DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 46.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - -3 - - 9 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 644 - - 867 - - 1634 - - 1825 - - 1357 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 12 - - 22 - - 9 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 082 - - 336 - - 307 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -1 - - -5 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5967 - - -4797 - - -5689 - - -6559 - - -6991 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10062 - - 8890 - - 9783 - - 10654 - - 11085 sfcLCL ODpotential -15478 - - -14137 - - -13502 - - -14133 - - -15442 ODpotential blCL 19572 - - 18230 - - 17596 - - 18227 - - 19536 blCL maxRH 81 - - 86 - - 79 - - 86 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 46.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.8 - - 22.5 - - 23.2 - - 20.1 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 46.5 - - 52.1 - - 53.9 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.7 - - 21.3 - - 22.0 - - 19.0 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - -3 - - 9 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 44 - - 17 - - 43 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96739 39 063 27 043 38 052 36 068 29 074 96739 89661 32 071 26 057 35 048 39 062 38 067 89661 84174 30 074 27 069 25 059 33 058 35 070 84174 79569 27 063 23 061 26 061 28 055 31 064 79569 75577 23 056 21 059 22 055 25 042 28 051 75577 72042 24 051 21 058 17 050 23 034 27 040 72042 68836 25 034 18 033 15 025 22 033 27 037 68836 65885 25 022 20 030 16 010 22 020 28 029 65885 63154 22 006 25 023 17 008 23 009 26 019 63154 60510 24 350 29 012 24 010 28 005 26 007 60510 57753 27 347 30 358 29 005 30 359 27 353 57753 54898 31 341 33 347 33 354 37 345 32 349 54898 52180 34 343 37 341 36 343 38 332 37 336 52180 49745 42 344 38 339 39 332 43 331 40 333 49745 47570 48 336 45 336 47 324 50 328 44 334 47570 45587 48 333 47 333 45 318 49 320 46 327 45587 43756 45 331 46 334 42 320 45 317 44 322 43756 42050 41 324 41 331 39 323 40 317 40 320 42050 40454 35 315 37 324 36 322 36 318 36 319 40454 38962 30 301 34 320 34 318 35 322 34 319 38962 37573 27 295 30 312 32 309 36 312 35 325 37573 36252 27 297 28 302 32 306 37 308 39 329 36252 34935 25 296 27 295 33 307 38 307 40 327 34935 33590 22 294 24 295 32 303 37 305 38 324 33590 32214 22 276 25 290 30 300 34 303 34 324 32214 30792 20 278 21 270 27 298 31 301 31 325 30792 29315 21 274 16 263 22 298 26 300 26 327 29315 27783 21 274 17 269 14 284 19 306 20 337 27783 26197 21 278 18 271 11 288 16 317 22 350 26197 24559 17 271 18 268 17 281 13 334 21 345 24559 22870 17 279 18 270 21 285 14 334 18 343 22870 21122 19 284 18 274 20 296 15 333 16 342 21122 19311 19 284 20 287 19 310 14 339 16 333 19311 17469 21 289 21 304 19 318 15 331 17 334 17469 15694 21 297 19 314 18 314 17 326 18 339 15694 14077 21 302 17 317 18 315 19 326 18 342 14077 12635 20 308 17 317 19 320 19 327 18 345 12635 11347 18 311 16 319 18 323 18 327 18 349 11347 10195 18 313 16 319 17 324 17 327 16 352 10195 9165 17 313 14 319 15 324 15 328 14 357 9165 8246 17 312 13 317 13 322 13 327 11 001 8246 7430 16 309 11 311 11 319 11 325 9 005 7430 6705 14 304 9 302 10 314 9 324 7 010 6705 6052 11 299 7 292 8 308 7 319 6 013 6052 5470 8 296 5 284 7 305 6 313 5 015 5470 4981 6 291 3 279 5 309 5 313 5 005 4981 4604 3 288 1 293 3 312 4 312 4 349 4604 4343 1 325 1 061 3 315 3 308 3 328 4343 4184 3*085 3*078 2*326 3*306 3*306 4184 4093 3*075 3*082 2*336 2*307 2*293 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography