DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 42.3 - - 37.9 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 103 - - 113 - - 8 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2263 - - 2627 - - 5174 - - 1920 - - 883 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 171 - - 179 - - 79 - - 33 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 132 - - 171 - - 350 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - 11 - - 19 - - -22 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -2944 - - -208 - - -1547 - - -1124 - - -2438 ODpotential blCL 12306 - - 9570 - - 10909 - - 10486 - - 11800 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 86 - - 98 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 410 - - 410 - - 230 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 42.3 - - 37.9 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.3 - - 38.5 - - 35.5 - - 35.1 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.8 - - 38.6 - - 40.5 - - 37.1 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 37.9 - - 34.3 - - 34.5 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 103 - - 113 - - 8 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 97 - - 45 - - 92 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96836 24 288 42 283 41 263 40 278 39 281 96836 89614 24 291 29 268 21 277 30 274 23 279 89614 84060 21 276 21 274 17 297 16 275 22 280 84060 79451 15 282 15 292 23 287 12 290 18 292 79451 75469 15 301 11 307 18 275 17 301 12 307 75469 71961 17 294 15 317 4 271 15 307 12 319 71961 68812 17 286 25 295 10 298 21 319 15 320 68812 65924 17 299 23 285 20 288 24 302 17 314 65924 63224 19 304 15 280 18 278 25 277 22 290 63224 60589 21 303 15 292 17 283 22 267 25 266 60589 57829 28 292 20 282 21 287 18 262 23 257 57829 54949 34 270 31 275 30 278 21 270 19 266 54949 52191 35 253 39 265 35 270 27 275 26 288 52191 49724 35 257 38 260 34 265 28 275 29 277 49724 47519 36 262 36 260 34 271 28 278 26 262 47519 45505 35 254 38 260 41 272 33 274 23 266 45505 43642 35 248 42 251 47 260 34 267 25 279 43642 41914 38 245 45 243 44 248 33 266 32 283 41914 40305 44 242 46 238 41 245 35 267 36 280 40305 38806 50 234 49 235 46 246 41 261 36 269 38806 37416 51 227 58 229 50 238 44 247 37 253 37416 36106 52 227 64 219 48 229 44 235 32 238 36106 34814 54 228 64 214 44 228 39 232 23 240 34814 33515 57 228 60 212 46 232 36 241 20 251 33515 32220 58 228 56 213 47 231 33 243 23 248 32220 30918 59 228 57 214 41 231 18 248 19 234 30918 29599 58 228 59 211 33 230 15 255 7 191 29599 28263 58 227 55 206 31 224 15 239 9 105 28263 26912 57 227 50 204 30 221 14 232 7 115 26912 25550 54 226 48 205 29 224 14 230 6 191 25550 24183 48 226 44 210 31 225 17 225 10 219 24183 22807 37 228 38 213 33 226 21 229 12 218 22807 21417 28 231 34 215 34 223 26 234 14 225 21417 20034 26 224 30 214 34 223 27 224 16 231 20034 18722 26 207 27 212 32 221 24 211 18 222 18722 17535 27 198 26 209 30 218 23 202 19 209 17535 16473 27 195 25 210 29 216 22 198 21 201 16473 15510 26 194 23 212 27 213 21 200 21 201 15510 14630 22 196 22 212 25 210 19 204 20 205 14630 13821 19 196 20 207 23 208 16 210 19 212 13821 13077 16 192 19 200 21 206 13 218 17 224 13077 12398 15 186 18 193 19 203 9 230 15 237 12398 11774 14 173 15 183 17 200 7 246 14 251 11774 11195 14 155 13 169 15 197 7 255 11 262 11195 10666 14 136 12 157 13 192 6 264 9 273 10666 10212 13 121 11 144 10 185 5 283 8 289 10212 9855 10 109 10 136 9 178 4 329 7 322 9855 9605 7 095 9 133 8 174 5 343 7 344 9605 9451 3*044 9 132 8*173 5*345 7*352 9451 9362 3*346 7*132 6*171 4*350 5*353 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography