DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.8 - - 26.3 - - 30.4 - - 26.8 - - 25.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 59 - - 108 - - 4 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 1148 - - 2080 - - 678 - - 461 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 142 - - 174 - - 64 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 354 - - 033 - - 292 - - 305 - - 026 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - -7 - - 3 - - -8 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2750 - - -3125 - - -2496 - - -966 - - -2993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12111 - - 12486 - - 11857 - - 10327 - - 12356 sfcLCL ODpotential -11417 - - -8807 - - -7093 - - -6667 - - -10888 ODpotential blCL 20778 - - 18168 - - 16454 - - 16028 - - 20250 blCL maxRH 37 - - 46 - - 47 - - 53 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.8 - - 26.3 - - 30.4 - - 26.8 - - 25.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -5.1 - - 5.3 - - 11.9 - - 15.0 - - 5.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.9 - - 24.8 - - 28.6 - - 26.6 - - 30.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.9 - - 4.3 - - 10.8 - - 13.9 - - 4.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 59 - - 108 - - 4 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95968 60 264 63 268 59 260 67 271 56 282 95968 89010 38 276 42 275 38 279 36 276 26 287 89010 83627 27 278 31 261 31 287 25 286 22 298 83627 79108 22 289 25 265 25 285 21 295 18 306 79108 75179 20 270 20 254 16 265 17 265 14 296 75179 71678 19 241 16 254 18 291 5 292 7 316 71678 68483 17 283 19 266 27 294 19 321 14 320 68483 65536 18 281 17 251 25 260 18 300 16 295 65536 62794 14 278 16 286 17 272 16 302 17 292 62794 60124 24 309 27 307 26 312 31 320 24 322 60124 57348 29 303 22 289 25 303 33 310 26 321 57348 54484 23 294 9 292 17 276 20 298 22 328 54484 51749 21 320 28 340 15 327 14 305 23 341 51749 49283 29 324 35 332 24 343 23 337 28 002 49283 47076 26 315 23 324 24 350 30 344 30 002 47076 45084 20 328 19 331 28 359 34 355 30 360 45084 43280 25 344 26 347 28 357 36 005 33 013 43280 41636 23 342 27 360 20 358 29 008 29 020 41636 40115 15 011 28 024 22 026 26 023 17 055 40115 38697 29 041 46 032 37 034 31 038 37 067 38697 37381 59 030 61 028 49 031 38 040 42 061 37381 36139 75 021 64 024 53 029 41 036 35 054 36139 34909 75 018 60 022 51 031 36 031 29 055 34909 33661 69 017 57 020 47 034 30 030 26 061 33661 32399 66 018 56 019 43 034 26 025 22 064 32399 31112 65 021 57 019 40 029 26 015 17 070 31112 29796 64 023 57 018 40 022 26 010 15 082 29796 28454 61 025 56 017 42 018 28 008 14 080 28454 27092 56 025 53 016 43 014 29 009 10 056 27092 25714 50 026 49 015 43 013 29 011 10 022 25714 24327 44 026 45 016 40 012 27 013 13 013 24327 22928 41 026 40 018 35 009 25 012 14 016 22928 21514 40 027 36 022 30 006 24 006 15 015 21514 20107 40 028 32 026 25 004 22 359 16 012 20107 18772 39 028 28 030 21 005 21 356 16 010 18772 17561 35 027 24 032 19 007 19 357 15 012 17561 16479 31 026 21 033 17 009 17 002 14 015 16479 15500 28 024 18 033 16 013 14 008 12 018 15500 14609 25 022 17 032 16 017 12 017 10 026 14609 13793 23 020 16 032 15 020 11 029 9 040 13793 13046 21 018 15 031 15 021 11 041 10 054 13046 12365 20 017 15 031 15 019 12 048 10 065 12365 11743 19 016 14 030 14 013 11 048 10 072 11743 11167 18 016 13 028 11 001 10 040 10 076 11167 10644 16 015 12 024 7 340 9 020 10 073 10644 10197 14 013 10 022 5 324 8 359 10 064 10197 9845 12 008 7 024 4 314 6 335 9 054 9845 9600 11 003 6 026 3 304 5 319 9 043 9600 9448 10*000 5*027 3*299 4*310 7*037 9448 9362 6*354 3*033 2*292 3*305 6*026 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography