DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.5 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 169 - - -22 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2047 - - 2460 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9898 - - 10175 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10847 - - 11260 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1259 - - 1493 - - 2269 - - 261 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 327 - - 23 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 19 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 309 - - 313 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -56 - - -62 - - -16 - - -33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2494 - - -3094 - - -3661 - - -2238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13342 - - 14354 - - 13024 - - 11601 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9216 - - -8964 - - -10172 - - -9671 ODpotential blCL - - - 20063 - - 20224 - - 19534 - - 19033 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 89 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.9 - - 47.8 - - 41.5 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 17.8 - - 17.5 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 45.8 - - 42.3 - - 37.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 17.1 - - 17.1 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 169 - - -22 - - -46 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2047 - - 2460 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96587 2 278 10 243 10 316 11 291 96587 89418 5 320 4 243 12 297 10 336 89418 83890 8 326 7 309 9 302 13 337 83890 79294 8 309 11 345 4 312 8 316 79294 75330 7 314 12 329 6 353 14 286 75330 71837 8 303 11 312 11 328 2 275 71837 68663 9 331 7 274 12 315 13 332 68663 65742 16 317 7 320 22 289 20 295 65742 63045 12 311 14 316 13 294 25 305 63045 60438 11 345 14 005 18 321 34 316 60438 57736 45 302 44 305 45 303 40 296 57736 54949 47 284 43 289 45 290 40 289 54949 52283 38 283 41 297 44 295 47 290 52283 49865 45 299 51 295 51 294 54 289 49865 47678 56 295 56 286 59 291 58 285 47678 45669 61 295 59 289 63 292 60 288 45669 43810 69 297 67 294 69 293 69 297 43810 42095 80 295 77 291 77 292 86 297 42095 40524 84 292 82 286 81 287 88 290 40524 39073 83 290 80 283 80 282 80 290 39073 37724 82 289 77 281 76 281 85 303 37724 36452 83 286 74 279 76 285 87 307 36452 35192 83 282 74 275 78 287 84 308 35192 33917 82 280 75 272 79 286 82 308 33917 32627 80 281 74 272 78 283 80 306 32627 31315 78 282 72 274 77 283 78 302 31315 29975 77 284 70 275 76 284 75 298 29975 28613 75 285 69 277 74 286 72 293 28613 27232 73 285 68 278 71 288 71 289 27232 25839 71 284 67 279 69 288 71 287 25839 24437 68 283 65 279 67 287 69 288 24437 23026 66 281 64 280 65 285 66 289 23026 21601 64 280 62 281 62 285 62 291 21601 20184 61 279 60 282 59 285 56 293 20184 18841 58 277 58 283 56 286 52 295 18841 17624 53 276 56 283 53 289 48 298 17624 16537 49 274 53 284 49 292 45 300 16537 15554 45 273 50 285 45 295 43 302 15554 14658 40 274 45 287 41 300 40 304 14658 13838 36 277 40 291 36 306 37 307 13838 13087 32 282 35 296 32 312 35 312 13087 12402 29 288 29 302 28 319 32 316 12402 11775 27 294 24*307 26 323 30 320 11775 11195 25*299 22*310 25 324 28 325 11195 10665 23*302 21 310 24 323 26 330 10665 10211 22 302 20 309 22 322 25 334 10211 9854 20 302 18 308 19 320 22 337 9854 9604 18 301 17 307 16 318 18 339 9604 9451 16 300 15 306 12*316 13*339 9451 9362 11 297 10 303 6*313 7*340 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography