DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.9 - - 60.8 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 57 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2590 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4069 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5148 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 788 - - 3453 - - 2376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 108 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 325 - - 323 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -443 - - -2998 - - -902 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5592 - - 5814 - - 3718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7553 - - -9388 - - -8873 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12701 - - 12204 - - 11689 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 69 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.9 - - 60.8 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.0 - - 45.0 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.2 - - 59.9 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.8 - - 43.9 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 57 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2590 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98337 2 052 7 276 4 282 98337 90955 4 138 3 353 6 292 90955 85228 2 069 4 024 5 334 85228 80484 2 096 3 291 6 001 80484 76418 0 303 3 230 1 052 76418 72842 7 178 3 248 4 088 72842 69617 6 146 6 195 2 056 69617 66648 8 142 3 208 4 036 66648 63882 8 054 7 183 4 331 63882 61206 7 355 5 090 2 222 61206 58418 3 259 5 330 0 178 58418 55526 4 230 8 242 6 282 55526 52771 6 236 10 252 9 267 52771 50292 6 222 12 246 13 272 50292 48069 6 296 12 237 15 261 48069 46045 16 297 10 267 14 240 46045 44179 22 278 15 283 13 257 44179 42456 24 272 20 287 13 299 42456 40861 26 282 27 291 19 304 40861 39376 28 290 28 289 17 310 39376 37990 26 296 21 294 16 326 37990 36668 16 283 13 297 16 318 36668 35335 2 177 3 271 6 305 35335 33954 5 067 3 069 2 334 33954 32529 4 047 4 014 6 341 32529 31045 2 259 5 328 10 345 31045 29491 3 311 4 336 10 340 29491 27867 4 330 5 335 8 327 27867 26174 6 301 7 333 10 315 26174 24417 7 298 11 338 13 311 24417 22602 7 286 12 348 14 316 22602 20728 7 325 12 003 13 314 20728 18789 12 357 11 356 10 325 18789 16824 15 343 15 343 12 341 16824 14935 17 338 19 336 17 352 14935 13218 18 340 21 331 21 352 13218 11690 18 340 19 329 22 351 11690 10330 17 340 17 338 20 351 10330 9118 16 347 16 356 18 357 9118 8038 18 357 21 005 20 004 8038 7080 25 357 26 356 23 356 7080 6236 26 352 25 342 25 343 6236 5490 20*337 23 331 25 336 5490 4820 18*328 22 330 25 335 4820 4225 18 326 22 328 24 334 4225 3724 17 325 21 327 21 333 3724 3338 17 324 19 326 17 330 3338 3071 15 323 17 326 12 324 3071 2909 13 323 15 325 9*316 2909 2816 10 321 10*323 4*301 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography