DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/07 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 42.8 - - 45.1 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 229 - - 144 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3675 - - 3689 - - 4299 - - 2802 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5653 - - 5736 - - 5954 - - 3540 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7078 - - 7092 - - 7702 - - 6205 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3696 - - 4499 - - 3933 - - 3242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 391 - - 353 - - 166 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 337 - - 347 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1115 - - 735 - - 597 - - 639 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5964 - - 6357 - - 7105 - - 5567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 87 - - 350 - - 33 - - 44 ODpotential blCL - - - 6991 - - 6742 - - 7669 - - 6161 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.7 - - 42.8 - - 45.1 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.2 - - 27.6 - - 26.6 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 41.2 - - 44.0 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.0 - - 27.3 - - 26.5 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 229 - - 144 - - 23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3675 - - 3689 - - 4299 - - 2802 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98302 2 259 9 017 11 023 12 030 98302 90883 2 071 4 025 13 031 13 021 90883 85185 7 050 6 068 10 342 13 017 85185 80464 7 042 7 062 4 333 15 040 80464 76362 4 062 3 358 7 077 8 067 76362 72705 6 135 5 258 6 058 3 133 72705 69395 4 134 6 228 4 358 3 137 69395 66354 2 264 3 314 4 353 4 084 66354 63528 2 262 6 302 7 336 8 028 63528 60783 0 198 5 316 4 335 7 320 60783 57915 9 332 6 005 10 355 7 335 57915 54927 12 312 14 324 20 323 16 343 54927 52073 19 334 20 328 24 323 25 346 52073 49510 29 336 25 336 29 332 31 341 49510 47215 36 328 34 332 34 336 33 344 47215 45139 43 326 41 333 39 336 40 343 45139 43248 49 329 50 330 47 332 45 341 43248 41513 56 329 54 327 55 333 50 341 41513 39913 62 329 57 330 64 333 57 343 39913 38430 69 332 66 333 75 335 69 340 38430 37056 77 334 80 333 83 334 77 340 37056 35750 84 335 87 332 85 337 82 344 35750 34436 91 335 93 339 90 345 90 347 34436 33085 99 336 109 343 102 349 95 346 33085 31694 105 338 116 341 108 347 95 345 31694 30254 106 339 112 340 106 343 93 346 30254 28757 102 338 101 341 104 342 92 346 28757 27203 97 337 90 341 101 346 90 347 27203 25590 90 339 84 341 90 349 89 351 25590 23919 82 339 77 343 80 349 87 354 23919 22199 78 340 71 344 73 349 81 355 22199 20429 79 345 68 343 68 351 71 355 20429 18602 75 347 65 345 64 350 64 354 18602 16747 63 345 60 348 60 349 60 354 16747 14965 52 343 52 349 54 350 55 356 14965 13347 41 341 42 346 45 351 49 359 13347 11912 31 340 24 337 26 344 40 002 11912 10643 23 338 21 335 21 338 24 357 10643 9521 21 339 21 335 20 339 15 346 9521 8520 19 340 20 334 18*342 14 342 8520 7626 18*337 19*332 17*344 15 340 7626 6830 16*333 18*333 17 345 15*338 6830 6121 15 330 17 334 17 346 16*338 6121 5481 15 329 16 336 17 347 16 338 5481 4910 14 328 16 338 17 348 16 337 4910 4430 14 328 15 340 17 348 16 337 4430 4059 13 329 15 341 16 348 16 337 4059 3803 12 329 14 341 16 348 15 337 3803 3646 12 329 13 342 15 348 14 337 3646 3557 10 329 11 342 12 348 11 337 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography