DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.4 - - 78.6 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3164 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4443 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5722 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1895 - - 5257 - - 3353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 355 - - 126 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 287 - - 252 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -956 - - -3418 - - -1394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6678 - - 6236 - - 4212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5200 - - -5294 - - -4245 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10922 - - 8112 - - 7063 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 64 - - 66 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 130 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.4 - - 78.6 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.6 - - 60.7 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.6 - - 77.4 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.4 - - 59.6 - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 91 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3164 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99295 27 089 17 098 23 058 99295 91823 24 091 26 098 23 083 91823 86041 24 091 27 087 26 101 86041 81241 19 089 20 078 24 096 81241 77105 14 100 15 081 17 075 77105 73448 15 111 13 098 11 076 73448 70140 14 122 11 118 10 115 70140 67107 13 157 9 149 5 125 67107 64299 9 172 9 170 5 241 64299 61591 4 194 7 238 9 242 61591 58787 9 267 16 268 11 279 58787 55917 20 231 24 251 24 254 55917 53222 33 240 31 237 36 247 53222 50826 44 246 44 234 43 246 50826 48694 46 251 48 234 45 241 48694 46753 51 253 48 243 47 241 46753 44961 54 255 50 250 50 245 44961 43291 52 250 52 257 46 252 43291 41725 53 244 50 253 43 261 41725 40244 47 245 45 246 46 254 40244 38841 35 253 41 238 42 239 38841 37486 31 259 34 238 34 224 37486 36114 30 260 28 246 28 231 36114 34693 27 250 28 238 22 241 34693 33228 24 240 29 224 21 243 33228 31705 21 234 27 214 25 246 31705 30114 20 247 24 218 28 249 30114 28456 14 276 22 240 28 252 28456 26733 14 284 19 255 26 256 26733 24945 18 268 19 265 26 260 24945 23097 19 257 19 271 28 267 23097 21185 19 252 23 275 28 265 21185 19204 20 267 24 271 29 269 19204 17196 16 273 23 271 30 275 17196 15269 12 280 23 272 29 269 15269 13519 12 285 23 273 27 268 13519 11961 17 289 23 284 25 274 11961 10572 22 298 22 294 22 280 10572 9333 22 310 17 302 16 284 9333 8230 19 322 11 310 10 285 8230 7250 11 326 7 301 6 262 7250 6380 7*308 6 284 6 228 6380 5605 7*297 7 274 6 230 5605 4907 7 291 7 266 6 241 4907 4286 7 288 7 261 6 244 4286 3765 7 284 7 258 5 243 3765 3362 6 282 7 256 5 243 3362 3084 6 279 7 254 5 242 3084 2915 6 279 6*254 4*241 2915 2818 5 278 5*252 2*236 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography