DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 66.2 - - 72.4 - - 71.5 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 393 - - 427 - - 127 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 688 - - 3485 - - 11123 - - 8859 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 8267 - - 14453 - - 11823 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6556 - - 9353 - - 16991 - - 14727 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1392 - - 4038 - - 2851 - - 4461 - - 8220 Hgt.Variab. W* 149 - - 470 - - 712 - - 443 - - 0 W* B/S 9 - - 14 - - 20 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 158 - - 221 - - 245 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 10 - - -14 - - -22 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8656 - - -6475 - - 394 - - -1930 - - -8844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15213 - - 15829 - - 16598 - - 16658 - - 14888 sfcLCL ODpotential -13018 - - -8544 - - -601 - - -3817 - - -12406 ODpotential blCL 19574 - - 17897 - - 17592 - - 18544 - - 18450 blCL maxRH 82 - - 91 - - 67 - - 50 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 66.2 - - 72.4 - - 71.5 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 17.7 - - 19.9 - - 19.0 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.9 - - 63.6 - - 69.5 - - 70.2 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.0 - - 16.9 - - 19.2 - - 18.4 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 393 - - 427 - - 127 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 688 - - 3485 - - 11123 - - 8859 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97322 44 273 45 273 45 269 50 279 43 283 97322 89972 38 268 43 272 44 274 46 283 39 284 89972 84332 34 270 37 268 38 276 44 283 36 287 84332 79680 27 288 26 268 28 261 38 269 36 285 79680 75671 28 289 25 288 18 257 26 256 29 276 75671 72114 25 268 28 293 16 282 12 265 14 262 72114 68886 19 251 24 272 21 284 15 293 8 285 68886 65924 16 256 22 242 25 265 23 284 17 291 65924 63194 19 266 16 244 22 251 23 267 19 266 63194 60563 26 272 18 268 18 254 19 245 19 245 60563 57826 35 272 24 254 22 253 24 254 26 247 57826 54980 37 265 30 248 32 250 32 253 28 254 54980 52244 40 264 36 244 34 253 36 264 39 262 52244 49765 48 260 41 257 41 256 41 261 43 265 49765 47538 53 255 46 258 45 255 40 264 43 271 47538 45533 55 254 45 256 41 258 36 273 38 281 45533 43723 47 259 36 264 32 267 34 278 37 287 43723 42067 37 266 29 298 22 310 18 288 26 283 42067 40533 29 277 35 322 44 003 26 022 12 030 40533 39101 21 288 35 330 50 001 35 018 24 037 39101 37755 19 274 29 326 42 001 32 010 27 031 37755 36466 18 252 20 299 32 353 29 006 24 026 36466 35174 17 237 16 284 27 346 25 001 18 004 35174 33853 15 239 15 264 22 327 23 356 17 352 33853 32505 14 237 13 251 18 293 21 357 16 359 32505 31119 15 230 12 238 16 269 21 354 14 357 31119 29685 14 213 13 254 18 275 18 326 12 002 29685 28209 13 202 14 264 17 286 16 298 14 337 28209 26695 8 216 14 267 15 290 15 301 13 324 26695 25148 6 225 10 261 12 290 12 304 11 334 25148 23569 7 248 5 302 5 283 8 300 7 329 23569 21953 12 269 3 296 3 214 6 228 6 264 21953 20296 16 268 4 258 5 205 6 193 8 194 20296 18626 13 260 7 247 5 233 5 224 12 209 18626 17025 7 257 12 242 7*238 5 287 9 208 17025 15564 3 244 10 237 6*239 5*292 3 175 15564 14255 4 204 6 225 6 236 5*288 1 094 14255 13077 4 189 6 204 6 231 5 283 2 257 13077 12011 8 168 7 189 6 226 5 275 4 248 12011 11046 7 145 8 173 6 222 5 258 6 244 11046 10172 6 121 8*162 6 219 6 243 7 244 10172 9387 6 121 7*157 7 216 6 234 8 246 9387 8678 8 142 7 156 7 214 6 228 9 249 8678 8031 9 154 6 156 7 211 6 223 9 251 8031 7448 9 162 6 157 7 209 6 219 9 253 7448 6953 6*166 6 159 7 208 7 216 9 252 6953 6569 4*151 6 159 7 207 6 215 8 248 6569 6301 3 112 6 161 7 207 6 214 6 240 6301 6138 3 109 5 160 7 206 6 214 4*230 6138 6044 3 109 5 161 6 205 6 213 3*233 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography