DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 71.4 - - 70.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 405 - - 72 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2420 - - 7805 - - 7952 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7426 - - 11715 - - 10586 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8288 - - 13673 - - 13820 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3175 - - 2297 - - 3244 - - 4362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 621 - - 353 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 234 - - 245 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 15 - - 24 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6957 - - -4022 - - -4108 - - -10760 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15246 - - 17696 - - 17929 - - 16805 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10591 - - -7089 - - -6935 - - -14936 ODpotential blCL - - - 18879 - - 20762 - - 20755 - - 20980 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 75 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 71.4 - - 70.7 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.9 - - 14.1 - - 12.4 - - 9.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 68.7 - - 69.8 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 13.4 - - 12.0 - - 8.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 405 - - 72 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2420 - - 7805 - - 7952 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96392 23 260 26 271 32 264 33 278 96392 89163 19 282 29 289 35 288 37 302 89163 83679 29 295 28 288 32 288 34 291 83679 79146 28 299 23 295 27 292 29 287 79146 75216 26 302 21 306 28 303 27 302 75216 71728 26 301 26 302 31 304 29 312 71728 68578 18 289 22 289 28 301 30 310 68578 65699 6 285 14 297 23 297 23 303 65699 63030 17 298 16 285 19 286 22 286 63030 60424 26 279 24 286 22 277 26 275 60424 57678 33 269 34 278 31 277 31 281 57678 54804 40 265 40 267 41 273 37 277 54804 52048 43 259 43 258 44 267 39 271 52048 49565 44 257 42 255 42 263 38 269 49565 47350 45 257 40 258 41 263 39 268 47350 45357 40 262 39 260 41 264 41 265 45357 43555 37 257 36 261 37 257 38 258 43555 41917 37 251 39 256 34 256 34 259 41917 40408 33 256 36 256 41 262 40 257 40408 38998 32 262 38 260 49 255 44 247 38998 37674 32 265 39 260 47 246 45 244 37674 36403 32 265 40 260 46 245 43 242 36403 35126 32 269 40 263 41 246 42 238 35126 33816 34 273 39 266 33 244 39 237 33816 32478 35 276 35 263 29 250 34 242 32478 31101 34 280 32 260 29 257 31 250 31101 29676 33 285 31 261 28 261 25 255 29676 28207 30 286 31 266 28 265 22 262 28207 26697 28 282 29 270 29 261 21 272 26697 25150 27 279 26 270 28 256 22 273 25150 23570 27 278 24 272 25 260 23 262 23570 21955 27 277 23 275 24 270 21 257 21955 20299 26 274 23 277 25 278 16 267 20299 18631 23 273 22 275 23 280 15 267 18631 17028 19 268 21 271 21 274 19 259 17028 15567 17 259 19 264 20 265 22 255 15567 14256 15 249 15*253 17*257 24 255 14256 13076 14 243 13*248 17*255 25 256 13076 12009 14 244 12 246 16 254 25 256 12009 11042 14 249 12 243 15 250 25 257 11042 10169 14 254 11 239 14 247 23 257 10169 9383 12 257 11 233 13 243 21 257 9383 8675 9*254 10 229 12 240 19 256 8675 8028 6*238 10 226 12 237 16 255 8028 7446 5 202 10 222 11 235 14 253 7446 6952 5 196 10 220 11 233 11 250 6952 6568 6 190 10 218 11 231 8 244 6568 6301 6 187 9 217 10 231 5 231 6301 6138 6 186 9 216 10 230 3*209 6138 6044 5 186 9 215 9 229 2*206 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography