DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 65.1 - - 73.6 - - 72.6 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 186 - - 263 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 1486 - - 2706 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 6563 - - 7547 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 7354 - - 8574 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 974 - - 829 - - 3371 - - 4623 - - 840 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 280 - - 378 - - 62 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 23 - - 19 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 173 - - 208 - - 233 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1614 - - -1239 - - -3256 - - -5632 - - -3121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7658 - - 8593 - - 11830 - - 11677 - - 9165 sfcLCL ODpotential -7035 - - -5484 - - -6205 - - -8941 - - -8695 ODpotential blCL 13079 - - 12838 - - 14779 - - 14986 - - 14739 blCL maxRH 60 - - 62 - - 62 - - 68 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 100 - - 170 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 65.1 - - 73.6 - - 72.6 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 48.2 - - 42.7 - - 42.4 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 63.4 - - 71.5 - - 72.2 - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 47.3 - - 42.3 - - 42.2 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 186 - - 263 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 1486 - - 2706 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97938 19 255 17 260 15 244 18 240 18 265 97938 90619 7 221 10 270 10 246 16 249 12 274 90619 84957 3 067 11 201 13 257 15 264 8 324 84957 80262 6 035 10 155 6 250 5 284 2 039 80262 76239 5 004 8 109 4 144 7 019 7 037 76239 72705 3 011 7 083 5 164 5 343 9 359 72705 69523 8 042 6 061 2 342 9 335 13 003 69523 66614 12 019 8 039 5 015 10 331 13 342 66614 63933 15 338 14 336 9 355 11 356 11 342 63933 61343 14 311 17 319 12 331 13 341 14 354 61343 58627 13 311 18 304 15 305 15 305 17 327 58627 55795 17 321 19 305 15 302 19 297 27 302 55795 53097 36 300 34 293 37 297 37 299 42 299 53097 50675 49 289 46 289 49 291 47 292 45 295 50675 48493 50 286 46 283 49 293 49 297 51 299 48493 46498 51 291 46 289 53 303 62 303 65 299 46498 44658 55 291 53 295 61 303 67 300 70 297 44658 42947 58 289 55 295 64 302 68 301 71 298 42947 41352 55 287 52 295 61 300 65 300 72 300 41352 39860 50 286 48 295 51 298 54 299 67 300 39860 38468 42 289 44 295 41 297 41 295 53 300 38468 37144 38 295 40 296 37 295 35 293 35 288 37144 35826 38 295 38 291 35 294 31 291 31 282 35826 34481 37 296 38 291 33 298 30 290 27 276 34481 33108 28 295 35 298 33 303 28 296 21 276 33108 31694 20 280 25 299 26 307 24 305 18 289 31694 30236 13 293 20 290 21 302 17 299 15 305 30236 28737 9 318 15 295 16 302 15 301 13 306 28737 27195 9 333 11 320 11 318 10 320 8 317 27195 25617 10 354 11 344 9 330 8 331 7 327 25617 24004 8 009 12 360 9 345 7 340 6 329 24004 22350 7 028 10 008 9 349 7 350 5 341 22350 20647 6 019 6 009 6 351 5 356 4 353 20647 18924 6 001 4 010 4 011 2 049 3 021 18924 17269 7 007 4 009 4 041 5 116 3 116 17269 15762 6 009 4 006 5 051 8 117 8 135 15762 14415 4 002 4 008 5 050 7 110 10 144 14415 13205 1 027 3 007 6 031 6 074 8 138 13205 12114 1 060 3 359 8 012 9 026 7 103 12114 11126 1 046 3 351 9 009 10 017 6 073 11126 10235 2 259 4 340 8 008 8 013 4 047 10235 9433 5 252 5 336 5 005 6 006 4 003 9433 8712 6 245 5 334 1*273 3 330 5 330 8712 8054 6 231 2 335 2*214 4 267 6 311 8054 7463 6 216 1*185 3 209 5 245 7 299 7463 6962 5 186 2*173 4 207 6 237 6 290 6962 6573 4 163 2 173 4 207 6 235 6 286 6573 6304 4 122 2 174 4 206 6 234 5 290 6304 6139 3*076 3 172 4 204 6*234 4*308 6139 6044 3*058 2 171 4 205 5*233 4*317 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography