DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 82.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 102 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2673 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4018 - - 2802 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5231 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2509 - - 5455 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 129 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 273 - - 266 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 568 - - -2094 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4664 - - 4913 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -523 - - -3028 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5754 - - 5846 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2330 - - 2510 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 82.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 69.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.5 - - 80.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.0 - - 69.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 102 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2673 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 18 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99368 41 098 27 076 99368 91894 36 086 37 097 91894 86130 27 079 38 091 86130 81347 25 083 28 077 81347 77217 22 081 20 086 77217 73563 18 093 16 116 73563 70260 17 093 14 122 70260 67228 11 090 7 083 67228 64435 2 146 3 355 64435 61745 2 060 2 262 61745 58966 9 336 9 340 58966 56119 13 291 20 304 56119 53436 16 260 26 274 53436 51058 17 290 24 272 51058 48948 27 304 26 304 48948 47027 32 286 26 314 47027 45244 33 272 29 306 45244 43573 34 269 29 293 43573 42000 33 271 28 283 42000 40512 31 273 28 277 40512 39103 29 269 28 270 39103 37740 29 270 26 266 37740 36357 27 277 25 264 36357 34925 23 264 25 260 34925 33446 21 261 29 256 33446 31911 20 271 27 257 31911 30312 21 291 21 265 30312 28650 24 303 20 278 28650 26920 26 304 21 296 26920 25124 26 301 21 301 25124 23266 24 303 19 300 23266 21346 24 295 20 302 21346 19358 25 288 22 289 19358 17342 26 293 23 289 17342 15404 25 299 23 299 15404 13639 20 298 22 295 13639 12069 17 293 21 285 12069 10670 18 290 19 283 10670 9421 17 294 18 283 9421 8305 15 300 17 280 8305 7312 14 299 16 277 7312 6430 13 296 15 276 6430 5645 13*291 14 274 5645 4937 12*282 13 273 4937 4308 11 275 12 270 4308 3779 11 272 11 269 3779 3370 11 270 11 268 3370 3088 10 269 10 268 3088 2917 9 268 9 267 2917 2818 7 267 7*266 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography