DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 77.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 217 - - 85 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3289 - - 260 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4611 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5847 - - 2818 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2232 - - 4028 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 382 - - 121 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 249 - - 255 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 406 - - -1398 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5441 - - 4217 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1834 - - -2272 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7681 - - 5090 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1290 - - 1670 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.8 - - 77.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.2 - - 68.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.0 - - 76.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.1 - - 67.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 217 - - 85 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3289 - - 260 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 82 - - 91 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99407 40 088 24 073 99407 91881 34 085 28 083 91881 86064 31 079 28 075 86064 81247 25 070 26 077 81247 77121 19 067 22 079 77121 73495 15 065 18 088 73495 70215 8 065 14 095 70215 67197 6 100 9 068 67197 64407 5 089 6 026 64407 61719 9 058 8 348 61719 58926 12 347 9 312 58926 56050 13 311 13 310 56050 53336 14 306 23 315 53336 50916 18 281 28 298 50916 48753 18 263 28 265 48753 46797 17 277 26 252 46797 45000 19 292 24 260 45000 43330 22 294 26 276 43330 41762 23 292 27 279 41762 40283 22 283 27 274 40283 38883 21 270 26 268 38883 37528 19 264 26 264 37528 36152 18 270 26 262 36152 34728 17 264 26 261 34728 33258 21 257 26 260 33258 31728 25 240 26 256 31728 30128 25 234 24 254 30128 28463 25 230 22 249 28463 26735 23 226 21 250 26735 24946 22 234 21 254 24946 23104 22 242 20 259 23104 21200 23 240 21 273 21200 19228 24 237 21 281 19228 17227 25 236 21 276 17227 15300 23 240 21 258 15300 13546 20 249 20 237 13546 11989 17 250 18 236 11989 10603 14 252 18 250 10603 9363 12 254 18 255 9363 8254 11 248 17 255 8254 7267 12 249 17 254 7267 6392 12*249 16 255 6392 5614 12*250 16 255 5614 4914 13 250 16 256 4914 4291 13 250 16 255 4291 3768 13 249 15 255 3768 3365 12 249 14 255 3365 3086 12 248 13 255 3086 2915 11 248 11*254 2915 2818 8 248 8*255 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography