DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 80.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 278 - - -4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3892 - - 5937 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4090 - - 5529 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5277 - - 7322 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1257 - - 2265 - - 6882 - - 2067 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 482 - - 488 - - 43 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 19 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 175 - - 157 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -38 - - 415 - - -4660 - - -1988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5315 - - 6908 - - 6239 - - 3566 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2310 - - -539 - - -5566 - - -5445 ODpotential blCL - - - 7587 - - 7861 - - 7145 - - 7023 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 70 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 430 - - 270 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 80.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 55.3 - - 55.4 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 78.5 - - 77.3 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 278 - - -4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3892 - - 5937 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97226 46 251 50 250 53 269 44 287 97226 89860 36 264 34 248 38 260 35 270 89860 84221 26 258 31 251 34 260 30 261 84221 79549 23 249 30 264 28 267 23 261 79549 75531 19 253 23 265 21 268 19 271 75531 72000 15 271 16 264 17 257 19 277 72000 68819 13 276 10 280 13 236 16 279 68819 65902 18 287 11 299 9 254 15 277 65902 63211 24 277 19 292 15 285 16 286 63211 60635 26 262 24 271 22 280 17 287 60635 57965 25 257 26 261 25 272 22 262 57965 55180 28 260 30 255 32 259 28 252 55180 52499 31 256 32 255 35 259 34 253 52499 50062 36 250 36 256 40 258 39 256 50062 47858 40 242 42 245 48 256 44 259 47858 45842 41 248 44 244 53 250 51 258 45842 43994 44 253 42 251 49 247 55 253 43994 42302 40 248 38 263 32 261 40 249 42302 40751 27 231 32 255 27 279 24 266 40751 39310 12 234 25 238 29 260 26 289 39310 37952 10 248 13 238 19 246 28 277 37952 36636 12 262 12 252 15 261 29 260 36636 35298 15 251 13 257 17 272 19 258 35298 33909 14 242 15 254 15 277 17 271 33909 32472 13 242 17 253 9 289 16 274 32472 30973 13 239 15 264 8 270 10 265 30973 29401 11 236 14 279 7 300 6 260 29401 27755 11 217 12 271 8 302 5 279 27755 26033 11 201 11 243 9 273 7 280 26033 24236 12 194 11 224 14 266 10 278 24236 22368 12 183 11 213 14 256 10 279 22368 20422 11 183 10 209 13 250 9 272 20422 18391 9 186 9 204 12 238 8 258 18391 16317 10 178 9 200 12 224 8 248 16317 14318 8 165 8 196 11 218 7 253 14318 12500 5 148 5 175 8 218 6 234 12500 10887 5 167 6 187 6 239 6 225 10887 9454 10 199 13 188 8 214 7 238 9454 8178 15 197 18*182 14 179 12 204 8178 7043 20 190 19*178 19 168 17 192 7043 6036 20*180 20 176 20 165 18 184 6036 5146 19*176 20 175 22 162 19 174 5146 4359 19 175 20 174 22 161 21 164 4359 3655 19 174 20 174 22 160 27 155 3655 3033 19 174 19 173 22 159 30 150 3033 2515 18 173 19 173 22 159 28 149 2515 2116 17 173 18 172 21 158 25 149 2116 1841 16 173 17 172 19 158 21 148 1841 1674 15 173 16 172 16*157 16 148 1674 1578 13 173 13 172 12*157 11*148 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography