DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 60.0 - - 61.3 - - 59.7 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 60 - - 38 - - 1 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 877 - - 1122 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2262 - - 2507 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 332 - - 749 - - 1030 - - 1271 - - 1824 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 160 - - 149 - - 26 - - 41 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 094 - - 104 - - 114 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -733 - - -156 - - 378 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2310 - - 2418 - - 2129 - - 1578 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -5553 - - -2453 - - -1194 - - -313 - - -199 ODpotential blCL 7130 - - 4715 - - 3701 - - 1891 - - 1777 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 30 - - 80 - - 110 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 60.0 - - 61.3 - - 59.7 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.3 - - 54.8 - - 57.3 - - 59.0 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 59.4 - - 61.0 - - 59.7 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 54.0 - - 56.8 - - 59.0 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 60 - - 38 - - 1 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 877 - - 1122 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 94 - - 93 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97149 65 243 62 253 68 249 57 259 56 263 97149 89662 39 250 44 264 47 254 50 267 40 272 89662 83966 27 265 28 266 31 261 38 274 34 270 83966 79304 20 272 26 264 23 270 26 265 26 278 79304 75330 10 296 20 271 21 284 17 253 22 291 75330 71825 18 308 18 299 19 295 16 273 27 299 71825 68668 24 289 22 290 24 304 21 292 29 297 68668 65787 30 282 25 280 26 288 25 291 29 283 65787 63113 31 283 26 276 23 278 25 282 23 279 63113 60504 31 287 36 278 32 278 32 284 38 288 60504 57796 38 284 42 273 40 273 41 281 40 277 57796 55004 48 272 47 269 37 275 43 290 51 286 55004 52331 41 268 47 285 67 278 66 280 61 269 52331 49906 46 278 65 277 66 263 65 263 55 272 49906 47712 48 284 62 267 48 257 52 261 61 294 47712 45716 57 280 48 267 45 279 65 294 75 295 45716 43891 51 268 37 271 85 289 91 292 82 290 43891 42210 36 258 42 282 100 281 93 284 86 287 42210 40646 27 260 68 289 95 278 84 284 85 286 40646 39178 38 288 78 283 78 272 80 296 81 289 39178 37798 64 287 78 278 66 265 92 305 83 297 37798 36470 74 280 72 270 63 279 97 304 89 301 36470 35127 72 275 66 266 72 296 95 301 90 301 35127 33735 56 272 54 294 77 302 91 300 88 297 33735 32293 47 262 61 308 80 302 86 299 84 294 32293 30789 43 263 66 311 79 302 80 299 81 291 30789 29213 37 275 66 311 74 301 72 297 78 291 29213 27563 31 276 56 312 68 299 65 292 73 291 27563 25836 25 268 48 309 63 299 58 289 70 290 25836 24036 23 272 40 292 54 296 50 290 66 290 24036 22168 25 271 28 269 45 289 45 292 53 287 22168 20226 30 259 26 256 41 287 40 283 45 279 20226 18199 32 251 32 254 30 282 38 277 44 276 18199 16137 20 243 32 255 31 258 32 269 40 279 16137 14161 14 247 30 247 36 241 28 258 33 278 14161 12369 15 247 28 249 28 239 24 243 29 278 12369 10776 17 242 23 245 19 240 20 243 19 264 10776 9359 18 227 17 228 20 229 17 228 16 230 9359 8095 16 205 15 201 20 207 20 215 17 207 8095 6971 14 193 20 171 23 177 21 193 20 189 6971 5972 19 189 23 163 25 164 22 175 23 176 5972 5092 23 173 22 161 25 160 23 161 27 159 5092 4316 24 167 21 154 24 152 25 150 28 142 4316 3623 22 166 20 138 21 137 25 140 26 132 3623 3010 20 165 18 121 19*120 24 131 24 128 3010 2499 15 150 15*105 16*107 20 123 22 126 2499 2106 11 097 12*095 15 104 16 118 19 124 2106 1836 11 066 11 093 14 103 14 116 16 124 1836 1672 8 054 10 093 12 102 12*115 14*123 1672 1578 6*051 9 093 9 102 9*114 10*123 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography