DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1338z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 37.8 - - 40.0 - - 40.9 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 181 - - 350 - - 316 - - 105 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 4603 - - 4861 - - 514 - - 513 BL Depth Hcrit 9296 - - 12083 - - 12252 - - 9297 - - 9297 Hcrit BL Top 9313 - - 13403 - - 13661 - - 9314 - - 9313 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3899 - - 1701 - - 3196 - - 8144 - - 5156 Hgt.Variab. W* 200 - - 520 - - 513 - - 171 - - 40 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 21 - - 18 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 313 - - 288 - - 308 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -64 - - -26 - - -22 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 3396 - - 3104 - - -1734 - - -1216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9313 - - 10007 - - 10558 - - 11049 - - 10530 sfcLCL ODpotential -1186 - - 532 - - 570 - - -3500 - - -4159 ODpotential blCL 10499 - - 12871 - - 13091 - - 12814 - - 13472 blCL maxRH 90 - - 84 - - 94 - - 96 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 290 - - 180 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 37.8 - - 40.0 - - 40.9 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 26.3 - - 26.1 - - 24.9 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.5 - - 35.1 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 24.1 - - 23.9 - - 22.8 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 181 - - 350 - - 316 - - 105 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 4603 - - 4861 - - 514 - - 513 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 36 - - 75 - - 84 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97919 26 087 30 102 24 105 14 108 17 082 97919 90458 24 093 22 105 17 098 17 106 19 092 90458 84771 25 109 20 103 27 112 18 106 23 109 84771 80071 22 104 21 107 20 126 22 106 24 105 80071 76011 20 099 21 130 22 122 17 113 19 101 76011 72420 17 108 18 107 18 112 22 122 14 116 72420 69175 13 137 13 143 10 149 12 093 24 111 69175 66175 12 153 19 148 15 158 9 207 4 088 66175 63379 10 177 9 169 11 132 13 179 11 186 63379 60670 10 185 10 220 7 183 8 177 14 227 60670 57843 13 216 21 215 17 219 13 220 14 227 57843 54893 11 233 19 235 15 238 13 239 28 257 54893 52073 26 254 22 238 25 254 30 262 33 258 52073 49544 26 260 23 259 33 267 44 258 38 276 49544 47289 32 269 32 267 42 267 45 274 53 272 47289 45260 33 268 34 281 41 276 54 286 56 277 45260 43418 29 271 44 294 54 297 68 285 66 288 43418 41739 35 293 54 303 72 298 79 289 77 295 41739 40191 49 299 67 306 82 300 90 295 93 296 40191 38745 55 298 75 306 92 303 97 300 107 290 38745 37397 56 298 80 307 102 304 99 301 107 288 37397 36121 54 299 84 307 109 305 101 302 102 290 36121 34855 51 300 86 308 113 307 103 303 96 293 34855 33570 49 305 86 311 115 309 103 304 92 295 33570 32274 48 308 87 314 117 310 101 305 84 301 32274 30959 47 312 87 317 113 311 96 306 69 299 30959 29621 42 313 83 318 102 309 92 309 62 295 29621 28260 37 310 70 317 91 310 83 310 56 294 28260 26882 29 304 60 315 82 312 75 304 54 287 26882 25491 24 301 53 314 74 311 70 298 54 284 25491 24094 22 303 44 313 66 308 64 298 51 289 24094 22696 22 305 36 307 55 306 57 300 45 294 22696 21292 23 307 30 300 42 306 51 300 39 295 21292 19902 22 313 26 299 30 312 46 304 36 293 19902 18590 21 322 24 304 23 316 40 305 33 295 18590 17406 21 327 23 310 19 313 34 303 29 302 17406 16351 22 327 22 314 18 306 29 299 25 310 16351 15398 24 324 22 318 17 298 25 295 22 315 15398 14529 25 322 23 322 17 293 23 294 19 316 14529 13730 26 323 23*323 18*290 21 294 18 314 13730 12996 26 325 23*322 18*289 20 296 17 311 12996 12324 25 325 23 319 18 288 18 300 16 306 12324 11706 24 325 23 316 18 288 17 303 15 300 11706 11133 22 322 22 312 18 288 16 305 14 294 11133 10609 19 317 21 310 18 288 15 307 14 289 10609 10158 18 314 21 308 18 288 15 308 13 286 10158 9803 17 311 20 306 17 288 14 308 12 284 9803 9555 15 310 18 305 16 288 13 309 9 283 9555 9402 14*309 17 304 15 287 12*309 8*284 9402 9313 11*306 13 302 12 286 10*308 5*289 9313 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography