DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5932 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6601 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8490 - - 2818 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1786 - - 8554 - - 7425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 458 - - 131 - - 40 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 094 - - 117 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 97 - - -5722 - - -2933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8393 - - 8541 - - 5750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3755 - - -6427 - - -4395 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12245 - - 9245 - - 7212 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 82 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 100 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.0 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 53.3 - - 61.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.2 - - 79.6 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.7 - - 52.1 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 104 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5932 - - 260 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 27 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99110 39 087 32 094 24 082 99110 91597 32 100 26 085 24 074 91597 85805 25 093 21 089 28 075 85805 81020 25 087 21 092 28 070 81020 76911 26 086 21 083 28 081 76911 73275 29 087 19 074 29 067 73275 69997 23 070 21 086 21 057 69997 67010 21 063 22 068 15 065 67010 64254 18 055 18 056 13 086 64254 61588 18 051 20 047 18 065 61588 58816 21 003 21 023 26 024 58816 55973 22 328 24 345 28 347 55973 53277 21 329 24 348 15 298 53277 50825 33 343 35 350 15 007 50825 48604 36 331 38 333 35 351 48604 46587 31 320 34 318 34 328 46587 44738 22 317 21 310 26 345 44738 43026 17 321 14 346 25 356 43026 41435 14 342 14 007 13 014 41435 39948 17 356 13 014 6 014 39948 38557 18 358 16 013 9 035 38557 37220 16 008 19 010 15 021 37220 35866 13 003 17 009 15 013 35866 34464 9 352 12 013 14 011 34464 33017 9 356 11 001 15 016 33017 31515 9 356 11 358 17 013 31515 29948 8 357 13 348 20 004 29948 28318 10 359 15 344 19 354 28318 26624 11 005 15 349 15 356 26624 24863 10 360 12 355 12 005 24863 23038 11 349 13 350 13 002 23038 21147 10 340 13 344 13 357 21147 19185 9 331 11 345 10 352 19185 17191 9 345 10 352 8 007 17191 15271 10 009 10 005 8 029 15271 13521 11 020 9 027 9 057 13521 11964 11 032 6 039 6 047 11964 10583 8 051 4 050 6 012 10583 9352 6*076 4 059 5 359 9352 8250 6*083 3 076 3 335 8250 7266 6 087 4 092 2 295 7266 6393 6 091 4 102 2 245 6393 5615 7 095 4 108 2 214 5615 4914 7 096 5 111 3 197 4914 4290 7 098 5 114 3 190 4290 3767 7 099 5 115 3 185 3767 3363 6 100 5 115 3 181 3363 3085 6 101 5 117 3 180 3085 2915 6 101 4*117 2 177 2915 2817 5 102 4*117 2*178 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography