DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.9 - - 69.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 135 - - -12 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1839 - - 2388 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2312 - - 2531 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3224 - - 3773 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 697 - - 988 - - 1558 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 285 - - 15 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 214 - - 219 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -829 - - -1700 - - -2505 - - -2116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4053 - - 5473 - - 4084 - - 3695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6197 - - -5775 - - -8961 - - -10255 ODpotential blCL - - - 9421 - - 9548 - - 10540 - - 11834 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 65 - - 52 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.9 - - 69.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 58.3 - - 57.0 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 75.6 - - 72.6 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 135 - - -12 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1839 - - 2388 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97065 38 250 42 252 49 260 46 264 97065 89727 38 264 34 251 44 262 40 274 89727 84103 32 261 31 258 31 266 31 270 84103 79459 24 247 28 261 27 275 24 260 79459 75466 15 245 25 267 26 268 23 264 75466 71950 16 270 21 277 19 264 19 274 71950 68786 18 265 17 289 14 292 15 293 68786 65897 19 266 20 279 19 286 18 290 65897 63245 19 277 17 266 21 265 25 266 63245 60702 18 273 16 266 21 256 25 259 60702 58057 22 264 24 270 27 267 28 273 58057 55303 33 253 35 260 35 263 35 274 55303 52655 38 250 40 256 40 258 39 270 52655 50251 42 259 44 261 40 261 42 270 50251 48081 45 267 47 266 40 269 44 274 48081 46105 47 275 48 272 42 277 41 278 46105 44295 48 280 49 278 38 287 33 287 44295 42625 45 281 46 281 37 296 28 308 42625 41069 40 286 44 285 36 300 30 314 41069 39611 40 294 37 293 32 300 32 310 39611 38241 42 294 34 305 26 308 28 300 38241 36920 40 294 36 314 21 323 25 303 36920 35577 34 295 34 316 22 320 25 308 35577 34181 31 299 30 316 26 316 23 307 34181 32735 30 305 28 314 26 314 21 301 32735 31226 29 309 28 312 25 312 21 294 31226 29641 30 309 27 311 24 311 22 290 29641 27981 30 306 24 309 24 308 23 290 27981 26244 30 305 22 308 25 304 25 292 26244 24433 30 298 23 311 24 300 27 291 24433 22547 31 283 26 306 24 303 28 298 22547 20581 27 278 29 296 25 310 25 309 20581 18529 26 279 30 288 24 310 23 317 18529 16440 23 276 26 289 26 300 23 322 16440 14431 18 272 22 284 26 301 24 322 14431 12605 14 277 18 277 23 304 24 318 12605 10979 11 287 14 280 20 300 21 307 10979 9533 11 300 14 291 17 290 19 292 9533 8244 11 299 15 282 17 279 18 283 8244 7097 9 296 13 267 17 281 17 272 7097 6078 5 251 12 257 15 279 16 266 6078 5179 5 215 10 230 12 241 15 234 5179 4386 8 216 10*212 14 200 17 208 4386 3677 11*212 10*211 15 192 19 193 3677 3049 11*212 10 213 14 194 20 183 3049 2524 11 212 9 214 12 200 21 178 2524 2121 11 212 9 216 10 208 20 175 2121 1843 10 212 8 217 9 215 17 173 1843 1675 9 212 8 218 7*220 11*173 1675 1579 8 213 7 218 5*219 6*172 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography