DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 68.6 - - 67.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 579 - - 577 - - 251 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5999 - - 8264 - - 8599 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13358 - - 15216 - - 15087 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14799 - - 17064 - - 17399 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1293 - - 1757 - - 2514 - - 5586 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 660 - - 734 - - 565 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 32 - - 33 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 235 - - 236 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 21 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 38 - - 37 - - 36 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2020 - - -655 - - -615 - - -7844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16820 - - 17720 - - 18015 - - 17207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7660 - - -4202 - - -3850 - - -13075 ODpotential blCL - - - 22459 - - 21266 - - 21249 - - 22438 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 49 - - 51 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 68.6 - - 67.7 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 23.0 - - 20.9 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 65.0 - - 65.5 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 22.5 - - 20.4 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 579 - - 577 - - 251 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5999 - - 8264 - - 8599 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99053 31 098 33 100 22 096 23 068 99053 91524 25 102 21 098 25 090 22 087 91524 85743 23 092 19 095 18 085 24 087 85743 80958 22 107 20 104 16 106 18 077 80958 76844 18 100 13 124 16 106 12 104 76844 73218 11 088 15 102 12 094 16 120 73218 69942 7 096 10 100 13 090 13 118 69942 66927 11 128 7 122 7 120 11 123 66927 64119 14 141 12 182 1 209 7 090 64119 61397 6 141 8 191 7 193 3 260 61397 58576 13 186 10 238 10 207 7 216 58576 55674 13 248 20 249 15 247 10 263 55674 52947 7 250 33 225 24 240 14 242 52947 50507 7 224 35 219 35 229 29 244 50507 48304 24 233 39 237 43 242 44 244 48304 46305 45 247 47 249 56 256 53 247 46305 44472 58 247 57 259 69 262 65 253 44472 42781 56 244 68 262 76 262 75 254 42781 41201 58 247 73 260 78 259 79 252 41201 39719 60 249 74 256 77 254 80 249 39719 38332 60 247 74 252 77 249 79 246 38332 37014 60 245 72 250 76 245 79 244 37014 35706 60 246 70 249 74 242 77 244 35706 34384 60 247 68 247 71 241 74 245 34384 33054 60 248 67 246 69 240 72 244 33054 31707 60 247 66 244 68 239 70 240 31707 30334 59 245 65 240 67 238 70 238 30334 28941 58 243 63 236 67 237 70 238 28941 27530 56 240 62 232 66 236 69 238 27530 26108 56 235 60 230 65 237 66 238 26108 24682 56 232 59 230 63 239 62 239 24682 23251 57 233 58 231 60 240 57 240 23251 21810 59 236 57 234 54 238 51 239 21810 20383 58 240 55 235 48 232 44 235 20383 19031 55 241 51 234 41 228 39 231 19031 17808 51 241 41*232 37*229 36 229 17808 16713 47 242 37*231 36*230 35 232 16713 15720 38*240 36 232 36 232 34 236 15720 14812 32*236 35 233 35 234 33 239 14812 13977 29 234 34 234 35 235 33 241 13977 13209 27 233 33 235 34 236 34 242 13209 12507 27 233 32 236 34 237 34 242 12507 11862 26 232 32 236 33 238 35 242 11862 11263 26 232 31 237 33 238 35 242 11263 10716 25 232 30 237 32 239 34 241 10716 10245 25 232 29 237 31 239 32 241 10245 9875 23 231 28 237 30 239 28 240 9875 9615 22 231 26 237 28 239 21 240 9615 9455 20 231 24 237 24 238 16*240 9455 9363 14 229 16 235 16 237 8*240 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography