DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.0 - - 83.1 - - 87.3 - - 81.6 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 280 - - 204 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1256 - - 4367 - - 7071 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 4326 - - 6265 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2641 - - 5752 - - 8456 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1616 - - 3006 - - 2602 - - 7495 - - 1615 Hgt.Variab. W* 201 - - 445 - - 473 - - 35 - - 19 W* B/S 18 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 150 - - 143 - - 196 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1102 - - -214 - - 540 - - -4449 - - -4026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3743 - - 5966 - - 7917 - - 6028 - - 5606 sfcLCL ODpotential -3550 - - -1540 - - -842 - - -5881 - - -6427 ODpotential blCL 6191 - - 7292 - - 9298 - - 7460 - - 8006 blCL maxRH 72 - - 76 - - 90 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 260 - - 70 - - 150 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 76.0 - - 83.1 - - 87.3 - - 81.6 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.8 - - 62.2 - - 57.9 - - 60.6 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.2 - - 81.0 - - 85.5 - - 82.3 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.1 - - 61.3 - - 56.8 - - 59.9 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 280 - - 204 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1256 - - 4367 - - 7071 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 4 - - 59 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 29 100 30 102 23 113 21 094 18 077 98030 90642 25 094 24 102 24 093 21 086 25 085 90642 84972 24 090 23 091 25 089 24 093 30 093 84972 80290 31 086 24 092 23 095 16 104 26 083 80290 76255 27 075 24 087 18 103 18 102 24 077 76255 72689 16 081 19 078 20 101 17 090 19 086 72689 69469 12 085 11 081 19 080 15 084 13 093 69469 66524 9 092 9 103 13 076 11 075 11 089 66524 63803 2 084 11 116 10 095 6 082 9 061 63803 61170 5 199 6 115 5 106 7 067 10 059 61170 58430 4 115 0 325 3 281 9 312 13 345 58430 55624 9 326 6 298 9 286 12 285 20 297 55624 52987 16 336 11 307 9 292 7 297 15 299 52987 50616 29 324 31 318 24 320 23 333 29 329 50616 48481 35 310 41 304 37 312 34 317 35 310 48481 46536 41 304 40 298 38 306 34 312 31 301 46536 44738 45 303 44 305 42 308 34 311 29 306 44738 43064 48 307 57 304 51 307 41 311 37 315 43064 41499 55 311 58 301 61 303 48 304 37 308 41499 40026 58 313 53 302 59 305 48 303 35 301 40026 38637 60 316 46 301 45 309 48 310 35 305 38637 37294 57 323 41 307 37 313 48 313 39 308 37294 35927 48 320 41 319 35 310 46 310 39 306 35927 34505 46 304 37 319 36 308 39 299 39 302 34505 33030 34 309 29 304 35 307 33 290 38 302 33030 31486 31 317 27 298 31 297 28 291 33 296 31486 29867 25 318 23 295 29 288 27 288 25 294 29867 28173 21 317 23 295 24 290 25 291 23 294 28173 26402 18 319 21 295 21 288 21 295 21 298 26402 24556 17 324 18 304 18 299 17 296 17 295 24556 22641 15 327 16 314 16 306 15 306 15 294 22641 20654 13 320 10 321 13 311 13 312 12 311 20654 18589 10 322 6 303 11 298 12 312 10 319 18589 16491 4 357 2 270 9 293 11 307 11 329 16491 14472 4 153 6 199 5 252 6 296 7 346 14472 12639 5 105 7 180 6 214 6 211 0 007 12639 11017 10 143 9 145 8 161 6 150 10 124 11017 9576 15 141 12 140 11*147 12 122 13 114 9576 8291 16 140 16 141 11*146 14 119 12 117 8291 7145 15 134 16 144 11 145 13 120 11 127 7145 6125 15 126 13*148 11 144 12 126 10 146 6125 5223 16 122 10*151 10 143 10 137 10 167 5223 4423 15 122 9 151 10 142 9 151 11 180 4423 3706 10 120 8 151 10 141 8 173 11 186 3706 3070 5*117 8 151 9 141 8 188 12 184 3070 2538 2*115 7 149 9 140 9 194 12 179 2538 2129 2 105 7 149 9 140 9 195 10 174 2129 1847 2 105 6 149 8 140 8 196 8 171 1847 1677 2 100 6 148 8 140 7 196 4 167 1677 1579 2 100 6 149 7 140 5*196 3*157 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography