DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.9 - - 85.4 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2202 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3686 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4760 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6160 - - 8692 - - 6442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 300 - - 131 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 247 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1077 - - -3472 - - -2286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5837 - - 6290 - - 5104 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2670 - - -4665 - - -4215 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7430 - - 7483 - - 7033 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 82 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2500 - - 2680 - - 2880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.9 - - 85.4 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.6 - - 67.1 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.3 - - 84.1 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.4 - - 66.2 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2202 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99215 38 092 39 081 29 097 99215 91626 32 092 34 090 31 082 91626 85828 30 082 29 103 29 073 85828 81048 27 084 24 105 22 073 81048 76925 24 092 19 094 19 078 76925 73283 20 098 16 083 16 085 73283 69998 15 110 11 063 13 083 69998 66989 11 096 10 053 13 067 66989 64215 8 062 7 083 7 060 64215 61551 5 031 7 132 2 016 61551 58778 8 332 3 035 4 354 58778 55909 8 249 12 315 9 331 55909 53206 3 118 9 307 5 268 53206 50806 9 004 12 321 4 251 50806 48667 7 318 14 296 12 285 48667 46725 7 296 10 285 15 288 46725 44935 11 302 10 346 9 278 44935 43269 13 302 13 341 6 315 43269 41703 14 314 9 322 6 313 41703 40227 14 325 7 321 5 290 40227 38830 15 323 7 312 6 285 38830 37478 15 319 8 304 6 278 37478 36103 13 315 9 307 8 276 36103 34679 9 315 9 291 10 284 34679 33210 9 315 11 277 9 285 33210 31683 11 321 9 279 5 299 31683 30088 9 344 5 317 3 300 30088 28428 6 034 1 043 4 226 28428 26704 3 137 6 206 5 232 26704 24922 4 203 6 215 3 178 24922 23087 9 248 6 222 5 177 23087 21192 11 217 9 218 7 210 21192 19231 12 201 10 219 8 216 19231 17242 11 195 8 225 6 208 17242 15331 10 184 9 196 6 230 15331 13596 10 167 11 188 10 221 13596 12048 11 155 12 180 12 207 12048 10663 11 151 12 176 13 196 10663 9422 9 156 11 176 11 199 9422 8311 7 168 10 180 9 209 8311 7318 6 190 7 195 8 232 7318 6436 5 219 6 208 8 251 6436 5650 6 242 5 243 9 263 5650 4942 7*250 6 248 9 266 4942 4311 7*253 6 249 9 266 4311 3781 7 254 6 248 9 265 3781 3372 7 255 6 249 8 263 3372 3089 7 254 6 249 7 263 3089 2917 7 255 6 248 6*262 2917 2818 6 255 5*247 4*263 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography