DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.6 - - 27.9 - - 28.6 - - 24.4 - - 19.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 20 - - 38 - - -17 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 67 - - 1457 - - 1792 - - 927 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 107 - - 129 - - 41 - - 32 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 307 - - 310 - - 319 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - -15 - - -16 - - -21 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -549 - - -562 - - -127 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9911 - - 9924 - - 9488 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -7880 - - -4932 - - -3555 - - -3897 - - -4742 ODpotential blCL 17241 - - 14293 - - 12916 - - 13258 - - 14103 blCL maxRH 79 - - 89 - - 85 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.6 - - 27.9 - - 28.6 - - 24.4 - - 19.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.6 - - 17.5 - - 19.9 - - 17.7 - - 13.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 23.7 - - 26.9 - - 27.5 - - 25.0 - - 22.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.4 - - 16.4 - - 18.7 - - 16.6 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 20 - - 38 - - -17 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 58 - - 38 - - 64 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 7 339 9 304 7 023 8 213 13 290 96377 89229 11 317 8 343 6 030 1 318 5 029 89229 83654 8 336 6 014 3 053 6 318 10 039 83654 79020 10 327 4 006 6 339 8 334 9 006 79020 75046 12 338 6 359 9 308 11 315 14 333 75046 71531 17 329 10 354 10 290 15 304 20 319 71531 68324 22 298 18 336 13 307 16 285 21 311 68324 65359 25 284 22 313 20 311 17 287 26 293 65359 62605 22 287 22 292 26 304 24 286 30 284 62605 59932 23 292 28 288 29 300 31 286 32 280 59932 57139 31 289 34 283 36 289 35 283 37 280 57139 54244 36 284 40 279 42 280 35 287 39 283 54244 51483 38 277 44 278 46 279 37 292 38 282 51483 48995 38 275 47 271 47 280 42 292 40 282 48995 46763 39 280 42 272 49 280 45 288 45 281 46763 44734 40 282 43 279 51 276 45 287 48 280 44734 42869 42 276 47 275 46 276 45 280 48 279 42869 41145 43 274 47 271 45 270 43 271 43 275 41145 39553 45 275 47 257 46 254 45 261 38 278 39553 38082 45 272 47 255 44 251 42 254 32 281 38082 36726 42 273 49 259 45 251 36 244 27 276 36726 35450 43 275 51 257 46 246 30 240 24 269 35450 34188 43 275 51 255 45 243 26 240 17 278 34188 32917 40 276 50 254 44 241 22 242 12 302 32917 31648 37 276 46 251 43 241 14 246 10 327 31648 30372 36 273 42 250 39 242 5 283 7 352 30372 29079 34 270 37 251 31 243 4 325 7 024 29079 27772 31 271 31 251 25 241 3 325 8 043 27772 26452 31 276 27 251 20 233 1 336 8 044 26452 25123 29 276 24 252 15 224 0 246 9 045 25123 23788 27 272 23 256 15 230 2 237 10 053 23788 22445 25 269 22 258 15 236 4 249 8 053 22445 21088 21 272 19 259 13 240 4 266 6 038 21088 19740 18 274 15 264 10 245 4 296 5 007 19740 18459 15 277 13 270 8 253 4 313 5 335 18459 17301 13 284 11 278 6 262 3 328 6 320 17301 16264 13 290 11 284 6 278 4 335 6 315 16264 15326 15 291 11 287 7 290 4 345 6 315 15326 14470 17 290 13 289 8 296 5 344 7 317 14470 13684 18 291 14 290 10 299 7 338 8 321 13684 12963 19 292 16 291 12 301 9 330 9 326 12963 12303 19 295 17 293 14 303 10 325 9 331 12303 11698 20 297 18 295 15 306 12 322 9 338 11698 11137 19 300 19 298 16 309 13 320 9 346 11137 10624 19 304 18 302 16 313 14 319 10 351 10624 10185 17 309 17 308 15 315 15 320 11 355 10185 9838 16 314 14 312 14 315 14 323 11 355 9838 9596 13 319 12 312 12 314 12 325 11 355 9596 9447 10*320 10*312 11*312 10*324 9*355 9447 9361 6*326 6*307 7*310 6*319 6*352 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography