DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 59.4 - - 59.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 186 - - 4 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1959 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2798 - - 3546 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 4517 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1104 - - 2142 - - 4280 - - 249 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 296 - - 52 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 245 - - 251 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6729 - - -6351 - - -7597 - - -3553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9545 - - 10869 - - 10414 - - 6370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14854 - - -12435 - - -12909 - - -11181 ODpotential blCL - - - 17669 - - 16952 - - 15725 - - 13997 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 67 - - 63 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.8 - - 59.4 - - 59.6 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 21.7 - - 23.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 57.7 - - 59.1 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 20.7 - - 23.2 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 186 - - 4 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 1959 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96354 87 249 82 255 81 259 93 251 96354 89243 68 252 71 252 69 259 66 262 89243 83742 55 270 55 260 56 256 53 263 83742 79146 37 280 42 271 46 262 38 270 79146 75183 18 278 25 266 36 270 34 288 75183 71708 20 304 9 260 19 269 27 290 71708 68564 33 310 16 338 12 300 20 287 68564 65647 37 301 30 317 20 313 16 287 65647 62911 29 293 29 308 25 315 22 310 62911 60246 24 292 30 306 37 307 41 305 60246 57470 31 298 39 287 46 294 47 300 57470 54599 42 297 42 288 51 296 58 302 54599 51862 60 302 53 293 66 299 69 301 51862 49389 67 299 62 292 71 291 68 298 49389 47174 68 297 64 290 66 295 65 305 47174 45173 68 300 61 294 72 303 68 315 45173 43344 78 307 75 305 78 305 79 317 43344 41661 85 302 86 303 78 306 76 311 41661 40101 87 297 87 301 73 304 64 318 40101 38656 85 298 85 298 58 308 62 327 38656 37312 78 301 77 297 53 318 57 325 37312 36023 72 299 72 300 58 323 48 324 36023 34721 67 298 68 303 57 320 44 340 34721 33376 61 304 63 300 52 319 45 351 33376 31992 58 307 60 297 49 320 48 354 31992 30551 56 306 58 300 48 322 51 349 30551 29044 53 306 56 305 48 325 49 339 29044 27470 49 308 52 307 46 330 45 329 27470 25830 46 312 50 310 45 327 46 327 25830 24124 44 313 47 312 46 322 43 334 24124 22356 42 309 44 314 46 321 34 333 22356 20523 38 304 41 313 40 317 34 322 20523 18618 35 305 38 312 37 314 34 311 18618 16678 36 309 35 312 36 308 35 307 16678 14814 35 309 34 312 37 303 39 310 14814 13122 31 308 34 307 37 305 41 311 13122 11618 30 311 35 300 38 300 39 308 11618 10276 30 315 35 295 37 293 37 306 10276 9077 28 318 32 294 35 286 37 298 9077 8009 25 318 29 292 32 281 35 288 8009 7061 22 314 25 286 28 274 34 283 7061 6222 18 307 21 276 25 266 34 281 6222 5477 15 299 18 261 22 260 32 278 5477 4807 13 284 15*248 20 256 29 274 4807 4213 14 266 14*246 17 254 27 267 4213 3715 13 255 13 245 16 253 25 256 3715 3332 11 253 13 245 15 253 21 251 3332 3067 9 254 12 245 13 253 16 249 3067 2907 8*254 11 246 11 252 11*249 2907 2816 6*255 8 245 7*251 5*252 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography