DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.4 - - 69.0 - - 76.0 - - 69.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 65 - - 86 - - -30 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 533 - - 2405 - - 3346 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1979 - - 2958 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1918 - - 3790 - - 4731 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1452 - - 785 - - 1281 - - 396 - - 608 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 231 - - 281 - - 19 - - 22 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 183 - - 181 - - 168 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -196 - - 486 - - -762 - - -2847 - - -1391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2114 - - 3305 - - 5493 - - 4426 - - 2970 sfcLCL ODpotential -6239 - - -4805 - - -4383 - - -7883 - - -7389 ODpotential blCL 8157 - - 8595 - - 9114 - - 9462 - - 8967 blCL maxRH 90 - - 95 - - 74 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.4 - - 69.0 - - 76.0 - - 69.4 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.5 - - 59.9 - - 57.4 - - 55.6 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.9 - - 68.3 - - 75.1 - - 71.8 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.0 - - 59.1 - - 56.5 - - 55.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 65 - - 86 - - -30 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 533 - - 2405 - - 3346 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 79 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97046 52 252 50 259 53 248 57 255 62 265 97046 89772 44 261 43 243 46 254 46 264 43 267 89772 84163 42 270 40 249 37 255 38 264 36 262 84163 79512 34 268 35 262 27 266 24 264 24 246 79512 75503 23 268 27 265 20 269 16 283 14 249 75503 71992 13 281 13 260 13 265 10 282 9 281 71992 68856 9 314 4 224 8 270 8 285 6 333 68856 65997 11 317 2 309 6 289 9 268 7 341 65997 63360 9 321 10 308 11 309 11 268 10 319 63360 60827 14 319 16 299 17 303 13 294 13 308 60827 58203 15 296 18 291 20 305 18 311 16 309 58203 55477 17 293 18 287 24 292 23 298 21 304 55477 52863 22 288 21 285 25 277 24 280 25 287 52863 50498 28 286 24 293 23 278 21 277 23 276 50498 48365 30 275 28 287 25 274 23 270 26 270 48365 46419 26 264 27 278 25 268 24 267 26 266 46419 44627 22 263 26 280 22 281 20 266 27 263 44627 42962 21 269 23 281 23 282 18 274 25 265 42962 41403 14 284 21 271 22 276 18 280 24 270 41403 39937 16 321 16 281 17 280 19 273 24 272 39937 38553 14 318 14 315 12 302 16 261 22 260 38553 37213 8 311 12 309 12 323 10 252 16 246 37213 35849 5 334 12 285 12 303 7 264 8 260 35849 34432 5 016 8 282 12 293 9 279 8 311 34432 32963 3 329 8 287 10 296 10 281 9 321 32963 31431 6 283 14 280 15 298 10 298 5 325 31431 29824 7 305 16 288 19 296 12 310 3 306 29824 28146 7 338 14 294 19 296 13 306 6 284 28146 26391 5 339 11 292 15 291 11 290 8 281 26391 24560 7 312 11 298 12 285 11 289 8 290 24560 22653 10 309 13 304 11 293 10 302 8 299 22653 20665 11 311 14 318 11 304 10 306 7 276 20665 18591 9 312 11 316 9 307 7 301 3 266 18591 16473 9 312 9 287 9 282 9 284 5 312 16473 14432 11 298 9 280 11 274 13 285 11 321 14432 12585 14 295 9 286 11 282 15 288 19 317 12585 10957 15 303 10 295 11 307 13 294 19 314 10957 9514 15 315 10 311 11 318 11 301 13 302 9514 8228 11 314 7 306 8 289 9 281 12 294 8228 7080 5 300 5 237 8 253 12 271 14 283 7080 6063 4 255 9 220 13 193 12 211 15 233 6063 5168 9 211 15 185 14*183 17 186 19 203 5168 4378 10 186 16*181 14*181 18 181 21 191 4378 3669 18 185 15*182 13 181 18 179 23 185 3669 3041 22 185 14 182 13 181 18 177 26 173 3041 2518 21 184 14 183 12 181 18 175 29 163 2518 2117 16*181 13 183 11 182 17 173 27 161 2117 1841 12*181 12 184 11 182 14 172 19 160 1841 1674 11 180 11 184 10 182 10*170 15 160 1674 1578 9 180 9 184 8 182 6*168 7*159 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography