DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 79.0 - - 80.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 179 - - 86 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1390 - - 3094 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2938 - - 4397 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3948 - - 5652 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2288 - - 1457 - - 5911 - - 2607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 354 - - 124 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 260 - - 255 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -46 - - 565 - - -2586 - - -453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3994 - - 5087 - - 5405 - - 3271 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1642 - - -3211 - - -3425 - - -2514 ODpotential blCL - - - 5590 - - 8863 - - 6243 - - 5332 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 77 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 1720 - - 2010 - - 2620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 79.0 - - 80.3 - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.3 - - 66.0 - - 66.0 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 77.3 - - 79.2 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 64.8 - - 65.0 - - 69.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 179 - - 86 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1390 - - 3094 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 8 - - 31 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99386 38 091 39 101 20 086 24 056 99386 91897 30 086 35 088 26 081 26 082 91897 86109 25 078 27 078 28 086 24 094 86109 81298 18 073 21 081 23 091 19 089 81298 77146 13 088 16 072 17 085 17 076 77146 73475 13 099 9 092 11 073 12 079 73475 70166 12 098 8 108 5 098 7 078 70166 67144 8 113 3 099 5 135 5 055 67144 64352 7 118 5 209 3 252 5 358 64352 61655 3 119 5 251 5 272 7 283 61655 58859 3 198 10 273 12 271 12 273 58859 55980 13 278 14 240 22 256 22 266 55980 53261 24 282 17 245 24 246 29 262 53261 50832 28 270 23 256 29 251 34 266 50832 48656 27 259 31 261 33 259 37 266 48656 46684 28 262 37 263 37 265 35 264 46684 44874 34 259 38 260 38 269 33 265 44874 43192 33 248 36 262 40 273 34 272 43192 41619 36 263 36 262 40 270 36 286 41619 40143 40 259 42 259 42 268 39 290 40143 38753 40 251 46 256 43 267 43 285 38753 37411 40 247 46 255 39 261 30 277 37411 36052 38 252 44 255 32 263 19 316 36052 34646 38 259 41 255 28 271 26 338 34646 33195 36 265 38 256 25 286 23 335 33195 31683 32 270 36 259 28 290 19 316 31683 30103 28 276 27 261 27 287 19 291 30103 28457 23 287 19 280 24 283 22 279 28457 26745 22 277 22 289 24 287 24 286 26745 24969 15 267 23 287 21 289 26 292 24969 23130 13 269 26 288 17 299 23 288 23130 21227 15 282 26 292 18 304 21 290 21227 19260 16 285 23 291 20 305 19 299 19260 17264 14 284 21 289 20 305 17 302 17264 15342 11 288 18 289 20 303 20 302 15342 13593 10 288 15 292 16 299 23 308 13593 12034 8 282 12 305 12 292 22 314 12034 10641 7 270 9 319 10 286 15 313 10641 9395 7 268 9 320 12 289 12 300 9395 8282 9 280 10 307 14 289 14 287 8282 7290 13 284 13 289 14 287 17 285 7290 6411 15 284 13*276 14 283 18 286 6411 5628 16 285 13*267 13 274 18 283 5628 4924 14 285 13 262 13 265 17 273 4924 4297 12*282 13 259 12 262 17 263 4297 3771 9*274 12 258 12 259 16 258 3771 3366 9 272 12 256 11 257 14 257 3366 3086 8 269 11 256 11 256 12 257 3086 2915 7 268 10 255 9*255 9*257 2915 2818 6 268 8 255 7*255 5*258 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography