DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 52.2 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 109 - - 97 - - 76 - - 48 - - 50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1533 - - 2163 - - 3277 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4793 - - 5188 - - 5815 - - 5150 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 5833 - - 6463 - - 7577 - - 7320 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2304 - - 1838 - - 1784 - - 1912 - - 3822 Hgt.Variab. W* 241 - - 261 - - 278 - - 235 - - 41 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 329 - - 358 - - 037 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -7 - - -5 - - 7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 814 - - 444 - - -209 - - 550 - - -1544 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5020 - - 6019 - - 7786 - - 6771 - - 5639 sfcLCL ODpotential -779 - - -1690 - - -5060 - - -1024 - - -3004 ODpotential blCL 6612 - - 8153 - - 12637 - - 8344 - - 7098 blCL maxRH 100 - - 73 - - 58 - - 85 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 48.1 - - 50.9 - - 52.2 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 36.0 - - 31.1 - - 36.8 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 47.0 - - 50.0 - - 51.4 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.8 - - 34.7 - - 29.9 - - 35.7 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 109 - - 97 - - 76 - - 48 - - 50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1533 - - 2163 - - 3277 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97317 4 081 2 298 10 323 6 351 1 287 97317 90085 7 055 5 062 8 355 9 041 9 056 90085 84542 12 037 3 009 9 004 11 004 15 045 84542 79961 14 020 8 100 3 271 13 331 16 028 79961 76001 10 345 10 048 3 130 8 322 11 011 76001 72483 12 300 9 353 6 051 4 319 8 324 72483 69287 13 265 8 306 2 016 1 228 5 280 69287 66330 12 223 11 273 6 289 7 303 6 273 66330 63567 11 216 10 247 11 264 7 259 9 248 63567 60868 17 252 9 253 10 265 10 285 8 239 60868 58032 18 242 16 261 16 270 17 279 16 278 58032 55082 13 233 18 253 18 264 19 280 22 285 55082 52262 14 256 12 231 15 265 19 289 21 297 52262 49722 17 267 8 238 15 266 21 296 21 301 49722 47452 17 278 10 269 14 267 21 293 19 309 47452 45395 17 289 11 303 11 276 19 300 27 332 45395 43517 14 301 14 315 21 329 28 321 41 328 43517 41804 17 316 21 330 29 348 35 323 41 324 41804 40233 25 324 32 347 39 352 37 347 40 352 40233 38771 34 334 42 358 50 001 56 003 53 007 38771 37399 38 345 52 002 61 005 65 008 63 013 37399 36087 38 353 62 004 72 008 72 010 74 013 36087 34769 40 358 69 005 85 010 78 013 81 012 34769 33417 41 358 67 006 92 010 87 016 82 014 33417 32034 36 356 57 009 91 008 93 016 81 017 32034 30608 28 353 42 012 85 007 91 014 79 016 30608 29127 22 354 29 007 66 009 85 011 77 012 29127 27593 21 000 23 010 41 007 75 012 76 011 27593 26003 17 005 22 022 34 004 63 010 74 013 26003 24362 11 355 21 024 34 006 49 018 70 021 24362 22672 16 342 21 019 35 012 45 027 68 030 22672 20927 23 346 24 014 32 018 46 029 62 037 20927 19119 26 355 28 007 31 023 44 029 55 039 19119 17285 27 358 27 008 27 024 35 031 48 035 17285 15526 25 357 24 012 21 022 27 036 39 035 15526 13930 23 353 19 014 18 021 23 044 29 043 13930 12512 22 346 16 011 17 018 21 050 24 051 12512 11248 19 336 14 004 15 011 18 052 22 055 11248 10118 16 331 14 355 13 005 15 047 18 058 10118 9109 14 336 13 348 13 006 13 039 13 059 9109 8207 15 345 12 348 12*004 11 038 11 060 8207 7405 16 346 13 349 12*001 11*038 11 062 7405 6689 18 342 13*343 11 359 11*038 11 062 6689 6042 20*334 13*337 11 358 11 038 12 062 6042 5465 21*325 14 330 11 357 11 037 12 061 5465 4979 21 321 14 328 11 357 10 036 11 061 4979 4603 20 319 14 327 11 357 10 036 10 059 4603 4343 19 318 13 327 11 356 10 035 9 057 4343 4184 18 318 13 327 11 356 10 035 9*055 4184 4093 16 319 12 328 10 357 9 034 8*055 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography