DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 37.7 - - 34.7 - - 26.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 193 - - 2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1959 - - 2747 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6498 - - 7467 - - 6025 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7827 - - 8615 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2583 - - 3042 - - 4975 - - 976 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 344 - - 33 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 353 - - 003 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -26 - - -31 - - -24 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 353 - - -61 - - -3332 - - -1489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7475 - - 8677 - - 9375 - - 7530 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2029 - - -2099 - - -5437 - - -5643 ODpotential blCL - - - 9856 - - 10714 - - 11479 - - 11684 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 91 - - 58 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 37.7 - - 34.7 - - 26.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 20.8 - - 14.8 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 36.2 - - 34.4 - - 29.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 20.3 - - 14.6 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 193 - - 2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1959 - - 2747 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94874 86 264 86 269 83 269 98 260 94874 88093 52 277 59 274 66 285 68 278 88093 82878 31 272 44 277 52 283 45 296 82878 78500 22 270 35 273 36 262 31 293 78500 74647 24 288 29 283 30 270 30 296 74647 71196 27 292 27 286 35 296 34 299 71196 68075 23 282 28 276 35 293 36 299 68075 65206 25 273 27 253 32 279 34 289 65206 62526 27 275 28 267 37 279 35 277 62526 59906 34 281 40 284 42 280 40 271 59906 57144 38 275 44 280 43 276 44 276 57144 54253 38 269 43 274 47 279 53 278 54253 51473 41 274 46 274 51 275 57 274 51473 48950 49 272 50 269 50 270 54 270 48950 46669 50 269 49 267 49 271 50 275 46669 44590 51 276 48 273 50 274 48 275 44590 42677 53 278 49 278 51 274 45 276 42677 40904 52 277 52 280 50 274 46 281 40904 39253 53 279 55 282 50 277 51 283 39253 37715 58 274 61 278 52 280 55 277 37715 36285 64 265 69 268 53 277 49 268 36285 34933 61 262 64 263 54 272 42 270 34933 33600 59 260 62 262 60 269 43 277 33600 32263 66 253 65 256 64 264 43 278 32263 30927 72 242 68 247 63 258 42 273 30927 29578 77 237 66 243 58 255 39 274 29578 28204 75 238 61 245 48 260 36 278 28204 26806 69 243 56 251 45 270 32 282 26806 25378 62 249 51 259 48 276 31 284 25378 23921 53 255 46 270 47 277 30 284 23921 22436 47 260 46 277 43 278 28 289 22436 20917 40 267 44 281 35 281 24 300 20917 19360 32 272 38 284 27 288 21 312 19360 17791 29 271 29 285 21 294 18 320 17791 16286 26 274 25 286 18 299 16 329 16286 14915 21 281 22 291 15 306 18 340 14915 13687 18 287 19 293 13 321 21 346 13687 12583 16 291 15 295 14 335 24 352 12583 11587 14 295 12 304 16 347 25 357 11587 10687 12 304 12 320 19 354 27 001 10687 9876 12 319 12 334 22 358 28 003 9876 9146 12 333 14*345 23 359 29 003 9146 8488 13 342 16*350 24 000 29 004 8488 7887 14*347 16 352 24 001 28 006 7887 7346 14*349 17 353 23 001 26 009 7346 6887 14 349 17 354 22 002 23 011 6887 6529 13 350 16 354 20 002 19 012 6529 6281 13 350 15 355 18 002 15 011 6281 6129 12 350 14 355 16*003 11 011 6129 6041 9 350 12 355 12*003 6*007 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography