DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 46.8 - - 42.8 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 226 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 4081 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7058 - - 8518 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8080 - - 9949 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1454 - - 2231 - - 4931 - - 1716 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 411 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 355 - - 003 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - 24 - - -13 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3659 - - -4035 - - -7052 - - -4384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11740 - - 13984 - - 13095 - - 10427 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9150 - - -8674 - - -12519 - - -12261 ODpotential blCL - - - 17230 - - 18623 - - 18561 - - 18303 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 45 - - 47 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 46.8 - - 42.8 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.8 - - 6.7 - - 7.0 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.2 - - 45.1 - - 43.0 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.3 - - 6.4 - - 6.6 - - 8.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 226 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2212 - - 4081 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95585 58 284 76 273 66 286 66 281 95585 88614 36 285 49 284 52 293 37 301 88614 83192 20 302 34 281 42 289 28 330 83192 78622 27 315 33 297 44 297 38 317 78622 74693 35 301 38 304 41 302 36 304 74693 71233 25 293 30 308 33 302 30 303 71233 68096 20 306 22 318 33 300 35 307 68096 65217 31 307 25 322 33 301 38 300 65217 62553 39 306 30 317 29 306 38 300 62553 59969 46 301 39 309 36 315 45 299 59969 57259 44 289 43 293 45 301 43 296 57259 54413 42 283 46 289 39 292 42 302 54413 51663 50 290 47 290 45 304 50 305 51663 49168 61 289 53 300 58 300 56 305 49168 46919 61 285 61 298 61 297 58 304 46919 44877 60 285 64 293 61 297 60 303 44877 43018 60 287 64 290 56 296 59 300 43018 41317 60 283 55 292 49 300 49 297 41317 39749 58 279 49 300 46 311 35 310 39749 38299 49 287 51 306 44 327 34 351 38299 36958 50 300 54 303 49 334 51 010 36958 35688 53 307 51 303 48 321 60 007 35688 34423 54 310 49 309 43 304 53 356 34423 33133 52 315 50 312 33 315 37 336 33133 31826 49 316 50 315 33 333 31 333 31826 30490 46 314 49 318 35 335 31 318 30490 29108 47 314 47 317 38 325 33 312 29108 27680 49 316 46 314 40 318 31 316 27680 26208 50 318 45 312 38 316 27 326 26208 24694 50 321 46 313 36 310 25 343 24694 23144 48 321 46 317 38 315 24 354 23144 21551 46 320 43 323 40 330 24 358 21551 19910 42 325 38 330 38 339 24 352 19910 18252 37 331 33 331 34 339 25 342 18252 16663 32 331 30 330 31 334 25 338 16663 15220 29 332 28 331 29 333 24 338 15220 13932 26 335 26 335 27 337 23 340 13932 12779 24 337 23 339 23 340 22 343 12779 11741 22 339 19 341 18 341 20 347 11741 10806 20 340 16 344 14 344 18 353 10806 9966 19 347 14*347 12 348 15 002 9966 9212 17 359 12*350 10 353 13 015 9212 8536 16*014 11 353 10 358 12 027 8536 7921 15*023 11 355 10 001 12 036 7921 7368 15 026 10 356 10 002 13 042 7368 6900 14 027 10 358 9 003 12 043 6900 6537 13 028 9 359 9 004 10 039 6537 6284 12 030 8 359 8 005 7 031 6284 6130 11 031 8 001 7 005 4*030 6130 6042 9 033 7 000 6*003 3*028 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography