DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.8 - - 41.9 - - 38.7 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 146 - - 113 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1383 - - 2392 - - 2639 - - 1394 - - 963 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 195 - - 181 - - 33 - - 7 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 140 - - 172 - - 146 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - -152 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9514 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -3030 - - -1157 - - -3178 - - -3687 - - -5932 ODpotential blCL 12392 - - 10519 - - 12540 - - 13049 - - 15294 blCL maxRH 79 - - 84 - - 78 - - 78 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.8 - - 41.9 - - 38.7 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 32.6 - - 32.8 - - 34.7 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.1 - - 36.7 - - 40.0 - - 38.5 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 31.4 - - 31.6 - - 33.5 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 146 - - 113 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 38 - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97129 15 281 23 250 32 259 22 281 23 273 97129 89894 2 295 13 237 13 242 14 290 8 301 89894 84308 6 296 3 199 7 240 13 274 5 341 84308 79667 11 311 4 185 5 265 10 244 7 318 79667 75680 11 267 7 206 5 273 8 215 11 287 75680 72174 9 226 7 187 7 232 10 210 12 261 72174 68999 10 234 6 217 10 216 9 208 8 224 68999 66064 8 221 7 227 9 215 9 237 8 215 66064 63329 8 245 14 225 12 222 14 247 7 207 63329 60663 8 237 14 231 15 227 15 241 11 243 60663 57868 18 241 22 225 20 230 19 238 22 235 57868 54963 23 219 25 217 24 219 21 220 22 224 54963 52184 26 200 23 220 23 215 23 214 23 226 52184 49677 19 214 21 227 21 221 24 221 23 230 49677 47433 24 234 25 227 24 223 28 233 25 244 47433 45408 34 230 37 224 32 231 32 247 27 257 45408 43569 35 221 41 214 41 228 35 246 28 256 43569 41894 36 222 39 218 43 223 32 243 25 249 41894 40353 35 228 38 229 38 228 30 248 26 250 40353 38921 37 240 34 235 37 235 34 247 27 253 38921 37587 41 241 41 240 40 240 37 242 32 250 37587 36324 42 239 44 237 43 241 39 240 34 244 36324 35069 39 239 42 237 42 239 39 243 32 235 35069 33799 35 240 36 238 39 242 39 247 32 234 33799 32520 29 245 33 246 38 249 38 251 32 243 32520 31222 27 255 35 255 38 252 36 253 34 247 31222 29899 30 265 36 260 37 256 34 254 34 247 29899 28553 32 270 36 268 36 259 33 254 34 248 28553 27189 34 275 35 275 36 267 33 256 34 249 27189 25813 33 279 33 279 34 272 33 261 32 250 25813 24428 30 285 30 282 30 271 32 263 31 254 24428 23031 28 290 26 284 26 270 29 261 29 256 23031 21617 28 293 23 288 22 273 23 257 27 253 21617 20208 28 297 22 294 19 279 18 255 24 252 20208 18869 26 301 20 299 17 285 15 258 20 253 18869 17654 24 304 18 303 15 289 14 262 17 255 17654 16564 21 306 15 306 12 287 14 265 15 259 16564 15578 18 308 12 307 10 285 13 266 14 265 15578 14677 15 312 8 306 7 276 12 267 13 270 14677 13852 10 316 4 296 4 257 11 266 12 274 13852 13096 6 323 2 248 4 231 9 264 9 273 13096 12407 2 331 3 195 3 213 6 257 5 259 12407 11777 1 129 4 172 2 194 2 232 3 212 11777 11195 2 136 5 148 1 179 1 167 3 166 11195 10665 4 126 5 138 2 175 1 096 4 156 10665 10210 5 118 5 136 2 174 2 095 5 153 10210 9854 6 110 6 137 3 171 2 129 4 149 9854 9604 5 101 6 138 3 171 3 142 3 143 9604 9451 3*092 5*139 3*170 3*147 2*123 9451 9362 2*083 5*140 3*172 2*146 2*064 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography