DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 75.5 - - 68.5 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 154 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1431 - - 1944 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2023 - - 2273 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 3329 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 973 - - 1211 - - 192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 276 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 236 - - 217 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -69 - - -926 - - -976 - - -557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2885 - - 4256 - - 2555 - - 2136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4511 - - -4521 - - -5980 - - -6732 ODpotential blCL - - - 7327 - - 7850 - - 7559 - - 8311 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 78 - - 71 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 180 - - 90 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 75.5 - - 68.5 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 62.0 - - 62.4 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 74.1 - - 70.8 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 61.6 - - 62.3 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 154 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1431 - - 1944 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96231 53 256 61 248 70 255 65 260 96231 89076 42 253 45 252 47 256 42 255 89076 83594 33 246 34 264 37 268 27 270 83594 79048 27 256 31 273 29 275 22 290 79048 75125 21 260 25 265 24 285 17 284 75125 71663 17 281 17 276 18 287 19 276 71663 68555 19 285 17 299 14 285 15 267 68555 65733 19 272 18 285 14 293 13 284 65733 63146 17 255 13 268 14 269 14 259 63146 60661 24 254 22 265 14 253 17 244 60661 58066 36 249 34 259 26 260 27 248 58066 55356 44 244 46 251 44 257 42 250 55356 52745 46 239 51 247 55 248 50 247 52745 50365 44 239 48 245 55 247 52 246 50365 48204 42 244 46 247 53 246 51 250 48204 46220 43 249 46 252 50 245 51 251 46220 44388 44 252 46 253 45 245 49 248 44388 42698 41 256 43 255 41 251 45 247 42698 41136 36 261 39 261 36 261 37 256 41136 39679 32 267 32 268 33 267 34 265 39679 38309 28 271 30 266 35 268 37 266 38309 36982 25 272 26 260 37 269 38 265 36982 35629 20 266 22 253 34 269 34 266 35629 34223 16 266 20 253 28 259 30 264 34223 32766 16 271 19 258 25 256 25 262 32766 31247 17 276 15 264 22 260 21 261 31247 29651 15 278 12 273 17 252 16 242 29651 27981 11 287 8 260 12 231 13 214 27981 26237 7 312 3 181 9 177 15 175 26237 24420 5 335 3 115 8 155 14 165 24420 22532 2 031 3 097 7 154 11 156 22532 20565 2 186 0 023 0 106 4 122 20565 18515 2 255 2 270 1 241 2 065 18515 16427 5 252 6 243 8 249 4 319 16427 14417 5 258 5 254 8 251 6 293 14417 12591 6 221 7 256 5 266 5 274 12591 10969 8 199 11 235 8 254 9 250 10969 9528 8 213 13 224 12 238 14 238 9528 8242 10 223 13 223 13 236 14 235 8242 7096 9 231 11 229 11 237 12 239 7096 6078 5 234 6 237 6 238 9 242 6078 5180 4 244 7 262 5 257 7 237 5180 4388 8 242 8 253 5 245 8 224 4388 3677 13 231 8*242 7 215 13 205 3677 3050 13*229 8*237 9 201 16 193 3050 2525 12*229 8 236 8 199 15 186 2525 2121 11 228 8 236 7 205 13 187 2121 1843 11 228 8 235 6 211 9 195 1843 1675 10 228 7 235 5*214 5*204 1675 1579 9 228 7 234 4*217 2*217 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography