DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 54.2 - - 52.7 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 0 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2881 - - 2376 - - 1837 - - 1611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 14 - - 12 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 293 - - 297 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -7 - - -10 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2473 - - -2018 - - -1431 - - -1403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6567 - - 6113 - - 5525 - - 5497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8042 - - -6507 - - -5336 - - -5000 ODpotential blCL - - - 12136 - - 10601 - - 9430 - - 9094 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 76 - - 75 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 54.2 - - 52.7 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 41.4 - - 42.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 54.3 - - 53.1 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 40.2 - - 41.4 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 0 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 3 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96372 9 140 13 323 16 041 12 071 96372 89309 9 040 2 349 10 026 12 081 89309 83781 13 008 3 354 7 345 15 006 83781 79178 13 008 7 006 8 318 10 320 79178 75194 12 325 9 356 1 299 13 329 75194 71690 23 331 27 323 25 334 22 303 71690 68547 29 313 23 302 9 289 17 313 68547 65620 24 281 16 283 16 308 29 343 65620 62869 23 296 37 299 49 299 56 310 62869 60222 43 308 66 295 70 290 69 288 60222 57484 67 296 70 288 71 285 65 281 57484 54640 72 281 64 282 67 293 64 294 54640 51914 68 282 68 292 76 299 76 298 51914 49449 77 294 82 295 92 291 89 291 49449 47236 92 290 91 289 100 283 97 284 47236 45225 97 279 95 280 99 276 96 277 45225 43380 86 265 92 273 90 271 87 276 43380 41683 77 265 87 275 83 276 84 287 41683 40131 85 282 96 287 96 290 100 298 40131 38703 103 290 112 292 116 296 112 297 38703 37369 103 287 117 290 116 293 109 294 37369 36084 98 283 112 286 109 288 103 291 36084 34783 92 285 109 282 102 280 95 286 34783 33441 97 283 108 281 97 274 97 280 33441 32064 98 281 107 285 95 272 96 277 32064 30637 98 280 102 290 94 274 94 273 30637 29152 97 278 106 287 97 278 90 270 29152 27611 92 276 100 282 99 283 89 273 27611 26015 83 272 97 277 98 287 91 282 26015 24369 76 270 93 275 101 286 94 287 24369 22677 75 269 85 274 93 282 87 285 22677 20937 78 271 75 271 85 278 79 277 20937 19139 80 273 67 271 80 277 77 270 19139 17313 78 274 65 275 74 277 79 271 17313 15558 72 273 66 281 65 277 77 277 15558 13964 65 272 65 286 59 277 70 280 13964 12545 61 273 63 289 56 280 62 282 12545 11279 59 274 60 289 54 284 57 285 11279 10148 58 273 58 287 52 289 52 290 10148 9135 56 270 58 283 50 291 47 293 9135 8229 52 267 57 276 48 288 44 292 8229 7422 47 264 55 270 47 281 43 286 7422 6702 41 264 51 265 46 273 42 277 6702 6051 34 264 44 262 44 268 40 268 6051 5470 27 265 39 263 41 267 40 264 5470 4982 22 265 33 263 35 268 33 263 4982 4604 19 265 28 265 29 269 26 263 4604 4343 16 266 23 267 24 271 20 264 4343 4184 13*265 17*272 18*274 16*264 4184 4093 9*264 8*293 6*297 8*265 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography