DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.1 - - 45.0 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 236 - - 1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1972 - - 3482 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6867 - - 8083 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7840 - - 9350 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1479 - - 2083 - - 3384 - - 514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 395 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 013 - - 007 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -18 - - -17 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5174 - - -4826 - - -7154 - - -4912 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13014 - - 14177 - - 13198 - - 10955 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12837 - - -11380 - - -14477 - - -13923 ODpotential blCL - - - 20677 - - 20730 - - 20520 - - 19965 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 45 - - 44 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.1 - - 45.0 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.9 - - 8.3 - - 8.8 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 47.4 - - 44.8 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.5 - - 7.8 - - 8.6 - - 9.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 236 - - 1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1972 - - 3482 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95352 61 273 77 280 62 291 54 277 95352 88426 35 281 53 283 46 298 50 297 88426 83071 29 294 42 292 36 302 44 306 83071 78590 34 297 43 298 33 298 39 314 78590 74712 30 296 38 303 29 297 35 317 74712 71267 26 304 34 314 28 310 32 316 71267 68125 29 309 36 314 37 323 36 322 68125 65225 35 307 36 308 49 318 48 320 65225 62551 40 307 36 300 54 304 54 306 62551 59984 42 310 35 304 46 298 49 296 59984 57296 43 317 40 321 37 312 44 311 57296 54491 53 322 51 325 52 326 57 320 54491 51816 64 313 62 317 65 313 61 304 51816 49398 64 309 61 314 59 303 53 301 49398 47212 62 328 57 331 49 320 57 319 47212 45232 75 343 67 342 65 330 69 326 45232 43449 82 340 73 339 79 327 74 325 43449 41827 77 337 73 335 79 328 71 330 41827 40323 66 352 75 340 78 338 71 340 40323 38913 73 002 78 346 81 345 68 342 38913 37587 83 001 77 349 79 345 63 340 37587 36314 85 358 73 353 72 344 60 337 36314 35033 82 358 70 357 65 344 56 337 35033 33719 79 359 68 358 62 345 52 342 33719 32375 76 360 67 355 62 348 47 346 32375 30990 74 359 66 352 63 354 45 349 30990 29556 73 359 63 353 60 355 44 351 29556 28076 71 360 60 355 55 350 43 349 28076 26550 66 001 57 359 50 349 41 345 26550 24988 62 000 53 001 46 355 39 342 24988 23394 60 358 47 001 44 360 38 343 23394 21767 56 359 45 359 42 359 40 347 21767 20099 51 001 43 357 42 357 42 351 20099 18418 44 003 39 357 42 357 42 355 18418 16806 37 005 35 359 40 358 40 358 16806 15341 30 006 31 003 35 000 37 360 15341 14034 24 003 27 006 30 002 33 000 14034 12863 18 357 22 006 24 003 29 001 12863 11810 15 351 17 004 19 003 25 004 11810 10862 13 350 14 003 15 002 22 007 10862 10010 13 356 12*005 13 003 20 011 10010 9246 13 007 12*007 12 007 18 015 9246 8561 14 014 12 010 13 008 16 020 8561 7938 15*018 12 012 13 009 15 026 7938 7380 14*020 12 014 14 007 16 030 7380 6907 14 021 11 015 14 007 16 029 6907 6540 13 022 11 017 14 007 15 021 6540 6286 12 022 10 018 13 007 11 017 6286 6131 11 023 10 018 11*007 7*014 6131 6042 9 024 9 019 8*007 3*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography