DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 83.2 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 134 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3360 - - 6202 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8162 - - 9938 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9228 - - 12070 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3659 - - 3839 - - - - - 8586 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 460 - - 420 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 27 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 302 - - - - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1256 - - 1039 - - - - - -5135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10484 - - 11031 - - - - - 11180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3602 - - -1056 - - - - - -8037 ODpotential blCL - - - 12830 - - 13126 - - - - - 14082 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 99 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 970 - - 1140 - - - - - 890 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 83.2 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 55.3 - - - - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 81.9 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 54.1 - - - - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 134 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3360 - - 6202 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 97 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99432 37 100 35 109 31 086 99432 91920 34 097 36 097 28 099 91920 86136 32 100 33 093 29 092 86136 81330 32 103 26 098 28 091 81330 77201 31 091 23 103 26 089 77201 73565 25 083 20 095 24 087 73565 70290 19 093 13 089 23 076 70290 67301 22 102 12 081 20 072 67301 64560 20 096 13 094 16 082 64560 61924 15 088 12 123 10 099 61924 59183 13 092 15 138 9 118 59183 56360 13 097 15 125 9 119 56360 53698 10 101 11 100 13 095 53698 51313 11 113 8 105 14 078 51313 49159 12 109 4 117 10 051 49159 47182 7 097 1 263 10 015 47182 45349 5 053 2 320 12 016 45349 43635 11 025 8 026 12 036 43635 42025 16 029 13 047 12 037 42025 40515 20 041 19 050 12 061 40515 39105 21 038 23 041 20 063 39105 37761 20 043 24 036 28 051 37761 36413 21 052 21 045 25 052 36413 35032 20 067 18 057 25 063 35032 33621 22 079 20 080 22 066 33621 32168 22 069 23 087 20 076 32168 30664 23 062 19 070 22 087 30664 29114 25 064 18 061 19 080 29114 27526 21 061 15 063 15 080 27526 25909 18 040 11 052 15 092 25909 24263 16 033 12 042 14 096 24263 22578 9 043 10 052 11 077 22578 20850 7 059 9 064 8 046 20850 19110 6 063 7 073 5 042 19110 17443 5 060 6 062 7 039 17443 15926 5 063 5 058 10 044 15926 14568 7 074 4 051 10 047 14568 13345 9 076 2 025 9 043 13345 12238 10 067 2*353 7 040 12238 11236 9 054 2*329 6 043 11236 10330 7 047 2 318 4 050 10330 9514 5*048 3 307 3 065 9514 8779 2*059 3 302 2 094 8779 8107 2 171 3 297 2 130 8107 7502 3 194 3 295 3 149 7502 6989 4 198 3 291 3 155 6989 6590 5 199 3 291 4 158 6590 6312 5 198 3 290 4 158 6312 6143 5 197 3 290 4*158 6143 6045 5 198 3 288 3*156 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography