DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 69.6 - - 75.4 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 55 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3515 - - 3183 - - 10135 - - 4275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 42 - - 31 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 127 - - 050 - - 321 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8146 - - -7190 - - -6650 - - -4180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12241 - - 11286 - - 10746 - - 8276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14927 - - -11905 - - -8317 - - -7302 ODpotential blCL - - - 19022 - - 16000 - - 12413 - - 11397 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 41 - - 40 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 160 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 69.6 - - 75.4 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 34.5 - - 42.4 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 69.1 - - 75.8 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 33.3 - - 41.4 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 55 - - 19 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98147 3 096 6 158 2 078 7 338 98147 90686 9 155 2 354 3 111 1 170 90686 84944 8 146 1 287 2 018 2 081 84944 80196 4 156 6 206 2 319 5 032 80196 76128 4 096 6 213 4 316 7 007 76128 72547 3 005 3 165 4 299 6 350 72547 69306 6 343 3 259 10 306 6 343 69306 66323 8 282 3 275 9 286 8 303 66323 63550 11 259 13 297 8 278 9 271 63550 60863 15 267 19 280 12 278 9 268 60863 58062 14 263 17 264 22 273 13 264 58062 55158 9 289 14 258 24 266 25 270 55158 52412 18 294 17 269 27 267 33 268 52412 49960 21 286 26 273 33 271 35 260 49960 47754 21 299 27 272 33 272 35 268 47754 45742 27 295 30 275 38 277 42 274 45742 43902 27 287 35 270 44 276 45 272 43902 42217 31 288 33 281 42 279 46 280 42217 40670 30 290 34 290 39 280 48 283 40670 39232 28 307 33 287 38 276 48 288 39232 37882 31 313 34 284 38 277 49 291 37882 36582 34 310 37 282 39 282 50 292 36582 35268 38 303 39 281 40 291 50 290 35268 33914 41 296 40 285 40 296 49 289 33914 32524 42 292 40 288 39 297 48 288 32524 31084 39 290 39 288 39 294 49 287 31084 29588 36 288 39 287 39 291 50 286 29588 28036 34 288 39 287 39 291 50 285 28036 26428 34 290 38 289 39 295 49 286 26428 24767 32 291 36 290 39 299 45 286 24767 23057 29 287 33 287 38 298 41 286 23057 21296 29 283 31 282 37 294 37 285 21296 19476 28 284 30 283 34 290 34 282 19476 17630 26 288 28 287 32 286 30 278 17630 15855 23 290 24 286 29 282 25 278 15855 14239 20 289 23 280 22 272 20 280 14239 12797 16 287 21 273 18 270 14 285 12797 11508 13 282 17 264 18 273 11 299 11508 10349 10 271 15 257 17 278 12 311 10349 9310 8 248 14 256 16 285 15 313 9310 8377 5 221 12 257 15 292 18 310 8377 7546 4 194 9 258 13 299 21 302 7546 6803 3 184 6 262 12 304 24 297 6803 6129 3 180 3 272 12 310 24 295 6129 5528 2 169 1 343 11 314 25 294 5528 5020 1 154 3 037 10 317 24 294 5020 4628 1 142 4 046 9 320 22 295 4628 4356 1 118 5 049 8 321 20 296 4356 4189 1*124 5*050 7*323 17*297 4189 4094 0*127 5*050 6*321 9*301 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography