DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 36.0 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 28 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 2798 - - 2798 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2814 - - 2814 - - 2814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4773 - - 4214 - - 2359 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 115 - - 85 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 243 - - 251 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1341 - - -2042 - - -560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4155 - - 4856 - - 3374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1846 - - -2568 - - -2219 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4660 - - 5382 - - 5033 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 87 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 36.0 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.6 - - 24.8 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.0 - - 35.4 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.4 - - 23.6 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 28 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 256 - - 256 - - 256 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 49 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95998 24 339 39 018 30 042 95998 89146 20 340 24 345 23 006 89146 83752 11 285 14 303 22 329 83752 79211 8 238 15 267 24 307 79211 75259 11 255 17 246 19 289 75259 71742 12 227 21 250 18 268 71742 68528 19 246 25 244 22 241 68528 65545 22 218 30 237 30 239 65545 62768 35 244 35 239 37 228 62768 60066 40 241 38 244 38 242 60066 57238 51 244 53 243 54 245 57238 54301 70 239 67 236 64 232 54301 51486 80 239 66 240 68 241 51486 48944 91 244 87 246 97 245 48944 46682 114 239 114 242 124 240 46682 44647 128 236 134 236 134 236 44647 42782 134 235 141 233 139 233 42782 41058 136 233 142 233 140 232 41058 39457 137 233 143 233 141 231 39457 37973 140 233 142 232 138 229 37973 36593 143 233 138 232 136 230 36593 35274 142 232 136 232 138 231 35274 33947 136 231 136 232 139 230 33947 32586 131 231 135 233 140 230 32586 31190 129 232 135 234 140 230 31190 29748 127 232 134 233 137 231 29748 28248 122 233 130 231 131 233 28248 26690 117 234 122 231 125 233 26690 25070 112 237 113 234 115 234 25070 23392 106 239 104 236 105 233 23392 21657 102 238 98 236 99 231 21657 19860 101 237 94 236 94 230 19860 18000 98 236 88 233 88 229 18000 16119 93 239 82 229 82 231 16119 14322 88 242 78 227 79 229 14322 12692 85 242 76 229 74 229 12692 11241 81 238 74 236 63 230 11241 9948 73 235 66 240 52 231 9948 8797 59 235 53 238 45 226 8797 7775 42 237 40 236 40 222 7775 6868 36 242 31 240 33 222 6868 6068 34 244 26 246 26 230 6068 5358 33 245 25 249 22 239 5358 4721 30 245 23 249 20 246 4721 4153 27 244 22 250 18 248 4153 3677 25 244 21 250 17 249 3677 3310 23 244 19 250 15 248 3310 3057 21 244 17 251 11 248 3057 2903 18 243 14 251 8 248 2903 2814 12*243 10*251 4*249 2814 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography