DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 66.6 - - 70.7 - - 68.8 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 66 - - 63 - - 51 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 941 - - 3859 - - 4699 - - 3735 - - 1848 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 6196 - - 6812 - - 6007 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 5241 - - 8159 - - 8999 - - 8035 - - 6148 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1763 - - 2331 - - 2964 - - 2580 - - 2440 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 290 - - 312 - - 276 - - 218 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 17 - - 23 - - 26 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 236 - - 241 - - 245 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - 23 - - 11 - - -13 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1545 - - -1312 - - -1327 - - -708 - - -211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6786 - - 9472 - - 10326 - - 8744 - - 6360 sfcLCL ODpotential -5459 - - -5498 - - -5010 - - -4350 - - -2890 ODpotential blCL 10700 - - 13657 - - 14009 - - 12385 - - 9038 blCL maxRH 80 - - 75 - - 75 - - 69 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 66.6 - - 70.7 - - 68.8 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 39.1 - - 39.4 - - 44.3 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 65.8 - - 70.1 - - 68.2 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 37.9 - - 38.3 - - 43.2 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 66 - - 63 - - 51 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 941 - - 3859 - - 4699 - - 3735 - - 1848 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98996 18 111 16 129 8 128 8 072 11 068 98996 91587 13 083 15 099 13 137 7 120 4 079 91587 85832 11 077 9 071 13 114 11 124 11 079 85832 81053 12 106 7 099 6 089 12 098 12 082 81053 76942 13 096 7 099 10 114 13 067 15 083 76942 73315 6 065 8 092 10 121 7 090 11 082 73315 70029 4 089 4 111 3 087 6 097 8 103 70029 66988 3 033 6 119 4 254 1 050 6 075 66988 64153 8 300 4 318 5 284 3 206 4 254 64153 61401 7 285 8 245 12 254 3 215 9 148 61401 58541 18 286 8 145 6 195 21 268 18 247 58541 55602 31 266 20 268 32 260 37 250 25 226 55602 52797 33 274 35 254 28 265 25 234 20 229 52797 50245 33 284 35 262 30 285 26 261 37 256 50245 47948 36 277 41 261 41 269 48 266 55 266 47948 45865 37 275 43 256 51 255 64 262 71 267 45865 43973 40 276 44 260 52 255 70 259 81 260 43973 42254 48 272 45 266 54 261 72 261 85 258 42254 40676 54 264 47 266 56 267 76 265 90 260 40676 39207 58 258 49 260 57 267 78 260 91 255 39207 37830 62 254 51 257 56 262 75 253 87 253 37830 36510 65 251 53 257 54 259 71 254 85 256 36510 35182 66 248 54 257 52 258 69 261 85 257 35182 33817 66 247 54 255 51 258 66 259 84 257 33817 32415 65 247 54 253 50 259 60 255 83 256 32415 30963 63 249 53 252 49 257 65 252 82 255 30963 29450 59 252 54 251 51 253 64 253 81 255 29450 27882 55 253 55 250 53 248 61 255 78 253 27882 26259 53 253 55 249 54 246 57 255 74 251 26259 24588 52 253 52 249 52 247 51 251 69 247 24588 22873 51 253 49 250 50 247 47 246 63 245 22873 21107 47 252 46 250 47 246 44 241 57 241 21107 19288 41 249 43 248 44 242 41 236 49 236 19288 17447 37 244 40 246 41 238 39 234 42 232 17447 15683 32 242 37 244 37 235 35 233 36 232 15683 14080 27 244 35 242 34 232 33 234 32 235 14080 12653 24 249 34 240 31 229 31 234 32 241 12653 11380 24 254 33 238 27 229 29 234 34 245 11380 10240 25 257 29 237 24 230 28 235 36 245 10240 9217 27 257 24 236 24*233 27 238 35 244 9217 8301 29 256 21*235 24*236 27*240 33 245 8301 7484 29 255 20*235 24 239 27*243 32 246 7484 6753 29 255 19 236 24 241 28 244 31*248 6753 6092 25 254 18 237 24 242 27 245 28*250 6092 5501 20*253 17 237 23 243 27 246 26 252 5501 5004 15*251 16 237 22 244 26 246 24 254 5004 4618 11 248 15 237 21 244 25 247 22 255 4618 4351 9 246 14 236 20 244 24 247 20 255 4351 4187 9 245 13 235 19 244 22 246 19 255 4187 4094 8 244 12 234 16 243 18 244 15 254 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography