DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 54.8 - - 57.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 1 - - 16 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 577 - - 811 - - 1703 - - 2930 - - 600 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 14 - - 27 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 099 - - 085 - - 181 - - 134 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5578 - - -4424 - - -6163 - - -6930 - - -6328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9673 - - 8518 - - 10257 - - 11024 - - 10422 sfcLCL ODpotential -14476 - - -12774 - - -13376 - - -13555 - - -14015 ODpotential blCL 18570 - - 16868 - - 17470 - - 17649 - - 18109 blCL maxRH 75 - - 68 - - 83 - - 59 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 54.8 - - 57.2 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 26.0 - - 24.8 - - 23.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 49.8 - - 57.0 - - 60.2 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.4 - - 24.8 - - 23.6 - - 22.6 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 1 - - 16 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95403 66 291 71 290 71 299 72 304 61 282 95403 88537 42 305 38 304 43 302 47 301 40 301 88537 83186 30 314 29 316 29 317 31 288 36 310 83186 78703 22 316 19 325 19 329 22 291 34 311 78703 74815 22 319 16 333 18 307 27 299 33 310 74815 71390 24 314 18 327 17 302 22 306 23 309 71390 68304 22 310 18 318 13 300 18 314 14 307 68304 65467 26 307 19 309 16 300 20 299 14 289 65467 62829 29 303 22 299 23 284 23 296 17 274 62829 60261 33 309 23 306 23 279 28 289 25 262 60261 57554 43 298 29 295 31 278 31 283 32 269 57554 54721 40 291 32 285 42 276 50 279 43 271 54721 52008 38 303 33 293 44 275 46 277 39 267 52008 49558 50 305 47 295 47 284 41 289 44 286 49558 47357 53 297 51 287 55 280 54 277 52 278 47357 45355 52 292 47 284 53 277 54 271 51 271 45355 43516 57 292 46 288 47 277 49 269 53 265 43516 41836 53 290 48 285 45 273 49 265 53 259 41836 40308 39 290 49 275 49 270 50 269 44 260 40308 38898 32 303 42 276 48 267 44 264 38 270 38898 37575 28 294 40 279 37 267 35 263 33 264 37575 36297 23 281 40 286 31 275 33 262 29 255 36297 35002 31 279 42 291 29 278 29 261 29 250 35002 33664 38 282 47 285 36 273 32 260 30 245 33664 32287 44 289 49 282 40 267 38 255 33 235 32287 30861 54 289 46 282 44 263 40 252 36 227 30861 29376 54 286 45 277 46 258 44 248 44 231 29376 27835 49 282 45 269 44 255 48 244 52 233 27835 26240 45 281 42 263 41 252 47 242 52 234 26240 24597 44 281 37 260 39 250 44 241 47 237 24597 22907 44 281 37 262 41 250 41 240 41 236 22907 21161 42 280 39 265 41 252 41 237 39 229 21161 19349 36 272 36 263 39 256 40 234 37 225 19349 17508 29 263 32 257 35 259 36 239 33 233 17508 15737 24 261 26 253 29 259 31 249 27 245 15737 14125 17 263 19 246 21 253 26 254 20 249 14125 12687 12 259 13 238 16 241 20 251 15 245 12687 11401 9 252 11 232 13 230 17 243 13 239 11401 10248 8 249 10 228 11 222 15 237 12 237 10248 9215 7 249 9 223 10 215 13 232 10 236 9215 8292 6 249 8 220 9 209 11 224 8 235 8292 7470 4 238 7 217 9 201 9 210 7 229 7470 6738 4 213 7 211 9 189 9 194 6 216 6738 6076 5 192 7 202 9 179 8 178 6 196 6076 5487 7 178 7 192 8 173 8 162 8 178 5487 4991 8 172 7 177 7 168 7 155 9 168 4991 4610 8 163 6 157 5 163 7 148 10 155 4610 4346 7 143 5 129 4 161 6 144 8 137 4346 4185 5*124 5*109 2*165 4*141 7*120 4185 4093 3*099 3*085 1*181 3*134 4*108 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography