DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 78.1 - - - - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 24 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4078 - - - - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - - - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1964 - - 3991 - - - - - 625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 26 - - 31 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 049 - - - - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5839 - - -5882 - - - - - -7501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9935 - - 9978 - - - - - 11598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11110 - - -9730 - - - - - -12926 ODpotential blCL - - - 15205 - - 13826 - - - - - 17022 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 85 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 350 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 78.1 - - - - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 48.7 - - - - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 78.8 - - - - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 47.4 - - - - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 24 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 39 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97822 7 303 11 298 18 270 97822 90589 5 023 5 037 8 334 90589 85004 8 045 10 021 7 029 85004 80369 10 040 10 011 14 048 80369 76382 13 039 8 014 15 031 76382 72866 14 023 11 033 10 018 72866 69681 9 360 10 010 8 022 69681 66753 6 339 8 323 13 009 66753 64043 5 326 10 270 12 327 64043 61421 7 328 9 277 10 291 61421 58686 11 291 14 277 13 269 58686 55841 17 275 16 267 17 268 55841 53124 24 272 23 268 26 253 53124 50686 28 275 27 261 23 251 50686 48497 35 275 39 270 28 255 48497 46504 45 267 47 260 38 260 46504 44675 50 268 49 260 45 260 44675 42978 59 268 52 262 46 259 42978 41389 56 270 47 266 43 260 41389 39898 47 270 41 267 39 261 39898 38498 39 267 37 263 35 262 38498 37158 32 266 31 260 32 261 37158 35812 28 268 28 266 29 258 35812 34431 24 269 23 272 27 258 34431 33018 22 276 19 275 26 261 33018 31556 17 273 17 265 23 260 31556 30033 15 267 20 244 20 255 30033 28458 18 265 20 241 21 251 28458 26832 20 263 16 249 20 249 26832 25155 18 273 9 268 16 243 25155 23425 13 275 5 261 13 220 23425 21637 10 258 7 232 11 218 21637 19786 9 235 10 235 10 203 19786 17906 10 208 11 230 10 176 17906 16095 8 199 10 218 9 169 16095 14447 6 215 8 213 8 164 14447 12975 8 214 7 209 6 151 12975 11658 10 209 7 214 3 128 11658 10475 12 201 8 212 2 105 10475 9414 13 191 7 201 3 095 9414 8462 12 183 7 183 4 086 8462 7613 11 172 6 172 5 083 7613 6855 9 158 6 161 5 078 6855 6167 8 150 6 152 4 069 6167 5554 5 142 5 141 5 047 5554 5036 3 124 4 130 6 031 5036 4636 2 095 3 111 6 021 4636 4360 2 078 2 081 5 010 4360 4191 1*083 2*058 3*345 4191 4095 1*089 2*049 3*325 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography