DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.7 - - 94.0 - - 99.3 - - 97.8 - - 87.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 239 - - 465 - - 408 - - 97 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1755 - - 4504 - - 7158 - - 7205 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 2301 - - 4601 - - 6665 - - 5758 - - 1543 Hcrit BL Top 3140 - - 5889 - - 8543 - - 8590 - - 1559 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 773 - - 2314 - - 2625 - - 2526 - - 3241 Hgt.Variab. W* 305 - - 522 - - 584 - - 365 - - 22 W* B/S 5 - - 12 - - 19 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 204 - - 180 - - 161 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1867 - - -3117 - - -3562 - - -2980 - - -5554 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5007 - - 9007 - - 12105 - - 11570 - - 7113 sfcLCL ODpotential -6183 - - -5852 - - -7524 - - -6566 - - -9375 ODpotential blCL 9323 - - 11741 - - 16067 - - 15156 - - 10934 blCL maxRH 69 - - 54 - - 60 - - 52 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 600 - - 120 - - 0 - - 0 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 83.7 - - 94.0 - - 99.3 - - 97.8 - - 87.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.0 - - 59.8 - - 51.3 - - 52.3 - - 61.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.0 - - 91.4 - - 96.7 - - 96.7 - - 87.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.8 - - 59.5 - - 50.9 - - 52.0 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 239 - - 465 - - 408 - - 97 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1755 - - 4504 - - 7158 - - 7205 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 11 - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98599 41 096 48 096 42 089 39 091 39 089 98599 91189 40 090 39 092 43 087 40 088 42 085 91189 85472 39 084 31 093 38 089 37 087 40 087 85472 80743 34 085 28 094 28 094 31 086 35 084 80743 76676 29 091 31 089 25 097 27 092 29 083 76676 73070 24 093 31 085 24 092 25 096 24 085 73070 69803 20 089 28 084 26 083 28 100 22 088 69803 66809 17 080 24 086 22 081 26 081 22 091 66809 64058 15 072 18 080 18 086 20 063 22 081 64058 61428 11 075 12 069 12 072 15 044 21 064 61428 58726 10 086 9 064 9 068 9 032 15 041 58726 55951 16 087 11 076 13 077 7 072 10 034 55951 53321 23 082 17 090 18 069 16 076 11 062 53321 50975 27 070 20 078 22 061 23 076 16 072 50975 48878 29 064 19 076 21 065 21 070 17 076 48878 46958 29 065 19 078 19 070 19 068 18 079 46958 45178 27 067 18 077 16 072 17 067 16 082 45178 43510 24 063 17 075 16 074 15 069 14 091 43510 41938 21 062 16 063 17 071 13 075 14 097 41938 40451 20 062 15 055 18 071 13 083 13 094 40451 39042 20 057 15 055 19 071 13 097 13 090 39042 37677 20 059 17 059 20 072 16 100 13 091 37677 36289 21 061 21 064 21 071 16 092 12 087 36289 34847 20 063 23 064 21 067 15 081 12 074 34847 33353 18 069 22 064 19 063 14 068 14 060 33353 31794 15 077 20 065 18 060 14 057 16 045 31794 30158 12 079 19 061 19 060 14 052 18 035 30158 28445 10 081 19 059 20 057 16 047 19 033 28445 26655 12 078 19 061 19 054 18 043 21 033 26655 24790 13 068 15 066 13 054 18 041 18 034 24790 22858 12 046 12 051 10 051 12 036 14 028 22858 20853 12 029 12 035 12 050 10 035 12 025 20853 18773 10 038 11 051 12 051 12 049 9 044 18773 16663 5 063 6 065 8 051 12 047 11 060 16663 14634 4 068 4 095 4 092 6 056 9 065 14634 12787 1 063 2 123 1 070 4 043 9 039 12787 11143 3 157 4 185 2 236 1 294 10 021 11143 9678 5 127 6 168 3*211 2*255 9 006 9678 8372 3 115 4 160 3*200 2*235 6 342 8372 7207 1 136 1 128 4 189 5 167 4 310 7207 6172 3 235 2*220 5 183 7 162 5 200 6172 5258 7 227 7*211 6 179 8 160 11 179 5258 4447 12 223 8 208 6 178 9 159 15 173 4447 3718 14*227 8 204 7 176 10 158 19 166 3718 3073 14*228 8 203 7 176 10 159 22 160 3073 2533 11 226 8 202 7 175 10 159 23 157 2533 2118 11 225 8 200 7 176 10 158 21 156 2118 1832 10 225 8 200 7 176 10 157 17 155 1832 1658 9 224 7 199 7 175 9 158 12 154 1658 1559 8 224 7 199 6 175 8 157 7*153 1559 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography