DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 296 - - 32 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 5060 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6285 - - 9395 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7438 - - 10928 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1240 - - 4323 - - 8319 - - 3056 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 486 - - 77 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 17 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 213 - - 194 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1395 - - 447 - - -3429 - - -2433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6044 - - 10482 - - 9474 - - 8477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 34 - - -1326 - - -5157 - - -6032 ODpotential blCL - - - 7404 - - 12254 - - 11201 - - 12076 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 75 - - 88 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 430 - - 740 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.6 - - 71.5 - - 69.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 46.2 - - 48.4 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 69.2 - - 68.8 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 45.7 - - 47.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 296 - - 32 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 5060 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 0 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98373 10 142 9 178 6 166 9 168 98373 90973 12 103 10 145 12 100 11 107 90973 85286 12 129 14 126 10 121 12 059 85286 80564 12 141 15 135 7 199 8 027 80564 76496 10 152 4 101 7 194 4 334 76496 72924 6 132 6 030 3 081 3 015 72924 69703 3 109 2 066 3 013 4 303 69703 66748 3 151 3 258 2 036 5 245 66748 64014 4 224 11 248 7 290 5 270 64014 61366 9 239 17 234 16 265 11 263 61366 58596 16 229 23 224 22 245 20 243 58596 55710 23 236 27 231 26 239 26 244 55710 52949 34 235 35 235 32 236 30 243 52949 50455 38 230 38 237 36 241 34 247 50455 48213 38 233 38 236 39 243 41 245 48213 46181 37 235 36 240 36 244 41 242 46181 44332 35 236 35 250 34 247 35 249 44332 42643 34 238 31 256 25 266 33 258 42643 41085 28 240 29 263 29 283 32 267 41085 39632 24 259 28 258 28 287 33 275 39632 38271 18 262 29 250 27 289 31 279 38271 36966 15 277 27 247 28 289 30 281 36966 35652 15 272 28 249 28 285 28 283 35652 34305 15 263 29 252 28 277 25 285 34305 32928 16 264 29 255 28 268 22 287 32928 31513 18 266 29 260 26 261 22 290 31513 30050 20 269 28 263 23 261 23 291 30050 28545 19 272 24 258 21 267 22 285 28545 26999 17 270 19 259 22 262 20 284 26999 25418 14 261 19 273 20 256 19 284 25418 23802 13 244 17 265 17 262 17 272 23802 22148 10 222 14 254 17 259 16 267 22148 20457 9 228 15 255 14 263 14 268 20457 18757 7 241 13 253 14 272 10 285 18757 17130 6 245 11 278 13 292 11 306 17130 15649 5 278 10 299 12 293 10 315 15649 14324 7 310 8 299 12 284 10 308 14324 13132 6 306 6 289 12 274 11 293 13132 12055 3 271 5 265 11 264 11 279 12055 11081 5 197 5*242 9 248 9 262 11081 10199 10 184 5*227 7 230 8 242 10199 9407 12 187 5 218 7 209 7 220 9407 8693 12 191 5 214 6 200 6 199 8693 8041 10*189 5 212 6 196 7 183 8041 7455 6*182 5 210 6 197 8 172 7455 6958 4 176 5 209 6 195 9 166 6958 6571 3 172 5 207 6 196 9 162 6571 6302 3 170 5 208 5 194 8 158 6302 6138 3 169 5 208 5*194 5*146 6138 6044 3 168 5 207 5*194 4*137 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography