DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 42.6 - - 46.8 - - 42.0 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -32 - - 188 - - 223 - - -22 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2242 - - 4168 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 7086 - - 8581 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 8110 - - 10036 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 275 - - 1338 - - 1889 - - 4664 - - 1713 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 317 - - 413 - - 14 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 26 - - 23 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 028 - - 009 - - 011 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -44 - - -37 - - -17 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4117 - - -5483 - - -6171 - - -8260 - - -5871 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10159 - - 13593 - - 16208 - - 14302 - - 11914 sfcLCL ODpotential -12573 - - -11779 - - -12359 - - -14615 - - -14257 ODpotential blCL 18615 - - 19889 - - 22395 - - 20657 - - 20299 blCL maxRH 29 - - 35 - - 34 - - 79 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 42.6 - - 46.8 - - 42.0 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.7 - - 4.5 - - -3.2 - - 0.8 - - 5.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.6 - - 41.2 - - 45.2 - - 42.9 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.3 - - 3.8 - - -3.7 - - 0.5 - - 4.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -32 - - 188 - - 223 - - -22 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 2242 - - 4168 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96521 30 058 31 068 38 063 31 058 37 073 96521 89497 34 078 28 077 34 075 39 066 44 073 89497 84035 34 075 28 083 24 080 33 073 46 074 84035 79459 24 075 24 077 19 084 26 071 39 066 79459 75465 21 058 22 068 17 082 15 068 27 050 75465 71913 16 049 15 073 15 066 13 064 19 048 71913 68671 18 035 13 061 8 038 12 056 15 050 68671 65658 14 328 13 024 15 025 12 053 15 023 65658 62858 19 325 18 318 17 350 19 021 21 013 62858 60153 20 316 33 350 34 347 29 001 22 355 60153 57325 28 326 45 337 41 329 39 331 32 332 57325 54390 43 322 50 326 46 331 40 329 37 321 54390 51594 56 317 56 316 54 326 51 333 37 332 51594 49079 64 311 59 309 61 316 58 323 54 346 49079 46828 64 308 59 309 61 309 60 316 70 337 46828 44798 63 308 59 317 58 311 59 318 74 328 44798 42952 62 314 58 324 58 324 57 326 72 322 42952 41262 64 324 66 333 62 333 66 332 69 318 41262 39703 70 328 73 333 70 335 66 328 60 332 39703 38254 77 326 74 328 72 333 56 335 60 344 38254 36904 76 322 71 327 68 333 64 352 62 348 36904 35621 72 325 69 330 66 335 76 355 65 349 35621 34347 68 325 70 330 67 333 77 347 66 351 34347 33060 61 324 70 327 71 330 72 334 70 356 33060 31761 56 328 68 322 74 327 66 328 73 000 31761 30430 55 333 67 319 74 325 68 328 73 359 30430 29051 56 332 67 320 71 326 65 327 72 356 29051 27626 58 328 67 324 67 329 63 333 70 353 27626 26155 59 328 64 331 63 332 62 339 70 352 26155 24644 58 331 59 336 59 334 61 343 69 352 24644 23094 55 334 52 337 54 333 58 343 69 352 23094 21502 51 333 49 335 49 331 53 339 67 351 21502 19863 47 330 48 334 46 328 49 335 63 351 19863 18208 45 332 46 336 46 330 47 332 55 350 18208 16625 42 337 42 339 45 336 46 335 47 346 16625 15191 39 343 39 341 44 342 46 340 41 342 15191 13912 35 350 35 344 41 348 43 345 37 341 13912 12768 33 358 33 350 36 354 39 350 34 340 12768 11739 31 004 32 358 31 001 33 355 32 340 11739 10811 30 009 32 005 26*006 28 002 30 341 10811 9974 29 014 33 012 25*007 25 007 28 343 9974 9222 30 020 34 019 25 008 23 010 24 346 9222 8546 31 026 33*023 24 009 21 010 20 350 8546 7929 31 032 30*026 24 009 21 011 16 356 7929 7374 29 036 29 027 23 009 20 011 13 006 7374 6904 26 036 27 028 22 009 18 011 10 014 6904 6540 22 033 26 028 21 010 17 012 8 018 6540 6286 17 027 24 029 19 010 14 012 6 018 6286 6131 12*023 22 029 18 010 12 011 4*020 6131 6042 7*019 16 030 14 010 8*011 3*016 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography