DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.5 - - 80.5 - - 87.9 - - - - - 84.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 45 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - - - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - - - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1492 - - 2618 - - 7325 - - - - - 3473 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 36 - - 39 - - - - - 19 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 108 - - 026 - - - - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7279 - - -6879 - - -6724 - - - - - -6853 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11374 - - 10975 - - 10821 - - - - - 10949 sfcLCL ODpotential -15222 - - -12787 - - -10050 - - - - - -12311 ODpotential blCL 19317 - - 16883 - - 14146 - - - - - 16407 blCL maxRH 26 - - 25 - - 19 - - - - - 23 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 550 - - - - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 75.5 - - 80.5 - - 87.9 - - - - - 84.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 46.8 - - 54.6 - - - - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.3 - - 80.2 - - 87.7 - - - - - 87.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 45.7 - - 53.3 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 45 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99738 47 095 44 118 36 112 27 093 99738 92244 37 106 33 102 33 111 32 095 92244 86450 29 111 24 100 29 114 28 100 86450 81621 24 114 21 101 27 104 28 106 81621 77453 23 127 22 113 21 094 22 106 77453 73785 24 130 20 113 20 112 16 115 73785 70491 17 120 21 129 12 125 20 118 70491 67470 15 121 17 124 13 135 18 098 67470 64672 15 113 13 154 9 164 9 084 64672 61988 7 107 14 152 14 185 5 030 61988 59226 3 197 4 215 15 201 7 238 59226 56392 9 226 12 234 17 234 22 246 56392 53700 18 274 19 239 23 246 25 232 53700 51282 32 271 21 254 22 247 23 228 51282 49116 41 249 32 258 30 253 22 240 49116 47146 45 243 41 250 38 250 32 249 47146 45328 43 248 41 249 42 245 38 253 45328 43634 38 259 38 255 34 249 35 254 43634 42048 39 275 37 267 32 262 32 244 42048 40558 41 282 38 280 33 277 30 228 40558 39155 38 280 40 282 37 279 26 228 39155 37806 37 279 40 282 39 278 32 237 37806 36447 37 282 40 284 40 277 39 243 36447 35047 40 284 40 287 40 278 37 250 35047 33610 41 286 40 289 39 283 29 255 33610 32123 42 289 42 290 38 287 25 257 32123 30573 43 291 45 289 39 288 24 263 30573 28963 44 290 46 289 39 290 23 274 28963 27295 43 288 44 288 38 290 23 282 27295 25570 37 287 39 287 35 290 22 284 25570 23791 30 285 31 283 30 286 23 283 23791 21955 27 275 26 275 24 276 22 276 21955 20057 26 266 23 268 22 264 22 267 20057 18135 24 263 20 262 21 253 22 262 18135 16290 25 251 19 255 22 245 20 253 16290 14613 25 239 20 243 22 241 17 232 14613 13117 22 226 22 234 19 242 15 216 13117 11778 20 219 22 226 18 244 11 214 11778 10577 17 217 21 221 17 246 8 222 10577 9498 13 219 20 219 15 249 6 254 9498 8532 10 224 16 219 13 252 9 282 8532 7670 6 233 13 220 11 254 12 290 7670 6900 4 248 9 220 9 257 15 290 6900 6202 3 278 7 222 6 262 17 289 6202 5579 5 298 4 222 3 275 18 289 5579 5054 6 302 2 207 2 322 18 288 5054 4647 5 299 1 144 2 008 17 289 4647 4366 3 303 2 112 3 024 15 290 4366 4194 1*316 2*107 3*028 12*292 4194 4095 1*320 2*108 3*026 7*299 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography