DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 61.3 - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 37 - - 51 - - 21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1672 - - 6483 - - 7873 - - 9454 - - 9495 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 36 - - 40 - - 32 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 305 - - 131 - - 069 - - 045 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4911 - - -4205 - - -7640 - - -8972 - - -7278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9005 - - 8299 - - 11735 - - 13068 - - 11373 sfcLCL ODpotential -8823 - - -5921 - - -10843 - - -11652 - - -9684 ODpotential blCL 12917 - - 10015 - - 14938 - - 15747 - - 13779 blCL maxRH 55 - - 60 - - 76 - - 73 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 61.3 - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.9 - - 39.2 - - 29.5 - - 26.9 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 61.0 - - 66.2 - - 69.8 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 38.1 - - 28.4 - - 25.8 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 37 - - 51 - - 21 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97319 4 341 9 260 12 265 12 259 15 294 97319 89926 8 337 1 288 7 262 10 285 10 313 89926 84286 13 297 10 315 6 318 7 325 3 313 84286 79618 14 287 12 313 9 308 9 315 8 321 79618 75610 13 308 11 316 11 308 8 324 10 315 75610 72074 11 333 9 321 16 300 11 328 7 339 72074 68852 15 332 10 314 17 297 15 325 8 359 68852 65872 21 311 14 313 15 303 18 311 10 349 65872 63101 20 305 14 297 15 288 20 295 17 320 63101 60411 18 316 13 310 11 288 18 295 19 314 60411 57598 23 296 19 304 18 299 22 295 21 304 57598 54679 24 290 23 285 23 282 25 287 23 297 54679 51890 27 304 25 283 24 276 27 288 28 293 51890 49380 34 306 26 290 27 281 34 284 34 283 49380 47140 35 306 28 294 30 282 38 280 39 274 47140 45123 36 312 32 302 29 285 35 282 37 273 45123 43296 45 316 39 310 36 294 36 288 36 276 43296 41635 56 317 52 306 49 296 41 290 38 278 41635 40116 60 315 62 302 60 294 49 288 43 280 40116 38706 56 319 62 302 58 294 48 289 42 282 38706 37382 54 323 55 306 50 299 41 290 35 285 37382 36108 55 323 48 311 47 302 37 288 32 284 36108 34821 53 325 45 314 41 302 35 290 32 280 34821 33494 52 328 42 319 37 304 33 294 31 277 33494 32131 48 331 40 322 34 306 30 295 27 280 32131 30719 44 334 34 328 29 311 27 295 25 283 30719 29247 43 339 32 333 24 317 20 295 19 278 29247 27723 42 344 32 334 22 321 15 294 14 258 27723 26148 40 349 31 342 22 324 13 298 14 254 26148 24520 38 353 28 351 20 336 12 301 13 253 24520 22839 33 359 23 357 17 347 9 315 9 239 22839 21101 22 014 15 360 11 000 3 037 7 206 21101 19304 19 046 9 019 5 021 3 128 8 193 19304 17483 19 059 15 060 9 101 9 153 9 189 17483 15733 16 055 16 072 14 118 9 164 4 199 15733 14142 14 054 13 065 10 124 5 172 3 257 14142 12721 14 056 11 052 8 129 5 156 3 249 12721 11448 12 061 9 059 8 129 6 144 2 188 11448 10304 8 073 7 093 8 127 6 138 4 133 10304 9274 8 089 7 112 8 124 7 133 6 124 9274 8351 9 102 8 123 8 123 7 130 8 124 8351 7526 11 108 8 128 7 123 7 128 9 125 7526 6787 13 113 8 131 7 123 6 126 10 127 6787 6118 14 114 8 132 6 124 5 125 10 128 6118 5519 13 111 7 134 4 125 4 124 11 128 5519 5015 10 105 6 134 3 122 3 119 10 128 5015 4625 6 093 5 134 2 113 2 103 10 127 4625 4354 1 034 4 134 1 093 1 071 8 124 4354 4189 3*309 4*133 1*074 1*051 6*119 4189 4094 4*305 3*131 1*069 1*045 4*111 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography