DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 51.9 - - 52.0 - - 57.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 22 - - 52 - - 6 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2033 - - 1306 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 6333 - - 5606 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3573 - - 3260 - - 2682 - - 8998 - - 7769 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 157 - - 180 - - 25 - - 28 W* B/S 1 - - 34 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 10 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 181 - - 160 - - 325 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 17 - - 3 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -648 - - -292 - - 137 - - -4865 - - -3889 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4743 - - 6625 - - 5470 - - 8959 - - 7983 sfcLCL ODpotential -1942 - - -1656 - - -1764 - - -5964 - - -5218 ODpotential blCL 6036 - - 7989 - - 7370 - - 10058 - - 9312 blCL maxRH 101 - - 92 - - 86 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 60 - - 40 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 51.9 - - 52.0 - - 57.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.4 - - 37.0 - - 42.0 - - 32.6 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.7 - - 51.4 - - 51.3 - - 57.5 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 36.1 - - 40.8 - - 31.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 22 - - 52 - - 6 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2033 - - 1306 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 67 - - 45 - - 101 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96529 37 277 40 277 40 289 31 279 34 281 96529 89464 19 277 24 279 25 272 28 269 28 300 89464 84010 20 284 13 279 10 266 17 278 20 299 84010 79432 19 274 19 267 17 276 11 271 18 274 79432 75456 17 261 17 255 22 267 15 247 22 245 75456 71919 22 264 8 246 16 263 11 259 14 251 71919 68679 23 258 17 269 16 244 15 271 16 263 68679 65669 21 255 27 258 25 236 26 251 24 251 65669 62874 19 254 24 244 28 240 29 244 24 240 62874 60164 23 254 18 226 23 243 27 246 18 236 60164 57313 27 245 18 227 24 246 26 244 17 237 57313 54332 28 245 27 244 31 241 28 243 24 239 54332 51503 33 251 37 247 33 239 35 246 34 254 51503 48987 39 246 41 248 37 244 42 245 42 255 48987 46753 41 240 46 240 43 243 44 244 43 249 46753 44741 39 235 44 230 46 239 44 242 45 244 44741 42910 42 241 39 233 46 236 45 240 47 238 42910 41229 46 243 42 241 48 236 47 236 48 232 41229 39679 46 249 46 248 51 235 50 230 50 229 39679 38242 47 254 48 252 53 233 52 228 53 230 38242 36905 47 262 51 251 54 231 56 229 54 229 36905 35625 49 270 51 249 54 231 57 226 53 229 35625 34335 47 269 50 248 54 231 55 224 54 227 34335 33006 43 262 49 246 54 231 54 224 56 224 33006 31644 41 254 47 244 53 233 53 227 56 222 31644 30236 36 250 45 244 52 234 51 229 55 222 30236 28772 35 233 41 241 50 234 49 232 53 222 28772 27253 37 217 38 237 47 231 47 232 51 222 27253 25681 36 215 37 231 43 230 46 231 50 223 25681 24059 37 217 38 225 40 227 43 231 49 224 24059 22394 40 221 44 216 40 220 41 232 46 225 22394 20682 43 226 41 218 42 217 39 232 41 227 20682 18919 39 232 38 228 42 222 40 231 37 229 18919 17139 32 236 38 231 40 228 39 231 33 228 17139 15433 27 237 34 229 35 233 34 232 29 225 15433 13879 24 236 30 230 28 234 26 232 24 223 13879 12493 23 233 27 230 23 240 18 230 18 219 12493 11252 22 232 24 233 23 247 14 231 12 212 11252 10138 20 235 23 238 23 250 12 235 7 210 10138 9136 16 241 21 243 22 250 10 241 5 223 9136 8237 12 246 16 247 19 247 8 250 5 249 8237 7434 8 250 10 249 14 238 7 261 6 266 7434 6715 5 243 5*246 9 231 6 276 7 274 6715 6064 3 223 2*231 9*195 5 293 9 279 6064 5481 4 175 1 196 10*168 5 309 10 281 5481 4990 6 162 1 165 10 161 5 315 10 283 4990 4610 6 158 1 154 10 159 5 319 9 285 4610 4346 6 154 1 143 10 158 5 321 8 288 4346 4185 6*152 1 135 10 157 5*323 8*288 4185 4093 5*152 1 132 10 157 5*325 7*289 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography