DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.1 - - 58.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 205 - - -11 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2226 - - 3997 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2612 - - 3891 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3611 - - 5382 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1184 - - 961 - - 3551 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 385 - - 20 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 288 - - 229 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2469 - - -2957 - - -4827 - - -3254 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6081 - - 8340 - - 6406 - - 4831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12440 - - -11552 - - -13472 - - -14313 ODpotential blCL - - - 16051 - - 16934 - - 15050 - - 15890 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 46 - - 36 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.1 - - 58.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.0 - - 31.3 - - 36.2 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.0 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 30.2 - - 35.3 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 205 - - -11 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2226 - - 3997 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 38 243 25 251 30 261 28 261 96379 89150 19 253 24 250 28 256 27 266 89150 83602 11 253 20 239 18 273 15 281 83602 79030 10 285 17 262 13 295 7 308 79030 75103 9 311 12 274 10 289 6 340 75103 71642 11 342 4 286 6 287 7 337 71642 68516 15 319 5 297 11 344 13 001 68516 65641 9 310 8 292 14 325 15 347 65641 62983 14 328 10 315 13 292 14 308 62983 60431 21 296 16 313 15 288 16 300 60431 57775 33 291 29 311 24 307 23 299 57775 55009 45 282 43 293 36 297 39 290 55009 52352 52 276 51 285 46 284 46 286 52352 49934 58 275 51 282 49 281 46 282 49934 47741 63 278 53 283 51 282 47 282 47741 45738 66 282 56 285 52 283 52 287 45738 43909 62 281 57 285 47 285 53 282 43909 42235 53 294 51 296 34 297 45 281 42235 40692 53 305 48 303 32 321 30 294 40692 39255 51 302 50 305 36 323 26 303 39255 37900 42 297 49 299 40 320 26 329 37900 36592 27 300 42 287 43 319 30 336 36592 35261 12 322 27 288 42 313 29 335 35261 33878 14 009 22 304 36 304 26 332 33878 32442 16 017 24 316 31 303 26 318 32442 30940 19 004 25 314 29 307 26 305 30940 29361 25 352 28 314 28 304 24 294 29361 27705 29 341 33 309 27 303 26 288 27705 25973 31 337 37 307 31 303 28 300 25973 24164 27 333 34 317 32 307 27 313 24164 22281 31 334 30 330 29 314 27 319 22281 20319 35 344 25 339 24 315 25 321 20319 18275 32 352 20 348 19 313 23 314 18275 16194 27 346 20 343 20 309 23 312 16194 14191 24 339 22 338 19 315 22 315 14191 12371 17 002 22 337 19 327 19 320 12371 10757 14 020 18 334 19 335 16 330 10757 9327 14 005 15 333 18 338 16 350 9327 8057 18 356 14 337 19 341 20 358 8057 6932 23 355 14 343 18 335 20 348 6932 5938 22 353 10*323 16 320 18 324 5938 5065 18 348 8*299 15 314 17 300 5065 4297 12*338 8 294 10 307 17 290 4297 3608 8*300 8 289 7 290 16 282 3608 2999 8 273 7 286 6 264 15 263 2999 2491 8 269 7 282 6 248 16 247 2491 2101 8 267 7 280 7 241 16 239 2101 1833 7 265 6 279 7 237 14 237 1833 1670 7 264 6 279 6*234 8 239 1670 1577 6 264 5 278 4*229 4*247 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography