DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.6 - - 74.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 91 - - -1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 1842 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 3181 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 4400 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1353 - - 1141 - - 3444 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 114 - - 244 - - 59 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 258 - - 249 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1351 - - -873 - - -2016 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4168 - - 5274 - - 4835 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7218 - - -5855 - - -5873 - - -2212 ODpotential blCL - - - 10035 - - 10255 - - 8691 - - 5029 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 68 - - 72 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 74.6 - - 74.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 60.9 - - 62.7 - - 65.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 73.5 - - 74.3 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 59.7 - - 61.8 - - 65.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 91 - - -1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 1842 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97661 40 252 36 244 42 249 33 250 97661 90418 18 244 23 237 30 242 24 270 90418 84815 15 257 11 247 18 227 19 264 84815 80152 17 233 12 270 10 255 12 248 80152 76144 11 212 13 261 12 280 8 297 76144 72619 4 203 9 244 10 258 9 291 72619 69445 1 312 7 234 8 259 12 289 69445 66557 7 283 9 214 8 283 13 305 66557 63900 10 274 10 239 10 293 18 280 63900 61345 16 265 20 263 17 278 21 282 61345 58695 21 239 26 259 26 263 31 291 58695 55969 20 250 29 267 33 252 38 260 55969 53396 26 272 28 270 30 256 37 253 53396 51076 30 273 31 273 36 270 37 274 51076 48972 34 270 39 270 43 274 40 280 48972 47035 38 270 43 270 44 274 41 277 47035 45232 39 273 44 271 44 275 40 273 45232 43544 41 280 44 271 44 274 39 271 43544 41953 42 284 44 271 45 271 40 271 41953 40448 41 282 42 269 48 273 41 275 40448 39024 44 281 44 272 49 276 44 276 39024 37647 47 283 48 278 51 276 48 275 37647 36249 49 285 43 281 51 280 46 275 36249 34807 55 291 36 295 37 281 38 273 34807 33327 51 294 38 300 24 287 34 281 33327 31794 35 277 34 281 27 300 32 291 31794 30194 35 267 35 274 34 304 34 295 30194 28525 38 273 35 278 32 298 31 294 28525 26790 30 291 29 271 29 289 29 293 26790 24991 19 289 22 253 27 271 28 293 24991 23135 19 291 22 275 27 263 23 270 23135 21219 24 293 25 289 25 273 25 256 21219 19239 25 295 25 291 25 285 25 261 19239 17232 18 288 24 285 24 290 24 272 17232 15304 16 269 22 276 23 290 22 279 15304 13550 17 251 20 268 21 284 18 277 13550 11988 16 245 18 260 19 275 17 276 11988 10596 15 245 18 255 20 268 17 275 10596 9352 15 249 19 253 21 265 18 277 9352 8241 16 252 19 253 22 266 19 281 8241 7254 16 249 19 258 20 270 18 286 7254 6381 15 257 17 269 16 272 17 288 6381 5605 15 283 16 278 15 270 16 287 5605 4905 18 294 15*278 14 266 15 281 4905 4283 18 288 12*264 12 258 14 269 4283 3762 16 274 11 259 12 255 14 256 3762 3360 12 261 10 257 11 253 14 247 3360 3082 11 260 10 256 10 252 11 239 3082 2914 9*258 9 255 8*250 7 233 2914 2817 7*258 7 254 6*249 3*229 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography