DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 59.5 - - 62.9 - - 61.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 150 - - 497 - - 499 - - 159 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2298 - - 9911 - - 12630 - - 12776 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 7036 - - 13536 - - 15788 - - 15077 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 8166 - - 15779 - - 18498 - - 18644 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7214 - - 1730 - - 1275 - - 1547 - - 2843 Hgt.Variab. W* 298 - - 721 - - 783 - - 538 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 18 - - 25 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 023 - - 343 - - 345 - - 001 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 10 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - 21 - - -12 - - 21 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5525 - - 114 - - 1733 - - 1795 - - -8097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13692 - - 15665 - - 16766 - - 16850 - - 14141 sfcLCL ODpotential -7504 - - -1622 - - 550 - - 642 - - -10757 ODpotential blCL 15670 - - 17401 - - 17948 - - 18002 - - 16800 blCL maxRH 79 - - 59 - - 62 - - 89 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 59.5 - - 62.9 - - 61.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 11.3 - - 9.5 - - 8.2 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.7 - - 56.4 - - 59.9 - - 60.4 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 10.5 - - 8.6 - - 7.4 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 150 - - 497 - - 499 - - 159 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2298 - - 9911 - - 12630 - - 12776 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 56 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97433 14 250 22 226 27 265 15 256 21 265 97433 89980 13 256 14 223 13 248 12 273 12 266 89980 84298 4 244 7 232 16 220 17 271 11 290 84298 79627 12 341 7 301 14 195 12 269 11 293 79627 75618 24 296 14 318 4 253 9 256 14 257 75618 72063 14 271 15 286 9 266 16 285 10 288 72063 68831 10 290 22 274 19 290 23 283 17 301 68831 65859 15 290 23 276 23 280 24 281 24 293 65859 63111 17 301 12 278 20 287 21 279 23 288 63111 60442 25 302 14 303 21 287 19 286 25 289 60442 57642 35 292 21 302 27 291 26 286 28 288 57642 54733 39 287 30 299 33 287 32 287 29 290 54733 51951 38 286 37 292 38 286 35 292 35 290 51951 49437 35 283 39 283 39 286 40 293 35 293 49437 47177 29 282 36 282 36 285 42 291 37 294 47177 45126 28 292 33 280 35 289 41 294 40 293 45126 43252 31 293 31 282 41 297 42 296 38 294 43252 41528 36 292 38 290 42 298 42 298 36 305 41528 39933 43 288 44 290 41 304 37 299 36 311 39933 38455 41 284 46 284 49 301 34 298 39 306 38455 37075 33 291 41 279 50 288 34 296 31 298 37075 35762 40 294 35 284 42 276 31 291 25 309 35762 34458 44 284 38 291 34 278 22 299 22 319 34458 33138 44 284 46 289 38 291 15 312 11 354 33138 31810 48 288 50 283 43 290 9 332 13 046 31810 30460 46 287 50 279 39 282 9 006 17 059 30460 29074 42 282 45 279 30 274 10 017 12 069 29074 27652 40 278 33 280 18 273 9 041 12 110 27652 26193 39 283 21 284 8 265 7 065 16 127 26193 24696 34 298 8 284 3 267 7 066 12 123 24696 23162 22 312 4 276 4 341 7 070 8 120 23162 21589 13 290 7 298 6 354 5 090 6 135 21589 19973 12 292 11 318 6*340 4*078 10 122 19973 18345 19 299 14 316 5*343 4*042 11 088 18345 16783 21 294 13*307 5 346 4 034 12 073 16783 15356 15 280 10*303 5 348 4 029 11 072 15356 14076 12 269 8 305 5 347 5 016 10 070 14076 12924 10 272 7 315 5 348 6 005 11 066 12924 11880 9 290 6 326 6 347 7 358 12 060 11880 10935 8 317 6 344 6 347 8 355 13 052 10935 10080 9 348 8 357 6 346 9 353 14 043 10080 9312 13 008 9 001 6 345 10 352 15 033 9312 8618 15*016 9 004 7 343 10 351 17 023 8618 7985 17*021 10 006 7 342 10 350 18 014 7985 7415 17 022 10 007 7 341 10 349 19 009 7415 6932 17 023 10 008 7 340 10 349 19 006 6932 6556 16 023 10 008 6 340 10 349 17 006 6556 6295 15 024 9 008 6 340 10 348 14 006 6295 6135 14 025 9 009 6 340 10 348 11*006 6135 6043 11 026 8 009 6 339 9 348 7*005 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography