DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 90.5 - - 90.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 189 - - -4 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4407 - - 5966 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4296 - - 5387 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5792 - - 7351 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2337 - - 2359 - - 8552 - - 2556 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 426 - - 441 - - 55 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 157 - - 142 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 639 - - 367 - - -5074 - - -1015 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5153 - - 6985 - - 6654 - - 2595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -346 - - -964 - - -5991 - - -3071 ODpotential blCL - - - 6138 - - 8315 - - 7571 - - 4651 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 71 - - 78 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1790 - - 1170 - - 1650 - - 2710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 90.5 - - 90.0 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.0 - - 65.1 - - 66.1 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 88.9 - - 90.0 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 63.9 - - 65.2 - - 72.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 189 - - -4 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4407 - - 5966 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 0 - - 11 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98966 50 089 37 091 38 093 43 088 98966 91503 39 099 47 098 40 093 38 098 91503 85746 39 106 46 093 45 093 42 093 85746 80970 41 096 40 096 44 090 45 086 80970 76868 39 085 34 095 37 088 40 085 76868 73262 34 085 28 092 31 094 32 081 73262 70023 30 096 26 094 28 090 28 082 70023 67060 25 103 27 098 25 085 26 083 67060 64312 20 095 25 095 24 088 24 088 64312 61653 12 068 19 086 21 091 22 084 61653 58894 11 067 10 067 15 074 19 076 58894 56061 13 078 8 080 10 059 16 057 56061 53392 15 080 13 081 10 081 12 062 53392 50996 12 067 15 048 14 051 14 069 50996 48836 12 052 15 032 13 024 15 009 48836 46866 13 052 15 029 9 033 13 349 46866 45047 13 027 20 027 12 043 11 020 45047 43349 18 014 25 029 18 014 15 018 43349 41758 22 014 22 038 23 005 16 003 41758 40270 25 031 26 043 23 011 16 003 40270 38874 27 047 29 045 24 025 15 024 38874 37523 29 046 30 051 25 034 16 033 37523 36145 28 029 25 060 25 044 18 037 36145 34712 24 021 19 042 28 047 20 044 34712 33229 15 024 18 038 27 056 18 050 33229 31684 7 025 13 034 17 047 17 047 31684 30065 5 017 10 032 13 029 18 050 30065 28370 4 016 7 017 11 030 16 048 28370 26600 2 046 6 344 9 007 13 032 26600 24756 4 071 6 335 9 341 10 014 24756 22841 4 071 5 327 8 329 7 015 22841 20852 6 095 2 041 4 354 5 357 20852 18779 15 092 7 104 1 355 6 023 18779 16663 14 103 9 121 2 004 9 030 16663 14627 0 295 4 138 2 328 7 021 14627 12780 4 268 3 180 5 283 9 321 12780 11140 1 144 8 183 8 180 5 338 11140 9680 9 169 12 171 14 160 1 205 9680 8377 13 173 13*164 15 157 5 201 8377 7214 13 172 13*162 15 154 9 171 7214 6181 13*171 13 160 15 152 15 151 6181 5268 12*169 13 159 15 149 20 142 5268 4459 11 168 12 158 14 148 24 140 4459 3732 11 167 12 156 14 146 27 140 3732 3089 10 166 12 155 14 145 27 140 3089 2550 10 166 11 154 13 144 26 137 2550 2137 9 165 11 153 13 143 23 132 2137 1852 9 165 10 153 12 143 18 126 1852 1679 9 164 10 153 10*143 13*123 1679 1580 8 165 9 153 8*142 8*121 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography