DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 65.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - -8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2112 - - 1696 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 126 - - 59 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - 302 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -851 - - -1871 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3668 - - 4688 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6251 - - -7613 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9068 - - 10430 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 65.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 54.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.4 - - 65.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 53.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - -8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 54 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97379 27 257 32 255 97379 90163 20 271 20 271 90163 84596 17 281 12 246 84596 79962 12 280 13 274 79962 75988 9 246 14 286 75988 72503 6 262 8 290 72503 69347 11 314 15 336 69347 66461 15 310 16 320 66461 63802 14 311 10 325 63802 61232 26 316 23 332 61232 58569 29 299 29 319 58569 55817 25 287 28 309 55817 53186 26 307 34 313 53186 50806 37 313 36 309 50806 48652 41 304 34 310 48652 46672 38 293 31 313 46672 44835 32 290 31 316 44835 43120 29 297 41 316 43120 41515 33 308 49 315 41515 40003 42 312 47 310 40003 38577 50 309 48 304 38577 37202 52 305 52 299 37202 35816 48 303 54 295 35816 34391 45 302 49 293 34391 32928 39 293 45 288 32928 31418 36 279 43 286 31418 29848 35 279 42 288 29848 28210 31 285 42 295 28210 26503 39 282 36 294 26503 24735 35 286 34 290 24735 22906 34 293 32 291 22906 21011 32 297 28 291 21011 19047 29 304 25 299 19047 17053 23 312 21 305 17053 15139 20 320 16 308 15139 13400 20 330 15 320 13400 11854 22 334 19 329 11854 10478 24 336 23 328 10478 9251 27 336 25 324 9251 8156 28 335 26 322 8156 7182 30 332 27 322 7182 6320 31 329 28 323 6320 5554 29 327 28 324 5554 4865 22 313 26 321 4865 4254 17 295 20 312 4254 3744 16 293 17 306 3744 3350 15 292 15 305 3350 3078 14 291 13 304 3078 2912 12*290 11*303 2912 2817 9*288 7*302 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography