DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 76.0 - - 74.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 23 - - 12 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 610 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1579 - - 1995 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2710 - - 1682 - - 1678 - - 1596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 104 - - 57 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 169 - - 105 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 416 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 1580 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -437 - - 126 - - -174 - - -247 ODpotential blCL - - - 2016 - - 1869 - - 1753 - - 1826 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1570 - - 1930 - - 1530 - - 1310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 76.0 - - 74.7 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.9 - - 74.6 - - 73.9 - - 72.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 75.5 - - 74.3 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 74.3 - - 73.8 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 23 - - 12 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 194 - - 610 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98035 5 230 13 210 14 257 12 338 98035 90660 4 119 5 128 2 205 5 031 90660 84998 7 100 13 066 12 098 13 103 84998 80323 7 117 14 048 12 074 18 085 80323 76307 14 108 12 062 13 063 18 085 76307 72764 15 074 12 080 14 077 15 069 72764 69571 12 065 7 086 9 058 13 059 69571 66657 6 089 6 138 5 088 9 041 66657 63977 6 150 9 146 5 146 8 006 63977 61403 5 178 8 151 4 189 2 291 61403 58759 3 180 9 157 9 208 10 238 58759 56044 10 265 5 224 9 235 16 250 56044 53452 18 245 21 261 14 241 17 245 53452 51092 19 243 19 247 19 244 18 248 51092 48947 22 256 22 264 24 266 21 261 48947 46982 29 268 32 273 30 274 28 269 46982 45164 38 273 35 266 33 265 34 266 45164 43473 47 270 38 254 33 249 36 250 43473 41890 55 266 39 246 32 239 37 238 41890 40399 57 264 39 242 32 239 38 229 40399 38986 54 262 37 242 33 244 33 221 38986 37615 50 261 33 238 32 238 30 218 37615 36217 40 256 31 233 27 227 28 212 36217 34762 29 231 31 225 23 221 26 208 34762 33254 28 221 32 219 25 215 25 206 33254 31679 28 233 31 216 26 211 23 200 31679 30028 28 235 31 203 25 207 22 196 30028 28302 24 222 32 201 21 207 21 193 28302 26503 24 218 27 204 18 212 20 194 26503 24633 23 207 24 203 16 222 18 206 24633 22698 24 197 22 201 16 234 16 229 22698 20699 25 192 20 218 16 248 17 250 20699 18630 27 186 19 228 18 260 13 256 18630 16528 29 183 24 219 19 252 14 251 16528 14510 31 180 26 213 17 239 11 245 14510 12676 27 186 23 216 16 221 9 231 12676 11044 22 196 16 224 15 213 6 228 11044 9591 21 200 13 228 12 217 3 228 9591 8296 22 207 9 229 8 217 3 178 8296 7142 20 214 7 212 7 169 8 144 7142 6117 19 207 8 193 12 150 13 142 6117 5212 19 189 11 186 13 148 14 147 5212 4411 19 182 12 185 12 146 13 153 4411 3693 19 178 12 185 11 146 10 138 3693 3059 18 177 11 184 9 143 7 101 3059 2531 16 173 10 179 7 132 8 071 2531 2125 14 169 8*172 6 119 7 068 2125 1846 12 167 7*170 5 109 7 068 1846 1676 11*167 7 169 4 107 6 068 1676 1579 9*167 6 167 3*105 5*069 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography