DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 52.2 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - -2 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 922 - - 4010 - - 1574 - - 728 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 54 - - 33 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 218 - - 204 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1066 - - -1231 - - -266 - - -284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3882 - - 4048 - - 3082 - - 3100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4624 - - -2247 - - -3137 - - -5914 ODpotential blCL - - - 7440 - - 5063 - - 5953 - - 8730 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 52.2 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 48.0 - - 48.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 55.6 - - 52.4 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 47.0 - - 48.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - -2 - - -9 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 102 - - 101 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 22 212 25 242 28 227 25 231 96379 89203 15 213 20 209 29 222 24 244 89203 83684 21 221 24 215 22 249 23 258 83684 79089 16 239 25 212 21 240 25 248 79089 75114 11 252 19 241 18 248 20 260 75114 71605 18 269 22 263 21 262 26 268 71605 68458 23 283 22 272 22 268 27 261 68458 65565 27 284 25 276 21 269 21 278 65565 62871 34 286 34 286 33 284 35 286 62871 60263 41 287 46 286 44 280 40 280 60263 57539 47 280 51 282 50 281 46 281 57539 54707 45 275 54 279 62 284 54 278 54707 51995 45 286 57 279 65 278 61 277 51995 49539 61 285 60 276 62 269 67 278 49539 47333 67 280 60 278 60 266 69 277 47333 45332 61 273 59 279 58 269 67 273 45332 43504 53 276 59 277 58 273 65 274 43504 41837 52 283 62 280 63 272 67 277 41837 40317 56 283 62 277 62 267 64 274 40317 38908 63 281 62 271 60 261 61 268 38908 37577 67 280 61 271 60 263 60 267 37577 36286 68 280 60 271 57 265 59 268 36286 34975 69 280 59 269 54 265 59 270 34975 33619 68 278 59 268 55 265 59 270 33619 32221 67 277 58 268 55 267 57 267 32221 30766 63 277 54 267 54 274 54 264 30766 29243 56 273 51 271 53 277 53 265 29243 27655 49 269 57 279 54 276 51 269 27655 26003 46 275 60 281 54 276 50 276 26003 24288 47 282 49 280 53 280 52 279 24288 22512 48 287 44 278 47 284 51 277 22512 20668 46 287 47 274 44 279 47 277 20668 18750 42 290 48 261 45 281 43 278 18750 16797 39 287 39 264 44 285 41 276 16797 14917 33 276 30 269 43 284 43 271 14917 13205 29 275 25 270 40 277 44 268 13205 11682 25 254 20 258 39 266 41 266 11682 10326 25 240 16 244 36 258 37 262 10326 9118 21 246 14 243 32 250 33 259 9118 8042 19 258 20 245 28 242 32 256 8042 7085 21 263 27 239 25 232 33 246 7085 6238 25 258 26 232 24 228 30 235 6238 5489 26 244 23 227 24 226 27 229 5489 4815 20 229 20 223 23 221 23 225 4815 4218 19 215 19 220 20 214 21 216 4218 3719 18 201 17 219 16 206 20 201 3719 3334 15 195 15 219 12 204 17 194 3334 3069 11 190 13 219 9 203 13 187 3069 2908 10*190 11*218 7*203 9*181 2908 2816 7*189 7*218 4*204 4*173 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography