DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 71.0 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 463 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7862 - - 11668 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14795 - - 17938 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16662 - - 20468 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5754 - - 1942 - - - - - 4232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 671 - - 770 - - - - - 23 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 278 - - - - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -29 - - - - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1912 - - 1232 - - - - - -7232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18575 - - 19237 - - - - - 16596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4277 - - -1281 - - - - - -11707 ODpotential blCL - - - 20939 - - 21749 - - - - - 21070 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 62 - - - - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 71.0 - - - - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 18.6 - - - - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 67.4 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 17.5 - - - - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 463 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7862 - - 11668 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98535 13 103 14 076 7 059 98535 91071 14 100 11 097 13 056 91071 85350 15 114 8 113 18 072 85350 80609 18 124 10 128 14 087 80609 76522 9 104 14 116 11 122 76522 72912 10 150 12 085 13 106 72912 69648 11 146 8 146 9 100 69648 66649 10 162 12 175 2 102 66649 63884 13 147 13 198 5 242 63884 61227 8 211 19 207 11 208 61227 58459 13 240 17 218 14 227 58459 55589 25 239 20 231 14 248 55589 52851 24 235 21 228 13 276 52851 50379 22 247 20 243 22 286 50379 48161 19 263 24 259 26 279 48161 46150 22 270 27 258 26 275 46150 44312 20 268 24 255 26 268 44312 42621 16 269 19 258 22 262 42621 41054 13 281 15 260 20 264 41054 39593 13 299 13 277 23 261 39593 38231 17 300 15 293 24 257 38231 36938 19 290 16 300 21 259 36938 35652 18 282 17 295 19 259 35652 34348 14 277 17 278 18 260 34348 33030 11 284 15 263 17 259 33030 31692 12 295 15 273 16 256 31692 30331 15 291 12 290 16 254 30331 28952 12 279 11 304 15 256 28952 27554 8 278 12 284 13 256 27554 26144 3 293 14 272 12 254 26144 24727 3 023 11 278 11 254 24727 23304 4 359 5 274 13 255 23304 21866 5 295 1*298 16 256 21866 20438 9 275 1*316 19 255 20438 19083 9 262 6 284 20 252 19083 17856 8 261 7 284 20 251 17856 16756 7*268 9 280 20 254 16756 15758 7*269 11 279 21 258 15758 14844 7 269 13 278 21 263 14844 14005 7 269 14 277 21 267 14005 13233 8 268 14 277 22 271 13233 12526 9 267 15 277 22 273 12526 11877 10 266 15 276 23 275 11877 11274 10 264 16 276 23 275 11274 10724 11 263 16 275 23 276 10724 10250 11 262 16 275 21 277 10250 9878 11 261 15 274 18 278 9878 9617 10 260 15 273 15 281 9617 9456 10 259 14 273 10*285 9456 9363 8 257 11 271 5*298 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography