DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.2 - - 72.6 - - 78.0 - - 78.1 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 356 - - 382 - - 58 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 3177 - - 7785 - - 7583 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 7997 - - 11670 - - 10059 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 9045 - - 13653 - - 13451 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1242 - - 4221 - - 2029 - - 4748 - - 3626 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 440 - - 608 - - 323 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 025 - - 213 - - 238 - - 264 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 13 - - 18 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6027 - - -5234 - - -3481 - - -5777 - - -10939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12072 - - 14280 - - 17134 - - 19229 - - 16984 sfcLCL ODpotential -10421 - - -9063 - - -6251 - - -8469 - - -15594 ODpotential blCL 16465 - - 18108 - - 19904 - - 21920 - - 21638 blCL maxRH 62 - - 45 - - 46 - - 52 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.2 - - 72.6 - - 78.0 - - 78.1 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 30.9 - - 23.4 - - 14.0 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 70.0 - - 75.4 - - 77.2 - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 30.6 - - 23.1 - - 13.7 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 356 - - 382 - - 58 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 3177 - - 7785 - - 7583 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98190 12 087 15 125 12 123 8 098 4 164 98190 90852 10 080 8 103 13 125 5 164 6 114 90852 85183 8 105 9 119 14 131 4 192 9 088 85183 80472 10 127 4 087 8 126 7 086 11 073 80472 76423 11 091 4 096 7 109 10 087 10 057 76423 72863 11 092 12 113 8 105 10 075 10 085 72863 69640 9 073 14 116 10 117 7 069 15 097 69640 66666 8 063 14 097 16 119 5 144 11 053 66666 63919 4 097 6 042 15 072 14 127 7 075 63919 61276 6 128 5 214 9 004 17 044 11 092 61276 58522 13 042 3 104 2 347 12 350 13 024 58522 55675 16 323 8 014 6 073 4 273 10 347 55675 52965 15 276 22 296 17 312 11 307 15 323 52965 50511 31 312 26 295 29 294 30 291 28 290 50511 48299 46 299 39 301 42 297 40 300 38 294 48299 46284 53 293 46 290 55 296 52 301 46 300 46284 44434 61 291 55 287 64 289 63 293 58 306 44434 42719 66 292 61 286 66 287 67 286 68 299 42719 41124 68 295 60 290 65 288 68 286 73 293 41124 39640 72 296 64 295 65 290 70 288 74 291 39640 38256 73 289 68 291 66 290 71 289 72 290 38256 36935 66 282 67 282 68 287 72 291 68 293 36935 35613 62 282 61 277 68 283 73 292 66 297 35613 34260 59 284 57 279 64 280 72 291 64 298 34260 32884 57 286 56 280 61 280 66 287 60 295 32884 31478 54 289 55 281 59 281 59 282 55 290 31478 30031 51 291 52 284 56 281 55 280 50 286 30031 28545 47 289 47 286 50 280 51 281 43 287 28545 27020 44 287 42 283 44 278 47 285 32 298 27020 25458 40 285 39 279 40 276 42 286 24 311 25458 23862 34 282 33 276 35 276 36 287 20 317 23862 22223 27 276 29 271 30 274 29 289 21 317 22223 20539 20 266 26 266 25 271 23 289 23 308 20539 18842 17 253 21 259 22 276 18 291 21 302 18842 17212 21 234 19 250 21 280 14 292 17 302 17212 15725 25 224 18 254 20 278 12 286 14 301 15725 14390 21 217 18 260 15*264 11*281 12 300 14390 13187 17 213 17 254 14*257 11*277 10 299 13187 12101 13 220 16 239 13 255 11 274 9 300 12101 11117 11 232 17 233 13 252 11 271 7 299 11117 10229 11 250 16 236 12 241 11 266 7 293 10229 9431 10 266 13*239 12 235 11 263 7 288 9431 8712 6 267 10*236 12 231 11 260 7 282 8712 8056 4 219 7 218 12 227 11 259 8 279 8056 7465 7 184 7 211 12 224 11 257 8 278 7465 6964 7 173 7 207 12 221 11 256 8 276 6964 6575 4 151 7 203 12 219 11 255 7 273 6575 6305 2 095 7 200 11 218 10 255 6 276 6305 6139 3*033 7 200 11 217 10 255 4*285 6139 6044 3*025 6 199 10 217 9 253 3*297 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography