DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1333z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.3 - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 34.1 - - 28.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 223 - - 227 - - -18 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 514 - - 514 - - 513 - - 513 BL Depth Hcrit 9296 - - 9297 - - 9297 - - 9296 - - 9296 Hcrit BL Top 9313 - - 9314 - - 9314 - - 9313 - - 9313 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 312 - - 2446 - - 3127 - - 1191 - - 74 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 211 - - 212 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 213 - - 257 - - 290 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -28 - - 14 - - 5 - - -11 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4682 - - -7288 - - -7563 - - -6207 - - -5927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13996 - - 16603 - - 16878 - - 15521 - - 15241 sfcLCL ODpotential -12872 - - -12000 - - -11356 - - -11888 - - -13519 ODpotential blCL 22185 - - 21314 - - 20670 - - 21201 - - 22832 blCL maxRH 42 - - 45 - - 49 - - 57 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.3 - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 34.1 - - 28.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.0 - - -1.7 - - 0.3 - - -0.4 - - -4.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 35.9 - - 38.9 - - 34.9 - - 31.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -4.6 - - -2.0 - - -0.2 - - -0.7 - - -5.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 223 - - 227 - - -18 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 514 - - 514 - - 513 - - 513 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95958 56 277 59 277 60 280 61 266 61 278 95958 88904 38 292 33 288 34 286 37 285 31 296 88904 83496 34 303 27 311 24 301 25 308 25 313 83496 78978 29 307 26 318 23 303 22 320 22 322 78978 75062 25 306 23 316 22 301 22 315 19 321 75062 71583 21 305 21 311 21 301 22 307 17 323 71583 68417 19 306 20 306 20 303 22 298 19 318 68417 65490 20 304 19 302 19 304 21 294 21 309 65490 62765 22 301 21 299 20 298 22 293 24 302 62765 60118 27 300 23 299 22 293 23 290 27 298 60118 57349 31 293 27 297 25 292 27 293 30 293 57349 54465 34 284 31 290 29 293 31 294 31 290 54465 51704 34 279 34 283 32 291 34 291 32 294 51704 49218 30 278 33 277 34 285 32 289 33 297 49218 46996 27 279 28 273 31 275 31 287 33 297 46996 44986 26 280 24 271 28 270 30 280 31 295 44986 43150 26 276 22 273 23 270 26 273 27 285 43150 41462 22 271 20 277 19 269 21 266 22 278 41462 39910 17 273 20 274 16 270 14 257 11 287 39910 38486 15 299 18 262 16 265 11 252 8 329 38486 37177 19 301 11 277 17 258 7 266 7 290 37177 35940 20 298 12 301 17 250 9 284 10 281 35940 34709 19 297 14 304 14 252 12 276 12 296 34709 33459 18 297 17 298 14 261 13 271 13 310 33459 32195 19 297 19 293 16 270 14 271 11 306 32195 30910 20 294 22 291 19 276 15 272 11 292 30910 29599 23 290 24 293 20 282 15 273 12 287 29599 28267 24 287 25 297 21 289 15 279 14 289 28267 26916 25 287 24 301 22 293 15 290 14 294 26916 25549 23 286 22 303 23 293 17 296 14 301 25549 24172 22 285 20 299 21 294 19 298 15 303 24172 22785 21 287 18 297 18 295 18 298 15 301 22785 21385 20 290 17 296 15 297 16 297 14 299 21385 19992 19 294 17 294 13 299 13 298 12 296 19992 18671 17 296 16 291 12 296 12 299 10 292 18671 17475 16 297 15 288 11 290 11 297 9 288 17475 16405 14 297 13 286 10 285 10 294 8 284 16405 15437 13 298 12 286 9 285 8 291 7 277 15437 14553 12 301 10 287 8 289 7 291 6 270 14553 13743 11 305 9 292 7 300 5 295 5 261 13743 13001 10 310 8 297 6 311 4 300 5 253 13001 12322 9 316 7 305 7 316 4 312 4 248 12322 11701 8 320 7 310 8 315 4 322 4 246 11701 11126 7 326 6 310 9 290 5 325 3 248 11126 10601 6 332 5 302 9 274 7 320 2 266 10601 10152 5 345 3 254 10 268 8 310 2 334 10152 9799 4 000 4 233 9 264 8 301 3 350 9799 9552 5 005 4 222 9 261 7 294 5 001 9552 9400 4*022 4*217 9*259 6*291 6*360 9400 9313 5*018 4*213 7*257 5*290 6*358 9313 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography