DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 54.9 - - 55.8 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 165 - - 14 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2775 - - 4717 - - 6463 - - 1496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 203 - - 97 - - 106 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 142 - - 137 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 19 - - 11 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - -481 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9845 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2045 - - -1568 - - -3123 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 11408 - - 10931 - - 12486 - - 9363 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 94 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 1040 - - 690 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 54.9 - - 55.8 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.7 - - 47.4 - - 44.6 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 52.8 - - 54.9 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 46.3 - - 43.7 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 165 - - 14 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 94 - - 76 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98348 6 139 13 135 9 221 4 223 98348 90957 9 149 4 127 4 258 3 065 90957 85266 2 033 3 300 3 067 6 050 85266 80552 6 313 0 142 4 359 8 016 80552 76501 2 022 3 070 4 001 3 007 76501 72935 3 008 6 046 5 068 4 117 72935 69712 4 355 3 114 1 067 3 081 69712 66740 3 186 1 237 1 336 5 026 66740 63978 10 145 3 175 6 195 6 325 63978 61305 1 269 3 100 5 134 9 255 61305 58534 8 225 10 219 12 217 13 197 58534 55670 14 223 8 248 6 228 5 220 55670 52936 17 224 29 232 28 243 34 236 52936 50496 23 222 39 220 37 225 45 219 50496 48311 29 234 33 222 39 230 37 226 48311 46318 35 245 35 236 43 240 47 249 46318 44490 45 247 47 246 53 243 64 243 44490 42813 58 243 64 244 69 239 79 231 42813 41260 69 238 79 236 79 231 95 229 41260 39803 75 233 85 231 85 222 82 229 39803 38437 80 233 83 233 83 224 65 226 38437 37140 81 235 76 236 78 227 55 221 37140 35849 75 237 67 237 70 229 48 209 35849 34537 65 238 58 236 62 229 45 201 34537 33211 52 239 51 233 60 225 41 193 33211 31861 44 241 45 230 59 224 38 189 31861 30481 41 243 41 228 54 223 35 191 30481 29077 38 242 38 227 37 222 33 205 29077 27656 36 242 32 224 30 223 33 213 27656 26226 33 238 31 224 39 223 35 213 26226 24791 30 232 31 224 36 223 30 210 24791 23347 28 222 30 222 30 223 27 209 23347 21888 29 210 29 222 24 224 23 213 21888 20436 26 206 30 222 23 225 21 216 20436 19057 24 210 27 224 23 228 20 217 19057 17810 21 217 22 227 22 233 20 224 17810 16697 20 221 20 230 19 235 20 234 16697 15692 21 219 18 230 17 232 19 241 15692 14777 21 217 17 227 15 225 17 242 14777 13939 21 214 15 219 13 217 14 234 13939 13170 20 211 13 205 11 208 11 214 13170 12469 18 206 12 190 9 195 11 184 12469 11829 15 196 10 173 8 177 13 162 11829 11235 12 177 10 155 7 157 14 151 11235 10694 10 154 10 148 7 143 14 144 10694 10230 10 139 10 144 7 137 13 137 10230 9865 10 135 10 143 7 136 12 131 9865 9610 9 135 10 141 6 135 11 126 9610 9453 9*134 9*142 6*136 10*123 9453 9363 7*135 7*142 5*137 7*119 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography