DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Beloit_WI 817ft pt38417@42.519,-89.104,854ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.2 - - 24.4 - - 33.3 - - 37.0 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 23 - - 112 - - 6 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 26 - - 27 - - 1020 - - 27 - - 27 BL Depth Hcrit 827 - - 827 - - 828 - - 828 - - 828 Hcrit BL Top 843 - - 844 - - 1837 - - 844 - - 844 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 296 - - 635 - - 608 - - 1598 - - 878 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 35 - - 200 - - 26 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 24 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 166 - - 188 - - 195 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -368 - - -1215 - - -214 - - -940 - - -232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1211 - - 2060 - - 2051 - - 1785 - - 1076 sfcLCL ODpotential -13130 - - -12159 - - -8981 - - -8834 - - -8114 ODpotential blCL 13973 - - 13003 - - 10818 - - 9678 - - 8958 blCL maxRH 90 - - 80 - - 89 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 18.2 - - 24.4 - - 33.3 - - 37.0 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.2 - - 18.6 - - 27.3 - - 32.0 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.7 - - 24.1 - - 32.6 - - 36.8 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 18.0 - - 26.6 - - 31.5 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 23 - - 112 - - 6 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 26 - - 27 - - 1020 - - 27 - - 27 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 21 - - 56 - - 48 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96167 23 309 18 295 15 316 15 313 12 296 96167 88983 17 292 19 272 20 291 16 292 19 286 88983 83389 24 291 17 285 20 277 20 290 27 275 83389 78741 29 272 21 291 18 275 22 276 27 278 78741 74713 29 272 26 279 26 286 27 266 29 285 74713 71132 32 281 30 269 34 278 32 270 37 283 71132 67888 30 274 32 278 37 273 35 274 38 275 67888 64897 30 281 33 280 40 270 38 275 36 281 64897 62104 36 283 34 286 43 272 40 281 40 282 62104 59390 40 284 37 287 43 273 42 284 44 280 59390 56560 47 289 42 289 45 277 46 282 46 279 56560 53623 55 291 50 286 48 281 52 278 51 282 53623 50821 63 292 57 286 51 288 54 279 58 280 50821 48301 66 292 65 287 60 290 61 285 58 271 48301 46046 69 291 74 285 68 281 70 280 61 270 46046 44009 72 294 78 284 71 276 68 271 64 272 44009 42152 78 292 75 283 77 281 66 278 66 276 42152 40444 82 290 76 284 83 283 75 286 70 277 40444 38876 85 290 85 286 92 282 88 281 79 273 38876 37437 93 292 94 284 98 279 91 277 87 268 37437 36105 102 293 101 282 101 278 93 275 91 265 36105 34821 107 293 103 281 101 278 97 275 92 264 34821 33514 107 293 103 282 100 280 99 276 93 267 33514 32157 101 293 102 282 99 281 97 278 97 272 32157 30755 96 294 99 283 97 282 87 276 97 273 30755 29296 90 296 92 283 93 286 78 276 88 270 29296 27769 84 292 79 283 88 287 70 277 82 266 27769 26170 76 294 71 288 85 285 69 271 77 266 26170 24497 71 300 72 290 81 282 67 271 71 268 24497 22754 64 301 71 289 73 280 63 276 66 268 22754 20943 56 300 67 286 68 279 61 281 61 275 20943 19056 48 303 62 285 64 276 58 275 53 279 19056 17089 45 301 54 289 59 275 54 270 48 276 17089 15085 45 298 46 287 45 277 46 270 49 280 15085 13156 42 292 39 284 39 278 40 269 47 277 13156 11401 37 286 34 281 36 272 37 275 42 269 11401 9834 34 277 31 269 36 262 36 277 42 263 9834 8437 30 264 33 259 37 249 37 273 43 256 8437 7189 26 258 32 255 37 251 38 261 41 254 7189 6078 25 260 33 224 39 246 39 253 43 254 6078 5094 24 260 32 222 41 228 41 249 45 255 5094 4229 18 256 32 215 42 215 43 239 48 253 4229 3470 10 236 32 207 45 210 43 226 49 246 3470 2797 11 196 30 196 43 200 41 215 47 236 2797 2208 13 193 28 183 36*194 36 205 43 224 2208 1720 15 204 26 176 28*188 30 198 36 217 1720 1346 15 203 22 173 26 188 27 197 29 215 1346 1089 14 189 16 168 24 187 24 196 21 212 1089 933 10 184 14*167 22 187 21 195 18 211 933 844 4*177 11*166 17 187 15*195 10*208 844 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography