DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 76.2 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 263 - - 135 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4831 - - 5357 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5853 - - 5922 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7389 - - 7915 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1782 - - 2268 - - 5130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 459 - - 386 - - 42 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 238 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -10 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -377 - - 542 - - -3067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7767 - - 7374 - - 5885 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5316 - - -1099 - - -5220 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12705 - - 9014 - - 8037 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 64 - - 72 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 76.2 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.7 - - 53.4 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.9 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.5 - - 52.4 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 263 - - 135 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4831 - - 5357 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98869 31 097 28 099 23 085 98869 91326 21 093 29 088 19 086 91326 85528 21 099 19 064 19 087 85528 80746 16 088 16 088 17 065 80746 76642 8 099 16 089 12 074 76642 73018 7 134 9 056 9 080 73018 69740 5 092 4 342 10 026 69740 66739 2 239 4 221 5 297 66739 63965 4 334 7 312 4 351 63965 61279 12 257 15 259 14 293 61279 58496 14 273 19 291 19 285 58496 55621 28 271 27 269 30 281 55621 52874 32 263 35 275 39 282 52874 50400 45 272 49 272 59 282 50400 48188 56 265 57 271 66 285 48188 46195 59 263 77 269 77 277 46195 44387 74 273 79 267 60 265 44387 42716 84 268 77 271 45 262 42716 41150 86 263 77 271 53 307 41150 39685 85 260 72 272 62 313 39685 38314 83 260 68 273 50 304 38314 36992 80 262 64 277 42 279 36992 35646 78 263 60 280 46 274 35646 34252 75 263 57 281 42 276 34252 32814 72 262 54 281 35 275 32814 31316 66 262 52 280 37 278 31316 29750 59 259 52 279 36 282 29750 28115 53 256 47 274 31 274 28115 26415 48 259 46 265 35 272 26415 24655 45 263 45 262 39 276 24655 22838 41 268 42 263 42 276 22838 20956 36 270 37 268 43 273 20956 19001 33 270 35 264 42 269 19001 17015 31 267 30 258 34 261 17015 15109 29 266 26 257 28 256 15109 13380 25 266 24 250 25 259 13380 11846 22 269 23 246 24 268 11846 10482 22 262 18 244 23 268 10482 9265 20 253 16 244 22 257 9265 8178 16*248 16*243 20 240 8178 7209 12*245 15*242 20 230 7209 6348 12 245 15 240 19 228 6348 5582 11 245 15 239 18 227 5582 4890 11 245 14 238 18 226 4890 4274 11 245 14 237 17 225 4274 3757 10 245 13 236 15 224 3757 3358 10 245 13 235 13 223 3358 3081 9 245 12 235 11 221 3081 2914 8 244 11 235 8 218 2914 2817 7 244 8 235 5*215 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography