DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.4 - - 81.9 - - 90.3 - - 88.5 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 40 - - 45 - - -3 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1419 - - 5568 - - 11557 - - 8692 - - 2615 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 36 - - 40 - - 26 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 23 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 4 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 149 - - 321 - - 285 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 1 - - -6 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6881 - - -8074 - - -7456 - - -6680 - - -6058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10977 - - 12171 - - 11553 - - 10777 - - 10154 sfcLCL ODpotential -13293 - - -12861 - - -9503 - - -9496 - - -10586 ODpotential blCL 17389 - - 16957 - - 13600 - - 13592 - - 14682 blCL maxRH 58 - - 69 - - 71 - - 53 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 120 - - 1740 - - 1870 - - 790 CAPE Temp@2m 75.4 - - 81.9 - - 90.3 - - 88.5 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 43.0 - - 53.5 - - 55.3 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.5 - - 83.7 - - 90.2 - - 89.6 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 41.7 - - 52.1 - - 54.0 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 40 - - 45 - - -3 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99495 33 094 27 115 22 104 27 104 26 102 99495 91963 26 105 21 113 24 103 20 092 25 100 91963 86142 25 096 18 105 20 103 21 104 18 090 86142 81311 23 101 15 107 16 107 17 100 15 097 81311 77166 20 106 16 111 15 123 12 092 15 109 77166 73519 13 123 12 111 16 130 11 114 11 111 73519 70220 16 119 11 137 13 151 11 123 11 075 70220 67196 11 141 7 161 9 178 7 156 4 114 67196 64400 6 205 12 183 10 186 7 174 3 157 64400 61701 24 211 18 215 10 213 13 210 7 173 61701 58902 22 205 27 203 25 214 24 212 25 234 58902 56039 27 228 31 204 38 213 40 218 42 220 56039 53347 40 238 39 222 46 214 50 219 44 211 53347 50925 53 235 51 229 54 222 55 222 46 216 50925 48739 62 234 61 229 62 225 62 223 52 218 48739 46738 69 235 67 231 66 226 64 223 58 217 46738 44886 73 235 70 232 68 227 65 224 60 219 44886 43160 79 233 72 230 72 226 69 224 66 220 43160 41545 83 231 77 229 79 225 74 225 71 221 41545 40035 79 231 79 230 81 226 81 228 80 226 40035 38628 66 232 74 232 78 231 83 229 87 229 38628 37282 56 231 66 232 72 233 80 230 83 231 37282 35928 51 228 57 231 64 230 68 231 72 230 35928 34542 49 226 52 234 54 229 53 229 63 224 34542 33122 46 234 49 236 46 224 49 222 60 224 33122 31656 45 239 47 232 45 221 45 213 57 222 31656 30136 47 237 48 235 45 223 43 212 56 215 30136 28568 51 236 48 236 47 224 44 212 55 209 28568 26949 51 236 48 231 48 219 48 209 56 203 26949 25274 48 233 50 225 50 213 53 206 56 202 25274 23545 46 232 48 219 51 210 54 206 51 205 23545 21757 44 229 44 216 48 210 49 208 46 201 21757 19903 42 226 41 214 43 212 42 204 41 187 19903 18018 39 224 38 213 40 213 32 193 36 181 18018 16198 36 222 35 215 33 213 20 187 28 184 16198 14538 33 219 31 217 21 215 19 186 21 188 14538 13054 28 220 28 217 18 217 15 194 15 196 13054 11725 22 226 23 217 17 220 12 210 11 211 11725 10533 18 233 18 216 15 225 11 230 9 232 10533 9462 16 239 16 213 14 229 11 252 9 262 9462 8503 15 243 14 211 12 233 13 263 11 284 8503 7647 15 241 13 211 11 237 15 271 15 290 7647 6882 13 236 12 210 10 240 16 274 17 291 6882 6189 11 226 10 210 8 244 16 276 19 290 6189 5570 9 211 8 209 7 251 16 277 19 290 5570 5048 7 197 6 205 5 261 16 279 19 289 5048 4644 6 186 5 200 4 274 16 280 19 289 4644 4364 4 167 3 193 4 292 15 281 17 290 4364 4193 3*138 2*185 4*308 14*283 15*291 4193 4095 2*108 0*149 4*321 12*285 9*294 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography