DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1335z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.9 - - 69.1 - - 62.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 49 - - 276 - - 179 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 271 - - 1979 - - 2575 - - 173 - - 172 BL Depth Hcrit 1540 - - 2508 - - 2775 - - 1541 - - 1540 Hcrit BL Top 1656 - - 3364 - - 3960 - - 1558 - - 1557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 655 - - 599 - - 1585 - - 2337 - - 392 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 333 - - 315 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 235 - - 239 - - 112 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -909 - - -1363 - - -1769 - - -1641 - - -146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2565 - - 4727 - - 5729 - - 3199 - - 1703 sfcLCL ODpotential -11057 - - -8813 - - -8408 - - -3572 - - -3713 ODpotential blCL 12713 - - 12177 - - 12368 - - 5130 - - 5270 blCL maxRH 84 - - 80 - - 70 - - 89 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 64.9 - - 69.1 - - 62.2 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 49.7 - - 49.3 - - 53.6 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 63.2 - - 68.0 - - 63.2 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.2 - - 53.5 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 49 - - 276 - - 179 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 271 - - 1979 - - 2575 - - 173 - - 172 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 19 - - 0 - - 55 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97220 5 275 6 291 10 240 16 279 22 278 97220 89919 4 120 3 065 4 248 7 267 9 293 89919 84273 10 111 8 101 2 222 0 135 3 146 84273 79568 9 101 5 089 3 212 8 038 13 138 79568 75509 5 039 2 096 5 205 7 346 10 116 75509 71929 3 310 1 345 3 333 4 271 6 035 71929 68709 6 262 8 271 13 306 9 293 6 317 68709 65783 9 281 12 265 15 289 11 288 8 287 65783 63108 19 296 21 288 17 282 19 327 11 306 63108 60532 27 279 32 280 31 292 35 325 20 314 60532 57843 32 271 38 273 43 280 39 298 28 306 57843 55050 36 277 38 274 48 271 46 286 40 303 55050 52383 51 275 47 283 56 277 58 279 51 298 52383 49989 68 272 62 277 65 282 67 280 68 291 49989 47869 88 273 77 276 75 284 90 282 92 292 47869 45952 104 271 99 276 94 283 106 279 110 287 45952 44178 112 268 111 271 111 276 116 272 122 276 44178 42528 116 266 117 268 121 270 118 269 122 269 42528 40978 114 265 113 265 121 268 115 269 119 270 40978 39516 105 266 106 266 115 267 108 270 107 275 39516 38135 98 268 98 270 105 266 101 275 99 276 38135 36797 95 269 96 272 99 269 94 280 98 278 36797 35433 91 267 93 272 96 272 90 283 96 283 35433 34015 82 266 87 270 90 272 86 283 91 287 34015 32547 73 266 78 270 85 273 81 279 84 293 32547 31015 70 268 72 269 80 279 77 281 81 290 31015 29410 67 268 69 270 73 281 80 288 77 306 29410 27740 61 270 65 274 68 280 82 303 59 313 27740 26008 51 272 58 277 68 283 63 302 46 312 26008 24205 44 272 49 282 72 294 42 295 38 310 24205 22332 40 276 44 284 58 306 32 328 32 317 22332 20377 38 280 41 289 43 317 43 336 31 332 20377 18337 35 285 33 301 35 322 38 335 32 336 18337 16257 31 289 27 308 27 318 22 315 28 323 16257 14251 27 293 27 315 25 310 21 303 25 309 14251 12422 24 295 28 317 27 313 24 302 26 304 12422 10795 23 295 28 318 30 323 26 311 28 301 10795 9350 22 296 24 316 28 323 25 322 24 305 9350 8072 17 297 17 305 25 309 23 323 17 333 8072 6942 15 299 12 300 16 290 20 314 16 336 6942 5948 14 303 10 316 14 312 17 321 14 330 5948 5076 14 298 11 311 14 321 13 338 15 349 5076 4302 16 267 11 290 11*318 10 356 13 360 4302 3609 19 240 11*265 5*282 7 022 8 019 3609 2994 20 223 11*244 4 245 6 062 4 044 2994 2481 19 212 10 236 4 234 6 090 2 110 2481 2087 16 205 10 233 4 226 7 105 2 173 2087 1816 11*203 9 231 4 221 7 112 3 193 1816 1651 8*204 9 230 4 220 6*115 2*212 1651 1557 6 203 7 230 4 219 4*112 1*269 1557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography