DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 65.1 - - 73.5 - - 72.7 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 149 - - 254 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 1456 - - 3832 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 6471 - - 8383 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 7324 - - 9700 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1285 - - 963 - - 3014 - - 5545 - - 843 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 262 - - 420 - - 49 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 164 - - 204 - - 217 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1467 - - -533 - - -2123 - - -7432 - - -5629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7511 - - 7857 - - 11823 - - 13477 - - 11673 sfcLCL ODpotential -7154 - - -4281 - - -5503 - - -11703 - - -11822 ODpotential blCL 13198 - - 11605 - - 15203 - - 17747 - - 17866 blCL maxRH 60 - - 68 - - 48 - - 67 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 220 - - 70 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 65.1 - - 73.5 - - 72.7 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 51.4 - - 42.7 - - 34.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.2 - - 63.7 - - 71.5 - - 72.5 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 50.3 - - 42.2 - - 34.3 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 149 - - 254 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 1456 - - 3832 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97817 17 245 14 261 23 231 23 278 13 299 97817 90523 10 171 7 249 7 247 7 272 3 291 90523 84905 7 072 7 162 6 179 4 229 2 000 84905 80243 10 027 6 119 3 058 4 083 3 357 80243 76237 14 020 7 054 4 051 8 057 4 043 76237 72721 13 000 13 037 9 099 4 066 6 006 72721 69566 11 029 10 020 12 023 12 041 7 034 69566 66676 11 358 11 030 6 004 13 347 15 014 66676 63992 10 306 14 336 10 005 12 329 15 349 63992 61395 9 283 18 297 16 326 14 317 16 325 61395 58693 9 327 15 280 18 297 17 287 20 298 58693 55903 16 314 14 284 19 277 21 272 26 272 55903 53252 26 300 21 296 21 283 27 285 26 275 53252 50861 39 283 29 286 32 288 39 295 33 293 50861 48702 42 279 35 278 37 292 48 293 46 283 48702 46721 45 282 36 276 38 292 49 297 48 281 46721 44885 49 283 36 276 38 292 48 297 51 287 44885 43178 50 284 39 273 37 293 42 292 46 292 43178 41583 51 285 42 272 36 293 37 287 35 287 41583 40092 48 288 40 279 35 292 31 291 31 279 40092 38696 40 292 35 286 34 289 30 293 24 278 38696 37361 36 297 32 288 33 288 29 292 23 282 37361 36021 36 300 31 291 34 290 29 294 24 289 36021 34649 34 302 31 293 33 293 30 297 24 297 34649 33254 31 308 28 297 28 297 29 298 26 304 33254 31822 25 308 24 298 23 300 26 296 26 304 31822 30347 21 306 22 301 20 304 22 297 26 300 30347 28831 17 315 20 311 17 316 17 308 25 304 28831 27277 12 331 15 330 12 319 13 315 19 313 27277 25689 10 335 12 347 9 324 9 313 14 319 25689 24067 10 337 10 354 7 329 8 320 10 327 24067 22403 10 339 9 360 6 337 7 333 9 349 22403 20690 8 341 10 004 5 006 4 356 8 006 20690 18959 7 339 11 360 7 018 4 035 5 020 18959 17298 8 332 11 355 9 019 5 055 3 044 17298 15786 6 312 9 346 10 014 6 054 3 079 15786 14432 5 255 7 321 10 360 9 028 3 089 14432 13217 8 230 8 283 11 344 13 015 4 074 13217 12121 10 220 11 256 10 327 11 006 5 062 12121 11130 11 216 13 240 7 303 7 346 4 054 11130 10236 12 212 14 233 5*267 5 317 2 019 10236 9434 11 201 13 225 5*232 5 278 3 315 9434 8711 10 185 11 213 5 213 5 245 4 289 8711 8053 11 166 8 188 5 202 6 223 5 276 8053 7462 13 158 6*171 6 200 7 218 5 272 7462 6961 11 158 4*164 6 198 7 218 4 275 6961 6573 5 153 4 164 6 197 7 218 3 301 6573 6303 2 114 4 165 6 196 7 218 3 332 6303 6139 2*029 4 163 5 195 6 218 4*352 6139 6044 3*014 3 162 5 195 5*217 5*353 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography