DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 63.7 - - 63.5 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 141 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2363 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3730 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4921 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1209 - - 1005 - - 2925 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 292 - - 75 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 098 - - 138 - - 123 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3830 - - -2941 - - -4923 - - -1619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6647 - - 7863 - - 7739 - - 4436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13269 - - -11179 - - -12369 - - -10980 ODpotential blCL - - - 16085 - - 16100 - - 15185 - - 13796 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 81 - - 74 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 63.7 - - 63.5 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 39.4 - - 39.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 62.3 - - 62.9 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 38.3 - - 38.8 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 141 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2363 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97039 43 251 44 249 47 268 48 265 97039 89796 27 246 29 251 33 255 35 264 89796 84201 11 248 19 247 20 249 27 254 84201 79591 9 253 13 235 14 259 14 246 79591 75644 12 221 11 233 11 261 9 254 75644 72149 13 203 15 213 15 254 11 277 72149 68981 7 178 11 197 18 226 19 255 68981 66085 7 285 8 221 16 206 21 239 66085 63424 21 266 16 260 15 241 20 251 63424 60854 26 238 23 255 19 235 20 258 60854 58171 24 247 26 256 23 246 32 247 58171 55388 33 250 36 249 36 249 40 241 55388 52717 37 241 44 241 45 244 45 241 52717 50296 39 240 43 240 46 250 46 251 50296 48113 43 252 45 249 49 253 55 257 48113 46130 44 258 44 255 48 252 54 257 46130 44316 36 255 29 257 39 261 49 256 44316 42651 27 245 32 262 28 261 42 249 42651 41105 21 257 29 260 24 267 33 243 41105 39652 13 270 22 251 20 262 26 248 39652 38283 12 316 14 248 17 253 24 246 38283 36963 14 324 11 288 14 256 23 245 36963 35623 13 310 12 315 13 270 24 248 35623 34234 12 270 9 308 14 276 25 253 34234 32800 14 247 7 265 15 285 19 243 32800 31304 16 238 11 231 15 269 15 225 31304 29738 14 242 21 229 21 256 20 250 29738 28112 13 253 23 236 22 260 25 258 28112 26426 14 268 18 262 15 245 29 273 26426 24678 17 283 16 257 16 255 24 279 24678 22867 15 286 15 260 15 256 13 275 22867 20983 14 270 13 262 12 281 12 267 20983 19022 13 274 11 280 9 284 12 266 19022 17027 11 287 9 296 5 283 10 261 17027 15108 5 277 3 291 3 212 8 231 15108 13361 2 192 4 153 8 166 10 187 13361 11804 4 154 7 154 11 168 13 183 11804 10419 4 149 8 152 10 165 13 178 10419 9187 1 130 6 136 9 158 11 170 9187 8093 1 124 6 123 7 155 8 161 8093 7125 3 154 6 135 5 168 5 152 7125 6272 6 147 10 147 5 174 4 144 6272 5516 10 132 13*144 6 155 6 122 5516 4837 15 123 13*140 7 138 9 114 4837 4235 17 114 13 139 7 133 11 115 4235 3730 17 109 13 137 7 129 11 120 3730 3341 13 103 12 136 7 127 11 124 3341 3072 10 100 11 135 7 126 9 124 3072 2909 9*099 10 135 6 124 7*118 2909 2816 6*098 7 134 4*123 4*110 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography