DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4220 - - 5340 - - 4094 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 156 - - 120 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 38 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 170 - - 266 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4832 - - -5345 - - -2171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7650 - - 8162 - - 4988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10681 - - -11013 - - -7394 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13498 - - 13830 - - 10211 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 77 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.5 - - 48.3 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.3 - - 73.1 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.3 - - 47.1 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 187 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 30 103 19 083 29 084 99164 91720 33 087 23 084 28 083 91720 85965 28 072 26 084 22 074 85965 81198 19 074 22 072 20 091 81198 77094 16 086 14 080 17 076 77094 73454 15 115 9 070 13 057 73454 70159 12 095 9 114 9 017 70159 67129 10 091 7 111 5 335 67129 64311 9 071 3 133 5 309 64311 61581 8 320 2 003 3 309 61581 58745 10 322 9 306 7 299 58745 55829 11 315 15 303 13 298 55829 53069 18 320 20 311 21 306 53069 50598 24 306 26 312 29 310 50598 48393 26 300 32 315 33 315 48393 46401 31 301 35 317 37 317 46401 44586 36 303 38 318 34 311 44586 42914 40 310 37 314 32 307 42914 41357 34 314 36 305 32 309 41357 39892 33 314 33 300 31 316 39892 38508 32 310 32 299 31 309 38508 37173 31 305 31 296 31 297 37173 35821 30 296 28 287 29 290 35821 34418 30 294 28 284 26 287 34418 32970 33 302 28 285 23 285 32970 31463 35 311 28 291 24 284 31463 29892 33 318 29 304 27 297 29892 28258 29 317 27 313 28 308 28258 26558 26 301 22 305 25 313 26558 24792 27 289 22 297 22 312 24792 22961 27 282 22 296 20 303 22961 21064 23 283 22 291 18 302 21064 19101 18 294 20 285 17 292 19101 17107 13 287 14 286 14 283 17107 15185 11 267 13 275 12 280 15185 13437 10 272 13 282 9 278 13437 11883 9 286 10 293 6 267 11883 10501 8 294 10 297 6 267 10501 9271 8 299 8 296 5 258 9271 8178 8 304 4 293 5 225 8178 7206 6 293 3 270 3 195 7206 6343 3 268 2 275 2 180 6343 5576 1 249 2 282 2 177 5576 4885 1 224 3 283 1 240 4885 4270 1 207 3 278 2 312 4270 3754 1 181 3 273 3 313 3754 3356 1 178 3 271 3 311 3356 3080 1 175 3 269 3 307 3080 2913 1*174 3*267 3*299 2913 2817 1*170 3*266 2*287 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography