DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 75.6 - - 77.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 148 - - 62 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3225 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 4432 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 5783 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2609 - - 1507 - - 5020 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 343 - - 117 - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 105 - - 102 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1049 - - 415 - - -3205 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3867 - - 5368 - - 6023 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3661 - - -2668 - - -4845 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6478 - - 8451 - - 7663 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 81 - - 75 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 60 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 75.6 - - 77.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.5 - - 61.6 - - 60.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 74.0 - - 76.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 60.2 - - 59.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 148 - - 62 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 3225 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 22 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99301 50 088 50 089 42 079 99301 91817 44 083 41 088 37 090 91817 86056 37 079 37 085 36 087 86056 81294 29 079 32 081 31 086 81294 77204 27 087 26 085 22 091 77204 73576 27 084 26 094 17 095 73576 70281 24 072 25 090 17 092 70281 67255 23 066 23 073 20 086 67255 64457 20 064 18 062 23 062 64457 61771 19 059 16 061 20 055 61771 58993 21 052 17 059 18 063 58993 56128 22 043 18 050 17 045 56128 53405 26 051 21 050 25 043 53405 50957 29 057 29 060 27 053 50957 48767 32 062 30 063 29 065 48767 46786 26 059 22 059 29 066 46786 44970 19 059 15 060 19 062 44970 43290 8 040 7 048 7 061 43290 41725 3 333 6 318 3 329 41725 40256 1 176 9 285 8 297 40256 38868 2 099 8 278 7 303 38868 37526 4 044 4 280 6 323 37526 36164 8 048 2 248 4 331 36164 34755 15 060 6 133 1 072 34755 33303 21 065 22 106 15 106 33303 31794 23 063 36 093 29 094 31794 30215 24 063 35 082 30 086 30215 28565 27 067 32 079 30 083 28565 26845 34 080 35 082 31 087 26845 25059 40 078 37 086 32 086 25059 23209 42 076 35 091 30 091 23209 21287 40 081 31 089 26 091 21287 19290 34 085 28 087 23 084 19290 17264 29 083 24 089 22 083 17264 15319 22 081 21 084 22 086 15319 13554 16 076 17 073 21 087 13554 11985 12 069 15 069 19 084 11985 10590 11 076 12 076 14 081 10590 9348 12 097 10 086 10 079 9348 8240 15 105 10 093 8 083 8240 7255 18 103 10 097 6 086 7255 6383 19 098 10*101 6 089 6383 5608 17 097 10*103 6 092 5608 4909 15 097 9 104 6 094 4909 4287 11 091 9 105 6 097 4287 3765 11 090 9 106 6 098 3765 3362 10 089 9 107 5 100 3362 3084 9 088 8 107 5 101 3084 2915 8 088 7 107 5*100 2915 2818 7*088 6 107 4*102 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography