DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 56.9 - - 59.7 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 139 - - 500 - - 428 - - 146 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6260 - - 8687 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 13522 - - 15438 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 15060 - - 17487 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6173 - - 1946 - - 2134 - - 9491 - - 2116 Hgt.Variab. W* 187 - - 639 - - 678 - - 191 - - 24 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 21 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 319 - - 315 - - 311 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -34 - - -45 - - -26 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6128 - - -471 - - 1263 - - -7509 - - -5899 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15492 - - 15532 - - 16225 - - 16873 - - 15263 sfcLCL ODpotential -10449 - - -4282 - - -796 - - -9931 - - -10320 ODpotential blCL 19812 - - 19342 - - 18283 - - 19294 - - 19683 blCL maxRH 49 - - 75 - - 76 - - 72 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 56.9 - - 59.7 - - 58.7 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.8 - - 21.3 - - 21.0 - - 17.2 - - 16.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.0 - - 53.2 - - 56.6 - - 56.8 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.2 - - 20.4 - - 20.0 - - 16.3 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 139 - - 500 - - 428 - - 146 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6260 - - 8687 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97761 11 352 7 258 12 304 13 296 16 316 97761 90353 4 275 12 270 8 295 15 315 13 309 90353 84625 7 308 5 240 10 268 10 321 5 297 84625 79878 15 295 1 029 10 268 8 291 5 343 79878 75804 12 273 11 303 4 270 6 302 3 025 75804 72215 10 290 20 280 12 293 8 293 8 317 72215 68976 16 290 16 272 17 286 15 302 13 317 68976 65999 21 283 15 261 23 270 24 285 20 296 65999 63232 26 289 19 278 23 268 24 278 21 295 63232 60550 32 285 26 280 24 272 28 278 27 291 60550 57759 32 280 27 287 22 283 26 282 28 294 57759 54884 33 284 30 287 24 289 23 291 24 294 54884 52152 35 288 30 287 30 296 25 307 19 298 52152 49694 39 288 37 289 35 297 30 302 25 299 49694 47504 33 300 35 302 33 301 28 298 31 316 47504 45537 39 329 33 323 31 319 28 319 36 331 45537 43757 45 337 42 338 40 338 35 344 38 344 43757 42126 50 340 52 336 49 337 40 355 35 350 42126 40609 51 341 52 334 47 335 40 349 30 353 40609 39188 49 344 48 337 42 336 39 342 26 353 39188 37857 49 347 46 341 41 338 38 342 24 351 37857 36589 48 349 43 339 41 336 35 341 23 350 36589 35326 45 349 41 334 40 331 33 338 22 348 35326 34043 40 346 40 332 37 326 32 334 22 341 34043 32748 36 343 37 329 35 324 31 330 23 331 32748 31432 33 343 33 326 33 324 29 329 23 329 31432 30087 30 344 30 324 31 326 28 330 23 332 30087 28720 29 346 29 323 30 323 27 332 23 335 28720 27336 28 349 29 322 29 318 27 333 25 335 27336 25939 28 350 27 323 27 311 27 332 27 332 25939 24535 27 344 25 329 25 306 26 330 28 330 24535 23124 27 334 23 332 22 301 25 329 28 330 23124 21699 29 328 23 330 20 309 24 328 28 330 21699 20284 29 326 24 328 22 324 24 327 28 328 20284 18944 29 328 25 329 21 326 21 325 29 324 18944 17730 29 331 26 333 22*325 20 321 28 319 17730 16643 28 334 24 337 22*323 21 320 26 313 16643 15658 27 337 18*333 22 322 21 319 25 309 15658 14757 26 337 17*330 22 320 22 318 24 308 14757 13929 24 333 17 328 22 318 22 317 23 310 13929 13169 22 327 17 325 22 316 22 316 22 314 13169 12472 20 320 17 322 22 314 22 316 22 319 12472 11834 18 315 17 319 22 313 22 315 21 323 11834 11242 16 313 16 316 21 311 21 315 21 326 11242 10700 15 313 16 314 21 310 21 314 20 328 10700 10235 13 313 16 311 20 309 20 314 19 329 10235 9868 12 312 15 309 19 307 19 313 17 329 9868 9612 10 310 14 307 18 307 18 313 14 330 9612 9454 9*309 13 306 16 306 16*312 10*332 9454 9363 7*308 10 304 12 305 11*311 6*334 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography