DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 39.8 - - 35.1 - - 27.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 198 - - -23 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2140 - - 2725 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6993 - - 7455 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8008 - - 8593 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1305 - - 1447 - - 3274 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 344 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 12 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 019 - - 011 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -30 - - -19 - - -14 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5304 - - -7154 - - -8294 - - -6474 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13312 - - 15748 - - 14336 - - 12515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13283 - - -16112 - - -17675 - - -17163 ODpotential blCL - - - 21291 - - 24705 - - 23717 - - 23204 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 24 - - 31 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 39.8 - - 35.1 - - 27.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.3 - - -7.7 - - -5.9 - - -4.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 38.2 - - 36.5 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.4 - - -8.2 - - -6.4 - - -5.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 198 - - -23 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2140 - - 2725 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96191 1 053 19 015 18 002 13 014 96191 89167 13 012 16 032 14 355 12 003 89167 83714 11 023 10 353 13 006 18 007 83714 79162 13 355 13 345 7 342 18 344 79162 75206 16 300 15 314 12 310 13 330 75206 71679 17 281 20 279 21 285 14 305 71679 68479 22 284 20 268 25 277 19 283 68479 65537 25 280 28 279 25 280 21 276 65537 62790 30 270 39 281 29 289 27 277 62790 60109 40 264 44 276 37 291 33 284 60109 57319 44 262 47 267 43 283 40 286 57319 54440 47 265 46 262 45 272 40 283 54440 51697 54 269 47 270 41 274 40 283 51697 49232 59 266 56 275 46 281 44 279 49232 47030 60 263 63 270 54 275 49 275 47030 45033 60 263 68 262 62 267 56 274 45033 43198 60 266 66 260 67 261 64 266 43198 41509 62 270 65 263 70 260 69 260 41509 39956 69 269 67 267 74 263 79 258 39956 38518 77 266 73 270 81 264 90 259 38518 37175 75 263 76 268 89 264 94 258 37175 35892 63 266 71 265 90 264 84 259 35892 34605 55 271 59 263 81 262 69 262 34605 33290 50 270 46 264 61 261 59 266 33290 31952 43 269 38 265 42 265 47 268 31952 30585 36 275 35 266 32 278 34 278 30585 29178 29 292 31 272 31 279 30 283 29178 27729 29 318 28 277 30 275 26 281 27729 26238 33 332 26 283 28 273 23 281 26238 24707 35 335 26 293 26 276 22 279 24707 23141 33 334 28 305 24 289 22 278 23141 21536 32 333 30 311 25 303 22 283 21536 19887 31 331 31 314 26 312 22 291 19887 18223 31 330 30 316 26 318 21 299 18223 16630 29 329 26 318 24 324 18 310 16630 15185 28 330 22 326 21 331 16 325 15185 13898 28 334 21 338 18 341 14 338 13898 12749 29 340 21 350 15 353 12 349 12749 11716 30 347 20 000 14 008 10 358 11716 10785 30 353 18 007 13 020 10 009 10785 9947 28 360 16 013 12 028 12 021 9947 9196 27 005 15*016 13 033 15 028 9196 8521 25*009 14*018 13 035 18 031 8521 7908 23*012 13 018 14 030 20 032 7908 7358 22 014 13 019 14 023 22 031 7358 6893 20 015 12 019 15 017 23 026 6893 6532 18 017 12 021 14 015 22 017 6532 6282 16 018 11 021 12 014 18 013 6282 6129 14 019 10 022 10*013 13 011 6129 6041 11 022 9 022 7*011 7*006 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography