DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 43.4 - - 50.9 - - 44.5 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 128 - - 124 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 715 - - 1070 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6583 - - 6938 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 365 - - 879 - - 535 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 192 - - 216 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 204 - - 238 - - 203 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1712 - - -2901 - - -4398 - - -3965 - - -3048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7755 - - 9485 - - 11337 - - 10007 - - 9091 sfcLCL ODpotential -13971 - - -12866 - - -12465 - - -12961 - - -13443 ODpotential blCL 20013 - - 19449 - - 19403 - - 19003 - - 19486 blCL maxRH 63 - - 52 - - 54 - - 55 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 43.4 - - 50.9 - - 44.5 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 23.5 - - 22.7 - - 22.4 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 42.2 - - 49.8 - - 47.4 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.3 - - 22.8 - - 22.3 - - 22.0 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 128 - - 124 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 715 - - 1070 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 19 072 24 051 17 077 22 063 6 139 96391 89230 21 064 12 064 13 050 12 039 12 021 89230 83673 16 051 7 065 10 043 11 001 19 004 83673 79098 23 017 12 044 9 037 12 008 26 005 79098 75143 19 013 14 036 14 348 21 358 28 019 75143 71617 21 029 14 017 15 350 19 356 29 019 71617 68424 18 339 21 006 16 336 26 007 21 355 68424 65497 26 331 21 328 22 334 15 348 12 001 65497 62774 27 312 24 321 32 337 25 350 13 008 62774 60141 31 291 33 316 37 327 34 337 37 331 60141 57409 30 310 38 320 37 322 37 317 44 319 57409 54575 40 313 39 318 35 313 33 296 44 310 54575 51896 43 325 37 318 36 323 32 309 42 310 51896 49535 43 329 39 323 40 329 38 329 30 312 49535 47441 42 323 40 319 40 321 38 334 28 324 47441 45535 38 316 36 312 38 311 37 317 39 331 45535 43787 38 322 35 328 37 316 39 299 46 323 43787 42172 40 337 45 341 39 328 42 309 48 316 42172 40666 44 345 49 345 43 331 49 319 49 315 40666 39249 46 347 48 346 46 329 49 321 50 318 39249 37912 44 347 41 344 45 326 45 319 51 320 37912 36627 41 346 31 343 43 324 41 317 52 320 36627 35335 36 346 31 336 41 321 39 317 53 321 35335 34009 31 348 36 330 40 319 39 317 53 322 34009 32655 31 343 38 328 39 318 38 317 51 322 32655 31262 32 333 35 325 39 319 39 316 47 322 31262 29822 33 326 32 321 38 320 39 314 44 322 29822 28338 36 323 30 319 35 319 39 313 41 322 28338 26812 39 321 29 320 34 315 38 314 39 323 26812 25246 42 321 30 319 35 312 38 318 39 323 25246 23645 43 322 32 319 35 315 39 323 39 323 23645 22003 43 326 34 323 33 322 41 326 40 322 22003 20316 40 331 37 329 33 329 41 328 41 322 20316 18613 38 334 39 334 33 333 41 330 41 324 18613 16981 38 337 39 336 34 334 39 332 41 328 16981 15498 37 339 36 336 34 333 37 334 40 334 15498 14174 36 339 33 334 35 331 35 335 40 339 14174 12987 34 340 29 332 34 331 33 336 39 343 12987 11918 31 340 26 330 33 332 32 337 37 346 11918 10954 27 341 23 327 31 334 30 338 36 348 10954 10086 24 342 20 324 26 336 28 338 34 349 10086 9308 19 343 16 321 20 339 25 338 32 349 9308 8609 15 344 13 317 14 341 21 338 30 349 8609 7973 10 343 10 310 9 337 17 336 26 349 7973 7403 6 339 6 297 5*324 12 331 22 350 7403 6922 4 331 4*260 2*284 7 322 16 352 6922 6549 2 322 4*214 2 243 3 305 10 355 6549 6290 1 324 5 203 2 224 2 243 6 001 6290 6133 1*315 5 201 2 218 2 207 2*017 6133 6043 1*323 4 201 2 215 3*203 1*138 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography