DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.6 - - 76.0 - - 80.3 - - 73.0 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 55 - - 205 - - 128 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 471 - - 1746 - - 2389 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2262 - - 2508 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1856 - - 3131 - - 3774 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 429 - - 598 - - 944 - - 2202 - - 494 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 295 - - 281 - - 0 - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 210 - - 214 - - 221 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 88 - - -1096 - - -1875 - - -1807 - - -1676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1768 - - 4227 - - 5649 - - 3386 - - 3255 sfcLCL ODpotential -6690 - - -6247 - - -5980 - - -7421 - - -8085 ODpotential blCL 8546 - - 9378 - - 9754 - - 9000 - - 9664 blCL maxRH 93 - - 74 - - 63 - - 76 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 490 - - 520 - - 660 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m 66.6 - - 76.0 - - 80.3 - - 73.0 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.8 - - 62.5 - - 60.7 - - 63.3 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 74.3 - - 78.9 - - 75.3 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.4 - - 61.9 - - 60.1 - - 63.0 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 55 - - 205 - - 128 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 471 - - 1746 - - 2389 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96854 66 264 67 261 69 257 77 268 75 276 96854 89639 55 262 57 264 58 264 66 268 59 269 89639 84065 44 272 44 270 43 272 49 273 46 270 84065 79414 32 283 26 267 26 275 30 269 32 264 79414 75411 20 277 22 273 17 286 17 276 18 259 75411 71882 14 275 18 284 16 299 12 289 12 254 71882 68708 11 290 12 295 14 300 11 295 10 256 68708 65830 12 290 9 302 14 293 11 295 10 279 65830 63210 10 291 8 268 12 272 13 279 13 267 63210 60707 8 304 9 289 12 279 11 274 13 257 60707 58089 16 300 18 282 18 284 15 284 13 287 58089 55341 19 285 23 275 20 287 17 288 18 288 55341 52688 23 279 20 272 21 275 24 267 24 264 52688 50275 20 281 21 265 26 265 29 261 31 264 50275 48094 25 285 29 270 35 265 35 267 40 262 48094 46113 37 277 43 265 44 263 45 262 50 258 46113 44307 46 270 51 264 50 265 53 265 64 260 44307 42647 52 271 56 268 57 269 66 267 74 260 42647 41104 58 272 57 271 63 272 69 265 72 257 41104 39652 62 276 58 274 61 273 64 266 63 257 39652 38277 70 281 60 282 58 275 58 269 61 257 38277 36941 70 282 64 287 57 276 59 270 59 259 36941 35581 63 278 62 281 58 278 57 271 56 261 35581 34168 56 278 61 275 58 281 53 273 54 262 34168 32705 48 278 56 274 55 279 51 272 53 262 32705 31179 39 280 45 272 53 274 51 273 53 262 31179 29578 37 279 38 271 49 274 49 273 52 263 29578 27905 29 276 35 277 39 271 42 269 49 264 27905 26159 24 279 33 280 33 272 34 266 43 265 26159 24344 20 266 24 270 31 275 28 264 33 265 24344 22464 13 265 16 261 26 263 26 259 26 265 22464 20508 11 271 13 250 18 250 22 246 22 266 20508 18475 13 276 14 251 17 248 19 245 23 259 18475 16414 15 272 19 255 23 259 22 257 21 257 16414 14430 12 274 21 264 24 265 22 266 20 261 14430 12619 9 277 20 275 19 276 15 271 18 267 12619 11000 6 266 17 273 17 273 13 270 14 264 11000 9554 5 281 12 256 16 257 12 265 12 264 9554 8264 5 292 8 244 13 250 10 267 8 257 8264 7115 6 309 5 249 9 251 7 288 7 229 7115 6097 6 326 4 274 5 226 5 309 7 224 6097 5199 7 332 4 299 6 192 4 244 11 214 5199 4404 8 316 4 275 7*198 9 196 13 203 4404 3691 9 284 7*220 7*206 11 188 14 194 3691 3060 10 249 8*211 7 212 11 190 15 184 3060 2531 11 235 8 210 7 214 9 197 16 174 2531 2125 10*232 8 210 7 216 8 207 16 168 2125 1846 7*228 8 210 7 217 7 213 14 167 1846 1676 6 226 7 209 7 219 6*219 8*167 1676 1579 5 226 6 209 6 219 4*221 4*164 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography