DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 82.7 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 45 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3005 - - 2659 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2931 - - 2298 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4390 - - 4044 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1804 - - 3273 - - - - - 1697 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 245 - - - - - 40 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 160 - - - - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1302 - - 733 - - - - - -400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3088 - - 3311 - - - - - 1979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2 - - -694 - - - - - -3698 ODpotential blCL - - - 4392 - - 4738 - - - - - 5277 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 2120 - - 2870 - - - - - 2930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 82.7 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.0 - - 73.0 - - - - - 73.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 82.2 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 71.6 - - - - - 73.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 45 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3005 - - 2659 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 59 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98877 42 103 40 102 41 075 98877 91422 41 097 42 093 38 089 91422 85688 34 099 41 085 39 097 85688 80933 33 096 38 084 40 086 80933 76858 31 092 33 085 38 075 76858 73276 32 090 30 092 30 067 73276 70044 24 087 25 098 20 073 70044 67085 23 089 24 099 18 073 67085 64345 21 077 22 092 14 065 64345 61688 16 078 16 100 13 077 61688 58920 11 096 12 114 15 085 58920 56061 12 097 12 101 16 090 56061 53348 16 076 15 080 23 086 53348 50921 11 083 17 074 28 070 50921 48753 10 109 14 087 23 059 48753 46789 8 139 11 110 13 062 46789 44989 8 144 10 174 10 070 44989 43319 2 038 13 189 4 318 43319 41757 4 346 12 187 9 272 41757 40289 4 006 9 201 10 280 40289 38896 6 333 8 226 13 290 38896 37543 8 303 10 260 10 294 37543 36165 11 272 11 263 5 282 36165 34731 12 271 11 245 3 244 34731 33247 13 277 11 240 4 261 33247 31696 15 269 13 245 6 289 31696 30068 16 246 11 241 6 281 30068 28362 19 243 12 237 5 268 28362 26581 20 242 15 244 13 250 26581 24730 18 230 16 246 19 238 24730 22814 17 220 17 226 19 236 22814 20827 16 212 17 213 15 230 20827 18761 18 198 18 207 12 218 18761 16658 15 191 18 205 11 211 16658 14630 15 195 19 207 11 224 14630 12782 19 196 21 205 13 239 12782 11134 22 191 22 209 14 254 11134 9667 23 190 26 212 17 236 9667 8362 23 196 28 202 21 220 8362 7202 23 198 26 192 21 214 7202 6170 21 193 24 187 20 203 6170 5257 19 190 20 182 20 186 5257 4448 18*189 17*176 20 169 4448 3723 16*187 13*167 24 158 3723 3082 14 183 11 160 28 152 3082 2546 13 183 11 158 27 149 2546 2134 13 182 10 157 25 146 2134 1850 12 181 10 156 18 142 1850 1678 11 181 9 156 13 140 1678 1579 10 181 8 155 8*139 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography