DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 40.5 - - 34.8 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 68 - - -7 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 454 - - 3010 - - 925 - - 84 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 150 - - 17 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 14 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 346 - - 330 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -27 - - -6 - - -16 - - -44 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4863 - - -4189 - - -3089 - - -3838 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14226 - - 13551 - - 12451 - - 13201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10694 - - -8401 - - -8765 - - -10714 ODpotential blCL - - - 20056 - - 17763 - - 18127 - - 20076 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 36 - - 32 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.1 - - 40.5 - - 34.8 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.5 - - 14.4 - - 13.8 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 39.7 - - 38.2 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.5 - - 13.3 - - 12.7 - - 7.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -12 - - 68 - - -7 - - -65 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95879 37 003 44 038 35 040 30 027 95879 89050 39 029 48 039 40 040 36 050 89050 83663 31 040 36 041 37 047 43 053 83663 79141 25 039 27 035 31 037 38 049 79141 75230 18 034 22 026 26 030 30 037 75230 71760 17 023 17 021 16 030 23 025 71760 68596 13 006 13 012 13 043 22 014 68596 65671 15 351 14 360 21 027 17 012 65671 62955 17 357 15 352 23 004 13 015 62955 60312 18 350 10 351 17 343 17 002 60312 57539 16 336 11 344 20 337 18 349 57539 54650 17 334 18 338 23 331 17 351 54650 51886 20 328 21 338 22 331 20 005 51886 49401 18 323 23 330 22 341 24 002 49401 47186 16 324 23 324 25 353 25 000 47186 45194 17 343 18 336 21 357 24 003 45194 43386 17 000 14 000 14 021 17 356 43386 41729 15 018 12 047 15 056 8 026 41729 40194 20 039 25 060 27 054 18 050 40194 38776 26 043 32 052 36 044 26 049 38776 37466 27 050 34 065 37 043 21 070 37466 36228 32 059 37 077 29 059 25 097 36228 34997 36 065 38 081 27 085 32 092 34997 33748 37 070 38 080 28 095 29 081 33748 32484 36 071 36 075 30 090 27 080 32484 31197 36 071 31 070 30 080 25 079 31197 29880 36 073 28 068 27 070 21 074 29880 28540 35 076 27 069 25 061 20 080 28540 27179 31 073 28 068 25 051 20 061 27179 25802 29 067 29 065 26 049 25 049 25802 24413 29 062 29 061 27 054 28 049 24413 23012 30 060 28 059 28 059 25 053 23012 21593 30 060 27 062 27 059 23 058 21593 20182 30 062 26 067 24 061 21 062 20182 18843 27 063 25 072 20 068 18 061 18843 17631 23 062 23 075 17 076 15 057 17631 16546 20 064 20 076 15 083 13 048 16546 15563 18 069 18 077 13 089 11 036 15563 14667 18 074 16 079 12 091 10 028 14667 13846 17 076 14 078 12 088 9 031 13846 13093 17 077 12 076 11 084 8 042 13093 12406 16 076 10 074 10 081 8 053 12406 11777 15 073 9 068 8 080 10 059 11777 11195 14 069 7 057 6 077 13 057 11195 10665 15 059 6 040 4 057 16 051 10665 10210 13 050 4 017 4 026 17 046 10210 9853 11 042 3 004 5 006 16 039 9853 9604 8 032 3 353 5 348 14 029 9604 9450 7*022 2*351 4*338 11*020 9450 9362 4*007 2*346 3*330 7*014 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography