DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 185 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2850 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 4187 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 5408 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1962 - - 1840 - - 4408 - - 223 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 336 - - 69 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 220 - - 241 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3531 - - -2622 - - -5241 - - -1957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6347 - - 8030 - - 8058 - - 4773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9616 - - -7136 - - -9479 - - -8276 ODpotential blCL - - - 12432 - - 12544 - - 12295 - - 11092 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 75 - - 58 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.3 - - 36.7 - - 35.4 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 60.4 - - 60.4 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 35.8 - - 34.6 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 185 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2850 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96664 77 250 82 247 71 258 67 253 96664 89301 44 251 55 248 53 260 46 269 89301 83685 27 260 31 242 35 262 37 266 83685 79048 22 287 21 252 25 263 29 251 79048 75059 22 290 16 279 20 274 18 255 75059 71533 22 267 21 283 23 286 15 286 71533 68338 25 267 24 274 24 268 24 291 68338 65406 34 278 27 274 27 263 31 280 65406 62681 43 270 36 265 33 270 33 270 62681 60030 44 257 43 261 40 265 35 256 60030 57266 44 258 49 259 44 260 38 256 57266 54401 47 260 53 254 50 260 45 267 54401 51660 50 259 55 253 56 256 56 271 51660 49183 54 257 60 255 61 253 66 256 49183 46968 59 258 70 253 64 250 68 246 46968 44962 59 256 72 251 65 246 63 251 44962 43129 62 253 71 250 65 247 69 259 43129 41444 63 247 67 247 66 248 74 255 41444 39889 57 247 58 245 66 251 70 249 39889 38448 52 248 49 246 60 251 67 246 38448 37105 50 248 42 256 54 248 63 245 37105 35818 45 246 37 264 46 249 59 247 35818 34516 32 243 31 271 42 254 56 249 34516 33170 18 241 29 274 40 252 54 250 33170 31784 16 228 25 271 39 249 54 252 31784 30342 13 211 20 266 40 250 54 253 30342 28835 10 227 18 264 39 252 53 252 28835 27262 9 246 16 259 38 255 52 252 27262 25626 10 265 14 246 36 257 50 249 25626 23928 12 252 18 239 34 258 46 243 23928 22172 19 241 24 239 31 257 42 245 22172 20356 23 238 27 245 28 255 38 251 20356 18475 23 243 28 248 29 256 34 256 18475 16564 25 244 28 250 30 260 31 260 16564 14726 24 244 26 249 31 262 28 263 14726 13051 24 252 24 248 30 260 27 262 13051 11559 22 260 23 251 29 254 26 259 11559 10229 20 264 22 253 27 248 24 253 10229 9043 18 261 22 252 24 243 24 246 9043 7987 16 251 20 248 23 238 23 243 7987 7048 14 233 18 238 21 231 23 242 7048 6215 14 209 15 226 18 230 24 242 6215 5475 15 192 12*219 16 232 24 242 5475 4809 13 187 11*218 14 235 24 241 4809 4216 10 190 11 219 13 238 22 239 4216 3719 8 206 10 220 13 240 20 239 3719 3335 6 217 9 222 12 241 17 239 3335 3069 5 220 9 222 11 241 13 237 3069 2908 4*221 8 223 9*241 9*235 2908 2816 3*223 6 222 6*241 4*234 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography