DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 83 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3619 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4799 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6177 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2269 - - 6704 - - 2748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 377 - - 119 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 65 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 349 - - 148 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 246 - - -3692 - - -1215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5931 - - 6511 - - 4034 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -765 - - -4518 - - -3459 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6942 - - 7336 - - 6277 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 410 - - 440 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.7 - - 60.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.2 - - 78.5 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 59.8 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 83 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3619 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 67 - - 46 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98248 12 064 11 038 7 013 98248 90877 15 077 10 055 15 034 90877 85204 14 070 7 035 16 033 85204 80517 9 081 10 343 15 026 80517 76485 7 052 10 354 12 015 76485 72915 6 353 7 350 13 349 72915 69680 5 351 7 324 14 328 69680 66710 9 351 5 301 11 316 66710 63961 12 340 4 239 7 300 63961 61318 10 349 1 220 6 255 61318 58591 7 333 7 332 1 248 58591 55793 5 270 14 308 7 329 55793 53140 6 263 12 277 13 294 53140 50752 5 260 10 249 14 258 50752 48607 5 243 10 243 14 236 48607 46654 4 240 9 245 12 227 46654 44857 3 226 5 229 9 205 44857 43188 4 222 2 197 8 202 43188 41623 4 161 1 195 8 213 41623 40147 8 107 4 201 10 216 40147 38751 6 090 6 196 13 209 38751 37402 3 081 5 197 13 198 37402 36033 6 174 8 223 10 201 36033 34615 8 190 11 235 9 228 34615 33153 10 191 12 233 10 236 33153 31632 14 182 13 239 9 239 31632 30041 10 204 12 240 9 239 30041 28386 11 221 10 238 11 249 28386 26668 10 238 9 242 13 261 26668 24889 9 242 9 241 13 264 24889 23050 7 230 10 248 10 261 23050 21150 8 240 9 283 9 262 21150 19184 8 267 11 299 8 289 19184 17192 7 287 9 325 7 310 17192 15275 7 310 10 336 7 333 15275 13528 8 319 13 330 11 339 13528 11971 11 325 17 328 15 337 11971 10586 15 328 17 332 18 334 10586 9350 19 337 15 336 16 331 9350 8246 17 339 11 337 10 321 8246 7263 10 339 5 328 7 293 7263 6390 6*335 2 309 5 271 6390 5613 3*335 1 275 4 242 5613 4912 2 345 1 182 5 207 4912 4289 1 350 1 160 7 183 4289 3766 1 008 2 156 9 171 3766 3363 0 038 2 153 9 165 3363 3084 0 071 2 151 8 161 3084 2915 0 090 2*151 6*157 2915 2818 0 101 2*148 3*153 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography