DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 46.3 - - 43.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 230 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2737 - - 3153 - - 2389 - - 993 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 193 - - 220 - - 56 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 136 - - 154 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 15 - - 10 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6220 - - -5923 - - -5430 - - -4371 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15583 - - 15286 - - 14792 - - 13734 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12788 - - -10888 - - -12220 - - -13135 ODpotential blCL - - - 22150 - - 20250 - - 21582 - - 22497 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 36 - - 34 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.9 - - 46.3 - - 43.0 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.0 - - 12.5 - - 11.5 - - 7.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 43.6 - - 42.3 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.0 - - 11.8 - - 11.0 - - 7.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 230 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 29 261 28 288 16 286 17 249 96175 89098 6 060 17 265 20 318 5 007 89098 83671 17 033 11 305 7 302 10 318 83671 79125 11 023 13 318 4 342 11 012 79125 75210 7 053 9 321 5 355 16 016 75210 71767 11 064 5 010 3 012 15 345 71767 68638 8 057 7 340 6 025 10 331 68638 65754 10 054 6 006 4 355 2 328 65754 63091 7 059 12 028 2 318 5 105 63091 60518 6 049 14 045 5 044 7 113 60518 57823 3 090 13 089 10 089 9 138 57823 55005 15 117 19 123 17 120 14 142 55005 52296 27 079 22 125 18 141 15 130 52296 49849 33 065 21 118 18 150 11 137 49849 47650 28 060 18 106 19 134 14 166 47650 45644 13 050 17 091 19 122 23 166 45644 43808 1 260 15 077 18 116 27 143 43808 42140 9 192 7 077 11 117 27 132 42140 40620 10 161 4 119 9 126 29 141 40620 39204 10 119 10 085 12 118 27 134 39204 37875 12 114 13 076 15 118 28 132 37875 36608 15 103 18 079 16 112 29 139 36608 35348 18 091 21 076 19 098 28 138 35348 34067 20 085 23 078 21 094 27 136 34067 32773 19 082 23 080 21 100 25 138 32773 31456 16 082 18 077 15 108 22 142 31456 30111 15 084 12 064 8 108 18 138 30111 28744 18 073 8 038 7 087 18 123 28744 27357 22 076 8 030 10 085 18 112 27357 25956 24 081 9 050 15 091 17 121 25956 24548 24 082 14 069 18 102 18 129 24548 23129 23 081 17 079 19 112 19 132 23129 21693 25 079 17 091 19 126 19 133 21693 20260 25 076 19 105 19 143 18 142 20260 18898 23 075 21 116 17 150 14 148 18898 17667 19 075 22 120 14 149 8 147 17667 16568 16 076 19 121 12 141 6 148 16568 15576 13 078 15 118 12 128 7 150 15576 14674 11 080 11 111 13 118 8 150 14674 13849 9 082 9 104 13 115 9 152 13849 13094 7 087 8 101 12 114 9 153 13094 12406 6 093 7 099 9 112 8 152 12406 11777 6 102 6 102 7 112 8 147 11777 11195 5 102 6 110 4 114 7 141 11195 10664 5 102 6 119 3 120 7 139 10664 10210 5 104 6 125 3 143 6 137 10210 9853 5 108 6 129 4 151 4 132 9853 9604 5 113 6 133 4 153 3 121 9604 9451 4*118 6*135 4*154 2*108 9451 9362 4*120 5*136 3*154 2*041 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography