DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 58.1 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 440 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4285 - - 6343 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8930 - - 10570 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10153 - - 12211 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1162 - - 1390 - - - - - 2301 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 523 - - 595 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 31 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 033 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6993 - - -7245 - - - - - -11491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17146 - - 19457 - - - - - 17535 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13659 - - -12821 - - - - - -17828 ODpotential blCL - - - 23812 - - 25032 - - - - - 23871 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 75 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 58.1 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.2 - - -7.2 - - - - - -5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 55.4 - - - - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.5 - - -8.3 - - - - - -6.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 440 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4285 - - 6343 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97150 36 280 48 280 51 292 97150 89858 53 267 56 279 48 289 89858 84286 53 261 54 275 50 282 84286 79641 41 266 42 270 45 271 79641 75593 32 275 30 271 42 261 75593 71999 28 281 24 268 36 269 71999 68773 29 270 27 264 31 280 68773 65829 30 264 28 266 27 290 65829 63096 28 271 27 279 24 291 63096 60440 30 279 28 287 24 294 60440 57662 28 275 30 291 28 298 57662 54765 27 280 35 293 31 295 54765 51986 32 284 37 288 35 296 51986 49477 37 284 37 286 42 300 49477 47229 41 283 38 284 46 298 47229 45190 42 278 39 281 42 292 45190 43326 40 285 42 288 38 296 43326 41623 50 290 45 292 41 296 41623 40068 54 285 46 290 39 293 40068 38640 51 294 44 301 36 301 38640 37317 55 303 47 305 36 309 37317 36056 57 304 50 301 36 311 36056 34790 56 302 50 299 36 310 34790 33492 55 299 50 297 35 309 33492 32165 56 295 49 294 34 307 32165 30800 56 294 48 293 34 302 30800 29389 55 294 48 293 35 296 29389 27934 53 295 48 294 36 293 27934 26439 51 296 48 294 34 294 26439 24908 48 298 45 295 32 294 24908 23345 44 300 40 298 31 292 23345 21744 38 301 34 299 29 290 21744 20095 30 306 28 300 26 285 20095 18431 22 317 21 296 23 280 18431 16835 17 335 15 287 20 274 16835 15383 14 357 9 298 16 265 15383 14087 14 016 5 336 12 245 14087 12923 15 026 4*012 10 215 12923 11875 15 028 5*016 8 194 11875 10927 12*028 4 019 4 173 10927 10072 9*031 4 022 2 102 10072 9303 8 033 4 026 2 070 9303 8610 8 036 3 035 1 076 8610 7978 7 039 3 042 1 239 7978 7409 7 044 3 051 3 251 7409 6928 6 048 3 058 5 249 6928 6554 6 053 3 066 6 245 6554 6293 5 056 3 067 6 243 6293 6134 5 059 3 070 4*250 6134 6043 5 060 2 072 4*256 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography