DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.2 - - 51.1 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 22 - - 1 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1276 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 5576 - - 4094 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2206 - - 1477 - - 2971 - - 1994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 136 - - 19 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 127 - - 112 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4871 - - -5443 - - -8015 - - -6127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8965 - - 11020 - - 12110 - - 10221 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16128 - - -16284 - - -17425 - - -15931 ODpotential blCL - - - 20221 - - 21860 - - 21519 - - 20024 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 70 - - 74 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 49.2 - - 51.1 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 15.7 - - 12.9 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 48.7 - - 51.0 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 14.6 - - 11.7 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 22 - - 1 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1276 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97097 54 086 66 088 59 083 67 080 97097 89961 63 087 65 090 59 085 59 072 89961 84449 63 091 59 093 51 087 45 074 84449 79794 55 088 47 089 42 086 34 079 79794 75705 44 087 38 083 34 077 29 072 75705 72063 39 089 32 084 26 076 22 056 72063 68761 30 089 23 077 19 064 21 046 68761 65718 22 081 16 064 11 049 16 047 65718 62898 18 061 14 037 14 037 14 039 62898 60185 16 038 14 014 18 027 11 024 60185 57382 15 025 14 358 20 008 16 002 57382 54506 16 017 15 355 19 342 21 343 54506 51788 20 008 20 355 20 343 23 330 51788 49358 23 352 28 343 27 344 24 319 49358 47199 25 343 31 330 38 333 33 322 47199 45261 31 354 29 331 47 318 43 309 45261 43498 40 354 41 336 50 316 53 312 43498 41879 42 350 47 333 58 326 69 309 41879 40370 42 351 48 332 66 326 64 314 40370 38950 45 352 50 330 59 322 67 326 38950 37611 47 353 53 331 57 321 68 325 37611 36318 47 353 51 332 56 325 63 324 36318 35012 45 353 46 333 52 328 56 326 35012 33668 44 351 42 335 49 330 50 328 33668 32287 44 351 39 337 47 333 42 328 32287 30855 43 352 41 341 40 339 38 329 30855 29361 42 355 40 343 36 328 35 328 29361 27810 31 357 32 342 34 328 31 329 27810 26203 26 011 28 340 33 334 31 319 26203 24548 27 015 26 341 29 331 27 307 24548 22847 26 014 25 342 25 332 22 314 22847 21088 26 012 24 342 23 327 22 318 21088 19263 24 008 23 348 23 328 20 320 19263 17411 21 005 20 356 18 339 19 330 17411 15630 18 007 15 355 15 344 19 343 15630 14008 16 010 13 356 13 350 17 350 14008 12565 12 012 10 355 11 358 13 356 12565 11278 7 019 7 341 9 355 10 003 11278 10131 3 073 5 312 8 341 8 008 10131 9107 6 159 4 250 6 320 6 003 9107 8197 11 168 6 206 4 287 4 349 8197 7391 12 167 6 184 2 236 1 324 7391 6675 12 162 6 159 2 173 1 182 6675 6029 13 155 7*138 6 134 2 167 6029 5455 13 149 6*131 6 121 4 153 5455 4972 10 145 6 127 5 118 4 139 4972 4598 9 142 5 126 5 117 3 117 4598 4340 8 142 5 124 5 115 2 079 4340 4183 8*142 5 124 4*114 2*064 4183 4092 7*142 5 125 4*112 2*060 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography