DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 56.2 - - 50.2 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 152 - - -23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 1877 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2122 - - 2216 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2885 - - 3262 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 349 - - 658 - - 1570 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 271 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 16 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 141 - - 142 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3131 - - -4378 - - -4465 - - -3779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6017 - - 7641 - - 6042 - - 5355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13916 - - -15672 - - -16549 - - -18072 ODpotential blCL - - - 16801 - - 18934 - - 18126 - - 19648 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 63 - - 58 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 56.2 - - 50.2 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 28.7 - - 29.9 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 55.0 - - 51.9 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 27.6 - - 29.1 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 152 - - -23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 1877 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96447 14 256 9 187 15 263 14 290 96447 89283 6 277 9 193 15 257 14 272 89283 83749 10 262 10 252 19 243 17 258 83749 79144 11 285 15 259 17 244 14 266 79144 75170 13 279 11 276 8 256 12 262 75170 71667 14 284 11 276 9 251 12 246 71667 68511 18 276 13 287 9 287 12 241 68511 65625 24 252 27 276 21 273 20 256 65625 62966 27 270 39 267 33 276 30 272 62966 60405 41 264 48 255 42 259 41 256 60405 57736 48 262 51 259 47 261 46 261 57736 54943 52 260 63 265 60 267 57 266 54943 52258 64 262 73 256 71 261 69 258 52258 49844 78 259 75 250 74 254 73 255 49844 47692 85 254 74 253 73 253 74 256 47692 45747 84 254 75 260 75 258 78 257 45747 43973 79 256 80 261 82 258 85 255 43973 42336 79 261 86 258 87 254 89 252 42336 40802 89 264 89 254 88 251 88 250 40802 39354 97 264 90 250 86 252 86 254 39354 37980 98 257 88 252 84 254 85 259 37980 36648 100 253 89 255 85 256 87 263 36648 35291 101 253 92 256 89 257 92 263 35291 33878 98 256 94 256 92 257 94 262 33878 32412 98 259 97 260 90 259 91 264 32412 30884 99 263 90 267 83 262 83 268 30884 29283 94 266 78 270 73 263 70 268 29283 27612 82 263 71 267 65 260 63 263 27612 25871 74 260 69 269 61 263 62 258 25871 24059 72 261 69 270 60 267 58 262 24059 22178 70 264 68 268 59 269 57 266 22178 20221 62 266 65 266 56 268 54 265 20221 18188 50 266 59 268 53 267 48 264 18188 16124 43 270 48 271 47 267 44 267 16124 14140 40 275 39 269 40 268 41 268 14140 12337 39 273 35 269 35 267 37 268 12337 10734 34 269 31 273 29 268 32 267 10734 9310 30 279 24 269 23 272 28 266 9310 8042 25 291 19 269 17 258 24 264 8042 6914 18 296 17 272 18 249 21 251 6914 5912 10 302 10 266 16 241 20 244 5912 5031 4 325 5 224 13 226 21 225 5031 4256 1 046 6 187 10 198 21 208 4256 3568 3 055 4*166 9 176 16 197 3568 2967 2*038 3*150 11 162 14 182 2967 2469 2*044 3 144 12 153 16 167 2469 2088 2 043 3 139 13 147 17 154 2088 1826 1 047 3 135 12 145 14 151 1826 1668 1 048 3 135 9 144 9 152 1668 1576 1 050 3 135 5*142 5*154 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography