DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 66.1 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 506 - - 198 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6293 - - 9550 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13568 - - 16225 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15093 - - 18350 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2163 - - 2098 - - 12033 - - 10356 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 652 - - 740 - - 211 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 22 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 261 - - 259 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -33 - - -16 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1609 - - 445 - - -8446 - - -6164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16703 - - 17906 - - 17810 - - 15528 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5400 - - -2182 - - -10012 - - -9207 ODpotential blCL - - - 20493 - - 20532 - - 19375 - - 18570 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 77 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 66.1 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 20.5 - - 20.3 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 63.4 - - 63.9 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 19.4 - - 19.4 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 506 - - 198 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6293 - - 9550 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 8 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98575 14 120 17 109 17 078 18 090 98575 91064 16 106 17 089 18 081 20 093 91064 85331 14 125 13 107 15 076 23 090 85331 80637 18 123 19 120 8 097 22 083 80637 76610 15 110 15 126 9 105 16 086 76610 73030 9 112 14 123 8 118 13 078 73030 69774 8 157 12 118 7 172 5 048 69774 66784 5 138 15 147 18 166 9 238 66784 64012 6 179 18 187 11 163 10 159 64012 61319 12 215 16 184 11 204 17 202 61319 58528 21 201 21 219 27 212 25 210 58528 55656 17 225 27 233 19 192 19 215 55656 52903 38 248 27 244 23 240 23 240 52903 50412 43 255 38 249 47 239 43 234 50412 48171 43 257 49 245 52 236 50 232 48171 46132 45 251 56 244 51 240 51 236 46132 44270 45 241 57 239 49 245 51 241 44270 42564 43 232 53 231 49 246 51 244 42564 40983 42 230 48 231 49 245 52 243 40983 39509 42 235 44 234 49 240 51 241 39509 38136 43 240 44 234 50 235 49 239 38136 36837 44 241 45 234 53 233 50 237 36837 35552 45 242 47 237 53 234 52 237 35552 34256 46 242 47 243 51 236 53 240 34256 32951 43 240 45 248 48 237 51 242 32951 31624 38 238 39 248 44 236 49 241 31624 30268 35 235 34 241 39 235 47 237 30268 28890 35 236 27 230 35 238 42 235 28890 27496 35 239 30 232 35 243 38 236 27496 26091 34 244 31 236 35 247 35 240 26091 24681 33 249 34 245 35 250 33 246 24681 23262 30 253 36 252 35 251 31 248 23262 21831 28 256 36 251 34 249 29 244 21831 20410 28 255 34 248 28 248 26 245 20410 19063 29 252 28*250 24 250 23 251 19063 17840 31 252 25*254 23 252 22 255 17840 16743 30 254 23 257 22 253 22 255 16743 15747 27*258 23 259 22 254 22 255 15747 14835 25*261 23 260 22 256 21 256 14835 13997 23 263 22 262 21 257 21 255 13997 13226 22 266 22 262 21 258 20 255 13226 12520 21 267 21 263 21 259 20 255 12520 11872 20 268 21 264 20 260 19 255 11872 11271 20 269 21 264 20 260 19 255 11271 10721 19 269 20 264 19 261 18 254 10721 10249 19 268 20 264 19 261 16 254 10249 9877 18 268 19 264 18 261 13 253 9877 9616 16 267 18 264 17 261 10 253 9616 9456 15 267 16 263 15 260 7*252 9456 9363 11 265 12 262 11*259 3*265 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography