DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.9 - - 35.5 - - 44.8 - - 44.3 - - 34.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 33 - - 130 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 251 - - 251 - - 1760 - - 252 - - 251 BL Depth Hcrit 2792 - - 2793 - - 3255 - - 2793 - - 2793 Hcrit BL Top 2809 - - 2809 - - 4318 - - 2810 - - 2809 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 143 - - 876 - - 1115 - - 2695 - - 210 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 86 - - 257 - - 67 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 241 - - 210 - - 267 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2917 - - -3695 - - -3294 - - -3302 - - -1312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5727 - - 6504 - - 7613 - - 6113 - - 4121 sfcLCL ODpotential -17720 - - -15429 - - -14188 - - -9533 - - -10798 ODpotential blCL 20529 - - 18238 - - 18506 - - 12343 - - 13607 blCL maxRH 83 - - 93 - - 98 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.9 - - 35.5 - - 44.8 - - 44.3 - - 34.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.5 - - 17.4 - - 21.7 - - 27.6 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.3 - - 34.8 - - 43.5 - - 43.7 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.6 - - 15.6 - - 19.3 - - 26.1 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 33 - - 130 - - 12 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 251 - - 251 - - 1760 - - 252 - - 251 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 73 - - 93 - - 24 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97639 27 180 29 195 26 183 26 190 19 211 97639 90261 22 181 22 180 24 178 17 198 13 187 90261 84536 16 210 17 177 16 193 16 215 7 250 84536 79767 19 237 12 212 18 209 20 238 8 263 79767 75637 26 243 16 245 17 248 25 236 18 254 75637 71999 31 255 20 249 20 257 26 237 25 247 71999 68734 33 253 23 255 21 254 23 252 24 247 68734 65738 31 267 27 255 26 257 27 264 25 255 65738 62958 34 265 29 266 30 253 31 254 28 260 62958 60273 34 259 35 268 34 256 33 249 32 267 60273 57480 36 257 36 263 41 259 38 257 37 266 57480 54591 40 258 45 265 48 259 47 257 48 264 54591 51855 50 265 59 259 56 255 58 254 62 259 51855 49413 65 262 66 254 64 254 68 251 72 249 49413 47235 75 262 74 256 72 256 73 252 74 248 47235 45259 84 261 83 256 80 256 80 254 77 251 45259 43440 93 258 90 256 88 254 89 255 84 254 43440 41754 98 257 98 256 92 253 92 254 90 254 41754 40185 105 257 111 254 98 251 96 253 93 251 40185 38722 108 256 125 255 106 250 105 248 101 248 38722 37358 101 254 117 254 107 249 118 246 122 241 37358 36048 97 253 94 252 96 249 115 245 125 239 36048 34720 96 250 90 251 92 250 101 246 117 242 34720 33346 96 247 90 250 90 250 92 249 110 245 33346 31929 94 244 88 247 88 253 87 251 96 246 31929 30459 86 247 84 247 83 253 77 249 91 252 30459 28924 75 252 77 247 75 251 68 245 80 249 28924 27328 66 251 71 244 69 248 65 245 70 246 27328 25667 60 241 65 245 64 248 64 245 64 244 25667 23944 62 240 63 245 63 249 63 247 62 244 23944 22164 65 239 59 242 61 250 60 250 59 246 22164 20323 66 239 57 245 54 249 55 251 52 250 20323 18419 67 241 57 240 46 245 46 250 42 247 18419 16487 63 238 54 235 48 236 40 244 36 241 16487 14630 55 233 51 239 49 238 37 234 32 233 14630 12947 46 229 50 241 50 240 38 233 29 229 12947 11454 40 228 49 237 52 242 41 238 29 232 11454 10125 36 227 46 231 51 245 40 242 27 241 10125 8942 31 224 41 224 46 244 35 237 27 248 8942 7888 25 225 34 221 40 234 34 227 30 241 7888 6953 21 232 28 221 33 223 30 220 28 230 6953 6129 19 241 22 226 25 216 23 217 21 226 6129 5400 17 245 18 235 19 211 15 217 14 231 5400 4748 18 246 16 241 13*209 11 227 10 243 4748 4170 20 242 17 241 8*208 8 249 7 258 4170 3685 19 236 15 238 6 209 8 260 6 273 3685 3312 17 226 13 237 5 211 8 263 5 280 3312 3055 13 219 8 238 4 213 7 265 4 275 3055 2899 7*223 5*241 4 214 6*267 2*263 2899 2809 4*236 3*241 3 215 5*267 2*265 2809 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography