DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 75.4 - - 75.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 305 - - 173 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1808 - - 4734 - - 3444 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3470 - - 5825 - - 4602 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4366 - - 7292 - - 6002 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1268 - - 3252 - - 3863 - - 4401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 473 - - 353 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 252 - - 240 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -1 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2285 - - -174 - - -811 - - -2477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6652 - - 7466 - - 6813 - - 5294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5411 - - -1116 - - -2132 - - -4663 ODpotential blCL - - - 9777 - - 8408 - - 8134 - - 7480 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 89 - - 73 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 550 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 75.4 - - 75.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 73.1 - - 73.5 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 51.4 - - 54.2 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 305 - - 173 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1808 - - 4734 - - 3444 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97698 3 134 12 229 20 270 7 335 97698 90325 7 042 1 170 5 220 11 271 90325 84633 3 009 4 098 2 047 5 318 84633 79919 4 140 1 236 4 343 8 017 79919 75877 6 054 6 116 4 269 13 000 75877 72316 13 356 10 077 3 131 9 335 72316 69097 12 357 10 019 9 018 6 307 69097 66146 17 014 10 008 9 332 7 306 66146 63419 20 353 17 359 8 342 5 323 63419 60767 17 324 18 316 8 324 10 293 60767 57993 20 304 16 296 17 302 16 277 57993 55113 26 301 30 291 28 298 29 297 55113 52363 33 289 35 285 41 291 42 278 52363 49906 33 287 32 281 41 293 36 281 49906 47723 37 284 32 295 33 286 34 284 47723 45762 34 284 31 295 32 280 29 274 45762 43984 27 289 25 287 35 270 38 270 43984 42354 16 304 21 282 31 255 35 258 42354 40837 11 331 18 276 22 251 30 254 40837 39411 12 298 15 273 24 251 19 268 39411 38063 15 269 15 267 30 256 18 276 38063 36759 17 273 18 264 29 259 22 291 36759 35435 19 282 17 258 21 275 23 291 35435 34063 20 285 16 259 18 303 23 284 34063 32648 21 289 20 277 18 308 25 285 32648 31174 22 292 27 293 17 300 25 282 31174 29629 21 303 31 297 17 275 21 273 29629 28015 20 313 28 299 19 267 19 268 28015 26335 16 288 20 276 23 268 18 278 26335 24591 10 274 16 267 27 268 23 272 24591 22785 8 276 15 265 26 266 26 266 22785 20912 7 269 16 265 26 263 27 261 20912 18967 6 264 15 260 24 265 26 259 18967 16996 5 315 12 263 18 270 24 263 16996 15104 9 338 10 284 17 272 24 264 15104 13385 6 318 9 276 18 270 25 264 13385 11855 8 281 12 255 19 268 23 266 11855 10492 10 275 12 259 16 262 20 263 10492 9274 11 277 9 263 13 249 18 258 9274 8185 12 280 9*259 13 241 18 252 8185 7213 15 282 10*254 14 240 18 246 7213 6350 17 278 12 252 14*240 18 243 6350 5581 19 265 13 252 14*240 18 241 5581 4889 19*254 14 252 14 240 18 241 4889 4273 16*247 14 252 14 240 18 240 4273 3755 14 244 14 252 14 240 17 239 3755 3356 13 243 14 252 13 240 15 239 3356 3081 12 242 13 252 12 239 12 238 3081 2913 11 243 12 252 11 240 9*237 2913 2817 8 242 9 253 8 239 4*236 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography