DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.5 - - 59.1 - - 60.7 - - 63.0 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 11 - - 19 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 915 - - 1356 - - 1402 - - 1638 - - 1203 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 55 - - 66 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 094 - - 074 - - 116 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -147 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1578 - - 1725 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -1612 - - -391 - - -1676 - - -1017 - - -1231 ODpotential blCL 3190 - - 1969 - - 3254 - - 2595 - - 2809 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 190 - - 230 - - 220 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 58.5 - - 59.1 - - 60.7 - - 63.0 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 58.4 - - 61.5 - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 58.8 - - 60.2 - - 63.0 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.9 - - 57.4 - - 58.0 - - 61.3 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 11 - - 19 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97175 39 268 43 262 44 252 60 265 52 274 97175 89765 40 275 40 261 41 269 50 267 46 270 89765 84135 31 275 33 275 37 281 36 275 36 281 84135 79498 22 275 24 282 27 289 21 290 26 280 79498 75515 17 281 18 283 16 277 20 292 20 296 75515 72006 10 294 13 266 15 268 21 297 21 309 72006 68855 13 304 9 298 15 270 18 287 19 286 68855 65985 17 293 9 320 8 260 12 279 12 275 65985 63332 24 267 19 300 19 292 20 289 17 294 63332 60768 29 261 35 269 30 278 26 282 22 282 60768 58097 28 250 35 255 35 266 32 273 29 284 58097 55329 27 247 34 249 39 257 41 263 41 272 55329 52684 33 252 33 251 38 255 45 262 45 263 52684 50294 36 260 37 259 39 262 48 265 45 264 50294 48136 39 260 42 261 43 267 54 269 49 270 48136 46160 41 259 44 261 49 270 57 270 55 270 46160 44338 38 261 44 261 54 272 55 270 59 270 44338 42645 36 261 44 261 56 273 56 271 66 272 42645 41063 37 259 45 261 56 271 60 271 71 274 41063 39577 39 257 47 260 55 267 63 269 69 276 39577 38175 39 256 47 259 55 265 62 267 67 278 38175 36821 39 255 47 257 51 263 54 265 63 278 36821 35448 41 253 46 254 47 260 48 264 60 272 35448 34028 42 253 44 256 44 255 42 266 56 268 34028 32562 40 251 43 258 43 253 39 272 53 270 32562 31035 38 249 43 257 46 254 37 270 47 272 31035 29440 39 250 47 251 51 255 35 268 46 275 29440 27775 45 252 49 249 54 255 38 262 45 272 27775 26040 52 253 52 249 55 254 43 260 44 269 26040 24239 53 256 54 251 54 254 49 257 44 268 24239 22369 51 259 52 256 52 255 51 254 41 266 22369 20419 45 258 53 260 51 258 51 255 42 265 20419 18384 38 255 49 259 48 259 49 257 43 265 18384 16307 34 254 41 255 40 258 42 258 40 267 16307 14306 30 253 34 253 35 255 33 258 33 268 14306 12487 22 244 27 252 29 252 27 254 26 264 12487 10871 18 203 17 229 24 248 22 248 22 258 10871 9433 18 218 17 207 20 236 18 248 18 253 9433 8152 18 219 20 210 16 230 16 247 14 261 8152 7013 17 223 17 224 15 225 14 228 12 261 7013 6007 14 224 14 242 13 228 12 220 8 239 6007 5123 11 209 9 254 8 251 9 252 5 236 5123 4341 6 180 3 215 4 267 4 315 2 084 4341 3641 6 133 6 137 2 188 3 029 4 078 3641 3023 6 119 9 126 4 144 4 054 4 062 3023 2507 5 114 8 119 4 126 4 070 4 065 2507 2111 4 082 5 100 2 087 4 095 3 105 2111 1838 3 063 4 095 2 080 4 111 3 138 1838 1673 3*062 3*094 2*077 3*114 3 144 1673 1578 2*063 3*094 2*074 3*116 2*142 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography