DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - 79.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 165 - - 184 - - 64 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 2494 - - 4335 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth Hcrit 2769 - - 3916 - - 5334 - - 2769 - - 2769 Hcrit BL Top 2785 - - 5052 - - 6893 - - 2786 - - 2786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1086 - - 1119 - - 2144 - - 7735 - - 5510 Hgt.Variab. W* 72 - - 318 - - 400 - - 112 - - 32 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 278 - - 292 - - 298 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -662 - - 69 - - 939 - - -4394 - - -2334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3447 - - 4983 - - 5955 - - 7180 - - 5120 sfcLCL ODpotential -5033 - - -3501 - - -747 - - -5287 - - -4039 ODpotential blCL 7818 - - 8553 - - 7640 - - 8073 - - 6825 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 94 - - 77 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 260 - - 910 - - 410 - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - 79.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.5 - - 60.2 - - 61.1 - - 57.5 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 70.8 - - 75.9 - - 78.3 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.1 - - 59.0 - - 59.6 - - 55.7 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 165 - - 184 - - 64 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 227 - - 2494 - - 4335 - - 228 - - 228 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 15 - - 74 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98306 11 051 6 235 2 127 13 252 7 292 98306 91331 2 284 8 230 7 291 12 303 6 298 91331 85876 6 224 8 249 12 272 12 309 8 292 85876 81279 7 276 7 286 9 241 9 293 13 293 81279 77276 9 299 6 305 7 211 9 279 15 291 77276 73739 8 309 2 340 4 214 9 283 12 297 73739 70557 6 320 2 044 1 314 8 304 8 320 70557 67656 4 321 5 359 4 012 6 319 7 344 67656 64990 1 349 9 335 5 001 4 317 6 342 64990 62426 2 020 11 309 9 327 5 287 4 293 62426 59760 5 320 9 264 14 303 11 293 6 266 59760 56998 13 289 12 247 17 266 19 284 12 286 56998 54349 18 260 15 256 18 233 24 265 19 284 54349 51946 20 239 17 260 19 229 25 249 22 267 51946 49776 23 232 19 251 21 232 26 235 26 255 49776 47802 26 235 20 241 21 229 26 227 27 248 47802 45996 27 227 22 236 25 228 30 225 31 234 45996 44343 27 218 27 226 28 223 35 221 38 226 44343 42820 31 216 32 215 30 218 39 214 45 223 42820 41398 42 226 36 219 31 226 39 213 52 221 41398 40054 51 232 39 228 33 235 37 215 56 220 40054 38747 55 231 41 232 35 237 36 219 55 223 38747 37410 55 228 45 232 38 234 35 222 54 227 37410 36012 54 226 47 230 41 229 35 225 50 231 36012 34556 53 228 44 229 41 228 35 227 42 232 34556 33028 46 230 35 226 41 229 35 229 32 229 33028 31415 33 229 25 226 39 227 34 229 27 232 31415 29719 21 245 20 235 35 225 33 228 25 236 29719 27941 22 269 17 242 30 224 30 229 22 235 27941 26084 24 274 17 247 24 227 27 231 18 237 26084 24151 26 271 16 257 22 227 23 231 14 249 24151 22134 27 266 16 268 20 228 20 231 15 254 22134 20031 23 258 19 268 20 245 17 243 17 259 20031 17891 19 257 20 264 23 256 17 272 16 277 17891 15835 18 264 18 267 19 264 17 296 14 305 15835 13969 18 271 16 275 13 281 17 302 15 319 13969 12310 18 277 13 280 12 301 16 301 14 319 12310 10836 18 289 11 289 14 314 15 302 14 311 10836 9526 20 301 12 298 16 318 14 301 12 302 9526 8364 23 303 15 299 17 314 13 297 9 294 8364 7334 23 300 17 294 15*309 12 296 8 291 7334 6425 23 299 18 293 11*297 12 297 8 300 6425 5622 22 300 16*292 10 295 12 297 9 309 5622 4904 20 297 14*287 10 293 12 297 9 315 4904 4269 19 287 12 279 9 291 11 298 9 320 4269 3739 18 266 11 277 8 289 11 297 9 323 3739 3332 17 260 11 276 8 288 10 298 9 325 3332 3053 13 258 10 275 8 287 10 298 8 326 3053 2883 11*258 9 274 7 287 9*298 6*327 2883 2786 7*257 7 274 6 286 7*298 3*327 2786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography