DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 64.8 - - 62.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 334 - - 56 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 6289 - - 4621 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7070 - - 10411 - - 7928 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7890 - - 12157 - - 10489 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3550 - - 2158 - - 2921 - - 1874 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 354 - - 542 - - 272 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 323 - - 325 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -17 - - -24 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6079 - - -3027 - - -4308 - - -6615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13969 - - 15185 - - 14798 - - 12659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11482 - - -7089 - - -8772 - - -13319 ODpotential blCL - - - 19372 - - 19246 - - 19261 - - 19362 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 66 - - 72 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 64.8 - - 62.7 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.3 - - 19.1 - - 18.9 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 62.4 - - 62.0 - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.7 - - 18.2 - - 18.3 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 334 - - 56 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 6289 - - 4621 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96340 16 309 8 273 10 277 15 294 96340 89186 8 240 6 277 6 328 9 008 89186 83663 11 241 8 312 3 314 8 348 83663 79078 3 282 6 257 3 318 10 028 79078 75100 4 322 10 298 12 302 10 349 75100 71584 21 285 17 295 15 291 18 319 71584 68425 18 308 11 311 5 306 7 264 68425 65517 32 311 27 320 17 320 24 342 65517 62842 39 305 41 308 38 313 45 326 62842 60285 41 306 42 305 41 311 43 316 60285 57603 46 318 40 310 38 309 42 308 57603 54791 52 316 48 315 43 306 47 302 54791 52083 55 315 55 314 51 311 51 300 52083 49633 60 314 58 312 59 314 51 307 49633 47434 59 312 58 310 60 312 58 315 47434 45445 51 312 54 309 51 309 60 312 45445 43633 51 319 53 313 48 310 56 307 43633 41984 60 322 57 317 51 312 51 306 41984 40475 61 318 60 316 56 314 44 310 40475 39070 49 304 58 311 59 314 39 309 39070 37748 44 291 49 295 57 311 39 303 37748 36477 41 294 50 300 54 308 41 297 36477 35198 37 300 48 303 52 308 42 297 35198 33886 37 301 45 308 51 307 41 299 33886 32543 38 305 43 310 50 307 38 301 32543 31161 37 309 43 312 49 308 37 303 31161 29731 37 312 44 313 48 310 36 304 29731 28258 37 313 44 315 46 313 36 307 28258 26740 39 314 44 317 44 316 36 312 26740 25182 40 317 44 321 42 320 37 317 25182 23587 41 320 43 324 40 324 37 321 23587 21951 40 322 40 326 37 327 37 323 21951 20270 38 321 37 327 33 328 36 324 20270 18576 37 319 35 327 30 327 35 325 18576 16957 36 320 32 328 29 325 34 325 16957 15488 34 323 30 329 28 323 33 323 15488 14177 31 327 26 329 26 322 31 320 14177 13001 28 330 21*327 22 322 27 317 13001 11941 24 332 17*326 18 323 23 318 11941 10982 19 332 15 325 16*323 20 321 10982 10117 16 331 15 324 16*324 19 324 10117 9340 14 329 14 323 16 324 18 325 9340 8639 12 324 13 322 15 325 17 324 8639 8001 9*315 13 321 15 325 15 321 8001 7426 6*299 12 320 15 325 14 317 7426 6939 5 282 12 320 14 325 12 313 6939 6560 5 269 11 319 14 325 11 310 6560 6296 5 262 11 319 13 325 9 311 6296 6136 4 256 10 318 12 325 7*311 6136 6043 4 254 9 317 10 324 6*314 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography