DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.0 - - 59.9 - - 60.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 43 - - 413 - - 443 - - 143 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 496 - - 4338 - - 7965 - - 7858 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 8952 - - 11888 - - 11140 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6364 - - 10206 - - 13833 - - 13726 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1494 - - 3863 - - 2368 - - 1951 - - 5900 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 515 - - 645 - - 441 - - 7 W* B/S 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 237 - - 243 - - 248 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 14 - - 17 - - 13 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1732 - - 23 - - 122 - - -1105 - - -6809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8097 - - 10184 - - 13712 - - 14832 - - 12852 sfcLCL ODpotential -4511 - - -1952 - - -868 - - -4227 - - -11843 ODpotential blCL 10875 - - 12158 - - 14701 - - 17953 - - 17886 blCL maxRH 63 - - 73 - - 88 - - 62 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 53.0 - - 59.9 - - 60.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 29.3 - - 20.5 - - 15.8 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 50.5 - - 57.2 - - 58.8 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 28.6 - - 20.0 - - 15.4 - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 43 - - 413 - - 443 - - 143 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 496 - - 4338 - - 7965 - - 7858 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97075 58 290 64 279 67 289 51 296 39 298 97075 89840 43 289 46 291 49 293 55 296 46 300 89840 84227 37 287 41 282 42 283 49 286 48 289 84227 79545 31 274 35 268 39 273 45 278 44 278 79545 75499 29 266 29 254 33 259 40 256 43 264 75499 71902 27 260 27 242 33 247 38 242 35 255 71902 68641 34 249 34 245 36 251 33 244 32 251 68641 65653 41 238 42 250 38 250 36 248 35 253 65653 62888 43 240 46 247 39 241 41 244 40 251 62888 60204 45 240 43 246 35 240 42 241 43 248 60204 57390 38 243 40 242 36 247 41 244 41 250 57390 54472 33 250 34 237 39 241 42 248 41 256 54472 51698 30 261 31 242 36 239 39 244 42 255 51698 49207 32 263 32 258 35 249 34 250 39 255 49207 46977 36 265 39 264 38 261 38 268 36 263 46977 44967 35 259 35 261 38 257 42 265 36 264 44967 43149 30 257 30 252 28 264 34 262 32 272 43149 41497 22 277 20 280 18 288 19 270 31 262 41497 39974 30 310 23 328 14 319 13 277 23 252 39974 38554 29 325 26 351 17 332 11 282 20 259 38554 37223 30 350 30 003 19 334 12 288 23 272 37223 35948 38 005 29 010 19 329 16 288 27 275 35948 34670 40 003 24 008 20 321 21 285 27 276 34670 33365 38 357 20 348 22 319 23 288 26 280 33365 32035 36 355 21 343 24 323 21 296 24 282 32035 30669 32 356 21 346 24 328 20 303 23 281 30669 29260 26 360 21 345 22 331 18 305 23 280 29260 27811 23 003 20 339 18 332 17 303 21 276 27811 26322 22 000 20 334 17 332 16 302 18 272 26322 24798 23 356 20 332 16 333 14 302 17 273 24798 23242 25 351 19 335 15 334 12 306 15 271 23242 21648 24 346 18 339 13 332 9 305 14 266 21648 20010 22 342 17 342 11 333 7 295 14 263 20010 18358 21 340 16 339 11 333 8 287 15 261 18358 16776 20 340 16 333 13 327 10 287 16 263 16776 15339 18 338 16 329 12 319 10 282 18 264 15339 14056 16 334 15 329 11*305 10*271 20 258 14056 12905 14 327 14 327 10*283 10*267 20 250 12905 11865 13 318 12 319 10 273 11 258 19 246 11865 10923 12 309 9*307 10 257 11 254 17 244 10923 10071 11 300 8*286 11 243 12 249 14 242 10071 9305 10 294 7 266 11 238 12 246 13 241 9305 8614 8 289 7 248 11 233 12 244 12 239 8614 7982 6 284 8 230 11 230 12 241 11 237 7982 7414 4 274 8 222 11 226 12 241 10 234 7414 6931 2 249 8 217 11 224 12 239 9 229 6931 6555 1*174 8 214 11 222 12 237 9 221 6555 6294 2*124 8 211 11 222 12 237 7 212 6294 6135 2 128 8 210 11 221 11 237 5*204 6135 6043 2 128 8 209 10 220 10 236 4*202 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography