DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.9 - - 70.7 - - 77.7 - - 72.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 165 - - 177 - - -13 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1236 - - 2935 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1816 - - 3050 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 2621 - - 4320 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 315 - - 625 - - 2386 - - 4146 - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 246 - - 333 - - 23 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 274 - - 234 - - 199 - - 176 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1237 - - -2406 - - -2931 - - -4180 - - -3826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2815 - - 5028 - - 7252 - - 5758 - - 5404 sfcLCL ODpotential -7376 - - -6513 - - -6189 - - -8720 - - -11560 ODpotential blCL 8954 - - 9134 - - 10509 - - 10298 - - 13138 blCL maxRH 69 - - 75 - - 67 - - 65 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.9 - - 70.7 - - 77.7 - - 72.3 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.2 - - 54.3 - - 51.6 - - 52.7 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 69.3 - - 76.2 - - 74.2 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 53.3 - - 50.8 - - 51.9 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 165 - - 177 - - -13 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1236 - - 2935 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 8 275 9 150 21 261 18 288 17 001 96481 89281 0 188 7 118 8 132 4 343 5 111 89281 83795 11 105 4 081 13 088 13 047 16 103 83795 79235 15 102 7 078 13 056 9 082 15 082 79235 75296 11 059 7 105 9 036 9 063 11 092 75296 71829 10 353 6 057 1 331 10 038 7 086 71829 68707 6 318 7 040 2 224 3 030 4 022 68707 65862 7 201 7 307 10 267 7 276 5 304 65862 63254 4 111 10 293 13 263 10 277 7 274 63254 60731 14 284 16 268 19 267 19 279 15 281 60731 58084 24 278 25 283 27 274 26 255 21 261 58084 55312 34 275 43 270 40 272 35 273 23 280 55312 52642 49 250 57 257 53 267 50 266 54 260 52642 50245 56 247 65 249 72 253 62 255 68 250 50245 48100 75 253 75 245 81 251 73 259 73 249 48100 46142 88 252 83 245 89 254 87 255 84 251 46142 44336 96 248 94 246 99 251 97 249 98 248 44336 42661 91 245 93 246 97 247 98 247 101 244 42661 41098 86 247 83 247 87 247 91 246 93 243 41098 39633 85 250 74 253 70 246 79 247 80 243 39633 38255 86 260 74 265 63 251 71 249 73 244 38255 36925 87 263 75 267 69 258 67 252 67 245 36925 35570 84 263 74 265 66 263 63 255 62 247 35570 34161 81 260 71 262 66 265 65 258 58 250 34161 32701 76 259 69 260 71 260 66 259 57 253 32701 31175 72 256 69 255 71 254 65 258 55 252 31175 29571 68 256 66 254 64 257 65 257 51 250 29571 27893 62 261 63 253 60 261 60 257 48 249 27893 26146 50 271 57 255 56 259 50 256 45 251 26146 24330 42 274 47 257 50 257 42 252 39 251 24330 22447 36 273 39 258 37 257 36 251 34 243 22447 20489 26 286 24 263 27 261 28 260 31 242 20489 18451 23 282 16 265 19 264 20 257 23 250 18451 16373 20 269 20 269 20 267 17 260 18 252 16373 14368 25 255 25 264 23 267 19 265 17 251 14368 12542 25 252 23 270 22 270 20 269 16 256 12542 10918 13 258 16 283 18 282 18 271 13 263 10918 9475 8 291 10 275 12 279 12 275 10 258 9475 8189 9 325 6 266 9 259 8 269 8 248 8189 7047 8 338 3 256 6 241 6 234 7 240 7047 6036 6 346 2 218 5 219 8 189 9 215 6036 5147 4 344 3 208 5 204 11 175 12 195 5147 4362 2 314 3 214 6*199 12 173 16 183 4362 3659 4 270 4 243 6*199 12 172 18 177 3659 3036 9 259 6*247 6 199 12 173 20 171 3036 2516 16 255 6*238 6 198 11 174 23 166 2516 2116 18 258 6 234 6 199 10 175 22 165 2116 1841 15 265 5 232 6 199 9 177 17 166 1841 1674 10 271 5 230 5 200 7 177 11 165 1674 1578 5*274 4 231 5 200 4*176 6*163 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography