DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 80.6 - - 83.5 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 45 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1884 - - 10321 - - 13401 - - 504 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 38 - - 24 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 324 - - 289 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 0 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6008 - - -6088 - - -6137 - - -5719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10104 - - 10185 - - 10234 - - 9814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10618 - - -8316 - - -8142 - - -10123 ODpotential blCL - - - 14713 - - 12412 - - 12238 - - 14218 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 67 - - 67 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 1480 - - 2350 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 80.6 - - 83.5 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 50.1 - - 52.6 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 80.8 - - 84.3 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 48.9 - - 51.3 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 45 - - -1 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97937 11 204 8 187 8 213 10 163 97937 90507 14 179 10 209 6 214 9 177 90507 84790 11 158 12 191 3 188 3 156 84790 80063 12 131 11 176 2 209 1 087 80063 76026 5 089 7 147 3 203 2 003 76026 72470 2 081 2 335 3 321 6 018 72470 69244 1 105 0 019 4 287 7 342 69244 66275 5 351 4 319 4 286 5 306 66275 63518 4 255 9 288 5 312 3 291 63518 60843 7 250 11 261 10 300 4 293 60843 58057 12 262 15 248 12 259 11 264 58057 55174 18 267 20 249 22 249 22 261 55174 52426 24 263 27 254 30 250 31 245 52426 49962 32 262 34 260 36 253 33 248 49962 47770 40 254 42 254 39 254 36 252 47770 45811 46 252 45 256 45 254 42 250 45811 44047 49 257 51 257 52 253 49 251 44047 42423 52 259 55 256 53 253 52 251 42423 40902 52 261 54 257 49 253 47 252 40902 39468 53 264 52 258 47 253 44 250 39468 38116 54 265 49 259 46 253 44 248 38116 36816 53 266 47 259 46 254 43 246 36816 35503 50 265 45 259 45 254 40 245 35503 34151 44 263 44 259 43 255 38 244 34151 32760 37 260 40 257 41 255 36 244 32760 31320 31 256 34 253 39 255 34 244 31320 29821 28 252 27 245 35 255 32 244 29821 28265 27 257 23 240 26 246 29 244 28265 26652 27 259 19 247 20 231 24 237 26652 24986 25 258 18 253 13 227 19 225 24986 23273 23 256 16 252 11 231 17 217 23273 21505 21 253 15 249 13 224 19 217 21505 19678 19 255 14 249 15 221 24 212 19678 17821 18 250 15 240 16 207 23 198 17821 16031 18 240 17 230 14 197 16 186 16031 14397 18 233 17 226 11 204 12 185 14397 12934 19 232 16 226 9 221 8 197 12934 11624 21 232 16 228 8 246 5 221 11624 10447 21 232 15 230 9 267 5 259 10447 9390 19 228 13 233 11 273 9 282 9390 8443 16 223 12 235 13 279 13 289 8443 7598 13 220 11 236 14 280 17 290 7598 6843 10 218 9 238 15 282 19 291 6843 6160 7 217 7 240 15 283 20 290 6160 5549 4 210 5 243 15 283 21 289 5549 5034 2 185 4 250 15 284 21 289 5034 4635 2 136 2 268 15 285 19 290 4635 4359 2 109 2 297 14 287 17 291 4359 4191 2*101 2*314 13*288 13*294 4191 4094 2*100 2*324 10*289 7*301 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography