DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1014z - - 1336z - - 1604z - - 1903z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 48.2 - - 53.2 - - 45.3 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 236 - - 226 - - -41 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 514 - - 515 - - 514 - - 514 BL Depth Hcrit 9297 - - 9297 - - 9298 - - 9297 - - 9297 Hcrit BL Top 9314 - - 9314 - - 9315 - - 9314 - - 9314 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 295 - - 2654 - - 3681 - - 956 - - 274 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 215 - - 212 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 015 - - 007 - - 003 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -50 - - -9 - - -25 - - -43 - - -56 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5402 - - -6840 - - -7267 - - -5592 - - -3320 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14717 - - 16155 - - 16582 - - 14907 - - 12634 sfcLCL ODpotential -13766 - - -12905 - - -12757 - - -12521 - - -11066 ODpotential blCL 23080 - - 22219 - - 22072 - - 21835 - - 20380 blCL maxRH 43 - - 45 - - 34 - - 42 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 48.2 - - 53.2 - - 45.3 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.8 - - 10.4 - - 13.3 - - 13.3 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.0 - - 45.9 - - 50.7 - - 44.8 - - 41.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.8 - - 10.4 - - 13.1 - - 13.3 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 236 - - 226 - - -41 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 514 - - 515 - - 514 - - 514 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96722 63 263 65 257 74 257 66 259 77 267 96722 89495 42 267 40 265 46 257 47 256 48 280 89495 83942 27 271 26 260 27 269 30 257 25 274 83942 79332 20 280 20 272 21 290 17 303 14 270 79332 75349 11 277 17 270 23 275 22 321 5 294 75349 71838 9 320 9 295 14 270 19 314 2 005 71838 68653 14 330 11 338 11 314 18 335 11 030 68653 65730 13 312 14 302 20 303 22 314 26 339 65730 63059 11 335 11 298 18 287 22 293 30 313 63059 60499 19 002 14 011 11 324 15 314 24 325 60499 57825 33 351 26 357 24 340 27 335 21 316 57825 55026 38 334 36 335 39 328 39 322 34 326 55026 52343 36 324 34 318 40 317 40 320 49 324 52343 49931 30 330 30 323 34 313 47 325 53 327 49931 47770 36 350 33 342 30 332 53 337 57 340 47770 45816 45 355 43 358 55 352 63 350 60 348 45816 44030 48 357 54 003 62 350 63 356 61 353 44030 42382 52 008 61 005 56 359 61 005 62 356 42382 40848 62 012 63 006 64 011 64 010 64 358 40848 39413 66 012 58 010 72 014 70 008 63 358 39413 38070 61 012 52 014 72 014 71 006 60 357 38070 36791 54 010 49 017 68 015 68 005 55 355 36791 35519 47 009 48 018 60 015 62 003 51 354 35519 34226 43 011 48 015 50 013 55 003 48 354 34226 32920 43 017 49 009 42 011 50 002 43 354 32920 31590 46 022 50 005 36 005 41 357 35 350 31590 30232 48 024 47 005 36 357 33 344 30 339 30232 28851 47 024 42 006 36 347 33 334 31 325 28851 27453 44 020 35 007 34 335 33 328 36 319 27453 26042 42 013 31 007 30 322 32 320 38 318 26042 24624 40 004 28 002 27 308 31 311 37 319 24624 23198 36 354 27 356 26 300 31 304 35 320 23198 21755 34 347 26 354 25 299 30 299 34 321 21755 20319 32 344 26 352 25 308 30 299 34 323 20319 18954 30 345 25 351 25 320 29 305 33 324 18954 17718 29 347 24 350 25 329 29 313 33 324 17718 16611 27 351 23 350 24 335 29 320 33 325 16611 15610 25 353 23 352 23 342 29 324 33 325 15610 14697 24 355 23 356 23 350 29 329 33 326 14697 13861 22 356 23 360 22 358 28 335 33 328 13861 13096 21 355 23 004 21 005 28 341 32 330 13096 12398 19 355 22 007 20 009 28 348 31 334 12398 11759 19 355 20 009 18 011 28 355 30 339 11759 11169 19 356 17 009 17 011 28 001 29 345 11169 10631 18 358 12 008 15 010 28 005 28 351 10631 10171 18 002 8 009 14 008 26 005 27 357 10171 9810 18 003 7 011 13 008 23 004 26 359 9810 9558 16 001 6 011 12 007 20 004 23 359 9558 9403 14*000 5*012 11*007 16*003 19*358 9403 9314 10*358 4*015 9*007 11*003 12*357 9314 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography