DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.8 - - 40.6 - - 45.7 - - 39.0 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 129 - - 152 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1278 - - 1840 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6207 - - 6714 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7146 - - 7708 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 471 - - 1574 - - 2447 - - 1507 - - 862 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 233 - - 277 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 222 - - 228 - - 201 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1865 - - -1875 - - -2880 - - -3071 - - -1870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7908 - - 9022 - - 10589 - - 9113 - - 7913 sfcLCL ODpotential -10264 - - -7611 - - -8351 - - -9794 - - -9842 ODpotential blCL 16306 - - 14757 - - 16059 - - 15836 - - 15884 blCL maxRH 51 - - 54 - - 57 - - 57 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.8 - - 40.6 - - 45.7 - - 39.0 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.0 - - 22.5 - - 20.7 - - 20.7 - - 21.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.9 - - 39.4 - - 44.4 - - 41.4 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.7 - - 21.8 - - 20.3 - - 20.4 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 129 - - 152 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1278 - - 1840 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96201 6 302 8 304 14 234 12 311 13 324 96201 89051 10 071 3 180 6 250 11 306 17 350 89051 83511 9 016 2 084 3 076 6 280 17 004 83511 78882 3 325 5 289 7 279 11 324 15 325 78882 74882 15 316 7 286 5 314 8 339 19 340 74882 71363 18 275 18 288 20 294 18 319 26 320 71363 68204 10 298 13 238 16 275 15 318 23 322 68204 65320 22 339 17 303 27 323 31 328 35 316 65320 62660 43 296 49 300 45 302 37 307 38 308 62660 60084 37 290 50 295 51 295 44 295 43 304 60084 57390 36 298 52 299 52 298 48 295 47 295 57390 54581 47 304 59 301 54 298 52 294 54 290 54581 51883 58 303 61 298 56 297 58 292 61 288 51883 49443 66 301 62 298 63 295 62 292 63 289 49443 47247 70 299 63 296 68 292 66 292 63 292 47247 45250 71 299 65 295 71 291 70 293 68 296 45250 43422 67 300 66 296 71 291 72 294 73 297 43422 41740 66 307 66 299 68 294 72 295 75 301 41740 40184 68 316 67 305 70 302 73 300 77 306 40184 38738 72 321 72 311 76 308 77 305 76 308 38738 37395 76 322 76 314 80 311 78 307 74 308 37395 36117 78 322 78 315 81 313 76 308 73 310 36117 34840 79 323 77 316 79 314 74 309 75 311 34840 33534 79 325 72 317 77 314 72 309 76 310 33534 32203 78 326 69 317 75 313 71 307 75 308 32203 30832 79 327 68 318 73 312 68 308 71 307 30832 29414 80 328 70 320 70 312 65 309 67 307 29414 27953 78 329 72 323 68 313 63 310 65 309 27953 26451 74 328 72 326 66 313 62 311 66 311 26451 24911 68 329 70 327 65 314 63 313 66 312 24911 23336 63 329 66 328 63 316 64 317 65 314 23336 21720 58 325 62 329 61 319 64 319 61 317 21720 20057 54 322 56 326 58 320 60 320 56 320 20057 18378 50 324 50 319 52 319 53 320 50 321 18378 16768 45 331 45 315 47 316 46 322 44 322 16768 15307 40 336 39 316 43 314 40 323 38 324 15307 14005 36 337 33 321 38 315 36 323 33 326 14005 12841 32 337 28 326 32 318 31 321 29 327 12841 11794 28 335 25 331 26 325 24 319 24 326 11794 10851 23 332 21 335 20 333 17 318 19 322 10851 10003 19 325 17 336 15 334 12 316 15 313 10003 9242 15 316 12 335 11 330 9 311 11 302 9242 8558 10 308 7 332 8 316 7 296 7 290 8558 7936 7 309 4 323 5*285 6 272 5 275 7936 7378 3 334 1*275 5*245 6 244 4 264 7378 6906 2 028 2*234 5 233 6 223 4 255 6906 6540 2 036 3 225 5 225 6 210 2 262 6540 6286 1 333 3 218 6 221 5 204 2 292 6286 6131 2*302 3 217 6 219 4 202 2*341 6131 6042 2*298 3 214 5 218 3*201 3*348 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography