DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.8 - - 54.4 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 463 - - 264 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 4294 - - 4147 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3999 - - 5617 - - 5297 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4908 - - 6852 - - 6705 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 891 - - 819 - - 1569 - - 3868 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 518 - - 426 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 333 - - 310 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2781 - - -3048 - - -3498 - - -6699 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7689 - - 9901 - - 10204 - - 9515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10077 - - -9061 - - -9292 - - -13964 ODpotential blCL - - - 14985 - - 15913 - - 15997 - - 16779 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 53 - - 61 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.8 - - 54.4 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 19.3 - - 19.5 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 50.0 - - 52.3 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.2 - - 18.3 - - 18.6 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 463 - - 264 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2350 - - 4294 - - 4147 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96948 40 235 44 234 59 249 51 252 96948 89578 38 254 35 233 44 240 44 250 89578 83893 25 254 26 238 35 242 41 254 83893 79214 24 261 25 244 29 249 33 257 79214 75203 27 254 26 251 26 248 28 257 75203 71657 23 239 26 256 30 253 31 256 71657 68453 24 245 29 259 29 264 30 264 68453 65516 25 255 32 258 36 271 30 264 65516 62782 35 266 37 259 44 267 33 266 62782 60103 43 260 45 257 47 263 41 267 60103 57289 51 257 49 254 48 262 49 266 57289 54363 53 255 50 255 51 260 54 266 54363 51570 52 257 52 258 53 257 61 265 51570 49064 54 259 55 260 53 261 60 261 49064 46832 60 259 61 262 55 269 56 260 46832 44823 69 258 67 258 63 266 56 259 44823 43003 76 245 72 248 70 257 59 254 43003 41340 77 235 76 236 70 245 60 249 41340 39807 89 226 77 225 70 238 58 249 39807 38384 102 221 74 222 71 229 55 246 38384 37055 100 222 69 224 70 224 52 243 37055 35776 81 229 62 230 64 226 49 244 35776 34479 70 237 58 239 56 232 47 247 34479 33135 65 244 58 246 55 240 46 251 33135 31747 64 246 60 247 55 248 45 256 31747 30303 63 252 61 248 55 256 45 262 30303 28793 62 258 60 252 55 264 47 267 28793 27219 59 259 59 258 55 267 49 272 27219 25580 56 264 57 263 53 267 49 275 25580 23882 58 271 57 270 53 271 46 282 23882 22130 53 271 54 274 49 276 45 287 22130 20317 40 270 45 273 46 281 44 283 20317 18433 36 266 35 275 46 282 42 287 18433 16513 37 275 34 282 41 290 38 289 16513 14661 39 291 38 290 40 301 33 288 14661 12975 40 299 44 299 45 306 28 292 12975 11476 36 296 43 302 40 305 28 304 11476 10146 33 289 39 298 31 299 25 307 10146 8966 31 289 33 296 24 293 20 300 8966 7917 30 293 22 303 11 290 11 275 7917 6986 30 298 11*324 8*301 5 256 6986 6163 26 307 10*330 8*305 3 307 6163 5433 21*317 10 332 9 307 6 341 5433 4777 14*328 10 333 9 309 9 343 4777 4193 13 331 11 334 9 311 10 342 4193 3703 13 331 10 334 9 312 10 342 3703 3326 12 330 10 334 9 312 10 340 3326 3065 11 331 9 334 9 312 9 340 3065 2906 10 330 8 334 8 313 7 339 2906 2815 8 330 7 334 6 312 4*337 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography