DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 92.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 255 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3468 - - 5601 - - - - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3698 - - 5241 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4853 - - 6986 - - - - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1125 - - 1356 - - - - - 440 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 470 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 162 - - - - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1146 - - -1274 - - - - - -4573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6000 - - 8260 - - - - - 6154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5449 - - -5091 - - - - - -9664 ODpotential blCL - - - 10302 - - 12077 - - - - - 11244 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 57 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 960 - - 540 - - - - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 92.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.3 - - 61.8 - - - - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 90.6 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 60.7 - - - - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 255 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3468 - - 5601 - - - - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98880 38 115 27 099 39 067 98880 91395 46 101 35 092 33 085 91395 85627 47 092 39 090 43 092 85627 80877 37 082 36 087 44 082 80877 76824 31 086 35 078 34 081 76824 73261 29 091 29 076 26 090 73261 70035 25 092 23 090 26 083 70035 67059 18 081 21 106 19 070 67059 64297 13 081 16 094 13 069 64297 61633 16 090 12 086 6 056 61633 58882 18 065 12 101 5 080 58882 56068 15 032 9 085 13 084 56068 53413 6 106 5 075 10 078 53413 51036 16 143 8 139 4 021 51036 48894 20 128 16 164 3 246 48894 46933 17 124 18 160 14 169 46933 45125 18 143 18 150 25 171 45125 43444 20 145 19 143 31 170 43444 41868 20 147 20 144 32 166 41868 40383 20 147 19 146 30 162 40383 38979 18 150 14 152 27 161 38979 37619 16 150 10 160 22 162 37619 36236 16 154 9 168 17 166 36236 34802 18 157 9 171 13 166 34802 33319 19 160 10 172 11 161 33319 31770 17 168 10 168 10 148 31770 30146 14 174 8 160 8 132 30146 28447 11 173 5 151 7 103 28447 26675 12 145 4 210 6 063 26675 24827 14 135 6 176 8 063 24827 22907 14 140 10 131 12 083 22907 20909 12 141 12 124 13 099 20909 18830 11 137 12 141 11 106 18830 16713 10 136 11 145 7 123 16713 14674 9 148 10 148 7 132 14674 12820 10 155 10 152 8 122 12820 11171 12 152 11 152 9 130 11171 9703 14 149 14 152 8 134 9703 8397 15 150 14 155 9 123 8397 7235 14 151 12*159 10 128 7235 6199 12 160 12*160 10 139 6199 5283 9*171 12 161 12 146 5283 4470 9*174 11 162 14 151 4470 3741 9 176 11 162 16 153 3741 3095 9 177 11 163 17 155 3095 2554 9 178 10 164 17 154 2554 2139 8 179 10 163 15 151 2139 1853 8 179 9 164 11 143 1853 1679 7 180 9 163 8*133 1679 1580 7 180 8 164 5*127 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography