DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.2 - - 49.5 - - 52.6 - - 51.2 - - 41.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 313 - - 403 - - 113 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 8102 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 8996 - - 14933 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 16902 - - 9363 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2982 - - 10223 - - 5155 - - 12269 - - 407 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 246 - - 649 - - 175 - - 20 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 6 - - 15 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 309 - - 321 - - 307 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -13 - - -47 - - -21 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1232 - - -3558 - - 3112 - - -5957 - - -5879 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10594 - - 12922 - - 13791 - - 15321 - - 15242 sfcLCL ODpotential -4123 - - -4925 - - 674 - - -7571 - - -9987 ODpotential blCL 13485 - - 14288 - - 16228 - - 16934 - - 19349 blCL maxRH 75 - - 100 - - 97 - - 89 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 340 - - 420 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.2 - - 49.5 - - 52.6 - - 51.2 - - 41.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 25.5 - - 24.6 - - 16.7 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 46.5 - - 49.5 - - 49.5 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 24.6 - - 23.9 - - 16.1 - - 7.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 313 - - 403 - - 113 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 8102 - - 563 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 102 - - 88 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96504 38 271 43 271 37 264 33 263 38 255 96504 89222 22 273 31 259 39 269 42 281 38 286 89222 83723 21 299 20 265 31 272 42 285 34 293 83723 79183 28 314 15 310 18 270 27 292 28 300 79183 75265 25 313 27 318 16 294 25 306 24 301 75265 71798 23 304 31 311 27 304 33 299 32 308 71798 68648 25 298 28 302 26 296 38 291 43 302 68648 65744 27 295 26 294 24 291 35 285 43 298 65744 63031 29 296 28 288 32 290 30 284 39 293 63031 60375 37 299 37 287 39 289 33 291 38 287 60375 57577 47 295 43 286 41 284 40 295 40 288 57577 54665 54 290 43 291 39 282 44 293 44 293 54665 51890 54 291 45 296 42 291 43 296 47 295 51890 49393 52 290 49 295 48 298 50 303 51 297 49393 47159 47 287 47 292 52 300 57 304 52 300 47159 45145 41 287 42 291 53 298 58 305 54 305 45145 43325 38 287 40 295 50 298 55 312 57 309 43325 41672 36 285 39 299 44 301 56 318 58 314 41672 40148 34 288 34 300 40 305 55 326 56 323 40148 38729 31 298 29 308 36 306 58 341 58 330 38729 37403 30 302 27 314 32 308 58 345 59 334 37403 36143 29 295 26 312 27 314 50 341 57 336 36143 34891 25 292 26 306 24 325 43 338 52 338 34891 33623 23 288 26 301 25 332 38 336 47 336 33623 32347 22 285 26 299 27 334 34 332 44 334 32347 31051 23 281 24 300 28 333 30 332 41 333 31051 29730 25 281 23 301 27 329 26 337 37 332 29730 28387 25 288 22 300 23 324 25 344 34 330 28387 27027 24 299 20 304 21 323 27 349 32 329 27027 25654 19 312 19 310 18 321 28 348 31 329 25654 24274 15 314 19 310 15 317 26 348 28 330 24274 22884 11 293 19 311 14 328 22 347 26 328 22884 21481 7 295 16 318 14 344 17 346 27 329 21481 20091 3 307 14 325 13 347 16 343 26 329 20091 18777 1 284 11 335 13 344 16 340 20 324 18777 17588 1 254 9 342 13*340 17 334 17 318 17588 16521 1 266 8 342 14*336 17 331 16 316 16521 15555 1 296 8 340 14 333 17 328 16 316 15555 14670 2 338 8 335 15 327 18 325 16 318 14670 13856 5 342 8 330 15 324 18 321 17 319 13856 13108 9 339 8 326 16 321 18 318 17 320 13108 12423 13 335 9 323 16 318 18 316 18 320 12423 11795 17 332 9 320 16 316 18 314 18 320 11795 11212 20 331 9 316 16 314 18 312 19 320 11212 10679 21 332 9 315 16 313 17 311 20 319 10679 10221 21 335 9 313 15 311 17 310 19 319 10221 9860 19 336 9 312 15 310 16 309 16 319 9860 9607 16 338 8 309 14 309 15 309 13 319 9607 9452 14*337 8*309 13 308 13*308 10 319 9452 9362 9*337 6*309 10 307 10*307 6*322 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography