DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.3 - - 50.6 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 38 - - 29 - - -13 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6027 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 549 - - 2500 - - 8182 - - 5268 - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 86 - - 81 - - 36 - - 29 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 014 - - 147 - - 110 - - 089 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 5 - - 3 - - -1 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -107 - - -753 - - -452 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6043 - - 6151 - - 6797 - - 6495 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential -3751 - - -1877 - - -2569 - - -2468 - - -4058 ODpotential blCL 9794 - - 7920 - - 8612 - - 8511 - - 10101 blCL maxRH 85 - - 96 - - 89 - - 86 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 460 - - 710 - - 830 - - 360 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.3 - - 50.6 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.4 - - 46.4 - - 45.2 - - 42.9 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 52.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.5 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 45.2 - - 43.9 - - 41.8 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 38 - - 29 - - -13 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 83 - - 56 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96812 24 290 33 289 35 260 39 278 39 283 96812 89623 16 296 32 276 21 277 19 285 21 280 89623 84067 19 290 21 268 22 293 13 287 12 293 84067 79440 20 291 11 288 16 289 17 283 18 301 79440 75462 18 298 14 324 8 284 15 311 18 310 75462 71966 20 305 20 313 12 308 16 328 12 320 71966 68809 17 297 19 297 18 294 21 313 15 312 68809 65906 12 275 17 291 17 285 23 291 20 290 65906 63206 11 324 17 293 19 270 23 270 20 272 63206 60573 25 298 21 284 18 275 22 265 22 267 60573 57808 27 286 25 281 23 281 21 264 23 257 57808 54930 30 273 29 271 27 270 21 272 21 274 54930 52188 30 260 29 264 25 266 23 272 22 279 52188 49726 28 257 30 264 25 277 21 265 20 275 49726 47508 32 260 35 264 32 286 25 279 21 280 47508 45481 32 258 37 258 39 279 32 282 26 295 45481 43617 32 257 37 253 44 265 36 282 32 296 43617 41890 36 246 40 245 44 252 36 279 33 292 41890 40284 40 239 39 235 40 242 34 271 31 288 40284 38785 46 238 34 235 34 241 28 264 24 283 38785 37387 50 229 38 241 30 247 22 261 15 283 37387 36060 53 215 47 229 29 246 21 254 11 314 36060 34740 53 211 47 213 27 239 20 252 14 324 34740 33403 58 214 42 202 21 230 19 255 16 327 33403 32060 62 215 35 206 17 227 10 231 14 321 32060 30695 64 214 30 209 11 202 14 135 11 071 30695 29293 61 215 24 205 11 154 12 126 15 066 29293 27849 55 216 21 201 14 149 9 121 15 051 27849 26363 47 216 21 203 13 157 9 084 16 041 26363 24838 38 215 21 198 10 184 9 062 15 035 24838 23277 33 215 21 195 11 175 6 040 14 036 23277 21677 32 219 24 204 10 184 6 007 12 040 21677 20033 31 220 25 206 12 217 6 342 10 043 20033 18373 30 217 27 205 11 231 5 313 8 024 18373 16785 29 202 27 201 12 235 7 237 4 352 16785 15342 28 190 25 194 15 225 16 215 4 222 15342 14054 25 189 22 188 17 219 22 211 11 214 14054 12897 22 193 20 185 17 221 23 214 13 215 12897 11854 18 197 16 185 16 227 17 221 12 218 11854 10910 13 198 12 189 14 233 9 223 8 227 10910 10058 6 180 10 194 10 237 3 177 4 244 10058 9292 7 165 8 190 8 238 4 117 2 293 9292 8601 10 166 8 170 5 237 5 102 2 007 8601 7970 9 158 8 154 2 216 5 085 6 035 7970 7403 4 127 6 155 1 150 6 075 13 038 7403 6923 5 037 4 147 3 112 7 074 19 036 6923 6550 8 019 3 145 3 110 7 077 21 032 6550 6291 10 013 3 147 3 112 7 082 18 028 6291 6133 9*014 3 147 3*110 7*087 15*026 6133 6043 7*014 3*147 3*110 6*089 8*024 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography