DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - - - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 65.8 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 286 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 2013 - - - - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3361 - - 3730 - - - - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4239 - - 4571 - - - - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 598 - - 612 - - - - - 1424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 344 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 339 - - 351 - - - - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2190 - - -1961 - - - - - -612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6429 - - 6532 - - - - - 3428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14483 - - -12252 - - - - - -12751 ODpotential blCL - - - 18722 - - 16823 - - - - - 15567 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 67 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 65.8 - - - - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 47.0 - - - - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 63.5 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 46.5 - - - - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 286 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 2013 - - - - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97461 6 333 10 227 14 295 97461 90179 13 338 7 338 16 299 90179 84511 12 339 10 341 15 285 84511 79815 10 001 6 322 10 300 79815 75803 11 020 6 349 5 342 75803 72288 6 030 6 332 3 346 72288 69129 8 035 1 036 9 351 69129 66250 8 004 4 006 12 320 66250 63609 6 005 3 333 12 297 63609 61071 12 348 6 005 12 297 61071 58435 18 296 13 310 22 300 58435 55708 23 290 23 301 27 298 55708 53112 29 304 32 298 35 312 53112 50770 31 310 32 299 46 314 50770 48655 41 317 38 300 49 308 48655 46712 44 316 42 298 52 306 46712 44909 49 320 45 307 55 306 44909 43224 55 323 50 323 59 306 43224 41640 63 325 60 326 61 308 41640 40148 66 324 68 325 61 313 40148 38740 65 321 72 326 63 318 38740 37380 65 317 75 331 64 322 37380 36002 61 321 76 333 62 326 36002 34579 64 333 68 333 58 327 34579 33109 74 347 62 334 63 335 33109 31583 75 354 66 337 58 336 31583 29995 58 345 62 349 46 326 29995 28348 40 333 52 353 36 316 28348 26633 33 334 37 338 31 309 26633 24849 31 336 29 323 31 316 24849 23006 31 339 27 330 28 330 23006 21098 31 348 23 341 27 336 21098 19116 31 006 20 359 25 341 19116 17097 27 011 19 002 21 351 17097 15153 28 356 23 347 21 004 15153 13389 34 352 30 356 23 012 13389 11827 35 359 33 005 25 017 11827 10442 28 008 28 008 25 020 10442 9210 26 019 25 015 24 022 9210 8112 26 025 23 021 21 022 8112 7136 26 026 21 024 19 022 7136 6273 26 020 17 025 17 021 6273 5508 25 007 15 018 16 019 5508 4825 22*354 12*359 17 008 4825 4223 16*344 12*354 18 353 4223 3722 14 339 11 351 17 346 3722 3337 13 337 11 350 15 344 3337 3071 12 336 10 349 12 340 3071 2909 10 335 9 349 9 336 2909 2816 7 334 7 348 4*332 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography