DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 226 - - 106 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7060 - - 2961 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14146 - - 10673 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15860 - - 11761 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3907 - - 4363 - - 5710 - - 1252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 650 - - 391 - - 174 - - 76 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 28 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 299 - - 267 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -36 - - -83 - - -6 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 254 - - 375 - - -1342 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15606 - - 11387 - - 10706 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1750 - - -2095 - - -3590 - - -2072 ODpotential blCL - - - 17610 - - 13856 - - 12953 - - 11435 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 96 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 870 - - 470 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 63.1 - - 60.0 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.7 - - 45.2 - - 45.2 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 60.6 - - 58.2 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 44.3 - - 44.4 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 226 - - 106 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7060 - - 2961 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 82 - - 101 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99012 37 092 32 099 34 091 31 091 99012 91514 29 093 27 094 25 096 27 079 91514 85725 22 101 24 094 22 099 26 071 85725 80933 21 112 21 095 23 098 19 081 80933 76816 17 092 17 109 21 082 17 089 76816 73184 10 113 9 096 18 072 16 081 73184 69906 17 110 13 107 6 069 15 063 69906 66895 10 087 13 097 10 141 6 080 66895 64109 1 067 9 054 11 099 7 120 64109 61420 9 110 5 026 8 026 5 102 61420 58657 8 023 4 006 6 315 11 334 58657 55829 19 311 10 281 10 275 6 260 55829 53128 33 296 34 299 30 300 23 292 53128 50706 50 285 51 288 43 296 36 296 50706 48544 52 280 53 285 50 292 46 295 48544 46580 51 280 55 283 57 292 53 294 46580 44777 52 282 56 283 59 290 53 292 44777 43107 53 283 56 284 56 283 53 290 43107 41546 54 283 57 286 52 280 53 288 41546 40079 54 282 58 286 50 281 47 285 40079 38707 52 279 54 286 44 281 42 277 38707 37405 46 278 45 283 38 273 41 268 37405 36110 45 279 38 277 39 260 36 263 36110 34792 45 280 38 273 39 257 39 260 34792 33458 44 280 38 273 37 255 38 258 33458 32098 42 280 41 272 37 259 39 255 32098 30707 38 284 40 270 37 260 38 253 30707 29292 32 287 34 266 35 259 38 251 29292 27857 27 286 39 261 32 258 39 249 27857 26410 26 275 38 262 30 256 40 248 26410 24955 26 268 25 263 32 255 42 247 24955 23491 23 259 21 262 33 258 44 247 23491 22012 23 257 20 255 38 260 47 247 22012 20543 29 262 19 250 40 261 49 245 20543 19151 34 266 18 249 41 262 52 244 19151 17892 35 267 18 250 41 260 53 244 17892 16766 32*269 19 255 37 257 53 246 16766 15750 28*272 21 262 34 255 52 249 15750 14825 24 273 24 270 31 253 51 252 14825 13979 21 274 26 276 28 252 49 255 13979 13204 18 273 27 282 26 252 47 257 13204 12498 16 272 29 289 25 252 44 259 12498 11851 15 272 30*294 22 252 41 262 11851 11252 14 271 30*296 19 253 33 263 11252 10706 13 270 30 298 16 256 30 267 10706 10238 12 269 29 299 13 261 27 275 10238 9870 11 269 28 300 12 264 23 284 9870 9613 11 268 26 301 11 265 20 289 9613 9454 10 267 23 301 9*266 17*290 9454 9363 8 266 15 301 7*267 11*292 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography