DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.3 - - 44.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 318 - - 121 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2882 - - 7570 - - 1410 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7739 - - 11413 - - 6265 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8750 - - 13438 - - 7278 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2793 - - 3815 - - 1997 - - 1459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 569 - - 235 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 21 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 238 - - 346 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 15 - - -42 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3517 - - 395 - - -1805 - - -1891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12267 - - 13044 - - 9084 - - 7934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6668 - - -521 - - -4089 - - -4618 ODpotential blCL - - - 15418 - - 13959 - - 11367 - - 10660 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 97 - - 92 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 54.3 - - 44.0 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.6 - - 17.7 - - 25.2 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 52.1 - - 43.0 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.3 - - 17.4 - - 25.1 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 318 - - 121 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2882 - - 7570 - - 1410 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 89 - - 67 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96252 30 280 24 263 33 255 41 282 96252 89101 25 286 25 272 21 274 24 286 89101 83613 18 287 20 289 17 294 14 289 83613 79087 10 287 15 281 11 283 14 279 79087 75213 8 313 14 285 6 346 3 302 75213 71787 9 252 14 261 15 315 7 322 71787 68666 12 185 13 183 12 247 10 281 68666 65780 4 218 6 200 12 216 14 250 65780 63089 9 243 13 227 20 207 18 218 63089 60454 7 222 16 184 24 205 23 215 60454 57667 30 251 29 244 35 244 33 243 57667 54745 50 248 48 250 48 249 42 250 54745 51936 56 246 53 245 51 245 47 250 51936 49393 53 246 50 243 49 243 49 244 49393 47098 49 247 47 241 49 242 49 239 47098 44995 47 247 46 243 50 243 52 240 44995 43053 45 249 47 247 54 246 57 243 43053 41266 49 252 51 251 55 250 56 241 41266 39622 56 250 55 253 54 251 47 239 39622 38098 61 243 61 251 54 251 42 247 38098 36686 59 238 68 244 57 248 47 251 36686 35353 60 241 71 237 58 243 52 246 35353 34036 68 244 70 234 59 238 54 234 34036 32706 76 241 70 233 61 233 53 225 32706 31368 79 237 75 233 64 232 53 225 31368 30005 81 237 80 232 68 234 60 230 30005 28604 81 237 82 231 74 235 65 229 28604 27169 80 236 80 230 76 232 64 225 27169 25701 77 234 78 229 75 228 62 223 25701 24206 72 232 75 228 73 225 62 224 24206 22690 68 231 71 228 65 220 62 221 22690 21148 63 231 66 227 53 214 56 214 21148 19568 57 231 58 226 48 210 48 208 19568 17970 50 230 48 226 44 211 43 208 17970 16435 44 229 38 229 38 215 33 208 16435 15039 38 227 33 232 32 221 23 224 15039 13796 33 225 29*235 26 223 22 246 13796 12681 27 221 24*238 21 221 19 254 12681 11675 21 211 20 240 17 219 14 256 11675 10764 16 208 17 241 13 222 11 260 10764 9939 12 213 16 240 9 237 7 273 9939 9197 9*212 15 239 7 270 5 313 9197 8527 9*204 14 238 9 311 7 353 8527 7915 9 198 14 237 14 332 14 007 7915 7364 8 191 13 236 20*343 20 010 7364 6898 8 189 13 234 22*345 24 010 6898 6536 8 186 12 233 22 346 24 011 6536 6285 8 185 12 233 21 346 22 011 6285 6131 8 185 12 232 20 346 19*012 6131 6042 7 183 10 231 15 346 13*012 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography