DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.6 - - 51.3 - - 53.8 - - 54.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 362 - - 675 - - 838 - - 1407 - - 1192 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 132 - - 118 - - 091 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 0 - - -2 - - -7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2486 - - -1367 - - -1309 - - -1620 - - -321 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6581 - - 5461 - - 5404 - - 5714 - - 4415 sfcLCL ODpotential -7805 - - -5916 - - -4598 - - -4649 - - -3176 ODpotential blCL 11899 - - 10010 - - 8692 - - 8743 - - 7270 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 51.6 - - 51.3 - - 53.8 - - 54.4 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 41.8 - - 44.4 - - 43.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 51.8 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 40.7 - - 43.2 - - 42.4 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96397 20 022 13 026 14 012 22 017 21 023 96397 89472 12 005 9 004 19 357 17 013 14 346 89472 84092 10 344 11 355 15 334 17 337 18 330 84092 79555 8 001 7 032 3 019 13 308 17 318 79555 75588 8 311 8 337 8 340 8 305 11 297 75588 72049 7 266 10 331 9 317 9 311 13 325 72049 68834 13 303 15 299 20 289 21 306 23 318 68834 65900 11 301 13 246 22 277 29 304 28 298 65900 63211 24 324 10 247 20 284 27 286 28 283 63211 60610 43 292 30 297 27 295 32 284 31 284 60610 57887 50 284 49 292 44 288 40 284 42 276 57887 55062 53 280 58 283 53 286 53 289 49 283 55062 52368 59 285 66 284 68 283 66 289 70 288 52368 49942 62 286 75 286 76 280 75 282 79 284 49942 47751 67 296 75 289 69 285 70 280 77 285 47751 45743 80 302 81 300 83 301 85 297 83 294 45743 43892 97 300 99 301 107 298 111 298 108 297 43892 42179 104 295 106 293 108 290 115 289 119 289 42179 40589 92 300 99 291 96 287 105 290 113 288 40589 39113 86 309 86 297 83 302 115 306 110 302 39113 37745 87 307 85 299 98 312 115 307 110 303 37745 36441 88 303 88 297 97 311 94 300 100 292 36441 35125 86 302 84 295 88 303 93 292 101 288 35125 33765 85 298 79 293 85 299 96 292 103 288 33765 32365 79 293 72 293 82 300 94 294 105 290 32365 30918 73 291 68 294 76 299 86 294 87 292 30918 29414 68 295 70 297 69 296 78 292 72 290 29414 27857 66 303 71 301 65 296 68 291 65 289 27857 26247 66 307 72 301 63 299 57 292 60 286 26247 24587 64 302 71 295 63 299 53 292 54 284 24587 22880 64 291 62 288 61 299 52 288 51 285 22880 21119 60 283 43 281 59 297 51 287 53 290 21119 19298 48 272 33 268 56 290 48 286 55 295 19298 17452 36 258 30 262 45 271 46 286 56 297 17452 15681 23 261 23 281 34 251 42 283 56 297 15681 14071 18 302 26 317 25 260 38 272 53 295 14071 12638 21 316 27 319 22 298 31 255 49 292 12638 11358 21 313 25 319 23 312 21 243 44 285 11358 10212 20 302 21 317 21 317 13 249 40 276 10212 9185 20 290 18 311 18 315 10 227 35 270 9185 8268 19 283 16 304 13 301 9 214 30 269 8268 7453 18 276 14 298 9 275 10 214 26 270 7453 6725 16 271 14 293 7 257 12 216 23 270 6725 6068 15 265 12 285 9 261 12 224 20 270 6068 5482 14 258 10 274 10 256 11 231 16 272 5482 4989 12 250 8 259 10 251 8 231 11 276 4989 4608 9 235 7 238 7 240 4 221 5 287 4608 4345 5 184 5 186 4 204 2 172 2 007 4345 4185 7*123 6*149 4*147 3*111 5*074 4185 4093 7*102 5*132 4*118 3*091 6*078 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography