DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 59.0 - - 61.3 - - 63.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 35 - - 38 - - 8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1726 - - 1658 - - 2404 - - 3072 - - 2292 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 81 - - 84 - - 57 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 185 - - 237 - - 177 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 17 - - 6 - - 3 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential -24 - - 0 - - -431 - - -1145 - - -685 ODpotential blCL 6068 - - 6044 - - 6475 - - 7189 - - 6729 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 320 - - 690 - - 870 - - 1100 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 59.0 - - 61.3 - - 63.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.3 - - 58.8 - - 59.5 - - 59.0 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 58.3 - - 60.7 - - 63.1 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 58.3 - - 58.9 - - 58.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 35 - - 38 - - 8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 96 - - 93 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98937 24 099 19 086 18 096 16 097 16 058 98937 91544 19 089 22 085 23 091 18 083 20 078 91544 85847 18 099 16 083 18 091 15 074 20 083 85847 81115 15 088 15 105 18 088 17 088 17 061 81115 77033 10 048 16 096 15 093 14 084 15 072 77033 73422 6 094 6 056 15 106 12 048 11 069 73422 70144 6 130 7 148 8 091 10 057 9 023 70144 67132 8 200 9 178 4 171 1 218 3 020 67132 64341 11 180 6 196 6 213 9 166 4 160 64341 61642 6 239 9 214 10 227 11 191 12 208 61642 58845 19 242 16 202 17 211 16 227 16 223 58845 55987 20 226 26 203 28 211 27 230 26 239 55987 53317 29 236 30 209 31 221 32 234 30 231 53317 50925 34 225 35 217 36 221 37 221 32 218 50925 48758 37 223 34 218 34 221 35 225 33 234 48758 46774 40 226 39 230 41 231 43 236 44 241 46774 44948 42 231 43 228 45 226 46 229 49 231 44948 43251 47 230 44 227 47 221 49 221 52 223 43251 41663 51 225 51 223 49 217 50 219 53 219 41663 40171 60 219 60 217 53 211 52 217 52 216 40171 38769 63 212 62 212 58 212 56 214 52 216 38769 37425 62 213 60 213 60 214 58 213 51 217 37425 36078 60 211 59 215 58 213 60 213 50 217 36078 34703 54 205 56 215 52 212 60 215 52 214 34703 33306 50 203 52 210 49 211 56 214 53 210 33306 31874 50 210 46 207 50 215 48 215 53 211 31874 30394 47 216 44 213 49 218 41 217 52 218 30394 28868 43 218 41 219 47 215 37 216 46 225 28868 27299 41 215 35 215 41 215 36 220 38 225 27299 25694 39 216 30 213 31 214 31 223 37 224 25694 24059 33 226 26 220 26 220 27 223 30 221 24059 22387 26 246 25 225 24 220 25 223 24 224 22387 20665 17 237 24 219 24 226 24 230 20 234 20665 18925 14 232 24 216 23 234 20 234 16 236 18925 17257 12 226 22 219 21 237 15 242 13 230 17257 15740 13 226 19 224 19 235 13 250 11 237 15740 14388 14 233 16 230 17 233 12 254 11 252 14388 13175 13 236 13 232 14 232 13 256 12 262 13175 12082 14 228 10 232 11 231 13 258 13 267 12082 11095 14 217 9 229 8 236 12 259 13 266 11095 10205 14 206 9 221 7 238 11 257 10 253 10205 9407 14 189 9 210 7 238 8 251 8 226 9407 8690 16 174 7 198 7 236 6 246 8 201 8690 8038 16 171 5 187 7 234 5 220 8 182 8038 7452 15 172 5 187 6 233 5 193 6 154 7452 6956 14 170 5 188 5 234 5 183 6 133 6956 6571 13 167 4 186 5 235 5 179 6 124 6571 6302 11 166 4 187 4 236 5 179 5 118 6302 6138 10*165 4*187 4*237 5*177 4*103 6138 6044 8*165 3*185 3*237 5*177 3*096 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography