DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.4 - - - - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 72 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3421 - - 3398 - - - - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7937 - - 7522 - - - - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9289 - - 9266 - - - - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2529 - - 3526 - - - - - 2493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 363 - - 288 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 27 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 236 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 18 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 28 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2356 - - 2670 - - - - - -710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6933 - - 6596 - - - - - 6753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 596 - - 190 - - - - - -4046 ODpotential blCL - - - 8693 - - 9076 - - - - - 10088 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 97 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 600 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.0 - - 48.4 - - - - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 40.1 - - - - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 47.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 38.7 - - - - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 72 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3421 - - 3398 - - - - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 87 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97188 33 263 32 281 28 281 97188 89866 14 281 19 283 20 293 89866 84273 13 271 17 274 19 312 84273 79638 6 300 11 273 18 306 79638 75649 12 289 8 268 16 304 75649 72128 14 287 16 290 16 317 72128 68931 13 304 17 297 16 304 68931 65975 18 287 13 291 9 299 65975 63229 20 301 6 311 17 183 63229 60546 18 274 14 253 21 214 60546 57713 37 268 45 245 21 238 57713 54752 54 254 52 246 42 250 54752 51899 54 250 47 244 50 248 51899 49318 52 250 43 246 50 251 49318 47012 52 253 45 254 52 255 47012 44932 56 257 54 256 58 258 44932 43035 61 257 62 256 64 259 43035 41289 67 255 66 255 65 258 41289 39671 71 252 69 254 65 259 39671 38168 74 250 72 253 67 260 38168 36775 76 248 74 251 68 261 36775 35461 77 247 74 249 66 261 35461 34162 76 247 72 249 61 261 34162 32851 75 247 70 248 56 261 32851 31532 74 247 67 248 49 263 31532 30190 74 246 64 247 46 268 30190 28807 72 245 60 244 45 270 28807 27385 66 244 57 244 40 264 27385 25924 55 243 55 246 32 259 25924 24430 44 240 51 247 29 262 24430 22903 36 233 46 245 30 267 22903 21338 37 233 40 240 29 269 21338 19731 36 233 39 240 27 266 19731 18113 36 231 38 238 25 263 18113 16564 34 229 37 235 24 260 16564 15158 33 228 37 232 25 255 15158 13903 33 227 38 231 27 250 13903 12774 33 227 40 233 28 250 12774 11753 33 227 40 235 28 253 11753 10829 33 227 38 237 28 257 10829 9994 32*227 35*238 28 260 9994 9242 31*227 33*238 28 263 9242 8564 28 228 31 237 27 264 8564 7945 27 230 29 236 25 263 7945 7387 25 231 27 236 23 260 7387 6914 24 232 24 234 20 258 6914 6546 23 232 23 234 17 255 6546 6289 23 233 21 233 13 250 6289 6133 21 233 20 233 10*248 6133 6042 17 233 15 232 5*247 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography