DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 87.0 - - 87.8 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 187 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3060 - - 3924 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2712 - - 3815 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4445 - - 5309 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2202 - - 2816 - - 6945 - - 2173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 377 - - 58 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 162 - - 138 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -8 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -45 - - -202 - - -4525 - - -2006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4490 - - 5511 - - 6106 - - 3586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2197 - - -1541 - - -5524 - - -4438 ODpotential blCL - - - 6642 - - 6850 - - 7104 - - 6018 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 98 - - 80 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1110 - - 1130 - - 830 - - 1230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.5 - - 87.0 - - 87.8 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.8 - - 67.9 - - 66.2 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.5 - - 85.5 - - 87.5 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 67.1 - - 65.6 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 187 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3060 - - 3924 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 90 - - 20 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98716 31 090 21 110 16 113 14 085 98716 91255 27 092 27 107 25 085 27 094 91255 85495 24 104 30 096 29 095 35 088 85495 80742 25 100 28 078 32 090 32 094 80742 76687 26 090 22 088 24 081 22 083 76687 73118 24 097 20 100 14 082 12 066 73118 69872 21 077 17 097 11 109 9 068 69872 66880 21 050 13 091 9 081 14 080 66880 64145 14 058 13 105 7 036 15 065 64145 61545 18 083 19 094 10 092 14 056 61545 58852 20 066 23 079 21 084 16 066 58852 56071 14 041 21 061 26 067 21 068 56071 53431 9 094 17 065 25 059 23 062 53431 51055 22 101 23 088 25 069 24 059 51055 48916 35 080 31 089 29 073 27 063 48916 46960 35 062 33 076 33 067 29 066 46960 45154 32 055 31 064 31 053 30 055 45154 43474 32 066 26 061 28 048 29 050 43474 41898 32 074 25 067 26 051 29 048 41898 40410 32 076 26 072 27 062 28 050 40410 39000 32 076 28 072 28 068 29 049 39000 37632 29 077 28 068 25 070 31 047 37632 36238 28 072 29 067 21 077 28 050 36238 34789 32 064 27 071 19 072 24 051 34789 33288 28 057 22 075 17 063 19 050 33288 31724 18 058 19 071 16 064 18 048 31724 30081 16 076 18 066 14 064 14 052 30081 28363 15 088 14 058 14 053 14 062 28363 26571 10 097 11 055 15 038 14 055 26571 24709 7 109 9 046 16 031 15 038 24709 22782 7 084 10 050 14 037 15 036 22782 20787 11 086 9 079 10 042 12 043 20787 18716 12 112 9 109 7 052 12 054 18716 16607 10 116 7 124 7 055 14 056 16607 14577 7 116 6 144 5 095 11 059 14577 12732 7 093 5 175 3 084 5 044 12732 11096 6 105 7 170 2 067 3 077 11096 9641 6 113 8 136 4 123 6 128 9641 8345 7 110 10 133 8 127 8 134 8345 7191 7 140 11 138 9 128 10 132 7191 6164 9 175 10*142 9 131 12 137 6164 5257 9*177 9*147 8 134 14 142 5257 4452 9*174 7 153 8 136 14 144 4452 3728 8 167 5 165 8 136 13 146 3728 3086 7 155 4 170 7 137 12 148 3086 2549 7 147 4 173 7 137 10 150 2549 2136 7 142 3 174 7 138 8 152 2136 1851 6 140 3 177 7 138 7 155 1851 1679 6 138 3 178 6*137 5*156 1679 1580 5 138 3 178 5*138 3*156 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography