DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 133 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2815 - - 2815 - - 2816 - - 2815 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1327 - - 3930 - - 4977 - - 1530 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 140 - - 98 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 16 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 275 - - 277 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -91 - - -2174 - - -2261 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2906 - - 4989 - - 5078 - - 2815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2704 - - -2811 - - -3047 - - -1946 ODpotential blCL - - - 5519 - - 5626 - - 5863 - - 4761 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 74 - - 75 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 38.3 - - 39.4 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 48.9 - - 51.1 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 37.1 - - 38.1 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 133 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 257 - - 258 - - 257 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 0 - - 0 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96605 15 084 9 123 2 290 9 046 96605 89416 13 096 11 126 10 204 4 344 89416 83853 11 143 7 146 12 180 7 203 83853 79212 4 168 8 194 7 168 6 222 79212 75202 6 215 11 206 10 193 16 221 75202 71635 15 212 13 203 14 229 15 223 71635 68388 10 243 11 231 17 227 16 253 68388 65423 24 270 23 263 23 263 22 258 65423 62667 33 258 34 250 32 255 25 261 62667 59974 43 266 41 262 35 268 33 272 59974 57156 51 260 48 262 39 266 39 253 57156 54221 50 253 49 253 45 252 44 242 54221 51420 47 252 53 246 47 253 36 256 51420 48921 50 260 51 245 55 261 46 263 48921 46701 61 258 56 260 59 259 50 248 46701 44694 65 250 67 258 60 259 48 241 44694 42857 58 243 72 247 58 256 46 257 42857 41169 54 254 64 240 55 256 57 260 41169 39619 69 264 61 250 57 258 58 250 39619 38192 79 251 67 253 57 253 51 243 38192 36863 78 250 67 244 56 248 40 249 36863 35587 72 252 64 241 55 243 37 258 35587 34302 72 250 61 244 53 240 36 248 34302 32976 72 243 60 245 46 246 30 237 32976 31607 73 237 58 245 37 255 23 244 31607 30183 78 233 54 249 34 263 26 272 30183 28694 81 232 52 253 35 267 32 278 28694 27141 70 236 48 257 36 267 33 274 27141 25521 43 251 44 260 35 272 30 267 25521 23837 38 271 43 260 35 278 27 265 23837 22089 38 272 43 262 36 280 28 275 22089 20276 37 264 42 266 36 282 28 285 20276 18395 37 256 41 268 35 282 26 287 18395 16482 36 254 40 269 33 282 27 278 16482 14637 31 259 36 269 31 279 31 278 14637 12960 27 260 31 264 30 274 31 276 12960 11470 26 255 27 258 27 265 29 267 11470 10149 27 251 26 251 23 252 27 255 10149 8974 27 249 24 248 21 247 28 251 8974 7929 25 240 20 246 17 240 22 253 7929 7001 21 231 17 237 14 239 14 256 7001 6179 16 227 12 238 12 246 10 276 6179 5447 8 224 5 245 9 263 10 283 5447 4788 2 229 3 260 9 272 10 283 4788 4201 1 157 3 268 9 274 8 280 4201 3708 3 125 2 269 9 274 6 270 3708 3328 3 103 2 272 8 275 3 249 3328 3066 3 098 2 271 8 276 2 202 3066 2907 3*097 2 275 7*275 2 166 2907 2815 2*097 2*275 6*277 2*147 2815 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography