DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.0 - - 40.5 - - 43.1 - - 43.7 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 12 - - 9 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1066 - - 1955 - - 1666 - - 2808 - - 786 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 59 - - 55 - - 7 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 086 - - 100 - - 079 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -415 - - -385 - - 0 - - -349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6458 - - 6427 - - 6042 - - 6393 sfcLCL ODpotential -4998 - - -3524 - - -3169 - - -2929 - - -4175 ODpotential blCL 11040 - - 9566 - - 9211 - - 8971 - - 10218 blCL maxRH 89 - - 101 - - 100 - - 93 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 36.0 - - 40.5 - - 43.1 - - 43.7 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 33.3 - - 35.9 - - 38.4 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.7 - - 40.1 - - 42.8 - - 46.8 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 32.3 - - 34.8 - - 37.6 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 12 - - 9 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 102 - - 100 - - 73 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96605 1 210 17 314 9 059 4 248 15 292 96605 89524 7 088 4 149 9 324 11 008 3 354 89524 84050 12 084 7 078 2 199 16 352 10 047 84050 79488 12 087 5 079 7 116 7 329 7 029 79488 75534 14 083 5 129 7 085 2 333 6 048 75534 72019 10 068 7 144 5 042 4 063 5 022 72019 68819 7 042 7 156 6 270 6 021 7 016 68819 65868 5 284 2 135 9 226 8 276 12 311 65868 63127 8 222 3 276 6 215 13 243 16 287 63127 60465 10 264 6 251 7 214 12 228 17 276 60465 57672 18 237 14 259 7 259 9 257 18 259 57672 54762 20 217 22 237 15 239 15 254 17 236 54762 51973 24 238 23 238 23 240 29 244 21 245 51973 49460 39 242 35 241 38 238 43 229 39 227 49460 47224 50 232 45 236 54 225 49 225 46 222 47224 45204 51 230 56 228 52 224 54 227 50 226 45204 43353 53 228 58 217 51 231 61 227 55 226 43353 41641 58 230 55 221 58 233 67 227 58 224 41641 40051 67 232 58 229 63 232 71 227 60 225 40051 38571 74 231 62 232 67 231 73 226 62 227 38571 37194 76 228 67 232 72 231 75 226 65 228 37194 35886 75 227 71 231 76 231 73 227 66 229 35886 34582 76 229 73 230 78 231 71 228 63 230 34582 33256 76 228 76 228 80 230 68 229 60 231 33256 31912 69 223 81 227 80 228 66 229 57 232 31912 30541 60 219 84 225 77 224 62 226 52 233 30541 29134 55 218 77 225 72 223 58 222 48 229 29134 27693 50 217 64 224 67 228 51 221 48 223 27693 26219 48 218 53 219 56 231 43 221 45 220 26219 24708 48 220 48 212 45 224 42 217 41 218 24708 23160 47 224 45 211 42 220 38 214 39 218 23160 21575 41 227 41 214 41 220 35 212 40 218 21575 19947 35 225 41 217 41 220 36 211 40 218 19947 18305 28 217 36 219 39 220 39 217 39 217 18305 16733 20 212 29 215 32 216 37 222 36 214 16733 15302 14 218 29 205 26 206 31 223 34 208 15302 14022 13 216 27 196 25 197 26 214 34 204 14022 12872 15 203 24 191 24 192 25 205 33 201 12872 11833 15 190 23 187 22 190 24 199 29 200 11833 10894 11 181 22 180 21 190 23 195 27 199 10894 10046 8 176 20 169 20 191 19 184 24 199 10046 9283 8 149 20 160 18 188 17 170 23 199 9283 8595 11 138 20 152 18 171 17 160 21 199 8595 7967 13 140 18 147 17 160 17 156 20 199 7967 7402 14 142 14 143 15 155 14 154 17 196 7402 6923 10 135 8 133 9 146 10 153 15 186 6923 6550 7 113 4 113 5 127 6 147 14 175 6550 6291 6 082 3 092 3 109 4 134 10 167 6291 6134 5*052 3 088 3 103 2 098 5*156 6134 6043 4*043 3*086 3*100 2*079 2*111 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography