DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.7 - - 42.1 - - 43.5 - - 39.7 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 129 - - 100 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1487 - - 2538 - - 2823 - - 1543 - - 1099 Hgt.Variab. W* 32 - - 188 - - 174 - - 36 - - 21 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 155 - - 165 - - 128 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 13 - - 16 - - 1 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -933 - - -806 - - -1138 - - 0 - - -873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10296 - - 10168 - - 10501 - - 9362 - - 10236 sfcLCL ODpotential -6706 - - -4253 - - -4943 - - -4341 - - -6769 ODpotential blCL 16068 - - 13615 - - 14305 - - 13703 - - 16131 blCL maxRH 56 - - 66 - - 81 - - 87 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.7 - - 42.1 - - 43.5 - - 39.7 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.5 - - 30.2 - - 30.1 - - 32.3 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 40.1 - - 41.8 - - 40.2 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.3 - - 29.0 - - 28.9 - - 31.1 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 129 - - 100 - - -3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96818 31 266 41 265 47 277 39 285 41 268 96818 89627 30 277 30 268 29 266 33 276 33 280 89627 84078 19 271 19 251 21 263 28 271 35 284 84078 79484 14 289 11 269 14 247 24 252 29 268 79484 75541 20 284 14 291 13 270 16 243 19 271 75541 72043 17 276 21 280 16 289 15 267 18 285 72043 68860 19 239 22 262 21 279 21 255 17 262 68860 65930 22 234 23 238 26 237 20 260 17 264 65930 63197 18 261 21 237 25 236 25 263 24 258 63197 60533 20 275 19 258 28 248 32 260 28 255 60533 57749 33 257 28 262 36 249 37 258 35 252 57749 54856 46 255 42 262 46 256 45 250 46 245 54856 52098 56 254 58 257 55 256 53 249 54 246 52098 49628 59 249 64 250 65 251 64 250 59 248 49628 47424 58 246 60 244 66 249 66 247 62 249 47424 45440 52 247 54 242 61 246 62 246 61 247 45440 43639 47 250 51 244 57 244 61 246 59 247 43639 41992 44 253 50 246 54 244 63 245 60 252 41992 40469 43 254 50 246 53 247 64 245 62 253 40469 39047 43 254 50 245 53 250 61 247 60 255 39047 37719 45 255 50 246 54 251 55 251 54 258 37719 36455 47 255 51 246 54 251 52 253 48 260 36455 35199 47 253 51 247 53 250 50 252 45 260 35199 33924 46 250 50 247 52 251 49 251 45 260 33924 32635 44 249 47 247 49 251 48 253 44 259 32635 31323 43 253 45 248 46 252 45 256 42 259 31323 29984 41 258 43 249 44 254 42 258 40 259 29984 28623 40 265 42 253 43 256 41 258 40 258 28623 27246 40 271 41 258 41 259 40 258 39 256 27246 25857 42 271 41 261 39 262 39 260 37 256 25857 24460 42 267 41 263 38 264 38 259 36 255 24460 23053 40 265 41 264 37 264 37 256 34 250 23053 21631 37 265 40 263 37 263 36 254 32 245 21631 20216 34 265 38 261 36 262 35 254 31 243 20216 18873 32 264 34 259 34 261 33 255 30 244 18873 17656 31 265 31 259 31 260 30 256 28 244 17656 16567 30 265 29 260 28 259 28 257 27 244 16567 15582 28 265 27 261 26 259 25 257 26 244 15582 14684 26 265 24 262 23 259 23 256 24 242 14684 13861 24 263 21 262 20 257 21 254 23 240 13861 13107 21 261 17 261 16 252 18 251 21 238 13107 12418 18 259 14 258 11 246 15 247 20 234 12418 11788 15 257 10 253 7 229 10 236 17 230 11788 11204 12 256 5 240 5 187 6 204 13 220 11204 10672 8 254 3 174 5 167 6 166 8 202 10672 10215 5 249 4 155 6 166 6 148 6 162 10215 9856 3 247 4 153 6 165 6 139 5 122 9856 9606 2 261 5 155 6 164 5 133 5 094 9606 9451 1*286 4*154 6*164 4*130 4*075 9451 9362 1*343 4*155 5*165 3*128 3*018 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography