DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 73.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 268 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 4500 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6941 - - 8916 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7773 - - 10368 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1159 - - 7816 - - 10700 - - 2519 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 451 - - 22 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 196 - - 201 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 17 - - 10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3423 - - -3941 - - -7759 - - -5952 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11197 - - 14310 - - 13804 - - 11996 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6601 - - -5480 - - -9708 - - -9618 ODpotential blCL - - - 14374 - - 15848 - - 15752 - - 15662 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 84 - - 75 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 90 - - 30 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 73.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 31.7 - - 31.5 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 71.6 - - 71.2 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 31.3 - - 31.2 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 268 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 4500 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 37 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97770 11 292 8 314 9 291 12 292 97770 90479 4 045 1 114 3 002 3 311 90479 84809 7 081 4 134 2 007 5 065 84809 80104 8 085 3 103 1 345 7 054 80104 76057 5 039 3 025 8 329 9 048 76057 72500 5 351 5 347 12 318 9 359 72500 69312 7 339 7 330 10 319 13 327 69312 66397 10 329 11 315 11 303 15 304 66397 63693 15 333 13 320 9 296 14 286 63693 61066 17 320 16 311 10 283 19 281 61066 58330 16 299 20 296 16 295 19 271 58330 55501 20 289 26 287 27 294 23 284 55501 52799 23 293 25 279 33 284 33 286 52799 50365 25 297 25 282 33 282 42 285 50365 48178 28 288 28 286 33 287 41 281 48178 46187 30 285 33 287 33 296 35 283 46187 44355 31 282 35 287 34 297 36 289 44355 42650 30 283 35 287 33 289 39 284 42650 41057 29 291 31 291 30 281 36 276 41057 39569 31 301 30 299 28 284 33 276 39569 38183 34 306 34 302 33 292 34 283 38183 36865 35 305 37 302 38 292 37 285 36865 35544 35 305 38 299 37 291 35 282 35544 34189 34 302 37 296 35 290 33 281 34189 32808 33 296 37 298 33 287 33 286 32808 31393 32 294 37 299 32 290 35 292 31393 29936 30 297 36 298 34 296 35 293 29936 28437 24 294 35 299 37 300 33 290 28437 26898 18 275 30 299 37 300 29 287 26898 25321 16 255 24 291 34 297 26 282 25321 23714 15 230 20 277 31 290 26 275 23714 22074 16 227 19 260 27 285 24 268 22074 20398 16 229 19 253 22 280 20 272 20398 18716 17 224 18 251 19 270 15 274 18716 17104 17 217 18 252 21 254 17 258 17104 15635 17 212 17 250 22 246 21 245 15635 14318 16 217 17 246 21 245 21 238 14318 13131 15 224 16 240 19 246 19 233 13131 12056 14 228 16 236 18 245 17 226 12056 11083 13 226 14*229 16 244 15 218 11083 10203 12 218 11*216 15 242 14 209 10203 9411 11 203 9 197 13 237 12 200 9411 8697 10 186 9 194 11 232 11 190 8697 8045 9*175 9 193 8 218 11 179 8045 7457 7*171 9 192 7 207 11 170 7457 6960 6 169 9 191 7 203 10 166 6960 6572 6 168 9 191 7 202 8 165 6572 6303 6 169 8 190 6 201 6 158 6303 6139 6 167 8 190 6 200 3*129 6139 6044 5 168 7 190 5*201 2*105 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography