DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.8 - - 40.8 - - 45.4 - - 41.4 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 100 - - 88 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 868 - - 1146 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6736 - - 7014 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 738 - - 875 - - 934 - - 866 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 192 - - 202 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 180 - - 236 - - 172 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1243 - - 83 - - -299 - - 0 - - -545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7286 - - 6653 - - 7313 - - 6042 - - 6588 sfcLCL ODpotential -11429 - - -7611 - - -5366 - - -5112 - - -9365 ODpotential blCL 17471 - - 14347 - - 12380 - - 11154 - - 15407 blCL maxRH 70 - - 76 - - 72 - - 73 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.8 - - 40.8 - - 45.4 - - 41.4 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 33.0 - - 34.6 - - 37.2 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.6 - - 39.8 - - 44.5 - - 43.8 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 31.9 - - 33.6 - - 36.6 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 100 - - 88 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 868 - - 1146 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96210 7 276 10 294 2 025 10 180 12 293 96210 89210 3 340 7 287 6 022 2 250 6 289 89210 83726 4 092 8 238 8 005 6 009 4 034 83726 79129 7 066 3 204 11 280 12 360 12 031 79129 75183 2 088 2 147 16 254 14 331 18 028 75183 71692 6 358 3 304 14 271 17 313 16 005 71692 68497 10 337 10 311 11 296 20 296 17 320 68497 65544 16 311 17 304 18 323 18 300 21 328 65544 62803 20 305 24 294 24 312 21 300 27 326 62803 60155 29 301 30 294 31 311 25 314 31 312 60155 57399 31 301 34 292 39 305 34 318 36 311 57399 54542 35 300 34 293 41 297 42 310 41 309 54542 51821 38 305 38 300 40 297 45 299 45 306 51821 49384 44 312 44 309 47 311 46 303 44 306 49384 47224 53 302 55 311 54 309 54 305 50 308 47224 45301 50 304 60 312 54 312 51 312 51 302 45301 43564 67 319 71 318 67 319 65 323 52 312 43564 41971 81 318 78 314 68 318 63 315 56 317 41971 40486 82 319 76 308 67 329 57 312 55 314 40486 39087 76 332 70 306 63 338 52 322 50 314 39087 37768 78 337 66 319 63 345 51 333 47 315 37768 36501 80 339 69 334 68 347 51 337 46 317 36501 35224 82 341 74 340 71 344 51 331 44 319 35224 33913 85 342 77 339 70 341 50 323 42 320 33913 32572 88 343 76 335 67 338 50 319 43 326 32572 31192 88 341 72 328 64 336 50 319 48 329 31192 29761 86 336 69 321 61 332 48 318 49 317 29761 28283 84 332 68 319 58 326 47 314 51 305 28283 26761 81 330 69 323 59 322 48 311 56 308 26761 25199 77 333 67 326 61 317 50 310 58 313 25199 23599 68 334 63 326 60 311 53 312 57 317 23599 21955 60 325 60 325 58 309 55 315 52 321 21955 20265 59 318 56 324 53 313 53 318 43 326 20265 18560 52 319 51 324 46 320 47 319 37 332 18560 16927 42 325 44 324 39 323 39 319 34 334 16927 15443 37 326 37 324 33 321 33 320 33 335 15443 14119 34 322 31 324 29 318 29 323 31 336 14119 12934 28 317 25 324 26 316 27 328 28 340 12934 11870 22 317 20 321 23 316 25 332 26 345 11870 10911 16 320 16 317 20 315 23 335 23 350 10911 10050 12 322 13 313 18 317 19 337 20 354 10050 9279 8 317 10 308 14 323 15 339 17 358 9279 8587 5 310 7 301 11 328 11 346 15 002 8587 7958 3 295 5 289 8 328 8 358 12 006 7958 7393 1 272 2 268 4*321 6 014 10 009 7393 6916 0 189 2*196 2*259 5 030 8 008 6916 6545 1 084 3*181 2 241 2 055 6 004 6545 6288 2 071 3 180 2 228 1 115 4 356 6288 6132 2*037 3 179 2 225 2 161 2*345 6132 6042 2*023 3 178 2 221 2*172 1*333 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography