DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.1 - - 74.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 281 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2056 - - 3034 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2615 - - 3301 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3441 - - 4419 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 619 - - 1028 - - 3889 - - 427 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 357 - - 390 - - 35 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 210 - - 217 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -656 - - -1552 - - -4525 - - -2962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4098 - - 5971 - - 6105 - - 4540 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5791 - - -6027 - - -8774 - - -9891 ODpotential blCL - - - 9232 - - 10446 - - 10353 - - 11469 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 67 - - 55 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 75.1 - - 74.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 54.4 - - 53.4 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 73.1 - - 74.6 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 53.7 - - 52.7 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 281 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2056 - - 3034 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97002 45 267 38 274 37 272 36 288 97002 89732 25 268 24 264 30 268 26 284 89732 84154 14 243 9 280 16 297 10 289 84154 79528 12 113 13 198 12 300 8 006 79528 75567 17 074 10 146 7 310 14 040 75567 72088 16 059 15 068 4 073 11 059 72088 68933 13 054 15 066 12 053 12 052 68933 66042 14 048 10 096 12 040 15 044 66042 63380 15 025 7 054 12 022 13 021 63380 60800 13 009 9 008 8 016 9 018 60800 58105 19 356 19 004 13 008 13 014 58105 55325 25 355 29 359 17 003 13 014 55325 52675 29 342 28 350 17 355 16 005 52675 50280 26 330 25 342 22 347 26 354 50280 48130 21 316 25 335 28 336 29 343 48130 46180 20 332 27 323 27 319 23 352 46180 44396 25 344 25 319 17 326 24 350 44396 42750 25 348 25 329 11 334 19 339 42750 41211 23 339 22 334 9 344 18 348 41211 39758 20 334 15 357 14 014 21 002 39758 38383 19 342 18 043 25 027 25 008 38383 37050 23 354 25 044 31 027 25 011 37050 35694 29 005 28 036 31 023 26 008 35694 34288 32 015 30 032 30 021 29 006 34288 32829 34 016 32 033 28 023 29 007 32829 31305 35 005 35 033 26 024 27 010 31305 29701 40 003 35 035 25 024 25 010 29701 28019 44 359 37 027 28 026 24 011 28019 26258 46 357 43 019 30 025 25 015 26258 24419 49 360 48 014 31 025 28 024 24419 22510 54 003 49 013 35 024 32 023 22510 20528 53 010 45 017 39 016 35 018 20528 18474 47 012 44 017 40 019 34 020 18474 16393 38 013 42 012 42 026 35 024 16393 14392 29 022 33 021 39 030 39 032 14392 12572 23 035 23 033 26 039 34 034 12572 10950 21 039 20 042 16 042 20 034 10950 9505 16 041 18 043 14 049 12 033 9505 8216 8 070 9 046 9 050 10 042 8216 7068 5 119 1 151 3 333 8 018 7068 6051 5 147 6 192 6 217 8 287 6051 5157 5 157 8*200 10 194 12 231 5157 4371 7 217 8*204 10 194 15 216 4371 3666 10*227 8 207 10 199 16 208 3666 3041 11*228 8 210 9 206 18 199 3041 2519 11 228 8 211 8 211 19 192 2519 2118 10 229 8 213 8 214 18 190 2118 1842 10 229 7 214 7 216 13 191 1842 1674 9 229 7 214 7*217 8 195 1674 1578 8 229 6 214 5*217 4*196 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography