DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 48.5 - - 52.5 - - 47.4 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 77 - - 60 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top 6042 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 563 - - 1627 - - 2101 - - 1063 - - 414 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 105 - - 98 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 147 - - 170 - - 219 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -584 - - -1266 - - 1 - - -239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6042 - - 6628 - - 7310 - - 6043 - - 6283 sfcLCL ODpotential -9494 - - -6376 - - -5957 - - -4433 - - -8009 ODpotential blCL 15536 - - 12419 - - 12000 - - 10476 - - 14052 blCL maxRH 74 - - 75 - - 69 - - 76 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 48.5 - - 52.5 - - 47.4 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 43.9 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 47.6 - - 51.7 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 39.3 - - 40.1 - - 43.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 77 - - 60 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 174 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96181 49 286 46 301 36 285 37 281 44 287 96181 89154 35 296 33 294 35 298 25 311 24 294 89154 83714 21 312 26 294 29 307 27 317 21 320 83714 79178 16 332 19 309 19 304 25 310 24 326 79178 75252 14 338 16 313 16 312 17 308 21 326 75252 71766 14 329 16 314 17 300 19 298 21 317 71766 68608 12 322 11 303 16 280 23 288 22 313 68608 65718 14 317 12 287 15 261 23 288 18 298 65718 63049 21 298 20 290 15 282 22 286 24 289 63049 60478 28 293 28 284 26 274 31 265 32 272 60478 57816 30 283 27 275 28 268 29 268 30 268 57816 55062 28 295 30 288 33 277 28 274 32 263 55062 52429 45 302 43 289 36 289 39 290 37 277 52429 50043 61 290 55 288 54 283 55 282 51 275 50043 47893 61 286 58 280 61 275 59 271 63 269 47893 45935 52 295 51 284 56 274 56 266 65 263 45935 44135 51 305 51 297 56 285 56 274 60 267 44135 42471 51 314 53 308 59 294 58 282 56 273 42471 40917 45 312 51 315 59 297 55 283 53 271 40917 39452 34 311 41 310 46 306 48 284 43 270 39452 38074 32 318 30 302 35 307 31 287 35 265 38074 36754 32 330 26 311 31 294 29 277 33 254 36754 35428 26 329 24 312 27 295 32 281 29 257 35428 34068 24 317 22 311 26 295 29 289 23 266 34068 32683 12 296 20 312 22 295 26 287 22 266 32683 31260 2 027 12 286 16 308 17 292 20 259 31260 29791 7 065 2 231 12 295 9 290 13 223 29791 28281 11 055 6 106 5 231 11 232 16 214 28281 26735 14 048 12 087 11 134 16 172 20 187 26735 25162 12 060 12 094 15 122 21 163 24 184 25162 23562 15 091 14 120 15 145 17 187 20 193 23562 21927 18 097 16 132 15 174 10 197 14 196 21927 20252 12 097 12 140 13 181 10 189 12 197 20252 18561 5 103 6 154 9 170 12 182 13 191 18561 16939 5 102 6 153 8 146 13 167 16 177 16939 15463 9 106 9 141 11 138 15 162 18 171 15463 14145 11 117 11 148 12 145 16 162 19 168 14145 12964 10 131 11 162 11 155 14 160 18 168 12964 11901 7 141 9 168 9 159 12 158 16 172 11901 10944 4 157 6 170 7 157 10 161 13 179 10944 10081 3 209 2 185 5 147 7 169 11 186 10081 9307 4 223 2 241 3 129 5 177 10 187 9307 8612 4 207 1 237 2 098 3 192 8 181 8612 7978 3 188 1 175 2 073 2 203 6 168 7978 7409 4 165 2 106 2 059 1 244 4 147 7409 6927 4 146 2 098 1 116 1 333 4 117 6927 6553 3 123 2 125 1 152 1 262 5 088 6553 6293 3 088 2 140 1 166 2 229 6 062 6293 6134 4*060 2*145 2*167 3*221 6*044 6134 6043 4*050 2*147 2*170 2*219 5*037 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography