DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.1 - - 47.9 - - 50.5 - - 45.7 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 253 - - 305 - - 59 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 2695 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 8919 - - 10546 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 11495 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 398 - - 2767 - - 1925 - - 2835 - - 392 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 228 - - 409 - - 141 - - 32 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 20 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 343 - - 323 - - 332 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -43 - - -36 - - -66 - - -35 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5389 - - -5988 - - -3920 - - -4656 - - -3529 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14752 - - 15351 - - 15415 - - 14019 - - 12891 sfcLCL ODpotential -13576 - - -10913 - - -9059 - - -10278 - - -11115 ODpotential blCL 22938 - - 20275 - - 20554 - - 19640 - - 20477 blCL maxRH 63 - - 78 - - 70 - - 78 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.1 - - 47.9 - - 50.5 - - 45.7 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.2 - - 13.7 - - 15.8 - - 17.3 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.0 - - 45.4 - - 47.8 - - 44.6 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.6 - - 13.0 - - 15.1 - - 16.9 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 253 - - 305 - - 59 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 2695 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96516 14 085 4 156 10 125 7 133 5 040 96516 89308 12 108 6 143 9 099 10 118 9 038 89308 83732 12 058 11 145 8 205 2 237 6 017 83732 79107 1 004 8 098 8 159 7 221 5 340 79107 75113 10 326 3 264 7 267 11 309 12 318 75113 71621 14 287 12 313 11 268 9 343 9 349 71621 68480 17 293 26 319 28 321 33 316 37 327 68480 65603 43 330 40 325 43 318 47 312 45 321 65603 62951 58 328 54 319 58 320 56 321 53 321 62951 60383 70 317 67 313 70 314 66 319 66 318 60383 57686 74 311 71 308 71 309 67 312 71 313 57686 54862 73 312 70 309 64 309 65 304 73 303 54862 52163 75 313 73 313 66 312 64 311 73 304 52163 49740 83 312 81 311 73 312 76 319 80 310 49740 47565 90 308 86 308 80 315 90 314 88 313 47565 45585 95 306 94 306 91 313 98 306 90 313 45585 43774 98 306 101 304 100 305 99 303 92 309 43774 42111 100 307 102 304 102 302 98 303 95 304 42111 40572 99 306 100 307 105 307 96 305 95 303 40572 39136 93 304 97 309 103 309 97 307 94 306 39136 37800 87 303 93 309 96 308 97 305 91 306 37800 36532 83 303 87 309 90 308 97 304 86 304 36532 35270 81 305 84 308 84 310 96 306 85 301 35270 33988 80 309 81 309 77 311 92 308 83 301 33988 32692 77 312 78 312 72 308 81 307 79 303 32692 31375 72 312 72 313 70 306 71 303 72 305 31375 30031 64 309 66 312 68 305 66 302 65 305 30031 28665 58 305 60 309 64 304 60 301 62 304 28665 27281 53 304 55 306 58 301 54 303 61 306 27281 25886 50 306 52 304 53 300 53 307 58 308 25886 24483 49 310 49 304 48 300 52 308 54 308 24483 23072 48 313 46 304 44 303 48 305 47 307 23072 21645 46 314 43 304 41 304 43 301 41 305 21645 20226 45 313 42 303 40 303 38 298 37 305 20226 18879 44 312 41 302 39 301 35 299 36 307 18879 17660 43 311 40 302 39 301 34 303 36 310 17660 16569 43 311 39 304 38 302 34 307 36 314 16569 15583 42 312 38 307 37 306 35 312 36 317 15583 14685 41 313 36 310 36 309 34 317 35 321 14685 13861 40 315 35 312 33 313 33 321 34 324 13861 13105 39 318 32 315 31 317 31 325 33 326 13105 12416 39 322 30 319 28 320 29 329 32 327 12416 11785 38 327 28 325 26*321 27 331 30 327 11785 11201 37 334 26 332 24*323 25 332 28 326 11201 10669 36 340 24 338 23 323 24 333 26 327 10669 10213 34 347 22 341 22 323 23 334 23 329 10213 9855 30 352 19 343 20 323 21 333 20 331 9855 9605 24 354 16 344 18 323 18 333 16 333 9605 9451 18*356 14*344 16 322 16*333 12*335 9451 9362 9*359 9*343 11 321 9*332 5*337 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography