DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 60.7 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 213 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3044 - - 3672 - - - - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3357 - - 3663 - - - - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4429 - - 5057 - - - - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 849 - - 961 - - - - - 3007 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 409 - - 378 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 027 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1268 - - -1385 - - - - - -2780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5697 - - 6442 - - - - - 4357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14860 - - -14037 - - - - - -15761 ODpotential blCL - - - 19289 - - 19094 - - - - - 17338 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 80 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 60.7 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 38.3 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 59.1 - - - - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 37.5 - - - - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 213 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3044 - - 3672 - - - - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 21 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98124 24 276 27 270 24 288 98124 90761 18 248 23 266 17 307 90761 85052 13 222 18 242 14 312 85052 80324 6 166 12 200 12 260 80324 76266 3 161 5 200 10 230 76266 72690 4 255 3 245 3 119 72690 69464 1 223 6 194 3 068 69464 66519 5 018 5 108 3 024 66519 63819 3 301 6 030 4 338 63819 61245 7 253 8 320 8 316 61245 58595 5 296 8 301 11 290 58595 55854 10 319 13 298 16 289 55854 53241 24 299 23 300 20 311 53241 50880 31 295 32 288 29 312 50880 48743 38 289 36 288 35 303 48743 46786 42 285 42 286 38 294 46786 44978 45 283 46 284 44 288 44978 43293 51 280 53 281 53 283 43293 41711 53 279 56 279 57 278 41711 40216 52 280 54 280 57 276 40216 38800 49 279 50 281 56 277 38800 37425 45 276 44 281 53 278 37425 36027 42 272 39 279 41 280 36027 34578 39 272 36 275 33 282 34578 33080 38 272 34 272 32 282 33080 31516 39 269 34 272 31 283 31516 29878 38 266 38 263 24 272 29878 28171 32 267 32 267 20 253 28171 26385 17 268 18 285 19 263 26385 24520 14 286 9 281 11 264 24520 22589 10 279 9 292 3 238 22589 20581 7 288 8 263 5 249 20581 18488 3 273 5 257 4 195 18488 16357 5 161 4 225 3 212 16357 14306 8 127 4 179 1 135 14306 12444 12 079 8 115 3 183 12444 10791 13 045 11 079 7 161 10791 9325 15 025 14 060 10 119 9325 8032 12 026 13 049 12 113 8032 6901 10 041 11 045 10 106 6901 5911 14 045 11*032 6 064 5911 5046 15*035 11*029 8 050 5046 4283 15*033 11 028 9 050 4283 3600 15 032 11 027 10 042 3600 2994 15 031 11 027 11 033 2994 2489 14 030 11 026 12 027 2489 2100 14 030 11 026 11 025 2100 1833 13 029 10 026 10 022 1833 1670 12 030 10 025 7 017 1670 1577 10 029 8 025 4*010 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography