DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.6 - - 78.4 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 109 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2790 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3953 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5348 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2193 - - 5554 - - 3047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 117 - - 38 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 253 - - 218 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 687 - - -2077 - - -131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4662 - - 4896 - - 2948 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -668 - - -2943 - - -1300 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6016 - - 5761 - - 4117 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1270 - - 1800 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.6 - - 78.4 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 66.3 - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.2 - - 77.3 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.4 - - 65.2 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 109 - - 70 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2790 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 76 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99444 42 084 39 093 32 070 99444 91940 43 086 34 082 33 074 91940 86145 36 082 36 088 31 084 86145 81321 28 074 31 086 32 089 81321 77178 22 077 22 072 30 088 77178 73550 23 095 15 051 23 080 73550 70287 21 104 9 059 16 074 70287 67292 16 105 9 099 9 055 67292 64508 11 095 13 113 5 004 64508 61799 11 124 14 114 5 070 61799 58980 14 136 11 134 7 096 58980 56084 14 132 13 147 10 160 56084 53356 8 122 9 156 11 165 53356 50915 7 149 9 176 5 191 50915 48720 9 149 11 144 6 142 48720 46722 13 130 13 120 10 107 46722 44892 9 132 14 116 4 083 44892 43207 12 129 10 107 2 350 43207 41643 15 113 6 068 5 011 41643 40178 13 109 8 050 6 031 40178 38796 10 115 10 053 5 031 38796 37458 9 107 8 086 2 227 37458 36100 11 122 9 132 9 224 36100 34692 12 137 11 144 12 228 34692 33239 13 141 12 153 11 240 33239 31727 14 146 14 167 9 236 31727 30145 16 158 12 189 10 215 30145 28494 18 172 17 183 14 200 28494 26776 20 186 20 183 17 191 26776 24992 22 194 18 183 17 191 24992 23145 23 192 14 191 14 196 23145 21233 24 192 15 201 12 195 21233 19253 24 195 18 206 17 193 19253 17247 23 201 17 215 15 193 17247 15318 21 210 12 238 10 210 15318 13559 17 213 11 237 8 238 13559 11993 14 212 13 229 6 259 11993 10599 13 218 12 229 4 266 10599 9356 10 233 10 234 5 249 9356 8248 9 250 9 236 7 232 8248 7261 9 256 8 230 9 224 7261 6385 9 256 8 226 10 219 6385 5607 9*255 8 224 9 217 5607 4907 8*254 8 223 9 213 4907 4285 8 253 8 222 8 213 4285 3763 8 253 8 221 8 208 3763 3361 8 252 7 220 7 205 3361 3083 8 252 7 219 7 203 3083 2914 7 251 6*219 5 201 2914 2817 5 251 5*218 3*200 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography