DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.2 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2028 - - 2362 - - 2010 - - 1434 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 24 - - 26 - - 17 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 049 - - 038 - - 062 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2714 - - -2718 - - -2724 - - -2096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6808 - - 6813 - - 6818 - - 6190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9095 - - -7679 - - -7397 - - -6949 ODpotential blCL - - - 13188 - - 11773 - - 11491 - - 11043 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 60 - - 74 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 51.2 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.7 - - 35.8 - - 36.4 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 50.9 - - 51.8 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 34.9 - - 35.6 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 9 080 15 088 10 087 10 103 96545 89428 14 103 9 111 8 050 18 084 89428 83907 18 112 4 145 5 063 14 078 83907 79308 14 085 6 186 2 268 8 083 79308 75333 7 052 7 198 7 247 3 337 75333 71808 5 337 5 186 9 232 6 240 71808 68602 8 264 6 251 11 244 7 236 68602 65644 11 236 11 256 14 233 10 241 65644 62891 17 262 16 259 16 259 16 269 62891 60218 19 249 21 242 23 250 24 265 60218 57441 18 268 20 256 23 263 29 261 57441 54575 21 286 25 267 23 269 30 265 54575 51842 25 294 29 281 38 280 36 269 51842 49386 29 277 40 280 43 275 42 269 49386 47187 29 273 41 275 41 275 45 273 47187 45186 31 286 37 274 45 275 50 277 45186 43355 29 293 35 277 49 277 57 278 43355 41682 25 295 35 283 51 277 64 278 41682 40142 27 309 38 293 48 277 60 274 40142 38710 33 319 37 296 43 279 53 272 38710 37368 39 317 38 293 42 283 47 271 37368 36079 32 312 40 288 43 285 44 273 36079 34777 21 310 42 283 40 285 43 278 34777 33437 18 311 41 281 37 286 43 282 33437 32064 22 314 36 285 35 287 41 283 32064 30644 21 314 31 290 35 287 38 281 30644 29167 19 313 26 299 34 287 35 282 29167 27635 20 315 25 305 33 284 36 285 27635 26051 22 324 24 307 32 283 38 284 26051 24417 21 334 23 304 31 289 38 288 24417 22736 20 336 21 303 30 299 38 297 22736 21001 18 333 20 300 29 303 37 303 21001 19205 15 322 19 297 27 304 36 304 19205 17380 16 310 18 293 26 306 32 302 17380 15624 15 311 18 291 25 308 29 303 15624 14024 14 319 17 294 23 308 26 305 14024 12596 15 326 15 301 21 309 24 305 12596 11321 14 331 14 308 18 311 20 305 11321 10180 12 333 12 311 16 313 17 306 10180 9159 10 329 11 311 14 313 15 306 9159 8246 8 319 10 308 13 310 14 304 8246 7434 7 299 9 301 12 304 13 300 7434 6710 6 277 8 289 11 297 12 293 6710 6056 5 267 7 281 9 288 10 284 6056 5473 3 266 5 285 7 283 8 276 5473 4983 2 270 2 326 3 288 4 265 4983 4605 1 291 2 012 1 357 1 217 4605 4343 1 025 2 030 2 051 1 114 4343 4184 1*044 2*036 2*056 2*105 4184 4093 1*049 2*038 2*062 2*103 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography