DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 71.5 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 86 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2765 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4142 - - 2800 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5323 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1368 - - 5101 - - 3157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 337 - - 122 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 127 - - 125 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 160 - - -2727 - - -858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5163 - - 5544 - - 3675 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2002 - - -3499 - - -2704 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7325 - - 6316 - - 5521 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 93 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.9 - - 71.5 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 56.8 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.2 - - 70.3 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 55.8 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 86 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2765 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 72 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98949 21 101 28 107 24 098 98949 91550 24 123 20 120 16 102 91550 85821 22 124 12 132 12 101 85821 81054 14 116 10 127 10 105 81054 76938 9 122 8 102 13 120 76938 73278 7 136 5 065 11 103 73278 69971 8 144 2 132 7 047 69971 66958 9 109 5 125 3 033 66958 64190 10 077 7 095 4 106 64190 61514 11 037 9 062 10 057 61514 58731 9 354 8 347 11 338 58731 55869 10 347 14 335 16 321 55869 53153 25 327 23 326 25 314 53153 50710 25 320 24 316 25 316 50710 48523 41 336 38 342 30 338 48523 46548 51 325 51 334 40 343 46548 44742 51 313 49 322 49 340 44742 43074 46 316 41 310 51 336 43074 41515 40 326 39 309 49 306 41515 40051 38 331 41 311 41 299 40051 38673 37 323 40 315 40 315 38673 37342 30 320 38 318 44 314 37342 35988 30 317 39 312 43 314 35988 34585 31 344 37 303 36 308 34585 33135 36 358 30 302 29 308 33135 31627 37 003 25 330 31 319 31627 30047 33 340 27 005 25 323 30047 28399 36 326 27 006 16 333 28399 26678 39 326 27 348 17 335 26678 24887 41 346 33 355 22 340 24887 23037 33 357 30 014 22 004 23037 21126 18 000 16 031 14 026 21126 19150 9 354 5 002 5 031 19150 17141 6 349 7 316 3 326 17141 15209 5 021 5 337 5 342 15209 13455 6 028 4 039 5 003 13455 11895 5 359 5 039 2 018 11895 10512 5 319 5 015 4 332 10512 9284 4 303 4 354 6 355 9284 8189 1 035 3 058 6 041 8189 7213 4 103 7 114 8 086 7213 6347 10 126 9 124 11 107 6347 5578 13*128 9 125 12 121 5578 4886 13*128 9 125 12 132 4886 4270 14 128 9 126 12 136 4270 3754 13 127 9 126 12 136 3754 3356 13 127 8 125 11 136 3356 3080 12 126 8 125 9 133 3080 2913 11 126 7*125 7 127 2913 2817 8 125 6*125 3*121 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography