DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 61.3 - - 61.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 412 - - 109 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4172 - - 6570 - - 6886 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8772 - - 10725 - - 10192 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10040 - - 12438 - - 12754 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1777 - - 1494 - - 1651 - - 2728 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 589 - - 386 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 17 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 042 - - 036 - - 031 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -5 - - 17 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3982 - - -4609 - - -4617 - - -8469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14023 - - 17048 - - 17372 - - 14513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10020 - - -9312 - - -8902 - - -14396 ODpotential blCL - - - 20060 - - 21750 - - 21656 - - 20439 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 25 - - 28 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 61.3 - - 61.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.2 - - 7.2 - - 6.1 - - 9.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 58.6 - - 60.4 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 6.3 - - 5.3 - - 8.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 412 - - 109 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4172 - - 6570 - - 6886 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96986 23 273 29 254 37 271 49 281 96986 89770 22 255 24 277 22 278 25 277 89770 84260 15 255 16 288 15 285 16 299 84260 79673 6 276 10 297 11 300 15 317 79673 75701 11 351 5 298 9 317 13 318 75701 72177 15 333 7 285 13 324 14 325 72177 68983 17 290 11 286 18 325 17 318 68983 66050 16 288 10 305 18 320 18 319 66050 63328 22 301 17 308 21 302 20 312 63328 60698 23 304 20 296 24 299 25 308 60698 57955 27 291 27 289 29 289 29 298 57955 55095 30 284 31 286 32 292 34 294 55095 52337 36 287 39 289 39 291 37 287 52337 49827 39 283 43 284 44 289 37 285 49827 47558 43 284 44 282 46 285 39 286 47558 45495 45 285 44 283 48 278 43 286 45495 43614 48 287 45 283 45 277 45 283 43614 41893 48 289 41 282 42 283 40 283 41893 40313 47 292 39 286 38 291 33 286 40313 38857 46 288 40 286 40 295 31 295 38857 37513 38 286 37 283 40 289 35 297 37513 36238 37 294 33 286 39 282 34 292 36238 34960 37 295 33 292 34 279 29 288 34960 33650 40 296 35 293 32 286 26 289 33650 32313 38 300 36 297 31 295 25 294 32313 30938 29 302 35 302 29 300 25 300 30938 29517 24 304 29 302 26 304 25 306 29517 28055 21 308 24 295 23 303 24 310 28055 26553 18 314 21 296 20 299 21 312 26553 25016 17 321 18 301 17 298 17 314 25016 23446 17 324 16 302 15 298 14 314 23446 21837 17 321 15 302 14 296 13 310 21837 20182 18 315 15 305 13 298 12 308 20182 18508 18 314 15 307 12 304 10 309 18508 16902 17 319 13 311 10 313 8 309 16902 15438 14 328 11 324 9 328 6 314 15438 14130 10 342 9 345 7 342 4 334 14130 12956 8 357 7*009 5*353 4 360 12956 11901 6 012 7*017 5*358 1 018 11901 10950 6*033 7 020 5 008 1 095 10950 10090 8*036 7 026 4 021 3 074 10090 9318 9 038 6 032 5 030 4 064 9318 8622 10 039 6 038 5 036 5 055 8622 7987 11 041 6 042 5 041 5 044 7987 7416 11 042 6 048 5 046 6 031 7416 6932 11 044 6 052 5 050 7 017 6932 6556 11 046 6 056 5 052 7 009 6556 6294 10 048 6 058 5 053 6 005 6294 6135 10 049 6 059 4 054 6*003 6135 6043 9 050 5 059 4 055 5*359 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography