DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 46.9 - - - - - 37.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 139 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 733 - - 1118 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6105 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6601 - - 6986 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 569 - - 556 - - - - - 322 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 228 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 215 - - - - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3502 - - -3867 - - - - - -1941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10103 - - 10853 - - - - - 7984 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11821 - - -11254 - - - - - -11222 ODpotential blCL - - - 18422 - - 18240 - - - - - 17265 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 60 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 46.9 - - - - - 37.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 20.8 - - - - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 45.7 - - - - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 20.4 - - - - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 139 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 733 - - 1118 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 4 317 7 041 10 264 96219 89157 13 341 11 005 1 058 89157 83688 4 005 6 299 7 298 83688 79141 11 342 15 283 15 318 79141 75208 18 303 18 284 25 328 75208 71705 13 290 15 261 31 328 71705 68505 16 300 8 282 24 301 68505 65590 20 310 12 287 16 292 65590 62900 32 289 30 293 6 286 62900 60304 39 275 47 291 33 293 60304 57606 41 278 45 297 45 291 57606 54773 46 285 39 299 59 293 54773 52045 53 291 46 297 72 293 52045 49578 70 293 73 292 76 294 49578 47360 85 288 86 286 75 299 47360 45346 85 282 83 283 80 308 45346 43508 75 285 80 288 96 312 43508 41823 79 296 87 299 109 307 41823 40272 86 300 100 304 109 302 40272 38832 89 303 103 305 98 302 38832 37482 94 307 100 308 87 315 37482 36190 99 310 99 310 90 333 36190 34895 90 311 98 309 108 345 34895 33573 77 308 95 308 122 347 33573 32227 64 309 93 308 115 342 32227 30848 58 321 91 308 99 331 30848 29427 59 327 91 309 100 325 29427 27964 58 325 90 311 105 324 27964 26462 53 317 87 312 100 322 26462 24923 49 307 83 311 88 315 24923 23351 50 302 78 308 81 309 23351 21738 49 302 69 304 77 308 21738 20080 43 301 58 299 77 309 20080 18406 38 295 51 296 75 311 18406 16805 37 291 46 295 71 311 16805 15352 35 291 42 295 63 309 15352 14058 34 292 38 298 55 305 14058 12898 32 292 35 301 48 304 12898 11853 31 291 32 303 42 307 11853 10908 30 288 32 302 37 313 10908 10055 28 283 31 299 34 316 10055 9287 25 275 29 294 31 316 9287 8594 20 264 23 292 28 313 8594 7962 15 249 15 290 23 306 7962 7395 11 238 7*277 17 295 7395 6916 5*229 4*230 9 285 6916 6545 1*226 4 216 2 260 6545 6288 1 223 4 211 2 124 6288 6132 1 212 4 208 3*100 6132 6043 1 206 4 206 2*096 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography