DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1013z - - 1337z - - 1603z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.7 - - 74.8 - - 76.0 - - 74.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 150 - - 480 - - 447 - - 211 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 516 - - 8056 - - 8689 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth Hcrit 9299 - - 14968 - - 15456 - - 9299 - - 9299 Hcrit BL Top 9316 - - 16856 - - 17489 - - 9316 - - 9316 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 9319 - - 3603 - - 4044 - - 11805 - - 6173 Hgt.Variab. W* 186 - - 684 - - 686 - - 209 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 274 - - 257 - - 274 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -14 - - -7 - - -6 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7207 - - -807 - - -612 - - -8570 - - -7234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16523 - - 17664 - - 18102 - - 17887 - - 16551 sfcLCL ODpotential -9485 - - -2592 - - -2263 - - -10473 - - -11202 ODpotential blCL 18801 - - 19448 - - 19752 - - 19789 - - 20518 blCL maxRH 83 - - 94 - - 100 - - 94 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 70 - - 90 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 69.7 - - 74.8 - - 76.0 - - 74.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 29.4 - - 28.6 - - 28.4 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.6 - - 71.0 - - 72.3 - - 72.3 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 28.7 - - 27.9 - - 27.8 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 150 - - 480 - - 447 - - 211 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 516 - - 8056 - - 8689 - - 516 - - 516 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 78 - - 98 - - 76 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 49 093 40 113 37 103 36 103 39 101 98941 91495 32 092 35 091 35 102 31 104 35 098 91495 85750 25 097 31 088 30 095 30 103 29 089 85750 80989 23 096 26 096 27 093 28 096 26 094 80989 76910 21 102 24 095 23 102 22 094 27 098 76910 73308 20 099 17 093 21 108 14 112 27 092 73308 70039 17 098 17 115 17 108 14 118 16 097 70039 67046 14 107 16 114 13 126 14 104 14 106 67046 64283 10 099 12 123 15 130 9 134 9 126 64283 61621 4 136 15 132 6 120 13 138 8 123 61621 58852 9 174 3 157 9 160 7 117 4 133 58852 55997 6 190 6 246 8 190 5 189 6 191 55997 53302 6 222 9 232 9 236 9 257 5 203 53302 50896 7 233 15 221 19 230 19 254 11 269 50896 48750 11 265 14 224 17 226 18 248 14 268 48750 46796 17 282 16 276 15 258 15 260 13 273 46796 44992 22 269 22 274 22 268 19 272 17 275 44992 43309 23 259 25 263 25 252 23 264 20 268 43309 41729 22 255 26 256 26 243 24 255 21 261 41729 40245 21 252 25 254 23 243 23 255 24 261 40245 38855 23 249 23 254 21 244 22 257 27 263 38855 37531 25 245 23 254 22 248 24 259 28 261 37531 36213 26 243 23 252 24 251 25 259 29 260 36213 34876 25 240 24 247 25 253 26 259 29 261 34876 33526 21 236 25 241 25 251 26 256 29 260 33526 32154 17 231 27 232 25 245 28 251 29 257 32154 30756 18 217 27 217 29 234 32 247 31 253 30756 29340 19 206 30 208 31 221 33 238 32 245 29340 27911 17 202 28 208 28 218 31 233 31 237 27911 26473 14 199 22 223 22 220 23 221 26 233 26473 25031 12 221 17 237 15 229 18 204 21 223 25031 23579 15 249 15 251 8 243 16 197 16 220 23579 22110 18 254 17 253 7 237 13 202 12 219 22110 20647 19 250 15 248 9 223 9 215 10 223 20647 19254 18 250 13 242 9 223 8 231 11 229 19254 17990 17 253 11 244 9*226 8 241 13 230 17990 16858 16 254 10*250 9*232 8 248 12 231 16858 15834 16 256 10*258 9 243 8 256 11 237 15834 14898 16 259 10 269 10 254 9 264 10 247 14898 14038 15 263 10 274 11 258 10 270 9 260 14038 13250 14 269 11 276 11 260 11 273 9 272 13250 12528 13 276 11 277 12 262 11 275 10 279 12528 11868 11 284 12 277 12 262 12 276 11 282 11868 11255 10 288 12 277 13 263 12 276 12 285 11255 10695 8 292 12 276 13 262 13 276 13 286 10695 10215 7 291 12 275 13 262 13 276 13 287 10215 9837 6 290 12 274 13 262 12 276 12 289 9837 9572 5 287 11 273 12 262 12 276 10 292 9572 9409 5*287 11 272 12 261 11*276 8*295 9409 9316 4*284 9 270 10 260 9*274 5*304 9316 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography