DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 77.6 - - 75.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 412 - - 144 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10088 - - 14164 - - 12913 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13630 - - 16945 - - 15094 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15956 - - 20032 - - 18781 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3235 - - 3422 - - 3731 - - 10798 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 701 - - 764 - - 523 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 16 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 307 - - 323 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - -24 - - -28 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1048 - - 2523 - - 1230 - - -8716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17004 - - 17509 - - 17551 - - 14761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2271 - - 1440 - - 56 - - -11161 ODpotential blCL - - - 18227 - - 18592 - - 18725 - - 17205 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 73 - - 83 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 210 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.6 - - 77.6 - - 75.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.3 - - 20.9 - - 18.7 - - 23.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 74.9 - - 74.1 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 20.1 - - 18.1 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 412 - - 144 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10088 - - 14164 - - 12913 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97676 10 298 8 336 0 073 14 252 97676 90286 4 231 7 255 6 310 1 353 90286 84561 4 223 11 228 11 306 10 006 84561 79819 4 235 8 195 9 295 9 341 79819 75767 6 211 4 289 5 307 3 006 75767 72200 3 124 5 298 7 323 4 040 72200 68971 3 282 6 316 8 330 10 358 68971 66009 11 298 8 307 7 337 9 005 66009 63250 12 288 12 301 15 339 16 004 63250 60576 15 328 17 295 23 304 17 298 60576 57804 13 313 11 272 16 278 17 305 57804 54941 22 317 23 321 19 311 22 314 54941 52223 31 312 33 309 28 309 20 307 52223 49768 29 304 32 300 25 301 19 304 49768 47546 29 296 32 291 23 304 27 315 47546 45519 33 292 34 285 32 308 33 313 45519 43663 40 291 38 287 43 300 34 308 43663 41957 47 287 44 288 46 298 35 320 41957 40384 51 287 47 290 46 304 39 322 40384 38926 52 289 49 294 45 304 38 317 38926 37567 54 292 52 295 42 302 36 315 37567 36276 56 290 52 292 40 301 31 315 36276 34991 55 291 49 294 40 298 30 316 34991 33683 52 295 49 296 39 296 29 312 33683 32355 49 302 48 293 38 296 25 303 32355 30993 49 305 44 290 39 297 21 284 30993 29588 48 303 41 290 38 294 23 276 29588 28139 44 301 37 291 30 288 27 275 28139 26647 41 301 32 293 27 284 29 278 26647 25114 39 301 29 294 23 287 31 284 25114 23548 37 300 26 295 20 294 31 294 23548 21942 35 300 22 296 18 300 30 307 21942 20293 32 302 17*295 15*306 25 326 20293 18627 30 302 14*293 13*312 23 340 18627 17028 24*300 13 294 14 315 23 345 17028 15570 18*301 13 295 14 316 22 347 15570 14262 15 305 13 297 15 318 20 347 14262 13084 12 308 13 301 16 320 18 348 13084 12018 11 308 14 305 17 322 16 348 12018 11052 9 305 14 310 17 324 13 348 11052 10178 7 298 14 313 17 326 11 349 10178 9391 6 287 15 316 17 328 9 350 9391 8682 5 270 15 318 17 329 7 354 8682 8033 5 260 15 319 17 330 5 002 8033 7450 5 249 15 321 17 331 3 018 7450 6955 5 243 15 321 17 331 2 055 6955 6570 5 236 15 322 16 332 2 098 6570 6302 5 233 14 322 16 332 2 125 6302 6138 5 232 14 322 15 333 2*140 6138 6044 5 231 12 322 13 333 1*139 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography