DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 70.3 - - 76.6 - - 68.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 171 - - 158 - - -19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1147 - - 4612 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1754 - - 4228 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2532 - - 5997 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 1865 - - 1272 - - 4600 - - 390 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 241 - - 374 - - 21 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 089 - - 155 - - 158 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7447 - - -6194 - - -6018 - - -7403 - - -8369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9025 - - 8727 - - 12015 - - 8982 - - 9947 sfcLCL ODpotential -18643 - - -12831 - - -13340 - - -14900 - - -17731 ODpotential blCL 20221 - - 15363 - - 19337 - - 16478 - - 19309 blCL maxRH 45 - - 52 - - 55 - - 46 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 70.3 - - 76.6 - - 68.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 38.0 - - 29.6 - - 35.5 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.0 - - 68.9 - - 75.2 - - 71.4 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 36.7 - - 28.4 - - 34.3 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 171 - - 158 - - -19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1147 - - 4612 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96633 22 206 19 218 16 223 12 262 8 288 96633 89401 8 234 17 219 19 248 15 293 7 260 89401 83855 5 322 3 222 15 228 13 299 4 299 83855 79271 8 299 8 346 4 188 5 322 3 001 79271 75308 7 265 6 334 2 060 2 019 5 329 75308 71818 7 316 5 355 2 343 4 324 7 325 71818 68687 7 324 4 344 3 308 6 322 3 326 68687 65835 8 299 5 271 9 302 10 314 4 324 65835 63212 12 287 4 276 8 303 10 310 5 292 63212 60694 16 261 14 273 15 289 15 301 11 298 60694 58074 19 257 18 277 18 285 14 275 15 257 58074 55326 21 256 22 272 22 269 19 256 17 258 55326 52668 24 245 27 255 27 250 30 248 35 248 52668 50253 31 252 37 239 41 240 48 238 46 243 50253 48066 47 249 55 233 55 232 54 237 47 248 48066 46057 56 243 62 233 66 233 56 241 66 252 46057 44206 56 236 64 234 71 234 70 239 84 240 44206 42491 54 232 63 237 70 235 74 235 80 236 42491 40898 53 234 59 236 64 238 68 237 73 242 40898 39421 51 243 55 238 62 242 71 243 80 247 39421 38043 52 256 53 239 60 246 75 244 85 249 38043 36717 51 260 50 239 58 247 69 246 79 251 36717 35373 51 258 49 245 52 247 61 249 66 249 35373 33979 53 250 48 252 51 253 60 252 60 251 33979 32536 54 250 49 253 51 257 58 254 58 253 32536 31029 54 254 53 254 48 251 49 249 50 246 31029 29448 45 254 45 260 47 247 41 246 48 243 29448 27797 38 250 38 258 39 246 38 250 43 245 27797 26071 37 265 38 255 38 246 44 252 42 247 26071 24269 36 287 35 265 35 254 44 247 41 245 24269 22396 33 301 31 277 31 270 29 245 34 238 22396 20443 29 309 30 291 28 277 25 264 28 243 20443 18405 24 303 28 296 25 287 24 273 19 252 18405 16325 18 290 24 292 23 288 21 275 17 275 16325 14323 14 284 15 280 17 288 18 282 16 280 14323 12499 10 278 12 271 11 272 11 273 12 264 12499 10876 8 298 10 281 9 290 8 271 10 261 10876 9432 5 290 6 298 5 308 3 291 6 254 9432 8149 6 219 5 239 3 229 3 207 8 229 8149 7014 6 178 6 188 7 165 7 173 11 204 7014 6013 6 134 8 163 9*158 9 170 13 184 6013 5130 6 127 11 162 9*156 11 165 15 174 5130 4350 4 125 11 163 9 156 12 164 17 173 4350 3650 2 107 7 161 9 155 13 163 17 173 3650 3030 2 293 4*149 8 155 14 163 17 173 3030 2512 5 275 3*096 8 155 14 162 16 174 2512 2114 6 278 3 089 7 155 13 162 14 176 2114 1839 6 307 3 086 7 155 11 161 12 178 1839 1673 4*329 3 085 7 155 8 160 7 179 1673 1578 4*335 3 084 6 154 5*158 3*175 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography