DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 60.2 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 74 - - 77 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1577 - - 1562 - - 1196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 113 - - 114 - - 48 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 129 - - 126 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -393 - - -511 - - -782 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3209 - - 3327 - - 3598 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 60.2 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.9 - - 57.4 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.1 - - 59.0 - - 58.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.5 - - 56.9 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 74 - - 77 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98281 14 138 7 102 9 105 98281 90834 10 122 9 121 6 058 90834 85111 1 198 6 105 3 028 85111 80365 8 085 4 002 5 022 80365 76285 11 089 5 025 6 359 76285 72691 8 009 9 046 6 080 72691 69444 8 314 9 353 6 038 69444 66464 8 218 9 273 9 322 66464 63714 9 179 12 211 15 268 63714 61058 3 282 12 218 17 243 61058 58283 24 262 19 248 14 231 58283 55398 35 241 29 242 23 239 55398 52654 36 225 40 236 31 241 52654 50209 34 241 38 236 37 249 50209 48044 48 243 43 230 41 230 48044 46121 55 229 51 226 49 223 46121 44373 51 227 48 216 51 218 44373 42740 46 227 43 219 43 211 42740 41205 42 228 41 222 39 219 41205 39757 39 226 39 222 36 229 39757 38388 34 230 36 223 30 228 38388 37061 32 232 31 228 27 233 37061 35712 32 229 28 236 31 236 35712 34314 32 222 29 240 30 235 34314 32871 32 219 30 241 31 234 32871 31368 32 224 29 241 30 232 31368 29796 33 234 27 241 28 239 29796 28157 31 241 28 241 27 245 28157 26449 26 231 26 241 25 244 26449 24679 23 217 23 235 27 236 24679 22852 25 219 22 230 32 220 22852 20960 29 222 22 234 34 211 20960 19000 31 220 23 234 31 209 19000 17008 32 218 23 223 31 206 17008 15095 30 214 25 214 30 209 15095 13360 30 209 27 207 28 211 13360 11820 26 208 28 207 28 207 11820 10449 21 205 27 210 27 206 10449 9225 17 198 27 213 27 207 9225 8132 16 199 27 214 26 208 8132 7160 17 198 28 210 26 208 7160 6299 20 190 28 201 25 204 6299 5535 22 179 26 189 25 197 5535 4848 21 168 22 174 22 187 4848 4239 16 151 17 156 18 167 4239 3732 13 136 14 136 14 141 3732 3342 12 133 13 132 13 127 3342 3073 11 131 11 129 11 123 3073 2910 10 130 10 128 10 120 2910 2816 7*129 7*126 7*118 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography