DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 57.5 - - 56.5 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 25 - - 26 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 192 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1577 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1854 - - 1764 - - 2198 - - 1851 - - 1205 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 73 - - 73 - - 52 - - 33 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 058 - - 017 - - 025 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -6 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -327 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1904 - - 1677 sfcLCL ODpotential -334 - - -355 - - -279 - - -760 - - -6584 ODpotential blCL 1912 - - 1933 - - 1857 - - 2337 - - 8162 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 630 - - 1040 - - 160 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.6 - - 58.3 - - 57.5 - - 56.5 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 56.7 - - 56.3 - - 53.4 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.1 - - 58.0 - - 57.2 - - 56.2 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.8 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.0 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 25 - - 26 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 193 - - 193 - - 192 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 16 222 16 227 14 223 7 239 8 254 97823 90348 13 201 14 210 18 197 20 223 9 257 90348 84592 12 215 16 226 15 212 16 226 8 198 84592 79828 15 241 22 226 15 237 13 242 12 207 79828 75747 20 255 13 224 15 228 9 252 8 221 75747 72181 10 248 4 252 9 237 10 263 8 298 72181 68989 5 283 4 240 5 243 8 248 8 300 68989 66068 8 291 8 268 7 288 4 290 12 287 66068 63379 6 283 16 257 12 269 17 264 14 249 63379 60773 11 243 20 230 15 246 22 234 26 280 60773 58048 35 285 26 270 24 293 47 291 44 272 58048 55218 66 282 48 277 47 263 55 261 53 258 55218 52496 78 258 55 252 57 250 55 250 55 262 52496 50039 76 260 53 248 59 258 54 263 55 265 50039 47832 80 263 62 259 69 262 65 268 61 271 47832 45828 91 265 74 263 72 262 73 265 72 270 45828 43998 103 263 83 264 72 262 74 260 76 265 43998 42317 104 259 89 262 74 261 71 258 73 262 42317 40760 99 258 90 258 76 260 68 258 70 263 40760 39305 92 259 87 257 76 259 68 260 69 261 39305 37934 86 259 85 257 76 259 69 263 68 256 37934 36606 84 257 86 257 78 258 69 265 65 255 36606 35251 83 255 85 257 80 257 71 264 64 260 35251 33842 81 255 84 257 81 257 74 264 63 265 33842 32381 77 255 85 257 81 259 74 266 65 269 32381 30854 67 251 86 256 79 260 73 268 67 271 30854 29253 64 248 85 254 77 260 71 268 67 272 29253 27582 69 252 81 252 76 260 68 270 66 273 27582 25845 62 259 76 250 74 259 64 271 61 272 25845 24042 54 257 72 247 66 258 58 273 54 272 24042 22173 62 249 67 246 51 255 57 275 51 274 22173 20224 66 246 59 247 50 252 56 272 49 273 20224 18193 53 249 53 251 42 250 49 263 48 268 18193 16127 42 237 45 250 39 251 34 268 51 268 16127 14143 37 220 40 242 39 248 31 266 46 272 14143 12344 30 212 37 229 33 244 27 270 32 277 12344 10744 24 200 37 219 25 234 25 274 29 288 10744 9323 23 176 37 206 15 224 26 281 26 303 9323 8058 26 153 32 185 2 054 21 286 25 322 8058 6933 24 126 24 156 14 033 9 304 18 335 6933 5936 23 084 21 096 19 041 12 018 15 020 5936 5060 27 062 25 065 24 045 20 035 24 049 5060 4287 29 057 26 067 25 039 28 035 30 050 4287 3596 28 057 26 069 25 030 33 031 34 047 3596 2988 27 055 24 063 24 022 32 028 35 036 2988 2484 24 049 22 060 23 020 30 027 31 027 2484 2097 22 046 20 059 22 019 28 026 27 023 2097 1832 19 045 19 058 19 018 25 026 23 021 1832 1670 17*045 16*058 16*018 21 025 20*021 1670 1578 13*044 12*058 13*017 16*025 14*021 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography