DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.9 - - 30.3 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 56 - - 84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2797 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1751 - - 1571 - - 2059 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 99 - - 101 - - 116 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 294 - - 299 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -223 - - 0 - - -161 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3037 - - 2814 - - 2975 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.9 - - 30.3 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.7 - - 30.0 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.2 - - 29.6 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.1 - - 29.9 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 56 - - 84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 11 278 9 047 4 039 96218 89094 5 233 4 308 5 321 89094 83579 7 358 3 096 4 310 83579 78985 9 349 3 029 5 043 78985 75012 12 008 2 304 7 313 75012 71499 13 317 13 304 7 281 71499 68297 13 259 27 254 17 261 68297 65352 23 267 29 256 22 266 65352 62620 38 263 33 248 29 271 62620 59972 45 257 42 264 45 264 59972 57207 52 253 54 256 51 252 57207 54316 59 255 57 253 54 254 54316 51543 73 257 64 255 63 259 51543 49055 87 253 74 257 73 263 49055 46847 91 248 87 253 83 257 46847 44859 88 244 90 246 84 253 44859 43036 84 246 87 248 89 257 43036 41350 91 250 100 249 99 253 41350 39782 97 249 108 246 101 250 39782 38313 96 246 108 244 103 248 38313 36929 95 242 105 246 104 246 36929 35596 97 239 94 246 89 244 35596 34253 97 237 90 244 76 247 34253 32874 96 236 91 242 75 258 32874 31466 94 236 92 240 80 259 31466 30016 94 234 87 238 83 257 30016 28510 95 232 78 241 79 254 28510 26947 95 228 78 250 71 257 26947 25323 90 224 77 252 66 264 25323 23641 87 223 72 248 63 273 23641 21900 84 223 67 244 61 282 21900 20097 79 224 61 245 59 284 20097 18230 74 227 58 247 54 282 18230 16331 66 232 57 252 50 280 16331 14497 62 238 55 257 47 280 14497 12822 62 243 51 261 44 280 12822 11329 60 246 47 264 42 277 11329 10001 57 246 46 266 40 274 10001 8821 54 247 46 267 40 272 8821 7773 49 252 43 269 38 275 7773 6847 41 255 37 273 35 284 6847 6034 34 257 33 279 34 297 6034 5323 28 262 31 285 33 305 5323 4691 21 278 27 295 30 306 4691 4133 18 293 24 300 28 305 4133 3664 18 295 23 301 25 304 3664 3303 16 296 20 301 23 303 3303 3053 15 296 17 301 20 302 3053 2901 13 296 14 300 17*302 2901 2814 9*294 10*299 11*300 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography