DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 33.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 122 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2504 - - 3475 - - 3073 - - 1776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 181 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 209 - - 197 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 22 - - 8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1452 - - -1637 - - -1179 - - -1837 ODpotential blCL - - - 10813 - - 10999 - - 10541 - - 11199 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 84 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 33.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 28.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 34.9 - - 33.8 - - 34.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 27.7 - - 30.4 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 122 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 38 - - 75 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95797 35 295 32 281 31 296 43 289 95797 88830 22 288 26 290 24 296 30 282 88830 83432 21 306 24 305 25 299 25 309 83432 78938 19 311 16 313 19 289 27 310 78938 75035 15 310 16 328 12 291 17 298 75035 71559 19 295 15 299 16 289 17 293 71559 68416 19 291 11 320 13 312 12 314 68416 65516 32 277 31 295 23 302 21 291 65516 62827 21 261 29 257 22 290 17 237 62827 60226 9 250 33 254 14 306 12 245 60226 57469 38 251 46 253 36 259 27 254 57469 54586 71 252 64 247 63 244 54 247 54586 51849 79 249 79 247 75 245 66 244 51849 49395 84 249 87 245 80 246 72 247 49395 47198 86 251 89 245 85 246 81 250 47198 45214 87 252 91 246 91 245 89 250 45214 43413 89 249 93 246 96 245 93 249 43413 41764 91 246 94 244 99 244 97 246 41764 40237 93 246 93 243 101 244 108 248 40237 38812 94 247 91 244 99 244 119 251 38812 37477 93 248 88 247 96 244 114 250 37477 36206 92 249 88 249 93 244 102 247 36206 34941 90 249 88 250 92 245 96 246 34941 33657 87 249 88 250 91 245 94 246 33657 32361 83 248 88 249 91 247 94 247 32361 31044 79 247 88 249 91 248 95 247 31044 29700 78 247 87 248 91 249 96 248 29700 28337 77 246 86 247 89 249 95 248 28337 26958 77 244 84 245 87 250 93 247 26958 25570 76 242 82 243 84 250 90 245 25570 24176 75 239 79 242 81 249 87 244 24176 22776 72 237 76 243 77 248 82 244 22776 21368 69 236 71 243 73 249 74 245 21368 19976 64 235 63 243 66 249 65 245 19976 18662 58 234 56 240 58 248 57 244 18662 17474 54 234 51 237 51 246 52 241 17474 16412 49 235 47 236 47 242 48 239 16412 15452 45 235 44 236 43 240 44 237 15452 14578 41 236 40 236 39 236 39 233 14578 13776 36 238 35 235 33 231 34 227 13776 13041 31 239 28 233 28 228 30 223 13041 12368 24 237 22 230 24 226 28 219 12368 11751 19 232 18 227 21 223 26 217 11751 11177 14 226 16 223 17 219 23 213 11177 10654 10 215 13 216 14 214 18 204 10654 10204 8 204 13 214 11 209 14 191 10204 9850 7 199 12 212 9 205 10 175 9850 9602 7 196 11 211 8 201 7 164 9602 9450 6 194 10*210 6*200 4*159 9450 9362 5*193 8*209 4*197 1*100 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography