DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 55.3 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 23 - - - - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1235 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - - - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5535 - - 4094 - - - - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4242 - - 4979 - - - - - 4920 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 135 - - 32 - - - - - 41 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 241 - - - - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 1 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -226 - - -975 - - - - - -1338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5762 - - 5069 - - - - - 5433 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1981 - - -2226 - - - - - -2415 ODpotential blCL - - - 7516 - - 6320 - - - - - 6509 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 98 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 660 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 55.3 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 46.9 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 54.7 - - - - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 46.4 - - - - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 23 - - - - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1235 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 91 - - - - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97474 2 251 7 046 2 064 97474 90257 3 140 3 061 14 009 90257 84696 2 054 3 016 8 001 84696 80082 4 013 5 355 2 106 80082 76089 1 300 6 278 10 034 76089 72541 4 208 9 217 7 335 72541 69327 5 259 11 221 15 282 69327 66369 8 235 17 225 19 249 66369 63613 13 222 14 227 21 216 63613 60912 15 239 17 251 15 216 60912 58062 24 242 26 248 19 245 58062 55094 29 235 31 236 27 249 55094 52264 32 219 32 220 30 240 52264 49720 31 206 33 211 27 231 49720 47434 35 209 34 211 25 229 47434 45351 46 209 39 209 23 233 45351 43437 47 201 41 206 20 234 43437 41671 42 198 42 199 19 229 41671 40030 42 196 41 189 16 222 40030 38499 47 193 39 185 8 250 38499 37074 50 192 35 183 11 277 37074 35716 54 185 35 180 12 259 35716 34360 55 179 38 178 7 264 34360 32994 55 175 39 177 18 018 32994 31629 53 172 36 176 46 024 31629 30232 53 162 29 170 50 012 30232 28781 56 142 22 157 46 011 28781 27273 56 142 18 158 41 017 27273 25712 44 140 16 161 33 022 25712 24104 31 135 8 160 17 027 24104 22451 24 150 6 189 11 034 22451 20743 31 164 12 177 11 038 20743 18976 34 181 11 194 10 040 18976 17182 25 193 9 195 7 032 17182 15458 19 206 9 192 8 003 15458 13889 15 215 10 189 8 318 13889 12490 11 211 8 185 9 283 12490 11240 7 198 7 190 8 288 11240 10120 7 219 5 204 10 309 10120 9117 8 242 4 238 13 313 9117 8218 8 246 4 265 17 312 8218 7418 8 246 4 273 19 310 7418 6702 8 241 5 268 20 307 6702 6054 8*232 4 261 20 305 6054 5474 7*219 4 253 19 304 5474 4986 6 202 4 248 17 303 4986 4607 6 194 3 245 15 304 4607 4345 6 188 3 241 13 305 4345 4185 6 186 3*242 12*305 4185 4093 5 185 3*241 11*305 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography