DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.9 - - 89.7 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 244 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3902 - - 6342 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4035 - - 5792 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5287 - - 7727 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1934 - - 3269 - - 9415 - - 3893 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 454 - - 482 - - 47 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 132 - - 106 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -108 - - 230 - - -5647 - - -3067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5395 - - 7498 - - 7228 - - 4647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2249 - - -920 - - -6600 - - -5019 ODpotential blCL - - - 7536 - - 8647 - - 8180 - - 6599 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 72 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1790 - - 1030 - - 650 - - 1830 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 91.9 - - 89.7 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.8 - - 64.3 - - 63.3 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 89.9 - - 89.7 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 63.3 - - 62.6 - - 68.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 244 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3902 - - 6342 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 0 - - 38 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 31 095 23 123 19 091 28 062 98727 91279 34 093 26 107 28 093 26 079 91279 85565 31 090 34 091 27 089 30 090 85565 80845 29 094 35 085 27 082 29 082 80845 76792 26 096 31 085 26 080 27 076 76792 73211 22 103 23 089 24 081 21 070 73211 69964 22 111 19 104 21 085 17 075 69964 66990 17 109 17 115 17 091 18 094 66990 64264 12 112 15 104 13 099 21 100 64264 61645 10 111 12 105 10 106 19 097 61645 58923 11 101 11 127 8 110 8 085 58923 56112 16 090 13 141 5 136 1 001 56112 53433 18 064 14 115 9 147 3 139 53433 51019 15 040 19 069 15 114 13 125 51019 48861 5 047 14 049 14 082 14 100 48861 46901 13 151 2 163 2 157 7 061 46901 45098 21 140 14 152 11 150 7 134 45098 43421 23 133 19 146 15 148 26 177 43421 41848 22 134 24 152 24 160 42 169 41848 40362 22 138 29 153 39 161 41 157 40362 38952 23 142 32 152 42 159 42 163 38952 37583 24 143 32 151 38 164 37 169 37583 36191 25 145 27 148 25 165 26 164 36191 34749 24 144 23 142 18 147 20 141 34749 33262 24 141 22 141 16 136 19 132 33262 31711 24 143 21 146 14 143 15 130 31711 30085 19 152 18 155 12 149 11 124 30085 28386 15 160 12 160 9 131 12 106 28386 26611 13 150 8 150 9 098 13 091 26611 24762 13 131 10 136 10 101 12 096 24762 22843 13 125 11 133 9 118 11 114 22843 20849 17 122 13 130 10 130 11 132 20849 18773 16 129 15 137 10 145 9 144 18773 16658 12 139 10 144 7 167 7 139 16658 14622 9 165 7 177 4 200 1 121 14622 12774 6 154 5 196 3 199 6 340 12774 11137 4 121 6 160 10 167 1 271 11137 9682 5 112 8 146 12 152 7 152 9682 8382 8 128 9*139 13 145 8 127 8382 7222 12 139 10*136 13 139 12 119 7222 6190 11*145 10 135 13 130 15 123 6190 5276 11*145 10 134 13 122 17 131 5276 4465 11 144 10 132 13 118 20 139 4465 3738 10 144 10 131 13 114 22 143 3738 3093 10 144 9 130 13 111 22 142 3093 2553 10 143 9 129 13 109 21 139 2553 2139 10 142 9 128 12 108 18 134 2139 1853 9 143 9 128 11 107 15 130 1853 1679 9 143 8 128 10 107 11*125 1679 1580 8 142 7 128 8*106 6*122 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography