DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.4 - - 90.9 - - 96.6 - - 94.9 - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 284 - - 505 - - 462 - - 111 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1952 - - 5019 - - 7385 - - 7048 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 2495 - - 5038 - - 6903 - - 5757 - - 1543 Hcrit BL Top 3337 - - 6404 - - 8770 - - 8433 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 861 - - 731 - - 985 - - 1561 - - 3188 Hgt.Variab. W* 334 - - 556 - - 614 - - 378 - - 21 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 17 - - 16 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 182 - - 176 - - 166 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -549 - - -569 - - -752 - - -647 - - -4335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3886 - - 6974 - - 9523 - - 9081 - - 5894 sfcLCL ODpotential -5752 - - -4385 - - -3532 - - -3971 - - -8877 ODpotential blCL 9089 - - 10789 - - 12302 - - 12404 - - 10436 blCL maxRH 83 - - 72 - - 65 - - 70 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 1030 - - 1180 - - 530 - - 650 - - 800 CAPE Temp@2m 80.4 - - 90.9 - - 96.6 - - 94.9 - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.3 - - 65.4 - - 59.9 - - 60.2 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.5 - - 87.9 - - 93.8 - - 93.8 - - 85.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.2 - - 65.2 - - 59.7 - - 60.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 284 - - 505 - - 462 - - 111 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1952 - - 5019 - - 7385 - - 7048 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98563 53 098 46 090 41 100 44 099 38 092 98563 91140 47 098 44 096 40 093 33 095 46 098 91140 85428 44 085 40 099 39 088 37 096 44 096 85428 80710 38 082 36 095 32 089 38 098 36 085 80710 76651 32 089 35 089 27 093 36 099 31 090 76651 73064 32 098 35 090 27 098 32 099 30 098 73064 69820 34 098 36 095 31 106 27 104 32 103 69820 66845 31 094 31 095 33 106 24 108 35 100 66845 64104 23 092 23 093 31 095 22 103 36 096 64104 61475 18 090 18 089 26 083 22 088 29 093 61475 58753 18 090 17 090 18 081 20 080 18 087 58753 55930 24 090 22 098 17 105 18 091 14 078 55930 53236 25 083 28 091 26 097 24 098 18 092 53236 50824 23 082 32 075 30 082 30 096 27 106 50824 48682 26 092 27 073 30 086 27 096 32 101 48682 46745 27 101 25 087 29 088 26 098 29 095 46745 44966 30 116 27 095 27 091 27 095 27 091 44966 43310 27 121 27 109 28 098 25 095 26 090 43310 41751 25 119 27 126 30 102 27 093 26 088 41751 40278 26 113 21 125 27 115 25 094 25 085 40278 38880 24 107 17 111 20 133 18 119 20 080 38880 37523 24 100 18 096 13 117 12 118 15 091 37523 36139 23 095 20 084 15 091 14 091 11 091 36139 34699 22 089 20 087 17 092 17 098 12 096 34699 33209 21 080 19 091 17 095 16 102 11 098 33209 31657 19 081 17 084 15 100 14 100 10 081 31657 30030 18 088 15 084 14 099 12 091 10 066 30030 28327 17 092 14 089 11 095 9 065 11 053 28327 26551 15 100 12 093 8 091 8 030 12 033 26551 24707 14 101 9 098 4 085 8 002 14 022 24707 22798 10 090 7 085 4 081 8 348 14 011 22798 20815 7 080 4 081 4 086 6 340 13 002 20815 18748 3 105 1 311 2 032 6 342 10 005 18748 16642 2 235 3 305 5 352 8 007 9 026 16642 14612 2 012 1 154 2 324 8 357 8 042 14612 12764 3 073 3 131 0 145 2 347 5 052 12764 11120 1 109 4 196 6 204 3 232 4 051 11120 9655 8 191 11 189 14*191 13*193 2 212 9655 8350 15 188 16 189 15*187 15*187 8 209 8350 7188 20 191 20*193 16 184 16 174 11 190 7188 6154 24 193 21*193 16 180 16 169 13 170 6154 5240 27 195 20 191 16 176 16 165 16 161 5240 4431 27 194 17 180 16 175 16 162 20 158 4431 3706 27*193 17 178 16 173 16 160 26 156 3706 3064 20*185 16 176 16 171 16 159 27 155 3064 2528 16 179 16 175 16 170 15 158 26 154 2528 2115 15 178 15 174 15 169 15 157 24 154 2115 1831 14 178 14 174 15 169 14 157 20 154 1831 1658 13 178 13 173 14 169 13 156 17*154 1658 1559 11 178 11 173 12 169 11 156 12*153 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography