DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 82.3 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 49 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3893 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4899 - - 2802 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6451 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3216 - - 6925 - - 3783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 360 - - 105 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 311 - - 261 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 316 - - -2806 - - -1113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6135 - - 5624 - - 3932 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1112 - - -3932 - - -3117 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7563 - - 6750 - - 5935 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2020 - - 2600 - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.6 - - 82.3 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.9 - - 66.8 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.2 - - 81.4 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 65.9 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 49 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3893 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98813 17 095 12 077 16 072 98813 91426 14 086 13 095 16 061 91426 85718 13 086 5 071 13 058 85718 80947 5 099 3 014 8 044 80947 76816 11 138 6 002 4 007 76816 73163 9 086 5 354 2 296 73163 69864 9 078 8 049 2 022 69864 66853 5 054 5 085 4 034 66853 64084 6 031 4 008 9 019 64084 61420 17 359 9 355 10 009 61420 58664 16 327 12 335 17 336 58664 55821 25 317 23 318 25 312 55821 53121 35 296 30 301 29 290 53121 50703 39 292 33 305 25 296 50703 48533 45 292 39 305 30 310 48533 46552 43 289 40 301 39 298 46552 44727 37 293 39 302 38 299 44727 43031 34 303 40 303 43 302 43031 41443 36 307 39 298 48 297 41443 39952 38 305 37 296 42 280 39952 38552 37 301 37 296 42 279 38552 37206 35 293 38 292 40 289 37206 35845 33 284 38 290 41 298 35845 34439 32 289 36 287 36 305 34439 32994 32 295 38 286 31 310 32994 31495 31 293 39 294 25 305 31495 29930 36 291 41 300 25 304 29930 28297 40 290 40 300 28 303 28297 26597 38 290 40 298 27 304 26597 24832 35 286 40 295 27 302 24832 23008 36 285 37 294 23 303 23008 21121 32 285 30 298 20 305 21121 19164 26 293 27 306 18 305 19164 17177 23 310 25 308 18 308 17177 15270 20 306 21 307 19 316 15270 13534 16 291 18 308 19 323 13534 11986 17 285 17 314 18 312 11986 10603 19 289 20 315 17 300 10603 9367 18 302 21 311 15 301 9367 8261 16 316 20 306 15 308 8261 7276 15*320 17 295 15 313 7276 6401 13*319 16 287 15 318 6401 5623 12 317 15 277 15 323 5623 4921 11 312 14 271 15 330 4921 4296 11 309 13 267 15 333 4296 3771 10 307 12 264 14 335 3771 3365 9 305 12 263 13 335 3365 3086 9 304 11 262 11 334 3086 2916 8 303 10 262 8*333 2916 2818 6 303 7*261 4*331 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography