DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 86.2 - - 89.2 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 44 - - 11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3526 - - 6499 - - 11018 - - 4586 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 29 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 041 - - 325 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6963 - - -7399 - - -6300 - - -5892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11060 - - 11496 - - 10397 - - 9989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12647 - - -12729 - - -8605 - - -9801 ODpotential blCL - - - 16743 - - 16825 - - 12702 - - 13897 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 55 - - 36 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - 1590 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 86.2 - - 89.2 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 49.9 - - 57.5 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.1 - - 86.0 - - 90.2 - - 85.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 48.7 - - 56.2 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 44 - - 11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99515 42 106 36 116 29 110 31 098 99515 91993 33 099 27 109 35 111 23 106 91993 86204 22 104 25 098 30 098 25 101 86204 81412 20 108 21 106 18 085 25 083 81412 77276 18 099 20 112 12 111 17 067 77276 73616 15 104 16 093 11 123 10 066 73616 70309 14 092 13 098 10 099 10 084 70309 67278 11 078 13 104 8 084 10 074 67278 64480 5 028 6 054 15 027 10 076 64480 61784 8 159 9 203 7 300 7 008 61784 59012 6 246 6 228 7 263 7 281 59012 56172 13 254 16 245 16 250 16 257 56172 53482 25 277 24 266 26 264 28 271 53482 51070 40 282 36 279 35 275 36 278 51070 48903 49 277 46 275 44 272 45 276 48903 46925 52 273 50 272 49 271 49 273 46925 45101 51 271 51 271 50 272 50 273 45101 43403 50 270 51 271 50 272 49 274 43403 41813 50 271 50 273 49 270 49 273 41813 40316 50 272 49 273 47 270 48 272 40316 38905 49 270 49 272 48 271 49 272 38905 37548 47 268 49 272 48 271 50 272 37548 36181 48 267 50 271 50 273 52 273 36181 34773 47 267 48 269 50 273 51 276 34773 33330 43 269 45 271 48 272 48 278 33330 31838 38 271 40 269 42 271 46 279 31838 30290 33 272 33 265 34 268 44 277 30290 28691 28 272 29 266 29 266 38 272 28691 27037 26 273 27 268 27 270 33 272 27037 25330 25 271 27 271 26 273 30 275 25330 23574 25 270 26 273 26 274 29 274 23574 21764 23 268 25 274 25 274 29 271 21764 19895 22 267 23 274 24 272 27 267 19895 18003 21 264 21 273 23 267 23 263 18003 16185 21 259 20 269 21 263 18 259 16185 14532 20 254 21 262 17 265 12 254 14532 13054 18 251 20 257 17 268 7 265 13054 11731 16 250 18 256 16 274 7 297 11731 10541 13 249 17 258 15 281 9 308 10541 9471 10 250 15 259 14 289 12 306 9471 8512 7 253 12 264 13 296 16 301 8512 7656 5 266 9 272 13 302 19 297 7656 6890 4 292 7 287 12 308 20 294 6890 6195 4 308 5 314 12 313 21 293 6195 5575 4 320 5 350 11 317 21 293 5575 5051 3 326 5 012 11 320 21 293 5051 4646 2 327 6 024 10 322 20 293 4646 4365 2 324 5 031 10 324 17 294 4365 4193 2*318 5*039 9*325 14*295 4193 4095 1*315 4*042 7*325 8*300 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography