DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.1 - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 200 - - 575 - - 564 - - 249 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6917 - - 10506 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 14105 - - 17061 - - 8911 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 15717 - - 19306 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4725 - - 1823 - - 1821 - - 12381 - - 4818 Hgt.Variab. W* 210 - - 690 - - 788 - - 227 - - 17 W* B/S 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 18 - - 24 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 208 - - 213 - - 235 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 45 - - 59 - - 22 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6721 - - -336 - - 1440 - - -8288 - - -9296 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16085 - - 16054 - - 17867 - - 17652 - - 18660 sfcLCL ODpotential -11354 - - -3544 - - -561 - - -9686 - - -14379 ODpotential blCL 20717 - - 19261 - - 19867 - - 19049 - - 23742 blCL maxRH 56 - - 49 - - 62 - - 74 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.1 - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.4 - - 24.6 - - 20.9 - - 21.3 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 58.7 - - 63.5 - - 64.0 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 24.2 - - 20.4 - - 21.0 - - 8.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 200 - - 575 - - 564 - - 249 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6917 - - 10506 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 28 104 34 109 23 109 25 100 23 094 99039 91483 32 099 31 098 25 108 21 087 25 101 91483 85698 31 102 29 089 32 104 19 092 26 090 85698 80946 27 094 30 099 22 113 21 090 22 085 80946 76873 28 087 29 095 21 116 18 097 20 092 76873 73258 21 094 22 092 20 105 15 106 19 085 73258 69983 16 103 19 106 15 084 20 105 15 103 69983 66979 11 129 14 111 13 078 14 104 18 110 66979 64179 12 127 6 124 14 142 10 135 6 141 64179 61464 6 206 9 180 8 165 11 146 14 181 61464 58664 9 219 6 142 8 204 5 161 12 156 58664 55775 35 228 42 235 29 232 16 254 12 236 55775 53016 43 227 47 225 47 234 43 234 34 238 53016 50535 45 228 48 226 53 232 43 229 44 240 50535 48308 50 225 54 223 56 229 50 236 51 235 48308 46282 53 222 56 221 58 226 58 236 55 233 46282 44422 54 223 55 222 61 226 63 237 58 236 44422 42705 55 228 56 230 65 228 67 239 62 240 42705 41110 58 233 63 236 70 231 72 239 67 244 41110 39625 63 236 70 237 75 232 76 241 70 246 39625 38245 66 237 73 236 78 233 79 241 69 244 38245 36939 67 238 74 234 79 231 78 239 66 242 36939 35646 67 235 74 231 78 232 76 238 63 241 35646 34338 66 230 74 229 77 232 74 238 60 242 34338 33022 65 226 72 226 75 232 70 238 55 243 33022 31687 64 225 70 223 72 232 65 239 47 241 31687 30326 62 227 67 222 69 230 59 239 43 240 30326 28945 60 229 64 223 65 228 58 238 44 240 28945 27545 58 230 61 223 62 226 58 234 46 239 27545 26135 56 229 58 223 59 226 59 230 47 238 26135 24719 52 226 55 223 58 226 57 227 48 235 24719 23293 48 222 52 221 55 224 52 225 47 233 23293 21855 44 217 49 218 51 222 46 221 44 230 21855 20426 42 212 46 214 42*219 34 215 38 222 20426 19071 41 210 42 214 31*214 29 214 34 216 19071 17843 40 211 38 217 27 213 28 215 31 217 17843 16741 38 213 31*217 26 213 27 216 29 221 16741 15741 35 215 24*214 25 213 26 218 28 226 15741 14827 32 219 22 213 24 213 25 221 26 233 14827 13987 30 224 19 210 24 213 24 225 24 240 13987 13216 27 228 18 208 23 213 23 228 22 247 13216 12511 22 230 18 207 22 213 23 231 21 254 12511 11864 18 226 17 206 22 213 22 233 20 260 11864 11264 14 219 17 205 21 212 22 234 20 264 11264 10716 10 210 17 205 21 213 21 235 19 267 10716 10245 8 200 16 204 20 212 21 236 18 269 10245 9875 7 194 16 203 19 212 20 236 15 272 9875 9615 7 192 15 203 18 212 19 236 13 274 9615 9455 6*190 14 202 17 211 17 236 10*277 9455 9363 5*188 11 201 13 209 13*235 5*290 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography