DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0700z - - 1003z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.3 - - 68.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 430 - - 432 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 7514 - - 8538 - - 516 - - 515 BL Depth Hcrit 9298 - - 14476 - - 15312 - - 9299 - - 9299 Hcrit BL Top 9315 - - 16314 - - 17338 - - 9316 - - 9315 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4395 - - 2005 - - 1317 - - 8404 - - 6005 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 643 - - 672 - - 158 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 266 - - 261 - - 273 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 13 - - -10 - - -4 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5350 - - 1584 - - 936 - - -6761 - - -4237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14666 - - 14731 - - 16402 - - 16077 - - 13552 sfcLCL ODpotential -9974 - - -16 - - -2526 - - -9766 - - -10036 ODpotential blCL 19289 - - 16330 - - 19864 - - 19082 - - 19351 blCL maxRH 52 - - 73 - - 66 - - 51 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.3 - - 68.4 - - 71.0 - - 68.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 35.9 - - 31.2 - - 30.1 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.9 - - 64.9 - - 67.5 - - 66.5 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 35.6 - - 30.8 - - 29.9 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 430 - - 432 - - 92 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 515 - - 7514 - - 8538 - - 516 - - 515 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 6 030 6 079 8 138 4 192 7 032 98246 90876 7 074 11 100 7 114 5 110 10 064 90876 85207 10 082 12 098 9 116 6 080 8 067 85207 80509 14 089 13 097 11 111 9 080 10 080 80509 76483 11 092 10 093 10 115 7 074 13 079 76483 72935 11 103 7 096 10 115 6 113 12 070 72935 69721 11 111 8 112 9 100 7 128 9 069 69721 66781 3 116 9 165 2 170 2 148 3 007 66781 64069 7 165 11 145 10 199 10 213 3 292 64069 61451 7 241 7 174 14 203 14 217 12 269 61451 58731 12 230 10 223 15 207 21 218 20 248 58731 55926 23 246 21 246 24 246 23 228 30 239 55926 53280 34 239 32 242 32 246 31 249 32 236 53280 50911 33 236 37 241 38 242 39 252 31 246 50911 48779 37 249 42 242 42 247 43 254 40 256 48779 46830 46 252 46 245 47 254 48 255 49 255 46830 45027 51 251 49 246 51 256 51 254 52 253 45027 43343 51 250 51 248 53 255 52 255 53 253 43343 41759 51 254 52 254 55 256 53 256 53 257 41759 40268 51 256 53 258 55 257 53 258 52 258 40268 38872 49 256 51 257 54 259 51 258 51 256 38872 37545 46 256 47 256 51 263 49 258 50 253 37545 36226 45 258 46 258 52 271 47 264 48 254 36226 34888 45 260 44 261 53 274 47 270 48 262 34888 33537 43 261 42 262 49 271 47 272 50 272 33537 32165 39 260 39 261 43 268 44 270 48 275 32165 30768 37 253 37 256 38 261 40 265 43 268 30768 29350 36 248 38 251 37 252 36 259 38 259 29350 27914 36 251 37 252 37 250 35 254 35 253 27914 26467 33 260 36 257 36 254 34 252 33 250 26467 25013 30 268 32 261 29 255 29 250 29 250 25013 23550 24 265 25 260 21 247 22 244 25 251 23550 22071 17 253 19 247 19 232 17 239 20 258 22071 20600 12 251 14 241 15 234 14 246 17 268 20600 19205 13 264 13 256 13 249 12 253 15 261 19205 17944 19 264 16 265 13*257 12 252 14 249 17944 16816 23 261 16*267 13*258 12 252 15 248 16816 15797 23 259 16*267 13 260 11 253 15 252 15797 14866 19 258 13 271 13 260 10 258 15 256 14866 14011 15 259 11 273 13 261 10 264 13 256 14011 13226 11 262 10 271 13 262 9 269 11 256 13226 12509 8 268 10 268 14 262 10 272 9 254 12509 11852 6 275 10 265 14 262 10 273 8 251 11852 11242 5 286 10 262 14 262 10 274 6 248 11242 10686 5 298 10 259 14 261 10 275 5 246 10686 10209 5 319 9 256 14 261 10 276 4 247 10209 9833 5 330 9 254 13 261 9 275 3 251 9833 9570 5 337 9 253 13 260 9 275 2 272 9570 9409 4*338 8 252 12 260 8*275 2*314 9409 9315 3*338 8 249 10 258 7*273 2*325 9315 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography