DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.6 - - 20.6 - - 26.0 - - 29.0 - - 21.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 89 - - 35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 255 - - 1195 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top 2813 - - 2813 - - 3753 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1359 - - 1618 - - 579 - - 1371 - - 116 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 98 - - 198 - - 87 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 273 - - 264 - - 256 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 741 - - -331 - - -205 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2813 - - 2813 - - 3012 - - 3146 - - 3019 sfcLCL ODpotential -610 - - -167 - - 143 - - -788 - - -11604 ODpotential blCL 3423 - - 2980 - - 3610 - - 3602 - - 14418 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.6 - - 20.6 - - 26.0 - - 29.0 - - 21.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.5 - - 19.2 - - 23.0 - - 25.4 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.4 - - 19.8 - - 25.0 - - 28.2 - - 25.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.9 - - 19.5 - - 22.0 - - 24.8 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 89 - - 35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 255 - - 255 - - 1195 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 100 - - 89 - - 69 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96272 25 260 28 283 20 275 19 265 22 251 96272 89118 21 278 20 267 20 278 17 254 20 255 89118 83555 16 258 19 230 12 245 16 231 17 254 83555 78928 13 266 20 231 18 255 20 261 20 267 78928 74935 15 259 12 223 19 241 26 243 23 250 74935 71390 23 262 8 269 11 222 19 217 21 241 71390 68157 36 268 32 277 31 280 22 268 22 269 68157 65174 29 254 34 254 38 269 36 267 31 277 65174 62410 20 238 27 235 35 259 41 260 42 268 62410 59745 34 267 28 253 38 251 44 261 49 260 59745 56980 47 272 44 273 45 257 49 264 53 261 56980 54106 62 279 58 278 57 267 55 269 60 263 54106 51354 74 278 70 280 67 274 68 274 67 263 51354 48873 76 276 83 277 80 274 81 272 71 263 48873 46647 77 276 88 274 87 272 84 269 73 264 46647 44622 82 277 91 274 86 272 80 269 77 266 44622 42769 89 274 92 273 83 274 78 271 75 265 42769 41069 88 273 89 273 81 276 79 273 75 269 41069 39516 87 279 86 275 83 277 84 277 83 270 39516 38091 92 284 85 276 84 277 91 279 86 268 38091 36765 95 287 85 279 85 277 94 278 80 270 36765 35489 97 290 85 281 84 279 90 278 80 272 35489 34195 97 292 85 282 81 280 85 282 83 273 34195 32854 96 292 83 281 79 283 80 281 80 272 32854 31470 97 291 81 281 78 284 79 279 73 273 31470 30033 98 289 81 281 77 285 75 277 71 275 30033 28532 101 290 81 280 76 286 71 280 70 277 28532 26970 101 294 81 279 75 285 71 284 67 277 26970 25348 87 292 79 282 72 281 69 285 63 274 25348 23663 77 289 78 286 68 282 65 284 61 274 23663 21922 74 290 71 287 61 286 59 282 58 277 21922 20119 68 291 60 289 54 290 52 284 54 277 20119 18246 59 292 54 289 49 290 46 283 50 276 18246 16343 53 294 51 290 44 289 44 283 44 274 16343 14513 51 298 42 293 38 290 40 284 38 272 14513 12848 48 302 33 302 35 290 36 284 33 275 12848 11366 45 304 30 311 32 287 33 285 31 279 11366 10048 43 303 30 312 31 287 32 288 32 281 10048 8876 42 299 33 308 30 294 30 291 31 280 8876 7836 42 296 35 302 29 303 27 293 29 277 7836 6915 42 296 36 299 30 309 24 297 24 272 6915 6101 41 297 35 299 30 310 22 301 19 266 6101 5379 37 295 30 297 27 309 20 303 15 262 5379 4730 32 289 24 288 21 298 17 291 12 259 4730 4154 28 284 20 279 14*271 13 264 12 245 4154 3674 25 281 18 277 13*265 12 257 14 230 3674 3307 22 280 16 275 12 264 11 257 13 226 3307 3054 19 279 14 274 11 263 11 256 10 224 3054 2901 16 278 11 273 10 263 9*256 7*223 2901 2814 9*277 8*273 7 262 6*256 4*228 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography