DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 94.4 - - 92.9 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 235 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3902 - - 6307 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4035 - - 5758 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5287 - - 7692 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1347 - - 1563 - - 8503 - - 2642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 454 - - 479 - - 53 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 169 - - 152 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -780 - - -818 - - -6164 - - -2014 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6067 - - 8510 - - 7745 - - 3595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5069 - - -4260 - - -7203 - - -5225 ODpotential blCL - - - 10356 - - 11952 - - 8783 - - 6805 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 60 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 1510 - - 950 - - 1520 - - 2110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.7 - - 94.4 - - 92.9 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 62.3 - - 64.2 - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.3 - - 92.7 - - 92.8 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 61.2 - - 63.5 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 235 - - -5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3902 - - 6307 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98783 34 093 34 089 35 086 37 082 98783 91350 40 091 40 092 41 098 43 092 91350 85618 38 085 40 093 38 097 48 090 85618 80856 32 090 33 090 31 088 43 082 80856 76778 32 096 29 090 26 086 33 079 76778 73200 29 098 28 094 24 089 21 076 73200 69970 24 103 25 097 20 090 15 083 69970 66999 17 104 16 095 16 084 15 086 66999 64244 13 082 11 086 13 078 17 092 64244 61596 9 080 6 064 12 067 15 083 61596 58871 10 096 5 133 5 063 7 044 58871 56062 11 072 6 137 6 157 3 336 56062 53380 7 070 3 049 2 102 7 108 53380 50968 10 146 5 142 3 331 9 096 50968 48804 13 127 17 128 7 150 4 119 48804 46831 14 093 22 112 21 138 9 154 46831 45015 16 092 22 102 27 121 16 142 45015 43335 18 095 21 097 27 113 22 138 43335 41768 19 093 19 098 26 116 26 144 41768 40294 18 092 18 107 26 125 30 157 40294 38898 20 099 19 117 26 126 34 158 38898 37544 23 107 19 124 25 121 34 158 37544 36164 23 110 17 126 23 116 29 158 36164 34732 21 110 16 128 21 119 23 148 34732 33252 17 114 16 131 20 124 22 133 33252 31709 16 119 16 135 17 131 20 123 31709 30088 14 117 15 140 13 139 17 125 30088 28391 13 130 12 140 10 142 13 124 28391 26618 12 145 10 151 7 126 11 107 26618 24774 12 157 8 160 7 112 10 091 24774 22862 12 164 6 170 7 115 10 091 22862 20875 10 172 4 174 5 127 8 098 20875 18803 8 170 5 183 3 119 8 094 18803 16689 8 164 7 178 4 143 8 101 16689 14653 8 158 8 170 6 173 5 133 14653 12802 5 179 6 177 7 202 6 173 12802 11154 6 212 6 195 10 199 8 179 11154 9686 11 211 12 187 15 177 10 188 9686 8379 15 194 16*173 17 171 12 194 8379 7215 19 189 17*171 17 166 13 192 7215 6179 20*184 17 170 18 162 14 178 6179 5262 18*179 17 169 18 160 17 163 5262 4450 18 178 17 169 19 158 24 156 4450 3725 17 178 17 169 18 156 30 152 3725 3084 17 178 16 168 18 155 30 150 3084 2548 16 178 16 168 18 155 29 149 2548 2136 15 178 15 168 17 154 26 149 2136 1852 14 178 15 168 16 153 22 148 1852 1679 13 178 14 168 13*153 18*148 1679 1580 11 178 12 168 10*152 13*148 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography