DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 50.4 - - 54.0 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 26 - - 30 - - 26 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3822 - - 335 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 8122 - - 4635 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4482 - - 4389 - - 2084 - - 4256 - - 4040 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 33 - - 222 - - 92 - - 31 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 106 - - 133 - - 198 - - 004 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - 30 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1033 - - -1362 - - 1680 - - -330 - - -917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5127 - - 5457 - - 6443 - - 4965 - - 5011 sfcLCL ODpotential -2324 - - -2735 - - 422 - - -1834 - - -2088 ODpotential blCL 6418 - - 6829 - - 7700 - - 6469 - - 6182 blCL maxRH 101 - - 89 - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 90 - - 190 - - 290 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 50.4 - - 54.0 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.5 - - 40.6 - - 39.8 - - 43.5 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.5 - - 49.9 - - 53.4 - - 50.7 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.8 - - 39.8 - - 38.6 - - 42.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 26 - - 30 - - 26 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3822 - - 335 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 55 - - 101 - - 79 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96683 36 286 36 284 31 276 31 275 35 283 96683 89634 16 299 13 291 16 271 21 283 23 303 89634 84178 17 272 15 280 21 277 23 280 23 293 84178 79646 9 293 15 275 23 293 21 281 17 288 79646 75694 18 261 20 274 25 296 15 285 18 280 75694 72147 19 259 21 254 23 272 16 280 20 268 72147 68900 14 279 17 245 21 243 19 277 22 266 68900 65899 19 274 13 257 18 235 20 277 21 267 65899 63117 24 261 14 268 18 243 23 266 20 272 63117 60423 24 260 16 264 20 243 24 261 19 275 60423 57603 21 259 15 281 16 253 24 264 19 275 57603 54660 24 250 24 282 16 281 25 265 22 267 54660 51844 28 247 30 258 23 271 29 259 30 259 51844 49313 31 251 30 251 27 255 29 252 32 252 49313 47047 36 252 35 252 30 257 29 254 30 253 47047 44989 45 242 42 249 39 253 35 254 33 252 44989 43100 46 237 47 244 48 247 42 248 38 245 43100 41357 45 240 53 241 55 244 50 246 44 239 41357 39740 49 244 62 241 63 242 60 244 53 238 39740 38237 58 243 70 241 74 240 73 241 65 238 38237 36838 66 239 77 240 84 238 86 239 78 238 36838 35505 67 236 80 238 91 239 96 239 88 237 35505 34172 65 237 78 238 94 238 101 238 94 237 34172 32812 66 242 75 236 88 236 97 237 94 234 32812 31435 63 240 71 234 77 234 91 233 89 228 31435 30028 56 233 66 233 69 235 89 230 90 223 30028 28579 52 228 61 230 64 233 77 232 85 224 28579 27086 51 224 60 227 60 228 63 230 71 221 27086 25545 50 224 58 226 58 225 57 225 58 210 25545 23953 48 226 55 227 57 224 56 221 54 201 23953 22312 45 225 50 228 54 227 53 219 48 203 22312 20617 37 222 41 226 47 230 47 219 42 203 20617 18865 32 217 36 218 38 230 39 216 36 206 18865 17086 30 211 34 212 32 225 34 212 32 208 17086 15376 28 203 32 210 32 221 32 211 28 212 15376 13818 25 195 28 212 32 216 30 213 24 218 13818 12429 24 194 24 212 30 213 29 214 22 225 12429 11188 23 202 21 210 27 210 27 217 21 234 11188 10075 21 219 19 213 23 207 25 220 20 241 10075 9078 19 234 17 217 20 204 22 225 18 248 9078 8185 15 243 16 219 17*200 18 231 16 254 8185 7390 12 249 13 217 14*198 15 238 13 257 7390 6680 8 251 9 209 13 197 11 246 10 258 6680 6037 4 243 5 195 12 197 8 260 8 256 6037 5462 1 169 3 168 11 197 5 284 6 249 5462 4978 2 123 3 143 10 198 5*331 4 237 4978 4602 3 114 4 135 10 198 6*000 3 229 4602 4342 3 112 4 133 9 199 6 004 3 222 4342 4184 3*109 4*133 9 199 6 006 3*218 4184 4093 3*106 3*133 9 198 6 007 3*216 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography