DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.4 - - 48.7 - - 53.8 - - 50.2 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 165 - - 249 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1767 - - 3919 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6694 - - 8437 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7635 - - 9787 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 228 - - 1954 - - 2039 - - 4798 - - 1436 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 280 - - 419 - - 19 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 16 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 012 - - 009 - - 011 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -13 - - -26 - - -19 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5063 - - -6368 - - -4480 - - -7343 - - -5096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11106 - - 14004 - - 14268 - - 13386 - - 11139 sfcLCL ODpotential -14083 - - -12945 - - -9631 - - -13390 - - -12741 ODpotential blCL 20125 - - 20580 - - 19418 - - 19433 - - 18783 blCL maxRH 49 - - 52 - - 45 - - 58 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.4 - - 48.7 - - 53.8 - - 50.2 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.1 - - 8.8 - - 12.5 - - 13.1 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 47.3 - - 52.0 - - 50.3 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.6 - - 8.2 - - 12.1 - - 12.9 - - 13.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 165 - - 249 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1767 - - 3919 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96167 26 269 24 268 37 274 27 295 26 300 96167 89074 21 304 13 301 15 296 21 297 22 349 89074 83622 19 296 20 301 20 299 11 347 14 347 83622 79085 13 295 13 302 23 280 20 339 16 348 79085 75160 13 322 8 330 12 287 22 320 15 338 75160 71669 16 315 15 307 20 318 18 318 24 333 71669 68509 22 300 22 300 20 302 17 332 24 324 68509 65603 26 293 22 313 22 318 27 325 23 332 65603 62895 33 304 29 316 31 319 28 315 28 337 62895 60261 40 287 31 298 30 312 26 314 33 323 60261 57504 33 284 26 302 31 316 29 312 31 312 57504 54620 47 298 38 307 37 312 31 318 32 324 54620 51856 54 294 49 296 40 307 40 324 35 332 51856 49379 49 297 46 293 42 307 42 325 38 341 49379 47174 48 303 47 299 41 308 44 334 40 344 47174 45192 48 299 43 298 41 323 44 331 43 354 45192 43396 39 297 37 314 43 324 41 341 46 004 43396 41754 39 332 31 315 36 319 44 353 60 015 41754 40239 47 331 26 351 28 340 52 006 75 019 40239 38829 43 329 46 019 28 009 68 019 81 022 38829 37508 48 350 64 024 42 022 80 024 85 023 37508 36241 56 000 72 024 56 019 82 023 91 023 36241 34965 64 007 72 020 62 013 77 019 95 023 34965 33656 67 010 69 015 63 008 68 015 92 022 33656 32319 66 006 64 009 61 006 61 010 85 022 32319 30944 64 001 59 004 59 004 54 001 78 023 30944 29523 57 355 55 000 58 001 51 353 70 025 29523 28060 48 352 54 357 54 357 50 351 60 023 28060 26556 45 354 55 357 52 356 49 351 46 013 26556 25011 41 356 56 357 52 359 48 349 36 357 25011 23429 37 350 52 353 53 001 47 347 38 350 23429 21807 36 339 45 345 50 357 44 346 37 346 21807 20142 36 337 40 340 47 349 41 348 33 344 20142 18461 35 336 37 341 46 345 38 352 29 346 18461 16847 31 334 34 342 43 346 37 355 30 353 16847 15379 27 332 31 343 39 349 37 358 33 002 15379 14068 23 332 29 343 35 352 34 360 36 007 14068 12894 20 334 27 344 31 355 31 003 36 009 12894 11840 18 336 26 346 27 358 27 008 34 009 11840 10891 17 340 25 349 23 002 24 015 31 009 10891 10037 16 344 24 353 20*004 22 019 28 011 10037 9272 16 347 21 358 19*006 21 020 26 015 9272 8583 15 351 17 004 17 008 20 019 24 021 8583 7957 15 353 15*007 16 009 19 015 24 025 7957 7394 14 355 12*011 16 009 18 012 23 026 7394 6917 13 356 10 011 15 010 17 011 21 022 6917 6547 11 356 8 012 14 011 16 011 18 015 6547 6290 9 354 7 013 13 011 15 011 13 009 6290 6132 6*350 7 014 13 012 13*011 9 003 6132 6042 5*347 5 015 11 012 9*011 5*354 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography