DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - 40.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 162 - - 216 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 717 - - 2343 - - 3829 - - 3798 - - 1704 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 197 - - 216 - - 50 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 028 - - 132 - - 193 - - 240 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -26 - - 6 - - 17 - - 6 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5962 - - -6015 - - -6603 - - -6125 - - -3940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15325 - - 15378 - - 15966 - - 15487 - - 13302 sfcLCL ODpotential -15296 - - -12944 - - -12346 - - -11655 - - -10710 ODpotential blCL 24658 - - 22306 - - 21708 - - 21017 - - 20072 blCL maxRH 67 - - 88 - - 83 - - 65 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 39.9 - - 43.6 - - 40.7 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.3 - - 5.8 - - 6.8 - - 6.1 - - 8.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.1 - - 37.7 - - 41.1 - - 40.2 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.9 - - 5.1 - - 6.1 - - 5.5 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 162 - - 216 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 50 - - 31 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 9 220 18 257 10 304 12 273 13 226 96349 89229 7 065 9 114 8 262 12 320 7 045 89229 83743 6 030 11 070 1 248 6 306 6 008 83743 79195 5 017 7 043 4 354 3 005 5 015 79195 75283 7 031 6 031 5 325 3 348 10 011 75283 71808 10 030 3 049 3 334 3 257 11 333 71808 68655 4 324 2 269 4 345 2 207 9 284 68655 65769 3 188 6 219 4 304 3 239 10 270 65769 63102 1 164 6 187 4 232 8 237 14 245 63102 60518 2 220 8 197 6 242 8 258 12 238 60518 57813 9 209 15 230 13 250 16 272 17 253 57813 54996 13 229 20 244 22 253 27 255 26 246 54996 52298 20 228 26 245 28 255 27 253 25 234 52298 49850 25 233 28 243 31 252 30 252 30 240 49850 47634 25 240 27 245 32 241 34 240 40 238 47634 45601 30 256 31 241 34 240 39 239 43 237 45601 43728 36 242 36 242 44 240 41 238 44 236 43728 41997 32 232 46 232 49 232 44 234 46 236 41997 40396 33 224 46 224 49 225 49 229 49 233 40396 38915 38 203 46 220 49 222 51 228 56 230 38915 37553 42 187 49 217 58 222 55 227 62 229 37553 36279 45 185 49 213 68 220 58 226 67 228 36279 35024 42 188 48 213 67 220 61 227 70 228 35024 33755 35 187 48 216 62 224 64 227 68 228 33755 32475 33 184 49 218 58 224 64 229 62 229 32475 31173 33 184 49 220 51 222 60 230 56 230 31173 29843 35 182 49 222 44 217 48 232 50 228 29843 28491 38 182 46 225 42 215 40 229 44 227 28491 27121 39 181 36 227 39 216 36 224 40 228 27121 25739 38 182 25 218 35 216 35 222 39 228 25739 24347 35 180 24 214 29 215 35 222 39 228 24347 22946 30 178 25 203 25 214 31 224 36 229 22946 21530 27 179 28 196 24 212 24 224 29 232 21530 20122 26 182 25 195 25 211 20 224 22 234 20122 18784 24 188 22 198 24 211 18 226 20 231 18784 17575 22 198 19 204 21 214 17 229 20 229 17575 16495 18 210 16 207 16 215 15 229 17 225 16495 15520 15 216 13 209 13 213 11 224 13 216 15520 14632 13 217 11 210 11 211 8 218 10 206 14632 13818 11 211 10 210 9 211 7 213 9 205 13818 13073 10 202 9 208 6 211 5 222 9 211 13073 12391 9 192 8 203 5 209 5 240 8 217 12391 11767 9 177 7 196 5 208 5 247 8 225 11767 11189 8 160 6 185 5 207 6 246 7 229 11189 10661 9 140 4 165 5 204 6 245 6 239 10661 10208 9 123 4 148 5 201 6 244 5 261 10208 9852 8 106 4 142 6 198 6 243 6 284 9852 9603 8 089 4 139 5 196 6 242 6 305 9603 9450 6*075 4*136 5*196 5*242 5*316 9450 9362 4*028 3*132 4*193 4*240 5*333 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography