DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.8 - - 79.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 468 - - 178 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7010 - - 11562 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14115 - - 17842 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15810 - - 20362 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4001 - - 1387 - - 12413 - - 624 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 654 - - 764 - - 203 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 13 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 305 - - 284 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 39 - - 35 - - -9 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -390 - - 1146 - - -10443 - - -8737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16201 - - 19217 - - 19808 - - 18102 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2696 - - -269 - - -12628 - - -14160 ODpotential blCL - - - 18506 - - 20631 - - 21992 - - 23524 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 86 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.8 - - 79.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 28.6 - - 24.4 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 77.1 - - 76.8 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 28.1 - - 24.1 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 468 - - 178 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7010 - - 11562 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 43 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99321 35 098 46 098 39 106 34 106 99321 91811 35 098 32 095 35 082 38 098 91811 86049 35 103 26 110 25 076 33 082 86049 81287 29 106 25 108 19 104 24 078 81287 77176 25 100 23 111 20 109 20 094 77176 73531 21 098 21 106 20 117 19 099 73531 70238 18 102 14 103 21 107 18 097 70238 67235 13 114 12 118 14 103 14 087 67235 64479 11 119 11 114 12 127 7 097 64479 61826 7 121 8 089 8 122 4 150 61826 59070 8 152 1 163 4 350 2 035 59070 56242 5 110 1 196 5 314 7 319 56242 53572 14 032 8 040 7 360 7 301 53572 51177 26 004 16 018 13 021 5 345 51177 49028 30 355 19 355 17 357 8 358 49028 47063 29 360 21 344 18 344 16 349 47063 45245 31 359 22 344 19 345 20 342 45245 43552 32 351 23 345 24 337 21 339 43552 41966 31 349 28 332 26 326 21 335 41966 40476 28 351 26 325 24 325 20 334 40476 39080 24 355 20 329 24 332 22 335 39080 37753 19 013 14 333 23 334 23 334 37753 36435 17 015 14 338 20 329 22 327 36435 35099 19 008 18 344 14 322 20 312 35099 33748 23 003 19 344 15 326 16 301 33748 32377 23 357 23 337 17 326 16 308 32377 30978 20 359 17 341 17 318 18 307 30978 29558 14 011 12 350 13 311 16 296 29558 28119 11 013 7 347 7 294 14 279 28119 26665 7 030 3 309 9 273 15 265 26665 25202 6 067 3 193 10 248 15 248 25202 23730 3 080 4 204 6 233 13 235 23730 22247 1 013 4 024 5 047 7 203 22247 20777 4 012 8*011 6 033 4 122 20777 19380 9 358 8*002 6 018 4 047 19380 18112 12 345 8 351 6 350 7 010 18112 16972 12 335 9 328 8 324 9 356 16972 15939 12*330 10 321 9 317 10 347 15939 14996 11*328 11 309 11 304 12 335 14996 14128 9 323 12 302 12 300 13 322 14128 13332 7 312 12 297 13 295 15 311 13332 12605 5 293 13 293 14 292 16 303 12605 11938 4 273 13 290 14 290 18 297 11938 11320 4 247 14 287 14 289 19 293 11320 10755 4 231 14 285 14 287 19 291 10755 10271 4 217 14 283 14 287 18 290 10271 9890 5 209 13 282 14 286 16 290 9890 9623 5 206 13 281 13 285 14 292 9623 9459 5 203 12 280 12*284 11*296 9459 9364 5 201 9 278 9*284 6*305 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography