DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.3 - - 69.0 - - 68.5 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 379 - - 258 - - 112 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 6171 - - 12641 - - 11082 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 10375 - - 15368 - - 13420 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6043 - - 12039 - - 18509 - - 16950 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3039 - - 4560 - - 2983 - - 3445 - - 10387 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 563 - - 629 - - 458 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 16 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 288 - - 323 - - 327 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 9 - - 46 - - -23 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3600 - - -267 - - 2640 - - -8 - - -8104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9643 - - 12306 - - 15870 - - 16958 - - 14149 sfcLCL ODpotential -6577 - - -2617 - - 1266 - - -1875 - - -11181 ODpotential blCL 12620 - - 14656 - - 17243 - - 18825 - - 17225 blCL maxRH 82 - - 56 - - 93 - - 54 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 230 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 64.3 - - 69.0 - - 68.5 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.9 - - 31.1 - - 19.9 - - 14.5 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 61.7 - - 67.0 - - 67.4 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 30.5 - - 19.2 - - 13.9 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 379 - - 258 - - 112 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 175 - - 6171 - - 12641 - - 11082 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 71 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 32 266 41 268 41 273 32 267 26 262 96483 89221 22 283 27 265 38 268 39 284 38 284 89221 83719 25 308 20 272 26 261 38 288 34 294 83719 79178 30 311 20 305 15 283 29 289 27 303 79178 75254 25 305 28 311 22 303 27 301 33 309 75254 71805 22 304 25 303 22 297 33 296 36 309 71805 68678 27 307 22 305 24 297 34 286 34 299 68678 65763 28 305 27 302 30 292 32 283 37 296 65763 63022 31 305 34 292 34 291 37 291 43 297 63022 60353 40 299 39 288 40 291 41 294 46 295 60353 57572 46 291 41 288 40 286 40 295 42 294 57572 54683 48 285 38 290 38 288 43 300 41 294 54683 51913 49 288 41 295 40 290 46 303 45 294 51913 49418 50 288 47 294 46 298 49 303 48 297 49418 47182 44 288 46 292 52 300 51 303 52 301 47182 45167 39 292 42 294 53 300 52 304 55 303 45167 43347 38 299 42 297 52 306 53 311 57 308 43347 41694 38 301 41 298 52 313 56 320 59 313 41694 40170 36 301 37 302 49 322 60 326 60 319 40170 38747 31 308 32 311 47 329 65 334 59 323 38747 37414 28 315 30 324 45 331 69 339 56 324 37414 36139 29 318 30 328 42 328 69 340 53 326 36139 34859 29 318 30 325 39 324 60 341 51 326 34859 33553 27 318 29 318 35 324 50 335 46 326 33553 32222 25 317 29 312 33 330 45 329 44 325 32222 30856 23 315 27 309 32 337 42 325 43 324 30856 29445 22 317 25 309 33 339 39 325 40 328 29445 27994 22 320 23 313 34 338 35 330 35 330 27994 26502 23 321 21 320 32 335 30 337 30 328 26502 24972 22 321 19 327 28 333 25 341 25 326 24972 23406 12 312 21 332 23 337 20 340 22 327 23406 21801 8 268 23 329 21 339 16 341 23 325 21801 20157 7 275 21 325 18*334 16 338 26 321 20157 18507 10 324 18 329 14*330 15*332 24 323 18507 16925 17 334 16 339 12 328 14*329 19 322 16925 15482 18 332 16 342 11 327 14 328 13 315 15482 14186 16 333 14 336 10 325 14 328 9 308 14186 13019 14 333 12*329 9 323 14 328 8 301 13019 11963 13 328 11*325 9 321 14 327 7 297 11963 11006 12 319 10 320 8 320 14 327 8 293 11006 10140 11 305 9 312 8 318 14 327 8 291 10140 9361 9 284 7 299 8 317 14 327 9 288 9361 8658 9 260 6 277 7 316 14 327 11 284 8658 8015 9 247 6 257 7 315 13 327 12 281 8015 7437 9 248 6 245 7 314 13 327 12 278 7437 6947 9 264 6 236 6 313 13 327 11 276 6947 6564 9 289 7 230 6 311 12 327 10 275 6564 6299 7 308 6 227 6 311 12 326 8 278 6299 6137 7*312 6 226 6 310 12 327 6*281 6137 6044 6*312 6 225 5 310 10 326 5*287 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography