DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.6 - - 48.2 - - 50.1 - - 45.7 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 171 - - 111 - - -23 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1479 - - 1590 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1993 - - 1807 - - 1560 - - 1560 Hcrit BL Top 1577 - - 2864 - - 2975 - - 1577 - - 1576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1452 - - 442 - - 392 - - 2058 - - 1615 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 261 - - 233 - - 27 - - 26 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 22 - - 23 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 009 - - 008 - - 014 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -15 - - -14 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -117 - - 130 - - -638 - - -1320 - - -556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1694 - - 2734 - - 3613 - - 2897 - - 2132 sfcLCL ODpotential -415 - - -8834 - - -11726 - - -13155 - - -1060 ODpotential blCL 1992 - - 11698 - - 14701 - - 14732 - - 2636 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 80 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.6 - - 48.2 - - 50.1 - - 45.7 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 42.0 - - 40.0 - - 38.8 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 47.2 - - 49.3 - - 46.3 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.4 - - 41.3 - - 39.3 - - 38.4 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 171 - - 111 - - -23 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 192 - - 1479 - - 1590 - - 192 - - 191 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 90 - - 100 - - 19 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 18 266 13 252 22 256 29 291 19 285 96426 89267 15 252 13 268 15 260 22 272 23 293 89267 83734 16 270 15 282 12 285 16 265 19 284 83734 79153 18 283 10 295 12 334 3 302 7 292 79153 75220 18 294 15 303 14 318 4 326 10 000 75220 71736 21 289 18 283 12 318 8 344 10 001 71736 68598 22 279 15 283 17 298 17 321 10 308 68598 65733 16 272 19 264 20 264 19 259 15 268 65733 63073 18 289 18 268 14 293 12 282 16 257 63073 60485 44 282 38 283 35 295 25 279 29 257 60485 57785 47 256 49 262 48 270 40 265 36 250 57785 54976 55 251 64 245 61 260 47 272 41 266 54976 52287 75 248 86 240 83 251 71 262 61 264 52287 49871 79 242 97 233 92 243 89 253 78 261 49871 47711 68 246 85 227 83 237 88 245 98 251 47711 45759 76 260 61 234 70 244 81 245 91 244 45759 43977 97 262 67 261 73 253 78 251 84 245 43977 42332 102 260 84 264 80 258 80 254 84 247 42332 40800 98 252 87 250 85 257 85 248 86 239 40800 39361 95 245 85 242 89 253 86 246 91 238 39361 37999 91 244 83 242 85 239 85 245 95 241 37999 36674 88 243 81 242 83 234 86 242 95 241 36674 35322 83 243 81 241 81 238 86 239 91 243 35322 33915 81 243 80 241 80 242 87 241 86 243 33915 32455 78 245 77 240 74 240 85 244 83 244 32455 30930 74 247 75 239 69 240 79 245 79 244 30930 29328 71 249 71 241 67 242 74 243 74 243 29328 27652 68 251 68 241 66 243 67 240 69 243 27652 25902 67 250 67 242 64 242 61 240 67 244 25902 24076 57 250 67 242 62 243 58 242 65 244 24076 22181 59 263 62 241 56 246 58 262 60 246 22181 20215 54 258 58 243 56 256 54 262 54 263 20215 18175 60 250 57 242 55 256 49 255 46 261 18175 16098 55 240 45 232 49 250 40 252 40 248 16098 14098 47 223 29 235 43 250 32 262 35 246 14098 12281 34 217 27 252 35 253 28 265 30 253 12281 10667 27 242 31 263 31 256 24 272 28 261 10667 9239 27 259 33 263 29 266 22 276 26 272 9239 7974 29 267 30 264 27 271 18 275 22 276 7974 6853 30 274 26 283 24 266 15 291 15 279 6853 5862 30 280 24 292 17 284 17 323 15 308 5862 4987 19 273 20 293 16 327 18 350 13 336 4987 4220 10 283 15 336 20 358 22 012 15 009 4220 3542 16 010 24 008 25*008 24 015 19 020 3542 2951 24 014 24*009 25*008 24 015 20 020 2951 2461 24 014 24*009 24 008 22 016 19 019 2461 2084 23 014 23 009 23 008 19 016 17 019 2084 1825 21 014 22 010 22 008 15 016 14 019 1825 1667 18*013 20 010 20 008 13*015 12 019 1667 1576 14*013 15 009 15 008 8*014 8*018 1576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography