DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 63.7 - - 63.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 138 - - 68 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8950 - - 9347 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4802 - - 4596 - - 3944 - - 1673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 189 - - 156 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 172 - - 113 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 16 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -517 - - -314 - - -996 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9881 - - 9678 - - 10361 - - 9364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2336 - - -2485 - - -3891 - - -1567 ODpotential blCL - - - 11700 - - 11849 - - 13255 - - 10931 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 96 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1060 - - 1100 - - 380 - - 850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 63.7 - - 63.5 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 52.9 - - 49.9 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 61.6 - - 61.9 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 48.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 138 - - 68 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 101 - - 83 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99327 36 089 34 103 34 092 52 092 99327 91831 36 102 28 109 30 097 32 082 91831 86080 36 101 27 105 30 112 25 099 86080 81290 32 097 30 093 28 102 27 104 81290 77169 25 099 28 097 27 096 28 094 77169 73540 21 093 28 095 24 100 26 093 73540 70265 20 087 22 091 20 104 23 094 70265 67278 19 095 14 091 19 099 21 087 67278 64536 20 105 14 103 15 080 20 085 64536 61894 18 098 14 120 10 083 14 092 61894 59155 11 110 17 143 8 108 11 098 59155 56343 4 135 12 144 9 152 5 157 56343 53683 8 221 12 172 13 182 12 201 53683 51292 23 200 21 201 17 223 14 211 51292 49134 32 192 30 212 29 232 20 238 49134 47162 34 191 36 209 30 223 25 236 47162 45342 35 198 34 209 27 225 23 232 45342 43650 33 195 32 218 25 226 22 227 43650 42065 26 192 29 219 23 231 21 227 42065 40575 23 203 29 226 23 230 20 232 40575 39179 24 200 29 222 23 232 19 235 39179 37849 23 195 29 211 23 235 20 238 37849 36523 23 197 27 204 21 234 21 235 36523 35174 25 197 25 205 19 228 20 228 35174 33810 23 196 21 206 19 219 19 221 33810 32423 23 195 18 203 19 210 20 212 32423 31007 21 193 15 192 20 201 18 208 31007 29566 22 194 16 198 19 204 19 214 29566 28109 24 193 17 198 18 208 20 225 28109 26642 24 190 17 195 19 203 19 225 26642 25168 22 193 20 195 19 200 18 220 25168 23684 20 184 20 190 20 206 17 216 23684 22186 16 174 17 184 21 204 16 213 22186 20697 15 173 14 183 19 202 16 212 20697 19288 14 176 12 183 18 203 15 211 19288 18015 14 180 13 185 18 201 14 210 18015 16878 14 181 14 184 18 197 14 209 16878 15851 14 179 13 181 18 193 14 207 15851 14914 12 179 13 178 17 189 15 205 14914 14054 11 178 11 178 16 184 15 203 14054 13267 9 176 10 178 14 178 14 199 13267 12549 8 163 9 178 12 170 13 192 12549 11892 8 154 8 177 10 162 12 183 11892 11284 8 149 7 177 8 148 11 171 11284 10729 9 147 6 178 6 133 10 173 10729 10253 9 145 5 177 5 116 8 161 10253 9879 9 144 5 175 5 114 6 146 9879 9617 8 143 5 173 5 113 5 135 9617 9456 8*143 5*173 5*112 4*130 9456 9364 7*143 4*172 4*113 2*125 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography