DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.8 - - 82.9 - - 85.6 - - 81.2 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 316 - - 219 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 4839 - - 5464 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 4727 - - 5043 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2132 - - 6224 - - 6849 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 568 - - 1761 - - 3216 - - 8222 - - 271 Hgt.Variab. W* 180 - - 474 - - 439 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 37 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 003 - - 020 - - 311 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 5 - - -12 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4361 - - -3100 - - -3832 - - -7619 - - -4986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6494 - - 9325 - - 10682 - - 9198 - - 6565 sfcLCL ODpotential -8550 - - -7190 - - -8442 - - -11865 - - -10407 ODpotential blCL 10682 - - 13414 - - 15291 - - 13444 - - 11986 blCL maxRH 81 - - 73 - - 65 - - 67 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.8 - - 82.9 - - 85.6 - - 81.2 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 47.5 - - 44.2 - - 46.6 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.8 - - 80.5 - - 83.8 - - 82.8 - - 76.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.8 - - 46.8 - - 43.7 - - 46.1 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 316 - - 219 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 4839 - - 5464 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97946 19 084 10 134 6 102 7 123 12 081 97946 90542 17 067 21 088 23 099 19 101 12 068 90542 84862 17 092 23 086 24 087 21 088 18 097 84862 80147 22 113 18 096 19 074 17 077 23 084 80147 76093 21 098 14 094 18 080 18 081 21 076 76093 72530 19 088 15 089 14 086 17 087 18 091 72530 69324 13 088 13 081 9 089 11 081 16 093 69324 66390 9 111 7 107 4 080 4 058 13 084 66390 63682 11 104 9 155 5 200 2 298 9 056 63682 61079 12 090 11 134 13 176 7 213 5 013 61079 58390 5 071 7 114 10 161 9 198 6 249 58390 55626 7 321 2 268 2 224 6 232 12 248 55626 53002 16 306 11 280 8 283 9 252 18 261 53002 50631 22 296 18 280 15 282 14 262 24 260 50631 48492 23 274 22 278 21 276 18 273 28 268 48492 46537 21 259 26 266 27 271 28 276 29 272 46537 44729 22 272 28 265 28 267 32 277 31 274 44729 43042 25 284 30 269 27 276 33 279 35 276 43042 41460 31 285 34 276 33 282 37 281 38 277 41460 39967 35 283 40 280 38 283 41 278 40 276 39967 38554 36 281 42 284 42 284 43 278 43 275 38554 37184 35 280 43 285 44 286 45 280 45 275 37184 35791 34 278 36 285 40 284 44 281 46 278 35791 34350 31 290 32 292 32 289 41 277 40 282 34350 32873 28 298 30 296 29 294 33 286 30 282 32873 31338 25 303 25 291 27 291 24 300 24 305 31338 29724 20 304 19 292 23 292 23 304 22 336 29724 28039 17 311 15 309 19 306 22 309 22 329 28039 26283 16 315 14 316 17 312 19 308 17 304 26283 24450 12 314 13 317 16 308 17 301 15 304 24450 22546 6 359 4 299 11 297 15 318 12 333 22546 20574 4 358 3 291 8 312 14 345 9 348 20574 18526 4 018 4 321 7 322 12 352 9 025 18526 16443 10 077 6 094 3 063 7 035 9 044 16443 14438 10 093 7 113 4 048 10 032 12 052 14438 12612 13 073 11 079 8 052 14 036 16 050 12612 10990 23 066 19 073 14 065 12 053 17 041 10990 9549 19 060 18 062 13 064 10 080 13 038 9549 8266 8 048 12 025 8 057 9 092 6 051 8266 7123 4 054 7*358 5*046 8 095 3 126 7123 6107 4 092 2*359 5*039 6 093 4 164 6107 5208 5 130 2 360 4 029 3 077 5 167 5208 4412 3 130 2 001 4 022 2 025 5 165 4412 3697 1 296 2 002 4 016 2 334 4 170 3697 3062 8 286 2 004 4 014 3 319 4 195 3062 2533 12*283 2 005 4 013 4 314 5 226 2533 2126 12*283 3 006 4 012 4 310 7 242 2126 1846 9 284 2 007 4 012 4 310 7 251 1846 1676 8 285 2 007 4 012 4 311 3*238 1676 1579 7 283 2 007 4 012 3*311 1*230 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography