DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 42.6 - - 43.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 71 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 657 - - 2451 - - 3138 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 113 - - 39 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 254 - - 245 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1295 - - -1530 - - -1352 - - -124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4111 - - 4345 - - 4167 - - 2939 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5849 - - -3826 - - -2394 - - -4602 ODpotential blCL - - - 8664 - - 6641 - - 5209 - - 7417 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 84 - - 85 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 42.6 - - 43.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.9 - - 33.5 - - 34.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 41.6 - - 42.7 - - 38.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 32.3 - - 33.6 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 71 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 36 - - 38 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96139 10 218 18 242 17 283 14 286 96139 88932 12 265 12 215 20 255 19 270 88932 83358 12 238 14 248 22 242 21 265 83358 78739 14 257 13 258 15 240 23 266 78739 74785 20 269 20 254 21 249 27 259 74785 71303 28 268 28 257 31 265 32 257 71303 68148 30 255 32 253 35 260 31 251 68148 65237 35 261 32 256 35 262 31 262 65237 62525 40 259 38 265 39 260 40 260 62525 59893 48 262 48 259 45 252 49 251 59893 57139 52 256 50 255 49 250 48 252 57139 54280 58 258 66 250 75 256 77 261 54280 51565 87 251 83 253 87 258 89 257 51565 49120 98 253 93 258 100 260 97 255 49120 46918 104 254 105 259 111 260 103 253 46918 44914 114 255 115 257 115 258 111 252 44914 43073 121 251 125 254 124 253 120 251 43073 41372 119 248 127 248 128 247 123 248 41372 39793 109 246 122 243 129 242 124 245 39793 38321 101 250 115 241 126 241 122 241 38321 36943 106 255 112 244 120 241 118 240 36943 35620 110 254 111 248 119 243 118 242 35620 34285 109 252 115 249 121 243 121 243 34285 32908 111 247 117 245 124 242 124 242 32908 31492 109 241 119 242 126 239 126 241 31492 30026 109 241 117 240 127 237 124 242 30026 28503 105 244 112 241 125 238 115 245 28503 26924 96 248 105 245 119 241 100 247 26924 25288 92 249 98 245 108 245 91 246 25288 23597 93 249 91 246 100 247 85 249 23597 21854 91 248 90 250 95 250 78 251 21854 20052 83 253 82 255 88 255 68 255 20052 18192 67 253 67 256 70 264 56 258 18192 16308 53 250 56 257 55 261 49 260 16308 14496 44 249 49 259 47 267 46 258 14496 12845 39 253 41 260 40 275 35 258 12845 11375 34 253 35 265 32 269 23 260 11375 10069 28 255 32 265 25 264 21 265 10069 8905 23 259 27 261 20 271 21 267 8905 7868 22 259 22 260 16 277 17 266 7868 6945 22 257 18 266 11 277 13 262 6945 6128 20 256 17 272 7 281 10 257 6128 5404 18 259 15 271 5 269 9 256 5404 4753 17 261 13 265 3 253 8 257 4753 4175 15 259 9 255 3 249 7 258 4175 3691 13 253 8 253 3 247 5 271 3691 3318 10 248 7 253 3 245 4 285 3318 3061 6 245 7 253 3 245 3 290 3061 2904 3*249 6*253 3 244 1*299 2904 2815 2*249 5*254 2*245 1*326 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography