DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 35.4 - - 31.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 12 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1065 - - 1832 - - 1636 - - 1613 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 91 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 225 - - 255 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -6 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -981 - - -542 - - -511 - - -818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10344 - - 9904 - - 9873 - - 10179 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6570 - - -5786 - - -6969 - - -7988 ODpotential blCL - - - 15932 - - 15148 - - 16331 - - 17349 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 57 - - 57 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 35.4 - - 31.3 - - 28.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 24.8 - - 21.0 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 34.7 - - 34.3 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.6 - - 23.6 - - 19.8 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 12 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96116 25 262 35 269 32 272 35 276 96116 88961 15 284 15 279 17 303 18 271 88961 83526 14 283 12 295 15 296 11 316 83526 79016 11 258 14 280 19 287 16 317 79016 75095 6 281 12 265 18 284 16 310 75095 71619 12 308 13 302 16 290 19 287 71619 68468 17 291 19 294 19 272 15 280 68468 65561 20 304 25 325 17 335 12 289 65561 62842 44 263 43 270 44 275 44 274 62842 60208 50 257 51 252 48 252 46 259 60208 57460 49 263 45 263 39 256 44 257 57460 54586 53 262 53 275 47 272 45 262 54586 51812 59 256 71 269 63 269 53 271 51812 49303 62 254 78 260 75 261 73 267 49303 47074 64 256 75 255 82 255 83 254 47074 45082 70 260 73 256 78 251 80 249 45082 43278 82 261 74 261 78 261 87 255 43278 41624 96 260 86 264 92 262 103 256 41624 40099 102 259 92 260 95 256 108 254 40099 38677 94 259 83 254 86 250 97 251 38677 37349 82 260 68 253 73 248 84 248 37349 36088 71 262 62 257 68 253 79 250 36088 34832 66 265 67 262 66 255 81 253 34832 33556 64 266 73 264 70 261 82 256 33556 32267 62 265 73 263 73 265 79 258 32267 30958 60 263 69 262 70 264 72 259 30958 29625 59 263 66 262 66 262 67 259 29625 28272 57 265 63 262 63 261 64 258 28272 26905 53 265 59 262 59 260 63 255 26905 25529 50 265 55 260 56 256 61 252 25529 24150 48 264 52 258 54 252 59 248 24150 22765 47 262 50 256 53 248 57 246 22765 21367 45 261 47 255 53 247 55 245 21367 19978 42 261 43 255 51 248 52 245 19978 18661 38 261 39 255 48 249 49 245 18661 17469 36 260 35 254 43 250 45 245 17469 16404 34 259 32 251 37 249 41 245 16404 15441 33 256 31 248 32 248 35 243 15441 14564 31 253 29 246 29 246 30 241 14564 13761 29 250 27 244 27 245 26 238 13761 13026 26 248 24 244 25 244 24 236 13026 12354 22 245 20 244 22 243 22 235 12354 11739 17 240 16 242 17 242 21 235 11739 11168 12 232 11 235 12 238 19 234 11168 10647 8 212 8 225 9 233 15 230 10647 10200 5 178 6 222 7 230 11 224 10200 9847 4 151 5 224 6 229 7 218 9847 9601 4 133 4 227 4 231 5 221 9601 9449 3*128 4*226 3*235 4*224 9449 9361 2*130 3*225 2*255 2*306 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography