DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 73.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 229 - - 103 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4712 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5674 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7270 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2912 - - 8211 - - 3568 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 427 - - 126 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 237 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 114 - - -4709 - - -1562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7156 - - 7527 - - 4379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1306 - - -5459 - - -3456 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8576 - - 8276 - - 6273 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 78 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 620 - - 400 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 73.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 50.5 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.7 - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.7 - - 50.1 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 229 - - 103 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4712 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 32 - - 12 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95873 40 246 45 263 43 267 95873 88784 34 251 40 259 41 260 88784 83371 30 243 32 245 38 253 83371 78898 26 240 31 237 36 251 78898 75062 20 269 31 245 30 238 75062 71680 25 297 22 263 22 239 71680 68622 19 270 19 260 21 249 68622 65810 27 237 30 251 25 244 65810 63189 33 235 31 245 35 241 63189 60636 38 233 38 242 47 240 60636 57962 41 240 50 241 53 243 57962 55172 43 238 53 239 55 242 55172 52485 38 247 46 243 51 243 52485 50038 40 253 44 252 50 246 50038 47816 42 251 47 253 50 245 47816 45785 42 251 48 250 46 247 45785 43919 45 257 48 250 42 253 43919 42189 48 259 49 252 49 259 42189 40584 51 258 46 251 55 249 40584 39101 51 253 43 254 51 242 39101 37738 40 241 43 249 31 248 37738 36444 27 242 37 239 33 254 36444 35133 30 256 37 243 37 263 35133 33774 34 260 38 254 42 266 33774 32371 38 257 37 261 41 265 32371 30909 40 254 37 261 34 263 30909 29377 39 253 38 259 24 245 29377 27778 36 247 37 256 35 245 27778 26112 37 244 33 256 40 245 26112 24383 35 243 31 251 40 241 24383 22595 32 241 33 245 41 240 22595 20745 30 234 34 240 42 241 20745 18827 28 226 36 237 43 239 18827 16878 27 231 35 238 43 238 16878 15002 27 236 33 235 42 239 15002 13297 26 230 32 227 39 241 13297 11779 28 223 34 227 36 241 11779 10425 29 223 34 228 37 240 10425 9216 28 223 33 229 36 237 9216 8136 27*223 31 232 35 235 8136 7173 25*223 30 233 34 235 7173 6318 24 223 29 233 33 237 6318 5556 24 224 29 234 32 239 5556 4870 23 225 28 235 31 241 4870 4259 22 226 27 236 28 241 4259 3746 22 226 26 236 24 239 3746 3351 21 227 25 237 19 236 3351 3078 19 227 23 237 14 232 3078 2912 17 227 19 237 11*230 2912 2817 12 227 13*237 6*228 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography