DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 113 - - 32 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2818 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3434 - - 5048 - - 5040 - - 3712 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 136 - - 96 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 183 - - 192 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -511 - - -1558 - - -1121 - - -188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3329 - - 4376 - - 3939 - - 3005 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1072 - - -2251 - - -2078 - - -1542 ODpotential blCL - - - 3889 - - 5069 - - 4896 - - 4359 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - 95 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 1280 - - 1540 - - 1190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 76.8 - - 76.0 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.7 - - 66.9 - - 68.0 - - 67.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 75.4 - - 75.2 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 65.7 - - 67.0 - - 67.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 113 - - 32 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 260 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 69 - - 80 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99373 40 091 40 086 37 091 28 080 99373 91853 39 091 33 087 34 086 36 082 91853 86083 30 073 34 090 29 082 31 082 86083 81309 24 065 31 090 27 084 27 072 81309 77196 27 087 24 089 21 085 27 069 77196 73577 30 095 21 089 18 076 23 073 73577 70311 26 094 16 087 15 078 16 070 70311 67297 21 087 16 090 18 096 11 085 67297 64497 13 077 18 090 21 103 13 114 64497 61804 10 097 14 094 12 098 16 110 61804 59019 15 107 13 106 7 135 11 111 59019 56145 14 122 15 117 13 143 7 136 56145 53420 10 147 10 133 12 135 11 147 53420 50995 13 184 15 182 11 177 15 165 50995 48835 20 176 24 171 19 186 20 182 48835 46866 21 169 27 166 24 178 25 176 46866 45047 25 177 31 161 30 167 26 167 45047 43354 31 179 33 160 31 164 24 170 43354 41773 36 176 32 162 30 173 23 178 41773 40286 42 173 29 170 31 180 24 184 40286 38883 43 167 32 174 29 185 27 188 38883 37529 42 171 34 172 30 184 32 192 37529 36157 46 176 38 170 32 178 37 186 36157 34736 46 175 42 167 37 172 40 185 34736 33268 43 174 43 167 38 176 41 182 33268 31740 43 176 42 171 42 178 42 182 31740 30142 43 176 43 177 44 177 41 183 30142 28474 42 175 43 179 43 180 38 182 28474 26739 34 177 38 183 40 186 31 195 26739 24945 27 181 31 186 34 190 24 197 24945 23098 21 187 22 185 24 188 21 192 23098 21190 18 188 19 189 21 182 20 194 21190 19215 18 178 20 192 20 187 19 199 19215 17211 18 173 20 195 16 192 15 198 17211 15282 18 173 17 194 16 194 13 188 15282 13526 15 180 14 197 15 200 10 192 13526 11965 12 180 12 194 11 209 7 194 11965 10577 9 161 10 191 10 227 5 184 10577 9339 8 145 8 199 9 233 7 190 9339 8233 7 118 8 207 9 227 9 197 8233 7249 5 107 8 209 9 219 10 209 7249 6377 2 130 8 209 8 215 10 216 6377 5602 3 206 7 206 8 208 10 214 5602 4905 4 207 6 197 8 203 10 209 4905 4284 4 203 6 192 8 200 9 206 4284 3762 3 203 6 189 8 198 8 205 3762 3361 3 201 6 187 7 196 7 204 3361 3083 3 201 5 186 7 194 6 202 3083 2915 2 200 5*185 6*194 5 203 2915 2817 2*199 4*183 5*192 3*203 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography