DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.9 - - 34.5 - - 34.5 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 634 - - 627 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3208 - - 4151 - - 2915 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11131 - - 11882 - - 10631 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12008 - - 12951 - - 11715 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1128 - - 1121 - - 1515 - - 1022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 553 - - 599 - - 386 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 21 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 318 - - 333 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -102 - - -61 - - -56 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -434 - - -2725 - - -4223 - - -4166 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12442 - - 15677 - - 15939 - - 13528 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7059 - - -9025 - - -10192 - - -11302 ODpotential blCL - - - 19067 - - 21976 - - 21907 - - 20663 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 37 - - 28 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.9 - - 34.5 - - 34.5 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.3 - - -1.3 - - -2.3 - - -0.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 30.5 - - 31.9 - - 25.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.8 - - -1.5 - - -2.6 - - -0.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 634 - - 627 - - 239 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3208 - - 4151 - - 2915 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97314 35 264 39 248 44 278 51 289 97314 89965 56 285 62 287 52 278 48 283 89965 84344 57 270 55 287 44 274 41 277 84344 79677 52 238 45 242 39 253 40 272 79677 75631 42 238 44 220 43 246 39 269 75631 72045 32 265 33 242 31 253 27 257 72045 68787 37 267 35 261 26 255 25 251 68787 65787 42 252 43 259 33 260 36 258 65787 63015 40 250 42 253 37 253 41 250 63015 60320 36 251 38 251 38 248 36 261 60320 57501 36 244 41 255 43 260 41 271 57501 54583 42 244 50 253 50 259 45 267 54583 51802 50 254 53 254 50 256 48 263 51802 49295 57 259 51 256 49 256 48 260 49295 47036 59 258 51 258 50 260 46 268 47036 44980 60 257 54 264 53 266 52 275 44980 43104 64 257 64 265 61 270 61 275 43104 41389 66 257 71 260 68 267 66 269 41389 39812 69 256 73 258 69 264 65 263 39812 38352 73 253 72 259 66 263 58 266 38352 37002 75 251 70 261 61 266 60 276 37002 35732 74 253 69 264 58 272 63 279 35732 34480 73 258 69 265 60 277 61 280 34480 33214 73 261 69 266 63 277 58 284 33214 31940 71 262 68 265 64 275 58 289 31940 30649 68 262 66 265 63 274 57 288 30649 29336 65 264 62 268 59 276 55 283 29336 28007 62 265 60 274 55 279 54 280 28007 26664 61 268 60 279 53 282 53 280 26664 25313 61 271 60 280 52 283 52 281 25313 23956 63 273 60 281 52 284 50 282 23956 22590 63 274 58 281 50 285 48 283 22590 21212 63 274 55 282 48 288 45 285 21212 19842 61 272 51 283 45 292 42 288 19842 18541 59 270 47 285 42 295 40 293 18541 17364 59 268 42 288 39 298 38 297 17364 16312 59 266 39 293 36 301 37 300 16312 15360 58 266 33 300 33 306 35 304 15360 14493 56 267 26 308 28 313 34 307 14493 13699 51 270 23*314 23 323 32 311 13699 12972 45 275 22*317 19 330 28 314 12972 12308 40*282 22 318 18*332 24 320 12308 11700 36*289 22 319 18*333 20 328 11700 11138 31 297 22 319 18 334 18 338 11138 10624 28 303 22 319 18 333 17 347 10624 10184 27 304 21 318 18 333 17 351 10184 9838 25 305 20 317 17 332 16 352 9838 9596 23 305 18 316 16 331 14 352 9596 9447 21 305 17 316 14 330 11*351 9447 9361 14 303 12 314 10 329 6*348 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography