DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 60.6 - - - - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 514 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6014 - - 7909 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13351 - - 14880 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14814 - - 16709 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1623 - - 1774 - - - - - 7469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 648 - - 698 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 179 - - - - - 092 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 44 - - 48 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1116 - - 313 - - - - - -5816 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13698 - - 16397 - - - - - 15180 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3346 - - -3946 - - - - - -9342 ODpotential blCL - - - 18160 - - 20655 - - - - - 18705 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 55 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 60.6 - - - - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 21.0 - - - - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 56.9 - - - - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.7 - - 19.9 - - - - - 19.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 542 - - 514 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6014 - - 7909 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98516 17 105 15 113 16 107 98516 91081 19 118 10 092 16 071 91081 85353 15 121 8 101 8 036 85353 80600 12 112 8 110 3 004 80600 76528 16 112 10 100 4 213 76528 72954 12 117 7 116 12 129 72954 69707 12 131 10 152 12 087 69707 66692 10 127 9 143 3 116 66692 63881 5 215 4 201 6 167 63881 61158 14 199 18 205 5 234 61158 58312 14 196 17 188 13 188 58312 55357 15 193 16 199 14 207 55357 52567 23 211 23 219 22 223 52567 50089 24 210 20 231 19 243 50089 47878 21 223 26 245 32 276 47878 45867 34 239 32 245 39 259 45867 44034 35 239 30 240 31 239 44034 42357 29 231 29 236 26 223 42357 40805 24 223 29 227 22 219 40805 39355 19 213 28 216 19 224 39355 38001 18 207 29 206 16 219 38001 36716 18 204 27 197 15 204 36716 35439 19 204 25 192 17 198 35439 34145 21 208 22 194 17 181 34145 32839 19 214 19 204 17 174 32839 31512 16 220 18 220 19 183 31512 30159 16 229 20 233 19 190 30159 28787 19 236 20 242 13 201 28787 27397 21 235 19 248 12 222 27397 25994 20 227 19 251 17 231 25994 24586 20 216 19 246 22 238 24586 23168 21 216 17 236 25 240 23168 21737 21 217 19 231 27 228 21737 20322 20 216 22 223 29 215 20322 18983 19 212 21 213 29 210 18983 17769 19 207 17*194 27 206 17769 16680 17 197 16*184 24 201 16680 15692 16*187 15 183 21 192 15692 14788 16*182 15 181 18 181 14788 13956 16 180 15 180 17 170 13956 13192 15 174 15 179 16 158 13192 12492 14 169 15 178 15 149 12492 11850 14 167 15 178 15 141 11850 11254 14 165 15 177 15 136 11254 10709 14 164 14 177 15 132 10709 10241 14 163 14 177 14 128 10241 9872 13 162 14 177 13 124 9872 9614 13 162 13 176 10 119 9614 9455 12 161 12 176 8*113 9455 9363 10 161 10 176 4*092 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography