DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 60.3 - - 64.4 - - 64.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 123 - - 423 - - 500 - - 175 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1418 - - 10234 - - 13214 - - 11462 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6288 - - 13715 - - 16272 - - 14111 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 7286 - - 16102 - - 19082 - - 17330 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3298 - - 3429 - - 2529 - - 4423 - - 1242 Hgt.Variab. W* 237 - - 689 - - 794 - - 534 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 22 - - 36 - - 281 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 126 - - 162 - - 088 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -6 - - -24 - - -29 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5856 - - 1043 - - 2305 - - -833 - - -7327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13142 - - 15060 - - 16778 - - 18164 - - 13370 sfcLCL ODpotential -7889 - - 270 - - 1077 - - -2610 - - -10182 ODpotential blCL 15175 - - 15832 - - 18005 - - 19940 - - 16225 blCL maxRH 94 - - 73 - - 62 - - 47 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 80 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 60.3 - - 64.4 - - 64.0 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 14.8 - - 10.9 - - 4.3 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.9 - - 57.5 - - 61.2 - - 62.3 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 14.5 - - 10.4 - - 3.6 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 123 - - 423 - - 500 - - 175 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1418 - - 10234 - - 13214 - - 11462 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97730 9 211 8 221 13 250 19 297 12 307 97730 90302 5 357 6 248 5 248 8 289 11 311 90302 84628 3 082 5 129 5 259 4 347 6 358 84628 79941 6 075 6 126 2 119 1 024 7 055 79941 75900 8 108 5 213 3 023 6 106 4 087 75900 72312 5 109 7 189 3 254 1 248 7 095 72312 69048 4 269 4 180 5 176 6 237 5 013 69048 66049 5 305 4 266 6 170 4 209 6 319 66049 63269 5 255 4 256 4 200 2 178 3 284 63269 60568 11 221 12 232 7 264 5 237 5 244 60568 57736 17 220 17 219 14 252 13 249 9 254 57736 54786 15 214 17 204 20 233 20 243 18 252 54786 51966 15 253 13 209 21 224 17 248 15 260 51966 49426 20 247 11 243 19 229 18 267 18 278 49426 47153 19 236 14 246 17 237 19 262 19 275 47153 45094 19 239 15 241 16 241 15 262 15 272 45094 43210 21 243 16 247 12 241 14 261 13 279 43210 41475 21 239 19 249 10 238 11 257 14 276 41475 39868 16 238 19 228 11 247 10 265 7 263 39868 38378 16 236 16 218 9 246 5 246 9 315 38378 36994 17 224 15 209 9 227 5 345 9 318 36994 35685 14 212 14 185 12 205 10 319 12 017 35685 34393 10 222 16 161 15 182 6 279 21 027 34393 33090 14 231 14 149 12 152 2 201 25 023 33090 31777 22 230 11 175 9 146 4 059 25 013 31777 30434 26 221 18 210 9 166 6 052 19 354 30434 29051 24 210 18 208 8 166 9 061 7 026 29051 27633 19 200 14 190 7 146 11 069 5 079 27633 26176 15 202 10 172 8 122 14 086 6 108 26176 24684 14 192 7 168 10 104 14 099 6 105 24684 23157 12 173 8 145 10 113 11 115 4 093 23157 21593 11 157 11 145 10 139 8 126 3 078 21593 19984 13 156 15 160 11*141 6 110 5 092 19984 18358 15 151 17 167 8*136 4*062 8 096 18358 16795 16 149 14*166 6 132 4*038 6 087 16795 15368 18 154 11*157 4 131 4 030 3 064 15368 14089 18 148 8 146 3 139 3 027 1 356 14089 12936 15 138 7 142 3 148 3 024 2 309 12936 11892 12 128 7 137 3 161 1 024 3 304 11892 10947 10 116 5 115 3 178 0 178 4 308 10947 10092 9 101 5 106 4 186 1 197 5 315 10092 9321 9 089 5 102 4 191 2 198 6 320 9321 8626 12 078 5 099 4 196 3 198 7 324 8626 7992 15 067 5 097 5 197 4 198 8 328 7992 7420 17*054 4 096 5 198 4 198 10 331 7420 6935 17*049 4 095 6 199 4 197 11 333 6935 6558 17 048 4 096 6 199 4 197 11 336 6558 6295 16 047 4 096 6 199 4 197 10 341 6295 6135 15 047 4 097 6 199 4 197 8*343 6135 6043 12 047 4 097 5 198 4 196 6*345 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography