DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.1 - - 92.3 - - 91.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 214 - - -7 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4640 - - 6300 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4597 - - 5693 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6025 - - 7685 - - 1580 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1387 - - 2136 - - 8079 - - 2122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 462 - - 51 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 167 - - 160 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -82 - - 79 - - -6133 - - -2959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6108 - - 7606 - - 7714 - - 4538 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2390 - - -1480 - - -7802 - - -7172 ODpotential blCL - - - 8415 - - 9165 - - 9382 - - 8751 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 83 - - 66 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 1550 - - 1170 - - 750 - - 800 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.1 - - 92.3 - - 91.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.6 - - 64.4 - - 62.9 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 90.6 - - 91.3 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 63.4 - - 62.0 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 214 - - -7 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4640 - - 6300 - - 195 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98874 51 102 38 111 33 074 45 080 98874 91505 41 093 48 094 43 108 29 086 91505 85761 35 085 48 086 47 100 32 095 85761 80962 33 092 39 087 46 087 43 095 80962 76869 37 101 33 095 35 081 47 087 76869 73289 34 102 25 100 26 084 37 073 73289 70057 28 094 18 111 24 085 27 067 70057 67089 23 087 16 119 20 094 19 084 67089 64346 20 092 16 098 19 091 15 092 64346 61693 20 103 15 101 17 087 14 095 61693 58947 12 099 14 109 9 089 15 079 58947 56134 3 145 10 103 5 109 8 078 56134 53473 1 020 10 084 5 175 2 074 53473 51073 6 205 4 066 7 193 1 332 51073 48908 15 164 15 161 18 163 14 177 48908 46942 21 146 19 152 24 142 25 166 46942 45139 26 131 22 152 24 136 28 156 45139 43466 27 129 25 152 22 141 24 151 43466 41901 29 142 29 151 22 150 20 149 41901 40425 33 151 32 151 23 150 20 148 40425 39028 35 149 34 150 26 145 23 141 39028 37671 36 149 35 150 30 140 25 139 37671 36287 37 149 34 152 31 141 23 142 36287 34849 37 148 33 153 30 150 21 147 34849 33362 36 148 31 154 27 154 21 147 33362 31810 34 149 30 157 24 152 21 142 31810 30180 33 149 26 162 24 154 20 148 30180 28473 31 151 25 165 24 158 19 149 28473 26690 32 150 25 168 24 163 19 150 26690 24835 31 148 25 172 23 165 19 154 24835 22912 28 148 26 168 22 165 19 157 22912 20912 23 145 23 166 19 170 18 154 20912 18831 19 139 21 163 17 172 17 152 18831 16710 15 145 17 161 15 169 14 153 16710 14666 14 160 14 168 12 171 13 155 14666 12806 16 174 14 181 11 178 13 159 12806 11152 16 180 15 182 12 180 13 163 11152 9682 16 179 16 169 13 170 12 169 9682 8375 17 176 16*165 15 163 10 176 8375 7210 17 174 16*165 16 162 10 176 7210 6176 16*174 15 166 16 161 10 168 6176 5260 16*174 15 166 17 161 12 162 5260 4449 16 174 15 166 17 161 15 160 4449 3723 15 174 15 167 17 161 22 159 3723 3082 15 174 14 167 16 161 26 158 3082 2546 15 174 14 167 16 160 25 158 2546 2135 14 174 13 168 15 160 23 158 2135 1851 13 174 13 168 14 160 19 158 1851 1678 12 174 12 168 12 160 15 157 1678 1579 11 174 10 168 9*160 10*157 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography