DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0656z - - 0959z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 69.5 - - 68.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 19 - - 21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 254 - - 254 - - 254 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2795 - - 2795 - - 2795 - - 2795 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2812 - - 2812 - - 2812 - - 2812 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2762 - - 2809 - - 2538 - - 2492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 76 - - 77 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 206 - - 231 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2812 - - 2812 - - 2812 - - 2812 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -584 - - -721 - - -577 - - -754 ODpotential blCL - - - 3396 - - 3533 - - 3389 - - 3566 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 270 - - 270 - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 69.5 - - 68.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.5 - - 66.4 - - 66.2 - - 66.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 68.8 - - 68.0 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 66.0 - - 65.9 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 19 - - 21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 254 - - 254 - - 254 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 7 347 11 160 5 236 4 231 98183 90861 7 104 8 141 2 302 3 285 90861 85192 12 127 3 073 2 151 6 341 85192 80484 11 121 7 033 6 093 6 038 80484 76447 11 105 7 055 9 069 8 062 76447 72896 13 074 8 084 9 052 10 064 72896 69699 14 055 9 073 10 040 13 063 69699 66774 11 053 10 063 7 038 12 047 66774 64075 12 059 11 069 5 079 8 010 64075 61474 10 057 10 054 5 076 6 016 61474 58767 10 045 7 045 2 022 8 349 58767 55975 11 360 6 028 2 345 6 311 55975 53328 12 336 8 343 7 322 6 310 53328 50946 11 311 11 316 13 304 12 302 50946 48797 11 300 10 307 16 298 16 290 48797 46830 14 301 10 308 19 286 21 281 46830 45007 17 286 13 293 21 275 24 274 45007 43304 17 267 17 277 23 266 25 268 43304 41705 18 255 19 264 22 258 25 263 41705 40200 17 245 19 251 21 248 24 259 40200 38781 18 236 18 239 20 244 22 255 38781 37411 22 226 19 227 21 241 20 255 37411 36022 24 215 20 219 24 234 22 252 36022 34587 26 210 22 214 26 228 24 242 34587 33114 26 205 24 211 27 224 23 235 33114 31588 27 200 26 208 26 223 21 233 31588 29998 27 196 28 205 23 226 20 234 29998 28340 27 197 29 204 22 230 21 231 28340 26612 31 200 30 204 24 223 22 227 26612 24822 32 198 32 204 28 216 18 237 24822 22980 32 198 35 203 28 223 16 249 22980 21084 32 201 35 207 27 225 16 240 21084 19118 27 198 29 208 21 217 20 226 19118 17118 23 196 23 205 21 219 22 227 17118 15196 23 199 23 204 23 225 21 225 15196 13449 26 198 25 208 24 235 18 221 13449 11897 27 198 27 210 26 236 18 233 11897 10518 24 203 27 209 26 225 21 239 10518 9287 24 207 26 209 26 218 26 232 9287 8189 24 205 25 212 27 217 28 223 8189 7212 25 205 23 214 27 219 28 221 7212 6345 26 203 22 215 27 222 27 224 6345 5575 27 197 20 213 26 226 26 227 5575 4882 26 193 18 208 25 229 24 229 4882 4266 24 190 16 206 22 231 21 230 4266 3749 20 185 14 206 19 232 18 230 3749 3351 17 182 12 206 15 233 15 229 3351 3076 14 179 10 206 12 233 12 228 3076 2908 11*178 9*206 10*232 9*226 2908 2812 8*177 6*206 7*231 5*225 2812 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography