DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 97 - - 23 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1658 - - 1678 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1908 - - 1560 - - 1559 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3043 - - 3063 - - 1576 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 583 - - 555 - - 1236 - - 1307 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 222 - - 67 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 21 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 358 - - 355 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -9 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4366 - - -3904 - - -5356 - - -5844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7409 - - 6967 - - 6933 - - 7420 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20543 - - -19292 - - -20212 - - -20213 ODpotential blCL - - - 23586 - - 22355 - - 21788 - - 21789 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 50 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 39.8 - - 40.2 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.8 - - 15.7 - - 16.3 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 39.1 - - 40.0 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.7 - - 15.5 - - 16.1 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 97 - - 23 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1658 - - 1678 - - 191 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96163 42 265 38 259 45 258 46 266 96163 88968 33 270 37 262 35 276 33 275 88968 83408 26 262 31 270 30 290 27 285 83408 78836 21 273 25 275 26 299 23 285 78836 74953 16 301 19 288 21 283 21 307 74953 71542 15 323 14 321 13 278 19 313 71542 68439 13 288 17 339 8 324 20 310 68439 65585 8 306 9 286 18 284 27 284 65585 62948 19 332 19 304 23 282 30 272 62948 60394 34 260 34 276 33 291 30 286 60394 57721 42 253 43 259 48 268 50 266 57721 54946 50 252 54 259 58 262 64 253 54946 52289 57 256 66 251 65 256 69 252 52289 49881 72 260 74 255 72 257 71 258 49881 47717 87 255 83 257 77 257 81 262 47717 45756 88 251 84 253 79 261 84 264 45756 43973 80 249 79 253 79 260 84 265 43973 42340 71 246 74 256 69 263 78 265 42340 40820 67 249 73 257 67 264 67 270 40820 39389 65 252 73 256 65 264 62 280 39389 38032 60 254 70 255 64 269 64 287 38032 36712 56 258 64 256 66 274 64 281 36712 35363 56 263 60 259 64 274 64 278 35363 33961 56 264 58 264 60 270 59 277 33961 32506 54 266 59 269 55 270 57 279 32506 30982 53 269 59 272 53 273 53 279 30982 29377 51 270 59 273 51 274 52 280 29377 27693 46 269 55 272 50 276 52 278 27693 25928 40 265 48 270 47 275 51 273 25928 24093 38 266 44 273 43 273 44 270 24093 22193 36 279 40 278 41 278 40 278 22193 20223 34 282 36 277 38 282 38 286 20223 18173 33 279 32 274 35 282 36 288 18173 16081 32 278 26 277 34 279 36 283 16081 14065 28 282 24 289 30 290 35 283 14065 12237 24 273 23 289 28 288 31 298 12237 10618 20 260 23 277 28 274 29 300 10618 9188 19 267 19 278 17 313 19 304 9188 7928 14 285 12 316 18 352 20 357 7928 6816 8 339 12 001 18 012 17 019 6816 5836 31 041 23 011 16 017 13 033 5836 4974 41 042 30 018 16 019 11 041 4974 4214 40 034 32 016 21 022 15 033 4214 3538 35*024 28*005 26 010 23 011 3538 2946 28*017 23*358 28 358 27 359 2946 2456 27 016 22 358 25 355 26 357 2456 2081 26 016 21 358 21 354 21 356 2081 1823 24 016 20 358 18 354 18 356 1823 1666 21 016 17 357 15*354 15*357 1666 1576 16 015 13 357 11*355 11*357 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography