DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 62.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1997 - - 1423 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 69 - - 53 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 154 - - 082 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -434 - - -239 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3251 - - 3056 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 60 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.1 - - 62.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.4 - - 62.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.4 - - 62.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.1 - - 61.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 16 - - 8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98023 15 212 14 239 98023 90658 16 207 18 235 90658 85005 15 180 18 226 85005 80330 10 181 11 212 80330 76291 3 181 7 194 76291 72728 3 196 5 213 72728 69519 4 225 5 225 69519 66571 3 236 9 219 66571 63846 5 256 9 213 63846 61218 17 278 12 265 61218 58492 23 266 20 271 58492 55691 30 254 34 264 55691 53049 33 257 42 254 53049 50675 38 264 42 258 50675 48530 49 272 50 274 48530 46569 62 269 66 268 46569 44760 69 263 75 262 44760 43079 71 261 79 260 43079 41505 73 259 78 256 41505 40028 74 259 67 256 40028 38637 73 260 67 267 38637 37292 72 265 69 272 37292 35924 75 266 67 271 35924 34506 76 268 66 260 34506 33043 62 257 64 260 33043 31523 54 242 61 261 31523 29936 45 234 61 262 29936 28289 40 238 45 256 28289 26580 40 247 41 245 26580 24806 35 253 43 244 24806 22969 32 253 43 254 22969 21066 32 254 38 263 21066 19094 32 257 30 271 19094 17095 31 270 26 275 17095 15173 25 271 23 273 15173 13427 22 262 22 265 13427 11876 21 254 20 253 11876 10494 19 253 18 251 10494 9263 15 257 15 254 9263 8166 13 247 12 256 8166 7189 13 229 10 249 7189 6323 12 212 9 230 6323 5555 12 192 7 210 5555 4865 11 175 5 195 4865 4254 10 169 3 167 4254 3742 8 163 3 112 3742 3348 6 157 3 097 3348 3076 5 156 3 090 3076 2911 5*155 2*086 2911 2817 3*154 2*082 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography