DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 54.6 - - 55.9 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 202 - - -12 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 3989 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6220 - - 8409 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7086 - - 9857 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2220 - - 2349 - - 7798 - - 4428 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 396 - - 26 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 186 - - 190 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 35 - - 29 - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -578 - - -736 - - -6401 - - -6026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7664 - - 10593 - - 12445 - - 12070 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4193 - - -4055 - - -9101 - - -10277 ODpotential blCL - - - 11279 - - 13912 - - 15144 - - 16320 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 84 - - 89 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 54.6 - - 55.9 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 29.0 - - 22.2 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 53.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 28.5 - - 21.9 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 202 - - -12 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1218 - - 3989 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 37 - - 56 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96642 19 116 26 087 32 103 30 106 96642 89518 26 115 23 109 17 114 23 090 89518 83974 20 111 19 120 12 126 12 075 83974 79345 9 137 9 120 9 120 8 109 79345 75340 5 127 2 126 4 069 10 064 75340 71774 9 235 7 212 12 255 4 311 71774 68558 14 260 9 290 11 284 6 354 68558 65613 28 245 22 262 15 283 9 303 65613 62851 29 233 29 239 17 252 15 260 62851 60163 26 256 29 257 25 264 31 278 60163 57354 45 252 43 253 42 261 36 255 57354 54437 63 244 63 246 74 250 58 250 54437 51685 73 243 76 246 83 250 63 254 51685 49219 79 247 86 249 89 250 74 257 49219 47002 86 251 94 252 94 250 85 255 47002 44984 93 254 98 252 97 248 92 254 44984 43131 98 254 101 250 97 246 97 251 43131 41418 103 249 106 244 98 244 102 248 41418 39831 106 246 109 238 99 243 108 246 39831 38365 107 247 109 237 101 241 116 245 38365 37012 106 249 107 238 103 239 123 244 37012 35731 101 248 106 240 104 238 125 242 35731 34453 96 246 102 240 102 238 119 242 34453 33148 93 244 97 239 99 238 108 241 33148 31819 93 243 96 239 94 240 98 240 31819 30454 93 242 95 242 90 242 92 237 30454 29045 90 242 92 243 87 243 89 235 29045 27597 86 241 87 241 85 243 87 234 27597 26113 82 240 84 238 81 241 85 232 26113 24596 79 238 82 237 77 238 82 231 24596 23050 76 238 79 237 77 236 77 230 23050 21474 72 238 73 235 76 235 73 229 21474 19857 66 237 67 232 71 233 70 228 19857 18228 59 234 63 229 65 229 65 225 18228 16666 54 230 61 228 61 226 59 222 16666 15246 51 227 57 228 57 223 55 222 15246 13976 48 226 52 228 49 218 53 222 13976 12835 45 224 44 224 42 212 52 221 12835 11806 40 222 38 215 38 209 52 218 11806 10875 34 216 32 204 36 208 50 216 10875 10034 28 206 29*196 33 206 46 213 10034 9276 24 192 27*192 30 202 43 212 9276 8592 23 185 24 190 27 199 41 212 8592 7967 22 180 22 187 25 196 40 212 7967 7403 21*171 20 183 24 194 39 211 7403 6924 18*169 19 182 23 192 37 209 6924 6552 16 168 18 182 22 191 33 207 6552 6293 15 169 17 181 20 191 25 204 6293 6134 14 169 16 181 18*190 21*203 6134 6043 12 168 14 181 14*190 12*202 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography