DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 70.7 - - 73.7 - - 69.3 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 173 - - 98 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 460 - - 2997 - - 3790 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 3094 - - 3334 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1845 - - 4382 - - 5175 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 611 - - 1421 - - 1507 - - 3815 - - 629 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 335 - - 301 - - 21 - - 21 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 094 - - 149 - - 136 - - 055 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2072 - - 381 - - -44 - - -1562 - - -1191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3917 - - 4002 - - 5220 - - 3140 - - 2769 sfcLCL ODpotential -8674 - - -3342 - - -3462 - - -3243 - - -3796 ODpotential blCL 10519 - - 7724 - - 8637 - - 4821 - - 5374 blCL maxRH 84 - - 84 - - 89 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 70.7 - - 73.7 - - 69.3 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.6 - - 58.6 - - 56.4 - - 61.0 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 69.2 - - 72.7 - - 70.6 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 57.7 - - 55.6 - - 60.4 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 173 - - 98 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 460 - - 2997 - - 3790 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 36 - - 56 - - 23 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 36 271 37 266 39 264 37 282 35 273 97492 90158 23 261 22 262 23 259 20 263 26 272 90158 84506 16 237 12 273 13 274 14 252 22 262 84506 79816 9 257 9 287 8 287 10 276 10 271 79816 75799 11 269 7 281 3 280 8 271 7 309 75799 72273 7 263 4 234 3 233 6 208 4 265 72273 69105 9 267 2 203 3 301 3 177 4 264 69105 66197 14 214 8 228 8 278 5 287 5 258 66197 63506 10 192 17 216 19 244 15 263 13 243 63506 60916 10 199 20 211 20 222 20 234 20 232 60916 58224 17 200 15 219 21 215 17 219 31 230 58224 55435 24 227 41 233 43 235 38 231 47 220 55435 52792 36 223 48 216 48 214 46 214 46 206 52792 50406 42 246 36 241 47 249 42 247 39 237 50406 48247 72 252 74 250 80 248 76 250 79 252 48247 46289 85 244 88 241 87 239 89 239 97 244 46289 44481 80 241 88 233 80 231 85 235 92 239 44481 42797 65 245 73 235 71 234 72 231 75 238 42797 41228 62 247 62 245 61 242 60 235 67 241 41228 39761 66 250 50 245 50 243 54 240 63 238 39761 38379 56 244 40 237 41 244 45 238 55 234 38379 37039 45 237 35 227 39 239 46 243 50 239 37039 35671 39 239 34 221 41 235 44 241 51 239 35671 34248 32 239 34 214 41 232 40 231 49 235 34248 32777 31 238 34 206 37 227 39 222 52 229 32777 31247 27 243 35 201 33 226 37 217 54 226 31247 29650 24 252 37 202 32 218 36 218 49 221 29650 27979 28 221 38 209 35 218 35 221 41 218 27979 26228 32 211 39 209 36 224 35 223 37 224 26228 24401 28 191 35 198 32 227 31 223 32 232 24401 22506 26 181 27 189 29 206 28 226 28 235 22506 20535 23 168 24 180 29 185 33 205 22 233 20535 18481 21 165 24 177 30 181 34 189 19 228 18481 16385 15 177 18 188 22 196 28 200 21 230 16385 14370 10 199 9 185 11 195 17 212 18 245 14370 12540 7 214 5 173 6 174 9 207 9 249 12540 10917 7 204 6 159 6 158 6 178 2 226 10917 9475 8 181 8 141 6 146 8 178 7 213 9475 8199 6 163 6 128 8 169 7 174 13 204 8199 7066 4 154 5 143 10 168 10 174 15 183 7066 6059 8 150 8 166 10*156 11 171 14 167 6059 5168 10 146 10*163 9*147 10 160 13 154 5168 4379 11 154 9*158 8 141 8 128 11 136 4379 3671 10 164 8 150 8 135 8 100 13 113 3671 3045 9 162 8 148 8 133 8 089 15 103 3045 2521 9 131 8 147 7 131 8 081 16 097 2521 2119 10*105 7 146 7 129 7 074 15 089 2119 1842 8*095 7 146 7 128 7 067 12 085 1842 1675 7 093 7 146 6 127 5 061 8 077 1675 1578 6 093 6 145 5 125 4*055 4*071 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography