DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.4 - - 39.1 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 58 - - 72 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9346 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9363 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 605 - - 1681 - - 2241 - - 1106 - - 695 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 147 - - 157 - - 11 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 32 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 249 - - 200 - - 168 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 4 - - 12 - - 2 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2691 - - -1765 - - -655 - - 0 - - -595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12053 - - 11129 - - 10017 - - 9362 - - 9958 sfcLCL ODpotential -10825 - - -6851 - - -4570 - - -5169 - - -8026 ODpotential blCL 20187 - - 16214 - - 13932 - - 14531 - - 17388 blCL maxRH 33 - - 52 - - 68 - - 66 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.4 - - 39.1 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 27.6 - - 34.0 - - 32.6 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.6 - - 42.1 - - 43.8 - - 41.4 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 26.6 - - 32.8 - - 31.4 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 58 - - 72 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 563 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96198 50 286 46 295 36 285 35 277 45 282 96198 89114 35 294 33 294 34 296 29 306 26 296 89114 83680 20 302 25 291 29 304 25 320 22 315 83680 79161 15 325 18 312 19 309 25 310 22 331 79161 75234 12 336 16 314 17 318 20 309 21 327 75234 71753 12 347 14 295 17 298 22 309 21 319 71753 68606 13 348 10 297 14 276 23 295 21 309 68606 65719 17 321 13 307 13 279 22 290 21 300 65719 63052 23 309 18 299 18 282 20 285 20 290 63052 60484 29 299 27 299 24 286 28 282 32 280 60484 57827 33 292 31 288 29 278 30 271 31 269 57827 55080 30 296 29 290 28 288 29 276 32 267 55080 52455 43 310 41 308 35 294 33 295 35 286 52455 50077 63 300 57 299 51 295 53 294 47 286 50077 47926 63 296 62 291 63 286 60 283 57 280 47926 45964 53 297 55 296 61 282 56 278 62 273 45964 44156 50 304 52 307 56 294 56 287 62 275 44156 42485 48 310 50 315 58 304 58 295 60 284 42485 40926 45 317 45 314 54 311 55 297 56 286 40926 39463 40 325 39 306 48 313 45 304 44 288 39463 38091 41 337 34 313 42 307 35 305 34 282 38091 36789 40 346 32 333 32 307 33 295 32 279 36789 35492 35 338 29 335 28 313 32 296 31 286 35492 34176 27 321 28 327 25 322 28 301 27 292 34176 32847 16 334 23 317 24 325 24 308 22 293 32847 31500 11 016 12 327 18 320 17 324 14 288 31500 30127 11 039 5 006 8 309 12 316 6 286 30127 28735 10 045 5 034 2 326 8 269 7 247 28735 27330 11 029 7 040 3 057 5 151 11 178 27330 25919 14 019 12 048 9 080 10 118 13 154 25919 24508 16 039 15 055 12 085 12 127 14 157 24508 23093 19 064 14 078 11 108 12 173 15 180 23093 21664 19 069 12 103 9 154 11 205 12 198 21664 20243 16 061 9 108 8 179 8 225 7 219 20243 18895 12 046 6 095 5 183 5 221 4 225 18895 17675 10 035 5 075 2 145 3 174 4 188 17675 16582 10 034 5 067 3 094 5 130 6 159 16582 15594 9 038 6 066 5 084 7 122 9 154 15594 14692 8 042 5 066 7 082 8 121 11 155 14692 13867 7 042 4 064 8 082 10 122 12 154 13867 13110 5 037 3 058 9 081 10 123 12 150 13110 12420 4 025 2 035 8 075 11 122 12 147 12420 11789 3 001 2 007 6 056 10 122 12 143 11789 11205 3 337 3 347 4 028 7 124 11 136 11205 10672 3 320 4 341 1 303 3 149 9 132 10672 10215 4 312 3 335 2 220 2 185 7 130 10215 9857 4 307 1 306 3 207 2 192 5 123 9857 9605 4 313 1 283 3 204 2 183 4 115 9605 9451 3*306 1*262 3*202 2*173 3*106 9451 9362 3*335 1*249 3*200 2*168 3*052 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography