DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.4 - - 58.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 166 - - 50 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1812 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2799 - - 3400 - - 2800 - - 2799 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2816 - - 4370 - - 2816 - - 2816 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1310 - - 879 - - 2041 - - 861 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 279 - - 99 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 138 - - 118 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4455 - - -4779 - - -5294 - - -2878 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7271 - - 9150 - - 8110 - - 5694 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9160 - - -11574 - - -11463 - - -10870 ODpotential blCL - - - 11976 - - 15944 - - 14279 - - 13686 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - 88 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.4 - - 58.4 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 30.6 - - 33.3 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 58.8 - - 57.6 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 29.6 - - 32.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 166 - - 50 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 258 - - 1812 - - 258 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 84 - - 53 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96680 91 251 102 247 102 249 88 245 96680 89524 64 252 76 257 67 258 61 257 89524 84016 46 253 42 253 45 263 44 271 84016 79466 28 269 22 257 30 254 38 273 79466 75555 25 286 17 288 23 266 28 276 75555 72091 26 292 19 302 20 285 23 284 72091 68934 24 288 19 302 22 292 24 294 68934 66014 23 282 20 291 24 289 24 294 66014 63293 22 278 22 284 22 284 22 294 63293 60638 25 286 26 287 23 286 27 298 60638 57865 29 285 31 287 25 285 35 294 57865 55000 31 274 35 281 30 287 33 288 55000 52275 30 260 34 273 36 280 31 285 52275 49826 27 264 35 271 33 274 35 283 49826 47642 29 269 33 263 30 267 38 277 47642 45672 30 260 38 254 37 261 35 271 45672 43878 33 252 37 237 45 250 30 263 43878 42237 40 246 35 253 33 260 24 257 42237 40725 47 247 38 266 27 263 22 262 40725 39315 46 244 36 259 29 257 30 273 39315 37980 39 234 34 254 29 254 34 272 37980 36685 37 236 34 258 28 255 28 255 36685 35368 32 235 32 259 28 256 27 260 35368 34001 28 236 26 270 28 261 27 261 34001 32586 21 241 24 290 25 274 28 261 32586 31109 15 262 24 298 20 276 29 259 31109 29560 17 282 25 299 17 276 29 257 29560 27940 16 275 25 289 18 284 27 255 27940 26253 17 276 22 279 19 276 22 255 26253 24504 18 277 16 285 18 268 21 261 24504 22692 19 270 13 282 13 276 21 259 22692 20812 17 275 10 281 11 271 22 260 20812 18860 14 288 11 286 10 275 21 260 18860 16875 13 284 14 251 12 265 14 260 16875 14968 7 312 5 177 13 238 12 256 14968 13237 10 319 5 126 11 179 9 232 13237 11701 7 256 7 110 12 138 13 203 11701 10339 7 149 8 118 16 138 13 174 10339 9129 14 116 13 134 18 148 11 175 9129 8049 17 116 17 144 17 159 13 174 8049 7088 16 124 20 154 15 170 15 166 7088 6237 17 129 21 162 14 173 17 159 6237 5483 19 131 21 161 14 160 19 151 5483 4808 21 134 19*154 14 136 20 140 4808 4211 21 136 15*141 13 126 21 128 4211 3713 19 136 15 139 13 123 20 122 3713 3331 15 133 14 137 12 121 17 122 3331 3068 13 132 13 136 11 120 13 118 3068 2908 11*130 11 135 10 119 9*112 2908 2816 8*128 8 134 7*118 4*104 2816 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography