DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 65.6 - - - - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 439 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2957 - - 5773 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7883 - - 10113 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8825 - - 11641 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1214 - - 1962 - - - - - 3423 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 458 - - 577 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 224 - - - - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 11 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7294 - - -5684 - - - - - -9791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16120 - - 17326 - - - - - 15836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13433 - - -9879 - - - - - -14860 ODpotential blCL - - - 22258 - - 21520 - - - - - 20904 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 52 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.7 - - 65.6 - - - - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.2 - - 10.2 - - - - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 62.8 - - - - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.0 - - 9.4 - - - - - 9.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 439 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2957 - - 5773 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97108 40 277 52 270 51 285 97108 89849 46 271 46 271 49 283 89849 84273 46 264 45 276 36 279 84273 79617 35 270 38 274 30 268 79617 75577 25 278 30 264 26 274 75577 72007 23 271 22 268 28 283 72007 68806 20 266 16 282 26 278 68806 65887 22 277 17 281 22 275 65887 63184 26 283 21 276 23 277 63184 60566 28 286 26 272 23 273 60566 57844 29 285 29 280 32 275 57844 55018 40 284 43 283 37 276 55018 52299 52 274 51 278 48 273 52299 49837 59 276 60 280 55 269 49837 47619 66 276 67 280 58 268 47619 45591 67 275 68 278 62 269 45591 43722 60 275 63 276 65 269 43722 41994 53 279 53 277 60 268 41994 40402 40 283 41 278 45 268 40402 38945 37 290 36 269 32 264 38945 37609 38 296 31 268 23 248 37609 36341 35 297 28 271 21 252 36341 35065 32 293 26 272 24 254 35065 33755 31 290 25 273 24 254 33755 32416 31 288 26 274 21 254 32416 31038 32 287 25 276 19 253 31038 29613 29 288 24 275 18 245 29613 28147 26 285 23 272 16 232 28147 26639 23 281 21 271 15 227 26639 25094 22 279 19 274 12 214 25094 23518 21 280 17 275 12 207 23518 21906 21 280 16 273 10 203 21906 20250 19 280 15 270 9 207 20250 18580 16 277 13 268 8 218 18580 16978 14 275 12 265 8 227 16978 15519 13 274 12 262 11 232 15519 14212 12 270 12 259 12 234 14212 13037 12 261 11 254 12 237 13037 11974 12 243 9*240 11 240 11974 11011 12 224 8*234 9 247 11011 10142 12 198 8 229 8 257 10142 9360 11*181 8 226 6 269 9360 8656 10*175 8 224 4 280 8656 8013 10 173 8 223 2 286 8013 7435 9 174 8 221 0 022 7435 6945 9 173 8 220 2 089 6945 6564 9 174 8 219 2 086 6564 6299 8 174 7 218 2 079 6299 6137 8 174 7 218 3*061 6137 6044 8 174 7 217 3*052 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography