DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.9 - - 36.8 - - 40.4 - - 34.5 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 154 - - 174 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9344 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9361 - - 9361 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 521 - - 2318 - - 4220 - - 1563 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 193 - - 202 - - 25 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 296 - - 295 - - 311 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -1 - - -7 - - -20 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5961 - - -7975 - - -8564 - - -6840 - - -7042 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15323 - - 17338 - - 17927 - - 16202 - - 16404 sfcLCL ODpotential -14510 - - -13443 - - -12817 - - -12051 - - -13968 ODpotential blCL 23871 - - 22805 - - 22179 - - 21412 - - 23329 blCL maxRH 78 - - 90 - - 88 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.9 - - 36.8 - - 40.4 - - 34.5 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -8.1 - - -5.9 - - -5.1 - - -3.0 - - -9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.8 - - 34.7 - - 38.3 - - 34.4 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -8.4 - - -6.6 - - -5.7 - - -3.5 - - -9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 154 - - 174 - - -8 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 562 - - 562 - - 561 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 61 - - 52 - - 14 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95370 24 279 32 268 42 274 43 277 43 280 95370 88521 20 302 26 287 30 291 25 291 22 288 88521 83169 17 300 23 281 21 283 19 296 17 314 83169 78696 13 316 18 283 21 293 19 313 23 345 78696 74836 17 323 19 287 25 297 21 331 26 351 74836 71420 21 334 17 309 21 301 22 312 25 331 71420 68331 21 341 20 335 21 319 20 315 17 312 68331 65467 30 325 27 335 23 337 18 346 15 328 65467 62778 40 309 40 317 31 331 29 331 25 326 62778 60161 45 308 43 309 39 312 39 320 37 321 60161 57428 49 309 47 306 46 304 49 310 44 313 57428 54585 59 308 56 306 54 304 55 304 49 307 54585 51861 71 302 65 304 62 302 60 300 53 302 51861 49395 76 297 73 297 67 298 62 294 57 298 49395 47171 76 294 74 290 70 294 65 289 59 292 47171 45141 72 292 70 286 73 289 69 288 61 291 45141 43271 66 292 66 285 70 284 68 290 63 293 43271 41536 63 291 62 284 65 282 65 287 61 290 41536 39920 69 284 68 280 65 281 68 280 62 282 39920 38421 70 281 74 272 74 277 75 273 67 275 38421 37044 65 279 74 267 83 265 75 266 73 270 37044 35764 60 278 66 268 75 268 80 277 87 273 35764 34512 58 281 58 270 64 274 92 279 97 273 34512 33251 56 279 61 273 56 273 88 278 92 273 33251 31983 55 278 62 271 51 274 75 283 80 276 31983 30702 52 279 59 272 52 276 62 284 62 275 30702 29398 46 284 48 274 50 272 58 283 52 274 29398 28073 44 289 40 277 44 271 57 282 51 275 28073 26731 44 289 38 278 44 268 52 283 50 279 26731 25377 43 288 39 276 40 271 48 283 47 282 25377 24017 42 290 37 276 37 276 42 279 44 285 24017 22652 39 293 34 283 34 280 36 281 39 285 22652 21276 37 295 32 288 32 284 32 286 36 281 21276 19909 37 294 31 288 30 287 29 290 33 281 19909 18611 36 294 30 286 29 289 26 291 31 287 18611 17435 34 295 28 285 28 290 24 291 30 293 17435 16380 31 296 25 287 26 293 22 292 29 296 16380 15426 28 298 23 290 23 296 20 294 27 296 15426 14554 26 299 21 293 20 302 17 296 26 297 14554 13755 24 300 19 296 17 308 15 301 24 297 13755 13021 23 301 18 300 15 315 14 308 21 296 13021 12349 21 303 17 305 12 318 12 317 19 295 12349 11735 19 303 16 310 11 317 12 326 17 294 11735 11164 17 304 14 314 11 316 12 329 14 294 11164 10644 15 304 11 316 10 312 14 324 13 295 10644 10197 13 305 8 311 10 308 14 319 12 296 10197 9846 11 308 7 308 9 304 13 316 10 301 9846 9600 9 312 6 304 8 300 11 313 9 310 9600 9449 7*314 5*299 8*298 10*312 7*316 9449 9361 5*322 4*296 6*295 6*311 5*322 9361 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography