DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.5 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 146 - - 8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1775 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3305 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4333 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 415 - - 1505 - - 2899 - - 284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 264 - - 57 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 199 - - 185 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7930 - - -7849 - - -7524 - - -3216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10746 - - 12183 - - 10340 - - 6032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -22045 - - -19098 - - -17394 - - -15904 ODpotential blCL - - - 24860 - - 23431 - - 20210 - - 18719 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 56 - - 44 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.8 - - 54.6 - - 54.5 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.5 - - 11.2 - - 19.3 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 53.1 - - 54.0 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.8 - - 10.2 - - 18.8 - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 146 - - 8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1775 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96451 29 232 38 249 32 251 21 251 96451 89302 6 208 21 197 19 228 16 280 89302 83850 5 225 13 168 13 209 8 251 83850 79302 13 210 9 187 9 210 10 212 79302 75331 19 224 14 224 12 235 15 214 75331 71782 20 216 17 228 17 225 17 219 71782 68562 17 240 18 245 19 217 22 232 68562 65611 24 260 26 253 20 248 23 236 65611 62896 23 262 32 245 26 260 27 247 62896 60281 25 262 30 244 35 258 28 269 60281 57557 38 258 41 237 46 256 53 261 57557 54743 39 267 40 234 53 240 59 249 54743 52061 53 281 37 254 51 246 49 253 52061 49629 68 271 66 263 62 261 58 264 49629 47428 76 264 79 259 71 260 73 263 47428 45439 78 257 80 261 76 260 81 261 45439 43641 80 255 86 261 83 259 79 258 43641 41995 80 259 88 255 83 256 77 256 41995 40465 81 269 83 251 81 255 78 253 40465 39029 83 275 75 250 81 256 76 251 39029 37678 86 275 73 252 79 255 71 252 37678 36373 89 272 67 256 74 253 70 254 36373 35047 78 268 64 257 67 252 70 255 35047 33673 70 265 63 257 60 251 70 254 33673 32254 68 265 61 254 55 253 68 252 32254 30778 66 263 57 252 55 255 63 251 30778 29235 65 260 54 252 57 257 56 250 29235 27628 64 258 54 254 59 259 55 254 27628 25956 62 258 57 258 61 259 57 260 25956 24225 58 258 57 260 62 257 57 262 24225 22436 52 260 54 257 58 255 56 261 22436 20582 46 266 51 256 54 254 56 261 20582 18654 42 267 47 255 52 253 56 260 18654 16692 40 263 45 259 48 252 55 260 16692 14805 40 264 42 270 40 255 52 258 14805 13095 34 263 36 281 37 255 48 255 13095 11580 26 251 31 268 38 257 47 255 11580 10236 19 249 30 251 38 259 46 257 10236 9042 16 266 25 252 35 259 44 260 9042 7979 15 277 22 262 32 254 41 260 7979 7034 14 277 20 265 29 246 40 260 7034 6197 14 272 17 258 26 237 41 255 6197 5455 13 262 15 240 20 227 38 245 5455 4788 12 241 12*218 17 219 27 232 4788 4198 11 219 10*204 14 205 21 224 4198 3703 11 204 9 199 13 197 18 212 3703 3324 10 187 8 197 13 193 18 194 3324 3063 7 175 7 196 11 190 13 181 3063 2905 4*160 7 195 9*188 9*170 2905 2815 3*155 5 194 7*185 4*156 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography