DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 63.1 - - 62.7 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 313 - - 44 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1583 - - 3245 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6685 - - 8012 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7451 - - 9113 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1018 - - 2540 - - 5872 - - 1249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 426 - - 84 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 219 - - 209 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4994 - - -4324 - - -7166 - - -5099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12446 - - 13438 - - 13211 - - 11144 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10867 - - -9051 - - -11494 - - -11333 ODpotential blCL - - - 18318 - - 18164 - - 17538 - - 17377 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 76 - - 61 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 63.1 - - 62.7 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 25.1 - - 25.8 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 60.9 - - 62.1 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 24.8 - - 25.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 313 - - 44 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1583 - - 3245 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 10 295 4 107 4 130 2 174 96412 89245 6 142 7 302 3 323 6 346 89245 83706 13 351 4 321 2 346 8 335 83706 79097 9 302 19 307 13 334 20 337 79097 75171 21 348 20 328 21 329 26 327 75171 71756 24 342 21 324 24 312 24 317 71756 68667 26 330 23 322 22 311 22 323 68667 65800 35 324 37 324 29 327 31 317 65800 63122 47 310 46 317 38 321 35 315 63122 60515 47 305 50 310 48 312 45 311 60515 57795 47 307 51 303 55 301 54 305 57795 54978 53 306 53 302 60 298 56 301 54978 52280 61 301 59 301 61 301 52 301 52280 49831 60 293 58 294 65 301 55 298 49831 47620 52 291 58 288 67 294 63 293 47620 45607 54 298 58 289 66 286 69 288 45607 43766 61 298 57 292 60 284 66 284 43766 42076 64 296 56 295 54 284 59 282 42076 40519 61 294 53 294 48 285 49 283 40519 39073 57 294 47 290 44 277 44 283 39073 37721 54 294 44 288 42 269 44 278 37721 36426 54 294 43 287 39 266 44 270 36426 35130 56 288 43 285 38 265 45 263 35130 33807 55 283 44 282 39 263 46 261 33807 32462 55 284 45 279 44 259 47 262 32462 31079 54 285 47 276 49 258 49 263 31079 29651 54 285 49 275 51 264 52 263 29651 28181 56 287 51 276 55 271 54 264 28181 26671 58 290 52 277 56 275 58 268 26671 25124 60 291 52 278 55 278 62 270 25124 23541 60 291 51 280 56 279 65 272 23541 21917 57 292 48 284 55 280 65 274 21917 20247 50 294 44 287 49 279 61 277 20247 18563 40 295 37 287 39 274 52 278 18563 16951 30 292 31 281 32 266 43 277 16951 15486 22 284 27 274 29 263 38 274 15486 14179 18 278 23 271 26 264 36 270 14179 13005 16 279 19 271 24 265 33 265 13005 11945 14 284 15 272 20 264 30 260 11945 10986 12 288 11 270 15 261 26 256 10986 10121 10 287 8 265 13 259 22 252 10121 9343 8 283 7*253 12 254 18 250 9343 8641 7 275 6*241 10 245 14 247 8641 8002 5*264 6 226 9 226 9 241 8002 7426 2*209 7 218 9 215 7 226 7426 6939 3 191 7 214 9 213 6 200 6939 6560 3 183 7 211 9 211 5 175 6560 6296 3 179 7 209 8 210 4 161 6296 6136 3 178 7 209 8*209 2*130 6136 6044 3 177 6 207 7*209 2*102 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography