DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.9 - - 34.2 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 118 - - 73 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1085 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3643 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1257 - - 3100 - - 3688 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 212 - - 112 - - 36 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 277 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 828 - - 0 - - -514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2815 - - 2814 - - 3328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 404 - - -369 - - -1223 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3239 - - 3183 - - 4037 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.9 - - 34.2 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.9 - - 32.2 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 41.7 - - 33.2 - - 24.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.1 - - 31.7 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 118 - - 73 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1085 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 103 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96645 34 259 40 259 41 275 96645 89424 22 260 24 254 24 272 89424 83880 15 259 16 244 16 267 83880 79248 13 289 9 238 9 260 79248 75229 15 293 5 210 6 229 75229 71669 11 296 4 209 6 241 71669 68442 4 272 4 237 5 276 68442 65458 5 120 6 149 3 251 65458 62679 7 079 9 118 3 298 62679 59980 14 224 10 118 6 122 59980 57154 24 207 27 226 18 232 57154 54213 38 213 34 220 28 223 54213 51397 48 212 55 225 43 225 51397 48856 60 209 62 209 47 220 48856 46568 63 210 48 211 49 226 46568 44479 74 221 63 233 59 220 44479 42566 92 213 93 220 68 228 42566 40807 104 208 98 210 96 225 40807 39197 118 205 119 203 125 216 39197 37716 124 197 143 195 136 203 37716 36335 118 189 143 190 132 197 36335 35003 113 187 139 186 123 200 35003 33658 113 187 134 183 121 208 33658 32284 112 187 132 182 133 214 32284 30887 109 186 134 184 150 216 30887 29446 104 186 137 188 156 214 29446 27942 102 190 137 192 155 212 27942 26375 107 200 129 194 153 210 26375 24741 103 201 122 200 152 209 24741 23043 100 201 120 201 149 210 23043 21288 98 203 119 204 139 209 21288 19478 95 206 117 205 133 203 19478 17613 90 208 110 202 136 201 17613 15735 83 207 102 197 125 206 15735 13957 76 202 94 192 86 217 13957 12364 69 198 86 190 58 227 12364 10961 67 199 71 186 48 236 10961 9721 63 200 59 185 45 244 9721 8620 55 198 47 192 41 250 8620 7638 45 197 34 212 41 261 7638 6763 32 206 27 242 44 271 6763 5988 25 228 27 263 44 274 5988 5299 23 244 27 274 43 275 5299 4677 22 263 28 275 41 275 4677 4124 22 272 27 277 39 276 4124 3659 22*274 26 278 36 276 3659 3300 21*276 24 278 32 276 3300 3052 20 277 22 278 27 276 3052 2900 17 277 18 278 23*276 2900 2814 12 277 12*277 14*276 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography