DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 49.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 96 - - 443 - - 456 - - 112 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4212 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9345 - - 9052 - - 11841 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9362 - - 9362 - - 13012 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1106 - - 3044 - - 2416 - - 8633 - - 7291 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 273 - - 541 - - 174 - - 8 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 103 - - 160 - - 228 - - 248 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 21 - - 26 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2341 - - -4369 - - -2903 - - -7440 - - -4960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11703 - - 13731 - - 15916 - - 16804 - - 14324 sfcLCL ODpotential -8685 - - -8444 - - -5769 - - -10107 - - -8928 ODpotential blCL 18047 - - 17806 - - 18781 - - 19470 - - 18291 blCL maxRH 58 - - 73 - - 77 - - 63 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 49.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.5 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 21.8 - - 18.1 - - 14.6 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.9 - - 45.5 - - 51.6 - - 53.8 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.4 - - 21.4 - - 17.4 - - 14.0 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 96 - - 443 - - 456 - - 112 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 562 - - 562 - - 4212 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96424 30 283 38 285 33 290 29 268 46 274 96424 89126 33 297 31 277 30 278 35 289 42 301 89126 83605 26 299 24 283 32 289 35 289 36 305 83605 79058 26 296 21 282 30 293 28 293 30 296 79058 75157 29 297 22 283 25 283 26 297 29 304 75157 71710 22 307 24 296 25 281 25 302 27 314 71710 68576 13 322 20 298 23 284 21 312 19 308 68576 65691 13 305 16 282 21 288 20 312 18 307 65691 63034 21 310 16 279 21 275 22 276 22 293 63034 60488 29 304 20 298 15 275 18 287 16 298 60488 57823 33 291 25 301 18 283 24 278 22 293 57823 55027 38 279 35 281 33 272 31 266 33 266 55027 52342 43 273 42 266 43 263 40 261 43 260 52342 49906 42 270 43 266 42 261 44 257 49 253 49906 47695 41 268 43 268 41 262 46 255 53 249 47695 45667 41 267 42 267 44 263 47 255 54 249 45667 43801 41 265 42 263 48 263 47 259 51 253 43801 42089 41 261 45 256 52 258 46 262 48 262 42089 40518 44 254 52 249 56 249 48 262 49 268 40518 39068 47 251 54 246 56 245 54 262 51 264 39068 37730 47 255 52 243 55 245 62 256 52 261 37730 36464 48 257 50 243 55 246 65 254 49 261 36464 35207 47 255 48 245 53 247 62 255 46 261 35207 33930 41 250 45 248 50 249 56 256 46 262 33930 32642 33 246 42 250 46 251 50 260 47 263 32642 31335 26 245 37 251 43 253 45 263 46 264 31335 30003 23 249 32 249 41 257 42 265 44 264 30003 28649 25 252 30 249 42 259 39 267 39 264 28649 27277 31 255 34 249 43 261 36 266 35 264 27277 25893 35 258 39 244 42 261 34 265 30 267 25893 24502 35 261 40 247 40 260 34 264 27 275 24502 23101 35 265 40 257 35 260 34 264 27 275 23101 21682 35 264 38 264 30 262 32 267 28 273 21682 20269 34 259 38 267 30 268 33 270 31 269 20269 18928 32 255 39 267 33 272 33 267 31 261 18928 17714 30 250 40 267 36 271 31 261 30 253 17714 16627 28 245 38 268 36 269 29 258 28 251 16627 15643 26 243 34 267 33 268 26 256 26 253 15643 14744 24 245 30 263 25 267 23 254 25 255 14744 13917 22 250 26 258 18 262 21 253 24 256 13917 13157 20 253 21 256 13*256 19 252 22 255 13157 12462 17 249 14 252 11*249 18 252 20 252 12462 11825 11 230 7 239 10 237 17 252 18 248 11825 11234 8 196 4 200 10 229 17 251 15 244 11234 10694 8 145 5 169 10 225 16 251 13 242 10694 10230 10 122 5 164 10 221 15 251 11 241 10230 9866 10 111 6 161 10 218 15 250 9 240 9866 9610 8 105 6 160 9 215 14 249 7 243 9610 9453 7*104 6*161 9 214 13*249 5*246 9453 9363 6*103 6*160 8 212 9*248 1*270 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography