DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.0 - - 41.7 - - 45.1 - - 42.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 277 - - 340 - - 55 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2763 - - 3511 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 10569 - - 11203 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 11563 - - 12311 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1181 - - 1571 - - 1535 - - 3037 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 400 - - 463 - - 138 - - 31 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 27 - - 28 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 329 - - 323 - - 320 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 21 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -40 - - -123 - - -108 - - -44 - - -43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -689 - - 537 - - -467 - - -3989 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10052 - - 11026 - - 12779 - - 13352 - - 12152 sfcLCL ODpotential -6528 - - -3172 - - -5793 - - -10039 - - -10880 ODpotential blCL 15890 - - 14735 - - 18104 - - 19401 - - 20242 blCL maxRH 56 - - 67 - - 54 - - 50 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.0 - - 41.7 - - 45.1 - - 42.2 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 26.1 - - 21.9 - - 16.8 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.6 - - 39.3 - - 42.4 - - 41.2 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.4 - - 25.5 - - 21.4 - - 16.5 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 277 - - 340 - - 55 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 2763 - - 3511 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96622 15 101 11 105 12 112 10 096 12 053 96622 89424 14 077 8 087 7 153 7 043 12 045 89424 83853 11 089 12 156 6 149 6 028 9 051 83853 79207 5 045 9 098 10 162 3 275 2 060 79207 75174 7 330 3 043 11 179 9 282 12 302 75174 71640 13 308 10 290 6 209 12 287 18 308 71640 68522 16 322 9 331 9 115 5 331 9 355 68522 65633 32 333 44 337 31 350 20 011 18 334 65633 62927 41 331 55 325 46 321 34 314 41 312 62927 60336 38 313 57 315 55 314 52 305 60 311 60336 57646 50 311 57 314 60 311 59 313 68 311 57646 54865 60 307 61 312 68 306 71 312 76 308 54865 52223 64 303 66 300 73 303 76 311 78 308 52223 49834 63 307 70 297 75 308 79 311 78 311 49834 47669 74 314 82 306 80 311 82 308 82 314 47669 45689 88 311 93 309 89 309 88 306 89 312 45689 43878 103 304 102 305 98 306 93 305 95 308 43878 42217 114 300 109 303 104 304 96 304 97 306 42217 40684 119 298 111 303 103 303 96 304 96 307 40684 39252 118 297 106 304 95 302 94 306 93 308 39252 37911 114 297 101 305 88 303 91 307 88 308 37911 36633 109 298 100 307 87 309 89 308 81 308 36633 35361 104 302 99 308 88 314 87 310 75 311 35361 34069 101 305 99 308 88 315 85 312 71 317 34069 32764 101 307 99 307 89 314 83 314 71 322 32764 31438 100 307 100 309 89 314 80 316 73 324 31438 30085 99 306 97 310 86 315 77 318 72 322 30085 28710 98 306 89 310 82 316 74 319 70 321 28710 27318 94 306 80 309 77 315 70 318 69 322 27318 25915 86 305 73 311 73 313 66 316 67 323 25915 24505 76 305 69 314 70 312 62 315 64 323 24505 23086 68 307 67 315 66 314 59 316 60 321 23086 21653 65 311 66 315 63 316 56 318 56 320 21653 20228 65 314 64 311 62 316 55 320 53 320 20228 18878 63 313 62 307 62 314 55 322 50 322 18878 17655 60 312 60 305 61 312 57 323 50 323 17655 16560 56 310 58 305 59 312 58 323 51 325 16560 15571 53 309 55 307 56 314 57 324 53 325 15571 14668 49 309 52 310 51 317 54 324 53 325 14668 13843 46 310 48 314 45 320 51 324 53 324 13843 13087 43 313 44 318 39 322 46 324 51 324 13087 12400 40 316 40 322 35*323 42 324 49 324 12400 11772 38 318 37*325 33*323 39 323 46 325 11772 11191 35 319 34*328 32 323 37 323 42 327 11191 10662 33 319 31 329 30 323 35 322 39 330 10662 10209 30 320 29 329 29 323 33 322 35 332 10209 9852 26 320 26 329 27 323 30 322 31 334 9852 9603 22 321 23 329 25 322 27 321 25 336 9603 9450 17*321 20 329 21 322 22*321 19*336 9450 9362 9*322 13 327 14 321 14*320 10*338 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography