DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 67.3 - - 66.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 408 - - 120 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4876 - - 4265 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12343 - - 11847 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13676 - - 13065 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3027 - - 4330 - - 8557 - - 2484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 553 - - 523 - - 178 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 289 - - 277 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -44 - - -48 - - -7 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1105 - - 510 - - -4104 - - -2202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12572 - - 12555 - - 13469 - - 11567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1221 - - -1625 - - -6142 - - -6683 ODpotential blCL - - - 14897 - - 14690 - - 15506 - - 16047 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 81 - - 65 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 660 - - 230 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 67.3 - - 66.4 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 44.3 - - 39.7 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 63.9 - - 64.5 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 44.2 - - 39.6 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 423 - - 408 - - 120 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4876 - - 4265 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98830 10 137 4 211 6 265 6 344 98830 91395 9 134 10 163 6 151 3 177 91395 85651 9 129 14 135 6 169 8 125 85651 80880 5 134 10 156 4 159 5 118 80880 76754 7 251 5 191 6 129 3 005 76754 73116 10 254 7 265 3 346 6 342 73116 69841 5 298 5 276 4 341 3 023 69841 66830 3 332 3 284 9 316 7 011 66830 64052 4 003 5 150 10 252 8 320 64052 61399 16 339 10 021 6 327 1 329 61399 58661 25 275 16 304 20 311 19 310 58661 55851 24 265 28 278 28 288 32 287 55851 53213 39 291 39 294 32 293 34 295 53213 50858 45 298 46 300 40 302 36 302 50858 48748 47 300 44 301 42 303 33 304 48748 46818 44 301 44 301 43 301 33 303 46818 45029 42 307 45 300 44 296 35 297 45029 43355 41 312 43 298 44 294 38 293 43355 41781 39 313 40 295 42 289 40 288 41781 40299 38 312 36 292 39 282 43 284 40299 38908 37 309 33 289 38 277 42 277 38908 37581 36 306 31 288 40 277 42 272 37581 36259 33 302 30 286 40 278 42 273 36259 34915 30 298 30 282 37 280 35 281 34915 33561 30 296 29 279 33 282 27 290 33561 32190 31 296 29 284 30 287 23 303 32190 30793 29 290 28 291 27 292 21 315 30793 29377 26 281 29 291 24 298 18 318 29377 27944 24 274 28 279 21 305 15 320 27944 26500 23 271 27 277 18 308 13 320 26500 25049 22 270 26 278 15 306 10 316 25049 23587 23 273 24 277 15 300 7 315 23587 22112 23 278 23 276 19 285 7 286 22112 20645 24 283 22 277 20 278 10 265 20645 19254 25 286 20 280 18 279 11 257 19254 17992 23 290 19 284 15 283 12 255 17992 16863 22 293 18 287 15 285 13 255 16863 15843 20 293 16 290 15 284 15 258 15843 14910 19 293 16 290 15 282 16 262 14910 14055 17*295 15 291 16 281 17 265 14055 13271 15*299 15*291 16 281 16 269 13271 12554 14 304 15*290 16 281 16 273 12554 11897 13 306 15 290 16 280 15 278 11897 11289 13 307 15 290 16 280 14 283 11289 10733 13 307 15 289 16 279 12 289 10733 10256 12 305 14 289 15 279 11 296 10256 9881 12 304 14 288 15 279 10 302 9881 9618 11 302 13 287 14 278 8 310 9618 9457 10 301 12 286 13*278 7*315 9457 9364 8 299 9 285 9*277 4*330 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography