DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 47.6 - - 54.1 - - 50.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 221 - - 173 - - -9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 813 - - 1302 - - 1692 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1559 - - 1954 - - 2134 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 2198 - - 2687 - - 3077 - - 1577 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 462 - - 431 - - 478 - - 1512 - - 938 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 269 - - 271 - - 8 - - 17 W* B/S 5 - - 28 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 147 - - 183 - - 177 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1661 - - -3912 - - -3972 - - -4106 - - -4731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3859 - - 6599 - - 7049 - - 5683 - - 6308 sfcLCL ODpotential -17480 - - -17621 - - -15960 - - -17080 - - -18675 ODpotential blCL 19678 - - 20308 - - 19037 - - 18657 - - 20252 blCL maxRH 98 - - 94 - - 85 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 47.6 - - 54.1 - - 50.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 25.1 - - 29.4 - - 31.4 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 46.0 - - 52.7 - - 50.8 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 24.7 - - 28.9 - - 31.1 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 221 - - 173 - - -9 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 813 - - 1302 - - 1692 - - 192 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 77 - - 38 - - 41 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 50 263 44 263 46 268 37 279 42 270 96328 89197 30 273 22 269 27 260 27 294 19 354 89197 83737 17 288 11 305 5 304 12 297 21 040 83737 79207 13 349 10 331 9 036 4 041 21 054 79207 75299 9 015 6 022 11 018 11 067 17 070 75299 71844 9 048 7 069 13 016 14 063 16 082 71844 68712 12 040 9 071 9 009 12 049 16 066 68712 65837 12 046 10 044 7 003 10 030 12 050 65837 63185 11 040 9 019 10 004 10 003 12 028 63185 60622 10 012 9 357 12 358 12 342 15 346 60622 57945 11 335 10 316 14 338 13 326 14 302 57945 55161 17 325 17 297 18 315 17 311 16 297 55161 52493 25 310 23 290 21 310 20 308 19 294 52493 50083 34 305 31 294 27 304 27 302 23 300 50083 47920 42 303 44 296 43 297 38 299 36 301 47920 45966 53 301 57 297 60 295 62 293 59 297 45966 44187 66 298 75 293 84 289 88 289 80 291 44187 42542 78 299 76 289 87 281 86 279 80 277 42542 41001 95 299 85 295 81 280 81 278 79 274 41001 39547 96 295 90 294 80 290 78 281 72 277 39547 38170 94 295 91 292 80 293 75 284 65 281 38170 36834 90 296 88 292 79 290 72 286 63 284 36834 35473 81 294 81 292 78 288 70 287 62 284 35473 34061 73 299 67 296 74 291 70 289 61 283 34061 32600 53 305 54 293 71 295 67 293 59 281 32600 31076 42 309 43 292 55 298 60 295 56 286 31076 29474 38 308 26 301 40 288 51 297 51 292 29474 27797 35 304 25 296 28 263 44 290 42 290 27797 26049 33 303 26 291 21 272 33 276 35 280 26049 24229 29 305 26 299 25 285 23 266 32 273 24229 22339 25 306 21 299 21 297 14 273 23 270 22339 20370 21 303 17 300 16 295 13 287 18 239 20370 18319 13 320 9 297 9 291 11 268 16 248 18319 16232 10 306 5 302 2 267 7 212 11 221 16232 14227 8 237 8 238 9 230 7 197 8 238 14227 12405 8 233 8 237 12 233 9 230 9 275 12405 10784 8 260 6 262 11 238 10 247 13 289 10784 9344 7 270 4 257 9 249 9 242 16 285 9344 8062 4 273 6 253 11 257 9 253 14 273 8062 6922 6 264 13 232 9 244 9 256 11 266 6922 5915 8 247 17 219 14 215 13 217 16 220 5915 5034 9 217 17 218 17 217 18 213 21 210 5034 4259 6 210 11 223 13 223 15 208 20 203 4259 3570 4 239 5 221 6*201 9 190 14 193 3570 2968 1 088 2*175 5*187 8 172 12 180 2968 2469 6*067 2*152 5 185 9 172 14 170 2469 2088 6*066 2 147 5 183 9 174 15 165 2088 1826 6 066 2 144 5 181 8 176 13 163 1826 1668 5 066 2 146 5 181 7*176 9*163 1668 1577 5 066 2 144 4 180 4*177 4*163 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography