DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 59.4 - - 65.9 - - 69.8 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 28 - - 39 - - 12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 880 - - 2430 - - 6197 - - 10998 - - 2154 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 32 - - 37 - - 27 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 17 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 353 - - 076 - - 314 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6453 - - -7166 - - -5208 - - -5607 - - -4070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10548 - - 11260 - - 9303 - - 9703 - - 8164 sfcLCL ODpotential -11919 - - -11857 - - -7285 - - -7108 - - -7485 ODpotential blCL 16013 - - 15951 - - 11380 - - 11203 - - 11579 blCL maxRH 71 - - 83 - - 68 - - 58 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 190 - - 770 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 59.4 - - 65.9 - - 69.8 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 24.6 - - 39.4 - - 41.4 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 60.4 - - 65.6 - - 70.1 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.5 - - 23.6 - - 38.2 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 28 - - 39 - - 12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 20 303 20 296 30 285 31 288 35 317 96486 89331 22 318 20 301 27 291 34 309 33 326 89331 83884 23 327 17 313 26 296 33 321 25 322 83884 79378 23 311 16 320 23 308 29 323 22 317 79378 75476 23 310 18 321 22 313 26 321 25 318 75476 72013 24 322 20 317 22 306 29 309 29 319 72013 68862 27 301 22 311 21 299 27 294 32 316 68862 65931 26 289 23 299 20 295 24 284 32 301 65931 63183 28 282 23 285 21 285 25 281 32 288 63183 60501 30 274 27 281 26 280 26 285 29 281 60501 57681 32 270 34 276 33 278 30 288 30 281 57681 54736 33 276 38 271 39 276 37 285 33 284 54736 51920 36 280 40 269 41 277 40 285 37 288 51920 49396 39 278 40 270 43 279 41 284 38 288 49396 47148 39 275 40 270 42 275 40 283 40 287 47148 45125 39 276 36 268 40 270 43 281 42 289 45125 43288 38 277 34 277 37 274 45 279 42 290 43288 41607 36 275 33 281 35 278 41 282 41 291 41607 40060 35 272 34 278 35 285 37 289 37 292 40060 38627 34 271 33 279 36 288 36 295 35 297 38627 37293 33 269 30 280 33 289 37 301 35 304 37293 36016 31 265 29 281 30 288 36 302 37 308 36016 34729 28 264 26 283 28 285 34 300 38 307 34729 33404 23 262 23 285 25 285 31 297 37 306 33404 32044 20 262 23 281 23 286 29 290 35 307 32044 30635 20 265 24 278 23 288 27 286 33 307 30635 29169 20 267 25 280 24 288 26 287 28 306 29169 27650 20 274 24 282 24 291 25 288 24 303 27650 26076 21 280 22 283 24 291 24 288 24 300 26076 24448 18 279 20 281 22 287 23 286 23 300 24448 22774 16 269 20 276 19 281 20 281 20 298 22774 21051 16 262 21 266 18 275 17 276 16 294 21051 19272 15 277 18 261 17 274 15 279 14 291 19272 17463 13 283 13 273 14 277 13 281 12 286 17463 15718 15 261 10 272 11 275 12 262 11 271 15718 14124 18 241 13 260 13 262 11 256 12 248 14124 12700 15 222 14 244 14 246 11 265 10 237 12700 11424 10 200 12 226 14 245 11 276 6 239 11424 10277 10 199 10 214 13 246 12 285 4 252 10277 9248 9 207 8 209 12 248 12 290 5 281 9248 8325 8 221 7 208 10 249 11 295 9 298 8325 7502 8 243 4 214 7 250 11 299 12 305 7502 6767 7 263 2 255 4 250 10 304 15 305 6767 6102 6 283 3 304 2 244 10 306 20 300 6102 5507 6 297 3 320 1 068 9 309 22 295 5507 5007 6 300 3 333 3 067 9 312 22 292 5007 4619 5 293 2 350 4 069 8 314 21 292 4619 4351 2 278 1 000 4 071 7 315 18 293 4351 4187 1*077 1*360 4*075 7*314 14*296 4187 4093 2*074 0*353 4*076 6*314 7*305 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography