DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 58.4 - - 65.5 - - 69.2 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 24 - - 32 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1009 - - 2402 - - 2561 - - 2807 - - 1144 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 31 - - 34 - - 23 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 130 - - 034 - - 040 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9839 - - -6842 - - -5411 - - -6016 - - -7709 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13934 - - 10936 - - 9507 - - 10111 - - 11805 sfcLCL ODpotential -18603 - - -13388 - - -10076 - - -9652 - - -12997 ODpotential blCL 22697 - - 17482 - - 14171 - - 13747 - - 17092 blCL maxRH 78 - - 83 - - 82 - - 87 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 58.4 - - 65.5 - - 69.2 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.4 - - 25.2 - - 38.3 - - 39.2 - - 26.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 59.1 - - 65.8 - - 70.2 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.2 - - 24.1 - - 37.1 - - 37.9 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 24 - - 32 - - 7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 31 - - 29 - - 48 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96331 23 270 32 285 37 289 27 294 31 295 96331 89117 23 287 21 294 28 278 32 294 31 300 89117 83628 26 291 22 291 24 287 30 298 29 303 83628 79119 25 285 24 287 30 289 29 306 28 306 79119 75239 24 294 21 288 26 284 27 298 26 304 75239 71799 24 298 18 286 21 286 20 292 20 295 71799 68664 19 288 18 285 21 280 22 288 18 306 68664 65766 17 284 18 283 21 283 24 281 20 297 65766 63077 21 285 21 275 23 277 24 276 21 283 63077 60479 36 282 26 274 26 276 26 275 27 273 60479 57772 43 268 36 271 35 269 32 272 35 266 57772 54956 48 261 42 264 45 259 43 265 42 261 54956 52252 53 264 45 264 48 258 50 262 49 257 52252 49797 61 265 59 264 57 260 58 262 57 262 49797 47577 66 264 68 255 68 254 65 257 63 259 47577 45548 68 261 66 251 70 248 68 250 67 253 45548 43683 66 258 64 249 65 246 63 248 61 249 43683 41966 59 255 58 244 58 243 57 241 52 245 41966 40390 57 252 53 250 54 236 48 231 48 234 40390 38944 57 251 55 256 49 237 46 230 46 230 38944 37602 55 251 56 252 46 242 48 230 47 227 37602 36316 50 255 53 246 47 243 47 231 46 225 36316 35019 49 259 50 243 47 243 45 234 44 223 35019 33683 49 257 47 242 46 243 43 234 41 223 33683 32312 44 256 39 245 45 244 41 233 37 223 32312 30890 47 257 36 251 40 244 39 234 33 224 30890 29410 46 257 40 250 35 243 35 237 28 227 29410 27875 41 260 42 253 33 247 30 238 27 227 27875 26289 37 262 40 255 32 250 29 239 27 229 26289 24655 34 261 34 255 31 249 29 242 26 235 24655 22972 32 258 30 257 27 250 26 247 23 237 22972 21233 29 257 29 258 22 253 23 248 21 235 21233 19431 24 259 26 256 21 253 23 245 21 239 19431 17599 22 260 21 254 22 247 25 243 21 250 17599 15832 21 258 20 252 24 244 27 243 22 257 15832 14218 21 253 21 250 24 244 27 244 23 255 14218 12775 21 245 20 248 24 245 25 244 24 247 12775 11485 19 232 19 242 24 245 21 244 23 242 11485 10327 17 211 17 229 22 242 19 246 21 244 10327 9288 15 188 16 212 17 238 17 249 18 252 9288 8357 13 165 16 193 12 227 13 254 15 259 8357 7527 14 149 16 177 9 217 9 262 11 264 7527 6786 14 143 14 162 6 203 5 282 7 272 6786 6116 14 139 11 149 4 180 3 329 3 284 6116 5517 13 129 9 141 3 141 4 021 1 332 5517 5012 12 114 8 137 3 101 5 029 1 016 5012 4622 9 097 6 134 3 072 6 034 2 025 4622 4353 5 081 5 132 4 053 6 036 2 019 4353 4188 3*046 4*131 4*040 6*036 1*002 4188 4094 3*030 3*130 4*034 5*040 0*298 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography