DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 43.4 - - 41.3 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 9 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6678 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8302 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2281 - - 6099 - - 5042 - - 3469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 51 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 242 - - 250 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1249 - - -1487 - - -1169 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7053 - - 7530 - - 7211 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -104 - - -2827 - - -2824 - - -1543 ODpotential blCL - - - 8406 - - 8869 - - 8866 - - 7585 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.7 - - 43.4 - - 41.3 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 31.4 - - 30.7 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 43.2 - - 41.4 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 31.0 - - 30.5 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 9 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96108 12 288 22 316 15 295 18 292 96108 89092 12 315 15 347 6 325 13 323 89092 83654 11 295 18 326 14 349 10 348 83654 79134 3 293 20 312 18 322 13 009 79134 75209 12 309 19 329 14 323 21 342 75209 71730 18 313 18 318 11 325 24 324 71730 68545 20 286 13 292 18 291 20 307 68545 65587 27 267 24 259 17 256 25 236 65587 62839 30 254 35 241 31 258 25 239 62839 60171 31 252 40 242 37 261 39 256 60171 57375 38 263 43 248 43 263 43 254 57375 54454 56 261 52 255 53 251 44 253 54454 51656 69 249 65 257 62 248 54 254 51656 49145 75 241 73 248 75 248 66 252 49145 46896 77 239 78 243 81 244 73 249 46896 44847 79 244 80 245 80 244 75 249 44847 42965 90 248 88 248 83 248 78 249 42965 41231 108 247 102 247 91 250 83 250 41231 39633 120 239 113 240 99 247 89 249 39633 38156 125 233 118 233 104 242 94 249 38156 36791 129 231 118 231 102 243 97 249 36791 35497 128 232 116 232 104 247 101 251 35497 34211 125 235 116 236 109 247 109 252 34211 32904 122 239 115 237 109 244 116 249 32904 31578 118 241 108 237 105 242 117 246 31578 30217 108 241 101 238 102 242 113 244 30217 28811 97 238 97 238 100 242 109 243 28811 27363 94 238 96 238 98 243 104 244 27363 25878 92 238 94 238 94 245 94 245 25878 24362 90 238 92 238 88 245 82 247 24362 22818 86 237 88 238 81 245 72 249 22818 21241 82 236 82 239 74 246 62 250 21241 19630 78 237 74 242 64 249 50 252 19630 18015 70 240 62 249 53 253 37 253 18015 16477 58 243 46 255 38 254 21 247 16477 15080 46 245 32 255 26 244 21 243 15080 13828 38 245 28 252 26 238 23 247 13828 12703 33 244 26 251 23 242 23 258 12703 11689 29 243 24 249 19 259 22 273 11689 10772 26 242 23 247 17 276 19 286 10772 9945 23 241 21 245 16 282 19 296 9945 9201 20 239 20 244 15 280 18 299 9201 8531 18*236 18 243 14 276 17 298 8531 7920 17*232 16 242 14 270 15 296 7920 7369 16 230 15 242 13 265 12 293 7369 6902 14 227 15 242 13 261 9 286 6902 6538 14 226 14 243 12 257 7 273 6538 6286 13 225 13 243 11 253 5 251 6286 6131 12 225 11 242 9*251 4*237 6131 6042 10 224 9*242 7*250 3*221 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography