DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 836 - - 1409 - - 1433 - - 655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 16 - - 9 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 116 - - 107 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5051 - - -3986 - - -5864 - - -6112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9145 - - 8081 - - 9958 - - 10206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12467 - - -9699 - - -12161 - - -13815 ODpotential blCL - - - 16561 - - 13793 - - 16255 - - 17909 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 25 - - 29 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 54.7 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 33.9 - - 25.6 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 55.3 - - 56.7 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.9 - - 32.7 - - 24.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 36 042 45 056 55 084 52 084 96668 89740 43 068 39 070 43 075 39 084 89740 84283 42 083 42 093 40 083 39 087 84283 79695 33 072 31 088 35 096 37 095 79695 75718 21 082 19 082 21 101 25 090 75718 72211 14 089 11 103 13 083 17 067 72211 69043 15 071 9 091 7 098 7 042 69043 66138 14 009 16 026 10 097 3 351 66138 63448 12 337 14 338 7 016 10 342 63448 60838 12 318 19 323 13 331 14 323 60838 58111 13 317 21 314 17 316 15 310 58111 55268 14 321 22 301 24 308 20 318 55268 52537 18 314 26 295 28 304 25 312 52537 50058 20 304 28 291 28 299 27 307 50058 47818 20 293 25 282 29 287 34 296 47818 45778 21 281 24 276 28 276 39 290 45778 43909 22 276 23 282 22 275 31 287 43909 42182 24 280 24 291 22 291 26 302 42182 40580 26 281 24 291 26 301 25 316 40580 39102 20 272 22 291 27 305 37 344 39102 37739 14 267 21 289 30 313 53 353 37739 36438 10 283 16 289 33 314 75 345 36438 35123 11 323 12 340 30 312 78 344 35123 33767 15 345 22 000 27 319 67 353 33767 32374 20 356 28 358 24 334 51 356 32374 30937 22 356 29 360 26 343 33 347 30937 29448 19 355 27 006 30 340 28 326 29448 27905 17 360 24 003 28 343 22 323 27905 26302 14 004 21 354 24 345 18 329 26302 24643 11 006 16 350 26 332 27 317 24643 22933 5 006 12 338 23 331 23 327 22933 21172 2 303 10 316 16 334 14 317 21172 19355 7 246 12 294 11 326 12 297 19355 17513 9 248 13 282 11 303 13 298 17513 15739 10 252 13 275 14 285 13 297 15739 14123 10 257 13 271 14 283 11 287 14123 12681 10 259 13 267 14 281 9 276 12681 11394 10 257 12 260 13 277 8 267 11394 10240 11 256 12 253 12 271 8 260 10240 9206 13 256 12 249 12 265 8 258 9206 8283 13 254 12 247 12 259 9 261 8283 7461 11 252 12 246 12 253 9 264 7461 6730 9 246 10 242 10 244 9 262 6730 6069 7 236 7 231 7 224 7 252 6069 5481 6 219 5 206 5 177 4 218 5481 4988 5 199 3 156 5 149 4 180 4988 4607 4 174 4 126 6 134 5 159 4607 4344 4 139 5 122 6 123 6 143 4344 4184 4*114 5*119 5*114 5*121 4184 4093 3*103 4*116 4*107 3*105 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography