DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.9 - - 88.7 - - 94.9 - - 94.1 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 168 - - 488 - - 510 - - 174 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2261 - - 4599 - - 12994 - - 12815 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit 7052 - - 9210 - - 16096 - - 15180 - - 6029 Hcrit BL Top 8129 - - 10467 - - 18862 - - 18683 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1328 - - 4750 - - 3276 - - 3128 - - 12759 Hgt.Variab. W* 306 - - 553 - - 793 - - 553 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 35 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 150 - - 159 - - 157 - - 114 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 18 - - 17 - - -16 - - -17 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4637 - - -5055 - - 759 - - -109 - - -11010 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12767 - - 15522 - - 18104 - - 18793 - - 17056 sfcLCL ODpotential -8801 - - -7188 - - -1111 - - -1461 - - -13766 ODpotential blCL 16930 - - 17655 - - 19973 - - 20144 - - 19811 blCL maxRH 45 - - 53 - - 43 - - 90 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 190 - - 180 - - 100 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 78.9 - - 88.7 - - 94.9 - - 94.1 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.0 - - 41.3 - - 35.6 - - 31.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.2 - - 85.4 - - 91.4 - - 92.3 - - 89.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 41.2 - - 35.5 - - 31.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 168 - - 488 - - 510 - - 174 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2261 - - 4599 - - 12994 - - 12815 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99469 37 110 38 104 36 092 32 096 32 096 99469 91901 38 093 34 093 29 104 29 092 30 093 91901 86077 34 082 26 101 31 096 26 094 24 088 86077 81281 26 081 23 102 29 092 24 091 22 095 81281 77166 25 088 24 099 19 104 20 088 24 091 77166 73532 23 107 25 094 16 110 17 092 23 095 73532 70251 20 111 22 099 20 105 18 100 22 095 70251 67250 17 119 16 116 20 104 18 113 17 112 67250 64494 17 114 15 129 17 120 19 119 19 124 64494 61856 12 115 16 131 17 156 18 128 18 133 61856 59141 6 150 16 135 17 170 12 158 16 141 59141 56357 5 130 15 147 17 161 12 171 12 149 56357 53711 12 159 19 157 22 163 19 153 15 157 53711 51327 23 168 26 155 26 167 23 155 21 157 51327 49178 23 155 30 143 29 151 30 155 30 161 49178 47209 14 142 23 134 28 136 31 146 40 157 47209 45383 18 143 18 131 27 131 30 140 38 146 45383 43677 22 140 18 141 22 134 25 141 32 140 43677 42077 18 150 16 156 13 142 21 150 23 148 42077 40571 13 160 13 162 7 184 20 164 19 170 40571 39152 8 141 9 140 9 192 13 162 17 178 39152 37792 6 070 7 131 13 178 11 162 16 169 37792 36428 15 090 15 116 15 164 11 187 13 157 36428 35035 24 089 23 091 17 128 11 196 7 186 35035 33617 23 072 24 089 19 106 14 165 11 222 33617 32164 21 058 23 084 18 103 19 136 13 179 32164 30665 22 060 22 075 19 096 18 120 18 154 30665 29126 18 065 22 071 20 093 14 117 17 140 29126 27550 15 055 23 079 18 101 14 126 14 134 27550 25950 18 056 24 096 16 113 16 124 11 118 25950 24323 15 072 22 105 16 117 15 114 17 109 24323 22654 13 053 19 106 16 110 11 101 17 116 22654 20935 13 039 8 099 15 102 9 092 15 115 20935 19197 10 071 5 113 12*093 6*073 12 094 19197 17526 13 096 7 091 6*090 4*069 9 075 17526 15999 9 092 5 048 4 099 3 076 7 068 15999 14630 4 155 3 334 4 106 3 084 6 067 14630 13396 11 162 4 219 3 113 3 097 5 076 13396 12281 16 163 7 186 3 145 4 108 4 099 12281 11271 16 168 8*165 4 169 4 121 5 127 11271 10358 13 171 9*158 5 178 4 127 5 146 10358 9537 11 172 9 157 6 182 5 131 6 155 9537 8796 11*164 9 158 6 184 5 133 7 161 8796 8120 13*153 9 159 7 185 5 135 8 166 8120 7511 13 151 9 159 7 187 5 134 8 169 7511 6996 12 150 9 161 7 187 6 136 8 171 6996 6593 11 150 9 161 8 188 5 136 8 173 6593 6314 10 149 9 161 7 187 6 137 8 173 6314 6144 10 149 8 162 7 187 5 136 6 173 6144 6045 9 150 8 163 7 187 5 137 4*172 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography