DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 70.5 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 14 - - 21 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1136 - - 2447 - - 6337 - - 8032 - - 3054 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 29 - - 30 - - 15 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 154 - - 083 - - 278 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 1 - - -5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6591 - - -7331 - - -6076 - - -7159 - - -6669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10686 - - 11425 - - 10172 - - 11255 - - 10765 sfcLCL ODpotential -13912 - - -14032 - - -9887 - - -10754 - - -11759 ODpotential blCL 18006 - - 18126 - - 13982 - - 14849 - - 15854 blCL maxRH 50 - - 33 - - 51 - - 60 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - 70.5 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 28.1 - - 38.5 - - 35.5 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 63.3 - - 68.8 - - 72.1 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 26.9 - - 37.5 - - 34.4 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 14 - - 21 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97663 7 339 9 275 20 278 23 306 16 313 97663 90363 13 331 3 273 15 270 20 295 20 300 90363 84736 14 307 7 288 8 275 11 307 14 283 84736 80086 11 265 12 283 8 293 8 307 7 294 80086 76086 5 317 9 258 10 296 6 311 7 282 76086 72543 15 330 9 255 13 279 12 291 9 294 72543 69322 14 304 8 292 9 229 14 267 13 288 69322 66368 12 285 13 306 5 227 16 245 17 269 66368 63641 16 274 22 280 11 274 15 238 17 250 63641 60996 20 267 24 264 26 268 25 262 24 256 60996 58244 22 269 27 267 29 263 29 264 30 263 58244 55403 35 273 34 267 33 266 33 269 30 264 55403 52694 43 272 38 270 38 270 38 271 32 266 52694 50250 45 272 41 272 44 267 43 266 40 261 50250 48051 44 272 41 272 43 266 43 267 44 259 48051 46041 44 275 41 275 42 270 44 272 43 265 46041 44185 46 274 42 275 42 271 43 272 43 267 44185 42457 48 273 44 274 42 273 40 272 42 265 42457 40840 48 275 45 276 43 273 40 273 40 266 40840 39326 45 279 44 278 42 273 40 270 38 268 39326 37912 43 280 44 279 42 271 40 266 38 266 37912 36572 43 280 43 279 40 272 38 267 39 266 36572 35242 40 280 38 284 36 277 33 269 36 266 35242 33889 35 282 30 282 32 281 28 268 32 262 33889 32504 30 286 25 285 27 275 26 267 30 262 32504 31070 25 287 24 291 22 267 23 263 29 263 31070 29576 23 287 22 288 18 269 20 253 27 264 29576 28024 23 284 21 282 18 271 17 248 24 264 28024 26417 23 282 19 281 18 272 15 258 20 260 26417 24759 22 282 20 283 17 273 13 268 16 253 24759 23050 19 287 19 284 16 274 12 273 12 248 23050 21285 16 296 16 284 15 271 11 271 10 251 21285 19455 13 302 11 283 14 268 12 264 12 253 19455 17597 11 296 9 281 11 266 13 261 15 257 17597 15814 9 291 10 275 12 266 15 255 16 253 15814 14198 8 289 11 274 15 261 17 249 15 244 14198 12761 10 284 14 272 18 261 16 251 12 244 12761 11475 11 276 15 268 19 263 14 256 12 250 11475 10320 11 273 13 265 17 261 13 261 12 253 10320 9283 11 274 12 264 16 261 13 265 13 254 9283 8354 11 279 11 265 14 262 13 267 14 252 8354 7525 11 281 11 265 11 264 13 269 15 251 7525 6784 11 281 11 262 9 265 12 269 16 250 6784 6115 11 278 9 256 6 267 11 270 16 252 6115 5516 9 272 7 243 2 263 10 271 15 256 5516 5013 8 259 5 217 0 218 9 272 14 261 5013 4623 5 232 4 181 1 091 8 273 12 264 4623 4353 4 180 5 161 2 088 7 274 9 266 4353 4188 4*158 5*156 2*088 6*276 6*267 4188 4094 4*152 5*154 2*083 4*278 3*268 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography