 29034 70 321 68 301 69 297 65 305 52 313 29034 27380 70 325 66 303 66 295 64 305 50 316 27380 25647 69 331 64 304 62 296 64 301 48 316 25647 23836 64 333 59 309 57 295 57 302 47 311 23836 21955 58 326 55 314 52 297 50 302 47 307 21955 19999 53 323 51 318 48 302 45 301 45 305 19999 17965 48 323 45 316 45 309 41 303 40 309 17965 15897 41 324 43 315 41 313 39 308 37 317 15897 13911 34 323 34 318 35 320 34 310 34 322 13911 12111 26 342 24 323 24 320 27 307 29 311 12111 10519 20 347 18 328 15 313 21 302 23 305 10519 9111 18 331 18 325 14 317 13 307 14 302 9111 7865 20 309 20 314 17 307 13 305 10 291 7865 6762 17 306 17 305 16 293 13 285 15 274 6762 5785 15 305 15 306 13 290 11 281 17 271 5785 4928 13 317 11 320 7 309 6 282 13 271 4928 4176 11 350 12 024 7 025 3 056 6 262 4176 3512 24 031 17*037 10*036 8 066 3 068 3512 2930 28*033 18*037 10*037 9 059 10 083 2930 2447 25*033 18 037 11 037 9 055 14 089 2447 2075 24 033 17 037 10 037 9 052 13 090 2075 1820 22 033 16 037 10 037 8 049 11 092 1820 1665 19 033 15 037 9 037 7 047 8*091 1665 1576 15 033 12 037 8 037 5*047 4*092 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography