DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.6 - - 28.0 - - 27.6 - - 21.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 308 - - 93 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 3165 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2797 - - 4603 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2814 - - 5723 - - 2814 - - 2813 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3952 - - 1156 - - 4145 - - 2760 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 407 - - 118 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 294 - - 299 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2140 - - -75 - - -3127 - - -1933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4954 - - 5799 - - 5941 - - 4746 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2294 - - -12843 - - -3848 - - -16188 ODpotential blCL - - - 5108 - - 18566 - - 6662 - - 19001 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 80 - - 82 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.6 - - 28.0 - - 27.6 - - 21.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.1 - - 12.7 - - 11.8 - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 26.2 - - 26.6 - - 22.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 12.5 - - 11.7 - - 11.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 308 - - 93 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 256 - - 3165 - - 256 - - 255 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 20 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95899 16 289 10 271 16 276 18 264 95899 88864 6 268 10 247 17 287 10 295 88864 83412 2 170 6 225 15 268 16 289 83412 78855 13 272 11 250 13 258 12 263 78855 74891 6 251 15 247 14 279 20 280 74891 71376 10 261 16 242 20 239 19 265 71376 68175 15 265 18 260 19 260 24 264 68175 65212 20 256 27 253 32 266 29 264 65212 62463 21 242 30 240 35 254 32 260 62463 59793 29 255 31 245 34 246 35 257 59793 56987 48 261 42 262 38 259 44 262 56987 54070 59 264 51 268 53 266 59 267 54070 51303 64 269 66 271 66 263 67 267 51303 48827 72 266 80 268 66 266 68 267 48827 46612 76 263 82 268 71 267 72 267 46612 44610 78 264 82 267 79 264 76 264 44610 42788 77 264 81 268 83 263 75 263 42788 41121 72 267 82 269 84 265 76 266 41121 39585 74 272 86 270 87 267 83 268 39585 38155 80 271 86 269 91 268 89 267 38155 36817 83 269 83 270 96 269 92 267 36817 35530 83 266 79 272 101 270 96 269 35530 34228 82 265 78 274 101 271 98 270 34228 32881 81 268 79 274 97 272 97 271 32881 31489 83 273 80 274 92 272 94 271 31489 30042 85 276 80 272 85 273 91 271 30042 28529 83 275 78 270 79 274 84 271 28529 26953 83 275 74 267 75 276 76 272 26953 25313 85 274 70 266 74 278 70 275 25313 23610 88 277 69 270 74 279 67 279 23610 21845 88 282 67 277 74 280 65 282 21845 20016 84 287 67 282 74 282 64 283 20016 18116 82 288 66 287 70 284 63 284 18116 16186 81 288 66 291 63 286 60 287 16186 14332 75 289 64 293 59 289 56 291 14332 12652 64 291 59 293 56 291 53 296 12652 11167 54 293 51 294 51 294 48 299 11167 9859 49 294 45 296 45 297 42 302 9859 8704 48 295 42 297 41 301 37 308 8704 7684 48 294 38 299 32 300 34 310 7684 6786 35 292 27 297 22 298 28 304 6786 5998 32 291 22*294 21 298 24 298 5998 5302 32 292 22*294 21 299 22 298 5302 4678 31 292 22 295 21 299 22 300 4678 4123 29 292 21 295 21 300 21 300 4123 3657 28 292 21 294 20 300 19 299 3657 3298 26 292 20 295 19 300 16 297 3298 3051 23 292 18 294 17 300 12 292 3051 2900 20*292 16 294 15 300 9 289 2900 2813 13*291 11 293 10*299 5*284 2813 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography