DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.7 - - 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 33.5 - - 33.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 13 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 983 - - 1609 - - 2439 - - 2170 - - 788 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 99 - - 91 - - 0 - - 26 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 115 - - 140 - - 069 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - 0 - - 5 - - -12 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -781 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10143 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 sfcLCL ODpotential -9137 - - -3077 - - -1522 - - -2217 - - -1463 ODpotential blCL 18499 - - 12439 - - 10884 - - 11579 - - 10825 blCL maxRH 85 - - 80 - - 82 - - 89 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.7 - - 34.8 - - 35.5 - - 33.5 - - 33.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.4 - - 28.0 - - 31.3 - - 30.0 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.4 - - 34.0 - - 35.1 - - 36.3 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.3 - - 27.1 - - 30.7 - - 30.8 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 16 - - 13 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 20 - - 27 - - 58 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96209 36 278 37 274 43 285 38 274 44 286 96209 89067 23 303 21 303 33 281 20 289 31 290 89067 83556 18 300 26 318 20 303 20 306 17 316 83556 79007 13 331 24 301 17 330 18 309 15 338 79007 75098 14 343 19 296 13 307 20 306 19 309 75098 71621 17 324 15 299 16 303 18 298 21 303 71621 68451 26 306 16 306 26 295 21 296 19 298 68451 65530 27 287 20 291 31 277 26 281 20 309 65530 62827 23 279 18 306 27 285 26 272 21 297 62827 60215 23 266 27 280 28 276 23 286 22 288 60215 57478 31 252 28 260 25 263 27 268 27 275 57478 54612 42 240 36 247 27 258 24 261 35 258 54612 51858 45 234 41 224 36 247 29 260 36 252 51858 49381 41 233 43 220 40 233 35 251 36 258 49381 47174 61 238 47 223 41 228 31 248 38 270 47174 45179 77 230 51 220 51 224 30 252 38 284 45179 43346 70 221 57 209 54 205 35 239 42 287 43346 41642 57 217 63 200 58 195 39 218 43 280 41642 40050 56 215 66 198 61 193 44 198 36 261 40050 38573 54 216 59 197 62 192 42 191 33 218 38573 37218 47 212 53 194 62 191 41 197 38 196 37218 35948 39 206 51 191 59 186 42 202 41 186 35948 34695 35 200 49 191 53 181 39 203 42 180 34695 33428 34 202 49 194 47 184 38 200 43 182 33428 32147 34 201 47 197 41 192 40 195 43 188 32147 30846 34 197 43 196 39 199 41 194 42 192 30846 29520 32 195 39 197 36 202 38 196 39 197 29520 28176 30 196 33 201 32 202 36 198 37 202 28176 26818 26 201 26 206 27 200 35 199 38 201 26818 25453 23 207 19 202 26 195 33 198 37 195 25453 24086 22 207 17 196 27 190 30 197 37 197 24086 22715 20 202 19 193 29 185 28 195 36 201 22715 21332 20 199 23 191 30 181 24 193 32 208 21332 19957 20 197 25 189 30 183 21 201 25 219 19957 18651 22 195 27 190 29 191 25 212 21 222 18651 17468 23 192 29 193 28 201 29 218 18 215 17468 16409 23 190 30 197 27 209 30 221 17 202 16409 15452 23 189 29 198 25 215 29 223 17 189 15452 14578 23 190 28 198 23 217 26 223 16 174 14578 13776 22 191 25 195 21 216 23 220 16 161 13776 13039 21 189 23 190 18 211 20 213 16 152 13039 12365 20 185 20 183 16 201 16 203 17 148 12365 11748 18 177 18 174 14 187 13 191 17 146 11748 11176 16 164 15 160 12 172 11 174 16 142 11176 10653 15 151 13 147 11 161 10 156 14 135 10653 10203 14 136 12 135 10 154 10 140 11 126 10203 9849 12 124 10 126 9 150 9 127 7 112 9849 9602 10 118 9 119 8 147 7 118 4 081 9602 9450 7*114 7*115 6*143 5*106 3*027 9450 9362 3*058 5*115 4*140 3*069 3*353 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography