DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 63.7 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 66 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2901 - - 2873 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5391 - - 5380 - - - - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7201 - - 7173 - - - - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2906 - - 5004 - - - - - 8703 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 252 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 324 - - - - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -27 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2492 - - -3810 - - - - - -6668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9693 - - 10983 - - - - - 10762 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7306 - - -7955 - - - - - -8428 ODpotential blCL - - - 14507 - - 15128 - - - - - 12522 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 54 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.0 - - 63.7 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 29.6 - - - - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 63.1 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 28.5 - - - - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 66 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2901 - - 2873 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98174 6 239 14 332 6 020 98174 90719 3 353 8 274 9 331 90719 84977 1 123 10 239 8 306 84977 80222 2 197 5 288 8 352 80222 76139 5 288 8 291 6 326 76139 72533 7 300 12 306 13 342 72533 69253 18 278 18 275 17 308 69253 66216 16 267 15 274 22 295 66216 63388 22 288 23 281 26 293 63388 60645 33 284 26 276 23 288 60645 57768 34 280 28 281 22 297 57768 54774 34 277 33 287 33 301 54774 51931 37 285 39 287 38 298 51931 49394 40 285 43 290 43 303 49394 47141 38 281 48 294 45 301 47141 45109 36 290 49 292 45 301 45109 43252 39 297 44 289 48 308 43252 41541 42 305 36 300 56 309 41541 39961 45 314 40 319 63 313 39961 38498 50 322 53 324 71 319 38498 37137 53 325 56 323 75 322 37137 35837 53 325 56 319 76 326 35837 34528 49 326 56 314 81 327 34528 33185 46 328 55 312 87 326 33185 31812 45 330 53 315 85 321 31812 30396 44 330 52 320 74 314 30396 28930 42 330 51 324 63 310 28930 27415 41 330 46 327 54 310 27415 25848 40 330 39 324 48 306 25848 24230 38 325 31 321 44 295 24230 22568 36 317 25 322 40 282 22568 20856 34 315 25 322 34 275 20856 19088 31 319 26 322 27 280 19088 17292 29 322 25 322 22 286 17292 15566 26 323 23 321 18 282 15566 13996 21 319 20 316 19 272 13996 12595 16 309 16 311 17 279 12595 11339 13 304 14 312 14 294 11339 10210 10 306 14 315 14 311 10210 9195 8 326 14 316 13 326 9195 8285 8 333 13 317 18 344 8285 7473 9*334 13*319 21 352 7473 6746 9*334 12*320 23 354 6746 6087 9 334 11 322 23 354 6087 5498 8 334 9 324 23 354 5498 5001 8 333 8 325 23 353 5001 4617 8 332 7 326 23 353 4617 4350 8 333 6 328 22 353 4350 4187 7 333 6 328 20*353 4187 4093 7 333 6 328 16*353 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography