DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 76.5 - - 77.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 24 - - -18 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2065 - - 11100 - - 13110 - - 2635 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 32 - - 21 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 075 - - 270 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - -6 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5021 - - -4820 - - -5016 - - -4664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9116 - - 8917 - - 9112 - - 8759 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8454 - - -7041 - - -7118 - - -7880 ODpotential blCL - - - 12549 - - 11137 - - 11214 - - 11975 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 85 - - 86 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 910 - - 1110 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 76.5 - - 77.5 - - 71.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.4 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 76.7 - - 78.5 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 50.1 - - 50.1 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 24 - - -18 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 44 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97776 4 081 8 342 9 347 7 007 97776 90541 9 087 4 113 3 032 6 030 90541 84911 8 068 6 122 2 029 9 011 84911 80220 9 045 7 097 2 260 8 349 80220 76186 10 017 10 022 6 017 8 351 76186 72636 14 349 17 002 13 360 13 346 72636 69430 16 338 20 330 17 339 18 348 69430 66481 18 325 22 321 21 337 18 338 66481 63745 22 323 27 312 27 320 19 324 63745 61098 24 315 26 308 28 318 24 330 61098 58354 29 316 31 315 34 324 25 320 58354 55505 36 305 34 316 38 320 28 323 55505 52774 36 303 37 318 39 316 46 327 52774 50314 36 301 39 315 41 317 51 321 50314 48101 40 295 41 309 44 323 47 323 48101 46081 45 286 44 302 48 329 51 330 46081 44217 49 280 44 294 45 325 57 331 44217 42483 50 279 42 289 41 310 56 327 42483 40862 45 278 41 284 44 301 45 313 40862 39346 43 281 41 279 41 289 44 299 39346 37933 41 282 39 279 39 274 46 294 37933 36592 44 276 39 280 40 273 39 284 36592 35251 44 274 38 277 39 275 38 275 35251 33874 42 273 37 275 38 276 35 273 33874 32468 40 272 34 275 36 275 34 275 32468 31018 38 271 31 275 34 273 32 276 31018 29515 36 271 30 274 32 271 30 277 29515 27956 32 273 29 273 28 268 28 274 27956 26344 28 276 26 273 25 267 29 268 26344 24685 25 274 24 273 25 267 31 265 24685 22980 24 266 25 272 25 269 29 262 22980 21228 19 257 24 265 25 264 25 255 21228 19423 18 247 24 254 25 248 25 238 19423 17597 20 238 29 243 22 231 28 219 17597 15842 17 230 23 239 18 230 27 209 15842 14240 12 225 20 243 17 237 25 209 14240 12808 11 226 18 245 16 246 24 218 12808 11523 10 231 16 249 16 255 25 233 11523 10368 9 238 14 251 17 264 28 246 10368 9330 8 242 12 252 19 268 30 255 9330 8398 7 237 10 253 19 269 30 261 8398 7564 7 230 8 252 19 270 30 266 7564 6819 6 226 6 249 19 270 28 271 6819 6142 6 224 3 244 19 271 27 274 6142 5537 5 226 1 219 19 271 26 276 5537 5027 4 219 1 107 18 271 24 277 5027 4631 3 200 2 091 17 271 21 278 4631 4357 3 177 3 083 15 271 17 279 4357 4190 3*165 3*082 13*271 12*278 4190 4094 3*158 3*075 9*270 6*277 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography