DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 50.9 - - 54.6 - - 54.0 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 530 - - 729 - - 1542 - - 1231 - - 708 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 115 - - 090 - - 097 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5396 - - -4853 - - -4588 - - -5275 - - -6188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9490 - - 8948 - - 8682 - - 9369 - - 10282 sfcLCL ODpotential -14125 - - -13018 - - -11241 - - -12325 - - -14324 ODpotential blCL 18219 - - 17112 - - 15335 - - 16419 - - 18418 blCL maxRH 89 - - 87 - - 86 - - 93 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 50.9 - - 54.6 - - 54.0 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 26.7 - - 31.4 - - 27.8 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 50.9 - - 55.8 - - 55.9 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 25.6 - - 30.1 - - 26.6 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 49 - - 46 - - 73 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96491 41 051 24 042 23 063 24 052 13 018 96491 89602 26 078 23 073 21 080 13 060 10 035 89602 84208 27 108 27 092 23 101 16 084 13 079 84208 79640 27 115 24 099 22 115 16 098 13 102 79640 75664 15 117 17 102 12 099 12 099 6 077 75664 72151 6 106 10 085 5 068 6 109 3 295 72151 68975 6 077 3 039 5 325 5 355 3 291 68975 66056 10 040 1 150 11 282 16 306 17 323 66056 63370 6 348 8 303 18 272 20 296 22 284 63370 60792 11 328 8 297 19 272 19 277 25 284 60792 58103 15 318 19 293 24 280 28 286 35 281 58103 55303 28 311 25 294 32 282 40 283 42 283 55303 52613 34 302 37 288 36 279 48 284 51 286 52613 50170 31 301 36 284 39 290 52 290 53 294 50170 47959 33 308 36 295 53 301 58 296 59 297 47959 45936 43 313 50 306 56 299 58 298 65 302 45936 44067 57 312 57 298 58 305 65 304 72 302 44067 42329 51 308 48 293 65 306 76 302 78 301 42329 40711 35 310 48 304 65 304 72 296 79 298 40711 39207 46 330 61 309 67 298 65 290 75 294 39207 37816 56 325 73 305 70 290 65 289 75 295 37816 36500 59 319 53 298 60 284 65 288 77 297 36500 35187 47 321 48 293 54 280 65 287 79 297 35187 33844 36 326 45 293 55 280 67 289 79 296 33844 32469 33 315 38 294 55 283 65 289 78 294 32469 31046 31 310 36 297 53 288 66 293 76 294 31046 29561 30 307 38 298 49 289 64 299 73 294 29561 28014 33 302 37 297 42 285 53 298 68 295 28014 26407 34 303 32 294 40 285 46 291 65 292 26407 24743 33 302 26 283 35 286 47 291 63 294 24743 23031 32 298 25 285 30 290 39 292 52 294 23031 21265 31 297 25 293 27 290 28 287 40 283 21265 19435 29 298 24 299 26 289 25 288 36 276 19435 17578 27 300 22 302 28 291 26 293 34 278 17578 15792 24 300 20 300 26 290 26 296 31 284 15792 14167 22 300 20 297 23 288 24 298 27 290 14167 12717 21 300 20 297 20 289 22 299 23 293 12717 11421 19 296 20 297 19 293 19 300 20 292 11421 10260 18 291 19 295 17 299 16 303 17 290 10260 9221 17 285 18 291 17 304 14 308 14 290 9221 8293 15 280 16 287 16 305 13 310 12 293 8293 7468 13 276 14 281 15 303 12 308 10 297 7468 6734 10 271 11 274 13 299 12 301 8 299 6734 6072 8 264 8 265 9 293 10 292 7 290 6072 5484 6 250 6 253 6 286 7 282 5 273 5484 4989 5 226 4 231 2 284 4 275 3 243 4989 4608 5 183 3 179 1 059 2 286 2 198 4608 4345 6 151 4 143 2 084 1 009 3 164 4345 4185 6*133 5*123 2*088 1*078 3*138 4185 4093 5*122 4*115 2*090 2*097 3*123 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography