DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 239 - - 58 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 1945 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2759 - - 3624 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3683 - - 4503 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 722 - - 971 - - 3685 - - 1316 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 320 - - 104 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 100 - - 085 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 223 - - -349 - - -2911 - - -212 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3460 - - 4852 - - 5727 - - 3028 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7373 - - -6577 - - -8112 - - -7050 ODpotential blCL - - - 11056 - - 11080 - - 10928 - - 9866 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 86 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.8 - - 54.4 - - 56.8 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 43.2 - - 41.8 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 52.3 - - 55.7 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.1 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 239 - - 58 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 1945 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 46 - - 4 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97473 20 239 28 264 17 285 24 286 97473 90141 3 272 11 226 14 274 8 319 90141 84548 3 351 5 106 8 267 1 150 84548 79912 4 028 5 066 3 260 3 324 79912 75929 6 338 8 035 4 060 2 021 75929 72419 4 331 10 017 8 040 4 032 72419 69238 6 083 3 004 4 008 10 003 69238 66312 11 046 4 066 2 232 10 335 66312 63601 12 355 13 007 4 083 4 291 63601 60972 14 324 18 339 11 002 6 350 60972 58236 14 320 18 319 18 328 19 325 58236 55402 19 320 20 319 24 309 24 320 55402 52689 27 316 29 317 29 301 30 312 52689 50251 28 308 29 308 27 307 30 308 50251 48067 25 334 24 325 29 330 27 326 48067 46077 42 327 35 334 38 339 32 349 46077 44242 48 320 44 328 43 334 44 348 44242 42533 44 322 46 323 45 331 52 341 42533 40938 49 337 48 334 47 329 56 338 40938 39451 62 345 60 341 52 332 60 338 39451 38065 76 343 67 340 60 339 63 343 38065 36739 80 340 66 344 69 344 65 346 36739 35400 77 345 69 354 70 340 68 346 35400 34015 78 349 78 355 64 341 70 345 34015 32584 77 350 84 355 63 345 70 345 32584 31091 73 350 79 352 65 347 67 351 31091 29526 67 347 73 349 65 346 65 354 29526 27894 59 342 65 345 66 345 62 351 27894 26195 53 341 61 342 67 342 65 342 26195 24435 46 345 51 347 63 350 62 359 24435 22620 37 350 35 347 46 356 51 009 22620 20744 26 347 25 343 29 352 33 002 20744 18801 16 342 20 338 20 345 23 349 18801 16832 12 340 13 341 14 332 18 353 16832 14942 9 341 10 342 11 325 15 355 14942 13222 9 354 10 353 11 337 13 355 13222 11690 9 010 10 007 11 354 12 004 11690 10326 10 013 10 012 11 004 11 013 10326 9109 10 009 9 010 12 005 10 015 9109 8028 9 008 8 007 11 005 8 012 8028 7070 9 006 7 005 8 012 5 007 7070 6225 9 004 6 001 5 036 3 024 6225 5478 6 015 4 015 5 069 5 091 5478 4808 4 089 4*096 6 075 9 103 4808 4214 8 118 5*100 6 079 10 105 4214 3717 9*117 6 101 6 081 10 106 3717 3333 8*114 6 101 6 083 9 106 3333 3069 8 113 6 100 6 084 8 104 3069 2908 7 113 6 100 5*086 6*101 2908 2816 6 112 5 100 4*085 3*096 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography