DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.8 - - 34.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 111 - - 15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1205 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 3763 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 975 - - 684 - - 1513 - - 800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 216 - - 69 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 291 - - 305 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1059 - - -711 - - -1274 - - -518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3873 - - 4474 - - 4088 - - 3333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13484 - - -10062 - - -10007 - - -9458 ODpotential blCL - - - 16298 - - 13825 - - 12821 - - 12272 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 86 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 35.8 - - 34.7 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 26.4 - - 27.0 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 34.6 - - 34.0 - - 31.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.5 - - 25.2 - - 25.9 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 111 - - 15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 1205 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 43 - - 58 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96346 3 044 2 177 6 181 7 271 96346 89192 9 319 2 224 6 340 6 335 89192 83642 11 284 8 261 14 289 16 302 83642 79048 9 283 6 279 13 277 21 286 79048 75090 22 285 15 282 19 279 22 278 75090 71572 20 271 25 270 26 284 27 271 71572 68365 18 283 27 266 27 278 32 270 68365 65408 35 279 36 254 34 269 41 272 65408 62666 42 262 39 253 46 268 50 270 62666 60020 60 270 52 270 58 265 58 266 60020 57262 78 259 70 258 71 255 67 256 57262 54390 88 254 76 250 74 247 63 255 54390 51649 92 253 82 256 73 257 78 264 51649 49195 96 251 99 257 89 264 95 263 49195 47013 106 258 111 258 116 262 108 257 47013 45048 130 260 128 258 133 261 117 255 45048 43261 141 255 139 253 138 255 126 259 43261 41627 139 255 139 250 137 256 147 260 41627 40112 144 261 138 255 150 260 157 258 40112 38683 149 261 139 260 162 260 159 257 38683 37326 147 258 143 260 158 259 162 258 37326 36011 147 255 143 258 150 257 161 260 36011 34675 150 254 141 254 147 255 155 260 34675 33294 149 255 140 254 145 255 147 257 33294 31870 142 259 137 254 140 255 143 255 31870 30390 131 259 134 252 135 253 135 254 30390 28843 129 257 130 251 134 250 132 252 28843 27228 124 254 126 249 130 251 130 251 27228 25551 116 252 123 245 126 251 126 253 25551 23825 107 252 125 247 123 249 113 254 23825 22051 100 252 121 256 116 250 100 251 22051 20216 92 254 101 265 110 255 89 252 20216 18317 86 257 85 268 97 262 72 258 18317 16392 79 262 69 268 71 270 60 264 16392 14547 70 265 58 264 53 273 50 262 14547 12875 64 264 53 259 48 264 45 251 12875 11390 60 263 51 257 49 257 44 244 11390 10068 53 262 48 256 48 254 43 245 10068 8889 46 260 42 256 44 256 40 248 8889 7841 41 259 37 259 35 259 33 252 7841 6912 36 261 31 261 26 263 22 250 6912 6095 32 264 27 262 20 267 16 235 6095 5372 29 266 23 265 15 268 15 220 5372 4724 25 268 20 270 11 269 14 207 4724 4151 20 274 15*278 7 284 10 193 4151 3673 16 280 12*289 6 301 4 149 3673 3307 11 280 11 291 6 304 5 072 3307 3055 10 279 10 291 6 305 5 064 3055 2902 9*279 9 291 5 304 4 063 2902 2814 6*276 7 291 4*305 2*061 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography