DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 31.6 - - 31.9 - - 24.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 72 - - 25 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1399 - - 1567 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6334 - - 6025 - - 6025 - - 6024 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7267 - - 7435 - - 6042 - - 6041 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2740 - - 2475 - - 7597 - - 2982 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 212 - - 72 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 31 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 270 - - 251 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 52 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1226 - - 1394 - - -1535 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6041 - - 6042 - - 7577 - - 6041 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 234 - - 198 - - -2822 - - -1986 ODpotential blCL - - - 7033 - - 7237 - - 8864 - - 8027 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 96 - - 90 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 31.6 - - 31.9 - - 24.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 29.5 - - 19.8 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 31.0 - - 31.6 - - 25.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 28.3 - - 19.0 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 72 - - 25 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1399 - - 1567 - - 174 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 86 - - 60 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96708 23 102 25 098 30 087 26 074 96708 89556 23 117 23 094 21 088 24 079 89556 83998 20 109 14 116 9 076 16 078 83998 79359 8 115 12 124 9 132 6 008 79359 75331 5 135 4 106 7 133 4 138 75331 71769 3 168 2 083 3 065 3 002 71769 68554 5 331 5 324 6 355 5 324 68554 65593 5 266 7 338 4 042 4 317 65593 62818 2 027 5 292 7 079 5 066 62818 60114 14 246 10 270 7 271 4 317 60114 57301 24 267 21 295 12 288 6 256 57301 54337 41 275 42 282 22 281 17 217 54337 51446 44 259 42 260 31 267 23 240 51446 48822 42 271 48 269 42 272 41 270 48822 46485 62 269 62 268 57 277 56 275 46485 44385 73 256 69 262 67 272 64 273 44385 42470 71 254 69 260 70 267 68 275 42470 40707 71 258 70 263 70 268 76 279 40707 39076 77 262 80 269 77 273 83 278 39076 37562 84 263 95 270 88 274 88 278 37562 36156 90 264 105 267 96 271 93 277 36156 34828 95 264 106 264 99 269 97 276 34828 33515 102 265 106 264 100 268 97 275 33515 32189 112 264 107 264 98 268 92 274 32189 30857 118 261 106 264 93 267 86 275 30857 29505 120 259 103 262 86 266 79 275 29505 28125 120 258 97 260 79 265 70 274 28125 26715 122 259 93 260 73 265 64 274 26715 25271 121 261 90 261 72 266 64 274 25271 23792 109 259 89 261 72 265 65 273 23792 22282 80 251 87 261 73 264 66 272 22282 20743 62 240 82 258 72 262 65 273 20743 19174 65 239 76 251 69 259 62 274 19174 17607 67 241 61 245 63 257 54 274 17607 16117 63 242 49 237 54 258 47 272 16117 14769 59 245 49 235 43 261 42 268 14769 13568 56 245 44 234 40 264 40 267 13568 12489 52 241 36 235 40 264 37 271 12489 11514 49 233 32 243 40 264 35 277 11514 10631 47 226 31 253 40 264 33 282 10631 9832 46 222 34 262 38 263 32 286 9832 9112 44 219 36 268 36 261 30 287 9112 8463 43 218 37 270 34 260 29 286 8463 7869 41 216 37*271 33 258 27 285 7869 7333 38*215 36*271 31 257 23 282 7333 6878 36*214 34 271 29 255 19 275 6878 6525 33 214 31 270 26 254 15 265 6525 6278 31 214 28 269 24 253 11 253 6278 6128 28 213 25 269 21*252 9*247 6128 6041 21 213 19 268 17*251 6*244 6041 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography