DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 75.2 - - 81.6 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 29 - - -8 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 805 - - 590 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2190 - - 1975 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1768 - - 1906 - - 5043 - - 1658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 111 - - 60 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 132 - - 101 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 611 - - 396 - - -1055 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 2635 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 175 - - 87 - - -2097 - - -153 ODpotential blCL - - - 2015 - - 1888 - - 3677 - - 1732 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1830 - - 1700 - - 2950 - - 1880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 75.2 - - 81.6 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.3 - - 73.8 - - 74.7 - - 74.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 74.7 - - 81.8 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.9 - - 74.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 29 - - -8 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 805 - - 590 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 67 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98668 40 091 37 096 35 091 39 084 98668 91252 31 095 33 093 34 090 35 093 91252 85520 33 098 36 097 31 097 33 092 85520 80745 34 096 35 095 33 093 35 088 80745 76639 29 107 27 091 34 078 37 084 76639 73034 35 112 24 098 27 078 33 078 73034 69790 39 101 30 105 25 094 30 085 69790 66828 36 089 37 104 27 108 28 091 66828 64111 26 088 36 094 27 111 23 093 64111 61504 20 100 24 086 23 096 23 100 61504 58812 24 105 21 098 21 081 22 077 58812 56049 28 081 25 081 24 080 22 072 56049 53423 21 049 20 053 21 052 28 060 53423 51051 14 048 14 035 16 032 23 036 51051 48916 23 050 19 055 18 037 22 023 48916 46974 30 028 27 043 27 041 30 026 46974 45184 34 025 33 033 34 034 34 029 45184 43511 35 018 34 020 39 022 35 023 43511 41938 33 017 33 018 38 013 37 011 41938 40451 33 016 34 017 39 006 39 007 40451 39041 34 014 33 013 39 004 39 003 39041 37672 32 017 29 012 36 005 37 002 37672 36276 29 020 26 014 30 009 35 005 36276 34824 27 016 25 010 28 010 30 010 34824 33323 26 009 27 007 29 014 25 012 33323 31757 26 005 28 008 31 019 21 015 31757 30115 25 005 25 011 31 024 21 016 30115 28398 21 011 20 020 22 029 20 023 28398 26609 21 025 16 024 16 028 16 020 26609 24746 18 033 12 021 13 012 15 011 24746 22815 14 047 9 014 8 010 15 003 22815 20812 11 052 8 014 7 026 13 021 20812 18730 9 031 9 007 13 024 15 034 18730 16613 9 006 8 348 16 003 18 014 16613 14577 12 347 11 346 15 351 16 004 14577 12727 13 353 14 353 13 345 17 353 12727 11082 8 356 9 355 11 331 16 343 11082 9620 5 311 5 322 9 304 11 323 9620 8317 7 308 5 332 9 239 9 299 8317 7158 5 288 2 355 15 178 10 243 7158 6131 5 204 5 144 16 164 12 178 6131 5225 7 173 9 145 14 148 16 152 5225 4423 8 146 11 142 14 132 18 145 4423 3704 8 140 11 138 14 114 18 142 3704 3068 8 136 12 136 15 107 15 134 3068 2537 8*134 11 134 15 104 13 129 2537 2129 8*132 10*133 14 103 12 126 2129 1847 8 131 9*132 13 102 10 124 1847 1677 7 131 8 132 12*101 9 123 1677 1579 6 130 7 131 9*101 7*123 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography