DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 33.5 - - 29.0 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 31 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2591 - - 3520 - - 1685 - - 704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 118 - - 41 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 118 - - 177 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -163 - - -909 - - -277 - - -2042 ODpotential blCL - - - 9524 - - 10270 - - 9638 - - 11403 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 97 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 110 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.8 - - 33.5 - - 29.0 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 29.5 - - 28.6 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 32.2 - - 29.2 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 28.6 - - 30.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 31 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 88 - - 99 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 17 319 20 025 11 338 12 043 96385 89427 8 061 6 028 9 003 15 041 89427 84004 11 071 2 002 9 043 12 018 84004 79435 10 054 2 069 10 067 5 329 79435 75478 6 044 1 044 7 056 3 003 75478 71982 3 129 2 220 2 008 7 028 71982 68831 4 214 1 302 4 247 3 005 68831 65934 10 250 5 314 5 251 8 252 65934 63223 11 262 7 261 9 243 16 227 63223 60581 16 287 10 274 12 263 9 228 60581 57820 23 273 20 272 22 255 13 246 57820 54961 23 273 26 258 29 246 26 244 54961 52246 28 285 20 266 23 240 26 223 52246 49801 35 288 28 293 23 259 27 236 49801 47594 37 284 40 280 35 257 39 240 47594 45571 37 278 43 267 39 251 48 239 45571 43694 32 281 42 262 42 244 53 235 43694 41941 29 288 40 264 39 245 50 233 41941 40299 31 289 36 272 37 244 44 230 40299 38765 29 284 35 280 34 244 40 228 38765 37337 28 270 38 284 34 250 38 235 37337 35986 28 250 41 287 32 260 40 243 35986 34649 26 241 36 287 36 267 40 244 34649 33309 27 223 28 266 40 269 38 250 33309 31975 34 214 26 253 40 272 35 255 31975 30640 55 198 30 235 40 282 31 258 30640 29296 65 186 53 177 35 276 30 272 29296 27944 59 184 48 171 26 207 30 288 27944 26587 48 180 38 168 29 167 19 261 26587 25235 42 175 34 166 21 153 27 154 25235 23889 40 172 30 179 14 159 25 140 23889 22536 39 179 26 190 16 151 19 137 22536 21172 36 191 22 189 13 133 13 124 21172 19815 28 204 15 188 5 127 11 118 19815 18527 22 215 8 200 1 272 12 116 18527 17362 19 222 5 248 1 099 12 109 17362 16318 17 224 5 273 5 108 12 093 16318 15373 13 221 4 282 6 111 11 077 15373 14509 10 211 2 280 6 110 9 068 14509 13716 7 190 1 149 6 105 6 056 13716 12989 7 150 3 111 5 095 4 028 12989 12323 9 128 4 109 5 084 4 338 12323 11714 12 120 6 102 4 082 6 313 11714 11149 13 118 7 104 3 079 7 302 11149 10633 14 117 7 107 2 051 10 296 10633 10190 14 116 7 110 1 029 11 295 10190 9842 14 117 6 114 0 131 11 297 9842 9598 12 116 6 115 1 176 9 304 9598 9448 11 116 6*118 1*179 7*309 9448 9361 8*117 5*118 1*177 5*316 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography