DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 116 - - 459 - - 426 - - 90 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1173 - - 4854 - - 11529 - - 9197 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 9395 - - 14788 - - 11757 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 7041 - - 10722 - - 17397 - - 15065 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1321 - - 5605 - - 1839 - - 4391 - - 9578 Hgt.Variab. W* 218 - - 553 - - 721 - - 400 - - 8 W* B/S 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 155 - - 207 - - 239 - - 242 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 16 - - -24 - - -32 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5679 - - -2401 - - 2014 - - 189 - - -7075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12721 - - 13124 - - 15383 - - 14877 - - 13119 sfcLCL ODpotential -8852 - - -4189 - - 578 - - -1319 - - -9904 ODpotential blCL 15893 - - 14911 - - 16819 - - 16384 - - 15947 blCL maxRH 72 - - 77 - - 79 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 60 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 55.8 - - 64.6 - - 69.4 - - 68.1 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.4 - - 27.9 - - 22.4 - - 23.5 - - 24.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 61.8 - - 66.7 - - 67.1 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.0 - - 27.3 - - 21.7 - - 23.0 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 116 - - 459 - - 426 - - 90 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1173 - - 4854 - - 11529 - - 9197 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 16 - - 74 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97757 25 251 24 250 20 258 18 269 24 262 97757 90321 16 245 27 250 26 259 23 275 22 276 90321 84600 16 265 18 246 25 256 24 278 21 295 84600 79843 13 275 11 255 22 253 24 278 23 299 79843 75739 14 274 14 285 20 264 25 283 25 304 75739 72124 18 268 17 291 17 278 25 290 26 301 72124 68874 17 280 21 286 19 294 25 286 28 296 68874 65900 22 299 22 286 23 293 23 279 26 288 65900 63142 25 303 23 290 23 295 20 290 25 278 63142 60469 28 300 27 289 30 294 24 300 27 288 60469 57662 35 292 30 285 35 288 33 293 30 293 57662 54734 42 284 37 282 38 285 40 291 39 291 54734 51951 47 278 45 277 47 284 51 286 51 290 51951 49466 49 276 51 277 53 277 56 280 59 287 49466 47250 50 279 52 278 60 275 62 274 66 281 47250 45247 57 282 60 278 71 277 68 273 77 278 45247 43422 64 280 71 278 84 274 85 273 95 277 43422 41747 71 283 80 276 81 272 98 275 104 276 41747 40196 71 282 76 274 81 276 98 275 108 276 40196 38747 60 278 73 276 87 276 95 276 106 276 38747 37391 48 269 71 280 87 275 98 277 102 277 37391 36099 44 265 65 280 79 274 99 275 100 276 36099 34808 43 271 56 271 70 273 94 273 101 275 34808 33489 36 272 48 262 65 272 82 270 99 273 33489 32149 30 264 44 264 57 274 68 269 87 271 32149 30779 28 258 38 269 45 272 57 270 69 268 30779 29374 30 261 34 267 43 264 48 270 49 271 29374 27933 30 264 31 264 42 266 42 267 37 276 27933 26453 28 264 28 267 34 271 42 265 33 273 26453 24935 24 264 27 269 31 266 39 269 35 262 24935 23382 18 264 27 261 29 264 33 274 37 249 23382 21789 16 263 25 252 27 264 28 268 34 240 21789 20150 12 267 19 257 22 262 27 260 28 237 20150 18497 10 275 15 270 16*263 22 259 23 237 18497 16911 11 275 12 268 14*260 22 259 21 236 16911 15468 13 265 12 261 13 255 19*259 20 236 15468 14177 16 256 15 249 13 251 18*258 19 238 14177 13014 16 250 16 241 12 247 16 256 19 238 13014 11961 15 245 15 237 12 242 14 252 19 240 11961 11006 15 241 14*234 11 237 13 248 18 240 11006 10141 16 238 13*227 11 233 12 242 17 240 10141 9362 15 232 11 221 11 229 11 236 15 239 9362 8659 13 222 9 208 11 226 11 230 14 235 8659 8017 10 212 9 202 11 223 10 226 12 229 8017 7439 8*191 9 199 11 221 10 222 10 219 7439 6948 7*163 9 197 11 219 10 220 9 206 6948 6566 6 154 9 195 11 218 10 219 8 192 6566 6300 5 152 9 194 10 217 10 218 7 179 6300 6137 5 152 8 194 10 217 9 217 7 167 6137 6043 5 152 8 193 9 216 8 217 5*155 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography