DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 77.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 113 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2712 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4101 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5270 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2397 - - 4388 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 334 - - 132 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 28 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 253 - - 239 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 18 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 707 - - -1517 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4563 - - 4335 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -340 - - -2441 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5610 - - 5259 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1680 - - 1860 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.5 - - 77.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.5 - - 67.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.2 - - 76.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.9 - - 66.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 177 - - 113 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2712 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 45 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98867 27 093 25 088 98867 91369 23 096 19 094 91369 85617 21 079 15 080 85617 80864 19 071 19 091 80864 76773 20 083 18 092 76773 73149 14 082 15 080 73149 69871 7 112 9 080 69871 66876 6 151 4 067 66876 64121 5 156 2 184 64121 61466 3 128 4 166 61466 58700 7 306 6 313 58700 55857 13 268 20 274 55857 53178 24 223 31 244 53178 50766 25 220 30 213 50766 48580 32 243 35 221 48580 46577 34 241 43 229 46577 44740 45 237 45 235 44740 43050 53 227 50 244 43050 41482 54 220 64 253 41482 40013 52 228 66 251 40013 38622 56 247 54 243 38622 37273 56 252 55 241 37273 35903 47 235 56 238 35903 34484 42 235 51 235 34484 33023 43 242 47 235 33023 31508 46 246 45 234 31508 29930 44 249 41 238 29930 28289 44 251 40 238 28289 26584 44 254 39 241 26584 24816 46 250 38 242 24816 22984 44 246 38 242 22984 21088 39 246 40 241 21088 19129 37 245 40 241 19129 17146 38 245 37 245 17146 15234 39 246 39 246 15234 13495 37 251 38 248 13495 11951 37 257 38 251 11951 10575 36 258 36 254 10575 9343 36 257 34 256 9343 8240 36 256 32 254 8240 7257 36 255 32 249 7257 6386 35 254 31 247 6386 5611 34*253 30 245 5611 4912 32*253 26 243 4912 4289 31 253 24 242 4289 3767 29 253 22 241 3767 3364 27 253 20 240 3364 3085 25 254 18 240 3085 2915 21 254 16*239 2915 2818 14 253 11*239 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography