DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 71.9 - - 70.8 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 533 - - 534 - - 216 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7768 - - 9305 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14775 - - 16042 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16568 - - 18105 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2261 - - 2173 - - 11257 - - 2922 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 700 - - 744 - - 217 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 304 - - 286 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -22 - - -25 - - -8 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4178 - - -2568 - - -10361 - - -8134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20747 - - 20674 - - 19726 - - 17499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8852 - - -6319 - - -13257 - - -13355 ODpotential blCL - - - 25420 - - 24424 - - 22621 - - 22719 blCL maxRH - - - 22 - - 28 - - 45 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 71.9 - - 70.8 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 13.1 - - 16.5 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 68.1 - - 68.4 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.5 - - 12.1 - - 15.9 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 533 - - 534 - - 216 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7768 - - 9305 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98923 41 130 23 117 20 102 26 088 98923 91347 24 099 25 108 22 096 23 091 91347 85549 17 080 27 108 24 102 24 094 85549 80778 18 120 18 116 19 090 20 096 80778 76675 22 110 15 096 11 095 17 096 76675 73051 18 098 13 093 10 114 15 103 73051 69785 14 088 11 114 14 128 9 118 69785 66795 9 048 11 101 12 105 8 103 66795 64033 10 142 6 325 12 032 9 084 64033 61360 10 157 14 262 14 298 8 340 61360 58595 10 355 9 250 12 258 14 266 58595 55753 20 284 20 275 20 273 19 267 55753 53045 35 275 37 276 33 284 31 287 53045 50611 48 271 49 274 46 282 44 284 50611 48432 60 268 58 274 56 282 55 281 48432 46451 67 269 65 274 65 280 62 282 46451 44635 71 273 68 277 70 279 67 281 44635 42955 74 277 69 279 69 278 69 280 42955 41388 77 281 69 280 65 280 69 280 41388 39919 80 282 71 282 63 283 67 281 39919 38544 80 282 72 283 63 285 64 283 38544 37237 77 282 70 284 64 285 61 285 37237 35938 74 281 68 285 63 285 59 288 35938 34623 71 278 67 283 61 285 58 288 34623 33297 67 277 65 281 59 285 55 286 33297 31947 64 279 63 282 59 285 52 287 31947 30569 60 280 58 284 57 287 50 288 30569 29169 54 282 54 285 52 288 47 289 29169 27751 48 282 50 286 48 288 43 290 27751 26322 44 280 46 284 44 286 42 289 26322 24886 41 274 43 281 42 284 41 286 24886 23443 37 274 39 281 38 282 40 284 23443 21988 31 282 32 281 31 286 33 281 21988 20542 26 290 23 290 14 304 19 279 20542 19172 21 294 14*309 11 329 7 282 19172 17930 15 298 14*313 12 331 5 324 17930 16816 12*302 14 314 12 331 8 338 16816 15807 11*303 14 313 13 328 11 338 15807 14884 11 300 14 311 13 322 12 333 14884 14035 11 298 15 308 13 315 13 325 14035 13256 11 295 15 304 13 309 13 315 13256 12543 12 291 15 301 13 304 14 307 12543 11890 12 288 15 299 13 300 14 300 11890 11284 12 285 16 296 13 297 15 294 11284 10730 12 281 15 294 13 293 15 291 10730 10254 12 279 15 292 13 291 15 289 10254 9880 12 277 15 290 12 290 13 288 9880 9618 12 276 14 289 12 289 11 289 9618 9457 11 274 13 288 11*288 9*290 9457 9364 9 272 10 286 9*286 5*302 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography