DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 66.8 - - 68.3 - - 65.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 19 - - -1 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1579 - - 1578 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1849 - - 1408 - - 1664 - - 1873 - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 64 - - 45 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 216 - - 321 - - 334 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 3 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -1078 - - -443 - - -2068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1579 - - 2656 - - 2022 - - 3646 sfcLCL ODpotential -340 - - 0 - - -3487 - - -3767 - - -9334 ODpotential blCL 1918 - - 1579 - - 5065 - - 5346 - - 10912 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 69 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 1450 - - 1530 - - 1420 - - 280 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 66.8 - - 68.3 - - 65.0 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.2 - - 66.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.2 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.2 - - 66.5 - - 68.1 - - 67.4 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.1 - - 66.5 - - 60.6 - - 60.5 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 19 - - -1 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 194 - - 193 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 99 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - 12 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96567 55 253 46 256 58 251 50 271 45 264 96567 89340 37 251 37 263 41 247 46 263 38 276 89340 83800 21 261 33 242 30 261 34 260 35 263 83800 79234 17 279 25 233 27 270 21 269 23 261 79234 75301 12 258 16 248 19 276 15 273 13 261 75301 71818 7 256 11 281 5 270 12 233 14 250 71818 68673 7 282 8 284 5 226 7 222 6 229 68673 65799 11 262 11 281 9 240 17 252 14 249 65799 63162 10 215 14 243 15 242 20 231 19 226 63162 60619 7 293 9 229 17 233 20 231 12 230 60619 57954 22 266 22 253 21 267 23 242 22 252 57954 55172 46 235 42 250 37 257 33 242 36 244 55172 52492 49 229 52 239 49 244 38 241 44 239 52492 50046 51 244 58 236 54 243 52 249 53 244 50046 47837 63 250 61 237 61 245 63 251 55 250 47837 45829 70 249 62 238 66 244 64 254 54 260 45829 43990 68 249 60 241 66 244 59 257 56 262 43990 42288 65 249 61 246 62 248 56 261 58 260 42288 40701 64 250 65 249 60 254 59 265 57 262 40701 39217 65 251 68 249 64 255 66 265 63 267 39217 37828 68 251 70 248 68 252 69 258 71 265 37828 36497 71 249 70 246 70 250 65 253 69 257 36497 35153 72 245 72 246 70 250 60 257 61 250 35153 33761 70 244 71 242 71 250 60 264 54 253 33761 32322 66 244 69 240 71 247 64 264 53 262 32322 30823 63 244 65 241 71 244 68 260 57 265 30823 29249 61 245 63 243 70 242 71 257 59 265 29249 27599 60 244 62 244 68 242 72 254 60 265 27599 25873 58 245 59 243 66 242 73 249 61 264 25873 24073 53 246 54 240 62 240 72 247 62 263 24073 22206 48 246 51 238 59 238 68 247 59 263 22206 20273 45 243 49 236 56 237 63 247 47 264 20273 18268 44 240 49 235 54 237 58 248 32 268 18268 16223 45 240 47 235 49 236 53 250 27 268 16223 14244 41 235 43 231 44 235 44 254 24 272 14244 12439 38 232 39 229 39 236 36 256 29 280 12439 10834 29 228 33 234 32 239 30 258 31 283 10834 9410 22 234 25 237 27 247 27 260 30 286 9410 8144 23 232 15 237 21 250 24 267 25 291 8144 7018 25 222 14 240 15 247 20 277 21 296 7018 6019 28 212 14 239 13 252 16 284 17 301 6019 5137 29 207 16 229 11 263 15 299 15 304 5137 4355 27 203 17 221 10 286 15 313 13 307 4355 3653 25 198 16 219 11 322 16 323 14 313 3653 3032 24 195 16 220 11 333 16 327 11 320 3032 2513 22 193 15 218 10 334 15 329 8 337 2513 2114 19 191 14 217 7 331 13 330 8 348 2114 1840 17 190 13 217 5 324 9 333 8 348 1840 1673 14 190 12*216 4 323 7*334 4*346 1673 1578 11*190 8*216 3*321 4*334 2*339 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography