DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 32.7 - - 28.9 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 134 - - 9 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3999 - - 5007 - - 4466 - - 3852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 186 - - 78 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 257 - - 270 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 2 - - -5 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -676 - - -382 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10037 - - 9744 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2473 - - -1950 - - -1931 - - -1117 ODpotential blCL - - - 11834 - - 11311 - - 11292 - - 10478 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 94 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 32.7 - - 28.9 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 22.7 - - 21.3 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 30.9 - - 28.3 - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 22.1 - - 21.0 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 134 - - 9 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 74 - - 65 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96060 14 285 23 303 19 274 22 290 96060 89050 13 278 23 317 14 325 12 303 89050 83606 11 303 17 319 12 324 11 326 83606 79092 14 311 15 314 13 310 16 359 79092 75186 11 278 21 326 14 313 20 339 75186 71699 4 191 18 311 20 332 24 326 71699 68528 16 313 12 317 12 312 18 334 68528 65601 32 272 24 271 14 280 14 261 65601 62874 32 255 30 246 25 268 30 243 62874 60228 31 247 37 239 36 259 37 248 60228 57438 34 254 39 242 40 243 38 246 57438 54518 52 265 49 262 46 244 46 252 54518 51724 72 258 65 259 62 254 59 255 51724 49217 89 244 79 247 80 253 73 253 49217 46971 91 235 85 243 88 247 83 249 46971 44932 85 238 86 243 90 245 86 246 44932 43063 84 243 93 245 91 247 86 245 43063 41340 98 249 103 244 97 248 87 248 41340 39748 115 247 113 239 104 244 94 248 39748 38276 120 244 115 236 108 237 102 247 38276 36919 114 241 114 236 106 234 107 247 36919 35646 109 240 111 237 106 240 110 248 35646 34392 106 239 109 237 108 245 113 250 34392 33125 103 237 108 238 107 244 114 250 33125 31851 100 232 107 239 103 243 111 248 31851 30559 100 229 101 238 101 243 106 246 30559 29243 101 230 93 235 98 244 101 245 29243 27907 105 234 90 232 96 244 98 245 27907 26555 100 239 91 232 94 244 94 246 26555 25193 89 240 89 236 92 244 90 246 25193 23828 82 238 85 240 90 244 85 246 23828 22460 76 237 81 242 87 245 80 246 22460 21085 72 237 77 242 81 246 73 247 21085 19722 70 239 71 241 72 248 64 250 19722 18435 67 242 65 242 62 251 54 253 18435 17273 61 244 58 243 52 252 45 254 17273 16238 52 244 49 245 42 252 38 255 16238 15305 45 243 39 247 35 252 33 256 15305 14456 39 243 33 250 32 253 31 258 14456 13676 34 243 30 252 30 255 29 261 13676 12959 28 242 28 253 29 257 28 264 12959 12302 24 242 25 254 27 259 28 267 12302 11699 20 243 23 256 24 261 27 270 11699 11139 18 242 21 257 22 264 26 274 11139 10627 16 243 20 258 19 267 24 279 10627 10187 15 244 19 259 18 269 22 283 10187 9840 14 243 18 259 16 271 19 287 9840 9597 13 244 17 259 14 271 16 289 9597 9447 12*243 15*259 12*271 14*290 9447 9361 9*242 10*257 8*270 8*290 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography