DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 62.0 - - 54.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 216 - - -15 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1696 - - 2928 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2283 - - 3119 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3081 - - 4313 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 848 - - 1154 - - 1327 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 352 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 231 - - 221 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4138 - - -2844 - - -3254 - - -2873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7219 - - 7157 - - 4831 - - 4450 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12407 - - -9854 - - -11053 - - -13924 ODpotential blCL - - - 15488 - - 14167 - - 12630 - - 15501 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 49 - - 50 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 62.0 - - 54.1 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 36.3 - - 38.8 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 60.3 - - 55.7 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 35.7 - - 38.5 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 216 - - -15 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1696 - - 2928 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96034 15 265 30 250 29 273 18 313 96034 89049 3 257 8 280 5 267 5 010 89049 83686 8 066 4 098 7 105 7 167 83686 79171 11 101 10 116 7 097 9 077 79171 75237 18 084 13 114 8 122 10 075 75237 71748 16 078 13 087 11 090 8 112 71748 68588 14 084 12 069 8 094 7 167 68588 65695 7 017 13 011 7 031 3 160 65695 63029 7 337 14 353 9 334 8 297 63029 60451 10 323 14 318 17 306 16 295 60451 57743 17 324 16 316 19 309 20 290 57743 54912 28 311 28 294 29 297 28 278 54912 52219 24 312 35 274 36 278 38 274 52219 49807 26 348 25 264 36 258 41 261 49807 47643 39 348 19 308 30 255 40 242 47643 45672 44 337 31 327 27 283 30 245 45672 43855 43 322 36 320 32 298 24 263 43855 42162 42 312 37 306 38 296 25 273 42162 40583 41 311 40 297 42 289 36 270 40583 39111 39 314 44 294 42 287 45 266 39111 37731 38 315 45 293 42 292 45 269 37731 36397 38 316 45 296 46 300 42 287 36397 35043 38 311 45 302 48 305 48 297 35043 33644 39 304 47 308 49 306 52 300 33644 32202 42 298 46 315 49 309 49 304 32202 30700 45 299 43 320 47 314 43 307 30700 29125 46 304 40 329 43 319 41 309 29125 27476 41 310 41 343 43 326 39 313 27476 25753 36 315 44 348 43 335 41 318 25753 23961 31 318 40 343 39 344 43 323 23961 22102 30 321 31 333 32 343 37 325 22102 20166 32 328 26 327 25 339 28 321 20166 18144 35 334 28 335 20 326 23 305 18144 16082 31 332 29 341 20 327 21 297 16082 14101 27 336 23 338 18 314 20 297 14101 12307 24 345 18 333 19 300 21 296 12307 10713 22 345 17 320 20 298 23 303 10713 9296 22 329 21 310 23 303 24 312 9296 8035 25 314 23 308 23 305 21 306 8035 6914 26 313 23 308 21 301 24 288 6914 5923 16 323 15 293 18 287 27 277 5923 5050 13 332 10*248 17 258 24 255 5050 4282 11 326 10*234 17 237 24 235 4282 3597 8*333 11 231 18 226 23 220 3597 2991 4*343 11 231 18 222 21 210 2991 2486 3 347 11 230 16 222 21 199 2486 2098 3 351 11 230 13 223 21 192 2098 1831 3 353 11 230 11 223 16 192 1831 1669 3 355 10 230 9 222 10 192 1669 1577 2 357 9 230 5*221 6*191 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography