DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 63.6 - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 340 - - 370 - - 61 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1962 - - 4507 - - 5988 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7069 - - 9045 - - 8994 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7830 - - 10375 - - 11856 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1274 - - 807 - - 2700 - - 2881 - - 931 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 370 - - 502 - - 305 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 183 - - 246 - - 248 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 12 - - 13 - - 25 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6657 - - -6246 - - -6230 - - -5813 - - -9626 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12701 - - 14076 - - 16606 - - 17670 - - 15670 sfcLCL ODpotential -13871 - - -11722 - - -10530 - - -10526 - - -15997 ODpotential blCL 19914 - - 19552 - - 20905 - - 22382 - - 22041 blCL maxRH 74 - - 72 - - 71 - - 82 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 63.6 - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 23.1 - - 20.8 - - 17.2 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 61.2 - - 70.2 - - 73.3 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 22.8 - - 20.3 - - 16.7 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 340 - - 370 - - 61 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1962 - - 4507 - - 5988 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 24 275 32 275 34 275 28 302 27 285 96499 89358 11 294 19 272 26 269 29 303 29 317 89358 83920 11 313 10 255 15 270 18 296 20 320 83920 79380 22 316 12 288 13 295 12 296 17 331 79380 75431 18 308 16 310 19 303 19 297 23 331 75431 71953 14 319 13 338 9 323 17 284 25 324 71953 68836 24 335 19 337 11 358 14 294 21 301 68836 65965 27 325 23 328 19 348 12 324 18 318 65965 63295 31 314 31 321 28 334 26 330 28 330 63295 60716 33 302 37 309 34 318 35 322 33 330 60716 58033 36 300 40 307 40 312 46 321 45 326 58033 55255 47 304 48 306 50 307 52 311 46 312 55255 52576 52 296 50 301 51 305 45 309 40 313 52576 50129 46 298 54 312 51 314 49 332 50 336 50129 47920 59 318 63 316 63 325 74 336 68 341 47920 45918 64 314 69 314 79 322 83 327 77 335 45918 44101 61 309 68 313 75 316 69 321 72 325 44101 42447 62 317 58 314 55 316 53 341 56 325 42447 40920 69 327 51 308 44 321 62 353 48 347 40920 39494 71 326 50 307 43 319 53 346 49 350 39494 38151 64 320 49 305 47 315 50 341 50 341 38151 36861 55 314 49 304 50 310 52 339 50 333 36861 35561 53 308 49 303 48 307 56 335 55 329 35561 34228 52 307 49 302 42 305 58 328 59 329 34228 32866 49 308 49 298 43 304 58 321 58 331 32866 31466 46 303 52 297 44 305 55 318 55 330 31466 30018 43 295 53 300 43 303 52 319 54 326 30018 28526 43 292 52 302 42 302 49 320 52 323 28526 26991 44 293 47 300 43 303 46 321 49 324 26991 25415 43 294 42 295 43 306 41 319 47 326 25415 23805 41 293 39 291 40 305 40 314 43 324 23805 22157 38 294 36 288 37 300 38 310 38 317 22157 20466 33 292 32 288 36 294 36 304 35 307 20466 18764 28 288 29 287 34 292 34 299 32 297 18764 17135 26 284 26 286 30 291 31 298 26 293 17135 15655 25 276 23 287 26 291 28 297 22 293 15655 14330 24 267 22 287 23 289 24 290 21 288 14330 13138 22 262 22 284 20 285 20 276 22 279 13138 12060 21 266 22 280 18 279 18*265 23 271 12060 11084 20 272 22 277 16*275 17*262 24 267 11084 10203 18 273 21 274 15*272 16 257 25 264 10203 9411 14 267 18 270 12 259 15 252 24 263 9411 8696 7 245 10 256 11 254 15 247 23 261 8696 8044 5 183 6*201 10 240 14 244 21 259 8044 7456 10 156 6*185 10 235 13 240 18 257 7456 6959 11 147 6 183 10 231 13 238 14 253 6959 6572 6 136 6 182 9 228 13 237 9 247 6572 6302 3 098 6 181 9 226 12 236 5 233 6302 6138 3*035 6 181 9 225 12 235 2*213 6138 6044 3*022 6 182 8 225 10 234 0*154 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography