DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 56.5 - - 60.3 - - 54.3 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 90 - - 273 - - 177 - - -18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 789 - - 2406 - - 2893 - - 171 - - 171 BL Depth Hcrit 1540 - - 2818 - - 3001 - - 1540 - - 1540 Hcrit BL Top 2174 - - 3791 - - 4278 - - 1556 - - 1556 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 788 - - 689 - - 527 - - 2585 - - 347 Hgt.Variab. W* 169 - - 355 - - 327 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 046 - - 045 - - 065 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1712 - - -2792 - - -3430 - - -4502 - - -2660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3887 - - 6584 - - 7708 - - 6058 - - 4217 sfcLCL ODpotential -12026 - - -12416 - - -12852 - - -13990 - - -13694 ODpotential blCL 14200 - - 16207 - - 17130 - - 15546 - - 15250 blCL maxRH 69 - - 53 - - 58 - - 46 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 56.5 - - 60.3 - - 54.3 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 33.6 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.6 - - 54.8 - - 58.8 - - 55.4 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 32.8 - - 31.6 - - 33.3 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 90 - - 273 - - 177 - - -18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 789 - - 2406 - - 2893 - - 171 - - 171 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96770 52 253 53 252 60 248 62 253 61 259 96770 89384 48 254 48 256 49 256 50 256 45 257 89384 83779 42 268 37 256 33 258 34 260 35 263 83779 79176 40 274 32 266 28 265 30 273 27 267 79176 75227 34 263 32 263 32 266 35 277 22 266 75227 71730 27 259 29 264 30 268 31 276 23 276 71730 68566 26 266 28 272 30 276 30 277 29 278 68566 65670 30 267 31 265 31 272 31 267 33 270 65670 62990 35 270 34 266 34 272 32 262 34 268 62990 60394 42 265 41 267 41 277 35 277 37 271 60394 57681 47 260 49 262 54 269 49 273 42 268 57681 54855 52 263 55 259 61 257 56 261 47 265 54855 52149 62 267 61 263 62 261 58 260 56 267 52149 49718 72 263 70 264 69 264 69 264 68 265 49718 47558 74 261 74 260 76 258 79 259 78 258 47558 45610 73 264 73 259 74 255 81 252 80 253 45610 43825 78 267 73 263 71 261 76 253 74 258 43825 42183 79 270 75 267 75 265 77 263 79 264 42183 40663 76 270 76 269 78 265 83 264 94 265 40663 39236 75 271 75 270 80 263 77 257 96 263 39236 37883 75 273 74 270 79 262 74 251 79 259 37883 36569 76 275 72 271 75 263 78 255 71 256 36569 35230 76 276 70 271 72 264 74 263 65 257 35230 33839 74 278 68 271 69 265 63 268 60 259 33839 32397 70 279 65 270 66 267 60 269 58 261 32397 30891 66 279 62 270 62 269 55 268 55 263 30891 29308 63 277 61 270 60 270 51 265 53 263 29308 27650 61 275 60 271 58 271 50 264 50 261 27650 25915 58 275 57 273 55 271 49 264 49 260 25915 24105 54 276 52 275 49 272 48 265 46 261 24105 22224 49 276 46 275 43 270 43 266 41 261 22224 20265 45 277 40 276 39 268 37 267 37 260 20265 18226 42 279 37 279 33 269 31 268 32 258 18226 16151 38 283 35 285 29 275 25 267 25 257 16151 14153 31 285 29 288 27 284 23 269 20 254 14153 12335 22 284 22 287 23 288 22 272 17 252 12335 10717 17 287 15 282 16 278 18 272 14 263 10717 9282 14 299 11 291 11 266 13 269 9 272 9282 8007 12 331 5 000 3 256 6 266 4 260 8007 6880 10 008 8 078 7 125 4 151 7 158 6880 5885 9 028 8 080 7 109 7 128 12 140 5885 5012 9 040 8 061 8*043 8 056 11 118 5012 4244 13 045 12*039 10*036 11 047 11 084 4244 3561 19 046 12*041 10 040 13 054 14 072 3561 2960 21 046 12 044 10 045 14 059 16 075 2960 2459 20*043 11 047 10 048 14 061 16 078 2459 2074 15*035 11 049 10 050 13 064 15 081 2074 1809 12 031 10 050 9 052 11 065 13 081 1809 1648 10 030 9 051 8 052 9 066 8*078 1648 1556 8 029 8 051 7 053 5*065 5*073 1556 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography