DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.0 - - 64.6 - - 57.0 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 207 - - 126 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1790 - - 2062 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1560 - - 2288 - - 2260 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3175 - - 3447 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 399 - - 681 - - 680 - - 1182 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* 61 - - 296 - - 265 - - 16 - - 16 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 185 - - 203 - - 217 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5221 - - -5750 - - -6306 - - -5238 - - -3486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 8926 - - 9753 - - 6817 - - 5064 sfcLCL ODpotential -18741 - - -17941 - - -17261 - - -16556 - - -15451 ODpotential blCL 20318 - - 21116 - - 20708 - - 18134 - - 17029 blCL maxRH 37 - - 31 - - 32 - - 31 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 61.0 - - 64.6 - - 57.0 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 28.1 - - 28.0 - - 33.3 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 59.3 - - 63.4 - - 60.5 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 26.8 - - 26.9 - - 32.5 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 207 - - 126 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1790 - - 2062 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96417 54 267 46 268 45 271 42 274 42 265 96417 89196 32 288 33 271 30 263 31 281 29 281 89196 83678 28 288 28 275 25 269 26 279 27 281 83678 79085 20 278 22 276 26 274 23 286 25 286 79085 75137 11 297 12 289 16 276 19 281 18 285 75137 71669 11 307 9 320 7 312 14 258 11 276 71669 68541 8 276 9 292 13 314 12 268 9 268 68541 65673 7 304 11 270 17 298 14 279 16 269 65673 63028 20 313 17 295 23 310 19 293 21 267 63028 60472 33 296 32 284 33 299 29 296 27 281 60472 57801 42 283 42 281 44 285 38 296 35 285 57801 55026 48 279 49 283 51 281 47 292 43 284 55026 52368 53 281 52 283 53 280 51 284 51 281 52368 49957 56 282 53 280 52 280 50 279 51 279 49957 47780 56 281 50 277 49 280 45 278 46 278 47780 45799 52 279 47 273 44 280 40 277 41 274 45799 43993 42 278 40 268 39 274 29 277 33 263 43993 42337 31 287 27 268 31 264 20 272 24 261 42337 40800 28 290 25 279 21 264 15 270 19 270 40800 39358 25 283 24 275 20 271 13 275 18 265 39358 37999 20 281 19 271 20 260 12 276 13 248 37999 36685 17 282 16 271 14 250 13 270 11 239 36685 35349 13 274 13 258 11 237 16 243 7 235 35349 33962 11 322 8 263 11 217 15 232 3 233 33962 32526 11 343 5 301 5 215 14 224 5 205 32526 31026 8 320 5 250 10 203 14 204 9 196 31026 29452 5 274 8 230 16 206 18 186 12 200 29452 27803 8 280 8 253 10 221 18 191 14 197 27803 26078 10 298 7 255 10 216 18 195 16 191 26078 24277 11 322 7 246 13 209 18 205 18 187 24277 22401 11 321 9 239 19 218 17 227 9 198 22401 20446 11 279 15 235 19 228 16 238 8 246 20446 18408 13 253 14 244 13 238 9 240 8 246 18408 16329 10 276 10 269 8 250 6 248 8 254 16329 14322 11 305 9 280 7 258 6 293 6 287 14322 12491 9 302 8 282 9 256 7 311 5 299 12491 10861 9 287 8 264 12 258 9 303 9 294 10861 9415 6 249 12 259 14 256 14 283 18 288 9415 8132 3 189 13 247 15 245 18 262 23 282 8132 6995 2 145 10 233 15 236 18 253 23 278 6995 5987 1 280 7 234 13 236 15 249 22 274 5987 5100 7 302 7 256 11 233 14 244 19 264 5100 4318 11 297 11 254 9 214 12 216 19 235 4318 3621 6 254 10*221 8*202 13 187 20 216 3621 3007 6 175 8*189 8*201 13 183 19 207 3007 2496 9 132 8 185 8 202 11 189 17 200 2496 2104 10 106 8 184 7 203 9 198 16 193 2104 1834 8 084 8 183 7 203 8 207 13 190 1834 1671 5*054 7 182 6 204 6*215 8*193 1671 1578 3*044 7 182 6 204 4*217 4*196 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography