DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 82.4 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 65 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4148 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5171 - - 2802 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6706 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2852 - - 7276 - - 3082 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 388 - - 116 - - 39 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 267 - - 276 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 815 - - -3315 - - -347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5891 - - 6133 - - 3165 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -521 - - -4216 - - -2009 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7227 - - 7034 - - 4827 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1700 - - 1760 - - 2390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 82.4 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.1 - - 64.7 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.1 - - 81.3 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.1 - - 63.8 - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 65 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4148 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 18 - - 78 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98765 27 085 17 084 19 063 98765 91303 18 080 12 109 17 052 91303 85554 14 091 17 110 11 063 85554 80761 16 107 20 086 14 087 80761 76646 18 105 21 075 16 085 76646 73039 18 095 17 077 17 077 73039 69788 17 081 18 086 13 076 69788 66807 14 063 16 079 11 095 66807 64055 9 074 9 061 11 088 64055 61408 10 119 1 285 6 031 61408 58663 3 138 5 235 10 320 58663 55823 7 244 12 259 16 279 55823 53127 15 276 13 263 22 270 53127 50718 21 271 17 268 27 266 50718 48565 5 262 17 267 26 252 48565 46600 12 283 17 278 29 253 46600 44789 16 285 26 278 30 248 44789 43112 18 287 22 275 22 221 43112 41549 30 296 19 277 27 274 41549 40079 31 299 32 287 40 280 40079 38691 30 309 39 282 35 274 38691 37349 37 309 36 281 32 273 37349 35984 37 305 31 283 33 275 35984 34569 30 312 27 286 32 276 34569 33106 16 317 18 293 28 275 33106 31583 9 266 11 268 31 275 31583 29989 10 230 15 230 34 275 29989 28333 18 266 18 247 32 272 28333 26618 22 276 21 263 23 260 26618 24845 18 270 24 259 20 261 24845 23013 20 264 26 258 18 268 23013 21118 23 265 27 268 18 278 21118 19155 24 264 26 281 16 288 19155 17165 22 257 23 282 14 296 17165 15254 19 250 21 277 14 299 15254 13519 17 242 19 274 13 290 13519 11974 15 249 17 277 12 279 11974 10592 13 266 14 275 12 274 10592 9355 14 271 14 270 14 273 9355 8249 15 272 14 268 18 277 8249 7263 16*271 15 268 18 284 7263 6390 16*270 15 270 17 293 6390 5613 16 268 15 271 16 297 5613 4913 16 267 15 273 16 296 4913 4290 16 266 15 274 14 295 4290 3767 15 266 15 275 12 292 3767 3364 14 265 15 275 10 288 3364 3085 14 265 14 276 8 285 3085 2915 12 264 12*276 7*282 2915 2818 9 264 9*276 4*282 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography