DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.6 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 460 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4147 - - 9866 - - - - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8840 - - 13457 - - - - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10015 - - 15734 - - - - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2266 - - 3712 - - - - - 645 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 528 - - 700 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 31 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 335 - - - - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -19 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2995 - - 1559 - - - - - -4541 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13010 - - 14176 - - - - - 10586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5318 - - 198 - - - - - -8472 ODpotential blCL - - - 15333 - - 15536 - - - - - 14517 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 95 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 680 - - - - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.6 - - 89.6 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 47.8 - - - - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.5 - - 86.4 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 47.6 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 472 - - 460 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4147 - - 9866 - - - - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 80 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99328 43 106 41 096 41 106 99328 91824 44 102 34 105 33 083 91824 86055 44 108 39 110 30 081 86055 81264 39 102 37 107 29 096 81264 77147 27 091 32 098 27 102 77147 73531 17 095 25 094 28 098 73531 70273 20 116 17 103 28 086 70273 67286 25 113 16 121 26 077 67286 64522 26 108 21 128 17 079 64522 61863 23 092 21 126 11 097 61863 59130 10 085 12 130 11 111 59130 56330 8 191 6 180 7 098 56330 53663 16 175 12 178 3 153 53663 51257 20 163 18 161 10 162 51257 49095 22 165 21 164 13 173 49095 47115 23 166 21 168 13 185 47115 45279 21 163 18 170 12 186 45279 43564 17 163 15 169 10 194 43564 41953 11 164 11 170 8 187 41953 40440 7 179 5 201 5 164 40440 39022 1 046 5 132 3 144 39022 37668 11 341 5 048 2 058 37668 36314 13 333 9 351 10 028 36314 34929 9 359 13 336 16 011 34929 33519 12 025 14 332 18 010 33519 32073 17 015 16 345 19 021 32073 30580 20 357 18 008 20 026 30580 29042 22 353 17 018 18 019 29042 27465 20 002 18 010 15 002 27465 25857 16 012 16 002 11 003 25857 24223 9 008 12 015 11 033 24223 22554 6 014 11 022 16 052 22554 20842 7 043 7 026 19 050 20842 19113 9 046 5 049 17 040 19113 17451 8 024 6 046 14 022 17451 15934 8 012 7*020 11 355 15934 14575 7 006 8*360 9 333 14575 13349 7 000 8 354 8 320 13349 12241 8 352 7 351 7 309 12241 11237 7 341 6 345 6 295 11237 10330 4*308 5 331 5 271 10330 9513 3*253 3 316 4 231 9513 8777 3 233 3 302 6 202 8777 8105 4 221 3 284 8 184 8105 7500 5 217 2 269 10 176 7500 6987 5 213 2 255 11 168 6987 6589 5 210 3 247 11 164 6589 6311 5 208 3 242 9 160 6311 6142 5 207 3 239 7*158 6142 6045 5 207 2 237 2*160 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography