DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.8 - - 49.1 - - 51.7 - - 48.4 - - 39.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 342 - - 395 - - 61 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2654 - - 4831 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 10549 - - 12292 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 11454 - - 13631 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 698 - - 1996 - - 3128 - - 8018 - - 1336 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 424 - - 543 - - 143 - - 27 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 17 - - 25 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 284 - - 278 - - 280 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -56 - - -72 - - -13 - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5306 - - -4550 - - -3041 - - -6424 - - -4892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14669 - - 16005 - - 16673 - - 15787 - - 14255 sfcLCL ODpotential -10141 - - -7779 - - -5812 - - -9034 - - -9224 ODpotential blCL 19503 - - 19233 - - 19443 - - 18396 - - 18586 blCL maxRH 66 - - 73 - - 73 - - 73 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.8 - - 49.1 - - 51.7 - - 48.4 - - 39.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.9 - - 11.7 - - 11.2 - - 11.9 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 46.0 - - 48.6 - - 47.1 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.0 - - 10.8 - - 10.1 - - 11.2 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 342 - - 395 - - 61 - - -49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2654 - - 4831 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96402 9 209 19 211 18 243 17 232 22 277 96402 89190 4 163 5 201 6 170 8 202 14 319 89190 83650 4 064 7 157 6 170 2 272 8 353 83650 79054 5 351 4 147 2 140 5 047 9 013 79054 75083 5 167 5 157 5 336 8 016 10 012 75083 71558 5 047 6 097 1 155 9 009 14 029 71558 68356 19 338 18 326 7 290 21 311 20 002 68356 65449 21 338 20 341 13 289 21 305 23 343 65449 62782 25 324 19 327 9 304 19 324 17 339 62782 60185 28 303 25 290 18 314 18 328 7 312 60185 57455 40 306 36 300 30 313 19 290 25 299 57455 54600 57 303 46 299 38 301 31 287 36 295 54600 51860 58 296 60 292 57 294 50 286 55 298 51860 49391 54 290 60 287 61 287 61 285 59 287 49391 47164 50 293 56 283 63 282 67 286 61 290 47164 45134 50 296 55 285 66 279 72 284 73 293 45134 43277 53 298 58 289 70 280 72 281 76 290 43277 41565 61 298 62 291 75 281 69 280 71 287 41565 39976 75 295 66 291 80 281 70 282 65 288 39976 38499 90 293 70 289 81 279 76 283 66 292 38499 37138 96 291 78 285 78 278 86 281 72 293 37138 35866 92 290 81 281 74 280 91 278 75 289 35866 34618 84 290 77 282 72 281 89 277 74 284 34618 33360 77 290 74 282 73 281 86 279 65 287 33360 32093 71 289 71 278 75 279 82 280 59 298 32093 30808 65 288 67 277 76 280 75 283 60 306 30808 29499 60 287 66 283 75 282 66 287 63 310 29499 28169 56 286 64 287 71 283 62 293 65 312 28169 26824 53 286 59 287 65 282 62 297 65 315 26824 25468 51 286 54 287 60 281 64 297 65 316 25468 24106 48 286 52 289 56 281 64 291 64 317 24106 22735 46 286 53 288 55 282 63 285 62 316 22735 21353 44 287 53 284 54 280 62 282 59 314 21353 19980 41 290 51 281 52 278 61 283 55 311 19980 18679 39 292 48 280 50 276 56 287 50 305 18679 17502 36 293 45 280 48 278 49 290 46 296 17502 16448 33 292 42 279 47 280 45 290 44 290 16448 15492 31 291 39 280 45 281 41 287 42 288 15492 14618 29 290 36 280 40 281 38 283 39 288 14618 13813 29 290 33 281 35*280 36 282 37 290 13813 13073 29 289 30 282 32*280 35 282 37 293 13073 12394 29 289 27 283 28 279 34 282 38 298 12394 11772 29 289 24*283 26 278 32 281 39 304 11772 11194 29 289 21*284 25 278 31 282 37 313 11194 10665 27 291 19 284 25 277 30 282 35 321 10665 10212 24 292 18 284 24 277 28 282 31 325 10212 9855 19 296 17 284 23 276 26 282 27 325 9855 9605 15 301 15 283 21 276 23 282 21 323 9605 9451 11*306 14 282 19 275 20*281 15*321 9451 9362 5*312 10 280 13 274 13*280 8*320 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography