DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 70.0 - - 68.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 355 - - 58 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8978 - - 9019 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6469 - - 9033 - - 9043 - - 8427 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 255 - - 144 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 305 - - 011 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - -5 - - -16 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2157 - - -5258 - - -3876 - - -2697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11521 - - 14623 - - 13240 - - 12061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3951 - - -6644 - - -6100 - - -6387 ODpotential blCL - - - 13315 - - 16008 - - 15464 - - 15751 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 97 - - 84 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 790 - - 200 - - 610 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 70.0 - - 68.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 38.3 - - 42.2 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 66.7 - - 66.6 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 37.9 - - 41.4 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 355 - - 58 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 89 - - 36 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99092 30 115 23 122 15 097 29 097 99092 91693 24 113 24 118 13 101 17 098 91693 85983 24 105 19 109 16 114 16 087 85983 81205 23 094 16 100 21 104 17 088 81205 77079 17 091 17 095 18 088 17 096 77079 73438 10 090 15 096 11 085 15 087 73438 70154 10 083 8 111 9 083 11 065 70154 67152 9 076 5 151 1 058 6 031 67152 64395 5 086 7 102 8 180 5 284 64395 61750 3 079 6 052 9 123 4 205 61750 58998 1 239 4 329 5 054 5 162 58998 56158 3 248 7 278 8 279 6 248 56158 53471 4 265 4 264 7 271 8 236 53471 51060 13 277 15 259 17 281 14 279 51060 48896 14 273 23 251 27 268 27 269 48896 46925 17 275 25 249 33 262 32 262 46925 45100 22 262 26 248 35 253 36 260 45100 43400 27 243 26 234 35 241 37 251 43400 41811 30 229 26 230 33 238 35 249 41811 40325 32 226 26 234 30 231 29 246 40325 38938 33 229 29 234 32 228 24 238 38938 37621 35 230 29 232 34 226 25 245 37621 36312 33 226 27 232 33 228 28 245 36312 34986 28 217 23 232 30 233 23 247 34986 33649 21 208 19 229 25 235 18 256 33649 32290 20 211 14 233 15 236 19 250 32290 30900 19 215 10 242 13 237 18 242 30900 29485 17 210 6 245 13 234 17 238 29485 28048 11 203 8 224 16 240 16 239 28048 26597 8 202 12 215 19 247 15 250 26597 25139 6 236 15 219 16 250 15 261 25139 23673 7 267 16 223 16 248 14 270 23673 22189 12 282 14 230 16 259 14 275 22189 20713 15 284 11 234 17 274 12 283 20713 19317 15 291 10 243 18 283 12 283 19317 18055 13 305 9 255 18 288 12 282 18055 16923 13 320 8 264 18 290 12 282 16923 15896 13 318 8 275 16 291 12 280 15896 14957 13 308 8 283 15 294 12 276 14957 14094 12 298 9 292 14 298 11 274 14094 13303 11 293 9 296 12 305 10 271 13303 12579 9 289 9 299 10 315 8 269 12579 11917 7 280 9 302 8 328 7 265 11917 11303 5 264 9 304 7 344 5 261 11303 10743 5 256 9 306 6 359 4 262 10743 10262 4 242 9 306 6 005 2 260 10262 9885 4 230 8 307 6 008 1 272 9885 9620 4 224 8 306 6 009 1 303 9620 9458 4*219 7*306 5*010 2*321 9458 9364 3*215 6*305 4*011 2*335 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography