DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 39.7 - - 37.5 - - 30.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 192 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4340 - - 6531 - - 5825 - - 2767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 209 - - 103 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 251 - - 288 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 8 - - -12 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -1778 - - -1873 - - -790 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 11141 - - 11235 - - 10153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1586 - - -3337 - - -3958 - - -4564 ODpotential blCL - - - 10948 - - 12699 - - 13320 - - 13926 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 39.7 - - 37.5 - - 30.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 23.7 - - 21.2 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 37.4 - - 36.4 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 22.7 - - 20.8 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 192 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 31 - - 35 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 19 062 29 059 23 088 14 085 96431 89437 19 079 19 073 14 087 19 064 89437 83969 20 075 20 093 11 078 14 069 83969 79394 15 095 14 082 9 092 11 043 79394 75426 18 092 11 063 7 092 9 028 75426 71902 12 058 5 112 6 031 11 015 71902 68710 16 032 4 144 5 260 16 343 68710 65776 7 340 6 309 3 220 7 312 65776 63054 14 255 16 287 13 247 14 263 63054 60413 26 274 21 266 20 257 24 264 60413 57654 40 262 35 274 33 263 33 263 57654 54759 44 249 48 254 50 254 45 254 54759 51964 43 253 54 254 59 251 55 251 51964 49442 63 254 68 255 72 251 66 252 49442 47193 80 254 82 251 78 251 70 250 47193 45170 98 255 90 252 82 254 72 253 45170 43325 105 249 99 251 93 255 84 256 43325 41621 106 248 95 249 95 251 99 252 41621 40049 108 250 99 253 98 251 103 251 40049 38597 113 252 117 254 111 253 110 252 38597 37250 116 252 134 252 123 251 115 251 37250 35974 117 252 134 251 127 250 119 249 35974 34709 119 252 124 252 122 249 117 249 34709 33433 121 253 114 253 114 250 111 249 33433 32149 118 253 106 254 108 252 105 251 32149 30849 108 257 97 254 101 253 99 251 30849 29524 99 261 92 252 93 252 92 250 29524 28180 90 262 89 252 87 251 86 251 28180 26822 80 261 83 254 83 253 79 253 26822 25453 65 257 74 256 77 259 71 257 25453 24083 53 256 64 255 66 260 62 258 24083 22708 47 258 55 253 53 254 53 254 22708 21322 44 259 50 251 48 245 49 247 21322 19944 41 257 48 249 46 244 46 244 19944 18638 39 255 44 249 42 249 42 246 18638 17456 34 255 37 252 37 255 36 251 17456 16398 28 256 29 258 31 262 31 256 16398 15441 24 257 23 263 26 269 27 259 15441 14569 18 259 19 268 21 275 23 261 14569 13767 14 264 15 272 18 280 20 263 13767 13032 10 265 12 272 16 283 18 264 13032 12360 8 261 10 271 14 286 16 268 12360 11743 7 255 9 268 13 287 14 272 11743 11171 6 240 9 265 13 289 12 278 11171 10649 5 220 9 262 13 289 10 284 10649 10201 5 209 8 258 12 289 9 291 10201 9848 5 206 8 255 12 289 7 297 9848 9601 5 203 8 254 11 289 6 309 9601 9449 5*201 7*253 10*288 5*316 9449 9362 4*199 6*251 7*288 3*336 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography