DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 86.4 - - 84.4 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 193 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3039 - - 3790 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3199 - - 3725 - - 1563 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4424 - - 5175 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2124 - - 3593 - - 7215 - - 270 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 375 - - 34 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 124 - - 071 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 537 - - -343 - - -3993 - - -2833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3888 - - 5519 - - 5573 - - 4413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -218 - - -1516 - - -5477 - - -5523 ODpotential blCL - - - 4642 - - 6691 - - 7056 - - 7102 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 93 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 1020 - - 470 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 86.4 - - 84.4 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.9 - - 67.4 - - 65.3 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 84.8 - - 85.1 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 66.7 - - 64.6 - - 64.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 193 - - -10 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3039 - - 3790 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 73 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98332 12 126 3 208 5 105 7 072 98332 90903 19 089 13 148 8 122 11 072 90903 85200 18 086 18 109 11 101 15 088 85200 80477 13 083 20 094 16 079 22 098 80477 76412 10 055 19 091 19 076 24 096 76412 72839 12 053 11 076 17 082 21 093 72839 69634 6 103 6 059 13 080 17 072 69634 66711 8 149 4 058 8 087 11 045 66711 64021 11 115 6 077 7 085 7 044 64021 61429 9 117 7 091 1 056 4 023 61429 58745 10 134 11 137 5 173 6 220 58745 55986 7 185 8 194 5 235 7 224 55986 53390 9 218 15 236 18 253 21 255 53390 51066 12 285 15 268 14 238 18 239 51066 48953 20 292 23 279 19 287 16 272 48953 47002 23 275 25 273 35 283 40 285 47002 45190 31 271 29 268 40 268 42 271 45190 43503 38 265 39 261 42 259 42 261 43503 41923 39 256 44 257 48 259 49 263 41923 40435 41 247 37 253 43 256 46 262 40435 39026 37 240 26 251 33 241 31 255 39026 37659 31 236 20 253 22 225 24 230 37659 36270 34 232 26 249 18 240 15 240 36270 34828 33 226 31 241 18 261 15 260 34828 33337 32 211 31 232 27 252 25 251 33337 31783 31 208 32 221 33 236 31 239 31783 30153 33 214 33 224 32 229 30 231 30153 28444 32 214 31 219 29 228 27 230 28444 26657 26 207 26 211 26 219 24 224 26657 24795 21 192 21 205 23 215 22 213 24795 22863 18 183 18 195 21 213 21 211 22863 20854 12 184 13 188 19 211 20 210 20854 18765 7 191 9 181 13 187 13 193 18765 16638 6 191 6 183 8 165 12 175 16638 14592 7 143 5 146 5 142 6 145 14592 12740 9 137 8 112 10 107 11 109 12740 11101 12 123 15 105 15 114 10 130 11101 9646 13 122 17 125 15 134 10 132 9646 8350 14 140 16 139 15 145 11 122 8350 7194 16 148 14 142 12 136 12 117 7194 6165 15 145 11 136 11 119 13 113 6165 5256 14 140 9*130 10 107 14 109 5256 4450 13*139 9*127 9 099 15 107 4450 3726 11*136 8 125 9 092 16 106 3726 3084 11 136 8 124 8 087 16 103 3084 2547 11 135 8 123 8 082 15 098 2547 2135 10 135 7 122 8 077 13 093 2135 1850 10 135 7 122 7 075 11 088 1850 1678 9 135 7 122 6 072 7 075 1678 1579 8 135 6 121 4*071 4*066 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography