DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 50.9 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 830 - - 1647 - - - - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6539 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6698 - - 7515 - - - - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 881 - - 970 - - - - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 260 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 183 - - - - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2826 - - -2544 - - - - - -1731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9524 - - 10059 - - - - - 7773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11192 - - -9282 - - - - - -10403 ODpotential blCL - - - 17890 - - 16797 - - - - - 16445 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 70 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 50.9 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.3 - - 28.1 - - - - - 29.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 49.5 - - - - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.8 - - 27.8 - - - - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 140 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 830 - - 1647 - - - - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96150 40 277 27 275 29 295 96150 89146 19 302 14 259 23 294 89146 83691 16 280 13 289 17 304 83691 79133 13 287 15 306 12 324 79133 75179 15 294 17 293 14 308 75179 71699 15 282 19 284 18 302 71699 68587 14 290 13 270 17 282 68587 65751 20 293 17 260 21 244 65751 63131 30 283 25 266 15 253 63131 60574 43 282 28 285 36 259 60574 57902 49 287 40 287 50 258 57902 55121 50 294 50 279 54 262 55121 52444 57 296 62 277 55 267 52444 50010 70 289 69 279 58 271 50010 47810 78 281 73 279 63 273 47810 45801 75 278 75 278 70 271 45801 43950 67 281 71 278 75 269 43950 42236 62 285 66 279 74 272 42236 40645 60 281 62 277 73 274 40645 39167 57 271 58 272 71 272 39167 37793 55 266 56 267 68 269 37793 36492 55 269 53 266 66 269 36492 35196 57 272 52 268 64 269 35196 33874 57 273 51 271 63 270 33874 32528 57 273 51 270 62 271 32528 31145 57 272 53 268 58 269 31145 29714 56 273 54 267 54 268 29714 28241 55 274 54 268 50 269 28241 26727 53 274 53 269 49 271 26727 25174 50 274 51 270 47 273 25174 23585 48 274 48 271 44 275 23585 21956 46 275 45 271 41 276 21956 20280 43 276 42 271 40 278 20280 18587 41 278 41 271 39 279 18587 16962 38 280 39 271 38 279 16962 15482 35 279 37 270 38 278 15482 14160 33 273 35 270 36 276 14160 12974 32 265 35 269 35 274 12974 11907 31 259 35 268 34 269 11907 10945 29 255 35 266 30 261 10945 10080 25 248 30 262 26 250 10080 9304 20 239 23 254 23 240 9304 8607 16 221 16 240 21 231 8607 7973 14 202 11*218 16 215 7973 7404 12 189 8*188 14 180 7404 6923 8*172 7 183 13 163 6923 6550 6*166 7 182 8 151 6550 6291 5 164 7 181 4 117 6291 6133 5 164 7 181 4 039 6133 6042 5 165 6 181 5*014 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography