DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1563 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2247 - - 2069 - - - - - 1825 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 55 - - - - - 44 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 006 - - - - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -349 - - -413 - - - - - -312 ODpotential blCL - - - 1928 - - 1992 - - - - - 1891 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 540 - - - - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 72.3 - - - - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.0 - - 70.7 - - - - - 70.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 72.0 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 70.5 - - - - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 194 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98003 7 127 10 167 5 260 98003 90573 9 106 8 116 7 020 90573 84905 11 119 10 107 10 040 84905 80253 8 085 10 069 16 064 80253 76248 8 033 11 046 15 052 76248 72713 10 047 11 024 15 066 72713 69530 8 037 8 039 15 036 69530 66627 5 062 7 073 14 018 66627 63961 3 081 6 076 10 011 63961 61400 12 106 9 097 5 007 61400 58734 9 013 12 058 5 351 58734 55990 7 232 11 285 19 302 55990 53397 5 167 8 207 18 257 53397 51048 8 316 3 248 18 220 51048 48910 24 295 19 285 13 233 48910 46946 31 274 24 265 17 247 46946 45128 32 250 26 246 23 255 45128 43435 31 237 28 249 28 262 43435 41846 31 235 35 250 33 259 41846 40345 34 233 40 244 34 254 40345 38925 36 231 43 230 35 246 38925 37553 38 232 38 218 37 237 37553 36162 38 226 37 215 35 233 36162 34719 36 217 35 216 31 231 34719 33221 35 220 32 219 27 222 33221 31657 33 220 28 221 25 218 31657 30016 30 218 25 227 24 226 30016 28300 28 220 21 230 16 221 28300 26509 25 232 20 237 15 234 26509 24648 23 236 21 229 10 234 24648 22721 19 236 20 220 10 226 22721 20720 17 226 17 225 9 218 20720 18639 8 196 10 233 8 223 18639 16524 4 152 2 197 9 201 16524 14492 5 141 2 145 6 185 14492 12647 7 147 4 177 4 150 12647 11010 4 161 8 177 4 160 11010 9556 2 187 5 169 3 167 9556 8263 3 153 2 076 7 122 8263 7113 5 105 7 048 11 112 7113 6094 6 075 10 042 14 093 6094 5195 7 053 12 032 17 081 5195 4398 8 031 14 023 17 076 4398 3685 10 020 14 018 17 073 3685 3054 10 019 13 013 17 071 3054 2527 9 017 13 010 16 067 2527 2123 9 016 12 007 14 064 2123 1845 8 016 10 007 13 062 1845 1676 7*015 9*006 11*061 1676 1579 6*015 7*006 8*061 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography