DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 51.6 - - - - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 385 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3830 - - 5898 - - - - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11447 - - 13131 - - - - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12630 - - 14698 - - - - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2305 - - 2108 - - - - - 403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 475 - - 574 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 317 - - - - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -46 - - -36 - - - - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3529 - - -2176 - - - - - -4599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16159 - - 16874 - - - - - 13961 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8738 - - -7066 - - - - - -11361 ODpotential blCL - - - 21368 - - 21764 - - - - - 20723 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 34 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 51.6 - - - - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.4 - - 10.3 - - - - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 48.4 - - - - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.3 - - 9.2 - - - - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 385 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3830 - - 5898 - - - - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96224 16 248 10 267 10 256 96224 89069 6 174 8 106 8 020 89069 83559 5 106 8 124 6 016 83559 78972 1 082 5 146 6 327 78972 74996 7 076 5 209 5 304 74996 71457 1 134 4 265 1 127 71457 68255 16 281 22 290 12 344 68255 65368 28 303 30 291 28 324 65368 62731 46 303 36 296 43 320 62731 60176 54 306 42 301 51 312 60176 57497 60 311 55 307 57 307 57497 54706 65 311 68 309 62 306 54706 52040 66 308 68 306 63 308 52040 49633 61 308 63 305 62 308 49633 47462 58 314 58 309 57 306 47462 45485 54 316 55 313 51 304 45485 43677 44 314 49 313 49 301 43677 42019 36 318 44 311 51 301 42019 40486 34 324 39 312 53 304 40486 39056 36 326 36 313 57 307 39056 37721 35 321 34 309 60 310 37721 36453 31 311 34 305 63 314 36453 35192 29 304 35 302 62 314 35192 33911 30 303 36 301 60 311 33911 32616 32 304 37 301 59 310 32616 31298 32 306 36 299 58 311 31298 29953 31 306 34 295 55 312 29953 28587 28 300 32 292 51 312 28587 27205 28 293 33 291 47 311 27205 25813 29 286 34 295 42 308 25813 24415 31 287 34 300 39 305 24415 23010 33 294 35 305 37 305 23010 21591 35 301 34 309 36 307 21591 20179 34 306 32 312 35 310 20179 18839 34 311 30 315 33 314 18839 17625 33 315 28 321 32 317 17625 16540 33 319 24 327 30 320 16540 15559 31 322 19*327 28 323 15559 14664 29 326 17*324 26 326 14664 13846 24 331 16 323 23 328 13846 13095 22*333 16 322 21 327 13095 12410 20*334 16 320 19 325 12410 11783 19 335 16 318 18 323 11783 11202 18 335 16 316 18 322 11202 10671 17 335 16 313 18 322 10671 10215 16 334 15 311 16 321 10215 9857 15 334 15 310 14 321 9857 9606 13 333 14 309 11 322 9606 9451 12 332 13 308 9*320 9451 9362 9 332 10 307 5*324 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography