DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.1 - - 42.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 131 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1103 - - 1417 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6323 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6971 - - 7285 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 683 - - 766 - - 1236 - - 640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 241 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 150 - - 267 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3400 - - -4488 - - -4322 - - -5168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10372 - - 11774 - - 10365 - - 11212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11788 - - -11600 - - -13066 - - -15226 ODpotential blCL - - - 18759 - - 18885 - - 19108 - - 21269 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 68 - - 85 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.1 - - 42.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.9 - - 19.2 - - 19.0 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 47.9 - - 46.8 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 18.9 - - 18.6 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 131 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1103 - - 1417 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 35 302 34 353 25 040 32 051 96248 89386 24 028 32 034 30 053 30 043 89386 83988 30 050 23 055 35 063 41 048 83988 79459 24 048 19 051 32 055 43 056 79459 75540 20 049 19 053 28 041 36 052 75540 72079 15 062 19 042 20 037 24 048 72079 68937 17 039 16 028 18 040 15 047 68937 66030 19 006 16 010 18 018 14 020 66030 63328 25 352 18 358 23 359 23 354 63328 60719 22 348 14 338 19 337 26 338 60719 57995 20 350 14 339 14 326 22 328 57995 55159 18 331 18 338 15 329 15 320 55159 52447 18 324 19 326 17 314 16 319 52447 49999 20 313 20 321 18 318 17 318 49999 47793 19 294 21 311 19 316 15 316 47793 45776 15 278 19 288 19 301 15 312 45776 43916 16 275 17 283 17 297 13 303 43916 42195 21 272 24 275 25 279 20 282 42195 40606 25 275 28 266 27 267 23 266 40606 39141 30 281 32 268 30 267 31 263 39141 37793 34 277 33 266 36 267 33 260 37793 36519 31 280 31 269 41 269 36 266 36519 35240 30 285 30 270 42 270 41 265 35240 33925 27 284 29 271 36 270 37 266 33925 32582 26 284 27 273 31 263 27 268 32582 31200 24 285 24 281 22 268 21 261 31200 29773 22 289 21 290 21 276 20 260 29773 28302 21 287 20 300 19 279 14 266 28302 26788 21 281 18 304 15 285 14 281 26788 25232 20 280 18 298 12 294 15 284 25232 23637 18 280 17 292 11 303 11 282 23637 21997 13 271 14 285 11 305 6 277 21997 20310 9 250 10 264 8 298 4 256 20310 18610 8 250 9 230 6 251 8 234 18610 16981 9 264 9 236 8 233 9 231 16981 15497 10 267 9 253 8 245 8 235 15497 14171 10 260 9 264 7 263 7 244 14171 12980 10 252 8 266 6 270 5 252 12980 11907 10 244 7 258 5 259 5 253 11907 10940 9 235 6 241 4 232 5 245 10940 10072 8 220 6 211 5 205 5 227 10072 9294 8 185 7 189 5 185 5 204 9294 8597 12 163 8 168 6 165 6 181 8597 7964 13 158 9 158 7 152 7 169 7964 7397 11*156 5*151 6 141 7 163 7397 6919 5*156 3*148 3 119 4 159 6919 6548 2 156 3 149 1 073 1 134 6548 6290 2 158 3 151 0 005 2 020 6290 6133 2 156 3 150 0 258 3*003 6133 6043 2 159 3 152 1*267 4*358 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography