DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1336z - - 1602z - - 1903z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 63.4 - - 66.3 - - 65.9 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 110 - - 408 - - 362 - - 179 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6096 - - 8917 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 13319 - - 15549 - - 9347 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 14896 - - 17717 - - 9364 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4580 - - 3388 - - 2659 - - 9958 - - 2410 Hgt.Variab. W* 176 - - 595 - - 649 - - 205 - - 29 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 295 - - 282 - - 272 - - 282 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -27 - - -17 - - -8 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2221 - - 1666 - - 2638 - - -7660 - - -5412 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11585 - - 13231 - - 15080 - - 17025 - - 14775 sfcLCL ODpotential -4879 - - -1177 - - -154 - - -10021 - - -9922 ODpotential blCL 14242 - - 16073 - - 17871 - - 19385 - - 19285 blCL maxRH 72 - - 71 - - 64 - - 48 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 170 - - 290 - - 130 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 63.4 - - 66.3 - - 65.9 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.9 - - 37.7 - - 32.5 - - 23.8 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 60.2 - - 63.2 - - 63.8 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 36.9 - - 31.6 - - 22.9 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 110 - - 408 - - 362 - - 179 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6096 - - 8917 - - 564 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98730 34 094 30 112 27 109 24 113 30 092 98730 91229 21 097 28 095 25 108 24 102 28 088 91229 85470 18 117 19 076 20 107 23 089 21 093 85470 80724 28 107 15 095 18 116 18 086 17 093 80724 76642 27 089 18 114 20 108 20 099 17 095 76642 73029 17 078 23 109 16 101 22 106 20 097 73029 69761 11 106 20 110 16 114 16 097 23 102 69761 66764 12 135 13 140 10 085 15 108 22 105 66764 64002 10 161 8 132 8 146 6 109 15 095 64002 61340 14 161 7 180 7 166 7 168 5 075 61340 58584 4 188 1 163 4 207 3 269 4 146 58584 55749 10 230 10 234 7 219 4 283 5 257 55749 53054 20 267 22 252 24 252 25 254 24 284 53054 50641 27 246 27 240 33 237 36 239 36 255 50641 48478 29 235 28 235 32 237 35 230 36 235 48478 46498 34 232 35 244 36 241 33 234 33 233 46498 44666 39 239 42 246 42 247 38 245 36 242 44666 42964 50 244 48 243 48 247 45 248 43 243 42964 41380 61 243 54 242 50 243 49 246 47 242 41380 39901 69 240 61 240 54 240 52 245 49 240 39901 38519 72 237 64 237 59 238 55 243 50 238 38519 37205 71 236 64 234 62 237 59 240 50 236 37205 35900 68 235 63 231 62 236 60 236 51 234 35900 34580 65 234 61 230 58 235 57 234 49 233 34580 33251 57 236 55 230 55 232 52 232 45 233 33251 31901 48 240 47 225 53 229 49 231 41 235 31901 30523 41 237 44 223 53 228 46 234 35 239 30523 29123 36 235 41 228 49 232 42 240 30 247 29123 27706 32 241 37 232 40 236 35 247 26 255 27706 26279 30 247 33 234 35 247 29 250 19 261 26279 24847 28 244 31 235 33 247 22 252 15 260 24847 23408 29 234 31 239 30 251 19 258 12 249 23408 21953 28 239 30 246 28 259 19 263 13 239 21953 20506 26 244 27 255 19 267 16 261 14 239 20506 19134 24 243 24 261 14 271 12 265 14 240 19134 17892 21 243 21 262 13*271 11 273 14 244 17892 16779 18 246 19 264 13*271 12 277 12 246 16779 15771 15 250 17*268 13 272 12 279 9 251 15771 14850 14 254 15*274 14 272 12 281 7 266 14850 14005 14 260 14 280 14 272 13 282 7 289 14005 13229 14 269 14 283 14 272 13 284 9 305 13229 12520 13 278 14 284 14 272 14 284 11 312 12520 11871 14 286 14 284 14 272 14 284 14 314 11871 11269 14 292 14 284 14 272 14 284 15 315 11269 10719 13 296 14 284 14 271 14 284 16 315 10719 10247 11 299 14 283 14 271 13 284 16 314 10247 9876 10 298 13 282 13 270 13 284 15 315 9876 9615 9 298 12 281 12 270 12 283 13 316 9615 9456 8*296 11 280 11 269 11*283 10*318 9456 9363 6*295 9 279 9 266 9*282 6*322 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography