DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 60.2 - - - - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 115 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9347 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9363 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1739 - - 3762 - - - - - 956 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 185 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 267 - - - - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1242 - - -584 - - - - - -266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10605 - - 9948 - - - - - 9630 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5252 - - -3546 - - - - - -5283 ODpotential blCL - - - 14615 - - 12910 - - - - - 14647 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 69 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 1430 - - - - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 60.2 - - - - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 48.5 - - - - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 58.3 - - - - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 47.3 - - - - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 115 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 563 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97782 14 247 11 247 17 282 97782 90496 4 226 8 222 11 294 90496 84889 3 133 3 233 2 302 84889 80233 4 017 4 045 4 012 80233 76234 4 016 8 028 6 023 76234 72726 4 024 7 340 7 024 72726 69562 12 000 6 308 8 017 69562 66658 14 342 11 328 15 346 66658 63975 11 305 15 328 15 345 63975 61376 13 281 18 290 22 331 61376 58677 16 307 18 283 27 290 58677 55898 24 305 18 287 26 278 55898 53250 34 300 30 298 25 287 53250 50856 38 297 42 292 29 294 50856 48692 40 296 43 288 38 295 48692 46710 40 296 41 289 42 297 46710 44876 38 300 42 294 44 298 44876 43164 39 305 45 302 46 299 43164 41557 43 308 50 309 51 302 41557 40048 42 307 53 310 59 310 40048 38637 36 302 47 308 58 315 38637 37302 31 305 37 307 49 313 37302 35989 29 313 35 307 39 311 35989 34671 28 317 31 300 38 309 34671 33348 29 317 29 297 35 305 33348 32001 28 310 27 292 32 297 32001 30622 26 307 25 297 29 301 30622 29218 25 310 22 303 26 307 29218 27797 27 313 21 312 20 309 27797 26369 23 319 21 332 12 318 26369 24935 17 331 19 348 7 333 24935 23494 13 349 15 357 6 341 23494 22038 11 003 12 004 7 351 22038 20588 11 005 10 007 7 358 20588 19207 11 004 8 008 5 020 19207 17955 10 011 8 016 7 080 17955 16833 10 023 9 030 9 101 16833 15817 9 033 9 037 9 110 15817 14887 9 041 9 039 9 116 14887 14035 8 044 8 035 8 116 14035 13251 7 050 7 028 8 111 13251 12536 7 057 6 016 7 104 12536 11881 7 059 5 000 6 093 11881 11275 7 054 4 336 5 083 11275 10722 5 030 5 300 4 077 10722 10249 3 338 5 287 4 069 10249 9876 2 297 5 279 5 060 9876 9616 2 281 5 274 5 051 9616 9456 2 268 4*270 4*041 9456 9364 2*257 4*267 3*034 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography