DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 87.1 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 359 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4894 - - 9650 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9393 - - 13147 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10762 - - 15518 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5689 - - 4063 - - - - - 4804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 537 - - 639 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 237 - - - - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 12 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2709 - - 1337 - - - - - -2080 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13471 - - 14181 - - - - - 8125 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4333 - - -101 - - - - - -5245 ODpotential blCL - - - 15095 - - 15619 - - - - - 11290 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 850 - - - - - 990 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 87.1 - - - - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 45.4 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 84.4 - - - - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 45.3 - - - - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 419 - - 359 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4894 - - 9650 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 102 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 34 107 22 113 21 104 99164 91674 25 113 24 118 18 076 91674 85894 14 102 19 115 13 076 85894 81131 16 096 16 110 17 108 81131 77036 15 105 12 097 18 098 77036 73405 13 086 11 087 13 111 73405 70116 10 059 12 138 11 113 70116 67099 7 137 4 128 7 115 67099 64311 6 140 6 191 6 097 64311 61617 5 218 6 184 7 179 61617 58832 5 188 15 214 13 239 58832 55987 11 265 22 212 24 247 55987 53304 22 259 26 236 32 245 53304 50893 35 263 31 254 32 246 50893 48716 47 265 42 263 38 257 48716 46727 54 259 50 261 49 259 46727 44898 57 252 55 255 59 258 44898 43208 56 248 57 251 62 254 43208 41636 56 246 58 249 57 251 41636 40167 59 243 57 247 47 247 40167 38788 59 237 55 243 43 239 38788 37466 56 233 56 241 45 233 37466 36138 53 233 57 238 42 226 36138 34772 51 235 55 238 40 226 34772 33377 49 237 52 239 40 229 33377 31940 47 241 47 240 40 232 31940 30454 44 245 43 243 39 236 30454 28922 40 248 39 244 37 241 28922 27350 38 247 37 245 35 244 27350 25740 37 243 37 244 34 245 25740 24096 34 242 37 244 34 243 24096 22414 32 243 35 247 33 241 22414 20687 31 245 32 250 31 243 20687 18949 26 252 25 252 27 248 18949 17287 24 256 24 251 21 245 17287 15780 23 255 23*249 14 237 15780 14435 22 254 19*243 12 233 14435 13227 23 249 17 240 14 233 13227 12136 22 242 16 239 15 234 12136 11148 20*237 15 237 15 237 11148 10256 17*230 14 236 15 247 10256 9453 14 223 13 235 16 258 9453 8729 12 217 13 235 16 264 8729 8069 12 215 12 234 16 263 8069 7475 12 213 12 233 14 258 7475 6971 12 213 11 233 11 259 6971 6579 11 212 11 233 8 265 6579 6307 11 211 11 233 5 272 6307 6141 10 212 10 233 3*291 6141 6045 10 211 9 233 2*311 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography