DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 41 - - 12 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1397 - - 1685 - - 1246 - - 1203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 127 - - 83 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 165 - - 181 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 9 - - 26 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -440 - - -132 - - 0 - - 0 ODpotential blCL - - - 9802 - - 9495 - - 9363 - - 9363 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 46.1 - - 46.4 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 44.9 - - 45.4 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 41 - - 12 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 103 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98098 8 262 3 042 7 314 10 291 98098 90763 4 194 1 145 7 280 3 308 90763 85077 6 092 4 164 7 276 12 349 85077 80371 3 084 4 148 4 254 12 337 80371 76349 6 101 3 113 2 043 2 103 76349 72800 10 100 5 092 6 066 7 101 72800 69592 9 098 6 137 5 046 5 052 69592 66654 7 063 5 127 3 004 2 022 66654 63942 8 319 4 046 7 348 4 340 63942 61328 10 268 12 280 13 299 10 303 61328 58598 18 269 17 264 15 271 12 258 58598 55765 25 264 23 273 20 270 18 256 55765 53068 32 259 37 275 38 279 33 270 53068 50636 49 264 52 261 52 262 46 263 50636 48448 55 263 57 257 61 259 62 259 48448 46453 62 266 61 259 74 256 75 254 46453 44613 71 266 66 259 77 255 83 251 44613 42896 80 266 70 260 78 254 84 248 42896 41282 84 265 77 262 78 253 86 248 41282 39766 79 263 79 260 74 249 84 247 39766 38354 71 259 71 256 70 244 76 243 38354 37022 67 252 58 250 66 236 69 233 37022 35709 62 242 49 244 67 232 74 226 35709 34384 58 237 46 241 69 229 79 223 34384 33050 54 238 48 239 68 229 78 226 33050 31696 49 236 48 238 65 232 76 228 31696 30316 46 239 47 237 60 233 68 230 30316 28916 47 242 45 234 53 229 61 228 28916 27500 48 244 45 230 48 224 57 223 27500 26073 47 238 48 228 47 220 50 219 26073 24643 49 233 50 227 49 220 44 228 24643 23208 52 232 51 227 49 222 40 236 23208 21760 53 233 51 228 44 224 37 232 21760 20323 48 235 51 229 38 226 39 226 20323 18963 44 236 51 224 32 228 42 225 18963 17735 41 231 49 218 31 232 44 224 17735 16636 41 226 44 214 26 235 42 223 16636 15642 42 224 38 214 21 236 38 224 15642 14735 41 223 32 217 19 234 33 226 14735 13905 40 221 27 221 19 229 28 227 13905 13144 36 218 24 223 18 221 22 225 13144 12449 31 214 21 224 18 210 17 219 12449 11813 25 206 18 223 18 202 14 209 11813 11224 20 192 14 219 18 195 11 194 11224 10687 16 173 10 212 17 190 10 178 10687 10226 13 154 7 193 16 185 10 169 10226 9863 12 144 5 177 15 183 9 165 9863 9609 10 141 5 170 14 182 8 163 9609 9453 9*139 4*167 12*181 7*161 9453 9363 7*138 4*165 7*181 5*158 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography