DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 83.0 - - 84.2 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 58 - - -9 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2829 - - 3130 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2851 - - 2713 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4214 - - 4515 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1171 - - 1905 - - 5991 - - 2248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 265 - - 59 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 170 - - 156 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1498 - - 1462 - - -2235 - - -593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2716 - - 3054 - - 3815 - - 2173 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 210 - - 103 - - -3436 - - -2942 ODpotential blCL - - - 4004 - - 4412 - - 5016 - - 4522 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 92 - - 77 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 980 - - 2270 - - 1770 - - 1390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 83.0 - - 84.2 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.8 - - 74.4 - - 72.3 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 82.3 - - 84.4 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 73.1 - - 71.3 - - 72.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 58 - - -9 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2829 - - 3130 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 70 - - 8 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98938 43 102 29 105 26 092 31 075 98938 91407 47 097 41 092 44 091 39 095 91407 85641 40 089 42 080 45 081 46 094 85641 80918 28 088 32 078 36 064 46 086 80918 76862 28 097 23 083 24 066 36 074 76862 73272 36 095 25 098 21 089 27 069 73272 70030 40 091 27 099 22 096 23 075 70030 67062 33 085 28 097 23 084 24 081 67062 64327 28 084 29 091 23 081 25 083 64327 61709 28 075 28 084 24 081 26 080 61709 59014 28 066 22 076 24 077 23 074 59014 56244 26 055 21 070 22 073 22 065 56244 53611 23 048 23 061 24 066 23 060 53611 51248 23 053 26 052 29 053 32 054 51248 49125 24 055 26 028 27 033 35 038 49125 47183 24 068 25 072 24 086 22 077 47183 45392 30 085 36 092 34 094 30 086 45392 43719 30 091 29 097 31 085 32 078 43719 42142 28 089 24 100 28 094 29 078 42142 40650 25 083 21 088 24 107 26 091 40650 39234 20 068 19 068 21 109 28 105 39234 37858 18 050 16 062 17 089 23 108 37858 36456 16 062 13 094 19 086 17 093 36456 35002 14 119 14 115 18 097 16 088 35002 33499 21 131 16 132 18 105 17 093 33499 31930 20 132 15 132 17 118 13 099 31930 30285 14 107 12 095 15 133 10 122 30285 28567 12 106 11 078 8 095 8 076 28567 26776 12 107 9 087 12 066 14 070 26776 24911 15 118 12 133 8 104 8 065 24911 22977 19 128 19 152 10 150 6 110 22977 20967 18 125 17 144 9 130 8 088 20967 18874 16 116 14 132 11 123 11 093 18874 16738 16 099 12 129 7 136 8 100 16738 14679 16 106 12 139 6 138 4 104 14679 12807 16 115 15 148 13 161 8 168 12807 11145 13 099 15 163 14 180 15 174 11145 9669 10 081 13 191 13 196 16 180 9669 8357 10 154 16 204 17 190 16 196 8357 7193 19 193 17 199 20 178 17 198 7193 6160 21 199 17 190 20 169 14 179 6160 5250 18 191 16*180 18 163 14 158 5250 4442 17*186 16*175 17 160 18 152 4442 3719 17*184 15 171 15 158 23 152 3719 3080 17 183 15 170 14 157 27 151 3080 2544 16 183 15 169 13 157 27 151 2544 2133 16 183 14 169 12 156 23 150 2133 1850 15 183 14 168 11 156 17 149 1850 1678 14 183 12 168 10*156 13*148 1678 1580 11 183 10 167 8*156 9*148 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography