DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 27 - - 18 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 918 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 5218 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1320 - - 1182 - - 3091 - - 2953 - - 1259 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 136 - - 29 - - 11 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 092 - - 141 - - 121 - - 107 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5265 - - -5539 - - -5043 - - -5732 - - -6409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9360 - - 10758 - - 9139 - - 9827 - - 10503 sfcLCL ODpotential -15994 - - -16346 - - -11592 - - -12336 - - -14673 ODpotential blCL 20088 - - 21564 - - 15687 - - 16431 - - 18767 blCL maxRH 59 - - 55 - - 54 - - 52 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 57.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.6 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.2 - - 24.9 - - 37.3 - - 35.2 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 56.7 - - 62.8 - - 65.2 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 23.8 - - 36.2 - - 34.0 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 27 - - 18 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 918 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96807 22 295 20 312 16 291 25 287 22 290 96807 89758 8 305 16 261 24 290 21 317 12 311 89758 84296 10 343 9 212 16 276 15 293 8 333 84296 79720 12 315 6 333 3 299 12 250 12 308 79720 75766 7 304 12 338 5 004 4 207 13 282 75766 72279 8 324 9 327 6 308 3 022 7 260 72279 69119 11 283 9 311 8 291 8 335 4 253 69119 66201 10 277 12 305 14 287 15 314 10 308 66201 63492 12 289 14 274 17 278 18 298 20 294 63492 60874 17 308 15 278 18 277 20 279 24 281 60874 58155 31 304 23 297 24 283 26 276 27 272 58155 55343 41 289 37 294 38 289 35 279 31 273 55343 52668 46 285 47 290 47 286 42 279 39 277 52668 50263 49 285 50 290 51 283 49 277 46 276 50263 48107 52 288 53 292 53 281 55 279 53 276 48107 46151 56 291 54 294 53 282 58 278 58 275 46151 44351 58 292 55 292 53 283 56 274 59 275 44351 42676 57 293 54 289 51 283 52 272 58 271 42676 41109 52 295 47 287 45 281 47 269 54 266 41109 39641 47 296 42 286 39 277 46 265 49 265 39641 38268 44 306 37 284 37 276 47 266 46 269 38268 36954 41 310 33 283 38 271 46 262 46 268 36954 35630 42 310 32 286 39 268 43 261 46 266 35630 34266 43 305 34 291 37 268 41 262 43 267 34266 32866 43 298 38 293 35 277 35 264 37 266 32866 31418 43 296 39 291 35 283 33 270 34 259 31418 29909 41 300 36 289 33 281 29 273 31 260 29909 28339 40 308 33 295 29 290 25 280 25 267 28339 26711 41 316 33 310 27 304 22 291 20 272 26711 25025 41 323 33 321 24 307 20 289 17 264 25025 23285 38 325 30 323 19 301 17 274 18 237 23285 21487 33 321 25 318 16 289 16 255 20 223 21487 19626 27 310 21 302 17 272 17 247 21 230 19626 17741 25 302 20 280 20 264 19 254 20 251 17741 15931 23 300 20 274 21 266 19 258 18 259 15931 14285 20 301 18 272 19 261 19 258 18 252 14285 12818 16 304 15 267 16 256 18 259 16 250 12818 11507 12 306 10 261 13 253 15 259 12 250 11507 10333 8 296 7 247 10 245 12 256 9 242 10333 9281 5 257 6 217 8 229 9 249 8 229 9281 8342 5 216 8 195 7 213 7 239 7 215 8342 7507 7 195 10 182 6 194 5 212 6 199 7507 6765 7 179 9 172 8 168 5 170 5 179 6765 6096 9 168 11 162 9 150 7 139 6 173 6096 5502 10 158 13*150 9 142 7 130 11 161 5502 5002 10 149 11*142 8 136 7 124 11 149 5002 4615 8 135 11 142 8 129 6 120 9 136 4615 4349 7 114 11 141 8 126 6 115 7 120 4349 4187 5*100 10 141 7*124 5*111 4*098 4187 4093 5*092 9 142 6*121 4*107 3*070 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography