DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.1 - - 41.1 - - 42.9 - - 38.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 127 - - 124 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1231 - - 2250 - - 2655 - - 1437 - - 1327 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 188 - - 186 - - 33 - - 23 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 155 - - 170 - - 143 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 13 - - 20 - - 2 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -79 - - -135 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9441 - - 9497 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -5744 - - -3883 - - -3205 - - -3727 - - -5330 ODpotential blCL 15106 - - 13245 - - 12567 - - 13089 - - 14692 blCL maxRH 63 - - 74 - - 74 - - 73 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.1 - - 41.1 - - 42.9 - - 38.6 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 33.8 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 39.2 - - 40.9 - - 38.9 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.5 - - 31.1 - - 32.5 - - 32.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 127 - - 124 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97016 23 263 33 248 45 260 43 287 33 277 97016 89792 15 263 16 247 21 256 20 280 21 270 89792 84238 9 304 13 259 14 250 15 268 12 264 84238 79626 14 270 12 265 12 270 9 280 12 224 79626 75644 18 260 13 249 14 267 15 283 9 235 75644 72116 9 288 13 240 19 247 20 266 13 266 72116 68922 10 305 4 225 13 230 19 253 18 267 68922 65984 19 271 9 270 10 254 17 248 16 262 65984 63237 23 253 23 257 22 260 19 257 19 270 63237 60554 21 235 27 244 29 255 29 251 27 262 60554 57747 18 239 26 241 27 249 29 246 30 253 57747 54825 24 256 24 241 27 250 30 250 32 256 54825 52039 32 250 25 250 31 257 33 260 38 263 52039 49555 32 254 33 264 36 262 41 264 42 268 49555 47358 38 261 38 257 38 258 44 264 47 270 47358 45392 26 265 32 261 36 265 43 261 49 272 45392 43610 29 291 30 277 34 273 40 264 46 269 43610 41977 37 296 26 279 30 276 40 268 42 266 41977 40463 30 291 21 278 27 276 37 269 39 261 40463 39044 19 291 21 292 27 276 34 269 39 261 39044 37713 14 326 24 298 30 278 33 269 40 263 37713 36443 20 335 24 297 32 279 33 268 40 266 36443 35179 24 325 24 292 29 280 35 271 37 265 35179 33897 25 314 23 287 26 279 36 271 33 260 33897 32605 24 306 22 288 24 277 33 269 33 254 32605 31294 23 303 22 294 23 274 29 264 34 252 31294 29955 22 301 22 301 21 273 28 263 32 251 29955 28596 22 299 22 305 20 275 29 265 30 250 28596 27219 21 298 20 301 20 277 29 262 28 249 27219 25830 19 301 19 293 20 275 27 255 28 246 25830 24434 16 307 18 291 20 274 25 250 28 246 24434 23029 15 295 20 290 21 275 23 253 28 248 23029 21610 18 273 21 282 21 275 23 259 28 252 21610 20196 22 264 23 274 22 271 24 264 28 255 20196 18853 23 263 25 269 24 265 27 263 27 255 18853 17637 21 263 26 266 25 261 28 261 28 253 17637 16548 19 263 25 263 24 257 29 259 29 252 16548 15564 17 264 23 260 23 254 28 257 29 251 15564 14668 16 264 20 257 22 251 26 253 28 250 14668 13847 15 263 18 254 20 247 24 250 26 245 13847 13096 13 262 16 248 18 241 22 244 25 239 13096 12410 11 258 14 241 14 231 19 238 23 231 12410 11782 9 252 12 233 10 214 15 227 21 224 11782 11200 7 237 9 218 8 189 10 207 17 214 11200 10670 6 217 5 185 8 176 8 181 13 200 10670 10214 4 198 5 159 8 173 8 162 9 180 10214 9856 3 178 5 156 8 171 7 154 6 156 9856 9605 2 173 5 155 8 171 6 150 4 141 9605 9451 1*169 5*154 7*170 5*145 2*131 9451 9362 1*357 5*155 6*170 3*143 2*017 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography