DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.2 - - 76.8 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 126 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4048 - - 4276 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5174 - - 5085 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6606 - - 6834 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3426 - - 2776 - - 5422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 407 - - 351 - - 38 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 269 - - 256 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - -14 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 335 - - -41 - - -2648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6271 - - 6875 - - 5465 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1143 - - -1723 - - -4654 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7749 - - 8557 - - 7471 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 84 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 120 - - 90 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.2 - - 76.8 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.2 - - 56.2 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.3 - - 75.4 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.0 - - 55.0 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 216 - - 126 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4048 - - 4276 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98980 33 095 35 096 24 095 98980 91431 32 092 32 098 26 091 91431 85613 22 093 25 095 28 086 85613 80819 15 096 21 089 27 087 80819 76716 10 094 12 085 22 076 76716 73101 14 120 7 113 11 065 73101 69825 16 104 6 087 4 066 69825 66813 12 100 4 082 2 240 66813 64032 6 042 2 161 2 283 64032 61352 5 319 4 280 8 317 61352 58572 9 286 12 296 12 304 58572 55710 18 306 16 300 16 292 55710 52989 25 314 25 320 22 314 52989 50555 58 291 54 287 44 302 50555 48405 65 269 58 255 52 269 48405 46464 54 256 52 255 46 256 46464 44665 50 260 35 258 35 260 44665 42985 50 309 39 310 52 287 42985 41420 64 315 54 302 55 282 41420 39950 69 308 59 289 52 277 39950 38563 65 305 57 283 46 273 38563 37219 58 297 52 286 43 268 37219 35853 53 280 44 288 41 265 35853 34437 49 276 43 282 39 264 34437 32975 45 273 47 274 39 264 32975 31454 40 266 44 261 42 266 31454 29864 37 262 38 248 42 269 29864 28209 34 259 38 242 41 267 28209 26492 37 253 39 265 39 266 26492 24716 42 256 38 265 37 263 24716 22889 44 263 39 262 36 261 22889 21005 40 277 38 271 34 262 21005 19055 35 283 31 286 28 271 19055 17075 34 287 30 299 23 278 17075 15169 30 279 24 301 18 282 15169 13435 28 275 20 287 15 284 13435 11891 23 269 18 284 13 268 11891 10520 16 264 14 247 16 222 10520 9298 13 266 12 228 16 203 9298 8206 10 269 10 230 14 202 8206 7230 9*270 9*239 12 206 7230 6364 8*271 8*245 9 222 6364 5594 8 271 8 252 8 241 5594 4899 8 270 8 256 7 253 4899 4280 8 269 8 258 7 257 4280 3761 8 269 8 259 6 259 3761 3360 7 267 7 259 6 260 3360 3083 7 267 7 260 5 260 3083 2914 7 266 7 261 4 261 2914 2817 5 265 5 260 3*260 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography