DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 52.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -1 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4076 - - 4076 - - 4077 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 - - 4094 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3191 - - 4469 - - 3423 - - 3247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 11 - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 289 - - 118 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -3 - - 0 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1183 - - -1426 - - -1650 - - -1344 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5278 - - 5521 - - 5745 - - 5438 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3079 - - -2774 - - -4051 - - -3391 ODpotential blCL - - - 7173 - - 6868 - - 8145 - - 7485 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 96 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 52.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 42.0 - - 41.5 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 52.3 - - 53.0 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -1 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 84 - - 82 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95976 19 340 20 337 18 336 9 306 95976 88949 13 355 10 332 18 336 14 331 88949 83498 23 335 16 325 17 326 17 355 83498 78940 20 316 17 305 20 318 18 305 78940 75005 3 344 8 238 11 253 12 273 75005 71517 28 306 21 312 11 329 16 296 71517 68340 24 261 22 263 20 270 20 270 68340 65436 16 223 21 229 24 227 21 230 65436 62730 22 266 30 258 23 207 24 227 62730 60058 52 252 49 255 36 247 45 246 60058 57268 66 250 61 254 61 256 57 247 57268 54390 72 248 72 251 74 255 68 249 54390 51643 73 247 75 247 80 250 75 244 51643 49166 79 250 76 246 81 249 75 247 49166 46943 91 248 92 248 92 250 84 251 46943 44923 98 245 105 245 104 247 97 247 44923 43080 94 245 103 242 107 242 102 243 43080 41391 96 246 99 242 104 240 100 242 41391 39832 107 246 105 243 109 241 109 242 39832 38381 121 246 122 244 122 242 128 240 38381 37030 123 246 133 244 125 242 134 240 37030 35740 118 247 128 245 114 242 122 239 35740 34444 110 244 116 246 104 241 108 238 34444 33114 108 244 111 244 102 241 101 238 33114 31750 106 247 107 244 97 242 99 238 31750 30340 98 247 91 244 85 243 96 240 30340 28874 92 244 84 243 76 244 84 242 28874 27357 79 241 80 243 71 243 74 241 27357 25786 65 237 75 243 66 243 70 242 25786 24167 57 235 69 241 64 244 66 246 24167 22502 54 232 65 238 63 243 61 246 22502 20785 49 229 62 234 61 240 59 243 20785 19008 45 230 58 231 58 239 56 241 19008 17205 43 235 51 231 52 240 53 240 17205 15474 40 240 46 238 47 242 51 240 15474 13901 36 241 43 245 46 241 50 239 13901 12500 33 242 40 246 44 240 47 238 12500 11248 34 241 40 245 42 243 44 236 11248 10125 38 241 40 242 40 247 40 234 10125 9117 41 242 38 240 40 251 36 234 9117 8216 42 242 33 238 39 253 31 236 8216 7413 40 244 27 239 37 253 24 239 7413 6697 36 247 22 241 34 251 17 243 6697 6049 30 250 19 242 30 249 11 249 6049 5470 23 251 16 244 24 247 7 262 5470 4982 18 251 12 245 19 244 4 281 4982 4605 13 249 9 246 13 238 2 323 4605 4344 9 245 7 246 7 224 2 006 4344 4184 6*240 4*250 4*185 2*039 4184 4093 3*222 1*289 6*118 3*049 4093 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography