DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 71.2 - - 76.5 - - 75.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 225 - - 245 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 2076 - - 3759 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 7037 - - 8312 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 7944 - - 9627 - - 6045 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 340 - - 1988 - - 7089 - - 11866 - - 879 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 330 - - 412 - - 31 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 16 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 153 - - 203 - - 253 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 8 - - -16 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3938 - - -3856 - - -4349 - - -8861 - - -5857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9982 - - 11801 - - 13977 - - 14906 - - 11901 sfcLCL ODpotential -8732 - - -6749 - - -6342 - - -10780 - - -9862 ODpotential blCL 14776 - - 14693 - - 15969 - - 16825 - - 15906 blCL maxRH 74 - - 81 - - 83 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 300 - - 320 - - 140 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 71.2 - - 76.5 - - 75.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.2 - - 40.4 - - 36.1 - - 31.5 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 69.4 - - 74.6 - - 75.6 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 39.9 - - 35.7 - - 31.1 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 225 - - 245 - - 1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 2076 - - 3759 - - 177 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 24 - - 33 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97673 20 295 18 281 17 284 21 279 20 299 97673 90427 15 308 12 297 8 282 13 295 11 323 90427 84808 9 341 9 302 4 298 12 324 10 339 84808 80142 5 002 5 293 5 320 9 331 12 346 80142 76139 9 025 3 298 7 320 11 342 13 356 76139 72617 18 005 5 022 7 348 11 349 14 338 72617 69448 18 356 11 356 15 358 14 353 16 345 69448 66550 16 349 15 354 16 355 15 352 19 347 66550 63866 19 341 21 357 21 358 19 350 22 350 63866 61265 24 325 23 341 22 346 23 346 23 348 61265 58545 26 316 23 331 21 331 23 340 23 339 58545 55716 31 321 27 331 24 323 27 330 25 331 55716 53014 42 316 34 327 28 323 29 326 24 329 53014 50577 50 313 40 324 31 326 29 328 21 332 50577 48386 56 312 42 323 29 331 28 321 21 324 48386 46385 58 315 43 324 28 338 27 320 23 315 46385 44537 60 317 44 324 30 340 30 323 24 313 44537 42816 60 319 44 325 32 338 31 327 26 317 42816 41207 54 321 39 328 32 335 30 331 32 321 41207 39704 45 322 33 333 30 329 30 335 41 322 39704 38301 35 321 26 339 21 326 28 332 39 323 38301 36966 25 326 22 349 17 333 27 322 32 323 36966 35633 31 329 29 347 23 352 21 330 30 327 35633 34273 30 330 26 340 27 350 23 355 27 338 34273 32894 16 356 11 327 13 357 19 005 19 356 32894 31492 16 054 6 083 13 084 10 062 11 007 31492 30047 20 071 16 091 16 090 15 094 7 057 30047 28559 15 081 13 091 13 087 13 093 10 083 28559 27027 9 101 10 081 10 083 13 090 12 096 27027 25458 7 124 6 125 5 089 11 087 14 104 25458 23856 6 158 9 153 6 139 8 090 11 104 23856 22220 9 166 9 157 5 167 9 111 8 122 22220 20541 7 159 7 177 3 182 12 118 12 130 20541 18847 2 135 10 176 6 171 12 131 13 143 18847 17219 0 270 12 168 8 157 11 151 12 148 17219 15732 1 288 9 160 7 141 9 169 10 149 15732 14398 1 298 5 146 6 121 6 181 7 150 14398 13197 1 314 4 117 5 108 4 188 5 147 13197 12110 1 355 3 112 3 102 2 200 5 148 12110 11126 1 064 3 078 2 102 2 241 4 148 11126 10237 2 076 5 053 1*135 3 276 3 147 10237 9437 2 078 6 047 1*186 4 278 1 134 9437 8716 3 088 5 051 2 202 4 272 1 067 8716 8058 4 103 3*082 4 204 5 266 2 008 8058 7467 6 087 3*124 4 205 5 262 4 001 7467 6965 9 073 3 149 5 204 5 258 5 357 6965 6576 11 064 4 156 5 203 5 257 5 353 6576 6305 11 047 4 160 5 203 5 256 4 353 6305 6139 8*043 4 162 5 202 4*254 4 360 6139 6044 5*043 4 162 5 201 4*253 4*001 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography