DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 61.4 - - 65.3 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 89 - - 41 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5136 - - 5267 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 7236 - - 6617 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 9436 - - 9567 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7388 - - 3955 - - 4289 - - 8841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 336 - - 270 - - 36 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 355 - - 354 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -36 - - -29 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4914 - - -1362 - - -2730 - - -7282 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9008 - - 10798 - - 12297 - - 11377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5962 - - -3640 - - -7318 - - -9090 ODpotential blCL - - - 10056 - - 13076 - - 16885 - - 13185 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 64 - - 66 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 61.4 - - 65.3 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.3 - - 28.3 - - 25.4 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 60.6 - - 64.8 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 27.1 - - 24.4 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 89 - - 41 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 5136 - - 5267 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99238 33 102 22 102 24 096 30 093 99238 91693 28 104 19 096 23 108 22 085 91693 85907 24 114 16 113 24 089 25 099 85907 81115 16 102 14 131 18 081 27 092 81115 76975 12 103 10 127 14 090 19 089 76975 73323 11 102 14 123 8 098 15 088 73323 70014 4 045 18 098 12 134 10 084 70014 66954 6 131 8 091 13 094 10 101 66954 64113 5 087 7 092 7 090 6 085 64113 61357 3 029 1 275 3 021 5 074 61357 58479 8 327 5 172 6 252 7 299 58479 55495 21 305 14 309 14 301 12 304 55495 52641 29 294 21 300 25 297 20 309 52641 50069 32 289 29 296 31 295 26 301 50069 47759 38 298 34 300 33 297 30 301 47759 45665 49 301 43 303 40 306 39 306 45665 43756 59 299 51 305 49 308 49 306 43756 42003 62 296 57 308 57 310 59 308 42003 40380 62 298 65 311 67 313 64 307 40380 38867 65 302 70 311 74 315 66 306 38867 37456 67 304 72 313 76 317 65 309 37456 36116 67 305 74 315 77 319 68 313 36116 34778 66 308 72 316 75 321 69 315 34778 33411 67 310 70 320 71 322 63 316 33411 32020 69 309 69 320 65 324 56 320 32020 30592 68 306 58 323 52 324 48 322 30592 29117 66 305 56 329 42 325 34 321 29117 27596 64 308 53 328 34 331 15 330 27596 26024 61 314 46 339 32 334 15 347 26024 24397 50 320 45 350 34 335 18 341 24397 22719 40 323 44 354 36 340 23 344 22719 20987 37 324 42 357 40 349 28 344 20987 19193 35 327 39 351 42 355 30 344 19193 17371 34 330 31 341 38 355 29 342 17371 15621 29 331 24 333 28 343 26 328 15621 14035 23 331 18 332 18 327 22 306 14035 12626 15 333 14 337 14 328 17 302 12626 11366 10 339 11 345 14 332 15 306 11366 10233 8 340 11*349 13*335 11 319 10233 9214 8 341 10*352 11*342 8 343 9214 8301 8 342 10 354 10 348 7 013 8301 7485 8 343 10 356 9 352 9 039 7485 6755 8 343 9 356 8 356 11 054 6755 6094 8 343 8 357 7 359 11 057 6094 5503 8 342 8 356 6 002 12 059 5503 5004 8 342 7 356 5 005 12 059 5004 4618 8 342 6 356 4 006 12 060 4618 4350 7 342 6 356 4 007 12 060 4350 4187 7*343 6 355 4 007 11*059 4187 4094 7*342 6 355 4 007 11*059 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography