DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 72.6 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 81 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2818 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5159 - - 4056 - - 2362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 152 - - 120 - - 48 W* B/S - - - - - - 30 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 166 - - 083 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1804 - - -786 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4622 - - 3604 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2415 - - -1470 - - -555 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5233 - - 4287 - - 3372 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1180 - - 1400 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 72.6 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.4 - - 65.9 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.7 - - 71.4 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.6 - - 65.1 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 179 - - 81 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 51 - - 76 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98935 11 088 14 104 11 089 98935 91499 12 104 16 121 10 097 91499 85733 15 111 11 113 7 122 85733 80934 14 112 5 098 6 108 80934 76814 10 082 6 117 9 113 76814 73181 7 060 3 050 8 075 73181 69889 7 034 1 051 4 029 69889 66868 8 033 7 056 6 017 66868 64086 8 065 8 049 6 019 64086 61410 8 359 9 038 9 026 61410 58632 11 290 7 328 13 332 58632 55765 6 344 14 321 17 320 55765 53043 26 326 22 315 23 325 53043 50604 28 301 30 303 31 306 50604 48427 25 301 30 296 32 292 48427 46449 26 309 28 296 33 292 46449 44624 31 310 29 304 35 293 44624 42928 38 303 33 311 34 294 42928 41348 39 289 37 308 29 289 41348 39874 34 285 35 293 30 292 39874 38489 32 291 32 297 35 296 38489 37150 34 297 34 304 36 292 37150 35793 34 300 35 301 35 294 35793 34389 30 303 32 297 35 298 34389 32942 28 308 27 300 33 298 32942 31434 30 305 25 302 31 295 31434 29855 27 298 27 302 28 296 29855 28208 26 291 24 298 29 299 28208 26496 26 288 23 299 30 305 26496 24722 22 291 23 308 27 310 24722 22890 23 308 21 314 25 312 22890 20998 27 299 21 314 23 317 20998 19045 25 298 27 308 21 313 19045 17070 20 300 26 302 21 307 17070 15167 15 310 20 304 15 307 15167 13433 16 307 13 288 9 274 13433 11890 15 304 13 268 12 255 11890 10515 15 301 12 267 14 259 10515 9286 13 305 10 286 9 279 9286 8189 12 309 9 302 7 308 8189 7212 11 314 6 321 5 357 7212 6347 8 319 4 350 5 034 6347 5577 5 318 4 034 6 066 5577 4884 2 310 4 060 7 080 4884 4269 1 281 5 067 7 082 4269 3752 1 225 6 077 8 085 3752 3355 1 188 6 081 8 086 3355 3080 1 180 6 082 8 086 3080 2913 1*175 6 083 7 085 2913 2817 1*166 5*083 5*085 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography