DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.9 - - 76.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 128 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3864 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5064 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6422 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1641 - - 5717 - - 3558 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 410 - - 138 - - 40 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 244 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -67 - - -3789 - - -2045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6489 - - 6607 - - 4862 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3245 - - -5043 - - -4477 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9667 - - 7860 - - 7294 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 88 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 140 - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.9 - - 76.1 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 56.8 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.8 - - 74.6 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 55.7 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 233 - - 128 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3864 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99040 23 101 21 080 26 067 99040 91534 26 090 26 092 26 071 91534 85749 26 085 29 096 23 082 85749 80962 21 078 29 091 22 087 80962 76854 18 081 26 082 21 086 76854 73225 16 082 20 077 17 093 73225 69931 13 100 9 068 13 073 69931 66903 13 128 4 177 7 005 66903 64104 8 113 7 162 6 235 64104 61407 3 222 6 295 4 253 61407 58601 11 288 10 286 8 270 58601 55695 24 285 26 285 24 299 55695 52938 35 255 39 261 35 279 52938 50477 37 249 36 264 33 263 50477 48288 47 267 41 273 40 270 48288 46328 63 273 58 265 62 273 46328 44553 60 267 63 259 65 264 44553 42905 50 255 60 253 64 264 42905 41357 40 249 56 257 63 275 41357 39901 40 261 47 254 60 282 39901 38525 44 289 40 290 58 284 38525 37191 58 302 47 298 60 284 37191 35834 66 300 48 289 63 284 35834 34426 68 298 47 280 66 284 34426 32972 67 302 49 278 64 283 32972 31464 63 306 48 278 53 281 31464 29893 45 297 48 286 37 275 29893 28260 36 276 42 296 31 259 28260 26560 40 271 35 285 33 282 26560 24792 35 276 37 274 29 283 24792 22959 31 256 38 266 31 268 22959 21056 29 243 38 261 35 264 21056 19083 28 252 35 261 35 270 19083 17086 28 263 31 258 30 274 17086 15175 28 267 28 258 26 276 15175 13443 25 264 24 258 22 270 13443 11903 21 256 18 252 18 265 11903 10529 18 249 17 252 13 272 10529 9301 15 246 13 254 13 257 9301 8204 10 248 9 247 15 234 8204 7228 6*248 7 244 15 219 7228 6361 5*246 8 244 15 213 6361 5590 5 247 8 244 13 213 5590 4895 6 245 8 245 12 220 4895 4278 6 245 8 245 11 229 4278 3759 6 244 8 244 10 233 3759 3359 6 244 8 244 9 235 3359 3082 5 243 8 244 8 237 3082 2914 5 242 7 244 6 238 2914 2817 4 242 6*244 4*241 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography