DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 76.7 - - 77.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 214 - - 122 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7203 - - 565 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14235 - - 9348 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16003 - - 9365 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2330 - - 10431 - - 9969 - - 3890 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 640 - - 220 - - 180 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 281 - - 298 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - -1 - - -10 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1238 - - -5186 - - -5525 - - -3561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14766 - - 14552 - - 14889 - - 12926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -582 - - -6990 - - -7497 - - -7157 ODpotential blCL - - - 16585 - - 16355 - - 16861 - - 16521 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 99 - - 91 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 330 - - 730 - - 720 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 76.7 - - 77.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 44.9 - - 43.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 74.3 - - 75.1 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 44.0 - - 43.4 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 214 - - 122 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7203 - - 565 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 96 - - 66 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99234 40 107 31 109 28 096 31 093 99234 91747 33 097 34 101 24 097 34 092 91747 85988 33 099 33 100 28 097 29 089 85988 81195 29 097 31 102 28 096 27 100 81195 77075 22 096 26 094 28 093 28 096 77075 73462 20 099 21 092 26 090 30 087 73462 70211 23 101 17 110 20 096 23 085 70211 67228 19 099 19 111 12 119 16 094 67228 64471 15 092 18 100 11 130 11 101 64471 61828 13 084 17 090 14 113 9 119 61828 59113 9 112 14 100 11 109 8 107 59113 56321 17 150 17 162 11 172 5 179 56321 53673 20 142 23 164 24 163 22 184 53673 51306 15 137 19 157 25 158 29 171 51306 49179 18 171 18 176 23 175 31 178 49179 47230 26 182 25 187 29 182 32 180 47230 45422 26 180 27 186 28 177 31 178 45422 43733 22 176 25 173 27 174 30 177 43733 42144 22 165 26 165 26 175 29 178 42144 40649 22 155 25 158 24 181 28 177 40649 39248 20 154 18 165 23 182 29 175 39248 37917 18 158 15 173 18 170 29 176 37917 36592 14 167 15 196 16 171 25 175 36592 35248 13 176 20 202 19 192 23 178 35248 33891 16 182 20 202 24 204 22 198 33891 32509 15 192 19 199 18 207 20 204 32509 31098 15 215 14 195 13 204 17 198 31098 29664 15 235 10 215 13 205 17 193 29664 28214 15 236 10 236 14 214 18 199 28214 26752 14 237 14 243 13 232 19 214 26752 25281 12 233 14 241 15 247 18 222 25281 23800 10 211 9 240 11 250 13 235 23800 22305 7 206 10 223 8 228 9 231 22305 20822 3 241 6 245 2 258 5 184 20822 19415 5 313 4 333 3 356 4 188 19415 18140 9 323 5 342 4 359 1 200 18140 16996 9*323 6 333 7 341 3 346 16996 15960 9*322 7 328 9 331 6 338 15960 15013 9 320 8 316 11 320 10 329 15013 14143 9 318 10 307 11 317 13 323 14143 13345 9 316 10 301 12 313 14 320 13345 12615 9 314 11 297 12 309 15 317 12615 11946 9 311 11 294 12 306 16 315 11946 11326 9 308 11 291 13 304 16 314 11326 10759 8 304 11 290 13 302 16 317 10759 10274 8 301 11 287 12 301 15 319 10274 9892 8 298 11 285 12 300 13 321 9892 9624 7 296 10 285 11 299 12 323 9624 9459 7 295 9*284 10*299 9*324 9459 9364 6 293 8*281 8*298 5*327 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography