DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 49.3 - - 47.8 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 165 - - 493 - - 549 - - 173 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 8898 - - 10737 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 15670 - - 17242 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 17698 - - 19537 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 9537 - - 4018 - - 4174 - - 14120 - - 2573 Hgt.Variab. W* 197 - - 713 - - 788 - - 201 - - 20 W* B/S 6 - - 13 - - 18 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 113 - - 152 - - 176 - - 219 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 31 - - 35 - - 24 - - -23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5800 - - 2478 - - 2865 - - -7132 - - -4552 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15163 - - 15221 - - 16673 - - 16494 - - 13914 sfcLCL ODpotential -7701 - - 795 - - 1445 - - -8580 - - -7464 ODpotential blCL 17063 - - 16903 - - 18092 - - 17942 - - 16826 blCL maxRH 55 - - 101 - - 99 - - 83 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 150 - - 200 - - 150 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 45.8 - - 49.3 - - 47.8 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.6 - - 11.7 - - 8.6 - - 8.1 - - 11.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.0 - - 42.2 - - 45.5 - - 45.5 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.2 - - 11.3 - - 8.0 - - 7.6 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 165 - - 493 - - 549 - - 173 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 8898 - - 10737 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 104 - - 96 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97716 10 274 14 214 12 259 20 298 13 306 97716 90299 5 212 3 259 10 242 8 279 9 316 90299 84631 8 098 3 260 7 201 4 338 5 339 84631 79943 7 096 4 126 6 110 2 026 7 034 79943 75896 4 077 2 106 8 035 4 031 8 047 75896 72314 6 064 2 214 2 030 4 086 7 045 72314 69060 3 273 7 205 10 258 1 202 9 038 69060 66061 7 288 9 165 15 201 15 222 9 296 66061 63289 15 252 10 264 6 177 11 232 9 226 63289 60597 23 224 22 245 13 252 13 245 12 201 60597 57766 26 210 23 225 19 255 18 248 11 246 57766 54813 17 208 23 203 26 228 23 231 24 252 54813 51989 17 242 18 206 28 216 22 226 27 244 51989 49448 24 250 16 234 23 219 19 243 22 247 49448 47174 28 249 19 241 22 229 20 252 21 256 47174 45115 31 243 23 234 23 230 22 246 20 252 45115 43231 32 239 25 230 22 232 22 244 17 255 43231 41491 30 236 26 230 21 233 19 251 16 248 41491 39879 29 228 27 228 21 227 20 257 12 230 39879 38387 30 220 28 222 21 220 20 253 9 236 38387 37012 31 218 30 213 22 219 19 247 8 261 37012 35721 30 218 30 207 24 211 19 239 7 311 35721 34452 29 221 27 208 21 207 16 227 9 327 34452 33179 29 226 27 212 18 212 12 213 7 336 33179 31910 29 232 25 213 16 212 11 193 2 005 31910 30634 32 231 22 214 13 203 11 166 3 187 30634 29343 31 224 21 216 9 197 10 139 6 180 29343 28037 25 215 21 212 10 205 8 123 7 185 28037 26717 21 209 20 204 11 196 7 131 13 184 26717 25384 17 204 17 196 11 182 8 137 16 188 25384 24042 14 202 14 188 11 168 6 138 17 190 24042 22689 14 197 14 170 10 152 4 149 14 195 22689 21322 16 196 11 159 9 150 4 165 10 206 21322 19962 19 196 10 157 8*151 4 187 8 202 19962 18670 22 195 11*156 7*156 4 213 9 200 18670 17497 20 194 11*155 7 160 5 226 9 208 17497 16443 17 190 11 154 7 165 6 231 9 221 16443 15488 13 181 11 151 7 171 7 234 9 235 15488 14613 12 168 10 150 7 176 7 235 9 246 14613 13808 11 154 10 149 8 179 8 233 9 254 13808 13068 13 143 10 149 8 181 8 233 8 260 13068 12391 14 136 10 150 8 183 8 231 8 267 12391 11769 14 131 10 151 9 184 9 229 7 278 11769 11192 13 126 10 152 9 185 9 227 5 301 11192 10664 12 120 10 153 9 185 8 226 6 332 10664 10211 10 115 10 154 10 185 8 225 8 355 10211 9854 9 112 9 155 10 185 8 223 10 004 9854 9604 8 112 9 156 9 184 8 223 9 007 9604 9451 8*112 8 156 9 185 7*222 8*007 9451 9362 6*113 7 157 8 184 6*219 5*004 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography