DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 67.6 - - 65.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 169 - - 20 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2358 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 3802 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4916 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1520 - - 1461 - - 3163 - - 487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 308 - - 77 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 319 - - 345 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3352 - - -1531 - - -4487 - - -1942 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6168 - - 6447 - - 7305 - - 4758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7197 - - -3923 - - -7697 - - -8214 ODpotential blCL - - - 10013 - - 8839 - - 10514 - - 11030 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 68 - - 50 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 67.6 - - 65.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 49.2 - - 43.9 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 65.9 - - 65.3 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 48.3 - - 43.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 169 - - 20 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2358 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97003 73 251 78 247 86 259 73 257 97003 89754 43 251 53 243 58 253 51 258 89754 84169 30 254 36 242 40 248 39 257 84169 79543 27 259 26 255 26 245 33 258 79543 75578 24 268 21 274 16 253 29 252 75578 72083 23 279 17 284 16 262 21 266 72083 68917 22 274 18 285 15 271 21 270 68917 66002 21 284 17 278 20 274 20 263 66002 63290 29 287 22 286 21 283 21 282 63290 60661 33 271 30 282 31 274 32 273 60661 57936 42 268 34 266 35 267 34 265 57936 55114 48 257 35 258 41 259 39 271 55114 52412 49 244 44 262 49 259 54 272 52412 49988 45 258 60 267 55 268 63 277 49988 47830 67 267 70 270 73 276 74 277 47830 45895 67 265 75 270 84 271 81 273 45895 44140 64 274 74 268 84 266 77 271 44140 42518 65 280 63 274 72 275 67 273 42518 40998 64 283 67 287 71 277 66 286 40998 39565 62 286 74 286 67 280 70 296 39565 38209 62 289 63 281 67 284 69 298 38209 36894 64 289 58 277 67 283 64 293 36894 35557 63 285 59 280 72 284 61 289 35557 34169 59 284 56 284 62 289 60 294 34169 32734 53 288 51 284 54 282 55 298 32734 31242 46 289 46 278 48 282 46 294 31242 29681 42 284 43 274 45 283 44 283 29681 28051 40 282 40 279 45 279 43 278 28051 26354 38 283 37 283 41 282 37 281 26354 24595 34 288 34 285 33 286 30 281 24595 22779 27 290 26 292 28 281 25 271 22779 20898 22 304 21 302 22 279 23 259 20898 18946 23 316 18 303 17 286 21 258 18946 16961 20 312 16 299 18 284 19 266 16961 15050 17 309 15 297 16 289 15 276 15050 13314 14 316 10 306 11 300 10 281 13314 11775 14 326 7 325 8 303 7 307 11775 10408 15 326 9 331 8 318 9 323 10408 9190 16 320 14 331 10 334 12 337 9190 8103 15 316 16 329 14 344 17 355 8103 7136 14 313 16 328 16 352 21 005 7136 6279 13 313 15 324 15 356 23 009 6279 5520 13 313 13*321 13 351 23 011 5520 4839 14 319 13*320 12 348 20 012 4839 4235 14 322 13 319 12 347 16 009 4235 3730 13 319 12 319 12 346 15 002 3730 3341 9 308 12 318 11 346 15 000 3341 3073 7 303 11 318 10 345 12 359 3073 2909 6 301 10 318 9*345 8*357 2909 2816 5*298 7 316 6*345 4*355 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography