DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 70.0 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 8 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - - - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - - - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2501 - - 3386 - - - - - 763 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 27 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 139 - - - - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7887 - - -5711 - - - - - -5687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11982 - - 9807 - - - - - 9783 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16295 - - -12267 - - - - - -12790 ODpotential blCL - - - 20390 - - 16362 - - - - - 16885 blCL maxRH - - - 22 - - 27 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 70.0 - - - - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 41.6 - - - - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 70.2 - - - - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.5 - - 40.5 - - - - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 8 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 12 283 11 290 9 285 97599 90306 4 121 7 242 6 353 90306 84707 9 101 10 186 4 344 84707 80076 7 012 5 093 6 236 80076 76082 4 258 11 336 4 212 76082 72551 8 188 12 262 3 292 72551 69360 4 310 12 208 15 314 69360 66439 8 266 7 226 18 298 66439 63739 14 240 12 276 16 264 63739 61111 15 240 19 262 11 262 61111 58377 14 253 24 238 24 276 58377 55580 12 298 10 238 29 256 55580 52931 19 308 17 310 22 232 52931 50535 16 309 21 314 18 264 50535 48374 9 337 15 320 21 292 48374 46401 12 352 12 336 21 302 46401 44583 12 359 11 347 15 307 44583 42897 10 016 9 350 10 323 42897 41328 9 029 5 004 10 336 41328 39863 9 035 2 053 8 330 39863 38489 7 050 2 143 8 322 38489 37168 8 082 3 156 2 339 37168 35834 12 085 4 115 5 140 35834 34461 15 075 9 099 10 147 34461 33053 16 059 13 082 10 134 33053 31596 16 058 14 063 10 103 31596 30079 14 061 14 061 10 078 30079 28502 13 050 15 051 12 070 28502 26866 14 039 16 056 11 094 26866 25175 15 050 17 076 13 127 25175 23435 15 066 16 095 15 145 23435 21638 17 086 13 109 13 147 21638 19778 16 098 11 124 9 140 19778 17888 15 117 10 142 9 153 17888 16066 16 135 14 160 9 165 16066 14406 19 144 19 164 11 180 14406 12925 22 149 22 165 9 194 12925 11603 25 154 24 168 7 210 11603 10418 28 158 25 172 7 220 10418 9357 30 162 26 176 9 212 9357 8409 31 167 23 180 13 196 8409 7565 30 170 19 178 17 183 7565 6813 26 170 17 169 20 174 6813 6133 21 168 17 163 22 170 6133 5527 15 162 16 157 20 167 5527 5018 12 154 16 153 16 160 5018 4625 11 146 15 148 14 148 4625 4354 10 142 14 145 11 133 4354 4188 10*142 13*142 8*119 4188 4094 9*141 10*139 4*057 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography