AVERAGE BASED ON 20 DAYS DrJack's BLIP for: MAR 2002 HERNANDEZ 2573ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m 37.6 40.6 47.5 49.4 54.7 57.0 58.7 61.3 55.9 56.0 57.7 52.1 47.2 Temp@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 41.7 46.5 49.0 52.6 54.9 56.3 58.9 58.5 55.7 57.4 52.3 47.5 Temp@Bot Sfc.Heating -11 50 153 240 340 364 409 404 310 135 43 -25 -23 Sfc.Heating BLDepth 61 251 848 1635 2389 2970 3612 3850 4486 3086 1621 135 16 BLDepth Hcrit 2680 2729 2994 3563 4233 4597 5160 5463 5719 4231 3347 2827 2733 Hcrit BLTop 2741 2969 3540 4317 5082 5681 6294 6651 7059 5774 4400 2962 2749 BLTop Hgt.Variab. 808 1070 1904 2164 2187 2491 2913 2930 3711 3019 2411 2486 2445 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 81 177 273 360 399 452 463 454 279 150 0 0 W* B/S 0 73 4 57 9 9 11 10 226 61 2 0 0 B/S BLWind 5.7 7.4 7.9 5.9 6.4 4.8 6.4 7.8 15.0 9.8 7.9 5.0 6.1 BLWind Direction 306 333 336 331 334 343 323 335 334 318 320 320 311 Direction Max.Converg Max.Converg maxRH 61 57 52 57 50 44 50 48 49 46 41 43 50 maxRH CLOUDpotent -8611 -9006 -8285 -7042 -7167 -7809 -6106 -6933 -5725 -7364 -9429 -10593 -8834 CLOUDpotent sfcLCL 11354 11977 11826 11360 12252 13492 12401 13586 12786 13139 13831 13557 11585 sfcLCL ODpotential -8626 -9144 -8697 -7777 -8121 -8989 -7631 -7856 -7080 -8368 -9669 -10599 -8834 ODpotential blCL 11369 12114 12239 12096 13205 14672 13927 14509 14141 14144 14071 13562 11585 blCL PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [deg] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 31899 46 294 46 300 42 292 47 291 43 288 44 283 46 285 39 308 40 307 44 284 34 280 40 284 43 290 31899 29071 43 294 42 301 39 291 44 293 40 291 41 285 44 288 39 308 40 306 43 286 29 284 36 283 40 292 29071 27050 41 294 41 300 39 291 42 293 36 290 37 285 39 290 35 310 38 309 40 290 28 286 33 281 38 294 27050 25207 39 293 37 297 36 288 40 292 35 290 35 286 38 291 33 310 38 315 38 295 26 287 32 283 36 296 25207 23380 36 295 34 298 35 290 38 293 33 293 33 288 36 294 31 313 36 319 35 297 24 288 29 285 34 298 23380 21426 35 297 32 299 33 292 36 295 32 296 31 293 35 297 31 311 37 320 33 300 21 288 24 287 33 299 21426 19493 34 298 31 300 31 295 34 298 30 299 28 296 33 299 28 314 37 322 32 303 20 288 23 290 31 301 19493 17774 33 300 30 302 28 300 33 300 27 302 25 299 31 301 28 317 36 326 30 306 18 289 22 289 29 303 17774 16222 32 303 29 304 28 303 31 302 27 303 24 301 30 304 27 320 35 329 28 308 18 292 20 290 27 306 16222 14769 30 304 27 308 26 307 30 304 25 307 23 306 28 307 25 326 32 331 25 310 15 291 18 295 24 310 14769 13553 28 306 25 309 24 310 26 305 22 310 20 311 26 307 22 325 28 332 22 311 11 291 14 300 20 314 13553 12594 25 308 23 314 21 312 23 304 19 310 17 311 23 305 21 325 26 335 20 311 10 293 12 305 17 316 12594 11766 22 312 20 319 18 317 20 306 17 312 15 313 21 306 18 327 23 335 18 314 9 303 11 316 15 320 11766 10918 19 316 17 327 15 324 17 312 14 317 13 320 19 309 17 334 21 335 16 318 7 311 8 322 13 321 10918 10088 17 315 14 327 12 322 14 313 12 318 11 322 16 311 16 337 19 338 14 322 5 320 6 324 11 324 10088 9341 15 314 13 327 11 319 12 312 11 318 10 322 14 311 13 336 16 339 12 320 4 317 4 325 8 325 9341 8570 13 315 12 328 10 318 11 314 10 319 8 324 12 312 11 338 14 344 9 322 2 302 3 316 6 321 8570 7638 11 317 11 333 8 323 8 320 7 326 6 331 9 314 8 337 11 349 7 324 0 198 2 306 5 318 7638 6911 10 320 9 336 7 323 7 323 6 329 5 334 7 313 8 332 12 340 7 319 1 218 2 301 4 326 6911 6439 9 323 9 339 6 323 6 325 5 331 4 337 7 310 9 324 12 336 7 314 2 234 2 301 4 320 6439 6018 8 327 8 345 6 327 6 329 5 332 3 334 7 309 9 325 13 334 8 312 3 254 2 295 5 317 6018 5601 7 330 8 351 6 332 5 331 4 330 3 339 7 309 9 326 15 332 9 311 3 275 3 293 6 315 5601 5191 7 335 7 356 6 337 5 334 4 332 3 339 7 310 9 326 16 331 10 310 5 287 5 297 7 314 5191 4787 7 338 8 0 6 343 5 333 5 333 4 338 7 315 9 331 16 331 10 311 7 292 6 301 9 315 4787 4389 7 341 8 2 6 346 5 334 5 332 4 334 7 318 9 333 16 332 10 312 7 294 7 304 11 317 4389 3996 8 342 9 1 7 348 6 330 5 328 4 335 7 323 9 335 16 332 10 314 8 296 8 308 12 318 3996 3606 9 341 10 357 7 344 5 326 5 329 4 343 7 326 8 337 16 332 10 316 8 301 8 313 13 319 3606 3222 10 338 10 351 6 338 5 324 5 331 4 347 6 329 8 339 15 332 10 317 8 306 8 318 12 318 3222 2967 9 333 9 343 5 335 4 325 5 335 4 349 6 330 8 339 15 332 10 317 8 309 7 320 11 317 2967 2777 8 327 7 337 5 334 5 328 5 336 4 353 6 332 8 340 14 333 9 317 8 310 7 321 10 316 2777 2652 7 319 6 332 5 334 4 329 5 338 4 354 6 333 7 341 13 334 8 318 7 311 6 322 9 314 2652 2589 5 310 5 331 5 336 4 333 5 339 4 357 5 335 6 342 12 334 7 321 6 312 4 324 6 311 2589 PROFILES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY [%] ---------------------------- VALIDATION TIME ---------------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 31899 24 18 21 25 25 29 22 14 15 21 27 25 19 31899 29071 26 21 26 29 31 33 29 21 17 27 32 36 29 29071 27050 29 26 31 32 36 36 31 31 19 30 43 45 30 27050 25207 34 30 32 33 36 37 30 31 21 31 40 44 31 25207 23380 35 31 34 32 36 36 30 27 17 30 36 38 29 23380 21426 34 30 36 28 36 36 33 27 17 28 29 29 28 21426 19493 35 31 37 28 36 35 35 32 20 28 31 27 25 19493 17774 31 29 32 28 34 33 35 36 21 29 37 32 26 17774 16222 31 30 33 28 33 32 32 36 20 27 36 32 28 16222 14769 34 29 31 27 30 32 30 33 19 26 33 31 28 14769 13553 31 26 28 28 29 29 28 31 18 25 29 30 28 13553 12594 29 25 27 29 29 26 28 32 19 24 26 27 27 12594 11766 27 23 25 29 28 25 26 32 21 24 25 26 27 11766 10918 27 22 23 29 27 25 26 31 24 22 26 23 25 10918 10088 26 21 22 28 24 23 25 31 28 22 28 25 23 10088 9341 25 21 22 28 23 21 26 30 29 21 29 26 23 9341 8570 26 22 22 29 24 23 27 28 28 21 28 26 23 8570 7638 28 23 24 31 24 24 28 30 31 24 25 24 24 7638 6911 31 26 26 33 28 27 34 35 41 32 26 24 25 6911 6439 34 27 28 36 32 31 40 38 44 36 28 25 27 6439 6018 36 29 31 38 36 33 42 38 44 38 31 26 30 6018 5601 38 31 33 42 38 34 42 40 44 38 32 28 33 5601 5191 40 33 35 44 39 36 42 41 44 40 34 31 36 5191 4787 42 36 38 47 42 38 45 44 44 41 36 34 39 4787 4389 44 38 40 49 43 38 44 42 42 40 37 36 42 4389 3996 46 41 43 50 44 39 43 40 40 39 37 38 44 3996 3606 49 45 46 52 44 38 41 38 38 38 36 39 45 3606 3222 51 50 48 51 42 37 39 36 36 37 35 40 46 3222 2967 54 53 48 51 42 35 38 34 34 36 35 40 47 2967 2777 57 55 48 50 41 34 37 33 33 35 35 40 48 2777 2652 61 57 49 50 41 34 36 33 33 35 34 41 49 2652 2589 72 60 50 48 38 32 34 30 31 34 34 43 52 2589 PARAMETER KEY: (the parameters are described more fully at http://www.dr-jack.net/BLIPMAP/index.html) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 5m AGL (bottom grid point) [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BLDepth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BLTop = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab. = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4 & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BLWind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [deg] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blLCL) [ft] blLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography