DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 85.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 296 - - 98 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2993 - - 7688 - - 10966 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7862 - - 11460 - - 13166 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8861 - - 13556 - - 16834 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2769 - - 4957 - - 3295 - - 3858 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 434 - - 555 - - 433 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 272 - - 259 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -19 - - 23 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2015 - - -398 - - 1075 - - -7812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10876 - - 13955 - - 15760 - - 13857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4826 - - -2266 - - -177 - - -10882 ODpotential blCL - - - 13687 - - 15822 - - 17011 - - 16927 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 89 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1050 - - 680 - - 390 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 85.9 - - 88.0 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 45.4 - - 39.5 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.2 - - 83.6 - - 86.9 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 45.2 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 296 - - 98 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2993 - - 7688 - - 10966 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 55 - - 102 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99112 29 116 24 129 15 106 26 100 99112 91722 28 121 19 115 13 119 19 104 91722 86009 24 105 17 119 16 113 16 084 86009 81230 21 091 15 107 18 098 18 085 81230 77097 13 099 19 095 16 091 14 095 77097 73452 13 108 10 082 14 086 13 097 73452 70168 11 079 8 128 6 054 10 079 70168 67167 9 068 9 139 3 186 5 005 67167 64409 6 081 10 101 10 150 2 209 64409 61760 4 206 5 036 11 131 6 150 61760 59003 9 207 7 261 3 236 4 248 59003 56149 5 220 10 221 10 219 13 226 56149 53445 12 268 12 246 12 254 14 236 53445 51028 18 250 25 254 25 262 22 255 51028 48867 20 239 30 240 33 252 31 252 48867 46893 24 242 32 238 36 250 35 251 46893 45067 29 247 35 238 38 247 38 252 45067 43365 31 243 36 231 41 236 39 250 43365 41772 33 235 37 224 41 232 39 244 41772 40282 35 231 36 222 38 236 36 245 40282 38891 36 229 34 224 34 235 31 244 38891 37561 36 227 30 227 32 232 31 235 37561 36229 34 223 26 232 30 232 32 237 36229 34866 30 215 26 238 29 231 32 237 34866 33475 27 211 25 239 28 231 31 236 33475 32044 26 212 23 228 25 231 29 231 32044 30564 20 221 21 213 22 231 27 228 30564 29036 14 214 21 207 24 236 24 232 29036 27465 11 210 23 209 27 240 23 240 27465 25856 12 227 22 221 25 239 26 246 25856 24216 16 230 18 230 21 238 27 249 24216 22539 14 246 15 239 14 248 19 244 22539 20821 15 257 13 256 9 301 11 219 20821 19090 16 265 16 271 9 311 5 175 19090 17428 14 273 19 275 9*301 4 157 17428 15910 13 286 18 277 9*286 3 175 15910 14550 13 296 14*279 10 277 4 204 14550 13325 13 299 11*280 11 268 6 227 13325 12217 12 290 10 280 11 262 8 241 12217 11215 10 263 8 280 12 258 10 253 11215 10310 10 234 7 279 13 255 12 263 10310 9496 9*208 5 271 13 253 14 269 9496 8763 7*187 4 265 13 251 15 272 8763 8094 5 166 3 255 13 250 16 273 8094 7492 5 159 3 245 13 249 16 274 7492 6983 5 155 3 237 13 248 15 274 6983 6586 5 152 2 228 13 248 13 273 6586 6310 5 151 2 224 13 247 11 273 6310 6142 5 150 2 221 12 247 9*273 6142 6045 4 151 2 218 11 246 5*275 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography