DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 91.0 - - 90.0 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 227 - - 1 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3799 - - 5652 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3926 - - 5223 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5184 - - 7037 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1654 - - 3030 - - 9647 - - 4708 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 454 - - 48 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 152 - - 129 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 356 - - 64 - - -5406 - - -2938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4828 - - 6974 - - 6987 - - 4518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2029 - - -1063 - - -6237 - - -4780 ODpotential blCL - - - 7213 - - 8100 - - 7817 - - 6360 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 72 - - 81 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2030 - - 1500 - - 1330 - - 1490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 91.0 - - 90.0 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.7 - - 65.6 - - 64.7 - - 68.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.7 - - 89.1 - - 90.0 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 64.7 - - 63.9 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 308 - - 227 - - 1 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3799 - - 5652 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 23 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98805 42 092 30 112 28 086 27 066 98805 91346 42 089 36 100 32 085 38 085 91346 85591 37 088 36 096 34 088 38 093 85591 80833 28 091 32 093 30 081 36 086 80833 76755 25 101 32 088 28 089 33 082 76755 73165 23 108 26 085 27 097 25 090 73165 69931 23 107 23 089 24 097 21 093 69931 66975 22 107 16 096 21 092 19 080 66975 64247 21 115 14 127 16 079 19 079 64247 61615 18 114 13 118 8 088 15 080 61615 58887 18 108 13 109 7 123 10 090 58887 56070 24 080 17 111 8 125 4 081 56070 53387 20 064 19 076 15 093 8 095 53387 50975 26 046 21 059 21 063 12 079 50975 48807 25 031 26 051 26 056 15 078 48807 46828 26 012 30 041 29 057 21 082 46828 45008 16 024 28 036 29 055 22 081 45008 43320 21 082 21 038 27 050 18 102 43320 41741 38 089 24 068 22 053 17 132 41741 40257 42 082 37 078 17 090 19 149 40257 38855 41 073 38 080 17 105 22 145 38855 37500 42 065 39 082 18 109 23 139 37500 36122 44 062 40 081 20 117 23 137 36122 34690 43 069 41 083 22 114 22 140 34690 33208 45 078 41 086 20 111 20 146 33208 31661 47 081 40 088 21 116 19 146 31661 30040 46 088 36 091 22 118 20 139 30040 28346 32 089 28 093 21 114 20 135 28346 26577 24 076 21 085 18 111 19 130 26577 24736 24 084 21 078 15 109 16 129 24736 22828 24 092 21 088 14 102 15 119 22828 20845 23 101 18 093 16 088 21 088 20845 18774 16 098 16 087 17 090 24 084 18774 16656 10 087 13 074 15 072 20 091 16656 14611 3 124 6 075 9 047 16 062 14611 12755 2 208 2 093 2 041 13 027 12755 11115 5 210 3 183 10 166 3 055 11115 9660 5 180 9 170 12 160 3 172 9660 8360 6 166 11 162 12 158 6 170 8360 7202 10 167 11*159 12 154 11 165 7202 6172 12 166 11*157 11 151 16 162 6172 5261 12*164 11 156 10 146 20 159 5261 4453 12*162 11 153 10 142 23 157 4453 3729 12 160 10 151 9 138 25 155 3729 3087 12 158 10 150 9 135 25 154 3087 2550 11 156 10 148 8 133 24 152 2550 2136 11 156 9 146 8 132 22 148 2136 1852 10 154 9 146 8 131 17 142 1852 1679 10 154 8 146 7*129 13*137 1679 1580 9 154 7 146 5*129 9*134 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography