DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.2 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 42 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2010 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3541 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4568 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1214 - - 2320 - - 950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 289 - - 92 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 158 - - 152 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4542 - - -5308 - - -3858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9110 - - 8124 - - 6675 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11153 - - -11699 - - -13012 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15721 - - 14515 - - 15828 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 90 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.2 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.3 - - 30.7 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.6 - - 55.4 - - 48.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.9 - - 30.5 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 42 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2010 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 78 - - 58 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96776 46 256 46 268 36 274 96776 89449 32 251 33 253 26 260 89449 83855 23 252 23 254 16 255 83855 79237 16 242 18 248 15 251 79237 75283 11 212 13 242 16 252 75283 71814 8 185 11 196 16 233 71814 68679 6 247 12 215 16 240 68679 65798 9 266 14 253 14 267 65798 63116 14 291 23 274 22 284 63116 60509 36 283 30 279 31 273 60509 57781 39 274 41 279 34 266 57781 54926 50 277 49 271 35 268 54926 52164 62 269 51 269 46 272 52164 49668 60 271 61 268 60 270 49668 47456 67 268 60 267 62 269 47456 45467 66 266 63 269 65 270 45467 43663 65 269 70 269 70 270 43663 42013 74 276 74 270 79 268 42013 40481 88 271 75 268 81 265 40481 39045 79 267 76 264 77 263 39045 37692 72 264 79 259 73 260 37692 36389 72 263 78 258 69 257 36389 35066 71 264 75 259 64 255 35066 33697 66 265 67 261 62 252 33697 32284 59 265 63 262 61 249 32284 30814 56 266 63 261 55 247 30814 29276 55 268 61 257 47 247 29276 27672 46 270 52 254 42 256 27672 26005 45 263 42 260 36 266 26005 24277 41 259 42 270 38 277 24277 22490 41 262 45 274 47 282 22490 20640 45 257 48 273 52 277 20640 18722 42 239 44 268 45 270 18722 16769 35 233 40 259 39 267 16769 14890 29 236 34 249 42 265 14890 13182 25 242 27 251 36 259 13182 11663 23 241 23 246 24 252 11663 10309 19 235 20 233 17 241 10309 9098 14 216 18 212 15 225 9098 8020 12 185 18 196 17 211 8020 7062 13 185 17 195 16 205 7062 6217 13 199 18 193 17 203 6217 5467 13 194 20 181 22 192 5467 4795 13*171 20 168 29 175 4795 4201 14*162 18 159 28 161 4201 3707 14 159 17 157 28 152 3707 3327 13 157 17 155 23 148 3327 3065 12 155 15 154 17 141 3065 2907 11 154 12*153 13*136 2907 2816 8 154 8*152 6*129 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography