DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.6 - - 66.3 - - 69.2 - - 62.3 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 268 - - 185 - - -29 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1688 - - 2348 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2296 - - 2636 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3073 - - 3733 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 787 - - 545 - - 835 - - 1716 - - 257 Hgt.Variab. W* 69 - - 315 - - 311 - - 19 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 19 - - 18 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 020 - - 022 - - 025 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -19 - - -16 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4618 - - -2757 - - -2356 - - -2818 - - -2236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6196 - - 5830 - - 6090 - - 4396 - - 3814 sfcLCL ODpotential -14157 - - -9982 - - -8627 - - -11410 - - -11749 ODpotential blCL 15735 - - 13055 - - 12360 - - 12988 - - 13327 blCL maxRH 45 - - 59 - - 60 - - 53 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.6 - - 66.3 - - 69.2 - - 62.3 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.5 - - 46.4 - - 48.1 - - 48.6 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 64.7 - - 67.8 - - 64.0 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 46.2 - - 47.9 - - 48.5 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 268 - - 185 - - -29 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1688 - - 2348 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 29 236 29 235 34 235 42 257 36 266 96276 89019 30 268 23 272 21 261 25 261 24 262 89019 83499 21 276 17 249 23 270 20 286 10 282 83499 78961 14 300 11 251 19 274 19 305 13 330 78961 75065 13 300 10 287 13 270 15 303 10 308 75065 71624 8 285 12 296 9 266 11 275 9 271 71624 68516 6 296 7 275 7 265 7 291 9 278 68516 65672 11 313 15 308 12 279 15 288 12 288 65672 63043 13 295 26 300 22 283 20 283 20 298 63043 60502 18 275 28 280 28 284 25 287 29 293 60502 57851 26 277 33 276 34 284 32 281 39 285 57851 55082 36 281 36 276 37 280 34 277 39 278 55082 52418 44 283 39 280 40 284 36 284 38 279 52418 50005 48 282 43 283 44 287 41 292 38 285 50005 47833 51 278 48 281 49 287 50 290 45 287 47833 45847 53 275 52 275 55 282 54 287 45 284 45847 44027 54 277 54 272 57 275 55 291 63 299 44027 42372 56 281 53 274 54 278 58 295 67 300 42372 40849 57 281 49 276 50 283 55 292 62 302 40849 39417 55 280 37 284 46 291 45 287 54 306 39417 38058 51 281 38 308 45 312 34 312 58 311 38058 36738 49 286 47 326 56 335 45 342 60 316 36738 35394 48 292 46 322 62 336 56 346 57 326 35394 34002 46 295 41 307 55 330 59 344 54 333 34002 32561 45 297 39 298 46 318 54 337 50 329 32561 31055 45 298 37 296 45 303 48 326 45 321 31055 29470 44 298 38 293 50 302 46 314 42 313 29470 27807 43 301 40 291 48 305 48 310 41 311 27807 26066 41 307 40 292 45 306 53 313 40 312 26066 24249 40 312 38 295 44 307 50 317 38 319 24249 22362 43 313 37 305 42 312 42 317 33 325 22362 20400 48 312 40 314 40 319 37 319 29 322 20400 18359 49 310 40 315 39 322 33 326 27 321 18359 16277 42 309 37 314 37 321 32 327 25 320 16277 14270 35 305 33 313 33 318 30 327 23 322 14270 12444 32 304 29 314 29 318 27 326 19 329 12444 10825 30 309 25 318 23 330 22 337 16 342 10825 9392 27 322 20 326 17 338 14 355 11 003 9392 8122 23 344 14 335 14 352 9 011 8 019 8122 6994 21 004 12 356 14 007 9 031 6 025 6994 5993 23 006 14 013 15 019 10 038 5 023 5993 5110 25 004 18 025 17 026 11 042 6 015 5110 4331 27 008 23 031 18*024 13 043 8 018 4331 3634 29 014 25*029 19*023 14 039 12 029 3634 3018 33 013 23*024 19 022 16 035 15 037 3018 2504 33 007 20 020 18 022 16 032 18 039 2504 2109 29 000 19 020 18 023 16 031 18 037 2109 1837 22 356 18 019 17 022 14 029 16 035 1837 1672 19*355 17 019 16 022 11 027 11*033 1672 1578 13*354 13 019 12 022 6*025 6*030 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography