DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.3 - - 53.8 - - 55.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 2 - - 20 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 582 - - 997 - - 3139 - - 7591 - - 600 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 15 - - 29 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 131 - - 038 - - 307 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 5 - - -3 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4892 - - -4781 - - -5399 - - -3221 - - -2301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8986 - - 8875 - - 9494 - - 7315 - - 6395 sfcLCL ODpotential -10144 - - -9858 - - -8294 - - -5052 - - -5592 ODpotential blCL 14238 - - 13952 - - 12388 - - 9146 - - 9686 blCL maxRH 86 - - 81 - - 92 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 180 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 48.3 - - 53.8 - - 55.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.2 - - 24.2 - - 26.8 - - 38.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 49.5 - - 54.9 - - 56.6 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.0 - - 23.1 - - 25.6 - - 37.1 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 2 - - 20 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 25 - - 70 - - 69 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 15 117 7 303 4 261 6 303 9 141 96166 89180 15 078 10 091 10 107 4 069 15 078 89180 83761 11 100 13 076 12 083 15 107 8 088 83761 79229 9 099 9 076 6 081 12 089 6 057 79229 75297 9 102 12 119 3 152 7 059 7 026 75297 71803 6 101 10 144 2 156 2 008 4 029 71803 68636 9 083 8 174 3 128 8 252 2 348 68636 65719 7 086 13 215 7 195 11 240 2 299 65719 63016 7 178 12 222 11 214 9 235 9 256 63016 60406 10 216 11 222 12 237 9 249 13 261 60406 57669 13 227 12 219 18 263 13 267 15 255 57669 54796 15 213 12 217 25 262 20 267 19 250 54796 52039 16 194 12 239 25 252 21 266 22 257 52039 49560 16 190 19 233 17 251 21 274 21 265 49560 47329 11 189 26 223 17 263 24 284 21 271 47329 45286 15 206 19 214 24 260 28 282 21 277 45286 43403 21 199 14 214 24 245 27 270 20 285 43403 41662 22 179 14 214 19 248 29 264 21 281 41662 40043 25 174 15 212 16 233 14 222 18 271 40043 38539 28 174 18 200 12 198 7 176 17 267 38539 37142 33 167 26 184 17 166 2 212 12 277 37142 35813 44 156 33 178 24 159 8 203 11 322 35813 34489 51 144 39 170 26 157 5 173 9 355 34489 33146 50 143 41 162 23 157 4 127 10 013 33146 31785 47 145 37 149 20 156 3 145 9 357 31785 30389 45 142 33 144 19 151 6 172 8 328 30389 28941 36 149 32 157 16 151 2 098 7 357 28941 27439 32 159 20 161 6 140 5 016 6 000 27439 25878 27 163 17 154 2 129 5 318 13 332 25878 24263 24 165 10 167 2 321 9 330 18 340 24263 22597 24 162 8 167 2 251 11 322 18 337 22597 20873 27 154 9 169 3 246 11 301 13 338 20873 19091 22 141 9 175 3 237 8 274 5 314 19091 17291 12 134 9 177 5 220 8 275 5 298 17291 15565 10 167 8 185 6 226 6 282 4 308 15565 13991 7 186 6 212 6 245 7 267 5 314 13991 12583 4 217 6 246 8 250 8 268 5 309 12583 11321 4 318 5 267 9 254 10 284 5 313 11321 10189 8 312 5 281 11 266 12 290 7 325 10189 9172 10 292 6 291 14 274 13 291 9 327 9172 8261 12 291 8 288 15 274 13 295 11 321 8261 7449 14 292 9 280 14 273 13 297 12 318 7449 6724 14 294 8 274 12 274 13 298 13 314 6724 6068 13 296 6 266 10 274 13 300 14 305 6068 5482 11 298 4 248 7 274 13 300 15 292 5482 4989 9 297 4 228 5 275 12 301 17 279 4989 4608 6 297 3 198 4 279 11 302 16 272 4608 4345 2 327 2 170 2 285 10 304 13 270 4345 4184 4*063 2*142 1*319 8*305 8*270 4184 4093 4*071 2*131 1*038 6*307 1*230 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography