DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 31.0 - - 32.1 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2082 - - 2584 - - 1607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 132 - - 105 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - 278 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -289 - - -840 - - -251 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3103 - - 3654 - - 3065 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -570 - - -1200 - - -8531 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3384 - - 4014 - - 11345 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 31.0 - - 32.1 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.3 - - 26.0 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.8 - - 31.3 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.3 - - 26.0 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94832 105 236 101 231 92 239 94832 87674 88 251 78 245 82 251 87674 82170 78 261 76 261 71 262 82170 77645 59 255 66 262 64 266 77645 73780 40 250 52 259 55 264 73780 70367 45 268 50 269 53 270 70367 67265 57 278 56 275 57 280 67265 64407 67 280 62 277 64 289 64407 61757 75 285 67 284 70 293 61757 59186 81 286 73 291 72 294 59186 56486 82 284 76 290 74 292 56486 53674 78 281 79 286 74 288 53674 50987 74 282 76 283 72 288 50987 48560 75 286 72 285 73 288 48560 46375 78 287 73 289 77 289 46375 44387 79 288 81 292 80 294 44387 42565 81 290 93 292 94 299 42565 40893 84 293 94 289 105 299 40893 39346 90 295 95 292 112 301 39346 37908 94 292 98 293 119 303 37908 36563 93 288 100 293 123 302 36563 35274 87 287 99 291 120 299 35274 33976 81 287 93 288 111 295 33976 32640 81 290 88 289 100 292 32640 31271 82 290 89 294 91 291 31271 29853 83 287 91 294 88 293 29853 28372 82 285 92 292 89 295 28372 26826 82 284 91 290 91 295 26826 25215 80 286 88 288 90 294 25215 23540 78 291 85 287 88 294 23540 21805 75 295 82 287 85 293 21805 20005 69 297 79 287 82 289 20005 18135 64 293 73 287 79 287 18135 16237 61 288 65 283 70 286 16237 14414 58 288 60 280 62 285 14414 12760 54 291 57 281 58 285 12760 11291 52 293 53 285 54 286 11291 9986 52 296 47 289 49 285 9986 8825 52 297 43 290 43 283 8825 7793 50 298 39 293 39 282 7793 6876 48 299 35 294 37 282 6876 6066 44 297 30 287 34 278 6066 5350 38 292 25 278 31 268 5350 4711 31 289 21 275 26 258 4711 4145 27 290 19 276 22 255 4145 3672 25 290 17 277 18 258 3672 3307 22 290 16 277 14 261 3307 3055 20 290 14 278 11 262 3055 2902 17 289 12 278 8*262 2902 2814 11*288 9*278 4*261 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography