DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.5 - - 93.6 - - 97.4 - - 87.4 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 183 - - 443 - - 393 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1448 - - 6961 - - 9837 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 1985 - - 6543 - - 8807 - - 1543 - - 1542 Hcrit BL Top 2833 - - 8346 - - 11222 - - 1559 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2479 - - 2856 - - 2142 - - 3032 - - 1594 Hgt.Variab. W* 262 - - 594 - - 640 - - 59 - - 33 W* B/S 9 - - 17 - - 34 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 041 - - 073 - - 209 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - 26 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2253 - - -685 - - 1200 - - -4138 - - -1300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5086 - - 9032 - - 10023 - - 5697 - - 2859 sfcLCL ODpotential -4449 - - -2515 - - 625 - - -6190 - - -4832 ODpotential blCL 7282 - - 10861 - - 10597 - - 7749 - - 6391 blCL maxRH 73 - - 68 - - 83 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 1370 - - 550 - - 980 - - 1960 - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m 83.5 - - 93.6 - - 97.4 - - 87.4 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.4 - - 59.2 - - 58.6 - - 67.7 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.5 - - 91.2 - - 95.0 - - 87.3 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.3 - - 59.0 - - 58.3 - - 66.3 - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 183 - - 443 - - 393 - - 5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1448 - - 6961 - - 9837 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 78 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98543 48 084 52 092 48 102 44 115 38 088 98543 91167 37 094 38 087 39 089 40 091 40 087 91167 85494 34 103 31 090 31 082 34 083 41 089 85494 80782 31 099 31 090 31 088 29 086 38 094 80782 76720 30 095 28 095 26 088 25 090 33 094 76720 73138 29 092 25 104 18 094 22 081 27 088 73138 69901 26 094 23 105 16 125 16 075 24 080 69901 66929 24 102 20 102 18 120 14 097 18 073 66929 64180 19 093 18 097 17 116 16 112 12 087 64180 61533 11 091 15 062 18 106 18 128 11 114 61533 58785 10 112 4 111 6 114 9 145 5 121 58785 55947 4 297 6 254 3 293 6 204 10 255 55947 53258 16 246 21 252 20 270 18 278 16 266 53258 50846 21 262 29 259 32 264 32 269 17 274 50846 48680 24 266 32 254 38 254 31 268 20 296 48680 46715 24 290 21 265 31 273 32 288 31 297 46715 44918 23 281 29 285 34 282 35 284 36 287 44918 43254 18 272 35 274 29 282 30 289 30 288 43254 41697 19 291 25 263 22 310 28 300 29 301 41697 40230 24 319 14 297 28 317 27 308 31 304 40230 38841 27 330 19 326 29 317 27 315 30 300 38841 37492 31 324 20 307 27 313 28 315 28 298 37492 36118 36 316 20 291 30 302 28 312 27 297 36118 34689 37 313 21 284 36 296 28 308 27 296 34689 33208 32 312 26 299 38 288 28 293 27 296 33208 31661 23 315 26 302 38 273 29 285 26 302 31661 30036 20 321 23 300 32 262 29 277 27 311 30036 28332 21 333 22 308 30 267 28 282 29 317 28332 26548 15 321 19 318 28 278 26 297 28 323 26548 24688 19 336 18 312 22 290 23 296 28 328 24688 22762 16 338 18 331 13 316 17 293 23 331 22762 20767 14 325 18 360 8 358 13 305 18 332 20767 18694 10 336 16 358 8 346 14 307 18 323 18694 16592 11 358 14 352 18 322 14 307 16 305 16592 14574 15 018 14 351 19 331 18 312 21 319 14574 12737 18 031 14 006 12*349 10 311 24 328 12737 11099 19 037 12 018 7*353 6 328 19 320 11099 9638 19 055 11*038 2 017 3 002 12 292 9638 8336 16 056 10*041 2 067 3 086 9 250 8336 7174 8 036 7 036 3 087 4 109 8 234 7174 6141 7 005 6 037 4 090 5 117 7 205 6141 5228 10 001 6 039 4 088 5 124 7 145 5228 4421 11 355 6 041 5 089 5 131 10 116 4421 3697 11 342 6 043 5 087 4 141 13 097 3697 3057 9*317 6 044 6 087 5 157 17 094 3057 2523 8*308 6 047 6 086 5 175 18 093 2523 2112 5 295 6 047 6 086 5 193 16 091 2112 1829 5 291 6 049 6 086 6 203 12 087 1829 1657 4 290 5 049 6 085 5 207 9*084 1657 1559 4 288 5 049 5 086 4*209 5*080 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography