DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 112 - - 7 - - -3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 745 - - 1150 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2130 - - 2535 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2186 - - 1990 - - 2414 - - 3204 - - 1952 Hgt.Variab. W* 152 - - 211 - - 49 - - 15 - - 46 W* B/S 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 150 - - 149 - - 183 - - 151 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -335 - - 555 - - -10 - - -584 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2465 - - 1980 - - 1589 - - 2163 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -1300 - - 116 - - -694 - - -2027 - - -255 ODpotential blCL 3430 - - 2419 - - 2273 - - 3606 - - 1834 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 220 - - 670 - - 560 - - 680 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m 68.5 - - 70.4 - - 68.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.0 - - 66.8 - - 66.8 - - 66.6 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 69.4 - - 68.5 - - 71.6 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.7 - - 66.3 - - 66.5 - - 66.3 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 112 - - 7 - - -3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 745 - - 1150 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 100 - - 101 - - 63 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97496 41 251 37 256 44 268 36 282 36 264 97496 90133 24 271 23 263 24 254 25 269 26 264 90133 84474 18 282 18 268 9 248 16 259 19 273 84474 79787 13 260 14 260 11 268 13 278 12 275 79787 75781 5 257 9 240 12 254 11 274 8 265 75781 72266 5 316 6 224 7 232 10 242 11 256 72266 69095 16 284 7 257 5 222 11 216 13 239 69095 66200 19 267 11 238 10 218 9 227 12 215 66200 63531 19 241 16 232 14 244 15 272 8 239 63531 60958 26 248 13 236 18 232 19 238 12 236 60958 58283 35 242 28 264 24 257 22 263 17 266 58283 55529 38 245 41 255 41 251 40 246 43 241 55529 52919 47 259 47 243 45 234 44 230 49 224 52919 50552 55 260 47 250 45 243 35 242 31 239 50552 48397 62 260 54 258 49 255 49 269 40 262 48397 46421 73 265 66 260 62 262 70 269 69 268 46421 44613 87 266 69 261 83 260 96 258 88 252 44613 42946 96 264 73 261 102 254 98 249 92 242 42946 41391 93 261 78 262 91 249 84 248 83 244 41391 39925 83 258 79 254 80 247 72 249 75 243 39925 38538 75 259 80 249 73 253 60 249 64 241 38538 37195 72 260 80 249 67 253 54 245 50 239 37195 35827 69 261 74 250 63 251 55 241 53 241 35827 34402 60 262 71 251 65 247 58 243 54 250 34402 32927 56 266 66 261 62 241 61 249 46 255 32927 31389 44 264 57 272 58 241 55 255 44 260 31389 29772 40 259 38 266 42 261 49 251 39 243 29772 28077 36 262 32 264 29 262 43 252 42 222 28077 26304 27 257 24 247 22 253 23 267 39 224 26304 24464 22 244 23 228 21 237 14 221 15 233 24464 22563 20 241 24 228 24 226 20 214 12 198 22563 20588 16 240 22 234 22 222 20 226 20 201 20588 18532 10 233 18 228 21 230 17 232 19 225 18532 16441 8 217 15 217 17 218 16 222 10 232 16441 14426 13 208 12 195 12 188 15 196 13 194 14426 12594 11 221 12 198 10 194 12 182 15 188 12594 10965 6 222 12 204 11 204 8 180 12 193 10965 9520 4 187 13 192 9 183 6 190 9 187 9520 8234 7 197 13 186 11 172 8 190 7 173 8234 7088 9 209 12 181 14 166 10 172 7 166 7088 6071 9 213 11 173 14 162 12 147 8 159 6071 5174 12 199 10 164 13 158 13 131 10 153 5174 4382 14 185 9 160 12 153 14 127 12 149 4382 3672 14 180 8 155 10 149 13 128 15 142 3672 3045 13 171 7*153 8 148 11 132 16 137 3045 2522 11*163 7*152 6 149 8 137 15 134 2522 2120 7*153 7 150 4 162 6 145 14 133 2120 1843 5 149 7 149 3 176 5 151 11 131 1843 1675 5 148 7 148 3*179 4*152 10*131 1675 1579 4 148 6 147 3*183 3*151 7*131 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography