DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.2 - - 58.6 - - 62.0 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 23 - - 27 - - 0 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 462 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4762 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1549 - - 1470 - - 3318 - - 5539 - - 3767 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 100 - - 34 - - 18 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 135 - - 089 - - 021 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 7 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2396 - - -2677 - - -4305 - - -4785 - - -5315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6491 - - 7439 - - 8400 - - 8879 - - 9410 sfcLCL ODpotential -9896 - - -10069 - - -9580 - - -7564 - - -9974 ODpotential blCL 13990 - - 14831 - - 13674 - - 11658 - - 14069 blCL maxRH 65 - - 82 - - 85 - - 86 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.9 - - 53.2 - - 58.6 - - 62.0 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.9 - - 35.0 - - 36.1 - - 37.4 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 52.7 - - 58.0 - - 61.8 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 33.8 - - 35.0 - - 36.3 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 23 - - 27 - - 0 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 462 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 29 - - 41 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97218 6 142 4 277 11 258 8 290 10 254 97218 89996 6 072 7 206 6 326 4 211 4 313 89996 84429 5 009 8 134 2 187 3 268 6 028 84429 79804 4 338 5 111 2 111 1 101 5 049 79804 75819 5 174 4 172 2 154 5 235 3 049 75819 72298 1 123 6 246 5 163 8 234 1 272 72298 69100 2 321 10 208 7 224 9 227 7 261 69100 66145 7 254 8 182 9 218 12 224 14 259 66145 63393 9 240 9 220 10 231 13 214 19 252 63393 60717 16 257 16 255 16 268 7 208 16 241 60717 57912 20 244 15 258 18 264 13 253 14 239 57912 54978 15 242 9 266 14 241 20 251 17 247 54978 52166 21 267 15 265 15 231 21 243 20 244 52166 49633 28 254 23 252 21 239 23 239 21 238 49633 47356 28 236 29 241 28 241 26 237 25 245 47356 45291 21 233 30 228 34 236 30 235 31 246 45291 43420 21 270 24 234 33 234 30 234 32 247 43420 41724 27 278 24 254 33 240 32 245 31 262 41724 40172 26 270 29 260 35 247 35 252 35 265 40172 38729 24 267 33 264 36 251 37 254 36 257 38729 37380 25 270 36 267 40 258 39 255 33 254 37380 36089 27 276 36 269 43 259 41 255 32 259 36089 34789 27 277 34 269 43 262 41 253 34 261 34789 33450 27 280 32 266 40 262 39 252 34 256 33450 32078 29 283 30 269 37 260 38 255 39 249 32078 30663 31 283 31 273 37 258 38 255 44 249 30663 29193 30 284 31 274 37 256 38 251 46 253 29193 27667 27 284 29 273 35 255 36 249 46 255 27667 26088 24 281 26 270 30 253 34 250 47 252 26088 24461 22 280 24 269 27 252 32 250 47 249 24461 22788 20 282 23 267 26 253 31 249 46 249 22788 21059 18 287 22 266 26 255 32 249 46 249 21059 19264 16 292 21 266 26 259 32 252 45 251 19264 17437 15 288 19 265 25 263 32 257 41 256 17437 15677 14 278 18 262 24 265 31 261 34 258 15677 14073 14 273 17 260 22 265 28 259 28 251 14073 12644 13 275 15 259 20 261 26 248 25 239 12644 11369 12 275 12 259 19 255 23 245 23 233 11369 10227 11 271 11 259 19 252 20 254 20 231 10227 9204 11 270 11 260 18 252 19 260 18 231 9204 8288 12 273 11 264 14 250 16 266 17 233 8288 7471 12 277 11 270 11 246 13 270 16 236 7471 6742 10 280 11 273 8 241 10 277 15 239 6742 6083 9 283 8 273 4 231 6 289 13 241 6083 5494 6 283 5 264 2 150 4 322 11 243 5494 4998 4 276 2*200 3 101 3 354 9 240 4998 4615 1 226 2*138 4 090 3 014 7 229 4615 4349 2 136 3 136 4 090 3 020 6 214 4349 4186 2*123 3 134 4*088 4*021 5*211 4186 4094 2*114 3 133 4*089 3*021 5*212 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography