DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 54.8 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2266 - - 1870 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 109 - - 65 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 261 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -552 - - -652 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3368 - - 3468 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1058 - - -5305 - - -5523 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3874 - - 8121 - - 8339 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 90 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 54.8 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 49.4 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 54.2 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 49.1 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - 12 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 62 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95862 59 277 42 278 43 260 95862 88843 40 271 40 282 37 280 88843 83462 25 270 36 265 35 285 83462 78998 22 290 29 272 31 299 78998 75119 22 293 27 289 27 304 75119 71663 19 294 24 286 24 297 71663 68527 19 297 22 289 24 288 68527 65645 20 289 20 284 21 285 65645 62961 27 292 30 291 26 292 62961 60350 38 281 37 280 39 291 60350 57619 41 283 39 282 35 281 57619 54792 52 288 56 291 60 281 54792 52129 76 282 79 279 67 272 52129 49750 72 271 80 266 64 272 49750 47604 64 268 66 260 71 279 47604 45649 65 272 59 272 83 278 45649 43854 66 279 67 284 94 279 43854 42188 81 289 87 289 101 279 42188 40634 96 289 105 289 103 277 40634 39183 104 287 110 286 101 277 39183 37822 104 285 107 284 93 277 37822 36513 103 283 103 281 88 273 36513 35184 98 282 90 275 90 271 35184 33809 93 282 78 266 79 265 33809 32391 91 281 79 267 73 262 32391 30913 90 284 85 274 70 259 30913 29365 78 285 77 281 75 268 29365 27749 59 277 59 277 72 276 27749 26066 55 275 57 268 63 273 26066 24321 52 278 53 265 55 270 24321 22524 47 281 46 273 44 275 22524 20670 46 278 43 278 37 277 20670 18748 50 273 43 282 32 279 18748 16795 49 269 45 281 37 284 16795 14916 41 270 48 279 45 281 14916 13207 32 277 47 278 45 275 13207 11685 29 284 43 277 39 273 11685 10331 27 287 37 277 34 279 10331 9125 26 296 30 278 28 277 9125 8050 26 304 27 279 25 264 8050 7093 25 301 25 282 23 265 7093 6245 23 286 25 281 18 275 6245 5493 22 271 24 276 12 287 5493 4818 18 258 22 271 10 287 4818 4220 17 256 17 265 9 261 4220 3720 16 255 15 263 10 243 3720 3334 14 256 14 262 10 242 3334 3069 13 255 12 261 7 243 3069 2908 11*255 10*261 4*253 2908 2816 8*255 7*261 3*272 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography