DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.0 - - 78.1 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 257 - - 104 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 6793 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 7353 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 9351 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6087 - - 1489 - - 8903 - - 5209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 504 - - 127 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 15 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 028 - - 059 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5022 - - -254 - - -7243 - - -4310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7839 - - 9606 - - 10060 - - 7128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6982 - - -3979 - - -7751 - - -6567 ODpotential blCL - - - 9799 - - 13330 - - 10568 - - 9384 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 71 - - 86 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 77.0 - - 78.1 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 44.5 - - 43.7 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 74.7 - - 76.7 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 43.5 - - 42.7 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 257 - - 104 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 6793 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98159 3 004 10 096 7 104 10 077 98159 90830 8 088 7 133 4 108 7 056 90830 85179 11 082 5 107 6 114 4 057 85179 80484 9 081 9 077 10 085 5 096 80484 76434 8 098 10 093 9 065 8 071 76434 72854 12 101 5 100 8 072 8 056 72854 69614 15 092 7 142 3 106 6 057 69614 66636 11 060 12 125 5 218 2 023 66636 63878 5 028 11 110 4 171 3 207 63878 61213 4 340 8 085 3 102 4 182 61213 58438 1 286 5 049 3 105 3 180 58438 55564 2 049 2 083 3 136 3 150 55564 52822 3 332 6 099 3 163 3 142 52822 50357 8 314 5 352 6 126 5 153 50357 48146 9 277 9 289 5 038 5 094 48146 46140 5 319 6 279 5 002 5 043 46140 44300 11 315 4 324 4 030 5 066 44300 42600 11 252 7 256 1 316 6 077 42600 41019 15 214 14 203 9 226 0 087 41019 39545 18 214 24 186 23 190 7 234 39545 38166 27 211 29 184 35 179 28 193 38166 36838 34 202 32 189 42 179 35 182 36838 35490 33 201 33 192 41 184 32 196 35490 34095 29 205 31 191 36 194 22 210 34095 32659 24 216 30 196 29 205 15 224 32659 31168 24 230 24 213 22 218 4 261 31168 29615 23 247 17 247 5 304 6 059 29615 28005 14 263 11 317 16 023 16 059 28005 26332 11 317 14 008 18 028 18 047 26332 24593 17 007 18 017 18 026 16 037 24593 22791 16 014 18 019 17 021 16 022 22791 20923 13 009 18 025 18 021 17 013 20923 18984 10 359 17 028 20 023 19 024 18984 17013 10 357 14 018 18 027 17 037 17013 15117 12 002 10 357 12 026 13 049 15117 13392 14 010 12 023 11 039 12 064 13392 11858 13 015 13 028 10 026 10 044 11858 10496 13 022 9*021 8 016 10 012 10496 9281 12 026 8*019 8 016 9 014 9281 8192 11 035 8 020 7 020 8 029 8192 7219 10 043 7 023 6 027 7 045 7219 6355 9 046 7 027 6 033 7 061 6355 5585 9 046 6 030 5 038 7 076 5585 4892 8 045 6 034 5 044 7 090 4892 4275 7 043 5 038 4 049 7 101 4275 3757 6 039 5 041 4 051 7 109 3757 3357 5 038 4 044 4 055 7 114 3357 3081 4 038 4 046 4 057 6 119 3081 2914 4*038 4 047 4 058 5 120 2914 2817 3*037 3 049 3*059 3*120 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography