DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 44.3 - - 52.4 - - 50.3 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 213 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 882 - - 1834 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6839 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6750 - - 7702 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 346 - - 1105 - - 3474 - - 4515 - - 746 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 224 - - 309 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 22 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 202 - - 288 - - 133 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 7 - - 15 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3274 - - -3841 - - -4753 - - -6129 - - -3979 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9316 - - 10591 - - 12455 - - 12173 - - 10022 sfcLCL ODpotential -13611 - - -10605 - - -10106 - - -11582 - - -12568 ODpotential blCL 19653 - - 17355 - - 17808 - - 17625 - - 18611 blCL maxRH 67 - - 53 - - 54 - - 48 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 44.3 - - 52.4 - - 50.3 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.1 - - 19.5 - - 19.2 - - 18.5 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.3 - - 42.8 - - 50.8 - - 50.5 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.0 - - 19.3 - - 18.9 - - 18.1 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 213 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 882 - - 1834 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95390 83 277 62 273 84 278 68 284 69 265 95390 88410 51 283 50 279 50 285 58 281 37 299 88410 83050 35 310 41 283 40 290 42 288 42 299 83050 78616 31 324 31 297 33 301 28 304 35 299 78616 74803 28 317 25 308 28 304 28 308 22 310 74803 71406 28 309 25 309 27 304 37 297 25 344 71406 68298 34 312 29 317 30 307 41 298 29 341 68298 65420 43 318 35 321 33 308 43 302 34 322 65420 62750 46 322 38 323 38 310 42 305 37 301 62750 60165 49 321 43 327 42 317 38 327 36 316 60165 57450 54 322 51 329 47 328 44 345 48 330 57450 54615 62 318 60 324 64 330 64 333 60 314 54615 51910 68 305 68 311 74 319 61 329 59 316 51910 49474 60 299 65 303 67 308 59 331 59 327 49474 47279 51 305 60 305 60 309 63 326 66 324 47279 45284 55 312 61 314 62 311 63 320 66 312 45284 43480 55 317 59 320 58 309 59 315 56 305 43480 41850 61 326 58 326 50 307 55 312 41 315 41850 40349 64 323 52 322 38 317 51 312 36 330 40349 38941 55 315 43 316 36 320 46 312 44 334 38941 37617 48 318 39 323 35 317 44 324 54 333 37617 36348 48 325 37 330 35 318 46 338 57 332 36348 35072 48 328 37 335 35 320 41 339 55 333 35072 33763 48 330 37 334 35 319 38 337 51 336 33763 32424 46 330 36 327 36 318 44 338 52 340 32424 31046 44 329 35 322 39 328 50 339 55 343 31046 29618 45 330 37 323 48 338 52 340 56 344 29618 28148 48 333 44 330 55 341 52 343 56 345 28148 26635 51 337 51 336 58 338 51 344 54 348 26635 25083 55 339 57 338 58 338 51 344 54 353 25083 23493 58 341 60 339 60 341 58 344 51 355 23493 21861 58 342 59 342 59 344 63 344 51 352 21861 20183 54 343 54 344 56 344 58 345 54 350 20183 18491 48 344 47 342 51 341 50 346 52 349 18491 16871 42 344 42 338 46 339 46 345 47 349 16871 15400 38 344 38 337 42 339 42 344 41 349 15400 14087 35 346 34 340 36 343 37 347 36 352 14087 12910 31 348 29 345 30 348 30 352 31 356 12910 11853 27 349 25 350 24 352 23 356 25 001 11853 10901 24 352 22 355 19 353 17 001 21 005 10901 10043 21 354 19 359 15 353 13 004 16 010 10043 9276 18 357 16 002 13 352 10 006 13 015 9276 8586 15 360 12 003 10 349 7 008 10 024 8586 7958 12 002 7 004 6*339 5 009 8 034 7958 7395 10 003 2 350 4*319 3 010 7 042 7395 6917 7 002 2*215 3 298 1 025 6 047 6917 6547 6 360 3*208 3 280 1 049 5 052 6547 6290 4 354 4 203 2 266 0 113 5 053 6290 6132 1*322 4 201 2 259 1*126 4*054 6132 6043 1*299 4 199 2 254 1*133 3*048 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography