DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.2 - - 42.2 - - 44.0 - - 36.4 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 120 - - 146 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 2698 - - 3582 - - 1207 - - 739 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 180 - - 191 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 300 - - 296 - - 294 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -29 - - -22 - - -18 - - -11 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1913 - - -2929 - - -4198 - - -2450 - - -1724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11275 - - 12292 - - 13560 - - 11813 - - 11087 sfcLCL ODpotential -10717 - - -7359 - - -8809 - - -8413 - - -8021 ODpotential blCL 20079 - - 16721 - - 18171 - - 17775 - - 17383 blCL maxRH 70 - - 90 - - 67 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.2 - - 42.2 - - 44.0 - - 36.4 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.1 - - 21.2 - - 17.4 - - 17.7 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 40.5 - - 42.1 - - 37.3 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 20.4 - - 16.7 - - 17.3 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 120 - - 146 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 62 - - 0 - - 25 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96224 27 262 31 263 30 260 32 277 39 280 96224 89106 12 282 18 277 17 277 18 271 23 272 89106 83616 8 263 22 260 21 279 8 276 14 260 83616 79058 10 268 16 248 25 264 16 297 3 034 79058 75083 9 279 15 244 19 254 28 292 20 323 75083 71593 16 268 19 269 18 260 33 286 32 298 71593 68495 23 287 22 280 17 277 24 283 27 282 68495 65645 38 286 24 301 21 307 21 305 29 305 65645 62991 42 289 31 307 38 315 38 310 42 303 62991 60413 41 301 40 305 51 312 51 308 48 297 60413 57702 49 304 56 302 62 302 62 300 54 294 57702 54873 60 290 62 287 67 290 67 290 61 289 54873 52159 60 272 61 273 67 283 68 284 65 283 52159 49691 49 271 58 280 64 286 66 285 66 281 49691 47464 52 299 64 294 67 294 65 290 68 288 47464 45440 82 305 80 299 77 299 71 296 71 297 45440 43595 95 294 93 293 89 294 85 295 85 301 43595 41920 86 284 96 286 95 283 94 288 97 294 41920 40394 73 284 89 282 90 276 90 280 90 288 40394 38976 71 298 82 279 81 271 83 275 84 290 38976 37645 71 299 75 277 74 269 77 276 83 292 37645 36375 68 291 72 277 71 270 69 278 82 302 36375 35112 68 284 73 279 70 272 67 289 82 311 35112 33836 70 282 71 280 69 275 70 298 81 312 33836 32550 73 282 68 279 67 280 73 298 76 306 32550 31241 75 283 67 279 66 285 72 294 73 300 31241 29902 77 286 68 279 66 287 72 288 72 296 29902 28538 78 289 70 279 65 283 73 286 72 292 28538 27152 76 289 71 278 66 278 73 287 74 290 27152 25754 71 286 70 278 69 276 70 288 71 289 25754 24352 69 283 67 277 71 279 67 289 64 289 24352 22945 67 282 63 278 68 282 64 291 54 289 22945 21529 65 281 60 279 63 284 62 291 45 291 21529 20127 62 278 57 281 58 284 56 286 39 293 20127 18797 58 278 54 283 54 282 50 279 39 292 18797 17591 54 280 51 283 50 280 46 275 41 288 17591 16510 50 284 48 283 48 279 43 277 39 284 16510 15533 47 287 45 283 46 278 40 281 36 282 15533 14643 44 289 42 284 43 281 36 287 32 282 14643 13826 41 290 40 286 39 285 33 292 29 283 13826 13078 36 290 38 289 36 290 30 297 26 284 13078 12394 31 291 35 292 32 295 26 301 23 284 12394 11768 27 292 32 295 29 299 22 305 20 281 11768 11188 24 293 29 298 26 301 20 307 18 277 11188 10660 21 295 25 300 23 302 17 308 16 273 10660 10207 17 299 21 303 22 301 15 305 15 272 10207 9852 13 307 18 303 20 300 13 302 13 275 9852 9603 11 314 16 303 18 299 11 299 10 280 9603 9450 9*317 14*302 16*299 8*297 8*288 9450 9362 6*325 10*300 10*296 4*294 4*310 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography