DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 67.1 - - 61.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 235 - - 181 - - -21 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 446 - - 1177 - - 1947 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth Hcrit 1561 - - 1892 - - 2346 - - 1562 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 1831 - - 2562 - - 3332 - - 1578 - - 1578 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 548 - - 386 - - 824 - - 1542 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 267 - - 291 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 14 - - 16 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 209 - - 205 - - 200 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -71 - - -1301 - - -2515 - - -2925 - - -3492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1903 - - 3863 - - 5847 - - 4503 - - 5070 sfcLCL ODpotential -7922 - - -7324 - - -6995 - - -7618 - - -8861 ODpotential blCL 9753 - - 9886 - - 10327 - - 9196 - - 10439 blCL maxRH 99 - - 75 - - 56 - - 50 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.5 - - 58.9 - - 67.1 - - 61.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 47.4 - - 47.0 - - 47.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 57.2 - - 65.9 - - 64.2 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 46.9 - - 46.4 - - 47.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 235 - - 181 - - -21 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 446 - - 1177 - - 1947 - - 193 - - 193 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96456 34 283 25 269 23 265 18 316 33 280 96456 89298 25 270 18 268 23 227 23 263 17 294 89298 83777 20 268 19 266 15 242 25 262 19 286 83777 79175 17 268 21 269 18 272 20 255 19 259 79175 75207 17 273 19 277 18 285 17 269 16 259 75207 71687 18 276 20 278 20 291 20 270 15 262 71687 68496 18 271 20 267 18 275 20 276 20 265 68496 65580 26 272 27 270 29 272 29 270 24 271 65580 62895 33 264 38 259 38 266 37 280 38 269 62895 60308 41 252 45 258 51 267 47 271 48 260 60308 57610 41 255 46 258 55 261 50 261 51 261 57610 54795 37 264 45 258 51 256 48 262 53 263 54795 52083 41 269 45 258 47 264 53 265 56 264 52083 49624 46 263 46 260 55 270 61 266 60 264 49624 47409 51 255 54 263 63 267 65 266 63 261 47409 45390 59 253 63 261 64 267 65 269 62 261 45390 43543 61 256 61 261 70 273 73 272 65 269 43543 41862 62 266 57 269 80 271 79 271 80 273 41862 40327 65 270 62 277 75 279 78 270 87 272 40327 38899 64 269 67 277 100 292 75 275 89 273 38899 37553 61 267 66 276 101 289 76 284 92 276 37553 36249 59 268 66 278 86 286 76 286 93 278 36249 34919 60 270 69 278 72 281 74 285 89 277 34919 33538 59 271 67 275 69 274 72 283 85 275 33538 32107 56 270 64 273 70 273 67 277 79 273 32107 30617 53 267 60 271 69 275 62 269 69 269 30617 29055 52 265 55 269 61 277 54 265 62 265 29055 27421 51 267 51 269 51 274 46 270 57 267 27421 25713 51 267 48 270 45 271 42 272 53 272 25713 23934 50 267 48 271 42 271 43 271 50 276 23934 22085 47 269 45 273 42 274 44 273 48 277 22085 20160 40 269 40 274 42 277 43 276 45 279 20160 18156 33 264 35 268 38 275 40 278 39 285 18156 16116 29 257 33 257 33 262 36 276 36 289 16116 14155 30 263 34 259 34 254 32 265 34 284 14155 12375 29 264 33 261 34 254 33 258 34 278 12375 10793 24 262 26 251 30 252 31 262 33 273 10793 9383 19 263 22 247 26 238 25 266 29 274 9383 8124 17 270 19 254 21 241 21 260 26 277 8124 7001 19 279 18 269 17 260 21 264 23 276 7001 6003 22 280 19 278 17 266 21 272 20 273 6003 5121 22 259 20 265 18 252 16 271 16 257 5121 4341 22 232 21 238 19 221 12 228 18 209 4341 3643 24 218 22 216 18*207 16 196 21 195 3643 3026 29 208 22*210 18*205 17 192 21 188 3026 2509 28 207 16*209 17 205 15 194 20 180 2509 2112 24*213 15 209 16 205 13 198 19 175 2112 1839 18*216 14 210 15 206 11 200 16 173 1839 1673 15 216 13 209 14 206 8 201 10*172 1673 1578 12 216 11 210 11 206 5*200 6*169 1578 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography