AVERAGE BASED ON 20 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAR 2002 HOLLISTER 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 39.1 42.7 49.6 53.2 57.1 59.5 60.5 61.8 58.3 56.7 56.2 52.4 48.5 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 39.2 42.7 48.8 52.2 55.3 57.6 58.5 59.8 57.8 55.9 55.7 52.4 48.6 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -2 31 115 196 282 311 345 346 290 147 63 2 -9 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 43 148 702 1460 2234 2720 2996 2472 3426 2437 981 422 187 BLDepth Hcrit 1253 1379 1459 2024 2619 2915 3146 3032 3583 2427 1503 1630 1390 Hcrit BLTop 1296 1499 1987 2712 3521 4048 4250 4033 4404 3706 2484 2052 1577 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 596 866 1825 2385 2294 2368 2419 2011 2245 2065 1772 1683 2196 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 60 154 235 319 360 389 360 407 260 137 40 11 W* B/S 1 73 5 60 7 8 8 7 227 60 3 1 0 B/S BLWind 2.2 2.0 2.8 3.3 5.0 5.2 8.1 7.6 13.1 11.2 8.1 6.4 4.6 BLWind Direction 111 87 350 314 323 329 308 300 302 299 281 274 283 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 76 69 61 60 54 51 56 55 61 57 59 62 67 maxRH CLOUDpotent -8170 -8856 -8074 -6971 -6935 -6893 -5643 -7226 -4722 -6209 -8303 -7885 -6696 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 9467 10357 10063 9685 10458 10942 9895 11261 9128 9917 10789 9939 8275 sfcLCL ODpotential -8176 -8898 -8500 -7767 -8210 -8454 -6912 -8317 -5919 -7287 -8746 -7996 -6718 ODpotential blCL 9473 10399 10489 10481 11732 12504 11164 12352 10325 10995 11232 10050 8297 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32367 47 292 47 297 43 288 47 290 42 287 44 281 45 287 39 306 40 307 43 286 34 277 40 280 43 287 32367 29570 44 294 43 299 41 291 45 293 39 290 41 283 44 288 37 306 39 309 42 290 29 279 35 280 40 291 29570 27442 42 294 40 299 39 292 42 293 36 291 37 284 40 290 35 307 39 313 40 293 27 282 32 281 38 294 27442 25499 39 294 39 298 37 292 40 293 34 294 35 287 39 292 33 309 40 316 38 297 26 285 30 281 35 296 25499 23593 38 296 37 300 35 295 38 295 33 296 34 290 37 296 32 315 39 320 36 299 24 288 29 284 34 299 23593 21753 36 297 34 301 33 295 37 297 32 299 31 293 36 298 32 315 39 322 34 301 21 288 25 285 33 300 21753 19873 34 297 32 299 31 296 35 299 30 300 29 296 33 301 28 313 37 322 33 303 21 287 24 287 31 302 19873 18004 33 298 30 300 29 297 34 300 28 302 26 298 32 302 27 314 37 324 31 306 20 289 22 289 29 303 18004 16321 32 300 28 302 27 300 32 301 27 303 24 302 31 305 27 317 35 327 28 309 19 293 20 291 27 305 16321 14952 31 303 27 307 27 304 30 303 26 305 23 306 28 308 25 322 32 332 26 311 16 294 18 294 25 309 14952 13758 29 304 25 311 24 310 26 305 23 309 21 309 26 309 23 326 29 334 24 312 14 299 16 303 22 311 13758 12499 26 305 23 313 21 310 23 307 20 310 18 311 23 308 21 325 26 336 22 312 12 300 14 309 19 314 12499 11426 23 309 20 316 19 311 20 309 18 311 17 311 21 309 20 328 24 338 20 312 10 304 11 313 16 317 11426 10466 20 312 17 320 16 314 17 311 15 314 15 314 19 311 18 333 22 339 17 314 8 314 9 321 14 320 10466 9543 17 316 15 327 13 318 15 313 13 315 12 316 16 312 16 335 20 341 15 318 5 323 7 318 12 318 9543 8673 15 317 13 329 11 317 13 315 11 321 10 325 14 313 14 337 17 341 12 321 4 329 5 323 10 318 8673 7720 13 320 11 333 10 318 11 319 9 327 8 334 10 315 10 344 14 346 9 319 3 302 5 314 8 316 7720 6787 10 322 10 342 8 329 9 326 7 336 6 344 7 318 9 350 12 352 7 322 2 291 4 310 7 317 6787 5781 9 326 9 348 7 338 7 333 6 346 5 0 5 330 8 357 12 352 6 328 2 302 4 315 6 316 5781 5148 8 327 9 351 7 342 7 336 6 352 5 8 5 334 9 2 13 351 6 330 2 331 4 324 6 322 5148 4692 7 327 8 354 6 346 7 336 6 352 5 10 6 334 9 1 13 348 7 330 3 331 4 340 7 328 4692 4242 7 328 8 356 6 349 7 336 6 351 5 7 6 330 9 353 14 343 7 325 4 322 5 343 8 331 4242 3799 7 329 7 357 7 348 6 335 6 348 5 3 6 326 8 349 14 337 7 317 5 312 5 338 8 328 3799 3361 8 331 7 356 7 348 6 333 5 340 4 355 6 320 8 341 14 329 8 312 6 305 5 332 9 325 3361 2930 8 332 7 355 7 348 5 327 5 329 4 337 7 313 7 330 14 321 9 306 7 299 6 321 10 320 2930 2503 8 333 7 353 7 345 5 319 4 316 4 321 8 305 7 312 14 311 11 300 9 293 7 310 11 315 2503 2083 8 334 7 351 5 342 3 298 4 303 5 313 9 299 8 294 15 300 12 297 10 286 8 302 12 312 2083 1671 6 337 5 355 3 340 2 279 5 300 5 311 9 295 9 286 15 293 12 292 9 281 8 292 11 305 1671 1399 3 350 3 20 1 346 2 284 5 302 5 308 9 294 9 284 14 291 12 290 9 277 8 284 9 297 1399 1196 2 60 3 71 1 3 3 286 5 301 5 306 9 292 9 282 14 290 11 288 8 274 8 278 8 290 1196 1061 3 113 3 94 1 4 2 287 4 301 5 305 8 292 8 282 13 289 10 287 8 273 7 274 6 285 1061 994 2 113 2 87 1 3 2 288 4 300 5 304 8 292 7 282 12 289 9 286 6 272 5 268 4 279 994 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 32367 19 16 18 25 27 29 19 15 17 19 20 27 22 32367 29570 25 20 26 31 32 34 28 20 17 28 30 35 30 29570 27442 29 25 31 33 35 39 33 30 19 32 41 45 31 27442 25499 32 29 34 32 36 38 34 32 20 31 40 47 33 25499 23593 34 32 35 31 35 37 31 28 20 32 39 45 34 23593 21753 35 34 38 31 36 36 32 27 20 30 32 39 33 21753 19873 35 33 40 33 37 36 33 32 23 30 27 32 31 19873 18004 35 31 40 36 38 36 35 34 23 32 33 32 31 18004 16321 36 31 39 35 39 33 33 36 21 29 33 31 30 16321 14952 34 28 34 33 35 33 31 34 20 28 31 32 29 14952 13758 32 26 30 32 32 33 31 34 20 28 31 32 30 13758 12499 30 25 28 32 31 30 31 33 20 26 28 31 29 12499 11426 30 26 28 31 29 27 33 35 21 26 28 29 28 11426 10466 29 23 26 31 30 27 31 35 24 26 26 26 27 10466 9543 28 23 23 30 28 26 28 34 27 26 24 23 26 9543 8673 28 23 23 28 25 24 28 33 30 25 24 24 24 8673 7720 28 24 24 29 25 25 27 30 31 22 24 24 24 7720 6787 30 25 25 33 26 26 28 29 32 23 24 25 25 6787 5781 33 29 27 34 27 27 30 29 35 25 24 26 27 5781 5148 37 31 31 38 33 32 37 32 39 31 27 28 30 5148 4692 39 34 34 42 38 35 41 38 42 38 33 32 33 4692 4242 41 36 36 44 39 37 44 43 47 42 37 37 38 4242 3799 42 39 38 45 40 40 44 44 48 43 40 41 42 3799 3361 44 41 40 46 42 42 45 44 48 44 41 43 44 3361 2930 46 44 42 47 43 43 47 44 48 45 43 45 47 2930 2503 49 47 45 49 45 46 49 45 48 45 46 48 50 2503 2083 52 50 49 52 47 45 50 48 52 46 50 52 53 2083 1671 57 54 53 54 47 45 48 47 53 49 55 56 59 1671 1399 63 60 56 55 47 43 46 45 52 48 55 59 63 1399 1196 69 67 59 54 46 42 45 45 50 48 53 59 64 1196 1061 75 69 58 53 45 42 44 44 50 47 53 58 65 1061 994 83 69 57 51 43 40 42 42 47 46 52 59 67 994 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography