DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 46.7 - - 50.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 182 - - 103 - - 57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2417 - - 3264 - - 5262 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5661 - - 6278 - - 7482 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6717 - - 7564 - - 9562 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2699 - - 5174 - - 5656 - - 9168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 330 - - 364 - - 363 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 27 - - 27 - - 27 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 033 - - 039 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1781 - - 1195 - - 335 - - -5242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4936 - - 6370 - - 9228 - - 9337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 260 - - -812 - - -2086 - - -6135 ODpotential blCL - - - 6457 - - 8376 - - 11648 - - 10229 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 77 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 210 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 46.7 - - 50.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 33.0 - - 24.3 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 45.3 - - 49.5 - - 50.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 31.7 - - 23.2 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 182 - - 103 - - 57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2417 - - 3264 - - 5262 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98170 6 260 5 309 15 347 7 031 98170 90697 8 347 5 011 5 329 9 341 90697 84936 8 036 7 321 7 358 5 012 84936 80176 5 077 5 346 3 334 8 011 80176 76090 3 092 3 312 5 001 6 065 76090 72484 5 019 7 273 6 296 7 006 72484 69209 10 312 7 306 5 292 7 299 69209 66180 14 287 12 281 8 275 7 251 66180 63352 13 262 18 290 14 300 8 299 63352 60608 4 273 20 271 20 292 12 319 60608 57754 3 317 10 258 15 279 12 323 57754 54803 23 328 18 338 18 307 19 308 54803 51990 34 304 25 309 27 320 20 321 51990 49472 29 307 23 316 36 334 41 335 49472 47249 30 337 42 346 58 329 60 331 47249 45266 57 345 70 334 73 332 82 331 45266 43465 79 326 84 328 85 337 78 327 43465 41801 86 323 89 335 88 341 76 342 41801 40248 98 337 100 345 99 351 87 353 40248 38787 119 346 115 351 109 356 95 352 38787 37410 134 346 124 355 114 354 99 348 37410 36085 140 344 124 355 112 351 99 345 36085 34748 139 341 119 351 110 350 98 345 34748 33371 135 337 119 344 108 351 98 345 33371 31958 133 336 120 337 107 349 98 343 31958 30497 133 336 117 334 106 346 95 343 30497 28978 127 331 116 333 105 342 92 343 28978 27401 122 327 115 335 101 340 89 343 27401 25769 121 326 116 338 99 343 86 344 25769 24088 115 324 115 341 97 345 85 347 24088 22358 111 320 103 342 93 347 85 353 22358 20581 105 320 88 339 85 350 78 356 20581 18771 82 321 74 341 67 355 62 002 18771 16974 53 315 39 356 45 013 45 020 16974 15274 43 296 19 048 35 029 42 035 15274 13739 31 295 20 034 34 034 41 041 13739 12373 21 311 15 015 34 034 40 045 12373 11150 18 327 18 009 32 036 38 047 11150 10051 17 351 21 012 31*037 34 048 10051 9064 21 013 23 019 29*038 31 048 9064 8178 25 023 26*025 29 038 28 048 8178 7386 28*024 28*031 28 039 26 047 7386 6678 28*024 28 033 27 039 25 046 6678 6035 28 023 28 033 26 039 24 046 6035 5461 28 022 28 034 26 039 23 045 5461 4977 27 020 27 034 25 039 21 044 4977 4602 26 019 26 034 24 039 20 043 4602 4342 24 018 25 034 23 038 18 042 4342 4184 23 017 24 033 22 037 17*041 4184 4093 21 016 21 032 20 036 16*040 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography