DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 86.5 - - - - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 165 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3184 - - 3143 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3338 - - 3203 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4569 - - 4528 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1975 - - 2765 - - - - - 2883 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 341 - - - - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 155 - - - - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 906 - - 609 - - - - - -578 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3663 - - 3919 - - - - - 2157 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -255 - - -716 - - - - - -1398 ODpotential blCL - - - 4824 - - 5244 - - - - - 2977 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 85 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 2180 - - 3060 - - - - - 2120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 86.5 - - - - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 73.9 - - - - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 85.2 - - - - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 73.2 - - - - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 165 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3184 - - 3143 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 41 - - - - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 18 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98305 25 114 21 095 22 070 98305 90868 30 100 26 107 22 088 90868 85177 32 078 33 099 25 107 85177 80470 19 067 26 074 27 113 80470 76416 12 112 19 072 28 091 76416 72841 21 124 17 105 24 075 72841 69610 27 110 19 120 16 080 69610 66651 23 099 22 105 15 096 66651 63935 16 108 19 083 19 080 63935 61340 10 106 11 097 18 057 61340 58671 4 103 10 141 4 056 58671 55944 2 292 9 168 7 239 55944 53367 14 272 7 267 9 268 53367 51042 19 258 16 274 18 274 51042 48935 16 267 16 289 22 272 48935 46996 20 279 17 276 18 285 46996 45193 17 284 20 266 18 296 45193 43508 13 294 24 280 23 292 43508 41924 9 277 32 292 29 287 41924 40429 15 282 30 291 30 284 40429 39014 24 282 19 288 29 283 39014 37644 24 279 20 276 25 285 37644 36251 13 278 19 274 20 288 36251 34804 10 257 11 273 17 286 34804 33306 11 256 10 254 15 283 33306 31743 12 250 15 257 15 283 31743 30104 13 255 16 268 12 269 30104 28391 12 256 16 269 10 261 28391 26605 11 230 16 257 11 277 26605 24747 12 227 14 263 10 300 24747 22822 9 226 9 256 7 323 22822 20825 4 207 5 241 7 309 20825 18750 5 069 2 038 3 353 18750 16641 7 101 2 057 8 039 16641 14610 13 119 5 124 5 032 14610 12759 12 142 7 145 4 157 12759 11110 16 171 10 171 12 174 11110 9644 16 183 14 170 12 170 9644 8340 18 186 17 175 10 166 8340 7180 19 188 18 180 12 156 7180 6150 18 188 18 180 16 152 6150 5240 18*188 18*176 18 151 5240 4436 17*187 17*168 22 150 4436 3716 16 184 17 159 26 147 3716 3078 15 181 17 154 27 146 3078 2544 15 180 16 152 26 145 2544 2134 14 179 16 150 24 144 2134 1850 13 178 15 150 20 144 1850 1678 12 178 14 149 17 143 1678 1579 11 178 12 148 12*142 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography