DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.0 - - 39.0 - - 44.8 - - 43.7 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 423 - - 508 - - 189 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 4624 - - 6183 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 12149 - - 13462 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top 9361 - - 13424 - - 14983 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3316 - - 2300 - - 2425 - - 6606 - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* 136 - - 547 - - 638 - - 206 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 322 - - 307 - - 305 - - 286 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -33 - - -19 - - -11 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1078 - - 1286 - - 832 - - -4616 - - -2492 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10440 - - 12138 - - 14152 - - 13979 - - 11854 sfcLCL ODpotential -3804 - - -1088 - - -836 - - -6841 - - -6827 ODpotential blCL 13165 - - 14512 - - 15819 - - 16203 - - 16189 blCL maxRH 55 - - 67 - - 74 - - 63 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.0 - - 39.0 - - 44.8 - - 43.7 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 18.7 - - 15.4 - - 15.2 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 35.7 - - 41.1 - - 41.4 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.0 - - 17.7 - - 14.9 - - 15.1 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 423 - - 508 - - 189 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 561 - - 4624 - - 6183 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97059 58 292 67 283 67 289 58 297 46 303 97059 89836 46 294 44 290 50 291 54 293 52 299 89836 84252 36 287 29 285 40 285 47 287 48 283 84252 79587 26 277 29 269 38 280 43 281 41 278 79587 75541 23 265 34 257 37 263 41 263 41 272 75541 71951 22 235 35 244 34 240 36 244 37 254 71951 68704 31 243 34 249 30 233 33 230 34 228 68704 65709 45 247 38 250 32 244 35 241 32 246 65709 62929 49 243 42 244 40 246 45 252 44 257 62929 60244 43 240 45 235 47 239 51 247 46 251 60244 57440 40 244 40 242 43 237 44 238 46 249 57440 54526 36 247 41 243 40 241 39 239 44 249 54526 51749 32 248 37 234 41 238 40 242 43 251 51749 49257 33 256 34 244 37 242 40 244 42 248 49257 47023 40 255 38 253 37 254 35 260 36 250 47023 45001 39 257 39 258 39 257 40 266 35 268 45001 43167 34 264 37 260 34 261 38 259 34 275 43167 41503 33 268 29 274 24 273 20 280 26 268 41503 39979 26 274 22 295 17 323 14 295 19 270 39979 38562 22 285 21 311 19 005 11 321 18 279 38562 37237 17 300 18 341 24 001 12 331 18 279 37237 35979 22 345 23 010 26 001 11 331 19 280 35979 34729 33 358 27 012 23 354 14 322 21 284 34729 33463 37 360 27 003 22 340 19 320 22 287 33463 32188 37 004 24 356 22 333 21 323 22 292 32188 30894 34 007 22 351 22 334 21 328 20 300 30894 29575 30 000 22 346 21 332 19 329 18 304 29575 28237 25 353 22 339 20 327 16 323 16 304 28237 26884 23 346 21 337 20 324 14 321 15 301 26884 25521 23 342 23 339 20 323 13 325 13 298 25521 24151 23 341 23 342 19 323 13 331 11 295 24151 22772 20 339 20 345 17 326 13 331 10 289 22772 21379 14 319 15 337 15 326 13 326 8 281 21379 19994 10 309 13 323 13 326 11 319 9 270 19994 18680 9 310 14 319 12 333 10 303 12 269 18680 17491 10 302 14 322 10 343 5 328 13 268 17491 16429 11 297 14 325 10 340 5 000 11 259 16429 15470 13 297 14 320 10*336 7 348 8 240 15470 14594 15 300 14 318 11*325 8 334 6 223 14594 13790 18 304 15*317 11 318 10 321 5 227 13790 13051 20 308 15*315 12 313 12 306 5 243 13051 12376 21 312 15 312 12 308 13 300 7 261 12376 11757 21 316 15 310 12 304 14 297 9 272 11757 11182 21 320 15 308 12 300 14 294 8 273 11182 10657 20 323 15 306 12 297 14 293 14 281 10657 10206 18 325 14 304 12 294 14 291 16 284 10206 9852 15 325 14 302 12 292 13 290 14 285 9852 9603 13 324 13 300 11 291 13 289 12 287 9603 9450 11 324 12 300 11 290 12*288 10*289 9450 9362 7*322 9 298 9 288 9*286 5*297 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography