DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 54.4 - - - - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 189 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2600 - - 4316 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7288 - - 8613 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8468 - - 10184 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1660 - - 3487 - - - - - 1843 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 319 - - 395 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 212 - - - - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 17 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -883 - - -857 - - - - - -2142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9352 - - 11042 - - - - - 8186 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3209 - - -2268 - - - - - -5858 ODpotential blCL - - - 11677 - - 12452 - - - - - 11901 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 90 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 54.4 - - - - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 27.1 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 52.8 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 26.9 - - - - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 189 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2600 - - 4316 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 61 - - - - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96525 26 075 22 081 12 037 96525 89485 22 079 20 085 18 053 89485 83996 22 099 20 090 15 074 83996 79380 20 112 22 067 19 072 79380 75387 14 087 14 062 11 055 75387 71863 12 029 13 085 9 056 71863 68674 11 001 7 109 6 005 68674 65748 10 301 4 310 6 298 65748 63033 17 240 13 263 5 272 63033 60402 17 226 19 249 18 229 60402 57651 18 264 21 259 17 252 57651 54780 40 262 39 258 50 254 54780 52032 48 255 53 251 60 240 52032 49551 62 262 69 260 44 244 49551 47320 89 262 99 264 64 264 47320 45301 104 256 123 257 99 262 45301 43464 110 250 128 247 119 252 43464 41777 112 249 120 244 127 242 41777 40220 116 250 115 247 120 239 40220 38778 119 250 117 246 115 243 38778 37432 119 249 118 243 118 244 37432 36140 116 249 119 242 117 243 36140 34840 116 249 117 244 115 245 34840 33509 117 249 114 247 114 246 33509 32151 113 250 111 249 111 247 32151 30758 105 252 107 251 104 248 30758 29324 100 256 101 253 91 248 29324 27855 94 259 91 255 79 249 27855 26349 80 257 78 258 68 248 26349 24812 65 252 64 260 56 246 24812 23246 56 245 55 257 51 247 23246 21645 49 243 52 252 48 250 21645 20003 45 245 53 248 47 252 20003 18347 43 246 50 242 48 250 18347 16762 41 243 41 234 47 246 16762 15322 37 235 36 228 42 236 15322 14036 34 224 33 226 37 225 14036 12881 33 219 30 225 31 219 12881 11839 31 220 25 223 25 217 11839 10897 27 226 20*222 21 216 10897 10047 22 234 16*222 16 216 10047 9282 17 239 12 217 13 221 9282 8593 13*237 11 213 10 230 8593 7965 11*235 11 211 6 236 7965 7400 9 229 10 209 3 222 7400 6922 7 211 10 208 2 123 6922 6550 6 206 10 207 4 096 6550 6291 6 204 10 207 5 082 6291 6134 6 203 9 207 5*064 6134 6043 5 201 9 206 5*054 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography