DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 71.3 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4624 - - 3328 - - 2277 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 120 - - 63 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 237 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1323 - - -214 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4141 - - 3032 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1990 - - -1122 - - -522 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4807 - - 3939 - - 3339 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 870 - - 1010 - - 760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 71.3 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.8 - - 67.1 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.7 - - 70.8 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.9 - - 66.7 - - 67.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98810 3 127 4 316 12 002 98810 91460 11 112 4 072 7 102 91460 85763 11 095 8 116 9 117 85763 80991 8 085 9 133 6 122 80991 76867 6 111 11 156 5 182 76867 73241 1 122 12 151 11 190 73241 69973 3 233 4 225 6 182 69973 66965 7 183 9 244 6 301 66965 64185 6 205 8 224 10 278 64185 61508 9 225 9 245 9 240 61508 58723 13 208 16 240 12 234 58723 55853 14 224 21 238 20 261 55853 53153 19 243 20 228 22 252 53153 50757 26 258 23 251 22 245 50757 48622 37 240 37 244 33 246 48622 46680 41 232 42 226 43 233 46680 44887 44 234 45 226 49 225 44887 43220 46 233 50 227 53 225 43220 41656 43 231 52 226 57 227 41656 40179 40 230 51 227 56 226 40179 38782 38 230 48 229 55 226 38782 37431 37 233 44 228 53 228 37431 36060 36 235 42 228 48 228 36060 34643 34 235 39 229 37 227 34643 33183 30 230 35 228 30 226 33183 31663 29 228 30 225 26 224 31663 30073 26 228 23 222 24 220 30073 28414 24 234 22 224 21 215 28414 26689 21 234 20 220 20 212 26689 24902 19 228 21 218 18 214 24902 23055 18 216 19 214 18 219 23055 21144 18 219 18 214 19 228 21144 19166 19 219 21 218 18 236 19166 17159 19 213 22 222 18 244 17159 15233 19 208 22 225 18 251 15233 13485 16 205 21 228 17 250 13485 11929 13 201 17 221 14 241 11929 10542 12 199 14 218 12 232 10542 9305 12 199 12 212 10 225 9305 8203 11 198 10 206 8 212 8203 7223 11 198 10 209 7 198 7223 6354 11 199 9 213 6 187 6354 5582 10 201 9 219 6 177 5582 4888 9 208 8 227 6 169 4888 4271 9 213 8 231 6 167 4271 3755 8 215 7 234 5 160 3755 3356 8 216 7 235 5 154 3356 3081 7 217 6 236 4 149 3081 2913 7 218 6 236 3*146 2913 2817 5*218 4*237 2*144 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography