DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 26.2 - - 26.2 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 224 - - 131 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 3018 - - 2859 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 4387 - - 4011 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2813 - - 5576 - - 5417 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2625 - - 1143 - - 1220 - - 2355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 364 - - 298 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 277 - - 271 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2318 - - -765 - - -1029 - - -2742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5131 - - 6342 - - 6446 - - 5557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15259 - - -13814 - - -8465 - - -11286 ODpotential blCL - - - 18072 - - 19390 - - 13882 - - 14100 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 88 - - 72 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.9 - - 26.2 - - 26.2 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 8.3 - - 7.9 - - 6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 24.6 - - 25.0 - - 21.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.4 - - 7.2 - - 7.4 - - 6.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 224 - - 131 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 255 - - 3018 - - 2859 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95981 18 035 24 010 20 026 11 028 95981 89022 20 021 15 025 13 029 10 011 89022 83603 15 025 11 015 9 005 5 354 83603 79049 9 001 4 171 6 281 14 293 79049 75118 18 290 10 242 8 274 12 257 75118 71612 22 275 18 246 17 276 15 261 71612 68409 28 252 21 252 32 271 28 276 68409 65472 27 244 28 252 36 245 37 262 65472 62747 25 261 28 238 33 232 39 240 62747 60076 37 270 34 262 35 239 37 239 60076 57232 50 256 49 259 42 242 44 237 57232 54253 64 246 59 242 63 249 60 247 54253 51412 78 235 68 244 78 241 66 248 51412 48859 78 227 87 241 78 234 79 243 48859 46577 87 238 97 232 74 231 91 235 46577 44501 99 237 89 228 73 233 86 230 44501 42589 106 234 88 229 78 236 80 232 42589 40824 116 230 97 227 79 234 75 239 40824 39192 127 227 103 222 77 233 85 245 39192 37672 134 224 103 218 84 232 97 241 37672 36249 141 223 101 220 90 229 98 234 36249 34888 148 222 105 221 95 224 87 234 34888 33524 153 223 112 218 92 218 79 242 33524 32132 158 224 129 213 87 215 79 244 32132 30713 160 221 140 208 85 217 79 241 30713 29250 148 212 139 205 84 220 77 241 29250 27737 133 207 132 201 83 221 72 242 27737 26178 119 210 120 198 78 224 65 245 26178 24575 114 213 114 198 70 229 62 245 24575 22932 110 214 117 199 66 230 55 245 22932 21246 107 211 125 204 63 236 52 247 21246 19504 103 207 116 216 57 243 51 250 19504 17696 102 208 88 221 49 247 48 250 17696 15857 106 219 69 222 42 248 45 255 15857 14090 92 230 55 229 37 251 44 259 14090 12487 69 237 41 240 33 261 42 264 12487 11064 51 242 33 255 31 271 38 268 11064 9797 42 249 32 266 30 276 33 272 9797 8667 38 254 32 269 28 282 30 274 8667 7660 31 254 28 262 27 282 28 277 7660 6768 23 246 22 256 20 269 27 282 6768 5983 16 242 18*266 16*266 25 278 5983 5289 11 256 17*274 16*268 23 268 5289 4669 8 288 17 276 16 269 22 270 4669 4117 7 302 17 278 15 270 21 278 4117 3654 7 304 17 278 15 271 19 284 3654 3297 7 305 16 279 14 272 17 285 3297 3050 6 304 15 279 13 272 14 286 3050 2900 6 303 13 279 12 273 11*286 2900 2814 5*302 10 279 8 273 6*285 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography