DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.2 - - 53.1 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 547 - - 558 - - 229 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6956 - - 9072 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14119 - - 15871 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15756 - - 17872 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2282 - - 1920 - - 9117 - - 2316 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 680 - - 750 - - 221 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 237 - - 271 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 26 - - -3 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1359 - - 1016 - - -7812 - - -6371 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14398 - - 16857 - - 17176 - - 15735 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -528 - - -1496 - - -10332 - - -11196 ODpotential blCL - - - 16284 - - 19368 - - 19695 - - 20559 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 51 - - 45 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.2 - - 53.1 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.6 - - 13.6 - - 10.4 - - 8.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 51.3 - - 50.7 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 12.6 - - 9.5 - - 8.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 547 - - 558 - - 229 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6956 - - 9072 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98154 7 129 14 095 10 087 14 102 98154 90757 13 114 10 062 9 071 11 067 90757 85071 7 118 3 056 4 079 10 023 85071 80339 8 105 4 216 5 041 8 020 80339 76244 7 075 3 173 6 328 7 008 76244 72615 4 013 4 124 4 298 5 012 72615 69331 3 245 3 239 4 312 2 309 69331 66315 8 264 4 267 2 183 3 204 66315 63509 15 223 15 242 14 252 11 274 63509 60783 20 202 22 223 21 234 22 251 60783 57925 17 227 20 216 18 232 21 239 57925 54953 26 254 24 252 21 249 26 251 54953 52123 34 250 33 252 31 254 29 257 52123 49588 38 236 38 240 37 255 36 258 49588 47335 34 233 38 236 40 248 35 253 47335 45308 32 243 36 242 35 248 34 253 45308 43464 41 260 40 257 37 254 35 264 43464 41776 57 254 48 259 45 262 43 265 41776 40230 64 244 58 257 47 261 46 262 40230 38808 69 243 60 253 47 257 43 259 38808 37487 75 242 59 251 38 262 32 270 37487 36235 73 240 58 251 37 277 34 284 36235 34990 68 242 57 251 38 282 36 285 34990 33727 65 245 56 250 39 283 35 283 33727 32450 61 244 57 248 39 285 34 280 32450 31150 56 247 57 246 37 288 31 275 31150 29823 53 249 55 245 33 290 30 273 29823 28475 51 248 53 248 29 289 30 274 28475 27110 50 247 50 250 25 288 29 277 27110 25734 48 245 47 251 25 275 28 277 25734 24349 47 243 44 251 29 266 25 268 24349 22954 45 242 41 250 30 260 25 257 22954 21545 42 239 38 249 30 256 25 252 21545 20147 39 237 34 246 28 251 24 250 20147 18822 33 236 26*243 26 246 24 247 18822 17622 24 234 21*240 19 245 24 244 17622 16548 18*229 17 238 13 253 23 245 16548 15574 14*222 17 238 12 261 22 249 15574 14684 13 217 16 238 12 264 20 255 14684 13867 13 215 16 238 12 266 18 263 13867 13116 13 213 16 238 12 270 16 271 13116 12429 13 212 16 237 12 271 13 281 12429 11799 13 211 17 237 13 272 11 293 11799 11215 13 210 16 236 13 273 10 308 11215 10680 13 208 16 236 13 273 11 317 10680 10222 13 207 16 235 13 273 11 321 10222 9861 12 206 16 235 12 273 11 324 9861 9608 12 206 15 234 12 273 10 326 9608 9452 11 205 14 234 11*273 8*328 9452 9363 9 204 11 232 9*271 5*331 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography