DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 64.8 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 228 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8981 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9364 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7552 - - 10495 - - - - - 897 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 222 - - - - - 32 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 258 - - - - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 8 - - - - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2950 - - -3555 - - - - - -2643 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12313 - - 12920 - - - - - 12006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4558 - - -5214 - - - - - -6559 ODpotential blCL - - - 13921 - - 14578 - - - - - 15922 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 650 - - 890 - - - - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 64.8 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.7 - - 40.4 - - - - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 62.4 - - - - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 39.7 - - - - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 290 - - 228 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 100 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98825 27 098 21 107 24 097 98825 91314 26 099 20 093 19 066 91314 85569 18 095 21 103 18 073 85569 80817 17 102 16 106 16 069 80817 76718 20 111 14 127 17 064 76718 73094 11 078 17 100 13 054 73094 69832 7 115 8 085 12 062 69832 66853 7 103 8 039 14 042 66853 64097 9 087 11 046 8 005 64097 61436 12 038 10 026 12 007 61436 58668 14 318 11 324 14 342 58668 55812 18 298 17 282 21 286 55812 53101 30 291 31 271 27 271 53101 50658 44 279 43 279 37 274 50658 48459 59 272 54 274 48 273 48459 46453 68 264 68 268 58 268 46453 44609 71 260 77 265 65 265 44609 42905 73 259 76 262 70 264 42905 41321 72 257 72 261 71 263 41321 39843 70 256 66 262 65 264 39843 38465 66 256 60 263 61 265 38465 37156 58 256 56 265 58 268 37156 35857 53 259 54 267 56 271 35857 34540 50 261 48 270 52 273 34540 33216 45 262 34 279 42 278 33216 31879 33 275 31 283 35 284 31879 30517 28 280 28 281 32 287 30517 29131 26 278 25 280 31 289 29131 27726 24 283 25 279 28 290 27726 26308 23 283 26 281 25 289 26308 24880 21 274 24 285 25 286 24880 23443 21 275 25 286 25 279 23443 21990 25 281 24 290 25 271 21990 20547 21 295 24 288 26 267 20547 19177 18 315 24 286 27 265 19177 17934 17 324 24 285 27 265 17934 16818 15 323 24 284 27 267 16818 15807 11 310 22 284 27 270 15807 14881 9 286 20 282 27 274 14881 14030 9 256 19 281 26 280 14030 13250 10 234 16 276 26 288 13250 12536 11 227 14 272 25 298 12536 11881 11 223 13 269 24 307 11881 11276 11 219 13 267 21 318 11276 10722 11 217 13 265 19 335 10722 10249 11 215 12 264 18 354 10249 9876 10 213 12 262 18 005 9876 9616 10 212 11 261 16 009 9616 9456 9*211 10*261 13*009 9456 9363 8*210 8*258 7*009 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography