DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 51.1 - - 43.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 44 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3478 - - 4422 - - 3489 - - 2919 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 98 - - 74 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 259 - - 264 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -308 - - -641 - - -2206 - - -992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3125 - - 3457 - - 5021 - - 3807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -977 - - -1286 - - -10716 - - -1672 ODpotential blCL - - - 3793 - - 4102 - - 13531 - - 4487 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 67 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 51.1 - - 43.5 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 45.6 - - 31.4 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 50.4 - - 43.0 - - 35.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 45.0 - - 30.4 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 44 - - 14 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 99 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95839 24 267 28 302 22 276 24 292 95839 88837 17 293 23 296 19 300 17 283 88837 83453 9 263 15 272 16 293 12 292 83453 78951 6 268 11 225 15 290 12 291 78951 75039 3 246 15 184 17 253 15 283 75039 71554 4 337 10 187 14 229 16 258 71554 68378 6 219 10 209 13 233 19 242 68378 65463 15 252 17 236 20 234 21 240 65463 62755 29 227 19 254 27 235 28 246 62755 60110 39 228 35 248 38 236 48 239 60110 57339 48 236 55 242 57 238 59 234 57339 54458 68 239 72 236 70 240 66 242 54458 51701 77 235 80 234 83 242 79 244 51701 49210 79 235 82 237 95 238 88 243 49210 46977 83 237 87 241 96 238 95 242 46977 44956 88 238 94 243 99 240 96 241 44956 43112 92 238 99 242 103 240 99 241 43112 41420 98 240 105 242 105 239 105 240 41420 39858 104 240 108 243 104 240 104 241 39858 38408 107 239 110 242 106 242 112 243 38408 37054 109 236 115 240 112 242 116 240 37054 35754 112 235 116 237 113 240 108 239 35754 34440 117 236 115 236 110 237 104 241 34440 33085 118 234 113 236 103 237 104 240 33085 31689 114 233 110 236 97 237 103 239 31689 30238 106 234 108 234 93 237 102 240 30238 28725 95 232 101 230 92 238 101 245 28725 27150 84 232 95 229 92 238 100 250 27150 25514 77 234 92 231 93 237 96 252 25514 23816 73 234 86 233 93 237 92 249 23816 22058 69 231 80 236 92 241 90 243 22058 20230 64 230 76 239 86 252 91 246 20230 18331 60 230 72 239 77 257 86 254 18331 16402 57 230 68 240 69 256 78 260 16402 14545 53 233 66 244 66 253 72 262 14545 12859 50 239 66 247 64 253 67 262 12859 11364 48 245 63 250 62 254 62 260 11364 10036 44 251 60 254 61 257 59 259 10036 8855 38 260 58 256 58 259 57 260 8855 7806 37 267 50 255 53 261 55 264 7806 6883 38 264 40 255 47 262 50 268 6883 6075 37 259 37 256 41 262 41 268 6075 5363 34 256 35 257 36 263 37 273 5363 4725 31 254 33 258 34 264 35 276 4725 4157 28 252 30 258 32 264 34 278 4157 3680 25 251 28 259 30 265 32 279 3680 3312 23 251 25 260 28 265 28 279 3312 3058 20 250 22 260 24 265 24 279 3058 2903 16*251 19*260 20 265 20*279 2903 2815 11*250 12*259 13*264 12*278 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography