DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 55.1 - - 59.0 - - 58.4 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 37 - - 40 - - 17 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2890 - - 3747 - - 2979 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 5624 - - 4076 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 7190 - - 8047 - - 7279 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3620 - - 2236 - - 2562 - - 2775 - - 4394 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 218 - - 247 - - 190 - - 34 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 19 - - 18 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 257 - - 269 - - 281 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 29 - - 21 - - 10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3139 - - -1094 - - -2212 - - -2936 - - -6108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7234 - - 8284 - - 10259 - - 10216 - - 10202 sfcLCL ODpotential -8706 - - -7099 - - -9146 - - -10811 - - -13189 ODpotential blCL 12800 - - 14289 - - 17193 - - 18090 - - 17283 blCL maxRH 57 - - 59 - - 47 - - 44 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 55.1 - - 59.0 - - 58.4 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.7 - - 33.1 - - 28.2 - - 27.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 54.6 - - 58.5 - - 57.9 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 31.8 - - 27.1 - - 26.8 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 37 - - 40 - - 17 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2890 - - 3747 - - 2979 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97023 10 283 13 280 16 269 13 283 17 291 97023 89803 4 199 8 237 13 273 10 305 4 326 89803 84244 4 128 6 216 7 311 9 297 5 036 84244 79638 8 069 5 173 2 301 5 289 9 010 79638 75670 2 323 4 035 3 182 4 277 6 333 75670 72153 6 304 5 321 2 304 6 273 5 277 72153 68950 9 282 4 299 6 290 8 262 8 262 68950 65985 14 249 5 276 9 273 6 261 4 260 65985 63213 9 261 8 287 12 274 11 265 10 268 63213 60511 13 255 14 253 17 248 15 255 14 253 60511 57679 15 233 12 251 14 258 16 263 19 271 57679 54743 13 263 16 278 19 261 24 259 28 258 54743 51940 30 261 20 257 19 248 21 262 25 268 51940 49420 27 249 21 258 21 280 34 287 30 287 49420 47187 18 237 32 277 41 288 41 288 34 292 47187 45187 29 277 43 284 44 292 43 300 39 302 45187 43375 48 293 47 290 51 301 53 308 49 310 43375 41724 58 295 53 299 61 301 62 305 56 312 41724 40202 58 295 64 305 64 298 65 306 59 312 40202 38779 56 299 71 305 65 301 64 306 61 314 38779 37440 57 303 71 304 67 302 58 309 63 316 37440 36153 59 306 70 304 66 300 56 315 63 315 36153 34854 60 304 69 305 62 298 58 322 62 312 34854 33516 58 297 66 305 59 302 59 323 60 311 33516 32143 57 291 62 304 59 308 58 322 59 309 32143 30720 57 288 58 299 60 311 56 320 58 307 30720 29239 57 286 56 292 60 309 56 314 56 306 29239 27701 57 287 55 286 59 306 55 310 54 306 27701 26108 57 287 54 282 58 302 53 308 52 306 26108 24462 56 288 54 282 57 298 49 307 49 306 24462 22765 53 287 52 281 55 294 46 305 45 307 22765 21012 51 284 50 279 53 290 46 303 42 306 21012 19196 50 280 49 276 51 286 46 302 41 304 19196 17354 48 276 48 274 49 283 45 300 40 304 17354 15584 46 271 47 273 47 280 42 296 36 302 15584 13979 45 268 46 271 44 277 37 289 30 293 13979 12554 45 265 45 269 41 272 30 284 23 280 12554 11287 44 264 44 266 36 267 26 278 17 274 11287 10156 42 263 41 262 29 263 24 274 15 281 10156 9144 39 260 35 259 23 263 21 272 16 285 9144 8239 36 256 27 257 21*265 19 276 17 283 8239 7432 33 253 21*256 21*267 19*278 18 283 7432 6712 26 252 18*256 21 268 19*279 18 285 6712 6060 20 252 16 257 20 269 19 280 18 290 6060 5478 14 251 14 258 20 270 18 281 17 294 5478 4988 10 252 14 258 19 271 18 281 16 297 4988 4608 8 252 13 258 18 271 17 282 14 299 4608 4345 7 253 12 258 17 272 16 283 13 300 4345 4185 6*255 11 258 15 273 15 283 12*301 4185 4093 6*256 10 259 13 273 12 284 11*301 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography