DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.7 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - 32 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2138 - - 1880 - - 1832 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 92 - - 86 - - 31 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 138 - - 124 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -140 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2958 - - 2817 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -781 - - -577 - - -480 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3598 - - 3394 - - 3297 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.7 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 64.0 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.3 - - 65.9 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.1 - - 63.7 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 40 - - 32 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99341 47 081 40 080 36 086 99341 91831 36 082 32 077 33 075 91831 86045 30 082 28 079 30 068 86045 81260 28 084 26 078 26 067 81260 77152 27 082 25 078 22 073 77152 73526 27 068 24 077 22 068 73526 70242 24 067 20 073 19 062 70242 67227 19 053 18 061 17 045 67227 64446 14 038 15 051 14 061 64446 61765 12 011 19 024 18 041 61765 58990 10 348 20 354 18 003 58990 56139 17 342 17 330 16 333 56139 53435 20 331 14 318 17 319 53435 51020 25 310 19 308 25 315 51020 48865 25 288 25 312 30 317 48865 46899 25 299 31 320 32 320 46899 45083 32 313 32 319 33 319 45083 43395 35 298 30 299 35 313 43395 41815 36 286 31 277 32 302 41815 40331 33 275 33 272 33 304 40331 38929 34 275 30 274 29 302 38929 37574 30 279 26 275 24 290 37574 36197 29 284 26 279 22 277 36197 34771 27 283 28 284 24 276 34771 33299 25 280 27 280 26 275 33299 31768 25 281 23 270 28 268 31768 30166 25 275 27 256 29 262 30166 28499 26 265 28 252 30 263 28499 26765 27 257 31 255 33 265 26765 24968 23 258 35 253 35 271 24968 23114 20 264 30 253 32 276 23114 21194 21 270 25 253 31 271 21194 19205 24 273 25 253 31 271 19205 17186 26 271 28 254 29 272 17186 15247 22 265 26 251 24 271 15247 13489 20 256 21 248 19 274 13489 11927 20 251 20 248 15 267 11927 10537 22 248 18 245 14 264 10537 9298 23 237 16 249 14 249 9298 8195 20 237 13 249 13 239 8195 7214 13 238 9 241 10 230 7214 6345 9 228 7 219 7 214 6345 5574 8 206 7 184 7 191 5574 4880 8 174 10 154 8 171 4880 4265 10 151 11 143 11 160 4265 3750 9 146 11 136 11 153 3750 3353 9 144 9 131 10 150 3353 3079 8 141 8 127 8 145 3079 2913 7*139 7*126 7*143 2913 2817 5*138 5*124 4*142 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography