DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 13.5 - - 28.3 - - 30.6 - - 21.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 131 - - 5 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2796 - - 2798 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 1670 - - 1686 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 134 - - 53 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 204 - - 249 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1978 - - -4281 - - -4094 - - -3260 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4791 - - 7095 - - 6908 - - 6074 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19557 - - -17799 - - -17768 - - -19260 ODpotential blCL - - - 22370 - - 20613 - - 20582 - - 22074 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 69 - - 65 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 13.5 - - 28.3 - - 30.6 - - 21.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.2 - - 7.6 - - 10.7 - - 5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 12.4 - - 26.8 - - 30.4 - - 24.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.3 - - 6.4 - - 9.7 - - 4.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 131 - - 5 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95418 89 249 81 259 85 254 65 266 95418 88681 49 276 42 287 43 286 49 288 88681 83402 35 292 29 291 32 295 41 294 83402 78969 25 290 24 307 27 293 39 291 78969 75101 20 327 25 317 25 305 32 293 75101 71644 22 339 26 315 25 309 25 289 71644 68479 23 334 22 305 27 307 23 291 68479 65542 28 320 25 298 30 302 26 290 65542 62802 36 308 31 296 34 292 32 286 62802 60144 36 301 34 290 37 286 41 293 60144 57377 36 298 40 283 44 284 52 295 57377 54506 43 303 46 280 48 278 52 289 54506 51745 52 301 46 285 51 277 52 285 51745 49235 55 292 51 289 52 283 56 281 49235 46977 51 284 60 293 56 287 60 285 46977 44941 49 289 68 291 59 287 63 288 44941 43097 56 297 63 285 57 287 59 284 43097 41411 61 295 65 293 59 295 56 291 41411 39857 65 286 72 294 69 296 61 295 39857 38418 50 291 70 291 71 290 66 295 38418 37078 56 310 67 293 65 293 67 289 37078 35792 70 317 68 300 65 300 63 288 35792 34492 75 316 71 300 67 301 61 292 34492 33150 73 313 71 296 68 300 63 292 33150 31765 71 313 70 294 67 297 64 292 31765 30324 70 309 68 291 66 296 63 293 30324 28815 69 301 70 290 65 296 64 296 28815 27239 68 295 72 292 64 297 62 297 27239 25593 67 291 73 295 64 299 63 296 25593 23880 72 291 73 297 63 302 66 293 23880 22106 77 293 70 299 63 302 65 294 22106 20269 71 293 63 301 68 308 62 303 20269 18361 62 296 57 303 65 310 59 308 18361 16425 61 298 53 304 57 307 59 304 16425 14568 60 299 50 307 50 303 58 301 14568 12882 50 295 45 308 47 299 56 299 12882 11378 41 290 40 300 46 296 53 295 11378 10039 34 287 38 289 43 291 51 290 10039 8852 28 286 35 282 39 284 47 285 8852 7803 24 282 31 277 36 277 43 281 7803 6877 20 278 27 272 33 270 39 277 6877 6064 15 273 22 264 31 263 36 271 6064 5345 9 267 19 248 30 253 33 264 5345 4704 5 251 16 227 27 245 30 259 4704 4137 2 226 12 210 22 242 27 252 4137 3664 1 181 8 204 17 244 25 241 3664 3302 1 173 7 203 14 246 21 234 3302 3052 1 169 6 204 12 247 16 231 3052 2900 1*174 5*204 9*248 11*229 2900 2814 1*170 4*204 6*249 5*233 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography