DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.1 - - 84.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 193 - - 65 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4872 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5740 - - 2802 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7430 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2417 - - 8280 - - 3238 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 416 - - 112 - - 25 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 349 - - 325 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 364 - - -4663 - - -2373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7066 - - 7481 - - 5191 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1594 - - -5570 - - -4640 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9024 - - 8388 - - 7458 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 75 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 410 - - 390 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.1 - - 84.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.9 - - 61.0 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.4 - - 82.9 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 60.0 - - 62.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 193 - - 65 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4872 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 23 090 11 114 10 108 99027 91671 21 098 17 104 13 074 91671 85959 24 112 18 098 16 066 85959 81203 17 115 14 083 16 062 81203 77109 16 096 12 087 14 072 77109 73486 18 087 15 109 10 093 73486 70210 16 088 14 110 9 117 70210 67209 12 105 9 103 10 116 67209 64433 11 122 7 123 6 090 64433 61755 6 102 5 131 1 340 61755 58982 4 074 3 066 1 034 58982 56153 6 049 6 011 8 008 56153 53518 6 090 5 358 8 354 53518 51168 12 068 8 046 7 049 51168 49044 17 035 14 033 14 033 49044 47098 18 030 17 033 13 041 47098 45302 14 033 11 045 11 045 45302 43632 10 032 7 051 6 056 43632 42063 7 045 6 045 5 101 42063 40580 7 040 7 038 5 087 40580 39176 8 027 8 023 5 050 39176 37818 8 012 10 004 8 011 37818 36439 9 004 10 354 12 350 36439 35013 9 355 10 349 15 336 35013 33541 8 344 9 350 15 337 33541 32011 6 339 9 355 13 347 32011 30411 6 354 11 354 13 355 30411 28742 6 002 11 345 12 354 28742 27003 9 323 13 335 11 346 27003 25199 10 302 14 330 13 345 25199 23333 13 291 14 320 16 339 23333 21400 14 286 15 313 16 329 21400 19398 12 288 11 313 18 325 19398 17365 11 288 10 317 16 330 17365 15409 7 274 9 310 13 337 15409 13635 5 265 7 284 12 332 13635 12060 5 251 5 283 13 323 12060 10661 3 274 4 032 9 341 10661 9414 8 029 5 039 7 017 9414 8299 9*020 5 038 5 026 8299 7304 9*011 5 032 4 048 7304 6421 8 002 5 012 3 073 6421 5636 8 353 5 000 3 097 5636 4929 7 346 4 349 4 122 4929 4300 7 341 4 341 5 138 4300 3773 7 337 4 334 6 142 3773 3367 6 333 4 330 6 141 3367 3086 6 332 4 328 5 138 3086 2915 6 330 4*327 4*134 2915 2818 5 329 3*325 2*128 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography