DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.2 - - 72.3 - - 79.4 - - 80.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 35 - - 49 - - 20 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1401 - - 5259 - - 12295 - - 13971 - - 11628 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 35 - - 40 - - 30 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 308 - - 190 - - 220 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3659 - - -4289 - - -5511 - - -5214 - - -4236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7754 - - 8385 - - 9607 - - 9311 - - 8332 sfcLCL ODpotential -7981 - - -7213 - - -7272 - - -7092 - - -6577 ODpotential blCL 12076 - - 11308 - - 11368 - - 11188 - - 10673 blCL maxRH 95 - - 89 - - 82 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 500 - - 1010 - - 1720 - - 2210 - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m 68.2 - - 72.3 - - 79.4 - - 80.5 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 49.7 - - 51.2 - - 53.6 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.9 - - 73.9 - - 79.1 - - 81.1 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 48.5 - - 49.9 - - 52.2 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 35 - - 49 - - 20 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 57 - - 27 - - 59 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98814 35 092 37 104 32 117 29 104 29 092 98814 91301 31 098 28 100 29 110 25 096 31 094 91301 85539 30 101 26 115 19 109 26 089 30 097 85539 80776 23 093 30 107 19 113 27 096 24 105 80776 76671 18 100 22 092 22 109 23 100 19 107 76671 73035 15 118 12 096 16 104 17 092 19 109 73035 69745 15 106 13 107 11 124 9 076 14 093 69745 66735 12 102 11 126 12 141 6 121 10 081 66735 63952 7 123 8 152 4 155 4 114 7 094 63952 61262 2 210 4 179 3 194 6 239 2 258 61262 58462 6 242 8 245 9 264 11 243 8 261 58462 55560 9 269 12 254 15 264 13 266 15 275 55560 52796 14 287 15 263 19 267 24 274 19 275 52796 50309 17 290 16 281 20 270 26 270 24 275 50309 48071 14 295 17 289 20 278 28 274 29 278 48071 46032 11 289 17 288 21 287 29 276 32 280 46032 44164 7 272 15 287 22 293 26 283 32 285 44164 42448 4 293 13 284 20 299 23 297 27 300 42448 40865 7 343 6 340 16 313 24 319 29 322 40865 39397 6 032 11 021 18 335 26 340 31 327 39397 38025 8 051 19 022 23 354 29 352 28 340 38025 36714 11 046 25 023 32 008 29 355 29 351 36714 35393 15 039 29 027 38 006 27 005 30 354 35393 34035 19 041 32 026 36 006 28 009 31 358 34035 32643 23 047 31 026 34 009 31 009 32 003 32643 31203 28 054 26 037 34 008 30 005 30 007 31203 29704 31 054 21 055 31 008 26 005 27 001 29704 28149 25 048 19 053 25 013 24 006 24 348 28149 26542 18 052 15 042 22 017 21 010 22 339 26542 24885 13 073 11 036 18 023 19 015 20 335 24885 23180 11 096 8 026 16 023 12 007 18 338 23180 21418 7 118 5 020 17 005 11 001 12 000 21418 19601 7 121 7 013 18 344 15 354 12 027 19601 17764 9 102 11 021 14 352 14 341 11 025 17764 15995 10 082 11 033 11 344 12 330 7 007 15995 14377 11 065 9 050 9 334 11 327 5 350 14377 12927 13 062 8 060 9 331 11 324 6 329 12927 11625 15 061 7 052 8 330 10 321 9 314 11625 10454 15 053 6 037 8 327 10 319 13 305 10454 9401 14 047 6 019 7 325 10 318 15 300 9401 8455 14 041 6 002 7 323 9 317 18 296 8455 7610 13 033 6 347 6 322 8 317 18 295 7610 6854 12 021 7 332 5 320 7 315 19 294 6854 6168 12 001 8 326 4 321 6 313 19 293 6168 5555 15 338 8 322 3 320 5 308 19 293 5555 5039 17 323 8 319 2 311 4 295 19 292 5039 4638 17 314 8 318 1 272 3 268 18 292 4638 4361 16 312 7 316 1 209 3 240 16 291 4361 4192 14*312 7*314 2*193 3*224 14*290 4192 4095 9*313 6*308 2*190 3*220 9*287 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography