DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 209 - - 52 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2933 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3796 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 847 - - 3300 - - 3522 - - 658 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 238 - - 157 - - 100 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 133 - - 118 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -331 - - -3542 - - -3282 - - -597 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4127 - - 6358 - - 6098 - - 3413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7632 - - -8699 - - -8512 - - -8242 ODpotential blCL - - - 11428 - - 11515 - - 11328 - - 11058 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 69 - - 70 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 40.3 - - 41.5 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 56.0 - - 57.0 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 39.4 - - 40.7 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 209 - - 52 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97386 22 251 25 248 35 272 26 242 97386 90076 9 306 12 245 18 260 13 282 90076 84479 3 018 6 268 10 218 10 308 84479 79859 1 041 2 325 7 153 3 251 79859 75889 4 099 2 025 6 070 3 127 75889 72383 5 106 4 088 6 029 7 063 72383 69214 1 139 5 118 4 001 9 039 69214 66310 6 062 5 141 3 266 8 004 66310 63630 8 010 2 111 4 219 9 304 63630 61042 7 000 5 125 6 211 9 245 61042 58332 15 327 12 341 3 343 12 304 58332 55517 13 310 18 314 18 298 26 280 55517 52845 3 339 17 339 14 305 16 285 52845 50435 24 356 22 348 18 333 14 318 50435 48263 35 331 30 328 25 328 21 317 48263 46283 38 328 31 327 31 325 28 317 46283 44459 36 332 34 332 35 324 35 315 44459 42763 31 340 36 333 37 321 36 309 42763 41178 33 348 38 334 37 323 34 314 41178 39685 36 353 42 341 38 335 36 322 39685 38281 39 358 49 345 45 344 41 329 38281 36937 44 004 57 345 53 345 46 335 36937 35586 52 004 59 344 58 344 48 339 35586 34193 54 360 57 344 56 344 47 339 34193 32756 48 354 55 351 52 343 45 338 32756 31257 45 359 52 355 50 342 43 341 31257 29687 45 003 51 354 46 343 43 340 29687 28048 46 360 50 355 45 349 38 346 28048 26345 53 358 52 354 47 351 38 352 26345 24581 53 005 54 357 46 355 38 355 24581 22755 45 008 49 001 42 360 36 359 22755 20859 38 001 42 006 40 002 36 003 20859 18892 34 003 34 013 32 008 32 009 18892 16898 24 011 22 012 21 007 23 009 16898 14990 12 029 15 010 15 005 17 006 14990 13260 9 042 9 013 11 012 12 017 13260 11722 7 031 8 017 9 024 9 038 11722 10353 8 033 8 026 8 030 8 050 10353 9131 9 042 7 037 7 030 7 059 9131 8044 8 038 6 046 6 028 8 060 8044 7081 5 036 4 052 4 020 6 051 7081 6232 3 093 3 147 2 124 3 045 6232 5483 7 131 6 148 5 127 3 097 5483 4811 12 133 6 145 6 125 7 118 4811 4216 12*129 6 142 6 122 10 128 4216 3718 10*125 6 139 6 120 13 133 3718 3334 9 121 6 136 7 120 13 134 3334 3069 8 119 6 135 6 120 12 133 3069 2908 7 119 6*133 6*119 8*128 2908 2816 6 119 5*133 5*118 3*119 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography