DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.9 - - 54.6 - - 59.3 - - 56.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 356 - - 399 - - 76 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 5298 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9019 - - 12664 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 14098 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 955 - - 5118 - - 1878 - - 5078 - - 315 Hgt.Variab. W* 91 - - 255 - - 560 - - 154 - - 19 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 17 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 232 - - 281 - - 283 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 15 - - -34 - - -10 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4077 - - -6301 - - -2907 - - -7449 - - -5385 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13439 - - 15665 - - 17006 - - 16813 - - 14748 sfcLCL ODpotential -10598 - - -10812 - - -7545 - - -12131 - - -12265 ODpotential blCL 19960 - - 20175 - - 21643 - - 21494 - - 21628 blCL maxRH 61 - - 78 - - 72 - - 76 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.9 - - 54.6 - - 59.3 - - 56.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.3 - - 18.7 - - 17.3 - - 15.7 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 51.3 - - 56.0 - - 55.1 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 17.9 - - 16.4 - - 14.9 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 356 - - 399 - - 76 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 5298 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96539 23 263 31 272 34 276 27 290 27 292 96539 89362 21 295 22 269 25 264 27 309 26 317 89362 83890 10 302 15 260 21 277 24 301 28 324 83890 79370 10 321 8 273 9 285 17 264 17 311 79370 75435 23 303 18 314 12 314 16 297 19 340 75435 71940 21 299 21 320 18 314 23 302 29 331 71940 68806 14 353 10 346 11 329 18 297 27 316 68806 65942 22 332 18 331 15 009 11 313 20 316 65942 63281 29 316 32 316 25 336 24 337 25 326 63281 60697 33 309 39 311 36 319 34 327 31 326 60697 57997 38 304 40 307 42 312 44 323 47 328 57997 55203 48 305 50 307 51 308 55 315 54 315 55203 52530 53 297 55 299 54 306 53 308 45 311 52530 50093 50 295 54 306 53 311 47 321 49 341 50093 47887 51 314 61 316 64 323 72 337 72 342 47887 45888 64 317 66 317 76 323 84 330 81 334 45888 44075 66 312 64 316 74 318 73 323 72 325 44075 42427 64 316 58 313 57 315 56 337 54 333 42427 40911 64 320 51 310 47 305 58 347 58 358 40911 39490 63 318 48 308 50 301 49 337 61 359 39490 38153 57 316 50 307 50 306 47 325 53 351 38153 36878 58 315 52 305 52 314 53 321 47 340 36878 35606 60 316 51 301 52 317 54 321 53 332 35606 34314 57 319 43 294 51 315 53 318 58 332 34314 33008 51 315 42 289 50 314 53 315 58 334 33008 31679 45 304 46 292 47 313 53 315 56 334 31679 30321 44 297 48 297 43 311 52 317 53 330 30321 28939 43 296 47 300 37 310 51 318 51 326 28939 27537 43 298 44 301 41 306 49 317 50 326 27537 26121 45 298 42 300 43 308 47 313 49 326 26121 24698 46 294 40 298 42 307 44 311 47 324 24698 23265 45 292 39 295 41 302 42 309 44 319 23265 21817 39 289 38 295 40 297 39 305 42 313 21817 20377 34 285 36 292 38 295 37 301 40 306 20377 19013 32 283 33 289 36 295 36 300 38 301 19013 17779 32 281 30 290 32 294 33 300 35 299 17779 16676 32 279 28 294 28 295 30 301 32 297 16676 15680 28 277 27 294 21 292 26 300 31 294 15680 14771 24 272 27 290 19*287 23 297 30 291 14771 13938 20 268 25 286 18*285 19 293 30 290 13938 13173 18 265 23 284 18 283 18 289 28 289 13173 12474 16 262 17 283 18 282 17 287 27 291 12474 11834 13 257 14 281 18 282 17 286 25 292 11834 11239 8 240 10 274 18 281 17 286 23 295 11239 10698 5 199 8 261 17 280 17 286 20 298 10698 10233 5 139 7 253 17 279 17 285 17 302 10233 9867 5 105 7 245 16 278 16 285 14 307 9867 9611 5 083 7 240 15 277 15 285 12 314 9611 9453 4*064 6*236 14 276 13*284 9*321 9453 9363 3*049 5*232 10 275 9*283 5*333 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography