DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 68.3 - - 70.4 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 471 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3771 - - 7557 - - 8553 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8547 - - 11584 - - 11697 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9639 - - 13425 - - 14421 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1855 - - 3130 - - 4090 - - 3138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 647 - - 458 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 231 - - 285 - - 329 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 20 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 12 - - 39 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5309 - - -3451 - - -2418 - - -9604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14949 - - 16877 - - 16840 - - 15649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9674 - - -6977 - - -3923 - - -14501 ODpotential blCL - - - 19313 - - 20402 - - 18344 - - 20545 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 69 - - 73 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 68.3 - - 70.4 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.1 - - 14.6 - - 17.0 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 65.3 - - 68.9 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.4 - - 13.8 - - 16.3 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 476 - - 471 - - 147 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3771 - - 7557 - - 8553 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97936 12 255 18 268 22 302 15 310 97936 90515 15 261 13 271 18 298 10 328 90515 84769 18 257 11 279 10 280 12 287 84769 80015 11 237 16 248 14 266 11 303 80015 75937 9 241 18 235 18 271 13 297 75937 72330 16 262 17 253 17 267 11 284 72330 69056 18 267 20 271 20 286 18 294 69056 66049 24 260 27 268 25 275 24 294 66049 63266 25 263 28 267 27 274 30 280 63266 60562 30 267 30 277 29 275 30 282 60562 57741 32 263 35 279 30 283 33 291 57741 54839 34 265 32 282 31 280 32 288 54839 52083 33 282 26 287 27 283 30 281 52083 49609 31 289 28 287 29 285 32 285 49609 47404 33 291 27 280 29 279 34 277 47404 45425 33 284 24 290 23 297 22 302 45425 43640 26 300 29 317 33 329 25 321 43640 42007 25 310 29 323 30 342 34 338 42007 40488 16 328 29 347 33 358 42 346 40488 39066 28 002 36 002 37 359 45 350 39066 37729 39 004 37 003 37 356 46 350 37729 36447 41 001 35 358 34 355 44 350 36447 35159 37 359 33 351 31 355 42 350 35159 33838 33 357 31 350 30 353 40 348 33838 32489 30 350 31 351 29 351 38 346 32489 31101 29 345 31 353 28 350 36 344 31101 29665 27 343 31 355 28 352 34 343 29665 28188 25 339 30 355 28 355 31 340 28188 26671 24 335 29 352 29 355 29 338 26671 25119 25 335 26 348 31 353 28 339 25119 23535 26 339 23 341 30 347 30 340 23535 21914 27 340 23 336 28 342 32 339 21914 20253 26 336 27 337 26 340 31 335 20253 18582 23 332 30 341 25 341 28 332 18582 16983 21 331 27 344 22 340 26 330 16983 15526 19 335 20 341 18*340 23 330 15526 14222 18 342 17*337 15*339 19 330 14222 13047 17 344 15*334 14 339 15 328 13047 11986 14 341 12 328 11 337 12 323 11986 11024 11 338 9 317 10 334 10 318 11024 10154 7*328 7 298 8 330 9 314 10154 9371 5*311 6 273 6 321 8 306 9371 8665 4 286 7 245 5 310 7 295 8665 8021 5 229 7 236 4 300 7 280 8021 7440 6 219 7 229 3 290 7 259 7440 6948 7 214 8 224 3 282 7 239 6948 6566 7 211 8 222 3 274 7 224 6566 6300 7 209 8 221 3 270 7 214 6300 6137 7 209 8 220 3 267 4*209 6137 6044 7 208 7 218 3 264 3*206 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography