DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.5 - - 34.1 - - 39.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 69 - - 29 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 875 - - 2109 - - 3056 - - 887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 108 - - 82 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 222 - - 197 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4405 - - -8065 - - -6836 - - -4837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7219 - - 10880 - - 9650 - - 7651 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15003 - - -17329 - - -14411 - - -13622 ODpotential blCL - - - 17817 - - 20143 - - 17225 - - 16436 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 101 - - 86 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.5 - - 34.1 - - 39.5 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.3 - - -3.5 - - 7.1 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 33.3 - - 38.9 - - 32.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.5 - - -4.5 - - 6.5 - - 7.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 69 - - 29 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 102 - - 44 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95768 23 270 27 296 28 274 28 282 95768 88965 12 312 15 313 17 310 7 317 88965 83628 7 068 11 223 20 293 11 308 83628 79130 0 336 7 211 13 269 15 284 79130 75223 7 223 11 278 10 252 16 274 75223 71745 10 247 12 260 9 229 15 282 71745 68548 14 275 12 257 10 259 14 267 68548 65559 13 273 21 241 19 247 22 248 65559 62763 20 238 20 225 25 231 28 247 62763 60047 32 240 25 246 27 240 30 234 60047 57210 43 245 42 254 36 241 41 236 57210 54265 57 245 52 246 50 237 51 241 54265 51466 64 240 61 242 65 240 72 249 51466 48959 66 246 70 240 77 241 82 241 48959 46714 71 254 76 243 82 243 85 237 46714 44678 84 254 85 246 89 243 90 237 44678 42807 96 251 95 248 94 241 92 237 42807 41067 104 251 104 250 97 245 94 242 41067 39439 113 251 116 250 109 248 99 247 39439 37916 112 251 128 248 117 243 108 245 37916 36500 102 254 126 244 115 239 119 239 36500 35162 92 262 116 246 115 244 123 240 35162 33834 91 260 109 251 118 248 132 244 33834 32481 80 254 102 250 120 248 139 245 32481 31089 73 258 86 250 107 245 137 246 31089 29649 75 271 82 260 89 251 127 249 29649 28154 74 270 87 263 90 259 116 250 28154 26611 69 265 83 260 92 258 104 248 26611 25017 62 263 79 256 89 253 91 244 25017 23367 56 267 73 254 85 249 84 243 23367 21661 54 265 69 255 80 246 78 244 21661 19892 53 262 64 253 71 248 70 244 19892 18058 50 264 59 252 62 253 70 250 18058 16194 46 261 51 256 58 253 73 252 16194 14401 39 253 48 255 52 252 62 241 14401 12764 39 250 46 251 47 252 50 234 12764 11303 42 252 47 248 47 254 46 235 11303 10000 42 252 52 247 48 258 52 237 10000 8839 40 250 53 247 46 255 55 238 8839 7807 37 248 50 243 43 244 53 238 7807 6892 34 247 47 237 41 233 49 236 6892 6083 33 247 43 233 36 223 41 230 6083 5366 33 248 38 228 29 213 34 225 5366 4722 32 247 32 223 24 206 32 217 4722 4151 30 242 24 220 21 202 32 200 4151 3674 26 239 20 220 18 200 28 187 3674 3308 19 239 17 220 16 199 22 180 3308 3056 16 240 15 221 14 198 16 175 3056 2902 13*241 12 221 12 197 12*172 2902 2814 9*242 9*222 8*197 5*168 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography