DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 80.8 - - 81.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 167 - - 91 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3780 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 4888 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2818 - - 6338 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3204 - - 1876 - - 5906 - - 3984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 133 - - 374 - - 127 - - 41 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 319 - - 310 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2592 - - 18 - - -3605 - - -1663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5410 - - 6321 - - 6423 - - 4481 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6572 - - -3291 - - -4938 - - -4023 ODpotential blCL - - - 9390 - - 9629 - - 7756 - - 6841 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 69 - - 70 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 420 - - 490 - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 80.8 - - 81.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.4 - - 62.6 - - 62.7 - - 66.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 79.2 - - 80.2 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 61.3 - - 61.6 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 167 - - 91 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 260 - - 3780 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99531 50 084 44 099 39 090 27 088 99531 91965 37 090 34 095 33 082 33 083 91965 86112 29 083 30 087 30 083 32 073 86112 81282 25 080 32 075 27 093 25 069 81282 77155 19 085 25 076 26 097 17 075 77155 73515 17 100 20 093 18 088 13 082 73515 70219 17 086 14 084 13 086 9 074 70219 67199 14 040 10 087 9 076 8 059 67199 64416 10 013 7 039 8 050 6 068 64416 61725 7 020 8 327 9 013 8 042 61725 58929 4 010 8 307 13 348 6 006 58929 56063 8 007 9 312 12 326 10 333 56063 53364 14 357 10 304 12 324 13 332 53364 50956 8 015 8 304 13 305 14 326 50956 48800 12 048 10 010 8 334 8 256 48800 46843 25 013 22 013 21 002 10 005 46843 45050 17 360 22 359 21 353 16 008 45050 43387 10 345 14 360 17 346 16 003 43387 41823 9 009 10 029 17 354 18 001 41823 40345 16 046 18 012 22 358 21 358 40345 38948 26 026 22 008 19 354 21 359 38948 37598 28 027 14 017 7 352 13 354 37598 36232 21 043 7 084 5 230 6 302 36232 34817 12 046 11 179 10 235 8 285 34817 33357 20 024 2 052 8 316 9 323 33357 31837 19 025 12 026 7 356 5 303 31837 30247 15 006 7 058 2 309 5 243 30247 28594 11 359 1 086 6 298 2 329 28594 26877 7 356 6 330 10 337 7 011 26877 25092 5 323 10 346 10 350 7 360 25092 23245 5 297 8 350 9 340 8 345 23245 21330 2 260 5 339 7 338 10 359 21330 19341 2 190 5 299 5 333 8 360 19341 17316 3 204 5 279 5 317 6 349 17316 15368 3 261 3 308 4 331 4 357 15368 13598 3 297 3 015 4 024 3 035 13598 12025 2 288 3 022 4 040 3 080 12025 10628 1 230 2 016 3 042 1 110 10628 9383 2 232 1 075 2 023 1 250 9383 8273 3 309 1 042 3 341 5 285 8273 7285 6 341 3 337 5 329 7 296 7285 6408 9 344 6*327 7 323 8 305 6408 5627 12 333 7*325 8 320 9 316 5627 4924 12 327 7 322 9 318 10 325 4924 4298 11 323 8 320 9 316 10 330 4298 3772 10 319 8 318 9 314 10 330 3772 3366 10 317 8 316 8 313 10 330 3366 3086 9 316 7 315 8 312 9 329 3086 2916 8*315 7 315 7*311 7*327 2916 2818 6*314 5 315 6*310 4*326 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography