DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 66.3 - - 73.6 - - 68.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -46 - - 96 - - 140 - - -2 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 800 - - 3371 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1562 - - 3253 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2185 - - 4756 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 939 - - 1889 - - 4730 - - 87 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 184 - - 324 - - 9 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 332 - - 334 - - 147 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4950 - - -5596 - - -6306 - - -7517 - - -2465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6527 - - 7781 - - 11063 - - 9095 - - 4043 sfcLCL ODpotential -16615 - - -13945 - - -14548 - - -15235 - - -11240 ODpotential blCL 18192 - - 16130 - - 19304 - - 16813 - - 12818 blCL maxRH 24 - - 33 - - 34 - - 30 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 66.3 - - 73.6 - - 68.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.8 - - 38.2 - - 30.7 - - 34.3 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 65.3 - - 72.3 - - 71.6 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 37.0 - - 29.6 - - 33.1 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -46 - - 96 - - 140 - - -2 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 800 - - 3371 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96509 23 213 22 220 28 231 25 252 20 264 96509 89273 18 257 11 270 18 242 18 270 10 279 89273 83724 16 269 9 281 15 257 17 289 6 298 83724 79126 9 279 13 272 13 278 14 281 8 312 79126 75174 5 005 8 255 8 273 6 274 9 296 75174 71704 8 003 4 019 2 125 4 111 6 235 71704 68571 8 308 11 359 7 013 9 054 2 065 68571 65704 6 293 12 334 10 010 8 000 7 342 65704 63083 4 007 9 270 7 344 6 329 8 318 63083 60576 9 000 6 269 10 284 12 302 13 314 60576 57962 16 282 20 292 16 295 15 291 18 289 57962 55230 18 282 29 282 26 286 23 285 20 274 55230 52597 27 293 32 277 34 276 28 271 32 265 52597 50199 41 299 36 284 37 272 31 260 31 257 50199 48029 53 293 42 281 35 276 29 264 28 255 48029 46045 57 287 41 286 35 275 29 261 28 255 46045 44214 56 287 42 279 35 272 30 262 26 253 44214 42514 51 289 39 280 35 271 33 267 28 254 42514 40931 46 287 38 285 33 273 35 268 34 259 40931 39450 36 283 36 285 33 276 36 268 37 261 39450 38061 31 274 34 280 33 276 34 267 35 260 38061 36731 20 264 25 273 32 280 32 269 27 255 36731 35388 20 273 21 274 31 277 31 275 26 257 35388 33997 25 277 24 283 30 272 27 278 27 254 33997 32556 25 281 25 292 30 277 26 275 23 256 32556 31047 17 287 24 293 28 285 28 280 19 264 31047 29463 15 307 19 282 22 296 26 290 17 274 29463 27805 13 307 14 278 19 292 19 298 12 282 27805 26069 11 306 13 276 16 268 16 280 11 263 26069 24258 11 282 12 276 15 260 18 269 17 257 24258 22379 14 290 13 281 13 268 18 269 21 257 22379 20426 21 311 15 287 14 282 16 278 20 261 20426 18390 22 312 14 305 15 294 15 287 15 273 18390 16310 22 313 13 313 15 305 14 294 14 287 16310 14304 20 321 14 324 15 308 15 301 14 303 14304 12479 18 328 13 329 14 314 14 310 16 319 12479 10861 16 344 12 329 12 319 11 326 14 332 10861 9426 14 342 12 327 12 335 12 357 13 002 9426 8152 12 325 12 322 12 348 12 012 13 019 8152 7021 9 321 9 314 11 351 11 013 11 012 7021 6020 7 337 6 313 9 348 10 016 10 011 6020 5136 6 352 3 298 6*338 9 019 7 032 5136 4354 7 357 3 313 5*333 7 020 6 057 4354 3652 12 355 6 339 5 332 5 018 5 050 3652 3030 18 351 10 338 5 333 2 015 2 359 3030 2511 24 342 10*334 4 334 1 020 4 260 2511 2112 26 330 9*331 4 336 1 120 8 264 2112 1839 21 327 9 331 3 337 1 140 10 275 1839 1673 14*327 8 332 3 338 2 136 8*294 1673 1578 7*328 7 332 3 338 2*147 5*305 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography