DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 64.6 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 407 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4168 - - 5091 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11763 - - 12501 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12968 - - 13891 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2189 - - 2287 - - 5625 - - 2162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 515 - - 554 - - 169 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 267 - - 280 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -26 - - -9 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 964 - - 503 - - -4284 - - -3244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12004 - - 13389 - - 13648 - - 12607 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1057 - - -1749 - - -7421 - - -7298 ODpotential blCL - - - 14025 - - 15640 - - 16785 - - 16661 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 83 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 66.9 - - 64.6 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 40.3 - - 37.1 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 63.4 - - 62.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.8 - - 40.2 - - 37.1 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 396 - - 407 - - 104 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4168 - - 5091 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 32 - - 79 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98842 14 125 9 099 14 091 10 109 98842 91427 7 133 10 107 7 110 9 105 91427 85690 6 111 13 138 2 182 8 077 85690 80932 5 064 12 125 4 187 13 072 80932 76833 13 081 12 120 7 149 13 065 76833 73218 11 082 17 110 14 139 4 079 73218 69965 9 102 8 076 18 084 11 126 69965 66982 9 126 4 047 10 061 11 100 66982 64218 13 140 5 265 4 078 2 322 64218 61564 5 188 14 216 8 231 9 212 61564 58849 11 222 21 205 17 226 21 247 58849 56075 22 246 26 231 29 240 28 250 56075 53436 39 249 39 243 43 244 39 248 53436 51056 48 240 46 245 50 244 45 246 51056 48909 49 237 50 244 49 241 46 239 48909 46939 50 243 52 246 48 249 43 239 46939 45112 58 244 58 248 56 257 49 251 45112 43405 63 238 65 241 62 252 57 254 43405 41806 62 230 64 232 63 240 61 250 41806 40305 60 225 61 226 63 229 62 243 40305 38904 59 222 60 224 60 220 59 233 38904 37575 59 220 60 222 61 214 56 227 37575 36257 59 219 59 222 61 213 57 223 36257 34920 57 220 55 222 60 217 55 220 34920 33572 54 225 52 225 58 224 53 221 33572 32201 50 232 49 231 53 227 51 223 32201 30802 46 236 45 234 46 229 44 226 30802 29383 40 234 42 233 41 231 37 226 29383 27944 38 232 39 231 37 233 35 220 27944 26490 39 235 37 231 35 236 36 222 26490 25030 39 238 36 234 32 242 35 230 25030 23564 36 239 36 238 29 246 31 234 23564 22085 32 237 33 242 25 247 27 238 22085 20617 30 238 29 244 23 245 23 243 20617 19226 28 242 27 247 21 244 20 249 19226 17967 27 248 24 251 20 246 18 252 17967 16840 25 253 22 255 19 250 17 252 16840 15821 25 256 18 259 17 256 15 249 15821 14892 23 257 15 262 15 263 13 245 14892 14039 20 257 14*264 13 271 12 243 14039 13258 17*256 13*266 13 278 12 246 13258 12543 15*255 13 267 13 281 11 251 12543 11888 13 255 13 267 13 282 11 258 11888 11281 12 254 14 267 14 283 9 268 11281 10728 12 252 13 267 14 284 8 284 10728 10252 11 251 13 267 13 284 7 302 10252 9879 11 250 13 266 13 283 7 318 9879 9617 10 249 12 265 12 282 7 332 9617 9456 10 248 11 264 11*282 7*338 9456 9363 8 245 9 262 8*280 4*341 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography