DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 64.2 - - 76.8 - - 74.4 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 95 - - 159 - - -29 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1321 - - 2342 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1562 - - 2590 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2706 - - 3727 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1243 - - 564 - - 758 - - 2681 - - 969 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 212 - - 301 - - 31 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 16 - - 17 - - 6 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 195 - - 190 - - 174 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 410 - - -2028 - - -3874 - - -353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 2296 - - 5756 - - 5454 - - 1931 sfcLCL ODpotential -180 - - -9104 - - -8936 - - -11469 - - -9649 ODpotential blCL 1758 - - 11810 - - 12663 - - 13048 - - 11227 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 60 - - 49 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 64.2 - - 76.8 - - 74.4 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.3 - - 59.3 - - 56.9 - - 55.9 - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 63.4 - - 75.6 - - 76.2 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 58.7 - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 95 - - 159 - - -29 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1321 - - 2342 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 81 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96661 16 178 10 240 3 300 5 265 11 273 96661 89562 8 142 6 141 7 203 7 232 7 309 89562 84050 8 101 8 147 10 217 7 248 8 273 84050 79440 6 131 8 180 11 237 4 244 7 259 79440 75461 3 114 9 184 11 218 8 235 5 235 75461 71926 6 338 7 176 9 217 13 226 1 299 71926 68717 12 282 5 175 10 222 13 203 14 209 68717 65814 18 246 10 232 14 193 16 217 24 206 65814 63197 20 213 16 224 21 229 26 228 24 215 63197 60697 19 227 28 237 30 236 31 255 22 238 60697 58067 38 260 34 244 36 244 38 260 31 262 58067 55306 49 269 36 252 41 251 44 258 47 262 55306 52652 49 270 40 265 44 259 47 251 55 257 52652 50256 48 271 48 275 45 268 48 251 51 257 50256 48112 51 277 58 277 50 270 48 259 49 262 48112 46171 54 283 58 274 56 270 53 268 53 265 46171 44394 53 290 51 276 53 271 57 269 58 266 44394 42750 55 300 49 283 50 278 60 270 60 266 42750 41215 61 304 53 293 54 286 62 279 60 266 41215 39771 62 301 58 296 58 288 67 285 60 265 39771 38403 55 296 62 296 60 286 66 282 60 267 38403 37073 52 289 64 291 60 284 61 277 61 270 37073 35718 52 287 63 287 60 282 60 274 62 272 35718 34309 52 288 59 283 62 282 63 274 63 272 34309 32851 50 290 56 282 63 281 65 276 64 273 32851 31328 49 291 55 282 64 280 64 278 62 273 31328 29731 50 293 53 284 63 278 63 279 59 272 29731 28060 48 293 51 284 58 275 59 276 56 269 28060 26315 40 291 48 282 51 269 54 266 53 265 26315 24499 37 285 47 275 48 261 49 260 51 260 24499 22612 39 278 43 266 47 257 46 257 50 256 22612 20649 38 273 37 260 42 251 43 254 46 253 20649 18603 32 270 31 254 37 247 39 251 41 253 18603 16517 27 262 25 243 31 239 37 249 37 253 16517 14502 23 254 23 230 28 236 35 248 35 256 14502 12664 17 245 21 229 27 237 35 250 34 260 12664 11026 14 255 18 233 26 238 32 251 33 262 11026 9568 11 275 15 234 22 243 28 250 31 263 9568 8269 9 274 16 243 19 248 24 250 30 265 8269 7111 10 256 21 244 18 255 20 249 27 264 7111 6083 17 236 25 232 21 248 17 253 24 254 6083 5178 21 223 28 220 24 223 17 209 23 224 5178 4382 25 208 29 211 21*198 20 187 25 205 4382 3670 28 203 27 203 19*190 20 183 25 193 3670 3041 27 200 20*196 18 190 19 181 28 173 3041 2518 24 197 18*195 17 190 19 180 29 160 2518 2117 20 196 17 195 17 190 17 178 26 155 2117 1842 17 195 16 195 15 190 14 176 20 154 1842 1674 15*195 14 196 14 190 10*176 17 153 1674 1578 11*195 11 195 11 190 6*174 10*153 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography