DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 39.6 - - 40.8 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 500 - - 234 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3407 - - 6320 - - 5121 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11081 - - 13572 - - 12305 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12207 - - 15120 - - 13921 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3642 - - 3200 - - 1752 - - 1895 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 439 - - 642 - - 463 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 28 - - 24 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 328 - - 341 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -130 - - -84 - - -58 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1482 - - 2597 - - -955 - - -4132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10725 - - 12524 - - 14877 - - 13495 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1713 - - -65 - - -7039 - - -11297 ODpotential blCL - - - 13920 - - 15185 - - 20960 - - 20659 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 68 - - 49 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 39.6 - - 40.8 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.0 - - 17.4 - - 8.5 - - 7.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 16.3 - - 8.0 - - 7.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 500 - - 234 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3407 - - 6320 - - 5121 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98060 12 220 16 271 14 294 11 304 98060 90594 19 229 15 260 13 264 13 295 90594 84854 12 255 15 259 10 253 11 282 84854 80089 7 268 10 228 13 232 15 259 80089 76005 14 279 14 267 12 272 11 270 76005 72398 19 264 23 254 19 270 12 288 72398 69132 21 256 25 252 22 264 22 279 69132 66132 24 261 28 254 25 265 27 268 66132 63341 28 266 32 257 32 262 31 271 63341 60631 35 264 36 259 37 260 36 261 60631 57798 39 268 39 263 37 265 33 267 57798 54855 44 272 39 264 42 270 37 271 54855 52057 44 274 38 268 43 269 39 280 52057 49554 43 271 35 262 39 269 37 273 49554 47320 39 270 37 277 40 270 28 275 47320 45301 45 281 45 276 37 278 29 284 45301 43457 48 279 42 289 39 300 30 302 43457 41764 41 284 44 301 42 314 32 340 41764 40205 43 286 50 289 41 324 40 355 40205 38759 37 283 40 286 40 350 43 357 38759 37416 28 292 35 329 47 007 43 360 37416 36147 30 319 45 342 51 011 43 003 36147 34889 35 331 46 349 52 013 42 007 34889 33617 40 336 47 357 54 014 41 009 33617 32334 43 338 52 004 54 015 38 009 32334 31030 45 340 56 009 53 014 36 008 31030 29699 43 340 59 011 50 014 33 006 29699 28347 40 335 62 012 49 014 32 006 28347 26979 38 326 63 012 48 013 31 007 26979 25601 35 315 63 011 48 012 31 009 25601 24217 32 302 61 007 48 012 31 011 24217 22826 32 291 58 360 47 012 32 011 22826 21422 35 288 55 349 47 014 32 010 21422 20026 41 288 48 340 47 013 32 008 20026 18702 42 289 36 337 44 010 32 007 18702 17502 42 290 31 336 39 003 33 008 17502 16429 42 292 29 335 31 356 33 007 16429 15460 41 297 27*333 23 348 32 006 15460 14576 40 305 26*331 21*344 31 004 14576 13768 38 313 26 330 21*344 29 000 13768 13028 36 320 26 330 21 343 27 356 13028 12354 35*326 25 329 21 342 25 353 12354 11738 33*330 25 328 20 342 23 352 11738 11167 32 333 24 328 20 341 22 352 11167 10646 30 334 24 327 20 341 21 353 10646 10199 29 334 23 327 19 340 19 352 10199 9848 27 334 21 326 18 340 16 352 9848 9601 24 333 20 325 16 339 13 351 9601 9449 21 333 18 324 15 339 9*349 9449 9362 13 331 12 324 10 338 4*348 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography