DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.0 - - 71.8 - - 77.5 - - 79.6 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 10 - - 24 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 841 - - 1622 - - 2156 - - 3851 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 25 - - 31 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 125 - - 066 - - 062 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5830 - - -4680 - - -5145 - - -6952 - - -7823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9925 - - 8775 - - 9242 - - 11049 - - 11920 sfcLCL ODpotential -11614 - - -9886 - - -8875 - - -10284 - - -12134 ODpotential blCL 15709 - - 13981 - - 12971 - - 14380 - - 16230 blCL maxRH 79 - - 77 - - 92 - - 82 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 700 - - 360 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.0 - - 71.8 - - 77.5 - - 79.6 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 47.7 - - 51.2 - - 45.6 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.9 - - 72.1 - - 78.0 - - 81.9 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 46.6 - - 50.0 - - 44.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 10 - - 24 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 9 - - 69 - - 26 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97782 7 225 8 233 12 246 10 316 3 333 97782 90591 5 314 6 096 2 321 6 297 9 010 90591 85025 4 075 4 060 6 358 5 049 6 004 85025 80391 14 047 8 056 7 024 8 043 10 003 80391 76415 16 028 14 041 9 045 8 025 12 013 76415 72914 10 028 16 015 13 037 15 037 11 020 72914 69739 11 011 17 018 13 039 14 029 10 009 69739 66815 10 000 10 003 10 013 12 007 10 011 66815 64100 6 350 5 323 9 324 15 329 14 351 64100 61463 5 342 5 288 9 290 14 312 13 330 61463 58701 9 293 7 288 9 260 15 272 13 299 58701 55824 16 257 13 272 11 262 16 264 19 283 55824 53082 27 243 24 256 26 267 31 273 30 284 53082 50624 31 237 32 249 38 262 40 268 40 279 50624 48418 39 240 43 252 45 262 47 270 44 277 48418 46406 46 240 50 248 50 259 48 269 45 274 46406 44551 48 237 50 245 51 252 50 264 47 273 44551 42832 46 234 49 242 51 245 51 259 50 270 42832 41232 45 235 49 237 51 242 49 253 51 263 41232 39740 44 235 46 232 48 237 44 244 50 254 39740 38350 40 230 42 229 42 231 38 236 46 243 38350 37031 34 223 36 225 37 224 33 230 40 231 37031 35715 30 221 33 221 34 222 31 227 38 220 35715 34360 26 224 30 221 33 223 33 223 41 217 34360 32964 22 231 26 220 30 224 35 221 42 213 32964 31516 19 239 19 218 27 220 35 219 41 207 31516 30010 18 248 15 217 24 212 33 213 37 202 30010 28448 17 257 18 217 23 204 30 204 32 199 28448 26827 16 258 22 216 23 200 27 197 29 196 26827 25150 14 242 22 215 24 203 26 194 25 201 25150 23422 14 216 21 216 23 206 26 199 22 210 23422 21636 15 198 20 215 22 202 23 205 20 211 21636 19787 14 199 18 213 19 202 19 202 18 206 19787 17911 12 205 16 217 15 203 16 193 14 192 17911 16107 9 208 14 227 13 205 12 188 9 175 16107 14463 9 213 12 235 13 213 9 193 5 166 14463 12994 10 210 11 238 12 226 7 214 3 195 12994 11676 11 203 11 235 12 239 6 231 2 256 11676 10493 11 194 10 229 11 251 5 237 2 305 10493 9428 10 187 10 223 11 260 4 241 3 342 9428 8474 10 182 10 216 10 261 2 250 4 356 8474 7622 8 178 10 209 8 258 1 353 5 002 7622 6861 6 172 9 200 5 245 3 042 5 014 6861 6172 3 156 7 191 3 222 4 045 4 042 6172 5556 2 140 5 173 2 163 4 046 5 064 5556 5038 1 146 3 140 2 113 5 046 5 068 5038 4637 1 130 3 123 3 087 4 048 4 066 4637 4360 1 044 3 120 3 074 4 049 2 062 4360 4191 1*012 3*123 3*068 3*052 1*303 4191 4095 2*022 3*125 3*066 2*062 1*282 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography