DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 56.6 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 145 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1250 - - 1699 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6238 - - 6620 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7118 - - 7567 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 816 - - 1235 - - - - - 489 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 271 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 122 - - - - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2676 - - -3047 - - - - - -5943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9795 - - 10615 - - - - - 11986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11404 - - -10799 - - - - - -14587 ODpotential blCL - - - 18522 - - 18366 - - - - - 20630 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 53 - - - - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 56.6 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.6 - - 31.6 - - - - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 55.4 - - - - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 30.6 - - - - - 19.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 145 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1250 - - 1699 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97645 23 277 17 276 24 288 97645 90368 18 274 23 278 22 288 90368 84758 10 259 20 262 20 296 84758 80102 6 249 19 235 17 296 80102 76086 9 275 13 223 15 300 76086 72547 11 262 10 255 13 285 72547 69368 7 260 9 260 16 273 69368 66453 9 270 12 263 14 266 66453 63750 18 265 21 271 16 280 63750 61138 23 264 24 259 21 275 61138 58427 19 263 23 265 25 265 58427 55624 18 276 30 269 25 275 55624 52946 22 286 28 265 34 279 52946 50526 26 266 27 275 36 272 50526 48338 20 265 33 272 37 274 48338 46330 21 278 29 263 45 273 46330 44470 18 247 22 268 49 272 44470 42736 17 197 24 253 47 268 42736 41123 15 150 23 238 38 257 41123 39629 12 134 13 206 28 251 39629 38251 7 150 10 188 22 249 38251 36951 9 194 12 226 17 243 36951 35650 11 210 16 257 21 232 35650 34313 10 197 22 267 23 218 34313 32946 10 186 26 271 17 215 32946 31537 7 175 23 264 14 205 31537 30077 4 165 15 233 21 209 30077 28572 6 147 11 220 24 214 28572 27025 12 133 14 209 21 213 27025 25440 12 129 14 174 20 221 25440 23820 12 132 13 156 18 227 23820 22163 12 135 11 155 10 198 22163 20462 12 139 8 165 9 172 20462 18744 11 147 7 175 9 178 18744 17095 10 151 8 162 9 200 17095 15593 9 147 9 153 11 209 15593 14254 9 140 10 151 12 202 14254 13055 10 141 11 150 14 185 13055 11976 10 148 11 148 14 175 11976 11005 11 157 11 145 13 170 11005 10130 10 165 10 144 12 163 10130 9347 10 166 10 142 12 151 9347 8643 11 157 8 137 11 136 8643 8002 11 146 5*129 10 120 8002 7425 7*129 3*121 9 110 7425 6937 5*104 2 121 7 102 6937 6558 5 097 2 121 5 079 6558 6296 4 095 2 125 5 048 6296 6135 4 094 2 126 4*026 6135 6043 4 095 2 127 4*022 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography