DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 81.0 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 166 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3872 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4933 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6430 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2262 - - 5426 - - 3957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 120 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 290 - - 289 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 915 - - -2346 - - -1137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5515 - - 5164 - - 3956 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -527 - - -3137 - - -2904 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6957 - - 5955 - - 5722 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1210 - - 1390 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 81.0 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 67.6 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.1 - - 79.8 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.9 - - 66.7 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 166 - - 79 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3872 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 17 - - 36 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99320 44 082 37 087 34 069 99320 91883 38 077 39 085 34 077 91883 86140 34 084 33 079 32 083 86140 81357 28 088 26 078 24 074 81357 77224 24 064 18 074 19 073 77224 73569 17 057 13 069 16 061 73569 70266 12 068 12 076 12 060 70266 67243 8 072 11 055 11 052 67243 64460 8 071 7 075 7 044 64460 61790 3 073 6 081 8 040 61790 59038 5 115 2 074 8 012 59038 56207 5 316 3 293 8 330 56207 53539 13 314 11 303 13 300 53539 51175 27 295 22 307 13 313 51175 49066 25 274 25 293 24 315 49066 47140 24 280 25 286 26 304 47140 45355 25 280 25 290 19 289 45355 43684 26 281 24 296 11 295 43684 42110 25 284 21 294 13 332 42110 40620 22 290 15 296 11 340 40620 39210 22 301 11 304 11 340 39210 37844 24 301 9 305 13 338 37844 36455 25 293 12 308 7 322 36455 35016 24 292 16 309 8 286 35016 33533 22 293 21 298 16 291 33533 31992 19 291 18 282 19 297 31992 30385 17 285 16 274 17 279 30385 28711 18 277 18 272 21 274 28711 26970 21 282 19 293 23 287 26970 25164 17 293 14 294 23 290 25164 23295 12 291 10 305 21 290 23295 21366 13 287 12 301 19 295 21366 19376 14 293 15 295 20 304 19376 17359 14 300 17 301 20 303 17359 15420 15 301 20 312 16 302 15420 13655 14 303 20 318 14 301 13655 12082 11 311 17 317 14 295 12082 10680 12 313 14 307 14 295 10680 9427 15 306 13 304 13 301 9427 8308 16 302 12 303 12 305 8308 7312 15*300 11 300 9 293 7312 6429 14*295 10 297 8 270 6429 5644 13 292 10 295 8 263 5644 4936 12 290 10 294 7 262 4936 4306 12 288 10 293 7 263 4306 3778 11 287 9 292 6 262 3778 3370 10 286 9 291 6 261 3370 3088 10 286 8 290 5 258 3088 2916 9 284 8*289 4*256 2916 2818 7 284 6*289 3*253 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography