DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.2 - - 54.6 - - 60.5 - - 64.5 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 34 - - 36 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 910 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 5210 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1828 - - 1380 - - 3458 - - 4298 - - 3756 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 139 - - 36 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 348 - - 240 - - 275 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4897 - - -4585 - - -7174 - - -7806 - - -6460 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8991 - - 9795 - - 11269 - - 11901 - - 10556 sfcLCL ODpotential -13794 - - -13089 - - -13536 - - -13222 - - -11634 ODpotential blCL 17888 - - 18299 - - 17630 - - 17317 - - 15729 blCL maxRH 69 - - 57 - - 50 - - 64 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.2 - - 54.6 - - 60.5 - - 64.5 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.6 - - 26.4 - - 25.7 - - 26.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 54.1 - - 60.0 - - 64.1 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.4 - - 25.2 - - 24.7 - - 25.9 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 34 - - 36 - - 5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 910 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97449 8 020 3 350 9 305 9 004 8 058 97449 90253 8 075 5 318 7 336 8 355 8 068 90253 84686 2 031 3 265 7 305 6 298 6 353 84686 80060 4 328 1 206 5 262 9 255 11 298 80060 76078 10 276 4 295 6 226 10 254 11 282 76078 72558 14 254 5 315 7 256 8 279 7 288 72558 69375 10 258 4 004 8 262 9 276 9 295 69375 66451 12 286 4 355 8 249 9 264 9 273 66451 63731 13 286 6 319 8 261 8 281 9 304 63731 61100 14 275 12 287 17 278 18 297 19 303 61100 58363 14 299 13 286 18 270 21 286 19 303 58363 55519 19 317 17 307 21 296 29 302 31 308 55519 52802 35 323 28 312 30 301 35 301 36 301 52802 50348 36 323 35 322 33 313 37 305 37 308 50348 48131 46 339 50 326 41 320 42 313 44 314 48131 46099 62 331 59 320 52 318 51 319 49 324 46099 44224 64 332 63 318 59 316 62 319 62 322 44224 42489 66 337 65 320 60 314 65 315 67 318 42489 40876 68 339 62 327 57 317 59 318 61 318 40876 39371 63 337 64 333 57 324 51 325 48 322 39371 37969 59 332 57 335 59 331 53 329 45 327 37969 36633 61 329 54 333 55 333 54 327 49 333 36633 35298 58 332 51 333 48 332 47 330 47 334 35298 33936 54 337 46 336 43 335 41 332 40 329 33936 32548 53 339 45 337 39 336 38 331 34 322 32548 31113 53 339 45 338 37 336 34 330 32 323 31113 29617 52 337 45 340 36 337 32 334 29 331 29617 28063 50 336 45 341 35 338 30 336 28 337 28063 26451 47 338 44 341 36 338 27 340 29 342 26451 24787 43 341 42 342 36 337 28 347 29 350 24787 23074 39 344 39 344 34 339 29 350 27 356 23074 21304 36 347 35 345 30 342 28 353 26 359 21304 19470 32 353 32 347 28 344 26 352 23 359 19470 17608 29 001 27 358 24 350 23 351 21 359 17608 15821 24 008 23 012 18 003 19 354 17 001 15821 14195 19 012 19 019 15 012 14 003 13 005 14195 12745 17 015 15 018 13 017 12 015 12 017 12745 11450 15 018 12 021 12 022 12 023 12 030 11450 10291 14 020 10 029 10 029 11 030 13 038 10291 9253 12 021 9 036 9 037 10 037 14 042 9253 8326 10 022 7 041 7 041 9 037 14 046 8326 7500 8 023 5 045 5 035 8 035 12 053 7500 6764 6 020 3 047 4 028 7 033 9 061 6764 6098 5 017 2 020 4 024 6 028 7 067 6098 5505 5 005 2*342 3 010 4 021 5 068 5505 5005 6 347 2*344 2 354 3 006 4 063 5005 4618 6 335 2 346 1 305 2 342 2 049 4618 4350 6 335 2 351 1 266 1 293 1 350 4350 4187 6*335 2 353 1*244 1*277 1*332 4187 4094 5*336 2 354 1*240 1*275 1*333 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography