DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 83.6 - - 83.2 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 534 - - 214 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8902 - - 12715 - - 13969 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12729 - - 15898 - - 16292 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14770 - - 18583 - - 19837 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2577 - - 2363 - - 2428 - - 12153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 707 - - 803 - - 611 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 28 - - 27 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 243 - - 241 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 19 - - 18 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2504 - - 236 - - 1351 - - -10420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17275 - - 18348 - - 18487 - - 16466 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4962 - - -1238 - - 337 - - -12969 ODpotential blCL - - - 19732 - - 19821 - - 19500 - - 19014 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 81 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 83.6 - - 83.2 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.4 - - 22.9 - - 22.0 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 80.7 - - 81.6 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 22.6 - - 21.8 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 534 - - 214 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8902 - - 12715 - - 13969 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 3 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98608 14 120 14 094 20 085 18 092 98608 91099 16 119 15 095 17 079 16 085 91099 85345 20 121 19 107 11 100 22 088 85345 80606 15 122 16 139 11 099 22 099 80606 76548 14 121 18 142 4 068 22 099 76548 72963 11 122 16 113 8 165 14 095 72963 69717 10 138 11 145 13 143 9 121 69717 66740 8 153 8 146 10 158 6 163 66740 63976 7 164 16 188 9 178 9 202 63976 61302 11 212 20 177 20 204 16 233 61302 58527 10 219 22 204 25 196 23 219 58527 55641 23 254 27 224 24 223 24 231 55641 52869 37 242 37 238 38 244 33 240 52869 50365 41 244 43 236 45 231 44 242 50365 48110 42 247 43 239 45 233 50 239 48110 46054 45 250 48 242 49 240 52 238 46054 44172 48 247 53 240 50 242 52 236 44172 42448 51 239 55 235 49 244 50 235 42448 40862 53 235 52 234 49 247 49 237 40862 39388 54 236 50 236 51 246 51 237 39388 38013 54 235 52 239 52 241 49 235 38013 36706 53 233 56 239 51 238 45 235 36706 35402 52 235 57 239 50 239 44 239 35402 34072 51 238 56 237 49 239 47 239 34072 32718 49 240 56 232 49 238 49 238 32718 31327 47 240 53 232 49 237 49 238 31327 29889 46 239 49 236 49 236 49 239 29889 28407 45 240 46 240 48 237 47 240 28407 26887 44 244 43 245 47 240 45 239 26887 25331 43 249 40 248 46 244 42 238 25331 23744 42 253 39 250 42 245 38 237 23744 22123 39 251 37 248 38 241 35 235 22123 20459 36 243 37 240 34*236 30 234 20459 18780 35 236 36*237 29*236 26 236 18780 17167 35 237 31*240 28 237 24 242 17167 15695 34*242 29 241 28 238 24 245 15695 14373 30*242 29 242 28 239 24 246 14373 13181 29 241 29 243 27 240 24 247 13181 12103 28 241 28 243 27 241 25 247 12103 11126 25 238 28 243 26 243 25 247 11126 10241 24 238 27 244 26 243 25 247 10241 9443 23 237 27 244 26 244 25 247 9443 8724 23 237 27 244 25 244 25 247 8724 8067 23 236 26 244 25 244 25 247 8067 7474 22 236 26 244 24 245 25 246 7474 6971 21 235 25 244 24 245 23 246 6971 6579 21 235 24 244 23 245 20 245 6579 6307 20 235 23 244 22 245 16 243 6307 6140 19 235 22 244 21 245 13*243 6140 6045 17 234 19 243 18 245 7*242 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography