DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.4 - - 42.5 - - 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 10 - - 20 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2759 - - 3066 - - 3279 - - 3505 - - 2549 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 23 - - 29 - - 15 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 089 - - 223 - - 180 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -949 - - -1402 - - -2189 - - -2809 - - -2855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5043 - - 5495 - - 6282 - - 6904 - - 6949 sfcLCL ODpotential -2613 - - -3082 - - -4636 - - -5372 - - -5948 ODpotential blCL 6706 - - 7175 - - 8729 - - 9466 - - 10041 blCL maxRH 80 - - 82 - - 82 - - 84 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.4 - - 42.5 - - 45.4 - - 47.7 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.0 - - 33.1 - - 32.5 - - 32.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.5 - - 42.2 - - 45.0 - - 47.7 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 - - 31.1 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 10 - - 20 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 27 - - 29 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95503 51 315 62 308 59 302 68 317 65 308 95503 88632 49 320 51 316 48 311 50 317 52 312 88632 83298 49 323 38 331 42 314 45 313 43 313 83298 78812 43 324 29 325 34 315 42 317 38 323 78812 74911 37 329 31 309 36 318 40 320 34 328 74911 71447 37 324 34 313 38 311 36 315 27 329 71447 68302 30 331 32 316 32 310 34 311 27 319 68302 65414 30 322 34 311 33 312 30 316 23 304 65414 62740 32 297 35 297 35 312 29 330 20 304 62740 60128 36 285 34 295 40 306 38 316 28 297 60128 57382 31 279 40 289 43 293 43 296 40 292 57382 54516 34 291 41 283 43 286 46 286 48 283 54516 51762 47 287 38 284 42 286 40 287 38 279 51762 49264 48 282 35 288 35 293 36 302 36 293 49264 47021 46 286 34 299 38 309 46 301 51 293 47021 44989 50 294 45 305 47 305 53 293 50 286 44989 43126 58 296 60 294 56 293 52 288 48 286 43126 41407 67 288 67 283 57 283 45 288 50 285 41407 39822 67 276 61 275 52 276 41 292 51 286 39822 38361 58 279 50 278 46 279 43 296 50 290 38361 37012 60 297 49 296 48 288 49 296 49 300 37012 35734 73 301 60 297 54 285 50 286 45 299 35734 34459 74 300 63 296 58 281 48 288 39 297 34459 33156 66 303 62 297 58 281 50 293 41 300 33156 31819 59 307 60 298 54 286 48 288 45 306 31819 30434 56 315 60 297 50 290 45 286 44 310 30434 28986 57 318 59 294 48 291 41 291 43 323 28986 27478 61 316 57 292 46 291 37 292 37 329 27478 25911 65 313 54 292 46 293 37 291 32 334 25911 24287 66 312 49 296 47 295 35 295 30 337 24287 22610 64 313 43 306 44 293 33 296 27 334 22610 20877 62 316 38 314 37 290 33 288 28 325 20877 19078 61 324 35 312 33 293 31 282 29 324 19078 17251 51 321 35 308 32 297 26 285 26 313 17251 15501 41 310 36 306 32 299 23 294 21 299 15501 13917 36 306 35 308 29 300 23 303 18 297 13917 12508 34 306 32 312 24 301 21 307 15 306 12508 11248 32 302 27 316 19 309 16 307 10 318 11248 10121 30 296 22 320 13 320 10 306 6 319 10121 9112 29 290 17 322 8 329 5 292 3 280 9112 8210 28 286 13 323 4 327 4 260 3 225 8210 7407 27 285 10 322 2 290 3 250 3 203 7407 6690 25 286 9 317 1 254 3 259 2 188 6690 6042 21 289 7 312 1 254 3 265 2 175 6042 5464 16 293 4 310 1 240 2 266 3 158 5464 4977 10 299 1 320 1 234 1 254 5 147 4977 4601 7 310 1 048 2 222 1 195 6 141 4601 4342 5 316 1 079 2 222 2 181 6 142 4342 4183 4*325 1*083 2*218 2*179 4*156 4183 4092 3*333 1*089 2*223 2*180 3*163 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography