DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 64.3 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2558 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3951 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5116 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 936 - - 3769 - - 927 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 318 - - 94 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 152 - - 122 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1085 - - -3634 - - -939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6202 - - 6450 - - 3755 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8184 - - -9681 - - -8695 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13300 - - 12497 - - 11511 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 65 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 64.3 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.4 - - 45.9 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.1 - - 63.5 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.2 - - 44.7 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2558 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98098 19 243 24 250 20 267 98098 90729 17 249 21 255 17 272 90729 85018 12 261 17 247 16 261 85018 80250 14 277 11 278 10 246 80250 76137 20 283 13 294 9 276 76137 72530 18 268 11 275 15 287 72530 69296 12 243 10 269 16 281 69296 66332 15 295 13 277 16 279 66332 63587 21 303 17 286 18 293 63587 60941 25 292 25 287 23 288 60941 58203 26 273 29 281 26 282 58203 55373 30 273 34 271 33 278 55373 52672 41 268 39 266 41 269 52672 50239 51 261 47 260 49 261 50239 48053 58 261 52 258 53 258 48053 46061 64 262 57 258 56 261 46061 44232 68 262 62 259 62 260 44232 42540 66 261 65 258 65 257 42540 40962 60 260 62 257 64 254 40962 39484 54 259 55 254 60 253 39484 38096 51 256 53 255 57 250 38096 36761 43 252 54 257 53 248 36761 35411 40 248 52 257 51 250 35411 34011 37 248 47 257 50 253 34011 32565 30 251 42 259 46 256 32565 31066 28 253 38 260 35 262 31066 29506 25 250 31 259 29 270 29506 27889 21 250 24 263 25 272 27889 26215 17 252 22 259 22 276 26215 24481 16 253 20 252 21 275 24481 22687 17 255 19 246 22 270 22687 20823 18 252 20 247 22 266 20823 18887 18 252 20 261 21 260 18887 16921 17 264 19 275 18 270 16921 15032 18 285 21 287 16 283 15032 13313 19 291 19 294 15 294 13313 11778 17 286 17 293 16 299 11778 10407 15 282 15 290 15 299 10407 9182 14 293 13 293 14 304 9182 8090 14 308 11 294 14 298 8090 7121 11 306 9 284 12 284 7121 6268 7 275 6 266 10 268 6268 5513 4*200 2 202 8 257 5513 4834 6*163 2 162 4 213 4834 4232 6 155 3 138 8 159 4232 3728 6 151 3 132 14 154 3728 3340 6 147 3 126 15 148 3340 3072 6 146 3 124 13 142 3072 2909 5 145 3 124 9*135 2909 2816 4 143 3*122 4*128 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography