DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.1 - - 40.4 - - 43.8 - - 40.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 221 - - 290 - - 21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 2495 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 10378 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 11295 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 639 - - 2353 - - 1461 - - 2334 - - 250 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 218 - - 391 - - 99 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 15 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 260 - - 282 - - 293 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 3 - - -35 - - -15 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3644 - - -5719 - - -4305 - - -5854 - - -4512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13006 - - 15082 - - 15601 - - 15217 - - 13875 sfcLCL ODpotential -12263 - - -12058 - - -9949 - - -11765 - - -12702 ODpotential blCL 21625 - - 21420 - - 21244 - - 21127 - - 22064 blCL maxRH 60 - - 40 - - 50 - - 41 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.1 - - 40.4 - - 43.8 - - 40.4 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.9 - - 7.6 - - 8.6 - - 7.0 - - 4.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.9 - - 37.9 - - 41.1 - - 39.3 - - 35.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.7 - - 7.1 - - 8.2 - - 6.7 - - 4.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 221 - - 290 - - 21 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 2495 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96790 20 094 7 073 8 076 17 096 14 049 96790 89659 28 080 24 105 13 079 24 093 24 080 89659 84103 21 079 23 111 12 104 18 085 19 069 84103 79483 15 082 16 098 10 095 13 104 16 058 79483 75504 11 077 10 091 11 067 15 104 10 083 75504 71975 7 070 3 147 4 017 8 066 8 108 71975 68768 7 029 3 213 7 280 5 357 1 137 68768 65821 5 328 9 272 12 261 11 275 6 305 65821 63100 15 280 17 282 17 265 19 262 21 283 63100 60478 23 269 22 270 22 266 22 257 28 255 60478 57737 28 260 27 268 28 272 26 273 31 263 57737 54880 29 264 34 257 40 258 37 270 42 263 54880 52144 34 277 37 252 43 248 43 256 48 263 52144 49667 42 269 39 258 44 258 48 252 56 262 49667 47444 41 260 42 253 49 258 54 251 63 256 47444 45425 37 267 39 257 51 252 59 250 63 248 45425 43572 41 268 48 256 54 255 58 253 60 248 43572 41875 41 252 46 245 54 243 59 249 60 255 41875 40329 42 236 36 243 47 232 56 239 55 243 40329 38909 25 268 25 280 26 268 45 232 43 236 38909 37586 32 305 36 309 32 302 22 256 39 238 37586 36322 34 302 36 305 37 302 24 283 34 244 36322 35064 29 292 31 292 34 301 27 293 30 264 35064 33787 25 292 30 280 33 298 29 294 32 274 33787 32499 24 296 24 268 31 296 31 290 32 272 32499 31189 22 298 21 270 33 281 28 279 31 262 31189 29848 21 284 21 283 29 265 24 255 29 242 29848 28486 22 267 22 280 27 253 29 249 36 244 28486 27109 24 265 20 259 30 244 33 244 38 245 27109 25721 27 268 24 256 34 237 35 245 38 245 25721 24326 26 240 28 243 36 236 35 254 39 249 24326 22923 31 233 32 238 37 246 36 262 37 257 22923 21507 32 243 32 248 36 254 36 263 37 265 21507 20100 31 254 31 253 35 252 35 262 35 271 20100 18766 28 261 29 247 34 248 35 263 31 276 18766 17559 27 263 29 241 34 251 34 266 28 278 17559 16481 26 260 30 243 33 258 32 269 26 279 16481 15507 27 257 29 252 30 266 29 272 25 278 15507 14619 26 259 28 263 27 273 26 276 24 278 14619 13806 24 264 26 270 24 278 24 281 24 278 13806 13062 21 269 25 274 21 280 22 285 24 277 13062 12381 19 272 22 276 18 281 21 289 24 277 12381 11759 17 274 19 276 17*282 19 292 24 277 11759 11182 15 274 15 274 16*282 18 294 24 277 11182 10656 13 273 12 272 16 282 16 295 24 278 10656 10205 11 273 11 269 15 282 15 296 21 281 10205 9850 9 274 10 267 15 282 14 296 18 286 9850 9602 6 285 9 264 13 281 13 296 15 293 9602 9450 4*283 9*262 12 280 11*295 12*301 9450 9362 3*312 7*260 9 278 7*293 7*311 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography