DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 48.0 - - 49.5 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 183 - - 26 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2195 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3700 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4753 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1016 - - 1669 - - 5448 - - 2484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 304 - - 78 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 137 - - 151 - - 264 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1249 - - -857 - - -3044 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4064 - - 5610 - - 5860 - - 5604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4609 - - -2330 - - -3604 - - -5008 ODpotential blCL - - - 7424 - - 7083 - - 6419 - - 7823 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 48.0 - - 49.5 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 33.2 - - 33.6 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 46.3 - - 48.7 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 33.0 - - 33.4 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 183 - - 26 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2195 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 51 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96035 47 247 55 245 55 256 55 255 96035 88762 29 268 32 253 33 255 36 258 88762 83244 22 274 23 273 20 264 27 265 83244 78702 16 300 14 279 19 266 21 269 78702 74806 23 302 15 295 17 277 19 280 74806 71351 29 289 24 293 24 281 25 286 71351 68199 29 281 29 285 28 280 28 288 68199 65291 29 282 31 284 32 283 29 288 65291 62583 32 281 32 284 35 284 29 288 62583 59933 36 281 35 282 41 282 34 289 59933 57153 41 285 41 277 45 280 44 282 57153 54270 47 286 46 274 51 280 49 278 54270 51517 49 279 49 274 56 277 53 274 51517 49029 50 276 52 273 55 274 55 274 49029 46786 55 273 56 271 57 276 57 277 46786 44742 61 269 62 269 60 280 60 277 44742 42869 59 265 65 268 64 277 60 273 42869 41144 60 263 67 267 65 267 59 268 41144 39546 58 266 63 263 57 262 54 264 39546 38059 59 263 60 259 56 266 47 266 38059 36674 66 258 60 256 55 273 46 278 36674 35357 66 256 58 257 56 270 49 286 35357 34036 66 255 54 257 52 267 54 279 34036 32683 64 254 51 257 41 273 55 272 32683 31299 58 253 45 260 39 280 55 269 31299 29868 53 254 39 262 40 280 55 270 29868 28378 49 255 30 258 38 278 54 270 28378 26826 43 254 27 270 36 273 51 268 26826 25213 40 257 32 275 38 269 48 269 25213 23542 34 259 40 269 37 273 46 273 23542 21816 30 254 43 266 40 270 48 283 21816 20031 25 268 39 262 45 269 49 287 20031 18179 25 276 34 260 44 272 49 287 18179 16291 21 267 30 272 40 272 47 289 16291 14474 26 258 30 273 38 272 44 290 14474 12825 19 234 26 259 38 268 39 287 12825 11363 12 239 21 252 32 268 35 281 11363 10065 11 276 15 258 26 274 32 276 10065 8909 13 314 11 266 20 277 29 273 8909 7877 12 329 9 269 14 274 24 277 7877 6958 10 330 8 256 12 274 18 266 6958 6142 7 321 7 234 10 274 13 256 6142 5417 4 285 6 205 9 273 8 254 5417 4764 5 217 6*170 7 272 5 262 4764 4184 8 192 6*157 6 271 3 310 4184 3697 9 175 7 152 5 270 4 344 3697 3322 7 151 6 149 5 269 4 344 3322 3063 5 142 6 147 4 268 4 345 3063 2906 5*140 6 146 4 268 3*347 2906 2815 4*137 5 145 3*264 2*346 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography