DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 59.8 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 40 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2801 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4185 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5359 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 913 - - 3395 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 343 - - 90 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - 290 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -237 - - -3047 - - -460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5596 - - 5864 - - 3276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6459 - - -8275 - - -7873 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11818 - - 11091 - - 10689 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 59.8 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.6 - - 43.9 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.6 - - 58.9 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.3 - - 43.6 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 203 - - 40 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2801 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96057 88 247 81 248 86 256 96057 88930 59 245 59 254 61 264 88930 83413 42 255 46 263 45 262 83413 78861 26 271 35 263 32 259 78861 74970 17 266 22 268 19 264 74970 71530 19 276 13 275 7 273 71530 68380 21 285 14 279 13 302 68380 65475 17 276 18 277 22 296 65475 62808 11 231 16 278 24 291 62808 60239 19 287 32 287 38 285 60239 57558 41 282 42 274 46 277 57558 54764 57 286 53 282 58 283 54764 52084 72 285 66 285 66 281 52084 49660 80 282 74 286 71 282 49660 47477 83 284 82 286 71 287 47477 45488 88 286 87 285 78 289 45488 43679 87 284 91 285 86 287 43679 42032 81 281 85 282 87 285 42032 40513 76 281 73 280 83 291 40513 39087 70 284 77 292 81 293 39087 37739 68 285 83 297 77 292 37739 36433 69 288 78 294 74 290 36433 35106 70 290 72 290 72 289 35106 33731 70 289 73 290 70 285 33731 32311 71 286 74 295 69 284 32311 30835 69 285 72 296 65 287 30835 29296 62 284 68 295 62 289 29296 27694 58 286 63 293 59 289 27694 26029 58 292 58 292 56 289 26029 24302 58 292 54 292 52 289 24302 22513 59 287 53 287 50 289 22513 20658 59 283 55 283 50 290 20658 18736 57 281 55 284 49 290 18736 16787 55 286 52 287 45 289 16787 14912 49 293 45 292 38 288 14912 13205 42 299 36 294 31 285 13205 11685 36 299 30 291 27 283 11685 10332 35 297 29 296 25 290 10332 9124 34 303 27 305 21 303 9124 8047 28 311 21 313 14 312 8047 7091 22 313 16 309 9 310 7091 6245 14 297 11 285 7 259 6245 5496 11*286 11 280 11 227 5496 4823 11*286 10 281 12 225 4823 4225 11 287 10 285 10 226 4225 3724 11 288 9 287 6 229 3724 3337 10 289 9 289 3 237 3337 3071 9 289 8 290 1 237 3071 2908 9 289 7 290 1*159 2908 2816 7 289 6*290 1*146 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography