DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 59.0 - - 68.2 - - 71.2 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 81 - - 408 - - 408 - - 85 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1124 - - 2797 - - 4328 - - 5841 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 7744 - - 8937 - - 9207 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6992 - - 8665 - - 10196 - - 11709 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 915 - - 823 - - 2197 - - 5046 - - 6042 Hgt.Variab. W* 190 - - 441 - - 511 - - 336 - - 5 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 166 - - 197 - - 234 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 25 - - 20 - - 19 - - 13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2723 - - -3864 - - -4868 - - -4775 - - -8248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9715 - - 12530 - - 15065 - - 16485 - - 14293 sfcLCL ODpotential -10609 - - -8993 - - -8376 - - -7464 - - -12361 ODpotential blCL 17601 - - 17658 - - 18572 - - 19173 - - 18405 blCL maxRH 79 - - 76 - - 74 - - 69 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 59.0 - - 68.2 - - 71.2 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 25.4 - - 23.0 - - 19.6 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 56.3 - - 65.5 - - 70.3 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 25.1 - - 22.6 - - 19.1 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 81 - - 408 - - 408 - - 85 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1124 - - 2797 - - 4328 - - 5841 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96408 38 289 37 279 32 286 32 271 48 272 96408 89124 23 296 29 283 30 288 32 284 43 300 89124 83605 27 298 22 283 29 284 35 288 38 304 83605 79061 31 296 22 285 30 290 30 294 31 295 79061 75161 26 297 22 286 28 293 25 307 26 303 75161 71716 18 304 20 289 26 292 26 304 26 322 71716 68578 15 304 19 293 22 282 22 303 23 315 68578 65688 14 320 15 291 18 270 21 297 16 308 65688 63034 21 310 15 286 16 261 20 285 14 290 63034 60488 31 295 23 292 16 290 13 297 9 315 60488 57808 36 279 29 283 25 282 20 288 22 295 57808 54994 38 274 35 272 32 268 34 263 42 267 54994 52299 40 272 37 264 40 260 42 261 47 257 52299 49853 41 270 40 262 44 256 47 259 51 255 49853 47637 42 266 40 263 45 252 50 253 54 252 47637 45611 44 262 40 263 48 253 50 251 51 251 45611 43753 47 258 42 259 51 258 48 253 43 253 43753 42046 48 253 47 254 52 257 49 257 37 262 42046 40472 50 249 54 246 54 252 52 259 43 272 40472 39020 53 252 59 241 58 243 51 259 53 268 39020 37674 52 255 58 242 58 240 49 258 54 263 37674 36391 48 252 55 244 56 242 49 257 53 261 36391 35106 48 251 52 244 53 246 52 255 52 259 35106 33792 41 249 49 245 50 251 51 255 53 259 33792 32453 32 246 42 248 46 254 48 256 52 261 32453 31079 28 245 36 247 42 257 45 257 45 264 31079 29663 28 242 33 244 39 260 41 259 38 264 29663 28205 30 244 35 243 37 261 37 263 34 261 28205 26707 31 253 35 241 35 258 34 266 30 258 26707 25171 29 260 31 244 31 255 32 267 27 261 25171 23600 26 262 24 253 27 256 31 265 27 266 23600 21986 24 261 21 262 26 260 29 267 25 269 21986 20326 25 256 23 264 28 262 28 271 25 272 20326 18648 26 252 28 261 31 262 28 272 27 271 18648 17041 27 252 33 257 33 259 29 263 29 262 17041 15578 27 250 35 254 34 255 27 250 27 255 15578 14267 26 243 33 252 34 252 26 246 25 252 14267 13086 25 240 29 248 32 248 25 245 22 252 13086 12018 24 240 26 239 27 241 23*245 19 252 12018 11051 23 241 24 233 22*233 20*243 17 253 11051 10176 18 228 21 225 15*220 18 241 14 255 10176 9389 12 201 14*203 12 203 15 237 12 258 9389 8679 17 169 11*173 11 196 12 233 11 261 8679 8031 24 153 11 166 11 193 11 230 10 266 8031 7448 23*152 11 166 10 192 10 227 9 271 7448 6954 16*153 11 165 10 190 10 226 8 275 6954 6569 12 153 11 165 10 189 9 225 6 276 6569 6301 10 153 10 165 10 188 9 224 3 284 6301 6138 10 153 10 165 9 188 9 223 1*325 6138 6044 8 154 9 165 9 188 8 223 2*352 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography