DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.9 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 - - 51.1 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 15 - - 32 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4093 - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2720 - - 4764 - - 7407 - - 7616 - - 5635 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 27 - - 34 - - 23 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 319 - - 015 - - 004 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1922 - - -3049 - - -4145 - - -4670 - - -2686 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6016 - - 7142 - - 8240 - - 8764 - - 6779 sfcLCL ODpotential -4583 - - -4913 - - -5574 - - -6069 - - -4589 ODpotential blCL 8676 - - 9006 - - 9668 - - 10163 - - 8682 blCL maxRH 58 - - 66 - - 77 - - 80 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 42.9 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 - - 51.1 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.8 - - 29.1 - - 27.2 - - 26.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 45.9 - - 48.5 - - 50.9 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 28.0 - - 26.1 - - 25.8 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 15 - - 32 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96851 42 103 33 090 38 097 38 116 17 112 96851 89654 36 108 26 110 25 098 33 104 23 111 89654 84065 21 098 19 118 17 116 21 097 21 095 84065 79410 12 090 13 113 13 124 12 119 8 084 79410 75367 7 145 5 130 7 089 10 149 2 145 75367 71779 7 130 6 136 3 117 6 162 3 179 71779 68523 5 166 5 235 4 238 8 219 1 177 68523 65517 10 123 6 197 8 230 13 240 5 247 65517 62715 4 328 8 260 9 231 16 264 16 237 62715 59985 24 239 22 238 27 239 27 241 19 226 59985 57120 27 238 24 224 28 227 32 231 28 249 57120 54127 41 238 34 225 43 235 40 235 33 246 54127 51266 56 239 49 235 51 231 44 239 46 245 51266 48712 60 241 57 239 54 232 57 239 58 242 48712 46452 67 244 62 238 57 235 62 240 59 242 46452 44410 76 242 61 241 62 242 68 243 59 248 44410 42538 81 238 68 244 78 245 79 243 71 248 42538 40819 81 234 80 239 91 239 87 239 86 244 40819 39241 78 234 82 234 91 236 88 239 95 240 39241 37787 80 239 83 236 91 238 97 242 106 240 37787 36437 95 242 95 239 99 240 108 241 112 238 36437 35152 108 238 103 236 101 238 108 239 110 238 35152 33867 103 234 99 234 99 238 105 239 112 239 33867 32554 91 234 91 234 96 237 106 240 114 239 32554 31213 89 235 90 233 92 234 104 239 110 238 31213 29828 90 234 88 232 87 231 99 235 102 235 29828 28390 88 232 84 233 86 231 95 232 95 231 28390 26900 80 230 81 233 85 232 89 231 91 229 26900 25359 73 229 77 234 80 232 83 231 86 229 25359 23771 68 230 74 233 73 233 74 231 75 231 23771 22140 63 231 67 233 66 234 63 233 61 231 22140 20460 57 229 59 232 59 235 53 236 48 227 20460 18725 50 226 50 231 49 234 43 236 38 224 18725 16967 46 222 42 228 41 231 37 233 37 214 16967 15280 45 217 38 217 36 221 31 226 38 201 15280 13746 41 212 35 210 29 211 29 212 32 195 13746 12378 31 204 27 204 19 207 22 204 24 194 12378 11153 20 183 16 177 13 202 15 201 16 195 11153 10053 17 171 14 151 9 192 11 204 10 195 10053 9065 15 180 11 151 6 180 6 210 5 196 9065 8178 15 202 8 172 3 162 4 218 2 209 8178 7386 16 223 7 220 2 151 2 232 3 253 7386 6677 16 240 8 252 0 087 1 288 4 267 6677 6035 13 255 8 272 1 019 2 342 7 272 6035 5461 11 274 7 289 2 017 2 354 9 277 5461 4977 9 292 7 298 3 017 3 002 9 281 4977 4602 8 311 6 306 3 018 3 007 9 286 4602 4342 7 331 6 313 3 018 3 006 8 293 4342 4184 6*338 6*317 3*017 3*006 6*302 4184 4092 6*341 5*319 3*015 3*004 5*303 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography