DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 89.7 - - 88.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 151 - - -14 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2530 - - 4861 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2852 - - 4464 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3915 - - 6246 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1087 - - 1543 - - 6599 - - 1894 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 392 - - 58 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 176 - - 152 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 131 - - 270 - - -4304 - - -1090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3784 - - 5976 - - 5884 - - 2670 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3090 - - -4047 - - -6028 - - -4523 ODpotential blCL - - - 7005 - - 10293 - - 7608 - - 6103 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 71 - - 69 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 1490 - - 1160 - - 1160 - - 1550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 89.7 - - 88.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.0 - - 68.5 - - 68.2 - - 72.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 88.3 - - 89.4 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 67.2 - - 67.0 - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 151 - - -14 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2530 - - 4861 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98987 44 088 35 099 18 102 31 084 98987 91433 38 096 35 097 29 086 28 078 91433 85610 34 105 29 099 35 079 34 079 85610 80841 28 099 25 106 34 085 42 086 80841 76759 30 095 29 089 36 087 40 086 76759 73160 30 093 32 087 33 088 35 086 73160 69925 30 097 26 098 23 089 24 090 69925 66970 30 091 27 103 21 093 20 097 66970 64244 34 082 28 088 25 085 23 097 64244 61623 30 083 30 085 31 081 31 085 61623 58920 27 088 29 082 33 078 30 076 58920 56153 25 088 28 085 33 087 30 082 56153 53533 31 091 32 094 33 094 31 089 53533 51176 38 087 36 096 36 094 33 097 51176 49051 39 083 39 093 41 092 40 097 49051 47104 36 079 44 094 41 090 42 090 47104 45299 33 077 47 092 39 087 42 085 45299 43611 30 079 42 086 36 090 40 086 43611 42024 25 076 34 081 35 090 37 090 42024 40527 18 077 27 071 36 085 38 089 40527 39112 20 074 21 070 34 085 38 085 39112 37742 21 077 17 071 27 082 36 087 37742 36347 21 072 16 052 21 074 30 087 36347 34903 25 071 17 061 21 072 27 080 34903 33414 22 080 20 078 22 073 30 077 33414 31862 21 084 20 070 22 074 30 072 31862 30232 21 081 19 067 22 073 28 073 30232 28522 19 081 16 075 22 067 26 071 28522 26735 17 091 13 084 17 056 24 069 26735 24872 17 103 13 101 11 047 19 057 24872 22941 16 106 12 101 10 055 17 040 22941 20934 16 096 13 102 11 078 14 042 20934 18846 12 088 10 102 9 081 12 053 18846 16720 5 085 5 091 5 067 10 053 16720 14675 3 120 3 070 4 062 7 070 14675 12814 6 150 3 170 0 105 6 072 12814 11158 6 157 5 170 3 200 4 066 11158 9686 5 180 6 179 11 216 1 292 9686 8377 8 189 14 194 17 196 13 229 8377 7214 15 181 15*185 18 185 17 220 7214 6180 18 183 15*180 17 175 15 204 6180 5265 17 188 14 178 16 170 14 180 5265 4454 13*184 14 176 16 166 16 163 4454 3727 11*176 13 175 15 162 22 155 3727 3084 10 175 13 174 14 159 26 150 3084 2548 10 174 12 174 14 157 26 149 2548 2136 10 172 11 172 13 156 24 147 2136 1851 9 171 11 172 11 154 20 146 1851 1679 9 171 10 172 9 153 15*145 1679 1580 8 170 9 172 7*152 10*144 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography