DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.4 - - 72.8 - - 72.9 - - 68.6 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 88 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1870 - - 759 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 1986 - - 1563 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1578 - - 3255 - - 2144 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1127 - - 2075 - - 3298 - - 1947 - - 1882 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 241 - - 85 - - 0 - - 21 W* B/S 4 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 094 - - 093 - - 169 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 701 - - -256 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1578 - - 2554 - - 2400 - - 1579 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential -6 - - -241 - - -1034 - - -451 - - -311 ODpotential blCL 1584 - - 3496 - - 3178 - - 2030 - - 1890 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 500 - - 880 - - 450 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m 65.4 - - 72.8 - - 72.9 - - 68.6 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.8 - - 66.7 - - 67.4 - - 67.7 - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 71.8 - - 72.7 - - 69.1 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.6 - - 65.4 - - 66.6 - - 67.8 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 88 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 193 - - 1870 - - 759 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 84 - - 100 - - 91 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97427 43 250 42 269 44 264 48 264 56 274 97427 90122 31 249 28 261 28 264 30 274 33 280 90122 84497 18 271 19 247 18 277 17 281 21 282 84497 79844 14 298 10 266 13 293 11 290 10 281 79844 75859 11 327 8 331 9 291 9 323 6 324 75859 72352 12 325 6 022 5 308 9 324 8 349 72352 69179 5 327 5 052 3 071 4 263 5 016 69179 66251 5 077 5 356 4 066 1 123 1 081 66251 63536 10 269 10 271 10 280 6 321 5 308 63536 60937 17 250 14 269 16 285 17 277 19 279 60937 58256 25 236 21 266 21 277 22 272 23 273 58256 55486 33 272 41 272 36 279 27 289 29 290 55486 52849 52 254 49 273 46 283 46 289 51 296 52849 50495 55 272 65 284 61 289 69 290 73 294 50495 48403 75 290 83 289 83 292 87 295 81 297 48403 46496 93 292 92 290 97 293 96 298 87 300 46496 44730 95 292 92 290 97 293 91 299 91 301 44730 43079 92 292 90 291 91 293 84 302 89 300 43079 41526 88 292 88 292 86 298 81 307 86 300 41526 40061 86 292 86 292 87 304 75 308 81 301 40061 38674 83 291 84 292 84 303 73 300 75 305 38674 37330 81 289 83 293 80 297 73 295 68 309 37330 35962 80 288 81 296 77 295 72 295 67 315 35962 34543 76 289 76 300 75 299 70 296 62 315 34543 33071 64 290 66 299 70 302 64 299 55 312 33071 31531 49 288 56 295 66 307 61 303 48 311 31531 29912 49 287 46 286 58 307 49 306 45 307 29912 28216 50 285 44 279 44 295 40 304 47 302 28216 26442 45 279 40 270 41 285 39 301 48 301 26442 24590 32 274 32 269 37 276 40 298 40 309 24590 22665 25 269 28 275 33 268 36 296 37 308 22665 20668 29 278 26 274 29 266 29 283 29 297 20668 18599 27 273 20 267 21 269 25 277 26 290 18599 16495 24 270 18 272 17 275 21 285 23 288 16495 14468 19 266 16 275 15 286 16 294 18 298 14468 12625 17 275 14 283 14 301 13 303 13 307 12625 10990 16 289 12 298 9 298 12 319 9 321 10990 9538 11 287 8 240 6 268 10 327 7 339 9538 8245 7 263 6 209 4 235 7 301 5 309 8245 7094 7 253 6 228 5 296 7 282 6 240 7094 6074 8 265 8 253 4 312 5 273 6 227 6074 5176 6 263 7 250 2 332 3 261 6 230 5176 4383 5 241 6 250 2 014 2 268 5 234 4383 3674 2 223 1*205 2 043 1 309 2 238 3674 3047 2 107 3*096 2 060 1 055 1 146 3047 2523 5 085 3 094 2*082 1 146 4 131 2523 2121 5 072 3 092 2*089 2 167 6 130 2121 1843 4 070 3 093 2 093 2 171 6 131 1843 1675 4 069 3 094 2 098 2*170 5*129 1675 1579 3*066 3 094 1 095 2*169 4*124 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography