DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.7 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 108 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2417 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3968 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4975 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2037 - - 6108 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 131 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 252 - - 259 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -11 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3016 - - -3842 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7991 - - 6659 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6006 - - -5302 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10981 - - 8119 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 71 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 1110 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.7 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.5 - - 56.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.9 - - 74.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.2 - - 55.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 220 - - 108 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2417 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98101 7 275 10 329 98101 90711 9 294 14 310 90711 85038 6 349 11 307 85038 80303 3 334 6 268 80303 76212 2 269 7 204 76212 72601 3 138 7 191 72601 69335 1 194 2 219 69335 66336 4 260 2 296 66336 63556 7 270 5 293 63556 60873 10 281 9 277 60873 58088 10 281 15 280 58088 55203 9 265 20 265 55203 52449 8 237 14 240 52449 49974 11 220 15 230 49974 47763 15 210 16 235 47763 45769 15 225 15 251 45769 43952 25 260 26 268 43952 42286 34 255 41 267 42286 40752 31 268 44 255 40752 39326 34 287 30 252 39326 37984 34 297 25 285 37984 36687 35 298 36 269 36687 35369 34 291 41 268 35369 34002 30 275 37 271 34002 32590 28 258 29 287 32590 31120 28 254 28 287 31120 29581 28 261 28 278 29581 27975 29 267 29 279 27975 26302 30 263 29 284 26302 24567 32 259 25 288 24567 22774 31 255 21 281 22774 20914 27 255 22 258 20914 18982 30 275 26 271 18982 17017 38 279 33 278 17017 15128 41 272 35 274 15128 13410 34 267 33 266 13410 11880 27 268 31 255 11880 10514 22 272 28 253 10514 9292 18 271 22 251 9292 8198 17 268 19 249 8198 7223 17 264 16 252 7223 6358 17 255 15 256 6358 5588 16*252 15 257 5588 4894 14*251 15 258 4894 4276 14 251 14 258 4276 3758 13 252 14 259 3758 3358 13 252 13 259 3358 3082 12 252 12 259 3082 2914 11 252 11 259 2914 2817 8 253 8*259 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography