DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 411 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5457 - - 6951 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12774 - - 14000 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14257 - - 15751 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2504 - - 2269 - - 7376 - - 2929 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 557 - - 617 - - 162 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 243 - - 252 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 16 - - 6 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2109 - - 381 - - -4832 - - -3269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16367 - - 15371 - - 14197 - - 12633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5439 - - -1154 - - -7199 - - -7612 ODpotential blCL - - - 19696 - - 16905 - - 16563 - - 16976 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 92 - - 80 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 35.4 - - 37.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 67.1 - - 65.4 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.1 - - 35.2 - - 37.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 411 - - 91 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5457 - - 6951 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 70 - - 22 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98827 11 132 10 099 10 023 13 068 98827 91398 10 096 11 100 2 098 4 073 91398 85669 12 043 5 137 10 105 4 053 85669 80920 8 067 6 113 6 057 10 076 80920 76818 12 112 6 114 5 049 9 079 76818 73203 15 081 11 128 6 078 6 075 73203 69950 12 074 10 086 7 138 6 050 69950 66963 6 081 3 152 3 130 5 079 66963 64195 6 225 9 141 3 217 2 141 64195 61542 17 221 8 209 10 231 7 228 61542 58817 19 234 16 226 20 240 15 265 58817 56041 19 246 24 232 28 229 28 245 56041 53417 29 267 31 241 30 230 35 235 53417 51043 34 261 40 240 37 235 41 231 51043 48886 38 253 42 240 44 240 43 236 48886 46908 44 252 45 243 48 241 48 244 46908 45087 48 256 43 248 48 244 52 248 45087 43397 50 258 45 251 51 251 55 252 43397 41817 50 257 48 253 57 255 58 255 41817 40332 48 252 48 252 58 254 59 254 40332 38937 48 250 46 251 56 253 57 252 38937 37607 50 250 45 251 54 251 51 249 37607 36283 51 251 43 250 50 250 46 248 36283 34942 51 253 43 249 45 248 45 247 34942 33590 49 252 44 247 39 247 43 246 33590 32214 45 245 42 248 34 252 33 241 32214 30810 44 237 36 245 29 251 23 236 30810 29383 36 232 33 237 26 247 25 229 29383 27941 31 237 30 232 26 234 30 219 27941 26492 24 238 26 228 27 214 28 214 26492 25042 20 241 22 218 26 202 25 213 25042 23582 16 239 21 200 24 201 24 218 23582 22108 15 228 21 198 23 204 26 221 22108 20642 16 228 17 199 21 201 27 220 20642 19252 18 234 13 207 18 197 25 219 19252 17993 18 237 11 219 14 195 23 219 17993 16866 15 239 9 233 11 199 20 218 16866 15846 12 242 8*239 7 207 18 217 15846 14914 8*249 8*242 7 233 16 216 14914 14058 7*254 9 244 7 245 14 215 14058 13273 7 254 9 244 8 251 12 212 13273 12556 7 253 10 244 9 253 10 209 12556 11899 8 250 10 244 9 255 7 208 11899 11290 8 247 11 244 10 255 5 215 11290 10734 8 243 11 243 10 255 4 240 10734 10256 8 240 11 242 10 255 4 270 10256 9881 9 237 11 242 9 255 4 297 9881 9618 8 236 10 240 9 255 4 317 9618 9457 8 235 10 240 9*253 4*332 9457 9364 7 233 8 238 7*252 4*343 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography