DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 85.6 - - 83.2 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 169 - - -9 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2984 - - 3577 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3239 - - 3544 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4369 - - 4962 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 863 - - 1124 - - 4234 - - 1833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 362 - - 55 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 184 - - 157 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 410 - - -843 - - -3470 - - -752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3960 - - 5805 - - 5049 - - 2331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5056 - - -5551 - - -8175 - - -7248 ODpotential blCL - - - 9425 - - 10513 - - 9754 - - 8827 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 82 - - 79 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 1030 - - 1170 - - 1420 - - 1530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 85.6 - - 83.2 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.6 - - 65.2 - - 66.1 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 84.2 - - 83.5 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 64.0 - - 65.2 - - 68.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 169 - - -9 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2984 - - 3577 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 27 - - 18 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98282 14 166 16 175 7 142 10 109 98282 90773 8 138 9 133 6 178 4 010 90773 85038 17 110 13 122 6 132 3 107 85038 80288 10 084 16 095 7 093 11 092 80288 76206 7 064 12 056 15 086 17 069 76206 72625 13 081 6 042 14 073 15 073 72625 69421 14 079 13 089 13 077 11 094 69421 66513 11 080 12 085 16 076 16 080 66513 63846 10 100 5 051 10 037 18 043 63846 61273 13 104 5 096 2 037 4 033 61273 58590 6 327 8 037 6 067 3 042 58590 55792 17 293 11 280 13 289 11 262 55792 53109 30 272 27 263 27 275 25 269 53109 50693 33 255 38 263 37 269 34 270 50693 48525 39 251 46 259 46 263 40 267 48525 46554 44 252 47 253 47 257 42 261 46554 44746 45 254 45 250 45 255 41 256 44746 43072 45 255 44 249 43 250 38 254 43072 41504 47 252 46 248 43 245 37 256 41504 40024 49 249 52 245 44 241 38 258 40024 38622 51 245 53 236 48 243 42 254 38622 37267 54 242 55 235 56 242 46 246 37267 35893 54 233 56 233 57 234 51 239 35893 34468 50 222 58 231 55 231 54 235 34468 32994 47 220 58 234 54 233 51 233 32994 31456 47 225 57 242 54 239 48 232 31456 29843 46 230 51 249 50 245 48 238 29843 28157 42 240 46 252 46 252 46 246 28157 26400 43 256 40 253 37 255 43 257 26400 24578 41 264 37 253 30 258 37 259 24578 22687 36 261 36 257 26 276 29 257 22687 20719 33 261 34 266 26 286 20 263 20719 18672 23 260 31 280 27 287 20 278 18672 16585 17 291 25 278 21 280 20 282 16585 14571 10 296 12 269 13 273 19 272 14571 12733 8 225 5 231 7 267 16 259 12733 11091 8 179 7 198 5 227 9 227 11091 9626 5 130 5 123 5 195 5 204 9626 8320 7 180 4 148 7 151 8 151 8320 7157 17 195 11 199 11 191 12 177 7157 6127 22 196 15 192 15 194 15 196 6127 5222 19 196 15*186 15 185 16 195 5222 4422 14*199 15*185 15 176 17 180 4422 3706 14*199 15 184 16 169 20 166 3706 3071 13 201 15 184 16 165 21 161 3071 2539 13 202 14 183 16 163 21 159 2539 2130 12 202 14 184 15 160 20 157 2130 1848 11 203 13 184 13 159 16 154 1848 1677 11 202 12 183 12 158 11 153 1677 1579 9 202 10 184 9*157 6*152 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography