DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.7 - - 56.1 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 117 - - 173 - - 105 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 330 - - 1430 - - 2439 - - 3937 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 3782 - - 4711 - - 5487 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top 3733 - - 4833 - - 5842 - - 7340 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2187 - - 2394 - - 2043 - - 2654 - - 4323 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 233 - - 313 - - 309 - - 14 W* B/S 17 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 324 - - 322 - - 337 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -8 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2660 - - -570 - - 360 - - 524 - - -2677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6393 - - 5404 - - 5483 - - 6817 - - 6234 sfcLCL ODpotential -6738 - - -2028 - - -406 - - -185 - - -4666 ODpotential blCL 10471 - - 6861 - - 6248 - - 7525 - - 8223 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.7 - - 56.1 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 39.5 - - 41.1 - - 38.7 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.3 - - 55.1 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 38.4 - - 40.5 - - 38.4 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 117 - - 173 - - 105 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 330 - - 1430 - - 2439 - - 3937 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97794 8 057 5 083 5 199 9 258 3 009 97794 90420 11 065 4 105 3 020 8 038 7 014 90420 84751 7 053 6 129 2 355 12 027 5 016 84751 80045 5 058 1 120 4 329 5 015 4 017 80045 75973 1 006 4 285 7 337 4 323 4 346 75973 72352 4 293 8 267 9 321 6 290 7 316 72352 69067 6 318 9 264 11 295 6 319 4 331 69067 66036 8 305 7 295 14 289 15 311 12 347 66036 63219 13 317 8 322 11 289 15 296 16 323 63219 60499 15 317 11 322 8 327 15 304 18 320 60499 57664 10 326 17 320 13 328 20 319 22 325 57664 54734 15 328 17 318 17 309 23 325 24 332 54734 51953 20 328 18 316 23 312 32 336 25 344 51953 49448 21 324 22 329 23 319 34 338 37 349 49448 47198 26 331 31 334 27 331 38 340 40 346 47198 45147 34 325 34 328 28 332 38 337 38 343 45147 43264 36 308 36 321 32 336 35 336 38 341 43264 41533 35 294 37 316 38 330 36 335 36 339 41533 39943 42 294 36 309 37 313 37 325 36 335 39943 38479 43 283 43 288 35 300 38 319 38 331 38479 37127 40 282 47 271 33 296 37 314 39 328 37127 35840 40 286 41 267 30 294 32 305 36 325 35840 34546 38 284 38 272 28 295 30 304 33 326 34546 33215 31 273 39 275 28 299 33 308 30 328 33215 31847 24 271 41 275 29 299 34 312 29 328 31847 30428 23 270 41 279 29 300 34 315 30 326 30428 28947 27 274 41 287 29 304 32 310 30 325 28947 27405 31 283 37 292 28 306 27 306 29 325 27405 25804 33 290 34 297 26 301 22 306 28 324 25804 24146 36 294 32 301 19 300 20 307 27 322 24146 22434 38 296 33 301 12 319 18 314 27 322 22434 20664 37 299 32 300 12 329 19 318 27 322 20664 18830 36 300 35 298 15 325 20 322 27 325 18830 16969 32 296 36 293 18 325 21 334 26 326 16969 15182 28 290 33 291 20 330 20 346 24 331 15182 13555 24 290 28 293 20 330 18 354 23 338 13555 12106 21 295 23 296 19 318 16 351 22 344 12106 10813 19 301 20 301 18 303 14 329 20 340 10813 9659 19 305 19 306 18 296 10 309 17 316 9659 8631 19 308 18 309 17 293 11 310 15 302 8631 7716 17 309 16 309 15 293 11*317 15 307 7716 6902 15 309 14 308 12 293 11*329 15 318 6902 6177 13 308 11 305 10*298 12 333 16 327 6177 5523 9 306 8 303 8*305 12 336 17 333 5523 4940 4 304 6*310 6 319 12 338 18 337 4940 4450 4 302 5*319 6 324 12 340 18 340 4450 4070 4 280 5 324 6 328 12 341 17 341 4070 3808 2*274 5 326 5 332 12 341 15 343 3808 3649 1*282 4 327 5 332 11 342 13*343 3649 3557 1 281 4 328 5 333 10 342 9*344 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography