DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 81.2 - - 84.0 - - 82.6 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 145 - - 327 - - 165 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1401 - - 3334 - - 5034 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1835 - - 3583 - - 4565 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2786 - - 4719 - - 6419 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1087 - - 1846 - - 1980 - - 5669 - - 394 Hgt.Variab. W* 241 - - 424 - - 390 - - 17 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 199 - - 200 - - 198 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - -5 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -424 - - -1282 - - -133 - - -4530 - - -2923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3210 - - 6001 - - 6552 - - 6109 - - 4503 sfcLCL ODpotential -4171 - - -6470 - - -1635 - - -8341 - - -6934 ODpotential blCL 6957 - - 11189 - - 8054 - - 9920 - - 8513 blCL maxRH 88 - - 95 - - 90 - - 79 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 250 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 81.2 - - 84.0 - - 82.6 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.2 - - 60.2 - - 60.5 - - 61.1 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 79.0 - - 82.5 - - 83.1 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.9 - - 59.5 - - 59.9 - - 60.4 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 145 - - 327 - - 165 - - -2 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1401 - - 3334 - - 5034 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 79 - - 62 - - 15 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 6 073 11 151 13 182 2 137 11 292 98241 90846 7 082 8 130 8 126 7 114 4 067 90846 85118 8 080 10 088 11 129 5 112 12 055 85118 80368 9 071 11 084 13 131 4 069 13 062 80368 76291 13 065 14 094 12 099 10 096 13 067 76291 72698 9 061 13 090 10 073 12 088 11 066 72698 69452 5 092 6 082 8 075 7 066 10 066 69452 66481 3 098 1 149 1 003 5 353 8 067 66481 63743 1 006 1 165 3 255 5 318 2 025 63743 61110 2 351 2 303 4 197 7 248 2 334 61110 58376 5 298 8 296 6 291 6 263 2 049 58376 55565 9 278 13 268 13 263 15 266 16 283 55565 52914 26 286 22 277 24 267 25 264 29 272 52914 50550 30 267 29 268 31 261 32 257 41 269 50550 48435 31 264 30 262 30 261 36 257 45 266 48435 46507 35 266 31 261 35 263 40 261 41 259 46507 44721 41 268 39 263 43 265 43 261 42 255 44721 43052 48 266 49 262 50 262 48 258 51 254 43052 41487 49 261 53 259 56 258 53 255 56 252 41487 40012 46 257 51 255 56 253 55 252 61 248 40012 38618 44 251 48 249 52 250 53 248 61 243 38618 37269 43 250 45 244 48 247 48 244 59 239 37269 35897 41 252 43 242 45 241 45 240 59 236 35897 34472 39 250 41 241 44 235 44 237 61 234 34472 32996 35 243 37 239 41 234 42 237 58 236 32996 31456 32 232 34 231 39 231 40 237 50 241 31456 29840 32 224 34 225 37 228 39 234 40 244 29840 28149 28 219 31 221 32 229 35 237 33 247 28149 26384 25 214 26 221 27 226 29 237 30 248 26384 24547 21 211 22 227 22 224 23 224 26 252 24547 22644 17 202 21 222 18 223 16 225 20 253 22644 20667 12 193 20 214 19 226 16 239 14 252 20667 18609 12 193 18 205 19 232 17 251 12 254 18609 16517 13 196 17 205 18 237 16 264 10 258 16517 14507 10 200 14 210 15 244 16 286 9 285 14507 12677 7 217 10 213 12 253 17 291 10 295 12677 11046 9 234 10 226 10 257 13 307 8 315 11046 9594 11 230 10 230 10 237 12 341 6 325 9594 8301 9 218 7 225 9 203 4 316 4 286 8301 7151 7 212 4 235 9*195 8 184 6 232 7151 6130 6 219 5 227 8*194 12 173 11 208 6130 5227 7 200 7*202 7 195 12 171 13 192 5227 4427 10 177 7*200 7 198 10 170 14 178 4427 3709 11 182 7 199 6 200 7 172 15 164 3709 3072 10*187 7 198 6 203 5 176 16 156 3072 2540 9*187 7 199 5 206 4 182 17 152 2540 2130 8 186 7 199 5 209 4 188 16 149 2130 1848 7 186 7 200 5 210 3 191 14 145 1848 1677 6 185 7 200 4 210 3 195 8 140 1677 1579 6 185 6 200 4 211 2*198 4*137 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography