DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 75.9 - - 80.6 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 53 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3904 - - 4096 - - 8334 - - 7412 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 42 - - 32 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 056 - - 020 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5223 - - -6796 - - -7017 - - -4808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9318 - - 10892 - - 11114 - - 8905 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11212 - - -12171 - - -9856 - - -7506 ODpotential blCL - - - 15307 - - 16267 - - 13952 - - 11602 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 30 - - 32 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 130 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 75.9 - - 80.6 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 42.3 - - 46.0 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 75.4 - - 80.7 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 41.1 - - 44.8 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 53 - - 21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98636 19 155 10 088 24 108 20 141 98636 91178 19 143 14 129 14 120 14 099 91178 85456 19 121 17 137 11 119 16 087 85456 80699 20 116 20 120 14 129 18 097 80699 76603 16 108 18 126 13 117 16 094 76603 72999 14 130 12 133 11 113 12 101 72999 69748 13 120 8 122 7 098 10 107 69748 66765 9 092 7 107 4 115 3 087 66765 64004 3 059 5 117 2 161 1 266 64004 61326 7 226 7 294 8 312 5 349 61326 58531 7 218 10 246 15 269 13 296 58531 55650 19 289 14 277 19 265 20 278 55650 52910 26 294 22 286 24 280 25 279 52910 50443 32 288 34 290 36 288 36 288 50443 48236 36 281 40 288 45 292 43 291 48236 46236 39 294 42 298 47 294 47 297 46236 44407 52 307 57 310 56 311 49 309 44407 42726 68 309 66 311 67 313 54 313 42726 41170 73 306 62 310 64 311 50 312 41170 39712 68 307 57 313 54 312 43 313 39712 38343 62 309 54 314 47 317 38 315 38343 37026 54 312 48 315 44 318 35 318 37026 35696 51 316 45 320 41 316 33 321 35696 34327 49 318 44 320 38 315 33 322 34327 32921 47 316 42 318 36 315 32 323 32921 31466 43 314 39 316 34 314 30 322 31466 29951 40 316 36 314 33 309 28 317 29951 28379 38 317 35 310 33 306 29 312 28379 26750 34 316 34 310 33 308 30 310 26750 25066 32 312 32 309 32 312 28 309 25066 23333 31 306 31 303 28 316 25 308 23333 21544 28 300 31 299 25 312 22 308 21544 19694 25 293 29 295 25 306 21 308 19694 17820 23 288 25 290 23 300 19 304 17820 16023 22 286 21 288 19 291 16 289 16023 14390 20 283 19 287 16 274 15 271 14390 12933 17 278 17 280 15 265 12 261 12933 11628 14 269 14 265 14 269 9 276 11628 10456 11 255 11 253 13 276 9 294 10456 9401 8 244 10 256 11 290 10 304 9401 8455 2 237 9 258 10 307 11 309 8455 7610 1 040 7 263 9 324 13 311 7610 6854 2 040 5 272 9 338 14 312 6854 6168 2 033 3 299 9 350 15 312 6168 5556 2 016 2 001 9 360 16 313 5556 5039 2 359 3 032 8 007 16 313 5039 4638 2 336 4 041 7 012 15 314 4638 4361 1 312 4 048 6 015 14 317 4361 4192 1*290 3*054 5*018 12*317 4192 4095 1*271 3*058 3*020 7*322 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography