DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 47.2 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 158 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - - - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1686 - - 2433 - - - - - 1417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 200 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 209 - - - - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -942 - - -1020 - - - - - -2641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10304 - - 10383 - - - - - 12004 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6611 - - -4930 - - - - - -10861 ODpotential blCL - - - 15973 - - 14293 - - - - - 20223 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 67 - - - - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 47.2 - - - - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 34.5 - - - - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 44.9 - - - - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 33.4 - - - - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 163 - - 158 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97591 16 270 22 262 18 304 97591 90308 9 262 19 242 14 270 90308 84723 6 282 10 217 14 267 84723 80102 5 269 4 264 7 260 80102 76119 1 196 3 295 3 330 76119 72595 4 056 2 120 8 333 72595 69412 5 353 3 034 7 307 69412 66493 7 313 9 332 2 284 66493 63789 6 283 11 309 6 342 63789 61176 7 255 10 296 11 332 61176 58459 5 285 6 292 12 304 58459 55642 9 320 5 293 13 287 55642 52952 13 308 7 296 15 282 52952 50522 14 293 11 296 13 276 50522 48334 15 276 13 282 10 266 48334 46344 16 273 14 273 8 260 46344 44519 15 276 11 270 6 262 44519 42831 7 276 4 259 4 238 42831 41259 1 215 1 226 7 114 41259 39788 17 072 10 121 10 109 39788 38416 20 076 16 104 18 106 38416 37114 19 097 18 086 21 095 37114 35823 27 104 16 102 21 087 35823 34519 32 095 22 115 18 076 34519 33209 33 087 26 100 14 085 33209 31878 31 081 28 080 16 096 31878 30515 28 079 27 070 18 092 30515 29127 26 081 24 065 19 088 29127 27719 25 083 20 062 20 083 27719 26295 24 086 18 062 19 079 26295 24860 22 077 17 061 17 075 24860 23412 21 070 18 061 16 072 23412 21945 21 075 18 064 15 067 21945 20482 22 080 17 070 13 065 20482 19093 22 080 16 075 10 077 19093 17834 21 078 16 080 9 096 17834 16708 20 077 16 084 10 109 16708 15691 19 076 16 085 11 113 15691 14767 18 076 16 086 13 116 14767 13922 18 079 14 085 14 118 13922 13152 16 082 12 082 15 122 13152 12451 14 084 9 077 15 126 12451 11812 10 085 5 068 14 130 11812 11220 6 076 1 026 13 130 11220 10682 3 058 2 237 12 129 10682 10222 1 119 3 224 9 124 10222 9861 2 153 4 216 6 112 9861 9608 3 160 4 213 4 094 9608 9452 3*162 4*212 3*068 9452 9362 3*163 4*209 3*050 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography