DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 65.6 - - 68.1 - - 62.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 115 - - 14 - - -19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1715 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2015 - - 1562 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3100 - - 1578 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1387 - - 1388 - - 4246 - - 2402 - - 537 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 250 - - 71 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 357 - - 356 - - 021 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -238 - - 704 - - -1489 - - -142 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1816 - - 2396 - - 3067 - - 1720 - - 1578 sfcLCL ODpotential -1746 - - -1144 - - -1980 - - -1432 - - -3391 ODpotential blCL 3324 - - 4244 - - 3558 - - 3010 - - 4969 blCL maxRH 92 - - 92 - - 100 - - 88 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 40 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 65.6 - - 68.1 - - 62.9 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.4 - - 60.4 - - 60.0 - - 60.5 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 64.5 - - 67.8 - - 64.0 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.8 - - 59.1 - - 58.8 - - 60.3 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 115 - - 14 - - -19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1715 - - 193 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 66 - - 99 - - 54 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97261 42 258 52 256 51 256 54 264 62 270 97261 89774 46 264 51 262 47 270 46 280 44 273 89774 84106 40 266 38 273 36 280 32 284 28 295 84106 79460 27 278 31 297 26 285 30 281 26 310 79460 75482 22 288 23 298 17 268 26 266 27 302 75482 71984 16 290 17 284 16 289 23 276 23 297 71984 68830 17 310 17 287 27 305 29 301 24 292 68830 65944 26 307 18 289 27 292 30 301 25 301 65944 63285 27 287 24 307 28 288 31 299 27 308 63285 60726 28 278 32 303 31 294 36 301 29 309 60726 58061 29 288 35 290 35 298 41 299 37 309 58061 55294 34 293 36 280 43 292 48 297 42 305 55294 52641 42 288 41 276 50 286 52 297 50 306 52641 50235 51 285 51 277 54 280 55 290 55 298 50235 48061 63 277 62 271 57 273 58 285 54 287 48061 46075 79 273 69 266 68 268 63 279 53 285 46075 44244 88 270 78 266 79 264 66 272 52 285 44244 42542 92 270 83 266 84 263 73 269 61 274 42542 40952 101 270 86 266 88 265 79 265 65 270 40952 39462 107 268 89 267 92 266 80 263 68 267 39462 38063 106 265 92 265 94 265 79 262 72 265 38063 36718 103 265 93 262 97 262 80 260 72 262 36718 35358 100 268 93 263 98 256 84 256 67 262 35358 33953 94 272 97 266 97 258 87 256 58 263 33953 32506 66 274 88 269 85 271 76 264 49 264 32506 30999 45 273 55 265 56 269 52 271 46 266 30999 29420 41 279 39 258 45 266 42 269 47 266 29420 27766 35 282 34 264 37 267 40 271 38 270 27766 26037 29 280 31 267 34 271 37 275 29 284 26037 24235 24 280 27 273 28 276 27 280 22 296 24235 22363 19 283 24 281 21 291 16 289 14 311 22363 20415 18 283 18 287 18 302 9 308 9 341 20415 18382 16 290 14 295 16 311 8 329 6 341 18382 16305 12 294 11 304 16 317 11 341 6 334 16305 14302 11 291 10 318 15 326 13 345 9 345 14302 12482 10 297 11 330 14 339 12 345 10 347 12482 10867 9 307 11 328 12 342 9 341 10 343 10867 9431 9 316 11 323 12 333 9 342 9 346 9431 8153 9 320 11 321 13 329 10 353 9 003 8153 7019 9 325 9 337 12 334 13 007 11 019 7019 6014 9 332 9 004 12 346 15 012 13 028 6014 5128 4 325 10 014 12 348 15 011 16 028 5128 4347 2 148 10 011 11 350 15 002 18 020 4347 3646 2 183 10*005 11 352 15 001 19 014 3646 3027 3 323 9*360 11 354 15 007 18 009 3027 2510 10 343 9 357 11 354 15 013 18 006 2510 2113 11 342 8 356 10 355 14 017 17 005 2113 1839 10 343 8 356 10 355 12 020 13 003 1839 1673 9*342 7 356 9 356 10 021 9 358 1673 1578 7*342 6 355 7*356 5*021 5*354 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography