DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.0 - - 85.0 - - 89.6 - - 89.4 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 219 - - 216 - - 11 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1914 - - 3878 - - 5308 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1563 - - 3858 - - 4942 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 3299 - - 5263 - - 6693 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1365 - - 2239 - - 2962 - - 8083 - - 2641 Hgt.Variab. W* 223 - - 397 - - 440 - - 66 - - 35 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 169 - - 161 - - 146 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - -4 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 943 - - 428 - - 285 - - -4657 - - -1391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2356 - - 4835 - - 6408 - - 6237 - - 2970 sfcLCL ODpotential 244 - - -452 - - -967 - - -5325 - - -4307 ODpotential blCL 3055 - - 5715 - - 7660 - - 6905 - - 5886 blCL maxRH 100 - - 86 - - 79 - - 90 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 2130 - - 1650 - - 1490 - - 1770 - - 1860 CAPE Temp@2m 78.0 - - 85.0 - - 89.6 - - 89.4 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.5 - - 69.0 - - 66.7 - - 67.3 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.2 - - 83.3 - - 87.9 - - 89.0 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.9 - - 68.1 - - 65.7 - - 66.5 - - 70.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 219 - - 216 - - 11 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1914 - - 3878 - - 5308 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 46 - - 18 - - 59 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98963 48 099 45 106 30 113 29 078 39 071 98963 91528 39 075 44 097 37 098 34 090 35 086 91528 85784 33 077 39 086 38 092 36 099 32 099 85784 81003 36 099 32 088 32 085 35 096 33 096 81003 76900 38 105 31 099 27 088 30 082 35 089 76900 73294 37 091 32 100 26 100 23 071 30 081 73294 70041 27 082 28 099 27 104 19 089 26 078 70041 67056 17 086 23 095 25 102 21 109 18 091 67056 64310 12 083 15 092 19 089 20 106 15 114 64310 61677 5 051 11 094 13 087 16 099 14 110 61677 58954 3 169 6 076 7 092 8 090 7 078 58954 56134 9 163 7 150 7 172 3 209 4 004 56134 53441 7 137 8 156 12 163 7 201 3 188 53441 51021 9 106 6 114 8 146 10 153 7 165 51021 48860 12 101 12 114 6 139 9 122 6 157 48860 46909 7 123 7 137 5 157 4 154 5 142 46909 45113 10 166 13 164 10 179 10 185 3 163 45113 43436 9 183 14 168 17 192 14 182 7 220 43436 41866 5 209 19 184 23 189 16 180 14 206 41866 40389 11 258 21 189 25 189 16 186 16 190 40389 38993 13 236 19 189 22 193 17 193 14 178 38993 37635 15 231 15 193 19 192 16 195 13 180 37635 36250 11 231 15 192 16 189 14 192 12 170 36250 34811 7 218 16 192 15 187 12 188 12 153 34811 33320 6 192 16 192 16 194 12 187 7 158 33320 31764 6 168 15 186 16 199 11 195 3 200 31764 30130 7 164 15 183 16 196 10 207 4 284 30130 28419 6 156 14 177 13 193 10 224 3 335 28419 26635 8 173 11 170 10 182 8 213 3 000 26635 24781 10 161 12 171 9 181 6 202 2 004 24781 22859 10 142 11 170 8 186 5 197 1 337 22859 20863 9 143 8 176 6 204 2 227 2 339 20863 18786 9 163 6 193 4 238 1 070 2 034 18786 16670 9 176 5 201 3 245 4 110 5 093 16670 14632 9 178 7 198 5 221 1 135 3 093 14632 12779 8 156 8 189 7 185 2 171 3 116 12779 11132 8 120 7 160 10 154 11 157 7 148 11132 9667 8 120 8 138 13 156 15 164 8 164 9667 8362 10 139 10 147 14 158 15 165 8 179 8362 7200 10 161 11 163 13*160 15 162 7 184 7200 6167 12 183 12*166 12*160 15 159 8 178 6167 5253 14 189 12*168 12 161 14 156 11 168 5253 4445 14 187 12 168 12 161 14 153 17 160 4445 3722 14*185 11 169 11 161 13 151 22 156 3722 3082 14*184 11 169 11 161 13 149 24 155 3082 2546 12 184 11 170 10 161 12 148 23 154 2546 2134 12 183 10 170 9 161 11 147 21 153 2134 1851 11 183 10 169 9 161 11 147 17 151 1851 1678 10 183 9 169 9 161 10*146 12 150 1678 1579 8 183 8 169 8 161 8*146 8*150 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography