DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 37.0 - - 38.4 - - 34.8 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 123 - - 114 - - -6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1309 - - 2495 - - 2781 - - 1861 - - 1161 Hgt.Variab. W* 74 - - 185 - - 180 - - 33 - - 28 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 124 - - 139 - - 119 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 9 - - 13 - - 3 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -510 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9872 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -6202 - - -3864 - - -1697 - - -1639 - - -3298 ODpotential blCL 15563 - - 13226 - - 11059 - - 11001 - - 12660 blCL maxRH 71 - - 67 - - 81 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 37.0 - - 38.4 - - 34.8 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 26.5 - - 31.0 - - 31.3 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.2 - - 35.0 - - 36.5 - - 34.5 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 25.3 - - 29.9 - - 30.6 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 123 - - 114 - - -6 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 23 - - 27 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96188 62 273 69 281 54 285 44 275 64 275 96188 89200 29 286 38 274 32 273 37 287 35 292 89200 83811 23 299 24 281 27 267 35 295 27 316 83811 79327 23 301 16 289 27 269 31 286 26 303 79327 75443 24 295 15 288 24 270 27 283 24 289 75443 71979 22 287 13 283 21 268 26 286 21 285 71979 68818 18 273 18 286 20 268 26 292 20 299 68818 65895 17 268 22 278 20 272 23 291 24 298 65895 63183 19 268 18 264 15 269 19 282 25 286 63183 60562 17 288 17 293 12 283 16 276 23 282 60562 57831 31 299 29 291 23 288 22 286 25 287 57831 54994 32 293 38 287 36 280 30 282 30 286 54994 52271 43 298 42 293 40 288 33 278 33 276 52271 49805 50 297 46 294 41 289 32 272 32 274 49805 47583 52 297 39 292 41 288 35 269 36 278 47583 45559 52 297 42 296 42 288 37 273 42 272 45559 43700 57 295 56 295 50 288 43 278 40 269 43700 41981 58 293 63 289 56 285 47 278 37 276 41981 40388 53 298 52 289 50 284 45 274 40 277 40388 38908 50 308 45 296 44 284 45 273 47 267 38908 37543 53 316 45 297 42 284 43 269 43 260 37543 36263 60 321 47 297 42 285 38 270 39 263 36263 35004 65 323 49 300 43 284 40 267 39 259 35004 33735 67 321 48 305 43 283 42 263 38 258 33735 32456 65 320 46 307 40 285 39 266 34 261 32456 31156 61 321 45 305 39 288 33 275 31 265 31156 29827 54 319 44 304 39 291 30 285 31 269 29827 28474 47 319 43 306 35 295 28 290 26 271 28474 27105 42 322 41 309 32 297 28 289 23 270 27105 25722 35 332 37 311 32 296 27 287 22 274 25722 24335 28 344 33 309 31 296 26 288 18 277 24335 22937 24 352 30 310 28 298 23 288 17 271 22937 21523 20 350 26 316 25 298 20 288 17 265 21523 20116 19 345 21 320 20 295 17 285 16 260 20116 18780 20 344 15 317 17 291 16 278 15 256 18780 17571 20 343 11 313 13 284 14 271 14 255 17571 16490 18 345 8 317 9 274 11 263 13 254 16490 15512 14 347 5 327 7 263 7 248 11 247 15512 14622 9 357 3 331 4 238 5 214 8 230 14622 13806 5 037 0 296 3 186 6 173 8 201 13806 13059 6 091 2 164 4 150 7 150 9 175 13059 12378 9 108 5 148 5 136 9 137 10 155 12378 11756 13 112 6 132 6 131 9 130 12 142 11756 11180 16 114 7 124 6 130 9 125 14 131 11180 10655 15 117 8 120 7 132 8 124 15 120 10655 10204 13 118 8 121 7 134 7 122 14 112 10204 9850 9 113 8 122 7 136 7 122 12 103 9850 9602 7 106 7 123 6 137 6 121 10 093 9602 9450 5 100 7*124 6*138 5*120 8*081 9450 9362 3*089 6*124 5*139 3*119 4*060 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography