DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 77.8 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3107 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4363 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5665 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1599 - - 4683 - - 1965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 343 - - 118 - - 26 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 258 - - 252 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -11 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 135 - - -1986 - - -452 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5531 - - 4804 - - 3269 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1910 - - -2719 - - -2609 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7575 - - 5537 - - 5426 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 92 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 240 - - 1070 - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.2 - - 77.8 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.2 - - 66.0 - - 67.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.6 - - 76.7 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.3 - - 65.3 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 77 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3107 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 68 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98825 15 094 5 085 13 050 98825 91392 15 100 9 069 11 050 91392 85635 15 084 10 090 10 064 85635 80860 13 064 10 087 9 068 80860 76762 9 060 9 049 9 073 76762 73152 2 030 7 053 7 036 73152 69884 4 253 8 145 7 308 69884 66880 7 222 6 202 7 285 66880 64113 7 186 8 262 7 286 64113 61447 10 155 12 230 13 260 61447 58683 9 267 6 239 15 218 58683 55848 23 233 17 218 17 207 55848 53178 27 193 32 210 25 215 53178 50803 33 190 42 204 34 205 50803 48685 38 192 43 200 40 199 48685 46754 37 195 43 198 44 200 46754 44963 34 198 41 195 45 199 44963 43292 34 200 40 194 43 199 43292 41725 34 205 39 197 43 198 41725 40250 27 214 35 207 39 203 40250 38856 25 217 28 207 34 203 38856 37508 26 211 28 211 32 201 37508 36138 29 212 30 210 30 209 36138 34720 31 218 32 217 32 220 34720 33259 28 221 34 225 34 230 33259 31741 26 232 33 226 36 238 31741 30153 27 236 30 229 34 242 30153 28496 28 238 28 234 31 242 28496 26772 29 240 29 244 31 236 26772 24983 30 238 28 253 30 241 24983 23134 31 241 27 255 27 253 23134 21219 29 244 25 250 27 261 21219 19236 23 253 21 251 23 263 19236 17228 18 252 18 255 18 257 17228 15300 16 249 18 259 13 264 15300 13546 14 250 18 265 12 281 13546 11986 14 243 20 269 12 284 11986 10597 16 242 22 272 13 286 10597 9355 17 251 24 273 14 277 9355 8248 22 267 23 272 15 260 8248 7263 25 272 21 268 16 248 7263 6389 21*269 18 260 16 243 6389 5611 19*263 18 257 16 242 5611 4910 18 260 17 255 15 244 4910 4287 17 258 16 254 13 251 4287 3765 17 256 15 254 11 264 3765 3362 16 255 15 253 9 276 3362 3084 15 254 13 253 8 282 3084 2915 13 254 12*253 6 286 2915 2817 10 253 8*252 3*289 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography