DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 5 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1034 - - 1624 - - 1734 - - 1686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 19 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 345 - - 326 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5028 - - -5351 - - -3041 - - -2718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9121 - - 9445 - - 7135 - - 6813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15333 - - -14243 - - -9125 - - -9532 ODpotential blCL - - - 19426 - - 18337 - - 13219 - - 13626 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 93 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 51.2 - - 51.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 24.6 - - 34.3 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 51.6 - - 51.7 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 23.6 - - 33.2 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 5 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 71 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96015 41 025 48 033 43 027 44 014 96015 89076 37 026 32 043 30 050 24 042 89076 83653 30 025 26 030 22 042 19 063 83653 79129 22 032 22 023 15 024 15 031 79129 75211 15 048 18 017 13 032 11 030 75211 71729 13 055 14 019 15 029 9 041 71729 68569 15 050 10 033 13 020 10 030 68569 65653 15 024 9 052 7 020 8 004 65653 62931 11 008 6 002 2 305 8 329 62931 60288 7 340 8 326 6 226 7 263 60288 57531 5 266 8 260 8 256 7 270 57531 54660 6 221 10 216 11 243 13 251 54660 51907 11 225 12 221 16 220 14 228 51907 49436 18 240 14 236 21 222 20 224 49436 47254 35 241 38 235 32 230 15 221 47254 45303 54 239 55 227 49 225 41 227 45303 43536 85 236 86 220 64 219 62 213 43536 41913 92 233 93 219 72 218 65 208 41913 40398 78 234 91 217 64 214 66 203 40398 38971 71 233 87 217 50 209 55 192 38971 37623 56 236 72 218 46 200 56 191 37623 36325 57 231 49 222 49 199 53 192 36325 35013 59 227 44 221 52 205 50 195 35013 33660 54 224 43 222 49 210 46 198 33660 32268 48 223 41 222 46 214 42 199 32268 30826 43 222 37 223 40 221 34 202 30826 29325 34 226 32 215 35 221 28 204 29325 27767 26 229 28 211 28 217 26 200 27767 26153 21 232 23 221 24 218 25 192 26153 24488 19 246 18 220 19 201 23 185 24488 22774 18 252 16 219 18 187 22 185 22774 21009 19 245 14 211 18 188 21 188 21009 19188 19 234 16 211 18 192 22 190 19188 17345 17 227 17 208 19 195 22 192 17345 15578 15 217 19 203 20 194 22 197 15578 13973 13 212 20 202 21 188 21 204 13973 12546 11 207 19 203 21 180 19 210 12546 11273 10 206 16 202 20 174 17 214 11273 10136 11 208 15 204 17 178 15 213 10136 9120 11 210 15 209 13 187 13 202 9120 8213 11 211 15 213 10 199 12 185 8213 7405 10 208 13 216 8 206 11 171 7405 6687 8 201 11 215 5 204 9 158 6687 6038 6 188 8 210 3 183 8 148 6038 5461 5 172 4 189 2 125 6 133 5461 4976 5 155 3 134 3 036 4 107 4976 4601 5 135 2 089 4 358 3 081 4601 4341 5 103 1 058 6 342 3 057 4341 4183 4*089 1*007 6*332 2*037 4183 4093 4*083 1*336 5*326 2*022 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography