DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 77.4 - - 80.2 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - 17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 812 - - 161 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5112 - - 4461 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4142 - - 7745 - - 11532 - - 7967 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 91 - - 30 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 082 - - 058 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 9 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5570 - - -5549 - - -5148 - - -5519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10682 - - 10010 - - 9245 - - 9615 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9983 - - -7753 - - -7146 - - -7813 ODpotential blCL - - - 15095 - - 12214 - - 11242 - - 11909 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 48 - - 55 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 220 - - 1580 - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 77.4 - - 80.2 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 47.7 - - 53.7 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 76.9 - - 80.3 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 46.5 - - 52.5 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - 17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 812 - - 161 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99469 35 111 24 106 23 099 36 103 99469 92003 30 121 22 119 22 110 24 092 92003 86251 23 116 20 119 25 116 18 105 86251 81457 16 121 21 120 18 105 18 110 81457 77311 12 104 16 116 16 127 12 078 77311 73652 12 112 13 130 9 129 9 076 73652 70339 15 118 11 141 6 156 5 061 70339 67297 6 088 9 153 8 171 4 138 67297 64481 8 139 9 182 5 187 7 137 64481 61764 10 181 11 177 7 200 8 160 61764 58923 15 197 10 202 9 227 8 190 58923 55959 22 225 22 219 25 220 26 219 55959 53138 30 233 27 222 26 220 28 220 53138 50605 35 229 36 229 29 231 25 231 50605 48333 34 225 41 227 34 230 31 240 48333 46277 31 232 39 225 36 230 40 240 46277 44405 34 243 36 223 37 230 43 236 44405 42697 34 248 31 230 35 231 44 239 42697 41130 34 250 29 240 32 236 48 241 41130 39674 35 249 29 243 32 240 47 238 39674 38307 34 248 29 240 31 240 44 238 38307 36993 33 248 29 241 28 241 39 240 36993 35667 32 251 27 245 26 240 35 239 35667 34302 30 255 25 246 26 240 33 240 34302 32901 28 258 26 244 25 243 31 243 32901 31452 27 256 26 245 23 244 27 242 31452 29944 27 254 25 247 22 243 24 239 29944 28378 26 254 24 250 21 244 22 236 28378 26755 24 252 23 251 21 245 19 234 26755 25076 23 247 23 248 20 244 16 233 25076 23345 22 240 24 241 20 243 14 236 23345 21557 22 232 24 235 23 241 16 240 21557 19708 21 224 22 228 25 236 21 235 19708 17835 20 217 20 222 24 227 27 225 17835 16037 20 211 19 218 16 222 23 209 16037 14401 21 211 19 220 13 231 11 188 14401 12940 21 211 15 225 12 241 4 148 12940 11631 18 210 13 227 11 254 3 086 11631 10453 12 205 12 227 9 262 3 039 10453 9395 9 194 11 229 7 269 5 346 9395 8447 6 186 8 229 6 278 9 322 8447 7601 4 194 6 226 4 294 14 314 7601 6845 3 223 4 218 2 326 17 312 6845 6161 2 247 2 189 3 010 19 313 6161 5550 1*264 2 128 3 038 21 313 5550 5035 1*078 4 097 4 050 21 315 5035 4636 1 085 5*088 5 056 20 316 4636 4360 1 087 5*082 5 058 18 319 4360 4192 1 086 5 083 5*059 17*320 4192 4095 1 092 5 082 5*058 11*326 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography