DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 68.5 - - 72.7 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 55 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4680 - - 6049 - - 6658 - - 6905 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 43 - - 31 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 098 - - 049 - - 037 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5025 - - -6173 - - -7126 - - -5271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9120 - - 10269 - - 11222 - - 9366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11360 - - -11072 - - -11142 - - -7650 ODpotential blCL - - - 15455 - - 15167 - - 15237 - - 11745 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 49 - - 45 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 68.5 - - 72.7 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 37.7 - - 37.7 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 67.8 - - 72.4 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 36.6 - - 36.5 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 55 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98854 8 140 3 090 14 122 12 200 98854 91461 5 182 4 210 3 177 6 061 91461 85736 9 131 8 179 2 039 9 040 85736 80978 10 091 14 124 5 062 13 068 80978 76886 8 068 17 095 8 081 14 093 76886 73261 10 067 16 090 8 100 12 087 73261 69983 8 087 12 094 6 107 7 082 69983 66977 5 102 8 094 5 081 6 081 66977 64186 10 164 5 218 2 213 3 095 64186 61468 2 204 7 223 12 253 11 250 61468 58628 15 230 21 240 22 246 20 255 58628 55698 18 255 18 245 24 251 26 259 55698 52911 26 262 25 262 28 255 34 259 52911 50404 35 258 36 264 39 261 38 260 50404 48157 41 251 40 260 43 262 44 258 48157 46121 41 247 42 259 45 261 49 254 46121 44263 41 246 45 257 45 259 49 254 44263 42556 41 248 47 256 42 258 48 255 42556 40978 42 252 46 260 38 264 45 255 40978 39508 45 258 46 265 38 276 41 261 39508 38133 47 259 48 268 40 286 40 271 38133 36814 46 258 48 266 41 291 40 275 36814 35484 44 260 49 264 38 288 40 276 35484 34114 44 262 49 264 40 284 39 277 34114 32709 43 266 47 265 43 281 40 280 32709 31258 42 269 45 266 43 280 41 282 31258 29752 41 270 42 268 42 279 42 284 29752 28189 40 272 40 269 42 277 42 283 28189 26569 37 273 37 268 40 276 39 282 26569 24895 33 276 33 268 37 274 37 280 24895 23172 30 277 30 269 33 273 34 277 23172 21394 28 275 28 269 32 274 31 277 21394 19557 26 274 26 271 30 275 29 278 19557 17693 24 274 23 276 25 278 26 278 17693 15901 22 275 19 283 18 279 22 274 15901 14271 19 271 16 282 15 267 21 255 14271 12820 17 263 18 266 17 248 20 232 12820 11526 17 255 17 246 17 246 13 238 11526 10365 16 249 12 231 15 248 9 253 10365 9323 12 238 11 228 10 248 6 260 9323 8388 7 207 9 227 6 252 2 286 8388 7554 5 171 6 221 2 268 2 025 7554 6808 4 157 4 205 1 021 4 038 6808 6133 3 141 2 165 4 043 6 033 6133 5530 2 127 3 095 5 044 7 024 5530 5022 2 110 4 069 6 042 8 019 5022 4628 2 103 5 058 6 040 8 013 4628 4356 2 100 5 052 6 038 7 005 4356 4190 1*098 5*051 6*038 6*355 4190 4094 1*098 5*049 5*037 5*350 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography