DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 60.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 54 - - 30 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5308 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6734 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1260 - - 5977 - - 10072 - - 8004 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 43 - - 37 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 008 - - 006 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1885 - - -5273 - - -5985 - - -6586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8620 - - 9367 - - 10079 - - 10680 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6457 - - -7334 - - -7346 - - -8322 ODpotential blCL - - - 13191 - - 11428 - - 11440 - - 12416 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 99 - - 86 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 58.0 - - 60.5 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 30.7 - - 30.1 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 57.1 - - 59.9 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 29.6 - - 29.0 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 54 - - 30 - - 54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2434 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 97 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97808 11 254 13 287 19 285 16 299 97808 90554 9 283 7 280 8 292 8 280 90554 84958 10 283 4 236 4 249 3 320 84958 80312 6 209 11 231 12 289 4 002 80312 76295 4 051 10 223 10 288 5 002 76295 72738 5 277 6 182 10 214 8 296 72738 69525 6 167 4 260 8 203 9 265 69525 66581 5 107 10 195 8 215 10 241 66581 63854 11 289 5 257 6 238 10 200 63854 61209 10 251 10 247 9 226 6 223 61209 58440 9 203 10 235 9 225 17 211 58440 55545 22 286 23 259 23 259 15 202 55545 52772 28 272 29 256 31 246 25 238 52772 50282 29 251 29 250 25 244 28 231 50282 48041 28 250 25 239 22 260 20 237 48041 45983 40 259 36 264 35 269 24 261 45983 44079 47 257 46 257 48 261 34 265 44079 42303 49 254 49 253 54 254 40 262 42303 40638 51 254 50 253 55 250 45 256 40638 39072 55 253 53 254 53 246 48 249 39072 37597 60 250 59 252 53 249 47 246 37597 36180 59 249 63 247 59 249 48 250 36180 34758 56 250 66 242 62 245 55 250 34758 33305 58 249 62 239 60 243 55 246 33305 31826 63 244 57 240 54 242 47 245 31826 30312 64 235 56 241 47 244 42 248 30312 28765 57 227 55 237 40 248 37 250 28765 27195 51 222 48 233 37 250 36 248 27195 25595 47 223 40 230 40 246 44 238 25595 23959 44 226 37 230 44 238 52 228 23959 22286 44 227 40 234 48 234 54 223 22286 20575 43 225 42 239 48 232 48 222 20575 18821 39 225 42 241 45 229 39 220 18821 17056 35 228 43 237 39 222 30 217 17056 15367 32 231 40 228 31 223 22 218 15367 13830 28 230 36 226 26 238 15 224 13830 12457 25 228 30 229 22 242 8 239 12457 11226 23 228 22 229 16 251 5 265 11226 10117 18 226 12 228 10 267 5 289 10117 9120 8 219 5 231 6 296 6 296 9120 8224 1 163 1 008 6 335 8 292 8224 7423 3*027 5 018 7 001 10 284 7423 6707 6*021 7 015 7 003 13 277 6707 6058 8 026 7 013 8 005 18 272 6058 5478 9 029 8 011 8 006 20 270 5478 4988 9 029 8 010 8 007 21 269 4988 4609 9 028 8 009 8 007 20 269 4609 4346 9 028 8 009 7 006 19 268 4346 4185 9 027 8*007 8*007 17*268 4185 4093 9 027 7*008 7*006 15*268 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography