DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 44.2 - - 50.2 - - 42.4 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 101 - - 123 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 724 - - 1122 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6025 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6592 - - 6990 - - 6043 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 398 - - 477 - - 707 - - 591 - - 319 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 178 - - 219 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 004 - - 199 - - 244 - - 260 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 7 - - 3 - - -1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4639 - - -3648 - - -4564 - - -3673 - - -3654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10681 - - 10240 - - 11555 - - 9716 - - 9697 sfcLCL ODpotential -15694 - - -12424 - - -11566 - - -12079 - - -13356 ODpotential blCL 21736 - - 19016 - - 18556 - - 18122 - - 19398 blCL maxRH 79 - - 79 - - 71 - - 54 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 44.2 - - 50.2 - - 42.4 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.0 - - 21.1 - - 21.2 - - 21.6 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.1 - - 43.2 - - 49.1 - - 45.8 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.3 - - 20.4 - - 20.8 - - 21.2 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 101 - - 123 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 724 - - 1122 - - 175 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96275 44 058 24 041 30 024 18 051 18 322 96275 89441 35 070 26 072 20 067 13 071 8 022 89441 84044 27 085 28 077 25 076 14 074 16 030 84044 79534 22 066 26 079 18 084 13 061 19 062 79534 75618 19 056 23 077 11 092 16 057 19 059 75618 72105 15 058 15 071 11 093 10 017 11 032 72105 68927 13 042 10 026 9 042 6 339 12 340 68927 66030 19 005 13 006 15 348 11 006 12 334 66030 63355 22 349 17 344 19 348 17 346 18 331 63355 60774 20 348 20 335 20 355 20 348 16 340 60774 58081 22 345 26 335 25 345 24 347 21 347 58081 55276 22 342 27 327 27 328 27 340 26 341 55276 52577 21 339 24 322 26 316 30 331 26 337 52577 50118 23 337 21 314 26 315 27 332 29 330 50118 47891 23 329 21 306 29 319 27 328 32 327 47891 45853 23 315 20 307 29 315 29 321 34 333 45853 43978 23 317 20 324 22 313 27 313 32 335 43978 42248 23 326 22 328 16 327 24 310 27 326 42248 40646 22 321 18 332 18 327 20 334 22 326 40646 39156 21 309 19 335 15 322 27 359 24 348 39156 37773 17 291 17 327 13 348 27 354 30 001 37773 36463 17 262 14 296 12 356 22 360 37 009 36463 35160 23 224 14 273 12 345 18 005 46 010 35160 33830 28 218 20 225 10 327 16 012 42 005 33830 32475 26 225 20 227 10 243 8 327 34 014 32475 31085 23 235 16 247 7 250 4 262 27 009 31085 29657 18 253 14 251 5 268 2 014 9 359 29657 28190 13 258 6 228 4 228 9 349 7 334 28190 26680 12 236 7 203 4 221 10 012 11 358 26680 25127 11 215 13 214 4 238 5 061 7 037 25127 23537 12 201 13 212 8 231 4 202 1 030 23537 21909 11 205 9 213 6 213 4 138 3 354 21909 20235 9 205 6 250 4 273 5 057 6 011 20235 18543 7 197 4 241 6 313 7 349 7 009 18543 16921 4 189 4 218 6 314 8 348 8 001 16921 15446 1 248 4 231 6 305 8 345 10 355 15446 14130 3 320 4 265 6 301 8 337 11 351 14130 12949 5 333 4 296 7 304 9 338 12 349 12949 11886 6 340 5 308 7 310 9 344 13 350 11886 10928 5 345 5 315 7 318 8 351 13 351 10928 10065 5 353 4 327 7 331 8 359 12 352 10065 9291 4 005 4 343 7 344 8 007 10 355 9291 8596 3 020 4 353 8 354 8 013 9 001 8596 7964 3 037 3 360 7 354 7 014 8 007 7964 7397 2 041 2 354 4*339 6 004 6 009 7397 6917 2 030 1*237 2*273 5 349 5 003 6917 6546 2 034 2*204 2 249 3 328 5 354 6546 6289 3 031 3 200 3 236 2 296 4 344 6289 6132 3*012 3 198 3 231 2*262 3*332 6132 6042 4*004 3 197 3 228 2*260 3*330 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography