DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.6 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 24 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1251 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - - - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5551 - - 4095 - - - - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1507 - - 4156 - - - - - 1386 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 33 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 124 - - - - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 6 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3953 - - -6506 - - - - - -5247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9505 - - 10602 - - - - - 9343 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12373 - - -13022 - - - - - -12299 ODpotential blCL - - - 17924 - - 17117 - - - - - 16394 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 33 - - - - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 66.6 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 34.8 - - - - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 66.2 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 33.6 - - - - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 24 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1251 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97578 6 311 4 035 13 289 97578 90351 3 141 4 241 9 069 90351 84787 7 144 9 216 10 036 84787 80177 3 188 6 198 1 074 80177 76196 6 167 6 221 2 338 76196 72671 5 076 7 189 9 325 72671 69495 5 354 2 342 7 295 69495 66576 4 307 6 279 8 283 66576 63871 8 358 3 078 10 246 63871 61255 15 310 12 349 4 267 61255 58523 16 331 16 341 5 298 58523 55704 27 333 24 333 26 340 55704 53033 28 333 25 335 27 342 53033 50621 35 355 32 360 25 358 50621 48440 53 359 44 002 37 011 48440 46451 62 355 53 359 47 009 46451 44622 65 355 59 356 54 008 44622 42929 66 000 62 001 55 010 42929 41349 61 013 57 013 53 015 41349 39867 59 025 49 024 47 024 39867 38478 55 029 42 030 42 036 38478 37153 52 038 43 042 38 042 37153 35825 57 053 45 050 32 047 35825 34459 59 059 46 051 31 060 34459 33056 57 057 45 048 34 069 33056 31602 55 056 43 046 37 070 31602 30087 54 057 42 046 39 067 30087 28509 52 062 42 049 37 062 28509 26870 48 066 42 052 34 059 26870 25173 43 064 37 056 31 063 25173 23423 38 059 33 063 30 068 23423 21616 35 060 31 066 25 072 21616 19741 32 064 31 070 20 081 19741 17836 27 070 28 078 20 095 17836 16006 25 082 24 083 21 098 16006 14344 26 098 23 092 21 096 14344 12866 29 110 24 104 22 100 12866 11549 28 117 25 115 23 110 11549 10371 26 120 23 123 22 118 10371 9319 23 121 21 127 21 116 9319 8379 20 122 17 126 20 110 8379 7544 17 122 12 118 20 106 7544 6798 14 124 12 118 20 103 6798 6123 11*123 11 119 20 100 6123 5521 7*119 10 119 18 095 5521 5014 5 120 8 120 16 088 5014 4623 5 122 7 121 13 076 4623 4353 4 123 6 123 9 062 4353 4189 4 125 6*123 7*048 4189 4094 4 125 5*124 4*350 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography