DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 526 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7702 - - 9263 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14697 - - 15995 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16502 - - 18063 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1867 - - 1983 - - - - - 2085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 684 - - 736 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 18 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 288 - - - - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -5 - - - - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -79 - - -1 - - - - - -6939 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16582 - - 18065 - - - - - 16303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3244 - - -2589 - - - - - -11585 ODpotential blCL - - - 19746 - - 20652 - - - - - 20949 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 80 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 25.1 - - - - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 68.0 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 24.8 - - - - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 507 - - 526 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7702 - - 9263 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99252 39 098 32 112 32 089 99252 91769 33 088 32 095 35 093 91769 85996 26 100 31 094 34 087 85996 81222 30 107 27 108 27 062 81222 77115 24 101 19 101 17 070 77115 73485 13 101 12 105 18 079 73485 70204 12 078 13 111 14 076 70204 67209 13 063 12 112 11 071 67209 64452 10 093 8 065 15 056 64452 61782 7 101 9 096 9 009 61782 59008 4 025 2 020 7 250 59008 56156 8 265 6 222 11 255 56156 53440 19 240 21 235 21 288 53440 50988 28 244 32 247 34 264 50988 48783 35 250 38 245 31 256 48783 46778 39 253 39 241 26 261 46778 44944 43 242 41 232 27 267 44944 43254 45 238 44 230 31 257 43254 41686 44 239 45 231 29 259 41686 40218 42 232 43 236 27 256 40218 38845 28 224 42 241 27 248 38845 37541 29 237 39 241 27 247 37541 36242 31 246 35 241 26 246 36242 34922 33 257 35 245 25 245 34922 33587 35 257 36 248 25 248 33587 32230 36 243 37 248 23 253 32230 30843 37 239 36 250 20 253 30843 29430 35 246 28 255 17 245 29430 27997 32 253 21 253 15 237 27997 26550 27 262 16 253 16 241 26550 25098 20 272 15 253 15 248 25098 23637 13 273 14 257 12 246 23637 22160 9 261 11 258 11 236 22160 20692 8 270 6 262 9 219 20692 19297 10 286 3*332 7 163 19297 18032 9 293 4*342 7 121 18032 16898 7*290 4 333 5 111 16898 15870 7*288 5 318 3 097 15870 14932 7 286 6 304 2 025 14932 14071 7 281 8 293 5 349 14071 13282 8 276 9 286 7 336 13282 12561 8 270 9 282 9 326 12561 11901 9 266 10 278 11 316 11901 11290 9 263 10 275 12 306 11290 10734 10 259 11 273 13 299 10734 10256 10 257 11 271 13 295 10256 9881 10 255 11 269 12 294 9881 9618 9 254 11 268 10 298 9618 9457 9 253 10 267 8*298 9457 9364 7 251 8 264 5*308 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography