DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1333z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.6 - - 72.3 - - 77.2 - - 75.6 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 89 - - 377 - - 433 - - 161 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 4505 - - 10792 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth Hcrit 9298 - - 12019 - - 17172 - - 9299 - - 9299 Hcrit BL Top 9315 - - 13305 - - 19592 - - 9316 - - 9316 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1291 - - 6617 - - 3555 - - 12765 - - 1046 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 523 - - 731 - - 192 - - 25 W* B/S 5 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 266 - - 289 - - 280 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 33 - - -16 - - -11 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3178 - - -1413 - - 2027 - - -9003 - - -7591 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12494 - - 14719 - - 17565 - - 18320 - - 16908 sfcLCL ODpotential -7077 - - -4008 - - -245 - - -10981 - - -11263 ODpotential blCL 16392 - - 17313 - - 19837 - - 20297 - - 20579 blCL maxRH 84 - - 73 - - 67 - - 47 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 600 - - 290 - - 40 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 62.6 - - 72.3 - - 77.2 - - 75.6 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 39.9 - - 32.2 - - 27.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 69.1 - - 73.9 - - 73.6 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.4 - - 39.0 - - 31.1 - - 26.6 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 89 - - 377 - - 433 - - 161 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 4505 - - 10792 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99058 41 098 42 100 35 110 32 107 27 110 99058 91584 34 091 33 099 31 097 29 096 30 094 91584 85811 30 092 28 096 26 105 26 088 33 094 85811 81048 23 091 28 102 20 109 23 094 25 092 81048 76959 20 089 23 106 19 107 19 097 19 089 76959 73346 16 084 16 108 14 112 11 101 14 089 73346 70076 13 101 9 108 12 122 5 104 11 092 70076 67073 9 110 8 128 6 088 5 118 6 066 67073 64292 10 062 13 142 5 115 4 132 2 359 64292 61604 8 020 6 082 6 083 5 077 2 000 61604 58813 4 010 4 016 6 347 7 039 6 004 58813 55945 9 357 10 349 12 311 11 333 10 344 55945 53239 15 006 17 348 15 317 14 317 18 317 53239 50829 23 356 26 341 22 326 24 320 29 316 50829 48686 31 349 30 336 31 323 37 319 37 316 48686 46742 34 346 34 332 38 322 42 315 40 312 46742 44951 33 345 34 331 41 322 40 313 37 304 44951 43282 32 346 30 331 36 324 34 315 33 308 43282 41718 31 347 27 333 30 322 28 318 31 316 41718 40249 29 351 25 335 25 317 25 317 31 317 40249 38876 28 353 23 338 21 315 24 315 31 310 38876 37570 28 352 22 339 19 315 24 312 29 303 37570 36270 28 353 22 339 17 318 23 313 26 299 36270 34949 30 349 24 340 18 323 23 319 24 298 34949 33613 33 344 28 342 22 326 24 323 24 299 33613 32252 34 343 32 344 25 327 26 322 24 305 32252 30863 31 339 31 344 27 326 25 322 25 311 30863 29449 25 334 25 343 26 324 24 324 25 315 29449 28015 22 333 19 341 20 321 21 323 23 316 28015 26567 21 332 16 331 13 316 18 307 20 315 26567 25111 20 327 14 320 10 306 13 292 14 299 25111 23650 14 327 12 307 8 300 8 281 8 287 23650 22179 9 357 6 309 5 311 5 281 11 280 22179 20713 9 358 5 333 5*317 6 284 16 274 20713 19317 8 312 8 313 5*316 6 283 18 273 19317 18047 11 287 15 301 6 311 7 283 19 273 18047 16907 15 280 18 302 9 298 10 285 19 274 16907 15875 18 280 18 305 10 294 13 285 19 275 15875 14930 19 284 17 310 11 291 14 285 19 277 14930 14064 18 290 15*311 12 289 15 285 18 280 14064 13270 17 295 14*305 13 287 16 284 17 284 13270 12544 15 298 12 292 13 286 17 284 16 286 12544 11879 12 298 10 278 14 284 17 283 14 289 11879 11263 7 300 8 258 14 283 17 283 12 292 11263 10701 2 347 7 243 14 282 17 283 11 295 10701 10218 4 071 7 234 14 281 17 282 11 299 10218 9839 6 070 7 228 14 280 16 282 10 301 9839 9573 7 071 7 224 13 280 16 281 8 305 9573 9410 6*073 7 222 13 279 14*281 7*307 9410 9316 5*074 6 219 11 277 11*280 6*313 9316 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography