DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 46.8 - - 48.5 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -74 - - 72 - - 103 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 59 - - 1353 - - 2579 - - 677 - - 1006 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 154 - - 171 - - 6 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 24 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 346 - - 003 - - 042 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -44 - - -18 - - 0 - - -10 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6365 - - -7258 - - -6198 - - -4074 - - -5694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15727 - - 16620 - - 15561 - - 13437 - - 15058 sfcLCL ODpotential -14067 - - -11986 - - -10441 - - -10513 - - -12023 ODpotential blCL 23429 - - 21348 - - 19803 - - 19875 - - 21386 blCL maxRH 40 - - 52 - - 56 - - 54 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 46.8 - - 48.5 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.4 - - 7.3 - - 13.4 - - 14.1 - - 7.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.1 - - 45.2 - - 46.7 - - 42.2 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.3 - - 6.0 - - 12.5 - - 13.3 - - 6.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -74 - - 72 - - 103 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95853 27 308 36 301 30 306 30 286 38 300 95853 88889 29 327 22 318 28 309 31 310 32 316 88889 83475 22 329 12 316 16 314 21 314 27 333 83475 78973 20 350 13 325 15 316 14 339 22 354 78973 75085 24 352 15 332 22 324 24 346 27 012 75085 71641 21 358 10 009 13 351 25 348 32 014 71641 68517 24 023 21 350 19 034 17 006 23 012 68517 65633 24 351 23 338 18 003 24 014 20 352 65633 62962 21 329 27 341 21 005 22 355 23 330 62962 60392 22 337 30 338 23 344 31 338 21 329 60392 57713 28 322 34 325 28 327 35 321 28 325 57713 54918 36 318 37 317 32 325 38 321 32 320 54918 52236 41 316 39 316 38 316 38 318 33 318 52236 49809 44 313 40 311 38 309 37 314 33 319 49809 47625 45 310 41 304 39 308 39 309 35 312 47625 45633 43 304 40 297 40 309 39 307 34 305 45633 43807 39 303 38 293 41 302 35 310 32 305 43807 42121 36 303 34 296 35 294 35 305 28 307 42121 40559 29 303 28 293 32 290 31 300 27 306 40559 39106 24 309 21 298 26 283 27 293 27 298 39106 37756 21 309 19 310 16 295 20 283 26 288 37756 36480 19 310 19 311 14 313 15 300 22 284 36480 35216 18 315 17 310 13 307 15 305 17 290 35216 33937 18 318 14 310 11 299 13 307 16 294 33937 32649 18 318 12 314 9 301 9 322 16 295 32649 31342 18 313 12 321 6 317 9 003 9 285 31342 30011 20 309 12 333 7 357 7 012 3 292 30011 28660 25 309 13 343 9 353 5 002 4 290 28660 27289 31 307 14 347 7 346 6 332 6 292 27289 25904 32 306 13 353 7 333 8 316 7 298 25904 24512 24 314 13 353 9 327 11 319 8 305 24512 23109 18 331 15 346 13 325 15 322 9 315 23109 21689 18 338 16 336 15 325 16 322 10 325 21689 20275 19 333 16 330 16 327 17 321 9 335 20275 18930 22 327 16 328 16 329 16 322 9 344 18930 17709 23 325 16 329 15 330 15 326 9 353 17709 16615 23 325 15 330 14 332 15 331 9 360 16615 15625 23 327 15 331 14 335 14 338 8 008 15625 14720 22 330 15 333 13 340 12 347 8 017 14720 13891 22 332 14 335 13 346 11 357 7 029 13891 13131 21 334 15 338 12 353 10 010 6 045 13131 12437 22 335 15 341 11 360 8 022 5 062 12437 11802 22 336 15 345 10 001 7 032 6 077 11802 11214 22 337 15 348 8 359 7 039 6 087 11214 10679 21 338 14 349 6 355 6 039 7 090 10679 10220 20 340 13 349 4 351 5 034 7 083 10220 9860 19 341 11 348 3 353 4 032 7 072 9860 9607 16 343 8 346 2 358 3 037 7 061 9607 9452 12*344 7*346 2*000 2*039 6*054 9452 9363 7*342 5*346 1*003 2*042 5*046 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography