DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 69.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 4 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3467 - - 4243 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 127 - - 62 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 091 - - 082 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6041 - - -5345 - - -2192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8859 - - 8162 - - 5008 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10805 - - -9633 - - -8473 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13622 - - 12450 - - 11289 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 69.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.1 - - 43.3 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.7 - - 68.7 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.9 - - 42.2 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 97 - - 4 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 23 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97966 29 224 39 234 40 233 97966 90600 32 221 29 253 31 252 90600 84895 25 212 24 252 24 258 84895 80151 15 215 23 235 22 238 80151 76060 16 262 22 223 21 232 76060 72467 21 251 19 228 18 263 72467 69254 20 252 18 232 19 280 69254 66320 21 262 15 244 18 281 66320 63612 25 249 22 260 25 267 63612 61003 30 238 30 254 27 260 61003 58290 33 250 38 251 36 256 58290 55497 41 249 44 243 44 251 55497 52848 46 258 44 246 47 243 52848 50465 55 265 48 252 47 247 50465 48325 68 261 58 259 61 257 48325 46377 83 252 73 254 79 250 46377 44581 100 241 88 244 89 240 44581 42908 104 235 99 237 91 231 42908 41339 101 232 97 235 92 225 41339 39863 97 231 94 235 86 225 39863 38469 95 232 91 233 82 225 38469 37121 94 231 89 232 73 227 37121 35753 89 228 86 230 68 228 35753 34335 85 226 83 228 66 227 34335 32871 80 230 79 226 66 227 32871 31349 61 247 77 223 69 225 31349 29756 36 249 64 226 70 222 29756 28095 24 244 37 251 57 223 28095 26373 22 238 23 266 31 242 26373 24607 19 239 19 260 17 278 24607 22798 18 253 16 265 12 291 22798 20928 15 258 13 270 10 265 20928 18984 14 270 11 285 8 250 18984 17008 14 294 12 298 6 263 17008 15108 13 311 13 303 7 309 15108 13380 12 320 11 305 10 324 13380 11840 14 329 11 316 10 332 11840 10465 16 340 10 336 10 349 10465 9238 16 352 10 000 9 012 9238 8142 15 005 8 027 7 043 8142 7167 13 019 8 034 9 072 7167 6305 11 028 7 031 12 079 6305 5542 7 040 7 034 13 083 5542 4858 6 049 6 045 13 087 4858 4250 5 073 5 062 12 089 4250 3740 5 080 5 072 12 090 3740 3347 5 085 5 076 11 092 3347 3076 5 088 4 079 9 095 3076 2911 4*090 4*080 6 096 2911 2816 4*091 3*082 4*091 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography