DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0704z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 43.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.7 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 52 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1104 - - 2848 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6901 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6972 - - 8716 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2484 - - 2943 - - 3309 - - 5024 - - 2893 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 175 - - 249 - - 59 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 20 - - 23 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 241 - - 264 - - 274 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 22 - - 3 - - -2 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 930 - - 2003 - - -521 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6042 - - 6713 - - 6565 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -294 - - 155 - - -518 - - -2154 - - -2417 ODpotential blCL 6336 - - 6817 - - 9234 - - 8197 - - 8460 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 210 - - 440 - - 300 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 43.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.7 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 41.7 - - 38.8 - - 40.6 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 43.4 - - 46.9 - - 48.6 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 40.8 - - 37.6 - - 39.4 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 55 - - 52 - - 5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1104 - - 2848 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 58 - - 64 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 37 267 33 264 25 275 25 249 40 264 96565 89321 28 272 34 269 26 270 28 267 38 285 89321 83835 23 278 27 273 19 263 24 274 28 293 83835 79288 24 274 22 280 15 276 22 294 20 308 79288 75342 18 289 14 263 15 279 19 288 14 306 75342 71840 19 303 2 292 14 274 15 276 11 289 71840 68661 30 283 14 295 15 260 9 285 13 280 68661 65735 27 270 19 278 9 259 8 280 20 282 65735 63001 22 268 29 289 13 286 10 285 23 248 63001 60326 32 280 38 276 25 292 34 286 29 250 60326 57524 36 279 32 273 42 283 31 253 24 249 57524 54599 37 284 43 276 47 276 29 249 31 267 54599 51790 52 270 50 268 46 268 38 267 35 270 51790 49255 54 262 50 264 46 263 44 279 38 287 49255 46978 58 264 53 265 45 272 54 287 56 289 46978 44932 65 262 60 262 58 276 63 284 63 284 44932 43087 70 259 65 259 71 269 65 279 61 294 43087 41402 77 256 73 262 69 262 63 282 64 305 41402 39843 85 251 84 258 60 266 63 290 72 307 39843 38393 87 247 87 249 58 274 63 299 76 307 38393 37047 87 245 81 242 60 278 63 304 80 310 37047 35766 88 240 70 241 57 278 64 306 85 313 35766 34487 93 235 63 243 51 279 65 306 86 314 34487 33181 93 234 60 242 51 277 67 305 85 314 33181 31852 82 236 60 239 50 277 68 306 82 313 31852 30489 70 235 60 238 48 281 67 306 77 311 30489 29083 61 235 61 238 45 282 64 303 71 309 29083 27637 55 235 56 239 42 281 58 303 63 307 27637 26153 54 233 47 240 37 280 52 302 57 302 26153 24634 53 231 39 234 31 279 46 299 52 298 24634 23084 46 228 36 228 27 275 43 299 49 295 23084 21498 42 229 32 225 28 272 40 302 45 294 21498 19872 42 228 34 233 28 273 38 302 41 295 19872 18233 37 223 35 248 28 272 33 296 36 295 18233 16665 32 221 33 259 29 268 31 291 32 295 16665 15242 31 228 32 264 30 266 29 290 29 293 15242 13972 31 239 32 263 30 264 29 291 26 288 13972 12834 33 247 33 263 30 265 29 293 23 282 12834 11806 34 251 33 263 30 265 29 291 21 278 11806 10876 33 250 32 262 30 264 29 288 18 277 10876 10033 30 247 31 261 29 264 28 286 15 282 10033 9275 25 242 30 259 28*264 26 283 13 288 9275 8590 20 236 28 255 26*264 24 281 12 295 8590 7965 17 231 27 251 25 264 22 280 11 296 7965 7401 15 229 25*247 24 264 20 279 10 288 7401 6923 14 226 23*243 23 264 18 278 8 269 6923 6551 12 224 22 241 22 264 16 277 6 244 6551 6292 12 224 20 240 20 264 14 276 4 212 6292 6134 11*223 18 239 18 263 13*276 4*192 6134 6043 9*223 15 238 15 262 10*274 3*186 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography