DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.9 - - 40.7 - - 43.6 - - 33.4 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 14 - - 34 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 140 - - 786 - - 1591 - - 259 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 125 - - 32 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 335 - - 321 - - 342 - - 029 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -32 - - -10 - - -3 - - -19 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5520 - - -3746 - - -4578 - - -2769 - - -6090 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14883 - - 13109 - - 13941 - - 12131 - - 15452 sfcLCL ODpotential -14153 - - -9751 - - -9900 - - -10344 - - -13516 ODpotential blCL 23515 - - 19113 - - 19262 - - 19706 - - 22878 blCL maxRH 39 - - 45 - - 51 - - 66 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.9 - - 40.7 - - 43.6 - - 33.4 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.9 - - 16.7 - - 15.9 - - 13.9 - - 1.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 40.0 - - 42.7 - - 35.9 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.7 - - 15.6 - - 14.8 - - 12.6 - - -0.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 14 - - 34 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95756 59 347 70 345 61 350 49 001 57 347 95756 88703 56 349 59 332 67 354 60 001 58 356 88703 83223 50 351 50 333 60 343 60 356 65 000 83223 78660 42 354 47 337 54 340 61 350 65 354 78660 74749 37 348 44 342 47 339 61 343 65 349 74749 71315 41 337 44 345 40 341 48 344 56 347 71315 68222 43 327 42 340 32 341 36 339 38 341 68222 65372 42 324 44 327 33 343 32 330 34 338 65372 62715 43 322 44 324 40 334 31 330 38 328 62715 60148 41 321 39 321 42 321 35 332 32 319 60148 57471 37 316 36 316 34 319 38 326 31 311 57471 54677 36 309 34 317 32 318 35 303 35 314 54677 52004 36 301 36 313 35 315 33 300 36 300 52004 49614 36 297 42 306 40 312 38 311 38 305 49614 47501 40 301 48 297 51 296 56 304 55 299 47501 45617 50 302 60 295 64 292 70 304 69 304 45617 43895 65 298 71 293 74 293 90 295 84 310 43895 42287 76 294 79 292 82 296 98 301 99 305 42287 40772 77 293 83 292 84 297 99 308 108 302 40772 39339 70 292 85 289 85 300 100 311 112 301 39339 37989 62 291 77 291 90 301 103 310 112 302 37989 36702 53 292 69 294 89 299 104 309 107 304 36702 35418 45 293 63 293 81 298 104 307 104 307 35418 34112 34 294 53 291 75 301 96 314 97 312 34112 32796 20 299 39 292 67 304 82 318 84 313 32796 31462 10 280 32 286 49 301 69 317 74 313 31462 30103 7 211 24 265 35 300 52 316 58 314 30103 28723 5 186 18 250 27 289 38 318 40 317 28723 27331 2 202 13 256 20 271 28 308 29 327 27331 25931 1 295 10 260 15 277 19 304 24 335 25931 24531 1 022 7 256 14 283 16 318 20 328 24531 23125 2 018 8 268 14 291 14 336 17 321 23125 21702 3 341 10 287 13 304 13 332 15 322 21702 20284 6 334 10 306 11 309 13 315 15 310 20284 18934 9 341 10 319 12 307 15 308 16 303 18934 17708 11 343 11 322 13 306 15 307 17 307 17708 16610 12 339 12 322 13 308 14 307 17 311 16610 15616 13 333 12 323 13 310 12 309 17 315 15616 14709 14 331 12 326 13 315 11 312 16 317 14709 13878 14 330 12 329 13 323 9 314 14 319 13878 13118 13 331 11 332 13 334 7 320 12 320 13118 12424 13 334 11 335 13 344 5 332 10 322 12424 11790 14 336 11 336 13 349 5 345 9 326 11790 11204 13 339 11 339 13 350 6 351 7 334 11204 10670 13 343 10 342 11 346 8 351 6 342 10670 10213 11 345 8 342 9 340 9 346 5 358 10213 9855 10 348 6 342 7 335 9 339 4 018 9855 9604 8 348 5 340 5 329 7 336 4 032 9604 9450 8*348 3*338 4*325 6*338 3*028 9450 9362 6*348 3*335 3*321 4*342 3*029 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography