DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 47.5 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 5 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1989 - - 2097 - - 2279 - - 2214 - - 1563 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 29 - - 30 - - 21 - - 20 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 115 - - 091 - - 041 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3751 - - -3819 - - -4295 - - -4204 - - -4248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7845 - - 7912 - - 8388 - - 8297 - - 8342 sfcLCL ODpotential -14505 - - -14009 - - -13155 - - -12809 - - -12172 ODpotential blCL 18598 - - 18102 - - 17248 - - 16902 - - 16266 blCL maxRH 77 - - 79 - - 80 - - 82 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 41.9 - - 45.7 - - 47.5 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 22.1 - - 23.8 - - 25.8 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.4 - - 41.3 - - 45.2 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 20.9 - - 22.6 - - 24.6 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 18 - - 19 - - 5 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 14 - - 19 - - 26 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 27 100 23 069 26 087 19 085 23 096 96405 89375 31 080 28 071 26 089 21 073 18 090 89375 83939 32 081 25 071 26 077 25 076 19 093 83939 79413 30 077 19 080 21 068 24 072 22 085 79413 75506 27 071 22 072 19 079 18 072 17 071 75506 72053 24 051 21 047 20 074 17 069 15 070 72053 68914 23 043 18 045 16 056 19 042 16 055 68914 66017 24 052 19 055 17 043 18 028 17 028 66017 63330 26 049 20 053 14 047 16 018 15 011 63330 60726 27 043 25 045 22 042 18 005 17 015 60726 58016 33 043 31 034 30 026 24 008 23 013 58016 55205 41 035 36 020 33 016 30 003 25 003 55205 52503 41 022 32 020 35 029 36 012 31 001 52503 50057 42 032 50 025 48 020 42 014 41 358 50057 47857 63 022 60 016 55 015 53 001 41 355 47857 45841 68 013 65 011 56 008 49 353 40 359 45841 43973 60 012 61 006 53 013 49 359 49 359 43973 42238 56 021 57 012 63 016 55 005 56 356 42238 40618 67 027 68 016 74 009 64 004 63 353 40618 39102 84 024 80 008 78 004 72 357 66 354 39102 37689 92 015 77 005 76 001 73 353 71 359 37689 36344 93 013 76 004 71 001 71 358 79 002 36344 35001 87 012 75 003 69 003 75 005 88 003 35001 33635 79 011 73 000 68 004 82 008 97 006 33635 32245 72 008 69 357 65 003 83 007 104 007 32245 30814 67 007 62 354 63 002 75 005 105 007 30814 29328 64 010 55 353 61 003 66 004 97 007 29328 27785 66 013 50 355 59 002 62 005 86 006 27785 26186 73 012 51 359 56 001 62 004 74 004 26186 24533 74 008 54 001 57 001 65 002 64 359 24533 22830 74 009 53 003 57 001 60 000 60 354 22830 21072 69 016 50 005 54 000 51 360 60 352 21072 19257 49 018 45 001 51 000 46 358 60 353 19257 17416 41 014 42 002 47 005 44 359 58 357 17416 15645 37 015 36 007 41 005 41 003 52 001 15645 14029 33 016 29 010 37 004 39 007 47 002 14029 12589 27 018 26 011 32 003 37 008 42 004 12589 11302 21 021 21 009 25 003 33 008 38 007 11302 10154 15 022 15 008 18 004 27 006 34 009 10154 9129 10 019 9 007 13 002 19 003 29 007 9129 8217 6 017 5 009 8 353 13 356 23 360 8217 7407 3 036 2 024 5 332 9 344 17 350 7407 6686 2 079 1 179 3 286 7 328 14 338 6686 6037 1 124 2 204 2 254 5 308 12 322 6037 5459 1 153 2 206 1 268 4 302 10 307 5459 4974 0 130 1 202 0 276 2 311 8 294 4974 4600 1 097 0 167 1 082 1 359 5 279 4600 4341 1 090 1 122 1 094 1 025 3 261 4341 4183 1*074 1*120 1*090 1*040 2*242 4183 4093 1*071 1*115 1*091 1*041 2*237 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography