DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 91.0 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 193 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4122 - - 5287 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4156 - - 4858 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5507 - - 6672 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2512 - - 2797 - - - - - 2465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 443 - - 421 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 15 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 156 - - 140 - - - - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 9 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 98 - - 165 - - - - - -1216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5409 - - 6507 - - - - - 2796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -806 - - -817 - - - - - -3728 ODpotential blCL - - - 6313 - - 7489 - - - - - 5308 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 85 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 2040 - - 1950 - - - - - 2980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 91.0 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.4 - - 67.7 - - - - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 89.2 - - - - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 66.8 - - - - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 193 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4122 - - 5287 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 41 - - - - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98859 27 086 31 098 26 074 98859 91334 35 096 32 108 36 087 91334 85580 37 103 30 099 34 092 85580 80850 32 101 29 087 26 079 80850 76777 27 092 27 090 23 072 76777 73166 24 093 26 092 22 082 73166 69905 18 100 22 082 20 091 69905 66928 16 114 14 095 15 096 66928 64187 17 111 13 120 10 065 64187 61552 14 096 15 112 11 065 61552 58838 13 078 11 099 12 073 58838 56057 14 092 9 102 12 043 56057 53411 28 085 21 082 6 039 53411 51018 30 053 31 063 8 099 51018 48860 28 044 27 051 14 072 48860 46889 22 073 16 059 16 040 46889 45072 19 081 13 060 10 030 45072 43387 14 074 15 078 6 085 43387 41814 8 095 12 080 12 096 41814 40334 7 107 10 095 12 103 40334 38934 7 137 10 126 12 123 38934 37576 10 147 11 145 11 125 37576 36193 15 148 12 152 8 138 36193 34757 18 144 12 154 7 167 34757 33270 18 138 11 154 5 188 33270 31717 16 133 9 152 2 200 31717 30089 15 130 9 147 1 231 30089 28384 14 128 8 136 1 293 28384 26606 9 129 7 124 3 015 26606 24755 6 110 4 096 6 032 24755 22838 6 084 5 079 7 022 22838 20848 6 086 6 080 7 013 20848 18777 4 071 5 050 7 015 18777 16665 3 053 6 023 6 044 16665 14629 2 069 5 021 7 077 14629 12778 2 083 4 038 7 062 12778 11134 3 043 4 058 9 045 11134 9671 6 050 4 095 5 043 9671 8368 8 059 5 110 2 234 8368 7206 6 080 5*135 4 203 7206 6173 7*146 5*137 5 162 6173 5259 8*155 5 138 8 149 5259 4450 8 156 5 140 12 150 4450 3725 8 157 5 141 17 147 3725 3083 8 157 5 140 19 142 3083 2548 8 156 5 142 19 140 2548 2136 8 157 5 142 18 138 2136 1851 7 156 5 142 16 136 1851 1678 7 156 5 141 12*136 1678 1580 7 157 4 142 9*135 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography