DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 69.0 - - 68.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 125 - - 23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 865 - - 2990 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 4157 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3423 - - 5548 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 957 - - 1144 - - 4112 - - 414 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 312 - - 86 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 274 - - 242 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1249 - - -242 - - -2229 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4672 - - 5790 - - 5046 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7664 - - -5299 - - -4174 - - -5937 ODpotential blCL - - - 11087 - - 10847 - - 6991 - - 8754 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 72 - - 78 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 230 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 69.0 - - 68.9 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 53.1 - - 56.2 - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 67.6 - - 68.3 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 51.9 - - 55.3 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 125 - - 23 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 865 - - 2990 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97918 17 240 19 257 22 253 21 262 97918 90594 20 234 20 238 22 258 17 247 90594 84897 19 256 18 242 21 256 17 252 84897 80133 14 249 17 238 20 234 18 254 80133 76043 11 246 15 223 15 223 15 248 76043 72447 15 249 16 236 17 256 14 258 72447 69194 12 243 16 244 23 256 18 274 69194 66212 10 269 11 239 18 240 21 270 66212 63470 19 287 12 261 14 237 21 255 63470 60824 25 277 21 270 19 263 21 251 60824 58064 28 253 29 267 27 260 28 260 58064 55208 28 248 34 257 38 257 41 261 55208 52496 35 260 41 251 46 251 48 256 52496 50063 46 258 45 247 48 250 51 255 50063 47882 50 254 47 246 50 249 56 253 47882 45897 51 255 49 247 52 250 59 252 45897 44071 52 258 46 250 54 251 59 251 44071 42380 55 263 43 261 52 245 60 250 42380 40807 57 264 49 266 43 246 57 248 40807 39338 56 258 54 261 43 256 48 247 39338 37964 49 252 52 257 48 257 44 253 37964 36647 40 252 48 255 47 256 36 258 36647 35317 36 263 43 261 43 255 27 267 35317 33944 35 271 38 266 40 258 26 279 33944 32528 37 270 32 270 36 265 27 287 32528 31058 32 272 28 275 32 272 28 289 31058 29521 25 287 30 280 32 277 28 284 29521 27918 23 300 30 280 29 281 27 282 27918 26248 22 299 25 280 25 292 26 284 26248 24512 22 294 26 285 25 303 26 289 24512 22713 23 291 26 291 25 308 25 290 22713 20849 20 290 23 291 25 308 24 292 20849 18920 19 304 21 288 26 296 24 292 18920 16962 21 307 19 284 23 287 25 290 16962 15075 21 297 18 285 18 291 25 289 15075 13354 18 278 17 280 18 297 23 289 13354 11819 17 260 18 272 19 296 20 290 11819 10450 14 257 19 269 20 290 19 297 10450 9227 13 272 19 268 21 285 18 303 9227 8135 14 286 18 267 20 276 19 299 8135 7164 14 294 18 272 16 264 18 286 7164 6307 15 300 16*278 15 259 17 275 6307 5546 16 302 15*278 15 256 16 269 5546 4862 16 298 15 276 14 250 16 263 4862 4253 15 284 14 275 14 247 17 255 4253 3742 12*264 14 274 13 245 18 248 3742 3348 9*254 13 272 12 244 17 243 3348 3077 8 252 12 271 11 243 13 239 3077 2911 7 252 11 271 10*242 9*236 2911 2817 6 250 8 270 7*242 4*234 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography