DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.4 - - 45.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 111 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3756 - - 257 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4997 - - 2799 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6314 - - 2815 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1216 - - 3967 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 411 - - 128 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 351 - - 349 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 940 - - -2621 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5374 - - 5436 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 251 - - -3091 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6063 - - 5906 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 83 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.4 - - 45.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.9 - - 31.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 44.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.0 - - 31.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 258 - - 111 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3756 - - 257 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 55 - - 32 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97652 30 239 35 266 97652 90400 18 240 26 253 90400 84806 15 256 19 238 84806 80114 19 260 18 242 80114 76041 16 235 23 250 76041 72470 7 200 20 254 72470 69274 3 261 14 207 69274 66325 19 282 10 271 66325 63579 24 277 11 249 63579 60915 23 276 20 291 60915 58146 25 264 29 278 58146 55284 33 269 24 265 55284 52535 40 264 38 284 52535 50053 45 260 41 279 50053 47825 43 259 37 281 47825 45787 45 256 38 284 45787 43905 46 251 39 283 43905 42163 36 249 39 282 42163 40545 29 249 38 286 40545 39036 29 267 39 295 39036 37625 41 279 39 301 37625 36278 44 284 38 309 36278 34923 37 295 41 317 34923 33530 31 302 45 318 33530 32100 31 308 44 321 32100 30617 36 327 45 328 30617 29071 46 341 52 331 29071 27463 57 348 58 333 27463 25795 61 348 57 340 25795 24071 58 348 53 344 24071 22293 57 356 49 342 22293 20450 58 005 48 344 20450 18532 58 004 48 356 18532 16577 52 360 46 004 16577 14696 49 358 44 003 14696 12991 47 002 41 002 12991 11478 40 006 40 004 11478 10136 35 009 38 009 10136 8944 33 007 38 015 8944 7886 25 358 35 015 7886 6954 24*355 25 003 6954 6137 25*354 21 355 6137 5413 25 353 21 353 5413 4762 25 352 21 352 4762 4183 24 351 21 351 4183 3697 24 350 20 351 3697 3322 23 350 19 350 3322 3063 21 349 17 350 3063 2905 17 349 15 350 2905 2815 12 348 10*349 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography