DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 77.2 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 353 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3821 - - 9675 - - - - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8444 - - 13163 - - - - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9689 - - 15543 - - - - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5041 - - 1619 - - - - - 4605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 638 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 38 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 341 - - - - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 47 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7742 - - -2476 - - - - - -9907 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17432 - - 18020 - - - - - 15952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11588 - - -5582 - - - - - -15274 ODpotential blCL - - - 21277 - - 21125 - - - - - 21318 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 74 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 77.2 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 18.4 - - - - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 74.7 - - - - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.2 - - 17.8 - - - - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 353 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3821 - - 9675 - - - - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96621 22 238 34 261 29 274 96621 89438 15 241 20 247 23 256 89438 83958 15 260 16 240 18 268 83958 79410 15 239 18 239 16 285 79410 75462 9 262 14 255 18 296 75462 71955 11 250 14 281 20 307 71955 68793 3 256 14 262 20 312 68793 65908 7 019 9 256 17 313 65908 63251 16 329 9 298 14 310 63251 60682 19 319 22 314 18 318 60682 58003 31 297 33 294 29 303 58003 55210 33 277 41 277 41 294 55210 52521 35 282 43 274 51 283 52521 50076 42 290 46 280 54 286 50076 47860 45 296 49 286 62 291 47860 45840 48 297 49 289 55 291 45840 43990 49 290 53 287 50 293 43990 42298 47 281 54 283 51 299 42298 40749 51 279 57 281 55 298 40749 39315 56 276 62 277 49 293 39315 37977 57 275 64 273 47 290 37977 36695 57 275 65 273 44 291 36695 35409 58 272 63 274 42 296 35409 34089 59 270 61 275 41 300 34089 32741 58 272 58 276 41 301 32741 31353 55 277 49 282 40 299 31353 29916 50 282 36 289 37 296 29916 28434 39 289 30 294 33 294 28434 26911 28 298 28 295 28 291 26911 25350 25 300 26 293 25 286 25350 23753 24 293 26 290 24 287 23753 22118 24 288 26 286 24 286 22118 20439 23 285 25 284 22 282 20439 18745 20 284 22 288 20 276 18745 17121 17 290 16 305 18 268 17121 15640 14 298 9*332 13 252 15640 14316 11 308 7*343 6 230 14316 13127 8 328 7 347 3 208 13127 12052 7 350 5 351 4 224 12052 11080 8 005 4 353 5 236 11080 10200 9*013 3 352 8 242 10200 9408 8*017 2 344 9 245 9408 8694 7 023 1 323 11 245 8694 8042 5 034 1 282 12 243 8042 7455 4 051 1 250 12 240 7455 6958 3 074 1 231 11 237 6958 6571 2 090 2 220 9 235 6571 6303 2 104 2 218 6 239 6303 6138 2 111 2 220 3*262 6138 6044 2 115 2 217 2*291 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography