DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 55.9 - - 58.4 - - 57.1 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 26 - - 18 - - 16 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3353 - - 3647 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 7653 - - 7947 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2127 - - 5379 - - 2747 - - 2698 - - 4507 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 33 - - 180 - - 178 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 26 - - 26 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 286 - - 267 - - 272 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - 23 - - -11 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5179 - - -6000 - - -480 - - 629 - - -3539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9273 - - 10094 - - 8133 - - 7319 - - 7634 sfcLCL ODpotential -9391 - - -8964 - - -5617 - - -3776 - - -6429 ODpotential blCL 13485 - - 13058 - - 13270 - - 11723 - - 10523 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 89 - - 80 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 55.9 - - 58.4 - - 57.1 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 25.9 - - 36.9 - - 39.1 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 55.8 - - 58.3 - - 56.9 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 25.1 - - 35.8 - - 37.9 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 26 - - 18 - - 16 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 3353 - - 3647 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 86 - - 94 - - 57 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96979 46 283 42 270 39 271 34 279 30 264 96979 89552 54 271 60 268 62 274 60 278 54 277 89552 83876 44 266 49 266 58 268 60 272 48 276 83876 79195 34 261 36 261 43 263 47 264 35 279 79195 75161 32 260 28 263 34 256 35 259 31 278 75161 71579 34 271 26 273 26 260 27 253 31 266 71579 68341 34 279 26 275 23 274 27 264 32 275 68341 65381 29 285 22 278 20 282 23 272 29 281 65381 62632 26 285 22 284 23 282 21 276 23 278 62632 59948 26 286 22 287 21 283 21 284 21 278 59948 57132 25 288 25 284 21 286 26 293 22 289 57132 54210 25 301 26 281 30 284 34 290 29 288 54210 51430 33 297 30 289 33 283 37 290 29 286 51430 48929 35 293 37 295 34 284 38 289 34 291 48929 46687 36 291 40 286 38 282 39 285 38 290 46687 44655 36 284 40 277 41 278 44 283 44 293 44655 42808 34 278 37 273 44 275 50 280 52 291 42808 41132 34 274 33 268 47 274 55 280 59 283 41132 39604 32 269 34 264 47 273 59 279 62 277 39604 38195 32 270 35 262 45 273 60 277 62 276 38195 36877 33 273 36 265 44 274 59 275 61 277 36877 35610 34 272 38 268 43 276 57 276 60 278 35610 34332 35 269 39 269 42 278 55 277 59 279 34332 33015 36 270 39 269 43 280 52 278 58 281 33015 31664 39 270 39 271 43 282 51 279 57 283 31664 30266 41 265 41 273 43 284 49 280 55 284 30266 28812 40 263 42 274 42 284 47 281 53 283 28812 27304 40 270 44 273 42 283 45 281 51 281 27304 25743 45 275 46 270 41 281 43 280 50 278 25743 24133 48 276 45 268 40 280 39 279 48 275 24133 22475 45 276 44 269 40 280 37 282 46 274 22475 20762 42 276 41 271 40 281 36 286 44 274 20762 18989 42 275 39 272 40 278 36 288 43 276 18989 17187 40 273 39 271 37 273 36 286 43 278 17187 15453 36 272 38 269 33 270 37 282 43 278 15453 13875 31 270 36 267 30 272 39 279 43 278 13875 12470 26 267 34 266 29 278 40 276 43 279 12470 11218 23 265 32 265 30 281 39 276 42 281 11218 10099 21 265 31 265 30 278 35 275 41 282 10099 9097 20 265 30 266 30 273 31 274 40 280 9097 8200 20 267 26 266 30*269 28*273 38 277 8200 7402 20 268 22 268 30*267 28*273 36 274 7402 6689 20 268 20 270 29 267 28 272 33 272 6689 6044 18 267 18 272 29 267 27 272 28 270 6044 5467 14 264 17 275 28 267 27 272 26 269 5467 4981 9 257 16 277 26 267 26 272 23 269 4981 4604 6 242 14 279 24 267 24 273 20 269 4604 4343 4 224 12 282 21 268 22 273 17 269 4343 4184 3*202 11*283 18 268 19 274 16*269 4184 4093 3*196 8*286 11 270 12 275 13*269 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography