DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.6 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 - - 24.2 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -63 - - 11 - - 1 - - -29 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 415 - - 1295 - - 1683 - - 332 - - 107 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 90 - - 68 - - 38 - - 38 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 347 - - 343 - - 343 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -52 - - -25 - - -20 - - -21 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1233 - - -3386 - - -2080 - - -1145 - - -1777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10594 - - 12747 - - 11442 - - 10507 - - 11138 sfcLCL ODpotential -10799 - - -11066 - - -8886 - - -9632 - - -10984 ODpotential blCL 20160 - - 20427 - - 18247 - - 18993 - - 20345 blCL maxRH 43 - - 36 - - 49 - - 58 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.6 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 - - 24.2 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.8 - - 7.6 - - 13.5 - - 11.6 - - 7.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.7 - - 29.2 - - 29.8 - - 26.3 - - 25.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.0 - - 6.6 - - 12.4 - - 10.4 - - 6.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -63 - - 11 - - 1 - - -29 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96176 8 302 11 292 17 245 16 309 15 303 96176 89025 7 034 4 256 7 250 17 285 19 352 89025 83471 3 029 5 209 3 271 10 276 20 316 83471 78860 11 309 3 218 9 284 6 301 5 293 78860 74867 8 308 11 265 12 262 12 308 14 338 74867 71336 19 298 9 273 17 297 21 322 26 324 71336 68180 19 277 17 287 16 293 21 298 28 319 68180 65297 13 304 19 246 15 287 17 305 30 325 65297 62629 37 325 37 300 47 298 41 308 42 303 62629 60050 57 299 55 295 54 293 49 296 46 300 60050 57354 55 299 54 299 55 298 50 292 53 298 57354 54546 58 308 59 306 61 297 52 291 61 291 54546 51852 65 308 65 303 60 297 57 292 65 289 51852 49417 71 305 65 301 62 299 65 295 66 289 49417 47226 74 302 68 298 68 298 71 295 66 292 47226 45233 72 300 71 295 73 294 75 293 69 296 45233 43409 70 300 69 295 73 292 76 293 73 297 43409 41728 68 303 65 297 69 293 75 294 74 300 41728 40172 69 310 63 302 69 299 74 300 75 305 40172 38729 72 316 67 309 72 306 76 305 73 308 38729 37392 75 321 72 313 74 310 76 307 70 309 37392 36130 77 324 73 313 74 313 74 309 69 310 36130 34881 79 327 71 313 73 315 72 310 71 312 34881 33617 79 327 67 312 72 315 71 309 73 312 33617 32342 79 326 66 314 71 315 69 308 73 310 32342 31045 78 325 67 317 70 313 66 308 71 308 31045 29721 78 324 69 320 69 313 64 309 68 308 29721 28374 76 323 70 323 67 313 63 310 65 309 28374 27010 76 326 70 325 66 315 62 312 65 312 27010 25634 75 330 70 329 65 316 62 313 66 314 25634 24252 73 332 68 332 64 317 62 316 67 317 24252 22859 67 331 63 332 62 319 62 318 64 320 22859 21451 62 327 57 327 60 320 61 320 59 321 21451 20050 58 324 53 322 55 319 58 321 53 322 20050 18718 55 323 50 319 51 316 53 321 48 322 18718 17513 53 324 49 319 48 314 49 321 45 323 17513 16435 51 326 46 320 45 313 46 321 43 325 16435 15462 49 328 43 323 43 315 43 321 41 327 15462 14576 47 331 40 325 41 317 40 321 38 328 14576 13765 45 334 37 328 38 321 38 322 36 329 13765 13023 44 337 35 332 35 326 35 325 34 330 13023 12347 44 340 33 336 32 331 32 327 33 331 12347 11728 43 343 32 340 30 336 29 330 31 331 11728 11157 42 346 31 343 26 339 27 334 29 331 11157 10637 41 349 28 346 23 341 24 338 27 332 10637 10192 38 353 24 347 19 342 21 342 24 334 10192 9842 34 355 20 348 16 342 17 344 21 337 9842 9597 26 356 16 348 14 343 13 345 17 340 9597 9447 21*356 13*349 11*343 9*345 13*342 9447 9361 11*355 7*347 6*343 5*343 6*344 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography