DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.2 - - 40.6 - - 39.2 - - 39.0 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 20 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1924 - - 1349 - - 1408 - - 2012 - - 1141 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 100 - - 79 - - 58 - - 60 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 154 - - 151 - - 115 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 11 - - 25 - - 26 - - 5 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -140 - - 0 - - 0 - - -306 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 9502 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9668 - - 9362 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 400 - - 170 - - 110 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 39.2 - - 40.6 - - 39.2 - - 39.0 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.8 - - 40.5 - - 39.4 - - 38.3 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 39.5 - - 38.3 - - 38.3 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.6 - - 40.3 - - 39.3 - - 38.0 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 20 - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 104 - - 106 - - 103 - - 100 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97395 6 206 17 214 18 228 19 261 16 268 97395 90076 8 230 3 253 5 199 6 231 10 246 90076 84494 3 150 1 197 2 039 6 103 5 159 84494 79866 4 165 4 125 3 343 2 125 8 118 79866 75891 3 064 9 123 4 262 3 137 6 120 75891 72388 5 061 11 118 6 243 5 192 3 358 72388 69213 2 291 10 099 4 179 7 204 6 346 69213 66278 5 243 1 261 5 097 5 212 7 304 66278 63559 7 182 7 283 4 264 3 339 5 257 63559 60930 3 171 12 197 12 209 7 256 8 216 60930 58185 22 253 12 223 9 234 15 218 14 228 58185 55336 26 223 23 215 20 222 16 216 20 229 55336 52601 24 224 28 226 28 235 34 238 24 222 52601 50120 39 226 40 215 39 227 40 231 29 225 50120 47882 49 223 49 223 49 231 48 234 38 233 47882 45847 57 220 58 220 62 228 56 228 46 233 45847 43980 63 217 64 214 71 222 60 222 51 223 43980 42254 69 215 70 214 75 216 61 218 55 213 42254 40643 71 210 77 210 76 210 63 216 55 210 40643 39136 72 205 76 202 76 207 65 213 57 213 39136 37732 76 201 68 201 77 205 68 212 62 213 37732 36412 79 198 70 209 79 202 71 209 69 210 36412 35118 82 196 82 205 79 197 72 205 74 204 35118 33820 86 195 85 201 77 194 72 200 76 200 33820 32519 86 193 82 197 76 196 70 198 75 198 32519 31201 81 192 79 191 76 198 68 197 71 196 31201 29860 73 191 69 182 74 196 66 198 68 194 29860 28502 66 190 57 177 69 191 65 196 65 193 28502 27129 53 184 62 176 64 187 62 193 63 193 27129 25746 43 177 54 176 55 183 55 188 57 191 25746 24357 41 178 51 177 53 182 52 187 50 188 24357 22958 40 180 55 177 52 181 51 189 52 191 22958 21546 40 182 54 178 53 180 49 189 47 189 21546 20141 40 184 51 179 49 180 47 187 40 186 20141 18807 40 184 48 182 45 181 45 187 41 188 18807 17600 37 183 44 184 41 181 42 187 38 186 17600 16519 37 184 40 186 42 183 40 188 40 187 16519 15542 37 185 37 186 40 185 39 191 39 186 15542 14652 35 184 34 184 37 185 38 192 36 184 14652 13836 33 183 31 180 32 182 35 189 33 181 13836 13088 30 180 28 175 28 177 32 184 30 177 13088 12404 28 177 26 170 25 171 29 176 27 172 12404 11777 25 171 25 167 23 165 26 167 25 168 11777 11196 23 164 24 166 23 164 23 157 24 167 11196 10666 21 158 22 163 21 161 20 147 22 163 10666 10212 18 151 20 159 20 158 17 137 18 157 10212 9855 16 144 17 156 18 155 15 128 15 152 9855 9605 14 140 14 155 15 154 13 123 13 150 9605 9451 12*136 12*154 13*153 11*119 10*150 9451 9362 8*134 8*154 8*151 7*115 7*151 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography