DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.8 - - 72.7 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 35 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3477 - - 4580 - - 4938 - - 3484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 36 - - 23 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 258 - - 286 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6115 - - -7653 - - -7541 - - -6058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10209 - - 11748 - - 11636 - - 10153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14300 - - -14362 - - -13058 - - -11943 ODpotential blCL - - - 18394 - - 18457 - - 17153 - - 16038 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 53 - - 41 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 69.8 - - 72.7 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 32.7 - - 35.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.0 - - 69.4 - - 72.9 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.0 - - 31.5 - - 34.8 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 35 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 5 082 4 217 5 270 3 337 98030 90757 2 283 4 173 5 297 3 091 90757 85107 3 163 3 303 3 036 1 224 85107 80412 5 061 4 209 5 348 5 005 80412 76385 6 007 1 190 6 326 6 024 76385 72835 5 303 5 264 10 317 10 349 72835 69629 6 276 8 258 7 286 8 312 69629 66672 10 277 13 286 9 307 6 316 66672 63918 10 257 15 269 17 282 16 297 63918 61257 7 279 13 248 19 257 23 282 61257 58489 16 302 17 298 14 276 18 282 58489 55619 24 292 25 297 20 293 21 294 55619 52882 19 303 19 304 19 306 23 292 52882 50414 20 330 19 331 22 326 17 314 50414 48200 27 340 24 344 28 337 24 339 48200 46206 29 354 28 353 30 341 29 349 46206 44392 33 011 31 004 32 349 30 353 44392 42720 38 016 35 011 32 359 31 357 42720 41162 42 018 38 014 35 004 33 360 41162 39701 44 016 40 012 38 004 35 002 39701 38327 43 013 40 007 38 003 34 001 38327 37006 42 014 38 004 37 000 30 359 37006 35673 41 012 35 004 37 358 29 357 35673 34298 38 010 34 006 35 356 30 355 34298 32887 34 010 34 008 33 356 29 352 32887 31425 32 011 31 009 32 356 27 348 31425 29903 29 011 27 009 29 357 25 348 29903 28321 26 013 21 009 25 357 22 350 28321 26681 24 013 18 003 20 354 20 351 26681 24987 24 009 19 002 20 352 18 352 24987 23245 25 008 19 003 19 347 18 353 23245 21452 23 010 17 002 17 345 16 353 21452 19600 23 016 17 008 15 350 13 356 19600 17725 23 020 17 015 12 003 10 360 17725 15925 21 027 17 020 10 020 8 016 15925 14287 18 036 15 026 10 035 8 037 14287 12827 15 046 13 033 12 041 10 048 12827 11525 12 058 10 040 12 042 12 050 11525 10360 10 069 8 044 12 039 14 047 10360 9316 9 073 7 041 10 033 14 045 9316 8381 7 070 7 037 9 031 13 046 8381 7548 5 064 7 037 9 030 11 052 7548 6803 4 061 6 035 8 028 9 061 6803 6129 3 054 5 031 7 024 8 069 6129 5527 3 034 4 019 6 015 7 075 5527 5020 3 024 3 355 4 003 6 078 5020 4627 3 019 2 318 3 347 5 080 4627 4355 2 015 2 274 2 326 2 088 4355 4189 2*014 2*265 2*300 1*244 4189 4094 2*016 2*258 2*286 1*248 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography