DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 74.8 - - 79.0 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 201 - - 37 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3177 - - 4102 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7900 - - 8525 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9045 - - 9970 - - 6045 - - 6045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3950 - - 5735 - - 13253 - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 399 - - 409 - - 81 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 226 - - 226 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 18 - - 16 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1009 - - 325 - - -7521 - - -6222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10054 - - 9646 - - 13567 - - 12268 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2805 - - -1885 - - -8963 - - -9443 ODpotential blCL - - - 11850 - - 11855 - - 15008 - - 15488 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 66 - - 86 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 1200 - - 280 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 74.8 - - 79.0 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 53.0 - - 40.3 - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 73.4 - - 78.8 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 52.2 - - 39.9 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 201 - - 37 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3177 - - 4102 - - 177 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 0 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98944 15 124 15 114 9 118 8 042 98944 91516 16 117 12 078 19 095 12 094 91516 85795 15 102 10 066 15 073 15 098 85795 81050 22 097 13 108 9 051 18 069 81050 76964 20 102 14 105 7 105 14 065 76964 73345 13 075 11 110 9 072 13 077 73345 70072 8 057 9 110 3 107 6 083 70072 67058 4 033 6 124 7 100 7 079 67058 64250 9 213 9 211 9 168 9 192 64250 61550 18 184 18 197 12 249 17 227 61550 58782 28 232 26 229 22 238 11 258 58782 55928 42 241 30 241 25 248 28 268 55928 53199 58 243 49 245 50 247 51 244 53199 50746 67 243 69 243 65 249 64 244 50746 48549 78 242 83 240 80 248 81 245 48549 46557 84 238 91 236 90 243 90 242 46557 44724 85 237 94 235 96 238 86 242 44724 43023 87 241 94 237 96 237 79 246 43023 41434 88 245 93 238 93 238 74 249 41434 39945 87 245 90 234 90 238 68 251 39945 38552 83 240 88 231 89 238 60 252 38552 37220 80 235 87 232 91 237 56 253 37220 35885 79 234 85 236 91 236 55 254 35885 34520 78 235 82 240 88 236 55 254 34520 33131 77 239 78 243 83 239 55 253 33131 31707 76 242 73 243 73 242 55 252 31707 30238 74 243 68 242 65 244 53 251 30238 28726 69 241 64 241 60 245 51 252 28726 27174 63 240 60 242 56 247 49 253 27174 25585 58 240 54 244 54 250 48 252 25585 23960 52 242 48 245 50 252 46 251 23960 22297 44 240 43 246 46 252 43 251 22297 20592 40 237 36 242 40 244 37 248 20592 18880 39 235 32 237 30 232 32 237 18880 17246 38 235 32 232 27 227 27 221 17246 15759 35 232 32 230 26 226 27 218 15759 14425 33 228 32 230 25 226 26 224 14425 13223 31 227 30 231 25 226 26 228 13223 12135 30 227 28 231 24 227 26 230 12135 11149 28 227 24 230 22 227 26 231 11149 10258 25 225 22*229 22 228 26 232 10258 9456 22*220 19*225 21 228 26 232 9456 8733 19*213 17 224 20 228 26 233 8733 8072 15 205 16 225 19 228 26 233 8072 7477 13 202 15 226 19 228 25 232 7477 6972 13 203 14 227 18 228 23 231 6972 6580 12 203 13 228 18 228 19 227 6580 6307 12 203 12 229 16 228 15 222 6307 6140 11 204 12 229 15*228 11*219 6140 6045 10 204 10 229 12*226 6*217 6045 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography