DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 91.0 - - 89.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 228 - - 3 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3912 - - 5215 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4032 - - 4883 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5297 - - 6600 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2350 - - 3693 - - 8010 - - 3232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 450 - - 441 - - 47 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 21 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 137 - - 158 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -343 - - -360 - - -5152 - - -3697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5641 - - 6960 - - 6732 - - 5277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1837 - - -1594 - - -6119 - - -6067 ODpotential blCL - - - 7134 - - 8194 - - 7699 - - 7647 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 72 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 1650 - - 1490 - - 1450 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 91.0 - - 89.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.9 - - 65.7 - - 65.4 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.1 - - 89.1 - - 89.5 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 64.9 - - 64.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 228 - - 3 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3912 - - 5215 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 20 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98757 28 102 23 124 10 125 15 057 98757 91221 24 093 26 112 21 097 23 086 91221 85423 21 099 23 081 26 099 27 088 85423 80654 20 101 22 068 24 083 30 092 80654 76580 21 097 19 091 20 067 28 089 76580 73006 23 107 19 107 16 064 23 077 73006 69789 21 112 15 114 14 081 13 074 69789 66831 18 104 8 118 13 087 5 090 66831 64088 11 099 8 099 8 101 6 119 64088 61441 7 111 7 110 3 083 6 072 61441 58714 7 085 9 144 1 259 4 343 58714 55934 11 028 9 068 4 052 8 027 55934 53304 14 033 13 038 9 029 15 351 53304 50929 23 037 22 045 16 043 15 360 50929 48780 32 038 32 039 24 035 19 024 48780 46816 29 034 36 034 28 033 25 037 46816 45006 26 032 37 027 30 031 30 034 45006 43323 22 029 30 025 32 025 33 023 43323 41744 10 006 22 026 26 026 28 019 41744 40258 8 000 14 001 22 033 21 033 40258 38855 7 021 9 328 19 021 16 032 38855 37497 6 016 3 316 14 344 18 019 37497 36115 6 019 4 355 10 330 20 014 36115 34679 5 068 4 358 9 340 18 008 34679 33192 6 088 3 016 8 351 12 349 33192 31641 5 084 4 011 6 001 8 339 31641 30015 4 086 3 351 7 007 10 345 30015 28314 2 114 4 313 8 004 13 356 28314 26538 3 184 5 286 9 353 14 003 26538 24692 2 162 3 277 11 348 13 011 24692 22781 4 060 1 358 11 354 11 022 22781 20799 6 029 5 028 10 359 7 035 20799 18735 6 004 6 010 10 360 5 030 18735 16628 6 344 8 347 8 009 6 004 16628 14596 5 351 9 338 8 351 9 005 14596 12748 5 036 6 341 13 335 12 354 12748 11109 6 053 3 031 8 353 15 340 11109 9654 7 047 3 079 1 137 12 320 9654 8358 7 057 3 105 5 174 4 266 8358 7202 4 095 3*131 6 169 3 205 7202 6173 5*181 4*137 6 165 6 174 6173 5262 6*180 4 137 6 164 11 167 5262 4454 6 180 4 138 6 161 15 163 4454 3729 6 178 4 137 6 161 19 161 3729 3087 6 177 4 137 6 160 20 159 3087 2550 6 178 4 137 6 159 20 156 2550 2136 6 176 4 135 5 159 18 153 2136 1852 6 176 4 135 5 158 15 147 1852 1679 6 176 4 135 5 157 10*142 1679 1580 5 175 3 136 4*158 6*139 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography