DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 83.0 - - 86.4 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 45 - - 19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 527 - - 75 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4827 - - 4375 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3243 - - 7451 - - 10290 - - 5804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 68 - - 32 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 016 - - 308 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7996 - - -8479 - - -7298 - - -6011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12824 - - 12854 - - 11395 - - 10107 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14475 - - -13694 - - -9555 - - -10029 ODpotential blCL - - - 19302 - - 18069 - - 13651 - - 14125 blCL maxRH - - - 20 - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 600 - - 360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.9 - - 83.0 - - 86.4 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 40.9 - - 50.5 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.5 - - 82.9 - - 87.1 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 39.7 - - 49.2 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 45 - - 19 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 527 - - 75 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99383 39 114 34 108 33 111 28 102 99383 91865 29 106 28 118 27 091 31 105 91865 86071 25 111 25 113 27 096 27 103 86071 81272 27 117 24 114 26 101 24 099 81272 77155 25 108 25 111 23 115 17 088 77155 73528 21 094 25 113 19 124 13 120 73528 70252 11 130 17 108 14 135 13 103 70252 67248 14 130 8 121 10 128 7 117 67248 64479 7 177 3 096 3 106 8 133 64479 61800 16 183 7 197 5 195 10 136 61800 59025 14 212 10 221 10 220 8 208 59025 56180 19 221 20 221 15 223 13 221 56180 53462 33 226 34 230 28 238 22 246 53462 51021 40 223 42 224 38 229 37 232 51021 48849 37 236 41 225 41 225 40 228 48849 46876 43 244 45 237 46 241 37 243 46876 45049 50 242 51 238 50 240 38 241 45049 43340 56 235 56 234 52 237 43 241 43340 41735 60 231 59 231 55 236 49 239 41735 40221 64 229 62 231 59 234 56 239 40221 38794 67 226 66 229 63 230 61 232 38794 37422 69 226 69 225 66 225 65 227 37422 36040 69 222 71 224 68 226 65 230 36040 34624 72 224 72 229 65 232 59 233 34624 33179 72 229 65 237 55 232 49 231 33179 31692 62 235 48 243 45 229 42 229 31692 30154 51 237 35 244 37 231 36 233 30154 28567 46 235 31 244 22 234 23 232 28567 26929 44 239 30 246 18 240 15 216 26929 25238 41 243 32 249 20 240 16 221 25238 23496 39 240 32 250 22 238 17 230 23496 21698 38 233 31 249 24 238 21 232 21698 19838 36 233 29 243 27 237 25 231 19838 17949 32 229 29 239 27 234 29 225 17949 16133 30 225 28 239 26 225 30 216 16133 14478 28 226 26 235 19 226 27 210 14478 13001 25 229 21 242 12 250 17 209 13001 11681 23 232 18 251 12 257 7 209 11681 10497 21 233 17 253 11 268 3 236 10497 9433 18 234 15 258 11 276 5 297 9433 8480 13 238 12 263 11 281 9 302 8480 7628 8 247 10 271 10 286 13 302 7628 6868 6 256 8 284 9 290 16 298 6868 6178 4 268 6 306 9 293 18 297 6178 5562 3 287 5 336 8 297 19 296 5562 5043 3*310 6 357 8 300 19 296 5043 4641 2*335 6*009 7 303 18 296 4641 4363 2 339 6*015 6 306 16 298 4363 4193 2 342 5 016 6*306 13*299 4193 4095 2 345 5 015 5*308 7*303 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography