DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.7 - - 69.7 - - 69.2 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 285 - - 120 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit 9347 - - 8981 - - 9347 - - - - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9364 - - 9364 - - 9364 - - - - - 9364 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3410 - - 7991 - - 8465 - - - - - 659 Hgt.Variab. W* 140 - - 241 - - 182 - - - - - 37 W* B/S 17 - - 12 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 231 - - 289 - - - - - 346 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 16 - - -10 - - - - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3321 - - -2975 - - -2542 - - - - - -1727 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12685 - - 12340 - - 11906 - - - - - 11091 sfcLCL ODpotential -6897 - - -4838 - - -4828 - - - - - -5858 ODpotential blCL 16261 - - 14202 - - 14192 - - - - - 15222 blCL maxRH 87 - - 86 - - 100 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 640 - - 990 - - - - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m 64.7 - - 69.7 - - 69.2 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 47.5 - - 48.8 - - - - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 66.7 - - 67.2 - - - - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.3 - - 46.3 - - 48.1 - - - - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 285 - - 120 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 564 - - 564 - - 564 - - - - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 42 - - 102 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 35 100 39 096 32 097 28 094 99261 91746 34 098 29 093 34 102 26 073 91746 85964 36 095 25 094 30 097 24 071 85964 81163 34 090 27 100 25 090 24 079 81163 77042 29 084 24 102 23 097 27 095 77042 73437 19 080 18 101 22 107 23 092 73437 70195 13 087 15 094 18 102 17 093 70195 67215 12 094 14 092 12 085 18 102 67215 64462 14 110 15 107 6 078 16 094 64462 61823 18 115 20 119 12 133 12 062 61823 59101 18 098 19 102 17 118 5 087 59101 56301 13 072 15 082 14 091 11 120 56301 53651 13 096 14 102 11 090 11 099 53651 51273 20 098 13 114 9 098 8 071 51273 49130 19 081 12 106 11 108 6 096 49130 47163 12 078 15 114 15 106 11 090 47163 45336 14 105 18 114 16 100 13 091 45336 43625 19 109 20 106 19 098 18 108 43625 42014 20 091 23 098 23 098 23 113 42014 40502 20 070 27 090 28 090 27 104 40502 39093 22 061 30 076 31 083 26 089 39093 37760 24 061 30 070 28 093 24 078 37760 36438 24 072 25 082 25 106 22 095 36438 35097 24 085 22 097 22 116 25 112 35097 33744 28 091 23 102 23 122 27 121 33744 32368 29 085 25 100 25 123 27 126 32368 30963 28 076 24 101 24 119 27 127 30963 29534 27 071 22 107 21 115 23 124 29534 28087 25 076 21 104 17 117 18 117 28087 26628 21 082 19 108 15 122 13 113 26628 25165 17 072 16 109 10 103 13 079 25165 23694 14 067 12 076 13 080 15 070 23694 22210 12 060 11 071 13 085 19 074 22210 20736 9 051 13 050 16 072 21 084 20736 19341 7 061 15 041 16 070 18 095 19341 18075 7 071 15 038 14 068 15 096 18075 16940 6 072 14 035 12 062 12 087 16940 15912 7 061 12 032 9 055 12 070 15912 14971 7 046 9 024 7 039 13 056 14971 14108 7 037 7 014 5 010 13 046 14108 13315 7 034 4 350 5 326 12 038 13315 12590 7 033 3 315 6 311 12 028 12590 11926 6 033 3 284 7 300 12 015 11926 11311 4 038 4 266 8 295 12 000 11311 10748 4 040 4 255 8 292 13 353 10748 10266 4 034 4 245 8 291 14 349 10266 9887 3 025 4 240 8 291 14 348 9887 9622 2 026 4 236 8 291 13 348 9622 9458 2*024 4*234 7*290 11*347 9458 9364 2*027 4*231 6*289 6*346 9364 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography