DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 70.9 - - 70.2 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 564 - - 561 - - 236 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5607 - - 7506 - - 7766 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13029 - - 14580 - - 14388 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14407 - - 16306 - - 16566 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1839 - - 1577 - - 2163 - - 4189 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 639 - - 704 - - 535 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 21 - - 21 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 247 - - 263 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 15 - - -28 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4038 - - -3582 - - -4441 - - -10683 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18446 - - 19889 - - 21008 - - 20047 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9086 - - -8450 - - -9617 - - -17627 ODpotential blCL - - - 23493 - - 24756 - - 26183 - - 26990 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 28 - - 21 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 70.9 - - 70.2 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 15.8 - - 10.2 - - 4.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 66.9 - - 67.8 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 15.0 - - 9.2 - - 3.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 564 - - 561 - - 236 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5607 - - 7506 - - 7766 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98791 36 097 29 089 26 092 28 100 98791 91248 26 096 24 102 27 094 22 079 91248 85475 25 094 22 096 20 084 23 085 85475 80707 21 104 22 100 17 077 19 081 80707 76619 19 114 15 088 17 095 15 087 76619 73017 15 086 12 117 12 077 14 086 73017 69766 6 020 11 101 13 102 12 083 69766 66788 5 162 4 098 7 112 11 073 66788 64030 10 098 4 147 6 213 3 015 64030 61379 1 085 4 180 5 213 12 236 61379 58649 10 018 9 190 7 308 5 265 58649 55828 31 274 28 266 22 292 7 350 55828 53136 37 252 41 261 42 271 28 288 53136 50718 34 256 41 255 47 262 47 270 50718 48548 45 269 46 264 51 268 54 269 48548 46565 56 272 57 268 57 271 59 270 46565 44737 64 273 64 270 61 274 63 271 44737 43039 70 274 67 273 68 276 68 274 43039 41452 74 274 68 275 73 277 73 277 41452 39965 74 273 69 275 77 277 79 278 39965 38576 70 273 70 274 78 277 82 278 38576 37259 66 274 70 274 72 277 81 278 37259 35954 65 275 69 274 65 276 74 277 35954 34635 64 275 66 273 63 276 68 276 34635 33305 61 273 62 271 63 276 64 277 33305 31954 57 271 58 269 62 275 62 279 31954 30575 54 270 55 267 59 273 60 278 30575 29173 52 270 54 267 55 271 58 276 29173 27754 49 270 53 268 53 271 55 274 27754 26322 46 269 51 268 52 273 51 272 26322 24883 42 267 46 266 50 274 47 272 24883 23433 41 264 39 264 46 273 43 270 23433 21970 39 257 34 264 41 271 40 268 21970 20517 33 244 34 266 36 265 35 269 20517 19141 34 234 36 259 28 259 31 273 19141 17896 37 230 31 251 22 257 27 277 17896 16783 38 228 25*246 21*258 25 279 16783 15776 33 228 23*246 21*259 23 279 15776 14857 27*229 23 246 21 260 22 281 14857 14012 22*232 22 246 21 262 22 283 14012 13238 19 234 22 247 21 263 21 285 13238 12528 18 236 21 247 21 263 22 286 12528 11878 17 237 21 248 21 264 22 287 11878 11275 17 237 20 248 21 264 21 288 11275 10724 17 238 19 248 21 264 21 289 10724 10250 16 238 19 248 20 264 20 290 10250 9878 15 238 18 248 19 264 17 292 9878 9616 15 237 17 248 18 264 14 293 9616 9456 14 236 15 247 16 263 10*296 9456 9363 11 235 12 245 12 262 5*304 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography