DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.1 - - 48.8 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 46 - - 34 - - 16 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1286 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 5586 - - 5222 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2649 - - 2528 - - 1443 - - 1555 - - 1889 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 40 - - 159 - - 120 - - 33 W* B/S 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 146 - - 129 - - 135 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2378 - - -2387 - - -2231 - - -2563 - - -3046 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6472 - - 6481 - - 7817 - - 7786 - - 7140 sfcLCL ODpotential -12140 - - -11808 - - -10877 - - -10816 - - -9953 ODpotential blCL 16234 - - 15902 - - 16463 - - 16038 - - 14047 blCL maxRH 82 - - 77 - - 87 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.1 - - 48.8 - - 54.7 - - 54.7 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 34.9 - - 34.9 - - 35.1 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 48.0 - - 54.1 - - 54.3 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 33.7 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 46 - - 34 - - 16 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1286 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 6 - - 47 - - 44 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96466 21 305 32 277 29 298 23 309 31 290 96466 89601 12 293 20 279 15 312 5 274 16 301 89601 84242 5 306 14 275 21 284 16 292 7 314 84242 79718 7 326 12 252 27 254 22 267 13 301 79718 75780 17 273 13 284 14 243 14 226 21 267 75780 72273 21 256 14 266 12 264 10 240 23 245 72273 69074 17 241 13 246 16 264 15 274 16 245 69074 66135 11 239 18 247 20 255 21 273 12 260 66135 63408 23 261 22 251 26 244 19 263 19 272 63408 60755 27 245 27 251 23 234 24 244 29 274 60755 57980 21 248 26 247 26 238 28 240 35 270 57980 55104 30 266 31 250 29 239 32 248 35 258 55104 52367 37 259 28 257 31 252 40 263 28 264 52367 49893 31 255 46 273 53 267 55 258 56 265 49893 47698 31 272 54 276 57 270 47 264 75 263 47698 45748 48 282 67 279 73 280 84 281 92 270 45748 43974 60 286 81 286 87 285 112 280 107 271 43974 42331 72 294 94 292 100 286 112 278 110 267 42331 40794 88 300 100 293 105 287 110 278 110 267 40794 39349 96 299 98 292 102 287 111 276 104 267 39349 37989 86 297 95 291 102 288 107 277 88 267 37989 36681 78 295 92 290 88 286 93 281 71 267 36681 35359 71 295 85 291 77 288 74 284 61 264 35359 33993 65 296 80 296 70 287 63 284 58 260 33993 32586 60 298 74 299 66 293 52 278 58 261 32586 31129 53 309 66 299 51 286 53 279 61 263 31129 29613 50 307 59 298 45 282 59 277 65 265 29613 28039 44 301 47 297 39 292 58 270 63 268 28039 26408 36 309 42 304 32 301 47 263 54 272 26408 24725 34 316 35 297 29 291 32 267 43 277 24725 23000 29 319 21 294 23 281 22 264 44 272 23000 21227 22 321 15 298 17 271 21 259 46 261 21227 19394 21 318 15 294 17 266 18 237 39 259 19394 17532 17 325 14 285 16 267 14 229 29 257 17532 15744 13 338 11 274 16 266 13 241 19 245 15744 14118 12 344 8 267 16 263 12 250 14 210 14118 12671 12 347 6 259 14 255 11 253 17 179 12671 11377 10 353 4 242 12 242 10 250 14 182 11377 10217 7 007 3 198 11 228 9 242 7 218 10217 9179 5 035 5 166 11 213 9 236 3 217 9179 8255 4 093 7 162 11 198 8 226 5 134 8255 7437 6 134 8 167 9 185 6 206 9 126 7437 6711 7 146 8 168 9 167 6 190 11 127 6711 6057 7 146 8 167 9*150 9 158 10 125 6057 5474 6 144 9 159 9*137 10*144 17 134 5474 4984 5 145 8 152 9 130 11*138 17 129 4984 4606 4 142 8 149 9 128 10 136 16 125 4606 4344 3 134 8 147 9 126 10 134 14 123 4344 4185 3*126 8*147 9 126 10 134 11*122 4185 4093 2*124 7*146 8 125 9 134 9*122 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography