DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.1 - - 85.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 185 - - -16 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3886 - - 6113 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3926 - - 5466 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5271 - - 7498 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2127 - - 2836 - - 7699 - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 417 - - 436 - - 35 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 097 - - 103 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 268 - - 204 - - -4787 - - -3341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5003 - - 7294 - - 6367 - - 4921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1379 - - -910 - - -6424 - - -6318 ODpotential blCL - - - 6650 - - 8408 - - 8004 - - 7898 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 81 - - 65 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1210 - - 420 - - 440 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 89.1 - - 85.7 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.9 - - 62.4 - - 63.2 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 87.5 - - 86.8 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 61.5 - - 62.5 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 185 - - -16 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3886 - - 6113 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98473 13 213 11 194 15 245 9 289 98473 91001 11 167 14 193 6 226 3 104 91001 85255 10 126 13 173 6 156 10 109 85255 80496 5 111 9 095 6 138 11 095 80496 76420 3 104 12 059 8 100 11 091 76420 72846 4 082 11 068 11 066 14 075 72846 69631 4 163 5 104 6 078 6 034 69631 66689 6 155 4 155 4 117 3 255 66689 63973 7 102 7 123 4 128 3 118 63973 61353 3 058 10 085 8 119 9 103 61353 58644 7 189 2 174 1 192 2 093 58644 55872 10 206 15 233 11 251 11 254 55872 53261 11 234 21 237 18 243 18 233 53261 50921 10 249 14 241 14 245 16 228 50921 48808 11 277 12 267 18 261 22 254 48808 46870 16 284 14 268 24 258 28 262 46870 45076 20 280 25 280 28 266 33 274 45076 43398 29 282 39 286 41 277 42 274 43398 41819 32 284 39 282 47 279 48 274 41819 40330 30 285 29 281 41 277 44 275 40330 38919 29 285 25 286 25 281 39 277 38919 37553 19 297 21 282 18 286 28 269 37553 36163 12 293 13 279 17 270 16 269 36163 34722 13 288 13 267 18 260 11 265 34722 33230 13 281 15 259 16 250 11 277 33230 31673 11 277 13 265 11 246 10 235 31673 30040 7 286 10 262 6 233 7 199 30040 28332 3 290 8 250 7 230 7 199 28332 26548 7 210 9 226 8 218 7 211 26548 24689 5 186 8 206 6 202 5 210 24689 22760 3 103 5 156 5 150 4 174 22760 20760 5 085 7 140 7 172 5 221 20760 18680 5 088 5 130 6 191 5 221 18680 16571 3 101 5 094 5 120 7 145 16571 14550 6 092 8 092 11 089 10 108 14550 12716 10 107 10 118 11 094 13 089 12716 11088 12 105 12 111 12 098 13 091 11088 9639 12 095 12 102 13 097 13 098 9639 8345 12 088 12*101 13 096 14 102 8345 7191 13 090 11*100 13 099 14 102 7191 6164 12*094 11 099 13 101 15 102 6164 5255 9*096 10 098 13 102 15 107 5255 4448 9 097 10 097 12 103 15 113 4448 3724 8 097 10 096 12 103 16 120 3724 3083 8 096 9 095 12 104 18 127 3083 2546 7 095 9 094 12 104 19 137 2546 2134 7 096 8 094 11 104 17 143 2134 1850 6 096 8 093 10 104 14 142 1850 1678 6 096 8 094 8*103 10*139 1678 1580 6 096 7 094 5*103 5*138 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography