DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 91.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 182 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4995 - - 7125 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4812 - - 6278 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6380 - - 8510 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1658 - - 1745 - - - - - 3092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 466 - - 467 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 19 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 176 - - - - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 13 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -256 - - 121 - - - - - -1829 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6636 - - 8390 - - - - - 3408 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3539 - - -2976 - - - - - -4348 ODpotential blCL - - - 9919 - - 11486 - - - - - 5927 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 78 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 300 - - - - - 1470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 91.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.9 - - 59.8 - - - - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 90.0 - - - - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 58.5 - - - - - 68.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 182 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4995 - - 7125 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 13 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98848 38 090 50 102 49 093 98848 91387 41 111 36 093 35 089 91387 85615 41 108 28 096 34 079 85615 80814 32 092 30 097 35 085 80814 76721 29 084 30 097 33 092 76721 73145 28 084 26 095 24 087 73145 69931 25 093 23 092 22 087 69931 66977 17 092 19 084 21 089 66977 64240 10 098 16 088 22 076 64240 61605 13 111 18 100 22 067 61605 58883 18 089 17 092 23 064 58883 56084 29 078 24 071 25 064 56084 53415 43 064 36 057 25 072 53415 51006 52 050 44 055 35 074 51006 48839 51 046 48 054 44 077 48839 46859 48 047 45 048 49 061 46859 45027 42 050 38 054 38 057 45027 43321 25 062 27 052 26 049 43321 41729 9 068 11 079 14 041 41729 40233 3 194 7 133 9 151 40233 38827 10 211 7 173 13 191 38827 37470 18 218 10 196 14 194 37470 36093 22 227 14 202 12 193 36093 34662 22 230 14 210 11 209 34662 33181 17 211 16 214 9 216 33181 31636 10 178 20 214 9 209 31636 30014 8 163 15 206 7 214 30014 28316 7 135 11 200 5 233 28316 26543 9 107 9 207 1 261 26543 24696 6 095 5 223 4 073 24696 22781 2 122 2 240 7 074 22781 20792 3 174 1 075 6 073 20792 18723 5 163 2 097 7 114 18723 16615 6 161 5 147 9 123 16615 14582 7 152 5 155 9 111 14582 12732 7 144 7 146 8 099 12732 11087 11 145 14 152 11 127 11087 9627 13 154 18*170 15 145 9627 8327 17 170 19*174 17 158 8327 7171 18*177 19 175 16 166 7171 6146 17*179 19 175 16 171 6146 5239 17 181 19 176 18 175 5239 4436 16 181 19 176 21 175 4436 3716 16 182 19 176 23 172 3716 3078 15 183 19 176 24 168 3078 2544 14 183 18 176 23 167 2544 2133 13 184 17 176 21 166 2133 1850 13 184 17 176 18 165 1850 1678 12 184 15 176 14 165 1678 1579 10 184 13 176 9*165 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography