DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 412 - - 174 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8519 - - 9536 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15360 - - 16116 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17319 - - 18336 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3012 - - 2351 - - 12130 - - 10214 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 704 - - 691 - - 203 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 235 - - 224 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 33 - - 27 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2164 - - 2097 - - -7497 - - -6079 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15156 - - 16240 - - 16860 - - 15442 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 105 - - 363 - - -9013 - - -8522 ODpotential blCL - - - 17214 - - 17973 - - 18376 - - 17885 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 83 - - 93 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 70 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 55.7 - - 56.1 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.3 - - 16.7 - - 14.4 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 52.5 - - 54.0 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 15.8 - - 13.6 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 412 - - 174 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8519 - - 9536 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 31 - - 72 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98036 8 259 9 336 8 351 9 332 98036 90643 5 103 9 265 11 306 11 022 90643 84929 5 104 7 229 9 279 5 348 84929 80196 9 270 6 307 2 249 1 249 80196 76128 6 234 5 270 3 233 4 271 76128 72534 6 049 4 279 1 039 1 242 72534 69278 7 225 11 246 11 309 6 001 69278 66268 7 126 18 222 18 270 9 307 66268 63466 12 037 5 175 14 225 11 253 63466 60747 18 271 9 261 15 251 10 251 60747 57901 39 232 33 247 30 251 29 256 57901 54938 43 235 38 244 36 247 37 245 54938 52109 49 244 43 244 38 246 33 244 52109 49560 55 246 48 247 42 251 35 248 49560 47276 56 247 57 249 50 249 43 255 47276 45211 61 250 60 248 55 251 52 254 45211 43329 65 244 64 251 62 249 57 248 43329 41605 63 239 70 252 63 247 58 247 41605 40020 62 242 72 247 65 254 66 249 40020 38560 63 245 72 249 72 254 68 248 38560 37214 62 246 78 252 68 249 63 248 37214 35949 66 252 79 250 62 247 61 246 35949 34704 72 255 75 251 64 248 63 241 34704 33447 74 256 73 256 67 249 67 236 33447 32178 72 257 73 261 67 251 69 238 32178 30889 67 257 70 265 64 253 68 241 30889 29573 63 256 64 263 60 251 62 240 29573 28240 59 258 62 259 57 246 60 238 28240 26889 54 262 59 255 56 242 60 239 26889 25530 49 260 54 250 54 240 56 238 25530 24167 48 255 52 249 50 238 49 233 24167 22802 48 259 48 253 45 235 41 225 22802 21426 44 265 43 255 38 231 35 218 21426 20058 34 265 29 248 30 223 33 217 20058 18760 27 262 25*243 28 221 32 218 18760 17583 25*260 23*239 27 221 32 219 17583 16526 22*258 23 238 26 222 32 221 16526 15566 21 253 23 237 26 222 32 223 15566 14687 20 249 22 236 25 223 31 225 14687 13877 20 248 22 235 24 224 31 226 13877 13130 20 246 22 234 23 225 31 227 13130 12445 20 245 21 234 22 225 31 228 12445 11815 20 245 21 233 22 225 30 229 11815 11228 20 244 21 233 21 226 29 229 11228 10692 19 243 20 232 20 226 28 229 10692 10230 19 242 20 232 20 226 25 228 10230 9866 18 242 19 232 19 226 22 227 9866 9610 17 241 18 231 18 226 17 224 9610 9454 16 240 17 231 16*226 13*223 9454 9363 12 239 13 229 12*224 6*222 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography