DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.1 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 205 - - 23 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3552 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 4744 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 6110 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2287 - - 1403 - - 4777 - - 377 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 373 - - 77 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 24 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 223 - - 234 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3602 - - -1831 - - -4241 - - -1207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6418 - - 7942 - - 7058 - - 4023 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8679 - - -5762 - - -7599 - - -4313 ODpotential blCL - - - 11495 - - 11872 - - 10415 - - 7129 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 73 - - 64 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.1 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.1 - - 40.2 - - 41.8 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 63.9 - - 62.6 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 39.8 - - 41.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 205 - - 23 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 3552 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96804 16 251 24 272 20 284 19 268 96804 89533 10 258 19 264 19 268 19 281 89533 83935 15 272 18 259 20 250 17 289 83935 79296 21 260 19 251 25 264 18 274 79296 75305 19 259 18 253 24 277 20 259 75305 71777 20 275 14 262 19 271 18 273 71777 68567 24 271 16 261 16 272 15 266 68567 65609 25 254 19 258 20 277 20 261 65609 62880 27 264 24 258 24 265 22 249 62880 60233 32 260 26 252 27 247 27 251 60233 57460 38 260 33 251 39 244 37 260 57460 54597 49 256 51 252 48 249 51 255 54597 51880 55 254 60 251 58 253 61 258 51880 49437 57 254 59 253 65 257 72 259 49437 47237 63 260 63 250 73 250 79 248 47237 45235 65 260 68 250 69 247 75 239 45235 43388 65 257 71 253 66 252 67 245 43388 41675 63 252 77 253 78 250 82 249 41675 40095 64 259 78 246 84 242 92 244 40095 38630 70 257 76 239 82 239 94 238 38630 37266 67 253 74 237 82 238 91 233 37266 35962 64 254 75 239 83 234 89 230 35962 34650 63 256 75 238 81 232 88 227 34650 33297 61 256 75 236 80 234 86 228 33297 31904 59 254 74 236 81 236 83 229 31904 30457 57 250 72 239 80 236 80 230 30457 28944 57 249 70 241 75 234 79 231 28944 27365 55 256 66 243 71 232 77 233 27365 25722 55 264 63 244 71 233 76 235 25722 24016 53 266 60 244 70 236 73 238 24016 22251 50 261 58 243 64 241 68 240 22251 20425 47 253 57 242 54 245 61 241 20425 18534 43 240 54 242 47 246 55 233 18534 16618 41 234 52 242 48 249 49 238 16618 14777 35 233 47 242 50 249 45 252 14777 13103 31 234 44 240 49 247 43 259 13103 11609 30 234 41 237 46 248 40 257 11609 10275 31 234 40 234 43 249 37 255 10275 9084 35 233 40 232 42 246 34 253 9084 8022 40 231 41 231 40 239 33 248 8022 7078 44 232 36 228 34 233 35 241 7078 6240 40 232 29*224 31 231 35 235 6240 5495 35 229 28*223 29 232 34 232 5495 4824 32 226 27 223 28 233 32 232 4824 4226 26 217 26 223 26 233 28 233 4226 3724 20 211 25 223 25 234 23 230 3724 3338 18 209 23 223 23 234 18 224 3338 3071 16 208 21 223 20 235 13 216 3071 2909 13*207 18 223 17 235 9*209 2909 2816 9*207 13 223 11*234 4*202 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography