DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.1 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 141 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2147 - - 3602 - - 5320 - - 4406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 191 - - 43 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 179 - - 181 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 27 - - 26 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -346 - - -2320 - - -3297 - - -2831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9709 - - 11683 - - 12660 - - 12194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4151 - - -5973 - - -6176 - - -6705 ODpotential blCL - - - 13513 - - 15335 - - 15538 - - 16067 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 85 - - 99 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.1 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.4 - - 22.4 - - 18.4 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 39.1 - - 40.7 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.2 - - 21.3 - - 17.9 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 141 - - -4 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 40 - - 98 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 19 115 23 081 32 104 30 104 96635 89525 26 115 21 105 17 108 23 091 89525 83986 20 109 16 119 11 126 13 072 83986 79354 7 130 12 118 5 138 3 070 79354 75347 7 175 4 138 4 126 4 018 75347 71790 8 238 9 235 10 273 6 317 71790 68569 10 250 2 216 10 296 8 334 68569 65614 27 257 23 273 25 276 23 298 65614 62871 31 251 29 261 25 259 20 258 62871 60203 30 258 36 256 35 259 24 249 60203 57404 39 253 47 252 51 249 43 254 57404 54499 56 246 62 249 62 248 69 257 54499 51745 68 244 70 248 74 252 80 260 51745 49271 74 249 77 250 86 254 88 260 49271 47048 82 255 86 254 95 254 96 257 47048 45029 88 257 93 256 100 252 102 253 45029 43185 94 255 99 253 104 250 106 248 43185 41494 101 250 106 246 110 247 111 246 41494 39938 106 249 111 243 117 243 119 245 39938 38500 104 250 111 243 119 239 126 245 38500 37166 100 252 107 244 116 236 128 244 37166 35904 96 251 101 243 111 237 125 243 35904 34651 93 250 98 242 109 239 119 243 34651 33382 93 248 98 242 107 241 111 242 33382 32102 94 245 96 243 104 243 103 242 32102 30803 95 243 92 243 100 245 99 241 30803 29479 92 242 87 242 95 246 96 240 29479 28135 86 242 82 240 87 246 91 238 28135 26777 81 242 80 240 80 243 84 236 26777 25413 78 242 78 240 76 239 77 234 25413 24047 76 241 75 239 75 238 74 235 24047 22675 72 241 71 237 73 238 73 236 22675 21293 67 240 67 236 67 238 69 235 21293 19922 61 238 60 236 61 235 63 231 19922 18625 56 236 55 236 58 232 58 226 18625 17452 53 234 51 236 55 229 56 223 17452 16402 50 232 49 236 50 225 53 222 16402 15451 47 231 46 234 43 219 49 221 15451 14582 44 230 41 231 37 212 43 220 14582 13785 39 227 35 226 32 205 37 218 13785 13052 33 224 28 218 30 201 33 216 13052 12379 26 215 22 209 27 196 31 216 12379 11762 20 201 18 198 24 192 31 216 11762 11187 15 182 16 189 22 188 31 216 11187 10662 13 163 14 184 20 185 30 215 10662 10210 11 147 14 182 19 184 27 213 10210 9854 10 138 13 181 17 183 24 209 9854 9604 9 135 12 180 15 182 18 204 9604 9450 8*134 11*179 13*182 12*201 9450 9362 7*133 9*179 8*181 5*204 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography