DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.8 - - 35.7 - - 29.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - 25 - - 6 - - -40 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 203 - - 1907 - - 2212 - - 249 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 112 - - 84 - - 35 - - 36 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 309 - - 332 - - 348 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - -9 - - -17 - - -29 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -421 - - -439 - - -319 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9783 - - 9801 - - 9681 - - 9362 - - 9361 sfcLCL ODpotential -6903 - - -4496 - - -4086 - - -4782 - - -6207 ODpotential blCL 16264 - - 13858 - - 13448 - - 14144 - - 15568 blCL maxRH 50 - - 62 - - 59 - - 59 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.2 - - 34.8 - - 35.7 - - 29.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.5 - - 24.7 - - 26.0 - - 23.2 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.8 - - 33.7 - - 35.1 - - 31.2 - - 28.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 23.6 - - 24.8 - - 22.3 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - 25 - - 6 - - -40 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96359 9 267 13 283 18 294 10 281 19 270 96359 89288 5 012 2 261 4 328 3 246 5 269 89288 83811 4 057 3 125 1 245 3 281 9 010 83811 79231 5 069 2 125 2 197 4 238 5 343 79231 75265 3 020 8 243 8 273 7 301 1 266 75265 71751 4 275 13 236 13 251 15 287 8 279 71751 68555 10 268 17 251 20 250 23 264 15 275 68555 65609 18 266 16 235 22 237 24 249 22 265 65609 62868 26 259 16 246 23 245 29 253 26 254 62868 60205 31 252 23 252 24 244 29 252 32 260 60205 57429 31 250 25 257 27 260 32 258 39 262 57429 54559 29 264 32 270 35 265 38 259 42 260 54559 51825 41 280 38 276 42 266 43 262 44 263 51825 49361 44 275 44 279 44 267 47 265 49 265 49361 47140 40 281 46 277 47 269 55 268 54 266 47140 45116 39 282 43 274 49 267 59 267 58 266 45116 43264 37 281 40 273 49 270 60 268 58 267 43264 41562 34 291 39 276 49 275 59 270 54 271 41562 39989 35 303 42 285 50 280 57 272 58 273 39989 38530 37 311 44 290 48 283 51 273 59 271 38530 37178 40 317 43 292 44 284 45 274 57 272 37178 35907 42 320 40 292 44 285 45 282 58 274 35907 34654 40 323 39 296 44 287 48 286 61 274 34654 33389 38 324 37 300 43 289 47 286 58 274 33389 32115 35 323 34 302 39 289 43 287 48 280 32115 30824 34 323 30 304 34 287 40 288 42 288 30824 29511 32 326 29 306 32 287 38 288 40 293 29511 28179 30 332 29 308 32 287 36 287 40 297 28179 26831 29 337 28 308 32 286 35 289 39 300 26831 25475 28 340 27 309 33 284 32 293 36 303 25475 24112 24 340 26 311 32 284 31 298 32 307 24112 22741 21 336 24 311 29 286 29 302 30 311 22741 21355 22 339 21 308 27 289 28 302 29 314 21355 19974 19 342 20 308 26 294 25 304 27 315 19974 18663 16 344 19 312 24 299 23 308 25 316 18663 17476 13 343 18 316 22 305 21 312 25 319 17476 16413 13 341 17 319 21 311 20 317 24 322 16413 15452 13 337 17 321 20 317 19 324 24 327 15452 14575 14 335 17 322 19 322 18 331 25 332 14575 13770 16 334 18 324 18 328 18 338 25 336 13770 13031 18 334 18 325 17 335 18 344 25 340 13031 12357 19 334 18 329 16 340 18 350 25 344 12357 11739 20 334 18 331 16 342 18 355 25 347 11739 11167 21 335 17 332 15 343 17 359 25 350 11167 10645 22 336 14 330 14 341 17 001 24 352 10645 10197 21 338 12 327 13 340 16 358 22 354 10197 9845 20 341 10 321 12 337 15 355 19 355 9845 9599 17 342 8 317 11 336 13 352 16 354 9599 9448 13*342 7*315 9*335 11*350 13*354 9448 9361 7*339 4*309 5*332 6*348 7*352 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography