DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1334z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.6 - - 61.8 - - 60.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 301 - - 218 - - -64 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 271 - - 1700 - - 2358 - - 172 - - 172 BL Depth Hcrit 1539 - - 2332 - - 2706 - - 1541 - - 1540 Hcrit BL Top 1656 - - 3085 - - 3743 - - 1557 - - 1557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 497 - - 560 - - 775 - - 2382 - - 1429 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 326 - - 328 - - 18 - - 15 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 19 - - 21 - - 9 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 178 - - 174 - - 163 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 12 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -922 - - -2121 - - -2818 - - -4678 - - -998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2578 - - 5206 - - 6562 - - 6235 - - 2555 sfcLCL ODpotential -15631 - - -14116 - - -12809 - - -14823 - - -11861 ODpotential blCL 17287 - - 17201 - - 16552 - - 16380 - - 13418 blCL maxRH 84 - - 65 - - 55 - - 52 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 54.6 - - 61.8 - - 60.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.7 - - 38.6 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 52.9 - - 60.4 - - 60.8 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 37.2 - - 38.2 - - 38.5 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 301 - - 218 - - -64 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 271 - - 1700 - - 2358 - - 172 - - 172 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96014 55 270 53 262 55 245 48 267 50 264 96014 88646 44 265 47 261 41 254 43 250 47 262 88646 83098 35 262 41 254 39 260 36 260 39 266 83098 78547 27 266 34 245 40 248 36 276 30 262 78547 74659 25 270 28 246 33 237 38 271 26 260 74659 71251 22 264 23 247 26 236 31 256 26 262 71251 68185 24 264 22 264 24 243 26 242 32 266 68185 65381 28 259 29 269 23 252 35 245 36 268 65381 62782 29 252 34 255 33 259 39 248 39 265 62782 60255 32 257 38 251 44 255 43 249 46 259 60255 57610 38 259 43 257 47 255 49 249 54 253 57610 54862 44 262 49 263 50 259 56 250 62 249 54862 52230 50 266 53 263 54 261 61 253 67 249 52230 49849 51 268 53 264 54 261 59 255 68 251 49849 47708 48 269 51 264 53 260 54 258 61 249 47708 45776 44 270 46 262 51 256 50 257 49 244 45776 44015 40 276 39 261 44 249 45 253 42 243 44015 42383 39 283 33 261 38 243 42 246 44 243 42383 40851 40 287 31 265 36 241 43 241 48 237 40851 39402 41 285 33 265 38 236 46 234 53 227 39402 38030 41 278 35 256 42 233 49 228 57 220 38030 36699 41 270 37 248 44 234 53 226 61 218 36699 35345 42 267 39 249 46 238 56 226 62 219 35345 33938 44 267 42 253 48 240 56 229 59 222 33938 32483 46 267 44 256 50 242 55 233 56 225 32483 30968 48 267 47 257 51 245 54 235 54 228 30968 29382 50 264 50 257 50 248 55 235 53 232 29382 27725 52 261 51 255 50 251 55 238 52 234 27725 25994 51 261 50 255 51 253 53 243 52 236 25994 24189 48 266 46 262 49 256 52 248 53 239 24189 22315 44 273 41 270 46 259 50 251 51 243 22315 20364 39 276 36 273 40 261 45 251 48 247 20364 18332 34 272 33 266 36 261 39 249 45 250 18332 16259 28 262 32 257 35 257 35 247 42 251 16259 14257 24 254 30 256 34 256 35 250 38 250 14257 12434 20 252 26 261 31 258 36 255 35 249 12434 10812 18 251 22 267 26 261 34 257 32 249 10812 9369 19 251 22 265 24 261 31 258 30 248 9369 8084 21 251 24 257 23 254 29 254 28 244 8084 6940 23 238 25 245 24 245 26 241 27 234 6940 5928 26 220 26 221 28 217 29 214 28 216 5928 5042 30 206 31 202 30 196 31 193 32 198 5042 4267 31 198 33 193 31*189 31 176 34 187 4267 3579 30 195 31*188 27*181 30 169 39 171 3579 2972 29 188 24*181 23 174 29 167 40 163 2972 2467 27 179 20 178 21 172 26 166 37 159 2467 2078 23 173 19 177 19 171 23 165 32 158 2078 1812 16*172 17 177 18 171 18 164 24 157 1812 1649 13*171 16 177 16 170 14 164 20*157 1649 1557 9 172 13 176 13 171 9*163 13*157 1557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography