DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 48.7 - - 54.2 - - 48.8 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 268 - - 211 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 779 - - 1804 - - 2413 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2371 - - 2730 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 2164 - - 3189 - - 3798 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 782 - - 602 - - 787 - - 2113 - - 888 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 319 - - 326 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 018 - - 346 - - 035 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6196 - - -5803 - - -5323 - - -5341 - - -5307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8361 - - 8992 - - 9122 - - 6918 - - 6884 sfcLCL ODpotential -21014 - - -18708 - - -15900 - - -17247 - - -18074 ODpotential blCL 23178 - - 21897 - - 19698 - - 18824 - - 19651 blCL maxRH 89 - - 90 - - 79 - - 60 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 48.7 - - 54.2 - - 48.8 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.7 - - 15.6 - - 20.3 - - 24.8 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 46.9 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.4 - - 14.9 - - 19.5 - - 24.5 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 268 - - 211 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 779 - - 1804 - - 2413 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 61 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95877 35 265 53 260 59 266 61 271 59 274 95877 88775 35 273 33 281 36 271 44 280 45 278 88775 83283 34 280 25 292 25 277 29 276 40 287 83283 78711 29 304 26 299 27 299 25 285 32 292 78711 74767 28 304 29 301 34 299 32 294 30 288 74767 71310 28 295 30 292 34 296 35 293 31 289 71310 68221 34 289 33 285 35 290 34 294 33 290 68221 65398 39 291 40 286 39 286 37 294 40 298 65398 62785 48 285 46 283 45 286 46 290 48 297 62785 60252 55 283 52 278 55 284 59 287 53 288 60252 57593 62 274 56 276 57 276 60 279 59 287 57593 54826 60 266 52 278 55 278 60 287 64 294 54826 52195 58 274 52 287 62 292 71 291 78 297 52195 49825 76 284 72 282 81 291 84 291 87 282 49825 47698 88 275 81 274 89 279 82 285 81 285 47698 45785 85 271 78 277 82 277 82 291 88 303 45785 44052 75 285 77 291 80 296 77 297 106 310 44052 42439 82 293 100 304 92 308 103 315 108 311 42439 40914 96 293 110 302 108 309 116 313 106 307 40914 39470 100 293 111 301 115 307 119 310 108 305 39470 38099 95 295 107 304 112 307 114 312 105 306 38099 36767 93 295 100 307 110 311 110 320 103 309 36767 35406 90 300 90 304 101 316 110 325 106 314 35406 33990 84 303 84 301 87 314 98 326 102 323 33990 32524 80 301 80 300 77 309 79 321 91 328 32524 30995 78 295 76 300 74 305 70 311 74 324 30995 29393 77 300 75 300 71 305 67 303 62 314 29393 27713 74 303 73 303 70 305 66 314 61 314 27713 25953 67 300 72 305 70 313 56 316 55 317 25953 24123 59 304 54 304 52 308 34 314 39 312 24123 22234 55 302 52 302 42 301 13 332 19 309 22234 20278 51 302 40 315 15 355 5 001 12 328 20278 18243 46 302 31 330 20 031 6 035 10 342 18243 16161 42 307 23 338 16 024 9 025 10 004 16161 14151 35 320 22 343 11 005 8 358 5 333 14151 12323 26 333 20 337 12 346 8 338 5 304 12323 10699 22 341 16 338 11 335 10 324 11 330 10699 9262 22 329 16 331 10 331 10 311 13 330 9262 7992 18 321 15 314 13 331 11 310 13 317 7992 6872 14 321 14 315 15 327 12 322 12 311 6872 5882 12 332 10 337 12 332 13 331 11 314 5882 5014 13 000 11 024 7 004 11 335 10 318 5014 4253 18 021 14 036 5*348 8 337 8 316 4253 3574 21 029 10*031 4*342 6 347 3 286 3574 2976 20 030 6*018 4 343 5 357 2 185 2976 2476 18*030 5 018 4 345 4 006 3 160 2476 2093 14*031 5 019 4 348 4 018 3 149 2093 1828 12 032 5 018 4 350 4 026 2 147 1828 1669 10 032 4 019 4 351 4*033 1*170 1669 1577 8 032 4 019 3 351 3*035 1*255 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography