DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 39.0 - - 38.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1546 - - 2335 - - 1072 - - 982 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 174 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 142 - - 086 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 13 - - -11 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5818 - - -5508 - - -4449 - - -5032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15181 - - 14871 - - 13812 - - 14395 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12719 - - -11145 - - -12140 - - -13825 ODpotential blCL - - - 22081 - - 20507 - - 21502 - - 23187 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 72 - - 79 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 46.0 - - 39.0 - - 38.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 14.0 - - 12.0 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 44.2 - - 42.2 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.2 - - 13.2 - - 11.3 - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 14 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96055 32 295 31 285 31 280 30 296 96055 88933 20 298 25 288 31 293 31 303 88933 83461 24 294 22 286 28 289 28 303 83461 78936 13 308 12 291 15 285 25 317 78936 75015 23 295 29 310 19 288 28 305 75015 71562 26 280 28 294 18 311 16 300 71562 68444 20 303 24 297 35 289 26 294 68444 65590 33 252 38 256 31 259 29 258 65590 62978 35 244 31 244 21 275 26 261 62978 60442 29 266 23 259 38 265 38 255 60442 57798 45 263 42 252 55 253 49 258 57798 55057 61 250 60 249 64 248 60 258 55057 52426 69 244 71 249 63 247 61 248 52426 50036 75 239 76 248 60 252 62 248 50036 47868 78 239 78 247 66 252 70 252 47868 45880 78 241 81 244 75 247 76 250 45880 44054 76 244 81 243 79 243 80 241 44054 42380 75 250 78 245 79 243 80 239 42380 40837 77 254 77 254 78 244 76 236 40837 39400 75 252 79 258 76 242 70 231 39400 38053 69 246 74 255 75 242 71 232 38053 36767 65 241 68 250 75 243 76 236 36767 35484 63 241 68 246 75 241 78 237 35484 34180 63 241 68 244 74 235 78 237 34180 32862 62 240 65 242 72 229 76 235 32862 31521 60 239 62 238 68 226 76 236 31521 30151 58 240 61 236 65 225 77 234 30151 28760 59 241 60 233 62 226 75 228 28760 27356 59 235 59 228 61 226 70 225 27356 25944 57 230 59 224 60 226 64 226 25944 24526 54 225 58 219 59 226 60 225 24526 23099 51 222 56 216 58 225 59 223 23099 21661 47 223 54 215 56 224 59 220 21661 20234 43 227 50 218 52 223 56 219 20234 18884 39 232 45 222 47 222 51 219 18884 17665 35 235 41 226 43 222 47 222 17665 16575 32 235 38 228 40 223 44 224 16575 15591 29 232 35 228 37 225 41 224 15591 14694 26 227 32 227 35 227 37 221 14694 13870 24 222 28 225 32 227 34 218 13870 13115 21 217 24 220 28 225 30 216 13115 12425 19 211 20 212 22 219 25 212 12425 11793 16 203 17 201 18 208 21 204 11793 11208 14 186 14 184 14 190 17 190 11208 10674 12 164 11 164 12 164 15 171 10674 10216 11 143 10 149 12 144 13 152 10216 9857 9 129 9 145 10 132 11 134 9857 9606 7 126 8 143 8 125 9 120 9606 9451 6*124 8*142 6*119 6*114 9451 9362 5*123 6*142 3*086 2*044 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography