DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 89.1 - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 189 - - 103 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2802 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2818 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 7334 - - 9676 - - 4973 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 158 - - 131 - - 40 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 284 - - 296 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5308 - - -5031 - - -2841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8127 - - 7849 - - 5659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7084 - - -6474 - - -5241 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9902 - - 9292 - - 8059 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 64 - - 68 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1840 - - 2350 - - 3200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 89.1 - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 64.2 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.0 - - 87.8 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 63.2 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 189 - - 103 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 260 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99083 39 085 38 087 34 089 99083 91617 34 079 28 081 30 075 91617 85888 28 080 26 065 29 077 85888 81152 25 091 19 064 26 069 81152 77068 22 084 18 087 21 041 77068 73430 15 070 17 082 13 039 73430 70119 11 086 10 058 8 058 70119 67086 8 099 3 065 6 027 67086 64297 6 069 3 123 5 023 64297 61624 6 037 3 070 4 070 61624 58860 5 088 1 335 5 022 58860 56009 3 029 1 091 3 350 56009 53312 1 270 4 020 1 159 53312 50910 10 169 5 249 6 236 50910 48763 16 161 13 221 13 227 48763 46804 19 167 19 208 16 215 46804 44993 22 182 24 206 20 212 44993 43311 26 186 27 204 23 216 43311 41738 24 189 25 204 27 225 41738 40259 26 194 25 205 29 230 40259 38860 28 192 30 204 28 225 38860 37508 31 189 34 202 33 221 37508 36136 33 188 33 201 35 216 36136 34718 32 186 30 201 32 210 34718 33256 28 183 28 198 28 206 33256 31741 26 187 27 195 24 205 31741 30163 24 190 23 201 19 209 30163 28521 19 189 20 207 17 218 28521 26815 15 188 15 200 17 217 26815 25043 14 183 14 202 17 216 25043 23213 13 175 14 201 16 217 23213 21317 11 168 12 198 13 215 21317 19350 8 174 6 209 7 219 19350 17350 2 140 1 108 2 081 17350 15429 3 112 5 098 9 102 15429 13683 4 112 7 103 12 112 13683 12124 4 070 7 097 11 118 12124 10728 4 047 6 091 9 120 10728 9477 2 075 5 091 7 121 9477 8355 2 078 4 089 6 121 8355 7353 1 052 3 084 5 118 7353 6462 1 032 2 060 3 108 6462 5669 1 352 2 328 1 034 5669 4955 2 321 4 307 3 341 4955 4319 2 307 5 303 5 336 4319 3786 2 297 6 300 6 337 3786 3375 3 290 6 299 6 334 3375 3091 3 287 6 298 6 332 3091 2918 3 287 5 297 5 329 2918 2818 2*284 4*296 3*326 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography