DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 45.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 421 - - 449 - - 105 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1284 - - 3870 - - 4601 - - 4071 - - 1701 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 8587 - - 9184 - - 8099 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 7152 - - 9738 - - 10469 - - 9939 - - 7569 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1501 - - 1394 - - 1459 - - 2227 - - 2221 Hgt.Variab. W* 184 - - 497 - - 538 - - 320 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 25 - - 20 - - 23 - - 20 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 352 - - 336 - - 334 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 15 - - 12 - - 10 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg -45 - - -31 - - -35 - - -34 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7142 - - -6147 - - -5682 - - -5977 - - -7004 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14295 - - 15885 - - 16152 - - 15916 - - 14574 sfcLCL ODpotential -16757 - - -15039 - - -13931 - - -14061 - - -16927 ODpotential blCL 23909 - - 24777 - - 24400 - - 24000 - - 24496 blCL maxRH 60 - - 90 - - 71 - - 67 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 45.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.3 - - -3.2 - - -0.3 - - 1.9 - - 0.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 42.8 - - 46.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.7 - - -3.7 - - -0.9 - - 1.4 - - 0.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 421 - - 449 - - 105 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1284 - - 3870 - - 4601 - - 4071 - - 1701 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 61 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96562 18 212 14 237 12 242 14 216 16 294 96562 89351 7 189 6 161 6 220 2 294 13 338 89351 83787 4 098 4 103 2 104 6 008 16 004 83787 79202 9 034 10 099 4 081 7 048 10 037 79202 75249 13 022 9 049 10 072 10 049 12 048 75249 71743 16 009 10 021 12 039 12 037 13 057 71743 68566 17 034 15 022 11 016 15 020 20 044 68566 65633 18 354 13 026 12 045 13 351 24 013 65633 62925 13 339 20 010 18 049 4 329 19 343 62925 60321 13 006 24 349 16 348 11 024 7 297 60321 57561 6 285 11 328 17 311 13 357 12 351 57561 54640 10 276 14 228 25 313 35 345 41 353 54640 51855 46 331 33 331 49 330 56 342 67 347 51855 49379 70 331 62 339 63 334 64 339 78 343 49379 47190 73 332 80 339 75 337 72 341 88 343 47190 45236 85 328 103 332 96 337 88 344 101 341 45236 43475 91 315 110 322 108 335 107 341 106 341 43475 41855 81 305 95 317 100 328 107 338 105 347 41855 40341 68 314 84 331 83 335 96 339 109 356 40341 38916 75 335 103 348 97 358 90 347 112 001 38916 37571 94 345 121 352 113 004 95 356 112 003 37571 36277 109 346 120 351 108 359 100 356 111 003 36277 34978 114 345 114 349 102 353 103 354 104 001 34978 33651 107 343 111 348 98 347 106 352 98 356 33651 32300 98 340 110 346 92 342 107 352 94 353 32300 30913 93 337 110 345 90 338 106 352 90 351 30913 29482 90 334 107 343 91 336 106 351 87 351 29482 28006 88 332 101 339 92 337 96 346 85 351 28006 26490 86 330 96 334 89 336 86 340 83 350 26490 24935 83 327 93 329 81 333 79 337 79 348 24935 23348 80 322 89 325 75 331 76 337 75 347 23348 21723 76 317 85 321 72 331 73 339 71 346 21723 20053 73 314 83 318 69 332 68 340 68 345 20053 18368 72 312 80 317 67 331 59 339 65 343 18368 16754 71 313 75 318 65 331 51 336 60 339 16754 15289 71 316 68 320 62 330 47 334 54 335 15289 13986 70 319 60 323 57 330 43 330 47 333 13986 12823 69 323 52 327 49 329 36 326 40 333 12823 11780 67 328 44 332 39 330 29 325 36 334 11780 10841 64 333 36 337 30*331 24 327 32 334 10841 9997 59 337 30*342 26*333 23*329 29 335 9997 9241 54 342 27*346 25 334 23*330 28 338 9241 8560 49 346 23 350 24 336 22 332 27 344 8560 7941 44 350 21 352 23 336 21 334 26*350 7941 7384 37*353 20 354 22 337 21 335 23*354 7384 6912 32*354 18 355 21 337 20 335 18 357 6912 6544 28 356 17 355 20 337 19 336 12 360 6544 6289 24 356 16 356 18 337 17 336 7 006 6289 6132 20 358 14 356 17 337 16 336 3 019 6132 6042 14 359 12 356 14 336 13 336 1 146 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography