DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 55.9 - - 57.1 - - 49.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 373 - - 199 - - 26 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9027 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2771 - - 5023 - - 6106 - - 3516 - - 1167 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 259 - - 214 - - 114 - - 98 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 241 - - 267 - - 093 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 17 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1467 - - -2012 - - -1648 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10831 - - 11376 - - 11011 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential -4652 - - -3574 - - -3639 - - -1287 - - -179 ODpotential blCL 14015 - - 12937 - - 13002 - - 10650 - - 9542 blCL maxRH 96 - - 90 - - 84 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 360 - - 830 - - 510 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 55.9 - - 57.1 - - 49.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 38.2 - - 40.9 - - 43.7 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 52.5 - - 54.7 - - 47.8 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 38.1 - - 39.9 - - 42.8 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 373 - - 199 - - 26 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 61 - - 37 - - 89 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98289 6 324 5 127 6 190 4 220 10 286 98289 90889 1 060 2 129 6 172 1 069 4 014 90889 85191 6 148 5 209 7 201 3 283 5 018 85191 80455 9 119 7 174 9 186 5 273 8 351 80455 76366 7 044 5 121 7 177 3 280 7 351 76366 72760 8 337 5 360 3 177 3 280 6 346 72760 69497 6 302 9 318 4 301 6 289 10 324 69497 66492 5 275 10 296 9 287 6 280 9 289 66492 63710 5 280 7 264 10 290 4 286 6 261 63710 61032 8 292 5 242 10 273 6 288 7 250 61032 58252 9 260 7 242 12 257 11 266 10 245 58252 55378 11 240 9 236 11 245 13 257 7 245 55378 52644 11 194 9 213 8 238 10 241 6 278 52644 50183 6 179 8 162 9 192 7 224 5 280 50183 47970 6 153 9 139 9 157 5 218 1 254 47970 45957 9 116 11 120 13 156 4 167 2 007 45957 44112 9 120 16 124 21 134 7 148 4 146 44112 42413 20 120 18 117 24 123 14 134 10 115 42413 40841 24 095 26 112 30 114 19 127 18 099 40841 39386 22 088 31 104 31 107 34 125 25 095 39386 38040 29 095 28 097 31 109 45 118 29 100 38040 36764 33 086 26 090 37 110 39 115 29 101 36764 35494 33 079 27 086 42 109 30 115 24 102 35494 34203 32 079 29 090 41 111 23 107 21 104 34203 32899 30 080 32 098 38 113 24 103 24 102 32899 31572 28 082 32 106 34 109 24 102 29 099 31572 30216 27 080 26 116 29 106 23 100 29 097 30216 28835 25 078 20 124 26 104 21 097 28 094 28835 27435 22 087 15 126 22 099 21 094 27 091 27435 26022 21 103 15 124 21 106 22 093 27 088 26022 24602 24 104 17 121 21 108 23 089 28 086 24602 23175 25 105 19 119 22 097 23 085 29 082 23175 21735 25 110 24 106 24 094 22 085 30 072 21735 20306 24 114 33 099 29 088 22 085 29 061 20306 18952 23 117 35 097 30 085 20 082 31 058 18952 17727 20 117 31 087 28 085 17 077 31 053 17727 16631 17 109 28 074 24 085 15 071 28 053 16631 15640 15 097 23 062 18 084 12 063 24 051 15640 14735 15 083 16 047 12 080 10 055 21 050 14735 13904 16 072 10 023 6 063 8 048 19 050 13904 13142 17 068 7 356 3 351 6 045 16 051 13142 12446 17 066 6 312 5 304 5 045 13 057 12446 11810 15 065 6 289 7 289 5 046 11 066 11810 11221 13 060 8 268 9 282 4 054 9 077 11221 10683 11 052 9 259 10 277 4 061 8 087 10683 10223 9 044 9 253 10 274 4 067 8 089 10223 9861 8 034 9 249 10 272 4 075 7 093 9861 9608 6 027 9 246 10 270 4 085 6 101 9608 9452 5*025 8*244 10*269 3*091 6*105 9452 9363 4*022 7*241 8*267 3*093 4*109 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography