DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.1 - - 83.6 - - 90.5 - - 90.3 - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 26 - - 41 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top 4096 - - 4096 - - 4097 - - 4097 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1198 - - 2357 - - 13039 - - 12990 - - 3397 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 33 - - 37 - - 26 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 107 - - 012 - - 277 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 2 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6127 - - -5686 - - -7102 - - -6191 - - -6280 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10224 - - 9782 - - 11200 - - 10289 - - 10377 sfcLCL ODpotential -10847 - - -9418 - - -9374 - - -8667 - - -9913 ODpotential blCL 14943 - - 13514 - - 13471 - - 12764 - - 14009 blCL maxRH 90 - - 85 - - 85 - - 76 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 950 - - 1780 - - 2560 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m 79.1 - - 83.6 - - 90.5 - - 90.3 - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.8 - - 54.8 - - 55.4 - - 59.1 - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.2 - - 83.8 - - 91.2 - - 91.4 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 53.6 - - 54.1 - - 57.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 26 - - 41 - - -12 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 40 - - 41 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99420 28 107 33 109 29 109 21 111 21 094 99420 91928 22 107 24 108 27 099 24 122 14 105 91928 86112 25 097 19 110 19 107 23 096 19 101 86112 81280 23 089 19 120 15 109 18 091 22 086 81280 77129 17 091 16 085 16 123 14 093 20 075 77129 73475 14 079 11 112 10 083 15 088 15 077 73475 70171 9 098 7 093 5 105 11 050 15 078 70171 67142 6 070 6 062 6 107 2 056 9 033 67142 64349 5 327 5 019 5 025 4 097 4 008 64349 61656 2 304 5 347 7 337 4 024 3 058 61656 58857 7 348 4 327 8 305 10 334 4 014 58857 55982 14 299 6 271 9 272 10 296 5 302 55982 53268 18 276 12 266 15 255 20 262 12 281 53268 50844 23 271 18 271 20 261 26 257 24 271 50844 48674 30 268 28 269 28 268 29 259 28 262 48674 46705 36 265 36 266 36 267 33 261 32 258 46705 44898 37 262 39 263 39 265 36 262 34 258 44898 43221 36 261 37 262 38 265 36 263 36 259 43221 41650 34 263 33 264 34 267 35 265 37 259 41650 40172 31 267 28 269 29 267 32 263 35 257 40172 38778 28 268 25 273 23 268 27 260 33 255 38778 37437 26 266 23 274 21 273 22 259 31 254 37437 36082 26 264 22 269 21 269 20 260 29 255 36082 34688 26 265 23 265 22 262 22 258 27 258 34688 33259 26 268 24 266 23 260 24 255 27 260 33259 31784 26 270 22 269 22 265 23 257 26 257 31784 30251 24 271 18 270 18 266 20 258 24 256 30251 28660 21 268 17 266 15 263 19 256 20 257 28660 27015 19 264 17 262 15 255 19 256 17 258 27015 25319 19 266 18 264 16 247 21 252 19 257 25319 23577 19 274 19 264 18 243 23 247 23 251 23577 21782 20 271 20 257 19 241 22 239 22 240 21782 19929 21 248 24 248 24 245 20 227 24 221 19929 18048 24 229 24 237 26 245 17 227 25 213 18048 16235 20 237 22 236 22 251 14 235 20 211 16235 14579 14 242 19 246 21 255 14 243 16 219 14579 13096 13 249 19 255 20 258 14 248 14 235 13096 11765 13 258 18 262 18 261 15 259 14 254 11765 10569 13 264 14 264 16 264 17 265 15 267 10569 9494 12 267 13 264 14 267 18 270 16 276 9494 8530 10 264 11 262 12 271 19 271 18 282 8530 7670 6 265 10 262 9 276 20 273 19 284 7670 6901 3 281 8 264 7 284 20 273 20 286 6901 6204 3 321 6 269 5 296 20 274 21 286 6204 5580 5 325 3 279 4 314 20 275 22 286 5580 5055 7 319 1 319 3 334 19 275 21 287 5055 4648 9 313 1 063 3 351 19 275 19 287 4648 4366 8 313 2 087 2 002 18 276 17 289 4366 4194 6*315 2*098 2*004 16*276 13*290 4194 4095 5*317 2*107 2*012 12*277 7*293 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography