DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - - - - 33.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 363 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4225 - - 8122 - - - - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8784 - - 11919 - - - - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10093 - - 13990 - - - - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6586 - - 5493 - - - - - 1977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 473 - - 607 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 18 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 330 - - - - - 000 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -39 - - -30 - - - - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 519 - - 2096 - - - - - -936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9574 - - 11895 - - - - - 6978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1332 - - 297 - - - - - -3866 ODpotential blCL - - - 11425 - - 13693 - - - - - 9908 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 84 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 160 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - - - - 33.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 12.4 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 41.4 - - - - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 12.1 - - - - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 330 - - 363 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4225 - - 8122 - - - - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 36 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 28 276 32 274 35 279 96166 89103 17 279 15 273 18 316 89103 83662 12 268 13 292 14 318 83662 79134 10 262 12 287 15 292 79134 75232 8 273 5 298 10 278 75232 71779 10 303 7 275 13 323 71779 68630 10 292 12 270 13 292 68630 65709 16 249 21 267 13 277 65709 62981 24 244 25 257 21 287 62981 60320 28 232 33 236 29 254 60320 57518 34 226 34 229 29 241 57518 54580 41 237 39 237 28 248 54580 51750 48 239 45 238 33 246 51750 49183 46 234 46 239 34 243 49183 46877 42 238 47 244 31 243 46877 44786 44 235 44 242 31 244 44786 42874 44 232 39 238 30 238 42874 41107 39 238 35 237 21 230 41107 39466 37 240 33 242 12 231 39466 37936 34 234 34 247 15 260 37936 36511 37 230 35 253 21 274 36511 35161 34 223 36 248 23 278 35161 33826 26 218 35 242 17 283 33826 32480 21 228 25 251 15 288 32480 31127 21 245 20 277 17 267 31127 29756 17 274 15 279 20 252 29756 28364 13 271 18 281 13 254 28364 26955 15 255 21 281 6 278 26955 25526 12 262 20 298 6 098 25526 24073 19 299 21 309 20 065 24073 22592 20 316 13 335 22 044 22592 21073 18 325 15 021 18 031 21073 19508 14 336 17 031 17 025 19508 17925 16 352 16 023 12 031 17925 16405 19 353 15 018 7 044 16405 15021 20 352 14*011 4 030 15021 13782 20 350 14*357 3 038 13782 12668 20 349 15 345 3 059 12668 11661 20 349 17 335 4 026 11661 10749 20*349 19 328 7 002 10749 9925 20*349 20 327 13 357 9925 9183 20 348 20 326 18 359 9183 8515 20 348 20 325 23 002 8515 7906 20 347 20 324 27 005 7906 7358 20 346 20 323 29 005 7358 6895 20 346 19 322 28 004 6895 6534 19 345 19 321 25 003 6534 6283 18 345 18 321 20 002 6283 6130 17 345 17 320 17*001 6130 6042 14 345 15 320 10*000 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography