DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 47.6 - - 46.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 510 - - 459 - - 157 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10068 - - 8763 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 16651 - - 15529 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18868 - - 17563 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2070 - - 2664 - - 11057 - - 4379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 752 - - 694 - - 195 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 308 - - 303 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -23 - - -30 - - -17 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3642 - - 1226 - - -6803 - - -4297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15227 - - 16338 - - 16166 - - 13660 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1672 - - -437 - - -8321 - - -7472 ODpotential blCL - - - 17196 - - 18000 - - 17683 - - 16834 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 75 - - 82 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 47.6 - - 46.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.2 - - 8.4 - - 8.1 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 44.2 - - 44.3 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.7 - - 7.7 - - 7.6 - - 11.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 510 - - 459 - - 157 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10068 - - 8763 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 1 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97423 21 260 21 253 24 265 24 276 97423 89988 12 254 18 266 14 279 16 282 89988 84347 8 302 4 290 7 281 12 294 84347 79703 12 338 6 359 5 352 7 333 79703 75698 9 284 12 298 16 305 4 002 75698 72130 8 209 10 232 16 261 11 306 72130 68881 12 282 10 288 15 261 22 277 68881 65902 18 279 16 294 18 277 23 272 65902 63151 25 270 23 285 25 283 23 284 63151 60483 30 272 27 281 29 281 22 285 60483 57682 30 278 31 282 28 284 24 284 57682 54759 30 282 35 279 33 282 31 286 54759 51965 37 283 38 273 35 282 34 289 51965 49457 44 284 41 277 41 283 40 291 49457 47222 52 277 48 271 48 273 47 284 47222 45205 55 274 52 268 51 269 49 279 45205 43360 61 274 57 274 54 269 51 273 43360 41658 74 274 68 275 58 268 54 263 41658 40080 89 272 80 270 64 264 55 257 40080 38614 99 269 86 267 65 261 56 259 38614 37258 105 268 85 267 62 264 56 260 37258 35980 102 267 85 266 63 267 53 263 35980 34714 93 268 85 264 64 265 53 270 34714 33435 89 266 82 263 63 267 54 275 33435 32144 86 263 78 267 62 271 55 276 32144 30831 83 261 77 266 62 272 56 281 30831 29491 81 263 75 263 60 272 54 290 29491 28133 73 265 71 264 54 271 45 289 28133 26768 63 265 62 267 48 268 38 274 26768 25402 49 266 54 269 48 265 41 265 25402 24035 41 269 44 272 44 272 41 272 24035 22667 36 273 37 273 33 280 31 281 22667 21291 26 279 30 277 22 287 23 284 21291 19928 17*284 17 293 10 318 17 274 19928 18636 15*287 12*313 9 325 12 258 18636 17466 14 287 12*315 9 325 8 241 17466 16416 14 288 13 314 10 324 6 236 16416 15464 14 290 13 314 11 321 5 256 15464 14593 14 292 14 313 12 318 6 286 14593 13792 14 293 14 311 13 316 8 305 13792 13056 14 293 15 309 13 314 9 320 13056 12381 14 293 15 307 14 312 11 335 12381 11762 15 293 15 306 14 310 13 346 11762 11188 15 293 15 304 14 309 15 353 11188 10661 14 292 15 303 14 308 17 356 10661 10210 14 292 15 301 13 307 17 357 10210 9853 14 291 14 300 13 306 16 356 9853 9604 13 290 14 299 12 305 14 355 9604 9450 12 289 13 299 11*304 11*353 9450 9362 10 288 10 297 9*303 6*350 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography