DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 37.9 - - 35.3 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 123 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 881 - - 1940 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6025 - - 6685 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6749 - - 7808 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1064 - - 829 - - 2037 - - 1052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 189 - - 264 - - 10 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 207 - - 151 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1806 - - -1185 - - -2394 - - -293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8555 - - 8993 - - 8436 - - 6336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10064 - - -7405 - - -8538 - - -5837 ODpotential blCL - - - 16813 - - 15213 - - 14580 - - 11879 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 88 - - 90 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.2 - - 37.9 - - 35.3 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 19.7 - - 19.6 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 36.8 - - 36.3 - - 33.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 19.1 - - 18.7 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 123 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 881 - - 1940 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 53 - - 61 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96639 37 083 36 069 31 091 27 039 96639 89439 26 067 30 059 23 073 22 058 89439 83846 17 050 16 050 18 037 19 043 83846 79215 12 045 10 022 13 004 16 020 79215 75229 11 046 7 007 10 326 15 358 75229 71672 9 016 6 325 11 306 17 355 71672 68428 6 013 4 327 9 293 19 338 68428 65437 6 017 7 309 8 287 14 312 65437 62659 6 313 14 295 12 317 10 282 62659 59960 12 288 18 277 17 306 9 295 59960 57133 19 296 22 276 23 287 14 286 57133 54204 32 293 30 281 25 285 25 279 54204 51425 39 281 35 282 35 282 36 271 51425 48931 38 270 41 276 41 273 41 264 48931 46690 40 274 46 278 46 275 40 267 46690 44653 55 276 60 279 53 275 49 271 44653 42794 61 271 66 274 62 273 58 270 42794 41090 64 282 78 269 79 270 65 267 41090 39513 82 288 94 267 100 261 70 262 39513 38045 80 283 96 265 106 255 84 257 38045 36683 78 277 96 265 106 256 102 253 36683 35393 80 275 95 266 107 259 113 250 35393 34106 82 276 94 266 108 259 116 249 34106 32794 81 275 90 268 105 259 110 249 32794 31468 77 275 84 270 93 260 95 249 31468 30119 71 274 75 270 80 257 79 252 30119 28735 62 274 66 266 74 250 79 270 28735 27316 54 281 60 264 72 247 78 274 27316 25857 50 283 59 264 72 253 71 276 25857 24363 53 277 57 263 69 270 64 276 24363 22838 56 272 52 265 56 286 59 275 22838 21277 55 268 43 270 51 294 55 274 21277 19675 51 267 34 281 48 296 52 274 19675 18057 44 266 31 296 43 296 45 278 18057 16509 35 264 32 305 37 298 36 282 16509 15102 28 265 29 310 30 299 28 288 15102 13845 22 272 26 310 25 297 24 289 13845 12713 17 283 24 302 22 296 22 287 12713 11690 14 295 24 289 22 294 22 285 11690 10766 13 304 23 277 21 287 24 279 10766 9933 12 306 20 266 18 279 25 273 9933 9186 12 305 15 257 14 269 23 266 9186 8515 10 302 10 245 10 257 19 257 8515 7904 8 300 6*225 6 240 14 244 7904 7355 5 301 6*211 4 193 8 225 7355 6892 1*320 6 208 4 162 4 154 6892 6532 1*119 6 205 4 156 7 116 6532 6282 1 132 5 204 4 155 6 093 6282 6129 2 136 5 203 3*152 4*059 6129 6042 1 132 5 204 3*151 3*040 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography