DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.2 - - 72.5 - - 77.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 373 - - 453 - - 173 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 6186 - - 9471 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth Hcrit 9298 - - 13353 - - 16104 - - 9300 - - 9299 Hcrit BL Top 9315 - - 14986 - - 18271 - - 9316 - - 9316 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3782 - - 2887 - - 2295 - - 12168 - - 1030 Hgt.Variab. W* 140 - - 579 - - 709 - - 196 - - 20 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 332 - - 337 - - 334 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -26 - - -30 - - -26 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2803 - - 743 - - 1913 - - -8030 - - -5007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12118 - - 14243 - - 16359 - - 17347 - - 14323 sfcLCL ODpotential -6120 - - -2662 - - 114 - - -9497 - - -8422 ODpotential blCL 15435 - - 17648 - - 18157 - - 18813 - - 17738 blCL maxRH 74 - - 80 - - 74 - - 75 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 340 - - 290 - - 120 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 65.2 - - 72.5 - - 77.3 - - 77.3 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.1 - - 42.1 - - 37.6 - - 33.4 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.7 - - 69.2 - - 73.7 - - 75.1 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.5 - - 41.2 - - 36.9 - - 32.9 - - 36.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 373 - - 453 - - 173 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 6186 - - 9471 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99073 34 104 36 092 29 105 35 095 34 087 99073 91608 32 089 31 093 32 102 27 099 30 090 91608 85835 24 089 24 101 28 089 23 096 27 094 85835 81041 21 097 19 094 22 088 22 087 25 092 81041 76923 19 098 15 096 20 089 20 082 22 088 76923 73302 18 093 16 102 16 095 19 085 20 083 73302 70035 18 085 19 102 16 106 15 091 19 082 70035 67039 13 088 22 095 16 110 13 105 16 083 67039 64268 15 105 16 083 16 104 13 104 13 090 64268 61600 11 092 14 113 11 097 11 082 10 088 61600 58841 7 096 10 123 10 135 5 116 3 097 58841 56016 3 115 4 164 4 174 5 176 5 225 56016 53358 6 237 7 251 10 249 9 250 8 269 53358 50991 11 246 13 250 18 246 20 244 15 265 50991 48879 18 250 17 268 22 262 24 258 21 258 48879 46954 23 246 23 266 25 272 27 266 24 269 46954 45171 21 240 24 257 27 269 30 265 28 273 45171 43502 19 244 21 245 28 262 31 264 30 278 43502 41931 16 262 18 241 26 251 32 262 31 281 41931 40451 15 277 16 260 23 245 29 261 31 278 40451 39062 17 277 17 279 20 253 23 263 31 273 39062 37738 19 268 18 285 22 277 21 270 28 271 37738 36419 21 262 21 274 24 285 22 274 25 275 36419 35079 23 262 26 265 26 283 24 279 24 281 35079 33728 21 263 28 266 27 284 18 293 21 289 33728 32358 11 269 20 262 21 279 14 313 15 307 32358 30959 5 264 7 239 9 259 15 306 11 306 30959 29538 5 342 5 303 9 293 14 271 11 287 29538 28098 12 360 11 328 13 312 14 281 11 290 28098 26644 16 359 13 333 13 318 15 305 12 318 26644 25182 18 354 11 334 12 327 15 327 13 326 25182 23709 15 347 10 330 10 333 10 336 12 318 23709 22218 10 350 9 327 8 335 9 346 6 342 22218 20738 8 009 6 335 8 346 12 347 4 058 20738 19335 11 009 6 357 11*006 13 344 5 068 19335 18063 16 002 10 004 13*009 14 342 8 011 18063 16922 20 358 13 003 14 006 15 341 12 354 16922 15888 22 354 15*360 14 360 16 341 14 348 15888 14943 19 350 15*354 14 347 16 340 16 347 14943 14076 16 344 14 344 14 339 16 339 16 347 14076 13280 13 337 13 339 14 332 16 339 16 347 13280 12552 12 329 13 334 14 326 16 338 16 348 12552 11886 12 324 12 330 14 321 15 338 16 348 11886 11268 12 320 12 326 14 317 15 337 15 349 11268 10704 12 317 11 321 14 313 15 336 15 348 10704 10221 12 313 11 317 14 310 14 335 14 348 10221 9841 11 311 10 313 13 309 14 335 12 347 9841 9574 9 306 10 311 13 308 13 335 11 345 9574 9410 7*303 9 310 12 307 12*335 8*343 9410 9316 6*300 8 308 10 305 10*334 6*344 9316 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography