DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 39.1 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - -23 - - -39 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 599 - - 536 - - 180 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 174 - - 256 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2814 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14065 - - -9546 - - -6301 - - -9783 ODpotential blCL - - - 16879 - - 12361 - - 9116 - - 12598 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 39.1 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 37.8 - - 39.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 40.7 - - 42.9 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 38.6 - - 42.8 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - -23 - - -39 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96026 117 229 109 243 98 237 108 242 96026 88768 101 235 98 237 95 246 102 248 88768 83262 69 251 80 241 85 248 86 252 83262 78752 56 256 62 249 69 249 68 250 78752 74872 49 261 54 251 55 249 56 250 74872 71435 43 261 48 256 45 246 51 252 71435 68322 41 257 44 260 44 249 47 247 68322 65473 43 262 45 251 49 249 49 243 65473 62832 53 263 50 244 54 248 55 252 62832 60282 62 256 54 245 63 250 68 249 60282 57626 71 248 61 251 70 248 73 248 57626 54844 74 251 69 250 80 249 78 245 54844 52150 84 255 84 250 84 247 85 246 52150 49688 90 253 88 250 89 246 97 251 49688 47459 100 256 89 253 91 247 102 251 47459 45426 113 258 99 259 105 251 109 248 45426 43569 120 255 132 257 130 251 127 248 43569 41860 118 256 152 253 155 248 148 247 41860 40269 132 259 147 251 156 243 162 245 40269 38779 145 258 138 253 145 242 160 241 38779 37382 143 257 134 250 146 244 156 239 37382 36047 130 256 127 247 142 241 153 237 36047 34702 111 254 131 246 134 237 150 236 34702 33315 98 249 126 244 121 232 140 232 33315 31891 85 246 116 241 107 229 137 226 31891 30419 82 241 105 239 100 228 129 225 30419 28886 70 238 100 238 96 230 117 220 28886 27289 65 235 97 241 91 229 116 219 27289 25627 64 238 89 244 89 228 120 223 25627 23909 62 242 75 242 87 226 122 229 23909 22139 62 244 66 238 83 224 117 234 22139 20309 64 246 64 235 79 224 112 237 20309 18420 67 247 65 234 76 224 101 238 18420 16507 73 245 63 236 75 223 92 238 16507 14669 75 237 63 234 78 224 91 239 14669 12996 70 229 63 227 80 226 83 240 12996 11505 67 224 68 226 80 228 71 242 11505 10177 63 220 74 229 80 228 57 244 10177 8997 60 219 77 228 78 227 52 248 8997 7948 60 217 78 225 70 226 54 249 7948 7013 61 214 76 221 60 228 56 247 7013 6184 64 208 77 215 50 230 54 243 6184 5448 65 199 75 209 43 235 51 239 5448 4784 64 189 66 205 38 240 48 236 4784 4194 57 181 54 200 33 244 42 232 4194 3701 45 172 39 195 29 246 32 227 3701 3323 32 161 28 191 24 248 23 227 3323 3063 27 156 20 187 18 249 15 231 3063 2905 22 152 15*183 14*250 10*241 2905 2815 13*147 6*174 6*256 5*272 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography