DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 65.2 - - 67.9 - - 70.4 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 33 - - 41 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4054 - - 4054 - - 4055 - - 4055 - - 4055 Hcrit BL Top 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 - - 4072 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1022 - - 3496 - - 4870 - - 5013 - - 1953 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 34 - - 36 - - 24 - - 20 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 122 - - 057 - - 025 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6376 - - -3938 - - -4540 - - -5189 - - -5043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10449 - - 8010 - - 8613 - - 9262 - - 9116 sfcLCL ODpotential -14298 - - -11776 - - -11922 - - -11724 - - -10375 ODpotential blCL 18370 - - 15848 - - 15994 - - 15796 - - 14447 blCL maxRH 26 - - 31 - - 27 - - 33 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 65.2 - - 67.9 - - 70.4 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 44.2 - - 44.3 - - 44.0 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 67.0 - - 71.0 - - 75.1 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 21.8 - - 22.0 - - 20.8 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 33 - - 41 - - 10 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98226 4 060 8 111 5 127 4 135 1 005 98226 90902 9 064 8 096 9 098 7 092 6 084 90902 85262 11 058 8 085 9 089 8 072 9 079 85262 80574 9 050 11 084 9 099 4 067 11 073 80574 76536 8 059 6 061 7 096 4 069 8 047 76536 72962 5 095 8 089 5 105 3 066 7 057 72962 69727 4 257 2 322 5 013 5 040 3 004 69727 66750 3 094 10 194 9 236 6 261 3 295 66750 63986 12 281 8 233 12 207 13 244 15 250 63986 61317 22 254 18 248 18 245 20 250 16 248 61317 58522 31 248 29 245 29 246 24 251 25 249 58522 55611 41 245 37 242 36 244 32 248 36 248 55611 52839 48 247 47 245 46 248 44 250 46 253 52839 50353 54 247 56 245 56 248 55 252 56 255 50353 48130 58 247 60 245 62 247 63 252 63 254 48130 46115 61 248 63 245 66 247 69 252 68 252 46115 44268 64 249 65 246 68 246 72 250 73 251 44268 42558 65 248 66 247 68 247 73 249 77 250 42558 40964 66 247 64 248 68 248 73 250 80 251 40964 39469 65 246 63 248 68 249 74 250 81 251 39469 38064 64 246 62 248 68 250 72 251 82 252 38064 36716 59 245 61 246 67 250 65 251 80 251 36716 35363 53 244 60 245 63 249 57 251 74 251 35363 33979 47 243 56 244 58 249 54 252 65 249 33979 32571 43 244 50 244 55 246 54 252 54 247 32571 31125 40 243 43 242 50 240 53 253 46 241 31125 29627 37 241 39 240 45 234 52 252 43 240 29627 28071 35 240 37 239 43 232 50 250 41 245 28071 26456 32 241 36 239 41 232 46 247 40 251 26456 24784 29 242 33 239 38 233 38 245 40 255 24784 23061 24 239 30 239 34 233 30 241 34 256 23061 21288 21 235 26 237 30 234 28 241 28 250 21288 19464 19 235 22 235 25 235 26 243 27 242 19464 17616 18 235 21 232 21 238 25 241 27 236 17616 15837 19 233 21 231 18 240 25 233 27 227 15837 14217 21 229 21 228 18 238 22 229 28 216 14217 12771 23 222 21 225 19 234 19 237 20 209 12771 11479 21 212 20 219 19 234 15 254 7 193 11479 10321 16 196 17 210 19 233 14 262 2 108 10321 9280 13 179 14 193 14 225 12 272 2 006 9280 8348 9 180 12 177 10 213 10 279 5 314 8348 7516 5 192 9 170 7 200 7 291 10 303 7516 6773 3 213 6 163 5 181 6 311 15 301 6773 6100 1 226 3 148 4 154 5 340 20 300 6100 5500 1 260 2 134 3 124 5 001 22 299 5500 4994 1 293 1 116 3 096 5 014 23 298 4994 4602 1 323 1 111 3 076 5 022 21 298 4602 4331 1 334 1 105 3 066 6 024 18 299 4331 4166 1*344 1*118 3*061 6*025 15*298 4166 4071 1*321 1*122 3*057 5*025 10*299 4071 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography