DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.1 - - 64.2 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 52 - - 46 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2217 - - 1650 - - 10400 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6801 - - 6026 - - 11841 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8085 - - 7518 - - 16268 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2278 - - 6741 - - 2838 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 264 - - 210 - - 338 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 11 - - 27 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 199 - - 226 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 7 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 37 - - 32 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 826 - - -572 - - 2096 - - -6653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7259 - - 8090 - - 14172 - - 12697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1778 - - -2999 - - 431 - - -9715 ODpotential blCL - - - 9863 - - 10517 - - 15837 - - 15758 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 84 - - 94 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 760 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.1 - - 64.2 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 42.3 - - 22.8 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 56.5 - - 63.7 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 41.0 - - 22.3 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 52 - - 46 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2217 - - 1650 - - 10400 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 37 - - 77 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97207 48 264 53 270 55 283 53 285 97207 89799 38 267 37 278 44 285 43 285 89799 84139 22 269 30 269 31 281 35 280 84139 79505 19 284 23 264 24 280 28 274 79505 75544 27 281 20 264 23 274 18 278 75544 72030 26 281 18 266 20 273 15 280 72030 68820 16 261 14 248 16 254 17 246 68820 65855 7 240 11 225 10 260 17 223 65855 63094 11 252 14 229 13 272 16 239 63094 60408 24 254 16 246 20 243 19 249 60408 57602 26 231 20 259 21 224 18 245 57602 54679 25 242 20 257 17 220 23 228 54679 51877 36 248 24 248 16 227 27 234 51877 49361 42 236 36 241 33 244 33 241 49361 47119 46 232 47 235 46 242 37 240 47119 45086 51 230 51 233 49 238 39 244 45086 43235 51 230 54 237 49 242 43 249 43235 41549 55 236 60 237 54 246 45 251 41549 40001 62 236 63 234 60 243 43 250 40001 38570 62 233 63 231 62 235 39 246 38570 37237 59 234 60 231 60 229 32 246 37237 35965 58 236 56 234 54 228 26 253 35965 34692 57 237 55 237 50 233 26 265 34692 33389 55 237 56 238 48 239 32 265 33389 32062 54 234 57 238 45 245 38 265 32062 30699 53 227 58 237 42 251 39 266 30699 29292 53 222 57 236 38 256 35 264 29292 27844 52 219 55 235 35 259 32 259 27844 26357 50 218 53 233 33 261 31 255 26357 24832 48 218 51 228 32 263 31 253 24832 23274 47 218 52 223 34 263 31 252 23274 21677 45 221 51 224 37 258 31 249 21677 20040 43 225 48 227 36 247 34 245 20040 18396 41 228 43 229 32 234 34 238 18396 16826 39 230 41 233 31*230 31 222 16826 15398 37 231 41 237 30*228 31 219 15398 14116 36 231 40 238 30 227 30 222 14116 12960 35 232 35 235 29 227 30 225 12960 11914 33 231 29 229 29 227 29 227 11914 10966 31 226 26 224 28 226 29 230 10966 10108 28 219 24 220 27 225 29 232 10108 9336 26 211 22 216 26 225 28 234 9336 8638 23*205 19 212 25 225 28 236 8638 8001 20*200 17*207 25 224 27 238 8001 7427 18 195 14*204 24 224 26 239 7427 6940 16 190 12 200 23 224 23 238 6940 6561 14 183 10 197 23 224 19 236 6561 6297 12 179 10 195 22 223 14 232 6297 6136 12 177 9 193 19 223 12 230 6136 6043 10 176 8 193 16 223 6*229 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography