DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1005z - - 1335z - - 1606z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.8 - - 87.7 - - 91.0 - - 86.3 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 96 - - 407 - - 293 - - 2 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2277 - - 6220 - - 7430 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 2178 - - 5907 - - 6710 - - 1543 - - 1542 Hcrit BL Top 3662 - - 7605 - - 8815 - - 1559 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2323 - - 1128 - - 1328 - - 7470 - - 4550 Hgt.Variab. W* 246 - - 554 - - 528 - - 42 - - 39 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 17 - - 16 - - 11 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 167 - - 164 - - 155 - - 135 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1021 - - 1618 - - 1657 - - -3837 - - -2813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2641 - - 5987 - - 7159 - - 5396 - - 4372 sfcLCL ODpotential 628 - - 1523 - - 1043 - - -4756 - - -3957 ODpotential blCL 3034 - - 6082 - - 7772 - - 6315 - - 5516 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 90 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 980 - - 670 - - 610 - - 960 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m 77.8 - - 87.7 - - 91.0 - - 86.3 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.0 - - 66.5 - - 64.7 - - 67.7 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.7 - - 85.1 - - 88.8 - - 86.2 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.9 - - 66.4 - - 64.6 - - 67.4 - - 67.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 96 - - 407 - - 293 - - 2 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2277 - - 6220 - - 7430 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 82 - - 60 - - 50 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 14 - - 12 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97782 35 094 40 082 36 089 30 088 44 102 97782 90579 38 089 35 091 31 076 31 082 39 083 90579 84990 40 084 35 096 33 090 36 086 31 078 84990 80315 38 084 32 092 38 101 32 084 29 090 80315 76283 33 088 27 090 31 102 27 088 29 099 76283 72736 31 096 24 096 19 095 21 092 26 099 72736 69538 26 099 23 103 13 097 17 098 23 099 69538 66609 17 116 22 109 11 107 15 098 19 107 66609 63911 12 138 14 114 15 124 9 094 16 117 63911 61318 9 140 8 132 17 129 7 130 13 129 61318 58651 6 157 5 151 16 135 9 153 13 158 58651 55936 9 172 7 228 5 177 10 158 13 179 55936 53376 9 180 10 215 13 261 8 235 9 213 53376 51076 9 204 11 196 15 251 15 249 11 249 51076 48994 9 225 14 196 16 225 20 229 10 242 48994 47072 6 228 11 205 16 217 22 222 9 251 47072 45281 4 289 3 213 11 223 19 220 10 245 45281 43601 1 321 3 154 6 197 11 206 8 247 43601 42019 4 063 2 108 6 181 7 177 7 253 42019 40524 3 022 3 270 8 272 6 188 7 270 40524 39105 10 314 11 287 18 295 3 247 6 263 39105 37728 13 309 15 290 14 294 6 281 4 219 37728 36325 12 304 13 286 11 290 10 291 4 172 36325 34871 10 301 10 283 13 276 12 295 4 165 34871 33365 6 297 6 260 6 232 5 242 6 187 33365 31794 2 251 7 202 10 207 10 193 9 196 31794 30146 4 210 11 195 13 208 15 197 13 212 30146 28422 5 202 12 199 14 210 14 203 13 216 28422 26625 3 176 11 197 13 209 12 216 12 216 26625 24756 5 164 11 185 13 198 11 218 10 211 24756 22819 8 156 13 181 14 191 10 211 7 208 22819 20807 8 157 12 173 12 195 10 212 5 219 20807 18719 5 162 10 177 12 186 12 209 7 222 18719 16601 2 143 6 168 11 176 11 187 7 199 16601 14566 3 149 4 145 7 152 8 151 7 147 14566 12717 5 162 5 193 7 183 11 148 7 144 12717 11070 10 169 10 194 13 185 11 146 9 164 11070 9604 15 179 15 191 16*163 11 152 13 164 9604 8301 18 182 17*183 17*160 13 149 14 158 8301 7144 19 179 19*170 17 158 15 146 14 152 7144 6119 22 171 19 167 17 157 18 147 16 151 6119 5213 23 169 18 165 17 155 19 148 21 151 5213 4411 22 169 18 163 16 154 20 147 26 150 4411 3692 21*169 17 162 16 153 20 144 27 150 3692 3055 18*168 16 161 15 152 19 142 26 150 3055 2522 16 167 16 160 15 152 19 139 25 150 2522 2112 14 167 15 160 14 151 18 138 23 150 2112 1829 13 167 14 160 14 151 16 137 21 150 1829 1657 11 167 13 159 13 151 14 136 17*150 1657 1559 9 167 11 159 11 151 11*135 13*150 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography