DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.0 - - 80.7 - - 83.5 - - 83.1 - - 74.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 119 - - 281 - - 1 - - -26 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1350 - - 2485 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1731 - - 2906 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2735 - - 3870 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 563 - - 797 - - 4013 - - 4074 - - 1937 Hgt.Variab. W* 232 - - 370 - - 56 - - 51 - - 29 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 15 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 179 - - 169 - - 157 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -287 - - -1555 - - -5113 - - -4548 - - -1850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3022 - - 5425 - - 6692 - - 6128 - - 3429 sfcLCL ODpotential -8083 - - -7110 - - -9369 - - -9505 - - -8872 ODpotential blCL 10818 - - 10980 - - 10948 - - 11084 - - 10451 blCL maxRH 83 - - 97 - - 100 - - 81 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 230 - - 390 - - 460 - - 840 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m 72.0 - - 80.7 - - 83.5 - - 83.1 - - 74.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.8 - - 62.1 - - 59.6 - - 61.5 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 78.7 - - 83.5 - - 83.7 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.0 - - 61.1 - - 58.7 - - 60.8 - - 64.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 119 - - 281 - - 1 - - -26 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1350 - - 2485 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 88 - - 100 - - 25 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98264 6 236 9 144 10 183 5 286 9 040 98264 90795 6 099 9 109 8 158 1 208 7 018 90795 85056 12 107 7 166 8 162 5 224 3 313 85056 80301 8 109 9 169 3 161 2 158 8 157 80301 76204 7 120 8 161 9 165 2 165 6 141 76204 72597 4 169 4 185 3 116 7 103 6 139 72597 69345 6 150 5 208 7 212 5 217 2 211 69345 66375 3 009 3 324 4 284 1 226 3 219 66375 63662 6 267 7 279 8 303 6 345 1 211 63662 61077 21 299 10 335 15 338 16 321 10 303 61077 58402 28 274 27 275 25 290 25 292 21 289 58402 55599 30 266 33 273 33 266 33 272 29 282 55599 52892 44 290 42 283 42 272 48 275 50 275 52892 50460 63 282 57 275 61 271 65 274 63 272 50460 48293 75 270 68 268 73 266 75 270 73 272 48293 46333 75 269 73 269 77 267 80 271 83 271 46333 44536 82 275 82 273 83 270 86 270 89 271 44536 42867 88 276 88 271 89 266 92 268 96 268 42867 41306 88 274 90 269 91 264 97 266 103 267 41306 39833 84 274 89 269 90 266 99 266 105 267 39833 38439 76 274 84 269 85 268 95 267 102 266 38439 37090 66 279 71 269 74 268 82 266 92 266 37090 35721 64 278 62 270 66 267 68 265 76 266 35721 34305 64 275 59 273 63 268 63 264 65 263 34305 32844 59 276 56 273 62 268 61 260 60 258 32844 31319 57 276 56 270 61 266 59 258 59 254 31319 29719 55 273 56 268 59 266 55 259 61 255 29719 28044 50 271 53 267 54 268 46 259 61 259 28044 26298 45 272 49 270 45 268 40 260 54 262 26298 24482 37 274 46 271 36 260 38 263 49 263 24482 22599 28 280 36 266 29 257 35 260 41 267 22599 20645 22 292 27 253 26 257 30 260 32 273 20645 18609 15 291 21 248 22 243 26 264 24 278 18609 16529 12 284 14 259 17 247 21 254 23 272 16529 14522 10 270 8 255 11 228 15 244 20 254 14522 12689 5 218 8 181 8 231 12 247 15 238 12689 11048 3 137 10 202 8 251 8 254 13 258 11048 9585 14 216 19 214 16 217 7 231 11 237 9585 8285 27 208 26 195 23 199 19 196 21 194 8285 7132 31 200 27 186 26 192 28 188 30 185 7132 6110 31 193 27 185 23 185 27 178 31 183 6110 5206 29 190 25 185 20 178 26 167 27 185 5206 4407 29 190 19*182 19 173 26 162 24 182 4407 3691 28 189 16*180 19 171 26 161 26 169 3691 3059 22*184 15 179 18 170 25 160 27 159 3059 2532 19*181 15 179 18 169 25 159 25 157 2532 2126 17 181 14 178 17 169 23 158 23 157 2126 1846 16 180 13 178 16 169 20 158 18 157 1846 1676 15 180 12 178 14 169 16 158 14*158 1676 1579 12 180 10 179 11*169 12*157 10*158 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography