DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 36.4 - - 36.0 - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 283 - - 143 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 802 - - 2141 - - 2326 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 3813 - - 3668 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3360 - - 4699 - - 4884 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 607 - - 704 - - 1164 - - 1977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 347 - - 284 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 294 - - 301 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5805 - - -5220 - - -4397 - - -3969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9165 - - 9920 - - 9281 - - 6783 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16138 - - -14994 - - -14748 - - -15950 ODpotential blCL - - - 19498 - - 19693 - - 19632 - - 18764 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 79 - - 72 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 36.4 - - 36.0 - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 2.1 - - 3.1 - - 5.5 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 34.4 - - 34.7 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.8 - - 2.7 - - 5.2 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 283 - - 143 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 802 - - 2141 - - 2326 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95435 92 232 95 242 96 238 104 244 95435 88424 71 244 75 240 83 244 82 247 88424 83022 55 258 62 244 69 250 65 251 83022 78525 54 259 48 249 56 245 57 255 78525 74635 54 248 46 256 52 250 53 254 74635 71184 48 251 49 252 53 256 51 254 71184 68055 54 260 50 252 54 261 51 262 68055 65166 62 258 52 258 57 260 54 264 65166 62473 68 256 60 258 62 260 59 266 62473 59861 72 257 67 260 69 263 65 263 59861 57128 78 258 81 264 77 266 69 266 57128 54283 93 259 95 262 89 267 80 266 54283 51561 107 257 106 260 102 263 94 265 51561 49104 116 253 114 257 111 262 104 263 49104 46894 118 252 120 256 116 260 108 261 46894 44877 117 256 119 255 116 258 110 260 44877 43010 120 258 115 258 113 258 108 259 43010 41284 119 257 116 262 119 262 116 262 41284 39711 117 257 128 263 136 261 128 260 39711 38268 128 260 139 257 140 257 126 258 38268 36920 135 260 139 259 132 256 124 260 36920 35624 135 260 138 263 129 263 124 266 35624 34312 135 261 138 262 131 266 125 269 34312 32956 125 259 136 261 129 263 126 267 32956 31556 113 257 132 263 128 261 124 265 31556 30101 107 255 123 261 125 260 119 263 30101 28580 101 256 116 258 119 260 116 261 28580 26996 94 258 110 257 114 260 111 259 26996 25349 90 257 97 256 106 260 109 259 25349 23641 86 254 85 257 95 259 100 261 23641 21879 82 253 81 258 84 258 87 261 21879 20060 75 253 76 256 79 261 78 262 20060 18177 68 254 69 255 72 259 71 262 18177 16261 63 255 64 257 64 253 66 257 16261 14415 57 257 58 257 58 253 62 253 14415 12738 49 259 51 255 53 254 56 251 12738 11253 40 251 44 253 47 253 48 249 11253 9942 38 242 39 250 41 253 40 248 9942 8781 36 238 35 251 36 259 33 250 8781 7751 31 245 31 255 32 265 28 253 7751 6840 26 258 27 259 29 276 26 268 6840 6036 21 267 23 268 24 286 25 284 6036 5327 19 267 18 283 18*296 21 295 5327 4692 16 266 12*293 18*299 19 308 4692 4132 13 276 12*294 18 301 20 315 4132 3664 9*301 12 295 17 302 19 316 3664 3302 8*305 11 294 16 302 17 315 3302 3053 7 305 10 294 15 302 14 314 3053 2901 6 304 9 293 13 302 11*313 2901 2814 5 303 7 292 9 302 7*311 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography