DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 75.8 - - 75.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 330 - - 48 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1603 - - 2862 - - 1731 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6754 - - 7735 - - 6028 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7471 - - 8730 - - 7599 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1063 - - 2627 - - 3531 - - 598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 415 - - 187 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 14 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 228 - - 230 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10533 - - -11175 - - -11823 - - -11376 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18005 - - 19906 - - 19423 - - 17421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17738 - - -16877 - - -17315 - - -18684 ODpotential blCL - - - 25209 - - 25607 - - 24914 - - 24728 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 48 - - 48 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 75.8 - - 75.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 9.1 - - 10.7 - - 10.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 73.2 - - 74.2 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.8 - - 8.2 - - 10.0 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 330 - - 48 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1603 - - 2862 - - 1731 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 18 272 25 271 15 302 23 296 96646 89492 10 210 13 270 17 275 20 346 89492 83996 6 185 6 218 12 269 15 348 83996 79459 3 132 4 188 1 229 5 341 79459 75558 4 081 2 216 4 029 7 359 75558 72104 1 205 4 183 2 309 5 347 72104 68959 7 297 8 309 7 331 1 198 68959 66050 10 322 14 320 19 337 15 342 66050 63383 18 354 19 333 24 333 30 333 63383 60853 24 351 17 344 18 334 29 335 60853 58225 21 353 17 346 16 338 22 331 58225 55477 19 340 20 337 18 327 19 318 55477 52833 24 323 25 328 23 322 23 324 52833 50438 28 321 29 323 29 323 29 331 50438 48275 29 325 30 320 32 320 30 325 48275 46307 35 327 36 318 35 317 32 312 46307 44512 39 318 42 310 42 317 36 310 44512 42860 37 304 43 300 43 309 42 313 42860 41319 33 299 41 297 41 299 45 308 41319 39872 35 300 41 298 41 295 47 302 39872 38512 39 301 41 298 41 294 49 301 38512 37208 40 303 42 300 43 295 51 300 37208 35900 40 305 43 302 47 298 53 301 35900 34558 40 306 43 304 50 300 51 305 34558 33187 41 306 44 307 51 303 48 309 33187 31775 42 307 43 309 50 307 46 312 31775 30314 41 309 40 312 48 310 44 310 30314 28810 38 311 37 314 44 310 41 307 28810 27264 35 310 34 312 41 311 38 307 27264 25679 32 308 34 309 41 312 35 311 25679 24056 33 306 36 306 39 313 33 315 24056 22390 35 304 37 303 38 310 32 316 22390 20674 36 305 38 302 37 306 31 316 20674 18941 34 305 36 300 35 303 30 315 18941 17280 31 304 34 299 31 304 26 316 17280 15769 28 302 31 300 27 309 22 320 15769 14419 23 302 28 302 23 318 18 328 14419 13206 18 302 23 305 18 327 16 336 13206 12111 12 303 16 312 13 331 13 342 12111 11122 7 308 9 316 12 331 10 342 11122 10229 4 321 7 314 10 323 8 335 10229 9428 3 341 5*296 8 309 7 328 9428 8707 2 348 4*259 7 284 6 322 8707 8050 1*332 5 241 7*253 6 319 8050 7460 1*250 6 227 7*237 5 319 7460 6960 2 212 6 224 7 231 5 324 6960 6572 3 205 6 219 7 228 4 337 6572 6303 4 200 7 217 7 227 4 350 6303 6138 4 200 7 217 7 226 4*357 6138 6044 4 198 6 216 6 226 4*360 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography