DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.6 - - 76.7 - - 81.4 - - 79.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 186 - - 559 - - 574 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1622 - - 7969 - - 12148 - - 11638 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6642 - - 11991 - - 15460 - - 14499 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 7490 - - 13837 - - 18016 - - 17506 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2392 - - 1945 - - 2132 - - 2007 - - 8926 Hgt.Variab. W* 284 - - 696 - - 808 - - 596 - - 8 W* B/S 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 19 - - 23 - - 21 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 205 - - 215 - - 230 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 30 - - 34 - - 17 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8010 - - -3433 - - -2942 - - -3132 - - -12400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15501 - - 17271 - - 20959 - - 20639 - - 18445 sfcLCL ODpotential -12937 - - -6264 - - -6519 - - -6906 - - -17494 ODpotential blCL 20427 - - 20101 - - 24535 - - 24412 - - 23538 blCL maxRH 35 - - 29 - - 34 - - 36 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.6 - - 76.7 - - 81.4 - - 79.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 21.2 - - 8.5 - - 8.8 - - 10.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 73.3 - - 78.1 - - 78.2 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 20.9 - - 8.3 - - 8.6 - - 10.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 186 - - 559 - - 574 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1622 - - 7969 - - 12148 - - 11638 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99047 31 104 38 113 24 113 24 096 23 094 99047 91493 34 094 33 103 27 107 21 091 26 094 91493 85713 29 107 28 089 26 105 24 102 24 093 85713 80957 30 096 25 094 23 104 22 091 25 097 80957 76876 27 079 29 106 22 114 13 087 23 091 76876 73264 21 093 26 099 20 110 16 114 14 075 73264 69984 14 129 11 075 15 101 20 108 13 118 69984 66968 14 112 7 091 17 102 13 102 16 105 66968 64167 1 054 2 092 3 141 5 142 7 143 64167 61457 3 034 11 091 14 135 13 131 15 150 61457 58636 25 231 23 215 12 250 4 103 6 165 58636 55725 37 200 31 227 36 235 35 241 29 242 55725 52957 36 208 39 220 36 219 31 221 28 238 52957 50453 43 233 39 223 41 238 42 245 41 245 50453 48207 58 234 53 233 60 239 58 243 55 243 48207 46168 63 234 67 233 67 236 60 240 57 237 46168 44300 68 236 72 233 69 235 61 243 60 244 44300 42584 74 237 77 234 72 237 67 246 66 247 42584 40997 77 236 82 234 76 238 69 246 67 246 40997 39519 80 236 87 232 78 237 66 245 59 243 39519 38143 82 234 87 230 78 234 59 247 48 240 38143 36836 82 232 87 230 75 232 52 250 37 238 36836 35527 81 228 88 228 71 233 51 252 29 240 35527 34188 79 225 87 225 72 235 52 249 29 243 34188 32820 77 223 84 226 73 235 54 246 32 245 32820 31416 74 224 79 227 69 236 56 245 34 247 31416 29966 69 227 72 227 67 233 57 244 36 247 29966 28473 65 228 66 225 68 231 58 241 38 244 28473 26941 62 227 64 225 67 229 59 237 40 241 26941 25373 58 226 62 223 65 227 59 235 43 241 25373 23773 54 224 58 221 63 225 58 234 43 243 23773 22135 50 221 53 221 58 223 54 233 42 244 22135 20454 46 217 50 220 51 223 47 229 40 241 20454 18760 42 213 45 218 41*224 38*222 36 229 18760 17139 38 212 40 216 28*219 26*221 30 221 17139 15664 36 213 36 217 25 216 23 223 27 220 15664 14343 33 214 27*215 24 216 23 223 24 224 14343 13153 29 214 21*208 24 216 22 225 21 231 13153 12076 25 215 20 205 23 215 21 229 19 239 12076 11100 23 219 19 205 23 214 20 232 18 248 11100 10219 21 220 19 204 23 214 20 235 16 257 10219 9425 19 220 19 204 22 213 20 236 16 265 9425 8708 16 223 19 204 22 213 19 237 15 271 8708 8054 13*222 19 205 22 212 19 238 15 277 8054 7465 9*210 18 204 21 212 19 239 15 281 7465 6965 7 196 18 205 21 211 19 239 14 284 6965 6576 7 192 17 204 20 211 18 240 13 287 6576 6305 7 190 17 205 20 211 18 240 11 291 6305 6139 6 189 16 205 19 211 17 240 9 295 6139 6044 6 189 14 204 17 211 15 240 6*301 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography