DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.8 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 38 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2250 - - 4999 - - 11359 - - 2865 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 33 - - 38 - - 29 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 076 - - 354 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 9 - - -1 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5436 - - -7172 - - -6237 - - -6107 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9532 - - 11268 - - 10334 - - 10204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9378 - - -10372 - - -8804 - - -10029 ODpotential blCL - - - 13474 - - 14468 - - 12901 - - 14125 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - 50 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 450 - - 1950 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.8 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 50.9 - - 56.5 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 85.9 - - 89.3 - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 49.7 - - 55.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 38 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99402 23 133 18 102 19 098 20 104 99402 91879 23 113 25 115 17 102 14 100 91879 86065 23 114 20 113 16 109 14 095 86065 81242 19 093 19 102 15 113 16 098 81242 77098 12 097 16 118 11 096 16 090 77098 73461 15 091 10 138 7 072 13 072 73461 70184 13 070 14 101 11 117 10 078 70184 67185 12 064 12 084 13 092 13 111 67185 64417 3 201 5 098 9 080 11 105 64417 61733 7 180 6 224 4 082 12 102 61733 58949 8 230 12 203 10 225 4 233 58949 56074 17 228 16 199 20 211 14 209 56074 53318 25 239 22 224 24 222 25 228 53318 50838 39 237 40 229 41 238 35 239 50838 48633 47 237 48 236 52 243 43 244 48633 46655 53 240 54 244 53 243 46 244 46655 44855 57 242 53 248 48 245 45 244 44855 43189 56 241 48 250 45 245 45 243 43189 41630 53 243 45 248 45 245 45 245 41630 40162 51 246 45 249 44 246 45 247 40162 38777 50 248 44 251 44 246 43 247 38777 37443 49 248 42 250 42 245 42 245 37443 36094 46 248 39 246 40 242 40 245 36094 34704 44 246 38 242 38 241 40 244 34704 33276 46 242 38 239 37 243 40 244 33276 31799 47 241 40 238 35 244 38 246 31799 30264 44 240 42 240 36 245 37 249 30264 28672 39 235 42 239 39 245 36 251 28672 27022 36 234 39 237 39 243 37 251 27022 25320 35 235 36 237 39 240 39 245 25320 23570 32 236 33 239 38 241 39 241 23570 21767 27 233 28 237 34 243 35 238 21767 19905 23 227 23 230 30 234 32 226 19905 18017 21 221 21 224 26 223 31 213 18017 16202 19 218 20 226 18 225 28 205 16202 14545 18 215 19 229 14 239 19 199 14545 13063 16 210 15 229 14 249 11 192 13063 11734 14 199 14 230 13 260 5 182 11734 10541 11 188 13 231 13 266 3 200 10541 9468 9 184 11 232 12 272 3 257 9468 8506 8 185 9 231 10 277 7 281 8506 7649 6 188 7 229 8 284 12 288 7649 6883 5 199 5 221 7 293 15 292 6883 6190 2 225 2 203 5 305 19 290 6190 5570 2 294 2 139 4 322 21 289 5570 5048 2 330 2 095 4 334 21 288 5048 4644 2 354 3 082 4 348 20 288 4644 4364 1 009 4 075 4 356 17 290 4364 4193 1*028 4*076 3*357 14*292 4193 4095 1*059 3*076 3*354 7*299 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography