DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 30.7 - - 30.5 - - 26.7 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 57 - - 55 - - -28 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1445 - - 2044 - - 2084 - - 872 - - 274 Hgt.Variab. W* 85 - - 142 - - 140 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 237 - - 276 - - 309 - - 320 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - -8 - - -29 - - -27 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -298 - - -705 - - -1540 - - -3526 ODpotential blCL 9361 - - 9659 - - 10066 - - 10901 - - 12887 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 91 - - 92 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 30.7 - - 30.5 - - 26.7 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 29.0 - - 27.1 - - 25.0 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.8 - - 29.3 - - 29.1 - - 27.5 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 28.3 - - 26.6 - - 26.0 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 57 - - 55 - - -28 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 85 - - 64 - - 69 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 36 269 45 277 46 270 39 261 53 269 96317 89181 19 305 25 268 33 276 28 282 21 297 89181 83714 16 319 17 291 21 279 26 287 24 315 83714 79180 14 311 19 309 12 306 19 282 20 303 79180 75266 20 300 20 311 11 324 16 307 11 305 75266 71787 22 296 19 303 17 300 20 325 14 318 71787 68628 20 303 18 304 19 299 19 311 20 324 68628 65729 23 306 22 315 21 313 17 316 22 316 65729 63029 23 304 26 319 25 308 22 325 22 319 63029 60384 27 309 29 317 27 304 27 311 28 315 60384 57611 32 296 29 307 32 309 31 314 34 308 57611 54741 37 285 31 295 41 302 34 315 35 316 54741 52007 33 288 36 295 44 301 40 321 47 329 52007 49546 36 297 41 296 48 306 50 321 58 328 49546 47338 42 296 44 297 54 310 58 320 65 326 47338 45328 47 291 45 300 58 309 63 319 70 325 45328 43485 46 290 44 302 58 309 68 321 75 325 43485 41786 42 290 45 303 59 310 73 322 83 327 41786 40203 36 286 48 301 59 311 77 321 89 326 40203 38720 34 282 48 297 60 312 78 320 90 324 38720 37337 31 273 43 293 59 312 75 320 88 325 37337 36028 28 263 40 290 54 309 71 323 90 327 36028 34734 24 254 33 288 48 308 68 324 94 329 34734 33428 18 231 28 287 46 305 63 322 94 331 33428 32114 15 198 22 264 37 304 54 319 92 333 32114 30786 18 177 20 226 25 309 47 319 92 335 30786 29437 18 177 23 190 23 317 38 319 90 336 29437 28074 19 181 26 170 21 298 21 316 81 333 28074 26705 14 201 14 146 15 253 5 165 62 327 26705 25338 14 225 13 143 14 223 15 143 40 324 25338 23975 16 227 13 158 11 211 9 161 24 322 23975 22609 16 227 12 172 10 224 6 184 15 314 22609 21233 15 230 12 190 13 243 4 205 4 342 21233 19869 16 231 14 212 14 253 3 245 6 052 19869 18575 17 234 16 227 14 261 2 298 5 033 18575 17402 18 239 18 237 14 267 5 319 4 003 17402 16353 20 246 19 248 13 272 8 318 4 007 16353 15404 21 253 22 258 14 279 11 319 5 006 15404 14537 23 260 25 268 16 287 14 314 6 001 14537 13740 26 262 27 274 19 293 16 313 9 354 13740 13008 27 262 28 278 21 299 17 316 12 350 13008 12339 27 259 28 282 23 305 18 318 14 345 12339 11725 27 256 27 283 23 308 19 318 16 340 11725 11157 24 250 27 283 23 310 19 319 17 337 11157 10638 21 245 24 283 23 311 19 318 18 335 10638 10193 17 241 20 282 22 312 19 318 19 330 10193 9843 14 239 17 280 20 312 17 318 18 327 9843 9598 12 238 15 279 18 312 15 319 17 327 9598 9448 10 237 13*278 15*312 12*319 14*327 9448 9361 6*237 9*276 9*309 7*320 8*326 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography