DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 1.0 - - 5.0 - - 13.1 - - 16.5 - - 12.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 165 - - 251 - - 108 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 249 - - 1131 - - 1649 - - 250 - - 249 BL Depth Hcrit 2790 - - 2876 - - 3425 - - 2791 - - 2791 Hcrit BL Top 2807 - - 3689 - - 4207 - - 2808 - - 2807 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1366 - - 495 - - 536 - - 2098 - - 909 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 235 - - 307 - - 124 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 19 - - 14 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 314 - - 307 - - 301 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -7 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -868 - - -971 - - -1284 - - -2934 - - -1607 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3675 - - 4661 - - 5491 - - 5742 - - 4414 sfcLCL ODpotential -19099 - - -17870 - - -17283 - - -16850 - - -17392 ODpotential blCL 21906 - - 21559 - - 21490 - - 19658 - - 20199 blCL maxRH 82 - - 63 - - 55 - - 51 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 1.0 - - 5.0 - - 13.1 - - 16.5 - - 12.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.6 - - -4.9 - - -0.5 - - 1.7 - - 3.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 0.4 - - 3.8 - - 11.4 - - 15.2 - - 12.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.9 - - -6.2 - - -2.8 - - -0.2 - - 2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 165 - - 251 - - 108 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 249 - - 1131 - - 1649 - - 250 - - 249 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95585 50 248 49 246 56 237 68 238 70 254 95585 88313 52 257 39 252 44 245 51 248 49 260 88313 82852 47 251 37 250 38 248 45 251 39 269 82852 78366 29 244 31 234 33 240 38 251 31 263 78366 74519 31 266 32 251 32 248 33 260 25 268 74519 71122 42 274 38 267 34 269 32 268 27 287 71122 68048 41 265 32 261 33 270 33 268 32 284 68048 65207 33 254 28 253 28 267 31 263 33 271 65207 62543 24 244 30 256 27 270 33 266 33 276 62543 59925 31 273 33 272 36 278 38 276 41 283 59925 57158 47 275 46 283 49 280 53 276 47 273 57158 54237 46 281 60 279 61 278 58 276 52 277 54237 51418 65 275 66 278 70 279 64 288 73 271 51418 48888 69 273 72 280 74 283 90 276 79 274 48888 46643 74 279 78 281 84 282 94 271 97 278 46643 44632 76 279 80 282 88 277 92 280 103 278 44632 42811 76 286 86 285 89 283 98 290 109 287 42811 41146 88 289 94 287 98 292 114 295 134 296 41146 39604 95 290 100 292 116 298 143 297 154 294 39604 38164 99 292 108 298 135 298 161 296 160 292 38164 36810 106 297 120 299 143 296 159 294 157 292 36810 35503 117 301 130 298 144 294 148 293 155 293 35503 34182 127 301 135 297 141 294 136 293 146 295 34182 32822 131 299 132 296 133 293 130 294 133 295 32822 31426 129 300 126 294 123 293 126 293 121 294 31426 29980 126 302 118 293 117 294 118 292 113 293 29980 28473 125 305 112 294 114 295 111 294 107 290 28473 26902 124 301 106 294 106 293 108 294 97 291 26902 25266 127 297 97 292 96 291 109 294 90 295 25266 23567 126 299 91 292 90 290 103 296 93 298 23567 21807 118 302 90 293 85 291 91 296 91 300 21807 19987 103 301 89 294 80 293 82 294 83 300 19987 18103 86 298 84 295 80 295 77 295 75 300 18103 16188 72 298 72 295 76 297 73 298 67 299 16188 14345 64 302 58 298 65 298 65 300 60 299 14345 12671 58 307 51 302 53 299 54 300 51 298 12671 11192 55 312 49 307 46 303 42 301 41 297 11192 9886 52 315 47 312 43 309 35 305 33 295 9886 8729 49 318 45 317 40 314 31 313 27 296 8729 7699 47 319 43 323 36 319 27 319 22 299 7699 6788 45 320 42 328 34 326 26 326 17 306 6788 5984 43 321 42 332 30 330 21 329 14 318 5984 5276 40 322 39 333 27 330 17 327 12 328 5276 4645 39 322 37 331 24*327 15 322 9 331 4645 4092 34 319 31*325 18*313 12 308 8 334 4092 3633 28 314 24*318 16 308 11 306 9 342 3633 3281 24 311 21 314 14 306 10 305 9 348 3281 3039 19 308 18 313 13 305 9 303 8 350 3039 2892 15*306 15 311 11 303 8*302 6 351 2892 2807 10*303 10 309 8 301 6*301 3*352 2807 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography