DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.7 - - 50.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 120 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2176 - - 3090 - - 5102 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 102 - - 133 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 323 - - 305 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -319 - - -1165 - - -1737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3135 - - 3981 - - 4552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -826 - - -1541 - - -2990 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3642 - - 4357 - - 5805 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 48.7 - - 50.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.6 - - 42.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 47.8 - - 49.2 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.0 - - 41.8 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - 120 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 83 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97710 15 306 16 312 18 320 97710 90395 8 265 14 284 15 316 90395 84734 8 277 15 265 13 295 84734 80019 12 261 16 262 17 277 80019 75953 13 243 16 260 13 267 75953 72352 12 228 19 265 12 277 72352 69092 15 235 20 248 23 275 69092 66118 16 253 17 246 24 245 66118 63366 25 253 19 258 18 222 63366 60672 33 246 27 267 26 260 60672 57851 45 231 43 252 44 255 57851 54916 44 251 55 258 59 264 54916 52105 80 259 85 262 81 263 52105 49591 101 257 101 257 98 262 49591 47361 117 253 110 256 110 257 47361 45356 129 248 120 253 115 255 45356 43521 130 247 124 251 120 256 43521 41825 135 251 123 252 127 259 41825 40246 139 252 126 255 136 261 40246 38773 141 252 133 257 141 262 38773 37392 142 251 137 257 144 261 37392 36063 145 251 139 256 145 260 36063 34720 148 252 138 255 143 260 34720 33332 150 251 137 255 140 260 33332 31903 145 250 136 254 137 261 31903 30423 137 248 131 253 125 261 30423 28886 127 245 122 253 104 259 28886 27294 120 243 111 252 92 258 27294 25639 115 242 104 252 88 258 25639 23918 109 243 91 254 86 260 23918 22138 102 245 82 258 81 260 22138 20298 91 247 75 259 73 258 20298 18396 75 247 65 261 66 258 18396 16469 64 241 56 259 55 262 16469 14619 60 242 53 252 47 267 14619 12945 54 249 52 247 43 271 12945 11463 43 252 45 248 39 274 11463 10146 37 252 38 251 36 279 10146 8973 35 250 35 255 29 281 8973 7931 34 249 32 263 22 290 7931 7006 27 243 27 274 20 300 7006 6185 17 238 20 288 21 303 6185 5453 10 257 16 304 21 306 5453 4793 11 318 13 309 21 308 4793 4205 12 323 13 309 20 309 4205 3712 12 324 12 308 19 309 3712 3331 11 324 11 308 16 309 3331 3068 11 324 10 306 13 308 3068 2908 9*324 9*306 10 307 2908 2815 7*323 7*305 6*306 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography