DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 6 - - -33 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1277 - - 2155 - - 1246 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 55 - - 43 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 185 - - 185 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2501 - - -667 - - -52 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5317 - - 3483 - - 2868 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7132 - - -3036 - - -2928 - - -2130 ODpotential blCL - - - 9948 - - 5852 - - 5744 - - 4946 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.3 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 49.5 - - 52.2 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 54.9 - - 55.7 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.7 - - 49.2 - - 51.8 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 6 - - -33 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95970 35 271 42 272 47 271 44 279 95970 88980 22 267 26 279 26 280 23 282 88980 83602 14 275 20 288 17 294 13 290 83602 79117 11 272 16 274 17 302 11 300 79117 75220 6 252 11 243 16 290 13 289 75220 71754 10 300 11 217 13 265 12 271 71754 68607 12 276 12 219 13 242 10 264 68607 65710 13 266 17 243 17 247 10 251 65710 63022 17 282 19 252 24 239 19 252 63022 60428 28 270 23 263 21 237 22 230 60428 57724 31 257 33 255 30 247 26 230 57724 54897 48 266 39 254 45 249 46 248 54897 52172 64 262 53 260 59 254 58 245 52172 49707 62 258 58 259 61 254 60 247 49707 47502 58 254 59 253 58 251 63 245 47502 45512 51 244 55 243 56 245 56 242 45512 43687 43 239 48 238 54 240 49 250 43687 41997 43 248 50 254 49 241 60 255 41997 40427 64 263 62 258 57 256 67 251 40427 38960 82 258 76 249 67 253 68 247 38960 37584 82 243 84 241 71 244 68 248 37584 36264 77 229 77 229 70 235 69 249 36264 34936 74 231 75 223 67 229 70 250 34936 33570 73 235 75 226 66 229 69 251 33570 32167 64 230 75 233 65 232 68 252 32167 30711 57 228 74 234 67 233 66 252 30711 29191 55 232 72 233 68 234 64 252 29191 27606 54 235 64 230 67 237 60 249 27606 25956 51 237 62 229 63 239 58 248 25956 24240 49 237 55 233 56 238 57 248 24240 22463 48 241 50 236 48 236 54 245 22463 20625 53 248 46 240 51 243 50 243 20625 18719 59 247 40 243 52 244 48 245 18719 16781 62 241 43 241 50 247 46 246 16781 14912 59 233 44 240 51 256 44 247 14912 13210 54 228 41 234 57 259 44 249 13210 11694 45 222 40 233 59 251 47 251 11694 10342 36 221 45 234 54 239 49 249 10342 9134 30 225 51 229 45 227 51 243 9134 8058 26 220 51 222 37 221 50 236 8058 7101 25 216 51 214 35 219 47 229 7101 6255 29 216 48 203 37 215 45 225 6255 5504 32 208 45 195 39 210 41 222 5504 4828 35 195 42 192 41 201 37 217 4828 4228 36 187 34 189 39 194 33 211 4228 3725 33 182 28 186 35 190 24 206 3725 3338 27 178 24 186 29 187 17 202 3338 3071 22 177 20 186 24 186 11 196 3071 2909 19*176 16*186 19 186 7 192 2909 2816 11*175 10*185 11*185 2*173 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography