DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 52.8 - - 57.3 - - 50.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 152 - - 222 - - -16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1801 - - 2638 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2155 - - 2914 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3186 - - 4023 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 821 - - 1144 - - 1016 - - 1730 - - 412 Hgt.Variab. W* 53 - - 266 - - 342 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 217 - - 257 - - 227 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5439 - - -1401 - - -1740 - - -1888 - - -821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7017 - - 4587 - - 5763 - - 3466 - - 2398 sfcLCL ODpotential -14180 - - -7421 - - -6716 - - -7239 - - -7131 ODpotential blCL 15757 - - 10607 - - 10739 - - 8816 - - 8708 blCL maxRH 82 - - 94 - - 86 - - 79 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 52.8 - - 57.3 - - 50.8 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 38.5 - - 37.7 - - 41.4 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 51.5 - - 55.6 - - 52.1 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.1 - - 37.9 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 152 - - 222 - - -16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1801 - - 2638 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 76 - - 42 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96065 26 272 27 241 36 270 23 269 25 279 96065 89022 14 303 14 299 18 275 27 313 18 335 89022 83580 8 333 19 328 7 290 15 291 10 005 83580 79077 13 345 11 328 3 268 7 291 9 040 79077 75203 12 340 8 347 3 082 5 291 10 015 75203 71764 8 340 8 312 9 038 3 244 14 354 71764 68624 3 004 11 250 12 347 4 332 14 357 68624 65717 1 316 7 228 8 312 11 315 16 340 65717 63012 8 306 10 277 13 302 13 297 17 313 63012 60388 25 272 19 276 21 286 19 295 19 292 60388 57648 32 253 28 273 29 273 27 281 27 282 57648 54797 38 251 36 256 39 253 36 271 39 274 54797 52070 43 249 38 253 44 254 45 274 46 266 52070 49612 44 253 43 262 49 258 50 273 50 268 49612 47410 48 254 49 263 50 260 52 270 55 273 47410 45415 52 251 53 262 53 261 53 268 61 273 45415 43584 50 252 57 258 56 261 58 266 64 273 43584 41888 53 255 63 256 61 261 65 267 66 273 41888 40309 60 256 71 256 69 262 71 268 68 272 40309 38833 65 256 74 254 75 261 80 267 72 273 38833 37446 66 256 73 253 79 260 88 266 75 273 37446 36110 67 256 71 253 81 259 94 265 74 272 36110 34753 66 253 71 253 81 259 93 264 70 274 34753 33349 61 247 71 251 79 260 85 265 64 278 33349 31903 57 244 68 248 73 259 74 265 56 281 31903 30400 54 242 65 243 69 256 62 262 47 284 30400 28828 52 240 62 242 66 255 57 259 42 281 28828 27189 50 238 58 243 59 256 56 260 41 279 27189 25483 48 228 54 240 49 259 46 261 40 285 25483 23709 47 209 48 238 41 269 38 262 36 291 23709 21867 48 210 39 235 34 270 30 267 33 293 21867 19951 47 220 35 236 28 266 28 266 31 287 19951 17960 40 237 32 238 26 265 27 264 25 280 17960 15933 22 227 26 237 26 263 26 269 23 287 15933 13979 13 218 23 237 23 260 25 275 17 294 13979 12204 14 229 21 238 18 263 23 277 15 288 12204 10627 17 239 24 242 19 259 21 275 15 278 10627 9225 19 245 23 254 23 259 20 275 15 275 9225 7977 17 255 16 253 20 264 18 278 15 280 7977 6868 13 258 10 263 15 265 14 280 16 286 6868 5888 11 245 7 272 10 264 13 276 21 288 5888 5028 10 229 5 248 9 260 15 285 21 287 5028 4268 8 220 6 229 9*258 16 286 18 284 4268 3586 6 216 8*223 9*257 14 278 16 270 3586 2984 5 228 8*219 9 256 11 257 16 254 2984 2481 6 255 8 217 9 257 10 242 15 243 2481 2095 8 269 8 217 9 257 10 237 12 239 2095 1830 8 279 7 217 9 257 9 234 9 241 1830 1669 5*282 7 217 8 257 8 231 5*246 1669 1577 3*279 6 216 7 257 5*227 2*262 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography