DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 60.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 31 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2499 - - 258 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3927 - - 2800 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5057 - - 2816 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1014 - - 3282 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 88 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 348 - - 337 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3811 - - -5000 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8868 - - 7816 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9423 - - -9812 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14480 - - 12628 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 48 - - 44 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.8 - - 60.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.9 - - 36.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.1 - - 59.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.8 - - 35.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 31 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2499 - - 258 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97405 17 233 22 246 97405 90114 14 233 11 259 90114 84544 7 223 7 248 84544 79924 4 111 6 189 79924 75936 6 095 3 179 75936 72413 4 101 3 185 72413 69228 4 032 3 356 69228 66303 2 330 3 329 66303 63599 9 341 6 322 63599 60994 14 326 10 321 60994 58282 19 309 20 322 58282 55464 25 294 29 306 55464 52764 28 289 28 288 52764 50313 29 290 29 286 50313 48095 32 291 33 291 48095 46062 36 292 40 295 46062 44181 40 294 43 296 44181 42428 42 294 40 296 42428 40787 40 290 35 289 40787 39249 37 281 32 285 39249 37808 34 273 31 300 37808 36435 32 277 35 312 36435 35063 32 287 27 312 35063 33659 26 295 18 328 33659 32218 25 323 24 348 32218 30730 29 331 29 359 30730 29185 26 329 32 002 29185 27585 21 314 33 002 27585 25931 20 307 30 002 25931 24219 16 315 27 357 24219 22447 16 327 27 356 22447 20611 17 341 28 003 20611 18699 17 351 29 011 18699 16752 14 357 26 011 16752 14879 16 005 21 007 14879 13176 19 010 20 006 13176 11662 20 010 20 006 11662 10313 20 010 19 006 10313 9111 19 010 17 005 9111 8039 19 011 16 005 8039 7087 18 014 14 007 7087 6243 15 011 13 001 6243 5496 12*359 13 349 5496 4824 11*351 13 344 4824 4227 11 349 13 342 4227 3726 11 347 12 340 3726 3339 10 346 12 339 3339 3072 9 345 11 338 3072 2909 8 345 9 338 2909 2816 6 344 6*337 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography