DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 55.7 - - 55.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -1 - - 7 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 665 - - 1064 - - 1459 - - 1851 - - 888 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 12 - - 21 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 086 - - 120 - - 065 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 2 - - 0 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4287 - - -3991 - - -4531 - - -4866 - - -4946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8382 - - 8085 - - 8625 - - 8960 - - 9040 sfcLCL ODpotential -12963 - - -12375 - - -12103 - - -12598 - - -13602 ODpotential blCL 17057 - - 16469 - - 16197 - - 16692 - - 17696 blCL maxRH 33 - - 36 - - 27 - - 28 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 55.7 - - 55.9 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.2 - - 31.6 - - 32.7 - - 31.4 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 52.3 - - 56.7 - - 58.4 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 30.4 - - 31.5 - - 30.2 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -1 - - 7 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96367 26 000 22 338 28 338 26 001 25 337 96367 89417 22 352 22 011 13 002 14 332 19 344 89417 83958 16 009 20 029 14 031 8 350 20 002 83958 79374 10 048 13 036 13 025 14 002 24 359 79374 75420 16 031 9 064 7 347 13 347 18 359 75420 71908 16 017 11 034 13 009 14 350 21 018 71908 68710 12 353 16 345 26 357 25 010 22 012 68710 65783 10 340 19 329 25 338 27 006 25 004 65783 63093 21 359 23 336 24 334 32 341 31 357 63093 60503 32 349 27 343 25 342 30 334 30 344 60503 57804 29 335 29 338 24 335 29 332 28 338 57804 54995 26 320 28 322 25 327 30 335 26 333 54995 52310 22 314 24 312 24 321 27 328 25 330 52310 49891 22 319 21 318 20 308 24 314 25 326 49891 47724 22 316 21 315 18 299 23 305 23 316 47724 45760 19 317 20 312 19 291 21 304 21 314 45760 43963 19 315 20 315 17 299 19 300 19 318 43963 42305 18 312 19 312 15 295 15 285 20 301 42305 40763 19 308 20 308 13 292 16 280 17 265 40763 39321 23 295 23 289 19 281 20 285 15 248 39321 37965 24 285 27 280 22 273 21 283 12 258 37965 36662 26 277 26 275 20 265 22 280 13 272 36662 35346 28 279 23 278 17 270 22 275 15 268 35346 33989 30 282 21 285 19 275 23 272 15 268 33989 32596 30 280 23 283 21 276 25 272 17 277 32596 31154 31 278 25 279 24 275 27 274 21 282 31154 29655 31 276 27 275 26 271 30 275 26 287 29655 28102 31 274 28 268 28 267 32 274 31 288 28102 26492 31 286 29 270 31 272 34 276 32 292 26492 24827 29 297 27 279 32 281 31 285 26 302 24827 23113 25 304 19 291 26 289 24 298 21 312 23113 21343 24 306 16 297 20 295 19 306 20 315 21343 19509 23 307 17 301 19 300 16 311 19 314 19509 17645 21 310 18 303 19 305 15 313 17 316 17645 15850 19 314 19 307 20 310 15 316 16 323 15850 14214 18 316 18 311 20 314 15 321 15 329 14214 12755 17 315 17 314 19 317 14 326 14 337 12755 11450 15 314 14 318 16 318 13 330 12 344 11450 10283 14 316 11 323 13 317 10 332 10 352 10283 9238 13 320 7 331 9 312 7 329 7 001 9238 8305 11 324 4 344 5 302 4 325 5 014 8305 7478 10 324 2 006 2 279 0 309 3 033 7478 6742 8 315 1 029 1 185 2 143 3 071 6742 6078 6 299 0 089 2 160 4 140 3 101 6078 5489 4 282 1 161 2 133 5 124 2 114 5489 4993 3 271 1 154 1 111 5 114 2 111 4993 4610 2 266 1 140 1 107 4 106 1 085 4610 4346 0 111 2 107 2 108 3 100 1 049 4346 4185 2*084 2*092 2*115 1*088 1*030 4185 4093 2*076 2*086 2*120 1*065 1*022 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography