DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 85.9 - - 84.7 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 63 - - -14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1872 - - 3081 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2230 - - 2817 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3257 - - 4466 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 793 - - 1276 - - 3931 - - 602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 279 - - 59 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 170 - - 121 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -283 - - -17 - - -2289 - - -844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3540 - - 4483 - - 3870 - - 2424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5656 - - -4864 - - -6210 - - -4939 ODpotential blCL - - - 8913 - - 9330 - - 7790 - - 6519 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 69 - - 64 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 1520 - - 1960 - - 2480 - - 2330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 85.9 - - 84.7 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 71.1 - - 72.6 - - 73.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 85.1 - - 85.5 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 69.7 - - 71.2 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 63 - - -14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1872 - - 3081 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98884 44 098 38 103 27 100 34 074 98884 91353 43 088 43 098 41 100 34 083 91353 85561 38 079 45 090 46 089 42 094 85561 80807 25 077 38 074 40 078 46 084 80807 76743 17 095 25 055 28 071 39 073 76743 73161 26 113 13 076 19 068 29 066 73161 69921 35 109 21 107 18 074 22 070 69921 66957 36 097 29 103 19 086 24 082 66957 64230 29 084 30 092 22 086 24 085 64230 61607 20 077 27 085 23 083 22 087 61607 58888 18 092 23 089 22 087 23 088 58888 56090 25 104 21 105 23 091 26 091 56090 53446 29 108 25 117 23 099 24 105 53446 51069 35 116 31 124 31 120 29 124 51069 48927 40 122 39 125 39 124 39 121 48927 46977 41 126 39 128 36 124 39 116 46977 45186 40 131 41 130 32 123 32 115 45186 43520 39 133 37 133 26 144 27 115 43520 41950 35 135 31 133 26 152 24 118 41950 40464 34 144 27 135 22 147 22 125 40464 39053 32 152 26 140 20 153 20 132 39053 37683 31 153 26 142 23 137 18 128 37683 36286 26 150 27 142 22 133 18 124 36286 34835 20 156 27 145 21 146 18 126 34835 33332 17 170 18 158 18 145 16 130 33332 31765 18 171 12 184 9 148 14 126 31765 30125 17 165 13 192 4 196 7 107 30125 28413 13 141 13 169 5 185 1 141 28413 26630 6 137 11 129 6 140 3 166 26630 24779 2 189 7 106 6 123 5 118 24779 22863 4 232 1 147 1 185 6 081 22863 20873 9 220 5 236 6 266 4 018 20873 18804 9 203 8 211 9 250 7 302 18804 16695 8 180 9 188 8 234 6 292 16695 14661 6 167 7 183 5 214 2 314 14661 12807 4 175 6 214 4 189 2 017 12807 11159 7 193 7 218 4 187 1 321 11159 9693 10 190 9 207 5 197 3 253 9693 8388 12 185 11 199 7 211 5 265 8388 7226 15 185 14 200 10 204 11 221 7226 6192 17 188 15 196 11 189 15 192 6192 5278 17 194 12*187 11 176 17 169 5278 4467 16 196 9*177 10 166 17 155 4467 3738 13*197 7 172 8 157 16 147 3738 3093 9*191 7 170 6 143 13 139 3093 2553 8 190 6 168 5 130 10 125 2553 2138 8 190 6 165 5 126 9 100 2138 1853 8 189 5 165 5 123 8 083 1853 1679 7 189 5 164 4*122 5*070 1679 1580 6 189 5 164 4*121 4*058 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography