DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.0 - - 92.9 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 38 - - 7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3142 - - 10373 - - 14517 - - 4365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 38 - - 29 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 059 - - 276 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6120 - - -5949 - - -6615 - - -6239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10217 - - 10047 - - 10713 - - 10336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10107 - - -8398 - - -8608 - - -10128 ODpotential blCL - - - 14203 - - 12495 - - 12705 - - 14224 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 43 - - 57 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 1910 - - 2610 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.0 - - 92.9 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 58.9 - - 59.8 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.3 - - 89.1 - - 93.6 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 57.6 - - 58.5 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 38 - - 7 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99526 38 117 33 105 27 107 28 090 99526 92010 34 113 25 112 25 110 26 109 92010 86207 34 108 24 109 25 107 29 109 86207 81424 27 105 24 111 27 085 30 117 81424 77304 24 105 25 112 18 102 25 104 77304 73659 20 105 21 116 19 140 14 075 73659 70371 18 109 17 126 14 114 11 098 70371 67354 14 094 17 126 8 111 9 100 67354 64562 5 144 13 121 9 132 5 135 64562 61860 13 156 7 174 6 179 3 086 61860 59052 9 145 11 182 11 200 2 254 59052 56184 7 219 9 213 7 221 5 263 56184 53495 10 229 16 235 19 255 19 265 53495 51096 8 238 17 238 21 244 24 245 51096 48942 14 269 18 261 21 251 25 243 48942 46971 24 274 26 272 23 261 23 250 46971 45149 29 275 30 272 28 267 27 255 45149 43451 31 275 32 272 30 268 29 258 43451 41859 30 273 30 272 28 269 29 262 41859 40362 28 271 29 271 28 269 29 268 40362 38955 28 273 27 267 30 269 29 273 38955 37602 28 269 25 266 31 266 30 271 37602 36241 26 265 26 268 30 263 30 269 36241 34840 23 264 27 269 29 262 28 268 34840 33403 21 259 25 262 27 260 26 264 33403 31917 18 251 23 256 23 256 24 258 31917 30373 17 248 20 251 20 251 20 255 30373 28773 13 243 16 246 17 240 17 249 28773 27119 8 209 14 225 16 230 18 241 27119 25414 8 187 13 206 17 222 23 236 25414 23664 10 184 14 198 18 212 22 237 23664 21862 9 187 15 198 19 213 24 231 21862 20000 10 213 15 204 22 215 25 223 20000 18110 19 225 17 220 19 206 24 213 18110 16289 24 225 19 230 11 212 20 198 16289 14625 20 224 18 234 10 220 17 186 14625 13135 16 225 17 235 9 233 12 185 13135 11799 16 230 16 239 9 246 7 196 11799 10598 16 236 14 241 10 255 6 232 10598 9518 15 242 13 243 11 259 8 273 9518 8550 14 246 10 244 12 262 11 283 8550 7685 12 247 8 244 12 265 14 286 7685 6912 10 247 5 243 12 266 16 286 6912 6212 8 247 3 244 11 267 18 286 6212 5586 4 244 0 246 11 269 18 285 5586 5058 1 216 2 060 11 270 18 284 5058 4650 1 125 3 061 10 272 17 284 4650 4367 2 107 4 062 9 272 14 285 4367 4194 2*106 4*064 9*274 12*285 4194 4095 2*103 3*059 7*276 7*287 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography