DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 94 - - 6 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2657 - - 4106 - - 4846 - - 2702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 127 - - 62 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 275 - - 291 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1951 - - -3729 - - -2831 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4767 - - 6546 - - 5648 - - 3630 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7506 - - -8180 - - -3800 - - -2386 ODpotential blCL - - - 10322 - - 10996 - - 6616 - - 5202 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 63 - - 85 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 59.7 - - 58.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.3 - - 40.8 - - 43.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 58.7 - - 58.2 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 39.6 - - 42.3 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 94 - - 6 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96526 84 247 94 254 84 251 84 250 96526 89238 46 254 53 252 53 262 51 254 89238 83703 22 263 27 252 34 264 35 263 83703 79163 16 295 17 253 22 259 23 270 79163 75249 14 286 15 272 16 256 17 267 75249 71780 11 251 16 268 15 268 15 262 71780 68645 6 266 13 246 19 271 16 278 68645 65749 12 292 9 255 19 254 25 277 65749 63043 20 283 14 271 21 248 29 264 63043 60419 22 276 17 262 20 243 31 252 60419 57690 21 262 23 258 21 253 30 250 57690 54861 37 260 37 267 35 271 37 261 54861 52155 53 255 55 261 52 262 49 257 52155 49706 62 250 65 256 58 258 53 255 49706 47499 65 242 70 249 68 257 65 260 47499 45490 63 244 75 244 75 251 73 256 45490 43645 67 251 76 247 77 248 73 250 43645 41939 80 254 82 251 80 249 75 248 41939 40352 89 251 90 249 86 250 84 251 40352 38869 92 251 95 247 90 249 91 250 38869 37476 96 251 97 248 91 248 91 248 37476 36137 98 247 97 247 91 248 85 246 36137 34788 95 245 96 246 92 247 82 244 34788 33403 89 246 94 245 91 246 82 244 33403 31983 78 244 89 243 90 243 80 247 31983 30516 69 240 80 239 89 241 74 251 30516 28990 70 238 78 234 90 239 62 249 28990 27407 70 234 80 233 84 239 52 251 27407 25761 69 231 75 231 68 237 49 253 25761 24055 68 227 70 227 62 235 46 253 24055 22291 68 227 66 225 58 234 42 252 22291 20464 64 225 64 224 54 237 37 251 20464 18564 61 221 63 223 45 242 35 255 18564 16632 60 218 58 225 38 245 29 268 16632 14769 55 217 46 229 35 245 25 279 14769 13071 47 217 35 235 31 251 23 280 13071 11561 40 222 30 237 28 259 22 274 11561 10219 33 235 28 245 26 264 23 272 10219 9025 28 249 27 256 25 264 26 270 9025 7964 26 259 27 265 21 268 24 261 7964 7024 25 267 25 275 18 276 22 250 7024 6193 25 276 21 281 18 281 19 262 6193 5457 23 283 18 280 18 287 19 291 5457 4794 19 286 17 278 18 289 21 309 4794 4206 17 284 16 277 18 290 21 313 4206 3712 13 280 15 277 17 291 20 314 3712 3331 10 275 15 276 16 291 18 314 3331 3068 10 274 13 275 14 291 14 312 3068 2908 8*273 12 275 12 291 11*311 2908 2816 6*272 8*275 8*291 6*309 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography