DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 84.5 - - 87.5 - - 86.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 48 - - 21 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4078 - - 4079 - - 4079 - - 4079 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 - - 4096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2934 - - 7333 - - 12345 - - 14157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 36 - - 40 - - 33 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 345 - - 024 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5634 - - -6085 - - -6922 - - -7066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9730 - - 10182 - - 11018 - - 11163 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9560 - - -8580 - - -9133 - - -9668 ODpotential blCL - - - 13656 - - 12676 - - 13229 - - 13764 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 28 - - 39 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 1330 - - 1640 - - 1340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 84.5 - - 87.5 - - 86.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 53.9 - - 53.3 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 84.2 - - 87.7 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 52.7 - - 52.0 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 48 - - 21 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99399 38 111 26 098 35 097 34 090 99399 91875 32 104 29 108 27 102 29 101 91875 86064 22 113 29 109 21 113 25 087 86064 81263 22 104 18 100 25 105 20 096 81263 77159 17 093 13 097 18 091 25 097 77159 73533 15 104 10 110 10 086 19 081 73533 70247 13 097 11 126 9 110 9 092 70247 67232 6 096 6 119 7 096 9 105 67232 64442 5 174 2 185 1 037 6 081 64442 61748 6 204 5 257 4 261 3 322 61748 58952 9 250 11 266 12 261 13 276 58952 56073 19 260 18 263 20 264 19 257 56073 53332 26 267 27 275 27 273 24 261 53332 50859 34 268 37 272 36 267 34 247 50859 48637 37 268 47 266 47 265 40 264 48637 46616 36 269 55 261 58 262 57 264 46616 44754 33 262 50 262 60 255 67 257 44754 43022 29 256 42 262 48 258 60 260 43022 41414 21 248 31 254 40 256 53 255 41414 39922 16 226 22 233 37 252 49 254 39922 38533 15 218 21 215 33 247 49 258 38533 37206 5 208 17 204 27 238 45 255 37206 35871 2 237 14 187 25 218 43 255 35871 34495 2 223 13 183 22 208 44 256 34495 33081 3 236 12 187 18 205 31 261 33081 31617 4 245 11 195 16 202 21 251 31617 30093 5 232 11 203 16 200 20 262 30093 28515 6 218 10 205 17 198 16 271 28515 26882 6 205 11 206 15 201 8 240 26882 25198 9 203 13 215 9 208 6 216 25198 23464 7 228 8 233 6 192 6 207 23464 21675 4 249 5 219 9 199 6 185 21675 19832 2 178 7 188 8 210 9 148 19832 17971 5 190 8 188 8 208 8 146 17971 16176 6 210 6 187 8 210 7 132 16176 14534 8 212 7 187 8 211 6 125 14534 13062 10 200 8 183 7 210 5 117 13062 11740 12 185 8 181 6 209 4 105 11740 10550 13 169 8 180 5 203 2 060 10550 9480 13 154 7 178 4 198 3 352 9480 8520 11 140 6 177 3 187 5 326 8520 7662 8 121 5 174 2 167 7 316 7662 6894 5 088 4 173 1 127 9 312 6894 6199 4 067 3 172 1 083 11 311 6199 5577 4 033 1 168 2 054 11 310 5577 5053 3 360 1 348 3 044 12 309 5053 4646 3 336 2 346 4 035 12 310 4646 4365 2 318 3 348 5 031 11 310 4365 4194 2*298 4*345 5*027 9*310 4194 4095 2*261 4*345 4*024 6*317 4095 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography