DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 78.8 - - 76.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 17 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5672 - - 8304 - - 6634 - - 4135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 32 - - 23 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 257 - - 264 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6458 - - -5587 - - -4958 - - -6735 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10555 - - 9684 - - 9054 - - 10831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10295 - - -7846 - - -8102 - - -12970 ODpotential blCL - - - 14391 - - 11942 - - 12198 - - 17065 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 85 - - 83 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 190 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 78.8 - - 76.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 50.3 - - 50.7 - - 38.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 79.3 - - 76.9 - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 49.0 - - 49.5 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 17 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 42 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98726 13 242 13 243 16 243 15 272 98726 91331 13 236 11 242 12 233 15 258 91331 85603 13 249 11 280 8 284 8 248 85603 80820 3 209 10 255 10 288 6 254 80820 76700 4 283 6 263 6 319 4 356 76700 73069 5 317 5 263 6 294 7 338 73069 69801 9 330 4 356 1 077 4 014 69801 66814 9 289 14 319 7 293 2 315 66814 64049 8 235 8 268 3 109 2 017 64049 61359 13 311 9 278 13 287 11 279 61359 58561 23 281 23 249 11 252 14 214 58561 55647 27 274 22 243 24 277 15 292 55647 52865 38 275 38 264 57 264 65 267 52865 50413 49 278 60 269 74 262 86 260 50413 48250 64 280 75 273 83 264 93 264 48250 46288 78 278 87 273 94 267 102 267 46288 44481 82 274 90 267 100 264 106 264 44481 42800 82 268 89 263 100 261 106 260 42800 41227 81 265 89 262 99 260 104 259 41227 39749 80 265 88 261 95 260 100 260 39749 38358 79 266 86 260 92 259 96 261 38358 37021 79 267 86 259 90 258 92 259 37021 35674 80 266 84 258 87 256 89 257 35674 34287 78 264 81 258 83 255 85 255 34287 32865 76 261 78 257 80 253 82 253 32865 31396 73 261 74 254 77 252 79 250 31396 29870 70 260 72 252 75 251 76 248 29870 28288 66 256 70 252 73 249 75 246 28288 26652 63 253 68 251 70 248 74 245 26652 24964 61 253 65 248 67 248 72 245 24964 23228 58 253 61 246 63 246 68 245 23228 21440 54 252 57 245 56 243 62 245 21440 19593 48 251 51 245 49 242 57 246 19593 17722 42 247 44 243 42 244 53 248 17722 15922 37 239 37 238 37 244 49 248 15922 14283 32 231 32 231 34 243 46 247 14283 12821 29 227 27 226 32 240 44 244 12821 11516 27 230 23 228 29 237 42 241 11516 10348 27 237 23 231 25 238 41 239 10348 9303 26 244 22 234 25 241 42 239 9303 8368 22 246 22 238 26 245 41 240 8368 7537 19 246 22 241 27 248 38 242 7537 6795 17 245 22 243 27 251 34 244 6795 6124 15 245 22 245 27 252 29 246 6124 5524 12 243 21 247 26 254 26 247 5524 5018 11 242 20 248 26 255 23 248 5018 4626 9 240 19 250 24 256 20 249 4626 4355 8 239 18 251 22 257 16 249 4355 4189 7*238 16*252 19*259 14*249 4189 4094 5*237 11*257 11*264 12*249 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography