DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 40.9 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 73 - - 24 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2058 - - 1853 - - 2466 - - 3554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 110 - - 78 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 285 - - 285 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2951 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -622 - - 0 - - -495 - - -1244 ODpotential blCL - - - 3437 - - 2815 - - 3310 - - 4059 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 40.9 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 40.1 - - 37.9 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 39.9 - - 39.4 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 39.9 - - 37.7 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 73 - - 24 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96316 53 246 72 242 71 252 76 251 96316 89039 43 261 46 253 48 256 44 261 89039 83545 33 263 29 256 30 247 27 251 83545 78948 25 266 22 259 24 255 23 245 78948 74953 20 281 21 260 26 266 26 261 74953 71439 15 277 14 259 16 267 15 261 71439 68241 16 273 11 262 8 287 10 295 68241 65258 28 279 30 277 25 277 23 279 65258 62486 32 272 32 262 34 262 36 272 62486 59810 25 267 23 265 33 265 43 264 59810 57015 32 268 34 270 42 260 36 249 57015 54084 48 261 48 258 40 246 36 257 54084 51257 56 250 46 247 41 257 49 258 51257 48699 51 248 45 249 54 262 59 256 48699 46403 57 258 55 259 64 260 66 257 46403 44327 69 256 68 257 67 255 73 259 44327 42438 73 249 72 250 65 254 78 257 42438 40703 70 243 68 248 67 255 77 255 40703 39095 63 247 64 251 70 255 73 255 39095 37599 63 254 66 253 73 253 70 257 37599 36207 67 250 69 253 72 252 68 256 36207 34883 74 248 70 253 71 251 65 253 34883 33559 76 248 72 252 67 251 61 253 33559 32211 76 249 71 251 61 251 59 255 32211 30839 69 249 63 249 57 252 59 255 30839 29427 57 250 55 248 52 253 56 252 29427 27959 54 254 44 240 45 251 51 250 27959 26434 48 252 35 237 44 248 46 249 26434 24852 39 252 34 242 43 246 40 250 24852 23213 33 258 33 241 39 243 35 244 23213 21521 31 265 31 237 35 243 35 241 21521 19767 31 270 27 237 32 247 35 245 19767 17949 32 271 25 250 30 248 34 251 17949 16101 34 271 30 267 26 246 30 259 16101 14320 35 269 31 281 24 254 29 265 14320 12696 36 270 31 283 27 260 28 270 12696 11247 38 265 35 276 28 276 27 288 11247 9959 39 259 38 278 28 293 31 302 9959 8815 33 271 36 286 28 303 33 306 8815 7799 32 283 35 291 31 308 34 308 7799 6896 34 283 33 293 34 304 36 306 6896 6095 34 281 31 295 35 298 38 303 6095 5383 33 279 30 294 34 296 37 301 5383 4741 31 275 29 292 33 294 34 300 4741 4169 29 272 27 291 30 292 32 298 4169 3688 25 269 24 289 27 290 28 296 3688 3317 22 267 20 288 23 288 23 294 3317 3060 19 266 17 287 19 287 19 292 3060 2904 16 266 14*286 16*286 16*291 2904 2815 10*265 10*285 10*285 10*289 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography