DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 56.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 160 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3510 - - 2655 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4837 - - 3973 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6068 - - 5213 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2979 - - 2410 - - 1877 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 411 - - 311 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 265 - - 296 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1186 - - -1858 - - -3789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7255 - - 7072 - - 6604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2582 - - -3516 - - -8578 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8650 - - 8729 - - 11393 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 82 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 56.8 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.0 - - 35.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.0 - - 55.4 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.2 - - 35.3 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 160 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3510 - - 2655 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 21 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96524 6 158 14 196 13 211 96524 89353 12 179 15 196 12 228 89353 83797 16 194 21 212 13 225 83797 79151 17 215 20 219 15 227 79151 75119 17 233 20 231 16 236 75119 71541 20 241 16 237 17 231 71541 68290 21 247 23 254 22 250 68290 65319 20 236 24 250 29 248 65319 62574 21 269 23 264 25 254 62574 59908 32 268 25 278 35 271 59908 57122 38 264 36 274 38 262 57122 54222 37 258 44 268 42 272 54222 51457 40 265 50 265 49 271 51457 48976 48 275 52 262 53 269 48976 46757 56 278 52 268 57 272 46757 44754 65 274 58 274 60 272 44754 42938 65 268 63 272 63 272 42938 41286 62 268 68 269 64 269 41286 39772 60 269 72 267 71 270 39772 38370 61 276 72 265 72 266 38370 37053 69 283 65 265 61 268 37053 35782 75 284 59 267 57 274 35782 34493 74 284 62 267 65 288 34493 33157 67 286 63 263 71 288 33157 31776 67 289 59 261 68 285 31776 30338 68 291 54 266 59 283 30338 28832 62 290 52 272 51 277 28832 27259 62 288 53 279 53 271 27259 25619 64 287 53 281 54 270 25619 23915 60 286 52 278 52 273 23915 22155 53 282 49 275 49 281 22155 20335 50 278 47 276 46 286 20335 18448 50 278 45 280 40 284 18448 16531 46 280 44 284 36 283 16531 14689 41 279 42 283 37 285 14689 13016 40 276 41 276 37 288 13016 11529 42 279 40 274 36 286 11529 10204 40 279 37 275 37 287 10204 9019 37 278 34 273 37 288 9019 7960 34 273 31 271 33 284 7960 7019 28 267 25 267 27 279 7019 6185 20*264 19 270 23 272 6185 5446 17*264 17*275 17 273 5446 4783 16 264 15*289 12 292 4783 4196 16 265 15 294 12 319 4196 3705 15 265 15 297 13 327 3705 3327 14 265 15 299 13 329 3327 3066 13 266 14 299 11 328 3066 2907 12 266 13 300 8 328 2907 2815 9 266 9 300 4*326 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography