DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.4 - - 60.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 175 - - -25 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 2379 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2025 - - 2636 - - 1561 - - 1561 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2719 - - 3764 - - 1578 - - 1577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 537 - - 865 - - 1941 - - 285 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 307 - - 17 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 168 - - 146 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3232 - - -3440 - - -3876 - - -2539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5951 - - 7204 - - 5454 - - 4116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13361 - - -12620 - - -14554 - - -14675 ODpotential blCL - - - 16080 - - 16384 - - 16132 - - 16252 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 50 - - 44 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.4 - - 60.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 41.6 - - 42.1 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 65.8 - - 62.4 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 41.3 - - 41.9 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 175 - - -25 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 2379 - - 193 - - 192 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96587 45 256 35 248 43 266 40 256 96587 89287 34 261 29 264 28 276 19 274 89287 83707 24 281 24 266 25 284 13 305 83707 79095 20 295 13 267 23 272 20 308 79095 75157 15 291 10 298 19 251 22 285 75157 71701 14 303 11 301 9 238 19 265 71701 68591 17 307 12 307 9 308 16 269 68591 65754 17 299 14 307 14 327 11 280 65754 63140 18 298 18 311 18 323 12 298 63140 60601 30 283 29 293 24 315 21 309 60601 57943 32 273 39 285 35 294 32 297 57943 55181 38 270 46 279 38 288 37 292 55181 52524 44 274 46 270 44 287 39 289 52524 50103 52 275 51 267 51 276 50 280 50103 47928 56 276 59 266 60 268 66 267 47928 45973 51 277 56 266 61 268 68 263 45973 44201 49 288 59 290 63 290 65 280 44201 42575 52 290 71 297 77 295 79 290 42575 41055 50 289 74 299 80 291 80 288 41055 39617 47 288 74 300 78 293 76 288 39617 38252 48 290 70 298 76 297 74 288 38252 36926 52 293 59 291 65 295 68 286 36926 35573 54 291 51 280 59 285 65 284 35573 34164 53 289 51 273 53 273 61 278 34164 32701 48 284 52 271 55 268 59 269 32701 31172 41 273 58 267 61 265 57 266 31172 29569 47 275 60 266 63 263 55 265 29569 27896 51 276 53 270 56 266 50 266 27896 26150 44 281 45 273 43 268 40 267 26150 24335 36 285 39 274 36 272 31 267 24335 22451 30 278 32 268 31 274 27 265 22451 20488 25 272 29 265 31 267 27 260 20488 18441 23 262 29 259 31 261 30 257 18441 16353 24 258 28 258 30 260 30 260 16353 14340 24 259 27 260 28 268 28 267 14340 12510 22 267 23 266 25 280 24 276 12510 10882 18 282 17 276 22 291 20 285 10882 9436 15 295 14 281 18 298 17 292 9436 8147 11 286 11 275 14 294 14 300 8147 7001 7 263 6 243 11 275 9 297 7001 5986 6 244 8 214 11 246 10 262 5986 5093 7 235 8 209 11 221 14 236 5093 4310 8 217 7*179 11 184 15 213 4310 3614 7 185 7*171 13 166 17 187 3614 3002 5*158 7 169 14 160 20 173 3002 2493 5*152 7 168 14 156 21 164 2493 2102 5 150 7 167 13 153 20 152 2102 1833 5 149 7 167 12 151 16 146 1833 1670 4 148 6 167 9*149 10 146 1670 1577 4 147 6 166 5*146 5*147 1577 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography