DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 73.4 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 71 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 989 - - 1721 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1562 - - 1562 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2374 - - 3106 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1389 - - 1302 - - - - - 1425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 216 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 015 - - - - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -9 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 780 - - 1086 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1594 - - 2021 - - - - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 177 - - 296 - - - - - -588 ODpotential blCL - - - 2197 - - 2810 - - - - - 2167 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 290 - - - - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 73.4 - - - - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.1 - - 69.4 - - - - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 72.8 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 68.6 - - - - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 71 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 989 - - 1721 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 99 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97972 17 179 17 235 5 309 97972 90622 6 141 13 190 4 279 90622 84963 7 134 11 138 7 196 84963 80262 4 020 10 085 6 135 80262 76219 10 012 10 041 10 103 76219 72675 12 039 13 042 11 099 72675 69491 12 035 14 070 12 069 69491 66584 8 030 12 060 13 023 66584 63920 7 111 5 045 13 350 63920 61364 9 080 3 036 6 008 61364 58717 3 055 3 355 8 358 58717 55992 8 022 5 064 12 332 55992 53392 14 334 13 341 12 327 53392 51029 18 303 19 307 22 301 51029 48895 19 285 20 291 27 286 48895 46947 20 273 20 266 29 264 46947 45150 19 254 25 237 29 240 45150 43471 17 244 25 232 29 231 43471 41891 17 261 24 239 27 230 41891 40399 22 274 23 243 27 234 40399 38982 25 268 23 249 27 233 38982 37606 28 249 23 255 26 228 37606 36202 32 242 25 246 25 222 36202 34741 34 233 29 229 25 216 34741 33229 38 220 33 218 25 218 33229 31658 36 219 35 220 35 227 31658 30018 35 226 36 223 34 230 30018 28305 31 241 35 239 26 234 28305 26519 27 250 27 250 21 248 26519 24663 23 265 18 272 20 264 24663 22736 13 238 14 244 16 271 22736 20732 11 199 17 237 12 272 20732 18653 13 164 14 196 11 279 18653 16543 8 153 11 180 7 282 16543 14515 9 139 8 164 5 289 14515 12669 4 109 5 093 1 261 12669 11028 3 114 5 052 5 053 11028 9570 3 102 5 039 9 072 9570 8272 4 055 7 018 12 077 8272 7118 6 041 8 031 13 083 7118 6093 8 043 10 052 14 079 6093 5189 11 040 13 049 16 066 5189 4391 15 035 15 035 17 063 4391 3676 17 026 17*021 20 056 3676 3046 19 019 17*017 24 033 3046 2522 18*017 17 015 23 023 2522 2120 18*016 16 014 21 020 2120 1843 16 015 15 014 18 019 1843 1675 15 015 14 014 15*018 1675 1579 11 015 11 013 11*018 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography