DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 60.6 - - 61.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 15 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1214 - - 1691 - - 2982 - - 1752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 68 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 255 - - 239 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2816 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2816 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -358 - - -254 - - -841 - - -795 ODpotential blCL - - - 3174 - - 3071 - - 3658 - - 3611 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 210 - - 140 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 60.6 - - 61.8 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.0 - - 59.6 - - 58.7 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 59.8 - - 61.4 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 15 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96380 66 246 94 250 89 255 81 256 96380 89232 48 262 57 255 56 262 51 261 89232 83765 31 278 34 260 32 259 31 268 83765 79232 23 288 21 261 22 247 27 274 79232 75315 12 296 13 270 12 264 18 277 75315 71841 5 289 9 257 11 283 15 280 71841 68683 8 318 5 246 10 260 17 275 68683 65775 15 302 8 229 9 256 17 273 65775 63078 18 284 12 230 11 256 23 262 63078 60470 21 255 13 240 12 242 17 249 60470 57744 22 247 24 255 18 262 24 266 57744 54909 31 239 26 247 29 262 28 262 54909 52217 35 220 39 257 40 264 39 260 52217 49806 38 244 45 248 44 260 56 260 49806 47648 44 245 46 251 64 254 63 251 47648 45691 48 242 54 248 61 249 60 253 45691 43897 52 241 53 247 54 257 61 261 43897 42243 50 240 51 255 62 264 69 267 42243 40700 43 241 55 258 66 263 76 266 40700 39254 40 258 52 259 65 261 75 263 39254 37892 44 265 52 263 63 261 67 260 37892 36580 45 261 53 266 62 260 61 258 36580 35252 43 253 48 261 60 256 58 255 35252 33880 42 246 44 255 57 253 57 251 33880 32467 43 241 44 249 51 248 55 247 32467 30999 46 241 45 241 50 246 56 246 30999 29465 48 243 47 240 51 246 56 247 29465 27866 46 244 44 240 48 244 55 244 27866 26201 43 243 41 241 41 236 52 240 26201 24471 40 243 38 242 38 234 45 239 24471 22679 36 242 36 243 36 234 40 235 22679 20819 36 253 34 247 35 236 41 235 20819 18887 35 259 33 249 35 237 42 239 18887 16925 32 249 31 242 33 236 36 241 16925 15037 29 248 29 237 31 239 30 240 15037 13317 29 231 24 235 27 243 27 236 13317 11782 29 220 24 231 23 238 26 229 11782 10414 27 212 28 223 24 231 28 226 10414 9196 25 209 29 220 27 228 29 227 9196 8112 22 211 26 222 25 227 26 222 8112 7146 18 216 24 227 24 229 24 217 7146 6292 16 223 22 237 22 233 21 216 6292 5533 15 232 18 247 20 239 19 222 5533 4851 12 238 14 253 18 242 17 233 4851 4245 10 240 12 255 17 243 15 243 4245 3737 9 239 11 256 15 242 14 249 3737 3346 8 238 10 256 13 241 12 248 3346 3075 6 236 8 256 11 240 9 246 3075 2911 4 236 7*255 9*240 6 244 2911 2816 3*236 5*255 6*239 3*244 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography