DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 77.3 - - 76.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 52 - - 7 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7125 - - 11580 - - 11916 - - 2911 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 41 - - 27 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 274 - - 283 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -1 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4900 - - -8331 - - -5849 - - -4836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8996 - - 12426 - - 9946 - - 8932 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6968 - - -9611 - - -7616 - - -8196 ODpotential blCL - - - 11063 - - 13706 - - 11712 - - 12291 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 47 - - 51 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 50 - - 760 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 77.3 - - 76.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 36.8 - - 46.5 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 76.8 - - 76.6 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 35.5 - - 45.3 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 52 - - 7 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98319 13 107 9 102 17 125 10 143 98319 90877 7 096 6 167 4 173 3 138 90877 85160 5 227 2 269 5 127 4 123 85160 80428 9 200 9 243 6 311 5 073 80428 76335 10 206 12 239 10 274 3 329 76335 72694 7 207 10 222 9 222 7 284 72694 69386 7 195 8 209 8 226 6 288 69386 66342 4 247 8 219 8 268 7 292 66342 63525 4 287 7 231 9 267 10 282 63525 60807 6 317 6 295 8 287 10 271 60807 57979 11 299 11 289 10 291 11 282 57979 55048 11 307 15 278 19 281 16 289 55048 52260 18 299 18 271 22 278 21 273 52260 49778 18 295 20 274 20 279 22 267 49778 47582 21 301 23 270 23 265 25 266 47582 45619 24 303 22 270 28 253 27 260 45619 43839 22 312 22 279 27 252 30 254 43839 42195 22 322 22 286 23 254 31 249 42195 40658 18 317 20 293 19 257 28 251 40658 39210 17 294 20 290 19 264 27 256 39210 37845 19 273 23 286 22 280 25 266 37845 36533 21 255 25 285 22 285 25 274 36533 35212 20 252 26 282 21 283 23 277 35212 33854 20 255 25 279 21 278 21 277 33854 32462 19 255 24 276 20 273 20 277 32462 31023 19 249 21 278 17 272 17 280 31023 29527 18 246 16 284 12 270 13 282 29527 27978 13 253 13 280 11 265 11 281 27978 26374 7 254 12 275 10 267 8 281 26374 24718 6 236 12 270 10 265 7 284 24718 23016 7 231 11 258 12 254 7 275 23016 21262 6 246 11 239 14 241 10 259 21262 19451 6 254 11 230 14 230 15 233 19451 17616 7 256 13 236 14 220 21 213 17616 15854 11 250 15 241 11 214 19 199 15854 14247 17 238 14 245 9 224 14 196 14247 12808 19 231 14 248 9 233 10 200 12808 11519 15 232 13 251 8 248 7 214 11519 10360 12 239 13 253 10 266 5 247 10360 9319 11 242 12 255 11 270 7 279 9319 8385 10 244 11 256 13 276 11 290 8385 7552 8 246 10 257 13 277 15 292 7552 6807 6 248 9 257 14 278 18 291 6807 6133 4 252 7 259 14 279 20 290 6133 5530 2 259 6 260 14 280 21 289 5530 5022 1 276 4 263 15 281 21 288 5022 4628 0 043 3 269 14 281 20 289 4628 4356 1 072 3 275 14 282 18 289 4356 4190 1*082 2*276 13*283 15*291 4190 4094 1*099 2*274 11*283 9*295 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography