DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.9 - - 49.9 - - 56.9 - - 50.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 99 - - 163 - - -47 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 766 - - 2657 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 7324 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6634 - - 8525 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 84 - - 1263 - - 1569 - - 1442 - - 459 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 180 - - 320 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 16 - - 20 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 040 - - 035 - - 013 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -25 - - -32 - - -26 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3285 - - -5984 - - -5554 - - -6708 - - -5024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9328 - - 12619 - - 14080 - - 12752 - - 11066 sfcLCL ODpotential -13850 - - -13052 - - -11491 - - -14246 - - -14972 ODpotential blCL 19892 - - 19686 - - 20016 - - 20289 - - 21014 blCL maxRH 64 - - 68 - - 54 - - 63 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.9 - - 49.9 - - 56.9 - - 50.0 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.3 - - 16.3 - - 16.6 - - 16.0 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.3 - - 48.9 - - 55.5 - - 51.9 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.1 - - 15.8 - - 16.1 - - 15.7 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 99 - - 163 - - -47 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 766 - - 2657 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96151 23 064 11 359 32 043 12 035 15 005 96151 89258 30 060 22 060 21 049 16 048 20 033 89258 83915 32 066 34 065 15 076 17 051 18 041 83915 79420 35 071 35 070 21 062 16 051 26 043 79420 75495 35 068 28 081 18 073 22 047 26 044 75495 72001 30 045 22 073 17 087 24 045 20 056 72001 68814 18 030 19 054 19 071 20 055 18 045 68814 65872 17 020 16 036 22 057 17 057 11 041 65872 63140 19 011 16 028 19 040 17 034 12 019 63140 60494 16 006 11 028 16 031 13 024 18 003 60494 57750 10 354 15 045 16 033 10 044 16 015 57750 54917 14 024 17 039 12 044 18 046 6 030 54917 52208 26 042 16 054 10 044 13 011 9 331 52208 49750 28 048 21 056 7 358 18 348 16 320 49750 47525 27 040 21 033 3 326 19 343 27 359 47525 45507 30 032 32 043 34 040 27 018 43 021 45507 43697 35 028 54 034 56 032 45 032 57 034 43697 42068 40 024 59 023 61 027 62 037 67 038 42068 40565 40 036 41 029 61 029 72 034 70 039 40565 39155 49 057 30 072 60 034 70 027 70 038 39155 37825 57 067 43 071 58 041 61 027 69 036 37825 36548 59 067 50 062 59 045 56 032 67 033 36548 35261 57 057 46 056 60 046 53 035 56 030 35261 33941 55 047 36 056 55 046 50 036 48 024 33941 32594 54 046 33 047 43 042 45 036 42 020 32594 31207 47 051 34 037 36 032 40 030 38 017 31207 29772 39 053 30 028 31 022 35 028 36 014 29772 28290 36 049 25 025 26 020 29 035 36 012 28290 26763 33 039 22 016 25 025 27 036 37 013 26763 25195 30 031 26 017 27 033 32 030 37 015 25195 23590 28 029 29 020 30 037 37 027 36 017 23590 21946 26 030 31 024 32 037 40 025 35 017 21946 20257 23 030 29 026 31 034 39 023 36 014 20257 18554 20 026 25 028 27 032 36 022 38 012 18554 16921 18 020 22 029 23 028 30 021 39 012 16921 15439 18 018 21 027 21 024 24 019 40 016 15439 14116 20 019 22 025 22 023 21 018 41 020 14116 12933 23 022 25 024 24 025 21 019 41 023 12933 11871 25 025 28 026 27 029 22 022 40 025 11871 10914 27 029 31 030 29 033 25 025 39 025 10914 10054 29 032 33 036 29 035 28 028 38 026 10054 9283 31 035 35 040 27 036 30 030 35 026 9283 8592 32 037 34 043 24*035 32 030 32 028 8592 7962 33 038 32 043 23*034 32 029 29 028 7962 7397 32 035 28 041 22 034 31 026 27 026 7397 6919 28 030 24*039 21 035 30 020 25 020 6919 6548 22 023 20*039 20 035 27 016 21 012 6548 6290 16 017 17 040 19 036 23 015 16 008 6290 6133 10*015 15 040 17 036 19*014 11 006 6133 6042 4*009 11 042 14 037 11*013 6*003 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography