DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 48.0 - - 45.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 52 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 1565 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6042 - - 7433 - - 6042 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2397 - - 2948 - - 3354 - - 4737 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 191 - - 14 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 17 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 155 - - 082 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -416 - - 352 - - -54 - - -360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6458 - - 7081 - - 6096 - - 6404 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2561 - - -1843 - - -2783 - - -3212 ODpotential blCL - - - 8603 - - 9276 - - 8825 - - 9255 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 70 - - 130 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 48.0 - - 45.0 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 38.0 - - 39.1 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 47.4 - - 47.4 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.5 - - 36.8 - - 38.0 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 52 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 174 - - 1565 - - 174 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 63 - - 67 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 17 262 11 326 12 335 19 350 96535 89511 3 012 6 030 8 315 13 000 89511 84056 9 026 2 027 5 338 7 014 84056 79490 6 037 1 353 7 039 5 035 79490 75528 4 112 4 069 6 042 5 030 75528 72007 4 091 4 100 6 055 2 325 72007 68808 2 035 1 027 6 352 2 330 68808 65862 5 299 6 320 10 306 3 291 65862 63130 12 292 12 301 13 280 9 287 63130 60483 19 293 15 275 15 263 15 279 60483 57714 21 274 16 273 13 253 19 272 57714 54823 24 270 18 273 15 255 19 266 54823 52050 26 249 21 265 19 267 16 266 52050 49551 25 237 26 252 21 271 13 272 49551 47305 27 240 29 247 24 260 14 278 47305 45256 28 229 37 230 28 246 18 266 45256 43371 26 235 32 227 34 245 17 249 43371 41631 36 243 40 235 43 237 26 251 41631 40015 51 237 49 235 45 228 43 241 40015 38509 60 236 58 233 45 227 47 226 38509 37113 64 233 64 229 48 231 43 226 37113 35791 65 230 65 226 57 230 48 228 35791 34481 65 226 62 224 58 226 55 225 34481 33157 63 222 60 225 56 226 59 223 33157 31825 60 220 60 224 59 226 67 218 31825 30471 57 220 58 223 65 225 74 214 30471 29078 52 218 53 221 65 224 71 211 29078 27644 49 214 48 219 61 223 65 214 27644 26169 45 212 45 216 52 219 57 217 26169 24657 43 213 43 213 44 216 45 214 24657 23112 43 213 39 211 37 215 37 212 23112 21529 41 213 34 209 33 213 33 215 21529 19903 37 211 33 209 33 210 32 214 19903 18264 30 208 32 209 34 207 38 209 18264 16695 25 205 31 207 35 204 38 197 16695 15267 23 197 26 209 32 202 35 184 15267 13989 22 184 21 205 29 200 30 173 13989 12842 24 179 21 194 27 195 24 163 12842 11807 25 176 23 185 26 190 20 161 11807 10873 25 176 20 177 24 188 18 165 10873 10031 21 184 17 169 21 185 15 170 10031 9273 19 196 15 162 16 174 14 178 9273 8589 16 195 13 159 14 157 13 187 8589 7963 13 175 9*158 14 149 12 193 7963 7400 12 159 4*157 13 142 10 198 7400 6922 11 151 2 153 9 133 7 201 6922 6550 7 140 2 154 7 119 4 196 6550 6292 6 134 1 154 5 102 1 156 6292 6134 5 134 1 156 5 087 2*024 6134 6043 5*135 1 158 4*082 2*016 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography