DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 49.3 - - 54.1 - - 56.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 34 - - 41 - - 11 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2069 - - 2915 - - 3551 - - 3248 - - 3180 Hgt.Variab. W* 37 - - 36 - - 38 - - 27 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 015 - - 045 - - 050 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2132 - - -3010 - - -4246 - - -5253 - - -4870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6225 - - 7103 - - 8341 - - 9347 - - 8964 sfcLCL ODpotential -8654 - - -8633 - - -8942 - - -10027 - - -9856 ODpotential blCL 12747 - - 12726 - - 13036 - - 14121 - - 13950 blCL maxRH 57 - - 56 - - 44 - - 45 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 49.3 - - 54.1 - - 56.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 32.5 - - 31.9 - - 29.9 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 48.6 - - 53.5 - - 56.1 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.4 - - 31.4 - - 30.7 - - 28.7 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 34 - - 41 - - 11 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96621 21 288 35 270 24 276 29 275 43 269 96621 89466 14 265 24 274 23 272 21 281 23 280 89466 83955 7 287 12 276 23 265 19 275 16 266 83955 79373 15 324 3 258 14 259 13 238 17 242 79373 75406 18 298 11 262 12 266 14 248 16 265 75406 71881 17 266 19 239 25 246 22 261 19 274 71881 68669 13 246 16 235 25 239 26 264 21 277 68669 65691 16 265 16 269 20 246 26 266 20 263 65691 62906 27 271 22 274 22 256 26 263 21 251 62906 60196 31 264 25 260 27 258 26 258 21 251 60196 57364 29 261 27 250 32 256 29 268 24 254 57364 54428 28 265 28 251 35 252 34 266 28 259 54428 51635 33 268 29 260 33 248 35 260 31 263 51635 49133 38 268 33 264 32 259 36 259 34 265 49133 46911 41 269 35 271 37 264 36 257 37 260 46911 44918 45 270 40 275 38 261 35 257 37 255 44918 43115 44 265 47 273 41 268 39 271 39 263 43115 41473 44 267 52 268 51 275 51 276 48 270 41473 39964 44 273 56 265 60 272 61 271 64 264 39964 38557 45 282 56 268 64 267 69 267 67 257 38557 37230 49 286 57 271 64 265 71 264 65 260 37230 35949 47 282 56 273 64 267 69 270 63 260 35949 34655 41 276 52 274 65 271 69 274 65 264 34655 33322 35 274 48 271 65 274 70 278 68 269 33322 31954 31 274 44 269 61 278 63 280 65 275 31954 30540 29 277 39 270 51 277 56 275 56 272 30540 29069 28 280 35 270 44 273 50 270 53 263 29069 27545 28 283 32 269 39 271 46 265 50 261 27545 25968 28 284 28 270 34 268 43 266 47 265 25968 24343 27 285 25 277 30 268 38 265 41 269 24343 22672 27 285 25 281 28 275 33 268 36 272 22672 20945 25 285 24 281 28 281 31 275 32 277 20945 19158 24 284 22 282 26 285 27 280 27 285 19158 17345 23 282 20 288 23 288 24 284 23 293 17345 15601 23 283 19 296 20 294 21 287 20 295 15601 14010 21 287 17 301 16 298 19 288 18 293 14010 12590 18 290 15 304 13 296 16 288 15 287 12590 11320 14 285 13 300 11 293 13 290 12 280 11320 10183 12 273 10 287 10 286 12 297 9 274 10183 9166 12 263 9 269 11 278 12 296 7 275 9166 8255 12 255 8 253 10 266 10 285 7 270 8255 7444 9 247 7 237 8 265 8 276 6 262 7444 6721 5 246 5 224 6 269 6 280 3 236 6721 6067 3 271 2 227 4 283 3 300 2 170 6067 5482 3 318 1 298 2 335 3 010 4 133 5482 4990 4 336 1 347 3 028 4 037 5 131 4990 4610 5 340 1 001 3 044 4 047 4 126 4610 4346 5 343 1 009 4 046 4 049 3 124 4346 4186 5*344 1*010 4*047 4*050 2*121 4186 4093 5*345 1*015 4*045 4*050 2*119 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography