DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 54.5 - - 48.0 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 122 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 1255 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6116 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6623 - - 7123 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 680 - - 1022 - - 1289 - - 534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 227 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 159 - - 066 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - -2 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2068 - - -3497 - - -3198 - - -3785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8692 - - 10621 - - 9242 - - 9828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9425 - - -9234 - - -10182 - - -11990 ODpotential blCL - - - 16048 - - 16357 - - 16225 - - 18033 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 70 - - 68 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 54.5 - - 48.0 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 29.3 - - 29.0 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 53.3 - - 52.0 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 29.0 - - 28.8 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 122 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 1255 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 36 295 30 293 29 308 17 306 95965 88924 28 289 26 305 24 316 14 322 88924 83455 24 277 25 288 24 297 13 319 83455 78894 15 279 22 278 25 278 22 301 78894 74965 13 298 18 270 23 258 20 292 74965 71507 16 287 13 300 10 307 10 293 71507 68384 22 284 24 275 18 287 23 266 68384 65553 37 261 39 263 39 264 35 260 65553 62968 37 265 39 270 35 265 34 259 62968 60439 43 272 40 272 32 276 35 254 60439 57776 54 263 51 261 45 264 46 254 57776 55001 63 251 63 251 62 253 58 247 55001 52342 62 244 65 246 70 248 68 245 52342 49938 60 249 64 249 74 249 74 246 49938 47773 69 258 70 253 79 251 80 248 47773 45796 80 257 81 255 85 251 84 249 45796 43970 84 255 86 252 87 250 84 247 43970 42271 82 258 86 252 84 250 82 247 42271 40687 85 265 87 259 84 256 81 254 40687 39218 91 270 89 263 86 262 82 261 39218 37858 86 271 86 265 85 264 84 264 37858 36563 71 265 81 265 79 264 83 264 36563 35263 64 253 69 259 73 262 78 262 35263 33930 63 251 64 253 63 259 75 260 33930 32571 61 252 61 253 57 254 67 258 32571 31177 59 252 59 252 57 254 59 253 31177 29741 57 252 58 252 56 256 55 253 29741 28265 55 253 55 254 55 258 50 257 28265 26746 53 256 52 256 53 258 47 258 26746 25188 52 257 50 257 50 255 45 257 25188 23595 52 255 49 254 47 252 44 254 23595 21961 51 252 49 251 46 250 42 252 21961 20282 49 250 48 249 44 252 39 252 20282 18587 45 252 45 249 41 253 36 253 18587 16964 40 253 40 248 37 252 32 252 16964 15489 35 252 36 246 34 249 30 249 15489 14172 31 250 33 244 31 245 28 244 14172 12989 28 252 30 241 29 243 26 243 12989 11924 26 254 28 239 26 241 23 243 11924 10962 23 255 24 241 23 237 20 242 10962 10095 20 253 18 240 20 232 16 233 10095 9317 16 246 11 233 16 228 14 218 9317 8619 12 225 7 205 10 218 12 200 8619 7982 10 206 7 183 7 186 11 177 7982 7411 8 188 5*167 8 158 11 161 7411 6928 5*170 4*160 6 146 9 153 6928 6553 2*126 4 159 3 125 5 142 6553 6293 2 100 3 158 2 101 3 092 6293 6134 2 100 3 157 1*083 5*035 6134 6043 2 098 3 158 1*066 5*024 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography