DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 48.3 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 311 - - 350 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1596 - - 3406 - - 2617 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6778 - - 8170 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 7464 - - 9274 - - 8485 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 786 - - 727 - - 1909 - - 3867 - - 1099 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 335 - - 449 - - 219 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 172 - - 224 - - 227 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 10 - - 15 - - 14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5966 - - -6252 - - -7029 - - -6998 - - -7205 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12008 - - 13717 - - 16304 - - 15484 - - 13249 sfcLCL ODpotential -15251 - - -13760 - - -12241 - - -11255 - - -12663 ODpotential blCL 21293 - - 21224 - - 21515 - - 19740 - - 18706 blCL maxRH 47 - - 36 - - 55 - - 55 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 48.3 - - 58.5 - - 59.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.6 - - 9.7 - - 7.9 - - 12.2 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 46.2 - - 56.1 - - 58.5 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.8 - - 9.1 - - 7.3 - - 11.8 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 311 - - 350 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 1596 - - 3406 - - 2617 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96421 23 252 21 268 13 279 13 242 29 265 96421 89172 7 221 12 248 18 259 12 272 18 304 89172 83648 4 274 9 263 17 246 20 275 17 314 83648 79080 16 271 15 272 18 260 22 273 12 301 79080 75141 20 270 18 253 21 256 23 277 18 285 75141 71656 24 268 21 253 26 254 28 269 30 280 71656 68503 30 261 29 253 34 256 34 273 33 272 68503 65604 32 253 32 249 35 253 34 267 34 266 65604 62901 35 256 33 258 34 251 33 251 38 262 62901 60255 35 256 36 258 33 254 34 248 39 251 60255 57477 34 253 40 247 37 257 38 243 39 251 57477 54581 32 248 39 241 39 253 37 243 37 251 54581 51809 29 248 33 243 38 239 33 248 33 242 51809 49320 25 257 28 244 33 237 34 250 27 251 49320 47093 25 260 25 244 37 239 34 236 31 252 47093 45088 31 248 31 252 40 236 34 242 31 253 45088 43272 33 238 42 249 42 241 45 242 41 241 43272 41608 28 223 46 244 49 238 50 230 50 224 41608 40076 8 236 39 241 46 237 44 231 47 216 40076 38651 6 278 28 229 41 244 39 238 40 219 38651 37318 6 281 14 213 41 245 39 242 36 226 37318 36042 7 257 11 220 40 246 37 245 35 228 36042 34761 10 226 15 227 39 250 36 247 34 228 34761 33449 14 213 20 242 38 251 34 248 32 228 33449 32114 15 211 21 249 37 250 33 247 29 234 32114 30744 15 210 19 238 38 248 34 244 29 239 30744 29330 13 207 18 228 39 242 34 241 29 240 29330 27875 14 211 17 229 36 242 32 244 27 243 27875 26382 14 223 17 234 31 244 30 248 25 245 26382 24853 11 248 15 239 32 245 30 247 25 242 24853 23293 11 260 14 235 36 244 30 248 25 243 23293 21699 13 247 16 231 32 249 26 252 22 245 21699 20064 17 245 18 236 27 250 22 245 20 249 20064 18413 17 256 19 246 25 250 22 247 20 252 18413 16830 15 262 21 252 23 255 21 252 21 256 16830 15387 17 262 24 258 22 261 20 258 21 257 15387 14098 20 259 26 263 22 270 22 262 23 256 14098 12938 24 256 27 265 23 276 23 261 24 250 12938 11892 26 255 27 264 24 277 22 260 24 244 11892 10946 26 254 26 261 22 274 20 257 24 242 10946 10090 24 252 23 257 18 268 18 257 23 243 10090 9319 19 247 18 249 13*253 15 251 22 243 9319 8624 13 229 13 232 12*249 14*247 20 241 8624 7989 10 194 9*200 10 227 12*237 17 235 7989 7417 10 169 6*178 10 222 11 228 14 226 7417 6933 10 158 6 173 10 219 10 226 12 217 6933 6556 7 147 5 170 10 216 10 224 8 209 6556 6295 4 128 5 170 10 215 10 223 5 206 6295 6135 4*069 5 168 9 215 9 222 2*207 6135 6043 4*048 5 167 9 214 8 221 1*262 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography