DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 72.4 - - 76.9 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 28 - - 12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 739 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1562 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2124 - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1460 - - 1628 - - 2108 - - 1603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 74 - - 65 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 121 - - 114 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 545 - - 0 - - -172 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1751 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 255 - - -81 - - -811 - - -4424 ODpotential blCL - - - 1869 - - 1660 - - 2390 - - 6003 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 2990 - - 2550 - - 4150 - - 4470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 72.4 - - 76.9 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.5 - - 71.6 - - 73.8 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.4 - - 71.7 - - 76.7 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 71.3 - - 73.4 - - 74.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 28 - - 12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 739 - - 194 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 84 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 8 259 6 261 7 022 9 359 98082 90679 10 156 3 174 4 032 9 345 90679 84962 21 100 16 116 2 071 6 097 84962 80225 16 073 20 077 11 130 13 131 80225 76172 5 072 16 027 15 072 14 102 76172 72605 7 157 9 188 13 012 18 056 72605 69366 12 109 19 152 13 188 6 356 69366 66403 8 141 11 110 15 133 11 150 66403 63686 11 160 11 216 3 256 6 083 63686 61067 15 190 23 189 17 216 11 206 61067 58356 17 216 23 201 17 208 18 208 58356 55541 29 225 25 222 23 215 25 198 55541 52830 30 220 36 221 28 215 23 241 52830 50382 38 234 46 220 46 232 49 245 50382 48201 64 230 55 223 59 229 62 239 48201 46233 75 224 57 224 61 227 62 236 46233 44436 73 224 58 225 58 227 56 231 44436 42778 70 226 60 223 56 228 50 227 42778 41229 65 225 56 220 52 229 50 233 41229 39772 59 223 51 219 47 230 51 239 39772 38400 52 221 47 217 38 229 45 240 38400 37073 47 213 41 214 28 223 36 241 37073 35724 42 206 40 213 22 215 28 240 35724 34321 37 206 41 208 21 211 23 241 34321 32867 37 211 32 209 22 211 22 242 32867 31345 35 215 27 217 24 214 22 241 31345 29745 32 215 35 216 25 219 23 242 29745 28068 31 219 36 214 26 223 24 242 28068 26317 29 223 28 219 26 229 24 241 26317 24494 22 223 30 225 23 233 23 240 24494 22603 17 224 27 232 17 236 20 250 22603 20638 14 239 26 235 12 256 14 267 20638 18596 13 266 25 244 12 278 11 283 18596 16518 18 276 24 258 14 293 10 296 16518 14518 20 276 21 263 15 296 11 299 14518 12696 19 286 16 254 14 297 13 291 12696 11075 12 301 12 205 11 304 14 287 11075 9627 4 243 15 168 3 307 14 287 9627 8332 13 169 15 160 7 133 13 290 8332 7177 21 160 14 158 13 134 11 294 7177 6150 24 153 14 154 16 143 8 301 6150 5241 27 147 14 146 18 150 6 311 5241 4435 28 146 13 142 19 140 3 081 4435 3713 26 150 12 140 20 128 14 103 3713 3075 20 154 11 138 19 123 20 108 3075 2542 19 156 10 134 18 120 20 111 2542 2132 16*158 8 129 16 118 18 111 2132 1850 14*159 7 124 15 117 16 109 1850 1678 12 160 6*122 13 115 13 107 1678 1579 10 161 5*121 10*114 9*105 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography