DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 60.4 - - 54.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 88 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1198 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2199 - - 2583 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 546 - - 501 - - 1120 - - 282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 198 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 192 - - 127 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 415 - - -239 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1784 - - 2823 - - 1578 - - 1577 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 148 - - -6491 - - -7895 - - -8706 ODpotential blCL - - - 2051 - - 9074 - - 9473 - - 10283 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 88 - - 89 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 60.4 - - 54.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 53.4 - - 53.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 59.6 - - 56.4 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 52.5 - - 53.1 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 88 - - -10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1198 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 51 - - 58 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96586 22 259 22 275 12 267 15 259 96586 89416 13 248 19 223 30 259 24 280 89416 83920 17 233 19 238 29 254 26 272 83920 79361 14 237 17 246 17 236 17 285 79361 75373 14 281 14 267 15 249 12 268 75373 71849 24 264 16 281 15 276 12 251 71849 68691 25 241 19 256 9 245 6 229 68691 65781 27 244 29 252 23 269 18 274 65781 63108 38 244 43 252 40 266 34 264 63108 60541 41 238 49 240 46 248 43 248 60541 57841 43 236 50 241 49 248 47 253 57841 55012 54 242 59 248 59 257 60 256 55012 52313 69 245 77 251 71 252 77 254 52313 49894 81 244 90 246 87 247 89 249 49894 47735 88 240 92 239 93 240 92 246 47735 45787 89 238 91 236 92 235 96 244 45787 44015 88 242 93 238 94 236 98 236 44015 42390 91 247 94 241 94 236 96 235 42390 40871 91 249 88 243 89 237 93 237 40871 39435 88 250 83 245 77 241 88 239 39435 38072 85 252 81 249 69 245 84 241 38072 36750 83 253 80 253 69 251 79 245 36750 35402 82 251 79 256 69 254 76 248 35402 34000 83 249 76 254 69 255 78 248 34000 32547 85 249 74 248 69 251 77 247 32547 31029 83 249 77 246 68 247 74 248 31029 29436 79 249 77 248 69 247 72 250 29436 27767 72 250 70 250 67 250 72 254 27767 26022 68 249 62 252 59 251 71 256 26022 24204 62 245 59 253 54 250 64 254 24204 22318 53 243 54 250 54 249 57 249 22318 20363 49 249 49 243 54 250 52 251 20363 18335 50 247 47 244 50 254 45 258 18335 16276 50 245 47 250 46 257 39 264 16276 14293 43 246 42 253 40 254 35 268 14293 12487 34 240 31 249 32 250 31 262 12487 10876 24 230 25 228 26 245 28 253 10876 9441 18 226 23 212 22 241 25 248 9441 8160 14 229 22 210 20 245 21 249 8160 7018 14 236 19 213 18 253 18 246 7018 6006 15 241 16 219 16 255 15 251 6006 5111 17 236 14 227 12 257 13 263 5111 4322 18 228 13 226 11 254 6 267 4322 3620 19 215 13 215 6 222 3 186 3620 3004 19 210 11*204 6 189 9 161 3004 2493 16*212 9*193 6 164 11 159 2493 2102 12*216 9 192 7 146 9 148 2102 1833 11 216 8 191 7 140 8 127 1833 1670 10 217 8 191 6*133 6 113 1670 1577 8 217 7 190 4*127 3*102 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography