DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.5 - - 87.4 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 73 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3287 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4546 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5845 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2030 - - 6444 - - 2079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 363 - - 121 - - 45 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 321 - - 313 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1306 - - -5341 - - -2858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7151 - - 8160 - - 5677 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5841 - - -8277 - - -7156 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11686 - - 11095 - - 9974 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 48 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1400 - - 1110 - - 1560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.5 - - 87.4 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.7 - - 61.3 - - 65.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.9 - - 86.4 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.4 - - 60.0 - - 64.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 73 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3287 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99285 27 094 19 083 26 057 99285 91760 30 084 25 092 27 084 91760 85960 30 092 23 085 29 087 85960 81160 29 100 19 081 22 082 81160 77037 26 088 17 091 15 073 77037 73390 20 081 21 096 15 060 73390 70086 14 083 22 096 15 077 70086 67073 10 089 16 075 17 097 67073 64314 8 079 12 039 17 087 64314 61653 12 083 10 039 10 061 61653 58889 14 079 10 074 6 096 58889 56048 5 110 8 078 5 084 56048 53370 17 137 10 125 16 142 53370 50987 23 117 20 139 22 133 50987 48853 28 119 29 146 23 143 48853 46906 34 126 28 135 25 148 46906 45112 39 115 27 129 28 133 45112 43441 31 112 26 132 30 129 43441 41870 29 131 25 133 28 140 41870 40388 29 137 24 134 28 148 40388 38987 28 134 26 146 27 150 38987 37634 27 136 28 155 24 150 37634 36260 27 141 27 157 22 156 36260 34837 27 147 27 157 21 160 34837 33369 21 152 21 158 20 153 33369 31846 18 126 13 149 15 147 31846 30255 19 114 11 140 10 137 30255 28597 15 113 9 142 5 140 28597 26875 11 097 9 151 3 211 26875 25096 9 096 7 161 2 207 25096 23257 5 075 2 137 2 006 23257 21354 5 078 4 004 3 003 21354 19378 9 342 14 345 8 001 19378 17370 15 322 15 336 13 359 17370 15439 12 339 12 002 12 011 15439 13679 15 012 20 025 16 026 13679 12106 18 019 24 020 21 029 12106 10701 17 020 20 019 20 033 10701 9445 14 017 13 022 15 031 9445 8323 13 008 9 021 10 029 8323 7323 10 357 8 017 8 026 7323 6437 8*344 7 360 8 018 6437 5648 8*331 7 342 8 000 5648 4939 8 325 7 331 9 342 4939 4309 8 322 7 324 10 332 4309 3779 7 318 7 320 10 330 3779 3371 7 315 7 318 10 330 3371 3089 7 314 6 316 9 328 3089 2917 6 313 6 314 7 326 2917 2818 5 312 5*313 4*323 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography