DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.7 - - 63.6 - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 154 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2608 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 3974 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 5166 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2056 - - 839 - - 3347 - - 1835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 317 - - 90 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 336 - - 329 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2524 - - -1004 - - -4102 - - -1092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5340 - - 6171 - - 6920 - - 3908 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10199 - - -8626 - - -11518 - - -9867 ODpotential blCL - - - 13015 - - 13792 - - 14335 - - 12683 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 61 - - 54 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 63.7 - - 63.6 - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 46.5 - - 43.3 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 62.2 - - 63.1 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 45.3 - - 42.0 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 154 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2608 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98229 5 249 10 207 16 227 23 243 98229 90833 11 248 12 224 14 222 15 260 90833 85102 11 242 15 208 12 247 13 284 85102 80346 10 260 14 226 12 244 9 264 80346 76231 9 253 16 240 13 279 12 322 76231 72619 11 224 15 226 13 255 19 303 72619 69398 6 289 7 257 9 251 15 273 69398 66448 16 280 14 286 16 284 13 268 66448 63705 18 280 12 270 16 282 14 289 63705 61059 28 283 26 287 25 278 26 287 61059 58325 37 282 33 279 31 272 33 276 58325 55505 46 274 41 273 38 270 38 271 55505 52824 45 266 45 264 47 266 48 269 52824 50417 49 274 50 263 54 264 56 267 50417 48263 61 273 58 263 58 265 62 265 48263 46302 67 267 60 264 59 265 68 263 46302 44493 67 266 61 265 58 263 65 261 44493 42808 66 266 60 267 56 263 60 259 42808 41227 69 265 63 270 53 266 57 255 41227 39738 73 262 63 270 50 265 55 253 39738 38331 77 253 63 265 50 265 51 254 38331 36976 78 250 65 261 53 262 45 259 36976 35606 76 250 64 258 55 258 41 262 35606 34196 78 249 62 258 52 257 32 262 34196 32748 78 251 56 264 45 259 23 266 32748 31250 66 260 51 271 35 266 21 280 31250 29689 56 270 45 276 30 278 22 292 29689 28065 48 275 42 279 26 285 21 296 28065 26376 41 279 34 285 24 288 20 296 26376 24621 36 280 25 297 24 297 20 292 24621 22804 32 281 22 297 25 309 21 298 22804 20923 26 282 17 289 21 303 21 304 20923 18970 21 287 14 277 20 290 19 298 18970 16981 19 287 18 281 22 296 20 298 16981 15068 19 293 21 290 21 306 19 304 15068 13329 20 300 20 300 20 309 18 307 13329 11783 18 309 19 307 20 309 17 309 11783 10405 16 313 18 308 20 310 15 308 10405 9177 15 311 19 311 19 315 15 310 9177 8083 15 308 20 319 20 327 14 321 8083 7114 15 311 19 335 19 341 13 334 7114 6259 15 321 18 346 14 346 10 344 6259 5504 16 336 12*341 11 337 9 348 5504 4829 15 343 11*338 10 334 11 350 4829 4230 13 343 11 337 10 333 13 350 4230 3727 8 336 11 336 10 332 14 348 3727 3339 7 334 10 335 9 331 13 347 3339 3072 6 334 9 334 9 331 10 343 3072 2909 6*333 8 334 8*329 7*337 2909 2816 4*331 6 333 6*329 3*331 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography