DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 45.8 - - 48.6 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 97 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1926 - - 1879 - - 3488 - - 1772 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 124 - - 87 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 075 - - 273 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -133 - - -355 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2815 - - 2948 - - 3171 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -338 - - -628 - - -1015 - - -686 ODpotential blCL - - - 3153 - - 3443 - - 3831 - - 3501 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 45.8 - - 48.6 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 42.5 - - 44.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 44.5 - - 48.0 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 41.3 - - 43.4 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 97 - - 30 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 91 - - 95 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96628 12 104 10 100 9 092 9 075 96628 89446 8 063 8 103 6 150 9 053 89446 83874 4 339 3 008 5 187 1 108 83874 79241 1 200 5 239 3 284 3 312 79241 75237 5 241 9 205 9 247 13 251 75237 71678 14 288 12 281 12 272 8 265 71678 68436 18 258 22 264 21 260 21 276 68436 65464 33 262 26 267 24 270 28 271 65464 62696 38 253 36 262 37 268 35 279 62696 59988 33 254 43 270 45 274 48 275 59988 57167 45 276 52 272 52 270 49 260 57167 54232 58 273 57 267 53 262 48 261 54232 51424 69 272 67 262 58 264 58 266 51424 48899 71 267 70 257 70 260 66 262 48899 46640 74 266 70 260 72 258 69 261 46640 44596 79 264 75 260 74 259 70 264 44596 42733 81 261 78 258 80 261 75 265 42733 41026 82 259 81 256 87 260 80 261 41026 39452 89 256 83 255 93 257 82 259 39452 37994 98 252 88 254 96 253 83 259 37994 36638 103 251 96 253 94 251 79 257 36638 35347 106 254 95 252 85 249 66 253 35347 34053 107 256 87 252 73 247 53 249 34053 32722 101 255 84 250 66 247 49 251 32722 31357 101 256 89 248 65 249 49 248 31357 29941 104 253 93 246 65 252 50 247 29941 28465 97 252 91 247 63 256 49 252 28465 26929 96 254 87 247 56 257 45 255 26929 25330 89 259 82 247 50 259 43 260 25330 23668 73 260 76 247 48 260 45 263 23668 21946 57 256 73 245 46 262 46 262 21946 20158 53 250 70 245 45 263 46 258 20158 18298 57 249 71 250 48 262 47 260 18298 16405 60 250 63 255 51 261 46 263 16405 14582 57 250 60 259 52 262 46 265 14582 12923 50 251 61 260 55 264 47 266 12923 11444 45 254 63 263 57 266 47 268 11444 10125 43 263 61 265 49 269 44 271 10125 8950 42 271 54 267 42 269 35 273 8950 7904 36 266 41 271 34 268 28 272 7904 6978 20 234 31 275 23 268 22 270 6978 6158 17 195 22 273 17 266 18 264 6158 5430 15 173 13 265 13 263 17 261 5430 4773 11 166 6 249 11 263 17 261 4773 4190 7 165 1 089 9 267 13 263 4190 3701 5 154 2 074 9 269 10 272 3701 3324 5 142 2 072 8 271 8 282 3324 3065 5 134 2 075 8 272 7 286 3065 2906 4 133 2 073 7*273 5 286 2906 2815 3*132 2*075 5*273 3*284 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography