DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 78.0 - - 76.0 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 99 - - 19 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3111 - - 2259 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3114 - - 2343 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4496 - - 3644 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1812 - - 2100 - - 3535 - - 3215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 265 - - 73 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 128 - - 128 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 804 - - 880 - - -568 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3692 - - 2764 - - 2147 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 246 - - 86 - - -1139 - - -555 ODpotential blCL - - - 4250 - - 3558 - - 2718 - - 2134 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1030 - - 1900 - - 2000 - - 2070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.3 - - 78.0 - - 76.0 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.1 - - 70.7 - - 71.4 - - 71.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 76.9 - - 75.6 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 69.6 - - 70.7 - - 71.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 99 - - 19 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3111 - - 2259 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 102 - - 94 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98402 22 106 20 102 19 107 19 077 98402 90974 13 087 13 125 18 073 19 091 90974 85252 8 102 14 112 9 061 17 075 85252 80481 13 114 19 088 10 094 19 065 80481 76379 17 117 14 097 17 090 14 080 76379 72775 19 112 12 130 14 075 15 094 72775 69535 16 110 14 116 13 083 16 090 69535 66581 14 104 16 102 12 096 14 088 66581 63868 14 091 17 104 13 105 8 095 63868 61276 9 110 11 074 14 095 9 122 61276 58578 6 146 1 007 8 082 11 117 58578 55763 14 233 13 235 12 243 3 264 55763 53091 21 242 27 238 22 214 25 230 53091 50693 39 260 32 258 28 239 32 212 50693 48520 52 266 52 259 43 251 28 209 48520 46535 70 264 75 259 73 258 64 256 46535 44724 78 259 85 252 86 252 94 255 44724 43048 76 255 84 247 83 246 94 249 43048 41477 63 256 72 246 80 243 92 244 41477 40003 45 261 55 247 62 245 74 243 40003 38616 36 257 39 248 40 252 44 251 38616 37276 36 247 34 250 31 259 35 251 37276 35909 37 235 35 246 32 258 34 250 35909 34488 39 237 36 243 28 246 33 251 34488 33014 38 239 28 237 22 235 29 254 33014 31475 31 241 29 236 26 248 27 249 31475 29857 29 266 28 248 28 253 21 238 29857 28162 32 277 28 262 24 246 22 241 28162 26393 28 275 25 276 21 242 24 242 26393 24555 19 273 23 291 15 252 21 237 24555 22648 15 225 16 252 14 250 18 230 22648 20667 19 208 18 229 14 251 16 238 20667 18603 16 231 16 226 13 274 11 250 18603 16500 8 240 9 221 8 257 5 266 16500 14476 4 223 7 187 8 228 10 238 14476 12636 2 240 7 216 9 233 11 243 12636 11002 4 243 6 240 7 234 5 265 11002 9553 5 231 4 251 4 207 2 047 9553 8264 5 204 2 202 2 143 7 077 8264 7116 7 181 3 170 2 118 9 091 7116 6096 7 173 3 156 4 121 8 119 6096 5197 7*170 4 147 6 119 11 138 5197 4404 6*160 5 137 8 122 13 138 4404 3691 5 153 7*128 10 124 13 138 3691 3060 5 150 7*128 10 125 13 137 3060 2532 5 147 7 128 10 126 12 137 2532 2126 5 146 7 128 10 127 10 134 2126 1846 5 146 7 129 9 127 7 129 1846 1677 5 145 7 128 8 127 6 126 1677 1579 4 145 6 128 7*128 5*123 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography