DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 56.5 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 57 - - 16 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1076 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6822 - - 6944 - - 6044 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2635 - - 2333 - - 2525 - - 2237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 177 - - 64 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 192 - - 181 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 20 - - 13 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 779 - - 901 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 59 - - 249 - - -402 - - -158 ODpotential blCL - - - 6763 - - 6695 - - 6446 - - 6201 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 250 - - 160 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 56.5 - - 55.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 54.6 - - 53.9 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 55.8 - - 55.2 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 53.7 - - 53.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 57 - - 16 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 954 - - 1076 - - 176 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98079 7 283 5 012 0 147 11 290 98079 90735 6 185 6 189 8 290 5 008 90735 85060 5 124 5 134 8 278 7 358 85060 80354 4 078 4 134 6 289 9 345 80354 76327 5 123 4 168 3 348 5 001 76327 72792 10 124 3 123 5 081 4 071 72792 69596 12 098 6 132 5 051 6 057 69596 66651 9 009 6 098 4 001 4 356 66651 63930 9 304 2 318 5 334 5 296 63930 61313 11 296 11 270 10 306 5 274 61313 58579 17 258 16 261 13 269 8 261 58579 55737 21 261 15 273 21 271 18 256 55737 53027 32 265 39 274 40 268 31 260 53027 50579 48 256 49 256 46 254 43 263 50579 48370 52 259 51 251 54 254 61 259 48370 46356 53 263 54 252 66 252 77 251 46356 44502 57 264 60 254 74 250 83 245 44502 42775 64 264 63 254 78 250 83 244 42775 41157 74 263 69 255 79 249 81 243 41157 39639 78 261 75 254 77 248 79 241 39639 38220 76 256 75 247 73 243 75 238 38220 36874 74 248 66 235 72 235 70 231 36874 35535 71 241 62 230 73 229 69 223 35535 34173 65 235 62 229 72 228 74 217 34173 32790 62 232 60 227 69 225 74 216 32790 31371 55 229 58 224 64 222 69 216 31371 29906 56 232 58 222 60 221 67 218 29906 28395 60 233 59 221 58 224 65 224 28395 26844 61 230 58 221 57 230 60 231 26844 25260 61 228 57 223 53 228 50 233 25260 23646 60 226 56 226 46 225 37 234 23646 21996 57 222 56 230 41 224 33 233 21996 20305 48 214 54 231 38 228 30 231 20305 18602 35 208 48 225 30 231 25 236 18602 16975 23 216 37 217 24 233 22 246 16975 15498 23 240 22 201 19 233 18 247 15498 14179 24 248 13 232 18 238 15 242 14179 12998 23 250 16 263 16 244 15 245 12998 11933 19 249 17 269 14 246 14 244 11933 10974 17 244 16 267 13 240 10 227 10974 10109 17 240 16 264 12 230 9 204 10109 9331 15 234 14 256 11 222 11 178 9331 8633 12 222 12 243 9 210 12 160 8633 7996 10 208 10 227 8 198 12 149 7996 7422 10 194 10*208 8 189 11 146 7422 6937 9*186 10*196 8 185 10 144 6937 6559 9*182 10 192 8 183 8 139 6559 6296 9 181 10 191 8 183 6 132 6296 6136 8 179 9 189 7*182 5*129 6136 6043 8 178 8 189 6*181 4*129 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography