DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.5 - - 42.2 - - 48.1 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 120 - - 37 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1419 - - 2202 - - 3742 - - 2446 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 134 - - 95 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 243 - - 255 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -227 - - -625 - - -1088 - - -147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3041 - - 3440 - - 3903 - - 2962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6241 - - -1222 - - -1766 - - -1488 ODpotential blCL - - - 9055 - - 4037 - - 4581 - - 4303 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 96 - - 92 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.5 - - 42.2 - - 48.1 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 36.8 - - 40.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 41.2 - - 47.4 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 35.8 - - 39.8 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 120 - - 37 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 83 - - 67 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 9 046 4 140 3 223 16 058 96426 89268 4 022 6 179 10 228 2 012 89268 83703 6 184 6 169 17 214 11 274 83703 79049 10 241 4 243 13 217 12 247 79049 75004 6 229 12 245 15 244 22 248 75004 71429 16 269 12 263 14 257 24 268 71429 68213 25 274 23 282 18 298 19 288 68213 65245 27 250 27 264 28 263 24 273 65245 62455 25 252 26 246 32 248 35 268 62455 59720 32 282 30 273 37 274 50 274 59720 56865 54 281 57 286 59 283 58 277 56865 53931 60 279 69 274 66 274 62 273 53931 51165 64 272 67 264 67 267 65 265 51165 48690 59 261 61 265 64 268 60 263 48690 46477 56 275 59 270 64 276 61 282 46477 44477 80 284 76 285 71 287 81 288 44477 42659 100 277 99 279 88 286 92 279 42659 40993 96 267 101 269 91 278 90 272 40993 39450 89 266 97 262 94 273 94 269 39450 38015 90 275 89 274 97 266 98 268 38015 36681 99 280 95 281 96 263 96 266 36681 35404 105 280 101 283 93 266 94 266 35404 34111 111 279 101 281 95 269 94 267 34111 32773 114 279 103 277 94 270 94 268 32773 31393 111 278 105 273 93 268 94 268 31393 29958 105 276 103 269 95 268 93 265 29958 28457 102 270 102 268 96 269 91 264 28457 26893 103 266 101 268 93 269 88 262 26893 25267 99 263 100 269 90 268 86 261 25267 23580 94 262 97 268 90 268 85 261 23580 21836 94 264 94 267 91 265 87 263 21836 20033 91 267 92 266 97 264 88 267 20033 18171 76 274 89 265 91 269 78 272 18171 16290 61 276 81 265 75 274 64 274 16290 14489 56 270 67 266 66 281 55 273 14489 12853 59 266 58 269 63 285 50 269 12853 11396 60 266 56 274 59 280 47 266 11396 10095 58 267 55 276 56 272 45 265 10095 8933 55 269 54 272 53 267 43 267 8933 7897 57 270 53 268 49 266 41 270 7897 6974 58 265 52 265 45 264 39 272 6974 6155 54 259 49 260 41 258 37 269 6155 5427 50 255 46 255 37 254 36 260 5427 4772 47 251 39 248 35 253 35 251 4772 4191 42 247 32 243 32 253 33 246 4191 3702 34 244 29 242 30 253 29 244 3702 3325 29 243 26 241 27 254 25 243 3325 3065 24 243 23 242 23 254 19 243 3065 2906 20 243 20*242 20 254 16 243 2906 2815 13*244 13*243 13*255 9*242 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography