DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.2 - - 88.6 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 96 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4317 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5315 - - 2802 - - 2802 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6875 - - 2818 - - 2818 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2234 - - 7231 - - 2774 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 398 - - 129 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 001 - - 305 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -454 - - -4642 - - -2320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7329 - - 7461 - - 5138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3476 - - -6103 - - -5206 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10351 - - 8921 - - 8024 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 69 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1770 - - 2290 - - 3120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.2 - - 88.6 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 65.4 - - 69.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.5 - - 87.2 - - 83.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.3 - - 64.3 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 96 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4317 - - 260 - - 260 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 34 091 29 071 29 066 99291 91757 32 096 25 074 25 080 91757 85976 30 091 26 097 25 084 85976 81194 25 091 22 096 24 084 81194 77078 21 100 18 082 18 076 77078 73443 19 096 13 084 13 062 73443 70156 17 088 12 089 14 057 70156 67140 14 096 11 111 13 058 67140 64358 11 093 14 123 8 091 64358 61683 8 085 11 108 8 115 61683 58919 8 105 7 099 3 087 58919 56073 10 121 10 116 4 131 56073 53385 11 144 7 108 7 144 53385 50993 16 159 8 165 9 159 50993 48856 23 161 16 176 10 177 48856 46907 30 154 23 167 19 185 46907 45108 29 151 26 160 26 174 45108 43429 25 161 26 163 29 171 43429 41852 22 161 29 165 30 174 41852 40369 20 161 31 166 32 178 40369 38970 19 164 31 166 32 182 38970 37618 17 166 27 169 30 183 37618 36248 16 158 20 165 29 181 36248 34830 15 142 19 157 24 177 34830 33367 13 138 19 142 20 169 33367 31846 14 142 17 133 20 158 31846 30257 14 147 14 134 18 151 30257 28600 10 146 10 119 15 154 28600 26877 7 118 8 125 12 159 26877 25096 6 135 5 159 7 157 25096 23262 6 137 3 191 4 173 23262 21365 6 143 1 231 1 328 21365 19395 5 132 1 327 8 026 19395 17388 2 342 10 353 14 021 17388 15460 5 065 9 006 15 039 15460 13708 11 053 10 046 16 060 13708 12142 9 044 10 041 14 059 12142 10740 6 049 9 033 12 045 10740 9485 6 033 7 040 10 045 9485 8360 7 030 7 053 9 063 8360 7356 8*029 7 056 9 071 7356 6463 7*024 5 053 7 069 6463 5669 7 015 4 036 5 049 5669 4954 7 004 3 349 5 007 4954 4318 7 356 4 326 7 339 4318 3785 6 349 4 317 8 331 3785 3374 6 344 4 312 8 327 3374 3090 6 342 4 308 8 324 3090 2917 5 340 4 307 6 321 2917 2818 4 339 3*305 4*316 2818 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography