DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 60.4 - - 59.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 498 - - 170 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7965 - - 8149 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14916 - - 15061 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16765 - - 16949 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1638 - - 2400 - - 9981 - - 2722 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 694 - - 696 - - 201 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 184 - - 21 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 254 - - 272 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 59 - - 22 - - 0 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2145 - - -2293 - - -9252 - - -7699 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18911 - - 19243 - - 18616 - - 17063 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7012 - - -5862 - - -12384 - - -13082 ODpotential blCL - - - 23777 - - 22811 - - 21747 - - 22445 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 44 - - 50 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 60.4 - - 59.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.6 - - 8.4 - - 10.7 - - 9.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 56.6 - - 57.5 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.6 - - 7.4 - - 9.6 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 498 - - 170 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7965 - - 8149 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97853 7 190 11 227 7 266 2 034 97853 90416 11 179 10 186 12 210 8 264 90416 84710 4 147 14 200 7 176 6 213 84710 79982 7 169 12 205 3 160 7 138 79982 75915 5 173 7 172 4 222 3 108 75915 72337 3 241 5 169 6 213 3 182 72337 69108 3 298 1 350 2 243 4 155 69108 66134 2 232 5 293 5 275 4 245 66134 63382 5 239 7 249 9 303 10 333 63382 60741 7 289 6 246 14 256 8 300 60741 57997 18 306 17 322 11 329 6 339 57997 55149 21 270 17 291 18 320 13 321 55149 52426 14 322 14 283 18 307 20 325 52426 49972 15 312 22 313 23 326 27 324 49972 47786 10 268 24 322 26 346 26 337 47786 45818 25 356 26 345 33 359 31 354 45818 44027 48 001 40 358 42 354 33 355 44027 42379 57 355 51 358 45 350 32 355 42379 40849 59 356 55 359 48 350 32 358 40849 39417 61 360 55 001 49 353 35 358 39417 38076 63 002 55 003 49 355 39 357 38076 36800 64 002 56 006 48 356 40 358 36800 35530 62 002 57 008 46 357 39 358 35530 34241 59 002 58 009 43 358 38 355 34241 32938 57 001 57 008 39 000 36 351 32938 31613 54 003 53 006 36 360 34 350 31613 30258 45 002 49 003 34 357 32 351 30258 28880 38 357 44 005 34 355 31 349 28880 27485 34 357 37 003 34 358 30 349 27485 26079 32 002 32 357 31 002 28 354 26079 24668 31 010 27 357 26 002 25 357 24668 23247 29 019 22 011 20 001 21 354 23247 21811 27 025 20 038 15 012 17 348 21811 20383 23 027 17 039 11 022 12 346 20383 19025 18 026 12 018 10 021 8 332 19025 17796 11*011 10*010 9 002 3 349 17796 16695 9*006 8*360 8 344 2 062 16695 15698 7 003 6 332 9 324 2 044 15698 14786 4 352 5 290 10 308 4 344 14786 13951 2 338 6 260 10 301 7 333 13951 13184 1 253 7 250 11 294 10 331 13184 12483 2 214 8 243 11 289 12 330 12483 11841 3 201 9 238 11 285 13 328 11841 11246 4 197 9 235 11 282 14 326 11246 10702 5 193 10 232 11 280 15 324 10702 10236 5 192 10 230 11 278 14 322 10236 9869 6 191 10 228 11 276 13 318 9869 9612 6 190 10 227 11 275 12 317 9612 9454 6 190 9 226 10*274 9*313 9454 9363 5 188 8 224 8*272 6*315 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography