DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1336z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.8 - - 73.6 - - 77.7 - - 79.4 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 21 - - 70 - - 14 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 173 - - 1262 - - 1259 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 1542 - - 1542 - - 1543 - - 1542 - - 1542 Hcrit BL Top 1558 - - 1558 - - 2647 - - 2644 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1781 - - 1564 - - 1626 - - 1860 - - 1221 Hgt.Variab. W* 74 - - 64 - - 194 - - 124 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 170 - - 187 - - 195 - - 158 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 1088 - - 550 - - -23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1558 - - 1558 - - 1559 - - 2094 - - 1582 sfcLCL ODpotential -111 - - -100 - - 362 - - -1290 - - -3749 ODpotential blCL 1669 - - 1658 - - 2285 - - 3934 - - 5308 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 92 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 3390 - - 3670 - - 4730 - - 4760 - - 4500 CAPE Temp@2m 72.8 - - 73.6 - - 77.7 - - 79.4 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.1 - - 73.2 - - 75.0 - - 74.4 - - 73.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.4 - - 73.2 - - 77.0 - - 79.0 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.0 - - 73.1 - - 74.3 - - 73.8 - - 73.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 21 - - 70 - - 14 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 173 - - 1262 - - 1259 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 95 - - 69 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97785 11 085 14 103 19 125 15 142 12 119 97785 90268 19 112 15 122 12 094 18 092 22 095 90268 84576 22 123 18 109 17 095 21 070 22 089 84576 79911 24 111 25 100 22 096 16 090 20 091 79911 75910 24 106 23 107 20 096 17 105 18 097 75910 72369 19 098 19 120 13 093 15 111 17 093 72369 69166 13 104 15 132 10 113 9 117 10 088 69166 66231 12 098 13 137 12 148 6 176 7 080 66231 63518 4 134 11 151 15 171 12 184 5 176 63518 60902 8 245 9 221 15 209 16 215 13 235 60902 58181 13 241 8 260 9 198 14 239 21 224 58181 55358 23 265 26 277 25 263 21 260 30 281 55358 52660 45 261 45 261 51 258 52 270 40 266 52660 50224 55 254 52 254 60 252 57 256 40 263 50224 48030 58 248 58 250 63 246 45 256 45 272 48030 46047 58 244 59 247 54 251 47 271 55 280 46047 44252 61 247 54 251 44 264 50 275 57 284 44252 42606 63 248 52 262 43 277 47 286 56 293 42606 41070 62 247 53 267 55 288 53 302 62 302 41070 39622 62 245 53 269 62 293 60 306 63 303 39622 38252 63 241 54 267 60 295 61 304 58 300 38252 36925 64 235 56 261 56 297 58 299 51 293 36925 35577 60 231 58 252 52 298 53 298 48 283 35577 34177 55 233 55 250 50 298 47 296 43 274 34177 32729 49 242 53 255 48 297 43 291 39 270 32729 31218 44 252 50 261 43 284 41 279 38 269 31218 29633 42 258 46 264 49 273 41 268 38 270 29633 27972 41 258 40 260 52 273 45 273 37 271 27972 26233 42 258 37 253 49 275 48 281 35 274 26233 24418 40 258 37 249 40 269 45 286 31 278 24418 22530 38 257 39 251 37 256 39 281 27 281 22530 20564 36 253 42 251 38 247 34 267 28 279 20564 18518 36 245 41 246 40 247 34 259 35 273 18518 16438 35 237 38 237 41 244 35 261 42 270 16438 14439 28 218 35 232 36 237 36 265 41 270 14439 12625 30 205 29 232 32 232 31 267 38 277 12625 11013 29 203 26 225 29 236 27 268 32 282 11013 9576 29 205 21 229 27 245 23 273 24 282 9576 8292 32 205 15 225 19 238 20 275 16 285 8292 7146 34 201 19 211 13 229 18 281 5 303 7146 6126 33 199 24 215 11 241 11 288 3 330 6126 5222 33 200 29 212 14 258 7 291 4 003 5222 4420 34 197 28 206 15 255 6 286 5 031 4420 3699 34 185 25 194 15 235 5 283 4 073 3699 3060 32 177 24 191 14*211 3*197 7 115 3060 2525 29 174 20 189 14*200 6*160 10 121 2525 2114 25 172 17 187 12 196 7 158 10 122 2114 1830 20 171 13 187 10 193 6 157 9 121 1830 1658 17 171 11 187 9 192 6 156 7*116 1658 1559 13*170 8*187 7 190 5 155 5*111 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography