DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.9 - - 36.1 - - 38.7 - - 33.3 - - 28.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 162 - - 226 - - -13 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 2275 - - 3317 - - 1259 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 196 - - 219 - - 22 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 283 - - 296 - - 318 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -29 - - 1 - - -14 - - -18 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9211 - - -9373 - - -8875 - - -7567 - - -7451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 18573 - - 18734 - - 18238 - - 16929 - - 16813 sfcLCL ODpotential -17448 - - -14606 - - -13538 - - -13220 - - -14670 ODpotential blCL 26809 - - 23967 - - 22900 - - 22581 - - 24031 blCL maxRH 70 - - 81 - - 79 - - 66 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.9 - - 36.1 - - 38.7 - - 33.3 - - 28.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -22.9 - - -12.6 - - -8.1 - - -7.1 - - -11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.6 - - 33.9 - - 36.3 - - 33.7 - - 31.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -23.9 - - -13.2 - - -8.6 - - -7.8 - - -12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 162 - - 226 - - -13 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 22 - - 14 - - 0 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95801 9 268 23 306 5 255 26 244 37 296 95801 88811 6 359 15 342 7 343 5 274 20 286 88811 83360 11 037 7 281 13 309 17 359 17 348 83360 78832 8 028 3 256 14 286 17 341 18 001 78832 74914 7 032 5 292 7 327 12 006 12 357 74914 71429 15 012 11 325 22 322 24 344 19 332 71429 68280 26 328 19 292 25 309 26 320 19 323 68280 65391 25 328 8 301 23 322 23 322 23 321 65391 62709 36 327 27 331 36 321 35 326 34 318 62709 60106 47 316 43 324 43 314 43 314 40 313 60106 57372 51 314 50 325 49 313 50 310 48 315 57372 54520 61 317 62 320 54 314 58 309 61 312 54520 51795 68 313 68 316 61 314 65 306 70 308 51795 49335 72 311 74 313 68 312 69 305 75 306 49335 47117 74 311 77 312 72 309 74 305 79 304 47117 45095 75 312 78 312 75 308 77 304 79 302 45095 43232 74 312 77 309 77 306 77 301 75 301 43232 41508 72 312 75 307 78 304 77 300 76 296 41508 39926 76 312 77 306 84 300 79 292 77 292 39926 38481 86 310 83 307 88 298 78 294 79 291 38481 37149 92 311 90 311 91 297 81 297 84 295 37149 35893 97 311 95 311 90 297 85 291 85 294 35893 34651 95 312 93 311 88 300 82 293 83 293 34651 33392 93 313 87 313 84 303 78 296 81 293 33392 32120 87 317 81 312 83 303 76 296 78 297 32120 30826 77 318 74 308 81 303 71 298 72 298 30826 29506 68 315 68 306 75 308 68 305 65 295 29506 28168 64 312 64 304 67 308 65 307 60 295 28168 26814 64 311 59 303 60 305 59 306 56 296 26814 25452 63 312 55 302 54 305 51 303 51 296 25452 24087 62 313 53 300 49 304 44 301 46 295 24087 22716 60 314 51 301 45 303 40 301 41 292 22716 21332 56 315 50 305 43 301 38 299 37 288 21332 19957 49 314 49 309 41 303 37 296 35 286 19957 18651 43 313 46 312 40 306 35 295 33 287 18651 17467 38 313 43 314 38 309 34 296 31 289 17467 16407 34 314 40 314 37 312 32 298 29 292 16407 15447 31 315 37 312 35 314 31 300 28 294 15447 14570 29 317 33 309 32 316 29 304 26 297 14570 13765 27 318 30 306 30 318 27 307 25 301 13765 13028 25 319 27 304 26 319 25 312 23 306 13028 12354 23 319 24 303 23 319 23 316 22 310 12354 11737 21 319 21 304 19 318 21 322 20 315 11737 11165 20 321 17 307 16 313 18 327 17 320 11165 10644 18 324 13 308 14 309 16 329 14 324 10644 10197 16 328 10 304 13 306 14 325 11 327 10197 9846 14 331 8 296 13 304 12 322 9 331 9846 9599 11 334 7 293 11 301 10 319 7 339 9599 9449 8*336 6*288 10*300 8*318 6*339 9449 9361 6*339 5*283 8*296 5*318 4*340 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography