DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 70.7 - - 68.9 - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 35 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3203 - - 3194 - - 2178 - - 3089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 90 - - 73 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 251 - - 245 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1560 - - 0 - - 0 - - -92 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4377 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2910 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2318 - - -757 - - -499 - - -1086 ODpotential blCL - - - 5135 - - 3574 - - 3316 - - 3903 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 910 - - 670 - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 70.7 - - 68.9 - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.7 - - 67.3 - - 67.0 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 69.8 - - 68.3 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 67.0 - - 66.8 - - 65.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 35 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99184 45 091 30 086 38 072 34 086 99184 91686 32 079 30 082 31 073 34 073 91686 85928 25 070 29 082 22 079 28 069 85928 81168 18 071 22 078 17 086 18 062 81168 77080 16 084 16 085 14 086 13 070 77080 73455 17 085 17 101 12 088 12 071 73455 70155 17 060 15 086 12 079 11 082 70155 67127 11 038 13 076 13 061 12 073 67127 64334 10 030 12 033 8 063 7 017 64334 61664 6 015 9 012 4 041 5 314 61664 58909 11 343 17 333 8 351 8 331 58909 56060 15 285 19 295 24 309 17 303 56060 53357 18 258 22 266 29 291 27 301 53357 50938 16 279 23 273 32 286 30 276 50938 48769 27 294 26 277 32 274 29 266 48769 46793 31 276 27 265 32 268 36 272 46793 44975 26 270 30 269 38 267 42 276 44975 43284 29 285 39 278 42 265 46 276 43284 41698 35 285 34 265 43 252 46 269 41698 40206 36 276 35 257 44 253 47 264 40206 38796 35 269 35 260 41 259 48 260 38796 37433 31 263 33 260 39 256 48 261 37433 36050 28 249 31 257 35 248 46 262 36050 34623 28 252 30 239 31 238 46 253 34623 33157 20 266 32 240 32 234 46 245 33157 31636 14 271 32 243 31 234 45 243 31636 30048 17 283 30 253 28 246 43 250 30048 28396 24 280 31 266 24 252 36 256 28396 26680 28 272 32 272 23 259 33 261 26680 24899 29 267 32 273 21 265 34 267 24899 23056 30 267 30 276 26 273 34 265 23056 21147 31 269 27 279 29 278 33 264 21147 19166 31 269 25 280 30 278 31 271 19166 17158 26 267 26 283 35 282 32 284 17158 15231 25 269 29 283 36 287 35 287 15231 13481 26 276 32 281 31 292 34 288 13481 11924 25 282 32 276 27 292 29 289 11924 10538 24 288 32 275 25 287 25 293 10538 9301 22 291 30 276 24 283 24 298 9301 8199 19 292 27 274 25 278 23 301 8199 7217 15 291 20 270 26 273 22 302 7217 6348 10 294 15 260 27 268 20 302 6348 5578 7 296 14 254 26 264 18 303 5578 4886 7 294 13 252 25 262 17 305 4886 4271 6 291 13 253 23 260 16 305 4271 3754 6 286 11 252 19 255 14 306 3754 3356 5 283 9 251 16 250 12 306 3356 3081 5 280 8 251 13 248 10 305 3081 2913 4 278 7 250 11 247 8*305 2913 2817 4*277 5*251 7*245 5*303 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography