DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.4 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 25 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2359 - - 3564 - - 4516 - - 577 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 32 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 070 - - 040 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - 4 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4710 - - -5138 - - -6269 - - -6896 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8806 - - 9234 - - 10365 - - 10991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11272 - - -10560 - - -11778 - - -13484 ODpotential blCL - - - 15367 - - 14656 - - 15874 - - 17579 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 23 - - 27 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 280 - - 300 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.4 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 50.4 - - 47.3 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 77.2 - - 80.3 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 46.0 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 25 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97875 10 312 9 297 15 293 17 315 97875 90609 8 337 3 261 7 287 9 318 90609 85001 8 326 4 229 6 318 3 001 85001 80353 1 058 3 304 8 355 4 086 80353 76352 4 121 6 351 9 036 5 106 76352 72818 3 221 5 309 8 024 5 081 72818 69608 7 276 11 259 12 296 10 354 69608 66654 8 285 12 250 15 268 15 312 66654 63925 12 304 10 272 16 261 17 285 63925 61291 22 291 13 282 16 264 21 275 61291 58556 31 287 22 287 21 281 25 277 58556 55731 34 284 34 282 29 286 31 281 55731 53044 32 286 37 278 35 288 35 283 53044 50628 34 289 35 287 38 284 38 283 50628 48458 37 301 38 294 37 285 38 283 48458 46477 39 299 38 286 37 289 41 281 46477 44652 31 292 32 285 37 282 45 282 44652 42954 21 281 23 278 29 271 45 282 42954 41366 9 298 16 263 24 270 40 282 41366 39876 4 334 10 234 22 258 35 282 39876 38480 3 245 6 219 19 247 33 276 38480 37144 7 200 7 254 18 260 31 265 37144 35804 9 193 13 276 20 272 27 260 35804 34430 9 195 12 270 18 273 26 259 34430 33025 6 219 11 303 17 282 23 261 33025 31571 7 252 15 307 17 288 22 263 31571 30057 9 264 13 297 14 286 21 263 30057 28482 11 263 13 281 13 272 20 266 28482 26852 12 265 15 273 15 268 19 273 26852 25170 13 277 17 267 17 269 17 280 25170 23440 12 284 18 278 17 276 15 276 23440 21653 12 280 18 285 16 277 13 264 21653 19801 13 268 15 283 13 272 11 250 19801 17915 13 261 14 271 12 271 11 252 17915 16098 13 263 15 260 13 270 13 258 16098 14442 12 256 16 255 16 263 15 258 14442 12965 10 247 16 251 18 255 16 254 12965 11648 10 243 18 250 17 256 13 256 11648 10467 9 238 17 250 15 254 9 273 10467 9408 8 227 13 246 10 254 7 279 9408 8458 7 209 9 232 5 250 4 277 8458 7610 7 188 6 217 0 215 1 278 7610 6852 8 172 4 191 3 077 2 113 6852 6166 8 161 4 161 4 069 2 113 6166 5553 7 151 4 133 5 065 2 114 5553 5036 6 143 4 114 5 059 2 116 5036 4636 5 137 4 101 4 053 1 116 4636 4360 4 131 4 090 4 048 1 245 4360 4191 4*131 4*079 4*043 2*263 4191 4094 3*131 4*070 3*040 2*269 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography