DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.4 - - 39.4 - - 45.6 - - 42.0 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 145 - - 182 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1106 - - 1636 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth Hcrit 6025 - - 6130 - - 6645 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 6974 - - 7504 - - 6042 - - 6042 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 558 - - 668 - - 1007 - - 1245 - - 744 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 230 - - 283 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 127 - - 202 - - 212 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6213 - - -5770 - - -6742 - - -7370 - - -6166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12254 - - 12744 - - 14247 - - 13413 - - 12209 sfcLCL ODpotential -16879 - - -13145 - - -12643 - - -13770 - - -14237 ODpotential blCL 22920 - - 20119 - - 20147 - - 19812 - - 20279 blCL maxRH 81 - - 83 - - 85 - - 78 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.4 - - 39.4 - - 45.6 - - 42.0 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.8 - - 5.3 - - 4.6 - - 4.9 - - 2.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 38.2 - - 44.2 - - 42.7 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.8 - - 5.0 - - 4.4 - - 4.6 - - 2.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 145 - - 182 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1106 - - 1636 - - 174 - - 174 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 23 - - 31 - - 39 - - 13 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95352 18 290 26 270 42 278 39 279 36 284 95352 88512 16 292 23 287 25 297 22 302 21 290 88512 83176 15 321 21 287 23 307 18 332 16 346 83176 78716 13 317 20 291 19 296 20 325 25 355 78716 74855 15 327 19 306 18 312 21 322 28 346 74855 71445 22 341 20 315 20 317 17 316 19 329 71445 68355 27 331 18 337 15 333 11 335 12 318 68355 65485 32 320 30 327 25 342 21 350 19 342 65485 62795 34 314 35 319 32 325 30 331 25 328 62795 60179 39 311 38 315 37 314 37 325 35 325 60179 57448 46 313 42 313 43 309 44 315 41 318 57448 54608 58 310 52 310 51 308 50 307 46 309 54608 51885 68 304 61 305 58 305 54 303 49 304 51885 49418 72 298 69 299 61 300 57 299 52 301 49418 47191 72 295 71 293 62 296 60 293 54 296 47191 45160 69 294 68 288 65 292 64 290 56 295 45160 43294 63 294 63 287 66 287 62 289 56 294 43294 41558 60 291 58 285 62 285 58 288 54 294 41558 39936 61 284 59 282 57 285 57 282 51 290 39936 38427 61 283 66 275 66 279 59 279 54 279 38427 37038 59 282 69 270 74 264 68 268 65 271 37038 35737 53 280 64 268 72 266 77 276 81 271 35737 34456 50 282 50 267 64 273 88 275 91 269 34456 33155 50 279 49 275 58 275 82 276 86 270 33155 31834 48 277 53 273 48 273 67 282 71 273 31834 30482 44 280 49 271 44 276 56 286 51 272 30482 29089 39 291 42 276 46 275 55 284 48 272 29089 27652 38 294 37 277 44 270 56 281 46 277 27652 26173 39 290 34 277 39 272 52 281 43 280 26173 24657 38 288 34 274 37 269 43 283 41 283 24657 23109 35 292 31 281 31 274 38 282 39 282 23109 21525 32 296 29 291 29 283 33 280 35 280 21525 19898 31 297 27 295 28 290 30 285 32 282 19898 18258 30 296 25 292 27 293 28 293 30 288 18258 16685 27 296 22 289 25 294 25 297 29 295 16685 15252 24 297 19 290 23 294 23 295 28 299 15252 13969 22 298 17 293 20 296 20 294 27 298 13969 12817 20 299 14 298 16 301 17 296 25 296 12817 11777 18 299 13 304 13 308 14 299 22 294 11777 10839 15 297 11 312 10 320 11 305 18 291 10839 9993 13 295 9 319 10 336 7 316 14 284 9993 9234 11 291 8 323 9 347 5 333 11 274 9234 8552 9 285 6 325 7 349 4 330 9 262 8552 7931 5 269 3 333 3*336 3 297 9 255 7931 7374 3 215 1*069 2*216 3 256 7 253 7374 6903 3 163 2*103 3 204 4 228 5 252 6903 6538 3 123 2 125 4 201 4 216 2 256 6538 6285 3 076 3 133 4 198 4 213 1 290 6285 6131 5 049 3 139 4 197 4*211 1*353 6131 6042 5*040 3 138 4 198 3*212 2*356 6042 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography