DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 71.9 - - 75.3 - - 69.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 181 - - 138 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 473 - - 2681 - - 4112 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2895 - - 3790 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1858 - - 4066 - - 5497 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1212 - - 1480 - - 1098 - - 4593 - - 476 Hgt.Variab. W* 115 - - 330 - - 346 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 077 - - 102 - - 085 - - 079 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1755 - - -2469 - - -1740 - - -3680 - - -3156 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3614 - - 6535 - - 7237 - - 5259 - - 4735 sfcLCL ODpotential -10427 - - -11028 - - -9298 - - -11946 - - -12340 ODpotential blCL 12285 - - 15094 - - 14795 - - 13525 - - 13918 blCL maxRH 70 - - 64 - - 63 - - 63 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 71.9 - - 75.3 - - 69.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.7 - - 48.9 - - 49.2 - - 52.2 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 70.3 - - 73.9 - - 72.3 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.7 - - 47.7 - - 48.0 - - 51.3 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 181 - - 138 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 473 - - 2681 - - 4112 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 25 268 20 280 24 271 23 283 24 294 97717 90356 14 274 16 271 19 250 18 278 26 292 90356 84716 10 331 13 285 12 247 14 290 16 296 84716 80068 8 004 9 286 11 308 9 299 4 345 80068 76066 3 328 1 047 5 329 7 300 6 037 76066 72541 3 243 4 092 4 134 5 273 7 352 72541 69372 2 038 5 126 4 140 6 213 4 256 69372 66471 6 067 9 140 3 180 6 196 6 223 66471 63794 6 060 9 101 6 122 7 155 7 184 63794 61226 4 049 4 054 8 056 8 106 12 155 61226 58572 5 250 4 228 5 340 5 353 6 123 58572 55841 9 217 11 208 11 247 12 282 9 317 55841 53242 10 284 10 252 13 273 16 282 18 292 53242 50887 19 280 19 275 21 279 21 286 22 282 50887 48750 23 295 26 286 25 285 25 288 24 292 48750 46783 29 295 30 286 29 291 31 297 29 296 46783 44958 29 289 33 279 33 281 35 287 34 284 44958 43255 28 283 34 273 33 272 38 280 38 280 43255 41656 29 282 33 274 34 270 40 283 41 281 41656 40149 33 285 37 277 39 277 45 285 45 283 40149 38723 40 283 43 276 45 280 50 284 51 283 38723 37344 44 279 47 274 48 277 52 283 52 282 37344 35945 46 280 46 275 49 273 51 282 49 279 35945 34500 44 282 44 281 47 275 50 283 45 284 34500 33017 40 281 42 283 45 281 44 289 40 295 33017 31479 36 278 39 282 40 286 40 299 42 317 31479 29869 31 275 35 283 37 294 39 309 44 324 29869 28184 29 271 32 290 35 301 37 313 38 320 28184 26421 29 277 30 295 34 306 33 319 32 318 26421 24581 25 282 25 295 31 305 29 321 27 323 24581 22666 20 292 19 292 21 304 25 321 24 326 22666 20672 13 279 12 304 13 309 14 313 16 325 20672 18600 6 272 8 299 11 317 8 321 12 304 18600 16492 1 189 1 245 3 299 8 335 9 321 16492 14459 1 187 2 224 3 303 9 337 12 355 14459 12609 2 071 2 239 4 327 11 343 16 004 12609 10963 6 093 3 195 3 352 10 354 15 005 10963 9499 7 077 3 127 2 071 8 006 14 004 9499 8200 6 043 5 068 4 077 5 003 10 357 8200 7051 8 021 9 057 6 086 3 050 3 351 7051 6041 5 013 9 059 6*090 7 081 3 055 6041 5153 3 066 6 086 6*090 8 086 5 083 5153 4368 5 097 7*103 6 088 8 089 7 101 4368 3664 5 103 7*103 6 087 7 092 10 105 3664 3040 7 098 6 102 6 084 7 093 12 105 3040 2518 9 092 6 102 6 084 6 092 13 104 2518 2117 10*089 6 101 5 082 6 090 13 103 2117 1842 7*081 6 101 5 081 5 088 11 101 1842 1674 6 076 5 101 5 081 4*083 6 092 1674 1578 5 075 5 101 4 082 4*079 4*078 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography