DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.1 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 - - 24.7 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 200 - - 102 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2306 - - 2692 - - 3080 - - 1834 - - 653 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 211 - - 171 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 297 - - 271 - - 267 - - 273 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -1 - - -2 - - -8 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2347 - - -1200 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11709 - - 10561 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -8739 - - -5364 - - -587 - - -1039 - - -1823 ODpotential blCL 18100 - - 14725 - - 9948 - - 10400 - - 11184 blCL maxRH 92 - - 95 - - 99 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.1 - - 29.2 - - 29.7 - - 24.7 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.1 - - 15.9 - - 26.4 - - 21.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.6 - - 26.7 - - 28.1 - - 24.2 - - 22.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.4 - - 15.6 - - 25.3 - - 21.6 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 200 - - 102 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 79 - - 94 - - 54 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95189 42 266 56 273 53 268 57 272 64 271 95189 88371 21 307 33 266 37 284 34 275 40 283 88371 83089 23 316 23 283 26 297 22 283 30 295 83089 78665 22 302 19 292 19 305 18 285 29 299 78665 74824 17 315 12 298 15 311 18 289 26 301 74824 71416 23 321 14 308 17 287 17 291 21 305 71416 68316 17 313 16 309 15 288 18 287 20 300 68316 65455 15 325 16 297 17 282 20 280 21 292 65455 62795 19 319 16 309 16 282 18 277 22 272 62795 60199 23 320 20 330 13 304 13 278 18 264 60199 57465 29 302 26 305 20 295 17 280 25 276 57465 54605 30 295 32 286 32 279 32 282 40 279 54605 51856 36 300 37 283 38 281 42 279 44 278 51856 49357 42 293 42 283 40 280 46 275 47 274 49357 47089 46 287 47 279 45 276 49 272 49 273 47089 45008 45 283 51 275 49 273 52 273 52 274 45008 43088 46 281 53 272 54 272 55 275 53 274 43088 41309 48 276 50 268 55 268 57 274 52 273 41309 39657 48 272 49 269 55 269 56 270 55 270 39657 38125 60 267 59 260 62 260 57 265 60 263 38125 36715 70 265 72 255 74 257 64 259 65 252 36715 35405 91 256 83 251 88 248 75 254 72 247 35405 34136 104 254 95 245 95 243 88 246 77 246 34136 32870 105 254 98 244 97 243 93 242 82 243 32870 31609 99 256 96 245 95 244 93 242 78 243 31609 30337 87 257 89 245 89 246 87 244 71 245 30337 29046 76 256 82 245 81 248 77 247 65 249 29046 27738 67 257 70 248 78 246 72 248 60 250 27738 26416 61 257 58 252 76 245 62 249 57 250 26416 25085 52 253 52 261 71 253 56 249 55 250 25085 23750 44 262 50 261 62 258 52 247 52 251 23750 22408 38 262 46 259 55 258 52 253 48 250 22408 21055 36 258 42 256 46 259 55 262 46 247 21055 19711 34 256 39 251 40 264 53 268 46 246 19711 18436 30 256 35 246 37 268 47 270 47 249 18436 17282 28 256 32 246 36 269 38 270 45 253 17282 16250 26 256 30 248 37 269 31 270 40 257 16250 15316 25 255 29 249 39 265 27 270 35 261 15316 14462 24 255 27 251 38 258 25 268 31 266 14462 13677 22 257 23 258 33 252 23 266 28 271 13677 12957 21 260 17 270 28 251 21 263 27 274 12957 12298 19 265 14 285 23 254 19 261 25 275 12298 11694 17 267 12 292 19 259 18 259 24 274 11694 11133 14 262 11 292 16 264 17 260 22 273 11133 10622 10 254 10 287 13 270 16 264 19 273 10622 10183 7 239 9 282 11 272 14 269 16 275 10183 9837 5 225 8 278 11 272 12 273 13 280 9837 9596 3 223 7 275 10 271 11 275 10 288 9596 9447 2*218 7*272 9*269 9*274 8*295 9447 9361 1*297 5*271 7*267 6*273 3*323 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography