DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.5 - - 68.9 - - 69.9 - - 64.0 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 88 - - 17 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2401 - - 194 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2371 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3786 - - 1579 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 331 - - 2506 - - 5089 - - 4247 - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 261 - - 77 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 255 - - 208 - - 162 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1772 - - -486 - - -4278 - - -2170 - - -3839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3350 - - 4272 - - 5857 - - 3748 - - 5418 sfcLCL ODpotential -6240 - - -3398 - - -7005 - - -5832 - - -11284 ODpotential blCL 7818 - - 7184 - - 8584 - - 7410 - - 12862 blCL maxRH 58 - - 65 - - 62 - - 55 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.5 - - 68.9 - - 69.9 - - 64.0 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.4 - - 55.6 - - 49.7 - - 53.0 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 68.0 - - 69.5 - - 67.8 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.4 - - 54.1 - - 48.5 - - 51.7 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 88 - - 17 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 2401 - - 194 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96907 51 258 62 252 68 252 73 259 73 263 96907 89438 37 265 40 273 41 261 43 266 43 268 89438 83762 31 277 28 270 27 271 24 264 28 259 83762 79106 17 311 21 261 28 270 21 286 20 282 79106 75149 16 329 14 281 20 282 17 290 17 284 75149 71680 17 306 19 303 19 314 10 315 11 279 71680 68548 20 292 20 289 24 301 17 301 14 318 68548 65677 17 290 17 271 22 280 25 282 24 309 65677 63036 18 308 14 277 17 264 27 267 28 282 63036 60504 28 305 19 299 16 264 25 268 32 264 60504 57869 33 287 37 288 30 268 36 264 40 256 57869 55117 37 277 43 270 38 257 42 253 46 250 55117 52478 37 282 43 271 44 258 51 250 57 251 52478 50089 45 288 49 274 52 265 62 252 63 245 50089 47936 56 285 60 278 62 269 66 251 58 252 47936 45974 63 285 67 276 71 262 74 253 60 259 45974 44168 66 285 57 284 61 257 78 251 64 260 44168 42492 62 287 54 287 58 268 69 254 60 256 42492 40924 53 294 52 284 66 271 66 256 56 254 40924 39445 47 303 47 278 59 270 63 257 56 253 39445 38047 45 304 40 277 53 262 56 251 56 251 38047 36693 43 306 37 280 52 259 55 244 53 245 36693 35321 40 311 36 283 48 257 55 244 49 241 35321 33902 41 313 34 282 40 252 51 246 47 243 33902 32435 41 322 28 289 36 246 45 248 45 245 32435 30904 36 325 19 304 30 242 40 254 41 243 30904 29295 29 311 16 286 29 242 36 258 35 244 29295 27612 14 303 16 245 27 245 32 247 31 247 27612 25862 8 019 12 186 21 221 26 223 29 240 25862 24050 9 041 10 167 18 198 22 202 28 230 24050 22179 5 021 7 173 14 188 19 201 25 221 22179 20239 7 341 4 160 9 180 17 214 23 218 20239 18224 9 343 2 111 8 194 15 236 16 223 18224 16170 7 323 2 234 8 234 12 246 12 240 16170 14190 5 302 6 246 7 246 11 254 13 262 14190 12388 4 312 8 238 9 247 9 265 11 272 12388 10788 2 020 9 225 12 241 6 268 8 274 10788 9368 7 119 8 200 12 219 6 230 5 259 9368 8108 8 116 7 188 10 201 9 199 7 199 8108 6990 6 131 6 210 8 203 7 173 10 160 6990 5999 6 157 7 217 6 207 7 152 12 146 5999 5123 4 149 7 213 6 210 8 153 12 139 5123 4346 1 230 7*220 5 209 8 155 11 136 4346 3648 5 287 6*243 5 210 7 156 12 137 3648 3029 7 281 5 255 5 209 6 157 12 139 3029 2512 11 260 5 257 5 207 5 159 13 143 2512 2114 12 260 5 258 5 208 4 161 12 150 2114 1839 11 275 5 258 5 207 3 161 11 156 1839 1673 7*287 5 258 5*208 3 161 6 155 1673 1578 3*297 4 259 4*208 2*162 3*140 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography