DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.0 - - 48.9 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2018 - - 1958 - - 1527 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 123 - - 74 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 265 - - 298 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2187 - - -1494 - - -575 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5003 - - 4309 - - 3390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6036 - - -4906 - - -3759 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8852 - - 7721 - - 6574 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 50.0 - - 48.9 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.9 - - 39.8 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.8 - - 48.3 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.6 - - 38.5 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 77 - - 99 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96778 14 102 13 076 20 065 96778 89613 13 099 18 084 13 093 89613 84035 18 114 12 102 14 071 84035 79369 15 106 11 127 2 197 79369 75354 11 082 11 107 4 146 75354 71783 3 002 3 148 4 300 71783 68539 3 261 10 209 15 282 68539 65587 4 242 10 219 17 267 65587 62868 10 284 12 241 12 252 62868 60213 26 275 22 270 19 284 60213 57422 28 257 30 254 31 259 57422 54525 40 276 35 266 32 256 54525 51756 67 273 62 271 56 264 51756 49264 83 259 77 261 73 260 49264 47033 89 258 86 259 83 258 47033 45014 101 259 101 257 90 258 45014 43171 113 255 120 254 110 255 43171 41477 115 253 121 249 123 248 41477 39912 116 254 116 249 119 245 39912 38459 119 254 121 254 122 249 38459 37104 117 252 124 253 129 249 37104 35803 115 251 121 249 127 243 35803 34488 113 250 117 247 123 242 34488 33129 111 248 117 246 122 245 33129 31726 109 247 116 246 119 243 31726 30265 107 247 114 246 118 241 30265 28740 106 248 111 247 117 241 28740 27156 105 249 109 248 112 242 27156 25515 104 250 107 249 108 245 25515 23816 102 251 104 250 106 246 23816 22062 97 252 99 251 104 248 22062 20246 89 252 92 251 98 251 20246 18365 81 250 84 252 88 253 18365 16457 77 251 77 257 75 253 16457 14624 68 251 69 259 68 254 14624 12956 60 248 55 257 58 260 12956 11474 47 249 46 253 44 263 11474 10156 31 248 29 244 29 261 10156 8981 19 258 16 235 18 232 8981 7932 15 279 12 237 17 213 7932 6998 14 287 12 242 13 194 6998 6171 14 277 14 237 10 186 6171 5437 14 261 12 231 5 185 5437 4777 13 254 9 239 1 109 4777 4192 11 259 6 266 5 029 4192 3702 11 262 5 292 8 018 3702 3325 10 263 5 296 9 010 3325 3064 9 264 5 298 8 008 3064 2906 8*264 4 297 6 006 2906 2815 6*265 3*298 3*005 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography