DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 53.0 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 365 - - 444 - - 133 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 7872 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9027 - - 14785 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 16672 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2436 - - 9903 - - 3669 - - 10637 - - 2468 Hgt.Variab. W* 84 - - 259 - - 662 - - 185 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 13 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 278 - - 290 - - 287 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 2 - - -33 - - -12 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3924 - - -5739 - - 574 - - -7190 - - -5003 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13287 - - 15102 - - 16098 - - 16554 - - 14367 sfcLCL ODpotential -6903 - - -7038 - - -1527 - - -9029 - - -9024 ODpotential blCL 16265 - - 16401 - - 18199 - - 18392 - - 18387 blCL maxRH 57 - - 67 - - 70 - - 61 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 53.0 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 18.8 - - 16.9 - - 13.1 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 49.2 - - 51.5 - - 51.1 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 17.6 - - 16.0 - - 12.4 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 365 - - 444 - - 133 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 7872 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96683 40 263 47 254 45 256 42 265 49 259 96683 89402 32 270 38 270 45 272 44 281 36 277 89402 83863 31 277 27 267 34 261 44 281 39 284 83863 79296 37 297 28 295 20 283 29 273 34 286 79296 75375 38 304 34 308 25 307 23 282 26 289 75375 71894 35 296 36 295 31 300 27 305 29 309 71894 68714 32 284 32 282 32 293 34 299 33 299 68714 65779 29 288 28 293 32 293 33 291 34 289 65779 63056 35 302 29 304 33 291 32 292 30 294 63056 60404 43 300 36 301 33 290 34 294 28 301 60404 57629 46 294 41 294 36 293 34 293 30 294 57629 54750 44 294 44 290 41 293 36 293 33 289 54750 52002 48 298 47 292 47 291 42 293 36 288 52002 49522 54 297 53 294 52 286 47 290 40 287 49522 47292 54 297 54 294 51 281 51 286 42 286 47292 45270 53 301 50 298 45 280 50 281 45 281 45270 43441 56 303 50 304 43 288 46 281 44 275 43441 41786 59 299 53 302 47 292 47 282 44 277 41786 40267 56 294 53 297 47 289 48 278 47 277 40267 38852 48 295 49 295 44 286 46 277 49 272 38852 37529 42 302 45 297 44 289 44 279 48 269 37529 36272 41 306 43 300 43 293 43 282 46 270 36272 35021 41 309 41 304 41 294 41 285 44 273 35021 33753 40 311 41 309 39 294 38 286 40 276 33753 32473 39 310 41 312 37 294 36 287 36 276 32473 31171 38 309 39 316 35 296 35 287 35 277 31171 29843 38 309 36 319 33 299 33 286 34 279 29843 28491 37 308 34 319 30 301 29 283 32 282 28491 27121 34 300 32 313 27 303 24 281 30 283 27121 25741 32 294 31 304 24 308 21 285 28 283 25741 24357 31 294 33 296 24 312 18 293 27 286 24357 22968 29 295 30 294 24 312 17 301 24 287 22968 21565 25 301 25 297 23 308 15 306 19 287 21565 20170 23 311 21 305 18 307 11 310 14 286 20170 18847 24 317 20 313 14 308 10 311 9 292 18847 17647 25 316 19 312 12*305 10 308 6 303 17647 16570 26 315 18 310 12*301 10 304 5 317 16570 15595 26 315 17 309 12 298 11 301 5 324 15595 14702 26 317 16 310 12 294 11 298 6 327 14702 13882 25 321 14 311 13 292 12 296 8 325 13882 13129 23 326 12 310 13 291 13 294 9 320 13129 12439 21 331 11 308 13 288 13 293 10 315 12439 11807 19 335 10 304 13 287 13 292 10 309 11807 11220 17 338 10 298 13 285 13 291 11 302 11220 10685 14 339 9 294 13 284 13 290 12 296 10685 10225 11 339 9 288 13 282 13 290 12 292 10225 9863 8 339 8 285 13 282 13 289 11 291 9863 9609 6 340 8 282 12 280 12 288 9 295 9609 9453 4*341 7*280 11 280 11*288 8*296 9453 9363 3*339 6*278 9 278 8*287 5*310 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography