DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.3 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 210 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3779 - - 4864 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3848 - - 4591 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5164 - - 6249 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1722 - - 4177 - - - - - 3979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 414 - - 424 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 145 - - - - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -9 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 419 - - -347 - - - - - -2298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4745 - - 6596 - - - - - 3878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -765 - - -1987 - - - - - -4123 ODpotential blCL - - - 5929 - - 8236 - - - - - 5702 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 74 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1950 - - 1720 - - - - - 1980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 90.3 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.5 - - 66.6 - - - - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 88.5 - - - - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 65.5 - - - - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 210 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3779 - - 4864 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - - - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 45 095 42 106 28 094 99039 91494 39 102 37 091 35 083 91494 85686 39 093 34 090 43 085 85686 80902 39 087 34 099 47 086 80902 76807 37 089 35 099 42 085 76807 73226 33 094 35 098 29 089 73226 70009 26 096 32 095 21 090 70009 67049 21 097 25 082 21 081 67049 64304 20 106 16 078 20 085 64304 61662 18 101 11 097 17 084 61662 58926 15 091 10 090 17 077 58926 56099 18 095 11 090 19 040 56099 53415 24 083 21 092 16 042 53415 51010 26 055 27 078 15 066 51010 48845 27 043 28 056 19 066 48845 46862 24 045 25 050 29 063 46862 45032 27 044 26 036 33 060 45032 43327 23 040 26 028 28 057 43327 41731 20 050 24 025 24 046 41731 40233 23 063 20 034 21 032 40233 38826 32 062 14 065 12 018 38826 37470 30 053 16 082 6 023 37470 36093 18 023 12 054 7 044 36093 34665 15 012 9 024 6 061 34665 33188 10 017 6 026 1 098 33188 31646 8 012 6 019 2 084 31646 30030 8 047 6 031 6 067 30030 28338 10 083 6 079 8 068 28338 26570 10 099 7 098 8 059 26570 24729 8 111 6 092 9 046 24729 22818 8 127 6 091 9 054 22818 20830 4 104 8 050 13 073 20830 18757 7 048 13 050 13 079 18757 16640 9 077 10 052 14 079 16640 14603 7 097 6 056 20 069 14603 12756 9 105 4 130 17 058 12756 11119 7 099 6 142 10 055 11119 9662 6 105 9 144 3 022 9662 8363 7 138 11 143 1 283 8363 7204 9 158 11*144 6 158 7204 6173 12 162 11*145 12 153 6173 5261 12*162 11 145 17 149 5261 4454 12*162 10 146 22 148 4454 3729 12 161 10 146 25 146 3729 3086 11 160 10 146 26 143 3086 2549 11 159 9 146 24 141 2549 2136 10 159 9 146 21 137 2136 1851 10 158 8 146 17 134 1851 1679 9 157 8 146 13 131 1679 1579 8 157 7 146 8*130 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography