DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 72.8 - - - - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 457 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5854 - - 7077 - - - - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13143 - - 14144 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14654 - - 15877 - - - - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1978 - - 2091 - - - - - 388 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 597 - - 642 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 307 - - - - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -26 - - - - - -38 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3436 - - -2931 - - - - - -7269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18091 - - 18809 - - - - - 16632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8386 - - -6909 - - - - - -13599 ODpotential blCL - - - 23040 - - 22786 - - - - - 22962 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 66 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 72.8 - - - - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 22.7 - - - - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 69.2 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 22.4 - - - - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 457 - - - - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5854 - - 7077 - - - - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99001 17 105 15 131 14 080 99001 91568 12 120 13 117 9 095 91568 85828 12 122 17 096 8 039 85828 81045 9 109 11 101 9 069 81045 76920 8 144 10 102 6 060 76920 73280 13 134 5 087 11 061 73280 70000 9 103 9 182 7 006 70000 67006 6 091 7 181 7 343 67006 64240 3 033 3 135 11 324 64240 61596 8 322 4 061 6 259 61596 58883 12 290 9 310 7 278 58883 56096 20 265 20 285 20 288 56096 53454 28 261 28 264 28 290 53454 51074 31 256 31 255 33 287 51074 48925 30 263 33 262 36 277 48925 46962 33 272 38 268 40 275 46962 45151 35 278 40 276 45 281 45151 43464 36 284 41 285 48 288 43464 41884 33 284 39 288 46 293 41884 40401 31 282 34 283 41 292 40401 39012 32 279 31 278 39 293 39012 37691 32 276 33 278 37 293 37691 36373 32 272 35 277 36 290 36373 35033 32 266 37 279 35 289 35033 33678 31 262 36 278 35 284 33678 32299 29 261 34 271 38 286 32299 30893 26 262 31 263 38 289 30893 29468 23 263 27 260 35 288 29468 28028 21 260 25 262 32 283 28028 26578 19 259 25 265 30 279 26578 25120 18 262 24 266 28 281 25120 23652 18 268 22 275 25 284 23652 22168 19 277 20 285 22 285 22168 20692 20 286 18 292 18 288 20692 19291 21 291 15 301 14 294 19291 18021 20 292 10 317 12 304 18021 16885 18 294 10*323 11 314 16885 15856 14 301 11*322 11 321 15856 14919 11*303 11 318 12 324 14919 14059 10*302 12 314 12 331 14059 13272 10 299 13 311 14 339 13272 12553 10 295 14 308 16 346 12553 11895 10 289 14 305 19 347 11895 11286 10 285 14 303 21 349 11286 10731 10 280 14 300 23 348 10731 10254 10 276 14 298 23 348 10254 9880 9 272 14 296 21 346 9880 9618 9 270 13 295 18 345 9618 9456 8 268 12 294 14*343 9456 9363 7 266 10 292 8*342 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography