DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 65.3 - - 65.0 - - 56.7 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 167 - - 122 - - -52 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1744 - - 2359 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 2187 - - 2456 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 3129 - - 3744 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 231 - - 659 - - 890 - - 1794 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 277 - - 275 - - 27 - - 26 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 23 - - 26 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 018 - - 038 - - 033 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -11 - - -15 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2747 - - -3775 - - -2917 - - -3192 - - -3866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4324 - - 6904 - - 6662 - - 4770 - - 5444 sfcLCL ODpotential -14594 - - -13974 - - -12595 - - -14034 - - -16604 ODpotential blCL 16171 - - 17103 - - 16339 - - 15612 - - 18181 blCL maxRH 52 - - 43 - - 67 - - 51 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 65.3 - - 65.0 - - 56.7 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 40.9 - - 41.6 - - 41.7 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 64.2 - - 64.3 - - 58.1 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 39.7 - - 40.9 - - 41.4 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 167 - - 122 - - -52 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1744 - - 2359 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96369 39 241 38 270 39 266 43 266 46 272 96369 89131 26 257 28 274 26 254 32 284 30 291 89131 83595 16 303 21 282 21 292 22 284 18 285 83595 79020 22 326 17 270 24 298 20 296 15 307 79020 75084 17 321 10 284 17 273 17 302 16 327 75084 71591 13 323 14 326 13 299 17 318 13 309 71591 68445 17 312 19 316 22 313 22 312 16 326 68445 65575 21 291 21 287 24 287 27 295 25 321 65575 62922 24 288 23 286 25 276 34 276 30 284 62922 60365 31 286 28 299 29 295 35 266 36 286 60365 57694 40 287 40 284 43 303 42 276 43 284 57694 54920 53 279 55 277 55 290 54 286 56 282 54920 52281 66 271 64 275 64 279 63 287 65 282 52281 49898 71 269 68 270 68 272 67 286 67 281 49898 47746 68 270 68 267 68 266 66 280 62 274 47746 45792 65 273 64 267 63 263 60 273 58 273 45792 44006 66 276 56 273 56 264 55 267 59 273 44006 42356 68 278 58 273 53 268 51 266 58 276 42356 40819 64 278 64 271 54 271 46 269 56 277 40819 39375 54 279 61 270 53 274 38 276 51 276 39375 38012 38 282 48 271 47 276 29 285 44 280 38012 36695 20 303 27 269 34 273 22 289 35 279 36695 35356 18 315 20 278 19 279 21 287 28 274 35356 33965 19 313 17 285 19 292 22 291 27 288 33965 32525 19 314 16 288 20 300 26 304 24 299 32525 31024 15 301 18 288 24 311 24 310 16 310 31024 29449 19 297 21 294 25 315 22 314 14 341 29449 27799 20 316 21 310 19 311 23 323 16 353 27799 26070 24 337 18 327 16 305 22 322 16 001 26070 24262 25 342 15 322 16 301 23 323 17 358 24262 22378 20 337 14 301 19 301 23 328 17 351 22378 20413 12 320 14 286 21 311 22 329 15 345 20413 18361 13 299 19 306 25 321 21 323 16 345 18361 16262 19 291 22 315 26 324 20 329 17 345 16262 14238 20 295 20 327 21 326 18 343 15 346 14238 12403 17 306 16 318 12 316 18 353 15 354 12403 10778 16 311 14 288 14 297 14 337 14 348 10778 9339 12 304 13 285 10 301 10 332 14 347 9339 8065 11 308 11 296 7 355 8 036 7 359 8065 6937 15 318 8 330 10 037 12 063 8 067 6937 5937 15 324 7 003 14 058 18 065 19 073 5937 5059 16 333 11 034 24 054 25 062 25 070 5059 4286 21 329 20 034 28*047 31 050 29 060 4286 3597 23 312 28*027 28*041 31 041 32 045 3597 2991 23 291 26*020 28 039 30 038 34 036 2991 2486 20 273 25 018 28 038 29 037 33 034 2486 2098 17 267 24 017 26 036 26 035 30 033 2098 1832 13 271 22 017 24 036 21 034 22 031 1832 1670 8 277 19 017 21 035 17*033 18 029 1670 1577 4*285 15 016 17 034 11*033 10*029 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography