DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 505 - - 130 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4840 - - 7201 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12370 - - 14291 - - 9346 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13640 - - 16001 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1755 - - 1909 - - 10279 - - 8668 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 584 - - 671 - - 183 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 21 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 231 - - 240 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 37 - - 34 - - 18 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1091 - - -1203 - - -8510 - - -6512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14732 - - 17204 - - 17873 - - 15874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5019 - - -4749 - - -10694 - - -9527 ODpotential blCL - - - 18659 - - 20750 - - 20056 - - 18889 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 80 - - 76 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 50.1 - - 49.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.7 - - 7.1 - - 3.2 - - 5.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 46.5 - - 47.3 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.1 - - 6.4 - - 2.6 - - 5.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 505 - - 130 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4840 - - 7201 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 19 - - 3 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97357 29 292 36 310 28 312 11 290 97357 90083 42 294 38 295 30 316 18 315 90083 84458 43 269 47 285 40 303 33 298 84458 79741 40 249 39 272 40 272 39 283 79741 75638 31 253 37 252 41 252 42 254 75638 72035 28 262 37 243 38 254 36 245 72035 68801 32 252 30 249 38 258 29 256 68801 65814 33 253 30 252 39 251 30 265 65814 63015 34 256 36 245 36 247 39 261 63015 60290 42 250 39 245 37 249 48 254 60290 57458 48 246 37 255 42 248 50 246 57458 54548 48 247 43 257 44 252 44 242 54548 51797 47 253 49 252 48 257 41 250 51797 49328 51 254 51 252 52 254 42 257 49328 47105 55 252 56 253 54 252 45 259 47105 45077 59 250 62 250 57 253 48 257 45077 43218 60 248 65 246 65 249 52 255 43218 41510 61 251 70 246 68 246 60 255 41510 39939 70 257 80 244 71 246 67 253 39939 38491 79 258 84 242 72 240 69 251 38491 37156 79 256 82 243 70 237 69 250 37156 35895 80 254 80 245 69 238 69 249 35895 34644 79 255 77 245 68 238 68 246 34644 33379 70 254 73 245 66 237 65 244 33379 32102 63 256 69 246 64 236 61 242 32102 30807 59 259 64 244 59 239 58 242 30807 29488 57 259 60 242 55 244 54 248 29488 28149 55 258 57 243 50 244 51 253 28149 26797 52 257 52 247 47 240 47 251 26797 25435 49 257 48 252 45 239 44 250 25435 24071 46 256 45 255 44 243 42 249 24071 22701 44 255 44 254 44 249 41 250 22701 21323 40 256 43 251 44 253 41 253 21323 19957 35 256 41 245 43 252 41 252 19957 18663 29 255 38 241 37 247 38 249 18663 17493 27 252 32 236 30 242 37 247 17493 16445 26 247 26*233 28 243 36 246 16445 15493 25 243 23*231 27 243 34 245 15493 14621 22 238 22 231 27 243 33 245 14621 13819 19*233 21 231 27 243 32 245 13819 13079 18*231 21 232 26 243 31 245 13079 12402 16 227 21 231 26 244 30 246 12402 11779 15 222 21 232 25 244 29 246 11779 11200 15 219 20 232 25 244 27 246 11200 10671 15 217 20 231 24 244 25 246 10671 10216 14 215 20 231 23 243 22 244 10216 9857 14 213 19 231 23 243 19 242 9857 9606 13 212 18 230 21 243 15 239 9606 9451 12 211 16 230 19*242 11*238 9451 9362 10 209 12 228 12*240 5*241 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography