DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 45.7 - - 50.9 - - 48.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 48 - - 56 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 883 - - 1267 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6751 - - 7135 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1114 - - 855 - - 2101 - - 2323 - - 1229 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 157 - - 187 - - 21 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 146 - - 143 - - 035 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 7 - - 6 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -798 - - -614 - - -260 - - -440 - - -762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6840 - - 7365 - - 7395 - - 6484 - - 6806 sfcLCL ODpotential -7926 - - -4386 - - -2943 - - -3566 - - -4284 ODpotential blCL 13968 - - 11137 - - 10078 - - 9609 - - 10327 blCL maxRH 73 - - 98 - - 79 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 150 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 45.7 - - 50.9 - - 48.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 34.5 - - 39.2 - - 40.9 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.6 - - 45.1 - - 50.2 - - 50.8 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 33.3 - - 38.0 - - 39.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 48 - - 56 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 883 - - 1267 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 92 - - 17 - - 82 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96185 30 290 40 278 42 288 36 275 42 289 96185 89056 25 299 19 301 27 283 22 289 30 293 89056 83562 18 300 20 323 20 308 19 310 17 308 83562 79012 16 340 20 308 25 307 17 309 16 318 79012 75098 16 344 15 311 16 298 13 305 17 310 75098 71627 22 315 22 308 14 295 18 298 20 306 71627 68463 27 297 25 290 15 293 23 297 21 298 68463 65546 22 293 20 290 20 293 29 288 23 297 65546 62839 26 294 21 290 28 276 32 287 22 298 62839 60204 24 262 27 265 36 279 28 277 20 290 60204 57438 24 253 28 262 36 257 26 265 25 272 57438 54558 35 251 27 261 24 252 22 247 32 261 54558 51814 42 234 33 235 28 266 24 251 35 262 51814 49352 40 228 36 224 35 240 29 264 45 267 49352 47154 51 233 45 220 35 226 33 270 43 263 47154 45157 67 227 53 214 39 223 34 273 37 279 45157 43316 70 215 54 206 44 209 34 269 47 286 43316 41606 65 207 61 198 48 200 33 253 54 281 41606 40012 65 204 68 195 52 194 35 236 39 269 40012 38515 61 204 70 191 53 195 39 213 37 258 38515 37126 55 204 64 187 55 196 45 197 29 230 37126 35821 51 199 55 183 55 194 46 195 34 202 35821 34532 47 195 52 185 54 190 46 196 44 185 34532 33224 46 196 49 191 51 188 47 193 53 182 33224 31893 44 195 47 195 46 188 47 190 53 184 31893 30527 38 190 45 196 41 190 45 188 45 190 30527 29119 33 189 41 196 39 190 42 186 36 193 29119 27670 30 196 37 197 37 188 40 185 31 195 27670 26185 29 205 34 199 34 185 37 187 31 206 26185 24664 29 205 31 197 31 183 35 191 31 216 24664 23115 28 203 28 192 29 182 33 199 34 214 23115 21534 27 201 26 185 28 185 31 206 36 208 21534 19913 27 197 26 183 27 193 29 209 36 206 19913 18279 29 193 29 188 30 206 30 208 34 209 18279 16715 30 193 32 195 33 213 32 209 34 205 16715 15292 30 194 32 200 32 215 32 213 35 201 15292 14020 29 193 30 198 29 213 30 214 30 201 14020 12877 27 193 27 193 26 209 28 211 23 203 12877 11844 25 195 24 192 24 202 26 206 20 206 11844 10907 22 197 23 201 22 198 23 201 19 208 10907 10059 19 198 23 210 21 197 20 195 17 208 10059 9295 17 193 21 210 18 195 17 184 16 202 9295 8605 14 185 18 200 16 189 15 169 17 192 8605 7976 14 174 14 182 13 173 14 156 18 181 7976 7408 17 160 12 165 10*161 13 151 17 172 7408 6927 16 153 8*157 6*149 9 144 14 164 6927 6553 8 147 5*147 5 142 5 121 7 152 6553 6293 4 130 4 146 4 142 4 076 3 112 6293 6134 2*057 4 145 4 141 4*043 3*050 6134 6043 4*023 4 145 4 142 4*035 4*033 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography