DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.5 - - - - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 168 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3518 - - 4383 - - - - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3607 - - 4153 - - - - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4903 - - 5768 - - - - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1299 - - 1414 - - - - - 2262 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 390 - - - - - 32 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 18 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 171 - - - - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 371 - - 190 - - - - - -520 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4532 - - 5578 - - - - - 2099 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4437 - - -3958 - - - - - -2123 ODpotential blCL - - - 9340 - - 9726 - - - - - 3702 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 75 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1490 - - 1730 - - - - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 88.5 - - - - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.0 - - 69.1 - - - - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 87.2 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 67.9 - - - - - 72.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 168 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3518 - - 4383 - - - - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 2 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98868 28 099 28 106 30 069 98868 91315 36 097 29 095 33 079 91315 85520 34 094 34 097 32 088 85520 80751 26 095 31 095 29 085 80751 76660 22 094 27 089 25 078 76660 73058 21 102 24 087 24 079 73058 69807 21 102 19 090 26 084 69807 66832 18 094 15 098 21 090 66832 64104 10 116 12 117 14 105 64104 61485 12 151 12 141 8 142 61485 58756 13 139 11 147 7 147 58756 55948 6 099 11 132 10 131 55948 53309 7 016 6 087 10 106 53309 50961 2 028 6 046 13 065 50961 48858 5 067 10 019 16 033 48858 46930 7 048 11 024 17 017 46930 45136 8 032 13 014 16 016 45136 43457 7 030 12 355 16 033 43457 41881 7 033 3 021 14 030 41881 40394 7 036 5 096 8 029 40394 38986 8 015 7 094 9 070 38986 37622 7 016 8 080 10 076 37622 36233 11 070 6 081 10 075 36233 34791 17 075 4 102 10 072 34791 33298 18 058 7 118 9 074 33298 31740 18 043 13 085 10 086 31740 30106 16 042 12 063 13 080 30106 28398 15 057 13 075 15 083 28398 26619 12 088 12 070 14 091 26619 24770 11 114 10 060 15 088 24770 22852 11 126 7 052 14 078 22852 20857 11 128 4 073 9 064 20857 18778 10 124 4 091 5 061 18778 16663 11 118 7 116 3 058 16663 14629 11 129 9 128 1 004 14629 12779 13 164 10 153 5 194 12779 11132 20 179 15 172 11 194 11132 9665 25 186 20 179 17 188 9665 8357 27 189 23 186 20 184 8357 7193 27 191 21 184 21 186 7193 6161 24 190 20*180 23 189 6161 5249 19*184 20*176 25 185 5249 4441 18*182 19 174 26 177 4441 3717 18 182 19 172 30 164 3717 3078 17 181 19 170 31 156 3078 2544 17 180 18 169 29 154 2544 2133 16 180 18 168 26 153 2133 1850 15 180 17 168 22 152 1850 1678 14 179 16 167 18 152 1678 1579 12 180 13 167 13*151 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography