DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 42.4 - - 46.0 - - 39.6 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -96 - - 70 - - 127 - - -46 - - -76 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 63 - - 1148 - - 3082 - - 463 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 152 - - 182 - - 35 - - 31 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 030 - - 028 - - 008 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -53 - - -31 - - -20 - - -47 - - -58 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3715 - - -4068 - - -4862 - - -4253 - - -3516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13077 - - 13431 - - 14225 - - 13616 - - 12879 sfcLCL ODpotential -10810 - - -8948 - - -9505 - - -10552 - - -10920 ODpotential blCL 20172 - - 18310 - - 18868 - - 19914 - - 20282 blCL maxRH 37 - - 70 - - 49 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 42.4 - - 46.0 - - 39.6 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.6 - - 16.8 - - 16.8 - - 13.4 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 41.1 - - 44.1 - - 40.5 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.0 - - 15.7 - - 16.0 - - 12.8 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -96 - - 70 - - 127 - - -46 - - -76 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96107 16 045 12 344 32 038 12 027 16 358 96107 89232 30 060 23 057 21 046 13 036 21 031 89232 83886 32 065 32 066 15 067 12 049 15 032 83886 79388 36 064 34 070 19 069 18 046 19 040 79388 75460 36 058 27 076 21 070 25 042 24 045 75460 71958 28 051 18 077 16 072 25 042 21 045 71958 68773 23 022 20 046 16 064 17 048 17 057 68773 65840 17 008 17 026 20 043 16 058 17 045 65840 63117 15 013 12 045 19 030 18 029 8 025 63117 60459 16 002 15 040 17 030 12 009 5 003 60459 57691 13 004 12 028 13 034 9 003 26 357 57691 54868 17 027 12 051 8 060 19 016 20 356 54868 52180 22 039 16 058 11 033 21 000 11 325 52180 49722 36 050 19 043 14 011 22 347 10 302 49722 47479 39 037 27 037 14 021 20 347 15 334 47479 45427 37 026 31 036 35 036 19 020 37 359 45427 43581 33 028 48 031 52 034 37 023 62 014 43581 41934 29 037 54 020 57 030 64 027 79 021 41934 40433 33 047 33 035 57 027 74 027 81 021 40433 39029 43 056 26 069 54 029 71 029 77 019 39029 37711 49 061 45 068 56 036 69 031 73 016 37711 36452 51 060 54 057 58 041 63 029 68 014 36452 35200 48 054 49 045 58 042 56 027 61 012 35200 33928 43 050 38 042 53 042 50 027 53 008 33928 32644 40 052 32 047 37 037 44 027 50 005 32644 31338 40 057 27 039 30 029 40 024 47 005 31338 30004 40 062 30 034 33 025 37 020 44 007 30004 28649 35 060 31 032 36 023 32 016 39 010 28649 27275 32 048 26 033 34 021 27 015 33 014 27275 25889 30 041 24 028 31 021 27 018 27 019 25889 24495 27 040 26 021 31 025 30 020 22 025 24495 23092 23 032 29 019 30 029 34 020 19 030 23092 21671 20 018 30 020 30 032 36 021 17 036 21671 20255 19 011 27 021 29 032 36 021 16 039 20255 18908 19 012 22 020 27 030 33 022 18 038 18908 17686 19 015 18 018 25 026 30 022 20 035 17686 16591 20 017 16 018 23 023 27 021 23 032 16591 15601 19 021 15 019 23 020 24 019 26 030 15601 14696 18 026 15 022 22 020 22 018 30 029 14696 13868 19 030 14 026 21 021 21 017 34 028 13868 13109 20 032 15 031 20 023 21 016 37 028 13109 12416 21 032 18 035 19 026 22 017 39 028 12416 11784 23 032 20 037 17 029 23 017 40 028 11784 11199 24 032 22 037 15 031 25 019 40 028 11199 10667 24 030 22 036 14 032 26 019 38 026 10667 10211 23 027 21 034 12 032 26 018 35 023 10211 9854 21 022 18 031 10 032 24 014 31 020 9854 9604 18 015 14 030 9 031 21 011 24 016 9604 9450 14*010 12*030 8*031 17*009 19*014 9450 9362 8*003 8*030 6*028 10*008 10*011 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography