DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 37.6 - - 39.1 - - 37.3 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 102 - - 84 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9344 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 913 - - 2788 - - 3539 - - 3105 - - 2184 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 173 - - 163 - - 20 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 129 - - 118 - - 125 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -8 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9361 - - 9362 - - 9370 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -3327 - - -2286 - - -2184 - - -1617 - - -3412 ODpotential blCL 12688 - - 11648 - - 11546 - - 10979 - - 12774 blCL maxRH 90 - - 85 - - 90 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 70 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 37.6 - - 39.1 - - 37.3 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.2 - - 29.5 - - 30.6 - - 34.0 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.7 - - 35.9 - - 37.5 - - 37.5 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 28.3 - - 29.4 - - 33.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 102 - - 84 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 40 - - 59 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96242 55 273 64 273 53 271 65 269 72 274 96242 89185 30 273 37 288 36 281 38 288 34 285 89185 83757 17 281 26 273 25 287 30 299 18 304 83757 79251 18 298 21 258 24 277 26 302 17 315 79251 75355 23 308 13 273 24 266 23 293 22 311 75355 71893 23 305 10 308 20 261 18 290 22 306 71893 68746 20 302 12 314 11 275 14 308 16 303 68746 65835 16 297 12 291 10 296 18 312 15 318 65835 63129 13 288 10 290 10 283 20 297 21 320 63129 60508 16 295 13 304 11 291 17 287 20 314 60508 57765 22 296 18 293 17 295 16 290 19 307 57765 54904 27 287 21 283 18 284 16 295 19 300 54904 52165 24 274 21 284 16 281 17 303 16 303 52165 49700 23 272 24 283 19 298 19 298 14 314 49700 47487 23 268 24 270 27 305 16 304 15 329 47487 45472 20 260 20 252 28 291 17 318 18 332 45472 43624 20 270 13 272 23 273 20 311 18 329 43624 41920 24 270 17 299 14 268 15 291 16 337 41920 40339 25 248 21 288 11 291 9 311 16 360 40339 38865 23 247 17 265 13 308 9 355 17 006 38865 37495 25 257 14 279 10 306 12 019 17 017 37495 36199 30 249 17 273 9 332 18 029 20 028 36199 34920 36 237 20 250 10 311 18 031 24 046 34920 33636 34 227 30 233 19 235 12 011 32 048 33636 32351 27 223 37 226 24 193 12 252 19 030 32351 31054 27 225 34 217 26 182 23 224 8 321 31054 29734 27 225 30 210 28 191 26 216 16 235 29734 28398 27 223 25 216 31 205 23 213 20 223 28398 27043 26 219 21 219 31 221 20 211 16 217 27043 25675 26 216 20 225 27 236 18 233 9 241 25675 24298 27 214 19 233 21 247 16 260 8 302 24298 22910 27 213 19 242 13 242 15 273 10 311 22910 21506 26 210 14 254 9 239 14 284 8 321 21506 20107 21 205 11 242 9 238 12 297 5 346 20107 18778 14 205 10 219 8 241 8 302 3 018 18778 17572 11 222 9 214 6 248 5 298 3 025 17572 16493 15 233 9 223 5 264 1 337 3 043 16493 15517 18 229 10 224 5 273 2 093 4 070 15517 14629 17 220 11 219 4 270 4 085 6 087 14629 13816 15 205 11 213 3 253 6 086 8 092 13816 13071 14 189 10 203 3 219 6 069 8 090 13071 12390 13 174 10 190 3 185 6 062 6 087 12390 11766 13 163 9 174 3 156 6 065 5 090 11766 11189 13 152 8 158 4 124 6 067 3 091 11189 10661 13 135 8 142 5 116 5 071 1 056 10661 10208 13 118 8 133 5 115 4 086 1 002 10208 9853 12 107 7 130 5 115 4 101 2 344 9853 9603 11 096 7 129 5 118 3 113 3 342 9603 9450 9*084 6*129 5*117 3*121 3*338 9450 9362 4*062 5*129 4*118 2*125 3*339 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography