DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 49.0 - - 47.3 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 286 - - 96 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1750 - - 2261 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3426 - - 3910 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4308 - - 4819 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 606 - - 573 - - 2671 - - 1605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 357 - - 120 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 295 - - 305 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -453 - - -1671 - - -3063 - - -873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4761 - - 6491 - - 5879 - - 3689 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10484 - - -10557 - - -12024 - - -11708 ODpotential blCL - - - 14792 - - 15376 - - 14839 - - 14523 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 65 - - 71 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.9 - - 49.0 - - 47.3 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.0 - - 30.5 - - 31.5 - - 33.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 47.1 - - 46.2 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 30.0 - - 31.3 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 286 - - 96 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1750 - - 2261 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96477 87 249 82 250 95 246 94 252 96477 89229 56 250 55 254 56 259 50 254 89229 83751 30 255 42 249 38 270 26 261 83751 79215 11 262 25 242 26 261 22 267 79215 75288 7 267 12 244 19 255 17 259 75288 71796 15 262 10 267 19 264 16 256 71796 68633 18 254 14 261 17 262 18 260 68633 65725 19 247 18 248 17 252 22 245 65725 63018 20 248 22 245 16 257 18 245 63018 60388 23 249 26 245 24 268 25 273 60388 57639 25 251 29 240 31 252 30 262 57639 54781 28 253 28 243 31 242 33 246 54781 52044 35 258 31 252 34 247 34 243 52044 49564 43 254 38 252 38 259 39 253 49564 47331 52 247 48 259 49 261 48 262 47331 45305 56 244 57 256 56 259 57 259 45305 43449 60 247 58 255 59 258 59 256 43449 41740 57 253 58 255 61 257 59 259 41740 40161 62 257 59 256 60 259 60 262 40161 38691 64 260 60 262 57 264 63 264 38691 37321 61 263 61 267 59 267 69 263 37321 36017 63 268 60 274 64 268 76 262 36017 34708 66 268 63 279 68 269 79 260 34708 33359 61 269 66 279 72 272 76 265 33359 31968 57 271 65 278 70 276 67 267 31968 30525 54 270 63 279 69 277 60 269 30525 29017 48 266 63 280 64 278 58 272 29017 27443 42 267 60 281 60 280 56 271 27443 25803 41 268 55 279 56 284 55 270 25803 24096 43 271 49 275 50 284 51 273 24096 22326 43 275 47 276 43 284 45 277 22326 20490 44 281 44 281 40 281 38 277 20490 18587 45 287 40 291 37 285 34 274 18587 16653 42 289 37 292 33 295 31 282 16653 14785 38 288 36 291 30 298 29 289 14785 13079 34 286 33 294 29 299 27 292 13079 11558 31 286 29 293 29 301 25 296 11558 10205 27 290 26 292 29 303 24 302 10205 9001 24 300 23 293 27 301 25 304 9001 7931 24 309 20 299 27 301 26 306 7931 6982 24 313 19 307 27 302 27 311 6982 6145 23 312 20 307 23 301 26 313 6145 5407 20 307 17*300 21 303 23 309 5407 4750 15*303 16*296 20 304 20 309 4750 4172 12*300 16 295 20 305 19 314 4172 3690 11 299 15 295 19 306 18 315 3690 3317 11 299 15 294 19 306 15 313 3317 3061 10 298 14 294 17 306 12 311 3061 2904 9 297 12 294 15 306 10*308 2904 2815 7 296 9 293 10*305 5*305 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography