DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 54.0 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 45 - - 67 - - -15 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1149 - - 1816 - - 192 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2534 - - 3201 - - 1577 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 232 - - 1722 - - 1470 - - 1233 - - 277 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 158 - - 211 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 16 - - 15 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 210 - - 198 - - 172 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12 - - 148 - - 414 - - -343 - - -162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1589 - - 2386 - - 2787 - - 1920 - - 1741 sfcLCL ODpotential -11123 - - -754 - - -373 - - -2885 - - -3678 ODpotential blCL 12700 - - 3288 - - 3574 - - 4462 - - 5256 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 89 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 54.0 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.7 - - 47.8 - - 50.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.4 - - 52.0 - - 56.5 - - 55.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 47.2 - - 49.5 - - 50.8 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 45 - - 67 - - -15 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1149 - - 1816 - - 192 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 56 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 37 252 38 246 48 242 38 255 42 252 96422 89229 47 243 56 246 56 246 48 264 47 264 89229 83730 46 259 41 263 42 264 41 269 40 263 83730 79156 35 260 24 264 20 256 27 251 31 249 79156 75202 19 269 18 263 12 245 20 247 22 255 75202 71713 16 285 15 289 9 253 13 239 17 270 71713 68574 20 285 11 300 13 270 11 254 18 263 68574 65722 25 282 9 304 12 293 13 271 19 261 65722 63100 25 283 15 294 18 290 17 271 19 268 63100 60566 27 283 27 280 27 285 25 292 28 289 60566 57930 34 285 36 281 38 280 34 287 36 281 57930 55184 37 291 37 284 38 276 39 282 41 276 55184 52539 40 297 42 291 41 279 46 273 50 279 52539 50134 48 296 50 292 48 281 51 277 59 281 50134 47947 55 297 57 293 54 285 59 279 66 276 47947 45937 60 296 64 290 61 284 62 276 68 271 45937 44079 59 288 67 284 65 277 64 273 64 269 44079 42352 58 280 65 276 66 273 64 273 61 267 42352 40739 58 281 61 275 64 274 63 274 59 268 40739 39229 61 280 56 274 62 275 61 275 57 272 39229 37812 59 278 54 269 60 272 58 274 53 275 37812 36453 52 279 52 260 57 265 56 272 52 277 36453 35085 49 279 46 260 55 261 55 270 53 282 35085 33676 51 275 40 260 50 258 51 269 57 293 33676 32229 48 270 35 257 46 255 48 268 59 298 32229 30725 39 265 35 256 44 254 45 265 55 300 30725 29149 35 263 34 257 44 253 41 261 56 307 29149 27502 28 263 29 256 42 249 34 263 54 304 27502 25788 22 259 26 247 42 244 33 268 39 297 25788 24008 16 243 23 243 32 245 35 259 32 293 24008 22159 11 231 20 232 25 252 37 247 35 292 22159 20230 5 234 21 210 27 248 35 238 33 298 20230 18217 4 218 20 201 25 241 21 235 28 288 18217 16164 5 234 16 212 23 239 21 262 24 280 16164 14183 5 251 13 220 19 230 26 272 21 279 14183 12379 4 259 10 215 17 218 24 263 23 282 12379 10775 4 243 9 207 17 211 22 250 26 280 10775 9348 6 247 10 210 16 215 21 242 27 274 9348 8079 6 211 12 207 16 225 20 236 28 268 8079 6956 9 186 15 207 21 224 22 232 29 230 6956 5965 15 187 24 206 30 213 29 213 34 211 5965 5091 21 198 29 205 32 205 32 197 31 204 5091 4317 25 206 27 205 28 201 31 189 26 193 4317 3623 25 211 24 207 22*198 27 184 27 181 3623 3009 25 213 23*208 18*198 22 180 31 171 3009 2498 24 213 19*210 16 198 17 176 29 165 2498 2105 20 214 16 210 15 198 14 175 25 162 2105 1835 15 217 15 211 14 198 11 174 18 160 1835 1671 10*219 13 210 12 198 8 174 12*160 1671 1578 5*220 11 210 10 198 5*172 7*157 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography