AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: OCT 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 48.4 50.9 56.0 61.8 66.4 71.0 72.5 73.6 72.5 69.2 65.6 60.7 57.2 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 48.5 50.7 55.3 60.5 64.6 68.9 70.4 71.7 71.0 68.2 65.2 60.8 57.2 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -4 13 76 164 277 350 351 328 255 162 48 -4 -5 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 141 154 363 943 1957 2817 3340 3521 3159 2323 897 147 54 BLDepth Hcrit 978 978 978 1193 2027 2784 3201 3307 2925 2069 978 978 978 Hcrit BLTop 1119 1132 1341 1921 2935 3795 4318 4499 4137 3301 1875 1125 1032 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 384 453 916 1644 1770 2053 1968 2169 2006 1897 2075 1889 1135 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 39 112 210 316 391 413 410 358 273 133 15 5 W* B/S 1 2 5 14 40 15 15 14 10 5 2 0 0 B/S BLWind 2.9 2.5 1.9 0.5 2.7 3.1 5.2 6.7 8.1 10.6 11.6 6.7 4.6 BLWind Direction 135 127 111 301 299 303 294 288 284 277 268 254 238 Direction Max.Converg -1 -1 0 2 5 8 12 15 18 17 11 5 3 Max.Converg maxRH 72 71 67 61 59 52 50 50 48 52 52 59 65 maxRH CLOUDpotent -10937 -11020 -10572 -9696 -8106 -8167 -8113 -7754 -8149 -8519 -9719 -9946 -9847 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 12058 12154 11915 11619 11043 11963 12433 12254 12288 11822 11597 11072 10881 sfcLCL ODpotential -10952 -11043 -10600 -10067 -8554 -8726 -8761 -8404 -8756 -8922 -9836 -9954 -9847 ODpotential blCL 12073 12177 11943 11990 11490 12523 13081 12904 12895 12225 11713 11081 10881 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 28387 25 309 23 311 21 305 21 311 20 320 20 319 19 313 18 317 18 319 20 319 19 311 17 315 21 315 28387 25501 22 315 20 316 19 309 20 313 19 320 18 319 18 316 17 319 18 321 19 322 18 320 16 323 19 322 25501 23122 20 320 19 320 17 314 18 312 18 319 16 318 16 317 16 325 17 325 18 323 17 326 16 329 18 328 23122 21066 18 324 18 324 16 317 16 318 16 325 14 326 14 320 14 330 14 328 16 325 15 327 14 332 17 334 21066 19211 17 327 16 328 14 322 14 327 15 331 13 331 12 323 13 332 13 332 14 329 13 330 13 336 15 339 19211 17333 15 332 15 333 13 330 12 335 12 335 10 335 11 329 11 335 11 335 12 328 10 334 11 344 12 343 17333 15421 14 335 14 335 12 331 11 338 11 336 9 336 10 333 10 340 10 340 10 334 9 338 10 347 10 343 15421 13654 13 333 12 332 10 331 10 333 10 334 8 339 9 336 9 345 10 345 9 340 10 341 10 351 10 345 13654 12235 12 332 11 328 10 326 9 331 8 332 7 339 8 336 9 345 9 343 9 340 10 341 9 353 9 347 12235 11122 10 335 10 331 9 328 8 330 8 334 7 340 8 339 8 347 8 347 8 341 9 344 8 353 8 350 11122 10175 10 339 9 335 7 330 7 329 6 333 6 338 7 340 7 349 8 351 7 344 8 345 7 355 7 352 10175 9395 9 342 8 339 7 334 6 332 6 334 6 337 6 339 7 353 7 353 7 347 7 347 7 357 7 355 9395 8752 8 344 8 341 7 337 6 334 5 340 5 341 5 344 6 357 7 358 6 352 7 351 6 359 6 355 8752 8193 8 345 8 344 7 342 6 337 5 345 5 346 5 348 6 1 7 3 6 356 6 356 6 0 6 357 8193 7677 8 345 8 347 7 347 7 339 5 350 5 350 5 348 6 3 7 7 6 1 6 2 6 2 6 360 7677 7174 8 344 8 349 7 350 7 340 5 354 5 353 6 346 7 4 7 9 6 3 6 6 6 6 6 3 7174 6678 7 343 7 350 6 350 7 341 5 353 5 355 6 346 7 3 8 8 7 6 7 8 7 7 6 5 6678 6189 7 342 7 354 6 351 6 341 5 352 5 359 6 347 7 2 8 7 7 5 7 8 7 7 7 4 6189 5708 7 343 7 356 6 352 6 340 5 351 5 0 6 348 7 2 7 7 7 4 7 8 7 6 7 2 5708 5234 7 344 6 356 6 352 6 341 5 350 5 1 6 348 7 3 7 6 7 5 7 7 8 6 8 1 5234 4766 7 345 6 355 6 353 6 340 5 349 5 1 6 349 6 3 6 5 7 3 7 4 8 1 8 359 4766 4305 7 345 6 355 6 354 6 342 5 349 5 2 6 350 5 1 6 1 7 360 7 358 8 355 8 355 4305 3851 6 346 6 352 6 352 6 343 4 348 4 2 5 350 5 352 5 352 7 351 7 348 8 345 8 348 3851 3402 6 346 6 351 6 351 6 345 4 343 4 1 4 339 5 329 5 333 7 335 7 333 8 333 8 337 3402 2960 6 348 6 348 5 349 6 346 4 334 3 348 4 310 5 303 6 309 7 313 8 315 9 319 9 324 2960 2525 6 348 5 344 5 345 5 345 3 322 3 309 5 296 7 288 8 290 9 293 10 298 11 308 10 313 2525 2098 5 344 5 340 5 343 4 344 3 303 3 295 6 286 8 280 10 280 11 279 12 283 12 296 11 303 2098 1678 4 340 4 344 3 353 1 339 3 286 4 290 6 282 9 277 10 275 12 272 13 270 11 279 10 288 1678 1403 2 357 2 26 2 48 0 262 3 283 4 289 6 281 9 275 10 273 12 270 12 266 10 266 8 267 1403 1198 1 94 2 101 2 103 1 231 3 281 4 287 6 280 8 274 10 272 11 269 11 264 9 260 7 251 1198 1062 4 131 5 123 3 117 1 226 2 280 3 288 6 280 8 274 9 271 10 268 10 262 8 256 6 243 1062 994 3 133 3 126 2 120 1 230 2 279 3 288 5 279 7 274 8 271 9 267 8 261 6 253 4 236 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 28387 30 31 32 32 29 31 30 25 22 23 23 24 25 28387 25501 31 32 34 34 27 30 31 29 26 24 25 27 27 25501 23122 27 29 31 29 25 28 29 28 28 25 26 27 27 23122 21066 27 29 28 24 22 24 27 28 28 25 26 27 26 21066 19211 30 30 27 24 20 19 23 23 24 24 24 25 25 19211 17333 27 27 25 23 21 19 21 22 23 25 23 24 24 17333 15421 24 23 23 20 19 18 20 21 21 22 21 22 22 15421 13654 22 22 22 20 19 18 18 21 19 19 20 20 20 13654 12235 23 23 22 20 18 19 18 20 19 19 20 20 21 12235 11122 23 23 21 21 19 19 18 20 19 19 20 20 21 11122 10175 23 24 23 23 21 20 20 20 19 19 20 21 21 10175 9395 24 25 24 24 23 22 21 21 20 20 20 21 22 9395 8752 25 26 25 25 23 22 23 23 22 21 21 22 22 8752 8193 25 26 25 25 24 23 24 24 23 22 22 22 22 8193 7677 25 26 25 24 24 24 25 24 23 23 22 23 22 7677 7174 25 26 24 24 24 24 26 25 24 24 23 24 23 7174 6678 25 26 25 24 25 24 26 26 25 25 25 25 24 6678 6189 26 26 25 24 25 25 27 28 26 27 27 26 25 6189 5708 27 26 26 24 26 26 28 29 27 28 29 28 27 5708 5234 27 26 26 26 27 27 29 30 28 29 30 30 28 5234 4766 28 27 28 27 29 29 30 32 30 30 32 32 30 4766 4305 29 29 29 29 31 30 32 35 32 32 33 33 31 4305 3851 31 31 32 32 34 33 34 38 34 34 33 34 32 3851 3402 33 34 34 35 38 37 38 41 36 36 34 35 33 3402 2960 37 37 38 40 43 43 43 42 38 38 36 37 36 2960 2525 42 42 43 45 50 47 45 43 40 41 39 41 40 2525 2098 50 50 50 51 56 47 44 42 42 46 47 49 48 2098 1678 59 58 57 58 55 45 42 40 41 46 52 57 59 1678 1403 64 63 62 58 53 43 40 38 39 45 51 60 65 1403 1198 66 66 64 57 51 42 39 37 38 43 49 59 66 1198 1062 71 70 64 56 50 41 38 36 37 42 48 58 65 1062 994 77 72 63 54 48 38 36 34 35 40 47 57 65 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography