DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1856z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.9 - - 59.9 - - 57.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 335 - - 280 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 9007 - - 8958 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1635 - - 8157 - - 10077 - - 8655 - - 5657 Hgt.Variab. W* 113 - - 250 - - 235 - - 121 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 190 - - 223 - - 235 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 22 - - 20 - - 12 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1870 - - -3564 - - -4356 - - -4419 - - -3179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11233 - - 12928 - - 13720 - - 13783 - - 12543 sfcLCL ODpotential -4900 - - -5009 - - -5812 - - -6381 - - -7132 ODpotential blCL 14263 - - 14372 - - 15175 - - 15744 - - 16495 blCL maxRH 92 - - 78 - - 85 - - 79 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 140 - - 160 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.9 - - 59.9 - - 57.9 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.3 - - 33.8 - - 32.3 - - 30.1 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 54.8 - - 57.0 - - 56.6 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 33.4 - - 31.9 - - 29.8 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 335 - - 280 - - 37 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 14 - - 40 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98166 9 050 9 051 11 090 10 122 5 052 98166 90825 8 064 7 110 9 111 8 062 7 077 90825 85122 6 115 7 134 4 104 4 050 8 056 85122 80359 6 149 5 153 2 301 1 071 5 096 80359 76265 1 193 6 147 4 277 2 110 6 104 76265 72664 3 178 3 154 2 264 5 103 6 102 72664 69420 7 115 3 078 4 155 4 103 5 095 69420 66447 11 104 4 097 6 115 4 134 5 095 66447 63703 10 085 7 150 3 007 4 073 4 121 63703 61064 7 041 12 124 2 233 2 071 2 124 61064 58322 3 009 6 119 5 212 4 262 1 319 58322 55479 3 308 3 219 8 205 11 244 7 269 55479 52769 13 272 11 266 10 234 14 251 11 272 52769 50328 17 253 19 251 18 249 20 257 17 267 50328 48134 20 251 21 247 23 248 23 260 22 263 48134 46138 26 252 26 252 25 252 26 262 23 268 46138 44308 26 251 30 244 27 260 28 262 26 269 44308 42622 24 256 29 239 32 262 31 261 33 263 42622 41059 26 257 30 244 34 250 35 257 38 254 41059 39601 28 260 31 250 32 243 35 253 32 247 39601 38244 29 254 31 254 30 245 33 250 21 247 38244 36957 33 250 31 256 30 254 31 249 13 260 36957 35678 36 250 34 257 31 258 31 252 13 266 35678 34379 34 255 37 256 31 255 31 255 17 260 34379 33069 24 254 33 247 33 253 26 257 16 259 33069 31737 22 238 31 247 35 253 21 267 13 272 31737 30375 22 232 28 257 32 257 19 282 13 290 30375 28990 21 240 22 260 28 267 21 290 13 292 28990 27586 20 250 19 254 24 269 20 293 12 292 27586 26169 19 257 18 254 22 265 17 290 12 294 26169 24745 18 262 16 262 21 264 16 284 10 288 24745 23311 18 258 15 265 18 265 16 286 9 284 23311 21861 14 254 12 258 16 263 15 283 10 277 21861 20421 14 255 9 259 9 281 8 278 11 271 20421 19056 14 248 10 271 6 317 1 326 9 265 19056 17821 11 241 10 271 6 317 1 301 6 247 17821 16716 10 233 9 265 6 303 3 262 6 223 16716 15716 10 224 9 260 6 276 5 253 6 219 15716 14803 11 228 8 257 7 262 7 249 6 222 14803 13965 11 236 8 257 7 255 8 247 5 213 13965 13196 11 243 8 255 8 247 8 245 6 240 13196 12493 11 249 7 254 8 241 9 243 7 254 12493 11849 8 252 6 249 9 237 9 242 8 260 11849 11252 5 244 5 230 9 234 9 240 8 266 11252 10707 2 181 5 212 9 232 9 240 9 270 10707 10238 5 109 5 205 9 229 9 239 8 273 10238 9871 6 092 5 197 9 228 9 238 8 276 9871 9613 5 078 5 194 8 227 9 237 6 289 9613 9455 5*072 5*191 8*226 8*237 5*292 9455 9363 3*066 5*190 7*223 6*235 3*314 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography