DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 51.7 - - 59.1 - - 57.9 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 39 - - 34 - - 19 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1094 - - 3505 - - 4104 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4076 - - 4076 - - 5129 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 5394 - - 7805 - - 8404 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2686 - - 2287 - - 3013 - - 3049 - - 6333 Hgt.Variab. W* 34 - - 156 - - 230 - - 218 - - 37 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 17 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 337 - - 268 - - 291 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 7 - - 34 - - 24 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3727 - - -2902 - - -2591 - - -959 - - -4280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7822 - - 8297 - - 10397 - - 9363 - - 8374 sfcLCL ODpotential -10703 - - -8961 - - -7817 - - -5829 - - -5908 ODpotential blCL 14797 - - 14355 - - 15622 - - 14233 - - 10002 blCL maxRH 46 - - 57 - - 42 - - 51 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 51.7 - - 59.1 - - 57.9 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 29.6 - - 27.6 - - 31.0 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 51.1 - - 58.5 - - 57.4 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.3 - - 28.4 - - 26.5 - - 30.0 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 39 - - 34 - - 19 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1094 - - 3505 - - 4104 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96964 12 271 20 269 27 295 13 292 20 279 96964 89753 4 294 7 247 13 271 15 292 13 285 89753 84190 9 292 6 307 9 293 14 271 10 287 84190 79564 7 276 5 303 7 280 8 272 10 304 79564 75559 12 283 12 303 9 282 10 264 10 269 75559 71999 13 264 12 239 13 251 15 248 11 264 71999 68769 13 281 8 243 12 260 13 250 17 277 68769 65798 28 278 23 274 14 269 9 256 15 253 65798 63025 28 263 24 268 18 258 11 276 15 254 63025 60314 18 238 21 256 25 259 31 270 21 268 60314 57479 22 267 24 263 28 261 31 267 24 277 57479 54536 30 278 29 272 29 268 29 280 28 288 54536 51735 38 285 35 278 35 272 39 287 34 286 51735 49232 43 283 38 281 39 270 47 276 36 280 49232 47005 44 279 41 281 40 275 47 273 37 276 47005 44999 44 275 45 276 47 281 50 282 41 281 44999 43178 43 275 49 276 54 280 59 286 50 284 43178 41509 46 281 55 280 60 276 67 284 60 283 41509 39965 53 284 64 279 68 275 74 282 70 281 39965 38525 59 285 69 276 75 275 83 281 77 279 38525 37174 61 286 69 273 78 274 90 280 80 279 37174 35876 62 285 68 273 80 274 94 279 79 280 35876 34569 62 284 68 274 81 275 94 279 73 283 34569 33227 62 282 69 276 80 276 94 280 66 287 33227 31854 62 278 70 277 78 277 90 278 61 290 31854 30436 62 273 69 276 75 274 85 273 58 293 30436 28966 62 272 66 273 73 271 83 268 52 295 28966 27444 62 273 65 269 72 269 81 267 45 295 27444 25870 61 274 65 269 72 268 78 268 40 301 25870 24245 59 275 66 269 72 266 72 270 41 309 24245 22570 57 276 66 270 70 265 66 272 41 310 22570 20842 54 276 64 270 65 266 60 275 41 308 20842 19051 50 275 59 270 59 269 56 276 41 309 19051 17230 46 272 53 268 54 270 51 276 39 304 17230 15477 42 269 46 265 49 271 45 277 38 290 15477 13889 38 268 41 263 44 270 39 277 35 274 13889 12483 33 264 35 261 38 269 32 275 24 255 12483 11235 29 260 30 259 31 266 24 274 14 246 11235 10118 27 257 28 258 25 262 20 276 9 275 10118 9117 26 255 27 257 22 261 19*282 9 307 9117 8220 24 253 26 257 20*262 19*286 11 319 8220 7419 20 253 21 259 19*264 20 288 12 327 7419 6703 13 255 14 266 18 265 20 290 12 331 6703 6054 8 262 8 281 18 267 20 291 13 334 6054 5474 5 287 6*309 17 268 20 293 12 335 5474 4985 4 316 6*331 16 269 20 294 12 334 4985 4607 5 331 5 337 15 271 19 294 12 333 4607 4345 4 341 5 339 14 272 18 295 12 331 4345 4185 4*347 5 341 13 272 17 296 11*330 4185 4093 4*350 5 342 11 273 14 299 10*331 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography