DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.9 - - 66.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 526 - - 518 - - 221 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4745 - - 7735 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12308 - - 14732 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13545 - - 16535 - - 9363 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2856 - - 2626 - - 8393 - - 1365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 589 - - 690 - - 217 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 272 - - 275 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - -13 - - -6 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1171 - - 972 - - -6305 - - -4097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14716 - - 15564 - - 15669 - - 13462 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4649 - - -781 - - -8645 - - -8240 ODpotential blCL - - - 18194 - - 17316 - - 18008 - - 17604 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 64 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 67.9 - - 66.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 32.1 - - 30.0 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 64.1 - - 63.6 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 29.8 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 526 - - 518 - - 221 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4745 - - 7735 - - 563 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99332 42 104 40 096 35 097 36 083 99332 91841 40 103 38 112 32 085 38 085 91841 86079 36 103 32 110 28 098 32 084 86079 81312 25 097 26 100 27 098 24 099 81312 77195 16 095 20 104 20 092 21 098 77195 73554 11 129 10 102 11 088 21 077 73554 70261 15 141 4 171 11 074 14 069 70261 67247 11 138 11 165 7 088 10 076 67247 64474 15 122 14 156 10 118 7 107 64474 61808 5 079 11 130 9 137 3 149 61808 59048 2 295 4 063 6 112 4 202 59048 56208 3 292 3 122 7 164 10 215 56208 53492 26 245 22 252 8 261 8 189 53492 51031 35 222 41 234 34 242 28 250 51031 48839 32 210 39 217 42 218 32 229 48839 46856 31 224 35 236 29 214 25 237 46856 45028 36 235 51 246 37 249 38 257 45028 43339 44 230 56 231 53 244 47 249 43339 41766 50 217 51 225 57 238 49 238 41766 40291 52 217 49 236 54 242 46 234 40291 38906 54 225 49 244 54 248 44 236 38906 37585 52 227 51 246 54 253 44 242 37585 36271 47 229 52 248 54 258 41 248 36271 34937 44 233 49 246 53 259 39 256 34937 33589 40 230 44 240 50 263 38 265 33589 32218 39 220 41 233 38 259 32 261 32218 30821 40 216 42 226 33 238 30 242 30821 29400 40 214 42 227 37 228 35 234 29400 27961 38 221 38 234 37 234 37 239 27961 26510 35 228 30 236 32 243 32 249 26510 25053 32 232 27 232 26 241 23 250 25053 23587 29 230 26 231 21 234 18 233 23587 22107 26 227 22 237 15 231 15 213 22107 20639 21 228 17 241 11 231 13 191 20639 19246 18 230 10 237 6 222 11 186 19246 17985 15 232 5 240 2 191 9 191 17985 16855 13 235 5*255 1 165 7 201 16855 15833 12 239 5*262 2 274 7 214 15833 14899 11 249 6 267 5 281 6 224 14899 14043 10*260 9 272 8 281 6 235 14043 13259 10*270 10 274 11 282 6 248 13259 12542 11 278 11 274 12 281 6 274 12542 11887 11 283 12 274 13 281 4 272 11887 11280 12 285 12 274 13 280 6 280 11280 10726 12 285 12 273 13 279 12 290 10726 10251 12 285 13 272 13 279 14 297 10251 9878 12 283 12 271 13 278 14 301 9878 9617 11 282 12 270 13 277 12 304 9617 9456 11 281 11 269 12 277 10*306 9456 9364 9 279 9 268 9*275 5*314 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography