DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 60.7 - - 60.6 - - 58.5 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 131 - - 343 - - 370 - - 179 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 3063 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 10865 - - 9029 - - 9346 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 11863 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3158 - - 2503 - - 4561 - - 4308 - - 2843 Hgt.Variab. W* 183 - - 446 - - 260 - - 204 - - 17 W* B/S 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 093 - - 193 - - 259 - - 290 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 25 - - 5 - - -11 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -479 - - 1484 - - -648 - - -1464 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9843 - - 10380 - - 10012 - - 10828 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential -3029 - - -453 - - -2304 - - -3864 - - -2959 ODpotential blCL 12392 - - 12316 - - 11667 - - 13227 - - 12322 blCL maxRH 94 - - 92 - - 83 - - 93 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 540 - - 640 - - 50 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 60.7 - - 60.6 - - 58.5 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 47.0 - - 48.4 - - 43.0 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 57.6 - - 57.3 - - 56.3 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 47.7 - - 42.7 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 131 - - 343 - - 370 - - 179 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 3063 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 67 - - 32 - - 73 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98972 44 107 33 111 35 110 27 099 31 093 98972 91474 37 100 33 096 32 102 28 097 27 098 91474 85739 29 089 31 095 26 100 29 097 26 090 85739 80969 23 072 27 106 22 114 23 091 25 076 80969 76851 19 073 24 106 26 121 15 089 20 082 76851 73224 18 096 17 087 27 106 17 107 17 102 73224 69968 23 116 13 092 21 092 19 099 18 113 69968 66997 25 114 17 126 12 100 14 098 19 114 66997 64254 20 106 23 134 13 140 11 146 16 110 64254 61599 8 119 22 123 18 147 15 161 10 131 61599 58842 3 174 8 147 12 149 16 148 11 156 58842 56011 13 203 10 229 9 183 11 139 10 153 56011 53323 23 190 21 227 15 220 9 209 11 216 53323 50905 23 194 31 205 27 216 21 244 24 243 50905 48724 25 205 29 197 33 207 34 228 33 228 48724 46727 25 204 29 200 36 202 40 208 38 217 46727 44887 24 211 31 206 37 204 42 203 43 215 44887 43177 33 221 36 217 41 212 46 205 46 211 43177 41578 44 223 48 219 48 212 49 206 48 208 41578 40079 51 223 52 216 52 208 55 207 49 208 40079 38679 52 224 52 215 52 205 55 207 48 207 38679 37349 51 225 51 215 50 204 50 205 47 206 37349 36028 48 221 47 214 46 203 46 203 47 204 36028 34690 44 214 41 207 40 199 44 200 48 199 34690 33345 41 210 41 200 36 192 43 199 48 197 33345 31982 38 213 37 203 36 186 41 195 46 193 31982 30594 36 210 34 209 37 189 37 182 39 181 30594 29182 31 198 32 211 31 188 36 175 39 180 29182 27752 31 194 29 213 24 194 34 190 36 188 27752 26311 31 198 28 216 22 201 30 199 33 197 26311 24868 29 201 27 212 19 211 26 207 30 206 24868 23419 26 198 24 203 18 218 25 212 24 210 23419 21956 23 194 20 196 18 210 23 218 19 208 21956 20500 19 191 17 194 18 204 19 221 15 218 20500 19120 12 156 15 190 16 203 16 216 13 245 19120 17873 14 113 13 189 15 205 15 213 12 265 17873 16758 12 107 11 184 13 205 15 219 11 277 16758 15749 9 109 10 174 12 201 15 226 11 288 15749 14829 6 107 8 163 12 199 15 234 12 294 14829 13985 2 068 7 163 11 200 15 243 13 296 13985 13211 3 002 6 174 11 205 15 255 14 293 13211 12505 4 352 6 184 9 214 13 265 15 291 12505 11858 4 357 6*190 8 226 12 275 15 289 11858 11259 3 011 6*193 8 246 12 286 15 291 11259 10712 5 072 6 194 9 257 11 291 14 295 10712 10243 6 082 7 194 9 260 11 292 13 300 10243 9873 6 085 7 193 10 262 11 292 11 305 9873 9614 6 088 7 192 9 261 10 291 9 309 9614 9455 6*090 7 191 9*261 9*290 8*309 9455 9363 5*093 6 189 7*259 7*290 4*308 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography