DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - 10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2905 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4126 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5463 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1723 - - 4330 - - 484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 315 - - 75 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 302 - - 317 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -684 - - -4557 - - -2491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6147 - - 7374 - - 5307 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5546 - - -9991 - - -9523 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11009 - - 12808 - - 12339 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 65 - - 50 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 67.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.0 - - 45.0 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.0 - - 67.2 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.8 - - 43.8 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - 10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2905 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98031 30 243 32 251 29 238 98031 90639 24 222 26 233 23 246 90639 84923 20 222 17 226 23 227 84923 80155 22 227 17 227 18 228 80155 76047 19 237 20 227 21 243 76047 72446 19 245 19 252 19 248 72446 69197 15 246 18 253 19 265 69197 66219 12 245 18 244 24 273 66219 63472 21 274 21 253 26 282 63472 60833 32 271 30 263 33 277 60833 58112 36 262 35 260 39 265 58112 55306 42 258 39 258 42 254 55306 52618 49 258 46 264 44 258 52618 50180 57 257 57 261 51 259 50180 47998 67 255 72 253 73 256 47998 46040 86 251 96 252 97 254 46040 44257 102 251 103 249 110 247 44257 42600 104 249 104 246 121 240 42600 41039 103 247 104 244 122 236 41039 39560 100 248 102 244 123 237 39560 38159 89 248 99 244 116 244 38159 36806 69 249 91 245 98 244 36806 35440 52 251 74 245 85 249 35440 34040 48 253 55 246 62 253 34040 32611 46 258 48 244 52 254 32611 31133 46 260 45 249 49 251 31133 29590 45 262 47 261 47 252 29590 27979 43 265 47 266 46 261 27979 26302 41 268 45 267 45 264 26302 24562 39 267 42 267 44 264 24562 22759 39 266 40 266 43 267 22759 20886 37 267 39 268 42 273 20886 18940 35 268 37 274 42 278 18940 16962 33 268 37 278 38 281 16962 15062 32 269 35 279 33 283 15062 13332 31 271 32 280 29 284 13332 11790 29 278 28 282 26 284 11790 10417 28 288 27 291 24 290 10417 9194 28 296 28 302 23 298 9194 8106 27 298 26 309 20 301 8106 7142 26 298 18 311 16 299 7142 6290 22 299 15 313 13 299 6290 5534 17*301 15 315 12 307 5534 4852 17*302 15 316 13 318 4852 4247 16 302 15 317 13 327 4247 3738 16 302 14 317 12 333 3738 3346 15 302 13 317 11 335 3346 3075 14 302 12 317 10 334 3075 2911 12 301 10*317 7 332 2911 2816 9 301 7*317 4*330 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography