DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 54.0 - - 58.2 - - 52.0 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 187 - - 193 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1580 - - 2080 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6618 - - 6984 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7448 - - 7948 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 334 - - 1576 - - 3106 - - 1955 - - 293 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 283 - - 313 - - 13 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 232 - - 215 - - 187 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5608 - - -4899 - - -5262 - - -5600 - - -4404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11650 - - 12348 - - 13210 - - 11643 - - 10447 sfcLCL ODpotential -16171 - - -12055 - - -11116 - - -13162 - - -13201 ODpotential blCL 22213 - - 19503 - - 19064 - - 19205 - - 19244 blCL maxRH 66 - - 59 - - 61 - - 56 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 54.0 - - 58.2 - - 52.0 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.3 - - 21.2 - - 21.4 - - 22.5 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 52.5 - - 56.6 - - 54.0 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.6 - - 20.7 - - 21.0 - - 22.0 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 187 - - 193 - - -4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1580 - - 2080 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 5 017 4 325 8 231 6 354 10 266 96597 89374 3 295 3 312 6 288 4 346 5 347 89374 83820 3 308 7 271 12 311 10 333 14 324 83820 79220 7 293 8 313 9 310 12 310 17 325 79220 75251 10 298 11 297 11 326 15 315 13 319 75251 71717 11 289 11 299 11 324 14 323 17 320 71717 68525 14 287 16 307 16 289 19 305 20 304 68525 65607 20 310 19 304 24 294 28 299 27 312 65607 62925 25 303 27 289 25 289 25 293 35 315 62925 60347 32 309 30 293 23 285 26 295 33 310 60347 57648 44 308 35 303 34 297 36 299 37 299 57648 54824 50 297 48 298 45 297 47 300 45 300 54824 52124 51 294 53 292 52 299 58 300 56 303 52124 49697 55 296 61 298 64 298 65 300 63 301 49697 47521 65 296 73 295 74 294 67 299 67 297 47521 45542 72 297 76 292 78 295 68 300 68 295 45542 43727 78 300 78 296 77 296 69 301 69 301 43727 42058 79 301 78 299 71 296 72 300 73 308 42058 40517 76 301 76 300 66 299 72 299 74 311 40517 39086 72 302 72 299 65 304 72 303 71 313 39086 37749 69 303 71 298 67 308 74 309 68 314 37749 36469 68 305 70 298 71 309 76 313 68 313 36469 35183 68 304 70 297 73 307 74 314 68 313 35183 33864 69 302 69 297 72 303 69 312 67 312 33864 32517 68 301 68 298 70 301 66 308 65 311 32517 31131 67 299 63 296 67 299 63 304 63 311 31131 29696 66 296 65 297 63 300 59 302 62 311 29696 28217 65 295 63 297 60 306 55 300 60 311 28217 26695 61 295 61 297 56 311 51 301 56 312 26695 25136 56 295 58 300 54 309 47 307 49 314 25136 23543 52 294 53 299 52 307 43 316 44 318 23543 21911 49 295 47 297 50 305 42 327 41 320 21911 20233 45 298 41 298 47 302 40 329 40 320 20233 18538 41 303 37 301 44 299 37 320 39 321 18538 16916 36 304 34 302 40 298 36 311 37 321 16916 15447 32 305 32 301 37 299 36 308 33 319 15447 14137 28 305 28 300 32 302 33 308 29 314 14137 12963 23 309 25 301 26 308 28 312 25 313 12963 11906 19 313 21 304 19 317 22 320 22 316 11906 10951 16 313 17 307 13 323 16 328 19 323 10951 10089 13 309 13 311 12 320 11 331 17 332 10089 9316 10 305 10 312 9 308 9 325 15 341 9316 8620 8 303 7 304 7 283 6 313 13 347 8620 7985 6 306 5*278 6*248 5 290 11 352 7985 7414 5 318 5*248 7*223 4 253 10 355 7414 6930 5 332 5 235 7 217 3 219 9 357 6930 6554 4 338 5 229 8 214 4 199 9 358 6554 6294 3 330 6 226 8 212 4 192 8 359 6294 6134 2 310 6 224 7 211 4*188 6*357 6134 6043 2*307 5 224 7 211 3*187 6*357 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography