DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 34.5 - - 35.4 - - 31.9 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -2 - - 6 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 271 - - 631 - - 1001 - - 667 - - 907 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 47 - - 71 - - 9 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 291 - - 180 - - 098 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -8 - - 5 - - -5 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1647 - - -2601 - - -1101 - - -446 - - -3448 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11010 - - 11963 - - 10464 - - 9808 - - 12810 sfcLCL ODpotential -9679 - - -8917 - - -6939 - - -6595 - - -10443 ODpotential blCL 19041 - - 18279 - - 16301 - - 15957 - - 19805 blCL maxRH 61 - - 78 - - 86 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 34.5 - - 35.4 - - 31.9 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.0 - - 15.4 - - 22.6 - - 22.0 - - 8.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 34.7 - - 36.2 - - 35.2 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.8 - - 14.5 - - 21.5 - - 20.9 - - 7.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -2 - - 6 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 11 - - 45 - - 44 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95882 14 319 19 265 24 281 18 276 28 283 95882 88818 11 351 8 314 13 299 15 277 17 302 88818 83395 8 337 11 300 7 298 16 273 19 291 83395 78901 10 328 6 298 5 291 5 249 15 265 78901 75004 14 293 13 263 17 292 7 330 11 270 75004 71539 8 293 13 262 23 284 14 309 15 281 71539 68394 12 303 15 269 26 257 20 285 22 281 68394 65495 18 270 17 264 19 265 20 274 30 265 65495 62791 18 282 24 283 26 281 25 273 35 272 62791 60168 34 270 35 268 35 271 36 274 41 264 60168 57451 42 264 40 261 41 266 41 264 43 261 57451 54641 47 263 43 264 44 264 47 259 47 258 54641 51947 46 266 48 264 43 257 52 255 49 258 51947 49501 47 272 55 266 65 275 52 261 59 265 49501 47291 53 272 65 267 79 268 63 267 71 264 47291 45286 59 268 64 260 69 255 72 258 77 256 45286 43468 53 268 51 259 60 239 70 253 75 254 43468 41814 41 290 48 278 50 265 71 260 84 260 41814 40288 79 295 81 286 71 281 79 263 96 261 40288 38863 104 290 94 281 92 277 83 263 97 260 38863 37531 101 287 92 279 87 273 80 263 89 259 37531 36265 92 284 88 280 83 275 78 261 83 257 36265 35008 85 280 83 278 78 276 71 258 81 253 35008 33729 80 280 67 272 64 267 67 252 82 250 33729 32436 70 285 65 265 60 254 69 250 80 248 32436 31123 52 285 62 261 59 253 67 252 77 246 31123 29784 41 277 57 260 54 255 65 250 75 246 29784 28423 43 273 54 262 54 257 62 248 72 245 28423 27045 42 276 52 262 58 253 60 252 69 247 27045 25657 33 283 44 260 54 247 64 256 63 248 25657 24266 26 289 36 260 46 244 64 252 56 248 24266 22870 24 287 31 264 40 243 55 242 51 251 22870 21462 22 282 29 264 36 244 44 235 51 252 21462 20064 21 283 26 262 33 246 36 233 47 244 20064 18742 22 288 24 261 30 246 31 232 41 236 18742 17546 23 294 22 261 27 247 28 233 35 235 17546 16475 24 298 21 262 25 248 24 238 30 241 16475 15506 23 303 19 264 22 250 20 244 26 250 15506 14620 21 306 17 266 20 253 18 249 22 257 14620 13807 19 310 15 268 17 255 15 250 19 259 13807 13062 16 313 12 272 14 254 13 249 16 260 13062 12381 14 315 10 274 11 251 11 245 13 260 12381 11758 11 315 9 277 8 244 9 236 10 256 11758 11181 9 315 7 278 6 234 7 219 8 251 11181 10655 8 312 6 281 4 219 5 200 5 242 10655 10204 6 311 5 284 3 206 4 179 3 224 10204 9850 5 309 4 287 2 198 3 165 2 181 9850 9602 5 314 4 288 2 188 3 159 1 111 9602 9450 3*307 3*291 3*185 2*133 2*091 9450 9362 4*333 2*291 2*180 1*098 2*048 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography