DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 - - 45.8 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1122 - - 1591 - - 2436 - - 2040 - - 1301 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 17 - - 21 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 10 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 115 - - 313 - - 299 - - 248 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1912 - - -1853 - - -1362 - - -2407 - - -2762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6005 - - 5946 - - 5455 - - 6501 - - 6856 sfcLCL ODpotential -7395 - - -6662 - - -4316 - - -6618 - - -7034 ODpotential blCL 11488 - - 10755 - - 8409 - - 10712 - - 11127 blCL maxRH 86 - - 84 - - 87 - - 87 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 42.5 - - 45.6 - - 45.8 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 30.9 - - 36.1 - - 31.8 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 42.5 - - 45.7 - - 47.3 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 29.8 - - 34.9 - - 30.6 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 38 - - 46 - - 46 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 12 046 17 078 18 073 15 089 16 063 96441 89333 18 064 16 072 14 075 15 079 17 070 89333 83791 18 078 10 089 12 062 12 053 14 068 83791 79159 14 094 6 082 13 047 7 032 11 077 79159 75153 11 093 6 052 12 028 7 023 7 057 75153 71607 7 037 10 017 11 001 7 023 5 028 71607 68388 10 337 13 342 12 327 11 328 10 348 68388 65420 15 331 15 335 14 318 17 315 14 347 65420 62663 22 325 20 327 15 322 18 316 17 335 62663 59983 22 310 23 322 18 321 21 325 17 328 59983 57178 22 305 25 316 22 316 24 322 21 321 57178 54264 27 306 27 307 26 307 25 313 27 317 54264 51479 31 298 27 298 29 299 24 320 28 318 51479 48973 34 293 27 298 30 300 25 330 30 315 48973 46731 34 294 30 300 31 304 28 324 27 300 46731 44700 32 296 30 300 30 302 28 320 24 328 44700 42849 29 299 31 297 27 299 34 329 33 334 42849 41156 28 306 30 294 28 305 38 328 38 333 41156 39594 29 314 30 293 32 313 39 336 38 340 39594 38146 29 315 31 289 34 318 42 343 47 358 38146 36801 26 312 32 288 31 318 46 347 61 005 36801 35520 27 307 32 289 30 314 50 348 74 007 35520 34233 24 305 31 285 33 308 52 348 83 007 34233 32910 20 308 30 281 36 300 52 349 84 006 32910 31554 18 311 29 280 28 291 51 348 74 004 31554 30153 18 311 28 283 24 312 48 346 66 004 30153 28696 17 313 27 284 24 308 42 343 60 004 28696 27187 15 319 24 286 20 309 32 322 46 001 27187 25626 13 326 20 294 17 302 29 293 39 359 25626 24017 13 335 16 305 22 294 31 295 36 354 24017 22365 13 344 12 320 24 296 32 302 34 336 22365 20669 12 352 10 334 18 296 27 311 33 328 20669 18920 12 359 10 353 15 305 21 317 29 328 18920 17145 13 003 12 006 14 318 19 310 26 327 17145 15434 13 006 13 011 14 330 20 301 24 323 15434 13873 12 008 14 012 15 340 22 305 21 314 13873 12478 11 006 14 011 16 346 24 311 17 311 12478 11228 10 000 14 010 16 352 23 316 16 315 11228 10106 10 357 13 007 15 356 20 324 15 324 10106 9100 10 355 11 006 15 359 15 335 14 332 9100 8200 10 353 10 006 13 001 11 345 13 339 8200 7398 9 350 8 006 12 002 6 353 12 343 7398 6683 9 347 6 360 10 357 2 016 11 342 6683 6036 9 338 6 345 9 343 1 158 11 340 6036 5459 10 326 8 327 9 324 3 186 11 333 5459 4974 10 309 10 313 10 316 4 205 12 322 4974 4600 8 297 9 306 10 309 4 211 11 309 4600 4341 5 288 6 306 10 305 3 219 9 298 4341 4183 2*286 4*311 9*302 3*233 6*289 4183 4092 0*115 4*313 8*299 3*248 3*278 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography