DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.7 - - 45.0 - - 43.4 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 1210 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 5510 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3539 - - 4315 - - 2339 - - 2820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 23 - - 118 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 235 - - 230 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1302 - - -1177 - - 621 - - -744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5395 - - 5270 - - 4889 - - 4837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2661 - - -2411 - - -1010 - - -2454 ODpotential blCL - - - 6754 - - 6504 - - 6520 - - 6547 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.7 - - 45.0 - - 43.4 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 36.0 - - 36.1 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.3 - - 44.6 - - 43.0 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.4 - - 35.0 - - 35.2 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 1210 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 101 - - 89 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96050 29 295 24 288 25 303 26 294 96050 89037 17 309 13 306 13 311 20 292 89037 83610 18 308 17 307 19 311 13 305 83610 79054 13 281 7 267 13 295 10 319 79054 75094 17 291 15 290 17 298 19 297 75094 71593 16 269 16 264 10 267 9 257 71593 68383 11 163 7 239 9 297 10 284 68383 65382 16 244 36 243 35 260 19 249 65382 62591 35 235 36 237 34 248 26 243 62591 59879 30 227 26 230 24 251 27 256 59879 57027 32 245 31 249 28 255 36 256 57027 54048 40 249 44 243 40 247 40 248 54048 51197 44 248 47 236 43 240 43 243 51197 48636 42 250 43 237 40 242 46 242 48636 46355 46 253 42 246 44 256 48 245 46355 44297 53 246 52 255 55 255 48 247 44297 42418 56 241 62 249 62 250 50 244 42418 40687 63 242 65 243 66 245 54 243 40687 39079 74 243 72 245 66 240 58 244 39079 37583 87 243 81 243 63 239 62 246 37583 36195 103 241 87 239 65 242 68 248 36195 34878 115 236 91 237 69 244 74 248 34878 33570 117 233 94 235 74 243 79 245 33570 32241 117 232 98 235 76 242 80 240 32241 30894 120 231 101 235 75 241 74 236 30894 29516 122 232 98 236 75 241 63 237 29516 28095 117 234 84 237 78 238 57 239 28095 26629 97 236 64 233 80 233 55 239 26629 25115 70 241 55 228 73 236 55 237 25115 23554 61 246 52 226 57 238 56 234 23554 21945 57 248 47 226 45 230 53 234 21945 20288 51 247 41 226 43 230 47 230 20288 18579 47 241 38 227 37 231 40 223 18579 16846 41 239 40 229 38 234 37 229 16846 15177 38 244 39 231 40 236 32 238 15177 13655 38 244 35 235 40 237 27 250 13655 12297 39 239 32 239 38 237 24 258 12297 11081 41 236 29 242 34 237 24 263 11081 9989 40 238 27 243 30 238 24 265 9989 9008 37 241 26 244 27 239 24 266 9008 8128 33 244 25 243 24 239 24 266 8128 7343 28 246 24 243 21 238 24 263 7343 6642 23 247 22 243 19 237 23 261 6642 6008 18 248 19 242 17*235 22 258 6008 5441 12 248 16 242 15*234 19 255 5441 4964 9 247 14 241 13 232 15 251 4964 4594 6 245 12 240 12 230 11 245 4594 4338 6 244 11 237 11 227 9 242 4338 4182 5*243 10*237 10 226 8*241 4182 4092 5*243 9*235 9 223 6*235 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography