DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.3 - - 47.6 - - 50.3 - - 43.2 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - 75 - - 148 - - -20 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 3433 - - 4326 - - 1326 - - 662 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 157 - - 192 - - 28 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 332 - - 308 - - 288 - - 299 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -33 - - -7 - - -9 - - -15 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3165 - - -4668 - - -5669 - - -4140 - - -4308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12527 - - 14032 - - 15032 - - 13503 - - 13671 sfcLCL ODpotential -11860 - - -10650 - - -11346 - - -11450 - - -13307 ODpotential blCL 21222 - - 20013 - - 20708 - - 20812 - - 22669 blCL maxRH 87 - - 87 - - 76 - - 84 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.3 - - 47.6 - - 50.3 - - 43.2 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 19.1 - - 17.3 - - 17.3 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.0 - - 46.1 - - 48.3 - - 44.8 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.9 - - 18.1 - - 16.3 - - 16.7 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - 75 - - 148 - - -20 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 49 - - 3 - - 35 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96102 31 271 38 272 40 279 29 281 41 275 96102 89109 22 300 22 276 25 271 28 291 27 290 89109 83719 21 312 19 299 17 273 25 287 22 299 83719 79240 17 301 14 310 11 294 19 277 16 310 79240 75361 12 302 11 272 11 312 10 283 10 313 75361 71916 9 332 6 267 11 302 8 303 8 350 71916 68790 8 334 8 325 7 328 6 290 12 321 68790 65903 11 297 11 320 7 313 7 274 10 359 65903 63228 6 293 12 298 6 296 20 274 19 282 63228 60675 19 285 24 286 21 281 25 273 25 273 60675 58034 27 287 29 279 28 281 26 281 30 281 58034 55275 31 287 27 281 30 274 35 281 36 277 55275 52616 35 277 32 278 33 271 36 271 41 265 52616 50206 40 277 41 276 37 268 38 266 42 258 50206 48038 48 274 48 271 46 269 47 269 43 259 48038 46064 53 266 52 267 55 268 54 268 48 262 46064 44254 52 263 54 267 56 268 55 266 52 260 44254 42580 53 265 55 268 58 268 55 266 52 257 42580 41019 55 268 56 267 58 265 56 265 52 260 41019 39558 57 270 56 266 56 262 57 264 53 265 39558 38194 60 271 56 266 53 261 58 264 54 268 38194 36901 62 272 57 268 52 263 57 264 52 269 36901 35619 62 272 58 269 52 264 54 264 48 267 35619 34318 60 271 57 270 53 265 51 263 45 266 34318 33004 57 270 55 271 52 265 48 263 42 266 33004 31666 54 267 52 272 49 265 46 263 41 266 31666 30299 54 265 51 271 47 267 43 263 40 265 30299 28909 55 265 51 269 46 268 41 263 39 265 28909 27499 58 268 51 267 46 265 43 264 37 265 27499 26077 53 268 48 263 47 263 46 264 40 264 26077 24649 45 266 44 257 49 261 48 264 44 262 24649 23212 42 267 39 258 48 262 47 265 46 261 23212 21761 40 268 34 262 45 265 44 267 41 258 21761 20320 37 267 31 266 37 269 39 268 33 255 20320 18954 34 266 29 266 29 271 32 268 28 255 18954 17720 31 269 27 265 24 271 25 269 25 259 17720 16618 28 273 26 266 21 273 20 273 21 263 16618 15624 25 278 24 271 18 278 16 277 18 268 15624 14719 23 283 22 279 15 286 12 283 16 272 14719 13890 22 288 19 285 13 294 10 290 15 276 13890 13130 21 294 17 290 12 300 9 297 15 279 13130 12437 20 299 15 297 11 300 9 304 15 283 12437 11803 19 303 13 306 11 300 9 307 14 287 11803 11215 19 307 11 315 11 299 10 308 14 290 11215 10680 18 311 10 317 11 298 10 308 13 294 10680 10220 17 316 9 317 11 296 11 308 12 298 10220 9860 15 322 8 315 11 294 11 308 11 304 9860 9607 13 329 7 313 10 292 10 305 10 313 9607 9452 10*330 6*311 9*290 8 302 8*320 9452 9362 6*332 4*308 7*288 5*299 6*329 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography