DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.9 - - 76.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 90 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4204 - - 4756 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 126 - - 62 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 222 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2482 - - -2055 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5299 - - 4873 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4007 - - -3373 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6824 - - 6191 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 90 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 240 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.9 - - 76.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.0 - - 64.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 75.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 63.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 90 - - 2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 62 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 37 242 41 262 97599 90356 25 242 29 263 90356 84757 18 218 22 258 84757 80095 8 210 14 232 80095 76088 8 296 4 251 76088 72589 12 304 3 304 72589 69439 13 303 5 293 69439 66533 13 294 9 291 66533 63844 11 272 12 282 63844 61264 12 251 17 280 61264 58607 12 220 19 237 58607 55880 14 264 18 241 55880 53296 31 285 36 280 53296 50960 37 258 40 269 50960 48840 35 247 39 259 48840 46896 36 257 39 259 46896 45097 39 263 39 258 45097 43418 40 264 37 258 43418 41839 39 263 37 259 41839 40350 36 261 36 258 40350 38943 35 268 35 260 38943 37581 36 274 35 264 37581 36201 32 269 33 266 36201 34773 24 255 27 261 34773 33301 22 263 24 246 33301 31772 21 270 22 255 31772 30175 20 264 20 260 30175 28512 21 265 18 260 28512 26782 21 268 16 263 26782 24989 21 271 18 262 24989 23138 18 267 19 255 23138 21223 17 259 17 253 21223 19239 16 249 17 251 19239 17226 17 255 19 252 17226 15292 17 263 21 260 15292 13534 19 265 23 265 13534 11972 23 261 23 269 11972 10580 23 259 22 272 10580 9340 20 254 21 265 9340 8235 18 248 19 251 8235 7251 17 242 17 234 7251 6380 16 233 15 220 6380 5606 14 221 14 219 5606 4908 11 213 12 220 4908 4286 10 211 11 221 4286 3765 9 211 10 222 3765 3362 8 212 10 222 3362 3084 7 212 9 223 3084 2915 7 212 7*222 2915 2818 5*212 5*222 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography