DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.5 - - 84.5 - - 82.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 52 - - 21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3606 - - 8599 - - 12325 - - 12385 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 41 - - 33 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 357 - - 041 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5357 - - -8059 - - -7106 - - -6525 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9453 - - 12155 - - 11203 - - 10621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8415 - - -10131 - - -9069 - - -8851 ODpotential blCL - - - 12510 - - 14227 - - 13165 - - 12947 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 59 - - 50 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 230 - - 1220 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 81.5 - - 84.5 - - 82.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 42.4 - - 49.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 81.1 - - 84.6 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 41.3 - - 48.3 - - 48.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 52 - - 21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99447 32 110 30 100 36 110 32 110 99447 91941 27 116 26 107 27 108 31 095 91941 86148 26 117 16 120 25 103 22 096 86148 81341 27 106 18 135 16 116 25 089 81341 77194 19 092 24 110 18 146 10 079 77194 73548 13 095 18 103 21 126 12 152 73548 70258 9 116 11 122 11 108 13 109 70258 67229 9 134 6 164 3 108 10 087 67229 64420 5 126 8 160 6 208 1 050 64420 61707 5 205 5 214 5 264 3 251 61707 58883 6 269 6 269 9 296 7 281 58883 55968 13 274 15 276 14 299 13 299 55968 53208 15 313 17 284 19 291 17 297 53208 50731 16 294 20 285 21 293 18 291 50731 48500 19 312 24 301 23 301 19 297 48500 46462 27 312 25 304 24 307 23 308 46462 44590 30 313 30 313 28 305 28 305 44590 42862 32 313 30 308 27 305 26 304 42862 41257 32 316 28 315 24 322 18 329 41257 39759 31 321 26 323 26 341 20 355 39759 38359 27 315 26 320 28 341 23 004 38359 37023 24 309 25 311 29 332 25 004 37023 35683 24 304 23 301 27 331 29 007 35683 34309 22 300 22 292 25 327 27 010 34309 32904 23 299 24 289 22 315 25 010 32904 31451 22 301 26 291 20 305 24 005 31451 29942 20 298 23 292 22 297 18 351 29942 28376 18 295 21 282 22 296 16 327 28376 26756 19 292 21 280 20 295 18 314 26756 25084 19 292 20 286 18 295 17 318 25084 23362 15 286 17 281 15 284 13 313 23362 21585 12 269 14 266 12 276 11 290 21585 19747 11 255 12 253 10 264 7 283 19747 17884 10 244 9 237 11 230 7 209 17884 16094 10 246 9 225 12 229 6 210 16094 14462 11 231 8 211 11 235 2 281 14462 13001 11 208 8 206 10 239 4 338 13001 11688 11 187 7 206 8 244 5 347 11688 10507 10 174 7 207 6 250 7 345 10507 9444 9 158 6 207 4 259 8 340 9444 8490 6 142 4 205 3 278 9 334 8490 7638 4 114 3 204 2 318 10 330 7638 6875 3 064 2 207 2 004 10 326 6875 6184 3 041 1 213 3 025 11 325 6184 5567 3 014 0 325 5 037 11 323 5567 5046 3 352 1 006 5 041 11 323 5046 4642 3 336 2 004 6 043 10 322 4642 4363 3 323 2 002 6 043 9 321 4363 4193 2*310 2*360 6*043 8*321 4193 4095 2*287 2*357 5*041 6*323 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography