DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 77.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 152 - - 41 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3510 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4611 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6068 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3406 - - 6008 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 346 - - 100 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 187 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 283 - - -2147 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5786 - - 4965 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1476 - - -3226 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7544 - - 6044 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1430 - - 1740 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.3 - - 77.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.2 - - 64.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.8 - - 76.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.3 - - 63.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 152 - - 41 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3510 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 28 - - 45 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98237 14 188 23 244 98237 90841 5 167 12 206 90841 85166 3 184 4 172 85166 80454 5 197 2 253 80454 76375 5 212 6 263 76375 72776 5 238 7 251 72776 69535 5 206 6 232 69535 66568 6 178 5 221 66568 63824 1 233 3 188 63824 61165 4 292 2 246 61165 58411 7 279 7 260 58411 55589 9 275 8 282 55589 52906 16 279 16 295 52906 50492 19 253 22 269 50492 48330 20 221 24 250 48330 46371 17 216 24 229 46371 44574 16 231 21 222 44574 42910 18 242 20 231 42910 41354 20 244 23 239 41354 39889 20 247 24 243 39889 38503 17 249 22 246 38503 37162 11 249 20 246 37162 35800 8 245 18 243 35800 34389 8 240 15 236 34389 32936 8 234 12 232 32936 31429 5 214 13 228 31429 29856 4 163 13 203 29856 28218 7 157 12 201 28218 26516 8 208 11 232 26516 24755 9 240 11 244 24755 22940 13 258 13 253 22940 21064 15 269 14 254 21064 19115 18 267 17 261 19115 17133 19 264 17 271 17133 15223 16 264 15 276 15223 13487 10 271 12 269 13487 11944 6 274 11 266 11944 10566 6 261 10 260 10566 9336 6 264 8 248 9336 8238 6 268 6 236 8238 7258 6 268 5 232 7258 6387 6*262 4 232 6387 5612 6*255 4 229 5612 4912 6 247 4 221 4912 4289 7 244 3 212 4289 3767 6 243 3 204 3767 3363 6 241 3 198 3363 3085 6 241 3 192 3085 2915 6 241 3*190 2915 2818 5 241 2*187 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography