DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 42.7 - - 44.1 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 31 - - 10 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4075 - - 4076 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 - - 4093 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3208 - - 4216 - - 4536 - - 3041 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 39 - - 35 - - 26 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 097 - - 089 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3953 - - -5788 - - -6283 - - -4406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8047 - - 9882 - - 10377 - - 8500 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11089 - - -13412 - - -14645 - - -13783 ODpotential blCL - - - 15182 - - 17505 - - 18738 - - 17876 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 64 - - 48 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.5 - - 42.7 - - 44.1 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 14.1 - - 13.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 42.1 - - 43.7 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.0 - - 13.0 - - 12.2 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 31 - - 10 - - 20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96504 32 085 24 049 26 045 30 062 96504 89389 20 069 15 054 11 038 17 035 89389 83890 17 049 13 033 11 043 5 357 83890 79295 12 028 12 350 20 024 9 013 79295 75307 10 020 6 339 18 006 17 027 75307 71779 15 024 6 000 12 348 17 028 71779 68575 12 001 12 005 14 004 11 039 68575 65609 14 336 15 004 16 004 10 030 65609 62840 14 320 18 351 21 351 16 008 62840 60155 11 347 17 334 22 349 24 354 60155 57367 18 348 18 334 23 343 24 349 57367 54483 15 349 18 327 20 327 22 346 54483 51735 23 354 15 341 17 343 19 336 51735 49262 27 355 24 349 19 355 11 332 49262 47036 31 351 33 350 29 010 20 355 47036 45036 29 348 32 353 34 353 18 014 45036 43228 25 003 27 346 23 003 34 032 43228 41568 24 009 36 034 25 033 59 025 41568 40041 31 023 62 044 35 027 56 033 40041 38620 47 029 75 035 79 023 64 051 38620 37287 65 032 86 025 111 029 89 050 37287 36005 67 031 92 023 111 029 103 046 36005 34709 71 028 88 027 88 027 104 046 34709 33373 57 023 79 035 72 037 95 046 33373 31999 41 017 64 039 69 043 81 044 31999 30579 37 015 56 040 65 049 69 045 30579 29107 40 015 51 041 60 053 63 048 29107 27585 46 016 48 039 58 057 62 047 27585 26008 50 020 48 036 59 057 59 046 26008 24373 51 026 45 036 61 055 54 048 24373 22685 46 029 42 037 63 054 50 057 22685 20935 31 029 42 042 65 053 50 059 20935 19117 21 010 44 046 61 055 49 061 19117 17269 21 354 44 051 48 064 48 067 17269 15492 22 352 34 055 40 073 44 076 15492 13880 21 359 20 059 30 079 33 085 13880 12451 16 008 15 062 18 081 23 089 12451 11182 10 019 12 073 13 089 16 098 11182 10054 5 060 11 087 12 104 13 114 10054 9048 7 094 11 099 12 109 12 125 9048 8153 9 111 11 111 11 107 12 124 8153 7358 10 126 10 109 9 102 12 117 7358 6651 10 130 9 105 9 099 12 108 6651 6012 11 127 8 103 8 096 12 098 6012 5442 11 125 8 101 7 095 13 085 5442 4964 11 123 7 100 7 092 15 076 4964 4594 9 122 6 097 6 091 13 070 4594 4338 8 123 6 097 6 091 11 063 4338 4182 8*123 5*097 6*090 10*060 4182 4092 7*124 5*097 5*089 9*059 4092 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography