DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.6 - - 81.3 - - 89.0 - - 73.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 245 - - 138 - - -35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 905 - - 2374 - - 7113 - - 194 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2785 - - 6089 - - 1562 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 2290 - - 3759 - - 8498 - - 1579 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 632 - - 1173 - - 3720 - - 2846 - - 2634 Hgt.Variab. W* 162 - - 350 - - 427 - - 53 - - 36 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 16 - - 19 - - 19 - - 23 BL Wind Direction 227 - - 271 - - 307 - - 020 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -10 - - 15 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 626 - - -2802 - - -3482 - - -5644 - - -4716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1664 - - 6561 - - 11981 - - 7224 - - 6293 sfcLCL ODpotential 171 - - -6338 - - -7836 - - -10050 - - -14787 ODpotential blCL 2119 - - 10097 - - 16334 - - 11629 - - 16364 blCL maxRH 100 - - 52 - - 26 - - 38 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 840 - - 1010 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.6 - - 81.3 - - 89.0 - - 73.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.9 - - 57.6 - - 41.4 - - 47.0 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 79.7 - - 87.9 - - 73.5 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.7 - - 56.5 - - 40.1 - - 46.2 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 245 - - 138 - - -35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 905 - - 2374 - - 7113 - - 194 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97061 30 252 50 256 33 241 34 267 40 270 97061 89685 33 254 42 245 28 250 36 241 35 259 89685 84039 38 254 42 232 37 244 39 238 36 256 84039 79335 30 251 30 239 39 248 32 261 28 258 79335 75261 22 231 18 252 32 235 29 260 20 244 75261 71667 24 266 15 291 22 229 21 247 15 246 71667 68453 29 250 18 297 7 246 16 261 15 281 68453 65532 23 260 23 271 20 300 12 244 13 294 65532 62843 30 275 34 260 33 273 27 287 17 289 62843 60250 30 277 35 256 47 268 49 279 31 274 60250 57541 36 283 43 277 53 269 50 278 41 280 57541 54716 46 280 48 275 55 271 50 279 51 279 54716 51999 52 273 55 270 61 273 59 276 62 279 51999 49550 55 271 63 270 70 275 72 275 71 273 49550 47349 61 274 68 271 77 276 83 273 67 275 47349 45345 69 274 72 272 82 274 85 271 83 280 45345 43522 73 272 76 272 85 273 86 272 91 272 43522 41851 73 268 80 270 87 272 85 270 87 265 41851 40305 71 264 81 267 87 271 79 269 74 278 40305 38867 70 263 82 266 85 270 76 276 87 284 38867 37525 69 264 81 266 80 270 81 280 87 281 37525 36230 69 265 80 266 77 271 82 279 78 281 36230 34915 68 268 79 267 72 276 75 280 71 285 34915 33551 67 272 80 269 71 281 65 284 67 284 33551 32139 65 273 83 274 71 282 63 285 67 283 32139 30663 65 275 80 276 67 282 63 286 68 285 30663 29110 64 276 72 273 59 285 60 289 67 288 29110 27481 61 275 62 272 52 294 55 291 66 288 27481 25774 61 276 54 279 48 299 53 292 63 289 25774 23995 60 279 51 286 43 299 51 292 59 293 23995 22149 56 281 48 289 41 295 51 291 55 298 22149 20230 53 284 44 289 40 294 49 291 48 300 20230 18228 49 285 43 288 36 292 46 293 39 297 18228 16176 47 280 42 287 35 289 41 294 43 292 16176 14193 44 276 42 284 35 289 34 286 37 281 14193 12388 39 272 37 283 32 297 24 275 33 274 12388 10782 32 268 30 281 28 307 18 269 30 269 10782 9349 27 276 23 279 23*310 13 268 24 263 9349 8070 27 281 19 283 21*310 9 273 17 248 8070 6929 27 283 18 300 21 309 5 305 11 224 6929 5915 28 284 23 315 20 309 7 013 6 221 5915 5031 29 281 26 313 20 308 19 019 29 019 5031 4264 29 276 24*300 19 307 33 019 50 019 4264 3586 28 266 20*283 18 306 39 020 52 019 3586 2986 23 243 18 274 18 305 40 020 51 019 2986 2484 20*230 16 269 17 304 39 020 48 020 2484 2098 19*228 16 267 16 304 36 020 43 020 2098 1832 17 227 15 265 15 303 31 020 36 020 1832 1670 15 226 14 264 14 303 27*021 32 020 1670 1577 12 226 11 264 11 303 19*020 23*021 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography