DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.0 - - 48.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.4 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 68 - - 71 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2216 - - 1790 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6580 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8084 - - 7658 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 424 - - 1651 - - 1884 - - 2515 - - 1380 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 241 - - 225 - - 13 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 111 - - 165 - - 095 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1037 - - 821 - - 0 - - -329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 7047 - - 6838 - - 6043 - - 6372 sfcLCL ODpotential -4605 - - -1806 - - -1980 - - -2785 - - -5218 ODpotential blCL 10647 - - 9890 - - 9638 - - 8828 - - 11261 blCL maxRH 73 - - 76 - - 86 - - 85 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.0 - - 48.1 - - 48.3 - - 45.4 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 38.2 - - 39.3 - - 40.2 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.8 - - 47.3 - - 47.5 - - 46.7 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.8 - - 37.0 - - 38.1 - - 38.9 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 68 - - 71 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2216 - - 1790 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 3 - - 44 - - 38 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 55 276 69 281 54 291 40 282 57 277 96219 89210 30 284 39 281 31 273 36 288 39 292 89210 83802 22 299 20 280 26 261 36 291 28 311 83802 79318 26 302 13 282 22 263 29 286 21 311 79318 75427 26 295 13 290 21 268 26 289 23 301 75427 71954 25 289 19 291 23 275 26 293 22 293 71954 68795 21 283 22 283 23 280 23 292 20 290 68795 65887 17 279 22 273 19 280 20 288 19 286 65887 63184 15 293 19 283 17 273 18 282 20 283 63184 60564 22 310 20 299 14 266 19 282 22 283 60564 57828 29 298 29 294 24 280 24 281 24 292 57828 54981 33 296 35 284 34 284 28 276 31 284 54981 52254 41 297 40 292 37 289 29 272 31 275 52254 49789 47 296 42 292 36 294 28 274 31 270 49789 47563 46 299 39 292 38 289 33 276 37 271 47563 45532 48 302 39 294 41 285 38 271 40 265 45532 43667 57 301 50 292 48 282 42 275 39 266 43667 41947 61 293 56 284 52 279 46 277 37 276 41947 40354 53 296 49 282 46 277 45 271 38 274 40354 38870 50 309 42 286 41 278 45 266 41 270 38870 37491 54 319 43 289 39 276 47 268 44 264 37491 36191 62 319 45 287 42 275 44 264 42 259 36191 34907 61 320 44 287 43 268 42 261 40 255 34907 33603 56 318 41 291 40 266 44 258 37 252 33603 32272 53 313 39 294 37 271 39 257 37 246 32272 30901 49 314 38 295 35 277 36 264 35 246 30901 29481 48 315 38 299 34 283 34 272 34 249 29481 28016 46 318 36 301 34 284 32 273 32 254 28016 26509 39 321 34 302 31 284 30 272 30 256 26509 24964 32 320 32 304 28 282 29 272 25 253 24964 23384 28 322 29 304 27 281 25 272 23 246 23384 21766 24 327 26 304 24 282 21 268 21 241 21766 20104 20 328 22 301 20 281 16 261 19 239 20104 18427 17 329 15 295 17 278 14 253 16 239 18427 16820 16 334 10 291 14 265 14 248 14 240 16820 15359 13 340 6 263 11 251 13 241 12 239 15359 14057 7 349 6 215 9 243 11 229 10 231 14057 12890 6 019 6 187 8 227 9 216 10 210 12890 11840 7 041 4 133 8 191 9 190 11 193 11840 10894 6 056 4 076 10 173 11 179 11 183 10894 10041 7 063 4 063 11 170 11 175 10 174 10041 9276 10 058 4 109 10 170 10 167 11 163 9276 8588 13 053 6*119 8 170 8 161 12 156 8588 7961 16 049 6*113 5*168 6 150 12 153 7961 7397 18 044 6 108 4*166 4 121 9 150 7397 6919 17 037 6 111 4 167 3 089 5 133 6919 6549 13 028 5 112 4 165 3 085 4 081 6549 6291 9 013 5 114 4 164 3 091 4 043 6291 6133 6 359 5 115 4 164 3*094 4*024 6133 6043 3*326 5 116 4 165 2*095 4*017 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography