DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.5 - - 32.3 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 90 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2638 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4156 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5196 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 968 - - 4029 - - 3333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 364 - - 117 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 286 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2104 - - -3966 - - -1768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7300 - - 6781 - - 4582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10477 - - -9415 - - -2545 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15673 - - 12229 - - 5359 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 76 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.5 - - 32.3 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 11.5 - - 12.6 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 31.9 - - 31.2 - - 26.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 11.2 - - 12.5 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 90 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2638 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 44 - - 5 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95726 24 289 14 271 18 272 95726 88730 14 299 7 275 11 288 88730 83323 8 254 13 273 8 304 83323 78805 6 212 14 257 9 294 78805 74871 6 212 14 248 16 255 74871 71377 7 244 13 233 14 233 71377 68195 19 256 13 262 19 241 68195 65242 33 240 34 252 25 240 65242 62480 37 233 39 238 35 252 62480 59799 44 242 37 229 44 248 59799 56994 54 241 47 252 44 248 56994 54067 65 238 62 244 54 254 54067 51272 71 236 62 239 64 242 51272 48751 68 238 66 235 57 237 48751 46478 75 238 69 232 51 247 46478 44408 83 232 66 235 58 252 44408 42508 82 230 67 237 65 251 42508 40755 81 232 70 240 68 251 40755 39132 76 233 73 243 67 253 39132 37626 74 236 75 243 68 255 37626 36224 82 237 75 242 69 255 36224 34892 95 233 75 241 68 255 34892 33561 100 230 75 239 65 252 33561 32202 94 228 73 236 62 250 32202 30813 88 228 71 236 59 250 30813 29379 83 229 70 237 56 251 29379 27890 76 230 68 239 55 252 27890 26349 64 230 64 239 54 253 26349 24754 59 227 58 237 52 253 24754 23106 60 232 53 243 51 254 23106 21405 53 235 46 251 50 255 21405 19640 50 236 42 255 50 257 19640 17806 50 237 42 254 50 260 17806 15948 50 236 43 256 47 266 15948 14169 45 242 39 262 46 275 14169 12556 39 249 36 272 46 282 12556 11119 34 261 37 279 45 287 11119 9841 35 275 40 284 42 288 9841 8703 38 281 42 286 40 292 8703 7692 38 284 39 286 38 294 7692 6796 37 286 30 283 33 292 6796 6008 31 284 25 284 29 293 6008 5313 25*278 25 285 28 294 5313 4687 24*277 25 285 27 294 4687 4130 24 277 24 286 26 295 4130 3662 23 277 24 286 24 295 3662 3302 22 276 22 286 21 294 3302 3052 20 276 20 286 17 293 3052 2901 18 276 17 286 14*292 2901 2814 12 276 11*286 8*291 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography