DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 65.5 - - 59.5 - - 50.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 186 - - 191 - - -26 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1254 - - 1777 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1877 - - 2246 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2639 - - 3162 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 517 - - 518 - - 589 - - 1455 - - 1437 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 256 - - 287 - - 24 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 23 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 345 - - 355 - - 007 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - -17 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -240 - - -2636 - - -1202 - - -1277 - - -1075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1818 - - 5276 - - 4364 - - 2854 - - 2652 sfcLCL ODpotential -5476 - - -7697 - - -7274 - - -10913 - - -12269 ODpotential blCL 7054 - - 10336 - - 10436 - - 12490 - - 13846 blCL maxRH 91 - - 59 - - 73 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 65.5 - - 59.5 - - 50.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 47.9 - - 45.9 - - 44.0 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 64.0 - - 58.3 - - 51.3 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 46.9 - - 45.4 - - 43.8 - - 41.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 186 - - 191 - - -26 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1254 - - 1777 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96578 24 230 10 236 20 257 35 277 43 279 96578 89298 13 236 16 230 24 255 34 268 32 287 89298 83677 18 278 17 224 19 243 25 261 25 273 83677 79040 24 273 20 246 21 266 25 266 27 263 79040 75088 26 257 23 242 24 256 27 264 24 258 75088 71631 25 251 21 252 22 228 24 249 23 253 71631 68509 29 255 28 280 24 265 24 265 25 259 68509 65635 32 258 39 270 40 278 34 279 31 269 65635 62982 34 256 44 254 47 271 45 280 40 277 62982 60442 36 261 41 252 47 264 50 272 46 278 60442 57810 36 271 39 264 42 265 45 265 45 271 57810 55074 37 276 40 276 40 272 42 264 43 262 55074 52448 39 275 44 279 42 275 43 267 44 262 52448 50062 42 274 45 273 47 274 48 273 48 270 50062 47899 47 268 48 265 51 269 53 273 53 273 47899 45917 54 258 54 261 54 263 57 272 59 272 45917 44086 69 254 60 259 57 261 61 268 63 269 44086 42382 81 252 68 256 60 261 62 260 66 263 42382 40786 87 252 75 254 68 258 65 259 69 260 40786 39289 93 251 81 254 77 256 71 259 72 262 39289 37880 97 252 87 254 81 256 71 259 71 264 37880 36528 100 253 88 255 77 257 64 262 65 263 36528 35167 98 254 83 256 63 261 51 266 55 263 35167 33768 83 255 69 257 53 269 46 272 50 270 33768 32325 60 259 52 263 53 268 48 271 52 271 32325 30821 46 273 44 258 52 260 49 261 52 264 30821 29240 44 272 40 259 49 263 47 264 48 268 29240 27584 42 272 39 274 46 276 44 274 44 280 27584 25853 39 277 39 280 47 288 42 286 42 288 25853 24050 38 282 44 277 48 294 45 301 41 290 24050 22173 39 288 45 283 43 293 44 304 38 291 22173 20216 41 288 43 291 39 294 42 313 34 300 20216 18182 44 279 40 289 40 303 37 314 29 300 18182 16115 41 275 39 283 41 308 31 306 29 300 16115 14122 35 274 38 284 44 302 29 305 30 312 14122 12302 30 274 32 282 41 291 29 304 26 325 12302 10685 22 261 25 288 30 279 26 308 23 329 10685 9253 16 257 23 296 28 288 20 311 24 333 9253 7988 9 268 22 300 22 291 19 324 28 346 7988 6873 6 286 19 307 21 281 26 344 33 355 6873 5887 7 314 16 301 21 295 32 352 33 000 5887 5018 12 321 14 288 23 317 34 003 33 007 5018 4251 17 319 12 293 26 341 34 011 34 011 4251 3568 19 312 12 314 26*351 35 011 35 011 3568 2970 21 301 16*341 26*353 35 008 34 013 2970 2472 20 287 16*344 25 354 33 007 30 015 2472 2090 16 277 16 345 24 355 29 007 25 016 2090 1828 12 275 15 346 23 355 25 007 19 016 1828 1668 9*274 14 346 20 356 21 007 16*015 1668 1577 7*274 11 347 16 356 15*007 11*016 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography