DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 58.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 228 - - 277 - - 30 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2856 - - 3046 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7608 - - 7819 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8724 - - 8914 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 346 - - 1562 - - 2541 - - 5424 - - 1104 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 367 - - 400 - - 74 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 65 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 348 - - 236 - - 204 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4080 - - -5269 - - -5840 - - -8625 - - -6498 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10122 - - 13993 - - 14754 - - 14670 - - 12542 sfcLCL ODpotential -13921 - - -11454 - - -10902 - - -13670 - - -13445 ODpotential blCL 19963 - - 20178 - - 19816 - - 19714 - - 19488 blCL maxRH 63 - - 70 - - 87 - - 82 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 58.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.8 - - 18.3 - - 18.6 - - 18.2 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 56.6 - - 60.1 - - 60.8 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 17.8 - - 18.2 - - 17.9 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 228 - - 277 - - 30 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2856 - - 3046 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 26 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96498 12 139 3 063 3 154 7 094 1 060 96498 89318 16 068 10 131 5 197 1 050 9 028 89318 83734 5 063 5 100 4 260 2 306 10 344 83734 79083 9 323 3 318 2 096 8 295 15 322 79083 75107 11 316 15 301 14 323 20 319 24 326 75107 71644 29 342 23 350 19 344 15 307 24 324 71644 68531 41 323 38 333 39 328 33 326 37 327 68531 65666 43 325 41 324 40 318 40 316 41 322 65666 63005 53 318 52 317 45 316 37 316 47 314 63005 60421 57 315 62 309 58 314 65 312 52 306 60421 57710 68 304 66 300 64 302 71 300 62 301 57710 54889 62 296 61 300 73 294 66 291 63 296 54889 52188 64 302 72 297 71 288 65 295 59 299 52188 49739 70 306 73 292 64 290 75 298 71 304 49739 47540 81 304 70 298 64 295 78 296 81 299 47540 45549 88 300 77 299 71 295 79 294 77 292 45549 43730 91 297 85 295 81 294 78 290 68 288 43730 42051 95 294 89 293 80 290 73 287 64 290 42051 40494 90 292 89 291 84 287 68 285 68 295 40494 39053 86 290 87 287 92 284 68 287 72 294 39053 37718 85 290 84 285 91 284 70 289 69 293 37718 36445 81 291 78 286 84 284 72 289 64 295 36445 35165 75 294 71 288 73 283 69 288 63 295 35165 33852 68 298 64 290 63 282 64 289 64 294 33852 32509 62 298 55 299 51 283 59 288 63 294 32509 31125 58 298 52 300 44 283 58 285 60 297 31125 29693 54 299 49 295 43 285 54 284 58 300 29693 28215 50 299 47 292 43 288 50 283 56 301 28215 26694 48 298 46 290 45 288 45 283 52 299 26694 25134 46 299 44 288 47 288 43 288 46 292 25134 23541 44 300 41 290 47 289 44 292 46 282 23541 21913 42 302 36 293 45 291 46 292 50 281 21913 20243 39 304 30 294 40 292 45 292 48 283 20243 18561 35 306 25 292 32 288 42 291 41 283 18561 16949 31 309 22 290 27 283 38 292 34 281 16949 15484 28 313 21 291 25 283 34 296 28 279 15484 14173 25 314 21 294 23 288 29 297 23 279 14173 12995 22 312 20 299 18 295 20 294 19 276 12995 11933 19 308 17 307 12 309 9 303 16 270 11933 10973 16 308 14 319 10 319 6 310 14 262 10973 10108 13 315 10 330 8 314 6 306 11 254 10108 9330 12 330 6*339 6*287 5 274 9 246 9330 8631 12 350 4*351 6*271 6 243 7 241 8631 7993 13 007 3 357 7 243 7 222 6 247 7993 7419 15 020 1 359 8 235 9 209 6 254 7419 6934 16 026 0 307 8 231 9 207 5 252 6934 6557 14 026 1 198 9 228 9 206 3 254 6557 6295 11 022 1 197 9 227 9 205 1 283 6295 6135 5 017 1 194 8 226 9*205 2*343 6135 6043 1*350 1 192 8 225 8*204 3*350 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography