DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.1 - - 74.0 - - 79.3 - - 80.8 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 181 - - 246 - - 120 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 253 - - 2350 - - 5770 - - 6161 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit 2795 - - 3842 - - 6552 - - 6450 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top 2811 - - 4908 - - 8328 - - 8719 - - 2812 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 299 - - 2547 - - 3772 - - 4251 - - 7820 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 319 - - 477 - - 390 - - 28 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 263 - - 250 - - 243 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -12 - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -603 - - -494 - - 1088 - - 438 - - -1817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3414 - - 5402 - - 7240 - - 8281 - - 4629 sfcLCL ODpotential -4920 - - -2846 - - -896 - - -1042 - - -3832 ODpotential blCL 7731 - - 7754 - - 9224 - - 9761 - - 6644 blCL maxRH 78 - - 70 - - 67 - - 66 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 1010 - - 880 - - 510 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m 63.1 - - 74.0 - - 79.3 - - 80.8 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.7 - - 59.7 - - 57.1 - - 54.1 - - 62.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.8 - - 72.2 - - 77.1 - - 79.3 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.2 - - 58.7 - - 55.6 - - 52.7 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 181 - - 246 - - 120 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 253 - - 2350 - - 5770 - - 6161 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98047 20 099 22 102 12 107 4 101 14 080 98047 90629 26 099 25 098 17 100 16 097 14 086 90629 84929 28 087 24 091 23 101 24 092 18 081 84929 80207 25 076 25 089 24 100 23 088 20 070 80207 76148 20 071 22 084 23 102 21 090 20 072 76148 72568 12 058 17 081 21 098 16 099 16 074 72568 69325 6 100 11 076 16 088 9 102 14 082 69325 66333 3 064 7 080 10 088 5 088 12 083 66333 63551 3 007 3 080 6 109 1 208 6 054 63551 60870 4 337 4 346 3 047 2 200 1 017 60870 58094 8 330 9 312 8 319 8 324 4 333 58094 55232 11 309 11 300 12 300 10 322 8 321 55232 52518 13 303 11 301 15 290 12 310 12 324 52518 50089 16 311 9 304 15 294 16 294 16 312 50089 47929 21 295 12 308 16 308 19 286 20 314 47929 45988 12 269 14 295 15 315 17 284 23 309 45988 44214 9 301 14 279 14 304 13 297 16 288 44214 42571 17 284 14 265 14 280 13 302 11 285 42571 41035 16 259 15 264 15 272 14 298 11 305 41035 39587 11 249 14 265 16 272 14 290 12 314 39587 38218 9 263 12 259 15 265 14 281 12 299 38218 36896 10 265 11 264 13 250 14 264 13 274 36896 35556 12 267 11 279 12 244 15 251 14 267 35556 34169 12 284 12 286 12 248 15 248 15 266 34169 32738 11 296 13 289 12 253 15 250 15 260 32738 31251 12 289 14 293 11 257 14 255 14 250 31251 29698 13 283 14 294 12 262 13 261 12 238 29698 28079 15 286 14 291 14 264 14 257 11 229 28079 26395 17 288 15 287 15 256 16 250 13 230 26395 24644 18 286 16 277 17 252 17 247 16 236 24644 22831 20 283 16 267 16 259 16 245 16 244 22831 20953 20 280 17 269 14 270 11 242 14 247 20953 19008 19 278 16 269 16 269 9 254 12 241 19008 17036 15 276 14 257 16 260 10 267 10 236 17036 15146 12 271 14 246 16 247 14 258 13 235 15146 13429 19 260 20 246 19 238 19 243 16 246 13429 11900 25 252 23 245 19 233 19 236 17 246 11900 10537 25 250 22 246 17 230 17 230 16 241 10537 9316 22 257 19 252 15*230 14*223 15 240 9316 8220 19 262 18 257 14*232 13*224 13 239 8220 7241 18 265 17 262 11 240 11 234 12 231 7241 6371 17 267 18 267 9 251 10 241 12 224 6371 5597 16 273 17*270 9 254 9 247 11 218 5597 4899 16 278 15*269 9 257 9 250 10 211 4899 4279 15 286 13 266 8 258 8 253 9 205 4279 3758 14 289 11 261 8 260 8 255 8 199 3758 3356 13 279 10 259 7 260 8 256 8 193 3356 3078 10 258 9 258 7 261 7 256 7 186 3078 2909 7 251 9 258 6 261 7 257 5*176 2909 2812 4*255 7 258 5 261 5 257 3*162 2812 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography