DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 90.8 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 164 - - -1 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4131 - - 6096 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4140 - - 5416 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5516 - - 7481 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2020 - - 3470 - - 9659 - - 2872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 427 - - 57 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 180 - - 174 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 403 - - 424 - - -5630 - - -1237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5113 - - 7058 - - 7211 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -857 - - -796 - - -6486 - - -3258 ODpotential blCL - - - 6373 - - 8277 - - 8066 - - 4837 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 76 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 2200 - - 1660 - - 1390 - - 2790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 90.8 - - 90.4 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.2 - - 65.2 - - 64.2 - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 89.5 - - 90.4 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 63.9 - - 63.0 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 164 - - -1 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4131 - - 6096 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 2 - - 10 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98897 37 093 47 096 50 094 48 093 98897 91409 37 104 38 098 37 095 36 090 91409 85634 38 097 27 109 30 099 26 076 85634 80831 36 092 33 110 27 093 27 088 80831 76713 31 097 32 092 26 085 33 090 76713 73123 28 103 23 081 26 083 32 084 73123 69924 24 100 18 089 25 088 26 082 69924 67000 24 098 17 090 24 079 20 084 67000 64277 25 087 19 094 19 064 17 070 64277 61634 25 083 20 079 15 067 17 053 61634 58892 28 068 26 071 19 084 19 059 58892 56069 35 057 35 060 31 067 28 069 56069 53391 38 048 39 057 37 047 35 056 53391 50985 36 048 43 053 38 049 41 049 50985 48815 35 049 44 045 42 048 46 046 48815 46826 32 048 34 045 37 040 42 049 46826 44994 25 042 27 058 23 041 33 045 44994 43295 16 053 18 058 17 052 18 034 43295 41707 14 084 11 086 10 047 13 035 41707 40214 11 091 6 115 4 131 7 002 40214 38807 6 127 4 138 7 126 3 360 38807 37448 8 170 4 190 5 128 2 296 37448 36069 6 162 7 185 4 167 7 274 36069 34639 6 148 7 171 4 209 10 289 34639 33159 7 133 6 178 7 209 6 286 33159 31615 6 121 7 171 5 206 2 253 31615 29995 7 155 6 194 2 252 0 070 29995 28299 7 178 5 197 2 307 4 034 28299 26527 4 164 3 167 2 340 6 047 26527 24682 3 175 2 168 2 292 9 032 24682 22770 3 195 2 176 3 268 9 004 22770 20784 7 175 3 186 3 277 5 325 20784 18722 12 177 7 191 1 194 4 195 18722 16624 13 177 7 186 2 108 7 158 16624 14602 13 174 7 185 5 115 12 135 14602 12759 12 170 8 183 5 156 10 128 12759 11119 12 168 11 177 12 182 6 152 11119 9661 11 168 14 177 13 181 5 211 9661 8361 12 174 15*177 13 179 7 221 8361 7202 14 185 15*178 13 177 8 206 7202 6170 13*187 14 178 13 177 10 186 6170 5257 12*187 14 179 13 176 14 174 5257 4449 11 189 14 180 13 175 21 171 4449 3725 10 191 13 181 13 175 26 170 3725 3084 10 192 13 182 13 175 26 171 3084 2548 9 193 12 182 12 175 25 171 2548 2135 9 194 12 183 12 174 23 171 2135 1851 8 194 11 183 11 174 19 171 1851 1679 8 195 10 183 10*174 15 172 1679 1579 7 195 9 183 8*174 10*171 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography