DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 60.7 - - 58.1 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 119 - - -20 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2104 - - 1295 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2409 - - 1617 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3489 - - 2680 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2617 - - 753 - - 1555 - - 1443 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 226 - - 50 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 26 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 024 - - 023 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - -16 - - -7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 435 - - 791 - - -763 - - -972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3054 - - 1890 - - 2341 - - 2549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -336 - - 419 - - -8763 - - -9165 ODpotential blCL - - - 3825 - - 2261 - - 10341 - - 10742 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1580 - - 630 - - 710 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 60.7 - - 58.1 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.2 - - 57.7 - - 53.3 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 59.8 - - 58.4 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 57.0 - - 52.7 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 141 - - 119 - - -20 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2104 - - 1295 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 101 - - 100 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97403 38 251 28 255 36 275 30 284 97403 90078 27 259 22 257 26 275 27 292 90078 84434 13 269 22 265 20 278 21 284 84434 79755 7 305 17 254 15 285 13 286 79755 75725 8 325 7 261 10 267 10 302 75725 72171 2 031 7 357 6 217 5 267 72171 68971 6 325 14 338 8 015 4 336 68971 66056 4 262 11 298 15 326 12 331 66056 63384 2 260 12 292 14 292 18 324 63384 60812 24 296 19 294 20 294 24 301 60812 58136 32 289 27 300 28 302 26 303 58136 55350 32 283 34 289 33 296 33 301 55350 52669 33 284 33 281 32 287 34 293 52669 50229 38 285 35 277 34 282 35 285 50229 48021 43 282 40 267 46 273 45 275 48021 46004 50 279 44 261 46 264 43 267 46004 44154 55 270 48 262 43 263 44 270 44154 42462 50 261 50 260 45 264 47 274 42462 40912 46 254 46 259 46 264 50 274 40912 39476 44 245 37 247 43 264 49 275 39476 38123 41 241 30 228 39 271 47 275 38123 36811 40 244 27 224 39 275 43 280 36811 35471 39 248 25 226 41 267 44 283 35471 34078 36 252 25 235 40 262 44 283 34078 32632 35 255 29 250 38 259 41 275 32632 31120 32 257 37 265 40 262 43 268 31120 29532 27 259 41 269 41 269 44 272 29532 27868 21 257 40 269 37 274 35 271 27868 26128 19 260 38 274 30 276 26 261 26128 24310 19 263 33 278 27 276 26 256 24310 22417 17 268 21 268 24 263 29 257 22417 20447 15 271 15 266 24 256 28 260 20447 18404 15 278 20 263 17 260 21 266 18404 16330 13 299 20 266 17 265 13 266 16330 14333 11 311 18 269 19 292 9 300 14333 12511 7 313 16 276 17 313 7 328 12511 10885 6 318 11 275 12 320 4 299 10885 9438 7 325 6 298 8 315 3 278 9438 8153 7 326 4 345 4 332 4 313 8153 7011 5 316 2 014 3 069 4 338 7011 5997 4 308 3 114 4 066 7 040 5997 5101 4 317 8 068 9 052 10 071 5101 4312 5 325 18 046 23 041 21 055 4312 3612 6*331 30 028 37 031 37 039 3612 3000 6*333 31*025 38 026 40 034 3000 2492 6 336 30*024 34 024 36 032 2492 2103 7 339 28 024 30 023 31 031 2103 1834 7 340 26 023 26 023 26 031 1834 1671 7 340 23 023 23*023 22 031 1671 1577 6 341 18 023 16*023 15*031 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography