DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 56 - - 9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5516 - - 11365 - - 9353 - - 7150 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 41 - - 25 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 007 - - 285 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 2 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4252 - - -5892 - - -4188 - - -2691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8347 - - 9987 - - 8282 - - 6785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6481 - - -7101 - - -5873 - - -4181 ODpotential blCL - - - 10575 - - 11195 - - 9967 - - 8275 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 94 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 100 - - 300 - - 280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.5 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 30.9 - - 37.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 60.2 - - 59.7 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 29.7 - - 35.9 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 56 - - 9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 75 - - 38 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97285 20 284 28 294 26 286 24 302 97285 89914 21 284 24 284 19 302 26 295 89914 84265 19 284 20 279 17 306 15 296 84265 79586 18 271 19 283 18 292 15 296 79586 75552 13 266 17 282 17 282 20 294 75552 71971 10 300 16 272 20 264 22 284 71971 68716 16 288 16 271 21 263 20 283 68716 65710 22 270 21 270 20 268 16 275 65710 62908 23 261 22 266 22 270 20 274 62908 60180 21 264 23 259 26 265 27 268 60180 57326 21 270 25 258 26 261 27 261 57326 54354 29 275 29 267 25 267 23 263 54354 51513 34 270 33 268 30 270 26 271 51513 48954 35 265 34 266 35 269 31 271 48954 46660 36 268 35 265 36 263 33 269 46660 44579 36 277 34 266 34 264 32 266 44579 42682 39 277 36 266 36 264 33 264 42682 40944 45 277 39 264 39 256 35 263 40944 39345 50 273 44 264 40 252 37 257 39345 37870 55 264 49 263 44 251 37 250 37870 36511 60 261 57 257 50 248 40 241 36511 35228 62 259 59 253 53 239 41 232 35228 33949 63 259 56 253 50 236 35 236 33949 32642 59 258 56 250 46 239 30 241 32642 31309 54 258 56 246 42 235 30 237 31309 29930 51 261 53 250 39 236 29 235 29930 28494 39 266 43 257 33 245 24 238 28494 27005 29 272 31 259 26 254 19 245 27005 25467 20 293 19 267 18 265 15 257 25467 23882 18 308 13 282 12 267 12 255 23882 22252 19 296 13 284 10 262 10 255 22252 20571 16 285 13 266 11 252 11 255 20571 18833 14 288 11 249 12 247 11 254 18833 17069 12 293 10 234 10 241 10 253 17069 15374 10 296 14 244 8 224 10 246 15374 13832 10 285 14 253 5 233 8 238 13832 12455 16 265 14 261 4 278 3 274 12455 11223 22 245 14 266 5 300 5 341 11223 10115 19 238 13 269 7 304 9 338 10115 9119 14 235 12 272 10 298 13 329 9119 8225 11 232 11 276 12 295 16 319 8225 7426 9 229 9 279 13 292 18 311 7426 6710 6 226 7 283 15 289 20 305 6710 6061 5 220 5 292 15 287 20 302 6061 5480 3 204 4 306 15 286 21 299 5480 4990 2 173 3 329 15 286 20 298 4990 4610 2 149 2 351 15 285 19 297 4610 4346 2 140 2 006 14 285 17 296 4346 4185 2*140 2*005 13*286 15*296 4185 4093 2*141 2*007 11*285 8*297 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography