DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.4 - - 49.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 575 - - 332 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3611 - - 4493 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5143 - - 5654 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6169 - - 7051 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 937 - - 1142 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 526 - - 471 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 30 - - 24 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 304 - - 300 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -19 - - -16 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2421 - - -2614 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8590 - - 9666 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11211 - - -10220 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17380 - - 17271 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 49 - - 48 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.4 - - 49.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 19.6 - - 16.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.9 - - 47.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.9 - - 15.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 575 - - 332 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3611 - - 4493 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97223 28 232 29 255 97223 89914 25 244 35 260 89914 84304 21 267 25 268 84304 79650 18 276 17 283 79650 75638 8 292 11 288 75638 72084 6 277 7 303 72084 68854 6 217 11 234 68854 65886 14 254 16 239 65886 63129 29 261 26 250 63129 60440 33 237 36 234 60440 57623 34 238 43 231 57623 54687 47 260 49 243 54687 51875 62 253 59 255 51875 49347 71 246 68 254 49347 47082 75 245 71 248 47082 45024 77 244 71 247 45024 43138 79 244 75 250 43138 41399 83 245 85 252 41399 39792 96 248 94 249 39792 38311 113 247 101 246 38311 36944 124 243 107 245 36944 35643 128 240 115 242 35643 34333 129 238 118 241 34333 32980 127 238 116 241 32980 31585 121 239 112 242 31585 30135 111 239 109 242 30135 28619 104 238 106 242 28619 27037 99 238 105 249 27037 25396 93 241 91 255 25396 23706 91 246 79 260 23706 21966 88 250 71 260 21966 20164 83 252 62 259 20164 18294 71 253 55 262 18294 16388 56 262 53 268 16388 14549 53 279 53 276 14549 12874 53 288 52 281 12874 11384 50 291 50 286 11384 10062 44 291 47 289 10062 8892 40 291 38 292 8892 7859 39 296 26*297 7859 6944 33*301 25*299 6944 6133 31*303 25 300 6133 5411 32 303 25 300 5411 4761 32 304 25 301 4761 4183 31 304 24 301 4183 3697 30 304 24 301 3697 3322 29 304 23 301 3322 3063 26 304 21 301 3063 2906 23 304 18 301 2906 2815 16 302 13 301 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography