DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 37.6 - - 31.9 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 88 - - -33 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2222 - - 1899 - - 762 - - 152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 165 - - 35 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 311 - - 309 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -39 - - -32 - - -18 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5183 - - -4572 - - -4329 - - -2506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14546 - - 13934 - - 13692 - - 11867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15096 - - -12943 - - -14310 - - -12403 ODpotential blCL - - - 24458 - - 22305 - - 23672 - - 21764 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 81 - - 87 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 37.6 - - 31.9 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.9 - - 9.7 - - 5.5 - - 9.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 36.0 - - 33.1 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.8 - - 8.7 - - 4.6 - - 9.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 88 - - -33 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 8 230 10 272 15 243 13 256 96166 89107 6 012 6 332 10 263 10 317 89107 83655 3 126 8 249 11 305 5 022 83655 79085 16 292 4 248 13 316 12 335 79085 75128 17 275 12 335 10 335 12 293 75128 71610 16 247 21 280 18 290 13 326 71610 68410 12 265 22 282 16 294 31 318 68410 65506 13 036 14 123 15 339 21 317 65506 62828 34 325 15 010 11 073 15 011 62828 60211 51 302 52 322 27 348 31 332 60211 57476 50 298 59 313 50 322 40 315 57476 54640 46 306 58 312 60 318 48 320 54640 51945 51 311 59 318 67 319 58 315 51945 49535 61 322 67 326 68 319 53 317 49535 47373 74 323 72 325 69 324 58 329 47373 45413 83 319 80 322 78 323 76 325 45413 43635 85 313 84 314 81 316 83 314 43635 42012 80 309 79 304 75 306 78 307 42012 40502 70 311 69 297 69 300 72 308 40502 39080 64 323 60 299 64 302 68 308 39080 37745 66 333 54 305 60 304 64 304 37745 36474 67 331 50 310 58 307 60 305 36474 35209 67 325 49 312 57 311 58 310 35209 33924 66 319 50 313 57 313 59 314 33924 32625 69 315 51 317 58 315 58 316 32625 31304 73 314 57 324 58 316 58 318 31304 29955 76 313 61 326 59 316 60 319 29955 28583 80 312 63 325 59 316 63 321 28583 27194 81 311 63 321 60 317 64 322 27194 25795 80 311 63 319 60 319 63 323 25795 24390 78 313 62 317 60 321 61 323 24390 22979 75 317 60 314 60 322 60 322 22979 21556 71 321 60 311 59 322 59 322 21556 20143 68 323 61 312 60 323 57 323 20143 18801 63 322 60 314 61 324 56 324 18801 17587 58 321 60 316 62 326 55 326 17587 16501 54 319 58 316 62 328 54 328 16501 15519 50 317 56 315 60 330 53 330 15519 14625 46 314 54 313 57 330 51 331 14625 13806 43 311 52 311 52 329 49 331 13806 13057 41 309 49 310 48 326 46 330 13057 12374 39 308 45 310 43 323 43 327 12374 11750 37 311 40 312 38 320 39 324 11750 11173 35 317 36 314 33 319 35 320 11173 10649 33 323 33 314 29 318 30 317 10649 10199 30 327 30 315 25 318 26 316 10199 9846 27 328 27 315 21 317 21 317 9846 9600 24 329 24 314 17 315 17 320 9600 9448 20*329 20*313 12*313 13*322 9448 9361 12*327 12*311 6*309 6*325 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography