DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 13 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1693 - - 3000 - - 3583 - - 1767 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 25 - - 8 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 185 - - 004 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5815 - - -6068 - - -6263 - - -6271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9908 - - 10163 - - 10357 - - 10364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15512 - - -14643 - - -13912 - - -15160 ODpotential blCL - - - 19605 - - 18737 - - 18006 - - 19253 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 31 - - 24 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.7 - - 19.6 - - 19.8 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 49.6 - - 52.0 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.5 - - 18.6 - - 18.6 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 13 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 35 054 30 058 32 075 29 083 96401 89333 32 063 32 058 32 063 30 060 89333 83892 33 059 32 052 33 060 30 055 83892 79353 35 058 28 055 28 055 24 065 79353 75399 28 054 24 042 28 035 25 048 75399 71891 24 047 21 026 28 026 25 036 71891 68717 24 036 23 018 28 025 30 035 68717 65800 25 026 26 015 28 010 34 022 65800 63100 28 020 24 012 29 002 34 010 63100 60485 33 014 26 007 29 009 30 003 60485 57745 38 011 33 010 34 011 34 355 57745 54893 41 003 39 003 38 356 37 347 54893 52162 37 352 37 349 36 347 37 343 52162 49685 35 347 36 343 36 335 37 333 49685 47451 41 337 40 345 36 330 37 326 47451 45422 43 330 43 337 40 329 41 325 45422 43563 43 329 43 327 42 328 42 328 43563 41847 41 331 39 325 41 324 40 331 41847 40262 39 329 37 331 39 321 37 327 40262 38798 39 331 38 335 37 326 35 322 38798 37443 41 333 41 336 37 331 35 324 37443 36154 37 332 38 335 34 335 32 324 36154 34862 26 328 32 333 32 343 26 325 34862 33533 18 333 25 328 32 346 23 334 33533 32170 21 344 26 341 31 338 24 337 32170 30758 23 353 25 348 28 335 25 335 30758 29286 25 359 25 352 29 347 27 333 29286 27756 25 356 27 356 32 354 26 334 27756 26168 27 351 30 000 33 358 24 342 26168 24524 28 350 33 005 35 004 23 354 24524 22828 27 349 33 008 32 004 23 000 22828 21074 26 349 29 358 28 356 22 002 21074 19258 26 349 28 347 27 351 20 007 19258 17415 23 347 23 346 23 356 17 013 17415 15642 18 350 16 346 15 358 12 014 15642 14028 13 002 12 355 12 354 10 006 14028 12588 9 021 8 010 10 002 9 006 12588 11303 7 048 6 032 8 024 8 023 11303 10155 7 074 6 061 7 057 7 056 10155 9130 7 091 6 086 8 081 7 091 9130 8217 8 102 8 103 9 097 8 115 8217 7408 9 111 9 114 9 106 9 122 7408 6689 10 119 9 117 8 107 9 119 6689 6040 10 119 8 115 7 108 9 117 6040 5463 9 113 6 113 5 107 8 118 5463 4976 8 104 5 113 4 102 7 117 4976 4601 5 091 3 113 3 089 5 106 4601 4341 2 052 2 116 2 069 3 066 4341 4183 1*029 1*136 1*041 2*021 4183 4092 1*016 0*185 1*004 2*359 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography