DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.4 - - 34.4 - - 41.5 - - 36.6 - - 28.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 199 - - 207 - - -26 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1575 - - 2123 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6024 - - 6627 - - 7031 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 7443 - - 7991 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 180 - - 774 - - 1102 - - 1564 - - 485 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 286 - - 320 - - 0 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 23 - - 19 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 035 - - 028 - - 023 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -35 - - -32 - - -19 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3440 - - -4846 - - -4298 - - -4871 - - -4029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9482 - - 12289 - - 12289 - - 10913 - - 10072 sfcLCL ODpotential -14139 - - -12674 - - -10488 - - -12151 - - -14773 ODpotential blCL 20180 - - 20117 - - 18479 - - 18193 - - 20815 blCL maxRH 45 - - 54 - - 48 - - 35 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.4 - - 34.4 - - 41.5 - - 36.6 - - 28.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.3 - - 2.6 - - 9.4 - - 10.8 - - 7.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.2 - - 33.0 - - 40.0 - - 37.5 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.3 - - 2.5 - - 9.3 - - 10.6 - - 7.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 199 - - 207 - - -26 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1575 - - 2123 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 61 266 63 272 52 263 61 269 51 284 95965 89047 33 275 36 277 36 282 32 284 29 302 89047 83659 22 283 27 268 27 284 24 286 17 309 83659 79125 21 292 21 257 22 282 16 300 13 305 79125 75182 18 285 16 266 17 313 6 333 7 321 75182 71670 13 286 17 276 24 309 11 343 8 330 71670 68473 15 286 17 247 18 275 17 318 15 323 68473 65532 16 293 12 299 10 271 18 302 14 308 65532 62798 25 310 27 308 23 311 20 322 17 339 62798 60151 29 300 24 299 26 306 25 325 29 329 60151 57398 18 288 15 301 19 300 24 319 26 317 57398 54534 20 335 20 344 18 328 26 323 20 332 54534 51797 35 336 29 346 29 347 28 340 23 351 51797 49326 35 325 30 345 28 352 38 356 40 006 49326 47109 21 311 31 345 27 002 41 355 41 009 47109 45115 15 341 24 346 34 010 34 355 38 010 45115 43320 32 359 25 357 32 014 32 013 32 013 43320 41687 32 000 38 009 30 026 35 023 32 025 41687 40173 30 028 47 020 34 029 35 027 28 040 40173 38753 57 030 56 023 41 027 34 031 31 053 38753 37424 70 026 57 025 45 027 32 033 33 060 37424 36155 69 024 56 026 44 029 30 034 31 061 36155 34886 65 025 55 025 41 028 27 035 25 057 34886 33589 62 026 56 023 37 028 24 027 24 049 33589 32267 59 026 56 020 35 028 22 021 25 037 32267 30906 58 028 55 017 33 024 22 015 23 030 30906 29495 59 030 52 017 34 016 25 006 19 027 29495 28039 58 029 47 017 34 012 29 005 15 022 28039 26536 55 027 44 016 34 012 32 007 14 018 26536 24991 51 025 41 015 33 011 32 007 14 019 24991 23407 46 025 38 016 31 009 31 006 15 021 23407 21781 42 027 34 018 28 007 29 005 17 022 21781 20108 39 029 29 021 25 007 26 006 20 023 20108 18419 35 030 24 022 22 009 23 008 19 024 18419 16803 29 030 19 019 20 013 18 010 18 026 16803 15336 25 028 17 015 18 017 15 016 16 030 15336 14028 21 025 16 011 16 022 12 027 14 038 14028 12856 19 022 15 009 15 027 11 042 13 047 12856 11801 18 021 16 012 16 032 11 054 13 053 11801 10850 19 024 18 017 17 036 12 058 14 055 10850 9995 20 028 21 024 19 037 16 056 17 053 9995 9229 22 033 24 030 21 035 20 050 21 050 9229 8542 24 036 27 035 21*032 23 043 25 046 8542 7920 25 037 27*036 21*030 26 036 29 042 7920 7364 26 035 26*035 20 028 25 030 32 038 7364 6895 27 030 25 035 20 028 24 025 33 034 6895 6533 25 023 23 035 19 028 22 023 28 027 6533 6282 21 018 22 035 18 028 19 023 23 023 6282 6130 16*016 20 035 17 028 16*023 17*020 6130 6042 9*013 14 036 13 030 10*023 8*015 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography