DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 34.8 - - 35.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 96 - - 8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2404 - - 1267 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6998 - - 6025 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8272 - - 7135 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2814 - - 2506 - - 4837 - - 1811 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 212 - - 50 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 221 - - 357 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 20 - - -10 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1232 - - 1094 - - -668 - - -799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7040 - - 6042 - - 6711 - - 6841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 146 - - 305 - - -2366 - - -3905 ODpotential blCL - - - 8126 - - 6830 - - 8408 - - 9946 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 97 - - 98 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 260 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 34.8 - - 35.4 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.4 - - 31.1 - - 27.0 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 33.9 - - 35.4 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 30.7 - - 26.3 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 96 - - 8 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2404 - - 1267 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 89 - - 93 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96463 35 249 40 271 45 284 38 285 96463 89216 21 254 29 270 27 275 23 282 89216 83673 9 300 17 252 22 270 17 301 83673 79082 14 307 14 247 16 253 19 292 79082 75135 12 256 13 240 9 265 14 272 75135 71642 14 250 12 261 10 295 13 259 71642 68440 25 246 19 258 16 280 20 241 68440 65459 26 233 21 239 20 235 30 250 65459 62670 29 237 23 230 25 229 31 238 62670 59942 36 243 25 238 23 256 21 235 59942 57074 41 245 38 255 33 270 25 260 57074 54093 42 245 44 248 41 261 40 265 54093 51247 36 256 36 247 37 251 44 255 51247 48673 39 274 32 266 28 251 36 255 48673 46360 46 266 33 274 39 266 41 260 46360 44269 50 258 47 273 52 268 38 266 44269 42356 55 258 56 261 51 263 39 276 42356 40590 57 256 54 251 49 259 42 274 40590 38953 50 255 48 256 48 262 41 267 38953 37435 45 257 46 262 46 265 37 269 37435 36035 46 258 41 264 41 263 38 268 36035 34717 49 255 41 266 37 261 35 261 34717 33417 50 254 43 269 38 259 27 256 33417 32108 50 258 45 267 39 261 20 264 32108 30796 52 260 43 263 37 267 20 295 30796 29474 52 256 42 259 35 255 17 299 29474 28128 50 253 35 251 40 220 22 227 28128 26755 44 253 26 246 34 212 27 202 26755 25350 40 254 20 244 27 225 24 202 25350 23910 39 257 20 243 25 234 17 208 23910 22437 37 261 20 236 22 241 10 224 22437 20927 33 263 20 238 14 264 5 288 20927 19375 30 266 19 247 6 291 6 349 19375 17807 25 270 19 251 5 296 4 017 17807 16302 19 272 20 250 6 297 3 022 16302 14932 15 267 18 249 6 307 5 010 14932 13707 12 255 14 253 6 308 6 011 13707 12605 11 245 11 257 6 310 6 032 12605 11609 10 238 8 254 6 315 12 033 11609 10706 9 231 7 240 5 324 18 031 10706 9891 7 232 8 230 5 334 22 026 9891 9157 7 246 10 226 5 346 26 019 9157 8496 7*246 11 225 6 352 29 012 8496 7892 7*242 12 225 7 355 33 006 7892 7349 8 231 13*224 7 356 35 001 7349 6889 8 227 14*222 7 357 33 360 6889 6531 8 223 13 221 7 357 28 360 6531 6281 8 220 13 220 6 358 22 001 6281 6129 7 220 12 220 5*358 18 001 6129 6041 7 219 10 219 4*357 10*000 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography