DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 44 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2778 - - 2036 - - 1943 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 127 - - 97 - - 53 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 118 - - 106 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -853 - - -487 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3670 - - 3304 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1359 - - -1223 - - -551 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4176 - - 4040 - - 3368 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 30 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 67.0 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.2 - - 61.9 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.6 - - 66.1 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 61.4 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 44 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99419 37 097 31 081 32 066 99419 91866 39 087 33 080 32 072 91866 86059 38 079 31 081 28 075 86059 81259 32 076 31 081 29 080 81259 77140 25 080 28 076 28 078 77140 73513 17 077 22 073 23 076 73513 70229 9 079 17 070 20 064 70229 67217 10 090 7 063 13 024 67217 64437 7 061 4 084 12 014 64437 61755 5 004 8 339 16 317 61755 58986 8 353 11 338 17 305 58986 56134 25 316 24 303 22 306 56134 53432 34 305 36 313 29 322 53432 51014 41 296 45 307 36 317 51014 48846 43 289 45 298 37 306 48846 46872 40 287 42 293 38 299 46872 45056 43 293 41 297 39 295 45056 43369 45 294 45 298 45 302 43369 41790 45 293 46 297 52 310 41790 40305 43 292 47 299 57 313 40305 38903 43 292 47 301 57 311 38903 37549 42 290 48 298 50 306 37549 36177 44 288 51 293 50 304 36177 34755 49 287 55 287 52 298 34755 33287 52 289 58 288 54 292 33287 31758 49 286 51 292 54 292 31758 30160 44 277 46 285 51 295 30160 28497 40 272 43 273 45 294 28497 26769 39 271 41 268 41 290 26769 24977 39 266 39 265 38 285 24977 23122 41 263 39 269 39 281 23122 21198 41 265 41 274 39 281 21198 19203 40 260 37 268 36 278 19203 17184 36 260 36 261 34 271 17184 15252 35 259 32 258 34 267 15252 13495 35 259 29 258 32 273 13495 11931 28 256 25 255 24 268 11931 10540 25 255 21 248 17 247 10540 9300 19 254 20 247 12 243 9300 8194 16 257 18 247 11 240 8194 7212 11 251 15 244 9 230 7212 6344 7 230 12 235 7 209 6344 5572 5 167 9 218 7 176 5572 4879 8 124 7 164 8 145 4879 4264 9 120 9 123 9 134 4264 3749 9 118 9 113 10 127 3749 3353 9 118 9 110 9 123 3353 3079 9 117 9 108 8 121 3079 2913 8*117 8*107 7*120 2913 2817 6*118 6*106 5*118 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography