DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 53.8 - - 45.8 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 125 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 481 - - 1128 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6349 - - 6996 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 616 - - 1110 - - 727 - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 221 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 231 - - 224 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4006 - - -5179 - - -4165 - - -3055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10355 - - 12175 - - 10209 - - 9098 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11808 - - -11448 - - -12156 - - -12328 ODpotential blCL - - - 18157 - - 18444 - - 18199 - - 18371 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 32 - - 33 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.9 - - 53.8 - - 45.8 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.1 - - 22.0 - - 22.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 52.7 - - 49.2 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 21.5 - - 22.5 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 125 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 481 - - 1128 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95917 34 308 27 323 23 276 36 299 95917 88946 13 296 21 306 23 310 31 317 88946 83518 8 350 10 317 20 328 24 330 83518 78990 17 352 11 333 9 316 14 328 78990 75062 18 002 10 347 13 354 17 003 75062 71566 17 341 15 336 19 344 18 350 71566 68398 15 329 10 337 15 357 12 349 68398 65478 23 330 27 338 33 343 23 360 65478 62794 29 324 35 334 34 331 34 345 62794 60231 34 333 34 333 38 322 39 333 60231 57556 38 327 35 326 37 312 41 318 57556 54772 39 320 38 327 37 318 40 311 54772 52107 40 314 42 317 43 325 40 324 52107 49700 38 309 42 312 46 317 43 325 49700 47540 35 309 40 309 43 308 45 318 47540 45584 33 319 37 315 38 308 42 307 45584 43795 37 329 37 324 33 309 40 297 43795 42143 39 325 35 320 29 309 37 291 42143 40604 35 317 32 313 26 305 29 291 40604 39162 32 305 30 303 25 306 22 292 39162 37810 30 300 31 296 27 307 18 292 37810 36515 24 306 29 299 31 306 19 300 36515 35217 19 310 23 295 36 298 26 300 35217 33891 18 309 21 293 32 302 28 294 33891 32542 20 306 24 296 28 301 30 291 32542 31156 24 309 26 302 32 301 37 293 31156 29724 26 315 29 306 36 302 40 295 29724 28247 25 316 29 308 39 303 41 297 28247 26726 21 314 27 308 36 304 39 301 26726 25166 16 311 22 304 30 306 31 304 25166 23576 12 306 18 294 24 309 21 311 23576 21951 11 301 16 282 19 304 16 317 21951 20280 12 297 15 276 16 296 16 312 20280 18591 12 294 16 281 16 294 17 305 18591 16969 13 298 17 292 17 298 18 303 16969 15491 13 309 17 303 17 302 18 306 15491 14169 14 322 16 313 16 306 18 311 14169 12983 14 334 14 324 14 310 16 316 12983 11914 14 342 11 338 11 320 14 320 11914 10951 11 348 11 354 9 338 11 323 10951 10084 10 356 11 006 8 354 9 326 10084 9306 10 007 11 011 7 358 7 326 9306 8607 10 017 9 011 6 346 5 318 8607 7971 10 020 5 002 5 309 5 302 7971 7401 7 013 3*284 7 280 3 301 7401 6920 4 347 4*247 6 263 2 327 6920 6548 2*304 4 231 5 250 1 099 6548 6290 2*234 5 227 3 234 3 101 6290 6133 2 226 5 225 2*226 3*087 6133 6043 2 219 4 223 2*224 2*070 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography