DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 56.0 - - - - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 146 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2125 - - 1902 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6903 - - 6771 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7993 - - 7770 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1253 - - 1418 - - - - - 464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 283 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 42 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 1 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 137 - - - - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -8 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -253 - - -1997 - - - - - -2460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8247 - - 9768 - - - - - 8503 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8588 - - -9684 - - - - - -11255 ODpotential blCL - - - 16581 - - 17454 - - - - - 17298 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 48 - - - - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 56.0 - - - - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 34.7 - - - - - 32.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 54.9 - - - - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 33.7 - - - - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 146 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2125 - - 1902 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97563 16 266 21 261 17 313 97563 90290 8 254 15 236 17 276 90290 84707 2 233 11 221 9 238 84707 80089 2 294 6 243 5 241 80089 76108 2 256 2 236 7 330 76108 72593 2 308 3 061 6 319 72593 69413 3 289 3 348 4 292 69413 66488 6 283 5 315 3 318 66488 63781 7 279 8 300 9 324 63781 61169 6 265 9 288 10 316 61169 58454 3 303 6 293 11 297 58454 55638 6 349 4 292 13 283 55638 52948 10 346 4 307 12 278 52948 50515 11 314 6 303 11 262 50515 48323 9 298 8 290 8 245 48323 46328 10 285 8 272 4 208 46328 44501 6 296 1 217 3 123 44501 42816 9 080 9 099 8 102 42816 41247 17 076 18 098 15 097 41247 39776 26 076 24 097 18 103 39776 38397 29 086 25 092 26 105 38397 37080 31 099 23 091 28 096 37080 35761 36 103 25 106 27 092 35761 34418 40 096 30 109 24 088 34418 33053 38 089 31 096 22 097 33053 31648 34 088 31 084 24 101 31648 30193 31 092 27 079 25 097 30193 28692 29 095 23 078 26 094 28692 27146 27 085 21 078 26 092 27146 25557 27 076 22 074 24 089 25557 23929 26 079 24 074 21 087 23929 22257 25 085 22 079 19 080 22257 20539 23 088 19 084 17 078 20539 18804 21 087 17 089 12 093 18804 17139 20 087 16 094 10 111 17139 15624 20 087 16 099 11 132 15624 14273 21 090 17 106 14 142 14273 13066 21 097 17 117 16 145 13066 11983 14 108 14 127 16 147 11983 11009 8 142 10 131 15 148 11009 10132 9 172 6 131 12 136 10132 9347 13 175 3 131 10 113 9347 8642 13*172 2 133 10 094 8642 8000 11*162 1*135 9 086 8000 7424 9 152 1*132 8 082 7424 6936 8 149 1 139 7 074 6936 6558 8 149 1 136 6 052 6558 6295 8 148 1 139 7 027 6295 6135 7 147 1 136 5*013 6135 6043 7 147 1 141 5*009 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography