DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 76.6 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 43 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2818 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5578 - - 5033 - - 3676 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 133 - - 101 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 251 - - 267 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2320 - - -1144 - - -244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5138 - - 3962 - - 3061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2982 - - -2100 - - -1302 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5800 - - 4918 - - 4119 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1290 - - 1830 - - 1760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.0 - - 76.6 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.7 - - 68.3 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.7 - - 75.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.8 - - 67.5 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 113 - - 43 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 86 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99388 26 088 31 097 28 081 99388 91862 28 098 28 085 23 080 91862 86056 31 095 26 081 25 079 86056 81233 29 082 25 090 21 075 81233 77081 24 081 20 088 20 081 77081 73422 19 094 14 081 18 079 73422 70119 19 090 10 083 13 083 70119 67106 16 072 11 087 10 075 67106 64336 10 041 13 068 11 070 64336 61656 6 011 13 026 15 043 61656 58868 6 021 16 016 11 043 58868 56006 5 042 12 003 10 045 56006 53297 4 005 6 358 10 359 53297 50865 13 243 13 269 11 304 50865 48696 19 225 21 225 16 246 48696 46736 19 221 24 212 22 220 46736 44936 19 224 26 215 24 214 44936 43261 25 226 29 221 25 218 43261 41691 29 227 31 228 29 222 41691 40213 31 229 31 231 33 222 40213 38817 31 229 31 232 35 222 38817 37468 30 231 28 235 36 227 37468 36100 29 234 25 241 35 231 36100 34684 27 233 24 246 32 233 34684 33223 24 229 22 248 28 232 33223 31704 22 224 20 246 25 231 31704 30115 21 222 18 239 23 230 30115 28459 19 223 19 239 24 233 28459 26737 17 227 20 236 24 238 26737 24953 18 231 20 232 22 237 24953 23112 20 233 20 233 19 230 23112 21208 20 237 21 237 17 233 21208 19232 16 238 20 244 19 238 19232 17223 10 232 12 236 18 240 17223 15287 10 234 12 236 17 230 15287 13526 9 229 12 208 18 219 13526 11964 8 221 11 211 19 223 11964 10578 8 221 9 220 17 232 10578 9341 7 219 9 217 15 239 9341 8236 7 216 8 212 12 236 8236 7253 6 217 7 218 8 229 7253 6381 5 222 6 231 7 229 6381 5605 5 239 6 245 6 232 5605 4907 5 244 6 251 5 236 4907 4285 5 247 6 258 5 239 4285 3764 5 250 6 262 5 241 3764 3362 5 251 6 264 5 242 3362 3084 4 251 6 267 4 240 3084 2915 4*252 5*267 4 240 2915 2817 3*251 4*267 3*241 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography