DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.8 - - 79.8 - - 86.9 - - 88.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 42 - - 44 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1513 - - 4969 - - 11668 - - 14273 - - 12938 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 37 - - 41 - - 33 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 012 - - 320 - - 304 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4765 - - -5824 - - -6613 - - -5748 - - -5683 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8862 - - 9921 - - 10709 - - 9846 - - 9780 sfcLCL ODpotential -9437 - - -9237 - - -8619 - - -7904 - - -8481 ODpotential blCL 13533 - - 13333 - - 12715 - - 12001 - - 12578 blCL maxRH 63 - - 45 - - 47 - - 52 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 520 - - 1580 - - 2800 - - 2290 CAPE Temp@2m 73.8 - - 79.8 - - 86.9 - - 88.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 50.5 - - 53.9 - - 58.9 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.4 - - 81.1 - - 86.7 - - 88.3 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 49.3 - - 52.7 - - 57.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 42 - - 44 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99133 27 102 35 098 36 114 28 105 23 092 99133 91613 30 104 24 116 27 108 25 115 23 085 91613 85830 21 098 20 116 21 113 24 109 23 092 85830 81057 16 095 16 114 17 108 23 101 22 086 81057 76968 16 091 16 111 18 102 21 104 21 083 76968 73359 18 096 15 104 16 109 15 104 17 086 73359 70087 13 089 13 092 14 111 10 091 12 081 70087 67087 7 093 7 080 11 087 10 084 8 080 67087 64323 8 087 4 115 5 050 9 062 9 087 64323 61655 6 023 1 098 3 356 7 022 6 041 61655 58880 10 317 4 282 9 276 12 318 10 313 58880 56010 19 309 10 310 12 274 15 285 15 274 56010 53276 26 299 19 300 17 287 18 290 16 280 53276 50816 28 292 25 293 23 284 26 287 23 287 50816 48607 27 288 27 288 26 287 33 285 30 285 48607 46593 20 287 26 281 29 292 35 286 35 283 46593 44735 13 281 19 277 26 291 33 287 37 284 44735 43007 6 284 12 265 17 277 25 284 31 279 43007 41398 6 290 7 234 10 233 17 262 23 267 41398 39900 4 296 5 229 10 193 13 211 17 248 39900 38503 3 041 5 188 10 175 17 180 12 234 38503 37167 7 073 7 153 11 153 19 166 12 201 37167 35827 7 077 8 147 11 142 20 155 17 181 35827 34449 6 069 6 149 11 150 20 154 20 169 34449 33037 6 058 5 149 11 160 17 154 19 161 33037 31579 2 061 4 124 10 160 13 157 17 158 31579 30067 2 241 2 091 8 158 12 174 14 175 30067 28501 6 260 2 272 5 170 9 187 10 184 28501 26882 8 254 6 272 3 212 5 203 7 179 26882 25208 9 254 8 267 5 261 5 236 5 176 25208 23483 6 237 8 255 8 267 7 247 5 202 23483 21704 5 195 7 226 9 259 8 224 9 194 21704 19863 4 267 5 180 8 204 11 195 14 184 19863 17997 13 274 4 199 7 191 9 170 11 160 17997 16199 14 236 8 215 6 184 7 136 10 114 16199 14555 13 213 10 201 6 163 6 116 9 098 14555 13081 11 183 11 183 6 150 6 103 9 080 13081 11758 8 157 11 164 6 139 6 091 9 065 11758 10566 4 126 10 140 6 127 6 078 9 053 10566 9494 5 092 9 115 5 117 5 065 9 042 9494 8532 5 093 8 101 4 107 5 051 10 034 8532 7672 6 097 8 089 4 093 4 033 10 026 7672 6902 8 089 8 083 3 073 4 015 10 019 6902 6205 12 083 7 077 2 039 5 357 10 013 6205 5581 14 074 6 071 3 357 5 339 10 006 5581 5055 11 059 4 061 4 338 6 325 10 360 5055 4648 7 024 3 048 5 331 6 317 9 354 4648 4366 6 357 2 035 6 326 6 312 9 348 4366 4195 6*331 1*026 6*324 6*308 8*341 4195 4096 5*318 1*012 5*320 6*304 6*338 4096 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography