DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.3 - - 59.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 17 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3165 - - 3747 - - 272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 143 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 020 - - 018 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -7403 - - -6140 - - -2055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10219 - - 8956 - - 4871 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -16098 - - -14979 - - -13106 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18914 - - 17795 - - 15922 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 29 - - 36 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.3 - - 59.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.9 - - 30.9 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 59.5 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.7 - - 29.9 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 17 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97673 25 264 20 288 14 270 97673 90384 15 240 21 260 15 304 90384 84783 9 218 16 248 14 305 84783 80120 6 217 11 252 14 281 80120 76101 5 213 9 252 14 270 76101 72555 2 167 7 224 10 274 72555 69349 3 330 4 225 6 266 69349 66401 8 315 6 304 9 310 66401 63678 6 291 11 294 18 303 63678 61055 6 297 10 294 20 292 61055 58326 11 317 9 306 16 290 58326 55494 16 308 12 300 15 297 55494 52788 17 297 14 295 19 293 52788 50343 18 288 17 295 21 289 50343 48137 19 284 20 296 20 291 48137 46125 18 275 24 297 20 300 46125 44279 17 267 27 296 23 308 44279 42572 14 273 24 284 27 310 42572 40982 14 281 21 270 29 307 40982 39497 10 256 17 260 23 287 39497 38108 6 189 17 243 21 251 38108 36777 2 192 14 223 21 230 36777 35430 4 264 13 224 21 223 35430 34040 5 259 11 232 19 230 34040 32610 8 260 11 245 17 231 32610 31125 10 273 11 247 15 248 31125 29575 9 285 8 265 14 257 29575 27965 11 295 8 307 11 277 27965 26290 11 308 12 323 8 310 26290 24551 11 318 13 326 8 316 24551 22754 10 327 13 327 9 318 22754 20890 9 347 12 331 9 322 20890 18947 11 007 12 342 9 336 18947 16963 11 010 12 351 11 339 16963 15046 9 012 11 355 12 330 15046 13298 7 005 9 352 12 329 13298 11744 7 012 9 358 12 341 11744 10366 11 030 11 015 12 004 10366 9141 14 038 14 031 13 017 9141 8052 16 042 15 041 13 022 8052 7088 17 042 16 043 14 036 7088 6238 16 036 14 033 14 048 6238 5487 13 026 10 017 13 047 5487 4814 8 015 10 017 11 038 4814 4218 8 016 10 017 10 025 4218 3719 7 015 9 017 11 013 3719 3334 7 017 9 018 11 004 3334 3069 6 018 8 018 9 359 3069 2908 6*018 7*019 6*351 2908 2816 4*020 5*018 4*345 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography