DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.0 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 415 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2331 - - 10020 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7363 - - 13534 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8199 - - 15888 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8686 - - 2197 - - - - - 9086 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 401 - - 682 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 231 - - - - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 19 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7429 - - -833 - - - - - -9160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15628 - - 16721 - - - - - 15204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9291 - - -2839 - - - - - -12770 ODpotential blCL - - - 17490 - - 18727 - - - - - 18814 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 70 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 71.0 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 18.0 - - - - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 68.2 - - - - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.0 - - 17.2 - - - - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 415 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2331 - - 10020 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96979 46 259 45 265 46 276 96979 89645 41 257 41 266 42 281 89645 84077 35 264 33 265 36 277 84077 79497 31 281 29 273 26 275 79497 75553 25 284 32 286 18 279 75553 72037 23 287 33 286 20 297 72037 68826 28 286 29 282 27 293 68826 65867 24 285 24 280 29 289 65867 63124 24 293 22 278 28 282 63124 60459 28 286 21 284 24 279 60459 57666 30 281 25 282 25 277 57666 54764 35 273 33 279 25 275 54764 51991 33 265 36 273 24 274 51991 49488 30 273 31 270 31 267 49488 47246 34 280 34 278 39 268 47246 45221 39 276 40 276 44 268 45221 43384 40 272 43 273 42 264 43384 41717 39 268 42 271 39 266 41717 40196 35 267 42 274 45 271 40196 38788 33 273 44 277 49 272 38788 37471 36 277 46 278 50 272 37471 36207 36 275 47 280 48 274 36207 34936 34 272 46 281 45 275 34936 33633 33 269 42 279 42 273 33633 32303 31 265 38 277 41 271 32303 30934 29 266 37 273 38 269 30934 29519 28 270 34 266 32 265 29519 28062 27 274 28 264 28 262 28062 26565 28 276 25 268 27 259 26565 25033 29 276 25 273 25 254 25033 23468 28 272 26 274 21 251 23468 21868 21 264 25 271 18 257 21868 20226 19 261 21 266 17 265 20226 18567 23 256 18 267 18 262 18567 16976 27 240 15*265 19 252 16976 15524 23 233 12*257 19 242 15524 14223 18 234 12 255 17 236 14223 13050 16 242 11 244 16 233 13050 11989 14 251 10 235 15 232 11989 11028 13 259 11 230 14 232 11028 10159 13 264 11 225 13 232 10159 9376 12 265 11 221 13 233 9376 8669 10*260 11 218 12 233 8669 8024 8*247 11 215 11 233 8024 7443 6 210 11 213 11 233 7443 6950 7 202 11 211 9 230 6950 6567 7 197 11 210 7 224 6567 6300 7 194 11 210 5 211 6300 6137 7 193 11 209 3*191 6137 6044 6 191 10 208 2*184 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography