DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.8 - - 51.2 - - 57.6 - - 52.3 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 99 - - 105 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1079 - - 1390 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6947 - - 7258 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 758 - - 653 - - 1513 - - 1663 - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 203 - - 225 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 138 - - 179 - - 003 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 5 - - -2 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4410 - - -4217 - - -5668 - - -5738 - - -5335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10454 - - 11165 - - 12926 - - 11781 - - 11379 sfcLCL ODpotential -14909 - - -12902 - - -13129 - - -14535 - - -15248 ODpotential blCL 20952 - - 19849 - - 20387 - - 20578 - - 21291 blCL maxRH 92 - - 90 - - 82 - - 91 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.8 - - 51.2 - - 57.6 - - 52.3 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 23.8 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 50.2 - - 56.5 - - 55.8 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 23.0 - - 21.7 - - 21.7 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 99 - - 105 - - 0 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 1079 - - 1390 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 60 - - 28 - - 63 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96143 25 282 31 271 32 287 34 283 34 276 96143 89200 18 298 21 276 21 287 18 303 15 323 89200 83790 14 307 12 277 12 307 16 313 13 332 83790 79284 11 335 7 330 8 324 11 314 11 355 79284 75409 10 011 8 347 4 005 9 283 18 002 75409 71959 8 005 4 341 6 329 10 295 18 338 71959 68824 7 339 9 013 5 268 11 321 10 337 68824 65941 9 298 6 317 6 246 10 272 12 300 65941 63282 10 304 5 303 2 232 5 245 6 272 63282 60716 29 266 26 283 20 306 11 348 14 286 60716 58043 31 261 37 249 34 261 28 276 27 265 58043 55270 30 264 29 252 33 260 31 271 32 267 55270 52601 35 266 31 275 39 261 36 254 33 255 52601 50179 37 264 40 269 42 250 39 249 34 255 50179 48002 46 256 52 252 47 249 46 249 37 259 48002 46033 58 251 64 250 59 251 56 253 51 259 46033 44245 67 248 72 244 69 246 64 251 60 252 44245 42598 71 246 71 238 67 244 63 244 61 250 42598 41056 71 246 66 239 65 245 60 242 60 249 41056 39603 70 247 66 244 67 246 60 243 59 248 39603 38234 69 250 67 244 69 249 59 246 58 246 38234 36921 66 249 67 245 69 248 57 247 57 245 36921 35604 63 241 64 245 64 241 54 247 56 245 35604 34257 60 237 62 237 62 235 53 245 58 244 34257 32882 54 238 62 228 64 231 59 243 58 244 32882 31465 50 238 60 228 61 233 65 241 57 247 31465 30000 52 241 57 233 60 239 63 241 58 246 30000 28492 54 245 54 240 59 244 58 242 59 243 28492 26944 56 246 52 244 56 246 54 243 57 244 26944 25361 56 246 51 244 53 244 49 242 53 244 25361 23744 51 243 48 241 50 241 46 242 47 243 23744 22089 42 237 44 235 46 239 43 242 41 244 22089 20389 35 235 39 229 42 235 38 244 36 246 20389 18677 29 240 34 229 37 231 33 246 31 252 18677 17037 23 248 28 234 32 233 28 247 28 260 17037 15548 19 256 22 237 26 238 24 249 25 266 15548 14219 17 258 19 237 21 241 20 253 22 270 14219 13028 17 254 17 240 17 240 17 255 19 274 13028 11955 16 245 15 244 13 237 14 252 16 274 11955 10988 14 239 13 240 10 235 13 245 14 270 10988 10117 12 238 10 228 7 222 12 238 13 261 10117 9336 9 238 9 210 7 202 10 229 14 253 9336 8634 6 219 9 186 7 188 8 218 14 246 8634 7994 5 174 8 170 8 181 8 212 12 241 7994 7419 8 158 7*159 4*178 6 206 10 237 7419 6933 8 151 4*147 3*178 2 202 5 234 6933 6556 4 131 2 134 3 179 1 354 1 215 6556 6294 3 077 2 134 3 179 1 006 3 026 6294 6135 5*041 2 135 3 179 1*009 4*014 6135 6043 5*033 2 135 3 177 0*003 5*010 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography