DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 51.5 - - 56.9 - - 55.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 319 - - 362 - - 79 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 5241 - - 7726 - - 6105 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 9563 - - 11598 - - 9324 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 11109 - - 13594 - - 11973 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 534 - - 2271 - - 1957 - - 3077 - - 1302 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 502 - - 596 - - 332 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 000 - - 335 - - 334 - - 355 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 18 - - 15 - - -18 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2821 - - -610 - - -90 - - -989 - - -4345 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8863 - - 11720 - - 13684 - - 12962 - - 10387 sfcLCL ODpotential -6773 - - -2892 - - -1687 - - -2752 - - -9806 ODpotential blCL 12815 - - 14001 - - 15281 - - 14725 - - 15848 blCL maxRH 45 - - 56 - - 64 - - 77 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 51.5 - - 56.9 - - 55.2 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.3 - - 21.1 - - 17.7 - - 19.3 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.3 - - 49.3 - - 54.4 - - 54.2 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 20.9 - - 17.3 - - 19.1 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 319 - - 362 - - 79 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 5241 - - 7726 - - 6105 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96238 7 276 8 241 18 252 18 290 16 281 96238 89085 10 243 13 236 13 250 12 289 12 289 89085 83599 12 288 11 245 16 279 12 310 6 295 83599 79060 6 297 5 237 11 267 17 291 15 321 79060 75190 7 293 12 306 8 280 12 279 19 313 75190 71812 20 242 18 268 17 296 12 304 16 316 71812 68749 19 290 20 264 28 289 23 302 24 313 68749 65910 37 302 26 293 34 286 38 289 38 286 65910 63261 42 286 40 288 44 281 41 272 38 264 63261 60662 39 280 41 281 42 273 35 275 33 270 60662 57913 41 286 44 290 42 280 44 288 39 281 57913 55035 49 292 56 290 55 283 57 284 56 281 55035 52270 60 288 62 282 64 276 63 278 66 277 52270 49769 62 283 62 276 62 273 61 277 69 277 49769 47515 61 280 63 275 62 271 59 277 69 276 47515 45457 60 280 62 275 62 272 63 275 68 273 45457 43557 58 280 58 275 60 275 67 275 62 275 43557 41798 60 275 56 274 55 277 62 277 56 275 41798 40170 61 265 59 268 53 280 53 277 43 269 40170 38670 54 260 59 266 50 281 44 289 35 293 38670 37286 42 264 50 268 46 283 46 295 44 313 37286 35972 40 275 41 271 44 293 41 300 52 317 35972 34655 60 279 45 275 39 287 39 300 53 308 34655 33304 69 270 55 274 40 280 38 302 53 301 33304 31939 63 261 61 267 41 282 31 307 43 306 31939 30562 55 264 59 263 39 286 28 299 30 304 30562 29155 52 272 51 267 36 284 24 293 30 301 29155 27713 51 276 45 269 35 280 19 310 33 305 27713 26236 51 276 44 268 34 283 19 335 25 316 26236 24729 52 275 45 270 31 293 21 354 14 349 24729 23189 50 274 42 273 27 300 20 005 13 351 23189 21609 47 273 30 280 21 313 18 005 17 335 21609 19979 43 273 19 307 17 327 15 345 18 341 19979 18329 39 277 20 323 15 341 14 325 17 345 18329 16743 35 284 22 318 15 356 12 320 16 342 16743 15298 31 289 23 310 14 357 7 313 14 341 15298 14010 25 291 20 306 11*348 4 282 11 332 14010 12857 21 290 15 306 9*342 3*284 8 299 12857 11819 18 290 9*313 8 340 3*313 6 265 11819 10881 16 294 8*321 8 338 5 344 4 260 10881 10034 14 302 7 327 7 336 6 352 2 296 10034 9272 13 314 8 333 7 334 8 357 5 011 9272 8585 12 327 8 338 7 332 9 358 9 021 8585 7959 13 340 8 339 7 331 9 359 13 018 7959 7397 14 351 8 340 6 329 9 359 16 012 7397 6919 17 358 8 340 6 327 9 359 17 009 6919 6548 17 001 7 340 6 325 9 360 16 009 6548 6290 14 003 7 340 6 325 9 360 14 009 6290 6133 10*003 6 340 5 324 9 000 10 009 6133 6042 5*000 6 340 5 324 8 000 6*007 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography