DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 55.8 - - 58.7 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 132 - - 40 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2137 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3557 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4695 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1717 - - 1242 - - 3133 - - 533 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 280 - - 94 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 240 - - 245 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1228 - - -978 - - -5304 - - -3138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4045 - - 5674 - - 8120 - - 5954 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6710 - - -7254 - - -11091 - - -11177 ODpotential blCL - - - 9526 - - 11949 - - 13907 - - 13993 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 90 - - 78 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 55.8 - - 58.7 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 40.8 - - 33.1 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 54.5 - - 57.9 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 39.6 - - 32.2 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 132 - - 40 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 2137 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 61 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 28 089 27 083 26 077 26 079 96612 89542 27 085 20 094 21 078 21 074 89542 84041 15 105 11 096 10 063 11 066 84041 79430 10 131 7 116 1 001 9 354 79430 75441 1 076 4 045 3 243 10 290 75441 71903 4 331 2 217 6 220 12 289 71903 68691 7 267 10 284 12 271 16 295 68691 65736 12 313 14 287 13 269 15 276 65736 62986 28 292 22 289 20 283 24 288 62986 60310 38 285 29 282 26 282 33 283 60310 57536 45 289 45 284 41 290 47 285 57536 54682 57 282 62 279 60 281 58 277 54682 51965 65 279 66 282 68 283 62 279 51965 49526 68 284 68 281 77 284 69 283 49526 47340 75 289 71 285 74 280 71 286 47340 45345 80 288 80 282 68 278 72 290 45345 43514 82 284 70 279 66 279 83 294 43514 41845 82 294 66 294 78 298 101 298 41845 40318 95 304 91 303 107 303 113 301 40318 38895 94 301 97 303 119 301 103 298 38895 37553 86 296 87 301 109 300 89 292 37553 36256 83 294 85 296 91 295 83 289 36256 34939 82 294 81 290 81 290 83 288 34939 33574 79 293 79 287 78 285 77 284 33574 32166 74 291 76 284 77 282 65 280 32166 30702 68 291 70 283 73 280 60 283 30702 29172 64 293 67 284 68 282 56 282 29172 27578 63 294 62 286 65 286 53 284 27578 25918 63 294 56 286 67 288 52 286 25918 24195 61 292 58 288 71 286 58 285 24195 22412 57 292 61 285 71 283 65 282 22412 20569 58 292 61 282 64 279 62 279 20569 18664 58 289 56 281 57 277 48 277 18664 16731 50 288 50 284 49 277 47 277 16731 14866 43 287 44 284 44 279 48 274 14866 13167 40 281 39 282 41 281 47 276 13167 11653 37 268 38 279 40 279 43 279 11653 10303 34 261 37 270 37 271 38 277 10303 9099 32 261 32 259 34 260 34 270 9099 8026 29 261 28 252 31 252 32 262 8026 7073 29 260 28 250 31 244 33 250 7073 6230 28 260 27 244 29 238 29 237 6230 5483 28 261 25 242 23 236 20 222 5483 4813 28 259 19*239 17 238 16 212 4813 4217 26 257 17*239 14 241 15 207 4217 3719 21 252 16 240 13 242 13 202 3719 3334 16 248 15 240 12 243 11 195 3334 3069 13 247 14 240 11 243 9 188 3069 2908 11*247 12 241 9*244 6*179 2908 2816 8*247 9 241 7*245 4*174 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography