DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 234 - - 27 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 2304 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3170 - - 3878 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4036 - - 4862 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 766 - - 658 - - 2482 - - 572 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 337 - - 82 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 281 - - 292 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1120 - - -3126 - - -5558 - - -2165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5156 - - 7988 - - 8374 - - 4980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11235 - - -11604 - - -13227 - - -12100 ODpotential blCL - - - 15271 - - 16466 - - 16043 - - 14915 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 48 - - 41 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 30.8 - - 29.7 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 54.0 - - 55.4 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 30.0 - - 29.0 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 234 - - 27 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1478 - - 2304 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96630 67 245 79 246 87 249 71 249 96630 89272 52 263 47 252 55 246 57 259 89272 83700 27 255 35 243 33 256 31 268 83700 79131 17 282 16 242 18 260 21 258 79131 75185 14 296 13 267 18 272 17 264 75185 71697 11 256 7 304 11 274 15 265 71697 68539 14 275 17 299 10 278 13 273 68539 65632 27 275 25 281 22 286 23 286 65632 62936 19 269 25 270 29 273 29 282 62936 60335 22 272 21 269 29 264 34 279 60335 57639 30 297 26 293 32 272 37 277 57639 54835 50 284 43 288 42 289 40 288 54835 52132 55 283 59 285 59 282 53 286 52132 49690 60 288 65 279 66 273 66 278 49690 47508 65 295 65 284 64 273 72 271 47508 45522 74 294 68 290 61 284 63 277 45522 43699 77 287 77 287 63 289 64 287 43699 42026 73 281 82 282 69 285 59 282 42026 40475 65 280 74 281 64 283 51 281 40475 39025 57 291 64 290 59 293 51 297 39025 37670 51 286 59 286 59 296 51 298 37670 36369 38 288 50 282 55 290 49 293 36369 35051 34 304 44 286 50 289 46 291 35051 33688 37 312 44 290 48 290 43 290 33688 32287 39 312 48 290 47 291 41 288 32287 30831 40 303 50 290 49 294 39 292 30831 29308 42 292 49 290 49 298 39 299 29308 27717 45 287 45 291 47 299 40 303 27717 26059 44 288 44 292 44 296 39 298 26059 24339 43 295 43 292 43 292 37 289 24339 22562 42 303 42 293 42 292 36 288 22562 20720 42 307 41 295 41 296 34 292 20720 18806 42 307 41 299 41 303 32 295 18806 16853 42 306 39 306 38 305 29 293 16853 14969 43 306 36 315 34 310 26 291 14969 13253 43 308 35 321 32 316 22 295 13253 11722 42 310 37 324 32 321 20 304 11722 10355 42 311 38 326 33 325 19 313 10355 9133 43 310 37 326 32 327 18 317 9133 8044 42 312 35 321 29 324 18 311 8044 7077 39 313 32 318 26 316 20 305 7077 6224 37 305 29 312 25 305 21 300 6224 5471 34 297 24*301 22 295 22 294 5471 4799 29 292 19*285 20 293 21 289 4799 4206 23*285 19 282 19 294 20 291 4206 3711 19*277 18 281 18 294 19 299 3711 3330 18 276 17 280 17 294 17 303 3330 3067 16 275 16 280 15 294 13 302 3067 2907 14 273 14 279 13*293 9 297 2907 2815 10 272 10 278 9*292 4*288 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography