DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.9 - - 37.5 - - 38.3 - - 33.8 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -73 - - 151 - - 260 - - 14 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 2482 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 10337 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 11282 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 3124 - - 1555 - - 2150 - - 456 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 193 - - 377 - - 88 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 22 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 350 - - 360 - - 351 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -45 - - -29 - - -74 - - -31 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4957 - - -4819 - - -1972 - - -3613 - - -2150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14319 - - 14182 - - 13255 - - 12975 - - 11512 sfcLCL ODpotential -12551 - - -9719 - - -7073 - - -10394 - - -10693 ODpotential blCL 21912 - - 19081 - - 18355 - - 19755 - - 20054 blCL maxRH 43 - - 44 - - 59 - - 62 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.9 - - 37.5 - - 38.3 - - 33.8 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.7 - - 8.7 - - 13.3 - - 10.3 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.4 - - 35.6 - - 35.8 - - 32.9 - - 27.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.7 - - 7.7 - - 12.8 - - 10.1 - - 7.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -73 - - 151 - - 260 - - 14 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 2482 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96189 27 265 24 270 34 275 28 293 26 307 96189 89071 20 282 21 282 26 283 17 313 21 343 89071 83609 23 292 18 311 17 293 15 307 17 338 83609 79055 22 294 19 302 17 294 14 330 15 328 79055 75131 11 292 19 281 24 281 21 333 22 324 75131 71657 10 321 9 279 17 289 21 319 18 315 71657 68481 24 313 14 317 17 317 22 305 20 328 68481 65546 31 298 25 306 22 315 27 325 30 332 65546 62834 30 300 32 313 34 322 32 317 35 326 62834 60213 40 295 36 303 34 312 30 307 37 318 60213 57469 37 282 32 292 32 306 29 304 34 304 57469 54592 38 293 38 299 36 304 31 303 28 303 54592 51817 53 291 50 293 44 298 37 313 31 315 51817 49309 59 286 53 286 47 298 46 318 40 335 49309 47078 59 286 53 295 50 302 54 328 52 341 47078 45087 57 293 55 300 50 313 59 328 54 344 45087 43297 54 295 50 309 55 319 54 335 55 357 43297 41661 48 324 45 315 50 318 51 343 64 006 41661 40147 60 325 32 338 32 326 49 352 70 011 40147 38741 52 320 49 016 36 016 58 005 78 018 38741 37431 44 330 72 017 54 019 67 011 85 020 37431 36184 48 345 75 012 63 015 71 013 89 020 36184 34940 57 002 70 010 66 010 70 011 92 020 34940 33676 64 007 66 010 66 007 68 009 92 019 33676 32400 69 004 62 010 65 005 63 003 87 020 32400 31104 70 358 57 010 64 004 58 356 79 021 31104 29783 65 352 55 010 64 004 53 349 70 022 29783 28442 57 348 56 004 64 007 50 347 60 020 28442 27083 57 351 56 354 63 009 49 346 49 011 27083 25710 53 353 56 347 62 009 48 347 39 356 25710 24325 42 350 55 345 62 007 48 347 37 342 24325 22929 37 340 51 341 62 000 48 346 40 339 22929 21516 37 332 47 335 59 350 48 347 40 338 21516 20109 36 330 44 332 55 341 49 348 38 342 20109 18772 34 331 41 330 52 335 50 348 38 348 18772 17559 32 329 39 330 50 334 51 348 40 353 17559 16472 30 327 36 331 47 336 51 349 43 357 16472 15490 28 324 34 332 44 339 51 349 46 001 15490 14595 26 322 33 334 41 343 49 350 48 004 14595 13778 25 321 32 336 37 348 47 351 49 006 13778 13031 24 319 30 340 34 352 45 352 48 009 13031 12351 23 320 27 344 32 355 42 352 46 012 12351 11731 22 321 25 347 30*358 38 353 42 014 11731 11159 21 325 22 350 29*359 34 353 38 017 11159 10638 20 330 21 351 25 000 31 353 32 019 10638 10193 19 336 18 351 23 000 26 353 25 021 10193 9843 18 341 15 350 21 000 21 352 18 020 9843 9598 16 344 13 350 19 000 18 352 11 017 9598 9448 12*342 12*350 16 000 15*352 7*012 9448 9361 8*340 8*350 10 000 9*351 4*359 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography