DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 75.3 - - 74.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 269 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2813 - - 8128 - - 389 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7669 - - 11762 - - 6028 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8681 - - 13996 - - 6257 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5198 - - 1777 - - 9816 - - 10003 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 549 - - 89 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 202 - - 185 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2322 - - 915 - - -6913 - - -5237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11003 - - 13081 - - 13171 - - 11282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3977 - - -291 - - -8588 - - -8217 ODpotential blCL - - - 12658 - - 14287 - - 14845 - - 14261 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 92 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 40 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 75.3 - - 74.4 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 38.6 - - 37.5 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 73.1 - - 74.0 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 38.5 - - 37.3 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 269 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2813 - - 8128 - - 389 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 67 - - 49 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98332 4 221 2 211 8 248 11 314 98332 90990 2 317 1 333 0 161 5 253 90990 85297 2 277 3 061 7 033 2 305 85297 80552 2 020 5 046 7 018 7 016 80552 76462 5 047 5 025 4 354 9 022 76462 72865 8 053 2 051 6 003 14 017 72865 69648 6 355 6 047 3 049 7 010 69648 66714 4 271 4 330 5 349 8 011 66714 64002 8 287 9 297 11 302 11 311 64002 61374 18 269 16 268 14 273 19 285 61374 58632 13 275 20 273 21 272 24 263 58632 55797 27 272 30 273 29 266 29 273 55797 53107 43 271 41 272 38 274 38 268 53107 50688 56 265 53 268 50 273 48 260 50688 48507 58 264 61 263 62 275 53 275 48507 46520 66 269 70 271 84 277 84 278 46520 44696 77 271 88 273 105 273 110 272 44696 42998 83 271 97 270 109 268 109 267 42998 41400 86 270 99 267 110 264 108 263 41400 39893 86 268 101 265 107 262 106 260 39893 38477 77 266 93 264 98 260 101 259 38477 37128 70 264 83 262 91 257 88 259 37128 35789 75 263 71 258 83 254 73 256 35789 34429 72 262 62 249 71 254 60 247 34429 33044 64 264 59 244 60 251 54 244 33044 31620 55 266 61 253 58 248 52 250 31620 30149 43 262 51 263 58 254 46 259 30149 28635 35 262 34 252 55 264 38 260 28635 27081 30 266 31 235 37 270 31 259 27081 25490 25 260 25 231 28 261 30 249 25490 23867 24 251 24 231 27 249 31 239 23867 22205 20 247 25 231 29 242 32 236 22205 20500 18 243 24 236 26 234 28 239 20500 18786 12 228 22 237 23 223 23 228 18786 17154 8 222 16 226 20 225 22 203 17154 15677 8 227 10 215 18 214 22 190 15677 14356 11 220 10*209 17 203 20 196 14356 13165 12 210 9*207 17 199 18 207 13165 12087 12 199 9 206 15 198 17 209 12087 11109 11 190 9 206 12 195 16 205 11109 10225 11 188 9 203 10 192 14 199 10225 9430 10 183 9 201 9 190 12 191 9430 8712 8*172 9 200 8 189 11 182 8712 8057 7*164 9 199 8 187 10 172 8057 7467 6 161 9 198 7 186 9 162 7467 6966 6 159 9 197 7 186 8 155 6966 6576 6 160 9 197 7 187 6 145 6576 6305 6 158 8 196 6*185 4 129 6305 6140 5 159 8 197 6*185 3 098 6140 6044 5 159 8 196 5 185 3*082 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography