DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 47.7 - - 53.0 - - 46.6 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 96 - - 129 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 685 - - 1261 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6179 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6553 - - 7129 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 862 - - 1747 - - 793 - - 300 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 173 - - 231 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 228 - - 225 - - 248 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1694 - - -2887 - - -3891 - - -3456 - - -2437 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7737 - - 9441 - - 11020 - - 9500 - - 8480 sfcLCL ODpotential -12788 - - -11106 - - -11233 - - -12198 - - -11821 ODpotential blCL 18830 - - 17659 - - 18362 - - 18241 - - 17864 blCL maxRH 64 - - 56 - - 58 - - 54 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 47.7 - - 53.0 - - 46.6 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 27.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.6 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 46.7 - - 51.8 - - 49.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.6 - - 27.0 - - 25.7 - - 26.2 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 96 - - 129 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 685 - - 1261 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96141 37 329 43 346 35 347 34 353 26 339 96141 89144 28 344 31 352 33 001 31 358 34 358 89144 83666 20 017 20 355 22 352 25 003 25 354 83666 79106 23 000 18 347 18 343 21 350 25 019 79106 75166 16 347 17 350 20 328 25 337 27 358 75166 71700 10 005 12 350 17 333 22 330 21 349 71700 68554 21 007 3 016 8 349 13 318 11 341 68554 65634 19 347 9 328 16 341 21 319 18 335 65634 62926 12 341 16 310 19 318 21 309 27 333 62926 60317 5 348 7 265 11 339 15 318 31 330 60317 57619 16 335 26 333 26 346 25 321 34 321 57619 54843 23 310 33 319 32 323 29 309 35 317 54843 52193 34 328 30 331 30 303 30 309 34 311 52193 49791 46 329 39 334 32 320 31 316 31 310 49791 47628 46 309 47 328 42 331 33 321 30 320 47628 45670 45 296 49 318 47 328 38 326 33 330 45670 43890 43 289 46 313 46 325 45 331 35 330 43890 42262 43 291 45 311 46 325 46 325 31 329 42262 40755 44 299 46 311 49 324 46 321 30 331 40755 39342 44 301 46 308 49 320 42 325 30 329 39342 38012 43 302 44 305 48 315 40 329 27 324 38012 36732 43 308 41 304 46 313 37 328 26 320 36732 35444 43 315 38 307 40 314 32 324 24 322 35444 34121 43 321 37 315 35 320 27 319 21 326 34121 32768 42 327 33 321 33 330 26 319 19 329 32768 31372 41 334 28 332 28 332 24 315 17 324 31372 29926 40 338 26 344 23 329 23 312 20 319 29926 28433 38 338 25 341 22 323 22 315 21 301 28433 26899 36 333 25 327 23 319 22 321 22 296 26899 25329 33 327 27 321 24 321 21 327 21 311 25329 23726 32 323 29 323 24 325 22 334 22 327 23726 22083 33 322 30 328 24 325 23 337 24 334 22083 20391 34 325 29 332 23 326 24 337 26 336 20391 18680 34 328 29 334 22 330 25 336 27 337 18680 17039 33 330 29 335 23 336 24 338 27 340 17039 15546 31 331 28 335 24 340 24 341 26 341 15546 14215 30 335 27 336 25 341 24 344 24 342 14215 13022 29 340 26 339 26 342 23 346 23 344 13022 11949 28 347 24 344 25 344 22 347 22 346 11949 10981 28 352 23 349 23 348 20 349 22 349 10981 10110 28 357 22 355 18 352 18 352 20 351 10110 9329 28 000 20 001 13 351 14 355 19 354 9329 8626 27 002 17 005 8 342 10 355 17 358 8626 7988 25 003 12 007 4 312 7 346 15 001 7988 7414 22 003 6 004 4*254 5 314 14 005 7414 6929 18 003 2*307 4*235 4 284 12 008 6929 6553 13 001 2*245 5 227 4 266 10 012 6553 6293 8 357 3 228 5 222 4 252 8 018 6293 6134 3*346 3 222 5 220 4*246 6*025 6134 6043 1*258 3 219 5 219 3*248 5*025 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography