DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 72.1 - - 76.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 40 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 97 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4397 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2761 - - 4352 - - 10162 - - 3506 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 71 - - 24 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 090 - - 046 - - 289 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5903 - - -6664 - - -5766 - - -6550 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9998 - - 11061 - - 9863 - - 10646 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11596 - - -11170 - - -7678 - - -9929 ODpotential blCL - - - 15691 - - 15567 - - 11774 - - 14024 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 31 - - 31 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 720 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 72.1 - - 76.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 37.8 - - 46.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 71.7 - - 76.5 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 36.6 - - 45.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 40 - - 5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 97 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98800 10 212 11 183 4 172 10 141 98800 91417 13 177 8 193 7 169 11 159 91417 85689 10 179 6 186 6 193 8 167 85689 80913 10 181 10 225 7 219 4 183 80913 76784 6 188 12 209 13 251 4 267 76784 73141 4 301 9 196 13 235 9 266 73141 69852 7 286 10 271 7 238 9 252 69852 66829 9 268 12 273 6 255 8 239 66829 64029 12 255 18 259 9 284 7 264 64029 61323 14 252 22 249 20 278 7 271 61323 58503 17 274 24 255 28 270 25 275 58503 55572 25 279 28 267 33 263 34 268 55572 52770 32 277 34 271 37 259 39 265 52770 50252 37 274 39 268 38 260 44 261 50252 48001 42 272 41 266 39 264 46 256 48001 45954 43 268 43 265 43 268 45 257 45954 44075 45 265 46 262 47 264 48 260 44075 42342 48 264 47 259 49 257 52 260 42342 40735 53 261 48 257 48 254 53 256 40735 39237 52 259 49 257 46 255 50 253 39237 37842 48 258 49 253 45 257 46 251 37842 36514 43 258 47 250 46 256 44 252 36514 35186 37 259 43 252 45 252 44 252 35186 33828 32 261 39 254 41 250 43 251 33828 32441 30 262 33 255 37 249 42 248 32441 31008 29 260 29 256 33 250 40 248 31008 29518 29 260 28 259 30 253 37 249 29518 27973 28 260 29 259 29 255 34 250 27973 26372 28 259 29 257 28 256 32 250 26372 24718 27 257 29 256 27 258 30 248 24718 23016 26 258 27 257 25 257 28 245 23016 21259 23 260 24 256 25 253 28 242 21259 19444 20 263 20 255 27 248 27 239 19444 17606 18 264 18 252 26 245 26 231 17606 15839 18 257 18 250 25 237 26 221 15839 14229 18 249 19 248 21 232 22 217 14229 12791 18 248 22 246 16 242 15 219 12791 11503 16 247 20 246 14 257 12 227 11503 10346 14 241 17 247 14 269 10 245 10346 9306 13 232 16 249 14 274 11 264 9306 8374 11 223 13 250 14 276 14 278 8374 7542 9 213 10 252 13 279 17 284 7542 6799 6 202 7 257 13 280 19 285 6799 6126 4 192 4 268 13 281 21 284 6126 5525 2 187 2 338 12 282 22 282 5525 5019 1 147 3 027 11 284 22 280 5019 4627 1 099 4*039 10 285 20 280 4627 4355 1 096 5*044 9 286 17 279 4355 4189 1*090 5 047 9*287 15*279 4189 4094 1*090 5 046 7*289 10*279 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography