DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 58.3 - - 62.4 - - 62.0 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 3 - - 13 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 789 - - 1535 - - 2558 - - 2143 - - 623 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 19 - - 25 - - 10 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 126 - - 128 - - 107 - - 082 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3655 - - -4473 - - -4121 - - -4447 - - -4319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7749 - - 8567 - - 8216 - - 8542 - - 8414 sfcLCL ODpotential -10937 - - -11501 - - -9089 - - -9667 - - -10105 ODpotential blCL 15031 - - 15595 - - 13184 - - 13762 - - 14199 blCL maxRH 86 - - 78 - - 85 - - 91 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 58.3 - - 62.4 - - 62.0 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 35.4 - - 40.8 - - 39.0 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 58.2 - - 62.7 - - 63.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 34.3 - - 39.6 - - 37.7 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 3 - - 13 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 11 - - 40 - - 63 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 22 010 16 351 20 343 17 003 13 315 96358 89416 14 017 17 007 16 351 15 004 16 337 89416 84022 13 026 20 023 14 011 11 010 16 003 84022 79493 11 031 17 050 9 006 8 354 20 007 79493 75554 12 059 15 059 7 054 5 341 17 351 75554 72054 11 028 12 038 6 047 6 000 9 338 72054 68876 13 010 8 359 10 012 10 021 3 336 68876 65948 16 351 12 338 14 337 14 345 6 341 65948 63228 18 330 15 319 16 314 17 308 12 317 63228 60589 26 320 24 306 23 301 24 282 20 300 60589 57842 36 302 30 299 28 291 21 283 28 276 57842 55008 38 288 37 295 37 293 35 291 28 273 55008 52318 43 286 44 279 48 279 56 286 47 287 52318 49919 49 289 45 284 50 283 55 275 59 273 49919 47775 60 283 58 288 58 293 54 281 53 270 47775 45814 57 279 59 284 69 285 62 275 60 273 45814 44000 64 300 61 284 72 276 67 276 67 268 44000 42321 77 288 65 283 72 275 78 272 70 263 42321 40764 74 277 65 282 62 273 77 263 72 261 40764 39311 75 275 64 272 57 267 66 256 72 255 39311 37946 73 272 54 276 54 261 56 253 67 253 37946 36632 58 282 50 275 48 263 51 249 58 261 36632 35307 47 289 46 268 49 258 52 248 56 261 35307 33941 41 291 43 268 49 249 53 247 53 256 33941 32536 39 296 36 268 45 250 52 246 53 252 32536 31079 30 286 32 266 44 255 52 248 57 253 31079 29567 30 267 32 260 41 256 54 251 52 248 29567 28004 33 262 32 261 35 248 55 250 50 245 28004 26384 31 260 30 262 29 238 53 245 54 255 26384 24711 27 263 25 257 28 230 47 239 49 256 24711 22998 24 268 22 251 28 232 37 229 41 246 22998 21243 21 270 21 252 28 235 32 232 36 240 21243 19430 19 272 20 255 25 239 27 239 30 244 19430 17586 19 274 19 254 22 247 23 245 21 237 17586 15809 19 273 19 252 22 254 20 252 16 228 15809 14189 19 268 19 252 22 259 19 258 15 235 14189 12744 18 264 19 252 21 260 19 260 16 230 12744 11452 17 266 17 253 19 258 19 258 16 229 11452 10294 14 272 15 254 16 256 19 255 16 230 10294 9257 12 281 13 258 14 257 17 255 15 236 9257 8330 10 285 11 259 12 258 14 254 13 243 8330 7504 9 284 9 256 9 253 11 252 12 250 7504 6767 7 281 7 247 7 241 8 248 12 255 6767 6099 5 276 6 234 5 229 4 236 10 257 6099 5504 4 265 4 220 4 210 2 175 8 251 5504 5003 3 241 3 205 3 177 3 121 5 223 5003 4616 3 193 3 177 3 147 4 107 5 190 4616 4349 3 162 3 146 3 128 5 098 6 156 4349 4186 3*136 3*133 3*120 5*091 5*129 4186 4093 3*126 3*128 3*107 4*082 4*111 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography