DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 34.6 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 165 - - 214 - - -8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 2282 - - 3411 - - 1734 - - 118 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 198 - - 216 - - 27 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 310 - - 313 - - 305 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -34 - - -13 - - -21 - - -17 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4412 - - -4893 - - -5551 - - -4611 - - -4411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13775 - - 14256 - - 14914 - - 13973 - - 13773 sfcLCL ODpotential -13630 - - -11063 - - -10827 - - -11291 - - -12754 ODpotential blCL 22992 - - 20425 - - 20189 - - 20652 - - 22116 blCL maxRH 47 - - 32 - - 59 - - 68 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.3 - - 37.5 - - 41.1 - - 34.6 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.9 - - 8.4 - - 8.8 - - 6.8 - - 1.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.2 - - 35.4 - - 38.6 - - 34.5 - - 31.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.3 - - 7.5 - - 8.2 - - 6.3 - - 0.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 165 - - 214 - - -8 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96445 32 045 15 019 23 018 18 041 8 035 96445 89385 25 072 12 045 18 039 12 044 6 046 89385 83855 19 055 16 059 15 047 16 046 15 032 83855 79245 18 047 16 070 12 074 12 032 16 022 79245 75268 20 037 12 063 10 038 8 021 19 355 75268 71746 18 024 12 053 8 001 9 002 15 006 71746 68518 10 354 9 010 11 315 10 009 16 017 68518 65532 4 287 21 345 21 337 22 351 25 354 65532 62788 19 335 23 324 30 330 27 354 20 347 62788 60144 20 326 23 321 25 322 29 335 17 349 60144 57365 26 320 24 337 23 331 29 330 31 334 57365 54482 34 310 38 338 39 329 37 330 45 328 54482 51745 35 320 52 325 52 317 54 321 58 322 51745 49288 42 332 57 320 56 315 61 314 63 312 49288 47093 53 331 59 318 56 316 61 315 65 309 47093 45106 56 322 57 317 56 316 58 315 65 309 45106 43290 52 322 53 322 56 314 56 315 64 307 43290 41622 49 328 51 329 55 313 59 313 62 308 41622 40078 52 328 53 330 53 312 60 308 62 310 40078 38640 54 322 54 324 54 311 58 305 62 308 38640 37305 54 320 55 317 58 310 58 303 60 304 37305 36046 55 322 54 314 64 311 58 301 59 302 36046 34802 58 322 53 314 67 312 59 301 61 300 34802 33544 58 320 53 313 63 314 60 302 62 300 33544 32274 58 320 54 312 59 310 59 303 62 302 32274 30981 57 322 55 311 59 307 56 305 63 303 30981 29660 57 323 54 312 57 308 54 308 63 303 29660 28316 57 324 53 313 54 309 52 309 61 304 28316 26956 57 326 52 314 52 309 51 309 59 304 26956 25584 58 327 52 316 51 309 51 310 58 304 25584 24206 59 327 52 317 52 310 53 311 58 305 24206 22818 59 327 53 318 52 312 54 313 56 306 22818 21417 56 328 52 321 52 314 54 314 54 307 21417 20022 50 328 49 322 50 313 52 315 50 307 20022 18700 43 327 44 323 47 313 48 315 45 307 18700 17504 38 325 39 322 43 312 44 315 41 306 17504 16436 34 323 35 321 39 313 40 313 37 305 16436 15469 31 322 32 320 35 314 37 312 33 305 15469 14589 28 321 30 318 32 317 33 311 30 305 14589 13781 25 320 28 319 29 320 29 313 27 305 13781 13040 23 320 25 320 26 324 26 317 24 306 13040 12364 21 320 23 322 22 328 22 322 22 307 12364 11745 19 321 20 325 19 327 19 326 20 310 11745 11171 18 324 17 325 17 325 17 324 18 313 11171 10648 16 330 14 323 15 321 15 317 16 319 10648 10200 15 338 12 320 14 318 15 312 14 326 10200 9847 14 345 11 317 13 316 13 309 12 333 9847 9600 11 348 9 314 12 315 12 307 11 338 9600 9449 9*350 8*312 11*314 10*305 9*339 9449 9362 6*349 6*310 8*313 6*305 6*336 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography