DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.2 - - 61.8 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 177 - - 4 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4603 - - 6507 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8988 - - 10262 - - 6027 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10471 - - 12375 - - 6044 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2887 - - 3123 - - 2090 - - 2139 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 448 - - 55 - - 43 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 186 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 0 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 133 - - 101 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 15 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 618 - - 1014 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9853 - - 11361 - - 6044 - - 6044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1241 - - -544 - - -2304 - - -1512 ODpotential blCL - - - 11712 - - 12919 - - 8348 - - 7556 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 90 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 280 - - 1260 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 73.2 - - 61.8 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 44.2 - - 57.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 71.5 - - 61.6 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 43.5 - - 56.3 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 177 - - 4 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4603 - - 6507 - - 176 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 59 - - 88 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98337 7 099 10 101 12 130 3 161 98337 90997 11 123 12 142 10 106 16 113 90997 85327 13 116 14 134 5 103 10 105 85327 80620 11 106 6 112 6 089 7 076 80620 76577 3 141 3 060 4 057 8 058 76577 73012 7 211 4 317 4 342 7 033 73012 69789 8 165 4 233 5 254 5 325 69789 66818 9 153 12 185 9 242 5 279 66818 64057 4 213 8 191 10 227 9 245 64057 61390 9 258 9 246 8 235 8 230 61390 58615 17 223 19 231 19 232 15 239 58615 55742 20 202 27 208 23 215 22 219 55742 53005 22 227 22 215 22 225 21 228 53005 50541 35 234 33 223 34 229 33 228 50541 48329 46 212 41 221 38 228 34 222 48329 46313 45 199 45 215 40 224 34 219 46313 44461 38 193 45 203 40 212 36 212 44461 42754 35 192 42 196 38 202 38 209 42754 41173 38 192 39 188 33 197 37 202 41173 39701 39 191 32 182 28 186 29 188 39701 38328 38 185 27 176 24 169 23 172 38328 37017 31 184 29 168 22 168 19 173 37017 35703 21 185 26 173 19 181 17 152 35703 34358 19 176 20 173 16 177 25 130 34358 32985 22 166 22 181 16 164 27 129 32985 31571 23 172 24 191 17 162 23 134 31571 30107 21 195 22 194 16 167 20 143 30107 28599 19 214 15 202 14 162 17 154 28599 27047 14 205 10 211 13 148 15 162 27047 25458 8 158 6 180 9 125 13 166 25458 23836 8 158 8 193 7 138 10 166 23836 22177 5 179 8 193 7 159 4 154 22177 20473 2 221 5 177 5 173 6 162 20473 18755 2 212 3 192 3 211 3 192 18755 17110 2 124 1 273 3 234 3 211 17110 15615 4 074 2 029 4 278 1 304 15615 14282 6 060 3 041 5 292 6 357 14282 13089 7 055 3*042 5 292 8 358 13089 12013 7 045 3*043 5 273 6 347 12013 11040 8*034 2 047 4 245 4 303 11040 10161 7*029 1 058 4 210 4 232 10161 9371 7 029 1 098 5 170 7 190 9371 8661 6 032 1 177 7 145 11 164 8661 8016 4 038 1 197 9 129 13 147 8016 7436 3 045 2 202 9 119 12 137 7436 6946 2 057 2 206 10 109 8 128 6946 6565 2 071 2 207 11 104 5 113 6565 6299 2 080 2 207 10 101 4 099 6299 6137 2 087 2 206 9*101 4*095 6137 6044 2 093 3 209 8*101 4*092 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography