DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1009z - - 1332z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.8 - - 73.1 - - 76.9 - - 78.2 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 196 - - 271 - - 154 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 254 - - 3776 - - 5806 - - 6775 - - 254 BL Depth Hcrit 2795 - - 4911 - - 6620 - - 7067 - - 2795 Hcrit BL Top 2812 - - 6334 - - 8364 - - 9333 - - 2812 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 737 - - 1246 - - 816 - - 754 - - 6596 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 381 - - 491 - - 433 - - 47 W* B/S 4 - - 13 - - 21 - - 17 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 000 - - 017 - - 326 - - 306 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 10 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -363 - - 260 - - 756 - - 872 - - -4494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3175 - - 6075 - - 7609 - - 8462 - - 7306 sfcLCL ODpotential -3802 - - -4128 - - -3992 - - -5248 - - -5974 ODpotential blCL 6614 - - 10462 - - 12356 - - 14581 - - 8786 blCL maxRH 83 - - 77 - - 75 - - 75 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.8 - - 73.1 - - 76.9 - - 78.2 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.3 - - 56.0 - - 53.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 71.1 - - 74.7 - - 76.5 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.9 - - 55.0 - - 51.7 - - 49.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 196 - - 271 - - 154 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 254 - - 3776 - - 5806 - - 6775 - - 254 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98981 39 077 37 083 45 081 33 087 32 075 98981 91497 33 073 32 080 36 074 32 085 31 075 91497 85733 27 079 27 081 28 079 32 077 29 077 85733 80961 19 080 23 080 20 081 28 073 27 077 80961 76858 18 085 19 080 18 083 22 076 22 077 76858 73235 20 080 18 082 13 087 17 084 15 076 73235 69958 17 071 16 078 8 093 10 080 12 058 69958 66948 11 057 14 060 9 110 7 102 9 058 66948 64164 9 096 9 059 7 061 6 041 8 040 64164 61466 7 027 10 034 2 105 2 196 3 284 61466 58671 14 316 11 321 9 330 9 331 13 309 58671 55802 17 270 14 283 14 272 19 293 19 290 55802 53070 18 277 26 287 25 278 27 272 27 287 53070 50621 34 291 35 289 31 279 32 287 41 289 50621 48442 43 278 43 289 42 288 46 289 44 281 48442 46463 45 274 49 283 48 282 47 283 42 282 46463 44643 54 274 53 277 46 277 46 283 45 289 44643 42955 59 274 54 272 46 274 45 281 52 292 42955 41378 59 272 50 267 45 268 44 276 53 291 41378 39898 54 271 45 266 40 263 44 267 50 284 39898 38507 48 267 40 269 36 263 46 263 49 280 38507 37168 43 262 37 272 35 268 44 265 48 281 37168 35814 42 264 36 272 35 272 41 267 46 282 35814 34415 42 271 35 274 37 273 40 271 43 281 34415 32973 42 272 33 278 38 272 39 273 40 278 32973 31472 40 279 32 278 38 273 39 275 39 276 31472 29900 34 279 34 279 34 275 36 276 36 280 29900 28260 28 277 33 285 32 277 32 277 33 281 28260 26553 22 272 29 286 32 281 31 278 32 281 26553 24782 22 280 26 287 29 282 29 282 30 284 24782 22949 22 283 23 291 26 279 25 283 28 290 22949 21050 24 270 23 282 28 280 25 284 26 293 21050 19081 26 268 29 283 33 284 29 294 24 300 19081 17081 25 276 29 288 28 292 26 306 21 307 17081 15159 22 281 22 284 21 291 22 302 16 310 15159 13415 19 284 18 277 18 284 18 295 15 301 13415 11869 18 279 16 274 16 284 15 285 15 284 11869 10496 18 276 14 280 14 287 9*265 12 245 10496 9275 18 280 14 289 10*295 4*259 8 213 9275 8186 18 285 12 298 5*315 3 271 5 208 8186 7213 16 292 9*313 5 324 4 304 1 330 7213 6349 14 310 6*347 4 327 5 311 4 000 6349 5580 13 336 6 018 4 328 5 314 6 360 5580 4887 14 350 6 020 4 328 6 314 8 358 4887 4270 13 358 6 021 4 328 6 315 9 356 4270 3752 12 008 5 022 4 327 6 315 9 355 3752 3353 12 011 5 022 4 328 6 314 9 355 3353 3076 10 007 4 022 4 326 6 314 8 353 3076 2909 7*004 4 021 3 327 6 314 7*353 2909 2812 3*000 3 023 3 326 5 313 5*352 2812 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography