DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 19.8 - - 20.3 - - 21.8 - - 20.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 56 - - 50 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2614 - - 4719 - - 3549 - - 4664 - - 3343 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 141 - - 135 - - 41 - - 35 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 282 - - 268 - - 256 - - 263 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -6 - - 6 - - -3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -730 - - -688 - - -391 - - -1159 - - -1503 ODpotential blCL 10091 - - 10049 - - 9752 - - 10520 - - 10864 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 19.8 - - 20.3 - - 21.8 - - 20.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.6 - - 16.4 - - 18.3 - - 17.7 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.4 - - 18.7 - - 19.2 - - 21.3 - - 20.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.3 - - 16.1 - - 18.1 - - 17.4 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 56 - - 50 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 97 - - 100 - - 102 - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96809 32 099 29 089 28 095 26 096 19 093 96809 89644 31 105 25 112 30 111 21 090 20 086 89644 84057 24 115 15 120 13 130 12 100 16 088 84057 79398 9 111 14 145 5 103 17 117 10 151 79398 75387 8 120 9 168 4 188 4 060 7 076 75387 71824 1 054 10 110 6 138 14 213 7 319 71824 68599 4 020 3 156 5 118 13 116 7 172 68599 65636 4 305 15 240 15 203 16 219 5 143 65636 62875 12 242 21 213 27 212 36 222 26 210 62875 60209 19 143 17 221 22 223 30 234 26 221 60209 57419 27 220 31 240 38 245 36 246 30 234 57419 54491 61 237 51 231 48 237 48 250 35 239 54491 51666 70 234 56 232 61 239 53 249 50 246 51666 49105 69 240 64 242 69 241 66 252 70 253 49105 46806 78 249 79 250 72 244 86 251 88 254 46806 44717 89 252 90 254 83 251 97 250 95 254 44717 42799 95 252 100 255 102 256 105 253 101 258 42799 41035 103 254 112 253 119 257 117 257 115 260 41035 39408 120 255 123 252 130 255 126 257 126 258 39408 37903 143 254 130 252 135 252 130 256 129 256 37903 36512 169 254 133 252 134 251 131 257 125 256 36512 35205 190 253 135 252 130 251 132 259 125 259 35205 33919 195 252 136 252 128 252 132 260 129 261 33919 32629 191 252 137 253 130 254 129 261 131 261 32629 31338 186 253 139 255 131 256 121 263 130 262 31338 30039 169 252 141 255 126 260 119 268 125 263 30039 28732 154 248 139 254 123 264 120 270 119 265 28732 27423 145 244 130 252 118 265 117 270 112 266 27423 26108 136 241 120 252 108 264 106 267 104 267 26108 24789 126 240 112 251 95 264 94 269 94 270 24789 23470 112 240 98 253 81 267 85 275 86 276 23470 22150 96 239 77 257 71 272 78 280 76 280 22150 20823 77 234 61 261 64 275 69 281 67 281 20823 19506 69 232 56 262 56 273 62 278 63 278 19506 18256 65 233 55 262 50 272 53 275 58 273 18256 17130 64 236 52 263 47 271 45 271 48 269 17130 16126 64 240 49 264 46 269 42 269 42 265 16126 15214 66 244 45 266 45 268 40 268 39 263 15214 14381 67 249 41 268 43 267 38 268 38 262 14381 13613 64 254 38 269 42 266 37 268 37 260 13613 12908 59 261 37 269 41 265 35 268 36 258 12908 12261 46 265 35 270 39 264 33 267 35 256 12261 11667 46 270 34 270 38 262 31 267 34 255 11667 11115 44 274 32 270 36 261 29 267 32 254 11115 10610 42 277 30 270 34 260 27 267 29 254 10610 10175 38 279 28 271 32 259 24 267 25 254 10175 9834 34 281 26 270 29 259 22 266 21 253 9834 9594 30 282 24 270 26 259 19 266 17 253 9594 9446 25*282 20*270 22*258 16*265 13*252 9446 9361 15*282 12*268 13*256 10*263 7*251 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography