DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 42.2 - - 39.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 431 - - 44 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 6576 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9009 - - 13721 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 15376 - - 9362 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5093 - - 2427 - - 8636 - - 1718 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 618 - - 128 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 21 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 226 - - 240 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 39 - - 14 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4350 - - 877 - - -4527 - - -1651 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13713 - - 14500 - - 13890 - - 11013 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7322 - - -796 - - -6368 - - -5073 ODpotential blCL - - - 16684 - - 16172 - - 15730 - - 14434 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 63 - - 99 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.3 - - 42.2 - - 39.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.9 - - 11.2 - - 11.3 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 39.0 - - 38.1 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.5 - - 10.8 - - 11.1 - - 16.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 431 - - 44 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 6576 - - 562 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 95 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96273 32 272 27 260 33 253 42 278 96273 89091 25 295 19 265 23 274 25 280 89091 83594 18 282 23 288 13 293 14 284 83594 79077 11 269 19 282 12 300 11 294 79077 75210 5 269 8 245 13 299 9 308 75210 71803 4 252 10 267 6 312 9 333 71803 68694 9 238 11 249 10 240 7 290 68694 65805 15 185 15 214 10 206 11 222 65805 63114 7 244 6 215 11 200 17 233 63114 60487 12 291 11 253 14 228 31 233 60487 57720 39 252 27 238 30 239 34 236 57720 54813 51 241 44 247 48 245 38 243 54813 52011 53 238 54 243 54 244 45 246 52011 49475 54 243 56 241 53 240 49 242 49475 47190 54 249 57 242 51 239 51 238 47190 45098 54 253 58 244 51 239 54 235 45098 43164 56 252 59 246 51 240 57 235 43164 41372 60 247 61 247 51 243 57 238 41372 39712 64 240 64 246 54 248 54 244 39712 38184 65 236 65 239 62 250 55 249 38184 36781 63 237 63 232 72 247 64 247 36781 35470 61 241 60 230 77 241 70 238 35470 34188 64 242 62 235 76 238 68 232 34188 32908 67 240 68 239 72 238 62 230 32908 31633 68 239 74 239 73 238 60 232 31633 30349 68 239 75 237 80 237 65 234 30349 29045 66 238 74 235 85 234 70 232 29045 27729 64 236 73 233 83 232 73 228 27729 26401 63 235 73 232 81 231 72 226 26401 25067 61 234 74 233 80 229 71 225 25067 23731 61 234 73 234 74 226 68 224 23731 22393 60 234 69 234 61 222 62 221 22393 21050 57 235 64 232 49 218 56 218 21050 19719 53 236 57 230 43 216 49 215 19719 18456 49 237 51 230 38 214 45 212 18456 17312 45 236 39 229 34 214 43 210 17312 16286 40 234 32*228 32 214 41 210 16286 15354 35 231 27*227 30 216 40 210 15354 14500 30 228 24 226 26 219 37 211 14500 13715 24 224 23 226 24 223 34 214 13715 12992 20 220 22 226 22 228 31 220 12992 12329 17 215 21 226 20 232 25 224 12329 11721 15 210 21 226 20 235 19 233 11721 11156 14 205 21 226 19 238 14 249 11156 10639 13 203 20 226 19 239 12 272 10639 10195 13 201 20 225 18 240 12 293 10195 9845 13 199 19 225 17 241 12 314 9845 9600 12 197 18 224 16 241 11 323 9600 9449 11*196 16 224 14*241 9*326 9449 9361 9*195 12 222 10*240 6*327 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography