DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 70.4 - - 71.0 - - 69.8 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 44 - - 44 - - 42 - - 6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 913 - - 578 - - 774 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2298 - - 1963 - - 2159 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1432 - - 1573 - - 1540 - - 1844 - - 1968 Hgt.Variab. W* 147 - - 125 - - 136 - - 47 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 14 - - 16 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 028 - - 029 - - 031 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -7 - - -8 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 683 - - 384 - - 580 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1615 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 179 - - 39 - - 108 - - -410 - - -770 ODpotential blCL 2119 - - 1924 - - 2051 - - 1989 - - 2349 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 180 - - 240 - - 80 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 70.4 - - 71.0 - - 69.8 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.2 - - 68.9 - - 69.1 - - 68.3 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.9 - - 69.9 - - 70.4 - - 69.5 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.8 - - 68.6 - - 68.8 - - 68.2 - - 67.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 44 - - 44 - - 42 - - 6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 913 - - 578 - - 774 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98157 10 211 16 220 10 243 7 277 5 010 98157 90741 6 151 14 201 9 196 3 251 2 117 90741 85025 9 094 9 137 8 154 7 191 4 141 85025 80297 10 106 12 089 11 137 8 141 11 122 80297 76242 6 100 10 073 12 112 13 145 7 096 76242 72675 4 032 10 095 12 095 15 122 10 127 72675 69471 4 012 5 123 8 064 14 100 10 096 69471 66561 5 129 8 109 5 093 12 063 11 088 66561 63891 9 054 8 081 7 108 5 032 10 051 63891 61327 6 035 7 027 6 065 4 023 8 020 61327 58686 6 079 6 046 5 013 5 350 9 347 58686 55982 10 024 8 032 5 031 3 041 4 350 55982 53400 14 003 11 357 6 028 4 007 2 023 53400 51047 22 340 16 348 12 351 14 340 8 339 51047 48913 28 321 20 333 20 329 20 321 18 317 48913 46958 32 295 23 318 20 321 21 305 21 301 46958 45152 38 266 29 285 21 304 18 294 22 289 45152 43468 41 242 36 257 30 271 23 278 20 276 43468 41885 42 224 39 231 38 243 37 258 28 258 41885 40393 41 220 42 220 42 231 45 234 39 246 40393 38978 40 225 40 213 42 227 42 227 42 235 38978 37604 38 225 41 209 41 224 42 231 42 234 37604 36202 33 224 41 211 41 225 42 239 39 236 36202 34744 28 228 40 219 39 227 40 243 36 239 34744 33235 26 238 37 227 35 231 34 245 36 251 33235 31664 26 250 28 242 28 238 28 261 34 267 31664 30021 29 267 26 258 25 255 23 275 29 277 30021 28308 31 264 26 257 27 262 15 269 23 284 28308 26523 25 244 28 263 27 264 11 275 13 292 26523 24667 20 237 28 269 21 272 11 286 9 303 24667 22738 14 243 18 272 13 276 12 286 10 311 22738 20730 12 253 13 274 12 276 15 273 12 300 20730 18646 9 268 5 284 7 289 13 280 12 267 18646 16541 2 165 2 196 2 232 5 321 6 286 16541 14515 6 072 5 069 5 070 4 007 5 331 14515 12667 7 061 8 069 9 043 7 035 6 027 12667 11021 10 065 11 043 12 036 12 026 11 026 11021 9559 13 059 10 039 12 040 13 031 16 038 9559 8258 12 063 10 055 13 038 13 040 19 048 8258 7102 12 058 14 064 15 035 16 043 23 046 7102 6079 15 058 18 051 19 031 23 044 26 040 6079 5178 18 060 23 044 23 036 27 045 28 040 5178 4383 20 059 26 037 24 035 28 043 30 048 4383 3673 21 047 25 035 24 034 27 038 31 046 3673 3045 21 040 24 033 23 032 25 035 30 038 3045 2522 20*038 22 031 22*031 24 034 26 034 2522 2120 19*038 19*029 18*029 20 032 23 032 2120 1843 17 038 16*028 17 029 18 031 18 030 1843 1675 15 038 15 028 15 028 15*031 15*029 1675 1579 11 037 11 028 11 029 11*031 11*029 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography