DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1608z - - 1904z - - 2205z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.9 - - 51.3 - - 55.8 - - 52.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 314 - - 381 - - 81 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 514 - - 6061 - - 514 - - 514 BL Depth Hcrit 9297 - - 8962 - - 13259 - - 9297 - - 9297 Hcrit BL Top 9314 - - 9314 - - 14861 - - 9314 - - 9314 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2772 - - 5275 - - 2059 - - 7019 - - 533 Hgt.Variab. W* 111 - - 240 - - 578 - - 152 - - 42 W* B/S 17 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 14 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 207 - - 240 - - 283 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 21 - - 21 - - -13 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3597 - - -4977 - - -1542 - - -7466 - - -6310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12912 - - 14292 - - 16403 - - 16781 - - 15625 sfcLCL ODpotential -9161 - - -8996 - - -5416 - - -10643 - - -10618 ODpotential blCL 18475 - - 18310 - - 20277 - - 19957 - - 19932 blCL maxRH 39 - - 44 - - 40 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.9 - - 51.3 - - 55.8 - - 52.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 21.2 - - 16.2 - - 11.7 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 48.6 - - 52.6 - - 51.2 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 19.4 - - 15.1 - - 11.0 - - 10.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 314 - - 381 - - 81 - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 514 - - 514 - - 6061 - - 514 - - 514 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98083 14 062 13 088 4 127 11 047 9 049 98083 90819 10 079 11 065 12 097 3 112 3 042 90819 85169 14 107 6 068 11 118 6 088 5 082 85169 80452 14 109 4 089 7 118 6 089 8 081 80452 76392 10 104 10 128 9 142 8 132 7 091 76392 72813 6 092 9 121 4 127 7 136 7 114 72813 69576 3 164 6 152 4 175 7 168 7 129 69576 66599 2 211 3 176 8 223 5 245 2 212 66599 63840 3 057 9 176 15 191 7 217 14 188 63840 61173 18 275 7 336 3 147 9 141 6 259 61173 58398 26 238 24 252 24 265 22 262 24 260 58398 55527 28 221 35 228 37 241 34 245 31 248 55527 52780 30 251 37 239 41 242 37 250 35 253 52780 50295 47 256 49 254 50 250 48 253 48 258 50295 48069 61 249 63 252 64 250 62 255 63 258 48069 46054 68 245 73 246 78 248 77 255 74 255 46054 44204 71 245 79 242 88 245 86 251 81 251 44204 42486 75 246 82 241 91 243 92 247 86 248 42486 40876 79 246 84 241 92 241 94 245 86 247 40876 39363 82 244 86 241 92 241 93 244 85 250 39363 37952 82 243 86 239 91 240 93 245 89 251 37952 36617 80 242 82 237 89 239 96 243 91 248 36617 35298 76 242 76 238 86 236 92 237 86 243 35298 33966 72 241 73 239 82 235 84 237 80 240 33966 32631 69 240 74 238 81 237 86 240 76 242 32631 31289 67 239 73 237 82 237 86 237 73 241 31289 29935 65 239 70 235 79 235 83 233 64 241 29935 28571 64 239 67 235 75 233 77 233 55 244 28571 27197 61 238 65 234 71 233 71 236 47 243 27197 25814 56 238 62 233 68 233 64 241 42 242 25814 24426 53 239 59 234 63 235 58 245 42 242 24426 23026 51 240 55 236 58 238 50 247 41 243 23026 21611 48 241 52 239 51 240 43 248 38 244 21611 20203 45 241 47 241 43 242 37 246 34 243 20203 18864 41 242 42 244 36 246 31 241 31 241 18864 17651 38 244 36 246 30 249 28 239 29 240 17651 16563 35 248 31 249 25 250 25 241 27 241 16563 15578 30 252 25 254 20*249 24 242 26 244 15578 14678 24 255 19 260 16*246 22 246 24 249 14678 13852 18 256 14 263 14 244 20 252 23 256 13852 13093 14 253 10 260 14 242 17 260 22 264 13093 12399 11 244 8 240 14 241 15 271 22 273 12399 11764 11 234 8 228 14 239 15 277 22 282 11764 11175 10 226 8 221 14 239 14 281 22 292 11175 10637 9 219 8 218 14 237 14 282 21 301 10637 10176 6 207 8 215 14 236 14 283 20 310 10176 9814 4 180 8 211 14 235 14 284 18 318 9814 9560 2 140 8 209 13 234 13 284 17 322 9560 9404 1*120 8 209 12 234 12*283 14*325 9404 9314 1*118 7*207 10 232 10*283 9*326 9314 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography