DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 68.1 - - 69.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 524 - - 458 - - 231 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5750 - - 7297 - - 8539 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13121 - - 14327 - - 14985 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14550 - - 16097 - - 17339 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3710 - - 4599 - - 4093 - - 9266 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 629 - - 651 - - 547 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 289 - - 283 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -57 - - -55 - - -39 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1231 - - 1816 - - 681 - - -3675 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13319 - - 14281 - - 16659 - - 13040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -836 - - -439 - - -1449 - - -6829 ODpotential blCL - - - 15386 - - 16536 - - 18788 - - 16193 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 70 - - 79 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 420 - - 90 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 68.1 - - 69.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 37.6 - - 28.4 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 64.7 - - 66.7 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 37.4 - - 28.2 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 524 - - 458 - - 231 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5750 - - 7297 - - 8539 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99003 34 109 33 093 27 094 26 090 99003 91497 33 104 30 101 24 096 29 072 91497 85724 29 086 28 115 20 083 23 083 85724 80936 21 091 21 107 22 084 22 096 80936 76812 20 088 15 113 20 086 21 099 76812 73167 16 089 18 097 17 112 15 089 73167 69862 15 100 11 098 15 114 8 112 69862 66833 9 097 15 088 10 115 11 125 66833 64044 6 154 6 081 7 111 11 099 64044 61366 7 159 7 132 4 151 10 038 61366 58593 6 055 4 351 3 197 1 343 58593 55742 10 020 15 307 12 278 9 268 55742 53046 36 291 24 259 27 268 23 265 53046 50622 45 277 37 269 35 265 35 271 50622 48444 53 271 51 271 46 272 48 271 48444 46470 62 266 60 266 55 271 58 265 46470 44665 68 265 66 262 63 267 65 263 44665 42990 72 265 68 261 66 263 65 262 42990 41422 71 264 68 262 67 262 63 260 41422 39948 70 264 67 262 67 261 61 260 39948 38568 68 264 65 262 66 262 59 262 38568 37259 64 264 60 262 62 263 57 263 37259 35959 59 265 54 262 58 262 54 262 35959 34640 55 265 52 263 55 262 50 261 34640 33308 52 265 50 264 52 262 46 259 33308 31952 47 267 45 265 48 262 43 260 31952 30570 40 266 39 265 41 262 37 262 30570 29168 35 267 36 266 35 263 31 262 29168 27749 34 272 36 266 31 265 28 262 27749 26319 32 275 35 266 30 265 27 265 26319 24885 27 280 33 268 29 267 25 266 24885 23442 23 284 31 270 26 274 22 273 23442 21988 22 285 26 274 22 281 20 282 21988 20545 24 285 21 284 19 287 18 286 20545 19177 25 288 20 288 19 288 18 283 19177 17938 25 292 20 290 19*287 18 278 17938 16825 24 295 20*290 19*287 19 275 16825 15817 22 298 19*290 19 286 19 274 15817 14893 21*300 19 290 19 285 19 273 14893 14045 20*302 19 290 19 285 18 273 14045 13264 19 302 19 290 19 283 18 272 13264 12551 19 303 19 290 18 282 17 272 12551 11896 19 302 18 289 18 282 17 271 11896 11288 18 301 18 289 18 281 16 270 11288 10733 18 301 18 289 18 280 15 269 10733 10256 17 299 17 288 17 279 14 268 10256 9881 16 298 16 288 16 279 12 266 9881 9619 15 297 15 287 15 278 9 265 9619 9457 14 296 14 286 14 278 7*262 9457 9364 11 294 11 285 10 276 4*271 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography