DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.3 - - 52.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 254 - - 242 - - -35 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1283 - - 2820 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 1991 - - 3084 - - 1561 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2668 - - 4205 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 636 - - 846 - - 928 - - 2491 - - 2173 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 282 - - 361 - - 25 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 24 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 215 - - 266 - - 014 - - 017 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - -16 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2076 - - -3902 - - -2608 - - -3873 - - -3935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3653 - - 6570 - - 6813 - - 5450 - - 5512 sfcLCL ODpotential -11277 - - -10126 - - -9720 - - -12205 - - -12971 ODpotential blCL 12854 - - 12794 - - 13925 - - 13782 - - 14548 blCL maxRH 69 - - 49 - - 61 - - 51 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.3 - - 52.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 34.5 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 60.8 - - 58.8 - - 53.4 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 38.9 - - 35.4 - - 34.3 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 254 - - 242 - - -35 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1283 - - 2820 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96357 20 234 21 260 11 291 7 356 8 293 96357 89251 5 234 2 214 4 161 4 091 8 085 89251 83799 1 202 8 099 9 141 3 269 10 064 83799 79248 4 153 14 124 9 153 6 296 6 074 79248 75301 8 142 14 101 9 143 6 216 2 021 75301 71796 9 118 11 090 6 112 5 171 3 295 71796 68614 9 060 7 087 4 151 4 233 5 260 68614 65682 6 333 3 010 7 215 13 249 12 252 65682 62970 16 297 16 309 13 291 19 295 24 271 62970 60352 24 292 29 290 32 262 26 248 37 253 60352 57613 35 277 38 277 43 259 41 251 39 256 57613 54756 45 268 48 282 54 266 46 259 48 259 54756 52027 50 267 54 276 61 270 55 264 58 263 52027 49580 53 272 54 269 61 266 59 266 65 268 49580 47385 56 274 56 268 55 262 63 268 69 270 47385 45380 60 271 60 269 52 270 63 270 74 267 45380 43532 62 267 64 268 60 278 63 274 75 264 43532 41824 61 267 73 266 76 276 70 277 76 263 41824 40239 64 269 85 265 89 271 80 275 82 264 40239 38764 73 271 92 266 98 269 93 275 90 265 38764 37383 78 272 99 265 103 269 101 274 95 265 37383 36052 74 270 99 266 104 267 105 272 99 265 36052 34705 66 262 88 267 103 266 103 270 99 266 34705 33312 61 265 68 268 95 268 98 267 94 266 33312 31877 60 269 60 266 77 267 90 268 81 268 31877 30388 58 269 58 263 68 266 77 269 69 271 30388 28832 56 271 56 260 68 266 72 270 64 273 28832 27206 52 272 53 259 66 267 69 272 64 273 27206 25505 48 277 51 259 61 267 61 273 62 275 25505 23731 48 280 48 261 55 267 55 275 59 276 23731 21890 48 279 46 266 50 269 52 279 55 279 21890 19974 45 282 44 272 45 274 47 284 49 282 19974 17980 40 286 41 275 37 281 42 290 42 287 17980 15945 34 289 38 278 32 291 35 292 36 293 15945 13986 31 296 31 278 28 301 27 293 31 299 13986 12206 29 291 27 282 26 306 22 304 28 296 12206 10623 25 290 22 283 25 299 19 326 23 294 10623 9213 26 288 19 274 24 282 20 334 17 303 9213 7957 25 278 18 266 20 272 17 334 12 302 7957 6844 24 276 14 273 13 258 10 302 11 274 6844 5860 26 274 12 307 5 305 6 313 5 277 5860 4998 27 259 16 313 13 010 14 016 19 028 4998 4243 27 243 17 303 22*015 25 019 31 028 4243 3569 29 234 17 291 24*015 29 018 35 027 3569 2973 33 223 14*278 25 014 29 017 37 026 2973 2475 32 218 11*268 25 014 28 018 36 025 2475 2092 25 216 10 266 24 014 25 018 32 024 2092 1828 18 215 10 265 23 014 21 017 24 022 1828 1669 15*215 9 265 21 014 18 017 21*021 1669 1577 12*215 8 264 16 013 12*017 14*021 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography