DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 63.9 - - 70.5 - - 70.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 349 - - 412 - - 99 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2045 - - 8624 - - 10681 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7141 - - 12391 - - 12983 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 7913 - - 14492 - - 16549 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 753 - - 4520 - - 4129 - - 3409 - - 5404 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 380 - - 647 - - 434 - - 4 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 187 - - 260 - - 265 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 13 - - -29 - - 24 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4018 - - -4985 - - -1427 - - -644 - - -9355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10062 - - 12898 - - 15920 - - 17194 - - 15400 sfcLCL ODpotential -8469 - - -7573 - - -3341 - - -2237 - - -12854 ODpotential blCL 14512 - - 15486 - - 17833 - - 18786 - - 18898 blCL maxRH 64 - - 67 - - 60 - - 69 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 63.9 - - 70.5 - - 70.4 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 28.3 - - 21.1 - - 15.4 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 61.6 - - 67.7 - - 69.3 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 27.4 - - 20.3 - - 14.7 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 349 - - 412 - - 99 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 2045 - - 8624 - - 10681 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 37 271 38 255 45 264 43 272 42 264 96628 89371 23 268 27 264 43 269 35 285 35 283 89371 83835 30 290 32 278 31 269 35 279 38 281 83835 79280 41 295 36 294 17 291 28 279 35 284 79280 75373 35 295 30 304 22 310 23 294 24 300 75373 71890 28 294 25 296 30 295 30 297 31 305 71890 68710 31 295 26 293 33 292 32 294 37 293 68710 65788 36 297 29 299 31 294 29 298 31 289 65788 63071 39 296 33 301 31 294 30 299 24 304 63071 60415 40 296 35 298 34 290 34 296 25 309 60415 57628 39 298 38 293 37 289 34 292 29 291 57628 54742 40 299 40 290 39 290 36 292 33 290 54742 51991 46 298 43 294 46 287 40 291 37 289 51991 49510 53 296 48 292 47 283 45 288 38 284 49510 47277 54 296 48 292 46 280 48 285 40 282 47277 45253 52 298 44 295 43 280 47 277 45 279 45253 43428 54 300 48 298 43 286 43 275 47 272 43428 41776 57 296 52 295 46 288 44 276 43 271 41776 40255 55 291 50 292 46 285 46 272 47 269 40255 38836 50 291 48 292 45 284 47 270 50 263 38836 37506 44 298 47 293 43 285 47 269 49 263 37506 36233 44 306 46 293 42 288 47 270 48 265 36233 34955 46 310 43 294 41 290 44 273 45 268 34955 33648 48 311 40 299 39 289 39 274 40 270 33648 32314 47 313 38 302 37 286 35 276 36 270 32314 30943 44 314 38 304 36 287 33 279 34 272 30943 29525 40 313 35 307 34 288 32 282 33 275 29525 28063 38 312 33 311 28 288 31 282 32 277 28063 26562 36 308 30 310 24 290 29 279 30 277 26562 25025 32 295 27 304 22 295 28 278 30 279 25025 23459 29 293 28 295 22 299 26 283 30 280 23459 21860 23 298 25 290 23 301 22 296 25 279 21860 20218 19 307 19 293 22 300 19 311 20 285 20218 18562 17 311 15 297 18 298 15 315 17 288 18562 16971 16 298 15 293 15 298 13*309 13 285 16971 15520 17 291 16 287 14*297 12*305 10 276 15520 14219 16 293 15 285 14*294 12 297 9 271 14219 13046 15 296 14 282 13 288 11 285 9 269 13046 11986 13 301 12 272 13 283 11 275 9 264 11986 11025 10 305 11 264 11 270 11 266 10 261 11025 10156 7 305 9 259 11 263 11 258 10 257 10156 9373 4 299 8 249 10 247 10 250 11 253 9373 8667 3 276 7 234 10 235 10 243 11 249 8667 8023 2 244 6*220 10 228 10 239 12 245 8023 7442 2 216 6*196 10 223 10 234 12 241 7442 6949 2 168 6 189 10 220 10 232 11 236 6949 6566 3 139 7 185 10 217 10 230 10 229 6566 6300 4 103 7 183 10 216 10 229 7 224 6300 6137 4*083 7 182 9 215 10 228 4*221 6137 6044 3*082 6 181 9 214 9 227 3*227 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography