DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 67.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3731 - - 2261 - - 2755 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 116 - - 48 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 166 - - 192 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -616 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3433 - - 2817 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1283 - - -806 - - -711 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4100 - - 3623 - - 3528 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1000 - - 440 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.6 - - 67.1 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.7 - - 64.6 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.4 - - 66.6 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.0 - - 64.3 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99206 19 082 22 072 25 084 99206 91759 24 081 20 086 20 063 91759 85992 22 076 18 085 16 069 85992 81211 18 080 18 085 15 086 81211 77104 13 082 18 080 13 097 77104 73473 10 104 13 077 14 091 73473 70164 13 112 6 107 11 078 70164 67121 7 132 7 140 5 049 67121 64314 11 153 8 151 2 140 64314 61599 5 196 1 240 4 117 61599 58777 12 220 12 249 10 264 58777 55864 21 217 21 234 20 253 55864 53107 28 234 31 243 30 250 53107 50656 45 238 42 234 39 235 50656 48475 52 224 45 225 42 232 48475 46503 47 216 45 234 49 235 46503 44699 41 222 52 236 54 230 44699 43026 40 227 57 233 58 227 43026 41459 40 235 58 231 60 226 41459 39982 41 242 53 230 59 226 39982 38585 42 241 47 229 58 225 38585 37237 45 237 46 230 56 223 37237 35870 44 231 47 232 51 221 35870 34456 42 226 46 230 49 220 34456 32999 40 223 44 229 48 221 32999 31485 34 221 39 223 45 223 31485 29907 28 224 35 224 40 226 29907 28265 26 229 29 227 38 233 28265 26559 22 227 28 228 37 240 26559 24788 21 223 30 232 33 241 24788 22959 21 219 26 244 29 245 22959 21069 20 216 21 250 24 248 21069 19109 19 215 21 252 24 250 19109 17116 19 215 22 254 20 247 17116 15198 20 213 21 259 15 253 15198 13454 20 211 20 257 14 264 13454 11903 18 210 22 250 15 268 11903 10523 15 215 24 247 16 263 10523 9292 13 225 24 241 16 255 9292 8194 10 232 22 228 13 249 8194 7218 7 225 19 213 10 244 7218 6352 5 204 16 203 8 237 6352 5582 5 187 15 197 7 233 5582 4889 5 179 14 196 7 232 4889 4272 6 177 13 200 6 228 4272 3755 5 172 11 196 5 218 3755 3356 5 168 9 194 3 203 3356 3081 5 167 7 192 2 189 3081 2913 5 168 6*192 2*178 2913 2817 4*166 4*192 1*168 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography