DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 36.9 - - 40.1 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 279 - - 165 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 3473 - - 3031 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 4818 - - 4265 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 6031 - - 5589 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2125 - - 1209 - - 1680 - - 2729 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 413 - - 330 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 240 - - 248 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2386 - - -778 - - -884 - - -2038 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5201 - - 6810 - - 6474 - - 4853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12048 - - -9927 - - -7298 - - -7473 ODpotential blCL - - - 14862 - - 15958 - - 12887 - - 10288 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.8 - - 36.9 - - 40.1 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 17.0 - - 21.8 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 34.9 - - 38.5 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 15.9 - - 20.8 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 279 - - 165 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 3473 - - 3031 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 45 - - 69 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96674 19 265 25 242 27 263 19 285 96674 89502 9 255 10 255 11 244 11 256 89502 83996 7 207 1 166 12 217 10 255 83996 79412 6 166 1 264 7 236 8 271 79412 75436 5 092 5 167 8 228 12 274 75436 71897 13 325 7 325 2 229 8 286 71897 68672 15 305 12 284 10 282 7 287 68672 65684 15 291 11 268 14 284 11 297 65684 62907 17 287 12 294 21 307 20 314 62907 60220 20 287 19 292 27 306 25 310 60220 57407 23 291 23 289 25 301 25 301 57407 54469 29 290 27 290 25 297 26 291 54469 51651 33 274 31 282 28 285 28 285 51651 49101 33 272 33 274 33 279 29 288 49101 46811 41 270 38 268 39 279 35 290 46811 44739 49 259 40 264 41 275 39 287 44739 42852 46 257 42 261 41 270 39 283 42852 41118 45 264 43 261 42 267 38 280 41118 39509 53 263 46 262 42 265 39 277 39509 38010 61 255 51 257 44 262 39 275 38010 36611 63 251 57 252 46 258 38 274 36611 35278 64 255 63 249 49 254 37 273 35278 33944 69 259 65 247 50 251 35 270 33944 32582 72 259 64 249 48 252 31 273 32582 31194 72 258 60 252 43 252 30 276 31194 29768 71 262 53 256 37 255 30 278 29768 28292 62 267 47 260 36 262 31 287 28292 26763 52 269 40 261 39 267 34 291 26763 25173 47 261 35 264 42 269 35 282 25173 23520 53 252 36 266 36 269 33 274 23520 21806 51 261 36 268 33 270 34 278 21806 20024 43 274 36 272 34 269 38 282 20024 18171 38 284 34 280 34 274 36 286 18171 16285 33 289 32 292 32 279 31 291 16285 14469 26 281 28 297 29 287 29 279 14469 12816 29 272 28 291 30 296 28 271 12816 11342 28 273 31 280 32 298 26 277 11342 10028 20 276 30 270 32 288 28 281 10028 8860 20 276 24 268 29 273 30 274 8860 7824 22 270 21 268 20 264 28 261 7824 6908 21 257 18 259 13 249 24 243 6908 6099 17 245 14*242 12*245 21 227 6099 5382 12 232 13*239 12*246 18 220 5382 4737 9 212 12 239 12 247 15 222 4737 4165 7 186 12 240 11 248 12 228 4165 3685 6 172 12 240 11 249 11 235 3685 3315 5 169 11 241 11 250 9 240 3315 3059 5 167 10 241 10 250 7 244 3059 2904 5*166 9 242 9 251 5*245 2904 2815 4*166 7 242 7 251 3*248 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography