DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.0 - - 45.5 - - 40.1 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 75 - - 86 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 781 - - 1263 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6649 - - 7131 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 254 - - 1860 - - 3141 - - 1302 - - 824 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 171 - - 209 - - 7 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 40 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 126 - - 204 - - 277 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1181 - - -1010 - - -244 - - 0 - - -171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7224 - - 7659 - - 7375 - - 6042 - - 6213 sfcLCL ODpotential -7792 - - -4724 - - -2302 - - -2617 - - -4568 ODpotential blCL 13834 - - 11373 - - 9433 - - 8659 - - 10610 blCL maxRH 60 - - 62 - - 69 - - 76 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.0 - - 45.5 - - 40.1 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 30.7 - - 34.4 - - 36.4 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.6 - - 42.2 - - 44.6 - - 42.0 - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.9 - - 29.6 - - 33.1 - - 35.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 75 - - 86 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 781 - - 1263 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96240 3 236 12 278 9 317 4 268 13 248 96240 89196 5 132 8 221 10 324 3 225 4 304 89196 83718 3 102 2 173 3 212 8 254 9 004 83718 79142 2 274 7 205 3 180 5 244 4 298 79142 75185 7 338 8 209 9 261 7 267 7 318 75185 71666 10 321 4 202 12 264 12 269 9 327 71666 68460 15 284 13 283 20 286 18 290 11 287 68460 65507 18 262 20 273 30 279 28 293 23 306 65507 62777 18 272 20 267 29 268 31 288 26 298 62777 60128 27 282 24 280 27 268 33 274 25 290 60128 57346 35 287 32 289 29 278 30 282 29 297 57346 54454 44 284 41 296 36 294 34 293 36 298 54454 51704 48 282 49 295 45 301 42 299 39 292 51704 49242 44 284 50 294 48 300 47 295 43 290 49242 47048 39 290 49 293 48 301 46 294 44 287 47048 45082 42 293 43 295 49 314 50 318 40 322 45082 43325 45 287 41 316 68 326 69 329 66 327 43325 41732 40 304 55 318 65 318 62 322 64 317 41732 40244 45 330 51 326 42 320 50 309 49 324 40244 38842 62 352 70 003 46 360 43 322 59 323 38842 37522 95 006 87 009 67 008 45 341 59 327 37522 36255 109 009 80 006 72 006 49 346 59 332 36255 34983 73 359 68 360 64 357 49 338 61 335 34983 33676 50 334 55 348 55 344 51 333 62 334 33676 32340 54 322 50 337 60 338 52 332 61 332 32340 30963 62 322 50 329 65 338 52 331 61 330 30963 29535 62 323 52 323 62 335 53 331 59 329 29535 28061 58 324 54 322 57 329 52 330 55 329 28061 26543 53 324 56 325 53 324 49 328 52 327 26543 24985 51 321 57 329 51 320 47 327 49 325 24985 23392 51 317 54 330 50 318 47 328 46 325 23392 21758 50 315 46 324 49 320 47 331 43 325 21758 20079 47 314 42 316 44 320 43 332 40 325 20079 18385 44 313 40 311 39 317 36 327 35 322 18385 16764 39 313 36 309 35 315 31 322 31 317 16764 15296 34 312 32 309 32 315 28 322 29 315 15296 13992 29 311 27 308 29 316 25 325 25 315 13992 12830 25 310 23 308 25 317 23 327 21 319 12830 11788 22 312 19 311 21 320 19 329 18 324 11788 10849 19 317 16 320 16 328 15 329 15 330 10849 10004 17 323 14 334 10 338 11 324 11 335 10004 9245 14 329 13 351 6 342 8 317 8 337 9245 8564 13 336 12 004 3 341 6 306 5 339 8564 7942 11 342 9 012 1 284 5 292 4 337 7942 7383 10 349 6 022 3*205 5 271 3 336 7383 6910 9 352 2*035 5*204 5 262 2 347 6910 6543 7 354 1*064 5 205 4 265 2 008 6543 6287 6 354 1 126 5 204 3 269 3 015 6287 6132 3*349 1 143 5 203 2*270 2*014 6132 6042 2*343 1 149 5 204 2*277 3*015 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography