DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.8 - - 77.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 192 - - 23 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2525 - - 3706 - - 2082 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2973 - - 3654 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3910 - - 5091 - - 3467 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2476 - - 2513 - - 2817 - - 2495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 387 - - 370 - - 159 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 156 - - 165 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - -5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 509 - - 342 - - -930 - - -1017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3401 - - 4749 - - 4397 - - 2596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 150 - - -418 - - -2423 - - -3459 ODpotential blCL - - - 3760 - - 5509 - - 5890 - - 5038 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 1550 - - 930 - - 900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.8 - - 77.8 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.4 - - 65.1 - - 63.6 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 79.3 - - 77.7 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 64.6 - - 63.2 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 192 - - 23 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2525 - - 3706 - - 2082 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 72 - - 43 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97474 28 297 28 291 31 289 34 327 97474 90155 30 334 16 333 24 321 27 326 90155 84526 21 355 18 014 19 357 24 358 84526 79852 13 012 11 035 9 020 16 022 79852 75831 4 260 10 005 8 058 5 073 75831 72288 14 201 10 252 5 316 5 115 72288 69080 13 189 14 228 8 252 5 183 69080 66150 16 185 18 199 12 221 11 252 66150 63470 12 226 11 233 17 212 21 227 63470 60891 21 248 14 259 19 244 23 234 60891 58195 42 250 43 254 36 249 40 242 58195 55391 54 240 54 244 47 245 48 239 55391 52712 60 248 61 250 56 248 53 241 52712 50298 76 252 71 253 62 250 60 246 50298 48135 91 251 80 255 72 251 72 252 48135 46175 98 250 92 253 85 252 85 255 46175 44378 100 249 99 251 96 253 94 257 44378 42713 98 249 97 251 102 253 98 257 42713 41156 93 251 90 251 98 253 94 257 41156 39693 84 251 82 251 87 254 88 259 39693 38313 75 253 77 254 80 258 82 262 38313 36979 72 258 75 259 77 262 80 265 36979 35624 70 255 68 261 76 264 79 267 35624 34215 69 252 64 260 71 262 74 268 34215 32758 64 251 66 257 64 259 66 265 32758 31239 57 253 64 254 64 259 56 258 31239 29645 52 256 57 255 63 257 55 258 29645 27978 47 254 51 257 56 255 55 259 27978 26236 42 250 48 256 49 256 51 257 26236 24418 40 249 45 254 45 256 46 253 24418 22529 39 249 42 251 41 249 39 256 22529 20568 39 251 39 252 36 247 35 258 20568 18531 41 256 38 257 33 252 33 258 18531 16460 36 261 35 259 31 255 29 255 16460 14464 21 259 27 251 28 248 23 242 14464 12644 11 249 18 231 23 229 23 231 12644 11016 13 233 16 231 20 216 23 223 11016 9562 11 199 17 229 20 222 21 230 9562 8261 14 157 13 195 17 209 19 229 8261 7104 12 159 15 166 17 172 16 211 7104 6081 12 162 16 162 20 155 14 185 6081 5182 13 162 15*160 20 154 17 163 5182 4389 13*163 13*157 19 156 23 156 4389 3680 13*165 13 156 17*160 28 153 3680 3052 12 167 12 156 15*163 29 153 3052 2527 12 167 12 155 14 164 28 153 2527 2123 11 167 11 155 14 166 25 153 2123 1845 11 168 10 155 13 166 21 153 1845 1676 10 168 10 155 11 166 17*153 1676 1579 9 167 9 155 9 166 12*153 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography