DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 84.8 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 259 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3468 - - 4123 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3707 - - 4111 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4853 - - 5508 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 746 - - 873 - - - - - 2744 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 439 - - 427 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 163 - - - - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -560 - - -637 - - - - - -1580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5413 - - 6146 - - - - - 3159 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6317 - - -5435 - - - - - -9315 ODpotential blCL - - - 11170 - - 10943 - - - - - 10894 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 74 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 1030 - - - - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 84.8 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 62.9 - - - - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 83.1 - - - - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 62.0 - - - - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 259 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3468 - - 4123 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 0 - - - - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98144 14 061 4 128 13 356 98144 90712 6 114 3 048 13 004 90712 85008 5 124 5 349 8 032 85008 80279 5 219 4 312 10 025 80279 76206 6 218 4 224 4 321 76206 72615 7 255 1 263 2 310 72615 69381 3 218 5 147 4 288 69381 66421 3 301 2 275 9 284 66421 63698 8 286 2 198 9 296 63698 61102 13 302 10 314 9 299 61102 58411 18 274 16 266 10 289 58411 55611 27 276 22 275 18 239 55611 52924 40 272 34 267 30 259 52924 50499 56 272 51 267 53 267 50499 48334 76 268 72 264 70 264 48334 46375 84 266 84 261 78 261 46375 44573 90 265 89 261 82 261 44573 42898 93 264 91 261 82 261 42898 41327 95 263 90 261 80 262 41327 39849 95 263 85 261 76 261 39849 38457 93 262 78 263 69 261 38457 37114 87 262 72 265 64 263 37114 35750 80 263 70 264 61 265 35750 34333 73 262 67 261 58 266 34333 32867 69 261 65 259 55 266 32867 31338 67 263 64 259 52 265 31338 29734 66 265 63 258 48 260 29734 28058 59 266 62 260 45 259 28058 26307 50 268 58 266 43 262 26307 24485 42 269 47 265 39 260 24485 22600 39 272 38 264 32 254 22600 20647 40 275 33 273 26 257 20647 18616 38 275 32 284 21 259 18616 16545 26 273 29 290 20 251 16545 14541 13 254 18 273 21 236 14541 12706 12 219 15 243 20 231 12706 11064 9 219 13 233 19 226 11064 9597 4 231 8 225 16 208 9597 8288 2 294 5 218 15 202 8288 7122 11 219 11 184 16 201 7122 6092 19 195 16*167 17 184 6092 5189 18*177 17*165 19 164 5189 4396 18*174 17 164 23 154 4396 3686 17 173 17 163 27 151 3686 3056 17 172 17 163 29 149 3056 2530 17 171 17 162 28 148 2530 2125 16 170 16 162 25 147 2125 1846 15 170 16 161 20 146 1846 1676 14 170 14 161 16*145 1676 1579 12 170 12 161 11*145 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography