DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 78.8 - - 76.0 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 211 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2722 - - 3721 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3034 - - 3708 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4107 - - 5106 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1142 - - 1235 - - 3930 - - 750 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 364 - - 382 - - 17 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 27 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 198 - - 210 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1857 - - -2459 - - -4519 - - -410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5964 - - 7566 - - 6098 - - 1988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8051 - - -7896 - - -10314 - - -7656 ODpotential blCL - - - 12158 - - 13002 - - 11893 - - 9234 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 75 - - 53 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 78.8 - - 76.0 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 51.0 - - 54.6 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 77.1 - - 76.8 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 50.2 - - 53.7 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 211 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2722 - - 3721 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96583 15 248 17 263 15 288 15 290 96583 89460 10 236 10 257 7 276 7 253 89460 83946 16 256 14 238 15 267 8 266 83946 79362 14 242 11 229 14 259 12 299 79362 75379 14 231 13 237 12 261 16 293 75379 71825 15 220 19 221 20 237 11 247 71825 68618 9 215 16 207 22 225 21 221 68618 65705 25 234 23 242 22 229 19 222 65705 63042 31 227 32 240 24 247 24 238 63042 60495 33 240 40 240 39 249 39 243 60495 57860 39 245 53 245 52 244 50 224 57860 55095 49 249 56 247 52 241 59 239 55095 52418 57 256 60 259 59 255 70 259 52418 50013 68 257 71 262 76 262 78 263 50013 47862 77 254 80 258 87 261 85 262 47862 45909 80 254 86 252 92 259 93 261 45909 44127 81 260 89 251 94 260 99 261 44127 42491 85 263 89 255 91 261 90 262 42491 40966 85 262 91 259 88 260 82 264 40966 39526 84 259 91 261 88 258 83 267 39526 38160 83 257 92 260 88 258 81 268 38160 36833 83 257 92 259 88 259 80 268 36833 35481 83 257 92 259 87 260 80 267 35481 34075 83 257 91 259 86 261 81 266 34075 32622 82 257 89 258 82 259 81 264 32622 31107 78 256 83 256 80 258 79 262 31107 29518 75 256 79 254 80 258 77 259 29518 27855 76 254 79 255 81 259 76 258 27855 26115 77 253 81 257 82 260 76 258 26115 24301 75 254 80 259 83 262 75 259 24301 22416 72 256 77 261 82 263 73 261 22416 20457 66 258 71 260 77 262 70 263 20457 18424 59 259 64 257 69 257 63 263 18424 16357 53 255 57 251 61 252 58 263 16357 14369 50 250 52 246 56 249 56 264 14369 12558 47 246 48 243 52 249 53 263 12558 10944 43 243 45 245 46 251 47 260 10944 9505 39 244 39 252 40 255 39 255 9505 8222 36 252 32 256 31 259 34 250 8222 7079 27 253 23 253 23 266 30 248 7079 6062 11 252 9 230 13 260 28 248 6062 5164 5 024 4*208 9 208 21 254 5164 4372 6*050 4*204 9 190 11 253 4372 3664 6*055 3 199 7 190 8 216 3664 3039 5 057 3 197 5 193 9 195 3039 2518 5 057 2 195 4 198 12 176 2518 2117 5 057 2 196 4 202 13 165 2117 1842 5 058 2 194 4 204 11 162 1842 1674 5 058 2 190 3*207 7 159 1674 1578 4 058 2 191 2*210 4*153 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography