DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 67.0 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 77 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4935 - - 6881 - - - - - 7826 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7121 - - 8506 - - - - - 8443 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9235 - - 11181 - - - - - 12126 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3182 - - 3877 - - - - - 3685 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 336 - - 369 - - - - - 309 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 302 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -8 - - - - - 33 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 906 - - 690 - - - - - 1756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8329 - - 10491 - - - - - 10371 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -915 - - -1461 - - - - - -176 ODpotential blCL - - - 10150 - - 12642 - - - - - 12302 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 88 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 80 - - - - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 67.0 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 35.0 - - - - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 66.2 - - - - - 65.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 33.9 - - - - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 77 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4935 - - 6881 - - - - - 7826 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 54 - - - - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99230 32 102 25 101 23 100 99230 91707 26 114 22 103 22 086 91707 85927 26 122 14 124 22 097 85927 81134 24 111 16 136 23 090 81134 76988 12 116 18 117 12 086 76988 73312 11 125 14 121 10 099 73312 69985 8 125 8 108 6 094 69985 66925 1 124 2 049 11 105 66925 64092 1 326 4 069 6 063 64092 61354 8 307 7 260 3 292 61354 58506 10 274 14 266 9 251 58506 55551 13 299 19 276 20 300 55551 52720 34 291 33 286 38 289 52720 50180 46 296 40 295 47 291 50180 47915 58 301 54 305 64 298 47915 45875 73 301 80 304 73 296 45875 44014 93 307 95 304 76 296 44014 42298 110 308 98 298 80 296 42298 40710 116 305 98 295 86 294 40710 39232 116 305 98 296 87 293 39232 37845 115 305 100 298 89 296 37845 36512 114 305 102 299 90 297 36512 35168 114 305 104 301 91 297 35168 33784 114 305 107 302 92 298 33784 32365 115 304 108 301 93 299 32365 30896 115 303 109 300 95 299 30896 29365 112 302 110 301 96 297 29365 27777 110 301 109 301 96 293 27777 26133 104 302 108 301 98 290 26133 24438 90 299 101 302 98 290 24438 22700 76 293 88 298 93 292 22700 20924 70 289 76 291 78 292 20924 19116 64 291 68 288 62 290 19116 17308 50 297 56 290 43 292 17308 15587 35 295 35 291 22 295 15587 14023 28 286 22 290 17 303 14023 12623 21 281 20 292 17*305 12623 11368 18 289 19*293 17*307 11368 10238 18*290 19*295 18 309 10238 9221 17*291 19 296 19 310 9221 8308 17 292 19 298 19 310 8308 7492 17 293 18 300 19 311 7492 6762 17 294 18 302 19 311 6762 6099 17 295 18 304 19 311 6099 5507 16 297 17 306 19 311 5507 5007 15 298 17 308 18 312 5007 4620 15 300 16 309 18 312 4620 4351 14 301 16 310 17 313 4351 4188 14 301 15 311 17 313 4188 4094 13 302 14 312 15 314 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography