DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 72.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.7 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 120 - - 297 - - 225 - - -26 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 824 - - 1774 - - 3196 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2397 - - 3352 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2209 - - 3159 - - 4581 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 501 - - 577 - - 1244 - - 4200 - - 1495 Hgt.Variab. W* 191 - - 335 - - 373 - - 40 - - 26 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 16 - - 14 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 172 - - 181 - - 171 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -203 - - -1310 - - -2107 - - -3661 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2412 - - 4470 - - 6688 - - 5240 - - 2392 sfcLCL ODpotential -7226 - - -6230 - - -5512 - - -7075 - - -7059 ODpotential blCL 9435 - - 9389 - - 10093 - - 8654 - - 8637 blCL maxRH 91 - - 72 - - 58 - - 64 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 180 - - 340 - - 700 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 72.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.7 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.7 - - 57.8 - - 55.7 - - 59.0 - - 61.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 70.4 - - 78.1 - - 77.6 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 56.9 - - 54.8 - - 58.4 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 120 - - 297 - - 225 - - -26 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 824 - - 1774 - - 3196 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96846 32 228 42 247 39 238 35 272 32 274 96846 89511 32 253 34 245 36 238 43 255 41 262 89511 83939 32 270 33 233 33 237 42 243 42 259 83939 79310 27 253 26 242 27 236 33 247 29 253 79310 75292 25 243 25 246 26 237 33 247 23 246 75292 71741 27 255 27 259 22 254 24 254 28 243 71741 68551 29 252 30 262 29 269 24 262 22 259 68551 65654 24 256 25 253 34 274 32 274 29 286 65654 63016 28 280 26 270 35 272 34 281 33 286 63016 60484 32 298 32 285 35 279 36 281 33 280 60484 57834 42 301 37 293 36 283 36 281 32 279 57834 55058 46 292 38 294 37 285 35 284 32 280 55058 52376 43 290 35 291 37 283 34 281 32 280 52376 49937 37 295 33 290 38 280 37 281 35 281 49937 47735 35 297 35 289 37 280 42 281 39 285 47735 45736 36 293 38 286 38 284 41 285 44 291 45736 43920 37 289 40 281 42 286 44 297 48 294 43920 42262 31 289 38 282 37 290 36 309 46 302 42262 40729 22 304 37 291 41 312 44 329 51 314 40729 39294 23 322 27 285 38 326 51 332 54 318 39294 37940 22 314 20 304 39 341 49 329 52 318 37940 36627 17 325 27 340 49 349 49 328 48 318 36627 35291 21 335 36 348 48 348 46 327 45 317 35291 33902 24 326 37 344 44 343 42 323 43 315 33902 32463 19 305 31 347 39 335 42 315 42 313 32463 30960 16 300 29 352 32 334 39 314 36 313 30960 29380 16 303 24 350 28 333 31 302 33 313 29380 27725 17 309 17 323 24 325 31 297 36 312 27725 25998 17 302 14 294 21 310 34 304 35 313 25998 24202 19 282 17 277 21 304 33 309 32 310 24202 22338 21 274 21 275 22 298 25 311 31 307 22338 20400 19 272 21 279 23 289 24 315 29 306 20400 18380 17 278 21 287 23 281 24 304 26 309 18380 16321 16 282 21 289 21 278 23 291 28 311 16321 14338 16 287 19 281 18 265 23 287 29 311 14338 12534 13 288 14 273 14 254 24 279 31 303 12534 10928 6 309 11 261 14 257 21 264 32 290 10928 9495 7 264 11 236 16 248 21 253 31 282 9495 8215 4 240 10 221 19 249 20 254 29 278 8215 7073 7 250 11 240 18 249 17 253 23 276 7073 6060 14 241 18 237 18 232 15 218 22 243 6060 5165 18 232 20 220 15*194 18 187 22 217 5165 4372 19 222 20 204 15*184 19 180 21 196 4372 3662 21 204 18*184 15 182 19 178 24 173 3662 3037 22 193 17*175 15 181 19 176 28 159 3037 2516 20*188 16 173 14 180 19 174 27 156 2516 2117 15*183 16 172 14 180 17 173 24 156 2117 1842 13 182 15 171 13 179 15 172 20 156 1842 1674 12 181 14 171 12 179 12*171 16 156 1674 1578 10 181 12 170 10 179 8*171 11*156 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography