DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.9 - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - 43.4 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 184 - - 333 - - 316 - - 219 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9004 - - 8996 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7327 - - 10849 - - 10962 - - 8082 - - 1867 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 249 - - 246 - - 217 - - 18 W* B/S 16 - - 7 - - 15 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 204 - - 204 - - 358 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 27 - - 28 - - -27 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3023 - - -2500 - - -4229 - - -3503 - - -3337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12386 - - 11863 - - 13592 - - 12865 - - 12699 sfcLCL ODpotential -4699 - - -3658 - - -5476 - - -5057 - - -6301 ODpotential blCL 14061 - - 13020 - - 14838 - - 14419 - - 15663 blCL maxRH 58 - - 101 - - 97 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 310 - - 240 - - 160 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.9 - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - 43.4 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.4 - - 23.3 - - 18.6 - - 19.8 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 39.7 - - 42.4 - - 41.0 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.1 - - 23.1 - - 17.9 - - 19.6 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 184 - - 333 - - 316 - - 219 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 102 - - 87 - - 42 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97436 18 253 24 229 23 258 16 258 21 263 97436 90003 10 219 17 211 19 251 14 258 12 247 90003 84324 9 272 6 242 14 227 15 277 7 288 84324 79634 9 319 6 282 13 194 14 260 14 282 79634 75620 11 334 8 312 8 237 12 267 15 281 75620 72075 16 295 12 308 6 276 13 283 12 277 72075 68849 20 271 24 282 18 288 19 280 10 285 68849 65864 18 278 24 272 23 289 28 284 21 301 65864 63104 18 287 18 271 23 286 28 285 27 292 63104 60440 22 293 17 288 22 284 25 281 25 281 60440 57644 26 289 21 297 24 277 23 285 27 281 57644 54732 32 287 28 297 28 282 29 289 32 287 54732 51951 38 286 34 296 35 288 35 290 34 287 51951 49435 39 285 41 288 39 287 38 289 36 293 49435 47171 38 283 40 279 40 285 38 289 39 292 47171 45118 34 286 35 274 40 284 42 293 40 289 45118 43240 38 290 34 274 39 289 46 293 39 290 43240 41510 43 284 37 282 45 294 46 289 38 296 41510 39911 44 276 42 283 47 295 39 283 36 297 39911 38432 37 269 44 277 49 295 37 289 35 299 38432 37062 32 280 38 269 52 282 41 289 35 297 37062 35770 40 290 33 277 45 269 44 280 29 294 35770 34499 41 285 37 287 38 271 33 273 18 290 34499 33226 40 280 39 283 37 280 21 273 6 296 33226 31959 41 280 40 276 41 280 19 276 6 016 31959 30684 42 281 45 277 44 273 18 273 5 048 30684 29390 41 278 46 281 43 272 12 267 22 111 29390 28078 40 273 41 277 33 275 3 111 24 105 28078 26749 37 273 38 278 17 276 18 094 17 104 26749 25408 27 290 28 284 3 256 19 091 12 106 25408 24060 24 292 20 292 1 124 13 083 9 105 24060 22701 27 282 21 297 2 014 7 055 8 097 22701 21328 22 278 16 306 4 357 5 350 8 082 21328 19960 15 287 9 327 5 337 6 317 8 064 19960 18661 17 307 7 334 6 315 8 300 8 044 18661 17485 22 314 6 332 8 283 10 297 9 025 17485 16429 20 316 5 326 10 276 11 296 12 015 16429 15473 16 324 4 316 11 272 11 297 14 012 15473 14599 13 335 4 297 12 270 12 298 15 012 14599 13796 10 347 4 269 12 267 12 302 16 011 13796 13057 8 354 4 246 12 265 11 307 16 007 13057 12381 6 360 5 233 11 263 11 315 15 002 12381 11761 4 012 6 218 10 260 11 324 15 356 11761 11185 2 041 7 215 9 256 11 337 15 348 11185 10659 2 076 7 212 6 246 12 345 15 340 10659 10207 2 100 7 210 4 231 12 350 15 332 10207 9852 2 116 7 208 4 220 12 354 14 326 9852 9604 2 123 7 208 4 216 12 355 12 326 9604 9450 2*126 7*206 3*212 11*356 9*327 9450 9362 2*131 6*204 3*204 9*358 5*328 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography