DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.9 - - 60.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 275 - - 148 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 8963 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3659 - - 4673 - - 4463 - - 2418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 236 - - 192 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 248 - - 250 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - 7 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -636 - - -585 - - -706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 10001 - - 9949 - - 10069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1374 - - -2288 - - -2677 - - -4281 ODpotential blCL - - - 10737 - - 11652 - - 12041 - - 13644 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 89 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 450 - - 770 - - 770 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.9 - - 60.7 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 48.8 - - 48.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 58.1 - - 58.6 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 48.4 - - 48.5 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 190 - - 275 - - 148 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 54 - - 54 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99221 30 099 27 097 29 098 31 099 99221 91740 23 100 28 102 23 097 24 085 91740 85978 20 112 22 099 17 092 23 087 85978 81179 20 099 19 111 13 090 22 081 81179 77036 19 083 17 122 9 103 12 071 77036 73382 13 068 13 113 8 120 8 082 73382 70084 7 079 9 101 5 143 8 095 70084 67063 3 124 5 059 7 127 7 116 67063 64275 3 237 4 074 3 156 3 162 64275 61589 8 236 5 293 3 119 5 217 61589 58817 14 236 15 261 7 264 11 234 58817 55966 14 221 17 248 12 255 10 209 55966 53255 15 221 22 237 20 245 15 267 53255 50836 23 215 33 230 30 249 22 261 50836 48676 24 207 32 210 35 234 26 236 48676 46708 22 206 29 204 35 217 25 242 46708 44899 27 218 36 220 37 215 36 244 44899 43229 35 220 42 222 41 219 41 234 43229 41668 37 223 40 223 40 220 34 232 41668 40200 35 223 37 222 35 225 29 237 40200 38821 34 222 34 219 33 236 28 251 38821 37506 32 221 33 222 34 248 28 254 37506 36196 30 220 32 227 33 242 26 246 36196 34866 29 220 28 231 29 233 25 238 34866 33520 26 216 21 229 23 230 30 234 33520 32149 19 212 15 231 22 230 35 233 32149 30750 15 232 13 244 21 236 30 235 30750 29329 16 257 12 252 22 241 20 236 29329 27891 19 263 15 261 22 241 18 237 27891 26441 19 258 17 264 21 239 19 238 26441 24987 16 254 15 265 19 237 19 234 24987 23524 14 249 13 260 17 238 20 227 23524 22046 12 249 11 255 14 249 19 220 22046 20577 12 255 13 242 12 258 16 214 20577 19185 14 256 14 243 12 257 13 213 19185 17928 12 256 14 239 12 254 12 223 17928 16805 10 245 13 236 11 246 13 236 16805 15791 10 240 11 239 10 240 14 244 15791 14865 10 240 11 244 10 236 14 249 14865 14016 10 243 11 246 10 235 13 252 14016 13237 10 248 11 248 10 239 13 253 13237 12526 10 253 11 249 9 243 12 254 12526 11875 9 258 11 251 9 247 11 255 11875 11271 8 261 11 252 9 249 10 258 11271 10721 8 264 11 253 9 251 9 264 10721 10248 8 263 11 253 9 252 8 274 10248 9877 8 261 11 252 9 252 6 287 9877 9616 8 260 10 251 8 251 5 303 9616 9456 7*258 10*250 8*251 4*313 9456 9363 6*256 8*248 6*250 2*323 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography