DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 212 - - 94 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3061 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4422 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5619 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1310 - - 4634 - - 1729 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 367 - - 125 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 326 - - 325 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -466 - - -3545 - - -1535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6086 - - 6362 - - 4353 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4311 - - -5943 - - -6629 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9930 - - 8760 - - 9446 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 69 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 74.4 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.4 - - 56.2 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.6 - - 73.2 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.4 - - 55.2 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 212 - - 94 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3061 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98746 19 068 18 082 24 089 98746 91409 12 088 13 102 14 087 91409 85731 12 093 9 092 13 078 85731 81004 14 091 11 091 14 078 81004 76929 14 098 10 085 14 065 76929 73315 8 088 8 093 8 064 73315 70033 6 111 2 085 5 049 70033 67014 9 145 5 202 4 280 67014 64219 3 110 1 126 4 006 64219 61533 3 196 4 202 4 262 61533 58753 12 318 10 327 7 317 58753 55901 23 281 26 283 22 308 55901 53228 22 265 27 313 28 339 53228 50832 36 296 41 318 46 335 50832 48689 55 306 63 312 60 312 48689 46754 65 300 69 304 55 305 46754 44972 67 298 66 303 51 302 44972 43310 68 301 61 305 48 301 43310 41747 68 305 58 308 45 306 41747 40273 67 310 55 314 42 312 40273 38879 66 314 54 320 39 318 38879 37530 64 315 54 322 38 327 37530 36162 63 314 54 324 43 333 36162 34744 60 311 53 327 47 333 34744 33281 58 310 56 333 50 329 33281 31760 57 314 59 339 51 330 31760 30167 53 312 57 338 50 336 30167 28508 49 304 52 333 43 344 28508 26778 45 300 47 327 37 349 26778 24980 40 302 42 316 34 340 24980 23121 35 296 40 311 33 326 23121 21197 32 288 37 311 32 322 21197 19207 31 291 31 307 29 317 19207 17192 26 301 23 308 25 313 17192 15258 23 313 19 325 19 321 15258 13497 20 317 18 337 15 335 13497 11931 18 308 15 328 13 339 11931 10540 20 303 15 313 11 330 10540 9303 21 308 15 312 10 311 9303 8200 20 320 10 329 9 309 8200 7220 17 335 6 355 2 247 7220 6352 12*338 6 356 5 133 6352 5580 10*332 6 349 5 104 5580 4886 10 329 7 340 5 063 4886 4269 10 327 7 335 7 027 4269 3753 9 325 7 331 8 007 3753 3355 9 322 7 329 9 357 3355 3080 8 321 7 326 8 349 3080 2913 8 320 6*326 6*343 2913 2817 6 319 5*325 3*337 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography