DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 45.1 - - 36.8 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 59 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 675 - - 1683 - - 493 - - 887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 145 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 297 - - 307 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -4 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4312 - - -5918 - - -3759 - - -6695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13674 - - 15281 - - 13121 - - 16058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10425 - - -12365 - - -12851 - - -18069 ODpotential blCL - - - 19787 - - 21727 - - 22213 - - 27431 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 68 - - 86 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.1 - - 45.1 - - 36.8 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.5 - - 11.5 - - 12.8 - - -2.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 43.7 - - 39.5 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.4 - - 10.2 - - 11.6 - - -3.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 59 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 0 - - 43 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95326 56 338 49 345 31 347 45 344 95326 88514 48 340 51 358 48 005 54 358 88514 83198 49 350 55 356 53 006 47 007 83198 78775 51 002 50 352 52 005 42 007 78775 74941 47 008 42 357 47 001 44 004 74941 71510 43 009 36 001 36 351 40 357 71510 68374 39 355 34 358 32 349 35 345 68374 65485 36 337 33 001 28 350 27 341 65485 62807 33 330 35 343 25 339 22 337 62807 60219 34 323 36 326 23 329 21 321 60219 57523 34 310 37 305 27 313 25 308 57523 54722 28 306 31 296 27 298 31 288 54722 52073 31 305 40 291 37 299 39 280 52073 49729 48 292 49 289 45 280 46 274 49729 47646 55 295 43 293 47 279 43 271 47646 45762 57 310 59 296 70 287 71 271 45762 44035 78 296 80 288 83 280 80 269 44035 42422 86 288 84 282 77 280 65 273 42422 40901 81 288 77 284 68 281 58 273 40901 39463 76 294 72 289 64 276 55 274 39463 38111 70 296 68 292 63 282 51 274 38111 36821 68 295 64 292 62 287 46 275 36821 35536 63 291 58 293 57 292 42 279 35536 34231 62 291 57 292 53 293 36 287 34231 32912 57 301 52 290 48 294 36 281 32912 31569 52 309 46 286 43 290 39 275 31569 30199 50 310 41 295 42 282 37 270 30199 28806 51 309 39 297 40 275 32 269 28806 27397 50 309 38 302 38 274 28 270 27397 25981 40 306 37 312 38 275 30 266 25981 24563 28 303 30 311 34 279 32 263 24563 23136 19 304 23 297 29 287 26 270 23136 21694 11 294 19 284 25 285 23 272 21694 20259 8 285 18 276 22 278 22 268 20259 18899 8 278 16 271 19 277 20 267 18899 17668 9 272 13 268 17 281 17 268 17668 16569 10 269 11 266 15 284 16 274 16569 15576 11 270 11 268 13 282 16 279 15576 14672 12 273 11 272 11 279 14 283 14672 13845 11 277 11 276 9 279 11 282 13845 13089 11 282 11 279 7 279 9 276 13089 12400 11 286 10 284 6 279 8 267 12400 11770 10 290 9 293 5 282 7 258 11770 11189 9 295 9 304 4 289 6 250 11189 10660 8 301 9 314 4 315 6 239 10660 10207 7 309 7 318 5 327 5 229 10207 9852 5 323 7 315 6 323 4 218 9852 9603 4 331 5 307 5 317 3 215 9603 9450 3*332 5*302 4*311 2*216 9450 9362 2*332 4*297 3*307 2*238 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography