DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 47.3 - - 51.6 - - 52.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1695 - - 1984 - - 2135 - - 1964 - - 1524 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 27 - - 25 - - 18 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 142 - - 115 - - 060 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3477 - - -3873 - - -4219 - - -4041 - - -3423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7572 - - 7967 - - 8313 - - 8135 - - 7518 sfcLCL ODpotential -11029 - - -12209 - - -11500 - - -10297 - - -10638 ODpotential blCL 15123 - - 16302 - - 15594 - - 14391 - - 14732 blCL maxRH 60 - - 62 - - 85 - - 83 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 47.3 - - 51.6 - - 52.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.4 - - 27.1 - - 29.8 - - 31.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 46.9 - - 51.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 26.0 - - 28.6 - - 30.7 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96416 21 090 20 075 23 079 21 113 16 097 96416 89334 20 082 12 090 13 061 17 095 11 077 89334 83843 10 089 12 111 3 114 11 074 9 078 83843 79253 10 095 10 095 5 156 4 337 13 034 79253 75261 5 037 6 067 3 209 7 286 14 005 75261 71723 3 041 3 008 4 317 4 272 11 319 71723 68513 10 351 9 304 10 320 10 335 7 327 68513 65546 12 315 15 302 18 313 21 316 15 335 65546 62788 15 297 17 295 23 298 24 299 21 326 62788 60123 23 315 16 307 21 300 25 301 22 318 60123 57352 31 301 24 306 28 300 30 307 24 314 57352 54485 32 299 28 295 31 296 35 302 29 309 54485 51761 37 312 29 302 29 299 32 302 36 317 51761 49324 41 309 36 314 31 308 38 309 42 312 49324 47150 40 324 37 318 33 312 36 304 35 307 47150 45201 57 319 45 320 41 317 40 312 47 316 45201 43454 46 308 51 307 51 306 51 305 55 304 43454 41863 30 296 42 308 48 290 53 294 55 297 41863 40380 38 360 40 340 38 297 48 291 51 299 40380 38983 42 349 45 344 35 324 44 293 50 305 38983 37661 55 354 44 338 39 326 46 294 52 308 37661 36384 59 352 45 332 39 320 47 299 55 306 36384 35091 55 340 45 326 42 320 46 303 55 304 35091 33755 47 327 47 321 47 315 45 301 55 301 33755 32380 45 324 48 314 49 310 49 302 57 296 32380 30952 46 325 50 308 46 300 52 302 57 294 30952 29461 41 320 50 306 47 292 50 298 54 296 29461 27910 34 318 50 308 48 291 50 300 49 298 27910 26300 31 316 47 309 48 302 48 309 45 296 26300 24637 41 314 43 309 44 307 41 311 43 289 24637 22923 52 316 41 310 37 304 35 305 45 287 22923 21152 52 317 40 312 34 303 34 298 45 291 21152 19320 48 314 39 313 35 307 35 298 42 300 19320 17465 45 311 37 315 35 312 36 306 39 308 17465 15683 44 312 34 317 35 316 36 312 38 313 15683 14066 38 315 28 317 33 317 34 315 36 313 14066 12626 29 316 23 314 29 316 30 316 31 311 12626 11342 23 314 18 312 23 312 25 314 25 309 11342 10193 19 314 14 312 18 307 21 311 21 306 10193 9166 15 312 9 310 13 300 17 305 17 305 9166 8248 13 307 5 298 9 285 14 296 14 300 8248 7433 10 297 3 257 8 258 11 281 12 289 7433 6707 7 288 4 216 7 229 9 261 8 272 6707 6053 4 280 5 192 7 208 6 248 5 249 6053 5471 2 269 6 174 4 198 3 248 3 202 5471 4982 1 193 5 167 2 177 0 043 3 171 4982 4604 1 134 3 155 2 133 3 065 3 152 4604 4343 2 111 3 146 2 119 4 062 3 137 4343 4184 2*101 2*143 2*116 4*061 3*123 4184 4093 2*096 2*142 2*115 4*060 3*117 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography