DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 39.5 - - 40.9 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 224 - - 65 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2417 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3943 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4975 - - 2815 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2331 - - 903 - - 3334 - - 1506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 337 - - 106 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 18 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 270 - - 263 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -10 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1600 - - -707 - - -4393 - - -2078 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4415 - - 5682 - - 7208 - - 4892 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8322 - - -6100 - - -9681 - - -10739 ODpotential blCL - - - 11137 - - 11075 - - 12496 - - 13553 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 88 - - 78 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 39.5 - - 40.9 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 24.7 - - 19.4 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 38.0 - - 40.0 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 23.9 - - 19.0 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 224 - - 65 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 2417 - - 257 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 52 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95595 56 241 55 247 66 242 72 242 95595 88477 50 243 53 245 62 247 66 257 88477 83034 44 251 49 232 60 249 60 261 83034 78569 41 261 41 238 54 242 50 252 78569 74692 39 262 39 247 48 241 46 255 74692 71220 47 275 42 254 41 248 45 257 71220 68054 50 265 42 247 43 254 42 248 68054 65110 44 246 48 255 49 250 45 254 65110 62362 43 247 57 253 54 254 56 257 62362 59715 54 263 66 259 69 261 74 257 59715 56962 82 261 77 254 80 253 78 251 56962 54086 96 251 83 250 84 250 83 256 54086 51332 98 251 94 255 94 255 98 258 51332 48861 112 254 114 258 111 256 112 255 48861 46652 122 252 127 255 121 254 118 253 46652 44645 126 249 127 252 122 252 120 253 44645 42806 123 246 124 248 121 250 119 251 42806 41111 116 244 121 246 119 249 114 249 41111 39540 109 244 116 245 113 246 109 248 39540 38080 103 246 109 247 109 247 105 251 38080 36721 97 247 109 249 110 247 104 257 36721 35426 90 250 109 252 111 247 108 260 35426 34128 87 252 111 252 112 247 113 259 34128 32791 87 251 112 249 114 245 113 257 32791 31413 89 249 112 248 112 247 108 256 31413 29981 88 246 110 249 110 248 105 256 29981 28483 86 244 104 249 107 249 104 256 28483 26920 82 245 97 247 102 250 103 256 26920 25295 81 249 90 246 94 250 99 256 25295 23609 81 250 82 246 86 249 94 257 23609 21867 81 246 75 243 81 249 90 259 21867 20065 78 244 73 237 77 245 83 256 20065 18194 76 245 79 233 78 243 77 253 18194 16291 75 249 85 237 78 245 70 253 16291 14459 70 251 71 251 70 251 66 253 14459 12798 63 259 53 262 51 257 58 253 12798 11326 59 268 45 268 39 263 46 255 11326 10021 55 272 40 271 34 277 38 260 10021 8858 51 271 36 271 34 289 31 268 8858 7822 46 269 35 268 34 290 26 285 7822 6902 42 269 34 266 30 282 26 300 6902 6089 39 272 30 265 24 271 25 299 6089 5371 35 274 22*266 17 262 19 284 5371 4729 27 273 21*268 16 262 16 266 4729 4158 23 272 20 269 15 262 16 266 4158 3681 22 272 19 270 15 263 14 272 3681 3312 20 271 18 270 14 263 13 276 3312 3057 18 271 17 270 13 263 11 277 3057 2903 16*271 15 271 11*263 7*275 2903 2814 10*270 11 271 8*263 4*275 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography