DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 68.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.6 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 21 - - 19 - - -2 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1 - - 16 - - 2697 - - 2022 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4095 - - 4301 - - 4095 - - 6997 - - 6322 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2552 - - 4160 - - 6912 - - 2749 - - 1850 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 14 - - 33 - - 142 - - 177 W* B/S 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 21 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 242 - - 265 - - 254 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -3 - - -4 - - -10 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8861 - - -9109 - - -6094 - - -3330 - - -3905 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12957 - - 13411 - - 10189 - - 10327 - - 10227 sfcLCL ODpotential -17332 - - -16419 - - -10113 - - -14257 - - -11627 ODpotential blCL 21427 - - 20720 - - 14208 - - 21254 - - 17949 blCL maxRH 75 - - 63 - - 41 - - 79 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 68.8 - - 73.2 - - 71.6 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.9 - - 24.5 - - 42.6 - - 40.4 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 68.6 - - 73.5 - - 71.7 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.9 - - 23.4 - - 41.4 - - 39.0 - - 33.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 21 - - 19 - - -2 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1 - - 16 - - 2697 - - 2022 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98317 13 268 10 261 14 255 12 266 19 271 98317 90935 10 269 10 263 13 259 16 273 10 295 90935 85214 5 266 11 256 9 240 14 263 7 304 85214 80456 5 273 8 252 9 203 10 253 5 251 80456 76358 3 233 6 257 9 221 10 269 6 274 76358 72736 5 228 7 242 11 229 11 269 5 299 72736 69446 5 228 7 253 11 261 11 277 11 309 69446 66415 9 261 9 247 13 282 12 270 9 268 66415 63607 14 257 9 239 18 263 12 275 13 292 63607 60898 13 259 17 255 18 237 15 261 17 297 60898 58076 15 263 18 259 18 227 22 250 14 276 58076 55161 17 250 18 248 23 249 26 250 25 245 55161 52422 19 246 24 237 34 247 32 252 33 241 52422 49977 22 255 27 239 36 234 37 249 31 239 49977 47780 26 246 32 243 37 234 42 246 37 244 47780 45777 28 232 34 239 41 236 45 242 48 247 45777 43944 31 239 34 243 40 237 45 231 59 244 43944 42262 33 253 35 247 39 248 43 229 66 240 42262 40710 31 262 34 242 40 250 44 233 68 238 40710 39260 28 266 31 237 37 242 46 234 66 237 39260 37898 27 269 28 236 35 231 47 233 63 236 37898 36589 27 265 28 233 33 223 47 233 62 234 36589 35268 28 257 30 229 35 223 48 232 61 233 35268 33908 29 250 31 227 39 229 51 232 60 233 33908 32512 28 244 31 226 42 232 54 232 58 234 32512 31070 27 237 31 222 43 231 53 233 56 236 31070 29570 26 230 31 218 43 231 50 234 55 238 29570 28016 25 227 31 219 43 234 46 235 54 241 28016 26407 25 229 32 229 42 237 45 237 53 243 26407 24743 25 233 35 239 41 237 44 236 51 245 24743 23030 28 238 38 240 40 235 42 234 48 245 23030 21261 32 245 38 242 39 234 41 233 45 245 21261 19430 33 249 38 241 38 237 39 236 43 245 19430 17573 34 244 38 238 39 241 39 241 41 243 17573 15787 33 236 36 236 41 245 39 246 39 242 15787 14163 30 229 34 236 40 247 38 249 37 243 14163 12716 26 227 31 237 38 247 37 251 34 244 12716 11426 23 230 29 239 33 246 36 251 32 244 11426 10271 21 236 28 241 25 244 33 248 31 245 10271 9237 22 243 27 245 20 243 29 246 31 246 9237 8314 23 247 24 247 21 245 24 247 31 248 8314 7492 24 248 19 249 20 248 23*248 31 250 7492 6760 22 248 15 248 20 250 23*250 29*253 6760 6097 18 248 13 248 19 252 23 253 27*256 6097 5505 12 247 11 247 19 254 23 254 25 258 5505 5006 8 244 9 246 18 256 22 255 23 259 5006 4619 6 239 8 245 16 257 21 256 20 260 4619 4351 4 229 7*244 15 259 19 257 17 261 4351 4188 3*226 7*243 13*260 17 257 15 261 4188 4094 3*224 6 242 9*265 10 260 13 261 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography