DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 50.1 - - 52.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 17 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1494 - - 2411 - - 3033 - - 1236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 27 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 270 - - 232 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3514 - - -4086 - - -5033 - - -5098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7607 - - 8180 - - 9128 - - 9192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9544 - - -8893 - - -10699 - - -12173 ODpotential blCL - - - 13637 - - 12987 - - 14793 - - 16267 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 80 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 50.1 - - 52.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.3 - - 29.0 - - 27.0 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 50.4 - - 53.6 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 27.9 - - 25.9 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 17 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 35 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95478 59 299 63 304 67 301 55 285 95478 88621 38 307 45 302 53 306 34 306 88621 83267 38 306 35 307 53 310 34 332 83267 78769 41 305 37 311 45 310 41 329 78769 74883 29 301 36 304 31 308 39 317 74883 71453 18 304 30 294 25 307 33 306 71453 68344 20 317 31 311 27 312 25 300 68344 65470 30 317 35 307 32 307 23 295 65470 62794 33 306 34 307 33 295 25 292 62794 60195 32 302 32 307 31 295 30 294 60195 57476 34 305 33 302 35 301 32 299 57476 54644 37 308 39 300 40 303 34 305 54644 51930 44 303 46 301 44 317 34 298 51930 49473 47 301 46 304 52 330 38 331 49473 47271 42 301 51 318 69 318 64 323 47271 45286 36 317 69 316 72 310 61 314 45286 43489 55 324 69 310 57 314 43 327 43489 41846 60 332 54 314 41 322 45 355 41846 40320 84 352 59 354 55 357 66 343 40320 38895 108 356 85 004 72 357 73 336 38895 37561 115 352 84 357 74 354 67 339 37561 36276 111 348 77 352 67 348 58 346 36276 34978 105 350 72 348 63 343 50 341 34978 33640 92 356 68 341 58 338 43 334 33640 32264 80 351 70 340 49 336 36 331 32264 30839 77 338 74 339 43 344 30 333 30839 29353 73 335 68 332 44 337 28 329 29353 27809 64 343 61 326 55 323 38 313 27809 26208 49 343 48 322 54 323 54 307 26208 24557 44 328 48 319 48 318 63 301 24557 22859 39 322 51 315 49 307 54 300 22859 21109 32 318 42 313 48 304 43 297 21109 19301 25 310 33 306 44 307 38 294 19301 17465 26 305 27 307 38 307 34 297 17465 15697 28 310 24 312 32 304 29 302 15697 14085 25 314 21 315 27 301 24 304 14085 12646 19 318 16 318 21 296 20 300 12646 11361 14 321 11 319 16 290 15 293 11361 10211 10 320 6 315 10 285 9 287 10211 9181 7 308 4 297 7 273 6 273 9181 8261 5 290 4 267 6 252 5 255 8261 7444 4 265 4 233 6 224 5 239 7444 6716 4 233 4 195 6 190 5 225 6716 6059 5 199 5 176 6 163 5 206 6059 5475 5 183 4 165 5 151 4 180 5475 4984 4 160 3 154 5 142 5 157 4984 4605 4 129 2 150 3 135 5 146 4605 4344 4 107 1 154 2 136 5 130 4344 4184 4*106 0*221 1*156 3*118 4184 4093 4*106 1*270 1*232 2*112 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography