DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1005z - - 1334z - - 1600z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 73.4 - - 78.7 - - 81.5 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 187 - - 234 - - 105 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 259 - - 2972 - - 5156 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit 2800 - - 4300 - - 6059 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top 2817 - - 5530 - - 7714 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1082 - - 2421 - - 1878 - - 8217 - - 7989 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 347 - - 454 - - 132 - - 38 W* B/S 4 - - 16 - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 188 - - 251 - - 281 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - -11 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - 253 - - 343 - - -5662 - - -3736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3041 - - 5278 - - 7372 - - 8480 - - 6555 sfcLCL ODpotential -2584 - - -656 - - -4001 - - -6476 - - -5368 ODpotential blCL 5401 - - 6186 - - 11715 - - 9294 - - 8186 blCL maxRH 94 - - 85 - - 70 - - 68 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 340 - - 150 - - 110 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 73.4 - - 78.7 - - 81.5 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.1 - - 59.7 - - 56.0 - - 53.9 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 71.5 - - 76.7 - - 80.2 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.9 - - 58.8 - - 54.6 - - 52.6 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 187 - - 234 - - 105 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 259 - - 2972 - - 5156 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98818 31 087 35 084 28 090 26 098 26 074 98818 91253 26 083 31 083 29 086 22 094 24 080 91253 85456 21 075 24 081 28 088 22 097 20 092 85456 80688 19 076 17 084 26 093 20 099 23 092 80688 76603 17 082 19 086 20 084 18 098 24 077 76603 73011 16 090 21 086 18 084 17 085 19 077 73011 69768 16 079 18 084 18 095 14 080 15 069 69768 66790 15 081 13 086 14 087 15 083 12 074 66790 64035 14 080 12 091 7 101 9 060 11 065 64035 61362 12 075 9 078 7 113 2 276 11 012 61362 58577 2 016 4 027 3 052 4 324 8 319 58577 55699 9 316 10 330 11 316 14 300 11 319 55699 52965 25 307 26 312 27 313 20 313 20 327 52965 50524 36 306 40 297 42 314 45 332 38 345 50524 48357 43 297 43 296 50 305 59 316 63 319 48357 46401 47 306 47 309 46 311 59 308 61 315 46401 44603 64 312 57 316 51 322 54 314 63 325 44603 42938 73 310 65 318 59 327 58 329 72 330 42938 41381 72 306 68 316 57 326 66 332 77 327 41381 39916 69 303 67 314 52 322 65 329 82 327 39916 38529 67 304 61 314 47 318 57 324 80 330 38529 37187 64 306 56 314 42 318 50 320 81 333 37187 35824 62 304 49 310 38 321 41 317 55 329 35824 34418 53 305 42 301 36 324 35 318 42 317 34418 32970 43 310 34 294 35 319 36 324 31 315 32970 31467 42 307 33 297 32 311 35 321 26 325 31467 29897 34 306 32 298 31 307 32 312 28 327 29897 28263 29 312 27 294 32 310 30 313 31 325 28263 26567 26 315 24 302 30 311 28 317 29 326 26567 24808 22 324 23 318 26 320 28 326 26 324 24808 22986 23 304 22 321 21 326 27 335 25 336 22986 21097 21 294 18 309 15 322 17 318 17 338 21097 19139 17 292 15 302 13 316 12 300 12 306 19139 17153 13 319 9 324 9 316 8 305 10 305 17153 15242 10 337 6 333 6 313 8 325 8 344 15242 13502 7 333 6 349 6 323 8 339 7 008 13502 11958 6 338 8 012 5 358 4 319 9 255 11958 10584 5 018 6 029 3 354 8 248 10 253 10584 9355 5 323 1 010 6 247 8 251 6 265 9355 8255 7 283 4 254 6*244 7 258 3 289 8255 7272 7 253 5 235 6*245 6 268 2 320 7272 6398 5 226 5 228 5 248 6 274 2 345 6398 5620 4 185 5*217 5 250 6 277 2 357 5620 4918 4 137 5*196 5 252 5 279 3 002 4918 4293 5 116 4 190 5 253 5 281 3 007 4293 3769 8 141 4 187 4 255 5 281 3 009 3769 3365 10 148 4 183 4 255 5 281 3 010 3365 3085 8 145 4 183 4 256 4 281 2 012 3085 2916 6*142 3 182 4 255 4*281 2*011 2916 2818 4*141 3 181 3 256 3*281 1*018 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography