DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 68.9 - - - - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 336 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5678 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12883 - - 9007 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14478 - - 9364 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3272 - - 8554 - - - - - 1193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 534 - - 250 - - - - - 74 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 254 - - - - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -24 - - 4 - - - - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 98 - - -4144 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14380 - - 13509 - - - - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1582 - - -5701 - - - - - -2549 ODpotential blCL - - - 16060 - - 15065 - - - - - 11912 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 95 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 610 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 68.9 - - - - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 41.9 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 65.9 - - - - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 41.6 - - - - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 336 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5678 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 79 - - - - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99167 34 101 22 110 19 108 99167 91680 23 119 22 119 18 075 91680 85901 17 095 25 115 15 087 85901 81128 17 083 17 102 19 099 81128 77030 15 111 14 096 21 103 77030 73402 16 105 12 100 14 093 73402 70119 12 068 8 118 8 108 70119 67111 5 093 7 166 6 126 67111 64332 7 172 1 164 5 154 64332 61650 4 153 7 230 8 192 61650 58874 5 237 9 212 8 214 58874 56026 5 261 15 230 21 248 56026 53348 15 250 23 240 31 250 53348 50952 27 273 25 256 29 237 50952 48785 45 271 36 268 30 252 48785 46800 49 269 44 263 40 264 46800 44973 50 266 49 257 51 265 44973 43283 49 262 52 254 56 262 43283 41709 49 253 52 253 53 259 41709 40239 51 242 53 251 47 255 40239 38865 51 237 51 244 47 248 38865 37557 53 236 48 242 42 247 37557 36254 52 239 46 242 33 239 36254 34929 48 241 43 243 28 230 34929 33588 41 243 41 242 27 228 33588 32222 37 244 40 241 26 228 32222 30824 35 244 40 239 26 229 30824 29402 34 244 40 238 26 232 29402 27960 33 244 40 239 27 236 27960 26505 31 243 36 241 27 239 26505 25043 30 244 29 245 27 242 25043 23574 28 250 26 247 27 244 23574 22089 27 254 23 248 29 244 22089 20612 26 257 23 250 30 242 20612 19212 24 264 22 248 30 238 19212 17945 24 271 20 245 29 235 17945 16813 24 272 19 244 27 233 16813 15791 24 270 18 243 25 232 15791 14860 21*266 17 243 22 232 14860 14009 19*262 16 244 19 231 14009 13229 18 260 15 245 16 229 13229 12517 16 255 14 247 14 229 12517 11866 15 252 13 249 13 232 11866 11264 15 250 13 251 12 238 11264 10714 15 249 12 253 11 247 10714 10243 14 248 11 255 10 256 10243 9873 14 247 11 255 9 272 9873 9614 13 246 10 255 8 297 9614 9455 12 246 9*255 7*309 9455 9363 10 244 8*254 5*319 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography