DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 74.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 78 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2801 - - 2801 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4387 - - 4123 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 124 - - 117 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 243 - - 247 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1224 - - -927 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4041 - - 3744 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1887 - - -1733 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4704 - - 4550 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1190 - - 1490 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 74.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.6 - - 66.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.1 - - 73.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.1 - - 66.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 78 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 259 - - 259 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 97 - - 79 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99022 23 085 17 081 99022 91533 22 079 16 067 91533 85756 27 071 17 086 85756 80977 28 077 22 088 80977 76876 22 082 22 081 76876 73259 16 087 15 068 73259 69996 14 079 10 089 69996 67005 12 076 10 088 67005 64239 6 092 6 019 64239 61569 8 027 6 344 61569 58792 13 318 16 327 58792 55932 21 288 22 296 55932 53219 25 264 25 284 53219 50782 35 283 27 280 50782 48603 38 270 46 277 48603 46618 25 257 41 271 46618 44787 40 294 48 308 44787 43100 56 305 57 317 43100 41539 57 304 50 306 41539 40080 54 292 40 294 40080 38702 40 275 38 289 38702 37366 42 276 38 282 37366 36008 43 278 36 277 36008 34598 39 275 35 273 34598 33143 36 272 34 272 33143 31627 36 273 33 271 31627 30040 35 274 32 271 30040 28387 34 272 32 270 28387 26667 34 265 32 269 26667 24884 32 259 32 267 24884 23041 28 258 32 266 23041 21136 27 257 32 265 21136 19163 27 257 33 263 19163 17160 27 255 32 261 17160 15236 25 256 31 261 15236 13488 26 263 28 264 13488 11933 26 266 26 270 11933 10550 28 265 27 271 10550 9317 29 259 29 270 9317 8217 28 254 31 268 8217 7236 28 250 30 265 7236 6368 27 250 27 262 6368 5596 27 249 24 258 5596 4900 24 247 22 254 4900 4281 22 245 20 252 4281 3761 20 245 17 249 3761 3360 19 244 16 248 3360 3083 17 244 14 247 3083 2914 15 244 12 247 2914 2817 10*243 9*247 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography