DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 33.3 - - 28.5 - - 22.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 223 - - 7 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 2165 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 10055 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 10965 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2402 - - 1558 - - 1648 - - 305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 342 - - 69 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 19 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 355 - - 359 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -28 - - -64 - - -26 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4803 - - -3531 - - -4422 - - -3732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14165 - - 14497 - - 13783 - - 13093 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9840 - - -8667 - - -9687 - - -10680 ODpotential blCL - - - 19201 - - 19632 - - 19048 - - 20041 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 30 - - 40 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.1 - - 33.3 - - 28.5 - - 22.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.5 - - 3.1 - - 1.7 - - -0.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 31.2 - - 27.9 - - 24.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 0.9 - - 2.5 - - 1.3 - - -1.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 223 - - 7 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 2165 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95615 68 279 72 273 74 281 66 278 95615 88547 32 282 52 281 45 293 45 298 88547 83144 15 292 37 274 40 294 31 308 83144 78634 27 311 31 286 42 289 30 319 78634 74705 42 307 38 308 44 295 37 314 74705 71241 36 298 35 304 37 303 35 310 71241 68117 21 291 27 297 29 307 31 313 68117 65231 19 313 22 302 31 300 35 306 65231 62544 31 311 28 313 35 298 39 293 62544 59939 45 300 38 314 35 305 40 296 59939 57215 48 288 44 299 45 304 49 297 57215 54383 49 278 46 286 50 290 42 291 54383 51654 52 286 51 291 43 287 39 305 51654 49165 64 290 50 297 50 295 52 304 49165 46915 68 287 58 299 60 294 57 301 46915 44861 67 283 65 294 65 293 64 300 44861 42979 65 286 70 292 64 291 64 296 42979 41256 68 288 72 290 57 294 59 297 41256 39679 70 286 67 286 53 304 49 305 39679 38234 61 285 55 289 51 316 46 335 38234 36907 52 294 52 300 55 320 48 343 36907 35656 52 302 57 303 57 312 48 337 35656 34422 52 306 54 307 53 303 44 325 34422 33181 52 309 49 312 46 304 38 324 33181 31940 52 309 46 317 41 315 38 325 31940 30681 52 307 45 319 40 321 38 311 30681 29393 52 305 45 316 42 316 38 312 29393 28081 50 305 46 312 45 310 37 318 28081 26750 49 308 47 311 49 313 36 326 26750 25406 48 312 47 311 49 321 34 334 25406 24051 48 314 45 312 45 328 32 342 24051 22686 48 316 41 319 40 333 30 349 22686 21305 45 319 38 325 36 334 28 348 21305 19927 41 320 34 327 33 333 26 342 19927 18619 39 321 31 327 30 332 24 336 18619 17434 38 322 30 327 29 331 23 332 17434 16373 36 324 30 329 28 332 22 330 16373 15413 35 328 30 333 27 334 21 332 15413 14537 34 332 30 337 26 338 21 337 14537 13735 34 337 30 342 25 343 22 344 13735 12999 33 342 30 347 25 349 22 351 12999 12328 32 347 29 351 25 355 23 359 12328 11714 30 351 28 353 24 359 24 006 11714 11147 27 354 26*354 23 002 25 012 11147 10630 25 356 23*355 22 003 25 017 10630 10187 20 358 22 355 19 002 24 019 10187 9839 17 359 20 355 15 000 21 018 9839 9596 15 359 18 356 13 000 18 013 9596 9447 13*001 15 356 11*360 14*012 9447 9361 9*001 10 356 7*359 7*009 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography