DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 29.2 - - 21.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 323 - - 136 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 2780 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4348 - - 3971 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5360 - - 5338 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 808 - - 1255 - - 2998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 398 - - 298 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 26 - - 27 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 270 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1505 - - -2462 - - -3646 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6865 - - 7800 - - 6460 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12403 - - -12943 - - -15334 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17763 - - 18281 - - 18148 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 50 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.5 - - 29.2 - - 21.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.3 - - 5.0 - - 3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 26.7 - - 28.2 - - 22.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.8 - - 4.7 - - 3.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 323 - - 136 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 2780 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95955 15 281 10 314 16 232 95955 88908 5 203 9 290 13 258 88908 83451 7 187 10 243 12 273 83451 78890 9 218 14 242 9 280 78890 74916 15 213 16 243 28 260 74916 71402 25 237 25 236 34 236 71402 68194 34 241 33 238 33 242 68194 65208 45 239 44 249 46 255 65208 62426 49 236 60 244 59 245 62426 59729 56 235 64 233 65 240 59729 56909 62 239 70 235 68 244 56909 53981 72 238 84 243 87 250 53981 51196 89 244 95 241 105 247 51196 48700 101 242 102 242 114 243 48700 46467 106 241 114 245 119 243 46467 44444 111 243 124 245 123 243 44444 42595 116 244 127 244 127 243 42595 40888 116 243 126 243 129 242 40888 39303 111 243 124 242 128 242 39303 37825 106 243 119 240 123 242 37825 36446 98 243 114 239 117 240 36446 35128 91 243 110 239 112 240 35128 33805 89 243 108 240 109 241 33805 32448 89 242 109 242 109 243 32448 31058 90 241 110 245 111 245 31058 29619 90 241 112 247 114 247 29619 28120 90 240 111 248 118 249 28120 26558 90 239 107 248 117 249 26558 24933 89 242 103 250 114 249 24933 23245 89 247 99 252 111 251 23245 21504 85 246 98 256 109 252 21504 19709 81 243 96 257 104 247 19709 17854 75 251 94 258 100 246 17854 15975 71 259 85 263 89 255 15975 14172 68 260 74 265 77 262 14172 12538 63 259 66 263 68 264 12538 11088 58 259 61 261 63 264 11088 9804 54 261 58 264 61 267 9804 8665 51 266 53 269 57 270 8665 7657 50 272 49 272 52 272 7657 6767 43 274 39 271 43 271 6767 5985 31*269 30*269 35 268 5985 5293 29*266 29*269 32 272 5293 4672 28 265 29 270 31 277 4672 4119 28 264 29 270 30 280 4119 3655 27 264 28 270 28 281 3655 3297 26 264 26 271 24 282 3297 3050 23 263 24 271 19 281 3050 2900 20 263 20 270 16*281 2900 2814 14 263 13 270 9*281 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography