DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 46.5 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 559 - - 549 - - 204 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5077 - - 5948 - - 4845 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9636 - - 10334 - - 9051 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10945 - - 11816 - - 10713 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1417 - - 1180 - - 2019 - - 2740 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 598 - - 627 - - 421 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 15 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 352 - - 358 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -35 - - -28 - - -22 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4378 - - -4044 - - -5507 - - -8476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15324 - - 15861 - - 16221 - - 14518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12912 - - -11016 - - -11899 - - -16080 ODpotential blCL - - - 23857 - - 22832 - - 22612 - - 22122 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 27 - - 25 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 46.5 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -6.0 - - -3.2 - - -3.7 - - -3.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 42.6 - - 44.9 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -6.4 - - -3.6 - - -3.9 - - -3.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 559 - - 549 - - 204 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5077 - - 5948 - - 4845 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97285 49 269 51 259 41 272 47 284 97285 89887 47 271 53 286 57 281 57 285 89887 84258 52 261 44 281 50 279 49 280 84258 79618 52 254 41 255 40 260 42 267 79618 75579 46 257 42 248 39 247 42 263 75579 71995 37 268 37 253 33 251 29 271 71995 68763 34 261 30 252 27 260 23 255 68763 65777 36 245 33 253 28 261 27 259 65777 62991 38 249 39 261 36 270 35 258 62991 60287 42 256 41 260 41 266 34 261 60287 57464 45 258 42 259 42 262 40 274 57464 54547 47 253 47 258 46 262 47 271 54547 51769 45 251 47 255 46 259 45 265 51769 49259 44 260 45 262 43 261 41 274 49259 46998 47 266 49 268 45 272 44 284 46998 44952 51 263 55 269 53 277 53 283 44952 43091 54 260 63 266 60 273 58 274 43091 41378 58 262 64 263 61 267 57 266 41378 39783 64 262 63 268 57 268 52 271 39783 38305 68 264 63 274 56 278 58 287 38305 36950 70 267 62 278 58 285 67 288 36950 35674 69 267 64 280 59 288 65 288 35674 34399 66 269 66 281 59 290 61 297 34399 33096 64 272 66 280 59 290 65 305 33096 31770 62 275 63 280 59 287 69 308 31770 30409 61 278 58 285 57 286 67 306 30409 29005 61 282 57 291 53 288 60 304 29005 27565 62 284 59 292 50 291 52 301 27565 26087 63 285 60 291 50 294 49 297 26087 24571 62 284 59 292 49 295 49 294 24571 23021 61 285 56 293 49 297 49 294 23021 21433 57 287 52 295 48 300 48 298 21433 19801 53 290 47 299 45 304 45 304 19801 18156 49 292 42 304 42 309 42 310 18156 16582 45 295 37 308 38 311 39 312 16582 15154 41 295 32 313 34 312 36 312 15154 13882 34 297 26 320 27 314 32 312 13882 12744 25 304 18*334 17 322 26 316 12744 11721 18*324 15*346 11 339 21 323 11721 10797 17*339 15 348 10*350 16 331 10797 9963 18 343 15 350 11*353 12 339 9963 9214 19 347 16 352 11 356 10 350 9214 8540 19 348 16 353 11 358 10 360 8540 7925 19 349 16 354 12 358 11 005 7925 7372 19 350 16 355 12 359 12 007 7372 6904 19 350 15 355 12 360 13 007 6904 6539 18 350 15 356 12 001 13 007 6539 6286 17 350 14 356 11 001 10 006 6286 6131 16 350 14 356 11 001 8*006 6131 6042 14 350 12 356 9 001 6*004 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography