DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.6 - - 33.4 - - 35.4 - - 32.6 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 112 - - 500 - - 529 - - 172 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 2705 - - 3289 - - 1658 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 10680 - - 11151 - - 9603 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 11505 - - 12089 - - 10458 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1414 - - 941 - - 975 - - 1068 - - 807 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 482 - - 524 - - 287 - - 22 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 41 - - 39 - - 34 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 334 - - 328 - - 327 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 32 - - 28 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -84 - - -193 - - -163 - - -153 - - -64 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7152 - - -5850 - - -4791 - - -5843 - - -6148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16514 - - 17356 - - 16881 - - 16302 - - 15510 sfcLCL ODpotential -16191 - - -13946 - - -12816 - - -15005 - - -16588 ODpotential blCL 25552 - - 25451 - - 24905 - - 25463 - - 25949 blCL maxRH 43 - - 49 - - 56 - - 54 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 25.6 - - 33.4 - - 35.4 - - 32.6 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -12.8 - - -9.3 - - -5.4 - - -5.3 - - -5.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.2 - - 30.4 - - 32.2 - - 30.8 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -13.1 - - -9.8 - - -5.7 - - -5.6 - - -5.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 112 - - 500 - - 529 - - 172 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 2705 - - 3289 - - 1658 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96588 21 224 16 240 13 239 19 227 18 277 96588 89341 8 183 7 188 7 228 2 217 11 334 89341 83783 1 116 3 156 9 202 4 350 13 011 83783 79201 11 046 4 097 8 096 6 056 9 030 79201 75239 14 026 3 105 8 070 7 064 10 056 75239 71732 12 010 10 076 8 026 10 064 14 048 71732 68553 16 035 13 027 8 039 15 013 18 051 68553 65630 11 010 14 345 11 050 8 008 20 008 65630 62916 5 248 7 086 21 026 18 033 7 054 62916 60256 34 342 24 040 24 106 14 095 15 332 60256 57461 36 308 45 333 32 332 32 339 41 332 57461 54581 26 308 38 297 43 312 45 337 54 349 54581 51860 29 320 28 331 41 325 51 340 58 345 51860 49417 38 319 41 340 41 333 50 338 58 345 49417 47222 44 320 46 342 49 342 55 342 65 346 47222 45236 54 325 59 340 72 340 73 346 79 343 45236 43434 74 323 78 329 89 328 97 345 94 340 43434 41792 85 312 87 319 89 320 106 336 101 342 41792 40278 85 305 82 315 80 327 94 331 97 346 40278 38862 80 308 76 323 88 344 80 337 89 351 38862 37534 80 324 83 335 108 357 79 352 88 357 37534 36267 98 340 97 344 118 359 90 000 89 359 36267 35004 116 345 110 349 111 354 95 357 93 359 35004 33721 122 345 116 350 110 348 97 350 95 359 33721 32426 119 343 116 348 109 344 100 345 96 358 32426 31112 115 342 114 346 106 339 102 342 95 356 31112 29770 109 338 111 344 100 334 104 343 95 355 29770 28408 101 331 106 340 98 330 106 344 94 354 28408 27029 96 323 98 333 99 329 101 343 93 354 27029 25639 93 319 94 325 98 331 92 341 90 352 25639 24245 90 316 94 321 95 332 82 338 87 349 24245 22843 87 313 92 318 91 333 76 336 83 347 22843 21431 85 311 89 315 89 334 72 335 79 346 21431 20029 85 311 87 312 85 333 68 333 74 345 20029 18700 85 312 86 311 81 331 66 332 70 340 18700 17499 86 314 84 312 77 327 66 333 67 336 17499 16425 87 316 81 314 75 325 67 335 64 332 16425 15455 88 318 78 317 73 324 67 336 61 330 15455 14569 88 320 75 320 69 324 66 335 58 329 14569 13759 87 323 71 324 61 326 62 333 56 330 13759 13017 84 327 66 328 54 328 57 331 54 330 13017 12341 79 332 60 331 48*329 51 330 52 330 12341 11723 75 337 55*334 45*329 47 329 51 330 11723 11152 68 342 51*335 43 328 44 328 49 329 11152 10633 62 345 47 335 41 328 42*328 46 330 10633 10189 55 347 43 335 39 327 40*328 42 331 10189 9841 49 347 40 334 37 327 37 327 38 333 9841 9597 42 347 36 334 33 326 34 327 32 333 9597 9447 35*346 31 333 28 326 29 327 26*333 9447 9361 21*344 19 331 18 324 18 326 15*332 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography