DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 82 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2633 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4025 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5191 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2211 - - 5256 - - 3032 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 326 - - 122 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 317 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 577 - - -2075 - - -298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4614 - - 4893 - - 3116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -603 - - -2751 - - -1267 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5794 - - 5569 - - 4084 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 91 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 530 - - 730 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 63.6 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.5 - - 74.7 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 62.6 - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 167 - - 82 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2633 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 66 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99361 34 074 43 091 32 105 99361 91825 31 092 30 085 32 080 91825 86045 30 095 22 079 31 071 86045 81282 33 088 22 083 26 075 81282 77183 34 084 24 085 23 086 77183 73553 26 076 22 086 20 090 73553 70277 16 071 17 083 17 086 70277 67276 12 079 11 088 14 063 67276 64492 11 090 11 103 7 048 64492 61800 10 111 12 107 3 052 61800 58998 9 083 4 083 1 118 58998 56095 8 003 1 211 2 207 56095 53340 8 281 3 273 4 223 53340 50874 15 219 14 254 8 251 50874 48666 29 217 26 231 16 265 48666 46662 45 218 37 220 29 220 46662 44830 61 211 54 214 49 206 44830 43134 67 210 60 211 56 201 43134 41544 71 211 62 213 55 203 41544 40048 76 213 67 213 55 209 40048 38638 78 212 71 210 64 207 38638 37278 69 212 69 209 67 203 37278 35902 65 213 63 211 62 205 35902 34483 58 213 58 213 50 212 34483 33024 43 214 49 216 35 220 33024 31512 31 220 35 218 24 220 31512 29934 25 227 29 220 16 206 29934 28292 23 234 26 231 12 223 28292 26584 20 239 18 229 10 243 26584 24817 11 245 7 228 8 250 24817 22998 7 292 3 348 3 327 22998 21114 7 350 7 356 7 008 21114 19154 13 001 13 015 7 028 19154 17153 7 010 15 027 9 061 17153 15226 5 262 9 008 8 051 15226 13475 7 246 6 318 6 044 13475 11921 6 251 3 300 6 039 11921 10538 6 239 4 202 4 045 10538 9305 6 220 4 208 2 051 9305 8206 6 227 2 220 3 068 8206 7225 5 247 1 319 4 066 7225 6357 4 268 3 332 4 058 6357 5585 5*294 5 330 5 037 5585 4891 5*307 6 327 6 021 4891 4275 6 310 6 324 7 012 4275 3757 6 311 6 320 7 006 3757 3358 6 311 6 320 7 001 3358 3082 6 311 6 318 6 358 3082 2914 5 310 6*317 5 357 2914 2817 4 311 5*317 4*354 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography