DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.5 - - - - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 120 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 802 - - 1683 - - - - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 1945 - - - - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2187 - - 3068 - - - - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 381 - - 505 - - - - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 243 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 034 - - - - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2373 - - -1868 - - - - - -173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4561 - - 4937 - - - - - 1750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12143 - - -9817 - - - - - -10611 ODpotential blCL - - - 14330 - - 12885 - - - - - 12188 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 64 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.5 - - - - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.6 - - - - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 65.4 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 49.9 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 120 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 802 - - 1683 - - - - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96631 46 259 44 257 57 275 96631 89391 39 259 41 250 43 268 89391 83852 34 261 33 259 29 270 83852 79293 31 255 23 266 17 265 79293 75375 32 269 19 264 13 263 75375 71904 23 272 18 283 9 306 71904 68788 12 260 14 255 10 300 68788 65961 19 317 6 273 9 300 65961 63373 19 311 12 317 17 342 63373 60885 14 313 18 304 19 331 60885 58274 14 306 16 283 18 305 58274 55539 22 292 20 299 21 296 55539 52905 32 289 28 297 27 300 52905 50513 38 276 36 282 28 294 50513 48343 41 265 40 272 27 285 48343 46349 39 264 39 268 26 286 46349 44504 37 276 36 272 27 286 44504 42787 39 289 31 282 28 286 42787 41186 41 287 32 293 26 269 41186 39696 33 277 32 282 23 272 39696 38305 23 269 25 275 21 269 38305 36965 19 281 22 281 19 259 36965 35606 17 291 15 279 13 280 35606 34200 12 299 10 293 6 280 34200 32749 5 315 6 334 1 232 32749 31236 7 030 5 155 2 219 31236 29652 15 052 9 086 12 175 29652 27994 18 044 14 072 16 144 27994 26258 12 021 12 100 17 139 26258 24441 8 006 3 104 19 152 24441 22549 6 339 2 340 7 179 22549 20578 5 313 3 302 1 293 20578 18523 5 304 5 306 3 294 18523 16429 6 298 6 306 5 279 16429 14410 8 280 7 280 7 299 14410 12572 8 270 8 260 6 295 12572 10937 6 258 10 254 5 276 10937 9485 8 263 8 253 5 256 9485 8196 9 258 8 250 8 244 8196 7048 9 243 9 250 8 247 7048 6029 9 241 9 267 6 246 6029 5131 8 258 8 293 4 220 5131 4339 7 285 5 335 5 168 4339 3634 6 326 9*035 10 153 3634 3014 12 018 10*035 10 141 3014 2499 14*019 10 034 8 111 2499 2105 12*019 10 034 9 063 2105 1835 12 018 9 033 11 041 1835 1671 11 019 9 033 8 035 1671 1577 9 019 8 034 5*028 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography