AVERAGE BASED ON 30 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: NOV 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 43.4 44.0 49.5 54.7 58.7 61.2 62.5 63.2 62.2 59.8 56.3 53.4 50.9 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 44.3 49.4 54.1 57.7 59.9 61.3 62.2 61.6 59.6 56.5 53.7 51.2 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -23 -14 9 69 133 176 164 144 82 16 -11 -11 -12 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 16 53 86 361 788 1226 1604 1888 1617 919 16 16 16 BLDepth Hcrit 2573 2573 2573 2573 2769 3072 3352 3460 3082 2647 2573 2573 2573 Hcrit BLTop 2589 2626 2659 2934 3361 3799 4176 4461 4190 3492 2589 2589 2589 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 317 326 679 1264 2019 2475 2791 2890 2817 2641 2252 1339 866 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 6 30 104 177 230 247 243 189 82 1 1 1 W* B/S 0 0 2 3 5 7 10 7 5 2 0 0 0 B/S BLWind 3.2 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.7 2.4 BLWind Direction 271 276 293 19 118 146 191 320 343 345 332 331 305 Direction Max.Converg -10 -9 -7 -4 -2 0 2 4 2 0 -1 -5 -7 Max.Converg maxRH 47 49 49 49 47 46 42 46 46 47 46 49 51 maxRH CLOUDpotent -10784 -10461 -10632 -10054 -9650 -9177 -9414 -8386 -8582 -8985 -9674 -9788 -9546 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 13375 13089 13292 12990 13013 12977 13592 12849 12774 12479 12265 12379 12137 sfcLCL ODpotential -10784 -10508 -10695 -10443 -10002 -9675 -10104 -9008 -9067 -9378 -9674 -9788 -9546 ODpotential blCL 13375 13136 13356 13378 13365 13476 14282 13472 13259 12872 12265 12379 12137 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30380 24 296 22 295 22 297 24 294 21 298 20 298 21 298 19 296 19 297 20 297 20 300 22 301 21 300 30380 27461 21 298 20 297 20 299 21 295 19 300 17 302 17 296 18 297 18 298 19 297 19 297 20 298 20 298 27461 25101 19 299 18 299 19 302 20 295 18 299 16 301 16 297 17 298 17 300 18 297 18 295 18 295 17 294 25101 22884 19 298 17 296 17 300 18 292 16 294 15 297 16 297 15 297 16 300 15 296 16 293 16 293 16 291 22884 20779 18 297 16 296 17 300 16 291 15 292 14 295 15 295 15 300 15 303 14 297 15 292 15 290 15 290 20779 18792 15 296 15 295 16 299 15 293 14 293 14 295 14 295 15 298 14 301 13 297 14 292 14 287 14 289 18792 16836 14 293 14 290 14 293 13 288 13 287 12 292 13 293 13 292 13 293 12 294 13 289 13 287 13 290 16836 15165 13 293 13 287 13 291 11 290 11 288 11 287 12 289 12 288 12 288 11 286 13 282 13 283 13 286 15165 13649 13 295 13 285 13 288 10 292 10 290 10 286 11 284 11 288 11 285 11 282 12 282 12 282 12 283 13649 12338 13 295 13 285 13 288 11 292 10 288 11 286 11 283 11 287 11 283 11 283 12 281 12 279 11 281 12338 11263 13 296 12 288 12 291 11 291 11 288 11 288 11 287 11 288 10 286 10 285 11 283 11 281 10 280 11263 10504 12 298 11 292 11 295 11 295 10 292 10 291 10 293 10 293 10 290 9 290 10 287 9 285 9 281 10504 9924 11 299 11 294 11 298 10 296 10 293 9 293 9 295 9 294 9 291 8 290 9 289 8 286 8 283 9924 9304 10 301 10 296 10 298 9 296 9 295 8 294 8 296 8 293 8 289 8 290 8 290 7 287 7 284 9304 8804 9 302 9 300 9 301 8 296 8 296 7 296 7 296 7 293 7 291 7 291 7 291 6 288 6 283 8804 8312 8 305 8 301 8 303 7 296 7 298 7 297 6 296 7 295 7 294 7 292 6 290 5 289 4 279 8312 7857 7 307 7 302 7 303 6 295 7 301 6 298 5 294 6 298 6 297 6 293 5 290 4 290 3 276 7857 7409 6 308 6 301 6 304 5 294 6 301 5 298 4 290 6 298 5 300 5 295 5 292 3 290 3 273 7409 6966 5 306 5 297 5 304 4 291 5 300 5 297 4 285 5 299 5 304 5 296 4 294 3 293 2 269 6966 6529 4 305 4 293 3 300 4 285 4 297 4 289 3 277 4 294 4 303 4 297 4 300 2 294 2 268 6529 6097 3 298 3 283 2 291 3 277 3 289 3 277 3 262 4 289 3 299 3 298 4 305 2 297 1 268 6097 5671 2 288 2 270 1 271 2 259 3 272 3 263 3 242 3 278 3 295 3 292 4 309 2 304 1 285 5671 5250 2 263 2 244 1 220 2 238 2 252 3 248 3 229 3 268 2 284 3 289 4 309 2 312 1 310 5250 4835 1 230 1 219 2 192 1 207 2 224 3 229 4 218 3 264 2 276 3 282 4 309 2 323 1 334 4835 4425 1 204 1 194 2 174 2 176 2 204 3 212 4 211 2 270 2 268 3 280 4 308 2 332 2 345 4425 4020 2 184 1 161 2 154 2 152 2 189 3 198 4 201 2 268 2 265 2 284 3 309 2 337 2 353 4020 3621 2 170 2 131 2 135 2 133 2 175 3 183 4 191 1 282 1 288 2 297 3 317 3 352 3 359 3621 3228 2 158 2 103 2 116 2 131 2 168 2 173 3 182 1 301 1 326 1 319 3 327 3 358 4 360 3228 2969 1 153 2 83 1 107 2 140 2 163 1 162 2 178 1 333 1 357 1 341 3 335 3 1 4 360 2969 2776 0 163 1 58 1 127 1 151 1 159 1 147 2 174 1 3 1 18 1 353 2 342 3 2 3 353 2776 2648 1 261 1 302 1 264 0 166 1 155 1 132 2 171 1 18 1 20 1 7 2 345 2 354 3 331 2648 2589 3 271 3 278 2 281 0 230 0 142 1 124 1 162 1 34 1 26 1 4 1 332 2 331 2 305 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 30380 31 33 37 41 40 40 38 37 35 36 34 34 32 30380 27461 32 38 41 38 39 39 39 39 38 37 36 36 36 27461 25101 35 38 42 35 37 39 40 43 42 40 39 38 38 25101 22884 38 38 41 32 35 38 39 43 42 42 40 39 38 22884 20779 35 37 38 31 33 34 35 39 40 41 40 39 37 20779 18792 35 34 35 30 30 30 31 34 36 37 38 37 35 18792 16836 33 31 32 27 27 28 28 32 33 35 36 35 34 16836 15165 33 32 32 26 27 28 25 30 30 32 34 35 34 15165 13649 34 34 33 29 29 30 27 30 32 31 32 33 32 13649 12338 33 34 34 30 31 32 29 32 33 32 33 34 33 12338 11263 32 33 34 30 31 31 29 32 33 32 33 33 32 11263 10504 31 33 33 31 31 31 30 31 31 30 32 32 31 10504 9924 30 32 32 30 30 30 30 30 31 30 31 31 31 9924 9304 30 31 32 30 31 30 30 30 30 29 31 30 29 9304 8804 30 31 31 29 30 29 29 30 30 29 31 30 29 8804 8312 30 30 31 29 29 29 29 29 30 29 30 29 29 8312 7857 30 30 31 28 28 29 29 29 29 30 30 29 29 7857 7409 30 30 31 28 28 28 29 28 30 30 31 29 29 7409 6966 30 30 30 28 28 28 29 28 30 30 31 30 30 6966 6529 30 30 30 28 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 30 30 6529 6097 30 31 30 28 28 28 30 31 31 31 31 30 30 6097 5671 30 31 31 28 29 29 30 32 32 32 32 31 31 5671 5250 31 31 31 29 30 30 31 33 33 33 32 32 31 5250 4835 31 32 32 30 31 32 32 35 34 34 33 33 32 4835 4425 32 33 33 31 33 34 34 38 36 36 35 35 34 4425 4020 33 34 34 33 36 38 37 40 38 38 37 36 35 4020 3621 35 36 36 37 39 41 39 42 42 40 40 39 37 3621 3228 37 39 39 41 43 43 39 41 42 43 43 41 41 3228 2969 40 41 41 45 44 43 39 41 41 43 44 44 43 2969 2776 43 44 45 47 45 43 38 40 41 43 45 46 47 2776 2648 47 49 48 49 45 42 38 40 40 43 46 49 51 2648 2589 69 69 56 50 44 41 37 39 40 43 49 54 59 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography