DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.3 - - 89.7 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - -16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6151 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5487 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7536 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3082 - - 8643 - - 2444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 435 - - 43 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 157 - - 146 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 347 - - -4686 - - -2469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7189 - - 6266 - - 4050 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -769 - - -5906 - - -5139 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8305 - - 7486 - - 6719 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1640 - - 2060 - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.3 - - 89.7 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.9 - - 67.4 - - 70.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.7 - - 90.2 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.1 - - 66.9 - - 69.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - -16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6151 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98617 14 154 8 193 18 028 98617 91226 25 100 21 113 14 099 91226 85479 29 092 25 084 24 109 85479 80675 26 095 24 078 27 101 80675 76570 17 096 18 091 25 086 76570 72983 11 089 16 099 21 084 72983 69762 13 092 17 100 18 093 69762 66818 17 091 17 101 15 105 66818 64100 12 090 12 102 11 122 64100 61468 8 131 5 104 9 120 61468 58739 5 138 5 081 8 079 58739 55950 6 121 7 085 6 066 55950 53318 5 050 6 062 3 068 53318 50951 5 058 6 064 4 082 50951 48815 10 085 11 086 8 085 48815 46859 13 076 15 091 10 082 46859 45053 13 065 14 076 10 084 45053 43372 15 061 13 062 11 090 43372 41798 17 057 15 067 11 105 41798 40315 16 058 15 076 10 124 40315 38913 14 064 14 082 11 133 38913 37557 11 069 11 081 10 132 37557 36176 12 080 7 078 7 123 36176 34744 16 060 13 055 7 091 34744 33263 17 058 16 040 14 061 33263 31717 16 081 15 050 16 053 31717 30092 15 093 11 064 14 061 30092 28389 14 095 11 071 13 077 28389 26611 15 097 12 084 16 093 26611 24758 13 096 12 099 16 098 24758 22834 12 093 9 114 14 099 22834 20837 6 088 8 107 7 095 20837 18767 3 169 6 136 3 124 18767 16662 6 152 5 126 8 141 16662 14634 5 140 4 058 14 140 14634 12790 8 172 5 148 12 129 12790 11148 13 168 12 164 9 132 11148 9685 15 165 14 167 7 157 9685 8381 15*162 15 164 8 161 8381 7218 15*161 15 160 11 151 7218 6184 15 159 16 157 14 151 6184 5269 14 158 16 154 16 154 5269 4458 14 157 16 152 18 157 4458 3732 14 156 16 151 23 156 3732 3088 13 155 16 150 25 152 3088 2551 13 155 15 149 25 151 2551 2137 12 155 15 148 22 150 2137 1852 12 154 13 147 19 149 1852 1679 11 154 11 146 15*148 1679 1580 10 154 8*146 10*147 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography