DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 161 - - 16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2527 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3905 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 5085 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1550 - - 1009 - - 3566 - - 523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 311 - - 73 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 310 - - 318 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3012 - - -2808 - - -5441 - - -2064 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5829 - - 7894 - - 8259 - - 4881 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12604 - - -11009 - - -13200 - - -11826 ODpotential blCL - - - 15420 - - 16094 - - 16017 - - 14642 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 60 - - 65 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 39.3 - - 37.6 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 62.1 - - 63.2 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 38.2 - - 36.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 161 - - 16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2527 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97158 32 250 39 255 34 266 32 260 97158 89940 14 277 18 254 23 266 19 271 89940 84346 4 273 13 237 18 244 14 272 84346 79707 4 108 11 228 15 240 11 279 79707 75731 9 096 14 208 14 231 15 279 75731 72237 7 028 10 173 9 201 15 250 72237 69078 13 297 2 193 3 207 9 221 69078 66174 14 261 4 269 5 269 3 251 66174 63487 12 228 9 240 12 260 9 302 63487 60898 14 231 20 248 22 260 18 271 60898 58208 11 238 20 244 20 242 20 248 58208 55425 16 277 19 251 25 254 26 254 55425 52773 24 273 28 244 30 245 31 244 52773 50368 27 261 27 237 25 247 27 247 50368 48190 27 255 26 252 27 255 26 263 48190 46192 30 260 32 258 29 264 31 276 46192 44344 35 260 37 262 42 275 42 266 44344 42647 31 281 41 273 44 274 42 256 42647 41097 32 304 41 295 38 285 21 256 41097 39655 32 320 39 307 35 291 25 267 39655 38290 34 325 35 309 26 291 38 270 38290 36969 36 328 28 310 27 287 34 276 36969 35629 40 336 21 304 27 281 29 285 35629 34240 34 331 20 285 27 275 34 288 34240 32804 25 324 22 293 26 278 32 281 32804 31310 21 326 31 298 30 289 28 271 31310 29748 24 326 35 301 32 299 26 278 29748 28123 27 328 32 309 30 304 26 286 28123 26433 29 334 27 317 25 303 27 287 26433 24678 28 341 26 324 24 305 24 287 24678 22858 23 349 25 327 20 315 17 287 22858 20968 19 352 19 337 15 319 11 280 20968 19001 16 348 13 351 9 323 10 274 19001 17004 15 349 12 346 9 340 7 287 17004 15084 15 004 14 354 12 356 6 339 15084 13338 14 012 15 010 13 011 10 011 13338 11782 11 002 13 014 11 018 10 018 11782 10398 7 356 10 360 10 007 9 011 10398 9171 6 007 9 346 9 348 8 354 9171 8081 8 013 8 347 10 343 8 345 8081 7116 9 012 8 352 10 342 8 351 7116 6263 9 005 9 343 9 329 8 353 6263 5507 10 352 8*324 9 323 7 348 5507 4830 12 338 8*318 9 321 7 343 4830 4229 12 323 8 313 9 321 8 346 4229 3726 11 314 7 310 9 320 10 350 3726 3339 7 300 7 306 8 319 10 353 3339 3072 7 297 6 305 8 319 9 354 3072 2909 6*295 6 303 7*319 6*355 2909 2816 5*292 5 301 5*318 4*353 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography