DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 57.8 - - 62.3 - - 59.7 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 219 - - 306 - - 48 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 7997 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9346 - - 14723 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 16797 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1001 - - 7325 - - 2268 - - 8162 - - 3139 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 223 - - 593 - - 134 - - 17 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 17 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 194 - - 244 - - 267 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - 24 - - 19 - - 1 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3013 - - -2983 - - 888 - - -6359 - - -5418 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12377 - - 12347 - - 15909 - - 15722 - - 14781 sfcLCL ODpotential -6597 - - -4975 - - -2936 - - -9237 - - -10209 ODpotential blCL 15960 - - 14338 - - 19733 - - 18600 - - 19572 blCL maxRH 84 - - 52 - - 55 - - 65 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 260 - - 50 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 57.8 - - 62.3 - - 59.7 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.4 - - 36.2 - - 25.1 - - 23.5 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 55.3 - - 59.5 - - 58.6 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 35.0 - - 24.0 - - 22.7 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 219 - - 306 - - 48 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 7997 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98178 16 086 17 138 11 125 8 103 4 086 98178 90853 13 087 13 098 16 128 8 164 8 093 90853 85186 6 117 4 075 15 138 4 143 8 095 85186 80466 10 146 5 099 8 103 7 089 12 067 80466 76404 15 114 8 111 5 075 10 067 12 066 76404 72838 11 083 12 106 8 114 11 066 9 085 72838 69630 10 087 11 102 11 115 7 089 13 100 69630 66671 13 071 13 121 10 111 6 084 15 066 66671 63923 4 028 12 085 16 097 6 134 8 048 63923 61275 5 125 5 338 17 037 14 084 7 084 61275 58522 12 088 4 201 7 314 12 010 13 034 58522 55668 20 339 7 019 2 261 10 313 10 355 55668 52949 23 292 19 295 14 310 11 303 17 313 52949 50499 31 301 25 284 23 290 25 286 32 292 50499 48294 48 294 36 299 37 291 37 285 40 283 48294 46287 53 285 48 287 48 290 47 294 48 287 46287 44444 60 287 56 281 61 288 62 291 56 293 44444 42736 66 287 63 283 66 283 69 284 65 292 42736 41141 66 292 64 288 64 281 70 281 70 287 41141 39654 69 296 68 289 64 285 72 283 73 284 39654 38270 70 291 70 283 68 287 73 285 73 283 38270 36960 65 282 63 278 70 284 73 286 71 283 36960 35662 61 281 56 277 67 280 72 286 70 286 35662 34349 60 281 54 280 62 276 68 282 69 287 34349 33029 58 284 52 280 60 276 63 277 66 285 33029 31694 53 288 50 280 58 276 61 277 62 279 31694 30335 46 288 47 283 54 279 60 278 57 276 30335 28959 42 285 43 283 48 279 56 278 49 282 28959 27568 41 282 40 281 43 276 49 277 40 286 27568 26166 38 276 37 279 40 275 42 278 33 290 26166 24756 34 272 33 274 34 273 34 276 29 290 24756 23336 28 272 30 269 31 268 29 270 27 285 23336 21898 20 269 26 261 29 262 26 267 25 277 21898 20464 15 264 24 246 27 252 24 269 23 275 20464 19099 18 255 24 238 24 248 23 272 21 278 19099 17859 19 249 26 239 20*246 22 268 18 283 17859 16748 19 244 28 241 18*245 19 263 17 285 16748 15742 17 239 28 243 18 244 17 261 16 284 15742 14824 17 232 27 243 17 245 16 262 16 283 14824 13981 17 227 23 241 17 245 16 262 16 282 13981 13209 17 224 20 239 17 245 16 264 15 282 13209 12502 16 217 17 235 17 245 15 265 15 282 12502 11856 14 206 15 231 17 244 15 267 14 282 11856 11257 12 194 12 223 17 244 15 268 13 284 11257 10710 8 171 10 209 17 244 14 268 12 289 10710 10241 8 127 9 202 16 244 14 268 11 295 10241 9872 9 103 9 199 16 243 13 269 9 303 9872 9614 8 088 8 197 15 242 12 268 8 312 9614 9455 6*073 8*195 13 241 11*268 7*319 9455 9363 4*038 7*194 10 240 8*267 4*333 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography