DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0740z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.6 - - 77.8 - - 82.8 - - 83.4 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 158 - - 205 - - 25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 959 - - 1866 - - 2625 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2252 - - 2896 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2344 - - 3251 - - 4010 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1322 - - 1519 - - 2352 - - 4055 - - 713 Hgt.Variab. W* 179 - - 279 - - 339 - - 74 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 193 - - 180 - - 122 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 677 - - 758 - - 230 - - -2484 - - -1011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1667 - - 2493 - - 3780 - - 4064 - - 2590 sfcLCL ODpotential 148 - - 281 - - -606 - - -5947 - - -3472 ODpotential blCL 2196 - - 2970 - - 4616 - - 7527 - - 5051 blCL maxRH 98 - - 98 - - 88 - - 79 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 2390 - - 2970 - - 3380 - - 3420 - - 2890 CAPE Temp@2m 73.6 - - 77.8 - - 82.8 - - 83.4 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.9 - - 71.6 - - 70.9 - - 70.4 - - 70.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 76.4 - - 81.0 - - 82.9 - - 78.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.5 - - 70.9 - - 70.3 - - 70.0 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 158 - - 205 - - 25 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 959 - - 1866 - - 2625 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 93 - - 51 - - 15 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97738 13 134 10 076 10 123 7 128 8 055 97738 90254 14 086 21 081 16 119 9 107 14 089 90254 84551 12 086 15 093 13 098 10 082 17 095 84551 79869 11 108 9 112 7 092 7 073 11 083 79869 75877 15 096 6 113 5 086 7 086 11 076 75877 72355 15 065 7 026 4 052 5 073 7 074 72355 69184 7 063 10 347 4 069 2 255 6 018 69184 66297 8 325 9 305 6 360 6 243 6 331 66297 63655 16 269 12 272 15 300 11 272 14 259 63655 61132 20 262 25 250 22 277 12 261 27 236 61132 58472 31 255 26 259 22 286 19 283 23 251 58472 55674 45 261 39 262 45 281 45 281 42 285 55674 53007 51 258 48 266 58 271 59 270 58 272 53007 50597 54 259 58 266 63 266 59 263 56 266 50597 48407 59 258 67 262 63 263 61 268 58 270 48407 46398 70 253 73 254 68 257 67 266 64 269 46398 44543 83 250 79 251 75 252 70 260 68 266 44543 42824 88 250 83 251 77 251 70 255 61 262 42824 41225 91 250 84 250 79 250 70 253 56 257 41225 39729 94 248 84 247 80 249 64 252 50 252 39729 38326 93 246 82 245 77 247 54 256 41 264 38326 36977 86 246 73 244 69 247 47 261 33 261 36977 35617 82 249 65 245 60 248 39 264 17 279 35617 34213 80 250 62 248 53 246 33 263 19 314 34213 32760 74 251 57 249 47 248 30 267 20 316 32760 31243 61 250 49 250 39 252 27 271 15 320 31243 29653 47 252 45 250 34 255 19 271 15 332 29653 27992 38 257 41 250 32 257 18 278 16 326 27992 26257 37 262 34 249 32 256 25 274 13 326 26257 24450 40 268 30 254 28 254 27 261 10 323 24450 22574 48 269 34 268 28 266 26 264 15 271 22574 20628 47 266 40 270 37 273 29 269 21 253 20628 18603 36 268 38 264 38 268 32 267 20 256 18603 16535 23 275 26 254 28 256 30 263 23 260 16535 14537 14 268 23 230 27 238 26 252 22 257 14537 12711 16 254 21 244 26 254 25 244 22 256 12711 11081 19 236 14 243 20 251 24 246 22 265 11081 9628 22 230 16 252 16 240 17 262 13 291 9628 8333 24 238 18 259 17 247 6 297 5 024 8333 7178 20 244 18 259 13 259 3 014 4 088 7178 6154 16 251 15 259 8 259 1 087 9 152 6154 5248 14 242 11 249 7 258 4 167 13 143 5248 4444 14 219 11 231 6*249 6 159 14 139 4444 3721 17 199 11*220 4*213 7 150 16 134 3721 3080 18 189 9*201 5 185 8 132 17 124 3080 2545 17*184 9 194 5 177 8 126 18 113 2545 2133 15*181 9 191 5 170 8 123 17 102 2133 1850 14 181 8 189 5 170 8 123 14 092 1850 1678 13 180 8 188 5 168 8*122 9 083 1678 1579 10 180 7 187 5 166 6*122 5*076 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography