DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.6 - - 70.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.9 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 48 - - 46 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 194 - - 1363 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1579 - - 1579 - - 2748 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2459 - - 2904 - - 2638 - - 3723 - - 470 Hgt.Variab. W* 69 - - 89 - - 169 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 155 - - 116 - - 051 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -431 - - 90 - - -900 - - -658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2010 - - 2658 - - 2479 - - 2237 sfcLCL ODpotential -434 - - -774 - - -591 - - -2455 - - -3320 ODpotential blCL 2013 - - 2353 - - 3339 - - 4034 - - 4899 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 1140 - - 920 - - 1010 - - 820 - - 420 CAPE Temp@2m 69.6 - - 70.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.9 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.6 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.1 - - 64.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.2 - - 70.0 - - 72.6 - - 73.5 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.4 - - 66.6 - - 66.0 - - 65.4 - - 63.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 48 - - 46 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 194 - - 194 - - 1363 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 98 - - 64 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97150 48 247 55 258 58 264 55 273 58 262 97150 89880 48 260 44 250 45 257 44 267 43 267 89880 84279 39 259 39 255 38 249 37 264 33 280 84279 79616 22 252 28 253 26 249 29 257 27 277 79616 75578 17 260 15 237 17 245 23 246 23 256 75578 72036 17 265 14 240 12 246 14 246 14 251 72036 68862 15 248 15 229 16 236 16 249 10 250 68862 65963 14 245 16 231 17 229 19 233 14 237 65963 63298 21 254 15 257 13 254 16 231 16 233 63298 60750 24 231 28 250 24 263 21 256 18 234 60750 58100 21 238 32 240 29 251 24 252 17 238 58100 55326 32 250 34 244 32 245 31 246 34 242 55326 52667 45 254 43 246 41 244 41 241 49 246 52667 50285 57 261 53 251 54 249 51 244 54 247 50285 48166 72 261 63 254 64 255 57 247 58 248 48166 46248 79 254 73 255 72 258 66 251 70 247 46248 44484 78 251 78 251 76 254 75 252 76 244 44484 42837 77 253 80 250 78 250 76 251 74 242 42837 41288 78 254 80 251 77 251 71 247 70 240 41288 39826 79 255 81 252 75 252 68 246 65 238 39826 38442 78 256 82 251 75 250 66 246 63 238 38442 37098 76 254 79 250 75 249 65 246 63 239 37098 35729 75 253 76 248 74 249 65 245 62 242 35729 34309 72 255 73 248 72 249 65 242 62 244 34309 32841 68 259 70 253 67 250 63 241 61 242 32841 31309 61 263 61 256 60 252 59 242 58 240 31309 29701 52 265 53 258 53 253 53 246 52 244 29701 28021 43 260 46 257 48 252 47 250 45 249 28021 26270 39 259 41 252 44 251 41 253 38 252 26270 24449 37 264 36 249 39 250 37 253 34 251 24449 22558 34 263 30 253 33 246 33 249 33 248 22558 20593 28 262 26 249 29 244 29 244 32 244 20593 18547 24 263 27 245 26 248 26 235 29 241 18547 16463 22 255 27 245 26 252 22 238 24 234 16463 14458 17 251 25 234 22 253 19 245 18 233 14458 12635 11 249 18 222 21 242 16 253 15 231 12635 11008 9 271 10 234 16 228 18 245 15 227 11008 9556 9 283 7 265 12 227 16 244 10 229 9556 8261 8 269 7 266 7 231 9 249 6 256 8261 7108 8 263 7 257 4 240 4 230 3 185 7108 6090 9 252 4 230 0 139 12 154 12 140 6090 5195 7 233 6 171 7 134 15 146 15 142 5195 4402 8 202 7 162 8 135 14 143 15 151 4402 3690 9 192 7 161 8 135 12 140 15 159 3690 3058 9 187 6 158 7*132 10 135 15 161 3058 2530 9 184 6 157 4*122 8 124 14 156 2530 2124 7 176 6 156 4 117 6 108 10 141 2124 1845 7 175 6 156 3 115 5 087 6 118 1845 1676 6*175 5*155 3 113 4 066 3*083 1676 1579 5*174 5*155 3 111 3*051 2*050 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography