DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.0 - - 51.7 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 85 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3324 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4648 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5882 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1342 - - 4831 - - 1626 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 387 - - 116 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 255 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3352 - - -6934 - - -4179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9234 - - 9749 - - 6995 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10456 - - -13568 - - -12046 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16338 - - 16383 - - 14861 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.0 - - 51.7 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 19.5 - - 18.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.1 - - 50.6 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.6 - - 18.1 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 85 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3324 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 9 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96343 22 039 25 055 21 063 96343 89284 8 073 11 043 14 027 89284 83767 6 079 4 144 11 007 83767 79151 8 038 4 255 13 347 79151 75157 5 003 6 292 11 320 75157 71621 6 315 11 314 10 311 71621 68415 16 305 19 313 13 311 68415 65466 21 300 22 305 18 308 65466 62729 32 293 33 296 33 299 62729 60078 40 288 38 288 36 285 60078 57297 42 289 41 292 39 292 57297 54386 52 287 53 289 48 294 54386 51599 62 286 63 288 64 295 51599 49107 72 283 78 284 78 282 49107 46894 73 278 83 276 78 276 46894 44894 74 281 77 275 70 277 44894 43058 74 282 71 283 72 285 43058 41365 72 291 84 291 83 289 41365 39806 82 300 99 293 99 291 39806 38372 118 297 115 288 106 290 38372 37044 125 291 113 285 91 279 37044 35767 117 288 100 283 84 273 35767 34470 110 290 97 281 83 272 34470 33126 99 293 91 283 85 273 33126 31738 92 294 80 285 81 272 31738 30292 88 294 76 286 65 270 30292 28781 87 290 77 288 65 279 28781 27205 82 286 80 289 67 289 27205 25564 74 281 71 291 62 290 25564 23856 63 298 61 289 60 290 23856 22088 57 309 54 279 53 289 22088 20262 50 312 43 287 46 284 20262 18374 42 303 36 297 38 275 18374 16458 39 289 35 286 33 267 16458 14616 39 285 40 281 33 262 14616 12943 35 285 39 284 31 270 12943 11457 31 286 34 287 27 285 11457 10136 28 286 27 287 23 290 10136 8961 25 284 24 286 20 287 8961 7914 24 280 19 281 18 281 7914 6984 21 275 15 265 16 275 6984 6162 15*261 14 262 15 268 6162 5432 14*254 14 260 15 258 5432 4775 14 252 14 259 15 251 4775 4191 13 251 14 257 14 249 4191 3702 13 251 14 257 13 249 3702 3325 12 250 13 256 12 248 3325 3064 11 250 12 256 9 245 3064 2906 10 250 11 255 7*238 2906 2815 8 250 8*255 4*235 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography