DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 75.3 - - 78.8 - - 80.1 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 39 - - 47 - - 11 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4055 - - 4056 - - 4056 - - 4056 - - 4056 Hcrit BL Top 4073 - - 4073 - - 4073 - - 4074 - - 4073 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 918 - - 1998 - - 217 - - 80 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 35 - - 38 - - 25 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 349 - - 001 - - 325 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 3 - - -2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3931 - - -5368 - - -6660 - - -6798 - - -6482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8004 - - 9441 - - 10734 - - 10872 - - 10555 sfcLCL ODpotential -13074 - - -14372 - - -15691 - - -15262 - - -12452 ODpotential blCL 17147 - - 18445 - - 19764 - - 19336 - - 16525 blCL maxRH 42 - - 52 - - 82 - - 80 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 75.3 - - 78.8 - - 80.1 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.4 - - 48.4 - - 46.4 - - 47.3 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 82.5 - - 87.9 - - 90.0 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 32.3 - - 26.1 - - 29.5 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 39 - - 47 - - 11 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 28 - - 19 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99304 33 100 32 116 33 106 30 102 31 106 99304 91815 27 103 26 106 25 113 29 096 26 098 91815 86021 23 102 22 109 23 115 23 095 24 101 86021 81210 21 098 20 111 20 109 19 101 23 106 81210 77074 17 090 17 106 17 110 17 108 22 097 77074 73426 18 099 16 113 18 103 16 109 21 087 73426 70126 17 096 14 109 12 097 14 105 17 081 70126 67099 10 095 13 109 10 122 10 112 12 080 67099 64302 10 109 12 113 10 117 9 149 8 101 64302 61606 4 111 9 100 5 126 9 148 7 133 61606 58819 13 154 6 168 6 192 3 162 3 091 58819 55955 2 237 5 192 7 218 8 255 9 269 55955 53253 14 257 13 242 16 238 17 245 19 240 53253 50847 23 268 20 258 17 247 19 244 22 240 50847 48695 40 259 37 256 31 260 27 256 28 257 48695 46741 52 245 51 242 47 251 43 254 41 260 46741 44948 57 241 58 235 56 244 55 250 51 256 44948 43282 55 243 56 237 54 242 59 246 53 254 43282 41719 49 246 50 243 47 247 54 246 49 255 41719 40248 45 247 44 245 44 249 45 252 45 256 40248 38863 42 249 40 241 43 246 43 254 42 256 38863 37531 39 256 37 241 40 246 42 251 39 258 37531 36187 37 265 35 248 38 252 39 252 36 260 36187 34803 38 273 34 262 36 259 36 261 33 263 34803 33385 38 278 36 271 36 267 34 267 31 267 33385 31920 39 280 37 273 36 271 33 266 30 267 31920 30396 39 283 37 272 35 269 31 260 29 261 30396 28813 35 285 33 273 32 266 29 255 27 253 28813 27169 32 292 29 281 29 270 26 263 25 255 27169 25467 31 302 28 293 26 277 26 275 24 273 25467 23710 27 301 25 297 25 287 26 285 23 284 23710 21893 23 289 22 291 24 292 25 295 22 294 21893 20013 22 277 21 284 22 291 22 299 20 297 20013 18108 22 268 20 275 21 285 19 293 14 281 18108 16277 23 260 21 267 21 280 18 284 9 274 16277 14610 22 261 21 266 19 276 15 278 5 331 14610 13119 17 267 18 269 17 272 15 274 7 348 13119 11782 12 267 14 271 16 270 15 272 7 350 11782 10580 9 254 11 272 15 271 14 277 7 342 10580 9499 6 242 10 270 13 277 14 285 8 324 9499 8529 4 236 10 268 11 286 13 293 11 306 8529 7664 2 259 9 269 10 296 12 301 15 296 7664 6890 1 325 8 273 8 307 12 308 19 290 6890 6189 2 349 6 282 7 319 11 313 21 288 6189 5563 3 338 4 296 6 330 11 318 22 288 5563 5035 6 318 3 313 5 340 11 322 22 287 5035 4626 8 302 3 331 4 351 10 324 22 288 4626 4343 8 298 2 344 4 359 10 325 20 288 4343 4171 7*299 2*351 3*003 9*326 18*287 4171 4072 6*299 2*349 3*001 9*325 14*286 4072 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography