DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 84.6 - - 80.8 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 167 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1297 - - 3172 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1718 - - 3189 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2682 - - 4557 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1604 - - 2318 - - 3047 - - 1358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 232 - - 334 - - 64 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 151 - - 175 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 741 - - 255 - - -1294 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1941 - - 4302 - - 2874 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 371 - - -500 - - -2977 - - -1967 ODpotential blCL - - - 2311 - - 5057 - - 4557 - - 3546 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 2100 - - 2330 - - 2740 - - 3010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.0 - - 84.6 - - 80.8 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.3 - - 70.7 - - 73.1 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.7 - - 83.0 - - 80.5 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 70.4 - - 72.8 - - 74.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 167 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1297 - - 3172 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 87 - - 44 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 16 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98484 24 110 16 091 14 109 15 067 98484 91080 22 087 28 095 18 068 26 073 91080 85383 25 064 25 083 22 075 22 065 85383 80672 27 089 17 069 27 070 23 079 80672 76636 38 103 16 090 24 065 28 075 76636 73061 28 097 21 100 21 080 25 065 73061 69819 18 082 18 107 18 083 24 068 69819 66863 17 079 14 102 13 085 18 087 66863 64158 20 081 10 100 5 093 7 119 64158 61545 16 087 14 111 4 159 2 129 61545 58806 11 061 16 107 10 136 3 147 58806 55971 6 009 12 083 10 100 8 124 55971 53300 4 229 1 330 7 026 7 065 53300 50922 17 167 9 190 8 263 9 324 50922 48791 19 150 10 186 9 215 7 242 48791 46848 10 154 9 198 12 212 13 189 46848 45055 12 195 9 190 16 226 15 204 45055 43387 13 188 9 175 17 222 19 227 43387 41824 13 188 10 169 14 212 19 222 41824 40348 11 207 11 168 9 203 14 200 40348 38951 9 213 10 162 7 169 13 174 38951 37595 7 221 11 155 9 164 11 163 37595 36215 15 182 10 144 12 194 7 143 36215 34781 25 169 7 144 9 219 1 252 34781 33294 26 168 7 139 7 257 2 062 33294 31743 19 166 10 121 6 147 9 123 31743 30119 9 161 14 119 13 135 13 130 30119 28422 7 154 17 127 18 133 12 127 28422 26651 16 119 17 136 18 129 11 125 26651 24809 19 110 14 132 20 116 12 118 24809 22894 23 095 11 121 21 105 13 108 22894 20902 19 076 10 110 16 100 12 105 20902 18825 7 065 5 099 6 066 10 092 18825 16704 6 277 4 323 10 321 12 012 16704 14656 11 207 9 314 9 278 12 345 14656 12789 11 197 3 349 4 289 6 335 12789 11130 7 170 2 093 2 007 8 041 11130 9658 8 130 4 133 2 008 4 035 9658 8350 7 121 6 121 1 062 3 174 8350 7189 6 124 8 110 5 104 6 153 7189 6159 6 116 8 107 10 091 9 128 6159 5249 7 108 8*110 12 092 12 123 5249 4443 8 102 8*125 11 103 14 127 4443 3719 9 098 8 142 9 126 14 139 3719 3079 10*098 9 152 8 153 14 152 3079 2543 10*098 9 157 7 168 14 163 2543 2133 10 099 9 159 7 171 11 172 2133 1849 10 100 9 160 7 172 8 177 1849 1678 9 100 9 161 6*173 5 182 1678 1579 8 100 8 162 5*175 3*183 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography