DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.0 - - 86.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 32 - - 13 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3373 - - 10678 - - 13884 - - 2686 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 32 - - 36 - - 26 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 064 - - 158 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5220 - - -5543 - - -6713 - - -5041 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9317 - - 9640 - - 10810 - - 9138 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8526 - - -7728 - - -9178 - - -8615 ODpotential blCL - - - 12622 - - 11824 - - 13274 - - 12711 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 95 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 660 - - 2100 - - 1530 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.0 - - 86.2 - - 81.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.8 - - 53.0 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 86.0 - - 89.3 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 56.5 - - 51.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 32 - - 13 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 79 - - 101 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99393 23 107 24 118 17 145 11 095 99393 91895 17 123 15 115 18 111 14 118 91895 86080 18 119 19 116 13 092 16 103 86080 81263 15 115 14 109 11 124 13 093 81263 77134 16 108 11 122 13 131 12 094 77134 73487 16 102 13 116 14 124 16 115 73487 70192 15 119 10 125 8 098 14 090 70192 67185 11 125 9 146 7 075 8 091 67185 64408 6 107 12 168 3 061 6 131 64408 61725 3 170 15 153 9 187 6 169 61725 58924 16 189 16 209 8 208 10 227 58924 56018 28 197 30 209 31 217 23 224 56018 53272 34 199 35 193 40 203 32 214 53272 50816 37 206 34 196 37 198 37 215 50816 48607 42 216 42 214 41 207 46 218 48607 46597 54 219 51 218 49 213 53 216 46597 44759 59 209 58 212 57 213 57 215 44759 43067 59 201 59 208 58 209 60 215 43067 41493 60 201 57 206 55 208 58 211 41493 40020 60 201 54 205 56 209 55 208 40020 38638 56 198 54 204 59 208 55 210 38638 37310 52 196 52 202 59 206 55 211 37310 35970 46 195 49 198 57 206 54 211 35970 34589 44 185 45 196 53 206 53 209 34589 33171 52 178 42 194 49 206 51 207 33171 31702 53 181 42 185 44 204 47 207 31702 30172 43 187 43 176 39 202 45 210 30172 28585 28 196 43 175 36 203 42 209 28585 26941 25 189 39 180 36 204 38 211 26941 25245 28 178 31 189 35 202 36 212 25245 23503 28 175 22 201 32 203 36 207 23503 21709 25 177 21 205 29 210 35 206 21709 19857 24 181 23 212 21 220 32 205 19857 17980 25 188 24 215 15 228 24 199 17980 16172 24 193 20 210 13 233 12 167 16172 14521 23 192 18 208 10 236 10 157 14521 13042 22 188 17 208 9 234 6 156 13042 11716 18 186 15 209 8 230 4 178 11716 10524 16 194 13 208 7 221 5 208 10524 9453 16 201 11 205 6 212 6 232 9453 8494 13 213 9 202 6 198 9 252 8494 7637 10 226 7 195 5 191 13 263 7637 6873 8 235 5 180 5 185 17 269 6873 6181 7 238 4 156 5 179 21 274 6181 5564 4 235 4 123 5 175 23 277 5564 5044 2 214 4 097 5 169 23 278 5044 4641 1 161 5 081 4 167 21 281 4641 4363 2 132 5 071 4 163 18 284 4363 4193 2*127 5*068 3*160 15*288 4193 4095 2*129 5*064 2*158 8*301 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography