DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.4 - - 57.7 - - 49.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 290 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2345 - - 3812 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2855 - - 3892 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3730 - - 5197 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 954 - - 1415 - - 4623 - - 360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 422 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 115 - - 131 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5773 - - -5948 - - -8522 - - -6435 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9504 - - 11145 - - 10100 - - 8012 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16951 - - -16142 - - -18638 - - -18642 ODpotential blCL - - - 20681 - - 21339 - - 20215 - - 20219 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 59 - - 38 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.4 - - 57.7 - - 49.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 17.4 - - 19.4 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 58.4 - - 58.0 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 16.4 - - 18.4 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 290 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2345 - - 3812 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96590 15 255 17 261 21 274 17 275 96590 89390 12 240 10 264 16 256 14 268 89390 83863 10 218 11 259 17 264 14 302 83863 79276 6 256 7 235 17 244 14 314 79276 75303 6 277 7 254 12 268 15 305 75303 71789 10 342 5 323 12 292 13 301 71789 68610 15 322 9 309 15 299 15 309 68610 65693 18 311 17 317 23 304 20 316 65693 63009 29 305 29 305 34 315 29 317 63009 60430 38 296 38 306 43 312 38 309 60430 57743 48 299 53 305 45 303 44 303 57743 54944 58 293 57 300 49 301 43 300 54944 52256 58 292 57 301 57 311 54 322 52256 49833 59 298 64 301 67 311 68 315 49833 47659 65 296 69 296 65 306 65 305 47659 45685 68 291 69 290 58 301 54 305 45685 43879 67 288 62 290 49 312 49 318 43879 42214 61 288 56 294 50 325 48 326 42214 40675 56 290 54 300 52 328 49 330 40675 39244 46 298 54 296 49 321 50 333 39244 37898 43 299 52 292 46 316 49 336 37898 36591 43 302 49 300 47 313 48 336 36591 35258 41 308 47 312 49 311 44 334 35258 33868 37 312 45 317 45 311 39 332 33868 32425 36 314 40 320 40 314 34 338 32425 30916 38 313 35 314 37 314 31 349 30916 29329 42 309 35 310 37 311 26 350 29329 27667 43 310 35 313 37 314 26 341 27667 25928 41 318 33 317 34 318 26 328 25928 24115 38 320 32 321 30 320 25 326 24115 22229 34 318 32 317 30 320 26 326 22229 20267 30 315 30 315 29 321 27 324 20267 18224 26 322 27 318 25 319 24 324 18224 16138 22 322 23 325 22 324 22 330 16138 14124 18 311 21 329 18 331 18 329 14124 12295 10 305 15 317 17 329 14 331 12295 10676 5 317 6 289 10 289 13 314 10676 9241 5 288 5 260 6 257 8 280 9241 7977 8 265 6 251 8 241 10 233 7977 6866 4 243 3 214 6 210 12 213 6866 5887 1 109 5*120 7 170 11 201 5887 5027 4 086 6*115 7 151 10 191 5027 4267 8*097 6 114 8 142 11 184 4267 3586 9*100 6 114 8 137 12 172 3586 2984 9 100 6 115 9 135 13 156 2984 2481 9 100 6 115 9 133 14 143 2481 2095 9 100 6 116 9 132 16 138 2095 1830 9 101 6 116 8 131 15 137 1830 1669 8 101 6 117 7 131 10*135 1669 1577 7 102 5 117 5*131 6*135 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography