DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 40.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 27 - - 5 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2266 - - 1854 - - 3084 - - 1715 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 73 - - 44 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 15 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 071 - - 154 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -1 - - 9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -89 - - -342 - - -461 - - -351 ODpotential blCL - - - 6131 - - 6384 - - 6503 - - 6393 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 40 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 40.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 38.9 - - 39.7 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 39.9 - - 41.1 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 38.4 - - 39.4 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 27 - - 5 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 16 329 19 031 12 027 11 061 96430 89464 7 071 7 045 9 012 17 051 89464 84033 11 075 4 111 8 055 8 016 84033 79463 9 068 4 094 8 078 5 349 79463 75497 8 070 3 117 7 064 7 049 75497 71997 6 079 3 156 1 101 7 067 71997 68839 3 216 2 010 4 213 2 185 68839 65929 7 239 3 256 7 227 10 223 65929 63217 10 271 6 241 7 250 11 231 63217 60570 20 276 11 260 10 264 10 229 60570 57793 24 262 17 251 23 247 15 237 57793 54918 17 257 18 243 31 233 28 230 54918 52189 15 296 19 254 26 226 31 215 52189 49741 32 300 25 269 27 238 33 222 49741 47535 37 284 31 264 40 239 34 229 47535 45508 21 290 34 256 40 232 45 230 45508 43626 19 317 34 252 34 230 49 227 43626 41868 26 313 32 250 30 234 47 224 41868 40225 34 308 33 249 31 235 41 222 40225 38688 39 304 32 254 30 243 36 223 38688 37249 39 301 29 268 28 253 34 227 37249 35873 36 288 31 277 32 257 37 231 35873 34502 27 272 33 285 37 255 42 236 34502 33120 17 254 31 285 40 256 41 244 33120 31742 27 214 27 269 37 260 32 249 31742 30353 35 192 24 257 38 271 26 259 30353 28935 55 188 28 209 36 280 27 267 28935 27484 73 177 47 176 26 222 24 296 27484 26000 68 183 49 172 42 174 18 282 26000 24492 41 191 27 179 32 164 22 199 24492 22960 24 188 13 177 25 160 20 161 22960 21392 19 190 8 166 20 158 14 157 21392 19779 17 200 7 154 16 159 9 167 19779 18150 16 196 9 159 9 168 5 166 18150 16588 16 185 12 176 5 177 4 135 16588 15167 15 180 14 188 5 194 5 101 15167 13898 14 181 14 193 6 210 5 074 13898 12758 14 183 14 193 7 219 5 053 12758 11731 13 180 15 187 8 225 5 035 11731 10804 13 170 16 186 9 231 5 027 10804 9968 15 164 16 186 8 232 2 026 9968 9216 15 162 16 183 7 224 1 337 9216 8540 15 160 15 178 6 206 1 287 8540 7924 15 160 13 174 6 187 2 287 7924 7371 14 160 10 171 6 174 2 315 7371 6903 12 159 5 164 6 160 2 349 6903 6539 10 159 1 130 6 156 3 007 6539 6286 9 158 1 090 6 155 3 011 6286 6131 8 158 1*077 5*154 2*010 6131 6042 7*158 1*071 5*154 2*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography