DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 319 - - 151 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8239 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15092 - - 8999 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17039 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3980 - - 12477 - - 11848 - - 4595 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 676 - - 247 - - 193 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 282 - - 297 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -9 - - -15 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1073 - - -5944 - - -6345 - - -4476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15967 - - 15308 - - 15709 - - 13839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -812 - - -7390 - - -8044 - - -8059 ODpotential blCL - - - 17851 - - 16753 - - 17407 - - 17422 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 98 - - 86 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 130 - - 80 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 22.5 - - 21.4 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 54.1 - - 55.7 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 21.8 - - 20.7 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 319 - - 151 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8239 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 91 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98253 12 123 10 122 7 126 12 130 98253 90841 17 136 9 154 6 081 7 048 90841 85159 14 134 12 168 2 200 6 064 85159 80427 13 136 8 191 6 144 6 093 80427 76336 8 106 5 173 7 155 6 093 76336 72721 2 212 5 192 5 159 6 116 72721 69438 7 212 9 222 9 217 5 243 69438 66410 12 219 9 234 12 200 11 218 66410 63589 11 237 10 246 11 199 13 224 63589 60851 11 235 14 233 10 244 12 253 60851 58012 7 263 13 248 14 272 14 275 58012 55090 14 270 13 274 15 276 15 274 55090 52322 13 298 17 275 16 271 17 282 52322 49848 23 300 17 286 17 277 20 288 49848 47651 25 290 22 293 25 297 21 296 47651 45683 26 314 24 300 26 291 24 289 45683 43898 37 322 31 318 25 303 24 294 43898 42254 39 323 35 317 27 314 26 299 42254 40722 37 325 36 317 28 315 25 302 40722 39287 37 329 35 318 27 311 24 304 39287 37944 37 327 34 314 27 303 25 304 37944 36666 36 324 34 309 27 297 26 300 36666 35396 35 321 33 310 26 297 25 294 35396 34107 34 320 32 313 25 304 22 294 34107 32806 34 318 30 315 24 312 22 301 32806 31481 33 314 28 314 23 311 22 306 31481 30127 30 309 27 316 24 309 22 308 30127 28751 28 304 27 318 25 311 23 311 28751 27358 27 302 28 316 24 310 22 312 27358 25956 28 300 27 313 21 306 20 304 25956 24552 28 296 25 308 20 299 19 289 24552 23144 26 293 26 294 22 289 17 288 23144 21725 22 296 22 289 17 295 14 292 21725 20315 18 305 19 286 12 308 10 294 20315 18974 17 307 18 284 11 308 9 294 18974 17757 17*307 16 283 11 306 9 295 17757 16664 15*305 16 282 11 305 10 298 16664 15675 14 301 15 282 12 305 10 302 15675 14770 14 299 15 282 12 305 11 305 14770 13939 13 296 15 282 13 304 11 307 13939 13175 13 291 15 283 13 304 11 309 13175 12477 13 287 15 284 13 303 11 312 12477 11836 13 285 15 284 14 302 11 315 11836 11243 13 282 14 284 13 301 11 318 11243 10700 13 279 14 285 13 300 11 323 10700 10235 12 277 14 284 13 299 10 328 10235 9868 12 275 13 284 12 299 10 330 9868 9612 12 274 12 283 12 298 8 332 9612 9454 11 274 11*283 11*298 7*334 9454 9363 9 271 9*282 8*297 5*337 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography