DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.9 - - 39.3 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 298 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 8977 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3626 - - 5850 - - 4350 - - 611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 240 - - 101 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 224 - - 275 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 20 - - -6 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5310 - - -6071 - - -6543 - - -4413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14673 - - 15434 - - 15906 - - 13776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9294 - - -9621 - - -11578 - - -10091 ODpotential blCL - - - 18656 - - 18983 - - 20940 - - 19453 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 83 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.9 - - 39.3 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.6 - - 8.1 - - 2.8 - - 5.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 40.0 - - 38.3 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.1 - - 7.6 - - 2.5 - - 4.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 227 - - 298 - - 22 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - 31 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96698 35 084 27 087 25 080 20 072 96698 89582 26 084 30 089 26 097 26 082 89582 84039 20 110 19 101 25 094 24 081 84039 79409 21 112 15 118 15 080 17 090 79409 75415 16 115 12 136 10 081 12 075 75415 71882 15 109 6 150 3 128 14 046 71882 68681 9 045 3 101 10 212 12 309 68681 65753 16 284 16 316 5 194 13 250 65753 63036 23 263 21 283 9 229 16 250 63036 60391 32 252 30 271 19 265 19 268 60391 57627 38 243 37 260 41 258 43 265 57627 54756 41 242 52 250 47 251 49 250 54756 51997 48 245 53 240 54 257 45 253 51997 49487 52 239 59 255 62 261 49 264 49487 47225 58 246 73 248 70 258 63 268 47225 45177 69 244 70 243 74 256 76 262 45177 43322 68 243 67 245 76 260 81 261 43322 41635 59 244 62 251 82 264 95 259 41635 40094 58 259 68 269 86 263 100 254 40094 38675 64 264 78 275 80 262 91 255 38675 37352 62 268 74 275 76 264 87 256 37352 36091 60 272 69 273 72 265 88 258 36091 34836 57 272 66 273 69 267 82 258 34836 33561 55 270 65 274 72 270 77 257 33561 32274 52 264 64 273 68 267 74 258 32274 30965 51 262 63 270 66 263 71 261 30965 29630 51 261 61 268 66 261 69 262 29630 28276 50 261 56 264 63 261 66 263 28276 26907 48 261 51 260 57 261 61 265 26907 25530 47 261 47 259 51 262 55 269 25530 24152 46 256 48 257 47 264 52 271 24152 22767 44 249 47 251 46 265 52 269 22767 21369 41 245 45 242 47 264 49 262 21369 19983 38 244 42 239 45 261 44 254 19983 18671 37 245 38 242 41 256 39 249 18671 17483 35 246 34 247 36 254 35 249 17483 16421 32 245 30 252 31 256 31 252 16421 15460 28 243 26 256 26 259 28 255 15460 14584 23 239 20 256 23 263 25 259 14584 13780 19 234 14 251 20 266 23 263 13780 13042 16 226 13 249 17 269 22 266 13042 12367 14 214 12 242 15 272 21 268 12367 11749 13 201 11 238 14 274 20 269 11749 11176 11 183 11 235 14 276 19 271 11176 10652 10 162 11 232 14 277 18 273 10652 10203 9 149 11 230 13 277 16 277 10203 9849 9 147 10 228 13 277 13 284 9849 9602 8 146 10 227 12 276 10 294 9602 9450 8*145 9*225 11*275 8*306 9450 9362 7*145 8*224 7*275 4*329 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography