DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 76.1 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 308 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2182 - - 7831 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 11602 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8050 - - 13699 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2272 - - 1957 - - - - - 6833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 346 - - 568 - - - - - 1 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 193 - - - - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4065 - - -1563 - - - - - -6781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12116 - - 15263 - - - - - 12825 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7584 - - -5165 - - - - - -11699 ODpotential blCL - - - 15634 - - 18864 - - - - - 17743 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 84 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 76.1 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 29.9 - - - - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 73.8 - - - - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 29.5 - - - - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 308 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2182 - - 7831 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 36 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98252 3 098 11 149 4 281 98252 90902 9 078 5 044 1 300 90902 85240 6 057 2 033 11 007 85240 80545 11 038 2 053 16 349 80545 76493 16 001 6 041 12 346 76493 72910 15 345 8 014 13 011 72910 69680 7 357 8 015 11 014 69680 66714 5 015 7 006 9 037 66714 63961 4 037 4 330 11 024 63961 61302 7 060 2 108 6 318 61302 58535 5 352 3 039 7 260 58535 55666 11 253 11 273 10 227 55666 52934 17 258 21 256 19 244 52934 50479 27 263 26 259 22 243 50479 48280 33 262 37 257 29 255 48280 46278 40 258 41 254 41 249 46278 44442 43 257 39 250 46 245 44442 42745 41 259 39 250 50 242 42745 41164 37 262 48 250 57 242 41164 39684 36 263 54 248 63 240 39684 38300 38 261 55 245 67 239 38300 36980 45 259 56 240 69 239 36980 35656 54 255 55 238 70 238 35656 34303 51 252 49 240 66 236 34303 32926 48 250 40 238 60 235 32926 31515 42 249 35 236 51 233 31515 30061 34 245 33 235 43 229 30061 28567 26 245 30 238 38 226 28567 27036 22 253 31 243 35 228 27036 25466 20 250 28 245 31 228 25466 23861 18 251 26 239 25 222 23861 22216 17 253 18 237 20 225 22216 20525 15 250 13 258 15 235 20525 18816 11 241 12 268 11 245 18816 17177 9 244 7 244 10 238 17177 15686 9 249 5 227 13 222 15686 14356 9 249 5*213 17 209 14356 13161 11 243 6*203 18 202 13161 12080 10 236 6 200 16 194 12080 11102 8 227 6 197 13 181 11102 10218 7 210 7 195 12 167 10218 9423 7 183 7 192 11 157 9423 8706 7*168 7 191 10 152 8706 8052 6*161 7 189 9 149 8052 7463 5 160 7 188 8 145 7463 6963 5 163 7 188 7 142 6963 6575 4 163 7 187 6 136 6575 6304 4 162 7 187 4 124 6304 6139 4 163 7 187 4 101 6139 6044 4 162 6 187 3*089 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography