DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 40.8 - - 42.1 - - 40.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 107 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 1041 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6042 - - 6909 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1810 - - 1402 - - 3352 - - 2032 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 210 - - 49 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 094 - - 315 - - 230 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -25 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 867 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -253 - - 85 - - -1161 - - -2051 ODpotential blCL - - - 6295 - - 6824 - - 7203 - - 8093 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.7 - - 40.8 - - 42.1 - - 40.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 38.2 - - 37.5 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 41.8 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 36.9 - - 36.7 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 107 - - 6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 1041 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 88 - - 92 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96473 24 078 28 065 27 108 14 088 96473 89412 23 097 23 090 23 104 18 079 89412 83899 21 099 21 105 15 097 15 082 83899 79301 14 106 17 096 8 093 8 070 79301 75330 8 103 8 057 4 085 5 053 75330 71810 9 121 2 246 1 243 7 357 71810 68623 5 025 2 271 3 256 9 295 68623 65691 9 304 8 259 9 263 13 288 65691 62957 16 284 16 266 18 274 20 279 62957 60294 17 269 23 259 22 264 21 260 60294 57495 24 269 28 262 23 269 20 263 57495 54578 36 258 36 262 29 280 27 284 54578 51793 40 250 38 260 32 285 35 288 51793 49286 38 247 35 258 34 288 38 286 49286 47034 41 248 32 257 38 284 41 281 47034 44980 45 249 34 252 39 274 42 281 44980 43090 50 247 38 250 39 268 42 283 43090 41344 56 241 44 248 39 265 40 280 41344 39727 63 239 48 244 41 259 37 272 39727 38231 72 237 53 244 44 248 33 262 38231 36849 83 232 62 242 43 240 27 262 36849 35543 90 230 76 234 40 239 24 268 35543 34244 97 230 84 232 38 241 27 265 34244 32928 100 228 98 229 41 235 29 246 32928 31606 94 227 98 223 49 226 25 238 31606 30262 79 226 87 221 65 221 26 239 30262 28879 61 223 85 224 68 224 29 239 28879 27456 55 220 82 228 59 226 29 242 27456 25993 50 219 72 231 50 228 28 240 25993 24493 38 218 57 232 42 226 21 241 24493 22961 35 226 45 232 35 221 15 231 22961 21393 37 228 31 233 22 212 14 227 21393 19781 32 227 24 237 18 212 14 242 19781 18153 30 228 23 244 20 226 14 249 18153 16593 29 230 26 245 19 236 11 279 16593 15176 28 228 28 236 17 244 7 316 15176 13911 27 218 29 227 15 240 6 332 13911 12773 24 215 30 216 15 230 8 333 12773 11747 22 219 27 201 15 227 8 324 11747 10820 21 225 23 192 13 235 8 317 10820 9984 21 230 17 191 11 243 7 319 9984 9232 20 232 12 199 10 242 7 329 9232 8554 18 232 8 218 8 241 8 344 8554 7935 12 227 7 246 6 240 10 355 7935 7379 6 208 7*270 3 237 13 002 7379 6909 3 144 7*297 2 236 13 006 6909 6542 3 104 7 316 2 233 10 010 6542 6288 3 097 7 321 2 234 6 017 6288 6132 3*095 7 322 2 232 4 023 6132 6042 3*094 6 322 2*230 1*046 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography