DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.3 - - 82.3 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 190 - - 67 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3447 - - 4361 - - 2572 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3581 - - 4163 - - 2128 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4832 - - 5746 - - 3957 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2503 - - 2755 - - 2104 - - 3666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 396 - - 396 - - 236 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 160 - - 144 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 388 - - 374 - - 582 - - -339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4445 - - 5372 - - 3375 - - 1920 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -815 - - -586 - - -235 - - -1002 ODpotential blCL - - - 5647 - - 6332 - - 4192 - - 2582 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 1170 - - 1960 - - 1990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 87.3 - - 82.3 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.9 - - 68.7 - - 72.3 - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 85.7 - - 81.7 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 67.9 - - 71.9 - - 73.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 190 - - 67 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3447 - - 4361 - - 2572 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 33 - - 67 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98504 33 106 27 116 22 102 30 088 98504 91051 28 097 28 107 24 104 25 086 91051 85330 26 101 31 101 26 090 25 100 85330 80583 24 108 25 092 27 087 30 099 80583 76493 20 111 21 087 23 085 27 087 76493 72896 19 115 16 088 22 079 22 070 72896 69668 20 116 11 104 16 082 20 071 69668 66732 20 108 15 123 11 115 15 074 66732 64030 11 109 10 110 8 079 7 069 64030 61429 9 106 5 099 7 037 5 044 61429 58744 6 059 5 098 3 093 3 035 58744 55993 7 343 2 336 4 240 6 309 55993 53397 11 304 11 290 11 275 14 296 53397 51071 15 298 15 290 15 285 15 276 51071 48972 16 296 15 287 17 287 18 274 48972 47041 14 284 14 269 17 277 20 271 47041 45246 13 273 14 257 17 262 21 274 45246 43565 14 266 14 257 19 251 22 276 43565 41982 16 270 16 257 21 240 23 260 41982 40488 18 274 15 255 22 235 23 246 40488 39074 18 269 14 258 21 240 22 239 39074 37703 18 258 17 255 20 243 21 236 37703 36307 17 254 18 251 20 242 19 237 36307 34855 16 255 16 255 19 244 17 242 34855 33353 17 264 16 260 17 252 15 251 33353 31785 17 271 16 268 13 258 12 262 31785 30141 17 264 16 272 11 266 10 269 30141 28422 15 253 17 260 12 275 9 277 28422 26630 13 234 16 252 13 258 10 272 26630 24767 12 214 14 237 12 249 11 271 24767 22834 11 221 11 243 11 264 9 283 22834 20832 10 212 8 240 8 262 5 259 20832 18755 12 205 10 208 8 234 6 256 18755 16642 14 201 14 197 12 196 7 223 16642 14605 12 200 14 197 12 187 5 202 14605 12749 9 187 7 207 5 194 9 187 12749 11095 9 170 7 176 4 181 9 176 11095 9627 10 162 16 170 8 175 9 165 9627 8322 15 161 18 172 9 179 11 160 8322 7162 18 165 16 172 9 177 14 163 7162 6133 17 169 14*167 10 170 16 167 6133 5226 15*170 14*164 14 154 18 161 5226 4427 14*169 14 162 18*147 19 157 4427 3709 13 169 13 160 19*145 20 156 3709 3074 13 168 13 159 20 145 20 156 3074 2541 12 167 13 157 20 144 19 156 2541 2132 12 166 12 157 19 144 18 155 2132 1849 11 165 12 156 18 144 16 155 1849 1678 11 165 11 156 16 144 13*155 1678 1580 9 165 10 156 13 143 10*155 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography