DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 58.1 - - 62.1 - - 55.9 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 78 - - 245 - - 152 - - -16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 765 - - 1439 - - 1867 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2095 - - 2212 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2150 - - 2824 - - 3252 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 563 - - 471 - - 705 - - 1770 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 291 - - 271 - - 21 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 23 - - 18 - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 036 - - 034 - - 036 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -11 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1720 - - -2992 - - -3406 - - -3234 - - -2863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3870 - - 5817 - - 6659 - - 4812 - - 4440 sfcLCL ODpotential -9620 - - -11992 - - -11833 - - -12834 - - -14100 ODpotential blCL 11770 - - 14816 - - 15085 - - 14412 - - 15677 blCL maxRH 69 - - 70 - - 73 - - 83 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 58.1 - - 62.1 - - 55.9 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 38.7 - - 38.9 - - 40.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 56.6 - - 60.8 - - 57.4 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 37.8 - - 38.0 - - 40.2 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 78 - - 245 - - 152 - - -16 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 765 - - 1439 - - 1867 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96368 42 267 43 258 53 267 53 279 52 284 96368 89251 44 270 42 274 43 280 40 274 38 278 89251 83768 34 256 35 275 34 286 30 272 28 272 83768 79200 22 262 25 259 28 271 27 278 22 284 79200 75251 16 290 25 276 26 269 25 285 21 305 75251 71761 14 296 23 277 25 269 23 284 19 280 71761 68613 16 290 19 270 22 261 22 279 19 261 68613 65720 19 272 23 273 25 262 26 274 23 271 65720 63020 29 261 31 265 33 260 33 265 30 270 63020 60392 38 255 39 257 40 257 41 259 39 270 60392 57655 43 254 45 255 45 257 50 257 51 263 57655 54830 46 257 49 260 51 260 54 257 57 258 54830 52145 56 260 57 262 56 262 56 262 59 257 52145 49733 62 258 62 258 62 262 59 267 59 260 49733 47574 63 258 65 255 66 260 61 267 59 263 47574 45619 66 257 64 255 65 260 62 267 58 262 45619 43830 68 257 64 257 62 261 62 267 54 265 43830 42182 65 258 64 256 62 260 59 262 44 278 42182 40656 61 263 62 254 61 257 47 271 48 297 40656 39225 55 264 59 256 52 264 41 283 54 293 39225 37875 46 267 53 256 50 261 33 283 47 279 37875 36570 46 271 46 257 41 258 29 280 39 264 36570 35242 50 271 40 261 30 263 27 286 31 272 35242 33863 53 270 39 264 25 273 27 295 33 301 33863 32433 50 269 38 265 24 273 30 299 39 312 32433 30937 41 272 34 268 23 271 33 301 40 319 30937 29365 31 279 30 267 24 270 35 300 38 322 29365 27717 29 285 29 261 30 266 31 291 39 328 27717 25991 30 283 30 263 31 276 31 285 44 336 25991 24186 30 278 29 271 33 289 35 293 45 341 24186 22307 27 275 29 276 31 299 36 303 40 338 22307 20348 23 278 27 278 28 292 34 309 38 323 20348 18305 20 280 23 282 25 286 30 301 40 313 18305 16219 19 277 21 281 24 287 31 292 36 310 16219 14209 18 289 19 276 23 279 30 289 31 292 14209 12383 20 302 18 285 22 272 27 281 30 289 12383 10765 20 301 16 291 21 271 24 272 26 284 10765 9334 16 301 15 294 14 268 20 265 24 264 9334 8063 14 313 14 303 10 302 10 237 18 237 8063 6934 7 286 11 269 11 285 10 227 13 224 6934 5937 5 202 8 241 11 269 13 245 9 207 5937 5059 6 123 3 239 4 256 6 211 6 188 5059 4285 13 073 10 055 8 048 5 113 5 156 4285 3594 26 060 20 047 11*040 8 079 5 103 3594 2987 32 051 20*040 12*036 10 068 9 069 2987 2482 31*040 20*037 12 034 11 058 15 067 2482 2096 27*035 19 036 11 033 10 050 17 067 2096 1830 24 034 18 036 11 032 10 045 14 067 1830 1669 21 033 17 036 10 032 8*040 10 065 1669 1577 16 032 13 036 8 032 5*036 5*063 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography