DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 64.5 - - 64.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 492 - - 171 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5052 - - 8052 - - 6558 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9572 - - 12006 - - 10263 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10920 - - 13920 - - 12426 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3172 - - 2410 - - 3617 - - 6459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 670 - - 440 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 26 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 163 - - 183 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 12 - - -14 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -264 - - -273 - - -3063 - - -7858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11185 - - 14194 - - 15490 - - 13901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2018 - - -2344 - - -6168 - - -12200 ODpotential blCL - - - 12938 - - 16264 - - 18594 - - 18243 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 48 - - 54 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 64.5 - - 64.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 22.9 - - 17.3 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 61.5 - - 63.0 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 22.4 - - 16.7 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 487 - - 492 - - 171 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5052 - - 8052 - - 6558 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97660 28 230 31 241 25 251 21 241 97660 90196 17 226 24 236 20 262 16 250 90196 84481 14 231 19 246 21 265 15 262 84481 79776 10 232 17 246 16 288 11 282 79776 75730 11 284 12 255 14 281 16 278 75730 72149 15 279 14 267 18 276 22 282 72149 68904 18 271 17 286 21 274 24 283 68904 65921 19 269 18 285 21 275 25 276 65921 63152 17 277 16 284 22 289 23 285 63152 60461 23 297 23 287 26 291 25 288 60461 57645 30 287 28 282 27 293 26 291 57645 54720 32 290 33 292 34 297 33 290 54720 51932 41 281 43 283 41 289 39 293 51932 49430 42 276 45 280 45 289 43 295 49430 47198 40 280 45 283 48 290 48 294 47198 45186 37 283 45 287 49 289 48 291 45186 43368 31 294 42 292 47 292 44 289 43368 41717 33 313 39 303 41 295 41 291 41717 40200 35 327 40 315 36 303 38 289 40200 38789 35 333 38 321 36 309 32 293 38789 37470 29 332 34 326 35 311 32 293 37470 36205 14 336 31 331 35 310 29 297 36205 34932 11 004 28 324 27 320 25 301 34932 33629 14 012 25 311 24 315 22 301 33629 32299 15 014 18 311 26 298 21 305 32299 30929 15 015 14 329 25 289 23 306 30929 29513 15 020 12 342 17 290 24 297 29513 28055 15 032 10 358 11 289 26 286 28055 26557 15 050 9 016 6 277 23 281 26557 25020 13 070 5 023 4 252 17 274 25020 23449 10 078 4 345 4 252 11 259 23449 21837 10 078 4 001 4 262 8 250 21837 20181 14 087 6 088 4 170 6 227 20181 18512 15 100 9 128 8 165 9 197 18512 16915 13 113 9 152 7 158 9 185 16915 15461 12 112 6 156 6 140 10 180 15461 14161 10 100 4*152 5 133 9 180 14161 12992 6 080 3*153 3*151 9 182 12992 11935 2 048 3 155 3*166 7 183 11935 10980 1*150 4 158 3 173 6 183 10980 10118 2*164 4 160 4 179 5 183 10118 9342 3 165 5 164 4 183 4 187 9342 8643 4 170 5 165 5 185 4 194 8643 8004 4 170 6 166 5 187 4 195 8004 7429 4 171 6 167 6 187 4 197 7429 6941 5 171 6 168 6 188 4 197 6941 6562 5 171 6 168 6 188 4 199 6562 6298 5 171 6 169 6 188 3 200 6298 6136 5 171 6 169 6 187 2 199 6136 6043 5 171 6 168 6 188 1*201 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography