DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.1 - - 87.6 - - 94.9 - - 94.2 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 149 - - 469 - - 495 - - 187 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1217 - - 3402 - - 13653 - - 13382 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6244 - - 8251 - - 16628 - - 15699 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7085 - - 9270 - - 19521 - - 19250 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 923 - - 8653 - - 1819 - - 2949 - - 3621 Hgt.Variab. W* 239 - - 493 - - 799 - - 575 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 16 - - 34 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 171 - - 031 - - 027 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 19 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 12 - - -15 - - -20 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -12162 - - -7767 - - -1577 - - -1955 - - -13754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 19247 - - 17038 - - 21099 - - 21206 - - 19800 sfcLCL ODpotential -17250 - - -10161 - - -3703 - - -4013 - - -17034 ODpotential blCL 24335 - - 19431 - - 23224 - - 23263 - - 23079 blCL maxRH 34 - - 32 - - 41 - - 45 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 79.1 - - 87.6 - - 94.9 - - 94.2 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 33.5 - - 21.6 - - 20.8 - - 18.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.6 - - 84.4 - - 91.5 - - 92.5 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.6 - - 33.3 - - 21.5 - - 20.7 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 149 - - 469 - - 495 - - 187 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1217 - - 3402 - - 13653 - - 13382 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99311 40 089 35 109 34 109 27 098 30 087 99311 91808 27 097 26 097 28 100 30 101 25 082 91808 86056 22 099 20 106 24 102 27 098 18 091 86056 81282 22 096 16 113 17 102 22 097 20 102 81282 77156 19 095 19 114 13 118 18 095 23 097 77156 73520 22 106 20 109 16 126 16 114 17 081 73520 70256 20 107 16 118 17 126 14 121 11 088 70256 67267 15 105 18 135 15 120 13 136 12 112 67267 64493 8 080 20 126 13 142 11 134 7 123 64493 61827 6 183 7 073 15 156 9 159 4 130 61827 59094 9 171 2 251 8 157 6 149 8 168 59094 56306 3 002 6 188 2 227 5 182 10 141 56306 53672 13 280 9 228 10 294 4 286 7 089 53672 51301 15 250 11 235 10 261 6 273 2 078 51301 49155 13 247 9 255 8 241 5 218 5 196 49155 47182 18 263 11 270 9 241 7 196 8 209 47182 45352 21 261 12 264 11 235 8 202 11 221 45352 43641 22 256 16 266 12 245 8 226 12 225 43641 42034 20 260 19 271 11 260 7 258 11 201 42034 40520 18 270 18 273 9 284 4 264 6 155 40520 39098 17 274 15 276 9 300 1 348 6 082 39098 37737 20 262 13 275 9 294 4 007 6 072 37737 36372 26 254 17 257 15 288 15 320 7 046 36372 34977 27 240 19 246 22 276 24 314 19 008 34977 33562 16 256 12 267 17 271 22 316 25 359 33562 32116 21 295 14 296 13 309 19 327 14 004 32116 30625 23 306 14 320 12 328 13 339 12 027 30625 29090 23 326 15 346 5 353 3 333 6 029 29090 27521 25 344 18 001 7 045 6 106 4 123 27521 25925 26 346 22 359 14 041 12 088 11 124 25925 24299 22 001 23 358 18 037 15 076 15 106 24299 22636 16 007 22 009 19 044 14 061 18 078 22636 20925 13 359 16 025 16*044 13*020 19 060 20925 19191 8 339 10 037 14*029 14*014 17 052 19191 17521 5 309 7 041 12 024 13 016 15 048 17521 15995 5 320 6 040 11 024 12 019 13 044 15995 14626 4 325 5 045 10 027 11 023 12 040 14626 13392 4 324 5 051 7 031 9 028 10 033 13392 12276 2 304 3 060 4 036 6 033 7 017 12276 11266 2 171 1 107 2 053 4 043 6 351 11266 10353 5 159 3 178 1 143 2 080 6 320 10353 9532 5 143 5*173 2 184 2 160 7 296 9532 8791 5 121 5*171 3 191 3 180 8 279 8791 8116 6 116 5 170 4 197 4 186 9 267 8116 7508 10*127 6 171 5 198 5 188 9 258 7508 6993 11*131 6 171 5 198 5 190 10 252 6993 6592 11 131 6 172 5 199 6 191 10 249 6592 6314 10 130 6 173 5 199 6 191 9 251 6314 6143 9 131 6 173 5 199 6 192 7*258 6143 6045 8 131 6 173 5 199 6 191 6*263 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography