DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 68.7 - - 72.6 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 57 - - 14 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 938 - - 16 - - 1359 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 5238 - - 4095 - - 5659 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5709 - - 7355 - - 10291 - - 3134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 40 - - 166 - - 32 - - 156 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 003 - - 315 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -5 - - -3 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3879 - - -3676 - - -6172 - - -2752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7975 - - 8914 - - 10268 - - 8412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5559 - - -5573 - - -7523 - - -6660 ODpotential blCL - - - 9654 - - 10811 - - 11618 - - 12319 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 88 - - 90 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 220 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 68.7 - - 72.6 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 43.7 - - 41.6 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 68.1 - - 72.4 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 42.6 - - 40.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 57 - - 14 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 938 - - 16 - - 1359 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 53 - - 61 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98932 2 317 5 033 6 054 1 236 98932 91534 12 130 8 130 5 169 8 019 91534 85802 13 120 11 139 5 100 9 063 85802 81032 11 104 11 137 3 072 10 064 81032 76928 12 131 11 154 3 113 9 059 76928 73307 14 114 10 135 6 132 7 108 73307 70034 9 105 10 140 6 154 3 129 70034 67008 4 164 5 147 5 159 4 166 67008 64200 6 184 5 203 4 211 4 268 64200 61478 8 226 6 236 5 162 7 155 61478 58634 19 224 19 228 21 241 29 232 58634 55694 28 229 32 232 39 237 33 224 55694 52873 31 241 38 237 37 233 30 227 52873 50315 38 242 42 238 38 243 36 244 50315 48015 42 241 47 242 42 246 47 252 48015 45928 50 242 53 240 49 244 60 252 45928 44017 57 239 57 240 58 243 73 251 44017 42256 62 237 66 241 69 245 86 248 42256 40627 69 239 74 238 78 245 91 243 40627 39116 77 237 76 236 85 244 91 241 39116 37711 79 234 78 236 92 243 92 242 37711 36380 79 233 80 237 94 241 94 242 36380 35056 79 233 77 235 92 238 93 241 35056 33705 75 232 73 234 92 237 91 240 33705 32322 69 232 72 235 90 237 87 238 32322 30890 63 234 70 235 86 237 83 238 30890 29401 58 236 67 236 83 238 79 240 29401 27857 54 235 63 236 81 238 76 240 27857 26258 50 235 60 236 79 236 74 238 26258 24605 46 233 56 235 74 234 70 237 24605 22905 45 230 53 231 66 231 64 236 22905 21153 44 228 50 227 58 226 57 231 21153 19348 44 229 48 225 51 219 50 224 19348 17519 41 229 47 225 45 209 43 216 17519 15761 39 228 44 222 38 201 39 209 15761 14158 35 225 35 219 26 202 36 206 14158 12725 32 223 25 222 19 212 31 206 12725 11443 29 222 23 227 15 226 24 208 11443 10292 24 222 19 233 13 244 17 213 10292 9260 18 221 16 239 12 263 11 223 9260 8335 15 219 13 245 12 273 9 243 8335 7510 12 220 10 255 12 282 10 270 7510 6774 8 222 7 269 11 290 12 288 6774 6107 5 225 5 295 11 296 16*295 6107 5512 3 234 4*331 11 302 17*297 5512 5010 1 256 5*354 11 306 17 298 5010 4622 0 331 5 003 10 310 17 299 4622 4352 1 351 6 006 10 311 15 300 4352 4188 1*356 6 007 10*313 14 302 4188 4094 1*005 6 007 9*315 12 304 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography