DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 75.6 - - 77.6 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 21 - - 29 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1318 - - 2582 - - 6980 - - 9260 - - 4404 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 31 - - 35 - - 21 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 000 - - 108 - - 053 - - 041 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4467 - - -5600 - - -5066 - - -5235 - - -7105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8563 - - 9696 - - 9162 - - 9332 - - 11202 sfcLCL ODpotential -8868 - - -9697 - - -7375 - - -7565 - - -11396 ODpotential blCL 12963 - - 13792 - - 11470 - - 11661 - - 15492 blCL maxRH 40 - - 48 - - 49 - - 61 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 590 - - 1210 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.9 - - 69.9 - - 75.6 - - 77.6 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.8 - - 41.8 - - 49.6 - - 50.8 - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 69.6 - - 75.5 - - 78.8 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 40.6 - - 48.3 - - 49.4 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 21 - - 29 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98428 12 224 12 248 9 220 15 233 14 255 98428 90988 5 198 6 241 7 225 6 218 9 229 90988 85278 5 043 2 171 8 265 4 334 2 212 85278 80575 7 039 4 055 3 002 7 348 6 031 80575 76532 8 050 5 074 3 037 7 341 9 025 76532 72948 7 089 7 126 3 249 4 285 8 007 72948 69691 6 125 6 128 7 170 7 233 4 283 69691 66692 13 276 7 297 7 161 7 206 9 217 66692 63902 20 241 16 261 4 234 6 186 10 193 63902 61183 16 229 22 231 17 260 15 263 13 267 61183 58338 20 233 20 218 23 240 23 243 19 255 58338 55382 23 244 21 237 24 240 26 237 26 261 55382 52569 26 236 26 238 29 245 29 246 28 251 52569 50062 24 246 26 234 31 241 33 250 28 246 50062 47842 30 266 24 245 30 246 33 253 28 253 47842 45856 33 259 28 250 30 246 30 258 26 267 45856 44066 24 254 26 255 24 241 28 257 24 271 44066 42434 19 300 20 281 19 265 22 262 18 280 42434 40921 34 334 31 304 26 296 22 293 21 291 40921 39497 32 342 38 307 29 303 23 294 21 286 39497 38151 27 342 38 307 27 301 19 290 19 281 38151 36852 24 343 33 307 23 295 17 285 16 273 36852 35539 22 349 29 315 19 288 18 280 15 264 35539 34185 23 351 27 324 17 283 20 274 15 262 34185 32793 27 336 23 324 19 282 22 273 17 261 32793 31349 32 331 20 313 19 287 23 272 20 262 31349 29847 30 335 19 311 18 287 23 270 21 261 29847 28286 25 339 18 314 16 280 21 264 20 254 28286 26668 22 335 16 310 15 273 20 260 20 249 26668 24996 21 333 14 300 15 271 19 261 20 246 24996 23273 15 323 15 292 16 270 18 266 19 247 23273 21495 18 303 17 293 17 276 16 273 16 254 21495 19655 23 306 17 300 15 286 13 281 10 264 19655 17788 17 299 12 294 11 282 9 277 7 265 17788 15993 15 267 10 258 10 252 11 253 11 247 15993 14361 18 247 12 237 15 239 15 235 15 225 14361 12905 19 233 14 231 15 236 13 243 13 214 12905 11603 18 227 16 223 15 234 12 251 7 238 11603 10433 15 226 17 217 14 236 10 262 5 279 10433 9381 12 222 16 213 12 237 9 271 4 301 9381 8438 9 211 15 209 10 237 7 281 4 316 8438 7595 8 199 14 205 7 238 5 299 4 324 7595 6841 6 196 11 202 5 238 4 322 4 330 6841 6158 4 208 8 201 2 232 4 351 4 332 6158 5548 3 242 4 198 1 068 5 010 4 335 5548 5033 3 279 2 168 3 058 5 023 4 335 5033 4635 3 299 2 120 4 056 5 031 4 334 4635 4359 2 330 3 106 5 055 5 037 3 331 4359 4191 2*357 3*106 5*054 5*040 1*319 4191 4095 2*000 2*108 5*053 4*041 1*276 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography