DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 67.0 - - 63.5 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 340 - - 49 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 5269 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8967 - - 12583 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 14069 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5856 - - 3589 - - 5318 - - 103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 531 - - 135 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 313 - - 301 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -30 - - -16 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11893 - - -8019 - - -10874 - - -8523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21257 - - 22089 - - 20238 - - 17887 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16763 - - -13213 - - -15424 - - -15623 ODpotential blCL - - - 26126 - - 27282 - - 24787 - - 24986 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 48 - - 47 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 67.0 - - 63.5 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.1 - - 2.3 - - 7.6 - - 6.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 63.9 - - 62.1 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.1 - - 1.2 - - 6.7 - - 5.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 340 - - 49 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 5269 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 19 273 24 272 17 304 25 296 96659 89512 9 228 12 258 19 262 18 342 89512 84020 11 161 3 208 9 249 11 010 84020 79482 4 129 6 152 1 360 4 012 79482 75571 3 163 7 135 2 344 1 040 75571 72093 2 143 2 199 5 319 9 336 72093 68950 0 287 6 283 4 327 7 332 68950 66058 10 309 16 314 14 011 8 052 66058 63376 19 334 23 330 30 343 30 349 63376 60823 25 007 20 356 28 336 29 333 60823 58192 26 355 20 001 19 329 21 332 58192 55448 16 328 17 326 15 323 22 331 55448 52806 16 303 23 327 20 325 26 325 52806 50406 29 326 28 328 26 331 30 328 50406 48241 34 330 31 323 31 330 33 329 48241 46279 39 331 38 324 37 326 37 323 46279 44495 45 322 45 320 45 322 43 320 44495 42855 43 311 46 310 48 315 45 319 42855 41320 40 312 44 306 46 308 44 314 41320 39877 42 318 46 308 45 306 45 310 39877 38523 45 319 46 310 45 305 47 309 38523 37235 44 319 46 311 47 305 51 309 37235 35951 42 318 47 312 50 307 54 309 35951 34648 42 316 48 312 52 311 53 312 34648 33331 43 316 48 314 54 314 51 316 33331 31990 41 316 46 317 54 316 48 319 31990 30619 38 318 42 319 51 318 45 318 30619 29225 36 320 37 319 46 318 42 316 29225 27814 34 321 35 317 43 318 38 318 27814 26391 33 319 35 314 41 320 36 322 26391 24957 34 317 36 313 40 320 35 324 24957 23510 37 316 38 313 39 319 33 323 23510 22044 39 316 39 314 38 315 32 320 22044 20582 37 317 37 315 37 312 30 316 20582 19193 34 317 33 317 34 312 29 315 19193 17934 31 317 29 320 31 314 27 317 17934 16807 28 316 24 323 27 320 25 321 16807 15788 24 315 20 325 24 327 23 327 15788 14858 20 319 16*327 20 333 22 333 14858 14006 17 327 15*324 17 333 20 338 14006 13226 14 334 14 322 16 331 19 342 13226 12514 12 338 14 320 16 326 18 345 12514 11863 10 339 14 315 16 320 17 345 11863 11261 9 338 15 311 16 313 17 346 11261 10712 8 334 14 308 16 309 17 348 10712 10242 7 332 14 305 15 307 17 350 10242 9872 6 328 14 303 15 305 16 348 9872 9613 5 325 13 301 14 304 14 344 9613 9454 4*324 12 301 13 303 12*340 9454 9363 3*320 9 298 9*301 7*337 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography