DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 95.8 - - 93.8 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 457 - - 475 - - 174 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 527 - - 8481 - - 14333 - - 13454 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 6028 - - 12320 - - 17169 - - 15689 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 6395 - - 14349 - - 20201 - - 19322 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4721 - - 3463 - - 1423 - - 2340 - - 8601 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 664 - - 801 - - 562 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 19 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 268 - - 284 - - 321 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 18 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 18 - - 98 - - 33 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -14113 - - -6705 - - -1466 - - -2445 - - -13118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 20509 - - 21055 - - 21668 - - 21768 - - 19164 sfcLCL ODpotential -19521 - - -10327 - - -3893 - - -5135 - - -17452 ODpotential blCL 25916 - - 24676 - - 24094 - - 24457 - - 23497 blCL maxRH 40 - - 40 - - 55 - - 43 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 95.8 - - 93.8 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 17.9 - - 19.9 - - 17.7 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.9 - - 87.6 - - 92.7 - - 92.1 - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 17.8 - - 19.8 - - 17.6 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 457 - - 475 - - 174 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 527 - - 8481 - - 14333 - - 13454 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99352 35 108 36 107 33 101 32 103 29 102 99352 91851 33 103 32 104 33 106 33 104 30 100 91851 86074 38 097 30 110 29 108 29 100 30 095 86074 81304 36 092 30 109 24 107 26 099 28 089 81304 77204 28 087 23 104 26 118 22 082 25 090 77204 73571 17 100 18 102 23 099 19 105 19 081 73571 70277 17 097 14 107 12 111 18 087 19 095 70277 67242 9 097 12 118 10 126 9 073 19 074 67242 64432 5 114 7 089 4 116 5 145 8 065 64432 61735 8 037 7 067 3 035 5 030 5 048 61735 58967 10 006 4 029 2 327 10 345 12 016 58967 56147 6 357 4 292 7 299 14 315 17 341 56147 53484 16 332 10 329 9 310 15 292 16 314 53484 51085 30 321 24 326 18 322 16 312 17 307 51085 48921 36 307 33 317 27 321 21 311 18 308 48921 46937 36 298 37 304 32 316 27 311 23 308 46937 45102 37 299 40 301 38 307 35 310 29 309 45102 43396 39 299 43 303 44 302 42 305 36 309 43396 41801 39 296 43 303 45 302 45 302 40 305 41801 40307 38 294 40 300 43 302 45 301 41 302 40307 38907 36 293 37 294 38 302 43 298 40 300 38907 37570 37 293 35 289 36 296 39 293 38 299 37570 36233 36 292 32 289 34 293 35 292 36 298 36233 34868 35 295 28 289 29 292 31 292 31 296 34868 33477 32 296 25 288 25 290 25 296 27 295 33477 32051 27 293 22 284 22 282 20 291 23 293 32051 30578 22 288 19 281 19 275 20 281 22 286 30578 29062 19 285 17 281 17 272 18 279 21 287 29062 27504 18 285 15 285 15 275 16 284 19 291 27504 25906 17 288 15 293 13 287 14 295 15 292 25906 24273 18 295 15 303 13 305 13 311 11 290 24273 22602 18 300 16 307 15 321 12 333 8 308 22602 20887 20 294 16 305 13*331 10*348 8 329 20887 19155 23 271 17 304 10*327 8*349 8 328 19155 17490 22 266 19 304 9 320 8 343 7 331 17490 15969 16 271 15 309 9 308 9 337 7 332 15969 14605 13 283 14*314 9 297 9 331 8 331 14605 13376 15 293 13*316 9 287 10 325 8 329 13376 12265 15 302 11 312 9 280 11 320 9 327 12265 11258 15 311 9 304 10 274 11 317 9 325 11258 10348 12 316 7 286 10 270 12 314 10 323 10348 9528 9 325 6 264 10 266 12 312 10 321 9528 8790 6 337 7 242 10 263 12 310 10 320 8790 8115 5 005 8 223 11 260 12 309 10 318 8115 7508 5 033 8 217 11 257 12 307 10 317 7508 6992 7 035 9 213 10 256 12 306 9 316 6992 6592 7*032 9 210 10 255 12 305 9 314 6592 6313 6*031 9 209 10 253 12 305 7 315 6313 6143 4 034 9 208 10 253 11 305 6*319 6143 6045 4 036 8 208 9 252 10 304 6*321 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography