DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 49.9 - - 43.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 143 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 1806 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6662 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6924 - - 7674 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2139 - - 1630 - - 1214 - - 950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 270 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 6 - - 0 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 245 - - 201 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4553 - - -3950 - - -4217 - - -3512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11477 - - 11624 - - 10260 - - 9554 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14124 - - -11552 - - -13445 - - -13893 ODpotential blCL - - - 21048 - - 19226 - - 19487 - - 19935 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 81 - - 75 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 49.9 - - 43.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 20.3 - - 20.2 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 48.5 - - 45.6 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.8 - - 19.8 - - 19.8 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 143 - - -12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1056 - - 1806 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96177 8 257 8 298 17 221 14 255 96177 89142 10 025 9 253 11 309 3 343 89142 83667 4 024 5 167 12 280 7 337 83667 79088 11 295 9 320 8 337 10 332 79088 75132 20 284 16 280 19 309 14 350 75132 71632 6 302 11 292 25 309 29 310 71632 68468 14 345 16 012 14 350 16 302 68468 65544 28 335 25 353 21 024 17 007 65544 62830 42 300 43 315 38 342 27 344 62830 60223 40 300 42 311 46 318 29 315 60223 57509 38 309 44 313 45 312 33 306 57509 54684 41 308 46 316 50 315 43 313 54684 51993 55 318 55 322 59 317 51 312 51993 49572 66 320 65 321 63 319 52 316 49572 47398 78 321 70 321 69 323 65 324 47398 45434 89 318 79 317 78 321 78 319 45434 43659 89 312 84 311 80 314 84 307 43659 42038 81 309 79 304 72 305 77 299 42038 40527 69 312 69 297 66 299 67 304 40527 39102 63 318 60 297 62 299 69 315 39102 37761 63 323 55 303 58 303 68 316 37761 36474 64 322 54 308 55 308 64 314 36474 35179 64 318 55 314 54 310 62 313 35179 33851 68 314 57 323 54 311 62 315 33851 32494 76 312 61 327 55 311 63 317 32494 31097 82 310 65 327 57 312 64 319 31097 29651 84 307 65 323 59 313 65 319 29651 28160 84 306 66 320 61 315 65 320 28160 26628 82 307 66 320 62 319 65 320 26628 25060 78 311 65 319 64 322 65 320 25060 23462 75 317 63 318 64 323 63 319 23462 21827 73 322 62 317 62 324 60 317 21827 20150 70 326 61 318 61 324 57 317 20150 18461 66 326 60 322 60 325 53 319 18461 16844 57 323 57 323 58 327 49 322 16844 15376 47 319 51 321 55 328 46 325 15376 14067 37 313 46 315 49 328 42 327 14067 12895 27 307 40 310 42 328 37 327 12895 11839 21 296 34 305 35 325 32 325 11839 10888 17 281 27 302 28 320 26 319 10888 10031 15 271 20 299 22 313 21 309 10031 9263 13 274 16 292 16 304 18 295 9263 8573 10 284 13 285 12 292 15 281 8573 7946 7 302 10*275 10 276 11 264 7946 7384 4*328 8*257 8 253 9 242 7384 6910 2*317 8 247 8 229 8 224 6910 6543 1 249 8 243 9 213 7 214 6543 6288 2 237 8 240 8 205 4 208 6288 6132 2 229 7 239 7 201 1*195 6132 6042 2 231 7 239 5*201 0*240 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography