DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.3 - - 75.9 - - 83.1 - - 80.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 153 - - 206 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 497 - - 1939 - - 2958 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2301 - - 3157 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 1882 - - 3324 - - 4343 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1351 - - 578 - - 755 - - 3553 - - 1519 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 282 - - 358 - - 64 - - 15 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 214 - - 212 - - 173 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 303 - - 736 - - 252 - - -1778 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1579 - - 2588 - - 4091 - - 3358 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential 72 - - -183 - - -4350 - - -2680 - - -480 ODpotential blCL 1810 - - 3507 - - 8693 - - 4260 - - 2059 blCL maxRH 100 - - 97 - - 87 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 690 - - 1470 - - 2590 - - 2770 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m 69.3 - - 75.9 - - 83.1 - - 80.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.0 - - 69.2 - - 69.8 - - 70.7 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 - - 74.7 - - 81.5 - - 80.6 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.7 - - 68.4 - - 68.9 - - 70.1 - - 71.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 153 - - 206 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 497 - - 1939 - - 2958 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 89 - - 47 - - 60 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97919 2 002 4 348 7 078 8 075 2 049 97919 90516 8 160 7 185 2 329 7 095 7 044 90516 84799 6 118 19 166 12 210 3 231 4 009 84799 80047 10 307 3 347 6 181 13 181 6 256 80047 75963 13 259 14 270 5 260 1 041 6 218 75963 72369 9 294 18 243 16 234 14 262 7 263 72369 69137 9 276 10 264 13 249 19 234 17 243 69137 66218 9 254 13 298 15 303 17 250 11 248 66218 63537 19 270 22 252 24 297 26 302 19 291 63537 60944 31 291 30 266 32 271 30 262 19 288 60944 58239 36 287 25 262 26 238 26 233 30 267 58239 55433 35 285 28 276 20 260 28 250 38 263 55433 52761 46 283 53 278 47 274 58 263 59 269 52761 50371 70 274 69 274 73 269 75 263 77 265 50371 48242 82 269 80 265 84 261 82 259 84 255 48242 46311 86 265 84 261 87 256 83 256 84 249 46311 44537 87 264 83 264 86 259 84 257 82 252 44537 42886 86 266 83 268 88 266 84 260 82 258 42886 41334 85 268 83 267 89 268 86 262 84 260 41334 39864 86 269 84 265 89 266 89 263 84 259 39864 38469 86 268 84 262 87 262 88 262 84 257 38469 37115 85 265 85 260 87 258 87 259 85 254 37115 35737 82 265 85 261 88 256 89 254 88 250 35737 34309 78 269 84 265 89 257 93 252 91 247 34309 32838 76 273 79 268 87 260 94 252 91 245 32838 31305 74 274 75 270 83 262 90 254 88 247 31305 29698 70 273 71 270 76 262 83 255 80 249 29698 28020 66 271 68 268 69 261 76 254 72 248 28020 26272 61 271 64 264 65 259 69 251 65 245 26272 24457 58 272 58 263 61 258 63 251 60 245 24457 22576 54 274 51 263 54 258 55 252 55 248 22576 20623 49 277 44 263 46 256 48 253 51 252 20623 18590 44 280 38 262 38 254 42 252 46 253 18590 16519 36 282 34 264 36 253 38 252 41 252 16519 14521 32 273 34 254 36 251 34 252 37 253 14521 12697 27 268 30 247 34 247 33 248 32 257 12697 11068 20 274 21 242 29 239 31 245 26 265 11068 9614 15 275 17 231 26 237 29 251 18 264 9614 8315 12 260 24 237 23 238 26 260 14 265 8315 7157 18 230 25 247 22 243 19 263 9 287 7157 6129 24 223 24 254 21 247 15 246 8 290 6129 5222 25 227 22 255 16 240 12 213 8 234 5222 4418 24 229 19 244 10*219 9 199 8 200 4418 3699 19 222 13*221 10*217 6 194 11 163 3699 3063 17 219 12*217 10 213 5 187 16 138 3063 2534 15 217 12 215 9 212 4 180 19 127 2534 2127 13*215 11 214 9 210 4 177 18 124 2127 1847 12*215 11 213 8 209 4 177 15 122 1847 1677 10 214 10 213 8 208 3*175 12 121 1677 1579 9 214 9 212 7 207 3*173 8*121 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography