DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 425 - - 124 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6534 - - 10790 - - 9498 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10782 - - 14177 - - 12288 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12402 - - 16658 - - 15366 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1946 - - 1820 - - 3354 - - 3886 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 631 - - 704 - - 449 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 283 - - 296 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 15 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - 44 - - -20 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2459 - - 373 - - -711 - - -7459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14862 - - 16285 - - 16078 - - 13504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4735 - - -438 - - -2348 - - -10514 ODpotential blCL - - - 17137 - - 17096 - - 17714 - - 16558 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 91 - - 93 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 71.0 - - 69.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 19.9 - - 19.9 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 68.2 - - 68.7 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 19.4 - - 19.5 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 425 - - 124 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6534 - - 10790 - - 9498 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 64 - - 73 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98155 13 136 17 080 15 116 14 131 98155 90738 16 129 8 114 10 122 9 086 90738 85043 17 108 8 149 6 077 9 084 85043 80310 13 084 5 135 1 035 5 038 80310 76230 1 127 3 208 4 138 2 101 76230 72606 6 150 10 238 3 288 3 048 72606 69316 5 160 10 234 8 239 6 251 69316 66284 5 250 5 216 10 208 10 260 66284 63463 17 256 8 238 11 221 14 237 63463 60730 16 237 11 233 11 249 9 224 60730 57873 10 264 11 254 11 267 7 277 57873 54925 12 285 14 279 18 299 16 309 54925 52135 17 298 19 294 21 298 17 305 52135 49638 20 292 17 290 21 306 21 301 49638 47410 27 298 19 291 27 301 18 290 47410 45394 35 282 28 286 30 301 30 314 45394 43560 43 274 35 281 37 300 38 307 43560 41881 56 270 41 275 37 297 35 299 41881 40324 62 265 47 272 36 295 31 300 40324 38871 56 262 49 271 36 296 32 307 38871 37517 49 261 47 270 38 293 36 313 37517 36231 47 261 43 267 39 291 37 314 36231 34948 45 262 41 267 38 290 36 316 34948 33640 39 261 40 269 36 293 35 316 33640 32306 34 261 40 269 35 297 33 311 32306 30934 31 264 40 270 37 300 33 307 30934 29517 28 269 38 273 36 296 33 303 29517 28058 24 284 32 277 34 289 32 293 28058 26561 23 303 28 281 38 289 32 286 26561 25030 21 297 28 278 37 289 28 286 25030 23468 23 282 32 284 27 282 27 282 23468 21867 21 267 35 287 23 270 28 272 21867 20223 20 255 34 282 23 260 29 263 20223 18563 23 255 27 266 23 255 29 258 18563 16968 26 258 19*254 18 255 28 258 16968 15514 25 264 14*248 15*260 27 260 15514 14210 20 271 12 249 14*264 25 265 14210 13036 12*280 10 253 13 277 22 272 13036 11974 7*288 10 259 13 283 19 281 11974 11013 7 295 9 271 13 293 16 291 11013 10144 6 305 9 285 13 299 14 305 10144 9363 7 328 10 299 14 304 12 324 9363 8658 9 343 11 311 14 307 13 345 8658 8015 10 350 12 318 15 308 16 000 8015 7437 11 352 12 321 15 310 19 008 7437 6947 11 354 12 323 15 310 21 010 6947 6565 11 355 12 324 14 311 20 012 6565 6300 11 355 12 324 14 311 17 012 6300 6137 10 355 12 324 13 311 15*012 6137 6044 9 356 11 324 12 311 10*013 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography