DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 73.3 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 194 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3957 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5050 - - 2801 - - 2801 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6515 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2954 - - 1694 - - 1726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 388 - - 69 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 299 - - 324 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -72 - - -733 - - -357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6588 - - 3550 - - 3174 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1539 - - -2976 - - -2798 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8054 - - 5793 - - 5615 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 101 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 930 - - 1090 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 73.3 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.1 - - 67.0 - - 67.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.8 - - 72.8 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 66.4 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 194 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3957 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 102 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98405 14 079 8 358 17 011 98405 91085 16 057 12 035 19 028 91085 85474 17 059 12 058 15 030 85474 80801 15 045 10 062 11 023 80801 76746 11 052 10 050 9 022 76746 73141 11 022 12 028 10 017 73141 69867 8 342 9 002 9 356 69867 66866 6 299 8 315 11 345 66866 64104 4 296 8 293 11 330 64104 61455 11 348 7 309 7 326 61455 58719 13 342 13 325 10 004 58719 55917 8 325 15 316 18 345 55917 53274 7 359 5 313 14 326 53274 50896 13 017 8 026 8 355 50896 48755 14 017 14 021 11 007 48755 46805 14 014 14 019 11 359 46805 45008 15 017 14 021 4 014 45008 43337 18 021 15 022 5 073 43337 41771 21 011 14 013 9 052 41771 40297 21 005 12 015 13 057 40297 38904 16 009 12 025 12 051 38904 37557 14 025 13 032 10 049 37557 36188 16 022 13 053 13 051 36188 34768 18 025 14 063 16 053 34768 33302 17 038 16 074 16 072 33302 31777 16 051 16 078 17 086 31777 30182 15 059 14 076 18 091 30182 28517 16 063 10 080 14 109 28517 26785 15 051 8 094 4 147 26785 24997 13 042 5 097 8 283 24997 23154 10 043 2 150 7 293 23154 21242 10 019 9 334 9 316 21242 19260 13 354 13 331 14 306 19260 17250 16 338 14 329 18 323 17250 15322 18 332 17 327 18 334 15322 13570 14 318 21 321 17 332 13570 12009 11 303 23 318 16 323 12009 10617 13 308 24 316 17 319 10617 9374 17 314 25 314 17 319 9374 8263 18 313 25 314 16 317 8263 7274 17*311 24 317 14 313 7274 6396 15*308 21 318 13 309 6396 5615 13 302 20 316 12 310 5615 4912 12 299 18 315 12 320 4912 4288 12 298 17 317 12 336 4288 3765 11 296 13 322 12 343 3765 3362 11 294 9 325 11 343 3362 3084 10 294 8 325 9 341 3084 2915 9 293 7 324 7 339 2915 2817 7 292 4*324 4*337 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography