DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 43.4 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 41 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1380 - - 1285 - - 1517 - - 880 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 94 - - 72 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 153 - - 138 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -425 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3240 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3020 - - -423 - - -446 - - -398 ODpotential blCL - - - 5835 - - 3238 - - 3261 - - 3213 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 43.4 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 41.5 - - 43.4 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 42.6 - - 44.5 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 41.0 - - 42.9 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 41 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 27 087 34 043 34 059 32 063 96488 89368 24 086 26 056 26 069 25 058 89368 83823 16 074 18 082 8 078 15 035 83823 79218 12 059 9 101 6 181 9 335 79218 75250 13 034 5 148 5 242 8 290 75250 71729 13 006 2 244 8 281 10 284 71729 68525 14 316 10 288 12 293 13 275 68525 65574 19 285 19 301 21 301 22 290 65574 62843 28 287 28 288 25 285 27 281 62843 60198 37 277 32 279 27 271 24 290 60198 57412 38 275 38 282 34 279 42 294 57412 54534 53 287 54 282 70 283 71 267 54534 51810 66 283 62 281 75 274 56 269 51810 49328 66 282 72 277 65 278 57 284 49328 47073 73 277 71 278 74 285 70 286 47073 45017 72 274 73 279 80 277 74 284 45017 43138 73 275 75 273 74 267 71 281 43138 41418 82 272 79 263 71 262 63 282 41418 39838 90 263 81 261 70 257 58 280 39838 38380 84 250 83 255 74 246 62 267 38380 37022 76 245 83 231 76 234 57 237 37022 35724 74 249 80 229 76 232 53 213 35724 34420 73 257 72 232 76 228 49 209 34420 33077 73 257 68 235 71 234 42 224 33077 31694 72 256 68 238 67 245 40 235 31694 30254 69 254 66 241 64 246 41 238 30254 28746 67 253 64 243 65 245 42 239 28746 27172 66 251 63 243 65 245 42 247 27172 25537 66 250 63 242 62 245 42 257 25537 23841 65 251 58 241 57 241 39 266 23841 22088 61 254 48 242 50 242 34 269 22088 20273 52 263 41 243 43 248 31 275 20273 18391 48 268 39 244 35 248 22 276 18391 16480 44 263 37 239 23 254 19 274 16480 14644 38 258 38 233 18 260 19 278 14644 12974 33 256 41 231 18 259 18 267 12974 11488 29 256 40 232 19 259 17 289 11488 10165 26 251 39 234 21 253 21 303 10165 8985 25 243 37 237 23 245 20 303 8985 7934 26 234 34 237 24 238 16 297 7934 7000 28 228 32 235 24 230 14 291 7000 6173 29 223 31 227 24 220 15 280 6173 5437 29 216 29 215 22 209 13 267 5437 4775 28 202 27 200 19 186 11 250 4775 4189 28 187 23 185 17 164 9 213 4189 3698 25 180 18 171 15 150 11 172 3698 3322 20 176 14 161 13 144 10 160 3322 3063 16 174 12 158 11 141 7 147 3063 2905 13*172 10*156 9 139 5*139 2905 2815 8*171 7*153 6*138 3*127 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography