DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 85.8 - - 86.4 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 178 - - 71 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 4253 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2802 - - 5248 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2818 - - 6811 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5204 - - 2469 - - 7582 - - 4867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 391 - - 117 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 45 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 221 - - 243 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3290 - - -867 - - -5213 - - -2230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6109 - - 7678 - - 8032 - - 5049 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5076 - - -3846 - - -6745 - - -4831 ODpotential blCL - - - 7894 - - 10657 - - 9563 - - 7649 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - 59 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 1200 - - 850 - - 790 - - 1930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 85.8 - - 86.4 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.5 - - 61.7 - - 60.8 - - 66.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 84.1 - - 85.4 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 60.6 - - 59.7 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 178 - - 71 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 4253 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99070 11 114 14 093 10 059 15 027 99070 91624 14 116 16 106 9 088 6 054 91624 85860 15 102 15 100 8 083 7 093 85860 81064 13 089 12 095 9 074 6 101 81064 76941 11 084 11 088 9 090 8 110 76941 73305 8 055 9 068 10 090 9 098 73305 70027 3 049 10 052 8 091 9 080 70027 67031 4 059 9 059 7 081 10 028 67031 64273 11 013 10 046 10 080 3 053 64273 61622 7 357 6 359 8 028 7 005 61622 58881 7 008 3 331 7 325 8 355 58881 56081 9 352 8 311 14 283 12 323 56081 53439 16 348 6 318 13 263 11 288 53439 51066 30 321 26 332 26 331 22 328 51066 48932 28 315 30 325 32 329 26 326 48932 46976 27 326 29 322 32 326 26 322 46976 45164 28 334 29 320 30 319 27 316 45164 43474 29 339 26 319 28 310 27 310 43474 41887 25 339 22 320 26 304 26 303 41887 40394 19 339 18 322 23 298 24 296 40394 38985 14 339 14 314 17 292 22 287 38985 37625 10 338 13 305 19 275 22 277 37625 36248 10 326 12 293 19 276 21 279 36248 34823 15 321 17 308 19 295 18 296 34823 33355 19 319 19 316 18 312 18 312 33355 31830 19 310 17 309 17 322 13 308 31830 30238 20 300 16 292 12 302 14 288 30238 28581 22 306 15 294 14 277 17 284 28581 26858 25 304 15 297 15 277 20 273 26858 25071 23 300 16 284 19 280 22 271 25071 23226 17 297 14 267 18 281 20 282 23226 21317 13 292 17 270 17 284 13 292 21317 19337 11 276 17 270 18 284 9 304 19337 17326 8 269 14 274 15 281 11 303 17326 15397 5 274 11 285 10 290 12 310 15397 13647 4 264 9 292 7 311 10 316 13647 12087 4 263 7 294 7 311 6 300 12087 10694 6 283 6 285 5 309 5 256 10694 9447 6 294 5 294 2 279 6 251 9447 8331 6 324 2 307 2 249 6 262 8331 7333 9 352 1*318 3 241 6 272 7333 6446 10 354 0*275 3 237 6 273 6446 5657 10 350 1 224 3 240 6 271 5657 4946 8 343 1 220 4 242 6 264 4946 4313 6 335 2 221 4 243 5 256 4313 3781 4 323 2 218 4 244 5 246 3781 3372 3 306 2 218 4 244 5 240 3372 3089 3 300 2 217 4 245 5 234 3089 2917 2*295 2 218 4*244 4 230 2917 2818 2*293 2 217 3*243 3*228 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography