DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 51.8 - - 49.5 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 220 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1586 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6036 - - 6674 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6721 - - 7454 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 542 - - 900 - - 1446 - - 452 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 298 - - 31 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 16 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 215 - - 190 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3438 - - -5059 - - -6144 - - -4066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10159 - - 12513 - - 12187 - - 10109 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11884 - - -11483 - - -12670 - - -12507 ODpotential blCL - - - 18605 - - 18937 - - 18713 - - 18550 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 51 - - 55 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.4 - - 51.8 - - 49.5 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 18.5 - - 17.8 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 50.0 - - 49.3 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 18.0 - - 17.5 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 220 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1586 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95405 74 265 60 270 66 267 79 264 95405 88501 57 270 49 283 46 282 47 283 88501 83209 36 289 40 286 35 296 34 302 83209 78770 19 290 27 282 32 290 26 307 78770 74894 10 303 22 272 34 282 27 305 74894 71441 12 327 17 289 30 281 29 300 71441 68323 15 293 18 292 23 275 31 280 68323 65483 17 285 19 297 16 264 26 257 65483 62850 21 303 19 301 18 289 22 266 62850 60281 29 302 26 295 31 292 31 284 60281 57589 34 294 39 283 40 286 44 285 57589 54783 44 293 44 286 43 283 46 284 54783 52083 53 293 51 284 45 286 52 281 52083 49640 53 291 53 280 50 282 55 273 49640 47441 49 296 48 285 48 283 54 269 47441 45437 44 301 46 288 47 287 49 272 45437 43597 42 304 42 288 48 285 47 277 43597 41898 42 301 41 287 43 283 48 275 41898 40333 38 297 39 277 43 281 42 269 40333 38888 34 292 39 269 46 275 42 269 38888 37542 36 281 33 269 45 256 46 263 37542 36255 36 273 35 267 37 254 42 256 36255 34969 31 273 37 261 35 252 41 247 34969 33663 25 270 36 256 36 247 41 246 33663 32333 24 264 32 252 37 248 42 247 32333 30967 26 270 33 255 39 252 45 247 30967 29554 28 277 36 260 40 256 44 246 29554 28099 29 285 35 266 38 259 38 248 28099 26601 30 291 33 277 34 267 35 253 26601 25062 30 293 31 281 31 275 31 255 25062 23487 26 298 27 279 28 279 25 259 23487 21872 22 312 21 280 24 273 19 255 21872 20211 21 337 14 294 19 259 19 244 20211 18530 17 352 9 317 13 255 20 237 18530 16915 11 001 6 306 12 244 17 243 16915 15444 7 358 5 282 15 242 14 258 15444 14129 5 331 6 278 14 247 12 275 14129 12949 5 305 6 279 13 254 11 287 12949 11886 4 289 6 276 11 259 10 291 11886 10927 3 284 5 277 9 262 8 288 10927 10064 1 274 4 291 5 273 6 276 10064 9291 0 216 5 313 3 304 3 255 9291 8596 0 195 5 317 3 337 2 235 8596 7964 0 288 3*308 3 334 3 250 7964 7397 1 345 2*255 2 326 4 275 7397 6918 0*152 3 219 1 206 3 296 6918 6547 2*175 4 212 3 191 2 331 6547 6290 3 173 4 207 3 191 3 007 6290 6133 3 175 4 205 3*191 3*026 6133 6043 3 174 4 203 3*190 3*024 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography