DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 30.0 - - 31.3 - - 31.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 76 - - 44 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1367 - - 1840 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4590 - - 4074 - - 4075 - - 4075 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5667 - - 6140 - - 4092 - - 4092 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4398 - - 3725 - - 4962 - - 5069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 223 - - 38 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 15 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 256 - - 251 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -10 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -462 - - 578 - - -356 - - -1132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6129 - - 5562 - - 4448 - - 5224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2573 - - -700 - - -1206 - - -2193 ODpotential blCL - - - 8240 - - 6840 - - 5298 - - 6285 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 88 - - 95 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 120 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 30.0 - - 31.3 - - 31.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.9 - - 20.0 - - 26.2 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 29.0 - - 30.6 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 18.9 - - 25.2 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 76 - - 44 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1367 - - 1840 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 51 - - 80 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96906 23 116 18 117 18 113 24 106 96906 89707 21 106 15 107 16 096 18 104 89707 84113 18 109 14 104 13 099 14 087 84113 79448 16 101 12 112 15 117 6 085 79448 75415 10 089 13 100 10 109 7 079 75415 71846 4 099 5 071 4 090 8 099 71846 68596 2 109 0 076 3 241 5 081 68596 65578 8 250 5 250 8 207 6 272 65578 62751 14 245 10 246 12 215 18 257 62751 59989 14 245 17 252 9 226 13 247 59989 57101 16 245 21 249 17 257 8 263 57101 54098 16 268 15 271 27 281 23 283 54098 51218 22 302 30 286 33 282 29 284 51218 48621 40 287 32 285 31 285 36 288 48621 46296 40 276 30 296 34 298 40 290 46296 44199 37 288 43 306 46 302 42 297 44199 42288 40 303 57 299 53 303 49 302 42288 40526 50 307 58 297 60 303 57 299 40526 38887 58 302 60 297 64 300 59 293 38887 37359 59 298 60 297 66 298 62 292 37359 35934 56 300 60 301 68 298 70 290 35934 34580 56 305 61 306 67 298 73 284 34580 33239 62 309 65 309 65 300 68 279 33239 31888 71 310 69 308 64 303 58 280 31888 30519 79 310 69 306 64 301 58 288 30519 29111 82 313 68 307 61 298 67 287 29111 27657 85 317 66 309 58 297 69 281 27657 26164 90 320 65 311 56 297 64 277 26164 24634 89 322 66 312 55 298 55 276 24634 23066 80 321 69 315 54 300 47 283 23066 21467 62 317 69 320 52 302 41 292 21467 19830 50 309 63 324 50 305 38 300 19830 18149 42 301 47 322 45 306 35 300 18149 16459 31 299 35 308 31 305 29 285 16459 14843 27 300 33 293 18 302 28 269 14843 13373 27 299 30 295 17 295 27 262 13373 12058 26 296 27 293 21 289 26 260 12058 10880 24 294 27 283 23 282 24 259 10880 9821 23 292 25 277 24 276 21 262 9821 8870 22 290 24 270 24 271 19 263 8870 8017 23 289 23 265 23 268 17 265 8017 7256 24 286 21 261 21 266 16 265 7256 6575 25 283 20*259 19 264 14 266 6575 5958 24*280 18*258 16 262 13 267 5958 5406 23*277 16 256 13 260 12 267 5406 4941 21 276 15 256 10 257 11 266 4941 4581 20 276 14 256 9 255 9 265 4581 4331 18 275 13 256 8 253 8 264 4331 4179 16 276 12 255 7*253 7*263 4179 4091 14 276 11 255 6*251 7*263 4091 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography