DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.5 - - 23.5 - - 20.9 - - 14.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 69 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4653 - - 4401 - - 2021 - - 701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 151 - - 28 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 253 - - 282 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 4 - - -7 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -903 - - -811 - - -2771 - - -3551 ODpotential blCL - - - 10264 - - 10172 - - 12132 - - 12912 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 97 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 210 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.5 - - 23.5 - - 20.9 - - 14.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 19.3 - - 14.0 - - 7.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 22.1 - - 21.4 - - 18.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.7 - - 18.3 - - 13.0 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 69 - - -4 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 86 - - 7 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96467 35 244 40 275 39 285 34 288 96467 89206 20 259 33 262 30 276 24 292 89206 83661 15 290 17 246 22 255 18 296 83661 79079 10 267 10 263 14 259 17 285 79079 75123 8 223 16 247 17 274 15 265 75123 71625 15 254 12 203 12 252 17 274 71625 68443 27 259 10 275 10 248 17 264 68443 65479 38 238 25 259 26 252 34 255 65479 62697 39 233 35 236 39 236 38 232 62697 59982 44 239 41 232 32 236 33 223 59982 57120 48 239 37 240 26 257 23 249 57120 54128 46 243 43 253 38 254 42 262 54128 51275 44 251 47 248 46 246 49 256 51275 48716 41 255 40 246 33 253 41 243 48716 46418 44 263 42 262 37 272 38 236 46418 44321 58 262 55 261 43 268 39 254 44321 42401 66 254 58 257 46 263 48 260 42401 40636 65 248 59 254 52 260 48 259 40636 39003 60 249 57 249 55 254 44 262 39003 37487 60 254 55 250 49 257 43 260 37487 36088 63 251 53 251 45 260 42 246 36088 34783 64 243 55 253 43 254 41 242 34783 33510 55 239 57 256 45 257 39 247 33510 32241 47 247 57 260 48 262 36 259 32241 30978 48 254 55 262 53 260 34 268 30978 29714 50 256 56 259 61 244 37 240 29714 28450 47 256 52 257 54 233 38 223 28450 27189 41 256 44 257 46 240 36 220 27189 25917 39 256 36 257 42 239 35 220 25917 24633 38 256 30 259 37 241 34 214 24633 23344 36 257 30 261 32 248 26 225 23344 22048 32 257 31 257 30 258 13 244 22048 20740 30 259 30 253 27 269 5 274 20740 19442 29 265 28 254 22 283 4 327 19442 18209 28 271 24 258 17 294 4 336 18209 17093 27 275 22 259 14 292 5 347 17093 16094 25 279 21 259 12 279 5 354 16094 15188 22 285 20 259 11 271 5 358 15188 14359 20 289 20 259 10 269 3 004 14359 13597 20 291 19 258 10 269 2 013 13597 12895 18 293 19 257 9 270 2 024 12895 12252 17 294 18 257 8 269 1 027 12252 11660 15 294 18 256 8 265 1 030 11660 11110 14 296 18 256 7 261 1 025 11110 10607 13 297 17 257 6 261 2 022 10607 10174 13 297 17 256 5 266 3 025 10174 9832 12 296 16 256 5 271 4 025 9832 9593 11 294 15 256 4 279 5 027 9593 9445 10*294 13*255 4*282 5*028 9445 9361 7*291 9*253 3*282 4*019 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography