DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 87.9 - - 91.9 - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 42 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2421 - - 4442 - - 11344 - - 4111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 39 - - 30 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 025 - - 066 - - 300 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 4 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6714 - - -7207 - - -7754 - - -6462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10810 - - 11304 - - 11852 - - 10559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13299 - - -12000 - - -10148 - - -10868 ODpotential blCL - - - 17395 - - 16096 - - 14245 - - 14964 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 53 - - 72 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 280 - - 940 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 87.9 - - 91.9 - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 52.6 - - 54.0 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 87.8 - - 93.2 - - 87.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 51.4 - - 52.8 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 42 - - 16 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99585 41 103 31 106 30 094 36 090 99585 92097 34 109 29 096 31 098 30 097 92097 86328 27 108 24 102 30 094 29 102 86328 81533 25 102 23 106 24 104 24 094 81533 77389 21 108 19 112 20 108 19 093 77389 73728 20 123 17 107 15 108 18 095 73728 70422 19 117 15 121 12 102 16 092 70422 67393 11 107 14 126 9 122 12 066 67393 64596 4 110 12 135 9 146 5 066 64596 61901 2 153 6 199 2 247 2 036 61901 59126 5 246 11 229 6 240 8 263 59126 56291 13 254 20 234 17 260 17 251 56291 53607 23 275 18 243 27 257 29 255 53607 51201 36 278 32 275 31 272 35 263 51201 49047 40 272 46 275 44 274 43 272 49047 47089 44 268 50 267 48 266 46 268 47089 45282 50 266 50 266 48 265 45 266 45282 43596 53 265 51 273 46 268 44 266 43596 42010 48 269 52 279 45 267 42 262 42010 40512 44 271 47 273 44 262 42 256 40512 39096 39 260 43 263 44 255 42 254 39096 37734 37 254 40 256 40 252 42 253 37734 36363 37 252 37 253 36 252 41 251 36363 34951 35 253 34 256 32 252 38 250 34951 33501 31 247 31 251 32 250 37 248 33501 32004 33 236 31 241 35 247 37 248 32004 30452 32 236 30 232 38 239 34 243 30452 28847 32 233 29 236 33 231 29 235 28847 27185 31 231 29 242 29 240 25 240 27185 25466 28 233 28 236 27 245 24 235 25466 23694 25 235 27 229 25 236 26 236 23694 21871 23 236 26 227 27 236 26 237 21871 19990 22 233 25 229 29 239 26 237 19990 18086 24 227 26 231 28 239 26 232 18086 16258 27 224 28 234 23 239 24 225 16258 14592 27 225 28 239 16 251 19 219 14592 13104 25 228 22 245 15 258 14 216 13104 11770 22 228 20 248 14 264 9 220 11770 10572 19 229 18 249 14 271 6 252 10572 9496 16 234 16 251 13 274 9 284 9496 8531 13 242 13 252 12 278 14 294 8531 7671 9 251 10 254 11 282 18 294 7671 6901 7 265 7 257 10 285 20 294 6901 6203 5 278 4 263 9 288 21 293 6203 5580 4 300 1 312 8 290 22 293 5580 5055 3 322 2 038 8 294 21 293 5055 4648 2 354 3 052 7 296 20 293 4648 4366 2 011 4 060 6 298 17 294 4366 4194 2*021 4*064 6*298 14*296 4194 4095 2*025 3*066 5*300 7*301 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography