DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 84.0 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 151 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3819 - - 4753 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3804 - - 4324 - - - - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5204 - - 6138 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 902 - - 1257 - - - - - 808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 376 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 145 - - - - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 378 - - -529 - - - - - -1379 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4826 - - 6668 - - - - - 2958 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4675 - - -6119 - - - - - -3881 ODpotential blCL - - - 9879 - - 12257 - - - - - 5460 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 40 - - - - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 84.0 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.0 - - 60.1 - - - - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 82.7 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 59.1 - - - - - 65.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 151 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3819 - - 4753 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 0 - - - - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98076 20 263 32 260 27 296 98076 90668 18 218 22 244 14 276 90668 84977 13 194 18 193 8 268 84977 80257 9 143 18 152 7 208 80257 76197 8 142 6 127 7 130 76197 72612 8 128 7 120 15 105 72612 69404 9 098 14 120 14 114 69404 66495 9 148 5 138 8 115 66495 63812 19 155 8 159 6 113 63812 61230 21 151 11 166 13 123 61230 58574 15 158 14 162 13 150 58574 55847 13 193 14 173 11 199 55847 53246 16 197 17 194 17 205 53246 50892 19 192 19 196 19 194 50892 48773 19 188 19 193 19 189 48773 46837 23 178 23 174 20 188 46837 45039 28 169 29 166 20 183 45039 43357 29 171 29 168 18 188 43357 41775 27 178 26 176 18 198 41775 40281 28 183 24 188 19 204 40281 38863 29 186 26 192 20 218 38863 37487 29 188 27 188 20 225 37487 36088 28 187 27 187 19 223 36088 34637 28 186 25 192 19 223 34637 33138 25 188 22 199 16 226 33138 31577 22 194 18 200 14 233 31577 29941 20 203 17 220 17 251 29941 28229 22 225 16 240 17 258 28229 26443 18 200 15 227 11 243 26443 24585 21 163 16 175 10 219 24585 22661 20 158 16 171 5 226 22661 20667 15 151 12 173 3 296 20667 18605 11 136 6 185 2 176 18605 16508 12 140 10 202 2 194 16508 14486 15 188 12 196 4 135 14486 12649 13 193 10 186 4 114 12649 11019 11 193 8 177 6 036 11019 9572 12 195 7 182 8 029 9572 8286 13 196 9 169 2 068 8286 7142 14 193 11*156 7 148 7142 6123 13*174 11*151 8 137 6123 5221 13*166 11 149 10 123 5221 4421 12 164 11 146 13 114 4421 3703 12 162 11 144 17 110 3703 3068 12 162 10 142 20 108 3068 2536 11 160 10 141 21 104 2536 2128 11 159 10 140 20 100 2128 1847 10 159 9 139 16 094 1847 1677 9 158 9 138 11*087 1677 1579 8 158 8 138 6*079 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography