DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.8 - - 77.9 - - 79.8 - - 77.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 71 - - 55 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2078 - - 2515 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 2088 - - 2274 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 3463 - - 3900 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3440 - - 2748 - - 2505 - - 3669 - - 2336 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 244 - - 247 - - 44 - - 32 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 168 - - 164 - - 146 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1125 - - 1310 - - -229 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2338 - - 2590 - - 1808 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -443 - - -78 - - 125 - - -1128 - - -523 ODpotential blCL 2022 - - 3541 - - 3775 - - 2707 - - 2102 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 91 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 2150 - - 2120 - - 2530 - - 2730 - - 2440 CAPE Temp@2m 74.8 - - 77.9 - - 79.8 - - 77.2 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.8 - - 72.5 - - 73.2 - - 73.9 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.3 - - 77.2 - - 79.1 - - 77.2 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.3 - - 71.2 - - 71.8 - - 73.4 - - 73.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 71 - - 55 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 2078 - - 2515 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 87 - - 66 - - 86 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 16 - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98971 51 099 55 095 44 108 27 112 35 077 98971 91477 45 093 46 092 43 093 43 098 45 092 91477 85721 49 090 46 100 44 092 45 088 48 088 85721 80964 48 086 47 103 43 098 43 090 47 086 80964 76881 42 084 47 097 41 096 42 094 41 090 76881 73284 34 090 40 096 35 099 35 089 37 091 73284 70042 30 102 33 100 29 105 26 098 29 079 70042 67069 27 102 28 099 25 102 26 104 21 077 67069 64322 24 101 23 094 23 095 25 096 19 096 64322 61665 23 089 17 088 20 092 20 087 19 100 61665 58892 20 077 11 089 15 099 13 074 14 083 58892 56023 20 054 13 085 10 102 8 062 12 054 56023 53298 18 036 17 078 11 098 6 080 10 065 53298 50868 10 030 16 061 12 061 1 356 3 083 50868 48714 2 195 7 267 13 286 13 260 9 246 48714 46769 9 140 8 182 13 266 14 215 14 245 46769 44981 18 302 10 284 14 262 10 214 17 246 44981 43317 30 275 17 250 19 255 16 245 18 219 43317 41757 38 258 24 256 22 261 17 254 16 204 41757 40285 34 243 32 262 25 268 19 250 18 208 40285 38891 31 234 27 257 24 263 17 241 17 209 38891 37535 28 232 19 238 22 259 11 233 17 211 37535 36151 23 230 17 217 18 261 9 224 16 211 36151 34710 18 229 17 217 15 238 10 208 16 213 34710 33216 15 228 19 227 16 223 13 209 16 214 33216 31656 13 229 21 230 16 225 14 212 16 202 31656 30019 11 226 23 229 19 226 13 204 14 180 30019 28308 11 212 24 227 19 219 13 196 15 173 28308 26523 18 192 22 218 19 203 13 195 16 186 26523 24663 26 185 23 201 21 202 17 210 18 199 24663 22734 25 192 25 194 25 198 15 224 22 188 22734 20729 25 193 29 188 31 190 22 218 22 185 20729 18654 25 181 32 182 35 185 30 210 25 183 18654 16556 28 176 34 176 33 184 25 205 25 188 16556 14536 30 178 32 179 29 184 21 205 24 192 14536 12698 28 181 28 186 25 189 20 201 23 190 12698 11059 26 187 24 190 22 190 21 198 23 185 11059 9600 24 191 23 192 21 188 23 190 23 183 9600 8303 25 191 22 188 22 186 24 186 23 184 8303 7149 25 187 20 186 21 182 23 180 22 180 7149 6125 22 184 19 181 19 178 21 172 22 169 6125 5221 19 180 18 177 17 175 18 164 24 157 5221 4422 18 176 17 175 16*173 17 158 26 151 4422 3704 18 174 16*171 14*169 16 154 26 150 3704 3068 17 174 15*170 12 164 15 153 24 151 3068 2537 16 172 14 168 11 162 13 152 21 146 2537 2129 13 170 14 168 11 161 11 150 19 143 2129 1848 12 170 13 167 10 161 9 149 15 141 1848 1677 11 169 12 167 10 161 8 147 13 141 1677 1579 9*169 10 167 8 160 6*146 9*141 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography