DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.7 - - 55.4 - - 61.3 - - 58.6 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 82 - - 335 - - 296 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 483 - - 2880 - - 3908 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 3244 - - 3983 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1868 - - 4265 - - 5293 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 530 - - 898 - - 844 - - 4227 - - 350 Hgt.Variab. W* 142 - - 406 - - 432 - - 38 - - 20 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 186 - - 176 - - 177 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4466 - - -6252 - - -6787 - - -8802 - - -6802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6334 - - 10518 - - 12081 - - 10380 - - 8380 sfcLCL ODpotential -17896 - - -18109 - - -17996 - - -20480 - - -20651 ODpotential blCL 19764 - - 22374 - - 23289 - - 22057 - - 22228 blCL maxRH 41 - - 70 - - 62 - - 39 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.7 - - 55.4 - - 61.3 - - 58.6 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.2 - - 15.3 - - 14.2 - - 19.2 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 53.2 - - 59.2 - - 58.8 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 14.2 - - 13.2 - - 18.3 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 82 - - 335 - - 296 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 483 - - 2880 - - 3908 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97151 33 257 37 267 31 273 41 279 39 275 97151 89867 30 271 33 273 35 263 37 273 37 279 89867 84234 32 282 27 274 27 265 31 274 29 277 84234 79528 28 282 19 261 28 274 27 280 16 296 79528 75511 12 249 8 253 17 268 16 290 17 331 75511 72007 19 005 7 080 2 267 4 204 6 245 72007 68825 17 001 18 018 16 031 6 043 5 345 68825 65898 13 351 19 359 11 002 14 346 16 341 65898 63204 16 348 11 335 12 005 9 348 12 348 63204 60580 20 355 24 350 24 001 21 005 18 005 60580 57841 37 343 34 342 37 345 38 356 36 360 57841 55015 44 327 37 335 39 341 42 346 38 350 55015 52324 36 315 36 332 40 339 33 349 37 352 52324 49899 26 320 33 332 34 340 37 006 40 004 49899 47726 25 349 33 347 28 010 49 011 53 009 47726 45764 47 005 40 004 63 018 66 012 62 010 45764 43974 64 002 74 011 89 010 72 013 63 009 43974 42324 59 006 80 006 93 008 74 014 63 006 42324 40794 73 015 76 019 81 011 76 014 64 003 40794 39361 72 011 92 032 73 023 73 014 62 002 39361 38007 58 014 94 030 76 032 70 012 57 002 38007 36695 62 031 92 025 79 034 61 009 51 003 36695 35359 65 032 92 022 73 028 48 009 48 001 35359 33968 62 028 90 022 67 016 40 019 42 358 33968 32526 58 020 82 023 63 016 38 016 38 353 32526 31017 56 011 68 022 56 018 40 006 35 353 31017 29428 56 005 54 020 52 022 41 353 32 354 29428 27761 57 359 51 015 43 013 43 353 31 353 27761 26018 54 355 46 006 40 357 46 358 30 351 26018 24200 44 345 42 003 39 349 39 350 27 348 24200 22309 34 332 40 354 38 345 31 337 27 323 22309 20338 37 331 35 346 34 334 28 334 29 313 20338 18284 34 330 32 350 28 335 27 330 30 318 18284 16190 29 328 31 347 25 346 24 338 29 325 16190 14173 24 332 23 344 25 347 22 349 25 336 14173 12343 22 343 18 345 22 342 20 340 22 347 12343 10722 23 359 20 355 19 339 19 329 16 337 10722 9286 23 019 22 014 17 331 17 333 13 321 9286 8010 15 025 10 042 8 015 11 338 10 315 8010 6877 4 341 2 150 7 186 5 217 10 257 6877 5883 8 268 9 231 11*179 12 185 15 226 5883 5019 10 261 12*226 11*177 13 179 17 204 5019 4260 12 250 11*196 11 177 13 179 18 189 4260 3583 9 225 11 188 11 175 13 178 19 181 3583 2983 7 179 11 185 11 176 13 178 19 174 2983 2481 7 145 11 184 11 175 13 177 20 169 2481 2095 6*135 10 183 10 175 12 178 20 167 2095 1830 5*134 10 183 10 175 11 177 16 167 1830 1669 4 135 9 182 9 175 10 178 10*166 1669 1577 4 134 8 182 8 175 7*177 5*163 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography