DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 75.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 45 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2908 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4161 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5466 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2469 - - 3523 - - 2292 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 102 - - 30 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 273 - - 265 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 817 - - -433 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4649 - - 3251 - - 2818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -401 - - -1244 - - -811 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5867 - - 4062 - - 3629 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2300 - - 1940 - - 1880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 75.7 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 70.3 - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.7 - - 74.8 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.8 - - 69.6 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 139 - - 45 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2908 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 55 - - 100 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99238 31 103 22 080 21 086 99238 91755 31 092 29 089 22 090 91755 86014 30 091 29 084 24 088 86014 81248 26 092 25 093 21 081 81248 77115 23 095 22 098 16 086 77115 73450 21 095 17 106 11 090 73450 70132 15 091 13 105 10 095 70132 67094 7 124 3 089 7 073 67094 64301 4 130 3 208 5 106 64301 61625 6 119 6 179 6 166 61625 58863 8 284 4 253 2 226 58863 56026 14 251 14 264 15 287 56026 53357 16 216 26 242 29 263 53357 50983 21 274 25 258 27 250 50983 48854 44 279 35 275 31 275 48854 46906 46 273 45 272 43 273 46906 45108 44 271 44 271 47 265 45108 43427 42 266 38 269 44 262 43427 41846 40 258 35 267 38 260 41846 40355 37 256 36 258 34 262 40355 38948 31 247 35 247 33 264 38948 37590 26 242 32 241 36 255 37590 36212 19 253 27 241 34 249 36212 34787 17 273 25 247 31 250 34787 33316 19 280 26 255 28 258 33316 31787 20 276 28 267 25 264 31787 30189 18 272 29 269 24 266 30189 28522 25 272 27 269 25 260 28522 26791 31 272 26 271 26 274 26791 25000 30 273 27 271 29 284 25000 23153 30 273 28 276 32 285 23153 21243 31 269 30 279 34 283 21243 19264 29 260 28 273 32 278 19264 17257 26 251 27 274 30 278 17257 15329 24 249 27 281 27 279 15329 13573 23 251 28 282 25 276 13573 12008 24 261 26 275 23 269 12008 10613 26 266 26 267 24 265 10613 9368 25 266 24 263 25 266 9368 8257 23 272 20 255 25 267 8257 7269 22 278 18 246 25 267 7269 6393 22 279 17 246 23 264 6393 5614 19*277 17 249 20 258 5614 4912 16*274 16 255 19 255 4912 4289 15 273 15 260 18 255 4289 3766 14 273 14 263 15 252 3766 3363 13 272 12 264 12 249 3363 3084 12 272 11 265 10 248 3084 2915 11 272 10*265 8*248 2915 2818 8 271 7*265 5*248 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography