DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.3 - - 84.6 - - 89.1 - - 89.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 226 - - 190 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2439 - - 3703 - - 5258 - - 5125 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3737 - - 4835 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3824 - - 5088 - - 6643 - - 6510 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1048 - - 2234 - - 2934 - - 3882 - - 3048 Hgt.Variab. W* 222 - - 394 - - 420 - - 205 - - 25 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 155 - - 143 - - 142 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 2 - - -4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1090 - - 427 - - 319 - - 84 - - -957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2734 - - 4662 - - 6324 - - 6426 - - 2537 sfcLCL ODpotential 348 - - -577 - - -958 - - -1426 - - -2673 ODpotential blCL 3476 - - 5665 - - 7601 - - 7936 - - 4253 blCL maxRH 97 - - 84 - - 78 - - 78 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 1830 - - 1830 - - 1610 - - 1550 - - 3370 CAPE Temp@2m 78.3 - - 84.6 - - 89.1 - - 89.0 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.2 - - 69.2 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 74.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.6 - - 82.8 - - 87.5 - - 88.8 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.5 - - 68.4 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 73.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 226 - - 190 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2439 - - 3703 - - 5258 - - 5125 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 36 - - 12 - - 13 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98971 46 096 37 091 36 106 31 096 33 073 98971 91438 40 095 35 092 36 093 41 086 47 086 91438 85659 36 091 35 096 35 093 42 081 49 090 85659 80919 30 087 35 094 34 095 34 084 38 090 80919 76856 27 087 34 095 31 094 32 096 32 090 76856 73254 28 098 33 101 26 095 28 100 29 094 73254 69984 27 103 30 098 25 108 18 098 24 097 69984 66992 21 098 24 093 26 103 18 101 22 101 66992 64252 13 081 17 093 19 095 17 101 16 088 64252 61627 7 093 12 112 11 090 12 097 10 068 61627 58902 4 092 10 128 5 101 10 105 6 070 58902 56074 6 112 9 125 8 149 6 140 5 120 56074 53375 12 096 11 084 11 133 8 177 6 151 53375 50948 19 080 17 082 14 099 6 134 5 146 50948 48777 25 067 21 081 19 085 11 105 7 119 48777 46810 19 057 20 080 18 084 14 099 7 135 46810 45006 17 060 18 080 13 105 8 114 10 189 45006 43330 14 081 16 114 15 130 12 159 18 183 43330 41760 14 102 18 127 16 135 13 164 24 176 41760 40280 13 120 13 144 12 151 14 169 27 178 40280 38881 12 134 13 176 13 179 22 174 26 185 38881 37525 12 146 18 179 20 176 27 175 25 192 37525 36145 11 151 21 174 22 176 30 172 25 197 36145 34710 8 146 18 176 21 175 27 173 22 196 34710 33225 8 140 15 173 20 172 21 171 20 197 33225 31675 8 129 16 177 16 176 14 171 18 186 31675 30050 10 117 16 179 14 185 12 173 14 175 30050 28350 9 117 13 177 14 181 12 179 11 173 28350 26575 7 134 10 178 12 190 13 183 11 175 26575 24726 6 152 8 184 8 208 10 203 6 184 24726 22808 6 149 7 180 6 214 7 214 3 249 22808 20816 5 154 5 159 4 194 4 193 3 209 20816 18747 3 177 3 151 3 170 3 177 5 141 18747 16639 4 175 5 171 6 171 5 181 4 140 16639 14607 8 147 7 158 8 173 7 193 3 154 14607 12761 9 125 8 151 7 173 6 184 3 140 12761 11121 9 116 7 156 7 162 10 168 4 146 11121 9663 7 124 7 149 8 153 13 159 4 201 9663 8363 9 138 7 137 9 151 12 154 4 201 8363 7205 11 149 7 142 8*149 12*151 5 150 7205 6173 12 161 7 149 8*147 11*148 9 128 6173 5261 12 176 7*151 8 145 11 146 13 131 5261 4453 11*188 7*153 7 144 10 144 19 144 4453 3728 10*191 7 155 7 143 9 141 23 149 3728 3086 10 193 6 155 7 142 9 140 24 149 3086 2550 9 194 6 157 6 142 8 139 22 147 2550 2137 9 194 6 156 6 140 8 137 18 144 2137 1852 8 194 5 157 6 141 8 137 13 142 1852 1679 7 195 5 157 6 141 7 137 10*141 1679 1580 6 195 5 156 5 140 6 137 6*141 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography