DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 83.7 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 182 - - 75 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3948 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5030 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6506 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2063 - - 6864 - - 5031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 384 - - 119 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 267 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -46 - - -3655 - - -1647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6552 - - 6473 - - 4465 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3381 - - -4607 - - -3758 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9887 - - 7425 - - 6576 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 80 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1060 - - 1560 - - 2050 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 83.7 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.7 - - 64.8 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.1 - - 82.7 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.6 - - 63.8 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 182 - - 75 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3948 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 16 - - 21 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99032 19 094 6 084 9 055 99032 91575 19 079 11 093 11 044 91575 85814 13 093 15 069 14 074 85814 81029 11 082 15 066 16 067 81029 76907 9 035 9 085 11 058 76907 73278 8 069 2 066 11 025 73278 70011 9 089 4 136 6 002 70011 67024 6 095 3 096 4 326 67024 64263 4 061 4 006 3 308 64263 61602 11 353 10 355 9 352 61602 58850 10 322 10 324 10 326 58850 56018 9 299 15 314 13 322 56018 53340 11 299 19 305 19 311 53340 50949 10 316 14 284 19 294 50949 48803 10 322 12 290 17 297 48803 46843 13 314 14 308 15 309 46843 45041 19 318 18 334 16 345 45041 43374 23 321 25 339 17 359 43374 41818 22 313 27 337 12 358 41818 40351 20 307 24 333 10 009 40351 38960 17 298 19 323 13 013 38960 37614 16 296 14 310 12 009 37614 36246 18 295 12 296 5 003 36246 34827 20 300 14 284 6 302 34827 33365 22 307 19 288 12 290 33365 31847 24 312 22 299 20 298 31847 30263 23 319 22 314 23 304 30263 28610 19 324 21 321 22 312 28610 26890 14 326 18 325 21 320 26890 25102 15 324 19 334 19 330 25102 23252 16 315 18 335 17 337 23252 21335 17 316 18 322 17 336 21335 19350 16 327 19 326 18 333 19350 17341 17 341 20 343 18 347 17341 15409 19 340 21 354 17 354 15409 13648 17 336 21 355 13 008 13648 12075 13 328 16 350 14 029 12075 10670 10 317 11 340 12 020 10670 9418 9 311 9 309 10 331 9418 8304 7 306 10 299 11 299 8304 7312 7*298 10 295 11 295 7312 6431 6*292 10 290 11 295 6431 5645 6 285 9 285 11 295 5645 4937 6 279 9 280 11 295 4937 4307 6 274 9 276 10 294 4307 3778 6 269 8 273 9 293 3778 3370 6 266 8 271 8 290 3370 3088 6 264 7 270 7 286 3088 2916 5 262 7*268 5*282 2916 2818 4 263 5*267 3*277 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography