DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 84.0 - - - - - 81.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 28 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3565 - - 1838 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3428 - - 1563 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4950 - - 3223 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1872 - - 5165 - - - - - 4212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 190 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 245 - - - - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 10 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -452 - - -955 - - - - - -1868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5402 - - 4178 - - - - - 3448 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3628 - - -2606 - - - - - -4037 ODpotential blCL - - - 8578 - - 5829 - - - - - 5617 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1570 - - 2520 - - - - - 2740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 84.0 - - - - - 81.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.7 - - - - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 83.8 - - - - - 83.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 69.3 - - - - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 28 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3565 - - 1838 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 99 - - - - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 32 116 38 098 36 087 98845 91361 23 105 32 107 35 085 91361 85614 34 103 26 107 34 087 85614 80852 37 096 29 091 33 080 80852 76764 27 096 28 084 32 084 76764 73166 20 098 22 084 31 084 73166 69919 15 103 17 096 28 072 69919 66949 15 103 14 094 21 065 66949 64208 19 103 12 087 13 077 64208 61556 24 081 14 074 16 068 61556 58804 27 075 18 082 20 044 58804 55981 28 044 24 055 23 037 55981 53312 24 026 29 043 27 031 53312 50909 29 027 33 033 28 028 50909 48736 35 022 28 023 31 028 48736 46749 32 022 29 011 25 034 46749 44914 29 010 28 358 21 038 44914 43207 21 349 24 350 20 031 43207 41608 9 350 17 326 21 019 41608 40105 5 331 4 346 22 008 40105 38693 13 319 3 343 10 002 38693 37337 8 315 3 333 3 306 37337 35964 7 340 6 307 10 185 35964 34541 9 345 12 271 7 164 34541 33067 11 330 16 260 4 138 33067 31526 10 324 10 258 1 145 31526 29907 9 358 4 253 3 333 29907 28212 10 343 4 254 6 340 28212 26441 12 319 8 318 7 331 26441 24596 9 315 7 299 8 325 24596 22685 11 307 5 264 11 301 22685 20705 11 300 3 258 15 253 20705 18655 7 242 3 272 13 189 18655 16574 9 215 4 217 15 163 16574 14566 5 192 6 168 12 154 14566 12736 6 176 8 158 7 110 12736 11106 5 189 8 163 6 066 11106 9654 6 183 9 168 3 131 9654 8360 7 170 9 169 7 153 8360 7205 9 163 8 171 10 157 7205 6176 9 161 7 176 13 162 6176 5266 7*158 6 183 15 164 5266 4458 6*153 5 192 17 165 4458 3733 5 149 4*206 17 165 3733 3090 4 145 3*224 16 162 3090 2551 4 141 3 241 14 159 2551 2138 3 138 4 250 11 152 2138 1852 3 134 4 255 8 141 1852 1679 3 133 4 257 6*132 1679 1580 3 133 3 260 4*131 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography