DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 351 - - 200 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3761 - - 3722 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5117 - - 4867 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6319 - - 6280 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1137 - - 1661 - - 3897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 456 - - 378 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 324 - - 319 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 978 - - 468 - - -2110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5342 - - 5812 - - 4926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 348 - - -430 - - -2793 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5971 - - 6710 - - 5608 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.5 - - 35.0 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 47.0 - - 49.2 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.5 - - 34.1 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 351 - - 200 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3761 - - 3722 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 80 - - 57 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98233 6 183 5 162 4 282 98233 90770 7 173 6 236 10 259 90770 85033 5 241 9 250 3 250 85033 80273 9 236 13 249 6 275 80273 76158 9 241 13 214 8 269 76158 72523 7 200 10 223 6 244 72523 69241 6 220 11 187 7 321 69241 66221 13 250 11 271 17 270 66221 63419 19 176 11 199 12 244 63419 60700 9 276 10 232 10 254 60700 57854 14 272 15 272 20 285 57854 54905 13 277 22 273 26 282 54905 52098 21 283 25 281 25 288 52098 49561 29 283 29 292 33 294 49561 47286 40 291 42 293 45 292 47286 45230 54 284 52 288 49 293 45230 43357 53 277 55 294 54 303 43357 41636 47 286 70 300 62 306 41636 40043 60 301 79 299 71 304 40043 38560 76 299 84 294 68 303 38560 37176 80 294 80 294 73 321 37176 35854 79 294 79 304 84 325 35854 34521 81 298 84 309 87 324 34521 33152 84 300 89 309 92 324 33152 31751 84 301 91 306 97 324 31751 30304 81 302 88 308 99 324 30304 28793 77 302 85 313 99 325 28793 27218 71 302 79 313 97 325 27218 25577 68 302 73 312 93 324 25577 23875 66 302 70 312 82 325 23875 22117 65 300 67 312 71 325 22117 20295 63 300 62 313 64 323 20295 18402 56 303 55 313 59 321 18402 16476 46 305 44 311 52 322 16476 14625 38 306 34 312 43 319 14625 12946 32 306 30 317 35 314 12946 11457 30 307 28 317 30 313 11457 10132 28 310 28 321 28 316 10132 8950 27 318 25 319 29 322 8950 7899 21 322 18 317 28 325 7899 6970 18*321 18*318 25 325 6970 6152 18*322 18*318 23 324 6152 5426 18 323 18 319 21 324 5426 4773 18 324 18 319 20 324 4773 4191 18 324 18 319 19 323 4191 3702 18 324 17 320 18 323 3702 3325 17 324 16 320 16 322 3325 3065 16 324 15 319 14 321 3065 2906 14 324 13 319 11 321 2906 2815 10 324 10 319 7*320 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography