DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.3 - - 46.8 - - 52.1 - - 52.1 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 982 - - 1370 - - 1916 - - 2194 - - 913 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 18 - - 22 - - 9 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 104 - - 139 - - 092 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -4 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6160 - - -5466 - - -6216 - - -7414 - - -6291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10253 - - 9559 - - 10311 - - 11509 - - 10384 sfcLCL ODpotential -16597 - - -15523 - - -14226 - - -16263 - - -16241 ODpotential blCL 20690 - - 19616 - - 18320 - - 20357 - - 20334 blCL maxRH 23 - - 29 - - 67 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.3 - - 46.8 - - 52.1 - - 52.1 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.7 - - 20.1 - - 21.9 - - 16.7 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 46.6 - - 53.0 - - 54.5 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.7 - - 19.0 - - 20.8 - - 15.6 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96438 46 036 46 037 45 029 40 021 38 017 96438 89417 42 029 45 038 36 048 28 030 31 012 89417 83953 43 023 41 036 33 043 23 043 26 022 83953 79366 36 019 37 032 28 020 30 029 28 027 79366 75396 34 026 31 030 24 021 26 020 30 022 75396 71885 31 027 24 029 21 027 23 030 23 022 71885 68695 26 018 20 017 16 019 20 029 17 023 68695 65746 22 009 13 354 14 004 18 012 12 008 65746 63012 19 358 10 350 14 352 17 004 11 014 63012 60377 15 344 10 360 14 002 15 357 12 018 60377 57633 10 343 9 356 13 011 8 349 8 003 57633 54788 11 003 5 332 7 346 5 307 5 304 54788 52072 8 360 3 306 4 312 6 222 5 245 52072 49623 5 336 5 243 5 220 11 206 6 233 49623 47445 6 308 5 224 7 198 19 210 17 226 47445 45507 12 285 9 261 17 238 22 227 31 240 45507 43755 20 264 24 253 41 233 43 249 59 249 43755 42138 23 253 38 247 67 232 101 247 95 250 42138 40623 23 242 37 241 77 239 106 247 108 247 40623 39190 17 221 32 230 74 238 87 248 105 246 39190 37834 13 195 26 220 59 238 71 246 102 246 37834 36524 9 170 14 207 43 237 52 243 90 249 36524 35202 9 167 11 190 33 245 40 241 71 252 35202 33841 7 174 13 180 26 251 36 237 46 246 33841 32450 6 144 14 195 18 259 31 231 30 228 32450 31015 11 098 16 196 6 164 21 220 22 202 31015 29523 17 089 17 175 15 120 17 200 17 191 29523 27972 15 095 19 160 19 133 18 183 17 200 27972 26364 15 121 20 152 24 142 18 183 17 208 26364 24700 14 129 19 146 25 138 19 177 16 210 24700 22982 13 127 17 138 22 131 22 166 14 207 22982 21208 11 125 13 128 17 127 23 158 13 189 21208 19370 9 126 11 134 14 134 23 153 15 165 19370 17506 6 125 9 145 13 149 22 152 18 155 17506 15715 5 136 8 142 13 164 20 154 16 156 15715 14089 5 154 8 139 15 177 17 158 12 170 14089 12642 7 162 9 143 18 184 16 168 9 201 12642 11352 10 165 12 151 20 187 15 180 10 223 11352 10200 13 167 15 158 22 187 15 190 12 230 10200 9170 15 166 17 162 23 186 14 194 12 229 9170 8251 16 164 19 163 22 185 14 193 12 223 8251 7435 16 162 20 163 20 183 12 187 12 214 7435 6708 16 159 18 161 17 180 10 176 13 206 6708 6053 15 156 17 157 13 171 11 164 14 200 6053 5470 14 150 15 150 12 155 13 153 13 192 5470 4981 12 143 12 141 10 142 12 140 10 184 4981 4603 10 130 9 128 9 137 11 140 7 173 4603 4343 8 115 7 118 8 134 9 138 4 143 4343 4184 5*095 5*110 7*134 6*133 3*099 4184 4092 4*083 4*104 4*139 1*092 3*052 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography