DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.4 - - 49.3 - - 40.4 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 107 - - -15 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1676 - - 3444 - - 781 - - 1178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 173 - - 0 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 284 - - 322 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -9 - - -17 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4404 - - -6617 - - -5549 - - -6835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13766 - - 15981 - - 14912 - - 16197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9863 - - -11383 - - -12349 - - -14285 ODpotential blCL - - - 19225 - - 20746 - - 21711 - - 23647 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 61 - - 52 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.4 - - 49.3 - - 40.4 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.3 - - 12.4 - - 8.7 - - 2.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 47.6 - - 43.6 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 11.3 - - 7.8 - - 1.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 107 - - -15 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95937 34 291 31 293 28 305 18 297 95937 88893 27 292 27 298 26 316 15 328 88893 83427 26 278 28 284 25 281 18 312 83427 78890 15 295 20 278 23 275 19 298 78890 74963 16 297 20 290 21 286 16 302 74963 71493 21 263 19 271 16 277 17 278 71493 68380 4 263 6 254 9 294 13 279 68380 65547 28 268 39 265 39 270 40 268 65547 62957 49 268 47 267 43 266 42 256 62957 60448 56 272 51 268 41 270 40 254 60448 57814 60 263 56 264 48 266 46 258 57814 55068 58 254 58 257 55 257 54 254 55068 52432 50 250 54 252 58 251 61 249 52432 50041 49 255 54 253 61 252 66 249 50041 47881 58 263 58 255 69 254 71 251 47881 45905 70 260 66 257 76 255 75 251 45905 44075 75 255 72 254 78 253 75 248 44075 42370 74 255 73 250 77 250 74 246 42370 40779 74 262 75 257 76 255 73 252 40779 39302 82 270 82 265 76 263 73 261 39302 37940 84 274 85 269 77 266 73 266 37940 36658 73 268 71 266 76 267 71 266 36658 35385 66 258 59 258 73 267 70 264 35385 34090 60 256 60 254 64 262 71 264 34090 32782 57 256 60 253 60 253 67 263 32782 31454 55 255 59 254 59 251 60 257 31454 30104 53 254 56 252 57 254 57 254 30104 28735 52 254 53 252 54 256 53 256 28735 27350 49 255 50 255 51 258 48 258 27350 25955 48 256 47 258 45 257 44 258 25955 24551 47 255 47 259 42 253 40 254 24551 23137 47 254 47 255 43 251 38 250 23137 21706 47 255 47 251 43 251 38 251 21706 20281 44 257 44 249 42 252 38 254 20281 18928 40 259 41 248 38 253 35 258 18928 17703 35 261 37 250 35 253 32 259 17703 16606 31 262 33 251 32 253 29 258 16606 15615 28 264 30 252 29 253 26 256 15615 14711 26 266 27 253 27 253 24 255 14711 13883 24 269 25 256 25 254 21 255 13883 13124 23 270 22 261 23 255 18 257 13124 12432 23 272 19 268 20 257 16 258 12432 11798 22 273 17 274 17 261 14 259 11798 11212 20 275 14 281 15 269 13 259 11212 10677 17 278 13 286 13 278 11 260 10677 10219 12 282 12 287 11 288 9 264 10219 9859 9 284 12 288 10 298 6 271 9859 9607 8 284 11 287 8 306 4 289 9607 9452 7*283 9*286 6*313 3*299 9452 9362 5*282 7*284 3*322 2*332 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography