DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 57.4 - - 54.5 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 444 - - 103 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5561 - - 7473 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12883 - - 14458 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14361 - - 16273 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2869 - - 2452 - - 7875 - - 2219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 574 - - 650 - - 169 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 263 - - 270 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -18 - - -3 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3569 - - -2070 - - -8875 - - -6884 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17931 - - 18344 - - 18239 - - 16248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7320 - - -5055 - - -11974 - - -11014 ODpotential blCL - - - 21681 - - 21328 - - 21337 - - 20377 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 62 - - 82 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 57.4 - - 54.5 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.7 - - 9.5 - - 7.3 - - 9.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 54.0 - - 52.7 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 8.5 - - 6.5 - - 9.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 444 - - 103 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5561 - - 7473 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96434 25 258 24 275 29 269 37 282 96434 89218 24 289 29 283 34 285 28 295 89218 83668 30 299 28 285 36 288 38 297 83668 79104 30 288 25 292 32 286 38 293 79104 75215 26 289 24 304 24 290 22 296 75215 71764 20 303 20 301 24 312 17 318 71764 68610 18 305 20 304 31 308 25 322 68610 65704 14 284 22 279 30 300 29 316 65704 63021 16 268 22 271 24 278 31 293 63021 60427 19 269 23 275 19 266 27 276 60427 57698 27 269 28 273 21 274 28 274 57698 54835 38 267 37 270 37 274 34 278 54835 52090 46 260 42 260 44 266 37 270 52090 49613 50 254 45 255 43 264 36 266 49613 47394 49 254 44 254 42 266 38 265 47394 45396 44 251 38 257 43 266 38 260 45396 43590 37 250 39 257 41 255 35 259 43590 41951 33 258 42 256 38 254 40 260 41951 40445 31 260 39 261 40 263 44 250 40445 39041 29 262 35 267 45 263 43 246 39041 37724 30 261 37 271 45 258 40 250 37724 36467 29 258 39 274 41 257 40 250 36467 35214 27 255 39 274 34 255 37 251 35214 33942 25 253 37 272 31 252 31 249 33942 32657 23 252 35 274 31 252 29 247 32657 31348 23 256 34 274 32 255 30 247 31348 30011 24 264 33 275 33 256 29 250 30011 28650 26 272 31 277 34 255 28 259 28650 27269 28 278 30 276 33 256 27 266 27269 25877 30 280 27 276 30 261 25 276 25877 24483 28 278 25 278 25 270 22 277 24483 23083 28 277 25 281 21 280 20 267 23083 21668 27 278 25 281 18 282 17 262 21668 20259 26 279 23 280 16 282 15 263 20259 18921 23 280 20 278 16 281 17 269 18921 17707 21 279 15 275 16 278 21 271 17707 16618 18 278 12*269 15 275 24 270 16618 15633 14 281 12*267 14 272 25 268 15633 14733 13*284 12 266 14 270 24 265 14733 13906 12*285 12 265 14 270 23 264 13906 13148 12 284 13 264 14 270 22 264 13148 12454 12 283 13 264 14 271 21 266 12454 11818 12 281 13 263 14 271 19 269 11818 11228 11 279 13 263 14 272 17 273 11228 10690 11 276 13 262 14 272 15 277 10690 10227 11 273 13 261 14 272 12 284 10227 9864 10 271 13 260 14 272 10 292 9864 9609 10 269 12 260 13 271 9 301 9609 9453 9 268 11 259 12*271 7*308 9453 9363 8 265 9 257 9*270 4*319 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography