DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 66.1 - - 71.3 - - 74.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 35 - - 32 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2571 - - 3476 - - 4380 - - 6517 - - 5054 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 37 - - 37 - - 20 - - 23 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 344 - - 006 - - 336 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4372 - - -5977 - - -7116 - - -4757 - - -6109 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8467 - - 10072 - - 11211 - - 8853 - - 10205 sfcLCL ODpotential -11028 - - -12730 - - -12834 - - -7611 - - -11806 ODpotential blCL 15123 - - 16825 - - 16929 - - 11707 - - 15901 blCL maxRH 47 - - 42 - - 47 - - 54 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 310 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 66.1 - - 71.3 - - 74.1 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 36.4 - - 36.6 - - 49.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 74.4 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.5 - - 35.3 - - 35.4 - - 48.1 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 35 - - 32 - - -3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98237 6 290 5 261 3 250 7 292 9 295 98237 90826 6 268 4 304 4 298 5 293 11 304 90826 85121 3 247 3 078 5 232 4 274 1 114 85121 80390 3 059 7 135 1 267 2 326 4 112 80390 76313 6 090 9 123 2 064 5 066 5 073 76313 72726 8 076 9 081 4 099 6 061 8 057 72726 69497 10 072 6 091 5 089 3 049 10 067 69497 66536 12 068 7 094 8 073 5 082 10 061 66536 63791 7 021 9 055 6 089 4 058 6 052 63791 61135 4 119 6 029 4 076 5 026 6 051 61135 58365 7 031 7 013 6 034 6 042 7 011 58365 55502 15 325 9 321 13 340 10 354 6 007 55502 52783 14 307 12 324 19 343 13 347 14 358 52783 50350 19 312 19 326 21 336 14 334 20 328 50350 48171 25 336 22 340 19 339 17 311 20 330 48171 46178 34 339 30 347 25 337 27 325 28 343 46178 44342 43 333 39 332 42 332 40 328 41 333 44342 42645 47 328 42 321 44 326 48 327 46 327 42645 41066 48 323 43 318 42 320 49 322 45 324 41066 39590 51 318 45 318 42 323 44 317 42 326 39590 38210 53 314 45 318 44 330 43 325 48 333 38210 36897 54 312 45 318 46 332 46 329 48 332 36897 35578 54 312 46 320 45 330 46 331 46 332 35578 34219 51 309 48 321 42 328 45 334 47 338 34219 32822 48 307 47 318 39 325 44 331 46 337 32822 31374 45 306 42 314 40 321 42 326 45 334 31374 29864 43 307 39 318 41 317 40 324 43 330 29864 28296 41 304 36 319 38 312 41 323 43 327 28296 26669 38 301 35 315 34 310 42 322 43 326 26669 24987 35 297 35 311 31 309 41 320 41 328 24987 23254 33 296 33 307 30 312 38 321 38 326 23254 21467 32 297 31 304 27 312 35 322 33 321 21467 19617 30 295 29 300 25 306 29 317 29 316 19617 17739 28 290 27 296 24 300 26 310 26 311 17739 15932 26 283 25 292 22 294 24 309 25 313 15932 14291 23 273 22 283 21 287 20 306 22 317 14291 12831 21 261 21 272 20 282 17 293 17 303 12831 11530 21 255 21 263 21 273 18 275 16 277 11530 10365 22 257 23 260 22 263 18 275 17 279 10365 9321 22 261 25 260 20 262 16 283 13 291 9321 8385 20 268 23 263 17 267 15 292 10 314 8385 7551 17 279 17 272 13 279 14 305 9 341 7551 6805 13 294 9 289 10 298 14 316 11 360 6805 6131 11 310 5 321 8 321 13 322 15 008 6131 5529 9 326 5 331 8 341 13 327 19 009 5529 5021 7 337 5 336 7 351 12 329 18 007 5021 4628 7 337 4 342 7 359 12 331 16 004 4628 4356 6 339 4 343 6 003 11 333 13 358 4356 4190 5*339 4*343 6*004 10*335 10*353 4190 4094 5*341 4*344 6*006 7*336 7*345 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography