DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 75.0 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2919 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4103 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5477 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2263 - - 5425 - - 1348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 309 - - 85 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 247 - - 244 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1859 - - -3841 - - -1421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7336 - - 6658 - - 4239 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8225 - - -6674 - - -4778 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13702 - - 9491 - - 7595 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 70 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 75.0 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.3 - - 55.5 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.3 - - 74.5 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.1 - - 54.4 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2919 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98044 16 223 13 223 15 198 98044 90714 7 226 8 226 10 249 90714 85057 9 274 7 247 9 298 85057 80364 5 300 5 268 10 320 80364 76326 6 027 3 322 7 328 76326 72786 7 039 7 018 8 041 72786 69604 5 076 6 355 9 020 69604 66693 5 031 3 163 8 346 66693 64010 8 025 5 116 3 348 64010 61416 8 024 7 051 3 158 61416 58720 8 354 6 349 3 226 58720 55939 10 329 4 283 8 201 55939 53304 36 345 27 343 17 350 53304 50952 32 327 26 339 24 334 50952 48834 21 340 23 355 24 334 48834 46887 26 352 26 354 26 333 46887 45087 30 349 24 343 23 332 45087 43411 28 341 22 337 22 330 43411 41836 23 320 19 332 20 337 41836 40349 18 306 17 320 12 350 40349 38943 11 307 16 304 5 319 38943 37585 9 293 15 283 10 257 37585 36209 16 274 21 268 15 263 36209 34782 17 265 24 270 23 269 34782 33308 15 272 20 270 27 268 33308 31774 15 281 15 262 27 268 31774 30168 14 283 14 253 23 265 30168 28496 10 258 14 254 21 254 28496 26761 11 249 15 248 20 254 26761 24967 12 258 18 254 22 257 24967 23115 14 254 20 255 23 259 23115 21195 13 256 16 249 21 254 21195 19205 10 257 14 231 19 242 19205 17185 10 235 13 225 17 237 17185 15245 13 240 16 239 17 239 15245 13484 16 239 19 250 17 244 13484 11919 17 235 21 256 16 255 11919 10532 16 231 21 250 16 265 10532 9299 14 228 19 237 16 252 9299 8202 12 231 13 222 13 233 8202 7226 11 245 11 220 11 206 7226 6359 10 248 10 224 11 199 6359 5588 10*248 9 230 10 203 5588 4893 10*248 8 238 9 211 4893 4275 10 248 8 241 8 222 4275 3757 9 247 8 243 8 232 3757 3357 9 247 7 245 7 237 3357 3081 8 247 7 245 6 240 3081 2913 8 246 6 244 4*240 2913 2817 6 246 5*244 2*240 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography