DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 87.7 - - 88.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 131 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 3971 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3766 - - 3697 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5236 - - 5356 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2444 - - 2664 - - 7118 - - 820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 376 - - 344 - - 43 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 150 - - 096 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 627 - - 447 - - -3937 - - -1728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4609 - - 4910 - - 5518 - - 3308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -490 - - -937 - - -5048 - - -4553 ODpotential blCL - - - 5726 - - 6293 - - 6628 - - 6133 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 91 - - 84 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 2030 - - 2290 - - 1850 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 87.7 - - 88.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.0 - - 71.1 - - 69.1 - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.8 - - 86.4 - - 88.3 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.0 - - 70.1 - - 68.3 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 131 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3851 - - 3971 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 65 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98678 26 095 38 092 29 102 21 101 98678 91202 32 105 30 108 26 082 28 079 91202 85467 34 094 30 110 23 088 27 083 85467 80739 29 080 29 098 27 096 29 092 80739 76671 12 092 22 082 24 088 30 082 76671 73081 13 140 10 080 18 084 22 066 73081 69844 17 104 9 088 17 100 8 098 69844 66875 17 100 9 081 14 085 11 113 66875 64135 13 079 8 057 15 047 13 083 64135 61516 12 067 8 062 12 056 11 063 61516 58820 20 059 16 079 12 090 7 052 58820 56042 20 058 19 075 15 080 11 070 56042 53408 26 058 27 071 20 075 20 072 53408 51047 30 062 26 063 26 065 30 079 51047 48920 35 063 29 071 28 066 33 076 48920 46972 39 062 36 077 29 074 33 067 46972 45169 36 066 39 075 33 080 32 072 45169 43487 34 076 33 074 34 083 32 084 43487 41909 34 067 27 084 27 077 31 095 41909 40422 32 064 24 085 19 080 27 091 40422 39015 25 073 22 077 19 086 21 089 39015 37652 23 078 21 072 17 089 20 097 37652 36265 24 065 22 077 17 106 17 091 36265 34821 27 069 25 080 16 104 17 094 34821 33327 28 059 28 073 16 090 16 078 33327 31769 31 065 29 069 22 080 20 078 31769 30137 29 073 27 077 25 080 23 088 30137 28432 25 083 22 085 23 090 21 088 28432 26650 19 083 17 087 19 091 18 088 26650 24794 16 092 14 082 14 096 12 088 24794 22867 17 105 12 102 11 114 8 100 22867 20865 13 113 8 116 6 114 8 081 20865 18785 8 127 4 120 4 117 9 060 18785 16668 5 115 4 093 5 101 7 065 16668 14631 4 130 5 146 2 182 4 068 14631 12778 3 134 2 149 3 253 3 045 12778 11135 1 253 1 013 1 147 3 021 11135 9675 1 298 2 019 4 141 1 074 9675 8375 2 132 2 145 10 161 8 170 8375 7216 6 136 6 160 12 161 14 172 7216 6185 7 136 7*159 12 158 15 168 6185 5272 7*134 6*155 9 147 14 156 5272 4463 6*133 6 152 7 130 16 140 4463 3735 6 132 6 149 7 119 17 130 3735 3091 6 129 5 148 6 109 18 125 3091 2552 6 129 5 149 6 103 17 119 2552 2137 5 127 5 148 6 100 16 112 2137 1852 5 127 5 147 6 099 13 111 1852 1679 5 127 5 147 5*096 9*110 1679 1580 4 127 4 147 4*096 4*109 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography