DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 50.5 - - 44.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 144 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 1138 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6026 - - 6160 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6608 - - 7006 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 623 - - 724 - - 757 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 232 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 206 - - 174 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3200 - - -4968 - - -4467 - - -3986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9808 - - 11974 - - 10510 - - 10029 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11849 - - -12380 - - -13318 - - -12758 ODpotential blCL - - - 18457 - - 19386 - - 19361 - - 18800 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 60 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 50.5 - - 44.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.5 - - 19.5 - - 19.9 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 49.2 - - 47.9 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 19.0 - - 19.6 - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 144 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 740 - - 1138 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96184 20 248 16 283 5 298 18 261 96184 89126 6 303 14 273 15 298 10 315 89126 83640 3 322 10 269 18 301 13 349 83640 79067 3 320 6 278 12 284 9 295 79067 75106 13 314 9 314 7 297 12 299 75106 71596 16 304 17 306 15 298 12 294 71596 68410 15 289 13 290 14 303 21 300 68410 65503 13 296 16 301 20 303 23 297 65503 62843 20 309 13 321 16 332 29 324 62843 60281 3 289 15 348 20 351 46 312 60281 57608 33 308 25 306 31 316 50 305 57608 54818 44 293 40 298 39 309 54 296 54818 52135 35 289 42 302 47 299 49 287 52135 49704 27 292 44 298 44 289 43 281 49704 47502 32 303 48 294 47 291 46 293 47502 45489 45 303 56 294 57 296 62 301 45489 43657 61 298 67 293 69 293 74 296 43657 41993 65 288 73 289 75 286 77 286 41993 40466 63 282 73 286 73 281 74 282 40466 39043 60 282 70 286 70 282 67 284 39043 37704 58 285 66 286 67 285 65 292 37704 36417 58 285 63 286 66 288 68 297 36417 35125 57 285 62 284 65 290 66 294 35125 33799 56 285 61 281 65 290 57 289 33799 32445 55 285 59 279 65 290 47 284 32445 31052 53 284 58 278 65 291 50 283 31052 29611 53 284 58 278 65 291 54 288 29611 28129 52 283 58 278 65 291 57 293 28129 26607 53 284 58 278 63 290 59 294 26607 25049 54 285 58 278 60 288 59 294 25049 23460 54 286 57 279 57 286 59 291 23460 21837 53 286 54 279 55 285 57 288 21837 20173 50 286 52 280 53 285 54 286 20173 18496 47 286 50 281 53 285 51 285 18496 16888 43 287 49 280 53 283 49 287 16888 15425 41 287 47 280 53 281 48 289 15425 14117 40 287 45 279 52 279 47 290 14117 12941 39 287 44 278 50 277 47 289 12941 11881 39 285 44 278 49 275 46 287 11881 10924 39 283 43 277 48 273 46 283 10924 10062 39 278 39 274 45 269 46 278 10062 9290 34 271 32 271 38 264 43 273 9290 8597 25 260 23 267 29 258 36 269 8597 7966 17 242 15 255 19 248 25 263 7966 7399 11 224 10*231 12 232 15 251 7399 6920 7*203 8*210 9 211 10 229 6920 6548 3*180 8 207 5 192 7 205 6548 6290 3 175 8 205 3 172 5 190 6290 6133 3 171 7 204 1*161 2 200 6133 6042 3 172 7 203 1*174 1*256 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography