DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 88.0 - - 86.4 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 195 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3305 - - 4479 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3504 - - 4242 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4690 - - 5864 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1831 - - 2408 - - 6572 - - 1230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 401 - - 397 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 46 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 151 - - 158 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -979 - - -739 - - -4981 - - -3368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5670 - - 6604 - - 6561 - - 4947 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3210 - - -2484 - - -7428 - - -8211 ODpotential blCL - - - 7900 - - 8348 - - 9008 - - 9790 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 81 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 710 - - 310 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.1 - - 88.0 - - 86.4 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.5 - - 64.3 - - 62.9 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 86.3 - - 86.7 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 63.6 - - 61.9 - - 62.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 195 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3305 - - 4479 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 23 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98427 14 125 12 106 9 070 18 042 98427 91048 18 105 19 111 16 122 12 097 91048 85326 18 092 15 101 16 099 17 106 85326 80558 16 098 8 089 14 075 17 079 80558 76476 17 105 11 107 10 080 12 043 76476 72894 14 089 14 107 10 103 6 050 72894 69660 7 061 9 101 10 096 8 062 69660 66691 5 358 6 057 9 052 10 049 66691 63962 5 019 2 006 8 360 12 020 63962 61357 4 064 3 237 7 296 15 336 61357 58671 6 360 1 344 7 288 10 300 58671 55904 19 296 23 299 26 307 26 308 55904 53278 43 253 40 284 47 294 53 307 53278 50929 49 287 60 294 65 300 66 302 50929 48816 63 298 79 304 70 308 71 307 48816 46876 76 300 83 301 79 310 72 307 46876 45072 80 297 85 296 80 308 74 309 45072 43383 76 292 83 293 82 304 77 310 43383 41796 70 287 77 287 82 303 76 309 41796 40300 61 282 69 282 80 304 75 307 40300 38887 47 270 58 279 65 302 73 307 38887 37520 46 266 44 267 50 291 66 315 37520 36134 44 261 46 259 45 283 49 312 36134 34701 45 267 46 260 46 279 41 293 34701 33219 38 269 43 266 42 285 42 289 33219 31672 34 269 38 271 30 295 37 298 31672 30049 31 267 35 271 26 300 30 310 30049 28350 34 256 33 274 24 294 25 314 28350 26574 45 238 26 292 24 289 19 307 26574 24723 34 233 22 285 22 286 19 303 24723 22800 26 246 18 262 20 290 21 302 22800 20804 21 243 16 267 15 298 18 303 20804 18730 13 237 14 288 12 302 13 312 18730 16620 10 218 11 297 12 317 11 317 16620 14586 5 235 9 307 10 327 11 333 14586 12735 3 243 8 312 8 344 11 354 12735 11091 2 042 4 328 5 333 9 349 11091 9632 7 048 5 015 4 348 8 355 9632 8335 9 041 7 021 2 046 5 007 8335 7183 6 068 4 029 5 155 5 155 7183 6158 4 090 2*077 6 157 9 156 6158 5251 5*216 1*136 5 157 9 154 5251 4447 6*217 2 143 4 157 9 154 4447 3724 6 218 2 151 3 158 9 154 3724 3083 6 218 2 152 2 157 9 152 3083 2547 6 218 2 155 2 158 8 147 2547 2135 6 218 2 157 1 153 7 140 2135 1851 6 218 2 162 1 158 5 132 1851 1678 6 218 2 163 1*160 3 122 1678 1579 5 218 1 157 1*158 3*104 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography