DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 76.1 - - 77.1 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 64 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3398 - - 4104 - - 4283 - - 3072 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 111 - - 83 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 259 - - 254 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -789 - - -1593 - - -1838 - - -6 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3606 - - 4411 - - 4656 - - 2824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1760 - - -2725 - - -3420 - - -1660 ODpotential blCL - - - 4577 - - 5543 - - 6238 - - 4478 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1390 - - 1500 - - 1620 - - 2320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 76.1 - - 77.1 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.0 - - 66.1 - - 66.0 - - 69.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 75.0 - - 76.3 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 65.3 - - 65.3 - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 64 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 84 - - 89 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99301 38 089 30 088 32 071 32 078 99301 91845 29 085 30 086 27 081 33 074 91845 86077 25 081 29 082 27 095 25 077 86077 81279 25 080 25 089 25 093 19 095 81279 77156 21 083 23 095 18 095 18 094 77156 73512 17 067 17 097 12 096 12 081 73512 70208 10 064 11 102 8 084 10 068 70208 67170 6 095 7 097 6 074 9 077 67170 64363 8 121 4 106 2 103 4 076 64363 61668 7 086 4 164 3 184 1 279 61668 58883 2 170 5 202 5 208 6 268 58883 56015 6 288 6 251 7 227 11 256 56015 53298 11 269 11 251 12 233 14 264 53298 50860 15 255 16 237 21 248 23 281 50860 48678 23 263 24 250 28 256 31 270 48678 46704 28 247 28 247 31 256 30 255 46704 44898 28 234 30 247 32 252 26 254 44898 43222 27 237 31 248 32 250 27 263 43222 41650 31 248 34 251 36 254 32 268 41650 40172 33 247 37 249 40 255 42 267 40172 38780 33 248 38 246 41 257 44 264 38780 37436 33 250 37 244 40 259 40 263 37436 36071 32 252 36 248 39 257 38 262 36071 34657 32 255 37 255 37 253 36 259 34657 33201 27 252 37 255 36 253 35 257 33201 31685 26 249 36 252 36 254 35 255 31685 30097 28 248 37 246 37 255 35 252 30097 28441 30 245 34 250 35 257 34 253 28441 26719 31 246 30 251 30 259 32 249 26719 24934 29 246 27 247 23 256 27 252 24934 23090 27 243 24 252 23 265 24 257 23090 21186 25 246 23 254 23 272 16 262 21186 19214 26 251 24 252 22 267 9 276 19214 17210 18 257 23 253 23 260 7 287 17210 15282 11 263 15 250 22 253 9 273 15282 13533 10 248 11 254 19 246 11 250 13533 11980 13 253 12 265 14 251 12 230 11980 10595 12 273 11 268 9 267 11 227 10595 9357 12 290 10 282 7 283 8 237 9357 8250 12 304 9 295 7 291 6 250 8250 7264 12 307 9 303 6 293 6 254 7264 6390 10 305 9 304 5 288 6 248 6390 5612 9 306 8 294 5 280 7 238 5612 4912 9 304 7 283 5 270 7 227 4912 4289 8 295 7 272 5 263 7 222 4289 3766 7 281 7 268 5 259 6 219 3766 3363 6 272 6 264 5 257 6 219 3363 3084 6 270 6 263 5 256 5 220 3084 2915 6 268 6*261 4*255 4*219 2915 2818 5*266 4*259 4*254 2*217 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography