DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 78.1 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 173 - - 71 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3333 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4555 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5891 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2594 - - 5892 - - 2598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 358 - - 120 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 123 - - 130 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 691 - - -2523 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5200 - - 5341 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -857 - - -3437 - - -1085 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6748 - - 6255 - - 3902 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 700 - - 840 - - 940 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 78.1 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 64.0 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.6 - - 77.0 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.7 - - 62.8 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 173 - - 71 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3333 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 31 - - 32 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99391 34 085 33 094 23 097 99391 91884 30 079 32 093 27 089 91884 86080 30 090 27 091 27 085 86080 81295 33 091 24 094 27 072 81295 77204 30 087 22 089 24 062 77204 73584 23 092 18 086 21 070 73584 70302 22 088 18 088 17 083 70302 67292 17 079 16 081 12 090 67292 64516 11 079 16 085 11 088 64516 61834 9 079 13 086 8 077 61834 59045 7 063 11 080 7 107 59045 56163 6 081 7 074 7 117 56163 53427 7 088 2 075 6 094 53427 50979 5 113 6 199 5 078 50979 48794 15 167 14 194 5 182 48794 46812 13 169 21 167 14 170 46812 44988 20 181 24 174 21 177 44988 43294 30 181 30 183 31 187 43294 41710 38 186 36 189 46 187 41710 40221 50 185 46 187 54 183 40221 38816 60 182 54 181 56 179 38816 37458 61 179 55 176 56 178 37458 36079 57 178 53 176 56 179 36079 34650 48 177 53 177 55 177 34650 33177 41 177 53 175 54 172 33177 31647 38 178 49 174 48 171 31647 30053 34 174 38 175 35 171 30053 28398 19 167 27 164 22 159 28398 26679 17 151 19 153 20 151 26679 24899 20 151 16 151 20 141 24899 23059 16 132 18 147 18 139 23059 21155 15 122 16 140 15 134 21155 19184 11 116 16 139 16 144 19184 17185 9 123 16 135 14 144 17185 15264 11 134 11 124 12 145 15264 13514 11 125 8 128 9 156 13514 11955 8 125 5 148 6 159 11955 10566 5 147 3 180 6 131 10566 9328 5 160 0 150 6 085 9328 8223 5 159 1 082 8 074 8223 7239 5 154 2 097 9 081 7239 6367 6*138 3 110 10 092 6367 5592 7*131 4 116 11 100 5592 4896 7 126 4 120 11 107 4896 4278 7 123 5 123 11 112 4278 3759 7 121 5 126 11 113 3759 3359 7 119 5 127 10 113 3359 3082 6 118 5 128 9 112 3082 2914 6 118 5*129 7 111 2914 2817 5 118 4*130 5*109 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography