DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 75.7 - - 68.2 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 105 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2590 - - 3271 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2847 - - 3014 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3975 - - 4656 - - 1579 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1358 - - 1670 - - 3796 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 293 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 291 - - 279 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -78 - - -3508 - - -5362 - - -4323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4053 - - 8165 - - 6941 - - 5902 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2838 - - -9657 - - -12561 - - -12682 ODpotential blCL - - - 6813 - - 14313 - - 14140 - - 14260 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 31 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 75.7 - - 68.2 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 74.8 - - 71.5 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 44.3 - - 42.8 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 105 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2590 - - 3271 - - 194 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 91 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96834 50 226 37 242 37 269 30 258 96834 89516 22 237 32 248 31 261 22 287 89516 83896 12 250 23 240 22 238 24 250 83896 79291 9 253 15 252 9 231 15 232 79291 75352 10 254 14 249 7 253 7 263 75352 71857 14 280 7 230 8 240 13 263 71857 68689 14 240 14 198 21 200 23 214 68689 65786 14 184 16 176 21 171 21 191 65786 63090 31 231 18 234 16 200 24 212 63090 60512 48 210 44 226 40 229 36 238 60512 57865 51 229 40 239 37 237 42 236 57865 55066 53 246 46 258 37 243 48 245 55066 52333 62 249 58 255 56 256 70 252 52333 49870 72 248 72 250 72 251 78 249 49870 47688 77 249 82 243 84 245 76 247 47688 45730 84 250 88 242 89 243 84 248 45730 43951 94 250 91 248 90 245 90 247 43951 42314 100 249 96 254 93 249 94 246 42314 40786 102 249 101 256 97 253 94 245 40786 39343 101 251 101 254 101 252 95 244 39343 37973 101 252 97 250 102 250 96 243 37973 36641 100 252 95 248 98 246 97 243 36641 35283 100 252 95 246 94 244 98 244 35283 33871 97 250 96 244 93 244 96 244 33871 32412 93 246 97 242 94 244 91 239 32412 30888 93 241 96 240 95 241 91 237 30888 29291 94 239 93 240 90 238 89 237 29291 27622 92 241 88 240 82 236 85 236 27622 25884 85 246 82 241 76 238 82 234 25884 24079 73 250 70 249 67 245 76 234 24079 22211 65 250 63 252 56 247 66 239 22211 20277 59 246 59 249 52 245 58 245 20277 18266 54 242 54 244 54 243 53 246 18266 16210 53 239 52 240 54 243 51 244 16210 14224 51 236 49 239 49 245 49 248 14224 12417 47 234 45 241 45 253 45 254 12417 10815 44 237 41 251 41 260 40 258 10815 9393 36 245 33 257 37 261 35 259 9393 8129 29 248 25 245 33 263 29 259 8129 7005 22 249 22 244 27 267 28 267 7005 6009 23 271 18 262 20 270 19 280 6009 5130 20 293 14*286 16 277 11 282 5130 4351 18*294 14*289 15 283 8 286 4351 3652 16*292 14 291 15 287 9 298 3652 3033 12 280 14 291 13 289 9 310 3033 2515 11 275 14 291 11 289 8 320 2515 2116 10 272 13 292 9 288 6 327 2116 1841 9 271 12 292 7 285 3 326 1841 1674 9 270 12 292 5*282 2 316 1674 1578 8 268 9 292 3*279 2*326 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography