DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2801 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4127 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5359 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1784 - - 4970 - - 4515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 328 - - 112 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 345 - - 329 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4170 - - -6042 - - -2150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9529 - - 8859 - - 4967 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10502 - - -9824 - - -4292 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15861 - - 12641 - - 7109 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 71 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.3 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.3 - - 43.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 71.4 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.1 - - 42.1 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2801 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98468 22 132 4 166 2 083 98468 90997 17 132 10 148 3 184 90997 85214 18 102 13 135 7 076 85214 80421 15 085 16 109 10 070 80421 76324 11 077 13 089 8 106 76324 72708 8 050 13 043 7 065 72708 69425 4 063 7 354 8 028 69425 66414 8 004 12 352 14 348 66414 63638 15 347 17 340 17 336 63638 60955 16 324 17 318 22 327 60955 58167 19 319 23 319 28 319 58167 55292 29 313 33 316 30 312 55292 52564 35 308 38 312 35 314 52564 50126 39 301 44 314 40 309 50126 47964 40 292 50 308 45 311 47964 46016 35 285 51 294 53 307 46016 44239 32 288 48 290 54 302 44239 42599 31 293 44 298 52 296 42599 41065 34 298 44 299 49 293 41065 39616 35 296 46 297 47 294 39616 38246 35 290 45 296 46 295 38246 36919 36 297 45 295 47 295 36919 35570 37 304 44 292 48 298 35570 34171 38 304 44 292 47 301 34171 32728 35 295 43 293 46 302 32728 31227 39 287 44 289 46 301 31227 29658 42 287 44 293 45 301 29658 28020 38 291 40 300 42 302 28020 26320 36 309 33 313 35 308 26320 24563 33 315 31 325 31 315 24563 22751 26 315 28 320 31 320 22751 20874 23 317 28 313 28 320 20874 18926 22 320 27 318 24 317 18926 16945 20 308 24 313 22 316 16945 15042 17 303 21 312 20 316 15042 13319 13 298 18 319 16 312 13319 11791 9 300 14 315 13 312 11791 10432 9 314 11 311 10 314 10432 9218 10 323 10 315 7 333 9218 8137 10 323 10 325 5 050 8137 7174 11 333 10 340 7 048 7174 6319 12 346 10 341 8 030 6319 5558 11*348 11 339 9 015 5558 4872 11*348 11 337 10 007 4872 4261 11 347 11 335 11 001 4261 3748 11 345 10 334 10 357 3748 3352 10 344 10 333 10 353 3352 3079 9 343 9 332 8 349 3079 2912 8 343 8*331 6*346 2912 2817 6 342 6*329 3*342 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography