DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 45.1 - - 41.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 236 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2398 - - 3332 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7245 - - 7973 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8266 - - 9200 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1108 - - 1189 - - 3690 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 390 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 20 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 020 - - 011 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -42 - - -30 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4924 - - -5227 - - -7439 - - -5803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13191 - - 14428 - - 13482 - - 11845 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13793 - - -13240 - - -17075 - - -16927 ODpotential blCL - - - 22059 - - 22440 - - 23117 - - 22969 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 40 - - 31 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.2 - - 45.1 - - 41.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.1 - - 3.4 - - 4.5 - - 4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 43.5 - - 42.7 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.7 - - 3.1 - - 4.3 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 236 - - -11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2398 - - 3332 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96905 45 075 57 077 50 082 43 080 96905 89787 45 087 47 088 37 081 35 073 89787 84220 38 090 33 094 29 083 28 071 84220 79580 27 089 27 079 28 074 29 080 79580 75565 22 100 19 076 21 060 30 075 75565 71998 20 101 13 073 14 065 26 067 71998 68759 21 087 12 097 10 033 21 041 68759 65774 9 057 7 023 3 334 12 009 65774 62990 7 106 11 320 7 315 13 314 62990 60276 18 321 17 334 8 355 9 311 60276 57458 29 313 17 346 19 354 21 339 57458 54564 27 337 31 357 35 342 35 328 54564 51825 51 007 46 005 36 348 39 328 51825 49373 68 359 58 359 42 347 40 341 49373 47180 67 348 58 356 47 340 47 343 47180 45198 56 348 56 359 52 334 54 336 45198 43401 53 001 56 357 54 330 54 325 43401 41762 63 011 56 354 56 331 52 323 41762 40249 72 015 57 355 59 333 56 328 40249 38840 78 018 60 358 58 336 62 330 38840 37519 82 018 64 359 59 339 66 330 37519 36253 83 016 67 359 61 341 68 330 36253 34978 82 012 69 360 63 345 68 331 34978 33667 80 008 70 000 64 349 68 334 33667 32328 79 006 70 001 63 352 67 338 32328 30950 77 004 69 003 61 353 64 340 30950 29525 73 004 71 004 59 353 63 340 29525 28054 69 002 73 005 60 354 63 341 28054 26539 66 000 73 005 63 357 61 343 26539 24984 64 358 68 005 67 000 58 345 24984 23392 62 356 60 004 69 003 57 346 23392 21760 60 355 54 001 65 006 56 347 21760 20084 58 357 49 360 55 008 53 350 20084 18393 55 000 45 359 45 007 47 354 18393 16777 51 004 43 359 39 004 39 356 16777 15311 48 005 40 000 36 001 33 355 15311 14005 45 005 38 002 35 001 30 353 14005 12837 44 005 36 005 33 004 27 352 12837 11787 44 005 34 007 30 008 25 351 11787 10843 43 007 30 010 25 009 22 352 10843 9994 41 009 26 012 20 008 20 355 9994 9234 38 013 23*014 16 006 17 359 9234 8552 34*016 22*016 14 006 15 004 8552 7931 32*019 22 017 13 006 13 010 7931 7375 30 020 21 019 12 008 12 014 7375 6904 28 022 20 021 11 010 10 013 6904 6539 26 023 19 023 10 011 7 007 6539 6286 24 024 17 024 8 012 4 358 6286 6131 21 025 16 025 7*013 2*349 6131 6042 16 026 13 026 5*011 1*308 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography