DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1008z - - 1332z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 81.1 - - 86.9 - - 87.9 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 201 - - 291 - - 151 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 254 - - 3079 - - 6136 - - 5740 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit 2796 - - 4403 - - 6904 - - 6253 - - 2796 Hcrit BL Top 2812 - - 5637 - - 8694 - - 8298 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 557 - - 1344 - - 1498 - - 3226 - - 3839 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 358 - - 509 - - 404 - - 46 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 20 - - 14 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 271 - - 214 - - 254 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - 7 - - 29 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -341 - - -65 - - 1606 - - 935 - - -1466 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3153 - - 5702 - - 7088 - - 7364 - - 4279 sfcLCL ODpotential -5521 - - -3088 - - 551 - - 11 - - -3386 ODpotential blCL 8333 - - 8725 - - 8143 - - 8287 - - 6199 blCL maxRH 84 - - 80 - - 80 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 820 - - 1150 - - 1760 - - 1850 - - 2750 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 81.1 - - 86.9 - - 87.9 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.7 - - 65.4 - - 65.2 - - 65.0 - - 70.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.8 - - 79.1 - - 84.6 - - 86.2 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.4 - - 64.7 - - 64.4 - - 64.3 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 201 - - 291 - - 151 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 254 - - 3079 - - 6136 - - 5740 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 20 - - 21 - - 70 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99006 35 077 42 097 27 093 42 094 29 089 99006 91491 35 085 33 089 33 088 35 087 31 091 91491 85695 34 089 26 079 32 086 29 084 36 084 85695 80920 29 090 25 082 27 078 25 083 35 079 80920 76838 25 093 26 093 21 074 24 080 28 082 76838 73263 22 089 28 093 20 099 22 069 22 080 73263 70043 21 076 26 088 25 117 16 066 17 068 70043 67082 23 066 25 082 28 117 10 092 13 057 67082 64328 24 056 24 065 28 101 14 132 7 065 64328 61660 18 046 17 050 25 071 18 124 5 125 61660 58896 10 060 10 065 21 036 17 092 11 128 58896 56069 10 077 10 085 16 010 21 047 15 088 56069 53406 13 065 13 094 9 009 15 036 23 050 53406 51010 15 059 14 100 3 082 9 054 16 033 51010 48861 12 058 12 101 10 129 6 044 10 067 48861 46910 9 055 13 110 17 134 6 091 8 085 46910 45108 7 048 13 111 20 138 12 118 9 116 45108 43424 8 014 10 088 17 146 11 124 8 131 43424 41841 9 002 9 046 15 151 7 124 3 129 41841 40347 7 359 10 023 13 154 4 148 1 187 40347 38937 6 012 10 021 12 156 6 183 5 199 38937 37576 6 033 9 022 9 152 9 191 8 205 37576 36198 6 053 8 024 7 140 10 196 8 203 36198 34772 6 074 6 024 5 119 8 199 8 197 34772 33303 5 107 5 027 3 099 5 197 7 194 33303 31777 4 117 5 033 1 053 3 183 4 198 31777 30183 4 103 4 027 3 316 1 188 2 239 30183 28522 5 091 2 343 5 312 1 300 3 323 28522 26797 6 061 2 306 7 322 2 007 4 002 26797 25010 6 039 2 291 8 332 5 032 3 037 25010 23168 6 032 2 273 8 337 9 037 6 088 23168 21267 3 030 1 314 5 341 9 044 8 099 21267 19297 1 089 3 338 4 007 7 057 6 101 19297 17300 5 086 4 357 8 017 8 063 10 096 17300 15381 8 077 6 030 10 038 9 065 12 088 15381 13632 10 073 6 042 12 047 10 066 13 079 13632 12068 8 069 4 035 10 043 7 075 11 092 12068 10673 5 072 0 076 6 037 2 156 8 093 10673 9427 4 025 3 176 5*182 3 204 3 038 9427 8312 5 012 4 176 6*192 4*228 4 334 8312 7316 7 355 3 220 6 199 5*248 6 312 7316 6430 9 322 6*272 5 213 5 255 8 302 6430 5643 10 303 8*281 5 217 5 256 9 294 5643 4934 10 302 8 279 5 222 5 256 10 283 4934 4303 9 309 8 271 4 225 5 255 11 271 4303 3774 9 309 7 267 4 229 5 254 11 263 3774 3365 8 288 7 265 4 230 5 254 11 259 3365 3083 8 265 6 262 4 231 5 253 9 257 3083 2911 5*263 6 262 3 230 5 252 7*255 2911 2813 3*263 5 262 3 230 4 250 4*253 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography