DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.3 - - 68.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 172 - - -8 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1815 - - 3035 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2358 - - 3099 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3200 - - 4420 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 841 - - 2393 - - 3826 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 331 - - 22 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 209 - - 146 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -889 - - 175 - - -1948 - - -318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4089 - - 4246 - - 3526 - - 1896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3463 - - -322 - - -2843 - - -8007 ODpotential blCL - - - 6663 - - 4742 - - 4421 - - 9585 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 97 - - 90 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.3 - - 68.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 58.1 - - 58.1 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 69.9 - - 68.6 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 57.7 - - 57.9 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 172 - - -8 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1815 - - 3035 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 88 - - 60 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96313 4 319 5 297 2 310 10 070 96313 89241 14 076 6 085 1 164 13 038 89241 83773 12 074 14 109 4 177 7 067 83773 79215 12 084 11 079 8 085 11 083 79215 75281 12 058 9 069 7 105 10 087 75281 71809 6 002 7 020 6 038 11 053 71809 68692 5 206 9 257 11 284 12 350 68692 65850 7 004 10 263 14 258 15 279 65850 63220 20 320 16 300 18 297 15 282 63220 60691 30 307 32 303 34 306 26 312 60691 58077 41 285 40 289 38 297 29 302 58077 55358 37 275 40 287 34 281 29 260 55358 52732 44 290 42 280 38 262 40 246 52732 50334 53 288 53 267 51 263 53 262 50334 48160 63 269 72 269 68 263 65 265 48160 46169 80 260 84 263 79 260 80 258 46169 44333 85 256 86 253 86 255 89 251 44333 42630 86 257 92 253 98 253 98 250 42630 41047 91 257 103 256 106 254 105 252 41047 39574 93 257 99 258 89 258 88 255 39574 38201 88 261 83 262 71 265 64 262 38201 36878 82 264 77 267 71 269 66 268 36878 35531 74 261 78 269 75 269 70 270 35531 34131 71 264 77 270 73 270 73 269 34131 32682 67 274 75 270 69 272 71 269 32682 31168 65 280 71 272 70 275 72 271 31168 29581 67 279 73 276 78 277 77 274 29581 27917 63 272 71 279 78 277 78 276 27917 26177 60 274 68 277 71 278 71 277 26177 24365 60 282 63 274 64 279 63 278 24365 22482 52 290 60 274 58 276 57 279 22482 20518 35 290 56 286 59 281 53 279 20518 18472 29 282 36 286 44 287 43 288 18472 16385 29 278 26 266 31 272 31 282 16385 14370 25 264 23 259 29 268 29 277 14370 12537 20 261 18 262 26 282 25 299 12537 10910 14 284 13 273 21 296 21 323 10910 9463 8 288 7 266 15 297 16 327 9463 8177 3 253 7 208 10 284 11 297 8177 7038 2 273 7 201 8 261 10 252 7038 6031 5 259 8 205 6 234 14 237 6031 5143 7 234 8*206 5 209 16 220 5143 4358 10 210 7*208 4 181 16 207 4358 3655 10*197 7 208 5 163 15 194 3655 3032 8*178 6 209 6 152 14 177 3032 2513 7 169 6 210 7 149 12 161 2513 2114 7 165 6 209 7 147 12 152 2114 1840 7 164 5 209 7 147 10 148 1840 1673 6 164 5 210 6 146 6*144 1673 1578 6 164 5 210 5*146 4*141 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography