DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.8 - - 78.6 - - 82.4 - - 78.3 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 200 - - 221 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1288 - - 2972 - - 3968 - - 2893 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 3152 - - 3933 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2673 - - 4357 - - 5353 - - 4278 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 911 - - 1936 - - 2315 - - 1535 - - 2886 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 354 - - 402 - - 177 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 075 - - 078 - - 096 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 536 - - 757 - - 461 - - 1011 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2137 - - 3600 - - 4892 - - 3267 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -108 - - 160 - - -958 - - 96 - - -548 ODpotential blCL 2781 - - 4197 - - 6311 - - 4182 - - 2127 blCL maxRH 98 - - 90 - - 86 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1380 - - 1550 - - 1460 - - 1810 - - 2240 CAPE Temp@2m 73.8 - - 78.6 - - 82.4 - - 78.3 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.3 - - 67.9 - - 66.1 - - 68.9 - - 71.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.9 - - 77.0 - - 80.8 - - 77.8 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.6 - - 66.9 - - 65.1 - - 68.1 - - 71.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 200 - - 221 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1288 - - 2972 - - 3968 - - 2893 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 62 - - 45 - - 65 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98383 8 068 18 083 22 134 15 124 11 119 98383 90923 14 104 16 115 16 117 17 121 12 110 90923 85162 15 104 19 141 13 102 18 109 13 105 85162 80390 13 113 15 130 11 114 14 096 16 102 80390 76296 18 095 15 117 11 118 11 070 17 095 76296 72702 22 068 15 121 10 098 13 071 16 080 72702 69474 18 053 13 115 14 073 11 077 16 069 69474 66529 8 074 9 112 10 066 9 069 13 057 66529 63837 10 132 5 074 1 093 9 006 9 045 63837 61258 10 105 4 036 2 287 6 309 6 351 61258 58560 4 035 6 298 6 339 5 338 6 335 58560 55741 2 260 9 274 12 275 14 271 8 253 55741 53040 17 269 20 287 21 269 17 272 16 276 53040 50608 27 277 29 288 29 276 35 269 40 265 50608 48438 37 280 37 286 40 276 51 270 61 265 48438 46472 40 284 39 287 47 280 58 275 67 270 46472 44664 33 284 35 290 46 281 53 276 68 272 44664 42987 22 270 28 278 35 278 44 274 55 272 42987 41422 24 241 22 256 28 272 34 261 37 262 41422 39954 30 212 22 254 28 261 26 241 29 245 39954 38572 23 207 19 265 26 257 26 246 30 238 38572 37236 19 216 19 276 23 263 29 251 34 235 37236 35876 13 231 20 282 20 272 25 248 38 236 35876 34461 10 242 17 281 17 273 17 235 35 242 34461 32994 12 255 13 275 15 262 17 225 25 249 32994 31460 13 269 12 264 16 248 21 233 17 242 31460 29846 12 284 12 274 17 252 23 240 18 235 29846 28154 2 157 9 306 18 257 20 244 22 238 28154 26384 9 130 11 323 17 264 16 247 21 248 26384 24541 4 166 11 320 12 258 13 267 15 262 24541 22631 9 246 7 323 8 275 11 278 11 280 22631 20649 7 294 5 309 7 294 13 272 11 293 20649 18587 5 338 3 292 8 306 12 277 14 312 18587 16488 6 049 3 311 9 317 10 295 11 317 16488 14469 6 029 0 185 7 324 7 340 8 036 14469 12634 8 009 2 007 6 350 11 359 9 060 12634 11005 7 020 4 047 5 027 7 015 7 059 11005 9557 9 055 5 086 5 044 5 069 10 062 9557 8267 9 084 7 098 6 061 7 088 11 072 8267 7119 9 094 9 088 9 071 11 088 11 094 7119 6100 8 095 9 080 11*076 13 087 12 102 6100 5199 8 102 9 076 12*077 12 087 13 089 5199 4404 6 117 9*075 12 077 11*089 13 085 4404 3692 6 127 8*075 12 078 9*092 13 091 3692 3061 6*114 8 075 11 078 8 095 13 097 3061 2533 7*075 8 075 11 078 8 097 13 102 2533 2126 7 073 8 075 11 078 8 097 12 108 2126 1846 7 073 8 076 10 078 7 098 10 111 1846 1676 7 072 7 077 10 078 7 098 8*112 1676 1579 6 073 6 077 9 079 6 099 5*111 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography