DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 35.7 - - 43.2 - - 39.5 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 169 - - 214 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 761 - - 1419 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6545 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6629 - - 7287 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 385 - - 493 - - 634 - - 1151 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 213 - - 284 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 192 - - 196 - - 197 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 6 - - 13 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6748 - - -6685 - - -7472 - - -7739 - - -6238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12791 - - 13315 - - 14760 - - 13782 - - 12280 sfcLCL ODpotential -16598 - - -14853 - - -14194 - - -15170 - - -15360 ODpotential blCL 22640 - - 21482 - - 21481 - - 21212 - - 21402 blCL maxRH 67 - - 72 - - 83 - - 72 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 35.7 - - 43.2 - - 39.5 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.6 - - -0.4 - - 0.3 - - 1.2 - - 1.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.1 - - 34.4 - - 41.5 - - 40.2 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.7 - - -0.6 - - 0.0 - - 0.8 - - 0.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 169 - - 214 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 761 - - 1419 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95795 7 264 24 316 1 271 26 236 34 295 95795 88834 7 019 14 330 7 352 1 315 17 296 88834 83394 9 059 5 005 9 332 14 358 14 345 83394 78854 7 058 4 324 12 322 15 006 15 356 78854 74928 14 048 1 006 11 314 18 000 16 001 74928 71451 14 344 8 302 19 307 24 328 18 331 71451 68315 19 329 12 276 16 314 19 329 15 319 68315 65430 33 336 21 325 28 332 31 341 27 333 65430 62748 41 326 36 325 38 318 36 318 34 315 62748 60142 44 319 41 330 41 318 41 315 38 318 60142 57406 50 321 49 329 45 319 47 315 48 320 57406 54557 60 319 56 323 53 317 57 311 61 313 54557 51835 66 314 63 317 61 316 62 306 67 309 51835 49375 69 312 69 314 66 314 68 306 73 307 49375 47158 71 313 72 311 69 308 74 305 75 304 47158 45136 72 314 74 308 72 306 75 304 74 302 45136 43271 71 315 74 308 73 307 73 302 72 301 43271 41547 72 315 74 308 76 304 74 300 73 297 41547 39965 78 310 77 305 78 298 71 291 74 291 39965 38517 83 309 80 304 81 297 68 296 77 290 38517 37178 91 308 83 307 84 294 74 296 80 294 37178 35906 93 309 85 308 84 292 77 290 76 294 35906 34636 92 311 85 307 80 296 76 291 77 289 34636 33335 87 313 84 305 77 299 72 295 76 286 33335 32006 80 312 80 310 76 298 69 297 71 290 32006 30637 73 313 72 312 73 300 65 296 62 298 30637 29223 66 313 66 309 67 305 59 302 58 297 29223 27769 59 312 61 305 61 308 55 304 54 295 27769 26276 56 311 54 304 56 306 53 302 50 297 26276 24749 55 311 47 304 48 304 47 302 48 297 24749 23190 54 313 43 302 41 302 39 302 44 294 23190 21594 52 316 41 300 36 300 34 298 38 290 21594 19955 50 318 39 303 33 299 31 294 32 287 19955 18302 46 319 38 308 30 300 30 292 28 287 18302 16717 42 319 36 312 28 303 28 292 25 291 16717 15274 38 318 33 314 27 306 26 293 22 297 15274 13984 32 316 29 313 25 308 24 295 20 304 13984 12826 26 315 26 311 24 308 22 298 18 310 12826 11783 21 315 23 309 22 307 19 304 15 314 11783 10841 16 317 20 307 19 307 16 310 12 312 10841 9993 13 320 15 303 15 310 12 314 10 302 9993 9233 10 322 11 297 11 314 9 314 9 286 9233 8550 7 322 7 288 7 309 6 305 8 271 8550 7929 5 325 5 273 4 279 5 286 7 257 7929 7372 3 331 4 257 4*213 3 267 6 249 7372 6902 3 331 2*227 6*199 2 235 3 239 6902 6538 3 329 3*199 6 197 2 203 1 216 6538 6285 4 334 3 193 7 195 2 200 1 359 6285 6131 4*334 3 189 6 194 2*196 1*005 6131 6042 4*338 3 188 6 193 2*197 2*005 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography