DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.6 - - 41.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 80 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 741 - - 904 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6609 - - 6772 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 494 - - 591 - - 701 - - 559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 181 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 33 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 156 - - 340 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8 - - -438 - - 0 - - -444 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6618 - - 7210 - - 6042 - - 6488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8122 - - -6470 - - -6089 - - -7752 ODpotential blCL - - - 14731 - - 13242 - - 12131 - - 13795 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 69 - - 74 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.6 - - 41.3 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 37.0 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 45.8 - - 43.5 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 35.1 - - 36.5 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 80 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 741 - - 904 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96148 13 049 29 067 25 099 13 124 96148 89077 11 061 11 053 18 078 14 076 89077 83623 9 105 4 063 12 011 17 032 83623 79085 7 067 3 071 13 330 18 355 79085 75144 6 002 3 010 10 328 14 339 75144 71633 11 342 8 326 11 333 12 329 71633 68439 13 328 13 318 16 315 15 335 68439 65505 17 319 17 313 19 308 20 336 65505 62797 22 309 18 313 19 302 24 317 62797 60187 30 307 23 323 21 313 28 312 60187 57463 38 298 34 309 35 307 35 307 57463 54631 42 293 43 302 43 297 43 296 54631 51921 44 295 52 295 51 288 54 291 51921 49478 48 296 53 288 59 287 61 293 49478 47288 46 293 54 288 63 286 66 288 47288 45304 43 296 55 283 64 283 62 282 45304 43494 45 289 49 278 59 278 60 280 43494 41826 40 283 42 277 51 274 56 277 41826 40285 42 294 42 286 46 275 44 274 40285 38859 48 288 47 281 45 279 44 273 38859 37530 48 283 44 277 46 272 45 262 37530 36258 46 281 41 274 44 275 43 265 36258 34981 47 280 36 277 42 274 39 272 34981 33671 46 279 35 280 38 273 37 274 33671 32333 46 275 37 279 34 275 35 268 32333 30957 50 269 38 275 33 276 33 260 30957 29536 52 264 43 268 33 271 34 260 29536 28075 52 264 48 265 38 269 33 265 28075 26575 47 264 49 262 42 267 34 271 26575 25035 42 264 47 265 44 267 34 274 25035 23458 40 264 45 270 42 271 33 275 23458 21842 39 267 40 274 36 277 31 276 21842 20180 35 276 33 281 29 283 27 275 20180 18501 29 282 26 288 22 283 23 269 18501 16891 24 284 20 287 19 277 20 265 16891 15427 21 282 19 279 19 275 18 267 15427 14117 17 280 18 272 18 275 16 270 14117 12941 12 275 15 264 17 275 15 269 12941 11880 9 268 13 257 15 272 13 268 11880 10923 7 262 11 256 13 270 11 264 10923 10060 6 254 9 259 10 271 9 259 10060 9287 6 245 7 267 6 277 7 249 9287 8592 5 234 5 280 3 292 5 227 8592 7961 3 233 4 300 2 305 4 186 7961 7395 2 249 2 327 1 299 4 154 7395 6917 0*200 1*359 1 011 4 130 6917 6547 1*153 1*133 2 021 3 107 6547 6290 2 159 1 156 1 011 4 070 6290 6133 2 161 1 161 0*353 3*044 6133 6043 2 163 1 162 0*340 3*032 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography